July 9, 2009

Bits Bucket For July 9, 2009

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510 Comments »

Comment by New Zealand Renter
2009-07-09 03:39:35

First Post! Yes!!!

Swine flu death toll up to 6 in New Zealand and rising daily. I’m a doctor, and can’t buy life insurance any more. Everyone who didn’t have a huge life insurance policy is trying to get one now, and no one will sell to us.

No longer worried about the cost of housing

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 04:50:16

Wow! My wife and I locked in the value of twenty-year term life insurance on each of us about three months ago. Good timing, neh?

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 05:50:48

Any of you folks planning to send your kids to summer camp this year? (We are — gulp!)

Swine flu detected in kids at camps
Virus leads to death of 4th victim in county
By Keith Darcé
Union-Tribune Staff Writer
2:00 a.m. July 8, 2009

 
Comment by Marcus
2009-07-09 06:50:17

We’ve been working on a side project to determine the genetic origin of the new swine flu. It’s really quite an interesting little mutt of a virus. Hopefully the new vaccine in 2009 will contain/limit the scope of the pandemic.

Comment by wolfgirl
2009-07-09 07:56:28

Neither my husband nor I will be taking the flu shot.He has taken it twice in the past 33 years.Both times it made him deathly ill. Both of my parents had issues with flu shots, so I am unwillimng to take the risk.

Comment by awaiting wipeout
2009-07-09 09:20:01

A doctor with the NIH or the CDC, was on NPR during the U.S. Swine Flu fiasco, and she said most flu deaths were related to underlining health conditions that made the flu more dangerous and deadly. We’ve had the same experience with the flu shot, Wolfgirl. We’ll pass on the shot too. Like you can trust a pharmecutical company, or the FDA.

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Comment by sagesse
2009-07-09 09:51:58

Same here, I am not having flu shots, and never had.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 10:44:52

My mother’s flu shot made her so ill that she swore she’d never get another one. Since Mom and I have similar reactions to drugs, I’m a flu shot-shunner.

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Comment by SkagitDan
2009-07-09 15:32:09

Great Arizona

How about those polio and small pox vacines - did you take those?

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 16:15:40

Polio and smallpox, yes. Flu, never.

 
 
Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2009-07-09 15:40:01

I just hang around all the people who have had their flu shot. :) Besides everytime I get a flu shot or give blood I faint.

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Comment by awaiting wipeout
2009-07-09 18:46:24

SanFranciscoBayAreaGal-
Me too. I faint at other people’s blood tests while watching. One day my husband stabbed himself accidently in his hand, and I passed out. He had to control the bleeding while peeling me off the floor. I was ghost white, he said.

 
 
 
Comment by Marcus
2009-07-09 09:11:31

Is he allergic to eggs? This is the most common reason for adverse reaction to the flu shot.

I would always recommend that you get a flu shot if you personally have no history of bad reactions. You may be willing to suffer through the flu, and if you’re relatively healthy, you would probably be fine. But you could also spread the virus, and if you have close friends of family who are infants or elderly, they could quite possibly be infected by you and they are much more likely to suffer severe illness or death.

That being said, it’s your body and I’ll be the last person to tell you what to do with it.

Comment by sagesse
2009-07-09 10:07:09

Marcus, before dispensing such advice, are you a doctor?

Second: if concerned about contamination, what about this:
- To all younger males: stop spitting immediately. Whenever has dispersing your sputum in public become acceptable behavior? To all women, start an educational campaign. Refuse sex if your guy continues.

- Don’t lick your fingers if you are at a buffet or salad bar.
- Stay home if you have a fever.
- Don’t rub your nose or mouth if you handle food. Managers: tell you employees not to rub nose or mouth…
- Use a tissue and don’t blow your nose on said pavement.
- If you own a public bathroom (older Starbucks and many chic city center cafes included), clean it every so often !

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Comment by Marcus
2009-07-09 17:06:35

Wow. Perhaps we should stick to housing on the HBB.

 
 
Comment by wolfgirl
2009-07-09 13:33:45

Not allergic to eggs. He spent 3 months on short term disability after his last flu shot.

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Comment by sagesse
2009-07-09 09:47:25

What pandemic?

 
Comment by BubbleViewer
2009-07-09 10:37:20

Why don’t you check it if has the same source as the Anthrax attacks of 2001 - Fort Detrick MD?

 
 
Comment by jms
2009-07-09 06:56:30

I have friends that live in Santiago Chile and they have had over 200,000 cases alone in Santiago. The death rate there is lower than non swine flu and if you are a bit older it is particularly mild.

It is just the flu, not a big deal!!!

Comment by speedingpullet
2009-07-09 07:09:35

The BBC website has a good Flu Tracker. Its easier to read, IMO, than the Rhiza Labs one.

NZ has 3 fatalities confirmed, but then its normally a day or two out of date.

Lots of new cases cropping up in south America too - I guess its the season for it, south of the equator.

Comment by jfp
2009-07-09 09:46:01

The BBC version is better for telling a story about the spread of the flu with its simpler presentation and time element. But, because they’re right down the hall from me, I’ll stick up for Rhiza Labs and say that their version is intended for a more research oriented audience. That’s why it allows all sorts of drilling down into the source data, with the trade off being increased visual complexity.

In any case, the work that John Snow did almost two hundred years ago lives on.

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Comment by speedingpullet
2009-07-09 09:51:45

I like the little Rhiza Labs embed maps at the bottom of the main page, but I’m a bit miffed that they haven’t updated them since June 23rd.

I’m a medical stats nerd - I like my data fresh!

 
Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-09 15:15:52

Well, pooh-poohing the swine flu (also known as Type-A or the “Novel Flu”) or not, we’ve had a number of people die from it in our ICU’s. We’ve been getting cases flown in from out-of-state due to the fact that we have something called ECMO (Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation), which is evidently a step beyond the regular ventilator. If you’re on ECMO, that’s right next to dying. Some very high-quality, young to younger people have been lost. I wouldn’t be too sanguine about the effects of this flu. It’s like a family has it, one little baby gets the sniffles, and then dad or mom get it and they’re dead in a few days. Sad.

 
 
 
Comment by Ol'Bubba
2009-07-09 10:23:45

“It is just the flu, not a big deal!!”

Obviously it’s been a while since you had the flu.

I came down with a case of the flu in February 2005. It was the first time I had the flu in many, many years.

I remember feeling so miserable that all I could do was lay in bed, look at the ceiling and think to myself, “will someone please shoot me?”

It was about ten times worse than a bad cold. Fortunately it ran its course in about 4 or 5 days.

The flu isn’t a big deal if someone else has it. If you, or someone close to you, have it then it’s a big deal.

 
 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 07:42:16

Swine flu death toll up to 6 in New Zealand and rising daily.

Icky! It’d be a pure pity to lose you, so don’t touch anyone germy!

I’m a doctor

Oh. Well. Hmmmm. Dang.

Seriously, though, New Zealand, I hope you stay flu-less. I’ll go ahead and direct Sweet Baby Jeebus to keep an eye on you.

 
Comment by sagesse
2009-07-09 09:44:21

It is so strange that in this small, little populated and remote country, there is so much “swine” flu, and such happenings around it. Since I read yesterday that an Austrian journalist (name is Buergermeister) filed a case against a vaccine manufacturer in Austria, I don’t believe much anymore - well make that, I did not believe much to start with. Pigs never had this flu. A company named Baxter is accused of having purposely contaminated vaccine with bird flu.
In another note, globalism definitely has something to do with headlice making a comeback.

Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 10:47:52

globalism definitely has something to do with headlice making a comeback.

I was reading the same thing about bedbugs. It made me feel itchy all over just thinking about it, and I decided to never sleep in a hotel again unless I have some napalm handy.

 
 
Comment by sagesse
2009-07-09 09:57:32

Also, how can it rise “on a daily basis”, the number would be 60 since this has been going on for two months. News from NZ reported two months ago that “a whole group of young people had swine flu, but only one (!) had a positive test result.” The others had not been tested !!!! Am I stupid or what?

Comment by speedingpullet
2009-07-09 11:38:44

Am I stupid or what?

Erm…….. 0_o

 
 
Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-09 10:41:11

My brother died of the flu at age 16, a number of years ago. It’s not something to take lightly. He did have other health problems, it probably wouldn’t have killed him otherwise.

Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-09 15:17:30

Sorry to hear about your brother, Losty. That must have been a terrible blow to you and your family :(

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2009-07-09 15:50:32

Sad news about your brother dying at 16, Lost in Utah. My sister died at 21. Sudden death. I feel for you. As John Mellencamp’ granny told him “Life is short, even on its longest days”.
A death that young makes you take a gratitude inventory. Way too young to die.

Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-09 17:19:04

Thanks, all. I was 13 and it did teach me the transitory nature if things, I guess I became a but of a Buddhist at a young age, nothing lasts forever.

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Comment by awaiting wipeout
2009-07-09 18:29:37

Lost-
John Melloncamp’s new “album” is centered around mortality. I don’t follow him, but NPR has a good recent interview. You should give the 39 minutes a listen. btw, he use to have the same Manager as David Bowie, who inserted the “Cougar”. John didn’t like it. His granny story was endearing.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-09 03:48:43

Oh, Bwaaa haaa haaa ! And Good Morning. I am the firstiest. Hopefully not the lastiest. Got back from Up North. Lovely weather, blue water, and cottages for sale everywhere. Lots of wish prices on Lake Michigan. Big millions. Many owners in over their heads on two houses.

Other real estate-related item: we rented our other home last night. I hadn’t been commenting much but we had had such a run of lookie lous with poor to horrific credit. Their realtors’ mantra was ” everyone has bad credit now”. I kid you not. The rents have definitely gone down. We’re taking $ 225 less per month than the last tenants paid and are glad to get it. The family has one small dog. No problem. They have good credit and great jobs.

This is our retirement home. They are already thinking of buying it from us ( a lot of tenants discuss that possibility with us ), but since it’s our paid-for retirement home, why sell ? She was thinking of “knocking a wall out”. Nope. They’re painting it for free for us, though :) She doesn’t like white walls and is doing a two-tone paint job on it. It should be nice :)

I’ll say this much about landlording right now. A lot of big sh–kickers walk thru with busted out credit scores ( 520’s ) and think they’re doing us a big favor by even “considering” us. This is a clean, well-kept unit which we make work for itself to pay the taxes etc. If you’ve already lost a house by getting in over your head (one person had a 600K repo on his record and he ran a party store ), don’t be an a–hole and act like you’re one of the Vanderbilts whose doing us frugal types a big favor when coming thru our humble abode. Geeze.

Comment by exeter
2009-07-09 04:14:07

hmmmm….. I’m not sure why you’re attempting to gauge value by eliciting reactions from losers. I’d wager to say that your shack isn’t worth half of whatever number is in your head and the empty skulls of the losers parading through the place.

Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-09 08:28:55

I’m not trying to “gauge value by eliciting reactions from losers”, dumbo. I’m reporting what’s going on in our market for rentals. We don’t meet these people, by and large. We get reports. The “shack” is an upper-end ranch with 2 1/2 baths, 3 large BR, a 14 x 36′ deck in a lovely neighborhood. We won’t sell because we don’t feel like it. Don’t worry your little self about it.

Comment by realestateskeptic
2009-07-09 08:59:45

Don’t worry about Ex, he’s always a bit negative and curt. He’ll warm up after a while ;-)

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Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-09 10:37:25

I know, but when someone gives me the business because they feel “a little out of sorts”, they get some of the business back from me :) In some ways, life is a spitting (nice way to put it) match.

 
 
Comment by exeter
2009-07-09 18:03:11

Believe me Cupcake…. They’re all shacks. Including yours. And I have another bulletin for ya…. They depreciate.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2009-07-09 19:03:28

Soo…..A shack in Carmel hasn’t appreciated in the last 50 or so years ?

 
Comment by exeter
2009-07-10 04:11:38

I presume you mean Carmel, CA.

Presuming you back out the fraudulent bubble years, I’ll wager that Carmel was flat.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2009-07-10 07:45:46

I’ll take that bet.

 
Comment by exeter
2009-07-10 08:56:33

And???? Put up.

 
 
Comment by ahansen
2009-07-09 23:05:27

Wow. An ironclad pension, full healthcare for life, AND a rental that pays for itself! What could possibly go wrogn…?

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Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-09 04:27:06

Same with my moms 2 family house , we will probably rent if for $200+ less a month then the present tenants, but still no dawgs.

I have had cats all my life and once i started using my old carpeted speakers cabinets as their scratching posts and little hideout no problems with the them scratching on the carpets or the couch or bed.

But i would never rent to a dawg owner without a substantial pet deposit…. sorry but i have known too many irresponsible dawg owners who let their dawgs do whatever they like to other peoples property.

————————————
We’re taking $ 225 less per month The family has one small dog.

Comment by Wickedheart
2009-07-09 07:49:19

I think it’s possible to screen out bad pet owners. If I were a landlord I’d be much more open to dogs than cats. I would also have a set of questions about how they care for their pets.

Have you ever smelled a house that’s been used as a litter box? It’s gawd awful and you need a prop to remedy it. Most people don’t realize how often you need to clean a litter box and how many you need. We clean litter boxes twice a day. You should always have 1 more litter box than you have cats.

Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-09 09:50:21

I have a small Holmes air cleaner ionizer right next to my cats litter box, a lousy $49 works great
————————————-
Have you ever smelled a house that’s been used as a litter box?

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Comment by ahansen
2009-07-09 23:10:39

I teach mine to use the toilets. MUCH nicer. Now I’m working on getting them to flush afterwards, too.

 
 
Comment by SaladSD
2009-07-09 09:53:02

Yeah, I just went to my friend’s house with 2 cats and it reeked of poo. When I had a cat I pretty much poured the 10 lb bag of litter into the tray, she just puts down an inch worth of the stuff, and there’s no “coverage”. I don’t get it, since she’s typically a spendthrift. She must have no sense of smell…

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Comment by BanteringBear
2009-07-09 12:09:50

There is nothing worse than a cat pissing in the house. They do FAR more damage than dogs. You can’t get rid of it. Replacing the carpets becomes mandatory, and even that doesn’t totally get rid of the smell which has soaked into the subfloor. I would always rent to dog owners. Cats are what scare me.

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Comment by EB
2009-07-09 12:53:18

The only times I’ve ever seen cat urine become an actual problem is (1) unspayed male cats - they will spray for territoriality, or (2) very very poor sanitation on the part of cat owners (ie, allowing litterboxes to go uncleaned for months).

The typical cat simply does not urinate on walls, carpets, etc.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-09 15:27:48

Almost had to gut an entire house because of that. Fortunately, the subfloor was concrete slab and just replacing the carpet and padding, then spraying the wall footers and concrete fixed the problem.

How bad was it? You could not walk in the front door without a mask. Heck, you could just open the front door and you had to back away.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-09 16:39:31

GEEZ…if i forget to clean the box before i go to bed our little ones used to jump on us in the middle of the night…..

———————————————————-
allowing litterboxes to go uncleaned for months).

 
 
 
Comment by FP
2009-07-09 09:15:18

As a renter and an owner of two medium size dogs, I wouldn’t flinch if there was a high pet deposit on a rental property. My dogs are cool and they don’t bark or randamly poop or pee everywhere but they are dogs and at times they do something unexpected. When we got our second dog, he started to chew on the corner of the walls. I guess he was teething but he did it everywhere. Also started to scratch on the doors. It’s no big deal for me because I was able to patch things up and repaint it good as new and finally he stopped but I can see why owners are hesitant to rent to pet owners.

Comment by hd74man
2009-07-09 09:32:41

RE: As a renter and an owner of two medium size dogs,

Man, how can anybody who rents own two dogs?

Here in the Northeast, because of the heavy month long rains, all the street dogshit is being flushed into the ocean closing beaches and shellfish grounds due to the contamination.

Bad news for surfers and the clam vendors this summer.

BAG THOSE TURDS!

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Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 10:51:00

Here in the Northeast, because of the heavy month long rains, all the street dogshit is being flushed into the ocean closing beaches and shellfish grounds due to the contamination.

And allllll the way across the lovely US of A to a different coast line we have the EXACT same problem.
Hmmm. I guess lazy as*sh*at pet-owners are everywhere. Like lice and bedbugs.

 
Comment by BanteringBear
2009-07-09 12:15:35

I was walking my dog at the marina in Olympia, and went to grab a cleanup bag which they are so kind to provide. I stepped in a pile of sh!t less than 3 feet from the dispenser. Some rich SOB with a yacht couldn’t even clean up after his pocket pooch when the freaking bags were within an arms length. Man did that ever piss me off. Not only as a dog owner, but as someone who had to spend 10 minutes cleaning my NEW shoe with random twigs and grass.

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-09 13:14:50

But Olygal, dog poops are natural! Just like the mosses!

I have two dogs, and we carry bags around when we walk them so as not to leave a deuce in an area that might wrinkle the local owner’s noses. We clean up our rental yard weekly as well.

When we finally own a house, though, I would love to plant an ivy thicket in the back. My dogs love pooping IN things, and when we had a big ol’ patch of ivy in the back, they’d run back there and have at it. It kept the mess contained and the ivy didn’t seem to mind. In fact, it seemed to thrive. Unfortunately the water company came in and made our landlady move the fence in 20 feet, and now that lovely patch of doggy commode heaven is on the other side of the fence. Pooping in the rose bushes just doesn’t seem to appeal to them as much.

 
Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-09 15:18:53

I had a dog that liked to CHEW up the rosebushes. Big ole goofy Golden Retriver girl.

 
 
Comment by drumminj
2009-07-09 09:41:05

I wouldn’t flinch if there was a high pet deposit on a rental property.

The problem is that most time they’re non-refundable, even if there is no damage (there’s a $300 non-refundable deposit at my current place). The worst my dog will do is fling drool on the walls, which I always clean before moving out anyway…

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Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-09 09:56:55

Sorry drummin, i would want 1 months rent $1500 min. as a deposit.

If we were renting the 1st floor and both apartments were rentals, i might reconsider since the dawg would have a yard to poop in and you would pay for that cleanup, instead of for the 40 year old solid oak floors, trim and plaster walls.

This was the home i grew up in, not some cheap stucco box.

 
Comment by patient renter
2009-07-09 10:55:34

“The problem is that most time they’re non-refundable, even if there is no damage”

Thank god that’s against the law in CA.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 10:56:41

Sorry to say, but irresponsible dog owners are becoming a huge problem in the United States and elsewhere. The reasons for this are many, and, if you want to get up to speed, take a look at:

1. http://barkingdogs.net
2. http://dogsbite.org
3. http://dogbitelaw.com

One of the common “side effects” of irresponsible dog ownership is incessant barking. If you’ve ever experienced this, you know what kind of living hell it creates for a neighborhood.

I sure do. When smy neighbors’ dogs get going, there’s no place in my house where I can escape the noise. And, yes, I’ve tried turning up the music, wearing earplugs and earmuffs, talking to the dog owners, reporting them to Animal Care, etc.

Fortunately, I live in a county where something’s being done about this problem. Our dog barking logs are getting a major toughening up. Stay tuned for further details soon.

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2009-07-09 11:45:22

I like dogs. I hate dog owners. This city has so many stupid dog owners that it is not funny. I hate to lump the 10% of good owners in with the bad 90% but that is the way I’m calling it. I make no apologies to Paris and her little chihuahua.

 
Comment by InMontana
2009-07-09 12:36:34

I don’t get when owners leave the dogs out to bark all day/night. Don’t they hear it themselves? Or do they just have a magical dog-owner ability to tune it all out?

And yeah, the renters with the multiple BIG dogs. I don’t get it. I did defense of renters as an intern and it was embarrassing how so many kids come to town to go to the university, rent a one-room shack and immediately go out and get a couple dogs. One to keep the other company of course. Stooopid.

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 13:19:42

Even stoopider is how many beggars have dogs. Seriously, every single homeless person wandering around downtown Olympia seems to have a medium sized dog with them.
I’m thinking: ‘Wha…? You can’t even take care of yourself, so you go get a dog?!’

 
Comment by robiscrazy
2009-07-09 13:39:38

Boy is this a sore subject. I’m probably the only renter tucked in a mother-in-law detached unit on a owner occupied street. My neighbors are likable and we all keep to ourselves.

BUT, there seems to be a dog in every yard and the one next to me will bark for hours upon hours. One dog down the alley was let out to roam the back and in the winter would poop in front of my garage entrance.

These people have money and could take their dog to obedience school.

 
Comment by robiscrazy
2009-07-09 13:44:58

Oly, It’s for protection more than anything. Living on the street is dangerous. A dog ensures no one will bother you if you are trying to sleep outdoors.

Homeless will steal from each other. A transient told me he had his shoes taken off his feet by a thug while he was sleeping and this was a 17 y.o. kid living on the street. Sad.

 
Comment by so cal lender
2009-07-09 15:20:36

Our dogs would bark and bother our neighbors when we first got them. After a couple of days we got one of these and it was the best thing we ever could have done. We no longer need to use it for our dogs, but we got new neighbors a couple of months ago and their dog barked non stop 24/7 so we mounted it to a tree near the fence that divides our yard and it did the trick! No more barking, well for the most part. They still bark if there is someone in the alley going through the trash cans or something, but I have no problem with them barking if there is actually something to bark at. Seriously the best $90 we ever spent.

http://www.ultimatebarkcontrol.com/ds_pro.htm

 
Comment by robiscrazy
2009-07-09 15:55:50

Thanks for the suggestion So Cal.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 16:17:43

Only problem with the bark control devices is that you have to have a direct line of sight to the dog. Which means that the dog that’s on the other side of your boundary wall won’t be affected.

