February 16, 2006

Cape Cod Buyers ‘Wait For Prices To Come Down’

The Boston Globe follows up on yesterdays’ MAR report. “Cape Cod’s housing market was hit harder by declining home sales last year than any other Massachusetts region, as buyers held back in hopes that prices for vacation homes would drop. Sales of single-family homes on the Cape fell 14.5 percent, to 3,986 in 2005 from 4,633 in 2004.”

“The Cape was more sensitive to rising interest rates and economic disruptions, such as higher oil prices, because purchases of retirement and vacation homes, the biggest segment of that market, are entirely discretionary. While a growing family may have no choice but to move into a larger home or baby boomer couples may be anxious to downsize, buyers of second homes have nothing but time.”

“‘They were saying, ‘We’re going to wait for prices to come down, and we’re not going to buy until they do,’ said Laura Usher, a real estate agentin Brewster. Buyers ‘got very savvy,’ she said.”

“James Crocker, the president of The Cape & Islands Association of Realtors, said the reason houses aren’t moving as fast is that sellers refuse to drop their asking prices to reflect a weaker market. Some sellers, defying their agents’ advice and analyses of their local markets or recent sales in their neighborhoods, insist on putting higher asking prices on their homes, he said.”

“‘The buyers are willing, ready, and able,’ said Crocker, an agent in Osterville. ‘We just need more fairly-priced properties to ignite the market.’”

“Last year’s housing market got off to a terrible start due to 100 inches of snowfall on the Cape, causing sales to plunge nearly 24 percent in the first quarter, compared with the same quarter in 2004. After a 17 percent drop in the second quarter, summertime sales rebounded. But sales fell again, by 18 percent, in the fourth quarter.”




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24 Comments »

Comment by Ben Jones
2006-02-16 07:49:59

‘The supply of homes for sale is more abundant, as owners chose to sell before the prices fall, Ms. Perry said. In some cases, families who have owned second homes in the area for two or three generations are selling now because they can no longer afford the real estate taxes, she said.’

 
Comment by flat
2006-02-16 07:59:04

1987 CAP COD was first in the tank- seems like old times

 
Comment by dawnal
2006-02-16 08:03:04

Let’s remember:
Real estate is inherently illiquid.

And vacation homes are REALLY illiquid!

 
Comment by Loren
2006-02-16 08:08:00

Notice how quickly the agents come around to reality. They don’t get paid if there’s no deal. They may not like the new reality, but it costs them money to ignore it.

Comment by Ben Jones
2006-02-16 08:12:43

Right. I pointed out the other day that in report after report, it is the realtors who are saying sellers need to get realistic.

 
 
Comment by flat
2006-02-16 08:26:15

they keep spinning at reality times- sellers fault !
?? are we coming down faster than 1989 ?
? the permits thing could be weather

 
Comment by flat
2006-02-16 08:32:40

someone mentioned TV shows
hgTV is always saying tight market ,bid higher
WAKE UP ! those shows seem really outdated now

 
Comment by Portland Mainer
2006-02-16 08:44:39

I’m hoping for a price crash at Maine and NH ski areas too. There’s tons of hidden inventory owned by builders.

Comment by The Lingus
2006-02-16 09:11:44

I’m hoping for a price crash at Maine and NH ski areas too. There’s tons of hidden inventory owned by builders.

I’d LOVE to see the CT/NJ/NYC slimers get burned in the 1st degree on this. We’ve been over run here in VT by the scum.

Comment by hd74man
2006-02-16 09:32:49

I lived in ME for 30 years and can appreciate your words. I’m temporarily back in the land of the savages (MA) watching over elderly parents. Southern New Englanders w/ their $100k salaried cops can s*ck my d___.

Comment by The Lingus
2006-02-16 09:44:52

hd74man, I forgot to mention the obligatory MassHoles. Strangely enough, I have some tolerance for them. CT/NJ/NYC slime? Forget it. They have no idea how many of us natives HATE them. Yes…. hate is a powerful word. But no more powerful than the utter contempt we hold for the money grubbing slimeballs.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by also renting in ma
2006-02-16 12:13:17

me wish the white man return to land of england and leave us red men in new england. should not have taught them the fish in the ground trick and let them starve

signed, squanto
original masshole

 
Comment by hd74man
2006-02-16 14:08:39

Hey Squanto-You need to get on your legislator’s azz, and repeal this copper extra detail crap, to prevent these jerk-off’s from retiring at 45 with $80k pensions and then bailin’ to ME to drive all the recreational lakefront values beyond anything the locals can afford.

As VT lingus notes-We in the North country-hate you!!!!

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by KirkH
2006-02-16 08:53:50

Rich Toscano of Piggington fame has a new article up at Voice of San Diego.
No Skin in the Game
San Diego’s newest home buyers have little equity and therefore little reason to stay in their homes if the going gets tough. That could make a bad situation worse.

Comment by arizonadude
2006-02-16 09:30:18

Interesting and very true article. Next problem we have is w/ people being told to do 100% financing because they can simply walk away from house without fear of a deiciency judgement in California.

 
 
Comment by hd74man
2006-02-16 09:10:02

With the way property insurance rates are escalating, you got to be on serious drugs to buy property on the Cape. One major typhoon, and it’s over.

Comment by KirkH
2006-02-16 09:11:21

People don’t need insurance, that’s what our tax dollars are for.

 
Comment by sf jack
2006-02-16 13:18:26

Typhoons? Aren’t those only in the Pacific? On the Cape you have to worry about hurricanes.

Comment by hd74man
2006-02-16 14:02:49

sfjack-I was metaphorically speaking…If a Class V hurricane hits the Cape, the results will be the same as a typhoon hitting any island in the Pacific.

 
 
 
Comment by peterbob
2006-02-16 09:37:27

“‘They were saying, ‘We’re going to wait for prices to come down, and we’re not going to buy until they do,’ said Laura Usher, a real estate agentin Brewster. Buyers ‘got very savvy,’ she said.”

Buyers know that housing in many places is 30% overpriced, compared to rents or incomes. Buyers also know that prices will tend to overshoot somewhat on the way down. So why would anyone buy at current prices?

Sellers need to realize this and lower their prices. If they don’t, then their houses will sit for years, and inflation will erode the value. One way or another, real prices *will* come down.

 
Comment by Rob
2006-02-16 11:39:33

If property is still selling on the cape, the only thing I can figure is that there are people w/ a lot of disposable income and they just don’t mind paying. The cape has become so expensive, it is kinda that way already anyway.

 
Comment by Rich
2006-02-16 11:45:15

“‘The buyers are willing, ready, and able,’ said Crocker, an agent in Osterville. ‘We just need more fairly-priced properties to ignite the market.’”

HHHaaaaahhhha, “ignite the market”, LMAO. The only thing that will be ignitable in the next 10 years will be the gas from his ass.

 
Comment by also renting in ma
2006-02-16 12:15:01

me wish white man stay in old england and leave new england to us red men. wish never taught them the fish in ground trick and they starve.

signed, squanto
original masshole tribe

 
Comment by TheLingus
2006-02-16 13:41:53

It looks like I’m living in someones head……. rent free.

 
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