The U.S. should consider capping or cutting the popular tax deduction for mortgage interest as it prepares to debate what should replace mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the International Monetary Fund said Wednesday.
The IMF, in an analysis of housing finance systems around the world, said an Obama administration paper released earlier this year makes progress toward needed changes in the U.S. mortgage system. But the report criticized the U.S. for not tackling the popular tax deduction for mortgage interest, which the report termed “expensive and regressive.”
The U.S. government’s support of the housing market “has been pervasive but has not yielded many of the expected benefits to prospective or existing homeowners,” the report said. “It is clear that an overhaul is needed.”
“As a first step, we would very much recommend that the U.S. would at least cap the mortgage interest deductability,” said Ann-Margret Westin, an IMF senior economist and one of the authors of the housing report. She approved of the recommendation by the U.S. fiscal commission to halve the mortgage limit for deductions and to let it apply only to private residences, but the IMF said any such move would have to be undertaken over time.
…
“Private residences?” I didn’t know there were “public” residences, or do they hand out the MID for CRE?
Silly me, I thought the MID was a tax break intended to help families break the rental cycle, put down roots, foster communities, mom apple pie yada yda etcetra. Instead, it’s a tax break run amok. Somebody please put a leash on this puppy.
I think the word is being used to discriminate between “house in which the owner lives”, and “house in which a renter lives”. The implication is that renters are not as legitimate as owners, although I’m sure the person who originally made the statement is not aware of his/her own prejudices.
Renters are not subsidy-worthy, nor are owners of houses whose mortgages cost less in interest than the standard deduction net of other deductions.
Only those whose mortgage interest payments are substantially in excess of the standard deduction get to collect this form of welfare for the wealthy.
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Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 07:54:34
Renters not subsidy-worthy? I dunno, I see plenty of renters subsidized by Section 8. Now, whether or not they’re worthy of the subsidy is another issue.
Comment by polly
2011-04-08 08:53:37
A home in which a renter is living is a business and interest on the mortgage is already deductible as a business expense. It doesn’t need a special rule. Special rules are only needed to make personal expenses deductible.
Comment by michael
2011-04-08 09:14:38
…and your rent would be higher if the landlord could not deduct that interest…presumably.
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-08 21:41:33
“Section 8″
Trying again: Middle-class renters, who don’t qualify for Section 8, are not subsidy-worthy…
Yeah, anytime they let us keep our own money it’s “expensive and r
Regressive”.
What’s expensive is to have a bunch of dim witted bureaucrats taxing us to death and then funneling the money to their favorite friends, family or causes.
And another thing, who gives a rats a$$ about what the IMF thinks anyway?
Government already taxed your income when they witheld it from your paycheck. Then, when you told them that you bought a house with interest, they gave you money back to reward you for building community. That is, they took in money. Then they hand out money to homebuyers, same as they hand out money to food stamps. In any other universe this, MID would count as Government Spending.
I thought Republicans wanted to CUT government spending? They’ve been making noises about it for a while now. Well, here’s your chance. This is a GREAT place to cut evil government spending!
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.
.
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oh, I get it now, if you take in tax money and give money back to the poor or middle class, that’s “government spending.” If you take in tax money and give money back to the rich, you’re “letting them enjoy the fruits of their labor.”
Personally I am for removal of any tax deductions. But to suggest that it’s a government’s spending is laughable. The average homeowner pays much more in taxes than he or she gets it back in MI deductions.
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Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-08 06:10:41
Dude….. how is the MID not “government spending”???? Set aside the massive market distortion the MID creates and the disasterous tax policy that it is.
If it’s not revenue then it is spending. You guys who nattering endlessly about evils of “government” conveniently or more likely ignorantly exclude a very basic element called REVENUE.
Comment by Big V
2011-04-08 06:42:20
The average renter also pays more in taxes than what they get back for their mortgage interest deduction. That’s because their deduction is always $0. In other words, renters are subsidizing the taxes of owners. That is a case of the government taking from one group in order to give to another group. IMO, that is the definition of “government spending”.
Not that government spending is always bad, but I do think it’s bad in this case.
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-08 07:23:23
“The average homeowner pays much more in taxes than he or she gets it back in MI deductions.”
Your point is irrelevant, but I’m too lazy to explain why. Take a basic college economics course and get back to us.
Comment by michael
2011-04-08 11:07:25
spending only in the sense that it is a bank subsidy…indirectly though. so i would not say it is a dollar for dollar calculation.
I’m no fan of government “incentives” like MID. Still, the concept of increased taxes actually being reduced spending can’t get through with me. Square peg round hole I guess.
Unless, the concept is based upon all the money really belonging to the government in the first place……………..
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Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 06:15:40
And I have the trouble with thinking this is “increased taxes.” Say Joe bought a house last year, and got $8K back. This year, he obviously didn’t buy another house and therefore didn’t get another $8K. Did the government raise Joe’s taxes?
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-08 06:36:32
Hmmmm. If I buy a cell phone and get money back from a mail in rebate, did I pay less for the phone?
I guess it depends on attention span.
Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 06:51:31
Or another example: say you’re an airline. It costs $75 to carry the passenger and $25 to carry the bag. Do you make the ticket $75 and charge people an extra $25 for the bag? Or do make the ticket $100 and knock $25 off the price when the passenger shows he doesn’t have a bag? The end result is exactly the same. All passengers pay for themselves, and only the people with bags pay for them.
Of course government is far more complex, I’m just playing with perceptions today.
Comment by Big V
2011-04-08 07:04:08
How about we bought bought the same phone. You got a rebate, but I didn’t. Does that mean I paid for part of your phone?
Comment by Steve J
2011-04-08 08:39:43
Airline tickets are subject to tax.
Bag fees are not.
Look for that to change in the future.
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-08 09:03:16
“Does that mean I paid for part of your phone?”
yes!
(thank you)
Comment by josemanolo
2011-04-08 10:42:33
you probably did not submit the rebate claim.
“How about we bought bought the same phone. You got a rebate, but I didn’t. Does that mean I paid for part of your phone?”
Comment by michael
2011-04-08 13:15:18
as a tax person…i just care about effective rates.
if my effective thax rate is 26% and warren buffets is 10%…houston…we have a problem.
Government already taxed your income when they witheld it from your paycheck
Except for:
Sales Taxes
Property Taxes
Title and Transfer Taxes
City Taxes
County Taxes
State Taxes
Phone Taxes
Utility Taxes
Gasoline Taxes
Etc.
Your logic doesn’t seem to hold up…
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Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-08 06:41:11
Your lame effort to kill SS and Medicare aren’t working.
Find a new schtick.
Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 06:43:14
No, my logic holds up fine. Even if they took more money from you by other mechanisms, and over different times, the key issue is that the government is giving you money BACK, that they don’t have to give you back. They don’t give ME money back for the MID, because I rent. Do I feel as if my taxes have been “increased” because I rent? Not really. I feel as if the government hasn’t spent money to reward me for buying a house — yet. It’s a different angle to look at things, I admit.
To answer Skye’s point of all money belonging to the government: Well, I don’t believe “all” my money belongs to them. I would say that 20% of my money belongs to them. (or whatever the tax rate is). Now, if I give them 20%, and they choose to reward me by spending some of that 20% back on me, well I like that. But the point is that once they have everybody’s 20%, it’s up to Congress to decide where that 20% goes, whether to me or to somebody else.
If you guys can divide up where that 20% should go that makes everyone happy, there are some folks downtown that would interested in hearing from you…
the key issue is that the government is giving you money BACK
And with that you’re wrong.
You’re working under the assumption of employer withholding taxes each pay period, and no concept of deductions/filling out a W-4.
It’s very possible for an individual to claim enough deductions on their W-4 such that they don’t get any money “back” from the government. Likewise, it’s possible for one to make estimated payments quarterly instead and not get any money “back”.
A deduction is not a credit. It’s not something guaranteed to you by the gov’t, all the gov’t is giving people is the difference between taxes paid and taxes owed. That is not gov’t spending in any way.
Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 08:29:49
And you’re working under the assumption that the mortgage interest deduction is actually related to income taxes.
(waiting for Polly to smash me to pieces here…)
Say government sets up a new agency, called MID. Every December, you fill out a MID form with how much you paid in mortgage interest that year. You mail it to MID. A few weeks later, MID mails you a $$ check and a note that says “thank you for building community when you bought your house.” The amount MID sends you depends on some funny formula.
MID would have nothing to do with the IRS. It wouldn’t matter if you planned your W-4 to have not enough witholding (you pay), too much witholding (you get a refund), or perfect witholding (1040 says “0″). The IRS took your tax money and put it into the Uncle Sam kitty. MID paid you out of the same Uncle Sam kitty. (Money is fungible.) Is MID “letting you keep your money,” or is MID “government spending?”
The confusion arises when Congress uses the IRS channels as the mechanism to dole out that government spending* instead of setting up or breaking down a new agency at each time Congress thinks up a new incentive. The process is so convoluted that people look only at the net gain or loss, and declare it a tax decrease or tax hike. I’m deconvoluting the net back into its two steps — taxing in and spending out — just to make people think!
Lastly, I would argue that a tax deduction, conceptually, is exactly the same as a tax credit, only with a little “k” constant in the equation. Say I pay a tax rate of 20%. I have a tax deduction of $100. I get $100 x 0.20 = $20 back. Doesn’t that effectively amount to a tax CREDIT of $20? That is, $20 of government spending?
———–
*The issue is also convoluted because the “funny formula” used by my fictional MID agency also happens to involve your income tax bracket %. However, conceptually, it would be pretty easy to define a fixed MID formula and decouple MID from IRS entirely.
Comment by Kirisdad
2011-04-08 08:53:08
How about looking at the MID from a conservative’s point of view. The MID encourages sheeple to pull equity out of their home(because of the tax advantages)therefore, the sheeple do not have a mortgage-free home when retirement age comes. Then they become dependent on a gov’t ENTITLEMENT(SocSec). We can’t have that can we?
Comment by polly
2011-04-08 09:06:35
The concept of deductions and credits being economically equivalent to direct government spending is a long established rule for tax economists. Both create incentives to favor certain types of behavior (buying a house, giving money to charity, growing corn for ethanol, etc.) If you are talking about vast numbers of people being eligible, it is a little easier to put things in a tax deduction because most people file taxes. It is harder to get people to properly access and file a whole new form than to properly fill out a new line or section of a form they already fill out. Besides, why create a new infrastructure (people, computers, processing, rules about privacy, etc.) when one already exists?
To claim that there is a substantive difference between eliminating a deduction and direct government spending is political rhetoric.
And you’re working under the assumption that the mortgage interest deduction is actually related to income taxes.
I would say it’s far more than an assumption. The MID is a factor when computing your AGI to be used for the purposes of income taxes. So yes, it’s absolutely related. I get your hypothetical, and perhaps that’s a better solution if the goal really is community-building. But if you look at the history of the MID, that is not the case. It used to be that all interest was deductible, and as it stands it does involve the IRS.
Lastly, I would argue that a tax deduction, conceptually, is exactly the same as a tax credit, only with a little “k” constant in the equation.
That may be true assuming someone pays more in taxes than they would get with the credit. However, consider a MID of $10k on an income of $5k. Now consider a tax credit of $10k on an income of $5k. What’s the net result?
In the case of a credit, the tax”payer”(hardly) gets a $5k check from the pocket of “real” taxpayers. In the case of a deduction, it’s just a question of how much of your own money you get to keep.
Okay, a third point on the “government spending” idea. You go to the store to buy a coffee. It’s $1.50. You give the clerk $20. Is them giving you your $18.50 in change “spending” on the part of the coffee shop?
To claim that there is a substantive difference between eliminating a deduction and direct government spending is political rhetoric.
I would disagree. Perhaps if gov’t income and expenditures were in line, but given that the two are not connected, there are two fundamental differences between “government spending” and eliminating a tax deduction.
If the government spends more, what happens? Taxpayers are taxed the same. The debt goes up. And the gov’s outflows increase.
If a tax deduction is eliminated? Individuals keep a smaller % of their income, govt’s outflow stays the same, but income increases.
Your characterization seems to ignore other persons in the equation besides the gov’ts balance sheet in net.
Comment by polly
2011-04-08 09:29:54
No, drumminj. I’m not ignoring anything. You are falling prey to the idea that money you have in your pocket is somehow more important than money you could be paid for responding to an incentive in the future. Except for the time value of money (and the emotional factor of getting “extra” and the fact that once you have enough for basic needs your next dollar of income is of less marginal value than the earlier ones), they are the same.
You are falling prey to the idea that money you have in your pocket is somehow more important than money you could be paid for responding to an incentive in the future.
Please explain? The money I have in my pocket is referencing the lower tax liability, right? What is the money I could be paid for responding to an incentive in the future?
And I wouldn’t dismiss the time value of money so easily, but I have no problem ignoring it for the purposes of this discussion.
Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 11:27:49
It used to be that all interest was deductible…The MID is a factor when computing your AGI
In other words, “it used to be” that the government spent money to reward people who paid interest of any kind. Now they only spend money on people who pay interest on homes. That doesn’t change the concept that it is STILL government spending. And yes, once you use the IRS as a conduit to spend on government rewards, it’s easy to tap into other features of the IRS tax structure. However, it can easily be decoupled.
———–
In the case of a credit, the tax”payer”(hardly) gets a $5k check from the pocket of “real” taxpayers. In the case of a deduction, it’s just a question of how much of your own money you get to keep.
There you go again about “how much of your own money you get to keep.” But that said, I agree that there are two kinds of “tax credit.” There is a tax credit where the government looks at what you did, and they like it so much (say, you did solar panel research) that they spent 100% of that money back on you, or effectively gave it to you for free.* This is a “credit.” There is another tax credit where they look at what you did, they like it somewhat (say you gave to Salvation Army), so they spend 20% of that money back on you. This is a “deduction.” drummin, you can slice the semantics any way you want, but the fact remains that you paid your full taxes and they spent money back on you — separately — because they liked what you did. If it turns out that the government spends more on you than you put in in full taxes, what difference does that make in the concept?
————-
Okay, a third point on the “government spending” idea. You go to the store to buy a coffee. It’s $1.50. You give the clerk $20. Is them giving you your $18.50 in change “spending” on the part of the coffee shop?
Nope. The coffee shop doesn’t have a “right” to your $20, because they’re only selling you $1.50 of coffee. However, they do have the right to $1.50. So, let’s continue the scenario. You order $1.50 in coffee. You hand over your $20 bill. They give you $18.50 in change. Then they go to make your coffee, but you say, “Wait, I forgot, I brought my own mug.” They say, “Great! You’re eco-conscious! We like that! We’ll give you 5 cents back for the mug.” It’s a bit of a pain to open the register again, but they open it and give you a nickel. Effectively, your coffee cost $1.45, but it took two separate transactions: 1) you bought the coffee and got an $18.50 “refund,” and 2) they spent a nickel on you because you brought your own mug.
Now wouldn’t it have been easier if you had shown them your own mug when you ordered the coffee, instead of waiting until after you paid? Then they could have refunded you an $18.55 instead, and open the register only once. Of course it’s easier! That’s precisely why government rewards through the tax system, it’s one NET transaction. However, no matter what the mechanism is for payment, the coffee shop had made a separate decision to “spend” a nickel on you, to reward for bringing you own mug.
———–
*Instead of a 100% credit on the tax return, sometimes it’s easier to pay 100% directly. We just saw this happen in the Obama admin. Originally, renewable energy companies got a tax deduction, say 20%, because the tax code was the easiest way for the gov to spend 20% back on the companies. Then, Obama realized more people would do renewables if just gave away (spent) the money, and converted it to a direct grant. It’s still spending, the only difference is whether Obama was spending 20% or 100%.
Nope. The coffee shop doesn’t have a “right” to your $20, because they’re only selling you $1.50 of coffee.
This has become a ridiculous argument about semantics. You seem to imply here that the coffee shop doesn’t have a right to your money, but the gov’t does. That makes it clear.
If taking money from an individual and then giving some of it back to them is considered “spending” in your eyes, that’s fine. I disagree, and it appears inconsistent with how you feel about the coffee shop, but it really isn’t worth arguing.
Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 13:03:00
I implied no such thing; in fact I contradicted it directly. Please read again:
———
The coffee shop doesn’t have a “right” to your $20, because they’re only selling you $1.50 of coffee. However, they do have the right to $1.50.
———
And yes, the government does have a right to our money, in the form of taxes. If you think that the government does NOT have a right to at least SOME of your money, then NJ renter is right. You belong in another country.
And of course this is an argument about semantics! This started when Lip said that a tax break “allowed him to keep more of his money,” which is a very nice SEMANTIC logical fallacy.
Comment by michael
2011-04-08 13:41:21
Kirisdad…you are mistaken.
the irs has a provision to keep people from furthering tax deductions through refinancings….interest tracing rules.
Comment by Xiaoding
2011-04-08 15:27:40
“the key issue is that the government is giving you money BACK, that they don’t have to give you back.”
No, that’s wrong. If the law says they have to give it back, guess what? They HAVE to.
You are also wrong about the “giving back” part. The home buyer has the money, it’s his money, the governmnet gets it when he pays his tax bill. The government is not “giving back” anything.
Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 17:11:32
If the law says they have to give it back
Laws do not appear by themselves. When I “they don’t have to give the money back,” I meant that Congess DOESN’T HAVE TO pass a law which gives money back.
As for “paying the tax bill,” I went over that point repeatedly. Some people got it the first time, some got it the fifth time. You’re still having trouble, but I think I’ve explained it enough.
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-08 23:49:07
‘Do I feel as if my taxes have been “increased” because I rent? Not really. I feel as if the government hasn’t spent money to reward me for buying a house — yet. It’s a different angle to look at things, I admit.’
Clearly you are neither sufficiently wealthy nor sufficiently poor to have that entitlement mentality which makes you think those welfare payments belonged to you to begin with.
You must belong to the long-overtaxed, -overworked middle class.
Comment by CA renter
2011-04-09 04:45:22
Wow, oxide. You’ve very patiently laid out why taking away the MID is NOT “raising taxes.”
I can’t believe people are still arguing with you about this. It’s pretty simple to understand. Thank you for your explanations.
Butters, this is more of a philosophical argument. The amount isn’t really relevant. It shouldn’t matter if you get rewarded only a little bit compared to taxes paid in, like I did, or if you get rewarded so much compared to the taxes paid in that you effectively paid no tax at all, like General Electric did.
Yes, one could argue that all money belongs to the government, and the government doles it out where they please — communism. One could also argue that all money belongs to the laborers that work for it, and they dole it out (buy) where they please — the Randian libertarian fantasy. The trick is, where is the best balance in the middle, and how far to the middle is the MID? I’m just countering lip’s original point.
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Comment by michael
2011-04-08 07:37:56
when houses were much more affordable the MID was further to the “left”.
WRONG. Just when the top 1% only gets to keep almost all of the money and the rest of us get to eat cake.
Umm….this is about keeping the money taken from you by the government. It doesn’t matter about what % you’re in, simply that in some cases the gov’t takes less of your money.
Are you really that jealous/resentful of the people with more money than you that you think they have no rights to their wealth? That you, via proxy of the government, have more right to it than they do?
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Comment by measton
2011-04-08 08:56:29
The top 1% get 70% of capital gains and dividends. If one looks only at taxable capital gains and dividends (ie most of the cap and div gains for the middle class occ in retirement accounts) They earn a much higher percentage. Thus if they cut taxes on capital gains and dividends almost all of that goes to the top 1%. The top 400 income earners pay 16% effective tax rates and that’s on the money they haven’t sheltered overseas. GE pays nothing.
So yes I’m F’n resentfull. They get all the bailouts, They pay lower tax rates, they control my gov. They have no right to their wealth because they F’n stole it or accepted stolen gains that will come out of the hide of eveyone in the bottom 98%. Inflation in this case is another tax on the bottom 90% who can’t hedge their income.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-08 08:59:46
Are you really that jealous/resentful of the people with more money than you that you think they have no rights to their wealth?
Ahhhhhhhh,
The the AM radio”jealous of people with more money” card…….commonly used by those who hate progressive taxation, can’t argue well against it and know most Americans approve of it.
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-08 09:03:57
Are you really that deluded to think that you’re doing the right thing by championing the cause of those who enslave you and millions of others?
We don’t expect an answer from you but your sanctimonious pandering and arrogance is well noted.
Comment by NJ Renter
2011-04-08 09:20:53
Resentful? Hardly. But I would rather not live in a country like Mexico, where the wealth disparity is so large that the people are left fending for themselves.
That the Republicans somehow convinced the poor and the middle class to vote against their own interest is their greatest achievement and the greatest con pulled over the voting population of this country.
No, you are highly unlikely to be rich one day, because we are a country that ranks at the bottom when it comes to social mobility.
No, your children are highly unlikely to be rich when they grow up, again because we lack social mobility.
No, your grand children are highly unlikely to become rich either; see above.
No, you are highly unlikely to accumulate enough wealth in your life time such that your estate will consist of more than $5 million (exemption level for estate tax). Indeed less than 99.7% of the estates pay any tax at all and many people will outlive their wealth and die penniless.
No, you are highly unlikely to become the next Bill Gates or Warren Buffet. The part of these people’s lives not entrenched in mainstream narratives is that (1) Bill Gates’ father was a prominent lawyer (named part of Preston Gates) and his mother served on the board of various banks; and (2) Buffet’s father, a Congressman, brought him to visit the stock exchange for the first time when he was 8–a perk many “common folks” did not enjoy in his day.
No, you are highly unlikely to save enough money or gain enough from investment to fund your own retirement. At some point you will have to depend on the government “handout” be it S.S. or Medicare.
No, you are highly unlike to hit the lotto.
Not long ago I sat in the same conference room with a prominent economist who advised the Bush administration, and was on the short list for the Fed Chair nomination after Greenspan’s retirement. I told him, “You guys are really good at convincing the poor people to vote against their own economic interests.” To which he replied, “Of course; I was the one who advised the President that he should never use the term ‘rich people.’ Instead, they are ‘entrepreneurs.’”
You may, from your own present situations, disagree with all the social safety net policies. But do realize that one day, when you need these the most, it would be too late to begin the advocacy for their support. I, for one, would prefer not to see old people kicked onto the street and die the day they out live their life time savings.
But on the other hand, those old Teabaggers forced “Medicare for All” off the table. So f*#$ them.
The top 1% get 70% of capital gains and dividends. If one looks only at taxable capital gains and dividends (ie most of the cap and div gains for the middle class occ in retirement accounts) They earn a much higher percentage
I can’t dispute or support this - I don’t know the exact numbers. I’ll just assume they’re correct, and I’d say “so?” In and of itself this is fine, IMO. No one else is “entitled” to the cap gains…if they have money invested, they deserve fair compensation (I’m sure we disagree on what’s “fair”, so let’s avoid that for now).
Thus if they cut taxes on capital gains and dividends almost all of that goes to the top 1%
K, that’s fine. I don’t agree with cap gains taxes being lower than income taxes - personally I don’t think income should be taxed at all. However, we’re talking about the MID here, not relative tax rates of dividends versus interest and income from labor.
The top 400 income earners pay 16% effective tax rates and that’s on the money they haven’t sheltered overseas.
And as stated above, I don’t agree with the way our tax code is structured. So no argument here.
GE pays nothing.
Surely you see that a corporation and an individual are very different when it comes to tax treatment, no?
They have no right to their wealth because they F’n stole it or accepted stolen gains that will come out of the hide of eveyone in the bottom 98%
I think you’re painting with a very broad brush here. Is that true of some of the “top 1%”? Sure. All of them or even the majority of them? Doubtful. Actors, professional athletes, entrepreneurs who start and own their own successful business?
Honestly, I’d respect this position more if attempts to “punish the rich” were actually targeted at this top 1% you have so much scorn for. But all the proposals I see suggested are about the top income tax bracket, which affects a much larger swath of people - most of them working class individuals. Why target people who work hard and happen to be successful just to get at the “evil wealthy” you characterize?
Rather than argue against the MID, why not focus on tax rates for dividends? Or taxing wealth over a certain amount rather than income?
Inflation in this case is another tax on the bottom 90% who can’t hedge their income.
Sure, but does that mean that those of us in the top 10% but not in the top 1% (a HUGE discrepancy in wealth and income there) should suffer as a result? Sure, I can hedge my wealth to some degree, but I still work 2 jobs, 50+ hours a week, and my income is in $US. Rather than target people like me, why not address the source of the problem - the federal reserve. And the current tax policy. And the lack of enforcement of existing laws and regulations?
I, for one, would prefer not to see old people kicked onto the street and die the day they out live their life time savings.
And you’re welcome to take action to prevent that, and help those. There was a time not too long ago where the gov’t didn’t forcefully take funds from citizens to pay to support old people with no savings. People voluntarily did such things, and as such, everyone’s liberty remained in tact, as they were voluntary actions.
Please explain why you must force everyone else to adhere to your wants and needs? Just because I want something doesn’t mean I feel everyone else must do the same thing, or must provide for my wants. Yet that is the implication of your stance here.
You’re assuming that I want any of the things listed above..that I aspire to be “rich”, or to sit at a table with Bill Gates (I did eat dinner next to Steve Ballmer once - does that count??)
You’re missing the difference in philosophy here, and projecting an incorrect motivation on me.
I want individual freedom. I believe I’m fundamentally entitled to the fruits of my labor - not only 75% of it. And when the chips are down, I don’t expect anyone else to bail me out. That’s the thing about principles, and it’s quite the logical fallacy to assume I don’t support such government programs simply because I’m not in a place where I need them, and will support them if I am in a place where I would benefit.
It’s also wrong to assume I don’t believe in the same morals as you - I just don’t believe I (or the government) has the right to force others to support those ideals.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-08 10:00:26
+ 1000 NJ Renter
Comment by NJ Renter
2011-04-08 10:28:04
“I want individual freedom. I believe I’m fundamentally entitled to the fruits of my labor - not only 75% of it.”
Wrong society then. Rousseau has already elegantly addressed this argument in “The Social Contract,” an piece that heavily influenced the foundation of this country.
And what you conceive as “fruits of my labor” is in fact supported by numerous invisible societal benefits and “handouts” so pervasive that you have stopped appreciating them. Remember, “No man is an island” and, though as we would like to contribute to ourselves alone the achievements we reach as individuals, without the support and benefit of living in this society, it would be impossible for you to achieve the same.
That you get to keep 75% of the “fruits of my labor” is a small price to pay for the benefits you receive from living in this society–otherwise, in a society without the benefit we offer, even if you get to keep 100% of the “fruits of my labor,” it may be the case that these “fruits” pales in comparison as the 75% you so bitterly complained of.
Using an example from Rousseau, in the state of nature you get to keep as much land as you can physically defend. But when you age and wither, that amount correspondingly drops. But, through the benefit of living in this society, the state will defend on your behalf all the properties that rightfully belong to you, thus enabling the weakest person to own and defend as much land as he/she is lawfully entitled to. Keeping “merely” 75% of the “fruits of my labor” is a small price to pay for such a benefit. But we often fail to take account for these social benefits when we consider “fruits of my labor.”
And indeed, the “social” part of the social contract means there is no opting out–otherwise we begin to run into adverse selection and free-riding problems.
Wrong society then. Rousseau has already elegantly addressed this argument in “The Social Contract,” an piece that heavily influenced the foundation of this country.
wrong society? Perhaps you wish to reconcile that with our constitution and the bill of rights?
That you get to keep 75% of the “fruits of my labor” is a small price to pay for the benefits you receive from living in this society
That’s an incredibly subjective statement. Who are you to say what’s a worthwhile price or not? Let’s say you are - what price should each individual pay? Why a % of income earned from labor?
in a society without the benefit we offer, even if you get to keep 100% of the “fruits of my labor,” it may be the case that these “fruits” pales in comparison as the 75% you so bitterly complained of.
Possibly, but again you assume my goal is to “get ahead” in some way and amass wealth, rather than living free with rights and liberties. A false assumption.
And indeed, the “social” part of the social contract means there is no opting out–otherwise we begin to run into adverse selection and free-riding problems.
You seem to think that whatever the gov’t dictates is somehow *THE* social contract, the only possible and sustainable social contract.
If that were the case, this country would have ceased to exist 200 years ago. Yet it miraculously didn’t.
And I’d argue that the “social” contract is in fact something one can opt in or out of. There are consequences of both choices, but one should be free to make that choice.
Comment by The_Overdog
2011-04-08 10:41:21
No, you are highly unlikely to accumulate enough wealth in your life time such that your estate will consist of more than $5 million (exemption level for estate tax). Indeed less than 99.7% of the estates pay any tax at all and many people will outlive their wealth and die penniless.
————————
5mm puts you in the top 1 million (of 300 million) people in the US, maybe even a little higher. I mostly agree with your points, but still think it’s odd the way we keep moving the marker upwards to what counts as rich.
Sure it’s common to say that a million dollars doesn’t buy much anymore, but since there are only 15mm out of 300mm, it seems like buys enough to me and is simiarly unattainable.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-08 10:45:29
Please explain why you must force everyone else to adhere to your wants and needs?
Drummminj, You’re not going to believe this. It’s crazy I know but check this out…
We, the USA, as a country, as a society chose to institute Social Security, Medicare and a bunch of other stuff that would help old, sick and needy people. I know it’s nuts but we did it! It’s even on Google now.
We even voted on it and stuff. Because of liberty and FREEDOM. ( i like saying freedom).
Oh……so anyway, the American people through their representatives in Congress voted to have those things in this thing we call a DEMOCRACY, (that’s rad to say too)
I know “Congress” sounds a little socialist because it’s a bunch of people coming up with stuff but anyway we chose to have those safety-nets because we were FREE to do it within the parameters of our Constitution, or I should say CONSTITUTION. (if you put the word “Constitution in blog posts, you sound really patriotic)
But you see Drummmmminj, that’s the thing about principles… Americans were FREE to decide what we want as a society and we did it. No you are in the minority but that’s OK, you still have the FREEDOM to whine and moan about how the super-rich only can get a few billion dollars off the FRUITS OF THEIR LABOR. (that’s a good line too).
So you are free to whine and moan about it but as the minority you can’t FORCE us–you can’t make us by FORCE conform to your failed UTOPIAN trickle down, supply-side, crony-capitalist ideology.
Why? Because of freedom!
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-08 10:50:14
Umm….this is about keeping the money taken from you by the government.
“…that you think they have no rights to their wealth?
So, why don’t the Ultra-wealthy just buy the lethal weapons needed and give them to a “voluntary” military and just ask those US soldiers to keep dying for America so that “they” (Ultra-wealthy) can not-b-bothered with such “taxing issues” and get back to the enjoyable things that they like to enjoy.
Kochchew!…”bless you”
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-08 10:52:00
And indeed, the “social” part of the social contract means there is no opting out–otherwise we begin to run into adverse selection and free-riding problems.
One heck of a post.
I don’t think some posters are aware of much American History before the Tea Party and the Koch Brothers.
(but they do say “freedom” and “constitution” a lot)
Comment by josemanolo
2011-04-08 11:07:19
i am beginning to think drumminj is just one *socialist* person like most responding here. he just want these *principles* so well eloquently articulated here, laid out for everyone. thank you.
Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 11:48:44
Great discussions folks!
Also kudos to you NJ renter. J6P seems to think that someday his ship will come in, and heaven help the taxman who tries to take some cargo off the ship. Never mind that the rich hijacked all those ships far out at sea long before J6P ever saw the ship. And this is why the super rich tend to stay in power. The richer you are, the farther out you can hijack a ship, to the point where J6P doesn’t even know it exists.
But please guys, do not beat on drummin as “arrogant.” Drummin is laying out good points and good arguments and at least trying to defend his views. We are all learning because of it. That takes a lot of effort and intelligence. Save the nasty labels for the closed-minded one-liner talking points (which I admit I am guilty of too).
But drummin, maybe we started out with a bare-bones government as laid out in the Constitution. But as the years went by, I guess we got tired of watching the old and sick die in the streets, and we got tired watching the young go illiterate and beg in the same streets. And let’s be honest, it’s a lot of trouble and expense to take care of people, and some of them had no family anyway. So, little by little, Representives looked at the dying in the streets, looked at the “general welfare” section right at the top of the parchment, and began to pass laws to take care of the poor and take the burden off churches and families. Poorhouses, state-run jails with some humanity at least, then public schools, New Deal programs, and culminating with (too?) big programs like SS and Medicare.
This, by the way, is all perfectly Constitutional. We elected Representitives, they passed laws. And guess what, we as citizens must have liked it, because we never elected enough representitives to repeal those laws. Until now…
Comment by NJ Renter
2011-04-08 12:34:39
“5mm puts you in the top 1 million (of 300 million) people in the US, maybe even a little higher. I mostly agree with your points, but still think it’s odd the way we keep moving the marker upwards to what counts as rich.
