July 6, 2009

Bits Bucket For July 6, 2009

Post off-topic ideas, links and Craigslist finds here. Please visit the HBB Forum. And see the American Visionaries series from Schwarzfilm.




RSS feed | Trackback URI

418 Comments »

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 01:18:27

Good Morning guys!

Thanks for all the well wishes after the 4th!

Now if someone could just find me a nicely priced house in the FT. Bragg area…:)

Comment by Muggy
2009-07-06 04:38:40

Son, if the 82nd wanted you to have a house, they would have issued you one. :grin:

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 04:52:08

You are correct. But instead, post housing overcharges me for where I live. I get $1400 a month in housing pay. And I give it all to post housing in a rental sort of thing. The house is nice, attached to another. 4 bedroom, three bath, one car garage. No yard to speak of except a patch of grass the post mows everyweek. In fayetteville N.C., $1400 could buy alot of house, that is excluding taxes and utilities, which the military pays for me….

 
Comment by bill in Los Angeles
2009-07-06 08:01:45

Muggy, I think you are younger than Stpn2me, so calling him “son” is kind of not cool… - You’re under 40, right?

Comment by Muggy
2009-07-06 08:20:37

It was a joke, hence the grin :grin:

(channeling Sergeant Hartman)

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 08:23:53

Muggy’s cool….

BTW, I am 40! I joined the military when I was 24.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Muggy
2009-07-06 08:45:31

Thanks Stp,

I catch more military humor here in the Tampa area because of MacDill AFB.

 
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 10:38:02

I was at Macdill from ‘96 thru ‘99 when I was an enlisted computer programmer. Loved the Gandy bridge. And that little strip of illegal beach on the other side where the women are topless!

Not that I was looking….:)

 
Comment by DennisN
2009-07-06 17:31:13

I spent a lot of time at MacDill in 1983, back when CENTCOM was first getting going. I did a bunch of computer networking for them in the run-up to the Grenada invasion.

 
 
 
 
Comment by AZgolfer
2009-07-06 09:01:43

From the Arizona Republic

A man escaped serious injury in a fire that gutted a $2.6 million Biltmore home early Sunday, said Phoenix Fire Capt. Dorian Jackson.

Fire crews were still throwing water on hotspots by late morning, after firefighters arrived to the posh golf-resort home at 71 N. Biltmore Estates Drive about 4:30 a.m.

Fire investigators, who had yet to enter the 7,600 square-foot, two-story home, believe the blaze started on the first floor and trapped a man on the second floor, Jackson said.
“He said he was sleeping when he was awakened by the smoke from downstairs,” Jackson said.

The man grabbed a scuba-diving oxygen bottle and a rolled ladder, which he used to climb to safety down the side of the home. He was transported to the hospital for observation for smoke inhalation.

The man was the only person inside and no other injuries were reported.

The blaze lit up the morning sky as flames jutted through the roof, Jackson said. Unable to save the home, firefighters took a defensive approach and battled the flames from the air with ladder trucks.

A fire investigator was on scene, but has been unable to enter the home since the blaze. The investigation into a cause remains ongoing.

Maricopa County Assessor’s Office records show the home was worth more than $2.6 million and is owned by Michael Marin.

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 10:13:56

Why does he have a can of ’spare air’ in his bedroom?

Comment by AZgolfer
2009-07-06 10:28:14

All of the comments that were in the Arizona Republic said the same thing. The guy has a can of air AND a roll up ladder? Also, someone found a connection between him and the person he bought the house from. The comments are worth reading.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by AZgolfer
2009-07-06 12:16:13

Well, well, well - All of the comments about the article have suddenly “disappeared” from the on line paper. Reminds me of when Scott Cole died and there were a lot on negative comments until - they were gone!

 
 
Comment by VaBeyatch in Virginia Beach
2009-07-06 10:40:01

To go with the rolled up ladder and empty gas can.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 10:53:55

FWIW - it’s not *that* uncommon. I have scuba tanks in my house, and they normally are stored with some air in them (leftover from the last dive - though for me that’s been a long time), since if you completely empty them after use then they can get moisture inside. They are stored in my garage and not bedroom, though conceivably could be in the bedroom since that’s where the rest of my gear is. I also have rolled ladders for escape - something anyone who has a multi-story house should have.

Not excusing the guy - just saying that it’s feasible.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 11:29:58

I have scuba equipment including tanks. It’s all stored in the garage. A can of spare air in the bedroom stretches the imagination a little too far.

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 12:01:14

Not sure I’d store my BC and such in the garage, unless it’s fairly well contained - all kinds of bugs around that can chew holes and such… at least that’s my worry.

Granted yeah a tank in the bedroom is a stretch, but like I say not totally unfeasible.

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 12:37:16

I keep the BCs and regs sealed up inside a nice plastic storage container to try and cut down on buggy infiltrations.

 
Comment by BanteringBear
2009-07-06 12:48:51

Storing scuba tanks in the closet is more than a stretch- it’s totally asinine. Nobody does that. A BC, maybe. Tanks? Yeah right.

 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-06 12:59:52

I’m no more than a lowly snorkeler these days. I would have had to don my mask, snorkel and flippers and leaped for one of my big oak trees and prayed that the squirrels caught me. Of course, this is not without it’s problems.

I like to sleep nekked so that might raise a few tails and some chattering to see a nekked white boy sailing for their tree in the middle of the night.

Hey, everybody’s different !
;)

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 13:25:16

Mikey, at least you’d have your eye protection on for those pointy twigs, and if you landed face first in the mud puddle you’d still be able to breath. Sounds like you’re set!

As for the squirrels, they have a nut fixation anyway so they might not mind your nudist jumping. ;)

 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-06 14:03:04

Hey sfbubblebuyer

I did my time sleeping on wet jungle floors and in dense bamboo thickets with screaming tigers, deadly little green snakes and giant leeches wiggling around. The same goes for those stupid ME barren deserts with their totally evil scorpions and sneaky little vipers.

Nothing touches my skin anymore, other that warm air, cool air, clean sheets and maybe a sweet “dirty woman”

I’m an ex-trooper and if it’s night, there’s a fire, then I’m doing this tailgate jump fast,dirty and al natural into the moonlight.

Heads up Squirrels …”Airborne”
;)

 
Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2009-07-06 15:13:56

One of my favorite songs:

Dancing In the Moonlight

We get it on most every night
When that old moon gets so big and bright
It’s a supernatural delight
Everybody was dancin’ in the moonlight

Everybody here is out of sight
They don’t bark, and they don’t bite
They keep things loose, they keep things light
Everybody was dancin’ in the moonlight

Dancin’ in the moonlight
Everybody’s feelin’ warm and right
It’s such a fine and natural sight
Everybody’s dancin’ in the moonlight

We like our fun and we never fight
You can’t dance and stay uptight
It’s a supernatural delight
Everybody was dancin’ in the moonlight

Dancin’ in the moonlight
Everybody’s feelin’ warm and right
It’s such a fine and natural sight
Everybody’s dancin’ in the moonlight

Everybody here is out of sight
They don’t bark, and they don’t bite
They keep things loose, they keep things light
Everybody was dancin’ in the moonlight

Dancin’ in the moonlight
Everybody’s feelin’ warm and right
It’s such a fine and natural sight
Everybody’s dancin’ in the moonlight…

-King Harvest

 
Comment by Va Beyatch in Virginia Beach
2009-07-06 15:51:17

I have to admit, I’ve got 3 scuba tanks stored in my bedroom. Only because I live in an apartment. The rest of the gear is in a pelican case under one of the pinball machines in the main room. If I had a garage, that is where it would be. I’d die climbing down 6 stories of chain ladder with a steel 119 though.

 
Comment by DennisN
2009-07-06 17:36:26

This sounds like BS to me. Although I’m way out of practice - got my PADI card circa 1988 - you have to hook up lots of stuff, e.g. regulator, before you can breathe out of a bare tank. Why would you store all this stuff all hooked up and ready to go?

Reminds me of the old joke.

Arson investigation closed. Cause of fire: excess of insurance.

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 21:22:22

Dennis,

It was likely a Spare Air ™ emergency tank. They’re tiny little guys that look like thermoses that attach to your tank like the world smallest pony tank. I think the smallest ones even fit in BC pockets or strap to the front where the octopus would be.

They’re good for one ascent from 40-80 feet, depending on the size, I think.

You occasionally see them in movies, where some guy will grab one and sneak onto a boat with it without having all the scuba equipment to slow him down. Burn Notice did an episode in the first season where the guy used one.

 
 
Comment by pressboardbox
2009-07-06 10:57:40

Good thing his narrow escape was so meticulously planned. Anything is better than being a dead arsonist.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2009-07-06 12:12:04

Biltmore? In Arizona? If such a community were somewhere near Asheville, NC I would understand.

 
Comment by bill in Los Angeles
2009-07-06 18:07:17

“Dude…” it’s an upscale district in Phoenix. Guess you never have been to Phoenix. Swanky mall, Ruth’s Chris steak house, Optima lofts…

Lincoln Blvd running at the base of Camelback Mtn with high end real estate.

Forget it, you won’t understand nor want to.

 
Comment by SaladSD
2009-07-06 19:08:02

Isn’t that Phoenix hotel by Frank Lloyd Wright called the Biltmore? way cool….

 
Comment by talon
2009-07-06 19:42:07

Yes, it’s the Biltmore, but it’s not really by Frank Lloyd Wright. He consulted on its reconstruction after a fire in the 1930s, but he didn’t design it. It very much resembles his work, however.

 
 
Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-06 14:38:36

Scuba diving in Phoenix???

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by Anon In DC
2009-07-06 15:05:43

My first thought too.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 01:40:11

True story…sort of :)

No sh*t, there I was, a couple of days ago I was off the FOB in an un-named afghan neighborhood. With the conversasion on this blog with someone about Osama Bin Ladin still fresh in my head, I was sitting with some afghan army types and a few of my men. All of a sudden, I look on the road, and there is about five men surrounding one VERY tall man walking toward the village. I look at my senior NCO and say, ” Are you seeing what I am seeing?” and I point in the tall guy’s direction. We stare for a minute annd He looks and says, “Well, boss, what cha want ta do?”. I asked my more senior NCO what he thought, and he said “Go get em, What’s the worst that can happen?” So, I get about six of my men, Lock and load and proceed to surround this group of suspected individuals wrapped up in alot of clothes on this VERY hot day. We tell him the equivalent of “Hands up”! He looks at us and the business end of our M4’s and 203’s, drops his wrap from around his mouth and says…No crap, he says…”Dude, I am not Osama, TRUST ME”. ….WHAT??? Me and the first NCO look at each other in amazement. Did he just call me DUDE? I thought about taking him in just for that. Then all of a sudden, five SF guys beam down from the SF mothership (I swear I didnt see them walk up), guns drawn and ask, “Is there a problem sir”? I said “I need to id this guy and his group.” They start laughing and so does half everyone around us including Osama’s twin. Evidently, this TALL afghan is a fixture in the village. The SF guy goes “Sir, this is (long afghan name, basically the afghan “billy bob”), he’s cool”…..My senior NCO is watching this and laughing his a** off. The SF guys then literally melt back into the desert floor (I didnt see them leave either), Billy Bob invites me to his hut to eat parts of goat that shouldnt be seen much less eaten. He has an agreement with the military that whenever he is mistaken for Osama, who ever does it has to hug his camel or one of his goats. I wont say whether I hugged it, but lets say the goat enjoyed it more than me..:) Just a little story, dont believe EVERYTHING you read!

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2009-07-06 06:17:38

+100!

Outstanding, because it’s off-the-wall yet believeable. Nice job Stpn2me.

 
Comment by arizonadude
2009-07-06 06:36:44

Did they serve you some rocky mountain oysters?

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 08:08:04

Not really, but alot of it is true….

Comment by bink
2009-07-06 08:16:59

Did you get your picture taken with him?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 10:46:32

No,

Alot of people dont like to be filmed. You have to be careful not to disrespect someone, hence, more goat dinners.

 
 
 
 
Comment by patient renter
2009-07-06 10:45:41

Dude, I’m not Osama. LOL. Classic!

 
 
Comment by CA renter
2009-07-06 01:56:47

Good morning, stpn2me! :)

Hope you’re managing to stay safe and cool out there.

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 01:59:41

Hard to stay cool, just try to stay inside….

Comment by robin
2009-07-06 02:32:28

Went to Downtown Disney in Anaheim, CA. Sun was brutal but OK in the shade where you could find a breeze. Lower than expected traffic.

Definitely hit with vacancies. Laughable signs saying a new attraction is opening soon. Some signs promising the new opening (sometimes on both sides of) a new business that had just filled a vacancy. Hilarious!! Don’t waste a $30 sign. Pathetic. No longer charging for parking, either. Sign of the times! Less than local malls but not bulletproof. Very interesting. Still $7 for a large KarmelCorn. Greedy Bastards! Cost of $1 plus labor. Shameful. Welcome to America!!

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 02:38:16

OOOO,

Downtown Disney,

I miss Fulton’s Crabhouse in Orlando’s downtown disney. Crab claws as big as your hands! I wholeheartly recommend! Anyone else been there?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by robin
2009-07-06 02:42:19

Went once but missed that. Will definitely check out next trip. Thanks Stpn2me!

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-06 03:00:44

Good Morning Step! How hot did it get?

 
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 03:43:40

It’s 110 plus right now. If you are on rocks or pavement its about 121 degrees.

I posted a story a few minutes ago. I guess the ben censors caught it, I dont see it posted. I may post it later..

 
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 08:12:03

Ok ,now I see the story..er, happening :). It really did happen alot like I said….

 
Comment by desertdweller
2009-07-06 13:56:17

Stpn you and I are in the same heat zone. 114+ today.

Have an appointment in 30min and am not eager to heat up the tin can with wheels leaving my “cave” with fans.
Not comparing, just saying…

 
Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-06 15:57:50

Stpn2me, got a book deal waiting for you…nonfiction, of course… :)

 
Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-07 05:01:31

Stepn2me, we’re DW regulars ( week after Christmas ) and the last word was that Fulton’s was being brought back. They’re just “remodelling” the boat. The menu will be changed up a little but Fultons will be serving you crablegs soon.

 
 
 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-06 09:03:11

Morning all.

Good story Stpn2Me.

Sounds like you’ve got a cool bunch of men, fine NCO’s and that you guys take good care of each other. Say ‘Thanks” to everyone for me.

This old soldier is wiped-out. The Milwaukee County Zoo, the sun, beer, and energic little kids did me in. I must have been drug in front of every bug, bear, snake, ride and show in the entire place…at least twice.

Nobody minded that at all and everyone really enjoyed it because yesterday was especially for Service members, Veterans and their familes. It seemed like half the state of Wisconsin was there having the time of their lives. The Milwaukee County Staff, Service groups and the volunteers certainl spoiled everybody.

If you have any people from my area, tell them that their children OWNED THAT ZOO yesterday and everyone had a fantastic time :)

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 10:50:24

Got it Mikey,

Glad you had fun. It’s guys like you who blazed the trail for me. Yes, I have good NCO’s. I end up being the butt of alot of jokes, but they have saved me many times…..I wouldnt want to serve with anyone else…

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2009-07-06 03:05:53

Fair Game
So Many Foreclosures, So Little Logic
By GRETCHEN MORGENSON: NYT
Published: July 4, 2009

LAST week, the stock market tumbled on news that housing foreclosures and delinquencies rose again in the first quarter. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency said that among the 34 million loans it tracks, foreclosures in progress rose 22 percent, to 844,389. That figure was 73 percent higher than in the same period last year.

But the comptroller’s office also said that amid the gloom, there was promising data about loan modifications: they rose 55 percent in the quarter. That growth came on a very low base, of course, but the move encouraged John C. Dugan, head of the comptroller’s office.

“As the administration’s ‘Making Home Affordable’ program gains traction and helps offset the impact of this very difficult economic cycle,” he said in a statement, “we should continue to see progress in future reports.”

A glimpse of second-quarter mortgage data, however, indicates that the progress Mr. Dugan and his colleagues in Washington are hoping for may take longer to emerge — raising questions about whether policymakers and banks are moving quickly or intelligently enough on the foreclosure problem.

Foreclosures remain one of the great financial ills for the economy.

Comment by REhobbyist
2009-07-06 11:55:59

I was getting depressed, but there was a huge surge in first quarter NOD here in California. Hopefully that means a big surge of foreclosures this coming winter and the accompanying price crash, barring any government programs aimed at preventing them.

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-06 14:46:56

We know the government programs have been announced and some of them already implemented. The big question is whether any will work as advertised, given their dismal track record?

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-06 14:44:49

“LAST week, the stock market tumbled on news that housing foreclosures and delinquencies rose again in the first quarter.”

This is really crazy. Don’t these fools know the stock market has nothing to do with the housing market (a debate that many posters in the early days of this blog worked very hard to settle)?

 
 
Comment by palmetto
2009-07-06 04:04:48
Comment by wmbz
2009-07-06 07:31:05

Yep, and comb-over said in another interview, the old tired line…No one saw this ‘thing’ coming.

I wish just once,that the note takers would whip out a list of people that did see ‘it’ coming, and call these clowns on it.

Comment by GH
2009-07-06 08:51:33

It seems the only ones who did not see this coming were bankers, economists, real estate ‘PO-Fessionals’ and government officials.

Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-06 14:41:42

Yup, anyone who could benefit from it did NOT see it coming.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by X-GSfixer
2009-07-06 10:49:13

Better yet, kick the “didn’t see it coming” crowd out of whatever position/public office they currently occupy.

Among other things, we are paying WAY TOO MUCH for crappy economic forecasting/soothsaying. Hundreds of so-called “economists” shaould be thoroughly discredited, but are still “go-to” guys, as far as the media is concerned.

Like the NAFTA/Globalization fiasco, where most of them thought that exporting 90% of our manufacturing base, and replacing them with Wal-Mart and McDonalds jobs was going to be a problem, until recently.

Comment by InMontana
2009-07-06 12:11:06

so, not a problem after all?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-06 09:50:48

Tax the perfect pigeons…when the budget chicken comes home to roost.

New state budget permits car rental fee to soar 800%
By Joe Taschler of the Journal Sentinel

Posted: July 5, 2009

Jeffrey Phelps
Journal Sentinel

Current car rental taxes, Milwaukee County
$2 RTA vehicle rental fee

5% state vehicle rental fee

5% state sales tax

3% exposition center vehicle rental fee

0.5% county sales tax

0.1% baseball park district sales tax

Source: Legislative Fiscal Bureau

If you’re an elected official, here’s one way to raise money without risking your job: Increase a fee that voters perceive is paid primarily by out-of-towners.

