March 21, 2010

Bits Bucket For March 21, 2010

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297 Comments »

Comment by taxmeupthebooty
2010-03-21 05:30:51

is zillow more accurate now ?
they show a recent dip in prices in most markets

Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-03-21 08:30:05

I’ve been tracking Zillow on a calendar for a while. They seem to be showing decreases in baby steps. IMO, it’s to ease the pattern, and to calm nerves of the new buyers (*knife catcher fears) and homemoaners.
*Most buyers don’t calendar declines and their recall generally isn’t accurate.

 
Comment by Lane from s.c.
2010-03-21 09:10:17

I think Zillow is fairly close on value. But there are more houses for sale than are listed on zillow. I know of many around me that have been for sale for over a year and are not listed on zillow.

Lane

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 14:43:15

What is this “value” of which you speak? Do you have a definition in mind?

 
Comment by maldonash
2010-03-21 23:39:24

zillow is still all over the place depending upon the home. if a bank recently reabsorbed a home for $775,000 this increases the value of the house and those in the close vacinity even if other comps are listed for far less. zillow remains a tool for the hopeful and those in the industry.

 
 
Comment by combotechie
2010-03-21 09:11:49

When I’m in need a chuckle I zillow up my house so I can enjoy a good laugh at what Zillow say’s it’s worth.

Comment by Lane from s.c.
2010-03-21 09:32:38

Combo…are they high or low. They seem close around here. Well as close as a large company compliling large amounts of info. And chunking numbers out. lol

Lane

Comment by combotechie
2010-03-21 09:42:10

High, way too high in my opinion.

About a month ago a RE flier was left at my door. The flier was divided into two sections: Asking prices (read: wishing prices) of houses that were for sale, and actual prices of houses that have been sold.

There was about a hundred-thousand dollars difference between the two prices.

There might be a lot of logical explanations for the gap - maybe the gap is justified (but I doubt it) - such as the houses that were sold were fixer-uppers that were dumped by the owners. Who knows?

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Comment by WHYoung
2010-03-21 09:48:57

Who left the flyer?

 
Comment by combotechie
2010-03-21 09:56:15

“Who left the flyer?”

Some realtor, not sure which one.

My next-door neighbor got evicted about two-months-or-so ago and left the house full of trash. It’s a three bedroom, one bath, 1,066 square feet with a pool.

Zillo has it valued at $393,000.

Lol.

 
 
 
Comment by B. Durbin
2010-03-21 14:35:49

Huh. I just did and got a value almost $30K over what we paid. I don’t expect that we’d be able to sell it for that, or even what we paid, necessarily, but $30K over last year’s foreclosure price is closer than I’d thought it would be, given the wishing prices around here.

 
 
Comment by DennisN
2010-03-21 11:05:45

Zillow appears to be more or less accurate depending upon the geo. region. CA seems high whereas ID seems about right. One problem is that selling price is a matter of public record in CA, whereas in ID it’s up to the buyer’s discretion whether or not to disclose the purchase price to the government.

 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2010-03-21 12:34:37

Zillow’s zestimates are steeped in fantasy. They don’t even include many current sales in their values because the sales are much lower than their zestimates. Huh? Joke.

Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-03-21 13:51:08

Absolutely true, that Zillow isn’t real, and the zestimate is high. Our prior residence sold at $699,999 (our buyer sold it), and Zillow showed it for $849,000. I looked it through the County Recorders Office to get the actual sales info. (So Ca)

 
Comment by Jerry
2010-03-21 16:28:31

Zillow is out to lunch!

 
 
Comment by Bungalowball
2010-03-21 17:12:05

I have noticed that in zillow the houses that show up in red (which are the houses for sale) always have significantly higher prices than the houses that show up in yellow (which are the ones that recently sold). I notice this in every market I look at.

This points towards houses selling for significantly less than listing price, and could also be a sign that prices have dropped.

Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-03-21 18:36:56

Thanks to everyone who had input on Zillow. It’s great to have different opinions and insight, especially from such intelligent people. I never go a day without learning something new here.

Comment by flg_az
2010-03-21 19:21:06

I do not believe that Zillow includes foreclosures in its zindex.

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Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-03-21 19:58:33

flg_az
I think you’re right. I believe I heard a talk radio guest out of San Diego state it.
The same R E guy told the truth about DataQuick stats. They count an REO as a sale, and the amt of the loan becomes the purchase price, regardless of how many refi’s were in the balance. A dirty little secret. This guy was a “truthiness” type.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Rancher
2010-03-21 05:33:08

Morning all. Nice to wake up to the sound of rain on
the roof. Coffee’s on and hopefully congress has
gone home without screwing up anything more.

 
Comment by Hobo in Mass
2010-03-21 05:44:20

I was at an event last night. A banking friend of mine was complaining about deficit spending. So I asked him what would happen if the US government balanced it’s budget and payed back all its outstanding debt. He had no idea. Anybody here willing to take a stab at it? My personal opinion is it would be bad for banks.

thanks

Comment by In Colorado
2010-03-21 05:48:54

It is a conundrum for the banks. The backbreaking debt load is killing us yet the banksters need us to be in debt so they can collect interest from us. The classic story of the parasite killing the host.

Apparently the ancients were wiser than we thought, as in many ancient societies collecting interest on loans was forbidden. It was forbidden in Christendom until the Reformation.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 15:06:03

“…collecting interest on loans was forbidden.”

On the other hand, without the incentive of being able to collect interest, there is little reason for owners of loanable funds (aka savers) to lend it out to those who would like to borrow them (aka spenders). Which helps explain why, despite the Fed’s pedal-to-the-floor interest rates, there are not many loans getting made these days…

 
 
Comment by Ol'Bubba
2010-03-21 05:52:25

“what would happen if the US government balanced it’s budget and payed back all its outstanding debt?”

If that happened then images of unicorns would replace the images of the bald eagle on U.S. coins and currency.

Comment by palmetto
2010-03-21 05:56:08

ROTFLMAO

Comment by Bad Chile
2010-03-21 06:21:47

The Israelis and Palestinians have a better chance of putting aside 2000 years of animosity and living together in harmony than the US does of paying back its debt.

So I’d say it looks like we have at least 1900 years to go.

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Comment by DennisN
2010-03-21 07:33:00

The Israelis and Palestinians have been going at it for much longer than 2,000 years. Did you ever hear of David (Israeli) vs. Goliath (Philistine i.e. Palestinian)?

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-03-21 08:40:35

I read that the Pals were kicked out of their Arab country for being rebel rousers, since they weren’t willing to part of a productive society. While the Arabs and Jews have been less than friendly, many Arabs live in Israel, and the Pals are even a problem for many Arab countries, including Egypt.

 
 
 
Comment by SV guy
2010-03-21 06:47:32

:) :) :)

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 15:07:09

I was wondering if a plant had ever appeared on the face of a currency; like, say, a Joshua tree?

 
 
Comment by vmaxer
2010-03-21 06:16:11

“So I asked him what would happen if the US government balanced it’s budget and payed back all its outstanding debt.”

I’m worried about the persistent trade deficit. Just like the typical FB in foreclosure, we have more money going out than coming in, making up for the difference borrowing from our creditors. If we had a trade surplus, we could pay down the debt, over time.

It’s a travesty that the U.S. has gone from being the largest creditor nation to the largest debtor nation. We’ve been sold out by the politicians and special interest groups. They’ve taken us from being in a position of strength to “relying on the kindness of strangers”.

The U.S. consumer has become the cow of the world, milked by every undeveloped country looking to build their economies.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 15:08:20

Does it matter whether the cow enjoyed the milking?

 
 
Comment by combotechie
2010-03-21 06:27:00

“So I asked him what would happen if the US government balanced it’s budget and payed back all its outstanding debt.”

Where would the money come from?

1. Taxes? Raising taxes cuts into money needed to go into the economy to keep it running. Raising taxes far enough will destroy an economy.

Raising taxes to pay off the debt would only work if the income from tax revenue surpassed the outflow of tax expenses. This means more taxes and less tax benifits. More for less. Sounds good in theory but not acceptable politically. The U.S. population would have to somehow be emotionally riled up enough to accept the pain of more for less. Maybe the Germans can be persuaded to once again bomb Pear Harbor. (Uh, that’s a joke.)

2. Selling assets and using the money to pay down debt? That would do the job. But selling off the US piece-by-piece is comparable to a farmer selling off his farm acre-by-acre. It would work well for a while until the tipping point is reached when there is not enough farm land left to economically grow a crop. Then the farmer would become a sharecropper.

The case could be made that we have already sold much of the US - piece-by-piece - to the Chinese and others when we shipped over to them several trillions of U.S. dollars in that these trillions of dollars are in fact claims on U.S. goods and services.

Comment by Jim A
2010-03-21 11:45:05

At its root the REAL difficulty with paying off the debt ISN’T economic, it’s political. Pretty much as soon as any of the austerity measures necessary started showing progress, some politicians would come along promising that all these budget cuts and/or* higher taxes were not required for a healthy economy. Chances are, they’d be elected.

*The extant to which they’d express disdain for higher taxes or benefit cuts might depend on their constituancy, but the effect of their policies on the deficit, and therefore debt would be similar.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 20:51:37

The financial crisis explained
A novel view

Mar 18th 2010 | From The Economist print edition

IOU: Why Everyone Owes Everyone and No One Can Pay. By John Lanchester. Simon & Schuster; 223 pages; $25. Published in Britain by Allen Lane as “Whoops! Why Everyone Owes Everyone and No One Can Pay”; £20.

…“Borrowers were urged to gorge on cheap credit” he writes “like geese being stuffed to create foie gras.” At another point, he discusses the debt he ran up in order to buy his computer. “How postmodern is that?” he muses. “I’m looking up my credit rating on the very laptop which is dragging it down.”

The nature of the crisis gives him plenty of absurdities on which to report, like the Icelandic stonemason who borrowed the equivalent of £600,000 ($1.2m), much of it in foreign currencies, to buy property on the back of conversations with a lender that lasted less than 15 minutes. Or the American foreclosure scams which claim to help indebted homeowners but simply bilk the borrower for more fees and bring forward their eventual eviction.

The success of Mr Lanchester’s book suggests that other books on the crisis may be either too big or too obsessed with the personalities of individual bankers. “IOU” offers an intelligent overview of the origins of the crisis and the complex instruments that have baffled readers everywhere. The book might also have a strong future as a supermarket paperback—with the subtitle, “Everything you wanted to know about the credit crunch but were afraid to ask”.

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Comment by Matthew
2010-03-21 07:03:06

Depends on the timeline for paying back the debt.. over, say, 20 years, I think unemployment would hit as high as 20% and stay there until all the inflation was wrung out of the economy (housing being the storage, still, of the most inflation by far)… to cut the deficit by that much, we would need to cut deeply into the DOD budget, which would put a lot of pressue on all those DOD (defense / aerospace) businesses like Lockheed-Martin, Boeing, General Dynamics and Northrop Grumman.. so, depending on how deep the DOD cuts would be, we could see 20% unemployment..

If you / we did the math on how many jobs that $1.4T deficit actually buys, I suspect it’s in the neighborhood of 15M jobs or so.. I looked at the total labor force in the US, which says it’s 153M and change (I don’t think this counts public/military however).. so, a loss of 15M jobs would hurt significantly.. yes, 20% unemployment could easily be seen IMO..

 
Comment by combotechie
2010-03-21 07:11:38

Are we talking about balancing the budget AND paying back the national debt? Or are we just talking about balancing the budget?

One is much more doable than the other.

Comment by Matthew
2010-03-21 07:27:21

we’re talking debt, which means the deficit would need to be eliminated… I’m upping my unemployment prediction to 25% for the first 5 years or so until there was a releveling of wages / prices across asset classes and a releveling of education towards those industries that had a brighter future..

Comment by combotechie
2010-03-21 08:39:54

“we’re talking debt, which means the deficit would need to be eliminated …”

If we’re talking about eliminating debt then we would have to do more than eliminate the deficit. Eliminating the deficit means living within one’s means. Eliminating debt not only means living within one’s means, it means living well under one’s means.

To eliminate debt one’s income has to exceed one’s outgo. It’s not just a matter of breaking even - debt remains when one breaks even - it means getting enough money to live within one’s means and having some left over for paying down the debt.

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Comment by mikey
2010-03-21 11:11:49

I believe a lot of the national consumer crushing monthly nut debt came about with the concept and innovation of the so-called “cashless society” that was pushed on the masses for convenience lenders and business.

Plastic and credit — It’s been akin to programing these damned fools to playing with Funny Money or monopoly money generated by the “computers” and it’s become totally expected and acceptable.

None of them have a $20- 100 or so dollars cash in their pockets for pure “walking money” to pay for everyday expenses but they sure as hell have 5-6 great credit and debit cards.

We have generations that have no concept of opening their wallets and counting out hard earned greenbacks that they have in their possession or doing without until they earn more.

Wow…This is a great game, I’ll take Park Place…here’s my Visa Card !

:)

Comment by oxide
2010-03-21 12:21:48

+1 Mikey. I ranted on this point years ago. Then again, I went shopping Saturday and blew about $150 on necessities like a pair of summer sneakers socks and T-shirts and an extension cord. Should I cash my paycheck and walk around with $500 every couple weeks? Because that’s where we’re headed.

However, I’m hoping to be “set up” in the new place within a month where I can quit buying stuff and go back to livin’ cash money except for rent and utilities and insurance once every six months.

 
Comment by In Montana
2010-03-21 13:20:42

Yeah is it EBT day or something? Just went to Walmart and it was crammed with twentysomethings and spawn.

Comment by pismoclam
2010-03-21 19:56:33

Probably half of them were illegas !!!

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Comment by spokaneman
2010-03-21 17:13:19

http://www.thenation.com/doc/20100322/galbraith/single?source=patrick.net

This is an interesting take on deficits written by John K.Galbraith’s son, James. I assume that he has a liberal bent as did his dad, but what he writes seems to make sense. I wonder though if it is valid with deficits at the level we have come to. I confess, I have no clue.

 
 
Comment by palmetto
2010-03-21 06:00:50

I came across this yesterday. Some HBBers have speculated on Mad Max type scenarios and what would happen if there was a complete economic meltdown. This fellow tells about Argentina and what it takes to survive there. He did a little Q and A with some bloggers.(scroll down) Also an interesting story about a lady who fled to Argentina from Chile after the earthquake and then fled right back.

http://ferfal.blogspot.com/search/label/crime

Comment by Kim
2010-03-21 10:59:38

Some freaky stuff on that blog… interesting, though. Alas my library does not carry his book. :(

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 11:30:04

Thank you. I had seen that site before and some others too. I don’t think the USA would get as bad as Argentina in a meltdown because:

1. Argentina has to pay its debts back in US dollars but the USA’s debt is denominated in our own US dollars.

2. The rule of law in Argentina was much more tenuous even before their crash. USA is a first world country and would remain so in relative terms even in a crash because the world would crash accordingly as well.

3. USA is much better armed than Argentina. This discourages home invasions. A well armed criminal will think twice if he thinks his potential victim is armed.

4. The USA is richer than Argentina, more democratic, more egalitarian and much less corrupt believe it or not.

Yes it would get bad, but I don’t think nearly as bad as some places.

Comment by Happy2bHeard
2010-03-21 16:58:05

I think the tradition of respect for law in this country means it will take longer to reach an Argentina-like scenario. By and large the police and judiciary are not corrupt. The military has a culture of non-interference in government.

That is not to say it can’t happen here, but we have further to fall. And with the infrastructure of jails, police, and military, I think we are more likely to end up in a police state than chaos.

 
 
 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 06:09:30

In response to my quote yesterday that “…As to “talent”, there is no question the Wallstreet gurus were brilliant….” ECOFECO wrote “Say what? Do you keep up with current events?. . . Now who’s being intellectually dishonest?”

I am always amazed by the number of ppl that write derogatory comments about one’s education level and knowledge, but it is clear from their statements they have no idea what they are talking about. I do not have to read about Wall Street in the papers, I live it in real life. Those that were high up in the securitization and derivative groups were making millions per year. I know several that made over 5 million plus a year. These ppl worked mainly on bonuses and profit sharing and made so much money during the bubble they can retire in their 40s off of 5-8 years of the gains they made during the bubble. Not one that I know was fired. The majority I know worked as independant contractors and/or had very little of their compensation in the form of company stock, and it was not by accident. They do not view their financial health and the health of their company as one and the same. They are there to maximize their profit and jump ship if the company falters. The fact that stock prices for the financials are down (and even those have bounced back significantly) is not really relevant. For the life of me, I cannot understand how someone can believe that people that devised a leverage game to siphon billions and billions of actual cash off a pile of debt that they created from nothingness were somehow FAILED and were IGNORANT. The fact is that they were way too successful in their brilliant scheme. I can’t believe that there are any blog followers that think the Wall Street gurus that worked in securitizations and deriviatives during the last 15 years were made worse off because of the bubble. It is mind blowing really.

Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 08:31:47

Natalie …..Madoff made a lot of money in 30 years also ,and some people might say his Ponzi-scheme was brilliant in that he knew how
to deceive and avoid discovery of his crimes . Commission people who took advantage of their host Companies willingness to misrepresent
securities that they made money on are opportunist .Selling defective securities to the World is not what I call anything but ill-gotten gain .

