September 23, 2010

Bits Bucket For September 23, 2010

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477 Comments »

Comment by DennisN
2010-09-23 01:38:46

This is sort-of housing related….

Some guy has plotted racial data from the 2000 US census onto the city maps of the 50 largest cities in the US. In many cases it’s still disturbing to see the clear lines of segregation by neighborhood. Just click on the thumbnails to see each map.

Linkey

http://www.flickr.com/photos/walkingsf/sets/72157624812674967/

The historic patterns in cities like NY and Detroit are still very much in evidence.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 04:03:37

“In many cases it’s still disturbing to see the clear lines of segregation by neighborhood.”

Why disturbing?

Suggestions:

1. Read this book.

2. Check this out:

The Schelling Segregation Model

Demonstration Software

Comment by Spook
2010-09-23 04:27:25

Yeah, whats so disturbing?

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 04:34:21

People for whom political correctness substitutes for thought.

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Comment by REhobbyist
2010-09-23 06:35:35

The city of Sacramento, where I live is the most racially integrated place I’ve ever lived, both rich and poor neighborhoods. It’s nice, particularly for the kids. But the surrounding suburbs are almost completely white.

 
Comment by Ernest
2010-09-23 06:44:53

“”But the surrounding suburbs are almost completely white.”"

Oh the horrors!

 
Comment by REhobbyist
2010-09-23 07:09:57

Oh stop being so dramatic, Ernest. I was raised in Detroit, and it was so segregated that there was zero contact between the races, and a lot of fear on both sides. When kids find out that those who look a little different aren’t really different at all, that’s a good thing.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 07:53:23

I was raised in Detroit, and it was so segregated that there was zero contact between the races, and a lot of fear on both sides. When kids find out that those who look a little different aren’t really different at all, that’s a good thing.

And I went to the University of Michigan. Talk about a segregated campus. A lot of fear there too.

When I go back to Ann Arbor for Homecoming, I see that the campus is a lot more ethnically diverse than the “fearful white suburbanites/not sure they belong here black urbanites” place I remember. I also see kids of all different hues and nationalities interacting with each other. IMHO, both of these things are good.

 
Comment by Ernest
2010-09-23 08:01:31

Not dramatic - sarcastic

Bully for you. I was raised in Wash DC so what? Speaking of Detroit we could make the following analogous statement.

But Detroit is almost completely black. I think we need to do something about that.

 
Comment by DinOR
2010-09-23 08:41:13

Arizona Slim,

So how’s the boating.. ( I mean -driving- ) down there?

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 08:47:01

Arizona Slim,

So how’s the boating.. ( I mean -driving- ) down there?

Had .40″ of rain in the Arizona Slim Ranch gauge this morning. That was from midday yesterday’s big storm, which I thought would be followed by a sequel last night. Alas, no after-dark sequels.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 20:49:46

“The city of Sacramento, where I live is the most racially integrated place I’ve ever lived, both rich and poor neighborhoods.”

That sounds similar to the experience we had when we lived in Richmond, CA. I don’t expect to ever again live in such a culturally diverse place, unless we either move back or leave the country.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Lane from s.c.
2010-09-23 04:33:04

Have you ask any black folk if they want to live around a bunch whiny white people? Most people hang with and live around people they are confortable with…..I do. I hang out with people that likes motorcycles and boats….race is not a point but all of my boating friends are white. I live in a upper class neighborhood and 3-4 black familys that live here seem like they hate being here….having said that my favorite family here is black…first class….nice people..always waving when I go by and ribbs me when we talk. Gives a hard time about riding sport bikes and refusing to grow….its all good.

Lane

Comment by Spook
2010-09-23 05:05:12

Also, its costs more to live around white people even when all the physical structure is the same.

We call it “the white man tax”.

This is also the “gentrafication” business model; buy some property (cheap) were the nonwhite people are, and then figure out a way to remove them and replace them with white people.

Bam!

You just increased your property value without doing a single repair or upgrade.

Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 05:31:52

Spook
I am sad to read your post. I’m white and find most blacks in my area to be really decent people. I love my black girlfriends. Their word is their honor. I would appreciate black neighbors.The bottom line is, are people good neighbors.

The illegals make horrific neighbors. I’ve learned that after selling my home and renting (until we repurchase).

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Comment by varelse
2010-09-23 09:24:09

Anyone who blasts really loud rap music to mark their terrotory is abad neighbor, regardless of race. A lack of same is the best thing about the more upper end neighborhoods….the neighbors and the cops don’t put up with that crap in those areas, so you can actually enjoy a nice summer day in peace.

I live in a “diverse” neighborhood. The neighbors are nice, there is little crime, it is certainly safe, but if you want to go read a book on your back porch on a warm sunny day, you are out of luck….the neighbors are competing with each other to see who has the loudest system. Again, it not a racial thing, the white neighbors are louder than the minorities…..they have more to prove I guess. And the loudest systems of all seem to be in the cars driving by…..

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 09:43:01

Anyone who blasts really loud rap music to mark their terrotory is abad neighbor, regardless of race. A lack of same is the best thing about the more upper end neighborhoods….the neighbors and the cops don’t put up with that crap in those areas, so you can actually enjoy a nice summer day in peace.

This isn’t exactly an upper end nabe. But woe to those who blast loud rap “music” on this block.

Because this is often an indicator of other sorts of crime, I call the perps in to 911. So do a lot of my neighbors.

As for the folks who don’t call, well, we good guys keep an eye on them. And they know it.

 
Comment by potential buyer
2010-09-23 10:17:23

Well, to me that mean a neighborhood of teenagers, not necessarily criminals.

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2010-09-23 11:41:37

Potential Buyer :
There’s a difference?

(Kidding. Kinda. I remember what I was like as a teenager…)

 
Comment by varelse
2010-09-23 11:48:24

“Well, to me that mean a neighborhood of teenagers, not necessarily criminals.”

In maturity, if not in chronological age.

 
Comment by va beyatch in Norfolk
2010-09-23 12:08:36

But do you call 911 if they are blasting nerdcore rap music?

I had mostly thought the car audio craze gave way to wings and muffler tips.

I still pull out the Miami bass CDs once in a while.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 12:18:15

But do you call 911 if they are blasting nerdcore rap music?

Heck yes! Why? Because it’s a frickin’ noise disturbance, that’s why!

And, lest you be skeptical of the link between noise and crime, here’s a case study from Elkhart, IN. The author is the city’s mayor, Dick Moore:

Elkhart, Indiana, a town of around 48,000 near the University of Notre Dame, is an anti-noise success story. The city’s anti-noise program relies on active enforcement of noise ordinances to reduce noise. The strict fines from noise enforcement generate revenues to fund a noise enforcement officer and anti-noise publicity. Also, the lessening noise levels have improved the community’s quality of life and reduced crime.

In 2008, I told the Common Council: “We are determined to eradicate noise pollution in our city, from boom boxes, broken mufflers, train whistles, loud motorcycles and other sources by initiating a zero tolerance noise ordinance.”

Police Chief Pflibsen and I recently hired a noise control police officer, Mike Bogart. In 2009, Officer Bogart issued 1,200 tickets, generating more than $273,000 in fines. In two years, noise fines have generated more than $400,000.

The fines not only deter noise and punish noisemakers; they also fund the anti-noise program. Noise fine revenues have been used to equip two Mustangs as unmarked police vehicles as well produce and distribute public service announcements on the hazards of noise.
Fines for noise violators in Elkhart are stiff:

$ 250: first offense
$ 500: second offense
$1000: third offense
$2500: fourth offense

Last year, Elkhart’s noise control officer did more drug busts than any other Elkhart police officer—and he was looking for noise violators, not drugs. Elkhart’s experience demonstrates the strong link between noise, guns, drugs, gangs, and crime.

Elkhart officials are enthusiastic about the anti-noise program. According to Police Chief Pflibsen, “Elkhart’s noise ordinance has had a positive impact on the city’s quality of life.” Tim Balyeat, Elkhart’s assistant police chief, commented that “since the inception of the anti-noise program, Elkhart has become a quieter place to live.”

Bradley Vite, an Elkhart resident who led the campaign to institute the policy, said that “Elkhart’s anti-noise program is a great tool to reduce crime. Elkhart’s anti-noise officers have found meth labs, marijuana, cocaine, weapons, and individuals with outstanding warrants. Noise is a quality of life issue. The actions of the city government and the police have dramatically reduced noise.”

 
 
Comment by combotechie
2010-09-23 05:38:16

Cleveland and Detroit could sure use some gentrification. If luring white people’s money (or any other kind of money)into a dying city will somehow save it then I’m all for it.

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Comment by Spook
2010-09-23 05:40:41

OR you could allow nowhite people to earn “white wages”

 
Comment by jfp
2010-09-23 06:34:35

OR you could allow nowhite people to earn “white wages”

White guy here. I’m curious about this, as I always thought of this as largely self-inflicted. In my particular field (engineering), success is pretty well merit based, as the skills are difficult to acquire and failure is very costly. In school, I never saw black people in any of the math or engineering courses. In my work life, I never see blacks apply for our jobs, even though they pay well and we really need the help. Does this apply more to unskilled labor? Am I completely oblivious to something? I’m asking in earnest, I do not mean to offend or be controversial.

 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2010-09-23 06:44:51

“Allow?” Yeah, we need to repeal those laws that require businesses to pay non-white employees less than white employees.

It’s this kind of thinking that holds one back. Perception becomes reality.

 
Comment by butters
2010-09-23 06:53:48

I never saw black people in any of the math or engineering courses.

I think it’s Erkel. He ruined it for every black child who wanted to study Math and Science. MTV didn’t help it either. The popular black culture heavily exploited by white liberals is as anti intellectual as they come.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 06:55:25

I have. Very small percentage, but some.

(Same for women, BTW. In all my undergrad comp sci classes there was only one.)

 
Comment by Ex-Arizonan
2010-09-23 07:10:19

I can vouch for packman’s observation. I spent ten years teaching developers intermediate to advanced programming skills (mostly C++ / C# / Microsoft). Over that period women were consistently 10% or less of the classes, and those were dominated by Russian, Middle Eastern, and Indian women. I can count the number of black women on one hand, and there was only one or two that really had the chops. For the record though there were very few “white suburban american women” either. There just aren’t many in the field and even fewer when you get to the advanced levels.

The Erkel theory is interesting but I think overall in America the culture does not encourage women to work in software, and black culture even less so. Which is stupid as it’s very good paying work and easier to get into than e.g. medicine.

 
Comment by Steve J
2010-09-23 08:56:10

I bet if you plotted out low performing schools you might see a correlation with race.

 
Comment by scdave
2010-09-23 08:58:17

Bill in Carolina,

How is the Muslium TV ad being run by Renee Elmers being perceived in North Carolina ?? Just wondering…

 
Comment by MightyMike
2010-09-23 11:00:35

I’m a C# programmer, and I see what you see, Ex-Arizonan, which is not mant women in the field. What’s interesting is that I work for a company that has some systems on an IBM mainframe and we do have quite a few women who are mainframe COBOl programmers, which many people would call “old technology”. So the whole IT industry is going backwards to a certain degree.

 
Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-23 11:11:51

I’m white, but black from the waist down. I have most of the neighbors fooled.

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 11:36:29

press-
So you prescribe to the old saying”Once you have black, you never go back.”

 
Comment by Lane from s.c.
2010-09-23 13:05:46

I thought it was: Once you go Asian you want go caucasian! lol. One of my best friends is married to a little hottie from China we joke about that all the time.

Lane

 
Comment by Lane from s.c.
2010-09-23 13:06:50

Won`t not want. We need grammer check on here!

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2010-09-23 14:22:59

And here I thought you meant it as an Engrish joke.

 
 
 
 
Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-23 05:47:37

Red means run?

Comment by rusty
2010-09-23 06:15:41

redlining is what got us into this mess!

Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 06:26:07

rusty
In real estate it’s called steering, and highly illegal due to Fed Fair Housing Laws. Even if a buyer asks for it, an Agent still can’t do it. It’s the buyers due diligence. So, I guess I’ll enjoy Jose’, his 20 relatives and 5 cars on the lawn.

Relining is an insurance term and is income based too, IIRC.

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Comment by packman
2010-09-23 06:46:48

In real estate it’s called steering, and highly illegal due to Fed Fair Housing Laws.

Got specifics?

The Fair Housing Act of 1968 outlawed redlining of individual people, however not of neighborhoods. However maybe something came along after that that also outlawed redlining of neighborhoods?

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 07:34:54

In California, it is called “steering” to pass the test. If someone asks the UHS to pass on a certain neighborhood, or asks about the neighbors it’s “due your own due diligence” time. IIRC, the Fair Housing laws have been revised.

 
Comment by DinOR
2010-09-23 07:49:26

Oh fer’ chrissakes, we can’t even get a leash on NAR to stop them from gorging themselves on pocket listings and getting kickbacks?

I’ll give this a ‘2′ on my Aggravation-Meter.

 
Comment by scdave
2010-09-23 09:03:34

it is called “steering” ??

Its also called “Block Busting”…

Blockbusting was a business practice of U.S. real estate agents and building developers meant to encourage white property owners to sell their houses at a loss, by fraudulently implying that racial, ethnic, or religious minorities — Blacks, Hispanics, Jews et al. — were moving into their previously racially segregated neighborhood, thus depressing real estate property values.[1] Blockbusting became possible after the legislative dismantling of legally-protected racially-segregated real estate practices after World War II, but by the 1980s it disappeared as a business practice after changes in law and the real estate market.[2]

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 09:47:12

scdave-
Thanks. Interesting post. Whatever it’s name, we as a buyers have a right to live by whom we prefer. I like a mix of folks, but others might prefer otherwise and that’s their right. I think it comes down to being respectful, clean, decent, civilized neighbors. That’s all I ask for.

 
 
Comment by Doug in Boone, NC
2010-09-23 09:21:36

I always thought redlining was reving your car’s motor to the blowing-up point. Maybe in real estate it means the same thing!

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Comment by scdave
2010-09-23 10:28:10

Doug…I posted this for Bill in SC but you appear to be in NC..Not wondering about where you stand politically just wondering house this ad is being perceived around the water cooler…

How is the Muslium TV ad being run by Renee Elmers being perceived in North Carolina ?? Just wondering…

 
Comment by Doug in Boone, NC
2010-09-23 15:23:19

Actually, I’ve never seen the ad. I haven’t had a TV in over five years (”Blow up your TV, move to the country…”)

 
Comment by neuromance
2010-09-23 18:55:58

I don’t care a whit for political correctness. I try to deal with facts and reality, regardless of who they please or displease.

Having said that, I have concluded that it is values and IQ that determine whether people are good to live around or not.

I had the misfortune of having a low IQ, sociopathic white family live near me some years ago. These people were a plague on the neighborhood. It was almost a completely white neighborhood in a generally white part of town. There were two black families in that neighborhood. Quiet, law abiding, decent people. I’d prefer to live in a neighborhood filled with blacks like them, rather than in a neighborhood filled with the white sociopaths.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 19:39:44

They say that every neighborhood has a sociopath; that if you look at all your neighbors and can’t figure out which one it is - then it’s you.

My neighborhood is an exception though - we have no sociopaths.

:)

 
 
 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 11:18:40

Since we’re talking about redlining in housing, here’s a related point: Redlining in housing can also lead to redlining in commercial activity.

Here in Tucson, there’s a health care archipelago that runs from University Medical Center, east to Tucson Medical Center, then arcing northward and westward through the Catalina Foothills and ending at Northwest Hospital.

If you’re within this archipelago, there are all sorts of health care pros for you to choose from. If you’re outside of it, well, tough luck, Charlie, there’s just not that much for you. And, not surprisingly, the “tough luck” areas have high populations of people of color/living in poverty.

Our local alt-weekly skirts around the edges of this problem in an article in its latest issue: Doctors Wanted. BTW, the Grant Road mentioned in the article is where Tucson’s red line once was. If you were black, you couldn’t buy property north of Grant.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 03:24:33

Word to the wise: Don’t buy until this tale of chaos in the U.S. foreclosure system is a fading historical footnote to the Great Housing Collapse.

Under piles of paperwork, a foreclosure system in chaos
By Ariana Eunjung Cha and Brady Dennis
Washington Post Staff Writers
Thursday, September 23, 2010

The nation’s overburdened foreclosure system is riddled with faked documents, forged signatures and lenders who take shortcuts reviewing borrower’s files, according to court documents and interviews with attorneys, housing advocates and company officials.

The problems, which are so widespread that some judges approving the foreclosures ignore them, are coming to light after Ally Financial, the country’s fourth-biggest mortgage lender, halted home evictions in 23 states this week.

During the housing boom, millions of homeowners got easy access to mortgages while providing virtually no proof of their income or background. Now, as millions of Americans are being pushed out of the homes they can no longer afford, the foreclosure process is producing far more paperwork than anyone can read and making it vulnerable to fraud.

Comment by DinOR
2010-09-23 07:52:39

PB,

In going thru the PDX reo’s we noticed it wasn’t uncommon to see a “hat trick” where a couple owned (1) ‘together’ and then an add’l (2) one in each name seperately.

Garbage In/Garbage Out?

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 12:20:23

And don’t forget that nobody really knows who owns the original mortgages anymore, either. :lol:

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 03:31:42

This may be the first accurate use of the term “affordable housing” which I have seen in an MSM article to date. Have UHS finally caught on to the fact that sales may increase if home prices fall to levels where buyers can finance the purchase price out of their future income stream, instead of having to rely on a Supersized, federally-guaranteed, Fed-funded loan which is likely to lead to foreclosure within a matter of a few years?

Last Updated: September 23. 2010 1:00AM
Detroit tops list of most affordable housing
Depressed values, recession put 3 Mich. cities on U.S. survey
Jaclyn Trop / The Detroit News

Detroit is the most affordable U.S. housing market, with Michigan claiming three of the top 10 spots in a report released Wednesday by Coldwell Banker Real Estate LLC.

A four-bedroom, two-bathroom home here averages $68,007, while a similar home in second-place Grayling costs $84,625, according to the real estate brokerage.

Port Huron finished as the ninth most affordable city with an average price of $116,267. All three areas have been affected by Michigan’s long-running recession and depressed home values.

The same size house in the nation’s most expensive market, Newport Beach, Calif., costs $1.83 million.

“The real estate market in Detroit has been affected considerably differently than the rest of the country,” said Kelly Sweeney, CEO of Coldwell Banker Weir Manuel in Birmingham.

Comment by Mot
2010-09-23 08:28:26

Affordable? How much is your life worth?

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-23 03:34:41

No mortgage mods for many of the jobless

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — Unemployed homeowners cannot count jobless benefits as income when applying for mortgage modifications if they have loans backed by Fannie Mae. That could greatly limit their ability to get a long-term reduction in their monthly payments.

Because the jobless benefits can’t be considered permanent income, the lender will instead evaluate troubled borrowers for forbearance plans of up to six months. The new guidelines, released Tuesday, will take effect Nov. 1.

“We don’t want to set up borrowers to fail, said Amy Bonitatibus, Fannie Mae spokeswoman.

Fannie Mae’s announcement broadens a ban already put in place from the Treasury Department. In July, the agency quit allowing unemployment insurance to be used as income when applying for the administration’s signature Home Affordable Modification Program, known as HAMP. Previously, borrowers had been allowed to do so.

Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-23 05:17:39

“We don’t want to set up borrowers to fail, said Amy Bonitatibus, Fannie Mae spokeswoman”

Well you didn’t have a problem with it before now.

 
Comment by Jim A.
2010-09-23 05:28:37

Sounds like an atypically rational response. Forebearance IS the best option for a recently unemployed borrower. If they get a permanant job, modification might make sense. But since 30 years is much much greater than 99 weeks, OF COURSE you shouldn’t regard unemployment benefits as income.

Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 05:37:46

Remember, the unemployed will get a $50K Fed Grant already signed into law, for up to 24 months to pay their mortgage.Each state has it’s own program. Ca has set up a mix and match of 4 programs with a $50K cap.

Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-23 05:46:19

Sounds like a direct gift to the banks. Reminds me of “Your scooter will be paid in full! At no cost to you.”

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Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 06:18:57

press,
You’ve got that right. The banks give a little up, but it’s a facade. I don’t have the time or the interest, but I took a cusory glance at Ca’s programs. The unemployed get to get the can down the road until… (then what?)

 
Comment by exeter
2010-09-23 07:05:16

Reminds me of “Your scooter will be paid in full! At no cost to you.”
——————————————-
That one is aggravating.

