“It’s critical that we support the process of repair and recovery in the housing market,” Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said in a statement. “Exploring new options for selling these foreclosed properties will help expand access to affordable rental housing, promote private investment in local housing markets and support neighborhood and home price stability.”
“promote private investment in local housing markets and support neighborhood and home price stability.”s
No it is not. Here in Salinas it will still put the poor worker in a MCmansion subsidized by the county. The value of the surrounding property will drop because the rentals are poorly taken care of. They don’t water the yard, park one or two cars on the dead grass, the kids eat take out foods and leave the trash in the streets, basketball hoops are left in the streets.
Don’t get me wrong, their are many good among them but they are overshadowed by the lazy, the lax and the bad.
So, let’s attack trade imbalances, both international and domestic. Drive up wages.
That is the ONLY way to support the housing market.
ANY other course of action leads to debt default, money going away, loss of confidence in money, and depression… ALWAYS, EVERY TIME.
Every time in history that debt has been used to increase demand in the face of insufficient wages, it has ended in debt collapse and depression. Always, every time.
It is still wanting more marbles even after they already have them all.
How do they make more marbles once they already have them all? Borrow more into existance so they can have them too, leaving everyone else with negative marbles.
But guess what. Those marbles you think you have are an illusion. They disappear once the people that borrowed them into existance reach the point of not being able to borrow more into existance and decide they don’t want to play any more.
Something is missing here. The Treas Sec shouldn’t be the least concerned with how foreclosures are dispatched, should he? If FedGov wants to sell its houses cheap, why not to people who want to own a house for themselves? Why is selling to “investors” who will generate revenue streams for themselves better for the country?
Because there is too much supply and insufficent demand. Not just housing, everywhere in our economy there is too much supply with too little sustainable demand. And by sustainable demand, I mean without access to ever increasing debt to allow people to buy more than their wages would support.
If we allow prices to fall to the real sustainable demand level, then we’re in a Greater Depression that makes the Great Depression look like a minor blip.
Seems like an implicit admission that the poor (including much of the middle class) is too poor to buy a house, but the rich are rich enough to buy them and rent them out.
1) Selling houses to people who want to live in them means selling one house to one person or family. The amount of work needed to do this is less than the amount of work needed to sell a batch of 100 or 1000 houses to a group of investors, but not anywhere near 1/100th or 1/1000th as much work. So selling to individuals is a lot more work. And paying for that means it has to be a line item in the budget somewhere (even if it is done by contrators, not actual government employees). Have you noticed a lot of flexibility in the federal budget to pay for something like that? No, me either. Of course you might get more money for the houses if you sell to end users than if you sell in large batches to investors, but selling for less than you might get in an optimal situation isn’t a budget line item. Opportunity cost often isn’t.
2) Selling one at a time means that the price definitely gets recorded in the county property office and the neighbors get to actually see that the new comps for their house sold for $10K or $50K or whatever less than their current mortgage. You don’t think that the federal government wants to be the single entity that people blame for lowering the comps in their nabe before an election, do you? I don’t know what happens in the various county offices when houses get sold in big batches as investments, but it is at least plausible that it might be different than a sale to an end user.
Vancouver is awsome. Beautiful scenery, though the buildings themselves are a little homely. Cops are reasonable. People are friendly and helpful on public transportation or giving other directions. It smells better than the cities I am used to.
Unfortunately, I caught a monster cold on the ship, so I was a little out of it (thanks to Canadian generic Dayquill) on cold medicine for a few days. That slowed me down a bit, so I didn’t get to everything I wanted to. Went out to Capilano bridge. Saw a few productions at Bard on the Beach. Saw two of the fireworks festival entries (Canada’s was fantastic; Spain’s was nice; China won, but I was still in Alaska for that one). Got to a number of musueums (I think that “bone eating snot flower worm” is my new favorite animal name). Wandered around Granville Island. Spend a day vegging out on the beach. Spent a day in Stanley Park and the aquarium. Caught a few street festivals and Chinatown. Ate local salmon from a food truck.
Alaska is also lovely once you get to the natural parts. The commercial areas near the cruise ship terminals are just disturbing. Seriously, I don’t dress like a person who should be dropping $20K on a ring. Or $12K on a fossil. But I was treated like a person who could and was even likely to do so. Like I said, disturbing.
Thanks Polly. I asked this yesterday: Once the investor buys, the house is theirs, right? But Obama & Co. have specifically referred to rentals. So what sort of authority and/or manpower does the gov have over making sure these houses are rented and sold into slumlands?
Do Fannie and Freddie get a cut of these rents?
Also, what if, say, Wells Fargo wants to buy a few thousand houses. After all they sold those mortgages to F&F as part of the stealth bailout. Should they be allwed to snap the actual houses back up for a lower price?
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Comment by polly
2011-08-12 11:34:59
I think this program is about as likely to have a significant effect as HAMP was - as in not very much. I wouldn’t worry too much about it. The technical problems are overwhelming. Not that the effect it will have won’t be unfair, it will. I just don’t see a lot of widespread success.
The biggest problem will be the risk. That means that unless they sell for truely ridiculous prices, there will be very little capital that private investors will be willing to risk. If no capital, then the funding has to be borrowed. From whom? Banks aren’t going to want to touch this with a 10 foot pole. So the borrowing would have to be federally provided or guaranteed. Good luck getting that through Congress.
When the prices really come down, there is plenty of private capital on the sidelines that will be willing to play this game.
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-08-12 13:13:34
Good luck getting that through Congress.
C’mon, Congress, bury this bad idea! I know you can do it!
“It’s critical that we support the process of repair and recovery in the housing market,” Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said in a statement. “Exploring new options for selling these foreclosed properties will help expand access to affordable rental housing, promote private investment in local housing markets and support neighborhood and home price stability.”
No, you elfin f***head, it’s not. What’s critical are jobs, and everything else takes care of itself. Go away, runt.
Sell this JUNK at public auction and get what you can get at the market and shutdown the GSE’s. They created the mess, they can clean it up with. They’re hiding inventory because the damn inventory is massive. The inventory is massive because the @#$%ing prices are too high.
I’m afraid of just how %$%^ing pissed I’m getting.
They’re hiding inventory because the damn inventory is massive.
Well, “they” don’t want to just “give$-it-away” Look what happen in America’s yester-year:
(Hey, how is that the US Gov’t was allowed to do this?)
Teaching With Documents:
The Homestead Act of 1862:
The U.S. National Archives and Records Administration
Before and after the Mexican-American war in the mid 1800s, popular pressure to change policy arose from the evolving economy, new demographics, and shifting social climate of early 19th-century America.
In the 1830s and 1840s, rising prices for corn, wheat, and cotton enabled large, well-financed farms, particularly the plantations of the South, to force out smaller ventures. Displaced farmers then looked westward to unforested country that offered more affordable development. Prior to the war with Mexico (1846–48), people settling in the West demanded “preemption,” an individual’s right to settle land first and pay later (essentially an early form of credit). Eastern economic interests opposed this policy as it was feared that the cheap labor base for the factories would be drained. After the war with Mexico, a number of developments supported the growth of the homestead movement. Economic prosperity drew unprecedented numbers of immigrants to America, many of whom also looked westward for a new life. New canals and roadways reduced western dependence on the harbor in New Orleans, and England’s repeal of its corn laws opened new markets to American agriculture.
Some land speculators took advantage of a legislative loophole caused when those drafting the law’s language failed to specify whether the 12-by-14 dwelling was to be built in feet or inches. Others hired phony claimants or bought abandoned land. The General Land Office was underfunded and unable to hire a sufficient number investigators for its widely scattered local offices. As a result, overworked and underpaid investigators were often susceptible to bribery.
Sale of public land was viewed as a means to generate revenue for the Government rather than as a way to encourage settlement. Initially, an individual was required to purchase a full section of land at the cost of $1 per acre for 640 acres. The investment needed to purchase these large plots and the massive amount of physical labor required to clear the land for agriculture were often insurmountable obstacles
By 1800, the minimum lot was halved to 320 acres, and settlers were allowed to pay in 4 installments, but prices remained fixed at $1.25 an acre until 1854. That year, federal legislation was enacted establishing a graduated scale that adjusted land prices to reflect the desirability of the lot. Lots that had been on the market for 30 years, for example, were reduced to 12 ½ cents per acre. Soon after, extraordinary bonuses were extended to veterans and those interested in settling the Oregon Territory, making homesteading a viable option for some. But basically, national public-land-use policy made land ownership financially unattainable for most would-be homesteaders.
Physical conditions on the frontier presented even greater challenges. Wind, blizzards, and plagues of insects threatened crops. Open plains meant few trees for building, forcing many to build homes out of sod. Limited fuel and water supplies could turn simple cooking and heating chores into difficult trials. Ironically, even the smaller size of sections took its own toll. While 160 acres may have been sufficient for an eastern farmer, it was simply not enough to sustain agriculture on the dry plains, and scarce natural vegetation made raising livestock on the prairie difficult. As a result, in many areas, the original homesteader did not stay on the land long enough to fulfill the claim.
Homesteaders who persevered were rewarded with opportunities as rapid changes in transportation eased some of the hardships. Six months after the Homestead Act was passed, the Railroad Act was signed, and by May 1869, a transcontinental railroad stretched across the frontier. The new railroads provided easy transportation for homesteaders, and new immigrants were lured westward by railroad companies eager to sell off excess land at inflated prices. The new rail lines provided ready access to manufactured goods and catalog houses like Montgomery Ward offered farm tools, barbed wire, linens, weapons, and even houses delivered via the rails.
On January 1, 1863, Daniel Freeman and 417 others filed claims. Many more pioneers followed, populating the land, building towns and schools and creating new states from the territories. In many cases, the schools became the focal point for community life, serving as churches, polling places and social gathering locations. In 1936, the Department of the Interior recognized Freeman as the first claimant and established the Homestead National Monument, near a school built in 1872, on his homestead near Beatrice, Nebraska. Today, the monument is administered by the National Park Service, and the site commemorates the changes to the land and the nation brought about by the Homestead Act of 1862. By 1934, over 1.6 million homestead applications were processed and more than 270 million acres—10 percent of all U.S. lands—passed into the hands of individuals. The passage of the Federal Land Policy and Management Act of 1976 repealed the Homestead Act in the 48 contiguous states, but it did grant a ten-year extension on claims in Alaska.
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Comment by SV guy
2011-08-12 08:42:43
The property I purchased in Montana is part of an original homestead from 1929. It’s the first time any of it had been resold.
Comment by Montana
2011-08-12 09:04:10
“whether the 12-by-14 dwelling was to be built in feet or inches.”
Back in the 1950s, when we used to go up to the family homestead on the high desert south of Palmcaster, I saw some of the weird fakey “houses” that were built to hold claims. They were low to the ground with a slanted roof. But at least they were 12×14 ft and not inches.
Not just jobs. Jobs with sufficient to not only support the level of spending we’ve been doing for the last 30 years, but wages sufficient to cover our costs AND pay back the debt we have accumulated under 30 years of supply-side economics.
Wages aren’t keeping up with prices, putting downward demand-side preasure on the economy? Hmmm… Do we attack falling wages? No. Let’s use debt to allow people to buy despite falling wages. Lift economic activity to the supply-side by alowing poeple to buy more despite falling wages.
ARG!!!
And every politician on either side of the aisle just want’s to keep going in the exact same direction.
I agree that jobs are the answer, but what is the practical approach to creating jobs?
If the government does it directly (public servants, soldiers) it ends up driving up the deficit and debt.
If the government offers subsidies to create jobs, it doesn’t work much of the time, or the jobs disappear when the subsidies end.
Mandate higher wages? Tends to decrease jobs.
Protectionism against foreign goods and services? It’ll increase wages and jobs, but also cost of living and may create shortages of energy and some materials.
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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-08-12 08:19:32
Protectionism against foreign goods and services? It’ll increase wages and jobs, but also cost of living
Protectionism is the answer. I’d rather have a good job and pay more for my toaster.
Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2011-08-12 08:28:35
Protect OUR jobs. Not someones higher profit margin.
Comment by Darrell_in_PHX
2011-08-12 08:34:26
It is trade imbalnces. Pure and simple trade imbalances.
You have to focus on the trade imbalances every where they exist.
International? Trade war.
Domestically? Unions, taxes, regulations.
Trade imbalances can not exist long-term because they result in unsutainable debt growth. if we do not attack them directly, then the debt will collapse, the money the debt created goes away, people lose faith in money, and we go into depression. ALWAYS, EVERY TIME.
We fix the trade imbalances, or the trade imbalances fix themselves. Trade imbalances fixing themselves is very depressing.
Comment by measton
2011-08-12 08:44:47
VAT tax
Cut payroll tax
Socialize medicine thust reducing the cost of employing and insuring in America by 3500 per head
Change our trade agreements.
Gas tax
Tax on elite
More gov spending on infrastructure energy and communications.
These things would cut the cost of labor in the US and increase employment much more so than say
Cutting capital gains taxes and dividend taxes for the elite who then sit on their money or build factories in CHINA.
Comment by Al
2011-08-12 09:25:47
A few thoughts on the protectionist route:
1) If you’re gonna do it, go big or go home. No putting a 10% tax on stuff from this nation or that. It won’t create jobs, only increase cost of living. It would have to be more of a ban on imports of manufactured goods.
2) Such a ban would have to be against practically all nations, otherwise supply chains will adapt to get the job. (Sure this TV was made in England, at least we put these last few buttons on what came from China.)
3) Be ready for retaliation. Stuff the US still wants from abroad might not come. Energy and raw materials being the biggest concerns. The US will not be able to continue the exporting it does currently.
4) Prices won’t just go up on toasters, it’ll be everything. Price hikes and shortages could be very severe while US manufacturers get their act together. After stabilization, the standard of living will be well below that of the 90s.
5) While the US is in the process of pissing off the rest of the world, might as well write off some national debt.
6) Troops abroad should probably come home before any of this is implemented.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-08-12 09:41:24
A few thoughts on the protectionist route:
1) If you’re gonna do it, go big or go home. No putting a 10% tax on stuff from this nation or that. It won’t create jobs, only increase cost of living. It would have to be more of a ban on imports of manufactured goods.
Raising tariffs 10% would do a lot actually. I’ve read that landed costs of imports are on average 17% cheaper than American made. Yes we gave away the farm for 17%. It is even less now with Chinese currency appreciation and rising fuel costs. Throw in the logistic hassles and 10% would start bringing back US production and slowly enough to avoid many problems you described.
As far as rising prices on goods, a 10% rise in tariffs would cause a max 20% rise in prices but I’m sure it would be less because of the laws of supply and demand. I am certain though that it would translate into less CEO bonuses.
BTW, I live in Brazil which practices strong protectionism and posted a 7.5% economic growth rate in 2010, does booming business with China, has countries banging on its do to trade with and has increased it’s middle class by 20% the past 12 years.
As far as retaliation, not so much if implemented slowly. China is Brazil’s #1 trading partner and Brazil just raised tariffs on cheap Chinese imports because they are starting to flood Brazilian markets. What did the Chinese do in retaliation? Nada. Oh yea, they bought more soybeans from Brazil.
I would like to think of protecting North America, not just the USA - primarily because of our integrated energy systems, automotive, and commodities.
I agree that without new jobs there will be no recovery and that to create them we have to get a good deal of our manufacturing back into North America.
Service industries related to energy, auto, and commodities that have not departed town - should be encouraged to stay to help keep advanced manufacturing technologies.
But both countries need much better R&D systems with qualified government personnel who do not exist for their own benefit, but for the benefit of advancing science.
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-08-12 10:47:41
The OEMs in Wichita are currently sending a lot of their jobs to to Mexico.
According to the people out of work, doesn’t matter much to them if their job went to Mexico or China. It ain’t here no more.
So……manufacturing jobs go to Mexico, keeping their middle class happy. We get Mexico’s wretched refuse.
Such a deal.
Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-08-12 16:25:00
As Darrell is stating ,we have no other choice but to bring back our manufacturing base and job base .People cannot live without jobs ,even if they are a farmer living off the land . Governments can’t survive without having people they tax who have jobs or wealth .
This idea that China produces for the rest of the World ,while eventually it would gut the job base/tax base for any Country that imports all the China good is crazy . American Companies making manufacturing deals in China or mexico is no different than them becoming Foreign Companies in terms of taking the money and jobs out of America .If you become a producer in another Country ,than you have become that Countries provider of jobs . No doubt USA companies don’t like a bunch of the regulations that are imposed in America ,but I have had enough of crap plastic and toxic food and toxic drywall because of lack of regulation in foreign Countries , I would rather pay more for USA manufactured products that are regulated and I would rather the Companies have pollution control that costs more . Look at how polluted China has become .
For instance if Norway for example opened up all their manufacturing in America and provided jobs for Americans by doing this ,while they expected not to be taxed if they exported the American production back to Norway I think the people of Norway would laugh in their face .Trade imbalances are a destructive thing .
Look ,the bottom line is that Middle men are making excess profits by using cheap foreign labor . Providing no job benefits is another way of saving costs . Face it ,China is one big Monopoly now . All the outsourcing of jobs is another example of USA Companies underminding
the American Job and tax base and they should get a penalty tax that is equal to the destruction of money kept in America by having a American having the job at a higher wage and spending the money in America and paying taxes in America .
It doesn’t mean that you don’t trade with other Countries ,but the word trade is a lot different than tranporting your work force and natural goods to other Countries to produce everything while you call yourself a American Company . Ford just opened a car manufacturing plant in Mexico . They should have a grave penalty tax put on every car they import from mexico because their savings on cheap labor just puts extra money in the middle mans profit and it destroys jobs in America .In fact ,china goods aren’t even worth the cheaper price
We can’t afford to support 30% of the population that might be unemplyed because of jobs going away . All systems collaspe eventually because they can’t be held up by faulty globalism designed to put more money in the
elites pockets .
Postal Service proposes cutting 120,000 jobs, pulling out of health-care plan. By Joe Davidson - Washington Post
SEATTLE — The financially strapped U.S. Postal Service is proposing to cut its workforce by 20 percent and to withdraw from the federal health and retirement plans because it believes it could provide benefits at a lower cost.
The layoffs would be achieved in part by breaking labor agreements, a proposal that drew swift fire from postal unions. The plan would require congressional approval but, if successful, could be precedent-setting, with possible ripple effects throughout government. It would also deliver a major blow to the nation’s labor movement.
In a notice informing employees of its proposals — with the headline “Financial crisis calls for significant actions” — the Postal Service said, “We will be insolvent next month due to significant declines in mail volume and retiree health benefit pre-funding costs imposed by Congress.”
During the past four years, the service lost $20 billion, including $8.5 billion in fiscal 2010. Over that period, mail volume dropped by 20 percent.
The USPS plan is described in two draft documents obtained by The Washington Post. A “Workforce Optimization” paper acknowledges its “extraordinary request” to break its labor contracts.
“However, exceptional circumstances require exceptional remedies,” the document says.
“UPS and FedEx are doing just fine, right? It’s the Post Office that’s always having problems.”
~Barack Hussein Obama –attempting to make the case for government-run healthcare, while simultaneously undercutting his own argument, Portsmouth, N.H., Aug. 11, 2009
UPS and Fedex are doing fine for the same reason that private health insurance is doing fine. Private health insurance picks only the juicy healthy people for insurance, and their death panels throw everyone else off. Medicare and Medicaid get stuck with the comparative dregs (old and sick).
Likewise, Fedex and UPS get the juicy $10 overnights, while the post office has the burden of delivering first class mail to rural areas for under a dollar.
Admittedly they could set up the Fed health care system a little better.
ISTR reading that the post office would be making money if they weren’t required to charge the same amount to deliver mail to Alaska and Hawaii as the within CONUS. Now that was a few years ago, but it may well still be true.
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Comment by In Colorado
2011-08-12 06:51:34
Another problem the Post Office has is that it’s not allowed to set its rates, it requires gov’t permission to do so.
Likewise, Fedex and UPS get the juicy $10 overnights, while the post office has the burden of delivering first class mail to rural areas for under a dollar.
44 cents IIRC. I’d like to see UPS or FedEx do that.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-08-12 07:52:50
if they weren’t required to charge the same amount to deliver mail to Alaska and Hawaii as the within CONUS
The rise of the tea party has breathed new life into the Tenth Amendment to the Constitution, which states that all powers not listed in the Constitution should be left unto the states. But Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, a staunch social conservative, is fed up with it.
“This is the Tenth Amendment run amok!” Santorum declared, referring to suggestions from other candidates to allow states the right to set their own marriage policy. “We have Ron Paul saying, ‘oh, whatever the states want to do under the Tenth Amendment, that’s fine.’ So if the states want to pass polygamy that’s fine. If the states want to impose sterilization, that’s fine. No. Our country is based on moral laws, ladies and gentlemen. There are things the states can’t do. …We are a nation that has values. We are a nation that was built on a moral enterprise. But states don’t have the right to tramp over those because of the Tenth Amendment.”
See article below on airline subsidies to rural locations. The post office is yet another subsidy as our gas taxes ie cars driven on the highway get better mpg than in the city but you need more road building.
Yeah, tankxs to Gov’t $ub$idized airport Infastructure$ & and a interconnecting U$ National Highway a$$phalt $ystem & a Legacy US Gov’t initiated railroad line$, &… the US Navy 7th Fleet goofing off somewhere in the Per$ian Gulf.
“Information technology has crushed this business model.”
I dunno. Information technology does little to bridge the gap between the modern world of adaptable meritocracy and the dependency of the barrio and ghetto. The USPS does it daily.
I think it is obvious we are going to have to reduce mail delivery to fewer days of the week. Half as much mail moving, drop to Mon, Wed, Fri delivery.
It is what it is. A business cannot drop $8 billion a year and survive; USPS is a business.
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Comment by In Colorado
2011-08-12 06:55:28
Correct, IIRC they receive no gov’t subsidies.
“Information technology has crushed this business model.”
The only thing that needs to change in the USPS “business model” is that they be allowed to set their rates to cover their costs (while reducing those costs at the same time).
But yes, they became WAY too dependent on junk mail, which has now morphed into Spam email.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-08-12 09:26:15
USPS is a [Gov't] business.
So is the U$MilitaryIndu$trialComplexInc’$, $till desire to argue ’bout it with the “TrueAnger™” & “TrueReducetheDeficitNow! Today!!$™” cult members?
“At the time I wrote Nickel and Dimed, I wasn’t sure how many people it directly applied to –only that the official definition of poverty was way off the mark, since it defined an individual earning $7 an hour, as I did on average, as well out of poverty. But three months after the book was published, the Economic Policy Institute in Washington, D.C., issued a report entitled “Hardships in America: The Real Story of Working Families,” which found an astounding 29% of American families living in what could be more reasonably defined as poverty
The big question, 10 years later, is whether things have improved or worsened for those in the bottom third of the income distribution, the people who clean hotel rooms, work in warehouses, wash dishes in restaurants, care for the very young and very old, and keep the shelves stocked in our stores. The short answer is that things have gotten much worse, especially since the economic downturn that began in 2008.”
How have the already-poor attempted to cope with their worsening economic situation?
1. One obvious way is to cut back on health care. 1/3 do not comply with prescriptions. Or they give up health insurance.
2. The rural poor turning increasingly to “food auctions,” which offer items that may be past their sell-by dates. And for those who like their meat fresh, there’s the option of urban hunting.
3. The most common coping strategy, though, is simply to increase the number of paying people per square foot of dwelling space — by doubling up or renting to couch-surfers. “In Alexandria, Virginia, the standard apartment in a complex occupied largely by day laborers has two bedrooms, each containing an entire family of up to five people, plus an additional person laying claim to the couch.”
And there you have it: breadlines and tenenment slums and no health care — just like 1902, or 1934. No wonder the media clammed up about the tent cities.
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Comment by Bill in Carolina
2011-08-12 09:52:13
Tent cities will be front and center in the media only if/when a Republican is elected president.
Comment by In Colorado
2011-08-12 11:52:58
The rural poor turning increasingly to “food auctions,” which offer items that may be past their sell-by dates.
We actually have a store in town that specialized in selling that kind of food (mostly canned goods).
Comment by MrBubble
2011-08-12 12:12:28
“Tent cities will be front and center in the media only if/when a Republican is elected president.”
You must not have a big screen TV because you are clearly missing the big picture. Unless there is interference coming from background partisan claptrap radiation…
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-08-12 13:16:42
“Tent cities will be front and center in the media only if/when a Republican is elected president.”
So why are Fox News, Rush Limbaugh, Glenn Beck, the Tea Party, talk radio, and all of the Republican candidates silent?
Comment by Pete
2011-08-12 14:52:43
“2. The rural poor turning increasingly to “food auctions,” which offer items that may be past their sell-by dates. And for those who like their meat fresh, there’s the option of urban hunting. ”
I had forgotten about this. A couple of the local grocery stores (in Davis) just give their expired food away. At least they were five years ago.
The really amazing thing to me is how many of the middle class do not realize how precarious their situation is. Most of us are a job loss or medical crisis away from destitution.
“The most shocking thing I learned from my research on the fate of the working poor in the recession was the extent to which poverty has indeed been criminalized in America.
Perhaps the constant suspicions of drug use and theft that I encountered in low-wage workplaces should have alerted me to the fact that, when you leave the relative safety of the middle class, you might as well have given up your citizenship and taken residence in a hostile nation.
Most cities, for example, have ordinances designed to drive the destitute off the streets by outlawing such necessary activities of daily life as sitting, loitering, sleeping, or lying down. Urban officials boast that there is nothing discriminatory about such laws: “If you’re lying on a sidewalk, whether you’re homeless or a millionaire, you’re in violation of the ordinance,” a St. Petersburg, Florida, city attorney stated in June 2009, echoing Anatole France’s immortal observation that “the law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich as well as the poor to sleep under bridges…”
In defiance of all reason and compassion, the criminalization of poverty has actually intensified as the weakened economy generates ever more poverty. So concludes a recent study from the National Law Center on Poverty and Homelessness, which finds that the number of ordinances against the publicly poor has been rising since 2006, along with the harassment of the poor for more “neutral” infractions like jaywalking, littering, or carrying an open container.”
I wonder how much of this has been influenced by the prosperity gospel, the essence of which is that if you believe in God, then God will materially reward you. The unspoken subtext is that if God has not rewarded you, then you must be unrighteous. BTW, I do not believe that this is what Christianity teaches. I think it is a perversion of Christianity by our materialistic society.
And I think many atheists believe it without the religious overtones. For atheists, the belief expresses itself more as hard work is rewarded. The subtext here is that if you have not been materially rewarded, then you have not worked hard enough.
It may be a defense mechanism in uncertain times. A way to ward off the evil of poverty. I personally believe that hard work is necessary but not sufficient. And that hard work, like goodness, is its own reward. Both are worth the effort even if results are lacking.
If we can’t increase wages to increase peoples’ ability to pay back their debts, the debts will collapse and we will be in a long and ugly depression.
”
yea thats right any questions ?? no ?? good
Now that thats clear why is housing still high in Costal CA ?
Phoenix is sure taking a silde down to housing he!! doesn’t make sense to me that its still so expensive here in CA ? this place has got to break and break hard just like its neighbor Phoenix.
One possible reason is that although both states are ‘no recourse’, the laws differ slightly. Specifically, refinancing a mortgage in CA turns it into a recourse loan. In AZ, that only happens if additional cash is taken out. At least that has been the court’s interpretation of the law to date. Since rates have been falling for most of the last decade, my guess is a whole bunch of people in CA have refinanced and traded their no recourse mortgage for a recourse one. More recourse mortgages mean fewer foreclosures and slower drops in price.
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Comment by oxide
2011-08-12 15:41:05
Yes, a whole bunch have, Max Power. I saw a figure somewhere (don’t have it now) that in parts of California, 28% of mortage holders re-fied into option ARM mortgages. They are done for.
Comment by Robin
2011-08-12 17:44:55
If they opted for ARMs, wouldn’t their payments have dropped in the past few years?
It’s pulling out of Federal retirement plans because “it believes it could provide benifits at a lower cost.”
A lot of private employers are doing the same: pulling out of retirement plans so they can provide benifits at a lower cost.
(snark)
The way they lower their benift costs is to CUT THEIR BENIFITS!
Promises, promises. Pay your employees in promises and you get to keep your employee costs WAY down, epecially when you are allowed to break those promises somewhere down the road (where the can continualy gets kicked).
But on the other end of those unkept promises are the schmucks who retired because they thought they were set for life. These empty promises will translate into reduced consumer spending, something that is not at all healthy for an economy that is seventy-one percent dependent on consumer spending.
One person’s promise of money is another person’s money. If the promise is not kept then the money will not be forthcoming and whomever it is that is on the wrong end of this promise gets to do without.
This should be a no brainer of an observation but for some reason it isn’t.
Promises, promises. Pay your employees in promises and you get to keep your employee costs WAY down, epecially when you are allowed to break those promises somewhere down the road ”
Ah, stock options. If you are an executive and you get paid in stock and in stock options then you have an incentive to keep the price of the stock up.
Not only do you have the incentive, you also have the ABILITY.
You have the ability to keep stock prices up because you have the ability to keep expenses down. And because most of the expenses you need to keep down are associated with labor costs - either active or inactive labor costs (i.e. retired labor costs) - these are the expenses that will take the hit.
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Comment by combotechie
2011-08-12 09:52:01
“… you also have the ABILITY.”
Up to a point you have the ability. Mr. Market has the final say on just what the stock price will be.
I like the post office. I could do without all the pizza ads that arrive in my box, but I like getting the supermarket circulars. I barely get any catalogues anymore. The only junk mail I had to dispose of after more than two weeks on vacation were 4 or 5 credit card offers and a “switch your insurance to Geico” letter. The rest was all stuff I needed to receive. And I got to send a bunch of marine mammal toys to my nephew and niece for $2.39 this morning. They will arrive on Monday or Tuesday. This seems about right to send CA$5.94 (plus tax) worth of toys to small children. And I got a smile and friendly conversation with the clerk to start my day off.
I like this less over burdended post office. If they need to down size a bit to adjust to the lower level of mail, so be it.
Probably in the vicinity of 20%. Not necessarily exactly that since it will depend on a lot of other factors like how well paid they are for the volume that is down and what other savings they can wrangle. For example, my parents get mail delivery to a set of boxes near the entrance to their development, not to their door. Other places could get that treatment as well.
