April 3, 2008

Bits Bucket And Craigslist Finds For April 3, 2008

Please post off-topic ideas, links and Craigslist finds here.




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409 Comments »

Comment by sam
2008-04-03 04:12:15

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120717537474684659.html?mod=hps_us_whats_news
Senators Move on Housing Relief
Key senators agreed on a $15 billion (What planet they r living?)bipartisan plan to spur the housing market

Comment by Ben Jones
2008-04-03 04:20:28

‘a surprisingly fast compromise that shows how political momentum is shifting toward a more aggressive response to the struggling economy…after hearing from homeowners and businesses during their two-week break, lawmakers said they couldn’t afford to appear obstructionist. More Republican than Democratic incumbents are facing tough fights to keep Senate seats’

See, I can’t hardly put up with the media spin stuff. Who cares what these guys are doing to ‘keep their seats’? So they figured out the economy is going into the hole, good for them.

Here’s a free one for ya congress; the days of building an economy on selling each other houses is over. Your move.

Comment by SV guy
2008-04-03 04:32:17

Your right Ben. Our economy is/was largely based on buying and selling homes.

I think that most of the low hanging fruit is gone. People that bring little or no skills to the game had better hang on. This will be an E ticket ride for sure.

Mike

Comment by NYCityBoy
2008-04-03 04:40:37

We need to Flip That Senate.

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Comment by Spook
2008-04-03 05:24:22

Don’t flip me bro!

 
Comment by Gilly
2008-04-03 06:43:14

Extreme makeover. Get rid of all of them Sen haters

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 06:50:18

The Real House Liars of D.C. County

 
Comment by Gadfly
2008-04-03 07:37:22

So You Think You’re Smarter Than A Fifth-Term Congressman?

Hell’s Kongress

Designed To Sell-Out

sorry…had to pile on….

 
Comment by tangouniform
2008-04-03 10:11:24

NOD: Miami

How about we send Mike Rowe out to do a “Dirty Jobs” episode in the US Senate chambers?

 
 
 
Comment by SDGreg
2008-04-03 04:58:08

I think it was Paul Krugman who described our economy a few years ago as one in which we borrowing money from the Chinese to buy and sell homes to each other. This isn’t remotely desirable or sustainable as the foundation of an economy.

So it’s a recession if someone in the general public loses their job, but a depression if a member of Congress loses theirs? If a member of Congress only cares about the economy because they might lose their seat, they should have been gone a long time ago.

Comment by Al
2008-04-03 05:10:32

The description of recession leaves a lot to be desired IMO. It’s too big picture. GDP could stay in positive growth territory because rich people got alot of cosmetic surgery or automated factories pumped out alot of widgets. None of this means squat to everyday people getting laid off. Hard economic times + no recession means rich getting richer and poor getting poorer.

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Comment by SDGreg
2008-04-03 05:32:31

I think a big part of the reason growth isn’t negative, assuming it isn’t already, is that the official inflation numbers understate the real inflation hence inflating the growth numbers. I agree with your concern that we may now be seeing an even greater shift of wealth from everyone else to those at the very top.

 
Comment by will
2008-04-03 05:57:35

Psssst—-hey buddy, wanna buy a hard to value security.

These people are so shady.

 
Comment by Matt_in_TX
2008-04-03 06:04:51

If the population starts going negative (in striking distance in the US, even with illegal invasion), perhaps sustained negative growth might even be a (gasp) possibility. I imagine technological improvements can only go so far (particularly if there are greatly reduced numbers of local technologists.)

 
Comment by manny
2008-04-03 06:27:25

Al,

When a “rich” person gets plastic surgery:

1. A doctor is paid. He/she takes that money and does one of two things. Buys a product or service, which means someone else gets a job. Or he/she invests the money, meaning someone else borrows it and buys a good/service with it.

2. The doctor pays nurses. I think we can all agree nurses are not part of the “rich”.

3. The fake boobs are bought. A factory worker making fake boobs has work.

4. The fake boobs are transported meaning a truck driver has work.

The last time this “screw the rich” logic was used it almost killed the US boating industry. You see only “rich” people buy boats. So in bad times, what better way to punish the rich than imposing new taxes on boats. Only problem with that is even the rich will say screw that and not buy boats. When that happens boat manufacturers go under and fire their “non-rich” employees.

I have asked this question many times and have never got a positive response: have you ever, or do you know of anyone who has ever worked for a poor man? The answer of course is no. Poor people do not create jobs. Poor people do not pay taxes. Unless you’re self-employed or a govt employee, a “rich” person is paying your salary.

As for automated widgets, what do you propose we do, go back to the days of hand assembly?

 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-04-03 07:03:17

Manny, you can polish that Supply-Side, Trickle Down Turd until you’re dripping with sweat, it won’t change its gooey manure essence.

 
Comment by Frank Hague
2008-04-03 07:11:18

I don’t think it is supply side or trickle down to acknowledge the obvious fact that wealthy people have the capability to create jobs and poor people do not.

 
Comment by VaBeyatch in Virginia Beach
2008-04-03 07:18:26

Why can’t the boats be built with automation systems? CNC, robotz, laser cutters…

I thought most of the people worked for the Gov’t…

 
Comment by Al
2008-04-03 07:22:06

Manny,

A bit of agreement and alot of disagreement.

I’m not saying that we should go back to hand assembly for manufacturing, it’s just that the contribution to GDP doesn’t help the average person. It makes GDP a poor indicator of how we’re doning.

Agreed that there are some benefits to the ecomony in general when the rich spoil themselves, but it can have a relatively high impact to GDP (high price) with relatively small help to the average person.

I wasn’t really supporting a screw the rich policy with my post, just pointing out how GDP is of questionable benefit in guaging what is going on. However, since you brought it up, I agree with ET about supply side & trickle down.

I do agree that poor people don’t hire anyone, but middle class poeple running small businesses do unless they become poor. And do rich people hire more employees because they have their 10th billion?

 
Comment by Grey
2008-04-03 07:30:44

It’s not always “rich” people who have plastic surgery. Since one can find easy financing for plastic surgery, you will also find people who really cannot afford the surgery, but use credit, then, they cannot afford to service the debt. Just as there are people who really cannot afford boats, houses, BMW’s, etc.

Poor people pay taxes. They pay sales tax on clothing, food and services, just like the rich. The pay less income tax because they make less money. But they do not have as many loop holes of which to take advantage.

Most people work for corporations, which are owned privately, or if publicly traded, by shareholders. Not all shareholders are wealthy. And sometimes, corporations operate in the red, not in the black. And even when corporations are bleeding to death, the CEO and the rest of the upper echelon is probably making 500x the salary of the lowest paid employee, which is ludicrous and amoral.

Most people do not work for poor people because many poor people are simply not motivated to learn and succeed. Frankly, that is their problem. There have been plenty of people in the history of this country who started out poor, and went on to become wealthy through hard work and perserverance. So, in a way, many of us, at one time or another, have worked for a poor person who didn’t stay poor for very long.

Some of the best products are made by hand. Furniture, for one. And other things, like boats and airplanes, may have some parts automatically assembled, but they are still assembled “by hand”. Conversely, some of the crappiest products are made by machine, and usually, these products have short life spans.

Companies “go under” either because people can no longer afford their products, because they are mis-managed, or because they just simply suck.

 
Comment by Ed G.
2008-04-03 07:33:34

Manny’s right.

Also, its not a recession. There are still plenty of skilled positions available and in-demand people aren’t losing their jobs. Having the right skills in the right market will keep you making money. Move to Boston and learn software engineering, you’ll need a stick to beat away all the jobs around here. We’ve got open rec’s that haven’t been filled in two years.

 
Comment by Al
2008-04-03 07:36:17

Manny,

Some agreement and alot of disagreement.

I don’t see manufacturing going back to hand production, but automation increases GDP without helping average people. Likewise, when the rich spoil themselves it does have some benefit for the overall economy. However, given the relatively high effect on GDP (high price) and relatively low benefit to average people it does further create distortions in using GDP to gauge how things are going.

My original intent was not to preach “screw the rich”, but since you took us there…. I agree with ET about supply side and trickle down.

As far as the poor hiring people, no they don’t. But middle class people running small businesses do, unless they become poor because of stupid policies. Middle class people can also buy stocks and bonds to help business expand and grow, unless they can’t afford it because stupid policies make them poor.

I’m not saying that no one should be rich, and I’d like to be myself someday. I don’t believe, however, that helping the rich become richer does a whole lot of good unless they use their money productively. Chasing 1/2% higher returns on complex financial products; not doing much good.

 
Comment by diplomatbob
2008-04-03 07:37:55

“Manny, you can polish that Supply-Side, Trickle Down Turd until you’re dripping with sweat, it won’t change its gooey manure essence.”

What? He’s right. The luxury tax on boats was lifted because even the politicians could see that the only people they were really screwing were boat retailers and builders.

And he is right about jobs and about the velocity of money too. Does not mean one should not have a progressive tax system. But some concept of economics beyond “waaah, rich people bad” is useful.

And, if the population growth goes negative, we might find that our standard of living rises. Think GDP per capita–if we continue via rising productivity to produce more, while the population shrinks, then GDP per capita rises–i.e. we each have more money (and this is really big picture, admittedly.) Interesting article…somewhere…the other day pointing this out, and noting the U.S. per capita GDP is falling.

 
Comment by spike66
2008-04-03 07:46:07

Lots of very rich folks do not hire anyone outside of service folks…nannies, cleaning persons, lawn care, etc. Their money is invested here, there or anywhere, and they can live on the proceeds of tax-free munies. How many have stashed the bulk of their wealth overseas, in non-dollar denominated investments? They may choose to continue living here, but they are not “hiring” anyone in the early 20th century model of the Armours or the Swifts or the Fords…where the wealthy owned the factory and hired the local folks.
Even Gates, a modern day Swift, if you will, prefers to import cheap labor via Hb-1 visas.
In 21st century America, it’s government that creates the jobs…check the BLS statistics.

 
Comment by NewYorkDana
2008-04-03 07:47:46

No one wants to soak the rich. We just want them to pay the same percentage of their income in taxes as the rest of us do. Why is it okay for a third of my paycheck to be taken in taxes, etc. while they have many means of avoiding taxes altogether.

 
Comment by NoVa Sideliner
2008-04-03 07:49:16

Agreed, Ed. Manny’s got good arguments, and that “luxury yacht” thing was yet another case of politicians being unable to follow even one layer of inderect consequences from their actions; those pols would never make it in a real business. And you’re right about the tech jobs, at least in the right cities.

I’d advise, though, to reverse the order you stated, and learn software engineering BEFORE you move to Boston, lest you starve before landing that plum job! Boston is a hard place to afford while you’re on the lower rungs of the skills ladder.

 
Comment by manny
2008-04-03 08:00:27

If people choose to invest abroad and live here, so be it. You are however contradicting yourself. You say the rich don’t contribute and simultaneously living a life of luxury. Well, OK, does this life of luxury include dining out? How about going on vacations? How about driving the Porsche? How about repairing the Porsche? How about going to concerts, sporting events, syphonies or the opera? Or are you suggesting they lock themselves in their mansions (on which they pay enormous property tax) and live like hermits?

Unless the answer is yes, they put plenty of money into the economy.

 
Comment by Anthony
2008-04-03 08:01:35

“I think we can all agree nurses are not part of the “rich”.

Actually, in California, nurses are rich. The overtime that some get is atrocious. The highest paid city employee in San Francisco is a nurse who made $350K (from last week’s SF Chronicle). That is in the upper 1% of the income distribution. I call that rich.

 
Comment by NoVa Sideliner
2008-04-03 08:11:59

I once, in my younger days, knew several “travelling” nurses. They made incredibly good money. They also led incredibly uprooted lifestyles, and when they worked (in between our ski trips), they worked hard, hard, hard. I was envious of their pay but certainly not their hours nor of their duties. They earned it all, in my opinion.

 
Comment by Al
2008-04-03 08:19:31

I guess the way I would put it is that the rich are doing okay so they shouldn’t need a whole lot of extra tax breaks, especially when there are many people sinking from the middle class. They do contribute to the economy, which they will do with or without a little extra from the government. If the government has some extra cash to throw around, fix some pot holes and shore up a crumbling bridge first, or give a tax break to a small business startup instead of tax cuts to the already well off.

 
Comment by Troy
2008-04-03 08:25:58

manny’s correct as far as it goes but a service economy focused on serving the hereditary rich — building their yachts, inserting their boobs, doing their taxes, wiping their asses, is a crappy one.

The strength of an economy is not just total GDP, but the actual physical wealth — steel, coal, plastic, lumber, concrete, and intellectual capital — patents, health procedures, teaching methods, books — social capital — painting, songs, and how great a percentage of the population is engaged in this productive economy vs. sitting back and watching people work, either with welfare checks or the idle rentierism of inheritance.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2008-04-03 08:27:21

Why can’t the boats be built with automation systems? CNC, robotz, laser cutters…

No need for that. They yacht manufacturing biz is being offshored as we type.

 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-04-03 08:33:20

And he is right about jobs and about the velocity of money too. Does not mean one should not have a progressive tax system. But some concept of economics beyond “waaah, rich people bad” is useful.

Some concept of wealth distribution beyond, “Durrrrrrr, rich people are totally awesome, let’s give ‘em another break!” would be helpful as well.

 
Comment by Troy
2008-04-03 09:18:35

Thought experiment: send all the hereditary wealthy — top 5% who own 80% of everything — to Dubai. Liquidate their accounts and simply incinerate the resulting trillions of cash.

Will us remaining citizens be richer or poorer? Have more economic opportunities or fewer?

It is very difficult to earn over the FICA cap ($102,000 currently) without engaging in rentierism, and rentierism is not a net positive economic activity.

 
Comment by hd74man
2008-04-03 09:19:14

RE: it almost killed the US boating industry.

Man, scores of monster Cigarette type boats with their dual big block and external drive motors out there for sale these days.

The boats are so big the owner’s haul them out to some corner of a commercial parking lot to put them on display.

Not a prayer on unloading these dinosaurs.

Sure glad my hobby is 2-wheeled and gets 58mpg.

 
Comment by desertdweller
2008-04-03 09:37:31

Money made from dividends are not taxed for social security. And there is a CAP of $90,000. of your/our earnings that go toward Social Security, so the wealthy do not pay any taxes towards this entitlement they WILL use on any monies or investments that pay off Over 90k.

That Cap needs to be eliminated.

 
Comment by bkiddo
2008-04-03 09:44:00

Thank you NoVa. I’m a nurse and we average 80K at best here in Hawaii. Nursing is physically, mentally, and emotionally taxing… I could tell you horror stories… nurses put themselves in physical danger every day and we are the ones who are in between MD orders and your care. You don’t want a dummy drawing up your meds.
BTW my job is working for the poorest of them all- the State of Hawaii taxpayers.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-04-03 10:30:54

“Also, its not a recession.”

Great timing on that pronouncement — only one day after BB uttered the ‘R’ word for the first time!

 
Comment by manny
2008-04-03 10:32:31

Why should the cap be eliminated? The benefits max out now as well. Despite the bad ROI on SS (less than 2% a year) it is fair in that the payments on the back end are proportional (mostly) to the payments on the front end. So I put in $X I get $YX. You put in 2X you get back $2YX. That’s a true pay as you go system. The more you put in the more you get out. Eliminating the cap without eliminating the cap on benefits will make this horrendously unfair and SS will become one more welfare transfer payment.

Right now the top marginal rate is 37.9% including the medicare tax which has no cap. Bad but not awful. Eliminating the SS cap will add another 12.4% to that, meaning the top marginal rate will be an astounding 50.3% just at the federal level. Add in state tax and in some states that will mean a 60% marginal tax rate. I ask you who in their right mind will work an extra day and declare that income when 60% of the pay will go to taxes? I sure wouldn’t. No way I’m working from 9 to 2 for the government.

One of two things will. People will not declare their income or they will simply work less. Either scenario will result in less tax being collected in the long term.

Oh and the limit hasn’t been $90K since 2003. It is $102K this year.

 
Comment by Al
2008-04-03 11:22:37

Hey manny,

“I ask you who in their right mind will work an extra day and declare that income when 60% of the pay will go to taxes?”
Another bit of illogic there. How many people do you know that get paid daily, and yet are worried about making over $102K per year? We’re talking salaried workers for the most part. Some people in salaried jobs may chose to change their work habits to avoid further promotions/pay raises above 102K because of an increase of 12.5% in taxes, but I doubt that would be the majority. Alot of people in that pay grade are self motivated, the pay is a bonus. Someone making 300K a year isn’t likely to take steps to decrease their income to 102K either. And if someone is going to cheat on their taxes, they’re going to do it regardless of that 12.5% because they are dishonest. For the hourly folks making that kind of money, if they chose to work less hours then there’s more for other workers.

 
Comment by implosion
2008-04-03 12:17:08

“So I put in $X I get $YX. You put in 2X you get back $2YX.”

Not unless you are at the lowest earned income levels. The rate is severely cut at a couple of breakpoints. Someone who say, earns at the wage base max throughout their 35+ years of employment used in the calcs, gets a lot less than 2x the benefit of someone who earns at 1/2 the max throughout their similar employment history.

 
Comment by bluto
2008-04-03 14:18:23

Al-
Let’s say I’m one of those folks earning 300k/yr. Now say I’m an HBB who lives well within my means (say I spend 200k/yr including taxes). Now, I have two possible investments. The first will have a profit $10,000 (pre tax) and employ 2 people (at $35,000/yr), and the second is a muni bond that will pay $5,000 but not have taxes due. Which do you think I’d take under the current system? How about if I think that it’s likely that taxes will be increased if your tax increase is enacted? Which is better for the two people I’d be hiring or all the potential customers of my business.

Granted not every choice is that simple, but I can say as someone earning well less than my story (but enough that taxes too a pretty big bite last year), I’m seriously considering the muni’s for the next few years.

 
Comment by gb
2008-04-03 14:23:42

I call BS on the “work less” argument. That might apply to the uber rich who don’t “work” ie payroll taxes at all but everyone on else will work for the man or if not will be replaced in short order by someone who will work.

