September 30, 2010

Bits Bucket For September 30, 2010

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430 Comments »

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-30 04:13:43

So much for all that Yen intervention last week. Oh well. Uncle Buck isn’t feeling the love that’s for sure.

Comment by wmbz
2010-09-30 04:28:15

China warns US currency bill might harm trade ties, violates global trade rules.

After years of friction, the bill is the first vote by American lawmakers for measures to respond to complaints Beijing keeps its yuan — also known as the renminbi — undervalued, giving its exporters an unfair price advantage and costing U.S. jobs. Passage by a 348-79 margin in the House of Representatives came ahead of November elections in which the economy and 9.6 percent unemployment are key voter concerns.

Comment by Mike in Miami
2010-09-30 04:42:49

“China warns US currency bill might harm trade ties, violates global trade rules”
How about stealing intellectual property/patents, counterfeiting US drugs, piracy of movies, music, clothing etc.?
How about putting a 105% tariff on US poultry products?
How about making entry in the Chinese market all but impossible for western firms? I guess all of that is in accordance with global trade rules.
I would cut trade with China period. You either play by the rules or you don’t play at all. End of discussion.

Comment by Ex-Arizonan
2010-09-30 06:40:53

All well and good but China’s got us by the short and curlies. If they just stop buying Treasuries, or start selling them then the US is screwed. Unfortunately I think the US would be hurt by that move a lot more than China would.

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Comment by MightyMike
2010-09-30 07:17:48

That wouls actually help the US. If they dump their dollar-based assets, the dollar would drop in value. If anybody in the world has an interest in anything that we produce, it would be cheaper for them to do so.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-30 07:27:05

If they just stop buying Treasuries, or start selling them then the US is screwed.

Perhaps you’ve missed it, but:

China net holdings in U.S. treasuries -
July 2008: $939.9B
July 2009: $846.7B

chart

This is one of the triggers in fact of the ramping currency war.

 
Comment by Ex-Arizonan
2010-09-30 07:33:45

If they stop buying then the Fed will have to raise interest rates to find new buyers, which would skyrocket the cost of servicing the national debt. I don’t think that would actually help the U.S.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-30 07:43:14

If they stop buying then the Fed will have to raise interest rates to find new buyers

They did stop buying. (see above)

The “Fed” didn’t raise rates, they lowered them - or more appropriately they caused them to go down by buying and buying (and convincing other countries - e.g. Japan and UK - to do the same). Treasury rates are running at record lows.

 
Comment by mrktMaven FL
2010-09-30 08:11:21

Who needs China, when Feddie can buy all US government debt? The US dollar is invincible.

Print BB, print.

 
Comment by jetson_boy
2010-09-30 08:22:33

I for one would actually welcome higher interest rates. I’ve got quite a bit of cash stashed away and if they would raise rates to say- 7-8% I’d have a nice little side income. That and perhaps with higher interest rates it would actually force Americans to not only save more money, but to spend money more wisely. It seems stupid to me that we have basically had 0% interest rates for years now.

 
Comment by butters
2010-09-30 08:54:18

I for one would actually welcome higher interest rates.

Same here. Like you I am also sitting on a lot of cash. Bought some gold and silver when the gold was in 800-900. Rest I am all cash. I need to figure out where to park it now. I went mostly cash in May with a certainty that markets will fall significantly. Hasn’t happened. Now the dollar is declining and equities is going up, definitely a wrong bet on my part.

 
Comment by jetson_boy
2010-09-30 09:24:22

I’m mostly cash because I’m old-fashioned and because my wife and I would like to buy a house- for cash- in the next several years. We currently live in the Bay Area but are looking to move to TX or NC. Probably pick up some boring ole’ suburban home or a fixer upper in the sticks. I do have a 401k and several mutual funds and IRAs. But those have basically done nothing for 3 years. All my cash in in CDs… which basically means I get maybe a few bucks per month. Whoopee.. If interest rates were raised, that would be great. But I get a feeling they won’t until a fresh bubble is blown.

 
Comment by CA renter
2010-10-01 01:11:18

We’re in the same boat as you guys. Sitting on cash (since late last year) because we hope to buy a house with it. The Fed is making this as painful as possible for a reason…they want us out of our cash positions.

 
 
Comment by NJRenter
2010-09-30 07:01:27

Must be nice to live in a fantasy world with such black-or-white solutions and no negative consequences to knee-jerk reactions.

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Comment by Mike in Miami
2010-09-30 08:22:30

Standing up for your own interest is a knee jerk reaction? Enforcing (trade) laws is a knee jerk reaction?
Strange world you live in.
As far as China dumping US treasuries. Good, it will drive down the dollar and force some fiscal restrained upon our big spenders. The consequences for China are much worse.

 
Comment by NJRenter
2010-09-30 10:17:08

“I would cut trade with China period.”

This would indeed be a knee-jerk reaction with many negative consequences.

 
Comment by Mike in Miami
2010-09-30 11:10:46

If we continue trading with China given the current framework consequences will be even more dire. Not today but about 10 years from now. But we’re masters in kicking the can down the road.
Once liquid fuel scaricity asserts itself the China trade will resolve itself in a natural manner anyhow.

 
 
Comment by scdave
2010-09-30 10:41:59

I think the US would be hurt by that move a lot more than China would ??

Embargo everything that China exports…We can still feed, shelter, cloth and defend ourselves..Lets see who implodes first…

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Comment by CA renter
2010-10-01 01:12:39

Precisely, scdave.

 
 
 
Comment by exeter
2010-09-30 04:47:46

China “warns”

Oooooh….. I’m so skeeerd. Warn this.

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 06:20:57

China is nuclear. Don’t forget that. And it’s not an Iran-style “we’re working on it” either.

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Comment by polly
2010-09-30 06:52:08

When your biggest worry is keeping your population working, nuking a major trading partner is not good policy. It tends to decrease their consuption of your manufactured goods, and it doesn’t even use up your surplus population as ground troops/cannon fodder.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-30 06:58:08

Oh I wouldn’t think that they would do anything of the sort, at least in the short term. If we ever did get into an all-out trade and/or currency war with them, our status as a major trading partner may not remain in place; especially if our economy goes further into the crapper. Then they would have a lot less to lose.

Don’t forget there are a lot of other countries in the world than the U.S. also. We aren’t the sole customer of their production.

 
Comment by Jim A.
2010-09-30 07:01:16

The average Chinese is also deeply nationalist. The government could imitate the Argentine junta and distract people by blockading or invading Taiwan.

 
Comment by Cassandra
2010-09-30 07:21:59

“nuking a major trading partner is not good policy”

good point. Thats kind of messy anyway.

The real nuclear option is only a mouse click away. Default on the debt.

Besides as has been said elsewhere:

“Of course that would eliminate your opportunity for repeat business” -Lords of War

 
Comment by DennisN
2010-09-30 07:36:29

Plus if we are attacked, we would simply default on ALL bonds held by China.

 
Comment by exeter
2010-09-30 09:01:45

“China is nuclear.”

And the US is the only country in history to have used these monstrous weapons. And we fried 500,000 civilians doing so.

 
Comment by scdave
2010-09-30 10:49:57

And we fried 500,000 civilians doing so ??

The consequences of a sneak attack on military and civilians in Pearl Harbor…I have no heartburn with it at all unlike the trumped-up war with Bush/Cheney…

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-30 10:51:56

:roll:

trolling ignored

 
Comment by exeter
2010-09-30 10:54:43

Those are facts that cannot be disputed so of course you attack the messenger.

Well done.

 
Comment by dude
2010-09-30 11:56:52

So right Exeter, after Pearl Harbor we should have just buried our 3000 dead and gone back to surfing those north shore waves. I’m sure Tojo and Yamamoto would have stayed on their side of the Pacific.

Remind me again, what were the estimates of US casualties for a land invasion of Japan?

 
Comment by AmazingRuss
2010-09-30 12:52:27

We fried millions of people without nukes. It just took longer.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 13:11:28

Remind me again, what were the estimates of US casualties for a land invasion of Japan?

ISTR that the numbers bandied about were in the hundreds of thousands.

 
Comment by exeter
2010-09-30 14:05:54

So right Exeter, after Pearl Harbor we should have just buried our 3000 dead and gone back to surfing those north shore waves. I’m sure Tojo and Yamamoto would have stayed on their side of the Pacific.
Remind me again, what were the estimates of US casualties for a land invasion of Japan?
—————————————————————-

Nice strawman JoeyJunior. And that’s all you’ve got. A strawman.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-30 14:23:17

ISTR that the numbers bandied about were in the hundreds of thousands.

About a million actually was estimated for a full-scale invasion. We had already killed about 500,000 in conventional bombings - far more than we did with the nuclear bombs (note to exeter), which has high-end estimates of about 200,000.

 
Comment by exeter
2010-09-30 16:14:02

Hooray! We only killed 200,000 senior citizens, children and women…. Go USA!!

 
Comment by Jim A
2010-09-30 18:40:17

And those 200,000 wouln’t have died if they had surrenedered.

 
 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-30 05:21:46

What does the bill propose to do about this supposed currency undervaluation?

 
Comment by CA renter
2010-09-30 05:22:17

Somewhat related, and in response to the conversation yesterday WRT manufacturing in the U.S., I think consumers need to be the driving force behind reviving our domestic manufacturing industry.

Here’s a start…find US-made products here:

http://www.madeinusa.org/

http://www.stillmadeinusa.com/
——————

In case anyone is looking to replace their dinnerware, we replaced our chipped, cracked, broken, Chinese plates with these:

http://www1.macys.com/catalog/index.ognc?CategoryID=28954&cm_mmc=Google_Dinnerware-_-Dinnerware+-+Fiesta-Google_Mis+Fiesta+ware-_-6491744224_Exact-_-fiestaware_mkwid_s0PsLFpSF_6491744224%7C-%7C0PsLFpSF&PageID=124358312961191

I’ve even dropped a few on our tile floor, and not a single one has broken or chipped (not kidding). They are lead-free and made in the USA. I highly recommend them.

Comment by Jim A.
2010-09-30 07:02:18

Lead free, yes. But of course the old ones aren’t uranium free.

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Comment by Steve J
2010-09-30 07:16:43

Just the red ones.

 
Comment by CA renter
2010-09-30 18:09:29

And the white/ivory ones, too, no? ;)

 
 
Comment by tj
2010-09-30 07:59:30

I think consumers need to be the driving force behind reviving our domestic manufacturing industry.

they always are. but you need to look at what’s driving them. and it’s not price, it’s value that drives them. and the market place is apolitical. all attempts to make it otherwise are futile, and not even in our long term interests.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-30 09:24:02

and the market place is apolitical. all attempts to make it otherwise are futile, and not even in our long term interests.

(This message has been approved by the Heritage Foundation and the Red Chinese Chamber of Commerce.)

 
 
Comment by jetson_boy
2010-09-30 08:20:32

Corningware is pretty amazing stuff. Its those thin cheap looking ceramic plates popular in the 60’s and 70’s. The product was accidentally invented when a tech at Corning left a plate in the oven way too long, superheating it. He pulled it out, dropped it on the floor and it bounced. Its almost unbreakable. They used it on missile cones too. I believe they actually stopped making them because people wern’t breaking their dishes fast enough.

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Comment by cactus
2010-09-30 08:30:31

The product was accidentally invented when a tech at Corning left a plate in the oven way too long, superheating it. ”

Huh I didn’t know that cool

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 09:46:03

A serendipitous invention made by Stookey in 1953 was when he took a piece of FotoForm glass and mistakenly heated it to 900°C when he meant to heat it to 600°C.[3] When an oven thermometer was stuck on the higher temperature Stookey had accidentally created the first glass-ceramic, Fotoceram.[2] It was later known also as Pyroceram.[3] This was the first glass-ceramic and eventually led to the development of CorningWare in 1957.[3
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S._Donald_Stookey

From another website:

In 1957, Donald Stookey of Corning Glass Works discovered that the addition of certain nucleating agents to Fotoform glass (used in electronic components and fluidic control devices) produced glass objects that could be transformed into fine-grained ceramics by heat treatment. This new Pyroceram composition became the basis of Corning Ware..

And it's back on the market..

Originally manufactured by Corning Glass Works, the CorningWare and Corelle brand names are now owned by World Kitchens Incorporated of Reston, Virginia, which relaunched the brand name in 2001.[2] CorningWare is sold worldwide, and it is popular in Canada, United States and Australia.

The original pyroceramic glass version of CorningWare was removed from the US market in the late 1990s. It was re-introduced in 2009, due to popular demand.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corningware

 
Comment by jetson_boy
2010-09-30 10:03:06

cool! Its not the best looking stuff but it is truly difficult to break. After reading about it ( I never knew it was supposed to be shatter resistant) I actually took a plate outside and dropped it on the driveway. It just bounced! Amazing since it looks so delicate.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 10:18:45

the idea of using heat resistant glass for cookware came from someone’s wife a few decades earlier..

Developed by Eugene G. Sullivan and William C. Taylor for Corning Glass Works in 1915, Corning Ware evolved from an experiment by the wife of Jesse T. Littleton, Corning’s chief physicist. When she baked puddings, Mrs. Littleton substituted the bottom portion of a battery jar for breakable casseroles. From her success came Pyrex or nonexpanding glass, made from borax, alumina, sodium, and soda and fired at over 2,500°F (1,371°C). The low thermal quality reduced the danger of breakage; its reduced sodium content lessened the chance of chemical interaction.

I suppose a “battery jar” was some specially formulated glass container.. it’s hard to find the source for this..

 
Comment by jetson_boy
2010-09-30 11:21:08

Battery jars were exactly what they sound like: battery jars. Prior to rural electrification many companies like Kohler, Philco, GE, and others had home electric systems for those that lived in the sticks. I’ve seen a few of these are vintage old engine shows. In the basement was a small gas generator that charged a whole series of batteries- sometimes as many as 10-15 of them. The batteries were basically lead acid batteries houses in a square glass case. Typically 6 volts. The generator would run until the batteries were charged. The house was wired entirely for 6 volts and you could buy 6 volt appliances like radios, fans, heaters, lamps, and so on. Its a sort of forgotten technology from the teens and 20’s.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 11:25:20

The product was accidentally invented

This never happens genetically in Nature, just ask a Creationist / Intelligent Design prognosticator. ;-)

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 11:36:38

now i remember.. i’ve seen pix of the old batteries. Not being much of a cook, I just couldn’t imagine any sort of battery jar having a suitable shape to bake pudding.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-30 12:40:13

Some of us are as yet still an unfinished creation.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 15:29:47

lots of Corningware on Amazon..

Corelle Livingware Geometric 16-Piece Dinnerware Set, Service for 4
Buy new: $51.10 $29.99

Reviews give it 4 and a half stars..

Corelle Impressions 16-Piece Dinnerware Set, Service for 4, Watercolors
1 new from $219.99

again, 4 and a half stars.

 
Comment by CA renter
2010-09-30 16:44:24

This Corningware conversation bums me out. When my mom passed, I gave away all of her “old” cookware because I thought I could easily buy “newer and better” stuff. Little did I know how valuable those dishes were. :(

 
Comment by Watching the Carnage
2010-09-30 18:03:50

The mention of Corningware reminded me of a funny childhood story. My mom had recently purchased some Corningware plates in the early 70’s (probably using H&H Greenstamps) and was showing off to her lady friends on Tuesday bridge night - she dropped the plate on the floor and it shattered into a hundred small broken pieces.

On another note - my Mom in her seventies still uses that Corningware as her daily dishes!

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 18:44:42

Stuff like that is tough compared to regular glass, but it’s still glass, and it will shatter. But they are pretty much heat-proof.

I recall one commercial where a bowl has been in the freezer and they take it out and pour molten brass or something into it..

Some of ours chipped around the edges and at least one broke somehow… but the kitchen floor was that soft linoleum and everything tended to bounce.

 
 
Comment by vicever
2010-09-30 09:10:50

You did not see the high quality stuff made in China, I saw them in the wholesale market for hotel business, the stuff has the quality matches best china sold in Macy, normally $300 a set with 16 pieces. What the price they are selling, equivalent to $80 for a 60 pieces, still more than 10 times cheaper, those are not cheap in my book any more but still way cheaper. If those are sold here, I would not even consider those stuff sold in Macy or any Japanese’s stores. But china are heavy and I did have all china I need yet to be broken, so I did not end up of buying them. If those are sold here, I will seriously consider them and give my old stuff to Good will or trash bin.

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 11:27:44

Tankxs for the reminder CA renter…

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Comment by REhobbyist
2010-10-04 06:09:20

Those look great. We don’t need a full set of dishes, but those cereal bowls and some of those serving items are just what we need. Thank you, renter!

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Comment by Martin
2010-09-30 06:02:57

The Anti-Outsourcing Bill killed by senate:

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/anti-outsourcing-bill-fails-senate-test-vote-2010-09-28-1255330

A Democrat bill aimed at discouraging outsourcing of U.S. jobs failed a key test vote in the Senate on Tuesday, in a legislative defeat for President Barack Obama’s party just weeks before the congressional midterm elections.

Sponsors of the bill couldn’t muster the 60 votes needed to cut off debate on the measure, which includes a payroll tax break for companies that move jobs to the U.S. from overseas.

The vote was 53-45.

Comment by oxide
2010-09-30 06:21:25

Thank you for this, Martin. I was going to post it yesterday but didn’t have time to find a link.

2012 is going to be a very interesting year. There MUST be a staffer somewhere analyzing Senate retirements and state tendencies for 2012. If the Republicans win this year and the economy goes down again, then people will gladly vote for Obama again, perhaps give a solid 60 votes in the Senate. Then, Tea Party watch out.

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Comment by nycjoe
2010-09-30 06:28:06

Good link. Rising disgust on all sides, it seems. So which was “an election year ploy,” voting for it or against it? Nauseating.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-30 06:57:58

The sitting President will take the brunt of public ire, regardless of who has how many seats in Congress. More of the party of the misfits is baked in the cake.

 
Comment by DinOR
2010-09-30 07:38:01

Blue Skye,

Normally I’d agree without reservation, and you’ve a ton of history in your corner. But at the risk of saying “it’s different this time” ( it just may be? )

I wouldn’t say “people will ‘gladly’ vote for Obama again” nor would I say the Tea Party has anything to “watch out” for? We’ve become such hopeless “idea junkies” that we’re obsessed w/ newness.

Anything new and shiney, like going shopping when you’re depressed.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 07:48:29

If the Republicans win this year and the economy goes down again, then people will gladly vote for Obama again, perhaps give a solid 60 votes in the Senate. Then, Tea Party watch out.

From where I sit, this year in Obama’s presidency looks like Reagan’s back in 1982. Recall that, back then, the economy seemed to be stuck in an endless recession. Especially in the Northeast and the Midwest.

Despite the current revisionism re: Reagan’s sky-high popularity, he wasn’t that beloved in the Northeast or Midwest. Something about the economy and his policies toward what was being referred to as the Rust Belt. The Sun Belt was getting quite a bit of Reagan love.

Well, the midterm elections didn’t go too well for the Gipper. And, what’s worse, key advisors were jumping ship. Some of them, like David Stockman, went on to write tell-all books. (Read Stockman’s Triumph of Politics. It’s good.)

Then came 1984, and wouldn’t ya know it, that moribund U.S. economy was showing solid signs of recovery. Yes, we all know that this came with a runup in the federal deficit and increasing consumer debt.

As for the election, Reagan was given a wonderful gift by the Democrats. That would be a weak opponent named Walter Mondale. Picking a woman as his veep didn’t help. Reagan cruised to victory.

I predict that similar things will happen this time around.

 
Comment by In Montana
2010-09-30 09:02:59

“Anything new and shiney, like going shopping when you’re depressed.”

Novelty. Yup, it’s been our MO for about a hundred years now.

 
Comment by DinOR
2010-09-30 09:25:19

In Montana,

I’m just sitting there watching in amazement as my wife’s Fortune 500 co. cycles thru new miracle-boy mgrs. on a 6-mo. timeline?

They’ve -got- issues, have no doubts, but they’re canning ppl before they’ve even had a window to fully implement the solutions as they ’see’ them ( let alone give them time to take effect? )

I don’t know if any of you have been sent out to work on an airplane or a car w/ an idea junkie, but they’re pulling the test leads off the component before you can even get a proper reading? My response has always been “I’ll see you back at the shop…” ( as in, if you’re going to act like that, you’re on your own! )

 
Comment by oxide
2010-09-30 09:44:17

You don’t know what the Tea Party has to watch out for?