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2009-07-10 04:43:31

“Even stoopider is how many beggars have dogs”

There was a “work for food” guy at the North Lake exit ramp on 95 who always had a dog with him. He easily did twice the buisness a dogless work for food guy would.

 
 
Comment by FP
2009-07-09 18:04:14

Lot’s of negativity about dog renters. It’s no different when you have to rent to a family with young kids. It’s up to the owners of the pets or parents to control their dogs and/or kids. poop, spills,writing on walls, knawing, etc.. My landlord knows we have two dogs and he does not own one himself. The dogs know him and the neighbors, well, they don’t see my dogs hardly because I walk them at night and they are in-house dogs.

I was looking to buy a place awhile back and the realtor took me to a house which was very nice but a homeowner nextdoor had this huge rottweiler that constantly barked when we were touring the house. I commented about it and the realtor said it was definitely a problem trying to sell the house because of it. So if you are a landlord, yeah. You may want to call the previous landlord about the conditions of the house after they leave. But I’ve been to houses where there are no pets and the smell and cleaniness were horrific.

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Comment by NYCityBoy
2009-07-09 04:46:51

“Their realtors’ mantra was ” everyone has bad credit now”.”

I can’t speak for all of you losers but I just checked mine and it is at 792. That is down a bit. I think the fact that I don’t use credit at all anymore is pulling me down a little. I definitely don’t act like a Vanderbilt. I act more like a Joad.

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 04:52:50

I have counseled friends to convince them that their credit score is currently their most valuable asset.

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 04:53:53

P.S. Some of our friends in DC don’t like it this way, and are tirelessly working to ensure that those with bad credit have a leg up in the Ownership Society.

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Comment by edgewaterjohn
2009-07-09 05:00:10

I’m surprised they haven’t figured out a way to “tax” credit scores to level the playing field.

Everyone could have the same FICO, I suggest 666.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 05:27:45

“…they haven’t figured out a way to “tax” credit scores to level the playing field…”

That is (implicitly) what supports govt-sponsored programs to qualify low credit score homebuyers for zero-down / low-interest / default-guaranteed lending (think Fannie / Freddie / FHA loans). This represents Subprime Sam’s attempt to artificially replace the defunct private sector subprime mortgage securitization sump pump. If those in a lower credit score group qualify for such programs and you do not, then you are implicitly bearing a wealth-transfer tax to help them join the Ownership Society.

 
 
Comment by GH
2009-07-09 04:59:28

In an ever smaller exclusive club of high credit scores you are probably right. It is not a matter of just if you can get a loan, but good credit is needed for all manner of things. A friend recently disclosed to me he blew his credit a few years back and cannot even get a Paypal account to accept credit cards.

If - however my future predictions of some 90% of all currently held debts defaulting hold true this may no longer make any difference as more and more are sucked into the abyss. I am not sure at that point if paying off debt or stuffing hundred dollar bills under the matress would be smarter??

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Comment by NYCityBoy
2009-07-09 05:03:01

“I am not sure at that point if paying off debt or stuffing hundred dollar bills under the matress would be smarter??”

Who can afford a mattress? You guys sure live high on that hog.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 05:05:32

Your point is taken — good credit scores only matter if you are relatively free of debt and have a reliable source of wealth and/or income to back it up going forward.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-09 05:24:24

1-800 mattress leave off the last S for Savings
filed for BK, and Sleepy’s bought the carcass

1-800-MATTRESS FOUNDER’S WIFE MURDERED
SON CHARGED IN SLAYING

Posted: 6:26 pm
May 13, 2009

The wife of the millionaire founder of 1-800-Mattress was discovered dead in her Long Island home yesterday and her son was charged with murdering her, authorities said.

Kay Barragan, 65, who loaned her husband $2,000 in 1976 to start the bedding business, was found at the bottom of a flight of stairs at her Searingtown home about 7 a.m.

Neighbors saw her son Eduardo — handcuffed and wearing a robe — being led away by police a short time later.

Cops wasted little time in charging Eduardo with her murder. A spokesman for the firm said he had “a history of mental incapacity.” Kay Barragan had been suffering from several illnesses, he said.

The home belongs to Kay and Napoleon Barragan, the South American-born bedding magnate who turned 1-800-Mattress into a $170-million-a-year business.

The firm went into bankruptcy in March after a steep drop in sales, and was expected to be sold to its rival, Sleepy’s.

The Barragan home has been on the market for two months, at a price of $779,000.

Napoelon Barragan, who founded his firm in Queens in 1976, has been named one of 100 most powerful minority businessmen by Crain’s New York Business.

Another son, Luis Barragan of Queens, was president of the company when he died of accidental drowning in Connecticut in 2006.

 
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-09 05:27:08

When I was younger, my credit SUCKED. Once I came into the military and started cleaning it up, I never realized how this little score can make your life much easier. Now I am sub 700’s and trying to save every dime. I think it just comes with age. Now scores will suck for older people who tried to gamble with this market. Right now I have two car payments on cars I really wanted and am extremely satisfied with. Once I pay them off in a couple of years, we may look into buying a house, otherwise, it’s base housing for me!

I noticed ALOT of tightwads on this blog. I am learning alot from you guys and I appreciate it all! I’m not ready to drive 10 yr old cars yet, but I’m getting there!!!

 
Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-09 06:04:03

Yes, my husband & I have discussed the possibility that having a poor credit score may matter much less in the future also. Hard to know which way to jump but we’re preserving ours as ususal.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 06:12:18

“…the possibility that having a poor credit score may matter much less in the future also…”

When many have poor credit scores, it should become easier for any such individual to qualify for a future loan than it would be if they were part of a small minority (similar to the effect of widespread unemployment on future job prospects for an unemployed individual). However, unless the rules of the game are rigged to screw the financially prudent, having a better credit score should still confer an advantage in the market for loanable funds.

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-09 06:13:42

Your point is taken — good credit scores only matter if you are relatively free of debt and have a reliable source of wealth and/or income to back it up going forward.

The irony is that generally people who have the best credit scores are the people who don’t *need* credit as much.

That, however, is as it should be.

 
Comment by skroodle
2009-07-09 06:30:21

You know, when you drive a 10 year old car, you don’t have to worry someone parking too close and door dinging you. :-)

 
Comment by Muggy
2009-07-09 07:00:38

I was part of a class action that resulted in free credit monitoring for a year. Knowing your FICO is important in negotiations. I don’t like being a bully, but when I bought my last car I was a bully, and the guy could easily see I wasn’t playing because of my FICO. When it becomes clear that they need you more then you need them, you’ve basically already won, IMHO.

I may leverage this again when it comes time to buy a house, but the goal is cash anyway. I absolutely hate debt.

 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2009-07-09 07:10:47

I don’t like being a bully, but when I bought my last car I was a bully, and the guy could easily see I wasn’t playing because of my FICO.

Nobody deserves it like a car salesman.

 
Comment by X-philly
2009-07-09 07:17:19

I noticed ALOT of tightwads on this blog.

You don’t know tight ’til you meet Old Bean. (my SO)

If the economy depended on citizens such as himself, well, we’d all be on the barter system. The odd thing is, I’m coming around to his ways…not exactly trolling the streets on trash night yet, however I am beginning to appreciate the value of living frugally.

(It doesn’t hurt that his stories of losing out to professional bargain hunters at Goodwill keep me in stitches.)

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 10:59:40

What? You’ve never trolled the streets for trash? Well, what are you waiting for? Right here in this-here studio, I have a trashcan and a bookshelf that were someone else’s trash. Now they’re my treasures.

 
Comment by az_lender
2009-07-09 20:56:28

I don’t understand why my credit score matters at all. I expect to live for the rest of my life on my current savings, perfectly-performing mortgages, and whatever SS pays me when I get around to claiming it. This scheme could go awry, e.g., hyperinflation could dissolve the value of my savings, but if I don’t plan to borrow and I don’t plan to get a job, WTF does my credit score matter? Merrill Lynch credit card pays itself off every month directly out of brokerage account funds.

 
 
Comment by Jim A.
2009-07-09 06:21:11

OTOH, since I’ve already bought a house, I have little reason to worry about what my credit score is. Not that I intend to tank it or anything, I simply don’t intend to borrow any more money. I do have a credit card, but just as a convenient method of payment. I’m a deadbeat who doesn’t carry a ballance.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 06:56:02

I have long suspected that this blog is heavily populated by “deadbeats.”

 
Comment by rms
2009-07-09 07:13:27

I’m a deadbeat who doesn’t carry a ballance.

+1 Agreed. No revolving balance for years.

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 07:14:27

Oh, Ben Stein’s version of “deadbeat”! LOL.

One thing people are over looking is the fact that just b/c you have a great fico doesn’t mean the world will fall over w/ it’s legs up in the air! You -still- have to negotiate and drive a HARD bargain.

Also, fico doesn’t necessarily imply intelligence? Look at all the people w/ very nice scores that wound up w/ subprime loans just b/c some slimey MB talked them into it? FICO is a f-r-a-g-i-l-e thing and it can take years… to build up, only to be whisked away in a matter of weeks.

 
Comment by Jim A.
2009-07-09 07:19:22

I certainly hope that one of the lessons that lenders have learned from this debacle is that a good FICO score is no substitute for looking at the collateral (getting an accurate appraisal) and capacity (income) of prospective borrowers.

 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-09 07:49:01

I’m a happy little “deadbeat” renter that doesn’t owe anybody a thing other than my monthly normal household maintenance expense bills. My median FICO score was over 820.

“At Mikey Barney, we make money the old fashioned way, I SAVE it”

“Got CASH?”
:)

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 07:55:11

Jim A,

+2 ( on -both- posts )

At age 50, the ‘last’ thing I want to do is run up more debt. We now have people w/ 750+ scores sending in jingle mail. In addition to the “capacity” obviously lenders didn’t look very hard at the “quality” either?

Look how many realtors were able to fluff up their scores w/ “income” ( and careers ) that ’should’ have been identified as an anomaly at best?

 
Comment by VaBeyatch in Virginia Beach
2009-07-09 09:50:45

Those without debt are likely to have a low FICO score. Those with lots of debt that pay their bills on time are likely to have a high score.

We should work to take power away from the FICO system. Not empower them.

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 10:27:24

VaBeyatch!

Perhaps… this is the tone and approach I ’should’ have taken? I fully realized when you take the stance of “Having a good credit score is a total waste of time, money and effort” that it would be met w/ resistance.

A lot of people that ‘think’ they have great credit ( because they “don’t own a dime” ) can be in for a rude awakening when they actually ‘do’ apply for credit.

So rather than being ‘given’ ( credit ) for having lived for so long without* it, we penalize them and treat them like this is “their initiation”. Wink, wink.

 
Comment by Mrs. Wheezer
2009-07-09 11:13:02

You do want to keep an eye on your credit score since it can be used when pricing insurance.

 
Comment by Mrs. Wheezer
2009-07-09 11:15:35

Oh, and I am curious to see what will happen going forward with so many credit scores crashing. May be that various regulatory entities put an end to credit score when pricing insurance.

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 11:52:53

Mrs. Wheezer,

We should ‘all’ be curious? We keep referring to fico like it’s written in stone. When the avg. score becomes a 520, then having a 560 will be considered “good”.

Even though I shop every year, I’ve been w/ the same ins. co. for years. During that time I’m sure my score has fluctuated. Yet my bill has remained constant. I’ve no idea if or ‘when’ they’ve ever pulled my credit?

 
Comment by Mrs. Wheezer
2009-07-09 12:02:50

DinOR - Yes, we should all be curious.

I have no idea what every ins. co does. I don’t even know what every state permits. Texas does require that the ins co let you know if your score was used in any way.
I suspect that the score is typically pinged when you first submit your application and not at renewal.

My (poorly stated) point is that the credit score finds its way into all sorts of unexpected avenues. It does pay to keep an eye on it since the blasted thing is so prone to error and frequent change.

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 12:46:37

Mrs. Wheezer,

No I think you said it just fine, and “pinged” sounds about right.

I just find it incredible ( although the pessimism has been ’somewhat’ subdued of late ) that after at least two solid years of financial “End Times” posts, that anyone would be concerned about FICO scores? Their’s or anyone else’s..?

Let’s see, our currency will be worthless, gold will be @ $5,000, our government will collapse and people will be eating out garbage cans ( but “I’ll” have a really spiffy FICO Score! )

I guess it’s the (1) thing that will survive into our brave new world. It’s never made any sense to me?

 
Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-09 15:27:20

Well, Din, just in case your worst-case scenario doesn’t happen, I would still like to have a good Fico. For one thing, the worst tenant we ever had was a Ph.D. college professor with a great job (department head) but with a lower Fico. We took a chance on him and he and his lousy kids did soooooo much damage. Thousands. Yikes. I am speaking of NAILING curtains to the wall. Yes, the best and quickest way to hang curtains.

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 16:15:58

Silverback1011,

Oh it’s hardly ‘my’ worst case scenario ( and sometimes my suggestions stem from comments made elsewhere ) but we’ve had more… than our share of UGD ( Ultimate Doom & Gloom ) comments here.

Sometimes it’s as if we’re trying to “out bear” one another? It’s beyond me how anyone that’s predicting ( read praying ) for The End Of The World would give 2 rips about credit scores?

So there’s this huge disconnect. Like survivalists perfectly prepared to be holed up in a bunker for years on end in isolation ( but nervously waiting to see how the Final Season of “Lost” turns out? )

 
 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-09 08:38:46

“I have counseled friends to convince them that their credit score is currently their most valuable asset.”

That’s not how I see it, PB. Since I don’t want any of their bloody credit anyway, my score is not really important to me. The only reason I would care is if I planned to apply for a new rental check or a new job, neither of which I plan to do soon anyway.

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Comment by drumminj
2009-07-09 08:59:01

neither of which I plan to do soon anyway.

Unfortunately, you’re not always in control of that (at least the latter of the two).

 
 
 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 07:51:58

I act more like a Joad.

Which one? Somehow I cannot readily visualize you picking oranges. However, I can quite easily imagine you getting in fights with strike-breakers. :lol:

Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 08:43:51

I just think too many of us here lean too heavily on their “great fico score” because it feels like the (1) “vindication” we got out of this truly awful mess.

Hate to break it to ya’ but going forward, likely won’t matter at all. Lenders will look a lot closer at employment and verifying income but we’re WAY too reliant on credit to shut that many people out of the system.

If your goal was to have access to credit to bottom feed on all the FC’s out there, they’re already beating you to it. Housing credit got them INTO this mess and now they’re looking for it to get them OUT of it. We should all print our’s out and have them framed and placed next to our Honorable Discharge and HS Diploma ( ’cause that’s about what they’re worth )

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Comment by realestateskeptic
2009-07-09 09:04:58

I doubt a FICO “likely won’t matter at all” perhaps they will verify income and look at income more, but FICO actually does a very good job allowing them to manage and price risk. It is not perfect as we learned with Moody’s, S&P and the the rest of the “rating” agencies, but to say what you said is just too much of an overstatement and nonsense.

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 09:52:34

“too much of an overstatement and nonsense”

We’ll see. I just hope everyone here still thinks it was worth it to jump through hoops to make sure everything was paid on time/in full month after month when it saves them a whopping 1/4 pt. on their loan?

If anything ( as already noted above ) many FB’s w/ decimated credit are being given loan mods below market rate just to min. the jingle mail. So I’d say it’s already happening.

Again we’re all leaning on this notion that we’ll be so amply rewarded for our prudence and patience that we’re heavily invested in thinking we ( and we -alone- ) will have the only dry powder left to bid on the properties of our chosing.

 
Comment by Muggy
2009-07-09 10:22:30

“Again we’re all leaning on this notion that we’ll be so amply rewarded for our prudence and patience that we’re heavily invested in thinking we ( and we -alone- ) will have the only dry powder left to bid on the properties of our chosing.”

Yup, I’ve *sighed* over this before, and I know what Ben will say (Hell, go buy two!) but so far there has been no pay-off to my strategy.

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 10:32:31

Muggy,

I’m just trying to temper expectations. Hey, in ‘05/’06 I was riding high thinking I would be able to swoop down and cash in on this thing… BayBee ( only to be completely crushed when me ( and my excellent fico ) wound up circling the drain w/ everyone… else ) ?

There’s nothing ‘wrong’ w/ having a good score AND being a good citizen. I never said that. But that alone can’t overcome the inertia of what’s happening on a global level. Like we always say, What if the Chinese cut us off altogether?

 
Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-09 15:29:11

You do make some salient points, Din, I have to admit.

 
 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 09:11:21

Hi Oly Gal!!

In response to mikey, since their was no “response button” (tee hee!!) my FICO is 351, and I smoke Crack everyday!!!!! :)

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Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 09:16:09

their= Long time no type Oly.

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 10:54:10

Yeah, well, the crack probably makes your hands all twitchy-like. :)

 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-09 12:47:28

Sheesh…Times must be tough were you are ATE-UP.

I even try keep my traffic ticket lawyer busy enough so even he… can enjoy a little Cocaine.

;)

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 13:20:14

Good job mikey! Yeah, times are tough!

Ya Bud, Greg

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 14:00:24

Hey mikey, I have been clean 16 years sometime this October. I miss my wife.

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 15:29:19

I even try keep my traffic ticket lawyer busy enough so even he… can enjoy a little Cocaine.

Oh my, how thoughtful of you.
Yes, that’s us HBBers—a solicitous and considerate bunch. :)

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 15:31:55

Hey mikey, I have been clean 16 years sometime this October. I miss my wife.

Some might consider that a bit of a non sequitur. But this IS the bits bucket, and we all know that HBBers are skilled at the stream-of-consciousness sort of writing. :lol:

 
 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 14:15:17

Not, that, overall, well, but, wait a minute… and then, again, maybe wait a minute not, but you wouldn’t know the Ghost of Tom Joad alblum, well, oh well, Nevermind.

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Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 14:16:28

alblum+=guage

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2009-07-09 04:06:39

Survey finds more than half of potential homebuyers still skittish as layoffs mount
By Alan Zibel, AP Real Estate Writer
Thursday July 9, 2009, 1:21 am EDT

WASHINGTON (AP) — More than half of potential homebuyers say they’re still not prepared to jump into the market, and fear of losing their jobs is the No. 1 reason, a new poll shows.

With unemployment at a 26-year-high and rising, nearly 53 percent of consumers who said they were planning to buy a home in the future cautioned they’re not ready to take such a large financial step right now, according to the survey released Thursday by Realtor.com.

Nearly a third of potential homebuyers surveyed cited concern about their jobs as the main reason they would shy away from the housing market. Worries about selling their current home are stopping 16 percent of the prospective buyers surveyed, while just under 8 percent said they fear home prices will keep falling.

Americans recognize there are great deals to be had in the housing market, but many are in too much of a financial pinch at the moment to even think about buying.

“If I was able to buy, I’d definitely buy because this is the time to do it,” said Mark Wells, 42, of West Chester, Ohio, who lost his job at FedEx Corp.’s freight division in February and has been looking for a job ever since. His wife makes $8 an hour working at a day care.

Wells has been renting since he skirted foreclosure two years ago by negotiating a short sale, in which his lender agreed to accept less than the total balance due on the mortgage.

Comment by salinasron
2009-07-09 06:57:47

‘Americans recognize there are great deals to be had in the housing market, but many are in too much of a financial pinch at the moment to even think about buying.

“If I was able to buy, I’d definitely buy because this is the time to do it,” said Mark Wells, 42, of West Chester, Ohio, who lost his job at FedEx Corp.’s freight division in February and has been looking for a job ever since. His wife makes $8 an hour working at a day care.’

Let me know when they stop printing articles like this one so that I know there’s hope that all the want-to-be RE tycoons are off in lala-land.

Comment by SFC
2009-07-09 07:14:33

Yeah, this genius even managed to need a short sale at the market peak. That takes skill.

 
Comment by CincyDad
2009-07-09 09:44:55

I work in WestChester Ohio (northern suburb of Cincinnati).

The (young) daughter of a coworker just put in an offer on an older starter home not too far from Westchester. She gets the $8k federal tax credit, plus a $5k first-time buyer grant.

I don’t want to say things are different here, but the housing price run-up did not occur here like other places (the building run-up sure did). As a result, it’s often cheaper to buy an older house than it is to rent a house (house renting is not as big here as in other places).

Even before the $13k grants to buy the house, my coworker’s daughter’s new mortgage payment (30yr fixed) was going to be the same as her rent on a amuch smaller 2 bedroom appartment. The neighborhood sounds like it might comperable to where she’s currently living, but the house is actually closer to the city and to her job.

Comment by Real Estate Refugee
2009-07-09 10:57:17

It is my understanding that…

The federal tax credit is 10% of the price of the house up to a max of $8,000. So if the buyer bought a house for $200,000, then the tax credit will be $2,000.

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Comment by packman
2009-07-09 11:00:31

math check time! :)

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 11:06:20

I’ve heard that the deal is:

10% of the purchase price, up to $8,000, and take the lower of the two figures. So, unless you’re buying an $800,000 house, sorry, Charlie, no $8,000 federal tax credit.