“Chances are, if you rent a car, you will pay some kind of tax on it.

Renters “can’t vote these people out of office,” Abrams said. “They’re perfect pigeons”

http://tinyurl.com/mcu3n4

 
Comment by sagesse
2009-07-06 10:06:44

Is the WH a “wholly owned subsidiary”: former Goldman and Citi functionnaries who now populate government posts.

http://www.counterpunch.org/andrew07022009.html

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2009-07-06 04:16:59

California’s Nightmare Will Kill Obamanomics…
Commentary by Kevin Hassett

July 6 (Bloomberg) — Last week, we discovered that the state of California will gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today.

With California mired in a budget crisis, largely the result of a political impasse that makes spending cuts and tax increases impossible, Controller John Chiang said the state planned to issue $3.3 billion in IOU’s in July alone. Instead of cash, those who do business with California will get slips of paper.

The California morass has Democrats in Washington trembling. The reason is simple. If Obama’s health-care plan passes, then we may well end up paying for it with federal slips of paper worth less than California’s. Obama has bet everything on passing health care this year. The publicity surrounding the California debt fiasco almost assures his resounding defeat.

It takes years and years to make a mess as terrible as the California debacle, but the recipe is simple. All that you need is two political parties that are always willing to offer easy government solutions for every need of the voters, but never willing to make the tough decisions necessary to finance the government largess that results. Voters will occasionally change their allegiance from one party to the other, but the bacchanal will continue regardless of the names on the office doors.

California has engaged in an orgy of spending, but, compared with our federal government, its legislators should feel chaste. The California deficit this year is now north of $26 billion. The U.S. federal deficit will be, according to the latest numbers, almost 70 times larger.

Comment by WT Economist
2009-07-06 06:08:38

Money for today’s senior citizens: our sacred obligations.

Money for anything else: a bacchanal.

The solution to those opposed to “spending” is simple. Eliminate Medicare. Problem solved.

As long as some get everything (and pay nothing), I’m not in the mood to hear from a member of Generation Greed that having those coming after get something is unaffordable. Does any politician or pundit apply the same rules to everyone?

Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2009-07-06 06:54:50

Ouch.

(In other words, +1, WT.)

 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2009-07-06 08:51:44

As long as some get everything (and pay nothing), I’m not in the mood to hear from a member of Generation Greed that having those coming after get something is unaffordable.

Hear, hear!

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-06 09:40:24

WT i am going to respectfully disagree on this….maybe some are Generation Greed.

But most are Generation High school dropouts, think about it. Depression era, ww2 even GM in the 70’s didn’t require you to finish high school.

So they didn’t expect to live as long as they did…that is what the main problem is right now…

And its also a Depression thing, even thought I own my mom’s house with my 2 brothers she still feels poor with a lot of cash in the bank.

Its about CASH FLOW for these people the cash going out means their savings is dwindling, and for them that is the scariest thing probably even worse then cancer.

So yes its greedy, but their mindset is not about greed, they just don’t want to be broke before they die

 
Comment by Jon
2009-07-06 10:01:27

Hmmm… Wouldn’t eliminating Medicare and the resulting massive die off result in even more houses on the market and downward pressure on prices? (Just keeping the focus on housing)

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 10:21:30

Just wait until the Swine Flue comes back this winter as an extremely virulent variety and wipes out the population segment that has a strong enough immuno-response to the virus. You know, 16ish-40ish.

Then you’ll see some collapsing house prices.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by polly
2009-07-06 10:28:11

Get rid of medicare and follow the trail from there:

No medicare.
Seniors can’t get private health insurance.
Seniors get sick.
Seniors pay for it.
(repeat the previous two items until you have used up all your assets including any owned real estate, valuable cars, etc. unless you were sufficiently savy - read wealthy - to put said assets in a trust)
Qualify for medicaid.
Get health care through medicaid which is less expensive since the reimbursements are lower than medicare’s but are partially covered by the states and partially covered by the federal government.
All the rest of the states (not just California) go bankrupt or have to get rid of their medicaid programs.
Only people over 65 with health insurance are senators and congressmen and very senior corporate executives and the retirees of the same.
Hospitals that no longer get business from seniors are too big and go bankrupt.
And….

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Terry
2009-07-06 10:50:16

I really don’t understand why the simple solution to health care isn’t applied. First, all health care policies, should have a $2,500.00 deductible. From $2501, thru 10,000 the insured should co-pay 20%. After that, all normal medical costs should be paid 100%. But, if you have a confirmed terminal illiness, you are made comfortable…nothing more…you die.
If you need a transplant..pay for it yourself.
Wanta stay alive for three extra days, with chemo, life suppport..at your cost.
Next, why does it take three doctors to review one x-ray?
demand one review and be done with it.
Finally eliminate all drug advertising. Get rid of the hypochondriacs.
If people would read their hospital bills and have a copy of the codes, it would amaze most of whats been charged for and not provided.
Lifes a risk…take personal responsibility and deal; with it!!!

 
Comment by Elanor
2009-07-06 10:54:12

Thank you for saying this, so I didn’t have to.

Yes, let’s go ahead and destroy one of the few gov’t programs that works well!

 
Comment by Jon
2009-07-06 12:50:37

My guess is the vast majority can’t come up with the $2500 co-pay.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-06 15:05:31

75% of all bankruptcies are due to medical expenses.

Many older folks who HELOCed their homes did for medical reasons.

The lack of empathy here is beyond the pale. Remember, one day, that will be YOU.

 
Comment by jsocal
2009-07-06 16:04:27

Summary of paper by Ning Zhu, an associate professor of management at UC Davis - link to full paper below:

Overall, Zhu concluded that debt accounted for more than 50 percent of recent bankruptcies, while medical problems caused just 5 percent and unemployment led to only 13 percent.

Zhu found that bankrupt households have bigger mortgages, car loans and credit card balances than solvent ones, but make less than half as much money.

Among bankrupt homeowners, mortgages were 3.21 times higher than annual household income, versus 1.73 times for solvent households. Auto loans were double the annual income for bankrupt households, versus 0.4 times for solvent households. And bankrupt households carried credit card balances that almost equaled their annual household income, while the average credit card balance for solvent households was 6 percent of annual income.

In addition, bankrupt households had a median annual income of $25,738, versus $43,341 for solvent ones. (The median is the midpoint in a set of values; a median income of $25,738 for bankrupt households means that half of the bankrupt households in the study made higher salaries and half made less).

Interestingly, more than 5 percent of bankrupt households owned at least one luxury automobile (average age of the car was 7 years), compared with 8 percent of solvent households (average age was 8 years).

The study also suggests that some Americans deliberately spend beyond their means with the intention of using the bankruptcy system to erase some or all of their debt, and recommends reforms to discourage such abuse.

“Our results emphasize that bankruptcy law reform should aim to address the issue,” Zhu writes. “Current means test focusing on income, rather than consumption patterns or adverse events, may not set the best criteria for sorting out the households who truly need bankruptcy protection from those that consume beyond their means to take advantage of the system.”

The research has been presented at Boston College, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, UCLA and Yale, and will be published in an upcoming issue of the Journal of Legal Studies, a publication of the University of Chicago Law School.

Full UC Davis paper (pdf) can be found here.
http://tinyurl.com/mqw7oz

 
Comment by james
2009-07-06 18:31:28

That could be very deceptive data.

Zhu found that bankrupt households have bigger mortgages, car loans and credit card balances than solvent ones, but make less than half as much money.

The way this is presented it makes it seem like the bankrupt housholds are spendthrifts. Its possible the data is showing that people with lots of money don’t have a bunch of debt. Its not showing people with higher incomes are spending less and are frugal.

Might also indicate that people below a certain income level get caught in a vicious cycle.

There is also an aspect that behavior changes when people recognize they are in that cycle. So, take out as many cash advances as you can before you default and then hide your toys in a storage locker plan.

The car thing isn’t shocking. Us poor folks can’t deal with payment shock when cars break down. So, we need to have a newer car that will be covered. Probably going to get a crapier interest rate so balances will be higher as well. Not to mention poorer people tend to have bigger families so need larger vehicles.

There was a recent yahoo finance article on the high cost of being poor. At a certain level, its very expensive if you don’t have good credit, a bank account, washing machine, car to get to cheap food exc. Basically the predatory lenders, really bad ones like cashcall, really cream these folks. If you don’t have a washer/dryer cleaning clothes is very expensive. Don’t have a car? Means you might end up shopping at the convienence store. Need to use the check cashing store. Ouch, another 5% hit to your income. All things to skew the data.

Will read the paper later, thanks for the link.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-06 20:16:32

Dammit, I just checked for reference and sources and it turns out the original study I was citing was skewed. It seems it it is indeed less.

Good catch jsocal.

But it also seems the current revisions are still in question by other universities.

Great. *sigh* Once again, we find that we cannot rely on any data in this country anymore as EVERYONE seems to be fudging the numbers.

 
 
 
Comment by Happy2BHeard
2009-07-06 13:57:10

I don’t see greed among my older relations. I see frugality.

It is not their fault that inflation has made the dollars they earned during their working life worth less than when they earned it.

Will you be happy when people no longer retire at 65 and continue to work until they are no longer able? That really puts a crimp in upward mobility for younger generations.

It is not easy to un-retire at 90, but I heard (NPR) that one of Madoff’s victims has done it.

New sign of the times? Will work for health insurance.

Comment by bobo4u
2009-07-06 15:17:32

Generation greed is the 10% of US population that owns 75% of the wealth. You can thank your local congress-slime for that, it ain’t got nothing to do with boomers. Every generation has its greed-heads.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Happy2BHeard
2009-07-06 19:29:19

Then I wouldn’t call it GENERATION greed, which implies an age cohort.

And I could be wrong, but I thought that both Medicare and Social Security are means tested.

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 19:35:48

10% of US population that owns 75% of the wealth

A. That sounds like one of the 95.3% of all statistics that are made up.

B. Why do so many people state that like it’s a bad thing? The underlying premise is that income should be distributed equally. We can see how well that generally works out.

 
 
 
 
Comment by crash1
2009-07-06 06:10:47

Might as well run it into the ground before we have to give it to China.

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 06:17:26

Instead of cash, those who do business with California will get slips of paper.

LOL - Holy crap the irony in that statement is… amazing. And very sad.

(packman walks away, shaking his head…)

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2009-07-06 06:21:31

Here’s a question. Will some kind of secondary market be established for these slips of paper? If you could gather from investors a few $Billion in risk money, what would you be willing to pay for the paper? 50 cents on the dollar? 75 cents?

Comment by packman
2009-07-06 06:50:16

Almost certainly there will be some market - e.g. like there is for food stamps etc. Though it’s not legal, many people do exchange food stamps for cash in various ways. E.g. I was in a convenience store a few years ago, and the clerk (obviously foreign, apparently fairly new to his job, or perhaps just wanted to ask my opinion) asked me this:

“Tell me - do you think it’s all right for someone to come in with a food stamp worth a dollar, and buy a pack of gum for 35 cents just so they can get the 65 cents change to buy alcohol with? It happens constantly.”

I told him no I don’t think it’s good, but the very nature of government welfare bureaucracy lends itself to abuses like that.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Skip
2009-07-06 08:23:02

Are the welfare recipients in California getting IOUs?

 
Comment by ahansen
2009-07-06 08:40:02

Not yet. Just 7.8% cuts in “benefit.” Some physicians have been getting IOU’s for several months now (again.) Makes operating a practice kind of difficult….

 
Comment by VaBeyatch in Virginia Beach
2009-07-06 08:44:34

I’ve heard about the cash back scam where the mom sends in ghettokids to buy pieces of gum to get the cash for mommas alcohol.

But here in VA I believe they went to a credit card system. So I assume that it no longer works. I saw a lady use one on the same card terminal as a credit card would be used at and I wondered if the banks get a 4% cut of it all.

 
Comment by tresho
2009-07-06 08:55:07

But here in VA I believe they went to a credit card system. In OH they use some kind of voucher card (looks like, but is not, a credit card) and a dedicated card reader system. No change is ever given, and I doubt the banks get much of a cut on transactions.

 
Comment by Skip
2009-07-06 09:24:05

I doubt the banks get much of a cut on transactions.

hahahaha! That was funny!

Texas overwhelmed by food stamp, Medicaid applications

By Corrie MacLaggan | Thursday, April 9, 2009, 08:38 AM

Overwhelmed by an increase in applications for food stamps and Medicaid, the Texas Health and Human Services Commission has postponed plans to expand use of a new computer enrollment system, officials said today.

“The national economic situation has certainly arrived in Texas, at least in our offices,” said Stephanie Goodman, a spokeswoman for the commission.

Statewide, Texas is struggling to meet the 30-day federal standard for processing food stamp applications and the 45-day standard for Medicaid applications. For example, in March, the state met the food stamp deadline for 76.4 percent of applications (95 percent is the goal).

Enrollment in food stamps is up almost 20 percent from a year ago, according to the commission.

TIERS (Texas Integrated Eligibility Redesign System)

At a cost of approximately $300 million, TIERS does more and costs less than similar systems in other large states. For example, California introduced four separate systems with price tags exceeding $400 million each, and New York’s system cost nearly $330 million. The U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Food Nutrition and Consumer Services Division estimates that Texas has one of the lowest per-case implementation costs in the country.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-06 09:48:01

Packman:

This was happening 20 years ago in South Carolina, with the $1 food stamps…I think its fed law to issue a debit card , so there is no cash back allowed

and buy a pack of gum for 35 cents just so they can get the 65 cents change to buy alcohol with? It happens constantly.”

 
Comment by polly
2009-07-06 10:04:48

It is more like a debit card than a credit card. I assume there is some contractor that gets paid, but that doesn’t necessarily mean it is a percentage. It could just be a flat fee per person for a given length of time.

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 10:56:59

Interesting - I wasn’t aware of the new cards, though it rings a bell. My encounter with the guy was in the late 90’s in CA, so presumably they didn’t have the cards then/there.

 
Comment by Cassandra
2009-07-06 13:39:06

The new food stamp (yes, it’s now a debit like card) scam is to approach someone in the store, and offer to purchase their groceries in exchange for cash, discounted of course.

So some guy I don’t know buys me $20 of groceries, and I give him $15 cash.

Big problem with this plan? Hardly anyone carries cash anymore. Hard to pay the guy with your debit card.

Used to be you could hang around the food stamp office parking lot and buy the stamps for 50-60 cents on the dollar. Please don’t ask me how I know this.

 
Comment by Wickedheart
2009-07-06 18:41:46

“Used to be you could hang around the food stamp office parking lot and buy the stamps for 50-60 cents on the dollar. Please don’t ask me how I know this.”

You were poor once? No shame in that. Not everyone makes welfare a way of life.

 
 
Comment by FB wants a do over
2009-07-06 06:59:29

How long before the counterfiet IOUs start showing up? The fraudsters must be salivating at this oppurtunity.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by Muggy
2009-07-06 07:01:45

As noted on Patrick a long time ago, this will also create the unintended consequence of people changing their payroll deductions, tightening the credit noose.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by Jim A.
2009-07-06 07:56:02

I’d bet that those check-cashing payday lenders have already figured out what interest rate THEY’RE charging to cash ‘em. And I bet it isn’t cheap.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 08:17:27

Is it too much to ask to pay in gold? Why not pay with something that has value. Oh yea, they dont have any of THAT!

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by DennisN
2009-07-06 17:45:00

The secondary market should be huge. Don’t forget these IOUs look like “bearer bonds” and pay 3.75% interest when they mature sometime around October of this year. That’s a heck of a lot better than a MM account or a 3 month CD pays.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by Eudemon
2009-07-06 06:37:13

Let me add to your apt observation, packman…

Will those slips of paper be environmentally friendly (i.e. - “green”), too?

Comment by packman
2009-07-06 06:51:25

I would imagine they’ll decompose well in the sewer system, after proper use, if that’s what you mean. :)

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by james
2009-07-06 09:47:17

Which peice of paper is worth less or worthless? The dollar, scrips in Detroit or California IOUs?

We are in one jujuflop of a situation.

 
 
Comment by skroodle
2009-07-06 06:21:22

All that you need is two political parties that are always willing to offer easy government solutions for every need of the voters

I thought citizen initiated ballot issues was a large part of the problem in California as well?

Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2009-07-06 07:00:24

Indeed the populace deserves a large measure of the blame for this crisis, if not ALL the blame. What does “of the people, by the people, and for the people” mean, if not that ordinary citizens have both the ultimate power and the ultimate responsibility when things go wrong?

Comment by Jim A.
2009-07-06 07:58:08

This is often the nature of representative democracy IMHO. He who promises to cut taxes and raise benefits gets elected. He who promises to raise taxes and but benefits doesn’t. We have met the enemy and he is us.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 09:27:18

We have met the enemy and he is us.

In a general sense, yes. In a specific sense, no. I doubt the enemy is “us”, meaning the people on this blog. Just because we have a representative form of government doesn’t mean that *I’M* going to take the blame for this debacle. The general populace? Sure. But I vote against bond measures, expansion of government, etc. Just because my vote is lost in the sea of irresponsible people doesn’t make this my fault too :/

(and I mean in general, not in CA as I don’t live there).

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 10:25:59

Speaking of California, I have had several home owning friends state matter of factly that they think Prop 13 is going the way of the dodos. These are people that have owned their homes for years, and a few for decades.

Acceptance is growing.

 
 
Comment by bill in Los Angeles
2009-07-06 08:07:23

Not all. Don’t blame me. I voted Libertarian for every office they ran on my ballots since the late 1970s except I regretfully voted for a non-libertarian in 2004. I atoned for it by donating to the LP and to Ron Paul’s Campaign for Liberty.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by exeter
2009-07-06 09:24:36

What does “of the people, by the people, and for the people” mean, if not that ordinary citizens have both the ultimate power and the ultimate responsibility when things go wrong?

I means that you don’t understand the difference between leadership and being led.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2009-07-06 10:32:14

OK, then, who are– or who should be– the ultimate authorities in politics? Government officials, or the citizens outside of government? Does the government tell us what to do, or is it the other way around?