It was amazing how few whistle blowers came forth in the National
Ponzi-scheme . Taking advantage of corruption isn’t noble or brilliant
and no doubt this same scum wouldn’t think twice about taking the
financial ship to the rock as long as they got their millions. The CEO’s
making even more money were also not interested in stopping the
scheme of this ill-gotten gain which included failing on quality control of the lending . The Market Makers even created more toxic product as time went on to keep the party going ,coming up with product that would make the unqualified qualified . Faulty models are just as bad as faulty breaks from car companies. Wall Street just made up their models to justify
a way of making commissions on CDO bundles . Had it not been for the bail outs the Companies that produces these massive losses would of been sued silly for marketing this junk and the commissioned
sales people might of had to give back their ill-gotten gain .

If fraud is involved in a transaction what-so-ever the contract is voidable ,so that makes the millions and millions of commissions subject to criminal and civil law attack . Ill-gotten gain Natalie ,something any two bit criminal can dream up a way of doing.

Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 09:33:20

I did not mean to imply they deserved their gains or were noble. My position is only that the government should have stepped in a long time ago and (i) I don’t think education plays any meaningful role in one’s willingness to profit from such schemes, and (ii) I don’t think they were ignorant of what they were doing. There were meetings at every Wall Street firm during this whole mania to discuss ways to maximize profit from leverage and off balance sheet treatment, and the risks were obvious. I really dont understand an “expectation” that Wall Street players should behave in a moral fashion. I have always expected that they would act in the ammoral profit maximation manner, so I have never been let down or surprised.

Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 10:05:14

Natalie …Just because the regulators and Government failed to bust the scheme timely ,doesn’t mean that crimes weren’t committed . Expecting Wall Street to behave in a moral fashion
is covered in many business and commerce laws on the books, and the overriding law of good faith in business . Can’t imagine that there aren’t laws against misrepresentation of a product ,or Ponzi-schemes .

If you saying that it’s up to law enforcement to bust crimes ,rather than bail them out ,than I will agree to that .

You are saying that there shouldn’t be a expectation of Wall Street acting in a moral way . If you handle money ,there is a expectation of fiduciary duty that should not be breached for starters .

If your saying that greed is a trait that is inherent in humans
and it causes them to push the boundaries of the rule of law ,I will agree to that .But it sound to me like your saying that
greed is a justification for maxing the profits outside of the
law ,or coming up with questionable bad faith schemes .

De-regulation just opened up how many different games the entities could play ,it didn’t take away a bunch of the laws regarding fraud and good faith in business and misrepresentation of a product ,or misrepresentation of a
Companies liabilities etc.,or no liability for the acts of your employees .

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Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 11:16:20

Oh in other words blame it on the government that they didn’t catch the crimes ,until the scheme got so big that it was to big to fail so it had to be bailed out . Oh its all the governments faults that they didn’t catch market makers rigged RE scheme and
misrepresentation of securities . Its not the people who committed the crimes ,its the stupid government that didn’t catch the crimes in time .

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Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 12:30:53

I have seen no evidence that the majority of the problem was caused by illegal fraud, nor have you supplied any. Those buying houses at insane prices even had rosier views of expected appreciation than the crappy modeling programs.

 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2010-03-21 12:43:09

“National Ponzi Scheme”

That term is reserved for Social Security. All other Ponzi schemes are small potatoes by comparison.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 12:49:29

I have seen no evidence that the majority of the problem was caused by illegal fraud,

“fraud and potential criminal conduct were at the heart of the financial crisis.”

Lessons from the Lehman report mcclatchy newspaper
2010-03-22 12:00 AM

Last week’s comprehensive and uncompromising report by bankruptcy examiner Anton Valukas on the demise of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. has put into sharp relief what many of us have long expected: that fraud and potential criminal conduct were at the heart of the financial crisis.

What lessons should we take from this 2,200-page report, which with meticulous detail lays bare “accounting gimmicks” designed to mislead investors and the public about the true state of Lehman’s financial health?

First and foremost, we must return the rule of law to Wall Street. And that means we must undo damage wrought by decades of irresponsible deregulation; by financial institutions that are, as former FDIC Chairman Bill Isaac has called them, “too big to manage and too big to regulate”; by a “wild west” attitude on Wall Street; and by the colossal failures by accountants and lawyers who misunderstood or disregarded their role as gatekeepers.

http://www.etaiwannews.com/etn/news_content.php?id=1208564&lang=eng_news&cate_img=140.jpg&cate_rss=news_Opinion

 
Comment by reuven
2010-03-21 14:02:11

One way to fix Social Security: Stop SSDI! Anyone can march into the SSDI office and be set for life simply for being obese, depressed, or some other self-inflicted or made-up disorder.

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 15:24:04

Rio - you do understand that that Lehman report was written by attorneys to be used for litigation purposes and is currently being used for political maneuvering don’t you?

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 13:50:58

I really dont understand an “expectation” that Wall Street players should behave in a moral fashion.

And this lack of understanding is one of the great flaws in your points and in Wall Street’s behavior.

Your arguments do not seem to come from a broad base of considerations. They don’t appreciate the importance of history, human behavior or the values of society’s role in capitalism.

Capitalism has always included the very important aspect of moral restraint. It has too or it self-destructs. It was just proven. Your type of thinking, (capitalism removed from morality) failed capitalism just as many economists said it would. They were right. It failed.

The bailouts proved that it failed. The bail-outs bailed out failure. And even if the regulators failed, Wall Street players should have exercised moral self-restraint and if not for morality sake then for the sake of the survival of their companies and capitalism itself. This goes to the issue of self-responsibility of which you write about so much.

An very conservative writer for Forbes magazine explains it better than me:

How Moral Is Capitalism?
Rich Karlgaard Forbes, 2/12/07

Forbes: “Bill Ziff, a successful magazine capitalist who died last year, spoke for most of us: “[Capitalism] is not in itself sufficient to create values. It depends on what human and religious values we, ourselves, bring to our affairs. Insofar as those values fail, we would all descend toward a lawless, inhumane, cutthroat society that will no longer harbor our civilization.”

We think a capitalism that lacks outside moral influences and pressures, restraints and safety nets would, sooner or later, fail.

In his earlier book, The Theory of Moral Sentiments (1759), Adam Smith defined self-interest not as selfishness or greed but as a psychological need to win favor within one’s society. Smith revised The Theory of Moral Sentiments after he wrote The Wealth of Nations. He did not change his belief that moral sentiments and self-interest are the same thing.

Let’s not forget our Adam Smith. When we do, capitalism loses its moral authority, and the redistributionists win.

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Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 15:26:02

So you are using books written during the time of slavery to discuss morality of financial games? I think you are the one that fails to see the irony. It is not lost one me.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 16:02:28

That’s a real comeback Natalie? That was more like an Eddy.

I quoted three people’s views expressed in Forbes on capitalism’s needed moral restraint factor. (something that is new to you?)

One of these respected proponents of capitalism just died and one is alive, but to go along with your thought pattern, I do think one of these people was born the same year something immoral was happening in Botswana.

Your brand of capitalism saw its high-water mark in 2008 no matter what the spin people spin.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2010-03-21 16:16:48

That’s a real comeback Natalie? That was more like an Eddy.

Speaking of which, I’m starting to remember how reasonable Eddie seemed to me…at first. By the end, I started to suspect PB was right about why he was here. His disappearance only makes that suspicion stronger. Which makes me wonder about why I’m starting to get that feeling again.

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 16:43:43

I was discussing reality and you were discussing philosophy. Come back from what? Nothing was really offered.

 
 
 
 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 08:39:29

I definitely don’t think they were dumb. They knew what we were doing. Your own words make these people out to be nothing more than financial mercenaries.

If we were a nation that still respected the law many of these people would be heading to jail. The amount of fraud in the system was overwhelming. It’s still pretty early in the game. Many of these people could still end up in jail. All it takes is one crack in the foundation and the rats will start turning on each other. Just in the past week we have the Lehman Report with Repo 105, The Fed lost another round in a court battle to maintain its opaque operations. We have all seen how fragile these foundations can be.

Some of these geniuses, and I believe many are geniuses, may still pay for the application of that genius to some pretty sordid ends.

Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 08:53:22

I think we are somewhat close in thought if you look past all the smoke. I guess the standpoint I am coming from is that I have always expected those on Wall Street to pursue maximum compensation through ammoral legal means. Thus, they fact they did doesn’t shock or bother me at all. I think it is for the government to set contraints necessary to protect our Country. Of course I have no problems with perp walks for actual fraud, but I don’t think most of the Wall Street players were doing anything illegal. The government is entrusted with protecting this Country, not Wall Street. When I deal with Wall Street, I know to protect myself.

Comment by exeter
2010-03-21 14:55:09

Keep calling it legal. You have no idea how much you’re making us laugh at you.

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Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 15:36:34

Yes. If you can blame it all on criminal conduct, it is easy to not accept any responsibility for one’s own bad decisions. I have never said all actions by all people were legal. What I am saying is that it is childish and just flat out wrong to think that those that worked on Wall Street were generally engaged in a criminal enterprise. Those damn city slickers, send them all to hell. Life must be so simple in your closed little world.

 
 
Comment by neuromance
2010-03-21 17:38:19

Warren Buffet said something similar about offshoring of jobs - that companies will do what yields the most profit and that it was up to the society to make laws which they perceive yield the most societal benefit.

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Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 19:09:43

Exactly. I have always respected his insight.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 19:36:17

Buffet has a 20% ownership of a rating agency ,do you respect his statement now ?

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 19:52:44

What were the dates of acquistion. He has been known to buy on the cheap and fix from the inside. I can imagine there are several deals out there given the screw ups they made and the corresponding loss of faith.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Florida)
2010-03-21 08:47:00

“a leverage game to siphon billions and billions of actual cash off a pile of debt that they created from nothingness”
What a great description of the FED in collusion with Wallstreet “investment banks” doing “God’s work.”
And Bernanke has come up with more ways to print money and give it away based on dubious paper promises. It’s surreal.
And what is the MAIN focus of Washington? Health Insurance Legislation. Where are the controls on this game? Dodd’s drivel?

Here is a great quote from Ron Paul i saw this morning:
“The Federal Reserve in collaboration with the giant banks has created the greatest financial crisis the world has ever seen. The foolish notion that unlimited amounts of money and credit created out of thin air can provide sustainable economic growth has delivered this crisis to us. Instead of economic growth and stable prices, (The Fed) has given us a system of government and finance that now threatens the world financial and political institutions. Pursuing the same policy of excessive spending, debt expansion and monetary inflation can only compound the problems that prevent the required corrections. Doubling the money supply didn’t work, quadrupling it won’t work either. Buying up the bad debt of privileged institutions and dumping worthless assets on the American people is morally wrong and economically futile.”

End the FED. Now.
Forget “healthcare”. Let’s fix the banking system and Wallstreet.

Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 09:37:41

I agree. My only concern that Obama is so egotistical, weak on finance, and motivated by political gain that he will meddle around with it and make a big mess. We need change for the better, just not just change.

Comment by exeter
2010-03-21 14:57:41

My only concern was that Bush is so incompetent, weak in all areas and motivated by a corrupt and failed ideology that he will meddle around with it and make a big mess.

And he did.

See how that works? Two can pander with sanctimoniousness.

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Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 15:29:12

Ummm. I’m a liberal Jew that hated Bush. Please try to pay attention.

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 15:56:07

Not really, I couldn’t stand Bush. You are falling into the black and white trap again, thinking that only Bush fans dislike Obama. Try to examine facts without anger and prejudice.

 
Comment by exeter
2010-03-21 16:00:20

When you post some facts, we’ll be happy to discuss. Your anger and contempt for Obama is somehow my anger? Explain yourself.

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 16:27:39

You were not discussing facts. You assumed I was a Bush fan with no legitimate basis to do so, making some bizarre comment. What do you want me to explain?

 
 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 10:08:54

“These ppl worked mainly on bonuses and profit sharing and made so much money during the bubble they can retire in their 40s off of 5-8 years of the gains they made during the bubble.”

Would it have worked that way without the TARP? From where I stand, far removed from The Street, it appears that Wall Street firms destroyed trillions of dollars of wealth, then were awarded the TARP bailout for their wealth destruction efforts. If they were allowed to reap the bitter fruits of the harvest they sowed, many who are now in a position to ‘retire in their 40s off of 5-8 years of gains’ might instead be at the point of jumping off a high building somewhere in NYC.

Perhaps those like Natalie who have a bird’s-eye view of the situation see it differently than I do?

Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 15:52:42

TARP was meant to stop more failures which would have caused a more severe meltdown. The truth is that in a total meltdown scenario, the Country would have been the losers, not the financial gurus. The people working for investments banks would just start new firms buying the assets of the bankrupt firms for pennies on the dollar. Financial knowledge is very mobile. I know many bankers that did so when Lehman collapsed and are doing even better than before. You don’t think these people had an exit strategy? Trust me, there is not much that they miss when it comes to protecting their assets.

Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 16:14:04

Natalie, in order to successfully debate, you must first have facts. Then you can you can start the spin.

But without the facts, the spin just looks amateurish. Some would even say, disingenuous. And the fact of the matter is that the country did lose, while the bankers, who caused this mess, made a profit.

So Natalie, or may I call you Marie Antoinette, while you may see nothing wrong with falsely rated securities, approval of liar loans, CDS (the essence of which was long ago outlawed by England in the 1700s by the Marine Insurance Act) false representation of Level 3 assets and many, many other lies and crimes… the rest of us do.

You really should get out more often. And keep up with current events, not with what your inbred circle of acquaintances are saying down at the country club.

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Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 16:48:58

What facts are you looking for to establish that I don’t believe that most of the people involved were engaging in criminal conduct? I thought you needed to facts to allege illegal activity, not vice versa.

You really dont understand what I am saying and just seem confused. I am for regulating lending and credit default swaps. I just dont think think most of the actions were illegal.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 18:07:07

I guess I am confused because I could have sworn you were defending Wall St.

On regulation, I agree. NO part of large financial transactions should EVER be unregulated.

But Natalie, someone was making those naked puts, and using insider trading knowledge, and misrepresenting Level 3 assets, and misrepresenting those security ratings and approving those liar loans. Was is the tooth fairy?

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 19:03:32

Oh ,the government allowed these Fat Cats to self-regulate and assumed they wouldn’t shoot the Country in the foot by their
greedy crimes that I could go on and on about . It’s pretty idealist to actually trust that these crooks wouldn’t abuse every
freedom to operate without transparency they were given .
The regulation laws that were set up with the New Deal ,including Glass-Steagall , were the right response to Investment Brokers thinking they could be lenders .
It wasn’t the stock market that had a melt down so to speak ,it was the Lending sector of the economy and thats where the
losses are . Wall Street investment firms can never be lenders because they will abuse that role every time . They started by mis-rating securities to get the money to lend to begin with ,and than all the other breaches of duty followed ,including crimes .

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 23:28:21

The truth is that in a total meltdown scenario, the Country would have been the losers, not the financial gurus.

Wow. That’s what Henry Merritt “Hank” Paulson, Jr., Ben Bernanke and Timothy Geithner said too.

Will today go down as the day that Obama passed a health-care reform package AND the day Natalie disregarded and distorted at least 6 poster’s logic and reported facts, jumped the shark and worked overtime too?

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Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 15:45:51

“…there is no question the Wallstreet gurus were brilliant…”

I am sure Ken Lay and Bernie Madoff were/are bright enough; in fact, I believe it would take above average intelligence to successfully execute a white collar crime. So I will through out a testable hypothesis: Perhaps some graduate student in sociology or anthropology could test this as part of their dissertation work:

THE AVERAGE WHITE COLLAR CRIMINAL HAS SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE AVERAGE INTELLIGENCE.

I suggest they also use Bayes’ theorem to look at another interesting question: Given an individual’s intelligence, what is the probability they will commit a white collar crime? My conjecture is that the propensity to commit white collar crimes is increasing with intelligence, but I will leave this to some future researcher to empirically verify or refute.

Comment by aNYCdj
2010-03-21 16:09:27

And they hire significantly LOWER intelligence people on the front lines…hence my raving about chicky poos and wussie hipsters…..you need clueless drones to make the scam work.

THE AVERAGE WHITE COLLAR CRIMINAL HAS SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE AVERAGE INTELLIGENCE.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 16:01:39

“…I do not have to read about Wall Street in the papers, I live it in real life. …”

Then you are either a liar or very sheltered because many MANY crimes where committed and are documented.

“…I have always expected that they would act in the ammoral profit maximation manner,…”

There’s and old say, “Just because you CAN do something doesn’t mean you should.”

 
 
Comment by bink
2010-03-21 06:42:18

Goods news for all of you who hate government workers.

The unemployment rate in the Washington region soared to 6.9 percent in January, according to government data released Friday. It is the area’s highest level in 20 years of record-keeping.

The region’s jobless rate was 6.2 percent in December and, not seasonally adjusted, 5.4 percent in January 2009.

Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Florida)
2010-03-21 06:53:29

This does not say it is “government workers” that are losing their jobs.
It simply says the Washington area has reached the highest level of unemployment in 20 years.
That level is about 1/2 the level here in Florida.
I would make a good bet that if you parsed the data that “government employees” are at an all time high, while the overall employment of business in the area is closer to the 12% we have here.
The 6.9 percent they are claiming is below the national average, and that’s after the Fed’s lied to us about the actual reporting.
Multiply by 1.5 the numbers the BLS puts out and that’s probably more accurate.

Comment by combotechie
2010-03-21 07:01:37

Yesterday’s WSJ had an article that talked about this, about government employment doing much better than private employment.

See for yourself by googling-up “in recession, d.c.gets a lift from its biggest employer”.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 07:11:51

It’s a good thing that Benny can magically create money and then launder it over to D.C. How else could the .gov be doing so well. Massive deficits, money printing and militant unionism is what is keeping the public sector so strong. In the meantime the private sector can expect higher taxes and more regulations (mostly in places where they are not needed).

Monopolies are anti-capitalist and bad for the economy. This includes, much to people’s chagrin, public labor monopolies, The Federal Reserve, the AMA, the MLS and all of those other wonderful monopolies we can think of. Of course the most dangerous seems to be The Fed, the cornerstone of our economic disaster.

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Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 06:56:58

Wow, that is a confusing post.

Personally, I don’t hate government workers. I hate when they join together in militant unions to squeeze to death local municipalities. Public unions are a monopoly within a monopoly and should not have the ability to taint the electoral process.

To equate a growing bureaucracy with a healthy economy is a pretty tough stretch but it seems you have erected just such a delusion in your mind.

Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Florida)
2010-03-21 07:13:08

“Public” employees should not be allowed to form “unions”. Period.
They should serve at the pleasure of elected officials, who supposedly represent us. If I were President, I would make it a goal of mine to break every public union in the country under a form of “anti-trust” legislation.
My first target would be SEIU and then the National Education Association. They have proven to be enemies of the People and are a form of extortionist gangs. They certainly don’t serve the students.

I would also disband the Department of Education. Government involvement in “education” at the National level is one of the reasons our schools are such a mess. This is a LOCAL issue and should be controlled strictly at the local level. IF the local board doesn’t like their employees………..fire them! IF the citizens think the local board is doing a bad job>>>>>>>>>>fire them!.
Dump “no child left behind”. It is really no federal money left behind………..
I digress. Sorry. I am just overwhelmed with goverment intrusion into the lives of “free people”. It’s getting worse than soviet-style countries. It’s time to bring back the Confederacy. Secession!!
If Obama gets his “dream” of Marxist control of the Health Insurance industry, I see no other solution. Tenth Amendment.
I want Florida to Opt- Out.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 07:19:42

You nasty bully. Don’t you know that government is good? They are here to protect us from ourselves. “I love the Leader.”

“Na na nana nana nana Leader, Leader, Batman. I mean Leader.”
- H. Simpson

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Comment by Terry
2010-03-21 09:27:47

I always remember traveling thru the south in the late fifties. There were signs along old hiway 41, ” The south will rise again”. Lets see, 36 states are proposing constitutional amendments to oppose federal control of health care. Two have already passed laws. Legal scholars have already said, that these laws won’t stop the feds. But, what if just one of these states go all the way to the supreme court and wins, there will be chaos.
Slavery, was only one of the causes of the civil war. There were many infractions, into the south by the feds, which in total led to sucession. Yes, the south lost, but, here again , the feds are creating the enviroment all over again.
Health care today, immigration tommorrow.
It appears to me, that Virginia will light the fuse. The United States is based upon bottom up government. From we the people to alderman, to state reps to governors. Then we the people select senators and congressman. The way the fed is going, its all top down. Right down to what to teach your kids in school.
Thats not the way it was designed by the founding fathers.

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Comment by ET-Chicago
2010-03-21 09:49:42

Slavery, was only one of the causes of the civil war. There were many infractions, into the south by the feds, which in total led to sucession. Yes, the south lost, but, here again , the feds are creating the enviroment all over again.

Are you predicting that the passage of a health care bill will ultimately result in a civil war?

 
Comment by paul
2010-03-21 10:16:27

The primary cause of the war for Southern Independence was the Tariff of 1828. By imposing a protective tax of 40% on all imports, the Northern manufacturing elite effectively took on England’s 18th century role of Mercantilist masters. In other words, the primary motivation for Southern independence was the same as the primary motivation for the American Revolution.

History records George Washington’s frustration at selling his agricultural goods in England only to receive third-rate manufactured goods at inflated prices. Indeed, that is the purpose of the protective tariff. If Northern manufacturers were competitive with Europe, they wouldn’t need protection. Another way to look at it is that the Northern money interests wanted to keep even more than their fair share of the profits from slavery.

While most Americans are kept ignorant of the power grab by the Northern elite, the developing world has exhaustively studied, and copied, it. It follows from Von Thunnen’s model of industrial location theory that the economic center will grow wealthier as the periphery is impoverished. It’s that dynamic that made Tariff’s a mainstay of dependent industrialization programs throughout the 20th century. Mind you the motivation is not eliminate the exploitation; It’s to redirect the benefits to those who wish to seize power by imposing the tariff.

Think about this: many on this blog are [ rightfully ] enraged by the taxes they have to pay the federal government. Imagine if you had to pay 40% of your economy to effectively fund government expansion that your grandparents fought [and died] to prevent. By the way, it’s that government that the South fought against to which you pay your taxes today. Do you enjoy enriching New England?

And God bless Virginia. Sic Semper Tyrannus.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 10:38:50

Slavery, was only one of the causes of the civil war.

Not to discount your other points but slavery was by far and away the main cause of the Civil War.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 12:19:44

The primary cause of the war for Southern Independence was the Tariff of 1828.

That helped get the ball rolling but the primary cause of the Civil war was immoral slavery. Bleeding Kansas didn’t bleed because of tariffs and John Brown didn’t raid Harpers Ferry because of George Washington’s frustration at selling his agricultural goods in England.

Apologists for the south like to say it was about “states rights” to which I reply:

Yes, states have the “right” to get their butt’s whipped badly when they condone something so wrong such as slavery.

Even Ulysses S. Grant, the Civil War’s greatest general, wrote that the war was about slavery.

 
Comment by paul
2010-03-21 12:29:41

For Virginia, North Carolina, Arkansas, and Tennessee, slavery was not the cause of the Civil War. They seceded after Abraham Lincoln called for those states to raise troops to invade and attack those states in rebellion. Prior to that act of aggression by Lincoln, those states still sought a political compromise that would prevent the war. Lincoln’s decision to resort to violence was viewed as the act of a dictator, and in any event, forced those states to choose sides.

As for Abraham Lincoln himself, he made it clear as often as he could in public that the war was about secession, not slavery. As commander and chief, I would tend to believe him on that topic.

Finally, you’ll come to find that much of the leadership of the confederate army argued for freeing the slaves at the onset of the war. That would include Robert E. Lee. Indeed, many Southerners ( certainly not all ) saw the war as a means to finally end slavery by enlisting slaves in the Army as a condition for granting freedom. Abraham Lincoln, rather shrewdly, pointed out that enlisting blacks in the army would not benefit the South’s chances since slaves couldn’t pick cotton and fight at the same time.

As we try to understand contemporary American politics, it’s wise to understand that we are watching the end game of events set in motion by the War between the states. The aim of that war was to centralize power in the hands of the Northern manufacturing elite. It did. That is our government today, a government imposed by force, not consent of the governed, and not for the benefit of the governed.

New England dictated for a long time, but is no longer the sole power center. Indeed, in order to maintain power, it has to co-opt other economic power-centers, such as CA. That’s ultimately the nature of the Red state - Blue state divide today. It’s those who have benefitted from the centralization of power that our founding fathers tried to prevent, versus those who are harmed by it.

That’s not to say that the Red states are perfect, or that there are not many corrupt individuals in conservative clothing. It’s to say that a new order will have to emerge to replace the order established by the war between the states. New orders tend to emerge out of catastrophe and conflict, and these cycles tend to take about 150 years ( 3 k-waves). So all and all, we’re pretty much right on schedule.

–paul

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 13:10:45

I don’t know about all of your facts or opinions but I enjoyed reading it. Thank you.

 
Comment by paul
2010-03-21 13:51:47

Thanks for the encouragement. This area is a great passion of mine. I view it not only as history, but as present.

Here’s an example of these issues are relevant right now:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20100321/us_nm/us_usa_states_healthcare

–paul

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 14:43:22

Paul,
I’m aware of those points, the history, and Lincoln’s political framing of the arguments but the existence of slavery was the root, central and main cause of the Civil War.

1. Every state that seceded from the Union had slavery.

2. Not one state that didn’t have slavery seceded from the Union.

Why? Because slavery was the underlying, main issue.

 
Comment by exeter
2010-03-21 15:02:03

“founding fathers”…. lmao.

The clowns were slave owning thugs.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 16:33:25

Slavery was, indeed the underlying.

It was a problem on 2 fronts and I’m often surprised at how many people try to separate them when in fact, it’s the same problem.

Slavery is not only immoral, but it creates an economic system that cannot compete with industrial automation and innovation.

So the Civil War was fought not only on moral ground but economic as well. As for states rights, the southern states weren’t not going to ever get rid of slavery, thus showing contempt for morality while perpetuating a dangerous economic condition for the United States. No state has the right to endanger the Union.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 16:35:09

“…underlying cause…”

Geez *sigh* :roll:

 
Comment by paul
2010-03-21 16:40:38

“founding fathers”…. lmao. The clowns were slave owning thugs.

That’s a very cheap shot to take. A classic liberal inflamatory remark, I might add. No doubt, you got a fair and balanced education at Exeter.

There’s this story in the book of Genesis about Adam and Eve and original sin. It basically says that mankind is corrupt and always has been. It’s a good shorthand for what makes Southerners different from Northerners.

The Puritans thought they could root out all evil. Their descendants are today’s Blue state liberals. Southerners, to this day, view such attitudes as hubris. At the same time, a notion that the world has always been imperfect has always led some to tolerate unjust social conditions. Slavery is a good example of that. It explains why some in the VA aristocracy were both against slavery and slaveholders at the same time. Thomas Jefferson is the ultimate example of that. In his view, England forced slavery on America and that act was one of the justifications for the declaration of independence.

So why was he a slaveholder? My guess is that he couldn’t imagine a system that would replace it and feared the motives of those who claimed that they did. No doubt he also had a certain sense of misplaced paternalism. It wasn’t uncommon. No doubt, he was as appalled at the treatment of Northern factory workers as his fellow Southerners. No Southerner would condone such appalling inhumanity. Not even slaveholders.

BTW, I spent 7 years at his University. I like to think it was one of Thomas Jefferson’s greatest of many achievements. He believed it was his greatest. Certainly, not the act of a thug.

For me, the biggest difference between today’s Liberals and men like our founding fathers was Noblesse Oblige. Unlike the left, whose motto is “Being a liberal means never having to say you’re sorry,” they held themselves accountable for their own actions. They believed that they should personally sacrifice in order to achieve whatever small advancement mankind was capable of.

Few would argue that Thomas Jefferson, George Washington, James Madison, George Mason, Richard Henry Lee, or Carter Braxton did not personally and substantially sacrifice to create this country. Few, outside of Ivy league Universities, would argue that their revolution did not make mankind more free.

Perhaps, one might forgive them for not being as perfect and effective as today’s New England liberals. Perhaps, some will understand why their grandchildren fought to protect the legacy of that revolution against Abraham Lincoln and the elite cabal of Northern manufacturing interests.

–paul

 
Comment by exeter
2010-03-21 19:00:35

When confronted with historical fact, the favorite hobgoblins and buzzwords get wheeled out.

So predictable but so worn out and lame.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 19:08:23

No Paul, the south fought to maintain the status quo. Period.

Much as they do today. The plantation mentality is alive and well. And yes, I’m a southerner. And no I’m not a liberal. I’m the last of the Mohicans… a moderate.

 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2010-03-21 19:23:49

For me, the biggest difference between today’s Liberals and men like our founding fathers was Noblesse Oblige. Unlike the left, whose motto is “Being a liberal means never having to say you’re sorry,” they held themselves accountable for their own actions.

“Never having to say you’re sorry” is the mantra of unrepentant NeoCon thugs in the Cheney / Addington mold — you have left and right mixed up.

Slavery is a good example of that. It explains why some in the VA aristocracy were both against slavery and slaveholders at the same time. Thomas Jefferson is the ultimate example of that.

That’s a rather reductionist view. Most men (the women don’t count, right?) in the “VA aristocracy” circa 1800-1860 did not experience this conflict; if they did, they were typically swayed to convention by matters of political, social, and economic expediency — Jefferson included (IMO). The economics of slavery in the southern states played a large role in the gentry’s continued acceptance of it, both implicitly and explicitly.

BTW, I spent 7 years at his University. I like to think it was one of Thomas Jefferson’s greatest of many achievements. He believed it was his greatest. Certainly, not the act of a thug.

Jefferson was certainly no thug, and he accomplished many great things. But that does not excuse his slaveholding. He was yet another great but flawed man.

(I spent four years at Jefferson’s University, and grew up in the state.)

 
 
Comment by Muggy
2010-03-21 16:43:55

“I would also disband the Department of Education.”

So you could teach kids that eyeballs are proof of God?

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Comment by Muggy
2010-03-21 17:24:04

Sorry Diogenes, that comment will make you mad, and I meant it to, but I wish I hadn’t typed it.

 
 
 
Comment by bink
2010-03-21 08:01:00

That’s not what I was trying to say at all. In fact, it was really just tongue-in-cheek. I was goofing around with how some people seem to think government workers are being provided with some sort of welfare jobs program and provide no value.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 08:08:04

I couldn’t see your tongue or your cheek.

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Comment by bink
2010-03-21 08:26:34

True. Even so, it’s still quite a leap to assume I was suggesting that government expansion was a solution to our problems. You won’t find many people on this blog suggesting that.

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 15:15:01

Stop by for a drink and we’ll hug. I hope you like Jack Daniels.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by palmetto
2010-03-21 06:56:16

“The unemployment rate in the Washington region soared to 6.9 percent in January”

If that was in CONgress or the administration, I’d be cheering for more. However, they’re probably talking about teachers and street-sweepers.

I don’t hate government workers. There are actually many fine government workers, although those aren’t the ones you hear about.

My contempt is more reserved for the political class.

Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 09:01:33

I don’t know how you can keep the balance of power between the Employer and the Employee without Unions or some form of employee protection . I guess when corruption or a lack of balance in those contracts come in to play than those contracts stop being constructive.

Whatever those contracts were, the Corporations either can’t honor them or don’t want to and Government is having a hard time also . But,if we didn’t have a systems change and move to Globalism ,in addition losing a good deal of the tax base, its questionable if the Union systems wouldn’t of still been working .

Reneging on long term contracts after people did their end of the bargain is not cool . It seem like Main street is suppose to take the blunt of this system change ,and new workers coming into to system are suppose to just take less and have no benefits and be able to
thrive ,in spite of the cost structures making it impossible .

But Wall Street stocks from Corporations (especially monopolies )are going up and they are making huge profits ,in spite of a recession .
Monopolies can always raise their prices (in spite of people not being able to afford it ,such as the Health care monopolies are doing ).

The government use to bust monopolies ,now they just cater to them .Monopolies will destroy the American dream and distribute the wealth to the few .

 
 
Comment by Martin
2010-03-21 06:57:52

A Double-Dip Recession is Inevitable
By editor|Mar 15, 2010, 1:13

Robin Griffiths, a technical strategist from Cazenove Capital, says a double dip recession for the U.s. economy is inevitable.

“I have to say all of my work on cycles, if I have learned anything in my life it says there isn’t just a risk of a double dip, the probabilities are such that I think it’s baked into the pie and is inevitably going to happen,” Griffiths said.

According to Griffiths, FedEx (FDX) gives investors a clear insight into how the U.S. economy is going to perform. FDX chart “is in a brilliant position to have a forward look at the state of the U.S. economy, ” he said.

Comment by palmetto
2010-03-21 07:08:41

“a double dip recession for the U.s. economy is inevitable.”

Is this guy for real? How in Hades do you have a “double-dip” recession when you’re still in recession? This is the kind of irresponsible punditry that makes me want to spit. This pundit deserves a “double-dip” in a latrine.

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-03-21 07:23:45

We’ll get the double dip without going up in between. It’s like falling down a flight of stairs. What will be totally unexpected is the third step down. It will take that and more just to get us back to what is sustainable.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 07:29:11

On our honeymoon in Rome we went over to check out the Spanish Steps. We had gone up the steps and were on our way back down. There was a couple in front of us, one step ahead. Suddenly the woman’s heal slipped from the step and she fell down. She started tumbling down the steps, on her butt. Her husband and I were both trying to grab her to stop her descent. Every time we thought we had her she went down another step. It had to look like something from an old Abbott and Costello movie.

The woman must have gone down 7 or 8 steps before finally stopping. She had been wearing enough clothing that the only thing that had been hurt was her pride. It was something that even they could laugh about right after it happened. I learned a lesson that night. Once something starts its tumble it is hard to stop it. Every time you think you have it, it gets away. What was my point again? Oh yeah, have a nice Sunday.

