Bits Bucket For February 23, 2010
Post off-topic ideas, links and Craigslist finds here. Please visit the HBB Forum.
Examining the home price boom and its effect on owners, lenders, regulators, realtors and the economy as a whole.
Post off-topic ideas, links and Craigslist finds here. Please visit the HBB Forum.
Does anyone else interpret the large number of new posters as another indicator that we’re in for another leg down? I am also sticking with my call that Q4 09 Q1 10 is the dead cat bounce, at least in Florida and other distressed states.
Dow 10 or bust. This PPT-injected zombie cat can’t die.
Always give them the 2nd “tap”. Then you won’t become a “Zombie Happy Meal”. Remember the 2nd tap.
Roidy
Rule #3 Always double tap.
Rule #5 Beware of bathrooms
“Rule #3 Always double tap.”
Senator, is that you?
Zombieland… now on video!
Loved that movie.
It’s called the side step:
Fellow Texans, I am proudly standing here to humbly see.
I assure you, and I mean it- Now, who says I don’t speak out as plain as day?
And, fellow Texans, I’m for progress and the flag- long may it fly.
I’m a poor boy, come to greatness. So, it follows that I cannot tell a lie.
Ooh I love to dance a little sidestep, now they see me now they don’t-
I’ve come and gone and, ooh I love to sweep around the wide step,
cut a little swathe and lead the people on.
Now my good friends, it behooves me to be solemn and declare,
I’m for goodness and for profit and for living clean and saying daily prayer.
And now, my good friends, you can sleep nights, I’ll continue to stand tall.
You can trust me, for I promise, I shall keep a watchful eye upon ya’ll…
Ooh I love to dance a little sidestep, now they see me now they don’t-
I’ve come and gone and, ooh I love to sweep around the wide step,
cut a little swathe and lead the people on.
Now, Miss Mona, I don’t know her, though I’ve heard the name, oh yes.
But, of course I’ve no close contact, so what she is doing I can only guess.
And now, Miss Mona, she’s a blemish on the face of that good town.
I am taking certain steps here, someone somewhere’s gonna have to close her down.
Ooh I love to dance a little sidestep, now they see me now they don’t-
I’ve come and gone and, ooh I love to sweep around the wide step,
cut a little swathe and lead the people on.
Ooh I love to dance a little sidestep…
And, ooh I love to sweep around the wide step…
Cut a little swathe and lead the people on.
Sung by Charles Durning from the Best Little Whorehouse in Texas
December Case-Schiller down 3.1% YOY, down 0.2% November to December.
I am seeing a real trend here.It seems like a lot of the lenders that originated all these bad loans are going bankrupt or being bought out.One west bank bought out indymac and seem to be making money on their loans since they got them cheap.Bofa takes over countrywide and picks up their assets cheap.The common theme seems to be the bad players simply go out of business or be bought out by other companies for cheap.If they are forced out of business their assests are sold by the fdic for a lot less than market value.So it seems wall street is profiting again by buying all these assets below market value and then working out the loans.So who is really losing money here?The bad players dont eem to be losing anything here.
“So who is really losing money here?”
Hint- check your wallet.
At night, you can sit in a room, and if it is quiet with no distractions, you cal actually feel your wallet getting thinner..
Agreed. Q2 is when the “doubledip” begins as the Pensionbubble begins to pop.
Ken Rogoff, a member of the ‘Group of thirty” and a historian of Financial Crises, is predicting sovereign fiscal collapse because of high national debt. We’re just in the fourth inning of this ugly bankerball game.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aaeViPPUVSw4
Up here in chilly Coeur d’Alene, Idaho we have had a huge influx of middle-level retired California firemen, police, sheriff and highway patrolmen (in addition to teachers) who live on the lakes and golf courses. They’re a boon to the economy as they live like kings and retire in their very early 50’s.
Thanks, California taxpayers, for that gold-plated retirement system…hope y’all can keep financing that 24 karat trough.
This will end very very soon…its the 3rd 4th and 5th rail…they should not be able to get their pensions until 65… or PROVE they are really retired….. no more double dipping..
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They’re a boon to the economy as they live like kings and retire in their very early 50’s
Most retirees live very modestly. In fact, thanks to malinvesting by their pension plans, they are living more modestly than usual.
In fact, thanks to malinvesting by their pension plans, they are living more modestly than usual
I would think that incredibly low rates on fixed income investments is a factor as well…
I wonder if states and local governments will make their pensions contingent on the recipient staying within the paying state/local?
Dennis, I have heard talk of this in Florida (not serious talk, but the idea has been mentioned).
Muggy:
People here are still making illegal 3 apartments in a 2 family house just to pay the mortgage….or else where did the money suddenly come from?
Or are these the shadow buyers who really did save 20%+ of the down payment?
Any advice on how to ride this freaking thing out housing-wise? I get the money part (diversify), but where do I actually freaking live until this is over?
I was trying to talk my wife into buying one of these mid-county 2/1.5 houses for > $80k, but she’s not interested in more of the same. The difference in price between a 2/1.5 and a 3/2 in my area is huge. I want an SFH to isolate my family from the financial and social pressure of sharing expenses with FBHOAs. I am actually at a point where the next step is totally unclear. This is a new, uncomfortable phase of the bubble for me.
I mean this: if my wife would do it, I’d buy a $20k trailer in a mobile home community with no sex offenders and just wait 2-3 years. The only reason we made an offer this weekend is because the ‘hood is as bulletproof as they come in Florida.
Muggy-
What are 2/1.5 houses selling for these days in decent mid Pinellas neighborhoods?
Bubs, Belleair Bluffs, one just closed (or is pending) around the corner from me for $95k. Move-in condition, nice backyard, dead-end street. I almost couldn’t believe it. Another one very similar to it, asking $120k, no offers…
Muggy:
Those are the prices homes should have cost in FL. I personally like the trailer idea cheap and disposable. But then I don’t have any mug-etts to care for…well maybe some kitty-etts
Wow. That 95k in Belleair Bluffs sounds like early 1990’s pricing. I bought a 2/2 house in central Clearwater in ‘97 for about $64/sqft ($92k). That house had a nice yard and a pool.
Thanks for the update.
I’d think after November, when Rpubs gain control of both houses the money spigots will be turned off and real estate will fall back to reasonable valuations. For the greater Miami area I would guess we’ll bottom sometime in 2012 about 30% below current levels. Patience will be rewarded.
LOL- Yeah, when the repubs bring back their legendary fiscal restraint we’ll straighten this mess out in no time. Heh! Talk about ‘hope and change’. (Wasn’t McCain going to ‘just pay everyone’s mortgage off’?)
It’s not that the Repubs are better at handling finance, far from it (see all the wars they got us into). The point is to create a legislative gridlock. Republican house and Democrat President. They can’t agree on anything. Veto this bill, filibuster that bill. That historically results in less spending and lower deficits. Especially the democratic pet pigs FREDDIE, FANNIE and FHA might see signicifantly reduced funding levels.
At the current trajectory, within 10 years the US will be in the same situation Greece currently finds itself in. At that point the money spigots will stop flowing one way or another.
Well, as a greater and greater percentage of total federal spending becomes non appropriated (SS, medicare, interest), gridlock becomes a less and less effective method of reducing expenditures.
OK, I’ll grant you some gridlock savings. But since most of the bailout money seems to flow into the big boyz pockets, I’m dubious that we’ll see gridlock in those areas. Both sides in congress are bought-and-paid-for, and Wall Street likes a return on its investment.
For all their populist hoo-haw, the repubs will never do anything that Wall Street adamantly opposes. (Nor will the dems, usually- unless they’re backed into a corner.)
“Both sides in congress are bought-and-paid-for, and Wall Street likes a return on its investment.”
…the sad truth.
“Both sides in congress are bought-and-paid-for, and Wall Street likes a return on its investment.”
…the sad truth.
I know but we could easily help change it. If a lot of incumbents (even just 20-30%) were voted out under a movement where they knew WHY they were being thrown out (because they are in the Bank’s pocket) there could be real change.
Why would throwing out just 20-30% get their attention? Because about 90-95% of incumbent politicians are re-elected now. Therefore, even a 20% rejection rate would represent a tidal-wave of public outrage over the bank’s takeover of our government.
Throwing out 20-30% of incumbent politicians over a couple cycles would get ALL of their attention. All of them.
It could really work.
Actually, alpha sloth, I have to disagree with you there. I think that if the Republicans took over they would cut off a lot of bailout money. They would have done pretty much the same thing if they had controlled the house and the senate back when Paulson was putting TARP together. And McCain would have attempted some sort of FB level bailout early on if he had been elected. I am absolutely positive they would have. But now that a large chunk of people they depend on to get elected have said they hate it all, they will at least take a break. Can’t say whether they would let, say, Citibank, go under, with nothing but FDIC by way of a rescue, but they would do a lot less. It is mostly a matter of following the crowd, not leading it, but there would be some difference in the behavior for a while. Romney is trying to set himself up as the presidential candidate of this approach as we speak which is weird for an MA politician who signed a universal health care bill.
Now, they would try to enact huge (possibly temporary)tax cuts - which which sounds like a good way to inflate a commodities bubble to me - but the president would likely veto it, so that agenda would not get enacted any time soon.
I don’t know polly.
That TARP bill had a lot of backing. I’m pretty sure whom ever was in charge would have gotten bullied into passing it.
Sometimes when a giant turd like that comes floating down the sewer, you are better off being the minority party and getting to stand aside. You know it’s going to pass just get to be happy it isn’t your ass that had to produce it.
You forgot wars. Although there is a sign that pubies’ voters have somewhat wised up about the spending, I am not so sure about the wars. Give them Bin Laden, Kim Jong, Chavez and what have you, and a Flag, the pubies’ voters will be partying like it’s 1999.
I thought the Republicans had the executive branch and at least one house for that previous 8 years. So what is it that they did so much better?
Guys, guys. I agree that the Republicans would have done pretty much the same thing (possibly with slightly different emphasis) if they had been 100% in charge during the early months of 2009 and the later months of 2008. TARP still would have been passed. Some sort of bailout of AIG would have happened. Some kind of alleged help to underwater home owners would have happened. Even some sort of unfunded stimulous would have happened, though more tax cutty and less spendy.
All I am saying is that might not be the case going forward. They are reacting to the popular anger at what has already been done and trying to take advantage of it. The fiscal responsibility intentions wouldn’t last long if Citibank was about to go belly up, but claiming that they are against all this stuff NOW is a good political strategy. I expect them to recognize that and use it. If they get elected, it might even last a few months.
Oh, I agree the repubs will campaign on ending the bailouts and being fiscally conservative, I just don’t think they’ll do it, other than symbolically. The guys making the money off the bailouts are their master overlords on Wall Street, and they’ve already shown they have no intention of playing it cool during this crisis. They want their bonuses, and they’ll have them, sheeple be damned.
And the repubs will continue to throw little bones to the FBs, just like the dems, because let’s face- Joe 6pak sitting in an underwater McMansion with a HELOCed bass boat and supertruck in the front yard, is the republican base. They’ll just rename it ‘Saving the American Home’ and continue some form of useless bailout. Same old, same old.
I mean, they never seem to actually get around to outlawing abortion, do they? But they sure talk it up a lot on the campaign trail.
Actually, alpha sloth, I have to disagree with you there. I think that if the Republicans took over they would cut off a lot of bailout money. They would have done pretty much the same thing if they had controlled the house and the senate back when Paulson was putting TARP together. And McCain would have attempted some sort of FB level bailout early on if he had been elected. I am absolutely positive they would have. But now that a large chunk of people they depend on to get elected have said they hate it all, they will at least take a break.
Polly I suspect that if they were in power they would be tamping down the I hate the bailout propaganda and Tea Party activism. I mean everyone hated TARP across the board and both parties voted for it.
There is a difference between something not polling well and the overwhelming fury they are trying to direct to the polls. This is purely an “inside the beltway” sort of analysis, but I really think that using this is where they are going right now, especially Mitt, though he has no credibility in taking that position that I know of.
That said, a month might as well be forever in politics.
say what you will about glenn beck…but the best part of his CPAC speach was when he compared the republican party to tiger woods getting caught.
very entertaining…and true.
Somebody sent me the tape of Glenn Beck and I liked the
speech ….pretty amusing . I don’t know if he is a loose cannon or a tool for some big self-interest group . It’s pretty funny how he conducts classes in history and what have you all the time on his show . He is really upsetting the liberals ,thats for sure . I know that he is against Health Care reform ,so he must have a good insurance policy and he doesn’t seem to knock the business
monopolies . He seems to think that Liberals re-wrote history and he is going to right that wrong .Anyway you look at him ,he must be making a mint right now .
He is really upsetting the liberals ,thats for sure .
Beck’s not upsetting anybody with his ideas — he has a right to those, ridiculous as those ideas are. It’s more complete and utter bafflement that anyone would listen to such a crazy ass-clown, let alone give him a TV show, a radio show, and a book deal to disseminate his “wisdom.”
You are right about one thing — he must be making a mint.
Beck is for himself. So is Limbaugh, Overman, Michaeal Moore and so on.
I don’t know if he [Glenn Beck] is a loose cannon or a tool for some big self-interest group .
HW, let me help you out - he’s an entertainer.
He gets paid for making sure his audience sticks around through the commercials.
Many people often confuse a demagogue with an entertainer, including the demagogue.
I’m calling the bottom sometime in the late 2050’s shortly following the Goldman/BofA war (these will be the last superpowers left). “A few bullets” will be the nationwide median price according to the NAR.
And it will still be a great time to buy or sell a home!
Where else can you store your Mad Max gear but in a lovely Troll Brother’s McShack, or something similar…
Mike in Miami, are you delusional or merely misinformed? Establishment Republicans are as fiscally irresponsible, and even more in bed with the banksters, than the Democrats are. And their wars tend to get damned expensive.
Consider John McCain’s support of:
The $700 billion all-purpose, earmark-stuffed TARP bailout;
The $25 billion auto bailout;
The $300 billion mortgage entitlement bailout; and
The first $85 billion AIG bailout.
Open your eyes, man. The GOP charlatans you send to Washington are every bit as bad as the Democrats they run against.
Drive around and look for the nicest abandoned house money can’t buy. Squat this thing out.
Don’t we have a squatter? Wasn’t “dude” doing this last year, or even the year before? How’s that working out, dude?
Lost in Utah was squatting at her former landlord’s foreclosed property. Not sure if dude was squatting for a while but I think he had 4 daughters so probably not. If memory serves correctly, he purchased earlier this year.
Hi Carrie, not currently squatting but hope to again soon. I just can’t find a place I like. Or maybe I should say, can’t find a price I like…
My current plan is to live in an office in the old Uranium Building in Moab, Utah, where for $150 one can get a private office with bath and hardly any neighbors, as most of the building is empty. Right next to a really good cafe, and great views of the cliffs. You’re really part of the action, as you’re right on Main Street (not that there’s much action, except for during Jeep Safari Week). I can even start trading uranium stocks if I want, since I’ll have the office as part of the deal. I need a couple of shell companies, if anyone’s interested…
Of course, the squatting part is keeping the LL in the dark about actually living there. But he’s an old guy and can’t see very well. A walking history book, having been part of the Uranium Boom back in the days…
Are your dogs going to be happy in an office suite?
Hi Polly, we’ll probably mostly just sleep there, unless the uranium penny stock market takes off, then we’ll buy the building and put in an indoor agility track, complete with some ravens for them to chase around while I’m working.
Like Goldman Sachs, I’ll be doing God’s work if this all pans out, and just like Greece, the dogs will get more biscuits and are amenable to that.
I’m gonna wait things out in my own personal abandoned mall.
“I’m gonna wait things out in my own personal abandoned mall.”
Really bad idea. That’s where the zombies always go first!
“My current plan is to live in an office in the old Uranium Building in Moab, Utah, where for $150 one can get a private office with bath and hardly any neighbors, as most of the building is empty”…maybe there is a reason !
You won’t be Losty no more.
Everywhere she goes, everybody knows, she glows.
Got a geiger counter ?
Muggy:
Here is a way for buyers and sellers to get together.
Find a seller who wants to leave Florida and owns their house.
Pay a generous downstroke(10%or better)so they will feel safe holding a note.
Some of the equity they have lost can then be recovered in interest income.
In Florida, cash is king.Good luck!
“Pay a generous downstroke(10%or better)so they will feel safe holding a note.”
Due to the fact that I think job losses will be continuing in waves for quite a while I don’t know how anyone could feel safe with this set up. I still don’t think risk is being properly reflected in any lending but the government just wants to unload assets at a propped up price. They’re not thinking about tomorrow.
C-ann+Muggy:
I dont need no stinkin comfort zone.
If youdo, RENT!
Deals like I describe can be done, but there is lots of homework for both parties to do it right.
Seller needs to price at or under competition.
Property should be worth the extra effort.
Buyer should bring cash and be as friendly as possible.
Both parties should be confident the deal is right.
If buyers and sellers can take 2% away from the market nationwide-thats a lot of dirt, and a lot of bankers who wont get paid.
Use a good Lawer and a good title company.
Muggy, what’s wrong with continuing to rent for another year? Are the rents too high for 3/2? And how much does a 3/2 cost now where you want to live?
“what’s wrong with continuing to rent for another year?”
Nothing, but we can’t find a 3/2 in a reasonable ‘hood at a reasonable price owned by a reasonable person.
“And how much does a 3/2 cost now where you want to live?”
$200-250k
My situation is this: my wife is totally done with our current rental (long story, but we can leave anytime with 60 days notice), the problem is that we can’t find a 3/2 worth living in, rental or purchase.
For what it’s worth, the ex- and I were in the same situation back in 1981. Bought a house for the exact same reasons you just stated. Decision made perfect sense at the time.
Nine months later, the economy takes a dump, and we’re upside down on the new house (this happened back when $5-10K was real money). Wasn’t that big a deal in a way, because we weren’t planning on moving at the time, but still…..
Past performance is no guarantee of future results, but I get a sense of deja vu reading your post.
I guess I’d sit for awhile in your rental as long as you’re not being kicked out. If you really want to buy, you need to hire a buyer’s agent who can find out who’s getting divorced, who’s lost their job, etc., on houses you’re interested in, and then go in and lowball those. Quite often there’s a court order in divorce cases, for example, mandating that the home should be sold by a certain date for such-and-such a price, but the listing agents of course won’t tell you that stuff.
you need to hire a buyer’s agent who can find out who’s getting divorced, who’s lost their job, etc., on houses you’re interested in, and then go in and lowball those
That’s a good idea. We bought our Rockport (Gulf coast) house at the end of 1999 on a lowball offer (slightly under 2/3 of asking). Coast home sales were practically non-existent at the time due to oil price slump. The sellers had gotten divorced, put the house on the market for a few months, it hadn’t sold and they had only gotten low-ball offers, and finally they just wanted to get their financial affairs disentangled before the end of the year.
The whole idea of a buyer’s agent is a yet another realtor swindle. You want to get a home as reasonably priced as possible. Any realtor, selling or buying, wants the place to go for top dollar so they’ll collect higher commissions. That’s an inherent conflict of interest with the so-called “client.”
Just work with the seller’s agent instead. They’ll be more than happy to throw their “client” under to bus to collect a full six percent on a quick lowball sale.
Hear hear. Both “types” of agent get paid based on the sale price of the house. So both of their interests are in seeing a sale price as high as possible.
The buyer’s agent’s stated principle might be to get a good deal for his client, but his interest is in seeing a high a sale price as possible. In most cases, unless he’s a saint, his interest - money for him and his family - are going to win out.
Sammy-
I disagree. 3% of say a 300k home is 9k, if said realtor helps you negotiate down to 250K because they “working for you” then, 3% of 250k is 7.5k. Any salesperson in any industry will take 100% of 7.5k vs 0% of 9k. The motivation is in making a deal. Whether its 7.5k or 9k is immaterial. Its a rounding error. Even less so when you factor after tax income.
Full Disclosure: Been a HBB member/believer since 2005, seldom post, always lurk. I was in mortgage biz for 12 years ‘96-07 but, did mostly 125% loans.
MDMort,
Depends is what I say.
3% of 350k home is 9K - motivation in and of it self to convince the FB the sale is mavalous baaabeee -(client…er…consumer …er…customer…er…meal ticket…)
Here’s where greed takes hold.
