April 18, 2011

Bits Bucket for April 18, 2011

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 02:46:31

World Bank president: ‘One shock away from crisis’
Mr Zoellick said the world should not forget the lesson of the last financial crisis. ~ BBC News

The president of the World Bank has warned that the world is “one shock away from a full-blown crisis”.

Robert Zoellick cited rising food prices as the main threat to poor nations who risk “losing a generation”.

He was speaking in Washington at the end of the spring meetings of the World Bank and International Monetary Fund.

Meanwhile, G20 finance chiefs, who also met in Washington, pledged financial support to help new governments in the Middle East and North Africa.

Mr Zoellick said such support was vital.

“The crisis in the Middle East and North Africa underscores how we need to put the conclusions from our latest world development report into practice. The report highlighted the importance of citizen security, justice and jobs,” he said.

He also called for the World Bank to act quickly to support reforms in the region.

“Waiting for the situation to stabilise will mean lost opportunities. In revolutionary moments the status quo is not a winning hand.”

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2011-04-18 06:33:31

In the meantime, the U.S. will offer loans to help gas stations install tanks and pumps that can provide ethanol-blended fuel up to and including E-85, which is 85% ethanol.

There’s also a tariff in place to protect U.S. corn-derived ethanol producers from lower-cost Brazilian switchgrass-derived ethanol competition.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 07:19:24

U.S. ethanol production plan:

1. Use lotsa fuel to produce corn.
2. Use lotsa corn to produce ethanol.

Results: Higher corn and fuel prices…

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 07:58:37

Gotta keep Iowa happy.

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Comment by Steve J
2011-04-18 08:16:26

As long as the first primaries are in Iowa, the corn Mafia will rule!

 
Comment by rms
2011-04-18 11:26:50

“Gotta keep Iowa happy.”

+1 Jesus too!

 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2011-04-18 19:26:41

Charles Grassley and other agribusiness agenda-pushers = Children of the Corn.

 
 
Comment by lucy
2011-04-18 08:10:47

Corn farmers and oil companies benefit. Its a win-win situation for everywin.

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Comment by AV0CAD0
2011-04-18 11:05:15

and the the energy from ethanol bites. Small diesel cars at 80-150 mpg is the way to go.

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Comment by measton
2011-04-18 11:10:41

As noted in previous posts
I suspect grain consumption as food is not increasing

1. Cattle heard at 50 year lows
2. Beef consumption in China expected to drop again in 2011.

Thus they have to increase ethanol consumption to prevent deflation.

Too bad they can’t make ethanol from empty homes and worthless MBS.

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Comment by Az Retired
2011-04-18 12:03:04

Measton, low cattle herd numbers make beef a fairly expensive protein source for a country like China. Pork and poultry are a cheaper(and quicker) form of corn fed protein. I did read within the past couple of weeks that China is looking to buy 2 million tons of corn from US as available.Once you move up from insect larva and rice diet to corn fed protein it is hard to return.
I suppose we need some ethanol production capacity in the event of a national emergency but I too am uncomfortable using our food supply for fuel.

 
Comment by measton
2011-04-18 13:29:53

Food inflation in general makes beef pork much more expensive.

It takes something like 20+x grams of grain prot to create 1 g of cattle. I think chicken is 4/6 to 1. Pork probably in between.

If cattle heards are low there is much less corn consumption going on. Yet grain prices continue to rise.

My guess is speculation. Not wanting to get caught in the down draft the PTB have pushed through legislation to increase ethanol consumption.

 
 
 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-18 10:23:14

I’m pretty sure that the Brazilians are using sugar cane, not switchgrass. I thought switchgrass was cellulosic?

I look at shutting out the Brazilians as protecting American jobs. Now, if only growing fuel corn actually created more real jobs rather just enriching a few farmers, fertilizer and oil companies, and John Deere…

Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 10:25:42

Now, if only growing fuel corn actually created more real jobs rather just enriching a few farmers, fertilizer and oil companies, and John Deere…

and provided a net energy gain, and wasn’t subsidized by taxpayers….

It is nice to see local producers being protected. It’s a shame we’re not seeking to protect viable industries, though…

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Comment by oxide
2011-04-18 12:14:53

Good point.

I’m still not sure about the net energy gain of corn ethanol. I can never figure out if whatever interest group is including solar energy in their EROI calculation. Even if ethanol is energy neutral, there is some value in that you are converting solar energy into a transportable form.

It takes energy to make energy. I’m thinking of that nuclear plant in Japan. All those pumps, piping systems, emergency systems, and cooling systems need so electricity that I’m still surprised the electrcity generated by the reactor is enough to run itself.

(I won’t say that corn ethanol is carbon-neutral because corn needs the oil-based fertilizer, but I believe cellulosic ethanol is carbon neturon because it can grow in poor soil without fertilizer.)

 
Comment by Steve J
2011-04-18 13:33:19

IFIC, the import duty on Brazilian ethanol is $.40/gal.

 
 
Comment by AV0CAD0
2011-04-18 11:16:05

Brazil probably has more natural resources than any other country on the planet. This BRICS thing could have legs.

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Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 02:48:38

Job cuts for poor seniors could up homelessness
Associated Press – Sun Apr 17

LOS ANGELES – For $700 a month, 65-year-old Esmeralda Calderon cares for children part-time through a federal community service job that’s in jeopardy because of cuts to the proposed federal budget for 2011. It’s the only source of income for a woman who has no one to rely on and lives alone in public housing in a gritty Hollywood neighborhood.

Under the Department of Labor’s Senior Community Service Employment Program, more than 75,000 elderly Americans living in poverty in all 50 states earn their keep by the slimmest of margins. To qualify, participants must be over 55 and earning less than 125 percent of the federal poverty level — $13,600 a year.

In the budget bill signed Friday by President Barack Obama, the program was slashed by 45 percent, from $825 million to $450 million a year. Advocates say it could mean as many as 58,000 fewer jobs if states or national groups are forced to discontinue the program because of the reductions.

For 20 hours a week, Calderon bounces toddlers on her hip, feeds them cereal and cleans up after the at-risk children at downtown Los Angeles’ Para Los Ninos, a childcare and educational facility.

“It’s harder for people my age who are on our own,” said Calderon, in Spanish, clutching the green Starbucks apron she wears to clean. “Unfortunately, other employment opportunities are very hard to find for people my age.”

Comment by Steve J
2011-04-18 08:20:18

Even if you don’t pay anything into Social Security, US citizens can draw the minimal monthly benefit($300-$400).

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 16:03:28

Welcome back to the 19th century!

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 02:51:04

April 18th. TAX deadline Day! Just wrote out our check, I am sure it will be spent wisely.

Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 06:07:22

When 2banana is king for a day.

No taxes are to taken out of your pay during the year.
You have to write a check or pay cash for your taxes in full on tax day (15 APR)
The next day is election day (16 APR)

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2011-04-18 06:36:02

+1E6

 
Comment by Overtaxed
2011-04-18 07:30:01

Man, would that have an effect on the overall tax burden! What a wonderful idea. Even without changing the election day, if everyone just had to stroke a check today (like I did) they’d certainly be much more interested in how their dollars were spent. People are dum, they don’t “feel” the taxes coming out when they are pulled directly from their pay.

Writing a check is a much more “traumatic” experience, you’ll become instantly more involved with the spending of your money when you actually see it as YOUR MONEY.

Comment by polly
2011-04-18 07:48:55

I’d say that anyone who has a bigger emotional reaction to writing a check for $x thousands than seeing $x thousands on line whatever of their 1040 has a problem with impulse control. Keeping the money for up to 15 more months (however small the return during that time) is easier, not harder.

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Comment by michael
2011-04-18 07:58:32

Casino experts contradict your analysis of human nature.

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-18 08:29:28

I didn’t say that the number of people with impulse control issues was small.

Seriously, if the government didn’t do it, the banks would fill in the service. They get the direct deposit checks, so with a little extra disclosure from the account holder, they could set up a “folder” something like that in one of your accounts to automatically hold a portion of each check for use when taxes are due. For people whose wages change a lot over the course of a year or who hold several part time positions, they might do a better job since they have a view of your income through the whole year while an employer only sees what they pay you. They could even adjust it for your preferred “amount left over” (what is now a refund).

I’m seeing a possible business opportunity here….

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-18 08:54:59

Seriously, if the government didn’t do it, the banks would fill in the service. They get the direct deposit checks, so with a little extra disclosure from the account holder, they could set up a “folder” something like that in one of your accounts to automatically hold a portion of each check for use when taxes are due.

People who are self-employed frequently get the above advice. It’s called setting money aside for taxes.

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-18 09:45:58

Yeah, Slim, but those of us on W-2’s don’t have to most of the time. My personal finance method (check deposited in savings account, only take out $x a month for checking account, the rest is automatically saved) would adapt well to writing a check at tax filing time. Small business owners and retired people have to learn to do it, but a lot of wage earners haven’t picked up the skill - yet. Eventually most of us will end up in a situation where taxes aren’t withheld for us.

 
Comment by Jim A
2011-04-18 09:52:20

Keep in mind, before FDR changed it to help pay for WWII, everybody paid income taxes in for quarterly payments in the year after the income was made. Non-compliance was a real problem.

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-18 11:01:21

So it was a one time accounting trick to bring a whole year of revenue “forward”? Interesting. I didn’t know that.

But, you can only do it once. Like switching from FIFO inventory accounting to LIFO inventory accounting. Raises revenue once, but after you do it, you are done.

 
Comment by Jim A
2011-04-18 12:07:22

Actually people were mostly excused from paying two years of taxes all at once. But with with near total employment, the average income for the current year was higher than for the previous year, so current receipts immediately went up.
http://www.independent.org/newsroom/article.asp?id=2092

 
 
 
Comment by CincyDad
2011-04-18 09:13:02

I’ve always thought the government should have to extimate it’s revenue and expenses each year, and set the tax rate accordingly.

Then, at the end of the year, if the government collected more than it spent, it should send refunds to tax payers. If it spend more than it collected, then it should have to send a supplimental tax bill to people demanding we send in more.

No politition would want to send out a bill asking taxpayers to send them a check for their (gov’t) overspending for the year.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 09:22:18

From cubicle drone to king?

You’re beyond deluded BananaBagger.

Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 10:27:24

I’m reminded of a George Carlin monologue, where he reminds his audience that they aren’t welcome in the 1%er club.

He also warns them that the 1%er’s are going to come to take SS away.

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Comment by CrackerJim
2011-04-18 09:51:55

Keep in mind that 47% of filers either pay $0 in federal income taxes or actually receive money from the Feds for filing their income tax return.
This means that you are probably fighting a losing battle to get any tax relief as those people vote too and people tend to vote in their own best interest.

Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 10:28:44

“people tend to vote in their own best interest”

Actually, its been clearly demonstrated that they don’t. Witness how a large chunk of the working poor vote for the GOP.

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Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 10:31:56

Witness how a large chunk of the working poor vote for the GOP.

I’m not disagreeing (yet :) But would love to hear why you feel voting for the GOP is against their best interests?

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-04-18 10:51:50

Working poor women are the ones served by Planned Parenthood and government subsidized daycare.

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 10:54:16

Working poor women are the ones served by Planned Parenthood and government subsidized daycare.

Would you not agree that one’s “best interest” is an aggregate thing? Seeing as we don’t have 10,000,000 different political platforms to vote for, I’d argue it is.

As such, to evaluate whether one is voting in one’s best interest or not, don’t we need to look beyond a single issue and see which of the available choices serves the individual’s interest the best overall?

 
Comment by measton
2011-04-18 11:12:44

Certainly they don’t vote their best financial interests.

Trickle down economics = emperors new clothes.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-04-18 11:17:16

I would agree we need to look beyond a single issue. That was simply the first that came to mind.

The working poor are more likely to have no employer health care and the Republicans are doing nothing to address that. Health care exchanges and tort reform do nothing if you can’t afford the premiums. IMHO, health care exchanges will mean that the only insurance that is affordable will essentially be no insurance (a catastrophic policy). Medicaid is being cut to the point that providers are taking no new Medicaid patients.

Republicans are almost universally against the minimum wage. They are looking to repeal child labor laws.

Republicans hate the public school system. If vouchers do not cover all of private school tuition (including books and transportation), they do the working poor no good.

Republicans want to kill Medicare and Social Security, so the working poor will have nothing to fall back on when they become decrepit.

Republicans hate unemployment uninsurance. They should just get a job already.

 
Comment by Az Retired
2011-04-18 12:11:23

Happy2bHeard, if you believe that you must live a miserable life. No wonder you could be sold on hope and change.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 13:29:22

” But would love to hear why you feel voting for the GOP is against their best interests”

Where to begin?

Policies that favor the rich at the expense of everyone else (taxes)?
Policies that reward offshoring of jobs?

Most of the working poor who vote for the GOP do so because of social issues: abortion, homosexual rights, etc. And the GOP doesn’t even deliver in those areas.

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 13:33:02

Policies that favor the rich at the expense of everyone else (taxes)?

How does tax policy work at the expense of the poor? Remember that the lower 50% don’t pay federal income tax. Clearly they’re not paying for anything, so how could it be at their expense?

I fail to see how your talk of social issues is relevant to the discussion of whether GOP or Dem is in their best personal interests.

 
Comment by measton
2011-04-18 14:03:28

Drumminj how many times do people have to point out that they do pay taxes before it sinks in. State taxes, sales taxes and of course inflation.

Tax cuts for elite and bailouts for elite create food and fuel inflation = a tax on those that spend a high percentage of their income on food and fuel. Not sure how you can miss this?

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 14:27:40

Tax cuts for elite and bailouts for elite create food and fuel inflation = a tax on those that spend a high percentage of their income on food and fuel

clearly you understand that the context here is FEDERAL TAXES. If you didn’t you wouldn’t be talking about bailouts….

So, let’s look at this again. Given federal income taxes, are state taxes relevant? No. Sales taxes? No. Inflation? Is not a “tax” in the same sense as the others discussed here.

So what is it I’m not getting? I never claimed that the “poor” don’t pay sales taxes or state income taxes.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 16:08:53

Well Az Retired, Happy2bHeard doesn’t have to believe it.

Because FACTS don’t require “belief.”

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-04-18 16:51:34

“Happy2bHeard, if you believe that you must live a miserable life.”

Az Retired, I don’t understand how you reach this conclusion.

And I need to believe in neither hope nor change to see that the Republicans do not have my best interests at heart.

 
 
Comment by eddiamond
2011-04-18 10:34:24

If everyone voted in their own self interest, how do the Republicans carry the South every election?

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Comment by Carl Morris
2011-04-18 12:10:21

Or to phrase it another way, if voting D IS in their best interest what is preventing them from voting D?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 13:05:42

“if voting D IS in their best interest what is preventing them from voting D?”

Guns, God, and Gays. (And welfare queens.)

 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 13:30:23

“if voting D IS in their best interest what is preventing them from voting D?”

Guns, God, and Gays. (And welfare queens.)

Exactly. And don’t forget abortion.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 16:10:15

People in the south ain’t be real smart.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2011-04-18 17:26:35

And there’s no possible way that a master politician from the D side couldn’t find just enough common ground to peel off some votes? Or is it just impossible to expect civilized folks to reason with “those people”?

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 20:36:36

It’s not “those people,” it’s a southern mentality no matter what their walk of life is.

The dumb southern hick is NOT a stereotype.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-04-18 09:37:20

Just remember that your check is larger than it should be because the wealthy are not paying their fair share.

Comment by GH
2011-04-18 09:55:07

Wealthy individuals or wealthy corporations? Somehow knowing the biggest corporations which is of course where the cash is are off limits, the wealthy who are not paying their fair share ends up being small business owners.

Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-04-18 10:49:34

Most small business owners are not wealthy.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-18 11:24:12

Most small business owners are not wealthy.

I’ll second that post.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 16:11:27

Third.

 
Comment by GH
2011-04-18 16:49:44

Thank god I thought I was the only one :-)

Seriously though, Walmart, GE, Microsoft, Citi, BP, GS, Chase etc are not people they are multinational corporations which clearly are not paying their fair share. These are “the wealthy” and if we want meaningful tax revenues beyond a few “feel good” jabs at folks earning upper middle class incomes this is where the cash is.

 
 
 
Comment by Anon In DC
2011-04-18 13:26:15

You’re right wealthy pay more than their share.

 
 
 
Comment by liz pendens
2011-04-18 04:08:21

There has never been a better time to punch a Realtor.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 08:18:32

I strongly disagree with blog posts that condone violence; there are too many individuals out there reading the internet who might be vulnerable to acting on such suggestions, even if they were merely meant to be humorous rather than prescriptive.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-18 10:27:49

And, speaking as someone from Tucson, Arizona, I have personal knowledge of where this sort of rhetoric can lead.

I know one of the last people to speak to Rep. Giffords’ aide, Gabe Zimmerman, before he was shot to death. She was at La Toscana shopping center to shop at the Safeway. She and Gabe were joking around, and he invited her to stay for Congress on Your Corner. She begged off, saying that she just *had* to get to the store and buy groceries. That decision probably saved her life.

I also know a man who was in the same parking lot where Congress on Your Corner was being held, and he just missed being shot.

Comment by nickpapageorgio
2011-04-18 11:15:20

The man who shot Giffords was a nut and a stalker, political rhetoric had nothing to do with that shooting. Facts will never get in the way of some who will keep trying to make the incident exhibit A in the progressive effort to curtail political speech.

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Comment by CarrieAnn
2011-04-18 12:31:24

Yes because we all know nuts and politics never mix.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 16:13:08

Calls to violence are not, and never were, protected by free speech.

 
 
Comment by FED Up
2011-04-18 17:17:38

Fame Through Assassination: A Secret Service Study
by ALIX SPIEGEL

The insights of this study are interesting to review in light of the Arizona shooting, though obviously we still don’t know that much about Jared Loughner, the suspect in the attack, or his motives. Perhaps the most interesting finding is that according to Fein and Vossekuil, assassinations of political figures were almost never for political reasons.

“It was very, very rare for the primary motive to be political, though there were a number of attackers who appeared to clothe their motives with some political rhetoric,” Fein says.

http://www.npr.org/2011/01/14/132909487/fame-through-assassination-a-secret-service-study

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Comment by lucy
2011-04-18 08:32:36

Not even that time last year when I tried on some brass knuckles with sharp points sticking out?

 
Comment by Lane from s.c.
2011-04-18 11:31:03

That comment is funny as he11….out of nowhere. lol

 
 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 04:13:18

Realtors Are Liars

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 16:14:48

What do you get when you cross a realtor with a used car salesman?

A motorhome.

 
 
Comment by liz pendens
2011-04-18 04:31:25

Emerging Markets = Third-World struggling economies

Submerging Markets = Any Real Estate

Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 08:40:08

Submerging Markets == US Economy

 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-04-18 04:39:39

Banks are foreclosing while homeowners pursue loan modifications

By Alejandro Lazo, Los Angeles Times
April 14, 2011, 6:51 p.m.

Mortgage lenders call it “dual tracking,” but for homeowners struggling to avoid foreclosure, it might go by another name: the double-cross.

Dual tracking refers to a common bank tactic. When a borrower in default seeks a loan modification, the institution often continues to pursue foreclosure at the same time.

Lenders contend that dual tracking simply protects their investment if the homeowner is unable to qualify for new loan terms. Mortgage servicers can lose money if they don’t foreclose in a timely manner, and repossessions often are complicated and lengthy.

But regulators and consumer advocates say the practice lulls some homeowners into thinking they are no longer at risk of having their homes taken away. Regulators are now aiming to curtail the practice as part of an overhaul of the foreclosure system.

“We don’t think that a homeowner who is making a good-faith effort to work through their troubled mortgage should have the roof ripped out from over them while they are negotiating, or trying to negotiate,” said Geoff Greenwood, a spokesman for Iowa Atty. Gen. Tom Miller.