 
Comment by tresho
2009-07-06 12:17:13

Does the government tell us what to do, or is it the other way around? That is a chicken-or-egg question. “Your fathers swore allegiance to my father, and I am the son of that father” is no less absurd than “50%+1 of those who bothered to vote chose me to rule,” and neither proposition has more apparent merit than “We are the best and the brightest, as were our parents; we are the natural rulers of this land, don’t you agree?” Or “I command the Army. Hail me, or deal with my Legions.”
The basic political act is not an election, but someone giving an order, and someone else obeying it. The basic process maintaining any system of government is that those who are on the losing side of the selection process, stand down & submit. Governments get into trouble when a big enough fraction of the people question the reason for obedience.

 
Comment by exeter
2009-07-06 12:17:19

The ultimate authority is in fact comprised of elected officials elected by the electorate. The “govt. is bad” hobgoblin does little to advance your cause.

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 13:52:02

LOL at this whole discussion.

Are you folks who think that the government truly represents the people not familiar with the concept of “PR Machine”?

It’s what makes it not only acceptable for leaders to do things that otherwise we would find reprehensible, but even goes as far as to convince us the it was in fact some kind of mandate of the people, vis a vis their “voting power”.

We act as if the Nazis and the Commies are the only ones who ever used propaganda to their advantage; as if the MSM were some kind of puritan watchdog. That pretty much has never been true, but seems to have progressively gotten worse over time.

Sorry, but get a clue.

At this point the two political parties and their associated MSM wings are basically just like professional wrestling. They put on a good show, and even shed some real blood in their “fights” occasionally - but in the end they’re paid by the same folks to put on that show; the real Powers That Be.

 
Comment by tresho
2009-07-06 14:01:10

The ultimate authority is in fact comprised of elected officials elected by the electorate. Nope, political authority is shared, in a cybernetic loop, no matter what system is in effect. That is one of the points of my original post.

 
Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2009-07-06 14:09:56

I suggest you try this approach next time you need help with a project, such as maybe painting your house. “Elect” whichever guy lobbies hardest, then hand him a contract saying he won’t be fired for [2,4, or 6] years no matter how bad a job he does. Oh, and the contract should also say that he’ll have a 98% chance of being re-”elected” at the end of that term. And of course, once elected, he can change his mind and overrule your choice of paint color, type, etc., and sub-contract anyone he wants, and also increase the cost of the job as much as he wants, and you have to pay whatever he says.

Let me know how that works out.

 
Comment by tresho
2009-07-06 14:12:01

Let me know how that works out. In what way is your post relevant to mine?

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 14:13:58

Don’t forget - he also has essentially unlimited funds to hire a PR firm to convince you that he did a really good job.

 
Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2009-07-06 15:20:32

You do realize the PR machine has been around since the first President was elected in this country. The PR machine has been with us since the beginning of time.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-06 15:39:53

And, speaking of that first President, recall that George Washington was quite image-conscious. I mean, the guy had custom-tailored uniforms when he was General Washington.

He also had quite a reputation for keeping a serious demeanor. Wasn’t just because of the painful wooden teeth. He also wanted to project an image as a leader, whether it was as a general or chief of state.

 
 
 
 
Comment by SDGreg
2009-07-06 06:54:30

All that you need is two political parties that are always willing to offer easy government solutions for every need of the voters, but never willing to make the tough decisions necessary to finance the government largess that results.

Many of the most egregious excesses of spending in California would never, ever pass if put to a vote:

- 90% pensions for state workers
- large increase in number of state workers
- 32% of U.S. welfare case load with only 12% of U.S. population
- array of state funded services for anchor babies, etc.

The legislators care much more about those that fund their campaigns, state employee unions for example, than anything the voters might desire. Even so, these type of spending excesses would be more difficult if the Republican Party hadn’t rendered itself mostly irrelevant by becoming increasingly a fringe party.

At the federal level, it’s mostly corporate interests that are controlling government. But there too, there’s less possibility for effective opposition as the Republican Party descends into fringedom. I really don’t care all that much what party or parties serve as the opposition, but one party rule usually doesn’t turn out so well. Alignment of interests can be good, but the opportunities for excesses usually prove irresistible.

Comment by WT Economist
2009-07-06 08:08:10

I believe the data would show that most of California’s fiscal problems, other than those everyone has due to the recession, are due to debt service, pensions, and retiree health care.

Ie. not spending today, but spending yesterday that wasn’t paid for. California used to have a relatively low total tax burden, under-funded schools, and an inadequate infrastructure. In the future is will have a relatively high total tax burden, under-funded schools, and an inadequate infrastructure.

 
Comment by cobaltblue
2009-07-06 08:08:49

State and Federal legislators = I can have it all with bling and zing big spenders with home equity credit cards in 2004.

Taxpayers = upside down McCrapshack homedebtors in unfinished subdiv with maxed out cards, spoiled kids, pending divorce, and layoff notice in 2009.

Comment by exeter
2009-07-06 08:33:38

And don’t forget the Hardly Ableson with the obligatory Village People costume. ;)

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by james
2009-07-06 10:00:25

Was listening to the Faith and Reason show (yeah, probably some kind of right wing dribble) and they said a study had shown that charity tended in increase poverty.

Basic premise was that charity had to be used in sparing doses because it promoted bad behavior. So, if you offered a lot of programs to “help” people with needs they tended to act in a way that would increase their problems. Pay for food for a poor mother and she would have another baby and not be careful about her surrounding family structure.

Give economic incentives for homless to stay in an area such as free food and shelter and you end up with more guys showing up and no incentive for people to do anything to improve their situation.

They also were not against charity in some cases such as disaster relief, mentally ill (large percentage of homeless) exc.

I would guess the inference is that social programs may also result in additional poverty. Perhaps that explains a lot of what is happening to California.

Will search for the study. I’m sure this is going to make some people spin out but its an interesting concept that appeals to me.

Comment by exeter
2009-07-06 10:08:12

Bahh! Charity schmerity! Let’em starve right James?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Cassandra
2009-07-06 13:52:10

exeter: While I’m sure your comment was sarcastic, and I might even say enjoyable. But you remind me of what I consider to be an ethical dilemma.

I consider myself charitable, but I, and by extension we, have practical limits. If I feed a family, and they become dependent on me, and have more children, when my charity is exhausted, have not I created more suffering in the world? Would there be less suffering had I not fed them?

Or did I just kick the can down the road?

 
 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 10:33:40

I’ve always believed that. The difference between a hand up and a hand out is a little fuzzy at times. Unemployment benefits that runs out but keeps the bills paid while you find a new job leans more towards a hand up. Welfare to a chronically unemployed (or unemployable) leans towards a hand out. One can keep you from slipping further while you regain your feet, the other can encourage a state of perpetual parasitism.

Shipping food to starving people in some locale only results in more starving people there needing more food. Shipping locally-servicable farm equipment and instructors and drought/bug/etc tolerant seedstock to an area might actually help them recover the area enough to live again.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-07 02:21:13

Shipping locally-servicable farm equipment and instructors and drought/bug/etc tolerant seedstock to an area might actually help them recover the area enough to live again.

This implies working…

It is my personal opinion, that only 25% of the poor are actually poor…the rest just like the lifestyle..

 
 
Comment by bobo4u
2009-07-06 15:36:11

“they said a study had shown that charity tended in increase poverty.”

True. But only when it’s applied to banks.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by ahansen
2009-07-06 08:34:59

“…willing to make the tough decisions necessary …”

Are you arguing for a stronger, and less responsive government, wmbz?:)

 
Comment by bananarepublic
2009-07-06 20:26:23

Your outrage at this government would hold a lot more weight if you’d spoken up ONCE when Chimp and Company were running this country into the ground.

You just needed to show outrage ONCE. But you didn’t, and that makes you a partisan fool.

 
 
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 04:25:07

Not sure if this article was posted the other day, but I thought it was very interesting. It shows stats on the causes of the recent foreclosures - the primary cause of foreclosures has definitely shifted from subprime to simply being underwater, and now unemployment. As many here have pointed out.

Foreclosure causes

What is really behind the mushrooming rate of mortgage foreclosures since 2007? The evidence from a huge national database containing millions of individual loans strongly suggests that the single most important factor is whether the homeowner has negative equity in a house — that is, the balance of the mortgage is greater than the value of the house. This means that most government policies being discussed to remedy woes in the housing market are misdirected.

Many policy makers and ordinary people blame the rise of foreclosures squarely on subprime mortgage lenders who presumably misled borrowers into taking out complex loans at low initial interest rates. Those hapless individuals were then supposedly unable to make the higher monthly payments when their mortgage rates reset upwards.

But the focus on subprimes ignores the widely available industry facts (reported by the Mortgage Bankers Association) that 51% of all foreclosed homes had prime loans, not subprime, and that the foreclosure rate for prime loans grew by 488% compared to a growth rate of 200% for subprime foreclosures. (These percentages are based on the period since the steep ascent in foreclosures began — the third quarter of 2006 — during which more than 4.3 million homes went into foreclosure.)


Comment by skroodle
2009-07-06 06:34:25

I can’t see negative equity as being the main driver for foreclosures. Only flippers would worry about that.

Negative equity does not make the house payment unaffordable.

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2009-07-06 06:51:36

But why stay, unless your mortgage payment is less than you’d pay to rent somewhere nearby?

Lots of underwater people could rent for less than half of their current mortgage payment, and as that fact sinks in the smart ones will walk.

Comment by Muggy
2009-07-06 07:05:15

Bill, you are exactly correct. I have a friend here in Florida who has always had contempt for his neighborhood because he couldn’t afford anything better, now he REALLY hates it because he’s underwater. He can afford it, but he’s now talking about short-selling it. I figure we’re 6 mos. away from jingle mail altogether.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by Skip
2009-07-06 08:26:57

Smart == now the ones with bad credit??

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 08:42:07

Does include some such people yes.

Didn’t buy during bubble = smart, with good credit.
Bought and allowed foreclosure when underwater = smart, with bad credit.
Bought and held when underwater = stupid, with good credit.

 
 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-06 09:06:29

“Lots of underwater people could rent for less than half of their current mortgage payment, and as that fact sinks in the smart ones will walk.”

Not only that, but the sooner they walk, the better off they are—due to reduced carrying costs over the holding period, and also because the sooner they sustain the damage to their credit, the sooner it times out and comes off.

I had this very conversation over the weekend with a friend who is probably 25% underwater on a condo in Seattle.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by FB wants a do over
2009-07-06 06:51:49

By MarketWatch
Why those who can pay walk away from mortgages

New research found that more than 25% of mortgage loan defaults are strategic — that is, a quarter of homeowners who default on their mortgages are walking away from their homes even if they can afford to make their payments.

Homeowners are especially motivated to walk away when home values have fallen by more than 15%, according to a new paper, “Moral and Social Restraints to Strategic Default on Mortgages,” by researchers at the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University, the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and the European University Institute.

“Housing policy under the current administration has focused on reducing households’ cash flow problems in response to the housing crisis, but no one has addressed the negative equity issue as part of public policy regarding housing,” said Paola Sapienza, a co-author of the paper, in a news release. “We’re in a completely different economic environment today, where for the first time since the Great Depression millions of Americans have mortgage loans that exceed the value of their home.”

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 08:38:40

Negative equity does not make the house payment unaffordable.

It’s not a question of affordability - it’s a question of ROI.

If you bought a car for $10k, then found that every month it broke down and cost you $1k in repairs - and you knew this would continue indefinitely - would you keep the car just because you could “afford” the $1k monthly repair bill? Or would you get rid of it and write off the loss?

Same principle.

Comment by FB wants a do over
2009-07-06 09:47:18

Sounds like a Chrysler :-)

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 11:00:29

LOL

 
 
Comment by Skip
2009-07-06 10:05:32

That doesn’t fit. You need to change your example to:

“If you bought a car for $10k, knowing that it would take $1k/month in repairs to keep it running correctly

These people bought the house, knowing the house payment.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 10:37:00

More like “If you bought a car for $10k, knowing it would take $100/month to keep it running correctly, but thinking in 3 years you could sell it for $20k, and have just discovered the car is now worth $6k.”

Obviously not a great analogy, but closer to the truth.

 
 
 
Comment by SDGreg
2009-07-06 09:23:39

I can’t see negative equity as being the main driver for foreclosures. Only flippers would worry about that.

Negative equity does not make the house payment unaffordable.

If one couldn’t afford the payments, but wasn’t in a negative equity situation, one would sell and move on. With negative equity, that mostly isn’t possible aside from a difficult-to-actually-do short sale.

If owning, even with negative equity, were somehow cheaper than renting, one might stay put.

However, combine a situation where renting is much cheaper than owning or payments are unaffordable with negative equity and there will be a large number that will or must walk away.

I’m not sure I’d say negative equity is a driving factor, but it’s at least a critical contributing factor.

Comment by packman
2009-07-06 09:30:39

Not sure if you’re aware but there have been examples of people buying a new nearly-identical house for a lower price, and then allowing their first house to be foreclosed on. I’m not sure if this is still happening, but about a year ago there was an article to that effect.

So even rent vs. own cost comparisons may not apply.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 10:39:16

I bet some of them wish they could do that trick again!

Bought a 1 mill house in 2006, bought a house 3 doors down for 750k in early 2008 and let the 1 mill house forclose. Now they’re watching their old house sell for 500k.

Now they’ve got the foreclosure on the books, so good luck pulling the same switcheroo!

 
 
Comment by REhobbyist
2009-07-06 12:19:11

I think that they have passed through the stages of shock, denial, anger, and acceptance. Remember that these buyers were convinced for years that their house’s value would continue to rise. Once they calm down and do the math, they realize that paying that larger adjusted mortgage payment is nuts.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by Big V
2009-07-06 14:16:19

Negative equity may not make the mortgage payment unaffordable, but it sure as hell makes it unpalletable. It’s a free country, yo. Jingle mail is still legal.

Comment by BanteringBear
2009-07-06 21:33:58

LOL

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by Jim A.
2009-07-06 08:02:26

All true, but it is also true that mortgage lenders spent so little effort in determining that people could afford the agreed upon payments in the first place, it is a little rich for them to assert that they can still afford them. In bubbly California, many people never could afford to pay off their mortgages, their only chance would be when the appreciation fairy showed up and blessed them with the opportunity to ReFi before the fully ammortizing rate kicked in.

Comment by james
2009-07-06 10:11:05

Afford is a relative term. Give them a teaser rate neg am arm loan while paying 50% of their income for five years.

Is it a stable situation? No, its game over the first time one of the spouses gets sick or the car breaks down.

Is it a desirable situation? Well, they will be underwater and working to get even in… well… never since the loans (I/O,negAm) never pay off the balance. Of course the people could get second jobs. Get the guys away from the house so the bankers/mortgage brokers can screw their wives while they are at work at Costco. Guess its a good deal for the bankers. I’m sure Obama and his banking buddies, remember he had all those donations from the big banks kids, will sell this as a good plan. And if you walk away, he’ll just have to bail out his banking friends.

So, yeah, they can afford it. At least from the pigman perspective.

Comment by Jim A.
2009-07-06 11:23:33

Is it a stable situation? No, its game over the first time one of the spouses gets sick or the car breaks down.

It’s worse. As it turns out, for many it’s game over once house stops appreciating at double digit rates. Many people couldn’t afford the ammortizing rate. Once the appreciation fairy died they couldn’t ReFi out of their old mortgage. Even if nothing bad happened, these people with exploding suicide loans were dead. Game over, thanks for playing, door’s on your left.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 12:04:47

Yep.

The study of causes only addresses negative equity - but I’ll bet if prices had been flat instead of going down there still would have been a lot of equity-driven (lack thereof) jingle-mail, since lots of people were counting on the appreciation not only for profit, but also to cover the selling costs, and to pay off the credit card bills they had built up maintaining the alligator.

 
Comment by CA renter
2009-07-07 01:48:15

Agreed. We had discussed that a few times here back in 2005/2006. It only took “zero appreciation” to get the ball rolling.

People around here (San Diego area) were piling up debt in the tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars **per year** via HELOCs and cash-outs. They really thought this was “their” money…never realizing it was just the same as taking cash out on their credit card. Pure and simple debt. They were never “wealthy” unless they sold their homes and rented or downsized significantly (which most did not).

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Muggy
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 06:54:44

Yep - my observation as well. Generally if you offer a street-corner panhandler food or a job, they will reject both.

Kind of like politicians and advice/data/knowledge. They say they want it but it’s only lip service - in the end they’ll reject it because they’re only after one thing.

Well, two things perhaps.

Comment by bill in Los Angeles
2009-07-06 08:11:27

A few decades ago, 60 minutes had a thing on San Francisco panhandlers earning incomes that are higher than middle class. I avoid as much as possible giving anything to panhandlers. In Tucson, they would approach me in grocery store parking lots. Fearing that my car would be scratched before I got back, I would speak in French and act as though I did not understand them. Parlez vous Francais?

Comment by Jon
2009-07-06 10:17:14

I really don’t give to anyone I don’t know & trust anymore. I have zero trust in any charitable organization, any church & especially panhandlers. I made quite a few months of mortgage payments on my sister’s house last year as she battled breast cancer & her employer shut down operations.

But my level of trust in just about any organization in this country is pretty much gone.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by CA renter
2009-07-07 01:50:06

Sorry to hear about your sister’s cancer and job loss. That must have been so tragic for her.

Thank you for helping her with her mortgage payments. I hope she is feeling better.

 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-06 12:14:49

Bill, here’s another Tucson scam: Someone comes to your house or business and asks for money to buy milk for a baby. Or money to buy food for their dog.

A buddy of mine (who owns an auto repair shop) has the milk and dog food money beggars pegged perfectly. Depending on what they’re seeking, he offers a can of dog food or baby food. They all but break records as they flee the premises.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by tresho
2009-07-06 14:03:57

They all but break records as they flee the premises. But beware of the clever ones whose pets or babies have food allergies, and cannot consume whatever it is that you offer.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-06 15:20:21

My favorite was the broken fan belt.

 
 
 
Comment by X-philly
2009-07-06 08:19:05

When I lived in the city, if I saw a panhandler who looked really hard up, I’d buy him a sandwich. I never had anyone refuse me food but one time I reached into wallet to get some change for a woman, and she came at me, looked down into my purse and yelled at me cause she said I could afford more than what I was giving her. Well that was the last time I ever reached into my purse for change.

