October 5, 2009

Bits Bucket For October 5, 2009

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383 Comments »

Comment by aNYCdj
2009-10-05 06:38:07

Am i the lucky ONE today?

Comment by lavi d
2009-10-05 10:18:56

Am i the lucky ONE today?

Many shall comment, but only on shall be chosen.

Comment by GrizzlyBear
2009-10-05 10:45:14

What are you on?

Comment by lavi d
2009-10-05 12:15:20

What are you on?

You know what they say, “Ignorance is bliss”.

I’m a pretty blissful guy.

:)

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Comment by lavi d
2009-10-05 13:14:00

What are you on?

OH jeez - I just saw that…

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Comment by GrizzlyBear
2009-10-05 13:21:13

LOL

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Michael Viking
2009-10-05 06:44:27

Gold vs. Paper Money

Obviously the guy’s a gold bug but I find his stuff interesting nevertheless. He fails to point out that if one uses his services all they have is a piece of paper saying they own gold though. Is Egon von Greyerz a nut? The goldswitzerland site looks bogus to me, somehow.

 
Comment by arizonadude
2009-10-05 06:46:54

anyone buy a home over the weekend.Hurry or you will miss the tax credit!!!!!!!!They aren’t making anymore land.

Comment by Bad Chile
2009-10-05 07:16:41

I knew there was something I was supposed to do this weekend. Ooops.

Comment by DD
2009-10-05 10:56:54

Memory is the 2nd thing to go.

I forget the first.

 
 
 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 06:48:25

Finacial Armagedaoon post. ( Oly, how do you spell gaugue?)

“In the end, none of this bodes well for an economy whose fortunes are (still) so closely tied to the spendthrit ways of the U.S. consumer. In fact, once the man in the street figures out that, despite the sorry state of his finances, he is the one that is being counted on to rescue the economy, that’s when the real trouble will begin”.

Comment by Kim
2009-10-05 08:14:21

“In fact, once the man in the street figures out that, despite the sorry state of his finances, he is the one that is being counted on to rescue the economy, that’s when the real trouble will begin”

That pretty much sums it up, doesn’t it?

Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 09:30:49

Financial armageddon! Anybody read crazy Jim Willie lately? Obviously, his shtick is hawking gold, but he’s getting further out there lately on subject of end times for the U.S. financial “system.”

Comment by GrizzlyBear
2009-10-05 10:44:13

I was just reading an article last night where the guy is talking Dow 2700. I laugh out loud thinking of it raining bankers down on Wall St. should such a scenario play out.

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Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 11:56:42

Hah, as for flying banksters, this video has been floating around. Can’t remember if I saw it here or maybe on patrick.net.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yge311sFhC8

 
 
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2009-10-05 09:12:51

And yet the stock market is rallying once again, in spite of fundamentals and the fact that they are counting on Joe sixpack to spend money he doesn’t have and can no longer borrow.

Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 09:43:56

Easy cancer cure. More cancer! Or at least speculation.

 
Comment by az_lender
2009-10-05 09:52:54

just a buncha people dumping depreciating dollars

Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 09:57:40

Speaking of depreciating dollars, now that there’s a relative calm after the most recent drops, anybody else wondering if we’re in for a sudden, Icelandic- or Argentinian-style devaluation? Maybe time to put the nest egg (the house downpayment money) in some other currency? Some Icelanders must have sensed it coming and did so.

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Comment by GrizzlyBear
2009-10-05 10:49:07

I have no reason to fear a plunge in my net worth- I’m not making a run at Warren Buffett anytime soon- but if I did, playing the currency game would frighten the heck out of me. I could see going all in on something else, only to see some huge dollar rally wipe me out. I think I need to learn a little more about currency trading.

 
Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 11:43:45

Yes, my fear, too. And if I bought gold the same would happen, or it would be gold-plated bronze.

I have been developing a pet theory, though. The signs and hints are out there that the greenback is going to get knocked off its pedestal in the not-too-distant future. You hear it from too many sources (the Russians, the Chinese, the Euro crowd, etc.) now to just ignore.

What if? And where do they go? I’m thinking that our pals the Chinese and the Russians are eager to dump us and tilt the balance of power (once China buys up all it reasonably can in the U.S.), and the Europeans will go along because they wouldn’t mind a return to glory, and they’re sick of the U.S.-UK money boys pushing them around.

But what currency has the potential status and cultural stamp of authority, if not the dollar or the pound?

Can’t be the yen, or the yuan/renminbi, or ruble. Rest of the world would never go for it. Can’t be some nameless “basket.” Too flaky and diffuse, no sense of order there.

But if you’ve read Dostoevsky (and I’m sure there must be other examples), you know how the Russians have long looked up to Europe and particularly the French. They respect their culture and have always felt left out. Let’s say they get behind the euro … would China not jump right in behind, as they so often have? Bet the house on the euro?

 
Comment by packman
2009-10-05 11:49:23

But what currency has the potential status and cultural stamp of authority, if not the dollar or the pound?

IMF SDR’s.

They’re not there yet, but gaining. IMO they will be the ultimate victor. We are on that path.

Currently these are comprised of 4 different currencies, including 44% US $. However that mix expires next year, and China is asking for the next mix to include Yuan as a 5th currency, and for the mix to be evened out at 20% each. I doubt they’ll get that, but it’ll be closer to it than the current mix.

 
Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 12:02:26

Not sure one could stuff a wad of IMF SDR’s in one’s pocket, but I can see the point. There won’t be, like, a pale blue helmet on them, will there, lol?

Where do you think we end up if dollar is at 20% in the mix?

 
Comment by Northeastener
2009-10-05 12:26:22

But what currency has the potential status and cultural stamp of authority, if not the dollar or the pound?

I’m guessing the Yen will be a short-term replacement. The new government is already talking about a “strong yen” policy to try and spur consumption and they are a nation of savers, i.e. they have money to spend on consumption.

 
Comment by packman
2009-10-05 12:35:50

Not sure one could stuff a wad of IMF SDR’s in one’s pocket

Physical paper bills are about 0.000001% of international trade.

(Legal trade, at least)

IMF currency could end up being an interesting test case, in being the first currency that has no paper representative; instead being only used electronically. Just conjecturing though, based on trends.

 
Comment by Dan
2009-10-05 13:15:01

For as I remember I bet on euro. I don’t understand that talk about IMF SDR. When they dump the dollar it will be hell of a dumping, they will dump the IMF with its SDR and the World Banks with its biased prediction (not to say destructive for the rest of he world) how the financial crises will be worst in the least suspecting sideline viewers – Chinese , Russians and Indians an east europians.

 
Comment by SaladSD
2009-10-05 15:07:16

Okay, HBBers, what’s a girl to do? I have a modest amount of cash from an old IRA I had to rollover, and I’ve been basically in limbo, and just have it parked in a no-lo interest savings account with Schwab until I decide what to do. ANy suggestions? Everything seems so topsy-turvy. I really thought the stock market would go below 7,000 this year and yet it keeps reanimating like a zombie, since none of the bad financial news has shot it in the head…..

 
Comment by DD
2009-10-05 18:18:13

ZOMBIE market.
Good luck salad. I am still not back in with 401k from CU to actual funds. I am expecting a October surprise.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2009-10-05 06:49:09

“If you tighten regulation of the banks even more without dealing with the shadow sector you could make the problem even worse.” ~Sheila Bair

October 5, 2009

FDIC chief Sheila Bair says that reducing the shadow banking system and regulatory arbitrage is her top priority for the U.S. Congress as it works on legislation to revamp U.S. financial oversight this fall.

“Shadow Banking System?” Capable of bringing down the mainstream banking system? There’s more to what’s happening in the world of mega-money and banking than meets the eye. Bair seems to be signaling us about it.

Comment by packman
2009-10-05 06:53:31

“Shadow banking system” = code for Megabanks’ competition?

Comment by FB wants a do over
2009-10-05 07:40:06

Terrorists

Comment by Silverback1011
2009-10-05 08:04:20

What the he double ell is the ” shadow banking system ” ?

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Comment by FB wants a do over
 
Comment by packman
2009-10-05 09:22:45

FWIW - it appears my snarky remark was actually somewhat opposite of the truth. From looking at that Wikipedia link, it appears the PTB are more intertwined with the SBS, rather than competing with it.

 
Comment by polly
2009-10-05 10:08:42

Whatever the wiki definition is, the problem the FDIC chief is worried about is the process by which loans are made by people who are not subject to any regulation and who do not hold on to the risk related to the loans that they make for any length of time. She is right to warn us about it. In that system, there is no incentive to make sustainable loans. No incentive to make sure than anyone can pay the money back. No reason to worry about what happens to the people whose capital is used to make the loans.

When I was young lawyer, the partner who took lead on securitization transactions refused to sign off on any deal where the creators of the bonds did not hold on to at least the worst 10% of the mess as an equity tranche. I sat through their whining on innumerable conference calls.

I sincerely doubt the firm (despite our lofty status and superior reputation) would have kept the business if other reputable places would have given opinion letters on much looser terms. What I really want to know is, what happened to that requirement? I think I know one factor (check-the-box regulations on corporation vs. partnership status for purposes of taxation), but it isn’t likely it was the only one. What else happened?

 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2009-10-05 10:56:47

“What else happened?”

Greed happened. On a scale we’ve never seen before.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-10-05 14:26:16

“In that system, there is no incentive to make sustainable loans.”

What if loaning money that was unlikely to never be repaid was certain to result in a loss, instead of potentially resulting in a bailout of some sort? Would that be an incentive to avoid making unsustainable loans?

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2009-10-05 15:00:35

Depends on who the maker of the loan thinks will be taking that loss. Even if it’s them, it may also depend on the time lag between the bonus/paycheck and the loss. People screw themselves next Tuesday for a hamburger today all the time. If somebody else is going to take the loss, so much the better.

 
Comment by polly
2009-10-05 16:34:15

Prof Bear,

Only matters if you care about your reputation going forward. And if you think people will be able to connect the name of your old firm that screwed them to the name of your new firm that hopes to screw them.

At some level, the amount of money that they are making is so huge, it doesn’t matter if you get caught and can’t do it again. Now, if you want to talk about no bailouts and serious clawbacks of all remuneration paid to everyone (whether they were in charge or not) involved going back two decades or more, then maybe we are talking….

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-10-05 19:21:32

When Corporations can go Bk after the short term greed hounds take their money and run , after they pump up their stock ,it’s a system that needs the highest policing and regulations ,not to mention controls on leverage requirements .

 
Comment by CA renter
2009-10-06 04:09:43

At some level, the amount of money that they are making is so huge, it doesn’t matter if you get caught and can’t do it again. Now, if you want to talk about no bailouts and serious clawbacks of all remuneration paid to everyone (whether they were in charge or not) involved going back two decades or more, then maybe we are talking….
————————

I like your thinking, polly…and yours, too, Wiz.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Matt_in_TX
2009-10-05 19:00:30

And some IG is complaining that Paulson told a white lie about how stable the banks are. On which planet is it the Treasury Secretary’s job to yell fire in the fireworks warehouse?

 
 
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-10-05 06:53:43

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,559961,00.html

Get a job in basketweaving, expect basket weaving salaries.

And people wonder why they cant get jobs. We dont need more liberal arts, we need more engineers…

Funny the guy in the caption has a history degree…

Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 07:07:11

Hi Step !!

Couple day old post. Didn’t want u to miss. Know you are on limited time. My Hero, you are, in my mind. :)
ATE

Hi Step!

What? Explain man ’splain!!

A camel spider the size of a small dog just crawled out from behind my desk.

Oly and me would like one for a pet.

Shorty would think he was his buddy too!

Seriously, when I get back from the game, I am going to reasearch that sh*t.

Camel Spider the size of a dog…

Cool.

Comment by Olympiagal

Yes, I want to know too. Size of a small dog? Like, if you got enough of them and harnessed them all to your wheelbarrow you could zoom up and down the road, hollering, and sometimes screech to a halt to jump on a deer or the mail-lady for a quick sip?
I can visualize it perfectly!
Man, think of the majesty. I bet none of my friends have of one of those.

Spiders are very neat-o. Although I must confess that at this time of year I get a tad less enamored of them, because every September massive hordes of orangey-tinted spiders pop up and weave big round webs everywhere, festooning the forest like you wouldn’t believe.
It’s even worse this year, because I won’t ever kill spiders and only bring them tenderly outside and sometimes even pack them a sack-lunch before I fondly release them into the wilderness.
Evidently the news has got out, because I can’t walk ANYWHERE without yelping and skipping back and batting at my face.

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-10-05 07:23:33

A camel spider is HUGE, they can get as big as two of your hands. They are fast as hell and they will chase your shadow. They usually dont bite unless you are trying pick them up or you scare them while they are running across your body at night. We love to pit them against scropions or small mice we find running around here. We have yet to see anything beat them. They will fight anything that gets close to them, but they usually run from humans. When they run, they put up their front legs so it looks like huge fangs in the air and it scares the crap out of me..

We keep one in a box we call G.I. Joe, he is the one we cant find anything else to beat.

BTW…

In a port-O-potty yesterday, a soldier from the Stryker Brigade was taking a crap next to a cobra….He didnt get bit, but we had to put a team to examine the crappers every morning!

Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 07:34:53

That is so cool Step. So cool.

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Comment by Stpn2me
2009-10-05 07:40:52

The check This out..

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Camel_spider

The name derives from Latin, and means those that flee from the sun.

the latter two relating to the belief they use their formidable jaws to clip hair from humans and animals to line their subterranean nests

Nice, eh?

We have to put things up on beds or on closets or desks to make sure things dont crawl into boots or sleeping bags…

 
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-10-05 07:49:16

Other stories include tales of them leaping into the air, disemboweling camels, screaming, and running alongside moving humvees;

Stories my ASS, I just had to comment on this from the article…

I have personally seen G.I. Joe jump what had to be a full foot into the air. I have seen them running beside MRAP’s and Hummvee’s as they pass on a road. Eating camels or screaming is another story, but the other’s I can personally vouch for…

And I dont doubt they can scream… :)

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 08:34:02

Step:

I read it and saw it re picture.

They look like a Machine From Hell.

Cool.

Thanks Step! :)

 
 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2009-10-05 07:51:45

If you bloggers haven’t googled “camel spider” and seen some of the pictures, you’re in for a treat, or a scare if you have arachniphobia.

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Comment by Silverback1011
2009-10-05 08:06:48

OMG ! I just googled for the pictures, and had to shut it down immediately…..shuddering.

 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2009-10-05 08:19:36

Yeow! I looked the Wickipedia link up. Twice the size of your hand!

I was scared once by a golden-colored spider in the Mojave Desert many years ago in my 20s. I was in my living room lit only by the boob tube and I was sitting on the carpet. Somehow I saw the outline of that spider coming at me. Wasn’t one that Stpn2me sees over on the other side of the world. this was about one and a half times the size of an American Eagle gold coin. Was pretty fast too.

The scarier part is that I could not find it again that night. It probably crawled into the sofa.

 
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-10-05 09:34:02

OMG ! I just googled for the pictures, and had to shut it down immediately…..shuddering.

Everyone in the room with me laughed like hell at what you said Silver! :)

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 09:58:41

I know this comment is coming in late, but if you guys think giant spiders are scary, check out this. It’s called a “potato bug”. Freaking disgusting.

http://www.potatobugs.com/

 
Comment by Jim A.
2009-10-05 10:32:11

Bill in LA When I was living in a really crappy apartment once, I wondered why the VCR was fast forwarding. Closer inspection revealed that there were roaches inside of it crawling in front of the LED display.

 
Comment by Al
2009-10-05 10:58:27

So today we’re talking camel spiders, potato bugs and roaches. Step up from RE agents?

 
Comment by fecaltime!
2009-10-05 11:38:43

In the past, I bought my kids Potato bug lunchboxes and shirts from that website. I haven’t seen a potato bug for several years now. Then hide in usually.

fecaltime!

 
Comment by San Diego RE Bear
2009-10-05 13:13:52

“I know this comment is coming in late, but if you guys think giant spiders are scary, check out this. It’s called a “potato bug”. Freaking disgusting.”

We have those where I lived in Orange County growing up and here in East County SD too. They’re totally harmless, just very scary to look at. Still, it’s just about all I can do to scoop them up in a cup and take them outside. Scorpions and tarantulas bother me far less.

Funny thing is, most people think “potato bugs” are what I would call roly-polies and give me funny looks when I say I’m afraid of them. Rolies I can pick up barehanded, never a potato bug. But I did keep one overnight once and gave him a chunk of raw potato. By morning he had eaten about half of it and I let him go on the hillside above my house.

A good picture of camel spiders is here:

http://www.snopes.com/photos/bugs/camelspider.asp

Just be aware the camera angle makes them look a lot bigger than they are.

 
Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2009-10-05 15:59:41

When we were kids living in South San Francisco, we would hike up the hillside in our back yard (the other side says South San Francisco The Industrial City) and dig underground forts. Found a lot of potato bugs. Mom calls them Jerusalem cricket.

Fun fact from the potato bug web site:

The common Potato Bug is also known as the Jerusalem cricket. Our Native American friends call him “Woh-tzi-Neh” (Old Bald-Headed Man). In Latin America, he’s “niña de la tierra” (child of the earth). Other names include: Satan’s fetus, the Devil’s spawn, the Devil’s child, the Devil’s baby, the Devil’s fetus, evil fetus, bald devil fetus, bald fetus of Satan, and earth fetus.

 
 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 08:52:40

Hey Step, (and I know Oly and Shorty will agree with me), why don’t we start a business where we blue-print and nitrous 10 mph Camel Spiders?

Hell we could race them and sh*t.

Be millionaires overnight, and get them up to 20 mph, easy.

Then, well steroids, whatever…

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Comment by Olympiagal
2009-10-05 16:38:23

You are just super full of good ideas, there, 8! :roll: :)

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 17:22:42

:)

 
 
 
Comment by lavi d
2009-10-05 12:32:41

because I won’t ever kill spiders and only bring them tenderly outside and sometimes even pack them a sack-lunch before I fondly release them into the wilderness

Oh my gosh. This is exactly what I do with spiders. Except for black widows. Them, I whisk up with the broom and dump them unceremoniously over the wall into the “greenbelt” in the hopes a bird will eat them.

When I lived in Tucson, I occasionally had to “relocate” (from the bedroom) tarantulas. Tequila goes a long ways towards making this task seem normal.

Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2009-10-05 16:01:27

I’m the spider catcher in the house. I catch them and put them outside.

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Comment by Olympiagal
2009-10-05 16:36:32

Oh my gosh. This is exactly what I do with spiders.

I already knew yer neat-o, but now I think so even more so.

Except for black widows. Them, I whisk up with the broom and dump them unceremoniously over the wall into the “greenbelt” in the hopes a bird will eat them.

I bet if you were to peek over your wall there’d be a writhing rug of black widows over there, interspersed with a few clean-picked bird skeletons…

When I lived in Tucson, I occasionally had to “relocate” (from the bedroom) tarantulas. Tequila goes a long ways towards making this task seem normal.

Why were tarantulas always to be found in your bedroom? Do I want to know? :)

Alas, tequila is something I must shun. It makes me want to cut my hair, for some reason. No other delicious beverage has this effect upon me. I learned this first in Puerto Vallarta, when I tried tequila for the first time. I was lucky I accidentally dropped my scissors off the balcony. By the time I got down the stairs and out to the cobbled street they were gone. Otherwise I would have been bald as an egg in a couple of hours, I bet. But if you’re not similarly afflicted, I can see how tequila would help.
Say, I recently read a book ‘Man Eating Bugs’ and it said that tarantulas taste like chicken. Hairy chicken.

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Comment by DD
2009-10-05 18:21:39

All spiders, BUT the black widow and her eggs, get released to propagate, but the widow. I am the widow squisher and egg squisher.

 
 
 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-10-05 16:29:00

Haysooos Kreestos, no me gusta!
Jeeze, if I met a camel spider rushing out to get in my shadow I can just imagine the outcome–I would start screaming, my shadow would start screaming even louder and then climb up on my shoulders and never come down again.
Everyone would say ‘You know, there’s something a little wrong with you, but I can’t quite figure out what it is….

Thanks for the exciting tale, Stpn. Better than coffee on a sluggish afternoon.

 
 
Comment by scdave
2009-10-05 07:23:59

Just like you learn “discipline” in boot camp, IMO, getting through college is in many cases is about “learning how to learn”…Taking that skill set into your future (along with just showing up ready) probably gets you 90% there assuming we don’t have a severe recession like right now…

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2009-10-05 07:32:54

Yes, and while specific skills are in demand today there are also many schools right now ramping up their relevant programs and sooner than later there will be a flood of “qualified” graduates for each and every field named in that article. It happens every time.

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-10-05 07:37:56

sooner than later there will be a flood of “qualified” graduates for each and every field named in that article.

I sort of doubt that. There has been a shortage of math related disiplines for years, even in bad times. I think there will always be shortages for the hard sciences. Kids today are just too lazy…

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Comment by aNYCdj
2009-10-05 07:46:05

Step:

And they are taught being ghetto is cool…..so its a combination of school systems not aiming high and the flood of media to be cool, equals lazy

—————–
Kids today are just too lazy

 
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-10-05 07:58:13

+10000000

 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2009-10-05 08:10:29

Please note my qualification of the word qualified.

 
Comment by In Montana
2009-10-05 08:47:46

Math is the key. These kids can’t do it, think it’s impossible to learn, therefore they “don’t like” it. They won’t get far without it.

 
Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 09:11:45

Hey, only certain kinds of people can do serious math! I think it truly is impossible to understand for the majority of the population, including yours truly.

That’s why we have a tech class, but the rest of us have no idea what they’re really doing. So the only test is the loyalty test. Under Prez Shrub, I think that test expanded to all branches of expertise!

 
Comment by In Colorado
2009-10-05 09:19:39

There is no shortage of “math related disciplines”. This canard is being told to justify bringing in more H1-B workers, while American engineers remain unemployed.

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 10:04:35

Well, I have a life science degree (don’t know if that’s considered “math-related”), and am acquainted with a passle of engineers and physical scientists, and I can tell you that salaries have gone into the shitter for those disciplines. Unemployment is ridiculously high amongst highly educated chemists, physicists, etc. The only way you can get a job is to be a Chinese H1-B visa holder. One guy I know lost his job to a Chinese citizen who was willing to do all the work for his PhD, but then just not write the thesis. The reason for not writing the thesis was that the company could pay him 25% less because he only had a Masters, even though he did the work for the PhD.

No one wants to get a hard science degree because everyone knows that the government will just sell them out if they do.

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 10:30:42

“And they are taught being ghetto is cool…..so its a combination of school systems not aiming high and the flood of media to be cool, equals lazy”

If THAT is not hitting the nail on the head, I do not know what is.

 
Comment by jfp
2009-10-05 10:39:05

High school was a bit over a decade ago for me, but I’d like to comment on this. There are two problems. The first is the previously mentioned ghetto mindset, which says “don’t try to be successful in mainstream America, you’ll be excluded, make money by being a criminal.” This appeals to kids because on the surface it appears true, it’s certainly easier, and it appeals to a certain youthful rebelliousness about sticking it to the people that you perceive (at the time) to be responsible for your lot in life. This problem is cultural, and can only be solved by individual communities.

But there is another problem: the way math is taught. Math is almost always taught as a bunch of formulas to memorize outside of any real world context. This poorly serves the vast majority of students, who are only interested in math as a tool to be applied to practical problems. They see most of the content as being irrelevant to anything they could possibly care about, and they are correct.

This also poorly serves students who would actually be interested in math for its own sake, however, because what gets budding mathematicians hooked is seeing a puzzle and solving it. Having a bunch of stupid formulas regurgitated on a board is also irrelevant to them. They don’t care about the results, what they’re interested in is how you got there.

So, mathematics education fails both groups. If you’re interested in the topic, this article explains it much better than I have (warning, lengthy and a PDF):

www .maa.org/devlin/LockhartsLament.pdf

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 10:54:11

Don’t like much PDF so I did not read it, but good point jfp

 
Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:07:06

www .maa.org/devlin/LockhartsLament.pdf

jfp. you are so correct on both counts.

I want to know ‘how I got there, and apply it to things for me’.
See
Hear
Read
Write
Touch
Smell

Repeat.

 
Comment by Skip
2009-10-05 11:58:59

passle of engineers and physical scientists, and I can tell you that salaries have gone into the shitter for those disciplines.

I have friends that work at HP (former EDS employees). They are having their pay cut for the second time. Paycuts range up to 30%.

Kids are not stupid. They see how the math/science/engineering graduates are treated by industry.

 
Comment by jfp
2009-10-05 13:14:27

Kids are not stupid. They see how the math/science/engineering graduates are treated by industry.

Our society seems to most highly value entertainers and financiers that innovate new forms of fraud. These are the people that kids see as successful and will attempt to emulate. I remember reading about how the author of Liar’s Poker was somewhat horrified when he heard that kids were inspired to work on wall street by his book.

 
Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2009-10-05 16:02:51

“Kids are not stupid. They see how the math/science/engineering graduates are treated by industry.”

+100 skip.

 
Comment by CA renter
2009-10-06 04:46:14

jfp,

You are absolutely correct in your post regarding math instruction.

Former teacher here, and former struggling math student, too…

———————-

Also agree about the myth of the “mathematician shortage.” I’ve known plenty of scientists at the PhD level, and they are NOT paid anywhere near what very average and uneducated people were making as realtors, mortgage brokers, entertainers, etc., etc.

On top of all this, China and India are flooding the labor market with math/engineering graduates. I fail to see how forcing more of our kids into these same majors will benefit us (as a society, and the students as individuals) in the least bit.

What makes the U.S. strong is its ability to be flexible and nimble as economic forces change. A diverse workforce enables us to move to where the opportunities are in a much more efficient fashoin.

 
Comment by CA renter
2009-10-06 04:47:17

fashion

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2009-10-05 07:42:33

And in 5 years they will be lucky to get $70K in this job.

——————————————
Baker needs employees with backgrounds in city management and a grasp of the building codes needed to design energy-efficient buildings. Yet even a salary of $140,000 for senior researchers isn’t drawing enough qualified applicants.

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Comment by scdave
2009-10-05 08:06:26

grasp of the building codes needed to design energy-efficient buildings ??

And there-in the problem…I live in a older area that was originally settled by the mission Padre’s…While all of the adobe buildings are gone the late 1800’s and turn of the century homes are not only doing quite well thank you they are some of the most expensive homes in our city…Building codes, just like ordinances, civil code and the criminal laws are self serving…It isn’t about health & safety, and has not been for a long time…Its about money & public sector jobs…

 
Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:09:11

Poway has an adobe house that is still functioning quite well.
And friends parents house is adobe and over 60 yrs old and doing quite well.
Adobe. No need for chinese drywall.

 
Comment by scdave
2009-10-05 13:56:41

And friends parents house is adobe and over 60 yrs old ??

The Mission Padre’s settled California in the late 1700’s I believe…I don’t think they could withstand 200 + years without massive intervention…

 
Comment by SaladSD
2009-10-05 15:22:27

That’s true. Already by the mid 1800s most of the missions in California basically melted away from the elements and sat in ruins until there was renewed interest in preserving them. There’s a series of paintings done in the late 1880s that show their condition at the time. And even with restoration they are at risk. There’s a mission just north of San Luis Obispo that took a huge hit from a recent earthquake and the entire wall of the cathedral is being propped up with boards.

 
 
Comment by seattlerenter
2009-10-05 09:46:03

Ha funny they mention accounting I am working on my accounting degree, many business majors right now, but most are not sure what area they will study at this early stage. My guess is accounting will fare best I hope and maybe finance at the bottom of the list. I cross my fingers everyday their will be work when I graduate. But most have no clue about the basics and no clue about economics in general, my guess is they just want the high salary but have no passion or interest in the actual subjects.

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Comment by GrizzlyBear
2009-10-05 12:16:39

“…my guess is they just want the high salary but have no passion or interest in the actual subjects.”

I think that’s a recipe for a miserable life. Of course, one could always change professions, but my point is that it is of utmost importance to be passionate about what you do- especially when you’re paying good money for the opportunity.

 
 
 
Comment by Captain Credit Crunch
2009-10-05 07:37:39

Eh, yes, but becoming mathematically mature can take a long time. Engineering and physics can’t be learned in a day of research on the net, but finding out who killed Custer and why probably can. I can’t take a history major for any of my positions. I must have a math, statistics, or computer science major.

Comment by az_lender
2009-10-05 10:02:10

Jeez, maybe I should be actually looking for a Real Job. OTOH, if I took something with a $60K salary, I’d probably get to keep less than half of it (because other income sets the marginal tax rate pretty high). Sell my freedom for an extra $2500/mo. Nope, don’t think so.

az_lender (two math degrees)

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Comment by awaiting wipeout
2009-10-05 08:14:22

I am taking a class in reasoning right now. I’ve always needed to structure my ideas and opinons better, and this class is helping me. Inductive vs. Deductive Reasoning and Analogies. I am learning a lot. Memorization is easy for me.

Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:10:33

Where, awaiting?

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Comment by awaiting wipeout
2009-10-05 15:01:50

DD
I am taking it at a local university, but you can take it at a jc, or a *law school (*if they will let you).

 
 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2009-10-05 17:15:02

Is that reasoning, as in modus ponens and modus tonens (or tolens)?

Actually it’s a good class. Had it in general ed under Philosophy. It was one of my favorite classes and it even helped me understand some higher division math.

One thing I like is the notion of disproof by counterexample. All you need is one example of something that disatisfies a premise and a statement can be proven false.

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Comment by awaiting wipeout
2009-10-05 18:22:08

I had Philosophy in gen ed too, but this class is based on Reasoning you take the first year of law school. It’s a different flavor. The Professor is an Attorney.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Skip
2009-10-05 07:32:05

When ever an article in MSM claims a need (”shortage”) for engineers it is a load of BS.

Unemployment rates in Silicon Valley are higher now than after the dot com blow up. In fact there are soo few engineering jobs that companies have not yet used up the 95,000 H1-B visas allowed this year.

Pure propaganda.

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-10-05 07:43:49

I dont know skip…

It may be oversaturated in Cali, where there were once high salaries, but I bet in Montana or North Dakota, there are the low wage ($25 an hour) engineer jobs you could want!

Comment by aNYCdj
2009-10-05 07:48:00

But then you can AFFORD to buy at $25hr…$1k week 52K yr x 3 165-175K house?

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Comment by Stpn2me
2009-10-05 07:57:07

Well, that’s the catch 22 isnt it? In those area’s, $25-$50 an hour buys alot….

 
Comment by In Montana
2009-10-05 08:50:27

not where the engineering jobs are..$165k “house” is a condo or rowhouse with no yard. Just sayin.

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2009-10-05 11:58:45

I’m of the opinion that a five year moratorium be put on H-1B (and similar) Visas.

Or, making all applications subject to the approval of the US Representative where the job is based, and make the approval process part of the public record.

I find it difficult to believe that in a country of 300 million people, there is NO ONE qualified to fill these positions

Unless the “No one qualified” has the addendum “that will work at a Third World payscale” attached to it.

 
Comment by lavi d
2009-10-05 12:38:40

I find it difficult to believe that in a country of 300 million people, there is NO ONE qualified to fill these positions

I once read one of those Visa (!) Card “Priceless” parodies of H1-Bs. I won’t pretend like I’m going to repeat it verbatim, but it went something like this:

Wording an ad for a software engineering position with all the newest technologies that no one person could possibly be qualified in - $150.

Using said ad to show compliance with federal guidelines in order to justify an H1-B quota - $250

Getting an Engineering student from India to work for $56k/year - Priceless!

 
Comment by polly
2009-10-05 13:39:08

Bingo, Fixer. They either want someone who will work for peanuts, or someone who has basically already done the exact same job before. I’m sure there are plenty of people out there who have the basic qualifications they need and have dealt with building codes before. They just haven’t yet memorized those exact building codes and they don’t want to deal with someone who will take a few months to be at speed. Now perhaps they are dealing with very atypical building codes, like the ones you would find in an earthquake zone, but that is what training is for. It is cheaper for management to demand the current people work 80 hours a week than it is to hire people who are close to what they need and provide training. They can demand a non-compete clause to protect their “investment” if they like, they just don’t want to spend the money.

Businesses have to learn that remaining a slave to quarterly results is self-defeating over the long term. Fix the damn bonus structures and they might just figure it out.

 
 
Comment by scdave
2009-10-05 07:55:16

there were once high salaries ??

Oh they are still here, they are just in the public sector not the private…I just heard over the weekend that the public sector is now contributing over 40% of GDP…How can we sustain this ?? Are we just going to tax the private sector into oblivion ?? Maybe someone could data mine for the accuracy of this…

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Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 08:13:14

47% of people pay no federal income tax. Nada, zip, zilch. Which means 47% of voters will always vote to raise the taxes of others. (amazingly enough Obama’s approval rating is around 47%-50%…hmmmm).

So to answer your question, yes we will eventually tax the private sector into oblivion.

But that’s OK. Because as I have been told over and over by such well respected economists as Micheal Moore and Keith Olbermann, government always knows best and can run the economy just fine.

 
Comment by scdave
2009-10-05 08:33:38

Yeah…Bush & Cheney really showed us the way didn’t they Eddie…You neo-cons are all alike…Never take “any” responsibility for your own actions….

 
Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 08:48:52

Public sector can’t outsource to Bangalore … yet.

 
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 08:59:21

Do libs have anything other than “yeah but Bush did______” when discussing an issue? It’s getting so old and tired. Bush was even somehow blamed for the colossal failure of King Obama to bring the Olympics to the Chicago machine.

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 09:43:20

I think the CA EDD has been outsourcing their call center.

Inywayz, it’s not the President’s job to “bring” the Olympics to the United States, for crying out loud. Chicago made a bid, some other cities made a bid, and Rio got the position. Good for them. WHO CARES?

 
Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 10:02:04

Really, really, we get the Olympics, FWIW, every decade or so, it seems. But South America, never! Let’s see, vacation plans … um, Rio on the left hand, Chicago on the right. Gotta think this over! I think this is overblown as some great defeat for Obama. Can’t see why he wasted his time, though.

 
Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 10:04:43

That true? Wow. Like they say in NYC, “Dere oughta be a lore!”

 
Comment by FB wants a do over
2009-10-05 10:37:23

Indian Outsourcers Eye Contracts from U.S. States

Infosys, Wipro and HCL hope to win some of $2 billion in outsourcing contracts from ten American states

By Jessica Mehroin Irani and Pankaj Mishra

Infosys Technologies, Wipro and HCL Technologies are among the software service providers that are laying foundation for the next round of multi-million dollar orders from the big US corporations, by pitching for low-value, but politically important US state governments’ orders.

Infosys, which counts JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley as clients for its services, bids for Arizona Public Service’s (APS) 400 positions, who work in its information-services department, and another 400 or so contractors to raise the staff strength for undisclosed amount.

Nine other US states, some from where politicians opposed offshoring work, are looking to outsource their healthcare operations worth over $2 billion, said Wipro chief strategy officer KR Lakshminarayana, and the company hopes to get a slice of these.

“The discussions are not about offshore outsourcing, but more about working with newer outsourcing vendors, who can deliver locally and keep the jobs here at lower rates,” said a senior executive at one of the Bangalore-based tech firms exploring this opportunity. Many US states such as Missouri, Virginia and Arizona, which are battling falling revenues amid the worst economic slump in their country since the 1930s, are attempting to reduce costs and at the same time want to increase employment opportunities for their citizens. So, they are including clauses such as recruitment of minimum number of staff from their states.

Indian companies, which were used to contracts of hundreds of million-dollars at one go, are bidding for these low-value orders since their traditional clients are cutting down on technology spending and at the same time provides visibility, which would be helpful in getting big orders when tech spending recovers.

“The marketing muscle that comes from such contracts is huge and working with the US state governments send out a signal of importance to other customers,” said Siddharth Pai, managing director of outsourcing advisory firm TPI’s India unit. “For the Indian IT companies this is not a core business, but it creates a halo effect,” he added.

While the global government IT outsourcing market is estimated to be around $100 billion, experts tracking the sector said the US state governments could outsource projects worth up to $5-6 billion this year. States, which in the past opposed the outsourcing of work to Indian companies by the likes of Microsoft and Citigroup, are now turning to the same Indian companies, as their mission now is in line with that of the companies cut costs.

 
Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 10:51:06

Whew, I’m relieved now. I just misunderstood the meaning of “outsourcing.” It really means “outsourcing,” not “outsourcing.”