What they really need to do is figure out the demand elasticity of different types of mail and price accordingly.
And I can see skipping mail delivery on Wednesday or Thursday. I don’t like skipping Saturday since that is two days in a row and that is a bit much.
Central Bankers Worldwide Race to Save Growth in 72 Hours of Policy making. (Bloomberg)
Central bankers are racing to shield their economies from fiscal tightening and lopsided currency swings that threaten a new global recession.
In the 72 hours after a Group of Seven conference call on Aug. 7, the Federal Reserve pledged to keep interest rates near zero through at least mid-2013, the European Central Bank intervened in bond markets and the Bank of England indicated it’s ready to add more stimulus if needed. Japan signaled renewed concern about the yen and Switzerland yesterday stepped up its fight to curb an “overvalued” franc.
“Central bankers have so far been the tower of strength,” said Stefan Schneider, chief international economist at Deutsche Bank AG in Frankfurt. “Lawmakers have done everything to destroy belief in their ability to solve the problems they’re facing.”
Today, the Bank of Korea kept interest rates unchanged for a second month.
Finance ministers and central bankers from the G-7 nations, which include the U.S., U.K. and Germany, said in a statement Aug. 7 that they will “take all necessary measures to support financial stability and growth in a spirit of close cooperation and confidence.”
The next day, the Frankfurt-based ECB, which last week restarted its bond-purchase program after an 18-week hiatus, extended its focus to include debt of Italy and Spain, the region’s third- and fourth-largest economies.
Growth that comes from increasing debt, just like supporting housing prices, just increase the problem.
The problem is the trade imbalances. We need to stop trying to figure out how to increase the trade imbalances, and start figuring out how to reverse them.
Agree. Anytime someone suggests raising tarrifs on imports from China to US, someone else counters with “oh but what if China raises tarrifs on exports from US to to China?”
U.S. goods and services trade with China totaled $390 billion in 2009. Exports totaled $85 billion; Imports totaled $305 billion.
EXPORTS TO CHINA: China was the United States’ 3rd largest goods export market in 2010… U.S. exports to China accounted for 7.2% of overall U.S. exports in 2010.
The top export categories (2-digit HS) in 2010 were:
Electrical Machinery ($11.5 billion),
Machinery ($11.2 billion),
Miscellaneous Grain, Seed, Fruit (soybeans) ($11.0 billion), Aircraft ($5.8 billion),
Optic and Medical Instruments ($5.2 billion).
U.S. exports of agricultural products to China totaled $17.5 billion in 2010, the largest U.S. Ag export market.
soybeans ($10.8 billion),
cotton ($2.2 billion),
hides and skins ($952 million), and
feeds and fodders ($736 million).
U.S. exports of private commercial services* (i.e., excluding military and government) to China were $15.7 billion in 2009.
I wonder how much of that “machinery” and “hides and skins” are used to make products to sell back the US?
————-
IMPORTS FROM CHINA
U.S. goods imports from China totaled $365 billion in 2010, a up 841% over the last 16 years.
The five largest import categories in 2010 were:
Electrical Machinery ($90.8 billion),
Machinery ($82.7 billion),
Toys and Sports Equipment ($25.0 billion),
Furniture and Bedding ($20.0 billion), and
Footwear ($15.9 billion).
U.S. imports of agricultural products from China totaled $3.4 billion in 2010, the 3rd largest supplier of Ag imports. Leading categories include:
processed fruit and vegetables ($811 million),
fruit and vegetable juices ($386 million),
snack foods (including chocolate) ($190 million),
and fresh vegetables ($132 million).
U.S. imports of private commercial services* (i.e., excluding military and government) were $8.2 billion in 2009.
———————
The big ones are the machinery and electronic machinery — microwaves and iCrap.
My fruit roll-ups are probably from China. No wonder Big Ag fought that Country of Origin Labeling.
Reciprocal punitive tariffs were rolled out during the 1930s Great Depression. Do you have any idea how they worked out?
HINT: Artificially raising the prices of imports restricts the flow of international trade.
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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-08-12 09:10:31
HINT: Artificially raising the prices of imports restricts the flow of international trade.
Well, losing Mandarin Orange$ from China might not be so awful, perhaps it might improve the bottom line$ of growers in Spain.
Comment by measton
2011-08-12 09:42:43
At the time of Smoot Hawley we were China, ie we had massive exports vs imports.
What is China going to do??
1. Sell our treasuries, well that will just drive up the value of their currency and make exports even harder.
2. Put Tariffs on what we sell them?? Not food, Not natural resources that they need to make stuff. Other stuff doesn’t count for a hill of beans.
3. Probably their biggest threat would be to ignore our patents and produce those goods for export to the world. If Europeand Australia who face similar problems got on board I’m willing to give the rest to China.
Nope Tariffs and or VAT taxes are EXACTLY what this country needs.
Comment by Max Power
2011-08-12 13:46:20
Agreed. We’re in a totally different situation now than we were during the 30’s. Protectionism will have a very different effect now that we’re a net importer.
Let me tell you something as a person living in China for some time now: the Chinese already tax imports. Imported stuff that is sold here is between plain expensive to mind blowingly expensive, depending on what that stuff is. I think there is a pretty steep dealer & retailer markup too (inefficient supply chains) but even in some of the most aggressive retailers (Walmart comes to mind) the few American or Western items sold are very expensive.
Oh yeah, and with the rise of the yuan one would expect prices to fall. They haven’t.
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Comment by oxide
2011-08-12 08:00:32
the Chinese already tax imports.
So, if the Americans suddenly decided to tax imports from China the same way that China taxes imports from the US, then what would China do? Tax imports even more?
Are raw materials taxed too, and how much? For example, $952M of hides and skins is used to make $15B in footwear. Does the shoe price include the import taxes for the hides to go into China, and would that cancel out the lower price of Chinese labor?
And I wonder about all thsoe soybeans. If those are taxed, then the Chinese can’t possibly afford to eat much.
Comment by cactus
2011-08-12 09:17:47
the Chinese already tax imports. ”
yes I hear its still very cheap here in the USA to buy stuff compared to even buying it where it is made.
I saw this in Mexico it often makes for a thriving black market
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-08-12 13:32:09
If tariffs cause widescale suffering in China, who will they go to war with?
Published: Friday, 12 Aug 2011 | 4:09 AM ET
Kara Scannell, Financial Times
“The Securities and Exchange Commission has asked credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s to disclose who within its ranks knew of its decision to downgrade US debt before it was announced last week, as part of a preliminary look into potential insider trading, people familiar with the matter say.
This person said they were looking at who had the information as a starting point. The person added that the agency is not aware of a leak from an S&P insider, nor was it aware of an aberrational trade.
Proving someone leaked information about the downgrade, or traded ahead of it, could be challenging…”
‘The person added that the agency is not aware of a leak from an S&P insider, nor was it aware of an aberrational trade.’
If this is true, it is an intimidation action against S&P. Here we have the SEC, who did nothing while all the MBS mess was created, (you don’t hear that mentioned often do you? Mortgage backed SECURITIES) going after a firm that dares to issue a negative opinion on the US govt. S&P is supposed to offer this sort of opinion; that’s what they do.
I for one am disgusted by the way the media, DC and govt have acted about this whole credit ratings thing. You know what? The Tea Party didn’t cause this. What caused this is our government owes TOO MUCH DAMNED MONEY.
IMO, look for Moodys and Fitch to follow suit. That is unless some govt goons show up and threaten them for doing their job too.
“The number of shops or even central banks that can take on this level of market risk is extremely small. Some that come to mind are hedge fund manager John Paulson, Bill Gross’s PIMCO, and the U.S. and Chinese central banks.
Paulson already scored big – about $6 billion big – on a similar trade years ago when he bet against subprime mortgages, the investments that helped bring down Lehman Bros. and many other investors.”
As I mentioned when I first posted this, my money’s on PIMPCO.
And to be fair, Ben, S&P, Moody’s, Fitch etc. rated all those securitized mortgages AAA. That’s when the hammer should have come down on the ratings agencies, big time. But it didn’t, and here we are today. I’m not saying the US didn’t deserve the downgrade. But as one of the posters here observed when I first posted the story, the ratings agencies do what Wall Street tells them to do. Wall Street paid them to rate the FFF- sausage AAA. And forgive me for being cynical, but I’m sure some financial entity dictated the downgrade, or at least was informed it was coming.
‘S&P, Moody’s, Fitch etc. rated all those securitized mortgages AAA. That’s when the hammer should have come down on the ratings agencies, big time.’
I disagree. I was following this when it wasn’t on anyone radar, and the raters were the public face to this. Why didn’t the hammer come down on those who were putting the MBS together? That’s who the SEC is charged with overseeing.
‘This morning the global credit evaluation service, Fitch Ratings, held a conference call and issued a position paper titled “GSEs: Are the ‘AAA’ Ratings at Risk.” While the short answer is maybe, the statement (registration req’d)makes it clear that the GSE bonds receive a high grade due to the understanding that uncle sam will guarantee them. “Senior debt ratings…include an assumption of support from the US government that would be provided in the event of severe financial stress”.
‘It goes on to say this view is reinforced by current legislation being considered that would increase oversight rather than cut ties to the firms. Fitch also made clear that if the guarantee were removed it would damage the entire economy. “If there was a major problem in their ability to issue debt, then the government would have to step in in order to support not just the GSEs but the overall economy as well,” said Fahey. “It’s very similar to support that we view in the money center banks in the United States.”
‘In other words, too big to fail. And much of the report focuses on how the failure should be handled!’
This wasn’t any big mystery, even at the time. But I had to read through 90 page reports to find this stuff. The media wasn’t doing it.
The reason it was triple A was because of the GSEs. And who were the raters counting on to back them up? They said it straight out; Uncle Sam! Recall that when the GSEs were in trouble in 2005, they arrogantly jumped with both feet into the subprime market. Just as congress refused to reform them OR back away from the ‘implicit guarantee.’
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Comment by oxide
2011-08-12 07:06:06
Why didn’t the hammer come down on those who were putting the MBS together?
Because the Republicans controlled most of Congress and the White House and Treasury Sec? Because K Street was running full tilt providing p*orn to the political appointees at the SEC so they would allow monopolistic mergers and acquisitions galore?
Now that there is a different Admin, someone’s at least trying to bring down the hammer, and you’re complaining?
Comment by palmetto
2011-08-12 07:19:51
“I disagree” Fair enough.
“Why didn’t the hammer come down on those who were putting the MBS together? That’s who the SEC is charged with overseeing.”
I’m not arguing that point, absolutely the hammer should have come down. Investors relied on the opinions of the ratings agencies. The ratings agencies relied on the “implicit guarantees” of the US govt. Nice cover, but it doesn’t mean squat, as we can see. And the ratings agencies know it, IMO. Or should have known. I personally just ended off relying on an “implicit guarantee” from a small business I worked with for almost a year. Needless to say, “implicit guarantees” mean nothing. If it isn’t written, it isn’t true. And sometimes even then… But I knew that going in, so I just shrug, take my lumps and move on.
“The reason it was triple A was because of the GSEs.” Well, if the ratings agencies are that incompetent, then they’re useless and shouldn’t exist anyway. BTW, I recall seeing a clip on 60 Minutes or some such program where a whistle blower at one of the ratings agencies tried to do his job and got fired for it. What does that mean, then? He committed heresy because he didn’t trust the GSE “implicit guarantee”?
“The media wasn’t doing it.”
Ben, sooner or later you are going to have to confront the fact that you ARE the media now, along with others like you. Whether you realize it or not, you stepped up to the plate and picked up the bat. You’ve designated yourself a journalist in your profile. So there you are. Those people and entities you call the media? They’re more concerned with whether Bert & Ernie should get married. I don’t know what you call them, Paul Craig Roberts calls them “presstitutes”. I’d say that’s apt.
You’ve picked up the bat they left lying in the dirt.
This partisan approach will never solve anything. Neither of the two parties has a monopoly on truth or right. What I can count on is that Democrats and Republicans are constantly working on one thing; to get re-elected.
‘Now that there is a different Admin, someone’s at least trying to bring down the hammer, and you’re complaining?’
Just who exactly is the hammer being brought down on?
Back to the credit thing: we have a govt that has borrowed more money than any entity in history. And they have to borrow billions EVERY DAY to keep the doors open. We’re numb to it. A billion is a thousand millions. Remember the old saying, ‘a billion here and a billion there and soon you’re talking about real money’? Now we’ve moved up to trillions.
This is a govt that “bailed out” how many companies in the past few years? Prop up house prices? How much have they spent on that? How much for the mortgage interest deduction? And the wars; how many are we running now? This country spends more on the military than the rest of the world COMBINED. Need I bring up the old saying “war is a racket”? That’s because at the root of it, corporations are stuffing more billions into their pockets. No problem, we’ll borrow it.
All this at a time when just about everybody is cutting back. Families, local govts, companies; all to get through this recession. But there is one entity in the world that refuses to cut anything. Not only that, but they want to borrow even more. And if anyone dares to suggest “they” might not pay it back, look out.
Comment by whyoung
2011-08-12 07:59:05
“Neither of the two parties has a monopoly on truth or right.”
I know that and you know that, but some of them don’t seem to.
Comment by oxide
2011-08-12 08:10:00
This partisan approach will never solve anything.
——–
You asked why the SEC didn’t attack the rating agency of the MBS back when they were being bundled in 2005. I gave you a possible answer: that the SEC is partisan, from political appointees.
Will an equally partisan Dem SEC solve it? I dunno. They never seem to be in office long enough for us to find out.
The hammer is not being brought down yet, but they are least looking to see if it needs to be brought down.
Comment by Professor Bear
2011-08-12 08:20:01
“partisan approach”
No it won’t solve anything, especially if one side of the aisle utterly refuses to budge in their bargaining stance in order to through a wrench into the prospect of finding any potential way out for near-term political advantage.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-08-12 08:26:15
“Neither of the two parties has a monopoly on truth or right.”
Yes but that does not mean that on grand, macro economic issues that both party’s truths are equal.
For 30 years the Republicans professing that cutting taxes for the rich/corporations and that free trade would create good jobs and shared economic growth has turned out to be a lie.
And for them to continue to do so when evidence has proved it is not so is not “right”.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-08-12 08:47:21
They said it straight out; Uncle Sam!
“True$editionist$$erialEnabler$™” = Indemnified!
They’re still saying that, only with a different goalmeaning…this time around. iHhopinionation.
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-08-12 10:53:25
It may seem like I pick on Republicans.
If so, it’s because they are telling more/bigger lies than the Democrats.
Yes, there was an aberrational trade, but my post with the link hasn’t shown up as yet. I also posted about it a few days ago. Pretty much greeted with yawns and crickets here on the HBB, except for one poster who observed that the ratings agencies do what Wall Street dictates.
Not saying the US didn’t deserve the downgrade, but this is just one big clusterfark at this point. The ratings agencies were rating those sausage CDOs and MBS as AAA, when they were junk at best. And the “government goons” who should have been doing their jobs back then, didn’t. NOW the ratings agencies got religion? And NOW the “government goons” want to look into it? All of a sudden everyone wants to do the jobs they should have been doing? Too late. It’s way past the point of that now.
Whereas I would argue that S+P is basically saying that the TP wing of the Republican party is more convincing when they say, “We’re willing to trash the full faith and credit of the US,” than Obama is when he says, “I’m willing to veto extension of the Bush tax cuts.” Can you blame them? Look, over the long term, we have SERIOUS difficulties with the combined expense of SS and Medicare. But over the short term, plenty of people are willing to lend to the US government, so ABILITY to pay isn’t an issue. The impediment to paying bondholders over the short term is the fact that some are using the debt limit as leverage in the fight to cut government spending. In the oft-used personal finance analogy the debt limit debate was like trying to get control of credit card spending by not sending out checks for a month, rather than cutting up the credit card or putting in more hours at the plant.
All that said, the downgrade was so consistently telegraphed by S+P, and evidently so ignored by the actual purchasers of government debt, that paying attention to this rather than their abysmally bad and self-serving performance leading up to the crisis DOES look like an attempt at intimidation.
If America truly is serious about dealing with its deficit problems, there’s a fairly simple solution….
…the fact is that everyone who has studied the deficit problem has agreed that it’s actually a health care problem - more specifically, the cost of providing Medicare benefits to an aging and longer-living population…
….like a baby discovering its toes, Congress has discovered the deficit. And the plain fact is that unless you want to commit political suicide and cut Medicare to the bone - as Rep. Paul Ryan’s, R-Wis., budget plan would do - the best way to seriously address long-term deficits is to get control of health care costs through a single-payer plan.
…In 2008, when health care costs amounted to “only” 16 percent of U.S. gross domestic product, Great Britain was spending 8.7 percent of its GDP on health care, and Canada was spending 10.4 percent. Both nations have single-payer plans. Quality of care scores in both nations are at least comparable, and in most cases, better.
Eventually, the United States will have a single-payer plan. But we’ll waste a lot of money and time getting there.
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Comment by oxide
2011-08-12 10:16:05
Rio, it’s not just a cost problem, it’s an insurance problem.
The young and healthy pay health insurance twice: once for their own health insurance. That money goes to a high-profit insurance company. Then they pay again, for Medicare. Why not let the young and healthy help to pay for the old and sick directly, and knock out the middleman altogether?
This would work even if every procedure and drug costs that same.
Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-08-12 18:19:16
Rio ,you hit it on the nose . Just like the cost of housing was not sustainable ,the cost of health care is not sustainable in the USA now .
I think it’s error for people to think of health care as the same as a regular business . Health care is a Insurance system to start with . The ‘Art of medicine ” isn’t even practiced anymore because of the profit motive insurance companies running the ship ,and the drug companies think in terms of profits ,not cures .The Insurance conpanies idea of curbing costs is to deny care ,or rationing If anybody trusts them they are crazy .
We must do medical care for 50% less cost . Its absurd that in order to get a good policy a young healthy family of 4 has to pay 25 or 30 % of the average wage to get that good policy . And why would they want to pay when they don’t think they will be provided for when they are
older and they really need to use the health care system a lot .
I think part of the problem is that we had these long term systems that worked and than the greed machine started altering the ratios for greater profits . Companies can’t afford the health care costs and people can’t afford them either .
If someone told me when I was young that the cost of a
good insurance policy for health would costs more than rent I would say that they must be joking . Further , a lot of these new drugs aren’t better than the old drugs that were used . No wonder Companies want to outsource jobs based on the health care costs alone in this Country . Evrything is tied into everything else .
The health care cost problem affects every other area of our economy . Just like you can’t buy a house that you can’t afford ,you can’t have health care that is out of sink with the average wage of the middle class which is the majority .
Many prices are out of whack these days based on the average income .
What is going to happen when people are forced to put to many dollars into health insurance and not enough toward other areas . One industry can unbalance the whole economy ,just like when you put 50% of your income toward housing rather than the 25% toward housing that was common for so many years . In Egypt they put 80% of their income toward food and that doesn’t leave much for anything else .
Nobody talks about what the price of things should be in terms of ratios of a family budget .All the price fixing in the world isn’t going to change the affordablity index.
Companies use to know how much they could get and they were willing to work on smaller profit margins to remain competitive .
In my view ,the economy need to be balanced or it will fail or you will have to many poor people that you won’t even be able to generate enough taxes to help them .
We are reversing all the gains we made for 100 years for whacked out unbalanced systems were the cost of things don’t make sense anymore .
People know that they are being fleeced ,but they don’t exactly know what to do about it,
Anyway ,any Country that doesn’t protect their job base is stupid ,to say the least .
By the way, folks. SEC penalties are notoriously similar to being hit with a wet noodle, so an investigation is annoying in that you have to spend money on people to answer questions, but otherwise unlikely to be a big deal.
In addition, my recollection is that most SEC penalties are related to insider information are based on the ill-gotten gain related to having the extra information. Since US treasuries went UP in value, not down, in reaction to the downgrade, there won’t be any substantial penalties on anyone.
However, I think that figuring out if anyone at the rating agencies that has an obligation not to leak that sort of information, did leak it - well, that is a good thing. They are private companies who generally are paid in a set up that has the most blatant conflict of interest you could imagine. A good gander at their business practices and privacy controls is a good thing.
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Comment by jim A
2011-08-12 10:16:06
Well there ARE presumably plenty of trades that could have or may have been made that would have benefited from prior knowledge of the downgrade. Of course since the Obama administration was desperately trying to persuade them not to downgrade, the information might have come from there too.
And yeah, as a watchdog, the SEC seems more Fifi than Cerberus these days.
The original point was that there was an aberrational trade. And indeed there was. No one puts a billion bucks on the line without solid information. Did it come from S&P? Not a bad place to start. Nothing wrong with a little investigation, IMO.
Follow the money.
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Comment by Professor Bear
2011-08-12 07:57:35
“No one puts a billion bucks on the line without solid information.”
I don’t buy it. We saw many billions of bucks bet on housing without solid information go straight down the tubes. Ten years earlier, the same thing happened with tech stocks.
And if memory serves, S&P’s had hinted of a potential downgrade months ago. Even without insider information, some large investors would naturally have taken positions that would benefit after a ratings downgrade. You cannot conclude that just because some individuals made a lot of money after the downgrade, they must have traded on insider information.
Comment by palmetto
2011-08-12 08:21:10
We’re talking about a single entity here, Bear. Not “some” individuals. At least, that was my takeaway from the story.
Comment by palmetto
2011-08-12 08:22:59
Anyway, palmy always enjoys a good conspiracy theory. As opposed to the utter banality of evil.
I guess that depends on what the definition of ’cause’ is.
Sure the U.S. has long-term debt issues which must be addressed, but one political party digging in its heels and refusing to bargain towards a solution was implicitly given by S&P’s as one of the two proximate causes of the sovereign credit rating downgrade.
The other cause, described as a “continued rising U.S. government debt burden,” would appear quite difficult to resolve if one party is unwilling to budge from their hardline bargaining position.
“As most of you know, we rate 126 sovereign governments. The five pillars are political risk, economic risk, external risk, debt and fiscal risk, and lastly monetary policy risk. As we noted on Friday, we broadly speaking view three of them as unchanged. So the focus of our action on Friday was around what we take to be a more uncertain political environment in the United States, as we think was highlighted by the whole debt ceiling debate this year and the continued rising U.S. government debt burden even with the fiscal agreement that Congress and the President came to last week.”
David Beers, head of S&P’s sovereign ratings division
Transcript Of Standard & Poor’s Teleconference Held On Aug. 8, 2011: United States of America Long-Term Rating Lowered To ‘AA+’, Outlook Negative
Publication date: 11-Aug-2011 15:54:52 EST
“$&P takes its confidential information and securities trading policies, and the related securities regulation, very seriously,” said the statement. “Our policies prohibit analysts or rating committee members from trading and holding securities or options of the companies or governments they rate. In addition, we have long standing policies and procedures in place regarding the appropriate handling, use and protection of confidential information.”
BWAHAHAHicHAHAHicHAHAHAHAHicHAHAHic* (DennisN™)
Who started the $&P downgrade rumor?
By Chris Isidore @CNNMoney August 12, 2011
It wasn’t just officials within $&P who knew of the pending downgrade. Earlier that day, the Treasury Department was notified by the credit agency that it intended to downgrade the nation’s credit rating. Treasury officials challenged that decision, arguing $&P’s budget analysis included a $2 trillion mistake.
A senior administration official told CNN on background late on the afternoon of Aug. 5 that $&P was reconsidering its downgrade opinion. But while the credit rating agency changed its numbers to conform with Treasury’s, it went ahead with the downgrade anyway.
Revoke their license? You don’t say, what a concept!
SEC Asking About Insider Trading at S&P: Report
MarketWatch points out that, according to the 2006 Credit Rating Agency Reform Act, $&P could have its license revoked if it leaked word of the downgrade:
As observers call for a probe of insider trading from Standard & Poor’s decision to downgrade the U.S. credit rating, a little-known law from five years ago gives the Securities and Exchange Commission authority to do so.
Regulatory observers are focusing, partly, on a heavy trading volume and a major sell off of equity securities at one point on Friday, responding to speculation rampant in the markets that S&P was going to downgrade the U.S. debt later that day. $&P did, in fact, lower the U.S. government’s top-tier credit rating late that day a notch to AA+.
At issue, in part, is a 2006 statute — the Credit Rating Agency Reform Act — that says a credit rating agency could have its license registration revoked if it leaked information about its pending downgrade decision before making that information publicly available. It also said that the rater must have policies and procedures to prevent such a disclosure.
$&P says it does in fact have such policies in place, pointing to an 18-page section of its code of conduct. It’s illegal for $&P employees to trade the stuff they rate, and the policies try to prevent that, S&P says.
This news comes at a time when lawmakers are reaching across the aisle to join hands and then start kicking $&P repeatedly in the face.
MarketBeat / WSJ
Ahead of the Bell: Retail Sales
Retails sales expected to post small gain in July
August 12, 2011
WASHINGTON (AP) — Consumers likely spent more money on autos and at department stores in July. A jump in retail sales could signal Americans are a little more confident in the economy and help calm shaky financial markets at a precarious time.
Economists expect retail sales rose 0.4 percent in July, according to a survey by FactSet. The forecast is partly based on an expectation that car dealerships were busier and back-to-school sales attracted more shoppers. But economists also factored in that consumers paid slightly higher prices for gas.
The Commerce Department will release the new report at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Friday.
I don’t even remember where I shop for clothes anymore. I happen to be out somewhere with the wife and I see a rack display of something useful at a great price, and I decide to buy on the spot.
Did I mention that I’m an engineer?
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Comment by Elanor
2011-08-12 09:05:45
At least you buy your own. I do my husband’s clothes shopping FOR him. Unless it involves a trip to one of REI’s sales.
Comment by Awaiting
2011-08-12 13:37:26
Shopping to an Engineer is like kryptonite to Superman, unless it’s for electronic toys.
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-08-12 13:53:51
Shopping to an Engineer is like kryptonite to Superman, unless it’s for electronic toys.
Or in my father’s case, laboratory equipment. Stuff he has in that place has mind-blowing price tags.
Mom and I didn’t know that he was capable of spending like that.
Comment by Robin
2011-08-12 18:34:27
I buy $60 to $85 Hawaiian shirts at thrift shops for $3 to $5 each. I’m sure the dead guys wouldn’t mind! (wink)
Comment by rms
2011-08-12 20:26:50
“Did I mention that I’m an engineer?”
Same here, civil, and I’m hauling in $82k ± change in fly-over, and we honestly can’t afford a new car when you put a sharp pencil to it, yet we’re surrounded by $45k pick-up trucks. It’s the government supporting the financing of the automotive industry.
So I lookedon the Homepath website, thinking there would be some REO deals, but those house prices are as high as any other site. So why bother to pay the same price for a trashed house?
Decent small 1978 cape on 0.28 acres, no pix. VERY close to a Metro station (and railroad tracks).
May 1998: sold $99K
Oct 2010: listed $250K.
chased down slowly to
Aug 2011: pending $205K.
$205K is about a 2002 price. So that’s why prices are sticking at 2004 pricing. Any house lowered to a 2002 price is sold quickly. So re-al-TORS price optimistically. I wonder when/if prices will break the 2004-pricing floor. Probably never. Too much cash swishing around.
[by the way, the reason I don't mention 2003 pricing is because the price increase from 2002-2004 was so steep that 2003 was lost in the noise of growth.]
House 2: Tudor Revival Estate
near the boonies near a straight-shot road to the city.
1989 3767 sq ft on 4 acres. Lots of beautiful pix. Nice wood trim. It even has its own Great Hall living room (you have to look to see the vaulted ceiling).
Apr 1986 Sold $63K. (I don’t believe this for a minute.)
Sep 2009 Listed $695.
Basement needs work.
Kitchen needs cosmetic updating because it has a laminate countertop and cheap flooring. I know HBB mocks granite, but you almost need it to match the rest of the house.
Price looks mostly ok, but it’s still that level-off 2004 pricing. Trouble finding a buyer…
“Buyer defaulted 2 days before settlement!!!!! - Excellent house - great bones. Now vacant & utilities are off and will NOT be turned on for any more inspections. 1st two buyers couldn’t wait - 3rd buyer defaulted - who’s next? Lakeside Title to close escrow. Multiple appraisals all at or above $700,000-short sale lender will not take less then $675 with 0 closing. (lower offers will be rejected)… “
Yep. Perhaps…”Fresh paint covers all the water stains in the ceiling.” There was a vacant a few blocks away from me a couple of years ago WITH BIG HOLES IN THE ROOF. Eventually, they fixed the roof, painted it and it sold. I wonder what sort of serious, hidden damage remains, and whether the purchasers have any knowledge of the problems with the house.
Can’t check electric outlets
Can’t check the electrical panel
Can’t check the toilets
Can’t check the septic
Can’t check the drainage
Can’t check the HVAC
Can’t check the cable system
Can’t check the internet system
Can’t check the stove
Can’t check the dishwasher
etc.
etc.
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Comment by JIm A
2011-08-12 07:22:35
Which wouldn’t be sooo terrible if it wasn’t being sold as-is.
Comment by oxide
2011-08-12 08:22:11
House #1 is the one being sold As Is.
House #2 is the one where the re-al-TOR doesn’t want to turn on the power. I still don’t know if it’s something with the house. In this case, three deals already fell through, and there are already multiple inspections and appraisals. Maybe the re-al-TOR (or the bank or the FB) doesn’t want to repeat the process for another buyer? If I were looking at this house, I would ask for the inspections and appraisals from the prior deals. Would that be sufficient?
Comment by 2banana
2011-08-12 08:39:30
You are spending $205,000 of your life’s savings or future debt…
Just what does that mean to you?
If it is jsut a small part of your personal net worth - go with it as is and trust the other inspections.
If it is everything you have in the world - know exactly what you are buying. Do your own homework. Trust but verify everything.
Comment by oxide
2011-08-12 10:27:51
OK let’s try again.
I posted listings for two houses.
House #1 is the As-Is house for $205K. The utilies in this house are ON. Now there’s probably something else wrong with the house, but you CAN check the utilities and the power outlets and flush the toilets etc.