There were the truly unfortunate, if I saw anyone who appeared mentally ill, I’d warn them when I knew the police were doing a sweep, and the poor soul would have to find another hovel to inhabit for the night. But I also had a friend who stood on a busy corner as an experiment to see how much money he could make panhandling and his proceeds came to about $10 per hour. Tax free.

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-06 10:04:05

“But I also had a friend who stood on a busy corner as an experiment to see how much money he could make panhandling and his proceeds came to about $10 per hour. Tax free.”

Interesting. I have given thought to doing that same experiment myself, but never followed through on it yet. Very interesting data-point, X-philly!

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by X-philly
2009-07-06 10:34:12

That figure was a while ago, so adjust for inflation.

:-)

 
 
 
Comment by DennisN
2009-07-06 17:54:37

One of the nice benefits of moving from San Jose to Boise is the lack of homeless beggars here. I guess that 2 months of snow makes them relocate elsewhere.

 
 
Comment by Ian
2009-07-06 10:31:48

Some guy harassed me for money at the McDonalds in Paso Rables the other day. Was inside the car, windows up and locked…

Problem is like pigeons… you feed one and soon you have a gazillion of them.

Sorry to say but I would never panhandle in my Life… rather die. Kind of like those women selling their bodies on craigslist.

There is a moral divide some people are willing to cross their eyes closed…

Comment by patient renter
2009-07-06 11:00:35

I think it depends how one got to that point. If it was truly through no fault of your own (not likely), why should you be ashamed to panhandle?

Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-06 14:49:48

When I was 18 I took off with a bunch of friends from Colorado to San Fran. We got to Sacramento and ran out of gas. We had seriously underestimated our resources. I panhandled on the steps of the capitol building for about 15 minutes until a well-dressed woman gave me $100. I vowed to turn the favor around to others when I could. Since then, I’ve donated a lot of money to the needy, many of them animals (as in dogs/cats).

You never know when someone really needs help, but the professional panhandlers are usually easy to spot.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by robiscrazy
2009-07-06 18:38:12

How did you manage to hang out on the capitol steps long enough to panhandle money.

If you tried that today CHP/State Police will run you off or off to jail in a heartbeat. There’s no foolin’ around the capitol grounds.

 
Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-06 21:11:54

This was back in the good old days, though they were actually the bad old days when it came to finances. :)

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 04:47:46

$136B in treasuries being auctioned this week - another record I believe.

How long can the markets absorb these?

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 05:22:53

If I am correct, this is just our govt trying to sell our debt. Right?

Comment by pressboardbox
2009-07-06 05:51:57

and… Am I wrong, or does our government actually buy some of their own debt themselves when there is no real demand. Just so I am clear on the subject.

Comment by packman
2009-07-06 06:57:59

Officially the government can’t; just the shadow-government that is the Federal Reserve. (The one that doesn’t get elected or even audited.)

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-06 15:36:46

You mean Goldman Sachs, right? :wink:

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 19:04:49

GS is definitely there, but it goes larger and deeper than just them. Throw in Citi, BofA, JPM, and probably a few others like Blackstone etc.

 
 
 
Comment by packman
2009-07-06 06:21:16

Yes.

Annualized that would work out to be $7 Trillion per year of debt. Though of course a large portion of that is just “replacement debt” of maturing treasuries, not new debt.

 
 
Comment by james
2009-07-06 10:14:57

Government offers to sell tresuries.

Pigmen buy treasuries.

Government gets money.

Spends money on all sorts of BS.

Money flows back to pigmen.

Government offers to sell….

You get the picture. It could go on for a long long time.

 
Comment by milkcrate
2009-07-06 13:25:28

Good question, pack. Markets did a Houdini flatline today.

Comment by packman
2009-07-06 13:57:34

Auctions don’t start until tomorrow.

 
 
 
Comment by edhopper
2009-07-06 05:14:56

Great photo-essay in the NYTimes Magazine:
“Ruins of the Second Gilded Age”
http://www.nytimes.com/slideshow/2009/07/05/magazine/20090705-gilded-slideshow_index.html

Comment by InMontana
2009-07-06 06:39:11

speaking of the LV Echelon, I first went to LV to work in 1969, and there was this mysterious old shuttered casino on the Strip called the New Frontier. I was in and out for 5 years and it just sat there, near the Sahara on the other side near the Echelon site.

 
Comment by X-philly
2009-07-06 08:39:59

According to The Arizona Republic, Roberts’s wife hosted a show about real estate on a local television station. Last August, Roberts filed for bankruptcy protection, listing $118 million in debts. (That’s from the caption on the second slide.)

Ah yes, the notorious Builder’s Wife who achieves her dream of “stardom” on the back of hubby’s success. We had to deal with a couple of these babes in the marketing dept. The ones I knew were all trash, no class.

With a horrible design instinct to boot…

Terrible.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-06 10:57:31

My parents live just above such a couple. The guy’s a carpenter — that’s all we know and care to ask about his occupation — but the lady? Oh, boy.

She’s taking all sorts of useless courses at Penn just so she can say she’s enrolled there. And both of their adult kids live with them. I like to tell my folks that The Lady’s running a pretty nice Best Western down there.

 
 
Comment by Bub Diddley
2009-07-06 09:39:17

That was a great collection of photos. It’s stuff like this that reminds me why I return to this blog. Thanks for the link!

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-06 13:26:28

Agreed—awesome pictures that really tell the tale. Nice. Thx for posting!

 
 
Comment by CinnamonGirl
2009-07-06 17:44:35

Interesting to note that the house picture on page 3 by Charlevoix Homes, in Chandler, AZ, is now gone. The three models sat unfinished for about 9-12 months, rotting in the sun, and then were demolished when another builder bought the property. Now there is only the original subdivision walls, with no houses. So goes homebuilding in AZ at this time.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2009-07-06 05:20:03

Here are several ill-conceived ‘programs’ our D.C. brain trust have come with,so far,what’s next?

TARP (Troubled Asset Relief Program),PPIP (Public-Private Investment Program),TALF (Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility), TLGP (Temporary Liquidity Guarantee Program),CAP(Capital Assistance Program),TIP (Targeted Investment Program),HASP (Homeowners Affordability and Stability Plan), CPFF (Commercial Paper Funding Facility), AMLF (Asset-Backed Commercial Paper Money Market Fund Liquidity Facility),MMIFF (Money Market Investor Funding Facility),

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 05:49:34

AMLF (Asset-Backed Commercial Paper Money Market Fund Liquidity Facility)

Left out a couple of letters in this one, eh? :)

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-06 13:20:44

Two I’m waiting to see:

LMAOF: Leveraged-assets Made-off w All my Money
(aka LMAO to my Friends!)
and
AETGMTF: Another Excuse To Give Money To Friends

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-06 13:27:36

OOps, edit mistake; supposed to be LMAOM, and “LMAO, Mom!”

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2009-07-06 11:21:49

BEGWOS (Biden everyone guessed wrong on stimulus)

WASHINGTON — Vice President Joe Biden said Sunday that “everyone guessed wrong” on the impact of the economic stimulus, but he defended the administration’s spending designed to combat rising joblessness.

Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-06 15:42:01

My god, that man really is a moron. He can’t even lie well. I don’t even think high school dropout, J40oz, is going to buy that one.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-06 15:43:55

“Guessed wrong?!”

The people in charge of the largest superpower on earth are… guessing?

We’re doomed.

Comment by jeff saturday
2009-07-06 19:06:44

“We’re doomed.”
I guess so.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by FB wants a do over
2009-07-06 15:37:44

CRAP (Consumer Relief Asset Program)

 
 
Comment by Rancher
2009-07-06 05:20:19

Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaah…….the first sip…

Morning all!

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-06 05:21:23

Morning Rancher….

Comment by Rancher
2009-07-06 05:43:09

Have a cold one on me….

 
 
Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2009-07-06 08:47:45

Rancher,

I’m on my second….

Comment by DennisN
2009-07-06 17:58:38

Today’s a red wine day for me. I got a half-price special on turkey meatballs at Fred Meyer (close to expiration date) so it’s classic pasta & meatballs with vino on the side tonight.

Side note to Olygal: it turns out maybe I’m not allergic to wine after all. I got a CAT scan of my sinuses a week ago and will meet with an EN&T doc tomorrow.

 
 
 
Comment by JimboAC
2009-07-06 05:35:25

The Atlantic City Press has a front page story concerning a young couple’s search for their dream home in the area. They both work in public schools, so I suppose they’re better off than most prospective buyers. The headline to the columns in which the story continues inside is really misleading: “NJ Housing Poised for Turnaround.”

One thing in the article really got me. Reporter was describing one neighborhood and wrote that it “radiated prestige.” You want proof of how prestigious this ‘hood is? Well, the reporter went on to write that streets through the ‘hood bear the names, “Harvard Drive, Princeton Lane, Yale Road,” etc. How shallow and stupid can people be? To confer prestige on a development, the developer need only name streets after Ivy League schools? You say you live on Dartmouth Way? Ooooh, I’m impressed.

Comment by pressboardbox
2009-07-06 06:00:05

Isn’t Harvard currently begging for TARP money? How prestigious.

 
Comment by skroodle
2009-07-06 06:35:34

Aren’t the streets on Monopoly named after some place in NJ?

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2009-07-06 06:52:59

Yes. Atlantic City.

 
Comment by JimboAC
2009-07-06 06:57:48

Sure, Skroodle, Atlantic City! Except you won’t find any Marvin Gardens in the area. Development after which that spot on the board is named sits astride the downbeach cities of Ventnor and Margate and actually is named Marven Gardens. Get it? Boy, even back in the 1920s, those developers were so creative!

Comment by X-philly
2009-07-06 08:45:25

I don’t know that you could call anywhere in the AC vicinity “prestigious”. Aside from the fact that the word is marketing lingo that doesn’t mean squat in the real world, I mean really…

Wasn’t Margate the mob shore hangout back in the Nicky Scarfo days? And Jerry Blavat’s place, come on he’s a known goombah from way back.

Atlantic City “prestigious”….hahahaha.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by JimboAC
2009-07-06 09:45:27

Actually, X-philly, more the post-Little Nicky days, the Joey Merlino reign. Two quick anecdotes ’bout that scene.

First, my brother knew Merlino only by name in the papers and was occupying a stool at the end of the bar in a Skinny Joey hangout very early one morning. Merlino strolls in with his entourage and apparently wanted all the stools at the end of the bar where my brother was sitting. One ‘roided out hanger-on gets a drink with a swizzle-stick/stirrer, downs it in one gulp, and just stares at my brother. I suppose my brother was a little inebriated and didn’t take the hint, so da goombah blows whatever he had in the swizzle-stick into the side of my brother’s face. I like to flatter myself and fantasize about what I’d have done in my brother’s position. But, truth be told, I probably would have done just what he did, i.e. put my tail between my legs and slink away.

Second, more recently, The Geator is still up to his old tricks. Spread the word among Atlantic City lifeguards that they wouldn’t have to pay cover charges over Memorial Day and, I think, would get half-priced drinks. Well, a whole gang of them shows up at Memories and, of course, doorman “knows nuttin’ ’bout ‘nuttin.” Kids were all set to walk away when Geator smoothed it over, made good at least on his “no cover” promise.

 
Comment by X-philly
2009-07-06 10:21:12

You have to at least respect Blavat for still being able to get his groove on at his advanced age. (and I mean strictly in a dancing sense, I have no personal knowledge of the other!) He is a walking encyclopedia of early rock ‘n roll and doo wop as well. So he must be tolerated.

It was Merlino who I meant to say re: Margate. (My friend’s daughter used to babysit for him at the beach manse). When I was trying to remember the name of that particular wiseguy, all I could think of was SHORT - and my diminished brain came up with Scarfo.

But they’re both currently living on the taxpayer dime, are they not?

p.s. I am glad for your family’s sake that your brother vacated.

 
Comment by JimboAC
2009-07-06 15:50:53

X-philly: Yes, both are in federal prisons. Last I heard, Little Nicky’s down in Texas. Don’t know where Skinny Joey’s doing his time.

 
 
Comment by DennisN
2009-07-06 12:22:34

There’s a cheap biker bar by the RR tracks in Belmont CA called “Marvin Gardens”. ;)

http://www.yelp.com/biz/marvin-gardens-belmont

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2009-07-06 15:28:53

Been there a couple of times, on Old County Road in Belmont.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Muggy
2009-07-06 06:39:08

“They would have loved to have found something before their wedding in March, but in this real estate arena, there is no sense of urgency.”

My friend in Delaware just fell for that one. I did too. I did the whole “have to buy because we’re getting married” bit, but thankfully I sold in time.

Geez, and that girl is a MATH teacher.

Comment by polly
2009-07-06 07:54:24

Arithmatic is easy. Knowing when and where to apply it (word problems) are hard.

Comment by mikey
2009-07-06 10:24:29

Arithmatic is easy. Knowing when and where to apply it (word problems) are hard

Ha !… I’m still trying to figure out when and where that stupid westbound passenger train that departed at 8:37 am doing 52 MPH smacks into the eastbound freight that left 6:57 am highballing at 110 MPH.

Sheesh…I’ll just wait for the 5 o’clock news on THAT one !
;)

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 09:15:36

Muggy, the “have to buy before the baby is born” is much harder to dodge. Fortunately we dodged it. For now.

Comment by patient renter
2009-07-06 11:09:27

Ditto here. But we chose to rethink the idea as “have to not blow all of our savings on an overpriced stucco box before the baby is born” :)

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 14:11:04

Seriously, I’d rather have a ton of ready cash sitting around than a mortgage payment when you’re expecting a kid. Who knows what could happen, and I don’t want to be in the situation where we can’t do what’s best for the family because we’re tied to a house.

 
Comment by Muggy
2009-07-06 17:49:18

“Who knows what could happen, and I don’t want to be in the situation where we can’t do what’s best for the family because we’re tied to a house.”

That’s how I’ve been selling it.

I said a few days ago: my wife maybe has one more year of renting after we leave Florida. I hope we’re close to bottom by then because, well, I love my wife.

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 21:26:22

I talked my wife into waiting by saying we’d look at properties, but only lowball. We’ve seen 2 things we liked, and lowballed twice. Both sellers opted not to accept our ‘insults.’ :D

Anyway, the worst part is I’m terrified one of our lowballs might get accepted!

For instance, we’re about to offer 22% off of asking on a property that’s dropped ~18% off their original asking which was about ~14% off peak. I’m terrified they’ll accept and we’ll wind up owning a depreciating asset. But the wife is happier, and I occasionally enjoy submitting offers well into the six digits below asking. Keeps the sellers nervous, at least.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by palmetto
2009-07-06 05:52:18

States delaying tax refunds. Was there ever a better argument against the state income tax? Gee, what happens when you delay your tax payments to the state? I know Florida gets kind of rabid if you don’t pay those state sales taxes. Not sure how it works with state income tax, since we don’t have one, fortunately.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090703/ap_on_bi_ge/us_state_budgets_tax_returns

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2009-07-06 07:32:28

See, for every stimulative act by the Feds it seems there’s a local consequence that negates it.

Like CA, IL is also in a serious budget impasse. The most contentious issue being a 50% (yes, fifty) increase in the state income tax. Now while Barry stuffed a couple extra bucks in our paychecks, such a increase in the state tax would wipe that out. And that’s without the multitude of increases in city fees, fines, and sales taxes that’s been exploding this past year.

So much for getting more money into the hands of consumers - as if that was a sound approach to begin with.

 
 
Comment by JDinCT
Comment by SDGreg
2009-07-06 07:25:56

That’s an outstanding photographic essay of the early part of this bust.

How bleak might be some of the images of this bust, not just housing, in another 5 years?

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 09:18:06

If some professional photojournalist isn’t busy traipsing everwhere they can, from Flint to LV to Inland Empire to the Hamptons and photographing like crazy, it’s going to be the missed opportunity of the century. They’re documenting the beginnings of the Second Great Depression.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-06 10:59:30

I’m going to start documenting the collapse of the bubble in Tucson. Will start with a photo shoot this evening. Stay tuned…

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by Ol'Bubba
2009-07-06 07:36:02

Holy crap. Holy effin’ crap.
What were they thinking????

 
Comment by Muggy
2009-07-06 08:32:35

Slides 5/6 of 13 show refuse piling up in the ‘burbs. Maybe they will become the next ghettos. My guess is that they’ll be bulldozed before that. My dad never did this, but we had friends’ whose dads would load up the family wagon or minivan, and go to poor ‘hoods in Rochester and just dump appliances and whatnot right in the middle of the road.

Interesting reversal in those photos, and perhaps a harbinger of a true paradigm shift on the horizon.

 
 
Comment by WT Economist
2009-07-06 06:16:07

Shades of our thinking at the same point in the last real estate bust, following the last bubble.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/05/realestate/05cov.html?_r=1

Then as now prices (and rents) of apartments in NYC had come down, and so had prices of second homes, but owners of NYC family-sized residences kept holding out for 1987 (or 2006) prices.

So we considered cramming into a small apartment in NYC, bought or rented, and purchasing a cottage up in the Hudson Valley, where we enjoyed spending time. The latter would be the “place to put your stuff” and spend the holidays. We had one infant and other on the way at the time.

We didn’t do it, and housing prices eventually became reasonable (in 1994 after seven years of standoff). Good thing too. Once the kids hit school age, they had their own friends and schedule, which would have kept us anchored to the city. And I can’t stand taking the time and paying the cost to maintain one residence, let alone two.

Comment by exeter
2009-07-06 07:08:29

WOW….. Take a look at the raging speculation in that article….

“If anything, people who are second-home shopping suspect that those markets are close to hitting bottom.”

Then this;

“We feel like we really need to buy something before it’s over,” she said. “Because once it is, then we won’t be able to get anything at all.”

And this;

“They decided to buy their first home upstate, he said, because “we looked at the market decline as a potentially once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.”

And here’s the money statement the leaves me flummoxed;

“While visiting friends in the Catskills, they spotted what looked like a deserted house in the woods. They bought the old hunting cabin for about $150,000 and moved in a month ago.”

$150k for a busted up camp in the Catskills? Someone got RIPPPPPPPPPPPPPED!!!

Comment by Skip
2009-07-06 08:32:02

According to the picture, that old hunting cabin is not like any I have ever stayed in.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2009-07-06 09:08:18

My favorite was this:

“When their subway connections work right, it takes them about an hour and 10 minutes to get to their jobs.”

So a 70 minute one-way commute (when their subway connections work right!!), is now an amenity?

