March 18, 2006

‘A Lot More Sellers Than Buyers’ In The Twin Cities

The Pioneer Press reports on the housing bubble in the Twin Cities. “If you think you see a for-sale sign on every block, look again. On some blocks, there are two. There now are more homes on the market in the Twin Cities than ever before, as far as local real estate experts can tell.”

“As of Monday, the total number listed for sale in the 13-county Twin Cities area totaled 24,744, breaking the previous record of 24,692 set late last October, according to the Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors.”

“The record inventories are fueling competition among real estate agents and stirring anxiety in the market. Asking prices are being cut and stories abound about people juggling two mortgages while waiting for the old house to sell. Real estate agents who used to juggle multiple offers are scrambling to attract buyers, who now have the luxury to pick and choose.”

“One real estate agent who works in St. Paul’s Mac-Groveland neighborhood said he’s seen agents teaming up with pizza deliveries to pass out for-sale fliers with the pepperoni. Don’t laugh, he said: ‘It reaches a lot of people.’”

“Meanwhile, Edina Realty has taken an unusual step to address the slower market: It’s marking down interest rates. The company is offering a free one-year warranty on a house, and a 1 percentage point discount for one year on the mortgage interest rate to customers. That means saving a homeowner about $2,300 on a $300,000 loan with 20 percent down payment. The deal started March 12 and runs to March 26. ‘It’s a new reality in real estate sales,’ said (realtor) Barb Jandric.”

“Record inventories have fueled concern that supply could start weighing down home prices to the point where they slide backward in value, instead of creeping up or leveling off. That sets some homeowners on edge. Although real estate agents are not standing still, they caution against alarm. ‘Shift happens,’ Mark Allen said.”

“Jandric said she doesn’t expect home values to slide, but said certain areas and certain types of housing might see prices drop. Entry-level town houses in second-ring suburbs such as Apple Valley are an example of areas with risk, she said. ‘There are going to be pockets where it’s going to be a bit of a dip,’ Jandric said.”

“Some sellers don’t seem worried. Michelle Mitchell said she didn’t hesitate listing her house in the sought-after Mac-Groveland area. After only one week on the market, she and her husband have already turned down an offer, she said. Mitchell acknowledged, however, that she’s feeling some pressure. They’re selling because they found their dream home in the Crocus Hill neighborhood. They’ve signed a purchase agreement. They can handle two mortgages if they have to, she said, but she doesn’t think it will come to that.”

“Not everyone in the neighborhood is as confident. Just a few blocks away, Mary Lemmons is trying to sell her house for the second time. She works in a title office, closing home sales, so she’s trying to sell her house herself, without an agent. But last summer Lemmons’ home sat on the market for five months, even though she’d put on a new roof and siding on it. She didn’t realize last year that the boom in the market might be drawing to a close. She listed now to get a jump on the spring rush. ‘There’re a lot more sellers than there are buyers right now.’”




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17 Comments »

Comment by John Law
2006-03-18 13:24:59

I love how before, “it’s simply supply and demand,” was used to justify prices rises. now that supply is swamping demand, prices will only go up a little bit or they’ll plateau. then we hear about “pauses” and the market taking a “breather.”

burns me up!

Comment by death_spiral
2006-03-18 13:44:12

THE SELLERS/FLIPPERS WILL BE BURNING UP SOON ENUF!

 
Comment by cereal
2006-03-18 14:03:41

big john, we can’t let this stuff get to us.

the laws of economics will prevail. supply and demand is the truth we hold onto. not double talk coming from the mouths of undisciplined realtors.

c’mon now, lemme see that square jaw good buddy.

 
Comment by Pismobear
2006-03-18 17:19:01

Pause - like plateau, breather, interval,lull,break, gap, suspension, recess, lapse, slide, slip,decline, dump,revert, deteriorate, moderate, temper : Common Leslie, give us some more NAR/CAR hype and buzz words. Remember it’s spring and real estate only goes UP and they aren’t making any more.

 
 
Comment by nhz
2006-03-18 13:46:01

The company is offering a free one-year warranty on a house, and a 1 percentage point discount for one year on the mortgage interest rate to customers.

In the Netherlands some banks offer a special mortgage for the second home for up to two years at an extremely low rate of 1-2% (that is significantly below the ECB’s official interbank rate). The result is that people take their time with selling the old home and have unrealistic asking prices. And of course this prolongs the bubble (but after the two years things get worse, because they don’t offer these rates forever).

Comment by easthawaii
2006-03-18 13:58:21

The bank participation is shocking. I sure hope the banks here don’t think of this and prolong the inevitable.

Comment by nhz
2006-03-19 08:27:35

I’m very sure banks have thought about this and do it to prolong the inevitable … The banks with the biggest participation in the Dutch mortgage market usually have the most ‘creative’ ideas to keep the bubble going.

 
 
Comment by JamesInCa
2006-03-18 14:39:30

A 1 percentage point discount for one year on the mortgage interest rate to customers

Isn’t this just another form of “creative financing” to get someone who probably would NOT qualify for the loan into the loan? Then what happens after that one year….try and get them to refinance again?

Comment by nhz
2006-03-19 08:30:21

it is not like the usual creative financing - I think they do not offer this to the most marginal buyers but most of all to people with high job security and high education.

It is similar to what happens with generational mortgages here, where parents (with an expensive home and lots of equity to tap) ‘help’ their children get a mortage that is way over their head. The banks don’t care, because if the market turns sour they have two families on the hook for the loan, and they can always force the parents to sell their home.

 
 
 
Comment by TheLingus
2006-03-18 13:47:20

even though she’d put on a new roof and siding on it.

I bet those 10 square of 3 tab shingles are worth at least a 150k premium Mrs. Melon.

But last summer Lemmons’ home sat on the market for five months

Maybe Mrs. Melons should have relisted 20% higher to entice buyers. I mean, it’s the new paradigm…. White is black…. and black is really white.

Comment by Moopheus
2006-03-18 14:07:28

C’mon, I’m sure the new vinyl siding just looks fabulous. Probably won’t fade for a few years at least.

 
 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2006-03-18 13:52:48

Boy, Edina Realty is just going to make a smashing impact on the market with a 1% discount on the loan ,which =$2,300. And the pizza delivery flyer old trick of the trade is really going make people come in by the groves and overpay ,while, new siding and a new roof didn’t get a bite .

 
Comment by cereal
2006-03-18 13:58:17

“Real estate pros, however, are quick to say it’s all part of the return to a more balanced market after several off-the-chart years. Although real estate agents are not standing still, they caution against alarm.”

sammy davis jr!
fred astaire!
top hats and canes!

clickity clack tap dance away fellas!

(and a hop hop hippity hop………….)

Comment by easthawaii
2006-03-18 13:59:44

very funny, thanks

 
 
Comment by ric
2006-03-18 14:18:20

‘There are going to be pockets where it’s going to be a bit of a dip,’ Jandric said.”

Reminds me of that Monty Python line in the Holy Grail, “it’s just a flesh wound”

 
Comment by Betamax
2006-03-18 16:40:32

Shift happens,’ Mark Allen said.

Yah, shift happens.

Comment by SB BubbleBeliever
2006-03-18 17:23:38

I agree, $h!t happens.

 
 
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