Local Market Observations!
What do you see in your local housing market this weekend? Price cuts? "Up to 25% Off home prices PLUS 3% Toward Closing Costs!*
Or boosterism? "Healthy real estate markets in Kentucky and Midwestern states are being hurt by national news reports of problems in other areas, Lawrence Yun told Lexington Realtors yesterday. 'It's the coastal markets that are out of whack and, some might say, have a (home price) bubble,' said Yun, the chief economist for the National Association of Realtors."
"There is 'absolutely zero bubble' in Central Kentucky, and the area's housing remains remains 'very affordable,' maybe even 'undervalued,' he declared, as his audience applauded."
"The total number of home sales for Scott County is down 14 percent year-to-date from last year, and September's sales are down 36 percent from a year ago, according to Lexington-Bluegrass Association of Realtors figures. Scott County's median sales price has fallen 3 percent year-to-date from $157,800 in 2006 to $153,000 year-to-date in 2007."
"Economist Lawrence Yun said that it is important to keep the current housing market in perspective because 2007 still will be the nation's fifth-highest year on record for existing-home sales."
"'Although sales are off from an unsustainable peak in 2005, there is a historically high level of home sales taking place this year - a lot of people are, in fact, buying homes,' Yun said."
"Scott County's higher inventory should be encouraging to prospective buyers, said Becky Murphy, LBAR president. 'With unprecedented inventory levels, it is an excellent time to purchase a home as buyers should have no problem finding exactly what they are looking for,' she said."
The rolling bubble? "Local housing experts have provided evidence backing their assertion that homes in Carlsbad are becoming more valuable by the month."
"A few local case studies also provide some insight into the market. According to information provided by Dunagan, for example, a $77,500 house purchased on West Blodgett Street in September 2005 sold for $91,500 in July 2007. The $14,000 jump represented an 18 percent increase, and minimal changes were made."
"'When they say minimal, usually it's paint,' said broker George Dunagan. 'They basically did nothing but maintenance to the house, so it's pretty indicative to the market.'"
Or job cut notices? "Employees were laid off at Wells Fargo's Billings loan-processing center Thursday. 'After evaluating our operations in the current housing market, we must reduce staffing to better align capacity and increase the efficiency of our home equity fulfillment operations,' wrote Lori Sinsley, a Wells Fargo corporate spokeswoman. 'To that end, we are making adjustments to the number of our home equity team members in Billings.'"
"Tom Frisby, regional Job Service director, hopes the lending industry layoffs don't become widespread. 'I hope this is not a portent of something in the financial industry that is going to really impact Billings,' he said."
"Canfor Corp. president and CEO Jim Shepard said Friday he won't hesitate to take more sawmill shutdowns in the face of a continuing poor market and high Canadian dollar."
"'If this market ratchets down, we will ratchet down our production, full stop,' Shepherd told analysts and reporters on a conference call to discuss the company's $42.1-million third-quarter loss."
"Prince George Trucking Association president Stan Wheeldon said there was already a reduction in work in the summer which meant more people chasing less work."
Retail changes? "Wal-Mart is selling 26-inch high-definition TVs for $450 this weekend. Circuit City plans to give away consumer electronics prizes every day for the next 30 days, starting Sunday."
"Retailers, eyeing the housing slump and the credit crunch that has decimated consumer confidence, are slashing prices early in the hope of snagging a bigger share of the annual Christmas spending spree. That spree is expected to be more subdued than usual, said Ellen Davis, spokeswoman for the National Retail Federation."
Related markets? "Experts are detecting a slowing in the commercial, industrial and office markets in Chandler, and new numbers bear that out. Real estate developer Michael Pollack takes the real estate cycles in stride."
"'I don't believe we'll see a crash and burn scenario, but I do believe we're seeing a correction occurring...in all types of real estate,' he said."
"Some projects are overpriced for leasing because investors paid too much for the property, Pollack said. It's similar to the single-family home investors who overpaid, relying on the greater fool theory."
"'They were a fool for buying it for too much money and were hoping for a greater fool to come and save them,' Pollack said."