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Comment by paul
2010-03-21 13:48:02

‘Apologists for the south like to say it was about “states rights” ‘

Apologists for the North try to paint all Southerners as slaveholders who would give up anything to protect slavery. The fact is that fewer than 2% owned any slaves at all. Indeed, many poor white Southerners [ who fought for the confederacy] generally resented slaveholders because they saw them as the “aristocratic elite”. It’s also the case that generally, attitudes in the upper South favored slavery to end in it’s due course. Indeed, it was increasingly ending peacefully elsewhere in the world at that time. Indeed, many slaveholders in the upper South didn’t dislike abolishionists over the notion of freeing slaves; many saw them as irresponsible for advocating the immediate end of slavery as it would lead to the immediate breakdown of their society. They felt that such a breakdown would lead to widespread chaos and suffering. You can argue all you want about whether or not that was self-serving, but that is how many of them saw it. Instead, they believed that slaveholders should free their slaves in a manner that guaranteed that they could support themselves. They also believed that gentle moral persuasion should be used to convince other slaveholders to work towards freeing their slaves.

In the cotton South, by contrast, slavery still provided an economic advantage to those wealthy elite able to afford slaves. No doubt, there were radicals amongst them that were motivated by the desire to protect the economic benefit that they derived from owning slaves. It’s a major leap, that is sadly often made, to claim that that view was a majority opinion. It was not.

“States rights” were not about protecting slavery; it was about limiting the power of the federal government. Our founding fathers knew that strong central authority would necessarily lead to tyranny. It did. That is what many on this blog are lamenting. One simply can not have it both ways. Either the central government has limited power and the rights of individuals in their communities are protected, or their is a powerful central government that dictates to people in their communities. That is states rights in a nutshell.

Finally, I would strongly encourage anyone wishing to understand why our founding fathers insisted on the limitation of the federal government through states rights to study two things. First, the English civil war. Second, the Scottish National covenant. The great cavalier descendants from VA who were so instrumental in founding this republic had deep family memories of both. Indeed, the reason that they were in VA in the first place was that their ancestors were forced to flee Cromwell’s dictatorship after he murdered their king. As such, they feared strong central authority. They feared mob rule. They feared the aristocracy using it’s power to enrich themselves at the people’s expense. That is why they sought a constitution that would provide checks and balances.

–paul

 
Comment by exeter
2010-03-21 15:18:38

This revisionist history is some of the lamest of read in my 40something years. Hopping down the bunny trail of exceptions and suggesting the even a small number from the south fought against the confederacy as something that was mainstream is so deluded it’s beyond laughable.

Paul, whatever your stock in trade is, stay with it and leave history to written documentation.

Further… labeling slave owning revolutionaries as “founding fathers” is likely the most worn out and lame attempt at giving these guys legitimacy. They were revolutionaries who ultimately succumbed to the the very system they revolted against.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 15:39:26

“States rights” were not about protecting slavery; it was about limiting the power of the federal government.

If that were true then the South made a big strategic mistake. Southern leaders should have sincerely tried cut a deal to eliminate slavery over time in exchange for money and increased state autonomy in other areas. I know there were some feeble attempts to do this but nothing real.

The North probably would have gone for a deal in order to avoid War.

The South fighting an unnecessary war for slavery dealt a devastating blow for states rights.

As far as a lesson for our times. Proponents of states rights should look towards the South’s tragic actions as what not to do to in order to promote the cause.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 16:49:09

p=mv

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 16:51:37

Sorry, the above was a response for NYCboy’s post about the Spanish Steps. Didn’t see the thread had got crossed with the Civil War thread.

 
 
 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 07:27:17

??? Stocks are up 75% since the bottom and housing has pretty much stablized (and has been rising in some areas), and unemployment has started to level off. He just means the V will will be a W at the very least. I understand that those still without jobs may have missed the turn around, but investors with cash during the last floor sure did.

Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 07:28:30

sure did = sure didnt

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Comment by Blue Skye
2010-03-21 07:32:03

It’s good to see that some people accept that the stock “market” is the economy. We can keep doing this until there are no “investors” with cash.

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Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 07:43:07

Many of us have compiled huge amounts cash knowing the bubble burst. I pulled out near the top and made over 100% returns last year by not being scared to invest near the bottom. Those with cash and work full time have few choices to where to park cash. No not all companies are worthless. If you live in fear with your money under the mattress at a time that stocks in solid companies are at 13 year or more lows, then you will be destroyed by inflation. Also, stocks comprise a huge part if not the majority of 401k investments, and most ppl’s retirement depends on it, so ya - it is an enormous part of the economy. I could go on and on about consumer confidence, etc., but it would never post because I could write a book on the subject.

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 07:45:46

The economy is supposed to drive the stock market.

The cabal in charge is hoping that the stock market can drive the economy.

Cart and Horse?

The recent stock market rally is being led by financials, REITs and retail. Does anybody want to take a stab at that one? We now have insolvent institutions, collapsing commercial real estate (and yes it is collapsing) and the tapped out consumer leading us forward.

I think this will end well.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 10:34:28

Also, stocks comprise a huge part if not the majority of 401k investments, and most ppl’s retirement depends on it, so ya - it is an enormous part of the economy.

Current S&P P/E ratio is 21.35. The historical mean is 16.36. In the 72-74 bear market the P/E ration fell to 7. source: multpl.com

But we can all be market timers now…

Last 10 years a ‘lost decade’ for most investors 3/09/10

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/business/6905635.html

Many now call the last 10 years a “lost decade.” The immediate reference is to 10 years of going nowhere, or worse, in the stock market.

Fortunately, the stock market isn’t a good barometer of wealth for most people.

When you look at the big picture, our new millennium is off to a truly medieval start.

Household net worth, adjusted for inflation, is flat to slightly down for the decade. Collectively, we treaded water.

Who got richer?…Some are the well-publicized wealth gainers — like partners at Goldman Sachs, hedge fund managers and others who measure their compensation by the million.

 
Comment by Jim A
2010-03-21 11:54:25

YES. Of course a big part of the problem is that a large part of the valuation of stocks is simply because people want to put their money in stocks. And even though many are struggling, there ARE may Boomers nearing retirement with significant savings. And the banksters and the Chinese have big piles of money that they have to put SOMEWHERE.

Equities are like houses. Higher prices are good for sellers and bad for buyers.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 16:57:17

Natalie is right about the opporutnity to make money in the last year. Wished I bought some Ford stock among others.

Unfortunately, I’m one of the casualties of this recession. In fact, I never recovered from the 2001 recession.

 
 
Comment by Terry
2010-03-21 10:58:05

I belive anyone who risks their money in the stock market, would have a better chance at a casino.
last year, when Goldmans’s trading codes were stolen, the prosecuting attorney, stated in court, that these codes could be devasting in the wong hands. Now, what does that tell even a naive person about Goldman Sachs? THE GAME IS RIGGED!
Lets take Harley Davidson for example. here’s a company, with falling sales. Its obvious to anyone in the motorcycle trade, that the fad has come to an end. harley is destined to keep going down, quite possibly to its size in the sixties. Yet, the stock keeps going up. Why? Its not because of its value, its because like all the rest of the stocks, its a game. A casino game. Yes, there are days, where you will make some mony, but the game is stacked against you. Since the advent of day trading, there are many who are just as addicted to trading as gambling. Its the same thought process. The government knows this. The government, by using Goldman, keeps the suckers in the game. You make some money then invest more, then wam, you loose. the market is just another way, for the real people who run this country to take your money. Ever think about why Bush wanted to let you invest your social security money in the market? Then, theres the health care issue. If this reform is so great for the american public, why is it that insurance stocks are at all time highs? its because of all the new forced buyers of insurance. The present bill gives the insurance companies plety of time to screw the american public. Its a repeat of the credit card laws. They had plenty of time to jack your rates and cancel your lines of credit. Does anyone really believe, that requiring insurance for all pre existing conditions won’t raise insurance costs.
Immigration reform is the next game. Give them all amnesty and let them vote. Keep the game going.
This game will end, when there will be only one class, the poor. Its one thing to conquer a country by war. Its another to have it done from within by its own greedy entitled people.

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Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 12:15:19

Agree with you terry .

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 17:06:40

Actually Terry, while the stock market is rigged and gamed, you CAN make money if you take some time to observe its actions.

My preference is to study a stock over a period of time (1+years) and follow the news (as well as the symbol) about it. Not to closely, or you get caught up in the mind numbing minutiae. Pretty soon, a trend emerges above all gaming and manipulations.

You can make money, but like everything else, you have to put some due diligence into it. And there are plenty of free tools and news sources for doing do so.

Casino? Blackjack is my game. I’m OK at poker, but I kill at blackjack.

 
 
 
Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Florida)
2010-03-21 07:32:19

We are not in a recession. The recession ended months ago. Look at all the government reports showing recession, and you will see that Negative growth ended a couple of quarters back.
However, the “growth” is primarily from Washington spending money that Bennie and Company print up, as there are not sufficient tax receipts, so there is no “real” growth, but that should not matter for purposes of reporting the state of the economy. It’s whatever the Feds wants to say it is.
And they say: “The recession is over”. Bernanke and Geithner “saved the world” from going off a cliff. Ha. Ha. Ha…
Saved Goldman and friends from losing their opulent lifestyles, so, since what’s good for brokerage houses is good for America………it’s over……….happy times are here again!!!!

Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 09:26:15

Natalie ,you are such a cheerleader for the corrupt systems that only profit a small percentage of the population . Not everyone can be a day-trader on Wall Street playing with the ebb and flow of
money movements . One of the reasons the misuse of securities came about to begin with was because Wall Street Investment
firms weren’t making enough money on stocks ,especially with the
cheaper internet stock trades . In fact the repeal of Glass-Steagall opened up the world of Wall Street Investment firms ,Insurance Companies ,Regulated Lenders ,to become one big casino operation intermingling with each other creating the risk factors with leverage and reserves that came about .

You say that you know how to protect yourself from Wall Street .Well,the bulk of the population doesn’t know how to protect themselves from Wall Street ,but Main Street sure does know how to get saddled with the price of their crimes and losses.

A economy shouldn’t revolve around Wall Street Casino games Wall Street should just be a investment opportunity that is a by product of a productive society . Creating fake money by debt and fake appreciation isn’t productive ,in fact its destructive .

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-03-21 11:07:04

Wall St. = “TrueDeceiver’s ™” = act accordingly

“No not all companies are worthless” = yep, look how many folks around you now have “bid” cards.

It’s not against the law to buy & hold…nor, to hold your breath ;-)

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 11:12:20

Am I a cheerleader because I don’t villanize ammoral conduct, but believe it should be regulated? For a decade or more I have been saying the government should stop crappy loans and fight housing appreciation (obviously not announcing such policy directly, but indirectly by cracking down on faulty rating agency modeling, mark-to-market, subprime and no skin in the game). If you rely on those on the opposite side of a trade to protect you, you will always be killed. You have to take personal responsibilty for your decisions, and if you dont understand the transactions you are entering into you need to hire an expert or not engage in it. In addition, the government has to play a responsible watch-dog role. To just say that everyone should just not do things that in the aggregate could hurt others really doesn’t do anyone any good as people will do what they do. Always have, and always will.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 11:28:24

Natalie ,what you are doing is rationalizing out right crimes
that the regulators just didn’t bust ,and your able to say this because the crooks got bailed out so they don’t have to face those crimes ,that you call amoral behavior .Its funny that a
Wall Street person like yourself is blaming the watch dog rather than the criminal who went outside the law . My mommy didn’t catch me taking the cookies so Mommy is the bad guy .

Wall Street will continue to try to deceive the public as to how many crimes they did commit ,but don’t ever say that Wall Street was made to face the standing law that was on the books when their crimes were committed because the bail outs
and the lack of transparency prevents this.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 15:16:15

Perhaps this is just due to my jaundiced and cynical eye, but I view the Fed’s attempt to amass additional regulatory power as a move towards covering up the misdeeds that led up to the Fall 2008 meltdown and the perpetrators who planned them. I do not claim to have the truth on this — simply stating a hypothesis which I believe merits investigation by an independent* regulatory authority with sufficient power to get the job done.

*Outside of the Fed and outside any other government agency with a critical mass of Goldman Sachs alumni in high positions.

 
Comment by neuromance
2010-03-21 17:53:25

Not everyone can be a day-trader on Wall Street playing with the ebb and flow of money movements .

It seems to me that day-trading is a great way to transfer wealth to insiders. During the tech bubble, for a while, I knew a few “day traders”. Relatively small time folks, regularly making a few hundred dollars on trades.

All of them wound up losing significantly more than they gained. Rather quickly too.

Here is the key - by the time the information becomes available to the general public, it is already known and acted upon by insiders.

Getting in at the bottom last year and making a 100% gain. I didn’t hear the bell at the bottom or else I may have made the same bet.

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 19:16:50

No one predicts things exactly. There were many threads on here about dollar cost averaging in or buying on the dips. If stocks below 12 year lows are not a bell, I dont know what else is needed, it was actually front page headlines on all the papers when C and F hit their lows. Things like this happen maybe once in a lifetime. I made over 100% not because I timed the low exactly right but because I wasnt scared of the financials (well at least not horrified). If I timed everthing right I would have made 400% or more.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 22:55:33

I made over 100% not because I timed the low exactly right but because I wasnt scared of the financials

Of course you did.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Don't Know Nothin About Buyin No House
2010-03-21 09:03:33

Bell weather Fedex recently reported very strong numbers.

Exactly where is all the free bailout money suppose to go if not the stock market? Real estate is DOA for the next four years, metals are dead, fixed income investments are dead with their .0000001% interest rate. Only place left is the stock market and fundamentals make no difference when so much money is looking for a place to stay.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 17:12:47

FedEx is the bellweather of nothing.

Until the layoffs stop, hiring increases, wages rise, and business in general pick ups, we’re still in a damn recession!

 
 
Comment by Martin
2010-03-21 06:59:00

By REIJI YOSHIDA

Prominent economist Yukio Noguchi is one of the few who correctly predicted the collapse of Japan’s bubble economy in 1987, warning the preceding euphoria was based on a major distortion in land prices.

Now the doomsday prophet is making another terrifying prediction: Japan is likely to be devastated by a snowballing public debt that will bankrupt its government and trigger catastrophic hyperinflation.

“There is little hope,” Noguchi said in an interview with The Japan Times at Waseda University’s Graduate School of Finance in Tokyo. “Japan’s fiscal conditions are so bad, it can no longer be fixed without causing inflation. I’m very pessimistic.”

Noguchi is not the only one deeply fretting the debt.

Compared with Greece, Japan’s gross government debt is far worse, at 181 percent of gross domestic product — the highest among the developed countries. Greece’s debt-to-GDP ratio is 115 percent.

 
Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Florida)
2010-03-21 07:02:16

I found an interesting story on Asia Times this morning, concerning the revelations about Fed involvement in the “Financial Crisis” that required the taxpayers to “bailout” the financial crooks on Wallstreet.
The original article is from the Nakedcapitalism blog, but here is an excerpt, concerning our Treasury Secretary, the tax-cheat Tim Geithner.
As some of you may recall, when Obama appointed him, he was the ONLY person on the planet who could “fix” the financial crises because of his initmate knowledge of the operations of the NY Fed.
Please read:
“Quite a few observers … have been stunned and frustrated at the refusal to investigate what was almost certain accounting fraud at Lehman … The unraveling isn’t merely implicating [Lehman chief executive officer Richard] Fuld and his recent succession of CFOs, or its accounting firm, Ernst & Young, as might be expected. It also emerges that the NY Fed, and thus [formerly New York Federal Reserve president, now US Treasury Secretary] Timothy Geithner, were at a minimum massively derelict in the performance of their duties, and may well be culpable in aiding and abetting Lehman in accounting fraud and Sarbox [Sarbanes-Oxley Act, covering public company accounting regulations] violations …

We need to demand an immediate release of the e-mails, phone records, and meeting notes from the NY Fed and key Lehman principals regarding the NY Fed’s review of Lehman’s solvency. If, as things appear now, Lehman was allowed by the Fed’s inaction to remain in business, when the Fed should have insisted on a wind-down …..

… at a minimum, the NY Fed helped perpetuate a fraud on investors and counterparties. This pattern further suggests the Fed, which by its charter is tasked to promote the safety and soundness of the banking system, instead, via its collusion with Lehman management, operated to protect particular actors to the detriment of the public at large.

And most important, it says that the NY Fed, and likely Geithner himself, undermined, perhaps even violated, laws designed to protect investors and markets. If so, he is not fit to be Treasury secretary or hold any office related to financial supervision and should resign immediately.”

I am glad to see that more people agree with me that Bernanke, Geithner, and all the players at Goldman-Suchs, et al, should be indicted and imprisoned for insider trader, collusion, and basically stealing from the American Taxpayer.
They basically just wrote up financial statements to say whatever they wanted to say to keep all their ill-gotten gains and keep the game rolling. With the backing of the Whitehouse. In the meantime, our “leader” runs around the country trying to force soviet-style government on the people of the United States.
It’s just amazing to watch.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 08:43:16

The rest of the world knows exactly what happened here and is willing to report it. It’s weird that we don’t hear these same things from CNBC.