For House #2, the $695K house is NOT being sold As Is. The utilities are OFF. Apparently the house has already been inspected/appraised several times for previous deals that fell through. I would guess that all the utilities were checked in the past couple of months. So, assume I want the house. I would look at the previous inspections. What if the previous inspection shows that the utilities were working just fine a month ago?
“Experience is a dear teacher, but fools will learn at no other.” - Benjamin Franklin
History has 100s of examples of economies attempting to maintain trade imbalances through constant debt generation, and ALL show that unless the imbalances reverse so the debt can be repaid, the debt will be written off as uncollectable, the money will go away as uncollectable, people will lose trust in money, and a depression will result.
Every time.
And yet, as we see the obvious signs of coming debt default, we refuse to even talk about aggressive means of reversing the imbalances.
We attempt to use monetary policy as the tool of reversing imbalances, but since we are dependant of foreign oil and chep foreign labor, that has been a counter productive exercise, widen deficts rather than shrinking them.
And the fools that will consider no other tool, speak of QE3 is in the bag. For what? To again widen our trade deficits? To allow the debt to get larger so that when it collapses, the total amount of money that has to disappear is even larger? The trust in money is even less after the collapse? The depression that follows the collapse is longer and deeper?
How does QE3 or stimulus or anything else being talked about in Washington or on Wall Street reverse our trade imbalances, both domestic and international?
We must reverse existing trade imbalances, or debt collapse and depression is inevitable.
“History has 100s of examples of economies attempting to maintain trade imbalances through constant debt generation, and ALL show that unless the imbalances reverse so the debt can be repaid, the debt will be written off as uncollectable, the money will go away as uncollectable, people will lose trust in money, and a depression will result.”
“… the debt will be written off as uncollectable, the money will go away as uncollectable…”
As in POOOOf.
Somebody - rather a whole bunch of somebodys - who thought they were going to get the money they were owed are in for a very disappointing - and very disasterous - surprise.
Romney said, “Corporations are people,* my friends.” I didn’t like his tone. The Dems had a political ad up on the web within hours. Romney’s potential Macaca moment.
———-
*Romney MAY have been trying to convey that there are worker bees in corporations, and that low taxes on corps would be passed on to the worker bees…. but I doubt it. Even if that’s what he meant, it’s still a lie. Everybody has seen the execs take the money and the workers bees get the shaft.
My dad was an exec. He often said that “companies are just groups of people.”
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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-08-12 08:47:39
My dad was an exec. He often said that “companies are just groups of people.”
My dad was an exec too. He often said “I can’t find my cigarettes”.
Comment by polly
2011-08-12 09:29:43
Companies are a lot more than just groups of people. They are also concentrations of wealth and power. This is probably much more true now than it was when your father made his statement.
Comment by oxide
2011-08-12 10:29:11
Companies are groups of people where some people are a LOT more equal than others. Try again, Skye.
Comment by MrBubble
2011-08-12 12:23:37
Aren’t public companies groups of people who are bound by law to make as much money for another group of people, a group of people who don’t much care for the members of the first group or how the money is made?
“Everybody’s selling? Then buy! Everybody’s buying? Then sell!”
Comment by oxide
2011-08-12 15:45:04
Yes, Mr. Bubble. Which means that the top half of the company could make its profit by eating the bottom half and the stockholders wouldn’t care.
trying to convey that there are worker bees in corporation$, and that low taxes on corp$ would be passed on to the worker bees
(Eyes know, x1 example is not a trend, eye’ll look-see iffin’ eyes can po$$ibly find a few more$ to support the obviou$):
The folk$ who really Made-off are the no-hold$-barred wealthie$ who are still “Free to move about their favorite countries!” (Tankxs SouthWest!)
The MegaInc.$,…they’re $uffering $o! Hurry! reduce/eliminate their taxe$, Hurry,… Cinder$ & Ashe$…Agonie$ & Pain$, help ‘em.
“Of the roughly $90 billion of profit$ repatriated in 2004, Pfizer was by far the biggest beneficiary, $aving $11 billion in taxes, Johnston recalls. “They started destroying jobs the day they brought it back” and have cut 40,000 U.S. jobs in the ensuing years.”
Romney said, “Corporations are people,* my friends.” I didn’t like his tone. The Dems had a political ad up on the web within hours. Romney’s potential Macaca moment.
That use of “my friends” really galls me. Mitt’s not my friend. Trust me on that.
There is an amazing talent vacuum in national politics at the moment. Perhaps no rational person would want to take over driving this trainwreck. Buckle up!
That certainly explains some of the candidates we’re seeing….
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Comment by Housing Wizard
2011-08-12 18:54:04
Big Corporations are entities that can bribe politicians ,they can price fix ,they can create a monopoly ,they can crush the small guy ,and they are entities that can blackmail because they are to Big to
fail . Corporations are detached from the human factor and they are well skilled at playing the Government for pawns to improve their bottom line because they provide jobs . They can transfer Society pains to the
government while they make off with the extra profit .
Wall street and the banks can create ponzi schemes and debt and bubbles and fake pricing and all that jazz .
The incentive of profit is good up to the point that it gets destructive .
i heard a Africian on TV say one time that he didn’t want a hand out from Americans but he wanted a job to be self sustaining ,but his Country was so corrupt that money ended up going to the powerful .
Only because we are still able to use increasing government debt to support the existing debt.
Force governemtn to cut spending and raise taxes, the debt returns to full collapse mode.
Jump 6 months from now. What? We just cut grandma’s Medicare and social Security and took away my mortgage interest deduction, but we’re going to give Fannie and Freddie another $20B to cover losses? Oh, I don’t THINK SO!
Debt support is withdrawn, money starts going away… It won’t be stagflation.
So, some moron was talking about what a suck president Obama is because he is extending unemployment benefits thinking that will grow the economy.
Wrong, Obama knows that UE doesn’t grow the economy, it simply prevents the negative feedback loop of falling wages resulting in less spending, cutting revenue to businesses, causing falling wages.
I KNOW I heard stories of Reagan extending UE benefits. Bush Sr and Bush Jr did as well under their own recessions. Remember, using debt to lift economic activity from the demand constrained side of the trade to the supply side constrained side of the trade is the KEY to supply-side economics. It is why it is CALLED supply-side economics.
(Yes, I realize it won’t help this time becuase we are heading for a solvancy depression, not a liquidity recession.)
Anyway, I went looking for old news stories about Reagan extending UE benefits. Instead, what I found is a story comparing Reagan to Obama. Both came in at near identicle voter approval rates, then saw those voter approval ratings slide as recessions lingered… of course, Reagan had the option of turning on the previously constrained flow of private sector debt. Obama does not have that option since we have already been growing debt at 3x the sustainable rate for the last 30 years.
Anyway, the story had this quote,
“There is no similarity between what Reagan did to help the ailing economy in the early 1980s versus what Obama did between 2008 and 2010. Reagan cut taxes. Obama spent nearly a trillion dollars to kick start the economy.”
HELLO!!!! The stimulus was 40% tax cuts and credits.
AND,
In Reagan’s first term he increased the national debt from $930B to $1.663T. That is a 79% increase in the national debt.
When Obama took office $10.7T in national debt. If we grow at $1.7T per year for 4 years, that is $6.8T, or 64% increase in the national debt.
Outlays in 1980 budget was $591B. 1984 was $851B. An increase of 44%.
Outlays in 2008 were $2.98T. Projected for 2012 are $3.73T. An increase of 25%.
Obama and Reagan are different on cutting taxes and increasing spending… HOW?
Oh, right. While both are using debt in an attempt to lift economic activity from the demand-side to the supply-side, Reagan was more successful because when he came into office, the 3 presidents before him had controlled debt growth and shrank it as % of GDP, while Obama is strapped with the previous 30 years of private secotr growth having increased at 3x the sustainable rate.
Reagan had the inflation and population adjusted equivilant of about $8T in private sector debt, while Obama have $24T in private secotr debt.
Reagan had the legacy of Ike, high taxes and low government spending. While Obama has the legacy of Reagan’s low taxes and high spending.
Rather than attacking Obama, perhaps it is time we attack supply-side economics and its use of debt to replace falling wages to support trade imbalances. Perhaps it is time to attack the trade imbalances.
Why do liberals always try to compare Reagan to obummer?
Obama is a complete leftist failure. He is going to lose in a landslide in 2012.
Hope and change…
Yes we can…
Four more years…
GITMO still open for business…
US Troops still in Iraq…
Almost doubled the US troops in Afghanistan…
New war in Libya…
Extended the patriot act…
Tripled the insane Bush deficits in just 2 years…
Hmmm - where did all the protestors GO? WHERE?
I am not a liberal. I changed my voter registration from independant to republican 3 years ago so that I could vote for Ron Paul.
Yes, Obama is a failure, but I do not beleive McCain would be better. Those were my only 2 choices after McCain beat Ron Paul for the nomination.
And, why compare Reagan to Obama? Oh, I don’t know? Maybe because the show fits?
Maybe because Obama’s use of debt to attempt to lift the economy above the demand side of the trade IS REAGONOMICS!
Obama is a failure, I give you that.
Look upon the end results of Reagan’s supply-side ecnomics, and despair. Private sector debt has grown at 3x the sustainable rate… not since Obama, since Reagan. Debt to GDP has exploded, not since Omaba, since Reagan.
The 2nd derivative change occured under Reagan. It has just taken 30 years to build the house-of-cards into what it was when Obama was elected.
Yes, Obama is a failure, but I do not beleive McCain would be better.
With McCain:
No obamacare
No trillion dollar stimulus package
No war in Libya
Hey - it is a start…
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Comment by Darrell_in_PHX
2011-08-12 07:59:04
Perhaps no Obama care.
No stimulus. What?
Bush did a stimulus. McCain was talking about stimulating the economy during the campaign. But, for the sake of argument you are correct.
We lost 750K jobs the month before Obama took office and the trend was increasing. That immediatly reversed when the stimulus passed. As stimulus ended, weak job economy returned.
Would we really have been better had we been in depression 2 years ago instead of 2 years from now?
No war in Lybia? McCain was a huge proponent of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. He was a big proponent of the surge. I see no reason to beleive he would not have dropped some pain on Lybia had the rebels riden up, then begun losing the fight.
Again, you aren’t convincing me McCain understands that used of debt to ignore trade imbalances is the road to doom. You aren’t convinging me McCain would have aggressily attacked the trade imbalances, both internation and domestic, and reversed them so that people with debt have a chance of getting the money they need to repay thier debts.
You are not convincing me he would have been any better of a president.
It is WAGE to DEBT ratio stupid. You may be able to improve wages by making conditions better for corproate profits, but only through increased access to debt, which destorys the wage to debt ratio and is the road to economic collapse.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-08-12 08:04:05
Mc$ame = Peace bro!
“Get out there sacrifice and protect America’$ Interest’$!” (and my wife$ x7 really really, nice homes.)
No war in Libya
Bomb! Bomb! Bomb! Iran!
Comment by 2banana
2011-08-12 08:41:23
Bush did a stimulus. McCain was talking about stimulating the economy during the campaign. But, for the sake of argument you are correct.
Obama’s 1 Trillion dollar stimulus passed without 1 Republican vote…
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-08-12 09:28:02
And the very same bill would have had all kinds of Republican votes, if McCain was elected.
Actually, anyone who doesn’t drink the Republican tea IS a Socialist.
The Republicans ran out of Commie boogie-men, and have found the “Socialist” tag to be much more useful. “Socialist” by their definition being anyone who disagrees with them.
I used to be a Republican., until the Republican Party started looking and behaving like the Taliban.
Maybe that’s why we’re still in the ’stans………they are trying to kill off their competition.
2banana pray tell me which shining GOP leader will replace Obama?
The real reason to extend UE benefits is to ensure he doesn’t face the wrath of the unemployed during the election. There are a lot that fit that category.
Wake me up if Ron Paul reaches the final four of the playoffs.
The economy is sick.
Greenspan gave it junk food and cheap beer.
Bernanke gave it vitamins, but didn’t stop the cheap beer.
Now he’s thinking of giving it antibiotics (and cheap beer).
The Chinese might be brought in to operate on it.
And Ron Paul is prescribing a multiple organ transplant. Even if that is the right solution, it ain’t gonna happen.
Comment by oxide
2011-08-12 10:33:17
Ron Paul is going to throw Grandma into the street.
If metahor isn’t your strong point, try this one: Ron Paul is going to take Grandma out of the nursing home (no longer paid 2/3 by medicaid) and throw her onto your front doorstep. And she will need food and medication (no longer by paid by SS/Medicare). That is NOT metaphorical.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-08-12 10:48:00
lil Opie (non-Hawaiian) Muslim = Evil-doer destroying America!
“I never meet a politician who didn’t provide something of value for the American Citizen” Hwy50
(italics & Highlights are owned by Hwy50)
Ron Paul on Budget & Economy:
* Wall Street is dumping its trouble onto Main Street. (Sep 2008)
* Mortgage & Financial Institutions Trust: more of the same. (Sep 2008)
* Wasteful government spending backed by both parties. (Apr 2008)
* There’s payback for guns and butter. (Feb 2008)
* Repeal 16th Amendment and get rid of the income tax. (Feb 2008)
* Great nations and empires end for financial reasons. (Feb 2008)
* Live within our means and start paying down the deficit now. (Feb 2008)
* All bets are off if a cataclysmic dollar devaluation occurs. (Feb 2008)
* We owe foreigners $2.7 trillion and more printing won’t do. (Feb 2008)
* Stimulus package means more printing & devaluing the dollar. (Feb 2008)
* Economic Revitalization Plan: “Prescription for Prosperity”. (Feb 2008)
* We’re worse off than in 2000, due to Bush & Congress. (Jan 2008)
* The people, not government, are supposed to run the economy. (Jan 2008)
* Reagan was very sympathetic to the gold standard. (Jan 2008)
* Federal Reserve creates money and prints it out of thin air. (Jan 2008)
* Economic stimulus ok, but not via spending & printing money. (Jan 2008)
* Dollar crashing due to trillions spent on maintaining empire. (Jan 2008)
* Waving a flag the whole time on spending. (Jan 2008)
* Lower interest rates CAUSED housing bubble & can’t solve it. (Jan 2008)
* The longer the Fed delays recession, the worse the recession. (Jan 2008)
* Give up American empire; that reduces debt without sacrifice. (Dec 2007)
* We spend too much, tax too much, & print too much money. (Dec 2007)
* Restore GOP by returning to less gov’t & fiscal conservatism. (Dec 2007)
* Weak economy is source of resentment against immigrants. (Dec 2007)
* Maintain the value of the dollar, unlike Federal Reserve. (Oct 2007)
* Currency inflation counterfeits prosperity & destroys poor. (Oct 2007)
* Can’t legislate economic fairness; so make government small. (Sep 2007)
* Prioritize spending based on Constitution–and lower it too. (Sep 2007)
* Fiat money causes economic & political imbalances. (Jun 2007)
* Government out of regulating economy & out of our bedrooms. (Jan 2007)
* Oil prices rise in part because of the weak dollar. (Jan 2006)
* We can’t afford a trillion-dollar war in Iraq. (Jan 2006)
* Maintaining American empire diminishes dollar. (Jun 2004)
* We’ve come to accept debt, wealth confiscation, & big gov’t. (Dec 1987)
* Gold standard limits deficit spending. (Dec 1987)
* Friedman monetarist policy is better, but still inflationary. (Dec 1981)
* Depreciating currency is greatest threat to middle class. (Dec 1981)
* Gold standard avoids need for government promises. (Dec 1981)
* Gold standard means minimal inflation. (Dec 1981)
* Dollar as fiat currency only benefits politicians. (Dec 1981)
* Voted YES on terminating the Home Affordable mortgage Program. (Mar 2011)
* Voted NO on $192B additional anti-recession stimulus spending. (Jul 2009)
* Voted NO on modifying bankruptcy rules to avoid mortgage foreclosures. (Mar 2009)
* Voted NO on additional $825 billion for economic recovery package. (Jan 2009)
* Voted NO on monitoring TARP funds to ensure more mortgage relief. (Jan 2009)
* Voted NO on $15B bailout for GM and Chrysler. (Dec 2008)
* Voted NO on $60B stimulus package for jobs, infrastructure, & energy. (Sep 2008)
* Voted NO on defining “energy emergency” on federal gas prices. (Jun 2008)
* Voted YES on restricting bankruptcy rules. (Jan 2004)
* Allow $3 on 1040 form to pay off National Debt. (Sep 2000)
* Supports Balanced Budget Amendment & on-budget accounting. (Dec 2000)
* Maintain public information about M3 money supply. (Mar 2006)
* Member of House Banking Committee. (Mar 2011)
* Raise small business depreciation to $125,000. (Jul 2009)
* Liberty Candidate: End the Federal Reserve. (Sep 2010)
Ron Paul on Civil Rights:
Protect all voluntary associations; don’t define marriage. (Oct 2007)
Voted NO on Constitutionally defining marriage as one-man-one-woman. (Jul 2006)
Voted NO on making the PATRIOT Act permanent. (Dec 2005)
Voted NO on Constitutional Amendment banning same-sex marriage. (Sep 2004)
Voted NO on constitutional amendment prohibiting flag desecration. (Jun 2003)
Ron Paul on Crime:
# Opposes death penalty at state and federal level. (Jan 2008)
# Changed opinion to anti-death penalty due to many mistakes. (Sep 2007)
Voted YES on funding for alternative sentencing instead of more prisons. (Jun 2000)
Voted NO on more prosecution and sentencing for juvenile crime. (Jun 1999)
Ron Paul on Drugs:
We don’t need laws to tell us to not use heroin. (May 2011)
War on drugs is out of control; revert control to states. (Dec 2007)
Repeal most federal drug laws; blacks are treated unfairly. (Sep 2007)
Inner-city minorities are punished unfairly in war on drugs. (Sep 2007)
Drug War fosters violence at home & breeds resentment abroad. (Oct 2001)
Societal inconsistency on alcohol contributes to drug use. (Dec 1987)
Distribute sterile syringes to reduce AIDS and hepatitis. (Jan 2009)
Sponsored bill letting states legalize industrial hemp. (Apr 2009)
$500B on War on Drugs since 1970s has been a total failure. (Sep 2007) Legalize industrial hemp. (Jan 2007)
War on Drugs has abused Bill of Rights . (Dec 2000)
Legalize medical marijuana. (Jul 2001)
Ron Paul on Foreign Policy:
We spend $1 trillion a year overseas; it’s needed at home. (Sep 2008)
We invested $70B in Mubarak; stop spending on puppets. (Feb 2011)
Can’t spread our goodness through the barrel of a gun. (Feb 2008) We tax people to blow up bridges overseas then rebuild them. (Jan 2008)
Cut off all foreign aid to Israel & to Arabs. (Dec 2007)
Stop interfering with Latin America; talk & trade instead. (Dec 2007)
Empires usually end by spending too much to maintain empire. (Dec 2007) Stronger national defense by changing our foreign policy. (Nov 2007) Right to spread our values, but wrong to spread by force. (Aug 2007) Interventionism perpetuated by politician’s false patriotism. (Jun 2007)
No foreign aid; no treaties that commit US to future wars. (Jun 2007) Our foreign policy is designed to protect our oil interests. (Jun 2007)
Non-intervention is traditional American & Republican policy. (May 2007)
Avoid double standard–follow international law. (Jun 2006)
No nation-building; no world policeman; no pre-emptive war. (Jan 2006) Ban foreign aid to oil-producers who restrict production. (May 2001)
Where did all the protesters go? They were blacklisted from being on TV. Jon Stewart and Steven Colbert got and estimated 240,000 people on the Mall for their rally. I agree with that estimate because I was there.
Meanwhile, plenty of *ahem* liberal websites have dug up and posted wide camera angle shots of any Tea Party rally, including for Sister Sarah. Let’s just say, I’ve seen more people in line for Space Mountain.
The best was when they used footage of a crowd from another season to make their rally look bigger. I think it was FOX and Stewart caught them at it, in one slide the trees are green then brown leaves in the view of the crowd.
I don’t understand this Obama “socialist” of “leftist” label. It’s like the people saying such have no idea what the words mean. What I don’t like about Obama is that he is a corporatist meaning he advocates even more corporate control, monopolies and big business’s domination over smaller businesses.
For example, the definition of socialism: noun: “a theory or system of social organization that advocates the vesting of the ownership and control of the means of production and distribution, of capital, land, etc., in the community as a whole.”
Now where has Obama “vested the ownership and control of the means of production and capital (money) in the “community as a whole”? In his biggest policy change of health reform? No. In fact Obamacare has done the opposite. It has vested even more control in the private health insurance companies by requiring the public to purchase a product from PRIVATE companies. This is not socialism. Was continuing Bush’s bailing out of private banks socialism? No. In fact bailing out private companies with public tax money can be considered the opposite of socialism. Here’s an article by conservative Forbes on the subject:
“Obama Loves The Rich”
The president is no socialist. If anything, he’s an oligarch.” Forbes
From the article: “Obama’s no socialist. An observer from Mars would think the man’s a downright oligarch. While the “angry white men” movement assembles into tea parties, the real anger should be felt by those on the left who have so far watched the president continue to follow an economic rescue plan that was outlined by George Bush and Hank Paulson. The only thing that Obama has socialized are the losses incurred by Wall Street’s major banks “
I’ve given up on discussing anything with the Tea-publicans. I’ve got more productive things to do.
They STILL believe he wasn’t born a US citizen. It’s like discussing politics/economics with someone from an alternative, parallel universe. Can’t even agree on the facts, so how is anyone going to have a meaningful discussion on policy?
The debt ceiling stuff just shows that things are too screwed up to fix. Republicans are utterly convinced that cutting government spending (except for defense) will fix all our ills. And they believe in cutting welfare to poor people before they cut the first dime of “corporate welfare”
I think they are dead wrong, but it has become apparant to me that until their program blows up in everyone’s face and their economic policy is totally discredited, they will stick with the plan.
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Comment by In Colorado
2011-08-12 10:39:24
I think they are dead wrong, but it has become apparant to me that until their program blows up in everyone’s face and their economic policy is totally discredited, they will stick with the plan.
They’ll just blame it on Obama and all the ditto heads will agree.
Even if the were in charge and slashed welfare we’d still have a trillion+ deficit. Of course then President Bachmann will tell us that “deficits don’t matter” whike we invade yet another country.
I saw a recruitment ad for the Navy, showing proud swabbies doing humanitarian deeds around the globe.
The tagline was something like “The Navy: A force for good around the world”
I’m sure that the citizens of other countries don’t quite see it that way.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-08-12 12:27:33
I’ve given up on discussing anything with the Tea-publicans. ……It’s like discussing politics/economics with someone from an alternative, parallel universe.
No, no, no….. Don’t stop discussing politics with the Tea Party spaceballs. You just have to be tricky and confuse them into thinking differently.
For example if they are ragging on Obama about being a “socialist” you say something like, “I know dude, he’s the worst kind of “socialist”….he takes our hard earned tax dollars and bales out the corporations and banks just like neocon Bush did…he privatizes the profits and “SOCIALIZES” the losses, its crazy!”.. Then they’ll scratch their heads and mumble something and then you hit them with something like. “And we need to get big money out of the campaigns. The corporations and UNIONS can now give as much money as they want to campaigns!” (stress unions while you are including corporations in the argument and after they agree on the evil union thing you add in the corporation angle again. (They’ll get all flabbergasted and mumble something inane again but you got them thinking)
If they’re on Medicare say something like. “And what’s up with Obamacare? Why couldn’t we all be able to buy into Medicare to help bring down the costs for the elderly” (by supporting the “elderly” they’ll listen because it’s their cheese.)
Then bring in the patriot angle of the troops. Say “And why couldn’t we ALL be able to buy into the VA system that heals our heroes? With more of us buying into the system it would bring costs down and give our troops even better care than the fine public/military healthcare they get now” (This will really stump them so at this point you go on to talk about football or something because that was enough for one day)
They’ll still hate Obama but for the first time they’ll be thinking about other things that they hadn’t before.
That’s a strong political point you’re making there. I’m sure you are going to win over a lot of converts with school-yard name calling.
This is what I don’t get about positions like yours. It isn’t effective. Anymore than starting a discussion out by calling the other side “union thugs” or “towel heads.” Nothing constructive will follow such a position. Then you probably wonder why no one will agree with you, or if they do, there aren’t enough of you to actually change anything.
Like it or not, our political system has many factions. Some you may not agree with and some that won’t agree with you. But we’ve got a lot of problems in this country, and we better start figuring out how we can agree on some basics and move forward. Being an ideologue may bring you some sort of satisfaction, but ultimately it’s a dead end, unless you are willing to force everyone to do what you want. And good luck with that.
IMO, everybody has some point of view worth considering. If we do that, debate the relative merits of each and, maybe even through (gasp) compromise, vote and move to the next issue, we can get somewhere.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-08-12 13:55:08
If we do that, debate the relative merits of each and, maybe even through (gasp) compromise,
Who requires documented signatures on a “Our-Party-Policy-Pledge” written in “we’ll-come-after-ya” blood oath ink? :-/
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-08-13 12:01:19
Then you probably wonder why no one will agree with you, or if they do, there aren’t enough of you to actually change anything.
I stand by “spaceballs” and most Americans agree with me. The Tea Party is laughed at, ridiculed and enjoy only about 31% of Americans support and respect according to many latest polls.
Being an ideologue may bring you some sort of satisfaction, but ultimately it’s a dead end, unless you are willing to force everyone to do what you want.
I’m not forcing anyone. I just gave a good plan on how to deal with the Tea Party spaceballs.
“What I do about slavery, and the colored race, healthcare I do because I believe it helps to save the Union American Citizen lives; and what I forbear, I forbear because I do not believe it would help to save the Union American Citizen lives. I shall do less whenever I shall believe what I am doing hurts the cause, and I shall do more whenever I shall believe doing more will help the cause. I shall try to correct errors when shown to be errors; and I shall adopt new views so fast as they shall appear to be true views.
I have here stated my purpose according to my view of official duty; and I intend no modification of my oft-expressed personal wish that all men every where could be free of [non-“TruePurity™”] diseases.
You win. I only figured it out in about ‘98 watching the tech bubble inflate from the inside as a computer programmer, while my truck driver friend took a 2nd mortgage on his home to play the IPO market even though he didn’t know the difference between a capitalized expense and an operating expense, the difference between P/E and market cap.
One difficulty in comparing the 2008 deficit with the 2012 deficit is how TARP was calculated. Even though it was extended as a loan it was counted as spending. When it was paid back with interest it lower the deficit in following years so Obama deficits are higher than they actually numbers. Also you pick and choose when you want percentages. Reagan added $700 billion dollars in debt his first term when he was both fighting a severe recession and the cold war, which he won which allowed Clinton to cut the defense budget during his administration without risking the nation. Obama adding 6.8 trillion to that debt even when adjusted for inflation is horrible, it is close to 10 times Reagan’s number nominally. Reagan’s energy policies also lead to sharply lower energy prices. Gasoline today is still twice what it was when Obama took office and if you look at Brent the true measure of price still well over $100. Also, while Reagan inherited high interest rates which drive up the costs of financing a debt, Obama inherited record low interest rates. If he had to finance at higher rates we might have a deficit a trillion a year more.Reagan policies lead to GDP growth coming out of the recession 3X what we are seeing out of Obama sorry while it is true Reagan had the advantage of low consumer debt, Obama should have adjusted his policies based on that reality and not overburden the county with the uncertainty that his health care program, EPA, NLRB etc have caused and done everything to promote private sector growth. He is a failed president like Jimmy Carter because he is like Jimmy Carter.
My worry is, “To what degree are banks ‘paying back’ tarp funds simply with money borrowed from the Fed?” To the extant that’s the case, in a real way we’re still collectively on the hook for it.
I certainly agree with your comment. The banks are getting an unfairly low interest rate at the expense of savers it is more crony capitalism instead of the real thing which works quite well when it is allowed to function.
Unfortunately, as the debt expands how does a government allow interest rates return to market rates that allow for the efficient allocation of capital? Reagan accepted the need for higher rates and that both slowed his recovery and increased his deficits but we had ultimately had a stronger recovery and lower interest rate which indeed allow consumers to take on more debt. However, only beginning in the Clinton Administration and carrying over in Bush II, did we have the federal reserve adopt policies which artificially depressed interest rates which set us up for this fall. Not allowing small recessions to occur is like not allowing forest fires to occur. Instead of having a fire that just clears out the debris, you have a crown fire which destroys the forest.
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Comment by measton
2011-08-12 16:32:26
Really
DAN SAYS “” Reagan accepted the need for higher rates and that both slowed his recovery and increased his deficits “”
Reagan didn’t control interest rates, unless you believe the FED is not independent of the president.
DAN SAYS “”However, only beginning in the Clinton Administration and carrying over in Bush II, did we have the federal reserve adopt policies which artificially depressed interest rates ?????
1. Medicare prescription drug plan approved under GW debt accrued onto Obama
2. War spending - We seem to be withdrawing at a snails pace but if the war had never been started.
3. Deregulation and collapsing bubble destroyed tx revenue for Obama. The spending was already agreed upon but the tax revenue collapsed. Also spending on unemployment increased dramatically.
Reagan added $700 billion dollars in debt his first term when he was both fighting a severe recession and the cold war
Are you saying Reagan was a Keynsian??
Reagans energy policies kept oil prices low.
This is laughable, take a good look at how much oil the US produces and how much it changed under Reagan
1981 we produced 8,572,000 per day, in 1989 7,613,000 and by 1990 it was 7,355,000 per eia site.
You say , Obama should have adjusted his policies based on that reality and not overburden the county with the uncertainty that his health care program, EPA, NLRB etc have caused and done everything to promote private sector growth
Tell us what he could have done
You want him to cut spending which would kill consumption.
If you are true republican Free Trade is your answer which of course has of course devistated manufacturing.
More tax cuts to the elite - We can all see what that has done for demand. They have accrued an ever larger slice of the economic pie and that has crushed demand. The housing bubble was designed to hide that now we see reality.
Here’s another thing the EPA and NRLB existed before Obama. The NRLB since 1934. The health care program hasn’t even started.
PS inflation adjusted debt would make Reagans debt look worse not better. I’m not sure what you are talking about there.
“A majority of the Obama “tax cuts” were “refundable” income tax credits, which involve sending a government check to people who do not even pay income taxes, economically indistinguishable from increased government spending.”
