January 27, 2011

Bits Bucket for January 27, 2011

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-01-27 01:12:15

WSJ Blogs
Real Time Economics
Economic insight and analysis from The Wall Street Journal.

* Fed Statement Following January Meeting
* January 26, 2011, 2:49 PM ET
Parsing the Fed: How the Statement Changed
By Phil Izzo

The Fed’s statement following the January meeting was little changed from the previous month as a united group decided to leave previously announced policy unchanged. (Read the full December statement.)

January statement:

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December confirms that the economic recovery is continuing, though at a rate that has been insufficient to bring about a significant improvement in labor market conditions. Growth in household spending picked up late last year, but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Business spending on equipment and software is rising, while investment in nonresidential structures is still weak. Employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls. The housing sector continues to be depressed.

December statement:

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in November confirms that the economic recovery is continuing, though at a rate that has been insufficient to bring down unemployment. Household spending is increasing at a moderate pace, but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Business spending on equipment and software is rising, though less rapidly than earlier in the year, while investment in nonresidential structures continues to be weak. Employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls. The housing sector continues to be depressed.

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2011-01-27 06:17:50

Ben “ctrl + C, ctrl +V” Bernanke

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 07:57:48

:-)

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-01-27 06:37:11

And they continue to pretend that there can be a recovery while the middle class continues to get pummeled.

Of course in the past EZ Credit made it possible to have a jobless recovery, but J6P is maxed out,and those who still have good credit are few and know better than to go on a spending spree.

No jobs == no recovery. Keep on offshoring Corporate America. And don’t count on foreign sales to make up the slack, as you’ve been training your future competition by farming the work out to them. They are going to bury you.

Comment by measton
2011-01-27 09:28:41

in the past EZ Credit made it possible to have a jobless recovery,

No EZ Credit hid the decline, delayed the unemployment that resulted from outsourcing well just about everything. It padded the pockets of the CEO class.

Comment by In Colorado
2011-01-27 10:47:00

No EZ Credit hid the decline

I agree, as a “jobless recovery” is an oxymoron. Hiding the decine is precisely what it did.

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Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 15:55:12

GM sold more cars in China than in the US in 2010.

But yes, what most of the transnats don’t realize is that one day, China is going to take over their operations and there won’t be a damn thing they can do about it.

 
 
Comment by Doug in Boone, NC
2011-01-27 12:20:43

They could have saved a lot of money by simply doing a copy-and-paste.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-01-27 01:14:12

Mortgage help can turn into disaster

Thousands who got temporary help from an Obama program face huge bills for repayment.

By CHRIS SERRES, Star Tribune
Last update: January 26, 2011 - 7:10 AM

Many people who sought help under a federal program created to keep them from losing their homes are instead getting saddled with huge, unexpected bills.

Thousands now face a stark choice: Go deeper into debt, or foreclosure.

Lenders routinely approved short-term “trial” loan modifications that reduced payments for desperate borrowers under the umbrella of the Obama administration’s Home Affordable Modification Program. But lenders continued to count the mortgages as delinquent or in default.

Now instead of granting permanent modifications, lenders often are reinstating the original loan terms and demanding big back payments.

Through November nationwide, lenders canceled 729,109 trial modifications. No one knows how many Minnesotans have been affected, but housing counselors say it could reach into the thousands. Carl Christensen, a Minneapolis real estate attorney, said he is getting 15 telephone calls a week from shocked borrowers.

The banks put out their hand and say, ‘We’re going to help you,’ and then stab people right in the back,” Christensen said.

Comment by timmy
2011-01-27 02:30:59

“The banks put out their hand and say, ‘We’re going to help you,’ and then stab people right in the back,” Christensen said.

Oh… Boo Hoo Hoo. Listen, either pay your freaking mortgage payment… or send the keys to the bank… & rent the house across the street!!!

I’m sooooo tired of the constant whining of “victims” of “foreclosure crisis”

1) They are not “victims”.. just suckers who paid too much for their houses (& keeping prices high for everyone else!!)

2) This is not a “foreclosure crisis” (effect)… rather it is a “bad loan crisis”(cause). The politicians, media & other babbling talking-heads confuse cause & effect so much, it makes me want to puke!! Bad loans created the problem. Foreclosures are merely the result of bad loans.

Comment by oxide
2011-01-27 05:47:33

Which is what those FB’s would have done…if the bank hadn’t deceived the FB and then hit them with back fees. Yes, the eventual foreclosure is partly the FB’s fault, but the deception is NOT the FB’s fault.

Maybe the gov should turn HAMP into a program to softening the crash for the FB’s, instead of trying to keep people in their homes. But then, those bank execs would pull their campaign contributions…

Comment by Darrell_in_PHX
2011-01-27 05:55:37

HAMP is about delay and pray. Keep the suckers in the houses as long as possible, paying as much as possible, to spread out the foreclsoures and delay when the lenders have to book the losses in hopes they can make profits from some new bubble to cover the losses from the last bubble’s collapse.

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Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 05:56:10

That’s exactly it Oxy. Bankers and fraudsters continue their money grubbing operations. Nevertheless, if you’re not making your mortgage payment, get the !@#$ out, irrespective of who owns the house. Just get the #@$% out and get on with your lives.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-01-27 07:57:19

Just get the #@$% out and get on with your lives.

Which, in my perfunctory reading of his work, is what I believe University of Arizona Law Professor Brent White is telling people.

 
Comment by mikeinbend
2011-01-27 08:19:38

Actually, since my wife does not want to be responsible for damages, etc that occur while she is absent, we are staying put. We are frequently seeing “disaster response” trucks in the nabe fixing up water damage from frozen pipes on abandoned units.

So no, we won’t be getting out until after ownership transfers. We were ready to move shortly after auction, excited to move on, which was supposed to take place on Nov 18. But for some reason it has been rescheduled 5 times.

Upon advice of a city attorney, in the case of “owner occupied” mortgages, it’s best to wait till the bitter end. We are wishing for the bank to auction off the sucker while we keep it in decent shape and live for “free”.

We sunk 20% down and three years of payments into this home(160k) unlike some other 0 down “victims”; recouping some of this money by staying seems logical; and as Ncinerate stated yesterday, that’s the way the cookie crumbles in non-recourse states. The bank gets the house and that is it. And if it doesn’t want to take it back in a timely fashion; well we will be waiting them out here despite your kind suggestion that we leave.

Abandoned homes do not stay in good shape while the bank sits on its heels; we can at least make the nabe seem less like a ghost town; keep the house disaster free; and thus protect the bank’s asset. Really why leave when we can stay without paying until after the foreclosure. And like the lawyer said, “If we leave; no cash for keys to relocate our happy family” Sorry if you are peeved to shoulder that burden as a taxpayer. we are taxpayers too, just never made enough money to pay federal taxes. a diligent bank would have noticed my wifes yearly $6,000 take home and not loaned her 300k, and said sorry hun you cant afford this house.

They made the loan; we believed that we would be able to refinance as we were told by appraiser, mortgage broker, UHS; they were all in consensus; now is a great time to buy they lied. If they were so dishonest why spew at greedy yet gullible FB’s trying to make the best of an unfortunate investment decision. Yes we were stupid and made a bad decision; but the bank did not care about us continuing payments on our now worth 50% house. It sold loan to investers; packaged as golden when they knew it was crap-to eliminate their risk. So the loan makers had no vested interest in our continued payments on the loan; that was some other suckers problem. (Oregon PERS system is suing Countrywide for selling them junk disguised as AAA).

 
Comment by FB wants a do over
2011-01-27 09:20:26

get the !@#$ out, irrespective of who owns the house. Just get the #@$% out and get on with your lives.

Gently eluded???? ;-)

 
Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 09:36:35

Different group requires different handling. Have you not attended lately? ;)

 
Comment by Xenos
2011-01-27 10:11:22

MikeinBend: Why leave once ownership changes? At least wait until they ask you to leave. No need to drag it out in court, but so long as it is possible that the buyer out of the auction might want to negotiate a lease with you, wait and see.

In the meantime, get your more valuable stuff out. If they try to pull some illegal self-help at least you don’t have to worry about missing something important.

 
Comment by In Montana
2011-01-27 10:23:57

‘a diligent bank would have noticed my wifes yearly $6,000 take home’

Whut the hey…you bought a house on that? You had no income yourself?

 
Comment by FB wants a do over
2011-01-27 10:30:01

Years ago when I was in boot camp the company commander told a group of folks not to be #$%%ing late for the church services or they’ll have my balls. Someone laughed and the company commander asked what was so funny. Then everyone started laughing.

 
Comment by Ncinerate
2011-01-27 10:59:52

I’m not knocking you mikeinbend. It’s not your fault that the bank is taking their sweet time taking the house back. Under the “right” situations (the home debtor actually taking care of the house) I could see this even being beneficial to the bank. Unfortunately, so few people squatting in their homes are caring for said home. They just let it fall to pieces around them - and justify it because they got a raw deal and shouldn’t have to worry about it.

I’ve looked at a -lot- of homes lately, and I can’t say I’ve seen many of the mythical well-cared-for foreclosures. The home I ended up buying was bought/remodeled by some genius at the tail end of the bubble (when prices went down the first 20-30%). He or she snatched it up as a fixer upper for considerably under the current market price (still more than DOUBLE what I just paid for it) and spent a -lot- of money making it beautiful inside and out. I guess he called the bottom and didn’t realize that home would eventually sell for 1/4th of it’s bubble price. After all that work, they never even occupied the home. They walked away from it as the market collapsed around them.

So, I got lucky. It’s held up well in it’s vacancy and there is no way I could buy an equivalent home and make it similarly nice for anywhere near the price I paid. Almost every home I’ve looked at that met my pricing requirements needed 10k+ just to make it liveable, and considerably more before I could really be proud of it.

Anyway, I digress. Live in the home as long as you can, save what money you can. You may as well get the maximum benefit you can out of a bad situation. Use the extra cash from free-housing to pay off other debt, put yourself in the best possible situation you can for a future with damaged credit. You’re on the hook for liability on that home until they’ve -legally- taken away the keys. May as well utilize it. You’re not the one who screwed up the ownership chain with such horrifically flawed lending and packaging.

I’ve got a friend that’s into his second year without making a home payment. He’s actively fighting things. As far as he’s concerned the handful of hours he’s spending legally fighting the foreclosure and binding up the process is worth it for the benefit (he lives in a nice home on a golf course, equivalent rent is close to 2k/month, his mortgage is even higher). He’s banked -every- single payment into a savings account - this is a guy who CAN afford to pay his mortgage. He wasn’t even the one who got this started. He called to discuss options and the bank told him he needed to be 3+ months delinquent before they could help him. He called back in 3 months and they (GMAC) said they needed to pass the loan back to the main holder to do a modification (they were just servicing the loan), but the loan needed to be current to do so. He explained he wasn’t going to do that, so they went ahead and made the loan current for him and kicked the whole thing back over to someone else (can’t remember who off-hand, fannie mae maybe?). Anyway, he called them to ask about some sort of adjustment and they said “we can’t do anything until you’re 3 months delinquent”. Fast forward a -long- time, and he’s still sitting in the house. It’s a home that wound up being mixed up through MERS and the whole ownership chain is all kinds of screwy. His law experience is letting him keep throwing up new obstacles and so far so good. He even rented a room to a friend of his and has been raking in -that- income as well.

In the end, his credit will be just as screwed either way. He may as well live there until that day of reckoning comes. Mailing in the keys is a poor financial decision under these sorts of circumstances. Eventually they’ll get their ducks in a row and forge enough documentation to legally remove you - why make it easy on them?

Hell, maybe homedebtors making some waves on this will help bring -proper- legal lending standards to the forefront.

 
Comment by varelse
2011-01-27 13:25:30

“mikeinbend” I get your reasoning for staying in the house. In fact I was totally getting where you were coming from until this line right here:

” a diligent bank would have noticed my wifes yearly $6,000 take home and not loaned her 300k, and said sorry hun you cant afford this house.”

Either there is another factor here that you are not telling us about that made her salary irrelevant(like a much larger salary on your part), or you were just as negligent as the bank for not realizing that a $6,000 salary is not enough to afford a $300,000 home.

At the end of the day you are the one making the purchase. The bank does have a responsibility to make sure the loan fits the circumstances but you hold ultimate responsibility for doing your own number crunching and deciding if you can handle the loan in your situation.

 
Comment by cdoc
2011-01-27 13:30:57

I say live there as long as you can for free. It isn’t like the bank is going to do anything quicker if you leave.

Once the bank finally forecloses the house will end up being auctioned at their fantasy price. Of course the only buyer at that price will be the bank. (If they sell it for less than the outstanding loan balance they would have to book the loss then). So it will become REO for the bank and it will just sit there because the don’t want to “flood the market” and lower Real Estate prices. So the home will sit empty deteriorating (like the rest of the shadow inventory) while the bank keeps it on their books at their fantasy price. All the banks want to do is to keep complaining about not being able to foreclose on houses and hope that people don’t look too close at what they do once the house is actually foreclosed on.

 
Comment by mikeinbend
2011-01-27 14:12:46

My credit is not tied to this home. Oregon is not community property state, so my credit will not be trashed by wife’s foreclosure; nor can the bank look to my assets to satisfy my wife’s debt. May be different in AZ.

We had considerable assets is how wife got the loan, and why we thought we could afford this house. Bought first home in 95 when I had a good job, and it appreciated up to 900k from 275k. We sold! Then we wheeled and dealed playing landlords on free and clear property, living in one/renting the other/ selling them once they appreciated; while raising our kids as stay home parents. No money worries for 10 plus years so no complaints-not too many kids get two stay home parents.

Got caught with our pants down with this last one. You mean they can DEpreciate too?? NO WAY!

Now our assets are mostly since liquidated due to medical expense/and loss on another property that we sold in 2009. And I work as a partially disabled (3 cervical surgeries-one not covered by insurance-they refused it after pre-approving it?? that one cost us $50k and I ended up needing another fusion anyway) sub teacher/tutor making 12k per year. Got my teaching license after hurting my back as vegetable brokering and surfing was too physical for my body.

Only reason I am not on wife’s title or loan is kismet- that her fico was higher so I was not used by the mortgage broker on the no-doc loan. I did, last year, take our remaining liquid assets and bought, in my name, a nice home from a builder on a short sale for $118k. That is our ace in the hole-and where we may go when evicted from new owner, which will be the bank. But its rented out whilst we wait for the bank.

But since wife owes 300k but house is “worth” 200k, 100k over what the minimum bid will be at the courthouse this means the bank will end up owning it/we will stay till they ask us to leave-sorry exeter. Then we will f’n get on with our lives. We’ll see if they postpone the Feb auction date again.

 
Comment by Ncinerate
2011-01-27 16:06:53

Mikenbend said: “My credit is not tied to this home. Oregon is not community property state, so my credit will not be trashed by wife’s foreclosure; nor can the bank look to my assets to satisfy my wife’s debt. May be different in AZ.”

Yeah, Arizona is the same way. No recourse, no connection between wife and husband’s credit, bank cannot come after your assets to pay off a delinquent or deficient home loan. Similar story on car loans (tons of people would come in with a history of repossession on the wife or husband, and buy a vehicle at the lowest possible rates thanks to their spouse’s perfect credit).

Things change when you’re talking about second and third leinholders or home equity loans, but that’s a whole different ball of wax.

Anyway, I’m with ya mike, stay in the house until your name isn’t on it. Use the time and saved money wisely to put yourself in the best possible situation coming out of it. As the saying goes, when life gives you lemons…..

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2011-01-27 20:37:45

“Yeah, Arizona is the same way. No recourse, no connection between wife and husband’s credit, bank cannot come after your assets to pay off a delinquent or deficient home loan.”

Ncinerate, you are mixing issues here. Arizona is a community-property state.