“The discussions are not about offshore outsourcing, but more about working with newer outsourcing vendors, who can deliver locally and keep the jobs here at lower rates,” said a senior executive at one of the Bangalore-based tech firms exploring this opportunity.

 
Comment by Al
2009-10-05 11:09:36

“The discussions are not about offshore outsourcing, but more about working with newer outsourcing vendors, who can deliver locally and keep the jobs here at lower rates…”

= working around PS unions.

 
Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:14:28

eddie, the reason is, eddie, neocons can’t seem to quit lying,cheating,stealing and telling the world how good they are with saying NO.Do libs have anything other than “yeah but

 
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 11:47:40

Dude, you own the entire show now. And yet 9 month into it your 1st instinct is to blame the last guy. Grow up.

 
Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:51:00

Grow up.

You first.

 
Comment by Skip
2009-10-05 12:03:49

http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/09_41/b4150034738024.htm

How the System Works

American corporations may be unknowingly doing business with tech services companies that underpay and otherwise mistreat workers. One example of alleged wrongdoing:
THE WORKER

Indian software programmer Prasad Nair moved to the U.S. in 2008 on a work visa. He claims he was offered a job in Michigan at a salary of $60,000, plus medical insurance and travel expenses.

THE SPONSOR
United Business Technologies in Troy, Mich., sponsored Nair’s visa, but, he claims, forced him to sign a new contract requiring him to pay visa and travel costs. UBT denies any wrongdoing.

THE STAFFING AGENCY
UBT sent Nair to a tech services outfit, Larsen & Toubro Infotech, to find him a job. Larsen & Toubro, which is not accused of any wrongdoing, declined to comment for this story.

THE CLIENT
Larsen & Toubro placed Nair in a job in the San Diego offices of tech giant Qualcomm. He claims UBT, his official employer, paid him less than the prevailing wage. UBT has countersued Nair for failure to give proper notice when he quit and for defamation. Qualcomm and Larsen & Toubro are not accused of any wrongdoing.

 
 
Comment by Skip
2009-10-05 08:07:17

Monster sure doesn’t show any high tech jobs in North Dakota.

Well, actually Monster shows 12 jobs for the entire state, but 1/2 look like temp jobs and 1 is for the National Guard and I am not sure what a geotechnical engineer is exactly.

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Comment by Bad Chile
2009-10-05 08:16:10

Geotechnical engineers are responsible for the engineering of soils and related earth items. Geotechnical reports which describe the bearing capacity of the earth at the project location, the lateral pressures against buired structures, suggested foundation types, soil elasticity, and relevant seismic criteria are fed to the structural engineer.

Not a field the typical history major can jump into. At all.

 
Comment by scdave
2009-10-05 08:50:13

Geotechnical engineers are responsible for the engineering of soils and related earth items. Geotechnical reports which describe the bearing capacity of the earth at the project location, the lateral pressures against buired structures, suggested foundation types, soil elasticity ???

And that will be about five grand for your lttle 1600 square foot house thank you….Oh, and by the way, I need to be “On-Site” to inspect the footings for proper depth and integrity and verify that the concrete mix conforms to the structural engineers requirements while you pour the foundation…

and relevant seismic criteria are fed to the structural engineer ??

And now off to the structural engineer….That will be another three grand thank you that is only assuming that the city engineer who is doing the plan check does not come back with requirements that are beyond the scope of my quote…In that case, I will bill for my time @ $135. per hour…

Between the soils engineer & the structural engineer the foundation and the sismic requirements for this little dinky house have prbably cost 30% more than what it should be…Why…Because the engineers protect the rear sides with over engineering to make sure they avoid any liability in the 10 year statute for construction defect liability…

 
Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 08:52:11

If an understanding of history and/or the arts is totally irrelevant to a job, it’s a job more fit for a robot than a human. We just have too many of these jobs — because of how mixed up our society is — not too many liberal arts grads.

 
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 09:27:20

The liberal arts grads are the middlemen/women who get in the way of engineers doing their jobs. They’re the marketing managers, marketing directors, product development managers, business development managers, customer quality care managers and the rest of the BS titles found in any large company.

In other words the people who really should have no business being employed. Millions of these positions have been eliminated in the past 1-2 years. And that’s a good thing. They are useless and provide no value.

And I say this as someone with a liberal arts degree and MBA who spent a fair amount of time as a manager and director of BS. Luckily I woke up in time and switched paths.

 
Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 09:35:15

Hey, engineers execute designs and ideas that, to some extent, come from those useless people who are less technically oriented! And they wouldn’t get out the door into the real world without another set of useless people. Imagine a world for, by and about engineers. Spooky.

 
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 09:57:49

Definitely there is a need for non-technical people. Sales people are needed. Accountants. Creative types that come up with ideas. The day to day admin people who keep offices running.

But there are levels upon levels of paper pushers that are not needed. And that is who I am referring to.

 
Comment by az_lender
2009-10-05 10:05:15

My dad was a terrific salesman of fabricated stainless steel products…but what probably what made it work was the engineering degree he got before he went to the Dale Carnegie “How to Win Friends and Influence People” course.

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 10:12:44

Argh.

Why do engineers always count themselves among the brightest and most important? 90% of the engineers I’ve met have been COMPLETE IDIOTS. Incapable of engineering, incapable of communicating, incapable of working a freaking printer.

The remaining 10% have been valuable, but that can be said for probably any field.

 
Comment by lavi d
2009-10-05 10:24:00

Monster sure doesn’t show any high tech jobs in North Dakota.

Try dice.com for techie jobs.

 
Comment by cobaltblue
2009-10-05 10:43:44

Everyone knows that there are just millions of great paying jobs that cannot be filled because people have the wrong degrees and not enough experience.

So the government should solve the whole problem by printing enough degrees and experience for everyone; especially the poor and illiterate, who tend not to have any.

Now, on to the next one…

 
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-10-05 10:44:02

Creative types that come up with ideas.

Well, we have enough “idea fairies” here in the military thinking up bullsh*t now….”Hey, wouldnt it be great if…” is said so much it makes me sick..

 
Comment by Al
2009-10-05 11:12:38

“Well, we have enough “idea fairies” here in the military thinking up bullsh*t now…”

How else do you promoted to Col?

 
Comment by mathguy
2009-10-05 15:33:57

I’m probably a bit biased, being an engineer and all, but the thing I have found that makes engineers count themselves as the best and most important is the day to day decisions they find themselves having to walk so many other people through.

I think the mindset of an engineer is to take a problem, break it down into discreet components, then solve each of those component problems. People say we have no creativity because we don’t make up bullshit, we just solve problems. The shortest path from A to B doesn’t necessarily involve stopping at Lake Havasu for drinks.

Fortunately, I’ve learned that even when requirements are that product A needs to be built in time X with features T, U, and V, that was actually made up by one of those bullshit artists, and neither the time constraints or feature list probably have any basis in reality other than that particular bullshit artist imagining their next big bonus check and vacation. This means I can add my own layer of bullshit upfront and make it bullshit that I care about, like only working 40 hours per week, or having offsite development meetings to discuss design for “creative energy”. Too often though engineers are willing to believe that something is “important” and they make that part of what is important to them. Really it is just making someone else getting rich important to you at the sacrifice of your own quality of life. So in this respect, yes engineers are quite often very naive. But dumb? Hardly ever I would say.

 
Comment by rms
2009-10-05 19:31:45

“The shortest path from A to B doesn’t necessarily involve stopping at Lake Havasu for drinks.”

Lake Havasu with the front desk hottie? You bet!

Companies use to have secretaries to write letters, keep the managers organized, etc., but with the dawn of the personal computer the managers have to do this crap themselves. No split tail birds to stare at all day, dreaming about wining and dining and diddling ‘em…at Lake Havasu. :)

The 21st century: take a pill, be productive, invest in the company’s 401k, be happy in your sexless marriage, Jesus loves you, don’t save, charge it now, etc., a modern version of an Arthur Miller tragedy. Glad it’s falling apart!

 
Comment by Matt_in_TX
2009-10-05 19:40:54

Even in the Engr world though, the top performers are those that understand that even though X is what the customer swore they want, we can win the contract by suggesting we can build the gold plated XGG for even less than the more practical X. This lets us win the contract, and then we can gently bring up enough little niggling details to let us finally build X at the normal price (well, plus all the additional change order profit due to the customer “changing their minds.”)

(How is this magic trick possible? Look at which disciplines get the final word on who to hire…)

-Matt who is proud he worked for the loser company who usually proposed X.

 
 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 10:09:49

Stpn2me:

The H1-B visas are given out to the first companies who apply. The non-citizen workers are found wherever there’s a need for engineers/scientists. We don’t need them in Montana or California, but they can be found everywhere. It’s all just a part of the whole legal plan to break the back of the American worker. Too bad the global economy still depends on the American consumer, huh?

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Comment by lavi d
2009-10-05 10:26:34

It’s all just a part of the whole legal plan to break the back of the American worker.

Just watched “The Prisoner of Second Ave” last night.

What an eye-opener. An unemployed Jack Lemmon finds out about the “global conspiracy” to ruin him by listening to talk radio…

…in 1974!

 
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 11:54:16

Yes. Let’s blame those EEEEEEVIL foreigners on H1-B visas. 95,000 people in a country of 300 million are the cause of all our problems. And that 95K is actually 65K. You’re confusing the current number with 195K which was once the number before the protectionists got in the way and lowered to 65K.

You might also find it interesting to learn that a lot of H1Bs are not in high-tech and not from India. Lots of Euro and Canadian H1Bs in very un-technical jobs.

But don’t let the facts get in the way of a good story.

 
Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:56:35

But don’t let the facts get in the way of a good story.

You might start practicing what you preacheth.

Problem with you eddie, is you are ‘on top of the mtn’ and you are only looking in one direction. Isn’t good for fighting. Ask stpn. Gotta be alert and educated on all fronts. Not just the one viewpoint.

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 11:59:38

Eddie:

You must not work in the sciences or in engineering. If you did, then you would see first-hand entire US companies completely staffed by Chinese, Indian, and Mexican workers. Chinese doing “science”, Indians doing “engineering”, and Mexicans doing the cooking and cleaning. Only the executives are US citizens.

 
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 12:15:21

It doesn’t matter where I work. I could work behind the counter at Burger King and it wouldn’t change the fact that protectionism is wrong whether in goods or services. What you are advocating is restricting the services of foreign nationals to artificially prop up American wages. It’s no different than putting a 20% tariff on a foreign car. And it’s an awful idea. Always has been.

I don’t care if it’s an American or Chinese or Indian doing the work. I want the best qualified person doing the work. And if that person is from China, so be it. Sometimes a job calls for a $10 an hour resource instead of a $100 an hour resource. Why should I pay someone $100 to do $10 worth of work? Makes no sense.

And I do work in technology indirectly. I work with a lot of independent contractors who are programmers, DBAs, sys engineers, etc. All Americans. All billing $100+ an hour, some close to $200 an hour. Which is why I laugh at the idea that Americans are going hungry while their jobs are being stolen by those eeevil foreigners.

 
Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 12:16:16

Eddie’s got a point here … “You might also find it interesting to learn that a lot of H1Bs are not in high-tech and not from India. Lots of Euro and Canadian H1Bs in very un-technical jobs.”

My wife came over from England on an H1-B and so have many of her friends. They’re in the fashion biz. Are they taking American jobs? Maybe. Hard to say, many of the companies are run by foreigners and they hire what they know … and they like to have workers over a barrel, too. Wife now naturalized and caught a lot of grief for missing a few days of work for jury duty. It was a first in her company.

 
Comment by lavi d
2009-10-05 12:18:27

Chinese doing “science”, Indians doing “engineering”, and Mexicans doing the cooking

If I owned a compay, that’s the way I’d do it. I love me some Mexican food, but I’m not too hot on noodles or curry.

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 12:35:18

Eddie:

I think there is a breakdown of communication here. You assert that “protectionism is wrong”, but provide no cohesive explanation as to why it’s wrong.

Here’s why I think it’s right:

1. We were much better off as a country when we had tariffs in place, and our economy has been declining in lock-step with globalization.

2. Tariffs do not prop up wages. They simply compensate for differences amongst currency valuations, which brings us to 3:

3. Resources. Currencies are valued differently because of differing levels of political stability amongst countries. The dollar has been worth more because people see it as being “stable”. Hence, in India, you can live a great lifestyle with fewer dollars, although this great lifestyle does not consume fewer resources. It’s inaccurate to say that Indian engineers consume fewer resources simply by consuming fewer dollars.

4. Wage arbitrage is a self-destructive phenomenon, since it relies on an impoverished worker base and a wealthy consumer base. Because workers are consumers, it must eventually implode, causing a whole lotta grief in the process. That’s what we’re seeing now.

 
Comment by Skip
2009-10-05 12:42:03

And that 95K is actually 65K.

You are forgetting about the 20k that are given to foreign graduates of American universities. 85k total.

And by the way, multiply that 85kby the last 10 years and throw in a few tens of thousand for the years it was 195k and it adds up to over 1 million foreign workers added(most are sponsored by their companies for a Green Card and never leave the US).

1 million is a lot for any industry.

There is no shortages because of the 65k H1-Bs available this year, there are still some available!

 
Comment by In Colorado
2009-10-05 13:13:59

There is no shortages because of the 65k H1-Bs available this year, there are still some available!

Bingo! When times were good the visas would run out in just a few months. Now hiring is so weak that they aren’t even hiring H1-B’s.

People also forget that H1-B’s stay many years on that one visa. I’ve seen the invasion first hand where I used to work.

 
Comment by james
2009-10-05 15:28:10

BigV,

Why do you hate us engineering folks?

Just curious of how your criteria came about? What is a good engineer in your opinion.

Second, why do you consider the economy worse? From a lot of standpoints, other than the debt, things are better. Quality of goods are better. Services are better. exc.

Was it really better when GM/F were the only games in town? It took a lot of law suits to get those guys to put in freaking seatbelts. They were still pushing carborated engines when everyone else had gone to EFI? Not to mention they push you to buy a large vehicle and have never offered high quality smaller vehicles. Food is better. Electronics are better.

I think, like I’ve mentioned to you, that we need to back slowly away from things; and it would be better if we did something like implemement wage standard system. So, if you want to market your goods/services in the USA, you have to pay living wage levels. Would you be OK with that? Not technically a tariff either.

Would not break my heart if a democrat president and congress decided to commit suicide by throwing up a bunch of trade barriers. Remember, a couple percent drop in GDP has been a major cause of heartache. You burn China and we lose big number of people working in other trade related industries right away. Not to mention potential for rapid price increases and actual shortages. Bet you could contract the economy by 5-6% on top of what we are already seeing.

queue Exeter… Yes, scare us with tales of scarcity….

And you might manage to create actual scarcity.

~James

 
Comment by james
2009-10-05 15:45:55

The other perspective….

I think the H1B visa’s are a great deal for the US. These guys show up, work really hard and we sell them education (aka a rare successful business).

Some, we didn’t even have to pay for their first 13 years of schooling. Others we got all 17 years for nothing. Heck at the prices we charge OOS kids this is a bargin.

It’s like getting 150K+ for nothing. Even if you pay standard wages!

Then they work and pay taxes to the tune of 30% and probably will never get to collect SS/unemployment as we send them back to where ever.

Plus they probably spend about 50% of the remaining money. Hence it’s only 20% of the money that goes out of the economy.

Its wonderfully deflationary! And business loves it. How could this possibly be wrong.

Anyhow, not thrilled with H1Bs either. Bunch of mostly incompetent bastids.

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 16:26:18

Hi James:

I don’t really hate engineers; I just hate it when stupid engineers think they’re smart. I’ve worked with a few of them, ya see. Just for the record, I was called a “genius” by my physics teacher in college, so no, I’m not just jealous or whatever your average engineer would chalk it up to.

I consider most people to be stupid, so when I say that most engineers are stupid, I’m not really setting you apart from everyone else. Call me a hater, I don’t care.

I consider the economy “worse” because a lot of people are unemployed. It’s better when people can get work (and, of course, get paid).

 
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 16:42:56

The “multiply over 10 years” argument is not quite so. Many H1Bs switch employers and when they do they get a new H1B. So the same person can get an H1b in year 1, year 2, year 5, etc. And each year they are part of that year’s number. This goes on a lot. Plus the visas are renewable every 3 years. So even staying with the same employer, one person is at minimum counted twice. And it’s not for “an industry”. H1Bs as I stated already apply to ALL INDUSTRIES. Why is that so hard to understand? It’s not just Indian programmers that use H1B.

Don’t take my word on protectionism’s faults. Take the word of Adam Smith.

 
Comment by vicever
2009-10-05 16:46:15

Why tariffs is Good?

I do not understand. Right now tires are already much more expensive than a few years ago. I can still remember $28 a piece ten years ago, but now it is mostly more than 80 a piece. They are not same size, but I did not want a $80 tire, I only need a $28 working tire. There are many things I do not understand, tariff being good is one thing. Maybe good for those who actually make those things being tariffed upon, but how about regular people needs things at lower price? Will they actually be forced to pay higher price? If yes, then it is at least not all good.

 
Comment by robiscrazy
2009-10-05 18:54:20

Ahhhh… The endless loop.

People in the first world need lower priced goods –>
More cheap labor is needed to produce lower priced goods –>
Mfg. jobs are shipped to the third world for cheap labor –>
Fewer mfg. jobs in the first world mean lower wages –>
Lower wages causes reduction in household spending –>
People in the first world need lower priced goods.

rinse and repeat. Isn’t there a bottom at some point? Maybe we’ll only be happy when we are living in corrugated aluminum huts with dirt floors. 12 year old girls can skip off to work in the factories for 20 hour shifts at 15 cents an hour making Kathy Lee Gifford handbags for Walmart. Just so they can feed themselves.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-10-05 18:55:47

The only reason that traffics are bad is that foreign products have a monopoly in America today because the American manufacturing base cannot compete and undercut them ,so they can price fix and pass the tariff cost on to the consumer .
This is the very reason why you can’t give up your manufacturing
base to foreign Countries .

They got us between a rock and a hard place ,so we should do the intelligent thing and make a new law that any American Corporation that transfers a job to a foreign base has to pay
a big old rip roaring tax on that worker that the government collects to offset the damage ,or anything that provides incentive for manufacturing and a job base to be brought back .The rest of the World must think we are down right stupid .

 
Comment by exeter
2009-10-06 06:02:57

Queue exeter blah blah blah.