 
Comment by cobaltblue
2009-07-06 09:20:46

This is such a familiar pattern and story in New York State. City slickers take a gander at some money pit in the Spring or Summer in Orange, Ulster or Sullivan County, and decide it is a steal compared to prices in the city.

Wait til September and the leaves fall and clog up the gutters and the roof starts leaking.

Wait til December when the pipes freeze and burst.

Wait til January when getting up the driveway is impossible.

Wait til the depended-upon income stops and the prospect of living in Nowhere with no income crystallizes into Impossibility.

Then, good luck finding the Greater Fool.

Comment by WHYoung
2009-07-06 09:36:44

I know a guy who has an upstate weekend house and says he has to have a snow plow company on retainer to plow the driveway any time it snows more than a certain amount. If not plowed, the local fire department would not try to get up the hill to the house and his insurance would not cover losses…

NYC residents, even those who own, tend to have a bit of a renter mentality because they are used to having building supers on hand to take care of emergencies / repairs and sometimes do other private work on the side. The realities of DIY home care take a while to set in. They have visions of relaxing in a hammock all weekend or perhaps vegetable gardening, not mowing lawns and cleaning gutters.

And regarding the 70 minute commute, I’ve seen a number of people rationalize and then crack within a year.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2009-07-06 10:59:16

“They have visions of relaxing in a hammock all weekend or perhaps vegetable gardening, not mowing lawns and cleaning gutters.”

Its funny you mention this. When I saw the pic of the couple in the article lounging in those white chairs on the lawn I thought, “that’s probably the first time they’ve sat - and perhaps the last they will - in those chairs.”

Pictures like this go a long way to convincing people that “you too can live the lifestyle,” when in reality once they’re done drinking their sun tea 10 minutes later they look at each other and say “now what?”

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-06 11:28:31

+1 sleepless.

 
Comment by exeter
2009-07-06 12:12:51

bingo sleepless.

 
Comment by Elanor
2009-07-06 13:44:07

You tell it, sleepless! It’s hard enough taking care of ONE house, keeping it cleaned, repaired, furnished, stocked with food, etc. Who wants TWO? I’d be run ragged. Not my idea of a relaxing weekend, heck no. Now, if you could afford a staff, like Martha Stewart, that’s a different story. Of course Martha gets to claim pretty much all her household expenses as business expenses since she features her several homes in her magazines and TV shows. Martha has it all figured out. :)

 
Comment by bill in Los Angeles
2009-07-06 17:52:48

Right on! I learned back in my 30s when I was a PITIM payer (including maintenance) that things would go wrong when I was busy doing something I wanted to do. For some, tinkering around the house doing maintenance or adjustments occupies most of their free time. For me, I just take my mountain bike down my stairs and ride. Got lots of free time.

Life is too short to be a handyman for yourself as a second career. Boring! Renting an apartment beats home moanership.

 
 
Comment by exeter
2009-07-06 09:50:55

Geez CB….. I better get a check up because you’re taking the words right out of my mouth.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by X-philly
2009-07-06 10:25:03

Common ground is a beautiful thing.

 
Comment by cobaltblue
2009-07-06 12:22:55

Just a few more interesting tidbits: This week, where does Forbes say wages are FALLING the most? If you guessed NEW YORK, both the City and Upstate, you’ve got the top FIVE areas in the nation.

Cities Where Wages Fell the Most

No. 1: Rochester, N.Y.
Wage Decrease: -2.3%

In April, when the national unemployment rate was 8.9%, unemployment in Rochester was a relatively low 7.4%.

But the economy of the region has suffered heavily, contracting 4.4% since its peak. Many jobs have been spared; many wages have not.

No. 2: Syracuse, N.Y.
Wage Decrease: -2.2%

Syracuse, too, has a better unemployment rate than the national average–only 7.7%–but its GDP has contracted more than 5% from its peak. Those economic losses have to show up somewhere.

No. 3: Albany-Schenectady-Troy, N.Y.

Wage Decrease: -2%

When wages fall across a state, tax revenues to the state capital plunge as well. The New York State Comptroller’s Office reported that, in May, personal income tax revenues fell 44% compared with a year earlier.

No. 4: New York, N.Y. / Newark, N.J. / Edison, Pa.

Wage Decrease: -1.5%

Average wages can be disproportionately skewed by losses at the top. When a worker earning slightly above average loses his or her job, the overall average barely budges. but when financiers earning hundreds of thousands lose their jobs, it pulls down average wages quickly. Plunging salaries on Wall Street explain the fall in New York, and affect the rest of the metropolitan region as well.

No. 5: Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, N.Y.

Wage Decrease: -1.5%

Up the Hudson River, the effects of Wall Street’s troubles reverberate. Poughkeepsie has only 7.2% unemployment and its economy has shrunk only an estimated 2.8%, but wages are falling.

(Great time to sign on to feeding an alligator for the next 30 years)

 
Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-06 15:54:24

-2% in Houston. (a combination of hours and actual wages)

 
Comment by exeter
2009-07-06 17:12:38

CB you are the man! That is beyond ominous. You got a link for that data?

 
Comment by cobaltblue
2009-07-06 22:14:23

Hi Exeter,

http://tinyurl.com/n6ymqw

From Forbes Online July 1, 2009

 
 
 
Comment by BanteringBear
2009-07-06 10:56:50

There is tons of speculative buying going on right now. I’m not sure if it’s the buyers credit or what, but something has juiced this market.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-06 11:55:55

I can’t help thinking that the current round of speculative buying will lead to the foreclosures we’ll be talking about in a year or two.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-06 15:55:54

Yep. Dead cat bounce.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Comment by rosie
2009-07-06 07:01:56

Investment question. My credit union is offering investment shares at 5.75%. These are class A preferred. I can put them into a tax free account. The credit union is one of Canada’s largest. They are offering 60,000,000 at $1.00 a share. Any thoughts. I am a novice at this stuff.

Comment by Tim
2009-07-06 07:31:20

Are they liquid (i.e., can you sell them back at any time)? Is your principal and interest guaranteed? If they are guaranteed, by whom and what is their financial condition? Don’t take an account manager’s word for it. Have them point it out in the documents.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-06 15:06:15

“My credit union is offering investment shares at 5.75%. These are class A preferred.”

By definition, “share” are equity—in other words, the ones who lose biggest when things go bust.

Stay away. There are most likely not guaranteed in any way. If they are trying to raise equity by floating shares like this, it is probably because they are in trouble on the books.

 
 
Comment by Muggy
2009-07-06 07:19:18

Since we cover a lot here, I thought I’d throw this out since some of you are considering grad school due to the economy:

1. Do it before you have kids

2. Make sure it’s in a field you LOVE

I did not follow either of these rules, and it’s making my grad school experience rather unpleasant. If it weren’t for grad school, I’d be out of Florida by now.

Comment by Ol'Bubba
2009-07-06 07:43:33

What are you studying in grad school, Muggy? Are you attending USF?

 
Comment by Beer and Cigar Guy
2009-07-06 08:31:30

I don’t wanna’ hijack the thread, but you Florida folks might appreciate this. There is an uber-McMansion here in Windermere that was constructed for the bubble crowd- 3 floors, an elevator, etc… and was originally offered at about $3 Million. Well, the bank has it back now and it is offered as a short-sale for $1.49 Million. Ouch.

Comment by Muggy
2009-07-06 08:53:05

Please, hijack away! I have noticed a disproportionate number of elevator homes in Florida. I kinda thought that was the original intent of the good ‘ole ranch, yes?

Yes, Bub, I am at USF — Ed. Leadership (I love ed., but I am fairly certain I do not want to be a building leader, which is how the programs are oriented).

 
 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 09:22:29

Preach it, Muggy. I had to make the choice between being a bad dad or a bad grad student/post doc. Ugh.

Comment by Muggy
2009-07-06 09:29:48

Please, fill me in! I am debating taking some time off. I know that doesn’t go over well with my advisors, but I am at the desperate stage. I can’t keep writing at this pace and have a sane family life. I’ve given up nearly everything else. My only free time is about an hour in bed each night (while I watch a Law and Order re-run with one eye open) and the few minutes I riff here.

Comment by polly
2009-07-06 10:03:03

I’d say keep pushing through if you can. One kid is a lot of work, but two is a lot more (says Aunty Polly from her perch of wisdom with a 2 year old niece and 5 week old nephew over 200 miles away). If you need a break, take a week, but don’t get too far away from your routine.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by CA renter
2009-07-07 02:07:44

I agree with Polly. Try to push through now. It probably won’t get any easier as the years progress. (as a mom of three kids)

 
 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 10:12:16

Muggy, it depends on where you are at. If you’re writing, it sounds like you’re pushing through the home stretch, and I’d say finish it up. I was staring another 2 years of grad school plus 2-4 years of postdoc in the face when I decided to switch to a Master’s instead of the Ph.D. Had I been younger and kids still a far away prospect, I would have pushed through.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by patient renter
2009-07-06 16:23:07

Just git’er’dun :)

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Muggy
2009-07-06 16:58:39

“Just git’er’dun ”

LOL. That’s where I am at now. I think the family goal is to have baby #2, finish up with USF, cross our Florida T’s and dot our Florida I’s, then split. It’s weird though, I’m becoming comfortable in my too-young-to-be-a-Florida-curmudgeon role.

I have a good Florida story related to my brown widow saga, but I have to wait for the Dr. to call me back.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-06 11:03:01

A bit of grad school advice from the Slim family:

1. Get the doctorate before you have the child(ren).
2. Live as cheaply as you can. It’s especially helpful is one spouse is working fulltime while the other is in school. (My mother worked for the U.S. Geological Survey while my dad worked on his doctorate.)
3. Finish as quickly as you can. (My dad got a master’s and doctorate in chemical engineering in two years and 11 months.)
4. Love that field! After 56 years, my dad is still a ChemE through and through.

 
 
Comment by polly
2009-07-06 08:08:12

Continuing the knee surgery/do I have gold plated insurance saga, I got my first explanation of benefits over the weekend. Anesthesia doc charged $1200. Plan allowance was $530.19. Plan paid 100% of the plan allowance amount and I owe nothing.

Please note, that I was under general anesthesia for around an hour. Doc chatted with me about it for about 5 minutes before we started. He never checked with me (that I can remember) after we were done.

Comment by Skip
2009-07-06 08:35:54

Thats one of the problems with healthcare:

negotiated price - $530

cash price for those without insurance - $1200

I can’t believe a 220% markup is required here.

Comment by polly
2009-07-06 09:57:03

Some non-profit hospitals have a policy of charging uninsured persons the highest dollar amount that would be the result of any of their negotiated insurance discounts, even for people who do not qualify for charity/discounted care. In that case, the uninsured would get the rate of the least “powerful” private insurance plan that the hospital participates in.

Not all that many, but some.

 
Comment by bananarepublic
2009-07-06 20:31:03

Actually I have had the opposite experience too. Went to see a doctor and asked for the cash price. It was cheaper than using my Blue Cross insurance, so I paid cash.

Comment by CA renter
2009-07-07 02:10:17

We often pay cash and always get a discount from any of the doctors we see.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by Beer and Cigar Guy
2009-07-06 08:36:18

Polly, you actually may not recall it. A common anesthetic is called Versed, affectionately known as ‘Milk of Amnesia’ by the medical crowd. It is often used when an uncomfortable procedure is taking place and its something that you really don’t need to remember. I’ve had orthopaedic surgery on both shoulders… love the stuff.

Comment by In Colorado
2009-07-06 08:57:59

I had a colonoscopy last week. Versed was administered by a nurse (who turned out to be an old friend).

I agree, Versed works great. They also gave me something else, which knocked me out.

 
Comment by polly
2009-07-06 09:51:45

Yeah, that is why I put it that way. He put something in my IV as the bed was going down the hall. I have no memories at all starting a few seconds after that - not even going through the next fire door. I assume I wasn’t completely out from that moment on. And I’m really not sure how long it took for the memories to be retained after starting to wake up.

Hey, I told the guy I had been awake during wrist surgery a number of years ago, didn’t like it and didn’t want to repeat it. He said he could do that. He did. I was just trying to give some indication of how much work was involved.

Comment by Jon
2009-07-06 10:32:13

Doctors make a lot of money and live well. Hospitals make a lot of money. Insurance companies make a lot of money.

You didn’t pay a dime. Sounds good for you.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2009-07-06 08:49:21

Please note, that I was under general anesthesia for around an hour. Doc chatted with me about it for about 5 minutes before we started.

Anesthesia docs pay high malpractice rates, and pass that on to the consumer.

If I recall correctly, our anesthesia-related expenses for the birth of the lad were around $8,000, which was likewise covered by insurance. That whole experience vividly illustrated how someone with inferior coverage or no insurance can take an enormous financial hit in this country, even for somewhat routine events.

 
Comment by tresho
2009-07-06 08:53:06

He never checked with me (that I can remember) after we were done. An endoscopist I knew once told me some of his patients refused to pay their bills because, as far as they could remember, they had no procedure done at all.

Comment by polly
2009-07-06 09:59:54

Then he should have made sure to take lots of pictures for them!!! Not that most people know what their own [fill in whatever he endoscopes here] looks like. I’d think that with anything that goes past your throat, it would be obvious, but that is just me.

Comment by Rancher
2009-07-06 10:09:20

Polly,
Over the course of the years I’ve managed to rack up an impressive list of surgical repairs to this carcass of mine, enough that I really wanted to see what they were doing to me while
I was being worked on…

So my OS said OK and gave me locals when
he worked at rebuilding my hand. It was
fascinating to watch them cut and stitch..

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-06 11:34:41

I used to give anesthesia and loved doing it but I am really disgusted to see and hear what has happened to the American Medical Profession and Hospitals.

I’d rather be hit dead on by sizable meteor than a car and have suffer the indignities and expenses of being held as a captive prisoner of these current avante-garde PIRATES within our Health care System.

I’m glad that I’m out of the business now and although I don’t worry about meteors but I do kinda watch out for cars.
;)

 
 
 
Comment by exeter
2009-07-06 09:49:32

Well I just can read the blog without giving you the next chapter in the saga of my deluded “I’m a millionare” brother from Hawaii. My siblings all returned home last week for a reunion and I was able to pick up on a conversation between The Deluded One and another brother. I might add that the other brother has seen the light.

I won’t parse down to play by play level for you all but I shut down The Deluded One and promptly. He made the statement, and you’re gonna love it, “all the rich people want to live in hawaii and the prices there have been sideways for two years”.

At this point in the housing collapse, I haven’t a smidgen of tolerance for denial so I fired back, “Right….. prices are falling in Manhattan and everywhere else, this housing crime wave was global so I’m confident they’re collapsing in HI too”.

Nothing but silence.

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2009-07-06 10:42:03

Look on the bright side he did say, “sideways.”

Why, I bet a year ago he was hanging on to, “well, we still grew 2% this year while every other place was falling!”

So, he’s making progress whether he’ll admit it or not.

 
 
Comment by milkcrate
2009-07-06 09:52:35

Bail set at $750,000 for ex-Goldman programmer

By Martha Graybow

NEW YORK (Reuters) - A former Goldman Sachs computer programer accused of stealing secret trading codes from the investment bank was being held in federal custody on Monday, pending the posting of $750,000 bail.

Sergey Aleynikov, 39, was ordered by U.S. Magistrate Kevin Nathaniel Fox in Manhattan on Saturday to post a $750,000 personal recognizance bond to be secured by three financially responsible people.

The bond also was to include $75,000 in cash, and Aleynikov was ordered to surrender his passport.

Aleynikov, a Russian immigrant living in New Jersey, was arrested on Friday night by FBI agents at Newark Liberty International Airport after returning from Chicago, according to court documents.

He is accused of “theft of trade secrets” related to computer codes used for automated stock and commodities trading at an unspecified financial institution.

Sources familiar with the situation have told Reuters columnist Matthew Goldstein that the financial institution is Goldman Sachs.

A Goldman representative declined to comment on Monday. A lawyer for Aleynikov, Sabrina Shroff, also declined to comment.

Authorities contend that Aleynikov improperly copied a financial institution’s proprietary computer code and then uploaded it to a computer server in Germany.

In court papers, an FBI agent said Aleynikov worked at an unspecified financial institution as a programer from May 2007 until June 5, when he left to work for a new company focused on high-volume automated trading.

The case could shed light on the intricate trading systems developed by Goldman, and also raises questions about the security of Wall Street’s proprietary trading operations.

Aleynikov’s wife, Elina, told Reuters on Sunday that her husband is innocent.

Comment by Jon
2009-07-06 10:56:07

Geez, dude’s a programmer & can’t figure out how to steal code? Ever heard of a thumb drive? HTML Post? No wonder GS sucks so bad.

Comment by Skip
2009-07-06 14:33:45

They found out due to his not knowing his BASH .history file was backed up.

Of course, only the algorithms are really worth anything.

Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-06 16:55:08

That’s most likely the case skip.

The irony of it is that GS steals trillions and gets away with it.

Moral of the story? Steal big. Nobody likes a petty thief. :lol:

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Comment by cobaltblue
2009-07-06 09:59:30

When the guys who decide “who is too big to fail”
find themselves wondering if they themselves may be failing to protect themselves, odd thing happen:
Is A Case Of Quant Trading Sabotage About To Destroy Goldman Sachs?
Posted by Tyler Durden at 5:48 PM (July 5)
Major developing story: Matt Goldstein over at Reuters may have just broken a story that could spell doom for if not the entire Goldman Sachs program trading group, then at least those who deal with “low latency (microseconds) event-driven market data processing, strategy, and order submissions.” Visions of swirling, gray storm clouds over Goldman’s SLP and hi-fi traders begin to form.

Back-up: This week’s NYSE Program Trading report was very odd: not only because program trading hit 48.6% of all NYSE trading, a record high at least since the NYSE keep tabs of this data, and a data point which in itself was startling enough to cause some serious red flags as I jaunt from village to village in what little is left of Europe’s bison country, but what was shocking was the disappearance of the #1 mainstay of complete trading domination (i.e., Goldman Sachs) from not just the aforementioned #1 spot, but the entire complete list. In other words: Goldman went from 1st to N/A in one week.
While most in the United States were celebrating the Fourth of July holiday, a Russian immigrant living in New Jersey was being held on federal charges of stealing secret computer trading codes from a major New York-based financial institution. Authorities did not identify the firm, but sources say that institution is none other than Goldman Sachs.