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 07:37:22

“get to kick” the can… sorry

 
Comment by DinOR
2010-09-23 07:57:01

Bit of a different take. IF… you’ve been at the same employer long term, you’ve PAID into those benefits! Actually the full term is Unemployment ‘insurance’.

Why didn’t we give it to these ppl lump sum? From there what they did, is ‘their’ chosing. ( We are adults you know? )

 
Comment by CrackerJim
2010-09-23 11:01:57

From DinOR above:
“Bit of a different take. IF… you’ve been at the same employer long term, you’ve PAID into those benefits! Actually the full term is Unemployment ‘insurance’.”

In Florida, the employee pays nothing in to the UE fund; the employer does.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 12:24:16

DinOR, in most states, it’s the employer that pays the UI, not the employee.

I think that may actually be ALL states.

 
 
 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 12:28:05

While I agree with pressboardbox that they didn’t seem to have a problem with this before, I also agree this is the right thing to do now.

If I was unemployed and behind on my mortgage for over 6 months, couldn’t sell and saw no real future prospects or opportunities, I would walk and cut my losses and give myself some breathing space to reorganize.

In a word, downsize.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-23 03:38:32

Gov’t needs $133.78 a share to recover GM money
Watchdog says US government must sell GM for $133.78 per share to get back bailout money

DETROIT (AP) — The U.S. government would have to sell its General Motors stock for $133.78 per share to recoup the nearly $50 billion it spent bailing out the Detroit automaker, according to a watchdog of government bailout funds.

Neil Barofsky, the special inspector general for the $700 billion bailout of the financial industry and automakers, revealed the figure in an Aug. 30 letter to Sen. Charles Grassley, R-Iowa.

Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-23 05:27:18

No problem. GM will be a high-flyer right along with Google and Apple. Crappy, overpriced cars are the next big thing.

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2010-09-23 06:50:05

GM is a union payback program and a campaign money laundering program. They also happen to make, and try to sell, cars.

GM takes our money and then makes “campaign contributions” with some of it. Guess which party is getting most of the contributions.

Go to Google News and search “General Motors” + contributions.

Comment by Steve J
2010-09-23 08:59:44

I’m just glad none of that TARP money made it’s way back to DC.

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Comment by GrizzlyBear
2010-09-23 15:18:51

New car and truck prices are in the stratosphere. It would seem that, like house prices, they need to come down. I read some auto forums from time to time, and there’s a lot of bellyaching about $700 per month auto payments. Yes, $700 per month! Shouldn’t a car loan be no more than 10% of take home pay? I have a REALLY hard time believing that all these people are clearing $7k per month, take home.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 12:31:05

Isn’t GMAC having some trouble with it mortgages? Like evicting people from houses that they actually don’t hold the mortgage on anymore?

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 03:42:34

As the WSJ writer notes, it makes little sense to discuss “affordability” without addressing the economic situation in the surrounding environs.

Nonetheless, tacit recognition that homes cannot be made more “affordable” by increasing the conforming loan limit in areas where prices have become “a bit frothy” is a sign the denial phase of the housing bubble may be finally coming to an end.

And Bill Gross’s hood is looking mighty unaffordable. Isn’t there anything further the GSEs can do from here to achieve their mission of providing affordable housing?

WSJ Blogs
Developments
Real estate news and analysis from The Wall Street Journal

* Home-Price Index Posts July Decline
* September 22, 2010, 4:52 PM ET

The Most Affordable Housing Markets

By Dawn Wotapka

If a city is shrinking and plagued by high unemployment should it still earn the label of “most affordable”? The troubled city of Detroit was anointed that dubious honor on Wednesday by Coldwell Banker Real Estate LLC., which released a report comparing the asking prices for four-bedroom, two-bathroom listings nationwide. Detroit’s average listing price was about $68,000.

The priciest market was sunny Newport Beach, Calif., where a similar home would cost a whopping $1.7 million more. That average listing price came in at $1.83 million.

The report brims with interesting tidbits: There are 85 markets with an average reported listing price below $200,000 and 10 where the average topped $1 million.

Three Michigan markets make the most affordable list-Detroit, Grayling and Port Huron-while California gets six of the 10 most expensive -Newport Beach, Palo Alto, San Francisco, La Jolla, Pasadena and Santa Barbara.

Comment by GrizzlyBear
2010-09-23 16:01:33

There are innumerable areas where prices remain near bubble highs. There’s still a massive amount of de-levering to take place, and the PTB know it. They’re scared of it. Unless we witness some sort of acceleration of the current price erosion, it’ll be 2020 before some areas see anything remarkable in terms of affordability. Little old depressed logging towns in western Washington, which lay in economic ruin, are still sporting $50,000 per acre raw land.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 03:45:15

Wall Street bailouts are anti-business.

WSJ Blogs
Real Time Economics
Economic insight and analysis from The Wall Street Journal.

* Sep 22, 2010
4:43 PM
Volcker: Obama Isn’t Antibusiness
By Jared Favole

Presidential adviser and former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker on Wednesday said President Barack Obama isn’t antibusiness and has been a free-market defender.

Volcker, who chairs Obama’s economic recovery board, told Fox Business Network that the perception of the president as being against businesses is “wrong,” according to a transcript of an interview that is supposed to air Wednesday evening.

“He is not a wild-eyed leftist radical. It’s ridiculous,” said Volcker, who was also chairman of the Federal Reserve Board from 1979 to 1987. “Since he has been in office he has been a defender of open markets.”

Volcker’s comments come several days after supporters of Obama, during a live townhall-style event on CNBC, questioned why the president appeared to be beating up on businesses, particularly Wall Street.

Obama said he has been “amused” by such perceptions. “I think most folks on Main Street feel like they got beat up on…there’s a big chunk of the country that thinks that I have been too soft on Wall Street,” Obama said.

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 04:31:14

Some narcissistic traits are common and a normal developmental phase. When these traits are compounded by a failure of the interpersonal environment and continue into adulthood, they may intensify to the point where NPD is diagnosed.

Comment by oxide
2010-09-23 05:03:44

That’s the third time I’ve heard the “Obama has narcissistic tendencies” meme. Did am radio run off a new set of ditto sheets?

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 05:26:05

Don’t listen to ditto radio. Just sensitive to the antisocial response. It’s not attractive.

I also find your response antisocial, but that’s just me.

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Comment by oxide
2010-09-23 05:56:13

Well I admit it was a harsh response, but I *have* heard that narcissism thing before, interjected into topics not clearly related to narcissism.

I guess the narcissism is where Obama chuckles and says “soft on Wall Street? Oh no, not meeeee….I’m wonderful.” I guess the best way to solve this is to debate whether Obama was soft on Wall Street or not.

My answer is that yes, Obama *was* soft on Wall Street, but I’m not sure he’s being narcissistic. Obama and Bush both were soft on Wall Street. When Lehman failed, Bush/Paulson discovered that the big boyz were too big to fail and had to save the rest of them by passing TARP and supporting AIG. Obama had to continue by bailing out Fannie/Freddie, which at least was one step closer to Main Street.

I’d be interested in seeing how things go forward. Summers is out Elizabeth Warren is in; and the bank regulation bill is now law. That says to me that Obama has had it with whiny Wall Street.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 06:18:29

I was touched by the dismissive attitude….”I’m amused”, that part. If he had said “hard on wall street, Jeeez we just gave them some trillions” it would have rang better for me.

 
Comment by oxide
2010-09-23 06:36:45

A ha. Now that makes sense. I would have said “arrogant” or *shudder* “elitist” rather than narcissistic. Oh well.

But to be fair, I have noticed that the President more than once has said that he is “amused” by the Other Side. Maybe he’s just tired of pointing out the half-truths of Rush and Glenn. But “amused” is a really bad choice of words.

Robert Gibbs doesn’t help matters by being smarmy.

 
Comment by butters
2010-09-23 06:59:08

Robert Gibbs doesn’t help matters by being smarmy.

Gibbs has no business being a press secratery. He should reunite the band with his brothers and tour again.

 
 
Comment by Spook
2010-09-23 05:46:30

Black people who are confident are often accused of being arrogant and or narcissistic because we are not supposed to be confident in what we are doing.

I said it before but I’ll say it again: White people can only see their own behavior flaws when a black person adopts and uses them.

George Bush did the same thing and white people accepted it enough to elect him twice!

(((shakin my head)))

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Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 06:02:00

I thought there was something wrong with him too.

In sum, I think there must be something not quite normal about anyone who even wants to be a president or a movie star. Not to say that there isn’t something very wrong with me too, I’m just not on display like they are.

BTW, he doesn’t look THAT black to me.

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 06:35:08

You guys, it’s not about color, it’s about character. W was a piece of work, and “O” is a black Reagan in charisma,imo. I like him, but not in this role.

 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 07:57:53

Far be it from me to be an Obama fangirl. Or a fangirl of any of the Presidents of the United States.

But think of what it takes to run for the office, and to win. Not a job for those who are lacking in self confidence.

Then there’s the job itself. Being President is not for the faint of heart. It’s not the kind of gig that attracts people with low opinions of themselves. And this has been true since the days of George Washington.

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Comment by varelse
2010-09-23 09:35:31

“We are the ones we’ve been waiting for”

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2010-09-23 05:34:57

Where is narcissism revealed in this article? Volcker saying Obama’s not anti-business? Or Obama saying many think he’s been too soft on Wall Street? I can’t perceive any narcissism in either statement.

 
Comment by In Montana
2010-09-23 06:12:11

The “narcissism” diagnosis is the latest thing in pop psych…when I was young it was “insecurity.” Whatever.

Comment by DinOR
2010-09-23 08:09:14

In Montana,

LOL! Yeah I remember that too. ( Besides, show me a politician that ‘isn’t’ narccistic? )

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Comment by varelse
2010-09-23 09:38:00

+1

 
 
Comment by Dale
2010-09-23 08:59:01

Reminds me of the old movie “Serial” with Martin Mull where he had “Anger” issues. I am going to have to find that and watch it again.

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Comment by GrizzlyBear
2010-09-23 16:07:07

It’s unmistakable when someone actually has it. They’re pure evil.

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Comment by Mike in Miami
2010-09-23 05:10:34

“… why the president appeared to be beating up on businesses, particularly Wall Street.”
Yes, those poor babies have only gotten $1 trillion in bailouts via TRAP, ZIRP and various federal guarantees, buy back agreements and fraudulent accounting schemes, all at taxpayer expense. I wish he would for a change beat up on Joe6pack like that and stick Wall Street with the bill.

Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 08:22:02

TARP money is secured loans, with interest and even prepayment penalties.. so please explain what you meant by “at taxpayer’s expense”.

Comment by packman
2010-09-23 09:45:16

Not all the banks will be repaying their TARP money - many will default, leaving the taxpayer to pick up the tab. Latest estimate is $66 billion.

And don’t forget the lost opportunity costs; getting these loans from the government at lower rates than could be obtained on the open market - thus depriving investors (the general economy) of additional interest income from the exact same investments.

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Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 10:28:15

That 66 number is decreasing with time.. unless i’m mistaken.

Is it guaranteed positively that TARP will ultimately be a loss to taxpayers?

as for depriving the general economy of some interest, we can’t know what would have happened to the economy had they gotten no support.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 11:41:39

Well, the $66 has been decreasing due mainly to an “improving” economic outlook. If the economy declines these entities that are scheduled to pay back some may not, and the $66B may go back up some.

In the end - TARP is minuscule compared to the expense of the other stimulus and money creation - in particular the Fed MBS purchases, which were $1.25 trillion direct to Wall Street, with no middleman and no strings attached; only weak statements of “someday we may ask you to buy some of these back”.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 12:37:33

“…in particular the Fed MBS purchases, which were $1.25 trillion direct to Wall Street, with no middleman and no strings attached;

Another good example of Welfare for Wall St.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 13:07:51

Another good example of Welfare for Wall St.

Kind of a shame that the middle and lower classes spend so much political energy fighting for Wall Street’s table scraps, eh?

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 13:26:17

packman..
If I buy some MBS from you, am I giving you anything? Do you come out ahead somehow?
Not necessarily. Strictly speaking it’s just a trade… a value for value.

Now, if our contract essentially forces you to buy them back if ever I feel like it enforcing it, who got the shaft.. me or you?

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 13:46:53

Dude, what you smoking? Do you honestly believe those MBS were worth anywhere close to 100 cents on the dollar, or ever will be in the future? If so, then why the F would the Fed have bought them?

And if you think the banks are going to end up buying them all back (at the same price they sold them for), I’ve got a nice bridge to sell you.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 14:00:30

Dude, what you smoking?

Whatever it is, can I have a puff?

Just one? Pretty please with a cherry on top with extra ice cream to take care of my munchies?

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 14:33:12

The Fed got involved because the secondary mortgage market was paralyzed. Money stopped moving.

Sure, some of this stuff might be worthless crap, which is why the market skidded to a halt. Nobody knew what they were buying and they still can’t be sure.

It’s not low quality MBS that prevents people from buying. Lots of investors prefer to buy high risk/high return garbage. Just give them solid, reliable numbers to work with.

 
Comment by Big V
2010-09-23 14:49:38

We will have solid, reliable numbers when we have a transparent, free market with fair and meaningful rules that are applied to everyone equally.

When “The Fed” gets involved, you have exactly the opposite.

 
 
Comment by CA renter
2010-09-24 03:48:30

Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 08:22:02
TARP money is secured loans, with interest and even prepayment penalties.. so please explain what you meant by “at taxpayer’s expense”.

TARP is just the icing on the cake. The biggest bailouts came in the form of asset purchases and debt guarantees. Then there are the GSE mortgages and the FHA guarantees (we have still to see what the losses on these will be, we won’t know for many years). This runs into the **trillions** of dollars.

This is from November 2009, when it was up to three TRILLION dollars:

http://money.cnn.com/news/storysupplement/economy/bailouttracker/

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Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 03:48:50

WSJ Blogs
Real Time Economics
Economic insight and analysis from The Wall Street Journal.

* September 22, 2010, 11:29 AM ET

Home-Price Index Posts July Decline
By Jeff Bater

U.S. home prices fell in July, a government agency says, the second straight monthly decline as the industry suffers from the loss of a tax credit that had given sales a boost.

Home prices dropped 0.5% on a seasonally adjusted basis from June, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s home price index Wednesday. That followed a 1.2% decline in June from May. U.S. home prices in July were down 3.3% from July 2009.

Home sales have collapsed in the U.S. since the April 30 end of the tax incentive, meant to spur the moribund housing market as the economy recovers from a long recession. Wednesday’s data showed prices month-on-month fell in six of nine regions. “The U.S. index is 13.8% below its April 2007 peak,” the agency said.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 03:52:33

WSJ Blogs
Real Time Economics
Economic insight and analysis from The Wall Street Journal.

* September 22, 2010, 12:41 PM ET

Renewed Asset Purchases a Fraught Endeavor for Fed

Officials know that buying long-term bonds can make borrowing rates go down. But it isn’t a cost-free exercise and, what’s more, buying bonds now would be trickier than the first go-round.

First, there is the matter of sorting out the economic benefit. When the Fed first embarked on buying long-dated mortgage and Treasury securities, it successfully sought to drive down long-term yields, making home and corporate borrowing more affordable. Those purchases ended last March, and the market managed to drive yields even lower without central-bank interventions. It isn’t clear how much bang for the buck the Fed could get if it re-enters the market.

What’s more, how low would the Fed want yields to go? A considerable lowering in long-term yield could require massive asset purchases. But that could drive the Fed into a battle with markets.

Many already worry about the inflationary implications of a central-bank balance sheet that stands at more than $2 trillion. Those fears could surge if the balance sheet were again to rise substantially. If market participants lost confidence in the inflation outlook, yields could rocket higher, just as the Fed is trying to push them lower. Then the central bank would have to choose between defending its inflation mandate, or spurring growth.

Meanwhile, banks already have $1 trillion in excess reserves parked at the Fed, and they have no apparent appetite to put that money to work. Lending rates are already low, and yet demand for credit is weak. It isn’t clear whether making more liquidity available at cheaper levels will help much.

Unfortunately, what the Federal Reserve can do to boost the economy is very limited,” said economist Sung Sohn, of the University of California, Channel Islands. He said the central bank’s dilemma can be summed up as “you can lead a horse to water, but you can’t make it drink.”

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 04:34:56

“you can lead a horse to water, but you can’t make it drink.”

Apparently the problem is in making the horse piss after shoving a fire hose down its throat.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 04:49:41

Here I had thought the problem was making pigmen poop after cramming dollars down their throats…

 
Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-23 05:23:10

LoL. now that’s funny!

 
Comment by measton
2010-09-23 09:39:55

you can lead a horse to water, but you can’t make it drink.” but you can make Wall Street insanely wealthy at the expense of everyone else.

 
 
Comment by Captain Credit Crunch
2010-09-23 07:36:37

I didn’t realize UC had a campus on Channel Islands. Oh, Cal State =D

Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 07:43:12

It’s actually another campus of Cal State Northridge, IIRC. It’s on the former State of Ca. Camarillo Mental Hospital property. Not exactly an island (farmland), but they gave the area a little status. (For what that’s worth.)

 
 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 08:45:04

here’s a stupid idea to boost the economy…

The bank sells me an REO at today’s negotiated price with the qualification that, should it’s market value fall within some time period, that amount is refunded or credited to the buyer, or deducted from the loan.
(Any rise in value belongs to the buyer as usual.)

So, if you buy a home, a price or value-warranty is included. That warranty could be for perhaps 1, 3 or 6 months… maybe even a year. In other words, if the value falls within that time period, the decline is deducted from the original sale price.

I think that a whole lot of people would take the bank up on that offer, and buy a house today.

And sure, the banks would no doubt be reducing the principle on a lot of loans, but they would be generating sales and income in the meantime.

now someone tell me what the downside is..

Comment by mathguy
2010-09-23 10:04:29

Just that it would never happen. Unbounded possible losses on sales. You just plain can’t sell something, then be financially responsible for its performance if you didn’t build it. Even then, all you can do is warranty useable condition, and not value retention. Why? Because people are too smart and will figure out a way to take all your money when you are on the hook.

Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 10:43:10

the banks already face unbounded possible losses on sales.. what’s there to lose?

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Comment by mathguy
2010-09-23 13:45:01

At least as an REO, they still hold the asset itself. Theoretically, they are in control of when they discharge that asset, and how. If they turned the asset over to you and just guaranteed they would fund your losses, they would basically lose all control, and ability to say “no”. Who do you think banks are, the federal government?

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 14:19:07

i still dont get the objection.

I buy a REO today for $300K.
3 months from now, it’s worth $250 and the bank reduces my principle by 50K as was agreed.

This costs them absolutely nothing. The home is worth 250 no matter if i bought it or not.

I then pay off a $250K mortgage for the next 30 years, which provides what banks live for.. interest on a loan.

 
Comment by Big V
2010-09-23 14:37:14

Joe:

The bank loses 2 ways on your deal:

1. They lost $50 that they lent to you.

2. They have realized moral hazard.

IOW, they would have been better off just lending $250k against that $250k house, rather than lending $300k against that $250k house, and then losing that extra $50k.

See, then bank doesn’t actually lose money when the value of YOUR house goes down. It only loses money when you stop paying your mortgage.

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 15:03:43

big V..
1. They lost $50 that they lent to you…

You own a car. You want to sell it to me.

I have no money so you “lend” me $1,000. I give you an IOU.

The car is worth only $750 next month, and as we agreed, you “refund” me $250.

You take the IOU, scratch off $1,000 and write in $750.

NO money changed hands. It cost you nothing to reduce what I owed you.

 
Comment by Big V
2010-09-23 15:07:06

I sold 100 cars and got 100 IOUs. The other 99 people just found out that I gave you a break on your IOU. Now I’m not gonna get the income I otherwise would. Now I can’t pay my IOUs either.

Lenders only make money when they are PAID BACK on their loans.

 
 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 10:45:13

oops.. I should have said:
Banks already face unbounded possible losses on their REO holdings.

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Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 11:49:07

We tried to buy an REO from BofA and have been put on the “ignore” button, even after sending in our self addressed stamp envelope which they requested. They can’t afford the postage to send cash buyers a list? Budget restraints? :)

Forget it. No REO for us. They can kiss our you know what.

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 12:13:37

Banks must be overwhelmed with the flood of REOs and to this day have little or no idea what they’re doing.

About 6 months ago I asked a banker at WF about me paying cash for an REO and got a blank stare… suggested I call some 800 info number.

