April 7, 2011

Bits Bucket for April 7, 2011

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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356 Comments »

Comment by Jess from upstate SC
2011-04-07 04:35:00

An Attorney and a stockbroker were arrested for stealing 17M in New York ? A bit surprised at the Stockbroker , but isn’t that what all lawyers do ?

Comment by SDGreg
2011-04-07 05:44:42

An Attorney and a stockbroker were arrested for stealing 17M in New York ? A bit surprised at the Stockbroker , but isn’t that what all lawyers do ?

I’m more surprised at the arrest than the stealing.

Comment by Rancher
2011-04-07 06:20:41

Insider trading for over a decade and a half…

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 06:39:50

Yeah, eyes agree, longer actually. Still, eyes didn’t really take hold of that “manipulation” concept and do somethin’ about it until around 2003. Since then, any mistakes that hit my finances, I wholly own and have only myself to kick. :-)

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Comment by Kim
2011-04-07 08:07:01

Yep. Been running my own money at least that long.

 
Comment by redrum
2011-04-07 08:25:09

HWY- from a thread yesterday; point ye browser at ebay #220763167037

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2011-04-07 11:58:52

Listing removed!

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 12:16:20

220763167037

Tankxs redrum!

Now eyes know, cool, something to explore for Mr. Cole (age 9 1/2) (Eyes try not to damage it too much ‘efor I toss ‘em the keys…)

Problems with that listing maybe: (nots in a hurry anyhoo) ;-)

Vehicle Specifics for 1999 Volkswagen Beetle-New 2DR CPE GLS:
Highlights:
Title Check: Issue found
Odometer Check: OK
Accidents: Issue found
Owners: 9

 
 
Comment by measton
2011-04-07 08:30:05

“I’m more surprised at the arrest than the stealing.”

I’m not surprised at all. These two should have known that if you are going to steal you need to pay off the right people. They deserve what they get, they are a discrace to the profession with their rookie mistakes. A real lawyer/stockbroker would have gotten off with a small fine.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 06:49:07

I’m surprised the MSM gets their underwear tied into a knot over two-bit criminals stealing millions of dollars stolen in New York, yet somehow seems to miss it every time when billions are stolen in plain view.

Comment by Big V
2011-04-07 07:36:00

Shuddup, renter.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 08:17:08

Hey Big V — are you still in SD?

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Comment by Jerry
2011-04-07 08:51:49

Big Bear, How are those San Diego housing prices working out for you now? I guess the bottom you called was a little off.Try again in another six months!

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 09:19:12

I never yet called a bottom; would guess some time after 2013, though…

Serial bottom caller I ain’t.

 
Comment by Montana
2011-04-07 09:42:04

No she’s in VIRGINIA.

 
 
 
Comment by AV0CAD0
2011-04-07 10:23:13

Yep! I just watched, Inside Job, the numbers are astonishing!!

 
 
 
Comment by liz pendens
2011-04-07 04:36:10

What is a cherry blossom without the government? Gawd, I hope they can figure something out.

Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 06:46:13

Never quite understood the appeal of the white Japanese cherry blossoms, especially if you have to fight crowds to see them. I have an ornamental pink-blossom cherry in my front yard that I like better. And IMO no nice smelly blossomy-tree can beat a tree or bush that produces useful fruits. Case in point: the tree in my kitchen gave me three lemons. Not bad for a young pup.

Comment by whyoung
2011-04-07 07:32:09

The cherry blossoms are simply truly beautiful.

Several years ago I visited military friends stationed in Japan - bought a flight the last week before prices went up because of cherry blossom season - but was fortunate that they bloomed early.

Spent part of a wonderful afternoon at a park next to Osaka Castle that was full of salary-men and office-ladies who were happy to share their picnics. Little or no common language (partly due to the rice wine) but a once in a lifetime experience to see them “loosen their neck ties”.

Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 07:50:28

Crowded enough as it is. Imagine how crowded the area around the Jefferson memorial would be if people were allowed to celebrate in the traditional Japanese way: having a picnic and getting drunk.

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Comment by polly
2011-04-07 08:19:06

The area around the tidal basin is run by the National Park Service.

 
 
 
Comment by SDGreg
2011-04-07 08:45:05

“Never quite understood the appeal of the white Japanese cherry blossoms, especially if you have to fight crowds to see them.”

They are quite beautiful, and the setting around the tidal basin and the Jefferson Memorial is gorgeous. The secret is not to go on the weekends. One of the beauties of shift work, sometimes, is having days off in the middle of the week.

 
Comment by ahansen
2011-04-07 14:58:20

Curiously, my cherry orchard has not yet bloomed (usually it does so the second week in March, but my apples (usually in early May,) are in full blossom right now. First time in 18 years I’ve seen this here.

Migrating mountain blue birds are two months early as are turkey vultures, and weirdest of all, according to the guy in the feed store, everyone’s hens have been laying all winter long this year. (Mine too, poor l’il gals.) Anyone else notice these anomalies? Rancher? Montana?

No magnetic polar inversion/climatic changes happening around HERE, right? Right…?

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 08:43:19

In the event of a shutdown, will tourists be prohibited from viewing DC cherry blossoms?

A government shutdown would rain on our parade

It’s cherry blossom season in Washington and tourists are pouring into the city, including a relative visiting this weekend. But if the government shuts down, so will the cherry blossom parade, the museums, the zoo. Not just tourists, but people all over the country will be affected.

People walk along the Tidal Basin, near the Washington Monument, as the cherry blossoms were in full bloom last year. The monument, memorials, and Smithsonian museums will all close if the government shuts down this weekend.

(Credit: Alexis C. Glenn/UPI/Newscom)
By Francine Kiefer / April 7, 2011

In the nation’s capital, it’s the best of times, and the worst of times.

Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 09:16:26

You can’t really shut down the monuments, since they aren’t fenced in. They do lock up the visitor centers, which include — uh oh — the restrooms.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 09:21:29

“…the restrooms.”

I can think of a potential undesirable, unintended consequence of a government shutdown. We noticed a similar problem along highways in the Czech Republic when we visited a couple of years ago; they have no public rest stops there.

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Comment by Sean
2011-04-07 09:17:40

I went last year to the Cherry Blossoms. Wife really wanted to go. The worst part (besides the crowds) are the people RIPPING DOWN the branches of the trees, as to say “I wanna soooovineeeer to take back to Looosie Anna”.

I confronted one guy about it:”Why the xxxx are you ripping apart the trees? Leave them alone!”. He gave me a puzzled look and said “They’re pretty!”.

And people wonder why I’m pro-choice.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-07 09:48:14

And people wonder why I’m pro-choice.

I’m pro-choice because my grandmother saved a woman’s life. It was during the bottom of the Great Depression, and the woman was a neighbor.

She was pregnant again, and that sure wasn’t the state she wanted to be in. Neither she nor her husband could afford to have any more kids. They could barely support the ones they had.

So, she had a back-alley, ahem, procedure. And almost died. She sure couldn’t have gone to a hospital for help. That would have caused her no end of trouble.

So, she went to my grandmother for help. And Grandma nursed her back to health.

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Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-07 11:25:10

I’m neither pro-choice or pro-life. I do not have a vagina therefore it is none of my business. When women start talking of regulating my tool is when I develop an opinion on their plumbing.

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2011-04-07 12:02:01

So you support decriminalizing prostitution?

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-07 12:13:10

Like I said, I don’t support regulation of eyeballs, toes, arms or any other body part including genitals.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-07 12:28:54

You wonder? Do you ever think?

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 14:01:05

“I confronted one guy about it:”Why the xxxx are you ripping apart the trees? Leave them alone!”. He gave me a puzzled look and said “They’re pretty!”.”

And right there is the difference between the 2 cultures.

We really value nothing.

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Comment by combotechie
2011-04-07 04:42:12

Article from January comparing U.S. to Japan. Good info, IMO.

http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2011/01/david-rosenberg-on-americas-turning-japanese.html

 
Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 06:16:32

Okay, what is the legal justification for keeping the air traffic control system running indefinately during a government shutdown? ISTM that “safeguarding life an property” is best done by landing all planes in the air and halting all takeoff into controlled airspace. At that point, no propety or lives are at risk.

Comment by michael
2011-04-07 06:27:57

my brother is not going to be furloughed because he is considered “essential”.

which means he gets to work…just doesn’t get paid.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 06:34:17

he gets to work…just doesn’t get paid.

Not ever? He’ll never get paid?,… and he still willing to go to work? Interesting fellow, your brother.

Comment by michael
2011-04-07 06:39:23

i’m sure it accrues.

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 06:56:30

So, eyes reckon all is not lost.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-07 07:02:57

For many people, life is like a game of dominoes.

 
Comment by Rancher
2011-04-07 07:08:55

Life is like a roll of toilet paper, it goes faster
toward the end.

 
Comment by michael
2011-04-07 07:32:52

if it last a few weeks i guess it’s no biggie…six or even three months could be a biggie for some (most) people.

 
 
Comment by clark
2011-04-07 07:08:11

Did everyone in California who received I.O.U.’s from the state get paid? How is that working out?

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Comment by michael
2011-04-07 08:00:13

i know it’s just an evil corporation but my company still has 2 - 3 year IOU from Illinois.

 
Comment by yensoy
2011-04-07 08:03:14

Now I understand what made CAT stay. IOUs.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 11:34:59

but my company still has 2 - 3 year IOU from Illinois

There must be some worried folks on the “Top-Floor$” losing sleep over that $cary $it-u-ashun. :-/

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 11:58:28

but my company still has 2 - 3 year IOU from Illinois

I don’t how it works ‘tat all (just heard HBB rumors)…but eyes was a thinkin,… couldn’t they use that as “Ill-junk collateral” at the Fed Inc. and get say maybe/perhaps .07 cents on the dollar$, in an emergency type $it-u-ashun?

 
 
Comment by SDGreg
2011-04-07 08:58:44

“he gets to work…just doesn’t get paid.”

You get paid, but it may be delayed.

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Comment by Spookwaffe
2011-04-07 06:35:17

“which means he gets to work…just doesn’t get paid.”

*Jump down turn around pick a bale a cotton*

Welcome home

Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 07:24:20

Well there’s a REASON that the last big shutdown lasted no more than three weeks: The essential employees were about to miss a paycheck. The general pattern in the government is that you work for two weeks, and then it takes them a week and a half before you get paid for that time. So it takes just a little over three weeks of a shutdown for essential employees to miss a paycheck. In the interim, they (and those who weren’t essential) get the paycheck that they earned BEFORE the government shut down.

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Comment by polly
2011-04-07 08:37:35

So the paycheck based on this week’s time sheet would arrive? Good to know. I’ve never been through one of these things.

By the way, yesterday the media finally started to cover the tax return issue that I brought up a while ago. Seems that electronically filed can be processed and refunds issued even without people or without many people. It is paper filers (like me) who can’t be processed without non-essential employees. Glad I took care of things early.

 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 09:17:32

We’re getting warnings to fill out the time sheets TODAY, so I guess so.

 
Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 09:27:38

Yeah, we too got told to get our time sheets earlier than normal so that they could be approved before COB Friday.

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-07 11:13:09

We are required to turn them in on Wednesday of the second week even during normal times. Noon on Wednesday actually.

 
Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 11:21:25

Polly — and that’s pretty crazy really. A week and a half STILL isn’t enough time to reconcile the timesheets and authorize a direct deposit? Don’ t they have, computers to do the math? I guess I just don’t understand.

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-07 12:34:47

Maybe my agency has to get them in earlier than your agency? We turn them in on Wednesday so they can be entered (local admins), reviewed by managers and finalized by late Thursday or maybe first thing Friday morning. Then we don’t actually get paid until 8 to 10 days later.

Now my co-workers who have been through this before are telling me that even if there is a shut down, we all have to come in to work on Monday to do an “orderly” shut down. Also to make sure that our computers are here and locked up and that the mucky mucks turn in their Blackberries. Maybe for 4 hours, maybe for 8. I’m finding this very disruptive.

 
Comment by New Normal
2011-04-07 14:12:56

“Although there may be a lapse in appropriations for the Federal government beginning this Saturday, the Department of Energy has some prior-year carryover funding that will permit continued operations for the immediate future … ”

I report to work on Monday.

 
Comment by jjb4430
2011-04-07 16:29:36

Thank Zeus my current agency has a mostly automated system for timecards. When I was at FDA their process was turn in a spreadsheet. Very antiquated and prone to error.

I havent been told if I’m essential or not yet. I do work for an agency that will have several thousand people working through the “appropriations lapse”, but my spot is in the air.

Daycare will be open though! Whew.

 
 
 
 
Comment by polly
2011-04-07 06:54:08

Airline revenue flow is a more important form of property than others?

Comment by edgewaterjohn
2011-04-07 07:18:59

Airlines and Big Oil are hunting buddies.

 
Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 07:19:04

But of course part of the POINT of a shutdown is to make the “WAAH, you’ll miss me when I’m gone!” point. Not allowing any aircraft to take off into controlled airspace would certainly make that point pretty well, IMHO.

Comment by polly
2011-04-07 07:23:07

Yeah, it would. So would closing the federal highways, but they don’t do that either.

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Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 07:30:14

But with a few exceptions*, they AREN’T really federal highways, nomenclature nonwitstanding. The Federal government provides highway funding to the states, and standards to which highways must conform if the states are to get said funding. But day to day operation is not done by the feds.

*and the Baltimore Washington PARKWAY may be one of them.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 07:46:07

“But day to day operation is not done by the feds.”

If the money would stop flowing in the event of a shutdown, why would the degree to which the actual operation is localized matter?

A related case is that of federal contractors; many of these are small, locally operated businesses, which would potentially see their pay disrupted in the event of a federal government shutdown.

 
Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 07:53:33

But really, highways could last without federal funds MUCH longer than any shutdown is ever likely to last.

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-07 08:46:58

“If the money would stop flowing in the event of a shutdown, why would the degree to which the actual operation is localized matter?”

It isn’t the localization that matters so much as the timing of the appropriation. If the state provides the people they should be willing to keep providing the people unless they think the funding will be cut. Getting the money this week vs. next week shouldn’t matter that much. And if the appropriation is actually done in advance (at the start of the fiscal year) or quarterly, then the money may already have been appropriated through the end of September or the end of the fiscal quarter.

Accounting matters.