That means that debts taken out during the marriage are JOINT debts.

It may not be showing on your credit-report now due to the way the bank is reporting it (your wife’s SSN only), but legally you are fully liable for the joint debt.

Because it is a non-recourse state and a purchase-money loan, the bank cannot come after you for a deficiency.

But they certainly could put it on your credit-report if you defaulted and they felt so inclined.

 
Comment by Ncinerate
2011-01-28 12:23:12

No prime, I am not confused.

Even in a community property state, an individual debt such as a home loan is still an individual debt. While it becomes my obligation to pay it as part of the married couple, it cannot end up on my credit report in the result of a foreclosure. My credit is not liable or affected because I am not an obligor of said note. The bank wouldn’t even have the necessary information (my SS# for example) to place this upon my credit in the first place. Finally, because there is no recourse there cannot be a legal judgement placed upon my wife for any deficiency (should such a foreclosure happen).

As long as nobody does anything stupid (like signing up for a recourse second mortgage or equity line of credit), a homedebtor in AZ can walk away scott free with a bad spot on their credit report, and their spouse who was never on the home loan documents would have no blemish to show for it.

The same thing happens for cars. Repossessions do not get carried onto a spouse’s credit unless they were placed on the loan at the beginning.

even in community property states an individual debt is still an individual debt - you would not be liable since you are not an obligor of the note.

 
 
Comment by combotechie
2011-01-27 06:03:34

“… if the bank hadn’t deceived the FB and then hit them with back fees.”

Here we go again. Did the FB even bother to read and understand the terms of the loan modification? Is he the same FB that never bothered to read the terms of the original loan application?

At what point does the FB begin to take responsibility for his own actions?

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Comment by Mags57
2011-01-27 07:42:42

+1, the fraud/bank con job scenario, as opposed to the fault of the borrower, seems pretty lame given its the ‘2nd (or 3rd or 4th) time, especially when whatever possible previous ‘fraud’ by the evil bank should have raised everyone’s hackles (and maybe, just maybe prompted the FBs to actually read the docs THEY SIGNED in twenty places this time around).

Agree w/ Ex - their not paying anything, get the f#$% out already.

 
Comment by Bad Andy
2011-01-27 09:27:12

From someone who’s been there, the bank tells you to ignore the giant balloon payment on the back end and make your “trial” payments for consideration of a permanent modification. Is it the home loaners fault? Yes. Is the bank at fault? Yes.

Plenty of blame to go around, but don’t let the banks off the hook for lying like the animals they are.

 
Comment by FB wants a do over
2011-01-27 09:28:14

Is he the same FB that never bothered to read the terms of the original loan application? At what point does the FB begin to take responsibility for his own actions?

It’d be interestering to read in the terms of the original loan application where it says the governement would bail out the banks if enough FBs couldn’t make the payments, however, the FBs are on thier own.

So much for trickle down economics.

 
Comment by Bad Andy
2011-01-27 10:43:38

You’re not factoring in a good percentage of buyers who put 20% down, who read their loan documents, and who had circumstances outside of their control change. Certainly you can just hand the keys over, but when the bank says they’d rather work with you, wouldn’t you want to give it a try?

 
Comment by varelse
2011-01-27 13:32:06

“Plenty of blame to go around, but don’t let the banks off the hook for lying like the animals they are.”

Refusing to let the FB’s off the hook is not the same thing as letting the banks off the hook. Too many people seem to think you can only approach it from one direction or the other, and when you hold one side accountable for anything you are letting the other side off the hook for everything. It’s not so.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-01-27 14:34:39

Refusing to let the FB’s off the hook is not the same thing as letting the banks off the hook.

I know but there are 2 issues here which illustrate the gross unfairness in the big picture and the reason why Banks should be greatly vilified now while FB’s not.

1. I’d put FB’s (most but not all) blame for the housing bubble at about 15% and Banks/Gov/Wallstreet blame at 85%.

But here’s the problem.

2. FB’s have been held accountable for maybe 90% of their 15% share of the blame. (90% because some received free “rent” and some mods)

However Banks and WS have been held accountable for only maybe 5% of their 85% share of the blame.

I would be interested to see other opinion percentage numbers plugged into #1 and #2 above.

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-01-27 15:00:11

FBers are getting “free” houses” right now. As badly screwed up as the banks have screwed up the paperwork, they might even be able to live there for several years.

The problem is, eventually, the “ownership” problem will be figured out. At which time, foreclosures can and will proceed. The banks OWN the FBers, but the FBers don’t know it yet.

And does anybody really think the banks aren’t eventually going to get around to hunting down those people that couldn’t pay, but chose not to? Or sell off all their bum loans to collection agencies? If the statute of limitations on collecting debt is 5 years, does anyone think that the banks won’t lobby their lapdogs to change it to ten or twenty years?

It took ten years to make this big steaming pile, it will easily take ten years to get it straightened out. “Paybacks are a bi#ch” will become the new National Slogan.

I don’t care if they get to live in a house for “free” for five years; better them than me.

 
Comment by Ncinerate
2011-01-27 16:18:24

Just to respond to you a bit xgsfixr - I’d say you’re 100% correct in the instances where a bank has recourse.

Those home equity loans, states that have recourse-mortgages, etc etc etc. The bank isn’t going to forgive and forget :).

But in a state with no recourse as part of the loan you signed in the first place, what can they do?

It is what it is, they finally figure out who owns the home, get a -proper- legal case to evict, and the homedebtor goes on his merry way with a blemish on their credit.

No muss, no fuss, the homedebtor lives in the home for a long time rent and mortgage free with no negative repercussions.

I’m not saying I’m jealous, and I certainly never want to be the guy squatting in my home hoping the bank doesn’t get their act together -this- month. Still, I don’t hold it against someone to make the most of a bad situation. Eventually the whole mess gets sorted and everyone moves on with their lives.

 
 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2011-01-27 06:28:28

After two times through the ringer, I wonder how many will go back for a third spin? And how many will finally walk? By now you’d think they’re on to the whole thing.

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Comment by combotechie
2011-01-27 06:33:56

There you go, trying to be logical in an illogical world.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 08:04:33

illogical world ;-)

So, your position is that distributional greed is illogical genetically?

(Hwy sneaks in a plug for: “The Logic of Life” by François Jacob)

 
 
 
Comment by Darrell_in_PHX
2011-01-27 05:53:21

“rather it is a ‘bad loan crisis’”

It is a structural dead end. For 40 years we have been pretending that trade deficits do not matter. We compensated for offshoring, loss of industrial base, wages not keeping up with inflation with ever increasing debt, issued with ever lower interest rates and ever lower lending standards.

We hit a financial soft-spot? No problem. Lower interest rates and loosen lending standards.

Works until you reach max debt saturation. Works until people can’t make principal payments even at near 0 interest rates, until rates can’t be lowered further, until lending standards are so lose that fraud is the norm instead of the exception.

Now the Fed is printing money and forcing it into the economy, but it can’t control where that money goes. It can’t force companies to hire overpriced domestic labor. It can’t force people to resume loaning money to people that clearly can’t pay it back.

Bernanke says they are trying to raise stock prices. To what end? Another bubble that will pop. To give private equatiy a way to dump the garbage they were buying in 2007 back into the market at fake prices so that they can actually repay their debts? To make the rich even richer, the “too big to fail” even bigger?

Do they hope that private equity will flow into start-ups that hope to go IPO? Another tech boom that creates a lot of short term jobs as people race to take junk companies public before the bubble pops erasing all the job gains and leaving retail investors with now savings?

Or is the goal to cause inflation, wiping out the purchasing power of savings in exchage for more exports and fewer imports? With wages in China still about 1/10th that of the USA, can we really devalue the currency to the point that jobs will come back?

Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-01-27 10:14:19

Darrell in PHX…..You have just summed up exactly what has happen and just how crazy the long /short term plans won’t work
in terms of healing the USA .It all goes back to the Power Brokers
refusal do what’s right for the entire BEEHIVE to make it function
again ,as it did in the past . I am wondering if sanity tests can be given because it’s all about creating fake prices .

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Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-01-27 20:36:51

“It can’t force companies to hire overpriced domestic labor.”

Wow! Are all of us overpriced? Or just the CEOs. ;)

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Comment by CA renter
2011-01-28 05:25:16

We’re just overpriced compared to the wage slaves in Third World countries who can/will work for a tiny fraction of what we do. They don’t mind living in mud huts and surviving on a bowl of rice per day.

The CEOs, on the other hand, are worth every penny, as they have all that “talent” that needs to be retained! ;)

 
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-01-27 06:41:05

Oh… Boo Hoo Hoo. Listen, either pay your freaking mortgage payment… or send the keys to the bank… & rent the house across the street!!!

That’s fine. I don’t think anyone on this board believed for moment that HAMP would truly help anyone.

But on the other hand, the banks and the government should never have participated in this charade, giving people false hope.

Comment by jeff saturday
2011-01-27 07:27:57

“But on the other hand, the banks and the government should never have participated in this charade, giving people false hope.”

Here is an attorney from my last hood that didn`t receive ” false hope”. Although perfectly able to pay the mortgage on the house he purchased 09/14/2006 $310,000 he was advised by another lawyer to stop making payments and seek a loan modification. Well..

Type: MOD
Date/Time: 2/11/2010 08:49:28
CFN: 20100054505
Book Type: O
Book/Page: 23689/1112
Pages: 8
Consideration: $19,829.33
Party 1: CHASE HOME FINANCE LLC
Party 2: CUPP SCOTT
Legal: JUPITER LNDG L31 L

HOME AFFORDABLE MODIFICATION AGREEMENT

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Comment by In Colorado
2011-01-27 10:48:49

So a few won the lottery. I actually know more than a few people who had their incomes downsized who were told to go pound sand.

 
 
Comment by Stpn2me
2011-01-27 08:12:36

But on the other hand, the banks and the government should never have participated in this charade, giving people false hope.

The only “false hope” these people got was thinking the govt was going to let them pay a monthly mortagage that fit a $200k home when their actual mortagage is $500k. It’s so simple. Most of the whining comes from not making these mortagage workouts permanant. But it cant be permanant. When you bought your house, did you pay $200k? NO, you paid 500k, so you need a 500k payment.

Simple to me..

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Comment by polly
2011-01-27 10:26:13

The banks did the temporary mods because it was good publicity, but it sounds as if they continued to book the revenue as if the old amount was being charged and received - acrual accounting does that. If they were to make the change permanent, they would have to write off the entire amount that they did not receive during the temporary modification because making it permanent means they don’t have the right to collect the differnece.

The hit directly to profits comes at the time the mod becomes permanent even though the stopped receiving the money at the time the temporary mod went into place.

And people are surprised that they don’t want to make the mod permanent because?

 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2011-01-27 13:23:10

“The banks did the temporary mods because it was good publicity, but it sounds as if they continued to book the revenue as if the old amount was being charged and received - acrual accounting does that. If they were to make the change permanent, they would have to write off the entire amount that they did not receive during the temporary modification because making it permanent means they don’t have the right to collect the differnece.”

I f***ing hate bankers!

 
 
Comment by Jim A.
2011-01-27 08:38:59

Anyone? It HAS helped a few. But of course “a few” is all that it could possibly have helped, even if it had been perfectly conceived and managed. The stupid is the idea that it would help enough people to have a noticeable effect on the RE market and RE prices. Most people either “don’t need help” or “can’t be helped.”

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 06:46:18

“Bad loans created the problem.”

What created the bad loans, timmy-pus? (-pus is my new name-suffix for all those espousing kochtopus talking points.)

Comment by Mags57
2011-01-27 07:56:22

Greedy banks and greedy borrowers. If you really think about it, who is worse? What is the harm to an individual in a bank lending them money that they might not be able to pay back? You lose whatever you purchased with THE BANK’S money - but for this bailout BS, which passes the cost onto all of us, we’d all be laughing from the sidelines as the banks and borrowers faced the inevitable. Millions of regular J6P’s made tons of money using the banks money from 2000-2006. Yes, easy credit creates bubbles and distorts the market, but there’s nothing wrong with that so long as the second part of the cycle is allowed to proceed. Also makes me wonder why the gov’t will buy banks, GM, Freddie, etc., but won’t institute standardized lending standards - you want access to Fed money or guarantees from Fannie, you will loan money/provide mortgages in X manner based on Y criteria (like they do for reserve levels).

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 10:10:17

“Greedy banks and greedy borrowers. If you really think about it, who is worse? ”

Greedy banks and greedy borrowers are what makes capitalism work. However, banks that have chosen to be part of the FDIC banking system have agreed to far higher standards of behavior concerning their financial activities than have greedy borrowers. This agreement allows them to be part of a highly profitable enterprise, but they are likewise held to be far more accountable for their behavior than the average greedy borrower.

Therefore the moral relativism of some which tries to equate the actions of a lying, greedy FB, with the actions of a lying, greedy banker, is simply wrong. The latter is held to a far higher standard, for obvious, and voluntarily agreed upon, reasons.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 10:21:22

whatever you purchased with THE BANK’S money
like they do for reserve levels :-)

Hey, I’ll give you $2.00 USD for every “special” $1.00 USD that I’m allowed to convert into $9.00 USD…then at a “certain point in time”, say to everyone: “I seem to have a loss in my reserves…”See ya!”"

Where’s the punishment? ;-/

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-01-27 10:57:26

Agree Alpha-Sloth …The Banker has 2 people to answer to ,the
borrower and the loan investor . You can’t just take the deposits of the Nation and mis-rate securities and breach duty to underwrite loans just so you can make a middle man fee . The Bank is screwing 2 entities when it makes a bad loan or the
Bank breaches their duty to prevent fraud . The party that puts up funds for the loan or the depositor in the bank and the
borrower who ends up losing when fake prices crash . The
party that has the power to screw two parties has a higher
standard .

To even suggest that it the responsibility of determining their credit limits goes to the borrower is absurd . Why do you have to fill out loan applications if not for the fact that you have to qualify ? Lenders just make nice fake loan packages and Borrowers going along with it isn’t the idea and in the end faking out the loan investors ,that might be a pension plan ,,,no that’s not the idea of lending ,that’s a fraud market .

The borrowers will lose the house on a bad loan .and the investor will lose money on the bad loan ,but does the middle man who made the stupid loan get the pain …..no not if they transferred the fraudulent or bad loan to someone
else .

We can not have a system by which the Middle Men Lenders and any other Middle Men along the way think they can create a fraud market and pass the liability to the final bag-holder after they breached their duty to begin with in the original underwriting . Mozillo had a 80% foreclosure rate and the agents he was dealing with were all a bunch of fraudulent
middle men lenders who raised prices off the charts in many areas artificially by their fraud . Its up to Lenders to prevent cash back fraud also along with appraisers . There was nothing justifying these increase in prices but PR BS .

To throw all appraisal principals and lending underwriting to the wayside is what the industry did . The mania induced borrowers will lose also ,but the lenders are the responsible
party to prevent fraud from a borrower and determine what the borrower can afford and rate the risk proper for the secondary market . The Borrowers were just pawns in the
Ponzi-scheme market ,not to say that their greed or fear of being priced out of the market didn’t motivate them . Believe me a lot of borrowers have lost a lot because they didn’t protect themselves against liar loan agents and liar real estate agents that didn’t have their best interest at heart .

 
 
Comment by oxide
2011-01-27 10:50:30

So what created the bad loans? Securitization, with a lobbyist-bought monopoly-forced government gurantee at the end of it. Otherwise, no bank would have lent the money in the first place. The would BE no B’s, much less FB’s. “It’s amazing how responsible bankers can be if they have to sit on their own loans rather than sell them up the food chain in a month.” Why is this so difficult to understand?