 
Comment by NoVa Sideliner
2009-07-09 12:02:32

Math check indeed. Where did you two go to school? Or are you hitting the beer tap a bit early today?

 
Comment by NoVa Sideliner
2009-07-09 12:06:27

Hey CincyDad, sounds like a decent deal. Not that I’m a fan of these handouts like the house purchase credit, but if they’re there, why not use ‘em.

And once the monthly cost of ownership gets down below the cost of renting, then you’re talking a decent time to buy a house. Perfect time? maybe not, and you’ll probably hear people say “Wait, not yet!”. But if it’s bigger than her old place, closer to her job, and closer to fun stuff in the city, she made the right move.

Now let’s just hope she enjoys doing home repairs.

 
Comment by tgun
2009-07-09 12:33:46

AZ Slim-

yes, by all means recheck your math…

10% of $800,000 is $80,000.

10% of $80,000 is $8,000

Please don’t think like the gubmint (”…we’ll just and a zero or two and call it a day, ok?”)

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 12:57:49

Ooops! My bad.

I’m heading to the board at the back of the class, where I will write $80,000 x .10 = $8,000 100 times.

 
Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-09 15:32:48

Buy (tongue in cheek), $ 8,000 times 100 = $ 800,000, so you were right all of the time, Slim. (See above post).

 
Comment by Real Estate Refugee
2009-07-09 17:18:51

Ooooppssss.

Think I meant 1%.

Someone quoted the terms here a while back and as I recall, you had to buy an $800,000 house in order to receive the entire tax credit.

Anyone know for sure?

 
Comment by JLR
2009-07-10 05:26:41

we’re getting the credit, and it is a full $8000 … and we did not buy an $800K house :)

It just means that , if you buy a $50K house, and 10% of that is $5000, you can’t get $8000 …

 
 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2009-07-09 18:58:15

The federal tax credit for a first time buyer (3 yrs of no homeownership) is 10% of purchase price, w/ a cap of $8,000. Form 5405. You’re right. Real Estate Refugee.
The Ca cap is $10,000- and it’s 5% of the purchase price, which is easier to reach. The problem is most of us don’t own Ca that kind of dough. It can carry over, but there are limits. I just gave the details a cursory glance.

If people read the forms and instructions, they would make a more grounded decision. Not what tptb want.

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Comment by az_lender
2009-07-09 21:03:36

Mark Wells would definitely buy because “now is the time to do it.” Now that he’s lost his FedEx job and his wife makes $8 an hour doing day care. Hmm, let’s see. If his wife works 50 hours a week, she could make $20,000 a year. That oughta support a $50,000 house. Yup, that’s about what a house should cost. And DOES, in some places!

 
 
Comment by Rental Watch
2009-07-09 09:30:37

Home prices will not move in a V, but in a U with a long flat bottom and a slow slope on the way out…as long as home prices continue to fall, what’s the rush?

There are some markets where they have largely stopped falling, and it is cheaper to own than it is to rent (think Stockton, etc.). If you plan on living there, now is as good a time as any, but on the coastal markets, unless you are buying exactly the home you want on the courthouse steps at super-low prices (think 50% below what a similar home would list for on the “normal” market), there is no reason to go house shopping in the traditional sense.

I’m considering looking for a new, larger home to rent and signing a multi-year lease–I don’t think I’ll be ready to open up my purse strings to buy for at least that long.

Comment by sf mikey
2009-07-09 09:51:14

Agreed - you’d be crazy to buy in San Francisco proper since prices are still way out of sight. 3BR / 4BR houses still selling for $1.25 - 1.5M where I live. It’s depressing that people are still buying at these prices.

Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-09 15:34:56

That sounds about as crazy as a bag of ferrets.

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Comment by cereal
2009-07-09 10:48:20

“There are some markets where they have largely stopped falling, and it is cheaper to own than it is to rent (think Stockton, etc.).”

The possibility of another leg down on the already decimated markets still exists. What prevents a $130,000 from becoming an $87,000 house 14 months from now?

Proceed with caution is all I’m saying.

Comment by packman
2009-07-09 12:09:13

+1

Prices are indeed getting near normal in many areas - but being that inventories are still sky-high, and foreclosures are still going way up - these prices will be going down below historical norms, but a fairly long shot actually. Don’t be fooled by the price flattening this spring.

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Comment by NYCityBoy
2009-07-09 12:16:23

Prices are indeed getting near normal in many areas - but being that inventories are still sky-high, and foreclosures are still going way up - these prices will be going down below historical norms

Will incomes stay above historic norms? I’m thinking “no” if we take the past 15 years as historic norms. Incomes are dropping like led zeppelins. Many are just buying their stairway to financial heaven.

 
Comment by tgun
2009-07-09 12:35:12

Dropping like the flaming Hinderburg perhaps?

“Oh the humanity!”

 
 
 
 
Comment by potential buyer
2009-07-09 09:38:51

I’ve asked this before of you all, not sure I got a response.
I have heard from TV that if you do a short sale, its only on your FICO for 3 years. Does anyone know if that’s true and if so, why?

Not doing one, I rent. But definitely curious since it was some RE saying this was so.

Comment by Rental Watch
2009-07-09 09:51:30

There is so much going on with respect to foreclosures, etc., that I don’t think it’s going to matter as much going forward as it has in the past whether you have a short sale, or foreclosure on your credit report.

There will be a HUGE market to cater to these folks in the coming years. Too large to be ignored. You may pay slightly more in interest, but you will be able to get debt.

Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 09:58:31

Rental Watch,

+1

I just wish everyone could see that? Personally, since my FT job and PT job rely on it, I actually have decent credit. But I’m not harboring any delusions that it’ll get me more than a cup of coffee and a slightly better rate than Mr. & Mrs. F’Bee when this is all said and done?

Markets just don’t work like that. Do any of us believe those huge swaths of FC’s in Vegas will just sit there at kiss me prices forever until everyone in the U.S gets back to having a 720 score? If that ‘does’ happen ( it will only be b/c they’ve bent the rules to “award” anyone w/ a pulse a 720 ) I know, sucks.

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Comment by potential buyer
2009-07-09 10:09:24

I guess I’m trying to understand why a short sale would even be on your credit report if you had continued to make payments up until you made the deal with the bank to sell.

I can understand if no payments were made. Neither can I understand why it would be on your report for only 3 years. Isn’t everything on your report for minimum of 7 years, depending on state laws?

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Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 10:35:51

Hey potential, I owe you an apology. Therefore, I apologize.

ATE-UP

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 11:03:46

potential buyer,

Had they been current on their payments, likely the home wouldn’t have wound up needing to be short sold. Typically… But I see your point, I’d go so far as to say “If the owners were making ’some’ kind of payment”.

But mortgages aren’t written that way. There just isn’t a fallback position whatsoever. If your PITI is a grand and you send ( or sent ) in $999, it’s no dice. Of course now the lender is more than amenable to “working things out”.

 
Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 11:16:31

I thought a short sale stayed for 7 years and a foreclosure for 10. Maybe they’re talking about the amount of time before a new bank will begin to consider you for a new loan (with higher rate)?

A short sale definitely hurts you though.

 
Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 11:21:58

From About dot kom:

Foreclosure or Deed-in-Lieu of Foreclosure
Steep says a seller who wants to buy another home after foreclosure will end up waiting about 24 to 72 months before a lender will offer any kind of interest rate that makes sense.
Coy says, “The good news is a short sale will allow the consumer to obtain an institutional loan for a new home within two years”.

Short Sale
Some agents say the good news for short sale sellers is the wait is much shorter before buying another home, and Fannie Mae guidelines in 2008 adopted new procedures.
Can a seller buy again in less than two years? Not really, says Coy, “It’s an utter myth that a consumer ‘can buy again in about 18 months at a good interest rate.’ However, Fannie Mae guidelines now require only 24 months’ seasoning, and that’s good news for agents who specialize in short sales.”

Note that Fannie Mae guidelines allow a seller to immediately apply for a new loan to buy another home if that seller kept the payments current, had no delinquencies exceeding 30 days and did not agree to repay the debt relief. Moreover, it’s the late payments that affect your credit report, not the short sale.

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2009-07-09 11:43:45

Why wouldn’t a short sale destroy somebody’s credit? I think it should. That person signed a mortgage to pay the entire amount of the mortgage. The short sale proved that they could not hold up their end of the contract. That seems like a major event to me.

Let us not also forget that this is a form of income and is now being forgiven. That’s another strike. In closing, a short sale should be a huge knock on somebody’s credit. It’s time for adults to act, and be treated, like adults.

 
Comment by so cal lender
2009-07-09 15:38:34

Here is what FICO says about short sales:

http://www.myfico.com/CreditEducation/Questions/foreclosure-alternatives-fico-score.aspx

There are people that are able to negotiate a short sale while still making their payments. There are other reason besides just financial hardship for a sale of a home, ie job relocation etc. Also, if your payments are going to adjust upward or already have adjusted upward and you are hanging on by a thread and can just barely manage to make your payments the bank may consider a short sale. Better to sell now then wait until the borrower defaults, because if the are asking for a short sale, then the banks would have to be stupid not to realize that if they aren’t able to sell short they are probably going to just send in the keys. IF you are able to manage a short sale while still maintaining current on your mortgage then the impact to your credit score can be minimal. I saw a credit report where it only affected the score less than 50 pts! I was really surprised as I think the damage should be greater.

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2009-07-10 05:01:57

+1

 
Comment by SDGreg
2009-07-10 05:22:40

The reality with most lenders is that for them to approve a short sale, you would have to be behind on the payments. They would not even consider a short sale otherwise. Being behind on the payments would ding one’s credit.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Neil
2009-07-09 10:59:03

Nearly a third of potential homebuyers surveyed cited concern about their jobs as the main reason they would shy away from the housing market.

My ‘official reason’ for not buying is worry about job security.

The real reason is the fast decilining market. I agree some places might be near a bottom… but where I want to buy will fall *at least* 25% in ‘howmuchamonth.’ Palos Verdes Estates now has short sale homes in the market. Now? < $1M (barely) Before? $1.3M to $1.5M. We might be able to consider 90274, but will we really want to buy in 90275.

Got Popcorn?
Neil

 
 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2009-07-09 04:34:42

What a glorious morning. I just got in. The temperature is a beautiful 63 degrees, heading to a high of 73. It is more like fall than the miserable stinking NYC summers I have experienced in the past.

On the front page of the Metro there is a picture of Lenny Dykstra. Apparently the investment “guru” just declared Chapter 11. Anybody that has heard Lenny speak can tell he took one too many fastballs to the noggin. In the front page picture Lenny is speaking with “money pundit” Jim Cramer. So, I guess:
Mush Head + Jim Cramer = Chapter 11

The headline on today’s front page is even better. “Plunging prices show housing crisis’ arrival”. So, now it’s a crisis? The articles are bleak and beautiful. Of course one article states that the city is going to buy up a bunch of unsold condos to make “housing affordable”.

These crooks and idiots just amaze me. I am reading about how the market is making housing affordable and here they are just throwing our money out the window. Don’t they know the City is broke? But there are friends that need to be “paid”.

In April I went to the End the Fed rally in Manhattan. Afterward, I had but one question. This is it.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vv1uzevX0So

I keep asking myself that question, over and over again. “What can I do?” Who has the plan?

Have a good day all. I hope your weather is as nice.

Comment by bill in Los Angeles
2009-07-09 07:48:47

I hope your weather is as nice.

No hope needed for here in LA near the beach. Nice 50 weeks out of the year. But in late August it usually is hot for 2 weeks. That’s when I’m at HB pier every afternoon where the young lasses prance around the bars in bikinis…

Comment by tgun
2009-07-09 08:57:57

hmmm…
I was planning a trip to meet with a supplier in San Diego in August… maybe I will have to extend my visit and drive up to Huntington Beach pier to see the “sights”…

Comment by InMontana
2009-07-09 12:55:31

You won’t have to leave SD for that.

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Comment by bill in Los Angeles
2009-07-09 17:34:19

sorry I meant Hermosa Beach, not as well known as the Huntington Beach “HB” that most people know and love.

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Comment by X-GSfixer
2009-07-09 10:30:03

Local mdia outlets here were all running headline stories (and the local PTB were patting themselves on the back) about the Federal Grant the city got to buy and rehabilitate property.

The fantastic, paradigm shifting amount? $1.6 million (thats “million”, with an “M”), which will:

-”Rehabilitate” 10 homes for “resale”

-Pay the bulldozers to plow under another 5-10 houses

-And of course, shell out $200,000 to “administer” the program.

With all the foreclosures around here, this might be enough to do one block on one street.

Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-09 16:12:28

A million dollars just doesn’t go as far these days, does it? :wink:

Comment by jeff saturday
2009-07-10 04:57:20

Nor does twenty.

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Comment by wmbz
2009-07-09 04:39:38

GM’s Sleepy Hollow Nightmare Shows Perils for Closing Factories…

July 9 (Bloomberg) — General Motors Corp. closed its minivan factory in Sleepy Hollow, New York, 13 years ago, after a record 82-year run for a company plant.

Encouraged by the site’s views of the Hudson River, just 23 miles north of Manhattan, GM made development plans to help the village replace it as the biggest employer and largest source of tax revenue.

“This is some of the prime real estate in the world,” said Anthony Giaccio, 45, the village administrator, describing the potential that villagers and GM saw in the 97-acre site.

Potential is still the operative word. GM and New Jersey- based Roseland Property Co. spent $11 million on developing the site and on cleaning lead, methane and other toxins out of its soil before scrapping plans about a year ago to build 1,000 homes, offices, stores and a river walk, Giaccio said.

The delay in developing the site is a cautionary tale for other towns about to go through the same end-of-an-era factory experience with less promising real estate. GM is abandoning 16 factories in Michigan, Indiana, New York, Ohio and other states as it uses a bankruptcy sale to put its best assets into a new entity. Many plants are contaminated, requiring costly cleanup.

“It’s going to be very difficult to sell or dispose of them,” GM restructuring chief Albert Koch told the judge in charge of the carmaker’s bankruptcy on July 1. GM estimates the plants’ environmental liabilities at $530 million, he said.

One property the Detroit-based carmaker is ditching is a foundry in Massena, New York, bordered by the St. Regis Mohawk Indian Reservation and the St. Lawrence River. Built to make aluminum cylinder heads for the Chevrolet Corvair in the 1950s, it generated PCB sludge and waste from hydraulic fluids.

$225 Million Cleanup

It would have cost GM an estimated $225 million to clean up the site and restock the river with edible fish if it held on to the property, said John Privitera, a lawyer for the tribe at McNamee Lochner Titus & Williams PC in Albany, New York. Now GM creditors or the state will get stuck with the costs because bankruptcy law permits shedding such obligations.

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 04:58:47

“Sleepy Hollow Nightmare”

Me thunk it was a Legend, but perhaps it was also a Nightmare, at least for Ichabod Crane?

Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 08:01:50

One of my favorite tales as a wee lass! I was soooo deeply enchanted by the Headless Horseman. He carried his head around when he went out for a ride! How freakin’ cool is THAT? No stupid canteen and jelly sandwich and a flyswatter for him.
Plus his horse was obviously a lot cooler than any horse I was acquainted with.
I went so far as to make myself an ominous cape from a blanket and then ride the least-dorkiest horse around and around laughing hollowly and ominously, thumping up and down the orchard rows with the cape perched atop my head, like the closure on a Hefty garbage bag. Until I about poked an eye out with an apple branch, and that was the end of that.
I went back to being Paul Bumyan. Or maybe I was Harriet Tubman around then. I can’t remember.
Anyway, yeah! Good times!

Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-09 08:37:39

I too was an admirer of the Horse of the Headless Horseman ( as opposed to the Head of the Horseless Headman) when I was a young thing ( well that was awhile ago ). I kind of imagined the steed crossed with a kindly Black Beauty, so that it would have scary read eyes that gleamed at night, but would like me and let me ride it. Kind of a 5th-grade fantasy stage. Oh if only.

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Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 11:00:51

I kind of imagined the steed crossed with a kindly Black Beauty, so that it would have scary read eyes that gleamed at night, but would like me and let me ride it.

HAhahahah! Exactly! That’s so funny…
Sigh. Mostly all our horses were brown or buckskin with white patches spotted unartistically on them, and poo-dingles, with pragmatic dispositions. Great horses, understand, but not creatively inclined.
The Headless Horseman would have surveyed them all with displeasure and then stamped off in a snit and gone got hisself a giraffe to ride, or something.

 
Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-09 15:41:11

He probably would have thrown a flaming pumpkin into your haystack, I suppose. Sounds like you had some Apps. Sounds nice, though. I only had a very reliable collie and my imagination to go galloping thru the meadows of my childhood home. Well, they were cornfields, really.

 
 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 09:34:47

I am both a Dark Horse, and a Blue Moose.

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Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 11:01:58

Oh, yes? And how’s your head?

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 11:23:43

Hi Oly Gal! :)

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 14:11:25

Oly, what standing do you have, asking anything about where my head is?

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 14:36:59

“drunk reply awaits drunk reply”; tic, tic, ad infinitum…

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 14:41:40

infinitum= whatever. I think, it is infinitium, right? (Already wore (Hell!! how do you spell wore too?) out the guage gig. Time to go nighty night.

Night Oly.

 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-09 14:55:39

We had an adventures like that when I was a kid.

My older brother hated horses and they hated him. He could have taken my little sisters mellow cutting pony but he decided to saddle up and steal my big black quarterhorse/Morgan cross mare to shoot jack rabbits with the lever action. This guy wasn’t exactly Matt Dillion but he tricked her out with my saddlebags, scabbard and the Marlin anyway. I was working on fenceposts when he did this.

Big Midnight was once the posse horse of the Bear Bear, CA sheriff but she dumped him out in the desert/mountains once too often so my Dad bought her quick n’ cheap before he shot her.

Things went well until my brother kicked her to cross the Mojave River. Midnight hated wet things except to drink. This was also the crossing where I usually opened her up for her race home to her barn. That horse was a good one and oh boy…she could run ! The fun part was my brother couldn’t ride a horse and she KNEW it.

My little sis and I could see them a’coming with Midnight lathered up, going full-bore and stretching for more. Forget him riding her, that part was over and this was all survival mode. This was the fastest, most agile big horse I ever owned. He was holding on for dear life with stirrups, mane and the little mex saddlehorn trying to scream and her with complete free rein. My sis n’ I where kinda the wannabe rodeo nut people of the family and this was some pretty amazing $hit coming our way.

She badly clipped his left kneecap with fencepost on her hairpin turn, bashed his head and almost decapitated him as she charged into the barn and stopped as nothing had happened. She looked happy, proud and far from winded.

He was hurt, angry and very dangerous at this time so I desided cool my horse down with a walk back towards the river and retrieve my bags, scabbord and rifle as ALL of the above were far more important to me than my ijjit brother. My sis dumped him into the truck and drove him home as she wasn’t old enough to drive to the hospital herself. I had chores and the more intelligent animals to care for.

My little sister is an Olygal on steriods and she retold the entire story in her best pantomime fashion to my folks that night and ended by calling him Ichobod Crane. My horse and I laid low for a while. To the best of our knowledge, dear brother has never thrown a blanket, must less a leg, over a live horse again. My little sister on the other hand, has helped put on a great little rodeo for nearly 30 years
:)

 
Comment by Silverback1011
2009-07-09 15:43:49

Now, that’s a saga, Mikey. Morgans are very, very agile indeed, and of course, QH’s can cut around on a dime, so I’ll bet she could move. If your brother didn’t know enough to duck his head down as she was approaching the barn at full bore, he had no business being on the animal whatsoever. That’s pretty basic horsey knowledge.

 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-09 16:56:52

Yeah, my older brother was always doing stupid things.

My little sister and I still just keep him around for his “pure entertainment value”

;)

 
 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 05:04:14

‘“This is some of the prime real estate in the world,” said Anthony Giaccio, 45, the village administrator, describing the potential that villagers and GM saw in the 97-acre site.’

Problem No. 1: Toxic legacy assets (the environmental kind) are very expensive to clean up.

Problem No. 2: How do you know they are all gone (remember the town of Love Canal)?

Problem No. 3: The proximity of a GM plant may have been a major local source of fundamental housing market demand, which inherently derives from other economic activity. What will replace it, especially just after U.S. household wealth has collectively taken a once-in-a-century hit?

Comment by cereal
2009-07-09 10:54:19

A very expensive housing development in Bel-Air is built over the old public landfill adjacent to the Getty Museum.

There is lots and lots of settling that has happened in the 20 years since it has closed.

On a side note, excavators have dug up 30 year old newspapers completely intact and readable.

 
 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2009-07-09 05:05:24

“…bankruptcy law permits shedding such obligations.”

And politicians actually expect people to use their hard earned money to buy cars from these crooks again?

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 05:13:06

This is a nice illustration of the way too-big-to-fail manufacturers imposed the external costs of (negative) toxic legacy assets on Uncle Sam in exchange for higher profitability. Now that they are BK, we all own the cleanup costs for environmental damage, the creation of which helped boost GM’s bottom line for the duration of the 20th century.

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 05:17:30

P.S. Just in case nukular power plants come back into vogue, this is also the way their useful working lifetimes wind down: When a plant reaches the point of obsolescence, it will leave behind a Superfund Site that requires cleanup at Uncle Sam’s expense.

Forward-looking policy would build provision for such cleanup costs into industrial licensing fee structure, rather than allowing the owners of industrial operations to profit by shifting cleanup costs onto the next generation.

