June 12, 2008

Bits Bucket For June 12, 2008

Please post off-topic ideas, links and Craigslist finds here.




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521 Comments »

Comment by wmbz
2008-06-12 04:08:04
Comment by wmbz
2008-06-12 04:10:14

“Franklin made it prestigious to embrace certain bourgeois virtues. Now it’s socially acceptable to undermine those virtues. It’s considered normal to play the debt game and imagine that decisions made today will have no consequences for the future”.

 
Comment by BubbleViewer
2008-06-12 05:42:06

It starts with the fundamentals. In a culture where such emphasis is placed on money and accumulating “dollars,” it is the responsibility of parents to teach their children what money is and what a dollar is, and especially what is the difference between a dollar and a federal reserve note.
How many parents, even those that consider themselves “good” parents, take the time to explain what money is to their children?

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 05:51:01

How many parents know it themselves?

I bet you 90+% wouldn’t be able to tell the difference between a bond and a stock of a given company.

People are smart.

BWAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!

Comment by Jas Jain
2008-06-12 06:28:09


“People are smart.”

Watch your wallets when you hear that. Training people to be easy dopes is road to success for any ruling elite.

Jas

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Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 06:50:17

Spot on. It gets much worse when bailout programs like the Frank-Dodd plan provide massive financial rewards for stupidity.

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 07:16:47

It’s even worser.

CAPM. Efficient markets. Risk-adjusted portfolio optimization. Index funds for everyone.

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!

 
Comment by fran chise
2008-06-12 09:45:38

All you have to do is look at ETrade commercials about some guy buying online for the first time on the “Hong Kong” stock exchange. The ad agency that wrote the commercial felt the need to describe it as “in China.” That drives my spouse NUTS since people that have to be told where Hong Kong is are too stupid to be trusted investing even their own funds.

 
Comment by NotInMontana
2008-06-12 13:32:05

That was supposed to be cute I think. He was letting it sink in how far afield he could trade.

 
 
Comment by yogurt
2008-06-12 07:29:17

Most crucially: how many people know what determines the value of a bond, stock,or house?

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Comment by combotechie
2008-06-12 09:57:36

Or precious metals.

 
 
 
Comment by taxmeupthebooty
2008-06-12 07:02:36

how many parents a whining for mo free sht
free-er healthcare
heck AARP says you can have a “secure” retirement and FREE-er healthcare courtesy of your nieghbor’s wallet

 
 
Comment by WT Economist
2008-06-12 05:51:50

Who would have thought that when his fellow Republicans sold out our collective future, they were following the cultural tide not being deceptive or leading it.

Perhaps I didn’t see this because I live in a different universe.

But all this helps the right wing case. Separate my money from all those greedy, stupid people!

 
Comment by Lip
2008-06-12 06:11:29

“Congress and the White House have played a role. The nation’s leaders have always had an incentive to shove costs for current promises onto the backs of future generations. It’s only now become respectable to do so.”

That’s why both have such high approval numbers!

Comment by wmbz
2008-06-12 06:32:32

”The American people live under the illusion that we have a United States Senate. The facts show that the Senate is realistically dysfunctional. It is on life support, perhaps even moribund.” ~Sen. Arlen Specter

Comment by vmlinux
2008-06-12 06:50:23

The Senate was supposed to be dysfunctional. This whole, “lets stop playing partisan” crap is just that. The Senate was built to stop a majority from cramming bad legislation through. The problem is that they have found loopholes to get crap legislation through from the majority and the minority, not that they are dysfunctional because they can’t get good legislation through.

Remember, the Senate was supposed to be partisan and difficult to get anything through so that only the best legislation could float to the top. Sound like that is happening now to you? Not me.

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Comment by Frank Hague
2008-06-12 06:57:13

Excellent point. The Senate is doing exactly what it was designed to do, stop or slow down legislation. Bi-partisanship for it’s own sake is nothing more than agreed upon stupidity. Ethanol has bi-partisan support, the Patriot Act was passed with massive bi-partisan support, the Iraq war authorization, I could go on but you get the point.

This country has a lot of problems, but partisanship is not one of them.

 
Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-06-12 07:18:45

I don’t think the senate is about perpetuating partisan politics. It was set up as a check and balance against the “tyranny of the popular vote”.

House of Representatives = based on population.
Senate = based on geographics (state boundaries)

The senate was set up to seduce the individual states into the federal union without having to balk at having a smaller population. So a state with a small population like Alaska or Wyoming has equal power as a state like New York or California.

 
Comment by CHILIDOGGG
2008-06-12 07:22:17

It was not intended to be PARTISAN, as we use that term today, along party lines. It WAS intended to increase inertia, and it was intended to prevent the big states from overwhelming the little states. I don’t know at what point in our history that we went from New York congressmen digging in against Virginia congressmen, to Democratic congressmen from New York and Virginia digging in against Republican congressman from New York and Virginia. Definitely a change for the worse.

 
Comment by Frank Hague
2008-06-12 07:24:06

The Senate is check on the majority oppressing the minority. You’re right about the smaller states, it does give them disproportionate power. Is it about perpetuating partisan politics, no. But it is also not about the mindless, idiotic praise of bipartisan legislation that we constantly hear.

Good legislation is good legislation, the breakdown of the party vote on it does not determine whether or not a bill that has been passed is useful.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 07:34:59

“Whenever the Republicans talk of cutting taxes first and discussing the national security second, they remind me of a very tired rich man who said to his chauffeur: “Drive off that cliff, James, I want to commit suicide.”"

Adlai E. Stevenson, Jr.

 
Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 07:39:50

Political parties came into being before the ink was dry on the Constitution/Bill of Rights.

If I recall correctly, there were two opinions about America-
Hamilton wanted an economic powerhouse to compete with England. Jefferson wanted a nation of small independent farmers/landowners-agrarian.

You must remember that in the beginning, only landowners (read poll tax) could vote for the house. The senate was appointed by the the political elite in their respective states.

Thus the confilict was the small land owner (did not cover women, indentured servants, slaves and other riferaft.) and the political elites that controlled the machinery of govt in each individual states.
lol

 
Comment by tresho
2008-06-12 08:37:03

riferaft? Interesting new term for me. Conjures up a mental image of a political system rife with riff-raff, who will soon be needing a liferaft.

 
 
Comment by dannll
2008-06-12 08:43:54

”The American people live under the illusion that we have a United States Senate. The facts show that the Senate is realistically dysfunctional. It is on life support, perhaps even moribund.” ~Sen. Arlen Specter

This from the man who is more interested in pursuing corruption in sports leagues than any real problems…war, the dollar, corruption in govt., corruption on Wall street. Priorities. Who cares if Barry Bonds uses steroids when our soldiers are being killed in Iraq? Perhaps the Senate should be moribund.

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Comment by fran chise
2008-06-12 09:47:32

Would that it were.

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Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 04:10:05

Thank you Fed/Treasury!

Another American Institution being bought out as a result of the cheaper dollar! This and skyscrapers in NY, NY.

I guess I am now going to have to learn how to brew my own beer!
Oh, the humanity! What will become of the Clydesdales?

Massive cuts could be on tap if InBev buys Busch
Cost-slicing Belgian firm makes $46.3 billion offer

By Mike Hughlett | Tribune reporter
June 12, 2008

http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/chi-thu_anheuser-busch-inbevjun12,0,2035555.story

Comment by svguy
2008-06-12 04:32:19

Lost,

Budweiser sucks. I can’t drink the stuff. I’ve got friends who absolutely
love it.

You could lock me in a warehouse filled to the top with it and you might as well put “Betty Ford Clinic” on the front door.

I’m with you though on the looting of America.

Hopefully the ‘North American Union’ and the ‘Amero’ will solve all of that. Yeah right.

Mike

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 04:37:29

Nobody looted anything.

Your fellow citizens sent the money abroad to buy their worthless crap.

If the good denizens of the receiving countries decide to prefer stocks to US treasuries, that is their right to do so. Can’t say I blame them either.

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2008-06-12 05:01:25

Isn’t foreigners buying famous buildings in NYC a telltale sign of impending economic doom?

Just like the Japanese were going to own us, but we showed them at the Battle of Nakatomi Plaza.

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Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 05:12:06

If foolish people buy overvalued assets with their cash, that is their problem.

Sounds familiar?

 
Comment by zeropointzero
2008-06-12 05:58:35

Didn’t some Japanese investors take a bath on NY, LA and Hawaiian real estate in the late 80’s and early 90’s?

I remember the hue and cry when they bought the Pebble Beach golf course (and resort, perhaps) for some large sum, and then sold it several years later at a huge loss.

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 06:03:12

Serious bath! Rockefeller Center too.

He was being facetious.

 
Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 06:12:15

Most people in America, at least in the 1980/s did not realize that the biggest owners of America were the Europeans (Brits, Dutch and the Swiss in particular.) Up until the credit craze/debt problem of the last 20 years however, their investments (starting with the railroads and large ranches out west) were primarily capital improvements. Now, foreigners are buying up existing infrastructure, somewhat similar to the Japanese in the 80’s. If there is another crash of America’s infrastructure assets, will foreigners from the Middle East and Asia along with Hedggies meet with a similar fate?

Depending how this all works out, it can result in us looking like financial geniuses or debt slaves.

So far we are one for one.

 
 
 
Comment by palmetto
2008-06-12 04:39:10

“I’m with you though on the looting of America.”

Amen, brothah! Call your rep, your senators and let them know. Better yet, tell everyone you speak to daily. Start conversations about it wherever you go. It is time we stop walking around in polite frustration. And when you run into those folks who think globalization is wonderful, don’t argue, just walk away and find more receptive ears. Or let ‘em have it both barrels.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 04:42:49

Nobody looted anything.

Your worthless fellow citizens sent the money abroad to buy their worthless crap.

If the recipients prefer to own US stocks over US treasuries, that’s their right. Can’t say I blame them either.

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Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 05:00:00

The stockholders of these supposedly American Businesses/corporations would sell their mother out for a “song”. Everything is now, now, now…Gimmie, gimmie, gimmie…

I suspect that the bulk of these stockholders are already foreigners. So, in a sense, they are American in name only.
…I guess the rats are jumping ship…

Sorry for all the cliches and mixed metaphores.

Never totally in balance. Not enough java, or too much java? You decide…
lol,lol,lol…on a roll!

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Comment by hd74man
2008-06-12 06:09:14

RE: folks who think globalization is wonderful,

As an ardent “multiculturalist” I’ll be so fulfilled when these types of events are exported to my backyard so I can truly experience the feeling of a global being.

http://www.boston.com/news/world/latinamerica/articles/2008/06/12/grisly_messages_decorate_a_drug_war

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Comment by reuven
2008-06-12 07:17:54

The only “looters” in America today are people who are getting away without paying their mortgages AND getting handouts worth hundreds of thousands of dollars on top of that. (Like the bill that W. signed into law eliminating income tax on forgiven mortgage debt.) When B. Hussein Obama gets into office these people will get hundreds of thousands MORE. Apiece!

I can hardly call someone who’s introducing capital into the United States a “looter”

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Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-06-12 07:24:57

“The only “looters” in America today are people who are getting away without paying their mortgages AND getting handouts worth hundreds of thousands of dollars on top of that.”

So you think that the people who gave uneducated, dishonest, or specuvesting FBs are not also looting from not only their stockholders, but the govt by way of moral hazard?

How come you never get upset that Uncle Sam is bailing out Wall St? It seems the only bad guys in your universe are people without money.

Please.

 
Comment by hoz
2008-06-12 07:25:08

Straight on.

But don’t worry Congress will step in and say that Bud is a critical industry and we can’t sell it to the Socialist Belgians.

 
Comment by reuven
2008-06-12 07:38:32

Straight on.

So why isn’t EVERYONE outraged about these handouts? Eliminating the income tax on forgiven mortgage debt is an unbelievably large handout. Your typical person who walks away from his house gets the equivalent $35,000 check for every 100K upside down he was!

One problem with Americans is they don’t see tax breaks as handouts. There’s ABSOLUTELY no difference.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 07:50:18

Separate yourself from the maddening herd that has their wealth tied to Dollars, and watch the spectacle unfold to your advantage…

Revenge is a dish best served Gold

 
Comment by reuven
2008-06-12 08:16:34

How come you never get upset that Uncle Sam is bailing out Wall St? It seems the only bad guys in your universe are people without money.

Because I’m not an elitist!

I guess I can have the attitude–as you do–that I can’t blame these “poor people” for trying to get-rich-quick, and then whining when they “lose their homes” because, well, they’re POOR PEOPLE! They’re so poor and stupid that we have to take care and coddle them. And we certainly can’t hold them responsible for their actions.

 
Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-06-12 08:30:22

I can hardly call someone who’s introducing capital into the United States a “looter”

I think that both FBs and bankers are guilty of this mess. Show me a single post I have ever made stating that FBs should be bailed out.

You’ve stated very clearly that you think the banking sector is blameless because they in “introduce capital”, when their so-called capital is really just empty bubble equity, as well as cash stolen from unsuspecting foreign investors and pension funds.

 
 
Comment by fran chise
2008-06-12 09:50:33

I’d suggest that when we vote, look for the “incumbent” notation and vote for the other guy. When he gets to be the incumbent, vote him out, and keep doing it. Better that they were confused and “new” than “effecient” at doing what gov’t does best; screw everything up. They don’t make jokes about things being “a government operation” for nothing.

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Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 04:41:55

Svguy,

Heck, in a pinch, I have drank any type of beer (think Black Label, Papts Blue Ribbon and Rainer, but not lighter fluid. You have to draw the line somewhere!!! In my college days, we were so poor/cheap that we used to brew our own and trade it for Brew102 quart size bottles at the local liquor store. Awww, the college days…

If I was worried about the taste, I wouldn’t drink beer at all! I am not an expert in beer tasting, lost taste buds years ago…
lol,lol,lol…

Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 04:50:49

“Heck, in a pinch, I have drank any type of beer”

Warm Natty Ice on a hot day?

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Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 05:54:35

Muggy,

“Warm Natty Ice on a hot day?” Never heard of it. Is this a new brand of beer?
Whatever, I absolutely refuse to drink warm beer like a warm soda. It has to be so “ice cold” and preferably a “light lager” that it numbs the taste buds. Now thats a good beer even at zero degrees outside though preferable on a hot day.
lol

 
Comment by Meshell
2008-06-12 06:56:55

Never heard of Natty Ice? The frat party staple? You must have attended a really nice college ;).

 
Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 07:47:25

sorry, west coast school, however we had acid and other misc. drugs to supplement. And, of course we always had the old stand-in, vodka, orange juice and cheap wine mixed with dry ice. Ala Animal House. And we had a monkey at our frat house. Scared the cr*ap out of everyone, especially when loaded. How about you?

 
Comment by Meshell
2008-06-12 08:54:26

Well, if you’re talking upscale cocktails, then its all about Jesus Juice–grain alcohol from W. Va (ten miles away) mixed with purple coolaid, in a giant plastic tub.

 
Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 12:52:18

Meshell, did we go to the same public university? Hell yeah Natty Ice and the tub full of whatever.

 
 
Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 05:46:16

Does anyone remember the beer in a white can with only the word “BEER” in black letters from the late 70’s/early 80’s??

If you could drink that, I think one could handle most anything.

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Comment by vthousingbear
2008-06-12 06:32:08

Generic brands will be making a comeback in the next few years.

Anybody ever have Golden Anniversary? I think it was like 3 bucks for a case.

 
Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 06:53:03

We referred to it as “No Name” beer.

 
Comment by bluto
2008-06-12 07:17:08

I’d like to bring that back as a decent brew, I’d guess there are lots of us who remember that and would probably at least try it out of novelty value.

 
Comment by mkl42
2008-06-12 07:26:12

From http://www.falstaffbrewing.com/interest.htm

1984 … Falstaff launches some specialty beers including M*A*S*H 4077 Beer, Polska Piwo and the famous white generic “BEER” brand. The ad slogan was “BEER, ask for it by name”.

I remember swigging the stuff back when we lived in the 10′x50′ single-wide. Nasty swill.

 
Comment by CHILIDOGGG
2008-06-12 07:27:06

Repo Man, Emilio Estevez.

“Shirt”

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 08:58:19

What’s in the trunk?

 
Comment by Gulfstream-sitter
2008-06-12 09:57:13

Standard Operating Procedure……..from my A & P school days:

Drink the good stuff, until you get a buzz. Then drink the cheap stuff the rest of the day.

Plan B was to just go straight to the “Rocket Fuel”……..Hawaiian Punch, Seven-Up and Everclear.

 
Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 10:34:54

gulfstream-sitter,

Isn’t “everclear” 200% proof-moonshine? We use to throw that into the drink tub also. You got to be careful with this stuff, especially if you are smoking!!!

lol

 
Comment by jim A
2008-06-12 10:38:13

Most appropriate dialog from Repo man:
Bud: Credit is a sacred trust, it’s what our free society is founded on. Do you think they give a damn about their bills in Russia? I said, do you think they give a damn about their bills in Russia?
Otto: They don’t pay bills in Russia, it’s all free.
Bud: All free? Free my ass. What are you, a fuckin’ commie? Huh?
Otto: No, I ain’t no commie.
Bud: Well, you better not be. I don’t want no commies in my car. No Christians either.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 11:01:09

An equally good movie also by director Alex Cox, but seldom seen… an “acid western”

“Walker”

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Walker_(film)

 
Comment by Gulfstream-sitter
2008-06-12 12:35:24

lostcontrol:

It’s safe when mixed properly. But if you don’t mix it properly, you could end up playing tackle football in cutoff jeans (no pads), on a gravel parking lot.

Don’t ask me how I know this……:)

 
Comment by WhatOnceWas
2008-06-12 14:00:00

When you have Schlitz, you’re outta beer.

 
 
Comment by SV guy
2008-06-12 18:35:36

Lost,

I just returned from an appointment to find a plethora of responses about ‘The king of beers’ and ‘Looting’.

Let me first address looting. My use of the word wasn’t meant literally, more symbolically.

It pisses me off that our country is on ‘Red Tag Sale’. 50% off everything, come and get it.

I’m not poor by a looooooooooooong shot, but I’m angry that our generation is being sold out.

Wait until hyperinflation starts. You think it’s bad now, you’ll look back fondly on this time.

But wait! Our government will roll out the ‘Amero’. And the sheepel will love it.

Don’t worry about that burning smell, it’s only the constitution.

Ever wonder why they’re dragging their feet on a border fence? There wont be a border!

As for Budweiser.

Your comments about lighter fluid made me laugh out loud.

Taste is subjective. Nobody knows your tastes better than you. I hope you enjoy whatever you drink (unless it’s Aqua Velva or something similar).

On the Macro front, Ron Paul officially dropped out. We need to keep this movement alive. If you’ve never smelled coffee before, you need to now.

Don’t look behind the curtain!

Mike

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Comment by JP
2008-06-12 04:59:54

Budweiser sucks.

I also will shed no tears over it’s loss. In contrast, the “original” Budweiser is quite tasty.

Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 05:26:20

It seems that what is available to J6p on a nationwide basis is Coors, Miller and Bud.

These are great franchises, replacing auto dealerships. Isn’t JMc’s wife a multimillionaire, because her father owned major beer dealerships in AZ?

Heck, in good times and poor, alcohol sells…
lol, lol, lol…

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Comment by calex
2008-06-12 11:56:58

Its more a monoply than a dealership.

