February 24, 2011

Bits Bucket for February 25, 2011

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 00:38:46

Too bad for lil’ sis, who has owned two homes there since year-end 2006, one of which she has been fixin’ to sell for five years running…

House prices continue to fall in St. Louis area
BY DAVID NICKLAUS
St. Louis Post-Dispatch | Posted: Thursday, February 24, 2011 12:15 pm

Taking down an open house sign in Webster Groves

FILE: August 2010 _ A real estate agent closes down an open house in WEbster Groves. Robert Cohen/Post-Dispatch

Housing prices in metropolitan St. Louis fell 4.98 percent last year, according to the purchase-only index compiled by the Federal Housing Finance Agency.

* Related: St. Louis-area building permits hit low in January
* Related: Good time to buy a home? Might depend on your lender
* Related: Nixon, Kinder spar over tax credits for low income housing

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 21:16:15

St. Louis-area building permits hit low in January
By TIM LOGAN
St. Louis Post-Dispatch
Monday, February 21, 2011 9:52 am

The new home market in St. Louis showed no signs of thawing in January.

Just 120 permits to build new single-family homes were issued on the Missouri side of the river in the month, according to figures from the Home Builders Association of Eastern Missouri. That is 43 percent fewer than last January and is tied with Nov. 2008 for the lowest one-month total on record.

The snowy weather may have been one factor, but permits are typically issued before construction starts on a home, and so are less weather-sensitive than housing starts. A bigger factor may simply be the continued weak economy and housing market.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 21:19:58

Census shows city is ‘hollowing out’
St. Louis Post-Dispatch
Friday, February 25, 2011 4:45 am

ST. LOUIS • The city’s population has dropped to a level not seen since the late 19th century, with some neighborhoods in the north losing more than 20 percent of their residents.

In all, the city lost 8 percent of its population from 2000, about 29,000 people.

St. Louis County also saw its population drop, by 1.7 percent, to below 1 million people. Meanwhile, the rest of the Missouri counties in the St. Louis region grew, based on new population numbers released Thursday by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 22:46:25

For some reason, I find that sad.

 
 
 
Comment by Muggy
2011-02-25 02:18:28

“”I’m telling clients to stay in the house, live there and keep the house up,” Moore said. With the legal backlog, “it’s going to be six months to three years to even get the complaint filed by the mortgage company.”

http://www.tampabay.com/news/business/personalfinance/article1153658.ece

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 14:03:31

“…three years to even get the complaint filed…”

No housing bottom until at least 2011 + 3 = 2014…

Comment by Muggy
2011-02-25 19:00:46

Roger that.

 
 
 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 02:22:25

Comment by cactus
2011-02-24 09:48:22
The trick in CA if you are a fireman is to own a motorhome and during brush fire season park it near the fire lines, live out of it, sleep in it, etc and for the next 3 weeks get triple time 24 hours each day. this will help with your salary when you decide to retire at 53 years old.

———————-

Okay, now this is they type of nonsensical hyperbole that gets me riled up. When people post these totally made-up lies as “facts” on blogs, too many lazy people take it as fact, without any actual knowledge or information about it…and the debate is lost.

Firstly, firefighters do not make triple time, and I’ve NEVER even heard of anyone making double time for O/T. They make 1 1/2 times regular pay only for the days they are unscheduled to work. On their regularly scheduled days, they make regular time. That is all.

Firefighters do NOT bring private vehicles to fires. I know people who’ve been on some of the largest fires in California history, and nobody has ever heard of anyone taking a private motor home to a fire (I asked, because of this post). Firefighters have to be assigned to a fire, and they take *fire apparatus* (engines, brush trucks, etc.) to the fires, not private vehicles.

On most brush fires lasting a few days, firefighters sleep a few hours per day, if they’re lucky. They often sleep on the ground, on rudimentary cots, or on top of, or in the fire engines IF they are able to do that. I know that during the 2007 fires in San Diego, some firefighters went three days without sleep, only dozing for an hour or so whenever they had the chance (never more than 1-2 hours on any given day, if that).

If a fire lasts for a longer period of time (weeks or months), a fire camp is set up by the forest service or CDF/Cal-Fire, and these camps will have a shower trailer, and some trailers or tents (like a bunk room) to sleep in. They are NOT private vehicles.

One more myth you’ve alluded to that needs to be debunked is the notion that overtime can be used to spike pensions. Overtime is NOT used in the retirement calculations in any of the departments I’m aware of.
————————

Guys, if you want to debate, that’s fine; but throwing around lies in order to make your points does not work. Some of us actually know the facts and will call you on it.

Let’s keep it real.

Comment by Mike in Miami
2011-02-25 05:56:10

Look, reality meets union contracts.
Yes, unions helped out millions, I am not here to bash unions. However, the reality is that those promises and contracts made in the past can not be fullfilled because the money is not there. Sure, politicians past promised everything, the sky was the limit. That got out the union vote and got the politicians elected. Today’s realities are a declining middle class that hasn’t seen wage increases in decades and is in debt up to their eyeballs. Just look at the foreclosures. Increasing pension obligations and a declining tax base for local authorities. Public unions have been shielded from reality long enough, the money is simply not there anymore. Try to raise taxes on the rich or corporations and you’ll find out that today’s capital is amazingly mobile. Welcome to globalization.
Those are the results when you decide to compete against slave labor. The size of the pie stayed the same, just our slice got a lot smaller. Personally, I am not willing to make additional sacrifices so that some union worker can retire 10 years before I can. Not going to happen.

Comment by skroodle
2011-02-25 07:18:24

Ironically, anti-​​union Republicans need unions

[Excerpt]

By Walter Brasch

And in the ultimate irony, Rush Limbaugh, who called union workers
“bottom-feeding freeloaders,” Glenn Beck, who miraculously linked trade unionism with Communists, socialists, the Muslim Brotherhood, and the United Nations, and numerous other conservative commentators are all members of the American Federation of Television and Radio Artists (AFTRA), an AFL-CIO union.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 07:25:09

LOL!!!!

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 22:09:24

Why do Republicans idolize morons? Maybe they should change their name to the Republitard party?

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 22:10:27

Why do Republicans idolize morons? Maybe they should rename themselves the Republitard party?

 
 
Comment by Jim A
2011-02-25 08:04:46

Well yes, but if they had a choice, they probably wouldn’t be, and that might explain some of their anger. For the most part, stars (whether movie, radio or salesmen) don’t need unions. The concentration of wealth means that THEY can negotiate good payouts for themselves, unless they signed terrible contracts BEFORE they became stars. Rather unions benefit those who AREN’T stars and have little individual negotiating power, although in aggregate their jobs are important.

So those who are against unions tend to be either those who believe that the success of stars is deserved, because of hard work or ability, and/or those who are PAYING more for the services or products of union employees.

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Comment by Steve J
2011-02-25 09:20:59

Limbaugh works out of his house in Florida, AFTRA membership is voluntary and I imagine his maid & gardener are not union members.

Beck probably kept his membership from his DJ years in morning radio when he benefitted from union membership.

Don’t forget, the guys at the radio/tv stations that play thier shows are all Union members.

 
Comment by Jim A
2011-02-25 11:09:00

Don’t forget, the guys at the radio/tv stations that play thier shows are all Union members. Whose jobs are “important in aggregate,” even though they aren’t stars.

 
Comment by mikey
2011-02-25 11:11:56

The head of the Wisconsin Police Association asks the govenor to keep the Capitol open, announces a police sleepover.

The cops will be sleeping with the protestors in the Capitol.

Wow, that will suprise the govenors National Guard.

Wait, the cops — are the National Guard !!

Come to Madison and Cuddle a Cop.

:)

http://tinyurl.com/4j4hrxt

 
Comment by mikey
2011-02-25 11:29:48

OMG ~~ We’re gonna need a lot MORE of those chocolate covered doughnuts donuts folks !!

:)

 
Comment by Dale
2011-02-25 18:23:19

“The head of the Wisconsin Police Association asks the govenor to keep the Capitol open, announces a police sleepover.”………

More overtime, more overtime, Kaching, Kaching!!!!!!

 
 
Comment by mikey
2011-02-25 08:34:59

Very interesting video clip from Faux News. Even Shepard Smith is calling the Scott Walker manufactured Wisconsin budget crisis Malarky and just plain out Union Busting:

“Shepard Smith’s conversation today with commentator Juan Williams would likely surprise loyal viewers of both Fox News and MSNBC. Shep’s repeated assertion that there is no longer a budget crisis in Wisconsin and that the battle in the state is all about politics and union-busting was most shocking because that’s the exact argument many of MSNBC’s commentators have made, and continue to be suggesting.

Shep suggested that the Democratic party could be in big trouble if their biggest donors, the unions, lose their power and summed it up as “bust the unions – it’s over.” Furthermore, Shep brought up the fact that the “Koch brothers, among others, were organizing to try to bust labor – it’s what big business wants to do.” Given that the Koch brothers contributed to the campaign of Wisconsin Governor Walker, Shep said people should not be surprised that now they want unions busted. Despite Shep claiming “I’m not taking a side on this, I’m telling you what’s going on,” Williams warned Shep that “just by telling the facts, you’re angering a lot of people…”

“Oddly, it seems Shep’s unexpected disclosure of facts does give some credence to at least the Koch brothers component of Ed Schultz’s argument that the union showdown is part of a right wing “master plan.” However, given that Shep adamantly declared “to pretend this is about a fiscal crisis in the state of Wisconsin is malarkey,” it seems like Fox News’ participation in such a “master plan” isn’t what Schultz might have suspected”

http://tinyurl.com/4mu75p7

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 09:55:43

“just by telling the facts, you’re angering a lot of people…”

Tell me about it.

 
Comment by mikey
2011-02-25 10:24:55

OMG Faux News…Donnn’t Do It…

The right wingers CAN’T handle the Facts !!

:)

 
Comment by pismoclam
2011-02-25 17:54:29

I want to bust the SEIU in my town. Ave City employee gets 40% more per year than private does - plus pension! What’s wrong with this ?

 
Comment by JAMESY
2011-02-25 18:35:44

40% more per year for the same job title and duties? Or are you comparing people with college degrees to workers at mcdonalds?

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-02-25 10:17:58

Ever CONsistent & True they be…

“TrueDeceiver’s™ / TrueHypocrite™” :-)

Ho ho, hah hah, hehehehehehe, BwaHaHaAhHAHAHAHAHAHA!!! (Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb-thrower™)

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 16:19:16

Why do Republicans worship morons like Rush?

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Comment by Dale
2011-02-25 18:33:02

“Why do Republicans worship morons like Rush”….

To listen to Rush you have to first put it in context and realize that what he is talking about will be taken to the extreme. It makes for good rateings and entertainment. That being said, you will often hear things that make you go Hmmmmmm!

So, if you can put it in perspective, you will get a first hand look at the opposing side. Get out of it what you can get out of it. Same goes for NPR.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 21:05:05

“It makes for good rateings and entertainment.”

What if you don’t find the bloviated rantings of a narcotics addict to be whatsoever entertaining?

 
 
 
Comment by mikey
2011-02-25 09:11:03

“Those are the results when you decide to compete against slave labor. The size of the pie stayed the same, just our slice got a lot smaller. Personally, I am not willing to make additional sacrifices so that some union worker can retire 10 years before I can. Not going to happen.”

What do you want to happen ?

Do you want all of America to work for slave wages like the do in “Right to Work” plantation run states like the Florida?

You either have workers unions as a political and economic balance force in the US or you have a 100% authoritarian GOP Corporate Fascist nationalist political ideology running this country lock, stock and barrel.

Comment by GH
2011-02-25 09:57:16

I guess my beef with Unions right now is that I am being asked to assume the excess cost at a time when everyone should be taking their fair share of the losses.

The pro union folks seem to think this is a fair shake and I should cough up the dough despite the fact I have assumed very large losses like most small businesses over the last couple of years.

So, I think the question Unions are evading and everyone else is asking is really a simple one. We know where all the money came from in the real estate bubble, and fair enough it was swooshing around all over. Where is all this money coming from today?

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Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 12:41:32

Most unions have been conceding pay and benefits for 20 years.

CEOs and BODs have been conceding… nothing.

You might want to talk to them about taking in the shorts.

 
Comment by Kirisdad
2011-02-25 13:00:15

I know my union has had to pay for every COL increase, through benefit concessions, for the last ten years.(ex: reduction of OT rate of pay, training on your own time, starting salaries.)

 
Comment by GH
2011-02-25 18:17:04

I guess some unions are more successful than others. Here in San Diego they have been very successful indeed!

You will notice that in all the places Unions are strong, the municipalities are on the verge of bankruptcy.

Also I don’t really buy the whole CEO’s are thieving thugs so we should be too argument. CEO pay is clearly way out of line, and banksters bonuses etc are worse. That said, just because one group is stealing from me does not justify another doing the same, and does not answer the basic question I raised which is OK, government employees are fantastic deserving people who should be highly compensated. By whom? Which bank account should the checks be written against?

And lastly since unions are great for everyone, where is MY representation?

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 19:03:51

There are lot more places where the unions aren’t strong where the municipalities are just as broke.

And yes, you are correct that unions are more successful in some places than others.

 
 
Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 10:44:49

unions as a political and economic balance force in the US ??

Nothing wrong with unions just not appropriate in the pubic sector…

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Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 10:46:33

oops…Pubic = Public… LOL

 
Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 10:54:07

It wasn’t an error… Merkins don’t make errors! Merkins don’t apologize!

Definition of Merkin

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merkin

 
Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 12:03:47

I knew it was going to be you that would exploit my mistake exeter…LOL :)

 
Comment by howiewowie
2011-02-25 13:16:40

In newspaper headline writing, leaving the “L” out of “public” is considered on of the cardinal sins of the whole profession. That and putting the f-word in 60 point type. But the public thing is more likely to happen.

 
Comment by bink
2011-02-25 14:03:41

I don’t think anyone is against pubic unions.

 
Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 15:06:43

LOL….You guys are funny…

 
 
 
Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 10:30:33

“However, the reality is that those promises and contracts made in the past can not be fullfilled because the money is not there.”

So tell us… where did it go?

Comment by Steamed Bean
2011-02-25 11:10:31

It never existed. If I write you a $1 million IOU due in 10 years, does the money exist?

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Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-02-25 11:53:06

It exists.

But the people who currently “own” it keep threatening to take their ball and go elsewhere, unless the rules are slanted even more in their favor.

The policies the Republicans have been promoting since Roosevelt (Eisenhower excepted) have been globalization, “free markets” (at least for J6P), deregulation, and this John-Wayne-esqe “if you can’t pull yourself up by your bootstraps, you are obviously a lazy ba$tard” fantasy.

Since these policies have been promoted and implemented, things have gotten visibly and measurably worse for the bottom 90% of the food chain.

The Republicans answer to all this is that things suck, because those crappy liberals/socialists have kept them from fully implementing the Master Plan.

No consideration whatsoever that maybe the Plan sucks.

 
Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 11:54:07

You’re saying there has never been a balanced budget in any state ever which is false.

Where did the money go?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 12:26:43

The Republicans answer to all this is that things suck, because those crappy liberals/socialists have kept them from fully implementing the Master Plan.

No consideration whatsoever that maybe the Plan sucks.

That’s poetry.

 
Comment by Steamed Bean
2011-02-25 13:20:10

No exeter, I am saying that there is not enough money backing the future IOU’s. States have balanced their budgets, based on current cash flow, but the budget may have been balanced by failing to make its required $200 million pension contribution that year. Do that for a number of years and state pensions are little more than IOU’s. Just another form of off-balance sheet debt and the money was spent on whatever government deemed more important than funding its future promises.

 
Comment by GH
2011-02-25 18:21:54

So the money IS in the bank, and checks simply need to be written then even though costs such as medical go up 20% a year. Last I heard here in San Diego, the pension fund was underfunded to the tune of 2 billion, but you are saying they in fact have the 2 billion safely put away in the fund and they are lying?

I for one don’t buy it. Fund managers way overestimated investment returns which in some cases have lost money. They based tax income at maximum bubble levels, assumed a lower lifespan and that medical costs would remain even. All false assumptions it turns out, so the money is in fact NOT there.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-02-25 23:41:32

GH …so therefore we don’t attack any of the costs that threw the budget out of whack ,such as health care ,to bring down the costs .

So Pension managers are incompetent ,but lets keep them on the job or promote them. . Wall Street Investment middlemen are criminals and Ponzi-schemers ,but they get bailed out and they are entitled to their bubble profits and they get to go out and continue to get ill-gotten gain. Health care industry monopoly is entitled to their higher profit margins
and bubble gains and they get to increase prices anytime they want ,so the public pensions will always run short . Outsourcing and out-manufacturing and improper tariffs and trade balances will continue to erode our tax-base ,thereby making it impossible to pay the pensions ,and making it impossible to increase jobs or wages on jobs .

Why don’t we just hand over all the money right now to
Wall Street and Corporate America and the Multi-National Companies and just reduce all the workers to 5 bucks a hour
with no benefits and get this over with .Lets just take away Social Security and Medicare and be done with it ,who care if the older people have any medical coverage ,they don’t have any value to Corporations anymore except being a liability they were suppose to pay for . Hell just all parties default and start from the law of the Jungle .

 
 
Comment by Jim A
2011-02-25 11:11:38

Bucky went to Wall Street….And died.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 09:22:09

On most brush fires lasting a few days, firefighters sleep a few hours per day, if they’re lucky. They often sleep on the ground, on rudimentary cots, or on top of, or in the fire engines IF they are able to do that.

A few years ago, I did post-Katrina reconstruction in Mississippi. On my first of three trips to MS, my roommate was a U.S. Forest Service smokejumper. What she told me about her summer job was consistent with the above statements.

During the winter months, she worked at construction jobs. She was doing the Katrina volunteer gig to, as she put it, “download” after fire season and before she started constructing for pay.

She was one of the liveliest members of our work crew, and a true joy to be around. It was a privilege to work with her.

 
Comment by cactus
2011-02-25 09:42:01

yes it’s possible my old dad has been lying to me all these years and Ca renter on a blog has shown me the error of my ways

“Overtime is NOT used in the retirement calculations in any of the departments I’m aware of.”

MSM seems to think differently and I will post links when I find them.

 
Comment by cactus
2011-02-25 09:49:23

http://longbeachtaxpayers.org/tools/qp.dwp?task=show_post&post_id=4620

Cal Fire employee retirement salaries are based on their last year’s salary plus overtime. The overtime can easily average $12,000 to $15,000 with their “Portal to Portal Pay System.” For example, a fire truck engineer (driver) who makes between $85,000 to $100,000 has his retirement based on $100,000 plus $12,000 overtime for a base figure of $112,000. Ninety percent of $112,000 is a yearly retirement of $100,800. Is it fair to the taxpayers and the state for any employee to make more in retirement than when working? In 20 years of retirement this last year’s overtime alone will cost the taxpayers $216,000.

Comment by Bill in Tampa
2011-02-25 10:56:04

+1 Cactus

Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-02-25 15:02:28

Ok ,I agree with that one that playing with the overtime is bogus .

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Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 22:49:47

I agree with that as well. Will confirm whether or not this is really true and get back to cactus tomorrow.

 
 
 
Comment by denquiry
2011-02-25 12:11:35

Is it fair to the taxpayers and the state for any employee to make more in retirement than when working?
——————————————————————————-
congress, senators, and ex-presidents seem to think so.

Comment by Steve J
2011-02-25 12:31:23

Current (2009) benefits for ex-Presidents provide a lifetime pension of $191,300.

According to the Congressional Research Service, 413 retired Members of Congress were receiving federal pensions based fully or in part on their congressional service as of Oct. 1, 2006. Of this number, 290 had retired under CSRS and were receiving an average annual pension of $60,972. A total of 123 Members had retired with service under both CSRS and FERS or with service under FERS only. Their average annual pension was $35,952 in 2006.

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Comment by Lola
2011-02-25 12:28:04

“In 20 years of retirement this last year’s overtime alone will cost the taxpayers $216,000.”

And how much extra would it cost the taxpayer to hire more full time workers (with their associated benefits) so that the existing employees didn’t have to work overtime in the first place?

Comment by GH
2011-02-25 18:24:09

It is VERY hard to get hired on as a firefighter, and salaries are way beyond that necessary to attract good talent.

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Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 18:37:59

During the bubble, fire and police departments were handing out signing bonuses because they couldn’t get enough qualified applicants.

 
Comment by GH
2011-02-25 18:43:06

The bubble is what this blog is all about. A gigantic imbalance which has collapsed our economy into the worst recession (depression) since the depression. Everywhere we look efforts are being made to cling onto the bubble wins in terms of housing prices, wages etc.

The simple fact is that the money is gone now, and adjustments MUST be made, just like I have had to make adjustments along with millions of others in the West.

I am not saying these good folks are not deserving I am saying we cannot afford them.

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 22:51:31

GH,

Even I had posted the other day about concessions that MANY people need to make, including union employees. But trying to make public sector unions the scapegoats for the financial sector is WRONG.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-02-25 23:16:01

I am not so willing to just let it stand that the Culprits get to keep their bubble profits ,even get bailed out on the taxpayers dime ,and we just take it out of the hide of the taxpayers and the people . This approach is not going to get the balance of power back to proper functioning .

 
 
 
Comment by Kirisdad
2011-02-25 13:05:56

NYS retirement system is based on the best continuous five years of service. There is a 10% cap between each year. This has been in effect since 1977.

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 22:45:19

From cactus’ link:

Legislators should change the 3 percent credit for each year of service to 2.5 percent and raise the retirement age to at least 55 years. This would still be a generous retirement compared to most civilians in the private sector. Also, Cal Fire’s “Portal to Portal” pay system needs a drastic overhaul.
—————–

I’ve advocated for changing the formula from 3% to 2%, just the other day, right here on this blog. Many departments DO have a 55 age requirement for retirement.

Also, that “90% of pay” thing that’s so often throws around means that the employee has to work 30 years (3% X 30 = 90%), and unless they started working at 20 (most don’t), they have to wait until they are older than 50 to retire at that rate, anyway.

As far as the “Portal to Portal” pay, they are paid for the days they are assigned to work. They are NOT allowed to go to bars, etc. when they are working/being paid. While they might not be actively on the fire (there are restrictions for how many hours/days they can work on the fire line), they are still maintaining equipment, restocking, etc. They are not allowed to hang out in bars, etc. as if they are “off work” or on some sort of vacation if they are being paid. They might be eating, but one would assume they are allowed to eat when on a strike team, no?

Will address your “overtime” comment in another post.

 
 
Comment by cactus
2011-02-25 09:51:27

http://longbeachtaxpayers.org/tools/qp.dwp?task=show_post&post_id=4620

These agencies have overly generous salaries, overtime pay and retirement benefits. The state could save tens of millions of dollars each fire season if they stop paying state firefighters and overhead personnel dispatched to fire 24 hours per day. Cal Fire’s “Portal to Portal Pay Schedule” means they pay their off-duty personnel overtime at their motels while they watch TV, sit around the pool, dine out at fine restaurants (at government expense), go to a movie, drink at a bar and sleep there during the night with air conditioning, etc. It is in their contract that they are not required to stay at fire camps, but will travel to fires in their fire trucks or vehicles up to 25 to 40 miles away. I do not know of any other state or federal agency that does this or has such a lucrative overtime pay system.

In contrast, in federal agencies of the U.S. Forest Service, U.S. Park Service and Bureau of Land Management, fire personnel get paid overtime only when they are on duty working the fire. They also eat and sleep at the fire camp located near the fire in their off duty hours, without pay.”

I guess my Old dad wasn’t lying to me after all good to know

 
Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 10:37:34

they make regular time. That is all ??

Isn’t $909. per day enough for a junior fireman ??

Or $1,174. per day for a Captain ??

How about $1,401. per day for a battalion chief ??

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 22:53:11

Where are you getting your numbers, scdave? Those look like overtime numbers, not regular time.

 
 
Comment by cactus
2011-02-25 11:09:37

CA renter is schooled on Blog

“Firstly, firefighters do not make triple time, and I’ve NEVER even heard of anyone making double time for O/T.”

You’re right no triple time its was hyperbole on my part. Double time is not uncommon for long shifts I even used to get double time back in the day.. long ago

California’s labor laws are enforced by the Division of Labor Standards Enforcement (DLSE) in the California Department of Industrial Relations.

Minimum Wage

California’s minimum wage is currently set at $8 per hour. The current Federal minimum wage rate is $7.25 per hour effective July 24, 2009. Prior to July 24, 2009, it was $6.55 per hour.

Overtime Regulations

California Labor Laws require overtime pay to be paid to non-exempt employees under the following circumstances:

•Any hours worked over 8 per day at 1 ½ times regular pay rate
•Any hours worked over 40 per week at 1 ½ times regular pay rate
•First 8 hours on the 7th consecutive day worked at 1 ½ times regular pay rate
•Any work in excess of 12 hours per day at 2 times regular rate
•Any work in excess of 8 hours on the 7th consecutive day at 2 times regular rate

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 16:17:36

cactus,

You’re the one being schooled.

Firefighters are EXEMPT from these overtime laws because of their shifts and type of work.

Again, FIREFIGHTERS DO NOT GET DOUBLE TIME OR TRIPLE TIME.

Comment by cactus
2011-02-25 18:28:12

really ?

“While many of the “regular rules” of the FLSA apply to fire protection employees, there are some “special rules,” as well. These include “special 7(k) work periods” which may increase the FLSA overtime thresholds, and some peculiar regulations governing “sleep time.”

Special “7(k) Work Periods.” Public-sector (government) fire departments may establish special “7(k) work periods” for sworn firefighters, which can increase the FLSA overtime “thresholds” beyond the normal 40 hour week. Firefighters covered by these special work periods are entitled to FLSA overtime only for hours worked in excess of a threshold set by the Department of Labor on a chart. For example, in a 28 day work period, fire fighters would be entitled to FLSA overtime only for hours actually worked over 212 during that 28 day period (in essence, a 53 hour work week). “7(k)” refers to the section of the FLSA in which these special rules are contained, 29 USC §207(k). Most fire fighters who work “platoon schedules” will be classified by their employers as “7(k) eligible” and compensated accordingly.

The special work periods and overtime rules are available only for employees who meet the statutory definition of “employees in fire protection activities” which is contained at §203(y):

`Employee in fire protection activities’ means an employee, including a firefighter, paramedic, emergency medical technician, rescue worker, ambulance personnel, or hazardous materials worker, who–

(1) is trained in fire suppression, has the legal authority and responsibility to engage in fire suppression, and is employed by a fire department of a municipality, county, fire district, or State, and

(2) is engaged in the prevention, control, and extinguishment of fires or response to emergency medical situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk.

Thus, to qualify for §7(k) pay as a fire protection employee under this statutory definition, an EMS employee must (a) work for a (government) fire department, (b) be trained in fire suppression, (c) have the legal authority to fight fires, (d) have the responsibility to fight fires, (e) and either actually engage in fire suppression work of the type defined or non-fire related emergency responses.

This statutory definition is new (December, 1999). How this new statute will be interpreted by the courts is as yet unknown. For example, the statute does not specify what “trained in fire suppression” means., and appears to limit the fire protection classification to fire fighters whose fire-related jobs include engaging in “prevention, control and extinguishment” of fires. However, it is likely that “real” fire fighters will be qualified for §7(k) pay as employees in fire protection even if their normal jobs are to provide medical services and not fire suppression.

Private fire protection employers are not permitted to use the special §7(k) work periods, and employees of private fire companies must be paid FLSA overtime for all hours worked over 40 per week. A private fire company means a fire protection unit of private industry. A public sector fire company means that the employer is the government. Employees of “volunteer” fire departments probably count as public sector employees.