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - Sales at U.S. retailers rose 0.5% in July as consumers spent more money on autos, gas, clothing and electronics, according to Commerce Department data. Excluding the volatile auto segment, sales also rose 0.5%. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch expected an overall increase of 0.7% on a seasonally adjusted basis, or 0.3% excluding autos. Sales for June and May, meanwhile, were also revised higher. Over the past three months, retail sales have climbed 8.2% compared to the same period one year ago. Gas sales increased 1.6%, electronics and appliances 1.4%, autos 0.5% and clothing 0.5%. Excluding gas, total retail sales rose 0.3%. Sales fell at department stores, bars and restaurants, leisure and hobby stores and building-materials suppliers. For June, retail sales were revised up to a 0.3% increase from 0.1% originally.
I once had a Hyundai Excel. Crappy car, but I got it for a song ($6000), which is what I needed at the time. Drove it 4 years and traded it in for $2K.
These days a Hyundai Accent will set you back about 15K. Sure, the Accent is a better car than the Excel ever was, but it’s almost 3X the price I paid (In 1992).
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Comment by oxide
2011-08-12 10:37:04
I drove an $15K Accent in Florida and Texas. It felt like a tin can. A friend let me drive his new $20K Corolla. It felt like a corporate jet.
Gov’t pays for empty flights to rural airports
Associated Press
On some days, the pilots with Great Lakes Airlines fire up a twin-engine Beechcraft 1900 at the Ely, Nev., airport and depart for Las Vegas without a single passenger on board. And the federal government pays them to do it.
Federal statistics reviewed by The Associated Press show that in 2010, just 227 passengers flew out of Ely while the airline got $1.8 million in subsidies. The travelers paid $70 to $90 for a one-way ticket. The cost to taxpayers for each ticket: $4,107.
Ely is one of 153 rural communities where airlines get subsidies through the $200 million Essential Air Service program, and one of 13 that critics say should be eliminated from it. Some call the spending a boondoggle, but others see it as a critical financial lifeline to ensure economic stability in rural areas.
Steve Smith, executive director of the Jackson, Tenn., airport authority, also has seen empty or near empty flights take off, since the airlines get paid per flight, not per passenger. The subsidy amounted to $244 for each of the 2,514 people who flew out of Smith’s airport last year, though few if any passengers knew that.
“They fly the empty plane so they can still get the money,” Smith said.
The fight over the subsidies was a key sticking point that led to the recent political standoff in Washington that temporarily shut down the Federal Aviation Administration, putting thousands out of work for nearly two weeks. There were other disputes as well, such as a GOP proposal that would make it more difficult for airline workers to unionize.
Republicans got the EAS cuts they were looking for in last week’s agreement - but with a major caveat. Subsidies to Ely, Jackson and 11 other communities are set to end, but Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood has the authority to continue them if he decides it’s necessary.
Kind of makes one wonder if your assumptions are rational.
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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-08-12 08:34:24
Rational + Assumptions?
Who was it that stated the USA Gov’t would be greeted as “Conquering Hero’s” in Afghanistan/Iraq?
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-08-12 10:06:29
EAS is one of those programs that seemed like a good idea, but need to go away. Like government subsidies to Amtrak running long distance trains in Flyover states. Or building new ATC towers out in BFE, when most of the ATC funding needs to be spent fixing bottlenecks in the Northeast Corridor.
The reality is that nothing gets passed, unless the (usually Republican) flyover state reps get their pet projects funded.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-08-08 10:03:33 Getting more than they give to the federal gov is a red state tradition. It will indeed be poetic justice as the TeaKoch partiers cuts come home to roost.
Isn’t supply-side economics great? Lift economic activity from the ability of people to pay (demand side) by using debt to allow them to buy more so that every seller can find a buyer (supply-side).
Can’t be any downside to that, right?
Ignore that every attempt to do this in the past has lead to unsustainable debt growth, debt collapse, people losing faith in money, and depression. Certainly we’re smarter than every one else.
Hey, I’m a fairly liberal guy but these subsidies should have been eliminated a couple of decades ago, IMHO. Wasn’t getting rid of large amounts of government intervention in the market for air travel why we got rid of the CAB in the 70s? You know, during the Carter administration.
Over and over, it seems that the government has the burden of providing the unprofitable services to citizens. Rural flights, Medicare, Post Office, cheap food staples, and UI to people whom private sector deems unworthy. Meanwhile, private sector cherry picks only profitable pursuits.
That said, there are better ways to “ensure economic stability.” If you’re going to give them money anyway, build a wind turbine or grow some veggies or something. Or a bus service.
The commodity trade is loopy thanks to all that QE.
Anyone catch the contradicting stories on corn prices yesterday? Within hours Yahoo Finance ran stories that first said corn prices would be easing and later that they’d be rising due to the unprecendented floods and droughts this year.
These guys don’t know which way is up anymore. They’re hanging on every analyst word as if it were gospel.
Yeah there’s drought in Texas and Oklahoma. But guess what? They don’t grow a huge amount of corn out there. Why? Because droughts in Texas and Oklahoma aren’t anything new.
If anything is going to affect the corn crop, it will be the past 2-3 weeks of 100 degree plus temps. But it’s cooled off in the past few days. In fact, it’s currently raining.
In a word GB Libya. If you look at the world supply you see declining stocks of crude. Oil dropped when the market dropped because people had margin calls to make and the sold everything. Crude is in short supply. For those who say Hillary would have done better remember the decision to get involve in Libya was largely driven by her. This has lead to probably a $20 increase in the price of oil that killed any recovery.
Of course, if it wasn’t for Iraqi production we would be an additional $20 a barrel higher. Anyone want to thank W for that? I didn’t think so, I don’t want to either since his stupid belief he could bring democracy to that region cost us hundreds of billions and thousands of lives and on a personnel note caused by nephew to be wounded in the war. But the removal of Saddam was good, he was an evil cruel dictator that slaughtered his people, worked against U.S. interests including funding terrorists and we all are benefiting from lower oil prices due to his removal. We are probably saving $150 billion a year. So it meets my criteria of being in the national interest. However,his decision not to work with tribal leaders because they were not democratic forces prolonged our involvement until we decided to work with them during the surge.
In the middle east there are only two power centers, tribal leaders and Islamic leaders, We can work with tribal leaders because they care more about their local power than spreading Islam through out the world. This same breakdown is certainly true in Libya where the Eastern part of the country tribal leaders and the nut case Islamists support the rebels and the West tribal leaders and the last of the Pan-Arabists support nut case leader (whose sons die and come back to life on a regular basis). Just why are supporting the rebels again?
So you are saying that if someone is a evil cruel dictator, who works against US interests, and increases commodity prices, taking them out is in the US interest?
By that criteria, we should be bombing the crap out of Goldman Sachs.
Hell, if “Dictatorship” and “National Interest” is the sole criteria, why are not at war with:
-China
-Venezuela
-Every country in Africa
-Russia
-Mexico
Actually, we are at war with them. Economic War. And they are winning.
Cause enough social problems in the USA, and pretty soon, nobody is going to give a crap what happens to Taiwan, or the Spratleys.
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2011-08-12 12:23:40
I said it was in the national interest, the next question is cost benefit analysis, I don’t think a nuclear war meets that test, Russia and China are out. The African countries aren’t worth the trouble. I want us to deploy troops on the border to prevent immigration but I don’t think that requires war with Mexico. Venezuela is interesting. The election of Chavez has lead to large decrease in oil production when everyone thought before him that oil production would double. So there is an economic reason to remove Chavez. He has turned into a dictator and also has supported the rebels in Columbia and is cooperating with Iran and probably Hezbollah. When Obama is out of office, I don’t think he should sleep in the same place two nights in a row. Just saying.
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-08-12 13:15:15
“I don’t think a nuclear war meets that test. Russia and China are out”
So, they would be “in” if they didn’t have nukes?
Maybe we should be helping Iran, etc. in getting nukes then. Or understand why they want them.
For decades, our unofficial policy was against “getting bogged down in a land war in Asia”. For good reasons.
As far as “National Interest”…….our government has been getting “National Interest” confused with “Multi-National Corporation Interest” way too many times.
Has it been in our “National Interest” to provide the Germans, French, Koreans, Nationalist Chinese and Japanese a free defensive umbrella, so they can concentrate on commercial products for export, while making US citizens and companies out of work/out of business?
Spending a trillion plus dollars/6000 lives in Iraq, and all we get in return is a (optimistic, IMO) $20 discount in the price of oil? I’ll bet we could have gone a long way into building a liquid-hydrogen transportation infrastructure with a trillion bucks.
Comment by In Colorado
2011-08-12 14:00:39
FWIW, Mexico right now is more democratic than we are. The have 3 major political parties: PAN, PRD and the PRI.
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-08-12 14:24:28
FWIW, Mexico right now is more democratic than we are. The have 3 major political parties: PAN, PRD and the PRI.
And when there’s an election, the whole country gets into it. Sort of like how we do when it’s March Madness.
Comment by measton
2011-08-12 21:29:58
Did America quit when the German’s bombed Pearl Harbor??
Obama: Something is wrong with country’s politics
By DARLENE SUPERVILLE Associated Press
Even when he’s attempting to “talk tough” President Obama speaks in generalities, as he did yesterday in Holland, MI.
“You’ve got to tell them you’ve had enough of the theatrics, you’ve had enough of the politics, stop sending out press releases. Start passing some bills that we all know will help the economy right now. That’s what they need to do. They’ve got to hear from you.”
This was also on his Teleprompter:
“We’re going to have to get engaged and we’re going to have to speak out. We’re going to have to register the fact that we expect more and we expect better.” “Tough Talk”
~ Whoever is scripting Mr. Obama’s prepared remarks is letting him down. Even Ronald Reagan could not have got far with a such a succession of bland phrases rolling up his Teleprompter screen.
What people want to hear is specific suggestions for defusing the economic crisis. Bellyaching about Republicans failing to cooperate by rubber-stamping his suggestions comes nowhere near solving anything.
A call to sacrifice is what’s needed. Not just the rich and mega-corporations, but all of the people in every city and hamlet. We can’t run wars and support runaway entitlement programs without giving up something. Sending the bill ahead to future generations is a failing scheme.
When has Mr. Obama ever told the American people they’re going to have to get along on considerably less for as long as it takes to whittle the vast debt load down to reasonable levels?
It’s clearly a failed Presidency. These problems weren’t supposed to happen to Him. He won’t get over that. His pictures portray a man increasingly pissed off at what is being done to him.
I’m not pleased about it. Maybe there is a chance he’ll have his JFK lightbulb go on.
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Comment by palmetto
2011-08-12 08:15:36
Doubt it. JFK’s lights went out when his lightbulb went on. Obama is about Obama, and he wants to leave office adored with all his body parts intact.
Comment by AV0CAD0
2011-08-12 10:36:57
Thomas Jefferson could not fix this mess, stop blaming Obama for 30 years of irresponsible spending.
Comment by Peter South
2011-08-12 11:27:30
So instead of all these sacrifices (since the money was spent due to fraud) maybe we can just get rid of all the wars and cancel the debt that was due to fraud.
I don’t see why I should sacrifice for this. Screw that
Comment by DB_in_AZ
2011-08-13 12:12:27
Thomas Jefferson could not fix this mess, stop blaming Obama for 30 years of irresponsible spending.
First of all, if we had Thomas Jefferson around, we would not be in this mess. And second of all, he most assuredly would be able to fix it, people from that day and age were willing to “eat their peas” and didn’t play kick the can with the economy.
It seems that there is a porous “victim” boundary between the aisle, since following politics like watching an Italian soccer game with all of the victim histrionics.
We shouldn’t think too small and biased. “Failed Presidency”? In a vacuum?
What we have here ladies and gentlemen is 30 years of increasingly failing government. Why is it failing? Because it has been captured by big money. This is the grand issue. To think one president is going to overcome that is not intellectually honest.
And someday when one of us is 63 years old and sick with cancer we will be thanking that “failed Presidency” that our health insurance company cannot cancel our policy because we were dumb enough to get sick.
And someday when one of us [our dear children] is 63 years old and sick with cancer we will be thanking that “failed Presidency non-Hawaiian Muslim lil’ Opie” that our their [Evil National] health insurance company cannot cancel our their policy because we they were dumb [non-“TruePurity™”] enough to get sick.
But proving Obama is SUCK is not proving McCain would have been better.
McCain’s, “the manufacturing jobs are gone forever, nothing we can do about that. We need to focus on the brain jobs.” policy is ignorant beyond immigantion. China is graduating more engineers than the rest of the world combined. We send electroic x-rays to India to be read. China has told my company, IBM, we’d love to buy more of your products, but only if you increase the ratio of Chinese programmers to non-Chinese. Everytime an American leaves my group, we hire 2 people in China.
How would he have been any better than Obama.
As suck as I think Obama is, I knew he was going to suck when I voted for him, because I was not convinced McCain would be any better at understanding our situation, how we got here, or leading the country in a direction we need to go. Nothing I have seen or heard since has convinced me I’m wrong.
Everyone at street level in any kind of technology business understands this.
A century of R & D is being given away, or sold for pennies on the dollar, to the Chinese, for some vague promise of being allowed “access” to their market. And our dumbazz government and business leadership, who don’t seem to see any color other than green, are playing right along.
But as we’ve seen, the Chinese market never seems to develop for US made products.
Farmers thrash idea of commercial licenses
Driving proposal treats tractors like big rigs
By Rick Barrett of the Journal Sentinel
Tim Strobel has been driving a tractor for 20 years, so he’s a bit puzzled that federal officials are kicking around an idea that could ultimately force him - and anyone else operating farm machinery - to get a commercial driver’s license.
Yes, the same kind of license that interstate truckers must have to operate their rigs.
“I am not against some training, but this is going a little bit overboard,” said Strobel, a dairy farmer from Watertown.
The U.S. Department of Transportation has been collecting public comments on the notion, which the agency insists doesn’t yet merit being called a “proposal.”
But it’s far enough along that the Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation, state Agriculture Secretary Ben Brancel, and a bipartisan group of 21 U.S. senators, among others, are speaking out against it.
Farm Bureau officials say Transportation Department proposals aimed at reclassifying agricultural machinery as commercial motor vehicles could lead to a requirement that farmers get a commercial license to move equipment on roads between fields and to their local grain mills.
It’s “overreaching and unnecessary,” said Karen Gefvert, Wisconsin Farm Bureau director of governmental relations.
The additional public safety gained from increased federal regulation is unclear at best, but the additional costs for farmers would come at a time when they could least afford them, Brancel said in a letter to federal officials.
In one scenario, farmers hauling grain to local elevators would be treated as if they were engaged in interstate commerce because grain, in many cases, eventually leaves the state.
Logging mileage
Lumping farm machinery into the category of commercial vehicles also could result in farmers’ having to log their mileage, even for short trips, and it could require them to get a federal medical card showing they are fit to drive.
“It would be more paperwork, more expense for us,” Strobel said.
Twenty-one senators have asked the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration to reconsider the proposals.
“This is yet another federal government solution in search of a problem,” Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.) said in a news release.
“You know, this proposal is just plain nuts,” Sen. Max Baucus (D-Mont.) said in a video message last week after meeting with U.S. Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood.
Federal rules currently allow states to make exceptions to commercial driver’s license regulations for certain farm vehicle drivers.
“In a perfect world, farm vehicles would only operate on farms, while commercial trucks would operate on public roads,” Anne Ferro, administrator of the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration, said in a written statement emailed to the Journal Sentinel.
“The reality is that farm equipment not designed or intended for everyday use on public roads is often used for short trips at limited speeds. This creates a gray area for classification,” Ferro said. “At the same time, we realize that well-meaning regulations can be burdensome if the government isn’t thoughtful about how they’re put in place. Finding the right balance between the two can be challenging.”
A lot of folks bemoan the loss of the family farm, but a lot of this type regulation plays into the hands of big business. Because big business has the resources to navigate the labyrinth of regulations that individuals can not. Not to mention that big business can easily buy congressional representation.
This shows up with small business too. State and local procurement codes have become so Byzantine that small firms - including minority owned firms - simply don’t bother to respond to RFPs. Who gets the work? Well connected companies who can hire consultants just to handle the intracacies of the process.
The unintended consequences of a lot of these regulations needs to be considered.
Just because they want comments doesn’t mean that they are ANYWHERE CLOSE to issuing a reg.
Federal Regs don’t magically appear out of thin air. There’s always a “comments” period. Which is what lobbying organizations are good for, letting people know (on all sides of the issue) that there is a proposed reg, and to submit comments. Have enough comments with supporting data, and some regs never happen.
But the sore losers always whine about “overreaching regulation”, even when they’ve had the chance to comment, and the decision goes the other way.
We’ve heard the comments in the news article against the reg. sure would be nice to see some comments from the people who think it’s necessary, and why.
I’m guessing it’s because some farmers are abusing the crap out of the loophole.
If you go to a small rural town (like the one I have some relatives in) on a Friday night you will sometimes see a tractor parked outside the local beer joint because the driver lost their driving license to a DWI, but can still legally drive the tractor…
The CDL seems like a bad idea, but logging mileage? After all, since fuel for agricultural use is un-taxed at the federal level, if they’re driving on roads that are partially paid for by the Highway Trust Fund, it seems reasonable that they should pay their share of the expenses of those roads like the rest of us do.
U.S. Consumer Confidence Drops to Three-Decade Low Amid Economic Headwinds (Bloomberg)
Confidence among U.S. consumers plunged in August to the lowest level since May 1980, adding to concern that weak employment gains and volatility in the stock market will prompt households to retrench.
The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment slumped to 54.9 from 63.7 the prior month. The gauge was projected to decline to 62, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey.
The biggest one-week slump in stocks since 2008 and the threat of default on the nation’s debt may have exacerbated consumers’ concerns as unemployment hovers above 9 percent and companies are hesitant to hire. Rising pessimism poses a risk household spending will cool further, hindering a recovery that Federal Reserve policy makers said this week was already advancing “considerably slower” than projected.
“We’re really at the bottom of the barrel right now,” Lindsey Piegza, an economist at FTN Financial in New York, said before the report. “Americans are feeling an increasing level of frustration with their leaders in Washington. We’re also seeing a slew of weaker than expected economic reports.”
“Confidence among U.S. consumers plunged in August to the lowest level since May 1980, adding to concern that weak employment gains and volatility in the stock market will prompt households to retrench.”
I predict lower home sales and falling home prices. Who wants to invest in a money pit when incomes and investment returns are shaky?
French Economy Stalls With Decline in Consumer Spending as Exports Dwindle (Bloomberg)
The slowdown may jeopardize President Nicolas Sarkozy ’s target of 2 percent growth for 2011, a key component in the government’s plans to reduce its deficit. Photographer: Jock Fistick/Bloomberg
France’s economy unexpectedly stalled in the second quarter as consumer spending plunged just as investors spooked by Europe’s debt crisis turn their attention to the euro region’s second-largest economy.
Gross domestic product was unchanged from the first quarter, when it rose 0.9 percent, the most in four years, Paris-based statistics office Insee said today. Economists forecast a 0.3 percent gain, the median of 15 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey showed.
The slowdown may jeopardize President Nicolas Sarkozy’s target of 2 percent growth for 2011, a key component in the government’s plans to reduce its deficit. Concerns about debt and slow growth have caused credit default swaps on French government bonds to double in the past six weeks. Swaps approached a record high today.
“We will not have tremendous growth especially with these austerity programs,” Philippe d’Arvisenet, a global economist at BNP Paribas in Paris, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. Even so, austerity measures are “inescapable,” he said. Otherwise, “you have more turmoil in the markets.”
“Of course most sellers are willing to take an offer for less than they like, but don’t know where your experience comes from. I will settle Monday on a home priced in the $320,000 and on Wednesday, one priced in the mid $400,000. Both of these are great buys that would have sold for much more in a better market, but you are mistaken about what buyers can afford and what the market is bringing. This is the worst I have seen the market in the 27+ years I have been in the business. It wasn’t because homes were priced improperly, but because they gave loans to people who really couldn’t afford them. With no doc loans, people were not being truthful about their income nor debts and they purchased higher than they should have. Our government is still giving loans to some people at 100%, giving them down payment loans or subsidizing loan payments. We won’t recover until people are responsible for their own debt. Hopefully you find what you are looking for.”
——————————————————————————-
A Lying Realtor email response to a friend looking for a house.
“It wasn’t because homes were priced improperly, but because they gave loans to people who really couldn’t afford them.”
Yet another ignorant fool that understand that price is set by both a demand side and a supply side.
It doens’t matter that it took x resources and y man-hours to create something. If there are fewer people than can and will buy at the price, than there are people that have to sell, then the price is too high.
I’m actually inclined to look somewhat charitably on this statement. The seller is ALWAYS trying to get the highest price that they can. So it’s the buyer’s ability to borrow more that enabled bubble prices, not the listing price put on the house by the real estate agent.
“It wasn’t because homes were priced improperly, but because they gave loans to people who really couldn’t afford them. ”
What BS. The reason they gave loans to people who really couldn’t afford them was because the people who COULD afford them knew they were priced improperly and therefore didn’t buy.
You just KNOW that this re-al-TOR is stringing together the stock phrases into senseless paragraphs.
Here is the USD Burnham-Moores 2nd Quarter 2011 San Diego Real Estate Market Report. It includes some useful graphs and statistics. Take home points:
1. The market remains sluggish.
2. Regular (non-distress) single-family home sales show an average price around $500K, whether new or used.
3. REO and foreclosure single-family home sales average out at prices just south of $350K, while short-sales average out just north of $350K.
4. There is no way to compare the qualities of the homes described by these various averages.
5. Obviously if the homes were of comparable quality, buyers can save $150K on average by purchasing a home through the distressed sale channel, compared to buying in a non-distressed sale transaction.
Nouriel Roubini says in light of global economic fragility, now is “not the time to be in risky assets.”……such as stocks, bonds, futures, options, warrants, real-estate, gold, currencies, cash, commercial paper or Beanie Babies manufactured after 1994.
Flappin’ heads on CNBC right now…. It is all consumer confidence.
If everyone would just put on a happy face and convince suckers that everything is fine, then consumers would magically be able to spend again, businesses would grow again.. blah, blah, blah.
Hello!!! There are poeple all over this country that would LOVE to return to spending like it was 2006. But, they are tapped out, can’t borrow more, and are only spending as much as they are because they are living rent free for the last 2 years and counting as the lender drags their feet on the foreclosure because they can’t afford to book the loss.
It is like we have been living in the debt based, supply-side economy so long that EVERYONE has forgotten that peoples’ ability to spend is limited by their income.
ARG….
The cliff, the cliff….
Ignore the cliff, focus on how fast we’re heading toward it!
Hercules Fancy Grocery Closing After Decades in West Village
August 12, 2011 | By Andrea Swalec, DNAinfo
WEST VILLAGE,NY — Imported beer and a cat named Sneaky are leaving the corner of Morton Street and Seventh Avenue.
After 14 years at 27 1/2 Morton St. and more than 30 years in the West Village, Hercules Fancy Grocery will close by the end of the month, its owner said Wednesday.
Hercules Dimitratos, 70, said the costs of rent and taxes have forced him to close his store, which used to stock 400 kinds of beer, he said.
“I’m very depressed,” Dimitratos said. “With these taxes, this rent, people aren’t able to stay in business anymore.”
Dimitratos, a Queens resident, ran a similar store at Bleecker and Christopher Street from 1979 to 1995. The rent at his Morton Street shop started at $2,020 per month in 1997. He pays $6,434 a month today, plus about $800 a month in property taxes, he said.
“This rent is too much. I cannot support it. No one can support it,” he said.
The building’s owner, Mark Scharfman of Beach Lane Management, did not respond to requests for comment on Thursday.
You’d think.
But in such a “fashionable” area practical things like a deli or laundry will often get replaced by a designer boutique that sells overpriced handbags and such to tourists and rich people. (Perhaps as a “flagship” that can be a bit of a loss-leader?)
But in my Queens neighborhood there are stores (in “prime” locations just steps from the subway) that have literally been empty for years.
I wonder how long the LL’s can let that go on.
And I have no customers because people have no money.
It all comes back to money, doesn’t it? In inflationary times high costs are passed on. In deflationary times high costs have to be eaten. And if the costs cannot be eaten then the place will go out of business.
Poof, there goes the business. And if the business provides a service or product of which there is some demand - but not enough demand to keep the business a going concern - then there will spring up a SHORTAGE of these services and products, and this shortage will express itself in the form of RISING PRICES.
And people will point to these rising prices and they will say: “See, prices are rising thus inflation is at hand.”
But prices are rising because there is a shortage of service or product, not because of an increased demand for the service or product. And this shortage is due to deflationary factors, not inflationary ones.
Fraudsters who conned men into signing up as ‘gigolos’ arrested in Spain
The Telegraph | 12 Aug 2011 | Fiona Govan
The gang of six based in Fuengirola on Spain’s Costa del Sol made at least €50,000 euros (£44,000) after persuading some 180 men to pay a joining fee to register as gigolos.
The elaborate scam lured men in with advertisements in the national media promising vast returns for wining and dining lonely women.
Men wanting to follow in the footsteps of ‘Deuce Bigalow: Male Gigolo’ - a 1999 comedy about a fishtank cleaner who goes into business as a male prostitute - were then asked to pay joining fees of between €200 and €1,000 euros (£175 and £875) to be put on the books of “reputable agencies”.
But the online agencies were hoaxes and the clients never materialised.
Dang government regulation shutting down business and crushing the economy. These business people were just trying to succeed, to increase the GDP, create profits.
On some days, the pilots with Great Lakes Airlines fire up a twin-engine Beechcraft 1900 at the Ely, Nev., airport and depart for Las Vegas without a single passenger on board. And the federal government pays them to do it.
Federal statistics reviewed by The Associated Press show that in 2010, just 227 passengers flew out of Ely while the airline got $1.8 million in subsidies. The travelers paid $70 to $90 for a one-way ticket. The cost to taxpayers for each ticket: $4,107.
Ely is one of 153 rural communities where airlines get subsidies through the $200 million Essential Air Service program, and one of 13 that critics say should be eliminated from it. Some call the spending a boondoggle, but others see it as a critical financial lifeline to ensure economic stability in rural areas.
The house is insured. The bank will have a policy to pay for that. The premium will be added to the amount due on the mortgage as if that makes a difference by then.
Thank you. I recently had to look after a house here in Canada and the insurance company said that if I left it vacant for more than 30 days they would cancel the insurance.
In fact they did and I had to add coverage to my principal residence insurance to be able to keep it insured.
rms –
I didn’t see your email until this morning; thanks for responding.
“The physical drives are joined to form the array; this step is where the hot spare declaration will be determined. Within the array you configure the logical drives. Within the logical drives you configure the partitions or volumes.
Is this a pizza box server, iSCSI backplane or ethernet NAS?”
I’ve never configured logical drives before. Things are either set up when I get there, or the “hardware guys” set up the drives for me to my specs. But I’d better put on my big boy pants and figure this out. What I need are separate read/write heads. The data log files and tempdb are busy writing and so benefit from having their own read/write heads, distinct from the data files, OS, etc. Do partitioned logical drives give me that?
I think it’s a pizza box, but I’m not sure. What information would you/I need to answer that question? It’s a IBM System x3650 M3 with 2 processors with a X5675 chipset. I am quickly devouring Glenn Berry’s “SQL Server Hardware” to pull my head out of my @55. I could only see the C drive, but when I looked closer, there is a 500GB unassigned drive too. Duh. Apparently, I am the id10t.
You have a “pizza box”, which is slang for a thin rack mount server, and the chassis also has a drive bay backplane. There is a hardware RAID card inside with firmware that is used to configure the array(s) and logical drive(s); the firmware is accessible during the boot-up usually right after the BIOS prompt. There is a lot to learn if you’re green; I would suggest watching someone do it first who can answer a few questions. Browse on over to Wikipedia too.
BTW, what sort of data resides on that database? Think in terms of financial or public safety impact from downtime.
The data should reside on a different volume than the database server core and operating system. Database backups need to be regular, and that includes the transaction log to fill the gap between the backups.
Appeals court rules against Obama healthcare law
WASHINGTON | Fri Aug 12, 2011
(Reuters) - An appeals court ruled on Friday that President Barack Obama’s healthcare law requiring Americans to buy healthcare insurance or face a penalty was unconstitutional, a blow to the White House.
The Appeals Court for the 11th Circuit, based in Atlanta, found that Congress exceeded its authority by requiring Americans to buy coverage, but also ruled that the rest of the wide-ranging law could remain in effect.
The legality of the so-called individual mandate, a cornerstone of the healthcare law, is widely expected to be decided by the U.S. Supreme Court. The Obama administration has defended the provision as constitutional.
This is a little ironic to the big insurance companies–they now have to obey the obligations imposed by law (e.g. no pre-existing conditions bar) but lose all the benefits under it.
The problem isn’t forcing people to buy health insurance; the problem is forcing people to buy a private product.
If there were a Public Option in the list of choices, then it would be totally constitutional. So I propose that they simple relabel the “fine” to “bare-bones emergency room public option.” Problem solved. In fact, just add it onto people’s taxes to make it easy.
No complaining now. No changes. It is kinda like a Tupperware container that has been in the fridge for too long.
Or that compost bucket that I recently created. Phew! That thing’s really stinkin’ up the joint!
Problem is that things are smelling a bit too anaerobic inside the bucket. That’s fixable. Lemme go get the drill and punch a bunch more holes in it.
[Cue up the sound of a drill making numerous holes.]
Now that my bucket looks like it lost a battle with a BB gun, I think that its contents will have more ventilation. That should take care of the smell and get the compost back to composting the way it should.
The problem isn’t forcing people to buy health insurance; the problem is forcing people to buy a private product.
AFAIK, forcing people to buy a private product is unprecedented.
If there were a Public Option in the list of choices, then it would be totally constitutional. So I propose that they simple relabel the “fine” to “bare-bones emergency room public option.” Problem solved. In fact, just add it onto people’s taxes to make it easy.
Sounds good! I’m already paying for the seniors’ Medicare when I file estimated taxes, so why not add mine to the mix?
but, but, but… lil’ Opie (the non-Hawaiian) is destroying America!