Comment by combotechie
2010-03-21 09:22:09

Lol. Just as I learned about real estate; If you really want to know what is happening in your RE market do not look for it in a local newspaper.

For the lowdown on LA real estate one should read the Orange County Register. For the truth about orange County real estate one would be better served by reading the LA Times.

 
Comment by roger
2010-03-21 10:51:02

Not all criminals receive their penalties in this world, but mistakes are punished mercilessly and without exception. The truth has always been dangerous to the rule of the rogue, the exploiter the robber.

Comment by roger
2010-03-21 10:58:12

So the truth must be surpressed

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Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 17:15:19

First rule of oppression, blame the victim.

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Comment by Martin
2010-03-21 07:02:31

CROSS-CURRENTS BUFFETED THE GLOBAL CAPITAL markets but left U.S. Treasury yields little changed for the week.

Tensions over the Greek debt drama were heightened anew late in the week as action by the International Monetary Fund, once deemed out of the question, appeared to be a possibility.

Tensions and rhetoric also escalated over the peg of the yuan to the dollar ahead of the U.S. Treasury’s semi-annual report, due April 15, on whether China is a currency manipulator. (See Asian Trader.) China’s rival, India, surprised by raising its key policy rates Friday, a move that dampened commodities and bolstered the dollar.

Meanwhile, the Federal Open Market Committee, as expected, maintained its near-zero federal-funds rate target and reiterated its view that ultra-low policy rates remain warranted “for an extended period.” Nevertheless, rumors of another symbolic increase in the discount rate, as happened after the preceding FOMC meeting, circulated in the market. The panel also confirmed it would wind up its $1.25 trillion mortgage-backed securities purchase program on schedule, at the end of the month.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 07:16:07

It was fun to watch the U.S. government act like a bunch of spoiled FBs last week. The fact that we are blaming all of our problems on the Chinese is appalling. As if the Chinese forced us to sign bad trade agreements, offshore millions of jobs, lower lending standards so that a cat could get a condo loan and to overspend our incomes to the tune of trillions of dollars.

We are looking like a spoiled credit junkie that is blaming their maxed out credit card on the credit card company. “You made us do it.” Instead of taking over our own destiny we are just blindly lunging at others. Expect interesting times over the next 20 years.

Comment by Matthew
2010-03-21 07:24:32

good analysis and agree completely…

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2010-03-21 07:28:56

Denial
Anger
Bargaining
Depression
Acceptance

I think you are mostly in the Acceptance stage. The US Gov is still stuck in Denial.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 09:55:28

“The US Gov is still stuck in Denial.”

It’s truly amazing. We still have a very long slog ahead.

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Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 17:16:41

Denial IS a river and it runs deep. Kinda muddy too, so it’s easy to get stuck.

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Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 07:34:09

“We are looking like a spoiled credit junkie that is blaming their maxed out credit card on the credit card company. “You made us do it.” Instead of taking over our own destiny we are just blindly lunging at others.”

Isn’t that exactly what you were doing yesterday by lashing out with anyone with an Ivy League MBA? You were playing right into the blame someone else for my mistakes line of reasoning.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 07:47:56

I didn’t know I was responsible for Harvard grads destroying our economy.

Let me take this opportunity to apologize to everybody for allowing the Ivy League grads to burrow into and destroy our economy. It was all my fault.

Thank you for pointing that out Natalie. I will send Bernanke, Paulson, Bush, Fuld, Immelt, Geithner, Obama and the rest of those poor guys a fruit basket with an apology.

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Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 08:09:35

Don’t be childish. The point was a simple one. Things are not always as black and white as you portray them but are usually complex shades of gray. You have a tendency to fall into the us v. them pitch fork camp (pointing fingers at groups rather than individuals), and then slip back into personal responsibility when it suits your needs. My intent is not to fight with you, but to point out that you have a tendency to do what you profess to condemn. This mess is not properly viewed as a war of classes, but an illustration of the ramifications of unregulated personal greed in contemporary society which exists in every class.

 
Comment by bink
2010-03-21 08:15:17

I think we’d all benefit if you’d call off the dogs. I don’t think anyone has said anything that warrants the attacks you’ve been throwing out lately. I made a simple one sentence comment above and you ascribed all sorts of absurd opinions to me. Perhaps we should take some advice from 2001, take a stress pill and think things over.

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 08:29:29

Where are these shades of gray of which you speak when it comes to The Treasury, The Federal Reserve and Goldman Sachs? Where is there any gray in the world of Geithner, Paulson, Blankfein, Bernanke, Rubin, Summers, etc? These people have chosen to act like criminals, with no regards for our nation or its laws. The fact that the bulk of these people were educated in our “finest universities” is simply a fact.

If we had a group of colleges cranking out scores of serial killers we would stop and say, “what the heck is going on there?” These men are serial killers when it comes to the death of the American economy and our nation. They are the criminal heads that are leading the Bust Out of America.

I believe in accountability for EVERYBODY, starting at the top. An FB is small potatoes next to Bernanke or Paulson or Geithner or Rubin or Bush or… That doesn’t mean I don’t think FBs should be held accountable. I make excuses for neither Left or Right, rich or poor, black or white, male or female. I don’t discriminate. Maybe that confused you.

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 08:30:57

At times, the blog has become somewhat complacent as those with different views are attacked and driven off. I miss those that challenged those on here on substantive grounds. I can always tell ppl everything that everything they say is right, but then the blog would not be the educational tool that it is meant to be.

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 08:31:16

“Perhaps we should take some advice from 2001, take a stress pill and think things over.”

I don’t have any stress. Thank you.

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 08:41:28

I can not respond to questions about the morality of people lumped into groups, as such questions are uniquely personal and have to be decided on a case by case basis in light of the actual facts. With respect to backgrounds -as one would expect, those in the highest positions of power in finance and politics usually came from good graduate schools (as there is a correlation between drive and intelligence, and career advancement), thus, when there is a problem and you look at their resumes there appears to be a correlation, but such correlation is a red herring. If you looked at the resumes of who you think acted the best in positions of high power in the world of politics and finance, you would find out that they too came from equally “fine” schools.

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 08:50:45

“If you looked at the resumes of who you think acted the best in positions of high power in the world of politics and finance”

That is one lonely club, Natalie. Yes, blaming the Ivy Leaguers is easy. It’s fun, too. There is so much blame to go around in this mess that you can almost throw a dart blind-folded and hit a guilty party.

How do we start cleaning this mess up? The first thing would be to have people at the highest level of government that want to see the law applied to the people that committed criminal acts during the boom and the bust. Sadly, the top job is filled by a Harvard trained lawyer that doesn’t seem to have any interest in seeing to it that the laws of our country are being applied.

Oops, there I go again. I will try to stop the Harvard bashing and just bash the individuals involved. Jail Hank Paulson and we will have a good start in the healing process. That would be individual justice.

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2010-03-21 09:23:25

None of the guys we’re talking about have resumes that say “….graduated from (name of state-university here).”

Much less “…….graduated from Community College”.

As far as “correlations” are concerned, the only one I’ve personally seen is the correlation between the Ivy League school and the size of the parent’s checking account balance.

The Ivy League school doesn’t make you any smarter, unless you consider buying yourself into a better circle of friends smarter.

Those in the “highest positions of power and finance” had a duty to either keep their mercenary companies under control, or honestly report to their shareholders what they were doing. Neither happened; they either knew what was going on and approved (which makes them crooks, IMO), or had no idea what was going on (which makes them idiots, and tells me that their vaunted “Ivy League Educations” aren’t worth squat).

Either way, the damage they have caused to the economy/people/country is currently not reflected by their paychecks. By your definition, I guess this makes them successful.

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 09:47:53

“The Ivy League school doesn’t make you any smarter. . . Either way, the damage they have caused to the economy/people/country is currently not reflected by their paychecks. By your definition, I guess this makes them successful.”

Putting aside affirmative action programs, to get into an Ivy League graduate school you usually have to have an A average in undergraduate school and score in the top 2% of standardized testing. Thus, per se you have to be much smarter than average or harder working and more driven than average, or both. As to success - success can be defined in many ways. If you define success as accomplishing your financial goals - then yes; if you define it as making the World a better place - then probably not. Please don’t make any assumptions about what I regard as personal success without knowing me or even asking me - the only thing that you can be assured by doing so is that you are probably wrong.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 09:51:37

“These people have chosen to act like criminals, with no regards for our nation or its laws.”

Can someone who operates above the rule of law technically commit a crime?

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 10:13:03

“I miss those that challenged those on here on substantive grounds.”

Please remind us of the names of these straw man caricaturists of whom you speak.

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2010-03-21 10:28:04

So, lets have it…….do you admire these people?

From your posts, I get the feeling your view is that what they did was “legal”, so there’s nothing “wrong” with what happened. Especially when you lobby the government to change the laws to make what you are doing “legal”.

After all, Hitler did a lot of “good things” too, if you can ignore what his government did to the Jews, and it’s actions between 1939-1945.

I’m old fashioned, and believe that those in a position of power/authority have a duty to use it for the common good. Haven’t seen much of that behavior coming out of Wall Street lately.

As hard as you are defending “Ivy League Graduates school” graduates, you must either be one, or are related to one.

I’d love to sit here and do a cost/benefit analysis on the “value” that Ivy League grads have brought to the country, but some of us have to work on Sundays for a living (one of the benefits of being a newly-minted “Independent Contractor”).

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 10:42:13

I am horrible with names so I do not want to compile a list out of fear that omission would indicate intentional exclusion. There were many on this board that were talking about dollar cost averaging into the stock market and buying equities on the dips last year, even some day traders. Also there were a few ppl in the securization and investment banking fields that have come and gone as they were characterized as inherently evil. I would love to have more lawyers, insiders and even realtors on this board. Hell, I even miss Eddie. He instigated for instigations sake, but at least he was thought provoking at times. I think we need the balance of those that will affirmatively state that they think it is time to jump into the stock market or housing market, rather than just having all pessimistic people. Given the events of the last 14 months, many of the more optimistic people were exactly right. I also guess I should not make sweeping assumptions as to why each one left. I am sure that many made money in the stock market, or finally bought the house they were waiting for, so no longer see a need to make many visits anymore.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 12:00:47

NYCB …Natalie is so full of shit and her arguments are so
unconvincing because she relies on not acknowledging facts
that blow the basis of her arguments , Than she just says
some BS like “I miss those that challenge those on here on substantive grounds .” Oh I suppose that means that Natalie’s
statements are substantive and have not been defeated by
grounds with merits because her choice is to not acknowledge any ones that were thrown at her ,or defeat them by any substantive counter-points . Most of her points are based on
accepting her analysis that Wall Street operated inside the law ,and bail outs didn’t change what would of happened in terms of liability.

Natalie reminds me of the banker bonus people flaunting their commissions after they knew that they were going to prosper even more ,rather than getting thrown in jail or having their ill-gotten gains taken back by full execution of
standing law ,instead of the unfair Obstruction of Justice that they got lucky with .

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 13:17:14

I hear these same types of arguments here in NYC. I know a person going through an “Executive” MBA program at Columbia. We have gotten in heated arguments. He contends that the insiders were innocent and did not commit crimes. They just didn’t know. Yeah, right. The first requirement to be an insider in the Wall Street club is to leave your soul at the door. Everything can be justified after that is done.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 15:19:48

“…she relies on not acknowledging facts that blow the basis of her arguments…”

Small wonder she misses Eddie, as he was the master of that polemic technique.

 
Comment by exeter
2010-03-21 15:30:17

C’mon guys….. you haven’t figured out who “Natalie” is yet? It’s the same apologistic, ideological pandering for the wealthy elite we heard on this blog by another female user between years 2005-late 2007.

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 15:41:50

Housing Wizard, I happen to know the people you claim were engaged in fraud but have never met or talked to. If someone attaches you to a bs meter it would off the charts. I never said I admired them. I just understand them better than you do.

 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2010-03-21 16:50:50

Natalie is so full of shit and her arguments are so
unconvincing because she relies on not acknowledging facts
that blow the basis of her arguments

Uncalled for. You can disagree with a fellow poster without getting nasty. God forbid that we ever become an echo chamber in here because we run off anyone with an unpopular point of view or who challenges our assumptions.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 17:21:55

You don’t understand them better than me Natalie ,I have run into them my whole life and I know what sneaky scum they are
and how aloof they can be to the destruction they cause .That’s why we have the rules in Society ,to protect against the rationalizers and crooks stepping on everybody else . They are beyond greedy . You act like they had no legal or social responsibility to not only keep their own host Companies solvent
but not destroy the wealth of their customers . I suppose you think the act of supplying funny money obtained by securities
misrepresentation to the unqualified FB’s of the world was
OK ,and blame it all on the FB’s,who I know you like to be critical of . You can see how those FB’s were amoral and greedy but you can’t see how the dope supplier is even more so.

They cheated on the duties of being a lender with the Nations deposits of which some where pension funds and all sorts of needed funds of people and they didn’t even give the correct higher interest rates that would of been required for that risk ,so they could fleece more .

Funny ,when the meltdown hit they said in essence they were re-pricing risk . How about their whole market dried up when their pawns found out they had been conned . They were saved from insolvency of their host Companies only to live another day to rip off again . Must be nice having bribed
Politicians in your pocket and Fed Chairmans and Treasury Sec. using public funds bailing them out. The moral hazard of that is that they are getting more cocky ,almost smirking.
going on to have some of the biggest bonus years of their lives . So go ahead with your Gordon Geko speeches ,but
you don’t fool me .

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 19:29:00

Sammy ,you don’t see how Natalie attacks first because you must of missed some of her posts .
Maybe I should not of used the expression that she is full of
sh—t, and that would be uncalled for . These apologist for the
crimes of the biggest financial Pozi -Scheme and the destruction that followed are annoying and I have read similar PR pieces
put out by Wall Street culprits that are similar to what Natalie peddles . Sorry if I offended you Sammy ,I should not of called
her the piece of shit that she is .

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 20:00:06

I never once justified any particular actions, I only said that it is unfair to assume that most Wall Street people were engaged in illegal activity.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 21:02:27

I guess you better go back and review your posts Natalie and see what you justified and what your assertions were . Since the selling of trillions of dollars worth
of CDO’s, credit default swaps ,and many transactions tied to real estate lending was the main money maker of Wall Street from 200 to 2007 ,one can only assume that the major Wall Street firms were engaged in activities that most would consider a con job. .I think the commissioned sales people and the people who were responsible for their acts would be the culprits ,not the clerks and office workers and a number of jobs on Wall Street .

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 21:55:21

Are you drunk?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 22:58:36

I never once justified any particular actions,

Yes you did. Are you spinning?

 
Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 23:09:47

Please cut and paste my quote that you are referring to as evidence for your accusation, and I will tell you how you misread it. If you read carefully, you will see that all I said was that I believe many if not most of their actions were legal and thus need to be curtailed through governmental action (e.g., laws, regulation, etc.).

 
 
Comment by MrBubble
2010-03-21 08:16:58

I went to school with these unoriginal, privledged, elitist intellectual clowns before they went the corporate recruiting, MBA route and became ever more cocksure of their worth. They were in the middle of the pack in easy courses ahead of only the hockey players. Don’t be fooled into believing that they are talented or smart. They need an hour long groin kicking at the least followed by forced labor at an SF food pantry instead of playing another eighteen. Pond scum.

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Comment by bink
2010-03-21 09:24:29

Hey now, don’t bring hockey players into this!

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 17:22:21

No kidding Mr. Bubble. That was an insult to hockey players.

 
 
Comment by laurel, md
2010-03-21 09:15:34

Natalie (and anyone else that might be interested).

There is a great article in the April issue of The Atlantic mag about Geithner, the Fed, and the bank crisis. Yes, there is not a lot of black and white in this mess.

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Comment by Natalie
2010-03-21 09:20:01

I will check it out. Thank you.

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 10:59:46

As far as “correlations” are concerned, the only one I’ve personally seen is the correlation between the Ivy League school and the size of the parent’s checking account balance.

Good point.

The Sticky Ladder David Brooks NYT 1/25/05

(the median family income of a Harvard student is now $150,000),

Today, for example, we may still believe American society is uniquely dynamic, but we’re deceiving ourselves. European societies, which seem more class riven and less open, have just as much social mobility as the United States does.

And there are some indications that it is becoming harder and harder for people to climb the ladder of success. The Economist magazine gathered much of the recent research on social mobility in America. The magazine concluded that the meritocracy is faltering: “Would-be Horatio Algers are finding it no easier to climb from rags to riches, while the children of the privileged have a greater chance of staying at the top of the social heap.”

David Brooks NYT 1/25/05

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Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 17:27:57

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/mar/10/oecd-uk-worst-social-mobility#

The top 3 countries with the poorest social mobility are, in order, UK, Italy, USA.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 17:32:25

“Would-be Horatio Algers are finding it no easier to climb from rags to riches, while the children of the privileged have a greater chance of staying at the top of the social heap.”

I could have told them this 25 years ago. :lol:

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 11:40:44

Oops, there I go again. I will try to stop the Harvard bashing

LOL, OK but this guy won’t.