One sees $9k for their family - are they even thinking about 7.5k? HEY no!
Get ‘er done!
Sigh.
Perhaps you travel with honest souls - pardon my cynicism.
Best,
Leigh
Oxide-
You might want to Google “mdmortgageguy” under this site. My moniker may not look familiar to you as i seldom post. But we are on same side. I was here early on. I never did the loans that are discussed here, never done a purchase, never done a refi that was neg am or ticking time bomb.
Buy one in a nice area (where you’d be willing to live for a long time) that has a big yard and then renovate/add to the sq ft.
I can attest to the fact that if you buy, you “may” have to live there a really long time.
Muggy, I had a similar idea and I acted on it a couple of months ago. I’d been bubble sitting since I sold my house in mid 2007 (thank you Ben and HBB sages!) and sick of renting in the face of seemingly endless government interventions that distort prices and/or debase the currency. I coughed up 50K for a rural MH/5ac within 30 min of ABQ. With the tax credit from Uncle Sugar factored in, it completely pays for itself in about 6 yrs of rent equivalent. MH buyers don’t seem to have access to as much inflationary financing compared to “regular” homes, yet the tax credit is identical and the quality is better than many of the infamous McCrap shacks described on this blog.
Ah, but there is always a down side: upon viewing my new abode, my girlfriend promptly dumped me! The nerve! See where pragmatism gets you, Muggy? Water>Food>Shelter>all the fun stuff. Guess I’m too hardheaded for my own good!
“Ah, but there is always a down side: upon viewing my new abode, my girlfriend promptly dumped me!”
If she dumped you for that reason, consider it an upside that she’s gone.
Maybe she’s a double-wide kinda woman.
Muggy,
I feel your pain. I have now been renting since Oct. 2005 and things were going our way. The interest I was earning was about the same as rent. Now, interest rates at about 0%, the fun is gone.
I have also seen a few places sell for more than I would want to pay. But, I don’t want to wait all these years and then fall for a sucker’s rally, dead cat bounce, etc. I am about sick of the neighborhood I am in with the houses shoe horned in and the 1/2 as wide as they should be streets.
We go look for houses and it sure makes a difference on what your are willing to pay when it is your own cash. You get mighty picky and cautious.
All I can think is that this year will seperate the men from the boys (or women from the girls if you prefer). Generally, I have been rewarded for patience and I think it will be the case this year. Interest rates have to go up and the home buyer credits have to go in order for me to buy.
My biggest problem is still coming to reality that once I am in another house, it is not going to gain any appreciation for a long time, so I had better pick wisely. Having made the easy money on my AZ house, it is hard to stay away from the kool-aid.
Wow - this is exactly how I feel.
My patience is waning.
I mean this: if my wife would do it, I’d buy a $20k trailer in a mobile home community with no sex offenders and just wait 2-3 years. The only reason we made an offer this weekend is because the ‘hood is as bulletproof as they come in Florida.
Welcome to my world. We spent 40k, but it’s a pretty nice one. Wife was totally uninterested a few years ago, but is onboard now. Bring on the pain. Just hope I can keep a job…
Questions to consider…
1A)Will a 2/1.5 house meet your needs for the medium to long term future?
1B) OR Is there A) room to remodel/expand into a 3/2 so you can upgrade without moving and B) if you do expand will you have overbuilt for the neighborhood?
2) Is it in a locale you are comfortable staying in long term?
3) How is the local public infrastructure and tax base?
4) Is you personal financial situation such that you can weather possible setbacks, such as a job loss, increased property taxes, etc.?
Any advice on how to ride this freaking thing out housing-wise? I get the money part (diversify), but where do I actually freaking live until this is over?
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Sit down with your beloved and listen; take notes; then reason.
(No it did not work for me - hubby busted out of the locked closet I put him into, even though I fed and watered him hourly!) Oy.
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I was trying to talk my wife into buying one of these mid-county 2/1.5 houses for > $80k, but she’s not interested in more of the same.
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Renting? More of the stay in the same place? (I can’t surmise love).
I wanted to sign on for another year rental lease on a three/two/two cg after two years of renting $1050 (I know you’ve been doing this longer) but hubby wanted to have Zen NOW - and dang he’s toooooo cute!
Hey, sometimes quality of life trumps a few $’s here and a few $’s there. This is about you Mugs, but I’m glad we took the leap-we are retired (head dodging flying objects from under desk!)
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The difference in price between a 2/1.5 and a 3/2 in my area is huge. I want an SFH to isolate my family from the financial and social pressure of sharing expenses with FBHOAs. I am actually at a point where the next step is totally unclear. This is a new, uncomfortable phase of the bubble for me.
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Congrats to you and Misses Mugs-the baby pics are overwhelming! What a beautiful family.
Mugs, have faith and communicate your point of view. I confess it may do you little good; but do it anyway (Not that this is about me…but…er…the lock did not hold…er…and I’m happy as lampchops!) Hubby does have good instincts
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I mean this: if my wife would do it, I’d buy a $20k trailer in a mobile home community with no sex offenders and just wait 2-3 years. The only reason we made an offer this weekend is because the ‘hood is as bulletproof as they come in Florida.
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Mugs, you and the Misses and wee muggsies, well, er…you…er…
are a handsome, beautiful bunch.
My friend, talk to your lady. Tell her you feel (what you said) and why.
Brother, your convictions are sound. Just thought I’d say so and entertain you along the way….weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!
Best always,
Leigh
Senate eyes 15-day jobless benefit extension
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — With 1.2 million people set to lose their unemployment checks starting next week, the Senate is looking to extend the deadline to file for federal jobless benefits by 15 days.
Lawmakers have yet to set a date to vote on the measure.
Without an extension beyond the Feb. 28 deadline, people receiving state jobless benefits won’t be able to apply for additional federally paid unemployment insurance, and anyone already receiving those checks could be cut off. They also won’t be able to sign up for the 65% federal subsidy for COBRA unemployment insurance.
Why even bother voting?
Just read an article in the NYT that touched on this. It was on the mark when it said that the system is “ill-prepared” for a prolonged downturn. We’re up to 99 weeks in many places - how long can it go? More importantly, if they are extended - what’s the end game?
Whether it’s MBS, CRE, or UE benefits - extend and pretend is the rule of the day. These guys have no real plans and I still believe that behind the MSM curtain of omnipotence they are crapping their pants.
Time will reveal that the duration of this event took the greatest toll.
“Extend and pretend is the rule of the day.”
One day at a time.
“They guys have no real plans …”
…other than to keep it together until the November elections.
The endgame, IMHO, is endless, skyrocketing unemployment, but as the benefits trickle away, people fall off the unemployment numbers. Then, they can claim a “recovery” despite the hordes of people out of work.
Which is exactly what has occurred for every single recession I can remember since the 1970s.
Now factor in jobs going offshore during those decades and you begin to see where we’re eventually headed.
Whenever I’ve suggested that long-term widescale unemployment will finally reveal to the masses the weaknesses of employer-provided health care, I’ve been assured by several posters here that COBRA solves everything I was worried about. Looks like the COBRA is losing its sting, eh?
And how does it work again if I want to leave my corporate job and start up a new biz? Oh right, it doesn’t. Oh well, who needs entrepreneurship and a flexible labor force in this day and age. As long as we don’t have ‘death panels’! (Oh wait- we already do? Oh well, at least they’re ‘free market’ death panels.)
Whenever I’ve suggested that long-term widescale unemployment will finally reveal to the masses the weaknesses of employer-provided health care
I totally agree that it does. My COBRA runs out at the end of next month, so I’m shopping for insurance (I’m working now, but as a contractor). Unfortunately, while I think most people will recognize a problem, they won’t trace the roots back to the fact companies get a tax break for providing health insurance (rather than higher wages), and *that* is the root of the problem.
… they won’t trace the roots back to the fact companies get a tax break for providing health insurance (rather than higher wages), and *that* is the root of the problem.
And why is it that companies get a tax break for providing health insurance rather than higher wages? Because they need to be “incentivized” (ugh, that word) into bearing or mitigating the increasingly onerous costs of health care — otherwise our current system would’ve long ago been revealed as an inefficient sham, even to the “US healthcare is #1!” crowd.
(After writing that, maybe it was implicit in your original statement … )
check out the freelancer’s union - they have a group insurance plan. I know some people who have it and say it is ok, though none of them has had any serious illnesses that i am aware of.
For AZ, their health insurance is through Golden Rule. Which sucks as much as the plan I have now.
I HAD golden Rule….got a check for $4,000 when they got bought out by United Health ( i guess they were a mutual company, owned by their policy holders)….premiums have been sky rocketting ever since….
we cancelled our policy and now my wife flies to France for all her doctor visits (really prefers the bedside manner there too) everything is a fifth the price or less.
i haven’t seen a doctore since 1994…..but i feel O.K.
Whenever I’ve suggested that long-term widescale unemployment will finally reveal to the masses the weaknesses of employer-provided health care,
It will reveal the weakness of trickle down economics, bank bail outs, and a bought and paid for government.
Nope, it won’t. Your average American thinks that voting for his/her self interest is socialeest.
Republicans have been screaming and crying socialism and and librul since the days of Barry Goldwater and General Curtis E. LeMay.
Had the nation listened to those two, we’d be lucky to still be living on a nuked green glass planet ang arguing heath care with another breed of roaches.
And don’t forget, if the employer goes belly up, the health plan is terminated and COBRA is not applicable. The same is true if the employer terminates its health plan. COBRA benefits are tenuous at best.
if the employer goes belly up, the health plan is terminated and COBRA is not applicable
Not true. Unless I’m misunderstanding. My employer went belly-up. I did get laid off before they closed the doors, but I think that’d be everyone’s status when the employer closed shop. I still have COBRA, and it’s managed by ADP TotalSource. I think I’m even eligible for the super duper subsidy extension. Hooray!
Much as I might seemingly be on the other side in the healthcare debate; totally argee with this here.
All of our social safety nets are getting strained to near breaking.
Our social safety nets broke long ago.
God help you if you ever have to use them, because your going to need it.
Now social safety nets for the bankstas, on the other hand…
My baby sister is caught up in this and is terrified she will lose her unemployment check, as well as the house she and the BIL are renting from the bank (they call it a “mortgage”, wink wink).
Actually,
There as to be an end to UE. What do you do? Pay benefits indefinetly? Forever?
Why not? We seem to be able to fund wars indefinitely.
ziiiiiiiiiiiiinggggggggggggggggggggg….. (exeter™)
Really, how much are we spending on unemployment as opposed to the two unwinnable, endless wars we are fighting in the middle east?
I seem to recall that each pair of boots on the ground over there costs almost a cool million per year. That’s 2500 weeks of UE benefits at $400 per week. 48 people for a whole year.
Another back of the envelope calculation: 10,000,000 unemployed receiving $400 a week for 52 weeks costs $208 billion. How much are we spending in Iraq? According to costofwar dot com we have already spent 700 billion in Iraq alone, plus another 250 billion in Afghanistan. I checked my town’s share (Loveland) of that cost and it’s 173 million.
Its easy to be snide towards the unemployed when one has a guaranteed government job with a pension waiting, but those of us working in the private sector know we could find ourselves on unemployement at any time. And for the record: I have never received an unemployment check in my life. But I know many folks who are doing their darndest to find a job and who would be sunk without that unemployment check.
Currently, somewhere’s between 19-22% of this country’s 2009 spending was geared to the military and its campaigns.
Significantly more is spend on entitlement programs such as Medicare.
Back when JFK was president (1960/1961), 52% of the country’s spending was on the military and its campaigns.
“Back when JFK was president (1960/1961), 52% of the country’s spending was on the military and its campaigns.”
Yeah, a democraptic president spending all that taxpayer money on going to the moon, like we got any “military benefits” from that… SPENDING! SPENDING! SPENDING!
Rash & Limpbaughs was still trying to graduate high school ’bout then.
Ralph: “To the moon Alice…to the moon!
What will happen to unemployment when we bring the troops home and downsize our military?
Dang good question.
Leigh
Not really.
The jobs are not coming back, ever.
New jobs will outsourced, insourced, etc.
So, to keep the masses from rioting, the bread and circuses will continue until they can no longer be afforded.
I just called to make my Jcpenney payment. I was trying to use the website, but they cant get my “account” information for some reason. So, I call the website number and get a nice lady, but she sends me to another number to make the actual payment, you guessed it, in Pakistan. I joke with the guy I could probably come and pay in person since I’m closer to Pakistan now….
Why cant we pay people $10 an hour to take payments over the phone again?
Why cant we pay people $10 an hour to take payments over the phone again?
Because the people in Pakistan do it for $1 an hour?
Because the people in Pakistan do it for $1 an hour?
This is a fact that sometimes is lost on our government employed friends. Many still believe that the grass is greener in the private sector.
Plenty of gov jobs outsourced. That’s why they want to privatize as much of gov as possible. The US gov can’t directly hire Pakistanis Chinese etc, but a private contractor can and can take home a big pay check in the process.
More and more phone-answering jobs are being outsourced to womens’ prisons. They work even cheaper than they do in Mumbai.
The jobs are not coming back, ever.
I had a glimmer of an observation this weekend - it went like this:
Many American jobs outsourced by corporations. What do Americans do? Well, right about that time, along comes the internet.
Resourceful folk can now set up shop and make and sell items from their homes. You name it; clothing, pottery, furniture, art, tools, services - just about any shippable item or telecommutable service.
With a populace increasingly incensed by the arrogance and abuse of large corporations, the option to buy from like-minded individuals who provide value borne of honest labor is quite enticing. And not just fellow countrymen, either.
All you need to have a decent business is for 50-100 thousand people to each give you a dollar every year. And there are 3 Billion people on the internet.
We’ve gone from cottage industry to industrial revolution to
globalism and now I think we could go on to global cottage industry.
They call me a dreamer…
I’ve been writing Freelance Switch articles about this very trend.
I’m afraid you are dreaming, The success ratio of internet businesses is no different than any other.
In other words, poor.
Secondly, you’re about 12 years late to the game. This was the mindset back then. That’s when the phrase “it’s different this time” was coined.
Aye, Maytee!
They will tax the wires as well.
Coming to a DSL nearest you!
Hoy!
Shop now.
Ya just can’t make this stuff up!
/sarcasm…er…me thinks.
Leigh
Again I say
Do you ever wonder how a Chavez gets voted into office. You are about to find out here in the US. When the masses see that they have been screwed, that they have no money, no property, no job they will push for someone like Chavez. It amazes me that the elite don’t read history and understand that their greed eventually results in a collapse of their system. Of course they will try to install a strong man to protect their wealth from the masses.
Ore. bill would ban credit checks of job seekers
February 22, 2010
SALEM, Ore. (AP) - The Oregon Legislature has sent Gov. Ted Kulongoski a bill to bar many employers from checking the credit of job seekers.
Backers say thousands of people have bad credit because of layoffs and medical bills that have nothing to do with their qualifications.
Opponents say the Legislature shouldn’t interfere with business personnel decisions.
The bill would exempt banks, credit unions and law enforcement agencies. It would also exempt employers if the credit information is relevant to the job and the employer discloses the check to the applicant.
The bill also applies to job actions such as promotions and dismissals.
Opponents say the Legislature shouldn’t interfere with business personnel decisions.
Oh absolutely. We can’t have that 800 lb government gorilla butting in every time a business make a personnel decision to reject an applicant who is non-male, non-white, or older than Lady Gaga.
Huh? When was the last time you looked at the demographics of who is unemployed?
I was pointing out that basing employment on FICO is potentially discriminatory, nothing to do with who’s currently unemployed.
If I were hiring someone to work in any sort of financial capacity, you bet your sweet bippy that I’d be doing a credit check. No two ways about it.
But I don’t hire for such things. I hire people to do things like programming, website theming, Flash, and copyediting.
One of my programmers told me that, many years ago, she was arrested for drunk driving and had done jail time. She also told me that she’s had many years of sobriety since then. Darn good programmer, that one.
Agreed slim, but for an average job?
I would like to see drug testing of executives every 90 days.
1 coked up VP can steal 100 times more then a guy on the loading dock.
financial capacity,
If I were hiring someone to work in any sort of financial capacity, you bet your sweet bippy that I’d be doing a credit check.
I’m just glad you said “you bet your sweet bippy”!
“Ore. bill would ban credit checks of job seekers”
There should be bills that extend this kind of protection to other areas.
Credit checks should be used for the basis of extending credit, not for things such as making employment, rental, or insurance decisions.
Credit checks have been used as a crutch by businesses too lazy make decisions using more relevant measures.
“…Credit checks have been used as a crutch by businesses too lazy make decisions using more relevant measures.”
“Bidness” does “other things” as well:
1973:
(Hwy applies for a summer job in maintenance at Caterpillar)
“Here’s your application…O.K., here’s a 7 page psychological test, take your clip-board & pencil and go to room #3″
I won’t mention the type of test I had to take a while back in an room by myself.
Let’s just say another kind of “pencil” was involved….
While I’m all for a much smaller government, a credit check is usually a window into their credibility. There are many exceptions, undoubtedly. But after a lifetime of seeing professional BS artists breed at an accelerated rate I would, If I was a landlord or a business owner, use it early in the interview process. If my people skills told me this person is genuine and had a pimple on his report I would give them a chance to explain.
P.S. I have two friends that I know of that have terrible credit. One declared chapter 13. He had an employee embezzle a large sum of money along with other issues. My other buddy just lives beyond his means no matter what he earns. Both good guys.
Not to mention that HR has “inside” information about your private life…but they are all “Professional’s” right?
(Hwy watches youtube: The Office)
One of my formal girlfriends did the hiring for a major law firm. Was yakking all the time about the stuff she’d see on resumes.
One guy put down how much he could bench-press….
Fixer,
I know it seems incomprehensible, but there was a reason for that sort of information on law firm resumes, especially for the new attorneys. You are there for an interview. You see about 5 people for about 30 minutes each. Your law school classes and grades are on the resume or on an attached transcipt. What do you talk about for half an hour with 5 different people? What was your favorite contracts case? Does professor X still try to best the guys who are a lot better looking than he is? No. You talk about anything that is different than what you saw on the last 10 resumes. Weight training is as good a thing to talk about as any.
Baby attorneys are fungible. They do research. They take old deal documents and update them for new deals (all the March 14’s need to become September 18’s). They stay late and don’t get much sleep. They stay for a few years and then they leave. Picking the new ones is about finding people who are willing to subject themselves to law school and with whom you wouldn’t mind spending 40 hours straight. That is about it.
Or the guy could have been an a$$hat. One or the other.
You talk about anything that is different than what you saw on the last 10 resumes.
After I got my first professional job, I found out that my employers were impressed that when they asked me about my Master’s thesis during my interview lunch, I told them briefly what it was about and then changed the subject to something more interesting.
Given the tone of the conversation with her fellow employee, I’m saying “B”
I want to know about GSfixer’s “informal” girlfriends, as opposed to the formal one.
GSfixer’s “informal” girlfriends
they were the ones with the wrist-length white gloves as opposed to the above-elbow ones
“a credit check is usually a window into their credibility.”
More like it’s a window into how well the BS can game the FICO system. Like all those “Primes” who are going to default on their McMansions, or all those folks who paid their minimum payment on toothpaste from Target and suddenly they are deemed responsible enough to broow 10x their income.
“There are many exceptions, undoubtedly.”
So maybe it’s not so good of a window? And yeah, maybe *you* would be all nice and ask the applicant to explain his low FICO, but, as SDGreg points out, pretty soon companies will just use the FICO number as a time-saving crutch rather than obtaining more relevant information…ahem didn’t the mortgage brokers do precisely that?
Interesting topic, for sure. ChoicePoint owns databases used for pre-employment checks, CLUE, the database of insurance claims, and some marketing oriented databases, too. They also own LexisNexis. Although my FICO is in the 800’s, I have my issues with an employer invading my privacy.
Oxide,
Surely a CC is not an end-all litmus test. I agree FICO is a backasswards system. In fact, I’m not even sure what my score is. All I know is I’ve paid every bill on time and have no long term debt. FICO is important, unfortunately, when you need to borrow. If you don’t, F-em.