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Comment by palmetto
2009-07-09 05:46:15

“Just in case nukular power plants come back into vogue,”

They’re trying, they’re trying hard. There was some PR fluff piece on TV about nukular the other night. And of course they always point to France as a huge success story.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 05:53:43

“They’re trying, they’re trying hard.”

The big problem, IMHO, is the potential for a coalition of politicians and nukular power providers to transfer legacy nukular waste cleanup costs to a later generation in exchange for higher current profitability, some of which can be diverted to fund campaign contributions.

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-09 05:57:45

Forward-looking policy would build provision for such cleanup costs into industrial licensing fee structure, rather than allowing the owners of industrial operations to profit by shifting cleanup costs onto the next generation.

Guess you missed the recent news articles. There are funds for just that actually. However 3 weeks ago there was news from the NRC that six of the utilities have shortfalls in those funds, due to poor performance. Link to follow.

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-09 06:05:14

link

The funds total $41B, for taking the plants out of service and razing them. Not sure about the details of handling the waste and such - e.g. if the funds include some for transportation and/or storage.

FWIW - I worked at a nuke power plant for a few months in college, as an intern. I’m certainly no expert, though I know more than most people. As such - I’m very much less scared of nuclear energy than most people (as a general statement).

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 06:09:22

“Guess you missed the recent news articles.”

True. Glad (and surprised) to learn someone has thought about this issue up front.

 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-09 09:56:28

“FWIW - I worked at a nuke power plant for a few months in college, as an intern. I’m certainly no expert, though I know more than most people. As such - I’m very much less scared of nuclear energy than most people (as a general statement).”

IMHO, I’m no expert either and I wan’t running nuke plants but somewhere in my background resume, I have an old BS in Industial Safety and Hygiene /with divisional adminstrator experience that says your words are either too bold or too trusting on this one.

Radiation, whether contained in a plant, a US Military Device or an old concrete sealed barrel marked: ” From Con Edison, with Love FOREVER, from the Indian, Point Boyz” certainly scares the $hit out of ME!!

But then, the USAF accidently dropped two live Mark 38 2.4 megaton nukes 6 1/2 miles from my house when I was a child, so I tend to be a little nervous about accidents, experts, radiation and and all that radiation sort of stuff.

:)

 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-09 09:59:16

..sorry about the errors, I was ‘nuking” a sandwich in the microwave :)

 
Comment by AZbubblewatcher
2009-07-09 10:30:14

PB, I usually enjoy your informed and reasoned postings, but I really think you’re off-base on this one. In my younger days, I worked in the nuclear power business (although I’ve been in chips for the last 13 years or so), and commercial US plants are, by and large, well-run, clean, and safe (as has been well-documented, defense-run facilities are another matter). There are no Simpson’s-style 3-eyed fish swimming around the cooling ponds, there are no rusting, leaky, barrels oozing green glowing slime in the ground. Yes, of course there needs to be cleanup at the time of decommissioning, and yes, it will be expensive, and yes, those costs should be (maybe are) baked into the cost of providing the power. But the ominous specter of supefund sites all over the country strikes me as ill-informed fear-mongering. Just MHO, of course, but formed through education and boots-on-the-ground direct observations from multiple US power plants. Now, (hopefully?) back to your regularly-schedule programming on the deflating housing bubble…

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-09 10:57:33

Not saying that radiation isn’t dangerous by any stretch. But when confronted with stats on the following, most people would be quite shocked:

A. Radiation levels in/near nuclear plants vs. other areas. E.g. it’s not good to put idea to put nuclear plants right next to conventional plants (e.g. coal), because the radiation sensors at the nuclear plant are so sensitive that sometimes radiation from the neighboring conventional plant will set off the nuclear plant’s sensors; this happens. Also it’s worth noting that there are no nuclear plants in mountainous regions of the U.S. - not because of ground instability (there *are* nuke plants in earthquake zones in CA), but because the radiation from the sun at higher elevations is such as to cause the same problem - it’s too high relative to the tolerance of detectors at the plant. That illustrates the sensitivity level of detection systems (which is what I worked on when there - RMS = Radiation Monitoring System).

B. The amount of accidents and deaths related to nuclear power compared with conventional power (coal mine disasters, oil drilling disasters, hydroelectric dam disasters, etc.). I haven’t looked at stats in a while, but it’s not even close with regard to accidents and deaths per MW hour produced. FWIW - this isn’t necessarily because nuclear is inherently safer, but just because it gets way more attention and thus way more effort/money is spent to make it safer. As such - if the same safety standards were applied to nuclear as are applied to conventional power (or vice versa) - nuclear would be *way* cheaper.

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-09 10:59:20

(p.s. that response directed to mikey)

 
Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-09 11:01:16

As one who has lived near a number of superfund sites (Moab, UT which is currently in cleanup progress, Rifle, CO, Grand Junction, CO, which I worked as a land surveyor on), as well as communities with over the top cancer rates and that also have nuclear wastes (Monticello, UT, Green RIver, UT), I respectfully think there’s no fear-mongering at all, if anything, it’s the opposite. Ask the Navajo how they feel about it. Uranium mining waste has devastated their health.

Granted, you’re talking about the powerplant sites themselves, but what about the tailings from the uranium mines that feed those plants? Come on out for a tour and you’ll be shocked at what I can show you. Most people are totally unaware of the devastation. Uranium tailings have more radioactivity than the product taken from them. The town of Moab has tailings blown all over it, as a mill once set upwind at the edge of town, heck they used to pave the streets with tailings. Moab ahs a higher than normal rate of MS and leukemia. The city tourism goons actually had the nerve to contact all the tour businesses and tell them to downplay this and not tell anyone what the tailings removal was all about, as it’s now very visible (trucks and trains) where it was just a big pile before. This is the real problem with nuclear, otherwise I’d be all for it.

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 11:03:51

sorry about the errors, I was ‘nuking” a sandwich in the microwave.

What KIND of sandwich? Jeeze, man, you left out the importantest detail!

 
Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-09 12:01:42

It was really dessert - yellowcake.

OK, maybe he was having an Atomic Burger with carnotite mustard and radon ketchup and gamma ray pickles, with fission fries…

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-09 12:23:09

Thx for the info Lost. One thing I’ve always wanted to spend more time studying is actual mining side. We do tend to assume that nuclear is an unlimited resource, which of course isn’t true, but also we never hear about the impact of the mining. I spent a couple of days in Moab (stayed at Sorrell River Ranch - whoo what a nice place) a couple of years ago, and remember seeing the tailing ponds, and areas that had been mined. It’s a shame given the beauty of the area and the Navajo history as you say.

Of course much of this was for weapons development as well, not just for power.

 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-09 15:53:47

Yeah…I’m sure that (UTC+3) reactor Number Four at Chernobyl wasn’t built with a fun Major Level 7 International Nuclear Event Scale ACCIDENT in mind, b..b..but IT HAPPEDED!

Take 2 Potassium Iodine(KI) 130 mg tablets QD and call me in the morning… 8-14 days from intial containation.

From Russia…with Love
:)

 
 
 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2009-07-09 06:20:48

.. can’t have it both ways.

“…the biggest employer and largest source of tax revenue…”

Either encourage businesses or put the screws to them. Make things too tough and business/industry will locate somewhere friendlier.. someplace where jobs and tax revenues are better appreciated.. most likely overseas.
Environmentalism can be very expensive and, one way or another, is ultimately paid for by the consumer.

Comment by Anonymous Coward
2009-07-09 09:42:37

Environmentalism can be very expensive and, one way or another, is ultimately paid for by the consumer.

Lack of environmentalism is also paid for by the consumer.

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Comment by Jon
2009-07-09 09:54:47

It is certainly much cheaper to poop in your living room than to build a bathroom with a toilet onto your house. Just depends on what your priorities are I guess.

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Comment by joeyinCalif
2009-07-09 10:16:17

Yes.. it’s all about priorities. Which of the following takes priority?
a) Food.
b) Extracting some portion of that last 0.00002 percent sulfur content from the gasoline supply lest it poisons the environment.

As long as there’s money to pay for either or both, it’s a toss up.. but when money is tight, almost everyone picks a).

—–
Most people just don’t appreciate what a blessing it is to have the time to spare and wealth to spend on a luxury such as environmentalism. It’s a mistake to take it for granted.

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 11:34:51

Most people just don’t appreciate what a blessing it is to have the time to spare and wealth to spend on a luxury such as environmentalism. It’s a mistake to take it for granted.

Oh, gosh, testify! I often wonder what those nutters who complain about all those ticky regulations designed to, for instance, protect drinking water would do if they actually lived someplace where those ticky little regulations did not exist. Barf a lot? Die of dysentery? Multi-task and do both?
A friend of mine who works for the WA ports goes to Asia regularly, and he has the most utterly and completely appalling stories of how they do things over there, lacking all those tedious little environmental protection rules. Got vats of incredibly toxic chemical byproducts? Whew—lucky there’s a convenient river nearby. Oh, you say this river is upslope of a village and the only drinking water supply? ….What’s yer point, round-eyes?

*shudder *

 
Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 11:35:55

Joey:

You present us with a false dichotomy. We are not faced with choosing between food and a healthy environment. On the contrary, if our environment is toxic, then we will have a hard time growing food, finding potable water, and getting our lungs full of the clean air we require.

 
Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2009-07-09 12:03:04

Oly, this is a very simplistic strawman, you’re acting like everyone just drank toxic sludge all the time before the EPA was created in 1971.

No one objects to rules about drinking water per se, the question is whether the rules exist to serve a bureaucracy, or whether the end consumers actually should and do care about them, enough to pay for their implementation.

Anyone can make rules. Rules themselves are just wishful thinking. But as Joey said, it’s only in economically advanced countries that people have the luxury of observing them consistently.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2009-07-09 12:52:50

Big V, sure.. there are some immediately important “environmental” concerns which do affect our daily lives (poisoned food, water, etc) and ignoring them could negatively affect us within the hour. While not being absolute necessities (take a bite and take your chances or starve) the term “luxury” doesn’t apply to them.

OTOH, we spend an awful lot of money on many things that have no connection to our survival, except perhaps in some theorist’s mind. Somewhere down the road we might gain some benefit from all the effort and wealth expended on these… but maybe not.

For instance: It’d be nice to preserve all existing plant and animal species for this and future generations to enjoy and benefit from, even if it means denying ourselves access to and/or the use of huge quantities of vital resources.

But realistically, millions of species have already become extinct and, unbeknownst to us, more disappear everyday. This seems to be the way of nature. Out with the old and in with the new.. But we humans object. We want things to stay the way they are.

Can we force nature to our will? Is it even wise to attempt it? I have my doubts about both. But what the hell.. why not give it a shot? It ain’t like we can’t afford it..

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 13:14:52

you’re acting like everyone just drank toxic sludge all the time before the EPA was created in 1971.

Well, it’s 2009 and I’ve spent about 3 years now watching developers pull every single sneaky trick in the book trying to install septic systems near or actually WITHIN wetlands, stream corridors, smack dab on the shoreline, and within the neighbors well-head protection buffer.
Perhaps that has tainted my opinions just a tad.

 
 
Comment by exeter
2009-07-09 18:22:08

“Make things too tough and business/industry will locate somewhere friendlier.. ”

Buh bye. Good Riddance. Hit the road Jack.

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Comment by skroodle
2009-07-09 06:33:48

This is just another method of shifting costs to future generations. Except in this case, we are that future generation.

Military bases are another huge environmental problem as they are exempt from EPA regulation and environmental laws.

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-09 07:30:15

Military bases are another huge environmental problem as they are exempt from EPA regulation and environmental laws.

Oh yea? How so? I personally know the military is one of the strictest organizations when it comes to disposal of waste, protecting areas we are training in, even going so far as to not train in areas of the red-headed woodpecker which was and probably still is endangered. As a company commander, I have to comply with ALL EPA regulations and we have depts on ALL military posts to ensure we comply. In alot of ways, we are more regulated than J6P. Our environmental record is very good, especially in the last decade or so…

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Comment by bill in Los Angeles
2009-07-09 07:54:17

Thanks for the info.

Also most anti-military people are not aware that the U.S. DOD is striving for more and more missile accuracy to avoid collaterol damage. In translation: we do not want to kill innocents. Contrast that to the Taliban, Al Quaeda, and so forth. I worked in the DOD for eleven years and in private industry contracting to the DOD. I know about the goals to target only the enemy.

I call myself a liberal but I’m pro defense.

 
Comment by Skip
2009-07-09 08:04:18

Are depleted uranium munitions are still being used in Iraq/Afghanistan?

I hope DU does not become the “Agent Orange of the 21st Century”.

 
Comment by X-GSfixer
2009-07-09 10:47:41

“……strictest organizations when it comes to disposal of wastes……..”

Maybe now, but not back in the 40s-60s……everything went into the base dump back then.

And don’t get me started about the floor drains……..three guesses where all that used oil from all those old R-3350s and R-4360s went.

Our hangar floor drains were clogged a few years ago (old USAF base, hangar built 1954). Roto-rooter guy said that all the piping for the floor drains had collapsed. When he tried to clear it, the last 15-20 feet of his “rooter” came back coated with old waste oil.

Nowadays, everyone has a hissy fit if I keep 2-3 gallons of waste oil around for more than a couple of days…….or a half pint of Jet-A comes out of the wing vents when the fuel load on the airplane is topped off.

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 11:11:24

XGS,

While we’re at it, OR is considering making “topping off” ILLEGAL! LOL.

Yeah, I will say I was present for that transition. We used to just let tur-cote run wild and free and PD-680 ( cleaning solvent ) was substituted for water. We never cared in the late 70’s/early 80’s.

But that all changed. We were like, Huh, are you NEW here? Are you joking? Uh, no, we’re not. It was a major ( but necessary ) pain. We were right on the water at Cubi Point yet you got brownie points for putting the lid back on before tossing hyd. fluid in the dumpster?

 
 
Comment by skroodle
2009-07-09 11:11:59

I guess everyone is ok with Anniston Army Depot in Alabama burning all of the old sarin, mustard, and VX nerve agents?

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Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 12:00:12

skroodle,

Have you ever considered any… ‘real’ freedom?

Freedom, from the opinions of others?

Freedom from opinions of, yourself?

No, I’m not an expert but they do have chemists that specialize in this stuff and it just may be this is the best ( least bad ) way to dispose of it?

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 12:11:37

My grampa is an organic chemist and after he retired he was in charge of a team of consultants there at Dugway in Utarr, where they became occupied with thinking of how to dispose of a wholllllle bunch of extremely nasty substances thoughtfully hoarded by the good ol’ US military. Years, YEARS of study and it’s still not settled.
We didn’t get to hear all the juicy details, because a lot of it was classified, probably still is, I don’t know. I don’t know if I want to know, either.
I recall once I was over visiting gran, just gossiping merrily, and grumpaw got home and—this is the important part—he looked a teensy weensy bit anxious.
This is significant, because if you knew my grumpaw you would know he is the toughest, hardest-headed ol’ grump there ever was. So when I saw him looking the teensy, weensiest bit anxious I thought inside my head, I thought: ‘It’s time for me to lean over and tenderly kiss my wee pink bum goodbye.’
Although so far me and my bum are still here, so that’s good. :)
(so far)

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 14:13:31

Olygal,

Well right, we’ve had that debate going on for 20 years ( at least ) over the weapons depot in Umatilla. Seems everyone has an opinion on how this would best be handled but always stops just short of making a definitive statement.

So if someone has the brass to just burn it, then I say more power. At what point is the debate itself less healthy than the substance in question?

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 15:39:43

At what point is the debate itself less healthy than the substance in question?

I don’t know. Shall I ask my grumpaw and see if he looks anxious? That’ll be my clue. :)

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-09 16:46:56

Oly:

Al I care about is did he see the Roswell aliens.. we are not alone in the universe…the truth will come out

—————————-
he was in charge of a team of consultants there at Dugway in Utarr, where they became occupied with thinking of how to dispose of a wholllllle bunch of extremely nasty substances

 
 
Comment by tgun
2009-07-09 12:48:34

Depleted Uranium:

ahhhhh… wonderful invention.

I will never forget how DU shells fired from an A-10 Warthog on Iraqi Republican Guard Soviet built tanks sliced open the darn things like a hot knife cutting through butter.

I imagined a NATO - Warsaw Pact field of battle in Germany where the A-10s were let loose to pounce on the Soviet tanks… stopping them in their tracks. The good old days (Cold-War vs. Global War on Terror (GWOT)).

Now, long-term human exposure to DU… not so nice.

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Comment by mikey
2009-07-09 16:08:34

“Now, long-term human exposure to DU… not so nice.”

Nope..back then, lot’s of close-in support troops walked over, kicked up the dust, then sat on those tanks eating lunch as they posed for their “war pictures”.

Not good at all

:(

 
 
 
 
Comment by Jim A.
2009-07-09 06:46:51

Lets see, the plan was to replace factories with residentail, retail and office space and now we’re discovering that without the factory jobs,we don’t need to house those workers, can support fewer office workers and need less retail. Sounds like the US economy in a nutshell.

 
Comment by WT Economist
2009-07-09 06:47:31

Many of my relatives worked at that plant.

To my knowledge, I’m the only one of their descendents who drives a GM car.

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 06:59:29

My sister’s GM-worker husband was laid off within the past two week period. But it’s all good, as now he can devote himself to working full time on fixing up the two houses they have owned (since late 2006), one of which they are still getting ready to sell, and the other one into which they are moving :-) .

Comment by potential buyer
2009-07-09 09:47:09

Was that from the Nummi plant, PB?

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 11:13:39

I think that the across-the-street neighbors, who’d purchased the house in ‘04 as an in-VEST-ment, are now in the chronic fixing up to sell phase.

I’ve surmised that they know that they can’t sell it in the condition that it’s in (run down after five years of being inhabited by college kids), and that they can’t afford to do a full-zoot fixup. So, they’re poking along with this, that, and the other project.

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Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 11:40:17

PB:

So, have you decided yet whether or not to lend them the money?

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Comment by hd74man
2009-07-09 09:39:54

RE: Sleepy Hollow Nightmare

I think the town of Sleepy Hollow NY has circumvented the economic collapse of the GM plant closing by charging tourists to view Brahm Bones final resting place in the Old Dutch church graveyard and pay a toll to cross the bridge where the Headless Horseman threw his pumpkin head at Icabod Crane.

Get your Headless Horseman T-shirts* here!

*Made in Malaysia

 
 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2009-07-09 05:01:33

Costco same store sales are down 6%. If the high end won’t hold us up and the low end won’t hold us up, what will hold us up? I know. I’ve got it. Let’s have more stimulus packages. That will do it. Let’s just steal from the unborn to buy votes now. Perfect. There’s the plan.

Comment by WT Economist
2009-07-09 06:48:48

“Let’s just steal from the unborn to buy votes now.”

What if they decide they are unwilling to pay?

Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 07:19:17

NYCityboy,

Actually Arizona Slim had ample local evidence that it’s Mom & Pop retail that is the “beneficiary”. Their “Made In Arizona” program is doing quite well.

Could it be after -years- of iron-fisted rule, consumers are willing to consider other options?

Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 11:16:03

This morning’s fishwrap has one of those “Wow! Look at the two chains that are going to be opening stores in Tucson!” stories. The online comments aren’t exactly gushing with “OMG! How did we survive so long without these two chains?” remarks.

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Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 08:06:23

“Let’s just steal from the unborn to buy votes now.”
What if they decide they are unwilling to pay?

What if they are already born, and sitting here wearing pink monkey-headed jammies and a grumpy frown right this very minute, but decide they ALSO are unwilling to pay?

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-09 08:52:47

Get dressed, Olygal!

Or are you working from home today? :-)

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Comment by Rental Watch
2009-07-09 09:39:19

Ahhhh, deflation. I wonder what the numbers would look like if they weren’t measuring sales, and instead measuring “volume of goods”. I bet the numbers wouldn’t look nearly as bad.

I’m looking forward to see the continued profit margin squeeze of manufacturers (who have already spent the money on building the factory, better to be selling the same product for less than to not sell the product at all).

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 05:10:12

Is there any substantive difference between Mr. Bernanke and Mr. Summers with respect to their policy prescriptions? If so, please do tell, as both of them sound to me as though they sing off the same sheet of music. By contrast, Paul Volcker signs from a different genre.

Wall Street Journal
* JULY 9, 2009

White House Ponders Bernanke’s Future

As the White House begins to ponder whether to reappoint or replace Ben Bernanke when his term expires in January, the Federal Reserve chairman’s standing on Wall Street is on the rise while attacks on him from Congress mount.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner is expected to play a key role in advising President Barack Obama on whether to reappoint Mr. Bernanke. Mr. Geithner has worked closely both with Mr. Bernanke and with the leading alternative for the powerful post — Lawrence Summers, the former Treasury secretary, who is currently the president’s top economic adviser.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2009-07-09 05:12:10

Stucco, you know what they say about thieves and honor.

 
Comment by palmetto
2009-07-09 05:35:21

“Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner is expected to play a key role in advising President Barack Obama on whether to reappoint Mr. Bernanke.”

Most likely he’ll be re-appointed. After all, who wants to break up a good circle jerk?

Comment by palmetto
2009-07-09 05:44:15

Really, when you think about it, it’s like a bunch of kids who play together all the time and assign roles in their little skits. “This time, YOU be the cop, I’ll be the robber”.