Hours Worked. For FLSA purposes, “hours worked” means time when the employee is actually performing services for the employer. These are the only hours which must be included when determining if FLSA overtime is due. Thus, for example, “Kelly days” or other paid leave days do not count as hours worked for FLSA purposes. “Sleep time” and meal breaks may or may not count as FLSA hours worked, see below. FLSA overtime is due only when and to the extent that FLSA hours worked exceed the applicable FLSA overtime threshold — 40 hours per week or whatever the applicable “chart” hours are for a 7(k) work period. So long as employees receive at least minimum wage for FLSA hours worked under the FLSA overtime threshold, there is generally no federal violation. “FLSA overtime” may therefore be different from “contract overtime.”

FLSA hours worked include not only “on the clock” hours worked, but also “off the clock” hours worked, so long as the employer “knows or has reason to believe” that the employee is performing this “extra” work and permits it to happen. The following may constitute compensable FLSA hours worked when performed during off the clock time: Care and maintenance of work equipment (e.g., arson dogs, trucks and engines, hoses, uniforms), work performed before or after regular shifts, job-related paperwork performed at home, job-related telephone calls from home, (most) training time.

Sleep Time. The FLSA permits employers to exclude up to 8 hours from work time when shifts are exactly 24 consecutive hours (private sector) or more than 24 hours (public sector), as “sleep time.” To permit a sleep time exclusion requires that there be an “agreement” with the employees. An employee who takes a job which has a sleep time exclusion in place will be deemed to have “agreed” to it. There must also be adequate sleeping facilities, and the employees must normally have the opportunity to obtain 5 hours of sleep. The 5 hours need not be consecutive, and if an employee does not have the opportunity to get at least 5 hours of sleep no sleep time exclusion is permitted. Any time during the sleep period when an employee is actually performing work must be counted as work time.

Meal Periods. Unpaid meal periods may be excluded from FLSA hours worked, so long as the employee actually gets to take an “uninterrupted” meal break. Minor interruptions will be tolerated, but if an employee “works through lunch” the time must be included as FLSA hours worked. Merely being “on call” during a meal period is not sufficient to require meal breaks to be included as FLSA hours worked.

“On Call” or “Stand By” Time. On call or stand by time need not generally be included as FLSA hours worked. An employer may require employees to “remain available” to be called into work without having to pay FLSA wages for that time. The only exception is if the employer places restrictions on the use of stand by or on call time which make it virtually impossible for the employee to use the time for any personal purposes. Such situations are very rare. “If you can watch TV when you are on call, you probably are not entitled to FLSA compensation for the time.” Any work an employee does during on call or stand by status must be compensated appropriately.

Schedule Adjustments. The FLSA permits employers to adjust schedules to avoid FLSA overtime, so long as the adjustments occur within a work period. Thus, a fire company may, consistent with the FLSA, require an employee “not to work” within a work period, for the purpose of avoiding the employee reaching the FLSA overtime threshold during that work period. However, an employer is not permitted to “average” FLSA hours worked from work period to work period. Stated another way, the FLSA is generally not concerned with an employee’s actual schedule within a work period. The employer may, consistent with the FLSA, require an employee to work pretty much when it wishes. The FLSA generally governs only how an employee must be paid for FLSA overtime worked during a work period. The employee’s FLSA hours worked “vest” at the end of the last day of the work period. At that point, the total FLSA hours worked (during that work period) are added, and any FLSA hours worked over the FLSA threshold must be compensated as overtime. Overtime owed for FLSA hours worked during one work period may not be offset by “hours not worked” during some other work period. Note that local law, employment contracts, or collective bargaining agreements may independently restrict an employer from requiring schedule adjustments, irrespective of the FLSA.

Regular Rate. FLSA overtime must be paid at time and one-half the employee’s “regular rate.” The FLSA regular rate is always stated as an hourly rate, no matter how the employees are really paid. To determine the regular rate, you take the total compensation paid for “regular” hours in a work period, and divide it by the number of “regular” hours that pay is intended to compensate. Employees who are paid on a “salary” basis have their salaries “pro-rated” to determine the hourly equivalent for purposes of FLSA regular rate computations. For example, consider a fire fighter who earns a “salary” of $21,840 per year and is paid under a 204 hour, 27 day “7(k)” work period. The firefighter in question works 216 scheduled hours each 27 day period. Thus, 204 of these regularly scheduled hours are FLSA “straight time” hours, and 12 hours are FLSA overtime hours. The work period equivalent of the annual salary is about $1,617. (There are about 13.5 27 day work periods per year; $21,840 divided by 13.5 = $1,617.) The regular rate for this firefighter is about $7.48 per hour. ($1,617 divided by 216 scheduled hours that the salary is intended to compensate.) The employee has received straight time pay ($7.48 per hour) for all the hours worked in the work period. Twelve of those hours are FLSA overtime hours, for which the employee is entitled to time and one-half the regular rate. Therefore, the employee is entitled to an additional $44.88 to “make up the difference” between straight time (already paid) and time and one-half (due) for the twelve overtime hours. The firefighter should therefore receive $1,661.88 if s/he worked the regular 216 hours during the work period.

If this same firefighter is called into work extra duty during this work period and, as a consequence, works more than the scheduled hours, s/he must be compensated for this additional time at time and one-half the regular rate. So, for example, if this same firefighter worked an additional twelve hours during this work period, s/he should be paid a total of about $1,796, computed as follows: The “salary equivalent” for the work period is $1,617. The “overtime premium” due for the regularly scheduled twelve hours of overtime worked is $44.88. Twelve hours of additional duty are compensated at time and one-half the regular rate, or $11.22 per hour (one and one-half times the $7.48 per hour regular rate), or about $134.64 ($11.22 times twelve hours). $1,617 + $44.88 + $134.64 = ~$1,796.

An employee’s FLSA overtime rate should be calculated to include not only “base pay” but also various “wage augments” such as “longevity pay” and “shift differentials.” These must be included only for calculating the employee’s FLSA overtime rate, and need not be included for any other pay purposes.

Compensatory Time. Government employers are permitted to pay some FLSA overtime with “comp. time” in lieu of cash wages. To be permitted to pay FLSA overtime with comp. time instead of cash, there must be an “agreement” with the employees before the FLSA overtime work is performed. If the employees are represented by a union, this agreement must be collectively bargained. If not, it may be a “condition of employment” (at least for new hires) or contained in individual agreements. Comp. time in lieu of cash wages for FLSA overtime must be paid at the appropriate FLSA overtime rate — time and one-half. Employees must be permitted to use their accrued FLSA comp. time pretty much when they want to. An employer may not prohibit an employee from using accrued FLSA comp. time unless the time off would create a real disruption in operations. A desire by the employer to avoid having to call in another employee for shift coverage are not sufficient reasons to deny comp. time requests, as that is a financial reason and not an operational hardship.

There can be no “use it or lose it” restrictions on accumulation of FLSA comp. time (although the employer may “buy out” accrued FLSA comp. time with cash). There may be a “cap” on the number of FLSA comp. time hours which may be “in the bank,” up to a maximum of 480. Any additional FLSA overtime hours must be paid in cash wages. Employees who leave the job or retire are entitled to receive cash wages for accrued comp. time, usually at their current pay rates.

The law is not consistent from jurisdiction to jurisdiction about whether employers may require employees to “burn” accrued comp. time, or to use other accrued paid leave first (such as vacation leave). A case is currently pending in the Supreme Court (December, 1999) which may resolve some of these questions.

The FLSA comp. time rules apply only to “FLSA comp. time.” This is “time” awarded in lieu of cash wages for hours worked which would be required to be treated and paid as overtime under the FLSA. Some employers grant comp. time to employees for other purposes or on other schedules. The FLSA comp. time rules do not apply to this kind of comp. time.

“Moonlighting” and “Dual Employment.” Employees may not “volunteer” to do similar work for the same employer without the time being counted as FLSA work time. Firefighters may not perform “additional” fire related activities for their employers without that time being included as hours worked for FLSA pay computation purposes. Also, employees who work “two jobs” for the same employer must aggregate their total hours worked for FLSA pay purposes. For example, a fire fighter who works 40 hours as a firefighter and an additional 20 hours as an animal control officer has a total of 60 FLSA hours worked. Employees are permitted to work “moonlighting” jobs — for separate employers — without the hours being aggregated. Employees may sometimes work for “joint employers,” such as when they are assigned to a “task force.” In such cases, each employer is equally liable to be sure FLSA wages are paid properly

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Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 23:04:47

cactus,

You tried to throw a lot of stuff at the wall, hoping something would stick.

Here’s the relevant part of your post WRT overtime:

Special “7(k) Work Periods.” Public-sector (government) fire departments may establish special “7(k) work periods” for sworn firefighters, which can increase the FLSA overtime “thresholds” beyond the normal 40 hour week. Firefighters covered by these special work periods are entitled to FLSA overtime only for hours worked in excess of a threshold set by the Department of Labor on a chart.
—————————-

What you probably didn’t understand is that this FAVORS the employer, not the employee. It means that firefighters can be required to work over 40 hours/week, and not be paid overtime. They gave an example of a schedule with a 53-hour workweek. The departments I’m most familiar with have ~56-hour workweeks. Firefighters are NOT PAID OVERTIME for the 16 hours over the 40 hour threshold for private employers, nor are they paid overtime for the over-8 or over-12-hour/day thresholds, because they work 24-hour shifts.

Their overtime only comes AFTER the 56 hours/week is reached.

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 23:20:01

See, private fire protection employers CANNOT get out of paying their employees overtime if they work over 40 hours per week. This means that a private employer would pay MORE OVERTIME than a public employer. The “special rules” regarding the **government** employees means that they are entitled to LESS overtime than their private sector counterparts.

You’ve just made my point. This is exactly what I’m talking about.

Note the first couple of lines here…they say that the private employers are not allowed to use the special rules. IOW, the **employers** don’t get the benefit that the public employers (taxpayers!) do when they get to require more hours BEFORE overtime is paid.

Private fire protection employers are not permitted to use the special §7(k) work periods, and employees of private fire companies must be paid FLSA overtime for all hours worked over 40 per week. A private fire company means a fire protection unit of private industry.

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 23:23:22

And yes, REALLY, firefighters DO NOT GET DOUBLE OR TRIPLE TIME FOR OVERTIME.

Here it is in black and white, right there in your post:

Regular Rate. FLSA overtime must be paid at time and one-half the employee’s “regular rate.” The FLSA regular rate is always stated as an hourly rate, no matter how the employees are really paid.

Any other questions?

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 23:26:03

Just to make it clear (in case you didn’t get it, again)…

The above “special rules” –posted in your very own link — explain the EXEMPTION from regular overtime rules for firefighters, just like I said above.

 
 
 
 
Comment by SaladSD
2011-02-25 11:12:55

CA Renter, you must understand that there are a lot of white collar, engineering/computer programming types on this blog who feel their hard science degrees (i.e. not one of those limp-wristed, know-nothing, liberal arts degrees) makes them more valuable to the universe, and therefore entitled to their 100K plus jobs, which to them really isn’t that much given how much they contribute to the capitalist growth machine. Yeah, I’m generalizing and stereotyping… so bring it on.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 11:43:10

CA Renter, you must understand that there are a lot of white collar, engineering/computer programming types on this blog who feel their hard science degrees (i.e. not one of those limp-wristed, know-nothing, liberal arts degrees) makes them more valuable to the universe,

And the funny thing is, as I’m reading the Iowa study, the percentage of professional workers, (doctors, lawyers, engineers etc) are employed by the public sector in higher percentages than in the private sector. And many of the public school teachers have hard science and math degrees plus certifications and many have masters (you don’t get to be a physics teacher with a humanities degree) Tons of computer geeks and accountants too.

So, it is an eyeopener to me how highly educated (many in math, medical, science, engineering, computers etc) the public employees are compared to the private.

Another factor in their pay is they are usually older, more experienced and think about this; they are very rarely part-time workers as opposed to the private sector workers. These factors affect pay.

I’ve never been in a union or even been an employee since I was 20 or so. I’m a management and business owner type. And the public unions do need some kind of reform but not Scott Walker, fascist, ideological, union busting.

That just ain’t American.

Comment by oxide
2011-02-25 12:14:53

The reason that government employees (at least federal) are more educated is that the less educated jobs are now contracted out. The computers and audiovisual support, janitors, building maintenance, security, and the like are done by contractors. At least in my neck of the woods, they save the bennies for the brains and the admins with the security clearances.

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Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 18:43:36

Agree, SD Salad. That’s what I keep seeing on these blogs. A lot of techies (particularly in San Diego) have a bloated sense of self-worth. They think that developing applications so that people can play games on their phones is “worthy” of $100K++/year, but somehow, the people who put their lives on the line in order to save lives/property and maintain a civil society, or those who teach our children are beneath the the techies and deserve to be paid “pennies.”

 
 
Comment by potential buyer
2011-02-25 11:34:47

However, firefighters have been known to start the fires themselves - especially when threatened with a federal cutback. And yes, this has been reported.

Just sayin’

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 11:48:13

In the wildlands firefighting world, these are called “job fires.”

 
 
Comment by va beyatch in norfolk
2011-02-25 12:54:33

Yea, I was wondering about a bunch of the firefighter hate on here. I’m guessing the 6 figure salary locations are all in areas where housing is $600K for a 3/1, which means it’s in line with the cost of living or some such. Around my area firefighters get paid but no where near that level.

Direct family retired, police officer, sargent. Not living it up at all. Can barely walk, always in pain, from all the on the job injuries.

Comment by SaladSD
2011-02-25 13:30:11

ANother consideration about the pension issue—though this would have to be researched further since I did hear this first hand from a police officer friend—is that most retired police and firefighters have a much shorter life span, and in fact, many die within a decade of retiring (even in their 50s) from prolonged stress-related ailments and/or a much higher exposure to toxins than the general population. My friend opined that officers/firefighters thrived on a lot of adrenaline, and once they retire this plummets and their body goes to hell. I guess my next question would be whether his/her family would continue to receive pension/survivor benefits.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 13:57:14

I can add a personal perspective on the short lives of former officers: I used to date one.

He’d served on the Tucson police force, then went on to law school and became an attorney. When I dated him, he was in his mid-forties, and his health was a mess. The damage was largely self-inflicted. He was a heavy smoker, drinker who’d cycled in and out of AA several times, and was quite overweight.

The combination of officer/attorney did him no favors. And one of his favorite themes was his desire to get out of law. However, when pressed on this subject, and asked to formulate alternate life plans, he was at a total loss.

Guy died of a heart attack at age 61.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 22:12:37

Me former boss died of a heart attack in his early 50s; ironically, he was thin as a rail, and working out at Vic Tanny at the time.

 
 
 
 
Comment by pismoclam
2011-02-25 17:47:44

Isn’t this great. The Dems are refusing to debate in Wisc. For the 6500 usless teachers and others that will loose their jobs, ‘Hahahahahaha’. When you lose your house and your car is repoed you only have your fellow dems to blame. Maybe I can pick up a nice cheep REO in Milwaukee or Madison.

 
Comment by Anthony
2011-02-25 19:12:14

CA Renter,

Actually, as someone who has been contracted by Cal-Fire to provide meteorological services many a time, you’re not quite right. By contract, Cal-Fire incident management personnel get hotel rooms at every fire–and many will drive 50+ miles to get it. They are on OT from portal to portal…as soon as they get the call, they are paid OT, even while they’re sleeping. And they do get sleep, often 8 hours a night and have time to watch TV in the hotel. Many batallion chiefs in Cal-Fire pull in $150K+, and retire after 25 years at 90% of their high-3. And don’t feed me the liberal bs about “they put their lives on the line, they deserve any amount of money.” Roofers are in a far more dangerous job statistically than any firefighter or cop, but I don’t see such high salaries and outrageous pensions for them.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 23:55:14

Cal-Fire (formerly CDF) is a state agency, not a municipal fire department. I’m talking about municipal fire departments (which employ the vast majority of full-time, professional firefighters).

Cal-Fire operates very differently from regular municipal fire departments. They’re the ones with the prisoners, part-time and seasonal workers, etc. They’re the ones who manage the large-scale brush fires.

The Cal-Fire firefighters who work seasonally, and/or are dedicated to brush fires, tend to fight primarily (or only) brush fires. As such, they have different rules, and many of these firefighters work through the entire season, not going home for months at a time. Yes, some of them might stay in hotels near fires.

BTW, if a retiree worked only 25 years, if they work under the 3% formula, they will only get 75% of their pay (number of years X 3%), not 90%.

A BC (or chief of any kind) is not your “average firefighter.” They are probably involved with incident command, if they’re with Cal-Fire. Very different. They are in charge of the entire operation, and have to coordinate all the different agencies. It’s probably a good idea for them to get a good night’s sleep, no?

My points still stand WRT professional, municipal firefighters (trust me on this one, I know what I’m talking about).

I will never put down anybody who labors for their income, and that most certainly includes roofers.

That being said, roofing is an important job, and it pays fairly well (based on the roofers I knew in the 80s, but since their unions have been decimated, their pay might be less now, unfortunately). But you cannot compare the work of roofers with firefighters — who not only “put their lives on the line,” but save lives and property in the process. Roofers (the ones doing the actual work) do not have anywhere near the same responsibility and liability as firefighters do. It doesn’t come anywhere close to it.

 
 
 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 02:33:08

While we’re debunking myths, thought I’d re-post what Rio left yesterday, in case anyone missed it.
———————

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-24 07:34:46
Bwahahaha. That is rich. I guess those MTA sweepers would really be cleaning up in the private sector. Or the kindergarten teachers making $70,000 in Jersey would really be kicking rear ends in the private world……I suppose the $100,000 plus a year firemen….. etc. etc..etc….

NYcityBoy, there is no factual context in your post. Insults? Yes. I’m flabbergasted. All you did was Bwahahahaah and then bring up a few inflammatory examples from AM radio and then use them to paint with a wide brush. Please NyCityBoy, if you want to make a point at least make an effort to present some facts.

Facts: There are many studies that show that when adjusted for education, responsibility and experience, public employees make less than private sector employees. And the few studies that show that public workers make more do not take into account the differences in education, responsibility and experience. However: “Nearly half of state and local government workers, 48 percent, have completed college, said the study of workers nationwide. Only a little more than a fifth of private-sector workers, 23 percent, have a degree.”

…Wages and salaries of state and local employees are lower than those for private sector employees with comparable earnings determinants, such as education and work experience. State workers typically earn 11 percent less and local workers 12 percent less.
source: http://www.slge.org/index.asp?Type=B_BASIC&SEC={22748FDE-C3B8-4E10-83D0-959386E5C1A4}&DE={BD1EB9E6-79DA-42C7-A47E-5D4FA1280C0B}

And here’s a study from Iowa:

Apples to Apples: Private-Sector and Public-Sector
Compensation in Iowa

http://www.iowapolicyproject.org/110222-pubpvtpayxs.html

In recent months, public employees have become a political target. Lawmakers, candidates and pundits alike have claimed that the wages and benefits public employees earn exceed the norms of the private sector. These assertions neglect the significant differences between the two workforces — and neglect the differences in education, work experience and occupation between a public-school teacher and a teen-ager working for the minimum wage at a fast-food restaurant. They also avoid a significant public policy issue: Do we want to drive all employees’ wages and benefits down? Is that best for economic opportunity in either the public or private sector, or the state economy?

When education, work experience, annual hours worked, race, sex, disability status, and firm size are accounted for, male public-sector workers earn nearly 12 percent less and female public-sector workers earn over 16 percent less than private-sector workers.

Many critics have argued that it is not public-sector pay that is so out-of-line, but rather public-sector benefits, such as health insurance and pension contributions. It is true that such benefits comprise a larger share of public employees’ overall compensation than for most private-sector workers. However, even after adding these benefits into the mix, total compensation for Iowa’s male and female public employees are 7.9 percent and 10.8 percent less, respectively, than for their private-sector counterparts.

Comment by Jess from upstate SC
2011-02-25 06:56:32

It was just a generation ago that Public sector Jobs really paid a pittance , and a small retirement after 30 or more years service , too . That is not the case today , no matter how you examine the numbers.

it also used to be a given that construction workers (Non union) , easy made double what a factory clod did . That is no longer the case either, construction often pays $10 hour or less today.Si senior ? Unions did do a lot of good , they just went too far , thinking now they are irreplaceable.

Comment by Steve J
2011-02-25 09:28:03

Cops have been able to retire at 20 years since the the Teddy Roosevelt days.

 
 
Comment by sfrenter
2011-02-25 07:15:36

The cost of paying public unionized worker’s health benefits ( for current workers and retirees) is insane.

But the folks who are complaining about gov’t. workers’ benefits are usually the very same ones who do not want to do anything that would fix the health care system.

 
 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 02:39:28

One more, for those who missed the replies the other day regarding people leaving higher-paying jobs in the private sector for the stability and benefits of the public sector. Polly, oxide, and I (and my husband) all responded that we had done just this.

Personally, I took a 30%+ pay cut to go into public service — left a position as Director of Operations of a tech-related company (with a number of opportunities being presented at the time), and went into teaching (left teaching ~10 years ago to have kids). I personally know a number of people who left better-paying jobs in the private sector for the stability/benefits of the public sector.

Additionally, people don’t seem to realize that public sector jobs often have much higher standards than their private sector counterparts. That’s because there is more liability and responsibility. If someone in the private sector goofs up, maybe the company goes BK, but if someone in the public sector goofs up, it can be a huge liability to a public entity, and the public entity can’t just BK its way out of responsibility. Public servants are held to a much higher standard, as they should be.

Comment by combotechie
2011-02-25 03:28:50

“I personally know a number of people who left better-paying jobs in the private sector for the stability/benifits of the public sector.”

And now the stability/benifits of the public sector are being stripped away because the numerous promises of stabilty/benifits vastly exceeded the money available to finance them.

My, what a surprise. (Were any of these people good at math?)

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 04:48:08

The pension funds were OVER-funded in the mid-late 90s.

As I mentioned the other day, some foolish choices were made as a result of the Fed’s bubbles, and I agree that some of the increases need to be rolled back.

The problem with the “no money” story, is that there are trillions available for the financial sector, without any negotiation, and there are trillions available for the military/defense cost associated with our stupid, never-ending wars.

Cut back on those things (time for claw-backs in the financial sector!), and there will be plenty of money to pay the workers who make all of our lives better off.

Comment by combotechie
2011-02-25 05:05:08

“The pensions were OVER-funded in the mid-late 90s.”

Which means - what? - that somebody or a bunch of somebodys screwed up? Lol. Welcome to the Great Contraction, an event nobody could have seen coming.

“As I mentioned the other day, there were some foolish choices made as a result of the Fed’s bubbles …”

No doubt about that. Now those who made these foolish choices are are going to have to live with them.

The main problem with the no money story is that it is not a story: There is no money to pay for all that was promised. If there was money then we wouldn’t be having this discussion.

Ben B. apparantly isn’t going to fire up his helicopters as many people predicted. This means the hyperinflation many people predicted may be put off for a bit. Oh well.

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Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 05:40:50

The helicopters have been fired up. What do you think is causing all the asset price increases…and the social unrest around the world?

BTW, those who made those foolish decisions were NOT the workers who are constantly being discussed here.

 
Comment by combotechie
2011-02-25 05:48:12

It doesn’t matter if it was the workers or not that made the foolish choices, the foolish choices were there for anyone to see if they cared enough to take a look.

Just as they are today.

Question: Regarding Social Security and Medicare, does anyone here feel they should retire now and depend on these two government entities to make good on their promises?

 
Comment by cobaltblue
2011-02-25 07:19:14

“Regarding Social Security and Medicare, does anyone here feel they should retire now and depend on these two government entities to make good on their promises?”

Too bad for so many, that they HAVE to.

Mathematics - such a cruel bitch! How unfortunate the country is bankrupt; such an impediment to social engineering.

Everything would be so nice if only there were money-crapping unicorns to pay for all the Good Things everyone was promised! Tax the rich? Great idea! Let’s start with the Rothschilds, I hear they have a family fortune of about 500 Trillion. I’m sure they wouldn’t mind being asked to pony up.
Very civic minded altruists, ya know. And the Rockefellers are indubitably just waiting to be asked also. Hosni Mubarek has $70 Billion that would fund Social Security and Medicare for a couple of weeks, don’t forget him.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-02-25 07:23:43

“The main problem with the no money story is that it is not a story: There is no money to pay for all that was promised. If there was money then we wouldn’t be having this discussion.”

There’s plenty of money- the rich have it all. Return tax rates to their post-WW2 average, and we could pay everyone their benefits, and pay down the debt.

This truth will not remain hidden for long. Just as the Kochtopus was finally pulled up into the light for all to see, so too will people finally see the truth about where the money is, despite all the well-financed operations of the rich to throw sand in our eyes.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-02-25 08:14:15

“Hosni Mubarek has $70 Billion that would fund Social Security and Medicare for a couple of weeks,”

What if we just removed the income cap from social security and medicare taxes, thus taxing the rich at the same rate we tax everyone else? Surely if we can afford to pay it, they can.

Why should the rich have a lower tax rate?

 
Comment by am.sheeple
2011-02-25 11:01:08

I think in some point Social security and medicare will be “to big to fail” and Fed will bailout ( I hope 1% rich will agree with that…)

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-02-25 14:23:15

“Regarding Social Security and Medicare, does anyone here feel they should retire now and depend on these two government entities to make good on their promises?”

I have not expected to collect SS since I first started working in the 70s. I expect to work until I drop. One of the key issues for me is the prospect of inflation eating away at fixed retirement income.

And I expect Gen X and Gen Y to continue to suffer from the collective decision of Boomers to keep working.

We are really damned if we do and damned if we don’t. If we retire, then the burden of supporting us falls on our children. If we continue to work, then we reduce opportunity for advancement and compete with them for jobs.

 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-02-25 05:19:06

It’s not really a question of what humble servants of the public types are “worth”. It’s a question of how much the rest will pay to have one (or a zillion), and how much they can pay, and how much you can make them pay with some applied force.

Failing to force the general populace to pay more, now you advocate that the rest of the population apply force to the robber barons, to take their monies to give to your group. That’s a lot of force being advocated by such an altruistic bunch.

Priceless.

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Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 05:42:02

The robber barrons need to pay for causing the crisis in the first place. There is no reason for workers to pay the price for the bankers’ misdeeds.

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 05:44:11

barons, not barrons…

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 06:13:33

You really need to have your meds reviewed.

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 06:52:43

And your point is?

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 07:06:14

Your “robber baron” ramblings are incomprehensible and have no logic whatsoever.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 12:57:52

Why NYCityboy?

Surely you are not suggesting the FIRE sector didn’t cause this mess?

Surely you can see that picking on unions and public sector workers is nothing, NOTHING, but a distraction tactic.

Seriously.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 22:14:01

NYCityBoy — I hope the banksters are paying you handsomely for your trollery.

 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-02-25 05:22:55

“The pension funds were OVER-funded in the mid-late 90s.”

The “dot-com bubble” was a speculative bubble covering roughly 1995–2000 (with a climax on March 10, 2000 with the NASDAQ peaking at 5132.52 in intraday trading before closing at 5048.62)

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Comment by cobaltblue
2011-02-25 07:29:13

“The pension funds were OVER-funded in the mid-late 90s”.

According to who? Some clowns with ASSumptions that they could earn 8% returns on invested capital forever? Too bad the ASSumptions didn’t work out. Too bad, so sad. Time to hold a meeting and complain about how unfair everything is.

Why isn’t there money enough to go around? Who’s responsible? Let’s find him and slap his wrist.

 
Comment by Rancher
2011-02-25 07:54:31

Exponential numbers never lie.

 
Comment by GH
2011-02-25 10:03:04

The question is why are the funds underfunded today?

 
Comment by oxide
2011-02-25 12:29:38

What about the ASSumptions that housing always goes up and that people with a 540 FICO are actually going to make all the ARM-adjusted payments on a $350K crapshack, with interes, for THIRTY YEARS? Let’s make a CDS “bet” on that, shall we?