I have been on both sides of this CC issue. I was working for a large semiconductor tool manufacturer as a contractor. They sprung a new regulation on us that we had to submit to background checks. There were no security clearance issues with our jobs. When you gave consent to these new regulations you gave them the ability to do a credit check and extensive background checks. Even going so far as to canvass your neighborhood. I’m not kidding. I didn’t have a problem with a criminal history check but the rest was complete BS to me. Many in my group were ready to fold but I was able to convince the group to call BS on it. This manufacturer needed us so they acquiesced.
With all that said, I would still do a CC on a prospective tenant or employee. This is with 15 more years or so under my belt.
Eeek ! Always, Always do a credit check on a potential renter. If they have bad credit, then they don’t have any skin in the game for landlord/tenant issues since they don’t have a FICO to protect, and they won’t take care of your property very well. I know from sad (and expensive) experience.
I have a friend who’s a longtime landlady. She charges the maximum security deposit allowed by AZ law. Says that weeds out the riff-raff.
“There were no security clearance issues with our jobs. When you gave consent to these new regulations you gave them the ability to do a credit check and extensive background checks.”
Ha, the good ol’ days!
Company X hiring a QA Director…three interviews…x2 flights to their hdqrts…
Down to the final x2…”hired-gun” consultant really thinks ol’ Hwy’s is more than qualified…thinks he’s the man for the job!
CEO: So can you xsplain about this arrest in ‘96?
Hwy: “Well, the police Supervisor (poking ol Hwy in chest x3 times) says he gonna shoot my dog in the head if she bites him…” (long pause)
CEO: “Then what happened”?
Hwy: “I says to him: let me get this straight…your gonna shoot a chained dog in the head for protecting it’s turf…why,… that’s mighty white of ya!”
(metal sound): CLICK! CLICK!
After an Alcohol lunch where ol’ Hwy was the only one in a suit…
“hired-gun” consultant: “Hwy, I was really pulling for ya, but this company is looking for someone who DOES NOT have aggressive “TrurthSlayer™” tendencies…
Post Script:
(6 months later the Company was indicted for criminal misconduct for violating FDA rules regarding an “inhalant” used by 100,000 of seniors)
Oxide- Oh please. Fico was never claimed to be perfect but, an approximate guess at risk. Insurance companies have been using demographics such as age, zip, and marital status for decades. It gets fine tuned with time, as will FICO (was born in mid-to-late 90’s dont forget). While I am largely in tune with the theme of this blog, sometimes everyone is so over the top cynical that it destroys the credibility of the very real points (not singling you out Oxide). We need FICO to act as the arbitor of risk and separate the wheat from the chaffe in our favor. Nobody has the time of money to listen to your cry letter about why your score should be hire.
Note: i think its a little ironic that below your post, another makes a point about checking credit before renting to someone. In other words, making the same business decision being discussed in the post.
“We need FICO to act as the arbitor of risk and separate the wheat from the chaffe in our favor.”
I’m not against FICO being used to check someone’s ability to pay or handle money — mortgages, renting, or a jbo in the financial sector. But what about someone’s ability to teach, or fight fires, or do R&D, or surgery, or even drive a car? You gonna base your hiring decision on FICO for those jobs, because you “don’t have time” to do more than look for the highest number?
I notice you’re a mortgage guy. As for using FICO’s for mortgages, using FICO is fine; the issue is when the banks get lazy and use only FICO. How did that work out for you? Oh that’s right, what do you care? You just take your bonus while I bail you out.
The bill would exempt banks, credit unions and law enforcement agencies. It would also exempt employers if the credit information is relevant to the job and the employer discloses the check to the applicant.
Of course they can’t propose such a bill without providing a list of exemptions, which would surely grow over time. Why is credit history relevant to working for a bank? It’s not like you’re borrowing money from them. And law enforcement?
if you’re deep in DEBT, and need money really bad.. we give you keys to the bank’s front door and the vault? How about just a desk and a computer with total access?
Or how about the property room in the police station where all the evidence is kept… drugs.. cash.. maybe you wouldn’t mind rolling some drug dealers… or offing a pimp and working the local girls yourself..
It’s not that anyone in debt would take such advantage of the many opportunities.. it’s a matter of responsible people not providing the temptation and opportunity.
joeyinCalif-
All relevant and good points. I guess it comes down to being a good judge of character and having it.
Years ago,I had textbook cash in my wallet, and I lost it. (Evidently, I missed my purse when putting it back.)The down on his luck guy that returned both the cash and wallet, was taught from childhood to be honest. I gave him some $.
..I guess it comes down to being a good judge of character and having it.
that got me thinking..
I know a couple people of definitely “bad” character.
They seem unable to judge character in others, and tend to distrust everyone.
They don’t pay bills because the company is “always trying” to screw them or “has” screwed them. They can be relied on to back out of obligations of any sort, and justify it because “they would do it to me if i gave them the chance”.
Another thing is they can’t see how they might be responsible for whatever situation they find themselves in.
It’s not like they’re faking it.. they really believe it’s them against the world.
—–
Having good character may not guarantee riches, but it is by far the more rewarding and less stressful way of life. It’s good for the mind, the body and the soul..
Business Ethics: Public’s trust in corporate America fading Athens Banner-Herald Feb. 21, 2010
It is hard to recall a time in recent memory when trust in corporate America has been called into question as much as today.
In Tamar Frankel’s book, “Trust and Honesty: America’s Business Culture at a Crossroad,” she argues that America’s culture is moving in a new and dangerous direction.
we all sense an utter frustration at how business leaders seem out of touch with their complicity in the current financial collapse. This opinion is leveled at corporate America,
today some people perceive that there is only a fine line between a corporate executive and a scoundrel.
Today, America faces a serious problem with a financial crisis caused in no small part by greed…This confidence cannot and will not be restored until American executives and companies choose to be guided by a moral compass.
Business associations continue their customary practices of fighting regulations and lobbying for more favorable treatment in Washington rather than restoring trust with the people who make their jobs possible.
http://onlineathens.com/stories/022110/bus_565562395.shtml
“…It is hard to recall a time in recent memory when trust in corporate America has been called into question as much as today….”
That’s easy: the 1960s. The decade before the Business Roundtable was formed and put the full on propaganda and lobbying blitz against workers and consumers rights and safety and pollution regulations.
Many people with good credit scores are deep in debt. Many people with bad scores are debt free. IOW, credit scores have only a moderate correlation with indebtedness.
well.. a regular credit report doesn’t even include the FICO score.. that costs extra.
Well yes, credit SCORES are predicated on the idea that they are a predictor of peoples propensity to pay their bills. Like many things (say citation counts) they become less and less useful when you use them for something else. But the whole credit report could, indeed be useful. Does a potential employee have enough debts to make stealing from their employer tempting? The relevance of this depends on the job. How much trust does the job require from your employee? I’m afraid that I can’t get behind the idea of making a “protected class” of those with bad credit.
Or, if you’re a person who doesn’t pay his taxes - would you let that person run the Treasury? Oh, wait…
Not that I support such nonsense, but I do find it sad how the rules apply to us, but not to them, as usual.
i dunno if i can find it again, but there was a story about a big IRS processing center somewhere in California. The article claimed that some huge number of the people working there.. i recall 40% or 60%.. hadn’t filed taxes in years.
Here’s excerpts from one similar.. 2007.. and according to the IRS, the Treasury has the least number of tax cheats. (Since the Treasury includes the IRS, i’d be suspicious of that stat.)
WASHINGTON - As the 2006 tax season approaches, the federal government is still trying to recover nearly $3 billion from its own employees who failed to file income tax returns for 2005…
More than 450,000 active and retired federal employees did not voluntarily comply with federal income tax requirements for the 2005 tax year…
The total balance owed is $2,799,950,165.
The documents show that every federal agency has employees who failed to comply with federal tax laws…
Seventy-one employees in the Executive Office of the President, which includes the White House, owe $664,527 in taxes for 2005. About 20 of those employees have entered into an IRS payment plan, bringing the EOP balance down to $455,881owed by 50 employees…
At the IRS, employees can be fired for failure to pay federal income taxes. But an IRS spokesperson tells WTOP it’s no easier to collect from federal employees than it is to collect from the general public…
….The percentage of federal employees who still owe back taxes for the 2005 year is 3.3 percent of the workforce including retirees.
The federal agency with the highest number of delinquent taxpayers is the United States Postal Service, where 56,652 employees owe more than $320 million…..
The agency with the best compliance rate is the Department of Treasury, which includes the IRS. Fewer than 2 percent of Treasury employees failed to pay their taxes. About 3,000 Treasury employees owed $13,489,683..
http://wtop.com/?nid=428&sid=1034585
This bill is probably sponsored by all those seeking jobs to pump gas here in the state and are getting turned down for bad credit.
For those who don’t know, it is illegal to pump your own gas into your vehicle. It is legal to pump your own gas into a gas can, or toy (boat, ATV, etc.). It is also legal to pump your own diesel.
One thing I like to do when I get into Idaho is ask a stranger at the gas pump how the thing works - telling them that us folks from OryGone are too stupid to pump our own. That gets quite a mixed reaction.
ah yes, what I call Oregon’s “full employment law”….but on those cold rainy winter days, I don’t mind it!
Everytime I buy gas in OR, I wonder what the logic is behind the no pumpee yourself rule.
Is it an environmental thing?
They have the same rule in New Jersey. I think there it is an enviromental thing. A way to keep people from topping up the tank. Also something about using the nozzle that prevents vapor from escaping properly.
I think they SAY its an environmental thing. Methinks its a jobs thing.
Actually it was orginally sold as a “safety measure”. The presumption was that the typical pumpor would catch the whole station on fire.
Why are pumps in OR and NJ so unsafe?
LOL. Did you do that to a guy north of Olympia, WA about 8-9 years ago?
I pulled up to a pump and a guy my age (about 28 at that time) from OR asked me if the pump shut off automatically and other questions about the process. I could see if it was a 16 year old asking but this guy was pushing 30, with seemingly years of driving behind him. I thought I was being punk’d.
Which hole do I put it in?
I cancelled a citibank credit card late last year after having repeated problems with citibank delaying posting of my payments, sometimes by 10 days to two weeks, in order to make them be “late”, which of course resulted in numerous “fees” and “surcharges” as well as interest being tacked on to the bill.
When I called up to cancel my account, the customer service rep made a point of telling me that my future ability to get a job, loan, or apartment could be affected by my cancellation. Why is this not considered to be racketeering or extortion ? Why should I be punished for cancelling an account, especially if I am doing it due to suspected borderline fraudulent activity on the part of the bank ?
Was the balance zero? If not the guy might have been doing you a service..
Otherwise it’s just salesmanship. It costs them money to replace you, and if they think they can talk you out of it, they will try.
Read this (and similar) for some insight..
http://www.creditcards.com/credit-card-news/help/cancel-credit-card-6000.php
…Prior to closing the account, consider the possible effect on your credit…
In the case of open accounts, “Positive credit data can stay on the credit report indefinitely,”…
Closed accounts with zero balances and no associated negative information typically remain on a credit history for 10 years..
“This allows the positive information to remain longer than most negative information,” says Rod Griffin, director of public education with credit bureau Experian.
When I called up to cancel my account, the customer service rep made a point of telling me that my future ability to get a job, loan, or apartment could be affected by my cancellation.
And I presume that you’re still employed and living indoors.
None of my background checks have included credit, ever. As I’ve said before — its only done for security, finance or possibly childcare? If you ask HR, they’ll tell you what is run.
“…Opponents say the Legislature shouldn’t interfere with business personnel decisions….”
But it’s okay for an employer to interfere in yours.
Thanks W -
People -
Why are we a one mistake society?
Get a ticket - no vote for you…er…ya convicted misterweiner person!
Wait. You made a mistake. I can find it. Wait. Just you wait!
Let’s get funky - I’m going to put a camera in your laptop - WT heck?
Only the best need apply. Wait. Zero toleranc. Wait. You are pregnant and want to do what?
Wait.
No pensions? No double dipping. No cake for you.
Wait. No money? What…er…what are…er…you doing with money?
Wait. Are you ranting. Wait…no…wait.
No, ya just can’t make this stuff up.
Sigh,
Leigh
Banks May Use Payday-Style Loans to Replace Lost Overdraft Fees.
Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) — U.S. banks may expand their short- term lending at interest rates of 120 percent or more as they seek to replace more than $15 billion in lost revenue because of regulations limiting overdraft fees.
“The smarter banks are trying to resell overdraft protection to consumers as a different product,” said Elizabeth Rowe, group director of banking advisory services at Mercator Advisory Group in Maynard, Massachusetts.
Banks including Cincinnati-based Fifth Third Bancorp, San Francisco-based Wells Fargo & Co., the fourth-largest U.S. bank, and U.S. Bancorp, based in Minneapolis, are already making such loans, usually from $100 to $500, at annual rates of 120 percent if repaid in 30 days. They’re known as “checking advance products.” That puts them in competition with so-called payday loan stores, which make loans with similar terms to customers who generally don’t have credit cards to bridge the gap until the check comes, according to Rowe, whose firm advises banks.
That’s awesome. Pretty soon 5/3 will have a “guy named Tony that can get that for ya.”
You mean they don’t already?
Megabanks need to start a program where debtors must go live and work at “indentured work camps” owned by the bank. Indentured workers would work off their debt by remodelling foreclosures owned by the bank with the weaker, less intelligent debtors working as indentured real-estate agents to try to sell the property. Eighteen-hour days of installing granite, travertine, and replacing chinese drywall followed by a forced-march to bank-owned foreclosed commercial barracks. Armed guards would supervise the whole process and are told to meet quotas or nobody gets fed and are instructed to shoot anybody who tries to escape.
Press,
Very funny! I especially like the “weaker, less intelligent” part.
If given the chance, this is what we’d all have to look forward to at the tender mercy of Megabank Inc.
I didn’t know you’ve been to Dubai, pressboardbox.
The Dubai model, eh?
I’m seeing new ‘cash advance’ ads on TV now. One has Montel Williams as their spokesman- he personally assures you it’s a good product. I think they offer you $1000 by tomorrow if you have a job that makes $800 a month(!). I think they also say there’s no credit check- the wave of the future? I guess once two-thirds of your population has bad credit, you gotta go with the flow.
A lady at work who had two payday loans out a couple of years ago and had asked me for help in budgeting, backed out then because I wanted to know what she made, what she owed, what she tithed to her church, ad nauseum. Can’t help somebody who won’t give you the real figures. A few months ago, she told me that she has 6 payday loans out now, and is getting collection calls at work. She wanted me to help her again. I knew nothing was going to change, so I just nodded my head at her and said, “That’s terrible.” I can’t change someone’s basic habits and and I don’t want to burn up 5 or so hours of my life on it. I’m sorry, but that’s it. I helped my daughter with some of her budgeting, and she took my advice. She lost the budget ( never put it on a spreadsheet ) later, but at least I felt she learned a few things. I try to stay out of her finances.
You just gave us a priceless lesson in how to get along at work.
In a nutshell, there are things that are better left unsaid. And you should also save your advice for those who will actually use it. Like your daughter.
Yes, you’re right. I also have found out over the years that generally, it’s better for me to have good acquaintances at work than bestiest friends. Eventually, it becomes a pain in the — if people know too much about what’s going on, family issues, pocketbook stuff, etc. It’s all wonderful when things are going well, but the whining gets pretty deafening if you listen to peoples’ “stuff” too often. I have had to adopt a policy of just moving on.
I got tired of one of the women at work complaining about not having any money. Like me, she was single, so I simply said that she needed to spend less money. When she tried to defend her expenditures, I just told her that she made more than me, and saved less. I have no interest in telling you how to spend you money, but you need to figure out how to spend less of it. ISTM that SOOOO many people have little or no cushion in their economic lives. Then they complain because any unexpected expenses put them into trouble. But if you keep your monthly nut down, the one time expenditures are less of a problem. At least she has never fallen into the “carrying a CC balance hole,” which puts her ahead of most people.
Thanks, Jim.
The HBB community was treated to an extensive account of last May’s water line replacement here at the Arizona Slim Ranch.
Recall that during that project, a fuse blew at the next-door neighbors’ house. They tried various methods of connecting that incident to my line replacement, but all of them failed.
Although I can’t prove it, I believe that their efforts to link the two unrelated events had to do with their lack of a cushion to pay for something as big as new electrical service to their house. You should see these people — they’re spenders like there’s no tomorrow.
OTOH, I learned early on that if one is to be a homeowner, it’s a good idea to have a cushion on hand for the disasters that strike. I used that cushion to pay for my water line replacement.
Nothing bugs me more than people who make a good living complain about not having enough money, when I see so many people who can’t save money because they flat out aren’t making enough money and are already pared to the bone.
I helped my daughter with some of her budgeting, and she took my advice. She lost the budget ( never put it on a spreadsheet )
I never had much luck with budgets, but I love my cash flow spreadsheet. I’m not quite sure what the difference is, but for me, the cash flow is more of a “prediction” than a “guideline”, if that makes any sense.
lavi,
Nice website. I just can’t figure out how you seem coherent here on the HBB and then have that website. Must be a Vegas thing.
Lip
I just looked up Montel, because I was curious what happened with his show.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Montel_Williams
“It has been alleged that this resulted in part from an appearance on the show Fox & Friends in which Williams criticized the media’s lack of coverage on the Iraq War, and took the hosts to task for their excessive coverage (along with the media in general) of the death of actor Heath Ledger, contrasted with the sparse coverage of U.S. soldiers dying in Iraq[citation needed]. Some have noted that one of the segment’s hosts told viewers that Williams would return for further conversation after a commercial break, but that Williams was no longer on the set when the commercials ended. On May 16, 2008 the last episode of The Montel Williams Show aired.[”
Whoops - don’t bite the corporate hand that feeds you, Montel.
What was that about this bank originally not wanting to be known as 3/5’s bank since that’s how much a slave counted for? And yet they seek to create debt slaves. How sadly ironic…
The deathbed of Keynesian economics
February 23, 2010
The UK has produced notable economists over the years, but John Maynard Keynes, the guru of government intervention, was one of truly global significance.
So it may be fitting that the UK will also become the deathbed of Keynesian economics.
Britain has been following the mainstream prescriptions of his followers more than any developed nation. It has cut interest rates, pumped up government spending, printed money like crazy, and nationalised almost half the banking industry.
Short of digging Karl Marx out of his London grave, and putting him in charge, it is hard to see how the state could get more involved in the economy.
The results will be dire. The economy is flat on its back, unemployment is rising, the pound is sinking, and the bond markets are bracketing the country with Greece and Portugal in the category marked “bankruptcy imminent.” At some point soon, even the most loyal disciples of Keynes will have to admit defeat, and accept that a radical change of direction is needed.
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/business/the-deathbed-of-keynesian-economics-20100223-p00z.html
“Britain has been following the mainstream prescriptions of his followers more than any developed nation.”
Uh, didn Keynes advocate government borrowing-and-spending in bad times and PAYING BACK what was borrowed-and-spent when the good times came back?
Seems Britain got half of it right. Same with the the U.S.
Agreed Combo. It’s amazing how few people realize there is no theoretical foundation behind the spend and spend more policy of governments.
Keynes was also weak on monetary policy. It could have some effect, but loses its limited effectiveness during recessions and depressions. So in other words, Keynes wouldn’t have dropped rates to the floor either.
SOMEBODY’S been leaving the punchbowl out. Alan…Alan…ALAN!
Seems Britain got half of it right. Same with the the U.S.
+1
Uh, didn Keynes advocate government borrowing-and-spending in bad times and PAYING BACK what was borrowed-and-spent when the good times came back?
Exactly, Combo. Keynes would have opposed the financial deregulation and the subsequent concentration of money in Wall Street, and he would have raised interest rates during both the dotcom and the housing bubbles.
People who say we are now disproving Keynesianism don’t understand Keynesianism.
People who think Keynesianism can be actually practiced properly don’t understand politicians.
You just need an independent Fed.
I agree, political reality makes true Keynesianism hard to practice. It requires an educated, rational electorate- which are in short supply. But the ‘no rules at all’ idea usually being offered as the alternative to Keynesianism requires an even bigger leap of faith- since it has been proven wrong so many times in the past. And with much worse consequences. Keynesianism worked great for about 50 years. (Oh, but it was ‘different that time’?)
And of course alpha, not all stimulus is done by the Fed.
Keynesianism worked great for about 50 years.
Skydiving without a parachute works great too - for a while.