 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2011-04-07 09:01:07

Can anyone tell me why I-97 from Annapolis to Baltimore is an INTERSTATE highway?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-07 19:48:53

it was s’posed to be a spur…

 
 
 
Comment by Steve J
2011-04-07 08:58:07

Airlines provide a lot of services to the Federal government.
Besides mail(time to send your taxes to the IRS), when they crank up the printing presses at the Mint, they move those pallets of new money out by plane. Congress uses them to fly home on the weekends and to go on “fact finding” missions. And how do you think all those troops made it to Iraq?

Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 09:18:47

I don’t think the troops flew to Iraq on Southwest…

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Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2011-04-07 11:23:15

Well they should have! Bags fly free!

 
Comment by Steve J
2011-04-07 11:57:24

Civil airlines participate in CRAF, or Civil Reserve Air Fleet. All the US majors do so, as well as ATA, World, and possibly some others.

Southwest has no ETOPs certified planes, so they cannot fly overseas.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 12:19:33

Hmm…Would anybody have standing to sue on the basis that the president was exceeding his legal authority by allowing aircraft to take off into controlled airspace?

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-04-07 12:44:44

Truth be known, with TCAS, the system would work just fine at 90% of the airports. You would really only need ATC at the major hubs.

Want to know who the FAA considers more reliable? If there is a conflict between TCAS, and what ATC is telling the pilot’s to do, they give priority to TCAS.

 
 
Comment by rms
2011-04-07 06:46:57

A Perfect Storm for Federal Employee Pay and Benefits
http://tinyurl.com/3blfvtk

Comment by Ben Jones
2011-04-07 07:04:25

What’s the saying? If something can’t go on forever, it won’t. It wasn’t that long ago some posters here would say that govt jobs in DC would indefinitely protect those housing prices.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 07:09:36

No worries, the Gov’t exit turnstile to a better paying private industry job is right over there… ——> look no lines!

Comment by scdave
2011-04-07 07:50:55

better paying private industry job is right over there ??

Exactly….

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 07:34:55

“If something can’t go on forever, it won’t.”

Perhaps I have restated that rather obvious point too frequently. The real question of interest is not whether or not a given situation or entity is immortal (few things are, relative to a normal human life span), but rather what will be the future duration of a given situation that clearly can’t go on forever.

Cases in point:

- A residential real estate investor who bought a home in the $1m+ range several years ago wants to sell it now to recoup the value of their investment. Maybe they bought it for $1m and put in $400K in improvements, and now want to sell it for $1.6m in order to reap $200K in profits. For how many years will they have to list their home at $1.6m until either (a) they have to sell at a loss; (b) the are able to reap their $200K in Ben’s bucks profits, thanks to the magic of QE; or (c) they give the home back to the lender, thanks to incurable physical depreciation incurred while waiting for a greater fool to show up with a box of money and a bucket of stupid?

- The same federal government that is currently on the brink of shutting down over something on the order of a $60 billion difference in the federal budget has already quietly poured hundreds of billions of dollars into a highly questionable effort to reflate the housing bubble. For how much longer will they continue this effort before it is plainly obvious to anyone who cares that they succeeded to pour this money down a rat hole?

- A government sponsored enterprise is using billions and billions in federal tax dollars to hold thousands if not millions of vacant houses off the market, in order to artificially increase the sale prices of homes that are currently on the market. For how long will this practice of price fixing continue before (a) the government sponsored enterprise is shut down; (b) Republican politicians notice the price fixing operation and call foul on it; (c) a critical mass of the homes held off the market deteriorate to the point where they have incurred incurable depreciation?

See? The discussion gets far more interesting once you move past the mundane question of immortality (most things aren’t) and get into the richer question of likely future lifespan of mortal situations and institutional arrangements.

Comment by Muggy
2011-04-07 09:36:53

Dude, we’re Efil 4 Zatner

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Comment by Watching and Waiting
2011-04-07 10:15:19

Ummm, I live in the DC area. Today a townhouse went up for sale across from me. Bought in 1998 for $205; now up for sale at $475. I believe DC salaries continue to support the housing bubble in the immediate vicinity.

Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 11:22:46

Could you update this if it actually sells? ‘Cause if we’ve learned one thing here, it’s that wishing prices don’t matter.

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Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 12:37:47

Please tell me this is snark. Even the highest gov workers (under $200K) could barely afford a townhouse then.

The job security supports the IDEA of high-priced housing. Does the job security support the actual pricing? Only if 5x income is the new normal. And that’s what I’m afraid of.

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Comment by polly
2011-04-07 13:52:09

Two government workers could. They would need to be 12s or 13s and a few grades up the chain, but it could work. Not great if one wants to stop being a fed and take a risk starting a business or something, but there are a number of couples like that.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 14:07:27

Lobbyists. Defense contractors.

There’s your buyers.

 
Comment by bink
2011-04-07 14:35:27

Townhouses anywhere near the beltway are rare for under $600k. I had some near my old place that were selling for just under $2 million. They were nice, but we’re not talking brownstones on the upper east side.

 
 
 
 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 07:09:31

I’m tired of the knock on Federal employees.

The real problem is the job outsourcing. We’ve lost, what, 20 million jobs in the past 30 years? If we had kept those 20 million jobs at $50K each at 25% tax (low), that’s 250 billion in revenue each year. Plus those earners wouldn’t be taking unemployment, and would be consuming.

And that’s the middle class. Now let’s put everyone on some kind of public option health care so that the healthy can pay for the sick directly without the private skim or the job-lock. Then knock out the corporate tax deductions and loopholes, and make those corporate “persons” pay their taxes on April 15 every year like real people. Then take half the big-ag subsidies and use the money to make organic certification free and subsidize growers of vegetables. Then put a tax on NYSE trades which are obviously not based on fundamental investment, like micro-second transaction.

Let’s see where that gets us.

Comment by Ben Jones
2011-04-07 07:25:45

‘The real problem is the job outsourcing’

I’d agree that globalization is a big part of our jobs problem. But these woes started long before NAFTA and WTO. (There was a time, in the 70’s, early 80’s, when the US was the worlds creditor. Now we have reversed into the biggest borrower in history. You don’t hear much discussion about that, even though the implications are clear.)

But back to the globalization thing; I asked this other day, when the union posters were on the rampage. Who in DC stands up for all working people? Which party or group has steadfastly opposed sending these jobs offshore for over 20 years? The fact is, no one of any power, unions or DC workers, for instance, has stood up to this monster, and we’re paying the price now.

I’m not taking any pleasure in seeing the shock waves go through the system. But as many here have said for years, the stock and housing bubbles merely masked serious weakness in this economy. And at every stage, the politicians don’t address the problem, but choose instead to kick the can down the road.

I think almost everyone can see how messed up this approach has been, but who is doing anything about it?

Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 07:35:53

I’m not taking any pleasure in seeing the shock waves go through the system. But as many here have said for years, the stock and housing bubbles merely masked serious weakness in this economy. And at every stage, the politicians don’t address the problem, but choose instead to kick the can down the road.

And I heartily agree. The stock bubble has masked our decline for the wealthy, and the RE bubble masked it for the middle class. Now the political class are desprately trying to maintain stock prices (where the well off hold most of their wealth) despite the decline in real wages for the bottom ~85% of wage earners.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 08:08:59

“Now the political class are desprately trying to maintain stock prices…”

Makes sense, doesn’t it, as members of the political class are generally in that top 1% of the wealth distribution?

What I don’t get is why our ‘independent’ central bank appears to be so actively involved in the (politically motivated) effort to prop up the stock market. Is that part of their jobs/inflation mandate?

 
Comment by SDGreg
2011-04-07 09:18:14

“Now the political class are desprately trying to maintain stock prices (where the well off hold most of their wealth) despite the decline in real wages for the bottom ~85% of wage earners.”

The same type of thing happened at the local level during the housing bubble. The local politicians already owned, so they didn’t give a damn about renters that were being thrown out of apartments for fly-by-night shoddy condo conversions or the worse alternative of overpaying to buy in the biggest real estate bubble in history. That they were getting a sizable chunk of campaign cash from these same developers gave them even less reason to be concerned about the needs of ordinary workers.

 
Comment by Montana
2011-04-07 09:58:37

I thought “outsourcing” meant to private contractors and “offshoring” was to other countries.

 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2011-04-07 10:56:59

Good summation of the local dynamic, SDGreg. I was going through my neighborhood photos and notes from 2005-6 the other night and that’s exactly what was going on around us at the time. The local pols benefitted handsomely from the bubble and they’ll be amongst the vultures as this bottoms.

 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 12:40:20

Sorry montana, I think that the offshorers co-opted the outsourcing term to make themselves look better.

Ya see, even J6P can connect “off” and “shore.” Off+shore means China to them. But, “out” and “source”? Not so much. J6P may not know what it means to “source” something.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-07 13:54:27

“What I don’t get is why our ‘independent’ central bank appears to be so actively involved in the (politically motivated) effort to prop up the stock market.”

What’s politically motivated about it? That’s where the rich keep most of their money. Who do you think the Fed woks for?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-07 13:55:54

r

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 07:38:23

“And at every stage, the politicians don’t address the problem, but choose instead to kick the can down the road.”

It’s partly genetic, and partly a natural consequence of political appointments with term limits.

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Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 07:45:20

Which party or group has steadfastly opposed sending these jobs offshore for over 20 years?

Unions and Democrats.

A friend of mine used to work in maintenance at Martin Marietta. In early 2000’s, MM cut pay and benefits, unions went on strike, and my friend had fun in the picket line. MM asked for 30 days good-faith to negotiate. The union agreed. During those 30 days, MM closed the entire facility, fired everybody, and sent the operation overseas. So much for good-faith.

Last year the Dem House passed a bill which would eliminate tax breaks for offshoring, and give that money to small businesses who hire. Republicans filibustered it in the Senate.

And probably hundreds of other Democrats who tried to protect the worker, especially in the Midwest. But those Dems were in the minority, shut out by a majority party who was voted in because they screamed God Guns Abortion Mom and Apple Pie.

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Comment by Ben Jones
2011-04-07 07:59:22

‘Unions and Democrats’

I disagree. Who pushed NAFTA through? Who allowed China into the WTO, even though they have no labor rules, no environmental restrictions? The answer is Republicans and Democrats.

‘Last year the Dem House passed a bill which would eliminate tax breaks for offshoring’

That was political posturing, IMO. A real challenge to this would be a vote to withdraw from the WTO. Scrap NAFTA. We need this issue to be front and center every day, every election cycle. Not a bill here and there. The fact is both parties, but notably the Democrats, have abandoned the working class in favor of multinational corporations. Need proof? Just go to buy something and look at where it’s made.

As for unions, remember a few years ago when they started courting illegal aliens in the US? I don’t doubt that there are people in unions and even both political parties that stand up to the globalists. But if so, they are a quiet minority.

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-07 09:11:20

Last year the Dem House passed a bill which would eliminate tax breaks for offshoring, and give that money to small businesses who hire. Republicans filibustered it in the Senate.

eco mentions this daily (several times, usually). I’ve read the text of the bill, but haven’t had time to really dig into the sections of internal revenue code the bill amends to fully understand it.

Could you (or someone else) please elaborate on these points:

1) What tax breaks are currently in place for corporations who move jobs out of the US

2) What are the exact changes encompassed by this bill. Not just those that support your (or anyone else’s position), but every element of the bill.

I’d love to take everyone’s comments at face value, but the reality is people are biased and make summaries that don’t include or represent all the facts. I’d love to understand the facts of this bill.

TIA!

 
Comment by Steve J
2011-04-07 09:11:47

I remember when NAFTA was signed by Clinton. Ford, Carter, and Bush showed up.

I remember Perot debating VP Gore on CNN on NAFTA. (great sucking sound of jobs heading South).

I remember the special deals Clinton made with both sides to get votes (and failed to deliver on most).

I look forward to dodging Mexican trucks on I-35.

 
Comment by Sean
2011-04-07 09:34:30

Actually Unions were against NAFTA and GATT from the start. Not all unions had to take a stand (Teachers, for instance unless you are gonna export your kid every day to Saltillo to go to school).

Just because you didn’t see a 30 second commercial on it didn’t mean it didn’t happen. People don’t take Unions seriously, and dismiss them as greedy SOBs. The only thing they wanted to be greedy about were keeping good paying jobs in the US.

But keep revising history. I can see Mexico from my house!

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 09:42:25

1) What tax breaks are currently in place for corporations who move jobs out of the US

Does tax code send U.S. jobs offshore?

http://www.usatoday.com/money/perfi/taxes/2008-03-20-corporate-tax-offshoring_N.htm

…it’s true. “The U.S. tax system does provide an incentive to locate production offshore,” says Martin Sullivan, a contributing editor to Tax Notes, a non-profit publication that tracks tax issues….

…At issue is the U.S. tax code’s treatment of profits earned by foreign subsidiaries of American corporations. Profits earned in the United States are subject to the 35% corporate tax. But multinational corporations can defer paying U.S. taxes on their overseas profits until they return them to the USA — transfers that often don’t happen for years. General Electric, for example, has $62 billion in “undistributed earnings” parked offshore, according to recent Securities and Exchange Commission filings. Drug giant Pfizer boasts $60 billion. ExxonMobil has $56 billion…..

“If you had two companies in Pittsburgh that both were going to expand capacity and create 100 jobs, our tax code puts the company who chooses to put the plant in Pittsburgh at a competitive disadvantage over the company that chooses to move to a tax haven,”…

…The Democrats, saying the United States has overlooked the costs to working Americans in its rush to embrace globalization, have vowed to eliminate any tax incentive for further offshoring….

….the U.S. takes in less annual revenue from corporate taxes, measured as a percentage of economic output, than almost all other major economies. Part of the explanation for that shortfall is the allowance for corporations to postpone taxes on foreign income.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2011-04-07 09:44:00

I’m not revising history. There was congressional opposition to NAFTA at the time too. But what matters, IMO, is where is the opposition to globalism now?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 09:49:33

2) What are the exact changes encompassed by this bill. Not just those that support your (or anyone else’s position), but every element of the bill.

Republicans block ending offshore jobs tax breaks

http://www.reuters.com/article/2010/09/28/us-usa-democrats-offshore-idUSTRE68R40I20100928

Senate Republicans blocked a Democratic bill on Tuesday to end tax deductions enjoyed by companies that close their U.S. plants and move overseas….

….”Why in the world would millions of Americans who are losing their jobs be subsidizing operations that are closed up, and the cost of doing that, and sending jobs overseas?” Michigan Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow said….

…..The bill also takes on a hot tax topic known as “deferral,” the ability of companies to defer taxes on income earned abroad.

…..President Barack Obama’s budget aims to sharply curtail that practice. The bill would repeal deferral for companies that close or cut a business in the U.S. and start or expand overseas with the intention of importing goods for sale in the United States…..