The charges, if proven, are significant because the codes that the accused, Sergey Aleynikov, tried to steal are the secret sauce to Goldman’s automated stock and commodities trading business. Federal authorities contend the computer codes and related-trading files that Aleynikov uploaded to a German-based website help this major financial institution generate millions of dollars in profits each year.

Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-06 16:57:38

whoa.

Comment by palmetto
2009-07-06 19:24:23

I love it. I’ll be sleeping with a smile on my kisser tonite as I drift off with visions of GS execs with their boxers in a bunch over the whole thing.

Comment by palmetto
2009-07-06 19:56:47

“However, at a court appearance in Manhattan on July 4, Joseph Facciponti, the assistant United States attorney, told a federal judge that Mr. Aleynikov’s supposed theft posed a risk to United States financial markets and that other people may have had access to it, according to Bloomberg.”

A little gem from the NYT. Risk to US financial markets? Sheesh. It’s a risk to Goldman, and that’s it. It’d be a relief to US financial markets if it brought Goldman down.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by bananarepublic
2009-07-06 20:34:04

Anything to take down the gangsters on Wall Street is a step in the right direction IMO.

 
 
Comment by Northeastener
2009-07-06 10:13:37

I’m in New York City on business through Friday this week. Any HBB’ers interested in getting together one of these evenings? I know NYCityboy, Faster, and DJ are in the NYC area…

Comment by WHYoung
2009-07-06 12:10:11

Would love to finally meet some HBBer’s, but family obligations… DRAT.

I do have a couple of suggestions

If you happen to like beer….
1)Mc Sorley’s Ale House - 15 East 7th Street - NYC’s oldest continually operating saloon.
2)The Peculiar Pub - 145 Bleeker - Near NYU, so a student kind of place - However, they have an international beer menu that’s four pages long. My friends and I like to choose a country or a continent and take a little trip around the world, so to speak.

And if you get anywhere near the east river, south of the 59th Street Bridge, take a look at all the high rise development across in Queens and Brooklyn. Bubbly.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-06 13:51:05

Yes we can show you all the Lux kondozes meant for the Bear sterns and ML people…in Long Island City……lets do it

 
 
Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 10:24:46

So, I know there are some principled people on this blog. I have a dilemma….

I just got word that the company I interviewed with last week is looking to move forward and make an offer. Which is good news, except the recruiter made a comment regarding drug testing. I don’t have an official offer so I don’t have the details, but it sounds like it’d be contingent on a drug test.

Which, on principle, I’m opposed to. I find it to be a pointless invasion of my privacy (if it’s a one-time up-front test). I’m not the one to try to legislate some kind of ban on it - instead I’d rather vote with my feet.

So….

I’m sure many here simply find my principles to be silly..that’s fine. But assuming you held similar principles, what would you do? Especially given the context of having been effectively unemployed for 9 months now? Would you just go ahead and do the test (I am not worried about passing)? Try to have a rational discussion on the topic? Or simply refuse and let them know you won’t submit to such a test?

Obviously I’m jumping the gun a bit w/o paperwork in hand, but it’s something I’d be curious to hear other perspectives on regardless. Thoughts?

Comment by X-philly
2009-07-06 10:59:54

I refused a drug test on principle one time and I never heard from the employer again.

I think it’s a horrible invasion of privacy, it’s just so gross. But I don’t have what it takes to self-employ, so I dance to the music the piper plays.

FWIW I did tell them it was a matter of principle. You know what they think when they hear those words?

USER

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 11:10:34

FWIW I did tell them it was a matter of principle. You know what they think when they hear those words?

USER

Yeah…I had to try to explain this to not one, but *three* different recruiters at a headhunting firm. The job ad mentioned drug test, and I told them straight up that I wasn’t interested, on principle. The 3rd recruiter tried to explain to me that it’s a one-time thing (and thus easy to beat). No-duh! That’s a large part of why I’m against it - it’s pointless!

It’s sad that most people don’t even think about it..they just go along. What about my hydrocodone addiction? Or my drinking problem? No, those don’t matter - they just don’t want someone who smoked pot a week before the interview. But if they’re smart enough to take a break (like I didn’t know I’d be interviewing?), that’s okay!

Comment by SaladSD
2009-07-07 00:15:32

Watch the film Gattica and feel good about going along to get along. When I was a freshman at UC I had to sign a loyalty oath to work at the friggin student cafe. eye roll….

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2009-07-06 11:12:21

I agree with x-philly as much as I also agree what a waste of time, etc, it is.

What do you think when you see someone on the news say, “I categorically deny all charges relating to…”? Guilty, right? Just a matter of time…

Personally I had to endure a battery of psychological questioning that took about 8-10 hours of my time to get a job once (in addition to 2 full days of interviews). I felt disrespected and thought surely there was a shorter means to get the info they were after. Guy that had the job before me was so wrong for it that they wanted to be sure I was a good fit…so I had to pay for his shadiness. (perhaps that’s why they’re testing you) But I wanted the job.

Bottom line:
Do you need the job?
Do you want the job?

Nothing else really matters. If you don’t take the test, the next guy will.

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 11:16:14

If you don’t take the test, the next guy will.

But that’s the thing about principles, right? You could say the same about any number of things. In the end, it’s individual actions that make changes. I’m accountable for myself, not others - I can’t control them.

I get your points…and I see that argument. I’m just curious…on a blog where so many people are opposed to certain behaviors, gov’t actions, etc. If you’re willing to just go along with the crowd (”no sense fighting it!”), then how can you expect things to ever change?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-06 13:08:54

As some of you may have noticed, I have a big mouth. In fact, it’s so big that it has a name: The Troublemaker.

Which means that getting and holding jobs has been, shall we say, a bit problematic. That Troublemaker has a tendency to open at the wrong time, and you can guess the rest.

So, to avoid such workplace indignities as dress codes (Slim’s family is lacking a fashion gene), drug tests, and rules about what can be seen on the office computer, I work for myself. Have done so fulltime since 1994.

I’ll be the first to say that this life isn’t for everyone, but it’s worked out well for Yours Truly.

 
Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 13:45:53

I’ll be the first to say that this life isn’t for everyone, but it’s worked out well for Yours Truly.

well, Slim, you’re more than welcome to hire me to work for you. I’m happy to try out your lifestyle for a while :)

Actually, I’m the same way. I don’t do well with rules for the sake of rules, and bureaucracy for the sake of stroking someone’s ego. I imagine that’s what my references are telling the recruiter right this minute, actually :)

My background just doesn’t lend itself well to striking out on my own. I need to take a good hard look at how I might be able to re-orient myself to do so, though. After being out of an office for such a long period of time, I’m really not liking the thought of going back to it (even if the office is 5 minutes away from a bunch of wineries. Mmm, wine tasting over lunch….)

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2009-07-06 13:58:33

Sorry, maybe I didn’t take my final point far enough. I guess my point was that if you need the job, take the test, get the job, then try to change policy from within. Better you get the job and try to change the policy than someone who supports the policy…I think that’s a better way to effect change.

The only other option for change occurs when everyone agrees not to apply/test there, which is highly unlikely.

If you don’t need it, let them know why you won’t be going further with them but I doubt it’ll make a change, since as x-philly suggests, they’ll simply assume you’re a user.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2009-07-06 14:05:02

Taking it even further:

If you get the job and you can’t effect change AND your principles are the most important thing you want to project, quit and let them know why.

Maybe then -but still I doubt it - they’ll rethink the policy.

i.e. - “a guy who passed his drug test is against drug tests. We just lost a great employee.”

 
Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 14:12:10

“a guy who passed his drug test is against drug tests. We just lost a great employee.”

Good point. At least they can’t question your legitimacy at that point, unless they think you’ve recently developed a drug habit and don’t want to possibly have to be tested again.

 
Comment by bobo4u
2009-07-06 16:35:45

Take the test, then tell them you don’t want the job. Tell ‘em you could never work for a company that employs such degrading tactics during its hiring process. Stick by your principles.

 
Comment by Va Beyatch in Virginia Beach
2009-07-06 16:58:25

It’s their company, their rules. It’s a free country, right?

My favorite line is, “I don’t believe in recreational drug use, or religion.”

 
 
Comment by milkcrate
2009-07-06 13:41:41

I’m with you sleepless.
Also don’t like the seizure of bodily fluids without cause.
Hate it.
A job is a job, though
We make compromises all the time.
Pe@ in the bottle and be done with in.
Since you asked.
Also, it is also possible to commission your own drug test at a lab, if you pay for it, just to make sure of things. One thing you want to make sure of is reliability of lab future employer uses.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by Elanor
2009-07-06 11:01:33

Drumminj, I think of your dilemma the same way I think of the TSA when I’m at an airport: no matter how dumb it is/they are or how opposed to it I am in principle, it’s standing between me and my goal. Voicing objection to these policies may harm the one who objects, and doesn’t change the behavior of the organization. Save your energy to protest where you can actually affect change.

So grit your teeth, swallow your scruples and sense of indignation and…just do it. And please don’t think less of yourself for having done so.

Comment by tresho
2009-07-06 12:25:47

no matter how dumb it is/they are or how opposed to it I am in principle, it’s standing between me and my goal The goal is the thing. With respect to the TSA, my personal goal is never to fly again.

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 12:32:38

I guess I think the baggage fee is a better analogy. I disagree, and will choose to fly airlines that don’t charge a fee (ie Southwest or Alaska rather than American).

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-06 13:33:56

I hate the baggage fees too, but choose to net it out and do what makes sense for me. In other words, if the baggage fees will run me $30, compare price+$30 to what the other airlines offer. I know I can’t change the airlines by choosing to pay more to go with another provider.

I respect you thinking through the question, drumminj, but don’t see the value for YOU in pissing into the wind when you need the job. Especially in this economy, when to do some could cause you some real hardship. When you have more choices, sure, that’s a great time to make a stand, and if enough people do, we might effect change. In other words, know when you have leverage and when you don’t.

 
Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 13:41:38

but don’t see the value for YOU in pissing into the wind when you need the job. Especially in this economy, when to do some could cause you some real hardship. When you have more choices, sure, that’s a great time to make a stand, and if enough people do, we might effect change.

Prime, I appreciate the comment. Does this not boil down to “only stand up for principles when it’s convenient?” I guess that’s the question at hand. I see your reasoning (the job’s in Woodinville. I think it’d be the worst possible commute from West Seattle short of working in Bellingham! - but I figure I’m better off putting up with the commute for a while and taking the cash while I can, rather than holding out, given the uncertainty in today’s economy).

Chances are I’ll sacrifice my “principles”, but I find it an interesting discussion. There’s “being principled”, and “being a stubborn ass”. I’m not sure that being the latter is in anyone’s best interest.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-06 11:06:21

I think it’s a horrible invasion of privacy. And, if I were to hire employees, no drug tests. I really don’t care what you’re on as long as you write XHTML and CSS that validates via the W3C standards.

Comment by X-philly
2009-07-06 11:16:51

Besides the privacy part, there’s the False Positive concern.

Try to clear that one up. The job will go to the next (unqualified) candidate whose test wasn’t mishandled by the lab.

Comment by packman
2009-07-06 14:11:55

Yeah. Make sure you don’t eat any poppyseed muffins that morning :)

(seriously)

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by lavi d
2009-07-06 13:09:16

as long as you write XHTML and CSS that validates via the W3C standards.

You almost HAVE to be high to do that!

 
 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 11:09:47

I think drug tests are pretty useless in general, because if a meth-head got past your in-person screening process you’ve got serious problems already. On the other hand, I respect a private business’s right to decide who they will and will not hire. (Unless, of course, the government decides otherwise.)

Also, some companies who have security clearance projects have company wide drug screening regardless of the clearance of the project you’ll be working on.

If you decide you really don’t want to work for the company if they ask this of you, ask to see the CEO and board’s results before donating your blood because “you don’t want to work for drug users.”

See what they say to that.

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 11:14:05

I respect a private business’s right to decide who they will and will not hire.

Same here. Which is why my method of objection would be to simply refuse, and tell them why. They can re-evaluate their policy if they care about losing a potential employee.

Asking to see the exec’s tests is a nice touch. I’m not sure I’m willing to go out in *that* big a blaze of glory though :)

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 13:18:58

I promise you that they did NOT take said drug test.

However, given the current economy, if you think the company has a decent chance of making it through with little/no cutting, you might just swallow your pride for awhile. If you do, feel free to jump ship when things have improved and on your exit interview tell them that you never felt comfortable with the drug testing.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-06 11:37:54

It NOT an invasion of privacy If the drug test applies to executives too.

A coked up executive can steal 100-1000 times more then the guy on the loading dock

so ask if they drug test executives every 90 days as a security measure.

Comment by salinasron
2009-07-06 13:08:13

“A coked up executive can steal 100-1000 times more then the guy on the loading dock”

The courts would never have allowed drug testing in the work place if stealing was the issue. They won the courts approval because of safety issues and things have morphed out from there.
If you drove a truck, heavy equipment, carried a gun, drove a company vehicle, etc you took a drug test. State, County, City and Fed’s all have drug testing but I think private companies probably bend to the wishes of their insurance companies.
It is interesting that alcohol is a drug but not considered under the same guidelines as alcoholism is classified as a disease and companies offer treatment.

Comment by X-GSfixer
2009-07-06 13:43:07

Just being CHARGED with DUI is an automatic, one year suspension of any FAA certificates you have. Having seen a few examples of the hammering people take when they come up positive, It’s a lot easier on your peace of mind just to lay off the booze and the chemicals.

And remember…….all the moron J6P’s that everyone on this blog bi#ches about, are the same guys that are out there using stuff irresponsibly.

To me, it was no coincidence that the 10% of the “problem children” who caused 90% of the problems in our shop (screwing stuff up, excess absenteeism, etc.) were out of the airplane business within 2-3 years after the start of mandatory testing.

A lot of them went into the residential home construction business……..or got a job working for mom and dad.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-06 13:57:40

THAT was a Mistake…….think of all the theft and fraud in the executive suite the last few years …you don’t think a lot of the people were like um wacked out?

OK then look at it as total dollar amounts….and still it begs for drug testing for ALL employees and the SAME punishment for ALL

Fair is Fair!

———————————–
The courts would never have allowed drug testing in the work place if stealing was the issue.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by X-GSfixer
2009-07-06 11:38:15

How bad do you want to work? Any chance a test will come up positive?

When they started mandatory testing for FAA “safety sensitive” employees back in the early 90’s, we went thru the same mental gymnastics about “invasion of privacy”, “guilty until proven innocent”, “what I do on my free time is none of the company’s/government’s business” etc.

(Well, technically that’s right, but guys made it the employer’s/government’s business due to reporting to work high/drunk, absenteeism, screwing stuff up, etc.)

It all finally boiled down to the Feds and the aviation business saying…..”If you want to maintain employment in this industry, this is a requirement for employment”.

If you are in the financial situation, or are “talented” “creative” and “unique” enough to be able to reject a job on principle (especially in this job market), and/or feel the need to continue recreational drug use, more power to you.

Since, I’ve never used any of the stuff, it wasn’t a big deal for me to just accept that it was just a new “cost of doing business”……..I’ve never lost any sleep over the decision.

I’m just a non-creative/non-unique working stiff, though……….

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 13:01:46

X-GS: It’s not about testing positive - even if I were a user, I’ve actively been job hunting. Of course I’d be smart enough to abstain so that I can pass a test if required.

I just don’t like the “hey, I have nothing to hide, so why should I object?” I’d like to understand why they’re testing. Is it a legality thing? Because I could have gone to someplace where it’s legal. But that’s not a valid “defense” for a positive test, is it? Is it about job performance? Well, alcohol, prescription drugs, etc, could have the same problem. Why not just fire me for cause due to performance, then? A one-time test up front won’t stop those issues from happening.

Comment by X-GSfixer
2009-07-06 15:33:10

You’ve got to remember that a lot of these policies are generated to let the company cover their a$$ in case of future litigation………that, and to give the H.R. department something to do to justify their head-count.

Terminating an abuser of anything (alcohol, drugs, whatever) AFTER he is an employee is an expensive, drawn out process (especially in a union shop)….and while this is going on, it pi$$es off everyone else in the department, because they have to suck it up to cover for them when they are gone, and/or fix their screw ups. Why hire a problem if you can avoid it? (one could argue that if you aren’t smart enough to figure out a way around a pre-employment drug screen, you are not snart enough to be an employee anyway).

(Yeah, I know, everyone on this blog who uses the stuff is/was a model employee……all I know is that when our program started, all the documented F-ups were also the ones who came back positive……and when they were gone, our “positive” rate fell to practically zero…….along with all the problems)

If a client/customer/innocent bystander is “injured” (in any way) by one of your employees, and a lawsuit ensues, you can be assured that a drug policy (or lack thereof) will become an issue.

Any questioning/protesting of the drug policy will mean your app goes to the round file (figuratively). If you ask them to explain the reasons why, they can’t/won’t tell you…….because they typical HR hand-out-the-pee-cup type isn’t going to KNOW the background of the policy.

Every one of these policies (in fact, everything in the Employee’s Manual) are the product of a lot of manhours spent by the management, HR, the Union (if it is a Union Shop), and the lawyers of all the above. Everything in the typical “Employee’s Manual” is there because some guy sued and got his job back because of having no policy, or an ambiguous company rule/policy.

Typically, the people who developed the policy will have more important things to do than give a “History of the Drug Policy” briefing to a new hire.

You can make a Supreme Court case out of it, but raising a stink about it with the HR people will make them wonder if you are more trouble than you are worth.

In the perfect world, there would be enough jobs out there for everyone to have the opportunity to reject an employment opportunity on principle. I’m just telling you how the real world works.

I’m not one of the self-employed Libertarians on this board. I’m not much good at anything else besides fixing airplanes/mechanical stuff, don’t really have the temparment/stomach to be an full time independent contractor, so when the FAA and company say “pee in the cup”, it was a no-brainer decision.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by Watching the Carnage
2009-07-06 17:30:51

drumminj,

I can’t speak for all the HBBer’s here, but I’m pretty well convinced that your using - not that I’m opposed to that…just not feeling the passion of your opposition. You’re sending out strong “he doth protest too much signals”

Piss in the bottle and then let us all know if you actually get the job - if so great! If not let us know if was the drug results or some other reason.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 18:16:04

but I’m pretty well convinced that your using

Why would I bring it up here if that were the case? If I were actually using, this would be a stupid thing to try to take a principled stance on, as I’d be likely to fail.

