Landlords Beware, People Are Shopping Price
A report from the San Mateo Daily Journal in California. "Renters struggling to afford the considerable cost of living locally may see some relief on the horizon according to county real estate professionals who project the market will soften. Average rents have nearly doubled in and around San Mateo over the past five years, jumping to about $3,100 for a one-bedroom apartment, according to market data offered by RentJungle. But in the last month, average rents have been dropping incrementally, down about $100 from the heights hit over the summer, and local property managers said they expect the trend to continue. 'We sit in these markets that are hot for so long, I think that we forget that we are starting to see the rents come down,' said Sally Navarro, a property manager with AVR Realty in Burlingame. 'Things are softening up.'"
"Andrew Peceimer, a representative of Westbay Real Estate Group who manages roughly 60 properties throughout San Mateo County, expressed a similar sentiment. He said the recent building boom bringing online a swath of new units particularly in Redwood City and San Mateo may begin to offer some space in a market which has been historically tight. 'We are headed toward having an over supply on the market and rents will go down,' he said. 'The market will soften.'"
"Indicative of his position is data offered by real estate information company CoStar, showing average vacancy rates have jumped to 8.8 percent, up more than 5 percent from the five-year average of 3.4 percent."
The Mercury News. "Abodo, an apartment search website, says monthly rents dropped markedly from August to September in San Jose and San Francisco. Those cities were on Abodo’s Top 10 list for the 'Biggest Fall' in rents for one-bedroom apartments during that period. Some observers are emphatic: 'The prices have reached their saturation point,' said Ron Stern, CEO of Bay Rentals, a housing relocation service. 'Tenants cannot be soaked for one extra dollar.'"
"Particularly in Santa Clara County, he said, 'the rental market has slowed down to almost a crawl. We do a lot of credit reports, and the number of reports we’re doing has declined. … Landlords say, ‘Is my price too high? I’m not getting any calls.’"
"From August 2015 to August 2016, said Jeffrey M. Mishkin, regional manager at the San Francisco office of Marcus & Millichap, San Francisco’s rental market 'was flat.' 'One-bedrooms were down 7.7 percent year-over-year, from $3,395 to $3,150. Two-bedrooms were down from $4,500 to $4,300, a 4.7 percent drop.' Plus, he just had received an informal report about a 'very large owner' of apartments on the Peninsula 'who said that rents are down on every one of his properties.'"
"Stern advised apartment hunters to look in smaller apartment developments, rather than the larger — and often more expensive — complexes. 'You can get a nice place for $1,600 or $1,700, maybe less,' he said. 'There’s a nice duplex in Campbell for $1,850 in a good neighborhood. The landlord says, ‘I don’t want to squeeze it for an extra 200 bucks. I just want to get it rented.’ 'Landlords beware,' he warned. 'People are shopping price, not quality, right now.'"
The Orange County Register. "All that local construction activity is adding up to more options for Orange County house hunters. The supply of new homes for sale and being constructed was 1,093 in 2016’s second quarter, according to data from MarketPointe and the Real Estate Research Council of Southern California. That’s almost double the inventory from a year earlier and it’s local builders’ largest supply since the end of 2007."
"So far this year, the median selling price for a new Orange County home averaged $807,000 vs. $693,000 for resales of existing, single-family homes and $444,500 for existing condominiums. The bulk of Orange County new homes for sale are priced between $700,000 and $1.5 million, so this added supply greatly aids shoppers looking in essentially the upper half of the market."
"While it appears the overall market is not oversupplied like a decade ago, added supply will force builders to compete further. For example, Orange County’s median price for new homes this year has fallen by 4 percent."
The Fresno Bee. "Wathen Castanos Homes is getting ready to build $800,000 houses in Marina, north of Monterey. It’s a feat the owners of the Fresno-based home-building company still can’t believe today, almost a decade after the Great Recession nearly crushed the business. 'I don’t think any of us had the confidence that we would make it through,' President Joshua Peterson said."
"Now, Wathen Castanos, one of Fresno’s oldest home builders, is constructing in a dozen cities across the central San Joaquin Valley, from Tulare to Clovis, as well as the Central Coast."
The Manteca Bulletin. "Manteca’s future health — economically and as a community — is becoming more and more reliant not on just the Bay Area/Silicon Valley but also on a larger footprint planners have dubbed the Northern California Mega Region. A recent Wall Street front page article about Silicon Valley home prices and the lack of buildable land is prompting more traditional Bay Area single family home builders to look at opportunities in Manteca and nearby. Manteca has more than 9,000 housing units in various stages of approval while next door Lathrop has 11,000 approved units as part of the River Islands project."
"Even though City Manager Elena Reyes is upbeat about how quality housing will raise the Manteca economy, she is well aware of the downside. 'People in Manteca can be impacted by Bay Area paychecks,' she said."
The Silicon Valley Business Journal. "Silicon Valley's infamously high housing prices might be responsible for recent increases in the number of residences listed for sale. 'We see more and more equity from price gains entice (homeowners) to sell their homes and reap those gains,' said Ralph McLaughlin, chief economist for residential real estate site Trulia."
"Housing inventory in Santa Clara and San Benito counties increased 8.7 percent, and in San Francisco and San Mateo counties the number increased by 19.3 percent. The third quarter was the second quarter in a row in which inventory increased in the San Jose metro area, and the third consecutive quarter for the San Francisco metro division. The largest gain in the San Jose metro inventory came from homes valued in the middle-third of the market, whose number of for-sale homes increased by 13.1 percent this quarter from 2015."