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Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-01-27 11:08:38

Do you as taxpayers like the fact that you get to purchase these junk loans that were fraudulent . You get to pay for the middle man allowing a bad loan and fraudulently passing it to a fund
that was conned . The middle man gets to keep the ill-gotten gain of the commission ,the borrower loses the house and their credit rating ,so who is the victim …..you or maybe the loan investor is the victim .

The borrowers would never of gotten the money to begin with
had it not been for the massive fraud in the ratings on junk loan paper . You can blame the Big Boys on Wall Street for
wanting to make money on this Ponzi scheme because they were the market makers by fraudulent credit ratings baked by fraudulent loans and appraisals .

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-01-27 11:46:50

Also ,how can the lenders go after the borrowers for fraud when
a good percentage of the time the originating loan agent helped that borrower commit perjury on the loan application ,or the borrower didn’t know how much fraud ended up on those loan applications . The originating loan agents were a bunch of fraudulent jackasses who were making big commissions by talking a borrower into leverage on a toxic loan and they promised them they could refinance . Selling leverage was the name of the game at the time ,it sounded good at the time so people believed it .

Hit the mark appraisals is a violation of long held appraisal principals . The fact that good appraisers were blackballed out of the industry and the remaining appraisers wouldn’t get work unless they went along with the Ponzi-scheme was another fraudulent aspect of the check and balance system being bought off .

If a borrower had the belief that at least the appraisal was correct ,why wouldn’t they think they could always sell at least at their purchase price / So in that way the borrowers were the victim of massive appraisal fraud in part the result of loan fraud . If a borrower knew that they were competing
with 10 buyers who didn’t really qualify than would they of made that offer ….not likely . So, the borrowers were victims of a fraudulent market . When borrowers see a appraiser signing off on a appraisal they believe that the value as been confirmed .

For people who have just joined this blog go back and see the kind of stuff that was going on in the height of the fraud market on back posts . Underwriters that wouldn’t conform to the fraudulent underwriting were also blackballed or
pressured to approve junk . There was one case in which a underwriter was threatened with a baseball bat by a loan salesman if they didn’t approve the loan . Real estate agents were also threatening appraisers that if they didn’t hit the mark they would never get any more appraisals . Real Estate brokers were approving deals they knew to be fraudulent and Escrow agents were not reporting cash back fraud and checks going to third parties coping out to a plead that they are neutral agents . Well when you have double escrow instructions and the lender gets one and you close on other instructions ,maybe you are part of the fraud . Double escrowing was rampant ,in large part done by the real estate people which raised prices unfairly . I could go o and on to the degree that the so-called professional aided the fraudulent loan market ,that the Big Boys at the Top passed to the loan investors by mis-ratings off AAA for fraudulent junk .

In this way ,the borrowers were duped into thinking the values were solid and at worse they could sell the house and
they weren’t really taking on risk ,they were using leverage .

So everyone was conned and the biggest Con Artist of them all got balled out by trillions . To add insult to injury ,they kept most of these criminals in place and the opportunist
borrowers are just riding the tide of” where is my cheese “.

In the end ,its the responsibility of the Lenders not to have a fraudulent market with no check and balances and Ponzi-schemes from the Wall Street Boys is the real culprit along with government closing their eyes to it expecting Wall Street criminals to regulate themselves . Make no mistake ,
every industry was contorted ,corrupted ,and became fraudulent to allow for this fraud market that reeks such damage ,as crime always does .

 
 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2011-01-27 16:16:14

“pus is my new name-suffix for all those espousing kochtopus talking points”

What name-suffix do you have for Soros worshipers like yourself?

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 16:30:14

-the Great

 
Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 18:30:12

I can see George Soros on TV in my house! I’m a billionare!

 
 
 
Comment by cobaltblue
2011-01-27 07:18:21

The “crisis” occured when housing prices went into a bubble and became unsustainable.

The falling prices, bankruptcies and foreclosures occurring now are the solution to the crisis.

Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 07:47:12

And just what it that put housing prices in the stratosphere????????

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Comment by CA renter
2011-01-28 05:29:54

Absolutely correct, cobaltblue!

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Comment by indioadjacent
2011-01-27 07:43:52

When I see your posts Timmy I think maybe this is our Timmy Geithner making these comments and I find this somewhat humorous.

 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-01-27 04:35:03

Obviously the banks suckled the incentives from the FedGov to do the trial mods and the party is over.

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2011-01-27 06:21:55

Apparently this is one of the more poorly run components of the grand “pretend and extend” campaign.

Almost sounds as if the lenders knew all along that they couldn’t really modify anything, they just told Uncle Sugar they could.

Comment by combotechie
2011-01-27 06:29:20

Poorly run? I think it worked quite well; It extended much-needed hope to the FBs so they would stay and pay rather than walk out the door and mail in the keys.

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Comment by In Colorado
2011-01-27 06:42:53

But they wil mail the keys in anyway, and now the house is worth even less, so the lender’s unrealized loss is even bigger.

It merely delayed the inevitable and possibly made the problem even worse.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 06:54:53

“Poorly run? I think it worked quite well”

I agree. A few more actions like these and the banks will lose whatever’s left of their defenders- at least those that aren’t paid to defend them. Right, combo-pus?

 
Comment by combotechie
2011-01-27 07:09:43

I am not a defender of banks, I’m just pointing out what they are about. Same with the FBs; I am pointing out what they are all about as well.

There is a S/M relationship going on between the banks and the FBs, in case anyone hasn’t noticed. Each seeks out and is need of the other. One readily dishes out pain, the other readily receives it.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 07:27:37

“I am not a defender of banks, I’m just pointing out what they are about. Same with the FBs; ”

On the contrary, you regularly defend the banks’ actions, and just as regularly attack the FBs. That’s about as ‘fair and balanced’ as a certain news channel, that also pumps out kochtoganda.

“There is a S/M relationship going on between the banks and the FBs,”

Kochtoganda is getting strangerer and strangerer. Now it’s a consensual act of naughtiness? You could almost imagine banksters saying to each other, ‘ya know, I think they like it when we beat the last dollar from them’. I guess it helps the few that aren’t psychopaths to sleep at night.

 
Comment by combotechie
2011-01-27 07:37:06

These FBs willing and repeatidly go back to the same banks that screwed them once before. Or twice before. Or maybe more times than that. Is that correct?

If your answer is “yes” then you must conclude the FBs are getting some sort of payoff, some sort of reward for repeatidly getting screwed.

 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2011-01-27 08:33:46

Nah, he’s not defending the banks, he’s only trying to sort this out, make sense of it all - the same as everyone else.

To find the biggest and most consistent defenders of the banks I suggest starting on Capitol Hill and taking a stroll down to Pennsylvania Ave.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 09:38:21

“These FBs willing and repeatidly go back to the same banks that screwed them once before.”

The FBs were guilty of believing getting into a modification plan wouldn’t be a futile and pointless, even counterproductive, action. They were guilty of believing the banks were actually honest businesses, which for several generations after FDR they were.

The FBs entering into loan modifications were trying to do the right thing, but were guilty of not realizing that the banking system had turned into a corrupt racket.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-01-27 11:59:09

I go back to the original crime of the market that made the bad loan to begin with . All that follows is just desperate people doing desperate things ,or borrowers trying to be opportunistic
in getting free rents or getting a house for free . They saw
Bankers bailed out so the moral hazard translates to the
borrowers . ‘When am I going to get something for nothing ” says the borrowers . Borrowers justify this because they feel
conned . The ones that cashed out their equity and already spent it ,verses people who just had the market value crash ,are
playing the system . A low down buyer who had the market crash on them isn’t losing much except a a ding on the credit for a while and often times they stay in the house rent free for a while so they win actually ,even if they have to move eventually .

THe aftermath of a fraudulent lending and appraisal market is not a pretty thing . Crime is always ugly in its aftermath .especially when the crimes damage is transferred to the innocent and the culprits get away with the heist .

 
Comment by varelse
2011-01-27 13:50:41

You know, back when the bubble was still inflating, people on this blog seemed to understand that the FB’s were being idiots, and at the end of the day they were going to get what they had coming to them because of the financial decisions they made. People here also understood the role the banks played in all of this.

The posters on this blog are pretty smart…..certainly smarter than the people who inhabit most other similar forums. Why then have so many of you gotten to the point where you can no longer see the role the buyers paid in all this? Some folks are so passionate about blaming the banks that they are blind to all other factors. Yes, the banks screwed people over, and yes people screwed themselves over by buying the houses in the first place. I don’t care how slick the lenders were, people allowed themselves to be concinved that their $30,000 salary could sustain the mortgage on a $500,000 house.

You don’t have to absolve one side in order to hold the other side accountable.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2011-01-27 16:25:18

“kochtoganda”

Nice to see sombody taking those Soros talking points and running with them. Nice Job!

 
Comment by Mags57
2011-01-27 16:43:49

+1000

“You know, back when the bubble was still inflating, people on this blog seemed to understand that the FB’s were being idiots, and at the end of the day they were going to get what they had coming to them because of the financial decisions they made. People here also understood the role the banks played in all of this.”

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 17:19:10

“Nice to see sombody taking those Soros talking points and running with them.”

I actually invented ‘kochtoganda’ myself. Not bad, eh? Maybe Soros will hire me now? (Low six figures, please. I’m a ‘wordsmith’)

‘Kochtopus’, of course, was coined by someone else- a leading libertarian:

Lew Rockwell dotcom
“The “Kochtopus” is a derogatory name coined by the late Samuel Edward Konkin, III, an anarcho-libertarian, for the group of libertarian organizations funded by billionaire Charles Koch. (Konkin, a gifted wordsmith, also is responsible for the term “minarchism” for the libertarian view that accepts a minimal state.) Murray Rothbard often used this term when referring to organizations within the Koch ambit, with the Cato Institute foremost among them. To say the least, Rothbard’s enthusiasm for Cato was not unbounded; and employees of the Kochtopus often treat Rothbard with hostility and contempt. Further, the Kochtopus has displayed unremitting hostility toward the organization with which Rothbard was associated from 1982 until his death in 1995, the Ludwig von Mises Institute.”

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 17:33:13

(Konkin, a gifted wordsmith, also is responsible for the term “minarchism” for the libertarian view that accepts a minimal state.) ;-/

Is there not a “TrueConsistency™” in all “TrueBelievers™”?

(Hwy ponders the libertarian view that accepts adopts a minimal state in sexual expression…)

Youtube music plays: “Behind closed libertarian doors…”

 
 
 
 
Comment by Jerry
2011-01-27 15:41:30

Is this anything new? Thank God the Attorney State General of Oregon is going after Countrywide, now the Bank of America, for fraud for 14 million plus. A year ago they tried to “buy off” Oregon for $500,000 chicken feed or the bonus of one/two exec’s pay for the year. Private federal reserve that always protect their young will print up ” new dollars” to settle this and nothing will change Except make all those dollars in the pockets of working class/poor serfs less value! What a ponize scam going on with the SEC, watch dogs sleeping and dare not touch the DC Gang or Wall St. crooks!

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-01-27 16:38:36

Iowa’s AG, Tom Miller, just caved. (He was the one who was saying that he and his fellow AGs were going to put people in jail.)

Miller’s cave-in notwithstanding, there are 50 state AGs in the U.S. And, given the right set of circumstances, some of them can get pretty cranky.

So, IMHO, the state AGs are still in this big bank hunting game.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 15:56:17

Like I said, the banks deliberately sabotaged HAMP.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-01-27 03:53:12

Foreclosure activity up across most US metro areas
Report: Most large US metro areas saw spike in foreclosure activity in 2010

LOS ANGELES (AP) — The foreclosure crisis is getting worse as high unemployment and lackluster job prospects force homeowners in an increasing number of U.S. metropolitan areas into dire financial straits.

In Seattle, Houston and Chicago, cities that were relatively insulated from foreclosures early on in the housing bust, a growing number of homeowners are falling behind on mortgage payments and finding themselves on the receiving end of foreclosure warnings. Others have already seen their homes repossessed by lenders.

All told, foreclosure activity jumped in 149 of the country’s 206 largest metropolitan areas last year, foreclosure listing firm RealtyTrac Inc. said Thursday.

Comment by Kim
2011-01-27 08:54:19

Chicago insulated? Maybe it wasn’t as bad as Florida or Vegas, but it wasn’t far behind. It can easily take two years from NOD to “REO-for-sale” in this state. Couple that long time frame with extend-and-pretend and it only appeared to be insulated. There is lots of shadow inventory here.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 16:01:04

This must be that “improving economy” they’re talking about! :lol:

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-01-27 04:51:01

Moody’s Assumed 4% Annual Home Price Rises in Bond Rating Model

Moody’s Corp. assumed U.S. home prices would rise 4 percent a year when it developed a model in 2003 to rate mortgage-backed securities, according to the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission.

Prices instead plunged 28.5 percent from July 2006 through the low reached in February last year, according to the Chicago- based National Association of Realtors. Moody’s failed to foresee the decline, the commission concludes in a 545-page book seen by Bloomberg News and due to go on sale today.

“The failures of credit rating agencies were essential cogs in the wheel of financial destruction,” the congressionally-appointed panel wrote in the book. Moody’s “put little weight on the possibility that prices would fall sharply nationwide.”

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 07:52:16

That’s the kind of expertise that we’d lose if we dare try to rein in the banksters, and make them follow the rules like mere mortals. They’d just move to Singapore, or one of the other Cato-Institute-approved ‘free market economies’, and work their magic there.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-01-27 08:09:33

Moody’s failed to foresee the decline, the commission concludes in a 545-page book seen by Bloomberg News and due to go on sale today.

But, but, but…

no one saw this coming!

Comment by CA renter
2011-01-28 05:36:37

Thank you, AZ Slim.

If these geniuses couldn’t see it coming, and we could, why aren’t we getting the big paychecks????

(No need to answer that, I already know the answer — they DID see it coming, but have to deny it.)

 
 
Comment by WT Economist
2011-01-27 09:02:11

Here’s the thing. Moody’s assumed 4 percent per year growth in 2003. Fine.

But when prices soared from 2003 to 2005, why did they continue to assume 4 percent growth from the higher point instead of a return to normal?

It’s like the public employee pension funds that continue to assume 8 percent per year growth, based on stock market returns through 2000, and did so in 2000 as well.

Comment by polly
2011-01-27 10:32:01

Because it is a *model*. If you have a good model, it will always be a good model. Like the gravitational constant.

Bad case of physics envy if you ask me.

Besides, if you change the model you have to disclose it. And if you stop assuming that housing prices keep going up, then the securitizers will go to one of your two competitors to get their “best analysis” of the risk of your bond.

 
 
Comment by DennisN
2011-01-27 09:18:32

Headline: STANDARD & POOR’S DOWNGRADES MOODY’S

That would make a great Onion article, wouldn’t it? But the real headline is Standard & Poor’s Downgrades Japan. The WSJ article is behind a paywall but NR posted much of it.

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/258135/standard-and-poors-downgrades-japan-avik-roy

 
Comment by Jim A.
2011-01-27 09:18:54

IMHO the REAL stupidity of the rating agencies was not realizing how highly correlated MBSs were. Since the B- bonds created from one set of mortgage bonds was created and rated using the same criteria as some other banksters B- bonds there is a greatly reduced chance the one will fail and not the other. So repooling and retranching these to create CDwhatevers squared was an operation always destined for failure.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 16:11:31

The rating didn’t drop the ball, they flat out lied as they had become the sock puppets of the big trading houses.

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 10:26:03

credit rating agencies were essential cogs “Professional” “TrueFinancialEnablers™” :-)

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 14:27:11

Dang, no rebuttal…

 
 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 16:09:57

They may go to jail yet…

WSJ Australia

Top bankers face prosecution over global financial crisis after inquiry blames human ‘inaction’

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/industry-sectors/top-bankers-face-prosecution-over-global-financial-crisis-after-inquiry-blames-human-inaction/story-e6frg96f-1225995922757

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-01-27 05:04:47

Everyone should know uncle sugar will not allow any state to default.