That casino got bailed out of those ASSumptions, and collecting “promised” bonuses as gravy.

Your $46K teacher? “too bad so sad.” Yeah, great thanks.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 05:19:08

“…people don’t seem to realize that public sector jobs often have much higher standards than their private sector counterparts.”

Bingo. For example, many of the actions recently on public display by private sector investment bankers would doubtless land a public sector employee in jail.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 06:16:12

Like Tim Geithner, Robert Rubin and Hank Paulson? These are all men that left the private sector to work in the public sector. The standards do seem to be much higher in the public sector. (rolls eyes)

Jumping sharks without a net.

Comment by polly
2011-02-25 07:10:50

They are political appointees, not civil service. There is a world of difference.

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Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 07:20:33

They are the government counterparts to hedge fund managers and investment bankers.

 
Comment by Liz Pendens
2011-02-25 08:22:58

Appointed by the banksters, you mean?

 
Comment by polly
2011-02-25 09:49:33

Look, the only qualification that a political appointee has to have is that the executive wants to appoint them and (if the job is important enough) the legislature is willing to confirm them. That is different than going through the entire civil service hiring process.

A program for hiring recent college graduates was recently *eliminated* in civil service hiring because it was determined to be age discriminatory. The got rid of the whole thing because it could result in a kid getting a job that a more qualified experienced person would be willing to take. Try finding a program like that in the private sector? And, yes, it was a union that took on the fight.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 08:58:27

Were it not for their crony capitalist ties to the private banking sector, I maintain they would have fared much worse in the eyes and actions of the law.

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Comment by jeff saturday
2011-02-25 06:03:49

“Additionally, people don’t seem to realize that public sector jobs often have much higher standards than their private sector counterparts. That’s because there is more liability and responsibility.”

Barahona child abuse investigator mishandled previous cases

By Ana M. Valdes Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Posted: 5:08 p.m. Thursday, Feb. 24, 2011

A state child abuse investigator under fire for not following up on an allegation that twins Victor and Nubia Barahona were being tied and confined to a bathroom by their adoptive parents was cited for mishandling a similar case last year, according to state Department of Children and Families documents.

Andrea Fleary was placed on paid administrative leave Feb. 17, two days after the twins were found in West Palm Beach — Nubia’s body in the back of a truck and Victor covered in toxic chemicals, suffering seizures.

Fleary was given a “final counseling notice” on Feb. 15, 2010, when she failed to find a home for a child removed from her biological family within the 24-hour deadline established by DCF, documents released Thursday show.

The victim’s uncle had called Miami-Dade police to report that a 39-year-old man and his daughter were sleeping nude in the same bed, according to a 2009 Miami Herald article.

Police informed DCF of the complaint. Hours later, police and a DCF investigator (not Fleary) went to the home and found the man in his bed, undressed, and the daughter locked in a bathroom, naked from the waist down.

The investigator told the father to sleep in a separate bedroom but took no further action.

The next day, DCF received a report that the man had moved into a nearby motel with his daughter. Fleary was sent and immediately took the girl into custody, according to The Herald.

But it took her almost two days to place the child in a new home, the DCF documents show.

“Your neglect placed this child at risk of additional harm,” wrote Kevin Ramos, a DCF child protective investigator supervisor. He also noted that Fleary interviewed the child without a law enforcement official present, which is unlawful, and did not notify the DCF’s Child Protection Team of the case.

Fleary refused to sign the counseling notice, DCF documents show.

Last year’s reprimand was not the first time that the agency had criticized Fleary’s performance.

In 2003, the department issued her first “final counseling notice” after she took 11 days to interview a person who had reported the abuse of six children.

http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/barahona-child-abuse-investigator-mishandled-previous-cases-1279186.html - -

Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 06:17:54

Don’t even try Jeff. The religious left is out in full force on the HBB. No amount of logic, reasoning or facts will get through the little world they have built inside their minds. A zealot can’t be bothered with anything that might challenge their faith.

Comment by sfrenter
2011-02-25 07:19:40

Charts graphs and more charts, brought to you by the “religious left”. And hey, look, FACTS, too!

http://motherjones.com/politics/2011/02/income-inequality-in-america-chart-graph

So where did all the money go???

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Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 07:39:26

So, what does that have to do with anything? The people that want the unions called to account also want Wall Street called to account. It is not either or except in the minds of the zealots around here that just keep shouting, “well Wall Street steals, too”. They are the ones using one wrong to justify another wrong.

Nobody that is questioning the tactics of the public unions is saying that income disparity is good. And I bet we can trace a lot of that back to the ballooning of our government. Cough, cough, Fannie and Freddie. Cough, cough, Tarp. Bigger government is not the solution, and the public unions are big government. A giant centralized government, with its hand in every aspect of every facet of our lives, is the problem.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-02-25 08:22:51

“The people that want the unions called to account also want Wall Street called to account.”

link?

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2011-02-25 09:17:43

Most citizens outside the beltway want all financial criminals brought to justice. It will not happen because, just like the public sector unions, Wall Street showers Washington with campaign cash. Corrupt communist unions and corrupt bankers battling to control our nation’s governments.

Let’s put the Wall Street and Washington crooks in jail to set an example and send the communists back into the ash heap of history were they belong.

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-02-25 09:35:50

The people that want the unions called to account also want Wall Street called to account. It is not either or except in the minds of the zealots around here that just keep shouting, “well Wall Street steals, too”. They are the ones using one wrong to justify another wrong.

Exactly.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 09:49:57

Nobody that is questioning the tactics of the public unions is saying that income disparity is good.NYCityBoy

Everyone on the fence please look at that statement. I read it many times. Now please think. Have you ever heard Rush L. defend the status quo of wealth disparity and attack unions? I have. Not only that but I’ve heard Rush, Glen, Hannity, and savage bash unions AND promote ideas that would make the income disparity even bigger. Tax cuts for the rich anyone?

I’m going to read it again.

Nobody that is questioning the tactics of the public unions is saying that income disparity is good.NYCityBoy

Is the above quote factual?

No. Here’s an example of which there are thousands, no matter what NyCityBoy professes to believe. It’s a clip of uber-rich Glen Beck (with an audience of millions) teaching his disciples that in fact, “income disparity is good”.

http://vidrec.com/?v=SgrikK4-Tvk

 
Comment by Bronco
2011-02-25 09:50:23

“The people that want the unions called to account also want Wall Street called to account.”

“link?”

You don’t need a link, alpha. This is very evident if you have read this blog for the past many years.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 10:08:07

Let’s put the Wall Street and Washington crooks in jail to set an example and send the communists back nickpapageorgio

You’re funny nickpapageorgio. I read somewhere that Glen Beck’s ratings dropped like a bomb and some writer said something like “well, people got board with the “Obama is a socialist” thing. Well that’s when Glen Beck started to get even more nutball with his chalkboard and started crying more and instead of saying “socialist” he started saying “communist” (Actually right about the time you, nickpapageorgio changed from saying “socialist” to the more so scary “communist” (rio shivers)

Well Glen Beck got a little bump in the ratings but I read they were still down 38% from a year ago and 50% in a certain important age category.

So here’s the problem. People got immune to “socialist” now “communist” is making people start to yawn. So you are facing a huge problem.

You guys are running out of scary names

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 10:14:59

people got board with the “Obama is a socialist”

lol, people got bored.…..

i shouldn’t write fast while chuckling so much

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-02-25 10:32:02

“You don’t need a link, alpha. This is very evident if you have read this blog for the past many years.”

Oh, I agree there’s a few here on this blog, but I’ve yet to see a bus full of TeaKoch Party activists pull up in front of the NYSE to protest the Wall Street bailouts. Nor have I heard any of their leaders’ call for investigations of the financial industry.

But they sure do show up at the anti-union protests.

 
Comment by Bronco
2011-02-25 11:02:31

Good, alpha…and I will agree with you: you don’t see much of that perspective outside the HBB.

 
Comment by Kirisdad
2011-02-25 13:25:30

Sean Hannity’s Mother and Father retired on government pensions. I know because I worked with his Mother. His Mother was a lovely woman( a little strict), but I liked her. I believe his Father was a postal inspector.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2011-02-25 13:37:11

“People got immune to “socialist” now “communist”"

I’ve been calling communists communists for almost 3 decades now, and it never gets old. My eyes are wide open to every fake name, every phony organization and front group you hide behind.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 14:02:31

I’ve been calling communists communists for almost 3 decades now, and it never gets old.

No no, I don’t mean for you. I’m sure you still love calling people “communist”. It’s you. But I mean the people you call it might be getting bored with it. I think “Anti-Christs” sounds pretty scary.

My eyes are wide open to every fake name, every phony organization and front group you hide behind.

That’s good…. That’s good. …Everything’s fine…. ..BTW… I’ve heard that Chlorpromazine might be better because Haloperidol can give some people diarrhea if they take it with milk :)

 
 
Comment by mikey
2011-02-25 09:24:36

” No amount of logic, reasoning or facts will get through the little world they have built inside their minds. A zealot can’t be bothered with anything that might challenge their faith.”

NYCityBoy, well spoken !

Those profound 31 words may be the most intelligent thing that you have uttered on the HBB in a long, long time.

Now, take a deep look into a mirror(that is a reflective device) and repeat them over and over again…

:)

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Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-02-25 12:15:23

Please.

The attitude of some on this blog is that “since we can’t/won’t fix the problems generated by the banktsers, we’ll make up for it by fooking over someone that we can”.

Public Unions are the cause of what? Maybe 5-10% of the problems we have? And for this, some think they should get the death penalty.

Like them or not, nobody has presented any evidence that turning public/civil service employees into serfs is going to do anything other than put even more people into the poorhouse.

Have a problem with their “gold-plated” benefits? Good. Then you should be backing a National Healthcare Plan for everyone, including Congress. Get rid of all those “free-market distortions caused by some public sector employees getting medical insurance, and the private sector being priced out, or being forced others into involuntary serfdom, because they can’t change jobs due to pre-existing conditions.

I think NYCBoy has been watching Fox too much. He used to be an “Equal-Opportunity Hater”……. :)

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-02-25 15:27:11

Thank you X- GSfixr for that post.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 15:57:47

Thank you X- GSfixr for that post.

And another hearty “Thank you!” from Slim.

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 19:01:33

Triple that thanks, GS-fixer.

 
Comment by Neuromance
2011-02-25 21:14:02

It’s really amusing - instead of exploring the causes of a declining standard of living in the private sector - loss of pensions, stagnating wages, loss of jobs - we turn on other workers, fighting for the crumbs.

It’s like two people getting their houses burglarized, and complaining the other guy got less taken.

Gotta keep our eyes on the ball - why is our standard of living declining? It’s not the fault of unions.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 22:16:29

“NYCBoy has been watching Fox too much.”

Methinks I smell a case of pension envy, as in he ain’t got one, so everyone else’s pension naturally seems larger than his.

 
 
Comment by Bill in Tampa
2011-02-25 10:57:27

+1

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Comment by Brett
2011-02-25 06:13:19

A ‘ Director of Operations of a tech-related company’ and ‘teaching at a public school’ are not equivalent job and you shouldn’t expect to get paid the same.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 06:56:40

That’s not the point.

The point was that people will leave private sector jobs and go to public sector jobs because of the **stability and benefits.**

Comment by Blue Skye
2011-02-25 07:07:01

Maybe your life raft is leaking.

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Comment by mikey
2011-02-25 09:45:09

Hundreds protest outside of Koch lobby office

JUDITH DAVIDOFF AND JESSICA VANEGEREN|The Capital Times Posted: Friday, February 25, 2011 9:00 am

While hundreds of people protested on the sidewalk, a maintenance worker with Urban Land Interests stood Thursday outside the building housing the lobbying offices of Koch Industries, Inc. A security guard stood inside.

While hundreds of people protested on the sidewalk, a maintenance worker with Urban Land Interests stood Thursday outside the building housing the lobbying offices of Koch Industries, Inc. A security guard stood inside.

“We’re watching out for our tenants,” said the maintenance worker, who declined to be identified. “He is hired by us to keep people out of our building and to protect the privacy of our tenants - not necessarily for Koch, but our tenants in general,” he added, of the security guard. “We can’t have people walking through who don’t belong there.”

Which is apparently what started happening after it was reported that Koch Companies Public Sector Inc. had opened a lobbying office at 10 E. Doty St. (the actual entrance is at 119 Martin Luther King, Jr. Blvd.) two weeks before Scott Walker was elected governor.

When fliers went up at the Capitol Wednesday about Thursday’s rally, the building’s office manager alerted tenants in a memo that it might not be a good idea to schedule meetings at the office on Thursday afternoon.

Now the doors to the lobby at both entrances are closed and only tenants and their guests are allowed in the building.

David and Charles Koch, co-owners of Koch Industries, have extensive business interests in the state, including the Koch Pipeline Company, Flint Hill Resources, which distributes refined oil through pipelines and terminals and the C. Reiss Coal Company.

Their political action committee contributed $43,000 to Walker’s election campaign and gave more than $1 million to the Republican Governor’s Association, which in turn paid for $3.4 million in attack ads against Walker’s opponent, Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett.

A prank call to Walker by a blogger claiming to be David Koch provided more ammunition to the claims that the Koch brothers, and one of the groups they generously fund, Americans for Prosperity, are major players in Walker’s plan to end collective bargaining for state workers. On Wednesday, Americans for Prosperity began running pro-Walker ads across the state that defend the governor’s plan to end collective bargaining for public workers.

In an interview posted Thursday night on National Review Online, Koch executives told political reporter Robert Costa that the Koch brothers will ‘not stop’ supporting free-enterprise initiatives, even in the face of intimidation from “the Left.” They also said that David Koch and Walker have never met or spoken.

“With the Left trying to intimidate the Koch brothers to back off of their support for freedom and signaling to others that this is what happens if you oppose the administration and its allies, we have no choice but to continue to fight,” Richard Fink, the executive vice president of Koch Industries, told Costa. “We will not step back at all. We firmly believe that economic freedom has benefited the overwhelming majority of society, including workers, who earn higher wages when you have open and free markets. When government grows as it has with the Bush and Obama administrations, that is what destroys prosperity.”

On Thursday, protesters filled both sides of Doty Street, with more than 30 police officers stationed at the curbs to keep traffic flowing at rush hour.

Jane Pedersen, one of the protesters, had traveled to Madison from Menominee three days ago with a handmade sign reading, “Walker: Bought by Koch brothers ???”

Thursday she had her poster in hand. The questions marks had been crossed through with a black marker. For her, the minor change held major significance.

“Now, it’s a fact,” she said, noting the prank call between Walker and blogger Ian Murphy and the new lobbying office. “There’s a connection between Walker and the Koch brothers.”

That bothers her. The connection between politicians and lobbyists is too great in most cases, she said, but in this case it seems extreme.

Aleia Mason was wearing a sandwich board sign made of cardboard and packing tape. She said even a week ago she got questions about her sign, which reads, “Koch Party, I want my country back.” Now, she says, everyone knows who David and Charles Koch are.

“Its seems like it’s reached critical mass,” she says.

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 19:05:16

We firmly believe that economic freedom has benefited the overwhelming majority of society, including workers, who earn higher wages when you have open and free markets. When government grows as it has with the Bush and Obama administrations, that is what destroys prosperity.”
———————–

There you go, guys. That’s for you all in the private sector. These idiots think that YOUR life is better without unions.

Have you seen any evidence of this????

They are living in Fantasyland.

 
 
 
 
Comment by michael
2011-02-25 07:19:14

so you left a much higher paying, easier private sector job for a public job with less pay, benefits and more risk?

you expect me to believe this?

i will concede that perhaps you may have done this for sadistic purposes…but it goes completely against human nature and human nature trumps altruism 99% of the time.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 07:30:42

No, some of us tend to favor stability over “getting rich.” You’ll find that most people in the public sector were drawn to it specifically because of the “steady paycheck” aspect.

Govt workers tend to be more conservative and prefer security over risk-taking/greater wealth.

The point (discussed the other day) was that people made these sacrifices because of the trade-off between pay and benefits/security, some have given up higher pay and “better jobs” for many years. Now that their decisions are about to be rewarded, the rug is being pulled out from under them — all because of the games being played on Wall Street. There is something very wrong about that.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 07:40:54

Placed on “Ignore”.

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Comment by drumminj
2011-02-25 09:39:24

Placed on “Ignore”.

I’ll be watching for your check in the mail, NYCBoy :)

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 10:22:47

Placed on “Ignore”. NYCityBoy

I’ll be watching for your check in the mail, NYCBoy :) drumminj

LOL You just made a funny joke drumminj.

I believe he “placed on “Ignore”" about as much as I believe
“the checks in the mail”.

 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2011-02-25 10:43:22

I never understood the “ignore” thing. It’s kind of like a kid screaming and plugging his ears.

 
Comment by mikey
2011-02-25 10:54:03

Wow NYCityBoy ”

Placed on “Ignore”.

It would looks like your quaint brand of HBB popularity is dropping like a rock, along with any perceived credibility you may to have had.

Be sure Honor me by placing me on “Ignore” if you haven’t done so already.

:)

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-02-25 11:10:57

NYCityBoy, are you Charlie Sheen?

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 21:29:02

My theory is that NY City Boy has joined tazed former HBB posters Eddie and Joey in CA among the ranks of the bankster PsyOps troll brigade that comes on the HBB to rankle the regulars. What are they paying you to do this?

 
 
Comment by baabaabooie
2011-02-25 08:29:20

If they are all such great employees with incredible backgrounds…please feel free to go back in the private sector and just earn boat loads of money. Please come back from “Fantasy Island”

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Comment by measton
2011-02-25 09:03:17

As I recall there are some who would consider themselves great employees on this board who have had a hard time finding jobs in the private sector.

 
Comment by michael
2011-02-25 10:57:01

“consider themselves great”

might as well wait for that check in the mail.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 13:07:23

As soon as the private sector goes back to real meritocracy and stability, I’m sure they will.

 
 
Comment by mathguy
2011-02-25 13:20:55

This, EXACTLY this, is why I have a problem with the whole “stability” aspect of public work. It makes a false claim that some big brother safety net can protect workers, and lulls them away from more productive and riskier work with the LIE that the government can protect them. Then the corruption seeps in and starts upping the ante on salary, pension and benefits exaggerating the lie more and more.

Even if we have great politicians in office who didn’t cave to the union pressure that funded their campaigns, the lie still exists. There is no guarantee in this life that sh!t won’t hit the fan and put an end to a “promise” made to take care of you. And even worse, that lie is paid for by taxing at threat of force those who refuse to put their head in the sand and go out and fight every day to be productive and secure their own future.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 14:27:12

Even if we have great politicians in office who didn’t cave to the union pressure that funded their campaigns, the lie still exists. There is no guarantee in this life that sh!t won’t hit the fan and put an end to a “promise” made to take care of you. And even worse, that lie is paid for by taxing at threat of force those who refuse to put their head in the sand and go out and fight every day to be productive and secure their own future.

Dude….seriously…… you should record that to some Wagner.

 
Comment by mathguy
2011-02-25 16:30:36

So you’re saying, in general, politicians don’t over promise and under-deliver?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 17:01:39

So you’re saying, in general, politicians don’t over promise and under-deliver?

Always. I just recognize a clear and present danger that I don’t think you do. And it isn’t the unions (12% of our workforce.)

 
Comment by mathguy
2011-02-25 17:04:43

No one is saying to eliminate public education or cut all 12% of our workforce… Let’s just agree that the politicians over promised , cut back to what is sustainable, and move on…

 
 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-02-26 00:02:33

Ca renter there is something wrong about a contract where one party performed and the other party thinks they don’t have to perform now . Further if the person is old enough ,they don’t have different choices or do they have time to make up for being
robbed of what they contracted to with a lifetime of work . Oh right a 64 years old can start all over in private business and make the big buck ,sure .

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Comment by CA renter
2011-02-26 00:21:17

Exactly.

I sure hope any of these “individualists” who have money in the bank (FDIC insured, of course) or own Treasuries are prepared to not get their money back. After all, government “promises” don’t count anymore, right?

 
 
 
 
Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 10:51:46

people who left better-paying jobs in the private sector for the stability/benefits of the public sector ??

Bunch of BS….

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 13:09:12

So polly is full of bs?

Oh dear.

 
Comment by Rancher
2011-02-25 14:15:05

Fifty + years ago or so, my father, a physics and
applied math professor, told me that I had two
choices:
1. Get a civil service job for less money with
good benefits with security or
2. Go private, no security, potential for great
gains, no limits, potentially your own boss.

For me it was a an easy decision and subsequent
events through the years proved me right.

You won’t find risk takers in civil service.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 14:34:19

You won’t find risk takers in civil service.

Well….shucks…..I may not be the sharpest fork in the oven but it seems to me……well…..that It might turn out that going into civil service was a hell of a bigger risk than they thought.

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Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 15:28:25

You won’t find risk takers in civil service ??

You can put it another way also….You will find “failed” risk takers in civil service…At least thats what I have found with most field inspectors….

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Comment by Rancher
2011-02-25 15:52:29

Most of the inspectors I’ve known are worthless pieces of crap that couldn’t build
their way out of their sand box.

And Rio, most civil servants don’t have the math capabilities to understand that their
way of life is unsustainable…Maybe they
just listened to the politicians to often and
to long.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 16:13:08

build
their way out of their sand box.

The Brazilian residential building inspectors ROCK. I mean when I built my house …….wait…….as a matter of fact….there weren’t any! Crazy huh?

It seems in Rio, on a house there are no building inspectors, BUT you can’t do it yourself, (most of it) you have to hire a professional, certified architect and engineer to sign off, take responsibility for and then the engineer’s construction company will build the place or it isn’t legal. Then when it’s done (in twice the time you thought, thousands of bags of cement and sand and for more money) ONE DUDE comes with a tape measure and makes sure it’s the size you had the permit for. You be really nice and polite with him and offer him a drink of Johnny Walker (Black) and laugh at his jokes and stuff.

He then sees that the toilets flush and the sinks work and then he makes you go through 8 months of waiting because the interior stairs were in a different place than the plans. Then one magic day after a lot of hassle where you, your architect and engineer have been to the city hall about 14 times, you get your piece of paper with about 4 rubber stamps in different colors and with different initials and signatures on top off all rubber stamps and a lot of official colonial looking logos and then your house is legal.

Wheww…

 
Comment by Rancher
2011-02-25 18:38:57

Rio,
I would welcome a system like that with
open arms. Why? Because you would know
ahead of time exactly what is required.

Here you’d pay $27k for the permit, another several thou for SDC’s, the inspectors
wouldn’t know shit, and you’d be constantly
badgered for more changes and fees during
the whole process. In 55 years during which
I was a fringe of the construction industry,
I never, and I mean never, saw an inspector with a tape measure, a plumb stick, or a framing square. Civil servants with a mind
like a brick.

 
 
 
Comment by bink
2011-02-25 14:15:43

We lost several employees at each of my last three companies to just this phenomenon. A lot of it had to do with military service counting towards government service and making them eligible for earlier retirement.

 
Comment by robin
2011-02-25 23:54:18

SCDave

I tried many times to go private to public after attaining my MBA. I have great credentials but failed to get an interview even with great references. Competition in the hundreds.

I was, however, offered jobs without qualification in the three unions I was a dues-paying member of when I was younger and had no degree. I get no benefits for my years of service with them.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2011-02-25 12:33:49

Also please note that in public sector jobs, those bennies purchase neutrality. There are some things that you do NOT want to privatize. Privatize means profit motive, profit motive means cutting corners, cutting corners means not paying attention to the health and safety of the public. Public workers (at least in my case) are free to actually collect good information and/or protect the public without being threatened with firing for not chasing profit (in my case).

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 13:14:25

Which is why I often like to post the fact that federal private contractor employees outnumber regular federal employees and state and local governments are trending the same way.

I’ve been waiting for someone to make that connection.

 
Comment by mathguy
2011-02-25 16:39:34

Which is why most public sector jobs should be limited to safety oriented fields like police (and justice), fire, safety engineering, and emergency (only) medical services … and the county should be in charge of providing them, not the feds. The feds should only get involved with issues crossing state lines, of which housing is not one, nor is health care, but civil rights, mail and international treaties ARE. (HA, yes, it’s all because I just unilaterally determined it!)

Stupid misapplication of “Interstate Commerce” clause!!!

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 17:00:59

I can’t tell if you’re being facetious or not.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 16:22:18

Op-Ed Columnist
Shock Doctrine, U.S.A.
By PAUL KRUGMAN
Published: February 24, 2011

Here’s a thought: maybe Madison, Wis., isn’t Cairo after all. Maybe it’s Baghdad — specifically, Baghdad in 2003, when the Bush administration put Iraq under the rule of officials chosen for loyalty and political reliability rather than experience and competence.

As many readers may recall, the results were spectacular — in a bad way. Instead of focusing on the urgent problems of a shattered economy and society, which would soon descend into a murderous civil war, those Bush appointees were obsessed with imposing a conservative ideological vision. Indeed, with looters still prowling the streets of Baghdad, L. Paul Bremer, the American viceroy, told a Washington Post reporter that one of his top priorities was to “corporatize and privatize state-owned enterprises” — Mr. Bremer’s words, not the reporter’s — and to “wean people from the idea the state supports everything.”

The story of the privatization-obsessed Coalition Provisional Authority was the centerpiece of Naomi Klein’s best-selling book “The Shock Doctrine,” which argued that it was part of a broader pattern. From Chile in the 1970s onward, she suggested, right-wing ideologues have exploited crises to push through an agenda that has nothing to do with resolving those crises, and everything to do with imposing their vision of a harsher, more unequal, less democratic society.

Which brings us to Wisconsin 2011, where the shock doctrine is on full display.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-26 00:26:06

…and where private corporations gain access to the world’s resources overseas, all at the expense of the U.S. taxpayers…

 
 
 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 02:49:35

I’m going to repost polly’s post from yesterday because she hit the nail on the head WRT private school vs. public school. Hope you don’t mind, polly. Also, around here, private schools cost far more than local public schools, FWIW.
—————————

Comment by polly
2011-02-24 10:58:54
They choose the private schools for a variety of reasons:

1) qualifications - they are not certified to teach in the public schools so they do not have the additional qualifications needed

2) students - private schools only have to take the kids they want to take so there are far few problems with violence, disruptive behavior, learning disabilities, not being properly prepared for the grade level, etc.

3) parents - parents who bother to pay for private school are much more likely to be involved with their kids education making teaching said kids much much easier

4) class size - most private schools have smaller class sizes which means the classroom management and grading end of things is less burdensome - also see 2 and 3 since private school students are more likely to actually do their homework and behave

Religous affiliation probably plays a small role (nuns don’t get paid much) but the first four are the main ones, with 2 through 4 being the most important. Basically, private school teaching is an easier job. You teach fewer kids who are better behaved, better prepared, possibly smarter, and who do their homework with help from involved parents. Actually, it sounds like a much easier job. I’m surprised the difference in pay is only 20%.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 02:53:40

BTW, Steve J added that many teachers work in private schools so that their own kids can attend for free/reduced tuition. This is also true.
————–

As for the class sizes, in the mid-90s, CA public schools did reduce class sizes to 20 students in K-3, but that is now being eliminated due to the budget problems. It really did make a difference to have those smaller classes, though.

Comment by measton
2011-02-25 09:04:26

My sister in law fits that description . They have 2 kids in the school where she teaches.

 
 
Comment by polly
2011-02-25 07:26:00

Not a problem at all.

 
Comment by Bad Andy
2011-02-25 08:36:35

I can’t imagine private schools costing much more than public schools. In my neck of the woods public schools get upwards of $8,000 per pupil…which is LOW. Tuition at the local Catholic school is $2,500 for the first student and $2,000 for each additional. The cost at the local non-denominational school is $3,500 for each student. Either school is much more expensive there or you don’t know what the cost per pupil is for public school.

