Where Are They Going To Find All These Buyers?
The Wall Street Journal reports on New York. "The number of new rental apartments in New York City is expected to surge in the coming years. But the question remains whether that increase will hit the investment market for such buildings like a wave or a ripple. Over the next three years, more than 38,000 market-rate rental apartments—mostly in Brooklyn and Queens—are expected to be completed, with 14,686 of them added this year, according to Ten-X, an online real-estate company. The company estimates another 17,044 new apartments will be completed in 2017, marking a new high. The last peak came in 2001 when about 5,500 units were added."
"The forecast from a recent Ten-X report is stark: The supply increase will result in market-rate vacancies of more than 10% by 2017 and zero rent growth for market-rate apartments in 2019. 'I refer to it as a digestion problem,' said Peter Muoio, chief economist and head of research at Ten-X. 'There is so much, so fast at one point in time, that it’s difficult for any market to absorb that wave of supply.'"
From Real Estate Weekly. "With the one-two punch provided by the strong dollar and the volatility in financial markets, the United States’ appeal to foreign homebuyers was expected to wane. The National Association of Realtor’s 2016 Profile of International Activity in US Residential Real Estate, which took into account home sales to international clients between April 2015 and March 2016, found that foreign buyers purchased $102.6 billion in residential properties."
"This represents a 1.3 percent drop compared to the previous year’s survey. The figures in the current survey show a drastic u-turn for foreign homebuyers. During the previous year, total sales dollar volume from international buyers increased by 13 percent. Edward Mermelstein, the managing partner of law firm Rheem, Bell & Mermelstein, agreed that Chinese investors have been gradually retreating from the US over the past year. 'We’ve definitely seen a pullback over the past year from Chinese investors. That has more to do with the fact that, internally, China has been having some serious economic issues, as well as political issues,' he said."
"New York City is due for some tough times in some segments, According to Wei Min Tan, an associate broker at Rutenberg who works with a lot of Chinese clients, foreign buyers have scaled back their price targets. 'In New York, you have a lot of these super-luxury buildings and many of them, by super-luxury I’m referring to ones priced seven million dollars and above, a lot of them were built with the intention of selling to rich Chinese buyers. I think that there’s an oversupply and the question would be: ‘Where are they going to find all these ultra-luxury buyers?’ he said."
The Real Deal. "The U.S. government moved to seize four high-priced condominiums in Manhattan, as well as a stake in the Park Lane Hotel, in connection with a money-laundering scheme that allegedly diverted $3.5 billion away from a Malaysian investment fund. The government’s effort to seize the entities offers a rare glimpse into how dirty money is moved into some of the city’s most expensive properties by a complex global network of shadowy characters, mysterious business entities and willing bankers and lawyers."
"In a complaint filed Wednesday, federal officials sought to seize valuable artworks, a private jet and real estate in New York and Beverly Hills amid its probe into how billions of dollars meant to benefit the Malaysian citizens were misappropriated from the 1Malaysia Development Bhd., or 1MDB."
"The Manhattan properties include a full-floor penthouse at Walker Tower purchased for a then-record-breaking price of $50.9 million in 2014, as well as a penthouse at the Time Warner Center (bought for $30.55 million), Park Laurel ($33.5 million) and a condo at 118 Greene Street ($13.8 million). Federal prosecutors also moved to seize a roughly $200 million stake in the Witkoff Group’s TRData LogoTINY Park Lane Hotel."
"In all, the New York City real estate – worth nearly $350 million – represents a small slice of the funds federal prosecutors say were misappropriated from 1MDB. But they nonetheless served as a vehicle for concealing the stolen monies and they reflect the ability of anonymous corporations to launder money through U.S. real estate, the government alleges."
North Country Public Radio. "There are more than 150 abandoned homes in Watertown. A report put out by the city assessor finds homes in the city can be empty for months, even years, before the bank takes them over. Vacant homes have become such a problem in Watertown, the city council has had trouble wrapping their head around what to do. Brian Phelps, the city assessor, visited hundreds of empty homes and poured over stacks of paperwork to figure out why these homes were abandoned."
"Phelps said he did find a common scenario, though. In many cases, a person had bought a home in Watertown, but two or three years later they had to move away. Often they're military who had to relocate to another Army base. 'When it gets time for them to leave the time on market to sell their house is not financially viable for them to make that many payments while the property is for sale,' said Phelps."
"Or the house just doesn’t sell. Some homeowners try to rent their property, but that can be hard to do if they don’t live nearby. Phelps said in the last two years, home values in Watertown have been steadily going down. 'And this is a definitely a factor when you look at the market as a whole. That there are these problem properties out there that people can't afford to stay in,' said Phelps."
"To answer the question of why this is happening you have to look back a few years. In 2008, when the housing market collapsed across the country, home values in Watertown stayed steady. As an influx of soldiers arrived at Fort Drum, Jefferson County and Watertown leaders asked developers to build lots of new homes. Today, selling a home is harder because there's a lot more choice. 'The reason why you can’t put a house on the market and sell it in three months is because there is an overabundance of supply and a lack of demand,' Phelps said."