Sure it’s common to say that a million dollars doesn’t buy much anymore, but since there are only 15mm out of 300mm, it seems like buys enough to me and is simiarly unattainable.”
Slightly different comparison. You are talking about $5mm for overall population; some of these are people who are in their peak earning years and may be at the very top of the wealth they will ever have.
By contrast, a “estate” is created only after a person dies. Presumably in his/her older years, with much diminished earning and increased healthcare costs over about two decades of living, it is much more likely that the wealth would have diminished substantially when the person dies.
Comment by indioadjacent
2011-04-08 12:36:29
It’s shocking to me there is an argument going on about whether we should even have a government structure.
I used to be a republican/libertarian”ish” in my younger days.
Over the years I came to view my “conservative” peers as mainly narcissitic, self-centered, juvenile, and in many cases sociopathic to varying degree and I think we can all see those traits laid out in this blog day after day. What I see, and I’m sorry if you’re offended, but what I see is that these people tend to literally care about no one except themselves. Maybe their families. Perhaps this is simply the “human condition” for a great swath of the population.
Many think theses Unites States just magically happened and that social community and social safety nets are not important. I find this an interesting but juvenile mindset, on the order of a 5 year old. People who haven’t learned to share and get along yet. Back to the 1800s!
Sad.
Comment by measton
2011-04-08 13:11:21
As wealth gets concentrated so does political power drumminj. Expect to see the elite come after your wealth at some point as well. This is really not a top 1% vs bottom 99% problem. It’s a top 0.1% vs 99.9% problem. Many near the top delude themselves that they are the elite and benefit from the poliicies of our government. The reality is you work two jobs, it’s likely that your jobs depend on a strong middle class. The elite don’t depend on that now as they have globilized their wealth. Their wealth depends on control of gov and natural resources.
Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 13:14:17
And when the chips are down, I don’t expect anyone else to bail me out.
You’re young, you have a good-paying job, you bounced back from unemployment, you don’t seem to be saddled with a spouse or expensive children. In fact you and I are a lot alike in that respect.
However, I know full well to not count on luck. I know full well that my life savings could be wiped out in a single medical moment, be it by truck or virus. I do not know what my 65th year will hold. And while I expect to have reasonably more fruits of hard work (college degrees) than someone who didn’t work as hard, I also understand that “working hard” and wages are NOT linear by any stretch of the imagination, nor do I want the lower-paid to have nothing, which is the direction we’re going in. I believe we all deserve some form of general welfare — gee where have I heard that before — and that’s why I pay taxes.
But, no, I’m not going to “donate” to the IRS, so quit the smart remark.
Comment by The_Overdog
2011-04-08 13:16:02
I don’t see the differential. So you can make up to 5 million, live like a king and not pass as much on? That somehow makes you different from other rich people? I guess it does in that they were wily enough to pass their money on from shoemaker to risk taker to list maker, and so on.
$5mm at 4% gets you $200k a year in income without even touching principle. That again puts you in the top ~1.5% or so in yearly income. If you are a decent money manager, you could nestle that into tax free accounts. If you are spending that much in retirement (no need to drive back and forth to a job, no kids to put through school) then I don’t really see a legitimate difference.
I find this an interesting but juvenile mindset, on the order of a 5 year old. People who haven’t learned to share and get along yet.
Nice, mature comment.
You do realize that people can care about others and help them out without involving the government, or forcing others to do so.
You, like many here, seem to think the only way such things can happen is via government programs. And then lay personal attacks on those of us who speak up that this isn’t a requirement.
Let me ask you to consider something - how many animals are helped by private organizations? How many rescue groups out there take care of abandoned animals - horses, dogs, cats, ferrets, etc - who donate their time, money, efforts, and home to help? Who donate to people who own animals but can’t afford to feed them?
In case you weren’t aware, the answer is A LOT. And the government isn’t involved (Aside from 501(c)3 status).
I donate time, effort, and money to these organizations because I believe in their mission. I don’t force anyone else to do so, and I don’t think it’s the government’s job.
Yet somehow, when it comes to people, the government is the only one capable of providing support, and individuals shouldn’t have a choice?
As wealth gets concentrated so does political power drumminj.
Agreed this is unfortunately the case. There are (IMO) better fixes to this problem - reforming government - rather than increasing taxation and forcing wealth re-distribution.
Expect to see the elite come after your wealth at some point as well.
Perhaps, but all I see these days is liberals/progressives trying to commandeer the fruits of my labor via the strong arm of the government.
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-08 13:36:09
Over the years I came to view my “conservative” peers as mainly narcissitic, self-centered, juvenile, and in many cases sociopathic to varying degree and I think we can all see those traits laid out in this blog day after day. What I see, and I’m sorry if you’re offended, but what I see is that these people tend to literally care about no one except themselves. Maybe their families. Perhaps this is simply the “human condition” for a great swath of the population.
Count me as one who agrees with the above.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-08 14:59:42
Perhaps, but all I see these days is liberals/progressives trying to commandeer the fruits of my labor via the strong arm of the government.
What a big fat joke. You write like a mindless talking point and I don’t care if I say it.
Comment by NJ Renter
2011-04-08 15:30:24
Somehow this board switched from simple economics and housing discussion to politics. I remember the days circa 2004 and 2005, when I would come and learn a great deal about economics. This is where I first learnt the terms such as swaps and CDO, and now it makes me look really smart in front of my bosses.
But this board is now dominated by conservative/Tea leaning commentators. I wonder whether it’s because many liberals feel like I do–I’m tired and frustrated by the current situation and generally refrained from speaking. We elected a left-leaning President and majorities of both houses only to see the policies stalled at every turn. Of course, most of the obstacles came in the form of Senate Republican minority; but we have seem plenty of infighting as well as pandering and lack of political courage.
So I’m tired, and I honestly don’t know what to say to an old Teabagger carrying a sign with “Keep Government Out of My Medicare” while he lives off of social security checks. Or another sick person bagging for money to treat his illness after he attends a protest against medical reform. I don’t know how to intelligently engage that person or how to convince him, that if he had dug a little deeper below the surface and the one-liners, there is another layer of truth, albeit more complex, that can be revealed.
And I prefer to not fight dirty. I don’t think it’s fair to take hours of footage of NPR personnel and then manipulate the tapes to show the speaker in the worst light; I don’t like the use of “Nazi” in every accusation against political opponents. And I don’t think statements such as “the U.S. has the world’s highest corporate tax rate” is fair without the caveat that over 70% of the U.S. corporations pay not income taxes.
So I’m tired of fighting, and I don’t comment much here. It just seems so futile as we are unlikely to convince each other to change our views. To me, the “big government liberalism” can be beautifully summarized in these words:
“No man is an island, entire of itself…any man’s death diminishes me, because I am involved in mankind; and therefore never send to know for whom the bell tolls; it tolls for thee.”
Comment by Xiaoding
2011-04-08 15:39:05
“I want individual freedom. I believe I’m fundamentally entitled to the fruits of my labor - not only 75% of it. And when the chips are down, I don’t expect anyone else to bail me out. ”
Then go buy an island, and die on it. Of some easily preventable disease.
Your problem is, you don’t listen to Jesus. someday, you may truly know the truth of what he said. Like, “All that you have, has been given to you.”
Ungrateful. Lets see you make your money, with no roads, and no educated labor force. Go build your onw cruddy country.
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-08 15:41:40
And all I see these days is republican conservatives trying to shut down the services I use and pay for and pocket the money.
Your problem is, you don’t listen to Jesus.
Then go buy an island, and die on it
are you putting this forth as an example that you do??
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-08 15:56:36
Your problem is, you don’t listen to Jesus.
Right-wingers don’t listen much to Jesus these days, especially the really religious ones.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-08 16:40:25
You do realize that people can care about others and help them out without involving the government, or forcing others to do so.
Spoken like a “ “TrueDeceiver™” repubican dressed in Amish clothes who lives day by day like a Jesus-I’ve-sinned-again democrapt. What?, you want a “TrueMeritBadge™” now?
Your “compassion” reeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeks!
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-08 16:51:42
I take back what I said earlier. On second thought, I think renters and anyone who owns a home valued at less that $1m dollars should not get any kind of housing assistance or mortgage interest deduction, while anyone who owns a home valued at $1m or more should not only get a mortgage interest deduction but should also get the full value of all their mortgage payments deducted. In fact, I propose those earning more than $1m a year should have to pay no income tax whatsoever.
This would be good for society, because if anyone has to pay less to fund the government, we all collectively benefit.
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-08 16:55:16
“Right-wingers don’t listen much to Jesus these days, especially the really religious ones.”
They never did. They merely hijacked the religion in North America and wore the label but rejected every single Christian concept. There is a growing movement to run these people out of churches everywhere and I’m having a real good time helping.
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-08 17:04:31
“Agreed this is unfortunately the case. There are (IMO) better fixes to this problem - reforming government - rather than increasing taxation and forcing wealth re-distribution.”
But you’ve established long ago that “wealth redistribution” is acceptable to you so long as it moves in the direction you favor.
How do you reconcile this?
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-04-08 17:13:50
“fruits of my labor”
drumminj, what I am hearing is that you don’t like income tax. How do you propose that government provide for fulfilling its duties and what do you believe are the duties of government?
I talked to a man the other day who wanted to do away with property tax. When I asked him the above question, he stated that sales tax should be the vehicle and that about 25% should do it.
There are pitfalls and merits to any tax structure. Washington state has no income tax and relies primarily on property and sales taxes. Property and sales taxes are easier to collect than income taxes. There are fewer entities to collect from. But if property taxes are too high, individuals can find their property taken for non-payment. Sales tax can be made less regressive by not taxing essentials, but too high and it can put a damper on sales. And in an economic downturn, revenues drop.
I hear the charity card played from time to time. In an economic downturn, charity revenue drops just when more services are needed. And I believe the same level of services will not be provided through charity that are now provided by the government. I suspect your answer will be that that means that government is providing services that people don’t want to pay for. (I will let you confirm this) But I am not sure that is entirely true.
If money that is not collected by the government for social services is instead only partially given to charities, then I think we will see more bubbles. People who know that they have to provide for their old age and will not have a social safety net, will be more likely to invest their discretionary money than to contribute to charities. They will be more likely to participate in manias as they chase larger investment returns. A lot of them will run into trouble at some point (bad investments, medical problems, extended unemployment) and find their savings gone.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-08 17:28:20
I want individual freedom. I believe I’m fundamentally entitled to the fruits of my labor - not only 75% of it.
Blah, blah, blah,…laminate your wisdom on 4×5 note cards for the ages.
Larry Flynt is in your camp pal,…what’s your objection now buddy?
This Larry Flynt:
Larry Claxton Flynt, Jr. (born November 1, 1942) is an American publisher
Comment by measton
2011-04-08 17:42:29
“Perhaps, but all I see these days is liberals/progressives trying to commandeer the fruits of my labor via the strong arm of the government.”
All you need to do is look at the wealth distribution in this country to know who is stealing your wealth. The workers of this country are taking a beating. The elite are gaining strength. Unions have all but been destroyed.
Like I said , I suspect your job, the value of your property , and the value of your friends and families jobs and property depend on a strong middle and upper middle income population. The top 0.1% don’t care about such things.
drumminj, what I am hearing is that you don’t like income tax. How do you propose that government provide for fulfilling its duties and what do you believe are the duties of government?
I am busy tonight and all day tomorrow, so really don’t have time to respond to this right now. I do appreciate your respectful approach to this, however. I’d like to give you a response, but just can’t do it right now…
I talked to a man the other day who wanted to do away with property tax. When I asked him the above question, he stated that sales tax should be the vehicle and that about 25% should do it.
I’d agree with that opinion. I’d much prefer a consumption tax than an “ownership tax”. Being taxed for owning something (and being able to have it taken away as a result) undermines the whole concept of ownership, IMO.
Hopefully I’ll find time to respond to the rest of this in the next few days. Thank you for your respectful approach to this subject (contrasted with most of the other responses in this thread).
Comment by Carl Morris
2011-04-08 18:18:21
Somehow this board switched from simple economics and housing discussion to politics.
Agree, unfortunately.
But this board is now dominated by conservative/Tea leaning commentators.
Strongly disagree. Actually count the posts on this thread or any other with a lot of responses and I think you’ll find the vast majority support the left. It’s odd to me that you guys can have a big majority and still feel dominated.
Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 19:41:19
Not so much dominated, Carl. It’s just frustrating to see thread after thread of long, well-thought-out logic-dominated post answered with the equivalent of a nya nyah nyah bumper sticker.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-08 20:39:56
And I’d argue that the “social” contract is in fact something one can opt in or out of. There are consequences of both choices, but one should be free to make that choice.
Well then, please give a report on the current persecution of my Amish cousins, the one’s living in Ohio USA.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-08 22:21:33
drumminj- One day, maybe, you’ll realize you couldn’t earn your income without the tax-paying society within which it is earned.
If not, then why don’t you make like a free marketer and move to a non-taxed, modern country?
Because there’s no such place? Well, isn’t that odd.
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-08 23:53:12
“How do you propose that government provide for fulfilling its duties…”
Isn’t this where the Fed’s printing press technology comes in handy? In the post-Reagan Republican world, wherein anyone who suggests honest taxation is politically tarred and feathered, a license to print can quickly fix any budget gap.
Bottom line, sounds like fewer dollars around to support inflated house prices as taxation/revenue needs come increasingly into conflict with REIC capital inflow demands. This will be interesting to watch play, to watch the MID fade away.
You’d think with involvement in three wars plus a federal budget impasse, Uncle Sam would have bigger concerns than working hard behind the scenes to keep housing prices artificially inflated and unaffordable.
There’s probably several sticky notes hanging on Bernanke’s computer monitor, and one of them says: “Housing Prices.”
(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Big V
2011-04-08 18:23:36
Har!
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-08 23:55:55
At what point was propping up housing prices inserted into the Fed’s policy mandate? I want to see it in writing; please post if you have the evidence…
I’ve often wondered the same thing. With all the talk about deficits, we are still engaging in wars where we don’t belong, and we are still subsidizing certain industries that have no business being subsidized.
Maybe the MID should be replaced with a tax break based on how much of your house is paid off- which would encourage home ownership rather than mortgage ownership.
Since there are more of them than the wealthy, this article looks more like a way to spin another denial of benefit to J6P while beating the drum of “balanced budget” that also doesn’t really hurt the rich and deflects attention from them and all the other tax breaks the rich get and J6P doesn’t.
Looks like quite a bit of that $150bn “loss” the GSEs have generated since Uncle Sam took them over have gone straight to banks’ bottom line.
The Financial Times
Public lifelines boost banks’ fees
By Francesco Guerrera and Telis Demos in New York
Published: April 5 2011 21:42 | Last updated: April 5 2011 21:42
Investment banks’ fees soared to pre-crisis levels in the first quarter, underpinned by government-owned clients in a sign of the public sector’s sway over the global economy after the financial turmoil.
The increase in the worldwide fee pool will heighten investor hopes of a good first-quarter season for US banks, which start reporting results next week.
…
In the recovery that has followed the crisis, however, governments have become much more important clients for Wall Street and the City of London than they were before the turmoil.
Seven of the top 11 global fee payers in the first quarter were governments or state-controlled companies, including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the US mortgage finance companies, and AIG, the insurer that is 80 per cent owned by the US Treasury.
…
Well not all of it. It may be a small portion of the total pie, but 100s of millions went into executive compensation for those running these companies at a loss on behalf of the taxpayers.
Why do executives get paid 100s of millions for operating companies at a loss, and I mean either private companies, government enterprises or any other type of firm that pays out 100s of millions to executives?
I’ve often wondered why the govt even needs these investment banks. I imagine it’s not so difficult for the govt to handle their own transactions and investments. Why the middle-man?
Nothing in this article the PM or commodities traders haven’t already figured out…
The Federal Reserve
Off message
Ignore the hawkish rhetoric. The Fed isn’t about to tighten
Apr 7th 2011 | Washington, dc | from the print edition
WHEN the Federal Reserve put its monetary foot to the floor two years ago, it had plenty of company. These days America increasingly looks like the outlier. Emerging markets have been tightening for months—China’s central bank raised interest rates again on April 5th. As The Economist went to press, the European Central Bank (ECB) looked likely to raise rates for the first time since 2008. The Bank of England has been agonising over whether to do so too. The Bank of Japan has turned the monetary taps on, but its circumstances are somewhat special.
…
Markets habitually assign too much weight to the hawks, however. The real power at the Fed rests with its leaders: Ben Bernanke, the chairman; Janet Yellen, the vice-chairman; and Bill Dudley, the New York Fed president. Their views are more discreet but they are the ones that carry the day. At present they are sanguine about inflation and worried about unemployment, which means a rate rise this year is unlikely.
If the economy continues to improve, the Fed would probably lay the groundwork for higher rates in 2012 by dropping its “extended period” commitment later this year. It could also tighten by shrinking its balance-sheet, first by no longer reinvesting the proceeds of maturing bonds, then by draining reserves through money-market operations and finally through outright sales of bonds. But the unpredictable effects of such operations mean they will not be the principal method by which the Fed tightens monetary policy.
Mr Bernanke and his lieutenants are conventionally Keynesian. They consider inflation’s principal determinants to be the gap between aggregate supply and demand and the public’s expectations. Wages, a good gauge of labour demand, are growing sluggishly. Galloping petrol and grocery costs have driven up inflation, so they look to core inflation as a proxy of where things end up once commodity prices stop rising. This measure is still below 2%, the Fed’s preferred inflation rate, and thus too low. Expected inflation looks tame, too (see chart).
…
American politics
Democracy in America
Barack Obama’s re-election campaign Lack of change you can believe in
Apr 4th 2011, 18:59 by E.M. | WASHINGTON, DC
“IT BEGINS”, concludes the video launching Barack Obama’s re-election campaign, “with us.” That is, it begins with ordinary, hard-working, upstanding citizens getting together to speak out for what they believe in. And what is that, exactly? A woman in Arizona (Gladys, a caption helpfully informs us) talks vaguely about finding a job, owning a house and putting kids through college. Aside from these unobjectionable goals, however, there is no hint as to what Mr Obama stands for or how he intends to achieve it.
…
What would be a good strategy for the O’b one? When we met him before the last election, he could say he was for anything that would gain traction, and he did. Now we know he wasn’t for any of those things. He must be wondering: How stupid are they, really?
I’m thinking that young impressionable idealists won him the election first go. I’m thinking that old blockheads turned the tide in the mid-terms. What fringe group will rise to entertain us and tip the scales for 2012? What issues could stir our emotions to the point of once again loosing our cognitive abilities?
Democrats like Senate Majority Leader Sen. Harry Reid have charged that Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) would make a deal with them over federal spending for the remainder of the fiscal year if not for pressure from the Tea Party wing of the Republican Party.
So it was interesting to hear Boehner’s response to a question based on that charge that ABC News’ George Stephanopoulos put to the speaker in an interview.
…
Single Payer groceries? Well there’s a can of worms.
One could say that Food Stamps are like Cong. Ryan’s proposal to privatize Medicare. Gov gives you X dollars and you choose from a variety of private sector grocery stores. As opposed to the old bread and cheese lines, where gov drives in a truck of bread and cheese and gives it to you for free… Then again, medical care is so expensive compared to income, and so complex that I’m not sure you can compare the two..
Gov gives you X dollars and you choose from a variety of private sector grocery stores.
That only works with a functioning, non-subsidized market for food. Prices on groceries are set based on competition amongst stores and what customers are willing and able to pay with their own money.
Food stamps are only a small % (i assume) of sales, and as such don’t distort the market.
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Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 09:24:37
Competition starts off well, but in the end leads toward monopoly, especially for “needs” like food. A fully unfettered functioning market will eventually starve the poor.
Competition starts off well, but in the end leads toward monopoly
Agreed. Though I haven’t witnessed this with regards to food, at least at the retail level. I have 6 different grocery stores within 2 miles of my house.
Now if we’re talking food production, there are certainly issues there. I’d argue a lot of that has to do with gov’t interference (patenting of genetically modified seeds).
Comment by josemanolo
2011-04-08 11:17:37
because barrier to entry is cheap.
Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 11:51:47
Though I haven’t witnessed this with regards to food
…maybe because we DON’T have a “functioning non-subsidized market” ?
(by “functional” I assume you mean invisible-hand capitalistic…)
Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 11:56:23
oops, sorry, didn’t read your post right. Food’s kind of an exception. Because we need so much food, and often, you can’t centralize the stores into a single behomoth stoe and make customers drive to it. So it’s hard to go to monopoly in retail. But, as you said, the middlemen are using the huge distribution warehouses.
Comment by CA renter
2011-04-09 05:17:26
Super-Target, and Super-Walmart?
If they had their way, they would be the only grocery stores in town.
“Then again, medical care is so expensive compared to income, and so complex that I’m not sure you can compare the two.”
Exactly, there is no such thing yet as a “catastrophic” grocery bill, so why would you need insurance to pay for it.
Also, the grocery store (at least Walmart) doesn’t charge different people different prices (you do get tiny discounts at some stores if you have a loyalty card). Anecdote: My son had some blood labwork done. The EOB arrives from the insurance co. The list price for the work was about $120. Our “negotiated” price was $27. So had we been uninsured we would have paid $120, instead we paid $27 (which was applied to our high deductible).
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Comment by The_Overdog
2011-04-08 08:21:53
Wow, you got a deal. I just had some blood work done, they checked for 7 things I think- and the uninsured price was $300.
Comment by Big V
2011-04-08 08:40:20
In Colorado:
The list price on a medical bill is about as useful as the standard price on the back of the door in your hotel room. No one pays the list price.
Comment by Steve J
2011-04-08 08:45:03
The bad thing about medical is that you will have to make financial while you are sick and on meds. Not some that is very easy to do.
What issues could stir our emotions to the point of once again loosing our cognitive abilities?
$top paying US Service folks their War pay so that “TrueAnger™” + “TruePurity™” can show the Nation that you mean to criminalize women if they make certain non-free choices regarding their reproductive health decisions.
Really? He didn’t propose health-care reform? He didn’t propose that accused terrorists be given trials? He didn’t order Guantanamo Bay to be closed?
HE DID ALL THOSE THINGS!
The truth is that the President is not king. He has to contend with people in Congress who may not agree with him. He also has to follow Supremem Court rulings. Strangely, it seems that it’s easier for a President to get his way through lying and stealing (ala George Bush Jr and the Repulicans) than through TRYING to follow due process.
I see your point, although what we got in the way of health care “reform” I suspect is not quite what we thought that might mean. Pass something, anything, save my Presidency…
Close Gitmo? check.
No lobyists at White house? Check. Rent the place next door.
Declare Victory and bring our boys home? Check.
Nothing personal. I had higher hopes for the man than what has been delivered. Yet, I see no singular who-is-he hook to hang my hat on and doubt he can form one up for the next election.
Well agricultural subsidies being what they are, an argument can be made that effectively we already DO have single payer groceries, or at least we that pay the higher, non-competetive price that would be the result of single-payer groceries.
Non-competitive prices are only higher in private sector. When non-profit government runs the show, prices are lower, cf. Medicare. Of course quality suffers, but may be because the contractors who deliver the product are private sector.
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: You know what the Democrats say. They say that they could cut a deal with you, but you won’t buck the Tea Party.
A little historical perspective.
The 2011 Budget (the one they are fighting over RIGHT now) should have been passed in 2010. You remember 2010 don’t cha? - the democrats controlled the HOUSE, SENATE and WHITE HOUSE. By huge margins. They could have passed ANY budget they wanted.
The democrats didn’t want to pass a budget because it would have shown them for the tax and spend people they are right before an election in which the voters were actually taking notice of such things. So they didn’t pass any budget and figured they could dump the whole thing on the next congress.
Now they are arguing over a measly 2% reduction to an insane deficit and will shut down the government over it.
But somehow - it is the all Tea Party and Republicans fault.
You know, I don’t like to shout “talking point” as if that’s a legitimate argument, but I’ve seen this particular phrase on almost every political or news site comment board I ever read: “The Dems had huge margins; they could have done what they wanted.” It’s a talking point that comes from a central source, and can be refuted simply by saying “lockstep filibuster.”
The other day I talked about how people are simply less nice than they used to be. Well, even Senators of both parties used to be nice and not filibuster unless it an issue near and dear to their hearts. Those were the days when 56-44 was a huge margin. Then the Republicans woke up in 2006 or so and said, “hey, we can filibuster everything. Make ‘em get all 60. It’s not nice, but it’s legal.” The Dems never had the huge margin that the talking point suggests.
Then the Republicans woke up in 2006 or so and said, “hey, we can filibuster everything. Make ‘em get all 60. It’s not nice, but it’s legal.” The Dems never had the huge margin that the talking point suggests.
I don’t dispute any of what you said above…but with a majority in both houses and control of the white house, there really is no excuse for not passing a budget.
I see your point regarding the filibuster, but I’m guessing the Dems easily could’ve offered up a compromise to get around it. Our legislative branch is not set up to allow one party to just steamroll their ideas/agendas through.
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Comment by polly
2011-04-08 09:22:57
A compromise that would get 4 republican senators to agree to a budget that means they would face overwhelming opposition in their next election. Maybe you can find 4 who don’t have an election coming up for another 4 years or are planning to retire or who don’t fear a primary challenge at all. And maybe those 4 will be people who like the democratic budget enough to vote for it with a few tweaks for their state. Maybe.
Or maybe not.
Comment by Jim A
2011-04-08 09:25:43
Except, of course that a majority is only as good as party loyalty. There are ALWAYS congressmen and senators of both parties vowing to vote no unless their policies, or pork barrel, or perceived self-interest are pandered to.
at this point we’re fully in the realm of speculation. Maybe it’d affect re-election, maybe not. That’s always a risk, with every bill, every vote, every compromise.
It doesn’t mean that they couldn’t have compromised, though.
Comment by josemanolo
2011-04-08 11:27:17
sounds like saving you own skin for politics. but they do not have any problem ignoring other minorities, like lots of federal workers and contractors, for *measely* 0.01% (i don’t know if that is correct) of the federal budget.
“they would face overwhelming opposition in their next election”
Now they are arguing over a measly 2% reduction to an insane deficit and will shut down the government over it.
It’s not “measly” when the cuts are targeted to substantially reduce funding to specific programs that the Tea Party is ideologically opposed to.
We are not talking about across the board, equitable cuts. We are talking about a minority political movement trying to usurp the majority will of our country.
On top of everything else Congress must raise the debt ceiling!
How much? How does $2 trillion plus sound?
The present national debt ceiling is $14.294 trillion. Congress only has $34 billion to go before it crashes into the ceiling. How much to raise it? It’ll have to go up a trillion so the federal government can limp to the end of the present fiscal year, which is the end of September. But we’re getting close to an election year. To get to November, 2012, and a bit beyond if its lucky, Congress must now vote to raise the debt ceiling by more than $2 trillion. That’s two-thousand billion dollars! To be paid back by our kids, in addition to the fourteen-thousand billion dollars already owed.
I really think, at the end of the day, the majority of voters do not care about the debt. We’re just a bunch of ants in the anthill, going about our daily business in utter ignorance of our circumstances and understanding of the world; praying the great magnifying glass in the sky doesn’t seek vengance on our souls. Beyond that, who cares if the tribe made a collective decision to build in a flood zone or in a field about to be plowed? The great family picnic of 2011 is going to occur soon, and maybe junior will drop his popsicle again!
agreed. Most don’t know the difference between “debt” and “deficit”.
Not that I think it’s good that most people look at things this way.
Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-08 09:25:16
Most don’t know the difference between “debt” and “deficit”.
As long as they can go out to dinner at Applebees or Chili’s and be home in time to catch Dancing with the Stars, as far as they know its all good.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-08 09:45:58
the majority of voters do not care about the debt.
Why should they? There ain’t no stopping this train. This is the last grabbing of wealth before it blows. It’s gonna blow. It needs to blow. Now how do we want it to blow? Do you want a half-a$@ blow where the TBTF rich can engineer bailouts only for themselves while the rest of us get the shaft? Or do you want it to blow so big that everyone suffers equally and we tell them how to re-set? I’m tired of those clowns giving us the finger…Are we going to be Iceland or Ireland?
We’re gonna let these super-rich clowns cut our medicare and Soc Sec after what they just looted because of the debt and deficit?? Come on! There is plenty of money when the rich need bailouts. How bout some health-care, rising wages, jobs and promised Soc. Security for the American people? The government is there to serve 99% of the people way more than it is to serve the top 1%.
Yea man, the rich get all the breaks and we get cuts. You know what? Screw that.
Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 12:00:53
ugh, dancing with the stars. I tried to get a friend to watch The Civil War on TV this week, but the first episode was at the same time as DWTS, and she wanted to watch The Civil War in order. So she’s not watching The Civil War at all, and is going to get from the library “later.”
News Flash: Nobody is going to remember DWTS. The Civil War film in 20 years old and still going strong.
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-08 12:10:27
tried to get a friend to watch The Civil War on TV this week, but the first episode was at the same time as DWTS, and she wanted to watch The Civil War in order. So she’s not watching The Civil War at all, and is going to get from the library “later.”
Good gah-rief!
If teevee-free Slim were invited over for a viewing of The Civil War at the same time as DWTS, I’d be there right away. And I’d bring chips and my homemade salsa too.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-08 12:19:32
The Civil War film in 20 years old and still going strong.
I love it. I have it. I wonder if Ken Burns will bring it up to today like he did with his “Baseball” 10th Inning.
He could talk about how we got to the point where some people believe it “wasn’t about slavery” and stuff.
And the southern “lost cause” history re-writer’s attempt to marginalize Grant’s brilliant and superior generalship.
From publisher’s weekly on the book, U. S. Grant: American Hero, American Myth
How does national memory determine national heroes? Waugh, a UCLA history professor, probes the subject in an engaging study of the making of Ulysses S. Grant’s reputation. At the time of his death in 1885, he was perceived as on a level with George Washington by former Unionists and Confederates alike.
His memoirs were a bestseller. His image combined the honorable soldier and the generous victor: a heroic war leader who believed in the ideal of national reconciliation in both regional and racial contexts. Even Grant’s flaws were part of his greatness, linking him to his countrymen in a distinctively American fashion.
That image began to change as lost cause romanticism nurtured reinterpreting the Civil War as not merely tragic but arguably unnecessary. The eclipse of this approach has restored Grant’s reputation as a general.
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-08 13:40:30
His memoirs were a bestseller. His image combined the honorable soldier and the generous victor: a heroic war leader who believed in the ideal of national reconciliation in both regional and racial contexts. Even Grant’s flaws were part of his greatness, linking him to his countrymen in a distinctively American fashion.
Point of history: Grant finished the book while he was dying. Big part of the reason why he wrote it was to take care of his family after he was gone. Guy had already been defrauded of his estate.
His publisher? Another well-known guy named Mark Twain. He wanted to see to it that Grant was better treated than he would have been by the big publishing houses, which Twain did not trust.
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-08 13:48:50
I have Grant’s memoirs. The full hardcover.
There is no doubt as to the cause of the Civil War and who was wrong except to those who will always choose to be ignorant.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-08 15:05:20
Point of history: Grant finished the book while he was dying.
I have Grant’s memoirs.
I went to the library in NorCal to get the book. They pulled it from the back. It was the original 2 volume first edition print. One was recovered, one had the original worn cover.
Many consider it to be one of the finest military memoirs ever written. It was written like he fought. No-nonsense, to the point and forward march.
Comment by josemanolo
2011-04-08 15:29:51
interesting read about how grant was snookered by the same group of financial con men more than a hundred years ago. nothing has changed.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-08 16:18:41
Grant: “bad for us today,…but we’ll lick ‘em tomorrow…”
It may justifiably seem weak to you, but by comparison to the damage that would ensue if the debt ceiling was not raised, we are in recovery. You have to conduct a thought experiment to
compare the status quo with the scenario that would play out contingent on not raising the debt ceiling. I realize Republitards probably don’t generally have enough gray matter between their ears to conduct thought experiments.
Rule number one of political choice: The devil you know is friendlier than the one hiding behind the other side of the fence, over where the grass appears greener.
I think PB’s statement was made with tongue in cheek.
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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-08 07:31:38
It was meant more as an implicit comparison to what will happen if the debt ceiling is not raised, rather than an objective statement about the quality of the (tepid, government-engineered) recovery underway.
The perpetual bubble callers will be out in force! When you don’t understand the reasons why this is happening, I guess that all you have to fall back on.
Around the time when gold was $875 and silver hit $50, the price of oil was around $40 a barrel at the spot price. Since oil is three times that price now, I do not see why both silver and gold cannot trade at three times the price. Particularly, since the price of oil is a major part of the cost of production.