Looky here Junior…. I’ve worked for the top 3 civil design firms on the planet so I don’t need a lecture from a peon CAD operator or whatever you are.

Design is executed electronically across the globe. There is no flippin “trade barrier” when it comes to design. More and more design work is completed off shore and that trend will grow. The fact that your ideology clashes with reality, truth and facts is like a nuke exploding…… and it completely eludes you.

Now back to your CAD station.

 
 
 
Comment by scdave
2009-10-05 07:47:18

Unemployment rates in Silicon Valley ??

I agree Skip…The R & D districts in some of my area’s look like ghost towns and have ever since the dot com bust…

 
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 08:07:27

Uhm you know, there are other places in this country where engineers work besides Silicon Valley. Many where it doesn’t cost $1M for a 3 bedroom house.

I worked for a San Mateo based company about 10 years ago. We had offices in 5 or 6 cities outside CA. But speaking with the folks at HQ, it was like we were 2nd and 3rd class citizens. So excuse me while I don’t shed too many tears for the unemployed, smug, Silicon Valley engineers.

Comment by scdave
2009-10-05 08:18:30

So why is HQ in San Mateo..??..So they can recruit “smug engineer’s” ??

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 09:01:34

The good news is that almost all those smug geniuses were let go and replaced by Indian engineers who could so twice the work in 1/2 the time with 1/100 the attitude.

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 10:23:11

Eddie:

Dude, you are totally making me mad. The reason our economy is so AWFUL is that US companies have been allowed to replace US workers with Indian/Chinese/Mexican workers, who have an extrememly cheap currency to work with. This is called “wage arbitrage”. You can look it up. It has always been known that wage arbitrage is one of the quickest ways to ruin an economy. It basically decimates whatever’s been built up over hundreds of years. Our predecessors put a lot of effort into creating a nation with a stable, strong currency and reliable society. Today, our corporate leaders are raiding that stability for their own short-term gain.

We can not continue to allow this to happen.

It started off with all the “low-lifey” farm workers, restaurant staff, and housekeepers, then moved up to the “uneducated” manufacturing workers, then spread to the “overpaid” software engineers, and now has infected the “smug” PhD-level scientists and inventors.

No one is safe from this systematic transfer of opportunity FROM Americans (who deserve it by right of posterity) TO foreigners (who, frankly, should look toward their own governments for the justice and liberty they crave).

 
Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 10:35:29

No one is safe from this systematic transfer of opportunity FROM Americans (who deserve it by right of posterity) TO foreigners (who, frankly, should look toward their own governments for the justice and liberty they crave).

——

I like that last part, especially. Amazing (or not so) how the Mexican gov’t complains when we talk of putting up a fence, etc. If we did that, they’d actually have serve their people to some extent, instead of saying, Mexico, love it or leave it!

 
Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 10:36:45

er, “have to serve their people” … what can I say, “Dora” is on loud in the background!

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2009-10-05 11:00:10

Big V-
Spoken like a true American. Thank You. To top it off, the arrogance of these guests (H1-B & L1-B’s) and invaders (illegals) in our country is irritating.

When confronted with the question if their standard of living was to take a hit, all the ones I’ve met say, they can and would go back to “their” country.

They could care less about our history,culture, our people, or our future. We’re just a job bank to them. To Americans, this is our country, not just a job bank.

 
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-10-05 11:01:58

“transfer of opportunity”, eh Big V?

So if someone who is qualified who not an american is willing to do a job for less for the same quality work and maybe even work longer and better, the employer has to hire the american at the inflated wage?

So we have to mandate that employers have to hire americans only at an inflated wage?

Ask GM how that worked out, I’m sure they will oblige…

Wages cant keep going up and up into the stratosphere, Big V. Eventually you would have to expect someone would come along and do the job for less….that is why unions have screwed up this country’s manufaturing base AND auto industry. The govt has enough safe guards in place to insure safety and fair practices without unions sticking their heads into a private companies business.

The average american worker is spoiled..period. They think they should get paid to come to work and socialize and fart off with minimal labor. That is why the labor market is in the state it’s in now….

 
Comment by Al
2009-10-05 11:19:21

Big V,

Capitalism doesn’t care about borders. The only way to keep work at a higher wage rate than elsewhere is protectionism. In the absence of protectionism, the company that chooses the high cost road fails. In the presence of protectionism, other problems present themselves.

 
Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:24:50

It actually started before that time of late 30’s-1940s when the gov sanctioned the “Bracero Program”
and even before that during the 1800s when railroads brought in chinese people to slave building railroad tracks.
Funny, but history shows that during those times when chinese workers were being paid a penny or so a day, they rarely got sick ( acupuncture-herbs and ate right), meanwhile the white boys got sick or diseased parts all the time.
It started off with all the “low-lifey” farm workers, restaurant staff, and housekeepers, then moved up to the “uneducated” manufacturing workers,

 
Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:29:13

the employer has to hire the american
No this country has to start making education a massive priority so that we can have our own Americans work.
That isn’t what has been going on and the corporations are behind it and love it. This enables them to do just what you are proposing. Capitalism isn’t the same as Greed or monopolies.

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 11:30:28

Yes Al, we need to bring “protectionism” back to America. It has been known for a long, long time that tariffs are required to prevent economic collapse when societies with different currencies trade. We somehow let a few clever corporate elitists convince us otherwise (how silly of us), and now we are paying the price for our own stupidity. Other countries protect themselves with huge tariffs against our stuff and artificial devaluation of their own currencies. A race to the bottom; no good.

Stepn2me: I agree that it’s possible for the worker to gain too much control in a union situation (e.g., auto workers). However, there is no way our nation can survive economically if we allow US companies to make decisions based on wage arbitrage (not based on a lack of qualified workers or whatever). Ultimately, wage arbitrage is currency arbitrage, which is destructive to all involved.

All it takes is simple tariffs (we had them once) to account for the differences among currencies.

 
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 11:58:38

Hey great idea everyone. Let’s bring protectionism back. It worked wonders in the 1930s. And why should I have a choice between Ford, Chrysler, GM, Nissan, Honda, Toyota, Kia, BMW, Mercedes, Saab, Volvo and Jaguar? I can do just fine with GM, Chrysler and Ford right? So what if it will cost $40K for a GM that falls apart after 50K miles…as long as I save those precious American UNION jobs, it’s all worth it right?

 
Comment by realestateskeptic
2009-10-05 11:59:33

Big V, Your economic theories are so last century. Unless we turn back the clock, a global economy is upon us, like or not. Overpaying for labor is inefficient and any efficient market system will doom it.

I liked the good old days, but a reactionary economic policy is not going to serve us well. We gotta play the cards we are dealt.

 
Comment by DD
2009-10-05 12:02:12

We gotta play the cards we are dealt.

So, how to go about that? The citizens here, do what?
We continue to buy other countries products cheaper, and yet ours have tariffs on them? And so forth?

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 12:06:03

Yes, we need to turn back the clock on our current foreign economic policy. We need to go back to what worked for us and what has always worked for every other country too. We need to bring back tariffs.

Tariffs did not cause a problem in the 1930s (get your history straight) and, guess what, we also did not have a huge trade deficit in the 1930s. The 1930s are not comparable to today in terms of tariffs.

Today, we import WAY MORE than we export, which basically means that we consume more than we produce. That’s not sustainable. We have to get back to producing the way we used to. The only way to accomplish that is to get back to imposing tariffs the way we used to.

This is economy 101 folks, and I’m not even an economist. I think I learned about the necessity of tariffs back in middle school, during history class. Something about trade with the Native Americans. Dollars vs. turquoise or some such. And the white man would trade beads for PEOPLE!

Tariffs. Gotta have ‘em.

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 12:08:03

Oh, and one more thing:

WE are the music makers, and we are the ones who dream the dreams.
-Willy Wonka

In this country, we are not “dealt” anything. What are you anyway, a man or a mouse?

 
Comment by realestateskeptic
2009-10-05 12:14:45

DD, I hate to say it, but we need to readjust our expectations. Why do Americans have the right to large houses, endless use of energy, 2.5 kids, cars when we want them? We don’t, we just lived so far beyond our means and we are now starting to pay for it. I agree that the tariff system is unfair, but life is unfair.

We need to understand what we do well and things that are better left to others. Ask yourself if we can ever compete in the paper industry, even on a level playing field, when our workers expect 3-4 (or 10) times the wage the Chinese worker is getting, with no environmental regulations to worry about? Don’t compete on price, we can’t. Innovation, quality and other factors are where are strength is, not trying to out-Walmart the foreigners. We will (and should) lose that battle every time.

 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2009-10-05 12:33:10

“The good news is that almost all those smug geniuses were let go and replaced by Indian engineers who could so twice the work in 1/2 the time with 1/100 the attitude.”

We’ve obviously had different experiences, because I worked with an Indian some years ago who had an attitude the size of India. Not only that, he was a bigot. Smug comes in many different colors.

 
Comment by Skip
2009-10-05 12:50:28

Overpaying for labor is inefficient and any efficient market system will doom it.

Wow - this sounds like a justification for slavery. I can imagine Jefferson Davis and Robert E. Lee discussing this over mint juleps on a plantation in Mississippi in 1960.

 
Comment by packman
2009-10-05 13:02:12

Wow - this sounds like a justification for slavery. I can imagine Jefferson Davis and Robert E. Lee discussing this over mint juleps on a plantation in Mississippi in 1960.

Wow - talk about a strawman. You do realize we have laws against that sort of thing now - right?

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 13:05:45

Yes, packman, we have laws against slavery. Unfortunately, some of the countries we trade with have no such laws. In Turkey, for instance, it’s not illegal to own another human being. Are we really competing with these people for wages? Sounds like we should protect ourselves from that sort of thing.

 
Comment by realestateskeptic
2009-10-05 13:06:22

Skip, I am not talking about or condoning illegal labor practices. I AM talking about paying someone $75/hr union wage for something someone can do just as well in a foreign country for much, much less.
Ask the steel and UAW folks how the steel and auto industries made out doing that?

 
Comment by realestateskeptic
2009-10-05 13:09:46

Big V, How do we protect ourselves? Do we not buy their products. I am OK with that in my personal decision making, but that still doesn’t justify overpaying our labor force to the point we can’t compete. We are not competing for wages, just trying to sell the same products to the same buyers, as such, it is pure folly to try to do so.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-10-05 13:16:56

BIg V is so right with what she is saying ,that it isn’t funny . Big V is very smart and knows America is toast if the United States continues with these liberal open border policies .

The only reason why the Americans didn’t get in a huff over all
this outsourcing was because they were sidetracked for about 10 years with a false feeling of wealth because of the debt Ponzi -scheme that used real estate to generate
income . You guys act like it isn’t natural to protect what you have along with your standard of living ,and future generations standard of living .

You guys act like there is some Universal Law that its progressive to have a World labor pool ,in spite of the differences in cost of living . Sure the Labor Unions went to far in some cases ,but is that any reason to sell out America
because Corporations now don’t want to honor some of the stupid employment contracts they made ? In spite of you seeing your fellow Americans living in tent cites because of being laid off ,you fail to see how Corporations are being supplemented and the tax payers will have the burden so Industry can have their cheap labor .

Now that I realize how the stupid Politicians are and how bought off they have been ,I can see how Big Business got to them ,while the Americans didn’t know what hit them .

You trade with other Countries and you have proper trade
tariffs …….period . All you get with the set up the way it is now is Wall Street and Big Business taking advantage of
the lack of protection we now employ as our policies . I just hope it isn’t to late .

You think that it’s worth it to have your entire Country go
down the tubes ,just so you can have the choice to buy some foreign products ? I would rather buy some piece of shit American product and keep my neighbor employed ,any day of the week ,than see my fellow Americans living in a tent ,while I have to endure some foreigner on the telephone ,when I know that could be a American job on the other
end of the telephone .

I didn’t get a lot of sleep last night ,so I’m just ranting ,but later I will post about this when I have had more sleep .But ,
mark my word ,if we don’t undo the damage that has been done by this Global wage force and loss of American manufacturing based ,you all are going to be telling stories
to your grandchildren about how you loss your Homeland to
Corporate Greed . I just had to pipe in here a little .

 
Comment by packman
2009-10-05 13:24:56

Wow - this sounds like a justification for slavery. I can imagine Jefferson Davis and Robert E. Lee discussing this over mint juleps on a plantation in Mississippi in 1960.

Wow - talk about a strawman. You do realize we have laws against that sort of thing now - right?

Skip - I just realized that you were (I presume) referring to slavery as it may exist in other countries, not the U.S. - right? Assuming so - never mind my comment. I thought you were implying that realestateskeptic was proposing to reintroduce slavery in the U.S.

In reality this does get to the root of the problem - the U.S. is simply competing with other countries that don’t have the same legal standards that we do, including workplace standards, environmental standards, etc. The solution is simply to ensure, by treaty and by tariff, that that doesn’t happen. Don’t allow “developing” countries to have lower environmental standards, e.g. like in Kyoto. Don’t allow them to have lower workplace standards. Don’t allow lower product quality standards (e.g. like the whole Chinese drywall thing).

I think we do generally do a decent job with the latter, but not at all the first two.

That’s what’s killing American industry. Yeah wages play a part too - but personally I don’t have a problem with us competing toe-to-toe on the wage front, but only if all other things are equal. If wagers were the only factor then more often than not the costs of shipping, logistics, etc. would more than offset the wage savings, allowing us to have higher wages here but still keep jobs here. However as it is the 1-2-3 punch of lower wages, virtually non-existent workplace laws, and virtually non-existent environmental laws, give China, India, Mexico, etc. a huge advantage.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2009-10-05 13:26:22

I AM talking about paying someone $75/hr union wage for something someone can do just as well in a foreign country for much, much less.

But the problem is that just about ANY job can offshored these days. It’s not just the stereotypical overpaid autoworker, its any job that pays a living wage and doesn’t require face to face contact with a customer. And they continue to be offshored as we speak.

Why do you think so many folks became Realtors, Mortgage Brokers, sub contractors, etc.? Its because there was nothing else left.

Big V, How do we protect ourselves? Do we not buy their products. I am OK with that in my personal decision making, but that still doesn’t justify overpaying our labor force to the point we can’t compete. We are not competing for wages, just trying to sell the same products to the same buyers, as such, it is pure folly to try to do so.

For starters, we can make our own stuff and not import junk. And please don’t tell me that jeans will cost $100 and a pair of socks $10. They didn’t cost anywhere nearly that much when we made our own. The truth is we pay pretty much the same (at the store) for name brand goods, regardless of where they were made.

 
Comment by lavi d
2009-10-05 13:39:58

BIg V is so right with what she is saying ,that it isn’t funny . Big V is very smart and knows America is toast if the United States continues with these liberal open border policies .

This would be hilarious if Big V had written it herself.

I would start calling her “Big ‘Bob Dole’ V”

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-10-05 13:47:34

I would like to add. In spite of the fact that you know that Wall Street messed up the entire financial system of America ,with a greed that knew no bounds ,you think that the trade policies and the surge in job outsourcing and transfer of American
manufacturing to foreign soils is aside from that same greed and profit motive that destroyed the financial systems.

Just like Wall Street marketed bogus CDO’s ,they have done a good job at marketing the Global cheer-leading . Wow,isn’t it grand ,you get to buy cheap shit at Wal-Mart .You judge things by the fruit it bears ,and the fruit is rotten ,at least if your a American depending on a American job base with livable wages ..

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-10-05 14:13:15

i don’t give a shit that a GM production worker made 75 bucks a hour ,that worker took that 75 bucks and spent it in American creating more jobs because of it . I think the health benefits and the long term retirement benefits could of been more so based on a teared program that tracks with the profits of the Company rather than a fixed contract ,but those are the mistakes of the past . One should ask ,why were Corporations allowed to underfund their retirement plans ? Why did the government take funds from Social Security ?

Instead of seeing how Corporations and Government screwed
up good concepts with their corruption ,people would rather
scratch protecting this Country in favor of absurd spin statement like ,”We have to compete with Mexico “,or,”We have to compete with a billion and 1/2 in China .” No ,we don’t have to compete with a billion and 1/2 in China .

 
Comment by james
2009-10-05 15:56:36

No one is safe from this systematic transfer of opportunity FROM Americans (who deserve it by right of posterity) TO foreigners (who, frankly, should look toward their own governments for the justice and liberty they crave).

Of course we have well developed sense of entitlement to carry us forward and guide us
~James

Deserves got nothing to do with it
~from William Munny to Little Bill Daggett

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 16:31:18

“Deserves got nothing to do with it”

If we don’t fight for it, then we don’t deserve it. We are fighting for human rights when we fight for workers’ rights. We need a living wage, environmental regulations, labor laws, good education for our kids, all that good stuff that sets us apart from the enslaved people of the world. Just saying silly things like “we have to play the cards we’re dealt” is defeatist. We’re better than that.

 
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 17:17:10

Why is an American entitled to a job any more than an Indian or Bulgarian?

One of my biggest pet peeves is the term “losing a job” as in I lost my job today. Or this month 450,000 American lost their jobs. No you didn’t. It’s not YOUR job. It is a job that for a period of time you happened to perform in exchange for payment, usually in dollars. paid to you by an employer. Your employer owns that job, not you. And your employer can decide on a whim to throw your sorry ass out the door and go hire someone in India for 1/10 of the cost. And he/she has every right to do so no matter how much whining that may bring form others.

Don’t like it? Start your own company and hire only Americans at $150 an hour with full benefits, 8 weeks vacation, 4 day workweeks and every Wednesday is happy Funday which means everyone’s in at 11 and out at 3 and gets to wear Hawaiian shirts to work. If you can make that work, all the power to you.

But until then please stop with this ridiculous notion that anyone owes you a job. Nobody owes anyone a thing.

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 17:27:16

Hey Eddie:

Better yet, why don’t you move to Bangalore and see what it’s like to live in a society where people have no rights and the environment is not protected? Maybe you could find yourself a job as a trash picker. ‘Cause that’s the world you’re rooting for here. You do realize that, don’t you?

Race. to the. Bottom.

 
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 17:44:29

Another strawman. You’re on a roll today.

I am not rooting for anything except the most efficient way of doing things. And that means if I need $10 worth of labor, I will pay $10 and not $100. This is not hard to understand.

As for the ridiculous notion that we did just fine without foreign competition; that is true for about 15 years. 1930-1960 and that’s only because they rest of the world was rebuilding after WW2 and pre-WW2 protectionists had risen to power. Pre-1930 the world was as globalized as it is today.