On Wednesday, federal banking regulators issued settlements with major banks and home-loan servicers that would, among the many provisions, stop foreclosure once a homeowner is approved for a temporary mortgage modification. In ordering the changes, the regulators said they found “critical weaknesses” in the way the lenders handled foreclosures

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-dual-tracking-20110415,0,7480260.story - 199k -

Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 06:08:55

“We don’t think that a homeowner who is making a good-faith effort to work through their troubled mortgage should have the roof ripped out from over them while they are negotiating, or trying to negotiate,” said Geoff Greenwood, a spokesman for Iowa Atty. Gen. Tom Miller.

What did the contract say that the homeowner and bank signed?

Pretty sure it says just THAT!

 
Comment by combotechie
2011-04-18 07:23:10

Promises of loan modifications keeps the FB’s hopes alive and costs the bank - what? - zero dollars?

Zero dollars spent and the FB doesn’t walk away and leave an empty house? Doesn’t trash the house? Treats the house as if he owns it?

Now just why would the bank not want to make such promises?

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 04:42:14

London Property Asking Prices Increase to Record, Rightmove Says.
~ UK Mail

London home sellers raised asking prices to a record in April as prospective cash-rich buyers met a shortage of homes available for sale.

Average asking prices in the capital rose 1.6 percent from the previous month to 431,013 pounds ($701,000), Rightmove Plc, the operator of the U.K.’s biggest property website, said in an e-mailed statement today. From a year earlier, prices are up 2.2 percent, against a 0.1 percent increase in England and Wales.

“London is a stable market that behaves differently from the rest of the country,” said Justin Knight, a real-estate agent at Bective Leslie Marsh in west London. “There’s a real imbalance in supply and demand.”

Bank of England policy maker Andrew Sentance said April 14 that unaffordable homes and a squeeze on lending may mean the revival in the property market lags an economic recovery driven by global demand. The exception is London and the South East of England, where property has a stronger link to the performance of the financial industry and global markets, he said.

Nationally, house prices rose 1.7 percent in April from March, according to Rightmove, which said the increase “looks misplaced” as supply is outstripping demand. The average number of properties real-estate agents have available for sale rose to 74 from 70, the biggest jump since May 2007.

Comment by Steve J
2011-04-18 08:22:01

With all that Tarp/Talf money that was sent to London, this is not surprising.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 08:42:13

Why is it again that the Fed bailed out so many foreign banks? Given the money squeeze so many American households and small businesses are facing today, I find that allocation decision highly questionable.

Comment by Jim A
2011-04-18 09:54:37

Why? Not enough Viking in our blood. (NOT meant to be a racist comment, just a sly nod to Icelanders)

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Comment by polly
2011-04-18 12:25:28

You want to appoint a beserker to the Fed Board of Governors?

 
 
Comment by Montana
2011-04-18 10:01:25

Ask not, for whom the bell tolls…

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Comment by MrBubble
2011-04-18 10:34:33

I’d lose the comma to make a better scan of Donne’s work…

 
 
 
 
Comment by Anon In DC
2011-04-18 13:29:14

Sounds like London is “different.”

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 04:58:05

Losing 84 Cents on Dollar Reveals Runaway U.S. Public Pension Shortfalls
(Bloomberg)

The deal came together behind the doors of a Louisiana psychiatric ward. John Skannal, 74, signed a document in October 2003 authorizing the sale of land handed down through eight generations of his family.

The buyer was a statewide pension plan for municipal law officers. The fund assembled golf and real estate holdings that lost 84 cents on each dollar the police spent on them over 10 years. The losses are emblematic of a decade in which the $1.2 billion program went from fully funded to $836.3 million short of meeting future retirement obligations.

The nine trustees of the Municipal Police Employees’ Retirement System made a series of decisions that taxpayers and 10,748 active and retired cops are now paying for. The board embraced bad investments, ignored warnings of weak financial controls that enabled its attorney to steal $1.2 million and set up conflicts of interest among its advisers, according to a review of thousands of pages of documents obtained under the state public records act and more than 50 interviews.

“It was like a gigantic playhouse,” says Nick Congemi, 68, chief of the Greater New Orleans Expressway Police in Metairie, who for years criticized the system’s leadership and investments. “These people have taken the futures away of good, decent law-enforcement officers who thought they could depend on this for the rest of their lives.”

$479.6 Billion Deficit

The irregularities in the Louisiana police plan show how trustees and employees of U.S. public pensions, operating with little or no oversight or transparency, can cost taxpayers and threaten the retirement income of government workers. Assets held by state systems are $479.6 billion less than what is needed to fund estimated obligations, according to official financial reports compiled by Bloomberg.

“The failure to govern public pensions appropriately inevitably hurts those who can least afford it: retirees, workers and taxpayers,” says Eleanor Bloxham, chief executive officer of Value Alliance, a Westerville, Ohio, governance consulting firm. “Such lapses can produce even greater harm than traditional financial crimes prosecuted by law enforcement.”

Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 06:10:55

“These people have taken the futures away of good, decent law-enforcement officers who thought they could depend on this for the rest of their lives.”

NO THEY HAVE NOT.

Taxpayers will have to make up the difference for insane public union pension no matter how well/bad the pension fund does.

It is a constitutional right - don’t cha know…

Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 06:38:23

Taxpayers will have to make up the difference for insane tax cuts to the filthy rich no matter how filthy rich they are.

You will always be countered with a dose of reality. Always.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 07:21:12

Is 2banana a paid Rethuglicant PR hack? (Just askin’…)

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Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 08:43:50

I was wondering the same myself.

I love the GOP plan. Get rid of the few remaining loopholes that benefit the middle class, but have no real effect on the super rich, while giving the super rich a tax cut.

What is there to not like?

 
Comment by Jim A
2011-04-18 09:59:19

“Tax loopholes” are just like “wasteful goverment programs.” Everybody dislikes most of ‘em, but nearly every one of ‘em has a small number of people who are VERY motivated to preserve ‘em. And a small number of very motivated proponents are often more politically powerful that a large number of nearly indifferent detractors.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2011-04-18 11:35:28

Anyone who counters the piped in Soros propaganda is now labeled as a republican hack by progressives. I guess it’s ok to rape the taxpayer as long as the money goes to the “right” people and organizations.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 12:43:32

This taxpayer is fed up with getting raped too. It’s time they rape the filthy rich.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 13:08:17

“Anyone who counters the piped in Soros propaganda is now labeled as a republican hack by progressives. ”

Classic.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 13:18:06

Consider the source Alpha.

 
 
Comment by GH
2011-04-18 10:03:00

Even if the filthy rich were taxed at enormous levels above the current ones, we would still have trillions in shortfalls. Worse there would be no one left to blame and pensions would still be underfunded. Pensions are underfunded because improper estimates in growth caused pension contributions to be short. Had pension contributions been at the correct level for market conditions this problem would not exist.

Then again if pension increases had required proper contributions instead of an assumption on tax payers no government employee would have wanted their pension to begin with since withholdings would have been much higher.

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Comment by Mot
2011-04-18 12:00:55

If every person who earned $500K and above were taxed at 100% there would still be a deficit of $800+ billion.

Simply freaking amazing.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 12:45:07

“Even if the filthy rich were taxed at enormous levels above the current ones, we would still have trillions in shortfalls.”

Where is the analysis or are you just shooting from the hip??

BTW, the filthy rich aren’t taxed at all.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 13:09:33

“Where is the analysis or are you just shooting from the hip??”

Exactly. Show us your numbers, that you seem so sure of.

 
Comment by GH
2011-04-18 17:16:28

OK, I’ll bite :

hawaiireporter
From the horses mouth

To sumarize total taxable income over $200,000 (the rich!!!)
$2 trillion - Tax paid 0.53 trillion

Everyone else :
$3.6 taxable income - Tax paid 0.55 trillion

OK, I’ll bite you could squeeze an extra $100 million from those earning between 100 and $200k a year and possibly an extra $100 mil from “the rich” before they take off or don’t bother, but that still leaves a massive and gaping hole.

Where this gets interesting is when you start to look at the top 500 corporations grossing close to $10 trillion a year and avoiding virtually all taxes. Of course having paid off our “cough cough” elected officials not much hope of going after these outfits any time soon.

This leaves cuts cuts and more cuts, just like any other budget where things are tight.

I would put it out there than no matter how much revenue a government took in it would quickly adjust its expenses to use all that money and leverage it many-fold beyond that.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 19:05:06

GH- The extension of the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy costs 900 billion dollars over two years, as has been widely reported- so you might want to re-run your numbers, in check with reality. (And your first source is a right-wing rag, your second is an IRS paper that proves nothing.)

 
Comment by GH
2011-04-18 21:42:22

The IRS paper is actual factual documentation, not “widely reported” propaganda from the very same press that pumped the housing bubble for years. Sorry, but I am a hard numbers guy and could care less what the press widely reports. With regards to the Bush tax cuts costing 900 billion, that is based on what could have been collected had the economy not tanked, and everything had been perfect. I would put it to you the Bush tax cuts put enough wind in the economy to increase tax revenues…

The clear facts are that giving the government more money means they will spend more. Great if you are a Union govt employee, not so good for everyone else!!!

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-19 04:44:01

Please help us by showing what, specifically, the IRS paper tells us.

 
 
 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 16:18:34

Oh. Louisiana.

Says it all right there.

 
 
Comment by Former Reader From Way Back
2011-04-18 05:17:11

From yesterday:
——————-
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-17 10:52:20

If $250k is well off to you then you have no idea what wealthy is. None whatsoever.
——————-
$250k is well off no matter how you slice it. $250k is millionaire territory and they should be taxed accordingly.

Comment by Overtaxed
2011-04-18 05:25:23

250k yearly income? Or 250K in savings/retirement? They are very different things.

250K yearly income isn’t “wealthy”, but it’s most certainly “comfortable”. But you’re not living in a 1M dollar house with a Ferrari in the garage, that’s for sure. That’s a normal salary for a doctor (some types, some make much more and some significantly less), and not all that unusual for mid level management in a large company (directors, VPs, etc). It’s a good salary, and you’ll live a good life on it, but it’s not “millionaire territory”, nor should it be treated as such. IMHO, there’s a big difference between a salary of 250K and a salary of 1M, and the tax code should reflect that (and does, to a certain extent).

250K in savings/retirement doesn’t say anything, it’s totally dependent on the age of the person reporting that amount of savings. If you’re 25, that’s a really nice nest egg. If you’re 65, that could mean eating dogfood for the next 30 years.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 05:26:21

THe 250K crowd are pikers compared to the super rich.

Comment by liz pendens
2011-04-18 05:43:21

Yeah. And some of the super-rich don’t even have a penny.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 06:23:31

“THe 250K crowd are pikers compared to the super rich.”

Exactly.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 07:17:50

I think we’re conflating two issues. The point of the 250k a year (for an individual) was that it was a reasonable definition of ‘rich’ for tax reasons (eg who I’m talking about when I say that the rich are paying way lower tax rates than they used to). But no one’s saying it’s a reasonable definition of ’super-rich’. Those guys make 250k an hour.

Comment by Anon In DC
2011-04-18 13:35:15

The so called rich pay taxes in dollars not percentages. Bill Gates probably pays millions a year in taxes. (I think MSFT now pays dividends.) What gives you, or the goverement or (being generous by calling them well meaning) politicians the right to his money just because you want it?

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Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 13:57:14

Why is it that dummies can’t figure out that if the filthy rich don’t pay their taxes, we wage slaves will have to make up for it?

Is it really that difficult to understand?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 16:20:37

“What gives you, or the goverement or (being generous by calling them well meaning) politicians the right to his money just because you want it?”

The concept of democracy. The Constitution.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 16:20:52

Marie Antoinette couldn’t figure it out either.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 16:24:32

What gives you, or the goverement or (being generous by calling them well meaning) politicians the right to his money just because you want it?

Well as long you didn’t use any resources in this country to make your money, then nothing.

Oh wait… but you did. But you don’t want to pay for it. Therefore, you want something for free. That makes you a thief.

That’s where the right comes from.

Hypocrite.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-18 05:50:29

It’s not what you earn, it’s what you spend, so said HDT. I might add that it’s what you owe. The temptation to live beyond one’s means only goes up with income. Broke at a Higher Level is what Grampa called most of these corner office masters.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-18 09:01:25

Back when I was in the employed realm, I worked for a local non-profit org. In terms of its assets, it was (and still is) one of the wealthiest non-profits in AZ.

Up at the top of the pay scale, the big boys (and, yes, they were all boys) pulled down six figures. Down at the other end, we peons shopped at yard sales and thrift stores. And I once heard (via the office grapevine) that one of my coworkers got a food box from her church.

Well, one of my fellow peons ran the computer network for the organization’s accounting office. And one fine day, there was a glitch in everyone’s paycheck which mean that we all got issued less than we were expecting.

The office reaction was quite interesting. My friend the computer network administrator noted that, for the most part, the peons were quite easygoing. They knew that a second paycheck to make up for the shortfall was forthcoming, and indeed it was.

As for the big boys, oh, did that computer network admin hear a chorus of howls. She concluded that the howling was do to the big boys’ big spending habits. And that they need their checks right away so they could keep all of that spending rolling.

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 06:04:59

$250k is well off no matter how you slice it. $250k is millionaire territory and they should be taxed accordingly.

So what is your definition of “accordingly?”

Let say - A guy who owns his own business (machine shop), has 5 employees and is not incorporated (ie - all “revenue” is counted towards the $250k income).

Raise his taxes some - he has to layoff a few employees. Raise it too much and he just closes or goes black market.

But at least he is taxed “accordingly”

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 06:32:01

“has 5 employees and is not incorporated (ie - all “revenue” is counted towards the $250k income”

Who would run a business so foolishly? Talk about an unlikely scenario. He’s not making 250k a year, he’s just being such an idiot as to how he’s structured his biz, that he’s paying taxes like he is. He’s essentially paying extra taxes voluntarily.

An unincorporated machine shop, that treats all revenue as the owner’s income? Gimme a break.

If that’s your best counter-example, you’ve already lost the argument.

Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 06:40:34

Well - it is obvious you have never run a small business or know anyone who has run a small business.

There are many ways to structure it:

Sole Proprietor
Corporation
Partnership
S-Corporation
Trust
Non-profit organization

All have advantages and disadvantages.

Sole proprietors are unincorporated businesses. They are easiest form of business to set up and the easiest to dissolve. Nearly ALL small business start this way. And ALL income from the business is reported as personal income.

Get out of your ivory or government employee tower and see how the real world works.

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Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 06:51:11

“They are easiest form of business to set up”

And as Alpha said, they pay the most taxes. A half savvy business proprietor would consult at least a CPA to find a better setup.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 07:00:55

“Get out of your ivory or government employee tower and see how the real world works.”

You’ll find in the real world that employee wages, like most business expenses, are indeed deductible under all the forms of business ownership you listed above.

If some moron chooses to have all his gross business revenue appear as his income while running a company and paying employees, then that’s his problem, not one of the tax code.

 
Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 07:37:45

If some moron chooses to have all his gross business revenue appear as his income while running a company and paying employees, then that’s his problem, not one of the tax code.

Spoken like a true public-union-goon-big-government-tyrant.

And public-union-goon-big-government-tyrants wonder why the real unemployment is over 15% with no hopes of coming down for the next decade…

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-18 07:45:58

alpha,

Bananas is just wrong. I explain a little futher down.

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-18 08:15:34

If you look at schedule C (remember folks, I helped some friends do their taxes this weekend, and I was all over these forms, though neither of their unincorporated businesses have employees other than themselves), under Part II, Expenses, line 26 is “wages (less employment tax credits).” That is where employee wages of an unincorporated business are added into the expenses that are subtracted from the gross income to get to the amount you put on your 1040.

In the instructions, the description reads like this:

Enter the total salaries and wages for the tax year. Do not include salaries and wages deducted elsewhere on your return or amounts paid to yourself. Reduce you deduction by the amounts claimed on:

[list of a bunch of credits employers can claim for employing certain people]

[Caution about not double counting some fringe benefit expenses]

In most cases, you are required to file Form W-2, Wage and Tax Statement, for each employee. See the instructions for Forms W-2 and W-3.

By the way, I’m fairly sure this is the mistake that Joe the Plumber was making. He was all upset about higher taxes on amounts over $250K because he thought that was revenue which would be impossible to be below in a plumbing business that provided any materials at all. The likelihood that that business actually created taxable profits over $250K is somewhere between miniscule and nil.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-18 09:03:42

And as Alpha said, they pay the most taxes. A half savvy business proprietor would consult at least a CPA to find a better setup.

Advice I’ve gotten is that, unless your biz is grossing at least $100k a year, it’s best to remain a sole proprietor.

However, I have heard of many a sub-$100k grosser who’s set his/her business up as an LLC. Reason: This is a lot easier to do than going the S-Corp or C-Corp route.

Note: The above is not meant as business or tax advice.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-04-18 09:54:22

If he is netting over $250K per year, he is doing well and makes as much as the engineer who has a simliar salary (less the 7.5% of payroll taxes paid by the engineer’s employer). My guess is he nets substantially less and is writing off some personal expenses as business expenses (trucks, gas, computers, etc.).

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-18 09:54:34

Single member LLC is pretty much the same as sole propriatorship as far as taxes go unless you elect to be taxed as a corporation (but no one does and I’m noat actually sure that you can).

It does have some advantages as far as insurance goes. I’d recommend going with the LLC if you regularly have members of the public come to your place of business or if you have employees, especially if they are working with anything at all dangerous. You REALLY want one if you are dealing with anything that is environmentally dangerous. There are probably a few other circumstances, but my recollection is that it is mostly an insurance/getting sued advantage, not a tax issue.

Also not legal advice.

 
Comment by indioadjacent
2011-04-18 13:31:42

Goodness gracious. (I was going to mutter an expletive but thought better of it).

I have heard far too many “conservatives” wail about the the onerous taxes they must pay and apparently (?) don’t understand the concept of marginal tax rates and deductions.

For example, (in addition to the example in this thread) we all probably remember Todd Henderson the University of Chicago professor who doesn’t understand marginal tax rates. His math was simply terrible. I found this shocking, to be honest. I expected a University of Chicago professor to understand fairly simple mathematical concepts. Professor Henderson’s “”analysis” in regards to taxes has been roundly analyzed and jeered throughout the blogosphere so I won’t recount it here. I don’t know if he is still employed by UofC?

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704129204575506051919012596.html

I’m just surprised so many of the Ayn Rand set position themselves so wonderfully for a proverbial joshua tree.

Disclaimer, I am one of those Overtaxed fellows but I don’t cry about it. Maybe because I grew up in a social democracy like the rest of us and the idea of an Ayn Rand utopia scares the living daylights out of me.

 
 
 
Comment by michael
2011-04-18 06:50:05

“$250k is millionaire territory and they should be taxed accordingly.”

if i made that i would take that…a $ 250K a year wage earner could have an effective tax rate in the grater than 25% range…warren buffet’s is 14%.

seems like a tax cut is in order….if you want to tax them “accordingly”.

Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 06:55:12

Which leads to more deficit spending.

You’re full gems these days. ;)

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Comment by polly
2011-04-18 07:41:37

Garbage. Even unincorporated his revenue is NOT (repeat NOT) his income. He gets to deduct the salaries of all the people who work for him. He gets to deduct the cost of goods sold. He gets to deduct the rent on the shop and the cost of heating it. He gets to deduct the cost of insurance. He gets to deduct all of it. As an unincorporated business, the only thing he doesn’t get to deduct is his OWN salary.

You are lying.

Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 08:03:40

Garbage. Even unincorporated his revenue is NOT (repeat NOT) his income. He gets to deduct the salaries of all the people who work for him. He gets to deduct the cost of goods sold. He gets to deduct the rent on the shop and the cost of heating it. He gets to deduct the cost of insurance. He gets to deduct all of it. As an unincorporated business, the only thing he doesn’t get to deduct is his OWN salary.

You are STARTING to GET IT.

What is left over after all the expenses is what the business owner gets to pay his mortgage, feed his family, put clothing on his back, etc. Now remember, many taxes don’t care about expenses or deductions - they only care about EBIT.

And also remember, if you rasie taxes on this guy, he is going to cut something. It maybe heat, it maybe his own take home pay, it may be one or more his employees.