Banks are tops at lending money, but have to be the worst at sales.

 
Comment by cactus
2010-09-23 12:15:38

We tried to buy an REO from BofA and have been put on the “ignore”

was that in the Thousand Oaks area ?

 
 
 
Comment by CA renter
2010-09-24 03:59:32

Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 08:45:04
here’s a stupid idea to boost the economy…

The bank sells me an REO at today’s negotiated price with the qualification that, should it’s market value fall within some time period, that amount is refunded or credited to the buyer, or deducted from the loan.
(Any rise in value belongs to the buyer as usual.)

—————–

Joey,

This “call option” (buyers get the upside, and lenders get the downside) is exactly what got us into this mess in the first place. The buyers in this scenario will have absolutely no incentive to pay a reasonable price fo the home if the govt is taking the risk on the downside. Prices will be bid up well beyond fundamentals, and the stage will be set for a new “financial crisis” within a few years.

BTW, they are already doing this with the FHA loans. The FHA (that’s us, the taxpayers) are on the hook if prices drop and the “owners” decide to walk — and they have every reason to walk, because many of the buyers over the past year+ have used the tax credit as their 3.5% downpayment. Again, we have very weak buyers with **no skin in the game.**

You cannot have rational pricing if buyers don’t bear the losses that are a consequence of their irrational buying decisions.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 13:02:41

You can lead a horticulture…

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-23 04:15:18

More than half exit foreclosure-relief program
Obama foreclosure-prevention program fails to aid half of troubled borrowers who enrolled

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Obama administration’s flagship mortgage-relief effort is failing to ease the foreclosure crisis as more than half of those who have enrolled have fallen out of the program.

As of August, approximately 680,000 homeowners who applied to get their mortgage payments lowered, or about 51 percent, have been disqualified, the Treasury Department said Wednesday. That’s up from about 48 percent in July.

The report gives ammunition to critics who say the program has failed to slow the tide of foreclosures. They say it’s better to let troubled homeowners lose their homes and home prices fall.

“The problem is just so huge in magnitude that there’s no viable solution that can come out of the government to solve it,” said Anthony Sanders, a finance professor at George Mason University.

Comment by oxide
2010-09-23 05:21:42

I suspect that

a. They designed the program to help FB’s who weren’t that far underwater, or just hit a small bad patch; that is FB’s that cold benefit from a temporary gov program.
b. They had an “oh crap” moment when they realized just how many people were “swimming naked” and just how much debt people were in.

There is a famous exchange between Tim Geithner and Elizabeth Warren, when Elizabeth grilled Tim that if there were so many programs, then why were there still so many foreclosures. I suspect that the real answer was option b: — that many of those FB’s don’t belong in a gov program, they belong in BK court. Of course Timmy couldn’t give that answer, because FB’s vote. So he had to dance around it.

Comment by Jim A.
2010-09-23 05:38:54

yes. The powers that be have petty consistantly underestimated the ammount of unpayable debt that is choking the economy. Part of the difficulty is that they have tools that will work to aleviate cashflow problems, but there’s little that they can do about balance sheet problems.

As for why the number is going up, I suspect that’s simply a function of how long it took for somebody to actually read the application. You don’t get denied until somebody actually gets around to examining your application.

Comment by potential buyer
2010-09-23 15:42:10

They never qualified in the first place and that’s how long it took for them to find out.

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Comment by rms
2010-09-23 07:00:48

c. Converting liar loans to fixed-thirties can’t be done.

Comment by DinOR
2010-09-23 08:13:52

rms,

( Or 40’s… or 50’s… )

In fact, at the height of madness I checked briefly for a goof and opting for a ‘40′ ( drops the pymt. by about $50 bucks? )

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Comment by jbunniii
2010-09-23 09:53:28

In fact, at the height of madness I checked briefly for a goof and opting for a ‘40′ ( drops the pymt. by about $50 bucks? )

Yep, even with a 30-year mortgage, the vast majority of the initial payments are interest, and that part still needs to be paid even if it’s an infinite-year mortgage (aka interest only).

 
Comment by DinOR
2010-09-23 10:22:44

jbunniii,

That’s where it all starts and ENDS where I’m concerned. Long before I was even aware there may be a HB forming ( I was quietly rebelling against what I increasingly came to view as a “mortgage scheme” )

After a decade + of faithfully paying on a mort. ( I’d only reduced the prin. amt. owed by about 7 grand! ) I became increasingly disenchanted with the whole program and it’s when I first began investigating mort. ‘acceleration’.

Suffice to say all that’s off the table now and we’re working off a whole new paradigm. Mortgage/Debt = Drugs.

 
 
Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-23 09:55:10

Really? What if you book the FBs “future profits (earnings)” as assets like the megabanks? Everything should be owned free-and-clear then with the subsequent equity-boost.

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Comment by combotechie
2010-09-23 05:27:44

“The problem is just so huge in magnitude that there’s no viable solution that can come out of the government to solve it.”

True for most of our money problems. The money to solve most of our money problems is JUST NOT THERE.

Otherwise, everything is fine.

 
Comment by lavi d
2010-09-23 08:31:26

The Obama administration’s flagship mortgage-relief effort is failing to ease the foreclosure crisis as more than half of those who have enrolled have fallen out of the program

It’s nice to know that market forces can be a lot like the underlying architecture of the internet - they route around damage.

 
 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 04:27:14

Over the past few days, even as Uncle Buck weakened, the yields on the 10 & 30 yr have started to go down again. The magnitude of their yields’ decline is considerably greater than the comparatively mild fluctuations on meager volume of the stock markets this week. What gives?

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2010-09-23 06:53:49

See answer below.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 04:42:03

Treasury bulls bet on deflation and a ride on QE2
By Michael Mackenzie in New York
Published: September 22 2010 20:42 | Last updated: September 22 2010 20:42

After months of debate, the US Federal Reserve is preparing to open the door to a dose of super-sized Treasury bond buying. That, at least, was the view in financial markets on Wednesday as the dollar tumbled, yields on sovereign debt fell and gold jumped to another record high.

The statement issued by Fed policymakers on Tuesday, after the central bank left interest rates unchanged, went further than many investors had expected. To the surprise of bond market investors, the Fed formally expressed concern that inflation was too low for the central bank to fulfil its mandate of promoting price stability and full employment. It was “prepared to provide additional accommodation if needed to support the economic recovery.”

That bias towards monetary easing, absent from its last policy statement, triggered speculation that the Fed would embark on another round of asset purchases to pump money into the economy – a policy known as quantitative easing – were inflation to keep falling. There were big implications for US government bonds, the dollar and gold, strategists said.

Their policy statement opens the door to more buying of Treasuries,” said Rick Klingman, managing director at BNP Paribas. ‘The Fed is telling you that both inflation and employment are below their mandates and that, unless the situation reverses, more quantitative easing is coming.

EDITOR’S CHOICE
Gold rises and dollar falls after QE signal - Sep-22

Comment by packman
2010-09-23 06:53:55

Looks like maybe this blind squirrel might find a nut?

Comment by packman
2010-08-24 08:35:42

Prediction - next leg up for gold in the next 3-4 months, breaking through $1,300. Driver is more QE, as driven by the now-obviously-worsening economy and GKPT (the ever-irresistible Great Keynesian Political Temptation).

(P.S. I’m not into stupid grandiose $2k/5k/10k predictions.)

(at the time gold was at about $1210)

Comment by cactus
2010-09-23 12:25:06

gold will go up if the dollar goes down I guess more QE makes the dollar worth less as the treasuries will pay less interest

but also Gold will go up with inflation and the FED having to think about QE2 doesn’t seem to indicate much inflation

I think many are buying Gold as a no confidence in the FEDS control of the economy and eventual re-valuation of the dollar and all the debt represented by dollar claims.

I would think big corporations would make a better investment than Gold in that case, the shares would rise as the dollar fell although some “bill flectenstein” would say that is a myth a falling currency does not = a rising stock market.

I can’t imagine trading gold for devaluated dollars if this happens and not having the government take your gold like last time 1930’s

Comment by cactus
2010-09-23 12:26:31

gold could be useful if you were to flee the country though

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Comment by potential buyer
2010-09-23 15:44:14

Ummm, staggering under the weight of it?

 
 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 12:35:21

I can’t imagine trading gold for devaluated dollars if this happens and not having the government take your gold like last time 1930’s

Big difference is now we don’t have gold backing for our currency. So the government has no justification for confiscating gold.

And actually the government confiscated virtually no gold at all in the 1930’s. By law they could have, but they didn’t.

There’s a big school of thought that eventually PM-backed currencies will make a return, or even PM’s directly as currency.

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Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 07:07:16

What if they’re wrong?

This explanation and the situation surrounding it seems a little too neat, and neatness is the result of planning, and plans - well they’ve been the undoing of many a mouse and man.

Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 13:06:59

…gang aft agley.

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 04:45:35

The Bernanke Put is alive and well.

Learnt lessons will shape Fed’s approach
By Robin Harding in Washington
Published: September 22 2010 20:14 | Last updated: September 22 2010 20:14

In essence, Fed bond purchases reduce the supply of long-term assets available in the economy, and increase the supply of short-term assets. By doing so they drive up the price of the remaining long-term assets – such as corporate bonds – and so lower the cost of long-term borrowing for companies and households.

Ben Bernanke, Fed chairman, set out the consequences of this in his speech at Jackson Hole in August.

The effects of QE, he said, depended on what the central bank owned “at a point in time, rather than by the current pace of new purchases”.

That means, first, that the $1,750bn of assets that the Fed has already bought are still having a stimulative effect, and second, that it does not need to buy a huge amount of extra assets at once in order to increase the boost to the economy.

“If the Fed said, ‘We’re buying a smaller amount now, but we’ll continue to watch the situation and if it warrants, we’ll buy more’, that sort of thing would give the public and the markets a sense that someone was out there, ready to buy if the economic situation weakened further or didn’t improve,” Donald Kohn, who retired as the Fed’s deputy chairman at the end of August, said in a recent interview with the New York Times.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 04:55:10

Indications

Sept. 22, 2010, 9:18 a.m. EDT

Stock futures drop, gold rallies after Fed
U.S. dollar falls sharply vs. major rivals, including euro

By Polya Lesova and Nick Godt, MarketWatch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Stock futures Wednesday pointed to a lower opening on Wall Street, as investors sought a safe haven in gold after the U.S. Federal Reserve warned of deflation and a slowing recovery.

Gold futures rallied to new highs above $1,290 an ounce, while the U.S. dollar fell sharply against its major rivals.

Comment by Brett
2010-09-23 11:29:16

That sucks!
I’m going on vacation this weekend to Europe for 3 weeks….
ugh!

 
 
Comment by oxide
2010-09-23 04:59:15

Yesterday a co-worker tried to convince me that I need to buy a house. We got into a discussion* about how real estate was the best investment. It worked out for him because he scrimped and saved to buy in California 20 years ago. Even then, he wasn’t getting much out of it until the beginnings of the bubble hit in 2000 and he relocated and sold, and was able to buy the new house outright in. Now he’s sitting pretty.

He fully understands the bubble but still thinks it would be good for me. and that since I was planning to stay for at least 10 years I would be immune to the housing bust. We agreed that I should wait 18 months before doing anything drastic.

————-
* By “discussion” I mean there was bit a of yelling involved.

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 06:04:21

At the risk of double exposure (again)…

The bubble was good to him. Don’t expect the bust to be equally good to you.

 
Comment by REhobbyist
2010-09-23 06:50:30

If he bought in 1990 in California that was the height of the last bubble, and he was probably pooping his pants from 1991 to 1995, when prices plummeted. I had several friends who defaulted after buying houses in the late 80s in southern California. He’s just lucky that 1) he didn’t have to move before prices rose again, and 2) they had decent lending standards back then, so he qualified.

His experience has little to do with what’s happening now.

Wait two more years, oxide. Hopefully DC will fall by then.

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2010-09-23 06:56:42

DC will fall only if there’s a significant reduction in the size of the federal budget.

Once again, my money’s on the snowball surviving in hell.

Comment by packman
2010-09-23 07:01:28

DC has already fallen about 30-35%.

However it’s nowhere near back to historical norms, even inflation-adjusted. It has however flattened at a higher level than other areas with similar-sized bubbles; due exactly to what you say - the size of the federal budget.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 08:01:19

Ummm, excuse me, but I have a question about the DC market:

It’s a market in which many, if not most of the buyers have federal jobs, right? And, except for the GS-High Number jobs, the feds don’t pay that well.

So, where are people finding the money to buy these expensive DC area houses?

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 09:57:10

That 30 - 35% probably corresponds to what the DC HELOCers were blowing on 2nd homes in the Finger Lakes four or five years ago. Lots of them for sale now.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 10:04:10

- My guess would be that most of the Federal jobs around DC are higher-paying than the average Federal job, since they’re not “field” jobs. Not sure though.

- Not sure the exact percentage but tons of government-paid-for jobs aren’t direct government jobs, but contractors, including tons of military contractors. Since defense spending is up (as one portion), so is the amount of higher-paid contractors.

- Also a lot of it isn’t so much that the jobs pay that well, just that there are a lot more jobs, relative to other areas. The 10 or so counties in a ring around DC all have about 4-5% unemployment right now.

- Additionally population is increasing quite a bit here, at least as of the latest 2009 data; in many cases counties that had flat or even declining populations (e.g. Prince George’s County) saw population start to rise in 2008. Most others are having faster population growth than usual. This is, of course, fed by the government spending growth.

Owning a house here, I’m of course reaping some of this benefit, in the form of prices that are not declining as much as they otherwise would. However I would trade that in a heartbeat if it meant less government growth.

(I didn’t move here for the government, or in anticipation of the government growth - my CA telecom company had a branch here, and all my family is in the east, so I managed a transfer.)

Incidentally - there is an expectation of spending slowdown locally over the next few years, in particular with anticipated defense cutbacks; WaPo had an article on it last week. As such - if/when there’s a second leg down in the housing market, it may hit here harder, or at least as hard, as other areas.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 10:06:49

(that response to Arizona Slim’s post)

 
Comment by oxide
2010-09-23 10:54:45

Thank you for the good reply, packman!

It’s not so much the high pay of the jobs as the job security that goes with it. Even burger flippers (and the subsequent personal trainers) benefit from the government largesse. People feel secure enough to buy a house, so demand is up. What surprises me is that people are able to get credit for these prices…

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 11:18:35

What surprises me is that people are able to get credit for these prices

You can thank the Fed, Fannie and Freddie, and the FHA for that.

Yes - you are, to a certain extent, subsidizing my home equity. Thanks.

(And … sorry. Seriously. All I can say is - these are not my decisions.)

 
 
 
Comment by oxide
2010-09-23 07:16:36

I’m not exactly sure when he bought, but he definitely sold in about 2000-2001. And yep, his experience has little to do with the present. Hence the “yelling” part of the discussion.

If DC doesn’t fall in the next two years, then it probably won’t fall at all. However, I’m pretty sure it won’t RISE over the next two years. Historically there’s a flat price bottom after a drop — the gap left after all that demand was pulled forward? So there’s time.

I told the co-worker I’m going to wait until after Obama is reelected. :mrgreen:

Comment by In Colorado
2010-09-23 07:54:20

Why even discuss such matters with coworkers?

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Comment by DinOR
2010-09-23 08:18:41

In Colorado,

Or anyone you have to ‘live’ w/ for that matter? Right now, I see your age as the biggest component in making the buy/rent decision.

Sure, int. rates, prices location all ‘matter’ but if you’re my age ( 50+ ) what’s the fricken point? Younger folks.., not nearly as cut & dried?

 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 08:31:47

Agreed, but one can learn a lot if one listens and refrains from doing the talking. For instance, I have learned that I would never want to trade places in life with any of my coworkers. Seriously.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 08:50:02

For instance, I have learned that I would never want to trade places in life with any of my coworkers. Seriously.

Reminds me of that old tale about the Tree of Troubles. It involves a group of people who were invited to put all of their troubles into a bag and hang them on a tree.

Then the group was invited to check out everyone else’s bag of troubles. After careful scrutiny, no one decided to trade his bag for any of the others.

 
 
 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2010-09-23 11:03:57

Yes, 1990 was also when I signed the purchase agreement on a house in California and made mortgage payments on it for six years.

I never can say I “bought” a house because it should imply it’s paid off. Like “own” a house means paid off.

And yes that was the top of the bubble. In 20 years $96,500 turned into $200,000 only because an expected doubling of the military base personnel (still expecting).

 
 
Comment by Steve J
2010-09-23 09:05:18

Never confuse luck with skill.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 13:10:03

How typical. The “I got lucky so I know what I’m talking about” syndrome.

Tell your coworker to go buy another house if it’s so good. :lol:

 
 
Comment by combotechie
2010-09-23 05:18:37

“The U.S. index is 13.8% below its April 2007 peak.”

Thirteen point eight percent? Wow, the bottom must be near. There is no way RE prices can go much lower.

(snort)

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 05:28:52

The bottom is behind us.

Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 05:49:13

blue
LOL. I like your wit.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 13:17:30

:lol:

 
 
Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-23 05:32:58

At least no way the gov will admit they go lower. If this “index” is only down 13.8%, and everyone KNOWS that’s bull$hit, then how much faith do you have in other government “numbers”?

Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 13:23:39

I have very little. But sometimes they get it right. The Census, IRS and GAO are pretty good about not pulling any punches.

The CBO is hit an miss, but they do try and are often more right than wrong. The BLS has good numbers as well but you really, really have to dig for them.

I guess basically, I try to aggregate everyone’s stats and then look at what they all have in common or come close to. Sort of like predicting the path of a hurricane. There are several, but they tend to go in the same general direction and often right these days.

I trust absolutely NO stats from the FIRE sector.

 
 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 07:11:07

Ah, those sweet days when even a 1 of 2 percent drop was unthinkable and hotly debated.

In the past few years we’ve seen just too many numbers, it is desensitizing. Four years ago, if a ~14% drop was suddenly known to be definite every pair of clean underwear in the country would have been snapped off the shelves.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 05:20:25

No QE2, no gold bubble.

Deflation fears drive up gold prices
By John Waggoner, USA TODAY

Gold shot up $17.80 Wednesday, to an all-time high of $1,290.50 an ounce for October delivery, driven by weakness in the value of the U.S. dollar.

Investors often rush to precious metals when they’re worried about the value of paper money. Normally, that means inflation fears.

But inflation is dead. The consumer price index, the government’s main gauge of inflation, has risen just 1.1% since August 2009. Bond traders, who usually demand higher yields to compensate for inflation, have driven down the yield of the two-year Treasury note to 0.43%, near a record low.

The Federal Reserve has signaled that its main worry is deflation, a period of falling prices. And that’s what’s worrying currency investors and propping up gold prices.

The Fed’s powerful Open Market Committee signaled Tuesday its willingness to buy assets as a way of pumping more money into the system, a technique known as quantitative easing.

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 06:34:04

It’s truely a two tier world we live in.

My youngsters are hard working 20 somethings, finding it more and more difficult to buy groceries. $ are scarcer and scarcer.

In the scyscrapers though; “What the heck are we going to do with all these $$$ ? Well, gold is going up, lets buy more!”

Comment by combotechie
2010-09-23 07:56:50

“In the skyscrapers though ‘What the heck are we gong to do with all these $$$”‘

The skyscraper folks have all these $$$s because the flow of these $$$s up to the skyscraper levels USED TO BE a vast torrent; Now the flow of $$$s is just a trickle.

This trickle will force these guys to dig into their hoards of $$$s in order to keep up with their VERY EXPENSIVE AND LAVISH lifestyles.

If there was any common sense anywhere then these skyscraper folks would see the light, realize the game has changed, and take action to cut back on their spending.

But there is no common sense anywhere, thus these folks will continue to blow through their $$$ as fast as they can until they run out of $$$, and it is only then that they will stop.

This is an echo of the dot-com days when multitudes of twenty-something millionaires burned through billions of dollars of dot-com money until it was all gone. The “burn rate” is what these guys use to call it; The higher the burn rate the greater their bragging rights.

Time to fire up a batch of popcorn and sit back and enjoy the show.

Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 13:28:21

That’s exactly what happened during the dot com days.

We saw burn rates of $1 MILLION or more…a month. Without making one penny in profit.

As long as there is that kind of stupid money out there, you can forget about ever seeing rationality and reason.

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Comment by In Colorado
2010-09-23 08:35:53

Sounds like the classical definition of a third world country to me.

Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 13:34:00

Out of all the industrialized and especially the 1st world nations, we have the highest income gap between the rich and the poor.

The worst school system
The worst medical system. (I’m sick of hearing “health care.” It’s medical, dammit)
The weakest Internet.
No real rail, let alone high speed.
The highest prison population in the world.
The least amount of regulations on large corporation but the most on the individual.
The least energy efficient.

But we absolutely EXCEL at lying and cheating. Especially to ourselves.

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Comment by packman
2010-09-23 13:41:39

Shall we start an HBB Uhaul fund for you? Or will a cargo plane be required?

;)

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 17:07:51

Sure! I’ll donate them to the thieves and liars who have ruined this country when we kick them out.

 
Comment by maldonash
2010-09-25 08:27:18

ECO - I am sad to read your view /understanding of America. Please remember every country has thieves and liars … we get a bad rep since we were the biggest power.

Americans are generally good (as I believe all humans are) but the common man has been relegated to a life of peonage through a coercive mix of government and business spurred by the FED. I guess humans have always stolen from each other - at least now we mainly steal one’s production and not their primordial bodies.

 
 
 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2010-09-23 11:08:42

The problem is that interest rates zoomed up for several years in the 1970s while gold went way up. My passbook savings earned 5 and a quarter percent. If I had a money market account back in the 70s I would have been earning 11% or more. So T-bills must have been yielding well above 6% in the 70s.

I see no mad exit from treasuries to gold. I see more buying. In fact I bought $2k worth of T-bills today.

This all tells me that there is not even yet a demand for gold by J6P.

At some point J6P will be buying up silver and 1/10 oz gold coins like mad.

 
 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 06:42:28

The headline highlights the usual shallow thinking by the USA Today.

“Fear of deflation” is of course, not what’s driving up gold prices at all. It’s the anticipation of inflation as a result of actions taken due to “fear of deflation” that’s driving up gold prices.

I see two facets, driven by two possible future scenarios:

Scenario/Facet A:

Steps:
1. Recession
2. Fear of deflation
3. Reaction to this fear - inject money
4. Recovery
5. Previously-injected money causes inflation

Part of gold’s rise is due to anticipation of 5, it’s not due to 2.

Scenario/Facet B:

Steps:
1. Recession
2. Fear of deflation
3. Reaction to this fear - inject money, and use Keynesian stimulus
4. No recovery.
5. Debt increases to unmanageable levels, due to lack of gov revenue and continued stimulus.
6. Loss of confidence in currency due to overwhelming debt.
7. Mass sale of $$, purchase of commodities.
8. Hyper-inflation due to rapid commodities price rise.

Part of gold’s rise is due to anticipation of 7 - again it’s not 2.

Comment by Steve J
2010-09-23 09:10:35

Wouldn’t fear of deflation make people sell gold??

Comment by packman
2010-09-23 09:17:03

That’s my point. Yes it would; which is why fear of deflation isn’t what’s driving gold prices up.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 09:47:19

It’s top tier hot money, which could care less about the cost of gas or cupcakes. Your taxes at work. This is why we had to save the banks.

 
Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-23 09:59:50

No. The only thing that could make someone sell gold is a clown with a sign on the side of the road in front of a pawn shop.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 13:35:44

+1 :lol: And it WORKS too!

 
 
 
 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 07:14:59

One would think that in such an environment the price of oil would be no where near $75 bbl.

Shoot, think of all the times our economy was doing well, and what oil cost then. Two examples that jump out from memory are the years 1986 and 1997.

Comment by Steve W
2010-09-23 08:59:28

Maybe the weak dollar is the cause?

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 13:13:37

Certainly, and it should help put to rest that argument that inflation would somehow be the salvation of J6P. Deflation, inflation - doesn’t much matter because old Joe is in for tough time regardless.

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Comment by wmbz
2010-09-23 05:32:29

10-Year Treasury Note index says ‘crash’ coming on equities.

http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=167162

Comment by cactus
2010-09-23 12:35:27

from the link

“The bond market is very, very rarely wrong folks. When it disagrees with equities you’re a fool to believe the equities, unless of course you hate money.

This has always been true, and it will always be true.

The market is “betting” that Bernanke will come in with more “Quantitative Easing”, or even better, that it can force Bernanke to implement more “Quantitative Easing.” Japan in fact did this, and has continued to do so.”

I thought it was a bond bubble ?

 
 
Comment by Brett
2010-09-23 06:08:56

This is kind of disturbing.

While having happy hour with a couple of friends, they mentioned some changes their company will implement as a result of the new Health Care law.

This company is National Instruments here in Austin, TX.

The CEO announced the company will not hire any more support/customer service employees in the United States. These positions usually earn between 25 and 35k; the reason the company will only be hiring in Costa Rica from now on is because of the new health care law.

National Instruments offers a generous health plan to its employees. The CEO claimed the current health care cost per employee is somewhere between 10 to 15k, which is only expected to increase in the future, and it makes no financial sense to pay such high insurance for low-paying positions.

They will not lay people off because of the law, but if an employee leaves, he/she will not be replaced in the US. They will hire in Costa Rica; all new growth will also be in Costa Rica for customer service/support.

They haven’t made the announcement public yet, but I will try to get an official memo from my friends or an article for more details asap.

Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-23 06:33:25

Sounds like change we can believe in.

Comment by Brett
2010-09-23 06:59:17

Depressing change.

Comment by Steve J
2010-09-23 09:19:46

I don’t buy it.

What parts of the law are driving costs for next year? What precludes the company from passing these costs onto the employee?

I think this is a red herring to justify off shoring.

How many companies that cut 401k contributions have forgotten to restore them in the face of record profits? What about those ful surcharges due to $150 barrell oil?

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Comment by Brett
2010-09-23 09:38:14

You have to cover children up to 26 years old
You have to cover grandchildren if you’re they live with you

 
Comment by sold in 04
2010-09-23 10:19:29

26 years old are still considered dependents under the new health plan..think of the social ramfications our kids are such LOSERS THAT WE NOW HAVE TO COVER THEM TO AGE 26,because they cant take care of themselves,,…yes, they are setting up our middle class standard of living to equate mexico’s.s ,furthermore all insurance companies have stopped issuing policy to kids under 19…thanks obama now you have created a crisis and are allowing the health care industry to raise rates 30% across the board….to the few of us that actually pay for our coverage…..

 
Comment by Brett
2010-09-23 11:32:41

I kinda agree…. 26-year-old dependents?
I’d call them losers!

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 11:38:46

thanks obama now you have created a crisis and are allowing the health care industry to raise rates 30% across the board….to the few of us that actually pay for our coverage….

There will be fewer and fewer people who will be able to afford these rising costs. Which are for rising for no other reason than “Because we can!” That’s the motto of our health care industry, after all.

Can costs be lowered in health care? I happen to think that there’s quite a bit of waste that can be squeezed out of the system.

Take, for example, the very simple act of consulting with a health care provider. You call, and heaven forbid if you’re unable to speak or are hearing impaired, and make an appointment. Then you have to drag your @ss to a different location than your home or office, talk to someone who’s sitting there taking notes. On paper.

Contrast this with booking a flight. You can go to an airline website and book your trip without having to talk to anyone. Or struggle to hear what the airline reservation agent is telling you.

In essence, you’ve just made an appointment with Southwest Airlines. Or some other carrier.

Now, let’s get to the actual appointment. You’re sitting there talking to someone who’s taking notes. Why can’t you use some sort of online interactive diagnostic tool ahead of your appointment?

Face it, a lot of medicine is based on a decision tree model. In other words, if you have this set of symptoms, you’re probably going to get better on your own. OTOH, if you have that set of symptoms, you’d best see a doctor pronto-pronto.

I’d rather have the doctor/nurse practitioner/physicians assistant greeting me with the info I provided via the online interactive tool. “Okay, Slim. You’re coughing and can’t stop. And you can’t talk. Let’s check and see if you have bronchitis or pneumonia.”

BTW, the above scenario happened to me early last year. Which meant that event calling for an appointment was out of the question.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 11:43:13

I kinda agree…. 26-year-old dependents?
I’d call them losers!

I’d call them forgotten Americans.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 14:28:14

Yeah, let’s just conveniently forget the 10-17% UE. Or the 27% underemployment.

They’re just losers. :roll:

 
Comment by CA renter
2010-09-24 04:22:07

Wouldn’t **younger** plan participants lower costs per person, as they are usually healthy and don’t require much medical care?

IOW, the insurance companies are being paid for them, but these young people are likely to be a profit center, no?

 
 
Comment by maldonash
2010-09-25 09:55:13

my company insurance is up around 40-45% in the last two years… ugh! makes me not want to offer heath insurance as my profits are already almost null! although this year is particularly good.

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Comment by lavi d
2010-09-23 08:54:58

Sounds like change we can believe in.

The GOP could have collaborated with the Dems on an affordable health-care solution in service of the 50M people without health care and the many who can’t risk starting small businesses or are stuck in dead-end jobs “for the benefits”, thereby giving the finger to the medical-industrial-complex in the process.

But that would have been seen as a “win” for the White House and the Dems, so the people just have to suck it up with a broken, watered-down bill that causes the least amount of discomfort for our politician’s corporate masters.

Business as usual.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2010-09-23 06:41:11

THIS IS WHY WE NEEDED A PUBLIC OPTION.

Comment by Brett
2010-09-23 07:01:07

The money would have to come from somewhere to pay for that.
I assume a public option would translate into higher taxes, which neither party would take responsibility for.

Comment by oxide
2010-09-23 07:29:51

Presumably the money would come from the efficiency of eliminated the patchwork of regulations and payments, and from limiting the profit that these companies glean from the sick. As for taxes, I don’t see how it would be much different. You pay taxes for gov health insurance, or you pay taxes for the patchwork of Medicaid/VA/Indian Health/cyt services. Seems to cancel out…

By the way, the attitude of National Instruments and the health insurance companies who hike premiums for no reason, or refuse to cover children, is only driving this country toward public health care. I think the majority of people know full well that the faultsl lie with the private sector, not the government. (The minority want to government to get its hands out of their Medicare… )

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Comment by Brett
2010-09-23 08:15:46

Efficiency from a government agency?

 
Comment by DinOR
2010-09-23 08:25:29

“limiting the profit that these companies glean from the sick”

( Well.., ‘that’ is the business they’re IN, right? )

Or just let ‘em suffer.., whatever.

 
Comment by oxide
2010-09-23 08:43:21

a. Government doesn’t pay on time because they are inefficient. They pay…eventually.

b. private sector doesn’t pay because they deliberately convolute the paperwork, ask for more info just to delay payment so they can make interest off the float, and charge high prices for the service. They pay…eventually…if they didn’t deny you.

Pick your poison, i guess…

 
Comment by DinOR
2010-09-23 09:19:06

oxide,

Oh.., precisely! And never take anything I say as a defense of the HC Industry status quo. It’s just not possible to be more unhappy w/ the “deliberately convoluted paper-snarl” than I already am.

( The ‘float’ IS the gravy! ) and I’m just sick of it. The absolute -only- thing I fault the current admin. on is ram-rodding the very necessary changes in such hurried fashion.

I’d have preferred the HC ind. SQ be bled to death the same way they’ve done to us, Death By A Thousand CUTS!

 
Comment by In Montana
2010-09-23 09:35:46

Oh dear. It’s hard to tell when a company is doing something they wanted to do anyway, using some new public policy as an excuse.

 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2010-09-23 13:17:20

Brett: “Efficiency from a government agency?”

psst. It’s Idealist Oxide…Never met a government she didn’t like.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 14:34:19

Let me know when there is any actual efficiency from a corporation. :lol:

 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2010-09-23 16:20:36

Wal-Mart.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 17:09:11

Wal Mart? Did you really just say Wal Mart?!

I think I’ve hurt myself laughing.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 14:29:42

“The money would have to come from somewhere to pay for that.”

Yes. It’s called “efficiency.” The public option was shown to SAVE thousands per person.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 14:37:48

The public option was shown to SAVE thousands per person.

One of the things that I was/am hoping the public option would do is to figure out what does/does not work in the medical care field.

And, wouldn’t you know it, the United States is blessed with one of the best figuring-out teams on the planet. I’m talking about places like the National Institutes of Health, Centers for Disease Control, Food and Drug Administration, and our research universities.

One of the more intriguing efforts has been going on for, oh, 20 years or more at Dartmouth University. It’s called the Dartmouth Atlas of Health Care. It tracks health care disparities — not just in spending, but in outcomes.

With the coming of the public option, and, yes, it is coming, there will be a much larger data pool. Which means that we’ll be closer to figuring out what works vs. what pays the doctors and hospitals the most.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 17:11:05

The SINGLE biggest efficiency would come from using a single standard for claims.

 
Comment by CA renter
2010-09-24 04:27:00

Taxpayers already cover the most expensive patients — the elderly, the poor, and very sick children. If we were to cover the young and healthy as well, it would lower per person costs, no?

Just like with the financial industry, we give the private companies the profits, and taxpayers get the losses.

 
 
 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2010-09-23 07:01:21

How does that help? Businesses would most likely get hit with higher payroll-based taxes to pay for it, so the incentive would still be to offshore jobs to “independent contractors.”

Comment by FB wants a do over
2010-09-23 09:06:57

In an age of crazy ideas, perhaps apply tariffs on the offshore workers. Suspect big government would support it which in turn would help replenish the coffers. Then again, their corporate masters might put up a fight.

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Comment by zeus matuze
2010-09-23 13:43:03

How about trying a simple solution first? Such as allowing insurance companies to: (1)cross State lines and (2)open up competition.
What would happen if Sears, Walgreens, Walmart and others could offer health insurance?
Public Option is just a buzzword for government care. In other words, the same people that have given us $13 Trillion in immediate debt and $44 Trillion in entitlement debt will then be given carte blanche to run us completely into the ground.
No thanks.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 14:05:50

How about trying a simple solution first? Such as allowing insurance companies to: (1)cross State lines and (2)open up competition.

Probably too little and too late. Those were good ideas. Too bad the clowns running the Republican party would not let them come to the table in good faith.

They were NEVER prepared to deal honorably and constructively in that debate.

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Comment by jeff saturday
2010-09-23 06:52:22

Florida insurers stop writing ‘child-only’ health policies

By Linda Shrieves Orlando Sentinel
Updated: 9:38 a.m. Wednesday, Sept. 22, 2010

Most of Florida’s major health insurers have stopped writing new “child-only” insurance policies - some pulling out of the market just days before the health-care overhaul requires insurers to provide full coverage to kids with pre-existing conditions.

In Florida, insurers Cigna, Humana, Aetna, United Healthcare and Blue Cross/Blue Shield of Florida have stopped writing new policies for children-only.

The reason? Insurers worry that, under a new mandate that takes effect Thursday, parents will wait until a child is seriously ill to buy insurance.

Starting this summer, as the federal regulations were being written, health insurers began dropping coverage, one by one.

“At this point, I do not believe there is any carrier in Florida selling child-only policies,” said Randy Kammer, vice president of regulatory affairs and public policy for Blue Cross Blue/Shield of Florida. “The last carrier pulled out last week.”

Comment by packman
2010-09-23 07:43:16

When I was a kid, I used to think that there was no reason to buy insurance until something bad happens - why buy something you don’t need?

As I became an adult, I learned better. Oh yeah - that’s why. What sane insurance company would offer insurance to cover an event after the event has happened?

Apparently some people just never became adults.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 14:31:39

Uhm, do they realize this is a NATIONAL federal law?

That article reeks of scare tactics for the stoopid.

Comment by packman
2010-09-23 15:28:25

Scare tactic? It’s already happened, in one of the most populous states in the country. It is indeed a federal law, which means this exact same thing is going to happen to all of the estimated 300,000 - 700,000 policies (per the article) nationwide.

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Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 17:14:59

So let them cut off their nose to spite their face. That just means someone who CAN make money will come in and take over that business.

After all, isn’t that how competitive business is supposed to work?

Because quite frankly, anyone who denies health care to children should rot in hell. Preferably as soon as possible.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 17:25:39

Because quite frankly, anyone who denies health care to children should rot in hell. Preferably as soon as possible.

The truth held in that sentiment is why every other major country in the world treats health-care as more than just a “business”.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 18:48:19

That just means someone who CAN make money will come in and take over that business.

Um… yeah. No.

There’s no way in Hades that anyone came make money doing post-event insurance. If you think it can be done - give it a shot.

 
 
 
 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 06:52:50

Brett
Thank you for the insight. Something tells me that is going to be the new m o. We needed real reform, not the Lobbyist wet dream that was passed.

Health Ins firms in Ca. are already circumventing the provisions of the reform bill. I fight here is brewing on Child Only Plans, and not selling them anymore, because they have to insure pre-existing conditions. They’ve decided to terminate selling the coverage. Meanwhile, with mandatory coverage required for all Americans, their income stream will soar.

Meanwhile, the govt will continue to pay for the illegals. While getting a Digital Mammo, all the fat Spanish speaking older women had Medicare cards. Our health care is $16K for coverage for 2 adults. I am just so pissed. What a freakin mess.

Comment by sold in 04
2010-09-23 11:45:52

that was my experience recently as my daughter had knee surgery..sharing the room w/ her was a kid from mexico who had brain surgery..the social worker was interviewing dad he said he couldnt afford surgery in mexico so he came to children hosp in la,she said dont worry we will take care of it all….while i sat there having to pay out of network and asorbing those out poccket cost maximum $5000 plus paying 600 a month for coverage for the last 15 years,he gets it for free no worry about his out of pocket out of network,this is unfair and angers me….

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 11:54:32

couldnt afford surgery in mexico so he came to children hosp in la,she said dont worry we will take care of it all….while i sat there having to pay out of network and asorbing those out poccket cost maximum $5000 plus paying 600 a month for coverage for the last 15 years,he gets it for free no worry about his out of pocket out of network,this is unfair and angers me….

It’s totally unfair and shouldn’t happen.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 12:19:55

It’s totally unfair and shouldn’t happen.

I wonder what would happen if the bill was sent to the nearest Mexican consulate.

 
 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 12:23:01

sold in 04-
I hope your daughter is doing well, first and most importantly. It angers me too, as we aren’t going to be able to keep our insurance. It’s been going up $100+ a month each year for Kaiser.

The illegals don’t even have to pay the co-pay at Kaiser. What a country, you commit a transgression of Federal Law, and you’re covered 100%.

And it makes you wonder, how did the maggots got over the border in the first place, and knew about Children’s Hospital (la=Los Angeles?), and knew it was free?

We live in Thousand Oaks, once a upper middle community, it’s turning into another maggot infested nightmare.

Godspeed to your Daughter.

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Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 12:35:31

maggots “get” over the border.

Sorry, I blow a head gasket on this topic. I didn’t proof.

 
Comment by lavi d
2010-09-23 12:56:51

And it makes you wonder, how did the maggots got over the border in the first place, and knew about Children’s Hospital (la=Los Angeles?), and knew it was free?

Maggots?

I am really divided about all this (illegal immigration).

I think Fed and local government ought to mandate that all gov. business be conducted in English, for instance.

I don’t want to live in meta-Mexico.

But, I also have no sympathy for the legions of “Out of work, god bless” sign-holders when a thousand people a month risk their lives crossing the desert to come to the US just TO GET JOBS!

Having said that, how can you possibly call someone a “maggot” for doing his best to get health care for his kid?

How do you know they were not sponsored by a charitable organization? - it happens all the time. Sick kids from all over the world get brought to the US for life-saving medical treatment.

I can’t get behind calling people who are actually willing to die to get a job or try to save their kid’s life, “maggots”.

 
Comment by sold in 04
2010-09-23 13:00:29

by the way mother and father both had laptops and cell phones…the laptops were MACS…..THANK U FOR YOUR GOOD WISHES,surgeon was an artist did great work…i am happy to pay my fair share….

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 13:44:44

I live among them. We sold our home and got stuck. I have never ever met a group of more entitlement oriented people in my life, who have children as a business venture. Most pay no taxes, get free money from our govt., and drive around in nicer SUV’s then most Americans can afford (who are educated and work). Considering the conversation Sold in 04 heard between the Dad and the Social Worker, I would say he was illegal. Usually, charities tell people they are under their umbrella. My Sister is a Social Worker in Los Angeles, and it turns her stomach, but she can’t say anything. I am so sick of these freeloaders, who commited a transgression of Federal Law. In my world, at that point, they deserve nothing more than getting their toshes booted out of the USA. Nuff said.
P.S. Do some charity work for Americans, and grow a soft heart for them. I do Breast Cancer Charity work, and meet women who are too proud for their own good, and they’ve paid into the system for years. Oy Vey.