 
Comment by bluto
2008-04-03 14:42:09

There are lots of ways to work less. You might live in a smaller town with quality of live rather than a big city where your skills would be used more productively, you might choose a job with shorter hours (attorney at a small firm) rather than a similar job with long hours (big name firm). Most investors consider their after tax return, which can be quite different from their pre-tax return. Homes in particular produce tax sheltered income, and that shelter level increased recently, that touched off a wave of investment in that sector (which I think most of us would agree was determental to investment in other segments of the economy).

 
Comment by bluto
2008-04-03 15:50:40

Another way to work less is work a 40 hr a week job for low pay and build your primary home every two years, rinse and repeat. Does anyone think that’s good for the economy?

 
Comment by tresho
2008-04-03 16:49:32

I call BS on the “work less” argument. That might apply to the uber rich who don’t “work” ie payroll taxes at all but everyone on else will work for the man or if not will be replaced in short order by someone who will work.
I retired 15 years early when the taxes on the earnings of my accumulated retirement savings started to exceed the taxes I was paying on my earned income. When I did the math I learned I would actually come out ahead by not working any longer. This was not the only consideration, there were personal, legal & organizational issues unique to my line of work which also contributed. I am not rich by any means.

 
Comment by CA renter
2008-04-03 17:04:05

Manny

I’ll take on your question about poor people providing jobs.

Poor people do indeed provide jobs!!! Most entrepreneurs are “poor” when they start, and sole proprietors are more likely to pay wages that more closely aligned with theirs.

Which is better for society? Three rich people who buy boats and other luxury items, or two hundred “average” people who eat, buy houses, cars, boats, TVs, clothing, get cars repaired, houses cleaned, etc.?

The rich tend to use their money to invest in things which will bring them a positive return (the money goes out, but is expected to come back and suck additional money out of other peoples’ pockets in the form of interest, dividends, capital gains, etc.). They are a net drain on an economy.

IMHO, it is far better to have a broader economic base, where there is less hoarding of resources (what wealthy people do) and more actual trading of goods and services — without any strings attached.

Money is supposed to be a medium of exchange for goods and services — a substitute for for productivity.

Wealthy people (those who don’t have to work, or produce very little) do not produce, yet feel entitled to hoard labor’s productivity. Not quite sure how you can justify that.

 
 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2008-04-03 06:25:22

Al-
Good points.IIRC, the GDP includes govt. services/spending too.

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Comment by Al
2008-04-03 07:25:06

I checked Wikipedia, and according to it government spending is included. Here’s a thought: avoid recession - dropp more bombs.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 07:35:47

They’ve been dropping the F bomb, as in Failure is an option.

 
 
Comment by Anthony
2008-04-03 08:13:36

This bailout will be just the beginning. Once they realize that the money proposed won’t do squat (in 2 or 3 weeks), they will add on more provisions designed to keep housing prices artificially propped up. Amazing that over half of the population is against these measures, yet the CONgress keeps throwing them out.

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Comment by desertdweller
2008-04-03 09:18:35

Unless I totally misunderstood last nights conversation with Peterson of Blackfoot, he seems to think borrowing $ from Chinese, Arabs is a good thing, or
“what are the alternatives” which he thinks are good.
and
“they(chinese/arab) do not want to come over here and manage the corps they infused with $”

Has he ever read a history book?

I think all these old white men need to be Voted Off.
Sent to LOST island to stay.

Anyone else catch Charlie Rose’s interview with Pete Peterson of Peterson Blackfoot?

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Comment by Roy G Biv
2008-04-03 17:19:28

Recession is when someone down the street loses their job. A Depression is when you lose yours.

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Comment by arroyogrande
2008-04-03 08:20:21

“the days of building an economy on selling each other houses is over. Your move.”

It’s certainly over; however, as you well know Ben, what many of us fear is *not* Congress’ ability to stop price declines, but their ability to spend massive amounts of taxpayer’s federal reserve notes and their ability to cause collateral damage (aka unintended consequences) while making the *attempt* to keep house prices high.

I’m just amazed that prudent people have lost the media war…we went from “there is no problem, it’s a Goldilocks economy, look at all the nice things people can buy”, almost straight to “we *have* to help these people out, you heartless bastard.” I know of four different people who are underwater on their homes (including a close relative), and NOT ONE was duped into their situation. Two of the situations resulted from buying at the peak (’we *must* become homeowners’), and two of them resulted from HELOC equity “extraction”. It’s amazing that ‘the media” never really dig into how much responsibility those losing their homes have for their own situation.

Comment by wittbelle
2008-04-03 09:31:58

I WHOLEHEARTEDLY AGREE! I can’t believe how many people are still buying houses right now, or are even considering it. My sister is looking, so I barraged her with Peter Schiff articles as well as excerpts from the HBB pertaining to the area she’s considering (Sonoma), as well as a link to this site. If it weren’t for the fact that I’ve given her financial advice over the years that have gotten her through some tough times, she probably would ignore me altogether! It just makes me so angry that we are all treated like mushrooms, (you know, kept in the dark and fed bullsh!t, blah blah blah). It’s terribly irresponsible of our government. Imagine that.

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Comment by joeyinCalif
2008-04-03 04:32:55

If they really cared and were concerned about the longterm health of the economy, they’d raise the minimum wage to $90,000 a year so strawberry pickers and burger flippers wouldn’t have to lie about their income on loan documents.

Comment by Bye FL
2008-04-03 05:36:31

Got hyperinflation?

 
Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-04-03 06:13:53

WSJ also had an interesting article about “Hoover’s Heirs”, suggesting that it wasn’t McCain who was making Hoover’s mistakes, but Clinton and Obama in
a) becoming more protectionist and
b) raising taxes during a slump,
both things that are mostly agreed to have made the Great Depression far worse.

Comment by NoVa Sideliner
2008-04-03 07:53:35

So many people forget the disaster that was Smoot-Hawley.
And those who forget history are… well, you know the quote.

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Comment by BP
2008-04-03 08:55:36

Bingo, “The Forgotten Man” made this point very well.

 
 
Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-04-03 09:15:37

“…agreed to have made the Great Depression far worse”

Between 1929 and 1941 how many military vehicles, boats, planes, soldier gear, weapons were “produced” by “American workers” …did this activity have an effect on the US economy during this time?
What is one way to stimulate economic activity domestically if it’s not related to “selling” each other houses?
Why is our “National Guard” fighting a “Foreign War” 14,000 miles from the Florida Everglades?
Do the majority of Americans favor not having a military “Draft”?
What is the Average family income of the soldiers fighting in the current “Wars”?
Would you consider this financial figure “above average”?
Collectively…who is bearing the “cost of these “Wars”?

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Comment by manfromyard
2008-04-03 10:51:35

That’s assuming that they do what they say they’re going to do, which is never a sure bet with politicians.

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Comment by rms
2008-04-03 07:07:20

“If they really cared and were concerned about the longterm health of the economy, they’d raise the minimum wage to $90,000 a year so strawberry pickers…”

With $90k x 3 = $270k. How’s that going to support a $700k house?

Comment by jbunniii
2008-04-03 07:17:41

They like to live 10 to a house, so that should support a $2.7 million mortgage no problem.

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Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-04-03 09:59:04

“With $90k x 3 = $270k. How’s that going to support a $700k house?”

rms…well, it’s obvious…you’re not a banker or a mortgage broker or a… ;-)

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Comment by FED Up
2008-04-03 07:31:03

still can’t afford that $720,000 house though

Comment by wittbelle
2008-04-03 09:43:26

I’m pretty sure they don’t “like” to live 10 to a house. They come here to make money to send home for the unfortunate relatives left behind to pay coyotes to get them over here as well. With all of the money they are sending back home, they don’t have much left to live on, which is why they live “10 to a house”. I’m sure they would like to have a nice sprawling property like whitey lives in, but they don’t have a choice about the matter, at least not until they get the rest of their clan over hear, learn to speak english, learn a skill, etc, etc…

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Comment by phillygal
2008-04-03 10:36:22

wittbelle, I always enjoy your posts but I have to differ a little with you here:

When my mom’s brothers (plus wives and kids) came over they ended up 11 people in a two bedroom garage apt. that my dad had built to house my mom’s parents and one sister.

(The original plan was for the kids to come stay in our duplex house, but they wanted to stay with their folks, so until they got used to us, they were 11 in 2 bedrooms and a pullout couch in the LR. Some people on our block thought we were Puerto Rican. :-) )

They didn’t stay long in that condition, they made enough money working for my dad (who sponsored them, that’s how regular immigration works) to move out to their own apts. and then to houses that they built themselves. And no they weren’t sprawling jobs like whitey lives in, they were modest ranch homes or split levels that puerto-rican looking Italian immigrants like to live in.

In the interim, they did not send the bulk of their earnings back to the old country, nor did they use any emergency medical or social services that were paid for by taxpayers. They paid their fair share of payroll and witholding, I remember clearly because I had the job of doing my dad’s payroll. And they paid their own medical bills.

My point is there’s a different dynamic at play with the illegal immigrants than those who arrived - or are attempting to arrive - via due process. A big part of it is the assimilation factor, as was discussed in yesterday’s bits bucket.

disclosure: I’m the one that ended up living in the big whitey house.

 
Comment by wittbelle
2008-04-03 11:52:19

Phillygal: I was following a string of posts that started with upping the minimum wage to $90K so strawberry pickers and burger flippers could afford homes without liar loans. Most people that pick strawberries and flip burgers, at least in my neck of the woods, are hispanic. I had an hispanic nanny who used to send her money home to El Salvador and lived with another family in a small apartment in downtown L.A. She even asked me for a little extra at one point to get her daughter over here. Hispanics do send money home to their families, that is a fact. I see Western Union signs in spanish all the time: envia dinero (send money). My husband’s family immigrated to Canada from Holland and they never sent money home to assist in other family members’ flight, to my knowledge, either, nor did they pick berries or flip burgers.

 
Comment by phillygal
2008-04-03 14:11:56

Your husband emigrated from Holland to Canada, so you certainly don’t need any lectures from me on legal immigration…and coincidentally, I do have 2nd cousins who picked grapes in the vineyards of Southern Ontario, when they emigrated in the 1960s. The US had established quotas so my relatives went to the next best place, Canada. A couple ended up in Australia.

I know it may sound sanctimonious to some ears when I post about the difference between legal and illegal immigrants. Let’s face it, nobody holds any illusions about why the immigrants are allowed to any of these host countries - there’s a need for their (usually cheap) labor. It’s nothing to do with that “send me your tired huddled masses” crap. Bottom line: when immigration happens in an orderly fashion, it’s a lot easily absorbed by the population at large.

legal = orderly
illegal = disorderly

One of the consequences of all the illegals’ wages being sent home instead of used to pay their own medical bills, is that maternity wards in Philadelphia are shutting down because they can’t deal with the overload.
(I’m not suggesting that your nanny wasn’t here legally)

BTW one of the reasons I like your posts is because you do have a way with words…

 
Comment by wittbelle
2008-04-03 19:32:22

I sponsored my husband so he could apply for his green card. I filled out all of the paperwork by hand myself, sat in the interview office and everything, so no, I don’t need a lecture about legal immigration. We paid our fees and did what we had to do to, (including going to their scummy medical clinic in Santa Ana to get his immunizations and blood work), to have him here and able to work legally. But of all the issues plaguing our nation right now, I could not really care less about immigration. I’ve lived with illegal immigrants my entire life and I’ve got no bone to pick with them. I even used to collect medical bills, so I had to learn how to speak spanish and learn how to say, “send me your MediCal sticker”. I think the entire problem with this country stems from the top. Too much greed, corruption, CEO’s making too much money and trimming the fat where it hurts the little guy, (like forgetting to inspect airlines, pro ejemplo). I’d rather the president of United take a pay cut so my husband’s plane to Chicago doesn’t crash. It’s a travesty where this nation’s priorities lie and I’m sickened by it.

 
 
 
Comment by Dinasmom
2008-04-03 08:08:09

The way things were- a checklist.
1) How many of us grew up sharing a bedroom with a sibling or siblings?
2) How many recall eating Spam on a somewhat regular basis?
3) When your black and white TV did not function well, did you “play” outside, even though it was miserably hot (and have fun doing it)?
4) Was there a treehouse in the neighborhood and bikes without gears with kick-brakes?
5) Were you one of the disadvantaged who lived in a frame house rather than a brick house?
6) Was it a big deal when you got a window unit air conditioner? Did the neighbors come over to look at the block’s first color TV?

So… it’s happened slowly, but there is so much cr@p that we have decided that we cannot live without. Therein is tyranny of the soul and an opportunity for oppression.

Comment by Olympiagal
2008-04-03 08:48:52

1. ‘How many of us grew up sharing a bedroom with a sibling or siblings?’
I had 7. My parents were Mormons. I grew up in the red rocks of Utarrrr, learning the holy scriptures and obeying the church priesthood.

2. How many recall eating Spam on a somewhat regular basis?’
Shucks, spam was for rich folks. My dad didn’t like to work. He only liked to procreate and read the Book of Mormon. Sometimes, for variety, he would beat up the nearest kid, in a display of righteous priesthood authority.

3. ‘When your black and white TV did not function well, did you “play” outside, even though it was miserably hot (and have fun doing it)?”
Shucks, t.v., like Spam, was for rich folks. My dad didn’t like to work. He only like to procreate and read the Book of Mormon. Sometimes, for variety, he would beat up the nearest kid, in a display of righteous priesthood authority.

4. “Was there a treehouse in the neighborhood and bikes without gears with kick-brakes?”
What’s a tree?

5. “Were you one of the disadvantaged who lived in a frame house rather than a brick house?”
Neither. I lived in a log cabin! Yes, really. It was a modern one, without mud wattle in the chinks.

6. “Was it a big deal when you got a window unit air conditioner? Did the neighbors come over to look at the block’s first color TV?”
Shucks, air conditioning, like t.v. and spam, were for rich folks. My dad didn’t like to work. He only liked to procreate and read the Book of Mormon. Sometimes, for variety, he would beat up the nearest kid, in a display of righteous priesthood authority.

You know what I’m getting from this, dinasmom? That you were spoiled rotten. All your spam, and b& white tee-vees…sheesh. Rub in your extravagant lifestyle, why dontcha. You lap of luxury dweller.

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Comment by wittbelle
2008-04-03 09:49:21

Oooh! Olympiagal, I’ve recently become obsessed with the Mormon religion and would love to talk to you off board. I’m just beyond curious about the magic underwear!

 
Comment by In Colorado
2008-04-03 10:11:14

How do the LDS collect the tithe from a man who doesn’t like to work? I only ask because every LDS family that I know is somewhat prosperous. Degrees from BYU and U of Utah, etec, and have good paying jobs.

 
Comment by abrewer
2008-04-03 11:34:00

oh I read this board for housing insight, but sometimes you rrun across these pearls of description…Olympiagal, you join oxide for witty description fame..

“Shucks, air conditioning, like t.v. and spam, were for rich folks. My dad didn’t like to work. He only liked to procreate and read the Book of Mormon. Sometimes, for variety, he would beat up the nearest kid, in a display of righteous priesthood authority.”

and from oxide on inflation…

“It’s pretty pathetic when the bag of tater tots in the back of my freezer generates a higher return than a bond backed by the good faith and credit of the US Government”

 
Comment by jb
2008-04-03 14:35:57

I wouldn’t go to Olympiagal for any ‘insights’ on the Mormon religion. Her past comments have revealed that she has a very limited understanding of the religion. Perhaps that is based on the fact that her dad apparently didn’t really live the tenets of the religion but just used it as a means of maintaining power or something.

Plus, relying on the ‘wisdom’ of someone who paints the members of an entire religions as being lazy child abusers is probably not a great idea. Just ’cause her dad was an idiot doesn’t mean that all Mormons are…

To the thread topic…
I grew up with a father who was an MD, we still shared rooms and ate spam. Whats worse is we didn’t go to Disneyland until I was in my teens — the horror!

Our TV broke one day and we went without for a year or two — no ‘Happy Days’ for us.

jb

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2008-04-03 15:43:11

Comment by In Colorado
2008-04-03 10:11:14
‘How do the LDS collect the tithe from a man who doesn’t like to work? I only ask because every LDS family that I know is somewhat prosperous. Degrees from BYU and U of Utah, etec, and have good paying jobs.’

Well, in colorado, 10% of nothing is….what?
And both my parents had BS degrees from BYU.

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2008-04-03 15:51:37

Comment by wittbelle
2008-04-03 09:49:21
“Oooh! Olympiagal, I’ve recently become obsessed with the Mormon religion and would love to talk to you off board. I’m just beyond curious about the magic underwear!”

Awww! No! No! Listen here, wittbelle, you gotta drop the ‘fascination’ right now. Yes, I know, they are so clean, so white, so non-smoking, so smacking of moral certitude and nice big answers to the deep Universal questions…but no. No. Put the fascination down, and walk away. ‘Fascination’ is but one step away from being fitted for your sister-wife bridal gown. There’s ever so many more things to get fascinated with in this exciting world than the Mormons. Like, may I suggest making clay mugs? How about growing tulips? How about building pretty tables from pallets? I would love to talk about those things each and any day, but baybee, I got away. I escaped, and I possess no desire at all to ever place my eyes upon another Mormon, or discuss their magic panties, unless it’s by accident.

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2008-04-03 16:15:43

Comment by jb
2008-04-03 14:35:57
I wouldn’t go to Olympiagal for any ‘insights’ on the Mormon religion. Her past comments have revealed that she has a very limited understanding of the religion”

Merciful Heavens, jp, that’s all you got? Jeeze, Joe the Profit would be weeping, if he wasn’t resurrected by now. You may as well be a wussy gentile, here, man! I expect more from one of the chosen. Where’s the righteous indignation? Go gather your priesthood and gird up the Mighty Loins of Nephi and come back with better snarkiness.

 
Comment by wittbelle
2008-04-03 19:00:30

Olympiagal: Oh poo. Why you are no fun at all! My main fascination for anyone who has an opinion, was how oh oh oh so many people bought into (and, evidently, still do) the whole gold tablets buried under a hill thing and the sporadic visits from Moroni (isn’t that a pasta?), and so on. It is also my understanding that the witness accounts to these events were sketchy at best and that some of them agreed to say they were witnesses under conditions that might be considered duress by today’s standards. It’s certainly no more or less believable than some of the stories in the Bible, but still, having it all happen right here in the good old U.S. of A. less than 200 years ago makes it somehow less plausible t me. No offense, just asking…

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2008-04-03 20:27:18

‘…was how oh oh oh so many people bought into (and, evidently, still do) the whole gold tablets buried under a hill thing and the sporadic visits from Moroni (isn’t that a pasta?)…’,

Because oh, oh, oh so many people would rather have someone else tell them how to get to Heaven, rather than plod their own dreary way down a fretful path. You been looking at this blog a long time, does the sheer mass of stupid eager sheepledom surprise you?
Not me, either.
Is what I surmise. Anyway, no, Maroni is NOT a pasta, you’re thinking of ‘marconi’, which is a decent brand. Or else ‘macaroni’, those little tasty tube noodle things, with that orange cheese powder. It’s easy to confuse the things, I know. But either of those two things that are waaaaay better than Moroni.
Believe it. Really. No–really.