Elitist or Essential? Ivy League Is Subject of Debate 10/05/07 New York Sun

(the formal designation) The Ivy League is elitist and should be abolished, according to a prominent author and journalist who is defending his position Friday night at a sold-out debate at the New York Society for Ethical Culture.

the Ivy League admissions process is subjective and breeds elitism in American society, and that intelligent students will do just as well in life regardless of where they attend college.

Mr. Gladwell, a writer for the New Yorker, is not alone in his criticism.

I think it’s vastly overrated,” a professor of sociology at Harvard, Jason Kaufman, said of the Ivy League. “It’s a poor investment of time and money to obsess about going to an Ivy League school. It’s an unfortunate aspect of American society that where you get your degree matters more than what you’ve done with it.”

After a good internship on Capitol Hill, a student might have more success attending George Washington University than Harvard, a professor of sociology at Harvard, Martin Whyte, said. “The Ivy League is not especially wonderful or different — those schools just have more money,”

While many faculty members and students at Ivy League schools said the experience there is overrated and the admissions process is elitist, they said abandoning the formal designation “Ivy League” would not help to extinguish the cachet associated with its schools. “I’m not going to pretend the degree isn’t nice, but I still hate the idea that I might get hired for a job over someone from a state school because of that rather than on my merits,”

The writer Gay Talese said the whole issue seemed like a joke. “The Ivy League doesn’t mean anything because these kids don’t mean very much,” Mr. Talese said. “Campuses are almost irrelevant right now. The Ivy League and the non-Ivy League are connected in a lethargy of self-centeredness of their students.” The debate is a part of the annual New Yorker Festival.

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Comment by Martin
2010-03-21 07:08:35

By DAVE KANSAS
Just when investors thought the Greece situation might be stabilizing, it grew direr. After several days of gains, European markets were rattled on Thursday and Friday as worries over Greece’s ability to pay its bills intensified. Stock and bond markets turned down, while the euro lost more ground to the dollar.

The fiscal woes are weighing heavily on the region’s economic growth, which is expected to trail even lowly Japan in 2010. With so many problems to contend with, it is little wonder that Citigroup Global Markets recently called Europe the “sick man of the world.”

The most successful investors, of course, spot opportunity where others see only danger—and possess the courage to rush in as everyone else flees. Most famously, in March 2009, with the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index plunging through 800 toward a devilish 666, a few hardy souls placed buy orders among the stampede of sells—and were rewarded with the short-term rally of a lifetime. Miniversions of that historic turnaround play out frequently in markets around the world.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 07:24:02

I remember back to the recent past. It was in 2006 when I was being told how great Ireland’s economy was. The people were quitting jobs to become real estate speculators. The boom would never end. Europe, with the Euro going strong, was going to overtake the U.S.

The Greece situation is but the first test for the EU and already it looks like it’s toast. If the IMF (Benny’s printing press) bails out Greece then the Euro has no credibility. If they kick out Greece then they have to be prepared to kick out several others. If they bail out Greece they send an awful message and they will learn what it is like to finance black holes.

The Berlin Wall fell almost overnight 20 years ago. Historical events can happen rapidly. Does the EU have 5 years left? Does it have 5 weeks left?

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 07:37:39

“with the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index plunging through 800 toward a devilish 666, a few hardy souls placed buy orders”

Those hearty souls of such places as Goldman Sachs, loaded with government bucks and insider information. It is so much easier to place a bet on a football game when you know what the score is going to be before the game is even played.

People forget how many people were wiped out in 2008/2009. Many stocks went to 0, or close to it. Just think if you were an older person with a blue chip portfolio of:

C(iti)
BAC (B of A)
LEH (Lehman Brothers)
GM
FRE
FNM

If you rode C from 50 down to 1, unless you had a ton of cash on the sidelines the rise back to 4 didn’t do much for you. The people with the sideline cash were obviously all of the Fed’s BFFs.

Let us not forget one simple truth. NOTHING has been fixed. The biggest institutions are just as out of control. The fundamentals of the economy are awful. The government is too big.

Let us also remember the bulk of the rally was based on two things.
- The bank stress tests (a bigger bunch of bulls–t has never even been attempted)
- Changing the accounting rules to allow Mark to Fantasy accounting

Anybody out there is free to believe in this miracle. I will remain skeptical. Skepticism seems to have served me well during the boom, the bust and the echo boom. If it ain’t broke……..

Comment by bink
2010-03-21 08:20:49

Let us not forget one simple truth. NOTHING has been fixed. The biggest institutions are just as out of control. The fundamentals of the economy are awful. The government is too big.

This is far more important than any swings in the market. I keep hearing some squeaks of discontent from talking heads, but for the most part, what seemed absurd just two years ago is actually coming to pass, the whole thing is being swept under the rug. They better hope the rug wasn’t made in China.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 09:34:40

“The people with the sideline cash were obviously all of the Fed’s BFFs.”

That has been my presumption. I am wondering if the FOIA will clear up this question: I.e., did Megabanks use the TARP money that was supposed to clean up the toxic mortgage asset problem to snap up stock market bargains at fire sale prices when Main Street was wiped out on the sidelines? A similar question applies to Megabank managers, who were enabled to keep receiving massive bonuses, thanks to the largest lump sum wealth transfer from Main Street to Wall Street in American history, which would have made plenty of fire sale shopping money available for them to pick over the carcasses of whichever companies they thought had a chance of eventually recovering from the Fall 2008 meltdown.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 09:29:20

“…a few hardy souls…”

That’s a funny description for Megabanks, Inc armed with TARP money. Is this statement meant to suggest that Megabanks are not only ‘persons’ in the eyes of the law Fed, but that they also have souls?

 
 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2010-03-21 07:27:01

http://www.vdare.com/asp/printPage.asp?url=http://vdare.com/roberts/100317_offshored_economy.htm

Among the government data (supposedly) reflecting the state of the economy, “productivity” figures prominently. Trouble is, much of this alleged increase in productivity is actually a reflection of US jobs that have been outsourced to China, India, and other offshore locations.

Meanwhile, in the precision machine tool sector - a key measure of the real, productive economy - the US is dead last among the industrialized nations.

Put those green shoots in your pipe and smoke ‘em.

Comment by palmetto
2010-03-21 09:31:14

Paul Craig Roberts is awesome. So is Brenda Walker, one of the bravest women in the US.

 
 
Comment by DennisN
2010-03-21 07:41:32

I’ve got another oddball credit card story….

I have a “backup” credit card - a First Bankcard which was hard-sold to me when I got a MM account at a bank about a year and a half ago. Said bank offered a much above average interest rate which later went way down below average. Anyway I signed up for their card and hadn’t used it much if at all.

Got a letter in yesterday’s mail.

Your business is important to us….To cover the costs of servicing your account, we’re adding a low annual fee of $75 to your account……As always, we appreciate your business.

I’ve got until 29 April 2010 to call up and cancel the card.

How out of line is that $75 these days? I was annoyed years ago when BofA charged $18 for an annual fee. That $75 sounds more like what a BK FB should be charged, whereas I’m a retired guy with a paid-off house and the better part of a million bucks in the bank.

Comment by Bob
2010-03-21 07:53:32

I believe it is happening at Citi as well ($60), and Bank of America (for some card lines - depends on the legacy of card).

I have an ‘emergency’ Chase card that i use once every few months - i am just waiting to get a similar notification.

 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2010-03-21 07:58:56

Cancel it. But you may want to apply for a replacement card first (assuming you still want a “backup” card). Apparently canceling a credit card causes at least a temporary hit to your credit rating.

 
Comment by bink
2010-03-21 08:24:20

An annual fee for a credit card that provides no returns is downright crazy. I keep an Amex card with a small annual fee because it provides me with cash back and airline miles whose value far exceeds the fee. Otherwise, why not just use a card from any of a million banks that won’t charge you a fee so they can collect a portion of the profits from everything you buy?

 
Comment by Kim
2010-03-21 08:36:11

You’re probably being charged the fee precicely because you are not using the card. It sucks, but it appears your either going to have to cancel it or offer to use it more often if the issuer agrees to waive the fee.

I have a Citi card and there is no annual fee, but I use it frequently and pay it off monthly. I also get points which I trade in for gift cards for my neices and nephews at Christmas. I’d cancel in a heartbeat if Citi suddenly charged me an annual fee. My back up card is my debit card.

 
Comment by Real Estate Refugee
2010-03-21 11:11:44

Cancel the First Bankcard then go to creditcardconnection.org to find a credit union near you which issues credit cards.

You’ll find there are no fees and the interest rates are almost always lower.

By getting the new card, your credit score won’t take a hit.

 
Comment by jane
2010-03-21 19:23:14

It’s ridiculous. Run, don’t walk, to your nearest credit union, where you can get a CC with NO annual fee.

What is the matter with you people, that you are still subsidizing the rapers? Not a single one of you is ignorant or ill-informed. There is a credit union in your area for which you are an eligible member.

In the remote circumstance that there isn’t, go to online banking with USAA.

Those fees add up. Credit union annual fees: $0. Checking account: zero charge. Cost per check: zero. Cost for withdrawing cash at non-credit union network ATMs: $1. Regional credit union service locations=300 (one location services any credit union as long as it’s a member of the NCUA - you use a service center the same way as you use a credit union, with the same - nearly free - fee structure).

 
 
Comment by DennisN
2010-03-21 08:28:26

I may have missed it, but haven’t seen any discussion about Madoff getting beat up in prison.

Bernard Madoff, who is serving a 150-year sentence in North Carolina for running a fraud scheme that cost investors billions of dollars, was physically assaulted by another inmate in December, according to three people familiar with the matter.

After the attack, Mr. Madoff, who pleaded guilty a year ago and was sent to a federal prison in Butner, N.C., was moved on Dec. 18 to the prison’s low-security medical center for treatment. At the time, the Bureau of Prisons said that rumors of an assault were false and that Mr. Madoff suffered from dizziness and hypertension. …

Mr. Madoff was treated for a broken nose, fractured ribs and cuts to his head and face, according to a felon currently at Butner serving time on drug charges who was familiar with his condition at the time. The details of the injuries couldn’t be independently verified.

I wonder whether these allegations are true.

 
Comment by combotechie
2010-03-21 09:04:59

I think Madoff should be left alone. He’s staring at a 150 year sentence for hosing a bunch of people out of a bunch of money and I feel he should live long enough to serve out every single day.

Beating up Madoff will act to shorten his life. Shorting Madoff’s life means shortening his sentence. His sentence was short enough already, there’s not need to shorten it any more.

I suggest he be put on life support if necessary (paid for out of his estate) to get as much of those 150 years as possible.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 09:22:08

A beating like that at his age can’t be good. I can’t imagine how difficult it would be for a 70 year to snap back from that. Ouch!

 
 
Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Florida)
2010-03-21 09:23:31

” moved on Dec. 18 to the prison’s low-security medical center for treatment.” There’s the story.
The rest is smoke and mirrors. Perhaps this is a trial-run for an eventual breakout.
Personally, i think we should get rid of the commons areas and solitary confinement bins and just go back to the tower and dungeons. I would put Bernie somewhere in the depths of the dungeon, perhaps attached to a rack or confined to the Iron Virgin.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 09:11:36

The four cities that best weathered the recession

By CHRISTOPHER S. RUGABER, AP Economics Writer

Friday, March 19, 2010 at 12:13 p.m.

WASHINGTON — Call them the Final Four: The four large cities that have made it through the Great Recession with the smallest increases in unemployment.

Minneapolis, Buffalo, Oklahoma City and Rochester, N.Y., don’t have much else in common. But a government report shows they’ve had the smallest increases in joblessness over the past two years among cities with at least 1 million people.

None of the four relies on heavy manufacturing industries, such as autos or steel, which have been hit hard by the downturn. And all have avoided the extremes of the housing boom and bust that devastated much of California, Florida and Nevada.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2010-03-21 13:30:36

In Minneapolis house prices are down 30 - 40 percent. I don’t have a lot of people from back home that have gotten trounced but many are underwater. I guess I will have to get some new updates.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 15:38:46

“And all have avoided the extremes of the housing boom and bust that devastated much of California, Florida and Nevada.”

30-40 percent off peak sounds pretty devastating. Which makes me wonder just how bad it really is in California, Florida and Nevada (assuming they are worse by comparison, as the article suggests).

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 17:52:15

Rochester? Bullcrap! I have a friend from there and their entire economy was sunk a long time ago.

And OKC? Nice little place, and I put the emphasis on little. It would be a be stretch of the imagination to say they ever HAD a thriving economy.

So yeah, I guess if you go by the old saying, “Down so long it looks likes up” they did do well. :lol:

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 09:21:17

Sorry — no linky…

Question regarding the writer’s point in the first section of this article (transcribed below):

San Diego Union-Tribune
Investing in county firms in past 3 years is risky business
By Mike Freeman
STAFF WRITER

How’s this for a glass-half-empty scenario: An investor who purchased shares in each of San Diego County’s largest publicly traded companies in March 2007 would have lost money on 70 percent of those investments.

Even with the S&P 500 stock index being down about 18 percent during the same three-year span, that’s not a good batting average.

But it speaks volumes about the landscape of public companies in San Diego County. Many of the region’s public companies are small firms in volatile industries like biotechnology, where the share price soars or plunges based on results from the latest clinical trials for a new drug.

“Look at how many stocks trade below $10 or even $5 in San Diego,” said Stefan Meierhofer of Telos Capital Management in San Diego. “We have a lot of development-stage companies. So I don’t think it reflects the overall stock market.”

Of the 74 local companies whose stock has been trading on a maor exchange for more than three years, 53 posted negative returns. Their shares may have climbed over that span but later fell back, according to an analysis of data by Bloomberg News.

So investors who held on to their shares through the ups and downs would have lost money.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 09:25:31

Forgot to pose my question:

If investors would have lost money on over seventy percent of their San Diego County large company investments, wouldn’t the glass technically be over two-thirds empty? And I would have to guess the carnage was still worse for small companies than large ones?

Comment by combotechie
2010-03-21 09:32:48

What’s the stuff that’s still in the glass? Jack Daniels, perhaps? That would certainly add value to the glass.

But what if it was sewer water instead?

 
Comment by iftheshoefits
2010-03-21 10:21:34

Bear,

I was in downtown SD this week for a few hours on business - first time in quite a while. I tend to go on at times here about all the new condo buildings in Salt Lake… But seeing the situation in SD up close really drove home how we in SL (at this point, at least) are still a bunch pikers compared to you guys.

And my understanding is that parts of Florida are even more striking to observe. It’s hard for anyone to get their brains around the excess that went on and still goes on, isn’t it.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 10:37:53

“…we in SL (at this point, at least) are still a bunch pikers compared to you guys.”

:-)

Maybe so in the condo construction department, but not so much in the pricing area. For example, a close relative bought a Wasatch front home for just a little over $300K back in Fall 2000.
By the mid-noughts, homes just like theirs were selling in the $800K price range.

I haven’t checked lately to see how well those values have held up, but my guess would be, ‘Not so well,’ since lots of homes of similar size and elevation were constructed during the boom years, while a vanishingly small portion of the greater-SLC area labor force has the permanent income to afford an $800K home.

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Comment by iftheshoefits
2010-03-21 10:50:56

With regard to how we’re doing in Salt Lake price-wise (and in general, for that matter) I’d say we’re running the same cycle as the big for states, probably 1/2 to 2/3 the magnitude in terms of price swings, with a two-year time lag.

St. George in the SW. corner of the state crashed along with LV and AZ because it has more in common demographically with those areas than it does with the Wasatch Front.

And our own little out-of-the-way corner of the world in Torrey (where we’re keeping a place but no longer live nor work) is running about 4-5 years behind. We had a run-up in the late 90’s, no run-up at all during the peak of the bubble, and now things are just starting to soften.

 
 
 
 
Comment by bink
2010-03-21 09:27:55

I’d be curious to see what percentage of public companies in that region are housing/mortgage related. I know the only times I’ve been shipped to that area for work was to work for Countrywide and similar organizations.

 
 
Comment by bink
2010-03-21 09:22:42

Lexus lanes may be in jeopardy due to the economy. Welp, at least something good has come out of this…

http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=726&sid=1916944

 
Comment by palmetto
2010-03-21 09:40:17

Here’s a tasty tidbit. Obama administration denies more Freedom of Information Act requests than Bush’s. I’m shocked, I tell you, shocked!

http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-ticket21-2010mar21,0,466931.story?track=rss

What a complete phony.

Comment by BlueStar
2010-03-21 12:31:59

But dude, 57,835 of those were for copies of his birth certificate.

“One of the exemptions allowed to deny Freedom of Information requests has been used by the Obama administration 70,779 times in its first year; the same exemption was used 47,395 times in Bush’s final budget year.”"

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 09:46:13

Now that the recession is over, I am wondering if a renewed effort to get to the causes of the subprime mortgage lending debacle will ensue, including measures to hold the perpetrators to account for misdeeds. I would particularly be interested to know how much of the crisis was deliberately engineered by Megabanks seeking bail.

Any thoughts on when the necessary investigations will begin? One thing is for certain: If this problem is not rooted out now, we can look forward to a repeat a few decades down the road.