But you taxed him accordingly! So you can sleep well. And don’t expect real unemployment to go below 15% for a decade or more.

Not everyone who “makes” $250k is some wall street banker in penny loafers.

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Comment by polly
2011-04-18 08:20:04

Yes, it is what he gets as the equivalent of a W-2 worker’s salary. Why would he cut an employee who is making a profit for him (bringing in more money than he costs) just because that dollar of profit is taxed at 39%, not 35%?

If the employee costs more that he brings in, he is going to get cut anyway. All we are talking about is keeping a slightly smaller percentage of the profit that employee generates after all the expenses of the business related to that employee (and the rest of the bunisess) are paid.

 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-18 09:04:49

So the guy gets to live on an after-tax equivalent of his salary, just like the rest of us mere mortals. So what’s your point.

And raising taxes is not going to make the business fire somebody. As Polly said, under the 35% tax, an employee brings in 65 cents profit. Under the 39% tax, the same employee brings in 61 cents profit.

You gonna cut this employee? Well, you might, but it won’t because of the taxes erased all your profits. You’ll just lose 4 cents, get all mad, cut the poor employee out of spite, put out a lousier product as a result, and just BLAME it on the tax increase, same as every other dittohead shill.

In answer to your question, Prof Bear, 2banana has to be getting paid for this…

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 09:23:50

In answer to your question, Prof Bear, 2banana has to be getting paid for this…

If you want to challenge someone’s position and show how they’re wrong, that’s totally reasonable….

To try to discredit someone by suggesting they’re paid to have their opinion is pretty weak, IMO.

Just because someone holds a different opinion from you (even if they can’t support it) doesn’t mean they’re stupid, or a paid shill, or just repeating someone else’s talking points.

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-18 10:29:56

drumminj

I agree with your point as a general rule, but we are not talking about opinions in this particular thread. We are talking about facts about the current tax system and bananas is either ignorant or lying. There is no other choice. I admit that some people lie about things to try to support their views and sometimes do it without being compensated for their time.

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 10:35:06

We are talking about facts about the current tax system and bananas is either ignorant or lying.

I’m not disagreeing regarding the validity of the facts. I just find it ridiculous that disproving the statements isn’t sufficient - that folks here must then resort to an ad hominem and suggest the poster is a paid shill.

Facts speak for themselves. If they’re on your side, there’s no need to attack someone on a personal level.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 11:25:14

“I’m not disagreeing regarding the validity of the facts.”

Then why aren’t you attacking the lies as fervently as you attempt to convince everyone here that you are right and we’re all wrong? I’ll tell you why. Because the lies support your ideology.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 16:34:01

Being wrong occasionally is just human.

Being wrong everyday is either stupid or lying. Being wrong everyday for months is a clear trend of propaganda… or mental illness.

This is not an opinion, but scientific fact.

 
Comment by SaladSD
2011-04-18 19:51:07

Speaking of lying, watched Sunday Faux news with my mom yesterday and Donald “short-fingered vulgarian” Trump was bloviating about how the US was the laughing stock of the world, and that we weren’t building one bridge in the US. Harrumph. I just traveled near an extensive road improvement project between Oceanside and the I-15, with two bridges under construction over the San Luis Rey river. Donald Trump as self-aggrandizing celebrity buffoon is amusing (flip hair), Donald Trump as silver-spoon politician (he inherited 35 million from his dad) is not so funny.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-04-18 21:19:38

The Bridge of San Luis Rey? I’d be worried every time I crossed it.

 
Comment by SaladSD
2011-04-18 22:18:15

Ha! I wondered if anyone would make the literary connection…

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 08:46:53

You are correct Polly. Some years back I did contract work, and after consulting with a CPA I was able to deduct all kinds of expenses that I couldn’t have had I been a W2 employee.

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Comment by Montana
2011-04-18 10:08:14

I think a lot of the outraged reaction is from contractors not keeping good records or not even filing, wondering how much they’ll whacked if they do.

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-18 10:39:19

That is also possible. My friends are dealing with two businesses. One uses materials, but the customers buy those materials themselves so it isn’t part of my friends’ gross business income which is restricted to the hourly rate. The other one is just an hourly rate business, no materials used at all. The only expenses they have are miles driven. They tried to keep track of it this year for the first time, but it turned out to be too hard to sort out business vs. personal use and there were several other people using the car. Plus one of the vehicles they sometimes used wasn’t owned by them, which would have to be excluded anyway.

They decided not to take any deductions at all to simplify the matter. Of course, they did get to deduct half of the SS/Medicare taxes. That is always allowed since you don’t need any additional records to show that you had to pay it.

 
Comment by Montana
2011-04-18 13:54:29

Yep I gave up deducting mileage for my picayune side business..kept forgetting to write down the ODO for my trips, and there weren’t that many anyway.

 
Comment by Max Power
2011-04-18 14:07:38

Mileage makes a BIG difference for many small businesses. My wife has a small side business that requires her to drive all over the place. We were able to deduct almost 8,000 miles from her 1099 income last year. At 51 cents per mile, that makes a significant difference. The trick is to put the miles on an old car that gets good mileage as the deduction is the same regardless of the actual cost. Well, you can write off actual costs if you keep track, but much better off just taking the mileage in her situation.

 
 
 
 
Comment by GH
2011-04-18 10:10:52

Over the years inflation has eaten away at what it means to be “rich”.

In 1980 a $50k salary was a very good income and even in San Diego you could get a home for under 2x annual income.

In 2011, $50k is depending on where you live just above the poverty level. In fact in San Diego you would live in East County in a small run down apartment and drive a clunker.

At 250k today your tax bite will be horrendous on the order of 40% when you factor State and Federal etc, so you will not take home much more than someone earning half that amount. The $250k income is taxed at a much higher rate than the $50k 1980 income and in the end will have less purchase power.

I would put this number firmly at a million a year today to get well beyond “needs”. The problem way above this level is that we get into the arena of the protected classes (always have been always will be) and there are not enough of them to really make that much of a difference.

Want a whole lot more tax revenue and real incentive to bring jobs home? How about a 100% tax on the retail value of goods manufactured overseas? Sure junk at WalMart would double overnight, but it sure would even up the playing field for everyone and generally would tax only wants and not needs.

Comment by polly
2011-04-18 10:52:51

“At 250k today your tax bite will be horrendous on the order of 40% when you factor State and Federal etc, so you will not take home much more than someone earning half that amount.”

That is absurd. First of all, the $250K person finishes with SS taxes at less than $110K, and has over $140K with no SS taxes. The $125K person has only between $20K and $15K without that burden.

In addition, the person making more still gets to climb up the tax rate “ladder” (0% on anything subject to deductions - standard or itemized, 15% on next chunk, the next marginal rate on the next bit, on through up to their highest marginal rate). I’m guessing that the CA income tax rate is also somewhat progressive, but you still get to climb the rate ladder.

The idea that a person making $250K pays such high tax rates that they bring home “little more” than someone making half that much doesn’t fly. If you want to justify such a claim, run some real numbers. The won’t take home twice as much, but it will be quite a bit more. Unless the $250K person manages to get a *lot* of their income as long term capital gains in which case it just might be twice as much, but that would be difficult.

Comment by indioadjacent
2011-04-18 13:43:23

Goodness gracious.

Go get em. This is really a revealing thread today. This is generally a well-informed group so it’s staggering to think what perceptions are like outside of this echo chamber.

How does one deprogram a Jim Jones Kool-Aid drinker.

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Comment by polly
2011-04-18 14:24:55

It only works if they want to be deprogrammed.

Having an affinity for numbers helps too.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 16:41:21

“…it’s staggering to think what perceptions are like outside of this echo chamber. “

The people of this nation allowing the PTB to decimate our economy and livelihoods should tell you everything you need to know about those perceptions.

 
 
Comment by GH
2011-04-18 17:22:51

I totally agree on items like capital gains, particularly egregious the homeowners $500k exemption. I worked with a software engineer earning some $100k a year who bought a home in San Marcos, CA in 2002 - 2003 for $450k and sold in August 2005 at 950k. $500k in tax free income!!!

He quit the software racket, went to law school and bought a home out of state at less than $200k

So if we are talking about these kinds of Shenanigans then sure tax the rich, but don’t raise tax rates and take a good look where the real money is - fortune 500 companies!

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Comment by GH
2011-04-18 17:31:19

Maybe what we need are lower tax rates and less tax shenanigans!

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Comment by measton
2011-04-18 11:37:22

Over the years inflation has eaten away at what it means to be “rich”.

Only if you are rich because of income that isn’t rising as fast as inflation. If you are rich because you have piles of money and work on WS inflation has increased your purchasing power more and political power much more so than the wage slobs.

More importantly it’s amplified what it means to be poor.

 
 
Comment by rms
2011-04-18 11:38:17

“$250k is well off no matter how you slice it.”

I have friends whose household income is in the $250k/yr range, and they paid dearly in taxes compared to me. But they also have everything paid for, zero debt, and over $1m in savings; I’m not even close. $250k/yr is a lot of money, IMHO.

Comment by mathguy
2011-04-18 14:32:08

Isn’t the truly highest taxed bracket that between 32k and 106k? I mean after all, you are paying 25% PLUS 7.5 SS % PLUS the 7.5SS % employer match in the form of a lower salary. This is a real and true tax. your effective tax rate between 32 and 106 k is 40% And that is just federal. And I am simplifying to ignore the 3% bump at 86k. At 106k, the tax falls back to 28% before getting bumped back up to the 33 and 35% levels ad you get into higher ranges. I really don’t understand how people say taxes aren’t too high. Including state tax (10% CA), and sales tax if you make over 45K single you are being taxed at an over 50% rate on those dollars (leaving a 10k buffer for the standard deduction).

The biggest reason I have seen to do the S-Corp thing is the following:
“Because shareholder-employees receive both wages and profits from the S-Corporation, there is a strong temptation to pay a lower salary and a higher profit distribution. Wages are subject to FICA payroll taxes. The S-Corporation will pay the employer’s share of FICA taxes (7.65%), and the employee will pay the other share of FICA taxes (also 7.65%). Between the S-Corporation and the shareholder, wages are subject to a combined 15.3% payroll tax, plus the shareholder’s income tax rate. Profit distributions, however, are not subject to FICA payroll taxes; they are subject only to the shareholder’s income tax rate. So all things considered, the shareholder-employee will have a strong preference to pay herself a minimal salary and thereby increase the profit distribution.”
http://taxes.about.com/od/scorporations/qt/scorp_payroll.htm

 
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 05:38:06

LOL! I just mentioned this yesterday, and it’s already started.

http://www.aolnews.com/2011/04/17/super-rich-see-federal-taxes-drop-dramatically

“Rich Paying Less Income Tax, Half of Households Pay None

“There are so many breaks that 45 percent of U.S. households will pay no federal income tax for 2010, according to estimates by the Tax Policy Center, a Washington think tank.”

Told ya they were gonna come after the working poor (and by extension, the middle class) to reduce the deficit.

Taking away dependent child credits and deductions won’t even register as a blip for the super rich, but it will cause a world of pain for the working poor.

Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 06:16:23

Only in silly liberal la-la land.

Does

Paying no taxes = world of pain

Or is it reducing another entitlement/welfare program? Which is exactly what the EIC is.

PS - Entitlements already make up over 50% of the federal budget. They will grow to 100% of the federal budget if current spending levels do not change.

Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 06:46:02

“Paying no taxes = world of pain”

You must have a reading comprehension problem.

Having your taxes increase when you are poor == “world of pain”.

Of course the shills and lapdogs insist that raising taxes only hurts the wealthy. But it’s OK to raise them on the working poor.

And to qualify for the EIC, you have to be really, really poor. The fact that so many qualify for its speaks volumes about the state of the US job market, where half of all workers earn less than $500 a week. If everyone ends up on “entitlements” it will be because there are no jobs that pay a living wage, and contrary to what some deflationistas insist, prices of “necesities” won’t come down.

But thank you anyway, you proved my point that the intention is to devour the poor and the middle class (while giving more tax cuts to the super rich). The deficits won’t go away, the only thing that will change is who is paying the taxes, and it won’t be the rich.

Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 07:06:18

But thank you anyway, you proved my point that the intention is to devour the poor and the middle class (while giving more tax cuts to the super rich).

I fail to see how you could think anything was proved here.

Raising taxes hurts everyone who has their taxes raised. Unless you’re willing to reduce spending such that those 50% don’t have to be taxed (btw, you’re not “raising taxes”, you’re taxing folks who aren’t taxed at the moment), then they need to feel the pain just like everyone else. Otherwise you get what we have now - 50% of the population voting for policies that take a pound of flesh from everyone but themselves.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 08:15:52

“50% of the population voting for policies that take a pound of flesh from everyone but themselves.”

I guess a lot of them gave at work.

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-18 08:24:25

President Reagan loved the earned income tax credit as an incentive for the poor to work. He would be booted out of the current Republican party as a socialist.

 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-18 09:24:04

Raising taxes hurts everyone who has their taxes raised.

Yeah, the filthy rich are gonna be “hurt” because they really REALLY wanted that second yacht. :roll:

This is why we’re having the discussion about what $250K/year means. At $250K a year, you pretty much have enough money to cover every conceivable normal expense: nice house, best health insurance, paid off cars for everybody, kiddies go to any college they want, eating out every night, etc. Okay, so a rich person pays another 4% for the income ABOVE that $250K. What, exactly, is that extra 4% going to take away from this person’s lifestyle? A new whine cellar? Keep in mind that the money for whine cellar could well give a senior money for the heating bill, or much-needed care for a veteren. I don’t know about you, drummin, but if I knew that the “fruits of my labor” — especially the frivolous fruits — had deprived a blind person of subsistence money or life-saving treatment for a sick poor kid, I simply couldn’t “enjoy” those fruits. Not at all.

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 09:32:51

At $250K a year, you pretty much have enough money to cover every conceivable normal expense:

all you’re doing here is rationalizing why it’s okay to take money from this person.

“Eh, they don’t need it..they’ll be fine without it”.

Just because I can rationalize something doesn’t make it right, and just because you can rationalize taking money from someone doesn’t mean it won’t hurt them, or they won’t notice it’s missing.

One could easily rationalize taking everything from you besides what you require to live a very basic life…because, you know, there are folks in the world who have nothing. Since you have so much, you won’t notice the loss of all the luxuries you might have purchased, right?

There may well be a good argument for taxing people more, but this rationalization isn’t it, as it can easily be applied to a ridiculous level. Who’s “the decider” of what’s reasonable to take from people..of what they don’t need?

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 09:35:16

Tootie frooties…… I want my froots I declare! All 3 billion of them.

Since when have the filthy rich ever labored? I’d love the opportunity to instruct them how to labor. I’d cherish the moment for the rest of my life.

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 09:44:59

What, exactly, is that extra 4% going to take away from this person’s lifestyle?

A comfortable life for my family after I’m gone? Care for my mother or other family members? Buying land to start the animal sanctuary I’d love to have and run?

The reality is I shouldn’t have to justify why I should get to keep MY money. But there are plenty of things I may choose to spend it on that you would even agree is worthwhile. But for some reason you’d rather me not get to have a say in it, and have they money appropriated by the federal government while they skim off the top as well.

I don’t know about you, drummin, but if I knew that the “fruits of my labor” — especially the frivolous fruits — had deprived a blind person of subsistence money or life-saving treatment for a sick poor kid, I simply couldn’t “enjoy” those fruits. Not at all.

First you’re assuming that the fruits are “frivolous”. Secondly, that’s up to us as individuals to address. If you want to contribute to those ends, feel free. And I’ll contribute to what I feel is worthwhile and what helps me sleep at night. That’s part of the whole “freedom” thing..freedom of choice.

The way you come across given your position, you want not just the freedom to choose what causes to support with your funds, but with mine as well. Forget someone making $1mil+ annually. I’m affected by any increase in the top marginal rate. Why do you feel that you personally have a claim to how my income is spent? Or that how you would spend it is more “worthwhile” than how I would?

 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-18 09:47:57

The “need” rationalization is exactly the argument for taxing some people more, and it’s not be applied at a ridiculous level, not in the US, not quite yet. One could argue that it DID get to a ridiculous level, in Soviet Russia. Or that it gets to a ridiculous level in the other direction, in third world countries with a few filthy rich and a teeming mass of poor.

In the US, tax laws stop the rationalization before it gets to the ridiculous level. At the moment we’re in a delicate balance in the middle, which results in a middle class. And who is the “decider” of the tax laws: the politicians whom we elect, or buy.

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 09:54:27

In the US, tax laws stop the rationalization before it gets to the ridiculous level. At the moment we’re in a delicate balance in the middle, which results in a middle class. And who is the “decider” of the tax laws: the politicians whom we elect, or buy.

Obviously I’m aware that the politicians set the actual tax law. I would hope that goes without saying.

Do you really not feel there’s a need for a logical or moral foundation to tax law? Your position here is incredibly subjective - which I was trying to point out - and the rationale you use to justify taking an extra 4% could just as easily be used to take everything beyond a basic sustenance level - as all people deserve to live above poverty, right?

This country was founded on principles, not on a subjective whim. Presumably our laws - including tax law - should follow that path (obviously we’re far off course on that one).

 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-18 10:00:31

First you’re assuming that the fruits are “frivolous”. Secondly, that’s up to us as individuals to address. If you want to contribute to those ends, feel free.

If you think that heating a senior’s home in winter is more frivolous than than a wine cellar, than I may as well give up now; we’re never going to agree.

And ah-ha, I was waiting for the “write-out your own check if you want” line to pop up; it always does. Well, I will — when and if my income ever goes above $250K (or perhaps less, I don’t know), which it likely won’t. I like the $250K demarcation as to when I have “enough,” enough that I should be doing more than my taxes do. And I guess you’ll write out your own check at some (much) higher level.

See, we’re similar people; we’re just haggling over the price. :-)

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 10:13:04

“A comfortable life for my family after I’m gone? Care for my mother or other family members? Buying land to start the animal sanctuary I’d love to have and run?”

Your family will be much safer and better off in a society with less wealth discrepancy and a stronger social net. At least, that’s the case all over the world.

And your animal sanctuary will work much better, even if it’s a little smaller, if it exists in a country where we don’t let people and businesses destroy so much of the environment in the mindless pursuit of profit- ie where the EPA is well-funded and independent.

So raise the tax rates, and your wishes will come true!

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 10:14:05

If you think that heating a senior’s home in winter is more frivolous than than a wine cellar, than I may as well give up now; we’re never going to agree.

Do you not see the assumption you’re making here? That any money earned over that amount would be spent on frivolous things, and as such it’s okay to take that money to be spent on non-frivolous/less-frivolous things?

Just as you can provide an example of something that we can all agree is “frivolous” spending, I can provide an example of something that isn’t. The difference is you’re assuming that’s how the money will be spent. I’m not assuming it will be used for good or bad…simply asserting that it’s not my (or your) place to make that value judgement.

And ah-ha, I was waiting for the “write-out your own check if you want” line

Yes….that’s exactly what I said. I love how you present it as some kind of bad thing or failing for me to suggest that you’re free to spend your money in the way you see fit, and I can do the same with mine. “A-ha! You have integrity and believe not only that you should have freedom, but that I should as well. What a sucker!!!”

Seriously. You think that’s a basis to slam me or my position?

The fundamental difference here is not our price points, but rather that I don’t think you (or the government) have a right to decide how my income gets distributed. We may value the same things in life, but I would never try to take someone else’s money against their will to further my goals, regardless of how much (or how little) they make.

 
Comment by michael
2011-04-18 10:14:06

i don’t think higher taxes = fire a productive employee.

i do think higher taxes = less wine sellers…and the wine seller then fires an employee.

debating the former is meaningless.

 
Comment by michael
2011-04-18 10:15:38

seller/cellar either one makes sense i reckon.

 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-18 10:33:20

Since when have the filthy rich ever labored? I’d love the opportunity to instruct them how to labor. I’d cherish the moment for the rest of my life.

Isn’t there a TV show about this? Undercover Boss, where the CEO does the grunt work for a week or so, and fails miserably?