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 13:58:51

Oh, and one more thing, E-Verify is suppose to keep them from working here if they are illegal. We are a country, and so are the countries so of the border. You try this carp in one of those. They might be as corrupt but they aren’t as stupid.

 
Comment by lavi d
2010-09-23 15:39:52

Most pay no taxes, get free money from our govt., and drive around in nicer SUV’s then most Americans can afford(who are educated and work)

There are numerous people coming here illegally from other countries, living the good life and not working?

who have children as a business venture.

I assume you are talking about welfare payments to parents of “anchor babies”. Is there any other form of welfare an undocumented, non-working alien can collect?

(I’m totally against the whole “anchor baby” thing, by the way)

I mean, I know undocumented people can get emergency health care at hospitals, but I hadn’t heard about the SUV assistance program yet.

I read that the state of CA pays 540M to 192,000 anchor babies in welfare a year. That works out to about $2800/year per child. I suppose that’s a car payment if your SUV is painted red and reads “Radio Wagon” on the side.

factcheck.org

Considering the conversation Sold in 04 heard between the Dad and the Social Worker, I would say he was illegal.

Well, there’s your proof. A quick description of an overheard conversation in an internet blog post comment is all that anyone should need to come to a conclusion.

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-24 06:34:41

$540M is BS. It’s much more than that. And to reply with your “flavor”, a link on the internet is a fact?

In Ca we have EBT cards, where $ is transfered into checking accounts from the state. Besides debit cards, it can be taken out in cash at an ATM, or it can be accumulated w/ no cap limit. The no cap rule has turned into SUV down payments. I live in the epicenter of this criminal invasion. My sister works in the muck everyday. Free medical, almost free rent, free school lunches, free money, while real Americans suffer. These people who suck us dry are moral scum. Oh, and that includes all the 3rd world scum living in our once great country.

I like you, btw, but I live this reality everyday. We just see this topic difference.

What I experienced at our local SS office, when my mother was widowed, made me blow a head gasket.

 
 
 
 
Comment by WT Economist
2010-09-23 07:06:44

That’s what happens when health insurance is tied to place of work.

Also, how is it health insurance for the average person is $10,000 to $15,000 in low-cost Texas? I doubt my entire family has spent that much lifetime, except for three pregancies.

Comment by Brett
2010-09-23 07:30:00

I have no idea; those are the numbers my friends mentioned during the conversation.

As I said, I do not have official documents to give more details, but as soon as they become available, I’ll post them here.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 07:48:00

That’s what happens when health insurance is tied to place of work.

+1

This is very much a post-WWII model, and hides the true costs of health care. It would be nice to go back to the pre-WWII model, where people pretty much always bought their insurance independently.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2010-09-23 08:15:32

“Also, how is it health insurance for the average person is $10,000 to $15,000 in low-cost Texas? ”

I kind of wonder about that too. We have quite a few singles here were I work. I was told that it costs the company about $350 a month to provide them with health and dental.

I think that the CEO was BSing and just wanted to hire Ticos (what Costa Ricans call themselves) to do the job for under $1000 a month.

Comment by drumminj
2010-09-23 10:20:06

I was told that it costs the company about $350 a month to provide them with health and dental.

Go on COBRA and you’ll find out what it costs. At my last job, it was about $400/month for me, a single, healthy, 30-ish individual.

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Comment by JimJamesh
2010-09-23 12:12:02

I pay $350 for a family of 4 on Blue Cross Anthem. You have to shop and be smart. $30 doc visits. $5000 deduct.

 
 
 
Comment by Steve J
2010-09-23 09:36:28

They passed Tort reform about 8 years ago. 750k (non inflation adjusting) is all doctors are liable for. Malpractice law suits are a fraction of what they were prior.

It’s things like that that allow for such low cost medical insurance in Texas.

 
Comment by varelse
2010-09-23 09:53:23

“That’s what happens when health insurance is tied to place of work.”

+2!

 
 
Comment by The_Overdog
2010-09-23 07:47:51

I interviewed with National Instruments straight out of college. They asked lots of wierd family questions - more than cultish supplement provider MetaSolv.

I’m pretty sure they didn’t hire me because I wasn’t married. Several other friends who also interviewed with them got the same feeling.

Comment by Brett
2010-09-23 07:52:20

I seriously doubt it.

80% of my friends work at National Instruments and the vast majority are single males in their 20s.

 
Comment by Brett
2010-09-23 08:25:24

Most are very liberal, just like Austin. Although, there are fairly conservative people, but everyone is very respectful.

It’s a fun environment to work, but they don’t pay as well as other companies.

 
Comment by oxide
2010-09-23 08:44:35

Is that even legal? I know you’re not supposed to ask women if they are married or if they plan to have children.

Comment by Brett
2010-09-23 09:40:53

They didn’t ask me that when I had my round of interviews with them.
I call that comment bs!

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Comment by The_Overdog
2010-09-23 12:24:57

They did. In April of 2000. Seriously. Creepy company. Of course, the recruiter for JC Penny said the company was in terrible shape and to not work there, so maybe I just get people to open up.

 
 
 
 
Comment by AbsoluteBeginner
2010-09-23 07:50:38

Costa Rica?

Comment by Brett
2010-09-23 07:58:34

Yup. Costa Rica.
NI’s growth has been mostly in poor countries like Hungary and Malasya. Now, it’s Costa Rica’s turn.

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 07:56:05

This is why a single-payer, tax based health-care system as Canada has, would promote jobs, entrepreneurialism, capitalism and economic autonomy. It could save up to 40% of the costs of healthcare, save lives and cover everyone.

But it could never work in America because Canadians don’t have a big Army, are mostly white and a lot of them speak French.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 08:04:27

This is why a single-payer, tax based health-care system as Canada has, would promote jobs, entrepreneurialism, capitalism and economic autonomy. It could save up to 40% of the costs of healthcare, save lives and cover everyone.

And, after it goes into effect, the national anthem of this country will change to “Take This Job And Shove It!” (Slim’s especially fond of the Johnny Paycheck version.)

 
Comment by In Colorado
2010-09-23 08:16:58

Don’t forget, it gets really cold there too! And the play gridiron football with 12 players on a 110 yard field.

 
Comment by Brett
2010-09-23 08:17:19

“Canadians don’t have a big Army, are mostly white and a lot of them speak French.”

How does speaking french help them?

Comment by DinOR
2010-09-23 08:27:51

And this is why the Canadian economy -dwarfs- ours!

WTF?

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 08:36:25

And this is why the Canadian economy -dwarfs- ours! WTF?

Sorry. I didn’t understand the comment. Or was it a question?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 12:08:18

Single Payer Healthcare. It can’t ever work here. We are not socialists.

I give you exhibit A:
The Canadian Economy, A profile in Communistic Socialism:

The economies of Canada and the United States are extremely similar because they are both developed countries…
While the United States has in recent years had a large trade deficit Canada has recently maintained a trade surplus…. While the US is running deficits of about 4% of GDP, Canada has consistently posted a budget surplus of around 1% of GDP.

Canada’s income tax system is more heavily biased against the highest income earners, thus while Canada’s income tax rate is higher on average, the bottom fifty percent of the population is roughly taxed the same on income as in the United States.

Canada ranks higher than the USA in Economic Freedom of the World
Canada ranks higher than the USA the Index of Economic Freedom

Median household income 2008, Canada $51,951
Median household income 2008, USA $49,777

wiki

 
Comment by CA renter
2010-09-24 04:36:36

Nice job, Rio.

 
 
 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 09:09:01

Canadians have the most powerful armed forces in the world.. it’s called the US military. They just don’t have to pay for it.

Comment by rosie
2010-09-23 11:25:25

Well excuse us. Canada, with a population of 33 mil has provided troops all around the world. We have 2500 in Afghanistan and have lost 155 to date. We also take care of the second largest nation on earth, geographically. We do what we can. As for health care, our system is straining like everyone elses around the world. There is no magic bullet. But at least we are all covered, for now.

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Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 11:54:50

it’s not a criticism. We take care of each other.

my only point is that Canadians need not spend money on a military actually capable of defending the whole of Canada, and can instead use the money to fund a health care system, or to buy something else.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2010-09-23 15:22:09

Maybe Canada doesn’t need a mongo military because they haven’t made invading and occupying other countries because they have resources into their national sport.

The world isn’t buying that we are the benevolent gendarme that’s keeping everyone safe. We are perceived as imperialists and invaders.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 16:04:43

We are perceived as imperialists and invaders.

Indeed we are. I got an earful of this very thing when I was in Europe during the 1970s.

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 16:42:20

…because they haven’t made invading and occupying other countries..

Why would any aggressor give two hoots about whether or not Canada tried to invade someone?

If China or Russia, Japan or anyone else wanted it now, in the past, or in the future, they would just storm in and take it.

but then they’d be messing with us. Not a good idea.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 08:02:30

National Instruments offers a generous health plan to its employees. The CEO claimed the current health care cost per employee is somewhere between 10 to 15k, which is only expected to increase in the future, and it makes no financial sense to pay such high insurance for low-paying positions.

Which is a good reason why health insurance should be decoupled from employment status.

Comment by drumminj
2010-09-23 10:21:09

Which is a good reason why health insurance should be decoupled from employment status.

Yes…so the government should stop encouraging it.

yes, government regulation is the PROBLEM, not the solution in this case!

Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 14:38:59

Yeah! Because we all know that corporations have your best interest at heart. They REALLY do! They even said so! :roll:

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Comment by maldonash
2010-09-25 10:02:41

we have otto von bismarck to thank for the coupling of heath insurance to employment … also for the welfare state … imho i think also his policies and ideas created WWI and II

 
 
Comment by drumminj
2010-09-23 10:16:30

This company is National Instruments here in Austin, TX.

Brett, we likely know people in common, as I put in 7 years @ NI when I was in Austin.

Comment by Brett
2010-09-23 16:21:01

Maybe. Most of my friends have been there 5 years or less. Although I’ve met a lot of the managers and such at company events.
It seems like a fun place to work, but the pay they offered was lower than other places.

Comment by drumminj
2010-09-23 21:03:57

It seems like a fun place to work, but the pay they offered was lower than other places.

Yep. A year after leaving NI I was making 50% more than I made there. But it is a good place if you lack ambition and just want a solid job working 40-50 hours a week :)

I worked on LabVIEW and the LEGO Mindstorms projects. I’m sure some of the folks you know would know me by name (for good or bad!)

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Comment by cactus
2010-09-23 12:39:24

Costa Rica for customer service/support.”

going to be a lot of pissed off test engineers

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 14:36:46

More anecdotal scare tactics. The business was going to do this anyway, but now has a bogeyman scapegoat because people don’t really don’t know the details of the health reform yet.

Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 17:20:10

Dang phone call.

“… people really don’t know the details…” :roll:

 
 
 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 06:14:07

Wanted to step back and revisit one thing on the Germany discussion yesterday, with this late-night post as context:

But wait! Wasn’t Germany destroyed in WWII? How can they be better than us when we had the only real manufacturing base after WWII?

That’s a rhetorical question, BTW.

The thread wasn’t discussing Germany’s economic strength - it was discussing their export levels. They are not the same thing.

China does way more exporting than the U.S. Would anyone honestly say that they’re stronger than the U.S. economically?

They are related, of course, but not the same or even necessarily dependent.

E.g. as one stat - it’s worth noting that until this depression Germany generally has had way higher unemployment than us - e.g. in 2006 Germany had 11.7% vs. 4.5% in the U.S.

As another (more close to the point) measure - in GDP per capita the U.S. ranks quite a bit ahead of Germany. (data as of 2009)

(China is waaaaay down the lists, BTW)

Also unmentioned - Germany doesn’t have a very long porous border across which 10’s of millions of unskilled immigrants have crossed into the country the last few decades.

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 06:38:48

“Germany doesn’t have a very long porous border across which 10’s of millions of unskilled immigrants have crossed into the country the last few decades.”

Perhaps you were asleep when the Berlin Wall came down.

Comment by packman
2010-09-23 06:58:35

Yes that’s a good point. However it was a one-time integration, not continuous. And the east German’s weren’t nearly as unskilled as most Mexicans are.

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 07:18:11

Germany has the Turks and the others from the “Ost”. Don’t forget about them. They’re a more appropriate comparison for our relationship with our own low cost imported labor units.

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Comment by CA renter
2010-09-24 04:40:05

Yes. My family is from Austria, and they complain of this same problem (Turks especially).

 
 
 
 
Comment by whyoung
2010-09-23 06:43:12

“Germany doesn’t have a very long porous border”

I have German friends who are concerned about their “guest worker” neighbors (some of whom were born there to foreign parents but are not citizens) and the people from other parts of the EU (who apparently have a right to live and work there) who will gladly work for less.

Not quite the same situation as ours, but since they have no real tradition of immigration, it’s challenging for them.

Comment by DennisN
2010-09-23 07:00:56

IIRC the postwar labor shortage in Germany was solved by their own “bracero” program of importing Turkish guest workers (”Gastarbeiter”). So they have a history of immigrant labor dating back at least to the late 1940’s.

 
 
Comment by Mike in Miami
2010-09-23 07:22:13

“Germany doesn’t have a very long porous border across which 10’s of millions of unskilled immigrants have crossed into the country the last few decades”
Wrong! They have a bunch of people from Eastern Europe and the middle east, Pakistan and Africa. It’s really easy to get into Germany. Not sure about the exact level but it seems similar to the level of illegals in the US.
GDP is not equal to GDP. One measure is the activity of Ponzi schemes and fraudulent financial transactions while the other measures actual production of industrial goods. If we/Wall Street would actually produce stuff they would find out that producing stuff is much harder than running financial swindles.
As far as population density and public transportation. It won’t work in the US ‘cos of low density…I live in Miami which has about the same density as any average German city. Still our public transportation system is abyssmal. No bike lanes, ONE metro rail with 23 stations for a metro area of 5.5 million.

Comment by packman
2010-09-23 08:02:12

I live in Miami which has about the same density as any average German city.

Sorry - not even close.

Density (people per sq mile):

Berlin: 9,987
Frankfurt: 7,009
Munich: 11,100
Hamburg: 6,068
Dresden: 4,073
Miami: 890

(I’ll given you the “I live in Miami” part :) )

Comment by packman
2010-09-23 08:06:19

Note - that density is the metro area as a whole. The actual city of Miami is indeed high, at 11,581. However the city of Miami only has a population of 447,000 people.

I’ve been though Germany a fair amount (mostly by train). There’s much more of a hard division between city and country than there is in the U.S. - i.e. a lot less suburban areas. This of course lends itself to much more cost-effective public transportation.

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Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 08:13:12

“There’s much more of a hard division between city and country than there is in the U.S.”

That’s one huge reason I find Japan’s geography so alluring. One minute you’re in a bustling city, then you hurtle through a tunnel, and suddenly you’re in a wide open plain of rice paddies.

Here it’s an hour and half drive to anything that looks like countryside. Yuck!

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 08:13:59

P.S. I lived down there for 6 years - lived in Boynton, and met my future wife in Coconut Grove. I can vouch that the metro’s abysmal (that whole circular rail thing is … weird, but interesting). However it really would be impossible to do a complete public rail system there, due to the huge spread of the suburbs. There’s fairly complete coverage with the bus system though, and tri-rail helps (thought even that’s not really that useful).

Bottom line is that it just doesn’t make sense to put in a complete system of both roads and rail; it’s just not economically feasible. A complete rail system only makes sense when you have both high density and high population levels.

 
 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 08:20:53

Our US crony-capitalist, race to the bottom, we’re #1, anti-union, corporatist, winner take all, “free-market”, monopolistic system is JUNK.

Our numbers are punk. We’ve gutted our economy so completely to benefit the rich, the world doesn’t even want our stuff anymore. Look at the numbers of the world’s largest exporters.

1. European Union “Socialist”
2. Red China Communist/Capitalist bastardized hybrid
3. Germany “Socialist”
4. USA “Capitalist” source: wiki

Look at the above list. Does this mean that when Rush and Beck scoff at the Euro “Socialists” they are really scoffing at the real capitalists?

I mean it’s the capitalists who make and sell stuff right? And that kind of thing is measured in numbers, numbers that can be ranked like in the above list right?

But….“The USA is not Europe” they say.

Well if judging by the above ranking, I’d say they were right.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-23 10:15:04

Look at the numbers of the world’s largest exporters.

1. European Union “Socialist”
2. Red China Communist/Capitalist bastardized hybrid
3. Germany “Socialist”
4. USA “Capitalist”

Look at the above list. Does this mean that when Rush and Beck scoff at the Euro “Socialists” they are really scoffing at the real capitalists?

Glenbeckinstan: “You Lie!”

BWAHAHAHicHAHAHicHAHAHAHAHicHAHAHic* (DennisN™)

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 10:31:41

O…K…

So if the strength of a countrie’s economy is measured by its trade balance, do you believe Mexico ($-1.58B) to be much stronger than the U.S. ($-380.1B)? Chad, at

List of countries with a stronger trade balance than the U.S.:

All of them

So - is the U.S. really the weakest economic country in the world?

I’ll give you this - when you measure only exports, the U.S. does still rank fairly low (41st, as measured by per-Capita), and indeed lower than all the significant European socialized countries. However this is due to much more to our higher standard of living (including yes mass consumerism) than economic weakness. As presented yesterday - our GDP per capita is still quite a bit larger than all the larger socialized countries, including Germany. We export less because we keep a lot more of what we produce than most countries.

Not trying to present the U.S. as a panacea - just stating that using export levels to justify socialism is completely invalid.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 11:09:55

So if the strength of a countrie’s economy is measured by its trade balance, do you believe Mexico ($-1.58B) to be much stronger than the U.S. ($-380.1B)? Chad, at ……Not trying to present the U.S. as a panacea - just stating that using export levels to justify socialism is completely invalid….

No, but it’s part of it. Especially when we’re talking about first world countries and high value added goods. Isn’t Mexico’s exports mainly Oil?

And who’s trying to justify “socialism”. I don’t even believe Northern Europe and Germany are “socialist”. The do have some socialist policies as does the USA. But they are darn good capitalists too and they have a high quality of life.

As far as exports, the Euro “Socialists” are BETTER capitalists than us Americans. They kick our economic butts up and down our crumbling streets. (Maybe because they are not afraid to get hurt because they have health insurance)

Also the label thing is misleading. For example. The 10 most happy countries in the world are in countries that AM radio says are “socialist”. But doesn’t everyone want to be happy?

Does this list mean Socialists are actually the happiest people in the world?

Happiness net (most recent) by country

# 1 Iceland: 94%
= 2 Sweden: 91%
= 2 Denmark: 91%
= 2 Netherlands: 91%
# 5 Australia: 90%
= 6 Ireland: 89%
= 6 Switzerland: 89%
# 8 Norway: 88%
= 9 United Kingdom: 87%
= 9 Venezuela:

SOURCE: World Values Survey 2005
http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/lif_hap_net-lifestyle-happiness-net

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-23 11:47:55

Happiness net by country
# 1 Iceland: 94%

The pleasure derived from telling your Gov’t leaders to stick repayment policies up their … ? Priceless! ;-)

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 12:07:15

Cripes, must that stupid list be trotted out every time there’s a discussion about socialism? (Or in this case a discussion about exporting that got hijacked into a discussion about socialism)

There are a lot more factors to “happiness” than politics and economic systems - like demographics, geography, weather, etc.

The U.S. is ahead of Canada, and yet Canada has a social safety net. Same with Japan. There are a couple of strong counterpoints. #1 on the list is Iceland, but they’re on verge of bankruptcy - not exactly something I’d crow about (and something which very much makes me doubt the validity of that list).

Personally - the best correlation I see in that list is how good looking the women are. Seriously. I think the only reason Venezuela’s not #1 is their big political problems. Well - plus the U.K. seems to be an anomaly.

(Well, half seriously perhaps.)

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 12:20:59

Cripes, must that stupid list be trotted out every time there’s a discussion about socialism?

I never saw it brought up, but I hope so.

weather,

Weather? did you see the list?

strong counterpoints. #1 on the list is Iceland, but they’re on verge of bankruptcy - not exactly something I’d crow about (and something which very much makes me doubt the validity of that list).

The list was 2005. Iceland was not BK. The USA was BOOMING and we still got our clock cleaned by “socialist” countries. I bet our position has fallen far since 2008.