“Particularly, since the price of oil is a major part of the cost of production.”
The ‘cost of production’ of what? Are you suggesting the value of gold is currently driven by production costs? Exactly how much does it cost to melt down somebody’s jewelry? I can’t imagine it is very expensive, or that it involves much oil.
It takes trucks and other equipment to move earth and they run on oil. I do not know if you have been to a mining operation but you move tons of material to produce an oz of gold. I have been to many. Producing new gold if very expensive. Even tires for the massive trucks are quite expensive and were in very short supply a few years ago (not sure now) and yes they are oil based. Melting down jewelry is not going to meet the demand from the developing countries.
Of course, you need to create roads and other infrastructure before you can even begin mining and after mining you have to move a lot of earth during the reclamation process. It all means lots of energy. It is one of the reasons that oil shale is always just short of being economically feasible. The higher oil prices go, the more costly it is to produce since it has such high energy inputs.
Comment by MrBubble
2011-04-08 09:23:39
I’m with A-dan here and will echo Chris Martensen in that we’ve already “high-graded” everything. We are producing gold from ore bodies with sub-ppm Au. Why? Because we like the challenge and like driving big trucks (although they ARE fun to watch!) and like creating enormous holes in the ground. No. We do it because we MUST.
Agreed on oil shale too. It’s all about EROEI. And it’s dropping every single day.
BTW A-Dan — I looked up Throrium energy last week finally (from our conversation a while back). I don’t claim to understand everything, but at a cursory glace, I appreciate many of the features. It still seems a costly and overly-intricate way to boil water, but it seems better than the alternatives (except solar thermal, wind with molten salt and massive conservation!)
MrBubble
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-09 00:04:15
The reason such costly means to produce gold are currently being exploited is precisely due to the gold price bubble.
All that (costly) gold supply response to try to cash in on the currently high price is going to backfire just like any other resource extraction frenzy in history has: Just when it seems like the price of gold will never stop going up, the gold bubble will suddenly be drowned in a deluge of supply.
(If this doesn’t quite seem plausible, just think back to how they were building houses like crazy circa 2006, and what a huge glut of houses are out there today, thanks in part to the overbuilt stock crashing prices…)
Gold has followed predictive technical pattern trends for 10 years now. If it continues to do so, about $2,100 per ounce is the next huge resistance level.
And remember. Gold always trends within certain technical parameters.
PB, my reasons: governments are printing too much paper currency i.e. QE. Chinese, Indians etc are buying gold to protect themselves from inflation and now how the money to create a huge demand. Energy prices are going up (peak oil) and you have to move a lot of earth to produce an Oz of gold. Finally, related to all this the only way many countries can pay their debt is to inflate away most of it so the cycle is not going to end any time soon. While we have a 1.6 trillion dollar deficit and are borrowing around 40 cents of every dollar we spend we fight over puny cuts. Obama rolled the dice that huge government spending could lead to a Reagan type recovery GDP growth in the 7 to 8% growth and we all lost, since we have a recovery barely keeping up with population growth.
“It’s a recovery compared to how things will look if they don’t increase the debt ceiling. But it’s all good, because the Republitards will reap heaps of blame for it…”
Color me skeptical, but I have serious doubts that extraction costs are the relevant margin for determining current gold prices.
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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-08 06:57:41
Oops — that was a serious misfire. I meant to put in this quote from Albuquerquedan’s post:
“Energy prices are going up (peak oil) and you have to move a lot of earth to produce an Oz of gold.”
Couldn’t it be as simple as production costs going up, demand by central banks going up, demand by individuals going up (although I’m the only one of my circle who owns physical (or is stupid enough to talk about it)), purchasing power of the dollar decreasing? Maybe to speculation, too, sure. This is not my area of expertise, so rebukes are not welcome.
REAL ESTATE
In era of foreclosure sales, sellers still slashing prices
Miami home sellers are still offering discounts, cutting an average of 11 percent from their asking prices in order to entice buyers, a report from Trulia showed.
MiamiHerald.com
Home sellers in Miami are grudgingly slashing huge amounts from their asking prices in order to entice buyers, according to a report released Thursday by real estate research firm Trulia.
In Trulia’s survey of the nation’s 50 largest cities, Miami ranked second in the size of the average home discount, with sellers cutting prices by 11 percent in the last 12 months. Detroit, at 19 percent, ranked first.
Dawn Wellman, a Miami-based Realtor, said sellers are coming to face the grim reality that foreclosures and distressed sales by underwater homeowners have sunk prices across the region, wiping out much of the equity gained through the years.
“If sellers want to sell their house in today’s market, they’re having to compete with short sales and [foreclosure] prices, because that’s what dictating the market now,” she said.
Those distressed properties are the most popular among South Florida buyers, accounting for more than half of all sales this year.
According to Trulia, there is a 38 percent chance that a Miami home seller will need to slash prices more than once in order to achieve a sale.
“Sellers who don’t cut their homes’ list prices deeply enough the first time face a long lag-time on the market and a high chance of needing to make a second cut, which can result in lowball offers from buyers,” Tara-Nicholle Nelson, Consumer Educator for Trulia, said in a statement.
The median-priced single family home sold for $147,900 in Miami-Dade County in February, down 23 percent from 12 months earlier, according to the Miami Association of Realtors. In Broward County, which is not included in Trulia’s report, median prices for single family homes reached $167,000 in February, up 22 percent.
Still, sellers in Miami have been relatively reluctant to slash their prices, often to avoid a distressed sale that would bring less than what is owned on the mortgage.
The average Miami home seller is leaving his property on the market for 69 days before cutting the price, ranking the city ninth among the top 50 metropolitan areas.
Not sure if it means anything, but we’ve noticed a sudden burst of new rentals in our neighborhood. Maybe there’s something seasonal going on, but we don’t usually have many rentals available around here. I just counted 8 this week.
I found less than 5 homes available for rent in this area. I am, however, already seeing SOLD signs on the lower priced homes as the new selling season signalled by the end of the school year resumes. My friend selling her home in the upper stratosphere of local prices said they are getting no traffic at all.
By lower priced I mean $250k and below. My point was if there is nothing to rent, people are risking it w/lower priced purchases. From myriad conversations w/newbies I meet at work, I pretty firmly believe it’s about the school district. I mentioned before several people telling me when they transfer into the area, HR directs them to our district, not our district and 4 others. They tell them get the kids into our district. You also have to remember if people sold just sold their $450k home in MA, the $250k home is probably being paid for in cash. I do frequently hear of all cash offers on homes even above the $250k. I heard of a $300k all cash just last week.
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Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-08 08:15:03
I’ll remain a skeptic. I believe the transactions but the nattering is BS.
Comment by Big V
2011-04-08 09:40:26
Carrie Ann is a troll.
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-08 10:25:33
???????
Comment by CarrieAnn
2011-04-08 12:50:20
Yeah I’m a troll. That’s it. Gheesh. Ya think I’ve got nothing better to do? I’m not in the business. And no one is in my family. I want prices to come down. And exeter, I’ve told you before, you apply what you see in your area to the whole state. C’mon out honey. Let’s do lunch and I’ll show ya ’round. Perhaps for much of the state you can generalize. But I’m just telling you what’s going on in my little town.
Why don’t you come up w/a concrete response to the fact there is nothing to rent in this school district? And that effects pricing.
That is a serious component I noticed no one wants to recognize every time I mention it. Well whether you want to laugh it off or not doesn’t change facts.
Comment by CarrieAnn
2011-04-08 13:35:31
effects s/b affects
Oh and one more way to tell Carrie Ann is not a troll: When the dam does break you will hear me reporting it.
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-08 14:53:22
Relax CA. I questioned the troll comment. I don’t believe you’re a troll. I express my doubts about the sentiment you hear, not you.
Regarding this idea that there is nothing to rent in your town; So what if vacancies are down in Frogballs, NY? It’s meaningless irrespective of the dopes who natter away about it.
Comment by CA renter
2011-04-09 05:34:52
Um, I can’t believe CarrieAnn was just called a troll.
We know you’re not a troll, CarrieAnn!
BTW, thanks for the input from your neighborhood. I do believe that the market is “local” in the sense that the more desirable neighborhoods are not seeing the declines (yet), and have been seeing higher rents as inventory is most certainly constrained.
I’ve seen an uptick in the number of Open House signs in our area, and even more so to the north (Escondido). Not sufficiently interested to visit any of them, but I have to imagine foot traffic is slower than at a visitation.
We’ve been to a few open houses in Escondido, and if they’re priced right, there has been a LOT of traffic — like you can’t move from room to room without having to stand against a wall to let others pass.
I spoke on the phone with an appraiser in KC yesterday and he told me numbers that I find astonishing.
He said that a little over a year ago he was looking for houses in certain areas of Johnson County (well to do suburb of KC) and found only about 5 houses under 160K. Now he says there are about 400 houses under 140K in the same areas. Said he’d never seen anything like it in 20 years in the biz. Said they were going to go even lower.
I’ll believe the amounts, but not going from 5 to 400 houses.
By the way, that’s what I’m looking for in DC, some upsurge in the number of houses under $200K. Right now it’s pretty slim pickens. Probably less than 1/3 of the listings are actually serious. Not that I’m too choosey, but mortgages last longer than marriages. I’d like to know there are more fish in the sea, so to speak.
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Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-04-08 20:35:17
“mortgages last longer than marriages”
Interesting saying. My parents have been married long enough to have paid off 2 mortgages. Not that they had 2. They have been mortgage free since 1986.
The serfs could hang in a lot longer here, because of the lower cost of living. OTOH, they didn’t have a big cash hoard to start with, because the incomes weren’t as high.
It wasn’t a mass exodus. It’s just that people have been walking from houses for two years now, and nobody is moving in. After a couple of years, it really becomes noticable.
Ben Bernanke can’t print physical metals, so the dollar is crashing versus anything that has real intrinsic value, especially precious metals. JP Morgan and HSBC are reputed to have massive naked silver shorts that they are unable to cover, after years of manipulating the silver market very lucratively by selling silver contracts for metal that doesn’t actually exist, in collusion with the Fed.
“…the dollar is crashing versus anything that has real intrinsic value, especially precious metals.”
How about houses?
“JP Morgan and HSBC are reputed to have massive naked silver shorts that they are unable to cover, after years of manipulating the silver market very lucratively by selling silver contracts for metal that doesn’t actually exist, in collusion with the Fed.”
Would this kind of story be investigated in a Fed audit?
Get a load of Zimbabwe Ben Bernanke’s “transitory inflation” which has no connection, he claims, with the Fed’s creation of trillions of dollars out of thin air as he inflates away government debts and obligations.
Democrat says Libya costs run much higher
Lawmaker: White House ‘dramatically underestimating’ military expenditures - The Washington Times
A Democratic lawmaker says the White House is “dramatically underestimating” the true cost of the military’s involvement in Libya by relying on accounting that obscures the total financial burden being saddled on taxpayers.
Rep. Brad Sherman, a lawyer and accountant, told The Washington Times on Thursday that more accurate accounting of the mission would provide a clearer picture of just how much money the U.S. pours into this and other U.N.-backed missions while putting Congress in a better position to silence critics who say the nation is shortchanging the global body. The Californian also said the cost of the U.S. involvement in Libya should be covered with the estimated $33 billion in Libyan assets that have been frozen by the Treasury Department.
“As much fun as I find cost accounting, the reason I raise these issues is because I think those Libya assets ought to be available to pay for what goes on over and in Libya, and because I think in negotiating with other countries over whether we are doing enough for the U.N. we should not hesitate to point out the high cost of what we are doing [with U.N. support],” he told The Times.
“In sum, we can’t take the CMI Growth index as an indicator of the consumer economy as a whole, but it clearly offers important insight into the health of the consumer. In fact, it is a demographic segment on which the future of the economy will become increasingly dependent. It seems difficult to imagine a sustained business cycle and long-term economic recovery while the CMI demographic sweet-spot sputters in a year-over-year contraction.”
Does anyone recall the early days of the 401(k) revolution, when many of us were subjected to training courses in being our own personal retirement investment managers? I do — I was there. From what I recall about the principles of 401(k) portfolio diversification, the idea of cashing in to park all of your savings in a residential real estate money pit makes no sense whatsoever. What if the house drops another 25% in value? You can’t eat a house, or sell it off in little chunks for food, either.
the early days of the 401(k) revolution, when many of us were subjected to training courses in being our own personal retirement investment managers? I do — I was there.
Why yes,…yes I do remember! “They” said to a then young Hwy50: “Hey, Max your contributions! / we’ll match that and then we’ll use the money to buy even more stock in the company that provides your pay check. Sweet! Year after year it was sweet, then before you could say: ERISA! …the company stock fell_like_a_rock. The ripples went out in all directions, but it appeared that no one got “soaked” in the Corporate Headquarters offices. Weeks afterward, certain Management Officers drove up in the parking lot at 9:25 pm in their new Ferrari’s / BMW’s with brief cases & smiles.
answer: “On accounts they all walked past my floor station to reach their offices, exceptin’ the Co. Inc. CEO, he had a “private” entrance & a “private” sexatary secretary too!
Does anyone recall the early days of the 401(k) revolution, when many of us were subjected to training courses in being our own personal retirement investment managers? I do — I was there.
Me too.
And I distinctly recall that the non-stock market options were pretty paltry. As in, you were considered a real fuddy-duddy if you even so much as looked at them.
I know someone who did that except she emptied her retirement funds to keep her current house. She thought the market would recover. Now faces foreclosure and then the bank will probably go after her for the balance. And the 401-k which would have been protected from the creditor is gone.
I would agree that to take money from a 401-k to put into a house is criminally stupid.
“Now faces foreclosure and then the bank will probably go after her for the balance. And the 401-k which would have been protected from the creditor is gone.”
This gets right to my point: Trading in your 401-k for a residential real estate money pit is one of the worst possible portfolio diversification mistakes. What do the Marketwatch columnists smoke that leads them to freely dispense such crappy personal financial advice without apology?
That’s an incredibly subjective statement. Who are you to say what’s a worthwhile price or not?
I don’t think they can come after a fully paid off 401K rental house in BK or anything else. It’s still a 401K asset no?
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Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 13:17:58
I don’t know. They aren’t borrowing from the 401K, they’re cashing it out. Wouldn’t you agree to give up that protection when you cash it out?
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-08 15:12:50
Wouldn’t you agree to give up that protection when you cash it out?
ikd. I don’t have a 401K because I’ve been self-employed and owned a business. I have IRA’s. With an IRA I think the house would remain an IRA asset just like a stock or mutual fund, thus would be provided the same legal protection.
Anyone?
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-08 15:14:28
ikd =IDK above
Comment by polly
2011-04-08 18:08:17
There is no such thing as a self directed 401(k). In addition, they aren’t talking about the retirement account owning the asset. They are talking about cashing out the money - paying taxes and penalties along the way - and using the money to pay for the house.
Comment by jbunniii
2011-04-08 22:17:34
There is no such thing as a self directed 401(k).
This is quite false. I had one at my last employer, through Charles Schwab.
“I know someone who did that except she emptied her retirement funds to keep her current house. She thought the market would recover. Now faces foreclosure and then the bank will probably go after her for the balance.”
It sincerely breaks my heart to see something like this happen. People like that are not prepared for the hardship they are about to face.
Question: I am 37 and have a job grossing about $81,000. My wife is also 37 and grosses about $42,000. We both contribute to our 401(k) to the tune of about 15% (including employer matches). We currently have about $200,000 in our combined 401(k)s. We have some small debt, nothing major. We have a large mortgage on our personal home, a home-equity line of credit and one car payment.
I am considering emptying my 401(k) to pay all cash for a rental house that would cost about $115,000. This rental property would generate approximately $850 per month. (I currently have a rental that generates $900 a month, but it has a mortgage).
My line of thought is this: Use cash from retirement savings to purchase the home outright and put the income from the house into a Roth or other retirement vehicle.
Answer: Several thoughts come to mind. First are foremost, you and your bride are young enough to raid your retirement accounts. ”
==========
“Some small debt?????” So the guy has a “large mortgage” on his personal home (read: bought or refi’d during the bubble) and a “mortgage” on one rental property, and this debt is “nothing major??????” And now he wants to cash his 401K to buy another rental property? And the expert tells them they are young enough to raid the 401K, adding in a homey platitude about fixing faucets just to look warm and fuzzy. In truth, THIS IS FINANCIAL SUICIDE. It’s also straight out of the Combo Theory that they want your cash because cash is king.
And I wonder what they mean by “small debt.” $30K on the Mastercard for shoes and skinny jeans?
To be fair, I’ve read articles of people wanting downsize their lives, and part of that is to raid the 401K to pay off their primary residence. I can see the value in that. But this couple is a piece of work. A greedy piece of work.
I am considering emptying my 401(k) to pay all cash for a rental house that would cost about $115,000. This rental property would generate approximately $850 per month. (I currently have a rental that generates $900 a month, but it has a mortgage).
ISTR reading that, if you’re going to purchase a house for rental purposes, your purchase price should be 100-120x the expected monthly rent for the area.
So, if this person can get the purchase price down to $85k, it would be a good deal. (I’m favoring the low end of the 100-120x metric due to the fact that house prices are likely to decline further.)
However, the notion of emptying the 401k in order to experience the “joys” of landlording leaves me cold.
The crazy thing is, getting a loan against the balance of my 401(k) worked very well indeed for me. I bought in ‘99 and used a loan secured by the balance of my 401(k) for much of my downpayment. Since my sole mortgage was for less than 80% of the cost of my house, I never had to pay a day of mortgage insurance. Later, after much of the bubble run-up, I refinanced to a 15 year and used the proceeds to repay the 401(k) loan. To the extant that my 401(k) was invested in the stock market, I effectively took money OUT of the market in ‘99 and put it back in 2003. It is better to be lucky than good.
Foolish moves with your “perfectly-safe” money is exactly what Bernanke has in mind with his low interest rate policies. I say, sit tight and wait for the deals to appear when the over-inflated asset values collapse.
Dr. E. Michael Jones discusses his book, Slaughter of Cities: Urban Renewal as Ethnic Cleansing. Dr. E. Michael Jones goes on to discuss with the Catholic Engineers, the plan the WASP and Jewish Elite had for moving Whites out of the cities and into the suburbs. This was done with black migration and propaganda.
————————————————————————————————————
I found it interesting because one of his arguements is that “white flight” and the break up of the various “ethnic” urban neighborhood and their expulsion to the suburbs was a deliberate policy forced on the residents in order to weaken their discipline and unity which was seen as a threat by the WASP power elite?
Some of you probably already know about this; but many people don’t. I watched the entire 5 part presentation and he seems to be saying that housing policy was the “hammer” used to break up the integrity/unity of urban concentrations of “ethnic” white “groups”.
And that it was done out of fear; specifically of the Catholic church?
Im curious to hear any comments you guys have regarding his “theory”; specifically,
It’s a moving target, “whiteness” is. In the middle of the last century Eastern Europeans in my industrial northern city were assuredly not white - they were “ethnic”. Before them the “ethnic” collar was worn by Italians, Irish, Germans…
During the historical episode you are discussing today “ethnics” unsettled the landed gentry with all their talk of unions and their seemingly foreign values and foreign tongues. (a common put down back then was to refer to them as “DPs” and point out the conspicuous lack of vowels in their surnames.)
As these groups have been assimilated they have lost their identities, and part of their identity was the past discrimination they faced. This is something that gnaws at me when reflecting on the current immigration debate. You see, by appearance I’m “in the club” but my studies of history and even my own family’s experiences (particularly my dad’s in WWII) make me doubt that.
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Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-08 11:23:08
You see, by appearance I’m “in the club” but my studies of history and even my own family’s experiences (particularly my dad’s in WWII) make me doubt that.
I’m with you on that one.
Reason: I have one of those Cornish last names that Americans find hard to pronounce. It’s one of those names that, in various times in our nation’s history, was considered “ethnic.” As in, gasp, my ancestors were assumed to be from southeastern Europe. And that wasn’t considered to be a good thing.
We don’t really know what a white person is to another white person any more than we know what a cat is to another cat.
Now I don’t want to go on and make some kind of incendiary, non-PC comment or joke on how white people may or may-not see white people because it might be misunderstood and taken out of context. I’ve been misunderstood enough already on this blog.
But I think that in a cat’s eye, all cats are probably pretty much equal.
(except the darker ones of course)
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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-08 16:06:25
I’ve been misunderstood had my comments twisted & distorted enough already on this blog.
Yeah, well guess what Rio, that is what they get paid fer no accident.
the plan the WASP and Jewish Elite had for moving Whites out of the cities and into the suburbs
???
To ALL other minorities - WASPs and Jews ARE whites…
I think that the comment meant the the Elites (who are/were white) created the whole “white flight” movement, probably so they could build,sell and finance lots of houses.
All I know is that whenever my brother and I went to work in the hood with our dad back in the late 60s, every black kid in the neighborhood made it a point to come over and kick our asses.
And they did it of their own free choice, not because the WASP and Jewish elite told them to.
If anyone on this blog happens to be one of them, I hope it made you feel better. Economically, my family had more in common with you, than we had with the WASP/Jewish “elite”.
And if you suspect that this may have affected my “worldview”, you would be correct.
“And if you suspect that this may have affected my “worldview”, you would be correct.”
And what, you hate Black people now?
Cry me a damn river…..what kind of world view do you think people of color develop after encountering hundreds if not thousands of racist White people in their lifetimes?
Maybe some of the people YOU encountered were just getting some payback.
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-04-08 12:39:58
Black people can be just as full of $hit as white people. Or Hispanics. Or anyone else.
Color doesn’t matter, it the culture you were raised in that matters.
And “payback” against a 10 year old kid you don’t know is okay with you?
Comment by indioadjacent
2011-04-08 12:56:46
In this day and age the racism one might encounter as a black or hispanic or asian is probably no worse than an ugly or fat person would encounter.
There are countless successful minorities, ugly people, and fat people. I could throw in old people, women, people from working class backgrounds, etc.. The list of possible “minorities” is very long.
If you’re not successful you might blame it on the color of your skin. But I think it’s a worthless exercise and inaccurate to boot. You might have to work a little harder but IMHO not any harder than a less physically attractive white person.
Discrimination occurs in all types and forms. Deal with it, and move on. Nobody is going to hire or keep on a crybaby regardless of skin color.
“Color doesn’t matter, it the culture you were raised in that matters.”
Why is it White people are always saying this bs? I have yet to hear a person of color say this “color doesn’t matter” nonsense. But yet again, White people are the ones who made skin color an issue in the first place, SO now if you guys say skin color isn’t an issue it must be true….
“And “payback” against a 10 year old kid you don’t know is okay with you?”
Tell that to 13 year old Emitt Till (lynched), or those little Black and Latino kids outside of Philly who were told to get out of the pool because of the color of their skin, little Black and Latino kids outside followed around in stores, little Black and Latino kids outside harrassed by the police, ETC. ETC. ETC. ETC. Racist White people HAVE and CONTINUE to tramatize the lives of young children of color, so why should I feel sorry for you?????????????
“In this day and age the racism one might encounter as a black or hispanic or asian is probably no worse than an ugly or fat person would encounter.”
The arrogance of certain White people astounds me. How would YOU know the level of racism that a person of color encounters? How would YOU know how it affects an individual person of color? Have you taken a tally of the opinions of the 100 million plus people of color who live in this country and their feelings? Or is YOUR opinion of the situation, more important than MY ACTUAL EXPERIENCES. And yet, White love to claim that there is no such thing as “White privilige”…..smh
Comment by josemanolo
2011-04-08 16:00:47
mk and xg. this *fight* sounds likes the palestinians and the jews.
I only know the stories as related to me by my now deceased grandparents, father, and friends of my family. The church never really came up - and they were all strict Catholics. What did come up in every story were the real estate agents, oh yeah. “Blockbusting” did occur and they profitted handsomely on both sides of the “white flight”/”urban renewal” equation.
In graduate school I felt this was by far the most fascinating and valuable subject we studied. Oh this rabbit hole, it’s a deep one. Part of the dark side of American history, not talked about much except by those directly affected. If more people knew how Capital/REIC destroyed neighborhoods and families we might never had had this bubble. Once one reads up on this particular subject I’ll wager they will have no stomach to buy any more house than they actually need.
Suggested related reading: (if you haven’t already)
But how strong of a case does he make for his position?
In other words, is what he is saying true?
And, if one of the people Dr. Jones describes came out and admitted everything in the book is true, would he still be considered “extremist?”
The reason I ask is because blk people often have this “issue” where they cannot accept certain peices of information unless a white person validates it.
Its very child like to need to follow a person instead of the logic the person you are following is following.
This seems to have the “You don`t know who I owe the money to so I don`t have to pay crowd” a little nervous, judging from the comments section of this article.
Firm says its new software ensures the soundness of foreclosure papers
By Christine Stapleton Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Posted: 10:13 a.m. Thursday, April 7, 2011
Lender Processing Services, the subject of a 60 Minutes segment about foreclosure document fraud, has added “new document integrity management capabilities” to the software it markets to loan servicers.
The updated software also can create an audit trail “attesting to one’s due diligence leading to the notarized affidavit.”
Rod Hatfield, managing director of LPS’ Enterprise Content Management division, was quoted in the newsletter: “Now servicers can quickly and uniformly spot and reconcile inconsistencies between documents and data, and stand up to regulatory scrutiny with a procedural audit trail.”
About 35 miles southeast of Sarasota, North Port was carved out of shrub land in the 1950s by the General Development Corporation, which sold the plots to buyers up north. It remained a relatively quiet community until the last decade, when developers erected one subdivision after the next.
North Port’s population doubled in less than four years, city officials say. There are now about 55,000 residents.
In those high-flying days of Florida real estate, Ms. Moore said she would buy up vacant shrub land and sell seven or eight lots on a good day, for $50,000 apiece, making as much as 40 percent in profits.
Those days are long gone, and North Port has fallen hard. Ms. Moore, a Florida native, is stuck with four plots that cost her $38,000 each (each is worth $5,000 or less) and a duplex she bought for $140,000 (it’s now worth $30,000, she says).
The median house price in Florida, meanwhile, had dropped to $121,900 in February, from $257,800 in June 2006, a decline of 53 percent, according to Metrostudy, a housing research firm. Indeed, some houses and condominiums in Florida are selling for roughly the price of a practical family sedan, new or used.
For instance, a two-bedroom house in Port Charlotte, just south of North Port on the gulf coast of the state, recently sold for $8,000, and listings for $25,000 homes are not uncommon. Many experts expect prices to drop even further.
Houses at 2.0-2.5x local income (or less)?
Florida may be seeing the bottom coming sooner than the rest of America…
Looking on the bright side, at least there apparently is no shortage of vacant homes around San Diego to potentially serve as rental or owner-occupied homes. According to this fact sheet, as of 2010, San Diego had a total of 511,820 housing units, of which 477,008 were occupied, leaving 34,812 (6.8%) vacant. The number of vacant homes in the city of San Diego, alone, is thus far in excess of the number of homes listed on the MLS for ALL of San Diego County (circa 10,000?).
What good do so many vacant homes do for anyone, especially when the homeless population here is large and growing?
Mission Valley was one of San Diego’s fastest growing communities during the last decade, as developers built more than 2,000 new homes there.
Though building slowed with the housing crash, construction has started again. A massive development, Civita, will build close to 5,000 new homes in Mission Valley in the next decade. The first 500 apartments and condominiums are scheduled to be done by early next year.
But as construction moves forward, U.S. Census data released last month appears to offer a reason to pause: Mission Valley had one of the highest vacancy rates in San Diego last year. About 12 percent of homes in the neighborhood’s core, many built in the last decade, were vacant. The citywide average, the Census found, was 6.4 percent.
…
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Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-08 08:00:09
Is there any vacant land left in Mission Valley that isn’t in a flood plain?
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-08 08:07:27
“Is there any vacant land left in Mission Valley that isn’t in a flood plain?”
Was there EVER any land in Mission Valley that isn’t in a flood plain? I thought Mission Valley was in a flood plain (actually more of a high-walled canyon) by definition…
Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-08 08:24:32
“Was there EVER any land in Mission Valley that isn’t in a flood plain?”
Exactly. Who would buy a house there?
Oh wait, this is San Diego.
Never mind.
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-08 09:10:44
“Who would buy a house there?”
Looking on the bright side, perhaps those who live in Mission Valley are relatively less likely to have their homes burn down in a wild fire.
“Florida may be seeing the bottom coming sooner than the rest of America…”
Not even close… there are massive backlogs of foreclosures AND the gov. is deregulating the insurance industry. Premiums that already run in the thtousands are expected to go up at least 25%.
This has to be a record for mission creep. I guess a Nobel Peace Prize ain’t worth so much these days…
U.S. may consider troops in Libya
CBS News - 4-7-2011
(CBS/AP) WASHINGTON - The United States may consider sending troops into Libya with a possible international ground force that could aid the rebels, according to the general who led the military mission until NATO took over.
Army Gen. Carter Ham also told lawmakers Thursday that added American participation would not be ideal, and ground troops could erode the international coalition and make it more difficult to get Arab support for operations in Libya.
Sorry to seem like a nattering nabob of negativism or a Debbie Downer, but the U.S. is certainly at an interesting juncture at the moment.
Stick around, the “TrueAgenda™””evangelical” sponsored fireworks climax will be when millions of American women are “legally” labeled: “Murders!” (both present & past)
is that before or after non-vegetarians are labeled ‘murderers’?
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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-08 11:43:31
Reckon depends on how good the non-vegetarians “Evangelicals” are at wrasslin’ with the religious “Evangelicals”…x1 “Crusade” at a time…saps their political “vital energy”, not to mention the stress on their donations finances.
What’s that? Libya is a desert and so any war fought there can’t last very long? Tell that to the Italians. What’s that? Our technology is so advanced that it will be a short war? Would this be the same technology we’re using in the decade long Afghan adventure?
Days? Where have I heard that before? If this were the 1800’s, maybe. But like the pentagon, you are suggesting outmoded strategies. Look up 4th generation warfare, or 4G war.
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Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 13:27:32
Just looked it up, and it’s exactly what I said. When somebody says “war” to me, I think of The Civil War, or World War I and World War II. Kill the bodies instead of winning hearts and minds. And I do think the US could do it in days.
Invading Baghdad to topple Saddam Hussein would have bogged down the United States in a quagmire “like the dinosaur in the tar pit,” according to Desert Storm commander H. Norman Schwarzkopf.
“The legitimacy for what we were doing was the United Nations resolution which called for us to kick the Iraqis out of Kuwait,” the retired four-star general said in an interview for “Newsweek on Air” carried by the Associated Press radio network.
“We never considered going to Baghdad. . . . We’d accomplished our mission.”
lil Opie: “My, I’m-the-Decider” strategy is to have a Libyan rebel US Marine repaint Ghaddfi’s bedroom in burnt orange and plant an American flag in his palace courtyard. Yes, you can quote me on that,…next question?…what? Is it OK if the US Congress shuts down ALL of the US Gov’t on accounts of American womens repoductive choices are destroying the American economy? is that what your asking?…”
Foreclosure volunteers help save county clerk more than $309,658
by Kim Miller
Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Volunteers from Illustrated Properties, a South Florida real estate agency, will be recognized for their service in helping clear Palm Beach County’s foreclosure backlog on Monday by Clerk and Comptroller Sharon Bock.
According to a press release, the volunteers perform basic functions, including photocopying and filing, which helps to free up clerks for other essential tasks and customer service.
Since September more than 20 volunteers from Illustrated Properties have volunteered in the foreclosure area.
“Volunteers support departments that have been severely affected by state-mandated budget cuts and layoffs over the past two years, helping with the heavy workload and saving taxpayer money,” said Clerk Sharon Bock, Palm Beach County’s Clerk & Comptroller. “Last year, our volunteers logged approximately 15,000 hours and saved county taxpayers an estimated $309,658 in donated work hours.”
Palm Beach County’s foreclosure backlog currently stands at about 29,466 cases, down from 46,438 cases in July. Statewide, the backlog of foreclosures in the court system is 322,724, down from 462,339 in July.
Wisconsin Supreme Court Justice David Prosser took a significant lead in his re-election bid Thursday when the clerk of a conservative-leaning county reported she failed to count the ballots from a wealthy suburb west of Milwaukee.
The 7,500 vote swing immediately generated charges of fraud and partisanship in a high-profile race that has become a referendum on Republican Gov. Scott Walker after he championed a law curtailing the organizing rights of public employee unions. Wisconsin has since become the focal point of a national battle between Republican governors and labor groups.
The developments Thursday dealt a blow to the hopes of the Democrat-backed challenger JoAnne Kloppenburg, who was leading Mr. Prosser by 200 votes before the discrepancy Waukesha County was detected. Nearly 1.5 million ballots were cast in an election that set records for spending and nearly doubled expected turnout.