 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 09:53:50

Hi drummin, I admit I don’t know the bill . I vaguely remember that setting up a new office can be tax-deducted, even if that’s a call center in India. That’s the tax break they wanted to get rid of. But I don’t know much else. Do you know the bill number?

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-07 09:59:48

Just because you didn’t see a 30 second commercial on it didn’t mean it didn’t happen.

So did these union members vote against the congresspeople/president that passed NAFTA? Or did they just talk about being against it but not take any real action? Did these folks support and vote for Perot? (I’d guess not)

It’s easy to say you disagree with something. It’s a bit more difficult to back your words with real action.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-07 10:00:23

“But what matters, IMO, is where is the opposition to globalism now?”

Nowhere. While other countries jealously protect their markets, USA J6P has been brainwashed into believing that unless the US has 100% open markets that the 4 riders oif the Apocalyse will appear. He drives his imported car/truck while lamenting the loss of American jobs, wearing his imported clothes and shoes,while driving to his retail job where he sells/warehouses imported goods, and just doesn’t make the connection.

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-07 10:02:24

I admit I don’t know the bill

I think it would benefit everyone here who talks for/against this bill (and the politicians involved) to read and understand what was really voted on, and what the side-effects might be (no bill is ever as simple as a one-line summary). Informed discourse and all that.

The name/number of the bill is as follows. I’ll post a link in a separate message:

S. 3816 [111th]: Creating American Jobs and Ending Offshoring Act

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-07 10:04:27
 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-07 10:06:18

He drives his imported car/truck while lamenting the loss of American jobs

While your point about clothes, shoes and such is valid, the reality is the home country of a car manufacturer isn’t a great representation of where most of the work is done or where the jobs are.

Many foreign cars are manufactured here, and many ‘american’ cars are manufactured elsewhere, or sourced from parts made elsewhere.

 
Comment by GH
2011-04-07 10:15:21

I think a lot of the disconnect between government workers and private sector workers these days arises from a general sense by government workers that their jobs are safe from off-shoring, and to a great extent they are.

But the world is more complicated that that, and as it turns out off-shoring private sector jobs reduces taxable income here in the US which in turn reduces tax revenue for ALL sectors of government. Now things get complicated as previously protected government jobs are at risk from falling tax revenue. To be sure, just like an individual can “live on credit” for a while until lenders take notice of their ever growing credit card balances, so can governments, and so far borrowing has worked well. So well in fact that government wages have risen substantially over the past 5 years while revenues have fallen.

What cannot last forever will not last for ever. This is not my opinion or any negative reflection on unions or government workers, but just easy math.

The fact is that we are now required to compete with cheap offshore labor, and are waking up to the harsh reality that the worth of a human for a days labor is shockingly low.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2011-04-07 10:33:46

But those Dems were in the minority, shut out by a majority party who was voted in because they screamed God Guns Abortion Mom and Apple Pie.

It’s politics. If the Ds knew those things were important to a critical group of voters, whey did they let the Rs own those issues?

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 10:37:08

He drives his imported car/truck while lamenting the loss of American jobs, wearing his imported clothes and shoes,while driving to his retail job where he sells/warehouses imported goods

;-)

(Some USA J6P’s gets filled with “TrueAnger™” while drinking his low-cost American name brand beer (A.) owned by a Canadian Inc. (b.) owned by a Belgium Inc. and tuning in their critical thinking antennae to listen with fear&loathing distortionville Australian-Quasi-American Faux News Inc.)

Hows do eyes know this? I’ve witnessed it.
(in fact, eyes can go to a certain “bidness” after 4pm today for a Yell!/Scream!/Holler! refresher inoculation course.

Their Hyena “laughing” solution? rope / tree / (non-Hawaiian) person

Did I mention like Rash Limpbaughs ideas too…all of ‘em

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 10:51:32

I think it would benefit everyone here who talks for/against this bill (and the politicians involved) to read and understand what was really voted on, and what the side-effects might be (no bill is ever as simple as a one-line summary). Informed discourse and all that. drumminj

So what are you implying? That because we don’t know every minute detail of the bill that the grand concept is unknown or in doubt?

Is this a common blog tactic to throw in red herrings to cause doubts in issues that go against your ideology?

For example: The other day many were saying that we should tax the rich more. You came out saying that how can we tax the rich when we can’t even come up with a definition of what constitutes “rich” therefore by implication, the whole concept of taxing the rich more is a non-starter. Well it is not.

Now this issue and the title of the article I posted above is:

Republicans block ending offshore jobs tax breaks

It’s a simple concept to understand. Not hard. I posted 2 articles above describing what happened. That we all don’t understand every single minor detail on how it might affect every specific company’s complicated tax situation does not undermine our general understanding of the subject and its consequences.

The bottom line:
Republicans blocked ending tax breaks to companies that offshore jobs.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2011-04-07 10:59:36

‘Republicans blocked ending tax breaks to companies that offshore jobs’

So where were the senate Dems or the president? Let’s be honest, trying to pass one bill in the house, and then mentioning it every time this comes up isn’t doing anything to even stop globalism, much less reverse it. Show me a major push by the Dems as a whole to repeal NAFTA, get us out of the WTO, and then I’ll agree they can claim to be advancing the cause of working people (and not just those in unions). Anything short of that is political posturing, as I said before.

 
Comment by salinasron
2011-04-07 10:59:53

I don’t know what the problem and fuss is with all this off-shoring thing. For the last 10 years all I have been hearing is how we (America) have entered into the new age of a service economy. It was great for all until the bubble popped and now everyone wants to go back for a do-over.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2011-04-07 11:16:42

‘the new age of a service economy’

It’s been more than 10 years that this has been going on. The idea that we could sell each other houses (or cars, etc) as a basis for the economy never really worked. But the situation felt more stable than it was because half the country was using their house as an ATM.

I don’t expect a do-over. It may be too late to turn this thing around, but it’s gotta be tried, IMO. We should negotiate our trade deals on a country by country basis, if it makes sense for us. For instance, we shouldn’t have open trade borders with countries that have pay scales like Mexico or China, or that spend no effort on environmental matters. If we do, we can not compete, and we end up in this race to the bottom.

When you think about how we went from being the largest creditor nation to the largest debtor, obviously more was going on than “free trade” agreements. But trade issues are a great place to start.

BTW, something I’ve been thinking about; going way back to the US becoming the “worlds economic engine”, ie we borrow and spend and buy the worlds stuff, it seems to me the biggest curse all along has been this US$ “worlds reserve currency” thing. If that hadn’t been the case, a lot of this baloney would have never lasted long.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 11:16:58

I don’t know what the problem and fuss is with all this off-shoring thing.

Maybe you’re a former government worker, maybe retired or maybe you have a job that was untouched by, or benefited from off-shoring.

It was great for all until the bubble popped

The time-revealed contradictions and implications in that simple statement partially illustrate “what the problem and fuss is with all this off-shoring thing.”

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 11:25:25

…trying to pass one bill in the house,…isn’t doing anything to even stop globalism, much less reverse it. Show me a major push by the Dems as a whole to repeal NAFTA, get us out of the WTO, ….Anything short of that is political posturing, as I said before.

I agree with all of that. The Democrats betrayed the people they were supposed to stand for. Because of that, the Democrat’s structural “sins” might be equal to those of the GOP’s.

But I do think Democrats trying to pass a bill that would end tax-breaks for off-shoring was at least a start in the right direction.

And sometimes political posturing is fine because it gets people talking about the issue which can then embolden action for needed change.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2011-04-07 11:51:20

“But what matters, IMO, is where is the opposition to globalism now?”

Nowhere. In fact, in a perverse twist, as profit-hungry shareholders through our 401(k)s, might we be at the point where we’re actually becoming DEPENDENT on globalism-derived profit?

 
Comment by Al
2011-04-07 11:56:21

Rio,

Part of the reason to dig into these bills is to verify that they will do what is claimed. Let’s face it, we get lied to very often. TARP was sold as aid to main street via wall street.

For all we know, this bill could have provided incentive to move the headquarters out too.

 
Comment by cactus
2011-04-07 12:43:58

From Yahoo tech ticker

Our leaders first outsource our jobs and now debase our currency ( wealth ). Eventually I predict the Country will fraction into seperate states like the USSR

“More controversially, Romer lauds QE for helping to weaken the dollar. A weaker dollar makes U.S. goods more competitive overseas, boosting exports and GDP growth, and ultimately hiring. While that’s true, she seems to overlook the impact a weak dollar has on ordinary Americans in terms of falling buying power and punishment for savers and those living on fixed-incomes.

..

 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 12:48:03

“So where were the senate Dems or the president?”

Voting for cloture so that they could have an up-or-down vote, Ben. But the Republicans filibustered it. If even one Republican had voted for cloture (he could have voted against the actual bill later), then that bill would have been LAW, and there would have been less outsourcing. If you ask me, that’s a major push.

But if you ask why the Dems aren’t doing major pushing? Because they are afraid to; because the balance of the Senate is so delicate. If even one or two Dems lose when they take that chance, then the Republicans will wreak havoc. Like they always do when they get into power. The newest batch hasn’t been in office four months and they’re already selling off state assets for a song (Walker) and dropping taxes on the rich again, and now privatizing Medicare (Ryan).

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-07 14:16:01

NAFTA was crafted by Bush 1 on a ‘fast track’ that didn’t quite make it in time (he even held a fancy symbolic head-of-state signing session). Clinton inherited it as a fait accompli, but was at least able to add amendments that strengthened environmental and labor regulations of all industries involved. A Republican majority in Congress passed it, with most Dems voting against.

 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 17:23:45

Eventually I predict the Country will fraction into seperate states like the USSR

Good luck with that. The South is likely to split off from the North again. The Southern states are consistently shown to be the most dependent on federal funding. The South may not last as long as they did in the 1860’s.

(sez Oxide as she watches The Civil War yet again)

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 14:12:18

I’m pretty sure I posted here about umpteen hundred times that the Dems tried to passed a bill that would have ended tax breaks for offshoring jobs, and then given tax breaks to local businesses for hiring, but was defeated by the Repubs.

I could have sworn I did.

That the Dems tried to end the tax breaks for the rich just recently.

And the Repubs are a state by state rampage to repeal as many labor rights and laws as possible.

Was I hallucinating?

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-07 14:32:27

If a couple of Democrats voted with the Repubs, or if you can’t immediately produce every detail of the issue, then it doesn’t count, apparently.

 
Comment by Xiaoding
2011-04-07 15:11:12

“Which party or group has steadfastly opposed sending these jobs offshore for over 20 years?

Unions and Democrats.”

Dear Oxide,

Hey, did you hear about the last Presidential election? A DEMOCRAT one! And, the DEMOCRATS have held both houes of Congress for two years, with a SUPER majority! They can do anything they want!!

We just mention, because you seem so stupid, and apparantly have yet to hear it.

Thank you,

The People of Earth

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 15:35:49

Gosh Xiaoding, you’re wrong.

The Dems only managed to achieve PARITY for the last 2 years.

It was the Repubs who held the SUPER MAJORITY for almost 15 years before that.

And COMPLETELY controlled the government while this housing bubble thingy, fraudulent CDOs/securitzation and insider trading was happening.

Damn overpaid union janitors!

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-07 16:12:52

Where are you getting your ‘facts’, Xiaoding? Because you might want to cross-check them with reality.

 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 17:27:35

Xiaoding,

Do you know what a “Blue Dog” is? Do you know who “Ned Lamont” is? Do you know what a “filibuster” is? Do you which party is “lockstep” and which party is “diorganized?” Democrats don’t act like Republicans. Or do you only know what Fox News told you?

 
Comment by Neuromance
2011-04-07 17:50:32

Just so we’re dealing with facts, a graphical representation of who controlled the government, in terms of party, for the past few decades:

http://uspolitics.about.com/od/usgovernment/l/bl_party_division_2.htm

Looks like a ping pong match starting in 1979. The people bounce between Kang and Kodos. With expected results.

 
Comment by Xiaoding
2011-04-08 15:19:14

Dearest Oxide,

My, you have fine list of whiny excuses.

We have it on good authority, that, yes, indeed, a Democrat won the presidential election, in the USA, last time around. And, the Democrats also had a super majority, using it to pass Obamacare, for instance.

They also, could have done anything else, and no Republican could have stopped them.

thank you,

People of Earth

 
 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-07 07:37:06

That sounds like an interesting plan to feed the Beast, and feed yourself a healthy thousand mile salad to boot!

I’d like to see a little more subsidy for steak, scotch and pecans.

Those government workers, they sure are taxing. It takes four worker bees just to carry one of them around. Is it any mystery that off shoring of jobs coincided with an explosion of government workers? Let’s reverse the trend and bring jobs home.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 07:41:14

I’d like to see more subsidy for renters, maybe some kind of deductibility of rents commensurate with the mortgage interest deduction, as rents are going to increase fast in the next several years and renters are, on the whole, poorer than home owners. So long as the Democrats claim to be the party of the poor and the oppressed, shouldn’t they do something to help all the former FBs who are tomorrow’s renter class cope with their misfortunes?

(Forgot to include my sarcasm tags with the above…)

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Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 08:14:11

I would argue that there is slightly LESS justification for intervention into the rental market since the rental market is more efficient than the owner/occupier market. Any subsidy to renters will be converted into higher rents by landlords even more quickly than the homebuyer tax goosed house prices.

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-07 08:30:54

And the distortion would tent to go to the high end rentals. Because people on the low end don’t have close to enough deductible expenses to itemize so an additional deduction will get them nothing or very little. Though for a time it would allow innumerate people to think they will get a benefit and devote even more of their income to rent.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 08:30:56

Agreed, Jim. Again, I forgot my sarcasm tags…

 
Comment by redrum
2011-04-07 08:37:21

I think the objective is to prop up housing prices at almost any cost. Anything they can do to make life more miserable for renters (hence, turning a few of them into buyers) will be done. I certainly wouldn’t hold my breath anticipating any sort of relief.

The only way I see this happening would be as a ploy - as Jim points out - to quickly drive rent prices even higher; again making the purchase of a rental property more attractive.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 09:18:42

I’d like to see more subsidy for renters

Mr. Bear makes landlords across the Nation,…smile ;-)

 
Comment by Bad Chile
2011-04-07 09:19:38

FWIW, Massachusetts has a tax deduction (non-itemized, and above the standard deduction) for rent paid. It is capped at a deduciton of $6,000 of rent paid over a year, with no income limit.