Public Option health care, for one. However, I don’t know how the Senate is going to shape up in 2012. 2010 is complex enough.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 09:57:26

You don’t know what the Tea Party has to watch out for?

Public Option health care, for one.

Despite all of the current rumblings about repealing health care reform, I don’t think it will be repealed.

But I do think that the health insurance companies are doing a very good job of showing us that they’re not interested in playing ball. Just look at the latest decision to drop child-only policies.

So, donning my prognosticator’s hat, here’s what I think will happen:

1. The double-digit rate increases will continue. Which will lead to all sorts of people and companies dropping health insurance.

2. The public outcry that we’re already hearing will intensify. It will reach the ears of our legislators, who, in essence, will say, “Okay, insurance industry. You’re not willing to play ball and you keep gouging your customers with unjustified double-digit rate increases. Well, you’ve certainly gone ahead and made our day. Here’s that public option. You remember the public option. It was proposed as a way to keep you guys honest.”

3. The public option will become law, and the next thing you will hear is a stampede. It will be caused in part by people and companies dumping their private health insurance in favor of the public option. There will also be quite an exodus of people from the employed workforce. These pent-up entrepreneurs, finally freed of job lock, will be singing “Take This Job And Shove It!” on the way out the door. (I’m especially fond of the Johnny Paycheck version.)

As for private health insurance, it will continue to exist the way it does in Canada. It will be for such things as a nicer hospital room or other amenities like that. But the default insurance in this country will be public. And I predict that a lot of people will prefer it.

 
Comment by DinOR
2010-09-30 10:17:26

“going to shape up in 2012″ ( Wherein the world ends ‘any’ way… )

Nah, not being flippant, just trying to make it to ‘Friday’? Yet, with something, a movement as gangling and de-centralized as the TP ‘is’, how is possible to really ‘contain’ them? Just wondering aloud.

 
Comment by lavi d
2010-09-30 10:35:41

These pent-up entrepreneurs, finally freed of job lock, will be singing “Take This Job And Shove It!”

I’m studying the lyrics to the song, myself.

 
Comment by DinOR
2010-09-30 11:11:25

Arizona Slim,

In de facto fashion, that’s already kind of taken place here in OR. Surprised no one has yet mentioned that MCD’s is threatening to drop their emp’s off their “mini-med” (?) plan?

So be it thru the courts or as you say, simply refusing to play ball, likely as not to just slide thru the cracks. It’s already kind of dropped off my radar.

 
Comment by CA renter
2010-09-30 18:19:08

3. The public option will become law, and the next thing you will hear is a stampede. It will be caused in part by people and companies dumping their private health insurance in favor of the public option. There will also be quite an exodus of people from the employed workforce. These pent-up entrepreneurs, finally freed of job lock, will be singing “Take This Job And Shove It!” on the way out the door. (I’m especially fond of the Johnny Paycheck version.)

As for private health insurance, it will continue to exist the way it does in Canada. It will be for such things as a nicer hospital room or other amenities like that. But the default insurance in this country will be public. And I predict that a lot of people will prefer it.

Preach it, oxide! This would be the very best thing that could ever happen to this country.

 
Comment by REhobbyist
2010-10-04 06:28:27

A real estate agent friend called me the other day. She befriended a 70-year-old client of hers about five years ago who is alone. Five days ago her friend called her in tears because she found a breast mass. She is well-insured because she has Medicare and a supplemental, but she doesn’t get regular medical care or have a primary doctor. I told my real estate friend that she should take her friend to her (the agent’s) doctor. After a moment of silence she admitted to me that she is uninsured and doesn’t have a doctor herself, because she can’t afford it. I referred them to my doctor’s office, and they now have an appointment. We had a discussion about the fact that the only real estate agents who can afford insurance now are those who have husbands who are insured through their employers. Something has to give.

Oh, and I have to argue with those who claim that the US provides free medical care for illegals. Illegals are completely ineligible for Medicare/Medicaid/MediCal benefits. The only illegals I see in my office are those who pay cash to see me and have a referral. The only illegals who receive free care are those who are sick enough to get through the ER triage, or women in active labor. The only illegal I can recall taking care of in the hospital was a young farm laborer with untreated diabetes who fell face first in the first and developed rhinocerebral mucormycosis (fungus that gets in the nose in the immune suppressed and ends up in the eyeballs and brain.) Unfortunately I saved his life but he ended up like the guy in the picture.

http://abyssaldepths.files.wordpress.com/2008/04/mucormycosis-2.jpg

 
 
Comment by jetson_boy
2010-09-30 10:23:20

Anyone surprised? Of course I’m sure Republicans cleverly said it was a “job killer” or “socialist” or something along those lines. Anyone that thinks putting more of these guys in power to “fix” the economy are only fooling themselves…

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Comment by Jerry
2010-09-30 10:34:54

China off loads its American Dollars this fall down goes the dollar big time! Only those who have saved in “Real Money” Gold and Silver will survive. Show me a banker who can print or make real gold and silver?

 
 
Comment by combotechie
2010-09-30 05:14:40

Google “trade deficit with china” and this is what you will get:

2009 … -266,877
2008 … -268,039
2007 … -258,506
2006 … -234,101
2005 … -202,278
2004 … -162,254
2003 … -124,068
2002 … -103,064
2001 … -83,096
2000 … -83,833

These figures are the difference between dollars we send to China and dollars China sends back to us. Note the trend: It has tripled in ten years.

If we send dollars to China then that means there are less dollars left to circulate in the US, thus the buying power of the dollars that remain in the US increases due to its scarcity.

But at the same time, due to its grownig abundance in China, the buying power of dollars in China decreases.

So IMHO it makes perfect sense to see the dollar take a big hit in its value in China and at the same time increase its value in the US. And this will continue as long as more dollars are going to China than are returning.

And because the number of dollars outside the US is increasing - thus diluting its buying power - the PRICE OF GOODS coming into the US will increase as measured in dollar terms, and that is what we are now seeing.

But at the same time the scarcity of dollars circulating in the US causes the value of dollars AS MEASURED BY THE COST OF WAGES to increase in value. In other words, the scarcity of dollars inside the US means employers get to pay their employees less money for the same amount of work.

It’s all about money flow. Money flow is the measurement of the flow of wealth.

If money is flowing to China then wealth is flowing to China and China propers as a result. If money flows out of the US then wealth is flowing out of the US and the US suffers the consequences.

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 06:31:48

Yes.

Something tells me this has something to do with it. It’s simply not feasible to have massive outflow of money for 30 years without building up a mountain of debt.

Note that chart exactly corresponds with this one - change in current account balance.

 
Comment by NJRenter
2010-09-30 07:05:31

Part of the problem is also the export restrictions. China doesn’t want/need that much consumer goods. It really wants high tech, precision manufacturing tools, planes, computers, etc. Mots of these have export restrictions. Other than these, what else can we even sell to them? A billion iPods?

Comment by In Colorado
2010-09-30 07:27:23

” A billion iPods?”

Those are made in China IIRC.

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Comment by MightyMike
2010-09-30 07:29:29

You have to keep in mind that that even the iPods are mostly manufactured in China. They may be designed in the US, but they are built overseas. Something else to keep in mind, is the government funded the research and development back in the 1940s, ’50s, ’60s and ’70s that led to the developement of the modern electronics/computer/software industry.

Ain’t that a kick in the head?

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Comment by DennisN
2010-09-30 07:42:11

The internet was built in an effort to defeat world communism. Hey it worked, didn’t it?

The original internet protocol standard, MIL-STD-1777, was published decades ago.

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-30 08:43:01

Well, technically the original standard was RFC 791, which preceded MIL-STD-1777 by two years (and also obsoleted a 1-year-earlier version in RFC 760)

 
Comment by Cassandra
2010-09-30 09:20:04

1777? was than when the internet was invented? I thought Al Gore invented the internet.

 
Comment by NJRenter
2010-09-30 10:19:13

I think you are all correct. But this goes to show a more structural problem than simply lay all the blames on currency manipulation. In other words, we really need to ask ourselves, what do we make or have to offer that people in China want to buy?

 
 
 
Comment by cactus
2010-09-30 08:36:56

It’s all about money flow. Money flow is the measurement of the flow of wealth. ”

yea thats right I think the FED is tring to increase money flow here by loaning to banks at 0% banks then are supposed to lend increasing money flow or velocity. hmmm not working to good and as you point out if the loaned money goes to China

besides all the debt that has to be paid back before new stuff can be bought

the US had 20 years of false economy, a debt bubble, all gone

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 08:44:11

all gone

I strongly disagree with that part. Very, very little is gone.

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Comment by tj
2010-09-30 09:00:29

I strongly disagree with that part. Very, very little is gone.

money flow between nations affects the wealth of individual nations, but it has no effect on global wealth. global wealth is increased through a net increase in global production and is decreased with net global waste, just as our personal wealth is.

this time i’m probably preaching to the choir. :)

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-30 10:59:03

Yep.

Where interest = waste. Interest is money transferred that results in no actual goods. Money management could perhaps be considered a “service”, but not really; only a base level of money management is really providing a service - the rest is just made overly complicated so the bankers can skim their part off the top.

 
Comment by tj
2010-09-30 11:35:32

Where interest = waste. Interest is money transferred that results in no actual goods.

well, you already know that i think that the ‘debt as money’ video contains almost as much misinformation as truth.

 
 
 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 10:05:51

When speaking of trade deficits with a country with whom the USA takes advantage of their cheap labor, the numbers can be very deceiving.

For instance…
I have a cabinet shop here in the USA. All my customers are in the USA. My shop has no impact on the trade deficit.

I close it and move everything to China, and produce the cabinets there.

Those cabinets are now counted as an import, and will increase the USA’s trade deficit.

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 11:10:37

What’s your point?

The money for the cabinets is still mostly going to China now, not to the U.S. I don’t see the “can be very deceiving” part.

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Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 11:32:07

That’s my shop. I’m American and I live here in the USA. I get all the money from sales, and then pay the building’s rent, utilities and cheap-o Chinese labor, which is something like $100 per man, per month.

I might sell $1,000,000 worth of cabinets here in the USA.

No matter what my Chinese business expenses are, I’ve still added $1,000,000 to our trade deficit.

 
 
 
 
Comment by packman
2010-09-30 06:17:07

It’s a MADD race to the bottom.

(Mutually-Assured Dollar Destruction)

It’s why everything is way more expensive right now than it should be, e.g. crude at $79 despite an incredible glut. Same with gold, houses, stocks, bonds, etc. etc.

Meantime we have an ever-rising disparity between the rich and poor. Coincidence? I think not.

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-30 06:41:37

This currency stuff is unnerving, these guys are playing with fire. Over the years many of you (especially you Packy) have been warning of this. Well lemme tell ya, it’s now plainly obvious to this observer. How much longer can it go on before one of them blinks?

Comment by In Colorado
2010-09-30 07:28:52

And its situatons like these that demagogues take advantage of to become dictators.

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Comment by scdave
2010-09-30 11:08:54

I think they Blink that is unless we continue to spar over the really important things that confront our country such as; Gay Marriage…

Ask the fundamental question…Who needs who more ??

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Comment by pismoclam
2010-09-30 17:44:45

Dancing with the stars. Idol? Wheel of Fortune, Oprah, Judge Judy ???

 
 
 
Comment by MightyMike
2010-09-30 07:32:54

It’s why everything is way more expensive right now than it should be, e.g. crude at $79 despite an incredible glut. Same with gold, houses, stocks, bonds, etc. etc.

Come on, don’t be so negative! Houses are getting cheaper every day. At least something is moving in the right direction.

Comment by CA renter
2010-09-30 18:30:18

Not around here. Housing barely went down (maybe 20% or so in early 2009), but prices have been mighty resilient, and many sellers are actually getting prices that are **higher** than 2005/2006 levels.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 07:47:34

Gluts help little to contain unaffordable prices if they can be effectively held off the market. This can happen if a few 800 lb oligopoly Megabanks run the entire show, funded with zero percent loans from the Fed.

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 07:57:46

Yep.

But hey - it’s all in the name of “helping the economy”, right? High prices don’t hurt anybody - they just help the producers, right?

(Nevermind that the producers are pretty much all foreign now)

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 08:20:40

Now Mr. Bear, they are giving some of the Billions $$$$$$$$$$$$$$ back, a few dollars at a time, week by week… ;-)

The Fed Makes And Mints Money
Wednesday, September 29, 2010 / by Daniel Gross, Yahoo! Finance

Last Bank Standing:

“The most profitable bank in the United States of America isn’t Jamie Dimon’s JP Morgan Chase or the rejuvenated Bank of America. In fact, it doesn’t have any ATMs, and it pays out almost all its earnings to you and your neighbors.”
Bernanke vastly increased the size of the Fed’s balance sheet, which now stands at $2.3 trillion vs. about $800 billion before the crisis began.

But as much as it may have contributed to our financial problems, the Fed may also be part of the solution — by helping to keep the deficit from growing even larger.

How does that work? Good question.
The Fed is a collection of regional Federal Reserve banks that are in turn owned by their members. But when the Fed and its banks generate profits, they turn them over to the Treasury Department via weekly payments. The Fed doesn’t make money the way regular banks do — by charging ATM fees and making mortgage and credit card loans. Rather, it collects interest on the securities it acquires, by lending money to banks, and by charging fees for certain services.

It turns out that in the U.S., central banking is a reliably profitable business. The Fed’s 2008 annual report (see Chart 11 on page 426) has tables that show profits going back to 1914. Over its lifetime, the Fed has funneled more than $680 billion into the coffers of the Treasury. Until recently, the figures were pretty steady and relatively small — between $20 billion and $30 billion from 2000 to 2008.

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Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Florida)
2010-09-30 10:08:53

Over its lifetime, the Fed has funneled more than $680 billion into the coffers of the Treasury. Until recently, the figures were pretty steady and relatively small — between $20 billion and $30 billion from 2000 to 2008.

So in about 100 years, the Treasury got 680B. The FED just printed up 1.4 Trillion in bailout money?? IN a year?

That’s a puff article by media to defend the FED. The truth is the FED is BUYING Treasury Bills, owed back by the Taxpayer (me and you) at interest, with money they PRINT.
And they’re trying to tell us the FED is making money for the Treasury. What a Complete crock!!!
The FED is licensed to PRINT money. They don’t create any wealth. They are stealer’s of wealth by “lawful” counterfeiting. That’s all they do.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 11:10:26

No worries Diogenes, it will ALL change this Nov 2nd… ;-/

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 22:49:59

“It turns out that in the U.S., central banking is a reliably profitable business.”

How can I get me one of them Fed money trees that grows profits right out of thin air? That’s a pretty cool trick if you can figure out how to do it.

 
 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 11:15:56

e.g. crude at $79 despite an incredible glut.

Inconceivable! America is an efficient, “Financial Innovative” Free-Market eCONomy.

Supply & Demand are to economics,… what gravity is to physics, it can’t ever be distorted! ;-)

 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-30 04:25:37

Nearly one in four second-quarter home sales a foreclosure

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Nearly one in every four U.S. homes sold in the second quarter was a deeply discounted foreclosed house, putting the market on pace to work through distressed properties in about three years, RealtyTrac said.

Banks stepped up foreclosures through the summer and will take over a record 1.2 million homes this year, up from around 1 million last year and about 100,000 in 2005 before the housing bust, according to a forecast from the real estate data company.

Foreclosed homes accounted for 24 percent of all second-quarter sales, at an average price discount of more than 26 percent compared with homes not in the foreclosure process.

“This is the kind of volume of activity that we need to see for the market to heal,” RealtyTrac senior vice president Rick Sharga said in an interview.

“Our projections have been that we will get through the distressed inventory largely by the end of 2013, and these kinds of numbers are on target to get us there,” he said.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 05:27:33

Without information about the quality differential between foreclosure homes and other used homes (e.g., because someone left pigs in the foreclosure home), news regarding them selling at a discount is somewhat meaningless.

Foreclosures sell at 26% discount
By Les Christie, staff writer
September 30, 2010: 4:14 AM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — Homes lost to foreclosure now make up a quarter of the real estate market — and they’re selling at big bargains.

Nearly 250,000 residential properties in some stage of foreclosure changed hands during the second quarter, RealtyTrac reported Thursday. They sold for about 26% less than non-foreclosed homes, compared to 35% less in the first quarter.

A little more than half of these deals were of properties repossessed by banks, the remainder came from the ranks of short sales — where banks allow homeowners to sell for less than they owe on the mortgage.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 07:51:53

As mentioned here before, my former landlady bought a foreclosed property on the Pima County Courthouse steps. That was back in December 1998.

Once she got a good look inside the two houses on the property, she knew she had her work cut out. Seems that the terms “maintenance” and “repair” were not in the previous owner’s vocabulary.

On Thanksgiving 1995, I had a chat with her. She was still working on bringing those houses back up to snuff.

Comment by In Montana
2010-09-30 09:15:57

???

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Comment by The_Overdog
2010-09-30 09:31:02

You mean 2005 right? Or did she use a time machine to go back and wreck it?

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 10:00:43

Okay, people, I confess. I committed a typing sin.

Meant to say 2005 up above. (See what digestive distress does to me? But I’m pleased to report that, in the past hour, I’ve started feeling much better, TYVM.)

 
Comment by DinOR
2010-09-30 10:20:28

Slim,

Good to hear. I feel like I’m coming down w/ something? You just feel listless for a bit, then come back as strong as ever. I’ll have something to eat and it’s like a total “re-set”. Weird.

 
 
 
Comment by tj
2010-09-30 08:11:08

exactly right PB. ‘quality’ must be in the equation.

 
 
Comment by polly
2010-09-30 05:38:47

In making those projections, what assumptions did they make about new foreclosures? What assumptions did they make about future unemployment numbers? What assumptions did they make about the inclination of young adults to become new homeowners? Did they use numbers from the tax credit “bulge” to shape their assumptions?

Comment by oxide
2010-09-30 06:13:36

I was about the ask the same thing. I suspect that that number of ~4 million distressed homes does NOT include

Shadow inventory: Abandoned.
Shadow inventory: Shadow squatted by FB.
Future foreclosures — see Credit Suisse Graph with peak in 2011.
Withdrawal of taxpayer support of Fannie/Freddie/AIG

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 07:48:51

Undercounting is pretty easy for those interested in denying the size of the problem.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 07:53:47

To the number of distressed homes, I would also add the houses that were offered for sale, didn’t sell, and now they’re being rented out “until the market improves.”

Quite a bit of that going on here in Tucson. And now we’re seeing a lot of rental houses that are just sitting there empty. There are two right behind me, and many more in nabes that are closer to the University of Arizona.

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Comment by DennisN
2010-09-30 06:39:45

we will get through the distressed inventory largely by the end of 2013

That’s three more years of hurt. It may be a positive sign that some guy like Sharga predicts no resolution of the situation until that time.

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 06:42:32

we will get through the distressed inventory largely by the end of 2013

I say 2017 at best. No way we get through it by 2013.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 08:12:40

Agreed. The things that slightly-less-deluded commentators like Sharga miss in their projections is that it is not just about working through the extant mountain of inventory (including shadow inventory), but also through the additions thereto which will accompany the end of housing bust denial. Once those sitting on ten investment properties they bought before 2005 realize there will be no real estate price appreciation for at least the next decade or so, they will add a considerable number of houses to the inventory pyre.

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Comment by CA renter
2010-09-30 18:35:36

We might have been able to see the bottom by 2013 (or a bit sooner) **if the govt had stayed out of the way.** Because of their interference with the market, the downturn will last much, much longer, IMHO.

 
 
 
 
Comment by citizen.joan
2010-10-01 12:25:52

Did anyone hear the gentlemen interviewed by Joe Kernan about a week ago that suggested we allow a path to citizenship with a 50% downpayment on a home value of $500,000 or more? Thought
it sounded like a good idea.I emailed cnbc 3 times trying to find out his name as I missed most of the interview but they are ignoring me.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-30 04:30:18

Au ~ 1313.80 Ag ~ 22.04 this AM.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 05:23:41

Gold always goes up.

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-30 05:31:02

Com’on Prof, we need to believe in something! You took away our dotcom stocks, then you took away our house ATM. This gold has to be worth a lot, it’s all we’ve got left.

Anyone else notice that there aren’t many nickles in circulation anymore?

Comment by rusty
2010-09-30 05:52:37

They are all in a big jar on my desk. Every day after work I dump a handful of change into it. I saw a college-aged girl drop a dime the other day, and she just laughed and walked off. I did bother to bend down and pick it up. I do that for pennies as well. Every little bit helps!

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Comment by Jim A.
2010-09-30 05:54:12

Of course I’ve been saying that they should get rid of the nickel the same time they get rid of the penny. When adjusted for inflation, 5¢ is less money than the half cent coin was when they stopped minting them in 1857.