State Defaults in U.S. Unlikely 50% of Investors Say in Poll (Bloomberg)

Investors are divided over whether a big U.S. city or state will default on its bonds this year, though most say the federal government would step in with a bailout and a financial crisis would be averted.

Half of respondents to a Bloomberg Global Poll conducted Jan. 21-24 say they think a default by a state or major city this year either isn’t likely or is just somewhat likely, though almost as many, 46 percent, say such a prospect is likely.

Even if a default were imminent, two-thirds of global investors say Washington would come to the rescue, and almost 6-in-10 say it is unlikely or only somewhat likely that turmoil would spread to other financial markets this year, according to the poll of 1,000 Bloomberg customers who are investors, traders or analysts.

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2011-01-27 08:37:41

Are state budgets ever really balanced? Local observations suggest that they are perpetually papered over by using rosy revenue forecasts, forecasts which like bond ratings, never seem to be questioned very much.

 
Comment by Ncinerate
2011-01-27 08:39:07

I have to admit I never considered total-state-default as an outcome of the housing bubble.

In fact, even now I am unsure how exactly it is happening.

They’ve jacked taxes up almost across the board here in AZ (mostly stealthily) and it seems unfathomable that they can’t support the state on the revenue….

For example, pick almost any house you want off a map of phoenix and it’s surrounding cities - here’s one in Tempe:

http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/1024-W-Hermosa-Dr-Tempe-AZ-85282/7554497_zpid/

Taxes in 2005: $1,069
Taxes in 2011: $1,370

That’s a pretty hefty 300$ increase, 30% on that initial thousand!

Whats more, despite current valuations and tax assessments going -down-, the actual tax is going -up- in many cases (or just SLIGHTLY down). I just randomly picked this house off the map, you can see similar news on almost anything you click on. Throw a dart and the same story is told.

It just feels wrong that the state should be in such trouble. I’m pretty sure those taxes are being paid as well, whether it be by the bank or an investor.

Forgive me if I’m wrong in this, but I seem to recall that in AZ if you fail to pay your taxes the state puts a tax lein on the property that investors buy up every February, effectively paying the taxes as far as the state is concerned… As I recall these tax liens draw as much as 16% interest - meaning the original owner paying it off would need to pony up the extra cash to the investor, or face losing his home to foreclosure to said investor if the taxes go 3 years delinquent. Last I heard this meant banks themselves were making sure taxes were paid on homes they were likely going to be owning in the future…

Comment by Blue Skye
2011-01-27 15:39:28

Loss of permit and fee income? Grow or die.

Comment by Ncinerate
2011-01-27 16:26:39

Well, I’m sure it’s -lots- of things (big ticket sales revenue is down BIG, small numbers of new homes being built, etc etc etc).

Still would think that the large property tax increases could cover most of that. Amazing that the state level government could be so poorly run that they wouldn’t set aside some of that BIG BOOM TIME cash for the future. Severe lack of foresight. I shudder to think of all the billions wasted that could have been saved for a rainy day that was so -obviously- coming. All the extra cash and we’re still in the hole.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-01-27 16:41:29

For many years, the Arizona economy seemed to be driven by Growth. As in, building houses for people who are going to come here and sell houses.

Well, fat lotta good that did us.

Nowadays, our Dear Leaders seem to be clueless as to what our state’s Plan B will be. Unlike Michigan, which just elected Rick Snyder as governor.

I’m not of the same party as Rick, but dang it, I was impressed with his 10-point plan for Michigan 3.0. To the point where I signed his campaign bus when I was in Ann Arbor back in October.

 
 
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-01-27 08:56:37

If they are going to bail out the states, the Federal Reserve might as well set up kiosks in malls where they hand out interest free loans to individuals that don’t have to be paid back for 100 years.

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2011-01-27 10:18:39

SHHHHHHHH!!!!!!

(don’t give them any ideas)

 
 
Comment by Mike in Miami
2011-01-27 09:10:16

I would bet on Washington riding to the rescue of any city that is too big to fail, like Miami :)
The bailouts will continue until the dollar crashes. But according to many this will never happen. If interest rates rise, no problem, just monetize the debt. Why should congress cut spending when there are no consequences ever?

 
Comment by scdave
2011-01-27 09:36:00

Investors are divided over whether a big U.S. city or state will default ??

No ?? 1.3 million people qualify as big ??….

New York State Takes Control of Nassau’s Finances - NYTimes.com

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-01-27 05:07:10

Arizona May Touch Off Flood of States Asking Obama to Allow Medicaid Cuts

President Barack Obama faces a new challenge from deficit-plagued states over Medicaid costs just as he squares off with Republicans trying to repeal his 2010 health-care law, which extends coverage to 32 million Americans.

Arizona Governor Jan Brewer asked for U.S. permission on Jan. 25 to reduce Medicaid eligibility and drop coverage for 280,000 people. That would save $541.5 million for the state, which projects a $1.2 billion budget deficit for the coming fiscal year.

U.S. states must confront potential budget gaps of more than $140 billion for fiscal 2012 because tax collections declined by the most on record during the recession, according to the Washington-based Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. That may prompt more to seek release from some Medicaid obligations, their biggest expense, as federal aid that has helped them cover the costs for the last three years ends.

“There are other states contemplating” requests for waivers, said Dan Mendelson, chief executive officer of the Washington-based consulting firm Avalere Health LLC and a former associate director for health in the Office of Management and Budget under President Bill Clinton. “Letters are coming from some big states reaching the point of no return.”

Mendelson declined to name them, saying “border states” such as Texas were in “fiscally impossible situations.”

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-01-27 08:10:45

Arizona Governor Jan Brewer asked for U.S. permission on Jan. 25 to reduce Medicaid eligibility and drop coverage for 280,000 people. That would save $541.5 million for the state, which projects a $1.2 billion budget deficit for the coming fiscal year.

That’s La Bruja, all right. Balancing the budget on the backs of the sick and the poor.

Comment by mathguy
2011-01-27 10:39:23

Slim, I want to help poor people too, but I think we all lose sight of the fact that it is a privilege to get help, not a right. If there is no money, there is no money. Of course, if you feel like *you* have excess money, I don’t think anyone is stopping you from pitching in to fund charitable organizations. I bet you could even send extra money on your tax return if you believe the state is doing a better job than the private organizations. Everyone is calling for mandatory taxes, why is no one calling for voluntary donations to the state?

Comment by oxide
2011-01-27 11:20:21

“of the fact that it is a privilege to get help, not a right.”

This is not a “fact.” It’s a pivot point around which several dozen theories of government in general revolve. Please do not elevate your opinion to the status of fact.

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Comment by mathguy
2011-01-27 14:25:11

I actually agree with you only in so far as you can agree with me that the laws we pass, and the conduct with which we behave, are subject to the agreement of society. Wars are fought over who has a “right” to what. Instead of seeing the plenty we have all around us, we dicker and struggle to achieve more at the expense of those less fortunate. And yet, for another to receive as “help” the fruit of my labour, I must still produce more than I require to suffice. Actually, this is not entirely true either. As a slave, I could be forced to produce some amount that is even insufficient for myself, and yet still have that small amount taken from me. Hopefully our nation does not devolve back to slavery.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-01-27 11:21:31

Funny how the goodies for the rich never get touched.

” Everyone is calling for mandatory taxes, why is no one calling for voluntary donations to the state?”

Uh, because the very rich didn’t get very rich by freely giving their money away?

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Comment by polly
2011-01-27 11:37:05

In this case, mathguy, the private organizations get their money from the government program. You don’t think that hospitals and clinics get their money out of thin air, or that you can run one of these things on donations? They provide services and charge Medicaid for reimbursement for people who are eligible for Medicaid. The reimbursement is a lot less than they get for providing the same service for a private insurance or Medicare patient. And the hospitals are required to see everyone who shows up in their emergency rooms, so to some small extent (getting stabilized in a hospital emergency room) there is a right to health care. It may just be a doc confirming you aren’t sick enough to need to be admitted, but they have to do it.

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Comment by measton
2011-01-27 12:02:19

want to help poor people too, but I think we all lose sight of the fact that it is a privilege to get help, not a right

From a man who doesn’t understand communicable disease. Doesn’t understand that starving people will kill you and your family for food and break into your home when you are at work.

“Everyone is calling for mandatory taxes, why is no one calling for voluntary donations to the state?”

Because it won’t even come close to covering the bill. Because all of society benefits from some support.

Now I would do away with food stamps and replace it with a weekly bag of rice and beans with very little else. I would do away with unemployment and replace it with a jobs program which had a decreasing pay rate and would be cut off for no shows. But there is clearly a roll for the state to provide some basic support.

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Comment by mathguy
2011-01-27 14:33:11

This seems like the best example given of why we should voluntarily give more to support these important social programs. If you think starving masses are going to come ravage your house, you should send an extra $1000 to the state welfare agency to help them give food to the hungry so that doesn’t happen to you. Don’t you think?

Or are people going to come and rob you anyway despite this because you have an ipod and they don’t? I very well understand communicable disease, and human nature. Wasting this money on a horribly inefficient state and federal gov’t is NOT going to help the problem.

 
Comment by mathguy
2011-01-27 14:37:59

As an aside though, some very efficient private charities could use your help to support truly needy people. Salvation Army, Catholic Charities, National Alliance for Research on Schizophrenia and Depression (NARSAD), and Big Brothers/Sisters of America could all use your donations of both time and money. These are all A+ rated charities through several easily googleable charity rating agencies.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-01-27 14:44:39

This seems like the best example given of why we should voluntarily give more to support these important social programs.

It’s a Randian utopian fantasy. Name one successful modern country that works under this model. None. Why? Because it doesn’t work. If it could, it would but it can’t so it don’t.

Example: Mental Health. Dismantled 30 years ago but private voluntary entities did NOT fill the void. Why? Because they don’t.

 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2011-01-27 16:30:49

+1. We still have a general welfare clause in the Constitution. Contrary to what the Adminisration & Republicrats would have us believe, it was not written with Wall Street in mind.

 
Comment by bill in Tampa
2011-01-27 18:35:15

That is promote the general welfare, not provide the general welfare. Major difference. Libs conveniently overlook that.

 
 
Comment by bill in Tampa
2011-01-27 18:33:05

+1, MathGuy!

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Comment by Ncinerate
2011-01-27 08:48:43

Unbelievable…

I guess I haven’t kept up on the “bad news” lately, but a 1.2 billion dollar shortfall is ridiculous.

WTF was the state spending all their money on in the boom years? There should be some sort of padding to make it through the lean years.

I clearly don’t have my mind wrapped around just how stupid these states have played their cards. Sounds like we have another FB who thought the party would never end.

Pretty sure entire states are too big to fail…..

Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-01-28 00:58:52

“There should be some sort of padding to make it through the lean years.”

Catch-22. If they set aside enough to get through the lean years (especially as lean as they have been recently), then taxpayers will complain that they are collecting too much in taxes during the good years and lawmakers will find projects to spend money on.

There are many individuals who saved diligently and are financially drained after several years of unemployment. Maybe they should have saved more during the good years and cut more during the bad, but unless they had reached the point where their savings could sustain them indefinitely,there are limits to how long they can survive.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-01-27 09:03:04

With the employed being herded into high deductible plans and the poor losing medicaid, the family doctor is going to become as lonely as the Maytag repairman.

Also, I’m seeing a lot of nurse practioner run clinics opening up, especially in pharmacies.

The future stands before us: MDs for the well heeled or well insured, nurse practitioners for the (uninsured and underinsured) masses. It is inevitable.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-01-27 09:36:10

The future stands before us: MDs for the well heeled or well insured, nurse practitioners for the (uninsured and underinsured) masses. It is inevitable.

I’ve heard that 85% of what a doctor does can also be done by a nurse. Not to take anything away from that 15% for which you do need a doctor, but, in most cases, they’re not needed.

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2011-01-27 10:23:12

“I’ve heard that 85% of what a doctor does can also be done by a nurse.”

By the same token, 85% of what a doctor sees (primary care) did not actually need to go to the dr’s office at all. Like all of the ones who go in with an upper-respiratory virus that they have had for less than ten days.

We have a huge number of “worried well” in this country.

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Comment by polly
2011-01-27 10:37:27

Seriously, I have never understood why people go to the doctor for a cold for anyone over the age of 5 and under the age of 80. It is a cold. What the heck is the doctor supposed to do?

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2011-01-27 11:05:58

My Husband has an eye infection on top of his Glaucoma issue (both eyes).It came on fast and furious, after normal office hours.

Tuesday night, we had no choice, he had to been seen in our HMO Urgent Care. They called in a Specialist. He’s eye is better today, thank God. It was a dangerous situation.

Urgent Care was full of Hypocondriacs.

 
Comment by awaiting wipeout
2011-01-27 11:07:31

“His eye is better today…”oops

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 11:10:41

“It is a cold. What the heck is the doctor supposed to do?”

From what I hear, they give you a bunch of antibiotics ( a ‘v pack’ is what I often hear), which, of course, have no effect on a cold virus, but does ensure that we’ll create ever more antibiotic-resistant bacteria. Why they continue to do this, I don’t know. But I know people who go to the doc for the sniffles, and that’s what they all say happens. (They think it works, because their cold is gone in a few days, which would have happened anyway.)

 
Comment by polly
2011-01-27 11:43:00

I guess my feelings were shaped by my first exposure to antibiotics administered “just in case” I also had a sinus infection by a physicians assistant at the clinic in college. Less than 18 hours later I was dashing out my 9:00 lecture to throw up in the hallway. Seems I was sensitive to that antibiotic. Oops.

 
Comment by measton
2011-01-27 12:05:19

From what I hear, they give you a bunch of antibiotics ( a ‘v pack’ is what I often hear), which, of course, have no effect on a cold virus, but does ensure that we’ll create ever more antibiotic-resistant bacteria. Why they continue to do this, I don’t know.

This is your freemarket in medicine at work. They know that if they tell you to go home and eat chicken soup and rest that you will go to the doc down the street for your antibiotics. Now just at the time you start taking the antibiotics your virus is coming to an end so everyone that get’s them thinks wow this really got rid of my illness.

 
Comment by Jim A.
2011-01-27 13:11:47

I’m with you on the stupidity of going to the doctor for a cold, polly. Of course some employers mandate that you be under a doctors care if you’re taking more than 3 days of sick leave.

 
 
 
Comment by Steve J
2011-01-27 10:19:05

What are the unemployed doctors going to do?

Comment by polly
2011-01-27 10:39:40

Move to Canada?

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Comment by In Colorado
2011-01-27 10:53:04

Become nurse practioners and only charge $40 a visit?

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Comment by awaiting wipeout
2011-01-27 11:15:28

With the AMA limiting U.S. Med School admissions, the cost of tuition, and the 78M Baby Boomers consuming health care, I’m not sure we will have an oversupply of docs. I think Medical Tourism is in our future.

Paging REHobbyist

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-01-27 12:09:05

What are the unemployed doctors going to do?

If their income declines they might support a different type universal coverage system.

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Comment by aNYCdj
2011-01-27 10:46:14

Its called Survival only the strong can survive

survival survival survival…..

I guess hiding income and assets will be the new way to conduct business very soon for J6P

Also why get married if they combine income and it makes you ineligible for gov benefits or even student loans based on income.

direct deposit to Rusell Simmons new Rush card….RUN DMC

EBT food stamp card….and a cash job for to buy he new Iphone ipad…

Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 16:21:24

“I guess hiding income and assets will be the new way to conduct business very soon for J6P”

New? The underground economy has been in operation for 3 decades and grows every year.

If it’s good for the goose, it’s good for the gander.

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Comment by WT Economist
2011-01-27 09:03:56

Hell no, not unless there is a change in the rules, if needed the constitution, to prevent those states from shipping people to New York for Medicaid funded care when they get sick.