 
 
 
 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2008-06-12 04:59:35

i dunno if the cheaper dollar had much to do with it. Old, tired companies that have maxed out their markets are prime buyout candidates.

 
Comment by Arwen_U
2008-06-12 05:38:14

From Clydesdales to Belgian Draft Horses? Maybe not — “While InBev is based in Europe, it is run largely by the Brazilian executives from AmBev”. Here’s to Busch Gardens, though.

Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 07:29:19

I miss Bush Gardens. The one I remember is the one in Houston in the 1970’s. By the way, Olympia Brewery had their tap out of a water fountain in the 1970’s it my memory serves me correctly. I should say, that no matter the label, fresh beer (without preservatives)tastes fantastic. Beer drinkers’ expectations have been dumbed down by beer with preservatives.

lol

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 06:11:50

I couldn’t give a damn if AB is sold abroad, even if it happens to be a pillar of the corporate base in my home town. Their beer is nearly devoid of flavor, but nonetheless appeals to American tastes (perhaps due to all the pleasant associations with frogs and professional sports through advertising and monopolistic product placement). The micro brewery revolution is the wave of the future, and is bringing America a great variety of more interesting domestic beers than were available thirty years ago.

Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-06-12 06:33:07

“The micro brewery revolution is the wave of the future, and is bringing America a great variety of more interesting domestic beers than were available thirty years ago.”

See how we solve problems in America…better ideas, better beer, and coming soon from stage left: a better president! ;-)

Comment by floridian
2008-06-12 07:13:25

Yes, Microbreweries are small businesses. Just the type of enterprises your “better president” would like to crush with higher income taxes and with removal of the cap on the payroll tax.

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Comment by jbunniii
2008-06-12 07:21:22

The average microbrewer earns enough to exceed the existing payroll tax cap??

 
Comment by reuven
2008-06-12 07:24:14

There’s no incentive for a small businessman to work harder or expand his business when, under Barack H. Obama’s tax plan, you’ll only get to keep 36 cents on each additional dollar you earn. (9.5% state income tax + 39% fed + 15.8% payroll tax).

Either you’ll stop working, or find a way of cheating.
(like Steve Jobs! He pays himself $1/year to beat the payroll tax, and takes his income in backdated stock options. With Al Gore on his board to deflect criminal investigation)

 
Comment by MEaston
2008-06-12 08:00:54

As opposed to loosing your wealth via inflation which is how GW and crew have been taxing us.
Borrow and spend is no different.

 
Comment by Brian in Chicago
2008-06-12 08:05:54

Either you’ll stop working, or find a way of cheating.

Sounds like an easy way to “cheat” is to move away from California and their 9.3% top income tax rate.

Or maybe you could “cheat” and spend some of that extra revenue for capital improvements instead of paying it out to yourself immediately. You own the business, what’s the difference if the dollar is reflected in the value of the company or the value of your bank account?

 
Comment by scdave
2008-06-12 09:11:28

move away from California and their 9.3% top income tax rate ?

Why do you think Nevada has grown so rapidly…

 
Comment by In Colorado
2008-06-12 10:25:40

Either you’ll stop working, or find a way of cheating.
(like Steve Jobs! He pays himself $1/year to beat the payroll tax, and takes his income in backdated stock options. With Al Gore on his board to deflect criminal investigation)

Which is why Obama is proposing a 28% capital gains tax.

 
 
Comment by NotInMontana
2008-06-12 08:31:30

I love micros but I’d think that’s one more luxury threatened in this economy. Though I admit that’s one thing I would not cut out. That and my good coffee.

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Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-06-12 10:59:46

Agreed….I love the microbrews. Have any New Yorkers tried “Brown Dog”? I think it’s brewed in the Adirondacks. Hard to find but I love it.

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 06:32:25

The looters are merely trying to offload Dollars asap, before the fall of the Roaming Empire…

 
Comment by jbunniii
2008-06-12 07:15:18

I imagine that if you tallied the numbers, American companies own a greater share of the rest of the world’s assets than vice versa. We’re just getting a taste of our own urine.

 
Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-06-12 07:41:24

Massive cuts could be on tap if InBev buys Busch
Cost-slicing Belgian firm makes $46.3 billion offer

I’m surprised that no one has pointed out that Cindy McCain is the chairwoman of the board for Anheuser Busch’s third largest distributor, growing to a company worth $250 million by becoming the exclusive distributor (i.e. a monopoly) for Maricopa County, where Phoenix is located. No one has mentioned that the Hensley company is also a
real estate speculator in Arizona
.

No wonder John McCain knows nothing about economics…his wife will be running the White House, just like Hillary or Nancy Reagan.

Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 10:40:20

shsss…party pooper.
lol

 
 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-06-12 10:11:39

They’re a big employer in this area. After the big Magna (Chrysler) and National Grid job cuts, and Syroco shutting down a place practically down the street, people in the Lysander area north of Syracuse are nervous.

Housing-wise that area was on fire in 2005/2006. The tax burden in that town isn’t as bad as Dewitt or Manlius but I’d still consider it pretty tough. Any major rounds of lay-offs from Anheiser Bush would make a nasty dent there.

OT-went to visit hubby at lunch. A co-worker was telling us a family member is moving south. He was prepared for his home to take at least the summer to sell. It was gone in 2 days. Seems the first offer was too good to refuse. The house was in a town I don’t know much about NE of Syr.

Comment by lavi d
2008-06-12 11:00:33

I’d like to jump in on the beer thread with this observation:

I’ve noticed over the last couple of years beer getting very expensive.

Recently I haven’t seen a sixpack of anything in a supermarket for less than $5.99 - and I’m talking Bud, Miller, Coors here. Heineken, Corona and Sam Adam’s were all $6.99-7.99. Sierra Nevada, New Belgium and Bass? $8.99!!!

Two days ago at an Albertsons, I saw MIller 20-pack bottles for $9.99!!! and Heinie sixers for $5.94!

I suspect Joe Six Pack might be making do with a lot more Milwaukee’s Best and Ice House lately…

 
 
 
Comment by jingle
2008-06-12 04:11:52

Sacramento Update: It seems there are so many foreclosures still coming on the market that prices continue to drop. The pace of sales is decent for properly priced houses, but properly priced is 10%-20% below what the comps were just 6 months ago. The attractively priced deals have multiple offers, while the rest of the market just sits for months with no activity.

There do seem to be more and more incidents of people walking from their existing homes after they buy another house for substantially less money. I know one couple who paid $550,000 for an 1800 SF house, no garage, using 100% subprime financing. The loan was in his name only. They quit making payments in October when the rate reset and they banked the savings. She recently entered a contract to buy a larger house, with a garage for $408,000. Using FHA financing with 3% down, she qualified for the loan on her own. The only caveat: She had to claim she was getting divorced and he was staying in the old house. The down payment came from the $18,000 they banked not making the payment on the old house.

It is a curious time….

Comment by wmbz
2008-06-12 04:22:01

The only caveat: “She had to claim she was getting divorced and he was staying in the old house. The down payment came from the $18,000 they banked not making the payment on the old house”.

So she has lied, one more case of fraud. I guess I’m to chicken shit to lie about something that could wash me up on to the financial rocks.

Comment by Skip
2008-06-12 10:33:15

Well, I am sure that was the truth when she signed the documents.

Again, it should have been obvious what they were doing. Again, the lender did not take the minimal amount of effort to determine ( in this case that the house she lived in was in pre-foreclosure) the facts. Again, the taxpayers will in a few years be paying for this house when they walk away again.

 
 
Comment by Gatorfan
2008-06-12 06:53:36

And, once again your acquaintance is buying a home they cannot afford. If they were having problems with payments on the $550K home, they will struggle with the $408k home.

The real shame in this, apart from the fraud, is that they didn’t learn their lesson. They could have pulled off this exact same scheme but traded their old home to a more modest one (or at least a similar-sized home). They could have purchased a home for $250k or less and learned to live within their means. Instead, they went big and will probably struggle with the $408k home.

Why do people do this to themselves?

Comment by diogenes (Tampa)
2008-06-12 07:58:47

Why do people do this to themselves?

Because, like Pavlovian Dogs, the government is teaching them that lying, cheating and stealing are the “new value” system of the United States.

They get to live in an interest-only house, making cheap payments for 2 years, default when the payment resets, and live for “free” during the foreclosure process, then DO-IT-ALL-Over-Again?

This crap is driving me crazy. The new ecomomy of the US of A: House Flipping and Serial Refinancing to pay of a life-style that only a Prince could afford.

Clamp down on Fraud. Demand Income verifications.
Stop lending to Deadbeats. Restore Lending Standards. This is what the FED should be doing.
What are they doing?
Bailouts? Help the thieves? Or basically Nothing?

The Bush Administration: Free Markets mean No Law enforcement. Economic Chaos. Thanks, George, for the “ownership society”!! It’s been great/.

Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 15:06:55

diogenes (Tampa)

“Why do people do this to themselves?

Because, like Pavlovian Dogs, the government is teaching them that lying, cheating and stealing are the “new value” system of the United States.”

Of course you have heard the line, “The rich earned it the old fashion way, they stole it?”

This attitude has always existed with the elites. Ever heard the term “robber barons?”

The only difference never had the opportunity to make a possible big killing until dropped their guard/restraint through deregulation. This was pushed by the rich to make a killing! The fraud occurring among the poor and middle class are the crumbs. Now that wouldn’t be much of a problem until you multiply the amount stolen by the non-rich by their numbers. That is what has placed us in our current situation.

Look it theft can occur on a small basis without killing the economic viability of a nation. When everyone (well almost everyone)does it, you have economic collapse.

Time to get off my soapbox. Have a nice day!!!

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Comment by OCDan
2008-06-12 09:14:59

As an aside, this is exactly what my BIL and his wife are going to do. I just want to puke.

More to your point, they do it because they are greedy! The McMansion attitude still runs deep in certain parts of this country, esp. in Clownifornia, which is home for me. Many many people have this mentality that I need a 4,500 sq. ft. home w/4 car gargage.

We have downisized to renting a 1200 sq. ft. condo for a family of 4 and we have enough space. I just don’t get this love affair with all the room outside of plain greed and trying to keep up/show off to the Jonses. The carrying costs of these monsters is crazy.

Also, why have more home space? I would rather have the 1200 sq. ft. place with 1/2-a full acre of land. Give me land that I can farm with a fresh water supply, i.e. lake or stream.

Oh well, I can dream.

Comment by lavi d
2008-06-12 11:16:19

Many many people have this mentality that I need a 4,500 sq. ft. home w/4 car gargage.

I’ve never understood why someone would want a 4500 sqft house on a quarter-acre lot.

I’d much prefer a 1500 sqft house on a 1.5 acre lot.

Or hell, a 900 sqft house, and a four-car garage on an acre! :)

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Comment by autechre78
2008-06-12 12:17:26

I was riding my bike through an area of Roseville (Sac) last night, and couldn’t believe the size of the houses vs. the size of the lots. I mean they’re just massive, ornate, stucco structures with castle-like entryways. I totally agree, I would much rather have a smaller place on more land.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by spike66
2008-06-12 04:16:21

June 12 (Bloomberg) — Corn advanced to a record for a sixth day on speculation the U.S., the world’s biggest producer and exporter, may reduce its crop forecast, straining global food supplies and stoking inflation.

Soybeans gained to a three-month high. Heavy rains in the U.S. Midwest have flooded farmland and cut yields. U.S. corn production may drop by 10 percent from last year and inventories may decline to a 13-year low before the harvest next year, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said June 10.

Comment by ozajh
2008-06-12 06:13:57

Meanwhile, here down under, the farmers are getting ready to plant the biggest wheat acreage in many, many years. All they need is a bit more winter rain (Eastern Australia has had some over the last week, but could use more) and in some parts you’re going to see wheat planted from horizon to horizon.

A lot of these farmers have been hammered by drought recently, and undoubtedly see this year as a once-in-a-generation opportunity to get ahead (or back on their feet) from a really good price for a big crop. Word from the traders is that they stand ready to buy every last tonne.

Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 06:37:07

It’s been a long time since there been so much pressure/profit for a crop to come in, world-wide…

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2008-06-12 06:46:40

Dang deflation! :-)

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Comment by txchick57
2008-06-12 15:13:00

Hmmmm . . . remember advising on here in Dec. of ‘06 to buy corn.

 
 
 
 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2008-06-12 07:31:11

Big storms over the Corn Belt again today, and tomorrow too. Second worst (to 1993) flood event forecast for Old Man River. The smaller rivers are really taking a beating right now, but they almost all drain to the Mississippi.

 
Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 12:20:04

Guess it hasn’t occurred to anyone to reduce the subsidy of corn shipped to ethanol refineries and concomitantly reduce the tariff on Brazilian ethanol imports.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2008-06-12 04:17:02

FBI Halts some financial cases, to investigate mortgage fraud…

Up until recently they were investigating 1300 cases of mortgage fraud…1300 cases? There are untold thousands upon thousands of cases out there, it would appear they are pissing in the wind.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=afuUCwfQJ_m8&refer=us

Comment by WT Economist
2008-06-12 05:53:16

What makes a riot a riot? So many people are committing crimes, the authorities cannot punish more than a fraction, and crime in effect becomes decriminalized.

What we had is a white collar riot.

Comment by Neil
2008-06-12 06:06:03

I remember with the LA riots that they prosecuted those caught on camera for years afterwards; this was in order to make the point that civil protest was ok, but looting wasn’t. Its time to go through the paper and make an example for years to come. There need to be enough examples to scare people into filling out the mortgage application somewhat honestly.

Got Popcorn?
Neil

Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-06-12 06:48:16

You don’t use the highly trained FBI for this type of crime. You have to get something like the “kind” folks who run those “payday loan” shops: create an “incentive” for finding the “fraudsters” sort of like mortgage loan bounty hunters, $2,500 “finders fee” per conviction or plea deal…overnight there would be a “cottage” industry born…much more effective…then after a few years…the IRS could “investigate” the bounty hunters themselves…and get all their finder fees back! :-)

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Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 12:29:42

Hwy50 - absolutely right. You don’t need a badge and a gun to sift through publicly-available information and MLS records, which IMO is the best first step. The FBI should contract the work out, with some on-site oversight to prevent zealotry that itself would be illegal. The contractor would pay the bounties based on confirmation that the tips were accurate, then forward those for prosecution.

 
 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 06:49:17

I remember the images of looters walking out of stores, diapers being the most common purloined item, it seemed.

Any longtime resident of the city of angles remembers the Fabulous Forum, and one of the routes to get there was Manchester Blvd, from the 110 or 405 freeways, about a 10 mile drive.

There are still many burned down businesses that haven’t been rebuilt, more than 15 years later…

Lots of empty lots.

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Comment by Meshell
2008-06-12 07:00:29

Disposable diapers are expensive. I read somewhere that formula is one of the most frequently-shoplifted items. Some stores keep it locked up.

 
Comment by peter a
2008-06-12 08:43:22

I had an chance to rid the world of Jesse Jackson during the LA riots. I was guarding the post office on Gage and Normandy, when the reverend and his thug pose showed up.
It was “mothers day” (welfare check day)so about 1500 people were in front of the post office demanding there checks.Even though every bank was shut down and every check cashing store was burnt down.
Jesse pull up like the president waved at the people, said he was going to meet with the postal officials and get the people there checks. then he walked strait toward me I’m holding my rifle at my waist in a sling with the barrel pointed out, and he walk up and says “DON’T POINT THAT AT ME” I look him in the eye and say “DON’T STAND IN FRONT OF IT”. Should of had a weapon malfunction right then and there.
The prick and his crew mumbled something took at step to the left and went in the post office. Still didnt get the checks. That guy is a prick who feeds off the poor.
I could have save the world some grief that day.

 
Comment by tresho
2008-06-12 09:37:23

I could have save the world some grief that day. I’m glad you didn’t. Unless you were in an armored vehicle, you wouldn’t have remained physically intact very long after your weapon “malfunctioned.” There’s more than enough senseless violence to go around.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2008-06-12 09:42:28

Too bad, that low life Jackson didn’t do a damn thing for the people in New Orleans…Instead he assaulted the Duke lacrosse players and NEVER apologized.

He had no guts to demand a JOBS march , so they imported 15,000+ Illegals to do the clean up work

I guess he knew those people in the 9th ward would never show up for the jobs.

 
Comment by CA renter
2008-06-13 04:06:46

He had no guts to demand a JOBS march …

Good point.

 
 
 
Comment by taxmeupthebooty
2008-06-12 07:05:18

that’s why a higher 50k or 75k small claims limit would help- looser pays

 
 
 
Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 04:21:46

Sorry Combotechie, it looks like nobody has cash. Barter is king!

http://www.city-data.com/forum/sarasota-bradenton-venice-area/352081-will-work-rent-reduction.html

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 04:41:04

Highly inflationary policies always lead to barter.

No taxes to pay, no currency to hold. Sounds good.

Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 06:19:33

Also very hard to detect.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 06:50:36

Yep.

I know you hate gold so here’s a “rational” use for it.

The French used to have absurdly high wealth taxes frequently in the 90+% range. It was standard practice for the extremely wealthy to rent multiple lockers in nearby Switzerland or London, and simply hand off the key to each of the heirs.

Mission accomplished. No taxes need apply.

Used to be fairly common in India too. Same reason.

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Comment by yogurt
2008-06-12 07:43:41

No taxes need apply

No yield either. You don’t stay wealthy putting your assets into gold, regardless of taxes. Zero real return over the long run and possibly much worse over the short run.

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 07:46:33

Beats -90% instantaneously.

And you only need to time it around your probable departure from this world. Not perfect but it works.

 
 
Comment by ahansen
2008-06-12 07:07:55

I would wager that 80% of the economy where I live is of the underground variety. No checks, no credit cards, what little currency changes hands is non-traceable/unaccounted-for.

A side of beef will get you honey. A ride into town gets an afternoon of woodcutting. Where there are no assets to speak of and everyone is armed, corporate murka tends to stay away. Jes sayin’…

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 07:16:11

Corp’se America seems to have a population threshold, before they’ll invade little towns, and suck the life out of them.

Oakhurst, Ca. (on the way to Yosemite) is a good example of the damage they can do…

 
 
Comment by James
2008-06-12 07:25:28

Technically if you are bartering there is no income. So, not sure if its taxable at all.

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Comment by yogurt
2008-06-12 07:46:30

Nonsense, of course there’s income. Two transactions are just being made in opposite directions so the receivables cancel each other out.

 
Comment by OCDan
2008-06-12 09:21:27

That’s politic-speak. There is no income. Just a trading of service. Crap. This is why we have taxes in the first place for goobermint. I say that full well working for a county goobermint agency. Nonetheless, if I make dinner and my wife does the lawn, there is no income exchanged.

Crikey, the best thing that could happen is if everyone went to bartering. WS, the fed, the IRS, and DC would crap their pants so fast.

Opt out of the game and see what they do.

 
 
 
Comment by scdave
2008-06-12 09:17:59

Biggest barter trade is in the construction business….

Comment by combotechie
2008-06-12 10:41:07

“Biggest barter trade is in the construction business …”

I know of a woman who cruises construction workers looking for boyfriends. She owns rentals thus always needs some construction or repair work done.
What she offers these boyfriends in return for their work is
her “companionship”.

I’ve been told the personals are full of ads of gals looking for construction guys for the same reason.

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Comment by wmbz
2008-06-12 04:49:26

I’ve been bartering since I was a kid, I think we all must have bartered at some point. Works great and leaves the leech’s at the IRS out of the loop.