It was a huge help when I was in a three-bedroom, dodgy rental where my share of the rent btween me and two strangers was $500 and I wasn’t making nearly as much as I do now. At the higher end it doesn’t do much good, and it doesn’t get doubled if you’re married. :-(

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 09:27:27

“Any subsidy to renters will be converted into higher rents by landlords even more quickly than the homebuyer tax goosed house prices.”

Doesn’t that depend on the elasticities of rental supply and demand? I would think the supply side of both the rental and purchase housing markets could get very elastic if the GSEs ended their taxpayer-funded inventory squeeze, as there would be so very many vacant units twisting in the wind. In this case, much of the subsidies could accrue to households, as any landlord who tried to raise their rent would be unable to find a tenant, thanks to so many other vacant units to choose from.

BTW, I recently mentioned that the SD rental market is near a decade-long high of five percent vacant units, up from around one percent vacant in the late-1990s.

 
Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 09:34:58

I suppose that depends on the exact form of the subsidy. But I don’t think simply handing renters more money does little to change supply OR demand. Should just shift the curves higher.

 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 09:58:32

I agree with Jim. If there’s a national subsidy, it probably won’t matter in Youngstown Ohio. But in a place like DC, that subsidy will just be slapped on, and renters will be “invited” to find a cheaper place. Of course, no place will be cheaper because they all raise rates together. They can afford a few empty units if they raise the price on everyone else.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 10:11:51

Of course, no place will be cheaper because they all raise rates together.

Naw, (a.) they hate each other (B.) that would be ‘UnProfessional” conduct un-becoming of a caring landlord. (c.) also, ” UnEthical” conduct un-becoming of a concerned landlord. (d.) there has to be a (d.),…has to be…I’m thinkin’, I’m thinkin’…

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-07 14:43:24

“So long as the Democrats claim to be the party of the poor and the oppressed, shouldn’t they do something to help all the former FBs who are tomorrow’s renter class cope with their misfortunes?”

I’ll go out on a limb and predict that most every ‘right’ renters have, was passed by Democrats, with most Repubs opposed.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 07:48:26

“Is it any mystery that off shoring of jobs coincided with an explosion of government workers?”

Could you elaborate on this? Why would offshoring would cause an increase in federal workers?

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 08:15:45

Lots of federal jobs were created in the aftermath of the Fall 2008 financial crisis to offset what otherwise might have looked considerably more like a reenactment of the Great Depression.

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-07 08:33:19

I think that was the census. Constitutionally mandated. They are gone now.

 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 08:53:42

Maybe Skye is thinking farther back to the enactment of lots of regulations — labor and environmental. The gov hired lots of folks to enforce the regulations, but the companies went overseas to where there were no regulations. Or maybe the government had to hire workers to administer the resulting increase in welfare rolls?

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-07 08:55:42

Oxy, I can’t elaborate on it too much as I didn’t consider it in depth. My thought is that globalization showed the US worker to be marginally uncompetitive, thus the steady loss of jobs to other markets. In response we should have focused on leaner management and increased productivity and reducing the burdens on the worker bees so that they could find a lower wage survivable. Instead we bloated management (government), making the worker even less competitive since he has to pay for that on top of his own living expenses.

Like most things it was a trifecta. We also increased the worker bee’s indebtedness and blew our national coin away on every luxury and excess and corruption a society could dream up.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-07 08:59:04

I remember in the 80’s, when Japan was ravaging our automotive market and other areas of our manufacturing. There alarms were being sounded by many about the long term implications. We partied on like cocaine addicts. Recovery will be painful.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 14:20:03

“Is it any mystery that off shoring of jobs coincided with an explosion of government workers?”

Yet private federal contractors outnumber federal workers and have a higher average salary.

Blue Skye, the American is ~2.5 times more productive (as of my last research 2 years ago) than any other worker in the world, has less time off and the most expensive medical care.

That the American worker is not competitive is a BIG FAT LIE who’s sole purpose is to make the very person the lie is going screw over, accept their fate of a lower standard of living while the 1%ers continue to see triple digit increases in their income.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 14:26:07

Japan was killing us because corporate management would not make the changes needed, such as designing products that could compete and modernizing plants. This began in the 1960s.

I know. I was working in many large factories in the 1970s and 80s. Most places were using equipment from WW2 for crying out loud!

Hell, I was at a large heavy industry plant just a few years ago. Same thing. Half the equip was 50 years old!

“Modernization” is dirty word in the boardroom. It means “the capital outlay will destroy my stock value.”

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-07 17:38:48

eco,

Define productive. In the early 80s I ran 80 hives of honey bees. Just a little sideline cattle operation, but the Chinese came on the market with honey by the barrel at 1/3 the price of cane sugar! Sure, my equipment was “outdated” and so was theirs. I only needed about 25c an hour to justify my “farming”. I couldn’t make my operating costs. They were desperate in those days, to bring some $$ into their country to prime the pump. We heard rumors that Chinese workers might be paid $1/day. Cut cane or die kind of stuff.

If you mean that the American worker produces more than everybody else, great. If you mean that he produces more based on what you pay him, I do wonder!

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 20:52:37

If you mean that the American worker produces more than everybody else, great. If you mean that he produces more based on what you pay him, I do wonder!

It doesn’t matter. America should protect American jobs. The globalization B.S. is B.S.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 06:53:01

The Nation: Blame Both Parties For Shutdown Threat
by Ari Berman

President Barack Obama speaks to the press after a meeting with Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Speaker of the House John Boehner to break a stalemate in budget negotiations. The standoff could force the federal government to close on Friday.
Enlarge Brendan Smialowski/Getty Images

April 7, 2011

Ari Berman is a contributing writer for The Nation magazine and an Investigative Journalism Fellow at The Nation Institute.

InTrade says there’s a 52 percent chance there will be a government shutdown before July. The brinksmanship and theatrics aside, I’ve long believed a shutdown would be averted and a budget deal reached for 2011–12. Now I’m not so sure. Some in the GOP are eagerly cheering on the prospect of a shutdown (literally), with the conservative Republican Study Committee even unveiling a countdown clock on its website (as of this post, there’s two days, ten hours, three minutes and five seconds left).

Comment by Kim
2011-04-07 08:41:22

“Some in the GOP are eagerly cheering on the prospect of a shutdown (literally)”

And I’d sympathize with them if only we were shutting down the right things. Keep the national parks open. Shut down Congress and the Executive Cabinet.

A gal can dream, right?

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 06:56:50

Since much of the federal personnel in San Diego are military, perhaps a federal shutdown would not have that much economic impact here?

How would federal shutdown impact San Diego?
By Gary Robbins and Steve Schmidt
Wednesday, April 6, 2011 at 10:19 a.m.

A partial shutdown of the federal government looms, but exactly how partial would it be and what would it mean for San Diego County?

The federal government is the region’s largest employer. More than 46,000 San Diego County residents are on the Washington, D.C., payroll — from FBI agents to air traffic controllers to forest rangers.

That’s not even counting the tens of thousands of military service members based in the area.

Federal officials have been drawing up contingency plans to determine what operations would continue and what might stop. The Office of Management and Budget has asked agencies not to disclose details for now.

Government guidelines say that functions considered essential to national security, along with the safety of life and property, would continue.

That means, for example, that U.S. Border Patrol agents would still work their beats, Transportation Security Administration officers would keep screening travelers at Lindbergh Field and U.S. military operations would continue worldwide.

Government officials said, however, that the timing of military paychecks has been called into question if a shutdown ensues.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2011-04-07 07:01:33

‘(Reuters) Large financial firms should be allowed to fail or they will continue to take excess risks that lead to crises, Richmond Federal Reserve President Jeffrey Lacker said on Thursday. Lacker said a very proactive response to the financial crisis, while stabilizing the situation in the short-term, has simply expanded the government’s implicit safety net to nearly two-thirds of the financial system.’

‘He said that to reestablish a credible threat of failure for megabanks and other large financial firms would require actually allowing one to go down, even when investors expect it to be bailed out. “Doing so, to be sure, could cause some short-term disruptions to the financial sector,” he said. But in the long-run, such steps will be “key to avoiding the type of financial instability we observed in 2008.”

‘On the issue of housing finance reform, Lacker said the government will eventually have to wind down Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, though it could not likely do so in the near-term. He added that the government should rethink whether it should be in the business of subsidizing home ownership at all.’

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 07:10:05

“On the issue of housing finance reform, Lacker said the government will eventually have to wind down Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, though it could not likely do so in the near-term.”

For how many years was it they talked about removing Terry Schiavo’s feeding tube before they finally did it?

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2011-04-07 12:33:19

That analogy is pretty thin. Karen Carpenter thin.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 14:28:04

Are you saying the idea won’t float? Like Natalie Wood?

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 07:16:52

“He said that to reestablish a credible threat of failure for megabanks and other large financial firms would require actually allowing one to go down, even when investors expect it to be bailed out.”

That was the point of allowing Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns to fail, wasn’t it? (Aside from eliminating a couple of competing vampire squids from the implicitly-insured too-big-to-fail Wall Street Megabank cartel, that is…)

Is Lacker simply trying to remind everyone that not every too-big-to-fail firm will always get bailed out in every possible financial crisis, especially when there are so many too-big-to-fail financial entities and so many crises these days?

On the other hand, looking down that motley list of ‘banks’ the Fed loaned to, during the Fall 2008 financial crisis, which included a Japanese fishing cooperative and the Central Bank of Libya, I’m wondering exactly where the boundary lies between ‘banks’ the Fed is willing to bail out and ‘banks’ that don’t qualify?

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-07 16:19:03

Yeah, I bet the employees at Bear Stearns and Lehman are wondering how the Japanese fish coops got a ‘bailout’ but they didn’t.

Be a great question for Bernanke next time he’s chatting with congress.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 07:22:21

Silly question: what risks, exactly, are banks taking now? They certainly aren’t lending, and they already unloaded their crap onto Fannie/Freddie. Why would they fall?

Comment by liz pendens
2011-04-07 07:35:51

Just a hunch they might be speculating like drunken poker-addicts on high-stakes commodities and overpriced IPOs. When you can’t lose and its not your money anyway you have a tendency to go ALL-IN.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 14:35:34

I’d buy that for a dollar!

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 07:36:13

Too-big-to-fail = risk free profits, and it doesn’t cost the U.S. taxpayer a dime, thanks to the Fed’s printing press technology.

Comment by measton
2011-04-07 10:57:13

Nope it costs the taxpayer a penny that costs 10 cents to make.

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Comment by Ben Jones
2011-04-07 07:39:14

‘they already unloaded their crap onto Fannie/Freddie’

This gets repeated so much it’s taken as fact. I work with these houses everyday, and I make a point to always know who the client is. I’m familiar with the process of transferring properties to the guarantors. It has specific requirements that I have to know, so if it’s happening, I’m aware of it. From what I see, it’s not as prevalent as you hear. Actually, I see as much going back to FHA as the GSEs.

There are so many different companies with these loans, it’s mind-boggling. Did you know Lehman Brothers still has its liquidation arm operating? And even Bear Stearns. Often, you wouldn’t know it because the corporation involved uses a subsidiary or trust, with another name, in the foreclosure. Then there is the FDIC.

The GSEs are toast. When they are liquidated, (and receivership is the step to this) I suppose we’ll see an RTC like entity take over.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 07:50:14

“Often, you wouldn’t know it because the corporation involved uses a subsidiary or trust, with another name, in the foreclosure.”

That which we call a rose turd. By any other name would smell as sweet foul.

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Comment by Kim
2011-04-07 08:44:29

“Did you know Lehman Brothers still has its liquidation arm operating?”

Not only are they operating, but their stock still trades on the pink sheets!

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Comment by michael
2011-04-07 12:08:52

buddy of mine is doing tax work for them…but tax folks are usually the ones to turn off the lights when a company goes bust.

 
 
 
Comment by Kirisdad
2011-04-07 07:43:29

Not so silly Oxide, they’re also making a bundle on 8% student loans and 18% credit cards (plus excessive fees and penalties,on both). The student loan debacle is the next big bailout.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-07 09:55:31

The student loan debacle is the next big bailout.

Especially since some of the students are realizing that, if they go overseas, their college loan debt gets a whole lot more difficult to collect.

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Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-04-07 20:37:49

And if they choose the right country, they can actually get healthcare.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 20:56:38

And if they choose the right country, they can actually get healthcare.

Universal health-care is only available in every other western, industrialized country in the ENTIRE WORLD.

Except of course it is not available in “exceptional” USA.

Because of freedom and stuff.

 
 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-07 07:47:45

I don’t suppose F&F are much of a solution for CRE loans going sour. Credit card writeoffs? XYZ speculation? I suspect it is not the risks that banks do or don’t take today, rather the ones they took earlier which have not been reckoned with. The Fed is trying to engineer a controlled descent. How crashing a plane or two into the runway would put a good face on things only the genius masters of the unoverse could explain.

 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2011-04-07 07:49:59

The banks are lending, it’s just that the distortion of perspective casued by the bubble only makes it seem as if they are not.

Stories of people having to dig out W-2s and paystubs should be music to our ears because as a depositor I would rather my bank not take risks, but make sound investments.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 08:00:38

“…it’s just that the distortion of perspective casued by the bubble only makes it seem as if they are not.”

It’s not merely a distortion of perspective that is causing problems, but a distortion of expectations. Your typical American home seller does not think much about buyer budget constraints when putting up their home for sale; rather he/she will look at recent comp prices to form expectations of what they are likely to receive in a sale.

But with the combined effects of various stimulus programs recently used to artificially fluff housing demand, plus the protracted effects of a brutal recession on American household wealth and net home equity position of current home owners, plus a reversion to prudential mortgage loan underwriting standards after a mania where the saying was that ‘anyone who can breath can get a loan,’ there just aren’t many qualified buyers out there looking for a home to buy who are willing and able to pay 2006 prices. Hence there is a gap between inflated seller expectations and deflated buyer realities.

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Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 08:02:09

There’s certainly some truth in this. After years of crazyinsanestupid lending practices during the RE bubble, merely imprudent lending practices looks like scrooge took over to the RE industrial comples. But to a real degree, banks got out of the actual business of RE lending awhile ago. I would be surprised that the number of loans they actually hold onto isn’t very different now than it was during the height of the bubble. The difference is that with the virtual disappearance of the market for CMBS, I’d bet that a greater percentage of their loans are conforming than was the case during the height of the bubble.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 08:13:05

“But to a real degree, banks got out of the actual business of RE lending awhile ago.”