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2011-04-18 10:39:09

Once again, why does this have to be so black and white? Are people suggesting raising taxes forever? I don’t know. I’m not. But, why can’t we raise taxes on the highest paid until debt/deficit is reduced? Cut spending. Then get rid of deductions like the MID and Child Credit. Then lower taxes for EVERYONE.

I’m not sure I understand the argument that lowering taxes on the highest paid has been beneficial to the rest of us, considering the past ten, and more specifically the last two, years.

Our most prosperous times were what, the 50/60s and the 90s? Were taxes lower or higher for the top tax brackets? Correlation? Again, I don’t know, but I support going back to at least the rates of the 90s for a decade to get this thing back on track.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 10:41:57

“The reality is I shouldn’t have to justify why I should get to keep MY money.”

It’s not your money. Get it through your head. It’s not YOUR money.

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 10:45:42

I support going back to at least the rates of the 90s for a decade to get this thing back on track.

Do you support cutting spending back to those levels as well? And getting rid of the EITC and the child tax credit? (both of which were introduced sine then, I believe?)

You’re right, it shouldn’t be black and white. Personally, I’d rather see spending reduced (and credits/deductions removed) before increasing the tax rate. But your point is taken - there is a problem to be solved, and there’s not just one possible solution.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2011-04-18 11:22:04

“Do you support cutting spending back to those levels as well?”

Absolutely. That’s what I meant by “cut spending.” And who knows? Even though I’m not a public employee, I might ultimately be part of the collateral damage.

I have a libertarian friend who is a union firefighter who has been very outspoken about the debt/deficit and not eliminating the tax cut for the highest earners. What do you think his response was when Ohio introduced SB5, putting him front-and-center on the chopping block?

Union firefighters. High earners. Me. If we’re gonna do this thing, everyone needs to feel it.

 
Comment by cactus
2011-04-18 11:30:02

Philip Moeller, On Monday April 18, 2011, 11:34 am EDT

More taxes ahead ?

Today, the biggest fight over government spending and budget deficits clearly is between Republicans and Democrats. Future battles, however, may include a divisive fight between generations over who should pick up the tab for baby boomer retirement and medical expenses.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 13:20:45

“EITC and the child tax credit? (both of which were introduced sine then [the 90s], I believe?)”

Whhaat? The EITC was introduced under Nixon (it was originally considered the conservative alternative to welfare, since it encourages the poor to work).

The child tax credit was introduced under Reagan, doubled under W.

 
Comment by polly
2011-04-18 14:31:43

Enacted under Ford, I believe. Reagan vastly expanded it in the tax reform act of 1986 when deductions for personal interest (other than mortgages) were eliminated among other changes.

 
 
 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 06:51:45

“Entitlements already make up over 50% of the federal budget.”

BZZZZT!! wrong. And you know it’s false so why are you posting falsehoods?

Combined, all the spending for these programs noted below is 30% of the budget for 2009 FY or $789 Billion.

• Health/Human Services
• Soc. Sec. Administration
• Education Dept.
• Food/Nutrition programs
• Housing & Urban Dev.
• Labor Dept.
• other human resource

On the other hand, current and past military costs we’re paying for *right now* is 54% of budget for 2009 FYor $1.449 TRILLION

• Military Personnel $129 billion
• Operation & Maint. $241 billion
• Procurement $143 billion
• Research & Dev. $79 billion
• Construction $15 billion
• Family Housing $3 billion
• DoD misc. $4 billion
• Retiree Pay/Healthcare $70 billion
• DoE nuclear weapons $17 billion
• NASA (50%) $9 billion
• International Security $9 billion
• Homeland Secur. (70% military) $35 billion
• State Dept. (partial) $6 billion
• other military (non-DoD) $5 billion
• “Global War on Terror” $200 billion
• Veterans’ Benefits $94 billion
• Interest on national debt (80%) created by military spending, $390 billion

Get your facts right.

Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 07:15:32

Here is an easy pie chart for you so that you can understand:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_federal_budget

Social Security = 20%
Medicare = 23%
Other mandatory = 12% (welfare, pensions, food stamps, etc).

Wow - that equals 55% and growing!

FYI - DoD = 20%

These numbers also match (but the charts are a little harder to understand):
http://www.cbpp.org/cms/index.cfm?fa=view&id=1258
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/budget-2010/

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Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 07:48:54

Again get your facts straight.

DOD spending $707.5 billion
FBI counter-terrorism $2.7 billion
International MilitaryAffairs $5.6–$63.0 billion
Energy Department, defense-related $21.8 billion
Veterans Affairs $70.0 billion
Homeland Security $46.9 billion
NASA, satellites $3.5–$8.7 billion
Veterans pensions $54.6 billion
Other defense-related mandatory spending $8.2 billion
Interest on debt incurred in past wars $109.1–$431.5 billion

TOTAL Military Spending $1.030–$1.415 trillion

By the way… thanks for the link. It indicates SS is full funded and there is an actual surplus.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 08:21:58

Plus SS is not an entitlement program. We pay into it all our working lives.

 
Comment by Steve J
2011-04-18 08:29:00

Food stamps have never been mandatory.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 09:20:09

“We pay into it all our working lives.”

I’m quite sure I have already paid in more over my working lifetime than I will ever take out, IN NOMINAL DOLLAR TERMS.

 
Comment by GH
2011-04-18 10:18:57

The income side of Social Security is fine. What was not factored were 20% cost increases on the medical side for a decade and a half.

At 20% a year, medical costs double every 4 years or so. At current rates medical costs will exceed the sum total of all known money in 20 years.

I doubt any of us are contributing or have contributed enough to Social Security to pay for medical in another 20 - 30 years. Not given it will cost many many many times what it costs today to be hospitalized or visit a doctor.

Medical expenses are the fastest growing economic threat.

 
Comment by cactus
2011-04-18 11:35:07

Plus SS is not an entitlement program. We pay into it all our working lives.

I think there are a bunch of treasuries as colateral for spending the SS surplus, what happens if the debt gets so out of hand treasuries are not worth anything ?

Pretty sad way to run a government

 
Comment by Jim A
2011-04-18 12:23:00

Social security IS an entitlement program. Somebody who is elligible for for SS payments is legaly “entitled” to those payments, and the goverment is legally obligated to make them if they apply. No money has to be appropriated. Congress does NOT vote annually on how much to pay out in SS benefits, although the DO vote on payments to run the program: employees, overhead.

Entitlement is a technical term having to do with whether a separate appropriation bill has to be voted on by Congress, not a dirty word to call any transfer payments that you find objectionable or unwarranted.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 07:23:32

Stop harshing on Rethuglicant talking points!

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 07:38:19

“…welfare program…”

Speaking of welfare programs, it sounds as though elimination of WELFARE FOR THE WEALTHY (aka the mortgage interest deduction) is still on the table in deficit reduction talks.

So far as the average homeowner deducting more than $10,000 a year: That sounds great, until you look at the distribution of these welfare payments. The lion’s share goes to those with jumbo mortgages, while many with much smaller mortgages don’t have enough itemized deductions (including mortgage interest) to clear the standard deduction and hence deduct nothing.

Focusing on averages obscures who gets the lion’s share of the welfare payments: Namely rich people with sufficient dough to buy a home outright, were it not for the tax advantage of using a mortgage.

P.S. We rent, yet enjoy privacy, good schools, and fenced-in yard (but no dog). Our neighboring renters also have a fenced-in dog. This article is rife with realtor-speak.

Deficit-reduction efforts threaten tax breaks
9:03 PM, Apr. 17, 2011

There are lots of advantages to owning a home: better schools, more privacy, a fenced-in yard for the dog. One of the biggest benefits becomes apparent every April, when millions of homeowners deduct the interest on their mortgages.

The average homeowner deducts more than $10,000 in mortgage interest, according to tax publisher CCH. For a taxpayer in the 25 percent tax bracket, that results in a tax savings of $2,500. The mortgage interest deduction also helps homeowners cross the threshold to make itemizing worthwhile, so they also can deduct charitable contributions, state income taxes and other expenses.

Now, however, lawmakers, administration officials and tax analysts are questioning whether a country with a $14.3 trillion national debt can afford such generous tax breaks. A deficit-reduction commission created by President Barack Obama has recommended reducing or eliminating tax breaks claimed by millions of middle-income Americans. A bipartisan debt-reduction task force also targets popular tax breaks. U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., unveiled a deficit-reduction plan this month that calls for wiping out special interest tax benefits, though it doesn’t specify which ones. Obama has proposed limiting itemized deductions for the wealthiest 2 percent of taxpayers.

Comment by polly
2011-04-18 09:27:33

The married filing jointly standard deducution (not itemized) for 2010 was $11,400. So you aren’t actually getting an advantage for that group until you find another $1400 to deduct. Yes, property taxes will generally exceed that and plenty of people have state/county income taxes as well, but the advantage would be nothing with just $10,000 of interest deduction.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 17:00:13

Perhaps I misinterpreted the $10,000 average interest deduction? I was assuming they were talking about the actual effect of the MID above the standard deduction, but I suspect your interpretation is correct: In other words, they did not bother netting out the standard deduction from the amount of deductible interest plus other Sch. A deductible items, resulting in an invalid measure of the average effect of the MID on tax liability.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-18 10:45:57

The NAR is conflating “ownership” with “house.” If you rent a House, you will have privacy and a yard for the dog. If you own a Condo, you will have neither.

Try again, NAR.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 13:10:34

‘The NAR is conflating “ownership” with “house.”’

Stupid is as stupid sez…

 
 
Comment by Elanor
2011-04-18 14:45:38

IMHO, a capital gains tax of 15% is the biggest form of welfare for the wealthy.

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Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 14:53:53

IMHO, a capital gains tax of 15% is the biggest form of welfare for the wealthy.

how is taking less of someone’s money than you otherwise could “welfare”?

I don’t necessarily agree with the long-term cap gains rate, but I fail to see how one could attach the term “welfare” to that policy.

 
 
 
Comment by measton
2011-04-18 11:39:13

2banana you forget the greatest stealth tax of all, it’s called inflation. The poor pay a much higher price for inflation.

Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 12:50:56

The poor pay a much higher price for inflation.

please explain.

Inflation erodes the value of existing dollars. By definition, the poor have very few existing dollars. As such, they are not much harmed by inflation.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 13:32:24

“As such, they are not much harmed by inflation.”

Except they can’t afford food, energy, and shelter anymore.

Conversely, if they owned gold, or oil futures, or farmland, or mansions, or yachts, or fine art, they’d be doing alright. Except it’s the rich who own such things, not the poor.

That’s how it hurts the poor worse.

 
Comment by Bronco
2011-04-18 13:47:04

Your example shows how the poor are worse off than the very richest, which I agree. But what about everyone else in the middle?

 
Comment by measton
2011-04-18 15:51:19

You can’t hedge your salary can you.

Maybe you could ask a couple of people living off SS how inflation affects them.

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 16:01:13

You can’t hedge your salary can you.

you just made Bronco’s point for him/her.

 
Comment by Bronco
2011-04-18 16:10:14

him. her would be “Bronca.”

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 16:50:23

“By definition, the poor have very few existing dollars. As such, they are not much harmed by inflation.”

Oh. My. God.

 
Comment by GH
2011-04-18 23:44:41

Energy, Food and Housing are not IN the official definition of “Inflation” Therefore the poor are NOT harmed by inflation.

Time those of you on the Dem side learned that I am far more complex than R spoutings.

Fact is I cannot abide the position of EITHER party.

There are a bunch of REALLY smart folk on this blog, mostly bought together by an amazement of the housing bubble. I wonder what could be possible if we really started to THINK!!!

 
 
 
 
Comment by oxide
2011-04-18 06:56:00

Let me extract the salient points from this article:

—————
For tax year 2010, roughly 45% of households, or about 69 million, will end up owing nothing in federal income tax… <– Rush will harp on this for a week, and I’m sure I’ll see it all week here at HBB.

Those in the group still pay other taxes such as state and local income taxes, as well as property and sales taxes… More than two-thirds — or 49 million of the 69 million households — pay payroll tax. Of those, 34 million end up paying more in payroll taxes than they get back on their federal return. The other 15 million pay payroll tax but they get enough refundable credits to offset what they paid.

It’s true that the vast majority of the 69 million households make less than $50,000 — with very heavy representation among households making less than $30,000.

But nearly 5 million households in the group make somewhere between $50,000 and more than $1 million…. Very high-income households can fall into the non-payer group if they get their income from tax-exempt bonds or overseas sources for which they get foreign tax credits. <— THESE are the people to go after, not the under $30K crowd!

————

Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-18 07:30:08

Oxy,

I am a US citizen. If I worked in another country and paid income taxes there, I might not owe Uncle Sam additional income tax. Would I then be one of the ones to “go after”? I already pay half what I earn in taxes to support the entitled class, the wars and the Masters of the Universe. Peanuts is what you’d be shaking out of my pockets. Get um while they last.

IMO, the pervasive mindset that Anything can be bought for ourselves with OPM isn’t sustainable.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 07:36:53

“IMO, the pervasive mindset that Anything can be bought for ourselves with OPM isn’t sustainable.”

And I bet there’s full agreement here on that issue.

Now, what does that have to do with taxing the rich at their historical average rates in order to help pay for their country?

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Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-18 07:46:42

Everybody should pay their share, from top to bottom. What is alarming is the widespread sentiment that “we” can keep what we have by taking it from the other group. Let everyone shoulder their fair share, it isn’t enough for this debt slave society though.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 08:27:15

“Let everyone shoulder their fair share”

Again, I think all here agree with this sentiment. And doesn’t someone who has great wealth also have a larger commensurate ‘fair share’ to pay in running this thing? Or could they at least pay the same rates as the rest of us working stiffs?

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-18 08:42:15

Of course.

The conversation was about going after these middle earth working stiffs to support the low end.

Clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right…..

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 08:59:09

“The conversation was about going after these middle earth working stiffs to support the low end.”

Oh, I’m sorry. I got misled responding to your straw men. (All my responses were to your direct quotes.) Funny how that works.

And the original conversation was about “Very high-income households” that can “fall into the non-payer group”, and the fact that they should be ‘gone after’. You chose to ‘fuzz’ the issue with a hypothetical little guy that was gonna get hurt when we dared tax the big boyz.

But your fuzz doesn’t remove taxing the wealthy from the conversation, as much as you might wish it so.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-18 09:31:42

“But nearly 5 million households in the group make somewhere between $50,000 and more than $1 million…. Very high-income households can fall into the non-payer group if they get their income from tax-exempt bonds or overseas sources for which they get foreign tax credits. <— THESE are the people to go after, not the under $30K crowd!”

No need to get your panties in a pucker.

I was keying in on making over $50K and working overseas, as evidenced by my comment to Oxide.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 09:41:40

“I was keying in on making over $50K and working overseas, as evidenced by my comment to Oxide.”

Yes, but while keying in (on what SteveJ points out below is a distraction), you made several sweeping statements that implied those opposing your current argument harbored wild beliefs about wealth confiscation and the like.

“pervasive mindset that Anything can be bought for ourselves with OPM ”

“widespread sentiment that “we” can keep what we have by taking it from the other group.”

It’s called a straw man, and sometimes I like to pursue them to point out their purpose- to distract from the weak points of the argument being made- in this case, that the wealthy should continue to get their massive tax breaks, for fear of hurting a hypothetical little guy, who it turns out, wouldn’t really be hurt after all.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-18 09:56:14

OK Perry, the little guy I was considering is me. Not trying to fill the whole checkerboard there.

Have at it.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 10:41:49

“the little guy I was considering is me”

Then, at least according to Steve J and Rusty, you have little or nothing to worry about. Your first 92k won’t be taxed, and any taxes paid abroad can be deducted.

No worries. We can safely tax the rich, after all.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2011-04-18 14:05:42

LOL, yes thank God.

I had no idea about the exemption on the first whatever. It didn’t come up in my research a while back on working in Canada.

 
 
Comment by Steve J
2011-04-18 08:32:43

You pay no US taxes on the first ~75k of income and you get to deduct foreign taxes.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 09:09:31

So much for the hypothetical little guy getting hurt.

 
Comment by rusty
2011-04-18 09:58:14

I think that has gone up to the first 92k actually.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 16:56:07

But… you do have to pay that country’s taxes.

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 08:36:27

“Rush will harp on this for a week, and I’m sure I’ll see it all week here at HBB.”

As someone who NEVER listens to Rush, I’m curious just how many of the Rethuglicant talking points that appear on the HBB are recycled Limbaughisms. Can anyone who knows kindly weigh in with an objective assessment?

Comment by oxide
2011-04-18 09:35:45

“Union thugs” is definitely one — I heard Rush say it a lot in late 2009, and the situation in Wisconsin has revived the term. I don’t have anything more recent. Also bear in mind that Rush may not be originating these points. Somebody may be feeding them to him.

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Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 09:50:14

Also bear in mind that Rush may not be originating these points.

You do realize that we all pick up words and phrases from what we hear and see around us? As we talk about an issue with others, we tend to settle on a common vernacular.

EVERYONE does this. Those here that spout off on folks repeating a limbaugh-ism say the same things I see repeated all over the internet. Any thread on a topic has both sides using common phrases and terminology.

I’m not sure why the left-leaning posters here (not saying you tend to do this, oxide) seem to think they’re somehow immune to this and thus superior?

 
Comment by Montana
2011-04-18 10:16:30

When I listened to Rush it seemed he got most his ideas from the Internet, namely Drudge links, National Review or Hot Air or online columnists, and used to read them word for word many times. He’s just one of many conservatives reading common sources. Most other talk show hosts did the same.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 17:00:16

Rush was around LONG before Drudge. He was around years before the Internet.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-19 08:16:34

You do realize that we all pick up words and phrases from what we hear and see around us? As we talk about an issue with others, we tend to settle on a common vernacular.

Maybe. But you drumminj, 2Banana, and nickpapageorgio spout Rush/Beck talking points, twist facts and utilize straw-men WAY more than anyone else.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 16:59:00

I listen for a little while each day. About 10 mins is all you need to get the new talking points. And then it’s repeated, often for weeks.

So about 90% of what you see here is a dittohead talking point.

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Comment by MrBubble
2011-04-18 17:05:10

“It’s Not a Revenue Problem. It’s a Spending Problem.”: Tracing the history of a GOP talking point.

I don’t necessarily have a dog in this fight, but I just came across this article…

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Comment by Anon In DC
2011-04-18 13:49:05

$50,001 is very high income?

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 17:01:55

It is for the 72 million who make $500 or less a week. BEFORE taxes.

That’s HALF the entire workforce, BTW.

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Comment by Overtaxed
2011-04-18 07:20:47

Once we hit 50% of the population paying no tax we are going to start to have even more serious issues. Everyone should pay some tax (even if it’s a totally token amount, 10 dollars a year for a low earner, for example) because it “vests” them in the decisions of the government. However, it’s even worse that than, of that 45% that pays no tax, there are probably 10% who actually PAY nothing. The other 35% actually receives benefits; they are being PAID taxes, not paying them.

It’s a very dangerous way to run a society; you would think that we would have learned from our Soviet friends what happens when you’ve got a tremendous population of the country on the government payroll.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 08:33:12

“you would think that we would have learned from our Soviet friends what happens when you’ve got a tremendous population of the country on the government payroll.”

There’s a large difference between paying no federal income taxes because you make so little money at your job, and being ‘on the government payroll’- as someone of your vaunted tax bracket should know.

One problem in the Soviet Union was misleading propaganda.

Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 09:11:50

“One problem in the Soviet Union was misleading propaganda.’

Well, that’s one thing we have in common with them.

I just love how today the Corporate Owned MSM is reminding everyone today about how all those deadbeat poor people don’t pay any income tax!

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Comment by oxide
2011-04-18 13:29:44

The other 35% actually receives benefits

I agree that it is bad practice to simply hand out money to the very low end of the spectrum, because that narrowly targets the welfare class and fosters the wrong kind of entitlement attitude. About 10 years ago, a friend of mine was getting his taxes done and overheard the accountant in the next cubicle on the phone with an obvious welfare queen. Somewhere, Congress had changed a tax law which entitled some people to an extra $1800 tax credit. The lady wanted to know when she would receive “her” check for $1800. The accountant had to explain that it was a credit on her taxes paid. Since she already paid zero taxes, she was already at $0 and therefore no $1800 check, and in fact not even a $1 check, was forthcoming. This resulted in much screaming on the other end of the phone.