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-09 08:27:07

Except they’re ALL robbers in this skit. We the taxpaying audience play the part of the victims.

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Comment by patient renter
2009-07-09 11:13:00

LOL. Very well put.

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Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 11:45:58

Excellent analogy, Palmie. It is getting a little old, isn’t it?

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Comment by packman
2009-07-09 06:08:48

While Summers is pure evil in a can - keep in mind that Volcker is still very much a Keynesian. But at this point pretty much anyone within six degrees of separation of this job is a Keynesian, so I suppose he might be the lesser of many evils.

(Not sure if Kevin Bacon is a Keynesian actually)

Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-09 11:03:37

Was MJ a Keynesian? he acted like he was and look where it got him…

Comment by packman
2009-07-09 12:43:37

MJ?

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 13:01:12

I think Lost is referring to Michael Jackson.

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-09 13:42:34

Doh. (I usually think of MJ as Michael Jordan; forgot about current events).

 
 
 
Comment by patient renter
2009-07-09 11:14:02

Statistically, one would have to think he is.

 
 
Comment by Mike in Miami
2009-07-09 06:10:45

Pardon Madoff, get him out of jail. The man knows how to run a Ponzi scheme! Those are the qualities we’ll need going forward.

Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 07:22:13

Mike,

Too funny. John Daly had his “Senior Ponzologist” agree! Besides, WhoTF is Turbo-Tax Timmy to be suggesting ‘anyone’ be replaced?

 
 
Comment by sf mikey
2009-07-09 10:57:06

I think the best resolution would be to dissolve the Federal Reserve - problem solved! I am sure that Wall Street will make sure he’s taken care of financially if he hasn’t been already.

 
Comment by BanteringBear
2009-07-09 12:53:56

All they need is one good arm to crank up that printing press to help protect the pigmen and elitists wealth:

“Warren Buffett Backs Second Stimulus-

The Legendary Investor Is Critical of the First Stimulus Package, Comparing It to Viagra and Candy”

http://abcnews.go.com/Business/story?id=8039651&page=1&cid=yahoo_pitchlist

Comment by jbw
2009-07-09 14:55:18

DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

Policymakers in Washington will have an influence on the speed of a recovery, Buffett said, but there is no “silver bullet” for it. He did offer one solution, however. “If you want to end the recession as soon as possible,” he said, “do nothing to encourage new housing construction.”

http://www.cnbc.com/id/31835120

Comment by az_lender
2009-07-09 21:08:44

OK Warren! That’s the first sensible thing you’ve said in a year.

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Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-09 05:30:13

Good Morning everyone!!!

I wont bore you with how hot it is today….

BUT IT’S HOT AS H*LL!!!

Thanks for letting me get that off my chest…

On another note, there’s alot of housing empty here, any takers?

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 05:47:12

“…there’s alot of housing empty here, any takers?”

Next great real estate investing opportunity there?

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-09 06:11:32

Being sold “as is”, with a few holes maybe?

:)

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-07-09 06:37:34

with a few holes maybe

ROTFLMAO…..

Built-in Airconditioning…..

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 06:52:05

I take it the built-in air conditioning doesn’t do much good when the temperature outside exceeds 100 F?

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Comment by packman
2009-07-09 07:02:47

It helps to have a good breeze - e.g. draft from the nearby helicopters.

 
 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 07:24:09

Stpn2me,

My guard unit is in Klamath Falls, OR and one of the long timers down there told me they have an almost identical climate to where you’re at!

( Perfect training! )

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Comment by awaiting wipeout
2009-07-09 10:06:05

In California, they recently changed the law from “as is” to “as disclosed”.

Comment by packman
2009-07-09 12:47:23

Really? That’s interesting. I bought an “as is” house in CA in 2000 actually.

Isn’t “as disclosed” meaningless then - i.e. the same as any other sale? The distinction of course being whether or not the seller is responsible for undisclosed problems found after the sale; “as is” being where they’re not. “As disclosed” would be implied by any sale that isn’t “as is” - wouldn’t it?

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Comment by awaiting wipeout
2009-07-09 16:31:01

I just renewed my license in Ca, and one of the chapters I read was on law revisions and it had this clause in it. I’ll be happy to send you a xerox of the pages with all the particulars. It floored me too, until I understood that the laws actually tightened. We’re re-entering at the end of this year, so I’ll be researching this carefully. Drop me a P O Box, and I’ll be happy to send you a xerox.

I have already finished the 24 units education requirements for my Brokers License. My background is Commercial, coming out of Accounting.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2009-07-09 07:26:45

How far to the nearest “Home Despot”? :-)

Hwy thinks concrete must be very cheap…but successful transportation of goods to building location might be a tad risky… ;-)

Comment by DennisN
2009-07-09 09:09:32

I hear that Navy See-bees deliver redimix concrete anywhere in the world.

 
 
 
Comment by Blano
2009-07-09 05:37:50

Sex offender and paroled killers among others caught in local mortgage fraud case.

http://www.detnews.com/article/20090709/METRO/907090391/Seven-tied-to-mortgage-fraud

Comment by WT Economist
2009-07-09 07:18:03

Maybe if enough Black guys start committing white collar crimes, someone will actually try to stop them.

Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 07:31:41

Blano,

“While they were paying their debt to society, their credit was cleansing itself and preparing them to be perfect straw buyers”

LOL! Well there’s ‘one’ way to get a better FICO? Seriously guys, the article didn’t mention their education level ( but can we assume their ‘not’ Harvard Grads? ) If people from this walk of life can commit Fraud ‘this’ easily..? C’mon.

Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 07:58:32

- their
+ they’re

Geez?

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Comment by Incredulous (the original)
2009-07-09 08:06:33

Thanks for making me laugh.

Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 10:02:12

Incredulous,

I’m thinking about throwing a brick through a Post Office window just for a little down time and a credit score make-over!

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Comment by mikey
2009-07-09 10:37:14

“I’m thinking about throwing a brick through a Post Office window just for a little down time and a credit score make-over!”

Sheesh DinOR, you ARE the littile revolutionist today.

I sure hope that they turn you upside down, empty all the rocks out of your pockets and keep you away any taxpayer airplanes this summer.

;)

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 12:06:26

mikey,

I think that was a play on the urban myth of an elderly widower that had no savings and no place to stay so he did that ( on Federal Property ) so he would go to a Fed prison?

I have no idea if there’s any truth to it, but I’ve always suspected it was just a tall tale to highlight “how good prisoners have it”?

 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-09 17:20:59

Prisons scare me.

I did some security prisoner escorts in the military. I’d surrender my weapon, sign in and then that big steel door would slam…Bang!!…Yikes…They’ve GOT me!!
;)

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 05:42:17

Is there a (legal) secondary market for CA IOUs? I smell a huge potential money-maker for hedge funds in buying them from the cash-strapped at a discount, then later cashing them in (assuming CA can make good on its future commitments). I am also wondering whether there might be a way to short these (i.e., bet against them)? Perhaps either Las Vegas or the CBOT could develop a gambling game where players on the two sides bet on whether these obligations will be honored?

I am also still puzzled at how it is that members of the Megabank, Inc cartel which cast hundreds of billions of dollars into the sea qualified for bailouts while the State of CA does not, especially given a Democratic-controlled government. Perhaps bailout-worthiness is about being geographically situated closer to DC?

Banks balk at accepting IOUs
Institutions give state deadline of tomorrow

In The Union-Tribune on Page A1
By Stephen Bernard

After taking multibillion-dollar bailouts from the federal government, some of the nation’s biggest banks are declining to lend a hand with a different financial mess: the California budget stalemate.

Comment by packman
2009-07-09 06:25:34

LOL at the irony of this. Talk about the pot calling the kettle black! The very fractional banking system itself is based on IOUs.

How many people stop and think about the terminology when the refer to “a 10-dollar bill”? Think about that word “bill”. That’s exactly what a bill is - an IOU.

So these certificates from California are no different in concept than the common $1, $5, $10 etc. pieces of paper we carry in our pocket. The only difference is the scale of the system and some logistics.

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 06:50:48

“The only difference is the scale of the system and some logistics.”

As the governor himself aptly noted, CA does not have fiat to print money.

Comment by packman
2009-07-09 07:05:46

Yeah - I guess that somehow didn’t stop them. Those constitutional rules are so Wimpy.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 07:11:00

“I guess that somehow didn’t stop them.”

Megabank, Inc’s refusal to accept CA IOUs may not have stopped them, but it creates significant headwinds.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 07:12:53

Note the wording on your federal reserve notes:

“THIS NOTE IS LEGAL TENDER FOR ALL DEBTS, PUBLIC AND PRIVATE”

I am guessing such wording will not be printed on CA IOUs?

 
Comment by Skip
2009-07-09 07:17:25

I am guessing such wording will not be printed on CA IOUs?

I bet if they put a picture of Arnold on it more people would accept them. :-)

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-09 07:24:13

Note the wording on your federal reserve notes:

“THIS NOTE IS LEGAL TENDER FOR ALL DEBTS, PUBLIC AND PRIVATE”

I am guessing such wording will not be printed on CA IOUs?

I’m sure there’s some similar legal wording on them, just narrower in scope - i.e. only officially payable by the state of CA after Oct. 2 maturity or the like.

The WSJ article the other day said that the banks had originally agreed to accept these - so I wonder if a legal battle of some kind may ensue at some point, especially if this program gets “extended”. (IMO a virtual certainty)

Being that you’re in CA - any “ear to the ground” updates you can give will be interesting.

 
 
 
Comment by Neil
2009-07-09 11:02:41

Packman,

local (South Bay, LA) banks are now putting 14 day holds on ‘large’ checks. (>$5k)

They are obviously short on cash. It doesn’t matter if they can skip ‘marking to market’ if the e-vault runs dry. Apparently the Fed isn’t printing money as fast as the wealth is being destroyed (yes, we already knew that).

I feel like a time bomb is ticking. Between the over-valued stock market, Bear Chits, unemployment, and the wobbly state of the US banking system…

Got Popcorn?
Neil

Comment by tgun
2009-07-09 12:54:01

Deposited a personal check for $10k with USAA, funds released in 24 hours (sold my little 07 Honda Fit).

Must be the water or something in California that is affecting the banks…

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Comment by drumminj
2009-07-09 14:52:51

I deposited a $9600 check the other day. The teller thought it was a forgery (payment for contract work from a company I’ve been involved with for ~10 years now). I’m not sure if I should be happy or concerned that they were concerned about the check.

At any rate, funds were available the next day.

 
 
Comment by Watching the Carnage
2009-07-09 20:02:18

Neil,

You and I must be somehow mentally connected. Over the years your posts seem to come straight out of my brain.

Why folks don’t realize that California’s current situation will not be their situation soon just amazes me.

And Neil, you’re right - the time bomb is ticking.

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Comment by Kim
2009-07-09 06:49:22

“Is there a (legal) secondary market for CA IOUs?”

I heard that CA will honor them from second parties if, when turned in, they are accompanied by a notorized bill of sale from the initial recipient.

No link to that, though. Sorry.

Comment by Blano
2009-07-09 07:43:12

I saw that also, but when I did I wondered if CA would then only honor the amount that it was sold for, then only pay the interest rate on the smaller amount.

Kind of a back-handed way for the state to save a few bucks without telling anybody ahead of time.

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 08:01:23

Kim,

Yeah, there was an article in just the last few days. The guys come in and buy them from strapped M&P shops at a discount ( and then redeem them at face value upon maturity )

Pretty abusive rates too IIRC.

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2009-07-09 07:30:55

“…some of the nation’s biggest banks are declining to lend a hand with a different financial mess:”

Me thinks Mr. Buffett has fired up his Ms. Packman game in the Omaha basement…gobble, gobble, gobble… ;-)

 
Comment by polly
2009-07-09 10:05:21

“I am also still puzzled at how it is that members of the Megabank, Inc cartel which cast hundreds of billions of dollars into the sea qualified for bailouts while the State of CA does not…”

There are at least 40 states that could make an arguement for needing a bailout. I’m guessing that Alaska, Wyoming and few others don’t, but if they bail out CA, they can’t really say no anyone else who says more money or we will cut Medicaid reimbursements and eliminate school funding which will lead to elementary school kids in classrooms with 35+ kids. Just can’t. In this case, it is actually easire to say no to the first state in line than to say no to the 4th or 12th.

Also, the banks were bailed out with a set amount of money for all of them to share. That gave them time to borrow from the Fed at nearly 0% and set the interest rate on loans high enough to get some profits coming in. The states are a black hole. They can’t raise taxes without support of voters. They aren’t willing to cut spending. If they keep selling the income streams from toll roads and bridges, they hurt their income down the line. The states may be the biggest problem over the next decade. It is mind boggling.

 
 
Comment by palmetto
2009-07-09 05:53:05

On a lighter note, just saw “Bruno” being interviewed on the Today Show. Not that funny. Already been done much better by Ben Stiller in Zoolander. Plus Cohen seems to have difficulty covering his British accent.

Comment by palmetto
2009-07-09 05:56:05

Although the bit where he confuses Hamas with hummus is priceless.

 
Comment by skroodle
2009-07-09 06:35:30

But it is the only movie Ron Paul will be appearing in this year.

 
Comment by speedingpullet
2009-07-09 07:23:45

Sasha Baron Cohen was much funnier as Ali G, IMHO.

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-09 08:31:32

In small doses.

Comment by BanteringBear
2009-07-09 18:19:15

Exactly. The guy bugs.

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Comment by robiscrazy
2009-07-09 15:10:09

Never laughed so hard in life as when Ali G got in an argument with previous Surgeon General Dr. C. Everett Koop about whether or not his erection was a bone.

 
 
 
Comment by Maria
2009-07-09 05:57:01

American Express has cancelled my credit card. The reason for cancellation, no activity in last 24 months. This is not first time my credit card has been cancelled ,Citi had issued me two credit cards , two years back Citi cancelled one of the credit card because I did not use one of the cards for three years.

I have four more credit cards, (Citi, Chase, Discover and BOA) all of them were issued to me while I was in Grad Engineering College. I always pay in full and don’t carry any balance.

How will cancellation of the AMEX affect my credit score?

Comment by arizonadude
2009-07-09 06:23:31

amex cancelled two of my cards too.At this rate they wont have any customers.Probably wont hurt the score much.You might take a little hit due to the decrease in total available credit and your debt would be the same making the debt/available credit ratio increase.If you dont have any debt on the ohter cards should be that big of a deal.

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-09 06:27:42

OK dumb question but - why do you have so many credit cards, with many of them inactive? I’d be worried about the security risk, if nothing else.

If you have cards that you don’t intend to use, I’d cancel them.

Comment by Maria
2009-07-09 10:34:04

packman :

I used to get CC offers during the grad school, $500.00 dollars each and I applied for them and down the road the CC companies were happy to increase the credit line.

AMEX used to give discounts on Delta Airlines to students. That was the main reason I went for AMEX the offer.

Discover card gives me 5 % cash back.

Platinum Visa and MAster card are helpfull when I travel overseas. Depending on the country you travel, Master or Visa might have lounges on the aiport where you could relax while waiting for flights, Break fast/ snacks included.

These are benefits with various cards

 
 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2009-07-09 06:55:35

This is how I understand it. As long as your total credit card balance is zero, closing any card won’t negatively affect FICO.
But if you have a balance, closing a card reduces available credit and this increases the percentage you owe, and that’s bad..

Say you have 2 cards with $5,000 limits ($10K total available).
One card has a $2,500 balance. That balance represents 25% of your total $10K available card-credit.

Cancel the zero-balance card.

You now have a total of only $5,000 in available credit. Owing $2,500 means you”re now using 50% of your total available credit, not 25% like before. You can be viewed as being “deeper in debt” than if you kept the other card..

Personally, I get by fine with just one card… and it’s easier on my shredder.

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 07:09:39

What if your one card gets canceled? (Not suggesting this is likely — merely pointing out there may be diversification benefits to holding more than one card.)

Comment by joeyinCalif
2009-07-09 07:24:01

I don’t really “need” even the one card..
I’ve got several bank account ATM cards with Visa or MasterCard logos which are accepted at hotel check-in, airlines reservations and rental car places.
Of course a person must keep adequate cash in those bank accounts to go this route..

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 11:22:18

I’m tempted to start headin’ that way myself.

After all, you can ask that your debit card (which, if I’m understanding correctly, is the same thing as the bank account ATM that joeyinCalif is referring to), be run as a credit card so that those nasty PIN thieves can’t getcha.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2009-07-09 12:12:22

debit card.. bank card.. check card.. ATM card.. same thing.

There’s no reason to ask that they accept the card as a “credit card” if it has the Visa logo. I’ve never been asked for or volunteered that info..
Whoever runs the card number (by phone) sees it and probably sees your current account balance as a “limit”. The card has a security code number on the back, like a CC, should that be needed.
In a store or on location, just swipe it and select “credit” if the choice pops up, and sign the receipt.

I never had any problems using one to rent a car and these guys are probably most worried about how you’re gonna cover some mishap.. ymmv.

Some cards, depending on who issued it, can earn points or whatever. There’s also liability protection similar to a credit card if someone steals it.

Downside is you’re using your own money instead of the bank’s.. you’re not contributing to a credit score.. additional funds beyond the immediate purchase may be held back for some period of time..
Rules (and laws) vary depending on the issuer, the merchant, State or country and other particulars. Wiki has a page on debit cards.

 
 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 07:38:29

Professor Bear,

Would it make any difference had Maria canx’d the cards her ’self’? Does it make any diff. if the issuer canx’d vice holder?

Never had it happen to me but my understanding ( channeling Clark Howard ) is that it would reduce your avail. credit limit thus lowering your score.

Oh and Mrs. D’s getting ALL these “offers” from aesthitic medical practices from all over. “New Lipolift Trilogy”! Are things that bad for these guys?

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Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-09 08:35:43

I’m guessing they are really hurting. The extremely rich and vain are probably still buying, and the actual reconstruction because of accidents/etc is still there, but the people who watch “real wives” and fantasize about living in giant houses with lots of botox are probably cutting back by 60-90% or some large number, which translates into quite a dent in the medical frankensteining business.

 
Comment by SaladSD
2009-07-09 10:13:26

Ugh, my credit union is offering 10% interest loans for plastic surgery. What’s the collatoral?

 
Comment by potential buyer
2009-07-09 10:22:19

More people going for ‘rejuvenating’ because of the job market. Kinda sad, no?

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 11:05:29

medical frankensteining

Good one.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 11:29:34

True story from the Arizona Slim File: Being of fair complexion and from a family with skin cancer in the genes, I’ve been in the habit of seeing a dermatologist for an annual checkup.

However, in the past few years, I noticed that my dermatologist had jumped on the cosmetic practice bandwagon. And I noticed that I, a self-paying medical patient, no longer seemed as important as those cosmetic patients.

And it wasn’t just me.

Last fall, I noticed an elderly man standing in the waiting room. He looked like he was lost. However, the staff was just too busy to come out and ask if he needed help with finding a seat, did he want a cup of coffee, that sort of thing. He was probably a Medicare patient, and, therefore, unimportant.

During the exam, the doctor removed a mole (not cancerous, hooray!) and I noticed that the bill was around $93. By the time I’d gotten to the front desk, it had jumped to $250.

WTF? was my reaction. The desk gal said it was because they needed a deposit against further treatment fees. The lady demanded my credit card, and she started trying to charge it.

Well, my card was pretty well tied up with an airfare charge, for which I was awaiting reimbursement. I tried to explain that to the lady, and also asked her if I could be billed. The check would be in Tucson in a week or so, and could they carry me until then? After all, I’d been a patient of this practice for 16 years.

The answer was no. My 16 years of loyalty — and self-payment no longer meant much. After all, I was one of those medical patients.

Needless to say, I no longer patronize that office.

 
Comment by polly
2009-07-09 11:58:31

Dermatologist at the student health center at NYU told me to stick to dermatologists who teach in medical schools when possible. They HAVE to keep up with the serious medical part of the specialty, not just the cosmetic part.

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 14:18:52

Arizona Slim,

And… that just about sums up the way I feel like I’m being treated every where I go. Dr’s clinic or not.

When you’re HBB’er they quickly “size you up” and in short order determine you’re not a player. It’s gotten so bad you actually have to feign interest in upgrades just to get nominal service.

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 14:21:35

“Yeah.., yeah, I’ve often thought I ‘needed’ a wall-to-wall TV set! Hey, how much do one of these baybee’s go for? ( Throw in a few “huh’s” and ah’s for extra measure )

It can back fire though when your sales assistant scampers off to get you a price and then is never seen nor heard from again. Not kidding.

 
 
 
Comment by Fitzclarence
2009-07-09 07:36:16

So opening three more credit cards for $5,000 each to “increase the denominator” and make total credit utilization only 10% would increase his FICO score? Seems backwards to me.

Comment by joeyinCalif
2009-07-09 07:52:22

It’s not that simple.. there are other factors besides the total available credit. As far as I know it’s not possible to raise a score simply by opening or closing CC accounts in any manner.

To raise a score, FI basically wants to see long-term use of lots of credit without any problems.

Get lots of cards with high limits, whip out a card every chance you get to buy something over a long period of time and NEVER get in any trouble… and your score will be high because you’ve built up some history and have therefore earned some credibility.