 
 
Comment by Al
2008-04-03 09:05:54

This looks like fun (great idea OG)
1) Didn’t share with a sibling. Had only one sister, so not appropriate.
2) No spam I think, but bologna was common.
3) Never had black and white, but I did have to walk to the TV to change the channel. Going outside was WAY better.
4) Yes.
5) I did live in a brick house, but it wasn’t anything fancy. I can’t say I knew the difference between ceramic or linoleum back then.
6) Folks never had an AC unit (talking Ontario Canada though). The switch from antenna (3 channels) to cable (20?) was BIG. I wonder if could get that big tower antenna past local bylaws now?

Does anyone know of any good monasteries looking for recruits?

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Comment by bluprint
2008-04-03 09:44:21

1) Shared with brother.
2) No spam but bologna. Fried bologna at that…I would rather just have a cold bologna sandwich, but no, we HAD to have it fried (grilled really, no grease) with a bit of cheese melted on top. Totally disgusting and to this day the smell of cooked bologna makes me ill.
3) Mostly we worked. We rebuilt cars so there wasn’t much time for playing. But when we did have time to play we went as far away as possible. Usually out in the woods to throw rocks in the creek or build a fire (I could build a fire with only materials found in the woods).
4) I did have a bike with kick-breaks. We also had a few other toys that came as an advantage of being grease-monkeys. Had a couple wrecked (but running) scooters we found at auction, a dirt bike we found in a dumpster. I had a motorcycle and motorcycle license at age 14. That was nice. I was the only person of my peer group that could drive at that age.
5)It was rock and wood panel. Common style for a late-70’s built house.
6) We had TV and A/C fortunately.

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Comment by navygator
2008-04-03 10:16:28

Thats great stuff! I have vivid memories as a young kid sleeping on the floor (hardwood) of my parents bedroom b/c they were the only ones with an a/c unit in the window! Fortunately our furnace blew up (blowing black soot over everything in our house) and the insurance claim enabled us to get a new heat pump/central a/c unit…. along with several weeks worth of slow moving men cleaning everything in sight!

 
 
Comment by James
2008-04-03 09:54:33

What a wonderful post!

The way things were- a checklist.
1) How many of us grew up sharing a bedroom with a sibling or siblings?
I did for a couple years then mom got done with school and we could afford a bigger house
2) How many recall eating Spam on a somewhat regular basis?
Ate lots and lots. My cousin lived with us and mom wanted him gone. So, spam everyday for a year
3) When your black and white TV did not function well, did you “play” outside, even though it was miserably hot (and have fun doing it)?
Yep, wish I couldn’t quote Gilligan’s island so well
4) Was there a treehouse in the neighborhood and bikes without gears with kick-brakes?
Yep!
5) Were you one of the disadvantaged who lived in a frame house rather than a brick house?
Was this a disadvantage?
6) Was it a big deal when you got a window unit air conditioner? Did the neighbors come over to look at the block’s first color TV?
That was a little before my time
So… it’s happened slowly, but there is so much cr@p that we have decided that we cannot live without. Therein is tyranny of the soul and an opportunity for oppression.
I remember riding my bike on dirt paths and having a heck of a good time with it. Biked everywhere. One of the good things about central Jersey was wide roads with plenty of room for bikes. I don’t think a lot of the new stuff is going away though. Production techniques are way better than they used to be so cost of manufacture for almost everything has dropped. Electronics more than anything. We are not seeing real material shortages. So, right now we are just dealing with pricing problems caused by over inflation of debt. Wages, assets… everything is out of whack. That is what happens when you get ham handed idiots running the Fed.

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Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-04-03 10:15:01

How in God’s name did I manage to survive being born in America and only have a slip-n-slide & water wiggle to “get by” on? Oh, maybe because my friends laughing and having fun made me temporarily forget my “dire” state poverty. It’s “official” I feel like an “Old Man” now…Geez, where did I put that trampoline I bought at Target?

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Comment by awaiting wipeout
2008-04-03 10:54:12

hwy50ina49dodge-
I know what you mean. At my father’s funeral recently,the clergy didn’t want to mention that on weekends, my father would take up to the park to play, and then the public library (within the park) to learn to love books. He said that was too old fashion, and would bore the morners. I made a wise crack, to change it to ipods and hip-hop lessons. He was young. I guess I am old too. I liked those days.

 
 
Comment by bluto
2008-04-03 14:38:23

1 Yep, a sister we shared a room until we were 4 and 6.
2. The only meat I ate before was antelope or venison my folks shot. McDonald’s was a birthday level treat for us.
3. We had a 12″ Color (1980s) and didn’t get cable until I was 8 or so. I don’t remember watching it much (the Fall Guy and Incredible Hulk) are the only childhood shows I recall
4. I grew up in the desert, the only trees were sticks our family planted and hauled buckets to until we dug the trench to each of them.
5. It was a nice frame house my folks built for cash (the reason for the answers to the first 4 questions). We did it again 15 years later. There were no brick houses in our town.
6. I don’t recall turning on the AC until it got over 100, even when after had a heat pump (almost everyone in my town had heat pumps). Thanks Frank Bates!

I don’t see why living without moderninity was so good, the key is to remember that your time is the only thing that you always get to choose how to spend and likely your most valuable currency (and it was just as true then, too).

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Comment by Olympiagal
2008-04-03 16:08:56

2. The only meat I ate before was antelope or venison my folks shot. McDonald’s was a birthday level treat for us.

Me, too, Bluto! Me, too! Except no McDonald’s for birthdays. That fancy high-class eatery was far away, in the city, for rich folks. I bet you’re a fabulous shot. I also am a fabulous shot. I can poach a deer, if I wanted to poach a deer, which I no longer do because now I understand the sin of eating my fellow earth-dwellers–mostly, unless they look super tasty– anyway, I can shoot the testes off a deerfly, and the deerfly can then depart, with only a small twinge, and then later file a complaint. As long as it looks like that’s what needs doing. I have to be convinced, first. You can’t just jump in and deprive a deerfly of his rights. That smacks of hubris.

 
Comment by AbsoluteBeginner
2008-04-03 23:47:02

‘Except no McDonald’s for birthdays. That fancy high-class eatery was far away, in the city, for rich folks.’

And I remember a time when Starbucks shops were a treat to savor and approached with some awe for the altar of coffee.

 
 
Comment by oc-ed
2008-04-03 23:58:48

The way things were- a checklist.
1) How many of us grew up sharing a bedroom with a sibling or siblings? Yep, one brother.
2) How many recall eating Spam on a somewhat regular basis? Dad liked liverwurst with mustard, the yellow kind and onions so we ate that too.
3) When your black and white TV did not function well, did you “play” outside, even though it was miserably hot (and have fun doing it)? You bet! One day we “fried” and egg on the sidewalk. Took three hours in the midday Tempe sun, but it did cook.
4) Was there a treehouse in the neighborhood and bikes without gears with kick-brakes? yep, but the teens built it so it was off limits to us younger kids. We hung out at the huge mulberry tree down by the canal. Remember the two speed with kick brakes? You back pedalled once to go into second gear.
5) Were you one of the disadvantaged who lived in a frame house rather than a brick house? Yep.
6) Was it a big deal when you got a window unit air conditioner? Did the neighbors come over to look at the block’s first color TV? We had the drip coolers till we moved into a new house with “Refrigeration”. That was big time. Color TV, didn’t get one till I was 15. Told my dad I was starting to see in black and white so he caved in and bought a Philips at Firestone. The Ramsey’s had color when I was 10, Packard Bell I think.

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Comment by Little Al
2008-04-03 05:27:02

15 billion! That’s a jokingly small amount. It’s just propaganda to convince the public that they’re on the job. They “feel our pain.”

Comment by Bye FL
2008-04-03 05:38:09

$15b will cost $50 in tax money for every single American. That’s no fair to bail out FB’s

 
Comment by ex-nnvmtgbrkr
2008-04-03 07:33:42

15b is indeed a mouse fart.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2008-04-03 08:17:45

Yeah, and no mention of crap like “freeze all interest rates for 5 months” or “halt foreclosures for x months”. Yes, there is a carve-out for servicemen/women–but as much as I personally abhor government involvement in private commerce, any additional help to our military personnel is fine by me.

Another non-event with respect to home prices.

 
Comment by sartre
2008-04-03 08:52:11

heh heh, bear sterns got twice as much. Shows where the sheeple stand on the totem pole.

 
 
Comment by manny
2008-04-03 05:55:35

If $15B is all, I say just do it. It will be feel good election year ‘look we care’ garbage. But it will do nothing to stop the crash. And as far as waste in DC goes, $15B is nothing.

Comment by Matt_in_TX
2008-04-03 06:06:02

Stimulus package: 10 times NASA’s yearly budget
Another 15B: another year

… soon we are talking real progress

Comment by manny
2008-04-03 06:32:48

I meant “is that all?”, as in I was expecting it to be more in the $500B range. Compared to that, $15B is indeed nothing.

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 06:56:12

Dr. Evil: We hold the world ransom for… ONE MILLION DOLLARS

Number Two: Don’t you think we should ask for *more* than a million dollars? A million dollars isn’t exactly a lot of money these days. Virtucon alone makes over 9 billion dollars a year!

Dr. Evil: Really? That’s a lot of money.

[pause]
Dr. Evil: Okay then, we hold the world ransom for…

Dr. Evil: One… Hundred… BILLION DOLLARS!

 
 
 
Comment by edhopper
2008-04-03 06:36:58

Agreed. That’s maybe one month in Iraq. And half the Bear Sterns bailout alone.

Comment by CrackerJim
2008-04-03 07:39:57

IMO, the 15B is just to pop the cork on the champagne bottle so the nectar can flow.

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Comment by eastcoaster
2008-04-03 06:50:54

Here’s my - very simplistic - bail out suggestion.

1) Lower home prices across the board. An “average” home (3 BR, 1.5 BA, etc.) should cost 2.5 times the area’s median household income. Just flat-out drop the prices.

2) Allow those who cannot keep up with their adjustable mortgage the option to refinance into a fixed at a low rate (say 5%). If they cannot afford that, then time it’s to sell the house.

Wouldn’t this help more people than any of the other options they’re tossing around? #1 would help people like us because we’d start buying. Which would also help the economy. #2 would help those who already own because there would be less foreclosures. Also a good thing for the economy.

Sure, lowering prices would tick off sellers who bought too high, but - hey - sometimes you lose the bet.

Comment by spike66
2008-04-03 07:36:55

“Lower home prices across the board.”

The market is doing that already. Foreclosures are just the market clearing mechanism.

 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
Comment by txchick57
2008-04-03 04:35:26

That’s why I could never pull the trigger. I have to know that I can leave if I want.

But that Detroit place looks nice. I’d pay 200k for that.

Comment by wmbz
2008-04-03 04:50:50

“But that Detroit place looks nice. I’d pay 200k for that”.

You and me both… We don’t come close to a house like that where we live in our ‘poor’ State of South Carolina. It would be a vinyl covered POS with plastic windows in a cookie cutter development for that price. Go figure.

Comment by NoVa Sideliner
2008-04-03 07:57:59

I’d like it to, for that price, if only I could get a job like I can get here in the DC metro area. That is the big factor in Detroit’s pricing problems; additionally, there’s the (perceived) crime, and maybe even the lovely climate.

Was it the WSJ that quoted Detroit’s average house price as $22,000 last week or thereabouts? That would mean this guy is looking for almost 10 times that. Better be gold-plated inside to be at such a multiple.

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Comment by Blano
2008-04-03 09:42:41

IIRC the article I recall said that the average foreclosure sale price was $22,000 or $27,000 in January 2007 and $10,000 in January 2008. So with a huge jump in sales came a huge drop in selling price, for foreclosures anyways.

 
 
Comment by Sleeper
2008-04-03 08:56:27

OMFG!

Do you know what a place like that would cost anywhere within a 50 mile radius of DC!

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Comment by Blano
2008-04-03 05:19:49

Looks like it’s yours for about 125K if you want it.

Sadly, here’s a guy who’s truly “stuck.” In part because he refuses to lower the price where it will sell. That 30K difference between his debt and the sale price down the street is keeping him from his wife. Is it worth it?? And he definitely can’t leave the house vacant without exposing it to copper thieves and crack heads.

Lots of nice houses like that in Detroit. The ones most able to buy them though are people like Mr. Kirkland and his wife, who are leaving if they can.

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2008-04-03 05:28:31

“The ones most able to buy them though are people like Mr. Kirkland and his wife, who are leaving if they can.”

Oh boy, is that point ever worthy of reiteration. Get it NAR? Those that can buy either won’t or can’t - those that still want to buy (in the current situation) are D.O.A. So their clever bus tours trap the last dimwitted suckers - so what? Actionable buyers aren’t falling for it.

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Comment by Asparagus
2008-04-03 05:29:41

The fact that he has to stay to protect this POS is depressing.

He should leave, if he’s insured and lucky, maybe the crack heads will take the copper and burn the place down. Wouldn’t that be a dream for the kirklands….

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Comment by Bye FL
2008-04-03 05:50:34

That’s why I haven’t considered relocating to Detroit. NW PA is a better location and 50x safer too and just as cheap. Yes I had to mention it but it’s true how much Detroit sucks. Everyone is running away!

 
Comment by Matt_in_TX
2008-04-03 06:08:40

I thought you really couldn’t insure abandoned houses. One more thing they forgot to mention in second-home-flippers school. You can buy it, you can pay for insurance, but are you insured?

 
Comment by oxide
2008-04-03 07:31:20

ByeFL, I posted this late yesterday, but really, are you going to NW PA or not?

If you’re so hell-bent on living in NW PA permanently (it sure sounds like it, if you’re planning to plant orchards), why not move NOW? You don’t have to buy that 50K house right away.

Dump your stuff, rent a studio, and work at Borders or Costco for a year, just to get the lay of the land (and the lay of land prices!). Costs are so cheap you’d probably put away more there than you are in high-cost FL now. And after that year, that $50K house will probably be $42k. You should easily be able to put away a 2K down pay, even on a low salary or heck, even with a credit card.

Is there a specific reason you’re stying in FL, like saving for a car, or you have a $$ job you intend to quit, paying off debt, etc? If you do, please tell us and we’ll stop bugging you. Otherwise, use that energy toward your dream!

 
Comment by bluprint
2008-04-03 07:34:23

When my wife and I built a spec house, we had it insured. While it was being built and while it was finished and on the market it was insured. My expectation at that time was that if it burned down we would be reimbursed.

That’s my only data point, I have no other knowledge of that issue.

 
 
Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 06:36:20

200k for that???? You’ve lost your minds.

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Comment by Blano
2008-04-03 06:49:28

Wouldn’t that be a steal if it was on the East Coast somewhere??

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-04-03 06:55:05

I’d buy it in a heartbeat on the East Coast.

 
Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 07:05:44

I suppose but there is stuff just like that in many of the post industrial towns in the northeast for less money. The other problem with that joint is the floorplan. Outside of the cool factor it isn’t conducive to 21st century layout. We can harp on the skill that went into building it and 2008 replacement costs but how is it any different than buying a Model T to drive to work?

 
Comment by Tim
2008-04-03 07:10:39

Where are you from Exter? In most cities in the top 50 that house would be at least 800k. Well over a million in DC, Boston, LA, etc.

 
Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 07:19:09

I’m in NY to work, from VT. Take a trip through Buffalo, Syracuse, Utica, Newburgh, Binghamton, Albany, Schenectady, Troy, Hudson, Elmira, etc. All old industrial towns but not nearly the scale of Detroit and you’ll find the same old houses in declining neighborhoods. Go for it but it is the same speculation that got us where we are. “Gotta get my bargain before someone else gets the deal of a lifetime”. It’s come obvious to me there is shack speculation right here on this blog.

 
Comment by Joebos
2008-04-03 07:34:55

I’m not sure I buy the idea of the “Twentieth Century layout”. What is the difference? Most people I know who own new houses (McMansions) don’t even use most of the rooms. They all have a family room with a soaring ceiling, a living room and dining room that are never used, huge basements with nothing in them.

I owned an older house and had no problems with it functionally (or in any other way). I think this statement has more to do with your personal preference. Most newer houses lack the charm of a house like the one in the story.

 
Comment by spike66
2008-04-03 07:40:06

“shack speculation”

Whatever you think of Detroit, by no means is the Kirkland house a “shack”.

 
Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 07:44:23

Spike they’re all shacks. Every last one of them. And they all share one common function; shelter. And everyone of them, like everything else on this planet came from the ground and will end up back in the ground. And like everything else, it is in a state of decay from the time the first nail is driven or brick mudded up.

 
Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 09:08:39

Hey Joebos…. Remember “lord won’t you buy me a mercedes benz”??? A bus ticket or a Chevy will get you to work just the same.

I won’t bore you with the long punchlist of problems related to that wigwam. Not to mention the big $$$ to remedy said problems.

 
Comment by hd74man
2008-04-03 10:02:31

RE: I’m in NY to work, from VT. Take a trip through Buffalo, Syracuse, Utica, Newburgh, Binghamton, Albany, Schenectady, Troy, Hudson, Elmira, etc. All old industrial towns but not nearly the scale of Detroit and you’ll find the same old houses in declining neighborhoods.

Gloversville, NY-Home to Van’s Harley-Davidson Sales.

Now there’s a down and out NY town.

Kinda gave me the creeps when I drove thru on a return trip from OH.

And that’s from somebody from ME which is no economic prize in itself.

 
Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 10:57:00

And add to it every BS podunk smaller city like Amsterdam, saratoga, Lebanon, Rome, Auburn, Cohoes, Rennselaer, Green Island etc. All in a state of decline. Take your pick and take your chances. I’m sure there are diamonds to be shoveled up there too. lmao.

