August 4, 2018

The Red-Hot Market Is Showing Signs Of Cooling

A report from the Tallahassee Democrat in Florida. “Whether you call them mansions, estate homes, or high-end homes, the Tallahassee real estate market leads the way when it comes to an oversupply of luxury homes for sale. Right now, there are 57 homes priced at $750,000 and up on the market. That may not seem like much, but when you take into consideration the average time on the market is 145 days (compared to just 57 days on the market for a median-priced home in a neighborhood like Killearn Lakes), you’ll quickly realize high end homes are slow to sell in Tallahassee.”

“There are really only two reasons why a home won’t sell. Either the home hasn’t been properly marketed using an aggressive, multi-channel approach…or the home is overpriced. If you are thinking of selling a luxury home in Tallahassee, you had better not take it lightly. While parts of the market have recovered, with a high inventory of estate homes still available and many houses sitting on the market for more than 100 days, selling a house for $600,000+ takes more than a sign in the yard and an open house.”

The Courier-Times North Carolina. “Residential real estate inventory remains limited in the county and it is still a seller’s market, although there are more houses for sale now than there were six months ago. That is the take of Gay Poindexter, a real estate agent with Re/Max Pointer Realty. At present there are 27 active homes for sale in Timberlake but 11 of those are just starting construction so the number of houses that are ready to move into now is only 16. Fourteen of those houses are priced under $250,000 and 13 are over $250,000.”

“In Hurdle Mills, the inventory has increased from seven to 13 in the last six months. ‘I think we are still busy,’ Poindexter said. ‘I think if sellers are coming down now, they were overpriced to begin with.’”

The Denver Channel in Colorado. “The red-hot housing market in the Denver metro area is showing signs of cooling, according to the August Denver Metro Real Estate Market Trends Report. The report released Friday shows both average and median prices have dropped from June, and buyer activity has slowed amid higher inventory, which the report assesses may be attributed to the historic increases in Denver home prices.”

“‘Can a cooling market be considered positive? To most sellers, no, but honestly, they have experienced unprecedented equity growth over the past several years. It’s time to share the love and keep home buying an option in the Denver Metro area,’ said Denver REALTOR Chairman Steve Danyliw.”

The Buffalo News in New York. “Banks have opened foreclosure proceedings against more than 600 Erie County homeowners since the start of the year, prompting the Erie County Clerk’s Office to create a new Zombie Foreclosure Task Force. Two-thirds of the 617 new foreclosures are in Buffalo, Lackawanna and the first-ring suburbs. ‘We are in crisis, and these numbers prove we need to address this crisis,’ County Clerk Michael P. Kearns said Thursday.”

“One-third of the new foreclosures proceedings happened in Buffalo, where the process began for 206 homes in the first half of this year, said Kate Lockhart, foreclosure data manager with the Western New York Law Center. But about as many foreclosures, 200, started in the first-ring suburbs, including 72 in Cheektowaga and 46 in the Town of Tonawanda, according to a study released by the center. ‘This is not just an urban issue,’ she said.”

“Zombie homes are houses that banks have begun to foreclose on but haven’t completed the process for long periods of time, resulting in vacant, untended properties that become community eyesores and neighborhood burdens.”

The Northern Nevada Business Review. “All across the state cities are struggling through a housing crisis. The Tahoe area is not immune to the problem as housing prices continue to rise and local businesses struggle to find employees capable of surviving on the wage provided to them. A 2016 Tahoe Truckee Housing Needs Assessment reported that 65 percent of homes in the area are vacant, mainly used for vacation homes, and that 58.6 percent of the local employees commute into town.”

“It also reported that the median home price in 2015 was $538,000 and estimated the maximum home price considered as ‘affordable’ to a four-person lower income household is $235,000. With the average household income in North Lake Tahoe at $67,000, buying a home is not a feasible option for many.”

From My Northwest in Washington. “Lisa bought her Seattle home in 2011, in a neighborhood generally considered to be among the city’s most well-to-do. After deciding to sell the property this year, she and her agent spent three months getting the home in perfect market condition. But 10 days after the for-sale sign went up outside, Lisa started to notice troubling occurrences — hoses spread across the yard that were turned on, and a man sitting in her driveway one evening who told, not only Lisa but also her neighbors, that he was the new property owner. Lisa said that the man, who was a complete stranger, did not look like the sort of person who would be buying a house like hers.”

“‘This is a multi-million-dollar property, and you don’t want to make judgments based on someone’s appearance, but you can tell something is off,’ Lisa told KIRO Radio’s Dori Monson.”

“On Monday evening, Lisa walked onto her property to find the house broken into, tents set up across the yard, and a closet created out of the patio. ‘I screamed bloody murder the second I walked into my home because I didn’t know if somebody else was in the house,’ she said. Luckily, neighbors immediately heard Lisa’s screams and ran to her aid. They called police and fixed the part of the door that had been broken.”