 
Comment by combotechie
2008-06-12 05:23:08

“Sorry Combotechie, it looks like nobody has cash. Barter is king!”

“… nobody has cash …”

I have cash and everywhere I go I’m treated like a king.

Cash: The Ultimate Financial Solution.

Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 05:28:39

“I have cash”

You would have loved a segment on BayNews9 yesterday. They were talking to a pawn shop owner, and the spin wasn’t “how sad that Martha has to sell her wedding band to buy gas.”

Instead it was the shop owner explaining that he is happy to help people that are in need of cash. “I’m just glad I can give them what they need at a time they need it most.”

Got cash? Cheeseburger? Corvette?

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2008-06-12 05:35:12

the guy in the ad is 60 .. and carts his old lady around in a canary yellow Vette. Sweet.
And, instead of selling it, he’s willing to trade it for rent? Why?
And this is the type of guy who is anxious to plunge toilets and pull weeds?

..the whole thing sounds odd.

Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 05:38:26

“he’s willing to trade it for rent? Why?”

Probably on the verge of repo

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Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 12:38:48

Photo’s in a trailer park. Car looks very clean. Might be his pride and joy. Sad.

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Comment by Michael Fink
2008-06-12 04:40:00

Palm Beach County proposes tax rate increases:

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/local/palmbeach/sfl-flpbudget0612pnjun12,0,6253829.story

I wonder if the sheeple realize that the tax rates are, in the very near future, going to need to be 2X what they were last year to keep up with the declines in value?

Amend 1 working as intended? Yeah, not exactly…

;)

Comment by Jwhite
2008-06-12 05:00:15

Isn’t Palm Beach already one of the highest tax rate communities in FL anyway?

Comment by Michael Fink
2008-06-12 05:32:56

It’s up there. We currently pay about 2% of the value of a home in tax every year.

So a 400K home (which was the median price not too long ago!) has about an 8K tax bill. Add in another ~1% for insurance, and your fixed costs for that 400K home come in around 3% per year (12K).

People who don’t live here can’t fathom how much taxes/insurance are in this area. Another reason why FL has historically been “cheap” in the eyes of people from other areas. The taxes/insurance are double-triple what they would be in most other areas.

Of course, the no income tax absolutely helps! :) Great place to be a renter (it takes 6-7 months of my rent to cover taxes/insurance on the place I am currently renting, you tell me how that’s sustainable!).

Comment by Jwhite
2008-06-12 06:05:26

The house we’re renting is about 2500 ft, new, in a nice neighborhood - taxes are 1100 bucks on an assessed value of 250K. I love Fla and I visit Pensacola and the Panhandle often. I really wouldn’t mind living on the Gulf Coast but my wife is afraid of hurricanes… :)

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Comment by vmlinux
2008-06-12 07:07:53

I’m at 2.16 in Amarillo TX.

 
Comment by Skip
2008-06-12 10:42:27

I am 2.56% in Arlington, TX.

Looks like you got quite the deal in Amarillo!

 
 
Comment by Incredulous
2008-06-12 10:38:27

But SOH caps property tax increases (in terms of actual dollars) a 3% a year, no matter what the millage. Those who are not homesteaders may get gouged, but that’s why SOH was created in first place: so local tax authorities couldn’t tax occupying owners out of their houses (while the same tax authorities and their friends snatched them up at tax sales). If if weren’t for SOH, counties would be ripping EVERYBODY off, not just new buyers. Take SOH away, and taxes will not be lower for new buyers; rather, existing owners will taxed into oblivion.

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Comment by jeff saturday
2008-06-12 05:22:57

I wasat Home Depot in Jupiter last week,the couple in front of me had a big push cart loaded with plants for their garden, when I got out to my truck they were loading their garden in the back of a PB couinty sheriffs car. Wish I didn`t have to pay for gas.

Comment by Michael Fink
2008-06-12 05:34:50

Holy crap. I was there last weekend too.

I thought you were going to say “into the back of their Acura” and make a joke about Palm Beacher’s moving dirty stuff around in luxury cars. Then I would have been very mad.

;)

 
Comment by hd74man
2008-06-12 06:17:33

RE: my truck they were loading their garden in the back of a PB couinty sheriffs car. Wish I didn`t have to pay for gas.

DOT parasites pull this huge bennie “private” use of a state vehicle too.

To add insult to injury in Mazz & ME these public employee swine are petitioning thru the courts that the added benefit of a state provided car, and it’s maintenance, gas, etc., should be added to their pension calculations.

 
Comment by motepug
2008-06-12 06:54:46

I have this jerk neighbor who insisted on parking his fully loaded police truck right next to my (rental) house. He couldn’t even see it from his house, since it was around the corner. Complete with 3 weapons between the front seats, computer, and enough radio antennas to sterilize me if they were all fired up at once.

Of course, being a cop, he had the “god” complex and thought there was nothing wrong with this arrangement.

He no longer parks there. High gas prices caused the police to change the rules, and he no longer uses his police vehicle for commuting to work. So there is no longer a cop car parked next to my house.

Three cheers for high gas prices.

Comment by ric
2008-06-12 08:41:34

My nephew is a cop, and parks the cruiser in his garage. I once asked him why he doesn’t park it in the street.

He told me the neighborhood kids would trash the cruiser and his house too.

lol

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Comment by jim A
2008-06-12 10:52:04

While I think that leaving weapons in an unoccupied vehicle should be some sort of violation, I don’t understand how people get so posessive about street parking on the portion of a public street that happens to be in front of their house.

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Comment by newt
2008-06-12 11:59:07

“I don’t understand how people get so posessive about street parking on the portion of a public street that happens to be in front of their house.”

You might feel differently if you had had to look at an assortment of beat-up/leaking junkers owned by the low-lifes next door every day. It made me question sometimes why I should keep my place up (although I did) when all I could see when I looked out my front window was a jacked-up truck that looked like it had been in a fire.

 
Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 12:46:41

This gets back to the endless debate about the virtue of HOAs. Some people love ‘em, other hate ‘em. A tough HOA can prohibit parking in the street after a certain hour (my mother’s had that). In some areas around here, you’ll see an old Jeep in the driveway and the engine next to it, and it will stay there forever. Just depends on what you want, and what you’re willing to trade for it.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 05:36:35

Another thing people don’t understand is that this bust will most likely make Save Our Homes irrelevant (as it was orignally designed) as fast appreciated homes crash down in value to the point that older homes are creeping up to.

Florida, the fair white goddess of misunderstanding.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 05:48:37

The goddess seems to be beshitting herself economically. :-D

Comment by Neil
2008-06-12 06:07:46

The goddess isn’t scared. She just has a mean sense of humor.

Got Popcorn?
Neil

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Comment by I am Sam
2008-06-12 06:45:29

Popcorn???

Who can afford popcorn?

 
 
Comment by txchick57
2008-06-12 06:19:54

PC: See that Bombay Kitchen got a James Beard award? I bought two more copies, books like that tend to appreciate in value (I sold one of my Last Course (Claudia Fleming) for $800 on Ebay last year. Paid $25 for it on Amazon). Ottolenghi looks good for that too.

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Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 06:52:19

Here’s a review of the various Parsi cookbooks.

 
Comment by txchick57
2008-06-12 07:26:10

I like the Pinchet Ong book too that came out last year.

 
Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-06-12 07:45:53

I had an Indian girlfriend in grad school. Thank goodness she taught me how to cook, because there are very few places outside of large cities that have good Indian food. Finding fresh spices and unique ethnic ingredients is a pain, but luckily not so hard lately as more immigrants have moved to the community.

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 07:50:22

Fresh spices? Like curry leaves? You can grow that, it’s a low maintenance hardy plant. Not exactly rocket science.

Same with the tiny fiery green chillies (prik kee noo in Thai.)

And there’s this marvelous new invention called the Internet to obtain dried spices. You should check that out sometime. :-D

 
Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-06-12 08:46:03

Finding fresh spices is just a pain, not impossible. That means It’s not always easy or convenient to find mustard oil, amchur, asafetida, kalonji, or true cinnamon. Getting fresh galangal, holy basil or kaffir lime leaf (Thai) anytime I need it is also difficult.

Unfortunately, growing any plants in my rented condo is very difficult for a variety of reasons. I don’t want to move again until I actually find something I want to buy, so I might be stuck living here a couple more years.

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 09:38:30

Oils, I might agree.

I’d agree on the fresh Thai stuff too. Not so easy outside the major metropolitans. Thankfully, I live in one. However, if you do find it, many classic Thai pastes freeze beautifully.

Aamchur lasts forever even outside. You can also just make your own. Hardly rocket science.

Just store the kalonji in your fridge along with the sesame and the poppy seeds. They’ll last forever too so spare me your whines unless you have some fine cheese to go with that… :-D

 
 
 
Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 12:53:21

“Another thing people don’t understand is that this bust will most likely make Save Our Homes irrelevant (as it was orignally designed) as fast appreciated homes crash down in value to the point that older homes are creeping up to.”

Muggy - that’s what I’ve been telling my wife and I repeat it every week or two. Florida property taxes are unbearable for a huge number of potential buyers when the assessment is based on today’s wishing prices (or higher, if the assessor says the purchase was at a “distressed” price). The retirees who were supposed to pour into the state might have cash to buy a house, but they don’t have the monthly income to pay the property taxes and insurance and have much of a life after that. So they don’t buy. That gets to your point. I think prices will end up at 1998-2000 levels, which then puts the relative advantage of those SOH owners who skated at a much lower level.

 
 
Comment by Kirisdad
2008-06-12 07:24:23

It’s working exactly as it was intended. Increasing the tax burden on the new homebuyers, landlords and the seasonals. Thereby, decreasing the percentage of the overall taxes on the ones that voted for the ammendment. Mike, how is the PBC tax increase going to affect a long term SOH recipient, with portability and a 3% appraisal cap? it will hurt a little, but the bigger burden still falls on the newbies. It’s self-defeating and will bring FL to its knees.

Comment by jim A
2008-06-12 10:55:58

Of course, they’re the “man behind the tree.” Although if you make living somewhere more expensive for newcommers, they’re willing to pay less to buy your house. But if FL is truly “God’s waiting room,” than the current owners don’t intend to sell anyway.

 
Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 12:59:34

There’s another question that nobody has asked publicly, as far as I can tell: What happens when people transfer their SOH base to a different county and it effectively screws the gaining county (the one the SOH person moves to), to the benefit of the losing one? The losing county gets a new (pilgrim) owner and a jacked up tax base. The gaining county gets a new owner and a lower-than-anticipated tax base. If there is a significant imbalance in the flow between counties, it can wreak havoc on some of them.

Next, they’ll have to come up with the equivalent of pollution credits to deal with it.

 
 
 
Comment by IllinoisBob
2008-06-12 04:42:32

Could it be that Thornburg’s “prime” mortgages were really “Alt-A” / high LTV for the jumbo crowd?

Thornburg Mortgage Posts $3.31 Billion Loss

(Reuters) - Thornburg Mortgage Inc , a specialist in jumbo home loans that nearly collapsed in March, on Thursday posted a $3.31 billion first-quarter loss as the value of securities it owns plummeted.

The Santa Fe, New Mexico-based company specializes in larger mortgages that typically go to buyers of more expensive homes who have good credit.

It proved vulnerable to tightening credit markets as investors stopped buying those home loans. The company also suffered from heavy margin calls from its own lenders.

Results included a $1.54 billion write-down for the value of mortgage-backed securities and securitized loans Thornburg owns.

The company also realized a $651.6 million loss on the sale of some adjustable-rate mortgages, and had an unrealized $126.1 million loss on a separate adjustable- rate mortgage transaction.

 
Comment by IllinoisBob
Comment by JP
2008-06-12 05:13:17

There’s that magic $3B number again.

Comment by intheknow
2008-06-12 06:50:09

How about this $3 billion one?

Lehman Brothers said Thursday Chief Financial Officer Erin Callan and Chief Operating Officer Joseph Gregory have been removed from their positions, days after the investment bank announced a $3 billion quarterly loss.

 
 
 
Comment by Laurel, md
2008-06-12 04:47:02

I posted a month a go about biking through my greater neighborhood and noticing a number of what appeared to be empty houses, without For Sale signs. Well last evening I noticed some of them now have For Sale signs up.

Comment by autechre78
2008-06-12 12:23:30

My wife and I were walking through a nice neighborhood the other night and noticed that there wasn’t one house for sale. We originally thought that maybe that particular are hadn’t been affected for whatever reason. No sooner had I mentioned that to my wife when we noticed that several of the houses had multiple padlock/keylock on the entry door, but no for sale signs.

 
 
Comment by Jwhite
2008-06-12 04:54:03

Consumer spending probably rose last month, but higher gas prices are expected to soak up 80% of the 110 billion dollar rebate… HA!

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a5etWNbxMf_k&refer=home

Comment by aNYCdj
2008-06-12 04:58:24

Yeah try buying an air conditioner still made in America

Comment by Jwhite
2008-06-12 05:01:28

The way things are sliding, in a few years we may even be making TVs again…

Comment by aNYCdj
2008-06-12 05:05:46

I am expecting the Chinese to threaten us by saying we will crash your markets unless you let us buy GE GM IBM and MSFT….and yes they will put Americans back to work and no unions…

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Comment by Jwhite
2008-06-12 05:13:00

I think the dollar is doomed, the Chinese will have to lift their peg as it slides and that will probably be enough.
Still, the currency has a little inertia left.

 
Comment by scdave
2008-06-12 09:29:49

I think the dollar is doomed ??

Hand the FED reins to Paul Volker for one year and see how that would change…

 
 
Comment by jbunniii
2008-06-12 07:59:51

The way things are sliding, in a few years we may even be making TVs again…

Like our automobiles, they won’t be any good.

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Comment by ejguillot
2008-06-12 09:46:25

If there’s anybody left that still makes their AC units in the US, it’s Friedrich:

http://www.friedrich.com/index.html

 
 
 
Comment by Jwhite
2008-06-12 05:02:56

Citigroup shutting hedge fund founded by CEO and taking assets back on books.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121323783398666999.html?mod=mktw

Comment by wmbz
2008-06-12 05:14:33

“Mr. Pandit personally reaped at least $165 million when Citigroup bought Old Lane in July 2007, following its founding the previous year”.

Funny how these things work out… Pandit probably has a “Golden Coffin’ payout set up also.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2008-06-12 05:16:04

Yet Shi**bank is actively hiring tellers CSR people who speak all types of languages, No English only will be hired and may be laid off FIRST! Yes its legal, its called a BFOQ Bona fide Occupational Qualification, My branch has Spanish Indian Chinese tellers, even the Sunnyside post office has people that are bi-lingual.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 05:25:28

Well, if you only speak one language, whose fault is that?

Comment by aNYCdj
2008-06-12 06:22:01

Well i could move to a more white English speaking only area like Iowa but then there are floods and tornadoes.

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Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 08:12:06

Tornadoes and floods I can handle…..people who come to America and don’t bother trying to learn ingles, not so much.

 
 
Comment by Bub Diddley
2008-06-12 08:24:00

The American public school system? It’s much easier to learn a language when you are younger.

My high school did not even offer a foreign language.

No, I’m not kidding.

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Comment by aNYCdj
2008-06-12 08:37:01

My HS in Norwalk CT was more of a trades HS, i had drafting print shop electronics and i was assistant photographer of the yearbook, but foreign languages were not meant for people like us. I probably could have pushed and taken something but it was discouraged by the guidance consulars

 
Comment by tresho
2008-06-12 08:54:20

The way the American educational system teaches foreign languages pretty much guarantees very, very few will ever master one. The best way & time to learn a foreign language is one-on-one teaching by untrained fluent individuals with no other qualifications (e.g., parents, siblings, & neighbors) when the child is 2-6 years old. That’s how virtually everyone learns their first foreign language (their “mother” tongue). By the time the schools get a round tuit, it’s too late for most of their students.

 
Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 10:09:34

There’s something in the human brain that effectively shuts down around puberty (when other things start up) - it’s the ability to learn languages. So..if you want your kids to learn a foreign language, early exposure is critical. You can learn later, but it’s much much more difficult.

I studied French and Latin in HS and had to take part of my MA finals (Linguistics) in Spanish. I also have studied Attic Greek, Koine Greek, modern Greek, Lakota, Crow, Sanskrit, Old English, Icelandic, Old Norse, Navajo, and Ute.

Why? Good question. Now my brain is full of stuff I can’t ever use, all cluttered up and there’s no room for anything practical.

(But it doesn’t matter, since I was raised by wolves and communicate quite well with canines.)

 
 
 
Comment by JP
2008-06-12 05:33:48

Time for a quiz. Workers in customer service who speak more than one language are

(a) more qualified,
(b) less qualified, or
(c) have the same qualifications

as those who speak multiple languages.

Comment by JP
2008-06-12 05:36:37

(c). Now for the post-coffee quiz:

Time for a quiz. Workers in customer service who speak more than one language are

(a) more qualified,
(b) less qualified, or
(c) have the same qualifications

as those who speak a single language.

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Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 06:12:02

Depends on the language(s).

See, if you speak only Tulu, Wilamowicean, and Catawba, probably pretty useless.

But add Chinese…

 
Comment by James
2008-06-12 07:35:34

Um, sometimes I wonder how well they speak English.

I get a lot of people that speak Spanish and something that resembles English if you really concentrate.

Sorry, my long experience with teachers that couldn’t communicate in engineering school has left me jaded.

Those guys spoke multiple languages… none well.

 
Comment by tresho
2008-06-12 08:58:14

My dad was raised fluent in Polish & English. Once he left his home town, his Polish was of little help to him. The only times it came in handy were when he met Soviet soldiers in Europe in 1945 and when he wanted to get rid of a panhandler. He never met a panhandler who could understand that language!

 
Comment by GrittyToasterWaffleGuy
2008-06-12 09:19:51

Reminds me of my vector calculus professor. Very polite japanese man. If he spoke English at all (and to this day, I am not at all sure), it was so mangled as to defy comprehension. Of course, vector calculus is its own bizarre language. He would start the lecture at one side of the board with his back to the class and start writing while talking into the board. This was back in the old days when we still had chalkboards instead of powerpoints and screens, etc. The complicating factor was that he would often wear sweaters with somewhat baggy sleeves. He would periodically stop and go back to refer to something he had written, and when he did, the sleeves would effectively obliterate about half of what he had just scrawled.

I did not do so well in that class.

 
Comment by Skip
2008-06-12 12:07:44

I had a Polish Physics profess in college who kept talking about WWII. I never could figure out which side he was on.

 
Comment by gather no moss
2008-06-12 13:46:07

I had to point out to a Polish-born priest who was criticizing America’s crumbling roadways that there is generally no waiting list to get into his country.

Perhaps someday we’ll learn to sit on our hands and watch our backs. Ingrates.

 
 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2008-06-12 05:39:54

(d) more valuable

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Comment by Ernest
2008-06-12 05:58:40

Places like Bosnia would disagree but what the heck it’s all about making money and these ideas about what unite us are old fashion anyway.

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Comment by Incredulous
2008-06-12 10:51:47

“Comment by JP
“2008-06-12 05:33:48
“Time for a quiz. Workers in customer service who speak more than one language are

“(a) more qualified,
“(b) less qualified, or
“(c) have the same qualifications

as those who speak multiple languages.”

The answer is “C”. Those who speak more than one language ARE those who speak multiple languages.” It’s a trick question.