In a statement, Mr. Prosser said he was “encouraged by the various reports from the county canvases. …Our confidence is high, and we will continue to monitor with optimism, and believe that the positive results will hold.”
Some Democrats called for a full investigation, citing a history of partisan squabbles between the clerk and other officials. In last three presidential cycles, the Republican candidates have carried the county by margins of nearly two to one. Mr. Walker also won the county last fall.
The election is technically non-partisan and neither candidate has taken a public position on the union rights law. Mr. Prosser—a former Republican state Assembly leader—has generally voted with the court’s conservative majority. Business groups and other conservative organizations have supported his campaign.
…
Per the county clerk, she “forgot” to click “save” in Microsoft Access on her computer. The thing is; there is no “save” button in that program, everything is automatically auto-saved.
At least here in Chicago, our old timers don’t mess around with computers when they “go” to work. Corruption done right!
Per the county clerk, she “forgot” to click “save” in Microsoft Access on her computer. The thing is; there is no “save” button in that program, everything is automatically auto-saved.
Microsoft Acess does have a save button/drop menu (at least the version I use). But it also auto-saves everything.
As explained here previously, “union rights” and “collective bargaining rights” are actually DENIALS of individual rights– specifically, the right of any individual, whether or not a member of a union, to work, and the right of an employer (who may be a corporation or an individual) to hire a worker.
By a sneaky twist of language, the concept of an individual right has been transformed into a “collective” right– that is to say, a new power for the government and a new encroachment on our freedoms.
Yeah, they discover new individual rights too, like the right to health care, housing, etc. to justify the need for collective “rights”.
But the new individual rights are just more ways to benefit one politically connected individual at the expense of another. Genuine rights like gun ownership and freedom of speech don’t take things away from anyone else.
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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-08 15:41:34
Yeah, they discover new individual rights too, like the right to health care,
If health care cost the same today adjusted for inflation as it did in 1965 I would say you have a stronger point but it dosen’t and you don’t.
Why would Americans not have a “right” to health-care when 1/3 of our entire population can’t afford our system of healthcare and NEVER will be able to?
(50 million no insurance, 50 million B.S. insurance and how many million afraid to tell their Dr. they are sick? How many not going because they can’t afford it?)
We don’t have the right not to be gouged? We sure have the right not to be gouged by gas stations during emergencies don’t we? I mean those that gouge the price of gas go to jail… Why? because we have the right to fair dealings.
We do not have that right in our dealings with healthcare and we deserve that right.
1. She worked for the incumbent
2. She was indited for political fraud in the past but given immunity.
3. It took 2 days to find/manufacture these lost votes.
4. Amazingly they found just enough to get over the 7000 threshold that would have required the state to have a recount.
Corporations win again. Democracy is a thing of the past.
100,000 a day took to the streets for weeks and it’s done nothing. It’s going to take something more.
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Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-08 15:05:21
100,000 a day took to the streets for weeks and it’s done nothing. It’s going to take something more.
Just look back at the movements to achieve notable social changes in our society. I’m thinking of things like the abolition of slavery, women’s suffrage, and, more recently, gay rights. None of these changes were achieved in a few months. Rather, they took decades.
The Greenville News reports that the local develop of 8 communities in the mountains of SC and NC is facing foreclosure on about 100 properties in one of those communities. The newspaper talked about the developer in his youth hiking in the mountains.
So I guess he grew up to prevent other young people from hiking in the mountains. He also built alot of golf courses which takes alot of environment and produces alot of pollution.
I am no tree hugger but his actions are not defensable.
Some areas are better left undeveloped so future generations can enjoy their hiking experiences. But how do you draw the line so that future generations of developers can still make their bundles of dough?
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) has laid a final offer at Republicans’ feet, and it will require them to drop their insistence on defunding Planned Parenthood, and accepting what Reid insists is an agreed upon level of spending cuts. If Republicans don’t take it, and if Reid’s not bluffing, the government will shutdown.
“The number we’re not bending on,” he told reporters in a press briefing Friday morning. “We’re not bending on that and we’re not bending on women’s health.”
…
The only relevant question here is who the American People are going to blame for the shutdown, and by laying an ultimatum, Reid is painting Boehner as the guy who’s slamming the door.
Upthread somebody asked what “emotional issue” was next. Well it appears to be Planned Parenthood, because Reid is hanging his ultimatum on them. Reid and Obama must be confident that the actual number of tea-bagging bible bangers is not nearly as big as advertized on TV.
I remember one shutdown breaking the back of the Newt Gingrich machine.
Basically, the Dems FORCED the GOP to balance the budget because of the shutdown. So the next time some neocon sock puppet says it was the Repub controlled Congress, remind them of the shutdown.
Just a comment for y’all to clarify my posts: I am not much very much like Archie Bunker. I don’t take positions, and defend my turf no matter how stupid it makes me seem. Rather, I enjoy stimulating debate, stirring the pot, taking different positions along the political spectrum, and seeing what others throw out in response.
So don’t take anything I say personally. (Especially you, NY City Boy, in case you are still reading…)
Sometimes PB you are like the evil little kid who when brought to task says “I was only joking.” It’s a liar’s defense as old as the hills, well covered in the Book of Proverbs I do believe.
If it were true, that the opinions you often post are fraudulent attacks upon us, just to get an emotional reaction for your amusement, then I think it is equally as abusive.
If it were true, that the opinions you often post are fraudulent attacks upon us, just to get an emotional reaction for your amusement, then I think it is equally as abusive.
Agreed. Your admission basically says “don’t even listen to what I post - it’s all BS”. And your “don’t take it personally” rings hollow given that you actively engage in personal attacks.
It’s clear you have an opinion and a bias - that’s okay, we all do. Own it - don’t hide behind “I’m just playing devils advocate all the time”.
I post here to stimulate thought, not to push an agenda — aside from making sure the bubble deflates until the balloon is empty.
If anyone finds my posts offensive, or insincere, or rude, or biased, or personally abusive, drummnj has a great piece o software you should check out.
I enjoy stimulating debate, stirring the pot, taking different positions along the political spectrum, and seeing what others throw out in response.
“They can duck, weave & twist, but their actions speak for themselves…”:
However, when it comes to denying War Pay to U$ $oldiers risking their lives fightin’ terrorist gangs for American in Foreign countries while their families & children are held hostage by “TrueAnger™” + “TruePurity™” championing “TrueReduceTheDeficitNow!!!!!!!!!!™” & “other” domestic economic issue stateside, somehow the JOY of “enjoy” seems to vanish.
Senate Majority Leader Harry M. Reid (D-Nev.) told reporters Friday morning that Congressional leaders came very close to a budget agreement Thursday night, but the deal broke up in a dispute over funding to a group that provides abortions.
House Speaker John A. Boehner (Ohio), the lead Republican negotiator in the budget impasse that has transfixed Washington and brought the nation to the brink of a government shutdown, immediately disputed Reid’s account.
…
If you have a mortgage, there’s a good chance it’s connected to something called MERS, an electronic database that’s linked to more than half of all U.S. home mortgages. And some critics say it’s a scheme to hide from paying millions of dollars of fees.
…
The banksters bypassing the system, because they don’t want to pay for it. What a surprise. Coulda knocked me over with a feather when I heard about this.
Oooops, I mean the “banksters didn’t want to have their wealth taken from them by the government……”
You’re getting there. Here, try this one: “The system is not allowing them to enjoy the fruits of their labor, so they need to keep more of their own money.”
Chester Cheetah might find it even harder to be cheesy.
US corn reserves expected to fall to 15-year low
ST. LOUIS (AP) — Rising demand for corn from ethanol producers is pushing U.S. reserves to the lowest point in 15 years, a trend that could lead to higher grain and food prices this year.
I hope people understand that Planned Parenthood does way more than just provide abortions. In fact they prevent thousands of more abortions each year by providing services to women at risk. Sometimes in communities they serve, Planned Parenthood is the only health care provider to women.
The budget battle has come down to abortions in D.C. Bottom line:
Hey, eyes forgot who was responsible for creating the prioritized grocery shopping list?
“TrueAnger™” + “TruePurity™” + “TrueReduceTheDeficitNow!!!!!!!!!!™” really ought to use the same color ink pen, their list easily gives away their “TrueAgenda™”
House Speaker John Boehner spoke on Capitol Hill in Washington on Friday.
By CARL HULSE and MICHAEL D. SHEAR
Published: April 8, 2011
WASHINGTON — Hours from a government shutdown, the leaders of the House and Senate offered dramatically different reasons for a budget stalemate and expressed little hope that the two sides will reach an agreement by midnight.
…
The struggle for position in the Battle of the Budget is great theatre. House Speaker Boehner says the Democrats are dragging their feet and Senate Majority Leader Reid says the Republicans are trying to take away entitlements.
The budget they’re battling over was supposed to have been passed prior to Oct. 1, 2010. There was no political will to do it. A poor reflection on voters who put these people in office.
Enter - President Obama in the role of the peace maker. However, neither side is paying much attention to him. Meanwhile, we-the-people have been assured that “essential federal government services will not be shut down” if the impasse is not resolved today. It’s another way of saying ONLY NON-ESSENTIAL AGENCIES WILL CLOSE. How does it feel, we wonder, to be employed by a non-essential agency?
** An interesting little footnote about silver coins. . . . had you put $1,000.00 worth of common circulating silver dimes, quarter-dollars, and half-dollars into storage in early 1965 that stash would be worth $28,820.00 today. If, at the same time, you had put $1,000.00 of paper currency away for safekeeping that stash would be worth $142.88.
A clear argument, I think, in favor of sound money vs. irredeemable paper currency.
LOL! It’s not “my” math, and yes I should have typed pre-’65 of course silver coins were still found in change in ‘65 as I typed. And yes I was young in ‘65 a whopping 8 years old. Old enough to remember and old enough to have a nice coin collection started!
Not neccesarily. Go get a job at a Quik Trip in a high crime area.
Recently, my daughter was counting a cash register drawer, and found someone had paid for their stuff with a bunch of almost Mint, 1957, one dollar and two dollar “Silver Certificates”
So, can she still redeem them for silver? And does she get the amount of silver it would have bought in 1957, or 2011?
** An interesting little footnote about silver coins. . . . had you put $1,000.00 worth of common circulating silver dimes, quarter-dollars, and half-dollars into storage in early 1965 that stash would be worth $28,820.00 today. If, at the same time, you had put $1,000.00 of paper currency away for safekeeping that stash would be worth $142.88.
How much would my stash be worth if I had invested $1,000 in 1965 in IBM or in Microsoft a decade later?
How much would your stash be worth if you’d invested in the winning lottery ticket?
I remeber the day after the 1987 crash. I had $2000 to my name. As a Math/Computer Science student I was determined to buy half Microsoft and half Intel stock. The damn stock broker at Merrill Lynch talked me out of it. Instead I ended up with Walmart. Not bad but far shy of what it could have been.
Fido’s Food Set to Take Bigger Bite of Budget: Chart of the Day
U.S. pet owners beware: the cost of feeding your animal is set to surge in coming months, following the rise in your own food bill.
The CHART OF THE DAY shows how changes in the food component of the consumer price index have led movements in pet food costs since 2006. In 2008, pet food prices jumped by 16 percent after human food inflation reached 6 percent. Human food costs have accelerated to more than 2 percent as of February after falling 0.7 percent at the end of 2009.
Americans spent more than $45 billion on pets and pet- related products last year, exceeding the value of domestic car purchases, according to data from the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis.
“Recent food price increases appear to be passing through to pet food products, as they did to an even greater degree in 2008, Zach Pandl, senior economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., said in a research note to clients. “These gains have added to the rise in core inflation, and likely will continue to do so for a while longer.”
The CPI increased 2.1 percent in February from a year earlier after rising by 1.6 percent in the 12 months ended in January. The Labor Department is scheduled to release March inflation figures on April 15.
Lots of doggies going to “the farm” in the future when choices have to be made.
[My brother actually found a farm for the family dog. I had just assumed that he put it down and kind of laughed when I found out that there really was a farm! He was horrified.]
The pet population here has exploded, very much in synch with the housing boom. As I type this thousands and thousands of pups are wandering empty condos waiting for the chance to administer some “unconditional love” to the even emptier hearts of their owners. For those pups, that’s “Miller time”.
This genius sow takes the cake, good thing Barry had morons like this advising him, not that that it matters, he is completely clueless anyway.
Christina Romer: A Weaker Dollar Is Good For America
By Aaron Task | Daily Ticker –
Frustrated by “the suffering of real families,” President Obama’s former top economic adviser recently called for action: “If I have a complaint about policy these days, it’s that we’re not doing enough,” Christina Romer said in a speech last month at Vanderbilt University. “I think there are tools we have tools we have that we can use, and I think it’s shameful that we’re not using them.” (See: Former White House Economist Blasts Inaction On Jobs)
With unemployment still near 9% and the “real” unemployment rate at 15.7%, “we can’t afford not to do more,” Romer tells me in the accompanying video. “For heaven’s sake with this many people unemployed — think of what it’s doing to government revenues and support payments. If all you’re worried about is the budget deficit, it’s really important” to put people back to work.
In terms of specific policies, Romer recommends a payroll tax holiday for corporations - rather than workers. Because “firms respond to incentives”, making it less expensive would encourage them to do more hiring.
Romer also wants more action from the Fed, which has already taken extraordinary measures to boost the economy and financial markets.
“What I’d like is for the Fed to come at the unemployment problem with the same passion as when the financial system was in such distress,” she says.
In terms of specific policies, Romer recommends a payroll tax holiday for corporations - rather than workers. Because “firms respond to incentives”, making it less expensive would encourage them to do more hiring.
Sheesh. Typical academic who’s never spent a day in the business world.
What she needs to get through her well-educated and highly credentialed head is that businesses will expand their payrolls in response to increased demand for their products and services. It’s not about tax cuts, tax holidays, SBA loans, or all that other stuff that these folks think we need.
Christie, if demand is down, so are payrolls. It’s that simple. Figure out a way to boost demand, and hiring will pick up again.
The MNCs smell blood in the water. They think it’s only a matter of time before they get an “amnesty” to bring in all of their overseas profits tax-free, or at a massively reduced rate.
Don’t hold your breath waiting for any of this cash to “trickle down” either.
The only “trickle down” J6P is seeing is that wet, yellow stuff.
Easy, hand out government jobs. ISTM that if government wants a job created, don’t give some company a tax break and “hope” the company creates a job. Just create the damn job yourself. There’s plenty of work to do.
Reid says Republicans want shutdown to close clinics
WASHINGTON, April 8 (Reuters) - Ratcheting up the rhetoric, U.S. Senate Democratic Leader Harry Reid on Friday said Republicans want to shut down the government because they want to deny funding to women’s health clinics.
“Republicans want to shut down the government because they think there’s nothing more important than keeping women from getting cancer screenings. This is indefensible and everyone should be outraged,” Reid said on the Senate floor.
It appears to be true that the $300 million annual budget for Planned Parenthood is precisely the issue keeping the two sides apart. You would think that Big Pharma would be all over this since the gubmint buys their oral contraceptive products to dispense at PP. But I guess nothing is more sacred than denying poor women access to abortions, even at the expense of their Pap smears and contraceptives!
I hear ya, Elanor. As a taxpayer, I don’t have an issue paying for an Abortion or Birth Control. Those decisions are between a woman and her maker, and not one our govt should use a carrot to control. Good point on Big Pharma. Where are their Lobbyists on this one?
As a taxpayer, I don’t have an issue paying for an Abortion or Birth Control.
In Iran, women of childbearing age can get birth control for free. The provider? The Iranian government.
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Comment by Awaiting
2011-04-08 14:10:15
I know PP doesn’t get federal money for Abortions, but I would rather give women the right to terminate an unplanned pregnancy, then to support an unappreciated child for 18 + yrs. For me, it comes down to the lesser of the two evils. I am not fond of the lesser of the two evil concept, but it kind of applies here.
Disclosure: I’ve had an Abortion. It is not an easy decision, and it is between the woman and her maker. In retrospect, it was the right decision at the time.
PP already does not use federal funds to pay for abortions. PP provides treatment for STDs to men as well as women (more drugs! Hey Big Pharma!) and they even provide vasectomies.
You know what I DO object to paying for with my tax dollars? Erectile dysfunction drugs for geezers via Medicare prescription plans. Wonder how the Tea Partiers feel about that?
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Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 13:33:14
Or worse, Elanor, insurance paying for ED drugs but not paying for birth control. A man is not allowed to say “no” because that’s bad for his mental health, while a woman is not allowed to say “yes” because that’s immoral.
PP already does not use federal funds to pay for abortions. PP provides treatment for STDs to men as well as women (more drugs! Hey Big Pharma!) and they even provide vasectomies.
And money is fungible, so that really is just an accounting trick.
I think it’s a silly issue overall (personally i don’t think the gov’t should be handing out money to any of these orgs, nor taking in the taxes it does to even have money to choose to redistribute), but let’s be honest….the fact that they get federal funds to pay for std treatments, etc, simply frees them to have more funds (via donations) for other things (including abortions).
(i’m pro-choice, as well, before someone decides to attack me on that front)
Comment by measton
2011-04-08 14:32:48
Well we can expect to see STD rates rise. This will of course trickle up (no pun intended) to everyone in the country.
As they say
An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure.
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-08 17:05:43
An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure.
I once had someone on this very board argue that prevention was more expensive.
I knew right then it was going to be a long Not a Depression Recession.
Gotta get the “base” fired up. It will all blow up because the Democrats want to kill babies, unlike the noble, common sense Republicans.
Everybody KNOWS who wants a government shutdown. What party has been yelling for years that there is too much government.
Republicans……get some sack, and OWN IT. According to you guys, nobody needs government anyway. Now is your chance to back it up, and lead the way to a brighter, un-regulated future.
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Comment by oxide
2011-04-08 13:34:56
Wait until one of the for-profit American energy companies cuts one too many corners at their nuke plants. Yep, it’ll be brighter all right.
I have a stupid question. Why don’t the Republicans put in an amendment to separate off the abortion services of Planned Parenthood into a separate entity? instead of denying PP entirely? Then the government can restore the $298 million (minus the abortion unit) to the cancer and contraceptive parts of PP, knowing for sure now that PP money won’t be going toward any abortions, not even indirectly. Would that make the Tea Party happy?
Funding for abortions is already forbidden by the Hyde amendment. None of this affects the legality of abortion (sorry, pro-lifers!), but funding is something else. Maybe the women’s studies set can donate to support PP Abortion (sorry, pro-choicers!).
Why don’t the Republicans put in an amendment to separate off the abortion services of Planned Parenthood into a separate entity?
possibly because PP isn’t a gov’t organization? So they can’t force PP to reorganize. Additonally, they’d have to guarantee that PP didn’t give the new entity any funds.
Over and over you hear folks complaining about the damage done by Al Greasepan &BB. However congress is exactly where the blame lies, they unleashed the beast and have been feeding from it’s hand ever since 1913.
Keep voting for the same self severing turds America!
Over and over you hear folks complaining about the damage done by the same self severing turds of America!
I’m stumped wmbz, who’d that be exactly? (hint, pick up a 2-sided mirror, stare intently into it, focus on the dark blurry image projected (you’ll need to turn a light)…who’d that be?)
April 5: Supporters for Wisconsin Supreme Court candidate JoAnne Kloppenburg cheer while watch election results in Madison, Wis.
Democrats in Wisconsin were crying foul Friday after a significant vote-count change in the hotly contested Supreme Court election gave the conservative incumbent the lead in a race that could decide the fate of the state’s new divisive collective bargaining law.
…
Democrats in Wisconsin were crying foul Friday after a significant vote-count change in the hotly contested Supreme Court election gave the conservative incumbent the lead in a race that could decide the fate of the state’s new divisive collective bargaining law.
Methinks that the marchers will be converging on Madison once again.
Cool, Oil is over $112.00 and uncle buck is…well looking a little weak in the knees. That’s good according to one of Barrys former financial advisers!
She thinks a weak dollar is a wonderful thing.
Wells Fargo cutting 1,900 mortgage jobs, 274 in Twin Cities
Minneapolis / St. Paul Business Journal
Wells Fargo & Co. said Thursday it is cutting 1,900 mortgage jobs as home lending and refinancing slows, according to media reports.
The company said 274 of those jobs would come from its Twin Cities operations, the Star Tribune reported.
The cutbacks, which were announced to employees March 23, represent 1 percent of Wells Fargo’s entire workforce and 3 percent of its mortgage staff.
A majority of the jobs were temporary ones created last year when refinancing surged because of low interest rates, according to both Bloomberg and Reuters.
The IRS mailed the accountant’s lawyer a $3.24 million check that arrived in suburban Philadelphia by first-class mail Thursday.
“Whistleblower programs have been incredibly successful in the arena of health care and defense spending, and now they are being tried as a weapon against tax cheats and Wall Street scoundrels,”
The whistleblower program only promises awards for returns of $2 million or more.
The accountant’s case is the first in the program to reach fruition.
(Guess the good Senator has never been lied totricked cleverly deceived?)
“When you got a whistleblower that’s saying somebody didn’t pay $20 million in taxes, that that’s an embarrassment to the full-time employees of the IRS,…” Sen. Charles Grassley
AS it focuses on patterns of behavior
IT focuses on patterns of behavior
FOCUSES on patterns of behavior
ON patterns of behavior
PATTERNS of behavior
patterns of behavior
patterns of behavior
patterns of behavior
But the dude wouldn’t shut up would he? Was that a question or a filibuster?
People in public positions have to deal with this sort of thing at least once during every public appearance. How they remain so gracious is beyond me. I know I wouldn’t have the patience.
Dollar tanking - thank you, Ben Bernanke and TurboTax Timmay. Prepare for a flood of foreign buyers with resource-backed currencies (and Central Bank restraint) to snap up distressed US properties.
I had an ugly incident today at a bank. A total lack of customer service on their part was exhibited. They acted like I should go away and die for a mistake they made that cost me a bearable, but not minor amount of money. My feelings at this point is why even keep much money in a bank or financial companies like Fidelity,etc. for that matter. I guess I can consider this a cheap schooling in the real world of money and how it is managed. I am not smarting as much as I would in my youthful years because they have taught me a major lesson.
I need to talk with branch manager next week, but ultimately, yes, I am pulling money out of their branch and their brokerage service and will encourage my wife to do same with her savings account. I am sure the bank will take attitude of don’t let the door hit you as you leave stance, and I can only expect that. Lesson is nobody cares more about your money than yourself.
It occurs to me that, as a country, we’re going to test the Peter Principle:
“The Peter Principle is a special case of a ubiquitous observation: anything that works will be used in progressively more challenging applications until it fails. This is “The Generalized Peter Principle”. It was observed by Dr. William R. Corcoran in his work on corrective action programs at nuclear power plants. He observed it applied to hardware, e.g., vacuum cleaners as aspirators, and administrative devices such as the “Safety Evaluations” used for managing change. There is much temptation to use what has worked before, even when it may exceed its effective scope. Dr. Peter observed this about humans.”
Unfortunately, the part of the Peter Principle that says people are promoted beyond their competency has resulted in same people doing the testing and interpreting the results.
The anger stage of the housing bubble - “we” own everything,… you owe, “us”… You are nothing without, “us”,… “we” will take what, “we” need in order to make, “us” whole. Tutto nello Stato, niente al di fuori dello Stato, nulla contro lo Stato. “We” are many.
Is that what Yurtle the Turtle said at the top of the stack?
Mortgage rates mostly edged higher in the latest week, with the average on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rising slightly to 4.87%, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey.
Mortgage rates generally track U.S. bond yields, which move inversely to Treasury prices. Rates have climbed this year after slumping most of last year when prices rallies on economic uncertainty.
…
Name:Ben Jones Location:Northern Arizona, United States To donate by mail, or to otherwise contact this blogger, please send emails to: thehousingbubble@gmail.com
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Someone at the IMF has taken note that the U.S. mortgage interest deduction is welfare for the wealthy.
April 6, 2011, 1:28 PM ET
IMF Calls Mortgage Interest Deduction ‘Regressive’
By Alan Zibel and Ian Talley
The U.S. should consider capping or cutting the popular tax deduction for mortgage interest as it prepares to debate what should replace mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the International Monetary Fund said Wednesday.
The IMF, in an analysis of housing finance systems around the world, said an Obama administration paper released earlier this year makes progress toward needed changes in the U.S. mortgage system. But the report criticized the U.S. for not tackling the popular tax deduction for mortgage interest, which the report termed “expensive and regressive.”
The U.S. government’s support of the housing market “has been pervasive but has not yielded many of the expected benefits to prospective or existing homeowners,” the report said. “It is clear that an overhaul is needed.”
“As a first step, we would very much recommend that the U.S. would at least cap the mortgage interest deductability,” said Ann-Margret Westin, an IMF senior economist and one of the authors of the housing report. She approved of the recommendation by the U.S. fiscal commission to halve the mortgage limit for deductions and to let it apply only to private residences, but the IMF said any such move would have to be undertaken over time.
…
Welfare for the wealthy has become an American traditon. Don’t tread on my bonus.
“Private residences?” I didn’t know there were “public” residences, or do they hand out the MID for CRE?
Silly me, I thought the MID was a tax break intended to help families break the rental cycle, put down roots, foster communities, mom apple pie yada yda etcetra. Instead, it’s a tax break run amok. Somebody please put a leash on this puppy.
I would take it to mean Principle Residence, as in not for second homes. Obviously an English not my first language moment.
I think the word is being used to discriminate between “house in which the owner lives”, and “house in which a renter lives”. The implication is that renters are not as legitimate as owners, although I’m sure the person who originally made the statement is not aware of his/her own prejudices.
Renters are not subsidy-worthy, nor are owners of houses whose mortgages cost less in interest than the standard deduction net of other deductions.
Only those whose mortgage interest payments are substantially in excess of the standard deduction get to collect this form of welfare for the wealthy.
Renters not subsidy-worthy? I dunno, I see plenty of renters subsidized by Section 8. Now, whether or not they’re worthy of the subsidy is another issue.
A home in which a renter is living is a business and interest on the mortgage is already deductible as a business expense. It doesn’t need a special rule. Special rules are only needed to make personal expenses deductible.
…and your rent would be higher if the landlord could not deduct that interest…presumably.
“Section 8″
Trying again: Middle-class renters, who don’t qualify for Section 8, are not subsidy-worthy…
PB,
Yeah, anytime they let us keep our own money it’s “expensive and r
Regressive”.
What’s expensive is to have a bunch of dim witted bureaucrats taxing us to death and then funneling the money to their favorite friends, family or causes.
And another thing, who gives a rats a$$ about what the IMF thinks anyway?
Good morning folks
let us keep our own money.
Let’s review:
Government already taxed your income when they witheld it from your paycheck. Then, when you told them that you bought a house with interest, they gave you money back to reward you for building community. That is, they took in money. Then they hand out money to homebuyers, same as they hand out money to food stamps. In any other universe this, MID would count as Government Spending.
I thought Republicans wanted to CUT government spending? They’ve been making noises about it for a while now. Well, here’s your chance. This is a GREAT place to cut evil government spending!
.
.
.
.
.
oh, I get it now, if you take in tax money and give money back to the poor or middle class, that’s “government spending.” If you take in tax money and give money back to the rich, you’re “letting them enjoy the fruits of their labor.”
You’re full of it.
Personally I am for removal of any tax deductions. But to suggest that it’s a government’s spending is laughable. The average homeowner pays much more in taxes than he or she gets it back in MI deductions.
Dude….. how is the MID not “government spending”???? Set aside the massive market distortion the MID creates and the disasterous tax policy that it is.
If it’s not revenue then it is spending. You guys who nattering endlessly about evils of “government” conveniently or more likely ignorantly exclude a very basic element called REVENUE.
The average renter also pays more in taxes than what they get back for their mortgage interest deduction. That’s because their deduction is always $0. In other words, renters are subsidizing the taxes of owners. That is a case of the government taking from one group in order to give to another group. IMO, that is the definition of “government spending”.
Not that government spending is always bad, but I do think it’s bad in this case.
“The average homeowner pays much more in taxes than he or she gets it back in MI deductions.”
Your point is irrelevant, but I’m too lazy to explain why. Take a basic college economics course and get back to us.
spending only in the sense that it is a bank subsidy…indirectly though. so i would not say it is a dollar for dollar calculation.
I’m no fan of government “incentives” like MID. Still, the concept of increased taxes actually being reduced spending can’t get through with me. Square peg round hole I guess.
Unless, the concept is based upon all the money really belonging to the government in the first place……………..
And I have the trouble with thinking this is “increased taxes.” Say Joe bought a house last year, and got $8K back. This year, he obviously didn’t buy another house and therefore didn’t get another $8K. Did the government raise Joe’s taxes?
Hmmmm. If I buy a cell phone and get money back from a mail in rebate, did I pay less for the phone?
I guess it depends on attention span.
Or another example: say you’re an airline. It costs $75 to carry the passenger and $25 to carry the bag. Do you make the ticket $75 and charge people an extra $25 for the bag? Or do make the ticket $100 and knock $25 off the price when the passenger shows he doesn’t have a bag? The end result is exactly the same. All passengers pay for themselves, and only the people with bags pay for them.
Of course government is far more complex, I’m just playing with perceptions today.
How about we bought bought the same phone. You got a rebate, but I didn’t. Does that mean I paid for part of your phone?
Airline tickets are subject to tax.
Bag fees are not.
Look for that to change in the future.
“Does that mean I paid for part of your phone?”
yes!
(thank you)
you probably did not submit the rebate claim.
“How about we bought bought the same phone. You got a rebate, but I didn’t. Does that mean I paid for part of your phone?”
as a tax person…i just care about effective rates.
if my effective thax rate is 26% and warren buffets is 10%…houston…we have a problem.
Government already taxed your income when they witheld it from your paycheck
Except for:
Sales Taxes
Property Taxes
Title and Transfer Taxes
City Taxes
County Taxes
State Taxes
Phone Taxes
Utility Taxes
Gasoline Taxes
Etc.
Your logic doesn’t seem to hold up…
Your lame effort to kill SS and Medicare aren’t working.
Find a new schtick.
No, my logic holds up fine. Even if they took more money from you by other mechanisms, and over different times, the key issue is that the government is giving you money BACK, that they don’t have to give you back. They don’t give ME money back for the MID, because I rent. Do I feel as if my taxes have been “increased” because I rent? Not really. I feel as if the government hasn’t spent money to reward me for buying a house — yet. It’s a different angle to look at things, I admit.
To answer Skye’s point of all money belonging to the government: Well, I don’t believe “all” my money belongs to them. I would say that 20% of my money belongs to them. (or whatever the tax rate is). Now, if I give them 20%, and they choose to reward me by spending some of that 20% back on me, well I like that. But the point is that once they have everybody’s 20%, it’s up to Congress to decide where that 20% goes, whether to me or to somebody else.
If you guys can divide up where that 20% should go that makes everyone happy, there are some folks downtown that would interested in hearing from you…
the key issue is that the government is giving you money BACK
And with that you’re wrong.
You’re working under the assumption of employer withholding taxes each pay period, and no concept of deductions/filling out a W-4.
It’s very possible for an individual to claim enough deductions on their W-4 such that they don’t get any money “back” from the government. Likewise, it’s possible for one to make estimated payments quarterly instead and not get any money “back”.
A deduction is not a credit. It’s not something guaranteed to you by the gov’t, all the gov’t is giving people is the difference between taxes paid and taxes owed. That is not gov’t spending in any way.
And you’re working under the assumption that the mortgage interest deduction is actually related to income taxes.
(waiting for Polly to smash me to pieces here…)
Say government sets up a new agency, called MID. Every December, you fill out a MID form with how much you paid in mortgage interest that year. You mail it to MID. A few weeks later, MID mails you a $$ check and a note that says “thank you for building community when you bought your house.” The amount MID sends you depends on some funny formula.
MID would have nothing to do with the IRS. It wouldn’t matter if you planned your W-4 to have not enough witholding (you pay), too much witholding (you get a refund), or perfect witholding (1040 says “0″). The IRS took your tax money and put it into the Uncle Sam kitty. MID paid you out of the same Uncle Sam kitty. (Money is fungible.) Is MID “letting you keep your money,” or is MID “government spending?”
The confusion arises when Congress uses the IRS channels as the mechanism to dole out that government spending* instead of setting up or breaking down a new agency at each time Congress thinks up a new incentive. The process is so convoluted that people look only at the net gain or loss, and declare it a tax decrease or tax hike. I’m deconvoluting the net back into its two steps — taxing in and spending out — just to make people think!