How do you think Great Britain maintained its empire? Who do you think the 13 Colonies sold their products to? Why do you think explorers went exploring…for kicks? No, they went exploring for new markets with which to trade.

Look at any great empire over the past 700 years and their power was derived from one thing: trade. Holland, France, Portugal, Spain, England.

And yet now because we have 10% unemployment and unions are dead, we’re supposed to throw away centuries of evidence to the contrary and stop trading with each other. It’s beyond absurd.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-10-05 18:20:13

I think it would be more accurate to say that Countries have search out locations that they could exploit or take over in the past ,not simply trade with them . But, the exploration days have nothing to do with the current state of affairs .

You Globalist love to quote details from history to support Globalism ,yet you hate to focus on the failures of Globalism
in terms of what it could do to a already developed system like
the American system was .

In spite of the fact that some people made bad choices with
their money ,by buying giant houses and fancy cars ,a lot of that was brainwashing by the Industry that benefited off
selling over-priced big monster houses and cars,and selling over consumption by going into debt beyond onces means . There has been periods in American history where people where much more prudent and conservative with their funds and put a great deal more to savings .

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-10-05 18:45:36

And Eddie you say that” nobody owes anybody a job” ,yet it is the Corporations that think that they don’t owe anyone a job or decent wages in spite of expecting those same people to buy their products .

Many Corporations grew strong under the American system
to the point that the American taxpayer has been supplementing them ,yet there is no loyalty to the people who
made them and supplemented them to begin with (there use to be ). And who
did they turn to when they needed to be bailed out ,the
American taxpayer .Screw us on the job front ,yet we have to bail you out . And just who protects these American Companies abroad ,,,,,,,,our National Defense ,that American taxpayers pay for .

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 18:51:43

Eddie:

Nobody on this board is suggesting that we stop trading with one another. We are suggesting that we return to the fair and wise use of tariffs. Only tariffs can protect the US dollar, as only they can compensate for the differences among currency valuations (as I have explained elsewhere on today’s board).

It goes like this:

1. Tariffs prevent currency arbitrage.
2. Preventing currency arbitrage prevents wage arbitrage.
3. Preventing wage arbitrage prevents an unsustainable, parasitic relationship from forming between stable and unstable countries.
4. Preventing parasitic relationships prevents the nasty occasion of either having the kill the parasite or having to watch the parasite kill the host before dying off itself.

Your suggestion (that we should stop using tariffs) is absurd. We tried it; it didn’t work. Let’s move on.

 
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 18:55:32

What in the world does buying big houses have to do with the folly of protectionism? Come on, is this really the argument you’re laying out…people bought big houses so we should shut the door to free trade. Makes sense.

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 19:41:09

Eddie, what in the world are you talking about? You are arguing points that no one has made. I think you’re doing this because you realize there’s no way to argue the points we’re actually making. Now that’s a sraw man.

PS
I’m sick of people overusing the word “straw man”. A straw man is not something that you simply disagree with. It’s when you pretend something’s there that actually isn’t, and then use it as a basis for a logical argument. Kinda like when you argue with a point that isn’t being made.

 
Comment by neuromance
2009-10-05 20:07:36

Eddie wrote:

I am not rooting for anything except the most efficient way of doing things.

Perhaps looking for the way that yields the most benefits to the American populace is a better goal.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-10-05 20:18:13

Big V……great posts .

What strikes me is that I hear people arguing for low wages for Americans ,no anger over lack of wage increases for the last
7 years ,and a attempt at selling low standards of living for Americans ,as if they deserve that fate and Corporations /Wall Street deserve their greedy profits with fewer people getting a chunk of the American pie while the elite have unheard of wealth to buy 12 Mansions World-wide .

We are a entitlement society because of the hard work of
our forefathers and people just want to give it all away .People risked their lives to get better working conditions and fair wages and protections on consumers products ,yet
people don’t give a darn about toxic dog food and drywall
shipped over here . Yes ,any Country that is worth their salt tries to provide a job base and manufacturing based for their
Citizens . Economic systems have to be controlled because of the points that Big V laid out in her posts.

Having cheap foreign labor ,while Americans live off credit cards and real estate didn’t work as far as scams go .

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-10-05 22:43:23

The theme song now in America is give up ,give up . I always have to stop when I hear the words “give up .” My whole life whenever I have heard the words “give up “,it was always because someone wanted that thing that they wanted me to give up . Americans are suppose to give up more than a century of development in benefits for workers and consumers protections ,just so China can use their cheap plastic to produce
toxic crap we can consume . I don’t care if it cost 50cents more to produce a plastic container in America because my wages
would keep up with it and all systems would be tide in together
as it was for many years in this Country .

 
Comment by hip in zilker
2009-10-05 22:48:44

wiz, I’m with you.

 
Comment by CA renter
2009-10-06 05:21:50

Excellent posts, both Big V and Wiz. Couldn’t have said it any better myself.

Thank you.

 
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-06 05:23:19

Big V:

Protectionism goes against every economic theory devised since the 1700s. My argument is based on empirical evidence, and centuries of history. Trade leads to prosperity, protectionism does not.

Your argument is based on nothing but emotion and a sense of entitlement; ie a) it’s not fair that lazy unionized Americans making $75 an hour are replaced with hard working Chinese working for $7.50 and b) your belief that your are entitled to a job.

As for the argument that we should do what is in the interest of America; I do want that. But that is done by allowing 300 million Americans doing what is in their own interest. And that means buying foreign goods when they’re cheaper. And that means hiring foreign workers when it makes sense. When every person maximizes their own economic situation, the country as a whole prospers.

When you force someone to pay $10 for socks when a $1 option is available, you’re hurting that person. Maybe you save 100 jobs at a sock factory. But 299.999 million people now become $9 poorer. That is not efficient allocation of resources and the country suffers.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-10-06 06:48:54

Eddie, the proof of the pudding is that the Americans are hurting and starving for jobs, so apparently this GLobal wage force has not been in the best interest of the American work
force .

You act like we owe people from other Countries a job because they can do it cheaper ,when in reality the ’saved costs “goes into the pockets of the Corporations and their stockholders and
the outlandish CEO salaries . I don’t call that a situation in which America prospers ,as you suggest . In fact ,the extra savings goes in the hands of the few ,and that is not great distribution of the wealth if your concern is for “efficient allocation of recourses .”
The more people are unemployed ,the more it taxes the welfare system ,have you thought about that supplement to BIg Business ?

 
Comment by Wolf
2009-10-06 08:15:42

Big V and Wiz- Really outstanding posts explaining your views.

It’s amazing that some can’t see where the free trade/outsourcing policies inevitably end up for US citizens. It reminds me of those who couldn’t see how easy credit/big spending would cause the housing bubble to burst. Looking back it seems obvious. Everyone should have seen it, but they didn’t. It’s the same with free trade. It’s pretty easy to see how it ends up.

 
 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2009-10-05 08:23:25

Engineer jobs in the boring Mojave desert at NAWC in Ridgecrest. You will be bored out of your wits at the area. Full of churches, Bible thumpers, rednecks, and witch hunters. But you got a job that is sometimes interesting.

House prices there are still at the peak. About the only place in California where the bubble has not burst. Because the military base is expanding big time.

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Comment by lavi d
2009-10-05 10:16:26

I just drive through Ridgecrest yesterday. Looks like any other podunk CA desert town - Victorville, Lancaster, Barstow. Well at least the ones to have the good? fortune to be big enough to warrant a WalMart. There’s plenty others who have not achieved that milestone - Inyokern, Atolia, Randsville, Trona, Boron…

 
Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:30:37

Amboy.

 
Comment by lavi d
2009-10-05 12:26:56

Amboy.

:)

 
 
 
Comment by Bad Chile
2009-10-05 08:13:20

If they ain’t got a PE…they ain’t engineers.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-10-05 09:54:37

Agreed. And I’m a bit biased on this point, as my father is a PE. Has been for many years.

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Comment by oxide
2009-10-05 10:43:34

Could HBB’ers-ers please distinguish between traditional engineering and computer programming?

The term “engineer” has a shiny lustre for a reason (it’s hard, OK?), and I’m tired of people co-opting the term when they don’t deserve it.

Comment by Reuven
2009-10-05 10:59:42

It’s easy! Engineers are people with a “PE” license. Anyone else using that title or the word “Engineering” in their company name is a fraud, and can even be prosecuted for fraud in most stated. (Sadly, it’s mostly unenforced.)

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Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:32:11

P-E ?

 
Comment by lavi d
2009-10-05 12:42:02

P-E ?

Professional Engineer.

In my entire 25 year technical career, I’ve met two.

 
 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 11:03:09

Don’t “deserve” it? I used to wonder why so many companies would insist on hiring programmers, scientists, etc (not engineers), but then giving them the title of engineer. Now I know. It’s because that helps the company make the case that this is an “engineering” job, and therefore needs to be filled by an H1-B visa type. It is definitely NOT because being an “engineer” is more prestigious than being a programmer or a scientist.

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Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-10-05 13:24:25

BIG V …you are so right on with this issue . If you looked on a balance scale ,the plus for a Global economy at this time in history just does not
outweigh the minus ,at least for Americans that is .

 
Comment by oxide
2009-10-05 14:52:34

Sorry Big V…I was referring to “sales engineers” and the like.

 
 
 
Comment by VaBeyatch in Virginia Beach
2009-10-05 12:38:24

Friend who moved back here from Silicon Valley (to be with family) said that it was very hard to find good skilled people. This was perhaps 2 years ago. He swears that if you’re good there are still jobs.

Comment by GrizzlyBear
2009-10-05 12:50:50

I worked in purchasing for a .com back in the late 90’s. What I noticed was that the people who were quickly moving up within the ranks were attractive a$$kissers, not necessarily the sharpest tools in the shed. There was lots of gossiping, backstabbing, and just plain immature behavior. This was after my stint with BofA, and I decided I just wasn’t cut out for corporate life. I don’t have it in me to suck up to people and play all of those games.

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Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-10-05 15:22:35

But,even if your self-employed ,Global wage competition can make it impossible for you to even be able to be self employed
and be able to compete anymore .

The effect of faulty tariffs on imports ,or worse, the fact that American
Corporations don’t have tariffs when they import from their divisions from others Countries ,is creating a monopoly .
Companies or self employed people that don’t go Global are left in the dust .

 
 
 
 
Comment by Sleepr Cell
2009-10-05 10:31:04

“We dont need more liberal arts, we need more engineers…”

+1000.

This country is in desperate need of people who can think on their feet and actually get things done/fixed/built/created. All the native born however just want to be ‘rock stars’ Most of them couldn’t tell you what a differential equation is if you held a gun to their head.

Comment by aNYCdj
2009-10-05 11:21:16

YES and when we apply for the jobs we are magically always “overqualified”

 
Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:33:53

All the native born however just want to be ‘rock stars’ Most of them

WOW, just wow. Really, all of us, native born want to just be rock stars?
Sleepr, go back to sleep.

 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2009-10-05 06:54:51

This fellow is not wrong, there will be another down turn, the props won’t hold. I think the mistake is thinking it will be in the form of a “W”. The next bottom with be followed by a long trudge along said bottom. IMO

HSBC chief fears a second downturn
By Patrick Jenkins, Banking Editor
Last updated: October 5 2009 09:19

Michael Geoghegan, chief executive of HSBC, is so convinced there will be a second downturn in the coming months that he plans to delay any rush to expand the bank.

“Is this a V recovery or a W?” Mr Geoghegan asked in an interview with the FT. “[I think] it’s the latter. [If I’m right], we have to be very careful we don’t grow the balance sheet so far before the recovery has come only to write it back into the impairment line later on. I’m cautious about growing too fast.”

Comment by Professor Bear
2009-10-05 08:46:42

“Is this a V recovery or a W?”

It’s a backwards N recovery.

Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 08:53:53

Right, it’s double-u, not double-v!

Comment by Al
2009-10-05 09:06:10

How about a Z shaped recovery? Riding high –> going down & backwards –> trudging along the bottom.

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Comment by az_lender
2009-10-05 10:10:27

“backwards N recovery” — ha ha ha —

And to her credit, “Big V” took her screen name not to describe her vision of the recovery, but to indicate a directional Down Arrow.

Comment by lavi d
2009-10-05 14:56:57

And to her credit, “Big V” took her screen name not to describe her vision of the recovery, but to indicate a directional Down Arrow.

I thought it was in reference to her, um, decolletage.

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Comment by DennisN
2009-10-05 06:54:57

Along with snakes and gators, people in Florida now have to fear attacks from evil raccoons.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/33175101/ns/us_news-life/

Gretchen Whitted fell when five raccoons surrounded and attacked her Sunday. She was taken to a hospital with extensive cuts from her neck to her legs.

Gretchen needs to borrow Olygal’s flamethrower.

Comment by cereal
2009-10-05 07:10:23

I always sensed Raccoons can be dangerous. The have the same basic body as a badger.

Comment by Skip
2009-10-05 08:08:16

Plus raccoons always wear masks.

Comment by Al
2009-10-05 09:08:35

I heard that racoons are buying up all the RE in California.

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Comment by scdave
2009-10-05 08:24:54

Don’t bother a coon…They act passive but they can be quite vicious if threatened…Nasty teeth and claws…Just walk up to a momma with her brood and she will gladly show you her teeth…

Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 08:58:09

I saw a bunch of creepy ones last night on the way home from the pool hall. No, not in an alley, they were outside a $3 million “home” in Forest Hills. They just glared at me from the side of a big tree, all fat and furry, didn’t budge. It was like Travis Bickle in Taxi Driver … “Come on, you make the first move … .”

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Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 09:12:58

OK…

nycdj, what else would You do?…

“Now somewhere in the black mountain hills of dakota
There lived a young boy named rocky raccoon
And one day his woman ran off with another guy
Hit young rocky in the eye rocky didn’t like that
He said i’m gonna get that boy
So one day he walked into town
Booked himself a room in the local saloon.

Rocky raccoon checked into his room
Only to find gideon’s bible
Rocky had come equipped with a gun
To shoot off the legs of his rival
His rival it seems had broken his dreams
By stealing the girl of his fancy.
Her name was magil and she called herself lil
But everyone knew her as nancy.
Now she and her man who called himself dan
Were in the next room at the hoe down
Rocky burst in and grinning a grin
He said danny boy this is a showdown
But daniel was hot-he drew first and shot
And rocky collapsed in the corner.

Now the doctor came in stinking of gin
And proceeded to lie on the table
He said rocky you met your match
And rocky said, doc it’s only a scratch
And i’ll be better i’ll be better doc as soon as i am able.

Now rocky raccoon he fell back in his room
Only to find gideon’s bible
Gideon checked out and he left it no doubt
To help with good rocky’s revival”.

 
Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2009-10-05 10:34:52

Ahh I love the smell of Beatles in the morning. :)

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 10:57:56

Hi SanFranQualityLady!!!! :)

Mom down to one re chemo?

How is she doing San?

Your friend,

Greg

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 11:10:02

San:

I was thinking…

I have plenty of friends, and lady friends as well. All of good standing. This is Sir Paul Mc Cartney’s LAST TOUR.

( I know you can’t do this, but let’s house for a minure, OK?).

I thought…

I’ll get us decent seats, ( if I can, 2K minimum is the going rate), you can book a Hilton in St. Louis, and you and me would have a blast.

However, like life, there is always a problem…

I invited Shorty first. He wants to eat Sir Paul McCartney, all band members, the stage, and the electronics attached thereto.

So…

It’s me and Shorty, and I am sorry.

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 11:20:43

“house for a minure”

Heck I Like it!! I know San thinks it’s ATE-UP.

Heck, I don’t even know what words I was trying to say! :)

I might change my CB radio handle… “house for minure”.

Until then, I am going to sleep.

Minure, a/k/a ATE-UP.

 
Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2009-10-05 16:21:27

Ate-Up,

Mom has two more chemo treatments. She is doing really good.

I will have to pass on the invite. Thank you for thinking about me and mom.

Mom says thank you for being so thoughtful.

Did you go back to work?

 
Comment by Olympiagal
2009-10-05 16:43:58

I invited Shorty first. He wants to eat Sir Paul McCartney, all band members, the stage, and the electronics attached thereto.

You think that’s funny, Mr. Man. Wait until he actually DOES. Plus any handy roosters and a cat or two, for dessert.

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 17:39:44

SanFranQualityLady:

Glad your mom is doing well, and tell her my heart thinks about her, and you too. I know how good of a lady you are, and I am sure your Mother made you that way.

Oly Gal:

Yeah, I know. that is why he is my best friend, and also why I invited him first! :)

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 17:48:02

San: I forgot, and thanks for asking.

Yeah, I think I am going back to work, probably a couple weeks.

Adolf Hitler/Charles Manson/ Richard Speck/ Pol Pot, etc., is on vacation in Florida, but I talked to him today.

He is a good guy. Two athletes locking horns and he beat me.

I am Roberto Duran, in “Ray Leonard v Duran”. No Mas. Thanks for asking Quality Lady.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Stpn2me
2009-10-05 07:15:11

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,560144,00.html?test=latestnews

Along THAT theme, here is someone with a PET bear…

It says she also owned a tiger and a lion. WTF??? Why have man-eating animals if you cant touch or interact with them? Why keep them in a CAGE for all their lives? I’m with the animal nuts on this one, let these animals run free in an african park or a zoo. Dont keep them at home so they can make you a bowel movement.

Also, a side question…

Why isnt it you never hear of black folk getting eaten by these animals?

Just playing guys…:)

Comment by Stpn2me
2009-10-05 07:26:46

Officials say Walz threw a shovelful of dog food to one side of the cage to distract the bear while she cleaned the other side.

The dog food must have been bad….

Comment by Skip
2009-10-05 08:09:13

Maybe it was real dog…

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Comment by samk
2009-10-05 08:57:59

Notes to self:

1) Do not keep black bear as pet.
2) If a black bear must be kept as a pet, do not enter pet black bear’s cage while pet black bear is still inside the cage.

The sad thing is that someone killed the bear.

There was a story on the news here in SW PA a couple of years ago about a lady who fed a momma bear and her cubs. They videotaped her walking out into her yard while the bear family trundled out of the woods for their food. Momma looked really tense. I keep expecting the “Lady Who Fed Bears in Backyard Mauled” story. Nothing so far.