Even in New York City where the best private schools can cost upwards of $15,000* (we’re not talking Harvard Prep Academies) the cost per pupil in the public school is $17,173 as of 2007-2008 school year.

Comment by measton
2011-02-25 09:12:22

Funny this site suggests private school in is 20-30k.

Here’s one from 2004 that suggests the same

http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9404EED7143EF933A25750C0A9629C8B63

Comment by Bad Andy
2011-02-25 09:51:51

Please note “elite” private schools. We’re comparing public schools here. There are “elite” private schools here as well that are also quite expensive.

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Comment by measton
2011-02-25 13:29:09

Even in New York City where the best private schools can cost upwards of $15,000*

The best are 30+k

Can you find one that has a cost less than 17k?

 
 
Comment by Bad Andy
2011-02-25 09:57:00

I should also point out that NYC is very expensive on both sides of the coin. A better comparison can be taken from Chicago or Detroit.

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Comment by CA renter
2011-02-26 00:27:49

We’re in San Diego, and the schools around us are all more expensive than the public schools.

 
 
Comment by seen it all
2011-02-25 10:32:21

Spot on!
Every private school in western ct is $20 k plus.

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Comment by Kirisdad
2011-02-25 17:43:25

It’s not the civil servants sending their children to 20k plus private schools. Always makes me wonder how much money is being made in the private capitalist world.

 
 
 
Comment by polly
2011-02-25 10:09:18

My niece’s nursery school in NYC costs over $20,000 a year for about 5 hours a day, and it is not one of the special ones that is a feeder school for the high end private elementary schools.

She’ll be going to the local public school when she is old enough for kindergarden.

Andy’s speculation is simply wrong.

And one of my former bosses in NJ sent his kids to Catholic schools. The cost of actual tuition was fairly low, but as an upper middle class professional he was informed that he was expected to make very large additional donations or his children would not be welcome to attend the next year. It was a tax ploy. If you make the tuition higer and give kids with less money scholarships, then none of the cost of attendance is tax deductible. If you charge everyone a low rate and quietly let the wealthier parents know how much generous “donation” is required, the extra amounts they pay are deductible.

Comment by salinasron
2011-02-25 17:46:50

“to Catholic schools”

Here in Salinas I paid $800+ in 2007 and it has gone up since.

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Comment by salinasron
2011-02-25 17:48:51

“Here in Salinas I paid $800+ in 2007 and it has gone up since.”

Should have $8000 per student per year.

 
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-02-25 10:47:32

“at the local Catholic school is $2,500 for the first student and $2,000 for each additional.”

Just to clairfy about Catholic school tuition (my kids attended Parrochial school)

The tuition that most Parrochials charge does not cover the full cost. Our school was HEAVILY subsidized by the parish, to the amount of 60% of the total cost.

Of couse this meant that lower income parishioners who couldn’t afford the $3000 tuition (I’ve heard its $4000 now at the school) subsidize the upper middle class parishioners who can afford it.

Also Parrochial schools don’t offer the variety of programs that publics are required to provide by law: ESL, bilingual, special ed programs, etc. Its also easy to keep costs down and be more effective in Parrochials as most kids are upper middle class, have above average intelligence and are relatively well behaved (and those that are not are expelled).

Parrochials have their place in the mosaic of education. They served my kids well, but they aren’t a one size fit all solution for everyone’s educational needs. I have mentioned this before: our local public high school has also served our kids well, with plenty of AP level classes for them to take, and they do it for about the same total cost as our parrochial middle school (about 7000 per year).

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-02-25 16:57:21

Private schools don’t have to pay for special needs kids who can cost 10 times as much as average kids, depending on what kind of assistance they need. Sometimes public schools will bus special needs kids to private schools that specialize in multiple disabilities and pay their tuition.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-02-25 17:23:53

Oh yeah, and most private schools don’t pay to bus their students.

 
 
Comment by polly
2011-02-25 10:41:43

By the way, when public schools put out “cost per pupil” numbers they are generally just taking the entire cost of the city/town school budget and dividing by the number of kids. These numbers include the costs of special needs kids that are served entirely outside the school system. This is true even if the child is so disabled as to be essentially unteachable. So if your town has a family with a child who is so disabled that they will require round the clock care for the rest of their lives, the cost of that care will often (it varies a little state to state based on local laws) fall on the school department from the age of 3 to 21.

My mother was on the school committee and she told us about children whose entire “learning plans” consisted of being able to learn to signal to a care giver when they needed to go to the toilet. They were never going to be able to feed themselves or walk or speak or anything else, but the fact that there was some small hope that they might be toilet trained over the course of 2 decades meant that the school system had to take on the cost of their care (sometimes $100K a year or more) until they “aged out” of the system and went on permanent disability. It made the parents feel better to say the children were in a “school” not an institution.

If you want to figure out how much it costs any given school to educate a child, you need to look at the school’s budget, not the city’s per pupil spending. And, of course, Andy’s protests to the contrary, you need to do the same thing with a private school because they figure out ways to get some of their income from donations to help out their wealthier supporters with tax deductions as I have explained elsewhere.

 
Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 10:59:49

1) qualifications - they are not certified to teach in the public schools so they do not have the additional qualifications needed ??

Huh ?? Here is a random selection of a math teacher at a local private school;

Degree(s)
B.S. Electrical Engineering, Duke University
B.A. Computer Science, Duke University
M.S., Ph.D. Electrical & Computer Engineering, Univ.of Rochester

Comment by polly
2011-02-25 11:21:19

I didn’t say they didn’t have a background in the subject area. I said they weren’t certified. My brother has an ivy league degree (magna) and a masters from Hopkins. He still wasn’t “qualified” to teach in a public school. If he had been, he could have gotten a job with about 50% higher pay.

By the way, having an engineering degree from where ever doesn’t mean you would be a good math teacher. The two skills do not necessarily overlap. Certified teachers have at least done student teaching under supervised conditions and have some training in how to structure a lesson to fit in a 50 minute time slot.

Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 12:13:20

Certified teachers ??

Certified by whom ??

engineering degree from where ever doesn’t mean you would be a good math teacher ??

Neither does the so called, certification process…

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 12:19:26

Neither does the so called, certification process…

It might not everyone, but I would say an additional year of college specifically teaching me how to teach would help me a lot.

I be edukated good but if you threw me in there now I wouldn’t
even know where to start. But probably in the teachers lounge. :)

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 13:21:01

Well, scdave, those questions can easily be answered by… researching your own local school system.

 
Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 15:31:36

But probably in the teachers lounge ??

Funny…. :)

 
 
Comment by Muggy
2011-02-25 13:47:51

“By the way, having an engineering degree from where ever doesn’t mean you would be a good math teacher.”

Some of the worst cases I have witnessed firsthand have been engineers trying to teach secondary math. They get pissed that the kids, “don’t get it.”

I’ve seen a dude call a kid a retard in his first week of teaching. He walked out in the third week. He was trying to teach permutations with the example of a Grouper sandwich, and got pissed that his kids didn’t understand or relate to the various toppings and options.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 14:57:58

Some of the worst cases I have witnessed firsthand have been engineers trying to teach secondary math. They get pissed that the kids, “don’t get it.”

That description fits my father to a tee.

In his prime, he was a mathematical genius. And Yours Truly? Let’s say that I can add, subtract, divide, and multiply, but I was not — and am not — at his level.

His attempts to explain math to me were marked by tantrums — shouting, beatings, the whole nine yards. Pardon me for saying so, but even though he’s an old man in declining health, I don’t think this behavior was acceptable. Nor was my mother’s decision to do nothing to stop it.

After I left home, became an adult, and went into business, one of my clients was an author who specialized in writing about math and science in such a way that people like me could get it. I’ve found her books to be very helpful. BTW, she’s *not* an engineer.

 
 
 
 
Comment by mathguy
2011-02-25 13:49:01

Polly,

Those teachers don’t just “choose” to work at a private school.. They must be chosen to be hired. And if private schools are for the “elite” and the “elite” are choosing to use lower paid, less educated workers to educate their children, what does that tell you about the true worth of all that extra education for the public workers in schools? What does it tell you about the education these kids are receiving from these more educated teachers? If the public education is better, and it’s free, why are so many people choosing to put their kids in private school?

I don’t have the factual answers to these questions(if there is such a thing), but the evidence leads me to believe that we don’t really need masters degree educated people to teach simple reading, writing, and arithmetic, all of which seem to be doing dismally compared internationally with our current system. Of course, lowering pay isn’t an answer to fix the education problem.

But recognizing that it’s not pay that is driving outcomes in these schools (heresay: Wisconsin has something like 66% of it’s 8th grade students below accepted reading levels) lets us understand that cutting pay in education when the budget is in a state of disarray will probably have less negative effect than bankruptcy.

Further, I’m all for unions. But IMHO unions are to protect workers who have nowhere else to go. People who work in the trades, manufacturing, mining, and industrials. As many have clearly stated, people are not going to the public sector because they have nowhere else to go. They are going there because the taxpayer is the easiest one to get an “easy safe ride” from when you have a union with some political clout.

However, this whole discussion should be moot. If the workers don’t like it, they should just go get one of those higher paying jobs they claim they are just “turning down for security”. Or maybe they should support school vouchers so they can start their own better schools with more effective education for cheaper than current private schools. Otherwise, just fess up and say the deal they have is a lot better than the private sector equivalent, it was good while it lasted, and it can’t go on like this.

Comment by polly
2011-02-25 15:22:50

“And if private schools are for the “elite” and the “elite” are choosing to use lower paid, less educated workers to educate their children, what does that tell you about the true worth of all that extra education for the public workers in schools?”

It tells me that when you can pick and choose your students (for behavior, intelligence, level of socialization to a school environment, home environment, interest of their parents, etc.) that you can get away with having people who are a little less skilled at things like classroom management because your students don’t need as much managing. And that there are at least a few people who don’t bother to get the extra training who have a natural talent for teaching and somehow manage to get into those private schools. The public schools have to hire at a much, much too high a volume to go looking for those naturally talented people who just happen to be good at something for which they have no training.

As for the Wisconsin reading stats that keep getting bandied about, I would like to know how Wisconsin defines “basic” for 8th graders, because if you add up the basic, the proficient and the advanced, they have 78% in that group. Whoever was throwing those stats around this board never bothered to tell us what the definition of “basic” reading level was. Proficient sounds better, but student defined as reading at the “basic” level might be a perfectly acceptable grade level reader as well.

Comment by mathguy
2011-02-25 16:26:06

“It tells me that when you can pick and choose your students (for behavior, intelligence, level of socialization to a school environment, home environment, interest of their parents, etc.) that you can get away with having people who are a little less skilled at things like classroom management because your students don’t need as much managing.”

Are the elite trying to “get away with” the minimum possible for their children??? Then why not send them to public school at zero cost? No, they are choosing a superior product. And they are paying double for it since they pay the school taxes anyway, even if the equivalent cost is less… That’s what’s really crazy!

Why shouldn’t parents get the vouchers then to choose the lower cost option with a superior product? The private schools can then reject the crummy kids even if they have a voucher so they don’t foul up the works as you seem to think they do in the public arena. The biggest group fighting against this is the public teachers union… because it would eliminate a bunch of their overcompensated, overly secure jobs. Of course, if the public schools really are so much better, no problem… the parents send their kids to public schools and the public schools get the vouchers… everyone is happy!

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Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-02-25 17:05:59

Maybe they are paying for smaller class sizes or to isolate their children from bad peer influences or because public schools teach things like evolution that they don’t want their children to learn or because they don’t want their children to be bused to a failing school in a big city district.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-02-25 17:16:31

Maybe the teachers see things you don’t see because you aren’t there.

The end result may be that a marginal school will become a failing school because anyone that can leave will. So then the big city public schools are all failing because they contain all of the behavior problems and all of the children whose parents don’t care and all of the children whose parents can’t transport them to the private school.

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-26 00:36:13

You got it, Happy.

———————

mathguy,

I’m assuming you don’t have kids. If so, you might have a few friend who put their kids in “elite” private schools. Ask them why. Most of these parents know that it’s not the teachers, per se, who make the students look good; it’s the students/parents.

Most “elite” private schools require IQ/tests just to get in. They get to filter the students, and only pick the very best, intellectually, and behaviorally. Public schools do not have this option.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Muggy
2011-02-25 04:10:29

It’s sad to me that here we are five/six years later, debating the value of teachers.

The banksters have won.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 04:36:39

Exactly, Muggy.

Comment by cobaltblue
2011-02-25 07:43:24

Exactly, CA renter, and Baroke Obummer is the Chief Bankster Puppet of the USA.

How’s that working out for “the little guy”?

Comment by In Colorado
2011-02-25 10:50:16

Its Tweedle Dee vs Tweedle Dum, both are different sides of the same coin.

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Comment by MrBubble
2011-02-25 12:03:35

Why do you keep banging this drum? It matters little who is “in charge”, your “Baroke” or “Shrub” or whoever. When we keep pulling each other down while fighting for the scraps that are left. We are “choking on the fumes from the arson of our own culture” and, instead of running from the flames, we remain somnolescent, sucking in the fumes of Chinese drywall, F-350 exhaust, Monster triple thick burgers and MSM lies.

Did you see Austan Goolsbee on the Daily Show trying to convince himself and the viewers that there is a recovery? He’s a product of a private HS education and that was pitiful to watch (although he was never the brightest bulb). We need a serious reboot and slinging mud about one party or one president or the other isn’t going to make that happen.

MrBubble

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Comment by Blue Skye
2011-02-25 05:07:25

Add it to the list of things we knew to be true, but just weren’t so.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 05:21:24

Apparently, it is possible here in America to use copious amounts of money to fund a propaganda campaign which totally hoodwinks the public. We call that “free speech.”

Who’d've thunk?

Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 06:20:53

You are so right. I hear those commercials on the radio all the time that are funded by the New Jersey Teachers Union. They sure do have a lot of money for propaganda. That big, bad Chris Christie just won’t give them all they want, never mind the massive deficit the state faces or the unrealistic promises made by the politicians that were bribed and bought by the unions.

You are lost, Prof.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 13:30:42

Contrary to popular belief, we don’t all LIVE in NYC nor is the rest of the country like there.

Same goes for LA and DC.

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Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 13:41:52

But you will get to bailout those states if they don’t make cuts on their own. That will be fun for flyover land.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 19:05:51

Oh they’ll makes cuts alright, but we’ll still have to bail them out.

And it won’t just be “flyover” states either.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 14:43:44

When did you join Eddie and JoeyinCA in carrying out PR assignments for Megabank, Inc?

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 14:54:41

When did you join Eddie and JoeyinCA in carrying out PR assignments for Megabank, Inc?

NYCityBoy now sounds like Eddie on Chamomile tea.

 
 
 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2011-02-25 08:06:16

“…a propaganda campaign which totally hoodwinks the public.”

And where was most of that “public” educated?

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 09:27:31

And where was most of that “public” educated?

Only part of my education that wasn’t public was kindergarten. First grade through college were in public institutions. And, I might add, my mother taught in the public schools for 22 years. She’s still a teacher’s union member, BTW.

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Comment by mathguy
2011-02-25 17:02:31

So you might have a biased opinion regarding the teachers union?

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 13:32:36

Where were they educated?

TV.

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Comment by jeff saturday
2011-02-25 05:44:13

“It’s sad to me that here we are five/six years later, debating the value of teachers.”

It`s not about the value of teachers.

BECKNER: Teachers’ rights muzzled in union debate
Professional educators deserve a choice of whether to join
By Gary Beckner
-
The Washington Times
6:27 p.m., Wednesday, February 23, 2011

The Wisconsin Education Association Council (WEAC) agreed that its 98,000 members will pay more for health care and pensions - as long as bargaining and forced dues are preserved. That certainly calls into question what the WEAC is really protecting - its members or its source of income. In fact, it will fight to the end to preserve the holy grail of unionism - forced dues.

Forced dues are serious money for the teachers unions. According to data compiled by the National Institute for Labor Relations Research in 2008, the two teachers unions - the National Education Association (NEA) and the American Federation of Teachers (AFT) - collected $2 billion in union dues in 2007 through their state affiliates. Out of that $2 billion, $1.3 billion came from states that allow forced dues.

Twenty-two states have labor laws similar to Wisconsin’s. In 2007, those 23 states employed 52 percent of the nation’s teachers but were the source of the vast majority of all the money collected by the NEA and AFT. Not surprisingly, union dues are much higher in states that have forced unionism - sometimes twice as high as in states where teachers have the option not to pay the union. In Wisconsin, teachers pay more than $800 per year.

The fact is that the unions are fighting to protect themselves and their income, not their membership. While the teachers unions claim to be pro-teacher, what could be more democratic than allowing each person to decide if she or he wants to be a member of that union? By teachers choosing union membership, the union truly would be more representative of its membership, but of course, it would collect far fewer dollars for the union itself.

Under forced unionism, the union speaks for the member even if that member disagrees with the union’s agenda. There’s nothing fair, transparent or democratic about the current system. No teacher should be forced to pay a union to have employment - and especially not when that union takes political positions that clearly conflict with many teachers’ personal views and beliefs.

Furthermore, the proposed legislation does not outlaw collective bargaining. Instead, unions in Wisconsin will be able to bargain on behalf of those who choose to pay for their services. The change is that the state law would no longer force workers, including teachers, to pay union dues. So, in effect, the unions are fighting to protect their monopoly and, naturally, monopolists never want to lose their monopoly.

http://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/feb/23/teachers-rights-muzzled-in-union-debate/ - -

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 06:07:28

They HAVE a choice.

These teachers who want to work for a non-union school are perfectly free to apply for a job at one of those fine private schools everyone keeps touting (you know, where they pay “pennies,” which is a good thing, according to some posters).

Those of us who would choose union work are free to do so, and those who prefer non-union work are free to do so. Sounds like a win-win to me!

Comment by 2banana
2011-02-25 06:46:00

Those of us who would choose union work are free to do so, and those who prefer non-union work are free to do so. Sounds like a win-win to me!

And those of us who vote for representatives to do away with marxist rules like you have to JOIN our union to have/get a job and the STATE will take out the UNION dues straight out of your paycheck whether you like it or not are also free to do so.

Closed shops are anti-American and are being tossed into the dust bin of history.

About the only thing the other side can do is run away and hide. And that is not going to stop this train. Just delay hit for a short time.

Can you imagine if as a condition of employment YOU were forced to join “right to life” and “tea party” groups and state took that money right out of your paycheck.

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Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 06:58:59

Can you imagine if as a condition of employment YOU were forced to join “right to life” and “tea party” groups and state took that money right out of your paycheck.
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—————–

If I didn’t like those conditions, I wouldn’t apply for the job.

Seems simple enough to me.

 
Comment by michael
2011-02-25 07:41:43

so your solution to a condition that you don’t like is “don’t apply for the job”?

my solution to you…for a condtion you do like that is being taken away from you is…go apply for a different job.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 13:36:42

Something wrong with that? Isn’t that what we do in the private sector every day?

 
 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2011-02-25 08:21:19

Renter, what if the Tea Party was the entity chosen by a majority of your fellow employees, they were your collective bargainer, and you were paying dues to them in order to have the job you wanted. And you knew that the Tea Party was going to spend a portion of your dues to fund certain political candidates you strongly disagreed with.

I think you’d be singing a different song. Not every teacher (or other union member) agrees with what’s promoted by the union leadership.

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Comment by Bad Andy
2011-02-25 08:39:43

“I think you’d be singing a different song.”

A voice of reason.

 
Comment by polly
2011-02-25 10:51:48

What is going on right now is the best promotional campaign the teachers unions could ever have among their members.

 
Comment by 2banana
2011-02-25 11:05:09

What is going on right now is the best promotional campaign the teachers unions could ever have among their members.

So then why make it requirement of THEIR JOB to be FORCED to join the union?

If the union is so great - most/all will join by their own choice.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 13:40:25

But they DO have a choice. Work somewhere else.

It’s what we do in the private sector every day.

Isn’t it.

 
 
 
Comment by krazy bill
2011-02-25 06:35:35

Under forced representative democracy , the representative speaks for the citizen even if that citizen disagrees with the government’s agenda. There’s nothing fair, transparent or democratic about the current system. No citizen should be forced to pay a government to have a nation - and especially not when that government takes political positions that clearly conflict with many citizens’ personal views and beliefs.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 07:01:28

Feel free to move to Somalia, or any other country without a strong, centralized government.

BTW, can you name a single country in the world that doesn’t have a strong, centralized government that is better than any of the “socialist” countries?

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Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 07:07:32

Wow. That is all I can say. Wow.

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 07:21:08

Don’t say “wow.” Name a country.

 
Comment by 2banana
2011-02-25 07:31:20

Feel free to move to Somalia, or any other country without a strong, centralized government.

????

And Cuba, the USSR, Zimbabwe, North Korea, Pol Pot’s Cambodia, Nazi German, etc. ALL had strong, centralized governments…

Feel free to move there if you think you will be taken care-off.

How about we get back to American government that worked pretty well for the first 200 years? A smaller government that did regulate every facet of our lives?

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 07:31:52

What is your point? Every post you have is an incoherent screech. Now you are trying to equate a strong, centralized government with a good place to live. That is just insane.

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 07:34:00

You try to make personal attacks and name-call in an attempt to cover up the fact that you have nothing useful to contribute to the conversation. You provide no facts, no logic, nothing.

Name a single country. Come on, you wanted to make your point about the bliss that can be experienced in a country with low/no taxes and a weak government, now do it.

 
Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 07:39:34

Bulgaria? Romania?

 
Comment by krazy bill
2011-02-25 07:40:35

“Feel free to move to Somalia”; that’s a well reasoned response!

A Union is certified after an election in which the majority of the voting workers have voted for the Union. The Union then purports to speak for all the workers, but the Union may take positions that clearly conflict with many citizens’ personal views and beliefs.

A councilperson, representative or senator is elected by a majority of the voting citizens. Those elected purport to speak for all the citizens, but those elected may take positions that clearly conflict with many citizens’ personal views and beliefs.

What’s the difference?
The difference is that government uses guns to enforce it’s positions, and Unions rarely do.

 
Comment by baabaabooie
2011-02-25 08:33:07

I guess you never hear of the Mob and the teamsters? Ask Jimmy Hoffa or Jack Kennedy

 
Comment by Steve J
2011-02-25 09:41:16

Libya does not have a strong central government… ;-)

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-02-25 09:47:54

Feel free to move to Somalia, or any other country without a strong, centralized government.

You realize the US didn’t used to be this way? Some of us have been and continue to stop this from happening.

Why don’t those who want a strong central move to a country that has one, and doesn’t have a constitution that’s supposed to protect against just that???

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-02-25 10:03:33

You guys act like you can just choose public service work or
choose private work at a drop of the hat . The gig is that you only get addition benefits if you stay long term ,its called being vested .
So the carrot is if you stay longer with this gig (so we don’t have the expense of retraining ) you get increased benefits . The only problem is when the employer ,public or private ,goes BK or
doesn’t have the money they don’t want to pay for the incentives they gave you to be a nice docile loyal long term worker who won’t snitch on the employer.
Besides if your vested ,your going to put up with a lot of shit ,and perhaps your going to keep your mouth shut also in a Corporation if they tell you to do something that might be wrong . It’s the loyalty pledge .It also in theory makes you
a more productive worker . Once you have served enough time ,you can’t get out . But the employers violation of their
contract ,public or private ,it you added up the benefits
gotten from those promises ,the benefits were priceless .

 
Comment by mikey
2011-02-25 10:20:53

“What is your point? Every post you have is an incoherent screech. Now you are trying to equate a strong, centralized government with a good place to live. That is just insane”

Oh, now when a member on HBB posts an unpopular post to the mighty NYCityBoy and his gang, it’s a “incoherent screech” and they are labled “insane.”

NYCityBoy, why don’t you just call them Communists or even Socialists, call yourself Joe and rename this blog your House Un-American Activities Committee ?

:)

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 22:19:37

“Wow. That is all I can say. Wow.”

That’s all he can say? Sounds like a guy who could have used a little more unionized McEducmacation.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 13:42:53

Well krazy bill, first off, you can’t please everyone. No way, no how.

Secondly, we don’t have representative democracy in this country. We have a republic.

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Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-02-25 17:38:32

No mention of non-negotiable work conditions.

 
 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 06:18:59

It’s sad to me that here we are five/six years later, debating the value of teachers.

Nobody is debating the value. It is the price.

Hmmm, that sounds familiar on a housing blog.

Comment by Bronco
2011-02-25 10:02:00

great point.

 
Comment by Muggy
2011-02-25 10:33:34

“Nobody is debating the value. It is the price. Hmmm, that sounds familiar on a housing blog.”

Yes, and just like housing, the pigs already filled up at the trough and stripped the wealth, leaving the rest of us to contend for crumbs.

I said this here a few years ago, but it’s still the truth:

A Republican is a fellow who says the rich need help, and then gives his cronies all the money anyway.

A Democrat is a fellow who says the poor need help, and then gives his cronies all the money anyway.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 13:48:28

“Nobody is debating the value. It is the price.

A society that puts a price on everything, values nothing.

 
 
Comment by Kirisdad
2011-02-25 06:58:28

+1000 Muggy. They may be winning, the battles are being fought, the war is still on. Signed, reformed conservative.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 07:50:12

When I hear my co-workers speak of their $8,000 and $9,000 per year property tax bills it makes me think the unions aren’t exactly losing.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2011-02-25 09:45:39

“Signed, reformed conservative.”

Nice Try.

Comment by Kirisdad
2011-02-25 13:45:32

“Nice try”
I’ve been a registered conservative for 25 years. I haven’t always voted that way and in the last few years I haven’t voted that way at all. I just have not got around to registering independent. After this last week, and I can’t believe I’m saying this, but I think I’m a straight-line Democratic voter.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 14:21:28

After this last week, and I can’t believe I’m saying this, but I think I’m a straight-line Democratic voter.

Damn nickpapageorgio……………..We done lost another one…

Maybe it’s because Scott Walker was too soft on the Commies. Maybe Scott Walker (bows head) compromises too much.

If only he would have taken a hard line on those Democrat b#@$ards.

 
Comment by robin
2011-02-26 00:24:07

It isn’t over.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-26 17:15:12

It isn’t over.

I wasn’t talking about the Bill being pass or not robin.

 
 
 
 
Comment by michael
2011-02-25 07:24:29

if our public education system wasn’t in the shape it’s in we would not be debating it.

liberals love to debate how crappy our healthcare system is but hands off education and teachers.

btw…i am a CPA that specializes in taxation. i support a much easier tax system in this country. it would probably cost me my job. ya’ll should try separating political/economic thought from your self-interest. it’s quite refreshing…it’s kinda like taking the red pill.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 07:39:23

Our healthcare system sucks because it is a for-profit system. Profits determine which technologies and medicines we get, not the patients’ well-being.

In a for-profit healthcare system, the best “customers” are chronically ill people who have to be on a life-long drug regimen, with lots of tests to evaluate how well all the toxic drugs are “working.”

It’s no wonder we’re one of the few developed nations that allows toxic chemicals to be used in our foods and cosmetics.

Comment by michael
2011-02-25 07:42:54

“Our healthcare system sucks because it is a for-profit system.”

ok then…why does our public education system suck?

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Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 11:13:40

why does our public education system suck? ??

I can name two reasons;

First, and foremost, the lack of discipline on so many levels that there is really nowhere to start…You ever see the size of a Chinese elementary school classroom ??

Second, unions & tenure….

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 13:53:37

Wrong. School boards are the number one problem.

Go to a few of YOUR local school board meetings. Read their policies statements. Look at their purchasing actions. You are NOT going to like what you see.

Then remember that YOU can vote them in or out.