At the least, it seems a silly thing to ask input on if it’s not really a principled thing.

Guess what? I also do my best to only patronize boarding places that don’t have breed bans. I make a point to pay cash when possible (or with check), even if I don’t get a discount.

If you notice my original post, I don’t go into details about why I feel strongly about this. It’s not relevant - the fact is I do, and was curious what people’s opinions were given that I do feel strongly. If you really want me to try to explain why it matters, to me, I can go into it.

Just because one objects to certain policies, doesn’t mean one has something to hide (DUI checkpoints, TSA, background checks, etc etc etc). If I *was* using, I’d be better served spending my time posting on 420 boards trying to get suggestions for detoxing, no?

 
Comment by SaladSD
2009-07-07 00:32:33

I’m 100% in your court. I’ve been ridiculed for years for not signing up for grocery cards, and I try to pay cash. It’s none of their business tracking how many yogurts and rice krispies I buy. And its not like I’m loading up on boxes of sudafed to mix up batches of meth. That’s why I love Stater Bros, they don’t make you have one of these stupid data mining cards to take advantage of good deals.

 
 
 
 
Comment by polly
2009-07-06 12:31:39

Assuming it becomes an issue, maybe you should take the test and voice your objection to it simultaneously - making it clear that you know they have concerns, but think that there are better ways to address them. That way you can at least let them know that people who are going to fail the tests are not the only ones who object to them.

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 12:58:44

That way you can at least let them know that people who are going to fail the tests are not the only ones who object to them

I thought about this. Good idea, except it’s not much of an objection if I just go through with it anyway, is it?

Comment by polly
2009-07-06 16:03:05

It gives them information. You are taking it because you want the job and they are in control of that. But you think it is wrong. Then you pass. At least they know that a person they want to hire and who doesn’t use drugs is bothered by their policy. It isn’t a great choice. But I have been out of work before, so I know how that feels too.

Sometimes your personal beliefs about a practice are enough to say absolutely not, never. Sometimes you don’t like it, but you do it anyway and try to change it later. I’d guess talking a drug test to get job falls into the later for me, but may not for you. In the past, I have flat out refused to lie to customers about previously identified problems and gotten in trouble for it. Thinking about the issue ahead of time is a good start.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by bill in Los Angeles
2009-07-06 12:35:19

Drug tests get me p.o.’d.

Seriously though, the money I make is too good to give up an invasion of my privacy. If you are against them on principle, you have to follow through and refuse to take the drug test (to remain principled). If you are talented enough, they just might make an exception and hire you without the test.

It’s all up to one’s own personal comfort level. To me I consider it part of joining a club.

If there is a day when they test me for faith to get a job I like, I certainly will tell them I’m an atheist and that “faith” is not a concept to me. If being an atheist keeps me out of high paid jobs, I’m not going to pretend to be religious. My mental health is more important to me.

See? All about comfort level.

Comment by Jon
2009-07-06 13:01:59

I told a couple of co-workers about my atheism in idle conversation when some rogue christians were using the company email for adding to the flock. Since then I’ve found out half the department is the same. Liberating & surprising.

I think I’d act all religious for the right job. Heck, I think the people in those jobs are just acting that way anyway. I think it might be fun.

Comment by bill in Los Angeles
2009-07-06 14:46:15

I happen to be wearing my black t-shirt “Stand Out Campaign” with a big scarlet “A” on the front today at work. Atheists, come out!

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-06 15:44:49

I think I’d act all religious for the right job. Heck, I think the people in those jobs are just acting that way anyway. I think it might be fun.

As a descendant of ol’ Horndog Joe Smith the Profit, I really think you’ve got something there. :)

No, really—make up a religion. If it has funny hats and tasty sacrament offering, such as raspberry danishes, why, heckfire! I’ll even join!

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by mikey
2009-07-06 16:52:56

Heck Oly, you’re easy.

For 3 beers and a large plate of tater tots, you’d volunteer to be the Sunday Morning burnt offering.
;)

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-06 18:08:32

Make that FOUR beers and you’re on.
(As long as I get resurrected the next day in time for more beer. :) )

 
Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-06 19:45:25

Priase BoB!

 
 
 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-06 13:37:40

“I certainly will tell them I’m an atheist and that “faith” is not a concept to me.”

You crack me up, bill in LA… Atheism is as strong a statement of faith as any of the other “faiths”. :-)

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 13:47:53

Atheism is as strong a statement of faith as any of the other “faiths”.

Yikes..you really opened that can of worms there, didn’t you?

Neil, can you pass the popcorn?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-06 15:30:29

Atheism is as strong a statement of faith as any of the other “faiths”. :-)

Testify! (Hahaha! Get it, Primey?)
I well recall in Utarr when you’d have some non-Mormon ranting and raving about the Mormons and how they could never be a part of such a nutty religion, yada yada, on and on…my response was : ‘
‘Somehow, your religion of ‘I’m NOT a Mormon Dam*mit!’ is even stupider and more boringer than the first one, if that is possible.’

One of the many lovely things about where I live now is the fact that no one gives the teensiest little fewmet about what religion you are or aren’t. They just don’t care. Now, if yer gonna wax eloquent about your little theories most of the kindly folks hereabouts will listen patiently, at least for a while, so that’s nice, but get all worked up? Nope.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-06 16:41:44

Hey!!

Can I still pretend to be a semi-reformed pagan/heathen Deist, that believes some sort of “god”, for death insurance, without buying into all of the religous fairy tales and bizzare rituals ?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by robiscrazy
2009-07-06 12:37:19

Not sure why companies test anyway. Pre-employment drug testing is easy to beat. Here are two anecdotal examples:

1. Old neighbor had been on the list for a long time to be a letter carrier for USPS. Ran into him one day and he was freaked out because they called him up for the job and he had to take a drug test the next day. Said he was on his way to the health food store. Didn’t see him until one month later…..wearing a Postal Service uniform.

2. Girlfriends teenager beat one of those home drug tests WHILE he was high on marijuana. He just took large doses of Niacin every week and it was enough that his tests always came out negative.

Illegal drug users slip thru constantly, so why test at all?

 
Comment by DennisN
2009-07-06 12:42:40

Isn’t drug testing some form of pass-through from a Federal requirement? IIRC there’s some “Drug Free Workplace” statute that requires drug testing for companies with more than X employees.

Comment by WHYoung
2009-07-06 15:40:03

Don’t know if this is true or not, but one of our HR people claimed it is a condition of the company’s insurance coverage (liability, etc.)

Not the most professional HR dept I’ve ever encountered, so consider the source.

 
Comment by pismoclam
2009-07-06 20:48:21

Does anyone believe that we should drug test FBBers and others gettig prequal letters from their prospective lender. If you fail, you can buy the house.

 
 
Comment by REhobbyist
2009-07-06 12:44:02

Hi drummin. I feel your frustration. As a health care worker I’m required to get TB tests every year, and if I refuse flu vaccines I have to sign waiver forms for the protection of my employer. I hate being told what to do, but it’s a good job, so I bear with it. I also hate faculty meetings and try to skip as many as I can get away with.

You decide what your limits are. What we think doesn’t matter.

 
Comment by salinasron
2009-07-06 12:57:51

“Try to have a rational discussion on the topic? Or simply refuse and let them know you won’t submit to such a test?”

You have to pick and choose you battles and this is one that you will lose. It’s here and once in place at a company they don’t care how you feel about it, it’s SOP. Don’t mix feelings and principle.

I’m a retired Forensic Toxicologist and your only worry is whether the testing is done correctly. If done wrong you could be refused the job (i.e. a false positive).

I opposed drug tests when they first came into the work place for many valid reasons but the employers felt that if they tested someone when hiring that relieved them from having to take action in the work place which it turns out is not true. Having said that which is true, would I take a drug test, hell no and I never have but today if I wanted to go back to college teaching I would have to or not be offered the position.

 
Comment by lavi d
2009-07-06 13:05:50

Would you just go ahead and do the tes

I have taken drug tests twice when requested - didn’t get either of the jobs. (one because I failed the drug test) :0

I’ve been told that some employers will mention it in order to see your reaction.

Personally, if I didn’t *need* the job, I’d do one of two things:

1)Ask for the CEO’s drug test results in exchange for mine

or,

2)Tell them I am reluctant to do business with people who don’t trust me.

Good luck!

Comment by Muggy
2009-07-06 16:35:19

My lawyer buddies would be homeless if they were tested; they’d snort tree bark if that would do it.

 
 
Comment by patient renter
2009-07-06 16:30:25

If you’re going to shoot them down (which is probably what denying the drug test will do), take the opportunity to make the most of it and educate them. Be clear that you do not use drugs, but neither do you want to work for an employer who imposes such an invasion on its workers.

 
Comment by james
2009-07-06 18:38:59

Yeah. I can see the moral stand here causing you to be unemployed for a long time.

Piss in the cup and move on.

You want to oppose this do it in your off time from the new job.

 
Comment by Skwee
2009-07-07 01:45:08

Contrary to what some suggest, if a company has this policy they will NOT hire you because you are so great if you refuse the test. Companies that do drug testing have signed into a govt program and get tax breaks for it. They cannot make any exception for an exceptional candidate or risk losing their tax exemption.

It is essentially a personal decision if your principle outweighs your need or desire for the job. No one can really give you advice. I once refused a $90k+ job at Intel when they asked me to pee in a cup. Homey don’t play dat.

 
 
Comment by speedingpullet
2009-07-06 11:39:26

I was lucky in that most of my ‘proper’ job interviews were in the UK, where they laugh at things like drug testing.

If you turn up to work on time and clear-headed - its really no business of anybody else’s what you put in your body/what part of your body you put into another body/what clothes you put on your body, outside of work times.

The English are pragmatic that way, but then the list of “Class A” prohibited drugs that could get you arrested over there, is a shrinking one… ;-)

Out of interest is this a ‘creative’ job, or a suit and desk gig?

If its in creative, you really have to wonder why they’d ask for a drug test, even if you’re sure you’d pass it.

In my experience, if they asked to drug test most of the guys I know in game dev, they’d have an empty office and the sound of crickets…. ;-)

If its more ‘conventional’, if you want the job I guess you’d have to cave in and allow it - though even so I’d ask why…

Do they want regular random tests, or is this a one-time only deal for insurance purposes?

I guess if you had other alternatives, you could tell them to stick it. Despite your current use/lack of use, its still a huge invasion of privacy.

But if you’ve been paycheckless for a while (as it seems you have), you might just have to go and do it, though it depends on if they’re going to require you to give blood on a regular basis.

Personally, if its random/regular I’d still tell them to stick it where the sun don’t shine, but then I’ve been known to be stubborn enough to harm my own long-term interests for the ‘principle’ of the thing, so ymmv.

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 13:07:18

Personally, if its random/regular I’d still tell them to stick it where the sun don’t shine, but then I’ve been known to be stubborn enough to harm my own long-term interests for the ‘principle’ of the thing, so ymmv.

Thanks for the response. I fit the description above (stubborn, etc), which is partly why I’m asking for input here. I’m curious what other intelligent, reasonable, but principled people think/would do.

Re: creative/desk job…i’m a software developer. So, desk job, but “creative” to a degree and no suit involved.

I wonder what the outcome would be if I tell the HR person up front that I’m willing to submit to one if absolutely necessary, but I’m opposed and would like to abstain if possible…

Comment by salinasron
2009-07-06 13:19:11

“I wonder what the outcome would be if I tell the HR person up front that I’m willing to submit to one if absolutely necessary, but I’m opposed and would like to abstain if possible…”

I’d be asking myself how many people are waiting in the wings to fill this position. If you haven’t been working in a while, MONEY IS FREEDOM and is your freedom more important than your feelings which I think you are mixing up with principles.

“I’ve been known to be stubborn enough to harm my own long-term interests for the ‘principle’ of the thing”

I probably have you beat on this one. I had to retire before I thought about whether all those battles were worth it. Example: UC Berkeley, telling the dean in a meeting to go to hell (1961) and later finding that he marked dismissal on my record. That little outburst cost me a little extra time in college.

 
Comment by LongIslandLost
2009-07-06 13:37:04

Take the drug test. Join the company. Rise through the ranks and as an executive, you can post your drug test result on the door or use your influence to do away with the drug test.

The senior people in the company make the decisions. You can either continue to be unemployed or you can take this opportunity to start down the path to grab the power needed to make the change.

Or, you can start a union that refuses drug testing. Which will work right until a member gets busted for dealing pot.

 
Comment by matthew
2009-07-06 15:15:46

it’s my experience and belief that those who don’t wish to partake in drug testing have something to hide… the invasion of privacy excuse is a bunch of baloney… if I were an employer concerned about my company’s image, I’d certainly consider drug testing to help weed out the riff raff (no pun intended)…

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 15:30:58

it’s my experience and belief that those who don’t wish to partake in drug testing have something to hide…

I assure you I have nothing to hide. If that really is your outlook, I’m sorry to see that you’re so cynical so as to not believe some people simply have principles and choose to act on them.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by San Diego RE Bear
2009-07-06 17:42:21

Sorry Matthew but I disagree. I rarely drink and don’t use any illegal drugs (heck, few legal ones except for aspirin once in awhile), but I have always been offended by the idea that no one can search my home without a warrant but anyone could search my body and if I disagreed I would lose my job. Lots of Libertarians on this site who strongly believe in privacy and individual freedoms - so a higher percentage of us who don’t use drugs probably oppose mandatory drug testing.

And it also worries me that a stupid poppy seed muffin could mark me as a heroin user, cost me a job and I would have no recourse to clear my reputation as an addict. Sorry but if your behavior isn’t a cause for concern at work your boss should not be allowed your fluids.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by bobo4u
2009-07-06 17:09:09

You could always quote Benjamin Franklin…

“Those who would give up Essential Liberty to obtain a little Temporary Job, deserve neither Liberty nor the Job.”

OK, I changed a couple of words. But I assure you, your typical HR flunky will be too stupid to notice. The original meaning remains the same anyway.

 
 
Comment by Rancher
2009-07-06 13:51:51

Drug testing is over a $2 billion dollar a year industry…it’s not going to go away..

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 13:56:13

it’s not going to go away..

It may not, but perhaps companies that do drug testing of their own accord (not gov’t mandated) will…

Of course, that will require the “good” employees/candidates to choose workplaces that don’t require testing.

Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-06 14:59:27

Total invasion of privacy. I don’t do drugs, but it should be required only in jobs that require utmost sobriety for safety, such as air traffic control. Even then, it’s an invasion. One’s peers and fellow workers should be the police, if you’re drunk or whatever, they make you go home. That’s how it sued to be before we decided such actions weren’t PC and gov should police everyone.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2009-07-06 15:56:37

drumminj,

Can you ask them why the want you to take a drug test?

Years ago I went through an interview process and was asked to take a lie detector test. I told them it was against my principle and would not take the test. Up to that point, I had the job. A few months later I realized I was glad I didn’t get the job.

BTW, I had nothing to hide. Just didn’t believe in taking the lie detector for a job.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-07 03:54:36

Can you ask them why the want you to take a drug test?

Seems like alot of talking and asking questions to me. Who are you to demand anything when they are doing you a favor by hiring you? I interviewed a few people for empty spots in my company. Here in the military, when we take command we sometimes have the opportunity to bring in people. You would be amazed at what I got. Alot of people who grandstand like that wont get hired because it looks like you are going to be a troublemaker. I dont need you to tell me this and that, I just need you to do a job and I need for you to be drug free. And no, your word that you dont do drugs isnt enough. People before you who were busted on the job high or drunk spoiled that for you. So I just moved on to the next person. That is why I drug test 10% every month. It’s very simple to me and I am not trying to be nasty. Take the drug test and get the job. Otherwise, start your own company where you set the rules….

 
Comment by drumminj
2009-07-07 08:30:52

Stpn2me, your points are well taken, however…

when they are doing you a favor by hiring you?

I find this statement to be off target. No one is doing me a *favor* by hiring me. They’re not doing it out of the kindness of their heart. They’re doing it because they themselves have a need, and they see that I can fill it. And at the price they offer/I request, both sides feel like they’re getting a good value.

Yes, the company provides something I want (a job), but I am giving them something they want as well (a skillset, background, and ultimately a product).

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-06 17:06:49

Dayum drummin

your JT extension doesn’t work on the new firefox 3.5

It was great while it lasted…….

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-06 18:20:05

DAYUM im dumb I downloaded the new version and it works just fine……what a wasted 2 posts

 
Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 18:24:38

your JT extension doesn’t work on the new firefox 3.5

Sure it does. What problem you having with it? Version 1.2 works in 3.5. I posted about it a week ago.

Actually, I have version 1.3 ready to roll out. Trying to re-do the website and documentation before I post it, though.

Send me an email if you’re having problems with 1.2.

 
Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 18:34:43

your JT extension doesn’t work on the new firefox 3.5

Sorry, I was too busy using drugs to update it ;)

(kidding. There’s a post in purgatory that explains it should work if you have version 1.2)

 
 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-06 19:03:11

I’ve not worked recently for a place that required drug testing, but if I did, I would fail forthwith. I’m a big believer in better living through exciting botanicals. :lol:

If you want the job and really,truly don’t indulge—and it seems to me that I recall a post awhile ago where you mentioned a bit of indulging–then do it, is what I say. A job’s a job. Money is nice. You can buy exciting botanicals with it.
Save your outrage for something with more purpose.
But that’s just me.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by robiscrazy
2009-07-06 22:10:53

Hey missy, you got a prescription for those botanicals?

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by WT Economist
2009-07-06 12:25:54

Anyone else see this, or did I just miss the discussion?

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124638992043975185.html

“The California Association of Realtors expects to make sharp downward revisions in its recent monthly reports of soaring home sales in the San Diego area, Robert Kleinhenz, deputy chief economist of the trade group, said in an interview. Those revisions will mean modest downward revisions in statewide sales, he added. The revisions are likely to be announced in late July, when the Realtor group reports home sales for June. The problem resulted from a glitch in data from a multiple-listing service in San Diego, Mr. Kleinhenz said.”

The Green Shoot glitch?

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 13:26:49

I believe it was discussed earlier. It should have said “NAR caught fudging numbers, to be disbanded for fraud.”

Instead, we got the headline you saw.

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-06 13:43:01

Wow! That’s awesome. Finally busted.

 
 
Comment by Neil
2009-07-06 15:19:42

As a result, he said, the state-wide sales gain for May — reported last week as 35% — also will be revised down, though it probably will remain above 30%, Mr. Kleinhenz said.