The Constitution nowhere authorizes the United States to mandate, either directly or under threat of penalty, that all citizens and legal residents have qualifying health care coverage.
State of Florida, et al. vs. HHS
Congress Passes Socialized Medicine and Mandates Health Insurance -In 1798
Rick Ungar, Contributor / Forbes / 1/17/2011
It turns out, the Founding Fathers would beg to disagree.
In July of 1798, Congress passed – and President John Adams signed - “An Act for the Relief of Sick and Disabled Seamen.” The law authorized the creation of a government operated marine hospital service and mandated that privately employed sailors be required to purchase health care insurance.
Keep in mind that the 5th Congress did not really need to struggle over the intentions of the drafters of the Constitutions in creating this Act as many of its members were the drafters of the Constitution.
And when the Bill came to the desk of President John Adams for signature, I think it’s safe to assume that the man in that chair had a pretty good grasp on what the framers had in mind.
You didn’t read the part about now it goes to the Supreme corporatist Court of America. I’m sure they will get there way after the case is seen at the top.
Good Graph Friday: What’s rising faster than health care? College costs
Moody’s Analytics
By Allison Linn
Everyone knows that the cost of health care has become a bigger and bigger burden in recent years, but even that pales in comparison to another skyrocketing cost: College.
The folks at Moody’s Analytics crunched some government numbers and found that the cost of tuition and fees has more than doubled since 2000. That’s a bigger percentage increase than, well, pretty much anything else.
Still, there is a downside to such a pricey education: Debt. The Moody’s paper notes that student loan balances also have risen steadily in recent years, leaving many students starting out their careers with a hefty chunk of money to pay off.
Eliminate government sanctioned student loans and tuition would right size. Another fine example where government policy to promote affordability creates the opposite.
Filed under: “Keep eroding the Founding Fathers separations between Church & Gov’t!” … or …“US Gov’t provided “TruePurityEvangelical$™” education voucher$, it does a body good!” :-/
Court releases Warren Jeffs audio sex tapes
By the CNN Wire Staff / August 12, 2011
Jeffs, 55, had perverted his position as the head of the Fundamentalist Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints to “satisfy his own personal appetites and desires,” prosecutor Eric Nichols said.
Jeffs talks about those desires on audiotapes that authorities seized from his car and the church’s Yearning For Zion Ranch compound in Eldorado, Texas.
The tapes, that were obtained by many media outlets including the Salt Lake Tribune and CNN affiliate KSTU on Thursday, contain what prosecutors say is evidence of Jeffs instructing underage girls to have sex with him.
At one point, Jeffs is heard saying God instructs “for quorums of wives to be with me, to assist me. To be a comfort. Yes, even physically.”
Several times, Jeffs refers to having sexual relations with him as “heavenly sessions,” and he instructed the young ladies that they also “must assist each other” during these sessions.
“You have to know how to be excited sexually,” Jeffs said. “The Lord has intended that my ladies, all of my ladies be trained.”
The Phelps Family house/bunker in Topeka is becoming quite the tourist attraction for the gay community.
My brother and his “significant other” came thru town on their annual “Indian Casino/Payback for the Native Americans” tour.
One of the things they wanted to do was have their picture taken in front of the Phelps house……the one with the security cameras, security fence, and “GodHatesFags.com” banner hanging across the front.
If the Taliban wanted to get on our good side, they’d drive a U-Haul full of fertilizer and kerosene into that place. Too bad the survivors would sue U-Haul, for renting them the truck.
Haven’t had a rant about the Medical/License-to-Steal industry in a while, so here goes…..
Back in April, I tried to get my $400/month retail (since I had no insurance) prescriptions refilled. These are the same prescriptions I’ve been taking for the past 5-6 years, with no changes. Blood pressure, and a cholesterol drug (my cholesterol numbers are normal, but the doc said I should take them due to family history).
Couldn’t get them refilled. Doc said I needed to have a “Check-up” ($100), and “tests”. During the visit, told the doc that I didn’t want/couldn’t afford to pay for any unnecessary tests or drugs (specifically, the cholesterol med), and that I wanted an estimate/quote for the lab work.
You’d have thought that I was asking for a round trip ticket to Mars. They had no idea. And these were “standard tests” they do on people every day. Said they would get back with me. A few days later, they came back with an “estimate” of $300.
As far as “unnecessary drugs”, anything they write a prescription on is defacto “necessary”. Especially the stuff that is still under patent.
Got the bill for the Lab work today. 500 bucks.
It may kill me in the end, but I think it’s time for me to boycott any future participation in this so-called “health care system”.
Be cautious of statins. My father died of a rare form of Parkinson’s that has been linked to a certain statin. Neuromuscular Degeneration is the connection.
A lot of older people I know have been able to drop perscriptions due to more extreme diet and exercise programs. I just met someone recently who was able to go off insulin because she was avoiding a long list of certain foods. These people did have the doctors ok before they made these changes.
Don’t know if that line of thought really solves anything for you but thought I’d mention it.
There’s a lot you can do with whole foods and a regular exercise program. Of course, a lot of doctors would be hurting for money if people got serious about these things, but that’s another soapbox.
I’m shooting for “massive heart attack/stroke” myself….
Alzheimers runs in my dad’s family. No doubt in my mind that I’m going to get it eventually. It’s hard enough dealing with, even with the current support mechanisms.
As all those support mechanisms are going to be thrown away in the next 10-15 years, I’d rather find myself looking at the grass grow from the wrong side at 65 with all my faculties, than with full blown Alzheimers and living in a refrigerator box under a San Antonio underpass.
Not figuring on getting any help from the kids. They are going to have their hands full just surviving.
Ten years ago was better than now. Twenty years ago was better than ten years ago. Nothing that is happening says that trend it going to change.
X-GSfixr
New studies are being done on the protein that collects in your brain that causes Alzheimers, and it looks like an anti-viral drug like Acyclovir helps keep the protein at bay. People that have Herpes Simplex Virus 1 or 2 use this drug. By the time it’s our turn, hopefully they’ll have it figured out. My Aunt is in a Alzheimer’s Care Home and the staff chats with our family.
“He’s thinking fewer trips to Disneyland. I’m thinking bread lines, tent city and day labor.”
Approx. how old is your son? After reading your posts here, I have no doubt that he is a boy with many questions, and you can only kick the can down the road for so long. (My wife and I just had our first baby–a boy, seven months ago. I may have some ’splainin’ to do as well)
“Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi announced a painful mix of tax hikes and spending cuts on Friday to meet European Central Bank demands for action on shoring up Italy’s strained public finances.”
“The budget deficit will fall to 1.4 percent of gross domestic product in 2012 from 3.8 percent this year, and be eliminated in 2013, ”
LOL…. 3.8% oh the horror. How can an economy survive such a deficit?
$1.7T deficit / $14.7T GDP = deficit that is 14.7% of GDP.
Let’s see. If we riased taxes 20% across the board, and cut spending 20% across the board, and all that tax increasing and spending cutting didn’t lower GDP(yeah right).
Hmmmm… We would need 20% tax increase and 20% drop in spending, to balance the budget with no GDP drop. Every country that has moved to austarity ahs seen a GDP drop. Our budget is still expected to explode in coming years as the number of people over 65 is exepcted to include (I’ve seen conflicting reports) 60-70% over the next 10 years. So really, we’d need more like 30-40% cuts to those programs over the next 10 years in addition to 20+ cuts to everrything else.
And we couldn’t agree on 10% in total 10 year deficit reductions.
Oh, and that is just to get to Italy’s unacceptably high deficits.
Perhaps the real problems with our economy are not limited to tax rates and government spending. Perhaps there is a problem with wages, international trade deficits, domestic trade defitcits, income disparities, having offshored out industrial base, 25% of our GDP being generation, servicing and trading debt, dependance on foreign oil, trying to be the world’s police force…. I could go on.
Perhaps we can’t fix our problmes with tax increases and spending cuts. Perhaps we should address the underlying imbalances that caused us to lower taxes and increase spending in the first place.
Average Teen Unemployment Rate in D.C. is 50.1%, Analysis Shows
Friday, August 12, 2011 By Penny Starr
(CNSNews.com) – An analysis based on U.S. Census Bureau data by the Employment Policies Institute (EPI) shows that the average unemployment rate for teens ages 16 to 19 in the District of Columbia was 50.1 percent as of June 2011. This corresponds with data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showing that for D.C. the annual average unemployment rate for teens in 2010 was 49.8 percent.
Michael Saltsman, research fellow at EPI, provided the 50.1 percent figure to CNSNews.com as an update of an analysis he compiled based on the Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey.
The 50.1 percent figure is almost double the average teen unemployment rate in June 2007 in the District, when it was 26.2 percent, according to Saltsman.
Since 2007, the rate has increased each year: 29.5 percent in June 2008, 44.7 percent in 2009 and 48.8 percent in 2010, based on EPI’s analysis.
“We’re in the midst of the third summer in a row where teen unemployment has been above 20 percent,” Saltsman said when he announced his report on July 8.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) does not keep monthly unemployment rates on teens, but its data showing the average annual unemployment rate for teens ages 16 to 19 in D.C. for 2010 was 49.8 percent.
Wall Street Trader Bonuses May Drop 30%: Study
(Bloomberg)
Wall Street will cut year-end bonuses for fixed-income and equities employees by as much as 30 percent from last year, according to revised estimates from Johnson Associates Inc.
Bonuses for fixed-income and trading department are expected to drop 20 percent to 30 percent, a reversal from a May estimate that they would rise 10 percent to 15 percent, according to the New York-based compensation consulting firm. Senior managers will probably receive bonuses that are unchanged to 30 percent lower, the firm said.
The new estimates are driven by a “lack of economic recovery” as well as regulations and the “ongoing uncertainty in world markets,” according to the e-mailed report.
Lower-than-expected U.S. economic growth in the first half, a simmering debt crisis in Europe, and the downgrade of the U.S. government’s rating by Standard & Poor’s have contributed to a 20 percent drop in the S&P 500 Financials Index this year. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. the fifth-biggest U.S. bank, reported on July 19 that fixed-income trading revenue plunged 63 percent from the first quarter.
Wall Street firms set aside a portion of revenue to pay year-end bonuses. Goldman Sachs cut its compensation pool 9 percent in the first half from the same period last year. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)’s investment bank kept its first-half compensation expense unchanged, while Morgan Stanley said on July 21 that it set aside 10 percent more to pay bankers and traders.
Johnson said bonuses for equity traders will be flat to down 15 percent, while employees in the prime brokerage divisions that service hedge funds may still get as much as 5 percent more in bonuses.
Chrisman closing construction division
By Beth Potter BCBR.COM August 12, 2011
BOULDER - Chrisman Construction Inc. will close the construction component of its business at the end of August.
The Boulder-based company will continue to operate a separate, undisclosed part of the business, according to Sue Jones Umberger, the company’s office manager. Umberger declined to comment on why the company is closing its construction division or what the remaining business will include. Susan Chrisman did not immediately return a request for comment.
Jim and Susan Chrisman incorporated the company in 1985. Susan Chrisman also is a real estate broker with the Colorado Group Inc., according to information on the company’s website.
Chrisman Construction has worked closely with Jim’s father, Byron Chrisman, a real estate developer, on new construction projects, renovations and tenant finishes in the commercial real estate realm, according to the website.
Projects in the Boulder Valley have included medical and professional offices, research and development offices and hundreds of interiors.
(counselor) Well, it looks like you haven`t made a mortgage payment in three years.
(folks) Really! Is that what that computer says?
“What is nice about the event is that the mortgage companies will have the ability to pull up these loans right on the computer,” “It is a good opportunity for folks to understand where they stand on their mortgage if they are behind. It is best suited for someone already behind or in some stage of foreclosure.”
Mortgage assistance event coming to Palm Beach County Convention Center
By Susan Salisbury Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Posted: 4:00 p.m. Friday, Aug. 12, 2011
Homeowners who are behind on their mortgage payments can receive free one-on-one help at an event expected to bring 15 of the largest mortgage servicers and lenders to West Palm Beach.
Hope Now, a voluntary private sector alliance of mortgage servicers, investors, mortgage insurers and non-profit counseling organizations will be at the Palm Beach County Convention Center on Friday.
Some of the companies scheduled to be in attendance include Bank of America, Chase, HSBC, Ocwen and PNC Bank, spokesman Brad Dwin said.
Homeowners will be seen on a first-come, first-served basis and are encouraged to bring all mortgage documents, income documents and hardship letters.
In addition to mortgage servicers, several local, non-profit housing counseling organizations will be available to meet with homeowners.
“What is nice about the event is that the mortgage companies will have the ability to pull up these loans right on the computer,” Dwin said. “It is a good opportunity for folks to understand where they stand on their mortgage if they are behind. It is best suited for someone already behind or in some stage of foreclosure.”
Hope Now co-sponsored a similar event with the Obama Administration’s Making Home Affordable Program last November in West Palm Beach. Almost 1,100 attendees sought assistance.
“Mortgage assistance event coming to Palm Beach county convention Center.”
What a neat place for sharks to assemble.
“Some of the companies scheduled to be in attendance are Bank of America, Chase, HSBC, Ocwen, and PNC Bank, spokesman David Dwin said.”
See what I mean?
Some of the major players that were deeply invloved in creating the problem are now going to lend their assistance in helping FBs cope with the problem.
(Not SOLVE the problem but COPE with the problem.)
And nobody seems to think any of this is a bit weird.
I was just thinking whats wrong with safety nets . I think there is nothing wrong with safety nets and they are the mark of civilization.
Does everyone want to go back to the cave man days ?
In truth the SSI safety net caused the people to spend more and
people became more creative and productive because of
the elimination of fear of poverty in old age . Industry benefited from
this mind set to the degree that people spent more money in the now and weren’t misers because they thought they had old age covered to some degree (at least they wouldn’t be starving in the streets )
People buy health insurance because it takes away the fear and than they can be more productive and creative in the now .
Basic safety nets tend to bring out the better in people because they don’t have to devote so much energy to protection and defense and fear of the future .
To ask people to spend when they aren’t even assurred of some safety nets like Social Security in the future or reasonable health costs ,especially when they are already in debt, is not going to get spending going . To further reduce wages is like the nail on the coffin .
All these Political groups talking about what the solutions are when its apparent that the conditions have been changed ,therefore you can”t talk about solutions unless you acknowledge the changes that
have taken place that have brought us to the brink .
A Country is sucessful if there is jobs for the majority with a reasonable standard of living for the majority with a reasonable amount of safety nets .The creative juices are unleashed under a system like that . I don’t want people working 80 hours a week at low wages to get by either .
You have less crime when you have amble jobs and you have less welfare costs and I could go on and on . Now all of a sudden safety nets are badmouthed as if they didn’t set the stage for greater spending for 70 years because of the safety nets .
In other words Industry like to divorse itself from the costs that goes into making people purchase things ,and purchasing things is a
byproduct of a lot of Social factors and government spending that makes it possible for people to feel comfortable purchasing things because they feel confident about the future .
People don’t feel job security right now and people don;t feel like their wages will keep up with the rising costs .
People perform better when they feel secure actually .
People should of never been allowed to go into debt to the degree they did ,but they had the wealth affect of a fake real estate market based on faulty lending .Now many people are going into debt because their wages arent even covering basic costs and they certainly aren’t really able to afford the high costs of health care in the final analysis .
Until the Politicians can speak in terms of the real situation today and what the solutions are ,rather than speaking as if major changes haven’t occurred in our society like job gutting trends and
costs that don’t chive with wages such as housing and health care and the china factor in being the big production Country .
You have to have trade balance and tariffs or you will get eaten alive .
Reducing our standard of living here is not making the standard of living go up in poor Countries because the workers there are just exploited . In those Countries the people have to demand good wages ,just like we did here in America so many years ago . In so many of those countries the people are like slaves with poor working conditions ,something that MAerica evolved out of many years ago .
i don’t think the rich have any vision what-so -ever of how ugly America is going to look with this downgrading of the middle class and the net result from lack of safety nets and jobs and a reasonable tax base .
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“It’s critical that we support the process of repair and recovery in the housing market,” Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said in a statement. “Exploring new options for selling these foreclosed properties will help expand access to affordable rental housing, promote private investment in local housing markets and support neighborhood and home price stability.”
“promote private investment in local housing markets and support neighborhood and home price stability.”s
No it is not. Here in Salinas it will still put the poor worker in a MCmansion subsidized by the county. The value of the surrounding property will drop because the rentals are poorly taken care of. They don’t water the yard, park one or two cars on the dead grass, the kids eat take out foods and leave the trash in the streets, basketball hoops are left in the streets.
Don’t get me wrong, their are many good among them but they are overshadowed by the lazy, the lax and the bad.
So, let’s attack trade imbalances, both international and domestic. Drive up wages.
That is the ONLY way to support the housing market.
ANY other course of action leads to debt default, money going away, loss of confidence in money, and depression… ALWAYS, EVERY TIME.
Every time in history that debt has been used to increase demand in the face of insufficient wages, it has ended in debt collapse and depression. Always, every time.
It’s so obvious, yet the PTB (banksters, other super richies)can’t seem to see it.
Of course it’s because they want all the marbles for themselves. You can’t have all the marbles if you share them.
It ins’t just wanting all the marbles.
It is still wanting more marbles even after they already have them all.
How do they make more marbles once they already have them all? Borrow more into existance so they can have them too, leaving everyone else with negative marbles.
But guess what. Those marbles you think you have are an illusion. They disappear once the people that borrowed them into existance reach the point of not being able to borrow more into existance and decide they don’t want to play any more.
It’s so obvious, yet the PTB (banksters, other super richies)can’t seem to see it.
and they convince a very large share of the voting public not to see it too.
Money = propaganda and think tanks for news shows
Money = free speech
Corporations = people
Something is missing here. The Treas Sec shouldn’t be the least concerned with how foreclosures are dispatched, should he? If FedGov wants to sell its houses cheap, why not to people who want to own a house for themselves? Why is selling to “investors” who will generate revenue streams for themselves better for the country?
Because there is too much supply and insufficent demand. Not just housing, everywhere in our economy there is too much supply with too little sustainable demand. And by sustainable demand, I mean without access to ever increasing debt to allow people to buy more than their wages would support.
If we allow prices to fall to the real sustainable demand level, then we’re in a Greater Depression that makes the Great Depression look like a minor blip.
Seems like an implicit admission that the poor (including much of the middle class) is too poor to buy a house, but the rich are rich enough to buy them and rent them out.
Do you really want to know the answer? Really?
1) Selling houses to people who want to live in them means selling one house to one person or family. The amount of work needed to do this is less than the amount of work needed to sell a batch of 100 or 1000 houses to a group of investors, but not anywhere near 1/100th or 1/1000th as much work. So selling to individuals is a lot more work. And paying for that means it has to be a line item in the budget somewhere (even if it is done by contrators, not actual government employees). Have you noticed a lot of flexibility in the federal budget to pay for something like that? No, me either. Of course you might get more money for the houses if you sell to end users than if you sell in large batches to investors, but selling for less than you might get in an optimal situation isn’t a budget line item. Opportunity cost often isn’t.
2) Selling one at a time means that the price definitely gets recorded in the county property office and the neighbors get to actually see that the new comps for their house sold for $10K or $50K or whatever less than their current mortgage. You don’t think that the federal government wants to be the single entity that people blame for lowering the comps in their nabe before an election, do you? I don’t know what happens in the various county offices when houses get sold in big batches as investments, but it is at least plausible that it might be different than a sale to an end user.
what did you think of your Vancouver trip
Vancouver is awsome. Beautiful scenery, though the buildings themselves are a little homely. Cops are reasonable. People are friendly and helpful on public transportation or giving other directions. It smells better than the cities I am used to.
Unfortunately, I caught a monster cold on the ship, so I was a little out of it (thanks to Canadian generic Dayquill) on cold medicine for a few days. That slowed me down a bit, so I didn’t get to everything I wanted to. Went out to Capilano bridge. Saw a few productions at Bard on the Beach. Saw two of the fireworks festival entries (Canada’s was fantastic; Spain’s was nice; China won, but I was still in Alaska for that one). Got to a number of musueums (I think that “bone eating snot flower worm” is my new favorite animal name). Wandered around Granville Island. Spend a day vegging out on the beach. Spent a day in Stanley Park and the aquarium. Caught a few street festivals and Chinatown. Ate local salmon from a food truck.
Alaska is also lovely once you get to the natural parts. The commercial areas near the cruise ship terminals are just disturbing. Seriously, I don’t dress like a person who should be dropping $20K on a ring. Or $12K on a fossil. But I was treated like a person who could and was even likely to do so. Like I said, disturbing.
Did you go over the Cap bridge? Gutsy !
The Grouse Grind is nearby the bridge. Hope you tried it.
Thank you for coming to Canada for part of your vacation.
ps I have been to the Bard only once but enjoyed it as well.
Thanks Polly. I asked this yesterday: Once the investor buys, the house is theirs, right? But Obama & Co. have specifically referred to rentals. So what sort of authority and/or manpower does the gov have over making sure these houses are rented and sold into slumlands?
Do Fannie and Freddie get a cut of these rents?
Also, what if, say, Wells Fargo wants to buy a few thousand houses. After all they sold those mortgages to F&F as part of the stealth bailout. Should they be allwed to snap the actual houses back up for a lower price?
I think this program is about as likely to have a significant effect as HAMP was - as in not very much. I wouldn’t worry too much about it. The technical problems are overwhelming. Not that the effect it will have won’t be unfair, it will. I just don’t see a lot of widespread success.
The biggest problem will be the risk. That means that unless they sell for truely ridiculous prices, there will be very little capital that private investors will be willing to risk. If no capital, then the funding has to be borrowed. From whom? Banks aren’t going to want to touch this with a 10 foot pole. So the borrowing would have to be federally provided or guaranteed. Good luck getting that through Congress.
When the prices really come down, there is plenty of private capital on the sidelines that will be willing to play this game.
Good luck getting that through Congress.
C’mon, Congress, bury this bad idea! I know you can do it!
Why is selling to “investors” who will generate revenue streams for themselves better for the country?
because the investors lobby the government. regular workers are drones to be controlled like a bee keeper farms his hives.
of course they are doing a bad job of bee keeping when half the hive can’t work but has to be feed to keep it from rioting.
“It’s critical that we support the process of repair and recovery in the housing market,” Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said in a statement. “Exploring new options for selling these foreclosed properties will help expand access to affordable rental housing, promote private investment in local housing markets and support neighborhood and home price stability.”
No, you elfin f***head, it’s not. What’s critical are jobs, and everything else takes care of itself. Go away, runt.
This $hits is really enraging me in a big way…
Sell this JUNK at public auction and get what you can get at the market and shutdown the GSE’s. They created the mess, they can clean it up with. They’re hiding inventory because the damn inventory is massive. The inventory is massive because the @#$%ing prices are too high.
I’m afraid of just how %$%^ing pissed I’m getting.
They’re hiding inventory because the damn inventory is massive.
Well, “they” don’t want to just “give$-it-away” Look what happen in America’s yester-year:
(Hey, how is that the US Gov’t was allowed to do this?)
Teaching With Documents:
The Homestead Act of 1862:
The U.S. National Archives and Records Administration
Before and after the Mexican-American war in the mid 1800s, popular pressure to change policy arose from the evolving economy, new demographics, and shifting social climate of early 19th-century America.
In the 1830s and 1840s, rising prices for corn, wheat, and cotton enabled large, well-financed farms, particularly the plantations of the South, to force out smaller ventures. Displaced farmers then looked westward to unforested country that offered more affordable development. Prior to the war with Mexico (1846–48), people settling in the West demanded “preemption,” an individual’s right to settle land first and pay later (essentially an early form of credit). Eastern economic interests opposed this policy as it was feared that the cheap labor base for the factories would be drained. After the war with Mexico, a number of developments supported the growth of the homestead movement. Economic prosperity drew unprecedented numbers of immigrants to America, many of whom also looked westward for a new life. New canals and roadways reduced western dependence on the harbor in New Orleans, and England’s repeal of its corn laws opened new markets to American agriculture.
Some land speculators took advantage of a legislative loophole caused when those drafting the law’s language failed to specify whether the 12-by-14 dwelling was to be built in feet or inches. Others hired phony claimants or bought abandoned land. The General Land Office was underfunded and unable to hire a sufficient number investigators for its widely scattered local offices. As a result, overworked and underpaid investigators were often susceptible to bribery.
Sale of public land was viewed as a means to generate revenue for the Government rather than as a way to encourage settlement. Initially, an individual was required to purchase a full section of land at the cost of $1 per acre for 640 acres. The investment needed to purchase these large plots and the massive amount of physical labor required to clear the land for agriculture were often insurmountable obstacles
By 1800, the minimum lot was halved to 320 acres, and settlers were allowed to pay in 4 installments, but prices remained fixed at $1.25 an acre until 1854. That year, federal legislation was enacted establishing a graduated scale that adjusted land prices to reflect the desirability of the lot. Lots that had been on the market for 30 years, for example, were reduced to 12 ½ cents per acre. Soon after, extraordinary bonuses were extended to veterans and those interested in settling the Oregon Territory, making homesteading a viable option for some. But basically, national public-land-use policy made land ownership financially unattainable for most would-be homesteaders.
Physical conditions on the frontier presented even greater challenges. Wind, blizzards, and plagues of insects threatened crops. Open plains meant few trees for building, forcing many to build homes out of sod. Limited fuel and water supplies could turn simple cooking and heating chores into difficult trials. Ironically, even the smaller size of sections took its own toll. While 160 acres may have been sufficient for an eastern farmer, it was simply not enough to sustain agriculture on the dry plains, and scarce natural vegetation made raising livestock on the prairie difficult. As a result, in many areas, the original homesteader did not stay on the land long enough to fulfill the claim.
Homesteaders who persevered were rewarded with opportunities as rapid changes in transportation eased some of the hardships. Six months after the Homestead Act was passed, the Railroad Act was signed, and by May 1869, a transcontinental railroad stretched across the frontier. The new railroads provided easy transportation for homesteaders, and new immigrants were lured westward by railroad companies eager to sell off excess land at inflated prices. The new rail lines provided ready access to manufactured goods and catalog houses like Montgomery Ward offered farm tools, barbed wire, linens, weapons, and even houses delivered via the rails.
On January 1, 1863, Daniel Freeman and 417 others filed claims. Many more pioneers followed, populating the land, building towns and schools and creating new states from the territories. In many cases, the schools became the focal point for community life, serving as churches, polling places and social gathering locations. In 1936, the Department of the Interior recognized Freeman as the first claimant and established the Homestead National Monument, near a school built in 1872, on his homestead near Beatrice, Nebraska. Today, the monument is administered by the National Park Service, and the site commemorates the changes to the land and the nation brought about by the Homestead Act of 1862. By 1934, over 1.6 million homestead applications were processed and more than 270 million acres—10 percent of all U.S. lands—passed into the hands of individuals. The passage of the Federal Land Policy and Management Act of 1976 repealed the Homestead Act in the 48 contiguous states, but it did grant a ten-year extension on claims in Alaska.
The property I purchased in Montana is part of an original homestead from 1929. It’s the first time any of it had been resold.
“whether the 12-by-14 dwelling was to be built in feet or inches.”
Back in the 1950s, when we used to go up to the family homestead on the high desert south of Palmcaster, I saw some of the weird fakey “houses” that were built to hold claims. They were low to the ground with a slanted roof. But at least they were 12×14 ft and not inches.
Not just jobs. Jobs with sufficient to not only support the level of spending we’ve been doing for the last 30 years, but wages sufficient to cover our costs AND pay back the debt we have accumulated under 30 years of supply-side economics.
Wages aren’t keeping up with prices, putting downward demand-side preasure on the economy? Hmmm… Do we attack falling wages? No. Let’s use debt to allow people to buy despite falling wages. Lift economic activity to the supply-side by alowing poeple to buy more despite falling wages.
ARG!!!
And every politician on either side of the aisle just want’s to keep going in the exact same direction.
I agree that jobs are the answer, but what is the practical approach to creating jobs?
If the government does it directly (public servants, soldiers) it ends up driving up the deficit and debt.
If the government offers subsidies to create jobs, it doesn’t work much of the time, or the jobs disappear when the subsidies end.
Mandate higher wages? Tends to decrease jobs.
Protectionism against foreign goods and services? It’ll increase wages and jobs, but also cost of living and may create shortages of energy and some materials.
Protectionism against foreign goods and services? It’ll increase wages and jobs, but also cost of living
Protectionism is the answer. I’d rather have a good job and pay more for my toaster.
Protect OUR jobs. Not someones higher profit margin.
It is trade imbalnces. Pure and simple trade imbalances.
You have to focus on the trade imbalances every where they exist.
International? Trade war.
Domestically? Unions, taxes, regulations.
Trade imbalances can not exist long-term because they result in unsutainable debt growth. if we do not attack them directly, then the debt will collapse, the money the debt created goes away, people lose faith in money, and we go into depression. ALWAYS, EVERY TIME.
We fix the trade imbalances, or the trade imbalances fix themselves. Trade imbalances fixing themselves is very depressing.
VAT tax
Cut payroll tax
Socialize medicine thust reducing the cost of employing and insuring in America by 3500 per head
Change our trade agreements.
Gas tax
Tax on elite
More gov spending on infrastructure energy and communications.
These things would cut the cost of labor in the US and increase employment much more so than say
Cutting capital gains taxes and dividend taxes for the elite who then sit on their money or build factories in CHINA.
A few thoughts on the protectionist route:
1) If you’re gonna do it, go big or go home. No putting a 10% tax on stuff from this nation or that. It won’t create jobs, only increase cost of living. It would have to be more of a ban on imports of manufactured goods.
2) Such a ban would have to be against practically all nations, otherwise supply chains will adapt to get the job. (Sure this TV was made in England, at least we put these last few buttons on what came from China.)
3) Be ready for retaliation. Stuff the US still wants from abroad might not come. Energy and raw materials being the biggest concerns. The US will not be able to continue the exporting it does currently.
4) Prices won’t just go up on toasters, it’ll be everything. Price hikes and shortages could be very severe while US manufacturers get their act together. After stabilization, the standard of living will be well below that of the 90s.
5) While the US is in the process of pissing off the rest of the world, might as well write off some national debt.
6) Troops abroad should probably come home before any of this is implemented.