The Red State social safety net includes Greyhound.

Comment by measton
2011-01-27 09:36:31

This already happens. Illinois has been encouraging WF and medicaid recipients to move for some time.

 
Comment by scdave
2011-01-27 09:41:23

The Red State social safety net includes Greyhound ??

+1 +1 WT….Spot on….

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 10:31:36

BWAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHHAHAHAHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!! (fpss™)

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Comment by oxide
2011-01-27 11:23:57

Is this what the US is turning into? Keep your state solvent by exporting the poor? Are poor folks going to flee to a Blue State “for a better life?”

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Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 16:22:27

The US has ALWAYS been like this.

 
Comment by bill in Tampa
2011-01-27 18:37:22

One can only hope.

 
 
 
Comment by Steve J
2011-01-27 10:21:36

I thought NYC was a “sanctuary” city?

Or is that only until it starts costing to many $$$’s?

 
 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-01-27 05:52:36

More people suing banks over foreclosures

Robert Selna, Chronicle Staff Writer
San Francisco Chronicle January 24, 2011

The lawsuits reflect growing frustration among homeowners who believe that banks are treating them unfairly, and they follow failed attempts by the government to force lenders to fully consider modifications before foreclosing. The suits have twin goals: to make mortgage modifications stick, and to raise the national profile of such cases so banks reform their practices.

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2011/01/23/MNG31H7DUJ.DTL - 122k -

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-01-27 05:58:27

In Nevada, 23 percent who lost homes to foreclosure could afford payments

Officials say trend shows no signs of slowing

By Buck Wargo
Published Tuesday, Jan. 25, 2011 | 9:22 a.m

Nearly one in four people in Nevada who lost their homes to foreclosure have admitting to walking away even though they could afford their monthly payments, according to a study released today by the Nevada Association of Realtors.

“I believe the current trend upward. It could get worse,” said Joel Searby, SGS’s director of marketing and business development. “The cultural stigma is dropping, and it’s becoming more acceptable.”

http://www.lasvegassun.com/news/2011/jan/25/nevada-23-percent-who-lost-homes-foreclosure-could/ - 165k -

Comment by cobaltblue
2011-01-27 07:35:51

From the LV strategic walkaway article above:

“Why should I pay on something when it’s like losing $150,000 in the stock market,” Lee said. “The way I look at it is I’m 73 and never going to see this market come back. I don’t feel bad at all. They had a chance to work with me.”

Lee said she plans to rent a home from her girlfriend and isn’t worried that the lender will come after her for the first mortgage six months after foreclosing or for the second and third mortgages on the homes over the next six year as allowed under state law.

If that happens, she said, she will file bankruptcy.

The banks long ago also had a chance to “work with” Jesse James, but that didn’t “work out” either.

Comment by Jess from upstate SC
2011-01-27 08:01:51

73 years old and down to nothing ? Hope she has a good pension coming in , even those will end sooner then we think . It is so important to have a trade or usable skill that one can put to use , no matter up to , or what age .

Comment by Jess from upstate SC
2011-01-27 08:11:27

To clarify about the whole S.S retirement system . Social Security will run a 45B deficit this year ,and it gets worse every year ,from now on. All those trillions of IOU’s supposdly piled up in the system, have been spent as they came in long ago . Like one chap noted years ago , that whole thing ain’t worth a bucket of warm spit .(That was vice-Pres. Wallace talking about his job in the 30’s)

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Comment by DennisN
2011-01-27 08:22:33

Actually John Garner said that, not Henry Wallace. He was the first of FDR’s three VPs.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-01-27 09:08:32

They’ll have to reduce benefits and/or increase taxes.

FWIW, 45B is a drop in the buck compared to the 1.5T total deficit.

I expect that they’ll just print money to keep SS humming along, while telling retirees that there is no “inflation” and hence no COLA, even though the grocery store, gas station, medical and untility bills will beg to differ.

As Han Solo said when trapped in the trash compactor on the Death Star: “We’re going to be a lot thinner.”

 
Comment by measton
2011-01-27 09:37:52

Seriously
compare SS to TARP and other bailouts. It’s nothing.

 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-01-27 08:12:24

Hate to break the news to you, but there are more than a few 70-somethings who are no longer able to work.

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Comment by scdave
2011-01-27 09:48:22

Exactly Slim….I just don’t respond to blind anger sometimes…

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 16:25:29

What the hell is up with this “kick grandma to the curb” attitude these days?!

My god! :mad: You people should be…

 
 
Comment by In Montana
2011-01-27 10:53:49

“It is so important to have a trade or usable skill that one can put to use , no matter up to , or what age .”

My hubby and I ran into an old coworker of his about that age, who is good at mechanics and fixing appliances. His wife HELOC’d her way through our local casinos.

I was told in law school that one joint owner could sign away rights on the sly like that but I can’t see a lender here oing that without the husband’s signature. Whatever.

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Comment by In Montana
2011-01-27 10:55:25

I meant to say, that’s what the guy is doing now in his golden years, so it’s good he has those skills.

 
 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2011-01-27 13:31:04

“73 years old and down to nothing ?”

This is surprising to you? There are tens of millions of senior citizens without two nickels to rub together. We do NOT live in a society where everybody was equally willing OR able to save for retirement. Furthermore, one illness can wipe out EVERYTHING somebody has saved for a lifetime.

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Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-01-28 01:05:52

And it doesn’t have to be your illness. A spouse’s or child’s can do you in.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 16:27:41

Jess, you’re an idiot. I sincerely you hope you find this out the hard way when you’re 70.

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Comment by Mags57
2011-01-27 08:05:12

In a recourse state, or a non-recourse one where the bank has obtained a deficiency judgment/the FB made it a recourse loan, are pensions fair game? I was thinking about this the other day when a retired teacher I know talked about walking away (and has a 2nd and 3rd on the house too). I don’t think you’d lose or protect your pension in bankruptcy - it seems like a great income stream for the banks (and any creditor) to go after.

Comment by Kim
2011-01-27 09:35:41

I was wondering the same thing about 401K or IRA money when the money is eventually taken out, presumably upon or after retirement. IIRC in some states the banks have many years to file a deficiency judgement.

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Comment by oxide
2011-01-27 11:30:50

Wait until the FB pension kicks in and hit them then? That would be pretty low, which means that banks are definitely going to to do it. I don’t think I’ll ever move to a recourse state.

 
 
Comment by scdave
2011-01-27 09:51:21

I don’t believe a qualified pension or 401k can be attacked but I am just recollecting from past conversations….Maybe Polly or someone else knows….

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Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2011-01-27 10:45:26

Not only is the plan balance itself protected from being attached, but some of the income once received also has some more limited protection, I believe.

My parents were advised to keep their SS payments in a separate account, and not commingle with the 403(b) RMDs, and not commingle either one with any other income.

I’m not clear on the limits of this protection, or how secure it actually is. YMMV, etc etc. I am not a lawyer, I just play one on the internet.

 
Comment by In Montana
2011-01-27 11:00:26

It can’t be attached but they can go after regular funds in your accounts. It’s good to not take out too much at any one time, especially if you see a judgment coming, but if you’re on a regular withdrawal schedule that part is subject.

What I wonder is, if the creditor knows you’re scheduled to take out X much a month, can it just garnish it on a monthly basis, like child support…another thing they could do to some gullible people is get them to sign an agreement to pay out of retirement proceeds.

 
Comment by Mags57
2011-01-27 16:51:44

“What I wonder is, if the creditor knows you’re scheduled to take out X much a month, can it just garnish it on a monthly basis,”

Thats exactly what I was thinking. And Oxide, what is so ‘cold’ about this? It’s a creditor collecting owed money from a debtor. ?? To me, it would seem pretty perverse if someone got almost all of their income from a pension, but was able to default on whatever debt they wanted while simultaneously protecting their primary income stream from collection. Why shield pension income? A lot of Feds and S&L pensions are quite high (esp in Cali apparently). I would think the repayment calculations would consider an annuity-like cash flow stream just like any other income - fair game. I proposed this idea to the teacher and you should have seen his face - ie, “what do you mean they could take my pension income as payment for my debt?” As if that was some crazy concept - you paying/people collecting on personal debt.

 
 
 
Comment by jbunniii
2011-01-27 09:19:45

What kind of idiotic financial system would give a mortgage, let alone second and third mortgages, to a 73-year-old in the first place?

Comment by Steve J
2011-01-27 10:26:26

They used to not, but that was ruled discriminatory.

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Comment by roger
2011-01-27 10:40:18

Kinda like a transmission. If you start out in reverse when your 73 you can back out gracefully.

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Comment by In Montana
2011-01-27 11:02:32

Knew a guy who got a 30 yr at age 74, and that was back in 1983.

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Comment by Steve J
2011-01-27 13:42:37

How old is now?

 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 11:15:22

What should be the cut-off age for getting a mortgage?

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Comment by bill in Tampa
2011-01-27 18:43:19

37 for a thirty year mortgage, 57 for a ten year mortgage. Social security kicks in full at 67 for tail end boomers and younger. So people should have their houses paid off before they can get full bennies.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2011-01-27 13:54:30

There’s nothing wrong with giving a mortgage to a senior citizen, if you require 20% down or PMI. It’s like any house. If the owner stops paying the mortgage (for any reason), then the bank takes the house and sells it on the courthouse steps pronto, for about 85% of the purchase price. The 20% down covers the 15% shortfall + expenses, and the bank breaks even.

This, of course, is for a “normal” market. These days…I have no idea. In a normal market, recourse vs. non-recourse didn’t really matter because few houses were underwater.

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Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 07:50:54

This is very good news. It shows people are actually thinking instead of accepting the braindead REIC mantra.

(And please don’t bother telling me the market is “going to come back”, ever.)

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2011-01-27 08:00:39

That is one UGLY place to live…

The only solution is to sell the Mcmansions cheap if you move your extended family in them and cant sell for 10 years…If you want out before no problem just move…and we will sell to another extended family, and they cant sell for 10 years…

What do 2 people need 5 bedrooms for?

Comment by GrizzlyBear
2011-01-27 13:32:26

“That is one UGLY place to live…”

Yes, Las Vegas is a disgusting brown sh!thole.

 
 
Comment by Kim
2011-01-27 08:47:20

“The survey said most Nevada homeowners facing foreclosure weren’t aware of the federal and nonprofit programs designed to help them. Some 61 percent said they weren’t aware of foreclosure aid programs and only 3 percent said they used the state’s foreclosure mediation program or were helped by it in any way.”

Yikes. Just… yikes.

Comment by HottyToddy
2011-01-27 08:59:32

Not to worry, if these aid programs were anything like trial modifications from HAMP and the similar state programs, they were better off trying to get through it on their own. Nothing I’ve read on any “assistance” program for borrowers assisted anyone other than the banks.

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 10:02:08

“The cultural “Bidness is Bidness” decision stigma is dropping, and it’s becoming more acceptable.” ;-)

 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-01-27 07:44:36

I could do this 24/7 but it takes time.

Prchased for $71,200 in 1986

Type: D
Date/Time: 10/6/1986 01:21:00
CFN: 19860262704
Book Type: O
Book/Page: 5028/1573
Pages: 1
Consideration: $71,200.00
Party 1: FIRST NATIONWIDE NETWORK MTG CO
Party 2: ZAINO DANNY T
MORGAN THERESA L
Legal: L124 JUPITER LANDINGS

Out comes $275,100 in 2006

Type: MTG
Date/Time: 7/7/2006 13:12:21
CFN: 20060398781
Book Type: O
Book/Page: 20573/1008
Pages: 20
Consideration: $275,100.00

NOTICE OF LIS PENDENS in May of 2009

Type: LP
Date/Time: 5/5/2009 16:02:43
CFN: 20090150158
Book Type: O
Book/Page: 23212/1941
Pages: 1
Consideration: $0.00
Party 1: DEUTSCHE BANK NATIONAL TRUST COMPANY TRUSTEE
LONG BEACH MORTGAGE LOAN TRUST
Party 2: ZAINO DANIEL T
ZAINO DANNY T
ZAINO SPOUSE
ZAINO THERESA
MORGAN THERESA L
MORGAN SPOUSE
JUPITER LANDINGS PROPERTY OWNERS ASSOCIATION INC
WACHOVIA BANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATION
Legal: JUPITER LNDG L124 L

Party 1: ZAINO THERESA
ZAINO DANIEL T
Party 2: LONG BEACH MORTGAGE COMPANY
Legal: JUPITER LNDG L124 L

Still living there today.

 
Comment by Hard Rain
2011-01-27 07:50:35

Hwy50 I need you help once again...

http://www.redfin.com/MA/Wellesley/209-Cliff-Rd-02481/home/11725488

Before a recent four million dollar reduction seller was asking for a five million dollar profit on a house they bought at the height of the bubble. Curious to see who could possibly be that deluded I looked it up:

Mr. Robert McGovern Broggi, Rob serves as a Vice President and Director of Technology & Media and Telecommunications Research of Tudor Investment Corporation. Mr. Broggi directs technology, media, and telecommunications equity research at Tudor Investment Corporation. Prior to Tudor in 2002, he served as an Executive Director of Institutional Equity Sales of Morgan Stanley, where he started its Institutional Technology Sales group in 1999. From 1995 to 1999, he served … as Vice President of Institutional Equity Sales of Cowen & Co focused on technology and healthcare research. He co-founded Theory Capital Management, LP and served as its Managing Partner. He has institutional investment and market experience. He serves as Director of Icera, Inc. He served as a Non Executive Director of Plastic Logic Limited. He served as Director of Netronome Systems Inc. since November 14, 2006. Mr. Broggi served as a Member of the Board of Creators of Tonic Digital Audio, LLC. He served as a Director of Uni-Pixel Inc. since March 16, 2007 until April 3, 2009. Mr. Broggi holds a Bachelor’s degree in English Literature from Harvard University.

Now I get it….

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2011-01-27 10:51:10

OMG, that’s _AWESOME_!!!

You just made my day.

:-) :-)

Schadenfreude happy-feet-dance!

It is so good to know that some of the sharks truly drank the kool-aid, and are personally taking it in the shorts.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 10:59:04

He co-founded Theory Capital Management ;-)

Was this before or after he sent his resume to: “Long Term Capital Management”?

Ho ho, hah hah, hehehehehehe, BwaHaHaAhHAHAHAHAHAHA!!! (Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb-thrower™)

(Sorry Hard Rain, sometimes I struggle to get this far down the thread…)

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 16:40:29

So… he’s one of the Master(bator)s of the Universe, is he?

 
 
Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 07:58:39

Realtors are corrupt.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-01-27 08:03:51

Inquiry report blames ‘reckless’ banks for financial crisis
27 January 2011 Last updated at 05:25 ET

Wall Street firms and government regulators are expected to get a grilling later today when America’s Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission publishes its long awaited report into the 2008 credit crunch.

According to Bloomberg News the commission will blame “reckless” banks and “weak” regulators and conclude the meltdown could have been avoided.

But as BBC’s Michelle Fleury reports from New York, for many on Wall Street it seems to be back to business as usual.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-01-27 14:21:33

Naughty, naughty banksters…

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 16:42:38

I also heard on the radio that they flat out rejected any claims of “unforeseen” and “unexpected” and stated outright that the banks and Wall St. knew EXACTLY what they doing.

BAM!

Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 16:43:57

I forgot to add that this seems to be another day I’ve somehow woke up in an alternate universe!

Blame where blame is due? How… novel!

 
 
 
Comment by cobaltblue
2011-01-27 08:14:33

Doesn’t polar ice behave to an algore-rhythm?

Comparing imagery of January arctic sea ice from 2009 to 2011 sourced from the U.S. Navy Polar Ice Prediction System, it appears as though the ice sheet has thickened substantially.