 
Comment by Anon In DC
2011-04-18 13:52:02

This reminds and makes me laugh about uproar about “the rich” getting “tax breaks.” Hard to get tax breaks when you don’t pay taxes.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 17:04:48

You REALLY don’t want to have to live on what other end of the spectrum makes to not have to pay taxes.

In fact, I doubt you would last one week.

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Comment by measton
2011-04-18 14:00:52

Once we hit 50% of the population paying no tax we are going to start to have even more serious issues.

Once we have 50% of the population with no income we are going to have even more serious issues.

All of those people pay taxes. They pay sales taxes payroll taxes state taxes etc. They also pay the ugliest tax of all the inflation tax. So quit crying about these people not paying taxes it’s not true no matter how many times you say it.

Just to educate you

Gov slashes taxes on the elite. This drives up deficits, drives down the value of the dollar. FED bailout of the elite does the same. J6pk has a fixed income at work now his paycheck buys less. This is an F’n tax on those 50% you claim pay no taxes.

Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 14:06:33

So quit crying about these people not paying taxes it’s not true no matter how many times you say it.

actually, it is true. And most people qualify it appropriately - 50% don’t pay federal income tax.

Do you dispute that statement?

Perhaps you should simply infer that when someone says “pays no tax” with this statistic that it’s in the context of federal income taxes. Which is an established fact.

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Comment by measton
2011-04-18 15:54:54

It’s not done to establish a fact.
It’s done to make you think that we just can’t tax the rich because they already pay their fair share.
The rich benefit more from the system they should pay more. The reality is the elite pay much much lower total effective tax rates than the the bottom 99%. I don’t understand anyone in the bottom 99% who supports this.

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 16:03:46

It’s not done to establish a fact.

so are you disputing the claim that ~50% of the population don’t pay federal income tax?

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 06:00:19

Finnish “Tea Party” rattles europe…

————————–

Greek default fears weighing on global stocks; euro drops below $1.43
AP - 4/18/2011

LONDON - Global stocks sank Monday as investors fretted over a possible Greek debt default, a day after China’s central bank took another anti-inflation move in an attempt to get a grip on fast-rising consumer prices.

In addition, huge election gains for a nationalist euroskeptic party in Finland added to the tensions over Europe’s debt crisis, on a day that Portugal began discussions on a financial bailout and Spain had to pay much higher interest rates to borrow in the markets.

“The victory of the True Finns party in yesterday’s general election in Finland will make further bailouts much more difficult to achieve,” said Gabriel Stein, an analyst at Lombard Street Research. “Conversely, it makes sovereign defaults far more likely.”

Comment by Mike in Miami
2011-04-18 06:20:46

Translation: It will make stealing from the citizens and giving to the banksters much more difficult. Oh the horror!

Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 06:47:12

Sounds good to me. If only our Tea Party was like theirs.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 07:40:28

Exactly. It will be instructive to see the differences between the TeaKoch party and their supposed European counterparts.

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Comment by Bill in Carolina
2011-04-18 06:42:31

“True Finns?” Hwy50, call your office. :-)

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 07:41:50

Watch out for moomintrolls.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-18 09:21:01

Getting a late start on rock climbing lesson #2 today. Wish I had time to chime in with ALL the “hidden” & “unseen” “bidness-details” about my friend who is a “$uffering” “Truemillionairemachine$hopInc.”owner”™” + “TrueAnger™” di$ciple-advocate who is also loathe to mention ALL the turmoil he also “$uffers” on account$ he still foolishly struggles to keep his operation U$A based.

Oh, it’s a thin line between “$aturday-night$-Profit$” and $unday-morning-tell-yer-gubmint-the-“TrueProfit$™” Truth! :-)

“TrueFinn™” = “A sub-group of cold dwelling humans who find eating only x2 pieces of toast + x1 cup of joe-O’s is misery fer their bellies but leaves them smug with a warm sense of National pride with lil’ left overs for cryin’, pissin’ & moanin’.”

 
 
 
Comment by lavi d
2011-04-18 06:07:30

<a href=”http://www.boingboing.net/2011/04/18/chinas-housing-bubbl.html”China’s housing bubble: ghost malls, ghost highrises, and ghost cities

From boingboing.net

Comment by Ben Jones
2011-04-18 06:40:26

‘AUSTRALIAN residential land sales have reached their lowest level in a decade, after almost halving from a year earlier, a housing report shows. HIA economist Matthew King said the results highlight the ongoing deterioration in new home affordability.“Quite apart from the considerable damage wrought by the interest rate hikes of last November, new housing continues to sag under the weight of the excessive cost of serviceable land.”

“Sydney remains the most expensive place to buy residential land, with a median value of $269,000. Other expensive areas to buy land include the Sunshine Coast, with a median value of $240,000 and Melbourne coming in at $220,000. Melbourne also recorded a 50.1 per cent decline in land sales in the December quarter, compared with the same quarter in 2009.”

“Across the capital cities, Melbourne saw the highest growth in land values, rising by 13.5 per cent in the quarter.”

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/property/new-home-slump-looms-as-land-prices-soar-pushing-sales-to-their-lowest-level-in-a-decade/story-e6frg9gx-1226040896513

Here’s an interesting comment to this article:

“max healey Posted at 3:00 PM Today: Land sales fall due to rising prices. No surprise. It always come back to the price of vacant housing blocks. Not so long ago the price of a block was 1/4 that of the cost of getting a new house built upon it. Now days the price of a vacant housing block, IF you can find one, is equal or greater than to the price of building a new house. Builders are buying existing older homes on large blocks and demolishing the existing dwelling to get a supply of land for new houses. In the Eastern suburbs of Adelaide, in almost every street, existing homes are being demolished and re-subdivide into two or more lots for new homes.”

Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 06:42:11

‘AUSTRALIAN residential land sales have reached their lowest level in a decade, after almost halving from a year earlier, a housing report shows.

The LAST step before the bubble goes POP!

Slowing sales…

Comment by Ben Jones
2011-04-18 07:05:01

Yesterday we had a little exchange on the China situation. Here’s a comment and my post in reply:

Comment by Pete |
2011-04-17 20:33:24

“According to one article in Ben’s post, the Chinese govt. is “trying to curb speculation” (which is the opposite of what we did). I have noticed that when the Chinese govt really wants to get something done, it gets done. Whether they’re really making an all-out effort is another question.”

Comment by Ben Jones 2011-04-17 21:08:09

http://thehousingbubble.blogspot.com/2005/03/remarkably-similar-housing-bubbles.html

‘China Daily…”The property market has witnessed four consecutive years of sizzling growth since 2001. Investment has risen sharply and, despite soaring prices, housing sales are also brisk. It is time for the government to intervene in the redhot housing market, otherwise it runs the risk of spiralling out of control. For many would-be urban home buyers, their dream of owning a home continues to disappear as house prices surge nationwide.”

http://thehousingbubble.blogspot.com/2005/03/china-cuts-off-housing-bubble-commie.html

‘China ended the favorable interest rates for private housing loans Thursday..At the same time, the minimum down payment in cities with rapid housing price increases was raised from 20 to 30 percent.”

“By the end of February 2005, outstanding commercial housing loans exceeded 1.65 trillion yuan ( US$200 billion), accounting for 23 percent of the commercial banks’ medium and long-term loans.”

“If the housing bubble burst and the borrower could not make the repayment, the commercial banks will be faced with a large amount of bad debts.”

http://thehousingbubble.blogspot.com/2005/05/shanghai-property-market-tumbles.html

“Shanghai’s new middle classes, every bit as obsessed by rocketing property prices as their British counterparts, are suddenly asking if the bubble has finally burst. After years in which prices rocketed out of all proportion to Shanghaiers’ still lowly incomes, the last month has seen the first falls being reported by local media.”

“Sales in April dropped from 30,000 to 10,000. Prices for some new developments have dropped by a fifth almost overnight, while officials say the fall is already averaging over five per cent.”

“Speculative investors have plunged into the market from elsewhere in China, Hong Kong, and further afield. There have even been private investors from Britain and Ireland willing to take a gamble. Prices rose by 19 per cent in the first three months of this year alone.”

http://thehousingbubble.blogspot.com/2005/03/china-worries-about-housing-cracks.html

“China’s rising property prices pose a threat to the stability of Asia’s second-largest economy. Excessive growth in housing prices has directly undermined the ability of city residents to improve their living standards, affected financial and social stability.”

“Local officials who fail to take measures to rein in growth will be held to account. ‘The State Council’s tone is very harsh,’ said Fan Weiwei, a Beijing-based economist.,’People’s expectations of future property prices will definitely be changed. The likelihood of further price surges is becoming minimal.’”

My point is the bubble was present in China 6 years ago. It’s now much more overvalued than most in the world now. And doesn’t Australia sell a lot of raw materials to China?

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Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 07:34:06

My point is the bubble was present in China 6 years ago. It’s now much more overvalued than most in the world now. And doesn’t Australia sell a lot of raw materials to China?

I know some mates in the Australian military.

The housing bubble is insane there.

To the point that one “mate” is seriously thinking of buying a vacation property 4 hours away from where he lives:

1. To get in on the appreciation train
2. He will NOT be able to rent it out to cover expenses
3. But that is OK - as real estate only goes up
4. It need LOTS of work
5. He will basically spend every last dime he has to buy the place
6. His plan - after a few year to sell it and use the appreciation to buy a house in town
7. And this gem of a house is about $450,000 USD - and he is a buck Sergeant.
8. He already has the paperwork to buy with mortgage

Who can guess how this will end? I tried talking him out of it. Luckily (HA!) he just got shipped to Afghanistan so hopefully he won’t do anything for 6 months until he gets back.

 
Comment by combotechie
2011-04-18 07:37:18

“And doesn’t Australia sell a lot of raw materials to China?”

And isn’t this raw material turned into finished goods that is in turn sold the U.S and Europe - two places that used to have a whole lot of money to spend but now don’t?

 
Comment by clark
2011-04-18 07:42:35

They still have a lot of money to spend, nothing wrong with the keyboard button or the printers.

“They” are Not going to stop spending money, there will be MORE MONEY.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2011-04-18 08:12:42

“They” are Not going to stop spending money’

Then why are there austerity programs in Europe and budget cuts in the US? There are limits to what central banks and deficit spending can accomplish. For instance, they can’t make an empty condo tower more valuable; not in the long run anyway.

Back to the point. Recessions serve a natural purpose; purge the economy of bad investments and reallocate resources to more productive areas. We’ve gotten to a point where central banks and the govts try their best to prevent recessions, and these cleansing functions. I think it’s a mistake, but that a separate discussion. If we have too many people building houses, a portion of them are going to have to do something else if they are to be productive. This can’t be got around by printing money.

Why? Because the only thing that will move these resources around in the economy is distress. Houses don’t sell, for instance. Now, you could say, China has a command economy. They can just tell the builders to stop, maybe force construction workers into the fields. But as these posts from 2005 show, they’ve known they had a problem for a long time and failed to actually stop it.

Now they are seriously out of whack. Overbuilt, banks loaded up with real estate loans, individuals about to get hit with losses. IMO, a recession will come to China. As I’ve pointed out before, Malaysia and Singapore will probably follow as their RE bubbles are spin off of the China mania. And Australia is in there too.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 08:58:26

“If we have too many people building houses, a portion of them are going to have to do something else if they are to be productive. This can’t be got around by printing money.”

Has the Fed had this discussion yet? Or do they remain steadfastly in denial about the unlimited potential for the ‘printing press technology’ to paper over any real-world economic glitch?

 
Comment by clark
2011-04-18 11:14:43

Ben Jones said, “…budget cuts in the US?…”

I didn’t think they were “budget cuts” so much as reductions in further spending, and certainly not reductions lower than currently.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-17 19:50:18

They ran against debt. They swore and swore again that they’d cut up the nation’s credit card.

But now the 87 freshmen House Republicans are facing intense pressure from administration officials and even some natural allies on why they should — indeed, why they must — vote to allow the federal government to go even deeper into debt.

Comment by Neuromance
2011-04-17 19:51:22

“But if one thinks, as Law did, that monetary policy can drive economic growth, then the temptation is to create more money. And the banks will take that money and use it to finance speculation.”

Comment by The Daily Bell

“…the elites are actively working at various kinds of destabilization in the hopes of building up a single fiat-currency system that will further cement an global Order…”

http://thedailybell.com/2105/More-Nails-in-EU-Coffin.html

If so, that equals MORE MONEY.
Looks like they are setting up Africa as the “new” China to buy all the newly created debt and the old debt no one wants.

 
Comment by measton
2011-04-18 11:52:00

There isn’t anything else for these people to do.

Technology and outsourcing have reduced the number of workers needed to provided goods to the population. The only solution is to
1. gov puts them to work
2. Gov pays unemployment
3. Gov pays for prisons as hungry unemployed people will not behave well.
4. Extermination - Create fictional war as in 1984

3 doesn’t work because demand falls 4 Doesn’t work in the long term for the same reason.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 08:18:43

The bubble that pops last, pops the loudest.

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-18 09:35:24

And make$ the world run away for the U$ Dollar.

China = 1,349,000,001+
USA = ___314,000,002+

They’$ got their problem$, we’$ got$ our$.

Step$ right$ up folk$ & place your hard earned bet$$$$$$$$$$$$ ;-)

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Mike in Miami
2011-04-18 06:16:16

S&P issues negative outlook on US debt…uh, oh!

Comment by BlueStar
2011-04-18 06:25:13

Is there a particular reason that happened now? More pressure on the House to back off on the debt ceiling vote I would guess. I would have thought Moody would have been first. Now Moody will have to match or beat S&P! It’s a race to the bottom.

Comment by WT Economist
2011-04-18 08:30:14

Donald Trump, who has two real skills — self promotion and going bankrupt and stiffing creditors while remaining rich — might be running for President.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 08:33:39

“…going bankrupt…”

Given S&P’s downgrade of the U.S. credit ratings outlook, that skill might come in handy…

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Comment by michael
2011-04-18 11:20:28

especially the remaining rich part.

 
Comment by palmetto
2011-04-18 18:32:51

What we’re missing here is the REAL story: S&P, Moody’s, et al rated subprime sausage crap AAA throughout the bubble. Uncle Sam (in the form of Congress and Eric “Nation of Cowards” Holder’s Justice Defartment) has done NOTHING about the fraud and collusion committed by these agencies. NOTHING!!!! These ratings agencies should have been b*tchslapped out of existence.

Instead, they’re now turning around and doing the b*tchslapping. This is soooo rich!

ROTFLMAO!!!!!!!!!!!!

Not that I don’t think the US debt deserves a negative outlook, it will NEVER be paid back and we should just default and not prolong the agony. But there is some sort of irony here nonetheless.

 
 
 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 20:05:21

One of the same ratings agencies that AAA’d those toxic CDOs?

 
 
Comment by michael
2011-04-18 06:43:43

2 things i noticed while doing my taxes this year:

1. with an unemployed wife my effective tax rate went down significantly (still higher than warren buffets…but getting better!)

2. surprisingly…the price for turbo tax stayed exactly the same…so no inflation there.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-18 21:18:49

2. surprisingly…the price for turbo tax stayed exactly the same…so no inflation there.

Plan “C”: file 4868, ($0.44 +.10 cents for a USPS envelope) then buy in on ebay in Sept for a deflationary discount, (iffin’ you don’t OWE it the Nation to begin’s with.) ;-)

 
 
Comment by Spookwaffe
2011-04-18 06:48:07

I don’t have the time or capital to persue this, but someone should invent a cheap but effective rear “side car” people could attach to their bikes in order to tote passengers and “stuff”. It needs to be simple to attach and detach.

Its probably not going to get any cheaper to own a car going forward.

Comment by oxide
2011-04-18 06:58:43

Already exist…

amazon DOT com/s/ref=nb_sb_noss?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=bike+trailer

 
Comment by michael
 
Comment by Carl Morris
2011-04-18 08:14:07

We should just go straight to rickshaws for everyone.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cycle_rickshaw

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 20:07:13

Exactly. Already been done. You should see modern rickshaws. They are quite impressive.

 
 
 
Comment by Hard Rain
2011-04-18 07:06:59

This should end well, bankers and former treasury officials buying failed banks and selling shares to pension funds….

On Friday, April 15, 2011, Superior Bank, Birmingham, AL was closed by the Office of Thrift Supervision. Subsequently, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was named Receiver. No advance notice is given to the public when a financial institution is closed.

All deposit accounts, excluding certain brokered deposits, have been transferred to Superior Bank, National Association (N.A.), Birmingham, AL, a newly created wholly-owned subsidiary of Community Bancorp, LLC, Houston, TX

A little about Community Bancorp:

Robert Steel plays banker again
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Robert Steel, who was named deputy mayor for economic development for New York City last month, knows a thing or two about running banks.

He left a job as vice chairman at Goldman Sachs Group to become a top U.S. Treasury official during the administration of former President George W. Bush from October 2006 to July 2008. He went on to become chief executive officer of Wachovia, which a few months later was acquired by Wells Fargo.

CBC is one of a dozen or so companies that have submitted so-called shelf charter applications to become a national bank. The process was set up by bank regulators as way for private equity firms, money managers and other wealthy investors to bid on failed banks.

CBC, which intends to operate under the name Community Bancorp, submitted its application in January, according to a copy of the plan provided to Reuters by SNL Financial.

Steel, who did not return messages, isn’t working alone. Other brand name bankers and financiers involved with the effort include former JPMorgan Chase CEO William Harrison, former Amegy Bank CEO Paul Murphy and Scott Stuart, founding partner of private equity shop Sageview Capital.

In April, Oregon Public Employees Retirement Fund became one of the first pension funds to invest in CBC, committing $100 million to the venture.

http://www.besternews.com/article/Bester_News_-_Top_News/Robert_Steel_plays_banker_again/

Comment by Hard Rain
2011-04-18 07:19:01

More:

In a deal being pitched as a home-run investment opportunity for the state pension fund, Oregon’s public pensioners may be about to buy stakes in several of the 700 troubled banks around the country that are wallowing in bad loans.

The deal’s unusual structure and hefty fees raise concerns, particularly in light of the Oregon Investment Council’s recent insistence that it would push for better terms, more transparency and better corporate governance from investment managers it does business with.

The transaction also provides a window into how Wall Street financiers are lining up to unwind the banking crisis that many helped create — with high potential for another round of windfall profits for savvy investors.

The citizen’s council that oversees the Oregon Public Employees Retirement Fund gave its approval last week — subject to final fee negotiations — to invest $100 million in a bank holding company being organized by Sageview Capital, whose partners bring deep experience in the world of leveraged buyouts.

Community Bancorp would be run by a handpicked team of bankers. And its board of directors is stacked with industry heavyweights. They include William Harrison, the former chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, and Robert Steel, who rose to vice chairman of Goldman Sachs after 30 years with the firm, served under former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, and headed Wachovia Bank prior to its emergency buyout by Wells Fargo.

http://www.oregonlive.com/business/index.ssf/2010/03/oregon_may_invest_pension_mone.html

The CEO Paul Murphy:

To Murphy, there is a big difference between needlessly sticking your neck out and going above and beyond the call of duty.

The first foolishly puts your company at risk. The second, when done properly, helps build customer loyalty like few things can.

“One of my favorite quotes I love repeating around here is, ‘Exceptions to policies aren’t inherently bad,’” he says. “It’s more important to be common sense-oriented than to recite the policy.”

Murphy’s philosophy sometimes goes against the grain of an industry that is heavily regulated and policy-driven. But he says you should not be afraid to bend a policy, within the bounds of the law, if the end result can benefit both the business and the customer.

“In our business, you’re supposed to do what the policy says,” Murphy says. “I fight that by telling our bankers that, while of course I am respectful of the regulations, and we all need to understand them, our customers and their needs are also very important.”

http://www.sbnonline.com/2006/10/dollars-and-sense-how-paul-murphy-grows-amegy-bank-by-putting-customers-and-employees-ahead-of-inflexible-policies/

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 20:09:28

In. Sanity.