Personally - the best correlation I see in that list is how good looking the women are.

I see that and I also see that those countries have very strong social safety nets which enables people to relax, smell the flowers and not constantly worry during their short time on earth. And all those countries have very rich people too.

 
Comment by lavi d
2010-09-23 12:39:53

# 1 Iceland: 94%
= 2 Sweden: 91%
= 2 Denmark: 91%
= 2 Netherlands: 91%
# 5 Australia: 90%
= 6 Ireland: 89%
= 6 Switzerland: 89%
# 8 Norway: 88%
= 9 United Kingdom: 87%
= 9 Venezuela:

The Swedes are happy because their women are so hot. The Dutch because they’re all stoned. I have no idea what the Aussies and Irish are so happy about, except maybe because the rest of the world thinks it’s cute the way they talk.

Iceland because the people actually have a voice in their government - whether the government likes it or not - they told the bankers to get fooked.

The Swiss have those great knives and those big dogs running around with little caskets of brandy on their collars. Obviously the Norwegians are happy because they are the least religious country in the world.

Venezualy, Denmark and UK? No idea.

 
Comment by lavi d
2010-09-23 13:10:31

Venezualy? Seriously?

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 13:13:31

Rio - I note you left out demographics; IMO the most important factor, by far - both in terms of happiness, and in terms of the financial burden a social safety net would be. Note the difference between the U.S. and all those other happier countries.

(I didn’t see anything about weather on the site - can you point me to what category/subcategory?)

 
Comment by In Colorado
2010-09-23 13:15:14

The Swedes are happy because their women are so hot.

I’ve went to Stockholm once. I was slightly underwhelmed with beauty of the women. They were OK, but no prettier than ladies in other major cities in the EU.

 
Comment by lavi d
2010-09-23 13:22:18

I was slightly underwhelmed with beauty of the women.

Great. Thanks for sharing.

:)

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 13:41:22

I note you left out demographics; IMO the most important factor, by far - both in terms of happiness, and in terms of the financial burden a social safety net would be. Note the difference between the U.S. and all those other happier countries.

Why do you think demographics are the most important factor in terms of happiness?

And about demographics being the most important factor in terms of the financial burden a social safety net would be, consider:

Don’t all of those countries spend relatively more than America on their social safety nets now? Therefore, theirs is already currently the greater burden no matter their demographics.

It’s not like America is spending as much as them right now but because of our unique demographics we would need to spend more than them for similar results. Currently, we don’t even equal their relative spending on social safety nets. So how could we say American demographics would require America to spend relatively more than those “happy” countries?

As far as weather, I was just commenting that most those happy countries don’t have great weather.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 13:59:32

Why do you think demographics are the most important factor in terms of happiness?

Main reasons:
- Racial strife. We brought it on, but it is what it is.
- Crime
- Immigration conflicts

And actually I shouldn’t say it’s the most important strictly with happiness; I mean to say most important for the combination of the two factors.

Don’t all of those countries spend relatively more than America on their social safety nets now?

No actually, they don’t. E.g. France and the U.S. both spend about 8% of the GDP on public health care. The U.S. spends an additional 8% on private health care. This IMO is in large part due to the demographics I mention.

Don’t get me wrong - I don’t like our health care system at all, but I think going towards universal coverage, especially as paid for by public spending, is the wrong direction. It will only further bankrupt us. Same with other social safety nets. Trying to use other countries as examples is comparing apples and oranges.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 14:17:31

France and the U.S. both spend about 8% of the GDP on public health care. The U.S. spends an additional 8% on private health care.

Because it’s structural. France’s, Europe and Canada’s structure is better in healthcare delivery. We CAN compare and learn from those countries.

And they do spend more on their social safety nets and they pay for it by protecting the tax base of their good jobs, higher wages because of stronger unions, highly progressive taxes, and higher taxed rich people who only can only own 4 homes instead of 8. This is how you pay for it without going bankrupt.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 14:20:12

higher taxed rich people who only can only AFFORD TO own 4 homes instead of 8.

(It is the extreme concentration of wealth in the USA that is bankrupting us and putting us on the path of 3rd world banana republicanism.)

This is no mystery.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 14:58:55

“This is no mystery.”

Well apparently it’s rocket surgery and reely, reely complicated brain science for many people.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 15:21:09

http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/eco_net_soc_exp_of_gdp-economy-net-social-expenditure-gdp

I found for 2001. USA a bit less than weighted average.

Economy Statistics > Net social expenditure > % of GDP
Showing latest available data.
Rank Countries Amount
# 1 Sweden: 30.6 % of GDP
# 2 Germany: 28.8 % of GDP
# 3 Belgium: 28.5 % of GDP
# 4 Denmark: 27.5 % of GDP
# 5 Finland: 25.6 % of GDP
# 6 Italy: 25.3 % of GDP
# 7 Norway: 25.1 % of GDP
= 8 United Kingdom: 24.6 % of GDP
= 8 Austria: 24.6 % of GDP
# 10 Netherlands: 24 % of GDP
# 11 United States: 23.4 % of GDP
# 12 Australia: 21.9 % of GDP
# 13 Canada: 21.8 % of GDP
# 14 Ireland: 18.4 % of GDP
# 15 New Zealand: 17.5 % of GDP
# 16 Japan: 15.7 % of GDP
Weighted average: 24.0 % of GDP

DEFINITION: Net public social spending as a percentage of GDP. This also includes public health expenditure.

 
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2010-09-23 10:44:24

The only stuff the others want from us is food and raw materials. Oh, and guns.

 
 
Comment by measton
2010-09-23 10:21:20

Germany counts people with part time jobs who want full time work as unemployed.

Also intersting piece on approach to labor flexibility.

seekingalpha.com/article/218576-unemployment-rates-u-s-vs-germany

Probably wouldn’t work as well for the US because people get their insurance through their job and off loading that cost has got to be a great incentive to fire someone vs just cutting hours.

Comment by measton
2010-09-23 10:28:44

Per wikipedia

normalized unemployment for men aged 25 to 54 was 4.6% in the U.S. and 7.4% in France. At the same time and for the same population the employment rate (number of workers divided by population) was 86.3% in the U.S. and 86.7% in France.

This example shows that the unemployment rate is 60% higher in France than in the U.S., yet more people in this demographic are working in France than in the U.S., which is counterintuitive if it is expected that the unemployment rate reflects the health of the labor market. Same is true for Germany.

n 1999, economists Lawrence F. Katz and Alan B. Krueger estimated that increased incarceration lowered measured unemployment in the United States by 0.17% between 1985 and the late 1990s. In particular, as of 2005, roughly 0.7% of the U.S. population is incarcerated (1.5% of the available working population).

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 14:51:49

Let’s ask the 50 million without health insurance and the 15 million people out of work and the millions who are working 2-3 jobs, let alone the millions who have seen either wages cuts or frozen, how that “GDP” is working out for them, shall we?

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2010-09-23 06:32:32

Jobless Claims Rise in Latest Week
Wall Street Journal | September 23, 2010 | By SARAH N. LYNCH And JEFFREY SPARSHOTT

The number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits rose by more than economists expected last week in yet another reminder of continued weakness in the labor market.

Initial unemployment claims increased by 12,000 to 465,000 in the week ended Sept. 18, the Labor Department said in its weekly report Thursday. New claims for the previous week, ended Sept. 11, were revised upward to 453,000 from 450,000.

A Labor Department economist Thursday said a rise in claims is generally expected in the reporting week after a federal holiday, but this year the filings went up by a little more than anticipated.

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 07:21:29

Only one more BLS report until election day. Last night all eyes were on this morning’s number as the wizards tried to divine what September’s #s would be.

 
Comment by combotechie
2010-09-23 07:23:42

The Jobless Recovery is moving forward nicely.

I like that term, “jobless recovery”; It aptly demonstrates the mentality of the Great Thinkers of our time.

Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 07:51:52

“jobless recover” is what my EE husband calls “mental m*sturbation”, but we’ve met people who believe it and try to explain it to us. After we roll our eyes, they learn that EE’s, although not trained as “Economists”, are logical.

Comment by In Colorado
2010-09-23 08:02:18

This one is 8 years old, but IMHO is timeless:

http://www.markfiore.com/user/1/animation/408

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Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 08:34:48

Try asking such folks if that means the fewer jobs we have the stronger the recovery will be. See if any fall for it.

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Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 15:03:02

Why not, awaiting wipeout? It’s worked every damn time before.

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Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-23 10:18:20

a child-less day care.

a waterproof-less raincoat.

a liquid-less drink.

a wind-less hurricane.

a leader-less government.

a meaningless speech.

a head-less talking head.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 15:01:31

“A little more than anticipated?”

Does he mean… “unexpectedly?” :lol:

 
 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 07:53:16

Credit card debt not really falling at all. HBBers are right again, it’s really the charge offs and write downs that are being passed off as consumer thriftiness.

http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Banking/YourCreditRating/credit-card-debt-falling-not-really.aspx

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 08:06:37

Sounds like a return to the 1970s era of credit carding is in the offing. Remember those days? You couldn’t get a card unless you had some bucks of your own. Not to mention a certain level of income.

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 10:57:01

As it should.

 
Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-23 11:09:24

You mean back then people had to pay the money back?

 
 
Comment by rms
2010-09-23 11:03:05

“Credit card debt not really falling at all.”

Likely going up for those who are drowning.

I always laugh when I see these “average CC debt” stories in the press explaining the problem as $7k per debtor. The above $120k is closer to the truth, IMHO. When I was a doing repo work in the eighties the typical flake going down in flames usually had $50k+ on their CC’s, and their $20k auto loans, and the house, and…

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 13:10:32

The article says as much, those that haven’t been cut off are charging up their cards to the hilt. They think they are buying themselves time until the recovery kicks in, but they’re really racing for the cliff.

This is a colassal race against time, on the global, national and individual level.

 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-23 08:32:38

This is a good thing in our jobless recovery…

Weekly jobless claims climb 12,000 to 465,000

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - The number of people who filed new claims for unemployment benefits jumped 12,000 to 465,000 in the latest week, the Labor Department reported Thursday. New claims had dropped two straight weeks, but part of the decline stemmed from a disruption in the government’s data collection caused by the Labor Day holiday in early September. Claims often rise after the holiday. Economists polled by MarketWatch had expected initial claims to rise to a seasonally adjusted 455,000 in the week ended Sept. 18. The four-week average of initial claims, which is less volatile than the weekly number, dipped 3,250 to 463,250, the lowest level since the end of July. Continuing claims fell 48,000 to 4,49 million. Altogether, some 9.18 million people were receiving employment benefits in the week ended Sept. 4.

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 08:40:10

That’s because “Recovery Summer” ended at 11:09 p.m. EDT yesterday.

 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-23 08:41:18

The DOW always turns green when more folks get the boot.

Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 15:06:09

Down 76.89 today.

 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-23 08:34:40

U.S. IPOs Raise Lowest Amount in Decade Versus Cash Aim

Companies in the U.S. are raising less this year from initial public offerings than any time in at least a decade compared with the amount they filed to sell.

IPOs on the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq Stock Market have raised $19.1 billion in 2010, while companies from Nielsen Holdings BV and Demand Media Inc. to General Motors Co. filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission to sell $48.9 billion in shares, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s the widest gap since at least 1999, the data show.

More than half the companies that submitted plans for IPOs in 2010 have yet to complete them after 61 percent of this year’s offerings left buyers with losses. While 68 percent of the deals raised less than sought, private equity funds and venture capital firms are still seeking to sell holdings after the financial crisis blocked them from exiting investments.

Comment by combotechie
2010-09-23 11:40:36

The lemmings are short of cash.

Because they are short of cash and need money the lemmings will become net sellers of stocks instead of net buyers of stocks as they were when money was plentiful.

Plentiful money = rising stock prices.

Scarce money = falling stock prices.

Also, lemmings equate Price with Value. If the price rises then the value must be rising so they buy. If the price drops then the value must be dropping so they sell.

They don’t do this with other things - such as tomatoes - but they do this all the time with stocks.

Buy stocks when the lemmings are selling at a P/E below eight and you will surely die rich.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-23 08:36:26

Home Sales Up 7.6 pct. in August; Sales Still Weak- AP

Sales of previously occupied homes rose last month, but not enough to keep August from being the second-worst month for sales in more than a decade.

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 09:38:23

Still the highest months of supply ever, and millions in the shadow inventory. Time to get some more hot buttered popcorn ready for the spring selling season.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-23 08:43:13

What deflation? Prices are rising!

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — Deflation might be the economic buzzword right now, yet prices seem to be going up on everything from a cup of coffee to Dallas Cowboys tickets.

Nationwide, prices rose at a sluggish 1.1% pace over the last year, and economists say falling prices could be a concern going forward. But while deflation fears make headlines, prices for all sorts of consumer staples, luxury items and leisure activities are on the rise.

“I certainly don’t see any deflation in my life whatsoever… I just keep seeing prices going up, and I’m a bargain hunter,” said Terri Huggins of Brunswick, N.J.

Huggins used to commute to New York several times a month to pursue freelance jobs. But after New Jersey Transit hiked its fares by 25% earlier this year, she cut those trips in half.

She’s not alone. Across the country, public transportation prices have gone up an average of 6.6% in the last year, according to the government’s latest report on inflation. And the situation for drivers isn’t much better; the price of gas has also risen — about 7% — to $2.72 per gallon.

While some major costs may be falling and keeping overall inflation low, many other costs of daily life are in fact becoming more expensive.

For example, sinking home prices have been dragging down the inflation rate, said Dean Baker, co-director and economist with the Center for Economic and Policy Research. But some basic costs of maintaining a home, like water, sewer and trash services, have risen 5.7% in the last year.

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 08:48:42

“…public transportation prices have gone up an average of 6.6%…”

This is like the worst stat to base an inflation argument on. Public transit funding is tied to state and local tax revenues - which are way down nationwide. Those fares went up to try to offset the loss of that income. A case of a shortage of cash causing a rise in the price of a specific service.

Comment by combotechie
2010-09-23 09:10:20

Yep. Lots of businesses are doing the same.

A retailer, for example, needs to meet expenses, but if its sales volume drops off its only recourse is to raise prices to keep afloat, which will work until sales drop past the tipping point at which time the retailer folds up shop.

But the time span between raising prices and folding up shop is a time of rising inflation as measured by rising prices. But rising prices DO NOT MEAN the retailer was making more money; if the rise in prices does not offset the decline in sales volume the the business will be losing money.

But the bean counters don’t measure sales volume, they only measure prices. The sales volume of an item with a raised price could go to zero and still the bean counter would tally the item up as one that is adding to the inflation statistics.

 
 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 09:02:08

…prices for all sorts of consumer staples, luxury items and leisure activities are on the rise.

i can see why consumer staples and fuel might rise. People must have them so the audience is captive, so to speak… and sellers can get away with it to a degree.

as for luxury and leisure, if they can raise prices and still sell the products, it might say more about people than it does about the economy. People need relief from bad times. The supply of “relief” has shrunk and the market value of “feeling good” has appreciated.

 
Comment by cactus
2010-09-23 12:45:33

But some basic costs of maintaining a home, like water, sewer and trash services, have risen 5.7% in the last year.’

Hmmm can’t outsource that stuff

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 15:08:04

As I’ve been saying…

 
 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2010-09-23 08:56:46

“The parent company of XXX Savings Bank completed a conversion from mutual holding company structure to a stock form holding company in early July.”

Can anyone comment on whether or not there are any reasons I should be concerned about this move?

Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 10:17:52

Here’s a very critical page about an insurance company’s move. You might glean some insight from it.

http://www.insurancejournal.com/magazines/southcentral/2001/04/30/partingshots/18694.htm

The switch: When it comes time to demutualize, the “owners” get an interest in the newly created mutual holding company and no stock in the newly created stock insurer subsidiary. The company’s executives get that, or a lot of it, anyway. Interest in a mutual holding company is equivalent to owning the air under a pea-less shell.

if it were me, i’d ask a tax attorney/advisor or some pro who deals in this stuff.

Comment by CarrieAnn
2010-09-23 11:46:48

Thanks Joey.

 
 
Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-23 10:28:15

I think XXX bank might be just a front for a porn company. I would be very concerned.

 
 
Comment by butters
2010-09-23 09:00:16

Watching Wal-Mart at Midnight
WSJ

Bill Simon, CEO of Wal-Mart’s U.S. business, at a Goldman Sachs conference last week, on behavior at a Walmart store around midnight at the end of a month:

“The paycheck cycle we’ve talked about before remains extreme. It is our responsibility to figure out how to sell in that environment, adjusting pack sizes, large pack at sizes the beginning of the month, small pack sizes at the end of the month. And to figure out how to deal with what is an ever-increasing amount of transactions being paid for with government assistance.

“And you need not go further than one of our stores on midnight at the end of the month. And it’s real interesting to watch, about 11 p.m., customers start to come in and shop, fill their grocery basket with basic items, baby formula, milk, bread, eggs,and continue to shop and mill about the store until midnight, when electronic — government electronic benefits cards get activated and then the checkout starts and occurs. And our sales for those first few hours on the first of the month are substantially and significantly higher.

“And if you really think about it, the only reason somebody gets out in the middle of the night and buys baby formula is that they need it, and they’ve been waiting for it. Otherwise, we are open 24 hours — come at 5 a.m., come at 7 a.m., come at 10 a.m. But if you are there at midnight, you are there for a reason.”

Comment by combotechie
2010-09-23 09:12:53

Now THAT is living on the edge.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 09:17:29

And, sad to say, a lot of people are doing just that.

Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 15:10:10

MILLIONS

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Comment by packman
2010-09-23 09:19:02

Living bottle-to-bottle (just not in the drunken hobo sense).

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 09:28:31

living on the edge is a way of life.

I’ve given extra money to people… and the money is gone fast. Spent on crap. No matter how much, they will spend it “on time” or a bit too early.

Comment by DinOR
2010-09-23 09:48:02

True to all of the above, but I’m somehow walking away w/ a somewhat different impression?

Notice how these ppl are getting caught in the crossfire of private/public influences. Everybody and their brother knows when they’re flush and when they’re bust. Then they begin tayloring their “retail mix” accordingly.

Might serve us better if recipients were dist. checks based on random dates rather than fixed so they weren’t so easy to target/exploit? Just a thought. Oh and having been in the military, been there.

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Comment by combotechie
2010-09-23 10:14:03

The first day of the month used to be called “Mother’s Day” in the inner cities because this was when the welfare checks used to arrive.

As soon as the welfare checks arrived the boyfriends would show up, spend some time rubbing body parts with the lonely mothers, then they would leave with a hefty chunk of change forked over by the mothers.

Big article about this in the L.A.Times some years ago.

 
Comment by DinOR
2010-09-23 10:29:47

combo,

In the Navy we applied somewhat differently, as in come payday ( you had to pay this mother… and you owed that ‘other’ mother… )

I just think tatt’ing it to their forehead makes them even more susceptible to falling prey ( payday loans etc? ) Could serve to smooth out that end of retail as well.

Oh and btw, “packaging to price” isn’t the same thing as ’selling’ Walmart A-HOLES!

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 10:35:01

As soon as the welfare checks arrived the boyfriends would show up, spend some time rubbing body parts with the lonely mothers, then they would leave with a hefty chunk of change forked over by the mothers.

Hmmmm, why can’t I find men like that? Except for the part about having to pay these fellas for their, ahem, services, the rest of this deal sound pretty appealing.

But then again, I’m not a welfare mother. And I’m not exactly lonely.

 
Comment by combotechie
2010-09-23 10:38:36

“Packaging to Price” = Let no dollar escape.

Dollars that enter Walmart need to stay in Walmart.

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 10:39:10

not a bad idea to consider distributing all govt support throughout the month, imo. Sales would even out. The bureaucratic cost might rise.

As for targeting/exploiting consumers, that’s just business. No person or group is considered to be out of range, rich poor or in between. We’re all targets.

i own some walmart and i’m not at all happy with this particular move, nor with some other changes i see at the stores.. They are wasting money and effort.
Management is straying away from what WalMart is known for [Insert snappy litte quip here] instead of capitalizing on it.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 12:09:31

What move?

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 12:43:30

“… It is our responsibility to figure out how to sell in that environment…And to figure out how to deal with what is an ever-increasing amount of transactions being paid for with government assistance.

They don’t need to “figure out” how to sell in this new environment. They arrived. A long time ago.
This change in the environment is a huge windfall, being offered to Wmart on a silver platter, but they insist on paying for it.