“Comment by JP
“2008-06-12 05:36:37
“(c). Now for the post-coffee quiz:

“Time for a quiz. Workers in customer service who speak more than one language are

“(a) more qualified,
“(b) less qualified, or
“(c) have the same qualifications

as those who speak a single language.”

They may or may not be more qualified; being bilingual doesn’t mean they’re more qualified than workers who arenlt; it depends on the job requirements, and the workers’ other skills. It’s another trick question.

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Comment by hd74man
2008-06-12 07:13:55

RE: Yet Shi**bank is actively hiring tellers CSR people who speak all types of languages, No English only will be hired and may be laid off FIRST! Yes its legal, its called a BFOQ Bona fide Occupational Qualification,

It’s a treasonous Congressional inspired sell-out of US citizenry.

Comment by aNYCdj
2008-06-12 08:44:21

He!! most law firms want you to speak Spanish even just to answer the phones. Let alone as a paralegal……

Even Circuit City and Best Buy Employment ads for Holiday help stated Bi-lingual only will be hired.

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Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2008-06-12 12:38:33

So learn spanish and quit whining.

 
 
 
Comment by gather no moss
2008-06-12 13:42:26

When I was in library school, I recall hearing some sort of statistic about the Sunnyside library having one of the most diverse collections, something like 40 different languages. My professor said there was a critical shortage of librarians who spoke Urdu.

I think that parents of English-only schoolchildren need to start demanding that the schools teach their children foreign languages, with the same level of intensity that the ESL students are given.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 06:15:13

Perhaps banking behemoths and small, lightly-regulated hedge funds don’t mix?

 
 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2008-06-12 05:11:59

Cutting Corners:

Perhaps many of you have heard about the storm induced draining of Lake Delton, WI - a regionally famous lake near the Wisconsin Dells and home to the legendary Tommy Barlett water shi show?

Well, it seems that all the damage from the storms/draining would’ve have been covered by our national flood insurance program - except - in 2001 the village leadership decided not to adopt the new flood plain maps and continue their participation in the program.

Oooops. They told residents they had control of the lake via two dams and had never had any real flooding anyway. So no one had flood insurance since the feeling in 2001 was that the added costs of flood insurance was a deterrent to further development.

Makes one wonder how many similar corners were cut during the boom - and how many more corners are now being cut during the bust?

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2008-06-12 05:13:31

ski

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 05:28:46

Speaking of skiing, Aspen ski area is now reopened - enough snow there to ski. First time ever that I can recall this late in the season. Unheard of - even A-Basin is usually closed by now. :)

Comment by Beer and Cigar Guy
2008-06-12 05:50:52

Global cooling.

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Comment by James
2008-06-12 07:45:31

I always thought the name global warming was a problem. The result of the green house gas increase might result in far more complicated efffects than “global warming”.

If we look at the global energy balance you have to say what happens to ocean temperatures as the ice melts? It really pulls down the temperature of the oceans and that could cause a cooling of the over all enviroment.

Various feedback mechanisms could make that happen for a long long time. It could aslo lead to more extreme climate differences in other areas. Lower rainfall and much higher temperatures (dry air effects) in the equatorial regions.

Africa/America/Europe all see different effects because the ocean currents/circulation are very different.

 
 
Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 05:53:01

Damn global warming. :)

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Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 06:04:45

You guys make up your minds! :)

 
Comment by vmlinux
2008-06-12 07:14:28

Man it hasn’t been cool here in Amarillo tx. This is the hottest spring I’ve seen in over 10 years. We are getting these blast furnace days where it’s up to 105 degrees with 50 mile an hour winds. We are finally getting a cool front today that will bring it to around 90 with lighter winds.

 
Comment by iftheshoefits
2008-06-12 07:21:26

Is June skiing in Aspen a very bad thing? Then it’s global warming. If it’s not so bad, then, well… call it whatever you want.

Example: More snow might mean more mosquitos in the CO Rockies this summer due to all the additional moisture. Some could spread West Nile virus. So if that’s the case, it’s GW for sure.

This GW stuff is pretty simple once you get the hang of it.

 
Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 08:00:33

You mean by blaming anything unusual on global warming?? That seems pretty convenient.

GW as advocated around the world (blaming mankind, greenhouse gases and other drivel) defies common sense.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2008-06-12 06:28:48

The Sun has stopped it’s solar flares(for now) so the ‘experts’ are now saying we are heading into a mini ice age. Damn ‘ol sol.

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Comment by Bill in Carolina
2008-06-12 06:52:21

Bush’s fault. No other explanation.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 07:00:08

The worst thing about this disaster of our own making, is the evangs will cling ever harder to the notion that the end-times are upon us, as it’s all they have left of their curious power over the rest of the country, having gone all in, with ’ssshrubery & co.

 
Comment by iftheshoefits
2008-06-12 07:26:01

It’s pretty amazing how the left wing GW doomsayers, the right wing Christian end-timers, and the other assorted paranoids end up sounding exactly the same at some point, isn’t it?

It is very effective for selling books and other assorted survivalist consumer junk, I will admit.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 07:29:39

Never underestimate the power of blind faith…

 
Comment by Eudemon
2008-06-12 07:51:13

Praytell, which evangs are you talking about? The religious kind or the environmental kind? Both are in Bush & co.’s pants.

 
Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 07:53:42

Some of those end timers are a bit too shrill even for me.

We’ve been in the end times for over 2,000 years…IMHO things have to get a lot worse before it all comes to a screeching halt. Every generation seems to think theirs is the last one. I doubt we’re there yet.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 07:54:30

environmental kind?

Where art thou in ’ssshrubery’s totenhosen?

 
Comment by tresho
2008-06-12 09:01:21

There are different kinds of “end time.” The little “end time” is when everyone else dies, the big “end time” is when I die.

 
Comment by WhatOnceWas
2008-06-12 15:13:53

Funny all the zealots talk about the end times and will be wisked away to their paradise of whatever…if it’s so great I wish they move themselves there asap ,and leave more room for us down here.

 
 
 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2008-06-12 05:24:07

And all the boats sitting in MUD……i figure that will drop property values in half if they can even sell the waterfront dock property with no lake.

And will they fully rebuild the dam, and how long will it take to fill back up? And who pays for it, do they have insurance on the actual dam? And will the community be forced to repair the damages with new multi thousand dollars assessments per homeownah?

Comment by wmbz
2008-06-12 05:31:46

They’ll just run to the FED and ax for FEMA emergency aid. Or perhaps the folks in New Orleans can run up in a school bus and give them a hand.

 
Comment by Eudemon
2008-06-12 08:03:48

The Lake Delton event is pretty interesting. I’ve two siblings that live within 50 miles of the place. I’ve swam in Lake Delton and snowmobiled across it.

Anyhow, local *experts* up there say that once the dam is rebuilt, it’ll take only 8-12 months to fill ‘er up back to average lake levels.

There’s lots of Sky Blue Waters north of the Dells.

God, I miss Hamms sometimes. One of the pleasures in the world: speedboats, walleye, wild Wisconsin rice, Hamms and an 80 degree cloudless summer day.

 
Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 13:10:09

“i figure that will drop property values in half if they can even sell the waterfront dock property with no lake.”

I wonder how far out into the lake their property line goes.

 
 
Comment by Olympiagal
2008-06-12 06:57:29

I did notice that, edgewater. I laughed. Bitterly. Over here in WA we have had lots of development in flood plains–and you may remember all the exciting images on CNN last winter of an innundated I-5, of drowned farm animals, swaths of destroyed homes, etc. Followed by yelping and howling for state and govt. money and pleas for help re-building and studies on how this tragedy can be prevented…yeah.

It turns out that building where water likes to go, or is likely to like to go–hey! It’s a bad idea! Who could have figured THAT out?

Comment by hd74man
2008-06-12 07:16:54

RE: we have had lots of development in flood plains–

As an appraiser…as much as I like a river or stream, I’ve always built on a hill overlooking the valley below.

Comment by combotechie
2008-06-12 08:13:14

Seems to me the simple solution to building on flood plains is to first create mounds and then build houses on them.

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Comment by NotInMontana
2008-06-12 14:04:16

I live on a mound like that. The dirt-movers built up the site so it’s 4 ft above the first flood plain contour.

Gee I hope it works.

 
 
 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2008-06-12 07:40:13

The articles I read showed the houseowners hopping mad - but consider these points:

1. Those were vacation (second) houses - and of the nine - four were empty. Hmmm, vacant houses on a prime WI lake in summertime???

2. Though mad at the lack of flood insurance it didn’t sound like anyone complained too much in 2001 when they let it drop.

 
 
 
Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 05:34:54

CNN Money has an article about the worst/best cities to weather a gas crises. I personally think we’re going to see houses abandoned from an inability to keep them heated, even though the mortgage may be current. Am thinking of my neighbors who were paying $700/month to heat a 1500 sq ft modular. People will not only start carpooling, they’ll start housepooling.

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 05:37:15

To add to that, I had to turn the heat on last night, it was cold. This is the Utah desert, where usually by this time of year you’re having to run the swamp cooler until about midnight, then it finally cools off.

Comment by iftheshoefits
2008-06-12 07:29:57

We had to cover the tomatoes and potato shoots over here. Still haven’t put out the green peppers. Loa and Bicknell had frost earlier in the week, and probably last night as well. IWe were spared this time here in Torrey, but I bet Grover was hit. Sheesh. Did I mention the wind?

 
 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 05:42:04

$700 a month?

1.5 months of that is my ANNUAL electricity + gas bill. And I live in Manhattan. And I don’t stinge on the air conditioning either (like the mini-heatwave of last week.)

WTF?!?

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 05:54:22

Propane - it’s gone sky high. This isn’t an old modular, either, probably about 1995, so some insulation.

Comment by vozworth
2008-06-12 07:13:09

she dont lie, she dont lie, she dont lie, pro-pain.

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Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 08:45:34

LOL

 
Comment by vozworth
2008-06-12 10:03:46

if in ya runs out of the propane, just get yourself some hot Dickens Cider….warms ya right up, everytime.

 
 
 
Comment by scdave
2008-06-12 09:36:59

I don’t even have air conditioning and I have a large home :)

 
 
Comment by Olympiagal
2008-06-12 07:03:11

One big reason I selected Olympia as my destination was that it is so temperate.
I don’t have an AC, don’t need one–although that’s because I live in the forest with all those nice big trees, and this winter I mostly heated my small house with my wood stove. It was great. I was toasty warm and cozy, and there is just something so lovely about a flickering little golden fire and a nice butter-rum toddy on a rainy evening.

Comment by vmlinux
2008-06-12 07:18:48

This winter my heating bills on my 1950’s built peer and beam house of about 1850sq ft was running about 350 to 400 a month in heating. That’s retarded imo, so I’ve been working on putting new insulation in, re-taping some broken ductwork, etc. I’m also going to see about putting insulation under the flooring in the house, then working on the single pane windows. I’m also going to have an hvac guy come out and look at the furnace and offer recommendations on increasing efficiency without spending 5 grand on a new hvac system.

Comment by Ouro Verde
2008-06-12 08:13:42

I’ve been in SD for nigh on eighteen years. Never used an air conditioner and only used a heater when it was 47 degrees.
When I do go to pasadena, I avoid going in the summer.
I’d need someone to shade me with an umbrella like michael jackson.

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Comment by tresho
2008-06-12 09:09:56

I stayed a week at a motel right next to Torrey Pines golf course in October 1994 & was amazed at the temperate weather. There was no A/C in the room, built around the 1950’s with huge redwood beams & a lot of space. The windows were huge & left open day & night. The breeze was mostly off the ocean which could be seen in the distance. The room temps were ideal. The air was incredibly clean. The drawback was that I got used to clean air & had severe nasal allergic reactions when I got off the plane in Cleveland.

 
 
 
Comment by hd74man
2008-06-12 07:19:52

RE: there is just something so lovely about a flickering little golden fire and a nice butter-rum toddy on a rainy evening.

Throw in a little personally added “bum wiggling” and I might have to ask if you’d like a room-mate.

 
 
Comment by iftheshoefits
2008-06-12 07:54:37

Lost, do you have a link to the article you’re referring to? I found a bunch of general stuff on “best places to live”, but I couldn’t find an article that had much about energy costs.

I would also caution people on placing too much emphasis on an area for its “low energy costs”, because energy prices are so fickle as it is, and when supplies get tight, the relative costs between different fuel sources can swing wildly. Electricity looks great right now, that will likely change if and when millions of us are able to re-charge our vehicles from wall power.

Best to look for areas where low energy consumption (heating, cooling, and travel for commutes and shopping) is the lowest by climate and by overall metro design.

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 08:39:08

money dot cnn dot com

sorry, I should’ve added that’s it’s titled “Oklahoma’s painful car culture”

shoe, no wind here last night, but man, the night before it was howling!

 
 
Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 13:20:44

“Am thinking of my neighbors who were paying $700/month to heat a 1500 sq ft modular.”

Wonder why they don’t have a second heater/a/c unit installed and use two systems, with the first set to provide just enough heat to prevent damage? Just before I found the HBB in 2005, we looked at a house in AL that had four separate a/c units (or heat pumps). While it seemed extravagant, I like the idea because the fixed cost is known, you don’t lose efficiency by running heated air through more than minimal-length ducting and you can fence off a whole lot of the house whenever you want. It costs a lot more than baffle zoning up front, but in the one house I had with baffles, they were a constant problem.

If I were paying $700/mo to heat 1,500 sq.ft., I’d have a thermal imaging contractor there tomorrow.

 
 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 05:37:31

“If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear.”

George Orwell

 
Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 05:41:55

Lost In Utah,
Heck, we could have 6 in a single bed! Make a mental image of this! Life will become very interesting and complicated.
lol, lol, lol…

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 05:55:58

If it’s my squatter’s cot, it would collapse for sure!

But I’ve heard that in other parts of Utah they live this way… :)

Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 10:48:25

lost, in the upper midwest prior to the depression or if you were dirt poor, this was the way you did sleep. Of course, you know that Abe Lincoln as a young man, shared a bed with another man. I truly believe that there was no hanky panky going on. This was a way to conserve heat/stay warm on a cold night.

Its amazing how social standards change over time.
lol

Comment by Incredulous
2008-06-12 11:07:28

Who would want to engage in hanky panky with Abe Lincoln? Talk about scraping the bottom of the barrel.

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Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 11:12:10

I like to read regional history, and there are lots of accounts of cowboys or other wanderers sharing beds wherever they could find one. It was such a luxury nobody minded that much. But some of the more colorful accounts involve snoring and the inability to sleep and the fights and retribution that ensued…

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Comment by gather no moss
2008-06-12 13:57:37

In the middle ages, people used to get up in the middle of the night, often to pray (matins @ 3 a.m.), but they also used to visit with neighbors, have a small snack, etc. The Smithsonian did a short piece about this years ago, I no longer have the reference.

We used to share our bed with a toddler or two, invariably you get woken up at some point, usually by getting kicked in the head by a two-foot tall person sleeping sideways.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by santacruzsux
2008-06-12 05:52:54

Good ol’ Babs Corcoran was on the Today show this morning, and for the first time since this housing bust started she didn’t shill too hard. She gave some actual prudent advice for once, without the “don’t worry be happy” vibe she usually throws off. Lower the price for a seller etc. I was a little bummed that I didn’t get to start my day with a nice shot of “rage” that she usually induces in me.

Somewhere out there a horse is still looking for his teeth.

Comment by cynicalgirl
2008-06-12 05:59:28

She was on Larry King last night telling everyone to borrow equity from their homes to buy another home in their neighborhood. I don’t know what could have happened to her over night. She was the same miserable shill she’s always been.

Comment by jeff saturday
2008-06-12 06:05:31

I liked the look on her face when Larry King asked her why gas prices were higher in Florida than in St. Louis, she had no clue, the answer was taxes.

 
 
Comment by cynicalgirl
2008-06-12 06:09:16

OK, went to the transcript and found the exact quote. It’s a gem.

“So I just, you know, I think so many of the people out in America right now are really struggling. The great majority are struggling. I think the only up side, I might add, to the lists that the other people had suggested to help people is two out of three Americans sit on huge assets and they’ve paid off most of their mortgage debt. I think now is a great time to take some of that equity out of your house and buy your neighbor’s house at a 35 percent discount.”

http://transcripts.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0806/11/lkl.01.html

Comment by auger-inn
2008-06-12 06:39:22

Christ, I hope she doesn’t have any kids, what a dolt.

 
Comment by santacruzsux
2008-06-12 06:45:25

Nice find! Thanks for getting the “rage’ roiling through my veins again. This morning has to have been a fluke, either that or she had some type of CPU malfunction. The Realtors version of a Stepford wife she is.

Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 07:03:47

She’s like a Real Estate romance novelist, fantasy-driven…

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Comment by cynicalgirl
2008-06-12 07:13:45

Maybe the happy pills wore off from last night.

I love the dichotomy of the two statements she made: Everybody is broke, buy a house!

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Comment by edgewaterjohn
2008-06-12 07:20:33

Double down Babs!

 
Comment by PhillyTim
2008-06-12 07:50:47

and do what with it? Rent it out? Just sit on it for a few months until the housing market booms again and you can make a huge windfall off of it? /snark

If it was that simple, SOMEBODY ELSE would have already bought it!

Comment by polly
2008-06-12 08:38:30

She doesn’t care what you do with it. The purchase generates a commission. Then, when you figure out buying it was a mistake and you sell it - another commission. There you go - two commissions instead of zero. Works for her.

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 09:02:54

About Babs…

“Circus dogs jump when the trainer cracks his whip, but the really well-trained dog is the one that turns his somersault when there is no whip.”

George Orwell

 
 
 
Comment by OCDan
2008-06-12 09:34:51

Sure, buy that 2nd, 3rd, even 4th home in the ‘hood and quadruple the taxes and upkeep. Hope you can find some good renters, unless you plan to combine all 4 lots, bulldoze the homes and build a castle.

What in all that is holy is this women jabbering on about? It truly is repulsive when shills in any industry just keep priming the pump, even at low sppeds.

Also, what is this nonsense about 2/3 of all mortgages are paid? I thought we were running about 50-55% paid off mortgages.

I REALLY HATE BABS!

Comment by WhatOnceWas
2008-06-12 15:22:10

She actually doesn’t give a rip like the rest..She sold her RE biz late 2006, and probably just trying to help her friends make their MBZ payment this month…or actually as Satans wife, what more would you expect?

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Comment by JP
2008-06-12 05:54:24

Yesterday, the Lehman $6B deal was reported to be in rouble. Premarket, it is down 7%. Verrrry interesting.

Comment by JP
2008-06-12 05:57:30

make that “trouble”. Seriously, I’m off to get coffee now.

Comment by phillygal
2008-06-12 06:09:06

I got some free this a.m. from Starbucks.

They had little baggies of beans and some ground coffee to give away to customers. I took the ground for my coffeemaker at work.

It’s the little things that assist us in returning to the workplace after a few days off.

Blecch.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 06:20:37

Did you misspell “rubble”?

Comment by ozajh
2008-06-12 07:39:29

Maybe it was Russian oil money that was coming into Lehmann. :D

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Comment by jeff saturday
2008-06-12 05:55:16

Saw the day care lady walking on her $400,000 home to buy same thing for $200,000 on Fox last night. She had her realtor advisor by her side,the realtor got very upset when questioned about ethics,ranted about the people who gave her the adjustable loan, never mentioned the realtor that sold her the house.