 
Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 15:40:31

Wrong. School boards are the number one problem ??

Oh I would love to introduce you to the high school kids we have around here…When would you like to meet them…In the morning, noon,afternoon or night at the 7-11 ??

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-02-25 16:04:34

For every example Republicans have of government employees that suck, you can find an equivalent example of how outsourcing this function to private enterprise sucks.

Doesn’t matter if it’s public or private, if you have sleazeball running it, it’s going to be fooked up. And if anyone believes that the businessmen in this country are more virtuous than they typical civil servant, I have a couple of hundred bridges I need to sell you.

Government handled funding of education pretty well from about 1945 to 1980, or thereabouts. As socialist as they would be considered now, does anyone believe that the various GI Bills between 1944 and 1975 weren’t beneficial to the country?

I’ll tell you what……..let’s eliminate all the veteran’s programs, and at the same time, bring everyone back for overseas, discharge them, and tell them “Sorry, all the money that would have paid for the benefits that you were promised has been given to the banksters. We don’t have the money to fund everything, so someone has to sacrifice. Good thing you have those new army boots, so you can pull yourself up with them bootstraps. Thats all the help you are going to get from the government. All Hail the “Free Market System (as currently practiced)……”

Let me know how that works out for everyone in 12-36 months

 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 09:30:14

Our healthcare system sucks because it is a for-profit system. Profits determine which technologies and medicines we get, not the patients’ well-being.

It also sucks because people are rewarded by doing things to patients. And are those things that are done to patients actually helpful? Sometimes they are. But we seem to be a bit short of efficacy research.

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Comment by MightyMike
2011-02-25 07:58:14

liberals love to debate how crappy our healthcare system is but hands off education and teachers.

You need to be more specific there. We actually have huge numbers of good, hard-working doctors and nurses in this country who do a greate job taking care of our health. What is crappy is the way that we pay for health care. It’s fabulously wasteful.

I don’t think that it’s true that liberals always have a “hand off” attitude regarding education. There has been a lot of attention to quality in education over the past decade or so. This is what has caused the vastly increased use of standardized education in recent years. This is one thing that appears to be supported by people across the political spectrum. Unfortunately, it’s actual value is not that great.

From what I can tell, Americans of all political persuasions see a need to improve the quality of public K-12 education in this country. The problem is that we don’t exactly know how to do that.

Comment by michael
2011-02-25 08:26:25

other countries are good at it…we should study them and emulate them…or would that solution somehow impact the teachers’ union negatively?

have no clue…but my gut tells me it would.

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Comment by Bad Andy
2011-02-25 08:43:18

“other countries are good at it…we should study them and emulate them…or would that solution somehow impact the teachers’ union negatively?”

It likely would. It would also require less testing and more hours in the classroom. The union bosses would be running mad…at least about the more hours part.

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 19:11:26

I agree that students should spend more hours in school.

But too many people neglect the fact that any country with the demographic make up that we have has problems with their educational system.

Like it or not, bringing millions of poor people in from countries where education isn’t always available, and where many don’t even graduate from fifth grade, there are going to be problems.

You’ll see the degradation of public schools in almost every country that has recently been overrun by poor immigrants with little education and who have poor language skills in their hosts country’s language.

 
 
 
 
Comment by sfrenter
2011-02-25 07:28:41

I am a school librarian: a dying breed. When the money is no longer there and all the school libraries are shuttered, guess where the jobs are?

Prison libraries.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 07:43:30

Ah, another extreme position.

Let me get this straight. I either have to believe 100% that the unions should never be questioned or I have to believe that absolutely no money should go towards education. There is no middle ground.

Comment by michael
2011-02-25 07:51:38

not true…they just want you to believe this part…”Let me get this straight. I either have to believe 100% that the unions should never be questioned”

the ironic thing is that one thing this blog has taught me is to always at least question the status quo.

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Comment by baabaabooie
2011-02-25 08:35:16

Why do we need libraries? ever heard of google? The internet? Kindles..IPADs?

Does anyone have a spare buggy whip?

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 10:35:28

Why do we need libraries? ever heard of google? The internet? Kindles..IPADs?

I disagree. I have a very big private library (in English) And lots of your mentioned gizmos.

Books trump gizmos. Especially in bigger libraries.

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Comment by Rancher
2011-02-25 16:00:47

My goodness, I agree with Rio.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 16:36:44

My goodness, I agree with Rio.

Well, in reality, compared historically, I’m not that big of a liberal. Sure some called me a liberal in Kansas. But my dad used to call me a young Republican in High School. And many times I was branded a conservative when I lived in the Bay Area.

Now I am a “liberal” on healthcare and my strong anti-fascist/corporatist stand makes me sound liberal these nutball days, but corporatism and inequality of wealth has nothing to do with real conservatism. Barry Goldwater would be shocked to see what most neocons and Tea Partiers are up to. (I just read his book. And I didn’t mean it to sound like I have a huge library, more like a nice bedroom with the walls covered with books, but that’s pretty good for a gringo in Rio)

Anyway, even though the Democrats suck and Obama is a huge dissapointment, I have taken a hard left because that is where I feel the defense is most needed in America. There IS a takeover being attempted and supporting the traitor Republicans will hasten our demise.

I’ve never been a big union guy but I always respected their rights to exist and their role in raising middle-class standards of living. But now, I totally support them because they are in grave danger of being crushed.

So what you see in me is a former middle of the road guy who has chosen sides in a country that is gravely in danger of being taken over by intolerant, greedy fascists.

But it’s Rio on Friday night and I want a beer. Have a good weekend everybody. Thanks Ben. Boa Noite!

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 17:06:43

What he said. Same here.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-02-25 18:48:31

Rio ,I second your emotions .

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 13:56:50

Seriously. You DID NOT just question why we need libraries.

Dear god, were doomed.

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Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 14:00:18

Frack. Typing too fast.

“…we’re…”

 
Comment by michael
2011-02-25 14:25:59

i think he was questioning physical brick and mortar libraries…not libraries in general.

i am sure if one was to research it they would find that much more information exist electronically these days that stored somewhere on paper anyway.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 17:09:40

Sorry, but books are still superior.

For starters, they don’t crash. Or run out of battery power.

And most poor people, who need the library the most so they can, ya know, better themselves, can’t afford gizmos or bookstores.

 
Comment by pismoclam
2011-02-25 19:05:25

We don’t need a library to watch IDOL or the Grammies or Oscars. Isn’t OPRA an intel show? I don’t have to think. My head hurts with FOX News.

 
 
Comment by mikey
2011-02-25 15:35:13

“Why do we need libraries? ever heard of google? The internet? Kindles..IPADs?

Does anyone have a spare buggy whip?”

Nazi book burnings
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopediaJump to: navigation, search

Book burning in Berlin, May 1933.The Nazi book burnings were a campaign conducted by the authorities of Nazi Germany to ceremonially burn all books in Germany which did not correspond with Nazi ideology.

Sounds like the the GOP Hitler Youth want to finish the job ?

:)

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Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 19:11:29

Your mind is really a mess, Mikey. I believe it is your brethren that have pushed for the changes to Tom Sawyer.

 
 
 
Comment by baabaabooie
2011-02-25 08:55:06

Libraries should be extinct. hasnt anyone heard of the internet, google, kindles, ipad, amazon.com etc etc….should be sent to the trash heap along with the post office.

Comment by In Colorado
2011-02-25 10:56:42

I can see you don’t ever visit a public library. A LOT of people find them very useful, where else can you borrow media for free? Not every book is on kindle, and even if it is, its not free.

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Comment by Bronco
2011-02-25 11:35:59

I agree that we don’t want to kill libraries. We really need to encourage an educated populace. (However, I am not opposed to cutting hours of operation to reduce costs, if necessary.)

 
Comment by va beyatch in norfolk
2011-02-25 14:09:20

Libraries deprive authors income. They should be outlawed. What’s the difference if I check a book out or download it from a bittorrent site? What’s the difference if I buy a used CD or download it from a bittorrent site? None.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 14:59:06

Libraries deprive authors income. They should be outlawed.

To the contrary. And I speak as an author who’s sold quite a few books to libraries. They’re great customers.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 14:03:05

Wow. Get rid of libraries.

Wow. Just… wow.

I’ll bet they said the same thing about the Library of Alexandria.

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Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-02-25 17:54:11

Cut off one more avenue for folks to pull themselves up by their bootstraps.

A lot of libraries have internet access these days. People who can’t afford technology can get online there.

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Comment by robin
2011-02-26 00:35:08

Exactly. Libraries as portals for inquisitive minds to access a vast offering never before afforded to them.

Or on their I-Pad at home, if they can afford one. Save trees and real estate. Get real. Touchy-Feely is warm and fuzzy, but it costs us taxpayers a lot!

 
 
 
Comment by Steamed Bean
2011-02-25 11:33:25

Hopefully that won’t increase your commute too much.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 22:23:25

I fantasize every now and again about becoming a mathematics teacher at a prison. I think if my current position ever ends, I will go down that alley. I will be sure to join a public employee union in the process, so I can draw down a big fat pension that pays me more than a Wall Street bankster’s bailout-funded golden parachute’s worth of retirement benefits.

 
 
Comment by Elanor
2011-02-25 09:26:06

So right, Muggy.

My own experiences with great teachers were a long time ago (in a galaxy far, far away, LOL) but my nieces, and my friends who have kids in school now, still are benefiting from excellent teachers. The anger directed toward teachers– is it people who haven’t had any contact with a teacher in decades? Have teachers in general really gone so far downhill in quality that they universally deserve this scorn? I’m trying to understand.

Comment by cactus
2011-02-25 12:28:03

Have teachers in general really gone so far downhill in quality that they universally deserve this scorn? I’m trying to understand.

No I think it’s the students and the parents of the students

and why are the kids so fat these days ? whats up with that ?

Demographics are changing across America Liberals would say the way we teach has to change, Conservatives will say “English Only”

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 13:24:42

As I said, it’s a distraction tactic.

First it was blame the poor. Now it’s blame J6P’s pensions and public sector jobs. Never mind that only 24% of the working age population even HAS a pension and only 12% are a union.

And how they created and controlled the CDOs and gave toxic paper AAA ratings, is still a mystery to me.

The sociopath always blames the victim.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 13:43:18

The victims are the taxpayers.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 14:06:32

Guess what? They’re taxpayers as well.

But the money isn’t there because they have pensions. It’s not there because the GOVERNMENT that handles their pension funds GAMBLED WITH IT AND LOST.

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Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-02-25 17:56:41

I think you should choose to move to one of your low tax paradises, like Texas or Florida.

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Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 19:15:05

NYCityBoy,

Govt workers pay the very same taxes that you do. Funny how you seem to think you (and those who believe just as you do) the only one who pays taxes.

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Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 04:37:58

Oops! Looks like another “technical difficulty”…

LONDON (MarketWatch) — The London Stock Exchange /quotes/comstock/23s!e:lse (UK:LSE 893.00, +0.50, +0.06%) said early Friday that trading on its main U.K. SETS platform has been halted due to a technical problem. The group said it is investigating the problem and will provide a further update as soon as possible. The halt comes after Borsa Italiana, which is also part of the LSE Group, halted trading for most of Tuesday due to technical difficulties.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 05:32:40

Prediction:

With consolidation of major international stock markets to make them operate more “efficiently,” we will witness an increase in the frequency of major “glitches” in the years ahead.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-02-25 09:05:22

All that computerized front-running uses a lot of bandwidth.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 14:08:06

:lol: I think I just hurt myself laughing.

You know why? Because it’s true!

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Comment by CarrieAnn
2011-02-25 04:44:20

From today’s Roubini RGE360 Dailey 5 where you need a subscription for full analysis:

Irish Election: Momentum Gathers Behind Fine Gael
Polls ahead of the February 25 Irish general election have shown increased support for the main center-right Fine Gael party and a slight drop-off in public backing for the Labour Party; all parties have announced intentions to renegotiate elements of the EU/IMF bailout package.

******************
All parties intend on renegotiating their bailout package, huh? This should be worth watching.

Comment by 2banana
2011-02-25 07:33:38

Which party negotiated the EU/IMF bailout package in the first place?

Maybe they had to pass it to see what was inside…?

Comment by measton
2011-02-25 09:47:24

The one getting kicked out by the voters.

 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 05:20:23

In two years Apartments in Rio have risen sharply. Example 3 bedroom median in US dollars.

In Middle/upper-middle class Copacabana they’ve gone from $285K to $530K and the average rent is $2,300 a month.

In Upper-class Ipanema they’ve gone from $400K to $1.2 million and rent for $4,200 a month.

Prime office space has risen 47% in a year and now is more expensive than NYC and is the most expensive in all the Americas.

Rio gets the World Cup in 2014, The Olympics in 2016, Carnaval every year is the “capital” of Brazil’s oil, entertainment and cultural industries and Brazil is on a commodities boom.

However, It is starting to feel like a housing bubble especially in the rich areas. (But the rich areas have NO more land)

What makes it different is that mortgages are still a tiny part of the market compared to the USA. Most those rich Apts. sell for cash. I’d say 65-75% of Rio’s Apartments are owned free and clear.

Brazil is a confusing country.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 06:09:27

That’s crazy, but have you seen a lot of money coming into Brazil? From what I’m reading, Brazil is on fire because of China and the commodities boom.

Is any of this money filtering down to the regular worker, or is it just sitting at the top, as seems to be the pattern around the world?

Thoughts?

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 06:36:52

have you seen a lot of money coming into Brazil?

From all I hear there is a lot of hot Fed money streaming into Brazil to follow that commodity boom. Brazil has even tried to slow it down because it is inflating prices here as it is everywhere. Food is way up.

The money is making its way down to the middle and the poor way more than it is in America right now. The middle class here is growing rapidly (in spite of having a “socialist” government for 8 years.) 35 million have joined the middle class the past decade.

But the fact that houses have tripled in rich areas in 2 years but “only” risen 80% in middle class areas might illustrate that the rich have reaped most the bounty. (because Brazil is “socialist” of course)

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 07:02:38

Thanks for the updates, Rio.

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Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-02-25 09:41:14

Long held beliefs …

BELIEF GROUNDS FOR BELIEF

Take this low pay ……You could be starving in China .

The Rich get richer ….Therefore we should tax them less .

It’s always been this way..,Therefore don’t make change or
correct inequities .

It’s their fault ………….. Blame the victim take the heat
off the thieves or corruption .

There is no money ………We would rather spend the money
another way .

You need to conform
and be a team player……One more docile cattle worker who
will make money for the rich and
not rebel .

Life is what you make it …If your born in Beverly hills ,are
given all the advantages and
proceed to fleece the
underclass and keep them in
their place .

The rich deserve more
because they are smart ….Exploitation of people with no
choices makes them smart .

The Investment class and
the risk takers are the backbone
of all business ……………Great rich quick is easier than
working for the man .

Real estate always goes up ..Given a 100 year span of time

We didn’t see it coming ……It crashed before we got out .

 
Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 10:26:32

If you just keep working a little harder each day, you too will join the club of wealthy corporatists.

 
 
 
Comment by cactus
2011-02-25 12:33:56

That’s crazy, but have you seen a lot of money coming into Brazil?’

thank Ben Bernake for that as the FED tries to re-inflate the US housing market he exports cheap dollars all over the world looking for a better yeild.

Some say Japan did this to the US after the bubble broke in Japan in the 1990’s yen carry trade the USA was flush with money pouring in and the greatest hoard of wealth ever created ( japan ) was destroyed.

 
 
Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 11:57:14

The Portuguese are on a roll…. :)

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 05:28:25

The recovery is racing along!

Indications

Feb. 24, 2011, 9:25 a.m. EST
U.S. stock futures drop as oil tops $100
Priceline.com shares up sharply in premarket trades
By Kate Gibson and Simon Kennedy, MarketWatch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stock futures pointed Thursday to further declines on Wall Street as oil prices remained above $100 a barrel on worries about supply disruptions in Libya, while investors also reacted to a quarterly update from General Motors Co.

Stock-index futures pared their losses after economic data had the government’s count of Americans filing initial claims for jobless benefits declining by 22,000 to 391,000 last week.

Comment by cactus
2011-02-25 12:38:39

Investors have gotten wildly bullish of late, as the bull market that started in early 2009 keeps driving stocks to new highs.

But the pigs are about to get slaughtered, says Bob Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and editor of the Elliott Wave Theorist.

Prechter still thinks the new bull market is just a cyclical “retracement” of some of the bear market losses that we’ve had since the market crashed in 2008. Prechter expected this retracement to drive stocks 50% above the market lows, but stocks have since soared 30% higher than than he expected.

So when the day of reckoning comes, Prechter thinks, it will be even more startling. And Prechter still thinks that stocks will eventually crash to new bear-market lows (read: below 6,800 on the DOW).

What makes Prechter think this day of reckoning may come sooner rather than later?

Sentiment indicators and other technical analysis.

Investor bullishness has now gotten so extreme, Prechter says, that it has exceeded the levels in 2008 before the market crashed. Investors could still get even more bullish, of course, but eventually they’ll pay for this optimism.

And Prechter’s not just bearish on stocks: He thinks oil, silver, and other commodities are absurdly overvalued, too. The only thing he’s bullish on is the dollar.

And lest he be dismissed as a perma-bear, Bob Prechter is quick to add that he hopes there will come a day when he can come on the show and tell everyone that stocks are finally so crushed and hated that it’s a historic opportunity to buy them.

Stock market everyone has an opinion if i thought mine was any better than this guy I would give it to you ;-)

Comment by oxide
2011-02-25 13:08:01

The day the stock market crashes to 6800 is the day I get online to my investment house and convert cash to equities. And then watch like a hawk.l

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 05:31:12

Is the QE printing press technology winding down, or is it just that the payment stream has been diverted to Wall Street?

Feb. 24, 2011, 12:00 p.m. EST
State woes not seen slowing U.S. recovery
Billions in cutbacks likely at local level as federal aid dries up
By Jeffry Bartash, MarketWatch

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Aggressive spending cuts by states such as Wisconsin and California are likely to trim U.S. growth in 2011, but the potential drag would be far too small to sidetrack the recovery.

States are under the gun to slash spending to close large budget gaps, a problem made worse by a shrunken tax base and the end of massive federal aid.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 05:48:43

If they actually cut the things they are talking about, the next leg of this downturn is going to be a doozy.

Comment by combotechie
2011-02-25 05:54:07

There it is, right in front of you. Now just what are you going to do to prepare for this?

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 06:11:54

combo,

You should know by now that I’m a long-time deflationist. I just have a problem with the scapegoating, and the rewarding of the criminals at the expense of working people.

As far as the upcoming deflation, we’ve been sitting in cash (FDIC/SIPC insured) for far too long. It’s not been an easy bet, as the rising asset price inflation and growing wealth disparity could certainly fool some people into buying the “inflation” argument.

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Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 14:36:35

The inflation myth is certainly do real enough damage to my bank account.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 14:39:03

…doing…

 
 
 
 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2011-02-25 06:38:26

“Aggressive spending cuts by states such as Wisconsin and California are likely to trim U.S. growth in 2011, but the potential drag would be far too small to sidetrack the recovery.”

TRANSLATION: We’ve convinced the top 30% it’s ok to spend again so we believe we’re on schedule in our return to the 2007 paradigm. The lower 70% can eat cake. We have no need for their service at this time. We see no reason why detrioration in these sectors should affect us.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 14:40:36

ding ding ding

 
 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2011-02-25 10:49:31

“State woes not seen slowing U.S. recovery.”

Translation: The economy always goes up.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 14:41:57

Remember, there are 2 economies.

One for the rich and one for the rest of us.

 
 
 
Comment by krazy bill
2011-02-25 05:33:55

“Maricopa County home valuations fall 11%” (AZ)

I haven’t received my letter from the county assessor yet, but a brick home with the same square feet as mine one street away recently sold for $50k. Not a short sale or forclosure, the owner passed away.
My assessed value went from $240k in 2006 to $93k last year, but my tax only dropped $200, from $1600 to $1400.
http://www.azcentral.com/arizonarepublic/news/articles/2011/02/25/20110225maricopa-county-home-valuations-fall.html

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 09:32:31

Down here in Tucson, my valuation’s holding steady. But I’m appealing it anyway. Methinks that the houses in this nabe are just a tad overvalued. Just a tad.

 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-02-25 05:35:30

Fannie Mae posts $2.1B loss for Q4, asks for additional $2.6B in aid

02-24-2011 05:25 PM CST
By MARCY GORDON, AP Business Writer
WASHINGTON (Associated Press) –

Government-controlled mortgage buyer Fannie Mae has posted a narrower loss of $2.1 billion for the October-December quarter of last year, and asked for an additional $2.6 billion in federal aid.

The new request is slightly more than the $2.5 billion it sought in the July-September quarter. The mortgage buyer also reported a $21.7 billion loss for all of 2010.

The government rescued Fannie Mae and sibling company Freddie Mac in September 2008 to cover their losses on soured mortgage loans. It estimates the bailouts will cost taxpayers as much as $259 billion.

Fannie Mae’s October-December loss attributable to common stockholders works out to 37 cents a share. It takes into account $2.2 billion in dividend payments to the government. It compares with a loss of $16.3 billion, or $2.87 a share, in the fourth quarter of 2009.

Washington-based Fannie Mae and McLean, Va.-based Freddie Mac own or guarantee about half of all mortgages in the U.S., or nearly 31 million home loans worth more than $5 trillion. Along with other federal agencies, they played some part in almost 90 percent of new mortgages over the past year.

Fannie and Freddie buy home loans from banks and other lenders, package them into bonds with a guarantee against default and sell them to investors around the world.

The government’s estimated cost of bailing out the mortgage giants far exceeds the $132.7 billion they have received from taxpayers so far. That would make theirs the costliest bailout of the financial crisis.

http://ww2.cox.com/myconnection/kansas/today/news/finance/article.cox?moduleType=apNews&articleId=D9LJEHMO0 - -

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 05:48:07

“Fannie Mae posts $2.1B loss for Q4, asks for additional $2.6B in aid”

Your tax dollars hard at work, holding REO homes off the market, thereby propping up home prices in order to protect Fannie’s investors from further losses…

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 05:49:49

Bingo, PB.

 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2011-02-25 10:50:45

Where is the outrage over this? Where are the teabaggers?

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 14:43:00

Damn unions and their pensions!

Oh wait…

Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-02-25 17:39:41

Nobody is talking about the moral hazard of breaking contracts .

Just like when Wall Street/Bankers pulled off their Ponzi-scheme and got bailed out ,they destroyed the secondary market ,
they destroyed confidence ,or trust overall and they left people with the idea that criminals are rewarded .
Massive defaults on mortgages was the net result from” lets screw the bankers and default on debt like they did “.

Likewise the moral hazard of violation of contract with public workers will have a Moral Hazard . Firstly ,contracts won’t be taken seriously anymore . Good moral ,better performance ,loyalty from the public worker will be compromised in that contracts will be considered a game . It might create more turnover of the Government worker ,especially since the new hires are getting less .

No one can say that the Health care variable that employers use to pay for ,public or private, for decades in this Country, isn’t a huge variable that has factored in on the short-fall on funds .
In other words we have a private industry price fixing monopoly
called health care that is subject to capitalist factors (profit motive )or market whims ,tied into the income and wages and benefits of workers.

Why is Health care tied to employment ? Would Health care of gone so high in price had it not been financed by the employer as a benefit for the employee ? For decades I suppose the costs
were low enough that the employer benefited by having healthy employees that could be more productive because a need was taken care of .

When the profit motive and margins /combined with the price fixing monopoly of a private health insurance system skyrocketed in costs ,this long term benefit to in effect keep a
productive healthy labor force became challenged .

The health care industry should do a analysis of what their prices would be at if they were out in the cold and were relying on naked capitalism and supply ad demand to determine what
their prices would of been verses a price fixing insurance system .
Now the result of the profit motive has corrupted to
claims denied or stalled ,employees denied employment by discrimination of age or prior health claims, health care companies dictating treatment ,rather than doctors ,Drug Companies dictating treatment ,not doctors , and a system that is breaking the back of every sector that doesn’t really have the money to pay the 50 % more profit margin the parasites want to enjoy .

So what do the Masters of the Universe do …..they go after the worker and blame it on the worker rather than attack any system that has corrupted the functioning of the long term systems .It’s the worker that is greedy ,not the Health Insurance Companies . Why shouldn’t a healthy family of 4 be willing to pay 1500 a month to get a somewhat good policy ,but if you make a claim don’t expect that you won’t get penalized for it .
Why shouldn’t a healthy family of 4 making 50 thousand a year be willing to pay more than their mortgage or rent just in case they get a broken leg or the rare case of cancer in that age group .

All I see it that any area that represents keeping Corporate profits high or price fixed and protected by being able to raise prices ,Wall Street keeping their speculation casinos alive ,Multinational Companies keeping their favorable taxes and scams playing the Globalism games with bogus tariffs (Not even a VAT tax ),with absurd trade balances ,that effectively has
destroyed our tax base .

You can’t see any of these labor fights out of context from how all these forces are tied together and effect each other .

We have to lower your salary because we can’t compete with China if we give you a better wage . We can’t give the Union workers their contract because we need to give tax breaks to Corporations so they won’t go to Mexico to set up shop . We can’t give jobs to Americans because there are greater profit in outsourcing . We can’t pay teachers good wages because we have to give the money to the rich so they will invest in America so the trickle down effect will work (in spite of Corps hording the money and having no intentions of investing in America.)
We can’t pull in the reins on wall Street casinos because than they wouldn’t be competitive with England and their financial
speculation freedoms and banking system and it would put
Wall Street at a dis-advantage , Multi-National Companies just can’t pay the taxes/tariffs they should because than they wouldn’t get absurd profits ,on and on .

On top of it all, the small business of America ,that has a tendency to not be in the position of being able to go World -wide ,gets to compete with the Monopoly price fixing ,tax advantaged ,Global trotting ,Multi-National Companies ,that they don’t have a snowballs chance against .

Any American Company that produces any aspect of a product in a foreign Country ,or simply are middlemen for cheap labor
under the illusion they are a American Company ,tax them as if they are a foreign Country . Your manufacture the product in
China than you have taken jobs from USA ,you have reduced our tax based ,and you pay as if you were a Foreign exporter .
A far as a actual China Company exporting to America ,you pay the tariff you should and no more unfair trade balances .

I can’t write anymore ,I’m taking up to much space ,but everything that is occurring today is tied into everything else .
The entirety of the problems we face today has to be solved from the standpoint of the entirety of the problem .

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Comment by pismoclam
2011-02-25 18:18:44

I guess I’ll have to buy another 1000 shares of Wellpoint eh ?

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 19:19:46

Thank you for the excellent post, Wiz.

 
 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2011-02-25 06:50:26

U.S. promises unlimited financial assistance to Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac

By Zachary A. Goldfarb
Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, December 25, 2009

The Obama administration pledged Thursday to provide unlimited financial assistance to mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, an eleventh-hour move that allows the government to exceed the current $400 billion cap on emergency aid without seeking permission from a bailout-weary Congress.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/12/24/AR2009122401588.html

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2011-02-25 08:31:45

More hope and change.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2011-02-25 15:11:37

“The Obama administration pledged Thursday to provide unlimited financial assistance to mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, an eleventh-hour move that allows the government to exceed the current $400 billion cap on emergency aid without seeking permission from a bailout-weary Congress. ”

I’ve never understood why that was constitutional.

Isn’t Congress supposed to have control of the purse-strings, at least in theory?

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 21:35:09

“I’ve never understood why that was constitutional.”

Cause Timmay said so.

And now we know the $400bn cap was an arbitrary scam which could be summarily increased as needed.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 22:30:42

Can you imagine these headlines?

“U.S. promises unlimited financial assistance to maintain critical funding of public school systems”

or

“U.S. promises unlimited financial assistance to prevent collapse of state and municipal governments”?