Adjusting package quantities according to the day of the month will not increase govt assist money currently spent in Wmart by one thin dime.
Maybe that’s not considered a “move” but it is a waste of money, and follows a other examples of recent, unnecessary spending.

If it aint broke, don’t spend my money trying to fix it.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 13:27:20

Sounds like you’re more angry at the government than at Wal-Mart (which I agree with).

Government benefits being what they are - why wouldn’t they try to take advantage of the way things are done? E.g. I could definitely see a benefit of larger package sizes at the beginning of the month. Larger package sizes are a better deal due to economies of scale. If I’m a person looking to buy a month’s worth of supplies on Xember 1st at midnight - I’m all over that. If I have $5 left on Xember 31st to buy one last day’s worth of food until I get my next batch of money, and I can only afford a small quantity, but need it to not go hungry - I’m all over that too.

Whether or not Walmart targets that kind of customer doesn’t change the lifestyle itself. If they can draw customers away from other stores by making more time-of-the-month-appropriate packaging sizes, then that’s doing the customer some good as well as making more profits.

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 14:11:41

…Larger package sizes are a better deal due to economies of scale..

Sure, but you’re thinking like someone who (A) has to earn their money and (B) can afford large quantities, and still have plenty of money in reserve.

Someone who doesn’t earn it might have a different view entirely.
Someone who has little to spend certainly has a different view. They may prefer the smallest quantity of necessities.

TP.. 4 rolls of cheap-o for $1.59? Fine. I’m not gonna blow off $15 on the big package to “save” about $1..

Spend the minimum and there’s more money left over for whatever else they might want to buy.
——

Walmart seems envious of Target and is moving in that direction… This local store remodeled with wood floors, widened isles and dumped lots of products to do it.

They don’t even carry plastic rolls for the Food Saver I bought there years ago, nor the machines. In the camping dept, it’s all Coleman stuff.. Name brand, high prices and just as crappy as the off brands made in China.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-23 10:06:22

Bill Simon, CEO of Wal-Mart’s U.S. business, at a Goldman Sachs conference last week

Hey Bill, any comment on the x5 Walton Family members in the Billionaires club $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ getting their Forbes top 20 on the 12:00AM public subsidies monies provide to them for FREE from the American taxpayer? ;-)

Additional revenue sources $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ besides the ability to roll back prices to 1951…Woe-Marts corporation’s foreign product sourcing policies, treatment of product suppliers, environmental practices, the use of public subsidies.

Woe-Mart founder Sam Walton once said, “I pay low wages. I can take advantage of that. We’re going to be successful, but the basis is a very low-wage, low-benefit model of employment.”

“TruePatriotCorporation™” ;-)

“In 1998, Wal-Mart proposed construction of a store off Charlotte Pike near Nashville, Tennessee. The building site was home to both Native American burial grounds and a Civil War battle site. Protests were mounted by Native Americans and Civil War interest groups, but the Woe-Mart store was eventually constructed after moving graves and some modifications of the site so as not to interfere with the battlefield. Civil War relics were also discovered at the site. The project developers donated land to permit access to the Civil War historic site. The Indian burials were removed and re-buried.”

“A 2002 survey by the state of Georgia’s subsidized healthcare system, PeachCare, found that Wal-Mart was the largest private employer of parents of children enrolled in its program; one quarter of the employees of Georgia Wal-Marts qualified to enroll their children in the federal subsidized healthcare system Medicaid”

“…As of October 2005, Wal-Mart’s health insurance covered 44% or approximately 572,000 of its 1.6 million U.S. workers.[67] In comparison, Wal-Mart rival and wholeseller Costco insures approximately 96% of its eligible workers, although Costco has been criticized by investors for its high labor costs”

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 10:11:01

“A 2002 survey by the state of Georgia’s subsidized healthcare system, PeachCare, found that Wal-Mart was the largest private employer of parents of children enrolled in its program; one quarter of the employees of Georgia Wal-Marts qualified to enroll their children in the federal subsidized healthcare system Medicaid”

Looks like government health care has been very good for Wal-Mart’s bottom line.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 11:40:46

Looks like government health care has been very good for Wal-Mart’s bottom line.

Wal-Mart, the Waltons, and the richest of the rich love the American brand of socialism.

In fact, they invented it.

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Comment by Eddie
2010-09-23 13:04:01

What do you expect WM to pay someone who has no skills and no education? Employees put products on shelves and check those products out at the cash register. And for that they make $8 an hour. Sounds more than fair.

Besides this is such a ridiculous argument. Of course Peachcare will have the most people employed from WM. WM is the largest employer in the country (next to Obama’s govt that is).
I would guess that the employer with the most left handed people and the employer with the most brown haired people is also WM. This is further proof that WM needs to be unionized ASAP!!

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 13:52:43

What do you expect WM to pay someone who has no skills and no education?

Enough to live a hard-working, frugal life with healthcare, pride and dignity. As was the case in America and is the case in other first world countries.

I would guess that the employer with the most left handed people and the employer with the most brown haired people is also WM. This is further proof that WM needs to be unionized ASAP!!

It’s a complicated argument but I do agree with the conclusion.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 14:03:56

Q: What do you expect WM to pay someone who has no skills and no education?

A: Enough to live a hard-working, frugal life with healthcare, pride and dignity. As was the case in America and is the case in other first world countries.

A few years ago, I lived next door to a guy who could best be described as educable mentally retarded. His career consisted of work in a variety of labor jobs — mining, groundskeeping, and janitorial. And he was also a homeowner. Matter of fact, he was a paid-off-the-mortgage and otherwise living debt-free homeowner.

Through his jobs, he had health care. And pride. And dignity.

 
Comment by Big V
2010-09-23 14:53:19

Eddie:

If our labor market were not being wholesaled out to China, then the workers at Wal Mart would be paid what the labor market demands. Unfortunately, the labor market has been literally *sold* to China’s communist system.

This is what happens under Communism. Someone in charge gets to decide just how much everyone “needs” and “deserves” to be paid. No surprise that the privileged few end up with HUGE salaries, while everyone else is starved.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 15:23:32

Hey Eddie, ever heard of Costco? Their starting wage is something like $13-14 hr. Plus bennies.

Being a good employee is rewarded with $1hr raises each year. $18+hr is a livable wage without being lavish.

They have a waiting list. Which is another incentive for the employees to do good work.

See how that works? The carrot and the stick. Because when you just use the stick all time, people will tell you to go eff yourself and actively work to undermine your business.

Which brings to mine another good example. Dell. Once number one now a distant 3rd. Why? All stick and no carrot.

But apparently the PTB are decedents of Marie Antoinette.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-23 18:55:28

“…What do you expect WM to pay someone who has no skills and no education?”

Hey Haskell, please provide a dissertation on why Woe-Mart would hire such…American folks,…in the 1st place? :-)

Ready, set, go,…

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Kirisdad
2010-09-23 09:29:55

I have a question for the HBB. How can colleges claim that their graduates avg. 10-15 thousand dollars in debt after graduating(most all make claims in that range), when state univ. avg. $20,000/yr and private schools are anywhere from $35,000 to $50,000/yr ?
My daughter is in the top 5% of her HS class, with 1380 sat/ 31 ACT scores. Good/not elite schools are offering $ 14,000 scholarships for a $ 42,500 tuition. Just like the housing bubble, the numbers don’t add up.
I know why the bubbles occurred; people put their heads in the sand, when it comes to obtaining their dreams. I feel like some HBBer’s getting outbid with 110% mortgage offers. Unrealistic borrowing, without thought of consequences.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 09:47:25

Just like the housing bubble, the numbers don’t add up.

They sure don’t!

Now, a question for you: Could your daughter take her first two years of school at a community college? Or join the ROTC? Or Americorps?

Those are ways in which costs could be reduced.

 
Comment by In Montana
2010-09-23 09:59:32

It’s yet another bubble, and the schools lie like hell.

If I were her I’d go the JC route for two years and then transfer, if you have that kind of system where you are. Montana doesn’t and pity the locals for it. Cali 3-tier state schools and the Texas system are still a great deal IMO. I have a step who went from Ohlone JC to UC Santa Cruz to UC Davis medical and is now an MD working for the govt and getting all his loans forgiven.

Comment by DinOR
2010-09-23 10:32:49

In MT,

Right, -both- our daughters went the JC route ( and STILL wound up owing around 12k each! ) Then again, as mariner22 notes below, the rich kids prob. bring the avg. down?

 
 
Comment by mariner22
2010-09-23 10:06:08

Average includes students with no debt.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2010-09-23 10:46:38

“My daughter is in the top 5% of her HS class, with 1380 sat/ 31 ACT scores. Good/not elite schools are offering $ 14,000 scholarships for a $ 42,500 tuition. Just like the housing bubble, the numbers don’t add up.”

We saw the same nonsense. So our daughter is commuting to the local state U from home. They gave her a 2K scholarship so its 4K a year + books and gas for the car (which is paid for).

Comment by lint
2010-09-23 12:36:43

“My daughter is in the top 5% of her HS class, with 1380 sat/ 31 ACT scores.”

Does she know how to grow food and survive without government help?

What about critical thinking? Does she know that that the federal reserve is neither federal or private?

Does she know that all three of the WTC building were controlled demolitions? Google WTC building 7.

Does she know that anyone without a social security number cannot file taxes?

Does she know that she is a slave who will be made to work for company script(US dollars) that depreciate at 15% per annum?

 
Comment by Eddie
2010-09-23 12:56:07

Attending an elite college is probably the best investment one can make. The extra $100K spent will be returned and then some over the course of a career.

Even if the the salary difference is only $10K a year between Ivy and State U, that’s $400K over a 40 year career. Not a bad return. And in reality the difference will be more in the $20K to $30K per year.

Example:

Median income for Dartmouth grad 15 years after graduation is $123K

Compare that to Kent State: $64K or U of Missouri $69K or Northern Arizona $74K or Kansas State $76K or Iowa State $83K or Michigan $90K

Even a top state school like Michigan is still over $30K less a year in median income compared to something like Dartmouth.

When my kids are that age and they get accepted, I’ll beg borrow and steal to get the tuition money. Sending them to some no name State U when they have the opportunity for a top tier school is incomprehensible to me. Very selfish.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 13:12:00

Hmmm, I know a lot of people who’ve gone to elite institutions. The much-touted ROI has yet to materialize for them.

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Comment by In Colorado
2010-09-23 13:19:01

It increases their chances, but there is no guarantee. I suspect that a lot of those kids from the Ivies who succeed do so because of family connections and not the sheepskin.

So if Dorothy shows up from Kansas at Dartmouth, Brown, Yale, etc. she might graduate and not get one of those juicy Wall St. jobs.

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Comment by Eddie
2010-09-23 14:47:09

Well of course there is no guarantee. But the risk/reward is very favorable, even for people from Kansas.

First off Wall St isn’t the only place where people succeed financially. Wall St is a drop in the bucket actually, yet for some reason it is now a given that wealth must equal Wall St. That’s the MSM for you I suppose.

But even if you must concentrate on this obsession with Wall St, look at the bios of Wall St tycoons. Most of them came from middle class backgrounds. They attended Harvard or Yale or Princeton and became what they are. Sure there are some exceptions that came from money. But in general they are 1st generation tycoon types and they would never have made it that far ad they gone to No Name State U.

Here is Hank Paulson’s bio from Wiki

“Paulson was born in Palm Beach, Florida, to Marianna (née Gallauer) and Henry Merritt Paulson, a wholesale jeweler. He was raised in Barrington Hills, Illinois, as a Christian Scientist. Paulson attained the rank of Eagle Scout in the Boy Scouts of America.

Paulson received his B.A. in English from Dartmouth College in 1968; at Dartmouth he was a member of Phi Beta Kappa and Sigma Alpha Epsilon and he was an All-Ivy, All-East, and honorable mention All American as an offensive lineman.”

Middle class kid from Illinois, who was an Eagle Scout. Do you really think he would have become CEO of Goldman had he gone to University of Illinois? Somehow I think the answer is no.

 
Comment by polly
2010-09-23 15:15:24

The single best predictor for acceptance at most elite schools is family income/wealth. That is not to say that kids can’t get in if their folks aren’t rich. They can and they do. But the closest predictor is family income/wealth.

 
Comment by kirisdad
2010-09-23 17:09:38

“Well of course there is no guarantee.”

If you know anything about student loans, there had better be a guarantee. I just don’t understand how people are paying for college with such low debt numbers. It makes no sense, unless they’re outright lying. This college tuition bubble will cost (the taxpayers) every bit as much as the housing bubble.
My older daughter went the CC/ state school route and she graduates , in June, without loans.

 
 
Comment by measton
2010-09-23 14:32:36

Assumes that this increased earning is due merely to attending said college

1. Pt admitted to private school come from rich well connected families. The higher earnings may reflect people being well connected .
2. Pt admitted to private school have done better on average in terms of grades in high school.
3. A smaller percentage of students in expensive private schools are just there to party. These students drag the average down.
4. I know plenty of people from state schools making big bucks.

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Comment by Eddie
2010-09-23 15:02:35

#1 Wrong. Median household income for 2007 the freshman classes at Harvard, Yale and Princeton was….get ready for it….a whopping $87K. Maybe in your world $87K a year is rich and well connected. For the rest of the world that’s middle to upper middle class.

#3…you have to be kidding me. I take it you didn’t spend much time at elite schools with that comment. Animal House was based on fraternities at Dartmouth for crying out loud.

#4. I know plenty of people who _______________. Is this really how you try to make a point refuting statistics taken from millions of college graduates, by using anecdotal evidence? Well OK. If that’s the case. I know someone who dropped out of college and is now a millionaire many times over. Therefore dropping out of college is the best course of action for one’s career.

Nice try.

 
 
Comment by Carl Morris
2010-09-23 14:34:33

Attending an elite college is probably the best investment one can make. The extra $100K spent will be returned and then some over the course of a career.

Only if you manage to ingratiate yourself with (or even better - already come from) the “right” people while you are there. Otherwise you may as well have gone somewhere cheap and taken out less loans. “What you know” will not lift you above the middle class except in very rare circumstances. “Who you know” works almost every time.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 14:52:57

Eddie, methinks you speak of that which you do not know.

I attended a highly ranked school, took their most difficult engineering major, and graduated with High Honors (in three years, while working full time and walking to school through the ghetto in bare fee on broken glass, uphill both ways).

My initial job offer was the best that company (Exx something) had ever made (to a grad).

After that I competed on work history and performance alone. Period. So for the first couple of years I was making a few grand more than my peers on education alone, after that; level playing field.

Of course, maybe you were talking about banking.

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Comment by Big V
2010-09-23 14:57:43

Eddie:

Any time you hear people begin to spout such nonsense as “XX is the best investment you can make”, then you should beware of a bubble.

Beanie Babies are the best investment you can make. Don’t question it.

Tech stocks are the best investment you can make. Don’t question it.

Real estate is the best investment you can make. Don’t question it.

You need to seriously consider the fundamental value of the thing you are buying. Perception is NOT reality.

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Comment by measton
2010-09-23 10:35:33

DUBLIN (AP) — Investors sold off Irish and Portuguese bonds Thursday, driving the borrowing costs of both countries to euro-era records and reinforcing worries about the heavy debts some European governments are carrying.

Analysts say Ireland, in particular, faces a high-pressure few weeks ahead as its government must convince international investors that it won’t have to tap an emergency EU-IMF fund — and won’t keep sinking billions more into its most debt-crippled bank.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-23 10:40:38

Filed under: “lil’ Opie you (non-Hawaiian) Muslim Socialist!, look what you have done in just 21 months as “the Decider!”,…It’s ALL your fault! ;-)

Forbes rich list shows wealthiest Americans growing richer!

–Written by Eric Rosenbaum in New York

What no missing Goldenmansucks dudes? How come???????

“…Some notable disappearances from the ranks of the Forbes 400 were hedge fund manger Raj Rajaratnam of Galleon Group, now facing 185 years in prison, and the rags-to-riches cab driver turned real estate mogul Tamir Sapir, now facing multiple creditor lawsuits.”

Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 11:07:55

rags-to-riches cab driver..

According to Forbes, rags-to-$Billion is more common than inheriting it. Almost two thirds start from scratch.

Comment by measton
2010-09-23 12:37:03

I’d love to hear what Forbes calls Rags.
Going from a childhood of being homeless in true rags to billions I suspect is exceedingly rare. No one pictured in that article started out in rags. Waltons all inherited.

Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 13:01:34

I posted this late the other night.. I haven’t read the story.. just flipped through the ten short photo essays.

…While inheriting a billion dollars is still the easiest way to land on our list of the world’s wealthiest, it certainly isn’t the most common. Almost two-thirds of the world’s 946 billionaires made their fortunes from scratch, relying on grit and determination, and not good genes.

Fifty of these self-made tycoons are college or high school dropouts…

http://www.forbes.com/2007/06/22/billionaires-gates-winfrey-biz-cz_ts_0626rags2riches.html

you got your orphans and all sorts of various backgrounds..

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 13:59:38

Thanks Joey,

But I actually think more Americans are interested in the millions dropping out of the middle-class, poverty, no healthcare, the cost of education, and lack of good jobs in the USA than are concerned about how to become a billionaire.

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 14:36:59

Thanks, rio.. but you may be mistaken.
Thoughts of becoming a billionaire occurs to every American, on average, about 4 times per day.. just a little less than does sex.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 15:00:05

Thanks, rio.. but you may be mistaken.

Maybe but after re-reading our last two posts on the subject, I seriously doubt it.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 15:06:23

One is set in life when one can have sex whenever one wants, can go fishing whenever one wants, and has no f***ing clue what one would need a billion dollars for. The first two things don’t cost much at all.

Disclaimer: I thnk about this approx once per day.

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 15:35:17

Blue Skye

You hit on an important point. There is no need to become a billionaire. People do it because they want to, like climbing a mountain or running a marathon..
There’s no real need to do maybe 99% of the things we do..

Someone needs to build businesses, provide jobs, goods and services and pizza and all the stuff that I enjoy, and I’m grateful for that…. but I’m neither money-hungry enough nor enough of a humanitarian to devote my life to it.

 
 
Comment by measton
2010-09-23 14:54:05

I saw a couple of rags stories oprah and Rowling.

The rest were not poverty stricken.

I’ll also say that the rise of these billionaires occurred in an environment rich with middle class citizens. As that is destroyed you will see a collapse in social mobility. Actually this is already happening.

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Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 16:32:32

Number of billionaires plummets, Forbes magazine reports

The number of billionaires in the world fell by one third last year, from 1,125 to 793, according to Forbes Magazine.

The wealthy few did not escape big shocks this year, with net worth on the list of 793 billionaires — down from 1,125 billionaires in 2008 — plummeting to 2.4 trillion dollars from 4.4 trillion, Forbes said.

“The biggest news today is that we are here and there still are billionaires,” Forbes spokeswoman Monie Begley joked at a press conference.
———-

This is an example of social mobility in the downward direction.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2010-09-23 10:57:58

From the Editors of American Banker

Mortgage Insurer Side Deals Raw Ones for Fannie and Freddie

Private mortgage insurers brought some rowdy lenders to the real estate party of the last decade. Now the insurers may be making it easier for some of their guests to skip out on the cleanup.

Over the last few months, insurers have begun cutting settlements with lenders, accepting cash payments in return for not investigating or rescinding coverage on mortgages that were the product of sloppy or fraudulent underwriting.

Though such settlements make good business sense for lender and insurer alike, they threaten to shift further losses to the government. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac own $160 billion of insurance on low-down-payment mortgages, and the federal wards have long relied on the nimble insurers as their first line of defense in detecting flawed loans that can be forced back upon the lenders that produced them.

 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2010-09-23 11:40:52

Just wondering: if you were going to take on a new mortgage can you find an institution anymore that doesn’t sell it off? And when they do sell it off, does it make a difference to the mortgagee who picks it up? Fannie, Freddie, Chase, BofA or other mega bank, or would the results be the same no matter what?

I’ve been having trouble figuring out why I can make a contract w/someone but then the other party can sell that w/o my consent or approval. It certainly doesn’t work in reverse.

Comment by Eddie
2010-09-23 12:44:21

Why do you care? You sign a contract to pay $X for Y periods. That doesn’t change if the note is sold off to someone else.

You do give that someone approval. It’s in the contract somewhere, probably on p.176 or thereabouts.

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 12:53:35

Cost-wise, it makes no difference to the mortgagee if it’s sold or not.