It must be very hard for private lenders to compete with government sponsored lending operations which use federal tax dollars to subsidize operating at perpetual losses.

 
Comment by Jim A
2011-04-07 08:17:43

It must be very hard for private lenders to compete with government sponsored lending operations which use federal tax dollars to subsidize operating at perpetual losses. And yet during the bubble, they did. In fact the during the bubble, the percentage of loans securitized by F+F, as opposed to the percentage bought and turned int CMBSs went down. OTOH during the bubble the taxpayer support for F+F was merely implicit.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 08:26:40

“And yet during the bubble, they did.”

True dat. So long as their catastrophic losses due to making $700K loans to Central Valley strawberry pickers with $30K in household income are reimbursed by the Federal Reserve’s free too-big-to-fail bailout insurance program, I suppose private lenders can always lend profitably.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 08:28:32

“And yet during the bubble, they did.”

It also helps when the value of the collateral is rising at an unprecedented pace. For some strange reason, now that U.S. residential real estate appears to be in perpetual crash mode, only the government seems interested in making home loans.

 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-07 09:03:09

“The banks are lending”

Just for fun, consider a sector that is not being mainlined by the FedGov; Commercial Real Estate.

A friend who is into manufacturing startups advised me that if you want to buy a building these days, expect to pay 13% interest, have 50% down and pay it off in less than 10 years (confirmation from other sources welcome).

How’d you like to have that reality for your mortgage market?

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 09:47:46

if you want to buy a building

What are the advantages of buying into manufacturing startups in this economy?

Is google a manufacturing type company?

Hey, where did all those commerical for lease signs go?

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-07 09:56:55

A friend who is into manufacturing startups advised me that if you want to buy a building these days, expect to pay 13% interest, have 50% down and pay it off in less than 10 years (confirmation from other sources welcome).

How’d you like to have that reality for your mortgage market?

Imagine what such conditions would do to housing prices. (Hint: Prices would be crushed bigtime.)

 
Comment by measton
2011-04-07 11:08:56

Wow

In the right place I’d make that loan in a minute. 13% with 50% down.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-07 11:35:37

BINGO.

That’s as close to “free” money as I’ve ever seen.

 
 
 
Comment by cactus
2011-04-07 12:51:41

A friend at work told me his daughter told him that BofA is back to the old bad lending standards of yesterday.

My brother works as a programer at Bof A and says all management talks about now is how to raise fees.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-07 13:13:05

My brother works as a programer at Bof A and says all management talks about now is how to raise fees.

All the more reason to move your money.

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 10:01:29

“Doing so, to be sure, could cause some short-term disruptions to the financial sector,” :-/

Hwy50 lets loose his grip on the string attached to his “Celebration” balloon:

14%+ 30 yr Rates!
_____2004_____

(Silently wondering when & where it will land, …if ever.)

Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 12:53:13

I’d take that deal anytime. House prices in DC would immediately be cut in half. if I find something little enough, I could pre-pay gobs of principal and not feel the interest.

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 07:03:16

San Diego ship repair expected to rebound from slump
By Gary Robbins, UNION-TRIBUNE
Wednesday, April 6, 2011 at 1:45 p.m.

The budget impasse has delayed $24.7 million in repairs and upgrades that NASSCO was scheduled to make on the San Diego-based amphibious assault ship Peleliu.

San Diego’s slumping ship repair industry will get flooded with contracts if Congress passes a new defense budget soon, says the head of the Navy’s Southwest Regional Maintenance Center, which hands out the money.

“There’s only six months left in the fiscal year, and a lot of the new work would come to San Diego, where the fleet is growing,” said Jim Achenbach, the center’s executive director.

“This could turn out to be very busy year.”

The maintenance center does some ship repair. But it mostly contracts with local companies to do such work, and it is preparing for an upturn. Achenbach said the number of civilian employees at the Navy center will increase by 130, to 900, over the next 18 months.

A rebound in ship repair depends on the outcome of budget talks. Congress is trying to pass a federal budget this week to avoid a government shutdown. The budget is expected to include more than $500 billion in defense spending.

The negotiations in Washington are being closely monitored by San Diego’s ship repair and ship building industry, which employs 10,000 people.

The shipyards pulled in $775 million last year to fix and upgrade many of the 57 Navy ships stationed locally. The figure had been expected to hit $800 million this year because the Navy is adding vessels in San Diego so that it is better positioned to deal with demands in the Pacific.

But Congress has yet to pass a defense budget for fiscal 2011, delaying a lot of repair work and postponing construction of the Mobile Landing Platform, a new type of ship. Achenbach says the Navy center is now on a pace to process ‘‘a minimum’’ of $618 million in contracts during the current fiscal year. He said the figure would shoot past $700 million if the budget impasse ends.

The impasse has been especially hard on General Dynamics NASSCO, which recently issued layoff notices to 350 workers. The Navy postponed $24.7 million in repairs and upgrades NASSCO was set to do on the amphibious assault ship Peleliu. And NASSCO has yet to get a contract to build the MLP, which it is designing.

Comment by seen it all
2011-04-07 16:29:04

Mobile Landing Platform

I checked out the “MLP’s”.

Looks like General Dynamics is a would be manufacturer.
Big Thank you to Diane Feinstein! (I hope Russ Feingold never did this kind of thing.)

This is from a timeline.

July 26/10: Sen. Dianne Feinstein [D-CA] requests a $100 million earmark for General Dynamics NASSCO in San Diego, CA, in order to fund long lead material for the program’s 2nd and 3rd ships. The stated goal is to lower and lock-in costs, and avoid “substantial workforce disruption” at the General Dynamics NASSCO shipyard. This request would provide funding to the contractor earlier, it would not add additional funding to the existing program of record. Washington Watch.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 07:07:16

How would you like to be in the position of a mom and her teenage daughter we know, watching politicians haggle over whether to keep paychecks flowing while your husband is deployed overseas to Afghanistan?

Gov’t shutdown could mean pay freeze for military families
Posted: Apr 06, 2011 5:59 PM PDT
Updated: Apr 07, 2011 12:31 AM PDT

SAN DIEGO (CNS) - Thousands of military members based in San Diego could go without pay temporarily if the looming shutdown of the federal government actually happens on Friday, federal officials said Wednesday.

The question isn’t whether the sailors, Marines and airmen will be paid, but how much and when.

According to a statement on the Defense Department website, the armed forces members would continue to earn their salaries, but wouldn’t actually receive any money until Congress reaches a budget agreement.

Comment by yensoy
2011-04-07 08:14:29

Can my wife and I decide to pay our taxes with IOUs but not actually send any money till we reach our home budget agreement?

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 09:42:37

“…watching the “TrueAnger™” minority politicians haggle over whether to keep paychecks flowing while your husband is deployed overseas to Afghanistan?

“TrueReduceTheDeficitNow!!Today!!ThisWeek!!IN30Days!!™” …the collateral damage can’t be as harmful as watching the digital deficit clock keep rising like it has for the last, what 50 years?…hurry, fear, hurry, fear, hurry, fear, hurry, fear, hurry, fear, hurry, fear, hurry, fear, hurry, fear, hurry, fear, hurry, fear,…Hurry!, FEAR!!!!!!

ReduceTheDeficitNow!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :-)

 
Comment by butters
2011-04-07 10:05:23

Wars may be over soon. That’s a good new as far as I am concerned.

 
Comment by eastcoaster
2011-04-07 11:37:34

I thought troops will still be paid, but other military jobs will be part of the shutdown.

Comment by howiewowie
2011-04-07 13:42:52

Nope they won’t get paid until after the budget is settled. They will get IOUs until then. And that’s every member of the military.

Comment by bink
2011-04-07 14:55:08

From what I heard on the radio this morning, they will get their next paycheck, but not the one after that. I expect this shutdown won’t last long enough for them to miss a check.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 08:11:19

How bad can bad get?

Pair of 7.4 quakes jar Japan

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 08:22:11

Word to the wise: If you owe the IRS money, file a paper return this year.

April 6, 2011, 5:26 p.m. EDT
Federal shutdown would disrupt IRS operations
Obama calls Speaker Boehner, Sen. Reid back to White House
By Robert Schroeder, MarketWatch

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Processing of paper income-tax returns would grind to a halt during a government shutdown, the White House said Wednesday, but handling of electronically filed returns would continue as normal.

With the threat of a partial shutdown early Saturday looming, the Obama administration also cautioned that issuing of federally backed home-loan guarantees and some help for small businesses would have to come to a stop.

Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-07 09:56:42

There it is, the reason for this year’s spring house selling season being a bust will the the brief shutdown of the FedGov.

 
Comment by Elanor
2011-04-07 10:07:07

Too late for me. I just mailed the checks yesterday and sent the e-filing form to my accountant. :roll:

But on the bright side, no need to mourn over delayed refunds! :D Trying to be more of a glass-half-full person, you know.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 11:22:27

no need to mourn over delayed refunds!

Eyes still workin on mines, it won’t be much…, eyes reckons eyes should get angry, yell, scream, holler, cry, piss & moan. Naw, eyes got better things to do…besides Mr. Cole wants to go on a small hike & bury the young dead hawk we found in the road this morning. Focusing on American Inc. “being-on-the-verge-of-implosion” just isn’t on mines hurry!, hurry!, Fear! Fear! list today.

Be well, do good things….see ya ’bout the HBB fire-ring this evening…BYOB, right Mr. Ben! ;-)

 
 
 
Comment by TCM-guy
2011-04-07 08:34:51

I recently spoke with a relative from Florida. This person paid $85k for their house money-sapping aging building structure about 20 years ago. The hurricane insurance bill (separate from the other home insurance) is now $3600/year. Wants to be self insured, but needs to pay off the loan first and all they have is $40k in cash, not enough to pay off the mortgage. This tells me there was a cash out refi at some point. Hope they enjoyed their cash-out. They asked me to pay out their mortgage and I would receive a monthly payment from them. I said no way, I’m not in the loan biz. And besides, I’ve been bit hard by these religious nuts in the family who don’t pay on personal loans.

Bottom line:

I will not subsidize anybody’s lifestyle. I started out with a job paying $6.25/hr and for my entire adult life I have been renting, saving and investing. If I want to buy a stupid house I will give cash for it, but I continue to rent by choice. If hurricane insurance in Florida is too costly then there are alternatives.

/rant off

Comment by Kim
2011-04-07 08:54:55

You did the right thing, TCM-guy. As for your relative, well, $40K cash is more than most folks have, however, if that and a pinch of equity in a rotting Floridian house is all the assets they have, they’ll be in a world of hurt come their retirement.

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-07 08:58:47

Your relatives wanted you to give them a loan so they could pay off their house and stop paying hurricane insurance? Did they want this to be an unsecured loan, or just one that was secured by an underinsured house?

You need new relatives, TCM

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 14:44:52

Ouch TCM.

It seems like a shame they can’t figure out how to take that 40K and invest it in something… besides RE that is.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 08:40:02

If anyone can find a link to bookmaker’s odds on a federal government shutdown, please post.

Reid on shutdown: “It looks like it’s headed in that direction”

Carrie Dann writes:After an all-night negotiating session, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said Thursday that he is “not nearly as optimistic” as he was last night about avoiding a government shutdown before a Friday deadline, saying of a federal funding gap: “it looks like it’s headed in that direction.”

Comment by oxide
2011-04-07 09:02:30

“The Democratic leader said that the two sides have essentially agreed on the amount of money set to be cut from the long-term budget but that Republicans have drawn a line in the sand over “ideology” – including policy issues dealing with funding for Planned Parenthood and the Environmental Protection Agency.”

…”Reid also announced that the Senate cannot pass a one-week stopgap bill – including very deep cuts but continued funding for the Pentagon - that would delay a shutdown….On the Senate floor today, Reid called that one-week measure “a non-starter.”

Comment by Elanor
2011-04-07 10:16:07

It’s almost, but not quite, unbelievable: the willingness to shut down the entire government over a family planning organization, clean water, and clean air. Weren’t any of these bozos alive during the 1960s? Who would seriously want to go back to the days when the Cuyahoga River could actually catch fire because of the garbage toxins in it?

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 10:24:27

Weren’t any of these bozos alive during the 1960s?

The GOP, fascist, anti-American, greedy, hypocritical corporatist clowns want us to go back to the 50’s……..the 1850s

The gutless Obama and the Democrats had better start taking some stands.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-07 10:41:46

Back in the late 1990s, a friend was trying to involve me in local Democratic Party politics. So she took me to an organizing meeting.

My friend wasn’t exactly a spring chicken, and that was pretty much the default state of the meeting room. I think I was the only person there who was under 60.

At one point, a guy was going on at great length about the growing numbers of registered Independents in our state. (I was one then. I still am today.)

The guy was down on the Indies because, from his perspective, we didn’t stand for something. I’ll never forget how he said the words “stand for something.” They came out sounding like a plea.

 
Comment by Elanor
2011-04-07 11:23:21

I know, Rio. It is crystal clear where they want to take us as a country. The EPA, though, has only been around a few decades and just look at the turnaround its standards have accomplished. That’s what I was ranting about above.

Slim, in today’s political world, many independents don’t commit to the Dems precisely because they don’t seem to stand for anything. But I know I’m preachin’ to the choir here.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2011-04-07 11:35:05

“fascist, anti-American, greedy”

Add control freaks and you just summed up the union leadership and the so called “progressives”.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 12:15:28

“fascist, anti-American, greedy”
Add control freaks and you just summed up the union leadership and the so called “progressives”.

I’ve been thinking on how the corporatist, fascist right likes to label liberals “subversive” and “anti-American” whereas it is they who are those.

For example: The policies espoused by Rush, Beck and Hannity have been proven to harm the majority of Americans and only benefit the top 1%. We now have 30 years of cause and effect proof. Trickle down, supply-side, lowering rich’s taxes, offshoring, busted unions, globalization, crony-capitalism, TBTF and “free-market” B.S. claptrap has hammered America hard. Unless you are rich.

When 1% of America advances 20% tread water and the rest decline the people who support policies causing that are the ones who are anti-American.

Dangerous fascists like Glen Beck and Rush Limbaugh are subversive because they systematically attempt to undermine the government and political system that, in the past benefited the majority of Americans. Why they are subversive is because they do it under the guise of false patriotism and professed love for their country while the policies they promote harm the majority of Americans.

Unless you only care about the rich, it is those on the far-right who are anti-American.

 
Comment by MrBubble
2011-04-07 12:17:58

“Add control freaks and you just summed up the union leadership and the so called “progressives”.”