But alas, much like this, it’s not sustainable.
“You just need an independent Fed.”
It is already. What we need is to end the Fed and have the Treasury and congress do the job the Founders expected them to do.
People who think Keynesianism can be actually practiced properly don’t understand politicians.
Likewise, people who think unfettered free markets can solve everything do not understand the methods by which our current legal, political, and corporate structures operate.
As you note below, theory and practice are two entirely different beasts.
whoever that guy was that said save during good and bad times…thats the guy i like.
that’s what i do.
Me too.
Uh, didn Keynes advocate government borrowing-and-spending in bad times and PAYING BACK what was borrowed-and-spent when the good times came back?
In theory, there’s no difference between theory and practice.
In practice, there is.
Therein lies the rub.
I’m going out on a limb here and saying perhaps post NASDAQ meltdown and 9-11; the economy was already toast and we tried a massive intervention then. Done in the form of massive rate cuts and credit injection.
We continue on that path with the stimulis bills.
The other arguement will always be “it would have been worse if…”.
Of course there was massive stimulis since the 80s with a brief respite under Bush 1. Since Clinton/Rubin were recovering from the first bubble in S&L they spun up a bunch of money.
So we got the SUV and NASDAQ bubbles. Then the housing bubble.
Hell this goes way back doesn’t it.
Not really sure if I want to sit here and discuss partisan gamesmanship with a bunch of party hacks.
Good call james.
Many people seem to forget that 9-11 was also the height of the dot com bomb which practically single-handedly caused a recession and trillions of dollars were being lost along with jobs and not just tech jobs.
Keynes didn’t invent that maxim. Joseph did during his dream explanation to Pharaoh. See Genesis 41. It’s one of the oldest stories in western civilization.
An observation I’ve made all my life is that people who are temporarily making a lot of money spend it like they will ALWAYS make that kind of money.
The same is true of the IRS. They did away with “income averaging” years ago. That would be the salvation of the unemployed today if it were still in effect.
At some point soon, even the most loyal disciples of Keynes will have to admit defeat, and accept that a radical change of direction is needed.
It is coming in the USA too and I think the positive change will focus on the finance industrial complex and their incumbent politicians because they are the tag-team that has gutted, with a dull knife, the American economy.
The gutting was done in the name of deregulation and “free” markets however the result or even the goal was to line the pockets of a few at the expense of what was once the strongest middle-class with the greatest job base in the entire world. This job base has been exported. For now.
I fully expect increasingly shrill, desperate and history re-writing banking and politically sponsored public relations noise in the MSM and blogs going forward.
+1
+1000 Rio . The media talks about Government creating jobs ,but there isn’t much talk about why those jobs aren’t there to begin with here in America . Picture Ford Motor Company originally asking for a bail out , (that they declined later) ,than shorty building a new Plant in Mexico ,while they close out a plant in America .
Your standard justification for outsourcing manufacturing and
jobs is that the America Corporation cannot compete unless it
takes its jobs to other Countries .
Is something wrong with this picture .We live in a America where the Corporations can’t hire Americans or manufacture here because the costs are to high for employment of people
to be able to live under our cost structures . At the same time
the Business Monopolies (like Health Insurance ) are raising prices .But, oh aren’t we lucky that we have WalMart to shop
at .
Why aren’t Politicians bringing up the issues of why the job base is eroding and so many people are out of work and why so many people can’t afford the standard costs of living in America anymore, including health care . Instead government is avoiding the big elephant in the room that Globalism is screwing up the job base in America ,just so Corporations can have a better bottom line on the stock market . If Corporations can’t survive without moving out of America ,than how do you remedy that ?
Do you even consider these Corporations American anymore if they would rather move or outsource to other countries and improve their job base instead so they can spend money in their Country and effect more job base loss here and a tax base as well.
The bribed Government went the way of de-regulation /Globalism and catering to Corporations ,who don’t even want to honor their pension contracts or provide benefits anymore . Its all about Wall Street being able to sell stock in multi-global Corporations . The financial systems are all about the Global churning of money ,without any regard to the local economies .
I must say that Goldmans version of how the World should turn
is how the World is turning ,aside from the realty of Main Street needing to eat .
The media talks about Government creating jobs ,but there isn’t much talk about why those jobs aren’t there to begin with here in America .
Dang Housing Wizard,
I was a little mad when I wrote it but now that I read your post I’m REALLY pixxed off! And I bet some more people are too.
Not that I support the bailout but the death of England is not due to the ineffective medicine, it’s due to the massive Cancer that built up during the no regulation, Ponzi scheme.
Also I suspect there is rather big difference in Keynsian outcome when the money borrowed by the gov goes to prop up elite bankers instead of creating jobs, and improving the countries competetiveness in terms of education, and infrastructure.
England also suffers from the same problem as us: lack of decent jobs.
Keynesianism provided cover for widespread looting throughout this crisis.
Not cover during looting, but it does delay the day the population pulls out the pitchforks. It should be noted that how you handle the increased spending is likely to make all the difference. If the gov borrows a ton of money and hands it a single indevidual it is very unlikely that this will stimulate the economy. That person will sit on the money until they think there is a bottom and invest it. Well the money has been handed to a small population of Wall Street’s elite and thus will not stimulate the economy. I still believe that the gov should stimulate jobs by rebuilding our infrastructure and improving our energy efficiency. This type of spending is likely to improve the economy much more than handing it to Wall Street or doing nothing and letting unemployment go to the moon. I’d have done away with TARP, and unemployment extensions and used the money to create jobs.
BTW, to revisit a previous topic, it sounds like Blue’s LL is going to be the model LL for years to come. LLs in Florida are already worn in, but it’ll be interesting to see the delusions of madmen in places where “the bubble never happened,” especially in places like upstate NY where the boom most likely prevented severe decline.
Our Miami LL isn’t worn in - he’s renting us the house (with the rent x 15) formula of 65% of what he has the house listed for and won’t budge off of. He keeps hearing from supposedly “in the know” friends that things are already turning around down here. I let him keep drinking the kool-aid, and I’m sure to his chagrin, we’ll likely extend our 2 year lease into a 3 or 4 year lease. Great school district, walking distance to the beach, and although the kitchen cabinets are exactly the same as the ones I had in my college apartment circa 1988, I get over it when I’m sticking my toes in the sand.
Sounds extremely nice and a great set-up !
My landlord has owned this place since the 80s. If he hadn’t refinanced, (He was late on a few payments and I didn’t see the mail was addressed to him. He’s got it mortgaged for about twice what its worth) he’d be raking in the dough. Instead his family’s got a sparkly new McMansion on the hill. Hope they don’t be screw that up or we’ll be squatting too.
Home sales jump in January
Boston Business Journal ~ 2-23-10
Home prices and sales volume in Massachusetts saw significant increases in January compared with the same month last year, according to the latest data from real estate tracker The Warren Group.
The median price for single-family homes sold in January rose 9.6 percent to $285,000 from $260,000. It was the second consecutive month that median prices for single-family homes increased by about 10 percent. the Warren Group noted.
Sales of single-family homes jumped 11.8 percent to 2,153 from 1,926 in January 2009, posting the fourth consecutive month of double-digit percentage increases in single-family home sales.
Condominium sales and median prices also increased last month. The median condo price jumped 16.7 percent to $245,000 from $209,900 in January 2009, according to the Warren Group.It was the third straight month that median condo prices increased year-over-year.
Astounding how they can describe the second worst January since 2003 with such glowing terms. Here are some recent January stats courtesy of Mass Assoc of R’s –
Prices
2004: 315,000 2005: 346,000 2006: 348,500 2007: 340,000 2008: 321,000 2009: 263,500 2010: 300,000
Sales
2003: 2,898 2004: 2,805 2005: 2,968 2006: 2,340 2007: 2,744 2008: 1,984 2009: 1,737 2010: 1,896
2003 prices were listed as averages not medians and as so are not comparable, thus not included
Astounding how they can describe the second worst January since 2003 with such glowing terms.
I wonder what it’s like, being a spin doctor?
Blame the weather when sales are down, but don’t credit the weather when sales are up!
I’ve noticed that the high end houses are coming down in price. I’m generally of the opinion that the median increase is the result of a change in mix, not in valuations.
I’d agree. The local numbers out here also show fairly steady medians and averages, yet its painfully obvious that prices have come down quite a bit.
Monster Bonuses for Real Monsters:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/NY-comptroller-Wall-Street-apf-1588556564.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=5&asset=071460858ec89b81ebe9fb1afed17b89&ccode=mp
And even with this, the city and state are facing fiscal disaster. What happens when the next Black Swan swims by?
Look outside Manhattan, Westchester and Nassau Counties, and most NYers were better off in 1970.
Home Depot moves to 4th-quarter profit as economy, housing market begin to stabilize ~ Tuesday February 23
NEW YORK (AP) — Continued strength in paint, flooring and plumbing sales and ongoing efforts to trim costs pushed Home Depot Inc. to a fiscal fourth-quarter profit, the largest U.S. home-improvement retailer said Tuesday.
The improvements led Home Depot to boost its quarterly dividend for the first time since 2006 and give a 2010 profit forecast above analysts’ expectations.
Consumers cut back on home-improvement projects during the recession and housing slump, but conditions have slowly started to improve, causing more to take on big projects.
Are they improving their houses to live in them…or to (try to) sell them?
Or are they simply dealing with the downside of slipshod bubble construction and inadequate inspections?
Home Depot has $10.45 billion of long-term debt but it is raising its dividend because it somehow made a profit last quarter.
Not my type of company.
GDP is flat, the Dems want to expand governemnt spending, and the Reps want to make Bush’s taxcuts permanant, and the annual budget deficit is exploding…Monkey see, monkey do.
Couldn’t part of this profit be attributed to the change in rules that allows tax accounting for losses to offset earnings in the past five years rather than the previous two years?
Just like home builders, banks, and every other large buisness?
Methinks it is simply a “wave the magic wand” profit and not a true profit.
Maybe Home Depot has “off balance” sheet assets. If so they are lookin good.
I think this increase in profits has more to do with laying off employees. Now, when i stop in at Home Dump, the employee at every aisle is not to be found. just a cashier and maybe two floor people. Parking lot empty most of the time,.
Lowe’s also announced improved YOY quarterly results. Nordstrom’s income “increases sharply.” All those boxcars (30 or so) that sat empty on sidings along the rail line through town are now gone. We did some shopping in a nearby, larger city on Saturday. Lots of cars on the road. More shoppers in the stores than in any of our past visits during the last year or so and the checkout stations were busy. Got to Olive Garden early so we only waited about 20 minutes for a table. A guy standing nearby was perusing a new car brochure. There were many more people waiting to be seated by the time we left.
Just reporting.
Same here in the S.C. midlands, malls packed to the max this past weekend.
That’s another drawback of this recession . We don’t get the service we use to . Companies lay off workers and expect that
the public gets to endure less service so they can make a better bottom line . Do you have to wait longer for service and do you have to wait longer for complaint calls being resolved because of
the lay offs ? It’s taking me 3 calls and 3 letters to get a matter resolved and I’m sick of the lip service that the matter has been taken care of.
Not only do I not trust banks anymore ,I don’t trust Corporations/commerce anymore .
It’s interesting when Toyota came up with that floor mat recall my BS radar came up . I even had a thought that they really wanted to fix something else .
When Corporate profits are the only thing that is looked at today ,at the expense of all other values,including employing people ,than we may be eating dog shit and not know it .
“That’s another drawback of this recession . We don’t get the service we used to. Companies lay off workers and expect that
the public gets to endure less service so they can make a better bottom line .”
I refuse to use self-check out lines. Not that a check out clerk provides a lot of service, but I think we should be entitled to some minimal human service when spending our hard earned money.
I refuse to use self-check out lines.
Me either. Nor will I put up with any robo-call, no matter the source. (Our health insurance company and a local hospital have auto-called us re: scheduling, so it does seem there are a few non-annoying or non-scam uses.)
I agree. And keeping a cashier employed.
Not here. Restaurants are walk ins during prime hours. Big box stores (Best Buy, Home Depot) are empty.
Tax refunds?
… just reporting…
Here in the northern suburbs of Cincy, mall/restaurant/store traffic hasn’t really fallen any. Still see lots of 30-day tags on new automobiles.
We’ve have both Home Depot and Lowes in our market(s) for some time now. HD seemed to have no floor people a couple of years ago, but starting about 12 months ago, they beefed up their numbers. Now I can’t walk thru the store without 10 associates asking if they can help.
Still not staffing the cash registers all that well, but doing an OK job at that. Better than 2 years ago.
Not sure the number of warm bodies in a mall translates to sales. It’s how many bags of stuff they’re dragging away and whether or not those are items that were on the clearance racks at an unprofitable discount.
For a lot of Americans the mall has become the new “town square” it’s a place you go to wander around, browse, have a cheap food court lunch, etc. especially when it’s cold outside.
And then the are those who come to browse and “fondle the merchandise” (especially for things like electronics) but then buy them late on-line at a better price.
We’re still a shopping addicted culture, even if we’re now fantasizing more than spending.
Green shoots:
With the kids at their grandparents for the night, wife and I went to Olive Garden in Dartmouth for our monthly Saturday night “date-night”. Had to wait over 45 minutes for a table… the place was packed. The month prior, date-night was a trip to an Imax Theater for the 3D showing of Avatar… at $11/ticket, the theater was completely filled and the show sold out.
And yet:
Had one of my tenants leave end of last month, so we took the opportunity to remodel the apartment this month. We had our contractor from the last apartment remodel do the work for us again. He was laid off over a year ago from a union gig making $32/hr. Since then, he’s been collecting unemployment and working “under the table” for his old contractor boss. He didn’t have any work these last few weeks, so he was able to knock out my remodel projects. The crew of guys he brought with him were all working under the table for various contractors, collecting UI, and doing side jobs for cash… must have been 4 or 5 of them total, in different disciplines. The underground economy in full view.
It looks to me as if this is a tale of two economies: one where the money continues to flow as long as the jobs/incomes are there and people still spend without a care. The other has one hand out for a government check while the other hand is hiding as much cash/unreported income as they can from the same government… and barely getting by.
In my area Home Depot has had an about face in customer service. There is a Lowe’s nearby that must be kicking their tail. That’s where I shop now. The last time I went to HD, which I try to avoid, virtually every employee greeted customers as they passed. This was not the case when they were the only game in town.
This was not the case when they were the only game in town.
I remember those days. God, they were some stuck-up bastards back then because they had the biggest selection and lowest prices in all of Tucson.
Ha!
When the Oracle Road Lowes store opened, we Tucsonans breathed a sigh of relief. At long last, Home Depot had some competition.
Here in the I.E. I usually shop at Lowe’s they have air conditioning in the summer and heat in the winter. Home Depot is the opposite, Swamp coolers in the winter and heater in the summer.
Hmm… an optimist would think that this was a response to their market changing. Fewer HELOC fueled contractors and more DIY homeowners doing their own maintenance. Harry homeowner often needs staff assistance in a way that contractors do not. I will say that I was in Home Despot the other day pricing stuff (cabeling, connectors) for a possible home network. The prices were significantly cheaper than at the computer or office supply stores.
Here in Tucson, I’m finding that Home Depot employees are quite willing to ask if I need help in finding something. Contrast that to 2005, when you had to send out a search party to find someone to help you.
Contrast that to 2005, when you had to send out a search party to find someone to help you.
Oh yeah. I remember well many times standing next to an HD employee - with a part in my hand - trying to make eye contact while he was helping someone else and when he was done, he’d turn and start to walk away unless I rather forcefully asked for help. It was infuriating.
Home Depot, like Lowes, has drastically cut payroll to make these numbers.
Less employees and less pay and/or no raises for the rank and file and no new hiring.
18% Unemployment Says BLS. What?!!
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/True-Unemployment-Figure-etfguide-2625308293.html?x=0
Real UE has been double digit for the last 30 years. For them to show 18% means that it’s way worse than that.
A few straw polls I did last year showed +/-27%.
Gallup’s new daily metric estimates that 30 million U.S. workers were underemployed in January. 2-23-10
WASHINGTON, D.C. — Gallup’s daily measure of U.S. employment reveals that 19.9% of the U.S. workforce was underemployed during the month of January, translating to close to 30 million Americans who are working less than their desired capacity. Those who were underemployed reported spending 36% less than those who were employed, $48 per day versus $75 per day.
These results are based on January interviews with more than 20,000 adults in the U.S. workforce, aged 18 and older. Gallup classifies respondents as “employed” if they are employed full time or are employed part time but do not want to work full time. Gallup classifies respondents as “underemployed” if they are employed part time but want to work full time or are unemployed.
“Those who were underemployed reported spending 36% less than those who were employed, $48 per day versus $75 per day.”
How may readers here know how much money they spend per day?
“…How may readers here know how much money they spend per day?”
I may not know exactly…but I have a darn good estimate. However, you bring up a point that has been bothering myself lately. I really need to experiment and do a per cup cost $ analysis of # of cups of coffee that I get from a 12 oz can…I still have it in my mind that $2.29 at Denny’s is to high.
If a survey asked a question such as “What model of car do you drive?” or “Do you ride a bicycle to work” then the answers would be accurate because the answers would be known.
But if you asked them how much money they spent each day they probably wouldn’t have a clue. So they would probably just throw out a wild-assed-guess (or the questioner would fill in a WAG on his survey form).
Whatever the case we end up with such precise numbers as $48 and $75.
Our family has a spreadsheet calculator…but ol’ Hwy knows something is amiss with that “budget”…(Hwy glances at Mama Cole’s hanging ebay bling & Mr. Cole’s bulging Lego boxes & Papa Cole’s “emergency” wine collection)
When I spend that kind of money in a single day, I’m horrified. Guess it’s that Scottish frugality — it’s hardwired into my DNA. (Thanks, Mom — clan MacDonald. And thanks, Dad — clan Fulton.)
I’ll try to calculate it when I get home tonight. Are you including the daily cost to live in your house, with the various utilities ? Are you including the cost of your monthly cable/cell phones divided out amongst the days of the month ? Are you dividing up the cost of your groceries on a daily basis ? I think those should all be included, not just pocket money and ATM swipes.
and the taxes you pay ea day like income tax and FICA
$77 per day here. Biggest chunk is about $14 per day Blue Cross payments. About $3.40 per day property tax.
I use a single checking account. At the end of each year I subtract the Jan 1 balance from the Dec 31 balance and then add up all the deposits during the year.
Actually it’s subtract the Dec 31 balance from the Jan 1 balance.
I have no idea what I spend per day, but I have a pretty good idea of what I spend (other than items withheld directly from paycheck) per month. I have my salary deposited into a savings account. I move a certain amount of that into my checking account once a month (generally right before I instruct the bank to send in the rent check). From that amount, I pay rent, utilities, credit cards (if anything went on cards that month) and take some cash to pay for food and incidentals during the month. Very occassionally, I’ll need to add more to the checking account to cover larger expenses. Most often there is a bit left over which builds up over time and is there to cover the bigger bills when they come (like car insurance).
So if you divide the amount I transfer to the checking account each month by 30, you would get a pretty good estimate of my daily expenses. Of course, that number doesn’t include my health insurance, taxes, etc. Those disappear before I see the money. I could figure those in if I wanted to, but it doesn’t seem like all that pressing a need.
Slim, are you good at curling? (Clan Davidson here, and just FYI, the proper term in the homeland is Scots not Scottish.)
“That the game of curling was already in existence in Scotland in the early 16th century is evidenced by a curling stone inscribed with the date 1511 (uncovered along with another bearing the date 1551) when an old pond was drained at Dunblane, Scotland.” (wiki)
I’m not good at any sports. I walk and bicycle for exercise and transportation. And I lift weights to keep from getting old and weak.
“…when an old pond was drained at Dunblane, Scotland.”
Dang it Losty, now you’ve given away the location on my favorite low cost single malt: knockando!
Did you have any luck with yer cistern pump?
Hey Hwy, I got tired of being thirsty and left (after I got unstuck, that is). The pump went out.
I’m back in Moab and glad of it (until the tourists arrive, anyway).
Thanks for the advice on the pump, BTW, good thing it wasn’t the one they used to drain the pond in Dunblane and fill those malt bottles, you’d have to go back to Squatter’s Beer.