Comment by Matt_in_TX
2009-10-05 19:59:36

3) Do not smear jam on your kids face to get “The Perfect Christmas Card Photo”

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Comment by VaBeyatch in Virginia Beach
2009-10-05 12:42:08

Check out the dude that has the cabin up in Alaska. He befriended the wild bears. There is video of him cuddling up to one. Hunters came on his property and he is like NO! And then a bear comes up and stands behind the guy who owns the property and puts his paw on his shoulder and the hunter looks like he soiled his drawers. There was a TV show about it recently. The guy roped off his cabin and distanced himself from the bears though.

Comment by Olympiagal
2009-10-05 16:48:21

I saw that show! It was terrific! Those bears are magnificent. I can’t think of any other word for them. Even when they were rolling on their backs waggling their paws in the air comically. The guy’s just hanging out with them around a campfire…
Neat.

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Comment by X-GSfixr
2009-10-05 18:33:44

Watched “Grizzly Man” with a gal I was dating.

She got all teary eyed, sensitive gal that she was……

I was alternating between LMAO when he “got et”, and making snide comments about “…..what a friggin’ moron…….”

We broke up a couple of days later It was probably for the best.

 
Comment by robiscrazy
2009-10-05 19:23:15

Funny how nature slaps us back to reality whenever we start to think we are so dominant that we can do anything. Such as interact with grizzly bears on our own terms.

We do NOT have the physical attributes to survive in the wild such as fangs, claws, body hair, heightened sense of smell, or super strength. We supposedly have a brain that we use for survival. Supposedly.

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2009-10-05 19:49:00

I did get to interact with a Bengal tiger once.

Daughter’s best friend’s uncle ran an exotic animal farm (supplied animals to zoos, etc). She would go out there to ride horses.

Went to pick her up one day, her friend showed us the nursery. They had some kind of African deer that looked like a chihuahua-sized white tail. They also had a 3 month old Bengal Tiger. Got to play with him a while. Acted like any other kitten, except he weighed about 40 pounds, and his teeth and claws were bigger. Yeah, we got clawed/bit a little, but it was worth it.

Did you know tigers purr? I didn’t, but this little sucker was purring when we were playing with him.

They had a couple of adult snow leopards………the horses gave their pen a WIDE berth.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 06:58:45

“Finacial” = Financial.

“Armagedaoon” = Ask Oly, or, better yet, Shorty first.

Comment by lavi d
2009-10-05 16:54:05

“Armagedaoon” = Ask Oly, or, better yet, Shorty first.

I can handle this one.

Armagedaoon, as in “Arma gedda oon to eat this ogurt with”

 
 
Comment by chilidoggg
2009-10-05 07:00:58

Will any of these deadbeat homeowners get a 1099 for the free rent they get for 12-24+ months of nonpayment of their mortgages before they’re thrown out? When the foreclosure process took 5-6 months max, it wasn’t that big a deal. Now, there are deliberate delays by the lenders in order to shore up the value of their portfolios, plus they’re getting taxpayer subsidies. They’ve factually changed from being owners of mortgage investments to being owners of property investments. The IRS should make them recognize depreciation on these houses and make them recognize fair market rental income, and if the bank wants to deduct rent not received, they better 1099 the tenant. There are ways to come up with fair market rent, and I don’t care how they protest they took my money I can make the rules. Rant off.

Comment by cereal
2009-10-05 07:13:13

Better idea. Mail them a fake 1099. ‘course you’ll need their social.

But now how funny would that be?

 
Comment by SD renter
2009-10-05 07:18:22

Chili dog-

I never thought of that. Good point. The IRS use to tax owner occ foreclosures on the amount your bank sold the property under what you owed until they let the people off recently.

I believe that was called debt relief tax. How about the free rent tax? That could bring in a tidy sum to the US treasuries…if they could collect it.

 
Comment by scdave
2009-10-05 07:35:10

The IRS should make them recognize depreciation ??

Why waste precious time chasing a empty basket ?? Its all about return on investment and the IRS invests time…If you are filing, you make a above average income and you itemize with lots of deductions (typical small business) “watch out”…

 
Comment by San Diego RE Bear
2009-10-05 13:46:50

If they are collecting rent they are required by law to report it on a Schedule E. Not that they probably will, but there are ways the government has of finding out about this income. Here in CA, the state offers a $60 credit to renters. Seems to me a cheap way to see if someone is declaring their rental income - just matchup the taxpayers address with the property address with the owners return.

I can only hope some of these deadbeats get caught for tax evasion. At least it’s something else the government can go after if a person gives them a reason too. And tenants can simply make copies of all their rent checks and send them to the IRS if they get evicted by a bank because the mortgage wasn’t paid. What are the odds someone would rent out a house they knew would soon be foreclosed upon and yet declare the rental income? I doubt very high and if I was a tenant screwed over like this I would certainly do my best to screw them back.

Remember, they finally got Al Capone on tax evasion!

Comment by scdave
2009-10-05 14:33:49

finally got Al Capone on tax evasion ??

Because they were desperate and could not get him for anything else..

Just think for a moment how many people in this country that purchased and lost real estate due to HELOC’s, buying 10 investment properties or whatever…The numbers are massive and increasing…It would take the IRS tens of millions of hours to catch up with all these people besides the a century or two…And what would they end up with, a Tax Lien ?? Most of these people will walk without any repercussions IMO…Just be rewarded for bad behavior just like AIG the Banks, Wall Street and many others…

 
 
 
Comment by SUGuy
2009-10-05 07:40:11

I think the headline should read Treasury officials were liars and cheats.

Bailout cop: Treasury set ‘unrealistic expectations’

Barofsky, reviewing the first big bailouts to 9 firms, concludes that the government was too rosy to the public about the banks’ health.

WASHINGTON (CNNMoney.com) — A government watchdog says federal officials weren’t entirely honest with the public about the health of the first 9 financial firms that got federal bailouts, according to a report released Monday.

Bailout special inspector general Neil Barofsky says in an audit that Treasury Department officials painted an overly rosy picture, creating “unrealistic expectations,” when they called the first bailout banks “healthy” institutions that would be able to lend more with government help.

http://money.cnn.com/2009/10/05/news/economy/bailout_report/?postversion=2009100506

Comment by Matt_in_TX
2009-10-05 20:05:23

Seriously, who expects government officials to tell us the sky is collapsing? We expect them to tell us: “We are fixing it - go ahead on.”

 
Comment by SDGreg
2009-10-05 23:39:18

“Ultimately, the lesson is straightforward: accuracy and transparency will enhance the credibility of Government programs like TARP and restore taxpayer confidence in the policy makers who manage them,” the report said. “Inaccurate statements, on the other hand, could have unintended long-term consequences that could damage the trust that the American people have in their government.”

Trust has already been damaged. The assumption, until proven otherwise, is that government financial statements are purposely deceptive.

 
 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2009-10-05 07:41:41

Deflation anyone?

http://apnews.myway.com/article/20091004/D9B4D6C01.html

NEW YORK (AP) - There has never been a better time to be a consumer. America is on sale.

Prices on everything from clothes to coffee to cat food are dropping, some faster than they have in half a century. Items rarely discounted - like Tiffany engagements rings - are now. The two biggest purchases most people make - homes and new cars - are selling at steep price reductions.

“This is the new normal,” says Donald Keprta, president of Dominick’s, a supermarket chain in the Midwest, which just cut prices by as much as 30 percent on thousands of items. “We aren’t going back.”

But ever-lower prices have risks, too. The more shoppers expect prices to fall, the less they shop until prices drop. It becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy that forces companies to keep cutting. That reduces profits, making it less likely companies will hire workers or raise wages. Economists say the worst scenario would be a deflationary spiral, which Japan has been stuck in for the last two decades.

Comment by packman
2009-10-05 07:59:14

The two biggest purchases most people make - homes and new cars - are selling at steep price reductions.

Two comments:

- Homes - not so recently; see Case/Shiller data. Prices are up the last few months, due to the Fed’s pumping.

- New cars may be down. Used cars - not so much.

(again due to Fed pumping)

Yeah these things may go back down again after the pumping is complete, but don’t underestimate the Fed’s ability to continue/expand the pumping programs and/or just shift them to other areas. E.g. we like to only look at consumer goods - but for some reason the prices of things like airplanes, tanks, roads, trains, power plants, communications equipment, etc. never make the headlines - even though these are huge components of our economy, and are the most subject to price increases due to related stimulus and military spending.

Also keep in mind that houses and new houses and new cars are private sector luxury items; things that naturally would see the highest price declines during a recession. Being that we are seeing a massive shift of money from the private to the public sector right now, I’d love to see articles that discuss how those prices are affected.

Reuters? AP? WSJ? Anyone? How about some articles on that? Housing and cars are easy - let’s see some real journalism on what’s happening with the prices of *other* things (besides commodities - which are also easy).

Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 09:06:43

Since when is a new car a luxury?

Comment by packman
2009-10-05 09:29:26

It’s all relative. I’m defining luxury as “something you can do without when finances are tight”. In the case of cars that means either buying used or making do with your existing one for a while longer.

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Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 09:41:38

A new car is not a luxury? Doesn’t it lose something like 25% of its value when it’s driven off the lot?

 
Comment by potential buyer
2009-10-05 11:45:18

Yeah and why is that? Anyone ever questioned who came up with that?

 
Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:46:31

when it’s driven off the lot?

Not even. Just when the paper is signed..

 
 
 
Comment by Jon
2009-10-05 09:34:19

“Being that we are seeing a massive shift of money from the private to the public sector right now, I’d love to see articles that discuss how those prices are affected.”

In order for their to be a massive shift of money from the private to the public sector, there would have to be substantial tax increases. I haven’t seen that. On the other hand, their is a massive shift of spending from the private to the public sector. Both because the private has collapsed and the public has jumped.

Just nitpicking.

Comment by packman
2009-10-05 09:42:31

In order for their to be a massive shift of money from the private to the public sector, there would have to be substantial tax increases.

Excuse me - what? What planet do you live on?

Here on earth, be aware that the largest economy in the world is currently running an $11.8 Trillion debt, with a $1.8 Trillion annual deficit. That’d be money that is flowing through the public sector that is not paid for by taxes.

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Comment by Jon
2009-10-05 14:07:29

And how do you see that said money is a transfer from the private sector to the public sector? My guess is that most of it is just printed by the Fed.

 
Comment by packman
2009-10-05 14:44:11

The act of the Fed printing money and giving it to the public sector is a transfer of wealth from private to public.

The creation of the money first devalues all other existing money, which is the act of taking wealth from both public and private. However the new money is all (or mostly) given to public, so the net for public is positive, net for private is negative. A transfer of wealth.

 
 
 
 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2009-10-05 08:20:43

Gee, maybe now folks will realize how much retail has been ripping them off all along. Take those golf balls for instance, obviously they can hack off 40% of the price and still stay in business.

Comment by awaiting wipeout
2009-10-05 09:01:40

edgewaterjohn-
You know how people always make comments about a retailer charging so much “they’re out of their minds”. It’s not the retailer, it’s the consumer. The retailer is smart, the consumer is clueless.

 
Comment by Eddie
2009-10-05 09:08:58

Maybe at a golf shop. Go to WalMart and you can buy the exact same golf balls for 50% less. Even better buy the used balls that are sold in bulk and they work out to about $0.20 a ball compared to $1.50+ new in a golf shop.

Comment by az_lender
2009-10-05 10:14:35

Even better spend a little time in the woods near the greens and find as many of other people’s golf balls as you can possibly use. Oh well, I admit I have kind of high handicap so I’m not fussy.

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Comment by scdave
2009-10-05 08:55:43

Nice post Bill….

 
Comment by In Colorado
2009-10-05 09:36:24

As others have said her before, the “wants” will drop in price because no one will have the $$ to buy them (this includes new cars).

The “Needs” which wil be purchased regardless, will increase in price. This explains why there has been so much price resiliency in use cars. You need a car in most of America. But a low mileage 2005 model year vehicle will the job just fine.

Like I said the said the other day, our 2005 Saturn VUE would fetch 15K or more, and it cost 25K when new. Its probably worth more now than it was 2 years ago.

People are buying used cars and it shows. The listings on cars.com are much shorter than they used to be. In the VUE’s case I’m seeing less than half as many offered on line at cars.com than last year. Asking prices were 12K or less last year. Now I’m seeing 2005 VUE’s with asking prices as high as 18K (very low mileage).

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2009-10-05 12:54:43

You NEED food and you NEED clothing. I can confirm our grocery bill has come down a bit in the last six to nine months. My wife can confirm :-) that the price of clothing has come down somewhat more.

Gasoline and diesel costs less. Rents are lower. These are also things people need.

Comment by GrizzlyBear
2009-10-05 13:29:48

“Like I said the said the other day, our 2005 Saturn VUE would fetch 15K or more, and it cost 25K when new. Its probably worth more now than it was 2 years ago.”

You obviously never went back and read my response to this ridiculous assertion which I completely refuted. There are 2008 model year AWD Vue’s in the Denver area with ASKING prices of $15,995. Your 2005 Vue will not even garner close to $15k. I’m surprised that an HBB veteran such as yourself is so misguided in terms of prices.

I’ve been dealing with this a lot lately as I’m in the market for a used motorcycle. There are people listing things as firm when their prices are well above blue book. Not gonna happen in this economy- or ever.

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Comment by In Colorado
2009-10-05 16:01:47

And those are 4 cylinder models, not the ones with the 3.5 L V6 Honda Engines. The 1st Gen models with the Honda powertrains are in greater demand than the newer Opel Antara based 2nd Gen VUEs that are equipped with the crummy GM 4 bangers. Asking prices for 1st gen 4 bangers are much lower as well, as much as 5K vs the Honda powered models. Even when equipped with a GM V6 the 2nd Gen models don’t seem as popular. I don’t know why, I just report the asking prices I see on cars.com. And the asking prices on first gen V6 VUEs are way up compared to last year. If Saturn of Ft. Collins asks the same price for a 2005 Honda powered VUE as they do for a 2008 with GM’s mediocre 4 banger or even the antiquated V6, I guess they must know something.

As to whether our VUE would fetch 10K or 15K its irrelevant. We’re not selling it or trading it in any time soon, since the part that counts, the Honda power train, will last a long time.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2009-10-05 08:17:42

Goldman to be paid $1bn if CIT fails.
New York
October 4 2009 22:30

Goldman Sachs stands to receive a payment of $1bn – while US taxpayers would lose $2.3bn – if embattled commercial lender CIT files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, people familiar with the matter said.

The payment stems from the structure of a $3bn rescue finance package that Goldman extended to CIT on June 6 2008, about five months before the Treasury bought $2.3bn in CIT preferred shares to prop it up at the height of the crisis. The potential loss for taxpayers would be the biggest to crystalise so far from the government’s capital injection plan for banks.

Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 08:35:45

Maybe the Mets could get a winner’s name on their park if Citi goes under. Goldman Sachs Field … oh, forgot, that’s the Yankees. Or is it just that rooting for them is like rooting for Goldman Sachs?

Comment by Steve W
2009-10-05 10:39:31

Citibank is not CIT. Different company.

Confusing as heck to me as well.

Comment by nycjoe
2009-10-05 11:10:39

Oops, I thought that was a little bit of shorthand. D’oh.

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Comment by wmbz
2009-10-05 08:20:13

The mystery investor who is turning the tin market on its head
A single investor – thought to be a hedge fund – is sitting on thousands of tonnes of tin in warehouses across London. According to traders almost the entire stocks of tin on the London Metals Exchange (LME) was bought up by a single, mysterious investor, last week.
6:31PM BST 04 Oct 2009

One fund has warrants for more than 90pc of all physical tin stocks because the market rules dictate that above this threshold, the buyer must lend out the commodity, if asked, at the cash price with no premium.

Industrial buyers are furious that they are paying up to $730 per tonne for immediate delivery more than it would cost them to buy three-month futures contracts, arguing this stranglehold on the market should not be allowed to happen.

Contango – where spot prices are lower than forward prices – is considered normal for tin because of the interest, warehouse costs and insurance incurred in carrying the metal. Backwardation – which is happening with tin today – is a sign of shortages to come.

Traders are also claiming that prices have only inflated so high – at other times plunging to extreme lows – because the dominant position has made the market illiquid and disorderly with distorted prices.

“It’s a ridiculous situation to have when there is clearly not a shortage of tin and the LME is refusing to admit that anything’s wrong,” said one metals trader.

So why would a fund take the decision to stockpile a metal when there is an enormous surplus of tin around the world?

At the moment, tin for three-month delivery is trading at above $14,000 on the LSE, a 40pc rise in prices after a 35pc drop last year.

But the mysterious buyer is clearly convinced that the commodity’s price has further to soar.

China, the world’s biggest consumer of tin, has already fired up its consumption sharply this year. The nation’s imports more than doubled to 18,222 tons in the eight months to August, according to customs data. And its purchasing managers index shows that China’s manufacturing expanded for a seventh month in a row in September.

Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2009-10-05 09:19:52

Maybe he is in charge of preventing people from wearing tin foil hats?

Comment by hip in zilker
2009-10-05 09:52:16

Nnooooooooooooooooooo!!

 
Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:49:57

The Tin Man. What happens next when he goes after the Straw man and the Lion.

 
 
Comment by cobaltblue
2009-10-05 09:23:48

“So why would a fund take the decision to stockpile a metal when there is an enormous surplus of tin around the world?”

Explanation simple: There seems to be a growing realization world-wide that tin-foil hats actually need to be made from tin, and not the Hollywood fantasy aluminum foil.

Now, on to the next one…

Comment by hip in zilker
2009-10-05 09:53:55

tin-foil hats actually need to be made from tin, and not the Hollywood fantasy aluminum foil

Uh-oh. Dang!

 
Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2009-10-05 10:58:45

Dang,

Looks like I missed out on another pre bubble ;)

 
Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 11:14:46

copy cat

 
 
Comment by DennisN
2009-10-05 12:11:29

Tin is becoming more important due to the green’s insistance of eliminating lead from solder.

Tin however is more difficult to use as solder. Tin also grows crystals that “bridge” contacts and causes short-circuits, which is why it’s banned in satellites.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-10-05 08:57:23

Why do Wall Street casino operations get bailouts, but not Las Vegas casinos? UNFAIR!