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Comment by Watching the Carnage
2009-07-09 20:22:19

Joey,

False - it is possible to raise a credit score by opening a CC account. I have not had a credit card for more than 10 years. I do have credit for mortgage and auto loans - all paid on time for more than 20 years.

FICO stuck at mid 700’s for years because I did not have open revolving credit. I refused the stupidity for years and finally succumbed to see the outcome. Opening a credit card account with my current bank took my FICO over 800 in less than one month.

Stupid crap - my credit-worthiness is now improved because I now have more open credit. The FICO model will soon fail.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2009-07-10 04:53:56

So.. You opened the CC account, didn’t even use it, and a couple weeks later, wham! 50 points is added to your FICO score? (and probably got the points before your new card arrived in the mail)
That’s… incredible.

 
 
Comment by bluto
2009-07-09 08:21:13

You’re less likely to default soon, if you still have a huge amount of untapped credit. If you’re tapping every credit line you have available you’re probably approaching default unless you’re very close to something like an IPO. The scores reflect that.

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Comment by Muddyfoot
2009-07-09 08:38:45

Why not use their card if you can pay the balance off each statement? I love getting free $ from AMEX! Be a freeloader.

 
Comment by SaladSD
2009-07-09 10:10:18

Yikes, I haven’t used my Amex card in ages, better buy a book or something….

 
Comment by patient renter
2009-07-09 11:18:43

Same thing happened to me with my Chase card. No idea how it effects the ole’ credit score.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 06:07:07

I am quite convinced the San Diego County housing vacancy rate is strongly correlated with its office vacancy rate, but not sure of the strength of the correlation. Similarly, the very high office “availability rate*” of 25.2 percent suggests there is most likely a historically high (though unreported) housing availability rate, at least according to my subjective beliefs.

*The office availability rate combines empty space and sublease space with offices that are available for lease but remain occupied for now.

Local office vacancy rate increases
It is near 20 percent for first time since ‘93
By Emmet Pierce
Union-Tribune Staff Writer
2:00 a.m. July 9, 2009

San Diego County’s office market continues to soften due to high unemployment and the lingering recession, according to a new report from commercial brokerage CB Richard Ellis.

At the end of the second quarter, the direct vacancy rate for empty offices available for lease increased to 19.7 percent. That compares with 18.7 percent at the end of the first quarter and 16 percent at the same time a year ago. It was the seventh consecutive quarterly increase and the first time the vacancy rate has approached 20 percent since 1993.

The report cited a forecast by Torto Wheaton, the brokerage’s research arm, predicting that the local market for office space won’t begin its recovery until late 2011 or early 2012.

The weak economy is likely to hinder chances of a quick increase in building occupancies, the report said. “The short-term forecast calls for an overall decline in office workers and total net absorption is forecast to lag supply.”

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 06:16:26

“…the local market for office space won’t begin its recovery until late 2011 or early 2012.”

It also seems reasonable to conjecture that the timing of office space market recovery will not be far off from the timing of a housing market recovery, given that fundamental (end-user) demand in both markets is derived from the strength of the local economy, and transmitted through the labor market in the case of housing. I am not sure to what extent government intervention or speculative investment may muddy the waters, given that everyone wants to live (and work) in San Diego.

 
Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 11:53:24

No way, PB. Don’t you know SD is immune? Office space is vacant because ppl are bright, and are now all working from home! San Diego ppl are the brightest!

 
 
Comment by pressboardbox
2009-07-09 06:08:19

“If I was able to buy, I’d definitely buy because this is the time to do it,” said Mark Wells, 42, of West Chester, Ohio, who lost his job at FedEx Corp.’s freight division in February and has been looking for a job ever since. His wife makes $8 an hour working at a day care.

here is the article:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/H/HOUSING_TRENDS?SITE=FLDAY&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT

Comment by Blano
2009-07-09 06:56:44

Call me silly, but I wonder if someone who is laid off with a wife making $8 an hour is really a potential homebuyer.

Comment by Skip
2009-07-09 07:18:58

If prices fall far enough, they just might be in the market.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-09 09:10:30

Yeah, it’s comedy to me that these are the market experts they’re highlighting in the MSM these days… LOL.

 
 
 
Comment by Bob
2009-07-09 06:18:25

note from the renting front.

Seattle Belltown - property managers will not admit upfront that rental rates have dropped. After 3 back and forth, we re-newed at a 16% drop. It takes time with the ‘professionally’ managed buildings, but well worth it.

East side - apparently a few property managers are offering 2 months free.

Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 08:09:13

Ah! Thanks for the on-site observations.

Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 13:15:18

I’m fine with my Haed. Psst…. Oly, how du you spell hed?

 
 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-09 09:15:05

Good to hear, Bob—thanks!

In Ballard, I’ve been biding my time since my LL mentioned 9mo ago that he was planning to _raise_ my rent. Since the date he mentioned has come and gone with no comment, and I have a _large_ stack of craigslist comps printed out and ready to hand to him, it’s just about time to initiate the conversation myself and ask for a 10% drop. If not, I’ll wait for the end of the gardening season to move. :-)

Comment by bob
2009-07-09 12:20:29

Lots of medium sized condo buildings + the big-ass Canal complex in Ballard. I am sure that there is a good deal for you.

Another experience: I work for MS - co-worker got a great deal from a condo owner (who also works for softy) in capital hill who wanted a ’stable’ renter - as he had apparently been burnt 2 times in a row with renters that fell behind on paying.

If you look there just might be a great deal

 
 
 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2009-07-09 06:40:26

Anyone interested in summer travel, Air Tran is having an internet-only sale. $99 one-way on most routes most days for travel through at least October. Today is last day of sale.

Comment by Cowtown
2009-07-09 10:09:44

Southwest had a two-day-only sale earlier this week, good for travel through mid-November. I believe Delta matched it. I think we’ll see a lot more of this type of sale in the coming months.

Comment by SaladSD
2009-07-09 10:15:55

We just booked roundtrip tx to the east coast for $220 on Southwest. wow.

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 06:43:49

As of July 1, the defunct GSEs lead the US government charge underway to prop up the value of US housing prices, by relaxing refi-lending standards on underwater homeowners. This can be construed as an implicit reverse-Robin-Hood wealth transfer from non-home-owners (e.g. young prospective home owners and the relatively poor) to prop up the value of assets owned by the wealthiest Americans. There is considerable irony to see desperate Democrats supporting a stealthy regressive tax scheme.

I am not sure whether this latest effort to prop up housing values will work, given the high failure rate of previous housing market interventions. For instance, there is the lingering issue of a lack of end-user demand during a period of high unemployment and job loss.

You have to love the Economist editors’ choice to equate overvalued housing prices with the greater good. This is a good indication that bubble-era thinking has not yet ended, at least in the financial MSM.

Finance and Economics
House prices and the wealth effect
Home discomforts
Jul 2nd 2009
From The Economist print edition
Brighter data on house prices may not signal a surge in spending

AFTER a long winter, spring brought a touch of sunshine to American house prices. The latest Case-Shiller indices, released on June 30th, showed that prices continued to fall in April: the ten-city index was 0.7% lower than a month earlier, and the 20-city index went down by 0.6%. But these falls were the smallest since June 2008. So even though house prices in America were still roughly 18% lower than a year earlier, many now suspect that the worst is over.

But policymakers would still be right to emphasise house prices because their decline has also limited Americans’ ability to borrow. The government said on July 1st that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, America’s housing-finance giants, would now be allowed to refinance mortgages worth up to 125% of a house’s value, up from 105%, a limit many have fallen foul of as prices have fallen. Any rise in home prices could still increase consumption, even if it does so by removing credit constraints rather than through the wealth effect.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 06:48:04

Are some “dark pools” govt sponsored enterprises? I guess there is no way for the Average Joe to know.

Finance and Economics
The rise of dark pools
Attack of the clones

Jul 2nd 2009
From The Economist print edition
New trading venues offer a challenge to conventional exchanges

THERE is more than a hint of science fiction in the new jargon of finance. Systemic councils are being formed all over the place. America has appointed a “special master” to look at pay practices in bailed-out firms. And in the world of exchanges, “dark pools” are rising fast.

Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 07:48:54

PB,

Not sure how I feel about that? If you’ve ever known someone that was a Reg. 144 ( insider ) w/ a narrow window to redeem shares, it can be a touchy subject. Especially if the issue is thinly traded.

If you can get much of it filled “off exchange” you’ve done a real service to the client. I guess ‘my’ issue would be.., are you “publicly” traded or NOT!?

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 07:01:04

Retailers report weak June sales
By ANNE D’INNOCENZIO, The Associated Press
5:39 a.m. July 9, 2009

NEW YORK — Escalating job worries and rainy weather dampened shoppers’ appetite for buying summer staples like shorts and dresses, resulting in sharp sales declines for many merchants in June and increasing concerns about the back-to-school shopping season.

As retailers reported their monthly figures Thursday, the weakness appeared to cut across all sectors, particularly apparel sellers. Among the biggest disappointments so far were teen merchant Wet Seal Inc., The Children’s Place Retail Stores Inc. and Limited Brands Inc., which owns Victoria’s Secret.

Even low-priced operator Costco Wholesale Corp. struggled with a same-store sales decline compared with a year ago, when business was helped by stimulus rebate checks.

Same-store sales – sales at stores open at least a year – are considered a key indicator of a retailer’s health.

Comment by Kim
2009-07-09 07:25:07

DH and I were visiting family in MA last week and were eager to buy some much needed cloths (no tax on cloths there). We saw nothing we liked (visited several stores) and came home empty handed! I don’t buy the weather excuse. Based on my assessment of the merchandise, the stores were planning to sell a lot of casualwear to the unemployed, because there were very, very few “work appropriate” or even “business casual” selections.

Comment by InMontana
2009-07-09 08:19:19

Women’s clothes absolutely suck now. Garish, gaudy colors, unflattering styles, plunging necklines, short waisted to show off the tramp stamps I guess. Yeah and way too informal.

Comment by Kim
2009-07-09 09:57:24

Ha! +10,000!!!!

I was going to comment on how all the skirts end an inch below my azz crack, but something tells me most of the guys on this board wouldn’t sympathize.

;)

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Comment by Blano
2009-07-09 10:19:23

Pics, please…. :)

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 11:17:48

Yes! :)

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-07-09 17:31:05

Yep, we’re very evidence-driven here on the HBB; you’ll have to prove it to us, Kim. Link, please! :-)

 
 
Comment by SaladSD
2009-07-09 10:17:47

porn couture.

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Comment by awaiting wipeout
2009-07-09 13:30:40

Hi Ladies,
I could not agree more. I have bought stuff from Chadwicks online. I bought some linen jacket/long skirt sets that I’ve worn for 3 summers now. Not bad for $50/set. (I wait for season end sales.) Ca summers are too brutal to wear formal business attire. Nylons are bad enough. (Vacationing on Hot Flash Island these days.)

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Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 15:44:27

(Vacationing on Hot Flash Island these days.)

Thanks for telling us this. Really.
…Say, how are the pool-boys on the idyllic Hot Flash Island? Cute and respectful? Wearing white trousers rolled up at the cuff? :lol:

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2009-07-09 16:52:57

Oly,
Being a fan of The Golden Girls, your questions reminded me of Blanche. She’s my favorite walking bag of estrogen.

 
 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-09 17:56:13

“Women’s clothes absolutely suck now. Garish, gaudy colors, unflattering styles, plunging necklines, short waisted to show off the tramp stamps I guess. Yeah and way too informal.”

I agree 110%!!

I just love those pretty women in white blouses, fuzzy sweaters, a simple pleated skirts and some nice clean tennies….

Wait…I believe those women are called…cheerleaders
;)

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Comment by sagesse
2009-07-09 10:46:45

Did you notice that the low waist cut of pants result in women sticking their bellies out, in order to hold the pants up, especially if there is not much posterior matter, i.e. if the behind is small. I do this, even with a belt, it leads to a completely unnatural body posture. With the pregnancy style tops that have been invented to go with that look, it’s less noticeable.

Comment by InMontana
2009-07-09 13:36:24

Yep. And they look mahvelous don’t they. I just shop and shake my head. I did find some good tee shirts at Target (Ultimate Tee) that have sleeves a bit longer than those perky little cap-sleeves I can’t wear anymore.

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Comment by Bad Chile
2009-07-09 11:44:59

Technically in MA it is no sales tax on the first $175 of a cothing purchase, anything above $175 on a single item is taxed at the normal rate (currently 5%, soon to be 6.25%).

This makes it interesting when buying clothing more than that price. Suits, for example, are always sold as two seperate items here to avoid as much tax as possible. A $300 suit will be a $150 pair of pants and a $150 coat in MA to get around paying tax, in NH the same suit will be a single $300 suit as there is no tax in NH.

 
Comment by Dr. Fager
2009-07-09 13:22:08

Oh good, I’m not the only woman who thinks the clothes are awful. Was walking through Macy’s in NoVa a few weeks ago to find some work clothes. Nada! I kept thinking, doesn’t anybody work? You can’t wear this stuff at the office. Went home and ordered from Lands End like I always do.

 
Comment by Dr. Fager
2009-07-09 13:30:31

Oh and selling casualwear to the unemployed. Sounds like a great business model.

Comment by palmetto
2009-07-09 18:52:28

If I might chime in here, the women’s fashions these days look like they were made for third world prostitutes.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 07:02:33

What’s up with today’s opening bell US stock market volatility?

 
Comment by Muggy
2009-07-09 07:03:34

Well, the reverse splits hit FAS/FAZ today. Seems like a great time to short FAZ. Any traders interested in thinking out loud with me?

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 07:07:48

The deleterious effect of collapsed subprime lending on housing values exhibits long and variable lags.

Wall Street Journal
* REAL ESTATE
* JULY 9, 2009

Subprime Resurfaces as Housing-Market Woe
In Atlanta, a Foreclosure Dichotomy Threatens Homes Values

The U.S. housing market is facing new downward pressure as holders of subprime-mortgage bonds flood the market with foreclosed homes at prices that are much lower than where many banks are willing to sell.

While nationwide figures are scarce, a review of thousands of foreclosures in the Atlanta area shows that trusts managing pools of securitized mortgages sold six times as many properties as banks during the six months ended March 31. And homes dumped by subprime bondholders sold for thousands of dollars less on average than bank-owned properties, the data show.

Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 12:19:04

Oooo, lookie. Another chink in the armor of the US Effort to Save Failing Banks. Even if all the banks collude, they still can’t stop the avalanche because not all these “assets” are owned by banks. Be the first to panic, right?

 
 
Comment by AZgolfer
2009-07-09 07:14:09

From Phoenix - The Chateaux on Central has been discussed on this blog in the past. I actually went through the model about 2 years ago and was not impressed. Each unit is four stories high with stairs and an elevator. It felt like four 1,200 sq ft condo’s stacked on top of each other. The unit i looked at was listed for 3.2 million.

Phoenix’s Chateaux on Central poster child for real estate bust
The brick mini-mansions sitting empty on Phoenix’s Central Avenue is first on the New York Time’s list of “Ruins of the Second Gilded Age.”

The newspaper commissioned a photographer to go across the country and capture physical evidence” of the real estate bust.

Phoenix’s Chateauxs were supposed to sell for more than $4 million and be topped with copper turrets. But in late 2007, PHX Partners - developer of the unusual project project - filed for bankrtupcy.

Phoenix-based commercial lender Mortgages Ltd. then financed the project and took it over through foreclosure. In mid-2008, Mortgage Ltd. was forced into bankrutpcy.

Chateaux is a high-priced, nearly built castle-esque ghost town on Central Avenue now.

A Charlevoix Homes subdivision in Chandler was no. 2 on the Time’s list. President of the home builder Michael Roberts filed for bankruptcy last year. The subdivision sits half built.

Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 12:21:26

Copper turrets? That’s ridiculous. Doesn’t copper turn green over time? IIRC, the price of copper was really high right about the time these guys would have been planning their masterpiece. Sounds a little pretensious to me.

 
 
Comment by cobaltblue
2009-07-09 07:22:26

If you are not familiar with Gerald Celente’s track record on the economy, suffice it to say he called the Housing Bubble Debacle in real time, with accuracy, and without weasel wording. The following is not partisan speech. It’s studied analysis:
By Gerald Celente 7-8-9
KINGSTON, NY — Vice President Joseph Biden’s admission that the Obama Administration’s economic recovery plan was predicated on egregiously inaccurate forecasts consigns the entire effort to failure, predicts Gerald Celente.
“The plan is based upon false premises,” said Celente, Director of The Trends Research Institute, referring to White House projections used to sell the stimulus package to the nation. To make their case, Washington warned that without the Obama stimulus, unemployment, then at 7.2 percent, would rise above 8 percent in 2009 and peak at 9 percent in 2010.
Yet, only midway through 2009, the unemployment rate is already 9.5 percent and rising. “This is an enormous miscalculation,” contends Celente. “In real world terms, it means that 2.5 million more Americans than anticipated have lost their jobs. The inaccuracy of the forecast undermines the validity not only of the plan, but also of the planners.”

Joe Biden sidestepped blame, pleading “guilty with an explanation.” Weaseled Biden, “The truth is, we and everyone else misread the economy.”

NO! “Everyone else” did not “misread the economy.” The Trends Research Institute read it correctly, and has been reading it correctly for decades.

“How often does the government have to be wrong, and how wrong do they have to be before people and the media stop taking them seriously?” wondered Celente. “The first spending package didn’t deliver as promised, and now Obama’s advisors want another stimulus, as if doubling up on failure will achieve success.”

“If we made forecasts as inaccurate as the Obama team’s and implemented similarly unsuccessful plans, and then tried to salvage the situation by repeating exactly the same mistakes, we’d have been laughed out of business long ago,” Celente said.
Celente contends there are but three possible explanations for President Obama and his “brilliant” team of economic advisors “misreading how bad the economy was”:

1. They’re ignorant, despite PhD’s and impressive resumes.
2. They are so arrogant they are incapable of acknowledging that anyone outside the incestuous Beltway circle could possibly get it right … when they’ve got it wrong.
3. They actually do know better, but are lying.

“None of these suffice as excuses,” concluded Celente, “but the inability or unwillingness to make accurate forecasts appears to be a Vice Presidential prerequisite.” This past January, departing VP Dick Cheney sloughed off his administration’s central role in accelerating the financial crisis and failure to head it off, claiming, “Nobody anywhere was smart enough to figure it out.”
The Greatest Depression is at hand. The stimulus, bailout and buyout packages being forced on the nation by an Administration that “misread how bad the economy was” will only lead to “Obamageddon”: The Fall of Empire America.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2009-07-09 07:45:00

“The plan is based upon false premises,” said Celente, Director of The Trends Research Institute, referring to White House projections used to sell the stimulus package to the nation.

What was the White House selling to America & the world back in 2003?

Oh, I forgot, that had no “economic” impact…

Comment by cobaltblue
2009-07-09 08:04:51

Your object of hate, “Bush”, has been out of office for some time. Now, Obama owns what Obama does.

Maybe you think the Obama Administration is some sort of “clean-up crew”.

Let me posit these notions:

You don’t clean up alcoholism by giving everyone 100 gallons of whiskey.

You don’t clean up “irresponsible” Bush deficits by creating twice as much deficit in 3 months.

You don’t solve a crisis of confidence in the USA with the greatest display of shredding the Constitution, and usurpation of Constitutional law, yet known to man.

Obama to date = a military medic who shoots the wounded in the head with his own pistol.
Problem solved. What me worry. We were voted in to do a job.

Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 12:24:42

There’s no way Obama or anyone else can fix this. There is just. no. way.

The dude is doing damage control, that’s all.

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Comment by ET-Chicago
2009-07-09 08:17:56

Now, now, we’ve been instructed to look over those years and proceed directly to the late ’90s when ascribing blame. The eight years in-between officially didn’t happen.

Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2009-07-09 09:44:17

Nobody’s instructing you to overlook the past eight years. The present mess is the result of a long, concerted, collaborative effort on all sides reaching back to at least the days of Bush Sr.

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Comment by ET-Chicago
2009-07-09 11:47:03

I prefer to reach back to the early ’80s, but there are many here who’ve been apologists for (or turned a blind eye to) one era or another.

 
Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2009-07-09 12:13:57

No doubt there were excesses under Reagan as well à la Boesky and Milken, but nothing like now. If the stock market ever goes back below 1988 levels, I’ll admit I was wrong.

 
Comment by Jon
2009-07-09 13:57:28

I was a big supporter of Reagan when he was President. Over the years I’ve come to the recognition that much of his political philosophy directly contributed to the current issues. Things like explode spending while cutting taxes (big deficits), globalization, rampant militarism, gutting regulations that were put in place for very valid reasons. He definitely had a huge presence in comparison with Carter though. Unfortunately at the time I was still young enough to think that was important.

 
 
 
Comment by Anonymous Coward
2009-07-09 11:24:59

I voted for Obama, and I couldn’t stand Bush, but I think your comment was out of place, Hwy. I agree with cobalt in his statement that Celente’s comments weren’t partisan. I mean, do you actually disagree with anything Celente said?

 
 
Comment by packman
2009-07-09 07:53:43

My bet is on #3.

Comment by packman
2009-07-09 07:55:05

P.S. I don’t really see a difference between #1 and #2.

Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 08:07:22

cobaltblue,

I think the President ( in Russia at the time ) has already somewhat temepered the VP’s comments. The way I read this is that they have the Approval Numbers to pull off just about ‘anything’ right now and they aim to cash in on that political capital.