The very pensions that got hammered by the banks are going to buy the failed ones?

Seriously. Idiocracy is here.

Time to emigrate.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 08:28:24

Tax day, a cut in the U.S. credit rating outlook, and a stock market crash…What else can go wrong today?

P.S. So far today, only the gold bugs are looking smart…

April 18, 2011, 10:37 a.m. EDT
S&P cuts U.S. rating outlook to negative
By Deborah Levine and Steve Goldstein, MarketWatch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Standard & Poor’s cut its ratings outlook on the U.S. to negative from stable, sending a lightning bolt through the deficit-reduction debate in Washington and sending stock markets sharply lower.

The rating agency effectively gave Washington a two-year deadline to enact meaningful change, just days after House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan and President Barack Obama each outlined their plans for slashing debt. S&P nonetheless kept its best rating, AAA, on the U.S.

Relative to Triple-A-rated peers, the U.S. has very large budget deficits and rising government indebtedness, and the path to addressing those issues is unclear, S&P analysts said.

More than two years after the beginning of the recent crisis, U.S. policy makers have still not agreed on how to reverse recent fiscal deterioration or address longer-term fiscal pressures,” said Standard & Poor’s credit analyst Nikola G. Swann. See text of S&P decision.

If a meaningful agreement to address medium- and long-term budgetary challenges isn’t reached and implementation hasn’t begun by 2013, it would render the U.S. fiscal profile meaningfully weaker than its AAA-rated peers, analysts said.

The news rattled markets, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA -1.77% plunging 227 points in early trade and the dollar USDYEN -0.9499% slumping vs. the Japanese yen. See Market Snapshot.

Gold and silver futures rose, while oil futures sold off by $2.66 a barrel.

“This is killing stocks and bonds,” said David Ader, head of government bond strategy at CRT.

The White House scrambled officials there and at Treasury to counter the S&P decision, saying the agency underestimates lawmakers’ ability and willingness to cut the country’s debt.

“Both Republicans in Congress and the President agree… that we have got to take significant actions to promote fiscal responsibility,” said White House top economic advisor Austan Goolsbee in an interview with Bloomberg Television. “The numbers are close to one another.”

“Just far, there is a disagreement over the world view of where the priorities should be,” he said.

Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 08:38:56

“a cut in the U.S. credit rating outlook”

The sound of the first shoe dropping. So contrary to what Saint Ronnie and Avatar Cheney said, apparently deficits do matter.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 08:54:56

And despite the existence of a printing press technology, and in contradiction to any macroeconomics text book on which I have laid eyes, apparently there IS a macroeconomic budget constraint.

 
Comment by AV0CAD0
2011-04-18 11:18:54

Cheney thought he would be dead by now.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-18 21:12:12

So, you missed him his “ideas” being pushed out of the”White” House in a wheelchair? DOA!,..or DMW&P! …your choice. :-)

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Comment by howiewowie
2011-04-18 11:59:25

Market slowly coming back. Down only 146. Not exactly a crash.

 
Comment by measton
2011-04-18 12:25:44

As far as I can tell the rating agencies serve no roll in informing investors, but a major roll in PR for the PTB.

1. Inflation talk is putting pressure on the FED and giving the born again deficit halks amo to cut gov spending.
2. Speculation has driven up commodities and this is affecting spending in the economy. More on gas less on manufactured goods and services ie more unemployment.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 08:32:07

Got sovereign credit risk contagion?

EUROPE
Finland, Greece spark renewed debt fears
A strong showing by an anti-euro party in Finland’s national elections and mounting fears of a Greek debt restructuring add to bond-market turmoil.
Moody’s cuts Irish banks | Europe bonds hit
Europe sinks as S&P cuts U.S. ratings outlook

 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 08:36:28

Since it’s tax day I decided to share a thought I have regarding those ubiquitous “Liberty Tax” Preparation shops that are so ubiquitous.

Their symbol of course is the Status of Liberty, and our local franchise likes to display a giant inflatable replica of Lady Liberty in front of their storefront.

I find it interesting that they chose such a symbol for the company. Even I, who has been called a “liberal” by some fellow posters here, fail to see the connection between “Liberty” and being forced to pay taxes (regardless of how necessary they might be).

Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 11:29:45

Same thing here as to liberty tax service. Generally someone dressed up as Lady Liberty waving or twirling a sign. Have no idea what their fee is. We went the turbo tax route this year for the first time and it was a breeze. The lady who used to do them for us for $75.00 passed away and her replacement wanted $300.00.

But yes, Miss Liberty and and taxes hardly seem to go hand in hand.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 08:48:23

See where the Tea Partier brinksmanship over Planned Parenthood funding got us?

MarketWatch First Take

April 18, 2011, 10:17 a.m. EDT
S&P warns politicians to start talking
Commentary: Washington would pay price for no budget deal
By MarketWatch

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Standard & Poor’s stated the obvious, and the market tanked.

The esteemed ratings agency said Monday that its AAA rating of U.S. debt could be threatened if Congress doesn’t figure out a way to start living within its means. For now, the AAA rating on U.S. Treasury securities remains. But: We’re warning you!!! Read our full story on S&P’s downgrade of its outlook for U.S. debt.

Why should markets care? Interest rates would climb significantly if the United States were to lose its AAA rating.

S&P thinks there’s a very good chance that the Republicans and the Democrats won’t be able to reach an agreement to reduce persistently large budget deficits by 2012. Both parties have proposals on the table, but they are miles apart, and there’s not much negotiating room.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 09:21:59

“and there’s not much negotiating room.”

Not when one party says any tax increase on the wealthy is a ‘non-starter’.

Their idea of budget cutting is to ‘comfort the comfortable, and afflict the afflicted’.

 
Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 09:27:52

See where the Tea Partier brinksmanship over Planned Parenthood funding got us?

Yes, because it’s not like there aren’t thousands of other issues they disagreed on that led us to this point…

The intellectual simple-mindedness displayed here is astounding at times. If your soccer team loses 6-5 due to a last-minute goal, is it all the goalie’s fault that you lost? Or is it also the forwards’ fault for not scoring more goals, and the defense for allowing the other team to even get a shot on goal at the last minute (and 5 previous goals)?

Perhaps we should focus the discussion on the major issues here - the ridiculously large deficit, the HUGE budget, all the military spending, 3 wars, etc etc etc, rather than focusing on one minor issue that happened to be the headline-grabber?

Comment by Realtors Are Liars
2011-04-18 09:39:31

You can run from the conservative rhetoric of regulating human anatomy but you can’t hide. You own it boy.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 11:04:33

Perhaps the Rublicants should have avoided making Planned Parenthood funding their Maginot Line on the continuing resolution.

Comment by michael
2011-04-18 12:56:08

i thought it was redonkulous too…but i don’t think any debate will result in any meaningful reform.

they will only stop spending when the bond markets make them stop.

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Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-04-18 20:34:08

I could see some meaningful reduction in Medicare and SS if I also saw some significant tax increases on the wealthy and corporations and significant cuts in defense.

Ryan’s plan is a non-starter for me because I don’t see shared pain. I don’t even see deficit reduction. If he was really serious about the deficit, he would be addressing spending cuts in defense, a roll back in the Bush tax cuts, and an increase in the SS limit. What I see is another money grab by the wealthy.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-04-19 08:28:29

The intellectual simple-mindedness displayed here is astounding at times. drumminj

Especially when you write so much.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 17:02:47

* BUSINESS
* APRIL 19, 2011

U.S. Warned on Debt Load
S&P Signals Top Credit Rating Is in Danger, Stoking Political Battle on Deficit
By DAMIAN PALETTA And E. S. BROWNING

Stocks tumbled Monday after Standard & Poor’s cut its credit outlook on the U.S. to negative, increasing the likelihood of a potential downgrade from its triple-A rating. Paul Vigna, George Stahl, Kathleen Magigan and Jim McTague discuss.

A blunt warning Monday from a credit rating firm about the U.S. government’s mounting debt pushed stock markets lower and intensified political divisions in Washington about how best to tackle growing deficits.

S&P analysts hosted a call explaining their decision to keep the U.S. at a AAA rating, but move the outlook to “negative.” MarketBeat live-blogged the call. Here is the recap.

Both the Obama administration and House Republicans scrambled to gain leverage from Standard & Poor’s changing its outlook on U.S. Treasury securities to “negative” from “stable.”

S&P didn’t lower its top-notch AAA-bond rating for U.S. government Treasury securities, and their prices initially fell but later rebounded amid optimism that the report could serve as a catalyst to force both sides in Washington to compromise.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 140.24 points, or 1.14%, to 12201.59, its biggest decline in a month, after earlier tumbling almost 250 points. Stocks in Britain, Germany and France fell more than 2%, with most of the declines coming after the S&P news. Gold surged to just below $1,500 an ounce.

But hopes that the report might spur a deficit deal actually helped U.S. borrowing costs and the dollar. The 10-year Treasury bond rose 9/32 in price, pushing its yield down to 3.373%, its lowest 3:00 p.m. level since March 23. The dollar rose against the euro.

A downgrade would push up interest rates on Treasurys, which are a benchmark for other consumer and business borrowing rates, raising the cost of credit throughout the economy.

The S&P report questioned whether the White House and Republicans would be able to reach an agreement before the 2012 presidential elections on a plan to rein in deficits. “The sign of political gridlock was a key determinant in our outlook change,” said John Chambers, chairman of the sovereign ratings committee at Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 09:11:27

Globalized credit market = Clusterfork

What Elites See When They Look at the Fed
Tim Cavanaugh | April 6, 2011

Well, not paying you, exactly, but somebody who’s keeping the recession at bay on your behalf. In her Sunday column about the massive 2007-2008 giveaway at the Federal Reserve Bank’s discount window, Los Tiempos de Nueva York’s Gretchen Morgenson introduces a mystery: Why was the Fed lending so heavily to foreign banks with no discernable interest in U.S. markets?

When the crisis was full-on in 2008, foreign institutions became even bigger beneficiaries of the Fed’s credit programs. On Nov. 4 of that year, the Fed extended $133 billion through various facilities. Two foreign institutions — the German-Irish bank Depfa and Dexia Credit of Belgium — received 39 percent of the money that day.

“The striking thing was the large amount of borrowing that the New York Fed accepted during the crisis from European banks that had only a minimal presence in the U.S. and arguably posed no threat to the U.S. payment system,” said Walker F. Todd, a research fellow at the American Institute for Economic Research and a former assistant general counsel and research officer at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Such a thing would never have occurred 20 years ago, he added.

Why indeed would the Fed help out a Belgian bank? At Business Insider, Gregory White gives one possibility:

Dexia was heavily involved in the U.S. municipal bond market through bond guarantees and, if it collapsed, could have caused problems for the sector broadly, according to Bloomberg.

“If Dexia went bankrupt, it could have been a catastrophe for municipal finance and money funds,” said Matt Fabian, a Concord, Massachusetts-based senior analyst and managing director at Municipal Markets Advisors, an independent research company. “The market has extensive exposure to foreign banks.”

Dexia isn’t alone in this, with Bloomberg also mentioning Depfa as another European bank similarly involved in the muni bond market.

While from a historical perspective this is interesting, it also explains something about the muni market going forward. The threats don’t just lie with defaulting cities, counties, or states. But also with banks around the world, that may have guarantees on muni bonds, which investors may or may not be aware of.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-04-18 09:25:50

“Such a thing would never have occurred 20 years ago, he added.”

It wouldn’t have occurred under Greenspan?

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 20:14:47

Why was it not only giving money to foreign banks, but individuals as well?

Where’s my damn $200 MILLION?

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 09:12:57

Rep. Paul Plans Hearing on Fed’s Foreign Bailouts
Written by Alex Newman
Monday, 04 April 2011 15:06

Constitutionalist Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas), the Chairman of the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy, is planning to hold hearings about the Federal Reserve’s bailouts of foreign-owned banks during the economic crisis.

The Fed was recently forced by the Supreme Court to hand over details and documents related to its “emergency” bailouts through the discount window, a facility which provides cash for banks that can’t find it on the open market. On March 31, following years of litigation and appeals, the central bank finally released the records.

“What I had suspected is now confirmed — the Fed gave money to foreign banks during and since the crisis of 2008,” Rep. Paul said in a statement released on April 2. “I was surprised and deeply disturbed, however, to learn the staggering amount of money that went to foreign banks.”

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 09:16:08

Bloomberg
Philadelphia Orchestra, Lehman, Innkeepers: Bankruptcy
April 18, 2011, 8:12 AM EDT
More From Businessweek
By Bill Rochelle

April 18 (Bloomberg) — The 111-year-old Philadelphia Orchestra, directed for 44 of those years by Eugene Ormandy, filed for Chapter 11 reorganization on April 16.

The orchestra said in a filing in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Philadelphia that a “precipitous decline in revenue” depleted cash reserves and unrestricted endowment to the point the ensemble would run out of cash next month. The orchestra’s endowment stands at $116 million, a court filing says.

To regain financial viability, the orchestra says it needs relief from pension obligations, a new lease with the Kimmel Center where it performs, and a new union contract with musicians. Board Chairman Richard B. Worley, an investment manager, told the bankruptcy judge that “donations will suffer” until there is a new contract with musicians. The existing contract expires in September.

The union made $7 million in concessions in 2010 and 2011. While acknowledging that the union made “substantial concessions” in negotiations on a new contract, Worley said additional giveups offered by the musicians weren’t sufficient.

Salaries, benefits and pension costs for the musicians represent half of operating expenses. The deficit this year will be $14.5 million, or one-third of the $46 million budget, Worley said. The deficit in 2010 was $7.1 million.

Worley attributed financial problems to a combination of lower ticket sales, lower endowment income, fewer donations and pension costs. The combined deficit in pension obligations is $44.8 million, Worley said. The musicians’ defined-benefit pension plan was already frozen. Musicians are now covered by a union pension fund.

Worley said that tickets sales represent one-third of income. Contributions represent 25 percent, and endowment makes up 40 percent of income.

The orchestra was founded in 1900. Ormandy’s tenure with the orchestra ended in 1980 when he was made conductor laureate. Charles Dutoit will be conductor until 2012 when Yannick Nezet- Seguin takes over.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-18 10:34:45

Worley attributed financial problems to a combination of lower ticket sales, lower endowment income, fewer donations and pension costs. The combined deficit in pension obligations is $44.8 million, Worley said. The musicians’ defined-benefit pension plan was already frozen. Musicians are now covered by a union pension fund.

My family is partly to blame for this “fewer donations” thing. Mom said that, shortly before Xmas, she got a call from the Orchestra. They were looking for a $500 donation.

Mom durn near fell out of her chair.

If it wasn’t for her health insurance going up (again), the painting of the exterior of the house (it needed it) and the removal of trees (before they fell on the PECO electric lines), and who-knows-what might happen with my dad (who’s not in the best of shape), sure she’d have the money.

But she doesn’t.

 
Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 11:16:00

Amazing. Unions and union pensions driving an institution that lasted over 100 years (through World Wars and a Great Depression) into bankruptcy.

Coming soon to 100’s of cities, counties and states.

And PS - This union is going to find out the hard way. That it is always better to control your own destiny and give huge/major givebacks than to hope some bankruptcy judge sees it your way. Too late in this case.

And PSS - The Philadelphia Orchestra gets lots of taxpayer subsidies. Funny how that never comes up.

Comment by measton
2011-04-18 13:06:52

Yes control your own destiny when corporations have all the power. History would suggest that you live on fantasy island.

Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 13:23:09

LOL! No kidding. I still remember when HP told its employees that they were all getting 5% pay cuts, and that they weren’t temporary either. And like good little sheeple we accepted it.

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Comment by measton
2011-04-18 14:09:24

I suspect the CEO got a fat bonus that year.

My mom worked for a hospital that had 9 vice presidents.

one year they told employees everything was going great and they were making money hand over fist. Then 3 months later the sky was falliing and everyone had to make a cut. Long before bubble popping.

My mom stood up at the meeting and pointed this out, everyone of her fellow employees came up and said they thought the same thing but were too afraid of asking. The guy had no explanation just tossed graphs up on the screen again and again.

My guess is the 9 vice presidents took home a bigger pay check that month.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 14:57:14

“I suspect the CEO got a fat bonus that year.”

Mark Hurd got a VERY fat bonus that year, until he got caught squeezin’ the Charmin’. Now he’s a fat cat at Oracle. From what I have heard nothing at HP (from an employee’s perspective) has changed under his successor.

 
 
 
Comment by Mot
2011-04-18 13:51:12

> That it is always better to control your own destiny and give huge/major givebacks than to hope some bankruptcy judge sees it your way.

It wasn’t that way in the case of General Motors. The judge practically rewrote the law in their benefit. Bondholders were screwed and the union got ownership.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 15:27:41

I read an article a few months ago that basically said that most Symphony Orchestras are dead men walking. Why? Most lack a paying audience these days, and that fat cat benefactors are no longer interested in propping them up. The article bemoaned that this would have a very negative effect on classical music.

C’est la vie.

Comment by drumminj
2011-04-18 15:30:06

Most lack a paying audience these days

at $85+/ticket, can you really be surprised?

if tickets were reasonably priced I think people would be more inclined to go, but even though I can afford it I must admit that I’m not apt to go more than once a year due to the cost.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 15:57:05

“…if tickets were reasonably priced I think people would be more inclined to go…”

Could make a difference in the case of baseball games; what good are 60% of the seats in the ballpark sitting vacant every game, and what would it cost to fill them at, say, $10 or so a ticket? I fail to understand how baseball owners maximize profits with their pricing strategy.

By contrast, the symphony orchestra concerts I attend typically have 80%+ of the seats occupied, so I don’t really see much scope for increasing revenues by tweaking ticket prices. The ‘dead man walking’ problem, as I see it is due to:

1) Lack of interest in classical music among the younger generation, in part due to the end of decent public music education programs back in the 1970s;

2) Proliferation of popular musical styles in recent years splintering away potential future classical audience members;

3) Tendency of evolving electronic media to crowd out demand for live classical performance (e.g. why listen to the local symphony orchestra when you can hear Itzak Perlman on your home stereo; why buy a CD when you can download the recording; etc);

4) Cost inefficiency in the electronic era of having 100 acoustical instruments perform w/o amplification before an audience of a couple of thousand, when, by contrast, a small band of electronically-amplified pop stars can perform in front of an audience of tens of thousands who are willing to pay a higher average ticket price.

The music I love does, indeed, seem doomed to a future of decline, which explains why it is my hobby, not my profession.

 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-18 15:34:25

I read an article a few months ago that basically said that most Symphony Orchestras are dead men walking. Why? Most lack a paying audience these days, and that fat cat benefactors are no longer interested in propping them up.

That’s definitely the case here in Tucson. This is sort of up close and personal to me because I live within very easy walking distance of the Tucson Symphony’s headquarters.

But does the TSO ever do anything to reach out to me and my neighbors? As in, inviting us over for an open house? Or having concerts in the park that’s between this nabe and their HQ?

Nope.

I have a friend who briefly worked in the development office over at the TSO. One day, we went out to a fabulous lunch at a nearby Vietnamese restaurant. Over lunch, she told me that she was about to resign from her TSO position so she could take a job as the local fundraising head for a national organization.

My friend was quite tactful during our lunch, but I got the distinct impression that she was getting out of the TSO while the getting was good.

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Comment by Hard Rain
2011-04-18 13:36:41

Philadelphia Orchestra,

Typical non-profit, according to the 990 the trumpet player earned 300k, obeo 280k and the CEO 500k in 2008. G

Comment by Anon In DC
2011-04-18 14:04:32

Wow! If this is true they certainly deserve to go belly up.

Comment by polly
2011-04-18 14:51:02

Salaries of the highest paid and officers, directors etc. are publicly available for ALL non-profits. A lot put the 990 on their websites. If not, you can find it at guidestar.org. It isn’t ever really that hard to read/find the relevant info.