* The Wall Street Journal
* REAL ESTATE
* OCTOBER 5, 2009

Vegas Casinos Fold on Expansion Plans

By ALEXANDRA BERZON

LAS VEGAS — After a six-year building frenzy that transformed this city, casino companies are shifting strategies dramatically toward slower growth, paying down debt and cutting back on spending.

Many casino executives don’t expect to break ground on another major building project in Las Vegas for at least 10 years.

“The old model has been thrown out the window,” says MGM Mirage Chief Executive Jim Murren.

People kept coming back to Las Vegas earlier in the decade — and spending more and more money when they did. In July 2007, visitation to the city was up 13% compared with the same month in 2002, while gambling revenue was up 53% and room rates were up 74%.

The massive investments in construction projects also boosted casino stocks as investors bet that revenue and profits would rise. Las Vegas Sands Corp. shares hit $144.56 in the fall of 2007, more than double their closing price on the stock’s first day of trading at the end of 2004. MGM Mirage’s stock nearly tripled to $99.75 a share during that same period.

Many companies tried to pile into the Las Vegas market. In May 2007, El-Ad Group of Israel paid nearly $36 million an acre for 34.5 acres of land on the Las Vegas Strip, with plans to build a $5 billion complex.

That all collapsed when the economy went sour. By this spring, MGM Mirage stock had lost 98% of its value and Las Vegas Sands stock had fallen 99% from its peak. Both have recovered somewhat since then. MGM Mirage is trying to work off its more than $12 billion in debt, while Las Vegas Sands is trying to reduce its more than $10 billion in debt. The plans for El-Ad’s complex on the Strip never materialized.

Comment by neuromance
2009-10-05 20:00:50

Why do Wall Street casino operations get bailouts, but not Las Vegas casinos? UNFAIR!

Because the Wall Street casino operators compensate federal politicians much more thoroughly and richly than do Vegas casino operators, probably.

 
 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 09:36:18

Time for Bub…

Mr.Filter has been on a cruise, or, the equivalent…

He continues to have lower-gastro blockage problems, aggravated by (supra) I suppose…

So Bub, break out the magic formula!!

 
Comment by packman
2009-10-05 09:37:51

Surprised no one’s posted this.

Social Security now running at a deficit, in part because 2009 benefits collections were up 19% over 2008.

Given that just a few months ago in May they weren’t projecting deficits to start until 2016 - seems they were a bit… optimistic.

And this despite the “green shoots”.

Comment by WT Economist
2009-10-05 12:53:21

Get in before the program is closed to all future generations, who will nonetheless continue to pay taxes. A good move, particularly with more voters in the system.

Get yours, and let your children die. It’s too late to do anything else.

 
 
Comment by Michael Fink
2009-10-05 10:06:37

Ahh.. It was only a matter of time. Today I open to mail to find a “Notice of Collection Activity” from WaMu; apparently my LL has decided to bail on his home in FL (not surprising, since he’s at least 1/4 of M underwater, and my rent doesn’t even cover the fixed costs, let alone the MTG).

Anyway, my question is.. Now what? Do I call the lender and figure out what they are planning to do? Do I stop paying rent? Do I talk to the landlord? Do I call a lawyer (please don’t say yes!)?

I knew this was coming; this house is down 50%+ from where he purchased it, and he’s an absentee landlord (lives 1000 miles away).

Any help/suggestion/etc would be much appreciated!

Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 11:17:41

Talk to your landlord and see if he still expects you to pay rent. If so, then tell him you’re willing to negotiate a new lease at, say, 50% off. That will allow you to save money for the move. The bank has to give you at least 90 days notice if they foreclose, and it might take them a long, long time to eventually kick you out.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2009-10-05 11:28:50

I see a nice squatting situation for you.

The landlord is BROKE is is not going to hire and PAY a retainer for a FloorRiddah lawyer to start eviction proceedings against you

So if the bank contacts you , you can say i will pay the utilities and the taxes and live here until you actually sell this dump.

Or else an abandoned house is ripe for vandals and a pissed off landlord who will drive 1000 just to steal everything he can.

That should shut the bank up or the next 2-3 years while you save up a for great down payment

Comment by Michael Fink
2009-10-05 11:51:34

That would be very nice, however, I’m concerned that I’m the one who’s going to get the short end of this stick. My contract is with the landlord, and, from what I understand, it’s invalidated by him not paying his MTG. So, following the letter of the law, I should pay him, and then, when I move, expect him to send me back my (large) security deposit/rental pre-payments.

I actually sent an e-mail over to him today to see what the situation is. Hopefully we can negotiate something out; but, unfortunately, I think I’m the one on shaky legal ground; if I don’t pay, he has every right to sue me! What a crazy system. I’d much rather pay the bank than the landlord, they are the ones who really own this house!

Comment by realestateskeptic
2009-10-05 12:06:46

Open an escrow account and deposit all of your future rent there. Don’t pay your L/lord if you have a sec. deposit with him/her. If the L/l has the gumption to come after you, show up at Court with your bank notice and Bank statement showing the escrow deposits, and let the Judge tell you what to do. I am a lawyer in MA so this is not state specific, but just common sense which sometimes doesn’t mix well with the actual law ;-)

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Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 12:15:17

It is perfectly legal for you to tell your landlord to use the security deposit to cover your final rent payments. And you PREPAID for rent? Crazy. Stop paying until all your deposits are used up.

The security deposit is to ensure that you fulfill the terms of the lease, it’s NOT to cover “damages” that you might do to the house. Those can be paid after you move out, IF you agree with the LL’s assessment of said damages. If not, then he can sue you in small claims for it, and probably lose. Why do so many tenants assume that their landlords have the right to demand anything they want? Let the power of choice lie with you. Make sure that HE doesn’t owe YOU on moving day.

Just tell your LL that you want reduced rent, otherwise you will move. He won’t be able to find another tenant because he’s a leper now.

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Comment by Michael Fink
2009-10-05 12:20:24

Yup, that’s exactly what I’m going to do, I want 1/2 price rent from now up until the foreclosure sale! There’s no way he’s going to rent this to somebody else; and it would be a financial windfall to me, so, I could, in fact, come out of this better than I went in.

Anyway, that’s my hope; I’ll keep you all apprised as to how it goes. :)

Oh, and for the rent prepayment. Typically, in FL, landlords wanted first/last and security (especially for “luxury” homes). So he’s holding ~2 months of rent (last and the security).

 
Comment by realestateskeptic
2009-10-05 12:44:37

Why pay him anything, you could be saving 100% of you rent, not just 50%. Let your money on deposit with him ride and save the rest until the foreclosure sale and possibly beyond. Can’t see how he has the resources or desire to try to evict you under these circumstances.

 
Comment by fecaltime!
2009-10-05 13:59:02

You are 100% correct. He should not be paying this landlord 50% rent, he should be paying him zero. Clearly the landlord is not paying the mortgage and is just going to pocket the money, if anybody should be pocketing the money, it should be the renter for once!

Fecaltime!

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2009-10-05 12:28:05

True, but again he is 1000 miles away and either has to file in person or hire a lawyer to do so…and he has to show up on your court date too…. You have a right as an American to face your accuser even if its a deadbeat landlord.

If he doesn’t show ask the judge for it to be dismissed with prejudice so he can’t file again.

——————————————————
if I don’t pay, he has every right to sue me

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Comment by CarrieAnn
2009-10-05 12:35:06

“Should that (foreclosure on your rental) happen to you, section 702 of a federal law that was passed in May, the Protecting Tenants at Foreclosure Act, allows you to stay until the end of your lease, plus an additional 90 days. However, if the new owner plans to occupy the house full-time, he can terminate your lease immediately and give you 90 days to find a new place. Similarly, you’ll have 90 days notice if you are on a month-to-month lease. (Unless it is extended, this new law will end on Dec. 31, 2012.)

In order for you to enjoy this protection, however, you must be current on your rent. Unfair as it may seem when the landlord isn’t paying his bills, he still owns the property until it goes on the auction block. If you don’t pay what you owe, he can write to you giving you three business days to pay up or move. If you don’t, he can start legal action to evict you. If the court rules in his favor or you don’t respond to the lawsuit, you could be evicted within 24 hours.”

I saved this to my harddrive yesterday but did not take note of the source. The 3 business day window even while not continuing to pay the non-paying landlord concerned me. Technically I suppose they could throw your stuff out after a 3 day notice and then you would not be able to sue them. If they or a family member wants the space, your non payment could be all it would take.

Comment by Big V
2009-10-05 13:35:54

No, you have 3 days to pay before they start to file eviction proceedings on you. They can not kick you out without a court order.

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Comment by aNYCdj
2009-10-05 14:32:07

Yes they can but then you can sue for everything the landlord owns…….which under past times was a lot of money…think Rednecks!

———————————-
They can not kick you out without a court order.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2009-10-05 12:59:55

I’d talk to a lawyer. You should be absolutely certain of your legal rights, and what you can and cannot do.

 
Comment by fecaltime!
2009-10-05 13:54:13

Recently when this happened to me, I paid one final rent payment and then never paid again and never heard from the landlord again…I lasted about 1 year before I started receiving court notices from the bank, (the notices did not contain my name), just referred to me as ‘tenant’. I finally left the house, about 2 weeks before the court date, not because I was concerned, but because I found a great house at about 600 under the market rate, so I had to jump on it.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2009-10-05 10:21:08

Household Data is VASTLY worse than reported. Here are the month-over-month changes, and they’re in the realm of frightening. (all numbers in thousands)

Civilian Labor Force: 154,879 to 153,617 this month.

Employed: 140,074 down to 139,079 this month.

That’s a loss of 995,000 jobs, not 263,000, and the labor force contracted by 1,262,000 people!

The participation rate was absolutely decimated, down 0.6% this last month alone. The people “not in the labor force” rose by a staggering 1,516,000 in the last month.

The government doesn’t count people as “unemployed” who have given up and exited the labor force, but as I have repeatedly noted whether the government counts them or not the corner store owner sure as hell does!

The fact of the matter is that nearly 1 million fewer people were working in September as compared to August; there has been absolutely no improvement in that trend whatsoever.

Oct 2, 2009
Karl Denninger

Comment by packman
2009-10-05 11:05:38

Numbers wrong.

e.g. Civilian employed, per BLS:

2009-08-01 139649
2009-09-01 138864

(millions)

Also, what does “this month” mean? Is that relative to last month, or last year?

 
Comment by WT Economist
2009-10-05 12:55:48

Self-employed, independent contractors and freelancers are not counted in the establishment survey, only in the household survey. Perhaps after a few months with no sales, they are telling the BLS they are unemployed.

Also, the BLS has already announced another downward revision due to more firm deaths and fewer births than expected.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-10-05 14:28:28

Are we at the point yet where things can only possibly get better from here?

Comment by Carl Morris
2009-10-05 15:05:04

Is that a rhetorical question?

Comment by Neil
2009-10-05 16:30:43

What’s scary is that it can become far more scary…

Got Popcorn? ammo?
Neil

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Comment by ACH
2009-10-05 17:41:49

Got Popcorn? ammo?

Yes.

Roidy

 
 
 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2009-10-05 18:23:28

Ten percent more unemployment is possible.

Make that 10.2% more.

 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2009-10-05 10:24:15

Ad slump leads Gourmet, 3 other magazines to close
Conde Nast to shutter Gourmet, America’s oldest food magazine, as ad slump persists.

NEW YORK (AP) — Gourmet, the oldest U.S. food magazine, is being closed by Conde Nast Publications as the high-end magazine publisher tries to weather a devastating advertising slump.

The publisher is also closing Modern Bride, Elegant Bride and Cookie, a parenting magazine. Earlier in the year it killed publication of Portfolio, a business magazine, and Domino, a lifestyle title.

Conde Nast had no immediate comment. But in a memo to staff Monday, Conde Nast CEO Charles Townsend said the closures were required “to navigate the company through the economic downturn and to position us to take advantage of coming opportunities.”

Consultants from McKinsey & Co. have been helping the publisher identify ways to cut costs. Although Gourmet’s circulation was 980,000 at the end of last year, it has suffered one of the worst ad declines of any popular magazine. Its number of ad pages was down 50 percent in the second quarter from the year before, according to the Publishers Information Bureau.

Conde Nast Publications, run by billionaire S.I. Newhouse Jr., also publishes such magazines as Vogue, The New Yorker and Wired and is a unit of privately held Advance Publications Inc. The company still publishes another food magazine, Bon Appetit.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-10-05 11:20:57

Could it be that, maybe just maybe, people have been cutting back on magazine subscriptions? The things do tend to pile up, after all.

Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:54:22

Gourmet was to hard to read anyway.
Couldn’t cook it either, tasted like burnt paper.

 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2009-10-05 12:39:20

Online sources w/support video for hard to picture technique may have stolen too much of their market share.

 
Comment by rfw
2009-10-05 13:30:27

Subscribers don’t make or break a magazine, advertisiers do.

 
 
 
Comment by oxide
2009-10-05 10:50:02

You know, this has to be the most depressing Bits Bucket yet. I miss the days when we could laugh at the $50K rocky island and the “landscaped” $900K shack with one shrub out front.

Now it’s all death and destruction. Makes me want to hole up in a bunker….except I can’t afford to buy a bunker!

Comment by milkcrate
2009-10-05 11:15:02

Pretty grim alright.
Maybe Ben needs to scan posters with a metal detector.
Lots have been slashing with box cutters last few days. Well, not that bad. Tempers sure are short, though.
I ‘m not immune.

Comment by realestateskeptic
2009-10-05 12:17:45

We need a special guest visit from Aladinsane. Ahhh the good old days.

Comment by packman
2009-10-05 12:39:39

Throw in txchick to make the party complete. :-)

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Comment by WT Economist
2009-10-05 12:56:56

I never figured out if that was Alad insane or Aladin sane.

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Comment by aNYCdj
2009-10-05 13:11:47
 
Comment by realestateskeptic
2009-10-05 13:12:09

I think it depending on the day of the week. Nonetheless, the posts were funny, punny, and often invoked literary references to things I had long along forgotten. I even own a few gold coins thanks to him…. :-)

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2009-10-05 13:12:43

Pretty sure it was a play on the Bowie album:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aladdin_Sane

 
Comment by cobaltblue
2009-10-05 13:38:39

Ah yes, he will be mist, A tad insane.

Full story at 11.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2009-10-05 10:51:18

Nearly 200 stocks could be delisted from NYSE, Nasdaq

USA TODAY
There’s something other than just shame facing stocks struggling to stay above $1: getting booted from their stock market. After months of suspending requirements that stocks stay above $1, both the Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange are cracking down. On Aug. 3 both reinstituted the rule, saying stocks that don’t trade above $1 for 30 consecutive days will begin the delisting process.

Warnings are flying out to companies to get their stock prices up or face being kicked off.

Stocks facing threat of delisting

“We wanted investors to take a collective breath,” says Glenn Tyranski of NYSE. “But … the market has come back, and it was time to restart the rule.”

It’s potentially a big problem for investors, as nearly 200 Nasdaq and NYSE stocks, including companies such as Sirius XM Radio (SIRI), Jones Soda (JSDA) , Pacific Ethanol (PEIX) and Joe’s Jeans (JOEZ) face being cut off.

“When the market was crazy, stock prices didn’t reflect reality,” says Maureen O’Hara, finance professor at Cornell University. “With stocks going back to normal, it’s back to normal with rules and regulations.”

Comment by potential buyer
2009-10-05 11:53:29

Umm, but the NAZ collects quite a sum from each company for the pleasure of being listed.

And obviously they seem to think the economy has or is recovering, or they wouldn’t have said that. So much for their expert knowledge.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2009-10-05 12:33:17

Time for a quick Reverse split… get them all to at least $5….just watch

 
 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2009-10-05 11:03:18

B. of A. to identify emergency chief executive: report
Bank said to settle on emergency CEO in case Lewis leaves early

BOSTON (MarketWatch) — Directors at Bank of America Corp. plan to select an emergency chief executive this week in case Ken Lewis steps down before the end of the year, The Wall Street Journal reported Monday.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/b-of-a-to-pick-emergency-ceo-report-2009-10-05

This is absolutely hysterical. Panicking over what may happen if this guy leaves them high and dry? During his tenure as CEO, shareholders have LOST money. The spot could be vacated and never filled and the bank would probably perform better.

Comment by DD
2009-10-05 11:59:25

The spot could be vacated and never filled and the bank would probably perform better.

Same as my corp. Probably for quite a few others as well. Leave it to those who actually Work there and it could get uprighted, or not.But sure would be cheaper.

 
 
Comment by Ria Rhodes
2009-10-05 11:21:44

Business ethics 101:

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/05/business/economy/05simmons.html

..another story in the never-ending greed game - be it banking, investment, insurance, auto industry, housing, medical, or mattresses!

USA business ethics: “it’s different here” - NOT!

 
Comment by Muddyfoot
2009-10-05 11:42:56

I watched this movie on Youtube called Rota 9 last year. It’s a Russian flick about about a bunch of recruits who are eventually sent to a remote outpost in Afghanistan. After this weekends action by the Taliban, I thought of this movie. I don’t know what the answer is, but I hope we get out soon. Here’s the link, it has English subtitles.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VFFtkLT8O44

Comment by Skip
2009-10-05 14:08:42

The USSR got mired in a pointless war in Afghanistan.

This time its different.

Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2009-10-05 16:32:30

You are kidding right?

 
Comment by neuromance
2009-10-05 19:57:40

The Russkies went in because they just wanted the land. We went in because the 9/11 attacks originated from there.

The Catch-22 is that the amount of blood and treasure we’d have to spend trying to make Afghanistan the 51st state is utterly gargantuan, and it won’t work. On the other hand, if we leave, they’ll hang Karzai from a lamppost, just like they did with Najibullah, the Soviet puppet, in the 80s. And the Taliban will move back in and so will Al Qaeda.

We have to figure out what our goal is - preventing Al Qaeda from reconstituting I think is a good one. How do we do that without pissing off the people, if we just use the country as a free-fire zone?

I guess we’ll just have to find a friendly neighboring country and puts lots of drones over the country and run hit and run special forces operations.

 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2009-10-05 13:09:20

No more $19 doughnuts; More businesses to fail…

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Bankruptcy professionals have a grim view on the U.S. corporate recovery, despite a recent rise in stocks and an uptick in business deals.

“I think it’s going to be a sad holiday season,” said Lynn Tilton, chief executive officer of Patriarch Partners, a private equity firm that specializes in distressed companies.