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Comment by Steve J
2010-09-30 07:22:20

What does that make the $20? I still see signs - No bills larger than a $20.

 
Comment by Jim A.
2010-09-30 08:26:05

Well Steve, these days people largely DON’T use cash for large payments the way that they used to. They stopped printing any denomination large than $100 and even those are uncommon. Large cash transactions are commonly assumed to be criminal and generate special reporting requirements.

 
Comment by Steve J
2010-09-30 08:43:59

$100 is not a large transaction anymore. Heck, you can’t even fill up your tank and buy a carton of cigs for a $100 anymore.

 
Comment by Jim A.
2010-09-30 09:52:26

Well I don’t smoke, and my daily driver has an 11 gallon tank. But I always use a credit card at the pump anyway.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 06:05:06

Is it really that nickels are not in circulation, or that nobody uses them because the quarter is the new penny? (Maybe that was your point?)

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Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-30 06:24:45

I haven’t checked the price of nickle, but that coin is the only one left with the old metal content. Maybe it’s worth more than 5c or getting close.

The quarter is the new penny? I’d have to agree, but it is like the old large penny.

 
Comment by nycjoe
2010-09-30 06:31:38

Quarter might be the new nickel, at least. Try feeding an NYC parking meter these days.

 
Comment by cactus
2010-09-30 09:22:48

Maybe it’s worth more than 5c or getting close.”

Nickel is worth about a dime in metal content

there is a law that change can’t be exported outside the USA

 
Comment by CA renter
2010-09-30 18:37:19

Because coins are the only real US currency.

 
Comment by Jim A
2010-09-30 18:44:32

CA renter umm… coins AREN’T currency, they’re money. In fact they’re the money that you can exchange your federal reserve notes for.

 
Comment by CA renter
2010-10-01 01:26:40

Actually, coins are a type of currency, but I was referring more to the fact that coins are minted by the U.S. govt, while FRNs are not.

———–

In economics, the term currency can refer to a particular currency, for example Pound Sterling, or to the coins and banknotes of a particular currency, which comprise the physical aspects of a nation’s money supply.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Currency

 
 
 
Comment by exeter
2010-09-30 09:16:32

AlladinBear. ;)

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 11:12:30

AladinBearStuccoCantankerousShootsAndProbablyMoreWeDontKnowAbout

:)

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-30 08:37:37

Sponsors of the bill couldn’t muster the 60 votes needed to cut off debate on the measure, which includes a payroll tax break for companies that move jobs to the U.S. from overseas.

I would not be surprised if Gold retests 1240 before it hits 1340. It looks like it needs to rest for a bit.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-30 08:39:33

ponsors of the bill couldn’t muster the 60 votes needed to cut off debate on the measure, which includes a payroll tax break for companies that move jobs to the U.S. from overseas.

There have been a lot of articles showing how the filibuster is being abused by being used MUCH more than in the past.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-30 08:42:53

oops, wrong place for the gold comment

 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-30 04:35:59

Wow what a surprise the weasels skip out without a budget bill. It’s far more important for them to do job one…Get re-elected! P.S. What are middle class dreams, according to our no class leaders?

Congress punts tough choice until after election

WASHINGTON (AP) - A deeply unpopular Congress is bolting for the campaign trail without finishing its most basic job - approving a budget for the government year that begins on Friday. Lawmakers also are postponing a major fight over taxes, two embarrassing ethics cases and other political hot potatoes until angry and frustrated voters render their verdict in the Nov. 2 elections.

As a last necessary task before leaving, both the Senate and House passed a temporary spending measure needed to keep federal agencies operating when the new budget year starts.

As Congress moved toward a messy end to a session fraught with partisan fire, President Barack Obama campaigned for Democrats in Iowa and Virginia, accusing Republicans of being dishonest about what needs to be done to revive the economy and “restore middle-class dreams”.

With their House and Senate majorities on the line, Democratic leaders called off votes and even debates on all controversial matters.

“It would be one thing if you have a chance to pass something, then by all means have a vote,” Sen. Joe Lieberman, I-Conn., said Wednesday. “But it was pretty clear that it was going to be mutually assured destruction.”

Comment by Rancher
2010-09-30 05:38:39

They just shot themselves in the foot, both feet
actually, and then kneecapped themselves as well.

Do these imbeciles really think this is going to go
over well with the electorate?

Time for my second cup.

 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-30 05:47:14

Might as well write off the month of October. Television will be overloaded with slick political ads, politicians will step up their rhetoric promising voters a swift return to happy days, and Dr. Ben Bernanke will wonder why his “quantitative easing” isn’t boosting the economy the way it’s supposed to.

The one thing the bankers, politicians, and media fail to take into consideration is that the economy is measured by an untrustworthy money unit. No one can know what the value of the dollar will be next year. How can anyone, from the lowliest functionary to the head of state, build a secure future with fiat currency that’s losing value every day?

Comment by wmbz
2010-09-30 05:58:09

Congress also postponed action on the controversial tax issue and set aside, for now, two embarrassing ethics cases. Meanwhile, President Obama has been vigorously campaigning in Iowa and Virginia, telling voters that Republicans are dishonest about what needs to be done to revive the economy and “restore middle class dreams.”

“Restore middle class dreams”…WTH does that crap mean?

I think Barry meant “to keep on with the middle class reaming”

Comment by Martin
2010-09-30 06:14:01

Sorry for the double post, reposting as the previous post not showing yet.

Anti-outsourcing bill fails Senate test vote
Bill would have given companies tax break for moving jobs to U.S.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/anti-outsourcing-bill-fails-senate-test-vote-2010-09-28-1255330

A Democrat bill aimed at discouraging outsourcing of U.S. jobs failed a key test vote in the Senate on Tuesday, in a legislative defeat for President Barack Obama’s party just weeks before the congressional midterm elections.

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Comment by oxide
2010-09-30 06:23:45

Did the article actually say “Democrat bill?”

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-30 06:29:51

Wouldn’t “Democratish bill” be more proper?

 
 
Comment by polly
2010-09-30 06:16:23

Seriously? You can’t figure out what “middle class dreams” are in politician speak? Doesn’t seem that hard to me.

What do people who consider themselves middle class in the US want?

To stay in the middle class which means keeping or getting a job (depending on your current circumstances) with good pay and benefits and a chance of a promotion or at least a pay raise some day.

Be able to send children to college.

Said children will be able to get jobs and move out on some reasonable schedule (generally a number of years before hitting thirty).

A comfortable retirement.

I’m sure that individuals have all sorts of other ideas including starting a small business and certain types of consumption (a sports car, a boat, etc.), but the whole thing can be summarized with “having a good life and kids doing better than I did.” You can agree or disagree with how any group of politicians try to get there, but the basic outline of what people consider “middle class dreams” isn’t that hard.

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Comment by lavi d
2010-09-30 08:36:48

Might as well write off the month of October.

Whoah! There’s still Halloween.

Comment by lavi d
2010-09-30 08:37:53

And Octoberfest!

(And my birthday, so just back off, Wombatz)

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 09:18:42

Lucy: “You’re such a Blockhead Linus, I missed another Halloween, The Great Pumkin! Arrrrrggghhhhhhhhhhhhhh :-)

Cheers Lavi d!
Here’s to ya kid!

 
Comment by CA renter
2010-09-30 18:40:28

Happy October Birthday, lavi d!!!! :)

 
 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2010-09-30 06:02:48

“It would be one thing if you have a chance to pass something, then by all means have a vote,” Sen. Joe Lieberman, I-Conn., said Wednesday. “But it was pretty clear that it was going to be mutually assured destruction.”

The democrats control government today by HUGE majorities:

The senate - 57 Democrats and one independent that votes 95% democrat (to 41 Republicans)

The congress - 256 Democrats to 178 Republicans

The white house

They can pass anything they please.

Comment by oxide
2010-09-30 06:25:19

I guess they didn’t teach “filibuster” in your elementary school.

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-30 06:33:17

Just too young to have seen “Mr. Smith goes to Washington”.

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Comment by polly
2010-09-30 06:33:35

No, bananas, they can’t. If you don’t have 60 votes in the Senate, you can’t bring a bill up for a vote. If you can’t bring an item up for a vote, then you can’t pass it.

In addition, since the Democrats currently in Congress have some diversity of opinion, they aren’t always going to vote toether on everything. They are individuals representing their districts first. And if they disagree with their leadership about certain things, they do not automatically find the full fury of the “Party” out to get them in the next set of primaries. I consider that admirable. Your opinion may vary.

Comment by miao
2010-09-30 07:31:52

Well then the whole argument that republican ran the whole congress for 12 yrs and ruined the country doesn’t sound so plausible, does it? AFAIK, republicans never had that kind of majority in senate. Are democrats really that inept to not filibuster bills they don’t like?

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 07:56:14

Are democrats really that inept to not filibuster bills they don’t like?

Here in AZ, the words “Democrats” and “inept” seem to be bosom buddies. Not to mention the words “ineffectual” and “lacking the courage of their convictions.”

 
Comment by 2banana
2010-09-30 08:15:28

+1000

Liberals want it both ways. That way they can not be blamed for anything.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 08:51:16

Here in AZ, the words “Democrats” and “inept” seem to be bosom buddies. Not to mention the words “ineffectual” and “lacking the courage of their convictions.”

Exactly, it’s just that ol’ Hwy finds the “TrueBeliever’s™ / “TrueDeceiver’s™” “TrueHypocrite™” / “TruePurity™” Doctrine of: “if-your’re-not-with-us… your’re-Anti-American!” far more distasteful, …if it smells like vomit forced down you, imagine what it must taste like when you find out they’re in the power game just-for-themselves & “special” “others” not to be mentioned. :-)

 
Comment by polly
2010-09-30 08:56:02

The republicans had control as long as they restricted themselves to things that could attract the votes of the more conservative democrats. That isn’t really complete control, but since there are conservative democrats, they managed. The current republican leadership and primary voters don’t let the more moderate republicans in congress get away with that very often.

I personally don’t care that much as I am not a Congress watcher to the extent that I can avoid it. Blame, when it is concentrated on party affiliation, is a boring game. “You controlled this for x number of years, so everything that happened during that time and for exactly 17 and a half months after that is all your fault”? Really? Yawn. Now, figuring out what policies brought about particular results is generally fascinating. Impossible to figure out since economists are not physicists, despite all their protests to the contrary, but fascinating all the same.

The republicans will take the House back. They will not put out a lot of big spending bills because they don’t want the visuals of them proposing spending. They will propose big tax cuts which probably won’t pass the Senate. The things that do get passed will be on the margins. There will be lots of investigations and hearings. Good chance of another recession (or continuation of the old one if you go by main street, not NBER, sentiments), but I am expecting that no matter what happens in the election. They will try to end health care reform by not funding it, but that will be tricky as it isn’t a single payor bill and I’m not sure how much funding it really needs. Life will go on.

 
Comment by In Montana
2010-09-30 09:20:51

TrueWhatsits™ - Hwy’s favorite strawmen!

 
Comment by oxide
2010-09-30 09:54:51

Are democrats really that inept to not filibuster bills they don’t like?

Actually yes. They were “keeping their powder dry” or something like that. And they also respected the filibuster enough to limit it to things they REALLY didn’t like, for example those mass tax cuts in 2001,* hoping that Republicans would also respect the filibuster when their time came. Well we see how THAT turned out. The Republicans are now filibustering absolutely everything regardless of whether some more moderate Republicans like it or not. Because, if a Republican doesn’t filibuster, he has his campaign funding cut off. The Dems just barely got small business tax-cuts through only because George Voinovich, a moderate Repub, was retiring and no longer cared.

It should be interesting to see what happens if the Republicans take the House, as Polly says. Will the Dems have enough spine to filibuster the living daylights out of everything?

———–
*The Republicans had to “shove them down our throats” by the reconciliation process, exactly the same as the health care law. That’s why the cuts are expiring now.

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2010-09-30 10:04:55

Your analysis pretty much matches mine.

There is a high percentage of the Republican/Tea Party contingent out here that truly believes that having government implode is a good idea. In their view, gridlock/ineffective government is a win-win situation.

They all think that they would be safe if this country turned into Colombia, circa 1995. Maybe they are right. But I wouldn’t bet my life on it

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 10:58:28

republicans never had that kind of majority in senate

;-) (It’s rumor that his favorite flower is “Forget-me-not”)

And here to break the tie in the Senate today is:

Dicky “Big-Paddle” Cheney…

 
Comment by lavi d
2010-09-30 12:27:10

Are democrats really that inept to not filibuster bills they don’t like?

Not only that, but the Morally Righteous Republicans had no problem impeaching Clinton for lying about sex, but impeaching Bush - or even investigating him - over lying about Iraq’s WMD was “off the table” according to Pelosi.

Not to mention Cheney intentionally blowing the cover of a CIA agent for political gain.

 
Comment by drumminj
2010-09-30 13:20:19

Republicans had no problem impeaching Clinton for lying about sex, but impeaching Bush - or even investigating him

One was under oath. The other wasn’t (AFAIK).

Surely you see the distinction, Lavi.

Yes, lying is bad. Lying under oath is actually illegal (perjury).

 
Comment by lavi d
2010-09-30 15:10:33

Surely you see the distinction, Lavi.

I certainly do, dj.

The Republicans impeached Clinton after investigating him for indecency - or whatever it was that they were looking for.

The Democrats, on the other hand, declined to even investigate Bush or Cheney for things much more serious is the point I’m making.

That was close!

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 18:25:23

That was close!

BWAHAHAHicHAHAHicHAHAHAHAHicHAHAHic* (DennisN™) :-)

 
 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 08:43:45

(to 41 Republicans)

My favorite Senator women folk: ;-)

Susan Collins & Olympia Snowe

Then again, the GOPOFC&CC = “The Grand Old Pimp of Fiscal Conservatives & Compassionate Conservatives” will have to put “TruePalin™” “lipstick” on these two new “recruits-for-the-Glenbeckinstan-Crusade”:

Sharron Angle & Christine O’Donnell

BWAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHHAHAHAHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!! (fpss™)

 
 
Comment by Jim A.
2010-09-30 06:41:51

Pretty much business as usual. I’m thinking that congress hasn’t passed all the annual appropriations bills by the beginning of the new fiscal year once in the last decade.

Comment by polly
2010-09-30 06:47:02

Being on a continueing resolution as the new fiscal year starts (tomorrow) is not all that unusual. The executives don’t like it because it makes planning a pain since they don’t really know what their budget will be. The rest of us barely notice it has happened.

Comment by Jim A.
2010-09-30 07:22:27

We often have problems because we have alot of annual subscriptions. Publishers aren’t interested in “We can pay for 3 months now, can we give you the rest later?”

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Comment by polly
2010-09-30 09:07:18

Interesting. I guess Westlaw and Lexis don’t have a problem with it.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-30 04:50:02

This guy must be nuts, doesn’t he realize that all we have to do is pass some new regulations and laws and that will fix any problems we may have with our system. Ask any government worshiper and they will tell you it’s true. Nanny knows best!

US Is ‘Practically Owned’ by China: Analyst CNBC

The US supremacy as the top world economy will end sooner than many people believe, so gold is a better investment than the dollar despite it hitting a new record, Tom Winnifrith, CEO at financial services firm Rivington Street Holdings, told CNBC.com Monday.

Gold and silver rose to another 30-year peak as investors were worried about the dollar weakening further after the Federal Reserve hinted at more quantitative easing last week.

The US trade deficit and debt continue to grow and the authorities are reluctant to address the problem, preferring to print money, Winnifrith said.

“America is practically owned by China,” he said.

He reminded of the fact that in 1900, sterling was the world’s reserve currency but by 1948, that was no longer the case as the British Empire collapsed.

“America is doing what Britain did,” Winnifrith said. “America spends much more than it can afford and it’s not addressing the issue.”

In 1832, China and India were the world’s two largest economies and by 2032, they will regain that status, he predicted.

“The 200 years when Britain and the US were the top two economies were an aberration and that will change,” Winnifrith said.

“The decline of empires has happened much faster than folks think. I believe that gold will be a far better bet in 20 years than the dollar,” he added.

Comment by combotechie
2010-09-30 06:33:26

“US is ‘Practically Owned by China’: Analyist CNBC”

My what a surprise.

This might have something to do with the US sending China over a QUARTER OF A TRILLION DOLLARS A YEAR more than China has been sending to the US over the past few years.

Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-09-30 08:29:14

What about all the Countries we deal with and how much more we are sending to those Countries . Add to that the 30% or more that is going out from the illegals ,not to mention the funds going out to the
illegal drug market. Every out-sourced job and manufacturing base job that is lost takes money out of America and destroys the support jobs for those lost jobs .

But , I guess the unemployed can buy stocks to survive ,or maybe houses …..,oh forget that they already tried that one .

 
 
Comment by Steve J
2010-09-30 07:30:47

I just can’t see both of these countries remaining stable for the next 20 years.

 
Comment by butters
2010-09-30 09:04:35

And there was a British guy who said the same thing on CNBS.

Philip Manduca Says There Has Never Been An Empire So Willing To Give Its Wealth And Power Away Like America

wwwbusinessinsidercom/philip-manduca-american-empire-2010-9

You must watch the video.

Comment by In Colorado
2010-09-30 11:08:38

That’s because the billioanaires don’t consider themselves Americans, even if they were born here. They just don’t give a damn as to what will happen to this country.

Comment by CA renter
2010-09-30 18:47:53

Right. With their kind of money, they can move to the nicest places in the world — and many of them already have homes there, anyway. Capital doesn’t concern itself with borders, nations, or flags.

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 09:25:07

US Is ‘Practically Owned’ by China:

“You Lie!”

…or more accurately:

“TrueBambooLie™” ;-)

 
 
Comment by Jess
2010-09-30 05:19:03

It worries me the the Republicans appear to have no game plan at all if they do take back the house next month . Not since Pres . Reagen have they managed to tear themselves from the money slop pail once they get in some sort of power. If they get the House and then revert to money-grubbing , hello Obama 2nd term .

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-30 05:34:59

Are you sure that “nothing” isn’t the most effective political strategy just now?

Comment by oxide
2010-09-30 06:36:36

Not if the economy is on a downward slope. Right now it’s an unsteady plateau supported only by the government spending that the Republican are ostensibly vowing to stop.

In 2012, don’t just look at Obama, look at the Senate.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-30 05:51:04

“It worries me the the Republicans appear to have no game plan at all if they do take back the house next month”

Don’t let it worry you, the repubs “if” they gain control will keep right on with profligate spending. Nothing will change, we’ll just keep right on our path to monetary self destruction.

Comment by nycjoe
2010-09-30 06:35:15

Instead of boring old “tax and spend,” we’ll ramp up the more muscular “borrow and spend,” not to mention “steal and spend.”

 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-30 06:47:31

There may need to be a “crisis” to mask that spending. Just sayin’.

Comment by oxide
2010-09-30 07:41:40

The public is less gullible nowadays.

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Comment by DennisN
2010-09-30 08:10:04

Well…..

at the risk of a repost…

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wf5Jn8O3s0c

Not much has changed since 1964, eh?

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 09:28:01

Pete Seeger?

Any “young repubican” can educate ya that he was a communist & Anti-American! ;-)

 
Comment by DennisN
2010-09-30 09:42:27

From wikipedia….

In 1982 Seeger performed at a benefit concert for Poland’s Solidarity resistance movement. His biographer David Dunaway considers this the first public manifestation of Seeger’s decades-long personal dislike of communism in its Soviet form. In the late 1980s Seeger also expressed disapproval of violent revolutions, remarking to an interviewer that he was really in favor of incremental change and that “the most lasting revolutions are those that take place over a period of time.” In his autobiography Where Have All the Flowers Gone (1993 and 1997 reissued in 2009), Seeger wrote, “Should I apologize for all this? I think so.” He went on to put his thinking in context:
“How could Hitler have been stopped? Litvinov, the Soviet delegate to the League of Nations in ‘36, proposed a worldwide quarantine but got no takers.”

“the most lasting revolutions are those that take place over a period of time.” The conservative manifesto, coming from the mouth of Pete Seeger.

Winston Churchill came to that conclusion about Litvinov’s diplomacy in the 1930s. It just took Seeger a few more decades to see the light.