Lastly, I would argue that a tax deduction, conceptually, is exactly the same as a tax credit, only with a little “k” constant in the equation. Say I pay a tax rate of 20%. I have a tax deduction of $100. I get $100 x 0.20 = $20 back. Doesn’t that effectively amount to a tax CREDIT of $20? That is, $20 of government spending?
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*The issue is also convoluted because the “funny formula” used by my fictional MID agency also happens to involve your income tax bracket %. However, conceptually, it would be pretty easy to define a fixed MID formula and decouple MID from IRS entirely.
How about looking at the MID from a conservative’s point of view. The MID encourages sheeple to pull equity out of their home(because of the tax advantages)therefore, the sheeple do not have a mortgage-free home when retirement age comes. Then they become dependent on a gov’t ENTITLEMENT(SocSec). We can’t have that can we?
The concept of deductions and credits being economically equivalent to direct government spending is a long established rule for tax economists. Both create incentives to favor certain types of behavior (buying a house, giving money to charity, growing corn for ethanol, etc.) If you are talking about vast numbers of people being eligible, it is a little easier to put things in a tax deduction because most people file taxes. It is harder to get people to properly access and file a whole new form than to properly fill out a new line or section of a form they already fill out. Besides, why create a new infrastructure (people, computers, processing, rules about privacy, etc.) when one already exists?
To claim that there is a substantive difference between eliminating a deduction and direct government spending is political rhetoric.
Oxide - two points:
And you’re working under the assumption that the mortgage interest deduction is actually related to income taxes.
I would say it’s far more than an assumption. The MID is a factor when computing your AGI to be used for the purposes of income taxes. So yes, it’s absolutely related. I get your hypothetical, and perhaps that’s a better solution if the goal really is community-building. But if you look at the history of the MID, that is not the case. It used to be that all interest was deductible, and as it stands it does involve the IRS.
Lastly, I would argue that a tax deduction, conceptually, is exactly the same as a tax credit, only with a little “k” constant in the equation.
That may be true assuming someone pays more in taxes than they would get with the credit. However, consider a MID of $10k on an income of $5k. Now consider a tax credit of $10k on an income of $5k. What’s the net result?
In the case of a credit, the tax”payer”(hardly) gets a $5k check from the pocket of “real” taxpayers. In the case of a deduction, it’s just a question of how much of your own money you get to keep.
Okay, a third point on the “government spending” idea. You go to the store to buy a coffee. It’s $1.50. You give the clerk $20. Is them giving you your $18.50 in change “spending” on the part of the coffee shop?
To claim that there is a substantive difference between eliminating a deduction and direct government spending is political rhetoric.
I would disagree. Perhaps if gov’t income and expenditures were in line, but given that the two are not connected, there are two fundamental differences between “government spending” and eliminating a tax deduction.
If the government spends more, what happens? Taxpayers are taxed the same. The debt goes up. And the gov’s outflows increase.
If a tax deduction is eliminated? Individuals keep a smaller % of their income, govt’s outflow stays the same, but income increases.
Your characterization seems to ignore other persons in the equation besides the gov’ts balance sheet in net.
No, drumminj. I’m not ignoring anything. You are falling prey to the idea that money you have in your pocket is somehow more important than money you could be paid for responding to an incentive in the future. Except for the time value of money (and the emotional factor of getting “extra” and the fact that once you have enough for basic needs your next dollar of income is of less marginal value than the earlier ones), they are the same.
You are falling prey to the idea that money you have in your pocket is somehow more important than money you could be paid for responding to an incentive in the future.
Please explain? The money I have in my pocket is referencing the lower tax liability, right? What is the money I could be paid for responding to an incentive in the future?
And I wouldn’t dismiss the time value of money so easily, but I have no problem ignoring it for the purposes of this discussion.
It used to be that all interest was deductible…The MID is a factor when computing your AGI
In other words, “it used to be” that the government spent money to reward people who paid interest of any kind. Now they only spend money on people who pay interest on homes. That doesn’t change the concept that it is STILL government spending. And yes, once you use the IRS as a conduit to spend on government rewards, it’s easy to tap into other features of the IRS tax structure. However, it can easily be decoupled.
———–
In the case of a credit, the tax”payer”(hardly) gets a $5k check from the pocket of “real” taxpayers. In the case of a deduction, it’s just a question of how much of your own money you get to keep.
There you go again about “how much of your own money you get to keep.”
But that said, I agree that there are two kinds of “tax credit.” There is a tax credit where the government looks at what you did, and they like it so much (say, you did solar panel research) that they spent 100% of that money back on you, or effectively gave it to you for free.* This is a “credit.” There is another tax credit where they look at what you did, they like it somewhat (say you gave to Salvation Army), so they spend 20% of that money back on you. This is a “deduction.” drummin, you can slice the semantics any way you want, but the fact remains that you paid your full taxes and they spent money back on you — separately — because they liked what you did. If it turns out that the government spends more on you than you put in in full taxes, what difference does that make in the concept?
————-
Okay, a third point on the “government spending” idea. You go to the store to buy a coffee. It’s $1.50. You give the clerk $20. Is them giving you your $18.50 in change “spending” on the part of the coffee shop?
Nope. The coffee shop doesn’t have a “right” to your $20, because they’re only selling you $1.50 of coffee. However, they do have the right to $1.50. So, let’s continue the scenario. You order $1.50 in coffee. You hand over your $20 bill. They give you $18.50 in change. Then they go to make your coffee, but you say, “Wait, I forgot, I brought my own mug.” They say, “Great! You’re eco-conscious! We like that! We’ll give you 5 cents back for the mug.” It’s a bit of a pain to open the register again, but they open it and give you a nickel. Effectively, your coffee cost $1.45, but it took two separate transactions: 1) you bought the coffee and got an $18.50 “refund,” and 2) they spent a nickel on you because you brought your own mug.
Now wouldn’t it have been easier if you had shown them your own mug when you ordered the coffee, instead of waiting until after you paid? Then they could have refunded you an $18.55 instead, and open the register only once. Of course it’s easier! That’s precisely why government rewards through the tax system, it’s one NET transaction. However, no matter what the mechanism is for payment, the coffee shop had made a separate decision to “spend” a nickel on you, to reward for bringing you own mug.
———–
*Instead of a 100% credit on the tax return, sometimes it’s easier to pay 100% directly. We just saw this happen in the Obama admin. Originally, renewable energy companies got a tax deduction, say 20%, because the tax code was the easiest way for the gov to spend 20% back on the companies. Then, Obama realized more people would do renewables if just gave away (spent) the money, and converted it to a direct grant. It’s still spending, the only difference is whether Obama was spending 20% or 100%.
Nope. The coffee shop doesn’t have a “right” to your $20, because they’re only selling you $1.50 of coffee.
This has become a ridiculous argument about semantics. You seem to imply here that the coffee shop doesn’t have a right to your money, but the gov’t does. That makes it clear.
If taking money from an individual and then giving some of it back to them is considered “spending” in your eyes, that’s fine. I disagree, and it appears inconsistent with how you feel about the coffee shop, but it really isn’t worth arguing.
I implied no such thing; in fact I contradicted it directly. Please read again:
———
The coffee shop doesn’t have a “right” to your $20, because they’re only selling you $1.50 of coffee. However, they do have the right to $1.50.
———
And yes, the government does have a right to our money, in the form of taxes. If you think that the government does NOT have a right to at least SOME of your money, then NJ renter is right. You belong in another country.
And of course this is an argument about semantics! This started when Lip said that a tax break “allowed him to keep more of his money,” which is a very nice SEMANTIC logical fallacy.
Kirisdad…you are mistaken.
the irs has a provision to keep people from furthering tax deductions through refinancings….interest tracing rules.
“the key issue is that the government is giving you money BACK, that they don’t have to give you back.”
No, that’s wrong. If the law says they have to give it back, guess what? They HAVE to.
You are also wrong about the “giving back” part. The home buyer has the money, it’s his money, the governmnet gets it when he pays his tax bill. The government is not “giving back” anything.
If the law says they have to give it back
Laws do not appear by themselves. When I “they don’t have to give the money back,” I meant that Congess DOESN’T HAVE TO pass a law which gives money back.
As for “paying the tax bill,” I went over that point repeatedly. Some people got it the first time, some got it the fifth time. You’re still having trouble, but I think I’ve explained it enough.
‘Do I feel as if my taxes have been “increased” because I rent? Not really. I feel as if the government hasn’t spent money to reward me for buying a house — yet. It’s a different angle to look at things, I admit.’
Clearly you are neither sufficiently wealthy nor sufficiently poor to have that entitlement mentality which makes you think those welfare payments belonged to you to begin with.
You must belong to the long-overtaxed, -overworked middle class.
Wow, oxide. You’ve very patiently laid out why taking away the MID is NOT “raising taxes.”
I can’t believe people are still arguing with you about this. It’s pretty simple to understand. Thank you for your explanations.
Butters, this is more of a philosophical argument. The amount isn’t really relevant. It shouldn’t matter if you get rewarded only a little bit compared to taxes paid in, like I did, or if you get rewarded so much compared to the taxes paid in that you effectively paid no tax at all, like General Electric did.
Yes, one could argue that all money belongs to the government, and the government doles it out where they please — communism. One could also argue that all money belongs to the laborers that work for it, and they dole it out (buy) where they please — the Randian libertarian fantasy. The trick is, where is the best balance in the middle, and how far to the middle is the MID? I’m just countering lip’s original point.
when houses were much more affordable the MID was further to the “left”.
“Government already taxed your income when they witheld it from your paycheck. ”
i have alot of control over what i pay in or what is withheld.
if i had a mortgage i would just reduce my withholding…so technically…i never even pay it in.
i think the mortgage interest deduction should be removed in order to create more affordable housing.
I think you are correct, Oxide.
Agreed, oxide is correct.
‘Yeah, anytime they let us keep our own money it’s “expensive and r
Regressive”.’
WRONG. Just when the top 1% only gets to keep almost all of the money and the rest of us get to eat cake.
WRONG. Just when the top 1% only gets to keep almost all of the money and the rest of us get to eat cake.
Umm….this is about keeping the money taken from you by the government. It doesn’t matter about what % you’re in, simply that in some cases the gov’t takes less of your money.
Are you really that jealous/resentful of the people with more money than you that you think they have no rights to their wealth? That you, via proxy of the government, have more right to it than they do?
The top 1% get 70% of capital gains and dividends. If one looks only at taxable capital gains and dividends (ie most of the cap and div gains for the middle class occ in retirement accounts) They earn a much higher percentage. Thus if they cut taxes on capital gains and dividends almost all of that goes to the top 1%. The top 400 income earners pay 16% effective tax rates and that’s on the money they haven’t sheltered overseas. GE pays nothing.
So yes I’m F’n resentfull. They get all the bailouts, They pay lower tax rates, they control my gov. They have no right to their wealth because they F’n stole it or accepted stolen gains that will come out of the hide of eveyone in the bottom 98%. Inflation in this case is another tax on the bottom 90% who can’t hedge their income.
Are you really that jealous/resentful of the people with more money than you that you think they have no rights to their wealth?
Ahhhhhhhh,
The the AM radio”jealous of people with more money” card…….commonly used by those who hate progressive taxation, can’t argue well against it and know most Americans approve of it.
Are you really that deluded to think that you’re doing the right thing by championing the cause of those who enslave you and millions of others?
We don’t expect an answer from you but your sanctimonious pandering and arrogance is well noted.
Resentful? Hardly. But I would rather not live in a country like Mexico, where the wealth disparity is so large that the people are left fending for themselves.
That the Republicans somehow convinced the poor and the middle class to vote against their own interest is their greatest achievement and the greatest con pulled over the voting population of this country.
No, you are highly unlikely to be rich one day, because we are a country that ranks at the bottom when it comes to social mobility.
No, your children are highly unlikely to be rich when they grow up, again because we lack social mobility.
No, your grand children are highly unlikely to become rich either; see above.
No, you are highly unlikely to accumulate enough wealth in your life time such that your estate will consist of more than $5 million (exemption level for estate tax). Indeed less than 99.7% of the estates pay any tax at all and many people will outlive their wealth and die penniless.
No, you are highly unlikely to become the next Bill Gates or Warren Buffet. The part of these people’s lives not entrenched in mainstream narratives is that (1) Bill Gates’ father was a prominent lawyer (named part of Preston Gates) and his mother served on the board of various banks; and (2) Buffet’s father, a Congressman, brought him to visit the stock exchange for the first time when he was 8–a perk many “common folks” did not enjoy in his day.
No, you are highly unlikely to save enough money or gain enough from investment to fund your own retirement. At some point you will have to depend on the government “handout” be it S.S. or Medicare.
No, you are highly unlike to hit the lotto.
Not long ago I sat in the same conference room with a prominent economist who advised the Bush administration, and was on the short list for the Fed Chair nomination after Greenspan’s retirement. I told him, “You guys are really good at convincing the poor people to vote against their own economic interests.” To which he replied, “Of course; I was the one who advised the President that he should never use the term ‘rich people.’ Instead, they are ‘entrepreneurs.’”
You may, from your own present situations, disagree with all the social safety net policies. But do realize that one day, when you need these the most, it would be too late to begin the advocacy for their support. I, for one, would prefer not to see old people kicked onto the street and die the day they out live their life time savings.
But on the other hand, those old Teabaggers forced “Medicare for All” off the table. So f*#$ them.
‘So f*#$ them’
You can make your points without being crude.
“Jealous of those who make more money”
no. i want to be one.
“Aware that the rich need to pay more taxes than the poor because that’s the only way it can work”
yes. i want to be rich enough to complain about that.
The top 1% get 70% of capital gains and dividends. If one looks only at taxable capital gains and dividends (ie most of the cap and div gains for the middle class occ in retirement accounts) They earn a much higher percentage
I can’t dispute or support this - I don’t know the exact numbers. I’ll just assume they’re correct, and I’d say “so?” In and of itself this is fine, IMO. No one else is “entitled” to the cap gains…if they have money invested, they deserve fair compensation (I’m sure we disagree on what’s “fair”, so let’s avoid that for now).
Thus if they cut taxes on capital gains and dividends almost all of that goes to the top 1%
K, that’s fine. I don’t agree with cap gains taxes being lower than income taxes - personally I don’t think income should be taxed at all. However, we’re talking about the MID here, not relative tax rates of dividends versus interest and income from labor.
The top 400 income earners pay 16% effective tax rates and that’s on the money they haven’t sheltered overseas.
And as stated above, I don’t agree with the way our tax code is structured. So no argument here.
GE pays nothing.
Surely you see that a corporation and an individual are very different when it comes to tax treatment, no?
They have no right to their wealth because they F’n stole it or accepted stolen gains that will come out of the hide of eveyone in the bottom 98%
I think you’re painting with a very broad brush here. Is that true of some of the “top 1%”? Sure. All of them or even the majority of them? Doubtful. Actors, professional athletes, entrepreneurs who start and own their own successful business?
Honestly, I’d respect this position more if attempts to “punish the rich” were actually targeted at this top 1% you have so much scorn for. But all the proposals I see suggested are about the top income tax bracket, which affects a much larger swath of people - most of them working class individuals. Why target people who work hard and happen to be successful just to get at the “evil wealthy” you characterize?
Rather than argue against the MID, why not focus on tax rates for dividends? Or taxing wealth over a certain amount rather than income?
Inflation in this case is another tax on the bottom 90% who can’t hedge their income.
Sure, but does that mean that those of us in the top 10% but not in the top 1% (a HUGE discrepancy in wealth and income there) should suffer as a result? Sure, I can hedge my wealth to some degree, but I still work 2 jobs, 50+ hours a week, and my income is in $US. Rather than target people like me, why not address the source of the problem - the federal reserve. And the current tax policy. And the lack of enforcement of existing laws and regulations?
I, for one, would prefer not to see old people kicked onto the street and die the day they out live their life time savings.
And you’re welcome to take action to prevent that, and help those. There was a time not too long ago where the gov’t didn’t forcefully take funds from citizens to pay to support old people with no savings. People voluntarily did such things, and as such, everyone’s liberty remained in tact, as they were voluntary actions.
Please explain why you must force everyone else to adhere to your wants and needs? Just because I want something doesn’t mean I feel everyone else must do the same thing, or must provide for my wants. Yet that is the implication of your stance here.
You’re assuming that I want any of the things listed above..that I aspire to be “rich”, or to sit at a table with Bill Gates (I did eat dinner next to Steve Ballmer once - does that count??)
You’re missing the difference in philosophy here, and projecting an incorrect motivation on me.
I want individual freedom. I believe I’m fundamentally entitled to the fruits of my labor - not only 75% of it. And when the chips are down, I don’t expect anyone else to bail me out. That’s the thing about principles, and it’s quite the logical fallacy to assume I don’t support such government programs simply because I’m not in a place where I need them, and will support them if I am in a place where I would benefit.
It’s also wrong to assume I don’t believe in the same morals as you - I just don’t believe I (or the government) has the right to force others to support those ideals.
+ 1000 NJ Renter
“I want individual freedom. I believe I’m fundamentally entitled to the fruits of my labor - not only 75% of it.”
Wrong society then. Rousseau has already elegantly addressed this argument in “The Social Contract,” an piece that heavily influenced the foundation of this country.
And what you conceive as “fruits of my labor” is in fact supported by numerous invisible societal benefits and “handouts” so pervasive that you have stopped appreciating them. Remember, “No man is an island” and, though as we would like to contribute to ourselves alone the achievements we reach as individuals, without the support and benefit of living in this society, it would be impossible for you to achieve the same.
That you get to keep 75% of the “fruits of my labor” is a small price to pay for the benefits you receive from living in this society–otherwise, in a society without the benefit we offer, even if you get to keep 100% of the “fruits of my labor,” it may be the case that these “fruits” pales in comparison as the 75% you so bitterly complained of.
Using an example from Rousseau, in the state of nature you get to keep as much land as you can physically defend. But when you age and wither, that amount correspondingly drops. But, through the benefit of living in this society, the state will defend on your behalf all the properties that rightfully belong to you, thus enabling the weakest person to own and defend as much land as he/she is lawfully entitled to. Keeping “merely” 75% of the “fruits of my labor” is a small price to pay for such a benefit. But we often fail to take account for these social benefits when we consider “fruits of my labor.”
And indeed, the “social” part of the social contract means there is no opting out–otherwise we begin to run into adverse selection and free-riding problems.
Wrong society then. Rousseau has already elegantly addressed this argument in “The Social Contract,” an piece that heavily influenced the foundation of this country.
wrong society? Perhaps you wish to reconcile that with our constitution and the bill of rights?
That you get to keep 75% of the “fruits of my labor” is a small price to pay for the benefits you receive from living in this society
That’s an incredibly subjective statement. Who are you to say what’s a worthwhile price or not? Let’s say you are - what price should each individual pay? Why a % of income earned from labor?
in a society without the benefit we offer, even if you get to keep 100% of the “fruits of my labor,” it may be the case that these “fruits” pales in comparison as the 75% you so bitterly complained of.
Possibly, but again you assume my goal is to “get ahead” in some way and amass wealth, rather than living free with rights and liberties. A false assumption.
And indeed, the “social” part of the social contract means there is no opting out–otherwise we begin to run into adverse selection and free-riding problems.
You seem to think that whatever the gov’t dictates is somehow *THE* social contract, the only possible and sustainable social contract.
If that were the case, this country would have ceased to exist 200 years ago. Yet it miraculously didn’t.
And I’d argue that the “social” contract is in fact something one can opt in or out of. There are consequences of both choices, but one should be free to make that choice.
No, you are highly unlikely to accumulate enough wealth in your life time such that your estate will consist of more than $5 million (exemption level for estate tax). Indeed less than 99.7% of the estates pay any tax at all and many people will outlive their wealth and die penniless.
————————
5mm puts you in the top 1 million (of 300 million) people in the US, maybe even a little higher. I mostly agree with your points, but still think it’s odd the way we keep moving the marker upwards to what counts as rich.
Sure it’s common to say that a million dollars doesn’t buy much anymore, but since there are only 15mm out of 300mm, it seems like buys enough to me and is simiarly unattainable.
Please explain why you must force everyone else to adhere to your wants and needs?
Drummminj, You’re not going to believe this. It’s crazy I know but check this out…
We, the USA, as a country, as a society chose to institute Social Security, Medicare and a bunch of other stuff that would help old, sick and needy people. I know it’s nuts but we did it! It’s even on Google now.
We even voted on it and stuff. Because of liberty and FREEDOM. ( i like saying freedom).
Oh……so anyway, the American people through their representatives in Congress voted to have those things in this thing we call a DEMOCRACY, (that’s rad to say too)
I know “Congress” sounds a little socialist because it’s a bunch of people coming up with stuff but anyway we chose to have those safety-nets because we were FREE to do it within the parameters of our Constitution, or I should say CONSTITUTION. (if you put the word “Constitution in blog posts, you sound really patriotic)
But you see Drummmmminj, that’s the thing about principles… Americans were FREE to decide what we want as a society and we did it. No you are in the minority but that’s OK, you still have the FREEDOM to whine and moan about how the super-rich only can get a few billion dollars off the FRUITS OF THEIR LABOR. (that’s a good line too).
So you are free to whine and moan about it but as the minority you can’t FORCE us–you can’t make us by FORCE conform to your failed UTOPIAN trickle down, supply-side, crony-capitalist ideology.
Why? Because of freedom!
Umm….this is about keeping the money taken from you by the government.
“…that you think they have no rights to their wealth?
So, why don’t the Ultra-wealthy just buy the lethal weapons needed and give them to a “voluntary” military and just ask those US soldiers to keep dying for America so that “they” (Ultra-wealthy) can not-b-bothered with such “taxing issues” and get back to the enjoyable things that they like to enjoy.
Kochchew!…”bless you”
And indeed, the “social” part of the social contract means there is no opting out–otherwise we begin to run into adverse selection and free-riding problems.
One heck of a post.
I don’t think some posters are aware of much American History before the Tea Party and the Koch Brothers.
(but they do say “freedom” and “constitution” a lot)
i am beginning to think drumminj is just one *socialist* person like most responding here. he just want these *principles* so well eloquently articulated here, laid out for everyone. thank you.
Great discussions folks!
Also kudos to you NJ renter. J6P seems to think that someday his ship will come in, and heaven help the taxman who tries to take some cargo off the ship. Never mind that the rich hijacked all those ships far out at sea long before J6P ever saw the ship. And this is why the super rich tend to stay in power. The richer you are, the farther out you can hijack a ship, to the point where J6P doesn’t even know it exists.
But please guys, do not beat on drummin as “arrogant.” Drummin is laying out good points and good arguments and at least trying to defend his views. We are all learning because of it. That takes a lot of effort and intelligence. Save the nasty labels for the closed-minded one-liner talking points (which I admit I am guilty of too).
But drummin, maybe we started out with a bare-bones government as laid out in the Constitution. But as the years went by, I guess we got tired of watching the old and sick die in the streets, and we got tired watching the young go illiterate and beg in the same streets. And let’s be honest, it’s a lot of trouble and expense to take care of people, and some of them had no family anyway. So, little by little, Representives looked at the dying in the streets, looked at the “general welfare” section right at the top of the parchment, and began to pass laws to take care of the poor and take the burden off churches and families. Poorhouses, state-run jails with some humanity at least, then public schools, New Deal programs, and culminating with (too?) big programs like SS and Medicare.
This, by the way, is all perfectly Constitutional. We elected Representitives, they passed laws. And guess what, we as citizens must have liked it, because we never elected enough representitives to repeal those laws. Until now…
“5mm puts you in the top 1 million (of 300 million) people in the US, maybe even a little higher. I mostly agree with your points, but still think it’s odd the way we keep moving the marker upwards to what counts as rich.
Sure it’s common to say that a million dollars doesn’t buy much anymore, but since there are only 15mm out of 300mm, it seems like buys enough to me and is simiarly unattainable.”
Slightly different comparison. You are talking about $5mm for overall population; some of these are people who are in their peak earning years and may be at the very top of the wealth they will ever have.
By contrast, a “estate” is created only after a person dies. Presumably in his/her older years, with much diminished earning and increased healthcare costs over about two decades of living, it is much more likely that the wealth would have diminished substantially when the person dies.
It’s shocking to me there is an argument going on about whether we should even have a government structure.
I used to be a republican/libertarian”ish” in my younger days.
Over the years I came to view my “conservative” peers as mainly narcissitic, self-centered, juvenile, and in many cases sociopathic to varying degree and I think we can all see those traits laid out in this blog day after day. What I see, and I’m sorry if you’re offended, but what I see is that these people tend to literally care about no one except themselves. Maybe their families. Perhaps this is simply the “human condition” for a great swath of the population.
Many think theses Unites States just magically happened and that social community and social safety nets are not important. I find this an interesting but juvenile mindset, on the order of a 5 year old. People who haven’t learned to share and get along yet. Back to the 1800s!
Sad.
As wealth gets concentrated so does political power drumminj. Expect to see the elite come after your wealth at some point as well. This is really not a top 1% vs bottom 99% problem. It’s a top 0.1% vs 99.9% problem. Many near the top delude themselves that they are the elite and benefit from the poliicies of our government. The reality is you work two jobs, it’s likely that your jobs depend on a strong middle class. The elite don’t depend on that now as they have globilized their wealth. Their wealth depends on control of gov and natural resources.
And when the chips are down, I don’t expect anyone else to bail me out.
You’re young, you have a good-paying job, you bounced back from unemployment, you don’t seem to be saddled with a spouse or expensive children. In fact you and I are a lot alike in that respect.
However, I know full well to not count on luck. I know full well that my life savings could be wiped out in a single medical moment, be it by truck or virus. I do not know what my 65th year will hold. And while I expect to have reasonably more fruits of hard work (college degrees) than someone who didn’t work as hard, I also understand that “working hard” and wages are NOT linear by any stretch of the imagination, nor do I want the lower-paid to have nothing, which is the direction we’re going in. I believe we all deserve some form of general welfare — gee where have I heard that before — and that’s why I pay taxes.
But, no, I’m not going to “donate” to the IRS, so quit the smart remark.
I don’t see the differential. So you can make up to 5 million, live like a king and not pass as much on? That somehow makes you different from other rich people? I guess it does in that they were wily enough to pass their money on from shoemaker to risk taker to list maker, and so on.
$5mm at 4% gets you $200k a year in income without even touching principle. That again puts you in the top ~1.5% or so in yearly income. If you are a decent money manager, you could nestle that into tax free accounts. If you are spending that much in retirement (no need to drive back and forth to a job, no kids to put through school) then I don’t really see a legitimate difference.
I find this an interesting but juvenile mindset, on the order of a 5 year old. People who haven’t learned to share and get along yet.
Nice, mature comment.
You do realize that people can care about others and help them out without involving the government, or forcing others to do so.
You, like many here, seem to think the only way such things can happen is via government programs. And then lay personal attacks on those of us who speak up that this isn’t a requirement.
Let me ask you to consider something - how many animals are helped by private organizations? How many rescue groups out there take care of abandoned animals - horses, dogs, cats, ferrets, etc - who donate their time, money, efforts, and home to help? Who donate to people who own animals but can’t afford to feed them?
In case you weren’t aware, the answer is A LOT. And the government isn’t involved (Aside from 501(c)3 status).
I donate time, effort, and money to these organizations because I believe in their mission. I don’t force anyone else to do so, and I don’t think it’s the government’s job.
Yet somehow, when it comes to people, the government is the only one capable of providing support, and individuals shouldn’t have a choice?
As wealth gets concentrated so does political power drumminj.
Agreed this is unfortunately the case. There are (IMO) better fixes to this problem - reforming government - rather than increasing taxation and forcing wealth re-distribution.
Expect to see the elite come after your wealth at some point as well.
Perhaps, but all I see these days is liberals/progressives trying to commandeer the fruits of my labor via the strong arm of the government.
Over the years I came to view my “conservative” peers as mainly narcissitic, self-centered, juvenile, and in many cases sociopathic to varying degree and I think we can all see those traits laid out in this blog day after day. What I see, and I’m sorry if you’re offended, but what I see is that these people tend to literally care about no one except themselves. Maybe their families. Perhaps this is simply the “human condition” for a great swath of the population.
Count me as one who agrees with the above.
Perhaps, but all I see these days is liberals/progressives trying to commandeer the fruits of my labor via the strong arm of the government.
What a big fat joke. You write like a mindless talking point and I don’t care if I say it.
Somehow this board switched from simple economics and housing discussion to politics. I remember the days circa 2004 and 2005, when I would come and learn a great deal about economics. This is where I first learnt the terms such as swaps and CDO, and now it makes me look really smart in front of my bosses.
But this board is now dominated by conservative/Tea leaning commentators. I wonder whether it’s because many liberals feel like I do–I’m tired and frustrated by the current situation and generally refrained from speaking. We elected a left-leaning President and majorities of both houses only to see the policies stalled at every turn. Of course, most of the obstacles came in the form of Senate Republican minority; but we have seem plenty of infighting as well as pandering and lack of political courage.
So I’m tired, and I honestly don’t know what to say to an old Teabagger carrying a sign with “Keep Government Out of My Medicare” while he lives off of social security checks. Or another sick person bagging for money to treat his illness after he attends a protest against medical reform. I don’t know how to intelligently engage that person or how to convince him, that if he had dug a little deeper below the surface and the one-liners, there is another layer of truth, albeit more complex, that can be revealed.
And I prefer to not fight dirty. I don’t think it’s fair to take hours of footage of NPR personnel and then manipulate the tapes to show the speaker in the worst light; I don’t like the use of “Nazi” in every accusation against political opponents. And I don’t think statements such as “the U.S. has the world’s highest corporate tax rate” is fair without the caveat that over 70% of the U.S. corporations pay not income taxes.
So I’m tired of fighting, and I don’t comment much here. It just seems so futile as we are unlikely to convince each other to change our views. To me, the “big government liberalism” can be beautifully summarized in these words:
“No man is an island, entire of itself…any man’s death diminishes me, because I am involved in mankind; and therefore never send to know for whom the bell tolls; it tolls for thee.”
“I want individual freedom. I believe I’m fundamentally entitled to the fruits of my labor - not only 75% of it. And when the chips are down, I don’t expect anyone else to bail me out. ”
Then go buy an island, and die on it. Of some easily preventable disease.
Your problem is, you don’t listen to Jesus. someday, you may truly know the truth of what he said. Like, “All that you have, has been given to you.”
Ungrateful. Lets see you make your money, with no roads, and no educated labor force. Go build your onw cruddy country.
And all I see these days is republican conservatives trying to shut down the services I use and pay for and pocket the money.
And it really is that simple.
Your problem is, you don’t listen to Jesus.
Then go buy an island, and die on it
are you putting this forth as an example that you do??
Your problem is, you don’t listen to Jesus.
Right-wingers don’t listen much to Jesus these days, especially the really religious ones.
You do realize that people can care about others and help them out without involving the government, or forcing others to do so.
Spoken like a “ “TrueDeceiver™” repubican dressed in Amish clothes who lives day by day like a Jesus-I’ve-sinned-again democrapt. What?, you want a “TrueMeritBadge™” now?
Your “compassion” reeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeks!
I take back what I said earlier. On second thought, I think renters and anyone who owns a home valued at less that $1m dollars should not get any kind of housing assistance or mortgage interest deduction, while anyone who owns a home valued at $1m or more should not only get a mortgage interest deduction but should also get the full value of all their mortgage payments deducted. In fact, I propose those earning more than $1m a year should have to pay no income tax whatsoever.
This would be good for society, because if anyone has to pay less to fund the government, we all collectively benefit.
“Right-wingers don’t listen much to Jesus these days, especially the really religious ones.”
They never did. They merely hijacked the religion in North America and wore the label but rejected every single Christian concept. There is a growing movement to run these people out of churches everywhere and I’m having a real good time helping.
“Agreed this is unfortunately the case. There are (IMO) better fixes to this problem - reforming government - rather than increasing taxation and forcing wealth re-distribution.”
But you’ve established long ago that “wealth redistribution” is acceptable to you so long as it moves in the direction you favor.
How do you reconcile this?
“fruits of my labor”
drumminj, what I am hearing is that you don’t like income tax. How do you propose that government provide for fulfilling its duties and what do you believe are the duties of government?
I talked to a man the other day who wanted to do away with property tax. When I asked him the above question, he stated that sales tax should be the vehicle and that about 25% should do it.
There are pitfalls and merits to any tax structure. Washington state has no income tax and relies primarily on property and sales taxes. Property and sales taxes are easier to collect than income taxes. There are fewer entities to collect from. But if property taxes are too high, individuals can find their property taken for non-payment. Sales tax can be made less regressive by not taxing essentials, but too high and it can put a damper on sales. And in an economic downturn, revenues drop.