Sounds like a rebuttal from my little brother when I was 8. “Nu-uh” “Ya-huh” Not attacking you. Just thought that the argument was rather a weak one.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2011-04-07 13:16:03

Progressive America never existed, it has and always will be a pipe dream unless instituted by force. Only committed revolutionary idealists would volunteer for a Progressive American way of life, the poor would run for the hills if they new what truly awaits them under Progressive rule. Look at Cuba, how are the poor doing? How about the poor and unconnected in the Soviet Union, what kind of “progress” did they make? What new technology, innovation, scientific and medical breakthroughs came out of those utopian societies?

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2011-04-07 13:43:27

“Sounds like a rebuttal from my little brother when I was 8. “Nu-uh” “Ya-huh” Not attacking you. Just thought that the argument was rather a weak one.”

As an argument, maybe. As a statement, I think it was strong enough to induce the predictable rebuttals.

 
Comment by MrBubble
2011-04-07 14:04:42

““fascist, anti-American, greedy”

Add control freaks and you just summed up the union leadership and the so called “progressives”.”

OK. So if I’m parsing this correctly, your statement is: “Union leadership and progressives are fascist, anti-American, greedy and control-freaks.” And that is a statement, not an argument. Right? But as a statement, it is not true. And I shouldn’t need an argument against a statement. Right?

Is this really what you are trying to say? Your hyperbole makes a mockery of whatever you were trying to say.

“I came here for an Argument”

“Oh, but this is Abuse. You want the next door on your left.”

 
Comment by Elanor
2011-04-07 14:12:25

As a statement, it was so patently over the top and turned 180 degrees from reality that it indeed was strong enough to induce rebuttals.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 14:13:50

As a statement, I think it was strong enough to induce the predictable rebuttals.

…that were strong enough to predictably rebut.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 14:22:05

Progressive America never existed,

R i g h t………………

Progressives gave women the right to vote, civil rights, worker safety, worker’s rights and freed the slaves.

Maybe that’s why you don’t like them.

What new technology, innovation, scientific and medical breakthroughs came out of those utopian societies?

To compare mainstream American progressives to situations in Cuba and the USSR is ignorant or worse. It is also a tactic of right-wing, paid blog trolls.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 14:49:55

“Progressive America never existed.”

Eisenhower would disagree. A Republican no less. Who was more progressive than even the current crop of leebruls.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-07 17:30:09

Nick’s latest nutjobbery is so patently stupid that he joins the blogs exclusive club of stupidity only matched by a select few of other quacks like CrackHeadJim and JoeyTrollHolio.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2011-04-07 21:52:40

“Nick’s latest nutjobbery is so patently stupid that he joins the blogs exclusive club of stupidity”

I consider that a complement coming from you. Thanks.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2011-04-07 22:01:03

“paid blog trolls.”

I wish I could get paid for bringing left wing fascism to the light of day. Who should I talk to?

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-08 04:27:10

When someone is so stupid they enjoy being referred to as stupid, well… it speaks for itself.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-08 08:21:13

I wish I could get paid for bringing left wing fascism to the light of day. Who should I talk to?

Left wing fascism? I think you’d have to talk to someone really confused, maybe the same guy looking for people to blog about right-wing communism.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-07 11:18:34

“Who would seriously want to go back to the days when the Cuyahoga River could actually catch fire because of the garbage toxins in it?”

As long as their corporations make a good profit, that wouldn’t matter to them one little bit.

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Comment by Elanor
2011-04-07 11:24:59

Only if they had homes on said river, I suppose.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 14:51:19

Rental of personal?

…and which part of the river they lived on. I would guess “upstream.”

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 16:56:11

Why they are subversive is because they…because they… systematically

…found a way to make million of dollar$ $ingle depo$it tran$action$ regularly, without $elling real e$tate. ;-)

Rash Limpbaughs / Glenbeckinstan

“Blah, blah, blah, …we care, we care about YOU! & America! we really, really do! Honest injun!

BWAHAHAHicHAHAHicHAHAHAHAHicHAHAHic* (DennisN™)

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2011-04-07 08:59:41

Real estate billionaire, now not so much:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/us_billionaire_s_bankruptcy

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 14:54:31

Now where did I leave that violin? It’s so small I keep misplacing it. :lol:

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-07 09:27:52

Prices are low! Mortgages cheap! But you can’t get one

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) — Yep, mortgage interest rates are low, but there’s a catch: It doesn’t matter how cheap rates are if you can’t get a loan.

And these days, only highly qualified borrowers can get financing — let alone the best rates.

Nearly a quarter of people who apply for loans are turned down, according to the Federal Reserve.

“Good borrowers with one or two blemishes on their credit are being denied credit,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors.

The denial rates tell only half the story. Many potential buyers aren’t even applying for loans because they assume they can’t get one.

“A lot of people know it’s very difficult to get a mortgage and they’re not even trying,” said Alan Rosenbaum, CEO of GuardHill Financial, a New York-based mortgage broker.
Who’s buying homes? The rich

That shows up in credit scores for loans financed with backing from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The average credit score has risen to 760 from 720 a few years ago. For FHA loans, the average score has gone to 700 from 660. Loans made to borrowers with sub-620 scores are almost nonexistent.

Another factor keeping people out of the mortgage market is that lenders now require much more up-front cash. The median down payment for purchase is about 15%. During the housing boom, it approached zero.

On most loans, banks want 20% down. On $200,000 purchases, that’s $40,000, an insurmountable obstacle for many young house hunters. Or, in New York City, where the median home price is $800,000, buyers need $160,000 up front.

Industry insiders say all these factors have reduced the pool of buyers, lowering demand for homes and hurting prices.

“We feel it really reduces the demand for houses,” said Mike D’Alonzo, president of the National Association of Mortgage Brokers. “It’s an unbelievable buyer’s market, but there hasn’t been as much activity as you would expect because not as many people qualify for loans.”

Comment by cactus
2011-04-07 12:56:42

“It’s an unbelievable buyer’s market, ”

he’s anchoring to the peak prices not the big picture. All realturds say this .

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-07 09:37:57

US Going Same Route as Greece, Portugal: Economist
7 Apr 2011 | By: Lisa Auret Assistant Producer, CNBC

The US is going down a similar road as that taken by Greece and Portugal with regard to its budget decisions, John E. Silvia, chief economist at Wells Fargo, said on Wednesday.

“To me—being in Europe for a few days—the plot in Greece and Portugal sounds an awful lot like the same plot that’s going on in the United States. But the characters have different names,” he said.

As the deadline for a budget agreement looms in Congress, Silvia told CNBC that the US must recognize that the moderate economic growth forecast by most economists for the country will fail to generate the tax revenue necessary to fund long-running government entitlement spending.

“We have to make some arrangements in terms of cutting back the promises that were made by prior politicians for these entitlements,” Silvia said.

“(We’ve had) forty years of political promises to give people certain entitlements, certain benefits. And we’ve now come to understand that the United States is in a very difficult position than it was in the early post-World War II period. We’re not the dominant economy. And our pace of growth has moderated. Our ability to finance this is all limited.”

Republicans and Democrats are at loggerheads over how to fund the federal government for the final six months of the 2011 fiscal year.

If no decision is made by midnight on Friday, a government shutdown will take place.

“It basically comes down to: Can the Democrats give a little bit in terms of spending over a longer-term time period?” said Silvia, who previously was a senior economist for the US Senate Joint Economic Committee.

Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-07 09:52:26

“It basically comes down to: Can the Democrats give a little bit in terms of spending over a longer-term time period?”

Can the Republicans sacrifice some of their sacred cows? Or will only the little people have to suffer to balance the budget?

I think we already know the answer to that one.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-07 20:12:53

Like end the tax cuts for the rich? Impossible!

 
 
Comment by butters
2011-04-07 09:54:21

Valid points, one more thing Silva, does that mean will company like yours stop sucking on grandma’s t***** for a change?

 
Comment by Al
2011-04-07 12:04:25

“To me—being in Europe for a few days—the plot in Greece and Portugal sounds an awful lot like the same plot that’s going on in the United States. But the characters have different names,” he said.”

Not really the same at all. Europe was struggling with austerity measures; real cuts. In the US it’s political posturing over a symbolic gesture for the bond market.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 14:57:50

The Democrats?! Nope. no spin here folks.

Never mind the HUGE (billions if not trillions) tax breaks the Repubs like to give big business while taking away any help to J6P.

 
 
Comment by eastcoaster
2011-04-07 10:17:51

Just to touch on the discussion yesterday about young people buying homes. You know? I don’t agree with the whole, “Well shouldn’t a young couple who want to have a family be able to buy?” Sure they should. If they make enough money and are responsible with it. Otherwise, they’re no more entitled than a middle-aged single person who blows through savings and lives paycheck-to-paycheck. Again, I think prices are still too high, but I do not think just because someone decides at age 25 to get married and start a family that they automatically qualify as someone who is deserving of a house.

If and when they can save up a downpayment (and, ideally, have some reserves). AND…can continue to put money away even while paying a mortgage/taxes/utilities/maintenance. Then, sure, have at it. Took me to age 44 to do it. Granted, a housing bubble cramped my style in my 30s, but that just gave me another decade to work for a better salary and save up 25% downpayment.

Comment by drumminj
2011-04-07 10:41:18

“Well shouldn’t a young couple who want to have a family be able to buy?” Sure they should. If they make enough money and are responsible with it. Otherwise, they’re no more entitled than a middle-aged single person who blows through savings and lives paycheck-to-paycheck.

Agreed. There seems to be all kinds of rationalizations for giving people preferential treatment (with taxpayer monies) based on their life choices. IMO none of these are valid.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 11:03:21

If they make enough money

Some call it “higher living” standards, some others,…not so much:

Old School “Reality”:
x1 wage earner + x1 homemaker + 1-2-3+ kids =

small “home” / home cooked food / non-private ed-u-kayshun…occasion family vacation. (inflate the truck-tire float tube at the local service station.)

New School “Reality”:
x2 wage earners + 1-2 kids + x1 before-afterschool lowcost care-giver =

$200,000++++ 2900+++sf “home” / 5min instant food (served on granite island tabletop) / private-(preferred) ed-u-kayshun (w/tax deduction) …x2 yearly vacations w/airline tickets & iphones + ipads + rental jet-ski.

What Happened? Who changed the “Template”?

Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-07 11:15:49

FWIW, lots of 2 (or more) income households don’t quite live like this, especially if they don’t work in Corporate America’s cubicle farm.

 
Comment by Elanor
2011-04-07 11:35:12

That reminds me of visiting my husband’s overextended cousin, his wife and kids in their new McMansion in Joisey a number of years back. The wife proudly told us they had spent $40,000 furnishing their home. When she started describing their plans to add a kitchen island, I couldn’t stop myself from blurting out “what for? You never cook!”

In retrospect, that was likely the beginning of the end of our relationship with them. The final blow came when the cousin lost his job a week after the lavish ($60,000 reportedly) bar mitzvah for their oldest, and he called us begging for money. He already owed us for a failed business start-up we had ‘invested’ in, so I told my husband we would loan him more over my dead body.

Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-04-07 13:03:58

If someone borrows money from me, I don’t nag them about it. I just look at it as the price of education.

Unless of course, they want to borrow money from me again. In which case, I pointedly remind them about my previous loan, and tell them they can go pound sand.

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Comment by Elanor
2011-04-07 13:29:19

Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice….we won’t get fooled again.

One of my favorite W quotes, LOL.

 
 
Comment by Awaiting
2011-04-07 14:17:21

Elanor
You my dear are a great storyteller. I truly enjoyed your tale.
husband’s overextended cousin, & his wife:
I can tell the rocks in his head, fits the holes in hers.

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Comment by Elanor
2011-04-07 14:33:21

Glad you got a chuckle out of my dysfunctional family tale, Awaiting! :D

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 22:54:02

“…dysfunctional family…”

Every family is dysfunctional in its own way. (Sorry, Leo!)

 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-07 14:37:40

The final blow came when the cousin lost his job a week after the lavish ($60,000 reportedly) bar mitzvah for their oldest, and he called us begging for money.

Let me guess: The cousin’s boss and coworkers got tired of hearing about all of the bar mitzvah plans, and then, after the event, the stories about *everything* that happened. So, the boss canned the cousin and cheers erupted throughout the workplace.

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Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 15:01:53

If you have to spend 40K remodeling a house, you’ve done something wrong. Very wrong. :lol:

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Comment by Elanor
2011-04-08 07:27:46

Not remodeling. Furnishing! $40k on furniture, egad.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 22:52:06

‘…blurting out “what for? You never cook!”’

My kind of blurting!

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Comment by CrackerJim
2011-04-07 11:41:54

What private education comes with a tax deduction?

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 16:45:07

Ask ‘em what they did with their ATM equity loan disbursement.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 22:59:01

One that generates an investment loss?

Experience keeps a dear school, but fools will learn in no other.

- Benjamin Franklin

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 10:32:41

Crony capitalism strikes again
Commentary: The Federal Reserve juices speculators
April 6, 2011,

GREENWICH, Conn. (MarketWatch) — Someone has to stop the Federal Reserve before it crushes what remains of America’s Main Street economy.

In the last few weeks alone, it launched two more financial sector pumping operations which will harm the real economy, even as these actions juice Wall Street’s speculative humors.

First, joining the central banking cartels’ market rigging operation in support of the yen, the Fed helped bail-out carry traders from a savage short-covering squeeze. Then, green lighting the big banks for another go-round of the dividend and share-buyback scam, it handsomely rewarded options traders who had been front-running this announcement for weeks.

Indeed, this sort of action is so blatant that the Fed might as well just look for a financial vein in the vicinity of 200 West St., and proceed straight-away to mainline the trading desks located there. ….

Comment by salinasron
2011-04-07 11:33:59

I see the big news story this am is the school mass shooting in Rio. I guess things are the same all over.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 11:53:05

I see the big news story this am is the school mass shooting in Rio. I guess things are the same all over.

This is shocking to Brazilians because this is very rare here as are serial killers.

And it’s very difficult to buy handguns legally but I could buy one pretty easily illegally. (but I won’t)

I want to know if those guns he bought were purchased at a gun shop. I doubt it.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2011-04-07 12:34:51

Are you any less dead if you are shot with an illegal handgun? If illegal guns are easy to obtain seems like it would be better if legal arms were available to law abiding citizens.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 14:26:50

If illegal guns are easy to obtain seems like it would be better if legal arms were available to law abiding citizens.

I agree.