 
Comment by roger
2010-09-30 11:44:44

Harry Bridges Commonwealth Club speech 1959

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 17:13:38

Harry Bridges Commonwealth Club speech 1959

1959
March 21: Harry Bridges drew a standing-room-only crowd of 600 at the Commonwealth Club luncheon March 20 for his report on a recent trip to Russia. Obviously enjoying the opportunity to speak to one of the city’s leading business and professional groups, the Longshore Union president gave his audience the challenge he received in Russia: “Within 10 years the Soviet Union will give its workers the highest standard of living in the world, the highest wages, the shortest workweek, the best free medical care, the best education, no unemployment - all of these within a world of peace.” In a question-and-answer period that some present compared to his forthcoming appearance before the House Un-American Activities Committee, Bridges resisted most attempts to compare Russia with the United States. Russians work harder, Bridges told a questioner, and incentive systems are used in every job. “A lot of things are done over there that I don’t think our workers would stand for,” Bridges said, “but the workers believe they are working for themselves.” He conceded with a smile that a “slowdown” by Russian workers “probably wouldn’t get them very far.”

 
Comment by DennisN
2010-09-30 20:26:32

If, for instance, Mr. Chamberlain on receipt of the Russian offer [for a 3 power alliance with UK and France against Hitler] had replied, “Yes. Let us three band together and break Hiler’s neck,” or words to that effect, Parliment would have approved, Stalin would have understood, and history might have taken a different course. At least it could not have taken a worse.

- Winston Churchill, The Gathering Storm , page 365

 
 
 
Comment by varelse
2010-09-30 09:38:13

Maybe not. When a rep congress is facing a dem president, they suddenly learn to tighten the purse strings. Happened with Clinton.

Comment by Jim A.
2010-09-30 09:57:11

But the burgeoning stock market bubble at the time meant that doing nothing => saving money. Today doing nothing => further debt.

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Comment by varelse
2010-09-30 10:00:22

And continuing forward with Obama and the dems agenda means even more debt than doing nothing does. Screw us hard and fast or slightly softer and slightly slower, seem to be our choices.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2010-09-30 16:55:34

Clinton tightened the purse strings because there weren’t millions of people out of work. The internet boom created real jobs, and Clinton’s NAFTA hadn’t quite put much of Mexico out of work forcing them to cross the Rio Grande.

It only took about 8-9 years to outsource the entire Internet economy. :sad:

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Comment by varelse
2010-10-01 09:23:42

He tightened the purse strings because he had to. The reps weren’t going to go along with the agenda he had in his first two years in office.

 
 
 
Comment by butters
2010-09-30 11:52:18

You are so right about that. Nothing will change with the republican congress. They will find a way to “work with the president because that’s what the people want.”

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 05:31:08

Prices rise for homes in foreclosure or sold by banks
The increase underscores the degree to which the mortgage crisis has spread to more affluent neighborhoods.

By Alejandro Lazo, Los Angeles Times

September 30, 2010

Prices for homes either in foreclosure or sold by banks rose in the second quarter, according to a real estate group, underscoring competition in the market for distressed properties and the degree to which the mortgage crisis has spread to more affluent neighborhoods.

In the second quarter, 248,534 U.S. properties were sold by banks or by owners who had fallen into foreclosure, RealtyTrac of Irvine said. That was an increase of 4.9% from the previous quarter, but a 20.1% decline from the same quarter last year, when discounted bank-owned homes flooded the market.

The average price for these properties was $174,198, RealtyTrac said, up 1.6% from the previous quarter and 6.1% from the same quarter last year.

We are seeing the tail end of the foreclosure crisis caused by bad loans,” said Rick Sharga, senior vice president of RealtyTrac. “We are seeing the beginning of the wave of foreclosures caused by unemployment, which means you are seeing, in a lot of cases, a more expensive property in foreclosure than you would see, say, based on a subprime loan.”

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 05:36:28

Real Estate
September 29, 2010, 11:00PM EST
Faulty Foreclosures May Prolong the Slump
Probes of whether lenders followed the rules could halt seizures, and that could keep the real estate market from finding its bottom

Howard Cohen hasn’t paid the loan on his Tukwila (Wash.) home in a year, and when he heard in mid-September that Ally Financial’s (GJM) GMAC Mortgage unit was suspending foreclosure evictions in 23 states, it gave him hope. “Maybe I’ll stay in my house, too,” says Cohen, a 57-year-old commercial-loan broker whose business fell off after the financial crisis. Cohen was encouraged even though his mortgage servicer, Bank of America (BAC), hasn’t reported any irregularities.

“Shadow Inventory” Problem

The foreclosure foul-ups highlight the “shadow inventory” problem—the vast number of homes now in default or foreclosure that may flood the market, further depressing prices. “Buyers know [prices haven't] hit bottom,” says Joshua Shapiro, chief U.S. economist at Maria Fiorini Ramirez, a New York forecasting firm. “So they’re sitting on the sidelines.”

In the 23 states where judges must approve foreclosures, the average time between borrowers falling behind and sales of their properties has climbed to almost 25 months from fewer than 18 at the start of 2007, according to data compiled by Austin (Tex.)-based Amherst Securities. The increasing time between default and foreclosure may encourage more homeowners to stop paying, says Cameron Findlay, chief economist at LendingTree.com (TREE) in Irvine, Calif. Overwhelmed lenders are likely to address the worst cases first, leaving many delinquent borrowers in their homes for longer periods, he says.

Other paperwork problems could also keep homeowners in limbo. Cohen, who is 12 months behind on his mortgage payments, says he’s been trying to negotiate a loan modification. He anticipates difficulties down the road, he says, because “nobody can tell me who owns my mortgage.”

The bottom line: Problems with the paperwork surrounding foreclosures threaten to delay the housing recovery and prolong the economic slump.

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 06:38:34

Interesting that delaying foreclosures is presented as “prolonging the slump” in the headlines, whereas the resulting delay of price declines is always presented as “boosting the recovery”.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 05:39:10

More mortgage distress in the air
Price slide likely to continue as shadow inventory comes to light

An auction sign flaps in the wind Wednesday in front of a foreclosed home in Hanover Park. (Stacey Wescott, Chicago Tribune / September 30, 2010)

By Mary Ellen Podmolik, Tribune reporter

September 30, 2010

Several years after the foreclosure crisis hit the Chicago area, a quiet new storm of homeowner troubles is on the horizon.

New data suggest that the number of homes taken back by lenders represents only a small percentage of the distressed residential real estate out there. There are many more homeowners struggling to make their monthly payments.

In the eight-county Chicago area, 19 percent of mortgages — representing nearly 1 in 5 residential properties with a loan — are delinquent by at least one month, helping create an inventory of almost 204,000 homes at risk of reverting back to lenders, according to data provided to the Chicago Tribune by John Burns Real Estate Consulting in Irvine, Calif. That “shadow inventory,” as experts define distressed homes not yet put up for sale, is the largest in absolute terms for any metropolitan area in the country.

Based on its calculations, the firm believes that 80 percent of those homeowners eventually will lose their property, either through foreclosure or a short sale, in which the lender permits the home to be sold for less than the value of the loan.

These numbers are troubling for the economy because they reflect the deep problems many families are facing. But there is a significant spillover effect for all homeowners: Many of these houses eventually will go on the market, sold as distressed properties that will impact the value of all homes in their neighborhood.

Comment by Kim
2010-09-30 11:42:13

“That “shadow inventory,” … is the largest in absolute terms for any metropolitan area in the country.”

We’re #1! We’re #1!

 
Comment by CA renter
2010-10-01 01:35:05

But there is a significant spillover effect for all homeowners: Many of these houses eventually will go on the market, sold as distressed properties that will impact the value of all homes in their neighborhood.
—————-

Why does nobody ever mention the positive side of this? All the new buyers will be able to buy **affordable housing,** and they can therefore avoid becoming future foreclosures. Isn’t that a good thing?

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 05:40:50

Foreclosures still rule South Florida home sales
By Paul Owers September 30, 2010 12:05 AM

Homes in some stage of foreclosure continue to cast a long shadow over the South Florida real estate market, but buyers are taking advantage of the bargain prices.

Nearly four in 10 Broward County homes sold during the second quarter were in default, scheduled for auction or bank-owned, real estate firm RealtyTrac Inc. said Thursday.

From April to June, Broward’s share of homes sold in distress was 38 percent, well above Palm Beach County’s 24 percent, which also is the national average.

Broward had 4,978 foreclosure-related sales in the second quarter. That declined slightly from the first quarter but still was the most of Florida’s 67 counties.

Palm Beach County had 2,245 distressed sales, a 21 percent increase from the January-to-March period.

The federal homebuyer tax credits played a role in reducing the number of foreclosure-related sales in some markets, James J. Saccacio, chief executive of Irvine, Calif.-based RealtyTrac, said in a statement.

Saccacio called that “a temporary dip” and expects the April 30 end of the tax credits to send more buyers back to distressed properties. Many people looking to qualify for the $8,000 and $6,500 tax rebates dismissed foreclosures and short sales because they wanted to complete their purchases quickly.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 05:42:47

Prices on foreclosure sales rise on Long Island
Originally published: September 29, 2010 9:54 PM
By ELLEN YAN ellen.yan@newsday.com

Home sale prices have been rising on properties taken back by banks or in the process of being foreclosed, but the market share of these deals was higher in Suffolk than in Nassau for the second quarter, RealtyTrac said in its debut report on foreclosure-related sales.

Troubled sales made up about 17 percent of all home closings in Suffolk and 11 percent in Nassau for the quarter. That reflected 465 homes in Suffolk, a higher share of all sales compared with a year ago, the report said. Nassau had 270 such sales, a lower share of all sales compared to a year ago, according to the quarterly data released Thursday.

A breakdown of home sale data is key to those in the housing market and those worried about property values. Many blame falling property values on the foreclosure crisis and want clues on where the market is going. Troubled properties have been selling for less, also dragging down the listing prices of sellers without mortgage woes.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 05:52:02

So is it the GSEs’ and FHA’s jobs to make housing affordable or to keep it unaffordable? And at what point did Uncle Sam assume the burden of heavily discounting the interest rates on expensive homes, priced over $500,000, only reasonably affordable to families making north of $167,000? How do Midwesterners feel about cross-subsidizing wealthy Coastal dwellers’ expensive home purchases?

Congress OKs higher mortgage loan limit extension
By Corbett B. Daly
WASHINGTON | Thu Sep 30, 2010 12:29am EDT

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. Congress on Thursday voted to extend higher loan limits for government-backed mortgages, a move that should help keep borrowing costs low and support the shaky housing sector.

At the height of the financial crisis in 2008, the government raised the ceiling on the size of loans Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could buy. At the time, the private market for so-called jumbo loans had all but dried up.

The legislation approved by the House of Representatives and Senate, which President Barack Obama is expected to sign into law, would keep in place until October 2011 the higher $729,750 ceiling for single-family home mortgages in high cost areas other than Hawaii and Alaska.

The cap was scheduled to shrink to $625,500 at the start of 2011. The move to extend the higher limit will effectively keep interest rates super-low for a large swath of home buyers.

Analysts had warned that the housing market could have taken a fresh hit had Congress let the limits reset.

The loan limits measure, which was inserted into a larger government funding bill, also includes an extension of the caps for loans backed by the Federal Housing Administration.

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the FHA are the main government support pillars for the battered housing market.

Comment by Kim
2010-09-30 11:52:33

“The legislation … would keep in place until October 2011 the higher $729,750 ceiling for single-family home mortgages in high cost areas other than Hawaii and Alaska.”

Why not Hawaii or Alaska? Just curious.

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-30 12:32:56

This firm is doing a “Save Your Dream” tour all over the U.S. and is at the Los Angeles Convention Center today. The claim to have a show of 40,000 to have FREE HELP modifying their mortgage today. So who’s paying? Are 2nd’s and 3rd’s part of the deal? They claim to have a relationship to most the lenders.

https://www.naca.com/index_main.jsp?language=null

http://abclocal.go.com/kabc/story?section=news/local/los_angeles&id=7698264

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-30 05:52:39

“Why is saving called hoarding when it’s done with gold?”

~Coinflation

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-30 06:04:53

It is also hoarding to keep a box full of greenbacks under your bed for future use. Or rice.

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 06:41:12

Or peas.

As a trial run, I tried just a single pea under ours, but my wife kept complaining.

(Oh - Hi Honey! I didn’t see you there!)

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-30 06:44:32

Didn’t your grandma ever tell you not to sleep with hoards?

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Comment by polly
2010-09-30 06:49:39

Just don’t end up on that A&E show. I find it terrifying.

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Comment by packman
2010-09-30 06:53:08

Lost me on that one.

 
Comment by rusty
2010-09-30 07:09:46

Hoarders the show. Each week they focus on two different stories of extreme hoarding. Scary stuff. Makes me trash or sell more stuff on eBay after each showing.

 
Comment by Steve J
2010-09-30 07:37:49

The show American Pickers is just as bad. People with yards filled with crap that they just can’t part with.

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2010-09-30 10:37:31

My sis, the former “My house will be worth a million bucks in 2011″ wannabe real estate mogul is a hoarder-in-training.

House has crap stacked on everything. Clothes, mostly dirty, scattered out all over the place.

Her theory is that if you have five weeks of clothes for the kids, you only have to do laundry every five weeks.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-30 12:31:16

Kids clothes have some kind of a half life shorter than 5 weeks. I think spontaneous generation takes less time than that.

 
Comment by Spokaneman
2010-09-30 13:42:49

Seems like most people are horders any more. My hood, haas houses mostly with two or three car garages the exception is the ability to park the cars in the garage. Even in winter, most of the neighbors park in the driveway with the garage piled to the ceiling with who knows what.

It’ll be a cold day in —- when I have to scape my windows in the morning or brush the snow off the car so I can keep a pile of junk in the garage.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 05:55:07

Sub 4% Fixed and ARM FHA Loan Rates Available to All Home Buyers
Posted By: Rosemary Rugnetta | September 3, 2010 at 11:04 am

September 3, 2010 (FreeRateUpdate.com) – While many people are shying away from purchasing a home because of the overall economic conditions, there has never been a better time to buy a home. This is actually a rare opportunity where both home prices and loan rates are down at the same time. Home buyers today have many options available to them as the lowest mortgage rates seen in over 50 years have hit the scene. By doing a little homework, sub 4% fixed and ARM FHA loan rates are available to all home buyers in today’s market.

Comment by polly
2010-09-30 06:23:55

“This is actually a rare opportunity where both home prices and loan rates are down at the same time.”

Which, of course, means that prices may not be down as much as people seem to think they are.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 08:17:00

I’d much rather buy in a high rate / low price environment than the converse. For one, mortgage interest is tax deductible, while the purchase price paid for a home is taxable. Secondly, high interest rates can eventually revert to low interest rates, creating refinance opportunities; once you buy at low interest rates but at a high price, you are priced in forever.

Comment by Bronco
2010-09-30 08:28:17

almost nobody outside of the HBB gets this concept

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Comment by polly
2010-09-30 09:15:40

I’ve had to run numbers showing that if you leave the per month payment steady, that an increase in mortgage interest rates from 5% to 8% could just devour the whole downpayment/put you underwater. Sometimes that helps a little. No one seems to get that if you buy when interest rates are low and downpayment requirements are nonexistant, you have to put aside huge chunks of money after your purchase is complete (while paying your brand new mortgage) so that you have enough to buy yourself out of the thing if you need to sell when interest rates are higher. At least you have to do that in a recourse state and you don’t want to end up broke.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 22:55:33

“…an increase in mortgage interest rates from 5% to 8% could just devour the whole downpayment/put you underwater.”

It’s the macroeconomic effects of higher interest rates which interest me; with other things (especially incomes and lending underwriting guidelines) equal, higher interest rates eat up more of the owner’s monthly housing allowance, resulting in a smaller share of the payment going to principle amortization.

At the individual level, a smaller housing purchase budget results.

At the macroeconomic level, lower housing demand equilibrates with reduced purchase demand and lower equilibrium prices.

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 09:33:44

Silly Bear, makin’ things easy for folks, …did you mention the opportunity to further reduce those refinanced high interest payments by pre-paying on the “principal” also?

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Comment by Spokaneman
2010-09-30 13:47:33

I just sent my version of this little gem to my mid 20’s daughter who is starting to make some noises about buying a home because the interest rates are so low.

One of the things is that as for mortgage rates they are so low, we are truely in uncharted water, with respect to future rates. I think I have disuaded her for now, though her peers at work tell her that her dad doesn’t know what he’s talking about.

Sadly, she works at a financial planning firm (one of the big ones).

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Comment by cactus
2010-09-30 09:31:10

the lowest mortgage rates seen in over 50 years have hit the scene.”

well there is a reason interest rates are this low

Comment by CA renter
2010-10-01 01:40:15

I told a realtor the other day that I was looking for a cheap house, not cheap debt.

Some people really don’t get this concept.

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 05:59:18

Saving is hard, and a requirement to do so can lose votes; spending is easy, and a free allowance to do so wins votes.

The naked stimulus: Why savings stimulate more than spending
Posted by Shawn Tully, senior editor-at-large
September 9, 2010 1:25 pm

The Obama administration’s stimulus package may have boosted spending in the short-term, but savings have a more lasting impact on the broader economy.

Despite the struggling economy, President Obama keeps arguing that his stimulus package is producing GDP growth that’s far better than the disaster that would have ensued without the $862 billion in emergency spending. The reason, he and his advisors maintain, is that what really counts is spending — the more the better, at least for now.

The sole thrust of the administration’s policy is to boost consumer and government spending by borrowing heavily, and then recycling those dollars to people who are most likely to spend them on restaurant meals, PCs or toys. At the same time, it’s vastly lifting federal outlays on everything from auto fleets to subsidies for solar panels.

All that “new” spending supposedly saved the economy. As Obama stated in December, “When you lose a trillion dollars in demand, you need to have a big enough recovery package to make up for the lost demand.” In August, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner used the “consumption is king” rationale to champion keeping the Bush tax cuts for middle-income Americans who typically spend the cash, and ending them for high-earners, who save most of it.

But the administration’s policy has a fundamental flaw. By basic economic math, it’s impossible to raise GDP by borrowing from one group of people who would otherwise save that money, and transferring it to another group of people, and to the government, to spend. Savings, in the short term, have precisely the same impact on national income as spending.

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 06:52:07

Borrow? For the most part the money wasn’t borrowed - it was created.

IMO Shawn is wrong.

Even being a the huge anti-Keynesian that I am - I will still acknowledge that deficit spending can, and did in this case, boost “the economy” in terms of GDP, reduced unemployment, etc. But only in the short term, by borrowing from future growth; and introducing new inefficiencies in the process.

Comment by tj
2010-09-30 08:32:50

I will still acknowledge that deficit spending can, and did in this case, boost “the economy” in terms of GDP, reduced unemployment, etc.

just because it’s a hot day, would you step off a tall building for the cooling breeze on the way down?

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 08:46:00

Preaching to the choir, tj.

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Comment by tj
2010-09-30 08:50:03

oh, i know that Packman. my post was in support of what you said, not critical.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 06:03:21

Whatever became of the prime- and Alt-A loan reset tsunami, scheduled to crest in 2010 and then again in 2011? It is very hard to find news on the topic these days.

Comment by combotechie
2010-09-30 06:08:33

The real news you never hear; The news you do hear are commercials.

(Plagerized from a recent post by Spook.)

 
Comment by 2banana
2010-09-30 06:10:35

Interest rates went to zero due to QE - when these loans reseted many payments actually went down…

Comment by combotechie
2010-09-30 06:19:04

But… but… but… what about disappearance of equity? How can you refi a house if the mortgage amount is much greater than the equity that backs it?

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-30 06:40:21

Foreclosure is a type of refinancing.

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Comment by DennisN
2010-09-30 07:08:58

Actually no, it’s a form of transfer of title.

 
Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-30 08:23:08

Not when its in permanent limbo, Dennis.

 
 
Comment by polly
2010-09-30 06:41:54

The reset of an ARM is part of the terms of the original loan. It isn’t a refinancing.

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Comment by Captain Credit Crunch
2010-09-30 07:25:52

Don’t forget, however, that many of these loans also had as part of their contracts moving from an initial period of (3-7 years) interest only payments to amortization of the loan. Plus there were the option ARMs, which we know people were paying less than the interest by and large.

So, for every legitimate homeowner that saw his payment drop in an amortizing ARM, there are 3 others who are seeing their payment rise because they now also have to amortize.

Comment by DennisN
2010-09-30 07:35:20

When the loan hits your eye
like a big pizza pie
That’s amortize!

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 07:58:56

DennisN, I am so glad that my teacup is resting peacefully on its coaster. Otherwise, you’d be owning me a new keyboard and monitor.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 09:37:45

I can see you singin’ that while your cooking… lol ;-)

 
 
 
Comment by oxide
2010-09-30 07:44:48

Any decrease in interest rates is going to be offset by the increase in monthly payment when you have to start paying principle back. And it’s even worse for neg-ams.