I thought not. It’s all about protecting the wealthy and screwing the masses.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-26 01:09:44

Nailed it, PB.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 05:35:35

Thursday, February 24, 2011
Last updated 11:30 a.m. PT
Seattle-area home prices still falling faster than nation’s
By AUBREY COHEN
SEATTLEPI dot COM STAFF

Seattle-area home prices continued to fall faster than the nation’s in the fourth quarter of 2010, according to a new report.

The price of a typical home in King and Snohomish counties fell a seasonally adjusted 3.79 percent from the third quarter and 8.2 percent from the fourth quarter of 2009, compared with U.S. declines of 0.8 percent and 3.9 percent, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s quarterly report.

“Lingering unemployment and elevated inventories of for-sale homes contributed to the ongoing decline of house prices,” agency Acting Director Edward DeMarco said in the report.

Seattle ranked 23rd out of the 25 largest metro areas for annual and quarterly change.

Phoenix posted the biggest drops, falling 6 percent from the third quarter and 15.3 percent from a year earlier. Denver topped both lists, with a quarterly increase of 3.7 percent and a year-to-year jump of 5.3 percent.

Washington as a whole ranked 45th among states and Washington, D.C., with the typical price falling 6.8 percent from a year earlier. Changes ranged from a 5.1 percent increase in North Dakota to a decline of 15.8 percent in Idaho. Washington’s price was down 3 percent from the third quarter.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 05:39:06

Case vrs Shiller

(You have to love Case’s fervent belief that whether people buy homes is a function of their moods; what if the mood most people are in is “I’m broke”?)

Home prices edge toward double dip
The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller index shows a 2.4% decrease in December from the same month in 2009 and 1% from November, the fifth straight month of declines.
February 23, 2011|By Alejandro Lazo, Los Angeles Times

With foreclosures high and demand weak, home prices in a majority of the nation’s largest metropolitan areas posted fresh lows in December and pushed a widely watched index of real estate values close to a double-dip decline.

The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller index showed that prices in 20 major U.S. cities dropped an average of 2.4% in December from the same month a year earlier and 1% from November, the fifth straight month the index has fallen.

And experts said things could get worse.

My intuition rates the probability of another 15%, 20%, even 25% real home price decline as substantial,” said Yale University economics professor Robert Shiller, co-creator of the index. “That is not a forecast, but it is a substantial risk.

His partner, Karl E. Case, a Wellesley College economics professor, noted that the nation also could see a quick turnaround.

It looks very much like a rocky bottom with a downward trend [now], so it is discouraging,” Case said. “It’s possible the mood could change, and the mood could change very quickly.”

Comment by measton
2011-02-25 09:51:47

So again
1. Unemployment to remain high
2. Double dip in housing
3. States cutting spending
4. Oil prices rising

MSM says this is not enough to derail the recovery.

Comment by MrBubble
2011-02-25 13:10:11

I am picturing Kevin Bacon in Animal House yelling hysterically, “All is well!”

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 14:46:24

The recovery for the rich is progressing quite well.

Oh, you mean for the rest of us? More cake.

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 05:41:09

The red hot spring sales season hasn’t even begun yet, and I already find it impossible to keep up with all the news of U.S. housing price declines.

Whatcom County home values drop below 2005 levels

DAVE GALLAGHER - THE BELLINGHAM HERALD

Home values in Whatcom County took a significant drop at the end of 2010, a trend expected to continue this year as the real estate market struggles in this economic climate.

The value of a home in the fourth quarter in this area was down 3 percent compared to a year earlier, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s all-transactions home price index. It’s a change in direction from the third quarter, when home values in Whatcom County edged up slightly year over year.

For the first time during this national real estate bubble and its subsequent burst, the value of Whatcom County homes are less than they were five years ago in this report. The index reports home values in the Bellingham metro area were down 1.9 percent compared to the fourth quarter of 2005.

The all-transactions index includes data from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages used for home purchases and refinancings, giving an indication of what’s happening with repeat sales.

Nationally home values were down 1.3 percent year over year in the all-transactions index. Out of the 309 metro areas it ranked for year-over-year home appreciation, Bellingham ranked near the bottom, at 229. Several other Washington communities ranked lower than Bellingham, including Bremerton (238), Longview (241), Mount Vernon (246), Olympia (281), Seattle (252) and Tacoma (285). The only metro area in Washington to see year-over-year home appreciation in this report was Kennewick.

“Lingering unemployment and elevated inventories of for-sale homes contributed to the ongoing decline of house prices,” said FHFA acting director Edward J. DeMarco in a press release accompanying the data.

Comment by GrizzlyBear
2011-02-25 10:54:19

“Whatcom County home values drop below 2005 levels”

This is nothing. House prices in Whatcom County need to go back to the late 90’s to get back to being affordable based upon local wages.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 05:45:56

“Several quarters off” = by Q4.2024?

P.S. “Those two cities where prices have hit bottom and are rising again” are DC and San Diego — both heavily dependent on federal govt jobs. Let’s reserve judgment on their forward home price trajectories until we learn how hard the federal workforce gets hammered by the new class of Republican Congressmen.

Recovery still a ways off for U.S. housing market
February 23, 2011|By Alan J. Heavens, Inquirer Real Estate Writer

Except in two cities where prices have hit bottom and are rising again ever so slowly, the nation’s housing market still appears several quarters from recovery.

Case-Shiller index data through December, released Tuesday, show prices falling 3.9 percent during the fourth quarter of 2010.

Year-over-year, the national index was 4.1 percent lower. Only San Diego and Washington saw prices rise.

Seasonal demand accounts for part of the December decline, but economist Patrick Newport of IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Mass., said that “foreclosures and weak demand played a larger role” in the price drop.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 09:00:59

* POLITICS
* FEBRUARY 25, 2011

Shutdown Preparations Begin
By NAFTALI BENDAVID And DAMIAN PALETTA

Agencies throughout the government are scrambling to figure out how to handle a government shutdown, with a potential closure as soon as March 5 prompting a review of which activities are essential and which aren’t.

Editorial Board Member Steve Moore on the prospects of a government shutdown.

Austan Goolsbee, chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, said federal departments have been exploring issues raised by a possible shutdown, including which operations are crucial and how employee furloughs would work.

“It would be irresponsible not to have that, and so we do,” Mr. Goolsbee said. “That’s not in any sense like we’re planning for a shutdown in a strategic way. I don’t think there’s going to be a shutdown.”

If lawmakers don’t approve a funding plan by March 4, when a stopgap spending measure expires, many government operations will have to stop.

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 05:47:28

Tucson’s housing market poised for recovery

http://www.kold.com/Global/story.asp?S=14137674

Tucson, AZ (KOLD) - A recent study ranks Tucson fifth in the nation for a certain foreclosure statistic.

The study by ForeclosureListing.com looked at states that had the biggest increase in foreclosures from February 2010 to February 2011.

On the other hand, another survey puts Tucson among the top 10 markets likely to see a recovery.

Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 06:10:59

It all depends how one defines recovery.

 
Comment by krazy bill
2011-02-25 06:43:06

Recovery in the Tucson market?
Depends on the outcome of the secession movement.
“Secession from Arizona pushed”
http://www.azcentral.com/arizonarepublic/local/articles/2011/02/25/20110225xgr-tucson0224.html

Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 12:20:37

I wish California would…

 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 09:38:38

On the other hand, another survey puts Tucson among the top 10 markets likely to see a recovery.

Okay, Slim here. I can’t pass up a good Tucson thread. Uh-uh, not me.

What I’m seeing in Tucson is…

…a lot of houses that have “for sale” signs. And those signs creak in the breeze for many weeks, if not months. Some of them revert back to being rentals after an unsuccessful stint on the “for sale” market. Others just sit there, looking all lonely and forelorn.

As for that notion of renting out the white elephant until the resale market improves, well, good luck with that one. A lot of other people are trying that gambit too. Which leads to a proliferation of “for rent” signs that are also creaking in the breeze.

Then there’s the mismatch between our local median income — in the low 30s — and local median house prices. Those are still up there in the mid 100s. Recall that the historic metric for the median house price — three times the local median income.

And I should add that this burg hasn’t suddenly acquired an abundance of high-paying jobs. This place isn’t called the Taiwan of the Rockies for nuthin’.

So, if you define “recovery” by “house prices falling to levels where the locals can actually afford them,” I think we have a ways to go.

 
Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 12:19:35

I love Tucson….Going to try and go see Slim soon…I must say, they could have picked a better video shot then one with bars on the windows…Does not appear to inviting to me…

 
Comment by cactus
2011-02-25 12:35:25

Tucson is cool in a hot sort of way

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 05:51:00

Report: Housing Market Still A Mixed Bag

http://www.lbpost.com/news/don/11126

The California Association of Realtors on Wednesday debuted its Pending Home Sales Index, which shows that pending home sales in California rose in January. The index was 93.6 in January, up 13.6% from December’s 82.4.

Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, providing information on the future direction of the market, according to CAR. The year 2008 was used as the benchmark for the index–100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during that year.

…With foreclosures high and demand weak, home prices in a majority of the nation’s largest metropolitan areas posted fresh lows in December and pushed a widely watched index of real estate values close to a double-dip decline,…

…Yale University Professor Robert Shiller told the Times: “My intuition rates the probability of another 15%, 20%, even 25% real home price decline as substantial.”

“Pending sales typically rise in January from a seasonally slow November and December,” C.A.R. President Beth L. Peerce said in a statement. “January’s pending sales should be reflected in higher existing sales activity in February and March and serve as a precursor to the spring home buying season.”

On the other hand, a story in the L.A. Times on Wednesday states that if things don’t shape up, the nation’s housing market could be headed for a double dip.

Comment by Ben Jones
2011-02-25 06:38:32

Let’s look at this stuff - from the LB Post:

‘A drop in sales and values would be particularly bad for affordable communities, such as Long Beach…’

‘Long Beach, CA Real Estate Market Snapshot updated Monday, February 21, 2011…Homes for Sale - 2,734 Median Price - $314,000′

http://realestate.yahoo.com/California/Long_Beach

Also the LB Post and LA Times:

‘Yale University Professor Robert Shiller told the Times: “My intuition rates the probability of another 15%, 20%, even 25% real home price decline as substantial.”

I could go into a lot behind Shiller, but just a few minutes of searching produced this:

‘June 30, 2009. Home prices saw a “striking improvement in the rate of decline” in April and trading in funds launched today indicates investors believe the U.S. housing slump is nearing a bottom, said Yale University economist Robert Shiller…”My guess would be that home prices are going to level off — they’re not going to keep falling,” Shiller said in a separate interview with Bloomberg Television.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aIbMtWW6cVO4

Which raises another issue:

‘January 7, 2011…The executive committee of the American Economic Association voted unanimously on Thursday to create a committee “to consider the association’s existing disclosure and other ethical standards and potential extensions to those standards.”

‘Some of the association’s journals already require contributors to disclose any relationships they have with companies or other entities that might have financial interests in the topics of their scholarship. But the signers of the petition would like the association to also insist that members disclose such relationships in other contexts—when they testify before Congress, for example, or when they write essays in the popular press.”

“In a paper released two months ago, Gerald A. Epstein, a professor of economics at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst, and Jessica Carrick-Hagenbarth, a graduate student there, scrutinized the behavior of 19 economists who made policy pronouncements about financial reform after the 2008 crisis.”

“Thirteen of them, it turned out, worked as consultants, as directors, or in other capacities for banks, rating agencies, and investment firms with interests in the outcome of financial regulation. And only two of those 13 economists routinely disclosed those financial ties in their academic papers and their news-media appearances.”

“The public is not well served when they read an economist’s views about ratings agencies if they aren’t also told that the economist sits on the board of directors of a ratings agency,” Ms. Carrick-Hagenbarth said in an interview this week.”

http://chronicle.com/article/Economists-Group-Forms-Panel/125875/

Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 12:26:27

Long Beach….Isn’t the military the largest employer ?? Anyway, I think we have another round of base closing cuts along with elimination of a bunch of programs…Not sure when but I am sure its coming..Its not going to be friendly to housing thats for sure…Remember;

More than 350 installations have been closed in four BRAC rounds: 1989, 1991, 1993, and 1995. The most recent round of BRAC completed in the fall of 2005 and with the commission’s recommendations became law in November 2005.

 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-02-25 06:50:09

Didn’t California have some incentive program that is now over?

Taking a moment to look at where we are. New home sales are now at the lowest rate going back to the early 60s according to the Census Bureau. Under 300,000. Lower than 1982 (ref FPSS) when mortgage rates topped out at 15% nationally (wasn’t gas just breaking $1 back then). Now interest rates are at an all time low (in my memory). Street wisdom is that prices plunge after sales volume. Oil going up, food going up, employment going down, interest rates going up, (un)civil instability. Looks like the fourth inning to me.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 07:06:13

Yes, hundreds of millions of dollars for our own “tax credit” for housing.

Too bad “the money is not there” for workers.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2011-02-25 13:27:26

So what kind of hard data is used to define a “pending” sale? And if this data existed in the past, surely they could calculate Pending from an early date to use as their “100″ gold-standard comparison, like, 2005 perhaps?

 
 
Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 05:58:49

One of those “how the hell are they making this happen” acquaintances just had his phone and email disconnected this week. Still in the house, apparently trying to hold onto the rapidly depreciating white elephant.

Comment by CarrieAnn
2011-02-25 06:50:38

One of those “how the hell are they making this happen” acquaintances

Can you offer us any more details on this person’s position?

Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 07:09:07

“Can you offer us any more details on this person’s position?”

Bent over.

Comment by Kim
2011-02-25 07:13:36

LOL

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Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 07:36:12

BINGO.

He’s a $65k/yr schlepping away at an hourly job in downstate NY, 7 kids, wife doesn’t work and signed up for a $300k+ mortgage in 2004. $65k is a good living in Frogballs, Arkansas but it doesn’t go far anywhere within commuting distance of NYC. He’s marginally within commuting distance and fuel costs must be killing him. His property taxes are atrocious and he sacrifices everywhere to hold onto the white elephant as evidenced by his phone disconnect.

But you know what? HE did it to himself. 7 kids were his choice. A gargantuan mortgage relative to his salary was his choice. And I got to say, he’s one of 5 people I know (from church) who bought too much house and did so at the wrong time and is now paying a much higher price than he ever imagined. I can’t help but mention that they all had an air of smugness and snobbery back in the heyday circa 2005. No more.

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Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 07:45:36

I’m guessing he is in Fishkill or Poughkeepsie.

Too bad church didn’t teach him humility. It looks like life is about to achieve that task.

 
Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 07:49:33

Close. All 5 are in Poughquag and LaGrangeville.

Humility? This is the same character who I heard say “I’m an engineer”. His real occupation? Janitor. He precisely demonstrates my entire point when I mention the fact that people run frantically from their peonage and peasantry.

 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2011-02-25 08:40:19

Wait, $65K a year as a janitor? Or is the $65K what he used to make?

 
Comment by poormancometh
2011-02-25 08:50:40

Dang, with 7 kids I hope cable is not cut-off because he has demonstrated an ability to fill idle time around the house with the wifey.

 
Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 09:06:48

Yeah but there is(was in his case) a solution to that…. It’s called birth control.

 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2011-02-25 10:00:36

LOL, NYCboy.

Wow! Exeter. I guess I didn’t understand the how the hell are they making this happen statement. Does he think his unpaid vendors or mortgage holder have no recourse? Does he believe because he signed some papers that despite not paying his mortgage that the house is still “his”?

 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-02-25 11:14:28

“Wait, $65K a year as a janitor? ”

It is in NY state. Out here school janitors are paid $12/hr. In the private sector thay are all minimum wage illegals.

 
Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 11:52:43

No he works in a building owned by a REIT who lease to high finance. But a janitor nonetheless.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by NoVa RE Supernova
2011-02-25 06:14:04

http://larouchepub.com/pr/2011/110223fein_referendum_bailout.html

Sinn Féin Organizes forReferendum To Stop Bailout

Feb. 23, 2011 (EIRNS)—Five days before Election Day, Feb. 25, Sinn Féin launched a big billboard campaign saying: “It’s not too late to stop this. Vote Sinn Féin.”

The so-called major parties are trying to ignore, what everybody calls the elephant in the room, by trying to dance around the question of the bailout. The newspapers and TV news, knowing full well that this is the central object of voter concern, have attempted to minimize the role of Sinn Féin, the United Left Alliance, the Christian Solidarity Party, and an unprecedented number of independent candidates, who are all calling for burning the bondholders. The Sinn Féin program includes the slogan, “Not One Red Cent for the Banks.”

Sinn Féin President Gerry Adams has called for a referendum on the bank bailout. According to the Irish Times, Adams said that Ireland can ill-afford to allow any more money to leave the country in senior bond debt. Instead, Sinn Féin has proposed that the EU30 billion that is intended for Irish banks later this Spring should be invested in jobs and infrastructure. Adams said that a Sinn Féin government would not renege on sovereign debt owed to lending countries. “Key to it is to separate the bad, toxic bank debt, private debt, from the sovereign debt,” he said.

In huge, bright letters, the Sinn Féin election billboard shows Fine Gael, Labour, and Fianna Fáil all tied up in bailout plans. The sign then reads:

“In four weeks’ time Anglo Irish and Irish Nationwide will be given another 30 billion euros of taxpayers’ money. It’s not too late to stop this!”

As the Guardian reported Feb. 20, the conditions in Ireland are already such, that up to 50,000 Irish citizens could leave the country this year.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 06:21:43

The Sinn Féin program includes the slogan, “Not One Red Cent for the Banks.”

Right on! Inspired no doubt by our real-American, Tea Party’s patriotic stance on the subject.

Comment by Blue Skye
2011-02-25 06:58:10

More of a Whiskey Rebellion.

 
 
Comment by Mike in Miami
2011-02-25 08:30:00

What worked for Iceland will work for Ireland. That’s the only way to break the international banking mafia.

Comment by measton
2011-02-25 13:09:58

I think Iceland is in a better position as they have more natural resources. Money can say no to labor but it can’t say no to natural resources.

 
 
Comment by goirishgohoosiers
2011-02-25 10:32:59

Sinn Fein will win at most ~10 seats in the Dail (Irish parliament), not nearly enough to become even a junior partner in a coalition government. Fine Gael and Labour will form the coalition, perhaps by themselves or in concert with a few smaller parties. SF is a Northern Irish party that fairly recently began organizing and competing in the Republic of Ireland. Their politics are decidedly left wing, but there are several other parties that stand for pretty much the same economic policies, have been around longer, are more organized.

Comment by Steve J
2011-02-25 12:45:57

I thought Sinn Féin was more right wing and really just the political wing of the Provincial Irish Republican Army?

 
Comment by measton
2011-02-25 13:25:03

I’m sure the banks that are threatened will be wining and dining these newly minted heads of Ireland. The people must be forced into slavery to pay off the bankers.

 
 
 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 06:14:52

Funny. A listing just came on for a house built in 2008…”never lived in.”

And it’s listed for $1,395,000 to $1,425,000.

Who would have bought a house in 2008 for this price (or close to it…deflation hasn’t really hit housing much in this area), and then had it sit empty during these years? Flippers? Foreign money? Drug money????

We see stuff like this around here, and I’m always curious about the story behind these listings.

 
Comment by 2banana
2011-02-25 06:52:55

Here is a guess -

The owners never paid a dime for the mortgage.

They had hoped to “flip it” for huge bucks.

They defaulted on their first payment, never sold it and it took the bank 3 years to “evict them” - at least on paper.

 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2011-02-25 08:52:32

Renter, our community has been around for several decades but there were still a number of vacant lots. During the bubble, a company was recruiting “investors” (mostly from out of state) to buy a lot and contract with a builder to put a house on it and then flip it. The “investors” were promised that the appraised value of the final product would be at least 20% more than what they paid for the lot and house.

At least 30 houses got built that way. I don’t think a single flipper made money on the deal. About half those houses are still empty (up to 3 years now) and owned by the banks.

I watch the public sale notices, and I know one specuvestor lost two houses in this community and at least one other in a nearby, newer community.
These were “investment” properties so the notes were full-recourse. Can you spell “bankruptcy” boys and girls?

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 09:13:08

“$1,395,000″

That was a very popular list price in our zip code back when I initially began tracking the bubble. In fact, at one point, that was the median SFR list price on the MLS for our zip code (92127). As I type, according to RedFIN, the median SFR list price stands at $727,500 — pretty good haircut I’d say!

Comment by Bronco
2011-02-25 11:55:30

“pretty good haircut I’d say!”

Not short enough.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 14:39:30

Headed towards crew cut length, it appears…

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Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 19:24:45

We can hope. :)

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 07:01:59

Solution?

A Solution To The Wisconsin Standoff

http://www.forbes.com/2011/02/23/wisconsin-teacher-collective-bargaining-leadership-managing-standoff.html

Here’s a new, better way to handle public employee collective bargaining that’s fair to all sides.

Gov. Scott Walker is correct to try and corral the issue once and for all. These times call for change. However, there is a compromise to get there that does not require the state to vitiate collective bargaining rights. Collective bargaining is American. It is bigger than Republicans or Democrats. It should be bigger than politics. It should not be the baby that goes out with the bathwater, not if there is another way. And there is.

…In Wisconsin the unions, in a smart tactical move, offered to give into the governor’s demands on pension and health reform in exchange for maintenance of their collective bargaining rights. Although this sounds good on its face, it does not solve the problem of what happens next year or what happens in other local county school or village contracts.

In sum, the unions are looking for a one-shot solution, while the governor is seeking a structural fix. I believe there is a structural fix that advances the governor’s cause while maintaining collective bargaining rights for employees.

….Today in most states, the public employee collective bargaining laws prohibit employees from striking. In exchange, the employees through their union are given binding arbitration. But to get to binding arbitration, the parties need to reach impasse, a term that in labor law means deadlock, with no hope of resolution. Once there, the status quo remains in place until the arbitration award is rendered. In practice, this period can last years, and it has provided a strong disincentive for public unions to agree to any givebacks. It’s obvious: Why would a union yield now when it can delay, delay, delay and then settle later?

The way to resolve this is to reconfigure the burden of the law. Treat public employees the way the National Labor Relations Act treats private employees. Under the NLRA, after impasse, employers are permitted to implement changes. The union then has the right to respond by a strike. In the public sector there is no right to strike, only arbitration. The fix here is to eliminate the status quo during the binding arbitration phase. Allow the state employer to implement changes, and allow the union to contest those changes in arbitration.

This subtle shift will motivate unions to bargain in sincerity and not hide behind status quo, and it will also allow state employers to bargain in good faith for structural and work rule changes. The burden on state employers will be to act reasonably or risk having their proposals reversed. Since the ability to pay is always a factor in public sector labor disputes, this will produce the best result possible. Real savings can be implemented to solve budget crises, and real bargaining can occur between employers and employees, with the compromise outcomes benefiting the taxpayers.

Comment by 2banana
2011-02-25 07:37:59

Sounds like a good idea and the democrats should bring up that compromise during the legislative process…

If they WOULD SHOW UP FOR WORK and stop hiding.

Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 07:44:52

Scott Walker, meet Waterloo.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 09:29:39

Sounds like a good idea and the democrats should bring up that compromise during the legislative process…..If they WOULD SHOW UP FOR WORK and stop hiding.

Alas. If it is good idea it would be too late for the democrats to show up for work and “bring up that compromise during the legislative process…”

It would have to be agreed to before they showed up for work because the second they show up, a quorum will have been reached and Scott Walker and the Republicans will immediately vote yes on the B.S. bill as is. Therefore this “good idea” would never have a chance if the Democrats “showed up for work”.

Comment by 2banana
2011-02-25 09:50:22

It would have to be agreed to before they showed up for work because the second they show up, a quorum will have been reached and Scott Walker and the Republicans will immediately vote yes on the B.S. bill as is. Therefore this “good idea” would never have a chance if the Democrats “showed up for work”.

So the answer is to shut down government when the election does not go your way?

Or say we are not showing up until we get our way on a bill before it is even debated?

No – the legislative process does not work that way in America.

Maybe in 3rd world banana republics.

Back not that long ago - democrats CONTROLLED the state government in Wisconsin. They could have done something/anything then. Too bad, so sad they did not.

No they need to live with the consequences.

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Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 10:34:51

And the consequence is a new, baby faced yes-man named Scott Walker is hundreds of miles from shore treading water…. with no rescue in sight while his cowardly shipmates are high and dry. And he’s singing his last tune that goes like this;

Waterloo - I was defeated, you won the war
Waterloo - promise to love you for ever more
Waterloo - couldn’t escape if I wanted to
Waterloo - knowing my fate is to be with you
Waterloo - finally facing my waterloo

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 11:03:47

Or say we are not showing up until we get our way on a bill before it is even debated?…No – the legislative process does not work that way in America.

No, it actually does sometimes. That is exactly the way the legislative process works in America when a legislature is structured with a quourum requirement as does the WI Senate.

The WI Democratic Senators are not doing anything illegal because apparently, unlike the US Senate, the WI Senate does not have a strong binding “Call of the House” procedure that would arrest them and bring them back to the Senate to vote.

On the other hand, the US Senate has a strong “Call of the House” procedure where they can actually arrest Senators if they walk out to not meet a quourum. The last time Senators walked out on the US Senate was 1988 when the Republicans walked out because they didn’t like a bill being debated.

In the United States Senate, the procedure was (last) used in the early morning hours of February 25, 1988. Senator Robert C. Byrd of West Virginia, then the Senate Majority Leader, moved a call of the house after the minority Republicans walked out in an attempt to deny the Senate a quorum after Senate aides began bring cots into the Senate cloakrooms in preparation for an all-night session over campaign finance reform for congressional elections.

Bryd’s motion was approved 45-3 and arrest warrants were signed for all 46 Republicans. Senate Sergeant-at-Arms Henry K. Giugni and his staff searched the Capitol’s corridor and Senate office buildings for absent Senators, and after checking several empty offices, spotted Senator Steve Symms of Idaho, who fled down a hallway and escaped arrest.

After a cleaning woman gave a tip that Senator Robert Packwood of Oregon was in his office, Giugni opened the door with a skeleton key. Packwood attempted to shove the door closed, but Giugni and two assistants pushed it open. Packwood was “carried feet-first into the Senate chamber by three plainclothes officers” and sustained bruised knuckles.[9] wiki

 
Comment by Elanor
2011-02-25 13:59:10

If only the gubmint in WI under Walker actually functioned like a democratic republic, with stuff like debate and compromise, rather than the current dictatorial my-way-or-the-highway shenanigans.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-02-25 10:54:23

It is OK for the state to exercise its sovereignty. The state is not morally obliged to surrender it to a special interest group and thereby weaken its power to steer the ship. Villifying Ranger Walker will not change the dynamics now in play all over the country. Wisconsin is often on the bleeding edge of political tides. This is just one minor confrontation in a process that will grip the country for a long time. Individuals are being forced into fiscal responsibility, and now states. It cannot come to the Federal Government too soon.

 
 
Comment by albuquerquedan
2011-02-25 07:20:36

Cheat sheet for GDP numbers:
No Internet bubble and/or housing bubble= low growth and revenue.
Clinton’s “good” years=Internet bubble
W’s “good years= Housing bubble
Bubble state winner= California
Bubble bust loser=California

Have a good day everyone.

Comment by 2banana
2011-02-25 07:39:10

Oh - there are many more bubble state losers and winners…

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 07:46:54

+2011

That was pretty clever.

 
 
Comment by sfrenter
2011-02-25 07:38:54

Here’s a question that’s been nagging at me:

I live in one of the priciest cities in the world. Even a tear-down in my once-blue collar neighborhood goes for 500K.

So how is it that there are SFH that have been vacant for 5-10 years? How can someone afford to to keep a house vacant for that long? Are they getting some sort of tax write-off?