 
Comment by spike66
2008-04-03 12:25:09

“Spike they’re all shacks.”

Nope, they’re not. There’s a lack of nuance in your reply. But if you prefer blanket denunciations, fair enough–I’ll skip replying to your posts.

 
Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 14:17:33

Still upset over a comment I made over a year ago aye mate? It’s not good to hold onto that stuff. But do give us the distinction between shacks, shanties, stucco boxes, wigwams. Explain how you hold one shelter in such high regard and disregard other shelter.

 
Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 14:59:54

Then tell how you distinguish between a shack that offers shelter and a box that offers the same. Shack, box, wigwam, shanty… they’re all the same but do chose to elevate one over another a’la audi over chevy. But do so at your own cost.

 
 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-04-03 07:16:26

Lots of nice houses like that in Detroit. The ones most able to buy them though are people like Mr. Kirkland and his wife, who are leaving if they can.

Ah, Detroit — so many beautiful buildings. So many people bolting like animals fleeing a forest fire.

I wish we could flip-flop Detroit and Atlanta. Leave Atlanta to the copper thieves.

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Comment by max4me
2008-04-03 08:59:55

can anyone tell me why detroit is falling apart? besides loss of factory jobs

 
Comment by goirishgohoosiers
2008-04-03 10:55:33

If you speak to a native Detroiter, you will find that they often tend to date events in their lives as being pre- or post-riots. Said riots occurred in 1968, I think, but I could be off by a couple of years. One often hears: “We used to go there often, before the riots,” or, “After the riots, I would never put my kid in the Detroit public schools.” That event has an almost mythic hold over people there and it literally marks the break in people’s minds from place that while gritty, was very much on a par with Chicago in terms of overall liveability to a hole that nearly every suburbanite tries to avoid at all costs.

Coupled with the somewhat toxic race relations, the decline of its once-dominant industry has made it a place that relatively few people who grew up there want to stick around. Everyone knows that the Big 3 are not scooping up high school grads to work in the factories anymore. Those lucky enough to have work tend to be more in their 40s and 50s. The weather is nothing to cheer about, and having grown up in the industrial midwest myself, I knew lots of kids and their parents who got sick of the winters and just bailed. Of course, there are exceptions, and there are places in and around the city that could rival the wealthiest parts of America, but on a macro level, it just doesn’t seem like the kind of place that people want to move to or stay in.

 
Comment by manfromyard
2008-04-03 11:01:10

Racial issues played a huge part. There was some violence back in the civil rights era. Then most of the middle class and up whites left after busing and other integration measures. The blacks who were left depended upon the auto industry. Once they started to cut jobs, the other leg got cut down.

No tax base means no money for infrastructure, or repairs.

 
Comment by Blano
2008-04-03 12:08:15

First there was white flight, now there’s black flight. It accelerated IMHO once the Detroit residency rule for city employees was rescinded.

It was actually kind of a joke anyways, ’cause lots of city workers of all kinds had “rental houses” out in the ‘burbs. Once in a while the city would actually do a stakeout operation on somebody to see where they actually lived most of the time.

Even those who were around for the riots will go downtown for entertainment and the overwhelming majority can say “I’ve never had a problem.” Get outside of the immediate downtown, and the decay is obvious.

 
 
Comment by Joebos
2008-04-03 07:39:19

According to Zillow (if my search is correct), they paid 67k for that house in 1987. That means it only appreciated by 23k over the last 20 years. I think this does have more to do with the state of that city than the housing bubble.

The house is at 18065 Oak Dr in Detroit.

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Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 08:11:39

Hey Blano… it looks like you’re gonna have\ a bunch of HBB’ers as neighbors. :)

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Comment by Blano
2008-04-03 09:12:57

LOLOL…..’cept I’m gonna need to bolt machine guns to my truck to go visit ‘em.

 
 
Comment by flint 'burbs
2008-04-03 18:41:53

Wow, I know Sam, we’re from the same union local. I’d eat the $30K and be with my spouse, if I were him. With her job, you could make that up within the year. There’s alot of nicely built older homes in Detroit and the Pontiac suburbs, but if the neighborhood goes down, its a losing battle. Life is too short to put yourself in a lonely prison for $30 grand. His buyout will be for more than that. Flee!

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Comment by Bye FL
2008-04-03 05:47:30

Read this: Mr. Kirkland is determined to sell before he moves. But that might take months, he acknowledges. A house that he thought would bring $200,000 — its appraised price three years ago — in fact might bring only $90,000 if he were to sell it today. That was the selling price for a similar 2,500-square-foot home on the next block, and Mr. Kirkland wants more than the $125,000 in debt that he and his wife still have on their house.

My comments: That house is worth $200k, just not in Detroit, MI! If you could build one like that in another state, go for it.

Comment by Matt_in_TX
2008-04-03 06:11:03

Would it cost 75k to move it to Texas? Of course, you would have to leave the basement ;)

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Comment by MazNJ
2008-04-03 06:32:48

I cannot even fathom what that house would cost here if somehow you could transplant it. Wonder if the skills still exist to build something like that once this mess reverts to the mean.

Comment by Sleeper
2008-04-03 09:04:13

No,

As both an Architect and a moonlighting general contractor I can assure you that those skills are as dead as dinosaurs. Oh you can get someone to build something that kinda-sorta looks like that from a distance. Just dont look too closely at the detailing and pray it doesn’t fall appart in 10 years.

It’s pathetic how we have betrayed our heritage in this country.

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Comment by MazNJ
2008-04-03 10:10:31

Next bubble then = safe ways to move houses from abandoned cities to locales with economies intact? ;)
Pay 90K, deed the land to the city for a park, write off the donation and suddenly NJ adds a home that isnt a craptastic McMansion with a “brick” front and 3 vinyl sides… I’ve never understood that…. I mean, unlesss you look perfectly perpendicular, youre fooling no one…. and seeing as they slap them all up next to each other, you can still see the neighbor’s pathetic yellow or white siding and know whats going on.

 
 
 
Comment by fran chise
2008-04-03 06:36:24

The problem is that it is in Detroit. Many older, beautiful homes going to seed because no one is willing to put their lives on the line or live near a crackhouse. The substance of the story is correct though. I have friends in Michigan and at least 4 people I’ve spoken to in the last 12 months have said that they either couldn’t take a job or came back because they couldn’t sell their house. One had gotten his “dream job” working for Notre Dame and came back after 1 year. He decided he’d rather be with his family than without it.

Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 07:05:34

Imagine Detroit being the future template for nearly every big city in the country?

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Comment by jbunniii
2008-04-03 07:26:32

I seriously don’t get why anyone in Detroit chooses to buy a house. That the city is on a long term, apparently irreversible decline is hardly a secret. I’ve never even been there and I know that much about it.

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Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 07:36:55

It most certainly seems contrived doesn’t it jbunniii? An intentional deconstruction of a system that worked very well, victims be damned. I don’t think folks outside the rust belt have any clue as to the effects of post industrialization. It extends as far east and north to Maine, south to St. Loius and west to MN.

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-04-03 07:38:23

It can hardly be a secret.

It’s been in decline for most of my adult life, and possibly all of my life.

20%+ unemployed. 12.5% on food stamps. Do you need any more statistics?

 
 
Comment by goirishgohoosiers
2008-04-03 11:12:22

Something about the Notre Dame job caught my eye, since I live and work in the town next door. Even if he was having touble selling the house back in MI, couldn’t your friend ride it out for a while?

Housing here is dirt cheap. Renting more so. Seriously. This is one of, if not the lowest housing cost markets in the country. My friends from the east coast are stunned when I tell them that 250K buys you a 4BR 3BA, and 500K buys you a mansion on our version of millionaires’ row. A 15 minute commute is considered long. The winter is godawful, but that’s true also in Chicago, MPLS, Detroit, Cleveland, Pittsburgh and I haven’t even mentioned the NE cities yet.

Second, if you work at ND for something like 5 years, you qualify for deeply reduced tuition for your kids and a shortcut (but not a guarantee) through admissions. That bennie alone is worth close to $40K now and it’s only going up. There are so many grads who want to come back here to work, that one hears several stories (perhaps apocryphal, but I keep hearing them) of people with MA’s applying for secretarial level jobs and MBA’s applying for bookkeeping positions just because of the tuition benefit alone (and season FB tickets, but that wasn’t such a great deal, not last year anyway.) Working there essentially confers an untaxed benefit that over a 4 year stretch easily runs into six figures.

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Comment by James
2008-04-03 10:10:29

Tx,

You have to look at the declining population because of the very poor buisness enviroment in Mich. GM & Ford are in trouble and may go under. They (Mich) made agressively negative ovetures to the Japanese and plants are getting built elsewhere.

So, you have to look at the wage situation, tax situation (particularly in Wayne County/Detroit County) and factor in a potential for further drops.

Michigan has its points. I didn’t like it there cause its far from the ocean and so flat. However, the tough winters aside it has good points. Decent open spaces, nice parks, good available housing stock, plentiful water supply and agricultural capability. Roads are fine.

The american indians called it the pleasant peninsula.

Detroit the city… they really have to look at there tax structure and make some hard decisions to attract people and jobs. City/government workers have to take paycuts. Legislation on the buisnesses needs to be curtailed.

Anyhow… we are talking pricing phenomena and 200K would be killing yourself.

There are nice houses like this and similar conditions that ByeFla would talk about in Western PA. Plenty of things to like about that area as well.

We have price distortion in wages, materials and land that make this a difficult thing to gauge properly.

Comment by tresho
2008-04-03 16:13:28

The state of Michigan has a lot of resources that are little used & unappreciated. It has a huge overburden of history, an economy centered around the dying auto industry, unions and government workers who do/did feel entitled to their wages & benefits regardless, bad race relations in the cities, and politicians who are either clueless or will do anything to save their phoney-baloney jobs. Maybe when the human dinosaurs there die off, something better will evolve to take their place. Certainly this is taking a very long time.

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Comment by WT Economist
2008-04-03 06:25:51

What a beautiful place. It would be over $3 million in NYC

What that shows is how much of the value of the “house” is the value of the community it is in.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-04-03 07:42:50

No, it shows that most of the “value” is actually in the economic strength of the region a.k.a. jobs.

You can have the nicest community filled with the nicest people and it doesn’t matter one bit unless you can get a J.O.B.

Comment by jbunniii
2008-04-03 09:08:39

It’s not all about J.O.B.’s. If this were true, then places like Monterey and Santa Barbara would have relatively cheap real estate.

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Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-04-03 09:17:46

Fine.

There are a few “outliers”. Toss in Fifth Ave., and Malibu too to that list. Every major world city will have one or two as well.

The general principle stands. You haven’t made even a dent in the argument.

 
Comment by tresho
2008-04-03 16:43:27

People who are independently wealthy can live anywhere they can damn well afford. The rest of us must consider J.O.B.’s in all our calculations. Big difference.

 
 
 
 
Comment by caveat_emptor
2008-04-03 07:15:25

He claims he can’t sell the house. That’s BS. He just won’t sell it for the current market value. It’s just like a bank holding onto crap securities. The loss has happened. There’s no going back. But, by selling the asset, it forces the loss to be recognized/booked. I imagine he’d be a lot happier once he put this behind him, and - if necessary - started working positively on a financial recovery plan.

Comment by bluprint
2008-04-03 07:39:31

Well, to be fair, more important than “the loss” is cash flow. He would have to probably come up with 30k to sell it, unless he can get the bank to eat it. It’s entirely possible he doens’t have the 30 grand or even 5.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-04-03 07:46:07

Yeah, this is the real problem.

In theory, this should be no problem. There should be a free market in offering him $30K in loans as unsecured debt (probably at pretty high interest rates) to help him get out of it.

In practice, it’s not going to happen for any number of reasons.

A gen-yoo-eye-n failure of the market, IMO.

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Comment by bluprint
2008-04-03 08:44:59

There should be a free market in offering him $30K in loans as unsecured debt (probably at pretty high interest rates) to help him get out of it.

Not necessarily. At the very least if someone of his (presumed) income level can’t come up with 30k cash I imagine the interest rate required for someone to make him a loan might be illegal. (does anyone know if there is a hard % limit on what is considered usury?)

Interestingly, if that is the case then is that really a market failure? I think keeping resources away from people who tend to squander those resources is a market success.

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-04-03 10:28:07

You have an excellent point.

So here’s the situation in a nutshell as I understand it: the market can’t function for this guy (even though he and his wife presumably make good money) because of the usury laws; and rolling back the usury laws, well, every single one of y’all know what would happen if that happened.

We seem to have unearthed yet another gen-yoo-eye-n economic failure, not of the “true libertarian” free market though.

 
 
Comment by NoVa Sideliner
2008-04-03 08:09:17

He works for GM. His wife is a psychiatrist. How low can their combined income be? Where’s the money going? Heck, if he only owes $125k on the house, his monthly payment has to be reasonably low.

Wanna bet he doesn’t have $30k because they are both driving around in $38,000 SUVs with huge monthly payments? (I think the minivan in the photo is his neighbour’s driveway.) In seeing my cash-strapped friends, the overarching expense that’s keeping them living paycheck to paycheck are the incredibly nice automobiles they insist on driving.

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Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 08:14:56

Probably a behemouth SLOBurban or TaWhore. Or a pair of them. But GM employees get sweet deals through GMS.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by txchick57
Comment by SDGreg
2008-04-03 05:05:15

“As it happens, though, an effort to rescue people who can’t pay their mortgages will probably make a bad thing worse.”

“In the first place, it will slow down what has to happen to bring back the housing sector — which is for prices to drop to a level that will clear out the existing oversupply. In the second, it will shift the burden of bad lending and borrowing decisions from the people who benefited from them to the people who didn’t.”

 
 
Comment by spike66
2008-04-03 04:37:58

In 2005, this was discussed on Ben’s blog and has been referred to repeatedly. The New York Times finally gets a clue and makes it a front page story. In 2008.
Housing Slump…Job Immobility.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/03/business/03labor.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin

Comment by Roger H
2008-04-03 04:44:00

This can’t be true. It’s always a good dea to buy a house - especally for young people whom may soon marry, move to another city to find a job, etc… That’s why the zero down - zero move in is such a great deal.

 
 
Comment by CA renter
2008-04-03 04:38:20

Question:

Am I the only one thinking there is going to be a **real** crisis with respect to the FDIC, SIPC and PBGC?

This, in addition to the Social Security and Medicare mess is going to cause very serious problems in the near future, IMHO.

I’m trying to wrap my head around spending hundreds of billions of dollars bailing out willing gamblers, instead of focusing on shoring up what will be failing public insurance — and that will affect innocent people who can least afford to have the system break down on them.

What in the world are these politicians thinking?

Comment by Ben Jones
2008-04-03 04:41:29

‘What in the world are these politicians thinking?’

Keeping their seats. Plan accordingly.

Comment by WT Economist
2008-04-03 05:29:49

Plan for what?

The only thing I can think of is redirecting the pain to those who cannot vote and do not know what is happening — future generations. That means a bailout funded by debt.

But, with no savings in the U.S., that also means a bailout funded by foreigners. Have they had enough yet?

Comment by Neil
2008-04-03 05:56:30

Have they had enough yet?

Close. There are signs that every type of dollar denominated bond auction is having to go begging for bidders. If the government isn’t careful, we will have a failed T-bill auction. The day that happens…

We’re going from a hugely negative savings rate to a forced savings rate. That alone will contract the economy, in real terms, by 5% within 18 months. Now, I’m a huge believer that someone somewhere is starting a new business that I’ll want to spend on… But 2% or 3% real growth is amazing… so fighting a 5% headwind…

I still believe the fastest price declines will occur in 2009. Obviously not for the locations that have already lost 50%. ;) But some of them are approaching affordable… but due to the supply… No where is within 20% of the bottom. I’m willing to risk 10%… not 20%.

Got Popcorn?
Neil

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Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 06:40:16

“There are signs that every type of dollar denominated bond auction is having to go begging for bidders.”

This one plain twists my balls. PAY A FRIGGIN YIELD AND YOU’LL HAVE PLENTY OF BUYERS.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2008-04-03 10:03:55

But that would admitting that things are not hunky dory. Plus it would put tremendous pressure on the gov’t budget. Much like a toxic mortgage resetting to the real interest rate. A lot of the federales debt is short term. and I expect that they don’t want to roll it over into higher yield instruments.

 
 
 
Comment by fran chise
2008-04-03 06:39:33

Rearranging the chairs on the Titanic.

 
 
Comment by Lip
2008-04-03 05:48:54

Citizens Against Government Waste (CAGW) today released the 2008 Congressional Pig Book, the latest installment in an 18-year exposé of pork-barrel spending.

http://www.cagw.org/site/News2?page=NewsArticle&id=11350

Both sides suck but if you dig deep enough you’ll find that McCain has never brought home any bacon to AZ and to be honest, I have to wonder what the hell he thinks he’s supposed to be doing up there !

Comment by WT Economist
2008-04-03 06:27:20

Yep, Arizona is lowest in the U.S. per capita, and NY State is second. It guess those are the two states pushing (opposite) national ideologies, while the rest are just grabbing money.

 
Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 06:55:05

So it is glaringly obvious that neither one of them do jack $hit for the constituents in their state.

 
 
Comment by Bye FL
2008-04-03 05:56:00

Im hoping the house bailout is all talk and no action. Someone said by the time they take action, there will be more urgent matters to bail out and they will convinently forget all about foolish homeowners and just let them walk away and rent. Let house prices correct on their own so the pent up demand can be satisfied.

 
Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2008-04-03 06:17:24

Isn’t politicians and thinking an oxymoron

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-04-03 08:08:47

No.

They are continually thinking of being reelected. So no, they are thinking just not the thinking you want them to be thinking about. :-D

 
 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2008-04-03 06:36:17

CA renter-
Anyone who thinks the FDIC (and others) will save them are fools. You’re not alone in your reality check.

 
 
Comment by CA renter
2008-04-03 04:42:23

Since the politicians and other PTB are so concerned about “keeping people in their homes” how about a rent “freeze” for those of us who are forced to stay in rentals while they drag this bubble deflation out?

While the FBs willingly signed up for their payments, and knew in advance (or should have) what their max payments could be, renters have no control over rent increases.

Don’t our homes count, too???? Are renters not worthy of payment freezes? If they don’t save our homes, why can’t we sue them for discrimination?