Hey Losty, stay in touch…thinkin’ bout those red cliffs NE about 5 miles outta town…Mr.Cole would like to camp when it’s not 99-102 degrees…(them youngin’s have no clue ’bout the relationship ‘tween heat & Squatter’s delight)!
I’ve got an app for my iPhone for this. But getting my wife to follow it consistently has been a struggle.
How may readers here know how much money they spend per day?
DennisN?
Believe it or not, I do.
I’ve run a budget for 18 years now. I can tell you what I spent on October 14, 1997 if you’d like. Or March 5, 1993.
I have two other siblings who have done the same for longer than that.
Our parents ran personal household budget books for 40+ years.
Scary, eh? Anal, too, of course. However, I’ve not worried how to pay bills for nearly all my adult life. Pretty nice, especially since I’ve quit jobs and have gone on 9-month joyrides to places like Europe - unconcerned how to fund it.
Scary, eh?
College friend of mine had a mother, a professional home economist (county extension agent), who kept books like that. Family got audited by IRS and the agent folded as soon as she pulled out the books and opened them up. Scared him…
I know exactly what I spend per day.
That’s 30 million people who will not have a retirement, nor savings for emergencies, nor be able to afford medical insurance, nor buy homes or new cars or almost any big ticket item, nor get higher education.
The national workforce is only +/-100 million.
I have no doubt it’s all their fault.
So the government health care zealots are out in force again. First we are told, based on a second hand anecdote and numbers pulled out of thin air, that an operation which costs $25K in Canada would cost $70K here. The possibility of temporary, government induced mispricing.a la housing is ignored in this– in any case undocumented– scenario.
Then we are told that a government plan would be auditable by the taxpayer, even though the Federal Reserve is ferociously resisting audits by Congress. Will I be able to walk into Public Option HQ, show the guard my 1040 form, and get computer passwords to run audit programs on the network?
Next we are assured that a government plan, freed from the profit motive, will provide services more wisely, virtuously, and cheaply than the private sector. That this theory has never worked in any other sector of the economy, and has been an abject failure throughout the 20th century, is ignored.
Then we are whipped up into righteous indignation against insurance companies and their executives. But the corporate model, for all its serious defects, does allow for loss of customers and business failure as a result of poor service. A government plan would have no such constraints. It would be a new source of political conflict, and a perpetual and increasing drain on an already almost bankrupt Treasury.
If the government health care zealots really wanted to reduce costs and improve choice, they would follow the money and the effects of regulations, and work at ferreting out the waste, instead of flogging a one-size-fits-all program managed by the institution least capable of the task.
Naw,
There’s too much tax money involved not to do this health care thing.
Besides, why would you want to pay for health care when you can get it for free? That’s the way the brainwashed masses think. That’s why it’s so GREAT.
LehighValleyGuy,
Darnit man. After a 250 word diatribe against people who want to reform a broken, devious, rationing, under covering, over-priced, national wealth-sapping health insurance system your total solution is this?
follow the money and the effects of regulations, and work at ferreting out the waste
I was kind of hoping for a lot more and would have listened to it if there were.
I was kind of hoping for a lot more and would have listened to it if there were.
There is a lot more, but we really need a separate blog for this, maybe a whole series of blogs. The world is a big place and even one sector of the economy is a huge subject. It’s going to take a lot of work to come up with constructive reforms and politicians are among the least qualified to do it.
If you’re seriously interested in “following the money”, and working on specific examples, I would be happy to correspond with you off-line.
I was kind of hoping for a lot more and would have listened to it if there were.
Ok fine, Rio, here’s an example. True story. A friend of mine needed a routine, non-emergency operation. He wasn’t sure if his insurance would cover the operating room charge, which he knew would be the largest expense (dwarfing the surgeon’s and anesthesiologist’s fees). So he called the hospital billing department to see what the charge would be if he paid it himself. Answer: $8,000, but we can offer you a 40% discount, and spread the payments over 24 months with no interest.
Now, as it turned out, the insurance did cover the charge. And the charge was? $13,000. Mind you, this is for a HALF HOUR use of the operating room.
Now I’m sure the measton’s of the world would say this is an example of greedy rapacious megacorps gouging people. Only one problem. The payment was from ONE MEGACORP TO ANOTHER. The insured didn’t pay a dime. Nevertheless, this is clearly a ridiculous situation. Megacorp, with its armies of cost control personnel, wound up paying over TWICE the rate that an individual negotiated with a simple phone call.
The moral? Individuals can cooperate and get things done. You don’t need huge corporate bureaucracies, or the even huger, less responsive ones of government.
I think I told y’all the story of my wisdom teeth removal in Pittsburgh, but here it is again:
Oral surgeon did a very simple procedure in his office. Afterward, I felt good enough to walk home. That was about two miles away.
Well, next thing was the bill. That surgeon’s office rang up Blue Cross for every darn thing they could. I was appalled, and so was the lady I worked with.
Next step was to submit the billing to our benefits office, and wouldn’t you know it, Blue Cross paid out like a slot machine.
If you’re seriously interested in “following the money”, (health care) and working on specific examples, I would be happy to correspond with you off-line.
Thank you for that and your example and I’ll consider it and other ideas. However I now favor universal-health care on the basis that it will be the best system supporting real capitalism of small business and entrepreneurship which are desperately needed to stabilize America’s gutted economy.
I’ve been a business owner and an entrepreneur and I know health insurance considerations affected my decisions in a negative way when it came to hiring and branching out.
I also believe basic health-care is an American right that ties into the rights of life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness, promoting the general welfare and securing the blessings of liberty. Where is my liberty if I’m tied to a job to protect my insurance. Think about that please….to protect my insurance. This is not capitalism nor is it liberty.
It’s good you’re optimistic but I’m not sure that people working together can fix this system because the current system is too devious, monopolistic, unfair, overpriced and under performing on too many levels. Cost and performance statistics from other industrialized country’s systems prove this. Math is math. Every other first-world country provides cheaper universal health care except the USA. Why? Because it’s different in the USA?
And dang it if a former banana-republic, much poorer country like Brazil can provide at least the most basic universal coverage, the USA can do it too.
I believe the current US system is 5-10 years out from acute failure and there is nothing that can save it. This failure will be so complete that a new, cheaper, better system will evolve from the ashes.
I think it will be something like universal basic coverage with private insurance options. Just my thoughts.
I don’t know about anyone else, but I didn’t need to be “whipped up into righteous indignation” by anyone. The insurance and healthcare industry did that all by themselves.
Our current system is toast. As we speak, employers are off-loading full time employees, either by direct terminations, or by turning them into “contractors”. And the insurance coverage goes poof!….
Pretty soon, you’ll be hearing of people dying, because they can’t get health care coverage at any price, and can’t afford to pay for it out of pocket. Nobody is hiring kids, so the people that are still employed will be older with more medical problems. So the insurance people will cut benefits, raise premiums and co-pays.
Whether they like it or not, an alternate plan will be made.
The health care/insurance industry likes things the way they are, so they chose to be part of the problem, rather than part of the solution.
Rio.. Therein lies the problem… life, liberty, and pursuit of happiness don’t cost (monetarily) anything… Please note, the founding fathers did not say you had a right to happiness.. They said you have a right to the pursuit of it. It does make a difference, and these wise men I think made a very constrained and well-reasoned decision when they said that. You might be poor, hungry, tired, sick, and miserable, but you have the right to change that yourself, not the right to have society prop you up until you are happy, well-fed, and healthy. The wording of “pursuit of happiness” IMHO tries to make that very clear.
Also, I understand that you want healthcare. You claim a lot of other people do also. With all the demand for healthcare the way you want it, why is there no supply of what it is you say you want? If the demand is so high for this thing in your opinion, why don’t you do a business plan to put it in place? You say it is *so important* to you, but you aren’t willing to put in the effort to make it happen??? You live in a free country, and are free to do so…. “Oh, wait!” you say, “There are insurance regulations that restrict the ability to enter into the insurance industry and provide this service at a competitive basis as a small business owner…” HMMM
MAYBE WE SHOULD CHANGE THAT FIRST!!!!!
I hereby resolve the following… Any HBBer who wants “better health insurance” please reply here… I hereby volunteer to work with you to organize the HBB health insurance plan. I have n criteria for this plan:
1) It need not make a corporate profit… In fact, it should operate as a non-profit.
2) It must not drop coverage of its recipients should they become sick. However, the amount of coverage provided in the plan is limited by statistical actuarial amounts. If that amount is, for instance $50k/yr, and you have a medical need which will cost more than $50k, you will only receive $50k in that year, even if it means you will suffer horribly or die. The amount of coverage is subject to change year to year based on the plan participant population and assets on hand. It will be published on the front page of the website in big bold font.
3) It must reward plan participants for meeting realistic preventative healthcare goals as laid out during medical exams with a real doctor. I.e. doc says lose 10 pounds to meet health goal, or “quit smoking”.
4) The jobs inside the company must accept “volunteer help” from members in order to reduce costs when volunteers are available.
5) A covered medical procedures list will be published. If new procedures are requested to be added to the approved procedures list, a board elected by the general membership of the insurance group will vote on whether to add the procedure/device/medicine to the approved list. The list, actuarial tables, and coverage amounts will be updated at the new year accordingly.
6) A “charity case” board will be randomly selected from the member list. A new board will be randomly selected every 3 months to review cases. Members will have the option to donate an additional amount over their premium cost for use by the “charity board”. The charity board will review all cases before them and decide to award any monies available during that 3 month period to the list of cases in the order of need that they determine. One board of 5 members shall be chosen for every 25000 members in the plan. Therefore, if 100,000 members are in the plan, there will be 4 “charity boards”. Charity monies will be distributed equally among the various boards. The board may allot some, all, or none of the money available to them, but in no case may it allocate more than is available. Any charity amount allotted to a member will not be deducted from their yearly maximum insurable award under the regular insurance policy.
That is my start.. Again, I am willing to coordinate to make this happen. I think health care is not a basic human right, but is a basic human need.
Math is math. Every other first-world country provides cheaper universal health care except the USA. Why? Because it’s different in the USA?
If your religion says so, fine. Apparently you’ve made up your mind. I have a documented story which shows that the price of health care varies by a factor of at least 2 depending just on who makes the phone call. You, on the other hand, pull numbers out of thin air and decide that they prove health care is cheaper everywhere else. Believe what you want.
Please note, the founding fathers did not say you had a right to happiness..
I know, that’s a good point that I’ll address it in the context of how health-care is an issue that engages the Constitution’s ideals much more today than it did at the time of the Constitution’s writing.
Many today say, “but the Constitution said nothing about health-care or health insurance”. Of course it didn’t, there was no health insurance and back then it wouldn’t have mattered because health care was not a factor in public health or policy as it is today. Bleeding anyone? The rich and poor, old and young were on an even playing field when it came to health care.
Public health care was an issue that had no importance. Back then there was no differences in peoples chances for life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness due to having health coverage or not.
We were all in the same boat as Americans in that era. Paul Revere didn’t worry about his Blue Shield plan not covering horse falls and Thomas Jefferson did not worry about his Virginia Blue Cross not covering him in Philadelphia while he wrote the Declaration of Independence. Can you imagine if they did?
Can you imagine the bouts of creativity, new businesses, jobs and the pursuit of justice and happiness if we were released from the shackles of our current health insurance system, if everybody was covered?
It is different now when a good health plan can mean life or death, a new job or starting a business. It is a huge difference that should impact public policy.
Besides the Constitution is a “living” document. How is the right to health care in this context much different than women’s suffrage or the abolition of slavery neither mentioned in the Constitution. We evolve and apply the Constitutions principals to new times and issues that make a difference in that time.
Health-care is a defining issue in our time.
If your religion says so,
That was weird.
Can you imagine the bouts of creativity, new businesses, jobs and the pursuit of justice and happiness if we were released from the shackles of our current health insurance system, if everybody was covered?
Yes, I can. It means that, for a time, our national anthem will be “Take This Job and Shove It.”
Yes, I can. It means that, for a time, our national anthem will be “Take This Job and Shove It.”
lol But then they could all become independent like you right?
But seriously, too many people need $$ to all dump their jobs all at once.
But it would give American’s much more freedom.
Hmmmmmm
“Take this job and shove it” Good Johnny Paycheck song but check out “Only Hell (my Momma ever Raised)” too.
RE: Besides the Constitution is a “living” document.
Yes it is. We the people have the right to amend the constitution as we see fit according to the rules of that constitution. It has happened 16 times. Other than that … BS…
Saying that a document that establishes my freedom of speech (and other freedoms in the bill of rights) is open to wide interpretation depending on the times opens the door to the interpretation that freedom of speech means “only in free speech zones”, or freedom of religion means, “except if that religion says not to teach kids evolution as fact”, or that freedom to bear arms means “when the gov’t says it is ok”.
Yes, we live in relatively stable times *NOW* . But the constitution wasn’t designed to just flutter away during peaceful prosperous times. It was designed to survive hardship, war, political strife, and revolution. I think it is demeaning to the sacrifice of those who fought so hard to establish it, to willy nilly call it a “living document” without even trying to use it as it was intended by amending it.
Further, you claim that some utopia is imminent by the imposition of taxes for the purpose of insurance:
“Can you imagine the bouts of creativity, new businesses, jobs and the pursuit of justice and happiness if we were released from the shackles of our current health insurance system, if everybody was covered? ”
Let me tell you something, car insurance which is IMHO a pretty well run system, by no means creates Utopia out of the disaster that is a head on collision. Once the human body is damaged, it is a pretty damn sad thing in many cases.
Further, you claim that public health was an issue of no importance in the early days of this country. Where the hell do you get that from? All I see in your post is imagination, optimism, and faith in some magical system that will cure all the ills that life is fraught with. I see no data, no evidence of sustainability, no presentation of choice to the people you would impose this system on.
I have heard every argument about how the health care systems of foreign countries have better outcomes at a lower per capita cost. I have seen the cases of cancerous children denied care in America. I believe improvements can be made to the way things currently are, but I have seen no evidence that placing this power in the hands of Federal gov’t will result in anything other than a deficit ridden program lowering the standard of living even more all Americans through debt, inflation, and poor management.
Is there anything… just name it.. that is preventing this mass of people clamoring for saving from the “horror” of health insurance by the federal govt from banding together, insuring each other, and *choosing* to participate? If your answer is poverty, then I agree with you. If not, I disagree. However, the solution to poverty is not taxation, but rather education, freedom, and hard work.
Let me tell you something, car insurance which is IMHO a pretty well run system, by no means creates Utopia out of the disaster that is a head on collision.
I think you may have missed the point that there are lots of people out there who would be much more likely to strike out on their own if they weren’t dependent on staying with their current health care provider.
First we are told, based on a second hand anecdote and numbers pulled out of thin air, that an operation (quadruple bi pass with a week in hospital) which costs $25K in Canada would cost $70K here.
You…pull numbers out of thin air and decide that they prove health care is cheaper everywhere else. LehighValleyGuy
I was going to let it pass but you got kind of rude to me with the above and calling it my religion and stuff. Do you really think your second hand anecdote about a friend getting a lower price on a hospital bill is a good basis for people to accept the status quo? Do you know how many times I’ve bargained in the same way?
Does anyone here doubt that a week in a US hospital with complications from a quadruple bypass could cost $70K? I pulled the number out of thin air? My Dad had such an operation.
OK here, let me pull this out of the thin air. You can pull it too with the link.
Mired in debt, more people 55 and older face bankruptcy August 5, 2007 Herald Tribune
Quadruple bypass surgery followed the heart attack. After she was discharged, medicines cost her $900 a week. The hospital bill was $80,000, with another $10,000 in charges from doctors.
http://www.heraldtribune.com/article/20070805/NEWS/708050695?p=1&tc=pg
Looks like maybe $100,000 there. And that was in 2007. It’s not cheaper now. And I never said it cost 25K in Canada, I said that’s what the Canucks thought it would cost. It was an anecdote remember?
But everybody knows Canada’s system is cheaper and has better results but here’s a GREAT article I’m pulling out of “thin air” to prove it if you want to read it.
Debunking Canadian health care myths 6/7/09 Denver post.
Because if the only way we compared the two systems was with statistics, there is a clear victor. It is becoming increasingly more difficult to dispute the fact that Canada spends less money on health care to get better outcomes.
http://www.denverpost.com/recommended/ci_12523427
To follow on my last rant, I also want to just refute a few points you tried to make:
1) “It is different now when a good health plan can mean life or death, a new job or starting a business. It is a huge difference that should impact public policy.”
You kinda sound like a Real Estate agent… It’s different here, it’s different now. How? Why? You have no reason in your statement. People are still people. They still get cancer. Without modern hospitals/healthcare/insurance people still started businesses in the 1700’s 1800’s 1900’s .
2) Many today say, “but the Constitution said nothing about health-care or health insurance”. “Of course it didn’t, there was no health insurance and back then it wouldn’t have mattered because health care was not a factor in public health or policy as it is today. Bleeding anyone? The rich and poor, old and young were on an even playing field when it came to health care.”
HAHAHAHAAHAHA!!!! The rich and poor were on an even playing field — HAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!! With statements like this, you really shouldn’t try to speak up to represent a pro-nationalized health care system. Before modern medicine, basically started by a Scottish guy named Hunter in the 1700’s, healthcare consisted of who had the most sanitary living conditions, and nutrition. If you got sick and you had a warm bed and good food, you might get better… if you were poor, hungry, and in a peasant’s house, you would die of pneumonia or infection. So hmm, lets see, did the rich have an advantage? I think you might now be able to make a clearer statement regarding if they did.
The founding fathers if anything saw that poverty led directly to sickness, disability, and death. By establishing the constitution, they sought exactly to provide the prosperity of the people of the nation through freedom. The constitution is *entirely about health* because it is about prosperity through freedom, and prosperity equals improved health. Nowhere however did they attempt to legislate prosperity directly to the poor through taxing the citizens. Rather, by establishing a nation of law that we are all treated equally within, they gave us as a people prosperity, and we have taken that and applied it to improve our lives as they saw, through medicine, technology, and commerce.
Finally 3) How is the right to health care in this context much different than women’s suffrage or the abolition of slavery neither mentioned in the Constitution. We evolve and apply the Constitutions principals to new times and issues that make a difference in that time.
Since you don’t see it clearly yourself, I will point out the very simple reasons it is different.
a) amendment 13
b) amendment 15
c) amendment 19
d) the reasons for those amendments being that the gov’t was denying a class of people of the right to participate in gov’t as citizens.
e) the gov’t is not currently denying anyone access to health insurance based on their being in a class of people. If you have money you can pay for it, or not.
f) The idea you propose *would deny* the citizens of this country the further choice of how to spend even more of their earnings.
g) amendment 18 & 21 - we tried legislation imposed upon the people to control them “for their own good”. Amending the constitution is a big deal, and we had to undo a very big mistake, and made a very big deal about undoing that very big mistake with another amendment.
h) If you want a public healthcare system, the states already have the power to implement such a system: example: Hawaii. Keep the feds the heck out of it, there is no reason to consolidate that kind of power into the hands of so few.
i) Last reason neither one of us should bring this up again here: this is the HBB. Lets talk about housing and how the feds are screwing up that program, and leave it at just the 1 program they are screwing up instead of 10 others that they might.
Carl, I would be much more likely to strike out on my own if I had a million dollars. Why don’t you give it to me?
Hey Mathguy, take a deep breath.
RE: Besides the Constitution is a “living” document.
Yes it is, but your other rant projecting your queer interpretation of what I said is a bit delusional. Amusing and predictable from those with certain leanings, but delusional.
Yes, we live in relatively stable times *NOW* .
You think so? I disagree. And I don’t know where you came up with that other pseudo-patriotic stuff and tried to apply it to what I just said. Do you think you have a monopoly on American patriotism. You don’t pal. Re-read me dude.
Further, you claim that some utopia is imminent by the imposition of taxes for the purpose of insurance:
Hey that’s good Mathguy, 2 buzz words in one sentence but ya gotta work on the delivery and rationality in the application of your arguments. Just a tip.
Let me tell you something
Something coherent please.
Further, you claim that public health was an issue of no importance in the early days of this country. Where the hell do you get that from?
Re-read it, it’s there. (and you cussed)
I see no data….
See no data, hear no data, speak no data?