 
 
 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2011-04-07 12:44:21

Actually according to the U.S state department quite a bit worse:

CRIME: Crime throughout Brazil has reached very high levels. Brazilian police and media report that the crime rate continues to rise, especially in the major urban centers – though it is also spreading in rural areas. Brazil’s murder rate is more than four times higher than that of the U.S. Rates for other crimes are similarly high. The majority of crimes are not solved.

Meanwhile no looting in Japan. I just cannot come up with a PC answer.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 12:54:13

Crime throughout Brazil has reached very high levels.

Brazil has tons of murders and crime. They get a lot of practice. They are really good at it. You missed the point though.

They just don’t have a lot of mass killings (like killing 13 at a school) and serial killers. They don’t have much of those types of crime.

And everyone in the Rio nice neighborhoods talks about how much safer it is now compared to 10 years ago. It for sure isn’t Mayberry though.

The slums? The one’s that the cops have taken over are way better now. The 90% left to go, not so much.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2011-04-07 13:30:22

I understood you Rio. I was really posting the crime numbers for the comment about being the same all over. What you describe is also true in the U.S. the mass killings tend to be in burbs while the high crime rates are in the inner cities.

 
 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-04-07 13:07:34

Remember, this is the US Government talking. And we all know how accurate, unmassaged, and unbiased their “facts” are.

Is it not just as likely that they are trying to preempt a mass exodus of the “best and brightest?”

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Comment by clark
2011-04-07 16:29:19

Albuquerquedan said, Meanwhile no looting in Japan. I just cannot come up with a PC answer.

I read a comment somewhere, along the lines that the Mafia is respected and influential over there, goods are dropped off outside a storefront and sit all night and no one dares to touch it for fear of the repercussions from the Mafia.

I guess that’s a form of conditioning that might explain things a bit?

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Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 15:05:11

You have problem with Corporate Communist Capitalism©®™, comrade?

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 10:57:29

It’s not a promising sign for compromise if the leaders can’t even agree where they disagree with 36 hours to go before the deadline…

On Budget, Leaders Disagree on Where Disagreements Lie
By MICHAEL D. SHEAR
Published: April 7, 2011

WASHINGTON — Ideological disputes over abortion financing and changes to the nation’s clean air laws have become major obstacles to a deal on the federal budget, making a government shutdown more likely when the current stopgap budget resolution runs out on Friday. Republicans insist that the negotiators are also divided over how deeply to slash spending.

John A. Boehner, Republican of Ohio, the speaker of the House, and Harry Reid, Democrat of Nevada, the Senate majority leader, were headed back to the White House on Thursday afternoon for a second session with President Obama on the budget. But remarks by both lawmakers before the meeting suggested that compromise would be elusive, with just over 36 hours before the deadline.

Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-04-07 13:17:05

The Repubs thought of the Tea Party as being “useful idiots”.

Now the Tea Party basically owns the Republican Party. And the Tea Partiers all think it’s preferable to blow things up than to compromise. Their way, or the highway.

My personal situation can’t get much more fooked up than it currently is, so it doesn’t make much difference to me. They are fighting to continue tax breaks for the rich, and making everyone else pay for them.

Let them shut down the government for 6 months, and let them own the results.

Comment by clark
2011-04-07 16:34:22

The news headlines always make it seem like the amount they disagree on is Huge, when it is not.

How Can Anyone Take This Seriously?

These clowns are all fighting over about 2% of the deficit.

http://www.independent.org/blog/index.php?p=10093

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 18:57:55

“These clowns are all fighting over about 2% of the deficit.”

No kidding. Just wait until they try to find common ground on that other 98%. You ain’t seen nothin’ yet.

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Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-04-07 21:03:27

It’s not about the deficit. It is a power struggle.

The Republicans have controlled the government in spite of being in the minority. God help us if they gain a super majority in the Senate and take the White House in the next election.

Ryan’s proposal’s for restructuring Medicare is the first step. They will promise the over 55 set that their Medicare will remain in place, but they will drop payments to providers to the point that no doctor or hospital will see Medicare patients. Medicaid has already seen this.

In 10 years, only the healthiest and the luckiest of the old or poor will remain.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 22:50:33

“God help us if they gain a super majority in the Senate and take the White House in the next election.”

For Heaven’s sake, we haven’t had a sufficient chance to recover from the wreckage left behind by Shrub-Cheney. Another Republican presidency is all it would take to wreck the country for good.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by edgewaterjohn
2011-04-07 11:09:39

Mission Accomplished or just another case of “a closely watch pot never boils”?

Bears Give Up: Biggest Switch in Sentiment in 7 Years
CNBC Thursday April 7, 2011

The number of investors with a bearish outlook plunged by more than a third in one week according to a widely followed investor survey released Wednesday, the largest amount of bears to throw in the towel in this poll since 2003.

Comment by WT Economist
2011-04-07 11:20:41

So stock prices are high enough that people want to buy them now?

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 12:13:32

They are going up fast enough so people want to buy them now. And of course, everyone knows the stock market always goes up.

 
 
 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-07 11:21:54

Realtors Are Liars

 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-07 11:38:08

Shut the damn gubmint down! I know it won’t happen but am damn sure pulling for it. Oh why,oh why can’t we just compromise, hold hands and kiss and make up? Keep voting for the same system America, screw the Constitution it’s really been working out very well so far.

~ The Washington Times 4-7-11

The White House has vowed to veto the short-term spending bill House Republicans will vote on this afternoon, taking away the safety net that could have given both sides another week to avert a government shutdown.

Without a short-term extension, the options would be narrowed to either a broad successful deal or a shutdown as of midnight Friday.

“If presented with this bill, the president will veto it,” the White House said in an official statement of policy.

The House bill would extend the shutdown deadline by another week, to April 15, while funding defense needs for the rest of this year so that troops’ paychecks would not be endangered by a shutdown.

Meanwhile, negotiations on a broader year-long bill appeared to be foundering.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid on Thursday morning said it now “looks like it’s headed in that direction” when current funding runs out at midnight Friday.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 11:52:50

“I know it won’t happen but am damn sure pulling for it.”

What makes you so sure?

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2011-04-07 12:13:22

If the President votes a bill with money for military pay, how is he going to blame the Republicans for denying them pay while they are at war since it is his action that resulted in them not getting paid? Quite the logical problem.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2011-04-07 12:27:47

BTW, I don’t think that cutting $60+ billion out of a $3.6 trillion dollar budget is draconian. Here is how I think the cuts should work: (1) the democrats should propose 60+ billion in cuts as a counter proposal. (2) if the cuts are identical to the Republicans then that is what is passed. However, if they are different and cannot agree to a modification then both the Republicans and the Democratic cuts are passed and we have $120 billion in cuts. This would give them an incentive to agree on $60 billion in cuts since you know they really just want to cut each others’ programs.

This is opposite from how Washington has bankrupted us by voting for each others pet projects and calling it “being bipartisan”.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 12:42:03

if they are different and cannot agree to a modification then both the Republicans and the Democratic cuts are passed and we have $120 billion in cuts. This would give them an incentive to agree on $60 billion in cuts since you know they really just want to cut each others’ programs.

Good idea except that much of the Republican cuts are ideological in nature and affect certain programs they hate in a large way.

What programs that the Democrats are ideologically against could they cut and affect in a large way? If there aren’t any, the Republicans would have no motivation to compromise on the 60 billion cut.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 12:46:36

much of the Republican cuts are ideological in nature and affect certain programs they hate in a large way.

Rather:

much of the Republican cuts are ideological in nature and affect (in a large way) certain programs that they hate.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-07 11:40:28

Crude at $175? Oil traders stress test the future
~ Financial Times : April 7 2011 09:39 |

Oil at $175 a barrel; copper at $12,000 a tonne and corn at $10 a bushel. As commodity prices rally, the world’s largest trading houses have been busy ‘stress testing’ to be sure their finances can withstand a “super spike”.

The levels are not a forecast – indeed, executives tell me they do not expect such hefty prices – but do signal a “worse case scenario” for which oil, metals and food commodities traders need to prepare.

“Can we reach $175? I don’t think so,” says a trading executive. “But there is a chance of a spike to that level for one or two days if something happens in Saudi Arabia.” The same reasoning justifies tests for copper at $12,000 a tonne (think of an accident at a big mine in Chile) or corn at $10 a bushel, which could, for example, be caused by bad weather during the US planting season in May and June.

The stress tests have become more common at the physical trading houses in London, Geneva and Singapore. There is reason for it. Contrary to popular wisdom, high commodities prices are bad for pure traders: they consume lots of capital as houses need to finance their cargoes and post more collateral with exchanges for their hedges, leading to a decline in returns.

Take oil: when prices were around $50 a barrel in 2009, traders needed just $100m of capital to finance a supertanker. At current prices, they need about $250m. Not surprisingly, trading houses are now on the capital market raising multibillion dollar one- year and three-year credit lines.

Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-04-07 13:26:34

Saw a report that the storage tanks in Cushing are all about maxed out, the USA is currently swimming in oil, and demand is dropping now that the price is hitting $4.00 nationally.

August 2008, part Deaux coming soon………..

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 15:09:43

While daytime traffic hasn’t seemed to have decreased much, nighttime traffic has dropped way off in my area.

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 11:51:26

Poor playing conditions favor the weakest player. And scorched earth tactics favor the loosing army.

Tea Party: Bring on a government shutdown
April 06, 2011|By Tom Cohen, CNN

To the Tea Party movement that helped fuel Republican electoral success last November, a promise is a promise.

So when it became clear last month that House Speaker John Boehner, a conservative GOP hero, was willing to accept far smaller spending cuts for the rest of the current fiscal year than what Republicans pledged in the 2010 election campaign, the Tea Party reaction was both swift and decisive.

Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-04-07 13:30:36

Republicans = Chuck Finley

Tea Party = Tawny Kitaen

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2011-04-07 14:05:17

Is Jon Stewart dating the tea party?

Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-04-07 14:58:26

John Stewart and the Democrats probably get down on their knees and thank God every night for the Tea Partiers….or as I saw them called the other day, the “Teahadis”

Maybe I’m biased against them by the fact that all the ones I personally know think all the problems we have can be solved, if government just went away.

Or worse, they want to lord it up in a Somalia type world, because they think all those candy azz Democrats won’t get guns too.

They’ve been reading too many gun show bumper stickers.

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Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 15:14:17

I didn’t before and I still don’t have any respect for the Tea Farty. They are a joke. A bad one.

The only saving grace is that the Repubs thought they would swallow them only to find out is was a poison pills. :lol:

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 11:57:41

Oh the humanity!

Warning of housing fallout

A shutdown could have a devastating impact on the housing market and homeowners, says the secretary of Housing and Urban Development.

April 7, 2011, 1:08 p.m. EDT
HUD chief warns of housing fallout from shutdown
Donovan also cautions on recent direction of U.S. market
By Kate Shepherd

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — A shutdown of the federal government could have a serious and negative impact on the nation’s housing market and homeowners, a top Obama administration official said Thursday.

Shaun Donovan, secretary of the Department of Housing and Urban Development, told a Senate subcommittee that the Federal Housing Administration could not endorse more loans during a shutdown, adding that this might induce a loss of confidence in the lending community.

“This is the worst time that we could introduce that uncertainty into this fragile housing market,” Donovan said.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 15:15:42

HUD, the other white meat… of corruption.

If he’s worried, then it’s a good thing!

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 12:12:23

Excluding used home sellers, bankers, and politicians, people are honest.

April 7, 2011, 12:47 p.m. EDT
Home prices fall for seventh month in February
Excluding distressed homes, there are signs of stability: economist
By Alistair Barr, MarketWatch

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Home prices fell for a seventh straight month in February as a wave of distressed properties continued to wash over the U.S. market, real-estate data company CoreLogic Inc. said Thursday.

CoreLogic’s national home price index dropped 6.7% in February, versus the same month a year earlier. The decline was bigger than the January index reading, which was 5.5% lower than a year ago.

More than three years since house prices began to collapse in the U.S., the market is still struggling to absorb millions of properties that are in foreclosure or other stages of distress. In January, CoreLogic estimated there were 1.8 million residential units lingering in the shadows of the market. Read about shadow inventory here.

Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-04-07 13:37:23

Corrected Headline:

“Excluding the 99% of the country not inside the Beltway, or within a 50 mile radius of Wall Street, there are signs of stability”

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2011-04-07 13:43:59

It is the 99% of bankers, real estate agents and lawyers that give the other 1% a bad name.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 15:17:52

Dammit! Now I need a new keyboard! :lol:

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Comment by Montana
2011-04-07 14:28:34

OMG, I hope they don’t shut down HUD!!

 
 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2011-04-07 12:23:16

Comment by drumminj

2011-04-06 10:53:30

Wouldn’t you need some sort of system to pump the water? I’m not quite sure I understand how your system would work. Would the solar array be powering a heater, or would you simply get the water to the roof to be warmed by the sun?

Yep, you do need a pump to push one tank-load of water up to the roof, when the temperature sensor on the collector shows that there is some usable gain to be had. You do use electricity to send the water up, but that is a brief operation. Then, the water circulates through the collector and a tank for free, via thermosiphon. When a goal temperature has been reach, or the sensor indicates that there is no more gain to be had, a valve opens and the water drains down to the storage tank via gravity. In other words, the only energy consumed was pumping it up to the roof to begin with.

Heating water directly in a passive collector is quite efficient. Heating it via an electric heater driven by a PV panel would be MUCH less efficient.

Comment by MrBubble
2011-04-07 13:14:19

“Heating water directly in a passive collector is quite efficient.”

These efficient little suckers are all over the place in Perth. But it doesn’t have to be that sunny and warm to make it work!

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 15:19:50

Direct solar water heating is so damn efficient it’s unreal.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 21:06:57

Direct solar water heating is so damn efficient it’s unreal.

I wish I would have done it in my house in Rio but…..it’s so damn hot here we don’t use too much hot water. I didn’t even need to plumb it to my bathroom sinks really.

 
 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-07 17:19:09

Resistance coil heating is 100% efficient BTW.

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2011-04-07 17:43:12

At the site of the resistance coil, yes.

When you factor in transmissions losses to get the electricity from where it is produced to the resistance coil, no.

If you were referring to using PV panels to drive a coil, transmission losses would be very low (due to closeness) but the efficiency of the PV panel is still quite low relative to a water-heating collector.

Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-07 18:32:05

It’s useful info to determine the cheapest BTU’s as compared to fuel oil, compressed gas, etc.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 12:34:36

Apr 07, 2011
Obama, lawmakers fail to agree on budget, but meet again tonight
02:48 PM
By David Jackson, USA TODAY

Only one day before a possible government shutdown, President Obama and congressional leaders failed to reach a budget agreement this afternoon as each party blamed the other for the impasse — though they also pledged to meet again tonight.