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Comment by SFC
2009-07-09 09:09:39

What political capital? His numbers are falling off a cliff. I’m in the majority now!

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

 
Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 10:05:58

SFC,

As a Drudge fan I did read Scott’s take on that. Perhaps with his numbers flagging it creates all the more need for urgency? And that’s really what I was getting at.

WB seems to be supporting it, in general, while critical of the public/private tangent.

 
 
 
Comment by measton
2009-07-09 08:04:13

It’s obviously #3, if the gov told people the truth they would dig a hole and stick their head in the sand.

Comment by packman
2009-07-09 08:11:07

The government’s not afraid of heads in the sand. What they’re afraid of is pitchforks.

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Comment by measton
2009-07-09 08:41:55

I just people would hole up and stop spending money. I guarantee the gov is afraid of that. The pitchforks come later.

 
Comment by packman
2009-07-09 09:20:42

Yep - true. I was thinking more politically than economically; economically you’re right - the whole “green shoots” mantra is designed to try and get people spending again. Unfortunately it’s working, to some extent. That just means it’ll be that much longer before we get back to a sane economy again.

 
Comment by Kim
2009-07-09 09:52:30

“I just people would hole up and stop spending money. I guarantee the gov is afraid of that.”

I dunno about that. It seems every time the people stop spending, the goverment steps in and spends for us (a la talk of Stimulus Part Deux).

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 09:50:37

Ditto.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 09:48:43

“The inaccuracy of the forecast undermines the validity not only of the plan, but also of the planners.”

How does Mr. Celente know the economic picture isn’t perpetually ‘worse than expected’ by design (my assumption)?

 
Comment by Doghouse Riley
2009-07-09 10:09:56

4. No matter how badly their policies fail, the fawning media will continue to enable them.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2009-07-09 17:10:16

3. They actually do know better, but are lying.

They knew. They knew when they passed the bankruptcy “reform.”

 
 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-07-09 07:31:58

It doesn’t surprise me that people aren’t buying homes because of a fear of job loss . Stable jobs are the life blood of a City/State/Country .When are the Powers that run this Country going to admit that Globalism also had a hand in taking jobs away from Americans . It’s not how much credit a Country can give you to survive ,it’s what kind of jobs your Country can give you to survive . At the end of the day , the Corporate experiment with
Global wage advantage ,and Global investment advantage will prove to be
the undoing of the American system ,unless we return to some of the old ways . Screw Wall Street and all the other Fat Cats and the system that they are trying to hold on to ,the time has come for the Saving of
America .

Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 08:12:46

Housing Wizard,

When you’ve time, see Blano’s post above on mtg. Fraud in the Motor City! Absolutely hysterical. Pulled off w/ the same ease of a car jacking or your garden variety “smash & grab”. ( But there’s nothing wrong w/ the “system”? )

Right, it’s one thing to scream protectionism ( while hoarding jobs and resources etc. ) but quite another to make sure we don’t find ourselves giving away the last few decent non-REIC/non-Gov. jobs we have. We’re at the breaking point.

Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-07-09 10:10:23

DinOR …The second our President mentioned giving jobs to Americans only ,he took a ration of shit from the main stream
media for even making the comment .The same entities that created this big mess America is in are the same entities that control the information machine today . So what if you have a few articles that speak the truth ,you have 10 sound bites to offset the message .

It really got me when Ford wanted some Tarp money ,than went ahead and decided to build its new manufacturing plant in
Mexico ,(don’t know if they have done it yet or not ).

It’s funny how some people suggest that Americans need to get productive . How can you get productive when you have no decent jobs to get productive with and you have to compete with slave labor from other Countries ? Something has to give here . As long as the Politicians are not making laws and taxes and tariffs in order to bring back incentives for capitalism to favor American
based jobs again ,our Country goes downhill more and more .

Did the greedy money making machine ,during the boom, even think about how people were going to pay for all this easy money they flooded the market with . If the whole World played by the same rules ,and had the same wage scales ,maybe Globalism would of worked ,but as it stood ,it was just a way for Big Business and Wall Street to max it’s profits in the greatest sell out of America by
Wall Street and Corporate America one could witness .

No matter how cheap that crap is at Wal-Mart ,you still need a job to be able to afford that junk .OK, I’m over my rant .

 
 
Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 12:32:23

Hear hear, HW.

This whole stupid housing think is really just the tip of the iceburg. The only reason so many Repubs and Democrats have been touting homeownership as the path to “wealth” is because they both know there is no other path. If you can’t get income from working, then get it from buying and selling houses. I think the globe is about to sneeze, frankly.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 13:03:12

And I think the globe will also cut a smelly one at the same time.

 
 
 
Comment by packman
2009-07-09 07:33:42

Jobless claims report for last week is weird.

New claims fell a lot - to 565k - first time since I think last year they’ve been that low. However continuing claims rose by a lot - from 6.702M to 6.883M. This weird because this is reverse of the recent 3 weeks’ flat/downward trend, while new claims were up in the low 600’s.

Generally there’s some inaccuracy and volatility in these numbers anyhow of course - this week though there seems to be way more than usual that doesn’t jive.

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2009-07-09 09:49:59

IIRC, intial claims would have been for the week ending July 4 while the contuining claims lag that by one week or June 27.

And of course last week was a shortened week, with lots of peeps on vacay.

Comment by packman
2009-07-09 12:53:12

Wow - you’re right. I always assumed they were for the same week, but see now that there is a one-week lag in continuing claims.

 
 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2009-07-09 07:40:37

Hello from Denver, good beer drinking weather today, first thing I saw getting off hwy 285 @ Broadway…neon sign soliciting: “Reverse Mortgages” ;-) Rent signs everywhere…a lot of fellow train wacko’s hangin’ out at the DTC Marriot, doing our best to keep the American economic “engine” firing on all 5 cylinders (I think modern train diesels have x16, so we’re still movin’ but that grade up ahead looks mighty….long) ;-) I think that it’s a good thing that Denver has a lot of ill Americans and a large selection of hospitals & medical facilities to treat them at very reasonable prices… ;-)

Comment by In Colorado
2009-07-09 10:19:07

The MS is claiming that median prices are on the risein Denver:

denverpost dot com/theeconomy/ci_12772370

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 11:40:40

Reverse mortgages of today = the foreclosures of tomorrow. There’s a case of this just a couple blocks away.

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2009-07-09 08:05:02

Filed under: “Attack of the killer motor-scooters” …or… “breaking newa…Missing, worlds largest oil storage can” ;-)

“This morning’s bounce served notice that the equity and currency markets remain as formidable price influences to the oil,”

“…On Wednesday, bearish U.S. oil data highlighted how weak demand is in the world’s largest energy consumer.”

“…U.S. diesel and heating oil stocks have swelled to their highest level in almost 25 years after jumping by 3.7 million barrels last week, data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed.”

Geez, “supply & demand” …just aren’t the ” deciding” factors of what they used to be… ;-)

BWAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHHAHAHAHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!! (fpss™)

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2009-07-09 08:10:27

PS,
Way, way, up in the Colorado Rockies elevation 10,221′ …small little town…unleaded $2.40… when we left Orange, CA…$2.91…must be very difficult to get millions of gallons of a product to a city at sea level with goods roads and millions of end users at a competing price with a village in Navajo country… ;-)

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2009-07-09 09:09:54

Hwy, part of that difference is Cali’s state gasoline tax is 18 cents a gallon higher than Colorado’s.

http://www.api.org/statistics/fueltaxes/ then click on the pdf link.

Don’t know how long you’ve been on the road but gas here has come down 10 cents a gallon in the last week.

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2009-07-09 09:14:49

I suspect that taxes are the culprit there, Hwy50

Comment by Bad Chile
2009-07-09 12:18:25

I wonder if some of the difference is the cost of the state required formulation difference bewteen CO and CA?

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Comment by measton
2009-07-09 08:44:32

Attack of the motor scooters, I love it.
I drove 25miles yesterday and didn’t burn a drop of oil on my electric scooter. OPEC,Chavez, EXXon, FEDs Halliburton didn’t get a dime.

Comment by tresho
2009-07-09 09:48:40

didn’t burn a drop of oil on my electric scooter
Tell us where you can get free kilowatt-hours to charge the thing, inquiring minds want to know.

Comment by ACH
2009-07-09 10:14:26

25% of it is uranium 238 transmuted to plutonium 238 by fissioning of uranium 235. The other 75% is prolly coal and dino lugy.

Roidy

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Comment by drumminj
2009-07-09 08:24:15

Version 1.3 of the Joshua Tree Extension is available: http://home.avvanta.com/~drumminj/joshuatree.html

There really aren’t functional changes over 1.2, however, the dependence on cookies has been removed (it uses a different mechanism to keep track of the new comments). I’d urge all of those using the extension to upgrade to this version to knock Ben’s bandwidth bill down a few pennies (the cookies get sent to the server every time you load a page from thehousingbubbleblog.com).

For those not familiar with the JT Extension….it’s a nifty little add-on to Firefox web browser for navigating this web site. You can find details at the link above.

Comment by hip in zilker
2009-07-09 09:44:12

I highly recommend the (well-named) JT extension, if there’s still someone not using it. I’ve used it exclusively since the first time I tried it, just got around to upgrading to 1.3.

I still use Safari for everything else, but Firefox with JT extension is now my dedicated HBB browser. Very handy.

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-09 10:08:47

Thanks, hip. I appreciate the endorsement :)

 
Comment by hip in zilker
2009-07-09 11:55:23

I forgot to mention:

It makes everything easy

 
 
Comment by VicthebrickV
2009-07-09 12:30:27

JT extension = Joshua Tree Extension??

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-09 15:02:25

yes

 
 
Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 12:40:45

But won’t that make it harder for people to click on Ben’s ads?

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-09 14:59:37

How does anything make it harder to click on the ads? The extension doesn’t modify the ads at all. Check out the list of features on the website. It just modifies how posts are displayed to make it easier to navigate.

Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 15:35:20

You guys should all try it. Download the new thing and then click on the ads. Report back to tell me if it was harder or not.

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Comment by drumminj
2009-07-09 15:41:46

Because you lose the list of new comments? You could always ctrl+click (or cmd+click on mac) and open the ad in a new tab. Heck, that’s what I do when clicking on pretty much any link, as I usually don’t care to lose my place in wherever I came across the link.

It doesn’t make that *harder* or worse than it is w/o the extension.

 
 
 
 
Comment by robiscrazy
2009-07-09 15:50:01

Upgraded to 1.31 today. Thanks for the JTE drumminj. It’s a handy tool.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 16:20:22

I’m loving it. Great tool!

 
 
Comment by Sweeping Changes
2009-07-09 17:49:43

works well drum

 
 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 09:03:22

I am merry and giddy thing morning, ’cause my mom and sister are visiting from Utarr! I went and fetched them from SeaTac yesterday and then we went to Trader Joes. (Utarr has no Trader Joe’s, them backwards primitives. Poor souls, languishing in spiritual darkness)

I loaded up on chocolate, cheese, and wine! While reminding myself that in only 2 short months (hopefully) WE will have a Trader Joe’s here in Olympia! Over on westside. Ohhhhhh, the wonderfullness…
And then I shall never ever leave Thurston county again, forever and ever, because there will be no reason to do so.
Traffic was hidjus.
Driving around through Tacoma and Burien I saw a gazillion ‘for sale’ signs. Plus a plethora of empty commercial buildings, with large ‘Available’ posters sagging in the windows, some quite dusty in appearance.
Or maybe I only hallucinated that part of the trip, because after all, how could such things be? Everyone knows ‘it’s different here’, right? Right…?

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHA!

Comment by DennisN
2009-07-09 10:00:19

I am merry and giddy thing morning

Olygal is channeling West Side Story this morning.

Have you met my good friend Oly-a,
The craziest girl on the block?
You’ll know her the minute you see her,
She’s the one who is in an advanced state of shock.

It must be the heat
Or some rare disease,
Or too much to eat
Or maybe it’s fleas.

Trader Joes is promising a “place for us” in Boise “someday” - recall how that turned out in West Side story.

 
Comment by mikey
2009-07-09 11:01:52

…and this 8 year old girl has access to candy, beer and a driver’s license ?

Are their NO LAWS in Washington State !?!

;)

Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 13:17:00

Don’t forget the cheese. I got about 20 pounds of cheese as well.
Truly, Trader Joe’s is my Holy Temple. :lol:

 
 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-07-09 14:30:52

I don’t wanna join any club….blah, etc. (Groucho).

 
 
Comment by DennisN
2009-07-09 09:27:08

Here’s a really oddball story. GOOD NEWS about selling out a subdivision of new homes. Guess why?

HINT: low prices.

http://www.idahostatesman.com/newsupdates/story/828078.html

As of Wednesday, all 26 homes under construction at Silvertip were sold. Seven more were sold in the past week, but construction on those homes has not begun.

“We thought we’d be successful, but we didn’t anticipate we’d sell this many,” said Aaron Van Der Aa, vice president and general manager of Meridian-based Hopkins Financial Services, which is funding the project.

The project rose from the ashes of an earlier failed Kuna housing development financed by Hopkins. Hopkins foreclosed on that project when the developer’s plan for selling construction-ready lots priced at up to $80,000 produced just two sales in one year.

… Prices at Silvertip begin at $84,900 for an 850-square foot, two bedroom, one-bath, two-car garage home, and top out at $119,900 for a 1,663-square-foot, four-bedroom, two-bath home.

Smith said the biggest seller has been the $99,000 model, with 1,180 square feet, three bedrooms, and two bathrooms.

Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 10:11:42

DennisN,

The ironic part is, aside from bubble pricing on materials and all the “because we can fees” from the city, this is exactly what homes this size should have been selling for in 2005.

Of course when you have builders paying 80, 100, 150k just for the LOT it’s a little hard to deliver affordable housing? ( Hint, it was LAND bubble! )

Comment by DennisN
2009-07-09 11:19:19

But isn’t this what the country really needs?

Imagine this. A mortgage holder forecloses on a bunch of ready-to-build lots. Rather than cry for a bail-out, they build some modest houses on them and sell them cheap.

Comment by DinOR
2009-07-09 12:14:41

DennisN,

Oh I agree! I’m -very- heartened to see homes come on line at that price point. Our in-laws grew up in Nyssa, OR and they think the Salem/Molalla area is like the f@cking Riviera!

There was ‘never’ the incomes to support bubble prices for the Treasure Valley. Never.

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Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 12:48:02

Ya know, I think those prices are still a little bit too high. Those are some seriously small houses, and in Idaho to boot.

 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2009-07-09 10:12:24

I motored for 60 miles this morning without seeing a single house. Guess I have no on the water bubble news to contribute today.

OK, old lighthouses don’t count.

Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-09 12:03:13

well, were you actually on the water? If so, that explains it… :)

 
 
Comment by waitinginCT
2009-07-09 10:15:15

Report from Stamford/Norwalk CT

Over 20+ “Office Space Available or For Lease” signs on one street (5 blocks long) in downtown Stamford (home to UBS & RBS!).

Rents are dropping in all the “luxury” rental apartments and offers of a free month.

Have seen 3 panhandlers at I-95 exit ramps.

Trumps condo tower still not completed…

Oh, but they’re still building!

 
Comment by Lost in Utah
2009-07-09 10:50:27

Well, so far I’m 3 for 3 on low-balling rentals in Bozeman, MT.

#1: $2800, came down to $2000 (trophy house)
#2: $1400, came down to 1200 (furnished, very nice)
#3: $2500, came down to 2000 (trophy house)

I know I can do better, but I don’t like seeing people cry. These were all just first offers, no haggling at all. I’m going to keep this up until I can find someone who will pay ME to live in their house…

Comment by InMontana
2009-07-09 13:57:52

Keep it up, Losty. They are really, really hurting. Bozeman and the Flathead worst hit so far.

 
 
Comment by SaladSD
2009-07-09 11:03:45

How’s the weather? Here’s some dark humor for the day.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/retailers-weather-excuses-just-a-snow-job

Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 11:52:13

Does that mean that they’ll mark their junk down to just three times what it’s really worth?

 
 
Comment by measton
2009-07-09 11:38:48

New bailout program

The program won’t be transparent for ordinary citizens, despite widespread criticism of the fuzzy disclosure of terms in other Wall Street bailouts. Treasury will provide quarterly reports, but it doesn’t plan to disclose whether the assets are selling for 10 cents on the dollar of their face value, or 30 cents , or any other reference price.

“There is a great deal of competitive information that needs to be protected,” the senior Treasury official said. “It’s a process we’re working through now.”

Trillions of dollars worth of bad mortgage-backed securities sit on bank balance sheets, but banks have refused for almost three years to sell them at giveaway prices.

It’s not clear whether Treasury will compel banks with the most taxpayer bailout money — Citigroup and Bank of America — to sell their bad assets. Banks may prefer to try to grow their way out of their predicament, which would shrink the ratio of their bad assets against their total loans over time, but delay their returning to robust lending.

More than 100 firms applied to be qualified fund managers. The nine were selected after a two-month evaluation process. They now have four to 12 weeks to raise at least $500 million each in capital to bid on mortgage-backed securities. The pools of mortgages accepted for auction in the Treasury plan must have had the highest rating — AAA — at the time of issuance

 
Comment by DennisN
2009-07-09 11:48:09

Here’s a story about a new twist in real estate scams. The plot thickens - or is it sickens?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090709/ap_on_re_us/us_cemetery_desecration

workers at the Burr Oak Cemetery in Alsip allegedly dug up more than 100 graves, dumped the bodies into unmarked mass graves and resold the plots to unsuspecting members of the public.

Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 13:05:37

Disgraceful!
And yet another reason (previously expounded upon in yesterday’s bits) to not go for the ‘lying there getting soggy in the dark’ option.
You can’t even kick ‘em when getting desecrated. I like to be able to kick when getting desecrated.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 12:20:13

Beware of geeks bearing grifts.

New York Times
Lawmakers Warned Against Expanding Fed’s Power
Article Tools Sponsored By
By EDMUND L. ANDREWS
Published: July 9, 2009

WASHINGTON — Two economists with long-standing ties to the Federal Reserve warned Congress on Thursday that it would be a mistake to give the Fed broad power to supervise “systemic risk” and financial institutions that are deemed “too big to fail.”

In what is shaping up as a fierce political battle that cuts across party lines, one of the central bank’s most prominent historians told a House panel that the Federal Reserve had consistently failed to recognize financial catastrophes until they were well underway.

“I do not know of any clear examples in which the Federal Reserve acted in advance to head off a crisis or a series of banking or financial failures,” said Allan H. Meltzer, professor of economics at Carnegie-Mellon University and author of a comprehensive history of the Fed.

In written testimony prepared for the House Financial Services Committee, Mr. Meltzer ticked off a long list of financial meltdowns — the Latin American debt crisis of the 1980s, the savings-and loan collapse of the early 1990s, the collapse of the dot-com bubble and the recent binge in reckless mortgages — and argued that the Fed had either failed to take preventive action or made things worse.

“We all know that the Federal Reserve did nothing to prevent the current credit crisis,” Mr. Meltzer said. “It has not recognized that its actions promoted moral hazard and encouraged incentives to take risk.”

An even broader warning came from John B. Taylor, a top Treasury official under President George W. Bush who was considered a potential candidate to succeed Alan Greenspan as chairman of the Federal Reserve.

Mr. Taylor argued that expanding the Fed’s power as a super-regulator, responsible for monitoring risks across the economy as well as regulating giant financial institutions, would create conflicts of interest, reduce its credibility and jeopardize its political independence.

Giving the Fed broad new responsibilities, Mr. Taylor warned, would dilute and complicate its central mission of controlling the nation’s money supply to keep inflation low and employment as high as possible.

“My experience in government and elsewhere is that institutions work best when they focus on a limited set of understandable goals,” he said in his written testimony, adding that the Fed’s credibility had already been damaged by its messy role last year in getting Bank of America to acquire Merrill Lynch.

Comment by packman
2009-07-09 13:46:10

+WhateverIsTheLargestNumberInTheWorldAndThenAddAFewMoreForGoodMeasure

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 12:22:43

Has anything like this ever been attempted before?

The Boston Globe
Frank proposes home loan plan for jobless
$2b program part of package designed to prevent foreclosures
By Jenifer B. McKim
Globe Staff / July 9, 2009

Congressman Barney Frank wants to prevent unemployed homeowners from losing their houses by giving them government money to pay their mortgages.

The Newton Democrat, chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, will hold a hearing in Washington today on his proposal to spend $2 billion to prevent foreclosures on borrowers who don’t qualify for other mortgage aid programs because they are unemployed. The funds would come in the form of loans, and borrowers would have to pledge their homes as security.

The catalyst for the proposal is a growing jobless rate that reached a 26-year high of 9.5 percent in June, Frank said.

“It’s not a forgiveness program,’’ Frank said yesterday in an interview with The Boston Globe. “We do have serious unemployment.’’

Comment by NYCityBoy
2009-07-09 12:25:53

This man is psychotic, pure and simple. He is crazy as a loon.

Comment by SFC
2009-07-09 13:23:20

What happens if someone has a bunch of equity but can’t get a loan because of unemployment? Barney gives them a loan, then he forecloses when they miss their 1st payment, sells the house at a profit, pays off the bank and Barney keeps the rest? Anything sold for less than owed will be eaten by the taxpayers.