Comment by iftheshoefits
2008-06-12 07:59:19

What’s the old line about doctors bury their mistakes, brokers get a second commission? I don’t care what the circumstances were regarding her existing mortgage, I hope the lender and law enforcement nail her fraudulent a$$. And the used house salesperson too, while they’re at it.

 
 
Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 06:04:30

Anybody here still short LEH??

Comment by Casanova
2008-06-12 10:47:32

That would be me. Bought some July $10 puts 3 days ago for 14 cents; today they’re worth 50 cents. 250% return in 3 days is not bad! But the reality is my original investment was a mere pittance.

 
 
Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 06:07:40

Here’s one of those upstate gems. 1,250 sq. ft., $4,500/yr. in taxes. Oh yeah, it’s a short sale too!!

http://homesinrochesterny.com/propertysearch/propertydetail.aspx?MLSNumber=800583&MLSMarketCode=RochesterNY

It’s a good thing there is no bubble in Rochester, otherwise it might be hard to sell a modest, reasonably priced home in one of the nation’s best school districts.

BOOYAH

Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 06:14:33

$4500 in taxes……YIKES.

Someone might want to update the pics…I don’t recall seeing any snow there recently.

Comment by WT Economist
2008-06-12 06:36:09

$4,500 in taxes and going up.

Still, negotiate that price down a little bit to $100K and put $10K down, get a 30-year fixed at 6%, and your montly payment is $540 per month or about $6,500 per year.

Add even a $5,500 tax and $1,000 for insurance, and you are up to $13,000 for housing in a small home in an excellent school district. At one-quarter of income, you only need $55,000 to cover it.

The minium wage will be $7.25 per hour effective July 24, 2009. Two people earning the minimum wage will earn $30,160. And will probably be able to afford a similar house in a lesser school district.

Comment by jbunniii
2008-06-12 08:15:50

$13k per year in Rochester, New York. And that doesn’t include maintenance. How much could it possibly cost to rent a similar dwelling and let the neighbors pay for your brats’ education? Not to mention the risk of “putting down roots” in a place with scant job prospects and the likelihood of long-term decline in your house’s value.

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Comment by OCDan
2008-06-12 09:43:37

Smokes!

I could only dream about housing that affordable here in Southern Ca. Yeah, the comment about the 55K job is right on. Where are going to find that in Rottenchester, as one bard called it yesterday on this board?

That home is cute. Not my dream home, but knock it down to 90-95K and I might bite someday, if I could find a job there and finally decide enough is enough w/Clownifornia. Hard to break the ties after 22 years, though.

WT, you do realize that even at min. wage, life is going to be tough with or without the house. What about health/dental insurance? Min. wage jobs don’t usually pay that.

Also, taxes in NY state. I don’t mind 4500m on that house, but what about if the rates go up? All I hear is about NY taxes from some of you on this board. Why do you think we have Prop 13 out here in CA? ‘Cause I don’t want 4500 one year and 6500 the next and then 5500 the third and 7500 in the fourth. How do plan for that? Honey, we need a 3rd job between us and no vacation this year to Cooperstown.

 
Comment by bizarroworld
2008-06-12 09:58:56

That’s another problem around here, the rents are stiff because the landlord has to pay the outrageous taxes. A 3 BR, 1.5 bath house in the inner burbs will cost anywhere from $1100-1300 and more a month.

Here’s an example:

Rental link

 
 
 
Comment by bizarroworld
2008-06-12 07:09:47

Wait till the taxman comes next year after all the shortsighted town people voted for an increased school budget. This crowd continually complains about high taxes and votes to increase them each and every year.

And yet the nation’s most inept state government won’t even consider a tax ceiling. I guess they shouldn’t have to protect the moronic people from themselves if the voter keeps voting for increased taxes.

http://www.democratandchronicle.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=2008806120352

Being from Rochester, I can tell you that the air is still thick with the “it can’t happen here” mantra. I spoke to a real estate agent who said that she spoke to Yun personally (I snickered internally) and Yun told her that since this area didn’t see a bubble that all is well! I told her that loans are more difficult to get, foreclosures are increasing (although nowhere near the amounts in CA, NV, AZ, and FL), taxes are increasing and the population is stagnant, so all is not well. She said little after I listed those facts.

But Muggy, why the obsessive dislike for anything upstate NY? While there are millions of us dysfunctional, clueless, lost souls that live in this hinterland of job despair, snow and high taxes, it isn’t yet the epicenter of the housing bubble that is CA, FL, NV and AZ.

Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 07:48:56

“But Muggy, why the obsessive dislike for anything upstate NY?”

I love upstate, it’s my favorite place in the world. I’ll be there next week, in fact. What I can’t stand is the upstate mentality. Rochesterians will believe in anything and that’s sad… High Falls, Fast Ferry, Italian Mall, Irondequoit Mall, Bus terminal, Soccer stadium, baseball stadium… is this not sad?

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Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 07:55:43

“it isn’t yet the epicenter of the housing bubble that is CA, FL, NV and AZ.”

I re-read your post, I’m not knocking you, but this is precisely the irony of upstate thinking: I live in the St. Pete area now, and now that the bust is on it looks like Rochester when I was growing up there. Seriously, Rochester has never stopped having abandoned buildings, ever. Downtown Clearwater, now, looks like Rochester in the early 90’s. I’m not kidding. It took the world’s largest bubble in the history of mankind to make Florida look like Rochester when it was booming.

As many have noted here, the bubble prevented price declines in upstate. Just wait, you’ll see.

I still love the Roc…

 
Comment by bizarroworld
2008-06-12 08:17:23

Muggy, I agree with your sad description. But you forgot to add $200 million Renaissance Square project and the razing of Midtown and the Blue Cross Arena improvements to the list of goodies coming to the abused taxpayer.

I took a couple rides on the Fast Ferry and it was a fantastic ship that was ill served by government control. The soccer stadium was a bad idea from the start, as was High Falls. A lot of good intentions gone badly and that is a sad, expensive fact. It seems that the Fast Ferry, soccer stadium and High Falls had private backing that disappeared once the bills came due. It’s usually the case that a smart business person will con a government worker more times than not and it has happened often here.

Are you going to be here for one of the more entertaining and sales tax generating weeks in Rochester; the Jazz Fest? That’s one instance where local government involvement worked out.

 
Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 09:18:01

Have you ever seen this parody?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GnQbpdu0zoM

 
Comment by bizarroworld
2008-06-12 09:39:31

Yeah, that’s hilarrious and disturbing at the same time. But, but, but…. the Lusty Life video retreat closed!

 
Comment by exeter
2008-06-12 11:16:08

“I love upstate, it’s my favorite place in the world. I’ll be there next week, in fact. What I can’t stand is the upstate mentality. Rochesterians will believe in anything and that’s sad…”

BINGO BINGO BINGO! And it’s not just rochester folks!!!

As a native VT’er and upstater, Granville, NY/West Pawlet, VT (state border runs through the village) to be precise, I can attest to this fact. The mentality is fawking SAD and I understand why. The native folk where I’m from have been beaten down, kicked and $hit on by a crappy economy for so long (since 1980) that they’ll believe anything someone says that might bring a reversal of fortune for everyone. It’s beyond sad. Truly pathetic. And the housing bubble represents that reversal “and goll darnit, you ain’t taking it away” because it’s the only hope for better times they’ve got. The only real hope is *leaving* for more lucrative work. So many I know, including myself have done so and I’m glad I did.

 
Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 13:10:12

Thank you for putting a tighter frame on that issue, exeter. Well said, well said.

Among many things I witnessed, the saddest was watching Kodak hack, hack away. When I was a teenager my dad took me on a chartered fishing trip. The guy that owned the boat was one of his friends who’d been laid off and my dad was helping him out, even though I know a chartered fishing trip wasn’t in my dad’s budget. He ended up getting divorced, selling the boat and so on. That had a huge impact on me… spending the day on that boat watching two grown men pretend everything is o.k. That was the late 80’s.

I got really pissed when “reporters” used to write about Gen X not committing to corporations. I’m not an idiot; unrequited love is a a man casting his last line while his buddy sips on Genny, hoping he’s not next.

 
 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-06-12 12:27:03

“This crowd continually complains about high taxes and votes to increase them each and every year.”

I can’t speak for any other upstate community but my own but it is so weird how they blame downstate for their tax problems instead of how they approve school spending. Recently several local districts had some messy fights over artificial turf. Our entire school district is less than 1500 kids. Only 1827 owner occupied housing units, 526 renter occupied (as per 2000 census) to support that budget and blood was shed/friendships ended trying to get that expenditure voted through. (I think the retirees saved us on that one. They came out in force.)

Apparently the attitude is if there is any state aid on a project we’d better get it and spend it for ourselves before some other district gets ahold of it.

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Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-06-12 12:41:48

Muggy,

I loved that youtube video: Rochester: City of Poverty.

I sent it to my husband and told him next time the chickie in the Rochester office condescendingly refers to someone from the Syracuse office as a 315-er to send her that video.

Of course, if she’s good, she’ll find herself a Syracuse version to send back. :)

 
Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 12:58:25

I can’t be too harsh, I married a 315′er. Lucky fer me she gots all hur toofuses.

 
Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 13:15:48

“I married a 315′er.”

And we met in Buffalo! A true upstate love story! Awwww.

When we die, we’ll bury our livers in Buffalo, our stomachs in Rochester, our brains in Ithaca, our eyes in Skaneateles, and our teeth in Syracuse. The rest will be sold by some guy in Hilton to some guy in Jersey. Haha!

 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-06-12 14:02:23

Muggy-
My 315er and I met over a keg of beer in Ashland, MA. (I think he left his liver in Daytona-ha!) Eventually he made me a 315er too.

My kids LOVE our new town. I guess that makes them little 315ers. I have to say this school district is amazingly professional. Almost worth all the school taxes (which I know are rolled into the rent)

Incidently I meant to tell you, on the list of area schools from this particular part of the state, Skaneateles (your fave place, hometown?) is considered #1. Luckily for us #2 was in striking distance.

 
Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 16:02:43

“Skaneateles (your fave place, hometown?)”

I have family in Skaneateles, and yes it’s my favorite place in the entire world. If I had the means, I’d buy one of those mixed use buildings on Genesee St. that face the town on one side and the lake on the other.

I don’t really care that some people are bi-coastal, have a ski place in Aspen, a flat in London and so on, but I am seriously jealous of people that can afford Skantown and a winter place in Florida; Pass-A-Grille and Skaneateles, that’d be it for me.

 
 
 
Comment by bizarroworld
2008-06-12 16:29:19

You may like this Blano. A real estate freind of mine just got this in her inbox and it’s not a sign of homes selling quickly:

Please replace all listing photos that have snow in them with spring flowers. We will be accessing fees to agents that have snow in the photos. Your seller will appreciate it as well.

 
 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-06-12 11:53:53

Gawd Muggy,

That place leaves ME (who lives down the thruway from there) speechless. $4500 taxes for that house on .11 acre. Some NYS tax official really needs to be slapped.

 
Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 13:30:21

Muggy - I think this bolsters our discussion in a post above about property taxes in Florida - the higher the tax, the lower it forces the sales value of the house. It shouldn’t be very difficult to figure that out, but an awful lot of Florida sellers seem to be clueless.

 
 
Comment by Jwhite
2008-06-12 06:11:54

Jobless claims up, but the increase in consumer spending will probably bring the markets up a couple hundred points today (even if it’s smoke and mirrors)

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/us-weekly-initial-jobless-claims/story.aspx?guid=%7B26C3F4C5%2D006A%2D4BD5%2D836B%2D0BCD1CA64978%7D

Comment by ozajh
2008-06-12 06:29:38

“Sales were bosted by higher gasoline and food prices . . .”

Oh.

So that’s good then.

Comment by ozajh
2008-06-12 06:32:02

(Quote is from another marketwatch segment.)

 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2008-06-12 07:17:18

Once again, sales of food and fuel count towards retail sales but they do not figure into the much touted “core” inflation - what a joke.

 
Comment by MEaston
2008-06-12 08:49:12

I think sales are boosted by stores like wallmart and my local grocery giving people an extra 10% if they spend it at their store. My guess is in the next month or two we’ll see quite a drop off as the checks will be quickly used to pay off debt or buy food heating oil gas ect that will be used over the next few months.

 
 
Comment by cactus
2008-06-12 07:19:01

“the increase in consumer spending ”

So are folks buying more stuff or just paying more for it?

 
 
Comment by realestateskeptic
2008-06-12 06:15:59

Exeter, Saw your follow-up on our ADK discussion and you were pretty close on our location!!!! We bought in 2005, late to the party. I knew it would not be a great short term investment, but the property really was perfect for us for many reasons so we did it. We have 25% financing and just got an appraisal and it was for 8% more than we paid, plus improvments. Not too bad. It is a very modest place. I intend to use it for many years to come and potentially retire there, if I can take the Winters. Anyway, I think that area will hold up better due to its proximity to the the safe, easy to drive Northway, Saratoga track and town, Lake George (not my favorite town), the High Peaks, and now Gore Mnt. The state is sinking a ton of money into Gore. I am not sure if the Gore project will pan out (Condos, redeveloping Little Gore), but having a Summer track,a large Lake with lots of littler Lakes nearby, and now a revitalized ski place all within 45 minutes is a draw to second home owners which is what we are. If that AMD plant actually materializes in Malta (I have serious doubts it will) then I think that area will boom for a while. It is a huge plant/investment. Just my 2 cents. I am not totally convinced its “different” there, but it s a close as I have seen to fitting the bill.

Comment by exeter
2008-06-12 11:02:32

“I am not totally convinced its “different” there, but it s a close as I have seen to fitting the bill..”

I can say the same for many locations but it doesn’t mean that things won’t revert back to what they were pre-2001. If you bought in Luzerne in 2005, you probably already know you overpaid in a very significant way unless you believe “it’s different” there. Saying it’s different might ease the grim reality of overpaying but really doesn’t change it in the long run. As you know, the locals will hang on to anything the keeps the fantasy going, so long as they don’t have to resume the long downward economic decline. I’m certain you’ve talked to them so you know what I mean. They all speak the same simpleton RE language that we love to mock here. I know this because I speak to my relatives (who are natives) there weekly.

I know what Warren, Washington, Essex and Saratoga counties were in before 2001 and nothing has changed other than the speculative talk among natives.

As of 6 months ago, I can confirm the AMD plant is DEAD. AMD told contractors not to provide anymore bids as the project is “on hold”. (I know what that means, I’m in the business). Even if it weren’t, a few hundred 40k/yr jobs (60 miles from your location) isn’t going to bring back the 1945-1980 economy built on the hundreds of thousands of high paying manufacturing jobs that existed back then. Nobody seems to want to talk about that. The *hundreds of thousands* is a real number….. gone. Poof. So I’m still attempting to get someone to provide me some evidence as to how the mostly underemployed natives and locals plan to buy housing that is grossly overpriced? I wouldn’t wager on prices there going static but many have and are. Without fundamentals, of which there are none, there is only one direction for prices to go.

Appraisal? After everything we’ve seen shake out with appraisal fraud, I’d be skeptical.

Your observations are interesting to me and I welcome them.

 
 
Comment by Jwhite
2008-06-12 06:19:59

Hasn’t anybody ever heard of saving for a rainy day? A windfall should be an excuse to pump up the savings or pay down debt, not run out and buy crap IMHO. Ohhh well - old fashioned me…

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 06:29:30

Anarchist! Commie! :)

Comment by santacruzsux
2008-06-12 06:58:09

LOL. Don’t ya know that when you get a win you just can’t walk away. Double down baby!

Comment by vmlinux
2008-06-12 07:23:59

We’ll be throwing our 1700 dollar rebate into savings. We are saving up to pay cash for a couple year old used minivan.

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Comment by Jwhite
2008-06-12 07:44:08

Revansionist! Erasmianist! One who uses CANNED mushrooms…!

Comment by Jwhite
2008-06-12 07:45:51

Do not force me to insult you again in an obscure Altaic tongue… :D

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Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 08:45:42

OK, I know when I’ve met my match. :)

(ataɣastā!)

 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-06-12 08:56:08

Do not force me to insult you again in an obscure Altaic tongue…

As if the “canned mushrooms” quip wasn’t brutal enough.

 
Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 09:42:50

Yeah, that WAS bad. I don’t even like fresh mushrooms, yet alone canned. Below the belt. :)

 
Comment by Jwhite
2008-06-12 09:48:27

I am a food snob and proud of it… *doink* (sound of a can of mushrooms being bounced off JW’s noggin)… :)

 
Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 09:56:40

OK, the bar has been set. I bet you can’t beat what I had for breakfast:

Left over Subway sandwich - and even my dogs wouldn’t eat the scraps!

I feel kinda sick (no frige, so can’t cook, not that I did when I had one…).

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Jwhite
2008-06-12 06:27:45

Pump prices reach $4.06 average. I was watching a piece on CNBC yesterday where the industry gal admitted that at $130 bbl oil, gas out to be at least $4.35 a gallon when it all works through the system. Well, off to walk before it gets too hot.

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/gasoline-rises-average-price-406/story.aspx?guid=%7B9929BF59%2D9261%2D424D%2DB289%2DA831C6CC26CF%7D

Comment by Anthony
2008-06-12 16:53:53

$4.35/gal, eh? In Eureka, California, it just raised to $4.799 a gallon, for 87 octane. Like I said, this place has some of the highest costs of anyplace in the state…and its real estate market is almost as high as San Diego.

 
 
Comment by Homoaner
2008-06-12 06:27:59

We’ve talked here about how women want to buy homes and settle, whereas men are more likely to rent. A women’s magazine has done a story on women who bought homes and lost them. Moral: renting is good, and often the smartest choice.
Glamour Magazine’s “Welcome to My Mortgage Hell” at
http://tinyurl.com/3p3neg

If it’s hitting the ladies’ magazines, it’s definitely getting to the forefront of the public consciousness.

Comment by Olympiagal
2008-06-12 07:14:17

SUPER article. Thanks, homoaner.

“You need to have clarity about what you want your life to look like,” Nelson says. “If you want a sustainable, enjoyable lifestyle, maybe fighting tooth and nail to hold on to a house that you’ll never be able to afford is not the best decision.”

Kim Monaghan says she’d be happy renting for the rest of her life. If she decides to sell her house at a loss, she will not buy another one.

“There’s nothing that says, ‘You are 30 years old, therefore you must own a house and have children and be married and be happy,’ ” says Monaghan, who’s never been married and has no children. “People kept saying, ‘You’re an idiot if you don’t buy something at least as a tax shelter.’ Well, I was an idiot: In my engineering training, I took four years of calculus…I could have used a lesson in financial planning.”

and on and on…

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 07:44:34

“In my engineering training, I took four years of calculus…I could have used a lesson in financial planning.”

And yet, compound interest (or its reverse) is far simpler than doing surface integrals, or geometry on manifolds.

Pauvre petite. And now you might not be eligible for that security clearance either.

BWAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHHHHHHHHHH!!!

 
 
Comment by hd74man
2008-06-12 07:30:05

RE: A women’s magazine has done a story on women who bought homes and lost them. Moral: renting is good, and often the smartest choice.

Yeah, 3 years ago, the Beantown Glob with it’s snarling dog-pack of feminist writers, couldn’t throw out enough stories about how men were a bunch of ignorant, financial wimps, and it was the savy, newly divorced, liberated woman who was on her way to real estate riches.

LMAO,…Suzanne told us to do it, but it’s all George Bush’s fault.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 07:54:20

You mean like this article?