A few thoughts on the protectionist route:
1) If you’re gonna do it, go big or go home. No putting a 10% tax on stuff from this nation or that. It won’t create jobs, only increase cost of living. It would have to be more of a ban on imports of manufactured goods.
Raising tariffs 10% would do a lot actually. I’ve read that landed costs of imports are on average 17% cheaper than American made. Yes we gave away the farm for 17%. It is even less now with Chinese currency appreciation and rising fuel costs. Throw in the logistic hassles and 10% would start bringing back US production and slowly enough to avoid many problems you described.
As far as rising prices on goods, a 10% rise in tariffs would cause a max 20% rise in prices but I’m sure it would be less because of the laws of supply and demand. I am certain though that it would translate into less CEO bonuses.
BTW, I live in Brazil which practices strong protectionism and posted a 7.5% economic growth rate in 2010, does booming business with China, has countries banging on its do to trade with and has increased it’s middle class by 20% the past 12 years.
As far as retaliation, not so much if implemented slowly. China is Brazil’s #1 trading partner and Brazil just raised tariffs on cheap Chinese imports because they are starting to flood Brazilian markets. What did the Chinese do in retaliation? Nada. Oh yea, they bought more soybeans from Brazil.
Nice post.
I would like to think of protecting North America, not just the USA - primarily because of our integrated energy systems, automotive, and commodities.
I agree that without new jobs there will be no recovery and that to create them we have to get a good deal of our manufacturing back into North America.
Service industries related to energy, auto, and commodities that have not departed town - should be encouraged to stay to help keep advanced manufacturing technologies.
But both countries need much better R&D systems with qualified government personnel who do not exist for their own benefit, but for the benefit of advancing science.
The OEMs in Wichita are currently sending a lot of their jobs to to Mexico.
According to the people out of work, doesn’t matter much to them if their job went to Mexico or China. It ain’t here no more.
So……manufacturing jobs go to Mexico, keeping their middle class happy. We get Mexico’s wretched refuse.
Such a deal.
As Darrell is stating ,we have no other choice but to bring back our manufacturing base and job base .People cannot live without jobs ,even if they are a farmer living off the land . Governments can’t survive without having people they tax who have jobs or wealth .
This idea that China produces for the rest of the World ,while eventually it would gut the job base/tax base for any Country that imports all the China good is crazy . American Companies making manufacturing deals in China or mexico is no different than them becoming Foreign Companies in terms of taking the money and jobs out of America .If you become a producer in another Country ,than you have become that Countries provider of jobs . No doubt USA companies don’t like a bunch of the regulations that are imposed in America ,but I have had enough of crap plastic and toxic food and toxic drywall because of lack of regulation in foreign Countries , I would rather pay more for USA manufactured products that are regulated and I would rather the Companies have pollution control that costs more . Look at how polluted China has become .
For instance if Norway for example opened up all their manufacturing in America and provided jobs for Americans by doing this ,while they expected not to be taxed if they exported the American production back to Norway I think the people of Norway would laugh in their face .Trade imbalances are a destructive thing .
Look ,the bottom line is that Middle men are making excess profits by using cheap foreign labor . Providing no job benefits is another way of saving costs . Face it ,China is one big Monopoly now . All the outsourcing of jobs is another example of USA Companies underminding
the American Job and tax base and they should get a penalty tax that is equal to the destruction of money kept in America by having a American having the job at a higher wage and spending the money in America and paying taxes in America .
It doesn’t mean that you don’t trade with other Countries ,but the word trade is a lot different than tranporting your work force and natural goods to other Countries to produce everything while you call yourself a American Company . Ford just opened a car manufacturing plant in Mexico . They should have a grave penalty tax put on every car they import from mexico because their savings on cheap labor just puts extra money in the middle mans profit and it destroys jobs in America .In fact ,china goods aren’t even worth the cheaper price
We can’t afford to support 30% of the population that might be unemplyed because of jobs going away . All systems collaspe eventually because they can’t be held up by faulty globalism designed to put more money in the
elites pockets .
10 housing markets that will collapse this year
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/44091488/ns/business-real_estate/#.TkUcDILAydA
7. El Centro, Calif.
I think they sold their colorado river water allotment to San Diego hard to farm in the desert without water
Simple solution to fix the housing market:
1) Uncle Sam gets out of the failed “affordable housing” business.
2) Uncle Sam auctions REO holdings to highest bidder.
3) Uncle Sam ends price support measures which keeps housing unaffordable.
Aww, come on. Trust Timmy a little bit. He knows what he is doing and he is doing what is best for you.
I second Professor Bear’s motion.
Postal Service proposes cutting 120,000 jobs, pulling out of health-care plan. By Joe Davidson - Washington Post
SEATTLE — The financially strapped U.S. Postal Service is proposing to cut its workforce by 20 percent and to withdraw from the federal health and retirement plans because it believes it could provide benefits at a lower cost.
The layoffs would be achieved in part by breaking labor agreements, a proposal that drew swift fire from postal unions. The plan would require congressional approval but, if successful, could be precedent-setting, with possible ripple effects throughout government. It would also deliver a major blow to the nation’s labor movement.
In a notice informing employees of its proposals — with the headline “Financial crisis calls for significant actions” — the Postal Service said, “We will be insolvent next month due to significant declines in mail volume and retiree health benefit pre-funding costs imposed by Congress.”
During the past four years, the service lost $20 billion, including $8.5 billion in fiscal 2010. Over that period, mail volume dropped by 20 percent.
The USPS plan is described in two draft documents obtained by The Washington Post. A “Workforce Optimization” paper acknowledges its “extraordinary request” to break its labor contracts.
“However, exceptional circumstances require exceptional remedies,” the document says.
tee-hee…
“UPS and FedEx are doing just fine, right? It’s the Post Office that’s always having problems.”
~Barack Hussein Obama –attempting to make the case for government-run healthcare, while simultaneously undercutting his own argument, Portsmouth, N.H., Aug. 11, 2009
Call me when you can cure cancer by email.
UPS and Fedex are doing fine for the same reason that private health insurance is doing fine. Private health insurance picks only the juicy healthy people for insurance, and their death panels throw everyone else off. Medicare and Medicaid get stuck with the comparative dregs (old and sick).
Likewise, Fedex and UPS get the juicy $10 overnights, while the post office has the burden of delivering first class mail to rural areas for under a dollar.
Admittedly they could set up the Fed health care system a little better.
ISTR reading that the post office would be making money if they weren’t required to charge the same amount to deliver mail to Alaska and Hawaii as the within CONUS. Now that was a few years ago, but it may well still be true.
Another problem the Post Office has is that it’s not allowed to set its rates, it requires gov’t permission to do so.
Likewise, Fedex and UPS get the juicy $10 overnights, while the post office has the burden of delivering first class mail to rural areas for under a dollar.
44 cents IIRC. I’d like to see UPS or FedEx do that.
if they weren’t required to charge the same amount to deliver mail to Alaska and Hawaii as the within CONUS
But, but, but…”States Right$!”, “States Right$!”, “States Right$!”
Rick Santorum vs. The Tenth Amendment
The rise of the tea party has breathed new life into the Tenth Amendment to the Constitution, which states that all powers not listed in the Constitution should be left unto the states. But Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, a staunch social conservative, is fed up with it.
“This is the Tenth Amendment run amok!” Santorum declared, referring to suggestions from other candidates to allow states the right to set their own marriage policy. “We have Ron Paul saying, ‘oh, whatever the states want to do under the Tenth Amendment, that’s fine.’ So if the states want to pass polygamy that’s fine. If the states want to impose sterilization, that’s fine. No. Our country is based on moral laws, ladies and gentlemen. There are things the states can’t do. …We are a nation that has values. We are a nation that was built on a moral enterprise. But states don’t have the right to tramp over those because of the Tenth Amendment.”
Exactly oxide. The private sector has the opportunity to cherry-pick. The government/social sector often doesn’t.
has the burden of delivering first class mail to rural areas for under a dollar.
“f%#K ‘em!” (Cult Motto from the private unregulated family of MegaInc.$)
See article below on airline subsidies to rural locations. The post office is yet another subsidy as our gas taxes ie cars driven on the highway get better mpg than in the city but you need more road building.
“UPS and FedEx are doing just fine, right?
Yeah, tankxs to Gov’t $ub$idized airport Infastructure$ & and a interconnecting U$ National Highway a$$phalt $ystem & a Legacy US Gov’t initiated railroad line$, &… the US Navy 7th Fleet goofing off somewhere in the Per$ian Gulf.
+50 Hwy.
Unfortunately, this is way overdue. Information technology has crushed this business model. This huge cut is just the beginning.
“Information technology has crushed this business model.”
I dunno. Information technology does little to bridge the gap between the modern world of adaptable meritocracy and the dependency of the barrio and ghetto. The USPS does it daily.
So, information welfare?
I think it is obvious we are going to have to reduce mail delivery to fewer days of the week. Half as much mail moving, drop to Mon, Wed, Fri delivery.
It is what it is. A business cannot drop $8 billion a year and survive; USPS is a business.
Correct, IIRC they receive no gov’t subsidies.
“Information technology has crushed this business model.”
The only thing that needs to change in the USPS “business model” is that they be allowed to set their rates to cover their costs (while reducing those costs at the same time).
But yes, they became WAY too dependent on junk mail, which has now morphed into Spam email.
USPS is a [Gov't] business.
So is the U$MilitaryIndu$trialComplexInc’$, $till desire to argue ’bout it with the “TrueAnger™” & “TrueReducetheDeficitNow! Today!!$™” cult members?
WAGES!!!!!
If we can’t increase wages to increase peoples’ ability to pay back their debts, the debts will collapse and we will be in a long and ugly depression.
Speaking of wages, here’s an excellent article by Barbara Ehrenreich: Turning Poverty Into An American Crime
http://www DOT counterpunch.org/ehrenreich08092011.html
“At the time I wrote Nickel and Dimed, I wasn’t sure how many people it directly applied to –only that the official definition of poverty was way off the mark, since it defined an individual earning $7 an hour, as I did on average, as well out of poverty. But three months after the book was published, the Economic Policy Institute in Washington, D.C., issued a report entitled “Hardships in America: The Real Story of Working Families,” which found an astounding 29% of American families living in what could be more reasonably defined as poverty
The big question, 10 years later, is whether things have improved or worsened for those in the bottom third of the income distribution, the people who clean hotel rooms, work in warehouses, wash dishes in restaurants, care for the very young and very old, and keep the shelves stocked in our stores. The short answer is that things have gotten much worse, especially since the economic downturn that began in 2008.”
Paraphrase from the article:
How have the already-poor attempted to cope with their worsening economic situation?
1. One obvious way is to cut back on health care. 1/3 do not comply with prescriptions. Or they give up health insurance.
2. The rural poor turning increasingly to “food auctions,” which offer items that may be past their sell-by dates. And for those who like their meat fresh, there’s the option of urban hunting.
3. The most common coping strategy, though, is simply to increase the number of paying people per square foot of dwelling space — by doubling up or renting to couch-surfers. “In Alexandria, Virginia, the standard apartment in a complex occupied largely by day laborers has two bedrooms, each containing an entire family of up to five people, plus an additional person laying claim to the couch.”
And there you have it: breadlines and tenenment slums and no health care — just like 1902, or 1934. No wonder the media clammed up about the tent cities.
Tent cities will be front and center in the media only if/when a Republican is elected president.
The rural poor turning increasingly to “food auctions,” which offer items that may be past their sell-by dates.
We actually have a store in town that specialized in selling that kind of food (mostly canned goods).
“Tent cities will be front and center in the media only if/when a Republican is elected president.”
You must not have a big screen TV because you are clearly missing the big picture. Unless there is interference coming from background partisan claptrap radiation…
“Tent cities will be front and center in the media only if/when a Republican is elected president.”
So why are Fox News, Rush Limbaugh, Glenn Beck, the Tea Party, talk radio, and all of the Republican candidates silent?
“2. The rural poor turning increasingly to “food auctions,” which offer items that may be past their sell-by dates. And for those who like their meat fresh, there’s the option of urban hunting. ”
I had forgotten about this. A couple of the local grocery stores (in Davis) just give their expired food away. At least they were five years ago.
The big question, 10 years later, is whether things have improved or worsened for those in the bottom third of the income distribution
The MegaInc.$,…they’re $uffering $o! Hurry! reduce/eliminate their taxe$, Hurry,… Cinder$ & Ashe$…Agonie$ & Pain$, help ‘em.
The really amazing thing to me is how many of the middle class do not realize how precarious their situation is. Most of us are a job loss or medical crisis away from destitution.
“The most shocking thing I learned from my research on the fate of the working poor in the recession was the extent to which poverty has indeed been criminalized in America.
Perhaps the constant suspicions of drug use and theft that I encountered in low-wage workplaces should have alerted me to the fact that, when you leave the relative safety of the middle class, you might as well have given up your citizenship and taken residence in a hostile nation.
Most cities, for example, have ordinances designed to drive the destitute off the streets by outlawing such necessary activities of daily life as sitting, loitering, sleeping, or lying down. Urban officials boast that there is nothing discriminatory about such laws: “If you’re lying on a sidewalk, whether you’re homeless or a millionaire, you’re in violation of the ordinance,” a St. Petersburg, Florida, city attorney stated in June 2009, echoing Anatole France’s immortal observation that “the law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich as well as the poor to sleep under bridges…”
In defiance of all reason and compassion, the criminalization of poverty has actually intensified as the weakened economy generates ever more poverty. So concludes a recent study from the National Law Center on Poverty and Homelessness, which finds that the number of ordinances against the publicly poor has been rising since 2006, along with the harassment of the poor for more “neutral” infractions like jaywalking, littering, or carrying an open container.”
I wonder how much of this has been influenced by the prosperity gospel, the essence of which is that if you believe in God, then God will materially reward you. The unspoken subtext is that if God has not rewarded you, then you must be unrighteous. BTW, I do not believe that this is what Christianity teaches. I think it is a perversion of Christianity by our materialistic society.
And I think many atheists believe it without the religious overtones. For atheists, the belief expresses itself more as hard work is rewarded. The subtext here is that if you have not been materially rewarded, then you have not worked hard enough.
It may be a defense mechanism in uncertain times. A way to ward off the evil of poverty. I personally believe that hard work is necessary but not sufficient. And that hard work, like goodness, is its own reward. Both are worth the effort even if results are lacking.
If we can’t increase wages to increase peoples’ ability to pay back their debts, the debts will collapse and we will be in a long and ugly depression.
”
yea thats right any questions ?? no ?? good
Now that thats clear why is housing still high in Costal CA ?
Phoenix is sure taking a silde down to housing he!! doesn’t make sense to me that its still so expensive here in CA ? this place has got to break and break hard just like its neighbor Phoenix.
housing must be allowed to absolutely collapse…until then…we will remain stagnant.
geithner is a fool.
One possible reason is that although both states are ‘no recourse’, the laws differ slightly. Specifically, refinancing a mortgage in CA turns it into a recourse loan. In AZ, that only happens if additional cash is taken out. At least that has been the court’s interpretation of the law to date. Since rates have been falling for most of the last decade, my guess is a whole bunch of people in CA have refinanced and traded their no recourse mortgage for a recourse one. More recourse mortgages mean fewer foreclosures and slower drops in price.
Yes, a whole bunch have, Max Power. I saw a figure somewhere (don’t have it now) that in parts of California, 28% of mortage holders re-fied into option ARM mortgages. They are done for.
If they opted for ARMs, wouldn’t their payments have dropped in the past few years?
It’s pulling out of Federal retirement plans because “it believes it could provide benifits at a lower cost.”
A lot of private employers are doing the same: pulling out of retirement plans so they can provide benifits at a lower cost.
(snark)
The way they lower their benift costs is to CUT THEIR BENIFITS!
Promises, promises. Pay your employees in promises and you get to keep your employee costs WAY down, epecially when you are allowed to break those promises somewhere down the road (where the can continualy gets kicked).
But on the other end of those unkept promises are the schmucks who retired because they thought they were set for life. These empty promises will translate into reduced consumer spending, something that is not at all healthy for an economy that is seventy-one percent dependent on consumer spending.
One person’s promise of money is another person’s money. If the promise is not kept then the money will not be forthcoming and whomever it is that is on the wrong end of this promise gets to do without.
This should be a no brainer of an observation but for some reason it isn’t.
Promises, promises. Pay your employees in promises and you get to keep your employee costs WAY down, epecially when you are allowed to break those promises somewhere down the road ”
like stock options ?? crap I knew it
Ah, stock options. If you are an executive and you get paid in stock and in stock options then you have an incentive to keep the price of the stock up.
Not only do you have the incentive, you also have the ABILITY.
You have the ability to keep stock prices up because you have the ability to keep expenses down. And because most of the expenses you need to keep down are associated with labor costs - either active or inactive labor costs (i.e. retired labor costs) - these are the expenses that will take the hit.
“… you also have the ABILITY.”
Up to a point you have the ability. Mr. Market has the final say on just what the stock price will be.
I like the post office. I could do without all the pizza ads that arrive in my box, but I like getting the supermarket circulars. I barely get any catalogues anymore. The only junk mail I had to dispose of after more than two weeks on vacation were 4 or 5 credit card offers and a “switch your insurance to Geico” letter. The rest was all stuff I needed to receive. And I got to send a bunch of marine mammal toys to my nephew and niece for $2.39 this morning. They will arrive on Monday or Tuesday. This seems about right to send CA$5.94 (plus tax) worth of toys to small children. And I got a smile and friendly conversation with the clerk to start my day off.
I like this less over burdended post office. If they need to down size a bit to adjust to the lower level of mail, so be it.
Mail volume is off by 20% according to the article. What would an appropriate downsize be?
Probably in the vicinity of 20%. Not necessarily exactly that since it will depend on a lot of other factors like how well paid they are for the volume that is down and what other savings they can wrangle. For example, my parents get mail delivery to a set of boxes near the entrance to their development, not to their door. Other places could get that treatment as well.
What they really need to do is figure out the demand elasticity of different types of mail and price accordingly.
And I can see skipping mail delivery on Wednesday or Thursday. I don’t like skipping Saturday since that is two days in a row and that is a bit much.
Central Bankers Worldwide Race to Save Growth in 72 Hours of Policy making. (Bloomberg)
Central bankers are racing to shield their economies from fiscal tightening and lopsided currency swings that threaten a new global recession.
In the 72 hours after a Group of Seven conference call on Aug. 7, the Federal Reserve pledged to keep interest rates near zero through at least mid-2013, the European Central Bank intervened in bond markets and the Bank of England indicated it’s ready to add more stimulus if needed. Japan signaled renewed concern about the yen and Switzerland yesterday stepped up its fight to curb an “overvalued” franc.
“Central bankers have so far been the tower of strength,” said Stefan Schneider, chief international economist at Deutsche Bank AG in Frankfurt. “Lawmakers have done everything to destroy belief in their ability to solve the problems they’re facing.”
Today, the Bank of Korea kept interest rates unchanged for a second month.
Finance ministers and central bankers from the G-7 nations, which include the U.S., U.K. and Germany, said in a statement Aug. 7 that they will “take all necessary measures to support financial stability and growth in a spirit of close cooperation and confidence.”
The next day, the Frankfurt-based ECB, which last week restarted its bond-purchase program after an 18-week hiatus, extended its focus to include debt of Italy and Spain, the region’s third- and fourth-largest economies.
Growth that comes from increasing debt, just like supporting housing prices, just increase the problem.
The problem is the trade imbalances. We need to stop trying to figure out how to increase the trade imbalances, and start figuring out how to reverse them.
Agree. Anytime someone suggests raising tarrifs on imports from China to US, someone else counters with “oh but what if China raises tarrifs on exports from US to to China?”
http://www.ustr.gov/countries-regions/china
U.S. goods and services trade with China totaled $390 billion in 2009. Exports totaled $85 billion; Imports totaled $305 billion.
EXPORTS TO CHINA: China was the United States’ 3rd largest goods export market in 2010… U.S. exports to China accounted for 7.2% of overall U.S. exports in 2010.
The top export categories (2-digit HS) in 2010 were:
Electrical Machinery ($11.5 billion),
Machinery ($11.2 billion),
Miscellaneous Grain, Seed, Fruit (soybeans) ($11.0 billion), Aircraft ($5.8 billion),
Optic and Medical Instruments ($5.2 billion).
U.S. exports of agricultural products to China totaled $17.5 billion in 2010, the largest U.S. Ag export market.
soybeans ($10.8 billion),
cotton ($2.2 billion),
hides and skins ($952 million), and
feeds and fodders ($736 million).
U.S. exports of private commercial services* (i.e., excluding military and government) to China were $15.7 billion in 2009.
I wonder how much of that “machinery” and “hides and skins” are used to make products to sell back the US?
————-
IMPORTS FROM CHINA
U.S. goods imports from China totaled $365 billion in 2010, a up 841% over the last 16 years.
The five largest import categories in 2010 were:
Electrical Machinery ($90.8 billion),
Machinery ($82.7 billion),
Toys and Sports Equipment ($25.0 billion),
Furniture and Bedding ($20.0 billion), and
Footwear ($15.9 billion).
U.S. imports of agricultural products from China totaled $3.4 billion in 2010, the 3rd largest supplier of Ag imports. Leading categories include:
processed fruit and vegetables ($811 million),
fruit and vegetable juices ($386 million),
snack foods (including chocolate) ($190 million),
and fresh vegetables ($132 million).
U.S. imports of private commercial services* (i.e., excluding military and government) were $8.2 billion in 2009.
———————
The big ones are the machinery and electronic machinery — microwaves and iCrap.
My fruit roll-ups are probably from China. No wonder Big Ag fought that Country of Origin Labeling.
Reciprocal punitive tariffs were rolled out during the 1930s Great Depression. Do you have any idea how they worked out?
HINT: Artificially raising the prices of imports restricts the flow of international trade.
HINT: Artificially raising the prices of imports restricts the flow of international trade.
Well, losing Mandarin Orange$ from China might not be so awful, perhaps it might improve the bottom line$ of growers in Spain.
At the time of Smoot Hawley we were China, ie we had massive exports vs imports.
What is China going to do??
1. Sell our treasuries, well that will just drive up the value of their currency and make exports even harder.
2. Put Tariffs on what we sell them?? Not food, Not natural resources that they need to make stuff. Other stuff doesn’t count for a hill of beans.
3. Probably their biggest threat would be to ignore our patents and produce those goods for export to the world. If Europeand Australia who face similar problems got on board I’m willing to give the rest to China.
Nope Tariffs and or VAT taxes are EXACTLY what this country needs.
Agreed. We’re in a totally different situation now than we were during the 30’s. Protectionism will have a very different effect now that we’re a net importer.
Let me tell you something as a person living in China for some time now: the Chinese already tax imports. Imported stuff that is sold here is between plain expensive to mind blowingly expensive, depending on what that stuff is. I think there is a pretty steep dealer & retailer markup too (inefficient supply chains) but even in some of the most aggressive retailers (Walmart comes to mind) the few American or Western items sold are very expensive.
Oh yeah, and with the rise of the yuan one would expect prices to fall. They haven’t.
the Chinese already tax imports.
So, if the Americans suddenly decided to tax imports from China the same way that China taxes imports from the US, then what would China do? Tax imports even more?
Are raw materials taxed too, and how much? For example, $952M of hides and skins is used to make $15B in footwear. Does the shoe price include the import taxes for the hides to go into China, and would that cancel out the lower price of Chinese labor?
And I wonder about all thsoe soybeans. If those are taxed, then the Chinese can’t possibly afford to eat much.
the Chinese already tax imports. ”
yes I hear its still very cheap here in the USA to buy stuff compared to even buying it where it is made.
I saw this in Mexico it often makes for a thriving black market
If tariffs cause widescale suffering in China, who will they go to war with?
SEC Makes S&P Downgrade Inquiries
Published: Friday, 12 Aug 2011 | 4:09 AM ET
Kara Scannell, Financial Times
“The Securities and Exchange Commission has asked credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s to disclose who within its ranks knew of its decision to downgrade US debt before it was announced last week, as part of a preliminary look into potential insider trading, people familiar with the matter say.
This person said they were looking at who had the information as a starting point. The person added that the agency is not aware of a leak from an S&P insider, nor was it aware of an aberrational trade.
Proving someone leaked information about the downgrade, or traded ahead of it, could be challenging…”
‘The person added that the agency is not aware of a leak from an S&P insider, nor was it aware of an aberrational trade.’
If this is true, it is an intimidation action against S&P. Here we have the SEC, who did nothing while all the MBS mess was created, (you don’t hear that mentioned often do you? Mortgage backed SECURITIES) going after a firm that dares to issue a negative opinion on the US govt. S&P is supposed to offer this sort of opinion; that’s what they do.
I for one am disgusted by the way the media, DC and govt have acted about this whole credit ratings thing. You know what? The Tea Party didn’t cause this. What caused this is our government owes TOO MUCH DAMNED MONEY.
IMO, look for Moodys and Fitch to follow suit. That is unless some govt goons show up and threaten them for doing their job too.
I posted this a few days ago. This etf newsletter claimed, on July 25, that a billion dollar trade was placed against the US.
http://etfdailynews.com/2011/07/25/investors-the-1-billion-armageddon-trade-placed-against-the-united-states/
“The number of shops or even central banks that can take on this level of market risk is extremely small. Some that come to mind are hedge fund manager John Paulson, Bill Gross’s PIMCO, and the U.S. and Chinese central banks.
Paulson already scored big – about $6 billion big – on a similar trade years ago when he bet against subprime mortgages, the investments that helped bring down Lehman Bros. and many other investors.”
As I mentioned when I first posted this, my money’s on PIMPCO.
And to be fair, Ben, S&P, Moody’s, Fitch etc. rated all those securitized mortgages AAA. That’s when the hammer should have come down on the ratings agencies, big time. But it didn’t, and here we are today. I’m not saying the US didn’t deserve the downgrade. But as one of the posters here observed when I first posted the story, the ratings agencies do what Wall Street tells them to do. Wall Street paid them to rate the FFF- sausage AAA. And forgive me for being cynical, but I’m sure some financial entity dictated the downgrade, or at least was informed it was coming.
‘S&P, Moody’s, Fitch etc. rated all those securitized mortgages AAA. That’s when the hammer should have come down on the ratings agencies, big time.’
I disagree. I was following this when it wasn’t on anyone radar, and the raters were the public face to this. Why didn’t the hammer come down on those who were putting the MBS together? That’s who the SEC is charged with overseeing.
Look back at my posts in early 2005:
http://thehousingbubble.blogspot.com/2005/02/fitch-ratings-us-government-will.html
‘This morning the global credit evaluation service, Fitch Ratings, held a conference call and issued a position paper titled “GSEs: Are the ‘AAA’ Ratings at Risk.” While the short answer is maybe, the statement (registration req’d)makes it clear that the GSE bonds receive a high grade due to the understanding that uncle sam will guarantee them. “Senior debt ratings…include an assumption of support from the US government that would be provided in the event of severe financial stress”.
‘It goes on to say this view is reinforced by current legislation being considered that would increase oversight rather than cut ties to the firms. Fitch also made clear that if the guarantee were removed it would damage the entire economy. “If there was a major problem in their ability to issue debt, then the government would have to step in in order to support not just the GSEs but the overall economy as well,” said Fahey. “It’s very similar to support that we view in the money center banks in the United States.”
‘In other words, too big to fail. And much of the report focuses on how the failure should be handled!’
This wasn’t any big mystery, even at the time. But I had to read through 90 page reports to find this stuff. The media wasn’t doing it.
The reason it was triple A was because of the GSEs. And who were the raters counting on to back them up? They said it straight out; Uncle Sam! Recall that when the GSEs were in trouble in 2005, they arrogantly jumped with both feet into the subprime market. Just as congress refused to reform them OR back away from the ‘implicit guarantee.’
Why didn’t the hammer come down on those who were putting the MBS together?
Because the Republicans controlled most of Congress and the White House and Treasury Sec? Because K Street was running full tilt providing p*orn to the political appointees at the SEC so they would allow monopolistic mergers and acquisitions galore?
Now that there is a different Admin, someone’s at least trying to bring down the hammer, and you’re complaining?
“I disagree” Fair enough.
“Why didn’t the hammer come down on those who were putting the MBS together? That’s who the SEC is charged with overseeing.”
I’m not arguing that point, absolutely the hammer should have come down. Investors relied on the opinions of the ratings agencies. The ratings agencies relied on the “implicit guarantees” of the US govt. Nice cover, but it doesn’t mean squat, as we can see. And the ratings agencies know it, IMO. Or should have known. I personally just ended off relying on an “implicit guarantee” from a small business I worked with for almost a year. Needless to say, “implicit guarantees” mean nothing. If it isn’t written, it isn’t true. And sometimes even then… But I knew that going in, so I just shrug, take my lumps and move on.
“The reason it was triple A was because of the GSEs.” Well, if the ratings agencies are that incompetent, then they’re useless and shouldn’t exist anyway. BTW, I recall seeing a clip on 60 Minutes or some such program where a whistle blower at one of the ratings agencies tried to do his job and got fired for it. What does that mean, then? He committed heresy because he didn’t trust the GSE “implicit guarantee”?
“The media wasn’t doing it.”
Ben, sooner or later you are going to have to confront the fact that you ARE the media now, along with others like you. Whether you realize it or not, you stepped up to the plate and picked up the bat. You’ve designated yourself a journalist in your profile. So there you are. Those people and entities you call the media? They’re more concerned with whether Bert & Ernie should get married. I don’t know what you call them, Paul Craig Roberts calls them “presstitutes”. I’d say that’s apt.
You’ve picked up the bat they left lying in the dirt.
‘Because the Republicans…’
This partisan approach will never solve anything. Neither of the two parties has a monopoly on truth or right. What I can count on is that Democrats and Republicans are constantly working on one thing; to get re-elected.
‘Now that there is a different Admin, someone’s at least trying to bring down the hammer, and you’re complaining?’
Just who exactly is the hammer being brought down on?
Back to the credit thing: we have a govt that has borrowed more money than any entity in history. And they have to borrow billions EVERY DAY to keep the doors open. We’re numb to it. A billion is a thousand millions. Remember the old saying, ‘a billion here and a billion there and soon you’re talking about real money’? Now we’ve moved up to trillions.