I hear the charity card played from time to time. In an economic downturn, charity revenue drops just when more services are needed. And I believe the same level of services will not be provided through charity that are now provided by the government. I suspect your answer will be that that means that government is providing services that people don’t want to pay for. (I will let you confirm this) But I am not sure that is entirely true.
If money that is not collected by the government for social services is instead only partially given to charities, then I think we will see more bubbles. People who know that they have to provide for their old age and will not have a social safety net, will be more likely to invest their discretionary money than to contribute to charities. They will be more likely to participate in manias as they chase larger investment returns. A lot of them will run into trouble at some point (bad investments, medical problems, extended unemployment) and find their savings gone.
I want individual freedom. I believe I’m fundamentally entitled to the fruits of my labor - not only 75% of it.
Blah, blah, blah,…laminate your wisdom on 4×5 note cards for the ages.
Larry Flynt is in your camp pal,…what’s your objection now buddy?
This Larry Flynt:
Larry Claxton Flynt, Jr. (born November 1, 1942) is an American publisher
“Perhaps, but all I see these days is liberals/progressives trying to commandeer the fruits of my labor via the strong arm of the government.”
All you need to do is look at the wealth distribution in this country to know who is stealing your wealth. The workers of this country are taking a beating. The elite are gaining strength. Unions have all but been destroyed.
Like I said , I suspect your job, the value of your property , and the value of your friends and families jobs and property depend on a strong middle and upper middle income population. The top 0.1% don’t care about such things.
drumminj, what I am hearing is that you don’t like income tax. How do you propose that government provide for fulfilling its duties and what do you believe are the duties of government?
I am busy tonight and all day tomorrow, so really don’t have time to respond to this right now. I do appreciate your respectful approach to this, however. I’d like to give you a response, but just can’t do it right now…
I talked to a man the other day who wanted to do away with property tax. When I asked him the above question, he stated that sales tax should be the vehicle and that about 25% should do it.
I’d agree with that opinion. I’d much prefer a consumption tax than an “ownership tax”. Being taxed for owning something (and being able to have it taken away as a result) undermines the whole concept of ownership, IMO.
Hopefully I’ll find time to respond to the rest of this in the next few days. Thank you for your respectful approach to this subject (contrasted with most of the other responses in this thread).
Somehow this board switched from simple economics and housing discussion to politics.
Agree, unfortunately.
But this board is now dominated by conservative/Tea leaning commentators.
Strongly disagree. Actually count the posts on this thread or any other with a lot of responses and I think you’ll find the vast majority support the left. It’s odd to me that you guys can have a big majority and still feel dominated.
Not so much dominated, Carl. It’s just frustrating to see thread after thread of long, well-thought-out logic-dominated post answered with the equivalent of a nya nyah nyah bumper sticker.
And I’d argue that the “social” contract is in fact something one can opt in or out of. There are consequences of both choices, but one should be free to make that choice.
Well then, please give a report on the current persecution of my Amish cousins, the one’s living in Ohio USA.
drumminj- One day, maybe, you’ll realize you couldn’t earn your income without the tax-paying society within which it is earned.
If not, then why don’t you make like a free marketer and move to a non-taxed, modern country?
Because there’s no such place? Well, isn’t that odd.
“How do you propose that government provide for fulfilling its duties…”
Isn’t this where the Fed’s printing press technology comes in handy? In the post-Reagan Republican world, wherein anyone who suggests honest taxation is politically tarred and feathered, a license to print can quickly fix any budget gap.
PB:
I moved to Virginia.
Miss you out here on the Left Coast; hope life is treating you well.
Bottom line, sounds like fewer dollars around to support inflated house prices as taxation/revenue needs come increasingly into conflict with REIC capital inflow demands. This will be interesting to watch play, to watch the MID fade away.
You’d think with involvement in three wars plus a federal budget impasse, Uncle Sam would have bigger concerns than working hard behind the scenes to keep housing prices artificially inflated and unaffordable.
There’s probably several sticky notes hanging on Bernanke’s computer monitor, and one of them says: “Housing Prices.”
Har!
At what point was propping up housing prices inserted into the Fed’s policy mandate? I want to see it in writing; please post if you have the evidence…
Agreed, then let them end the MID on October 1, 2011 (FY). Simple, done and done.
What’s that? The government broke a promise to houseowners? Well get in line houseowners, the government has broken a lot of promises.
PB,
I’ve often wondered the same thing. With all the talk about deficits, we are still engaging in wars where we don’t belong, and we are still subsidizing certain industries that have no business being subsidized.
Nice history of the deduction
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/03/05/magazine/305deduction.1.html?pagewanted=print
Maybe the MID should be replaced with a tax break based on how much of your house is paid off- which would encourage home ownership rather than mortgage ownership.
I know of a lot of J6Ps who benefit from MID.
Since there are more of them than the wealthy, this article looks more like a way to spin another denial of benefit to J6P while beating the drum of “balanced budget” that also doesn’t really hurt the rich and deflects attention from them and all the other tax breaks the rich get and J6P doesn’t.
It’s good to be a banksta…
Looks like quite a bit of that $150bn “loss” the GSEs have generated since Uncle Sam took them over have gone straight to banks’ bottom line.
The Financial Times
Public lifelines boost banks’ fees
By Francesco Guerrera and Telis Demos in New York
Published: April 5 2011 21:42 | Last updated: April 5 2011 21:42
Investment banks’ fees soared to pre-crisis levels in the first quarter, underpinned by government-owned clients in a sign of the public sector’s sway over the global economy after the financial turmoil.
The increase in the worldwide fee pool will heighten investor hopes of a good first-quarter season for US banks, which start reporting results next week.
…
In the recovery that has followed the crisis, however, governments have become much more important clients for Wall Street and the City of London than they were before the turmoil.
Seven of the top 11 global fee payers in the first quarter were governments or state-controlled companies, including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the US mortgage finance companies, and AIG, the insurer that is 80 per cent owned by the US Treasury.
…
Well not all of it. It may be a small portion of the total pie, but 100s of millions went into executive compensation for those running these companies at a loss on behalf of the taxpayers.
Why do executives get paid 100s of millions for operating companies at a loss, and I mean either private companies, government enterprises or any other type of firm that pays out 100s of millions to executives?
I’ve often wondered why the govt even needs these investment banks. I imagine it’s not so difficult for the govt to handle their own transactions and investments. Why the middle-man?
Nothing in this article the PM or commodities traders haven’t already figured out…
The Federal Reserve
Off message
Ignore the hawkish rhetoric. The Fed isn’t about to tighten
Apr 7th 2011 | Washington, dc | from the print edition
WHEN the Federal Reserve put its monetary foot to the floor two years ago, it had plenty of company. These days America increasingly looks like the outlier. Emerging markets have been tightening for months—China’s central bank raised interest rates again on April 5th. As The Economist went to press, the European Central Bank (ECB) looked likely to raise rates for the first time since 2008. The Bank of England has been agonising over whether to do so too. The Bank of Japan has turned the monetary taps on, but its circumstances are somewhat special.
…
Markets habitually assign too much weight to the hawks, however. The real power at the Fed rests with its leaders: Ben Bernanke, the chairman; Janet Yellen, the vice-chairman; and Bill Dudley, the New York Fed president. Their views are more discreet but they are the ones that carry the day. At present they are sanguine about inflation and worried about unemployment, which means a rate rise this year is unlikely.
If the economy continues to improve, the Fed would probably lay the groundwork for higher rates in 2012 by dropping its “extended period” commitment later this year. It could also tighten by shrinking its balance-sheet, first by no longer reinvesting the proceeds of maturing bonds, then by draining reserves through money-market operations and finally through outright sales of bonds. But the unpredictable effects of such operations mean they will not be the principal method by which the Fed tightens monetary policy.
Mr Bernanke and his lieutenants are conventionally Keynesian. They consider inflation’s principal determinants to be the gap between aggregate supply and demand and the public’s expectations. Wages, a good gauge of labour demand, are growing sluggishly. Galloping petrol and grocery costs have driven up inflation, so they look to core inflation as a proxy of where things end up once commodity prices stop rising. This measure is still below 2%, the Fed’s preferred inflation rate, and thus too low. Expected inflation looks tame, too (see chart).
…
Off message
Ignore the hawkish rhetoric. The Fed isn’t about to tighten
The long running HBB soccer match hasn’t reached
“Sudden-Death”the point of a “shoot-out”…yet:“All that running around…no goals… but exciting things must be happening, listen to the crowd!”
Score:
Federal Reserve Inc. (person) = “TrueWizardCorporation™”
Bungee-cord Theory = 1
Rope-around-the-Throat = 0
Looks like eCONomic soccer has mastered the concept of long duration “over-time” Mr. Bear…
Sustaining the duration of whatever must eventually stop for
“longer than expected” is the Fed’s modus operandi.
American politics
Democracy in America
Barack Obama’s re-election campaign
Lack of change you can believe in
Apr 4th 2011, 18:59 by E.M. | WASHINGTON, DC
“IT BEGINS”, concludes the video launching Barack Obama’s re-election campaign, “with us.” That is, it begins with ordinary, hard-working, upstanding citizens getting together to speak out for what they believe in. And what is that, exactly? A woman in Arizona (Gladys, a caption helpfully informs us) talks vaguely about finding a job, owning a house and putting kids through college. Aside from these unobjectionable goals, however, there is no hint as to what Mr Obama stands for or how he intends to achieve it.
…
“no hint as to what Mr Obama stands for…”
What would be a good strategy for the O’b one? When we met him before the last election, he could say he was for anything that would gain traction, and he did. Now we know he wasn’t for any of those things. He must be wondering: How stupid are they, really?
I’m thinking that young impressionable idealists won him the election first go. I’m thinking that old blockheads turned the tide in the mid-terms. What fringe group will rise to entertain us and tip the scales for 2012? What issues could stir our emotions to the point of once again loosing our cognitive abilities?
How about Single Payer groceries?
“What fringe group will rise to entertain us and tip the scales for 2012?”
The Tea Party, perhaps?
Speaker Boehner Says ‘No Daylight’ Between Him And Tea Party
01:35 pm April 7, 2011
by Frank James
Democrats like Senate Majority Leader Sen. Harry Reid have charged that Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) would make a deal with them over federal spending for the remainder of the fiscal year if not for pressure from the Tea Party wing of the Republican Party.
So it was interesting to hear Boehner’s response to a question based on that charge that ABC News’ George Stephanopoulos put to the speaker in an interview.
…
Single Payer groceries? Well there’s a can of worms.
One could say that Food Stamps are like Cong. Ryan’s proposal to privatize Medicare. Gov gives you X dollars and you choose from a variety of private sector grocery stores. As opposed to the old bread and cheese lines, where gov drives in a truck of bread and cheese and gives it to you for free… Then again, medical care is so expensive compared to income, and so complex that I’m not sure you can compare the two..
Gov gives you X dollars and you choose from a variety of private sector grocery stores.
That only works with a functioning, non-subsidized market for food. Prices on groceries are set based on competition amongst stores and what customers are willing and able to pay with their own money.
Food stamps are only a small % (i assume) of sales, and as such don’t distort the market.
Competition starts off well, but in the end leads toward monopoly, especially for “needs” like food. A fully unfettered functioning market will eventually starve the poor.
Competition starts off well, but in the end leads toward monopoly
Agreed. Though I haven’t witnessed this with regards to food, at least at the retail level. I have 6 different grocery stores within 2 miles of my house.
Now if we’re talking food production, there are certainly issues there. I’d argue a lot of that has to do with gov’t interference (patenting of genetically modified seeds).
because barrier to entry is cheap.
Though I haven’t witnessed this with regards to food
…maybe because we DON’T have a “functioning non-subsidized market” ?
(by “functional” I assume you mean invisible-hand capitalistic…)
oops, sorry, didn’t read your post right. Food’s kind of an exception. Because we need so much food, and often, you can’t centralize the stores into a single behomoth stoe and make customers drive to it. So it’s hard to go to monopoly in retail. But, as you said, the middlemen are using the huge distribution warehouses.
Super-Target, and Super-Walmart?
If they had their way, they would be the only grocery stores in town.
“Then again, medical care is so expensive compared to income, and so complex that I’m not sure you can compare the two.”
Exactly, there is no such thing yet as a “catastrophic” grocery bill, so why would you need insurance to pay for it.
Also, the grocery store (at least Walmart) doesn’t charge different people different prices (you do get tiny discounts at some stores if you have a loyalty card). Anecdote: My son had some blood labwork done. The EOB arrives from the insurance co. The list price for the work was about $120. Our “negotiated” price was $27. So had we been uninsured we would have paid $120, instead we paid $27 (which was applied to our high deductible).
Wow, you got a deal. I just had some blood work done, they checked for 7 things I think- and the uninsured price was $300.
In Colorado:
The list price on a medical bill is about as useful as the standard price on the back of the door in your hotel room. No one pays the list price.
The bad thing about medical is that you will have to make financial while you are sick and on meds. Not some that is very easy to do.
What issues could stir our emotions to the point of once again loosing our cognitive abilities?
$top paying US Service folks their War pay so that “TrueAnger™” + “TruePurity™” can show the Nation that you mean to criminalize women if they make certain non-free choices regarding their reproductive health decisions.
Bugs: “eh, could be Doc….”
“…loosing our cognitive abilities?”
They are already plenty loose.
not as loose as my spelling abilities.
Blue Skye:
Really? He didn’t propose health-care reform? He didn’t propose that accused terrorists be given trials? He didn’t order Guantanamo Bay to be closed?
HE DID ALL THOSE THINGS!
The truth is that the President is not king. He has to contend with people in Congress who may not agree with him. He also has to follow Supremem Court rulings. Strangely, it seems that it’s easier for a President to get his way through lying and stealing (ala George Bush Jr and the Repulicans) than through TRYING to follow due process.
I see your point, although what we got in the way of health care “reform” I suspect is not quite what we thought that might mean. Pass something, anything, save my Presidency…
Close Gitmo? check.
No lobyists at White house? Check. Rent the place next door.
Declare Victory and bring our boys home? Check.
Nothing personal. I had higher hopes for the man than what has been delivered. Yet, I see no singular who-is-he hook to hang my hat on and doubt he can form one up for the next election.
Well agricultural subsidies being what they are, an argument can be made that effectively we already DO have single payer groceries, or at least we that pay the higher, non-competetive price that would be the result of single-payer groceries.
higher, non-competetive price
Non-competitive prices are only higher in private sector. When non-profit government runs the show, prices are lower, cf. Medicare. Of course quality suffers, but may be because the contractors who deliver the product are private sector.
i think he is as delusional as the tea party would be candidate. after all the disappointments he has caused.
This explains a lot about why no budget deal can be reached.
Speaker Boehner Says ‘No Daylight’ Between Him And Tea Party
01:35 pm
by Frank James
April 7, 2011
…
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: You know what the Democrats say. They say that they could cut a deal with you, but you won’t buck the Tea Party.
SPEAKER BOEHNER: Listen, there’s no daylight between the Tea
Party and me.
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: None?
SPEAKER BOEHNER: None.
…
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: You know what the Democrats say. They say that they could cut a deal with you, but you won’t buck the Tea Party.
A little historical perspective.
The 2011 Budget (the one they are fighting over RIGHT now) should have been passed in 2010. You remember 2010 don’t cha? - the democrats controlled the HOUSE, SENATE and WHITE HOUSE. By huge margins. They could have passed ANY budget they wanted.
The democrats didn’t want to pass a budget because it would have shown them for the tax and spend people they are right before an election in which the voters were actually taking notice of such things. So they didn’t pass any budget and figured they could dump the whole thing on the next congress.
Now they are arguing over a measly 2% reduction to an insane deficit and will shut down the government over it.
But somehow - it is the all Tea Party and Republicans fault.
It wouldn’t sit well if they blamed you personally, now would it?
“So they didn’t pass any budget and figured they could dump the whole thing on the next congress.”
How’s that working out for them?
You know, I don’t like to shout “talking point” as if that’s a legitimate argument, but I’ve seen this particular phrase on almost every political or news site comment board I ever read: “The Dems had huge margins; they could have done what they wanted.” It’s a talking point that comes from a central source, and can be refuted simply by saying “lockstep filibuster.”
The other day I talked about how people are simply less nice than they used to be. Well, even Senators of both parties used to be nice and not filibuster unless it an issue near and dear to their hearts. Those were the days when 56-44 was a huge margin. Then the Republicans woke up in 2006 or so and said, “hey, we can filibuster everything. Make ‘em get all 60. It’s not nice, but it’s legal.” The Dems never had the huge margin that the talking point suggests.
Then the Republicans woke up in 2006 or so and said, “hey, we can filibuster everything. Make ‘em get all 60. It’s not nice, but it’s legal.” The Dems never had the huge margin that the talking point suggests.
I don’t dispute any of what you said above…but with a majority in both houses and control of the white house, there really is no excuse for not passing a budget.
I see your point regarding the filibuster, but I’m guessing the Dems easily could’ve offered up a compromise to get around it. Our legislative branch is not set up to allow one party to just steamroll their ideas/agendas through.
A compromise that would get 4 republican senators to agree to a budget that means they would face overwhelming opposition in their next election. Maybe you can find 4 who don’t have an election coming up for another 4 years or are planning to retire or who don’t fear a primary challenge at all. And maybe those 4 will be people who like the democratic budget enough to vote for it with a few tweaks for their state. Maybe.
Or maybe not.
Except, of course that a majority is only as good as party loyalty. There are ALWAYS congressmen and senators of both parties vowing to vote no unless their policies, or pork barrel, or perceived self-interest are pandered to.
Or maybe not.
at this point we’re fully in the realm of speculation. Maybe it’d affect re-election, maybe not. That’s always a risk, with every bill, every vote, every compromise.
It doesn’t mean that they couldn’t have compromised, though.
sounds like saving you own skin for politics. but they do not have any problem ignoring other minorities, like lots of federal workers and contractors, for *measely* 0.01% (i don’t know if that is correct) of the federal budget.
“they would face overwhelming opposition in their next election”
Now they are arguing over a measly 2% reduction to an insane deficit and will shut down the government over it.
It’s not “measly” when the cuts are targeted to substantially reduce funding to specific programs that the Tea Party is ideologically opposed to.
We are not talking about across the board, equitable cuts. We are talking about a minority political movement trying to usurp the majority will of our country.
We are talking about a minority political movement trying to usurp the majority will of our country.
We are talking about a minority political movement trying to usurp the majority will of our country.
We are talking about a minority political movement trying to usurp the majority will of our country.
I’ll drink to that sentimental FACT!
Cheers!
On top of everything else Congress must raise the debt ceiling!
How much? How does $2 trillion plus sound?
The present national debt ceiling is $14.294 trillion. Congress only has $34 billion to go before it crashes into the ceiling. How much to raise it? It’ll have to go up a trillion so the federal government can limp to the end of the present fiscal year, which is the end of September. But we’re getting close to an election year. To get to November, 2012, and a bit beyond if its lucky, Congress must now vote to raise the debt ceiling by more than $2 trillion. That’s two-thousand billion dollars! To be paid back by our kids, in addition to the fourteen-thousand billion dollars already owed.
Congress knows everybody’s watching.
If they don’t raise it, you can kiss the recovery good-bye.
What is this recovery you talk of?
I really think, at the end of the day, the majority of voters do not care about the debt. We’re just a bunch of ants in the anthill, going about our daily business in utter ignorance of our circumstances and understanding of the world; praying the great magnifying glass in the sky doesn’t seek vengance on our souls. Beyond that, who cares if the tribe made a collective decision to build in a flood zone or in a field about to be plowed? The great family picnic of 2011 is going to occur soon, and maybe junior will drop his popsicle again!
the majority of voters do not care about the debt
agreed. Most don’t know the difference between “debt” and “deficit”.
Not that I think it’s good that most people look at things this way.
Most don’t know the difference between “debt” and “deficit”.
As long as they can go out to dinner at Applebees or Chili’s and be home in time to catch Dancing with the Stars, as far as they know its all good.
the majority of voters do not care about the debt.
Why should they? There ain’t no stopping this train. This is the last grabbing of wealth before it blows. It’s gonna blow. It needs to blow. Now how do we want it to blow? Do you want a half-a$@ blow where the TBTF rich can engineer bailouts only for themselves while the rest of us get the shaft? Or do you want it to blow so big that everyone suffers equally and we tell them how to re-set? I’m tired of those clowns giving us the finger…Are we going to be Iceland or Ireland?
We’re gonna let these super-rich clowns cut our medicare and Soc Sec after what they just looted because of the debt and deficit?? Come on! There is plenty of money when the rich need bailouts. How bout some health-care, rising wages, jobs and promised Soc. Security for the American people? The government is there to serve 99% of the people way more than it is to serve the top 1%.
Yea man, the rich get all the breaks and we get cuts. You know what? Screw that.
ugh, dancing with the stars. I tried to get a friend to watch The Civil War on TV this week, but the first episode was at the same time as DWTS, and she wanted to watch The Civil War in order. So she’s not watching The Civil War at all, and is going to get from the library “later.”
News Flash: Nobody is going to remember DWTS. The Civil War film in 20 years old and still going strong.
tried to get a friend to watch The Civil War on TV this week, but the first episode was at the same time as DWTS, and she wanted to watch The Civil War in order. So she’s not watching The Civil War at all, and is going to get from the library “later.”
Good gah-rief!
If teevee-free Slim were invited over for a viewing of The Civil War at the same time as DWTS, I’d be there right away. And I’d bring chips and my homemade salsa too.
The Civil War film in 20 years old and still going strong.
I love it. I have it. I wonder if Ken Burns will bring it up to today like he did with his “Baseball” 10th Inning.
He could talk about how we got to the point where some people believe it “wasn’t about slavery” and stuff.
And the southern “lost cause” history re-writer’s attempt to marginalize Grant’s brilliant and superior generalship.
From publisher’s weekly on the book, U. S. Grant: American Hero, American Myth
http://www.amazon.com/U-S-Grant-American-America/dp/0807833177
How does national memory determine national heroes? Waugh, a UCLA history professor, probes the subject in an engaging study of the making of Ulysses S. Grant’s reputation. At the time of his death in 1885, he was perceived as on a level with George Washington by former Unionists and Confederates alike.
His memoirs were a bestseller. His image combined the honorable soldier and the generous victor: a heroic war leader who believed in the ideal of national reconciliation in both regional and racial contexts. Even Grant’s flaws were part of his greatness, linking him to his countrymen in a distinctively American fashion.
That image began to change as lost cause romanticism nurtured reinterpreting the Civil War as not merely tragic but arguably unnecessary. The eclipse of this approach has restored Grant’s reputation as a general.
His memoirs were a bestseller. His image combined the honorable soldier and the generous victor: a heroic war leader who believed in the ideal of national reconciliation in both regional and racial contexts. Even Grant’s flaws were part of his greatness, linking him to his countrymen in a distinctively American fashion.
Point of history: Grant finished the book while he was dying. Big part of the reason why he wrote it was to take care of his family after he was gone. Guy had already been defrauded of his estate.
His publisher? Another well-known guy named Mark Twain. He wanted to see to it that Grant was better treated than he would have been by the big publishing houses, which Twain did not trust.
I have Grant’s memoirs. The full hardcover.
There is no doubt as to the cause of the Civil War and who was wrong except to those who will always choose to be ignorant.
Point of history: Grant finished the book while he was dying.
I have Grant’s memoirs.
I went to the library in NorCal to get the book. They pulled it from the back. It was the original 2 volume first edition print. One was recovered, one had the original worn cover.
Many consider it to be one of the finest military memoirs ever written. It was written like he fought. No-nonsense, to the point and forward march.
interesting read about how grant was snookered by the same group of financial con men more than a hundred years ago. nothing has changed.
Grant: “bad for us today,…but we’ll lick ‘em tomorrow…”
“Short-term” narrow-mindedne$$…vs….”Long-term” Truthfulness
Abe & Sam…the long & short story of saving a Nation.
“grant was snookered by the same group of financial con men more than a hundred years ago”
This is what worries me about removing the safety net for elders. You save all your life and when your faculties wane, someone cons you out of it.
And being a genius in one field does not mean you are a genius in all of them. There are only a limited number of things you can really be expert in.
“What is this recovery you talk of?”
It may justifiably seem weak to you, but by comparison to the damage that would ensue if the debt ceiling was not raised, we are in recovery. You have to conduct a thought experiment to
compare the status quo with the scenario that would play out contingent on not raising the debt ceiling. I realize Republitards probably don’t generally have enough gray matter between their ears to conduct thought experiments.
but by comparison to the damage that would ensue if the debt ceiling was not raised, we are in recovery
so you’re saying we’re in recovery from something that hasn’t happened yet?
That doesn’t make it a recovery. All that says is your opinion is things will be worse than now if the federal gov’t shuts down.
“That doesn’t make it a recovery.”
Agreed — see my attempted clarification below in another post.
Rule number one of political choice: The devil you know is friendlier than the one hiding behind the other side of the fence, over where the grass appears greener.
That threat sounds rather Paulson-esque don’t you think?
I think PB’s statement was made with tongue in cheek.
It was meant more as an implicit comparison to what will happen if the debt ceiling is not raised, rather than an objective statement about the quality of the (tepid, government-engineered) recovery underway.
i think it is much more than the recovery.
“If they don’t raise it, you can kiss the recovery good-bye.”
Au $1470+ Ag $40+ Oil 110+
The perpetual bubble callers will be out in force! When you don’t understand the reasons why this is happening, I guess that all you have to fall back on.
Around the time when gold was $875 and silver hit $50, the price of oil was around $40 a barrel at the spot price. Since oil is three times that price now, I do not see why both silver and gold cannot trade at three times the price. Particularly, since the price of oil is a major part of the cost of production.
“Particularly, since the price of oil is a major part of the cost of production.”
The ‘cost of production’ of what? Are you suggesting the value of gold is currently driven by production costs? Exactly how much does it cost to melt down somebody’s jewelry? I can’t imagine it is very expensive, or that it involves much oil.
It takes trucks and other equipment to move earth and they run on oil. I do not know if you have been to a mining operation but you move tons of material to produce an oz of gold. I have been to many. Producing new gold if very expensive. Even tires for the massive trucks are quite expensive and were in very short supply a few years ago (not sure now) and yes they are oil based. Melting down jewelry is not going to meet the demand from the developing countries.
Busy today so cannot find you the best of articles but this article states that it takes moving three tons of earth just to make one wedding ring: http://goldnews.bullionvault.com/gold_mining_output_2008_china_south_africa_020620082.
Of course, you need to create roads and other infrastructure before you can even begin mining and after mining you have to move a lot of earth during the reclamation process. It all means lots of energy. It is one of the reasons that oil shale is always just short of being economically feasible. The higher oil prices go, the more costly it is to produce since it has such high energy inputs.
I’m with A-dan here and will echo Chris Martensen in that we’ve already “high-graded” everything. We are producing gold from ore bodies with sub-ppm Au. Why? Because we like the challenge and like driving big trucks (although they ARE fun to watch!) and like creating enormous holes in the ground. No. We do it because we MUST.
Agreed on oil shale too. It’s all about EROEI. And it’s dropping every single day.
BTW A-Dan — I looked up Throrium energy last week finally (from our conversation a while back). I don’t claim to understand everything, but at a cursory glace, I appreciate many of the features. It still seems a costly and overly-intricate way to boil water, but it seems better than the alternatives (except solar thermal, wind with molten salt and massive conservation!)
MrBubble
The reason such costly means to produce gold are currently being exploited is precisely due to the gold price bubble.
All that (costly) gold supply response to try to cash in on the currently high price is going to backfire just like any other resource extraction frenzy in history has: Just when it seems like the price of gold will never stop going up, the gold bubble will suddenly be drowned in a deluge of supply.
(If this doesn’t quite seem plausible, just think back to how they were building houses like crazy circa 2006, and what a huge glut of houses are out there today, thanks in part to the overbuilt stock crashing prices…)
Gold has followed predictive technical pattern trends for 10 years now. If it continues to do so, about $2,100 per ounce is the next huge resistance level.
And remember. Gold always trends within certain technical parameters.
Until it doesn’t of course.
Since you insinuate you understand them, what are the reasons, by the way?
PB, my reasons: governments are printing too much paper currency i.e. QE. Chinese, Indians etc are buying gold to protect themselves from inflation and now how the money to create a huge demand. Energy prices are going up (peak oil) and you have to move a lot of earth to produce an Oz of gold. Finally, related to all this the only way many countries can pay their debt is to inflate away most of it so the cycle is not going to end any time soon. While we have a 1.6 trillion dollar deficit and are borrowing around 40 cents of every dollar we spend we fight over puny cuts. Obama rolled the dice that huge government spending could lead to a Reagan type recovery GDP growth in the 7 to 8% growth and we all lost, since we have a recovery barely keeping up with population growth.
How = have in third line
“It’s a recovery compared to how things will look if they don’t increase the debt ceiling. But it’s all good, because the Republitards will reap heaps of blame for it…”
Color me skeptical, but I have serious doubts that extraction costs are the relevant margin for determining current gold prices.
Oops — that was a serious misfire. I meant to put in this quote from Albuquerquedan’s post:
“Energy prices are going up (peak oil) and you have to move a lot of earth to produce an Oz of gold.”
Sorry — my hand slipped.
Better link on gold production costs:
http://ezinearticles.com/?Understanding-Costs-That-Go-Into-Gold-Mining&id=2128471
Couldn’t it be as simple as production costs going up, demand by central banks going up, demand by individuals going up (although I’m the only one of my circle who owns physical (or is stupid enough to talk about it)), purchasing power of the dollar decreasing? Maybe to speculation, too, sure. This is not my area of expertise, so rebukes are not welcome.
I get enough of that here in the salt mine.
MrBubble
purchasing power of the dollar decreasing?
One can easily figure out how big a factor this is - look at POG in other currencies.
REAL ESTATE
In era of foreclosure sales, sellers still slashing prices
Miami home sellers are still offering discounts, cutting an average of 11 percent from their asking prices in order to entice buyers, a report from Trulia showed.
MiamiHerald.com
Home sellers in Miami are grudgingly slashing huge amounts from their asking prices in order to entice buyers, according to a report released Thursday by real estate research firm Trulia.
In Trulia’s survey of the nation’s 50 largest cities, Miami ranked second in the size of the average home discount, with sellers cutting prices by 11 percent in the last 12 months. Detroit, at 19 percent, ranked first.
Dawn Wellman, a Miami-based Realtor, said sellers are coming to face the grim reality that foreclosures and distressed sales by underwater homeowners have sunk prices across the region, wiping out much of the equity gained through the years.
“If sellers want to sell their house in today’s market, they’re having to compete with short sales and [foreclosure] prices, because that’s what dictating the market now,” she said.
Those distressed properties are the most popular among South Florida buyers, accounting for more than half of all sales this year.
According to Trulia, there is a 38 percent chance that a Miami home seller will need to slash prices more than once in order to achieve a sale.
“Sellers who don’t cut their homes’ list prices deeply enough the first time face a long lag-time on the market and a high chance of needing to make a second cut, which can result in lowball offers from buyers,” Tara-Nicholle Nelson, Consumer Educator for Trulia, said in a statement.
The median-priced single family home sold for $147,900 in Miami-Dade County in February, down 23 percent from 12 months earlier, according to the Miami Association of Realtors. In Broward County, which is not included in Trulia’s report, median prices for single family homes reached $167,000 in February, up 22 percent.
Still, sellers in Miami have been relatively reluctant to slash their prices, often to avoid a distressed sale that would bring less than what is owned on the mortgage.
The average Miami home seller is leaving his property on the market for 69 days before cutting the price, ranking the city ninth among the top 50 metropolitan areas.
“In era of foreclosure sales, sellers still slashing prices”
Funny how that works, when you start off by listing at mania price levels during the bust phase of the cycle.
Not sure if it means anything, but we’ve noticed a sudden burst of new rentals in our neighborhood. Maybe there’s something seasonal going on, but we don’t usually have many rentals available around here. I just counted 8 this week.
Anyone else seeing anything like this?
I found less than 5 homes available for rent in this area. I am, however, already seeing SOLD signs on the lower priced homes as the new selling season signalled by the end of the school year resumes. My friend selling her home in the upper stratosphere of local prices said they are getting no traffic at all.
Shiny new set of falling knives?
Define “lower priced”
By lower priced I mean $250k and below. My point was if there is nothing to rent, people are risking it w/lower priced purchases. From myriad conversations w/newbies I meet at work, I pretty firmly believe it’s about the school district. I mentioned before several people telling me when they transfer into the area, HR directs them to our district, not our district and 4 others. They tell them get the kids into our district. You also have to remember if people sold just sold their $450k home in MA, the $250k home is probably being paid for in cash. I do frequently hear of all cash offers on homes even above the $250k. I heard of a $300k all cash just last week.