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Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 15:28:49

I had a friend who was a classical musician. He told me that other than a few elite Orchestras, that most paid peanuts.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 15:58:10

“…that most paid peanuts.”

True dat, with poor job security to boot.

 
 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-18 15:30:05

Earlier today, I talked about my previous employment at a non-profit here in Tucson. That was the one where the big boys were making big bank while we peons shopped at yard sales and thrift stores.

Any-hoo, I recently caught up with one of my former coworkers from that era. He said that our boss, the biggest of the big boys, now works at the top dawg at another local non-profit. Top Dawg’s annual salary? Half a million bucks, people.

And it’s the sort of non-profit that, ahem, seeks donations of services from creative types like Yours Truly. I’ll betcha can’t guess what my answer will be to such requests.

 
Comment by measton
2011-04-18 15:59:53

Not typical at all
Some of the workers and talent actually made some money.

Most non profits funnel all the money to the top.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 20:19:20

Those pay rates would be your first and second chairs.

Everyone else, not so much. Not even close actually.

 
 
 
Comment by Doug in Boone, NC
2011-04-18 09:31:17

Timmy has no understanding of human psychology. By arrogantly declaring that congress will vote to raise the debt ceiling, he has given congress a reason NOT to raise the ceiling. It’s like a dad telling his teenage daughter not to date so-and-so.

Comment by butters
2011-04-18 10:25:47

But our congress people are not teenage daughters.

 
Comment by measton
2011-04-18 13:09:51

. By arrogantly declaring that congress will vote to raise the debt ceiling

IT may not be arrogance. He may actually know how the kabuki theater play ends.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 10:41:05

ITEM: Sounding the alarm about the country’s deep fiscal problems, Standard & Poor’s on Monday became the first major credit ratings agency to downgrade its outlook on the U.S. to “negative.” The move signals the seriousness of the debt crisis in the U.S. ~Fox News

Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 12:44:38

Most likely in response to the President’s disastrous budget speech a few days ago…

Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 13:37:01

Or maybe a response to 30 years of deficit spending by both parties?

 
 
Comment by measton
2011-04-18 13:12:14

Does anyone really believe that the rating agencies put out some statement like this on their own.

The FED wants a lower dollar. They want to pump money to banks without inflation in food and fuel. Seems to me that this is eactly what they want.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 10:43:11

“If by the time we need to raise the debt limit, we haven’t worked out [a deficit deal], Congress still has to raise the debt limit.”

~Timothy Geithner, U.S. Treasury Secretary.

 
Comment by dude
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 11:02:41

I’m starting to wonder whether I should buy some gold, which is probably a sign of an approaching market top…

Comment by clark
2011-04-18 11:22:39

Lots of other People and the GoldMan Sachs are calling it a top now too, or a correction period anyway.

However:

Think you’ve Missed the Gold and Silver Rally? Think again, says Marc Faber

Each time the two monetary metals reach new highs, calls for the end of the bull market in gold and silver come quickly and frequently…

“If it [gold] were a bubble a lot of people would have gold. The whole world would be trading gold 24 hours a day,” he told CNBC’s Joe Kernen. “But I don’t think it’s really a bubble. I think gold is maybe cheaper today than it was in 1999, when it was $252.”

http://www.beaconequity.com/think-youve-missed-the-gold-and-silver-rally-think-again-says-marc-faber-2011-04-12/#ixzz1JtsBVQWs

Comment by Mike at Petco Park
2011-04-18 12:39:14

Looks like people are getting nervous. They want physical bullion. I remember something said on here before the housing bubble collapsed, “DON’T PANIC, but if you do panic, be first!”

Gold-Shortage Threat Drives Texas Schools Hoarding 664,000 Ounces at HSBC
By David Mildenberg and Pham-Duy Nguyen - Apr 17, 2011 8:00 AM PT

Dallas hedge-fund manager J. Kyle Bass helped advise the University of Texas Investment Management Co. on taking delivery of 6,643 gold bars, worth $987 million on April 15, now stored in a bank warehouse in New York.

Bass, who made $500 million with 2006 bets on a U.S. subprime-mortgage market collapse, said managers of the endowment, known as UTIMCO, sought board approval to convert its gold investments into bullion this year. A board member, Bass, 41, said he was asked to help with that process.

While Bass, a managing partner at Hayman Capital Management LP, said in an April 16 e-mail that “the decision to purchase and take delivery of the physical gold” was made by endowment staff members, “I helped where I could.” Gold futures touched a record $1,489.10 an ounce April 15 in New York before closing at $1,486.

The Texas fund’s $19.9 billion in assets ranked it behind only Harvard University’s endowment as of August, according to the National Association of College and University Business Officers. Last year, UTIMCO added about $500 million in gold investments to an existing stake, said Bruce Zimmerman, the endowment’s chief executive officer. The fund’s managers sought to take delivery of bullion to protect against demand for the metal overwhelming supply, according to Bass.

Open interest in gold futures and options traded on the Comex typically exceeds supplies held in its warehouses. If the holders of just 5 percent of those contracts opted to take delivery of the metal, there wouldn’t be enough to cover the demand, Bass said.
Printing Money

“If you own a paper contract where they can only deliver you 10 cents on the dollar or less, you should probably convert it to physical,” said Bass, who isn’t related to Fort Worth’s billionaire Bass family. He said holding cash wasn’t a better choice because the rate of inflation exceeds money-market rates by 2.5 percent to 3 percent, eroding the value of cash.

“Central banks are printing more money than they ever have, so what’s the value of money in terms of purchases of goods and services,” Bass said April 15 in a telephone interview. “I look at gold as just another currency that they can’t print any more of.”

Sovereign-debt concerns also boosted demand for the metal on April 15, driving Comex futures to an all-time high. The price has climbed 28 percent in the past year.

Gold’s 10-year rally has attracted billionaire investors such as George Soros and John Paulson, who seek a store of value as record-low interest rates erode returns on currencies.
Wealthy Buyers

Few investors take physical delivery of bullion. As of April 14, 2,860 contracts this month, about 0.5 percent of total open interest, had been converted to metal, exchange data show.

Physical deliveries have slowed as gold topped records this year, said Blake Robben, a senior market strategist who handles deliveries of Comex metals for clients at Chicago-based broker Lind-Waldock.

“It’s usually wealthy individuals with net worths over $1 million who want to take delivery to diversify away from the dollar,” Robben said. “Generally, it’s a big hassle and not worth it to take delivery.”

Investors can own 100 ounces of gold futures with Lind- Waldock by paying a $100 fee and putting up $6,571 in a margin account to purchase one contract. To take delivery of a 100- ounce bar, investors have to pay the full price of the contract.

Bass, a Texas Christian University graduate who was named to the endowment’s board in August, is a former salesman with Bear Stearns Cos. and Legg Mason Inc. He said about 5 percent of his hedge fund is invested in gold.

The endowment, which oversees funds held by the University of Texas System and Texas A&M University, has 664,300 ounces of bullion in a Comex-registered vault in New York owned by HSBC Holdings Plc, the London-based bank, according to a report distributed at a meeting in Austin.

“I simply voted as a board member to approve the storage facility and concurred with their decisions,” Bass said.

To contact the reporters on this story: David Mildenberg in Austin, Texas, at dmildenberg@bloomberg.net. Pham-Duy Nguyen in Seattle at pnguyen@bloomberg.net.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 10:59:18

Paper Economy
New home market sees another no-show start to the buying season

The new home market won’t pick back up until the existing inventory clears out

This chart shows the housing market index from 1991 to the present. The market has improved since January 2009, but it still remains near record lows.

By SoldAtTheTop, Guest blogger / April 18, 2011

 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 10:59:33

Spoke with an R/V sales guy this A.M. he tells me sales are far better than last year, especially the tow behinds. Their service department is busy enough to add two mechanics. So it would appear America will be hitting the highways this summer even if gas is $5.00.

Also I have been seeing many more Hummers on the road in our area. Saw one over the weekend, a tricked out yellow beast with a bumper sticker that read… “Gas $5.00 a gallon…bring it on”!

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2011-04-18 11:23:14

“Gas $5.00 a gallon…bring it on”!

Which just goes further to prove, only d-bags drive Hummers.

Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 11:50:55

I have to agree with you on that!

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-04-18 12:07:16

Most of them are probably used. No new Hummers have been built in almost a year, and production #s were way down a long time before that.

Even a Hummer is a bargain, if you can buy it cheap enough, and you don’t have to drive much.

Comment by MrBubble
2011-04-18 12:43:43

“Even a Hummer is a bargain, if you can buy it cheap enough, and you don’t have to drive much.”

Agreed. It’s the miles per gallon per person and how many miles driven. But I’d still like to see what a LAW would do to one of those… Driver optional.

I drove my wife’s Mini the other day through SF and almost got T-boned through a red light. Screeching tires and some serious Mario Andretti moves! A guy caught up with me a few lights later just to say that “that was awesome!” Good to be alive. I was going to say that riding my bike is safer, then I remembered that a guy in one of those Porsche SUVs (seriously?) almost took a right into me last week.

Any Ag/Au owners putting their hands in the ay-yah and waving them like they just don’t cay-yah? Apparently, it’ll take $1500 to get any MSM interest. But once you see stacks of gold/silver bars on the cover of Time or Newsweek, just like housing in mid-2005, the music is getting ready to stop.

And when is Saudi Arabia going to make up that shortfall in oil production? Oh yeah, they can’t. The oildrum dot com is worth a gander…

MrBubble

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Comment by Mot
2011-04-18 13:54:55

One time I was behind a Hummer with an Energy Star logo in the rear window. It cracked me up.

 
Comment by Anon In DC
2011-04-18 14:08:41

I think Hummer and Range Rovers are the auto equivilent of the restarurant stoves in home kitchens. Do you really need a Hummer to drive around well manicured suburban streets?

Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 14:52:12

Or a pickup truck or any gas guzzling SUV?

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-18 21:04:44

To the “Diz ALL the Gov’t’s fault” IRS “Compliance Officer” stuck behind him at the “eye’s-been-railroaded” “tracks” suckin’ in his HummerDummer fumes for 7 minutes…

“Gas $5.00 a gallon…bring it on”! = “Go ahead write my license number down and audit me, …I double-dog dare ya!” ;-)

Ask-me-how-eyes-know?:

Schultz of hogan’s hero’s: “Eyes Know Nothing!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!”

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 11:01:04

A kindred spirit:

SoldAtTheTop

‘SoldAtTheTop’ is not a pessimist by nature but a true skeptic and realist who prefers solid and sustained evidence of fundamental economic recovery to ‘Goldilocks,’ ‘Green Shoots,’ ‘Mustard Seeds,’ and wholesale speculation.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-18 20:56:12

So, the “fallen angel” twin is: “ibought@thewhatsomemightcall”closetothebottom” ;-)

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 11:19:01

Saudis Slash Oil Output, Say Market Oversupplied
Monday, 18 Apr 2011 | By: Reuters

Saudi Arabia’s oil minister said on Sunday the kingdom had slashed output by 800,000 barrels per day in March due to oversupply, sending the strongest signal yet that OPEC will not act to quell soaring prices.

Consumers have urged the exporters’ group to pump more crude to put a cap on oil, which surged to more than $127 a barrel this month, its highest level in 2 1/2 years amid unrest in North Africa and the Middle East.

Oil Ministers from Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates echoed Saudi Arabia’s Ali al-Naimi’s concerns about oversupply and said rocketing crude prices were out of the hands of OPEC, which next meets in June.

“The market is overbalanced … Our production in February was 9.125 million barrels per day (bpd), in March it was 8.292 million bpd. In April we don’t know yet, probably a little higher than March. The reason I gave you these numbers is
to show you that the market is oversupplied,” Naimi told reporters.

Two Saudi-based industry sources told Reuters last week the kingdom had cut output due to poor demand, prompting selling by traders who saw it as a sign of a well-supplied market.

But crude rebounded later in the week on optimism about the state of the U.S. economy.
Naimi’s words are the clearest indication yet that OPEC is unconvinced there is a need for more oil despite the civil war that has slashed Libyan output and expectations Japanese demand will rise as it scrambles to rebuild its earthquake-shattered electricity grid.

Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-04-18 12:13:58

There’s currently a $15 spread between the price of West Texas Intermediate and Brent. A whole bunch of oil in Cushing….

At the same time, US consumption is down for the fifth straight month.

Everybody says the demand is coming from China. Okay, but are they actually using it, or doing the same thing with oil as they are with copper and other commodities? (Stockpiling it, and using it as collateral to borrow money for more “profitable” investments?).

Fearless forecast…..gas prices start dropping after Memorial Day/before August 1.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 20:24:51

A. We don’t live in China

B. Has everyone forgotten Goldman Sucks huge oil investment last year?

C. Oil is being speculated just like all the other current commodities.

 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 11:31:11

U.S. Homebuilder Confidence Fell in April on Sales Outlook
Bloomberg - Apr 18, 2011

Confidence among U.S. home builders fell in April, led by a decline in the outlook for sales, a sign the residential construction market may languish near record-low levels.

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo sentiment index declined to 16 this month from 17 in March, data from the Washington-based group showed today. A measure of sales expectations for the next six months dropped to the lowest level since October, and a gauge of current purchases also fell. Readings below 50 mean more respondents said conditions were poor.

Housing construction is one of the weakest parts of the economic recovery as a glut of distressed properties on the market competes with new homes. The prospect of more foreclosures in the pipeline, declining prices and an unemployment rate forecast to average 8.7 percent this year means any recovery in housing may take years to develop.

“Homebuilders are finding it difficult to compete with deeply discounted existing properties,” said Michelle Meyer, a senior economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch in New York. “The backdrop for builders is still negative.”

The measure, which has been at 16 in five of the last six months, was less than the median forecast of 17 in a Bloomberg News survey. Projections among the 47 economists surveyed ranged from 16 to 20.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 12:09:05

“…declined to 16 this month from 17 in March…”

The MSM is overly fixated on the changes in this index, of which there have been virtually none for several years running, and oblivious to the level, which remains persistently in the cellar during the worst home construction depression since at least the 1930s.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 20:50:48

Here are a few key statistics at their recent levels (percent off peak in parentheses):

HMI
Peak Jun-05 72
Trough Jan-09 8 (-89%)
Recent Feb-11 16 (-78%)

New Single-family Starts
Peak Jan-06 1,823
Trough Jan-09 360 (-80%)
Recent Apr-11 375 (-79%)

Conclusions:

1) Home builder sentiment and single family starts hit a trough in January 2009 with no subsequent recovery to date, more than two years later.

2) THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT.

 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 11:33:30

Fed’s S.A. branch shedding workers ~ http://www.mysanantonio.com

The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas’ San Antonio branch plans to eliminate about 70 jobs by the end of this year.

Blake Hastings, vice president in charge of the San Antonio branch, notified the Texas Workforce Commission last week that the layoffs are the result of the branch moving cash operations to a privately held vendor.

The layoffs will start June 24 and continue through the end of the year.

Affected employees include 28 law enforcement personnel, 25 workers in cash services, 14 in building and management services, two human resource personnel and one administrator, according to Hastings’ letter.

A Fed spokesman didn’t have an immediate comment.

 
Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 11:49:57

Why am I NOT surprised…

—————–

Obama Plays Down S&P Outlook Change
cnbc | Monday, 18 Apr 2011

The Obama administration moved swiftly Monday to downplay ratings agency Standard & Poor’s downgrade of its U.S. credit outlook, calling the decision a political judgment that should not be taken too seriously.

The timing of S&P’s announcement was unwelcome for the White House, coming just as President Obama tried to regain the initiative on the deficit debate in Washington.

Last week Obama laid out his plan to reduce the budget deficit by $4 trillion over 12 years, trying to give markets confidence that he was serious about tackling U.S. fiscal woes.

House Republican leader Eric Cantor on Monday called the S&P downgrade “a wake-up call” against those seeking to “blindly increase” the U.S. debt limit.

S&P downgraded the outlook for the United States to negative, saying it believes there is a risk U.S. policymakers would not reach agreement on how to address the country’s long-term fiscal pressures by 2013.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-18 12:19:20

The Obama administration moved swiftly Monday to downplay ratings agency Standard & Poor’s downgrade of its U.S. credit outlook, calling the decision a political judgment that should not be taken too seriously.

Isn’t S&P one of the ratings agencies that said that MBS-es were pure gold when they were more like pure horsepucky? If so, then who gives a flying fig what they say?

Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 13:00:14

Isn’t S&P one of the ratings agencies that said that MBS-es were pure gold when they were more like pure horsepucky? If so, then who gives a flying fig what they say?

You really don’t see the irony in your statement.

US Government debt today is still rated AAA+. Pure gold.

No horsepucky - really.

Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 15:23:17

I think there is pretty much a consensus on this board, across ideological lines, that the US debt won’t be repaid.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 20:37:37

Count me out of the consensus. I expect that (1) it will be repaid, and (2) the repayments will be worth considerably less than their current nominal value.

I refer you to the 1973-1982 episode for a sneak preview.

 
 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 20:25:53

Noticed that too, did ya Slim? :lol:

 
 
Comment by Kim
2011-04-18 12:51:35

“it believes there is a risk U.S. policymakers would not reach agreement on how to address the country’s long-term fiscal pressures by 2013″

A “risk”?? I’ll go out on a limb and say its a sure bet they won’t reach agreement by 2013, even if either party gets majority control in Congress and wins the presidency.

 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 11:53:56

How the Budget Deficit Could Lead to Generational Warfare
usnews&world report - April 18, 2011

Today, the biggest fight over government spending and budget deficits clearly is between Republicans and Democrats. Future battles, however, may include a divisive fight between generations over who should pick up the tab for baby boomer retirement and medical expenses.

Last week, the U.S. House of Representatives approved the 2012 budget plan of Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan. Its $6 trillion whack at federal spending over the next 10 years is not expected to get far in the Democrat-controlled U.S. Senate. President Obama laid out his own $4 trillion in spending cuts, along with a partisan shout-out to the classic liberal traditional of maintaining social safety nets.

Both camps then tried to eviscerate each other’s positions. The table is thus set for some memorable political pyrotechnics later this spring over the decision to raise the federal debt ceiling or face a recovery-ending default on U.S. securities.

Lost in the rhetoric is the fundamental question of who should pay for closing annual budget gaps that will add trillions of dollars to our $14 trillion-plus national debt for years and years.

Even the big cuts in the Ryan plan would not balance the budget for a long time. In fact, his plan would add more than $3 trillion to the national debt over the next 10 years, and we’d still be running an annual deficit of nearly $400 billion in fiscal 2021. Cumulative deficits under Obama’s approach would be even larger.

Further, neither approach asks older Americans to pay much of the price tag for fixing the enormous structural deficits built into Medicare and Medicaid, and, to a much smaller extent, Social Security. Meanwhile, even the relatively modest $38 billion in spending cuts agreed to for the rest of this fiscal year will inflict some real social costs on younger Americans, including a half-billion dollar cut to nutrition and healthcare aid to low-income women and their young children.

The House-passed Ryan plan would eventually lead to higher retiree healthcare expenses. But it would not be implemented for 10 years, and would then only apply to people who turn 65 that year. Everyone 55 or older today could choose to continue receiving Medicare benefits as they do today.

This excluded group, however, consists of all current retirees and more than half of the baby boom generation. It’s this cohort of Medicare recipients that is bankrupting the system, not the much smaller population of people who will be retiring in later decades. According to a study by the Urban Institute, most Medicare beneficiaries receive much more in benefits than they pay into the Medicare trust fund in payroll taxes.

Comment by In Colorado
2011-04-18 14:51:01

I can see two fat cats, sitting in the plush chairs at their private club, drinking super expensive brandy … and congratulating each other. They are the only ones who will benefit from the “intergenerational war”, which is probably of their own creation.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 20:27:44

Probably?!

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-18 20:52:26

So, one day they might be “Trading Places” for a $1.00 USD ;-)

 
 
 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 12:01:40

Does anyone here remember when Ben Jones(proprietor of this blog) had a PM (precious metals) Blog? He was ahead of the curve, I can’t remember who used to post there but a few of us enjoyed it.