This is a govt that “bailed out” how many companies in the past few years? Prop up house prices? How much have they spent on that? How much for the mortgage interest deduction? And the wars; how many are we running now? This country spends more on the military than the rest of the world COMBINED. Need I bring up the old saying “war is a racket”? That’s because at the root of it, corporations are stuffing more billions into their pockets. No problem, we’ll borrow it.
All this at a time when just about everybody is cutting back. Families, local govts, companies; all to get through this recession. But there is one entity in the world that refuses to cut anything. Not only that, but they want to borrow even more. And if anyone dares to suggest “they” might not pay it back, look out.
“Neither of the two parties has a monopoly on truth or right.”
I know that and you know that, but some of them don’t seem to.
This partisan approach will never solve anything.
——–
You asked why the SEC didn’t attack the rating agency of the MBS back when they were being bundled in 2005. I gave you a possible answer: that the SEC is partisan, from political appointees.
Will an equally partisan Dem SEC solve it? I dunno. They never seem to be in office long enough for us to find out.
The hammer is not being brought down yet, but they are least looking to see if it needs to be brought down.
“partisan approach”
No it won’t solve anything, especially if one side of the aisle utterly refuses to budge in their bargaining stance in order to through a wrench into the prospect of finding any potential way out for near-term political advantage.
“Neither of the two parties has a monopoly on truth or right.”
Yes but that does not mean that on grand, macro economic issues that both party’s truths are equal.
For 30 years the Republicans professing that cutting taxes for the rich/corporations and that free trade would create good jobs and shared economic growth has turned out to be a lie.
And for them to continue to do so when evidence has proved it is not so is not “right”.
They said it straight out; Uncle Sam!
“True$editionist$$erialEnabler$™” = Indemnified!
They’re still saying that, only with a different
iHhopinionation.
goalmeaning…this time around.It may seem like I pick on Republicans.
If so, it’s because they are telling more/bigger lies than the Democrats.
That someone is willing to bet the proverbial farm that U.S. interest rates will be going up.”
but interest rates went down
Yes, there was an aberrational trade, but my post with the link hasn’t shown up as yet. I also posted about it a few days ago. Pretty much greeted with yawns and crickets here on the HBB, except for one poster who observed that the ratings agencies do what Wall Street dictates.
Not saying the US didn’t deserve the downgrade, but this is just one big clusterfark at this point. The ratings agencies were rating those sausage CDOs and MBS as AAA, when they were junk at best. And the “government goons” who should have been doing their jobs back then, didn’t. NOW the ratings agencies got religion? And NOW the “government goons” want to look into it? All of a sudden everyone wants to do the jobs they should have been doing? Too late. It’s way past the point of that now.
Whereas I would argue that S+P is basically saying that the TP wing of the Republican party is more convincing when they say, “We’re willing to trash the full faith and credit of the US,” than Obama is when he says, “I’m willing to veto extension of the Bush tax cuts.” Can you blame them? Look, over the long term, we have SERIOUS difficulties with the combined expense of SS and Medicare. But over the short term, plenty of people are willing to lend to the US government, so ABILITY to pay isn’t an issue. The impediment to paying bondholders over the short term is the fact that some are using the debt limit as leverage in the fight to cut government spending. In the oft-used personal finance analogy the debt limit debate was like trying to get control of credit card spending by not sending out checks for a month, rather than cutting up the credit card or putting in more hours at the plant.
All that said, the downgrade was so consistently telegraphed by S+P, and evidently so ignored by the actual purchasers of government debt, that paying attention to this rather than their abysmally bad and self-serving performance leading up to the crisis DOES look like an attempt at intimidation.
Look, over the long term, we have SERIOUS difficulties with the combined expense of SS and Medicare.
That’s why the Tea Party is fighting so hard for single-payer health-care. Because they understand the problem so well.
If U.S. is serious about debt, there’s a single-payer solution
http://www.kansascity.com/2011/08/11/3070219/if-us-is-serious-about-debt-theres.html#storylink=omni_popular#ixzz1UpOZo71J
If America truly is serious about dealing with its deficit problems, there’s a fairly simple solution….
…the fact is that everyone who has studied the deficit problem has agreed that it’s actually a health care problem - more specifically, the cost of providing Medicare benefits to an aging and longer-living population…
….like a baby discovering its toes, Congress has discovered the deficit. And the plain fact is that unless you want to commit political suicide and cut Medicare to the bone - as Rep. Paul Ryan’s, R-Wis., budget plan would do - the best way to seriously address long-term deficits is to get control of health care costs through a single-payer plan.
…In 2008, when health care costs amounted to “only” 16 percent of U.S. gross domestic product, Great Britain was spending 8.7 percent of its GDP on health care, and Canada was spending 10.4 percent. Both nations have single-payer plans. Quality of care scores in both nations are at least comparable, and in most cases, better.
Eventually, the United States will have a single-payer plan. But we’ll waste a lot of money and time getting there.
Rio, it’s not just a cost problem, it’s an insurance problem.
The young and healthy pay health insurance twice: once for their own health insurance. That money goes to a high-profit insurance company. Then they pay again, for Medicare. Why not let the young and healthy help to pay for the old and sick directly, and knock out the middleman altogether?
This would work even if every procedure and drug costs that same.
Rio ,you hit it on the nose . Just like the cost of housing was not sustainable ,the cost of health care is not sustainable in the USA now .
I think it’s error for people to think of health care as the same as a regular business . Health care is a Insurance system to start with . The ‘Art of medicine ” isn’t even practiced anymore because of the profit motive insurance companies running the ship ,and the drug companies think in terms of profits ,not cures .The Insurance conpanies idea of curbing costs is to deny care ,or rationing If anybody trusts them they are crazy .
We must do medical care for 50% less cost . Its absurd that in order to get a good policy a young healthy family of 4 has to pay 25 or 30 % of the average wage to get that good policy . And why would they want to pay when they don’t think they will be provided for when they are
older and they really need to use the health care system a lot .
I think part of the problem is that we had these long term systems that worked and than the greed machine started altering the ratios for greater profits . Companies can’t afford the health care costs and people can’t afford them either .
If someone told me when I was young that the cost of a
good insurance policy for health would costs more than rent I would say that they must be joking . Further , a lot of these new drugs aren’t better than the old drugs that were used . No wonder Companies want to outsource jobs based on the health care costs alone in this Country . Evrything is tied into everything else .
The health care cost problem affects every other area of our economy . Just like you can’t buy a house that you can’t afford ,you can’t have health care that is out of sink with the average wage of the middle class which is the majority .
Many prices are out of whack these days based on the average income .
What is going to happen when people are forced to put to many dollars into health insurance and not enough toward other areas . One industry can unbalance the whole economy ,just like when you put 50% of your income toward housing rather than the 25% toward housing that was common for so many years . In Egypt they put 80% of their income toward food and that doesn’t leave much for anything else .
Nobody talks about what the price of things should be in terms of ratios of a family budget .All the price fixing in the world isn’t going to change the affordablity index.
Companies use to know how much they could get and they were willing to work on smaller profit margins to remain competitive .
In my view ,the economy need to be balanced or it will fail or you will have to many poor people that you won’t even be able to generate enough taxes to help them .
We are reversing all the gains we made for 100 years for whacked out unbalanced systems were the cost of things don’t make sense anymore .
People know that they are being fleeced ,but they don’t exactly know what to do about it,
Anyway ,any Country that doesn’t protect their job base is stupid ,to say the least .
Got it in one, Jim.
By the way, folks. SEC penalties are notoriously similar to being hit with a wet noodle, so an investigation is annoying in that you have to spend money on people to answer questions, but otherwise unlikely to be a big deal.
In addition, my recollection is that most SEC penalties are related to insider information are based on the ill-gotten gain related to having the extra information. Since US treasuries went UP in value, not down, in reaction to the downgrade, there won’t be any substantial penalties on anyone.
However, I think that figuring out if anyone at the rating agencies that has an obligation not to leak that sort of information, did leak it - well, that is a good thing. They are private companies who generally are paid in a set up that has the most blatant conflict of interest you could imagine. A good gander at their business practices and privacy controls is a good thing.
Well there ARE presumably plenty of trades that could have or may have been made that would have benefited from prior knowledge of the downgrade. Of course since the Obama administration was desperately trying to persuade them not to downgrade, the information might have come from there too.
And yeah, as a watchdog, the SEC seems more Fifi than Cerberus these days.
Excellent post Ben. Thank you.
I’ll ditto that.
“S&P is supposed to offer this sort of opinion; that’s what they do.”
I guess the First Amendment offers no protection against political witch hunts?
The original point was that there was an aberrational trade. And indeed there was. No one puts a billion bucks on the line without solid information. Did it come from S&P? Not a bad place to start. Nothing wrong with a little investigation, IMO.
Follow the money.
“No one puts a billion bucks on the line without solid information.”
I don’t buy it. We saw many billions of bucks bet on housing without solid information go straight down the tubes. Ten years earlier, the same thing happened with tech stocks.
And if memory serves, S&P’s had hinted of a potential downgrade months ago. Even without insider information, some large investors would naturally have taken positions that would benefit after a ratings downgrade. You cannot conclude that just because some individuals made a lot of money after the downgrade, they must have traded on insider information.
We’re talking about a single entity here, Bear. Not “some” individuals. At least, that was my takeaway from the story.
Anyway, palmy always enjoys a good conspiracy theory. As opposed to the utter banality of evil.
“The Tea Party didn’t cause this.”
I guess that depends on what the definition of ’cause’ is.
Sure the U.S. has long-term debt issues which must be addressed, but one political party digging in its heels and refusing to bargain towards a solution was implicitly given by S&P’s as one of the two proximate causes of the sovereign credit rating downgrade.
The other cause, described as a “continued rising U.S. government debt burden,” would appear quite difficult to resolve if one party is unwilling to budge from their hardline bargaining position.
“$&P takes its confidential information and securities trading policies, and the related securities regulation, very seriously,” said the statement. “Our policies prohibit analysts or rating committee members from trading and holding securities or options of the companies or governments they rate. In addition, we have long standing policies and procedures in place regarding the appropriate handling, use and protection of confidential information.”
BWAHAHAHicHAHAHicHAHAHAHAHicHAHAHic* (DennisN™)
Who started the $&P downgrade rumor?
By Chris Isidore @CNNMoney August 12, 2011
It wasn’t just officials within $&P who knew of the pending downgrade. Earlier that day, the Treasury Department was notified by the credit agency that it intended to downgrade the nation’s credit rating. Treasury officials challenged that decision, arguing $&P’s budget analysis included a $2 trillion mistake.
A senior administration official told CNN on background late on the afternoon of Aug. 5 that $&P was reconsidering its downgrade opinion. But while the credit rating agency changed its numbers to conform with Treasury’s, it went ahead with the downgrade anyway.
Revoke their license? You don’t say, what a concept!
SEC Asking About Insider Trading at S&P: Report
MarketWatch points out that, according to the 2006 Credit Rating Agency Reform Act, $&P could have its license revoked if it leaked word of the downgrade:
As observers call for a probe of insider trading from Standard & Poor’s decision to downgrade the U.S. credit rating, a little-known law from five years ago gives the Securities and Exchange Commission authority to do so.
Regulatory observers are focusing, partly, on a heavy trading volume and a major sell off of equity securities at one point on Friday, responding to speculation rampant in the markets that S&P was going to downgrade the U.S. debt later that day. $&P did, in fact, lower the U.S. government’s top-tier credit rating late that day a notch to AA+.
At issue, in part, is a 2006 statute — the Credit Rating Agency Reform Act — that says a credit rating agency could have its license registration revoked if it leaked information about its pending downgrade decision before making that information publicly available. It also said that the rater must have policies and procedures to prevent such a disclosure.
$&P says it does in fact have such policies in place, pointing to an 18-page section of its code of conduct. It’s illegal for $&P employees to trade the stuff they rate, and the policies try to prevent that, S&P says.
This news comes at a time when lawmakers are reaching across the aisle to join hands and then start kicking $&P repeatedly in the face.
MarketBeat / WSJ
don’t start with who leaked the information…start with who benefited.
Ahead of the Bell: Retail Sales
Retails sales expected to post small gain in July
August 12, 2011
WASHINGTON (AP) — Consumers likely spent more money on autos and at department stores in July. A jump in retail sales could signal Americans are a little more confident in the economy and help calm shaky financial markets at a precarious time.
Economists expect retail sales rose 0.4 percent in July, according to a survey by FactSet. The forecast is partly based on an expectation that car dealerships were busier and back-to-school sales attracted more shoppers. But economists also factored in that consumers paid slightly higher prices for gas.
The Commerce Department will release the new report at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Friday.
“Consumers likely spent more money on autos and at department stores in July.”
We can’t afford a new automobile, and we shop for our clothing on-line.
I buy most of my clothes at Sam’s Club.
Gee, I feel all fancy for shopping at Target..
I don’t even remember where I shop for clothes anymore. I happen to be out somewhere with the wife and I see a rack display of something useful at a great price, and I decide to buy on the spot.
Did I mention that I’m an engineer?
At least you buy your own. I do my husband’s clothes shopping FOR him. Unless it involves a trip to one of REI’s sales.
Shopping to an Engineer is like kryptonite to Superman, unless it’s for electronic toys.
Shopping to an Engineer is like kryptonite to Superman, unless it’s for electronic toys.
Or in my father’s case, laboratory equipment. Stuff he has in that place has mind-blowing price tags.
Mom and I didn’t know that he was capable of spending like that.
I buy $60 to $85 Hawaiian shirts at thrift shops for $3 to $5 each. I’m sure the dead guys wouldn’t mind! (wink)
“Did I mention that I’m an engineer?”
Same here, civil, and I’m hauling in $82k ± change in fly-over, and we honestly can’t afford a new car when you put a sharp pencil to it, yet we’re surrounded by $45k pick-up trucks. It’s the government supporting the financing of the automotive industry.
“Economists expect retail sales rose 0.4 percent in July…”
Economists EXPECT something. Then it pretty much can’t be right, otherwise how will it be UNEXPECTED in the next press release?
So I lookedon the Homepath website, thinking there would be some REO deals, but those house prices are as high as any other site. So why bother to pay the same price for a trashed house?
Today houses: Snap me up
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/422-N-Horners-Ln-Rockville-MD-20850/37099636_zpid/#{scid=hdp-site-map-list-address}
Decent small 1978 cape on 0.28 acres, no pix. VERY close to a Metro station (and railroad tracks).
May 1998: sold $99K
Oct 2010: listed $250K.
chased down slowly to
Aug 2011: pending $205K.
$205K is about a 2002 price. So that’s why prices are sticking at 2004 pricing. Any house lowered to a 2002 price is sold quickly. So re-al-TORS price optimistically. I wonder when/if prices will break the 2004-pricing floor. Probably never. Too much cash swishing around.
[by the way, the reason I don't mention 2003 pricing is because the price increase from 2002-2004 was so steep that 2003 was lost in the noise of growth.]
House 2: Tudor Revival Estate
near the boonies near a straight-shot road to the city.
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/1112-Hawlings-Rd-Brookeville-MD-20833/37207419_zpid/#{scid=hdp-site-map-list-address}
1989 3767 sq ft on 4 acres. Lots of beautiful pix. Nice wood trim. It even has its own Great Hall living room (you have to look to see the vaulted ceiling).
Apr 1986 Sold $63K. (I don’t believe this for a minute.)
Sep 2009 Listed $695.
Basement needs work.
Kitchen needs cosmetic updating because it has a laminate countertop and cheap flooring. I know HBB mocks granite, but you almost need it to match the rest of the house.
Price looks mostly ok, but it’s still that level-off 2004 pricing. Trouble finding a buyer…
“Buyer defaulted 2 days before settlement!!!!! - Excellent house - great bones. Now vacant & utilities are off and will NOT be turned on for any more inspections. 1st two buyers couldn’t wait - 3rd buyer defaulted - who’s next? Lakeside Title to close escrow. Multiple appraisals all at or above $700,000-short sale lender will not take less then $675 with 0 closing. (lower offers will be rejected)… “
“SOLD AS IS BUT SHOWS VERY WELL”.
Which means we put a bunch of lipstick on this pig and when you really start taking a close look it’s a POS.
Ignore the termintes and the leaking plumbing. Look past the cracked foundation and sinking basement.
Focus on the new $1 sqft laminate floring and $3 a gallon paint.
Yep. Perhaps…”Fresh paint covers all the water stains in the ceiling.” There was a vacant a few blocks away from me a couple of years ago WITH BIG HOLES IN THE ROOF. Eventually, they fixed the roof, painted it and it sold. I wonder what sort of serious, hidden damage remains, and whether the purchasers have any knowledge of the problems with the house.
Now vacant & utilities are off and will NOT be turned on for any more inspections.
BIG red flag…
Could you elaborate? Sounds to me more like a frustrated re-al-TOR than a problem with the house.
Well that certainly could hide non-working appliances, leaking plumbing and bad wiring.
Can’t check electric outlets
Can’t check the electrical panel
Can’t check the toilets
Can’t check the septic
Can’t check the drainage
Can’t check the HVAC
Can’t check the cable system
Can’t check the internet system
Can’t check the stove
Can’t check the dishwasher
etc.
etc.
Which wouldn’t be sooo terrible if it wasn’t being sold as-is.
House #1 is the one being sold As Is.
House #2 is the one where the re-al-TOR doesn’t want to turn on the power. I still don’t know if it’s something with the house. In this case, three deals already fell through, and there are already multiple inspections and appraisals. Maybe the re-al-TOR (or the bank or the FB) doesn’t want to repeat the process for another buyer? If I were looking at this house, I would ask for the inspections and appraisals from the prior deals. Would that be sufficient?
You are spending $205,000 of your life’s savings or future debt…
Just what does that mean to you?
If it is jsut a small part of your personal net worth - go with it as is and trust the other inspections.
If it is everything you have in the world - know exactly what you are buying. Do your own homework. Trust but verify everything.
OK let’s try again.
I posted listings for two houses.
House #1 is the As-Is house for $205K. The utilies in this house are ON. Now there’s probably something else wrong with the house, but you CAN check the utilities and the power outlets and flush the toilets etc.
For House #2, the $695K house is NOT being sold As Is. The utilities are OFF. Apparently the house has already been inspected/appraised several times for previous deals that fell through. I would guess that all the utilities were checked in the past couple of months. So, assume I want the house. I would look at the previous inspections. What if the previous inspection shows that the utilities were working just fine a month ago?
“Experience is a dear teacher, but fools will learn at no other.” - Benjamin Franklin
History has 100s of examples of economies attempting to maintain trade imbalances through constant debt generation, and ALL show that unless the imbalances reverse so the debt can be repaid, the debt will be written off as uncollectable, the money will go away as uncollectable, people will lose trust in money, and a depression will result.
Every time.
And yet, as we see the obvious signs of coming debt default, we refuse to even talk about aggressive means of reversing the imbalances.
We attempt to use monetary policy as the tool of reversing imbalances, but since we are dependant of foreign oil and chep foreign labor, that has been a counter productive exercise, widen deficts rather than shrinking them.
And the fools that will consider no other tool, speak of QE3 is in the bag. For what? To again widen our trade deficits? To allow the debt to get larger so that when it collapses, the total amount of money that has to disappear is even larger? The trust in money is even less after the collapse? The depression that follows the collapse is longer and deeper?
How does QE3 or stimulus or anything else being talked about in Washington or on Wall Street reverse our trade imbalances, both domestic and international?
We must reverse existing trade imbalances, or debt collapse and depression is inevitable.
“History has 100s of examples of economies attempting to maintain trade imbalances through constant debt generation, and ALL show that unless the imbalances reverse so the debt can be repaid, the debt will be written off as uncollectable, the money will go away as uncollectable, people will lose trust in money, and a depression will result.”
“… the debt will be written off as uncollectable, the money will go away as uncollectable…”
As in POOOOf.
Somebody - rather a whole bunch of somebodys - who thought they were going to get the money they were owed are in for a very disappointing - and very disasterous - surprise.
excellent post Darrell . I have been really digging your posts lately because I think your right on in your thinking .
Realtors Are Liars®
“Corporations are people.” Mitt Romney
LOL, what a complete beneath- contempt- buffoon.
“So’s Soylent Green.”
OK, we have the possibility of a syllogism here.
Corporations are people.
Soylent Green is people.
Does that mean that corporations are Soylent Green?
I think we have an undistibuted middle issue, since not all people are corporations and not all people are Soylent Green. Darn. Could have been funny.
Romney said, “Corporations are people,* my friends.” I didn’t like his tone. The Dems had a political ad up on the web within hours. Romney’s potential Macaca moment.
———-
*Romney MAY have been trying to convey that there are worker bees in corporations, and that low taxes on corps would be passed on to the worker bees…. but I doubt it. Even if that’s what he meant, it’s still a lie. Everybody has seen the execs take the money and the workers bees get the shaft.
My dad was an exec. He often said that “companies are just groups of people.”
My dad was an exec. He often said that “companies are just groups of people.”
My dad was an exec too. He often said “I can’t find my cigarettes”.
Companies are a lot more than just groups of people. They are also concentrations of wealth and power. This is probably much more true now than it was when your father made his statement.
Companies are groups of people where some people are a LOT more equal than others. Try again, Skye.
Aren’t public companies groups of people who are bound by law to make as much money for another group of people, a group of people who don’t much care for the members of the first group or how the money is made?
“Everybody’s selling? Then buy! Everybody’s buying? Then sell!”
Yes, Mr. Bubble. Which means that the top half of the company could make its profit by eating the bottom half and the stockholders wouldn’t care.
This is precisely what has been happening.
trying to convey that there are worker bees in corporation$, and that low taxes on corp$ would be passed on to the worker bees
(Eyes know, x1 example is not a trend, eye’ll look-see iffin’ eyes can po$$ibly find a few more$ to support the obviou$):
The folk$ who really Made-off are the no-hold$-barred wealthie$ who are still “Free to move about their favorite countries!” (Tankxs SouthWest!)
The MegaInc.$,…they’re $uffering $o! Hurry! reduce/eliminate their taxe$, Hurry,… Cinder$ & Ashe$…Agonie$ & Pain$, help ‘em.
“Of the roughly $90 billion of profit$ repatriated in 2004, Pfizer was by far the biggest beneficiary, $aving $11 billion in taxes, Johnston recalls. “They started destroying jobs the day they brought it back” and have cut 40,000 U.S. jobs in the ensuing years.”
Romney said, “Corporations are people,* my friends.” I didn’t like his tone. The Dems had a political ad up on the web within hours. Romney’s potential Macaca moment.
That use of “my friends” really galls me. Mitt’s not my friend. Trust me on that.
He may have been referring to shareholders.
Mormons are people.
Mormons are corporations.
Romney is a Mormon/moron/corporate sycophant.
There is an amazing talent vacuum in national politics at the moment. Perhaps no rational person would want to take over driving this trainwreck. Buckle up!
That certainly explains some of the candidates we’re seeing….
Big Corporations are entities that can bribe politicians ,they can price fix ,they can create a monopoly ,they can crush the small guy ,and they are entities that can blackmail because they are to Big to
fail . Corporations are detached from the human factor and they are well skilled at playing the Government for pawns to improve their bottom line because they provide jobs . They can transfer Society pains to the
government while they make off with the extra profit .
Wall street and the banks can create ponzi schemes and debt and bubbles and fake pricing and all that jazz .
The incentive of profit is good up to the point that it gets destructive .
i heard a Africian on TV say one time that he didn’t want a hand out from Americans but he wanted a job to be self sustaining ,but his Country was so corrupt that money ended up going to the powerful .
The US is in a stagflationary economic depression.
Only because we are still able to use increasing government debt to support the existing debt.
Force governemtn to cut spending and raise taxes, the debt returns to full collapse mode.
Jump 6 months from now. What? We just cut grandma’s Medicare and social Security and took away my mortgage interest deduction, but we’re going to give Fannie and Freddie another $20B to cover losses? Oh, I don’t THINK SO!
Debt support is withdrawn, money starts going away… It won’t be stagflation.
So, some moron was talking about what a suck president Obama is because he is extending unemployment benefits thinking that will grow the economy.
Wrong, Obama knows that UE doesn’t grow the economy, it simply prevents the negative feedback loop of falling wages resulting in less spending, cutting revenue to businesses, causing falling wages.
I KNOW I heard stories of Reagan extending UE benefits. Bush Sr and Bush Jr did as well under their own recessions. Remember, using debt to lift economic activity from the demand constrained side of the trade to the supply side constrained side of the trade is the KEY to supply-side economics. It is why it is CALLED supply-side economics.
(Yes, I realize it won’t help this time becuase we are heading for a solvancy depression, not a liquidity recession.)
Anyway, I went looking for old news stories about Reagan extending UE benefits. Instead, what I found is a story comparing Reagan to Obama. Both came in at near identicle voter approval rates, then saw those voter approval ratings slide as recessions lingered… of course, Reagan had the option of turning on the previously constrained flow of private sector debt. Obama does not have that option since we have already been growing debt at 3x the sustainable rate for the last 30 years.
Anyway, the story had this quote,
“There is no similarity between what Reagan did to help the ailing economy in the early 1980s versus what Obama did between 2008 and 2010. Reagan cut taxes. Obama spent nearly a trillion dollars to kick start the economy.”
HELLO!!!! The stimulus was 40% tax cuts and credits.
AND,
In Reagan’s first term he increased the national debt from $930B to $1.663T. That is a 79% increase in the national debt.
When Obama took office $10.7T in national debt. If we grow at $1.7T per year for 4 years, that is $6.8T, or 64% increase in the national debt.
Outlays in 1980 budget was $591B. 1984 was $851B. An increase of 44%.
Outlays in 2008 were $2.98T. Projected for 2012 are $3.73T. An increase of 25%.
Obama and Reagan are different on cutting taxes and increasing spending… HOW?
Oh, right. While both are using debt in an attempt to lift economic activity from the demand-side to the supply-side, Reagan was more successful because when he came into office, the 3 presidents before him had controlled debt growth and shrank it as % of GDP, while Obama is strapped with the previous 30 years of private secotr growth having increased at 3x the sustainable rate.
Reagan had the inflation and population adjusted equivilant of about $8T in private sector debt, while Obama have $24T in private secotr debt.
Reagan had the legacy of Ike, high taxes and low government spending. While Obama has the legacy of Reagan’s low taxes and high spending.
Rather than attacking Obama, perhaps it is time we attack supply-side economics and its use of debt to replace falling wages to support trade imbalances. Perhaps it is time to attack the trade imbalances.
Why do liberals always try to compare Reagan to obummer?
Obama is a complete leftist failure. He is going to lose in a landslide in 2012.
Hope and change…
Yes we can…
Four more years…
GITMO still open for business…
US Troops still in Iraq…
Almost doubled the US troops in Afghanistan…
New war in Libya…
Extended the patriot act…
Tripled the insane Bush deficits in just 2 years…
Hmmm - where did all the protestors GO? WHERE?
I am not a liberal. I changed my voter registration from independant to republican 3 years ago so that I could vote for Ron Paul.
Yes, Obama is a failure, but I do not beleive McCain would be better. Those were my only 2 choices after McCain beat Ron Paul for the nomination.
And, why compare Reagan to Obama? Oh, I don’t know? Maybe because the show fits?
Maybe because Obama’s use of debt to attempt to lift the economy above the demand side of the trade IS REAGONOMICS!
Obama is a failure, I give you that.
Look upon the end results of Reagan’s supply-side ecnomics, and despair. Private sector debt has grown at 3x the sustainable rate… not since Obama, since Reagan. Debt to GDP has exploded, not since Omaba, since Reagan.
The 2nd derivative change occured under Reagan. It has just taken 30 years to build the house-of-cards into what it was when Obama was elected.
Yes, Obama is a failure, but I do not beleive McCain would be better.
With McCain:
No obamacare
No trillion dollar stimulus package
No war in Libya
Hey - it is a start…
Perhaps no Obama care.
No stimulus. What?
Bush did a stimulus. McCain was talking about stimulating the economy during the campaign. But, for the sake of argument you are correct.
We lost 750K jobs the month before Obama took office and the trend was increasing. That immediatly reversed when the stimulus passed. As stimulus ended, weak job economy returned.
Would we really have been better had we been in depression 2 years ago instead of 2 years from now?
No war in Lybia? McCain was a huge proponent of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. He was a big proponent of the surge. I see no reason to beleive he would not have dropped some pain on Lybia had the rebels riden up, then begun losing the fight.
Again, you aren’t convincing me McCain understands that used of debt to ignore trade imbalances is the road to doom. You aren’t convinging me McCain would have aggressily attacked the trade imbalances, both internation and domestic, and reversed them so that people with debt have a chance of getting the money they need to repay thier debts.
You are not convincing me he would have been any better of a president.
It is WAGE to DEBT ratio stupid. You may be able to improve wages by making conditions better for corproate profits, but only through increased access to debt, which destorys the wage to debt ratio and is the road to economic collapse.
Mc$ame = Peace bro!
“Get out there sacrifice and protect America’$ Interest’$!” (and my wife$ x7 really really, nice homes.)
No war in Libya
Bomb! Bomb! Bomb! Iran!
Bush did a stimulus. McCain was talking about stimulating the economy during the campaign. But, for the sake of argument you are correct.
Obama’s 1 Trillion dollar stimulus passed without 1 Republican vote…
And the very same bill would have had all kinds of Republican votes, if McCain was elected.
How many of them voted for TARP??
Actually, anyone who doesn’t drink the Republican tea IS a Socialist.
The Republicans ran out of Commie boogie-men, and have found the “Socialist” tag to be much more useful. “Socialist” by their definition being anyone who disagrees with them.
I used to be a Republican., until the Republican Party started looking and behaving like the Taliban.
Maybe that’s why we’re still in the ’stans………they are trying to kill off their competition.
STFU with your non-housing Fox news BS. Ya friggin clown.
2banana pray tell me which shining GOP leader will replace Obama?
The real reason to extend UE benefits is to ensure he doesn’t face the wrath of the unemployed during the election. There are a lot that fit that category.
Ron Paul (R)
Wake me up if Ron Paul reaches the final four of the playoffs.
The economy is sick.
Greenspan gave it junk food and cheap beer.
Bernanke gave it vitamins, but didn’t stop the cheap beer.