I’ll remain a skeptic. I believe the transactions but the nattering is BS.
Carrie Ann is a troll.
???????
Yeah I’m a troll. That’s it. Gheesh. Ya think I’ve got nothing better to do? I’m not in the business. And no one is in my family. I want prices to come down. And exeter, I’ve told you before, you apply what you see in your area to the whole state. C’mon out honey. Let’s do lunch and I’ll show ya ’round. Perhaps for much of the state you can generalize. But I’m just telling you what’s going on in my little town.
Why don’t you come up w/a concrete response to the fact there is nothing to rent in this school district? And that effects pricing.
That is a serious component I noticed no one wants to recognize every time I mention it. Well whether you want to laugh it off or not doesn’t change facts.
effects s/b affects
Oh and one more way to tell Carrie Ann is not a troll: When the dam does break you will hear me reporting it.
Relax CA. I questioned the troll comment. I don’t believe you’re a troll. I express my doubts about the sentiment you hear, not you.
Regarding this idea that there is nothing to rent in your town; So what if vacancies are down in Frogballs, NY? It’s meaningless irrespective of the dopes who natter away about it.
Um, I can’t believe CarrieAnn was just called a troll.
We know you’re not a troll, CarrieAnn!
BTW, thanks for the input from your neighborhood. I do believe that the market is “local” in the sense that the more desirable neighborhoods are not seeing the declines (yet), and have been seeing higher rents as inventory is most certainly constrained.
I’ve seen an uptick in the number of Open House signs in our area, and even more so to the north (Escondido). Not sufficiently interested to visit any of them, but I have to imagine foot traffic is slower than at a visitation.
its spring selling season.
Insert “the red hot” before “spring”!
We’ve been to a few open houses in Escondido, and if they’re priced right, there has been a LOT of traffic — like you can’t move from room to room without having to stand against a wall to let others pass.
OTOH, if something isn’t priced right…no traffic.
It is ALL about the price.
See, told ya rents would be going down in SD.
TOLD YA!!!!
I spoke on the phone with an appraiser in KC yesterday and he told me numbers that I find astonishing.
He said that a little over a year ago he was looking for houses in certain areas of Johnson County (well to do suburb of KC) and found only about 5 houses under 160K. Now he says there are about 400 houses under 140K in the same areas. Said he’d never seen anything like it in 20 years in the biz. Said they were going to go even lower.
Do those numbers sound plausible?
I’ll believe the amounts, but not going from 5 to 400 houses.
By the way, that’s what I’m looking for in DC, some upsurge in the number of houses under $200K. Right now it’s pretty slim pickens. Probably less than 1/3 of the listings are actually serious. Not that I’m too choosey, but mortgages last longer than marriages. I’d like to know there are more fish in the sea, so to speak.
“mortgages last longer than marriages”
Interesting saying. My parents have been married long enough to have paid off 2 mortgages. Not that they had 2. They have been mortgage free since 1986.
Entirely.
The serfs could hang in a lot longer here, because of the lower cost of living. OTOH, they didn’t have a big cash hoard to start with, because the incomes weren’t as high.
It wasn’t a mass exodus. It’s just that people have been walking from houses for two years now, and nobody is moving in. After a couple of years, it really becomes noticable.
My next door neighbor walked 3 weeks ago.
Someone from the HOA just came around this week and asked if the place was empty and how long had they been gone. I had to stop and think about it.
http://www.kitco.com/market/
Ben Bernanke can’t print physical metals, so the dollar is crashing versus anything that has real intrinsic value, especially precious metals. JP Morgan and HSBC are reputed to have massive naked silver shorts that they are unable to cover, after years of manipulating the silver market very lucratively by selling silver contracts for metal that doesn’t actually exist, in collusion with the Fed.
“…the dollar is crashing versus anything that has real intrinsic value, especially precious metals.”
How about houses?
“JP Morgan and HSBC are reputed to have massive naked silver shorts that they are unable to cover, after years of manipulating the silver market very lucratively by selling silver contracts for metal that doesn’t actually exist, in collusion with the Fed.”
Would this kind of story be investigated in a Fed audit?
Question if it blows up and they don’t have physical silver will they ( JP morgan and HSBC) get bailed out ?
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/commodities/futures/
Get a load of Zimbabwe Ben Bernanke’s “transitory inflation” which has no connection, he claims, with the Fed’s creation of trillions of dollars out of thin air as he inflates away government debts and obligations.
That’s what’s so funny about the “no inflation” argument. There is PLENTY of inflation…in asset prices. Wages? Not so much.
Democrat says Libya costs run much higher
Lawmaker: White House ‘dramatically underestimating’ military expenditures - The Washington Times
A Democratic lawmaker says the White House is “dramatically underestimating” the true cost of the military’s involvement in Libya by relying on accounting that obscures the total financial burden being saddled on taxpayers.
Rep. Brad Sherman, a lawyer and accountant, told The Washington Times on Thursday that more accurate accounting of the mission would provide a clearer picture of just how much money the U.S. pours into this and other U.N.-backed missions while putting Congress in a better position to silence critics who say the nation is shortchanging the global body. The Californian also said the cost of the U.S. involvement in Libya should be covered with the estimated $33 billion in Libyan assets that have been frozen by the Treasury Department.
“As much fun as I find cost accounting, the reason I raise these issues is because I think those Libya assets ought to be available to pay for what goes on over and in Libya, and because I think in negotiating with other countries over whether we are doing enough for the U.N. we should not hesitate to point out the high cost of what we are doing [with U.N. support],” he told The Times.
Realtors Are Liars
Update on the 4 single story factory buildings that were adding floors to their buildings.
3 finished adding 1-3 floors and lo and behold they are using the space…for their Chinese import business…..
While new Available signs are popping up on other factory buildings here in Long Island City
The Contraction Continues.
http://seekingalpha.com/article/262340-the-contraction-continues-to-deepen
“In sum, we can’t take the CMI Growth index as an indicator of the consumer economy as a whole, but it clearly offers important insight into the health of the consumer. In fact, it is a demographic segment on which the future of the economy will become increasingly dependent. It seems difficult to imagine a sustained business cycle and long-term economic recovery while the CMI demographic sweet-spot sputters in a year-over-year contraction.”
Marketwatch demonstrates their corrupt journalism by posting Housing Crime Syndicate lies such as this;
“Emptying the 401(k) to buy a home with cash”
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/emptying-the-401k-to-buy-a-home-with-cash-2011-04-08
Marketwatch and criminal organizations like NAR know no bounds.
“Emptying the 401(k) to buy a home with cash”
Does anyone recall the early days of the 401(k) revolution, when many of us were subjected to training courses in being our own personal retirement investment managers? I do — I was there. From what I recall about the principles of 401(k) portfolio diversification, the idea of cashing in to park all of your savings in a residential real estate money pit makes no sense whatsoever. What if the house drops another 25% in value? You can’t eat a house, or sell it off in little chunks for food, either.
the early days of the 401(k) revolution, when many of us were subjected to training courses in being our own personal retirement investment managers? I do — I was there.
Why yes,…yes I do remember! “They” said to a then young Hwy50: “Hey, Max your contributions! / we’ll match that and then we’ll use the money to buy even more stock in the company that provides your pay check. Sweet! Year after year it was sweet, then before you could say: ERISA! …the company stock fell_like_a_rock. The ripples went out in all directions, but it appeared that no one got “soaked” in the Corporate Headquarters offices. Weeks afterward, certain Management Officers drove up in the parking lot at 9:25 pm in their new Ferrari’s / BMW’s with brief cases & smiles.
“we’ll match that”
And then they took that away, temporarily during the recession of course. But they forgot to start up the matching contributions again. Awesome!!
9:25
pmamHow do you know this was so Hwy?
answer: “On accounts they all walked past my floor station to reach their offices, exceptin’ the Co. Inc. CEO, he had a “private” entrance & a “private”
sexatarysecretary too!Does anyone recall the early days of the 401(k) revolution, when many of us were subjected to training courses in being our own personal retirement investment managers? I do — I was there.
Me too.
And I distinctly recall that the non-stock market options were pretty paltry. As in, you were considered a real fuddy-duddy if you even so much as looked at them.
I know someone who did that except she emptied her retirement funds to keep her current house. She thought the market would recover. Now faces foreclosure and then the bank will probably go after her for the balance. And the 401-k which would have been protected from the creditor is gone.
I would agree that to take money from a 401-k to put into a house is criminally stupid.
“Now faces foreclosure and then the bank will probably go after her for the balance. And the 401-k which would have been protected from the creditor is gone.”
This gets right to my point: Trading in your 401-k for a residential real estate money pit is one of the worst possible portfolio diversification mistakes. What do the Marketwatch columnists smoke that leads them to freely dispense such crappy personal financial advice without apology?
My guess is they could not get real jobs so they became business journalist. Dean
That’s an incredibly subjective statement. Who are you to say what’s a worthwhile price or not?
I don’t think they can come after a fully paid off 401K rental house in BK or anything else. It’s still a 401K asset no?
I don’t know. They aren’t borrowing from the 401K, they’re cashing it out. Wouldn’t you agree to give up that protection when you cash it out?
Wouldn’t you agree to give up that protection when you cash it out?
ikd. I don’t have a 401K because I’ve been self-employed and owned a business. I have IRA’s. With an IRA I think the house would remain an IRA asset just like a stock or mutual fund, thus would be provided the same legal protection.
Anyone?
ikd =IDK above
There is no such thing as a self directed 401(k). In addition, they aren’t talking about the retirement account owning the asset. They are talking about cashing out the money - paying taxes and penalties along the way - and using the money to pay for the house.
There is no such thing as a self directed 401(k).
This is quite false. I had one at my last employer, through Charles Schwab.
“I know someone who did that except she emptied her retirement funds to keep her current house. She thought the market would recover. Now faces foreclosure and then the bank will probably go after her for the balance.”
It sincerely breaks my heart to see something like this happen. People like that are not prepared for the hardship they are about to face.
Need some details, bear:
Question: I am 37 and have a job grossing about $81,000. My wife is also 37 and grosses about $42,000. We both contribute to our 401(k) to the tune of about 15% (including employer matches). We currently have about $200,000 in our combined 401(k)s. We have some small debt, nothing major. We have a large mortgage on our personal home, a home-equity line of credit and one car payment.
I am considering emptying my 401(k) to pay all cash for a rental house that would cost about $115,000. This rental property would generate approximately $850 per month. (I currently have a rental that generates $900 a month, but it has a mortgage).
My line of thought is this: Use cash from retirement savings to purchase the home outright and put the income from the house into a Roth or other retirement vehicle.
Answer: Several thoughts come to mind. First are foremost, you and your bride are young enough to raid your retirement accounts. ”
==========
“Some small debt?????” So the guy has a “large mortgage” on his personal home (read: bought or refi’d during the bubble) and a “mortgage” on one rental property, and this debt is “nothing major??????” And now he wants to cash his 401K to buy another rental property? And the expert tells them they are young enough to raid the 401K, adding in a homey platitude about fixing faucets just to look warm and fuzzy. In truth, THIS IS FINANCIAL SUICIDE. It’s also straight out of the Combo Theory that they want your cash because cash is king.
And I wonder what they mean by “small debt.” $30K on the Mastercard for shoes and skinny jeans?
To be fair, I’ve read articles of people wanting downsize their lives, and part of that is to raid the 401K to pay off their primary residence. I can see the value in that. But this couple is a piece of work. A greedy piece of work.
I am considering emptying my 401(k) to pay all cash for a rental house that would cost about $115,000. This rental property would generate approximately $850 per month. (I currently have a rental that generates $900 a month, but it has a mortgage).
ISTR reading that, if you’re going to purchase a house for rental purposes, your purchase price should be 100-120x the expected monthly rent for the area.
So, if this person can get the purchase price down to $85k, it would be a good deal. (I’m favoring the low end of the 100-120x metric due to the fact that house prices are likely to decline further.)
However, the notion of emptying the 401k in order to experience the “joys” of landlording leaves me cold.
The crazy thing is, getting a loan against the balance of my 401(k) worked very well indeed for me. I bought in ‘99 and used a loan secured by the balance of my 401(k) for much of my downpayment. Since my sole mortgage was for less than 80% of the cost of my house, I never had to pay a day of mortgage insurance. Later, after much of the bubble run-up, I refinanced to a 15 year and used the proceeds to repay the 401(k) loan. To the extant that my 401(k) was invested in the stock market, I effectively took money OUT of the market in ‘99 and put it back in 2003. It is better to be lucky than good.
Well played, Jim A!
“Emptying the 401(k) to buy a home with cash”
Foolish moves with your “perfectly-safe” money is exactly what Bernanke has in mind with his low interest rate policies. I say, sit tight and wait for the deals to appear when the over-inflated asset values collapse.
Have any of you heard of this person or his booK?
Dr. E. Michael Jones discusses his book, Slaughter of Cities: Urban Renewal as Ethnic Cleansing. Dr. E. Michael Jones goes on to discuss with the Catholic Engineers, the plan the WASP and Jewish Elite had for moving Whites out of the cities and into the suburbs. This was done with black migration and propaganda.
————————————————————————————————————
I found it interesting because one of his arguements is that “white flight” and the break up of the various “ethnic” urban neighborhood and their expulsion to the suburbs was a deliberate policy forced on the residents in order to weaken their discipline and unity which was seen as a threat by the WASP power elite?
Some of you probably already know about this; but many people don’t. I watched the entire 5 part presentation and he seems to be saying that housing policy was the “hammer” used to break up the integrity/unity of urban concentrations of “ethnic” white “groups”.
And that it was done out of fear; specifically of the Catholic church?
Im curious to hear any comments you guys have regarding his “theory”; specifically,
is it true?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QLrrk_hF-aM
“And that it was done out of fear; specifically of the Catholic church?”
Those Lenten fish fries really brought down the home values.
the plan the WASP and Jewish Elite had for moving Whites out of the cities and into the suburbs
???
To ALL other minorities - WASPs and Jews ARE whites…
To ALL other minorities - WASPs and Jews ARE whites…
Nonwhite people, by definition, are NOT experts on white people.
We don’t really know what a white person is to another white person any more than we know what a cat is to another cat.
It’s a moving target, “whiteness” is. In the middle of the last century Eastern Europeans in my industrial northern city were assuredly not white - they were “ethnic”. Before them the “ethnic” collar was worn by Italians, Irish, Germans…
During the historical episode you are discussing today “ethnics” unsettled the landed gentry with all their talk of unions and their seemingly foreign values and foreign tongues. (a common put down back then was to refer to them as “DPs” and point out the conspicuous lack of vowels in their surnames.)
As these groups have been assimilated they have lost their identities, and part of their identity was the past discrimination they faced. This is something that gnaws at me when reflecting on the current immigration debate. You see, by appearance I’m “in the club” but my studies of history and even my own family’s experiences (particularly my dad’s in WWII) make me doubt that.
You see, by appearance I’m “in the club” but my studies of history and even my own family’s experiences (particularly my dad’s in WWII) make me doubt that.
I’m with you on that one.
Reason: I have one of those Cornish last names that Americans find hard to pronounce. It’s one of those names that, in various times in our nation’s history, was considered “ethnic.” As in, gasp, my ancestors were assumed to be from southeastern Europe. And that wasn’t considered to be a good thing.
We don’t really know what a white person is to another white person any more than we know what a cat is to another cat.
Now I don’t want to go on and make some kind of incendiary, non-PC comment or joke on how white people may or may-not see white people because it might be misunderstood and taken out of context. I’ve been misunderstood enough already on this blog.
But I think that in a cat’s eye, all cats are probably pretty much equal.
(except the darker ones of course)
I’ve
been misunderstoodhad my comments twisted & distorted enough already on this blog.Yeah, well guess what Rio, that is
what they get paid ferno accident.the plan the WASP and Jewish Elite had for moving Whites out of the cities and into the suburbs
???
To ALL other minorities - WASPs and Jews ARE whites…
I think that the comment meant the the Elites (who are/were white) created the whole “white flight” movement, probably so they could build,sell and finance lots of houses.
“…probably so they could build,sell and finance lots of houses.”
Bullseye! And they’ll do it again too, as long as the system allows it.
All I know is that whenever my brother and I went to work in the hood with our dad back in the late 60s, every black kid in the neighborhood made it a point to come over and kick our asses.
And they did it of their own free choice, not because the WASP and Jewish elite told them to.
If anyone on this blog happens to be one of them, I hope it made you feel better. Economically, my family had more in common with you, than we had with the WASP/Jewish “elite”.
And if you suspect that this may have affected my “worldview”, you would be correct.
“And if you suspect that this may have affected my “worldview”, you would be correct.”
And what, you hate Black people now?
Cry me a damn river…..what kind of world view do you think people of color develop after encountering hundreds if not thousands of racist White people in their lifetimes?
Maybe some of the people YOU encountered were just getting some payback.
Black people can be just as full of $hit as white people. Or Hispanics. Or anyone else.
Color doesn’t matter, it the culture you were raised in that matters.
And “payback” against a 10 year old kid you don’t know is okay with you?
In this day and age the racism one might encounter as a black or hispanic or asian is probably no worse than an ugly or fat person would encounter.
There are countless successful minorities, ugly people, and fat people. I could throw in old people, women, people from working class backgrounds, etc.. The list of possible “minorities” is very long.
If you’re not successful you might blame it on the color of your skin. But I think it’s a worthless exercise and inaccurate to boot. You might have to work a little harder but IMHO not any harder than a less physically attractive white person.
Discrimination occurs in all types and forms. Deal with it, and move on. Nobody is going to hire or keep on a crybaby regardless of skin color.
“Color doesn’t matter, it the culture you were raised in that matters.”
Why is it White people are always saying this bs? I have yet to hear a person of color say this “color doesn’t matter” nonsense. But yet again, White people are the ones who made skin color an issue in the first place, SO now if you guys say skin color isn’t an issue it must be true….
“And “payback” against a 10 year old kid you don’t know is okay with you?”
Tell that to 13 year old Emitt Till (lynched), or those little Black and Latino kids outside of Philly who were told to get out of the pool because of the color of their skin, little Black and Latino kids outside followed around in stores, little Black and Latino kids outside harrassed by the police, ETC. ETC. ETC. ETC. Racist White people HAVE and CONTINUE to tramatize the lives of young children of color, so why should I feel sorry for you?????????????
“In this day and age the racism one might encounter as a black or hispanic or asian is probably no worse than an ugly or fat person would encounter.”
The arrogance of certain White people astounds me. How would YOU know the level of racism that a person of color encounters? How would YOU know how it affects an individual person of color? Have you taken a tally of the opinions of the 100 million plus people of color who live in this country and their feelings? Or is YOUR opinion of the situation, more important than MY ACTUAL EXPERIENCES. And yet, White love to claim that there is no such thing as “White privilige”…..smh
mk and xg. this *fight* sounds likes the palestinians and the jews.
I only know the stories as related to me by my now deceased grandparents, father, and friends of my family. The church never really came up - and they were all strict Catholics. What did come up in every story were the real estate agents, oh yeah. “Blockbusting” did occur and they profitted handsomely on both sides of the “white flight”/”urban renewal” equation.
In graduate school I felt this was by far the most fascinating and valuable subject we studied. Oh this rabbit hole, it’s a deep one. Part of the dark side of American history, not talked about much except by those directly affected. If more people knew how Capital/REIC destroyed neighborhoods and families we might never had had this bubble. Once one reads up on this particular subject I’ll wager they will have no stomach to buy any more house than they actually need.
Suggested related reading: (if you haven’t already)
“Making the Second Ghetto” by Arnold Hirsch
The Anti-Defamation League has a profile on this guy. And it’s not what one would call flattering.
Good find slim
But how strong of a case does he make for his position?
In other words, is what he is saying true?
And, if one of the people Dr. Jones describes came out and admitted everything in the book is true, would he still be considered “extremist?”
The reason I ask is because blk people often have this “issue” where they cannot accept certain peices of information unless a white person validates it.
Its very child like to need to follow a person instead of the logic the person you are following is following.
Another “whacko” from South Bend, IN?
Geez, Studebaker
enthusiast’sfanatics predates his birth in 1948, back of the line dude.Around here I heard it had to do with busing school kids
lots of people with kids bought in Ventura County to get away from long bus rides for their kids to LA schools
I’ve seen this theory before, but the reality is, of course, much more complicated.
In my city, there is an almost even mix of races in the suburbs at all income levels, while the inner city is clearly divided along racial lines.
My experience has been that the hardest part about getting out of the ghetto is your neighbors.
Exactly how good is it to be a bankster? THIS good:
http://www.charlotteobserver.com/2011/04/07/2206278/bofa-risk-officer-pay-window-on.html
By god, we’re going to have the best paid deck chair shufflers on the Tititanic. Talent like that is hard to keep. /sarcasm.
This seems to have the “You don`t know who I owe the money to so I don`t have to pay crowd” a little nervous, judging from the comments section of this article.
Firm says its new software ensures the soundness of foreclosure papers
By Christine Stapleton Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Posted: 10:13 a.m. Thursday, April 7, 2011
Lender Processing Services, the subject of a 60 Minutes segment about foreclosure document fraud, has added “new document integrity management capabilities” to the software it markets to loan servicers.
The updated software also can create an audit trail “attesting to one’s due diligence leading to the notarized affidavit.”
Rod Hatfield, managing director of LPS’ Enterprise Content Management division, was quoted in the newsletter: “Now servicers can quickly and uniformly spot and reconcile inconsistencies between documents and data, and stand up to regulatory scrutiny with a procedural audit trail.”
http://www.palmbeachpost.com/money/foreclosures/firm-says-its-new-software-ensures-the-soundness-1382866.html - -
The output generated by software like this is only as good as the original data entry. And you know that old expression, “garbage in, garbage out.”
I’ll also wager that the audit trail feature can be messed with.
+1
About 35 miles southeast of Sarasota, North Port was carved out of shrub land in the 1950s by the General Development Corporation, which sold the plots to buyers up north. It remained a relatively quiet community until the last decade, when developers erected one subdivision after the next.
North Port’s population doubled in less than four years, city officials say. There are now about 55,000 residents.
In those high-flying days of Florida real estate, Ms. Moore said she would buy up vacant shrub land and sell seven or eight lots on a good day, for $50,000 apiece, making as much as 40 percent in profits.
Those days are long gone, and North Port has fallen hard. Ms. Moore, a Florida native, is stuck with four plots that cost her $38,000 each (each is worth $5,000 or less) and a duplex she bought for $140,000 (it’s now worth $30,000, she says).
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/08/business/08housing.html?ref=business
The median house price in Florida, meanwhile, had dropped to $121,900 in February, from $257,800 in June 2006, a decline of 53 percent, according to Metrostudy, a housing research firm. Indeed, some houses and condominiums in Florida are selling for roughly the price of a practical family sedan, new or used.
For instance, a two-bedroom house in Port Charlotte, just south of North Port on the gulf coast of the state, recently sold for $8,000, and listings for $25,000 homes are not uncommon. Many experts expect prices to drop even further.
Houses at 2.0-2.5x local income (or less)?
Florida may be seeing the bottom coming sooner than the rest of America…
“…a decline of 53 percent…”
Larger than expected, perhaps?
“Houses at 2.0-2.5x local income (or less)?
Florida may be seeing the bottom coming sooner than the rest of America…”
Certainly sooner than SoCal (stuck at 5-6X average income, not counting 10%+ unemployed to calculate the average…).
Looking on the bright side, at least there apparently is no shortage of vacant homes around San Diego to potentially serve as rental or owner-occupied homes. According to this fact sheet, as of 2010, San Diego had a total of 511,820 housing units, of which 477,008 were occupied, leaving 34,812 (6.8%) vacant. The number of vacant homes in the city of San Diego, alone, is thus far in excess of the number of homes listed on the MLS for ALL of San Diego County (circa 10,000?).
What good do so many vacant homes do for anyone, especially when the homeless population here is large and growing?
Just How Empty Are Mission Valley’s Homes?
Posted: Thursday, April 7, 2011 5:45 pm | Updated: 7:53 pm, Thu Apr 7, 2011.
by Adrian Florido
Mission Valley was one of San Diego’s fastest growing communities during the last decade, as developers built more than 2,000 new homes there.
Though building slowed with the housing crash, construction has started again. A massive development, Civita, will build close to 5,000 new homes in Mission Valley in the next decade. The first 500 apartments and condominiums are scheduled to be done by early next year.
But as construction moves forward, U.S. Census data released last month appears to offer a reason to pause: Mission Valley had one of the highest vacancy rates in San Diego last year. About 12 percent of homes in the neighborhood’s core, many built in the last decade, were vacant. The citywide average, the Census found, was 6.4 percent.
…
Is there any vacant land left in Mission Valley that isn’t in a flood plain?
“Is there any vacant land left in Mission Valley that isn’t in a flood plain?”
Was there EVER any land in Mission Valley that isn’t in a flood plain? I thought Mission Valley was in a flood plain (actually more of a high-walled canyon) by definition…
“Was there EVER any land in Mission Valley that isn’t in a flood plain?”
Exactly. Who would buy a house there?
Oh wait, this is San Diego.
Never mind.
“Who would buy a house there?”
Looking on the bright side, perhaps those who live in Mission Valley are relatively less likely to have their homes burn down in a wild fire.
“Florida may be seeing the bottom coming sooner than the rest of America…”
Not even close… there are massive backlogs of foreclosures AND the gov. is deregulating the insurance industry. Premiums that already run in the thtousands are expected to go up at least 25%.
Exactly.
As I’ve said, the S&L disaster was 6 years to bottom. This time it’s much bigger.
The other part of that recovery was the tech and dot com boom.
I’m not seeing ANYTHING like that on the horizon.
This has to be a record for mission creep. I guess a Nobel Peace Prize ain’t worth so much these days…
U.S. may consider troops in Libya
CBS News - 4-7-2011
(CBS/AP) WASHINGTON - The United States may consider sending troops into Libya with a possible international ground force that could aid the rebels, according to the general who led the military mission until NATO took over.
Army Gen. Carter Ham also told lawmakers Thursday that added American participation would not be ideal, and ground troops could erode the international coalition and make it more difficult to get Arab support for operations in Libya.
Three wars, a budget impasse, persistently-high unemployment and ever-falling home prices…
Sorry to seem like a nattering nabob of negativism or a Debbie Downer, but the U.S. is certainly at an interesting juncture at the moment.
Try hoping for change. It doesn’t always work, but what the hell it makes a great bumper sticker.
“Voters Remorse” is pretty catchy.
“Try hoping for change.”
The kind you can believe in?
Sorry to seem like a nattering nabob of negativism or a Debbie Downer, but the U.S. is certainly at an interesting juncture at the moment.
Stick around, the “TrueAgenda™””evangelical” sponsored fireworks climax will be when millions of American women are “legally” labeled: “Murders!” (both present & past)
is that before or after non-vegetarians are labeled ‘murderers’?
Reckon depends on how good the non-vegetarians “Evangelicals” are at wrasslin’ with the religious “Evangelicals”…x1 “Crusade” at a time…saps their political “vital energy”, not to mention the stress on their
donationsfinances.that’s pretty funny— good response!
we probably can spike it with another tax cut and qe7.
“Three wars, a budget impasse, persistently-high unemployment and ever-falling home prices”
With our “allies” in Libya just having the last name “Ham” could pose problems.
“The United States may consider sending troops into Libya”
“Surprise, surprise!” Says Gomer Pyle. “Thar ain’t all that much difference between Tweedle-Dee and Tweedle-Dum!”
SIgh. I guess maybe I’ll “throw my vote away” next election on a 3rd party candidate.
Quagmire isn’t just a cartoon character.
What’s that? Libya is a desert and so any war fought there can’t last very long? Tell that to the Italians. What’s that? Our technology is so advanced that it will be a short war? Would this be the same technology we’re using in the decade long Afghan adventure?
Hubris is bipartisan.
No mountains in Libya.
They don’t even feel like wars. If the aim was for the Americans to “defeat” Libya in the traditional Grant v. Lee sense, they could do it in days.
Days? Where have I heard that before? If this were the 1800’s, maybe. But like the pentagon, you are suggesting outmoded strategies. Look up 4th generation warfare, or 4G war.
Just looked it up, and it’s exactly what I said. When somebody says “war” to me, I think of The Civil War, or World War I and World War II. Kill the bodies instead of winning hearts and minds. And I do think the US could do it in days.
Invading Baghdad to topple Saddam Hussein would have bogged down the United States in a quagmire “like the dinosaur in the tar pit,” according to Desert Storm commander H. Norman Schwarzkopf.
“The legitimacy for what we were doing was the United Nations resolution which called for us to kick the Iraqis out of Kuwait,” the retired four-star general said in an interview for “Newsweek on Air” carried by the Associated Press radio network.
“We never considered going to Baghdad. . . . We’d accomplished our mission.”
lil Opie: “My, I’m-the-Decider” strategy is to have a
Libyan rebelUS Marine repaint Ghaddfi’s bedroom in burnt orange and plant an American flag in his palace courtyard. Yes, you can quote me on that,…next question?…what? Is it OK if the US Congress shuts down ALL of the US Gov’t on accounts of American womens repoductive choices are destroying the American economy? is that what your asking?…”i am wondering what is the next national concern that he will be snookered after the financial and military.
Not sure what this has to do with the Nobel prize.
I ask again… how many simultaneous wars until it’s world war?
Fox in the Hen House?
Foreclosure volunteers help save county clerk more than $309,658
by Kim Miller
Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Volunteers from Illustrated Properties, a South Florida real estate agency, will be recognized for their service in helping clear Palm Beach County’s foreclosure backlog on Monday by Clerk and Comptroller Sharon Bock.
According to a press release, the volunteers perform basic functions, including photocopying and filing, which helps to free up clerks for other essential tasks and customer service.
Since September more than 20 volunteers from Illustrated Properties have volunteered in the foreclosure area.
“Volunteers support departments that have been severely affected by state-mandated budget cuts and layoffs over the past two years, helping with the heavy workload and saving taxpayer money,” said Clerk Sharon Bock, Palm Beach County’s Clerk & Comptroller. “Last year, our volunteers logged approximately 15,000 hours and saved county taxpayers an estimated $309,658 in donated work hours.”
Palm Beach County’s foreclosure backlog currently stands at about 29,466 cases, down from 46,438 cases in July. Statewide, the backlog of foreclosures in the court system is 322,724, down from 462,339 in July.
How can you ever know for certain whether election results were valid or fraudulent?
POLITICS
APRIL 8, 2011
Incumbent Justice Leads
By DOUGLAS BELKIN
Wisconsin Supreme Court Justice David Prosser took a significant lead in his re-election bid Thursday when the clerk of a conservative-leaning county reported she failed to count the ballots from a wealthy suburb west of Milwaukee.
The 7,500 vote swing immediately generated charges of fraud and partisanship in a high-profile race that has become a referendum on Republican Gov. Scott Walker after he championed a law curtailing the organizing rights of public employee unions. Wisconsin has since become the focal point of a national battle between Republican governors and labor groups.
The developments Thursday dealt a blow to the hopes of the Democrat-backed challenger JoAnne Kloppenburg, who was leading Mr. Prosser by 200 votes before the discrepancy Waukesha County was detected. Nearly 1.5 million ballots were cast in an election that set records for spending and nearly doubled expected turnout.
In a statement, Mr. Prosser said he was “encouraged by the various reports from the county canvases. …Our confidence is high, and we will continue to monitor with optimism, and believe that the positive results will hold.”
Some Democrats called for a full investigation, citing a history of partisan squabbles between the clerk and other officials. In last three presidential cycles, the Republican candidates have carried the county by margins of nearly two to one. Mr. Walker also won the county last fall.
The election is technically non-partisan and neither candidate has taken a public position on the union rights law. Mr. Prosser—a former Republican state Assembly leader—has generally voted with the court’s conservative majority. Business groups and other conservative organizations have supported his campaign.
…
Per the county clerk, she “forgot” to click “save” in Microsoft Access on her computer. The thing is; there is no “save” button in that program, everything is automatically auto-saved.
At least here in Chicago, our old timers don’t mess around with computers when they “go” to work. Corruption done right!
Per the county clerk, she “forgot” to click “save” in Microsoft Access on her computer. The thing is; there is no “save” button in that program, everything is automatically auto-saved.
Microsoft Acess does have a save button/drop menu (at least the version I use). But it also auto-saves everything.
ok banana…..so she is full of of s.h.i.t.e. either way because everything would have been saved whether she did it manually or not?
she probably meant she forgot to save the fudges.