Brokers say that women are betting that even if they buy in a declining market, the values won’t drop as much as they would have spent on rent. They’re more comfortable buying in the same neighborhoods and buildings as their friends do. By purchasing condominiums that they could eventually rent out if they needed to move, they’re also hoping that they can hold on to these properties until the market improves.

“A woman will say, ‘I’m still saving money in the long term.’ ” said JoAnn Schwimmer, an associate real estate broker at DJK Residential. “They’re able to see the bigger picture, while a guy says, ‘I have to get the best deal.’ ” She said that her female clients who bought four years ago have male friends still waiting for prices to drop.

Ms. Besikof was so enthusiastic about the purchase that she tried to persuade a half-dozen female friends and their husbands or partners to buy in the same building. Her candidates included a college friend, a high school friend, her husband’s former co-worker, a current co-worker and the co-worker’s former roommate.

She raved to friends about how her apartment, built by Grand Union Private Development and marketed by her company, had nearly 10-foot-high ceilings, a private roof terrace and lots of closet space. Women have bought four of the building’s 10 units — translating into $2 million in sales, Ms. Lee said. Asked if she was buying at the wrong time, Ms. Lee said she was more excited that she had bought at all. “I wanted to invest in something, and that’s what I’ve done,” she said. “It will always be mine.”

BWAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 06:30:55

Hedge Funds Gird for Withdrawals
By Jenny Strasburg
Word Count: 737

Hedge funds, frequently at the mercy of antsy investors, are bracing for a wave of withdrawals at the end of the month.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 06:40:56

We’re in mid-June but that article would’ve been more appropriate in mid-May.

Typically, redemptions have a 45-day lockup before the end of the quarter (as in you can redeem at the end of any quarter provided you tell them 45 days before the end of that quarter.)

 
Comment by combotechie
2008-06-12 06:43:05

Now we’ll learn who’s been swimming naked.

Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 07:05:37

I expect litigation in the form of many birthday suits.

 
Comment by Muggy
2008-06-12 07:18:23

“Now we’ll learn who’s been swimming naked.”

With everyone apparently swimming naked, my “Tiger Woods Scenario” appears a likely outcome.

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 09:58:00

ROFL!!

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Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-06-12 07:36:25

What’s that wee distant sound?…”Gates” slamming, …”they” think of everything, don’t they? ;-)

Show me my money!

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/hedge-funds-make-hard-say/story.aspx?guid=%7BB8433172-A445-4B09-8007-E41FDA79E64A%7D

Comment by combotechie
2008-06-12 11:14:14

A hedge fund, like hell, is easier getting into than out of.

(With apologies to Warren buffett who made a similar statement regarding derivaties.)

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 06:32:32

PAGE ONE
Obama Adviser Resigns as Loans Surface
By GLENN R. SIMPSON and JAMES R. HAGERTY
June 12, 2008; Page A1

WASHINGTON — Democratic Party stalwart James A. Johnson quit as an adviser to the Barack Obama campaign, where he was helping to screen potential running mates, as new details emerged about loans Mr. Johnson received from mortgage lender Countrywide Financial Corp.

Mr. Johnson, who led mortgage buyer Fannie Mae from 1991 to 1998, received more than $5 million in loans from Countrywide that were arranged outside its normal underwriting process, according to loan records and people with knowledge of the transactions. The loans were first disclosed in The Wall Street Journal on Saturday. (See related article.)

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 07:03:34

Is that number right?

$5M isn’t a whole lot of loans.

Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 08:17:10

For one individual’s real estate investments, $5M sounds like enough to me.

I am impressed by the SWAT team response of Team Obama to the news of this scandal. They did not bat an eye before dumping Johnson.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 08:34:50

Aaah, I see your point now. The bulb just came on.

He received the loans for himself.

I stand corrrected. I thought it had something to do with FNM buying $5M worth of loans from CFC.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 08:23:03

With a taxpayer-funded bailout measure chugging along through Congress, perhaps gambling on a housing recovery makes sense at this point. At least Mr Hedge Hog is likely to be able to convince Greater Fools that the bailout will make housing go up again soon. Hedge funds make their money up front on fees, right? (Never mind that foreclosure glut which is keeping price appreciation locked in reverse).

Lampert makes bets on housing recovery: report
By John Spence
Last update: 7:51 a.m. EDT June 12, 2008

BOSTON (MarketWatch) — High-profile hedge fund manager Edward Lampert has been positioning his portfolio for a rebound in the U.S. residential housing market by scooping up shares of home builders, mortgage lenders and a home-improvement retailer, The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday.

Comment by David Cee
2008-06-12 09:28:09

Charts of HomeBuilders over last 2 months show me Bankruptcy is knocking at their front door. And yet Crammer and Hedge Funds are scooping up their stocks and telling everyone to do the same. Are they trying to fix the game just like the NBA refs.

 
 
 
Comment by Matt_in_TX
2008-06-12 06:38:34

Two neighbors were out last night talking together, so I went over and let them know we would be selling soon. One of them said that his wife had wondered about that, “because she had seen a lady wandering around the yard who looked like a realtor.”

Freaky, she was just here for the first time that afternoon. The neighbor lady is a little clairvoyant to my mind too, because most women in Texas have REALTOR-hair ;)

Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-06-12 07:04:31

“…because most women in Texas have REALTOR-hair ;)”

That’s funny!… any pictures? :-O

 
 
Comment by Lip
2008-06-12 06:38:53

Obama, Democrats Embrace Fog of Complex Tax Plans (While the Republicans Do Nothing to Stop it)

“Start with the individual taxpayer. Democrats want to let the old Bush tax cuts expire, which would take the top rate on the income tax up 4.6 percentage points.”

“Obama for his part has repeatedly and specifically spoken of lifting the cap — there’s that word again — on the payroll tax. This move alone amounts to a 6.2 percent increase on higher earners — 12.4 if you count the employers’ side, which economists do.”

“Obama wants to raise the capital gains tax to 28 percent. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi would certainly live with that, but so would some Republicans, since 28 percent is the rate in the 1986 law they supported”

“There’s more. With a Democratic Congress and a Democratic president, Pelosi is likely to get a windfall-profits tax on energy, especially now that Obama has explicitly endorsed such a levy.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&sid=aK5JGbiyzVRw&refer=columnist_shlaes

I really like the one about the windfall profit tax. Since the prices are so high and they’re making so much money, let’s raise the taxes on the oil companies, who will in turn RAISE PRICES ON ALL OF THEIR PRODUCTS IN ORDER TO PAY FOR THE TAXES!!! WE THE PEOPLE PAY ALL OF THE TAXES, ONE WAY OR THE OTHER.

Comment by santacruzsux
2008-06-12 06:55:43

If Obama gets elected and these tax plans go through, you will see a complete evaporation of money in this country in terms of being put into productive capital uses. Rich folk aren’t that stupid. Great choices we have this election: Empty head or Mumbles. 300 million people in this country and this is the best we can do? When we go down we’re gonna make the Romans look like pikers……

Comment by wmbz
2008-06-12 07:13:07

“When we go down we’re gonna make the Romans look like pikers”……

You got that right! I had the vision of Slim Pickens riding the bomb out of the bomb bay door.

Going out in a blaze… But no Glory. Handing the next generations a big shit sandwich.

Comment by hd74man
2008-06-12 07:40:19

RE: I had the vision of Slim Pickens riding the bomb out of the bomb bay door.

LMAO…one of the greatest movie scenes of all time. You always forget about it, until someone brings it up.

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Comment by JP
2008-06-12 07:28:13

you will see a complete evaporation of money in this country in terms of being put into productive capital uses.

Is this not a bubble blog? Did we not just witness and document the largest misuse of capital in history in an error of generationally low cap gains?

Comment by santacruzsux
2008-06-12 07:53:54

Oh yes a complete misuse of capital I agree! Malinvestment indeed. But money was moving. What I envision is a complete seize up of monetary flows (as has been happening in the banking sector). If you have the cash in a deflationary depression why put it to work if you’re gonna be taxed up the ying-yang for your efforts? Better to just buy tangible assets on the cheap and lock it away. Hell, maybe buy an idle factory, (or if you own it shut it down) and if things get bad enough, get a gov contract to pay you to start it up and put people to work? Those tax dollars gotta go somewhere! (Ok I’m being a little facetious)

I still can’t chose any camp in the inflation/deflation debate, either way ends poorly. I figure that in either environment it is better to have “stuff” than just the digits that you can exchange for said “stuff”. It’s a gamble any which way you look at it….

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Comment by JP
2008-06-12 08:12:41

Did we not just witness and document the largest misuse of capital in history in an error of generationally low cap gains

Another fraudian slip. Make that “era of”. But hey, error works too.

But money was moving.

So look at the correlation: Capital gains on houses was 0%. Did it lead to investment? Yep. Anyone want to claim that this was better than a slower investment environment?

 
Comment by santacruzsux
2008-06-12 08:33:30

I certainly wouldn’t make that claim. The appreciation of housing prices fed further investment in a sector of the economy that shouldn’t have been taking such inflows. They aren’t call booms for nothing! The inevitable bust is the bitch. Tax increases on “productive” sectors of the economy sure aren’t going to help during that bust. Anyone that declares that the energy sector is not a major capital producing sector of the economy is kidding themselves. I guess we could always nationalize our energy companies. We’re already waist deep in socialism, why not just dive full in?

 
Comment by JP
2008-06-12 08:44:37

We’re already waist deep in socialism

Hey, not everyone lives in Santa Cruz… :)
OT: Actually, I really liked visiting there when I lived in Silicon Valley. It was a LOT less tense. What is it that makes you say it sux? I’m genuinely curious, cuz it’s on the list of places I’d consider moving.

 
Comment by Eudemon
2008-06-12 09:10:12

You should post here more often, santacruzsux. Thank you.

 
Comment by tresho
2008-06-12 09:21:18

I guess we could always nationalize our energy companies. If the nationalized energy company would sell me all the gasoline I want for $1/gal, all the NG I want for $5/mcf, & all the electricity I want for 4 cents/kwh, I’d support that. But I want a free pony, too.

 
Comment by santacruzsux
2008-06-12 10:06:09

Hey JP. I wouldn’t say Santa Cruz sucks in general. Like all towns it has its share of problems and some that are unique to that particular environment i.e. homeless supermagnet. I chose the handle “santacruzsux” from a local Santa Cruz band compilation CD that came out years and years ago. I played with some of the guys and girls in those bands. I joined this blog when I still lived in Santa Cruz and thought that handle was appropos.

If you have a good job, or are independently wealthy then Santa Cruz rocks! If you’re poor and don’t care about your housing situation or how you live in general, once again Santa Cruz rocks! If you’re anywhere in between then IMHO Santa Cruz “sux”. It is far too expensive of an evironment to live well on a modest salary. If you love the ocean, redwood trees and don’t ever have to go “over the hill” to San Jose then for many people the premium to live there is acceptable.

I

 
Comment by JP
2008-06-12 10:48:31

Thanks for the feedback. I hear you about cost of living… I watch the housing there (it’s dropped, not by enough tho– maybe it’s different there), but I haven’t yet crossed it off my list.

 
Comment by exeter
2008-06-12 12:24:58

I’m in complete agreement. No more corporate socialism.

 
 
 
Comment by cynicalgirl
2008-06-12 07:49:08

That didn’t happen in the 90’s, did it?

 
Comment by Mole Man
2008-06-12 10:08:11

If taxes are so bad, then why did people approve of guns and butter budgets in the first place? We already spent the money. Most of these taxes are the obvious thing and represent the rollback of tax deferments from the past. None of those were tax cuts because there were no corresponding service cuts. Instead of behaving rationally when the bills come due we get a panic attack. How is our multi-billion dollar space shield coming along, oh great defender hawk types? Oddly enough, the economy that we crushed with weapons dealing and warmongering was the key to our strength. Oops!

Look back even in very recent history and you will find far worse burdens on the rich than are being proposed. Defending the profit spike that the poor oil companies are having as untouchable is particularly silly.

And what’s with all the comparisons the the Romans? Do you really think our republic in North America is the same as that sprawling empire of old? That comparison comes up all the time, but it really doesn’t correspond even remotely.

Vote for less from government and you will get less taxes. Stopping with the warmongering and using money from other states to build up your local roads would be a good start.

 
 
Comment by yogurt
2008-06-12 08:03:39

let’s raise the taxes on the oil companies, who will in turn RAISE PRICES ON ALL OF THEIR PRODUCTS IN ORDER TO PAY FOR THE TAXES!!!

So what US tax increases have been responsible for the doubling in the price of oil over the last year, smart guy? Or better yet for the enormous increase in oil prices since GWB was elected president?

Oil prices are determined by global supply and demand. US oil companies simply sell their product for the world price, regardless of what taxes they have to pay on their revenues.

Comment by Steadykat
2008-06-12 09:23:52

let’s raise the taxes on the oil companies, who will in turn RAISE PRICES ON ALL OF THEIR PRODUCTS IN ORDER TO PAY FOR THE TAXES!!!

Who’s talking about who’s responsible for the price of oil or why the price for it has increased lately, “smart guy”? I believe that Lip is talking about who gets to pay for any “wind-fall” tax and he is correct in his assumption that it will be you and me.

Oil Companies produce and sell much more than just gasoline.

My uncle, now his family, are distributors for Shell in Texas. They distribute all kinds of products in their territory including fertilizers, motor oils, transmission fluids, misc filters, bulk grease, and on and on. Oh, and those cool little light-up key fob “thingys” that I get as a gift from them every Christmas.

Many of their customers are car dealers and auto and motorcycle and farm equipment service shops.

They (oil companies) will simply raise the prices on everything that they produce or market or distribute a little bit more to cover any tax increases imposed by our “leaders” under the heading of a “windfall”.

 
Comment by Lip
2008-06-12 09:25:28

My point is that the consumers pay the taxes because these are all passed on by the oil companies, or any other company for that matter.

Santacruzsux is right, the people with all of the money are going to keep it to themselves, leading to less investment capital which IS leading to less development./building.

 
Comment by tresho
2008-06-12 09:30:53

Oil prices are determined by global supply and demand. It’s not as simply as you paint it. Supply is real (altho the reports of same are manipulated), demand is an imaginary construct & subject to manipulation. It is lunacy to say taxes on oil don’t affect the price the end user pays, just look at European motor fuel prices. Then there are the subsidies paid by various countries to keep the prices down & keep the peasants in line. Then there is the price our GIs pay enforcing a rough kind of law ‘norder in the Big Oil Patch. And there are other determinants. In my own little world, the price I pay for gasoline & diesel is set by the gas station, period. I pay the price they set or I do without.

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 06:39:01

I am so glad our D-ratic Congressfolk are working hard behind the scenes to institutionalize rewards for stupidity.

Congress’ mortgage bailout poster child
Published: Jun 10 2008, 11:58 PM
Category: Opinion
Topic: Editorial
(Guest editorial from the Sacramento Union)

When it comes to mortgage defaults, U.S. Rep. Laura Richardson, D - Long Beach, is a recidivist. This spring, she lost her Sacramento home in a foreclosure auction and has defaulted on properties in Long Beach and San Pedro.

Taking her cue from Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, Rep. Richardson sees herself caught in the maws of voracious lenders and a cruel capitalistic system that have forced others like her out of their homes.

I think this is what many Americans are unfortunately facing right now,” she told the Los Angeles area’s Daily Breeze. “…I can take what I have learned from this to help somebody else. Many people are one step away from issues that are life-changing moments. When a person moves across the country, that is a life-changing moment.

The Congresswoman traces her “life-changing moment” and credit troubles to her two-year ascent from local politics to the state legislature to a seat in Congress. Richardson says she accumulated a lot of debt to fund her special election campaign for Congress. Partly to blame, she says, is the measly salary she is forced to accept to serve there. Alas, $170,000 a year just does not go as far as it used to.

It did not go far enough, at least, to cover mortgage payments on three houses she held simultaneously.

Comment by bulwark
2008-06-12 07:46:56

Someone needs to investigate how she qualified for loans on three houses with a government salary. Did she lie about her income? Did she lie about her primary residence? The FBI, which is investigating mortgage fraud, should make an example of anyone in a prominent position who contributed to the bubble.

Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 14:38:29

Maybe all she had to do was show them how much her guaranteed pension-for-life will be.

 
 
Comment by cynicalgirl
2008-06-12 07:52:10

Why should somebody who cannot manage their own finances be trusted with the federal budget?

Comment by Matt_in_TX
2008-06-12 21:18:25

Well, she Isn’t in the collecting branch of government, but the SPENDING branch - for which she seems particularly well experienced.

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 06:42:57

I guess if the level of any of these ABX Indexes reaches 0, you can be sure a bottom has been reached. (They are scaled on a range of 0 to 100, and last time I checked, some written on the dodgiest of subprime securities were trading below 10.)

Mortgage Bonds Resume Stumble; Some Debt Nears Lows (Update2)
By Jody Shenn

June 10 (Bloomberg) — Some of the U.S. mortgage bonds at the center of the yearlong credit crisis are slipping toward new lows, as climbing gas prices, unemployment and interest rates deepen concern that homeowner defaults will increase.

The benchmark Markit ABX index linked to the last-to-be-repaid of originally AAA rated subprime-mortgage bonds from the first half of 2007 fell today to a record low of 50.55, down about 16 percent from May 19, suggesting a corresponding drop on similar securities. Top-rated bonds of “option” adjustable-rate mortgages are also falling, according to a report yesterday from RBS Greenwich Capital.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 06:46:15

Why is it that lately we see so many days (like today, for instance) when stocks take off like a rocket and gold gets hammered out of the starting gate? Is this “normal” market behavior (if there is such a thing)?

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 07:12:48

So that we short again?!?

 
Comment by cactus
2008-06-12 07:29:05

Jobless claims jump by 25,000 to highest level since late March

“WASHINGTON (AP) — The number of people filing new claims for unemployment benefits jumped last week to the highest level since late March.
The Labor Department reported Thursday that new applications for jobless benefits rose to 384,000, an increase of 25,000 from the previous week.

That was a much bigger gain than analysts had been expecting and indicated that the labor market still remains under pressure. Last week, the government reported that the unemployment rate jumped to 5.5 percent, up from 5 percent in April. That was the biggest one-month gain in 22 years.”

I think the stock market is happy with the poor jobs report because the FED will have a hard time raising interest rates to fight inflation with a poor jobs outlook. I don’t know why gold is down except the dollar is up. Why is the dollar up with a poor jobs report and no higher interest rates to fight inflation? I expect the dollar to continue down and interest rates to stay low in the USA. Inflation up and gas to 5 bucks. Then Bernake will quit or get fired.

Comment by joeyinCalif
2008-06-12 08:02:19

I don’t think the dollar is showing strength so much as foreign economies are just beginning to reveal weaknesses.. while gold reacts for no reason other than ingrained habit.

 
 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2008-06-12 07:38:40

..Is this “normal” market behavior..

It’s normal behavior for an uncertain market..

Not much has changed in the past 6 months since the credit crunch hit. We still do not know what the true state of the financial sector is.

Everyone’s got the jitters and markets are prone to over react at the slightest provocation. So, there’s lots of volatility.

 
 
Comment by ChrisInBirmingham
2008-06-12 06:58:24

Retail sales rise much more than expected

“The Commerce Department reported an increase last month that was twice as much as expected by Wall Street economists polled before the report. Taking out the higher prices consumers paid for gasoline, sales still rose by a strong 0.8 percent, the biggest increase in a year.”

full article

I think they should have to report consumer debit increases/decreases (does it ever decrease?) with consumer spending reports.