Comment by Al
2008-04-03 05:03:18

If we’re freezing mortgage payments and rents (below market levels) then shouldn’t we be freezing other prices as well? Food and energy are getting way out of hand, so a price freeze would certainly help and it would keep people in their homes since they’d have more income left to pay rent/mortgages. I can’t see there being any unintended consequences of this, though it would be nice if there was an example of someone trying this; some large country that had tried to control all aspects of their economy. I’m sure the PTB have fully thought out their efforts to keep people in their homes so I shouldn’t be worry myself.

Comment by HellBoy
2008-04-03 06:57:39

Price controls never work. Nixon tried it and found out the hard way…

 
 
Comment by CA renter
2008-04-03 05:07:14

Just want to make sure everyone realizes I was being sarcastic on that. Intended to show how stupid the idea of “freezing payments” was.

Comment by Al
2008-04-03 05:15:52

I figured you were going for a “slippery slope” kind of thinking on your argument, so why not run with it eh? But as we know, politicians don’t seem to be to good at seeing second stage+ effects.

Comment by Matt_in_TX
2008-04-03 06:18:40

Second stage, unknown unknowns?

They can’t even conceive of compound interest.

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Comment by tresho
2008-04-03 16:20:56

They can’t even conceive of compound interest. Hell, they can’t even bother to read the bills they pass.

 
 
 
 
Comment by SDGreg
2008-04-03 05:12:34

I don’t want a freeze on rents. Given the increase in supply of housing, I expect rents to drop. When we finally have enough housing to force rents down, why would I want to be locked into artificially high rents?

Comment by Vermontergal
2008-04-03 05:19:12

My lease is up for renewal this month - no increases. I’m planning to see if I can apply some downward pressure on the my rent. ;) We attempt to be good tenants and do some extra work around the place.

Comment by MazNJ
2008-04-03 07:08:22

My lease was up this month. They cover heat. They offered an increase of $15 or go month to month, increase of $65. I went for the month to month finally. While I don’t expect to buy this year, I might consider a relocation and its only $600 bux a year for the added freedom, which I like.

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Comment by Asparagus
2008-04-03 05:26:08

SD,

I think you’re right, which makes me a little worried that there would be a move to freeze rents, again, to help the owners. Our whole economy will be geared towards making sure homeowners can keep their homes.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2008-04-03 07:14:58

Rent “freeze?” Bah. I want my landlord to “renegotiate” my monthly principal, just like Countrywide and WaMu are talking of rengotiating FB’s.

 
Comment by manny
2008-04-03 10:52:17

68% of people “own” their homes. You are a politician up for re-election. Will you bribe 68% of your voting public or 32%? Doesn’t get any simpler than that.

Comment by CA renter
2008-04-03 17:37:49

Yes, but not all of that 68% support bailouts.

Many people who don’t have property tax protection (Prop 13 or Save Our Homes, etc.) suffer from high housing prices, irrespective of when they bought.

The only people who benefit from high prices are those who sell to rent and those who sell in a high-priced area and buy down in a lower-priced area.

People are deluded if they think high housing prices are a good thing.

 
 
 
Comment by bizarroworld
2008-04-03 04:46:25

Indictment alleges web of mortgage fraud
http://www.charlotte.com/171/story/562883.html

Participants in the Mecklenburg case lied about buyers’ income, provided fake bank statements and tax returns, paid bribes to local businesses for bogus verifications of employment, and paid kickbacks to real estate agents, investors and “straw buyers” who lent their names and credit to the schemes, according to the indictment.

The other unindicted co-conspirators are identified by codes, such as “Builder #1″ and “Company C.” Builders “joined in the schemes to unload their houses,” according to the indictment.

Companies A and B, for example, are local companies that falsely verified employment and income for borrowers in one of the scams, according to the indictment.

In one of the alleged scams, a builder would agree to give back part of a buyer’s purchase price disguised as a “decorator allowance” paid to a third party. That would give money to the buyer and artificially inflate the sales price of the house, which could enable a builder to sell other houses at a higher price.

It’s not so different in Charlotte after all.

Comment by Bye FL
2008-04-03 05:40:44

No location is different. Unless you want to say some locations are 2 years behind in price drops. FL and CA lead the drops

 
Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-04-03 07:12:18

“…It’s not so different in Charlotte after all.”

Who is that says…all fraud is “local” ;-)

 
Comment by Tom
2008-04-03 07:31:20

I heard a few weeks back that 1% of the population is in prison. When all this dust settles, how high could the number get with corrupt brokers, realtors, bankers, builders etc who commited fraud end up in the slammer?

Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-04-03 08:41:09

Weekend suggestions:

Let’s make any real estate related fraud or crime a misdemeanor…mandatory punishment is to repair infrastructure throughout the US of A…perpetrators have to sleep in a tent and read Ben’s “Collective HBB Wisdom” by solar night light…quizzes x3 per week ;-)

 
 
 
Comment by intheknow
2008-04-03 05:10:55

Yippee! Charlotte comments - just in time for this article I read this morning.

http://www.charlotte.com/breaking_news/story/564353.html

Basically condos being built in Charlotte turning into rentals since they can’t sell. I can attest to something else in the article - all kinds of “high end” apartments are being built in Charlotte. You know the type - stainless steel appliances, hardwood floors, and granite countertops, fo course. Certainly, the developers hope to turn them into condos as soon as the “market recovers”. Good luck with that.

Comment by cynicalgirl
2008-04-03 05:25:13

Um, I thought Charlotte was “different”? Wasn’t it the only city to show a gain in the last Case-Shiller numbers?

Comment by intheknow
2008-04-03 06:24:22

Oh, Charlotte is “different”, but in a short-bus kind of way. To me, Charlotte has always seemed to be about three years behind the rest of the country in trends, etc. In this case it’s good news for Charlotte; by the time they got on the condo and house-as-investment wagon it was so late in the game that they missed the massive runup and ultimate plunge in real estate values; also the funding for such projects had already dried up so less got built. In my opinion there will be some decline but not like the markets that built between 2004 and 2006.

 
 
 
Comment by Brian in Chicago
2008-04-03 05:30:26

Hoz, if you see this…

Did I read correctly a few days ago that you encouraged your son to get a work visa and to live in New Zealand? If so, may I ask why you think it’s a good place for a young person? I know about the natural beauty, etc. I just thought it was a victim of the Yen carry trade. Now that that’s pretty much over, is their tiny economy in good shape?

Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 06:20:50

Brian, I encouraged my son to think about leaving the US for the next 12 years. My son received job offers in France, Korea, Saudi Arabia and New Zealand (also offers in Las Vegas and Ft Worth).

The economy in NZ, from my son’s perspective, is agricultural.

Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 06:48:30

NZ’s big winner the past year has been milk. 95% of it gets exported @ ever-increasing prices.

Every last sheep/cow/red deer is grass fed, not one feedlot in the country.

One thing I really like about how NZ is going about luring young people from all over the world, is they are building a cosmopolitan society of above average over achievers, without the burden of having to accept the undesirous.

NZ’s tourism industry will suffer mightily. It’s mostly Europeans nowadays (2 flights totaling 25 hours @ around $2k, to get there) and once they stop coming, game over.

But food will trump everything else, soon…

Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-04-03 08:08:09

“…is they are building a cosmopolitan society of above average over achievers, without the burden of having to accept the undesirous”

Another “perfect society plan” :

“Give me your tired, your poor,
Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free,
The wretched refuse of your teeming shore.
Send these, the homeless, tempest-tost to me, I lift my lamp beside the golden door!”

or is it more like this: “the above average over achievers”…that are supporting and promoting the expansion of pornography worldwide?

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 08:30:25

Think of a mix of Engineers from the Czech Republic, Nurses from Germany, Farmers from Wisconsin & Entrepreneurs from China and much more along those lines, w/o having to accept 1908 era Southern Europeans along with the mix.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2008-04-03 10:21:38

I know a few people who took the bait to move to the paradise down under. Eventually they all came back.

 
 
 
Comment by Brian in Chicago
2008-04-03 06:57:39

Thanks for the reply. My wife and I had been talking about living abroad for a few years someday and her job has really started to suck lately (not to mention that we aren’t getting any younger…). New Zealand was never on my radar, but I checked their immigration website and it turns out that my field is on their list of skills shortages.

It just piqued my interest.

Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-04-03 07:33:43

Huh.

I’ve thought about Canada before, but not New Zealand.

Piques my interest, too.

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 07:43:24

I expect an orgy of gun disorder in our country, with both barrels blazing, and i’m not sure Canada won’t be pulled into it.

I can assure you New Zealand will be watching from afar.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2008-04-03 07:52:02

‘I expect an orgy of gun disorder in our country’

Yeah, you’ve been saying that for a while. Fact is, every state that legalized concealed carry saw a decrease in crime.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 08:06:23

The fact is, there are hundreds of millions of handguns in our country in the hands of ever-increasingly desperate people.

Last year in particular, was stunning in the amount of wanton random mass murders, starting with the Va. Tech episode.

You never hear about the myriad of onesy-twosey murders, do you?

Not a one of the mass murders had anything to do with money, imagine when that aspect looms large?

Concealment or lack of, will mean nothing when everybody’s packing heat as a matter of course.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2008-04-03 08:22:59

So if someone shows up to help themselves to your stuff, I guess you can always throw gold coins at them.

Thank you, thank you, I’ll be here all week!

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 08:41:09

Gun violence is the number one reason we will be leaving this country, to go visit our Gold coins, already overseas.

The Constitution is a fine document mostly, but as exeter said about the virtues of a 1908 house in Detroit, it’s hopelessly dated in some parts.

The 2nd Amendment made sense at a time when a rifle took almost a minute to re-load and the aspect of England invading again was a real prospect, but they couldn’t have anticipated rapid-firing handguns and assault rifles, surely.

When there isn’t any municipal money for policemen, is when the breakdown of society starts in earnest, and the cult of the gun takes over.

I’ll be watching the proceedings from far, far away.

 
Comment by fran chise
2008-04-03 08:43:11

If it gets to that, I’ll have to go back to the ranch in Texas and bring out the unconcealed arms.

 
Comment by Vermontergal
2008-04-03 09:25:09

Gun violence is the number one reason we will be leaving this country, to go visit our Gold coins, already overseas.

Right…good luck with Europe, as it becomes increasingly overrun with Islamic immigrants whose modern culture (apparently) has zippo problems killing outsiders.

Our biggest modern threat is terrorism. Terrorists rarely pick on NAR gun rallies and/or military installations. but are okay with places like malls and schools where the chances are pretty high noone is going to shot back. (They are fanatics, but they aren’t stupid.) My guess is that the single biggest deterrent to additional terrorism after 9/11 has been the renewal of the sky marshall program.

I don’t carry a gun but I’m grateful for the right to be able to do so. Most gun owners I’ve met are extremely responsible - the nutsos are going to get guns whether they are legal or not.

 
Comment by Vermontergal
2008-04-03 09:30:10

Heh. That’s what you get for not reading a thread better. Sorry about the Europe comment, he’s headed for New Zealand when Armageddon comes. My other points might still be valid but who knows. :)

 
Comment by cynicalgirl
2008-04-03 10:55:34

You’re right, Vermontergal. Domestic terrorism is a huge problem. In the past year alone, we had 3 mall shootings and 3 church shootings. I can’t count the number of school shootings we’ve seen (almost weekly if you watch CNN all day) and there was one recent incident where some idiot walked into a township meeting and blew 6 people away before killing himself. Not to mention countless workplace shootings. One in NC the other day and 3 dead at a junkyard last week, if recent memory serves me. Not sure why the gov’t focus is on foreigners and brown skinned people, we have a much bigger problem with those who are born citizens.

 
Comment by manny
2008-04-03 11:08:53

I have lived in this country for 32 years and not once in those 11,680 days have I been a victim of this gun violence. I don’t know anyone who ever has. And I’ve lived in a major city my whole life.

I own a handgun and take it to a shooting range a couple of time a month. There is nowhere I feel safer than surrounded by a bunch of “GUN NUTS” like myself. It is the one place in the world, I can 100% guarantee, no asshole will walk in and start firing randomly into a crowd like so often happens in “GUN FREE” zones like schools, malls, colleges etc.

You eliminate the 2nd, you might as well eliminate the 1st since there is nothing protecting your right to the 1st anymore. Yeah in the 1700s it took a minute to load a rifle. But the framers knew that the only way a people remain free is by being able to defend itself against government tyranny. That is true whether my gun can fire 10 bullets a second or a bullet every 10 minutes.

 
Comment by MrBubble
2008-04-03 11:11:18

Terrorism is a boogeyman, sorry. There are far worse dangers out there. It’s all about actual risk v. perceived risk. And there’s no way to assess how effective anti-terrorist measures are. Perhaps they just haven’t been planning any. Very hard to get accurate, meaningful metrics on it.

I feel that the biggest deterrent to airline terrorism is not the sky marshall program. It is normal citizens who now know that an airline hijacking won’t be a “fly to Libya, refuel and land in Cyprus where all hostages are released or the plane is stormed” scenario. It will be a “we’re gonna kill you no matter what, so you might as well attack us” scenario (yelling “Allahu Akbar” while you do it if only for the irony).

MrBubble

PS: The robberies and gun violence are ratcheting up in Oaktown across the bay from me. It’s going to get far, far worse. Again, just my opinion.

 
Comment by MrBubble
2008-04-03 11:15:47

I may have misread the thread and not gotten your difference between religious/ideological terrorism and “domestic terrorism”. But I think that calling a deranged person with a gun in a mall shooting people “terrorism” muddies the waters. Just call them crazy f&*ckers with guns.

Now, if they are trying to overthrow the gov’t, you can call them “terrorist”. Or “freedom fighter”. Whatever your political bent.

 
Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 11:38:07

But you are spot on about the terrorist boogeyman. I own a few pea shooters myself but I dont’ quite understand what the rabid defenders of the 2nd are so fearful of.

 
Comment by Michael Viking
2008-04-03 11:56:35

I carry a gun because a cop is too heavy and when seconds count, the cops are just minutes away.

AladInsane, how many of these crimes were due to criminals vs. non criminals? Last I checked, people weren’t allowed to have or use guns in a criminal manner. We already have lots of laws against this sort of thing. Taking guns away from non-criminals does NOTHING except take away their ability to protect themselves against a criminal. An armed man will kill an unarmed man with monotonous regularity. Passing gun control laws will not remove any guns except from law-abiding people - WHO ARE ALREADY LAW-ABIDING! Unless you think it’s possible to click your heels together and remove all guns in the world, all you’re doing is making it more and more possible for the government and criminals to herd people around like cattle.

Are you sure the founding fathers’ intentions weren’t to make sure the people would not be defenseless against their own government? Didn’t the founding fathers want to make sure the people could mount a fair attempt at over-throwing a tyrannical government? How would they do this if the government had all the guns and the citizens had none?

I bet you own a gun, too.

 
Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 12:08:13

What is it that you’re so afraid of that you have to pack iron?

 
Comment by manny
2008-04-03 12:46:22

I find it interesting that the very same people on the left convinced Bush is about to open up concentration camps for anti-war protesters are the very same ones opposed to gun ownership. And also the ones asking why would anyone be afraid of their government.

 
Comment by Gulfstream-sitter
2008-04-03 13:19:43

Don’t let the door hit you on the ass on the way out……

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 13:52:19

Micheal Viking…

I’m not pro or anti gun. There are hundreds of millions of handguns in our country and they aren’t going away, no matter whose hands they are in.

The majority of the 1st world allows their citizenry to own rifles (I went shooting in NZ a month ago) & shotguns, but not handguns.

Enjoy your future gunfights, i’m not interested in getting involved.

 
Comment by lakewashington
2008-04-03 13:54:41

“Didn’t the founding fathers want to make sure the people could mount a fair attempt at over-throwing a tyrannical government? How would they do this if the government had all the guns and the citizens had none?”

Yeah, we all know what happens when someone shoots a police officer (a representative of the government). You go to jail for life or get injected. This “protection from the tyranny of govt.” reasoning for assault rifles and handguns is BS.

 
Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 14:12:13

Manny… We were having a relaxed discussion on firearms and you decide to interject kindergarten logic. Why?

 
Comment by tresho
2008-04-03 16:26:53

I’ll be watching the proceedings from far, far away. So go already.

 
Comment by James
2008-04-03 16:31:11

Exeter,

I’m worried that high minded intelectuals will make some really bad decisions that need to be corrected with gunfire.

So. I’ll stick with my choice of firearms.

Say “hi” to Mork for me.

Thanks.

 
Comment by tresho
2008-04-03 17:07:40

I don’t think airline hijackings will be a problem much longer. Two airlines have gone out of business this past week alone. In the future the uber-rich will be the only ones who can afford this luxury.

 
Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 17:17:18

Why would you be afraid of intellect?

 
Comment by CA renter
2008-04-03 17:50:18

Exeter,

I almost always agree with your posts, but on this topic, we disagree.

My mother and most of her friends grew up during WWII in Austria, Germany, Poland and Russia. The stories they tell about soldiers raping children, taking all the food — and everything else — from the citizens is beyond frightening.

Years ago, during one of these group discussions, I asked them why nobody ever fought back. They all laughed and said:

“With what? The first thing Hitler did was disarm all the people by saying it was ‘for their own safety.’”

Throughout history, you’ll find that the first thing malevolent dictators do is disarm the populace and remove the “wingnuts” who are trying to warn people ahead of time.

Beware a government that distrusts its citizens.

 
Comment by oc-ed
2008-04-03 23:03:00

Tough issue, gun ownership. But I have to fall on the side of individual rights to keep and bear arms. In fact I am considering buying one right now. I have not had a weapon in the house since my son was born 10 years ago. I used to keep an SKS with a friend, but sold that some years back. Without donning the tin foil hat I have to say that it seems that each day there is a greater disconnect between my welfare and the government’s actions. I am have reached the point were I no longer feel that the government will act in my defense. They certainly have not acted in my best interests financially. And just to be prepared I think it best to have the protection on hand if it comes to that level of chaos. But that’s just my way of thinking. To each his own. Ponder this though, how many aborted mall, school, business shootings have you heard about on MSM when they were thwarted by some one who had a gun and acted in defense of the innocent? It happens all the time.