October 14, 2009, 7:00 am
Subprime and the Banks: Guilty as Charged
By JOE NOCERA

“There has not been a case made that there is an enforcement problem with banks,” Edward Yingling, the head of the American Bankers Association, said last week. “There is a problem with enforcement on nonbanks.”

“There were mortgage brokers who acted unethically, absolutely,” my source told me when I called her on Monday. (She asked to remain anonymous because she still has to work with JPMorgan Chase and the other big banks.) “But where do you think mortgage brokers were getting the subprime mortgages they were selling to customers? From the big banks, that’s where. Chase, Wells Fargo, Bank of America — they were all doing it.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 09:49:23

Whoever follows this guy in California will quickly come to appreciate the challenges faced by The One in the wake of W’s rule.

Schwarzenegger approval rating at all-time low
By Union-Tribune
Sunday, March 21, 2010 at 12:04 a.m.

California voters have given Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger his worst job-approval rating ever, putting him in a statistical tie with the man he replaced, Gray Davis, for the all-time low, according to a new Field Poll.

The nonpartisan poll shows that 23 percent of registered voters approve of Schwarzenegger’s performance, while 71 percent disapprove. In a January Field Poll, the governor was viewed favorably by 27 percent and unfavorably by 64 percent.

In August 2003, the Field Poll showed that Davis’ performance was approved of by 22 percent of the voters and disapproved of by 70 percent. That was the worst showing for a governor ever recorded by the poll.

Comment by Don't Know Nothin About Buyin No House
2010-03-21 17:11:21

Certainly going to be one of the more interesting elections with Meg Whitman and Jerry Brown.

 
Comment by SanFranciscoBayAreaGal
2010-03-21 18:11:05

All say it again Gray Davis is laughing his ass off and saying welcome Arnie baby to my world.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 10:30:00

Here is some interesting data from California’s Employment Development Division showing new claims for unemployment insurance have trended up by 75 percent or so from January 2008 to the present, with no break in trend showing up just yet. The latest data point represents the highest level of initial claims on record back to 1999, and I suspect this may be the highest level ever, though I have no data to verify this.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 15:02:40

What is the antonym for “superlative”? Whatever it is, this information article on the CA EDD web site contains plenty of them.

For instance, “California’s claim load was almost equal to the number of regular initial claims and benefits authorized for the country’s next three most populous states of New York, Texas, and Florida combined. California’s EDD processed more than a quarter of the entire nation’s claims for regular UI benefits.” Given that CA has about 13 percent of the U.S. population and the EDD processed more than 25 percent of the nation’s claims for regular unemployment insurance, I am inferring that we have a disproportionate share of the nation’s unemployment.

Record Year for Unemployment Claims and Benefits

Following the highest levels of unemployment since the early 1940s, California, as well as the rest of the nation, has experienced unprecedented workload levels. In looking back at 2009, the Employment Development Department saw an incredible spike in the demand for Unemployment Insurance benefits, an unprecedented expansion of the federal extension program, and our systems taxed as they’ve never been before. Through it all, EDD has processed unemployment claims that have shattered all prior records, and we continue to enhance our systems so that our customers will experience greater ease this year in starting and managing their Unemployment Insurance (UI) claims.

A record high 1.4 million Californians were certifying for UI benefits in November 2009, according to the most recent information available. In all of 2009, EDD paid $20.2 billion in UI benefits that not only helped sustain families during this difficult time, but also helped support local communities struggling to survive the economic pressures.

* The prior record of UI benefits paid in a single year was set not too long ago in 2008, when the EDD paid out $8.1 billion in UI benefits to out of work Californians.

* That’s a 149 percent increase in the total UI dollars pumped into the State’s economy in 2009 at a rate of about $80 million a day.

* The $20.2 billion paid in benefits in 2009 translates into an economic impact of about $32 billion dollars when you look at how UI dollars spent on basic necessities leads to further spending in the general economy. The U.S. Department of Labor estimates the economic multiplier is $1.60 for every dollar paid out in UI benefits.

The growth in UI claims has been stunning through the course of this recession.

* In 2009, EDD processed a total of 6.5 million initial UI claims which is close to double the claim load of 2008 (3.6 million) and is more than two-and-a-half times higher than the claims processed in 2007 (2.5 million) when the recession was just getting underway. The first of the current extensions, Emergency Unemployment Compensation (EUC) began in July 2008. The 2008 and 2009 initial claim counts include the extensions.

* About 30 percent of the current claim load is in federal extension claims. But if you look just at regular UI claims (when someone first starts on a UI claim), it’s clear just how large the UI workload is here in California compared to other states.

In data compiled by the U.S. Department of Labor, California last year processed twice as many regular UI claims as the next highest state in the nation, Pennsylvania (California with 3.8 million regular UI claims vs. Pennsylvania with 1.9 million).

* In addition, California’s claim load was almost equal to the number of regular initial claims and benefits authorized for the country’s next three most populous states of New York, Texas, and Florida combined.

* California’s EDD processed more than a quarter of the entire nation’s claims for regular UI benefits.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 15:33:44

Here is another chart documenting Initial Claims for UI insurance in California, on a 52-week-moving-average basis (not sure what the units are for the chart I posted above).

This chart also shows total civilian unemployment since December 1987. It climbed off a 1989 base of about 650K to peak at a level of about 1.5 million in the early 1990s recession (December 1992). By contrast, the pre-recession base this time was about 900K (December 1996), after which unemployment grew to about 2.3 million (recent level).

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2010-03-21 13:25:56

Two attacked in Philadelphia’s violent playground ‘game’
By Martha Woodall
INQUIRER STAFF WRITER

Two residents of Southwest Philadelphia were injured - one of them seriously - in separate, recent attacks by youth engaging in a violent game they have dubbed “Catch and Wreck,” police said tonight.

Lt. John Walker of Southwest Detectives said tonight a 12-year-old girl has been charged with aggravated assault and related offenses in connection with an attack on a 42-year-old woman Friday night, and additional arrests are expected.

In the game, a group of children between the ages of nine and 15 congregating at the Finnegan Playground at 69th Street and Grovers Avenue beat, strike and stomp adults they believe may be homeless, Walker said. He said neither victim in the two attacks was homeless.

Vincent Poppa, 73, remains hospitalized at Methodist Hospital a full week after he was hit in the back of the head with a gun, knocked unconscious and stomped by a group of four or five male youths near the playground around 9 p.m. March 13.

Poppa, who suffered a heart attack either during or shortly after the beating, was on a ventilator until Friday afternoon, Walker said.

Walker said Poppa is in the intensive care unit in serious condition.
Methodist Hospital officials tonight declined to report Poppa’s medical condition.

According to Walker, Poppa, a resident of a nearby senior citizens apartment complex, was attacked when he was returning from buying soda. When he arrived at Methodist, medical personnel found footprints on Poppa’s head and sneaker marks on his body.

“They were stomping him pretty hard,” Walker said.

The second assault occurred Friday at 8:30 p.m. when a large group of male and female youths surrounded Belinda Moore, 42, as she took a shortcut through the playground on her way home from a cleaning job.

She was struck with sticks, punched and hit, but Moore managed to break free and run to a nearby home where a resident called 911.

Walker said Moore had injured a knee and hurt her head. She delayed seeking medical attention to help police in their investigation.

Police Friday night arrested a 12-year-old girl who hit Moore with a stick and were expecting to arrest at least two other girls and boy in connection with the attack on Moore.

The police are continuing their investigation into the attack on Poppa. Authorities believe there may have been other attacks that have not been reported.

Walker said police learned about the “catch and wreck” game when they brought a large group of neighborhood youths to Southwest Detectives for questioning Friday night after Moore was assaulted.

“They were all saying the same thing, laughing at us, like we didn’t know what it meant,” Walker said. “They said, ‘It’s something stupid we do for fun.’”

Police, he said, believe it’s a new phenomenon.

“It’s bizarre mindset these kids have developed,” Walker said. “We’re hoping we can nip it in the bud.”

Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2010-03-21 17:01:38

I can’t think of a better reason to allow law-abiding citizens to get concealed carry permits and immunity from prosecution or civil liability when they take out the trash.

 
Comment by neuromance
2010-03-21 18:06:24

Lord of the Flies.

Read it.

Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2010-03-21 19:40:33

I read that one in tenth grade English. What a shocker that was. Kids can be evil savages!

Nephew and niece never thanked me for gifts, so I have been (ahem) kind of forgetful of them last Christmas and a few birthdays. And they probably expect an inheritance. Funny, I thought the American Cancer Society was going to get a big chunk of my inheritance!

Comment by aNYCdj
2010-03-21 21:00:35

Bill you could help them pay for college or other training…and let them decide if their “inheritance” should go to the cancer society……then they cant blame you for withholding it…

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Comment by Lisa
2010-03-21 13:30:01

“Here is some interesting data from California’s Employment Development Division showing new claims for unemployment insurance have trended up by 75 percent or so from January 2008 to the present, with no break in trend showing up just yet.”

I saw my chiropractor this week in Southern Marin, subject of the economy came up, she said about 30% of her patients are either unemployed or their spouse/partner is unemployed. Also said job layoffs are continuing, with patients being newly unemployed or expecting to receive a pink slip in the near future. A friend who is a therapist said the same thing, about 30% unemployment in her practice.

I remember seeing a few articles pointing to about 30% of the economy in recent years being absolutely fake…bubble money, securitization money, etc.

So my couple of anecdotes from this past week definitely support that CA is still nowhere near stabilization. And given the state is flat broke, I think it will be ugly here for quite some time.

 
Comment by JackO
2010-03-21 14:24:17

Is it possible that the unemployment count is completely flawed due to lack of consideration of the departure, possibly, that is, of the undocumented workers?
Considering that they were not shown, in most cases, as part of the employed work force in the states.
Their departure , if it happened, would have resulted in a lack of employees for those jobs, which, theoretically, resulted in the creation of jobs for those counted workers.
But, if the counted workers dropped 10% then the overall job loss, if the above opinion is correct, would really show a loss of substancially more jobs in the economy.

secondarily, the economy may go up or down, the real problem is how to prevent the blood in the streets due to the political problems in the country.

I keep looking back, being an old man, to the blood in the streets of the European countries as they struggled with the politics of the area.

And let us not forget there was blood in the streets in the USA during the same era.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 15:35:38

“Is it possible that the unemployment count is completely flawed due to lack of consideration of the departure, possibly, that is, of the undocumented workers?”

They are not counted in U.S. civilian unemployment statistics, at least so far as I am aware. If you believe they should be counted, then it goes without saying that you also believe the unemployment count is an undercount.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-03-21 17:59:11

The undocu.., oh hell, illegal workers displaced and drove down wages by eliminating most entry level and subsistence jobs for citizens.

 
 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2010-03-21 14:48:06

It seems like it will take decades for the housing market to correct. I was just looking on Zillow for sold properties in WA state, and there are houses selling for close to peak prices recently. For instance, an old neighbors house in Kitsap County just sold for $220k. It’s not, by any means, a nice house. 10 years ago, this place would have sold for $100k at the most. Wages are down since that time, and the job situation is MUCH worse. I cannot, for the life of me, understand who these buyers are. The rent on this house would be $1000 MAX (more like $850), so by no stretch of the imagination is it even remotely cash flow positive. This is just unbelievable. I really, really, cannot understand how these sales are even possible. Where is this money coming from?

Comment by combotechie
2010-03-21 18:50:04

“Where is ths money coming from?”

Hope chests?

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2010-03-21 22:31:13

“I cannot, for the life of me, understand who these buyers are….I really, really, cannot understand how these sales are even possible. Where is this money coming from?”

Ditto, my northwest dwelling neighbor, ditto. Still a lot of grass-is-greener thinking by those moving here. It’s maddening watching the paint dry. Once it looks like it’s starting to cure, someone comes along and paints over it again.

 
 
Comment by B. Durbin
2010-03-21 14:59:42

Adventures in homeownership:

We just received our first gas bill after replacing our HVAC. What is interesting is that there’s a discount on there– there’s a program that averages the usage at the address for the last three years, and if you have a month with more than a 3% drop, they take the same percentage off your bill. We used 8% less over the last period, so we got 8% off our bill.

I didn’t expect to get any substantial savings on this until summer. Okay, $13 isn’t substantial, but it’s promising. We’re entering the period during which neither the heater nor the AC will be on, and we’re getting the windows replaced before the heat hits. Oh, this will be lovely…

(It amazes me how many people just suffer through bad essentials in favor of getting the cosmetic issues resolved first. Fixing the HVAC and the bad windows will save us so much, maybe we can afford the cosmetic sooner!)

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 16:07:43

Colbert Report:

Karl Rove’s New Book

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-03-21 17:16:52

:-)

“…he taste’s salty…”

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 17:33:24

And he looks like a roasted pig’s arse…

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 16:22:00

Is there such a thing as a law against financial treason? I am wondering what might happen if it came to light that high level managers at Megabank, Inc were fully cognizant that their subprime lending securitization scheme and other similar actions taken to destabilize the U.S. financial system could result in the vaporization of trillions of dollars worth of our Nation’s collective wealth?

I am happy to give the benefit of the doubt to those who insist that, “No one could have seen this coming,” but I am still very curious about whether, in fact, nobody involved with causing the debacle actually knew what they were doing, especially (as Natalie has assured us) given how brilliant many of the folks who work on Wall Street are.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 16:28:25

Divorce usually makes both partners’ lives “worse than expected.”

Just speaking for myself here, but believe our little household could do just fine without the cheap crap China sends us — especially the poisonous sh!t like candy and drywall.

China’s commerce minister: U.S. has the most to lose in a trade war

By John Pomfret
Washington Post Staff Writer
Monday, March 22, 2010

BEIJING — China’s commerce minister warned the United States on Sunday that if it launches a “trade war” against China by levying punitive tariffs on Chinese imports, the United States will suffer the most.

Chen Deming also said the U.S. government’s “obsession” with China’s exchange rate could not be seriously addressed until it stopped blocking the export of high-tech products, such as supercomputers and satellites, to China. “If some congressmen insist on labeling China as a currency manipulator and slap punitive tariffs on Chinese products, then the [Chinese] government will find it impossible not to react,” Chen said in an interview with The Washington Post. “If the United States uses the exchange rate to start a new trade war, China will be hurt. But the American people and U.S. companies will be hurt even more.”

Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 21:07:44

Hear you on both your posts PB . A lot of times you have to go BK in order for crimes to be discovered PB .

 
 
Comment by ACH
2010-03-21 16:29:05

Fed MBS buying program is ending 3/31. It has supported the big banks for sure. Otherwise, it is a failure. House mortgage purchases were just kept from sliding for a while. It didn’t really heal the market at all.

I doubt the discontinuance will effect the TBTF banks. They are rescued.

We are holding the bag.

From that point of view it is a smashing success.

I don’t feel successful. I guess I’m not supposed to.

Roidy

Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2010-03-21 17:02:41

Please, sir, may I have another helping of hope ‘n change?

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 17:37:37

“Fed MBS buying program is ending 3/31. It has supported the big banks for sure. ”

That’s the part that puzzles me. Wasn’t the TARP supposed to support the purchase of toxic MBS? If so, why did the Fed feel compelled to get involved? Why did we even need the TARP if the Fed was going to buy up all the toxic assets, anyway?

So many unanswered questions, so little interest from on high in obtaining answers…

Comment by ACH
2010-03-21 19:36:13

“So many unanswered questions”

We will get the whole truth when the history people start looking into it ten years hence. Until then, the truth will come out in the oddest ways, strangest settings, and largely ignored because of the venues and personalities.

It will not so much be a cover up as it will be a character smear of those who actually reported the truth … for a while.

I give you Brooksley Born as an example. Her story didn’t become a major embarrassment until recently - past 2 years. It was too late then.

Remember, when it is too late you will know what happened.

Roidy

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 20:37:36

“…ten years hence…”

Screw it. I want action now, before the statute of limitations kicks in.

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Comment by ACH
2010-03-21 21:11:07

I’m just not sure you are with the program here. That is exactly why you will get all of this 10 years hence; the statute of limitations will run out.

Roidy

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 16:29:33

I.M.F. Warns Wealthy Nations on Debt
By SEWELL CHAN and KEITH BRADSHER
Published: March 21, 2010

BEIJING — The global economic crisis has left “deep scars” in the fiscal balances of the world’s advanced economies, which should begin to rein in spending next year as the recovery continues, the No.2 official at the International Monetary Fund said Sunday in Beijing.

In a speech at the China Development Forum in Beijing, the I.M.F. official, John Lipsky, who is the deputy managing director, offered a grim prognosis for the world’s wealthiest countries, which are at a level of indebtedness not seen since the aftermath of World War II.

For the United States, “a higher public savings rate will be required to ensure long-term fiscal sustainability,” Mr. Lipsky said.

Comment by BlueStar
2010-03-21 19:25:41

Idle threats against a nuclear armed nation. Nuclear weapons are the ultimate credit default swaps. I’ll pay attention when they stop sending us oil and physical stuff. If anything could dent the credit rating it might be internal political instability.

 
 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2010-03-21 17:15:24

http://www.wired.com/threatlevel/2010/03/hacker-bricks-cars/

“”More than 100 drivers in Austin, Texas found their cars disabled or the horns honking out of control, after an intruder ran amok in a web-based vehicle-immobilization system normally used to get the attention of consumers delinquent in their auto payments.”