That is, the arctic ice during January 2009 compared to January 2010 compared to January 2011, all purposefully compared during the same month of each year.

This observation is looking at ice thickness – not surface area – although some retreat of 1 meter ice can be seen in the Labrador Sea.

Up to 500,000 square miles of the arctic sea region may have thickened from approximately 5 feet thick during January 2009 to approximately 10 feet thick during January 2011.

The ice thickness scale color, dark blue, corresponds to about 1.5 meters, or about 5 feet. (See link for graphics) The color green represents about 3 meters, or about 10 feet.

The estimated area that has changed from dark blue to green measures approximately 500,000 square miles based on approximated Google Earth ruler measurements (1,500 miles length by a bit more than 300 miles width, on average – call it 333).

At an increased thickness of 5 feet, that calculates out to be…
500,000 x (5,280 x 5280) x 5 = 69,626,304,000,000

might as well round it to 70,000,000,000,000 cubic feet

It’s getting colder out there!

Link: http://tinyurl.com/68e2czk

Comment by measton
2011-01-27 09:39:53

I just read an article on how Russia is profiting due to the opening of northern shipping routes.

Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 10:27:48

I can see Russia from my house!!!! That means I’m qualified to perform brain surgery!

Comment by cobaltblue
2011-01-27 10:39:55

“I can see Russia from my house!!!! That means I’m qualified to perform brain surgery!”

Do-it-yourself trepanning gives one these insights, I’ve been told.

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Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 10:46:45

I can see the moon from my house….. I’m an astronaut!!!! lmao.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Steve J
2011-01-27 10:34:53

I just read they are having a heat wave up there.

Arctic
In the Arctic, shrinking sea ice sets early winter record
Doug O’Harra | Jan 5, 2011

The Big Chill hasn’t been working — at least for the eastern Arctic of Canada and Greenland.

Overall, Arctic sea ice covered the smallest area ever recorded by satellite for the month of December — largely due to record decreases near Hudson Bay, Baffin Island and Greenland, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colo.

But in what demonstrates the complexity of the Arctic climate system, and the influence of short-term weather patterns, new ice has spread across more ocean on Alaska’s west coast than usual.

 
Comment by MrBubble
2011-01-27 10:56:25

From which peer-reviewed scientific journal did you glean this trivial math exercise? Oh, wait. It’s from a survivalist blog. Now, don’t get me wrong. I visit the occasional survivalist blog and have followed some general preparedness advice. However, I don’t think that one should get general climate information from them. Contrary to what this random person writes, it is clearly not getting colder out there as the data clearly show.

And please don’t compare the HBB “speaking truth to [NAR] power” with this guy and climatology. No comparison. Looking at house price increases from 1890 to 2005 easily showed, to anyone with a brain in his/her head, that prices would revert to the mean. No offense to the smart people on the blog, but the housing crash was not that hard to hard to discern in advance, as much as people (who had a vested interest in dissembling or obfuscation) like to say. Real estate is not rocket, or climate, science.

MrBubble

Comment by jbunniii
2011-01-27 14:57:21

No offense to the smart people on the blog, but the housing crash was not that hard to hard to discern in advance

No offense taken - I think almost everyone on this blog discerned the crash far in advance. We may not have known exactly when it would happen, but THAT it would happen was glaringly obvious.

 
 
 
Comment by CharlieTango
2011-01-27 08:29:05

Arizona may have the most advanced plan, but 10 of the United States – controlling 107 Electoral College votes – are now considering some type of legislation that would plug the hole in federal election procedures that in 2008 allowed Barack Obama to be nominated, elected and inaugurated without providing proof of his qualifications under the U.S. Constitution.

Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 10:34:32

His mother was a US citizen, FACT, which makes him a US citizen, FACT.

Death with braindead.

Comment by Mags57
2011-01-27 17:02:19

Survey says ….. XXXXXX!

FACT: Having one parent be a U.S. citizen does not serve/is not enough on its own to make the child a U.S. citizen. How many times do people have to explain this to you? There are numerous situations in which a U.S. citizen can give birth to a child who IS NOT CONSIDERED A U.S CITIZEN.

Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 17:50:53

According to Title 8 of the US code, one of the eight definitions of a natural born citizen of the United States is:

-Any one born outside the United States, if one parent is a citizen and lived in the U.S. for at least one year and the other parent is a U.S. national.

Anything else ?

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Comment by Mags57
2011-01-27 18:10:02

“His mother was a US citizen, FACT, which makes him a US citizen, FACT.”

does not equal “Any one born outside the United States, if one parent is a citizen and lived in the U.S. for at least one year AND THE OTHER PARENT IS A U.S. NATIONAL.

Are you really that dense? You really quoted one of the exact scenarios that proves your ‘FACT’ wrong to support your initial post?

Anything else ?

 
Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 19:46:18

It makes him a citizen, FACT. Are you really that dishonest as to duck and weave from the original issue? (of course you are. You’re a “lawyer” ;) )

Anything else?

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 22:22:13

Anything else ?

You’re Hero, Rupert MUrDoichk, can’t run for the US Presidency, what a pity. ;-)

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 22:32:54

Anything else ? (Mags57)

Mags57, you’re unspoken hero, Rupert MUrDoichk, can’t run for the US Presidency, what a pity. ;-)

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 17:59:52

There are numerous situations in which a U.S. citizen can give birth to a child who IS NOT CONSIDERED A U.S CITIZEN.

Hey, quit being such a tease, whip it out! ;-)

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Comment by Steve J
2011-01-27 10:37:49

Why didn’t Hillary bring this up before the election?

Comment by polly
2011-01-27 11:58:59

Bingo. If he wasn’t eligible, it would have been all out in the primaries. She was serious about that nomination.

 
 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2011-01-27 11:23:06

Boring. Inane. Off-topic.

Next!

 
Comment by oxide
2011-01-27 11:38:33

We went through this yesterday. STOP IT.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 11:38:55

I still think he’s one of them space aileeyuns. I heared when he busted his lip his blood was blue! They hushed it all up, o’course. Them Washington folk are all skeered of his mother ship, what he says has lazer beem guns! Yup, he owns em all lock, stock, and barrel up there. I done read it in the world net daily!

God only knows what he’s a-gonna do to the rest of us. Won’t be purty, though, cause them space aileeyuns hate America, cause they know God loves us best. Makes em real jealous.

We’re in fer it, that’s fer sure!

Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 12:35:17

LMAO!!!!!! Alpha you are hilarious!

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-01-27 13:06:46

I still think he’s one of them space aileeyuns. I heared when he busted his lip his blood was blue!

doyou got a link?

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 13:49:35

A link? Son, there aint no link to a story like that. A link like that’ll getcha killt. You bin cookin yer brain down there in la la land to long.

I only heared it muhself from my cock-fightin buddies. One o thems a assistant to the grand dragon of the..uh..Tea Party.

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Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-01-27 15:13:50

“To Serve Man” is a cookbook…….

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-01-27 15:23:35

He was actually born in Afghanistan, where he was kidnapped by aliens, trained as a sniper, and was parked in his stroller on top of the grassy knoll in Dallas two years later.

So not only is he an alien, he’s an illegal alien.

 
 
 
 
Comment by CharlieTango
2011-01-27 11:59:42

the left quiets this issue mostly thru name calling “birther” and calling it a non issue. this has been an effective roadblock in most public conversations.

it has been in the courts for 2 years but each time the court finds the plaintiff has no standing. even the soldier that went to prison for refusing to be deployed by obamah had no standing. another effective roadblock, the courts won’t consider it, not due to lack of merit but due to lack of standing.

now the states are going to require that candidates from both parties show that the are qualified. i don’t think obamah can run again.

ambercrombie now admits there is no birth certificate even though he got elected promising to show it.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 12:13:07

Then there’s no problem. Obama can’t run again. End of story. Thanks for the heads-up!

Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 12:32:22

I can see an airplane in the sky from my house…. I’m an fighter pilot!!!!!

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 14:33:12

i don’t think pray obamah can run again

But in the event lil Opie’s still alive in 2012:

JC Penny has a weekly sale on replacement briefs,… 40% off “Fruit-of-the-Looney’s” ;-)

 
Comment by howiewowie
2011-01-27 16:00:22

Conservatives must really, really, really hate Obama. That’s a lot of energy expended just to thwart 1 man. The Dems never had this kind of hate for Bush.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 17:19:16

Conservatives must really, really, really hate Obama everyone except, themselves.

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Comment by Ben Jones
2011-01-27 18:00:59

‘The Dems never had this kind of hate for Bush’

Yes, they went along with just about every bit of unconstitutional, immoral BS he pushed.

BTW, what happened to the massive anti-war protests we used to see? Did you hear the ‘patriot’ act (1, 2 or 3, I lost count) is being extended? We can’t properly fund community colleges that are choked with the unemployed, but we are spending $10 billion/month in Afghanistan. IMO, our system must have a true opposition for checks and balances to who ever is in power. Had the Dems done this under Bush, we might not be in such a mess.

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 18:12:54

Yes, they went along with just about every bit of unconstitutional, immoral BS he pushed.

Now hold on Pilgrim, it wasn’t “hate” hollerin’ at all, …all I said, calmly, was “Shrub is “yellow” cake naked and had a lil’ *ick as his VP!” ;-)

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 18:34:00

BTW, what happened to the massive anti-war protests we used to see?

I musta missed lil’ Opie’s: “He tried to kill my daddy! / axis-of-x3-or more-evils speech on National TV”

Otherwise, …to heck-with-you-you-Non-Hawaiian! ;-)

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2011-01-27 18:49:19

I’m glad you mentioned the yellow cake thing. The Feds are ticked off about Wikileaks, but when Cheney leaked the Plame stuff in that instance, there were no Dem investigations.

Here’s an example of our screwed up priorities. I mentioned the community colleges and the unemployed. Recently the Repubs whittled down the money to the CCs to $2 billion. But let’s look at just one item at the Pentagon:

‘the traditional Republican who now leads the House Armed Services Committee, Representative Howard P. McKeon, fought back against proposed cuts in the Pentagon budget even as fledgling committee members supported by the Tea Party said that the nation’s debts amounted to a national security risk. ‘

“I will not support any measures that stress our forces and jeopardize the lives of our men and women in uniform,” Mr. McKeon said in an opening statement that followed up on a letter to Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates urging him not to stop work on the Marines’ $14.4. billion Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle, a combined landing craft and tank for amphibious assaults that Mr. Gates canceled this month. ‘

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/27/us/politics/27pentagon.html?ref=us

I understand we’ve already spent $3 billion on this EFV, and another $12 billion is required to get it finished. This is on a landing craft. The Marines don’t land on beaches anymore!

We all know someone who is out of work, or otherwise hurting financially. IMO we need someone in DC to cut this ridiculous spending and start actually working on jobs.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 22:01:27

I will post a reply in the mornin’ /am Mr. Ben…then you all decide ’bout the incestuous relationship between “TrueHypocrite™” (Barbie) and her new lil’ sister, “TrueAnger™” (Skipper)

 
Comment by ET-Chicago
2011-01-27 23:24:32

The Feds are ticked off about Wikileaks, but when Cheney leaked the Plame stuff in that instance, there were no Dem investigations.

Huh?

There were several attempts at investigation. First, the congressional investigation was passed off by Sen. Jay Rockefeller to the FBI (an entity that one might assume should be non-partisan). That went nowhere for years. Later, Rep. Henry Waxman and others in the legislative branch tried to investigate, Congressionally, but as you may recall, the investigations were thwarted at every step by claims of “executive privilege” and “national security.” Thankfully the non-partisan (though ostensibly Republican) prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald did a pretty good job in pursuing criminal charges, though I’d wager a few ounces of gold that he came across a ton of juicy information that he felt wouldn’t hold up in court.

I mostly agreed with you further upthread (”Yes, they went along with just about every bit of unconstitutional, immoral BS he pushed.”), but you’re mis-rememberin’ regarding the tenor of the investigations.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2011-01-27 23:53:59

‘There were several attempts at investigation’

Oh really? We all know what Cheney leaked. He outed a CIA officer in a vicious personal attack and put this persons contacts at risk of death. This is a clear breach of law. ‘passed off… to the FBI…went nowhere for years…the investigations were thwarted at every step by claims”

Wow, that’s some real investigating. Passed off, thwarted by claims. And along the way Bush also leaked false data to the NY Times that went a long way to dragging us into Iraq. Oh, never mind. Hundreds of thousands of deaths, a trillion $s later, we can be consoled that the Democrats made ‘attempts’ to do what was right, huh? Did they vote for the wars? Did they vote for the patriot act? Are they demanding an end to the wars today? Are they trying to shut down Wikileaks for ‘embarrassing’ the State Dept? (most of it said before they were in office. Who are they protecting? Why the cover up for the Bush torturers?)

True opposition - checks and balances. What ever you think of the Repubs and their opposition to the White House, at least they were performing a function of free govt. And if Obama needed to be investigated, I hope they wouldn’t be ‘thwarted’ by mere words.

 
 
 
 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2011-01-27 13:36:09

Birthers are bigots.

Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 18:00:02

Birthers bark at the moon.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 16:49:08

The GOP and it’s millions of dollars of resource and thousands of insider contacts couldn’t prove Obama was unqualified.

So yes, “birthers” deserved to be called names. Because they are stupid.

 
 
Comment by FB wants a do over
2011-01-27 08:35:06

Dissenters Fault Report on Crisis in Finance

WASHINGTON — The government commission’s account of what caused the 2008 financial crisis offers a broad indictment of regulatory weakness, Wall Street avarice and corporate incompetence. But that narrative is competing with alternative views by the Republicans on the panel, who released their dissenting reports on Wednesday.

One dissent points to broad economic forces that contributed to the credit and housing bubbles that built up during the last decade, including a glut of savings in developing Asian countries that began accumulating in the late 1990s and provided the fuel for mortgage-backed investments in the United States and Europe. It does not focus on the culpability of government and business leaders, as the main report does.

The other dissent argues that decades of government policies to promote homeownership are to blame for the creation of tens of millions of shoddy mortgages before the housing bubble burst in 2006-7. Though not the mainstream view, it could affect the looming debate over the future of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the mortgage finance giants that have been in government conservatorship since 2008.

The disagreements threaten to blunt the impact of the main report. Those who had hoped for an authoritative account that would sear the public consciousness now seem pessimistic.

“I’m sad about it,” said Kenneth T. Rosen, a business school economist at the University of California, Berkeley, who testified before the commission last year. “This is a history, not a policy prescription. The fact that people read history so differently is a surprise to me. But I guess I shouldn’t be surprised at anything going on in Washington right now.”

Steve Fraser, a Wall Street historian, said he did not think that the report would do much to stop the financial sector’s return to business as usual.

“I am surprised — more than surprised, shocked even — that all that’s transpired since 2007-8 has produced as little as it has, in terms of reckoning with how out of control this financial system was and the damage it’s done,” he said.

Mr. Fraser said the Dodd-Frank regulatory overhaul law signed last July was helpful, but did not represent a far-reaching reassessment of the proper role of finance in American life.

“For a historian, it’s a baffling moment,” he said. “All the stars seemed aligned to produce real, fundamental change in the direction of public policy, and yet here we are with an administration itself bending over backwards to make friends with the financial industry.”

Comment by jbunniii
2011-01-27 09:26:30

The other dissent argues that decades of government policies to promote homeownership are to blame for the creation of tens of millions of shoddy mortgages before the housing bubble burst in 2006-7.

While no doubt these policies played a role, the fact that there were simultaneous housing bubbles worldwide during the same period pretty much proves that US government meddling is far from the whole story.

Comment by BlueStar
2011-01-27 18:04:15

Yes it was world wide but I would argue that it was our Wall St. that invented almost every exotic financial tool that infected every other market around the world. So the USA was “patient zero”, the Typhoid Mary as it were. Someday the rest of the world will take it’s revenge and destroy our bond market.