“‘It was a terrifying situation — I’m a single woman … I’m terrified to go back to my own home,’ Lisa described.”

“A police officer arrived at the scene and located the two squatters. However, when he called for backup, he did not receive the help he needed. Because of sheer numbers, the single police officer was not able to confront and arrest the two squatters. She was told the next night that there were only three officers on-duty throughout Ballard, Queen Anne, and Magnolia. Less than three hours later, the squatters were back on the property. This time the police officer brought backup, but did not find the men. In the day-and-a-half since then, the squatters have been back multiple times.”

“Lisa has thankfully been living in an apartment in a different neighborhood while the house is being sold, but she lives in terror now every time she drives back to her own house. She said that with the response she has gotten so far from law enforcement, she honestly does not know what will happen next.”

“‘A single woman trying to sell my largest, greatest asset, and this is what’s going on — after putting literally blood, sweat, and tears into this property,’ Lisa said. ‘I am scared for my physical safety.’”




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30 Comments »

Comment by Ben Jones
2018-08-04 18:32:45

‘The report released Friday shows both average and median prices have dropped from June, and buyer activity has slowed amid higher inventory’

Not again!

‘A single woman trying to sell my largest, greatest asset, and this is what’s going on’

Sounds like your neighborhood is a sh#thole Lisa. Consider lowering the price.

Comment by Ben Jones
2018-08-04 18:46:20

Wasn’t someone just saying prices weren’t dropping except in outlier markets like Manhattan?

Comment by azdude
2018-08-05 07:40:50

the new york market is wall streets playground.

 
 
Comment by BubblevilleCA
2018-08-05 08:09:56

https://www.motherjones.com/crime-justice/2018/04/retake-the-house/

These squatters should hire Steve, I’m sure he will work for free to give them the right they “deserve”… I remember reading this a few months back and being sickened

Comment by OneAgainstMany
2018-08-05 09:15:22

I believe Matthew Desmond’s book Evicted is a good expose of how damaging and pervasive evictions are:

https://www.amazon.com/Evicted-Poverty-Profit-American-City/dp/0553447459

He won a Pulitzer prize for his journalism.

Comment by rms
2018-08-05 10:48:40

The dull and weak don’t stand a chance of success in society or the wild with cunning and efficient predators watching their every move.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Comment by Mortgage Watch
2018-08-04 18:35:00

Santa Cruz, CA Housing Prices Crater 9% YOY As Prices Continue To Fall To Long Term Factor Of 2X Annual Household Income

https://www.zillow.com/santa-cruz-ca-95060/home-values/

*Select price from dropdown menu on first chart

 
Comment by Boo Randy
2018-08-04 19:27:10

This time the police officer brought backup, but did not find the men. In the day-and-a-half since then, the squatters have been back multiple times.”

The rot is spreading.

 
Comment by Justme
2018-08-04 20:45:49

“‘It was a terrifying situation — I’m a single woman … I’m terrified to go back to my own home,’ Lisa described.”

Oh, yeah, Lisa. What happened to equality? If you were not single, I’m guessing that you would assume that your man should be the one endangering himself. You go girl!!

 
 
Comment by Boo Randy
2018-08-05 06:22:03

There are really only two reasons why a home won’t sell. Either the home hasn’t been properly marketed using an aggressive, multi-channel approach…or the home is overpriced.

An “aggressive, multi-channel approach will enrich the REIC and its affiliated advertisers, but has next to zero efficacy in selling your shack. The sole reason a home won’t sell is it’s priced too high, especially when the market trajectory is downward. End of story.

 
Comment by Boo Randy
2018-08-05 06:24:22

“The report released Friday shows both average and median prices have dropped from June, and buyer activity has slowed amid higher inventory, which the report assesses may be attributed to the historic increases in Denver home prices.”

Ya know, I’m seeing a trend here. I bet that “affordability” word is going to be cropping up more often, too.

 
Comment by Boo Randy
 
Comment by azdude
2018-08-05 06:33:29

it is nice to unload risk assets onto future bagholders.

 
Comment by MWR
2018-08-05 06:42:50

“‘It was a terrifying situation — I’m a single woman … I’m terrified to go back to my own home,

I am assuming she does not live in her “house” otherwise no squatters would just show up. So it is a spec. but it is her house.

So…
if someone invades your house and you are scared for your life, as she would be, can she shoot them in Washington State.

Comment by Boo Randy
2018-08-05 07:02:41

Washington is a liberal state that enables and encourages social parasitism. Shooting members of this protected species, even if you catch them occupying your house, would result in the full wrath of the state coming down anyone exercising their 2nd Amendment rights or defending their property.