Of course I think to many people were looking for instant gratification back then(as some still are), so when PM’s didn’t shoot off like a bottle rocket many folks thought there was nothing to it. However for the few that salted away a little insurance in the form of Au&Ag feel just fine about it.

Comment by Kim
2011-04-18 12:47:13

I wasn’t a follower in those days, but made some money off the PMs after I started following the HBB.

Comment by butters
2011-04-18 14:22:12

Same here.

My PM journey is about 3 yrs old. The gold has doubled and silver has quadrupled in dollars.

I think it’s time to sell but I am too lazy. I know will be kicking myself in few months………..

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 15:45:37

“I think it’s time to sell but I am too lazy.”

That’s my investment philosophy in a nut shell.

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-18 20:50:30

the few that salted away a little insurance “Herstory lesson$” for those youngin’s comin’ behind u$… in the form of Au&Ag,… & 1st day covers :-)

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 12:14:26

Monetary easing through stock market corrections:

I get the impression the Fed takes stock market bloodletting days like today as the opportunity to ease through dollar devaluation that keeps the nominal stock market price close to par. Eventually, when there is a real recovery, the stock market will rocket up to much greater nominal heights, while savers who get caught long in dollars will be shocked and awed.

Does that sound about right?

Comment by measton
2011-04-18 13:21:17

As posted above. FEDS goals are to pump banks full of cash.

1. Food and Fuel inflation puts the spot light on the FED, making it’s job more difficult.
2. Food and fuel inflation shifts spending patterns ie more on food and fuel less on manufactured goods and services. Thus more unemployment.

Raising rates would be the hard way to do fix the food and fuel inflation problem and would have long term impact on economy. What about getting S and P to put out a statement about downgrades, and Goldman to call the top on commodity prices while triggering selling.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 17:49:39

“FEDS goals are to pump banks full of cash.”

Reminds me of a cartoon depicting ‘Dr Bernanke’s Experiment. Shows him stuffing dollar bills into a pig’s mouth, over the caption, ‘If we stuff in enough money at this end, something good is bound to come out the other end.’

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-18 20:45:28

Evolutionary biological developed dige$tive mechani$m Wall $t. “$y$tem” + pig nutritional low-discriminant intake habit$ = Pig not only $urvive$, but is somewhat knowingly “pig happy”. (OK, OK, it’s just a pigi$h sorta eCONomic gue$$ $peculation) :-)

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Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 12:32:51

Rep. Frank: Administration ‘wasting time’ with online poker crackdown
~ The hill.com - 04/18/11

The Obama administration is wasting time and resources by targeting online poker sites, according to Rep. Barney Frank (Mass.), the senior Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee.

“What an incredible waste of resources,” Frank said of last Friday’s crackdown, which saw the FBI and Justice Department shut down the three largest online poker sites in what appears to be the largest sting to date on illegal online gambling.

Frank mocked the seizures as the administration “protecting the public from the scourge of inside straights,” and lamented that the Justice Department is more focused on prosecuting online poker sites than those responsible for the mortgage crisis and financial meltdown.

“Go after the people responsible for empty houses, not full houses,” Frank added. “I’m not saying violate the law, but to give this priority in law enforcement over some other things I think is a terrible idea and I think the administration is wrong on this.”

As Financial Services chairman in the last Congress, Frank moved legislation to legalize online gambling through his committee. He has re-introduced the same legislation this year in partnership with Rep. John Campbell (R-Calif.).

Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-04-18 13:26:47

As Financial Services chairman in the last Congress, Frank moved legislation to legalize online gambling through his committee. He has re-introduced the same legislation this year in partnership with Rep. John Campbell (R-Calif.).

Personally, I don’t gamble. As in, never go to casinos, don’t buy lottery tickets, just don’t do it period.

But I don’t see what is so awful about legalizing online gambling. I mean, come on. It’s going on already, so why not make it legal?

Comment by Steve J
2011-04-18 13:50:44

The corporate owned casinos don’t want to give up thier monopoly.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 20:29:35

Well Slim, outside of the Indian reservations, gambling is, was and always will be the purview of organized crime.

 
 
Comment by Max Power
2011-04-18 15:24:06

“Go after the people responsible for empty houses, not full houses”

He does realize that he is one of the people responsible for empty houses, doesn’t he?

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 15:44:31

Gotta assume he realizes, and the statement was intended to serve a CYA purpose.

 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2011-04-18 12:57:40

Holy Cannoli
Hell is officially having snowball fights
Detroit is finally moving against their public unions
And Detroit has $3.1 billion budget! HUGE. Bigger than many countries…

——————————

Detroit Moves Against Unions
Wall Street Journal | April 18, 2011 | Matthew Dolan

A new state law has emboldened the Detroit mayor and schools chief to take a more aggressive stance toward public unions as the city leaders try to mop up hundreds of millions of dollars in red ink.

Robert Bobb, the head of the Detroit Public Schools, late last week sent layoff notices to the district’s 5,466 salaried employees, including all of its teachers, a preliminary step in seeking broad work-force cuts to deal with lower enrollment.

Earlier last week, Detroit Mayor Dave Bing presented a $3.1 billion annual budget to City Council in which he proposed higher casino taxes and substantial cuts in city workers’ health care and pensions to close an estimated $200 million budget gap.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 13:04:14

“Hell is officially having snowball fights”

That’s funny!

 
 
Comment by Muggy
2011-04-18 13:10:31

Realtors steal salt and pepper shakers, and other assorted tableware, from Denny’s and use them at home.

 
Comment by wmbz
2011-04-18 13:21:55

The fat lady is clearing her pipes, the days of the U.S. dollar as the worlds reserve currency draw closer and closer to it’s end.

BRICS Make Move to Shove Dollar Aside
April 18, 2011MarketWatch

China and four other leading high-growth economies have taken landmark steps toward lowering the importance of the dollar in international financial transactions — part of a seminal shift in the move towards a multicurrency reserve and trading system.

Mind you, you wouldn’t get an idea of anything dramatic from reading the official Chinese press on the conclusion of a summit meeting of the so-called BRICS economies (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) in the southern resort twin of Sanya in southern China last week.

“Leaders call for peace and prosperity” was the front-page headline in the China Daily. Stirring stiff. Even more striking was the prominent story the previous day that China’s President Hu Jintao and visiting Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff had agreed to quicken trade procedures for “gelatin, corn, tobacco leaf, bovine embryos and semen.” At least we know there’s no holding back the Chinese rhetorical flourishes on these issues.

Leave aside the whimsical acronyms. Addition of South Africa to the former BRICS format seems to have galvanized the grouping. The five countries agreed to expand use of their own currencies in trade with each other — an important step toward putting the dollar into a new downsized place. One key influence is the annual expansion of China’s trade volume with other core countries by 40% in 2010 — and the buoyancy looks set to continue. The BRICS’ state development banks, including the China Development Bank, agreed to use their own currencies instead of the dollar in issuing credit or grants to each other — and they will also phase out the dollar in overall settlements and lending among each other.

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-04-18 13:45:19

Man what a day.
I`m more whipped than a Libyan rebel.

Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 16:32:47

You been out competing with those all-cash buyers?

 
 
Comment by Mike at Petco Park
2011-04-18 13:51:38

I couldn’t agree with Barney more… they should be investigating the people responsible for the mortgage mess, like HIM.

Rep. Frank: Administration ‘wasting time’ with online poker crackdown
By Gautham Nagesh - 04/18/11 02:22 PM ET

The Obama administration is wasting time and resources by targeting online poker sites, according to Rep. Barney Frank (Mass.), the senior Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee.

“What an incredible waste of resources,” Frank said in an interview with The Hill regarding last Friday’s crackdown, which saw the FBI and Justice Department shut down the three largest online poker sites in what appears to be the largest sting to date on illegal online gambling.

Frank mocked the seizures as the administration “protecting the public from the scourge of inside straights,” and lamented that the Justice Department is more focused on prosecuting online poker sites than those responsible for the mortgage crisis and financial meltdown.

“Go after the people responsible for empty houses, not full houses,” Frank added. “I’m not saying violate the law, but to give this priority in law enforcement over some other things I think is a terrible idea and I think the administration is wrong on this.”

As Financial Services chairman in the last Congress, Frank moved legislation to legalize online gambling through his committee. He has re-introduced the same legislation this year in partnership with Rep. John Campbell (R-Calif.).

Campbell was attending a memorial service for his mother Monday and was unavailable for comment.

Frank said he has been trying to repeal the law banning online gambling since it passed in 2006, calling it “exasperating.” He traced the ban to former Sen. Bill Frist (R-Tenn.), who he said inserted it into a spending bill to win votes from the religious right.

“I know the GOP is under a lot of pressure to back off on this,” Frank said.

He expressed hope the backlash from recent events would help build momentum for his legislation, arguing many conservatives who oppose gambling personally still view the ban as problematic because it regulates banks and allows the government to intervene in a free market.

Frank also noted that a scoring of his legislation found it would likely bring in several billion dollars in additional tax revenue, money that would be welcome given the current fiscal climate in Washington.

The three sites involved in the sting; Full Tilt Poker, PokerStars and Absolute Poker, saw around $16 billion in wagers from U.S. players last year.

The crackdown has also disrupted the lives of the thousands of individuals that rely on online poker for part or all of their income. That group includes not only professional gamblers but also programmers who create analytics and other tools as well as the backers who finance many of the full-time players.

One Detroit resident, who asked not to be named, described himself as typical of the online poker crowd in that he works part-time and goes to graduate school but relies on winnings from online poker to supplement his income.

The feds’ swift action to shut down the sites caught him and many other online poker players by surprise since the law is rarely enforced and the live version of the game has been increasingly legalized by states and communities under various rules allowing gambling for charitable and other purposes.

Comment by ecofeco
2011-04-18 20:32:28

“…goes to graduate school but relies on winnings from online poker to supplement his income.”

He should a get refund on his education. “Gambling” and “rely on” do not go in the same sentence.

 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-04-18 15:26:53

“What an incredible waste of resources,” Frank said

If Frank said it, shouldn`t it read….

What an incwedible waste of wesources,

“Frank mocked the seizures as the administration”

pwotecting the pubwic fwum the scurge of inside stwaights,

“Go after the people responsible for empty houses, not full houses,” Frank added.

If they went after the people in the full houses that should be empty houses and then put them on the market, I would be happy.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 16:05:44

Trickle dumb (aka cake crumb) economics is back.

Op-Ed Columnist
Let’s Not Be Civil
By PAUL KRUGMAN
Published: April 17, 2011

Last week, President Obama offered a spirited defense of his party’s values — in effect, of the legacy of the New Deal and the Great Society. Immediately thereafter, as always happens when Democrats take a stand, the civility police came out in force. The president, we were told, was being too partisan; he needs to treat his opponents with respect; he should have lunch with them, and work out a consensus.

That’s a bad idea. Equally important, it’s an undemocratic idea.

Let’s review the story so far.

Two weeks ago, House Republicans released their big budget proposal, selling it to credulous pundits as a statement of necessity, not ideology — a document telling America What Must Be Done.

But it was, in fact, a deeply partisan document, which you might have guessed from the opening sentence: “Where the president has failed, House Republicans will lead.” It hyped the danger of deficits, yet even on its own (not at all credible) accounting, spending cuts were used mainly to pay for tax cuts rather than deficit reduction. The transparent and obvious goal was to use deficit fears to impose a vision of small government and low taxes, especially on the wealthy.

So the House budget proposal revealed a yawning gap between the two parties’ priorities. And it revealed a deep difference in views about how the world works.

When the proposal was released, it was praised as a “wonk-approved” plan that had been run by the experts. But the “experts” in question, it turned out, were at the Heritage Foundation, and few people outside the hard right found their conclusions credible. In the words of the consulting firm Macroeconomic Advisers — which makes its living telling businesses what they need to know, not telling politicians what they want to hear — the Heritage analysis was “both flawed and contrived.” Basically, Heritage went all in on the much-refuted claim that cutting taxes on the wealthy produces miraculous economic results, including a surge in revenue that actually reduces the deficit.

Comment by Robin
2011-04-18 23:54:13

Having met Art Laffer in person, I have to admit that his stature was far less substantive than his trickle-down pronouncements.
All we need is a miracle… all we got is you! Too F***ing bad. We lost that battle and not too sure who will win this one, but I kinda root for the deepest cutter. Cruel??

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 16:34:36

Buyers shun the housing market as stock soars
Category: Mortgages
Date: 4/18/2011

A jump in house prices has not been matched by enthusiasm from buyers, meaning there is a four year high in the number of unsold homes in England and Wales.

The average asking price jumped by more than £4,000 in April, from £231,790 to £235,822 – a rise of 1.7%.

However, this desire for bigger payments appears to be misplaced as the supply of homes is increasingly outstripping demand, according to Rightmove.co.uk

In fact, estate agent branches have reported an average rise in the number of properties on their books going unsold, up from 70 to 74 – the biggest number seen since May 2007.

Sellers keen to offload their homes have been encouraged to ‘get serious’ in an attempt to entice buyers.

“While stock levels normally increase during the first half of the year, this is a larger increase than normal,” admitted Miles Shipside, director of the property website.

“With Government cuts starting to bite and interest rate rises still expected in the second half of the year, those who are serious about selling should look to price more keenly in the spring selling season.”

 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2011-04-18 17:04:24

China losing its farmland to urban sprawl and factories. Corrupt Chinese Communist Party cadres are unconcerned about the economic viability of all this construction activity, since they, like their Republicrat counterparts, are on the take from the bankers and “investors” who provide endless loans to keep propping up the bubble. This won’t end well….

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-18/china-crops-in-short-supply-as-fewer-farms-spur-food-futures.html

About 120 kilometers south, near Qufu, the home of Confucius, wheat farmer Hu Bo, 36, said officials forced villagers to sell about 33 hectares of land to build a coal-washing factory that’s now shuttered.

“The officials don’t give a damn if the business is profitable,” Hu said. “They just want to receive kickbacks from investors who get the money from banks and probably don’t care much about profitability either.”

“I don’t know what I’ll do” once the land has been rezoned, said Zhao Yuanyi.

Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-04-18 21:07:43

“China’s increased demand for agricultural commodities will mean an increase in prices for the entire world market,” said David Stroud, chief executive officer of New York-based hedge fund TS Capital Partners. “China can outlast any other bidders for the commodities it desires.”

And here I thought it was the Fed exporting food inflation to the rest of the world.

 
 
Comment by Muggy
2011-04-18 18:22:02

Realtors sell, baby. They sell.

 
Comment by palmetto
2011-04-18 18:37:18

This sucker’s goin’ down…

 
Comment by bill in Phoenix and Tampa
2011-04-18 18:39:19

Ayn Rand called the anti-wealth syndrome this: “drooling envy.”

Goodnight

Comment by SaladSD
2011-04-18 20:17:55

You mean Alisa Zinov’yevna Rosenbaum?

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 20:34:38

Whatever. I personally don’t envy wealth, and I don’t resent it, so long as the wealthy don’t have a license to steal from me.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 20:53:53

Big U.S. Firms Shift Hiring Abroad

U.S. multinational corporations, the big brand-name companies that employ a fifth of all American workers, have been hiring abroad while cutting back at home, sharpening the debate over globalization’s effect on the U.S. economy.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-04-18 21:30:35

U.$. multinational corpooration$

Let’s get $&P to rate their U$A National “We-Care$-about-You-really!” race to excellence! OK, maybe $&P can just offer up their “Opinion$”! ;-)

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 22:38:47

Gold soars, markets tumble as US warned it could lose AAA crown
America risks being stripped of its prized ‘AAA’ credit rating unless it delivers a deficit-cutting plan within two years, Standard & Poor’s has warned, in a move that sent stock markets tumbling and the gold price to a fresh record.
Gold soars, markets tumble as US warned it could lose AAA crown
By Richard Blackden, US Business Editor 6:00AM BST 19 Apr 2011

The rating agency cut its outlook on the US from stable to negative in a powerful shot across the bows of politicians in Washington who have recently struggled to reach agreement both on short-term measures to keep the government running as well as a long-term plan to balance the budget for the first time since 2001.

Congress and The White House need to have begun “meaningful implementation” of a strategy to tackle the deficit by 2013 to preserve its status as a top borrower, S&P said. A sharp drop in tax revenues during the recession has seen America’s national debt balloon from about 40pc of gross domestic product (GDP) before the crisis to more than 60pc last year. S&P said yesterday that it expects that figure to reach 84pc in 2013.

Although investors have been aware of the country’s deteriorating public finances, the threat by S&P still surprised many. “We believe this is an aggressive timetable, since it means that policymakers will have to agree on a long-term deficit reduction plan before the 2012 elections,” said Ajay Rajadhyaksha, a debt analyst at Barclays Capital.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 22:40:55

QE3, anyone?

Asia Stocks Fall Most Since March 15 Quake Rout as U.S. Credit Outlook Cut
By Anna Kitanaka - Apr 18, 2011 9:05 PM PT

Asian stocks fell, leading the benchmark index toward its biggest decline since March, after Standard & Poor’s Ratings Service cut the U.S. long-term credit outlook, fueling concern that a recovery in the global economy may slow.

Toyota Motor Corp. (7203), the world’s No. 1 carmaker, dropped 2.6 percent in Tokyo. BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP), Australia’s biggest oil producer, dropped 1.8 percent after oil and metal prices declined. Samsung Electronics Co. lost 0.6 percent in Seoul after Apple Inc. filed a lawsuit claiming trademark infringement. Advantest Corp., the world’s second-largest maker of semiconductor-testing equipment, slumped 4 percent in Tokyo after Texas Instruments Inc. forecast revenue and profit that fell short of some analysts’ estimates.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1.2 percent to 134.04 at 12:55 p.m. in Tokyo, with about five shares dropping for each that climbed on the 1,023-member gauge. The measure fell 0.5 percent last week, reversing three straight weeks of gains.

“If we get down to a point where the U.S. has its debt downgraded, the deflationary effects will be felt globally,” said Melbourne-based Tim Schroeders, of Pengana Capital Ltd., which manages about $1 billion. “A lot of credit is priced off U.S. denominated debt and those effects will be felt around the world.”

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-04-18 22:47:31

If we collectively pretend the GSE debt isn’t there, instead of just barely off Uncle Sam’s balance sheet, perhaps it will go away?

April 18, 2011, 4:12 PM ET

Could Debt Worries Accelerate Fannie, Freddie Overhaul?
By Nick Timiraos

Most Washington pundits don’t expect any major political action on mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac before the 2012 election, but growing jitters over the nation’s debt illustrate one potential catalyst that could keep the current conservatorship of the firms from dragging on indefinitely.

On Monday, Standard & Poor’s placed the U.S. AAA-rating on negative outlook. It cited the potential cost of the U.S. government’s conservatorship of the mortgage-finance giants in tilting the scales in its decision. Here’s what S&P said:

We estimate that it could cost the U.S. government as much as 3.5% of GDP to appropriately capitalize and relaunch Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, two financial institutions now under federal control, in addition to the 1% of GDP already invested.

And in a question-and-answer brief:

Do the finances of the U.S. government-supported enterprises (GSEs) affect the U.S. sovereign rating? Yes. We estimate that the government might have to inject up to $280 billion to cover losses at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; this includes $148 billion already spent. (Both GSEs are already in conservatorship.) Moreover, by our estimates, that $280 billion could swell to $685 billion if the government capitalizes Fannie and Freddie on a commercial basis.

Some analysts may take issue with those loss projections. Others will note that the U.S. will try to attract private, not public, funds to recapitalize any successors to Fannie and Freddie. Margaret Kerins, an analyst at Royal Bank of Scotland, writes in a research note Monday that such an outcome is “highly unlikely.”

The government has so far avoided bringing Fannie and Freddie onto the government’s books because that would boost the federal deficit by tens of billions and it could swell the total debt of the U.S. (Recall that Fannie Mae was privatized in 1968 when the Johnson administration was trying to reduce the country’s debt.)

The Bush administration cited the “temporary nature” of the government’s stewardship of Fannie and Freddie in opting not to incorporate those obligations back onto the government’s books.

 
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