 
 
 
Comment by CharlieTango
2011-01-27 08:35:28

As of today, a total of 733 waivers have been granted for 2011from obamahcare

Comment by jeff saturday
2011-01-27 09:18:39

Too many unions to pick a favorite so I am going with….

Maharishi University of Management

http://mum.edu/ - 17k -

Comment by Danny Harbison
2011-01-27 12:42:09

Those damn activist judges.

 
 
Comment by DB_in_AZ
2011-01-27 13:47:05

As of today, a total of 733 waivers have been granted for 2011from obamahcare

Interesting, its nice to know some people aren’t getting screwed by the new health care bill. My company (a large aerospace company) just gutted ours this year. Apparently, they had to or we would have gotten hit with a “cadillac plan” tax or something like that and had to pay taxes on the value of our plan. Our out-of-pocket limits went from $300 to $3000 and all of our co-pays either doubled or tripled. So, regardless of the cheerleaders of this plan, I just don’t see how this improved the quality of my healthcare.

If you ask me, all Obama/Pelosi did was throw most of us under the bus to help a few poor people (and the insurance companies and the pharmaceutical companies…) And they have the nerve to act like they did something good.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-01-27 14:27:38

I think what’s happening is that the private health insurance industry sees that it’s days are numbered. But it’s not just going to go whimpering off into the night. No way. It’s going to gouge and screw its customers one last time.

But there’s one little problem. It’s called “customers.” As in, customers dropping their insurance plans, and, yes, this includes employer group plans.

And don’t put it past those employer groups to call 1-800-USA-HELP and say, “Yo, Mr. President! Hey, Congress-dudes! Where’s my public option?”

The public option will come dancing back with bells on. And become law, thus becoming another nail in the coffin of the private insurance industry.

Comment by Daveof the North
2011-01-27 18:34:09

“The public option will come dancing back with bells on. And become law, thus becoming another nail in the coffin of the private insurance industry.”

Canada still has lots of private insurance companies, because Medicare doesn’t cover everything.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-01-27 14:51:57

Our out-of-pocket limits went from $300 to $3000 and all of our co-pays either doubled or tripled.

I’m sorry for you personally however I think it is good thing in the long run of the big picture for all Americans to have a more realistic feeling of the costs of the disgraceful healthcare “system”.

Does the system need fundamental change? Yes
Would someone with a $300 deductible think it needs changing? Maybe not.

Comment by DB_in_AZ
2011-01-27 15:17:20

Ironically, I am not even totally against government run health care, but the implementation of this one with the backroom deals and punishing people who have good jobs that provide good health care, while at the same time giving “waivers” to unions and other companies is amazingly horrible.

And if it was up to me, no law would be allowed to be more than 2,000 words, let alone 2,000 fricking pages! That is just lawyer employment fodder.

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Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-01-27 15:30:35

Hate to tell you this dude, but this is what your plan was going to look like, whether Obamacare passed or not.

Higher premiums every year, with higher and higher deductibles, and “charges in excess of plan limits” pass thrus……..basically paying more for less.

Nothing different than what’s been happening for the past 20 years. Except the insurance companies are getting greedier, because they think they have a patsy (Obamacare) that everyone will blame it on.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-01-27 15:47:51

Nothing different than what’s been happening for the past 20 years. Except the insurance companies are getting greedier, because they think they have a patsy (Obamacare) that everyone will blame it on.

Which comes straight out of the insurance companies’ playbook.

Want to know what else is in that playbook? Read Deadly Spin by Wendell Potter. He lays it all out for ya.

 
 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 16:12:15

If you ask me, all Obama/Pelosi Our Corpooration provided Medical Insurance Co.’s did was throw most of us under the bus,…unless we paid “them” more money because they are suffering so much profit pain.

The Medical Insurance Industry Inc. = “TrueAmericanPatrioticCorpooration™” ;-)

 
 
 
Comment by measton
2011-01-27 09:45:11

Seems some people don’t like bankers

DAVOS, Switzerland – A small blast shattered two windows but caused no injuries at a hotel used by top business and political leaders attending the World Economic Forum, Swiss police said Thursday.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-01-27 11:27:01

I’m reading the book Hellhound of Wall Street. It’s about Ferdinand Pecora, who was chief counsel for the U.S. Senate’s investigation of the 1920s financial shenanigans and the role that Wall Street played.

To say that people didn’t like banksters back then is an understatement. They were loathed. Villified. You get the idea.

Sort of like nowadays…

 
 
Comment by cactus
2011-01-27 09:53:13

Late last year ConAgra Foods reported a 14 per cent year-on-year slump in second- quarter operating profits at its consumer foods’ arm, as “inflation outpaced cost savings”. A month earlier Kellogg Company attributed its 6 per cent drop in third-quarter net earnings to “softness in our businesses as well as a tough operating and deflationary environment driven by intense competition”.

There are several levers companies can pull to help protect margins. These range from hedging by securing long-term supply contracts with farmers through to reducing packs sizes or re-engineering products

Comment by measton
2011-01-27 12:13:18

Everyone is going away from processed food and name brand food .

Comment by In Colorado
2011-01-27 13:36:45

Not sure about the former, but definitely about the latter.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 16:54:37

Wait a minute… a couple of the largest food producers on the planet have seen sales slip, yet food prices are still going up?

Uh, hello?

 
 
Comment by FB wants a do over
2011-01-27 10:17:27

Social Security has built up a $2.5 trillion surplus since the retirement program was last overhauled in the 1980s. Benefits will be safe until that money runs out. That is projected to happen in 2037 — unless Congress acts in the meantime. At that point, Social Security would collect enough in payroll taxes to pay out about 78 percent of benefits, according to the Social Security Administration.

The $2.5 trillion surplus, however, has been borrowed over the years by the federal government and spent on other programs. In return, the Treasury Department has issued bonds to Social Security, guaranteeing repayment with interest.

Social Security supporters are adamant that the program will be repaid, just as the U.S. government repays others who invest in U.S. Treasury bonds.

“It’s an IOU that is backed by Treasury bonds and the faith and credit of the United States government,” said Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt. “It is the same faith and credit that enables us to borrow from rich people and from China and from other countries. As you well know, in the history of this country, the United States has never defaulted on one penny owed to a creditor.”

Comment by butters
2011-01-27 10:30:53

If you can borrow a dollar and pay with a penny, I would say that’s a default. Only the leneders were so smart.

 
Comment by Steve J
2011-01-27 10:45:36

I thought FDR raising the price of gold/dollars resulted in some bonds into default status back in 1933?

 
Comment by HottyToddy
2011-01-27 11:41:50

“…the United States has never defaulted on one penny owed to a creditor.”

We have however made those dollars worth a lot less than the ones you lent us and boy are they going to be worth a lot less than you suckers we owe money to now!

 
Comment by WT Economist
2011-01-27 12:08:51

“It is the same faith and credit that enables us to borrow from rich people and from China and from other countries. As you well know, in the history of this country, the United States has never defaulted on one penny owed to a creditor.”

Pehaps that’s because until that 1983 Social Security deal, it was primarily borrowing from rich people and not from those who earn between (at present) $0 and $100,000.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 16:57:20

I’ve been hearing SS is going to die any day now for the last 30 years.

Mostly from the neocons.

Excuse me if I’m a little cynical, skeptical and suspect a grab for the money by Wall St.

 
 
Comment by exeter
2011-01-27 10:25:49

From MikeInBend……….”we were told by appraiser, mortgage broker, UHS; they were all in consensus; now is a great time to buy they lied.”

Realtors aka UHS are liars.

Appraisers are incompetent liars.

Mortgage brokers are liars.

 
Comment by DennisN
2011-01-27 10:32:05

This is real bad news for the Euro….

French President Nicolas Sarkozy vowed Thursday that he and European partners will “never turn our backs on the euro,”

Such a comment from the French President must mean that the Euro is in more trouble than I previously thought.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Sarkozy-No-turning-our-backs-apf-496847066.html

Comment by Mike in Miami
2011-01-27 11:12:23

The PIIGS are contained.
I have never seen such a strong EURO in my professional lifetime.
On a similar note, Japan’s credit rating just got lowered from AA to AA-. Stock market doesn’t seem to care one bit.

Comment by GrizzlyBear
2011-01-27 16:17:46

Not sure ratings mean anythig anymore. Think “AAA CDO’s”.

 
 
 
Comment by lavi d
2011-01-27 10:33:01

To follow up on my comment yesterday about patents stifling innovation:

To offer an analogy that I actually think isn’t stretched at all, but [by] 21st century standards Isaac Newton should have patented calculus (”A Method For Using Fluxions To Determine Instantaneous Rate of Change”) and then waited patiently until Leibniz published his superior method and then sued the pants off anyone who tried to take a derivative without coughing up a hefty license fee. But would that world have been a better place? The issue isn’t really so much the rents that Newton would have thereby extracted (I’m not going to begrudge one of human history’s greatest geniuses a fortune) but the barriers to entry that would have been created as a secondary consequence.

A world in which smart people have access to the stock of existing human knowledge and are free to apply it in new ways is a world of competition and innovation. A world where you need to consult with an army of lawyers first isn’t. If you ask the people who care most about promoting entrepreneurship in America about this they kind of shrug, concede that the patent system is hopelessly broken, and then confess to despair that it can or will be fixed.

Link

Comment by In Colorado
2011-01-27 11:01:31

What happens in the corporate world is that Company A discovers that Company B is infringing on its patents. A sues B, and B discovers that A is infringing on someof B’s patents so they countersue. Then their lawyers meet and cross licensing agreements are signed.

We were told at HP that Patent portfolios were needed as a defensive tool. I was awarded three patents when I worked at HP.

Comment by Mike in Miami
2011-01-27 11:22:22

So in short, patents are of no use other than keeping lawyers employed. That’s what I thought.
I am probably breaking at least 5 patents every day simply by programming and solving novel problems as they arise.
What gets me is when some company tries to patent a gene. They didn’t build the gene, did they. Any idiot that can get their hands on a genome sequence and knows a programming language can discover genes.
What exactly they do, that’s an entirely different matter.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 17:00:01

This is also why you see so little real innovation in this country any more.

If you can’t afford the lawyers to protect your patent, there is no point in even taking the invention to market. ESPECIALLY if you’re a small time inventor.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-01-27 11:52:55

Newton = knifecatching true bubble believer.

Try not to catch a falling knife in the housing bubble collapse, the way Sir Isaac did in the South Sea Bubble aftermath.

 
Comment by DennisN
2011-01-27 12:23:05

As a patent attorney for many years, I’ve seen a lot of problems in the patent system. But patenting calculus wouldn’t be one of them. Many things are simply NOT patentable, such as laws of nature or mathematical formulas.

The problem I see it is that patents are freely-assignable. Patents may only be granted to natural-person inventors. But most inventors are employees of corporations, and their employment contracts specify that they must assign all IP rights to the company.

This IMHO is a case of Congress exceeding their Constitutional authority from Art. I sec. 8 para. 8, which states that Congress shall have to power to act “by securing for limited Times to Authors and Inventors the exclusive Right to their respective Writings and Discoveries”. It doesn’t say anything in there about permitting CORPORATIONS to take these rights away from inventors. I think that the assignment of patents is unconstitutional.

Making patents the non-assignable personal property of inventors would have several benefits. It would immediately raise the status of engineers all over the country. If their company fired them, they could terminate that company’s license to use their patents. This would also eliminate “patent trolls” who buy up patents from bankrupt companies and then sue corporations for infringement - even though the trolls make nothing. As mentioned above, companies actually in the business of making things generally use patent portfolios as a defense, but since patent trolls make NO PRODUCT they can’t be countersued.

What about the rights of companies in whose expensive research facilities the inventors work? Well there was an older doctrine called “shop rights” where the company for whom the inventor worked got an implicit non-transferrable license to use any inventor’s IP. This seems a fair solution for corporate expenses.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-01-27 13:15:25

“…such as laws of nature or mathematical formulas.”

The former is clearly God’s invention, but how do you know whether the latter is God’s or man’s? For instance, I assume the Case-Shiller/S&P Index of housing prices involves patentable mathematical formulas. And what is a computer program, if not a bunch of formulaic instructions to a computer?

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 16:23:47

Knowing your proper place in the “Grand Scheme of things”… helps with the here & now “Orientation”. ;-)

http://www.kxol.com.au/images/you_are_here3.jpg

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Comment by DennisN
2011-01-27 16:51:53

A computer program by itself is NOT patentable subject matter. When people talk about “software patents” the real subject matter is more like “a machine programmed to perform the following steps”. If what the machine does is novel and non-obvious a patent may issue.

Software code may be protected under copyright law. I would guess the S&P Case-Shiller could only be protected under trademark law: someone else could come up with the same index but they couldn’t call it the “Case-Shiller” index. Or maybe Case-Shiller is a trade secret of S&P.

The entire area of “software patents” and “business method patents” is currently highly litigated and keeps bouncing back and forth between the CAFC and the Supreme Court. I haven’t kept up with the cases since I’m retired, but a good point to start is the Supreme Court’s decision in BILSKI ET AL. v. KAPPOS from last summer.

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Comment by DennisN
2011-01-27 17:00:23
 
Comment by DennisN
2011-01-27 17:06:17

If you look at the Bilski case for agreement among the Justices, you will be disappointed.

“KENNEDY, J., delivered the opinion of the Court, except for Parts II–B–2 and II–C–2. ROBERTS, C. J., and THOMAS and ALITO, JJ., joined the opinion in full, and SCALIA, J., joined except for Parts II–B–2 and II–C–
2. STEVENS, J., filed an opinion concurring in the judgment, in which GINSBURG, BREYER, and SOTOMAYOR, JJ., joined. BREYER, J., filed an opinion concurring in the judgment, in which SCALIA, J., joined as to Part II.” :roll:

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 17:55:58

The entire area of “software patents” and “business method patents” is currently highly litigated and keeps bouncing back and forth between what “actually works” & what China can get from it’s spies the CAFC and the Supreme Court ;-)

 
 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 16:19:54

Many things are simply NOT patentable, such as laws of nature or mathematical formulas. :-)

So, involving Billions upon Billions of “end” users, who holds the patent for:

13″ rims & tires
14″ rims & tires
15″ rims & tires
16″ rims & tires

Firestone? Goodyear? Goodrich? Michelin? Toyo?

How about the size of cigars / cigarettes?

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 17:01:10

Patents DO NOT stifle innovation. Patent thieves do.

Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2011-01-27 19:44:23

I hope you did a patent search before posting that. You may be in violation of someone’s “method of countering debating opponents on electronic message boards.”

 
 
 
Comment by pressboardbox
2011-01-27 10:40:31

Beanie Baby Bubble Back in Business as Blantant Burglar Banditos Bag Babies in Broad Daylight:

http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/crime/os-home-invasion-st-cloud-20110126,0,6428341.story

Comment by cobaltblue
2011-01-27 11:08:18

What can we say, except:

http://tinyurl.com/4dq4epq

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-01-27 11:29:41

Didja see the mugshots on those losers?

Sheesh! One look at them and I wondered how they got out of bed that morning. Must have been a real intellectual challenge.

Goes back to what I keep hearing cops say: Criminals aren’t that smart.

Comment by jeff saturday
2011-01-27 12:09:20

“Didja see the mugshots on those losers?”

Here ya go, the battery on an officer guys always look rough.

http://www.palmbeachpost.com/blotter - 40k -

Comment by rms
2011-01-27 13:06:59

Like photo 38 of 197 w/black eye?

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Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 17:04:48

Most crooks ARE dumber than a bag of hammers, but the smart ones work on Wall St.