 
Comment by Mr. Banker
2018-08-05 07:51:48

It’s likely these pukes fully understand that this is a single woman who is terrified to go back to her own home and thus these pukes act accordingly. It most likely would be far different if, say, Luca Brasi was the owner of the home.

Which suggests … what? … that there is a market for a Luca Brasi-type person to be, er, hired as a sort of … of boyfriend, at least until the pukes become a bit “re-educated” regarding the matter and definition of the term “ownership”?

I would think so.

 
 
Comment by azdude
2018-08-05 06:47:51

“QE is the cocaine of Wall Street. How long does an addict go before he needs his next fix? To think everything will run smoothly without the influx of continuous fake money - then what purpose did it provide in the first place? Have you ever been with an addict who is trying to go cold turkey and become sober? It’s ugly. This will be no different.”

 
Comment by azdude
2018-08-05 06:52:18

I was watching the new last night and they were talking about our booming economy.
If this economy was booming we would be creating 400k + jobs a month.

From my experience the avg joe is tapped out.

Comment by Boo Randy
2018-08-05 07:09:01

Most of the people in my social circle earn six figures, but even for them, the costs of living - especially for mortgages, college, and medical expenses - mean they’re still living paycheck to paycheck, and more than a few would quickly run into serious financial trouble if the primary breadwinner lost their job. I really don’t know how working single mothers manage to survive in our financialized economy.

Comment by azdude
2018-08-05 07:27:09

craigslist and ebay sales are falling.

We have had 10 years of more buying than selling thus price rises.

statistically speaking that trend is guaranteed to reverse course.

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2018-08-05 07:21:02

here is where the jobs are….White, and in the minority
She speaks English. Her co-workers don’t. Inside a rural chicken plant, whites struggle to fit in.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/local/wp/2018/07/30/feature/majority-minority-white-workers-at-this-pennsylvania-chicken-plant-now-struggle-to-fit-in/

Comment by Mr. Banker
2018-08-05 07:59:03

Here’s an idea; She should learn how to speak Spanish.

Problem solved.

 
 
 
Comment by Apartment 401
2018-08-05 06:54:54

Zillow to start making cash offers on Denver homes:

“Denver homeowners this fall will have another option available to them when it comes time to sell. They can ask Zillow, the online real estate marketplace, to make them a cash offer.

Whether it will be an offer they can’t refuse is another matter. But Zillow said the program is designed to smooth out some of the headaches that come with trying to find a new home while selling the old one.

“Zillow Offers is designed to help address one of the biggest pain points for home sellers – the uncertainty and inconvenience of how and when they can sell their house,” Zillow Brand President Jeremy Wacksman said in a statement.

Zillow Offers is available in Phoenix and Las Vegas and is rolling out in Atlanta. Denver will be the fourth city added.”

https://www.denverpost.com/2018/08/01/zillow-denver-cash-offers/

Comment by azdude
2018-08-05 07:10:38

i see tons of signs on the road to buy your house.

They will lowball you guaranteed.

Then its the real estate investor seeks apprentice bs.

It is the same old scam over and over again. I guess folks have short memories.

They keep have these big real estate seminars come through town. Everyone selling books and dvds. Greed is a powerful tool.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2018-08-05 07:21:37

The Denver Post didn’t cover this “cooling” UHS report.

 
 
Comment by jeff
2018-08-05 08:10:40

How many cops do you need to confront to squatters?

“the single police officer was not able to confront and arrest the two squatters.”

 
Comment by rms
2018-08-05 08:26:13

Here’s the skinny on automobiles, short and sweet. It’s all about “high residual values” of used vehicles aka easy credit for the subprime buyers to keep the whole industry alive. The subprime buyers pay high prices for used schitt while the well-off drive off the showroom floor with low priced leases.

The US Auto Industry is about to Implode
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b-9hX3H_9qI

Comment by OneAgainstMany
2018-08-05 09:30:17

Watched the video. At 2:39 the speaker circled “Tesla”. Apparently that is the one bucking the trend. I agree with the general thesis that automotive is looking sick. I had a good chunk of change invested in Prosper and Lending Club and I started to notice significant deteriorating in unsecured consumer credit about 2 years ago, so I exited the space. I’ve all but exited my position and I think DJT has forestalled the recession with the tax break, but I see storm clouds on the horizon. Hope for the best, plan for the worst.

 
 
Comment by Carl Morris
2018-08-05 14:09:41

“‘Sellers have really got to evaluate why they’re selling. If they’re just selling and they don’t have a plan moving forward, then that could be problematic,’ he stressed. ‘Right now, you’re not going to get your top dollar and it’s harder to find a buyer right now. Unless you really desperately have to sell, I think right now is the time to not be in that position.’”

That sounds a lot like “you guys HODL while I get out”.

 
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