If a bank doesn’t sell their mortgages, they’ll run low on money, and will eventually lend every spare dollar they have. Lacking cash is a risky situation. Maintaining reserve requirements could become a worry.

The bank also remains exposed to 100% of the losses if the loans default.

So, a bank which does not sell them might be at far greater risk than one which does sell them.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 15:08:29

I had a mortgage at PNC years ago. They said they never sold off their mortgages. They did.

 
Comment by polly
2010-09-23 15:31:17

You could look for a small, local, privately owned bank. Still FDIC insured, but no publicly traded stock. My secondary bank is just such an institution. They have been around for 120 years and are still family owned and told me that they don’t sell their loans - they prefer to figure out the risk themselves and then keep the benefits of that work on their own books. I bet it is hard as heck to get a loan out of them, which is why I opened an account. I figure a few years of increasing balances would be benficial to an application were I ever so nuts as to actually want a loan. A large national or even regional bank is just going to sell it so building up a relationship with them is pointless.

And Eddie is sort of correct that you gave them “permission” to sell the loan somewhere in the documents, but it isn’t on page 100 and whatever. It is right up front where you promise to make the payments to “XXX or its Designee or Successor” or something similar. The terms will be defined somewhere else in the documents. And it isn’t really permission to sell. They own it. Of course they can sell it. Just like you can sell your car (though there may be some restrictions). But you agreed to keep paying even if they sell it. Otherwise, no one will buy it.

 
 
Comment by Eddie
2010-09-23 12:42:47

Gotta love union labor. Several UAW “workers” were filmed drinking and smoking pot while on the job by a local Detroit news station. But hey what do they care? They can continue making junk like they have been for 30 years and it doesn’t matter. Obama will be there with another $100B bailout.

Pathetic.

Comment by packman
2010-09-23 13:31:00

Since the stock market had a rough day - is this your equivalent of beating your wife when you get home?

Comment by Eddie
2010-09-23 14:10:11

76 is a bad day? Dude. Really.

 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 13:46:29

Hmmm, they were filmed drinking and smoking pot. My, my, my.

For a bit of perspective, remember the days of the three-martini lunch? ISTR that those lunches were enjoyed by non-unionized executives.

As for smoking pot, plenty of that went on in the canyons of Wall Street. And in lots of other white collar places.

Comment by Eddie
2010-09-23 14:07:00

AZ Slim brings out the two wrongs make a right argument. Well done.

Normally if they shot heroin I woudln’t care. Private company, its employees can act as they want, I as a consumer can choose to not buy the company’s crappy product. But since my tax dollars pay their $73 an hour union wages via Obama’s govt bailout of Chrysler and GM, I care.

What is laughable is Obama went to this very same plant in July and spoke about American cars being of the highest quality.

Anyone who even thinks of buying a UAW made POS likes burning money.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 14:51:13

Anyone who even thinks of buying a UAW made POS likes burning money.

yu funny ha ha,

The UAW (The United Auto Workers to you) makes some of the best cars in the world bar none. Your living in the 70s and 80’s.

The world turns. You might turn with it.

American cars top J.D. Power quality survey
June 21, 2010 2:20 PM

“Domestic automakers have made impressive strides in steadily improving upon initial quality, particularly since 2007,” said David Sargent, vice president of automotive research at J.D. Power.

The automaker’s showing came as no surprise to Shaun Blanco, who works in the sales department of Newins Bay Shore Ford.

“Ford has strived to move the product to the next level,” he said Thursday.

American Car Quality Tops Foreign Car Quality, Finds J.D. Power And Associates

STEPHEN MANNING

WASHINGTON — U.S. automakers have surpassed foreign brands for the first time in a survey that measures the quality of new cars and trucks.

J.D. Power and Associates said Thursday that owners of vehicles made by Detroit automakers reported fewer problems on average during the first 90 days of ownership than those built by companies based overseas.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 14:53:11
 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-23 17:47:55

Have American made cars surpassed foreign makes for resale value yet?

Not quite. Kelley Blue Book does say the Chevy Camaro SS and the Corvette made the top ten, otherwise for 2010 it’s all foreign, with three Toyota products on the list.

So why not set a good example for us and go spend your money and tell us firsthand what great cars they are?

Plus, it’s funny how you tell another HBBer they should change with the times as you simultaneously shill for a company, a union, and an economic system that up until very recently (and even that’s debatable) have tried their best NOT to change with times.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 21:52:33

Have American made cars surpassed foreign makes for resale value yet?

You’re mistaken quality with price. The cynic knows the price of everything and the value of nothing ...

So why not set a good example for us and go spend your money and tell us firsthand what great cars they are?

Yea and why don’ you….. My last 4 cars were American,…Jack.

Plus, it’s funny how you tell another HBBer they should ………….

And it’s funny how you tell other HBBer’s …….well, not much at all……..

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 22:24:34

Plus, it’s funny how you tell another HBBer they should change with the times as you simultaneously shill for a company, a union, and an economic system that up until very recently (and even that’s debatable) have tried their best NOT to change with times.

You sir are ignorant to what “I tell”. My main thrust is conservative. It is to defend domestic industries from foreign and state-controlled and supported industries UNLESS we meet them with the same variables. Is this too much to comprehend in the age of media brainwashing?

Your position is more progressive than mine in the context of American vs. Foreign competition. I suggest you think hard on this aspect, as you are the new unpatriotic, progressive whose radical ideas have decimated the conservative manufacturing base of America. And they weren’t even your original ideas. We know.

And in the name of what? In the name of the rich man, Chinese and foreign “free-trade” and globalization?

Maybe these imbecilities will make nice bed-time stories for your grandchildren someday.

 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 15:13:31

Frankly, I cannot see how the President is remotely connected to these workers drinking on the job.

Speaking of Busch, they used to have an open tap in the company lunchroom IIRC. Sweet.

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Comment by jeff saturday
2010-09-23 15:49:48

Maybe they were just working on a new concept car

The Chevy Buzz

 
 
 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2010-09-23 13:57:19

I saw that, they looked like the people I used to hang around with in 1980. But we waited until after work.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 14:43:57

Perhaps this would be the appropriate place for me to tell the story of Slim and the pot brownies.

Back in the summer of 1979, when I was a newly minted college grad, I was working my first job. And, truth-out here folks, I was NOT a good employee.

For one thing, I had a real problem with the concept of getting to the office on time. The boss warned me about getting fired for such a thing, and I fully deserved to be fired.

But she didn’t fire me.

Okay, back to those brownies. I cooked up a batch of ‘em for myself and my housemates, and, man, they were good. I had quite a few.

I was so wiped out the next morning that I called in sick. And my very gracious boss accepted my excuse.

That lady was a saint, let me tell you.

I might add that this culinary incident took place in Ann Arbor, which is about 30 miles west of Detroit. And, back in the late 1970s, American cars already had a bad reputation. To the point that my young U-M friend-tribe wasn’t driving them.

Comment by jeff saturday
2010-09-23 15:15:51

“Okay, back to those brownies. I cooked up a batch of ‘em for myself and my housemates, and, man, they were good. I had quite a few.”

There was a girl in my high school in Connecticut that baked a batch of “those brownies” for a field trip into New York. Problem was one of the teachers had a couple. I think her suspension was 2 weeks. I wasn`t on that field trip but from what I heard they were good too.

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Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 15:33:06

I can take you to almost any factory in the world any time and find slackers.

Non-union too!

Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 15:35:27

Or ANY organization at ANY level for that matter.

Maybe snorting coke in the executive “washroom” or taking “presecription” mood modifiers at lunch is more acceptable?

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 16:03:19

An incident from the Arizona Slim File:

A couple of decades ago, I was a low-level employee of a nonprofit org here in Tucson. It had its own building, and a building supervisor. Guy had quite a taste for liquor.

One fine day, he came back from work in a very drunken state. And, wouldn’t ya know it, he’d driven the org’s truck back from wherever he’d done so much drinking.

The angry buzz around the office centered around his drinking and driving. If he’d gotten into an accident, the shhh! would really hit the local fan. Our local media would have gone into feeding frenzy mode and stayed there. (My former employer was and is quite a high profile org.)

We lowlies were also very angry about the fact that this guy was getting away with such bad behavior, whereas we’d be fired.

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Comment by Kim
2010-09-23 12:50:29

Buyers Want Out of Serial Killer’s Former Home

www dot housingwatch dot com/2010/09/22/buyers-want-out-of-serial-killers-former-home/

No one told Anthony and Rita Bucklew that they were buying the former rental home of a serial killer. Now the couple, who have teenage daughters, want out of the Colorado home where the murderer is believed to have killed his young female victims.”

“My wife and I want out of this house,” says Bucklew, 47, who moved into the property in August on a $525,000 lease-to-own agreement with the out-of-state seller, who they pay $2,200 per month after the $4,400 down.”

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 13:15:52

“My wife and I want out of this house,” says Bucklew, 47, who moved into the property in August on a $525,000 lease-to-own agreement with the out-of-state seller, who they pay $2,200 per month after the $4,400 down.”

Oh, brother. Another lease-to-own guy with buyer’s remorse.

Is there no such thing as a “break the lease” option in such situations? Or do you lose your down payment?

BTW, the vacant house behind me is being offered as a lease-to-own. It’s been empty since the most recent set of tenants moved out late last month. Unless the lookie-loo crowd is coming around when I’ve been away from the Ranch, no one’s come by to see it.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-23 13:33:26

OK - I’m 99% sure that a past murder on the property is required by law as part of full disclosure. Is it not?

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 13:39:53

I think it is, packman.

But, just as an off-the-cuff observation, I think that a lot of the people offering rent-to-owns think that the rules don’t apply to them. Here’s a local case in point.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 15:15:13

Would that be a state law?

 
 
 
Comment by Big V
2010-09-23 13:22:08

Yay!

I finally got to the last note on the last page of the violin part of Vivaldi’s concerto in G minor (I guess there’s only one) 8) . Can you believe I started learning how to play this thing in 2002, and house prices are STILL WAY TOO HIGH in most places in this country? It’s 2010 now, by God. I’m just glad they’re going down. Hey, maybe they’ll hire me for the symphony on the same day house prices officially bottom out :idea: .

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 13:36:59

Ditto on the yay, Big V.

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 14:22:34

Big V
I’m proud of you, too. I love your learning curve reference on your violin and the housing bubble.

I have really enjoyed learning piano. My sister plays viola, but with two teens, now sings “getoffthephone”! :)

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-23 15:16:44

V, I knew you could do it. Didn’t I predict right here that you would do this?!?

Hey, congratulations on your accomplishment.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 15:39:06

Violin? Vivaldi?

I’m IMPRESSED!

(though I’ve heard some say Vivaldi was passe’. idiots!)

 
Comment by lavi d
2010-09-23 15:53:09

I finally got to the last note on the last page of the violin part of Vivaldi’s concerto in G minor

Vantastic, V!

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-23 13:46:59

Big Fannie, sez move dem houses, here’s free bonus bucks…

Fannie Mae boosts incentives on houses
Washington Business Journal

Fannie Mae wants to unload all those houses it’s stuck with, and its offering incentives to both buyers and real estate agents to move them.

If you buy a house Fannie Mae is holding as a result of a foreclosure, it will give you up to 3.5 percent of the final selling price back to be applied toward closing costs or a home warranty. It is also offering real estate agents and brokers a $1,500 bonus if they bring a buyer to the table.

The incentives are being offered starting today on sales that close by Dec. 31. The sale must also close within 60 days of the buyer’s offer being accepted. It also applies only to buyers who intend to live in the house, not investors.

Fannie Mae-owned properties are being marketed through a program it calls HomePath.

“More than 87,000 families have purchased HomePath properties in the first half of 2010 – nearly double the number of Fannie Mae foreclosed properties sold in the first half of 2009,” said Terry Edwards, executive vice president of Fannie Mae’s credit portfolio management. “We continue to look for ways to stabilize neighborhoods and offer incentives to qualified buyers who occupy these properties over the long-term and help support their communities.

Comment by Big V
2010-09-23 13:51:52

I recently learned almost no one actually qualifies for the Fannie Mae mortgage treats. They suck ‘em in, then spit ‘em out. Lots of disappointed would-be Fannie Mae buyers out there.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 14:05:23

Fannie Mae-owned properties are being marketed through a program it calls HomePath.

There’s one of those houses near the Arizona Slim Ranch. As far as I can tell, the “for sale” sign’s Home Path rider hasn’t been a buyer magnet.

 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2010-09-23 14:10:08

I think we will be ordering chinese tonight.

Pizzeria owner gets 10 years for ‘calzone rage’ (Video)

Associated Press
Posted: 8:45 a.m. Tuesday, Sept. 21, 2010

PALM COAST — The former owner of a Palm Coast pizzeria accused of attacking customers who complained about their order has been sentenced to 10 years in prison.

A Flagler County judge sentenced 42-year-old Joseph Milano last Wednesday. He was convicted in June of possession of a firearm by a felon.

Milano was arrested in January 2009 after he reportedly assaulted and pistol-whipped two men who complained about their calzone order at Goomba’s Pizzeria. Deputies later discovered that Milano is actually Joseph Calco — a former mob hit man turned federal witness.

The gun charge stems from February domestic disturbance call, where a deputy found a gun under his mattress.

Milano acknowledged in court that he wasn’t supposed to have the gun but needed it to protect himself from Mafia enemies.

http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/state/pizzeria-owner-gets-10-years-for-calzone-rage-928176.html - 78k

Comment by Carl Morris
2010-09-23 14:40:48

The place was called “Goomba’s”! That’s like being surprised to find rednecks at the “Cracker Barrel”. :-)

 
Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 14:52:13

a former mob hit man turned federal witness…

that’s so lame.. why even arrest the guy much less put him in prison.

That’s what you get for cooperating with the feds..

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-23 15:08:41

Milano was arrested in January 2009 after he reportedly assaulted and pistol-whipped two men who complained about their calzone order at Goomba’s Pizzeria.

The first rule of business:

Don’t argue with pistol-whip your customers.

Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 15:40:44

But it’s okay to bugger them.

 
 
 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-23 14:24:19

Big V
Can you explain your post. I am interested.

Comment by Big V
2010-09-23 14:43:17

Which post? The one about Fannie Mae and no one qualifying for their HomePath financing?

You have to be a first-time borrower with excellent credit and a super-stable, high-enough income. Not too many of those around these days. They get you to apply for the loan with 4% interest, 3% down, and 3.5% cash back, but then tell you that you only qualify for a regular loan at 7.5% interest, 5% down (still really low), and no cash back.

So it only goes to people who wouldn’t have really needed it anyway.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 14:46:11

Which probably explains why that nearby house still hasn’t sold. IIRC, it’s been on the market for almost a year.

 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-23 15:24:19

AMD, world’s No. 2 maker of PC processors, cuts 3Q guidance, blames weak consumer laptop sales

SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — Advanced Micro Devices Inc. has lowered its third-quarter outlook, supplying fresh evidence that consumers’ penny-pinching on personal computers has led to a painful back-to-school shopping season for some technology companies.

AMD is the world’s No. 2 maker of PC microprocessors, the “brains” of those machines.

Its announcement Thursday reinforces a message the computer industry has been sending for the past month: stubborn unemployment and worries that the global economic recovery is sputtering have caused many consumers to close their wallets when it comes time to buy a new PC.

 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-23 15:28:31

The school admin. is drooling over this, they’ll suck it dry, line their pockets and the districts will still produce mostly dim-wits. Happens time and time again. Oh well it makes for good press.

Newark, NJ, schools to get $100M Facebook donation

NEWARK, N.J. (AP) — Mark Zuckerberg, the 26-year-old wunderkind behind Facebook is making a move to become a player in philanthropy just before the opening of a film that portrays him as less than charitable.

The recipient of his $100 million donation — thought to be the biggest of his young life — is the Newark public schools, a long-struggling district that could use the money to become a laboratory for reforms.

Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 15:43:11

Of course they will

In fact, I believe it’s now law that if charitable donations actually ever helps those it’s intended to, the directors can be arrested!

 
Comment by polly
2010-09-23 15:43:32

biggest winner = Cory Booker

By the way, I am fine with this as he seems highly likely to make sure the kids are winners too.

Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 15:52:09

Once on the Council, Booker proved to be an unconventional public official. In 1999, he went on a 10-day hunger strike, living in a tent in front of one of Newark’s public housing projects (Garden Spires), to protest open-air drug dealing and the associated violence. For five months in 2000 he lived in a contemporary motor home, parking on street corners where drug trafficking frequently occurred.[7]

wiki

i like this guy.. got stones.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-23 16:06:43

I like him too.

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Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 17:03:20

That’s pretty damn cool.

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Comment by joeyinCAlif
2010-09-23 17:21:42

read his wiki page.. tells about how the Bloods put a contract out on him.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2010-09-23 17:59:59

…and the Wall St. Journal has turned socialeest /commie on us! The end is nigh!

The Poor Rich

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704129204575506051919012596.html

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 21:18:18

The housing market can keep crashing for longer than you can stay interested.

Data indicate fresh weakness in housing
By Neil Irwin
Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, September 23, 2010; 8:38 PM

The collapse of the housing sector was a major driver of the nation’s economic woes. Now, a new wave of weakness in housing poses risks to the fragile economic recovery.

Fresh data released this week offer a portrait of a residential sector that is muddling along at low levels, though nothing resembling the freefall of 2006 to 2009. On Thursday, the National Association of Realtors said that sales of previously owned homes rose 7.6 percent in August - a disappointing result, as analysts had hoped for a stronger bounce back after sales tumbled 27 percent in July.

That followed a report Tuesday that builders started work on more new homes than had been expected in August, a 10.5 percent rise, and data issued Wednesday indicating that home prices fell 0.5 percent in July.

Taken together, housing - which on balance contributed to economic growth from late 2009 through the early months of 2010 - is now emerging as a neutral force at best, and could drag down an already weak growth outlook.

Comment by Carl Morris
2010-09-24 08:20:11

The housing market can keep crashing for longer than you can stay interested.

I got toothpicks under my eyelids as it is…maybe I should take a year off or something. But I’m like a kid on Christmas Eve…I don’t want to miss Santa even though I’m pretty sure the presents will be there in the morning anyway. If there are any.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 21:23:54

Mel Gibson sued over properties

* From: AAP
* September 24, 2010 10:37AM

Mel Gibson is facing foreclosure on three of his properties in Malibu.

EMBATTLED actor Mel Gibson is facing foreclosure on three of his properties in Malibu, California, after he was accused of failing to settle a $12,550 bill with building contractors.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-24 08:39:47

Mel Gibson is facing foreclosure on three of his properties in Malibu.

Well I got one word for you:

ACORN

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-23 21:26:28

* BUSINESS
* SEPTEMBER 21, 2010

U.K. Banks’ Profits on Mortgages Spur Criticism

By DAVID ENRICH And SARA SCHAEFER MUñOZ

LONDON—Rock-bottom interest rates in the U.K. are allowing the country’s banks to transform their humdrum home-mortgage businesses into a cash cow, helping the banks return to profitability but fueling accusations of price gouging.

The difference between what U.K. banks are charging for home loans and what they pay to borrow money—known as their margin, or spread—has more than doubled from its previous average of barely 1%, according to bankers, analysts, mortgage brokers and other experts. That is despite the Bank of England’s interest-rate cut to nearly zero in March 2009.

The shift has big implications for banks’ bottom lines, customers’ pocketbooks and potentially the U.K. economy. Critics accuse the banks of squeezing consumers, and the situation is setting the stage for a showdown between banks and the government, since some of the banks are partly owned by taxpayers.

 
Comment by clark
2010-09-23 23:38:11

Regrettably, I was only able to read the first half of this HBB thread. What did stand out though, was Arizona Slim’s comment (a common theme?) about ratting people out for minor things resulting in heavy penalties and possibly a felon label, all to maintain her housing environment as it was in the beginning. This has a side effect of creating individuals who pay a bigger price than those of previous generations (such as B. Clinton & G.W.) and who now harbor resentment towards their community as well as a more negative outlook on life.

In the bigger scheme of things, homeowers trying to maintain their home values or trying to keep things as They want them to be unleash a backlash upon the communities from those they cause harm to that were not really harming anyone to begin with. It’s sort of like shooting the wings of a robin for singing outside your bedroom window at 4 a.m. and every other robin you ever see.

This, to me, is class warfare, and it’s expanding.
The source is the housing bubble via The Fed, promoted by many, some unknowingly?

 
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