Here’s a great article with a bunch of nice data comparing the US and Canadian Health Care system. But I don’t think it uses the word “Utopia”
http://www.denverpost.com/recommended/ci_12523427
I have heard every argument about how the health care systems of foreign countries have better outcomes at a lower per capita cost.
Hearing is a good start. Now try to listen maybe?
Don’t shoot the messenger, I just thought you were missing the point. So I take it you think we’re better off as a country keeping potential entrepreneurs chained to their cubes writing TPS reports just because they have families and/or may have gotten sick at some point in the past? One way or another we pay…
math guy- your logic is stunning(ly lacking). Back to math.
That’s my take Rio. I hope the lame reform fails and we get outrageous rate increases for another couple years, horror stories ad nauseum, and then the universal coverage we expect.
Maybe with exploding budgets (and pensions) all around us we will decide what we want to spend on the nations healthcare for the following fiscal year and ration it as intelligently as possible. We need a good typhoid epidemic. It’s a joke when you you hear news people say “consult your doctor”.
If we want to go the real “original america” route let’s drop any requirement for licensing or certification of medical doctors. maybe we would see some relief in the cost of health care. wouldn’t be pretty but anything is better than the dysfunctional system we have now.
Rio,
You do know the term ad hominem? You can call an argument delusional, but unless you refute it you are simply on the losing end of the debate because you have no fact to support your conclusion.
I did not say that I had seen no data indicating lower per capita costs in other countries. I said I saw no data that showed those other countries were in the black while providing said care. I seriously thought that everyone here agreed that the out of control debt was a major cause of so many of our current maladies… Do you disagree??
I’ve reviewed the tax rates for Canada vs US with paying for healthcare. It looks like you actually pay less for taxes + healthcare in Canada through the govt system at lower income levels (say under 50k/yr). Fine. At higher income levels, this does break down, into a sort of “tax the successful” scheme. Also fine, as long as we acknowledge it… I’m not rich, but am mildly successful, and would have to pay more personally towards healthcare. This *is* part of the reason I am against it. Can we both acknowledge that? However, what is the *rest* of the reason I am against it?
1) I like to make my own choices. You may want to make the choice for me and force me into *your* form of healthcare, but it’s not what I want. I also don’t want to pay taxes to support the wars we are currently in, or to support banks that I don’t want in charge of my life. Isn’t this supposed to be a free country? Can’t you let me have that? Can’t you let me make my own choice?
2) There are people.. poor people… people without jobs who are suffering. I understand that. I know you want to help them. I want to help them too. But at some point, I might need the money more than them. I might want to fund development on a new nanotech robotic device that will save millions of people from leukemia. Or I might just need a frickin vacation in the Bahamas. Can’t you trust me to make the decision with money I worked for?
3) Medical bills could completely wipe me out. They could take all my money and force me into bankruptcy. Or I could potentially decide that the amount of money it would cost to extend my life by 6 months isn’t worth it, and I would prefer to leave an inheritance to my children or grandchildren. Isn’t it my right to provide for my progeny? Shouldn’t I alone have the responsibility of making that determination? Shouldn’t I alone have the motivation to succeed and become financially secure to be able to afford to comfortably make such a decision? What motivation to excel and succeed should people be left with? If healthcare is “free” and I have no need to decide when to restrict my use of it to save money, won’t I freely partake of the bonanza?
4) Finally you talk about people being free to leave their jobs and start new companies… Who pays for their healthcare while they are doing so? How many chances do they get before we say, uhh sorry, now you actually do have to pay?
Really, I’ve tried to address your points with reason. Despite the ad hominem attacks on the points I have made, I haven’t seen the effort from anyone who disagrees to actually provide a counter example to the above points. I think I have actually done so with some of the points you make, although I am guilty of an ad hominem or two myself.
I’ve also not seen a reason why our current non-profit organization structure is unable to accommodate a “utopian” system as you envision where participants are *free* to participate, and not forced. And I’ve definitely not seen a reason why it is better to force free people to bow to yet another burden to be placed on their backs, and controlled by politicians I thought we all agreed had little to no interest in actually looking out for us as individuals, but rather are led by the nose by corporate interests backing their campaign funds.
Rio, for data you gave a story about a woman who has a poor aunt in Canada who got a knee replacement after 14 months. The article cites no sources in the claims it makes. And the subheading of the article is “perspective”. And using that as your source, about the strongest claim that the article makes is :
It is not a perfect system, but it has its merits. For people like my 55-year-old Aunt Betty, who has been waiting for 14 months for knee-replacement surgery due to a long history of arthritis, it is the superior system.
In other words, a poor person got a treatment that wasn’t even lifesaving, but just “life improving” so it (the Canadian system) is better. Further she didn’t have to pay the $35,000 that the surgery was estimated to cost, but rather that burden was foisted off onto the rest of the higher earning Canadians…
Then Carl says “we’re better off keeping workers chained to a desk doing TPS reports… ” OMFG!!! You would think this is communist russia! I promise you, I don’t like my (current) cubicle job that much either, but
1) I just showed up, did what they told me, and they gave me money, health insurance, paid vacation, free coffee, staff assistance services through paychex, direct deposit into my checking account, and air conditioning
2) I didn’t even have to sweat in the sun, find a client, swing a hammer, manage a project, talk to a customer, worry about profitability, find financing, form a corporation, shovel a load of earth, or just about anything else. I just type some stuff on a keyboard…
Holy moly I feel lucky to be so blessed as to have that crummy job sometimes. I have had to dig a ditch and lay bricks and stack rocks during my masonry job. And after 8 hours in that air conditioned, shaded quiet office, I am free to go do whatever the heck I want, including start my own company or rant on some blog. Heck I can even rant on a blog while I’m IN the office sometimes..
On top of that, any old time I want, I can just up and quit this job when I find one I like better!!!
I have started a company twice before. I dedicated myself to the first one at a young age, and it failed spectacularly, leaving me in debt. That crummy job I have had for the past 7 years has paid off all that debt from my first big unguided mistake, gave me a huge amount of experience in the operation and management of a technology company, and afforded me the free time to start my own business on the side again. Mostly when you stop grumbling about how crappy you have it and start looking around where you are at and how things are you can both find motivation to improve your current situation, and learn something from those people you call fools who are your bosses.
This was also the case at the masonry company I worked at, despite my grunt status. I learned enough digging ditches, tying rebar and compacting the sand under house foundations that I could probably now build my own house foundation, with a beautiful fireplace, and frame it up in a safe way that wouldn’t be a fire hazard.
Yes I am bragging a little bit. I worked hard and payed attention, while a bunch of other guys were bitching about how crappy the job was, and what an A-hole the boss was. To imagine that a bunch of grumbling TPS report making unmotivated workers who need to be cajoled and coddled into getting the least bit of work done are going to run out and be Titans of industry all because they have free health insurance strikes me as plain absurd.
Those people who are going to go be titans of industry are already doing it after they finish their mail delivery route in the big corporate office, and their second shift at Jack in the box. Nothing is going to stop them because they are bad asses. Don’t be jealous. Be a bad ass.
Mathguy,
Sorry Mathguy, it’s later in Brazil and I went to bed but I did respond enough to your earlier rants. The problem is it’s too tedious and non-productive to respond to about six pages of single spaced Rush talking points that were laid out in a very dis-jointed, unorganized, overly aggressive and illogical manner.
Add in dashes of projecting your mischaracterizations upon my writing, sprinkled with your own delusions of grandeur (We know…we know…your a bad ass, congrats) and it’s not worth it to respond. You wouldn’t listen anyway. No one coming from where you do ever does which is amusing in a pathetic sort of way.
As far as responding to try to influence people on the fence. The writing is there. My posts are there and so are yours. I’m very satisfied with the contrast of points made (or not) if anyone cares to judge.
The last thing I will respond to is on the data, If you don’t have enough research on the on the Canadian health-care stats compared to USAs, it’s there and it’s clear. Canada has better stats for a cheaper cost and Canada covers everyone. Do some objective research. Do some real work like you told everyone you can.
And this is not my writing style, but to take it down to the level of your rants and your last sentence (so you might relate better….)
Don’t stay ignorant, excessively biased and politically brainwashed. Be objective. Be a bad ass” (researcher)
Mathguy,
I’m reasonably happy at my corporate job with good insurance, etc., sounds like basically the same situation you’re in. I don’t have experience running my own business because I haven’t been particularly motivated to start one.
All I’m saying is that I think you underestimate the number of people who fall somewhere in between the “badasses” and the slugs, who *could* produce more for our country but must take the safe route instead. Lots of pre-existing conditions out there, among both workers and their families. I can’t say for sure whether universal health care would strengthen or weaken the country, but I am sure that there are some who could contribute more if it were available and health care concerns were no longer keeping them chained to their current job.
Carl, rather than worrying about maybe getting those who have not proved themselves to be more productive, we should just try a bit harder to get off the backs of the people who have proven themselves productive, and let them create jobs and wealth for everyone, and get rich in the process.
I used to believe that, but I can’t buy it any more. It’s arrogant elitism and it plays right into the hands of the PTB.
LVG - You know not of what you speak.
The insurance company may have reported to your friend that they paid 13k, but the reality is that most negotiate a far lower payment then an uninsured person gets. Your friend was offered 8k, I suspect insurance paid 4k.
If you really believe that insurance companies aren’t negotiating for lower rates, then you should really favor medicare which sets rates take it or leave it.
Your final conclussion
Individuals can cooperate and get things done.
I think if you look at the number of people who go into bk because of medical costs you’d rethink this, but you might be right if enough people cooperated. They might band together and form a government.
The insurance company may have reported to your friend that they paid 13k, but the reality is that most negotiate a far lower payment then an uninsured person gets.
My friend has an Explanation of Benefits Statement that says the plan paid the hospital 13K. Are you saying the statement is wrong, or that there was some other payment under the table?
I’m telling you that the norm is that insurance companies get a much better price than individuals even when the individual tries to get a lower rate.
I suspect that your friend got a quote for the surgery, and that the bill the insurance company paid covered surgery, anesthesia, hospital room, and everything else. It’s also possible that they get a kick back based on volume, or they get a big discount for other hospital bills. The insurance companies aren’t making record profits and profit margins by paying every bill that comes across their desk. They devote entire departments to denying care, delaying payment, and shifting risk.
I agree with measton. I had my gall bladder removed last year and according to the statements from the insurance company they paid about 25% of the “rack rate”.
My friend has an Explanation of Benefits Statement that says the plan paid the hospital 13K. Are you saying the statement is wrong, or that there was some other payment under the table?
I can’t speak to your friend’s case, but in our household’s most recent medical go-around we received invoices with the “retail” (e.g., non-healthcare behemoth) price of medicines, procedures, personnel, facilities, etc., which in no way reflected the prices that an insurance entity pays. The discount from “retail” varied per line item. My household paid approximately 2% of the total costs — a reasonable cost for us … but the full “retail” prices would’ve easily bankrupted most households.
In response to the discussion above involving the Constitution
I have a few responses .
The Constitution doesn’t cover the issue of monopolies either
or stacked deck commerce ,but in the course of history this
Nation has found it necessary to enact laws to regulated this
concept of capitalism and the pursuit of happiness .
The health care system is not operational on the principals of pure capitalism to begin with ,so why act like it is . It’s a insurance principal that people who don’t use the system pay for the ones that do use the system . The Insurance system adds to the costs so they make a profit and the medical
providers raise the costs because insurance providers pay because they are collecting more than the actual services
would cost in a pure supply and demand market . Now the costs have taken on a life of their own and the health of the Insurance Company is more important than the health of the
Citizens .
Its necessary to provide basic health care for Citizens ,especially from the standpoint of what could happen in high population areas if this wasn’t done . So on issues that cover the ability for the general population to pursue happiness ,health care figures in on being necessary in that equation .
What percentage health care should take from the monthly
nut is the issue . I don’t think health care should take more than 10% of the average income of the American family ,but that’s just me .
And yet, somehow the rest of the developed world seems to manage without Big Insurance. Right here at home, Medicare has provided many elderly people with decent health care.
I have many friends and neighbors who use the VA. No complaints there.
Actually Elanor, they still have for-profit insurance as well.
We’re constantly presented with false choices. “If the government runs it, it will be corrupt,” implying that you won’t be able to buy insurance if you are not satisfied with the government solution. Which is wrong. It also implies that the insurance companies are not corrupt as well. Which is also wrong.
The real problem facing every health care system is a lack of qualified personnel. Under those circumstances, a public insurance system gives a lot more leverage to keep costs down.
Who needs Jobs when we have Candles: Let the Jobless Candle-Recovery Begin:
http://www.news-journalonline.com/business/local-business/2010/02/23/couple-start-anew-with-unique-soy-candles.html
I’d love to see hemp candles.
Try the Bob Marley Festival.
The comedian has a festival named after himself?
No, silly, neither Cheech nor Chong have festivals. Bob Marley Festival is a traveling annual reggae festival. You can get all the hemp products and tie-dye that you can imagine there.
Soy candles? How did I ever live without them?!

Secret AIG Document Shows Goldman Sachs Minted Most Toxic CDOs
Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) — When a congressional panel convened a hearing on the government rescue of American International Group Inc. in January, the public scolding of Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner got the most attention.
Lawmakers said the former head of the New York Federal Reserve Bank had presided over a backdoor bailout of Wall Street firms and a coverup. Geithner countered that he had acted properly to avert the collapse of the financial system.
A potentially more important development slipped by with less notice, Bloomberg Markets reports in its April issue. Representative Darrell Issa, the ranking Republican on the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, placed into the hearing record a five-page document itemizing the mortgage securities on which banks such as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Societe Generale SA had bought $62.1 billion in credit-default swaps from AIG.
These were the deals that pushed the insurer to the brink of insolvency — and were eventually paid in full at taxpayer expense. The New York Fed, which secretly engineered the bailout, prevented the full publication of the document for more than a year, even when AIG wanted it released.
bloomberg DOT com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=ax3yON_uNe7I&pos=10
The document Issa made public cuts to the heart of the controversy over the September 2008 AIG rescue by identifying specific securities, known as collateralized-debt obligations, that had been insured with the company. The banks holding the credit-default swaps, a type of derivative, collected collateral as the insurer was downgraded and the CDOs tumbled in value.
The public can now see for the first time how poorly the securities performed, with losses exceeding 75 percent of their notional value in some cases. Compounding this, the document and Bloomberg data demonstrate that the banks that bought the swaps from AIG are mostly the same firms that underwrote the CDOs in the first place.
The banks should have to explain how they managed to buy protection from AIG primarily on securities that fell so sharply in value, says Daniel Calacci, a former swaps trader and marketer who’s now a structured-finance consultant in Warren, New Jersey. In some cases, banks also owned mortgage lenders, and they should be challenged to explain whether they gained any insider knowledge about the quality of the loans bundled into the CDOs, he says.
What a gig, create your own kerosine soaked house, rent it to a smoker, then take out a massive policy on the house and the smoker. Sell the house to a sucker. Then short the insurance company because you know they will go broke. You still keep the policy because you know the government will pay 100 cents on the dollar when they bail out the insurance company.
I picture a blood donor with about 100 needles in him draining blood to the GS vampire.
Goldman Sachs = a horrific vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity.
No that would be Cthulhu Sachs.
How much do people need to see before they awaken?
“Scotty, beam me up. There is no intelligent life form on this planet”. One of my all time fav bumper stickers.
P.S. I watched the latest Star Trek movie recently. 5 stars from me.
Was reluctant at first. Ended up buying the DVD.
I only saw two movies at the theators in 2009. One of them was Star Trek. Well I certainly am in agreement. I would say that it was the best Star Trek movie of all.
“Zombieland” My kind of movie.
+1000
It’s pretty clear Americans are not going to get justice under current leadership. Look at the BofA settlement. In fact, these guys are gearing up to do it all over again.
You’d think people would’ve wised up after the internet bubble. The housing bubble was the ultimate buy and hold con. It’s no wonder Madoff made off with billions of other people’s money. The system is rigged.
“…Secret AIG Document Shows Goldman Sachs Minted Most Toxic CDOs…”
But, but, it was them dang po’ people dat caused this here mess!
MTA Plans To Lay Off 1,000 Employees
NEW YORK (CBS) ― Feb 23, 2010
CBS 2 HD has confirmed the Metropolitan Transportation Authority plans to let go more than 1,000 employees as it struggles to rein in ballooning deficits.
The layoffs, first reported by the Daily News, will include more than 600 administrative staffers from the various MTA divisions.
Another 450 subway station agents are also expected to lose their jobs. The administrative cuts were to be announced Tuesday and equal a savings totaling nearly $50 million.
MTA Chairman Jay Walder indicated the layoffs were in the works during a speech last month.
“The current economic climate demands that we…transform the way the MTA operates,” Walder said. “I know it will be painful…there will be layoffs.”
The MTA operates the nation’s largest commuter rail, subway and bus systems, and has about 70,000 employees.
I guess they’ll just have to limp along with only 69,000 employees.
Also heard NYC is planning to lay off 8500 of about 80000 teachers.
NYC subway system, the only one in the world that runs 24/7, is kind of like the dancing bear: the amazing thing is not that it dances well but that it dances at all. The spruced up stations are in the more tourist frequented parts of town, farther out old and decaying.
Re: health care in Canada from yesterday. Speaking to my 82 year old mother last night. A neighbour in her condo wanted a new hip. He had the other replaced 15 years ago. He likes to walk and couldn’t anymore. The doctors were reluctant but he insisted and had the operation and he is now moving around. The system provides physio, housekeeping and a daily nursing visit, in home. This is in Ontario. As to death panels etc. this fellow is turning 97.
“He had the other replaced 15 years ago”
My uncle had a double knee replacement at the age of 95. He lived to be 100 and a half. He lived in a small town in Ohio and had medicare.
Thank you for this.
Filed under: “Is this happening in your neighborhood?”
There’s that word again: ADMINISTRATION!
$100,000 pension club in Orange, Placentia-Yorba Linda schools
February 23rd, 2010, posted by Teri Sforza, Register staff writer OC Register
CONTEXT:
“Our irate readers stress that the people on these lists are mostly administrators, and that retired teachers get much smaller pensions. Which is of course correct. Our colleagues Tony Saavedra and Jennifer Muir gave you the big picture in November”:
• There are 3,090 retired educators collecting pensions in excess of $100,000 in California, most of them superintendents and other high-level administrators.
• The average retired teacher, in contrast, collects just $36,252 a year.
• Educators in the $100,000-Plus Pension Club are just a small fraction – 1.6 percent – of California’s 196,000 retired educators.
“And it’s against this backdrop that we continue our trek through the Big Public Pension Club for the California State Teachers Retirement System - adding 49 names to our list of folks collecting more than $100,000 a year from OC school/community college districts.”
ORANGE COUNTY OFFICE OF EDUCATION – 13 people
LAURENCE BELKIN $171,396.12
JOHN DEAN $149,989.32
MICHAEL KILBOURN $129,876.36
KAREN MEDEIROS $127,464.84
TED PRICE $127,035.12
MARY TOWNSEND $124,261.80
DARRELL OPP $121,036.56
HEDY KIRSH $120,005.76
KRISTEN POWELL $117,704.16
CAROLINE PATTERSON $116,608.20
NINA WINN $114,255.84
DONALD GREENE $106,513.68
KAREN MCMILLAN $103,996.32
ORANGE UNIFIED – 17 people
THOMAS GODLEY $210,211.80
ROBERT FRENCH $132,389.40
FRANK BOEHLER $129,561.96
CATHERINE SHAW $129,214.44
JANET ROHLANDER $126,115.68
SHIRLEY FOX $123,631.08
FRANCES RONEY $122,630.40
LOIS BEYER $122,518.56
WILLY HALL $113,830.44
TERYL SNYDER $109,138.56
LAWRENCE HEIM $108,188.76
JANE MCCLOUD $103,216.20
PAUL TODD $102,782.52
ROBERT BINGHAM $101,609.16
LAUREL MORGAN $101,340.12
RALPH JAMESON $101,128.92
VALENE LEVERICH $100,256.64
(Disclosure: Mr. Cole’s Grandfather is a retired teacher from “The O.C.”)
You want the big pensions? Deal with the stress of being a dean or vice chancellor/president. 2% of the pool of retirees makes sense to me–1 administrator earning big bucks for 50 other employees sounds reasonable hierarchy to me.