 
 
Comment by lavi d
2010-09-30 09:48:39

Whatever became of the prime- and Alt-A loan reset tsunami, scheduled to crest in 2010 and then again in 2011?

And the imminent crash in CRE?

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 11:16:25

It’s happening right now.

Delinquency Rate Continues to Climb

The delinquency rate for commercial-mortgage-backed securities advanced over 9% for the first time in a sign the weak economy is continuing to take a toll on commercial-property owners. According to the Trepp National CMBS Delinquency Report, 9.05% of about $694 billion in commercial mortgages that back outstanding CMBS were 30 days or more delinquent as of Tuesday. That compares with 6.49% at the beginning of the year, 1.2% at the end of 2008 and 0.38% at the end of 2007, Trepp reports.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 13:11:29

“And the imminent crash in CRE?”

A closely-watched pot never boils over.

(Well, almost never…)

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 16:10:49

Good-bye Califor-i-a coast…hello Vegas Babeeeeeeeeeeeee! ;-)

“The company’s space costs 34 cents a square foot in North Las Vegas; it was $1.15 a square foot in Lake Forest”

Firm moves to Nevada, owner stays:
September 29th, 2010, by Jan Norman, small-business columnist
OC Register

The main reasons for the move, he said, are:
State income taxes: Nevada has none for the corporation or the employees. California’s maximum rate for individuals is 10.55% and 8.84% for corporations.

Workers compensation insurance: Pixel2Canvas will save $1,000 per employee.

Cost of living: Employees can rent twice the size of home or apartment for less than they were paying in Orange County.

The company’s space costs 34 cents a square foot in North Las Vegas; it was $1.15 a square foot in Lake Forest

Curt and Roxanne Benton continue to live in Mission Viejo but over the July 4 weekend they moved their company, Pixel2Canvas and its 14 jobs from Lake Forest to North Las Vegas.
The company is a fine art printer that puts digital art onto canvas, a process called gliclee.
“We met with our accountant in April, and it was clear that if we wanted to stay in business, we had to move the business out of California,” Curt Benton said.
Twelve of the company’s 14 employees moved with the company, he said.

There are additional benefits too, Benton adds. “I don’t pay property tax on equipment in Vegas. The minimum wage is lower in Nevada. And I have a large number of customers in California who I no longer have to charge sales tax.
“When my employees got their first paycheck in Nevada they were ecstatic. It was a couple hundred dollars more because of the lower taxes,” Benton said.
The Bentons are foregoing that tax benefit for themselves. They still pay California state income tax for their own income.
“I have no intention of moving my residence,” he said. “We bought our house here in 1996 so we still have considerable equity. My kids are in private school. They learned to surf this summer. My wife was born here.”
But he does add that if California repeals Prop 13, which limits property tax increases, “I’d be gone.”
Instead, he commutes to Nevada and spends weekends in Orange County. “I actually spend more time with my family. Before, spent every night and weekend at the company.
“I’m more concerned with the ability to expand,” he said. “The costs and taxes (in California) made the business unprofitable. We never missed payroll but we went a long time without cashing our own paychecks. Now we have money in the bank and have been able to add a dental plan and gym membership for employees.
“We couldn’t be happier.”

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 16:36:18

There are more than a few high-end printers here in Tucson. Many of them have been here for decades.

Even so, I can’t help thinking that more than a few of them are in AZ because the cost of doing business is so much less than CA. Heck, that’s why I’m here, and a bicycling mad creature like myself would certainly enjoy CA.

But, for those of you who are shopping for printing, specifically, postcard printing, I have not found any AZ printers that are as competitively priced as Modern Postcard in Carlsbad, CA, or Rocket Postcards in San Francisco. Or, for that matter, GFX Printing in Mississauga, Ontario.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 18:20:04

that are as competitively priced as Modern Postcard in Carlsbad, CA, or Rocket Postcards in San Francisco. Or, for that matter, GFX Printing in Mississauga, Ontario.

Tankxs! ;-)

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by skroodle
2010-09-30 06:04:57

Another great American invention - the breakfast pizza!!

http://www.popfi.com/2010/09/30/dominos-unveils-breakfast-pizza/

Comment by DennisN
2010-09-30 07:00:58

I guess Ohio needs all the help it can get.

It’s hardly a “new” idea. Guido’s Pizza in San Jose made breakfast pizzas as far back as the 1970s, with Canadian bacon and poached eggs on top. With the crust standing in for an English muffin, it was in essence a giant eggs Benedict.

Comment by oxide
2010-09-30 07:48:32

In a fitness magazine, I saw a recipe for a pizza where there was no cheese and the crust was made of EGG WHITES cooked in some obscure healthy oil. Paging Bill in LA, here’s the breakfast for you…

Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2010-09-30 16:36:07

Thank you! Also add steamed brussels sprouts, sliced green peppers, even small steamed brocolli pieces, sauteed mushrooms, a good pizza sauce base, and crushed sauteed garlic and it’s packed with anti-oxidents and has all your vegetable servings of the day in a couple of slices.

For a drink alongside, water is good enough. But POM provides more anti-oxidents.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 16:37:51

Mmmmm! Sounds good.

And, now that my immune system seems to have evicted those unwanted tenants from my GI tract, I may try making such a dish. One day on bland diet is quite enough, TYVM.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2010-09-30 06:08:50

Who will ever be able to get title insurance again?

J.P. Morgan Chase to freeze foreclosures over flawed paperwork [At least 56K Mortgages]
The Washington Post | 29 Sep 2010 | Ariana Eunjung Cha

J.P. Morgan Chase, one of the nation’s leading banks, announced Wednesday that it will freeze foreclosures in about half the country because of flawed paperwork, a move that Wall Street analysts said will pressure the rest of the industry to follow suit.

The bank’s decision will affect 56,000 borrowers in 23 states where allegations of forged documents and signatures and other similar problems are being used to try to overturn court-ordered evictions. Yet the impact may be much broader, given J.P. Morgan’s stature in the industry. If other banks adopt the same approach, the foreclosure process in many parts of the country will grind to a halt.

Officials at Fitch Ratings, a credit-rating firm that measures the health of companies, said the “defects” found in foreclosure documents at J.P. Morgan are industry-wide. Underscoring that concern, Fitch said it is considering whether to lower the grades it gives to the mortgage servicing divisions of the nation’s largest lenders.

“Over the next few weeks, we expect to see more and more companies come out with similar announcements,” said Diane Pendley, a managing director at Fitch.

The paperwork problems at J.P. Morgan mirror those uncovered last week at another large mortgage lender, Ally Financial. But J.P. Morgan’s decision is expected to have a much greater effect on the industry because it is held in high regard by its peers. By contrast, Ally, formerly known as GMAC, is still under the cloud of a $17 billion federal bailout package that it has been unable to pay back.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 08:19:12

Sounds like the shadow inventory pipeline is about to become severely constipated.

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 08:23:58

Immodium PTB

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 08:36:22

Sounds like the shadow inventory pipeline is about to become severely constipated.

And right now, my lower GI tract is in the opposite condition.

Can’t help thinking that I picked up a nice bug back on Monday or Tuesday. I would have cheerfully evicted the southern half of my digestive system yesterday — was almost doubled over a couple of times.

Good thing the johnny’s just three steps away from this desk.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 08:58:10

OTOH, my mental health just rocketed upward.

Why might that be? Well, let me tell you about the project where I’ve been dealing with a slow-paying out of state university that has been a real PITA to deal with.

I just informed my local contact on this project that, for any future work, I want to go onto a retainer agreement. As in, they pay me a set amount up front, I work it down, and then, if more money is needed, I’ll bill for it. A lot of long-term design projects are handled this way.

The contact just informed me that Deadbeat U will not cotton to such a thing. Which means that I have just four months left on the current contract, and then this project is out of my life! Forever!

I’m a happy Slim! Wo-o-o-o!!!

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Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 22:57:40

Hope your digestive tract is happy again soon, too…sounds painfully unpleasant.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2010-09-30 06:14:46

Obama’s war on wealth (Cause he thinks wealth comes from unions and trial laywers)
wash times | 9/29/10

President Obama effectively has declared war on America’s wealth creators. By refusing to extend fully the George W. Bush tax cuts, Mr. Obama and congressional Democrats are hoping their “tax the rich” rhetoric will carry the day. This sends an unmistakable message to investors and entrepreneurs: If you risk your capital and succeed, your government will punish you. It should come as no surprise, then, that this policy has led to a dramatic destruction of wealth.

Income in the United States, as measured by gross domestic product, did grow by $58 billion during the second quarter, from April through June. The change was small in percentage terms, but at least the indicator was moving in the right direction. During the same period, however, the value of assets such as houses, stocks and pensions dropped by $1.5 trillion, according to the latest Federal Reserve data. That represents a loss of more than $19,300 for the average family of four in the course of just 90 days.

The chilling effect has rippled throughout the economy. Only one in four households expects its finances to improve in the year ahead, according to the University of Michigan survey of consumer confidence. Key sectors of the economy, including housing, are equally unpromising. “Housing starts, sales and inventory data reported for August do not show signs of a robust market, and foreclosures continue,” said David M. Blitzer, chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor’s, in announcing the latest data on Tuesday.

Comment by Steve J
2010-09-30 07:44:49

LOL - since Bush didn’t make the tax cuts permanent, does that make him Obama’s Supreme Allied Commander in The War on the Rich?

Comment by drumminj
2010-09-30 09:51:56

LOL - since Bush didn’t make the tax cuts permanent,

Congress, people. Congress!!! Congress writes and passes laws!

That’s why it’s called the legislative branch.

Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-30 10:29:22

Well drumminj, I used to think Congress wrote laws too. Now I think it’s the Lawbyists. Maybe congressers still write some of the little ones.

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Comment by drumminj
2010-09-30 11:01:37

Well drumminj, I used to think Congress wrote laws too. Now I think it’s the Lawbyists

okay, point taken. The lobbyists write the laws.

But congress at least passes them.

 
 
Comment by Steve J
2010-09-30 14:18:18

So how come Obama is responsible for not extending them then?

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Comment by drumminj
2010-09-30 14:23:11

So how come Obama is responsible for not extending them then?

Please show me where I ever made such a ridiculous statement?

 
 
 
 
Comment by measton
2010-09-30 08:59:17

By refusing to extend fully the George W. Bush tax cuts, Mr. Obama and congressional Democrats are hoping their “tax the rich” rhetoric will carry the day. This sends an unmistakable message to investors and entrepreneurs: If you risk your capital and succeed, your government will punish you.

Lap dog article/propaganda
The top 400 pay 16% effective tax rate. Less than 2banana I bet. You could make the same arguement about taxing labor. If you work the gov will punish you????

This was the best line in the whole thing.
It should come as no surprise, then, that this policy has led to a dramatic destruction of wealth. They actually blame the current crash on this future possible tax policy change. I guess the credit bubble had nothing to do with it time for us all to go home??????????

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 09:56:04

This sends an unmistakable message to investors and entrepreneurs: If you risk your capital and succeed, your government will punish you.

Appears to need some “editing”:

This sends an unmistakable message to investors and entrepreneurs: If you risk your 0% Gov’t borrowed capital and succeed, your government will punish you.

…the value of assets such as houses, stocks and pensions dropped by $1.5 trillion

…the value of assets such as houses, stocks and pensions dropped by $1.5 trillion, this is bad, bad, bad…as everything just before this happen was “priced” as about as “perfectly” as is possible in a “Free-Market” eCONomy

Shall I continue? ;-)

Comment by evildoc
2010-09-30 10:57:04

—-Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge: Appears to need some “editing”:

This sends an unmistakable message to investors and entrepreneurs: If you risk your 0% Gov’t borrowed capital and succeed, your government will punish you.—-

I’m a successful physician. Lucky me. I started a side business based on hobby interest, one which has been quite successful too, and has added to my tax obligation. I took no gov’t-borrowed capital to make my business. As with many, I just did it myself.

Would you care now to re-edit?

cheers

evildoc

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 12:25:27

I took no gov’t-borrowed capital to make my business. As with many, I just did it myself.

Would you care now to re-edit?

Yep,

This sends an unmistakable message to investors and entrepreneurs:

Don’t do ANYTHING, until you fully consider what your Gov’t might do that might impede your desire.

(cue: Joe-the-Plumber) ;-)

How’s that?

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Comment by evildoc
2010-09-30 20:20:49

now helpfully irrelevant. Better.

 
 
Comment by DinOR
2010-09-30 12:37:27

evildoc,

That was a sober question that warranted a serious answer, sorry you didn’t get one.

In… any event, tell what you’d care to share about this hobby turned biz! Sounds interesting. I’ll imagine after 12 hrs. of staring at x-rays, it’s ‘not’ medical-related? At least I ‘hope’ not!

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 12:47:27

That was a sober question that warranted a serious answer, sorry you didn’t get one.

Let’s review,… at the beginning:

President Obama effectively has declared war on America’s wealth creators

Gov’t policy that effects who & to what degree?

1. Medical doctor with a profitable hobby
2. Wall Street, Goldenmansucks et. al.
3. Gov’t worker in fire lookout tower

 
 
 
 
Comment by CA renter
2010-10-01 01:50:37

During the same period, however, the value of assets such as houses, stocks and pensions dropped by $1.5 trillion, according to the latest Federal Reserve data. That represents a loss of more than $19,300 for the average family of four in the course of just 90 days.
—————–

Funny how they aggregate the losses and then try to apply them to “Everyman” in America. Most of these losses would be felt by the specuvestor crowd. You know, the ones who “invest” instead of engaging in productive work.

And can we put to rest the myth that “rich people” employ everyone else. Most people work for small companies. The richest Americans are often just speculators. They suck money OUT of the productive economy; they do not add to it.

 
 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2010-09-30 06:36:06

http://www.nbclosangeles.com/news/politics/Meg-Whitman-Illegal-Immigrant–104020663.html

Goldman Sachs whore Meg Whitman now “outed” for hiring an illegal alien. This just gets richer and richer. If the good Republicrats of California elevate this shyster to public office, they deserve everything they’re going to get as she facilitates Wall Street’s looting of what remains of the productive economy there.

Comment by wmbz
2010-09-30 06:55:54

“If the good Republicrats of California elevate this shyster to public office, they deserve everything they’re going to get as she facilitates Wall Street’s looting of what remains of the productive economy there”.

They would never do that because voters are “smart” just look around at all the upstanding folks(public servants) they keep re-electing!

Comment by DennisN
2010-09-30 07:06:20

What did you learn in school today, dear little boy of mine?
I learned that our government must be strong
It’s always right and never wrong
Our leaders are the finest men
So we elect them again and again
And that’s what I learned in school today
That’s what I learned in school

:lol:

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 07:22:38

No conflict of interest there, eh?

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Comment by Captain Credit Crunch
2010-09-30 07:29:43

Maybe it was Catholic school.

 
Comment by lavi d
2010-09-30 10:27:01

Maybe it was Catholic school.

What did you learn in school today, dear little boy of mine?
I learned that teacher is a bum
sits on a stool and sucks her thumb

(I went to Catholic school)

 
 
Comment by DennisN
2010-09-30 07:49:24

Geez are you guys too young to remember that song?

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Comment by Bronco
2010-09-30 08:33:32

Way too young. What is that, WWII??!

 
 
Comment by DennisN
2010-09-30 08:06:37
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Comment by CA renter
2010-10-01 01:52:44

Great video and song, Dennis. Never heard it before, but it really shows how nothing ever really changes.

Thanks for sharing it.

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 09:13:50

It’s always right and never wrong

cue video,… close-up on Pat Tillman’s mother

http://www.pattillmanfoundation.org/

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Comment by Steve J
2010-09-30 07:48:22

How do you determine the work eligibility of someone when you hire them anyhow??

If I hire a maid, how can you tell if she is legal?

Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 10:55:24

..If I hire a maid, how can you tell if she is legal?

There’s really no way.

But there is a way to find out of she’s illegal: Run for governor.

 
Comment by Spokaneman
2010-09-30 13:55:41

Get an I-9 and a passport or birth certificate. Businesses are required to do just that and if you do not, you will be fined on audit. Not difficult, really. If you get that stuff, and it is counterfeited you have a safe harbor.

Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 14:33:45

Maybe I should get excited about Jerry Brown’s premature October Surprise that Meg Whitman had an illegal-alien housekeeper, but I can’t. Whitman complied with the law by filling out an I-9 form, using the fake or stolen Social Security number given to her by Nicky Diaz Santillan, a citizen of Mexico; nine years later, as soon Diaz admitted to lying to Whitman, Whitman fired her.

What is now known as E-Verify was not ready for prime time when Diaz was hired in 2000, and few employers even knew about it. And if Whitman had peered too closely at Diaz’s information and demanded further proof of legal status, the Justice Department might very well have gone after her for discrimination, through something called the “Office of Special Counsel for Immigration-Related Unfair Employment Practices,” which routinely sues employers who try to avoid hiring illegal aliens.

The key question is whether Whitman received a “no-match” letter from the Social Security Administration notifying her that there was a problem with the maid’s SSN. Diaz’s lawyer, the sleazy Gloria Allred, insists she received such a letter in 2003, but apart from the fact that Diaz was the one who collected the mail every day, there’s a problem with Allred’s claim. As I understand it, the Social Security Administration doesn’t send no-match letters to employers with just one employee. As this 2007 report puts it:
http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/248355/meg-whitmans-illegal-alien-maid-mark-krikorian

blah blah.. gloria allred.. sue for “housekeeper abuse”.. election .. crapola.. yawn.

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 16:24:22

but apart from the fact that Diaz was the one who collected the mail every day, there’s a problem with Allred’s claim.

How did she manage that (from the fact that Diaz was the one who collected the mail every day), when she only worked 15 hrs per week? ;-)

Well. I reckon she worked hours that exactly coincided with x6 daily mail delivery…right?

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 17:07:08

hwy.. That’s just the sort of conclusion Inspector LeStrade would jump to… after which Holmes sets him straight.

The mail sits in the mail box until Diaz arrives, and takes it into the house.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 18:15:58

from the fact that Diaz was the one who collected the mail every day

How do you come to know this as FACT?


The mail sits in the mail box until Diaz arrives, and takes it into the house.

She must be a safe ‘hood, as this mail box collection tactic might not work safely in some parts of the country. But of course, you seem to be intimate with all the FACTS in regards to Meg’s home mail system. ;-)

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 18:23:55

hwy..

meg whitman.. lives in a safe hood?

ya think??

Call Allred. Tell her you wanna be on the jury. She’ll send at least a limo .. maybe a private jet iffin yer far away..

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 18:55:49

She is the fourth wealthiest woman in the state of California with a net worth of $1.3 billion in 2010,[4]

wiki..

in other words, she can afford a maid… and maybe even has enough money left over to get one of them fancy mailboxes that has a lock on it..

That’s a good precaution, in case some thug kills all the security guards and somehow makes it to the gate in front of her driveway.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 19:09:26

Joey, prove that she picked up & delivered Meggy’s mail everyday,without interruption for 9 years working 15 hours per week, or admit that you can not make such a statement as being FACTUAL, OK?

(And turn off the Rash Limpbaughs/Glenbeckinstan radio, it’s putting quite a bit of static in your responses.) ;-)

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 20:30:59

“If the mail don’t fit, you must acquit!”

“Sit DOWN, Mr. Cochran. We have already established that the Social Security Administration does not send no-match letters to employers with just one employee.”

“But your Honor. It don’t fit!”

“Bailiff!”

 
 
 
Comment by potential buyer
2010-09-30 15:20:49

Whitman claimed she hired her through an employment agency, therefore she’s already been screened.

OTOH — I can’t tolerate the dirt digging that goes on in politics. This can backfire on Brown and deservedly so!

 
 
 
Comment by JoJo
2010-09-30 08:04:21

You could ask to see her green card, for a start.

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 08:20:42

Meg appears to believe in “don’t ask, don’t tell” when it comes to domestic worker documentation.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 09:09:46

Meg / 2010
Beg / 2011

“TrueHypocrite™” shows here “TrueColors™” …after personally depositing 123+ Millions $$$$$$$$$ and just 34 days to D-Day (Deception-Day)

This “revlonization” sure doesn’t seem to improve much on her “political looks” :-)

“TrueBeliever’s™ / “TrueDeceiver’s™” /“TrueHypocrite™” / “TruePurity™”

 
 
Comment by polly
2010-09-30 09:42:35

Citizens don’t have green cards. Lots of people don’t have passports. Birth certificates don’t have a way to determine if the adult in question was originally issued said birth certificate.