 
 
Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 07:41:38

“You come to us and tell us that the great cities are in favor of the gold standard; we reply that the great cities rest upon our broad and fertile prairies. Burn down your cities and leave our farms, and your cities will spring up again as if by magic; but destroy our farms and the grass will grow in the streets of every city in the country…. We will answer their demand for a gold standard by saying to them: You shall not press down upon the brow of labor this crown of thorns, you shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of gold.”

William Jennings Bryan: Democratic National Convention, 1896

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Comment by cactus
2008-04-03 08:05:04

He wanted a silver standard I think? If I rememeber My history ?

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-04-03 08:06:45

Yeah, OK.

He also supported Prohibitionism (”what will you be drinkin’, Hoz?”) and crusaded against Darwinism (”pretty much directly contributed to the Scopes trial”)

Today, he is best remembered as the Cowardly Lion in that lovely economic allegory, The Wizard of Oz.

Boring. Next. :-D

 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-04-03 08:08:09

Hell of an orator, that Mr. Bryan.

 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-04-03 08:20:53

He also supported Prohibitionism (”what will you be drinkin’, Hoz?”) and crusaded against Darwinism (”pretty much directly contributed to the Scopes trial”)

He was the prosecutor in the Scopes trial, in fact. (Yikes.)

Still, he could speechify somethin’ fierce.

 
 
Comment by spike66
2008-04-03 07:56:41

NZ has some issues of it’s own…mainly the mongies. There are plenty of violent gangs, mainly the Mongrel Mobs. You can google it or pick up the video of “Gangs” on youtube.

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 08:16:18

The Mongrel Mobs is a North Island problem, head for the South Island and it isn’t an issue.

 
Comment by Tulpenwoerde
2008-04-03 10:08:37

Was just in NZ a couple months back. Christchurch struck me as a very pleasant, liveable town. The whole South Island was great, and most of the North also. Right around Auckland is a bit crowded. Beautiful country, great people.

 
Comment by rebel
2008-04-03 17:13:08

hmmmmm the south island has gangs just like everywhere else but theres only 1 million people living there because its to bloody cold in the winter . its really easy to look though rose coloured glasses i think you need to live there to find out ! theres not many kiwi new zealnders living in auckland now most would be imports, bringing there proplems with them they are here to become kiwis and when they become new zealanders they all go to aussie we are a transit country!

 
 
 
Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-04-03 08:21:24

“The economy in NZ, from my son’s perspective, is agricultural”

With 6+ Billion humans… that gives one food for thought.

Comment by rebel
2008-04-03 17:45:46

dont put money into this country @ 80 cent to the usa dollar you will loose your wealth when it drops to 60 cent in the dollar and it will nz has nothing going for it, if the usa sneezes we will catch the cold

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Comment by rebel
2008-04-03 16:45:58

no nz isnt in what i call good shape half the finance companys have fallen over taking billions with then. nz has one of the highest interest rate in the word ! WHY because we spend more than we earn so without money coming into this country we are buggared the kiwi dollar is so far overvalued many of the companys arnt making any money the only ones making any money are dairy farmers but theres only about 12000 of those so there weaith is really only a small protion of this country of 4 million people. the average wage for nz is 40 k kiwi the average house price in auckland is 500k and isnt anything flash just a basic house. imports are great atleast for the fact they buy up all our overvalued housing stock but what the hell are you going to do here???? house price are well and truely overvalued some say as much as 50% life is hard for a average kiwi family just like everywhere in the world there is no diffence here. why do most kiwis leave this country because the pay rates suck about half what you earn. oh but it dose have natural beauty but at what price????

Comment by tresho
2008-04-03 16:58:53

Do you mean to say there isn’t an adequate number of appropriately-paying jobs in New Zealand to support the population? I’m shocked! Shocked, I tell you! /irony

Comment by rebel
2008-04-03 17:33:55

hmmm some people send 1.5 times what they earn go figure:) got to keep up with the joneses you know please keep sending your money here i need to send it ! but i never said i will pay it back ! 8.5% interest risk or reward?????

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Comment by Bye FL
2008-04-03 05:31:33

“Fuel oil truck just delivered to same mother. 192 gallons @ $4.07 per gallon for a total of $781.44.

That’s for about 6 weeks of heat..

Hope all you Southerners still got your urban/community planners.

The Great Migration is about to start.”

$130 a week for heat? Where does that person live? North Minnesota? Fairbanks, AK? I talked to people when I visited NW PA 6 months ago and they were paying $100 to $170 a month for heat to 65 degrees! The a/c would cost more here in FL!

Comment by WT Economist
2008-04-03 06:01:00

“Hope all you Southerners still got your urban/community planners.
The Great Migration is about to start.”

What happens when the AC bills come in? Hey, maybe we really do need all that housing, as all the people and all the businesses will to migrate the way the Sioux used to and spend half the year in each place.

Of course with the price of gas they’ll have to walk.

Comment by Carolina W
2008-04-03 06:54:37

Believe me, if someone can’t afford AC here in SC, don’t move here! Ours went out due to a blown power transformer last August, and as we were trying to fall asleep in 90 degrees plus humidity, my wife and I agreed we could not live here without AC.
As I watched the John Adams series on HBO, it occured to me that SC was one of the original colonies, yet the population today is what, only 4.5 million out of 300 million Americans? Certainly due not only to coastal hurricanes but also due to the June to early September heat and humidity statewide.

Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 07:12:52

Anybody seriously considering moving somewhere else, would do themselves a huge favor by looking at a population map of 1950, before air conditioning, and see where people lived…

There’s a damn good reason there was hardly a soul in Vegas & Phoenix.

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Comment by tresho
2008-04-03 16:40:14

Anybody seriously considering moving somewhere else, would do themselves a huge favor by looking at a population map of 1950, before air conditioning, and see where people lived…
I think much of the migration to and settlement in the south and southwestern US since WWII, was only possible because of air conditioning. Before A/C it was far easier to warm a cold place than cool a hot one. Elderly people are particularly susceptible to heat stress. Remember the thousands of extra deaths (mostly among elderly) in France during a summer heat wave a few years ago.
Also, automobiles made settlement in parts of the country a reasonable choice after about 1905. Until then NV, AZ & NM were only served by railroads & horse-drawn conveyances, and settlement was very sparse. Those areas may evacuate if motor conveyance get expensive enough.

 
 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2008-04-03 07:29:27

The mini series “John Adams”, looked like worthwhile time spent. We don’t have a hooked up telly, so we’ll be renting it or borrowing it, when it gets to DVD.

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Comment by jbunniii
2008-04-03 08:17:46

I’ve been watching it on HBO the past few weeks - very worth while, and it certainly beats the hell out of a lot of recent HBO fare (”John from Cincinnati”??)

 
 
Comment by ACH
2008-04-03 12:17:08

I agree. I was raised in Louisiana without AC. We had ceiling fans, though. There were a lot of trees that did provide shade. It was HOT.
Roidy

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Comment by AdamCO
2008-04-03 07:42:43

here in the mountains of colorado we pay out the nose for heat.

our houses are old, poorly insulated, and drafty. some people on propane pay $600 or more per month. we burn wood pellets and can eek through the winter on about $1300.

Comment by jbunniii
2008-04-03 08:20:53

Wood pellets!? Does the “CO” in your name stand for Colorado or carbon monoxide?

Comment by In Colorado
2008-04-03 14:05:44

They sell special stoves and chimeny inserts for burning the pellets.

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Comment by Lost in Utah
2008-04-03 08:26:47

I don’t know where you are, but that sounds exorbitantly high. I have lots of family in W. Colo. and they’re paying anywhere from $130 to $200/month. One is in a 50’s house, and even that one is a mere (ha) $200 (low insulation). They’re on natural gas, though. Propane is higher, as is all electric. It’s been a long hard winter in the Rockies, lots of snow.

Comment by tresho
2008-04-03 17:15:46

If anyone is going to talk about heating costs, they should mention the units consumed per month. Home insulation & local weather conditions dictate how many cords-of-wood, gallons-of-heating-oil, or thousand-cubic-feet-of-natural-gas are consumed. The price of all these resources varies wildly & from month to month. Otherwise you’re talking apples and kumquats.

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Comment by WT Economist
2008-04-03 05:34:14

Interest rates socking state and local governments at a time of falling tax revenues.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aJWEL.gCKUl4&refer=home

“Minooka needed $55 million to build two schools and renovate two others in the town 50 miles (80 kilometers) southwest of Chicago, he said. Two months later, the district sold 10-year tax-exempt bonds at a 4.16 percent yield, 0.8 percentage point more than Treasuries of similar maturity. It’s the first time the district sold bonds yielding more than the taxable benchmark Treasury, data compiled by Bloomberg show.”

OK, how many people here, most of whom are SAVERS, think a 4.2% return after taxes (since the bonds are tax exempt) in exchange for locking up your money for 10 years is such a wonderful deal that it could only be the result of temporary market disruptions?

A lot of people and institutions who would rather a borrower than a saver be — credit card borrowers, mortgage borrowers, hedge funds, private equity firms, state and local governments, and eventually the federal government — are going to wake up one day and realize that they are competing for the money of a very small number of people on the other side of the transaction.

Comment by CA renter
2008-04-03 05:55:07

Agree!

I’m getting tired of hearing about “high interest rates” when we’re at historic lows.

IMHO, we ought to be getting 7%+ risk-free on tax exempt, 10-year bonds. Inflation is screaming; I don’t care what the official numbers are saying.

Comment by lmd
2008-04-03 07:07:55

This is what I tried to post a couple of times yesterday but not sure what happened.

If banks are in such need of $$ right now why not offer higher longterm savings interest rates? Remember back in the 80s when they offered jumbo CDs at 10%. If they would start offering these again, Federally insured of course, I’d be there in a heartbeat.

Comment by Al
2008-04-03 07:48:43

I’ve got some long term cash I’d lock in at rates like that. 10% may get eaten up by inflation in the short term (I think we’d have to see some nasty inflation before getting paid 10%), but in the long term it would be great.

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Comment by Bad Chile
2008-04-03 08:22:38

heck, in the late 80s as a teenager I was getting 8.40% on dinky $1000 6-month CDs (gotta save the paper route money).

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Comment by Bub Diddley
2008-04-03 09:55:15

I know! My parent’s had most of their money in cds at that time, I remember discussions about what to do when the cds came due, how long to leave them in, etc. I also seem to remember “money market accounts” which offered high rates of interest for the account balance? Them days are gone!

Now, hell, my Emigrant Direct account, which at one time I chose for the “high” interest rate, is down to 2.75%!

It’s very clear that “they” do not want you to save your money. “Invest in our crooked schemes, or lose to inflation. Buy crap you don’t need, because otherwise you’ll get no value for your dollar at all.”

 
 
Comment by JP
2008-04-03 08:42:39

why not offer higher longterm savings interest rates?

It’s all supply and demand. They could give you a 22% CD and rake in piles of cash, but who would take out a loan with 25% interest in order for the bank to turn a profit?

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Comment by exeter
2008-04-03 09:21:07

Who cares so long as it puts an end to the absurd gotta have it now consumption.

 
 
 
 
Comment by jbunniii
2008-04-03 08:23:38

I’ve never heard of or been to “Minooka,” but municipal bonds issued by a small rust-belt town in the mid-west? I think I would require a lot more than a 0.8% risk premium before I would give it a second look. Maybe an 8% premium.

 
 
Comment by DebtFree
2008-04-03 05:52:00

The government will do anything to keep the house price as high as possible to collect taxes. In Ohio, they want to demolish foreclosed homes to get rid of the over supply to keep prices up. Saw that on Fox Business yesterday. It sounds similar to the Great Depression, aparently the government threw away good food while people were hungry. Amazing.

Comment by awaiting wipeout
2008-04-03 06:15:25

“It sounds similar to the Great Depression, aparently the government threw away good food while people were hungry. Amazing.”

IIRC, during the GD, the govt. paid the farmers to plow down every third row of ag. Add to that, they paid for cotton to be destroyed to keep the price up.

Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 06:30:04

During the great depression wheat was 25 Cents a bushel, with no buyers…

The dynamic is completely changed from those times, as we are now in a serious food shortage world-wide, and there are 95% less small farms now in the USA, compared to the 1930’s.

Imagine what happens if the corporate mega-farms go belly up?

Comment by Muggy
2008-04-03 06:58:55

“Imagine what happens if the corporate mega-farms go belly up?”

I really don’t think that would be dire for Americans. You’d see a lot of lawn gardens and such.

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Comment by Asparagus
2008-04-03 07:25:32

Last week I asked my local commercial greenhouse owner if he thought seedling sales would be up this year due to more people growing their own food this year b/c of food prices.

He sort of lost it.
He’s nearly gone broke this winter heating his greenhouse. Delivery costs are out of control. He’s probably going to have to raise prices, but at the same time he’s doubtful that demand will be up. He doesn’t have too much faith that people are willing to do the work required for a garden. (kind of ironic for a greenhouse owner).

He told me to ask him again in May, he’d really know what was happening then.

 
Comment by Gadfly
2008-04-03 07:55:33

There’s a saying that there are two ways to motivate people: inspiration and desperation. If the slackers of the world aren’t currently inspired enough to plant a victory garden, maybe a bit of desperation (hunger) will create a shift in conciousness. Of course, many will think that it’s easier to grab their Glock and take from those that produce, but that’s another thread….

Anyway, the use-less non-eaters of the future may be those who see gardening as “beneath them”. Sounds OK to me.

 
Comment by Lost in Utah
2008-04-03 08:33:20

It’s pretty amazing how little the human body actually needs for fuel. We can get by on just water and very little to eat for quite a long time. I was backpacking in the Rockies once and started to run low on food. I could’ve come on out, but I didn’t want to, so I went to rations of about 600 calories per day. mostly granola and freeze-dried food. I would normally scarf down 2000 a day doing lot of hiking like that. I did this for 3 weeks and actually felt really good, though I didn’t climb any peaks. Lost some weight and when I came out all that processed crap we all like to eat seemed like real junk. I think the Victory Garden lifestyle might actually save a few lives from diabetes and that sort of thing.

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2008-04-03 09:35:02

I’m with you Lost In Utah. Americans are hefty for the most part, and Diabetes is an epidemic. I spoke to a few stockers in some grocery stores lately, and they said junk food sales are down. Now granted, the 99 C Only stores carry junk food, but still, that’s great news.

If people don’t have junk food disposable income, and actually lay off junk, and pesticide rich produce (i.e. grown their own) maybe we’ll see in drop in Diabetes, Parkinson’s, Alzheimer’s - (a.k.a.Diabetes Type 3, btw).
Back to basics would be good.

 
Comment by Vermontergal
2008-04-03 09:47:55

If people don’t have junk food disposable income, and actually lay off junk, and pesticide rich produce (i.e. grown their own) maybe we’ll see in drop in Diabetes, Parkinson’s, Alzheimer’s - (a.k.a.Diabetes Type 3, btw).
Back to basics would be good.

Back to basics will help. Eating less will help. But what does “back to basics” mean on a day to day basis?

The mainstream reaction here is low-fat, high whole grains, lots of veggies, no “junk” food (chips, crackers, sweets) However, you can live on that diet and still get heart disease and diabetes.

From direct personal experience I can tell you that sound nutrition for many people consists of meat, some vegetables and not much else. The diet I just described returned my health and weight to normal.

We will not conquer diabetes or any other diet induced chronic illness until we acknowledge the carnivorous biology (the hunter/gather evolution) of the human condition. I admit the problem with doing that on a planet with billions of people is enormous - but to do otherwise is to simply line the pockets of big pharma.

 
Comment by hd74man
2008-04-03 10:09:15

RE: You’d see a lot of lawn gardens and such.

Yup-lot’s of lawn and garden space in and around all the US big city low-income housing projects.

When the Teamsters stop hauling you can bet all those cheap Eastern Bloc $300.00 assault rifles will be comin’ out.

Then again maybe OBama losing the election will bring about the same reaction. LA Riots x 100

Now there’s a solution to the housing glut.

Burn, baby, burn!

 
 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2008-04-03 07:01:34

If that happens, some new entity gets their assets (including their farm land) at a great price and continues farming it. Trust me, the land won’t just sit there.

If the big boys go belly-up, it could only be due to a drop in demand or an oversupply of ag products coming to market (thus lowering the price).

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Comment by bluprint
2008-04-03 08:27:55

During the great depression wheat was 25 Cents a bushel, with no buyers…

A result of attempts to artifically support prices. If prices had been allowed to fall there would not have been an over supply. Not unlike the current housing situation; when prices come down inventory will clear.

It’s hard to believe, but in a time when so many people could afford so little the gov’t wanted to keep prices high. Who are they working for again?

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Comment by Blano
2008-04-03 06:16:37

I think Ben has mentioned that that went on in Texas during the 80’s bust.

 
 
Comment by Steve W
2008-04-03 05:54:19

There was a post on the failing airlines yesterday and which one would be next. ATA is the winner.

http://www.chicagotribune.com/travel/chi-ata-webapr04,0,2230385.story

Comment by vthousingbear
2008-04-03 07:23:13

I wonder how much toxic debt will explode as a result of ATA. I think a few more decent size corporate bankruptcys will bring the whole CDS scam to a horrible end.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 07:25:32

United grounded it’s fleet of Boeing 777’s yesterday, and a 777 in London had all of it’s electricity fail, barely making a landing a few months ago.

http://www.cbsnews.com/elements/2008/01/17/in_depth_world/photoessay3723892.shtml

So on top of airlines losing money, one of the newest plane models appears to be an Edsel of the skies?

Contagion is everywhere…

Comment by Lost in Utah
2008-04-03 08:40:58

Was talking to my nephew in Hawaii last night (North Shore) and he says Aloha laid off 2,000 people. He says the fear is palpable, as tourism is also down 7% in the past few months. He’s getting ready to lay off several people, he employs 12 in a distribution business. He does a lot of business with the Big Island, has a warehouse there, and he was getting home late as Aloha is now running only one plane to the Big Island and it’s a late flight. He’s worried for his own economic health. I told him a year ago to start saving (he says thanks, Ben), which he fortunately has done, but not enough. His wife’s a teacher, so hopefully they’ll be OK, have several rentals and not much debt.

Comment by bkiddo
2008-04-03 09:57:23

Aloha, ATA, Molokai Ranch, Hawaii is fooked.

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Comment by tresho
2008-04-03 17:24:33

Hawaii’s economy is so dependent on cheap air travel. It will really suffer when the number of air passengers drops off the approaching cliff.
Tell the Hawaiians to start building ocean-going canoes powered by wind and oars, or they’ll be living back in a pre-Captain-Cook economy.