“We’re continuing to work for an agreement … but we’re not there yet,” said House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, after an Oval Office meeting with Obama and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nevada.

Reid said he is “disappointed” a deal hasn’t been reached, but “I am pleased we are still working on getting there.”

Obama, Boehner, Reid agreed to meet again tonight at 7.

The White House has not commented since today’s talks broke up.

This afternoon’s negotiating session — the third in three days involving Obama, Boehner, and Reid — came after the two congressional leaders said they were less optimistic about an agreement than they were after an 84-minute get-together on Wednesday night.

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2011-04-07 13:55:32

Waaaaaaait a second. Are they just milking this thing so they can have more of those, “meetings over a beer”?

Who was it that had the O’douls?

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 14:22:12

Pretty sure it was not Harry Reid…

 
 
 
Comment by cactus
2011-04-07 13:00:29

Time to sell ?

The number of investors with a bearish outlook plunged by more than a third in one week according to a widely followed investor survey released Wednesday, the largest amount of bears to throw in the towel in this poll since 2003.

The survey ending April 5 came as the indomitable Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow Jones Global Indexes: .DJIA) touched its highest intraday point since the two-year bull market began.

Middle East turmoil, an Irish bailout, fears of a municipal bond crisis, a nuclear disaster in Japan and an impending end to the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing has failed to keep the market down this year. And the bears are simply done fighting the tape.”

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 15:21:46

Remind me how speculation without solid underlying fundamentals turns out, again?

 
 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2011-04-07 13:24:50

How much would you be willing to pay to rent 90 sq ft of living space?

Simple life in Manhattan: A 90-square-foot home

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 14:20:32

I’d be willing to pay the price of never living in Manhattan.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 15:25:19

+ a zillion

To live like that is the kind of stupid you can’t fix.

 
 
Comment by Montana
2011-04-07 14:33:51

wonder if she knows about that dude in her room at :32

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 14:42:42

lol

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 15:26:25

The new hovel.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 16:40:29

“…when I go home now, I go in the closet just to feel like I’m back in New York”

When I was youngin’ waayyyyyyyyyyyyyyy back say,… 1971, this statement would have meant that a certain “subject” hadn’t been breached with her parents. :-)

 
 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2011-04-07 13:41:37

U.S. is considering ground troops for Libya and more than a week after Obama said that U.S. air strikes would end they continue. The link is on Drudge.

I think I will watch Obermann and Beck tonight because I know they will call Obama on this. Wait, never mind.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2011-04-07 13:52:13

Another link about the Whitehouse low balling the war expenses. I am shocked:
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/apr/7/democrat-white-house-low-balling-costs-libya-missi/

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-07 14:40:38

ISTR the Bush Administration doing the same thing following the invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan. Reality really bit the Bushies pretty hard.

Comment by drumminj
2011-04-07 15:55:06

ISTR the Bush Administration doing the same thing following the invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan

two wrongs don’t make a right, do they?

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Comment by MrBubble
2011-04-07 16:12:35

AZ Slim —

Is drumminj correct in the assumption that you are saying two wrongs make a right or simply that the Obama administration should take care because “look how it bit” the preceeding administration?

Regardless, there is certainly enough Charlie Foxtrot to go around…

MrBubble

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-07 19:01:01

Is drumminj correct in the assumption that you are saying two wrongs make a right or simply that the Obama administration should take care because “look how it bit” the preceeding administration?

Thanks for pointing this out. Upon re-read, it’s very possible I mis-interpreted Slim’s post. At this point I’ve been conditioned to expect the “repubs are evil and bush is the devil” attitude here, and I unfairly judged the intent of the comment.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 21:11:07

At this point I’ve been conditioned to expect the “repubs are evil and bush is the devil” attitude here,

By whom drumminj?……..

 
 
 
Comment by rms
2011-04-07 17:03:58

“Another link about the Whitehouse low balling the war expenses. I am shocked:”

These are holy wars, crusades in “fly-over” country vernacular, designed to enhance Israel’s security in the region. I wouldn’t count on any middle-east defense cuts in the near future either.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-07 15:29:08

How may wars until it’s World War?

Comment by liz pendens
2011-04-07 17:39:52

Good question. And do non-wars count?

 
 
 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2011-04-07 14:35:41

Don’t worry Spain is contained:
http://www.heraldtribune.com/article/20110407/APF/1104070626

Don’t believe it, they are toast and when they go it will hit the market like Greece on steroids.

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-04-07 14:50:26

You can wax poetic about the Cherry Blossoms all you want, but springtime out here is marked by the emergence of the dandelions and the Harleys with straight pipes……

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-07 15:03:03

And here in Tucson, the big joy-fest is all about the mesquite trees. They have leaves again - woo-hoo!

The backstory: In early February, there was a hard freeze. After the weather warmed up again, the local mesquites had a real stress-tizzy and dropped all their leaves. Including the one in my front yard, and that tree has usually had a tight grip on its leaves.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-07 15:03:12

I know. The limpwristed are donning their costumes and assembling in to their groups that look like the Village People.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-07 16:00:25

Do they have musical talent? If so, I’d like to hear an updated version of “YMCA.”

 
 
Comment by liz pendens
2011-04-07 17:43:19

Harley posers are now referred to as “fags”, no longer will the term be used for gay people. That is what I watched on South Park.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-07 21:12:41

but springtime out here

Here, for me, thank goodness the summer is over.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 14:52:19

* POLITICS
* APRIL 7, 2011, 5:09 P.M. ET

Lawmakers May Still Get Paid in a Shutdown
By DEVLIN BARRETT And NEIL KING JR.

WASHINGTON—About 800,000 federal workers would be sent home without pay if Congress fails to negotiate a budget deal by Friday night. But whether lawmakers would require themselves to take the same medicine is unclear.

Under House rules, lawmakers have the authority to determine who on their staffs would remain at work as “essential” employees and who would be furloughed during a shutdown.

Lawmakers would continue to get paid during a shutdown, unless the full Congress voted otherwise. Both the House and Senate have voted to suspend their own pay during a shutdown, but as part of legislation that has not passed the other chamber.

 
Comment by Patrick
2011-04-07 17:14:37

RioAmerican
I always enjoy your comments and agree with you regarding offshore corporations. They are not repatriating their funds as corps are holding unto their cash so that they can get a 5% rate instead of 35%. Yech.

Very ominous right now. Dow volumes about 75% of normal. But mutual funds (and pension funds) are almost day trading. Fewer trades but larger individual lots and rolling over quickly.

Almost as if the insiders know the Dow is on limited training wheels.

They continue to gamble even at the last minute !

Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-07 18:35:40

Hello Patrick. I enjoy your daily links. Thanks.

Realtors Are Liars

 
 
Comment by Muggy
2011-04-07 18:58:10

I emailed my LL and said we can’t afford a rent increase, but would be willing to re-up for two years. That was a week ago…

Go get some boxes, Muggy.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 19:45:53

To figure out your maximum rent offer, calculate

Reservation Rent = Expected New Rent + Moving Cost + Aggravation Premium + Quality Differential, or alternatively,

Maximum Increase = Reservation Rent - Current Rent
= (Expected New Rent - Current Rent) + Moving Cost + Aggravation Premium + Quality Differential, where

Reservation Rent = the maximum (annual) rent you should be willing to pay your current landlord

Maximum Increase = largest increase in current annual rent you should be willing to pay

Moving Cost = your financial cost to move

Aggravation Premium = your (and your wife’s) subjective amount you would be willing to pay to avoid the hassle of moving

Expected New Rent = annual rent you expect to pay on prospective new rental unit

Quality Differential = adjustment for difference in quality of current rental versus best alternative (positive number if current rental more desirable, zero if equally desirable, negative otherwise)

It’s not as grim as it sounds, if you figure out the comparable calculation the landlord must do to figure in the cost of filling a vacant place with tenants who are as dependable as you are with paying the rent, not tearing up the place, etc, but this at least determines your BATNA.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 19:25:18

What to do with Fannie and Freddie
Marketplace, Thursday, April 7, 2011

Economics professor Lawrence White discusses the problem with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and what ought to be done with the mortgage giants.

Moon: Well Democrats and Republicans both say this is an important part of the American Dream. Fannie Mae’s slogan for a time was, “We’re building the American Dream.” Is it necessary to have any government involvement at all? Maybe just take them out of the equation?

White: I think there is a good story for government involvement to encourage people who would not otherwise become home owners as a way of strengthening communities. Where that idea has gone wrong is extending that help to basically everybody — middle class, upper middle class, upper class — so people who would otherwise buy anyway are just being encouraged through the subsidies to buy larger homes on bigger lots. Where’s the social benefit in that?

Moon: So if you and your colleagues have concluded that these agencies just aren’t necessary, does that mean that the consumer would not lose out if we wind them down?

White: It’s clear mortgage rates would be a little bit higher — a quarter percentage point than they otherwise would be. Grass is not going to grow in the streets of America over a quarter of a percentage point differential. It would be only a modest effect, but we would have a more robust mortgage system where the private sector is there doing what it does best. We could get innovation that way, and we wouldn’t have the government having to absorb the large losses at the moment — $150 billion so far lost, and at least $200 billion in aggregate, possibly as much as $400 billion.

Moon: Lawrence White is a professor of economics at New York University. Thanks for joining us.

White: Thank you.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 22:41:16

“We could get innovation that way, and we wouldn’t have the government having to absorb the large losses at the moment — $150 billion so far lost, and at least $200 billion in aggregate, possibly as much as $400 billion.”

Can someone kindly remind me once again why the government is so eager to absorb $150 billion (soon-to-be $400 billion) in investor losses sustained by the formerly private GSEs? How does that action serve to help bridge the $60-or-so billion dollar budget gap that has pushed the government to the brink of a shutdown?

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 19:26:27

Can’t pay your mortgage? Get your house painted as a billboard

* Posted by Bob Moon
* on April 6, 2011 12:37 PM

If you’re looking for a sure way to alienate your neighbors, a fledgling advertising firm based in Southern California just launched this promotional offer: AdZookie.com says it’ll pay your mortgage for up to a year, if only you’ll agree have your home painted — as a massive billboard.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 20:16:49

Got vacant homes?

Posted: Thursday, April 7, 2011 5:45 pm
| Updated: 7:53 pm, Thu Apr 7, 2011.
Just How Empty Are Mission Valley’s Homes?
by Adrian Florido

Mission Valley was one of San Diego’s fastest growing communities during the last decade, as developers built more than 2,000 new homes there.

Though building slowed with the housing crash, construction has started again. A massive development, Civita, will build close to 5,000 new homes in Mission Valley in the next decade. The first 500 apartments and condominiums are scheduled to be done by early next year.

But as construction moves forward, U.S. Census data released last month appears to offer a reason to pause: Mission Valley had one of the highest vacancy rates in San Diego last year. About 12 percent of homes in the neighborhood’s core, many built in the last decade, were vacant. The citywide average, the Census found, was 6.4 percent.

Real estate analysts, consultants and developers have summarily dismissed that number, saying their own data show a vacancy rate more in line with the city average, and have shrugged off the possibility that the new data could fuel further criticism of the Civita project — formerly called Quarry Falls — as premature.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-07 21:12:49

The first 500 apartments and condominiums are scheduled to be done by early next year.

About 12 percent of homes in the neighborhood’s core, many built in the last decade, were vacant

Building New:
Apts /Condo

12% Vacant:
Homes

Bugs: “eh, hey Doc, do apples always taste like oranges?” ;-)

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 22:35:43

PM traders are expressing their extreme skepticism over the Fed’s resolve to contain future inflation.

Gold surges to record on euro, silver hits 31-year top
SINGAPORE | Fri Apr 8, 2011 1:05am EDT

(Reuters) - Gold struck another record high on Friday as the dollar weakened against the euro, while silver hit a 31-year high after ETF holdings jumped to an all time high on inflation worries driven by a surge in oil prices.

A strong aftershock in Japan initially put pressure on gold on Thursday, but investors have turned their attention to the prospect of more declines in the dollar following the European Central Bank’s first rate hike since 2008.

Spot gold rose as high as $1,465.95 an ounce, a record high, with an increase in SDPR holdings offering additional support.

“Maybe there is some dollar-related buying because it’s weakening. People see the ETF increasing a bit, so they want to buy some gold,” said Ronald Leung, director of Lee Cheong Gold Dealers in Hong Kong.

“There’s a small amount of physical buying. Jewelers are covering short, but it’s a very small amount. Everybody is looking for a new high, maybe $1,500 or $1,600.”

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-07 22:47:54

The contorted expression on Boehner’s face in this photo seems like a major hint that no deal is in the works.

Can anyone who thinks they understand please explain why Social Security benefits would continue flowing in the event of a government shutdown. Are Social Security retirees considered essential government personnel?

The Boston Globe
Nation girds for a shutdown

Gulf remains as budget talks press on; workers warned furloughs imminent

Senate majority leader Harry Reid and House Speaker John Boehner shuttled between the White House and Congress throughout the day, but failed to reach a deal. Senate majority leader Harry Reid and House Speaker John Boehner shuttled between the White House and Congress throughout the day, but failed to reach a deal. (Pablo Martinez Monsivais/ Associated Press)

By Theo Emery and Mark Arsenault
Globe Staff / April 8, 2011

WASHINGTON — The federal government began warning its scientists, park employees, tax collectors, environmental enforcers, and hundreds of thousands of other employees yesterday to prepare to be furloughed as negotiations among congressional leaders and President Obama continued to sputter, setting up a major disruption of government services at midnight tonight.

Most federal workers will not learn until today or tomorrow whether they are considered essential in the event of a shutdown. And even those required to work remain unclear on whether they will be paid.

Information trickled in yesterday from such agencies as the Interior Department on how extensive the shutdown would be and who would be out of work.

A vast majority of the department’s operations would cease, including US Geological Survey field work and oversight of the nation’s onshore oil and gas rigs. About three out of every four of the department’s 68,000 workers should expect to be stay home next week, a memo from Interior Secretary Ken Salazar said.

At the Department of Labor, just 1,650 employees out 16,099 workers would stay on the job, according to a contingency plan. In all, the Obama administration said 800,000 workers face furloughs.

Members of the Massachusetts delegation fielded dozens of calls and messages yesterday from worried constituents over whether a shutdown would immediately halt such benefits as Social Security checks or Medicare payments. It will not.

 
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