As explained here previously, “union rights” and “collective bargaining rights” are actually DENIALS of individual rights– specifically, the right of any individual, whether or not a member of a union, to work, and the right of an employer (who may be a corporation or an individual) to hire a worker.
By a sneaky twist of language, the concept of an individual right has been transformed into a “collective” right– that is to say, a new power for the government and a new encroachment on our freedoms.
By a sneaky twist of language, the concept of an individual right has been transformed into a “collective” right–
Especially when collective rights defend individual rights more than one lone individual can defend his individual rights.
Yeah, they discover new individual rights too, like the right to health care, housing, etc. to justify the need for collective “rights”.
But the new individual rights are just more ways to benefit one politically connected individual at the expense of another. Genuine rights like gun ownership and freedom of speech don’t take things away from anyone else.
Yeah, they discover new individual rights too, like the right to health care,
If health care cost the same today adjusted for inflation as it did in 1965 I would say you have a stronger point but it dosen’t and you don’t.
Why would Americans not have a “right” to health-care when 1/3 of our entire population can’t afford our system of healthcare and NEVER will be able to?
(50 million no insurance, 50 million B.S. insurance and how many million afraid to tell their Dr. they are sick? How many not going because they can’t afford it?)
We don’t have the right not to be gouged? We sure have the right not to be gouged by gas stations during emergencies don’t we? I mean those that gouge the price of gas go to jail… Why? because we have the right to fair dealings.
We do not have that right in our dealings with healthcare and we deserve that right.
Easy to solve. All the clerk needs to do is produce 7500 paper ballots, right?
1. She worked for the incumbent
2. She was indited for political fraud in the past but given immunity.
3. It took 2 days to find/manufacture these lost votes.
4. Amazingly they found just enough to get over the 7000 threshold that would have required the state to have a recount.
Corporations win again. Democracy is a thing of the past.
And, IMHO, the people of the great state of Wisconsin will not let this stand the way the Floridians (and the rest of us) did back in late 2000.
Watch for some very interesting action, of the “takin’ it to the streets” nature in the weeks and months to come.
100,000 a day took to the streets for weeks and it’s done nothing. It’s going to take something more.
100,000 a day took to the streets for weeks and it’s done nothing. It’s going to take something more.
Just look back at the movements to achieve notable social changes in our society. I’m thinking of things like the abolition of slavery, women’s suffrage, and, more recently, gay rights. None of these changes were achieved in a few months. Rather, they took decades.
The Greenville News reports that the local develop of 8 communities in the mountains of SC and NC is facing foreclosure on about 100 properties in one of those communities. The newspaper talked about the developer in his youth hiking in the mountains.
So I guess he grew up to prevent other young people from hiking in the mountains. He also built alot of golf courses which takes alot of environment and produces alot of pollution.
I am no tree hugger but his actions are not defensable.
Some areas are better left undeveloped so future generations can enjoy their hiking experiences. But how do you draw the line so that future generations of developers can still make their bundles of dough?
“how do you draw the line so that future generations of developers can still make their bundles of dough”
Heavily in favor of the developers? The wheels on the bus…
Yea but…. but…. All the rich people are coming.
I wish the cherry blossoms would all just drop off at once in disgust. Unplug the overspeeding corrupt machine.
Time to talk turkey?
Reid: “Take it or leave it…”
Reid’s Final Offer To GOP: Drop Planned Parenthood Rider Or Cause A Government Shutdown
Brian Beutler | April 8, 2011, 10:28AM
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) has laid a final offer at Republicans’ feet, and it will require them to drop their insistence on defunding Planned Parenthood, and accepting what Reid insists is an agreed upon level of spending cuts. If Republicans don’t take it, and if Reid’s not bluffing, the government will shutdown.
“The number we’re not bending on,” he told reporters in a press briefing Friday morning. “We’re not bending on that and we’re not bending on women’s health.”
…
I love it when “dirty Harry” talks tough an macho-like. A fine example of the manly leadership of today.
Ol’ Harry just been through a 8 year “compassionate conservative” refresher course of statesmanship:
Bring-it-on!, smokin’ out…, dead or alive!
Texas shrub heeheheehhee…
“I love it when “dirty Harry” talks tough an macho-like”
ROTHFLMAO! That candy ass little twerp would pee his pants if someone/anyone yelled boo in his face.
candy ass little twerp = wmbz vernacular for: “lil’ Phil”
That candy ass little twerp would pee his pants if someone/anyone yelled boo in his face.
If what he says is true……it looks like he didn’t doesn’t it?
The only relevant question here is who the American People are going to blame for the shutdown, and by laying an ultimatum, Reid is painting Boehner as the guy who’s slamming the door.
Upthread somebody asked what “emotional issue” was next. Well it appears to be Planned Parenthood, because Reid is hanging his ultimatum on them. Reid and Obama must be confident that the actual number of tea-bagging bible bangers is not nearly as big as advertized on TV.
I remember one shutdown breaking the back of the Newt Gingrich machine.
Basically, the Dems FORCED the GOP to balance the budget because of the shutdown. So the next time some neocon sock puppet says it was the Repub controlled Congress, remind them of the shutdown.
Just a comment for y’all to clarify my posts: I am not much very much like Archie Bunker. I don’t take positions, and defend my turf no matter how stupid it makes me seem. Rather, I enjoy stimulating debate, stirring the pot, taking different positions along the political spectrum, and seeing what others throw out in response.
So don’t take anything I say personally. (Especially you, NY City Boy, in case you are still reading…)
Stop will all the stirring. You will ruin the souffle.
“…the souffle.”
I’m trying my hardest to deflate it.
Tee,hee…!
Sometimes PB you are like the evil little kid who when brought to task says “I was only joking.” It’s a liar’s defense as old as the hills, well covered in the Book of Proverbs I do believe.
If it were true, that the opinions you often post are fraudulent attacks upon us, just to get an emotional reaction for your amusement, then I think it is equally as abusive.
JMO
If it were true, that the opinions you often post are fraudulent attacks upon us, just to get an emotional reaction for your amusement, then I think it is equally as abusive.
Agreed. Your admission basically says “don’t even listen to what I post - it’s all BS”. And your “don’t take it personally” rings hollow given that you actively engage in personal attacks.
It’s clear you have an opinion and a bias - that’s okay, we all do. Own it - don’t hide behind “I’m just playing devils advocate all the time”.
“don’t even listen to what I post - it’s all BS”
I post here to stimulate thought, not to push an agenda — aside from making sure the bubble deflates until the balloon is empty.
If anyone finds my posts offensive, or insincere, or rude, or biased, or personally abusive, drummnj has a great piece o software you should check out.
And for the rest of you, please enjoy!
Good lord, what thin skin!
“Sticks and stones may break my bones but words will never hurt me”
Take my posts for whatever you want. I aim to please.
I enjoy stimulating debate,
stirring the pot, taking different positions along the political spectrum, and seeing what others throw out in response.“They can duck, weave & twist, but their actions speak for themselves…”:
However, when it comes to denying War Pay to U$ $oldiers risking their lives fightin’ terrorist gangs for American in Foreign countries while their families & children are held hostage by “TrueAnger™” + “TruePurity™” championing “TrueReduceTheDeficitNow!!!!!!!!!!™” & “other” domestic economic issue stateside, somehow the JOY of “enjoy” seems to vanish.
http://www.chartoftheday.com/20110408.htm?T
the link shows the earnings of the SP500.
wow back to all time highs—earnings, mind you.
How do you explain that?
the best answer I’ve seen:
Any IDIOT can build inventory for a year, lay off the entire factory, and sell the inventory.
…and often do.
The leaders still can’t even agree on what they disagree on.
Reid says impasse based on abortion funding; Boehner denies it
By Paul Kane, Philip Rucker and David A. Fahrenthold, Friday, April 8, 10:43 AM
Senate Majority Leader Harry M. Reid (D-Nev.) told reporters Friday morning that Congressional leaders came very close to a budget agreement Thursday night, but the deal broke up in a dispute over funding to a group that provides abortions.
House Speaker John A. Boehner (Ohio), the lead Republican negotiator in the budget impasse that has transfixed Washington and brought the nation to the brink of a government shutdown, immediately disputed Reid’s account.
…
This is going to be interesting.
I wonder if this is being done on purpose, by both sides?
Can a non existant budget be balanced? I guess as long as most spending is stopped so does the need for borrowing?
Well, the money doesn’t really exist, so yes.
Can you even agree to disagree when you can’t even agree where you disagree? (Starting to sound like Rumsfeld in my old age…)
Some Florida real estate agents pack heat
By Tracey Samuelson Marketplace Morning Report, Wednesday, April 6, 2011
Wary of foreclosed homes and vacant properties, many Florida real estate agents are taking courses in order to get a concealed weapon license.
…
County registers contend mortgage industry skipped out on fees
By Greg Collard Marketplace Morning Report, Friday, April 8, 2011
If you have a mortgage, there’s a good chance it’s connected to something called MERS, an electronic database that’s linked to more than half of all U.S. home mortgages. And some critics say it’s a scheme to hide from paying millions of dollars of fees.
…
The banksters bypassing the system, because they don’t want to pay for it. What a surprise. Coulda knocked me over with a feather when I heard about this.
Oooops, I mean the “banksters didn’t want to have their wealth taken from them by the government……”
You’re getting there. Here, try this one: “The system is not allowing them to enjoy the fruits of their labor, so they need to keep more of their own money.”
Chester Cheetah might find it even harder to be cheesy.
US corn reserves expected to fall to 15-year low
ST. LOUIS (AP) — Rising demand for corn from ethanol producers is pushing U.S. reserves to the lowest point in 15 years, a trend that could lead to higher grain and food prices this year.
Speak of the devil… for Florida insurers, every day is, “Shazam!”
“State Farm gets 18.8% rate hike for homeowners insurance”
http://www.tampabay.com/news/business/banking/state-farm-gets-188-rate-hike-for-homeowners-insurance/1162536
Nope. No inflation there!
4% was it?
Current real-time twitter:
“If we have a shutdown over Planned Parenthood, I fear the puns. “Budget deal aborted, etc”
I hope people understand that Planned Parenthood does way more than just provide abortions. In fact they prevent thousands of more abortions each year by providing services to women at risk. Sometimes in communities they serve, Planned Parenthood is the only health care provider to women.
a miscarriage of justice?
Here’s another doozy of a twit:
“The budget battle has come down to abortions in D.C. Bottom line: Democrats would rather kill unborn black babies than pay soldiers.”
The budget battle has come down to abortions in D.C. Bottom line:
Hey, eyes forgot who was responsible for creating the prioritized grocery shopping list?
“TrueAnger™” + “TruePurity™” + “TrueReduceTheDeficitNow!!!!!!!!!!™” really ought to use the same color ink pen, their list easily gives away their “TrueAgenda™”
Never too soon to start playing the blame card…
As Shutdown Nears, Both Parties Begin Casting Blame
J. Scott Applewhite/Associated Press
House Speaker John Boehner spoke on Capitol Hill in Washington on Friday.
By CARL HULSE and MICHAEL D. SHEAR
Published: April 8, 2011
WASHINGTON — Hours from a government shutdown, the leaders of the House and Senate offered dramatically different reasons for a budget stalemate and expressed little hope that the two sides will reach an agreement by midnight.
…
Political Entertainment
The struggle for position in the Battle of the Budget is great theatre. House Speaker Boehner says the Democrats are dragging their feet and Senate Majority Leader Reid says the Republicans are trying to take away entitlements.
The budget they’re battling over was supposed to have been passed prior to Oct. 1, 2010. There was no political will to do it. A poor reflection on voters who put these people in office.
Enter - President Obama in the role of the peace maker. However, neither side is paying much attention to him. Meanwhile, we-the-people have been assured that “essential federal government services will not be shut down” if the impasse is not resolved today. It’s another way of saying ONLY NON-ESSENTIAL AGENCIES WILL CLOSE. How does it feel, we wonder, to be employed by a non-essential agency?
** An interesting little footnote about silver coins. . . . had you put $1,000.00 worth of common circulating silver dimes, quarter-dollars, and half-dollars into storage in early 1965 that stash would be worth $28,820.00 today. If, at the same time, you had put $1,000.00 of paper currency away for safekeeping that stash would be worth $142.88.
A clear argument, I think, in favor of sound money vs. irredeemable paper currency.
A clear argument for how young you are.
$1000 face value of 1965 coins would be worth $1000, or $142 by your math.
The last of the 90% silver was 1964. They left circulation very quickly.
“or $142 by your math”.
LOL! It’s not “my” math, and yes I should have typed pre-’65 of course silver coins were still found in change in ‘65 as I typed. And yes I was young in ‘65 a whopping 8 years old. Old enough to remember and old enough to have a nice coin collection started!
Ummm - he was correct.
All silver coins produced in early 1965 were 90% silver and stamped with a date of 1964. This continued with various coins through 1966.
http://www.usmint.gov/faqs/circulating_coins/#anchor15
Thank you for the education.
“Left circulation very quickly”
Not neccesarily. Go get a job at a Quik Trip in a high crime area.
Recently, my daughter was counting a cash register drawer, and found someone had paid for their stuff with a bunch of almost Mint, 1957, one dollar and two dollar “Silver Certificates”
So, can she still redeem them for silver? And does she get the amount of silver it would have bought in 1957, or 2011?
Silver Certificates were abolished by Congress on June 4, 1963 and all redemption in silver ceased on June 24, 1968.
If, at the same time, you had put $1,000.00 of paper currency away for safekeeping that stash would be worth $142.88.
It seems like you’re making an unfair comparison. This seems to be inflation-adjusted (ie based on purchasing power)
Is the silver amount based on current spot price of gold, or the current purchasing power based on that spot price?
Because $1000 of paper currency is still “worth” $1000.
** An interesting little footnote about silver coins. . . . had you put $1,000.00 worth of common circulating silver dimes, quarter-dollars, and half-dollars into storage in early 1965 that stash would be worth $28,820.00 today. If, at the same time, you had put $1,000.00 of paper currency away for safekeeping that stash would be worth $142.88.
How much would my stash be worth if I had invested $1,000 in 1965 in IBM or in Microsoft a decade later?
How much would your stash be worth if you’d invested in the winning lottery ticket?
I remeber the day after the 1987 crash. I had $2000 to my name. As a Math/Computer Science student I was determined to buy half Microsoft and half Intel stock. The damn stock broker at Merrill Lynch talked me out of it. Instead I ended up with Walmart. Not bad but far shy of what it could have been.
I remember taking a Microsoft Works class in 89 and the professor all telling us that we should invest in MSFT.
I missed that one, but I did have stock in HQ Office Supply Warehouse.
Fido’s Food Set to Take Bigger Bite of Budget: Chart of the Day
U.S. pet owners beware: the cost of feeding your animal is set to surge in coming months, following the rise in your own food bill.
The CHART OF THE DAY shows how changes in the food component of the consumer price index have led movements in pet food costs since 2006. In 2008, pet food prices jumped by 16 percent after human food inflation reached 6 percent. Human food costs have accelerated to more than 2 percent as of February after falling 0.7 percent at the end of 2009.
Americans spent more than $45 billion on pets and pet- related products last year, exceeding the value of domestic car purchases, according to data from the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis.
“Recent food price increases appear to be passing through to pet food products, as they did to an even greater degree in 2008, Zach Pandl, senior economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., said in a research note to clients. “These gains have added to the rise in core inflation, and likely will continue to do so for a while longer.”
The CPI increased 2.1 percent in February from a year earlier after rising by 1.6 percent in the 12 months ended in January. The Labor Department is scheduled to release March inflation figures on April 15.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-08/fido-s-food-set-to-take-bigger-bite-of-budget-chart-of-the-day.html
U.S. pet owners beware: the cost of feeding your animal is set to surge in coming months, following the rise in your own food bill.
still far cheaper than a flesh-baby.
And if worse comes to worse, you can eat the “fur-baby”.
There’s a joke here, but I just can’t do it……
Lots of doggies going to “the farm” in the future when choices have to be made.
[My brother actually found a farm for the family dog. I had just assumed that he put it down and kind of laughed when I found out that there really was a farm! He was horrified.]
The pet population here has exploded, very much in synch with the housing boom. As I type this thousands and thousands of pups are wandering empty condos waiting for the chance to administer some “unconditional love” to the even emptier hearts of their owners. For those pups, that’s “Miller time”.
This genius sow takes the cake, good thing Barry had morons like this advising him, not that that it matters, he is completely clueless anyway.
Christina Romer: A Weaker Dollar Is Good For America
By Aaron Task | Daily Ticker –
Frustrated by “the suffering of real families,” President Obama’s former top economic adviser recently called for action: “If I have a complaint about policy these days, it’s that we’re not doing enough,” Christina Romer said in a speech last month at Vanderbilt University. “I think there are tools we have tools we have that we can use, and I think it’s shameful that we’re not using them.” (See: Former White House Economist Blasts Inaction On Jobs)
With unemployment still near 9% and the “real” unemployment rate at 15.7%, “we can’t afford not to do more,” Romer tells me in the accompanying video. “For heaven’s sake with this many people unemployed — think of what it’s doing to government revenues and support payments. If all you’re worried about is the budget deficit, it’s really important” to put people back to work.
In terms of specific policies, Romer recommends a payroll tax holiday for corporations - rather than workers. Because “firms respond to incentives”, making it less expensive would encourage them to do more hiring.
Romer also wants more action from the Fed, which has already taken extraordinary measures to boost the economy and financial markets.
“What I’d like is for the Fed to come at the unemployment problem with the same passion as when the financial system was in such distress,” she says.
In terms of specific policies, Romer recommends a payroll tax holiday for corporations - rather than workers. Because “firms respond to incentives”, making it less expensive would encourage them to do more hiring.
Sheesh. Typical academic who’s never spent a day in the business world.
What she needs to get through her well-educated and highly credentialed head is that businesses will expand their payrolls in response to increased demand for their products and services. It’s not about tax cuts, tax holidays, SBA loans, or all that other stuff that these folks think we need.
Christie, if demand is down, so are payrolls. It’s that simple. Figure out a way to boost demand, and hiring will pick up again.
The MNCs smell blood in the water. They think it’s only a matter of time before they get an “amnesty” to bring in all of their overseas profits tax-free, or at a massively reduced rate.
Don’t hold your breath waiting for any of this cash to “trickle down” either.
The only “trickle down” J6P is seeing is that wet, yellow stuff.
And being told “Urine the money!”
Easy, hand out government jobs. ISTM that if government wants a job created, don’t give some company a tax break and “hope” the company creates a job. Just create the damn job yourself. There’s plenty of work to do.
How dare you suggest they take the very bread out of the mouths of the gov. contractors who outnumber the regular federal employees?
“Christina Romer: A Weaker Dollar Is Good For America”
Does the woman drive a car? Or did she not notice how gas recently broached $4/gal?
Maybe if you have a Berkeley professor’s salary, along with your husband, gas isn’t a major expenditure…
I’ve met a lot of Ivy Leaguers who should get a refund on their education.
This clown is truly pathetic…
Reid says Republicans want shutdown to close clinics
WASHINGTON, April 8 (Reuters) - Ratcheting up the rhetoric, U.S. Senate Democratic Leader Harry Reid on Friday said Republicans want to shut down the government because they want to deny funding to women’s health clinics.
“Republicans want to shut down the government because they think there’s nothing more important than keeping women from getting cancer screenings. This is indefensible and everyone should be outraged,” Reid said on the Senate floor.
It appears to be true that the $300 million annual budget for Planned Parenthood is precisely the issue keeping the two sides apart. You would think that Big Pharma would be all over this since the gubmint buys their oral contraceptive products to dispense at PP. But I guess nothing is more sacred than denying poor women access to abortions, even at the expense of their Pap smears and contraceptives!
I hear ya, Elanor. As a taxpayer, I don’t have an issue paying for an Abortion or Birth Control. Those decisions are between a woman and her maker, and not one our govt should use a carrot to control. Good point on Big Pharma. Where are their Lobbyists on this one?
Ever read or watch Freakonomics? Abortion has lowered crime rates.
As a taxpayer, I don’t have an issue paying for an Abortion or Birth Control.
In Iran, women of childbearing age can get birth control for free. The provider? The Iranian government.
I know PP doesn’t get federal money for Abortions, but I would rather give women the right to terminate an unplanned pregnancy, then to support an unappreciated child for 18 + yrs. For me, it comes down to the lesser of the two evils. I am not fond of the lesser of the two evil concept, but it kind of applies here.
Disclosure: I’ve had an Abortion. It is not an easy decision, and it is between the woman and her maker. In retrospect, it was the right decision at the time.
PP already does not use federal funds to pay for abortions. PP provides treatment for STDs to men as well as women (more drugs! Hey Big Pharma!) and they even provide vasectomies.
You know what I DO object to paying for with my tax dollars? Erectile dysfunction drugs for geezers via Medicare prescription plans. Wonder how the Tea Partiers feel about that?
Or worse, Elanor, insurance paying for ED drugs but not paying for birth control. A man is not allowed to say “no” because that’s bad for his mental health, while a woman is not allowed to say “yes” because that’s immoral.
PP already does not use federal funds to pay for abortions. PP provides treatment for STDs to men as well as women (more drugs! Hey Big Pharma!) and they even provide vasectomies.
And money is fungible, so that really is just an accounting trick.
I think it’s a silly issue overall (personally i don’t think the gov’t should be handing out money to any of these orgs, nor taking in the taxes it does to even have money to choose to redistribute), but let’s be honest….the fact that they get federal funds to pay for std treatments, etc, simply frees them to have more funds (via donations) for other things (including abortions).
(i’m pro-choice, as well, before someone decides to attack me on that front)
Well we can expect to see STD rates rise. This will of course trickle up (no pun intended) to everyone in the country.
As they say
An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure.
An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure.
I once had someone on this very board argue that prevention was more expensive.
I knew right then it was going to be a long Not a Depression Recession.
Gotta get the “base” fired up. It will all blow up because the Democrats want to kill babies, unlike the noble, common sense Republicans.
Everybody KNOWS who wants a government shutdown. What party has been yelling for years that there is too much government.
Republicans……get some sack, and OWN IT. According to you guys, nobody needs government anyway. Now is your chance to back it up, and lead the way to a brighter, un-regulated future.
Wait until one of the for-profit American energy companies cuts one too many corners at their nuke plants. Yep, it’ll be brighter all right.
I have a stupid question. Why don’t the Republicans put in an amendment to separate off the abortion services of Planned Parenthood into a separate entity? instead of denying PP entirely? Then the government can restore the $298 million (minus the abortion unit) to the cancer and contraceptive parts of PP, knowing for sure now that PP money won’t be going toward any abortions, not even indirectly. Would that make the Tea Party happy?
Funding for abortions is already forbidden by the Hyde amendment. None of this affects the legality of abortion (sorry, pro-lifers!), but funding is something else. Maybe the women’s studies set can donate to support PP Abortion (sorry, pro-choicers!).
Why don’t the Republicans put in an amendment to separate off the abortion services of Planned Parenthood into a separate entity?
possibly because PP isn’t a gov’t organization? So they can’t force PP to reorganize. Additonally, they’d have to guarantee that PP didn’t give the new entity any funds.
Why do conservatives continuously involve themselves in the sexual organs of women?
Why do conservatives want government in peoples lives?
In fundy circles women are just vessels, wombs, nothing else but propagating the male’s DNA. So, it’s all about power & control.
Oxy,
The abortion part of PP IS separate from all the other services.
Then why the debate? Just fund the non-abortio parts.
Or is the MSM purposely lying for ratings? They all say it’s about “funding abortion.”
This clown is truly pathetic…
Reid says Republicans want shutdown to close clinics
Is he pathetic because it’s true or not true?
“It could probably be shown by facts and figures that there is no Native American criminal class except Congress.”
~Mark Twain
Over and over you hear folks complaining about the damage done by Al Greasepan &BB. However congress is exactly where the blame lies, they unleashed the beast and have been feeding from it’s hand ever since 1913.
Keep voting for the same self severing turds America!
Over and over you hear folks complaining about the damage done by the same self severing turds of America!
I’m stumped wmbz, who’d that be exactly? (hint, pick up a 2-sided mirror, stare intently into it, focus on the dark blurry image projected (you’ll need to turn a light)…who’d that be?)
In case it escaped your notice, we are now in the anger phase of the housing bubble stages of grief. Next up: bargaining/reconciliation…
Elections
Dems Furious After Vote Change Gives Lead to Wisconsin Supreme Court Justice
Published April 08, 2011 | FoxNews dot com
April 5: Supporters for Wisconsin Supreme Court candidate JoAnne Kloppenburg cheer while watch election results in Madison, Wis.
Democrats in Wisconsin were crying foul Friday after a significant vote-count change in the hotly contested Supreme Court election gave the conservative incumbent the lead in a race that could decide the fate of the state’s new divisive collective bargaining law.
…
Democrats in Wisconsin were crying foul Friday after a significant vote-count change in the hotly contested Supreme Court election gave the conservative incumbent the lead in a race that could decide the fate of the state’s new divisive collective bargaining law.
Methinks that the marchers will be converging on Madison once again.
Cool, Oil is over $112.00 and uncle buck is…well looking a little weak in the knees. That’s good according to one of Barrys former financial advisers!
She thinks a weak dollar is a wonderful thing.
Wells Fargo cutting 1,900 mortgage jobs, 274 in Twin Cities
Minneapolis / St. Paul Business Journal
Wells Fargo & Co. said Thursday it is cutting 1,900 mortgage jobs as home lending and refinancing slows, according to media reports.
The company said 274 of those jobs would come from its Twin Cities operations, the Star Tribune reported.
The cutbacks, which were announced to employees March 23, represent 1 percent of Wells Fargo’s entire workforce and 3 percent of its mortgage staff.
A majority of the jobs were temporary ones created last year when refinancing surged because of low interest rates, according to both Bloomberg and Reuters.
Filed under: Checks in the mail!
IRS awards $4.5M to whistleblower:
AP News
The IRS mailed the accountant’s lawyer a $3.24 million check that arrived in suburban Philadelphia by first-class mail Thursday.
“Whistleblower programs have been incredibly successful in the arena of health care and defense spending, and now they are being tried as a weapon against tax cheats and Wall Street scoundrels,”
The whistleblower program only promises awards for returns of $2 million or more.
The accountant’s case is the first in the program to reach fruition.
(Guess the good Senator has never been
lied totrickedcleverly deceived?)“When you got a whistleblower that’s saying somebody didn’t pay $20 million in taxes, that that’s an embarrassment to the full-time employees of the IRS,…” Sen. Charles Grassley
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
I love it.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2011/04/08/dem_congressman_to_veteran_at_town_hall_time_to_sit_down.html
Democrat Congresscritter tells 27 year Vet to sit down or leave when he questions authority.
Sit down prole. Who do you think you are?
Democrat Congresscritter tells 27 year Vet to sit down or leave when he questions authority.
But the dude wouldn’t shut up would he? Was that a question or a filibuster?
But the dude wouldn’t shut up would he?
“…hangin’ chad! hangin’ chad! hangin’ chad! hangin’ chad! hangin’ chad!”
“TrueAnger™” / “TrueReduceTheDeficitNow!!!!™”
AS it focuses on patterns of behavior
IT focuses on patterns of behavior
FOCUSES on patterns of behavior
ON patterns of behavior
PATTERNS of behavior
patterns of behavior
patterns of behavior
patterns of behavior
patterns
OF
BEHAVIOR
But the dude wouldn’t shut up would he? Was that a question or a filibuster?
People in public positions have to deal with this sort of thing at least once during every public appearance. How they remain so gracious is beyond me. I know I wouldn’t have the patience.
Speaking your piece is one things, yammering on like a woodpecker is just rude.
It’s a damn shame that people with least say use the most words to say and often think the world wants to hear it all.
So who is in favor of a government shutdown? Senior citizens.
They keep getting their senior benefits like Social Security and Medicare, but no additional people are allowed into the programs.
A perfect solution for the difference between what Generation Greed was willing to pay in taxes and what it expects in benefits.
What ARE you talking about?
“Senior citizens.”
Propose to shut down Social Security and Medicare along with the rest of the government, and see how much they like the idea…
Realtors yell at puppies
Which prompts the puppies to steal their *other* slipper and chew it to bits too.
And then the puppies go over to their dog dish and tip it over onto the floor. Splash. That’ll teach that big mean agent to yell at us.
Fanniemae - check - no go
large government contractor - check - still waiting
french nuclear power company - interview next week
i’m really running the crony capitalist gambit…times have changed since my last job interviewing experience over 10 years ago.
the one i really want is moving forward (hopefully) just slowly.
If the French(anti american) nuclear(anti-oil) outfit hires you, your head will explode.
http://market-ticker.org/
Let’s have a REAL discussion of the Federal budget crisis, not these Republicrat “gotcha” games.
http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/DXY
Dollar tanking - thank you, Ben Bernanke and TurboTax Timmay. Prepare for a flood of foreign buyers with resource-backed currencies (and Central Bank restraint) to snap up distressed US properties.
Filed under: Ford pokes Kia in the eye. Made in America!
800-horsepower Mustang on the way:
The 2012 Shelby GT500 Super Snake will be built by Shelby American
BWAHAHAHicHAHAHicHAHAHAHAHicHAHAHic* (DennisN™)
I had an ugly incident today at a bank. A total lack of customer service on their part was exhibited. They acted like I should go away and die for a mistake they made that cost me a bearable, but not minor amount of money. My feelings at this point is why even keep much money in a bank or financial companies like Fidelity,etc. for that matter. I guess I can consider this a cheap schooling in the real world of money and how it is managed. I am not smarting as much as I would in my youthful years because they have taught me a major lesson.
Well? Did you close your account?
I need to talk with branch manager next week, but ultimately, yes, I am pulling money out of their branch and their brokerage service and will encourage my wife to do same with her savings account. I am sure the bank will take attitude of don’t let the door hit you as you leave stance, and I can only expect that. Lesson is nobody cares more about your money than yourself.
Lesson is nobody cares more about your money than yourself.
Hey, it’s official, you can drop “Absolute”!
(memo: send HBB “move-your-money” wolf-pack merit badge asap)
Has anyone seen the movie Inside Job? OMG. I am so pissed off.
Hey, wells welcome Tom, but the
entry feequiz for today is to post your favorite Deleted ob$cenes quote:Wonder what kind of gas mileage it will get.
I reckon they’re not trying to out sell Prius with this model.
Why do conservative republicans hate contraceptives? How are contraceptives their business?
Why do conservative republicans hate contraceptives?
(It’s reported that the porn industry pimps feel this way too, co-incidence or CONspiracy)?
How are contraceptives their business?
eyes seems to be sTrumped on this one…
It occurs to me that, as a country, we’re going to test the Peter Principle:
“The Peter Principle is a special case of a ubiquitous observation: anything that works will be used in progressively more challenging applications until it fails. This is “The Generalized Peter Principle”. It was observed by Dr. William R. Corcoran in his work on corrective action programs at nuclear power plants. He observed it applied to hardware, e.g., vacuum cleaners as aspirators, and administrative devices such as the “Safety Evaluations” used for managing change. There is much temptation to use what has worked before, even when it may exceed its effective scope. Dr. Peter observed this about humans.”
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Principle
We’ve been testing it for the last 30 years.
Unfortunately, the part of the Peter Principle that says people are promoted beyond their competency has resulted in same people doing the testing and interpreting the results.
There is much temptation to use what has worked before, even when it may exceed its effective scope
Mr. Bear, should I contact the CEO of Fed Inc. to pro-offer a comment, or is the proof in the pudding?
Interesting thread.
The anger stage of the housing bubble - “we” own everything,… you owe, “us”… You are nothing without, “us”,… “we” will take what, “we” need in order to make, “us” whole. Tutto nello Stato, niente al di fuori dello Stato, nulla contro lo Stato. “We” are many.
Is that what Yurtle the Turtle said at the top of the stack?
DB says, there are more unsold real estate objects in Spain than in the whole US,
Wow.
Agreement Reached on US Government Interim Budget!
“Miracles happen / fund-it-they-will-come”
(Just returned from the jacuzzi, Mr. Cole is falling asleep watching Scobby Doo “Curse-of-the-lake-monster”… Bloopers with “retro” music…Yawn)
Be well, do good things…Hope the sun comes up & the plant rotates with a rhythm of “constancy”…Cheers!
Buy now, before higher rates price you out forever!
REAL ESTATE
APRIL 8, 2011
Mortgage Rates Edge Up; 30-Year Fixed Is at 4.87%
By NATHAN BECKER
Mortgage rates mostly edged higher in the latest week, with the average on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rising slightly to 4.87%, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey.
Mortgage rates generally track U.S. bond yields, which move inversely to Treasury prices. Rates have climbed this year after slumping most of last year when prices rallies on economic uncertainty.
…