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Comment by Gulfstream-sitter
2008-04-03 13:48:14

Nope…….

Landing gear collapse due to hard landing. Aircraft grounded yesterday because a required fire suppression system functional check evidently didn’t make it into the United Airlines inspection package (there are about a hundred reasons why this might happen).

The FAA is currently doing a major review of the airlines paperwork/documentation…….expect to see more stories like this in the net few weeks.

Too bad they won’t be doing any reviews of the overseas facilities that they have approved to work on US aircraft in the past 10-15 years

Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 14:24:05

Gulfstream-sitter:

I assume you are talking about the London crash?

“An airport worker who claimed to have spoken to the captain just after the crash told the BBC that the 390-ton plane abruptly lost all power as the pilot was preparing to land after a long flight from Beijing. The pilot then “glided it in across and lifted the nose up.”

“He said to me he had no warning, absolutely nothing at all,” the airport worker told the BBC. “It’s just suddenly boom. It’s just lost absolutely everything. It’s a miracle. The man deserves an absolute medal as big as a frying pan.”

http://i.abcnews.com/International/story?id=4149016&page=1

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-04-03 14:46:23

Gulfstream-sitter: (Nope…….

Landing gear collapse due to hard landing)

“An airport worker who claimed to have spoken to the captain just after the crash told the BBC that the 390-ton plane abruptly lost all power as the pilot was preparing to land after a long flight from Beijing. The pilot then “glided it in across and lifted the nose up.”

“He said to me he had no warning, absolutely nothing at all,” the airport worker told the BBC. “It’s just suddenly boom. It’s just lost absolutely everything. It’s a miracle. The man deserves an absolute medal as big as a frying pan.”

http://i.abcnews.com/International/story?id=4149016&page=1

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Comment by bizarroworld
2008-04-03 06:04:14

Jobless Claims Shoot Up to Highest Point Since September 2005, More Strains Evident in Economy
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080403/economy.html

The Labor Department reported Thursday that new applications filed for unemployment insurance jumped by a seasonally adjusted 38,000 to 407,000 for the week ending March 29. The increase left claims at their highest point since Sept. 17, 2005, following the blows of the devastating Gulf Coast hurricanes.

Creating jobs may have been a better way to spend 300 billion than trying to save every struggling investment bank, home builder and FB.

Comment by jeff saturday
2008-04-03 06:37:53

In the real world unemployment is much worse than the numbers they show,in the early 80`s when I moved to South Florida everyone in construction was on the books,now most except supervisors are sub-contractors and huge numbers of these guys are out of work that don`t show up in unemployment numbers, not to mention all the realtors and mortgage brokers.

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2008-04-03 07:36:30

40% of the unemployed don’t qualify to apply, in addition to the life & death model, the fudging, etc… The BLS jobs report is worthless, imho.

 
 
Comment by kckid
2008-04-03 06:08:18

Award-Winning Shakedown Artist Is Still Peddling Subprime Politics

The expressions on the faces of CEOs Kenneth Lewis of Bank of America, left, and Chad Gifford of FleetBoston in this 2004 photo said it all, as BofA agreed to a $6 billion affordable housing program pushed by Bruce Marks of Neighborhood Assistance Corp. of America. The program was designed to provide mortgages to low-income homebuyers without requiring a down payment or charging closing costs and fees.

http://www.ibdeditorials.com/IBDArticles.aspx?id=292021991418526

Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-04-03 07:33:34

Root Cause Analysis:

And why is a person like Bruce Marks able to do things like he does to these CEO’s & Corporations?

Here’s a clue:

“It is truly enough said that a corporation has no conscience; but a corporation of conscientious men is a corporation with a conscience”
Thoreau… circa 1849

Cheney @ Halliburton…Lay @ Enron…Keating @ Lincoln Savings & Loan…Kozlowski @ Tyco…Ebbers@ World Com…Rigas @ Adelphia
I think that there are 1 or 2 more but I’m getting brain freeze… :-)

 
 
Comment by matt
2008-04-03 06:30:04

They can’t blame it on the weather. I’d have to say subway tripled volume with their $5 any sub deal.
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/wendys-1st-quarter-us-company/story.aspx?guid=%7B59DE977A%2D3BB0%2D4F36%2DA9F8%2D5565F486D5DB%7D&dist=hplatest

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2008-04-03 07:04:07

Had one of those subs for dinner last night after a late afternoon tennis practice.

 
 
Comment by Ernest
2008-04-03 06:34:21

Who cares about houses? Invest in tubers!!

New Flatiron eatery’s starchy treat with tons of truffles costs a steep $55

…”A potato for $55 sounds ridiculous, but it’s an incredible experience,” said Mitchell Weissberg, 48, of Rockland County. He owns a kitchen and bath store across the street and has quickly become one of the Totally Baked’s best customers.

“I don’t have any terrible vices. This is it. I work hard,” he said as he took his truffle potato to go Wednesday.

But not everyone was as excited about the hot potato.

“Maybe for a special occasion, but that’s a lot of money,” said Lauren Johnston, 24, of the upper East Side.

“If I wanted to splurge, I’d get it,” said Marissa Sperlin, 25, of the Flatiron District.

http://tinyurl.com/2z4ono

Comment by phillygal
2008-04-03 07:03:38

The link goes to a MarketWatch story about Wendy’s.

Where’s the executive truffle spud story?

Comment by Ernest
2008-04-03 07:14:55

Huh? I just clicked on it and it goes to the spud story.

Comment by phillygal
2008-04-03 07:34:52

oops I clicked on Matt’s link above…

but that gives me an idea, maybe Wendy’s can start offering truffle spuds to increase their business - with all the rich Europeans arriving in NYC to buy its real estate.

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Comment by fran chise
2008-04-03 07:11:26

$55! My taste buds aren’t that good after many years of martini consumption.

 
Comment by sagesse
2008-04-03 07:59:37

These people must think that a truffle is to be eaten like other mushrooms. 3 - 5 grams will flavor a dish, and there is no reason why a potato should then cost that much. This sounds like typical ‘nouveau riche’ exaggeration.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-04-03 08:12:36

You’re paying for the truffle. The potato is free. :-D

Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-04-03 08:31:39

Exactly…just like the ink jet printer model works. ;-)

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Comment by vozworth
2008-04-03 07:07:20

I think Im seeing an inversion of the 3-month and the two year; however, that would be a rational response to inflationary pressures building.

Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 07:19:24

Are you hitting the Pale Ale again?

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-04-03 08:15:55

No, but if you hum a few bars, I might … ;-)

Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 09:19:33

Pale Ale lyrics

“muri o shinai de ganbatteta tte sore wa sore nari no
kekka deikebana no you ni sou shiorashikuimi no
arunashi o kimetsukenaideumai yarikata oshieauminna
KUURU ni natte PEERU EERU o nonde

kyuukutsu sou ni mi o kagamete mo ima ja dare mo ga
sou shiteru tenjou no nai EKOO RUUMU ni dare ka ga
boku o hourikomu

kimi no SUPIIDO de motte onaji FUREEZU o
hiitetsumetai toki ni yorisotte…”

And you wonder how messed up Voz gets?

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Comment by vozworth
2008-04-03 17:48:04

An inverted yield curve occurs when long-term yields fall below short-term yields. Under unusual situations, long-term investors will settle for lower yields now if they think the economy will slow or even decline in the future. An inverted curve has indicated a worsening economic situation in the future 5 out of 6 times since 1970. The New York Federal Reserve regards it as a valuable forecasting tool in predicting recessions two to six quarters ahead. In addition to potentially signaling an economic decline, inverted yield curves also imply that the market believes inflation will remain low. This is because, even if there is a recession, a low bond yield will still be offset by low inflation.

Partial inversion occurs when only some of the short-term Treasuries (five or 10 years) have higher yields than the 30-year Treasuries do. An inverted yield curve is sometimes referred to as a “negative yield curve”.

These “cases” are historical bond theory and application during a time of dollar dominance. You will note that what I saw “appeared” to be an inversion of the shorter end of the curve, and I noted that this may signal inflation.

I know that I am not witnessing this anomaly. This is why the lambasting occurred above. However, under this scenario that I postulated…the dollar will collapse. Nobody wants the dollar to collapse, especially myself.

I am however seeing “dire circumstances” that may allow this to actually occur.

By seeing, I am also implying the use of forward looking goggles, filled with spirits. Somebody better get the interest rates moving higher, or the US is gonna be in a more dire situation than currently being witnessed.

Nothing to see here, move along.

Comment by vozworth
2008-04-03 19:43:22

I know this because I am not dutch auction bidding 5 year notes away from secondary bidding 30 day t-bills.

 
 
Comment by vozworth
2008-04-03 18:01:36

dont be afraid.

this will end, better or worse.

Im hoping better, but hope aint a plan.

 
Comment by vozworth
2008-04-03 19:01:07

I work a 12 hour day.

I spend 30 minutes in the shatter.

Ive been shatting myself since August.

 
 
Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-04-03 07:12:52

I posted the following on Craigslist and was immediately flagged. I am sure I would not have been flagged if I said “Now is a Great Time to Buy”:

Date: 2008-04-03 00:09:53
PostID: 628504619
Title: (real estate for sale) A Frustrated Buyer Vents
So much of what is being offered for sale in Anchorage overpriced?

Buyers are not being “stubborn”……There is no lack of home buyers in Anchorage, just a lack of buyers who qualify for ridiculous mortgages now that there is a credit crunch and a return to traditional lending standards.

Why do sellers deny there was a housing bubble here? Home prices have exploded since 2001. We are not ‘different’ from the rest of the country when it comes to wage growth, unemployment, and price increases driven by outside speculators.

People who post the same listing multiple times on Craigslist should realize that no matter how much renovating or photography they do, they are overpriced in today’s market. Many of the offered properties are 20-30% above the city’s assessment, and/or clearly are not priced to sell.

Comment by Lost in Utah
2008-04-03 08:45:28

The Craigslist for W. Colo has become a used house salesperson’s showcase - these asshat’s think they’ll get a buyer if they just post the same thing over and over and over…

 
 
Comment by txchick57
Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 07:37:33

How not to save housing
Robert Samuelson

“…About 50 million homeowners have mortgages. Who wouldn’t like the government to cut their monthly payments by 20 percent or 30 percent? But Frank’s plan reserves that privilege for an estimated 1 million to 2 million homeowners who are the weakest and most careless borrowers. With the FHA now authorized to lend up to $729,750 in high-cost areas, some beneficiaries could be fairly wealthy. By contrast, people who made larger down payments or kept their monthly payments at manageable levels would be made relatively worse off. Government punishes prudence and rewards irresponsibility. Inevitably, there would be resentment and pressures to extend relief to other “needy” homeowners….”
realclear politics
http://tinyurl.com/22usyw

 
 
Comment by anon in DC
2008-04-03 07:31:20

Hi. Thanks to Ben and the group. Have enjoyed the blog for several years. Question: You have said that the time buy is when rent = convention 30 year mortagage payment with 20% down payment. Condo prices here in Wash, DC have fallen. Some places I like (stable buildings - not new - near a metro in safe neighborhoods) are down from ~$350K and approaching $250K. At $250 with 20% the PITI would be approx. $1700. Figuring income tax savings of say $300 this equals rent. BUT should there be a ratio on what down payments should be relative to income or other metric ? While I have $50K for a down payment, so few do I can see prices falling another 25%. Want to avoid that falling knife.

Comment by Rental Watch
2008-04-03 08:24:03

Don’t forget to add in HOA and property taxes and maintenance, etc.

In any event, sounds like prices are getting to a more reasonable place. I’ve heard an appropriate percentage of income is in the 25-35% range, depending on your income level (since food/clothes, etc. are generally fixed, if you make less $, you can afford less to pay on your mortgage).

What I will say is this:

The real estate market does not turn like the stock market. Wait for your pitch. By getting anxious, you run a greater risk of catching that falling knife than risking NOT buying at the bottom and missing the first little wave of appreciation.

By having your down saved up, you are in a very good position to wait.

For what it’s worth, there have been times where buying a home was all-in-all CHEAPER than renting. We may get there again in many markets.

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-04-03 08:24:40

I assure you this time around when the time comes to buy, you will be in no mood to buy a house. This is how it has always been.

For the buy-and-hold assets crowd, the same applies. Some great opportunities lurk but I assure you, you will be p*ssing your pants while you pull the trigger.

Comment by Rental Watch
2008-04-03 12:39:07

Actually quite well said.

If you have good bladder control, you can make a killing the market that is coming.

 
 
Comment by Mole Man
2008-04-03 08:25:31

A simpler rule is to wait until prices stop falling. That is probably not until 2009 or later even in those places that started to correct first and fastest.

Comment by Professor Bear
2008-04-03 11:29:28

This should be much easier to monitor than in past cycles given public high-profile availability of quality-adjusted price indexes (Case-Shiller-S&P).

 
 
Comment by jbunniii
2008-04-03 08:57:22

Don’t forget to include the condo maintenance/association costs, which are essentially “rent”. As for avoiding the knife, it seems very likely based on past housing busts that prices will remain flat for a while once they hit bottom, so perhaps wait until prices have been stable for a year before pulling a trigger. It’s easy to lose money by buying too soon, but I see little risk of buying “too late.” Housing is not like the stock market, and price trends don’t reverse that fast.

 
Comment by zeropointzero
2008-04-03 10:16:28

That’s solid thinking, assuming you have figured in HOA, property taxes, insurance - that kind of thing - and, that the condo building is in decent shape to start with. I own a house in Alexandria under about the same conditions you describe - it costs a little bit more to maintain (old, historic), but I have mostly enjoyed the process of heloing preserve it.

BUT - along with that thinking, I suggest you continually monitor inventory and prices. I use the coldwell banker (cbmove.com) website and every week, I look at my area, noting the inventory available, and scrolling through the “just listed” properties. It’s not scientific, but if you continually do it, you get a good sense of where the market is going - and, at times - things will jump out at you - like “I haven’t seen a decent townhouse under 500k in that neighborhood” in a long time, or “inventory is climbing faster this spring than last spring” — if you monitor current asking prices and inventory, you get a pretty good sense of where things are going in real time. I personally think things have a way to go. If I was not currently already an owner, I would really discipline myself not to purchase until inventories were truly shrinking on a y-o-y basis, and prices were starting to move up. You might miss out on the first 3-5% of appreciation — but you assure yourself of not missing out on the 20-25% that prices still may have to fall from here.

I have nothing to do woth Coldwell Banker - I’ve just always found that site easy to use. There may be other resources/MLS available for DC area that may be just as good or better.

Take some time, and really follow the market and you’re likely to really save yourself some $$$ and/or find the place of your dreams.

One other thing - try to find something near public transportation (metro) - it makes it much easier to rent in the future, in my experience - although a super-nice neighborhood can trump that. Also, even though it’s not on public transportation, the Palisades are a really neat DC neighborhood - a little islolated, and not much in the way of new buildings - but a very cool part of DC in my opinion.

 
Comment by anon in DC
2008-04-03 14:53:31

Thanks for all your replies. Yes, I am being patient and don’t mind waiting a bit.

 
 
Comment by Bye FL
2008-04-03 08:09:22

Ive been looking at other locations in the southeast. Some towns and cities have a few dozen 2/1 houses for under $50k. Are those neighboorhoods good? But the nice houses are $100k to $150k, same price as parts of Florida, including PSL. The rentals for houses under $150k cost more than owning. What’s up with landlords wanting $1500/month to rent 3/2 houses? I guess the cheap rents are on $500k plus houses where rent is half the cost of owning, but still way too expensive for me.

Comment by Lost in Utah
2008-04-03 08:47:24

all hat and no cattle

Comment by kelowna_steve
2008-04-03 12:19:17

That’s right. If he can’t save up a down payment for a $50K place in Oil City for the year he’s been going on about then why bother? This has all been like watching teenage angst.

 
 
 
Comment by FED Up
2008-04-03 08:11:39

An economy based on hyperconsumption

http://tinyurl.com/2gnylx

Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-04-03 08:51:27

“…There is great beauty in the world, but it is best not to search for it at the bank, the video store or the shopping mall.”

O.K., who’s gonna be the first one to pronounce this guy a pinko-communist-anti-american-liberal-conservative-pig without lip stick? ;-)

Comment by arroyogrande
2008-04-03 09:08:03

“pinko-communist-anti-american”

If you stop buying stuff on credit, the terrorists win.

Comment by Vermontergal
2008-04-03 09:35:32

LOL - so true!

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Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 08:20:55

Brazil’s expats see value in going home
Taxi driver display Brazil, U.S. currency

With the dollar falling and the economy in Brazil booming, Brazilian immigrants in the United States are returning home by the thousands.

Dan Grech reports.
marketplace NPR

“…Benicio: I’m going back and I don’t think I’ll be able to come again. I don’t want to come again. The style of life that I want to live is in Brazil, not here…

But da Rocha says the reverse migration of Brazilians could undermine the economies of towns like Marlborough and Milford.

Vera Dias-Freitas owns a popular jewelry store in Framingham.

Vera Dias-Freitas: We’ve been doing this for 16 years now and we have a niche market that’s the Brazilian community in downtown Framingham.

Entrepreneurs like Dias-Freitas have helped revitalize the town center and Dias-Freitas, an American citizen, has been a leading voice uniting old timers with the new arrivals, but she says Framingham officials have turned hostile to the Brazilian community: local police have started demanding documentation and city officials have stopped returning calls….

Experts say if the economy continues to slow, other immigrant groups may soon follow the Brazilian vanguard.

In Framingham, Massachusetts, I’m Dan Grech for Marketplace.”

http://tinyurl.com/2ovvfo

Comment by WT Economist
2008-04-03 08:41:33

Well, I guess Africans and Bangladeshis would still want to move here. In fact, I saw Banglandesh’s foreign minister on TV saying the U.S. should allow millions to move here, since global warming is putting his country under the ocean.

 
Comment by Bub Diddley
2008-04-03 10:05:33

Compare the worst ghettos in the US to the favelas in Sao Paulo or Rio. Yeah, things are bad here but we still have a long way to fall to reach that level. These immigrants returning to Brazil are not at the bottom of the ladder economically. If the poorest Brazilians could walk across the border into Texas we’d have a bigger problem than we do now with Mexico.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-04-03 11:10:19

Agreed, but I do not believe that’s the point of the article.