Consumers will be stingy with their spending, keeping malls and resorts empty, bankruptcy professionals said at the Reuters Restructuring Summit in New York this week. Even the wealthy will steer clear of the wild, brand-conscious spending that marked the last few years.

“No one is conspicuously consuming they way they did in 2006,” said William Derrough, a managing director at investment bank Moelis & Co. “That excess spending creates little boutique hotels, it creates that restaurant that sells the $19 doughnut and the Kobe beef burger. Those things don’t need to exist.”

Higher unemployment and little bank lending will keep a lid on economic gains, likely forcing thousands more companies into default, bankruptcy or liquidation.

“I just don’t see a rapid recovery,” said Tilton.

EMPTY BERMUDA RESORT

U.S. unemployment has climbed to its highest rate since June 1983, to 9.8 percent, according to U.S. Labor Department data on Friday.

Bankruptcy pros who managed to eke out a small vacation between an avalanche of bankruptcies this year that included automaker General Motors GM.UL and American outdoor apparel chain Eddie Bauer Holdings Inc (EBHIQ.PK) say resorts are deserted.

“I snuck away last week to Bermuda and the hotel was empty,” said one restructuring expert. “Absolutely empty.”

Miserly bank lending is exacerbating the problem. Until banks lend again to small-sized businesses or lend to companies with below-investment-grade ratings, unemployment will rise still more.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2009-10-05 13:16:08

“I snuck away last week to Bermuda and the hotel was empty,” said one restructuring expert. “Absolutely empty.”

I snuck away to Vermont in late August. Was visiting relatives who live near Stowe. Didn’t see a single hotel, motel, or B&B with a “no vacancy” sign.

 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2009-10-05 13:37:12

“No one is conspicuously consuming they way they did in 2006,” said William Derrough, a managing director at investment bank Moelis & Co. “That excess spending creates little boutique hotels, it creates that restaurant that sells the $19 doughnut and the Kobe beef burger. Those things don’t need to exist.”

Good freaking riddance.

 
Comment by Milkcrate
2009-10-05 19:28:26

No one is conspicuously spending because they are sans CASH.

 
 
Comment by Sagesse
2009-10-05 14:29:47

Another symptom of turning into third world: the airport bus Manhattan to JFK was so filthy I gagged. 80% of seats had no headrests. Run by Chinese I think. The Chinese driver told everyone to give a tip, before handing over the luggage. Scum !
Of course, an airport train was not deemed feasible since 60 years. Of course, only lowly commoners will not have a car service. And of course, the airport bus in Hongkong is luxurious by comparison.

Comment by pressboardbox
2009-10-05 14:43:14

NYC is a real dump in my opinion. Third-world in every aspect from the sewer-stench rising from the grates in the sidewalk to the mountains of garbage bags stacked between the buildings. The whole darn city looks like it needs a good pressure-washing, but it would probably crumble under the force. Roaches deserve better.

Comment by aNYCdj
2009-10-05 15:59:02

How do you tell if a 3rd worlder is the owner of a business????

They have no idea what an air conditioner is in the summertime.

Heck 95 degrees and the soda machine refers blowing hot air back into the store is normal for them in Bangladesh.

Comment by cougar91
2009-10-05 17:35:52

Funny you should mention this. I can’t tell you how many times I walked by one of those fancy/high end retail stores on Fifth Ave. / Madison Ave. in Manhattan after getting out of the gym during hot summer days and they left the doors wide open with A/C running at full blast inside. I guess it’s a way for the stores to attract customers to come in from the hot.

To me that is a total waste of resources and symptomatic of an unproductive outlay, which diminishes competitiveness over time.

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Comment by aNYCdj
2009-10-05 19:16:25

Electricity is included in the rent….so why not waste the AC if you have a bad landlord…..

————————————–
left the doors wide open with A/C running at full blast inside

 
 
 
 
Comment by cougar91
2009-10-05 17:31:20

FYI: China/Chinese is not the Third World, it is the Second World, via it’s original definition:

“The term Third World arose during the Cold War to define countries that remained non-aligned or neutral with either capitalism and NATO (which along with its allies represented the First World) or communism and the Soviet Union (which along with its allies represented the Second World).”

 
 
Comment by measton
2009-10-05 14:47:12

For those agueing that the American worker should be competing against countries that allow essentially slave labor and no environmental standards or workers rights.\

CEO’s could also have their jobs outsourced. They don’t because they control the company. Their incomes don’t fall despite poor performance because they control the board and the compensation committee.

Here is another bit of news from citzens for tax justice
In 2008
Total effective taxe rate (federal state local income payroll property,sales, excise and estate tax) paid by
Top 1% (1.4 mil/yr) = 30.9% - I saw an article recently that suggested the top 0.5% was paying 29%.
Next 4% (253k/yr)= 32.1
Next 5% (144k/yr) = 32.2%
Next 10% (101k/yr) = 31.5%
Next 20% (66k/yr)= 30%

Now with a carbon tax ,VAT, and proposed tax on health insurance, you can load even more of the burden on the middle class.

Also factor in that the top 1% uses accounts and reports far less income then they make, and as we’ve seen in the UBS case keeps large sums of cash in secret banks paying no tax at all.

How long do you defenders of the elite and outsourcing think democracy and freedom will last with a system that is concentrating more and more power and wealth into fewer and fewer hands??

 
Comment by ATE-UP
2009-10-05 14:59:49

IS THAT ALL THERE IS?
Peggy Lee

I remember when I was a very little girl, our house caught on fire.
I’ll never forget the look on my father’s face as he gathered me up
in his arms and raced through the burning building out to the pavement.
I stood there shivering in my pajamas and watched the whole world go up in flames.
And when it was all over I said to myself, “Is that all there is to a fire”

Is that all there is, is that all there is
If that’s all there is my friends, then let’s keep dancing
Let’s break out the booze and have a ball
If that’s all there is

And when I was 12 years old, my father took me to a circus, the greatest show on earth.
There were clowns and elephants and dancing bears.
And a beautiful lady in pink tights flew high above our heads.
And so I sat there watching the marvelous spectacle.
I had the feeling that something was missing.
I don’t know what, but when it was over,
I said to myself, “is that all there is to a circus?

Is that all there is, is that all there is
If that’s all there is my friends, then let’s keep dancing
Let’s break out the booze and have a ball
If that’s all there is

Then I fell in love, head over heels in love, with the most wonderful boy in the world.
We would take long walks by the river or just sit for hours gazing into each other’s eyes.
We were so very much in love.
Then one day he went away and I thought I’d die, but I didn’t,
and when I didn’t I said to myself, “is that all there is to love?”

Is that all there is, is that all there is
If that’s all there is my friends, then let’s keep dancing

I know what you must be saying to yourselves,
if that’s the way she feels about it why doesn’t she just end it all?
Oh, no, not me. I’m in no hurry for that final disappointment,
for I know just as well as I’m standing here talking to you,
when that final moment comes and I’m breathing my lst breath, I’ll be saying to myself

Is that all there is, is that all there is
If that’s all there is my friends, then let’s keep dancing
Let’s break out the booze and have a ball
If that’s all there is

 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2009-10-05 16:20:05

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/financialcrisis/6255816/World-Bank-could-run-out-of-money-within-12-months.html

IMF Prez says World Bank to run out of money in next year.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/financialcrisis/6263039/Banks-brace-for-Latvias-collapse.html

Banks brace for Latvia’s collapse
The Baltic states are once again in the eye of the storm after leaked reports that Sweden is bracing for a full-blown economic and political “breakdown” in Latvia.

Green shoots once again nowhere to be found.

Comment by DennisN
2009-10-06 01:52:32

Would this be a case of “Riga” mortis?

 
 
2009-10-05 17:56:13

Hello all
my landlord hinted that she wants to offer our house for sale next March. we live in Fresno and housing has cratered severely.she says now pricing are rising and it is time to sell.
everyone sees more decline but our landlord. she “generously” offered to sell us the house first and then put in on the market.
she could not sell for two years before we moved in last year.she followed the market down from 1mil to 699,000 over two years then decided to rent it out.
I think she is delusional. any advice?

Comment by robiscrazy
2009-10-05 19:52:09

Just a suggestion, try not to laugh in her face (giggle on the inside only).

I went thru this recently with my landlord. After listing the property, she tried to enter the premises without my permission and a host of other violations such as an open house and showings without prior notice. Read up on California Civil Code 1954. Here’s a useful site.

http://www.caltenantlaw.com/ForSale.htm

If you are asking “should you consider buying” ask yourself is there any SFR in Fresno worth north of $500,000? Even in Madera? From my perspective here in Sacramento, the answer is a resounding no.

Btw….It’s not uncommon for a landlord to reduce your rent in exchange for the inconvenience of showing YOUR home. I say your home because once they accept your rental payment you have the exclusive right to occupy under California law and CC 1954. Landlords can only enter in the event of an emergency (broken pipe, fire, etc.). Showings are limited to normal business hours M-F 9-5. You must be notified of a showing in writing 24 hours prior.

Interestingly enough, exactly one year ago my landlord wanted 800K for this place. The only offer that came in was for 599K. She never sold the place and I’m still here. Today there is a comparable, actually upgraded and better, property a few blocks away and even on the same street for 449K. It has been on the market for 1.5 years and has been incrementally dropped from 600K to the current asking price.

 
 
Comment by cobaltblue
2009-10-05 18:26:27

PM’s may be popping for a reason.

The demise of the dollar? Some say so:

In a graphic illustration of the new world order, Arab states have launched secret moves with China, Russia and France to stop using the US currency for oil trading.

By Robert Fisk Tuesday, 6 October 2009

Iran announced late last month that its foreign currency reserves would henceforth be held in euros rather than dollars.

In the most profound financial change in recent Middle East history, Gulf Arabs are planning – along with China, Russia, Japan and France – to end dollar dealings for oil, moving instead to a basket of currencies including the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan, the euro, gold and a new, unified currency planned for nations in the Gulf Co-operation Council, including Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi, Kuwait and Qatar.

Secret meetings have already been held by finance ministers and central bank governors in Russia, China, Japan and Brazil to work on the scheme, which will mean that oil will no longer be priced in dollars.

The plans, confirmed to The Independent by both Gulf Arab and Chinese banking sources in Hong Kong, may help to explain the sudden rise in gold prices, but it also augurs an extraordinary transition from dollar markets within nine years.

The Americans, who are aware the meetings have taken place – although they have not discovered the details – are sure to fight this international cabal which will include hitherto loyal allies Japan and the Gulf Arabs. Against the background to these currency meetings, Sun Bigan, China’s former special envoy to the Middle East, has warned there is a risk of deepening divisions between China and the US over influence and oil in the Middle East. “Bilateral quarrels and clashes are unavoidable,” he told the Asia and Africa Review. “We cannot lower vigilance against hostility in the Middle East over energy interests and security.”

This sounds like a dangerous prediction of a future economic war between the US and China over Middle East oil – yet again turning the region’s conflicts into a battle for great power supremacy. China uses more oil incrementally than the US because its growth is less energy efficient. The transitional currency in the move away from dollars, according to Chinese banking sources, may well be gold. An indication of the huge amounts involved can be gained from the wealth of Abu Dhabi, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Qatar who together hold an estimated $2.1 trillion in dollar reserves.

The decline of American economic power linked to the current global recession was implicitly acknowledged by the World Bank president Robert Zoellick. “One of the legacies of this crisis may be a recognition of changed economic power relations,” he said in Istanbul ahead of meetings this week of the IMF and World Bank. But it is China’s extraordinary new financial power – along with past anger among oil-producing and oil-consuming nations at America’s power to interfere in the international financial system – which has prompted the latest discussions involving the Gulf states.

Brazil has shown interest in collaborating in non-dollar oil payments, along with India. Indeed, China appears to be the most enthusiastic of all the financial powers involved, not least because of its enormous trade with the Middle East.

China imports 60 per cent of its oil, much of it from the Middle East and Russia. The Chinese have oil production concessions in Iraq – blocked by the US until this year – and since 2008 have held an $8bn agreement with Iran to develop refining capacity and gas resources. China has oil deals in Sudan (where it has substituted for US interests) and has been negotiating for oil concessions with Libya, where all such contracts are joint ventures.

Comment by measton
2009-10-05 19:24:38

And yet China keeps buying more US treasuries. Call me when their actions back up all of these words. This is just another attempt to talk up inflation. If they were to drop the value of the dollar quickly china and Saudi Arabia would collapse. They hold huge amounts of US cash and treasuries. We consume 25% of world oil and most of China’s output.

Comment by packman
2009-10-05 20:10:33

Call me when their actions back up all of these words.

Phone call for measton. Is there a measton here?

China to buy first IMF bonds for 50 billion dollars

By Veronica Smith (AFP) – Sep 2, 2009

WASHINGTON — China has agreed to buy the first International Monetary Fund bonds for about 50 billion dollars, the IMF said Wednesday.

Also note that China’s U.S. treasury purchases were only $80.9B the past 6 months, down from $189.6B the previous 6 months.

Comment by measton
2009-10-05 22:10:36

Sarcasm aside looking at a longer term graph

http://www.treas.gov/tic/s1_41408.txt

It looks to me like they are still purchasing large quantities of US treasuries. There is also speculation that htey are using intermediaries to buy US treasuries.

The bottom line from Bloomberg

Investors outside the U.S. bought 43.1 percent of the $1.41 trillion of notes and bonds sold by the Treasury Department this year, compared with 27.1 percent of the $527 billion issued at this point in 2008, government figures show. The Merrill Lynch & Co. Treasury Master Index of U.S. securities returned 1.18 percent in the third quarter after the worst first half on record as demand from the investor group that includes central banks known as indirect bids climbed to record levels at Treasury auctions.

China, the biggest foreign owner of Treasuries, added $24.1 billion in July after a sell off in June.

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Comment by measton
2009-10-05 19:03:55

Bloomberg

Bloomberg won a ruling from Manhattan’s chief federal judge on Aug. 24 affirming the right of U.S. taxpayers to know about the financial firms that borrowed money. The Fed last year began extending credit directly to companies that aren’t banks for the first time since it was created in 1913. Total lending by the Fed was $2.12 trillion on Sept. 30.

Divulging specifics about the loan program might touch off a run by depositors, unsettle shareholders and hurt the central bank’s “ability to perform important statutory functions at a time of economic upheaval,” Fed lawyers have said in legal filings.

OK why would knowing who the FED gave money to cause a run on the banks. If anything people with money in theose banks would sleep more securely knowing that they had their money in a too big to fail institution.

Comment by neuromance
2009-10-05 19:50:23

Divulging specifics about the loan program might touch off a run by depositors, unsettle shareholders and hurt the central bank’s “ability to perform important statutory functions at a time of economic upheaval,” Fed lawyers have said in legal filings.

How exactly will that happen?

Complete whargarrbbl.

They’re just going to the tried and true playbook - question our policies and YOU WILL BE DESTROYED.

 
Comment by cobaltblue
2009-10-05 20:26:51

“The budget should be balanced, the Treasury should be refilled, public debt should be reduced, the arrogance of officialdom should be
tempered and controlled, and the assistance to foreign lands should be curtailed lest we become bankrupt. People must again learn to
work, instead of living on public assistance.”

- Cicero - Rome, 55 BC

 
 
Comment by measton
2009-10-05 19:41:34

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – President Barack Obama will not meet the Dalai Lama during his five-day trip to the U.S. capital beginning on Monday, the first time in 18 years the exiled Tibetan leader has visited Washington without seeing the president.

Isn’t it great to see teh US getting bent over by our lenders.

Comment by aNYCdj
2009-10-05 19:57:28

Can you say Taiwan?

That is the most important piece of the Chinese puzzle.

 
 
Comment by neuromance
2009-10-05 19:46:34

No matter how idiotic the policy, give a politician enough money and he’ll endorse it. The first 300 billion dollar bailout for real estate was considered absolutely absurd, then the credit crunch happened, with gargantuan bailouts and all manner of wealth transfer from the taxpayer to the FIRE industries. Now with a supply tsunami looming, industry members are suggesting the final piece of the puzzle - reducing supply by bulldozing homes, a la cash for clunkers:

http://blog.newsweek.com/blogs/wealthofnations/archive/2009/08/18/how-to-fix-housing-try-the-bulldozer-approach.aspx

If this country accepts bulldozing homes before it accepts a market solution for housing… well, I think I’ll get more involved in politics.

A society cannot be both ignorant and free.

Comment by SDGreg
2009-10-07 11:00:40

It’s one thing to bulldoze housing that will never be occupied due to location (Detroit, e.g.) or other circumstances (Love Canal), but it’s quite another to bulldoze houses that would otherwise be occupied if not for prices being kept artificially high. To do so in that case is nothing short of criminal.

“A less destructive solution, proposed by real-estate developer Richard LeFrak and economist Gary Shilling, would loosen immigration laws to let in skilled foreigners who are able to pay cash for homes.”

My anger knows no bounds to plans that would put non-citizens ahead of citizens in obtaining housing that could be more affordable. That plan might be more destructive in other ways if it angers the “dead peasants” enough to finally revolt.

 
 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-10-05 21:10:35

I saw the Dalai Lama years ago at UCLA . Interesting fellow with a infectious laugh . I remember the Dalai Lama saying in effect that there is nothing good about being poor ,and he also said it was up to people to fight for what they want . The Dalai Lama had simple one sentence answers to
the questions from the team of Professors that were there that night . It got to the point that the Professors starting looking at their feet because
their questions began to look so foolish against the simple way in which
this man looked at life .

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2009-10-05 21:34:01

neuroromance . It’s a pity that money was mis-allocated to housing units for speculators during the boom . What a waste ,and it goes to show just how much they just put up houses without any sort of thought to how sustainable the locations would be .

This is what you get when certain self interest groups gain power over our representatives in Congress/Senate .I think they should outlaw lobbying and
work on a system of Politicians being financed by a defined amount for elections ,or something ,otherwise it’s a bribe by whomever has the most money to dole out .

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2009-10-05 23:01:05

The Financial Times
Australia raises rates from 49-year low
By Peter Smith in Sydney
Published: October 6 2009 05:53 | Last updated: October 6 2009 05:53

Australia became the first OECD nation to raise interest rates on Tuesday when its central bank increased the official cash rate from 3 to 3.25 per cent.

In raising rates from their 49-year low “emergency” rate, Glenn Stevens, governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, said economic conditions in Australia had been “stronger than expected”, while measures of confidence had recovered.

 
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