 
 
 
Comment by jimmy o
2011-01-27 12:06:41

So much for putting your life savings into Gold……

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2011-01-27 13:10:13

There’s a new fear campaign taking shape…centering on the goings on in North Africa. Already in some articles today this unrest is being implied as a catalyst of further rises in gold and oil.

Will this be the case?

At any rate, this Egypt story is really turning into something. Evidently Mubarak’s son has left the country. I wonder to what extent the Egyptians feel the world’s central bankers are responsible for their misery?

Comment by measton
2011-01-27 15:56:24

I’d say you are about to see a collapse of consumption as much of this region reverts to the standard of somalia. The US will revert to that of say a Mexico.

 
 
Comment by FB wants a do over
2011-01-27 13:31:59

Gold is taking a beating, but silver seems to be holding up within its recent volatile range. I’m sort of wondering if the gold futures expiring tomorrow have anything to do with the plunge in gold today.

 
Comment by bill in Tampa
2011-01-27 18:50:11

$900 per ounce gold is when I start buying again.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 22:38:49

I can wait until $450.00,..or less ;-)

 
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-01-27 13:21:10

OK HBB’ers, hang on to your hats…

here is an article…

about a county …

that’s debt free!

http://www.denverpost.com/news/ci_17211013

And this isn’t so podunk county on the Kansas border, this is Weld County, home of Greeley (the inspiration for Michener’s “Centenial”).

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-01-27 14:07:59

Key point from the story:

It helps that the county gets help from oil and gas development. In 2009, when Weld got more than $20 million in oil and gas revenue, all of it was put in a contingency fund.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2011-01-27 14:23:35

Interesting that Weld County was also the center of the bust back when Colorado foreclosures were rising as everybody else was still partying (2005-6?).

Comment by In Colorado
2011-01-27 15:40:35

Lots of sub prime loans were made in Greeley. Not surprising as Weld County lacks good paying jobs..

 
 
 
Comment by Ben Jones
2011-01-27 13:21:59

I have been looking over the NYT report on the ‘government commission’s account of what caused the 2008 financial crisis’. I was inclined to throw out a response, but after looking at the details, I can see I need to put more thought into it. A few items:

‘a broad indictment of regulatory weakness, Wall Street avarice and corporate incompetence. But that narrative is competing with alternative views by the Republicans on the panel, who released their dissenting reports on Wednesday.’

‘One dissent points to broad economic forces that contributed to the credit and housing bubbles that built up during the last decade, including a glut of savings in developing Asian countries… It does not focus on the culpability of government and business leaders, as the main report does.’

‘The other dissent argues that decades of government policies to promote homeownership are to blame for the creation of tens of millions of shoddy mortgages before the housing bubble burst in 2006-7′

‘The main report…offers ample ammunition for critics of Wall Street. It cites “pervasive permissiveness” by regulators, “dramatic failures of corporate governance and risk management,” and “a systemic breakdown in accountability and ethics.”

‘In a 25-page dissent, the three Republicans say the Democratic report “is more an account of bad events than a focused explanation of what happened and why.” The three men say that some of the majority report’s culprits — excessive political influence of Wall Street, a deregulatory ideology and a flawed regulatory structure — fail to account for the failure of financial institutions in Europe.’

“By focusing too narrowly on U.S. regulatory policy and supervision, ignoring international parallels, emphasizing only arguments for greater regulation, failing to prioritize the causes and failing to distinguish sufficiently between causes and effects, the majority’s report is unbalanced and leads to incorrect conclusions,” they write.’

It looks like this commission used the opportunity to boost political agendas. Isn’t it possible that all these things contributed to the housing bubble? And what role did the Fed play, or industry groups, and didn’t individual greed have at least something to do with it?

The dissenters are correct that there are housing bubbles in many parts of the world. How can we pin the mania in, say China, on Wall Street? I suspect there is a politically motivated desire to package the housing bubble into a few sound-bites of blame. I’ll try to get a copy of the reports and post about them in a few days.

Comment by measton
2011-01-27 14:30:58

In a 25-page dissent, the three Republicans say the Democratic report “is more an account of bad events than a focused explanation of what happened and why.” The three men say that some of the majority report’s culprits — excessive political influence of Wall Street, a deregulatory ideology and a flawed regulatory structure — fail to account for the failure of financial institutions in Europe.’

1. You can’t expect the champions of deregulation to say that deregulation lead to this failure.
2. Deregulation occurred in other parts of the globe as well.
3. The easy money, created by securitization and the FED, certainly produced bubbles in other countries. In china it’s a manufacturing bubble. Without securitization and FED printing we would have seen deflation in this country long ago and higher unemployment as corporations moved jobs over to China.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 17:49:38

So, as I stand-under it, humans were “vulnerable” for tulips & stucco-houses…any other “tangible” items that might be considered as: “Possibilities” …now & “in-the-future”? ;-)

 
 
Comment by cobaltblue
2011-01-27 13:40:31

An interesting read from someone about my son’s age:

The system that has existed for most of our lives (all of my life) is crumbling under its own weight of insanity, immorality and fraud. The last ditch effort by the global elites has been to flood the world with money and make sure nothing they are invested in ever fails or defaults. This bought them a little time and their hope was that rising asset prices would boost confidence and lead to a recovery that could maybe keep this scam monetary system running for another decade or two.

My generation is coming into its own and we don’t buy the bull shit of our parents’ generation. We don’t believe in Democrat or Republican. We don’t believe in the system itself. We will be the ones making the decisions going forward. We will default on the astronomic promises our parents made to themselves. We will create an entirely new monetary and financial system. Real free-market capitalism will flourish, not this socialism for the rich garbage Obama loves so much. We will focus on doing good while doing well. Not because the government forces us to, rather because we are witness to and victims of this sick, twisted creation of our parents generation that celebrates total greed without the slightest concern of the consequences to others.

(From Mike Krieger)

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-01-27 14:28:50

We will focus on doing good while doing well. Not because the government forces us to, rather because we are witness to and victims of this sick, twisted creation of our parents generation that celebrates total greed without the slightest concern of the consequences to others.

Ummm, Mike, I’m 53 years old. Can I sign up for honorary membership in your generation? I like yours better.

 
Comment by measton
2011-01-27 14:44:45

There really is no such thing as socialism for the rich, it’s called facism. Wall Street has taken over the gov. The gov is by of and for the elite.

 
Comment by 2banana
2011-01-27 14:54:04

Hey Mike - 20 somethings voted for obama at 80%+

They love the guy.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 16:53:25

“heheeheeeheeee”, Shrub-somewhere-in Dallas ;-)

 
 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2011-01-27 15:19:36

Amen. The boomers and their cumulative errors, especially their mindless perpetuation of the Republicrat duopoly and its venal Wall Street-dictated policies, has bequeathed a staggering, unpayable debt on future generations.

 
Comment by measton
2011-01-27 15:38:24

Real free-market capitalism will flourish, not this socialism for the rich garbage Obama loves so much

1. There is no such thing as socialism for the rich. It is called facism. The elite have taken over the gov which is now of by and for Wall Street. This is in NO way socialism.

2. It goes back much further than Obama. As the middle class has be come less organized and poorer compared to the elite they have also lost political power. Think of it as a snow ball leaving the top of the mountain. At first it’s no big deal but eventually you are destroyed as it gobbles up everything in it’s path.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 16:20:04

“We will create an entirely new monetary and financial system. Real free-market capitalism will flourish, not this socialism for the rich garbage Obama loves so much.”

And the baby boomers were going to end ownership of property, monogamy, and war. One out of three aint bad!

Good luck, young man! Spark one up for me!

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 16:50:23

We will focus on doing good for ourselves, …while doing well to nothing for everyone else. ;-)

We will create an entirely new monetary and financial system, …that you can buy on sale at Wal-Mart (on throw-back days), we’ll even gift wrap it for you, free!.

BWAHAHAHicHAHAHicHAHAHAHAHicHAHAHic* (DennisN™)

 
 
Comment by measton
2011-01-27 14:01:29

CINCINNATI – Shoppers can expect some higher prices as the makers of toothpaste, soap and other everyday household products see their profit margins pinched by rising ingredient costs.

and

Name brand makers can expect people to move to generics or just give up on mouth wash and other products. Then we can expect more unemployment.

Comment by 2banana
2011-01-27 14:55:13

Stock market to rise 100% in 2011 based on this news.

Margins? We don’t need no stinkin margins!

 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2011-01-27 14:56:56

Yeah, they give up the mouthwash and they probably will get unemployed.

Seriously though, it’s the consumer that feels the pinch. Funny how the financial media is always perplexed by the idea that people will trade down. The Fed leans heavily on hedonics but their lackeys in the press are still baffled when people put it into action.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-01-27 14:32:12

State workers to suffer layoffs and salary cuts ~ cnnmoney

There will be lots more state workers joining the unemployment line this year.

Public employees are getting hit hard in the latest round of spending cuts as state officials look to close billion-dollar deficits. Governors across the nation are promising to eliminate thousands of positions and freeze or reduce salaries.

Texas lawmakers are proposing shedding 9,300 jobs, while Georgia’s governor said he’d erase 14,000 positions. New York’s governor is looking to lay off more than 10,000 workers and freeze salaries. And California’s and Nevada’s governors are proposing pay cuts of up to 10% and 5%, respectively.

Though state workers have suffered years of furloughs and downsizings, this year could prove to be the toughest yet. Federal stimulus money that kept many on the job is drying up, and some newly elected officials are bent on shrinking the role of the state.

“Many politicians have long talked about reducing the size of the government,” said Georgia Gov. Nathan Deal in his State of the State address earlier this month. “My friends, we are doing it.”

Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2011-01-27 16:32:18

Public sector workers being cut in the flyover states?! I predict massive riots in Egypt over this.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 16:40:52

Hwy’s fond of using MUrDoichk’s “TrueTruthEditing™” Faux News style intrusions:

Texas, controlled entirely by the “TruePurityPerry™” Repubican party regrets that…Texas State workers to suffer layoffs and salary cuts. ;-)

Federal lil Opie (the Non-Hawaiian) Muslim Destroyer of America provided stimulus money that kept many “TrueAnger™” + “TrueHypocrite’s™” on their jobs is now drying up, and some newly elected “TruePurity™” officials are bent on shrinking the role of the state.

“Many politicians have long talked about reducing the size of the government,” said Georgia Gov. Nathan Deal in his State of the State address earlier this month. “My friends, we are doing it.”

 
Comment by howiewowie
2011-01-27 17:06:22

Only 9,300 jobs in Texas. I thought the were looking at getting rid of 80,000-100,000 in the schools alone.

 
Comment by rms
2011-01-27 22:18:26

“Many politicians have long talked about reducing the size of the government,” said Georgia Gov. Nathan Deal in his State of the State address earlier this month. “My friends, we are doing it.”

I ain’t your friend, palooka.

 
 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2011-01-27 15:13:17

“My generation is coming into its own and we don’t buy the bull shit of our parents’ generation. We don’t believe in Democrat or Republican. We don’t believe in the system itself. We will be the ones making the decisions going forward. We will default on the astronomic promises our parents made to themselves. We will create an entirely new monetary and financial system. Real free-market capitalism will flourish, not this socialism for the rich garbage Obama loves so much. We will focus on doing good while doing well. Not because the government forces us to, rather because we are witness to and victims of this sick, twisted creation of our parents generation that celebrates total greed without the slightest concern of the consequences to others.”

- Mike Krieger

Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2011-01-27 15:54:46

Cobaltblue, I posted this before I saw that you’d posted it as well. Great minds think alike, no?

Comment by cobaltblue
2011-01-27 17:00:18

Hi Sammy,

It’s good to know that there are like-minded folks posting!

I’m in the generation the author is castigating, but there’s argument from me about it. The aspect of it I thought was noteworthy was that “defaulting on the astronomical promises made” is certainly in the mix for the future.

Mathematically, can it be any other way?

Comment by drumminj
2011-01-27 20:33:09

Mathematically, can it be any other way?

So long as you consider currency debasement a type of default, then no.

(and I agree with both of you)

Personally, I’d rather see my generation default by refusing to pay the debt, rather than devaluing the savings of the prudent folks so much that the debt is somehow payable in nominal terms.

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Comment by mikey
2011-01-27 17:02:18

“My generation is coming into its own and we don’t buy the bull shit of our parents’ generation.”

Hundreds of thousands of kids were chanting mantras like this from Frisco to DC and marching in the streets while upsetting and burning garbage cans.

Now they are divorced x2, fat, balding, hanging on and looking toward that guberment SS program.

Kinda amazing what 40 plus years of reality can do to all that exuberance and youthful idealism.

:)

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 17:39:31

Now they are divorced x2, fat, balding, hanging on and looking toward that guberment SS program.

Mikey, you need to insert “drugs” in there somewhere, somehow, …heck even “penile dysfunction” sounds like “legitimate” use to the bald guys in the ATF! ;-)

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 17:15:09

Pathetic naivete’. They’re going to get screwed just like every generation before them… unless they are willing to fight in the streets.

I don’t think their Xbox/Playstations are preparing them for that.

 
 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2011-01-27 15:20:37

“The world has paid with tens of millions of unemployed, who were in no way to blame and who paid for everything. It caused a lot of anger. Too much is too much. The world was stupefied to see one of five biggest U.S. banks collapse like a house of cards. We saw that for the last 10 years, major institutions in which we thought we could trust had done things which had nothing to do with simple common sense. That’s what happened… There is an ocean between flexibility and the scandal we saw. So if people present me as obsessed with regulation, it’s because there is a need for regulation. I don’t contest the principle of securitisation, but when one offshore country guaranteed 700 times its GDP, are we in the market economy or in a madhouse? Bonuses don’t bother me, provided there are also … draw-downs when there are losses. When things don’t work, you can never find anyone responsible. Those who got bumper bonuses for seven years should have made losses in 2008 when things collapsed.” - Nicolas Sarkozy

Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-01-27 15:38:01

Maybe I need to move to France. At least the CiC seems to have a handle on what the problem is.

Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2011-01-27 17:01:17

Sounds like you just had your own Sputnik moment, X-GSFixr.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-01-27 17:17:46

Sarkozy is a strange ranger, but my respect for him just raised up a little bit.

 
 
Comment by measton
2011-01-27 15:52:40

In Florida and Utah, education officials have embraced the controversial cost-cutting measure of putting students in digital classrooms.

Heck 1 teacher could cover the entire country. Think of the savings. You could record the math lectures and use them over and over.

Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2011-01-27 15:55:47

Digital classrooms? Yet another horrible idea that will put us further behind the rest of the world.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-01-27 16:26:28

Given the discipline problems in many inner-city schools, I could imagine digital classrooms being a benefit to those desiring to learn. Black kids, in particular, wouldn’t get accused of ‘acting white’ if they got good grades.

Comment by rms
2011-01-27 22:11:46

White kids, in particular, wouldn’t get accused of ‘acting Chinese’ if they got good grades.

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Comment by Mike in Miami
2011-01-27 16:34:38

“Heck 1 teacher could cover the entire country. Think of the savings”
Eliminate education all together and you could save even more.
/sarcasm off
A digital classroom? Whoever seriously considers such nonsense hasn’t been in a classroom for a very long time. But why stop there? Just give everybody a math/english/science/whatever book and tell them when and where the final exam will be. That eliminates schools, teachers, buses & drivers, fuel cost, janitors and most administrators.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-01-27 17:12:08

A digital classroom?

Nix, nix, nix…Analog Radio,…Click & Clack,…every weekend, from sex broken pistons to frozen catalytic converters,…Free! ;-)

 
 
 
Comment by rms
2011-01-27 20:20:09

It’s great being a member of the deep-pocket flock!

“Emanuel can run for Chicago mayor”

CHICAGO — Illinois’ highest court put Rahm Emanuel back in the race for Chicago mayor Thursday, three days after a lower court threw the former White House chief of staff off the ballot because he had not lived in the city for a full year.

 
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