Let’s see, CA Governor of 30 Million vs School Superintendent of 31,000:
Former THOMAS GODLEY OUSD Superintendent:
Salary: $250,000 per year
Retirement:$210,211.80 per year
The following data pertains to employees (excluding California State Universities) appointed to the State Controller’s Office Employment History Data Base.
Number of active full-time CA STATE employees: 210,390
Governors Pay:
Elected Officials Annual Salary
Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger $212,179
Lieutenant Governor $159,134
Attorney General $184,301
Secretary of State $159,134
Controller $169,743
Treasurer $169,743
Superintendent of Public Instruction $184,301
Insurance Commissioner $169,743
Members, Board of Equalization $159,134
Minority Floor Leader $133,639
Majority Floor Leader $124,923
Second Ranking Minority Leader $124,923
All Legislators $116,208
The California Citizens Compensation Commission established these salaries.
On June 10, 2008, the Commission met and voted not to change salaries and benefits.
Conclusion: …They are all OVERPAID!…including… EDUCATION ADMINISTRATION positions!
Note: the 31,000 is students…not OUSD # of employees. (I think the class room teachers are in daily control of the students, maybe, perhaps, possibly…part of the time.)
Your not including the kickbacks of being gov.
At least in CA they are smart enough to have Unified School Districts. In Spokane Co., population 400,000 there are at least 8 separate school districts, each with its own Super and on down the list, and each has its own transportation system, what a waste. But any discussion of unification is met with huge turf battles. Same thing is true on the west side.
Over 900 pink slips likely for S.F. schools
S.F. Chronicle ~ February 23, 2010
More than 900 San Francisco schoolteachers, administrators and other staff members - nearly twice that of last year - are in line to receive layoff notices in the next few weeks as district officials prepare to cover a worst-case budget scenario next year.
The school board is expected to vote tonight to authorize the pink slips, a decision required by state law to meet a March 15 deadline for notifying teachers and administrators that they might not have a job next year.
District officials said the list is long given the mind-boggling $113 million budget shortfall expected over the next two years, a deficit requiring huge cuts to staffing and programs. It includes full-time and part-time employees representing nearly 800 full-time teaching and administrative positions for the most part. It doesn’t include such workers as clerks or school secretaries, who don’t have to be notified by the deadline.
Let them make candles.
School districts, police departments, transit authorities, fire protection districts, city health departments, state welfare agencies…oh forget it - the list is endless and they all need money - bad! Something today’s housebuyer might want to consider instead of worrying whether or not “prices” have bottomed!
Exactly. Buy a house and you are at their mercy. I can see a primary home, you have to live somewhere. But a vacation house? Then you have TWO local and state governments with you as their meal ticket. No thanks.
Yeah, especially those specuvestors. Let ‘em bleed through a death of a thosuand property tax hikes.
Rio housing (bubble?) news:
This morning on the radio I think I heard something like this (in Portuguese)
Rio housing values are rising steadily because of the “good” economy, Olympic and World Cup programs making it safer, cleaner and a lot of middle class want to move back and it’s like SF or Manhattan and they’re not building any more land in the places that the “wealthy” want to live. All of which are kind of true.
and: For the fist time, there are mortgages available to the average person now but these “government” supported program might be scaled back next year.
US outstanding mortgages as % of GDP—–75% (about)
Brazil outstanding mortgages as % GDP—-4% (about)
Brazil is under built (many extended families living together)
Brazil is much younger than the USA.
But Brazilians can succumb to group trends very easily too.
I am detecting an upswing however the upswing seems to me to be built on a somewhat firmer basis (not much financing comparatively) than the US past bubble. Or not.
Maybe all of the rich Brazillian boomers are going to come here and buy all of our overpriced pos houses like our own boomers were supposed to do. We are counting on somebody rich and stupid.
You sure do see a lot of them in Disneyworld.
“Wall Street edged lower at the open on Tuesday after an unexpected fall in U.S. home prices heightened concerns about the strength of the economic recovery.”
Another unexpected incident….. LOL!!!!!!
Marketwatch headline below. What are the odds, two unexpected reports in one day!
“Confidence data sap stocks - An unexpectedly sharp blow to U.S. consumers’ mood takes toll.”
NEW YORK (AP) — A sharp drop in consumer confidence is sending stocks lower as well.
The Conference Board says Tuesday its consumer confidence index has fallen to 46 in February from 56.5 last month. Economists had expected a reading of 55.
Not only did the index fall sharply, it is far from indicating strength in the economy. A reading above 90 means the economy is on solid footing.
Consumers are vital to a strong, sustained economic recovery because their spending accounts for more than two-thirds of all economic activity.
Why didn’t they make up a better consumer confidence number? “They” must be telling us an orchestrated correction has begun. The resources of the PPT are getting exhausted and besides, the market rally in the face of a deteriorating economy is beginning to look really fishy. Still 10k or bust, however.
“the PPT are getting exhausted ”
You mean the printing press ran out of paper/ink? Unlikely.
At what point will the fed own all stocks? Or is that the plan?
Yes: in the end, the Fed/Goldman Sachs/Megabank will own all stocks before eventually owning everything.
Of course stocks won’t be worth much with an entire population that can’t afford anything.
ALL YOUR STOCKS ARE BELONG TO US
Senate sitting on 290 bills already passed by House; tension mount
“An aide to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) says the list is put together during each Congress, but that this year’s number is likely the largest ever. However, he said Pelosi blames GOP senators, not Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) or Majority Whip Dick Durbin (D-Ill.).
“The Speaker believes that the filibuster has its place, but clearly Senate Republicans are taking what was once a rare procedural move and abusing it to the detriment of progress for America’s working families,” said Pelosi spokesman Drew Hammill.
http://thehill.com/homenews/house/83059-senate-sitting-on-290-house-bills
Gridlock! I just love it and wonder what the deficit would be if all of these beauties passed. Its amusing to see how the filibuster is a great thing when the Rs’ want something, but now the D’s want to get rid of it. Whiners!
“Its amusing to see how the filibuster is a great thing when the Rs’ want something, but now the D’s want to get rid of it”. Whiners!
That’s how losers and poor sports operate.
What I find odd is that the “it takes a village people” run the show and have for several years now. Yet it’s one quagmire after another, that is a good thing though, the more they are in gridlock the better.
I have a hard time wrapping my head around this concept.
I’m a solutions kinda guy. When there’s a problem I don’t pussyfoot around, I fix it. Sometimes there’s a tough decision to make while fixing that problem. I make that decision to the best of my ability, right or wrong, and I carry things through.
I can’t see how gridlock, the complete lack of -anything- happening, can possibly fix the problems we face. Then again, maybe you’re saying that any solution the government makes is inherently flawed and destined for disaster, therefor it’s better for them to not do anything…. I understand the “if it’s not broke don’t fix it” rule, but in this case, it really is broken… Are you suggesting they let everything fall to pieces? I might not like government entitlement programs, but at least they allow the very poor people around me to steal my money the safe and healthy way (through taxes). I really really don’t like the alternative……..
I can’t see how gridlock, the complete lack of -anything- happening, can possibly fix the problems we face.
Good point.
Its amusing to see how the filibuster is a great thing when the Rs’ want something, but now the D’s want to get rid of it. Whiners!
The flip side, of course, is the years of whining Frist, McConnell, and the Boys did when they had the majority. And they faced many fewer filibuster threats.
Oh, the whining … it never stops.
http://tinyurl.com/y8hgfws
- Splitting up nest eggs - QDROs - in a divorce.
The article suggests that you better make darn sure you don’t divorce. If you cannot be sure you will never divorce, don’t get married in the first place.
With divorce rates at 50% or higher and employment prospects bleak (to pay for all that alimony, palimony, child support, etc.), this is a good piece of advise.
Disposable toys, cars, and these days houses and people. So much “progress” we’ve made as a society…
It’s one of the reasons I never got married. Divorce rates were out of control as far back as the 1970s.
You would literally have to find that one in million person who stand by you for life.
Communes are the way of the future, IMO. Companionship and fullfillment can be found in close friends. And it’s a myth that married people get more hanky panky than single people. Maybe the truth is married women get more than single women, but married men get less than single men.
What about the single men who don’t pay for it?
I have no idea who gets more, but mark me down as a married guy who gets “enough” and therefore doesn’t waste much energy stressing over it.
Well bankruptcy has come to the owner of my Los Angeles apartment complex. The owner is Fairfield. I saw a note on the bulletin board in my building last night - the first I was aware of it. I checked it up on internet last night. The corporate web site says operations will continue as normal while they adjust their financial situation with the creditors and court - not to worry. They own 64,000 units across the country.
Since I have few material things, no biggie. I can move out fast if necessary. The most painful thing would be change of address forms. But this may not be necessary for a few months. My lease expires in May.
Maybe you can get a rent deduction?
rent reduction is the new breast augmentation.
“The most painful thing would be change of address forms.”
Doing that now, moving this weekend. Short sale supposed to close on March 12 for the shack I have been renting the last four and a half years. Sale price $150,000.00 LL owed about $340,000.00 New owner still screwed needs at least $50,000.00 worth of work and after that it`s worth about $120,000.00 Oh well I got a 6 month lease for the same rent as here for a much nicer house in a better hood. At least another 6 months to watch the very long slow train wreck. Party on.
- to paraphrase Neil…(sorry Neil)…”Got popcorn?”
YES! YES! I do have popcorn. And it`s one hell of a show. Can`t wait to see how it ends.
“Well bankruptcy has come to the owner of my Los Angeles apartment complex.”
Welcome to a new chapter in America.
chapter 13.
“he most painful thing would be change of address forms. ”
That’s why as a renter it is best to rent a PO Box. Here the cost is $52/yr or less and you don’t have to worry about mail theft or mail holds on vacation.
Well bankruptcy has come to the owner of my Los Angeles apartment complex.
Lol. Sorry, BiLA, but weren’t you bragging just last night about how much more secure a ‘corporately-owned apt complex’ was than something owned by a small landlord? That illusion sure didn’t last long! Welcome to Newmerica…
Read the thread again. I mentioned maintenance issues yesterday. I get prompt maintenance in a large corporate apartment complex as opposed to a small owner. I rented from an owner of a triplex one time. That’s all it took. swam cooler broke down on Friday and it was not fixed until Monday. The heat inside was above 100 degrees in the daytime. Because the owner was out of town gallavanting around.
I never had a problem with maintenance in a large apartment complex.
As for the LA apartment bankruptcy, the management had a mexican food party tonight in the leasing office. A manager told me that operations will be normal.
Read about bankruptcy laws for yourself. I have the last laugh.
“swam” = “swamp.”
A small time owner of a house goes bankrupt. He is less likely to have good bankruptcy attorneys than the corporation owning 64,000 units. The Fairfield corporation is likely to get better protection from its creditors than the mini Donald Trump (who rents out one house and has a net worth under $1 million outside his real estate investments).
Latest news from Tucson: Overpaying for an old hotel that’s right next to a very busy freight rail corridor.
AZ Slim,
Did you see the part about the street car passing by? I am sure the new owner knew about those plans and a good businessman doesn’t invest that kind of money without plans for a return on investment.
Looks like they’re going to tear up downtown Tucson just like they tore up Phoenix. Is your bike a mountain bike?
The streetcar tracks are already next to this apartment complex. And they proceed into to Downtown. To an absolute fustercluck of an intersection (4th Avenue, Toole, and Congress.)
Imagine that, the improvement was “concentrated” in the largest banks…
Regulators report 27 percent jump in problem banks.
February 23, 2010
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The number of “problem” U.S. banks jumped 27 percent during the fourth quarter of 2009 to 702, the highest level since 1993 and a sign the industry’s recovery is still shaky, regulators reported on Tuesday.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp said the industry overall eked out a profit of $914 million for the quarter, benefiting from a healing economy, but said the improvement was concentrated in the largest banks.
Banks at risk of going bust tops 700
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — More than 700 banks, or nearly one out of every 11, are at risk of going under, according to a report published Tuesday.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. said that the number of banks on its so-called “problem list” climbed to 702, its highest level since 1992. At that time, the agency red-flagged 1,066 banks.
The number of banks under scrutiny by regulators has moved steadily higher since the recession began in late 2007. Just 76 financial institutions were on the list in the fourth quarter of 2007.
Last year, Weiss Research released a white paper that showed a significant undercount in the number of problem banks. The paper, titled “Dangerous Unintended Consequences,” has proven to be quite prescient — in more ways than one.
I remember reading that, Weiss is very good at what they do IMO. Most failures were just put on hold, due to clever accounting, gov. props etc.
The great age of the non stop digital printing press.
Go Gubmint Motors!
Fritz Henderson is back at GM, for $3,000 an hour
February 23, 2010
NEW YORK (Fortune) — After resigning as president and CEO of General Motors in December, Fritz Henderson might have gone into hiding or decided to sit out the harsh Michigan winter on a Florida beach.
Instead, here he is popping up again, this time as a consultant to GM on international operations at the very fancy fee of $59,090 a month for 20 hours of work a month. That works out to almost $3,000 an hour for a CEO who was ousted after just eight months on the job.
hush money.
My first thought : what does he have on whom?
OTOH……maybe the phone guy is figuring out that running an automobile manufacturer is a lot tougher job than it looks.
That’s what I was thinking.
Team dingle Barry thought that the phone man could handle it.
Call me ignorant…er…stupid…er…
Whatever.
Just don’t call me an idiot!
My point?
$ is their word.
This will end well.
Sigh…hmmghmmmm, deeeeeeep breath…
Leigh
Harvard’s Rogoff Sees Sovereign Defaults, ‘Painful’ Austerity
Feb. 24 (Bloomberg) — Ballooning debt is likely to force several countries to default and the U.S. to cut spending, according to Harvard University Professor Kenneth Rogoff, who in 2008 predicted the failure of big American banks.
Following banking crises, “we usually see a bunch of sovereign defaults, say in a few years,” Rogoff, a former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund, said at a forum in Tokyo yesterday. “I predict we will again.”
The U.S. is likely to tighten monetary policy before cutting government spending, sending “shockwaves” through financial markets, Rogoff said in an interview after the speech. Fiscal policy won’t be curbed until soaring bond yields trigger “very painful” tax increases and spending cuts, he said.
“sending “shockwaves” through financial markets”
Kinda brings shockwaves from an atomic bomb to mind.
“Fiscal policy won’t be curbed until soaring bond yields trigger “very painful” tax increases and spending cuts, he said.”
It’s impossible to disagree with this statement.
Hey Guys -
I read the comment above about the increase of my posters being a sign that we’re in for another wave down. That may be true - I took a hiatus from reading the blog for no particular reason other than I was living in England for 6 months and my mind was not on housing.
I don’t know what it is about LA, but now that I’m back, my mind is back on housing. I have been reading this blog again, but not posting much. I just wanted to let you guys know that I’m on here again, because not saying hello is rude.
Welcome back!
What part of the UK?
Bristol, England.
I ow Ben a visit to Flagstaff and some beer.
(owe, that is) ow-ch.
AG is flappin’ those gums again - sez the recovery is “unbalanced”. He oughta know.
Re: equities
I’ll refer my right honorable fellow posters to my comments from yesterday.
Tiiiimmmmberrrr!
I got caught up with a buddy of mine who is a city attorney in Delaware. Most of his cases… drumroll… are zoning board appeals in which a neighbor is contesting the decision to allow an adjacent neighbor to split the house into a multi-unit.
“…split the house into a multi-unit…”
A slum is born. Seriously, that’s how it starts.
Saw this firsthand during my college days. And, as an adult, in Pittsburgh.
Without a doubt, have watched it transpire.
Ever notice how many big old Victorians - built in the late 1800’s / early 1900’s - are split into multiple units? I’m not sure if any study was ever done, but I would imagine the vast majority of that came about during the depression. Same scenario - period of boom (in this case about 30-40 year period) followed by a period of bust (GD).
Look for this to continue en masse, for probably 15-20 years at least - especially if the government/Fed continues its work to prop up housing prices.
About two years ago I posted a link to this photo. I think y’all need to see it again.
http://heckeranddecker.files.wordpress.com/2008/02/nickels-chicago-cmp.jpg
Context?
Look closely, that’s a turn of the century vintage house on Chicago’s south side in the 1950s. This is what subdividing those once grand houses eventually led too. Formerly grand houses were subdivided to the extreme - rooms walled off with cardboard! There’s pictures of this - such conditions were widespread in Chicago’s “Black Belt” into the postwar period.
packman- The victorian houses were split up after another great credit bust- the panic of 1893. This was a railroad-driven (ha ha) bust, during the pre-Fed, gold standard days(!), that wiped out many upper-middle and middle class people after bank runs on non-FDIC insured deposits led to cascading bank failures (ahh, the good old, free market days). These newly wiped out Americans walked away from their homes in large numbers, leaving many vacant victorian homes. The large number of these vacant homes led to our still-prevalent view of a haunted house looking like an empty, victorian style house (ie the Adams family house). These empty victorians were shortly thereafter chopped up into apts- much like our McMansions will be. Will McMansions be the haunted houses of the future?
Alpha,
that wiped out many upper-middle and middle class people after bank runs on non-FDIC insured deposits led to cascading bank failures-
Few victorian homes…many regulations…er…
Bunched up folks not meeting their obligations.
Trust or no…honest vs game…
I just don’t know,
Can’t make this stuff up -
Wish I could -
Leigh
US Jan mass layoffs edge up on weak manufacturing.
Tue Feb 23, 2010
WASHINGTON, Feb 23 (Reuters) - The number of mass layoffs by U.S. employers edged up in January as manufacturers stepped up job cuts, data showed on Tuesday, but probably not enough to alter views that the economy is on the brink of creating jobs.
The Labor Department said the number of mass layoff actions — defined as job cuts involving at least 50 people from a single employer — increased by 35 to 1,761. Mass layoffs had trended lower since August.
A total of 182,261 workers were affected last month. In January, 486 mass layoff events were reported in manufacturing, resulting in 62,556 workers filing claims for state unemployment benefits. It was the first increase in mass layoffs in manufacturing since August.
W,
Thanks for the post.
More jobs lost-for profit (HD; GM; AIG - seriously - profit!)?
Grrr.
Leigh
P.S. No way aimed at you…again, thanks for the stats.
Seattle housing market hits new low: Report
Puget Sound Business Journal (Seattle)
Although other U.S. housing markets are improving, Seattle’s housing market posted a new four-year low in December, according to the latest Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices study.
In the year from December 2008 to December 2009, home prices in Seattle fell 7.9 percent, according to the latest monthly report that tracks home prices in 20 major U.S. cities. Seattle’s level fell to an all-time low of 147.54 in December, down 0.7 percent from November.
Charlotte, N.C., Tampa, Fla., and Seattle all posted new low index levels in December measured by the past four years.
Just ask “Screech” from Saved By the Bell, there is no end to “new lows.”
Youch!
And “ewwwwww,” that guy is smarmy.
So it’s only still up 47% in the “lost decade” of no economic growth.
O.k., off-the-cuff poll: what do all y’all think a $200k 3/2 block home in the Tampa area will be going for in 5 years.
I don’t think I could come up with a value. Have you ever played Fallout 3?
Grampa used to say; when you go to the track, only lay down money that you are prepared to loose.
I guess in this case it would be “with interest”.
$200,000. Its the in between that will get ya.
my suspicious nature and skeptical brain forces me to answer that question with a question..
Why are you asking?
“Why are you asking?”
Because I don’t mind being underwater 10-20k, but I would mind being 100k underwater.
so… this might be an investment property which you plan on selling in 5 years or so?
you see where I’m going…
If I knew my “permanent” home being worth $xxxx less than what I owed on it would drive me up the walls, I’d question my readiness (financial..emotional.. situational) to take the plunge.. Or maybe that particular property is just not worthy of the commitment.
Equity is one of those intangibles..
Muggy,
You’d be $10 - 20K under the moment you bought it, so if you don’t want to loose more you’d need to be in a stable or rising market.
Which it isn’t. The bottom is not in until the fundamentals improve.
Rising employment
Inflation
Balanced local, county and state government budgets
Positive real interest rates
All these things are against you at the moment.
I like the idea of buying the 2 1 1/2 and adding on later.