Comment by Steve J
2010-09-30 14:21:39

If only they put pictures on birth certificates.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 14:45:29

Mine would show me squinting at the camera. (A photographic refusenik at a very young age! No wonder she went on to be the one handling the camera! Being a photographer is a great way to avoid having one’s picture taken!)

And I had a full head of hair.

Other than that, not much resemblance between that hatchling and the current Slim.

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Comment by Ol'Bubba
2010-09-30 19:30:17

almost all babies look like Winston Churchill.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 12:15:43

What I want to know is, did this former Goldman Sachs (aka Great Vampire Squid on the Face of Humanity) board member hire an illegal immigrant domestic or didn’t she? I could care less whether Brown’s campaign or someone else is behind the allegations.

Whitman says Brown campaign is behind accusations
By SAMANTHA YOUNG Associated Press Writer
Posted: 09/30/2010 11:49:12 AM PDT

SACRAMENTO, Calif.—Republican gubernatorial candidate Meg Whitman is accusing the campaign of Democrat Jerry Brown of being behind the accusations that she knew her housekeeper was an illegal immigrant.

Whitman says the Brown campaign and the attorney representing the housekeeper “are doing a massive smear campaign on me and my family.”

She said Democrats and their supporters in the public employee unions are desperate about the state of the gubernatorial race as the Nov. 2 general election approaches. She characterized the allegations, which were leveled Wednesday, as “one giant political stunt.”

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 13:18:43

Back in 2001, a local Democratic city council candidate was outed as a slumlord. The preceding link is from our alt-weekly paper, The Tucson Weekly, which is hardly a hotbed of Republicanism.

Well, there were rumblings that the candidate’s opponent had been behind this expose, but the reporter on this story, Chris Limberis, was renowned for being a journalist’s journalist. He was the last person to be used as the tool of any campaign.

And what the Weekly said in its story was quite true. The properties were indeed junky, and I know of one that stayed a mess until after the election. (So much for cleaning up your act after the media exposes you as a slumlord.)

Any-hoo, this candidate lost the election, but the lady who won turned out to be a one-termer. And the 2001 loser is now the state senator representing my district. She’s doing a good job, and is widely respected locally and up in Phoenix.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 13:52:34

Mr. Bear, meet Mr. Lopez ;-)

“But wait a minute. The no-nonsense candidate who opposes a path to legal citizenship, and wants the government to go after businesses that hire illegal immigrants, didn’t feel the need to report the housekeeper to authorities when she confessed?”

Steve Lopez: Meg Whitman has some explaining to do on illegal immigrant housekeeper

September 29, 2010 / LA Times

Affirmations:

“TrueHypocrite™” shows here “TrueColors™”

 
 
 
Comment by mikey
2010-09-30 08:13:35

Today, I hop into my car and drive across the state of Wisconsin and get my usual hotel room. My little AWOL bag is nearly packed.

I shall eat well and frolic in the pool tonight. It has been like Indian Summer the past few days and the leaves are just beginning to do their Fall change. Should be a nice drive.

Tomorrow I close on my short sale shack. 3 more trips across the stupid state and I’m “home free”. I shall be kicked back in front of my fireplace burning oak n’ elm, drinking Jack Daniels and watching my property value crash when the tiny goblins come a’pounding on my door demanding candy bars and assorted goodies. Who cares as I love both kids and Halloween and my little yellow Halloween lights will be lit for them and in remembrance of of our special kid at heart, sweet Olygal.

The Welcome Mat will be out!

I am on the run and packing for this overnight stay and the move 7 Oct. I have just read the HUD settlement statement email sideways as my printer is packed and I couldn’t flip the danged large document. Essentually I believe that it goes like this…

The seller must do a payoff of about 156k to bank # 1
The seller must do a payoff of about 23k to bank # 2(they will eat about a 47k loss vrs almost nothing in foreclosure)
The seller has about 17k in closing costs.

mikey pays 195k cash.
mikey pays title company $130
mikey pays pro-rated taxes.

The banks only allowed a 4.5% $8,775 commission on this short sale.

The RE agent gets $3,900
mikey’s agent gets $4,875

The Title company manager is a daughter-in-law of a big farm family that I know very well and she is watching my back and doing so much more to make this sale and move easy for me.

So much for their DreamHouse that the FB’s so arrogantly listed FSBO for about 300k in 2006 when my son and his college professor toured it. The FB lost their business and chased the market down, all of the previous deals fell through because money got tight and people got scared. They had a solid offer of 260k from the mayor 2 years ago but passed because “Greed is Good”

Sheesh, not much to show for all those years of mortgage payments, taxes and all those fancy updates and improvements.

Will I pay too much for a short sale tomorrow? Hell yeah!!

…but it sure looks like mikey got the shack he wanted at his price and was tired of sitting quietly and plotting his Revenge.

I will wear my Downy fresh Ben Jones HBB T-shirt at the closing to raise some small town eyebrows.

Just got a call, everything is ready and all approved. Just be there with the check and closing should only take… about 5 minutes.

Got Cash?…Nope, will a cashiers check do ?

Later…

:)

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 09:01:36

I shall be kicked back in front of my fireplace burning oak n’ elm, drinking Jack Daniels and watching my property value crash when the tiny goblins come a’pounding on my door demanding candy bars and assorted goodies. Who cares as I love both kids and Halloween and my little yellow Halloween lights will be lit for them and in remembrance of of our special kid at heart, sweet Olygal.

See, that’s what I like about ya mikey, you’re a squarehead boy of the North Country, but you got your important priorities in order! :-)

Priority’s:

1. Celebrating “small things”
2. Buying a piece of property with a structure.

 
Comment by CA renter
2010-10-01 01:58:32

Love it, mikey! :)

 
 
Comment by pressboardbox
2010-09-30 08:21:47

I don’t even know where to begin…

http://www.ajc.com/news/2-300-stimulus-jobs-647695.html

 
Comment by SOLD IN 05
2010-09-30 09:53:58

its not about Republican or Democrat anymore, in fact i am convinced that this has been the Elites strategy all along.Polarize the public the law of physics will split the people 50/50 keep them arguing amongst each other,while we pertend to do something.i will not be part of this.i am proudly INDEPENDENT,either party is evil there is no difference…lets stop pertending there is

Comment by evildoc
2010-09-30 11:00:25

And how, then, does your strategy or philosophy impact the big picture?

Or is this just saying, “everything is bad, and I’m soooo aware of it”.

If that makes you feel good, that is all fine n’ dandy, i guess.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 12:15:55

Filed under: “diz ALL the gubermint’s fault!” or “diz ALL lil’ Opie’s fault!”

Is that why the re-named the Boulder Dam the Herbert Hoover Dam? ;-)

Is it Hoover Dam or Boulder Dam …?
… or what’s in name when politicians get involved?

How Hoover Dam got to be officially named that is a convoluted story and involves politics and events not specifically related to the project other than the impact it has had on the southwest.Hoover Dam SpillwayApparently many people and politicians were
resentful of how Herbert Hoover handled the economy when he was president and did not want Hoover’s name associated with a project that was so beneficial to the southwest. While Hoover was the most critical player in getting the project underway naming the project after him was seen as a political statement and seemed to take advantage of the fact that the original site for the project was moved.

When the project began the location of the dam was to be at Boulder Canyon about 10 miles upstream from the current location. Thus the name ‘Boulder Canyon Project’. It was noticed later that if the dam were built at Black Canyon instead of Boulder Canyon, it would be able to impound more water. Also, geologically, Black Canyon had a more dense rock in its canyon walls. When the dam site was moved to Black Canyon, it was still called the Boulder Canyon Project. The dam got its name from the project which originated it, ‘Boulder Dam’.

On September 17, 1930, Herbert Hoover’s Secretary of the Interior Ray L. Wilbur, went to the site to dedicate the official start of the project. In his dedication speech, he announced that the dam would from that point on be officially known as Hoover Dam. All things considered this was a pretty unpopular idea at the time. The idea behind this move was to bolster Hoover’s image.

In 1930, the Great Depression was getting worse and Hoover was either blamed for it or castigated for not doing anything about it. Herbert Hoover wanting to be re-elected in 1932, felt that he needed to show that he was sensitive to the situation. By naming the dam after himself, he thought that he could draw attention to the fact that he was instrumental in starting the project. With over 5000 people to be employed on the project, Hoover thought that he could claim credit for trying to do something about the unemployment situation which was extreme at that time. Unfortunately for Hoover, it did not work out that way.

Looking down the front of Hoover DamOn May 8, 1933, Harold Ickes, Franklin Roosevelt’s Secretary of the Interior, decided that the name of the dam should be ‘Boulder Dam’, its original name. The reason for this was no doubt political.
On April 30, 1947, the resolution renaming the dam back to Hoover Dam was passed by congress and signed by President Harry S Truman.

Hoover Dam is still, currently, the name of this structure.

Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2010-09-30 14:16:30

With over 5000 people to be employed on the project, Hoover thought that he could claim credit for trying to do something about the unemployment situation which was extreme at that time. Unfortunately for Hoover, it did not work out that way.

You must have your facts all mixed up. Alpha-sloth assures us that:

a). Hoover was a laissez-faire conservative Republican whose neglect of government programs caused GD I, and

b). Keynesian stimulus packages (which FDR only got around to trying 5 years into his presidency) invariably work wonders in promoting robust economic growth.

 
 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-30 12:40:36

SOLD IN 05
Could not agree more. I’m calling myself a Politcal Atheist, because “Independent” doesn’t work for me either. I lost total belief in our political system.

Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2010-09-30 14:31:02

I lost total belief in our political system.

So let’s start on a new one. How about a series of constitutional amendments to:

1) Abolish corporations
2) Abolish eminent domain
3) Require all legislative bills to be submitted to a popular referendum before they can become law.

Comment by tj
2010-09-30 14:41:04

1) Abolish corporations
2) Abolish eminent domain
3) Require all legislative bills to be submitted to a popular referendum before they can become law.

i like 2 and 3. but why abolish corporations? if we can’t limit the risk they incur (lawsuits), then many won’t start up and we will not have as many businesses.

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Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2010-09-30 18:27:04

if we can’t limit the risk they incur (lawsuits), then many won’t start up and we will not have as many businesses.

We will have more, but smaller businesses. They will be focussed on making products efficiently, instead of on lobbying for political favors.

 
Comment by tj
2010-09-30 18:49:33

We will have more, but smaller businesses.

how do you think this will happen?

———–

They will be focussed on making products efficiently, instead of on lobbying for political favors.

they get their power through government. so we need to limit the power of government.

besides, what’s to stop many small businesses from pooling their resources to try to get favorable legislation?

power attracts corrupt money, so limit power and the corrupt money goes away. it goes away because it’s to difficult to try to control without the force of government.

when customers are sovereign, big business and corporations become benign.

 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2010-09-30 20:18:50

Abolish corporations - I think I agree on this. They get preferential tax treatment. I am for abolishing only if the favors that corporations get versus individuals are given to individuals. For instance, the ability to save $50,000 or so into a SEP IRA or Keogh. Or writing off travel expenses. The limited liability stuff should be axed.

Putting everything up for referendum is okay though, but only if, as you suggest, the topics are first voted on by Congress. This would make “the people” the fourth check and balance.

I just don’t like democracy. Democracy plus idiocracy equals drab gray socialism. So a “referendum will only mean if 67% of the people are socialists, they will proclaim a super mandate over the 33%. Tyranny of the majority can happen.

I prefer to just not participate. I’m done with it.

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 14:50:09

1) Abolish corporations

Geez, terminate millions of “people” ? ;-/

But I’m wholly for “revoking” FOR LIFE,..certain bad characters for engaging in poisonous “bidness” practices. (Sorry, paying fines & not admitting GUILT, just doesn’t amount to much in reducing recidivism of ethical breeches of conduct.)

3) Require all legislative bills to be submitted to a popular referendum before they can become law.

Now that’s how you “protect” the minority from the TYRANNY of the majority!

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Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2010-09-30 18:33:36

Hwy, when you start with the premise that investors and managers have limited (i.e. essentially NO) liability for corporate actions, you are undercutting the entire legal system. It makes no sense to say that you have limited liability but then we are going to come down hard on you for unethical conduct.

Geez, terminate millions of “people” ? ;-/

By eliminating corporations, you are not “terminating” people. You are freeing up the entire business world to reorganize along the lines of skills and productive competition, instead of politics and lobbying and butt-kissing.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 19:02:55

eyes just a awe-shuckin’ ya ’bout hows the Supreme x5 with GOP wigs legally determined that CORPORATIONS are “people”… ;-)

Supreme Court Rules Corporations Are People, Spending Is Speech …
In a dramatic upheaval that sharply divided the U.S. Supreme Court, a 5-4 majority ruled Thursday that under the First Amendment Congress may not bar

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2010-09-30 09:55:34

More than 65,000 Floridians got tax credits for home buying before program ended

By Toluse Olorunnipa The Miami Herald
Posted: 9:28 a.m. Thursday, Sept. 30, 2010

When the federal home buyer’s tax credit program finally sunsets on Thursday, more than 65,000 Floridians will have taken advantage of the incentive program, claiming more than $455 million, according to the U.S. Government Accountability Office.

Extended and amended multiple times since 2008, the federal home buyer’s tax credit meets its final deadline on Thursday, but most of South Florida’s eligible home purchasers have either already closed or given up on the prospect of making the deadline.

 
Comment by Elanor
2010-09-30 10:00:42

Just felt like posting this after yesterday’s conversation regarding Chinese vs. American made products:

This morning I accepted delivery on a new bookcase made right here in the USA. Solid maple, simple and beautiful. It’s one of several pieces of wood furniture, all American-made, we have purchased from Room & Board. They don’t have a lot of stores, but their website says they have showrooms in Washington DC, California, Georgia and Colorado…which covers a good segment of HBB posters. They also sell upholstered furniture but I haven’t personally bought any. The stuff in the showroom seems very solidly built, though. Reasonably priced, too, for something that will outlast you and maybe your kids too.

Comment by CA renter
2010-10-01 02:03:32

Thanks for sharing this company with us, Elanor. Hope you enjoy your new bookcase.

 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2010-09-30 10:08:07

JPMorgan Chase freezes foreclosure cases

By Kimberly Miller Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Posted: 7:12 p.m. Wednesday, Sept. 29, 2010

JPMorgan Chase, the third largest home loan servicer in the country, has suspended its open foreclosure cases while it examines whether defective documents may have been filed in court.

The unprecedented move follows that of Ally Financial Inc.’s freeze on part of its foreclosure operations last week in acknowledgement that an employee approved affidavits claiming personal knowledge of foreclosure actions, when he in fact did not know details of each case.

Chase, which carries $1.35 trillion in mortgages nationwide, according to trade newsletter Inside Mortgage Finance, said it has discovered a similar situation in its loan foreclosure office.

“As a result, we have begun to systematically re-examine documents we have filed in current foreclosure proceedings to verify that the affidavits and other documents meet the standard of personal knowledge or review where that is required,” Chase spokesman Tom Kelly said today .

The review is expected to take only a few weeks, Kelly added. Until then, he said, the company is requesting no judgments be entered in pending court cases.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-09-30 10:25:42

Why do people think that migrating to jobs is more
efficient than stable communities with a stable job base ? If you really want to go back in history people were hunter/gatherers migrating to where the food was .Should people migrate to Mexico where Ford just built its new car plant ? Actually Americans couldn’t get a job in that
car plant anyway, or a job in China .

It wasn’t until societies built stable cities with stable employment and stable manufacturing plants that people could build wealth .It’s not efficient getting a job ,than losing a job ,than getting a job in another State (unless your pay goes up with every move of course).

People on this blog comment on how people in the USA need to be more
productive compared to low wage Countries .A average couple working
80 hours a week for survival of a household is productive enough .Should we go back to 60/70 hour weeks at low wages per person to call ourselves productive so we can compete while the employers and middlemen just get richer ? Why even compare ourselves to low wage
Countries where employees are exploited with crummy working conditions. Are we going backwards or forward in standards of living ?

In spite of China having a big population that could be consumers given a
decent wage we are instead destroying our job base so Corporations and
middlemen can make more money. Of course Unions made unsustainable
contracts in light of the destroying of the long term employment structures here in the USA>And don’t forget how the Monopolies are
price fixing and destroying capitalism as we knew it for decades .

I’m just throwing out some of these thoughts for attack ,but Joey please
don’t tell me this is progress and this is what the American people wanted, it was more of a con job.

Comment by tj
2010-09-30 10:49:51

It wasn’t until societies built stable cities with stable employment and stable manufacturing plants that people could build wealth.

building wealth has been happening ever since man learned to make arrowheads or stone knives. savings are turned into wealth no almost matter what the savings are.

cities aren’t needed. stable jobs aren’t needed. labor that is turned into currency that exceeds expenditure is what’s needed.

(the essence of currency is that which is exchanged for labor)

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 12:04:16

labor that is turned into currency that exceeds expenditure is what’s needed.

Well as they used to say down South: “I’ll be a cottonpicker!” ;-)

 
 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 11:18:22

…we are instead destroying our job base..

That hit the nail right on the head. We are. We.

look around.. Most, if not all the stuff you see was manufactured somewhere other than the USA. But, you bought it anyway, and supported outsourcing.

You probably didn’t even stop to consider anything except price vs quality.. Who is conscious of where a Colgate toothbrush is made when you need a new one?

You, along with the rest of us, voted with your wallet. You helped “destroy our job base” as you prefer to put it.

 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2010-09-30 20:23:44

For most people, having job and home in the same city is important for raising families. A few still do the same but the breadwinner is in a city hundreds of miles away five days a week. Or some people just decide to go alone like a cowboy. That’s my choice. Money is good. I’m too old for having a family anyway.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-30 10:43:07

Craig Barrett: U.S. Looking Back While Rest of the World Passes Us By
Sep 30, 2010 01:13pm EDT by Aaron Task

Intel CEO Paul Otellini sent shock-waves from Silicon Valley to Washington D.C. in August when he said: Unless the U.S. changes course “the next big thing will not be invented here. Jobs will not be created here.”

During a speech at the Aspen Institute, Otellini also warned of an “an inevitable erosion and shift of wealth, much like we’re seeing today in Europe — this is the bitter truth.”

When former Intel CEO Craig Barrett joined us earlier this week to talk about President Obama’s education initiatives, we asked him about Otellini’s comments, which fueled criticism that President Obama is anti-business.

“I don’t think Paul Otellini said he’s anti-business: he said the admin is having trouble understanding the needs of business, especially in this difficult time,” Barrett says.

To that point, Otellini also said the Obama administration is “flummoxed by their experiment in Keynesian economics not working.”

A Bipartisan Failure

Without speaking for his successor, Barrett was quick to point out America’s problems didn’t start with President Obama. “Both sides have done exactly the same thing, which is not much,” to address what Barrett says are the three things necessary for countries to compete in the 21st Century:

* — A good education system. (Barrett, who is on the board of the President “Change the Equation” initiative talks about those challenges here.)
* — Investment in R&D.
* — The right environment for good ideas to become viable, i.e. immigration policy, protection for intellectual property and tax policy.

“We’re zero for three,” the former CEO quips. “What we’re seeing now - stimulus spending which is ’shovel ready’. We’re paving roads instead of putting in infrastructure for the 21st century. U.S. corporate tax rates are the highest in the world, which is a disincentive to investing here. Those are the things Paul was talking about.”

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 11:11:24

We’re paving roads instead of putting in infrastructure for the 21st century.

Hear, hear!

As mentioned before, part of my family emigrated from County Cornwall (England’s southwesternmost county) back in the 1800s. It was a matter of get out of Cornwall or starve to death, according to my aunt.

Well, since the collapse of the Cornish economy in the 1800s (the British Empire found a cheaper source of tin in Malaysia, which was the death knell for tin mining in Cornwall), the county has languished. It’s now one of the poorest in England.

However, things are changing…

£132 Million Broadband Project To Transform Cornish Economy

Mind you, it’s still Cornwall. Where people come from all over the world to see the abandoned tin mines. Which are still just sitting there, rusting away.

Methinks that Cornwall has a bright future. From the story above:

“The roll-out will begin immediately and run until 2014 with the first customers being connected early next year. BT will work closely with Cornwall Development Company, the council’s economic development company, to plan deployments and will also engage with planning and highways departments. The project will be supported by a major marketing programme, skills programmes and support to ensure businesses make the most of the new technology.”

Now, if left-to-rot County Cornwall can do this, why in the Sam Hill can’t the United States?