Wait a second… this is a HUGE glich to effect the overall sales that much.

I know why they’re revising, so that June sales can be reported to be an improvement over revised May sales… ;)

Got Popcorn?
Neil

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-06 21:22:52

Har har har — Liars, liars, pants on fires…

 
 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2009-07-06 13:44:50

Hey Lost do you know this guy.

Utah environmental fugitive pleads guilty in Fla.

KEY WEST, Fla. — A fugitive who was shot in the Florida Keys after confronting law officers with an assault rifle pleaded guilty Monday to charges stemming from that case and to environmental charges he faced in Utah.

Larkin Baggett, 55, was shot and wounded March 10 when federal agents and local sheriff’s deputies arrested him at a marina in the Keys town of Marathon. Baggett was among the most-wanted environmental offenders sought by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. The EPA began publishing the list of fugitives last year.

Court records show that Baggett brandished a .308-caliber Bushmaster assault rifle at officers and ignored commands to show his hands.

“He was heard to state words to the effect ‘I won’t go’ and ‘take this’ as he attempted to raise the assault rifle to firing position, sweeping the barrel towards several of the exposed agents,” prosecutors said in one court document.

After Baggett was shot twice and wounded, officers found four rifles and four handguns in his travel trailer. The assault rifle had two fully loaded 30-round magazines.

Baggett pleaded guilty to four counts of assaulting a law enforcement officer with a deadly weapon and one count of being a fugitive in possession of a firearm. He also pleaded guilty to the original Utah charges of violating the federal Clean Water Act and illegally disposing of hazardous waste.

The combined charges carry a maximum prison sentence of 98 years. U.S. District Judge K. Michael Moore set sentencing for Oct. 14.

Baggett fled Utah before his scheduled June 2008 trial on charges that his company, Chemical Consultants Inc. of North Salt Lake dumped hazardous chemicals into drains, a paved alley and into grates leading to a sewer district.

Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-06 15:55:49

Nah, but Oly might. Actually, she’s probably the one who got him arrested…

His big mistake was in leaving Utah, they aren’t too hard on fraud here…actually, they encourage it if you know the right people. Not unique to Utah, I guess…

Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-06 18:59:09

His big mistake was in leaving Utah, they aren’t too hard on fraud here…actually, they encourage it if you know the right people. Not unique to Utah, I guess…

I am sorry to have to agree with you here. Very sad. Such wondrous beauty, in the hands of so many iggerant, devout knuckleheads.

 
 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-06 18:57:43

I love a happy ending! Although it’d be happier if he expired from ‘lead poisoning’. Oh, well, maybe he’ll get gangrene or something!

 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2009-07-06 14:00:24

No-closing time: Ditching condo deal may have been smart

By Alexandra Clough
Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Sunday, July 05, 2009

Did you bail on a pre-construction condo purchase?

Did you file a lawsuit against the developer to try to get your deposit back? Or did you just walk away, forfeit your deposit and refuse to show up at the closing table?

If so, you may have made the right business decision, said real estate lawyer Gary Nagle of Juno Beach. With the benefit of hindsight, and three years of litigating, Nagle has reached this conclusion: “The better decision may have been not to close.”

Nagle has a dog in this fight, of course. He has represented dozens of would-be condo buyers who have tried to wiggle out of pre-construction contracts. In fact, he was among the first attorneys in Palm Beach County to file lawsuits on behalf of pre-construction buyers seeking to get their deposits back on unfinished condominium projects.

Using arguments ranging from improper paperwork to failure to finish a building on time, Nagle often has been able to get back at least some deposit money from developers who don’t want the hassle, and expense, of lengthy litigation with buyers who had changed their minds about completing their condo purchase.

But even in cases where buyers could not undo their deals and lost their case (and their deposit), they still may have come out ahead, others say.

“Anyone who closed on a condo in South Florida in the last two years is in a loss position. Every one of them,” said Jack McCabe of McCabe Research & Consulting in Deerfield Beach. “I really believe that people who walked away and didn’t close have been breathing a big sigh of relief. Even if they took a hit and lost 20 percent, or $100,000 (in deposit money). But compared to what they could have lost, they cut their losses. It was the better decision to walk away.”

What they could have lost is their credit, if they closed on a condo and were unable to meet their mortgage payments, thereby leading to a foreclosure or short sale of their property, McCabe said.

Condo developers always know some pre-construction buyers won’t come to the closing table, said Jay Jacobson of Wood Partners, which built The Edge condo in West Palm Beach.

“What’s happened during the last couple of years, however, is that it happened in unprecedented numbers - 90 to 95 percent,” Jacobson said.

Banking analyst Ken Thomas said the trend to break pre-construction purchase contracts “sets a dangerous precedent. The whole concept of capitalism is based on the rule of law. When the next economic crisis occurs, will people just say, ‘Excuse me, I didn’t mean that’?

“It’s bad for the economy, bad for capitalism and bad for business in general when people realize they can find legal room to get out of any deal, whether they’re buying a house or a business,” Thomas said. “It appears South Florida is the epicenter of this.”

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-06 15:36:53

Of course, Ken Thomas doesn’t say anything about the builders violating delivery date and sales clauses. And the buyers walking away and losing their deposits ARE honoring the contract exactly as written, so he should have no beef with them. If he’s really worried about contract law, he should be harping on the builders not delivering as promised, not the buyers who want their money back because the condos aren’t done.

If the builder delivered the condo exactly as advertised and the buyer wants out, they should lose their deposit, however. Because you know the developer isn’t about to let the buyer deliver a non-standard payment(”Oh, I dropped 15% off the price because you never finished the amenities center you promised in the contract.”) so the buyers should fight their way out of the deal if the builder didn’t deliver as promised.

 
Comment by palmetto
2009-07-06 16:04:53

“Banking analyst Ken Thomas said the trend to break pre-construction purchase contracts “sets a dangerous precedent. The whole concept of capitalism is based on the rule of law. When the next economic crisis occurs, will people just say, ‘Excuse me, I didn’t mean that’?

“It’s bad for the economy, bad for capitalism and bad for business in general when people realize they can find legal room to get out of any deal, whether they’re buying a house or a business,” Thomas said. “It appears South Florida is the epicenter of this.”

Where do I begin here? A banking analyst preaching about the rule of law? BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!

 
 
Comment by X-GSfixer
2009-07-06 14:18:02

I’ve been thinking……….(yeah, I know, it’s kinda scary)

It is becoming apparant to me that the Federal Government needs to generate some revenue. Soooooooo……….why not a “Garage
Sale”? It isn’t like the US hasn’t shopped at garage sales before (Alaska, Louisiana Purchase, Manhattan Island).

I’m thinking….

-Texans should buy back Texas. If not the whole state, everything south of Austin.

-Sell California, south of a Santa Maria-Mojave-Barstow-I-15 line to Mexico. Don’t tell anybody beforehand……let it be a big surprise. Keep Pismo Beach (I like saying “Pismo Beach”).

-Work out a deal with the Russians on Alaska (they already think we stole it from them anyway)…….or see if Canada has a few extra bucks laying around.

Just throwing some ideas out there……. :)

-

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-06 14:48:21

“It is becoming apparant to me that the Federal Government needs to generate some revenue.”

Did the printing press break while I was away?

 
Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-06 14:55:29

Great idea. I say we get rid of all the major population areas. The inhabitants would need special visas to visit the nice parts of the country, which would be expensive.

Wait…I think this is kinda already being done…

It’s called the national park system…

 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-06 16:21:56

If we carve California up just right and save a few orange groves for my morning OJ, then that makes Florida totally expendable right ?

We could bump off Maine and Vermont and turn Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan into the Maple Sugar National Park Strategic Reserves, as most people are hooked on high-fructose corn syrup and wouldn’t know a pure maple sugar product if it bit them on the butt…

Hey, I’m trying to work with you here X-GSfixer
;)

Comment by pismoclam
2009-07-06 21:00:50

Put maple syrup on your worms or powerbait and catch more fish ! Really, no s–t G.I. !

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-06 20:05:28

AMERICATHON!

(This was actually a John Ritter movie. You can look it up on the IMDB)

 
Comment by pismoclam
2009-07-06 21:03:36

Everyone is invited to the CLAM Festival in October and a beer at Harry’s !

 
Comment by measton
2009-07-06 21:29:49

Don’t laugh you may see Yellowstone or more likely other lesser known parks on the auction block soon. I believe GW sold off a lot of national forest.

 
 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-06 15:53:05

I just checked my email and this was in it, from my neighborhood semi-association listserv.

http://tinyurl.com/lkuk24

The cats on this web site were left behind in Rainier, Washington, by their owners whom were evicted from their home after a foreclosure. 30+ cats and kittens were left behind.

There really ARE some victims to this whole mess. They just weren’t the idjits signing the mortgage papers.

Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-06 17:19:38

Totally sucks. A friend just visited a shelter in a small town in Texas that has 600 dogs!

How could you ever abandon your friend? People suck, I hope anyone who abandons an animal ends up on the streets so they can get a taste of what it’s like.

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-06 18:26:09

How could you ever abandon your friend?

Sadly, a lot of people see animals as property and nothing more.

The laws in Texas still treat animals/pets as property. It’s a shame.

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-06 18:56:25

People suck, I hope anyone who abandons an animal ends up on the streets so they can get a taste of what it’s like.

Testify!
I already have 4 cats that some OTHER complete as*shat dumped in the woods, or I’d take a few.

 
Comment by toast on the coast 90803
2009-07-06 19:05:41

I just rescued a very neglected adult yorkie that was left in a home in Corona CA. with 4 other dogs. The sheriff found them. She is coming along great but is a money pit. I’d do it all over again.

 
 
Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2009-07-06 19:59:08

A local humane society was offering free adoptions of the cats and dogs that they had (usually charge a $25.00 adoption fee). All the cats and dogs were spayed and neutered, shots up to date, and given a clean bill of health by a vet.

 
Comment by DennisN
2009-07-06 21:46:31

I had two cats die in the spring of 2008. The remaining one was getting lonely so I went down to the local cat shelter and ended up bringing little Dukie home. He was 2+ years old. The shelter said he was found as a stray - which in today’s world meant he had been abandoned by his former owners. He wasn’t very trusting at first but over the last year has really taken a shine to me. He insists on sleeping up against my back.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-06 21:29:19

Megabank, Inc to CA: We don’t want your stinkin’ IOUs.

Dumb question of the day: What is the difference between an IOU and a short-term bond?

Wall Street Journal
JULY 7, 2009
Big Banks Don’t Want California’s IOUs Article Comments (19) more in Economy

By RYAN KNUTSON
A group of the biggest U.S. banks said they would stop accepting California’s IOUs on Friday, adding pressure on the state to close its $26.3 billion annual budget gap.

The development is the latest twist in California’s struggle to deal with the effects of the recession. After state leaders failed to agree on budget solutions last week, California began issuing IOUs — or “individual registered warrants” — to hundreds of thousands of creditors. State Controller John Chiang said that without IOUs, California would run out of cash by July’s end.

The group of banks included Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc., Wells Fargo & Co. and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., among others. The banks had previously committed to accepting state IOUs as payment. California plans to issue more than $3 billion of IOUs in July.

Comment by CA renter
2009-07-07 02:55:04

Dumb question of the day: What is the difference between an IOU and a short-term bond?

Accepting a bond is voluntary? :)

Comment by DennisN
2009-07-07 04:27:08

The terms on the IOUs is actually pretty attractive: coupon rate of 3.75% paid around this October.

I’ve finished reading “Bond Investing for Dummies” and can categorize the IOUs as “short-term zero-coupon municipal bonds”. ;)

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-06 21:32:46

Ahem…

Wall Street Journal
REAL ESTATE
JULY 7, 2009 Office Rents Decline

By CHRISTINA S.N. LEWIS

Office rents fell 6.7% year-over-year this quarter, the largest single quarter decline since the first quarter of 2002 as the worsening jobs market continued to reduce demand, according to a report scheduled to be released Tuesday by research firm Reis Inc.

Businesses dumped an additional 20 million square feet of space on the market — the sixth consecutive quarter that businesses shed more space than they leased, a process known as “negative absorption,” according to the report.

The office vacancy rate rose to 15.9% from 15.2% in the previous quarter, fast approaching the record 19% vacancy rate seen in the early ’90s. Since commercial real estate typically lags behind the overall market by one to two years as leases run out and businesses gradually renegotiate their rents or take smaller space, the market is widely expected to worsen.

Unlike housing, commercial real estate didn’t suffer from significant overbuilding, but that mitigating factor is limited by a near-record level of sublease space — roughly 80 million square feet, about 13% of total inventory, Reis estimates.

We’re really only at the beginning of a downturn,” said Victor Calanog, Reis’s director of research. “It’s a tough time for landlords.”

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-06 21:38:39

Sorry if a repost — I have been traveling, with patchy access to the internet… I cannot possibly overstate my agreement with the writer.

Wall Street Journal
OPINION: FEDERATION FEATURE JULY 1, 2009, 7:35 P.M. ET
A Government Failure, Not a Market Failure

The housing bubble was a fully rational response to a set of distortions in the free market—distortions created primarily by the public sector.

BY JOHN H. MAKIN

As a people we need, at all times, the encouragement of home ownership.
–HERBERT HOOVER, 1932

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-07 08:32:18

—distortions created primarily by the public sector.

I think this summary is a bit oversimplified, as the Fed isn’t in the public sector, but I know that you (and likely the author) know that.

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-07 10:12:40

“as the Fed isn’t in the public sector”

Technically private, but practically speaking, empowered by the public sector.

How effective would the Fed be at the attempted distortions, if it did not have the special privileges to create money granted it by Congress?

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-06 22:06:55

I just posted a link to a fantastic WSJ Op-ed piece by John Makin that summarizes many of the points made on this blog over the past four years. In case the link does not make it through, I want to make sure that the following bit does.

Clearly, the Clintons were instrumental in planting the seeds of the housing bubble. Bear this in mind in case Hitlary ever runs for the top job again.

‘In 1994, the “National Homeownership Strategy” of the Clinton administration advanced “financing strategies fueled by creativity to help homeowners who lacked the cash to buy a home or the income to make the down payments” to buy a home nonetheless. It became U.S. government policy to intervene in the marketplace by lowering the standards necessary to qualify for mortgages so that Americans with lower incomes could participate in the leveraged purchases of homes.’

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-06 22:12:23

Here is another beautiful tidbit from Makin’s recent monumental WSJ Op-ed summary of the bubble:

In February 2003, Angelo Mozilo, then head of the major mortgage supplier called Countrywide, declared that the need to provide a down payment should no longer be an impediment to home ownership for any American.

Was it any wonder that a home-buying frenzy occurred when Countrywide’s chieftan was suggesting that there was no need for a purchaser to supply even a minimal equity stake in his purchase? During 2004 and 2005, the rise in home prices accelerated. That, in turn, caused Americans to refinance their homes to remove their equity—their accumulated wealth, in other words—and convert it into disposable income. They did so because they were confident the equity would simply be recreated by continued growth in the value of their homes.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-06 22:17:05

Perhaps Makin has single-handedly resurrected the efficient market hypothesis?

Wall Street Journal
OPINION: FEDERATION FEATURE JULY 1, 2009, 7:35 P.M. ET A Government Failure, Not a Market Failure
John Makin

“The housing bubble was thus a fully rational response to a set of distortions in the free market—distortions created primarily by the public sector. The heads of large financial institutions, as Prince’s remark suggested, recognized the risk-taking subsidy inherent in public policy, but felt they had no choice but to play along or fall behind the other institutions that were also responding rationally to the incentives created by government intervention.”

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-06 22:25:45

California crisis solution: Try your best to kick the can down the road…

And BTW, I have only been on vacation for a few days. I am wondering how the CA budget gap managed to grow by $2 bn (from $24 bn to $26 bn) in such a short amount of time? Is this the nominal value of the IOUs showing up on the balance sheet?

Financial Times
California credit rating cut close to junk
By Nicole Bullock in New York

Published: July 7 2009 00:22 | Last updated: July 7 2009 00:22

California’s debt rating was slashed by Fitch Ratings to triple B – two notches above junk – after the state was forced to issue IOUs for certain payments while it frantically tries to agree a budget.

Further downgrades are possible, Fitch said, if legislators and Arnold Schwarzenegger, governor, do not end a stalemate over how to close a $26bn budget gap. “This underscores the urgency to solve our entire deficit,” Mr Schwarzenegger said.

By issuing the IOUs for what is considered non-priority payments, including vendor bills and tax refunds, the state is taking steps to ensure debt service on California’s nearly $70bn in general obligations bonds, Douglas Offerman, an analyst at Fitch, said.

“Right now we do not have any concern about the payment of debt service,” he said.

Bond obligations have priority over other payments in California, except funds for education.

“The options are now finite in terms of managing cash flow in a way that covers the state’s obligations, and obviously, IOU recipients are already being asked to front the state resources,” Mr Offerman added.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-06 23:53:06

How is the dumb decoupling theory holding up these days?

Jul 7, 2009, 12:45 a.m. EST

China shares may lag, not lead global recovery
By Chris Oliver, MarketWatch

HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — China could be an unexpected laggard to any global recovery, with its economy set to remain sluggish after a long run of bubble-like investment in factories and other fixed assets wears off, some analysts say.

The world’s third-largest economy is likely to struggle with a “W”-shaped recovery, with another big down leg is coming, as growth in government-led fixed-asset investment eases to around 10% during the next 12 months, Deutsche Bank analysts said in a research note Monday.

Even a rebound in exports won’t be enough to offset the decline in stimulus investment. Fixed-asset investment (FAI) is about three times more important than exports in contributing to gross domestic product growth, according to Deutsche Bank chief Greater China economist Jun Ma.

China’s FAI growth was 33% higher in the January-through-May period than in the same months of 2008. But Deutsche Bank says overall FAI will fall by 30 percentage points during the next 12 month, with relatively strong flows into real-estate helping cushion the decline.

We think government-led fixed asset investment growth will fall precipitously from 60% year-on-year in the coming one to two months to zero in mid-2010, showing an inverted V-shaped trajectory,” Ma said, adding the pattern would be a repeat of what was seen in 1998-1999, following the Asian Financial Crisis.

 
Name (required)
E-mail (required - never shown publicly)
URI
Your Comment (smaller size | larger size)
You may use <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong> in your comment.

Trackback responses to this post