I can think of 5 vacant houses (been vacant for at least 2 years) in a 1/2 mile radius. Are people in SF really so rich that half a million bucks means nothing?

Comment by 2banana
2011-02-25 07:41:34

I can think of 5 vacant houses (been vacant for at least 2 years) in a 1/2 mile radius. Are people in SF really so rich that half a million bucks means nothing?

It can take banks 3 years to foreclose - even longer if the “owner” fights it, declares bankruptcy, etc.

And many banks then just sit on the property.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 09:08:55

Correct me if I am wrong, but my understanding is that banks don’t have to recognize the collapsed values of their real estate portfolios until they sell. The evidence suggests that many banks would rather allow their REO to crumble into a state of dilapidation, than realize and honestly account for their real estate gambling losses.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 09:11:56

That is not true. Banks do have to recognize losses on commercial real estate by way of loan loss reserves. I believe the same would be true of residential real estate. Of course larger banks that can bully auditors probably have more wiggle room.

Look at Wells’ last earnings release. Their earnings shot up, due solely to putting less money into loan loss reserves. It is nice to have Warren “Margaritaville” Buffett as one of your largest shareholders. I believe he is good friends with the president.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 10:15:37

“I believe the same would be true of residential real estate.”

Are you suggesting banks have to recognize unrealized losses on residential real estate? How can they even figure out the magnitude of unrealized losses for areas where properties are generally kept off the market or put on the market at list prices where they never sell? It seems like a lack of sales would lead to a lack of comps on which to base your estimate of unrealized real estate gambling losses, but perhaps you know better than I how this is done…

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-02-25 10:37:07

FASB. Rule 157. Mark to Fantasy. Extend and Pretend. Smoke and mirrors. Insolvent, but got cash flow. Pray for a miracle.

Our beloved Volker invented this tactic.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 10:45:37

Thanks, Blue. NYCB, you know anything about FASB Rule 157?

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 10:48:50

“Our beloved Volker invented this tactic.”

I’m skeptical he originated this. It seems like the Soviet Union was engaging in some kind of mass accounting fraud before they blew up in 1989. More recently, didn’t Enron pretty much hide their losses off balance sheet until the day they blew sky high? And the Japanese banks also failed to recognize losses after their asset prices collapsed in the early-1990s. Not sure how these examples tie in to your point about Volcker, but it seems like shell games to hide losses are very prevalent in corporations and governments.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-02-25 10:57:02

Volker saved the banks in the 80s by letting them slide on accounting rules regarding bad loans to Latin America, IIRC. In time, they earned enough to cover the bad loans.

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 11:07:58

Thanks, Blue. NYCB, you know anything about FASB Rule 157?

Yes I do. Please give me the names of small banks that are not being forced to write down loans.

Just because you jumped the shark, don’t get uppity with me.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-02-25 11:17:59

If a small bank gets shut down and a big bank takes over its assets, does dog poop suddenly turn back into gold or does it get flushed?

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 11:20:14

The FDIC brings a big trash can and a pooper scooper. Nice, ehhhh?

But to imply that nothing is getting written down is silly. FASB157 doesn’t stop everything in the banking system from facing any write-downs.

 
Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 12:31:55

Volker saved the banks in the 80s ??

And crushed many friends of mine that never recovered… Almost got me…

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 21:02:54

“Please give me the names of small banks that are not being forced to write down loans.”

OK — here’s one:

Regulators Close Small Ill. Bank; Makes 23 in 2011
Regulators shut down small bank in Illinois; makes 23 US bank failures in 2011
The Associated Press
By MARCY GORDON AP Business Writer
WASHINGTON February 25, 2011 (AP)

Regulators on Friday shut down a small bank in Illinois, raising to 23 the number of U.S. bank failures this year after the limping economy and mounting soured loans felled 157 banks in 2010.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. seized Valley Community Bank, based in St. Charles, Ill. The bank has five branches, $123.8 million in assets and $124.2 million in deposits.

 
 
 
Comment by Shelby
2011-02-25 10:48:51

I have a pal in NoVa that hasn’t made a payment in 4 years & is still in the McMansion

 
 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 07:48:00

They aren’t going to just give it away.

Maybe they are caught up in some sort of estate limbo.

 
Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 12:29:05

Are people in SF really so rich that half a million bucks means nothing ??

Give me a few addresses and I will find out who owns them and where they report their mailing address…

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2011-02-25 07:52:26

Unions Rule By Brute Force
Boston Herald | February 25, 2011 | Michael Graham

If I were in organized labor, I’d seriously think about starting a P.R. union.

The only person who had worse press coverage this week than organized labor was Moammar Gadhafi — and he had to bomb his own people to get it.

As of this writing, union-owned Democratic state senators are still hiding out in cheap hotels across state lines in Illinois. These Wisconsin “flee-baggers” can’t find the courage to show up for work, but they’re on cable news every hour whining about Gov. Scott Walker.

Meanwhile, our own U.S. Rep. Mike Capuano (D-Somerville) was forced to apologize for his comment that “every once and awhile you need to get out on the streets and get a little bloody” — comments he made after pointing out that my fellow Tea Partiers were at the back of the crowd ready to (ahem) donate a few pints.

In Providence, the teachers union president Scott Smith described the arrival of potential layoff notices this way: “Now I know how the U.S. State Department felt on Dec. 7, 1941.”

Layoffs: In the private sector, they’re a part of life. For government workers, they’re another Pearl Harbor.

Do the teachers and their allies have any idea how their threats and tantrums look to the overworked taxpayers who pay their salaries? Taxpayers who can’t retire at 58 and who don’t have guaranteed pensions?

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 15:04:37

Layoffs were NOT a common part of life except for seasonal and special projects industries until the deregulation and offshoring 1980s.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 19:13:48

I meant “massive layoffs”

Oops.

 
 
 
Comment by Ben Jones
2011-02-25 07:59:52

Yesterday a poster was saying some things about immigration. Here’s one reason many in Arizona are fed up with the human trafficking rings:

‘In Mexico, a man who tried to journey illegally into the United States to seek work vows that he will never again leave his home. His trip turned into a nightmare when he was kidnapped along the route, as happens to thousands of migrants crossing through Mexico each year. “What they did to me doesn’t matter. But what they did to all those women, that hurts more,” he told Mexico’s Commission on Human Rights. ”

http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/americas/02/24/mexico.migrant.kidnappings/index.html

I can remember a few years ago, I would pick up the AZ Republic (Phoenix) and there would regularly be tiny, articles buried in the back about 100-200 people being held in a safe house. There was so much brazen crime, yet the feds wouldn’t do anything. This state govt has started to try and turn that around, and got called every name in the book for it.

What’s really missing in the illegal immigration debate, IMO, is why are people so poor south of the border? And isn’t the immigration stream into the US a way for corrupt govts to export their unemployment and defuse popular unrest?

Comment by 2banana
2011-02-25 08:32:49

What’s really missing in the illegal immigration debate, IMO, is why are people so poor south of the border?

I have traveled extensively through Central America. My 2 cents:

1. These are beautiful countries, blessed with many natural resources and with very hard working people - it seems like a no-brainer.

2. Massive corruption - on every level. More than you can understand unless you have lived it. EVERYONE takes a cut - From the police on patrol, to building a house, to selling a product, to judges, to buying a bus ticket - etc. The corruption just drains everything.

3. No property rights. People just take. Usually someone who is connected. They will just take your land and property. You can contact the bought-off police and judges and it will do you no good.

4. No civil rights. Elections are rigged. You can’t own a gun. Speak out and you got to a very bad place.

5. Crime. Criminals run much of the place. Brutal, thug type criminals who will laugh while they rape your daughter in front of you. Trying building a life in that environment.

Comment by MrBubble
2011-02-25 13:21:00

“thug type criminals who will laugh while they…”

Who are you, Antoine Dobson?

 
 
Comment by palmetto
2011-02-25 09:03:14

“This state govt has started to try and turn that around, and got called every name in the book for it.”

Yes, the words “racist, xenophobe and bigot” come to mind. I have seen the effects of illegal immigration on Florida as well. There’s been no lack of brazen crime here as well, everything from human trafficking, drug trafficking, identity theft, rape, child molestation, etc. It’s rather interesting to be called racist, xenophobe and bigot for objecting to these things and for objecting to the subsidization of these things.

“And isn’t the immigration stream into the US a way for corrupt govts to export their unemployment and defuse popular unrest?”

Yes. Florida has plenty of experience with that as well, because that is what happened during the Mariel boatlift. Castro emptied his jails. And Neil Diamond wrote a glorious anthem about it.

People have a right to defend themselves, but the Feds don’t seem to agree with that, unless it is their own sorry butts.

 
Comment by cobaltblue
2011-02-25 09:07:51

Hi Ben,

As another AZ resident, I have made a couple of trips to Organ Pipe National Monument, which has many miles of border with Mexico.
The border is usually some concrete posts every so often, maybe some chicken wire across the bigger gullies. This “border” would not pose an obstacle to five year old with bad eyesight.

I’ve driven a Jeep twenty feet from the international border there, in broad daylight on a weekday, and had to stop several times due to the CROWDS of people coming in from the south. These are basically poor people looking for a better opportunity. What they experience can be horrifying if not deadly. When Big Sis Janet Napolitano was our governor, as you may recall, she ridiculed the idea of building a 50 foot high fence, saying immmigrants would just bring a 51 foot ladder. This is the clown who now heads up Homeland Security.

I don’t blame the immigrants for trying to cross over, because they are trying to escape abject poverty and sky-high unemployment. The vast majority of the wealth in Mexico resides in about a dozen “families”. The drug rings are taking over many of the towns there.

I do blame the Federal government, who must be getting their marching orders from the usual suspects, the bankster elite. This is because the illegal immigrants are reduced to slave level when they work under the table or off the official books. “Big Money” is calling the shots here. The average citizen of Arizona and other border states have to live with the violence and crime the comes with this situation. I personally believe there is huge corruption at the Federal legislative and judicial levels. That is the simplest explanation and it accounts for the truly bizarre and counterproductive policies the Feds keep ramming down our throat.

Thanks, Ben, for the blog space. I encourage everyone to donate to this blog - it is unique and quite valuable if you ponder what everyone contributes.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 09:53:34

I don’t blame the immigrants for trying to cross over, because they are trying to escape abject poverty and sky-high unemployment. The vast majority of the wealth in Mexico resides in about a dozen “families”. The drug rings are taking over many of the towns there.

Another book recommendation: Murder City by Charles Bowden. It chronicles the “killing field” that the city of Juarez, Mexico, has become.

Much of the killing relates to the struggle for control of the drug trade. And the Mexican army, police, and government are players in this struggle.

Comment by SaladSD
2011-02-25 13:39:31

Some credence to the theory that the difference between North America and Mexico/Central America–given the vast natural resources enjoyed by all– is that we were Colonized (social/political infrastructure) and they were Conquered (lands/people subjugated). This set a whole lot of contrary things in motion.

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Comment by measton
2011-02-25 10:48:58

The vast majority of the wealth in Mexico resides in about a dozen “families”. The drug rings are taking over many of the towns there.

This is the problem
This is why these states don’t flourish
This is the future of the US as a small # of elite control an every greater percentage of income wealth and politics.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 19:32:18

Bingo, measton.

Some people truly fail to grasp this fact.

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Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-02-25 11:08:01

The way that people are treated in these corrupt Countries from all over the World ,including Mexico ,is appalling . It’s all about a small percentage controlling the people in a very inhumane way .It’s horrible . You can’t blame the illegals for trying to come here .

The United States can’t make up for all the inequities that are going on in the World . It seem like no matter how much money
we give these Countries ,corruption takes over and it really doesn’t get to the benefit of the people . And than some people look at the people and think that it’s the suppressed or oppressed peoples fault . How many of these people would get shot if they tried to rebel .

I remember the Egyptian people chanting “We have conquered over the fear “, meaning they were ready to die rather than going on
with their oppressed lives .

Now they are being killed in Libya for rebelling .

Seems like the American interest is protecting the oil interest in those Countries .

Comment by rms
2011-02-25 12:59:06

Miserable indeed, but the bottom is still far away.
http://tinyurl.com/5whhqu5

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Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-02-25 17:54:51

OMG rms , I will never forget that vision . Holy shit, when I saw the photo you posted chills went down my spine and my being
was just disturbed to the core .

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-25 19:33:45

OMG, indeed. :(

 
 
 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 09:48:40

What’s really missing in the illegal immigration debate, IMO, is why are people so poor south of the border? And isn’t the immigration stream into the US a way for corrupt govts to export their unemployment and defuse popular unrest?

That’s exactly what’s happening, Ben. And, donning my HBB Librarian hat, I’m going to offer a book recommendation:

Dead in their tracks : crossing America’s desert borderland by John Annerino.

He’s a photographer and very experienced desert hiker. He had some friends tried to hike across our borderland desert during the summer months — and it almost killed them. There’s an unknown number of border crossers who have met that fate, and dying of exposure during our summers is not a pretty experience. Annerino’s book has pictures of the bodies.

Speaking of those pictures, Annerino met Vicente Fox shortly after he was elected president of Mexico. Annerino thought that Fox would be moved by the photos of his fellow countrymen — or their bodies.

Well, so much for that bit of naivete. Fox have couldn’t cared less about Annerino’s photos. The fact that they left Mexico and died in Arizona’s summer heat just didn’t seem to mean much.

Comment by Kim
2011-02-25 12:01:18

“Fox have couldn’t cared less about Annerino’s photos. The fact that they left Mexico and died in Arizona’s summer heat just didn’t seem to mean much.”

Actually, the Mexican government tries to “help” by publishing “how to” pamphlets.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 12:19:23

Actually, the Mexican government tries to “help” by publishing “how to” pamphlets.

That frosts the cornflakes of quite a few people in these parts.

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Comment by MightyMike
2011-02-25 11:25:27

why are people so poor south of the border?

Part of the reason in NAFTA. Just like it forced U.S. factory workers to compete with Mexican workers, it also forced Mexican farmers to compete with American agribusiness. Check out the report that can downloaded from this page:

http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=1390

I didn’t get to read the whole thing, but here is an interesting quote:

The one bright spot for Mexico, an increase in exports of fruits and vegetables, has not kept pace with imports of U.S. grains and oilseeds. This may be due in part to greater efficiency among U.S. producers, but it is also partly due to U.S. subsidies. By one estimate, U.S. corn was sold in Mexico from 1999 through 2001 at prices 30 percent or more below the cost of production.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 11:50:55

Part of the reason in NAFTA. Just like it forced U.S. factory workers to compete with Mexican workers, it also forced Mexican farmers to compete with American agribusiness.

Slim with another book recommendation: The Death of Josseline by Margaret Regan. While focusing on the death of a 14-year-old Salvadorean girl in the high country south of Tucson, it talks about the effects of NAFTA on the poor of Mexico.

 
 
Comment by scdave
2011-02-25 12:39:13

export their unemployment and defuse popular unrest ??

Yes & Yes…….Instead of the “mocked up” fighting that we do everywhere in the world we should just invade these Bass-turds and take the place over… Confiscate the wealth, clean out the parasites and give the country and the money back to its people….

Comment by In Colorado
2011-02-25 15:48:46

Mexico is a big country and the people would not receive us with open arms as liberators.

 
 
 
Comment by cobaltblue
2011-02-25 08:30:08

And in other interesting financial news, the Federal Reserve now owns over a THIRD MORE more in U.S. Treasury obligations than China does. For those keeping score:

Federal Reserve - 1.218 Trillion worth
Mainland China - 892 Billion worth
Japan - 884 Billion worth

So for those who have been saying all along that funding the U.S. Deficit is not a problem, because China will keep buying our debt; surprise, we now owe our souls to the “company” store. I’m sure the banksters will be kinder and gentler than the Red Chinese, no?

Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 08:35:07

China hands us worthless yuan… we hand them worthless treasury securities.

Seems fair to me.

Comment by cobaltblue
2011-02-25 10:59:02

We’re equal opportunity swindlers, that’s for sure.

 
 
Comment by michael
2011-02-25 08:41:26

hey cobalt…you got a link to that? or just tell me what to google.

Comment by cobaltblue
2011-02-25 10:43:13

Hi michael,

Here’s a summary article:

tinyurl.com/4fdd9we

Here’s the Fed’s raw data:

http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/current/

Here’s a Financial Times article on the same subject earlier this month:

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/120372fc-2e48-11e0-8733-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1EzfKN5mc

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 09:05:51

Must be right nice to be able to print as much as you need to purchase as many Treasurys as you want.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 09:09:32

So you are against the printing but you are also against government having to live within its means? How do you achieve both of those aims?

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 10:44:37

Thanks for putting words in my mouth. There is no need to respond to your questions if you also provide answers to them.

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Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 12:34:01

lmao.

 
Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 13:47:52

Yes, Ex, I have been laughing at Prof’s posts lately, too. Perhaps he can cut and paste 20 more articles and see if it backs his position.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 14:05:25

“Perhaps he can cut and paste 20 more articles and see if it backs his position.”

I will make sure to be duly biased in my selection in order to support my grand vision of how the universe should operate.

 
 
 
Comment by cobaltblue
2011-02-25 09:17:18

I think they enjoy it too; and that they will increase the intensity and frequency of the monetization of debt Chairsatan Bernanky swore under oath would not happen.

 
 
Comment by WT Economist
2011-02-25 11:11:45

Something tells me this is payback for 30 years of trade deficits, though the Fed and the Treasury deny it.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 09:03:07

Got Americos?

* The Wall Street Journal
* MARKETS
* FEBRUARY 25, 2011

Dollar’s Fall Rocks Far-Flung Families
BY JAMES HOOKWAY

MABINI, the Philippines—The world’s currencies are gyrating, but the strains are being felt beyond financial capitals and corporate boardrooms. Millions of families in developing countries rely on relatives sending dollars, euros and other weakened currencies from abroad to prop up spending at home.

Lorena Baquillos’s husband, Jimmy, is one of nearly 10 million Filipinos working around the world. She’s managed to open a small grocery here on the money Jimmy sends home as a merchant seaman, but his dollar-based pay is translating into fewer pesos at home than it did a few years ago.

 
Comment by WT Economist
2011-02-25 09:03:12

Hey CA Renter, you acknowledged a key part of the pension disaster — all the retroactive pension enhancements handed out in the 1990s based on the stock market bubble. The public employee unions refuse to give anything back, just as the executives refuse to acknowledge that their pay became excessive at the same time.

Public employees can give back those undeserved gains. Not by slashing the pay and benefits of future public employees — another injustice. But by increasing the amount that active employees contribute to their pension funds, and retirees contribute to their health insurance.

Would there still be a problem? Sure — because in many places taxpayers also underfunded their share of the pension funds.

But the whole “you are taking back what we worked for” nonsense one hears from the unions would sound a lot different were it not for those retroactive deals, which in many cases benefitted those who were already retired.

As for giving up salary for pensions, it is my observation that public employees are only willing to provide public services to other citizens in proportion to their CASH PAY. If they get less cash pay, the do less work less well, no matter how rich their pensions are. If that wasn’t true, public services would be improving despite layoffs, because total compensation including retirement benefits is going up.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 09:07:17

All that common sense is making me dizzy WT. Good job. I hope you are enjoying this gray, rainy day.

Comment by Bad Andy
2011-02-25 09:19:23

“I hope you are enjoying this gray, rainy day.”

We’re sunny and 80 today. While there’s a lot to complain about, right now for me it’s not the weather.

Comment by NYCityBoy
2011-02-25 09:24:28

Good for you. Enjoy that. People always forget that no matter what stupidity is going on with the government and financial markets there are still a million things that can make you happy. A milkshake or a beer sometimes is better than anything.

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Comment by salinasron
2011-02-25 10:11:53

“you acknowledged a key part of the pension disaster — all the retroactive pension enhancements handed out in the 1990s based on the stock market bubble.”

I’d like to point out that after 30 years of service most employees have paid in almost 2 yrs of their retirement salary that they will receive over the next 20-30 yrs. One thing is true and that is that the employees need to pay more into their own retirements.

For those on SS and government related retirements who don’t complete 5 consecutive years of full time service, apply their retirement to their future SS earnings.

Comment by WT Economist
2011-02-25 11:10:11

My calculation is that if you want ten years of average life expectancy in retirement at half pay, perhaps from the purchase of an annuity, with an adjustment for inflation, you need to save 20% of your income during the peak 15 to 25 years of your career (ie. before you get downsized to a lower paying job).

You can get by on lower paying jobs until retirement at age 70 or later.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 12:04:54

“You can get by on lower paying jobs until retirement at age 70 or later.”

‘If you live that long,’ as a beloved former mathematics professor of mine would add…

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Comment by WT Economist
2011-02-25 12:10:55

Well, there is this theory that lower life expectancy will “solve” the retirement problem for younger generations.

But maybe not. We may be bifurcating into the losers who don’t make it to retirement, and the “winners” who live to 95, run out of money, and outlive their brain.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-02-25 15:43:38

Just feed them McDonalds everyday in the nursing home. That’ll fix their longevity wagon.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 15:56:36

‘We may be bifurcating into the losers who don’t make it to retirement, and the “winners” who live to 95, run out of money, and outlive their brain.’

No man has it made, till he’s far beyond the grave.
But we who must remain, go on living just the same.

If anyone recalls who sang those lyrics, please share…

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 15:16:34

“You can get by on lower paying jobs until retirement at age 70 or later.”

You have no idea.

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Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-02-25 21:42:47

Oh right ,private industry is going to hire older workers on lower paying jobs until they reach 70 or later ,like their doing it now
…..not /

 
 
 
Comment by Steamed Bean
2011-02-25 13:04:57

Future SS earnings will be zero

Comment by In Colorado
2011-02-25 15:45:15

Will they stop collecting the payroll tax? I don’t think so. Reduced SS benefits are a certainty, but ZERO? Not unless they repeal the payroll tax.

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Comment by Dale
2011-02-25 19:46:55

“Will they stop collecting the payroll tax? I don’t think so. Reduced SS benefits are a certainty, but ZERO? Not unless they repeal the payroll tax.”

It will all be taxed away if you have managed to provide any kind of income for yourself, so in a way I guess it will be “means tested”.

 
 
 
 
Comment by rms
2011-02-25 12:51:30

“Public employees can give back those undeserved gains.”

A number of politicians were smart enough to buy union votes with a check that wasn’t going to be cashed for a least a decade. Now that check has been return, Not Sufficient Funds.

 
Comment by cactus
2011-02-25 17:30:35

I can’t pay more taxes to fund Public employee retirements and also fund my retirement.

I’m 50 and have 180K saved up in a rollover IRA from various jobs.
I need to save even more if I hope to retire by 65-70 and then probably will still have to work part time. No big deal I’m used to it.

Public workers want there retirements funded. I want my retirement funded. This could be a conflict.

City and state have made foolish promises and now give me the choice of cutting services or raising taxes because by law they can’t cut retirement benefits.

Public workers need to figure out how to get their promised money without taxing private workers who make the same or less than they do. Or they will fail. Pension funds , politicains, whoever made these promises know they can’t keep them so apparently are trying to gain support from private workers to cut
back.

Let the bozos in charge who decided they didn’t need to save because stock and RE would go up 10% a year pay for it.

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-26 02:30:54

WT Economist,

You might have missed my post the other day that recommended public safety unions give back those pension boosts (it would require lump-sum payments, which decline from older-to-younger workers, because too many workers do not have the years to make up the difference) . I’ve never wavered on that point.

My problem is with all the blaming…as if unions, themselves, caused the financial crisis. Nothing could be further from the truth.

 
 
Comment by Dan Bishop
2011-02-25 10:05:39

Here in MA, the average time for foreclosure from NOD to actually taking the property is 18-24 months based on the last appraisal I read yesterday.

Comment by cobaltblue
2011-02-25 10:31:43

Here in AZ, I know of a couple in Paradise Valley, a rather pricey locale, who have not paid a dime on the mortgage on “their” 6000 SF villa on one acre property since October 2009, and don’t seem the least bit worried about maybe being forced to move out. Seems the banks really do appreciate live-in security guards while mark-to-fantasy applies to their failed loans and REO these days.

Comment by Kim
2011-02-25 11:57:19

“Seems the banks really do appreciate live-in security guards while mark-to-fantasy applies to their failed loans and REO these days.”

I do believe that is the case. I don’t have the data to back it up, but hearing stories and looking at the REO inventory in my area, it sure appears banks are okay with taking a lot of small cuts on townhouses or very small older houses, but refuse to acknowledge the six-figure cuts that I KNOW some of the higher end and newer foreclosures are going to warrant.

 
 
 
Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 10:41:26

Worthy of repost. Thanks again LVG

—————————————————————–

Comment by LehighValleyGuy
2011-02-23 14:14:13

Well, we can debate the definition of slavery, but if over an extended time period, one has no practical choice but to work at an unpleasant and/or socially useless job, that would seem to fit the bill…

The conditions may not be as awful as in the plantations or gulags, but if there is no exit, there is no freedom.

Another term might be “malemployment”– one can be making a good income, even an investment-banker level salary, yet be doing totally unproductive work, and have no reasonable alternative, thanks to the economic distortions of government-chartered corporate cartels. This is a severe, and largely ignored economic problem IMO.

And Ben, while not everyone can own his/her own business, many more could than currently do, if we had a free-market economy. This is not a zero-sum game, unlike running for office or becoming a CEO.

Comment by 2banana
2011-02-25 11:16:57

At what point

Between 0% and 100% taxation

Do you become a slave to the government?

Comment by exeter
2011-02-25 11:51:05

At what point

Between 0% and 100% of pay rate

Do you become a slave to corporations?

Comment by mathguy
2011-02-25 13:56:57

When you have to work for the pay they give, and can’t start your own business???

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Comment by measton
2011-02-25 12:58:45

The right and the left fear the same thing.
Control by a small group of elite.

The right believes that this threat is coming from gov.

The left believes it is coming from corporate oligarchs who have taken over gov.

This is how you tell where the problem is.
Who is making more money.
How much do politicians make vs the corporate elite?

Mubarak had 70 billion dollars squirled away.
Putin is thought to have 40 billion.

How much are Bush Clinton or Obama worth?

The other is to look at prosecutions of corporate elite.
What happens in Russia when financial elite don’t play ball? Financial elite in this country rarely go to jail.

The problem is that the wealthy are more and more controlling our gov and stripping the country of it’s resources. The no bid clause in the Wisconsin Union bill is a perfect example. Corporations will get to buy the states power plants in a closed process with no bidding. ie they’ll get to steal the properties from the Wi tax payer.

Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-02-25 23:03:08

Good post measton, good points .

I have lived in America when the balance of power was a lot better
and the middle class ability to even save was there ,verses now .

Look, if standard of living is taken away than all money goes to survival and there is no money left for savings/investments .

Why is it that your considered a commie if you want good wages for workers ,public or private ? Can’t it be that economies just function better when the distribution of wealth is better ? Really ,Corporate America can’t sell products to middle America if they can’t buy them .Is Capitalism simply a system whereby the natural progression ends up creating monopolies ,price fixing , buying political favors , stacked decks ,mis-allocation of funds , and the lions share of money ending up in few hands ?

Ayn Rand didn’t put much value on the worker bee or the fact that they produced what Industry creates and they buy what industry invented . What would Industry be if they had no customers . Didn’t a lot of slaves waste a lot of time building
great Sphinx’s or Royal tombs for some king who made the population slaves to the whims of one stupid ruler?

How well did it work out when to many tried to be the investment class or the speculation class by using leverage and it just fueled the bubble in real estate . People flipping real estate to each other on this massive of a scale ,come on .
How well did it work out with the stock market crash of 1929 when to many leveraged dollars went to stocks purchased by the masses ,driving up the prices until it crashed .