Interesting concept. Maybe houses of the future will have web-based hardware that locks FBs out of the house once they fall behind on payments.

Comment by combotechie
2010-03-21 18:22:00

Or coin slots on their doorknobs that must be fed each day.

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-03-21 17:38:05

I think they ought to stick “whites only” placards on the portable potties ;-)

“TrueAnger™” “TrueGridLok™” = “TrueAnger™” PeeParty tea toadlers

ChattahBox)— On Saturday, a group of unhinged tea party protesters menaced and harassed three Black Democratic lawmakers, including Rep. John Lewis (D-GA), a hero of the civil rights movement, hurling the N-word at them as they walked to the Capitol to hear President Obama’s final speech on healthcare reform. One black lawmaker was spat upon. Inside the Longworth House office building, teapartiers shouted the homophobic slur “faggot” and “homo” to Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA), as the group laughed. As the unruly tea party mob moved through the office building they banged on the office doors of Democratic lawmakers. When Rep. Henry Waxman (D-CA) tried to enter an elevator, the tea party mob surrounded the lawmaker shouting “crook” and “liar.”

Comment by ACH
2010-03-21 19:41:09

Yes, I heard about this. Let’s see, it’s 2010 in Washington, D.C. Not 1957 Little Rock.

I was wondering when the Tea Party would self destruct. It didn’t take quite as long as I thought it would. I thought at least until the summer. They are 3 or 4mos early.

ROTFLMAO!

Roidy

 
Comment by palmetto
2010-03-21 20:49:03

Yeah, the CBC is a real reliable bunch. Just as reliable as that stripper who falsely accused the Duke frat boys of rape, or that other freak who planted white sheets and started crying “racism”.

Delusional CBC. Say, wasn’t that Jefferson guy with the 90,000 bucks packed in his freezer part a member?

Now, Waxman being called a crook and liar, that I’ll believe.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-03-21 21:29:14

Just think, they was all drinkin’… decaf tea

 
 
 
Comment by Zeus Matuze
2010-03-21 18:44:32

“When Rep. Henry Waxman (D-CA) tried to enter an elevator, the tea party mob surrounded the lawmaker shouting ‘crook’ and ‘liar.’ “

Is there some untruth there?

…meanwhile, only 40% of the American people approve of Prezobama taking over 1/6th of the economy because the same characters who gave us the Community Reinvestment Act (waxman/frank/dodd/clinton/carter) and the subsequent housing bubble/collapse will destroy America as we know it. Of course, this is what the President promised in the last campaign, so there shouldn’t be any surprises.

My question is: as the formerly patriotic citizens who produce become anti-patriotic under-the-table activists, when will the resulting chaos be called the Second Civil War?

Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2010-03-21 19:43:34

I dunno man, but I think loading up on arable land where you can grow your own food is a good idea. And load up on ammo and gold.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-03-21 21:32:25

How much of that $1,000,000+ do you wanna spend to back up that idea Bill?

Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2010-03-22 06:38:10

Good question. The best land is in the central San Joaquin Valley. $1,000,000 is not enough. Most parcels are not small enough to price it under $200,000. I would not want to spend more than 5% of my net worth on five acres with plenty of water available and plenty of sunshine.

I did see a Pomegranite orchard for sale for $130,000 somewhere in “the valley” though.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 23:09:29

And load up on ammo and gold.

And bring some books.

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 23:08:14

when will the resulting chaos be called the Second Civil War?

Relax. If you think the same kind of health care plan that Nixon proposed will lead to civil war, you might feel a bit better after studying the real causes of the Civil War.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 18:44:34

The Financial Times
Practising the last rites for dying banks
By Gillian Tett
Published: March 21 2010 17:53 | Last updated: March 21 2010 17:53

Almost every week in Washington a grisly Friday-night ritual plays out. Last year 140-odd small banks failed in the US. This year a similar number are expected to collapse. Two dozen have already “died” this year.

So, every Friday, the staff of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation prepare the last rites, to be administered before Monday’s opening of the markets. After months of this ritual, the FDIC’s staff are so deft that these collapses are usually barely noticed – at least outside the halls of those unfortunate dying banks.

So far, so impressive. But the question now is whether the little FDIC’s factory-like efficiency at killing off banks can be repeated elsewhere. After all, when Lehman Brothers o failed in 2008, there was anything but practised calm; on the contrary, markets were rocked so violently that western governments have subsequently used thousands of billions of taxpayers’ dollars to prop up the largest banks.

Until now, few western governments have wanted to discuss in public whether they could handle a big bank failure any better next time; that would be an embarrassing admission of potential failure. Unsurprisingly, the focus of regulatory reform is how to make supervision better. But voter discontent with this “too big to fail” policy is rising. As people such as Dominique Strauss-Kahn, head of the International Monetary Fund, are at pains to point out, it is delusional for politicians to pretend that bank failures will never recur.

So, the efficient, grisly rituals being played out at the FDIC are attracting interest on both sides of the Atlantic, as regulators ask, belatedly, whether the same trick could be repeated with bigger, cross-border banks.

It certainly will not be easy. One reason why the FDIC can kill banks so smoothly is that it deals with small all-American institutions. That means the FDIC has sole powers to decide how to “freeze” a bank’s operations to wind it down smoothly or find a new buyer: moreover, until recently, the FDIC could protect depositors by an industry fund.

However, in the case of cross-border banks there are multiple regulators with differing rules, and it would be impossible to protect depositors or creditors with the size of fund used by the FDIC.

EDITOR’S CHOICE

Guidelines agreed on bank rescues - Mar-18
Bank preferred shares hold out despite odds - Feb-21
Doomsday regulation scenario laid out - Feb-17
Banks braced for Basel battle - Jan-12
Minorities proposal sparks alarm in banks - Jan-12
Bonus measures fail to reform risk takers - Jan-11

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 18:48:46

Funny how an article in today’s Financial Times counts “two dozen” failed U.S. banks to date, when in fact the actual number is 37 (more than “three dozen”). Are “dozens” really that hard to count?

F.D.I.C. Shuts Seven Troubled Banks
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
Published: March 19, 2010

WASHINGTON (AP) — Federal regulators shut down seven banks in five states on Friday, bringing to 37 the number of bank failures so far this year.

The closings follow the 140 banks that succumbed in 2009 to mounting loan defaults and the recession.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation took over the First Lowndes Bank, in Fort Deposit, Ala.; the Appalachian Community Bank in Ellijay, Ga.; the Bank of Hiawassee, in Hiawassee, Ga.; and the Century Security Bank in Duluth, Ga.

The agency also closed down the State Bank of Aurora, in Aurora, Minn.; the Advanta Bank Corporation, based in Draper, Utah; and the American National Bank of Parma, Ohio.

The F.D.I.C. was unable to find a buyer for Advanta Bank, which had $1.6 billion in assets and $1.5 billion in deposits. The regulatory agency approved the payout of the bank’s insured deposits and it said checks to depositors for their insured funds would be mailed on Monday.

The deposits and assets at the remaining banks, all valued at less than $1 billion, were assumed by other nearby institutions.

 
Comment by packman
2010-03-21 19:42:19

Our debt problem just got a lot worse.

Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2010-03-21 19:45:33

Yup!

I expect ComboTechie to still insist we are headed to severe deflation.

I haven’t bought any gold for about a year. Too busy buying up T-bills and stock mutual funds.

After my next batch of T-bills and TIPS in April, I’m going to start buying bullion regularly again. I’ve enough TIPS and T-bills.

Comment by combotechie
2010-03-21 20:08:59

“I expect ComboTechie to still insist we are headed to severe deflation.”

Yep. I don’t know about the severe part but deflation seems to be where we are at, where we are headed.

Lots of debt is destined to be destroyed one way or another. One persons’ debt is another person’s money. Destroying one person’s debt destroys another person’s money.

The trick is to make sure one is not on the wrong end of the debt that gets destroyed.

 
Comment by packman
2010-03-21 20:34:47

I’m surprised gold futures aren’t up a lot right now. I would imagine it’ll be up quite a bit in the coming months.

Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2010-03-21 21:03:42

I don’t know. We may be surprised by the next Congress and they may do a couple of deeds that reverse the path to serfdom to make up for the Messiah’s unpopular national Health Care bill.

We don’t have all the variables to the equation. But the answer to the equation (without the missing variables) looks like precious metals are going to go onto another high growth pattern. Governments everywhere are getting into horrible debt. The answer to worldwide monetary crises? Um…What did Harry Browne say? Precious metals. And his book was written about four decades ago.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Comment by cobaltblue
2010-03-21 20:15:44

Headline - “Summoned to success by President Barack Obama, the Democratic-controlled Congress approved historic legislation Sunday night extending health care to tens of millions of uninsured Americans and cracking down on insurance company abuses, a climactic chapter in the century-long quest for near universal coverage.”

Translation - Democrats have pulled off another trillion dollar crime against Americans, under the false flag of health care reform. Millions of productive Americans will now have less money and worse healthcare coverage; so that the Obama administration can expand free coverage to illegal immigrants and other Democratic-bloc voters.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 20:35:56

Democrats Clinch Win In 219-212 House Vote

Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 21:13:12

I wish I knew what this Health Bill was going to do . If it doesn’t bring down costs for all ,I don’t know what the point is .

 
Comment by cobaltblue
2010-03-21 21:27:00

If Health Care Is A Human Right…
… then why is it that the Chinese who make all our cheap plastic trash that we allow to be imported here without tariffs don’t get it?

And… shouldn’t we impose tariffs that add up to the cost of said health care - a “Congressionally acceptable package” costing $15,000 a year per worker - to everything that is imported from China until they do?

After all, if it’s a human right, it doesn’t begin and end at our borders, right?

Just an inconvenient little question for Madame Pelosi….

(From K. Denninger)

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-03-21 23:14:27

Translation - Democrats have pulled off another trillion dollar crime against Americans, under the false flag of health care reform.

Could be. But it’s better than a false flag of war that cost’s 10 times more right?

Hey, I’m not a big fan of this bill but I always try to look at the bright side. It keeps me happy sometimes.

Comment by cobaltblue
2010-03-22 07:28:37

No, it’s not better, because you get this scam PLUS the scam of perpetual war PLUS the scam of Social Security PLUS the scam of Medicare PLUS the scam of Medicaid PLUS every other scam shoved down our throats and up our butts. Don’t know why it would make you happy or happier.

However, looking on the bright side of things is a necessary part of life.

Have a great day, Rio!

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 20:42:35

Flip Repo That Yacht

* PAGE ONE
* MARCH 20, 2010

Cries of ‘Hey, That’s My Jet!’ Don’t Deter High-End Repo Men
Business Takes Off for Mr. Cage; Snatching a $15 Million Gulfstream

By ROBERT FRANK

Mr. Cage’s specialty is taking back luxury craft like this $15 million jet.

SANFORD, Fla.—Ken Cage is racing through a private aviation terminal near Orlando when his BlackBerry buzzes with bad news. The plane he is about to repossess is scheduled to take off for Mexico in three minutes.

Even worse, the Cessna’s owner and pilot is on his way back from lunch—and he is rumored to be six-feet, six-inches tall.

“I’d rather not stick around to find out,” Mr. Cage says.

Mr. Cage, 44, stands guard by the door as his partner Randy Craft walks onto the tarmac and approaches a shiny white turbo-prop. He quickly picks the lock on the door and ushers in the repo team’s pilot, Dave Larson. The plane’s propellers roar to life, and after clearance from the control tower, the $350,000 ride lifts off the runway and into the sky.

Mr. Cage and Mr. Craft climb back into their Ford pickup and tear out of the parking lot, just as the plane’s owner pulls in.

“He’s a minute late,” says Mr. Cage, peering out the window. “Lucky for us.”

Ken Cage isn’t your typical repo man. Rather than snatch cars from an over-extended middle class, he takes back yachts, planes and other toys from the over-leveraged rich.

Business is thriving, even as the economy begins to improve. His company, Orlando-based International Recovery Group, repossessed more than 700 boats, planes, helicopters and other property last year valued at more than $100 million. Business, he says, is up six-fold from 2007.

He has reclaimed everything from $18 million Gulfstream jets and Bell helicopters to 110-foot Broward yachts, $500,000 recreational vehicles and even a racehorse. Before the financial crisis, most of the luxury items he pulled in were valued between $30,000 and $50,000. Today, they are valued at $200,000 to $300,000—meaning defaults are hitting people at a much higher income level.

Most repo men take cars and trucks. But Ken Cage and Randy Craft repossess yachts, planes, helicopters and other luxury toys of the formerly wealthy. WSJ’s Robert Frank reports.

The folly of the wealthy has been good news for an elite cadre of repo men. Nick Popovich, the self-proclaimed “Learjet Repo Man” and head of Indiana-based Sage-Popovich, and Michigan boat specialists like Harrison Marine report brisk business. Reality-TV producers have been knocking on their doors. Last year, says Mr. Cage, International Recovery’s revenues soared to the eight figures, up from just a few hundred thousand when he and two partners bought the company in 2005.

Banks hire Mr. Cage to retrieve their collateral after a borrower has defaulted. Once he grabs the property, he cleans it up or makes needed repairs and sells it to a new buyer. He then gives the proceeds, minus his fees and expenses, back to the bank. While the standard commission for most repossessions is between 6% to 10% of the resale price, Mr. Cage has lowered his fee to as little as two percent as a way to beat back growing competition.

“They’re very quick in their response time,” says Steve De Amico, vice president in charge of lending at Illinois-based Allied First Bank, which hires Mr. Cage for recoveries. “It’s also helpful to have one company that can get the property, restore it and sell it for us.”

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 20:44:51

* The Wall Street Journal
* HOUSE TALK
* MARCH 19, 2010, 10:21 A.M. ET

Want a Short Sale? Best to Wait

A new government program aimed to speed up these notoriously sluggish transactions goes into effect on April 5, increasing your chances of negotiating a distressed-property bargain.

By JUNE FLETCHER

Q: I am looking to buy my first home, and it seems like short-sales are priced much lower than regular sales. Are these prices negotiable, or are they the bottom line that lenders will accept?
—Allentown, Pa.

A: Many lenders negotiate prices for short-sales, in which the seller is offering the home for less than is owed on the mortgage. But traditionally the only way you could find out was to submit a below-list offer and wait—often for many months—for a response. If the bank made a counter-offer, you knew you were in the ballpark; if they didn’t respond at all, you were too low. By then, you may have lost all interest in buying the property.

The good news is, on April 5, this frustrating system will change at least for some buyers and sellers. That’s when the federal government will begin to provide financial incentives to lenders to do more short sales. The rules also help standardize the process, so your chances of negotiating a distressed-property bargain will increase.

Under the old practices, when a financially-distressed seller brought a potential buyer who was offering less than the amount owed on the loan, the bank would order an appraisal or broker’s price opinion (BPO) and then decide whether the offer was acceptable. Under the new federal rules, banks will order a BPO before the property is listed for sale, and will share information on the minimum net proceeds they’re willing to accept with the sellers. If they then bring in a buyer whose offer is equal to or greater than this pre-approved amount, the lender must accept it within 10 days.

Not all sellers are eligible for this program, called Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives (HAFA) (for the requirements see Help for America’s Homeowner’s Supplemental Directive 09-09). But since the process is likely to go so much smoother for those who buy and sell under HAFA, I suggest you wait a bit until the program goes into effect and concentrate on finding these “pre-approved” deals.

Of course, when you do find a property you like, you may not be the only person bidding on it. To improve your chances of winning, make sure your offer is “clean,” with as few contingencies as possible (though I would never forego a home inspection). Include tax and credit records, and a mortgage pre-approval letter. If you can afford to pay cash, that will put you in an even stronger bargaining position.

Still, in your eagerness to win the property, don’t forget that distressed properties often come with added financial burdens. Although under HAFA, the seller is supposed to provide clear title, to protect yourself your, your contract must make it clear that you will not be responsible for any of the seller’s unpaid property taxes, liens or second trusts. Also, cash-strapped homeowners often stop paying taxes and homeowners’ association fees during the time between when the house is listed and the deal is closed. To make sure that you’re not on the hook for these expenses, Leonard P. Baron, professor of finance at San Diego State University, recommends that you ask that the bank escrow at least six months worth of taxes and HOA fees, to cover any potential shortfall.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-03-21 20:48:10

This sounds so typical for a Dodd measure: In a word, sneaky. What would you expect for a Friend of Godzilla?

* MARCH 19, 2010, 6:43 P.M. ET

Dodd Bill May Allow for ‘Backdoor Bailouts,’ Bair Says

BY MICHAEL R. CRITTENDEN

ORLANDO, Fla.—Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd quickly agreed to change a key plank in his financial regulatory overhaul bill after Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Chairman Sheila Bair warned earlier this week that it could lead to “backdoor bailouts.”

A spokeswoman for the Connecticut Democrat said Friday he would change a provision that would have allowed the Federal Reserve to use emergency powers to lend to an individual “financial market utility.” Only payment and clearing firms deemed “systemically important” by a proposed council of regulators would have been eligible.

Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-03-21 21:18:39

PB This was what I was complaining about the other day ,”back door bailouts .”

 
 
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