 
Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-06-12 06:59:57

“…And the greedy young man went on television, where the media declared him a genius.”

Why doesn’t see just use his name?: Cramass….booyah!

“And the mirror just sighed at all the trouble. “Another mania, another bubble. The winners get out before it bursts, the man who follows the rules is cursed. With a sense of entitlement and plenty of greed, you can win this game with lightning speed. I’ve told the tale, and now I’m finished.”

And the American Dream was greatly diminished.”

The thing is Laura…the last seven years hasn’t been a “fairy tale”…just ask that couple who bought that $850,000 house in …Garden Grove! ;-)

http://finance.yahoo.com/expert/article/moneyhappy/87379

 
Comment by spike66
2008-06-12 07:00:10

More Lehman troubles…

June 12 (Bloomberg) — Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. replaced Chief Financial Officer Erin Callan and President Joseph Gregory three days after the firm raised $6 billion to help survive the collapse of the mortgage market and reported the first quarterly loss since the company went public in 1994.

Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 10:23:42

Was that a static drop they performed, with their golden parachutes?

 
 
Comment by Frank Hague
2008-06-12 07:05:52

http://tinyurl.com/5tzvmb

From Business Week:

“Want to silence a group of colleagues at work or friends at dinner? Heap praise on speculators—and the market bubbles they help create.

Yes, you read that right. Bubbles may be anathema to many financial commentators and ordinary investors. But policymakers like central bankers should applaud speculators and welcome economic booms. And when things head south, they should concentrate their efforts on limiting the damage from the bust. ”

“Bubble bashers dwell on the bad and ignore the good that speculative price runups can do. Speculative fevers often emerge during times of major innovations and technological change. By definition, the impact of innovation is unpredictable. What new technologies and business models will win out in a competitive market is difficult, if not impossible, to predict. A bubble is capitalism’s way of rapidly transforming an economy. It’s a perspective Greenspan shared and understood well.”

Comment by yogurt
2008-06-12 08:10:31

So they’ve gone from denying a bubble to saying it’s a good thing.

Just what “innovation” did the housing bubble bring about, other than in new ways to peddle bad debt?

A bubble is capitalism’s way of rapidly transforming an economy. It’s a perspective Greenspan shared and understood well.”

Well I agree with that one. Transforming it to third world status.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 08:13:25

“Speculative fevers often emerge during times of major innovations and technological change.”

And this is supposed to imply that bubbles are a good thing? It makes about as much sense as saying that economic booms sparked by technological breakthroughs are often associated with rising levels of white collar crime; white collar crime is thus desirable, due to its association with technological innovation which makes society better off.

Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-06-12 08:36:20

0 % down… or…. the transistor…. which was the “better” idea? ;-)

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 08:52:54

Exactly because it assumes that the innovation would’ve never have occurred without the bubble.

Frédéric Bastiat lives!!!

Denying the unobservable in favor of what can be seen.

The tech revolution would’ve happened, bubble or no bubble. The time was right, machine costs were dropping compared to labor, and everyone would’ve realized the advantages sooner or later.

Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 11:15:39

“Exactly because it assumes that the innovation would’ve never have occurred without the bubble.”

Post hoc ergo propter hoc.

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Comment by BW
2008-06-12 09:53:23

What transformation or innovation did we get this time? the iPhone? McMansions? New, elaborate ways of packaging debt?

The fact is that part of the reason we had a bubble is because the economy increasingly depended on pure finance rather than on real innovation.

Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 11:19:55

1) PCs for everyone
2) Internet
3) Blogs

But it is too early to say to what degree the recent boom reflected productivity gains (or losses) versus speculative euphoria, aided and abetted by loose monetary policy.

 
 
 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 07:23:14

I’m headed down to the Playboy Jazz Festival @ the Hollywood Bowl on the weekend. It’s my birds-eye view @ black L.A.(about 1/2 the audience) strutting around like peacocks. You can take a 300 pound black guy and put him in a 2-piece cream colored suit, with a canary yellow hat and he looks sharp, but try the same thing with a white guy of the same proportions and it’s a disaster. Heffner shows up front and center with a half dozen hotties (total age: 128) and it’s like an old lion surrounded by a pride… Oh yeah, and the music’s pretty good as well.

Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-06-12 07:52:02

You can take a 300 pound black guy and put him in a 2-piece cream colored suit, with a canary yellow hat and he looks sharp

Not so much. The only black people who dress like nowadays are counterparts of Elton John, who dress the same way.

Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 07:58:22

I’ve canvassed the crowd there for many years, and that’s the picture i’ve seen with my very eyes…

 
Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 10:05:18

You don’t really believe that, do you??

You’ve apparently never seen the perjurous, philandering scumball mayor of Detroit.

 
 
Comment by tresho
2008-06-12 10:11:03

Few white guys look good in canary yellow hats. 300-pounders, definitely never.

 
 
Comment by reuven
2008-06-12 07:29:45

On NPR this morning, there was a report that retail sales were up 1% last month, presumably because of the “stimulus” handout.

But….AUTO sales were up 1.2%! I predicted that the consumers getting this handout would simply use it to get deeper into debt.

I presume that the people who bought cars weren’t $1200 short of the $40K they needed for that new Lexus. They’re using it as a down payment for a new, financed, car.

Perhaps they’re hoping that Barack, with Barney F., will do something to prevent them from “losing their cars” when they can’t make the payments….

Comment by MEaston
2008-06-12 08:53:45

I think they said excluding auto sales retail sales were up 1.2%.

Comment by reuven
2008-06-12 09:24:50

You’re right! Nevermind!

 
 
 
Comment by reuven
2008-06-12 07:31:43

From Bloomberg.com: Carl Ichan on why Barack will be a disaster:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aElyzzHkNwCY&refer=home

Comment by txchick57
2008-06-12 07:43:04

I posted that a few weeks ago with the usual suspects weighing in with their lame talking points.

“No Billionaire Left Behind.”

Comment by wmbz
2008-06-12 08:53:04

Why Obama Won’t Win It All… Charlie Reese.

http://www.lewrockwell.com/reese/reese464.html

Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 09:59:34

“Nevertheless, I believe there remains a substantial number of people who simply will not vote to put an African-American in the White House.”

He’s right. They’re called Democrats.

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Comment by Mole Man
2008-06-12 10:23:20

too black, liberal
big government spending spree
take your guns away

That makes for lovely haiku, but terrible policy. The big spending spree in progress is the war and Obama has the only coherent plan for bringing the troops and negotiating globally to avoid having them being needed again. Supporting concealed carry permits for retired peace officers doesn’t sound like something a rampant gun snatcher would do.

It is kind of sad, really. The vast majority of the nation would support the kind of let daddy drive policies that conservatives endorse, but that keeps leading to daddy crashing the car.

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Comment by edgewaterjohn
2008-06-12 07:51:58

No matter who is elected, all these clowns are really making a strong case for why buying RE (and letting them get their collective hooks in deeper) might not be a good idea for decades to come.

Comment by iftheshoefits
2008-06-12 08:09:27

Agreed! Our economic plans 3-5 years out really make no accounting at this point for who ends up in the Oval Office. The end results are going to be pretty close to the same as far as impact our family’s finances.

Robert Samuelson coined the term “McBama” in an article he wrote this week. Pretty appropriate.

 
 
Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-06-12 07:52:12

“…a “terrible” U.S. president whose election would bring higher interest rates and a loss of international confidence in the dollar.”

As opposed to Cheney-Shrub and the “reality” of today:

1. Highest home ownership in American history
2. Highest admiration from World Nations & their people
3. Lowest National Debt and getting lower by the minute
4. Highest approval rating from American citizen’s since… Nixon
5. Proven ability to chew pretzels & ride a bicycle at the same time
6. Demonstrated leadership skills by bringing “democracy” to the Middle East via “Shock & Awe” strategy

Comment by tresho
2008-06-12 09:49:57

I anticipate things will be so “terrible” by the next Inauguration Day it will matter little who is inaugurated.

 
 
Comment by hoz
2008-06-12 08:13:44

“…The IRA: Bob Feinberg described that process beautifully in our interview earlier this year. After Enron, the SEC and the FASB simply tweaked the criteria for determining control for SIVs and Wall Street kept right on going. Enron was a broker-dealer after all. The off balance sheet vehicle model was under development in the private banking world for many years before Enron.

Mayer: Well, the SEC under George Bush and Chris Cox has been a disaster. I testified before the House Banking Committee when Cox was a congressman. It was in the days of Charles Keating and American Financial Corporation.

The IRA: Ah yes. I wonder how many people remember that John McCain (R-AZ) was one of the Keating Five? Keating paid millions to Senators Dennis DeConcini (D-AZ), Alan Cranston (D_CA), John Glenn (D-OH), Don Riegle (D-MI) and McCain. And Keating spent four years in prison. The McCain-Keating connection sort of evens the balance with Barack Obama and Tony Rezko, who was just convicted of corruption charges in a Chicago federal court.

Mayer: Well, one of the things I pointed out about Keating was that American Financial was not his first scam. He had sold lobby notes. He’d done that earlier with a bank in Cincinnati. This was an invitation to fraud and it was something that he had a record of doing. And Cox said that he could not see what was wrong with it. And I thought to myself; this guy is a congressman. He represents Orange County, a community that was really victimized by Keating. Lincoln was the largest lender in Orange County and as soon as Keating took it over he moved the whole lending operation to AZ. He kept the deposits in CA but he moved the lending to AZ. You’d think that a congressman like Cox or even Senator Alan Cranston would be annoyed with Keating for taking assets out of the state, but no, no, he was never criticized. …”
Institutional Risk Analytics
Why put trust in any politician.

Comment by txchick57
2008-06-12 08:34:52

because you don’t have a choice

Comment by hoz
2008-06-12 08:43:33

I have a choice. I vote with my dollars, the problem is they don’t stay bought. Greedy pricks. :>(

“The fundamental situation is that we are spending $70 billion per month more than we earn, so how can the dollar strengthen? ”
Martin Mayer

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Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 09:27:13

Financial hocus pocus can only get you so far, before you lose focus…

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpV5InLw52U

 
Comment by novasold
2008-06-12 09:39:55

Hoz:

Hee, hee. Very good.

 
 
Comment by fran chise
2008-06-12 09:58:08

Yup, but just vote for the new candidate and when she/he becomes the incumbent, ote for their opponent. Seems like you couldn’t do worse based upon experience.

And they wonder why a good portion of the public doesn’t vote. It can’t all be laziness.

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Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 14:49:32

Fran - that’s how I do it - I’ve voted against all incumbents for the past ten years. For Prez, I’m writing in Ron Paul. As a local RP campaign leader used to sign his e-mails, if you vote for the lesser of two evils, you’re still voting for evil.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 09:54:37

“Senator Obama has a very smart plan to help our nation come out of and recover more quickly from our economic downturn,” Wolf said in an e-mail.

Anybody have a clue as to what that is??

Comment by Mole Man
2008-06-12 10:43:34

The bulk of it seems to go like this:
1. Bring ‘em home
2. Pay for their meds and retraining
3. Profit

Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 14:52:26

Mole - do you really believe that he would bring ‘em home? He’s already pandering to the neocons. Beating war drums about a country that cannot be a serious threat to us, Iran, is no sign of intent to withdraw from the Middle East, as far as I’m concerned. I think Raimondo is right on all of this.

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Comment by NoSingleOne
2008-06-12 19:59:49

Since when did Israel’s self interest become our own? Disagreeing with them once in awhile does not make you anti-Semitic, by the way.

 
 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2008-06-12 14:53:41

Too bad nobody is campaigning on the “cut federal spending by 10% by reducing headcount by 20%”

That’d get us 1/5th of the way to a better America.

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Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 15:43:12

Amen to that.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Jas Jain
2008-06-12 07:32:20


New Criminal Record: 7.2 Million
Nation’s Justice System Strains to Keep Pace With Convictions

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/06/11/AR2008061103458.html

One area where they are recruiting. My neighbor’s brother just got hired.

“In an attempt to relieve overcrowding, California is now exporting some of its 170,000 inmates to privately run corrections facilities as far away as Tennessee.”

How about to Bengladesh, China or Vietnam?

Jas

Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 07:40:45

There’s a bright and shiny prison, not too far from JJ’s neighborhood (Dynomite!)

But, there are so many more hidden from public view, all over the Central Valley of California.

Billions for prisons, but not one Cent for desalination plants…

Comment by Jas Jain
2008-06-12 07:58:47


Don’t forget that developments follow the prison roads and infrastructure. If you want to expand into new undeveloped areas just build some prisons.

Jas

 
Comment by David
2008-06-12 13:16:38

prisoners dont do much gardening, or need a big lawn. and they take really short showers.

 
 
 
Comment by txchick57
2008-06-12 07:40:21

Good read. This idiot whose name was in the WSJ piece yesterday about “buy and bail” better learn to love the house she’s in.

http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=OWJkNGE3ZjIyYTAzOTg0MWJlYmViM2FlZGVjMjY4ZmY=

Comment by takingbets
2008-06-12 08:44:40

great article, i sure hope that gets alot of national attention and starts putting a proper spin on these “feel sorry for me, i’m a victim” bull$hit articles we see too much of!

 
Comment by cactus
2008-06-12 09:48:24

Why she was bragging about this I don’t get it? maybe because so many thousands are doing it she figured it was a smart thing and wanted to be on the news as a smart business player ?

Just dumb

Comment by takingbets
2008-06-12 09:57:25

i think she is mimicking Munchausen syndrome a psychological disorder to draw attention or sympathy. i guess we can be happy that she is inflicting the pain on the banks instead of a defensless child.

 
 
 
Comment by Ouro Verde
2008-06-12 07:50:28

Even if you didn’t see ben this weekend you can post your photo for all of us to see.
If anybody wants to put a photo on the photobucket.com, send it to ben with photobucket in the subject line.
If you are a lurker put your city and state.

http://s292.photobucket.com/albums/mm1/anngogh/?albumview=slideshow

 
Comment by txchick57
2008-06-12 07:51:01

Hey, what do you all think about this idea for SS for the baby boomers? Someone suggested this to me yesterday.

If you have been responsible and saved a lot for your retirement, allow you to draw from your retirement accounts tax free in return for waiving your claim to Social Security benefits? Maybe up to a cap of 100K per year or something like that? Wonder if enough would take that to take the pressure off the system.

I had to run the numbers to see if I would do that. Assuming that what SS tells me I will get is still there, it’s 50-50 whether I would do it or not. I think we can live on SS assuming we have a paid for house and are healthy so I might not go for it.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 08:08:33

I don’t think that works. It’s basically a free option.

You collect SS and you let your assets appreciate. Then you switch, and renounce SS to get the stuff tax-free.

Perhaps you mean renounce it once and for all at 65?

Still probably not worth it under a wide range of scenarios. And as you said, if I owned a house and were healthy, SS would be more than sufficient.

 
Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-06-12 08:09:47

“…in return for waiving your claim to Social Security”

Somehow I don’t see you as going… “Amish” :-)

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 08:38:05

Not with all that flashy Bling-Bling™. :-D

 
Comment by txchick57
2008-06-12 08:53:07

You should see how we live now. 20 year old college furniture. The place looks like a dorm room.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 09:42:36

Hey, I resemble that comment!!!

Maybe not 20 years but definitely going on the 15-year mark for my stuff.

Nobody’s ever complained though so I guess it’s all good. :-)

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Comment by txchick57
2008-06-12 09:46:20

My bedroom set is 24 years old. It looks like something Ron Burgundy would like.

 
Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 09:49:21

Same here…..15 years going on as-long-as-possible, and the couch still provides a very pleasant nap.

 
Comment by Kim
2008-06-12 13:18:07

“My bedroom set is 24 years old. It looks like something Ron Burgundy would like.”

Gotcha way beat! We’re using the bedroom set my grandparents bought my parents for their wedding gift. Got my new suite picked out, though. Not going to buy it until I eventually buy a house.

“If you have been responsible and saved a lot for your retirement, allow you to draw from your retirement accounts tax free in return for waiving your claim to Social Security benefits?”

I could go for having that option. As you mentioned, we live frugally so its 50-50 whether we’d take it or not.

If government bailouts ever happen, it ought to be on the condition that the FBs benefiting waive their right to collect social security. Not that I think either will happen, though.

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2008-06-12 10:18:47

I’m into Metro Shelving and HTF steel milk crates…what a fashion statement.

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Comment by fran chise
2008-06-12 10:08:29

Living on SS you’d almost have to go amish. What’s the max benefit? Something like $2k for a single and $3K a month for a married couple?

 
 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2008-06-12 08:29:33

The question is whether or not the govt would go for it… and since the idea appears to be a zero-sum game, their answer would be yes if they come out ahead, and no if they don’t.

 
Comment by ahansen
2008-06-12 09:55:12

As the US/global economic meltdown becomes more gooey and American pension funds start to default beyond the ability of the pension guarantee fund to bail them out, I can foresee a scenario in which retirees get to choose ONE and only ONE pension option to retire on.

Those creative folks who have structured their working careers to draw retirement pensions from say, military, sheriff’s/fire department, city official, corporate consultant AND social security in addition to IRA or corporate pension accounts will have to choose the one they wish to keep. And only that ONE.

I actually know a person who is pulling in over $270K a year in federal, state, and county government retirement funds ALL WHILE WORKING FULL TIME AS AN ATTORNEY…aged 59. In three years he will begin collecting social security. Pardon me while I barf.

This abuse is not why pensions, SS etc. were established. One can certainly argue that the pensioner put in their time, and deserves to draw the contracted payments. But given the number of retirees vis a vis the number of workers available to pay them off, it’s not sustainable…as the good folks of France are finding out. If the choice comes down to taking one government pension or none, I’ll bet people will go for the one.

Just throwing this out to see if it bleeds….

Comment by OCDan
2008-06-12 11:00:11

“actually know a person who is pulling in over $270K a year in federal, state, and county government retirement funds ALL WHILE WORKING FULL TIME AS AN ATTORNEY…aged 59. In three years he will begin collecting social security. Pardon me while I barf.

This is why we, as a country, can’t stop this mess. See, this guy makes all this money in pensions. The pensions are paid for with taxes, maybe even his since he lives in the same area, maybe.

Our economy is a zero-sum game in total and is so interconnected it isn’t even funny. Joe gets this, but Bill pays for it on his taxes. Mary get this, but Jean gets that. I am so sick and tired of this game. Foreget the matrix, at least there was hope. This is just utter nonsense, what we are doing.

Eventually something is going to give.

How about this. NO MORE TAXES! Get your land and farm it.

This whole economy is a joke and this reality would really suck if not for my family, friends, and faith.

Money is just a tool, not the end all be all!

Sorry to be a downer. Just needed the rant. War on savers. WS gamed. Bailouts for everyone, except the honest and decent people, who play by the rules. All so tiring and wasteful.

As an aside, I see gas has reached 4.50 at the AM/PM across the street from Saddleback church. That is 4.50 for the 87 or 89 (cheap, as I call it) unleaded. Wait until it hits 5 bucks. Woohoo. Everyone knows their 5X tables. 5, 10, 15, 20. WOWZERS! This is going to get interesting.

 
 
Comment by WT Economist
2008-06-12 10:17:06

Here is the idea.