 
 
Comment by Kim
2009-07-09 12:34:20

“borrowers would have to pledge their homes as security”

Anyone else seeing holes in that plan?

Comment by DennisN
2009-07-09 15:55:44

Government gets a second mortgage, OR Congress passes a new law making the government’s security interest SENIOR TO the original mortgage.

 
 
Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 12:53:13

But aren’t the houses already pledged to the BANK as security?

Comment by packman
2009-07-09 12:59:47

Exactly - I’m scratching my head over that point.

How can someone use something for security that they don’t even own a portion of?

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 13:59:30

Jul 9, 2009, 1:52 p.m. EST
GOP trashes bill seeking $6.5 billion TARP for homeowners
Democrats press bill to use bank bailout funds for loans and neighborhoods

By Ronald D. Orol, MarketWatch

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Republicans on Thursday lashed out in opposition to legislation that would require more than $6.5 billion of funds from the federal government’s bank-bailout package to be used to help troubled homeowners and neighborhoods on Main Street.

“We need to restore fiscal discipline,” said Rep. Spencer Bachus, R-Ala., the ranking member of the House Financial Services Committee, during a hearing of the panel. “Treasury needs flexibility and this won’t give it to the agency.”

The legislation, introduced by Rep. Barney Frank, D-Mass., would require that some remaining funds from the Troubled Asset Relief Program — a key component of Washington’s efforts to restore stability to the banking system — be allocated to help expand housing opportunities and assist in mortgage modifications.

The legislation before the House is known as the “TARP for Main Street Act of 2009.”

Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 15:38:49

Well, now isn’t that calling the kettle black. If it’s OK to be fiscally undisciplined by handing out trillions of dollars to bad banks, then isn’t it OK to do the same for individuals? I’m not saying that either is a good idea, but if we’re kicking in for the one, then we ought to kick in for the other, no?

I’m also a little confused by the concept of “fiscal discipline” being tied to “flexibility”.

All’s I know is that none of this is gonna stop what’s happening. It just can’t.

 
 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 12:41:09

Stop the presses, everyone, here’s a real estate fraud story from Tucson:

http://www.azstarnet.com/sn/hourlyupdate/300314.php

When I sought financing to buy the Arizona Slim Ranch, I used one of the mortgage companies mentioned in the above article. Although they seemed okay at first, once the transaction really got rolling, they were beyond bad. So bad that I wrote an op-ed for the local weekly business publication.

The op-ed ran in 2006, and I didn’t mention the name of the company. Well, I just placed a call to the editor of said publication, and I left word that I’m now willing to publicly identify the company.

So, Slim may well get caught up in a very public story. Wish me luck, people.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 15:16:07

I just got off the phone with a reporter from the local business publication. He was quite eager to hear about my experience with this now-in-deep-tapioca mortgage company.

Will keep you posted on where this goes…

 
 
Comment by OCBear
2009-07-09 13:35:41

If I am gonna post that interest rates have dumped, I darn well post when they ZOOM.

10 YEAR INTEREST RATE UP 12.4 BASIS POINTS AFTER BEING DOWN 17 THE DAY BEFORE.

The 2 day Volatility of nearly 30 Basis Points is wild and very rare but the net seems irrelevant.

/shrug

Comment by packman
2009-07-09 13:52:13

I noticed that as well. The 30-year rate was interesting as well - returning exactly to where it was the day before yesterday.

Must be interesting times in the auction room. One of these days I’d like to find the time to analyze the results that are published.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 14:34:13

Earthquake warning in global currency markets:

Financial Times
China attacks dollar’s dominance

By George Parker and Guy Dinmore in L’Aquila, Krishna Guha in Washington and Justine Lau in Hong Kong

Published: July 9 2009 19:03 | Last updated: July 9 2009 19:03

China has launched its highest-profile criticism of the dominant role of the US dollar as a global reserve currency at a meeting of the world’s biggest economies.

Dai Bingguo, Chinese state councillor, raised the issue on Thursday when he joined the leaders of four other emerging economies for talks with the leaders of the Group of Eight industrialised nations – including US President Barack Obama – in the earthquake-damaged Italian town of L’Aquila.

The remarks, in front of Mr Obama, caused concern among western leaders, some of whom fear that even discussion of long-term currency issues could unsettle markets and undercut economic recovery.

”We should have a better system for reserve currency issuance and regulation, so that we can maintain relative stability of major reserve currencies exchange rates and promote a diversified and rational international reserve currency system,” said Mr Dai, according to the Chinese foreign ministry.

While he did not name the dollar, Mr Dai was unequivocal in calling for the world to diversify the reserve currency system and aim at relatively stable exchange rates among leading currencies.

The dollar weakened in early trading, although it was difficult to tell whether this was due to the Chinese remarks or cross-currents in risk appetite and economic data.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2009-07-09 22:46:12

I guess I don’t understand international currencies and their valuations but it seems to me that a “reserve” currency comes about by people the world over trusting to some extent the long term value of a specific currency. Various countries spouting off about the need for other types of reserves when they manipulate their own currencies vis-a-vis the dollar seems ingenuous at best and duplicitous at worst.

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 13:39:53

Is anyone else on this blog totally flummoxed by the twisted plethora of announced and unannounced bailouts, which have churned collapsing financial markets into an unstable sea of frenzied froth? Before the bubble popped, I had a pretty clear idea of where things were headed, but at this point, the interaction of market fundamentals with unlimited rescue attempts in pursuit of ill-defined policy objectives has left my head spinning.

Comment by Big V
2009-07-09 15:43:09

It’s like watching yet another take on Romeo and Juliet. You know exactly how it’s gonna end, but you’re still interested to find out how they get there.

Comment by Olympiagal
2009-07-09 15:46:26

It’s like watching yet another take on Romeo and Juliet. You know exactly how it’s gonna end, but you’re still interested to find out how they get there.

This here is the money quote of the day, to my mind.

Comment by llcarlos
2009-07-09 16:05:55

All are punished.

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Comment by Sweeping Changes
2009-07-09 18:02:18

@PB
Is it the Bush legacy or is it the new administration?
Is it Pelosi and Frank or is it the greedy snakes on wall st?
I heard income taxES are going up 1.5 % tomorrow. yippee

 
 
Comment by measton
2009-07-09 15:02:33

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Media executives at the exclusive Sun Valley conference in Idaho see the depressed economy taking years to turn around, News Corp (NasdaqGS:NWSA - News) Chief Executive Rupert Murdoch said on Thursday.

I’m shocked at the business mood, which is talking about either that we’re at the bottom or going lower, but that it’s going to take years and years, like five years at least, before we see any real growth coming out of this,” Murdoch told Fox Business Network television in an interview at the conference.

He can’t be that shocked as posted on Bloomberg

July 9 (Bloomberg) — News Corp. Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Rupert Murdoch said the media company will wait until the economy recovers before considering acquisitions, preserving its more than $6 billion in cash in the recession.

“I don’t see an end to the downturn, and I can’t predict when we’ll start to see a rebound,” Murdoch said in an interview yesterday at the Allen & Co. media conference in Sun Valley, Idaho. “It’s better to hold onto what we’ve got until it’s clearer when there’s an end.”

 
Comment by DennisN
2009-07-09 16:15:30

A week or two ago we discussed the demise of Crabtree & Evelyn, the peddlers of $6 bars of soap.

Now it’s the turn of it’s the turn of Smith & Hawken, the peddlers of $60 shovels and rakes.

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2009/07/09/BUAD18LQ5S.DTL

Nearly 30 years after the first Smith & Hawken store opened in Mill Valley, the gardening retail chain is being closed by parent company Scotts Miracle-Gro Co., which said it will drop the brand by the end of this year. …

Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-07-09 17:16:43

Sixty bucks for a rake? What is it? Gold plated?

Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-09 18:00:32

Nah its imported maca/cacawood from the deep jungles of the mysterious congo

Sixty bucks for a rake? What is it? Gold plated?

 
Comment by DennisN
2009-07-09 18:56:16
 
 
Comment by yensoy
2009-07-09 20:25:34

My favorite is Lush. $10+ for 100g of lowly soap. Tax on the stupid.
I hope they go out of business soon.

 
 
Comment by Muggy
2009-07-09 17:37:59

Testing the JT add-on.

Testing link

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-09 18:10:40

That your site, muggy?

Comment by Muggy
2009-07-09 18:44:38

The Co. I freelance for :grin:

Love the add-on, BTW!

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-09 18:48:46

Love the add-on, BTW!

Thanks! Yeah, it’s a whole ‘nother experience when you can ignore the posts by that ‘Ben Jones’ guy!!! :)

(Kidding, Ben, kidding!!)

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Comment by aNYCdj
2009-07-09 23:11:15

Muggy:

I worked for this guy when i was a pup:

http://www.idelsounds.com/page/Gershon+Kingsley

 
 
Comment by robiscrazy
2009-07-09 18:05:02

Maybe OT, but did anyone see Bill Moyers interviewing William K. Black back on 7/2/2009. Classic! Black called Bernie Madoff a “Piker” compared to the Ponzi scheme run by the Feds, Banks, and Wall Street.

Here’s the video on yt:

tinyurl.com/3dfhxv

Here’s the transcript:

pbs.org/moyers/journal/04032009/transcript1.html

Comment by robiscrazy
2009-07-09 19:36:30

Think I blew it. Here’s the PBS video of Moyers and Black

youtube.com/watch?v=Rz1b__MdtHY

 
Comment by robiscrazy
2009-07-09 20:03:06

Last try. I messed up on my tiny url. Here’s the yt video:

http://tinyurl.com/ct9xwn

 
Comment by sweeping changes
2009-07-09 20:30:50

sobering article.

 
 
Comment by Liam
2009-07-09 19:01:57

It’s always nice to have nice possessions but it you can’t afford it then don’t buy it. Do not spend more than you earn, it’s really simple.

The things you own end up owning you!

Do you really go to work and get paid just to see your money gone instantly towards paying off a new flat screen TV, expensive car or truck etc. Think about that next time your stuck in work and bored with your job………..the only reason you are there is to pay off your debts, your not working to make money, your working to throw money away and pay high interest rates on credit cards.

Cut your credit cards up and throw them away, don’t buy a product if you can’t afford it, don’t buy now pay later…..be smart and don’t fall into that trap.

Open a savings account and put a little to one side, then you will see the real benefits to saving rather than getting into debt. If you want to start a new career then you can do so with the help of a little cash in a high interest savings account. You can change your life around at the drop of a coin.

The guys that market products like pick-up trucks, cars etc. just love it when you walk into a show room and say, “Yes I want it NOW” ! Why? Because it doesn’t cost anything………………… until the next month when you realize the real damage you did to your bank account. Oh and, “Yes i will take the huge wheels to go with it”, that will be a few thousand dollars more please ! You’ll be going to work to pay for 4 wheels ! Think about it, how stupid is that!

Save people, save, save, save….

Mute the TV when the commercials come on….

Throw those credit cards in the bin…

If the bank automatically increases your limit on your line of credit then call them and tell them you don’t want it….

Your future will be positive if you be smart and stop working for nothing !

Comment by sweeping changes
2009-07-09 20:34:08

That more we save the more they will tax, but I will save enough to pay my tax instead of buying a truck.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 20:36:41

Does this prediction take into consideration the massive incentive Uncle Sam faces to reflate housing prices, or the probability such a scheme would work after fundamental (end-user) housing demand has cratered and so many reflation schemes already planted and watered with Fed-provided liquidity have failed to bear fruit? (I have no idea how to assess these factors, but know they are potentially critical to predicting where the collapsed bubble is next headed.)

P.S. I don’t know to which regions of the US the writers refer, but based on list prices, homes are still overvalued relative to incomes in San Diego. (They seem to be selling at a considerable discount to list, though, or perhaps it is just that the higher-priced homes take somewhere between a long time and forever to sell.)

Financial Times
Insight: US property market central to economy
By Gillian Tett

Published: July 9 2009 18:38 | Last updated: July 9 2009 18:38

A couple of weeks ago I visited West Virginia, USA, where some friends of mine run a small real estate business. As we sat in their yard on a balmy summer evening, I heard how realtors in this pretty, small town had been devastated by the housing crash.

So far my own friends have dodged the worst with canny financial footwork. And they cheerfully insist that the town can survive the wider damage, as long as prices stabilise or rise. “But if prices fall further, it will be terrible,” one realtor declared – before insisting “we really don’t think that’s likely. Nothing can keep going down for that long.”

Is that assumption justified? That is the $6,000bn dollar question, not just for West Virginia, but the wider financial system. After all, it was a turn in the US property market that triggered the financial crisis. And while many other financial disasters have since followed, the state of the US property market remains crucial to the banking world as a whole.

For not only does the health of the US consumer – and thus economy – remain tied to housing, but western bank balance sheets are tightly tangled up with property too. Most notably, America’s largest banks, such as Bank of America, JPMorgan and Citi, continue to hold a vast quantities of residential and commercial property loans on their books, in addition to all those loans that they previously repackaged as bonds, and sold on. So do numerous small banks.

And while the prices of mortgage-linked bonds have already slumped to reflect house price falls, the value of many tangible loans have not been fully marked down, because they are lodged in hold-to-maturity books – and the banks do not believe that prices will continue to fall. Indeed, in the town that I visited in West Virginia, some local bankers are refusing to sell foreclosed properties, because they think prices will soon rise. Thus, if prices fall instead, it can only mean one thing: yet more bank pain.

So will US property prices stabilise? Not if you believe a startling presentation I saw this week from a large, global financial group. This particular bunch of analysts – who have done a remarkably good job at predicting the credit crisis during the past four years – are currently warning their clients to expect a peak-to-trough fall in US residential prices of more than 40 per cent in this cycle.

The good news is that in some US regions, prices have already fallen so sharply – often by more 30 per cent – that property is already very affordable, relative to incomes and on a historical basis.

But the bad news is that houses are not yet cheap enough to prevent more price falls. On the contrary, this particular team of analysts thinks that when the problems of excess house inventory and rising unemployment are added into the model, average US house prices will still fall by another 14 per cent in the next few years – on top of the declines seen so far.

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 20:57:06

Is it fair to conjecture that the Fed will do what it can to prop up housing prices, in order to help prop up the (derived) value of collapsed MBS and let banks offload the massive weight of toxic legacy assets off their balance sheets? After this is over, housing prices will presumably be allowed to continue their descent, as there is no fundamental (aka end-user) demand at current prices (at least in our necka da woods).

 
Comment by rms
2009-07-09 22:20:18

The good news is that in some US regions, prices have already fallen so sharply – often by more 30 per cent – that property is already very affordable, relative to incomes and on a historical basis.

The bad news is nobody wants to live there.

I was recently in San Luis Obispo, CA; it’s still a nice place. Then I visited friends in Fresno and Modesto, which are in survival mode. Modesto’s poor neighborhood homes are now selling at or below 1997 prices, but you have to live there. No thanks!

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 21:01:57

Wall Street Journal

* ECONOMIC FORECASTING
* JULY 10, 2009

Few Economists Favor More Stimulus

By PHIL IZZO

Most economists believe the U.S. doesn’t need another round of stimulus now despite expectations of continued severe job losses.

Just eight of 51 economists in The Wall Street Journal’s latest forecasting survey said more stimulus is necessary, suggesting an average of about $600 billion in additional spending. On average, the economists forecast an unemployment rate of at least 10% through next June, with a decline to 9.5% by December 2010.

The Wall Street Journal’s latest forecasting survey shows most economists oppose another round of stimulus (43 against, 8 for), despite forecasts for lingering double-digit unemployment until at least June 2010. WSJ’s Phil Izzo and Kelsey Hubbard discuss.

“The mother of all jobless recoveries is coming down the pike,” said Allen Sinai of Decision Economics. But he doesn’t favor more stimulus now, saying “lags in monetary and fiscal policy actions” should be allowed to “work through the system.”

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 21:03:49

Wall Street Journal
* JULY 10, 2009

California Seeks to Redo Contracts
State Asks Vendors to Cut Prices as Part of Effort to Close Budget Deficit

By SABRINA SHANKMAN and RYAN KNUTSON

More than 2,000 vendors who supply the state of California with everything from computers to cornstarch are being asked to cut their contracted rates by as much as 15%, as the government seeks to close a $26.3 billion budget deficit.

Meridian Food Services owner Rebecca Kitchings received a fax from the state’s Department of General Services Wednesday night.

“We need your help!” said the letter. An attached worksheet invited the Riverside-based contractor to list ways she proposes to cut the costs of her $15,000 contract to supply cornstarch to prisons. ( Read the letter and see the worksheet .)

“Oh, for heaven’s sake,” Ms. Kitchings said in an interview. “It’s a contract. If something happened to my company and I said, ‘I mis-bid that and I need another half a penny,’ they’d say no way.”

Ms. Kitchings plans to ask her manufacturer to cut costs, she said, but other than that there is little she can do. Ms. Kitchings said a 2% to 2.5% profit margin on food contracts is considered “fairly successful.” Cutting 15%, she said, would be impossible. “There’s nothing I can take out,” she said.

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-07-09 21:07:23

Since Megabank, Inc won’t accept CA IOUs, I have a simple suggestion:

The state should collectively stiff Megabank, Inc by encouraging homeowners with underwater mortgages (many of which were funded by Megabank, Inc’s subprime securitization sump pump) to walk away en masse. Let Megabank, Inc take back their dilapidated, underwater collateral and enjoy selling it at fire sale prices.

Comment by drumminj
2009-07-09 21:15:29

Why *should* MegaBank, Inc, take IOUs? Two wrongs don’t make a right, ya know?

Just because Megabank, Inc, deserves a good stiff kick to the baby-maker doesn’t mean that they should pay face value for a piece of paper of questionable quality (yes, we’re drowning in irony here).

Comment by alpha-sloth
2009-07-09 23:24:54

3.75% tax free. Sounds too good to be true….what don’t I understand? Oh, it’s guaranteed by the CA gov……

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Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-07-09 22:18:55

I don’t know how we got away from the ‘balanced budget concept for households . For instance ,in days gone by ,the Experts use to say that 25% should go to housing ,10% should go to savings ,10% should go to recreation ,5% to clothes and 15% to food and 10% to health care ,etc etc. Accordingly ,credit was extended by banks based on ratios .

As long as the credit machine continues to breach their duty to extend credit in a sane matter ,my fellow spenders have the potential of affecting my life ,just like they did with the price of real estate . Anybody that doesn’t think that the actions of all the people don’t end up affecting each and everyone is wrong . America is like a big bee hive .

Comment by alpha-sloth
2009-07-09 22:57:20

The world is like a big bee hive.

 
 
Comment by drumminj
2009-07-09 22:25:54

Did I miss a discussion about this?

Banks buying back TARP warrants at a discount

http www marketwatch.com/story/banks-buying-back-tarp-warrants-at-discount-panel

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2009-07-10 04:02:02

quiz

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2009-07-10 04:04:51

Wave of mortgage scams flooding FBI
By JEFF OSTROWSKI

Palm Beach Post Staff Writer

Thursday, July 09, 2009

MIAMI — The FBI’s Miami field office received 5,155 reports of suspected mortgage fraud in 2008, trailing only Los Angeles but ahead of San Francisco, Chicago and New York, the FBI said Tuesday in a report on loan scams.

Popular scams in a slow housing market include reverse-mortgage schemes that victimize seniors and “builder bailouts,” in which builders offer hefty incentives to buyers but don’t disclose the lures on loan documents.

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2009-07-10 04:23:46

More trouble ahead for housing
Posted Jul 09 2009, 01:27 PM by Anthony Mirhaydari Rating: Filed under: housing, Anthony Mirhaydari

Although Wall Street’s focus has turned to other matters, the housing crisis continues to smolder and burn like an abandoned campfire ready to reignite. Heck, the banks are even restarting the mortgage repackaging business — once again turning questionable loans into “investment grade” securities.

But just as we look the other way, the next phase of the housing crisis is about to begin according to new analysis by hedge fund owner and value-investing guru Whitney Tilson. Since home prices peaked in 2006, the Case-Shiller Home Price Index has fallen 34%. This, of course, was driven by a huge spike in defaults and delinquencies among subprime borrowers as interest rates and payments reset.

In a recent update to his housing overview from last December, Tilson says the next phase will be driven by prime and Alt-A borrowers who owe more than their house is now worth. The catalyst will be ongoing job loss, falling wages, and rising interest rates. Add to this a huge wave of Alt-A loan resets over the next five years. The result: Home prices will fall another 10%, possibly more. Read More…

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2009-07-10 05:06:59

What`s wrong with that? Suit claims housing discrimination by Fresno firm July 10, 2009 7:55 AM ET

All Associated Press news FRESNO, Calif. (AP) - Civil rights attorneys are filing a federal lawsuit claiming two classified ad companies discriminated against families with children by publishing advertisements for housing that stated kids weren’t allowed.

The National Fair Housing Alliance and the Fair Housing Council of Central California filed suit in a U.S. District Court in Fresno Thursday against Nevada-based American Classifieds, LLC, which also has a free classifieds newspaper called Thrifty Nickel.

The suit also names Want Ads of Visalia, Inc, which does business as American Classifieds.

Lawyers claim the companies violated state and federal fair housing laws by sending out papers with more than 60 advertisements including phrases such as “No kids allowed” or “Adults only.”

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2009-07-10 05:08:58

500 last

 
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