 
Comment by cactus
2010-09-30 13:06:37

need more H1B visa Engineers for Intel, keeps costs down and keeps American kids from wanting to be Engineers they can get MBA’s instead

Comment by Steve J
2010-09-30 14:28:21

Intel is all about cheap H1Bs. I would love to see a racial breakdown of their employees.

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 13:13:17

We’re paving roads instead of putting in infrastructure for the 21st century

200+ countries in the world, which wealthiest Nation does not have a high speed train system? How did that happen?

Trains / Planes / Automobiles / Segway’s

(See how train addiction work!… I’m Hwy50, I’m a train addict.)

Yikes!

Jimi Heselden, Owner Of Segway Inc., Dies In Segway Accident
The Huffington Post | Bianca Bosker | Updated: 09-29-10

“Multi-millionaire Jimi Heselden, the owner of Segway Inc. since December 2009, has died after reportedly driving a Segway scooter off a cliff and into a river.”

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-30 16:47:52

Some happier news - the upgrading of the Chicago-St. Louis corridor began quite quietly a few weeks back. The project is a step in the right direction and from the sound of it, the cost and construction time are actually very reasonable. Of course it’s on a stretch of track in rural Illinois near Springfield - but it should help demonstrate the potential and hopefully lead to additional funding to upgrade the more expensive urban sections later on.

For those that don’t know, the problem is grade separation, that’s where the real expense and real work is - the track and trains are pretty much off the shelf products, and even existing equipment can travel 110~125 m.p.h. Just getting rid of the road/rail grade crossings will be a huge leap forward.

It’s just too bad that in the 1950s the decision wasn’t made to include a rail grade alongside or in the median strip of all interstate highways. That way a grade separated route would already be there to plug in bridges and lay tracks - and so today there wouldn’t be the huge cost of rerouting lines in urban/suburban areas.

 
 
 
Comment by Nancy
2010-09-30 10:44:20

J.P. et al freeze foreclosure cases

What happens when claims are made against the title companies because of the clouds created by these lenders? It stands to reason that a large number of these policies were underwritten showing clear title. There are only a hand full of insurance underwriters in this country ergo are they on the hook for this mess? What about there financial ratings?

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 12:01:10

Previously:

“There appears to be some concern this conveyance issue could end up gumming up the whole industry threatening even mortgages that are not being foreclosed on.”

BWAHAHAHicHAHAHicHAHAHAHAHicHAHAHic* (DennisN™)

“Financial Innovation” meets “Legal Stallinthenation”

Comment by Nancy
2010-09-30 12:23:13

Look out Florida!!!!!!! The Snow Birds and investors don’t want swamp land ie: bad title. This problem goes back to at least 2004. Special Warranty Deeds are a red flag. Someone should research just those in Florida. I have lived here my whole life and Warranty Deeds are the only type of deed that guarantees ones rights.

 
 
 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-09-30 11:03:50

This is what a sane budget was for your average family in US for many years .

25% to housing
5%to 10% to health care
5% to 10% to recreation
10% to 15% to savings /retirement
10% to 15% to food/other goods
5% to 10% to transportation/insurance
balance% to other

What the power brokers created
50 to 60% to housing
25 or more % to health care
15% to 20% to food/etc. already at 100% have to borrow now
no money left for savings /recreation /transportation /etc.

of course the higher income classes have more money for each
need including investment .

My point being the middle class was always on a tight budget .Any upset
to these ratios would throw the middle class into a minus position with
inability to get ahead but rather a slipping into poverty .

Comment by 2banana
2010-09-30 11:34:15

Errr- you forgot one big expense - TAXES

In the 1960s - total taxes (fed, state, local, property, sales, etc.) was about 30% for the average middle class taxpayer.

Today, we are pushing 50%.

Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-09-30 12:06:19

I was basing this on after tax income for most part ,but you can see
that the middle class is tapped out as far as paying more taxes. The higher income middle class will also slip into less buying power with
a higher % paid to taxes .

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 23:00:56

You nailed it — systemic theft, at its worst.

 
Comment by CA renter
2010-10-01 02:09:49

Great post, Wiz. You are absolutely right.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-30 11:04:37

U.S. Postal Service Denied Rate Increase by Regulator

The U.S. Postal Service was denied a proposed increase in rates after its regulator said the agency failed to justify the request. The decision left the price of first-class stamps unchanged at 44 cents.

The Postal Regulatory Commission in Washington today said the service hadn’t made the case for its proposed average increase of 5.6 percent, compared with an inflation rate of 0.6 percent. The service said in July that the recession had cut mail volume and revenue.

“There will be no rate increases as a result of our decision for any class of mail,” Ruth Goldway, chairman of the regulatory commission, said today at a Washington news conference.

The Postal Service’s requests were “not due to the recent recession, or its impact on mail volume,” Goldway said. “Rather, they represent an attempt to address long-term structural problems not caused by the recent recession.”

 
Comment by packman
2010-09-30 11:08:07

WSJ:

India Embarks on Project To ID Its 1.2 Billion People

India’s vaunted tech savvy is being put to the test this week as the country embarks on a daunting mission: assigning a unique 12-digit number to each of its 1.2 billion people.

The project, which seeks to collect fingerprint and iris scans from all residents and store them in a massive central database of unique IDs, is considered by many specialists the most technologically and logistically complex national identification effort ever attempted. To pull it off, India has recruited tech gurus of Indian origin from around the world, including the co-founder of online photo service Snapfish and employees from Google Inc., Yahoo Inc. and Intel Corp.

The country’s leaders are pinning their hopes on the program to solve development problems that have persisted despite fast economic growth. They say unique ID numbers will help ensure that government welfare spending reaches the right people, and will allow hundreds of millions of poor Indians to access services like banking for the first time.

(emphasis mine)

Nice.

I seem to recall somethingorother prediction about not being able to buy or sell unless you had some number…

Comment by tj
2010-09-30 11:22:45

I seem to recall somethingorother prediction about not being able to buy or sell unless you had some number…

yes, it’s good to be wary. the first step to control anything (guns, drugs, people) is to ID it. doesn’t matter if the intentions are benign or not.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 11:46:38

yes, it’s good to be wary. the first step to control anything (guns, drugs, people) is to ID it. doesn’t matter if the intentions are benign or not.

Yes, this is why Monsanto CORPORATION is doing everything possible to get baby food labeled: “contains …GMO’s” ;-/

Comment by awaiting wipeout
2010-09-30 12:49:33

That’s why I follow Katherine Albrecht (Harvard Grad)
http://www.katherinealbrecht.com/
and her other RFID and privacy issue website
http://www.spychips.com/

Oh and thank you Hwy for the Monsanto GMO comment. I just read about a GMO Pig this morning. I guess Mother Nature wasn’t good enough in her infinite wisdom!

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 11:35:48

its 1.2 billion people

I meet a homeless man a few days ago at the train station, we had a beer together, chit chatted…he said he had x14 aka’s…seems the cops keep transposing the Italian last name on his state id with missing or added letters. Of course, the Courts seem to think it’s all his fault, trying to deceive folks…

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-30 11:12:24

Business Activity in U.S. Unexpectedly Accelerates

Business activity in the U.S. unexpectedly accelerated in September, a sign manufacturers are still at the forefront of the recovery.

 
Comment by wmbz
2010-09-30 11:15:22

Emerging Market Share Sales Beat Developed Nations for 1st Time

Brazil’s state-controlled oil producer, Petroleo Brasileiro SA, sold 2.4 billion common shares for 29.65 reais each and 1.87 billion preferred shares at 26.30 reais apiece on Sept. 23 in the world’s biggest equity sale on record.
Petrobras Raises $70 Billion as Investors Bet on Output Grow

Emerging markets are attracting more money from share offerings than industrialized nations this quarter for the first time in at least a decade as companies in Brazil and China complete record sales.

Companies from Petroleo Brasileiro SA to Agricultural Bank of China Ltd. in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index’s 21 countries raised $138 billion through initial public offerings and additional sales this quarter, beating the $62 billion in industrialized countries, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Mark Mobius, who oversees about $34 billion as executive chairman of Templeton Asset Management Ltd., says that last week’s record offering from Brazil’s Petrobras signals that emerging market share sales may be approaching a “bubble.” For bulls from Huntington Asset Advisors to Thornburg Investment Management, faster profit growth and economies that are forecast to expand twice as much as industrialized nations mean that stocks in developing countries are still a buy.

“The emerging markets are going to be the best place to be,” said Paul Attwood, who helps oversee $13.3 billion at Huntington in Cincinnati. “Although emerging markets are starting to get to a point where the valuations are not as attractive, the growth is going to be there. That plays into healthy IPO markets.”

 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2010-09-30 11:21:34

My congresscritter stepped into the middle of some commercial foreclosures - one of which happened to be a donor to her campaign. This Crain’s Chicago Business article is worth the read for those who want to a little background into the Chicago way and just how incestuous it is - pay special attention to the history of the failed bank near the end.

http://tiny.cc/mpa9u

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-30 11:33:45

Brazilian Boom Breeds Brick Building Backed Bonds…

Sao Paulo Real Estate Boom Fuels Record Property Bond Sales: Brazil Credit

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-09-23/sao-paulo-retail-boom-fuels-record-property-bond-offerings-brazil-credit.html

Sales of securities backed by Brazilian real estate assets are surging to a record as homebuilders and mall owners expand amid the fastest economic growth in two decades.

“Demand for these bonds is strong,” said Rodrigo Machado, head of real estate finance products at the association. “Mortgage and credit for development are far from cooling and the stake sold to investors is still very small.”

The Brazilian government has been using tax and regulatory incentives to jumpstart the market for securities backed by property revenue, said Johann Grieneisen, a senior structured finance analyst with Moody’s Investors Service in Sao Paulo.

The bonds — known as CRIs, or certificado de recebiveis imobiliarios — are being used by developers and construction firms to finance apartment buildings, shopping centers and office properties….. CRIs are illiquid securities with no secondary market. Investors also are betting that homebuilders have taken the right credit risk when signing up buyers, said S&P’s Cotegil. Record mortgage-backed bond sales in the U.S. led to the worst recession since the Great Depression in 2008 as a plunge in commercial property and home prices sparked a surge in defaults.

Brazil mortgage lending may jump to 455 billion reais in 2015 from 136 billion reais at the end of this year, according to the real estate finance group.

“Market-wide, the financing in the system is going one direction and that’s up,” said Grieneisen of Moody’s.

Comment by CA renter
2010-10-01 02:19:47

Thanks for keeping us informed about Brazil, Rio.

 
 
Comment by Spook
2010-09-30 11:41:43

Did you guys hear that a fed judge dismissed charges against the motorcyclist who posted a vid of a MD state trooper pulling him over for speeding and waving a gun…?

He posted the vid on Youtube and two weeks later state police raided his house, confiscated cumputers, video cameras and charged him with all kinds of crimes:

Maryland Circuit Court Judge Emory A Pitt, Jr. has ruled that motorcyclist and Maryland Air National Guardsman Anthony Graber did not violate the Maryland wiretapping statute when he recorded his traffic stop. The wiretap law does prohibit the recording of audio where there is a “reasonable expectation of privacy,” but Judge Pitt found that a police officer performing a traffic stop has no such expectation of privacy.

In Anthony Graber’s case, a Maryland state trooper cut off Graber in an unmarked car and emerged from the driver’s side door in jeans and a gray pullover, gun drawn and badge not visible. It looked like a carjacking, and Graber was not charged for recording the encounter until he posted it on YouTube. The message to other Marylanders was clear: record the police, and you will face arrest and felony prosecution.

I think the police were just pissed about the comments critical of them on the youtube page.

http://www.cato-at-liberty.org/judge-dismisses-wiretapping-charges-against-motorcyclist-for-recording-traffic-stop/

Comment by Steve J
2010-09-30 14:33:57

Remember, think of the children.

 
Comment by Red Beach
2010-09-30 17:40:35

Nowhere do I see the fact that he was speeding, weaving in and out of traffic, and popping wheelies. The wiretapping thing was over the top, but let’s bet real here: it’s not a big deal about the unmarked trooper.

What would people be saying if the unmarked guy didn’t pull him over and he broadsided a bus?

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 18:55:34

Previously in 2007…

Straight Talk: Videotaping Police:
Tuesday, June 19, 2007 / By Radley Balko

Last month, Brian Kelly of Carlisle, Pa., was riding with a friend when the car he was in was pulled over by a local police officer. Kelly, an amateur videographer, had his video camera with him and decided to record the traffic stop.

The officer who pulled over the vehicle saw the camera and demanded Kelly hand it over. Kelly obliged. Soon after, six more police officers pulled up. They arrested Kelly on charges of violating an outdated Pennsylvania wiretapping law that forbids audio recordings of any second party without their permission. In this case, that party was the police officer.

Kelly was charged with a felony, spent 26 hours in jail, and faces up to 10 years in prison. All for merely recording a police officer, a public servant, while he was on the job.

There’s been a rash of arrests of late for videotaping police, and it’s a disturbing development. Last year, Massachusetts Attorney General Tom Reilly threatened Internet activist Mary T. Jean with arrest and felony prosecution for posting a video to her website of state police swarming a home and arresting a man without a warrant.

Michael Gannon of New Hampshire was also arrested on felony wiretapping charges last year after recording a police officer who was being verbally abusive on his
doorstep. Photojournalist Carlos Miller was arrested in February of this year after taking pictures of on-duty police officers in Miami.

 
 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2010-09-30 11:55:43

Now on the Business News they are talking about tax increases being
tied to the cost of living index in the varies cities .In other words, if you make 250k in New York City it doesn’t get you a wealthy lifestyle but
in the sticks of flyover country it would be a rich income with a lot of buying power.

Interesting how the talking heads want to tax wealth according to the real
cost of living now .How about giving wages according to the real cost of living also .

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 12:36:46

Oh that’s nice. Add yet one more level of complication to the tax code. And widen the disparity between rich and poor even more (e.g. Manhattan has a very high cost of living, thus would presumably pay lower tax rates).

Comment by tj
2010-09-30 12:43:55

And widen the disparity between rich and poor even more (e.g. Manhattan has a very high cost of living, thus would presumably pay lower tax rates).

it will do that and open the door to fraud we haven’t even seen yet. it makes claiming to live in a high tax area while actually living in a low tax area, an advantage. it will promote new ways to commit fraud.

Comment by tj
2010-09-30 12:45:52

sorry, i meant to say ‘income area’ instead of ‘tax area’..

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Comment by Blue Skye
2010-09-30 12:45:50

LOL. The cost of living where I get my mail is about 10x the cost of living where I actually stay. Good luck with that idea.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 12:22:19

I’m sure the Fed’s liquidity injections have nothing to do with it.

Why gold, stocks and bonds are all rising
Sept. 30, 2010

Gold, stocks and bonds rising together reflect the barbell approach investors are taking, Wells Capital Management’s Gary Schlossberg tells Laura Mandaro.

 
Comment by cactus
2010-09-30 12:36:07

I can’t beleive all the China bashing on this board you see outsourcing has allowed high paid metalurgy to be replaced by dog sitting. just like ecomomists have predicted old school jobs have been replaced by new better jobs.

By the early 1980s, Zhu was testing samples of neodymium iron boron, the alloy perfected by engineers at GM and Sumitomo. Two Chinese research institutes also developed it, said Zhu, 91. “It was a real revolution,” he said.

In 1990, Zhang Hong, the Chinese academy’s deputy director of technology, visited Magnequench, a GM unit in Indiana that used a spinning wheel to quench, or cool, the molten alloy into flakes to make magnets. Five years later, a group including then state-owned San Huan New Materials and Hightech Inc. agreed to buy Magnequench.

The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, a cross-agency board that reviews foreign takeover deals, allowed the purchase partly because the partners agreed to keep open facilities in the U.S.

Shipped to China

The company opened a new plant in Tianjin in 1998 and shut a former GM operation in Anderson, Indiana, four years later. Magnequench also purchased and later closed the factory in Valparaiso, where Kathy DeFries now boards dogs for $5 an hour. That plant’s tools were shipped to three San Huan operations in China, according to Shannon Song, a Beijing-based executive at Magnequench.

“What they were basically doing was replicating the production lines in China,” said Leitner, the former Pentagon official.

Indiana’s Bayh and Hillary Clinton, now U.S. secretary of state, both cited Magnequench as an example of the U.S. losing jobs and expertise to China. In the 1990s a dozen U.S.-based suppliers of magnets employed 6,000 people. Today there are four, employing 500, said Ed Richardson, vice president of Thomas & Skinner Inc. in Indianapolis, one of the survivors.

Business Decision

The plant closures were a business decision after the technology bust in 2000 hurt sales, Song said. Most of the Valparaiso factory’s business came from computer makers; defense was a minor share, she said. In 2001, labor costs in Anderson averaged $7.32 per kilogram of neodymium powder on top of $10.07 in direct production overhead, she estimates. In 2003 in Tianjin, labor costs were 16 cents and overhead $3.20.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2010-09-30 13:28:04

“TrueBambooLie™”

Looney Tunes Commentary:

Bugs: “eh, you guys got anything “useful”, we can copy or buy?” ;-)

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 13:35:09

..Now the plant houses Coco’s Canine Cabana, a doggy day care the current tenants started to supplement sagging income from their machine shop. On most days dogs outnumber the 15 metalworkers, said Kathy DeFries, co-owner of Excel Machine Technologies Inc.

“When things got slow for manufacturing, we had this big empty shop floor,” said DeFries, nuzzling a floppy-eared puppy. “It’s a great stress reliever.”

$5 an hour.. ?

Co-owner of a high tech machine shop with 15 metalworkers. Likes dogs.

Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 15:36:34

well, i’d never let her have my dog. In fact, someone should call the SPCA about this.

High speed metalwork cutting machines, like lathes and mills, have to emit all sorts of ultrasonic noise.. and no doubt that really annoys the dogs.. probably damages their ears if exposure is sufficient.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2010-09-30 16:14:14

My parents’ dog would be in anguish in such a place.

Even if she wasn’t so averse to riding in cars — we think her previous owner dumped her from a car — we’d never take her to any place like a machine shop.

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Comment by cactus
2010-09-30 12:53:15

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) — The leadership of high-yielding stocks is far from over because the group is the least liked by fund managers while poised to gain popularity among a growing population of aging Americans, Bank of America Corp. said.

Utilities and phone companies, which offer the highest dividend yield among the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index’s 10 industry groups, are owned by mutual funds in the smallest proportion relative to their weighting in benchmark indexes, according to data compiled by Bank of America. Portfolio managers are likely to be forced to raise holdings of those shares as earnings growth slows and more Americans favor stable returns, analysts led by Savita Subramanian wrote in a note dated Sept. 28. ”

I bet folks will get either burned or tired of bonds and switch to dividend stocks

Comment by Steamed Bean
2010-09-30 13:34:41

I’ll vote for “burned”. Bonds currently represent return-free risk.

 
 
Comment by measton
2010-09-30 14:49:44

WASHINGTON – House Democrats have shelved a last-ditch effort to broker a compromise between phone, cable and Internet companies on rules that would prohibit broadband providers from blocking or degrading online traffic flowing over their networks.

House Commerce Committee Chairman Henry Waxman, D-Calif., abandoned the effort late Wednesday in the face of Republican opposition to his proposed “network neutrality” rules. Those rules were intended to prevent broadband providers from becoming online gatekeepers by playing favorites with traffic.

It’s all about concentrating the power. Another loss in the long run for free markets and liberty. The cabilization of the internet is coming. You will buy a package of web sites you can visit. Non favored sites will incur a fee or will run very slow.

Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 16:57:32

Is that last paragraph your opinion? I don’t see it in the article text I’m seeing..

https://localtechwire.com/business/local_tech_wire/news/blogpost/8374824/

I’ve been watching full length movies on Hulu lately.. for free.. and they have thousands of TV programs as well. So, Pay-cable TV wasn’t the end of the line as far as the evolution of TV entertainment.

Likewise, I doubt the big ISPs will be able to dictate what web sites you are able to visit forever and ever.. or get away with charging fees for “non favored” sites.

While they might cooperate for a while and maintain some sort of monopoly, there’s this thing called competition and another thing called greed.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 16:29:00

Is anyone looking for a $3m+ home in San Diego County? If so, you are in luck, as there are currently 347 MLS listings in this price range, according to RedFin dot com. If all these homes sold at or above their wishing prices, the combined revenue generated would top $2.2 bn.

Good luck at finding 347 multi-millionaires looking to buy in San Diego at the moment! (Meanwhile, we remain priced out at the low end…)

Comment by Red Beach
2010-09-30 17:11:45

Ditto. I don’t see a lot of people lining up to buy million dollar beachfront condos here in Redington.