If you are in the 1960s generation, claim that Social Security is fully funded until you and all of yours are retired. Then, cut the benefits of those who come after to close the shortfall.

If you are in the stagflation generation and those after, be nice to your kids and hope they will have a spare corner in the cellar somewhere for you.

 
 
Comment by hoz
2008-06-12 08:03:32

Housing Slump Helps the Draw of Fixer-Upper TV

“…The housing market is collapsing, but television shows about housing are booming….

…“If anything, there’s more interest than ever before, because of what’s going on in the market,” Jim Samples, the president of HGTV, said.

HGTV’s prime-time schedule — built around the shows “Designed to Sell,” “House Hunters” and “My House Is Worth What?” — now average more than a million viewers every evening….”

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/12/business/media/12flip.html

Flip this POS.

Comment by Meshell
2008-06-12 09:05:34

I love HGTV but have no intention of buying a house anytime soon. Some kind of sick financial voyeurism deep inside me, I guess!

Comment by NotInMontana
2008-06-12 14:33:04

Same here! At first was, gee I wish I could do that too…now it’s gee I’m glad I didn’t do that…LOL

 
 
Comment by SDGreg
2008-06-12 09:11:12

“People loved comedies during the depression, too,” said R. J. Cutler, executive producer of “Flip That House.”

But why would I go to HGTV if I wanted good comedy? Enough of the dated, bubble-era programming.

Now I would enjoy the dark humor of a 2008 “My House Is Worth What?” episode from FL or CA where the previously hopeful owner finds out their house is worth $x00,000 less than what they still owe on it. Just to see the look on their face(s) would be priceless.

Maybe they could do new programming on top ways to reduce the
value of your property further before walking. (”Flip-off That Lender”?)

 
 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 08:05:07

Celebrity Debt Pool

Which one gets foreclosed on next?

Comment by San Diego RE Bear
2008-06-12 10:09:53

George W. Bush
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue NW
Washington, DC 20500
:D

 
 
Comment by Jas Jain
2008-06-12 08:12:16


David Rosenberg:
“A sign of just how undervalued the dollar is — And if you want to see first-hand how the dollar has probably hit rock bottom given how egregiously undervalued it is, have a look at page B1 of the WSJ – Europeans are coming to the USA in droves to buy their luxury cars that are produced where they live but have been shipped to dealer lots in America where
they are not moving. The super-cheap dollar and the rebates are saving European buyers as much as 30% from what they would pay for the identical vehicle at home. See “Europeans Go to U.S. Dealers to Buy Cars From Home”.”

I think that the dollar has bottomed against the European currencies.

Jas

Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 08:21:23

The Euros buying up their own goods from us, for less than they pay at home is a one-time phenomenon, until the next shipments from Europe, which will be priced in Dollars at what the rest of the world pays…

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 08:40:47

Wrong.

This is the Cost of Production Theory of Pricing fallacy. What people will pay is what people will pay. The supply curve doesn’t adjust upwards just because your costs did.

 
 
Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 14:58:39

Wonder how they are going to get those car engines repaired. Unless things have changed, cars produced for sale in the US have different components and computers. If that were not true, I’d think it would have been much easier to bring in “gray” cars from Europe and convert them to U.S. specs than it was. Ditto for warranty matters.

Comment by SiO2
2008-06-12 18:05:50

There’s generally a better selection of engines in EU than US. E.g. BMW in the 3 series in US has the 328 and 335. In EU they have 318 (4 cyl), 328, 335, plus a variety of diesels. The only one I know of that is available in US but not EU is the 5cyl in the VW Rabbit. There’s also some body trim differences, like side marker lights in EU but not in US always.

So, short answer is, if it can be legally imported then the small differences are not going to matter that much. The mph speedometer and odometer would be annoying, but that could probably be replaced.

Warranty could be a problem, I imagine that the warranty is not valid in EU. OTOH $15k of savings can pay for a lot of repairs. And the EU warranties tend to be shorter anyhow, no 5/50 warranties over there.

Importing cars to the US via gray market got more difficult due to US law changes. But that was never a huge market, mainly to get something not available here. And doing it now would be really expensive. A bmw 328, $35k or so here, is on the order of $50k in EU. and usually not as well equipped, A/c was an option til recently.

 
 
 
Comment by San Diego RE Bear
2008-06-12 08:20:23

Does anyone follow BUD? I have a friend who has some and we have no idea if he should sell or not. Any insight would be greatly appreciated. Thanks!

Comment by joeyinCalif
2008-06-12 08:40:54

Buffett owns around 35 million shares.. tell your friend to do whatever he does.

 
 
Comment by hoz
2008-06-12 08:30:54

“Mayer: What is happening on this LIBOR business? That is a very strange story that the five big banks are cooking their books on reporting LIBOR.

The IRA: Well, with many banks now struggling to fund themselves, the larger banks don’t want to be seen as aggressively bidding in the funds markets for fear of starting a reputational issue a la Bear, Stearns (NYSE:BSC) or Lehman Brothers (NYSE:LEH). LIBOR is a manifestation that global investors don’t want to lend to US or even EU banks.

Mayer: That is a very serious statement. ”

I recommend this interview with Mr. Martin Mayer

The Vigorish of OTC: Interview with Martin Mayer
June 12, 2008

http://us1.institutionalriskanalytics.com/pub/IRAstory.asp?tag=287

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 09:09:09

REO (real estate owned) sounds so corny…

I like ATP (assume the position) instead.

Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-06-12 09:21:32

ATP: All Tomorrow’s Parties (Will Not Take Place In Yr. Former McMansion).

(Speaking of outdoor music festivals, ATP events are consistently good …)

 
 
Comment by ValVerde
2008-06-12 09:12:44

SoCal: I met somebody last weekend who basically builds fast-food restaurants for McD and the like. When asked how things were going for him in this difficult economy he said it was fantastic - apparently people can’t afford to eat out ‘properly’ as much so it’s cheaper to go and eat fast food. Business actually picked up for him!

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 09:51:24

Why not just convert some of those McMansions into McDucks? One of every neighborhood and it would solve the problem of expensive gas and having to drive to town for dinner.

Comment by fran chise
2008-06-12 10:11:09

Mc*ucks not McDucks.

 
 
 
Comment by desidude
2008-06-12 09:25:26

I see many misconceptions floating aroung, even on this board about mortgage debt forgiveness act. I did some googling and reading

In summary

Under the new law, you won’t have to pay taxes on up to $2 million of forgiven debt on a primary residence. Any debt wiped out on a second home is still subject to tax.

If the bank forgives the home equity loan you used to make substantial improvements to the house, that won’t be taxed, either, Scharin says. But if that home equity loan was taken out for other reasons, say, to buy a car, then the forgiven debt will be taxed.

So this debt forgiveness is limited in effect and it will not save the scores of FB who used HELOC as a third income, living large with fancy vacations, Boats or Cars

Comment by takingbets
2008-06-12 10:52:35

how do they find out what it was used for? is there any way to trace how the money was spent?

 
Comment by David
2008-06-12 13:24:24

does the debt forgiveness apply to both foreclosures and short sales?

 
 
Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 09:35:18

Ahhhhhhhh, the joys of landlording……..

http://www.local6.com/news/16583258/detail.html

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 09:48:53

Lube cleanup is part of the “joys” of landlording, no?

Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 10:26:42

How ’bout you answer that for us, Pussycat?? :)

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 10:56:19

I’ve never landlorded before but I can give you the numbers of all my (former and present) landlords. :-D

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Comment by Ria Rhodes
2008-06-12 09:49:04

NAR rose colored glasses output:

“Sharp price reductions are leading to a quicker discovery of price equilibrium points,” Lawrence Yun

“Overall affordability conditions are the best we’ve seen since the middle of the housing boom in 2004, but with far more choices and much less pressure than buyers experienced four years ago to make an investment in their future.” Richard Gaylord

Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 10:13:48

They eat their Yun, don’t they?

 
Comment by combotechie
2008-06-12 10:55:54

Relax and learn to love the NAR. Yun is the guy that’s gonna keep the game going. Yun is gonna keep hope alive so knifecatchers will help keep the economy going via their monetary contributions to the System.

Churn ‘em and burn ‘em.

 
 
Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 09:49:10

OT: Just got a call from a cool museum for a job interview…but that town has virtually NO rentals. The job would be awesome, any advice for housing with pets if I got it? (And I’m not up to squatting - I’m still here, BTW, in the house with no frige, stove, etc. - kind of like camping out with a hot shower).

OK, you’re a creative bunch, any ideas? I sure wouldn’t want to buy, even though house prices there are pretty reasonable…

Comment by ahansen
2008-06-12 10:11:44

If you put an ad in the local throw-away mentioning your needs, you’ll likely get a response from a pet-lover in need of a good tenant. Guest houses, mother-in-law units, a second home in need of a sitter, a room or wing in an existing house that’s too big for the owner to keep up anymore. Someone who travels a lot and needs someone to keep an eye on their…PETS. There’s always a place for a good employee.

Offer to pay a separate pet deposit, and be prepared to show letters of pet recommendation from your previous LL’s. A lot of landlords prefer well-behaved pets to ill-bred children any day. Check also, with your museum employer. Chances are someone on staff there has a guesthouse for rent…pets welcomed. Don’t give up! Good luck, Lostie.

Comment by Cassandra
2008-06-12 17:20:11

Are you joking? Have you seen the condition in which she left her current rental? ;-)

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 17:39:27

Yeah, get with the program, I stole everything! :)

(working on the copper as we speak…)

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Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 17:42:15

Oh, you meant my landlady - whoops, SHE stole everything (darn)…

 
 
 
 
Comment by txchick57
2008-06-12 10:12:43

Go on NETREIS. Look for houses for sale with over 180 days on the market. Call the realtors and ask if the sellers would be interested in renting since it is apparent the houses are never going to sell.

Comment by JoeC
2008-06-12 11:34:24

I actually tried this. Whenever, I called a realtor and asked they would put me off (probably not much in it for them). When I tried FSBOs, I quickly found why the house didn’t sell. The owners were greedy and unrealistic. Still, you never know.

 
 
Comment by Meshell
2008-06-12 10:48:10

Did your former landlady steal all the appliances?

Comment by combotechie
2008-06-12 10:58:42

Do you have to provide your own copper wiring?

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 12:40:57

yeah, but there’s a new business now that provides it for you, so I called them - it’s called HotWire, Inc. :)

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Comment by combotechie
2008-06-12 15:47:28

How about plumbing? Should one bring a port-a-potty?

 
Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 16:20:01

No, that one’s covered or I’d be long gone…

I mean, one can only go so low :)

 
 
 
Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 12:37:40

Yup, she did.

Took the heater, too.

Left a really cute Welcome sign, then locked the door. ROFL!!!

 
 
Comment by JP
2008-06-12 11:06:02

What kind of museum, could you live there? :)

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 12:46:33

JP, it’s a DINOSAUR museum - it’s big, has to be, has a HUGE T-Rex (hmmm, might change my handle to that).

Might be a bit scary at night… :)

Hey, would be a great place to have a roaring big party, though!

Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 12:57:46

OK, here we go again. called on a rental in the town where the museum is (in Colorado), the owner was really STOKED to talk to me, are about to lose their house, has been on the market 6 months with no takers and her husband’s been relocated and they’re paying for two houses. Pets are no problem, I can bring elephants into the house if I want. Looked at it on the RE listing site and it’s fine, would work. She’ll even take it off the MLS if I rent it so I’m not bothered with all the showings. BWAHAHAHA!!

They’re probably on the verge of being repo’ed. I think I am destined to be a squatter, I might as well just stay where I am. :)

And this is an area where everything’s fine, just fine, say the used-house sellers.

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Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-06-12 13:54:50

Well, if you’re squatting anyway, you and the critters might as well have some working appliances.

 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2008-06-12 14:28:28

Lost,
If they’re interested in you, how ’bout tapping the museum for some housing leads.

There was an employer/blogger in my last town that used to put out the word to the online community that he had just hired someone new to the area and did they know of any rental opportunities. He as the employer was actively looking for his new hire. I thought that was pretty impressive.

 
Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 16:22:07

great idea, thanks!

 
Comment by Earl The Vagabond
2008-06-12 18:55:00

“Pets are no problem, I can bring elephants into the house if I want.”

Look under the carpet.. Sounds like they’re already there.. ;)

 
Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 19:55:00

LOL!!

 
 
Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 16:31:38

If you will be signing an employment contract, have it include something like subsidized housing and/or gas expenses. If a university, this may be standard.
just a thought-

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Comment by Lost In Utah
2008-06-12 16:35:12

it’s a university - thanks

 
 
 
 
Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 15:06:11

People want to dump RVs. If people can take tax deductions on boats as second homes, why not research if it’s possible with an RV? If it is, run an ad offering to rent one from a screwed owner who can’t unload it. Maybe he can take a tax writeoff of depreciation that he may or may not have already been getting.

I think second-home deductions suck and run up the market, but they are there so you might as well take advantage of it if you can. As they say, “this is not financial advice,” just brainstorming.

 
Comment by Carlos Cisco
2008-06-13 00:14:58

Talk to some folks active/working at local/regional animal shelter/adoption agency. They usually have multiple pets. They have a circle of friends who I am sure have some renters or maybe want someone to share their home.

 
 
Comment by txchick57
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 11:00:15

He’ll be bankrupt before the decade is out.

We’ve seen this stuff before.

 
Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 12:23:24

Holy cow…….this article is one target rich environment.

If I read correctly, he gets 41K after taxes every 3 months……160K a year…..how does that qualify him as rich right now???

And his hobby is women?? How was that going before you won, buddy??

Comment by txchick57
2008-06-12 15:07:40

He was probably doing half the women in the building.

Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 15:51:34

You say that like it’s a bad thing. :-)

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Blano
2008-06-12 16:57:33

Thank you ma’am may I have another???? :)

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by hoz
2008-06-12 10:14:40

So some Senator mope wants to ban fund trading in commodities.

That is a bill I will support, I like crazy markets. Corn $14? Beans $25? Oil $210? Go government. This is so much fun. Accelerate the collapse of the markets - better yet the markets will move overseas taking jobs as they go.

Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 10:19:24

Senator = Lemming Drop Kid

 
 
Comment by takingbets
2008-06-12 11:45:34

Fed’s Plosser: Rates Will Have to Rise to Curb Inflation

http://www.cnbc.com/id/25114037

i really like how he has to clear his throat when asked the dreaded question about the dollar. (second video)

Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 12:38:01

This might take some wind out of inflation speculators’ sails. All bets are off if there is no action to follow the rhetoric.

THE FED
Fed’s Plosser pushes for quick rate hikes
By Greg Robb, MarketWatch
Last update: 9:45 a.m. EDT June 12, 2008

BOSTON (MarketWatch) — Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Charles Plosser called Thursday for a quick rate hike to combat inflation pressures that have moved beyond commodity prices.
“We need to take steps to insure that inflation does not get out of control,” Plosser said in an interview on the CNBC television network. “We need to act preemptively.

 
 
Comment by Ouro Verde
2008-06-12 11:57:47

Is AIM the chat service a real company?
It looks like they are going out of business or something.

 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 12:00:00

Fire @ the Reichstag, er Heritage Foundation building in Washington DC…

Comment by ET-Chicago
2008-06-12 13:56:49

The Free Market Fire Co. will doubtless take care of them.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2008-06-12 12:32:26

Mr Market appears to have drunk too much at lunch today, and is now stumbling along to the day’s close.

 
Comment by autechre78
2008-06-12 12:37:01

Do any of you think that the houses being built right now in 2008, will be better than the homes they built from say 2001 - 2007?

The construction workers that DO have work, would probably want to drag it out as long as they could no? And I would think that it would be in their interest to do a good job so that they can get referred to the next job, as hard as they are to come by. What do you think?

Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 15:36:51

Just a guess, but I think yes in more places than no. I recently walked through some new Lennar construction here in central FL and was surprised at how decent the quality appeared. And they are throwing in upgrades that never before were free with Lennar, like granite or zodiac, nicer faucets, rounded corners, etc. Mind you, I don’t know much at all about construction, but anyone can spot things that don’t line up, crooked door jambs and the like. And the crew was very polite - it was obvious that the crew cared about our impression.

 
 
Comment by aladinsane
2008-06-12 12:41:16

Grand Theft Auto-Destruction

Over 300 million sold…

 
Comment by hwy50ina49dodge
2008-06-12 13:21:19

“…Thursday’s ruling went to the very heart of the separation-of-powers foundation of the United States Constitution. “To hold that the political branches may switch the Constitution on or off at will would lead to a regime in which they, not this court, say ‘what the law is,’ ”

“But, but, but…I’m “The Decider” & besides they tried to kill my daddy”

1776 circa Old men with white wigs: 1

Cheney-Shrub wrapped in an American Flag: 0

President Shrub, “speaking in Rome at a news conference,… said: “We’ll abide by the court’s decision. That doesn’t mean I have to agree with it.

Bugs: “eh. …legally speaking, YES you do! “Unless, you’re going to appeal the decision to a higher court in the “Shadow Gov’t”, … Daffy who’s our guy over there in “Shadow Gov’t Dept of Looney Tune Characters” ?

Daffy: “Hey Bugsy, I think that would be Foghorn Leghorn”

Foghorn: “Now just a minute son, hold on just a second, …I said whoa boy whoa! :-)

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/13/washington/12cnd-gitmo.html?em&ex=1213416000&en=128551c94857b5b8&ei=5087%0A

 
Comment by Chip
2008-06-12 13:47:20

One of our two cars is a FoMoCo lease. We just received a letter from them saying, “We hope you were not affected by the recent disaster in your area, but if you were, please accept our sympathy and concern.” ??? - didn’t have any disaster that I know of. They go on to say that they understand we may experience temporary financial problems and that they are available to help - we can skip the next one or two payments.

Mind you, we have had zero lates on this or anything, ever. So this must be a pretty broad mailing. I suppose it is smart on their part to get out in front of what must be a growing problem with late lease payments. But it’s also a troubling reinforcement of the debt-burden problems we see in the economy.

 
Comment by Faster Pussycat, Sell Sell
2008-06-12 16:04:54

Comment number 500. WOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!

CNN tosses out the 50% number. Link.

 
Comment by spike66
2008-06-12 16:06:52

Missouri’s Republican Governor,Matt Blunt, is leading an effort to convince shareholders to reject InBev’s buyout of Budweiser.

“In its online edition today, the Economist highlighted the recent rise in protectionist sentiment in America and said it was not surprised at the immediate public outcry at “this foreign assault on the country’s King of Beers, even if Belgians are a lot less scary than the Chinese to Joe Couchpotato.” ‘

Gee, if folks don’t like Belgians buying Budweiser,or the Italians buying the Flatiron building,what will they say when China buys California?

Comment by lostcontrol
2008-06-12 16:47:18

Just spit balling here-
It would solve a large part of the illegal problem in the US?

 
 
Comment by hoz
2008-06-12 18:04:39

Claymore BNY/Mellon Frontier Markets ETF (FRN)
PowerShares MENA Frontier Countries Portfolio (PMNA)

Woo woo new toys

Voz, So my son moves up to your neck of the woods and is renting a house in Government Camp 975/mo. The house is for sale for 275K. You guys are as goofy as the FIBs up here. lol He bought a new Honda Moped 150cc and in his first week it has either rained or snowed every day. Dork/

When not teaching kids how to fall, he was hoping to spend most of his time camping! Then they tried to charge him $16 to camp in a national forest for a night, WTF? $10 per year. taxes on top of taxes.

 
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