Obama Visits GM’s Lordstown Plant, Formalizes 2016 Fuel Economy Standards
By Erin Riches | September 15, 2009
Toyota vows shake-up, lawmakers seek more reform February 23, 2010 12:32 PM ET
All Thomson Reuters newsWASHINGTON (Reuters) - Top executives at Toyota Motor Corp promised a quality shake-up on Tuesday as the Obama administration said it would hold the carmaker’s chief to a pledge to address safety issues after massive recalls.
Two days of congressional hearings, which started on Tuesday, are critical for the world’s largest automaker as it seeks to repair damage over unintended acceleration problems and braking issues that have led to the recall of more than 8.5 million vehicles around the world.
Lawmakers expressed fears that Toyota’s current massive recalls do not cover all complaints of unintended acceleration. They called for more research and questioned whether safety regulators are too cozy with the auto industry.
General Motors Bringing 1,200 Jobs To Lordstown Complex
2010-02-23
Third shift added to support production of the 2011 Chevrolet Cruze·
The Chevrolet Cruze program represents a $500 million investment in U.S. manufacturing, including more than $350 million to revamp Lordstown facilities·
LORDSTOWN, Ohio – General Motors will add a third shift at its Lordstown, Ohio complex, adding 1,200 jobs to support production of the new, 2011 Chevrolet Cruze compact car. As previously announced, the Chevrolet Cruze program represents a $500 million investment in U.S. manufacturing operations, which includes more than $350 million to re-tool the Lordstown facility.
Production begins in the third quarter and will increase the Lordstown workforce from 3,300 to 4,500. The third shift is expected to generate $47 million in additional payroll, $470,000 in local income taxes and $1.4 million in state income tax.
Since last July, GM has made announcements that represent about 5,515 new jobs and investment by the company of more than $1.4 billion in the United States.
“Adding a third shift to build Cruze is an investment with impact far beyond General Motors. It’s an investment in the long-term value of Lordstown and the prosperity of Ohio,” said Mark Reuss, president, GM North America. “It provides rewarding manufacturing jobs and efficient class-leading new cars for American car buyers.”
“Lordstown is the latest announcement made by GM to secure the best possible manufacturing footprint to react to market demand and deliver cars and trucks faster to our customers.”
I love science, I absolutely hate skeeters…but something tells me that there might be a flaw in their theory regarding males & mating:
Flightless mosquitoes may curb dengue: study
WASHINGTON (Reuters)
“The technology is completely species-specific, as the released males will mate only with females of the same species,” added Oxitec’s Luke Alphey, who led the study.
They genetically altered mosquitoes to produce flightless females, and said spreading these defective mosquitoes could suppress native, disease-spreading mosquitoes within six to nine months.”
Tampering with nature always works out well. Always.
Scientists are smart.
Tampering with nature always works out well. Always.
Uh-huh. That was my first sarcastic thought as well.
Hey lookie there…a swarm of bees with Monsanto’s logo’s on their buuuutts…
How about some genetically engineered Goldman execs with no arms, legs, eyes, or ears. They would look like maggots with neckties.
Ha, like even that would stop’em
male skeeters are probably wondering if science can fix things so they can’t crawl away either..
Duck!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Would you settle for a goose?
Think… flying cast iron skillets…headed your way. But if you hit the ground when someone yells …GOOSE! …that’ll work too I reckon.
Flightless mosquitoes may curb dengue: study
This was an amusing thread and timely because, the Rio Dengue Squad came by my house this morning checking on standing water and the like. We got a gold star.
Today’s headlines read Wall Street bonuses up Main Street consumer confidence down. I always knew there would be looting on American streets as a result of this crisis.
I fear that the tipping point might be closer than many think, especially if the PTB tell those with soon to expire UE benefits to eat cake.
BINGO
Unemployment and unemployment extensions are there to keep the masses from rioting before the looting is done.
Trump, Icahn vying for Atlantic City casinos
Trump, Icahn’s group start making their case for owning Trump’s namesake casinos in AC ~ February 23, 2010
CAMDEN, N.J. (AP) — Lawyers for billionaires Donald Trump and Carl Icahn are in court playing a real-life version of Monopoly over who should control some prized Atlantic City property.
Arguments started Tuesday as two groups try to persuade a federal bankruptcy judge in Camden that their plan and ownership group is the right one for Trump Entertainment Resorts, which is now in bankruptcy.
Trump, who does not currently own the three casinos that bear his name, has joined with the current owners and a group of bondholders.
They’re opposed by Icahn and Texas banker Andy Beal. Icahn and Beal say they’d eliminate the company’s debt, much of which they own.
Trump’s lawyers say the casinos would be hurt if Icahn won because it would take the Trump name off the casinos.
Now for a word from Mr. Magoo,
Greenspan: U.S. recovery “extremely unbalanced”
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said on Tuesday the U.S. economic recovery was “extremely unbalanced,” driven largely by high earners benefiting from recovering stock markets and large corporations.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Greenspan-US-recovery-rb-1788218485.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=7&asset=&ccode=
Isn’t this what he wanted? To paraphrase: ‘You cannot pop bubbles, if we had all of that economic growth would have never happened.’ -Mr. Magoo
Gee, I’m glad he didn’t. We would have never had it so good.
The twit.
Roidy
All your jobs are belong to us.
So now Toyota gets to go to Capitol Hill to testify before Congress……..
I’m personally not a big fan of Toyota. And especially of their dealers (Porsche and Ferrari dealers have got nothing on those guys, when it comes to those who are not “sophisticated enough to appreciate their products”).
These Congressional Kabuki Dances are getting old. If they’ve got a problem, they will either fix it on their own, or the NHTSA will “help”. If they are going to apologize to the American people, do it on Jerry Springer’s show, instead of giving jacka$$ Congressman face-time on national TV.
I’m personally not a big fan of Toyota. And especially of their dealers (Porsche and Ferrari dealers have got nothing on those guys, when it comes to those who are not “sophisticated enough to appreciate their products”).
Honda too. Some years ago we went to check out their minivan, and I had read at the time that some early production units had transmission problems. When I asked the sales droid if Honda had addressed the transmission issue he was so offended that you’d think I’d asked him if I could bonk his teenage daughter.
+1 fixr, the way I look at it is; if Toyota officials have to testify before congress then the bosses of AIG, Goldman etc. should have to run naked thru a gauntlet, of angry taxpayers, down Pennsylvannia ave.
So now Toyota gets to go to Capitol Hill to testify before Congress……..
And this is all over the news
Federal safety agency investigates complaints of steering problems with Chevy Cobalt
By AP February 2nd, 2010
US probes Chevy Cobalt steering complaints
WASHINGTON — Federal regulators have opened an investigation into complaints that power steering systems in the Chevrolet Cobalt can fail, making it more difficult to control the car.
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says there are 1,132 complaints about the Cobalt’s electric power steering, including reports of eleven accidents and one injury.
The preliminary review covers about 905,000 Cobalts in the model years from 2005 to 2009.
A majority of the complaints have come in the past six months. Some drivers said they couldn’t stay in their traffic lane when steering became difficult.
The Cobalt is made by General Motors.
The company said in a statement that the NHTSA review is the first step in an investigation, and that it will answer questions from the safety agency. After that step, the case will either move to an engineering analysis or it will be closed, GM said.
Toyotas are way overpriced.
Your best bang for the buck these days is, believe it or not, Hyundai.
Am driving a Kia Spectra rental right now. Took it through Death Valley. I am amazed at how well it behaves. Does not look like much, which is fine by me.
Report: 11% of Birmingham area homes underwater
Birmingham Business Journal - 2-23-10
A report released Tuesday said 11 percent of residential mortgages in the Birmingham area were in negative equity by the fourth quarter of last year, a major concern for the market despite a forecasted rise in home prices.
First American CoreLogic said the 11 percent represents 18,875 local residential properties with a mortgage that were underwater in the quarter, meaning borrowers owed more on the mortgage than their home was worth.
And an additional 6.5 percent, or 11,117 residential mortgages, were in near negative equity in the Birmingham area, said the report.
“Negative equity is a significant drag on both the housing market and on economic growth,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist with First American CoreLogic. “It is driving foreclosures and decreasing mobility for millions of homeowners. Since we expect home prices to slightly increase during 2010, negative equity will remain the dominant issue in the housing and mortgage markets for some time to come.”
There is a great documentary avilable on-line in the American Experience PBS series. The stock crash really begins with a land boom/bust in Florida in the roaring 20’s.
Groucho Marx got his comedic start pilloring the fools that put their money into Florida Real Estate, all the while he was socking substantially all of his earnings into “The Market”, on 10% margin, no less. Groucho was wiped out in the crash.
Its a very interesting story.
Interestingly - even though Florida’s housing market crashed big-time starting in 1926 - the housing market in the rest of the U.S. didn’t crash at all until well after the stock market. According to data collected by Robert Shiller, mortgage debt continued to rise very fast all the way through 1928 (over 10% a year - even when adjusted for inflation and population growth!), and continued climbing in nominal terms all the way into 1932, even under the extreme post-1929 deflationary conditions. That to me is pretty shocking. I think it points out just how slow people were to react to the crash - a large segment of the population just shrugged it off the first couple of years and continued buying houses. It also shows how disconnected the Florida housing market indeed was from the rest of the country at the time.
I think indeed the Florida crash played a hand in the Wall Street crash - after all there is the huge “snowbird” ties between NY and FL; people were probably taking a lot of their gained “equity” in Florida real estate and investing it back home in NYC in stocks; then started pulling it back out of stocks when they ended up underwater on their mortgages after 1926. It wasn’t until after the rest of the country was slammed by unemployment that the housing problems spread outside of Florida.
I’d say that’s a fair analysis.
1 in 5 hospitals plans ‘permanent’ job cuts this year: report.
Philly.com 2-23-10
“Nineteen percent of hospital CFOs projected permanent worker layoffs during the coming year,” says Penn State’s Workforce and Education Development Initiative, citing a survey by HCPro’s HealthLeaders Media, Marblehead, Mass., which says it surveyed 1,200 US hospital executives. Read survey results here. Excerpts:
“Over 80% believed that layoffs and staff reductions are most effective in dealing with the current economic crisis. The CFOs rated labor costs as the second-ranked driver of health care costs behind government laws and mandates.”
The Penn State group laid out how important hospitals are to PA employment: “Hospitals employed 272,553 workers in 340 Pennsylvania facilities during 2008,” or about 5% of the US hospital workforce of 5.5 million. (The state is home to about 4% of the total US population, but a lot of them are old…) “Employment in Pennsylvania hospitals grew by 15,059 workers between 2004 and 2008. ”
“Average annual earnings per worker in the industry were $57,361 in 2008, although earnings differed significantly by occupation… On average:
- 5,166 hospital physicians earned $64.03 per hour worked…
- 73,862 registered nurses earned $28.69 per hour
- 2,859 medical assistants earned $12.94 per hour.
- 15,956 workers… earned $9.86 per hour or less, which is the poverty wage for households composed of two adults and two children in Pennsylvania …
- Dining room workers, dining room and cafeteria attendants, child care workers, and waiters and waitresses earned less than $8.00 per hour, which is considered the living wage for a one–adult household in Pennsylvania.”
I had an ultrasound done last year (to diagnose my gall stone problem). The tech who performed the procedure told me that business was way down at the imaging clinic. I guess people without insurance don’t get CAT scans, MRIs, ultrasounds or x-rays.
As Rio said above, our current healthcare system is probably 5-10 years from total collapse as the annual double digit price increases will eventually price everyone out of coverage. It already costs $1500 per month to insure a family, which IMHO is already the breaking point. What happens when its $3000 per rmonth? What percentage of private sector or even non federal gov’t employers will be able to swing that?
I’ve told you about my resistance to the high-priced dentist I’d been seeing. Y’know, the one who wanted $655 for a deep cleaning treatment last year.
Well, last Friday, I boarded my bicycle and pedaled over to Pima Community College’s Dental Studies clinic. I was screened for a teeth cleaning. Again.
I brought the chart of my mouth from last year, which was what the dentist’s office used as justification for their treatment. The dental hygiene student, her instructor, and the supervising dentist all compared it with Friday’s exam.
It seems that my dental health has improved quite a bit. I showed the Dental Studies trio my chart and they all agreed that my 2010 mouth is a lot healthier.
Total cost of the visit: $15 for the x-rays. And I don’t like to get x-rayed because the film holder makes me gag. That happened a lot at Dr. Pricey’s office.
Not last Friday. That hygiene student was really good.
And did I mention that Pima provided me with a copy of the x-rays?
My dentist/quack must be hurting for business……
Got a flyer from him in the mail the other day. All kinds of “news” stories, stressing the terrors that await those who do not visit their dentist regularly.
Including lung cancer, if you believe the flyer.
(As X-GSfixr runs screaming in terror into the night, as he realizes that he may only have days left to live……….guess I should have flossed……)
My dentist/quack must be hurting for business……
Got a flyer from him in the mail the other day. All kinds of “news” stories, stressing the terrors that await those who do not visit their dentist regularly.
Dr. Pricey has sent me newsletters like that too. They started coming regularly in the past couple of years. Which, IMHO, is when her business really started to turn downward.
The latest is a letter, signed by the practice administrator, saying that Dr. Pricey is very concerned about my health.
In France, my wife always comes home with a copy of her x-rays. (asfter chatting witht eh doctor about the results)
I told her that in the USA you wait a 10 tens for a note in the mail, and only talk to the doctor if there is a problem
“wait ten days for a note in the mail”
High-Scoring Borrowers Pay Cards Ahead of Mortgages
Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) — Consumers with high credit scores are more likely to default on mortgages than credit-card loans, said FICO, maker of the scoring formula most widely used by U.S. lenders.
In 2009, consumers with FICO scores from 760 to 789 defaulted on real estate loans at a rate 200 percent greater than credit-card loans, or 0.3 percent of consumers compared with 0.1 percent, the Minneapolis-based company said in a statement today. FICO considers borrowers who are more than 90 days delinquent to be in serious delinquency or default.
“This used to be a problem for subprime,” said Mark Greene, chief executive officer of FICO, in an interview Feb. 19 on Bloomberg Television in New York. “Now we’re starting to see at the high end of the marketplace, people with good FICO scores, having serious delinquency problems.”
Mortgages have historically been the first debt obligation consumers repay, Greene said in the interview. There’s been a change in the “payment hierarchy” and consumers with higher credit scores may be late with mortgage payments on second homes, which are viewed as investment properties, he said. Late mortgage payments by high-scoring consumers will persist for another six months to nine months, said Greene.
Don’t be a Total Fraidy Cat - Drive a Toyota:
WASHINGTON (AP) — The president of Toyota’s U.S. operations acknowledged to skeptical lawmakers on Tuesday that the company’s recalls of millions of its cars may “not totally” solve the problem of sudden and dangerous acceleration.
Toonces the cat never put off driving because of issues like this.
“may “not totally” solve the problem of sudden and dangerous acceleration”.
Yes, but they have produced a video that shows you what to do in the “unlikely” event your Toyo decides to haul ass on it’s own.
Step #1 Don’t panic this “unlikely” event can/may occur.
Step #2 Place both feet on the brake peddle, press firmly. Do not pump.
Step #3 Slip the shifter into neutral, coast over to the shoulder and turn the ignition off.(Not that it matters the engine may have already blown up)
Step #4 Call your Authorized Toyo dealer.
Take it from someone who has spent a lot more time banging against the rev limiter than most, your motor will not be damaged in a car new enough to be subject to this problem. Don’t even stress about that part of it.
I think I stick with the manuals.
Manual as in transmission.
i like the way the majority owners of GM are handling this.. in a cut-throat, opportunistic business-like manner. I didn’t think they had it in them.
Drive a Toyota and find out how fast it can go.. and then die!
I’m going to buy a Toyota, drive it like a bat out of hell, and blame it on the throttle software when I get pulled over.
dude.. that’s bad karma.. you’d be tempting fate twice over.
In other news…
Tokyo (AP) — The president of Japan’s central bank acknowledged to skeptical Japanese on Tuesday that his nation’s purchases of billions of U.S. debt may “not totally” solve the problem of sudden and dangerous global deflation.
Just kidding!
“OH NO Toonces ! LOOK OUT!”
Did you guys see this?
Munger warn of Death to American Capitalism :
http://finance.yahoo.com/banking-budgeting/article/108901/death-of-american-capitalism-the-10-final-scenes
I tried to read his original editorial yesterday but found it so tedious and badly phrased that I skipped most of it thanks to this summary. I’d be curious to hear what Mr. Buffett has to say about it.
Governors demand Boeing get tanker deal
Puget Sound Business Journal ~ 2-23-10
Nine U.S. governors are demanding that the U.S. Air Force award a $50 billion refueling tanker contract to Boeing Co., instead of a joint bid by Northrop Grumman Corp. and EADS.
The governors launched a website, http://www.ustanker2010.com, advocating that Congress give Boeing the contract to “build U.S. industrial capacity and retain U.S. jobs.”
“Awarding Boeing the contract to supply our next fleet of tankers will ensure work for 40,000 to 50,000 people across the country. There’s been enough delay already on the military’s efforts to build a next generation tanker, and Boeing is ready to start building them today,” Gregoire said in a statement.
The battle over the tanker contract has stretched out over many years. It was previously awarded to Boeing once, and to Northrop/EADS once, only to be reversed in both cases. The Pentagon is expected to release the final tanker request for proposals as early as Tuesday.
We have a win-win situation here, and nobody wants to discuss it. At least no one in the government.
-C-17 production is winding down……in the meantime, the Euros have blown $400 billion plus (so far) on the A400 military transport, which is functionally indistinguisable from the C-17.
-Soooooo…….why not have the US buy the Airbus tanker, if they cancel the A400 and buy C-17s? (Both programs are forcast to cost approximately the same amount of money).
-C-17 production continues in California (who needed jobs last time I checked), the Euros don’t have to spend a gazillion more dollars to finish development of the A400 and put it in production, and the good ol’ boys in Georgia/Alabama get to do the mod work.
The only people effed over are in Washington and Kansas; but Boeing has been bending them over anyway, so they will just accelerate the inevitable.
I see no way a jet aircraft (C-17) can be functionally indistinguishable from a prop (A400). The A400 is closer to (I think) the C130. But then you are the plane expert
Report shows states still facing declining tax collections
February 23, 2010
HELENA, Mont. (AP) — A new report says that states again saw big drops in tax collections in the last quarter of 2009 — the fifth straight quarterly decline.
The Rockefeller Institute of Government says that tax collections across the country dropped about 4 percent overall last quarter, when measured against the same quarter in the previous year.
The report shows that seven states — Montana, Alaska, Wyoming, Arizona, Oklahoma, Texas and Georgia — experienced tax revenue drops of more than 10 percent.
The institute notes that states that already have slashed spending or raised taxes will need to do more. Beleaguered state governments are cutting back on schools, social programs and prison costs — such as by releasing inmates early.
In Montana?? Say it isn’t so in the state I grew up in!! Maybe I can get the farm back my dad lost in the late 80’s.
M-O-N-T-A-N-A, Montana I love you!!
I thought states like TX,OK and WY were places supposedly better for business.
Game on!
They countered our $210 offer with $220 saying there’s been “a lot of activity on the house.” I called their bluff and we’re countering at $209k.
Suck it FB!
Awesome!
Yup, and my realtor told their realtor every time they counter, we will counter $1k less. Reject or accept. They seller really screwed this one up… probably at the encouragement of his realtor who thought they could squeeze a young family for some extra bucks.
By all means, take the “other” offer from all of those “other people.”
Think of William Shatner in that priceline commercial… “Go Lower!”
“…$220 saying there’s been “a lot of activity on the house.”
Hwy: “Dang really? Well, guess that’ll help ‘em, because I’m down the road…
PD Eastman: “Go Dog! …Go!”
Dog1: Do you like the price of my house?
Dog2: No, no I do not like the price of your house!
Dog 1: Good-bye!
Dog 2: Good-bye!
Dog1: Do you like the price of my house?
Dog2: No, no I do not like the price of your house!
Dog 1: Good-bye!
Dog 2: Good-bye!
BAAAHAHHAHHHHAAAAAAHHHHHAWAAAAH!
(That’s a very popular book in my house.)
Haha. Your realtor must be developing an ulcer.
LOL. You rule, Muggy. Way to represent!
TOTALLY off topic:
http://www.wimp.com/thehexacopter/