Meanwhile, we have the beach to ourselves!

 
 
Comment by packman
2010-09-30 17:15:49

Am I the only one that missed this until just now? I just saw that the FDIC announced the other day no cap on non-interesting-bearing accounts, from end of 2010 to end of 2012. I can’t believe this isn’t being talked about more.

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 17:17:08

Actually I see it’s just a proposal - not official yet.

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 17:18:42
 
Comment by packman
2010-09-30 17:35:30

Noting too - they’re not going to charge the banks any extra fees for this infinite insurance. It’s free.

Wish I could get that deal.

Sounds to me like someone’s standing over a stretch of fallen train trestle, and is having an “ohhh….s******…” moment as they hear a whistle in the distance.

Comment by tj
2010-09-30 17:45:33

Noting too - they’re not going to charge the banks any extra fees for this infinite insurance. It’s free.

it looks like they’re gonna try to destroy the whole banking system. the people and bankers won’t care a twit how risky loans are. backed by the government they’ll be giving out 30 day 30,000,000 loans to open lemonade stands. it’ll go belly up as soon as the borrower can get all his money into a couple suitcases and get his tickets to aruba.

this would be insane if it passes..

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Comment by Red Beach
2010-09-30 18:38:59

Aruba sucks. Just sayin’…

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 19:44:10

so who’s gonna move loads of money (+$250K) to any non-interest account? Gotta be a checking acct. I can’t think of anything else.

It’ll be businesses with huge payrolls, and that money is gone within a week… more likely in a day or two the acct is empty again.

But fate declares that particular bank fails while all the money is still in the account?

much ado about nothing, imho.

 
Comment by tj
2010-09-30 20:10:18

i was being melodramatic to emphasize a point.

with government guarantees, neither customers nor banks will have incentive to make good loans.

we need to put risk back into putting money in banks. we need people to care about the soundness of where they keep their money so that banks will want to be known as sound and safe. we need bankers to worry about getting paid back on their loans. we need them to worry about their reputations. those things make banks safe.

if this this thing passes, it guarantees that another crises will occur.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 20:43:50

Common folks can’t tell if a bank is in good shape or not. They have no mechanism by which they can judge the soundness of a bank.

Even if they could, what’s sound today may be gone tomorrow?
Without govt guarantees, nobody will put their money in a bank.

The FDIC has such capability, and it does a pretty good job of it.. and people rely on them.

————
As for banks retaining loan risk, I am an investor. I WANT that risk (and it’s rewards). I demand that banks and lenders sell me those loans.

In fact, i want really high returns, so go write some very risky loans and I will buy them.

But if the loans prove to be more risky than advertised (inaccurate ratings), me and my fellow investors won’t buy any more from that source.

That source is forced to keep it’s loans, along with the risk.. and such bad underwriting spells their doom.

 
Comment by tj
2010-09-30 21:28:09

Common folks can’t tell if a bank is in good shape or not. They have no mechanism by which they can judge the soundness of a bank.

no, but they’d learn to. ratings services would spring up. pretty soon common folks would be up to speed on how safe their bank was.

———-

Even if they could, what’s sound today may be gone tomorrow?
Without govt guarantees, nobody will put their money in a bank.

there is a need for banks and there would be plenty of people that are willing to deposit money in them. but it is true that some probably wouldn’t, at least at first. they would be looking for strong safe banks, and the banks would have to stand up to public scrutiny or people would not deposit their money there.

——–

The FDIC has such capability, and it does a pretty good job of it.. and people rely on them.

the FDIC allowed the bankers and customers to fall asleep at the wheel. if there wouldn’t have been any government insurance, people would have taken their money out of banks that were making stupid loans. and no taxpayers would be taking on the losses of banks like they are now.

————

As for banks retaining loan risk, I am an investor. I WANT that risk (and it’s rewards). I demand that banks and lenders sell me those loans.

you’d demand to make loans that have very little chance to be paid back? you would have no trouble making such loans if you wanted to. you can always compete with banks for loans.

——-

In fact, i want really high returns, so go write some very risky loans and I will buy them.

how about a loan on an overpriced home taken out by a chronically unemployed person that is underwater the moment he signs the papers? after all, that’s the risk bankers were taking with taxpayer’s money. they didn’t have to worry. the government backed them up at our expense.

———-

But if the loans prove to be more risky than advertised (inaccurate ratings), me and my fellow investors won’t buy any more from that source.

the rating agencies had already been captured. their ratings were worth nothing. private agencies that rely on accurate reporting to make money would have been much more reliable for you.

——–

That source is forced to keep it’s loans, along with the risk.. and such bad underwriting spells their doom.

that would be the natural outcome of a free market. a market without government influence.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 22:02:55

ok.. all that has been argued before, and I’ve no desire to hash it out again. But if you like, pick any one of your points and I will post a rebuttal .

Meanwhile ponder this.

You are a bank and have $1M in deposits. You must keep 10% cash reserves, and you can lend out $900K.
You write a few home loans totaling $900K, and you keep those loans in house.

You are outta cash. No more money to lend. You get a little bit back every month, but are unable to lend anyone in your community a healthy chunk of money for about 10 or 15 years (assuming no unforeseen disaster crushes you, and that you can squirrel away whatever pittance is coming in.)

So, businesses needing loans and home buyers needing mortgages walk right pass your door.. You are the bank that has no money.
Meanwhile you placed your bank at huge risk by keeping all your loans. Heaven forbid there is an economic downturn, cause you be toast.

 
Comment by tj
2010-09-30 23:02:51

there would be other banks to get loans from, if you were at your limit.

but the bottom line is that you want to over-leverage and put taxpayers at risk for it. that’s a recipe for disaster. and i don’t want to pay for other people’s mistakes, like i am now.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-09-30 23:33:05

Can’t go to other banks.

Other banks have no money because they are doing the same thing. They are following your advice:
we need bankers to worry about getting paid back on their loans.

Well, the only reason a lender would worry is if they don’t sell the loans they make, and retain loan risk.

Sure, they will make rock-solid loans from that moment forward. (My guess is no human will qualify for a loan and the bankers will just shut the doors and find another hobby.)

But as was pointed out, banks will become dry wells and useless to their communities in very short order.
——–

i don’t want to pay for other people’s mistakes, like i am now.

Was that rhetorical, or are you somehow paying (money) for other’s mistakes?

 
Comment by tj
2010-10-01 06:32:00

Can’t go to other banks.

Other banks have no money because they are doing the same thing.

of course there would be other banks to get loans from. the scenario you’re suggesting is impossible.

———

Well, the only reason a lender would worry is if they don’t sell the loans they make, and retain loan risk.

so they can be bad loans as long as someone else buys them? that’s the same huckster’s mentality that that brought us into this crisis.

——–

i don’t want to pay for other people’s mistakes, like i am now.

Was that rhetorical, or are you somehow paying (money) for other’s mistakes?

i’m paying taxes. a percentage of it is for the bailouts.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-10-01 11:23:06

..so they can be bad loans as long as someone else buys them?

As long as someone wants to buy them. There is a buyer for everything.
Odds are millions to one against you? More people like those odds than anything else.. it’s called the lottery.

As was said earlier, some investors desire higher risk. It affords the chance of higher returns in a short time.
Maybe you’re young, have plenty of years to recover if the bets don’t pay off.. so why not give it a shot.
But if you’re old, one must be careful because you’re no longer working, and it would be unwise to take too high a risk. Stick with AAA.. conservative risk and low payoff.

The only really “bad” loan is the one that is more risky than it’s claimed to be. No rating is perfect. It’s an art. But people must know what they are buying.

It’s no different than investing in diamonds or old coins or anything else that spans a range of quality. There’s something for everyone. But the quality rating must be reasonably accurate so the price paid is fair.

 
Comment by tj
2010-10-01 12:11:06

As long as someone wants to buy them.

sure, as long as someone wants to buy them. they just shouldn’t be guaranteed by the government. that’s a risk for the investors to take, not the taxpayers. i have no objection to high risk loans as long as government doesn’t force taxpayers to bail them out.

looks like we have our own chatroom. at least we won’t be boring anyone else to tears..

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-10-01 14:28:48

We have to ask why loans are being purchased and backed by the government.

Is it to allow banks to write bad loans without consequence? No.

Here’s what happened:
The madness of the housing bubble meant investors of ALL types, world wide, believed property prices would only rise.

If property only rises in value, there is no such thing as a bad loan. It doesn’t matter of the borrower is working or not. The home can be refinanced or sold at some higher price, and the investor will recover his money.. guaranteed.

Investors drove demand for anything the banks could write. Collar someone walking by, and give them a mortgage. We will buy it. We see nothing but profit.
“We” included very conservative institutional buyers.. everyone wanted in on the boom.
—-

Demand was so high that they ran short of mortgage securities to sell. That’s when some of the big investment banks started chopping existing securities into little pieces, and reassembling them into “new” securities.

They attempted to keep bond ratings accurate with complicated formulas.. a little of this, plus a little of that. But things became blurred and the math got away from them.

So, it was soon discovered that some of the little pieces included in certain AAA rated securities may have been total crap… toxic.. and the whole bond was therefore poisoned.

Investors stopped buying because the bond ratings were in question.
———

Since the steady influx of investor money (they buy mortgages from banks) stopped, that which allows banks to lend money continuously stopped.
Money dried up. Even businesses, which need loans all the time, were unable to borrow from their bank.

Money stopped flowing through the economy. Businesses and jobs when south.. chain reaction..

—-

Enter the govt. They took the place of the frightened investors, and purchased the banks’ mortgages .. hopefully, only temporarily..
Thus money started flowing through the economy again (Or so it should have, in theory).
——

Nothing about the situation was related to the quality of bankers’ lending. Like any good business, banks were simply providing whatever the public wanted to buy.

Rather, the problem was extreme fear of inaccurate ratings of the various mortgage backed securities floating around in the secondary markets.

That flow of investor money was the air-supply for the housing bubble. When the money stopped the bubble couldn’t grow further.

 
Comment by tj
2010-10-01 14:57:02

money doesn’t stop flowing through the economy when credit dries up. the money already in existence continues to flow. future money creation does get curtailed.

ignorance should pay a price, a punishment, in the market. but when there’s government insurance against ignorance, then there’s little price or punishment to pay. then ignorance continues its destruction unabated.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-10-01 17:38:03

..the money already in existence continues to flow.

Without credit/lending, that existing money will flow only until it enters a bank’s vault.. and there it stays.

hmm.. punished for ignorance. We’d all be covered with welts from the lash..

 
Comment by tj
2010-10-01 18:49:11

Without credit/lending, that existing money will flow only until it enters a bank’s vault.. and there it stays.

no, it most certainly would not.

tell me.. what do you think would happen to the dollars already in existence if the government suddenly, permanently closed all the USA stock exchanges monday morning? would the existing dollars (USA fiat paper currency):

1. increase
2. decrease
3. remain the same amount

hmm.. punished for ignorance. We’d all be covered with welts from the lash..

no lashing. some will become richer and some will become poorer. if you’re poorer because of ignorance, that’s the punishment.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-10-01 19:17:47

Stock exchanges closed permanently?

i dunno.. economic collapse.. Money or gold wouldn’t matter much since there’s nothing to purchase.

but.. what’s the point of considering that scenario?

Assuming banks won’t lend, how would dollars escape the vault?

 
Comment by tj
2010-10-01 19:31:50

but.. what’s the point of considering that scenario?

i’m trying to get you to think about dollars in existence. you said all the dollars would eventually wind up in bank vaults. now i’m trying to show you something about money.

i’m not trying to embarrass you. most people don’t know this. if you want me to show you, you have to choose one of the three answers. if you choose not to, it’s no problem either.

Assuming banks won’t lend, how would dollars escape the vault?

there’s no assumptions about what a bank would do in my question. i’m just asking you what you think would happen to the dollars in existence if all the stock exchanges were to be closed monday morning. nothing more.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-10-01 20:06:19

given that we have only one condition: Trading stopped.

I don’t see how that alone affects the money supply.

So.. i pick 3. remain the same amount

 
Comment by tj
2010-10-01 21:26:51

technically dollars in existence probably increases a slight amount. but that is for a different reason than than the stock market question i asked you.

you answered correctly. dollars in existence would remain the same. that’s because almost all transactions are is just a transfer of wealth, mostly using dollars. transactions don’t affect the giant pool of dollars in existence.

but then i don’t understand why you think that all dollars in existence would eventually end up in bank vaults without recurring bank loans. you’ve just shown that you understand that transactions happen without banks all the time. there’s no need for them to go into bank vaults at all.

and dollars don’t stay in vaults when they’re used to repay loans. they’re the lender’s dollars, not the debt’s dollars. they go back out the door again to cash checks, withdraw savings or maybe to be loaned out again. loan repayment wipes out debt, not dollars.

ok, maybe look at it in a different way..

it’s against the law to destroy dollars. but you’d think that the government wouldn’t mind dollars being destroyed because dollars represent government liability. a promise to pay. but the government doesn’t want you to destroy dollars because they represent the value of past labor. if dollars get destroyed, then the value, or more properly the ‘money’ that they represent is lost forever. and contrary to what most people believe they can’t just be printed and put into circulation. that would be counterfeiting even if they were printed by the US treasury.

new paper dollars have to be exchanged for something of value or they can’t go out the door. once they have value they’re supposed to retain it. dollars are supposed to be a store of value. they would quickly lose value if they were just thrown out the door into the street.

all this is just a round about way of saying that all the dollars wouldn’t end up in bank vaults. and repayment of debt doesn’t destroy dollars.

 
Comment by tj
2010-10-02 01:56:42

Joey, thank you for your answer. i wrote out a fairly lengthy reply. i’ve been waiting hours for it to show up. so far it hasn’t.

your answer was correct. but i’m not going to try to recreate my lost post. we’ll just have to leave it here. maybe it will show up. or maybe this post won’t even show up. i don’t know what the rules are here. maybe i’ve broken them.

at any rate, this is a short post so maybe it will get to you.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-10-02 12:37:26

it’s common for most people’s first posts of the morning to stall for an hour or so..

I’d prefer to avoid “fiat money” and what’s real and what’s not real, and “where” that money is or is not, and instead focus on the question of money flow without credit.

The conversation took a turn when you said “money doesn’t stop flowing through the economy when credit dries up.”

Business transactions are on credit. Cash transactions are virtually unknown. I find it difficult to imagine a functional economy where immediate payment is demanded by all.

It seems so obvious to me that credit is the life blood of the economy, I have a feeling we are not talking about the same thing.

 
Comment by tj
2010-10-02 15:59:04

banks help make trades more efficient. and that’s good, but not necessary.

banks loan money, which is both good and bad. that is, loans can be detrimental all on their own. most often, loans to buy wasting assets are detrimental to the borrower.

but even if there were no banks, people could still get loans. they’d find ‘angel’ investors. plus, other entities would pop up, just to make loans.

i’m not advocating eliminating banks, i’m just saying it would be possible to get by without them.

dollars would still flow, just not as efficiently without banks.

the long term problem if there were no banks would be than fiat currency would slowly enter a shortage because the population would grow and the dollars in existence would not. money, however, would not stop growing. keep in mind that money and currency aren’t the same thing.

 
Comment by joeyinCalif
2010-10-02 16:43:52

banks help make trades more efficient. Well, yeah.

You go to the store and expect to find milk.

The corner store repeatedly orders a delivery of milk, soup and hundreds of other things from maybe 5 different warehouses. A warehouse buys it’s inventory from hundreds of different manufacturers. The manufacturers buy their raw materials from scores of producers. All these transactions instantly pass through the various involved banks.

Additionally, whatever support infrastructure these businesses might need, from trucks to refrigerators to building additions to upgrading assembly lines is funded with loans from a bank.
—-
No money changes hands. It’s all just banking transactions that repeat themselves over and over, 24/7.

The banks make various fees for the many financial services they provide acting as a central transaction hub, as well as earning interest on the loans.

This mundane money-shuffling is not the kinda thing angels are interested in.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 17:39:24

One thing is for sure: Uncle Sam is giving the world a great real-time lesson in Soro’s Reflexivity concept. None of the rules of the game matter in the least if they can be spontaneously rewritten while the game is in play.

Comment by packman
2010-09-30 18:36:26

Hmmm - I thought it was “Soros’” (as in George Soros), and I thought the Reflexivity concept was that trends tend to be self-perpetuating (i.e. as the public becomes more aware of a trend, they want to participate, and cause it to continue - to a point anyway). How would that apply here?

Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 19:22:04

Yeah — I be spelling challenged today.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 19:30:29

Reflexivity (social theory)

Reflexivity refers to circular relationships between cause and effect. A reflexive relationship is bidirectional; with both the cause and the effect affecting one another in a situation that renders both functions causes and effects.

Cause #1 = financial crisis (say 1998)

Effect #1 = rules are bent to mitigate the aftereffects (e.g. LTCM gets bailed out)

Cause #2 = another much worse financial crisis, due to rational expectations for more rule bending to make “heads-we-win, tails-you’re-screwed” gambles pay off handsomely (aka moral hazard at its worst)

Effect #2 = too many “too-big-to-fail” firms gambled to be able to bail them all out; ergo Too Big Has Failed

etc etc etc until the end of time

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Comment by evildoc
2010-09-30 20:29:56

per DinOR…

—That was a sober question that warranted a serious answer, sorry you didn’t get one.

In… any event, tell what you’d care to share about this hobby turned biz! Sounds interesting. I’ll imagine after 12 hrs. of staring at x-rays, it’s ‘not’ medical-related? At least I ‘hope’ not!—-

Not XRays. Direct hospital patient care. Would go nuts starting at XR all day ;)

Nothing major on the hobby business. I collect certain old stuff. Managed to turn the buy/sell via a website I built into something that works. Happens. Have great expertise in this niche field. Big fish in tiny pond and all Probably earn well less playing with the vintage collectable sales than if just moonlighted yet more hours at work, but I like some variety in life.

Weird that folks who might earn $250k, even if they have $40 in the bank (yah, we can analyze “why”, later) are now “rich”. I always though “Rich” was rather defined by having enough in the bank to earn $100,000 per year in interest. At 8% that was $1,200,000 in the bank independent of other income. At 1% that is $10,000,000 in the bank. Yes, $10-mil just to be rich and have $100,000 income, per year. The war on savers indeed has rendered most mortals never to be rich, BTW- at Zero interest? Need infinite dollars in the bank to be rich. Go figure.

Even another claimed definition on HBB for “rich”- $100,000 income (not from savings interest) in 1960 or so, would be- I’m told- $600,000 income now. Even “Rich” has been dumbed down by the Administration to hurt more of us.

No worries though. While I have some savings (have not had full Evildoc salary all that long), I’m doing my good part to spank the economy. With my great income, I have a 7 year old paid-off Honda at 100k miles, rides like new. Not buying new car ever and not a newer car anytime soon. Stuff that in their “clunkers”. Rent is $900/month

If the gov’t thinks business owners with $200k income, however much or little saved, are “rich” and use that as tool of class warfare, I guess I’ll just have to live “poor” and hoard my evildoc dollares ;)

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2010-09-30 22:47:02

Yegads! How many times can a bubble go through the spin cycle before the washing machine breaks down?

* SEPTEMBER 30, 2010

Blue Chips Surge 10.4% Even as Small Investors Pull Back

By TOM LAURICELLA

Economic and political uncertainty dominated financial markets during the third quarter, fueling a continued exodus of small investors from U.S. stocks and a buying binge of bonds and gold.

Still, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied a solid 10.4%, gaining 1,014.03 points to 10788.05. While that was good news for stock investors, the rally served only to reverse losses suffered in the Dow during the second quarter. The Dow finished September 70 points shy of where it stood six months earlier and is up just 3.5% for the year. On its final day of the quarter. the Dow slipped 47.23 points, or 0.4%.

The ability of stocks to rally—even though small investors headed for the exits—came as a growing chorus of bulls noted that corporations are going in the opposite direction. They have been selling bonds at a furious pace and, with a record level of cash in their coffers, many analysts believe they will start ramping up purchases of their own stocks.

Of course, frustrated stock-market bulls have made this argument for the past year and companies have instead continued clinging to their cash. Now, many are now looking to the November U.S. elections to resolve uncertainties about tax policy and government regulation. That, they say, could be the catalyst for corporations to start putting that cash to work, if not through stock repurchases then through dividend increases, mergers and acquisitions, or increased capital spending.

“You’ve got things stacked in your favor right now with corporate balance sheets,” says Duncan Richardson, chief equity investment officer at Eaton Vance Corp

 
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