Crammer would suggest with his show “Mad Money” ,that hes just trying to show people how to make a little extra money
on stocks . But ,because so many people watch that show all he has to so is recommend a stock and all of a sudden a huge wave of money goes to the stock by the cheer-leading of his show and the value goes up . In other words just because waves of money goes somewhere doesn’t mean the value is there long term . Just because waves of leveraged money went into real estate during the boom doesn’t mean the value was there .
In other words if to many speculation dollar are chasing a
stock with a defined value it will drive the price up beyond
value only to correct eventually .

I’m just saying that this is what has become of investment these days rather than it being based on true long term value or even true long term speculation value on a growth potential stock .
So why not just become a day trader speculating on the money
flows . It’s a money flow market ,not a real stock value market .

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Comment by CA renter
2011-02-26 02:32:45

Precisely.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 11:02:34

In the long run, Keynes’ theory is dead.

Outside the Box

Feb. 25, 2011, 12:55 p.m. EST
The Fed needs to free the market
Commentary: Stop trying to steer the economy; it never works
By Robert P. Murphy

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission issued its finding that the devastating economic events of the past few years were “preventable.” The FCIC heaped the blame on many parties, but drew the wrong conclusion when it faulted the government and Federal Reserve for lax oversight.

On the contrary, the government and Fed encouraged the bubble and crash, and current policies are doing the same.

Nobel laureate Friedrich Hayek said that in order to understand how things can go wrong with the economy, we must first understand how they ever go right. In the view of Hayek, markets use the price system to coordinate the actions of producers with the desires of customers and the available resources. The interest rate is a special price that helps ensure a balance between how much households are saving and how many long-term investment projects businesses start.

According to Hayek, this “regulatory” function of interest rates is distorted when the central bank — the Federal Reserve in the United States — pushes down interest rates through an injection of artificial credit. This “easy money” policy appears to stimulate the economy, but the growth is unsustainable and the prosperity an illusion. The boom period inevitably ends in a crash, where resources and workers have to be redirected to more appropriate niches. This period of retrenchment is what we recognize as a recession.

Comment by measton
2011-02-25 13:01:39

workers have to be redirected to more appropriate niches.

Here’s the problem. There may not be any nich big enough for the workers now.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 15:20:45

There hasn’t been for the last 4 recession and 30 years.

 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 12:12:24

Can radicals be so darn cuddly?

Das Capitol
How a bunch of pro-union, anti-Republican protesters turned the hallways of the Wisconsin state house into a commune.

http://www.slate.com/id/2286418/

MADISON, Wis.—They call themselves the Cuddle Puddle. They did not come up with the name. There are 10 of them, and they were among the first people to start camping out in the Capitol building.

“We were all lying down in the sleeping bags,” says CJ Terrell, an unofficial spokesman for the cuddlers, “and somebody said, ‘They’ve got a cuddle puddle going on.’ And we liked it.”

You can walk the halls 100 times and not lose your sense of wonder and amazement at the occupation of Wisconsin’s state Capitol. It’s hard to admit this without it sounding like an endorsement of the pro-labor, anti-Republican stance of the protesters. It’s not. It’s just that things like this don’t ever happen in state capitols.

Comment by 2banana
2011-02-25 13:16:38

looks like most of the protesters are naive college kids and old-timers looking to re-capture their 1960 hippie glory days…

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 15:26:09

Yeah. Damn those hippies for supporting civil rights, ending racism, employee protections, consumer protection, work safety, less military, better health care and a less polluted and toxic environment.

Damn them I say!

 
Comment by MrBubble
2011-02-25 15:48:14

Just keep putting you bias on the dais.

 
 
 
Comment by Awaiting
2011-02-25 13:05:58

PB
Nobel laureate Friedrich Hayek had it right. Thank you for the post. For those who want to read up:
http://mises.org/

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 20:49:44

Fear the Boom and Bust” a Hayek vs. Keynes Rap Anthem

 
 
Comment by measton
2011-02-25 13:07:04

finance.yahoo.com/news/A-US-Recovery-Built-on-bizwk-3826874585.html?x=0

While the unemployment rate dropped to 9 percent in January, from a two-decade peak of 10.1 percent in October 2009, many of the jobs people are now taking don’t match the pay, the hours, or the benefits of the 8.75 million positions that vanished in the recession, according to Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics in Toronto.

This may restrain wage and salary growth, limiting gains in consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the U.S. economy. The good jobs that would trigger a solid boost in spending just don’t seem to be there. “In the last recovery we were adding management jobs at this point, and this time it’s disappointing,” says Ashworth, who published a report on Jan. 27 about pre- and post-slump employment based on U.S. Labor Dept. data. “The very best jobs, we’re still losing those.”

Projections from the Bureau of Labor Statistics reinforce his pessimism. While the number of openings for food preparation and serving workers will grow by 394,000 in the decade ending in 2018, the average wage is only $16,430 including tips, based on 2008 data. Meanwhile, the number of posts for financial examiners, who work at financial-services firms to ensure regulatory compliance, will expand by just 11,100. The average pay for examiners is $70,930.

Lowe’s (NYSE:LOW - News), the second-largest U.S. home improvement retailer, typifies the reshuffling of the U.S. workforce. The chain, based in Mooresville, N.C., said on Jan. 25 it is eliminating 1,700 managers responsible for store operations, sales, and administration as profit growth trails that of the larger Home Depot (NYSE:HD - News) chain. Meanwhile, Lowe’s said it will add 8,000 to 10,000 weekend sales positions and is creating a new assistant store manager position.

The trend is troubling for the country’s long-term prospects, says Edmund Phelps, who won the Nobel Prize for economics in 2006 and directs the Center on Capitalism and Society at Columbia University in New York. Businesses aren’t innovating as much, so companies “just don’t seem to require all those relatively high-paid workers they once did,” he says.

Let the concentration of wealth continue. There can be only one.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 15:02:58

Lowe’s (NYSE:LOW - News), the second-largest U.S. home improvement retailer, typifies the reshuffling of the U.S. workforce. The chain, based in Mooresville, N.C., said on Jan. 25 it is eliminating 1,700 managers responsible for store operations, sales, and administration as profit growth trails that of the larger Home Depot (NYSE:HD - News) chain. Meanwhile, Lowe’s said it will add 8,000 to 10,000 weekend sales positions and is creating a new assistant store manager position.

If I were a high school kid with a yen for building/fixing things, I’d head over to Lowes and apply for one of those jobs. Why? For the employee discount — I could outfit my workbench and my tool collection that way.

But for those who aren’t high school students who are still living at home, the above development does not bode well.

Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-02-25 16:17:15

Those employee discounts don’t mean jack, if they don’t pay you enough to actually buy any of their tools.

Airlines like bragging to new hires that “you can fly for free”……..free meaning “Standby seats”

A nice deal back in the regulated days, when loads were about 80%. Not so hot when they are bumping paying customers by overbooking.

Unless you enjoy sitting around the airport for 2-3 days, waiting for a flight with an open seat.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 16:58:21

Those employee discounts don’t mean jack, if they don’t pay you enough to actually buy any of their tools.

That’s why I was using the “high schooler living at home” analogy. This living situation could include a substantial parental monetary contribution to the high schooler’s tool acquisition quest.

OTOH, you do have a point about being unable to afford what a store sells. Even if you work there. Been there, done that, and it wasn’t fun.

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Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 15:27:22

Just like the last 4 recessions.

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-02-25 14:46:15

He just needs to get tougher.

States’ Anti-Labor Efforts Lose Steam as Support for Wis. Gov. Walker Remains Low

http://inthesetimes.com/working/entry/7003/walker_wont_take_yes_for_answer_admits_mulling_plot_to_sow_disorder/

Just in time for my 60th birthday, a vibrant, vital movement for worker rights—unseen since the 1930ss—has been spreading like a Midwest prairie fire from public workers in Wisconsin workers to workers in other states like Indiana and Ohio.

Launching the conflict in Wisconsin, Gov. Scott Walker has seen his support eroding. Public support for worker rights has been expanding to hundreds of public officials, whom Walker and his allies had falsely claimed were pushing for the crushing of public worker rights. A number of polls specifically on Wisconsin have suggested a strong potential reservoir of support for labor, including a Greenberg Quinlan poll showing 39% approval ratings for Walker.

…As in Wisconsin, the Capitol in Indianapolis was jammed with thousands of trade unionists and supporters this week. Surprisingly, Gov. Mitch Daniels withdrew his support for the “right-to work bill early this week. Despite strong right-wing majorities in both houses, a new verbal blast at public workers, and Daniels’ anti-union history. Daniels likely had reservations about the Walker approach given the continuing resistance in Wisconsin.

Daniels, who is considering a run for the GOP president nomination, perhaps drew the conclusion that Walker did not: trying to strip workers of their rights may temporarily elevate you to God-like status on the Right, but it will have disastrous long-term consequenes when you are seeking the votes of working people.

…BACKING DOWN IN MICHIGAN AND FLORIDA

Meanwhile, as Rachel Maddow reported Thursday night on MSNBC, two newly-elected rightist Republicans expected to be part of the anti-union campaign in their states—Rick Scott in Florida and Rick Snyder of Michigan—seem to be backing away from plunging into the anti-labor war.

Scott Walker’s sliding approval ratings (based on data taken before this disastrous week for him) can hardly be fostering a gung-ho spirit among the new class of Republican class-warrior governors on whom Walker was counting to spread his his war against unionism.

 
Comment by Hard Rain
2011-02-25 15:58:18

By age, the union membership rate was highest among 55- to 64-year-old workers (15.7
percent). The lowest union membership rate occurred among those ages 16 to 24 (4.3
percent).

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/union2.nr0.htm

Generation Greed lining their pockets….

Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-02-25 16:11:02

Why? Because nobody has the revenue to hire the 30 and younger crown, then pay to train them.

They don’t want the 45 and older crowd either, their health care costs too much.

Every business in the “Land of the Big PX” is looking for people who are already trained, will work for peanuts, is 35 years old, and has 25 years of experience.

These people don’t exist. Hence the whining about “We can’t find anyone qualified to do the job……..”

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 16:55:10

Generation Greed. :roll:

You do realize that millions of the “Generation Greed” had their jobs offshored over the last 30 years? And just once but several times.

That most of them lost their pensions.
Saw their medial insurance increase 23% every single year.
Saw their wages frozen if not outright decreased and raises that didn’t keep up with real inflation.
Saw college tuition for their kids increase 23% every year.
Saw increases in fees for EVERYTHING while their wages stagnated.

You do know this, right?

The whole concept of “generation greed” is really about making fools of the younger generation and getting them to blame older people. A tactic used by the PTB who have destroyed our economy and sent our jobs overseas.

I hope YOU haven’t bought into it.

Comment by Blue Skye
2011-02-25 19:35:28

The term for this is “projection”. The accuser is certainly no less greedy, rather thinking himself less oportune. It has nothing to do with reality.

 
 
 
Comment by Hard Rain
2011-02-25 16:31:49

ecofeco said:

“Most unions have been conceding pay and benefits for 20 years.”

Sure about that?

“At a time when workers’ pay and benefits have stagnated, federal employees’ average compensation has grown to more than double what private sector workers earn, a USA TODAY analysis finds.

Federal workers have been awarded bigger average pay and benefit increases than private employees for nine years in a row. The compensation gap between federal and private workers has doubled in the past decade.

Federal civil servants earned average pay and benefits of $123,049 in 2009 while private workers made $61,051 in total compensation, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The data are the latest available.”

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 17:38:19

Before I demolish this bullcrap article let me start with this:

Lumping pay AND benefits is an old tactic designed to create anger and has no bearing in the real world.

Tried going to the grocery store with your benefits? The gas station? Your utility bill? Benefits that you may or not use more than once or twice?

The biggest reason those benefits increased was because of the ever rising costs of medical insurance.

This was also one of the reasons private workers wages decreased or stagnated as well. Medical insurances costs were killing the companies. Not unions.

Which brings us around to another reason for the disparity. Offshoring, downsizing as well as decreasing and stagnating wages in the private sector, not “greedy” unions.

Private pay and benefits SHOULD be on at LEAST parity with public. The federal government does NOT have the strong unions it used to. (ever heard of PATCO?) However, the federal gov DOES calculate what it thinks is a fair wage for skill, knowledge and responsibilities. In other words, it’s not that public pay is too high, but that private pay is too low.

I seem to have to point this out over and over, but private contractor employees outnumber regular federal employees. What about their pay and compensation? What about the contractor itself? Contractors that are NOTORIOUS for overcharging.

Hmm? What about them?

Now, back to unions making concessions over the last 20 years:

Google “union concessions of the last 20 years” Click “Timeline” on the left hand side Under “All Results” then go the bottom of the page and click “100″ for “Results per page.” Scroll down to 1970s.

Oops. I stand corrected. 30 years. And that’s just the tip of the iceberg.

You’re welcome. Anything else I can help you with?

Comment by salinasron
2011-02-25 18:25:09

“The biggest reason those benefits increased was because of the ever rising costs of medical insurance.”

When I sat in on union negotiations the reason for benefits was two fold. 1) the County said there wasn’t money for salary increases but would negotiate benefits higher (County didn’t have to justify a named cost to the taxpayer). 2) Benefits were non-taxed and therefore allowed the employees to keep more of their take home pay (i.e. not have to pay increased benefit costs with after tax money).

 
Comment by GH
2011-02-25 18:36:43

I agree private pay has taken a huge beating in recent years, mostly as a result of off-shoring in one form or another. Because of this, tax revenues have also steadily fallen and bankruptcies are increasing steadily as well.

The result is a perfect storm in which government workers attempt to get raises while tax revenues and private salaries have collapsed.

Soooooo Where is the money to pay these good folks going to come from? Don’t tell me you really advocate BB’s printing press? I am for one sickened at the bank bailout and we do not need a government workers bailout too. Government workers and unions need to come to terms with the concept of deflation and either accept huge reductions in pay like the rest of us or face municipal bankruptcy.

My brother in law was a California park ranger and could not understand how my job being off-shored had any impact on him. I explained that the 25k I used to pay in tax every year is no longer available for his salary along with countless others like myself meant his job had indirectly been off-shored too!

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 19:02:08

Last Sept. the Repubs defeated a bill that would have ended tax breaks for offshoring jobs and instead, given those tax breaks to local businesses to hire.

Then there is this:
http://www.reuters.com/article/politicsNews/idUSN1249465620080812

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Comment by Hard Rain
2011-02-25 19:19:07

+1

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Comment by Hard Rain
2011-02-25 18:38:32

“the federal gov DOES calculate what it thinks is a fair wage for skill”

That makes me feel better, we all know federal calculations are usually spot on…

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 18:59:29

http://www.usajobs.com

The official website for applying to the federal government. Take a few minutes and browse the job offers.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 16:32:29

I call BS on this coin toss analogy to push the point about “irrational” loss aversion to catching a falling knife in real estate. The problem is that while nobody is averse to losing a quarter in a gamble, the risk of accidentally throwing away hundreds of thousands of dollars that you may never recover on a money-losing real estate purchase is quite another matter. For the vast majority of Americans, a hundred thousand represents many years of lost savings. Just ask a Japanese home owner who bought in the early-1990s and has yet to see the value of his home return to its pre-1990 level!

What A Coin Toss Has To Do With The Housing Market
Categories: Housing
by David Kestenbaum
01:04 pm
February 25, 2011

It’s been almost five years since the housing bubble popped. And, with a glut of homes still on the market, housing prices could fall further. Why is it taking so long for the housing market to sort itself out?

The answer may have something to do with a coin toss.

I recently visited Eric Johnson, a professor at Columbia’s Business School. He offered me a sweet bet on the flip of a coin. If the coin came up heads, I would win $6. If it came up tails, I would lose $1.

I told him I’d take the bet.

But then he changed the terms — if the coin came up heads, I would win $6. If it came up tails, I would lose $4. That bet I didn’t like.

Of course, this is irrational. The bet is still very much in my favor. If I took the bet 1,000 times, I’d almost certainly make a nice profit.

Still, Johnson said a lot of people are like me: They won’t take that bet. So I went out on the street to test this out on random people.

I introduced myself to Frank Blake, a guy who makes his living as a stuntman, jumping through windows and crashing cars. I offered him the bet — told him I’d pay him $15 if he won, and he’d only have to pay me $10 if he lost.

No deal.

“The $15 makes no difference in terms of gaining it,” he told me. “But losing the $10 in my pocket does.”

Lots of other people turned down the bet, too.

As it turns out, our brains feel losses and gains unevenly: Losing feels worse than winning feels good.

So now — as promised — back to housing.

In a down market, people really don’t want to sell, because selling feels like losing.

Chris Mayer, professor of real estate at Columbia Business School, found evidence for this fear of losses when he studied the Boston condominium bubble in the ’80s.

He would compare two basically identical condos. The owners of both had paid off their mortgages. But one had bought at the peak of the market. That person, he found, would stubbornly ask for a higher price, and keep his condo on the market longer than the other person, who had bought at a lower price. (Here’s the study.)

“The overall magnitude of this effect is very big,” Mayer told me. “This is an important factor in how housing markets operate.”

There are certainly other reasons the housing market is taking so long to sort out. Some people are stuck financially with their mortgages, for example.

But this psychological quirk is also slowing the healing process. It makes people reluctant to lower the asking price on their homes, which in turn contributes to the glut of houses on the market.

“It’s sort of like having a Band-Aid, where you know you would be better off if you just pulled it off at once,” Johnson said. “But instead what you do is you tend to pull it off very slowly, if at all.”

It’s unclear why our brains are wired this way — why we overemphasize losses. Johnson says it could go back millions of years, to when a losing bet was way more serious.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 17:51:47

“Johnson says it could go back millions of years, to when a losing bet was way more serious.”

Why bother going back millions of years? I know people who bought houses in 2006 which now have a market value of $300,000 less than when they bought. That is something like four times the median pre-tax household income in our zip code, and optimistically assuming ten percent of that goes into long-term savings, forty years worth of savings.

The question these geniuses should pose is, why would a household risk losing a life time of savings on buying an overpriced house, when they could rent a comparable property for a lower monthly payment without the asset price risk?

 
Comment by patrick
2011-02-25 21:46:25

Your right, losing hurts and we do not sell under business decision making our home, even if we were going to profit only because the guy next door sold for more than realizable today.

Remember that the bubble was caused not by every house being purchased during these heddy years - but possibly by only 10%.

We have been conditioned that housing always goes up. I guess we may have to learn a hard lesson here.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 16:35:26

American Dream Nightmare: BANK-OWNED HOMES

February 22, 2011 at 10:00 AM
Redefining the ‘American dream’ as housing struggles continue
Posted by Jon Talton

It should be no surprise that housing prices in most major cities fell to new post-bust lows in December, according to the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller index. The great housing boom was an artifice of cheap credit, risky banking, ill-advised government policy, greedy Wall Street “engineering” and a mania by average Americans. “Housing prices never go down,” the meme went.

Now supply vastly exceeds demand; a “shadow inventory” of bank-owned properties exists to trickle in, holding down prices; many house-owners hang on to an unrealistic price, thus keeping sales from happening; a vast amount of deleveraging continues, whether voluntarily (dampening demand) or through foreclosure (putting more houses on the market), and lenders have tightened credit standards. Indeed, a Wall Street Journal story reports that the actual severity of the housing crash may be much worse than counted and reported.

The old model, including the sprawl construction that was the last major manufacturing sector in most places, is not coming back. The “new normal” that replaces it will be long in arriving, and continue to hold back recovery. For many, the “American dream” may not be the single-family house they “own” (actually, the bank usually owns it).

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-02-25 17:00:54

For many, the “American dream” may not be the single-family house they “own” (actually, the bank usually owns it).

And, once you’ve paid off the mortgage, you’d better keep paying the property taxes. Stop doing that and your local taxing authority will show you who really owns your house. And it won’t be you.

 
 
Comment by fisher
2011-02-25 16:44:14

Cue exeter “all realtors are…”

New Mexico Realtor Charged in $76 Million Ponzi Scheme

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-25/new-mexico-realtor-charged-in-76-million-ponzi-scheme.html

Comment by ecofeco
2011-02-25 16:56:23

Damn FBs!

Oh wait…

 
 
Comment by mikeinbend
2011-02-25 17:07:54

Recontrust now only has 65(er.. 62,as the number has fallen by three as I type this) scheduled Trustee’s sales in Deschutes Co., OR. Down drastically each day. the number was 600 plus in Oct., but 100s have been dropped this week alone. What gives? I think this could be newsworthy; thus the updates.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-26 02:44:07

Thanks, Mike.

I’m very fascinated by your updates.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 17:40:15

The Financial Times
US government shutdown could curtail data
By James Politi and Annu Subramanian in Washington
Published: February 25 2011 20:38 | Last updated: February 25 2011 20:38

A shutdown would mean that all non-essential government functions would have to be closed, with many workers furloughed, including officials responsible for compiling economic data.

The release of some US economic indicators could be halted in a government shutdown, creating a partial vacuum of information about the trajectory of the recovery.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics said that based on what happened in 1995 and 1996, when its staff was sent home, “all data collections, processing and dissemination activity stop; each program is frozen until funding is restored”.
,,,

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 17:43:37

At least, in the event of a govt shutdown, we wouldn’t have to worry about ever-dismal unemployment data releases for a while…

Comment by butters
2011-02-25 17:59:03

No wonder the dems want the govmt shutdown so bad.

 
 
Comment by pismoclam
2011-02-25 19:42:00

I’ll still get my SS and the troops will still get theirs. Welfare won’t stop! WHAT SHUT DOWN ???

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 17:45:58

The Financial Times
Walker invokes Reagan in Wisconsin battle
By Stephanie Kirchgaessner in Washington
Published: February 25 2011 19:23 | Last updated: February 25 2011 19:23

Scott Walker, the Wisconsin governor who is at the centre of a tense standoff over the rights of public-sector unions, believes he is picking up where his hero, Ronald Reagan, left off.

In unguarded remarks this week that were secretly recorded as part of a prank, the governor confided that he had pulled out a photograph of the former US president shortly before launching his controversial proposal to stymie collective bargaining rights for some workers. He then recalled the moment in 1981 when Mr Reagan fired 11,000 air traffic control operators who the president accused of conducting an illegal strike.

“That was the first crack in the Berlin Wall and the end of communism. Because at that point forward, the Soviets and the communists knew Ronald Reagan was not a pushover,” Mr Walker told a blogger posing as David Koch, the industrial magnate and an important financial backer who fiercely opposes unions. “This is our moment,” said Mr Walker. “Our time to change history.”

Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-02-25 19:12:27

Great…….some pipsqueak from Wisconsin channeling Ronald Reagan.

Guess what? Reagan firing the Air Traffic Controllers didn’t prove anything, Those smug, arrogant pricks forgot one thing. …..the aviation system didn’t revolve around them.

What everyone forgets is that the FAA management had their own set of jacka$$es.

The problem is, it didn’t revolve around FAA management either. But when he fired the controllers, the only message the FAA got was “business as usual”.

 
Comment by pismoclam
2011-02-25 19:44:45

Big Fing deal. The Bamster refered to himself as the Gipper several weeks ago. Big deal !!!

 
 
Comment by measton
2011-02-25 20:42:51

Another reason some might not like unions with pensions. I suspect if the individuals lost money there would be no organized suit that would return money to the investors.

A federal judge on Friday approved a $624 million settlement in a lawsuit brought by several New York public pension funds against fallen mortgage giant Countrywide Financial Corp.

The settlement, a version of which was had been originally hammered out last year, also calls for KPMG, Countrywide’s accounting firm, to pay $24 million of the total.

In their lawsuit, the New York State Common Retirement Fund and five New York public pension funds claimed that Countrywide hid how risky its business had become during the housing market’s boom years.

Comment by CA renter
2011-02-26 02:46:01

Good point.

Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-02-26 11:18:42

This is a lawsuit that goes to the heart of who created the lost to a
lot of pension funds . If these funds had not been deceived for a
good 7 year period of time the income gains would of been better ,rather than the loss . It all goes back to Wall Streets/Banks
RE Ponzi Scheme. It has created all loss .

 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-02-26 07:29:22

“In their lawsuit, the New York State Common Retirement Fund and five New York public pension funds claimed that Countrywide hid how risky its business had become during the housing market’s boom years.”

Countrywide hid how risky its business had become during the housing market’s boom years about as well as the sun is hidden when it rises in the morning.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 21:12:47

Bellwether is a compound of bell and wether, “a male sheep, usually castrated”; from the practice of hanging a bell from the neck of the leader of the flock.

Home / Business / Columns / David Nicklaus
Bullard, a “bellwether,” says Fed may have to reduce QE2
BY DAVID NICKLAUS
St. Louis Post-Dispatch
Thursday, February 24, 2011 5:47 pm

Jim Bullard, the president of the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, is now so influential within the Federal Reserve System that one economist is calling him a bellwether. You can be sure, then, that a speech he gave this morning in Kentucky got a lot of attention. Bullard discussed the Fed’s quantitative easing program, commonly known as QE2, which he called “an effective tool.” But he also noted that things have changed since QE2 was launched last November:

The economic outlook has improved since the program was announced. The natural debate now is whether to complete the program, or to taper off to a somewhat lower level of asset purchases.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-02-25 22:08:03

Is it just my impression, or has Chris Thornberg recently morphed into a REIC cheerleader?

As to the validity of repeat sales based on foreclosures, what is the rationale which says they should be ignored when estimating current market values? I personally know individuals (not real estate investors) who bought foreclosure homes at a deep, deep discount to 2006 prices. Were it not for the availability of these deep, deep discount foreclosure deals, they presumably would still be renting, or would have bought a non-disclosure home — i.e., their demand would have shown up somewhere else in the housing market. Given that they revealed their preference for purchasing a foreclosure home relative to renting or purchasing a non-foreclosure home, their demand will now be absent from the non-disclosure purchase market. Wouldn’t ignoring foreclosure home purchases produce an upward-biased estimate of current home prices, especially when so many buyers are going the foreclosure route, despite the evident unpleasantness involved, especially at a time when foreclosures effectively ARE the market?

* February 22, 2011, 6:46 PM ET

Are Home Price Declines Overstated?
By Nick Timiraos

Home prices ended 2010 on a sour note. The question now is whether or when those declines will moderate.

The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index showed that prices fell by another 1% in December, following a 1% drop in November, a 1.4% decline in October, and declines of 0.8% in September and 0.3% in August.

Home price declines that began in 2006 were interrupted for more than a year beginning in 2009, buoyed low interest rates, low prices, and tax credits to spur sales. When those credits expired last summer, home prices resumed their decline.

But price declines in recent months have also been driven by a rising share of distressed sales, including homes sold by lenders out of foreclosure. Banks are typically much faster to reduce prices and unload properties quickly.

Because the gauges such as the Case-Shiller index measure repeat sales of the same houses, foreclosures can have a significant impact on the headline readings, especially when the share of distressed sales rises.

Indeed, some economists warn that repeat-home sales indexes could provide an overly gloomy picture of the housing market because it risks being distorted by the rising share of distressed sales.

The more foreclosures there are in the Case-Shiller index, the more it falls, and that has nothing to do with underlying prices in the market, period,” said Christopher Thornberg, a housing economist at Beacon Economics in Los Angeles. “This so called decline we’re seeing is noise.”

Comment by rms
2011-02-26 01:38:48

“Is it just my impression, or has Chris Thornberg recently morphed into a REIC cheerleader?”

Maybe he saw Meridith Whitney being beaten with a rubber hose?

 
Comment by CA renter
2011-02-26 02:51:50

Wow. That last paragraph is mind-boggling. I think the REIC aliens have taken over Chris Thornberg’s body.

Foreclosure prices simply represent the unwinding of the prices that were never real to begin with — those prices during the bubble that resulted from over-leveraged buyers taking on mortgages they never intended to pay back.

Foreclosures ARE the market, just the same as purchases with NINJA loans were the market on the way up.

 
 
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