These people are correctly gauging that they can have a better life in Brazil than here.

The Fed’s policy of “eternal inflation” at any cost has failed. All prices need to fall to keep this particular economy humming. (I would point out that nobody has stopped buying computers just because prices fall continuously.)

Comment by DenverLowBaller
2008-04-03 12:31:18

Brazilians are eternal optimists, and have notoriously short memories. 6 years ago that country was flat broke. The corruption is still incredibly rampat, also. I married one, I know of what I speak. And she is giving me grief about wanting to move our family down there……..

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Comment by Bye FL
2008-04-03 08:25:10

Comment by oxide
2008-04-03 07:31:20

ByeFL, I posted this late yesterday, but really, are you going to NW PA or not?

If you’re so hell-bent on living in NW PA permanently (it sure sounds like it, if you’re planning to plant orchards), why not move NOW? You don’t have to buy that 50K house right away.

Dump your stuff, rent a studio, and work at Borders or Costco for a year, just to get the lay of the land (and the lay of land prices!). Costs are so cheap you’d probably put away more there than you are in high-cost FL now. And after that year, that $50K house will probably be $42k. You should easily be able to put away a 2K down pay, even on a low salary or heck, even with a credit card.

Is there a specific reason you’re stying in FL, like saving for a car, or you have a $$ job you intend to quit, paying off debt, etc? If you do, please tell us and we’ll stop bugging you. Otherwise, use that energy toward your dream!

My reply: I am self employed. I would like to move now, but my dad doesn’t think I am ready. Also I don’t yet have 20% down, but am getting there. This summer, me and my parents will visit NW PA and/or NE TN and check it out. I am staying in FL for a few more months as I save and get ready to be on my own. I am also researching other states, TN appears to be my 2nd choice, I like it’s low tax burden and beautiful hills. The house prices are problamatic however, I would be looking at living in a shack for a few years till prices bottom out.

Comment by Lost in Utah
2008-04-03 08:49:41

Bye, you just don’t get it. Some of us here would be very happy if you’d either move or shut the H up about it.

 
Comment by bluprint
2008-04-03 08:52:11

No offense, but if you are only willing to move when your dad “thinks you are ready”, then you aren’t ready. Better just stay home.

Didn’t you post the other day that you turned 26?

 
Comment by newt
2008-04-03 10:23:45

I’m calling BS. You’ve been saying the exact same things on City-Datadotcom for over two years now under the Need_Affordable_Home moniker.

 
Comment by Blano
2008-04-03 10:35:05

You’re supposedly 26, have your own business, but don’t move ’cause daddy doesn’t think you’re ready?? Makes no sense.

Comment by txchick57
2008-04-03 10:39:38

probably time to zitz yet another troll

 
Comment by fran chise
2008-04-03 11:54:42

Hell, my 23 year old just left the state with no clue where she was going to end up other than “somewhere west.” Last I knew, she was in California. Brings back old memories of life out of a backpack. We’re giving her 2 weeks until we throw her stuff in the basement out.

 
Comment by kelowna_steve
2008-04-03 12:34:01

Given how coddled all the kids are in the US these days you can figure 26 is really more like how 16 used to be like. Perfect example is this guy who is more teenager than adult.

Comment by bluprint
2008-04-03 13:01:53

I’m 32. I was 26 a mere 6 years ago. I don’t think most of the 26 y/o’s I knew at the time were (as it seems) quite so…dependent? Even my sister, who while very smart, is pretty much a “mamma’s girl” can develop her own opinion at the ripe old age of 23 about whether she wants to move out or not. In her case it’s “not” (and she just started grad school…so it’s not so bad I think) but at least it’s her own opinion.

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Comment by manny
2008-04-03 11:59:18

Your dad doesn’t think youre ready? Didn’t you say you were 26 a few days back? At 26, you do not need your dad’s permission to move Bye.

 
Comment by lakewashington
2008-04-03 14:12:57

I swear, if I see “NW PA” one more time from ByeFL…..

….I’m gonna have to make a visit there and see what it’s all about!

 
 
Comment by moqui
2008-04-03 08:34:25

Heard through an Architect that William Lyons filed BK yesterday…This came from a senior PM out of San Diego so it could be just a JV collapse or rumor.

Has anyone heard anything?

Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-04-03 09:00:25

Ah, the OC… it’s even “Offical” now…The OC

I can just imagine how many of the “sub-contractors” holding net 30 day invoices waiting to get paid…45 days…60 days…90 days…120 days…Good morning, we just filed bankruptcy…the good news is: “we’re a Nation of laws” the bad news is: “how much money & time do you have to spare?”

but, but, but…real estate… like stocks over time…ALWAYS GO UP! ;-)

 
Comment by dreaming 09
2008-04-03 12:08:15

Interesting comment about one of their communities on their website:

“Thank you for your interest in 360 Southbay. Sales opportunities are temporarily unavailable while we give the market time to improve. We’re looking forward to reopening this cutting-edge community and welcoming you again soon. There continues to be a lot of interest in 360. Be sure you’re on the interest list and we’ll keep you up-to-date so you’ll know when these homes are available again.”

 
 
Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 09:49:47

There were 24 corporate (listed stocks) BKs in the first quarter (16 last year).

The Financial Times has a question if the real Credit crunch has hit yet.

“If there IS going to be a credit crunch and a substantial decline in the ratio of financial activity to real-sector activity, it is still in future. The real impact of the credit crunch on real-side business activity has yet to be felt fully and will only be manifest in H2 2008, when restrictions on credit availability and falling profits will likely translate into a downturn in business investment, employment and growth….”

FT alphaville
http://tinyurl.com/2l8nho

Comment by Professor Bear
2008-04-03 11:59:52

Scary…

 
 
Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 10:00:04

Total bank writedowns to date: $232B
Total capital infusions from private sources: $135.8B

Total writedowns to go per Ms. Whitney and other analysts: $178B to $268B

Comment by Blano
2008-04-03 10:16:55

Hoz,

Any idea what’s up with GM and Ford??

Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 10:27:13

yeah they are up. :>)

The stock market is like a woman, give her flowers and candy and she will be faithful for a month; then after being lulled to complaisance, she’ll kick you where it hurts.

Comment by Blano
2008-04-03 10:29:32

Big V’s gonna take you out to the woodshed for that one. :)

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Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 11:04:56

Big V will probably agree with me that you cannot become complaisant with a woman. Although she may dislike being compared to a cold heartless stock market. LOL

 
Comment by Lost in Utah
2008-04-03 13:03:28

Not to worry, she’s out getting her IQ tested, won’t even see the comment.

 
 
Comment by phillygal
2008-04-03 13:09:10

that’s funny Hoz

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Comment by lavi d
2008-04-03 10:01:02

Wife’s beer fortune gives McCain access to wealth

Her beer earnings have afforded the GOP presidential nominee a wealthy lifestyle with a private jet and vacation homes at his disposal, and her connections helped him launch his political career — even if the millions remain in her name alone.

Now there’s another reason - besides the horrible taste - to avoid Budweiser

:)

Comment by az_owner
2008-04-03 11:15:08

Sounds a lot like John Kerry with Tereazza’a Heinz Ketchup money…how many houses do they have scattered across this country again?

Comment by phillygal
2008-04-03 12:26:40

Senator Heinz is missed.

Comment by phillygal
2008-04-03 13:33:12

John Heinz National Wildlife Refuge

In November 1991, in a bill sponsored by Congressman Curt Weldon (R-PA), the name of the refuge was changed to John Heinz National Wildlife Refuge at Tinicum to honor the late Senator who helped preserve Tinicum Marsh.

I believe it’s the only National Wildlife Refuge located within the city limits of a major metro. Although the late senator is probably rolling in his grave at the fugliness of this home page.

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Comment by fran chise
2008-04-03 11:57:14

$100M is chump change.

Comment by spike66
2008-04-03 12:27:31

Hey Fran,
Can I haz a lone??

 
Comment by txchick57
2008-04-03 12:27:55

irrelevant. Let’s have a look at Billary’s tax returns

Comment by fran chise
2008-04-04 04:25:29
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Comment by lavi d
2008-04-03 10:26:21

Lender Abandoned Foreclosures

“US banks are foreclosing on crappy, formerly overpriced sub-prime housing and then not taking title to it, in order to avoid the taxes.”

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2008-04-03 10:36:20

My landlady and my neighbor are both realtors, and we were talking about the sad state of RE over some wine. They both think the market is grim, and will be for awhile. But one of them said they thought there was a lot of ‘pent up demand’ given how little was selling, and I said ‘Actually, I think given how little is selling, there is a lot of “pent up price declines” instead. Once those clear, you’ll see some activity.’

Then I went into rent/price, incomes, and population demographics (we’ve declined a little since 2000 in population.) They conceded that it wasn’t smart to buy vs. rent, and prices were probably coming down.

They are both ‘old school’ realtors with 20+ years experience that have been through several downturns. My landlady thinks prices will be lowering in the ‘hold out’ areas by mid/late 2008.

 
Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 10:55:52

I am listening to the Senate blah, blaahing on the Bear Stearns fiasco. One thing that the esteemed senators ignore is Mr. Geithner’s assertion that “no other financial institution (in the US) had a balance sheet that could afford this risk.” That no other financial institution had a strong enough balance sheet is terrifying to me. I think this is just the beginning.

Comment by rms
2008-04-03 11:04:56

“I am listening to the Senate blah, blaahing on the Bear Stearns fiasco.”

If these financial companies are so big that they pose a risk to the country’s financial health then they should broken-up, Ma-Bell style.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-04-03 11:15:06

Actually, they are lying.

The fact is that JPM was actually the largest counterparty to their trades so in some literal sense, they were the only possible suitor to this Bridezilla.

They get to just cancel the transactions on both sides, and get a guarantee to boot possibly even some “sweet” writeoffs à la Casey, and they pick up quite a bit of Bear’s business which they were jonesing for anyway, and get a building for their troubles.

Are they taking risk? Almost certainly.

However, given the implicit Fed guarantee, would I do it in their position? In a New York minute.

HTH.

Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 11:28:54

The Federal Reserve governor lie to the Senate. Never more than once a month. Howzabout Mr.”I can’t answer anything that may involve any future or dreamlike investigation” Cox ?

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Comment by Professor Bear
2008-04-03 11:26:43

Central banker’s conundrum:

- Failure to protect too-big-to-fail financial entities poses the risk of collateral damage to the global economy.

- Success in protecting too-big-to-fail entities with unfunded ad hoc insurance claims payments encourages unsustainable growth in the number of too-big-to-fail financial entities, which will inevitably result in a much worse financial collapse down the road than the one you staved off this time.

Damned if you do, damned if you don’t…

Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 11:39:59

” WASHINGTON — For the first time in more than a decade, the Federal Reserve has set up shop inside brokerages to monitor their financial condition, perhaps the beginning of an expanded role for the central bank and additional regulation for Wall Street.

The Fed’s new role is tied to its recent decision to lend money to Wall Street firms. The central bank already loaned funds to commercial banks, but it also regulates them….”
WSJ

We are doomed. No more lunches out for 2 or 3 hrs with Fed people around. I think they’ll make some people work 8hr days. This is a catastrophe.

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Comment by hwy59ina49dodge
2008-04-03 11:50:28

“We are doomed. No more lunches out for 2 or 3 hrs with Fed people around. I think they’ll make some people work 8hr days. This is a catastrophe.”

Silly Willy Hoz…they don’t know it yet…but the FED “has set up shop” in the “Shadow Firms” and right before their eyes…the “debt people” will fade to “invisible”…and like Ripley’s Believe it or not…Wall Street will rally…right Txchic? ;-)

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-04-03 11:58:09

Does this have implications for golf outings and bridge games?

 
Comment by Blano
2008-04-03 13:14:04

Does this mean no more 2:30 PM bounces??

 
Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 13:17:22

That is a good question.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-04-03 11:38:02

“no other financial institution (in the US) had a balance sheet that could afford this risk.”

Does he include the U.S. Treasury Dept in this comparison?

 
 
Comment by Seattle Renter
2008-04-03 11:26:11

Quick question: Can anyone point me toward a good source of information on “distressed” and forclosure properties, particularly areound the seattle area?

Something free and slightly more informative than yahoo foreclosures? Free or low cost is important because I’m not interested in borrowing, I just want to look.

Any pointers appreciated.

SR

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-04-03 11:48:21

For Freddie, Fannie, It’s Policy vs. Profit
By JAMES R. HAGERTY
April 3, 2008; Page A4

The mortgage-default crisis is raising a tricky question for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: How much should their shareholders suffer to fulfill the companies’ public mission of propping up the housing market in times of distress?

Even as the two government-sponsored mortgage companies expand their share of the market, they are suffering big losses. Fannie’s stock price is down about 42% from a year ago, and Freddie’s is down 53%.

 
Comment by wmbz
2008-04-03 12:01:43
 
Comment by hwy59ina49dodge
2008-04-03 12:09:02

“He’s going to be the father and I’m going to be the mother,” she said. Their marriage is legal and he is recognized under state law as a man.”

So much for… “Intelligent Design”… I’m assuming that this “surgery” was performed by an “educated” team of doctors using the “latest” scientific tools…

Rodney King: “Can’t we all just get along?”

Alice…which side of the mushroom have you been eating? :-)

http://www.reuters.com/article/lifestyleMolt/idUSN0337888820080403

 
Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 12:27:39

Having decided to watch my beloved Brewers take the Chicago Cubs down this afternoon, I was awed by an announcers comment : “The Cubs chances of making it into the playoffs are rapidly diminishing.” This is only the third game of the season. Lets go for 2 (centuries without a world series win.) “Its root, root, root for the Cubbies if they don’t win its the same…for its one, two, three strikes your out at the old ball game.”

 
Comment by Hoz
2008-04-03 12:36:04

This is a new toy from Google that is pretty good for stock analysis -it does not do everything I like but for a beginner it is excellent.
Have fun! I did
google stockscreener
http://tinyurl.com/35j94n

Comment by Chip
2008-04-03 13:41:56

Hoz - that is my speed. Very helpful for me, a rank amateur. Thanks.

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2008-04-03 16:00:03

Ditto. Thanks Hoz.

 
 
Comment by vozworth
2008-04-03 19:39:11

Hozzie:

keep strearing sentiment….Im all green…..thanks, and I have you to thank.

keep up the good work.

aaron

 
 
Comment by aeyra
2008-04-03 12:53:37

The Fed can’t bail anyone out. Sure they could print up a bunch of money but no one takes the dollar seriously anymore. Of course if you give someone $500K in cash, don’t be surprised if they…go out and buy something. I would, but not no 500K condo. Give me a 100K house and I’ll use the extra for something else. To be honest, in a few years you people could buy a whole bunch of Mcmansions for 100K. Are they going to be pretty? Probably not. Personally I think in the 2020s that houses in that genuine 500K range (as in real mansions) will probably hold the same value as the middle class clown homes of today. As for everything else, I’d say that the junk and crank houses of today will be maybe worth 100.00 - 1000.00 depending on the size and what you get. I wouldn’t give 1000.00 for half of the houses in Amurica today anyways. Half of them are in rough neighborhoods (who would pay 500K for a cardboard condo in Camden anyways) or they are falling apart or they are older than some of the people posting on this blog.

 
Comment by tresho
2008-04-03 17:36:10

Met a new neighbor a couple of days ago when I was walking around the block. He was supervising men blowing insulation into the walls of his newly-purchased used home. I got to tell him about sewer flooding of 2003 and the double murder and police shootout across the street in 2004, which startled him a bit. He already knew about the earthquake of 1986.

 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2008-04-03 18:23:14

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3XGJq8wrw5I

The scene outside Bear Stearns yesterday.

 
Comment by vozworth
2008-04-03 18:43:29

The Timers analysis:

Buy first quarter lows , positive strong buy signal. 1310.

We are “updating” Market Timing Indicators. We are confused, because short term rates are already so effing low that dollar de-pegg-ing (is that even a word?) may become possibility.

Industrial output declining……..we are not producers….this is short
China signal. They are gamblers, and dont know how to play the game properly.

Jobs are weak; trimming the fatty tissue out of the emerging markets starved bellies is necessary as long as Aunt Millie gets her check in Debuke effing Iowa. That and Mudhuts are counter-party risk.

GDP improves next year. Phantom Recovery? Bear Market Rally?

Inflation has not taken hold, that’s deflation. Bond theory dictates
at this juncture, that economic progress has eliminated
inflation…..if you have money, the pain is for those that don’t.

Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy are on the way to save the day.

Fundamental basis for positive feelings are a function of:
A gradual recovery with earnings growth.
Sentiment remains firmly bearish, ON ALL FRONTS.

I kinda make this up, but I do try to see what’s in store via the use
of strongly spirited forward looking goggles.

Market goes higher.
Short China is good hedge, but long strategy must be employed.

We are witnessing the go long short in the intra-global-financial-industial complex.

nothing to see here, these are not the droids you are looking for.

 
Comment by vozworth
2008-04-03 18:44:56

I’ll say it once more:

“intra-global-financial-industial complex” is a function of go long short.

 
Comment by neuromance
2008-04-03 18:52:23

“Somebody please tell Bernanke to relax”:

“Cutting rates makes it cheaper for banks to get cash into our pockets and thus give the economy a shot in the arm. But the cost of money isn’t the problem here. Not by a long shot. If anything, it’s been far too easy to get money in our pockets to begin with. The problem has been bad loans that have vexed banks from Citigroup (NYSE: C) to Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS)to Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER). These bad loans have scared the pants off everybody, to the point where very few people are willing to come within 10 feet of even healthy banks without latex gloves and a respirator.”

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2008/04/03/somebody-please-tell-bernanke-to-relax.aspx

 
Comment by vozworth
2008-04-03 18:56:44

Cmon Ben, Im here….and it aint bullshit!

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-04-03 22:46:28

Isn’t 400K a magic threshold of sorts?

Jobless Claims Surge in Latest Week
A WALL STREET JOURNAL ONLINE NEWS ROUNDUP
April 3, 2008 4:47 p.m.

WASHINGTON — The number of idled U.S. workers filing new claims for unemployment benefits surged last week, rising to its highest level in more than two years, a government report said Thursday.

Initial claims for jobless benefits increased by 38,000 to 407,000, after seasonal adjustments, in the week that ended Mar. 29, the Labor Department said.

 
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