Now he’s thinking of giving it antibiotics (and cheap beer).
The Chinese might be brought in to operate on it.
And Ron Paul is prescribing a multiple organ transplant. Even if that is the right solution, it ain’t gonna happen.
Ron Paul is going to throw Grandma into the street.
If metahor isn’t your strong point, try this one: Ron Paul is going to take Grandma out of the nursing home (no longer paid 2/3 by medicaid) and throw her onto your front doorstep. And she will need food and medication (no longer by paid by SS/Medicare). That is NOT metaphorical.
lil Opie (non-Hawaiian) Muslim = Evil-doer destroying America!
“I never meet a politician who didn’t provide something of value for the American Citizen” Hwy50
(italics & Highlights are owned by Hwy50)
Ron Paul on Budget & Economy:
* Wall Street is dumping its trouble onto Main Street. (Sep 2008)
* Mortgage & Financial Institutions Trust: more of the same. (Sep 2008)
* Wasteful government spending backed by both parties. (Apr 2008)
* There’s payback for guns and butter. (Feb 2008)
* Repeal 16th Amendment and get rid of the income tax. (Feb 2008)
* Great nations and empires end for financial reasons. (Feb 2008)
* Live within our means and start paying down the deficit now. (Feb 2008)
* All bets are off if a cataclysmic dollar devaluation occurs. (Feb 2008)
* We owe foreigners $2.7 trillion and more printing won’t do. (Feb 2008)
* Stimulus package means more printing & devaluing the dollar. (Feb 2008)
* Economic Revitalization Plan: “Prescription for Prosperity”. (Feb 2008)
* We’re worse off than in 2000, due to Bush & Congress. (Jan 2008)
* The people, not government, are supposed to run the economy. (Jan 2008)
* Reagan was very sympathetic to the gold standard. (Jan 2008)
* Federal Reserve creates money and prints it out of thin air. (Jan 2008)
* Economic stimulus ok, but not via spending & printing money. (Jan 2008)
* Dollar crashing due to trillions spent on maintaining empire. (Jan 2008)
* Waving a flag the whole time on spending. (Jan 2008)
* Lower interest rates CAUSED housing bubble & can’t solve it. (Jan 2008)
* The longer the Fed delays recession, the worse the recession. (Jan 2008)
* Give up American empire; that reduces debt without sacrifice. (Dec 2007)
* We spend too much, tax too much, & print too much money. (Dec 2007)
* Restore GOP by returning to less gov’t & fiscal conservatism. (Dec 2007)
* Weak economy is source of resentment against immigrants. (Dec 2007)
* Maintain the value of the dollar, unlike Federal Reserve. (Oct 2007)
* Currency inflation counterfeits prosperity & destroys poor. (Oct 2007)
* Can’t legislate economic fairness; so make government small. (Sep 2007)
* Prioritize spending based on Constitution–and lower it too. (Sep 2007)
* Fiat money causes economic & political imbalances. (Jun 2007)
* Government out of regulating economy & out of our bedrooms. (Jan 2007)
* Oil prices rise in part because of the weak dollar. (Jan 2006)
* We can’t afford a trillion-dollar war in Iraq. (Jan 2006)
* Maintaining American empire diminishes dollar. (Jun 2004)
* We’ve come to accept debt, wealth confiscation, & big gov’t. (Dec 1987)
* Gold standard limits deficit spending. (Dec 1987)
* Friedman monetarist policy is better, but still inflationary. (Dec 1981)
* Depreciating currency is greatest threat to middle class. (Dec 1981)
* Gold standard avoids need for government promises. (Dec 1981)
* Gold standard means minimal inflation. (Dec 1981)
* Dollar as fiat currency only benefits politicians. (Dec 1981)
* Voted YES on terminating the Home Affordable mortgage Program. (Mar 2011)
* Voted NO on $192B additional anti-recession stimulus spending. (Jul 2009)
* Voted NO on modifying bankruptcy rules to avoid mortgage foreclosures. (Mar 2009)
* Voted NO on additional $825 billion for economic recovery package. (Jan 2009)
* Voted NO on monitoring TARP funds to ensure more mortgage relief. (Jan 2009)
* Voted NO on $15B bailout for GM and Chrysler. (Dec 2008)
* Voted NO on $60B stimulus package for jobs, infrastructure, & energy. (Sep 2008)
* Voted NO on defining “energy emergency” on federal gas prices. (Jun 2008)
* Voted YES on restricting bankruptcy rules. (Jan 2004)
* Allow $3 on 1040 form to pay off National Debt. (Sep 2000)
* Supports Balanced Budget Amendment & on-budget accounting. (Dec 2000)
* Maintain public information about M3 money supply. (Mar 2006)
* Member of House Banking Committee. (Mar 2011)
* Raise small business depreciation to $125,000. (Jul 2009)
* Liberty Candidate: End the Federal Reserve. (Sep 2010)
Ron Paul on Civil Rights:
Protect all voluntary associations; don’t define marriage. (Oct 2007)
Voted NO on Constitutionally defining marriage as one-man-one-woman. (Jul 2006)
Voted NO on making the PATRIOT Act permanent. (Dec 2005)
Voted NO on Constitutional Amendment banning same-sex marriage. (Sep 2004)
Voted NO on constitutional amendment prohibiting flag desecration. (Jun 2003)
Ron Paul on Crime:
# Opposes death penalty at state and federal level. (Jan 2008)
# Changed opinion to anti-death penalty due to many mistakes. (Sep 2007)
Voted YES on funding for alternative sentencing instead of more prisons. (Jun 2000)
Voted NO on more prosecution and sentencing for juvenile crime. (Jun 1999)
Ron Paul on Drugs:
We don’t need laws to tell us to not use heroin. (May 2011)
War on drugs is out of control; revert control to states. (Dec 2007)
Repeal most federal drug laws; blacks are treated unfairly. (Sep 2007)
Inner-city minorities are punished unfairly in war on drugs. (Sep 2007)
Drug War fosters violence at home & breeds resentment abroad. (Oct 2001)
Societal inconsistency on alcohol contributes to drug use. (Dec 1987)
Distribute sterile syringes to reduce AIDS and hepatitis. (Jan 2009)
Sponsored bill letting states legalize industrial hemp. (Apr 2009)
$500B on War on Drugs since 1970s has been a total failure. (Sep 2007)
Legalize industrial hemp. (Jan 2007)
War on Drugs has abused Bill of Rights . (Dec 2000)
Legalize medical marijuana. (Jul 2001)
Ron Paul on Foreign Policy:
We spend $1 trillion a year overseas; it’s needed at home. (Sep 2008)
We invested $70B in Mubarak; stop spending on puppets. (Feb 2011)
Can’t spread our goodness through the barrel of a gun. (Feb 2008)
We tax people to blow up bridges overseas then rebuild them. (Jan 2008)
Cut off all foreign aid to Israel & to Arabs. (Dec 2007)
Stop interfering with Latin America; talk & trade instead. (Dec 2007)
Empires usually end by spending too much to maintain empire. (Dec 2007)
Stronger national defense by changing our foreign policy. (Nov 2007)
Right to spread our values, but wrong to spread by force. (Aug 2007)
Interventionism perpetuated by politician’s false patriotism. (Jun 2007)
No foreign aid; no treaties that commit US to future wars. (Jun 2007)
Our foreign policy is designed to protect our oil interests. (Jun 2007)
Non-intervention is traditional American & Republican policy. (May 2007)
Avoid double standard–follow international law. (Jun 2006)
No nation-building; no world policeman; no pre-emptive war. (Jan 2006)
Ban foreign aid to oil-producers who restrict production. (May 2001)
There is a lot to like in Ron Paul’s positions.
Where did all the protesters go? They were blacklisted from being on TV. Jon Stewart and Steven Colbert got and estimated 240,000 people on the Mall for their rally. I agree with that estimate because I was there.
Meanwhile, plenty of *ahem* liberal websites have dug up and posted wide camera angle shots of any Tea Party rally, including for Sister Sarah. Let’s just say, I’ve seen more people in line for Space Mountain.
I’ve seen more people in line for Space Mountain
Marvin the Martian: ““TrueAnger™” earthling, take me to your Evangelical $aturdaynightsinner/$undaymorningsaint “TruePurity™” leader”
The best was when they used footage of a crowd from another season to make their rally look bigger. I think it was FOX and Stewart caught them at it, in one slide the trees are green then brown leaves in the view of the crowd.
Obama is a complete leftist failure
I don’t understand this Obama “socialist” of “leftist” label. It’s like the people saying such have no idea what the words mean. What I don’t like about Obama is that he is a corporatist meaning he advocates even more corporate control, monopolies and big business’s domination over smaller businesses.
For example, the definition of socialism: noun: “a theory or system of social organization that advocates the vesting of the ownership and control of the means of production and distribution, of capital, land, etc., in the community as a whole.”
Now where has Obama “vested the ownership and control of the means of production and capital (money) in the “community as a whole”? In his biggest policy change of health reform? No. In fact Obamacare has done the opposite. It has vested even more control in the private health insurance companies by requiring the public to purchase a product from PRIVATE companies. This is not socialism. Was continuing Bush’s bailing out of private banks socialism? No. In fact bailing out private companies with public tax money can be considered the opposite of socialism. Here’s an article by conservative Forbes on the subject:
“Obama Loves The Rich”
The president is no socialist. If anything, he’s an oligarch.” Forbes
http://www.forbes.com/2009/04/26/obama-bush-paulson-ayn-rand-opinions-columnists-tea-parties.html
From the article:
“Obama’s no socialist. An observer from Mars would think the man’s a downright oligarch. While the “angry white men” movement assembles into tea parties, the real anger should be felt by those on the left who have so far watched the president continue to follow an economic rescue plan that was outlined by George Bush and Hank Paulson. The only thing that Obama has socialized are the losses incurred by Wall Street’s major banks “
I’ve given up on discussing anything with the Tea-publicans. I’ve got more productive things to do.
They STILL believe he wasn’t born a US citizen. It’s like discussing politics/economics with someone from an alternative, parallel universe. Can’t even agree on the facts, so how is anyone going to have a meaningful discussion on policy?
The debt ceiling stuff just shows that things are too screwed up to fix. Republicans are utterly convinced that cutting government spending (except for defense) will fix all our ills. And they believe in cutting welfare to poor people before they cut the first dime of “corporate welfare”
I think they are dead wrong, but it has become apparant to me that until their program blows up in everyone’s face and their economic policy is totally discredited, they will stick with the plan.
I think they are dead wrong, but it has become apparant to me that until their program blows up in everyone’s face and their economic policy is totally discredited, they will stick with the plan.
They’ll just blame it on Obama and all the ditto heads will agree.
Even if the were in charge and slashed welfare we’d still have a trillion+ deficit. Of course then President Bachmann will tell us that “deficits don’t matter” whike we invade yet another country.
I saw a recruitment ad for the Navy, showing proud swabbies doing humanitarian deeds around the globe.
The tagline was something like “The Navy: A force for good around the world”
I’m sure that the citizens of other countries don’t quite see it that way.
I’ve given up on discussing anything with the Tea-publicans. ……It’s like discussing politics/economics with someone from an alternative, parallel universe.
No, no, no….. Don’t stop discussing politics with the Tea Party spaceballs. You just have to be tricky and confuse them into thinking differently.
For example if they are ragging on Obama about being a “socialist” you say something like, “I know dude, he’s the worst kind of “socialist”….he takes our hard earned tax dollars and bales out the corporations and banks just like neocon Bush did…he privatizes the profits and “SOCIALIZES” the losses, its crazy!”.. Then they’ll scratch their heads and mumble something and then you hit them with something like. “And we need to get big money out of the campaigns. The corporations and UNIONS can now give as much money as they want to campaigns!” (stress unions while you are including corporations in the argument and after they agree on the evil union thing you add in the corporation angle again. (They’ll get all flabbergasted and mumble something inane again but you got them thinking)
If they’re on Medicare say something like. “And what’s up with Obamacare? Why couldn’t we all be able to buy into Medicare to help bring down the costs for the elderly” (by supporting the “elderly” they’ll listen because it’s their cheese.)
Then bring in the patriot angle of the troops. Say “And why couldn’t we ALL be able to buy into the VA system that heals our heroes? With more of us buying into the system it would bring costs down and give our troops even better care than the fine public/military healthcare they get now” (This will really stump them so at this point you go on to talk about football or something because that was enough for one day)
They’ll still hate Obama but for the first time they’ll be thinking about other things that they hadn’t before.
’spaceballs’
That’s a strong political point you’re making there. I’m sure you are going to win over a lot of converts with school-yard name calling.
This is what I don’t get about positions like yours. It isn’t effective. Anymore than starting a discussion out by calling the other side “union thugs” or “towel heads.” Nothing constructive will follow such a position. Then you probably wonder why no one will agree with you, or if they do, there aren’t enough of you to actually change anything.
Like it or not, our political system has many factions. Some you may not agree with and some that won’t agree with you. But we’ve got a lot of problems in this country, and we better start figuring out how we can agree on some basics and move forward. Being an ideologue may bring you some sort of satisfaction, but ultimately it’s a dead end, unless you are willing to force everyone to do what you want. And good luck with that.
IMO, everybody has some point of view worth considering. If we do that, debate the relative merits of each and, maybe even through (gasp) compromise, vote and move to the next issue, we can get somewhere.
If we do that, debate the relative merits of each and, maybe even through (gasp) compromise,
Who requires documented signatures on a “Our-Party-Policy-Pledge” written in “we’ll-come-after-ya” blood oath ink? :-/
Then you probably wonder why no one will agree with you, or if they do, there aren’t enough of you to actually change anything.
I stand by “spaceballs” and most Americans agree with me. The Tea Party is laughed at, ridiculed and enjoy only about 31% of Americans support and respect according to many latest polls.
Being an ideologue may bring you some sort of satisfaction, but ultimately it’s a dead end, unless you are willing to force everyone to do what you want.
I’m not forcing anyone. I just gave a good plan on how to deal with the Tea Party spaceballs.
“What I do about
slavery, and the colored race,healthcare I do because I believe it helps to savethe UnionAmerican Citizen lives; and what I forbear, I forbear because I do not believe it would help to savethe UnionAmerican Citizen lives. I shall do less whenever I shall believe what I am doing hurts the cause, and I shall do more whenever I shall believe doing more will help the cause. I shall try to correct errors when shown to be errors; and I shall adopt new views so fast as they shall appear to be true views.I have here stated my purpose according to my view of official duty; and I intend no modification of my oft-expressed personal wish that all men every where could be free of [non-“TruePurity™”] diseases.
Yours,
A. Lincoln.lil’ Opie (the non-Hawaiian)“It’s like the people saying such have no idea what the words mean.”
Correction: “The people saying such have no idea what the words mean.”
Obama may be a failure, but he’s no leftist.
He’s about as far right as I’ve ever seen a dem president go.
He’s about as far right as I’ve ever seen a dem president go.
Oh yea? Well he looks like a socialist.
“Rather than attacking Obama, perhaps it is time we attack supply-side economics”
I’m the broken record as far as supply side goes. It’s a flawed, failure prone model. And I’ve been saying so for 25 years.
You win. I only figured it out in about ‘98 watching the tech bubble inflate from the inside as a computer programmer, while my truck driver friend took a 2nd mortgage on his home to play the IPO market even though he didn’t know the difference between a capitalized expense and an operating expense, the difference between P/E and market cap.
One difficulty in comparing the 2008 deficit with the 2012 deficit is how TARP was calculated. Even though it was extended as a loan it was counted as spending. When it was paid back with interest it lower the deficit in following years so Obama deficits are higher than they actually numbers. Also you pick and choose when you want percentages. Reagan added $700 billion dollars in debt his first term when he was both fighting a severe recession and the cold war, which he won which allowed Clinton to cut the defense budget during his administration without risking the nation. Obama adding 6.8 trillion to that debt even when adjusted for inflation is horrible, it is close to 10 times Reagan’s number nominally. Reagan’s energy policies also lead to sharply lower energy prices. Gasoline today is still twice what it was when Obama took office and if you look at Brent the true measure of price still well over $100. Also, while Reagan inherited high interest rates which drive up the costs of financing a debt, Obama inherited record low interest rates. If he had to finance at higher rates we might have a deficit a trillion a year more.Reagan policies lead to GDP growth coming out of the recession 3X what we are seeing out of Obama sorry while it is true Reagan had the advantage of low consumer debt, Obama should have adjusted his policies based on that reality and not overburden the county with the uncertainty that his health care program, EPA, NLRB etc have caused and done everything to promote private sector growth. He is a failed president like Jimmy Carter because he is like Jimmy Carter.
My worry is, “To what degree are banks ‘paying back’ tarp funds simply with money borrowed from the Fed?” To the extant that’s the case, in a real way we’re still collectively on the hook for it.
I certainly agree with your comment. The banks are getting an unfairly low interest rate at the expense of savers it is more crony capitalism instead of the real thing which works quite well when it is allowed to function.
Unfortunately, as the debt expands how does a government allow interest rates return to market rates that allow for the efficient allocation of capital? Reagan accepted the need for higher rates and that both slowed his recovery and increased his deficits but we had ultimately had a stronger recovery and lower interest rate which indeed allow consumers to take on more debt. However, only beginning in the Clinton Administration and carrying over in Bush II, did we have the federal reserve adopt policies which artificially depressed interest rates which set us up for this fall. Not allowing small recessions to occur is like not allowing forest fires to occur. Instead of having a fire that just clears out the debris, you have a crown fire which destroys the forest.
Really
DAN SAYS “” Reagan accepted the need for higher rates and that both slowed his recovery and increased his deficits “”
Reagan didn’t control interest rates, unless you believe the FED is not independent of the president.
DAN SAYS “”However, only beginning in the Clinton Administration and carrying over in Bush II, did we have the federal reserve adopt policies which artificially depressed interest rates ?????
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5ETNX&t=my&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=
Sure looks like the fall started earlier.
Who fired paul volker and appointed Greenspan I just can’t remember.
Dan I love a good rant as much as the next guy, but do a little research.
a little cherry picking
1. Medicare prescription drug plan approved under GW debt accrued onto Obama
2. War spending - We seem to be withdrawing at a snails pace but if the war had never been started.
3. Deregulation and collapsing bubble destroyed tx revenue for Obama. The spending was already agreed upon but the tax revenue collapsed. Also spending on unemployment increased dramatically.
Reagan added $700 billion dollars in debt his first term when he was both fighting a severe recession and the cold war
Are you saying Reagan was a Keynsian??
Reagans energy policies kept oil prices low.
This is laughable, take a good look at how much oil the US produces and how much it changed under Reagan
1981 we produced 8,572,000 per day, in 1989 7,613,000 and by 1990 it was 7,355,000 per eia site.
http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=MCRFPUS2&f=A
You say , Obama should have adjusted his policies based on that reality and not overburden the county with the uncertainty that his health care program, EPA, NLRB etc have caused and done everything to promote private sector growth
Tell us what he could have done
You want him to cut spending which would kill consumption.
If you are true republican Free Trade is your answer which of course has of course devistated manufacturing.
More tax cuts to the elite - We can all see what that has done for demand. They have accrued an ever larger slice of the economic pie and that has crushed demand. The housing bubble was designed to hide that now we see reality.
Here’s another thing the EPA and NRLB existed before Obama. The NRLB since 1934. The health care program hasn’t even started.
PS inflation adjusted debt would make Reagans debt look worse not better. I’m not sure what you are talking about there.
“Gasoline today is still twice what it was when Obama took office “
This may have more to do with Peak Oil than with the man in the White House.
FYI
There are tax cuts and then there are tax cuts…
“A majority of the Obama “tax cuts” were “refundable” income tax credits, which involve sending a government check to people who do not even pay income taxes, economically indistinguishable from increased government spending.”
Forbes.com
“So, some moron was talking about what a suck president Obama is because he is extending unemployment benefits thinking that will grow the economy.”
There is no shortage these days of morons with MSM bully pulpits.
Retail sales in U.S. climb 0.5% in July
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - Sales at U.S. retailers rose 0.5% in July as consumers spent more money on autos, gas, clothing and electronics, according to Commerce Department data. Excluding the volatile auto segment, sales also rose 0.5%. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch expected an overall increase of 0.7% on a seasonally adjusted basis, or 0.3% excluding autos. Sales for June and May, meanwhile, were also revised higher. Over the past three months, retail sales have climbed 8.2% compared to the same period one year ago. Gas sales increased 1.6%, electronics and appliances 1.4%, autos 0.5% and clothing 0.5%. Excluding gas, total retail sales rose 0.3%. Sales fell at department stores, bars and restaurants, leisure and hobby stores and building-materials suppliers. For June, retail sales were revised up to a 0.3% increase from 0.1% originally.
Gas sales……calculated by $$, or by gallons sold?
Same way with cars. The only new cars selling around here are cheapo bottom feeders (Kia, Hyundais), or top of the line stuff.
BTW….one of the guys I work with just bought a Chevy Volt. I’ve got to admit……it’s pretty cool. It sure LOOKS a lot better than a Prius.
I’m wondering if the Chinese will jump into the fray and try to undercut the Koreans?
I once had a Hyundai Excel. Crappy car, but I got it for a song ($6000), which is what I needed at the time. Drove it 4 years and traded it in for $2K.
These days a Hyundai Accent will set you back about 15K. Sure, the Accent is a better car than the Excel ever was, but it’s almost 3X the price I paid (In 1992).
I drove an $15K Accent in Florida and Texas. It felt like a tin can. A friend let me drive his new $20K Corolla. It felt like a corporate jet.
Gov’t pays for empty flights to rural airports
Associated Press
On some days, the pilots with Great Lakes Airlines fire up a twin-engine Beechcraft 1900 at the Ely, Nev., airport and depart for Las Vegas without a single passenger on board. And the federal government pays them to do it.
Federal statistics reviewed by The Associated Press show that in 2010, just 227 passengers flew out of Ely while the airline got $1.8 million in subsidies. The travelers paid $70 to $90 for a one-way ticket. The cost to taxpayers for each ticket: $4,107.
Ely is one of 153 rural communities where airlines get subsidies through the $200 million Essential Air Service program, and one of 13 that critics say should be eliminated from it. Some call the spending a boondoggle, but others see it as a critical financial lifeline to ensure economic stability in rural areas.
Steve Smith, executive director of the Jackson, Tenn., airport authority, also has seen empty or near empty flights take off, since the airlines get paid per flight, not per passenger. The subsidy amounted to $244 for each of the 2,514 people who flew out of Smith’s airport last year, though few if any passengers knew that.
“They fly the empty plane so they can still get the money,” Smith said.
The fight over the subsidies was a key sticking point that led to the recent political standoff in Washington that temporarily shut down the Federal Aviation Administration, putting thousands out of work for nearly two weeks. There were other disputes as well, such as a GOP proposal that would make it more difficult for airline workers to unionize.
Republicans got the EAS cuts they were looking for in last week’s agreement - but with a major caveat. Subsidies to Ely, Jackson and 11 other communities are set to end, but Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood has the authority to continue them if he decides it’s necessary.
Paying farmers not to farm…
Paying people not to work…
Paying FB not to pay their mortgage…
seems to fit
TeaTrash voting against their own economic interests. Priceless.
Kind of makes one wonder if your assumptions are rational.
Rational + Assumptions?
Who was it that stated the USA Gov’t would be greeted as “Conquering Hero’s” in Afghanistan/Iraq?
EAS is one of those programs that seemed like a good idea, but need to go away. Like government subsidies to Amtrak running long distance trains in Flyover states. Or building new ATC towers out in BFE, when most of the ATC funding needs to be spent fixing bottlenecks in the Northeast Corridor.
The reality is that nothing gets passed, unless the (usually Republican) flyover state reps get their pet projects funded.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-08-08 10:03:33
Getting more than they give to the federal gov is a red state tradition. It will indeed be poetic justice as the TeaKoch partiers cuts come home to roost.
They’ve treaded upon themselves.
heheeeheeeheehaahaaahaaheeehaahaaa… (Hwy50™)
Isn’t supply-side economics great? Lift economic activity from the ability of people to pay (demand side) by using debt to allow them to buy more so that every seller can find a buyer (supply-side).
Can’t be any downside to that, right?
Ignore that every attempt to do this in the past has lead to unsustainable debt growth, debt collapse, people losing faith in money, and depression. Certainly we’re smarter than every one else.
Hey, I’m a fairly liberal guy but these subsidies should have been eliminated a couple of decades ago, IMHO. Wasn’t getting rid of large amounts of government intervention in the market for air travel why we got rid of the CAB in the 70s? You know, during the Carter administration.
Over and over, it seems that the government has the burden of providing the unprofitable services to citizens. Rural flights, Medicare, Post Office, cheap food staples, and UI to people whom private sector deems unworthy. Meanwhile, private sector cherry picks only profitable pursuits.
That said, there are better ways to “ensure economic stability.” If you’re going to give them money anyway, build a wind turbine or grow some veggies or something. Or a bus service.
Crude oil up over $11 per barrel in just a few days. Yeah, that’s fundamentals.
The commodity trade is loopy thanks to all that QE.
Anyone catch the contradicting stories on corn prices yesterday? Within hours Yahoo Finance ran stories that first said corn prices would be easing and later that they’d be rising due to the unprecendented floods and droughts this year.
These guys don’t know which way is up anymore. They’re hanging on every analyst word as if it were gospel.
Yeah there’s drought in Texas and Oklahoma. But guess what? They don’t grow a huge amount of corn out there. Why? Because droughts in Texas and Oklahoma aren’t anything new.
If anything is going to affect the corn crop, it will be the past 2-3 weeks of 100 degree plus temps. But it’s cooled off in the past few days. In fact, it’s currently raining.
In a word GB Libya. If you look at the world supply you see declining stocks of crude. Oil dropped when the market dropped because people had margin calls to make and the sold everything. Crude is in short supply. For those who say Hillary would have done better remember the decision to get involve in Libya was largely driven by her. This has lead to probably a $20 increase in the price of oil that killed any recovery.
Of course, if it wasn’t for Iraqi production we would be an additional $20 a barrel higher. Anyone want to thank W for that? I didn’t think so, I don’t want to either since his stupid belief he could bring democracy to that region cost us hundreds of billions and thousands of lives and on a personnel note caused by nephew to be wounded in the war. But the removal of Saddam was good, he was an evil cruel dictator that slaughtered his people, worked against U.S. interests including funding terrorists and we all are benefiting from lower oil prices due to his removal. We are probably saving $150 billion a year. So it meets my criteria of being in the national interest. However,his decision not to work with tribal leaders because they were not democratic forces prolonged our involvement until we decided to work with them during the surge.
In the middle east there are only two power centers, tribal leaders and Islamic leaders, We can work with tribal leaders because they care more about their local power than spreading Islam through out the world. This same breakdown is certainly true in Libya where the Eastern part of the country tribal leaders and the nut case Islamists support the rebels and the West tribal leaders and the last of the Pan-Arabists support nut case leader (whose sons die and come back to life on a regular basis). Just why are supporting the rebels again?
So you are saying that if someone is a evil cruel dictator, who works against US interests, and increases commodity prices, taking them out is in the US interest?
By that criteria, we should be bombing the crap out of Goldman Sachs.
+100
Hell, if “Dictatorship” and “National Interest” is the sole criteria, why are not at war with:
-China
-Venezuela
-Every country in Africa
-Russia
-Mexico
Actually, we are at war with them. Economic War. And they are winning.
Cause enough social problems in the USA, and pretty soon, nobody is going to give a crap what happens to Taiwan, or the Spratleys.
I said it was in the national interest, the next question is cost benefit analysis, I don’t think a nuclear war meets that test, Russia and China are out. The African countries aren’t worth the trouble. I want us to deploy troops on the border to prevent immigration but I don’t think that requires war with Mexico. Venezuela is interesting. The election of Chavez has lead to large decrease in oil production when everyone thought before him that oil production would double. So there is an economic reason to remove Chavez. He has turned into a dictator and also has supported the rebels in Columbia and is cooperating with Iran and probably Hezbollah. When Obama is out of office, I don’t think he should sleep in the same place two nights in a row. Just saying.
“I don’t think a nuclear war meets that test. Russia and China are out”
So, they would be “in” if they didn’t have nukes?
Maybe we should be helping Iran, etc. in getting nukes then. Or understand why they want them.
For decades, our unofficial policy was against “getting bogged down in a land war in Asia”. For good reasons.
As far as “National Interest”…….our government has been getting “National Interest” confused with “Multi-National Corporation Interest” way too many times.
Has it been in our “National Interest” to provide the Germans, French, Koreans, Nationalist Chinese and Japanese a free defensive umbrella, so they can concentrate on commercial products for export, while making US citizens and companies out of work/out of business?
Spending a trillion plus dollars/6000 lives in Iraq, and all we get in return is a (optimistic, IMO) $20 discount in the price of oil? I’ll bet we could have gone a long way into building a liquid-hydrogen transportation infrastructure with a trillion bucks.
FWIW, Mexico right now is more democratic than we are. The have 3 major political parties: PAN, PRD and the PRI.
FWIW, Mexico right now is more democratic than we are. The have 3 major political parties: PAN, PRD and the PRI.
And when there’s an election, the whole country gets into it. Sort of like how we do when it’s March Madness.
Did America quit when the German’s bombed Pearl Harbor??
Hell No.
Germans?
Let it go he’s on a roll.
Facts don’t seem to mean much in his rants.
Ho ho, hah hah, hehehehehehe, BwaHaHaAhHAHAHAHAHAHA!!! (Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb-thrower™)
GoldenmanSucks Inc. (SCOTUS person) = “TrueFinancialCult™” / “TrueSerialLiquiditist™”
“These f@!king Guys!,” Jon Stewart.
Obama: Something is wrong with country’s politics
By DARLENE SUPERVILLE Associated Press
Even when he’s attempting to “talk tough” President Obama speaks in generalities, as he did yesterday in Holland, MI.
“You’ve got to tell them you’ve had enough of the theatrics, you’ve had enough of the politics, stop sending out press releases. Start passing some bills that we all know will help the economy right now. That’s what they need to do. They’ve got to hear from you.”
This was also on his Teleprompter:
“We’re going to have to get engaged and we’re going to have to speak out. We’re going to have to register the fact that we expect more and we expect better.” “Tough Talk”
~ Whoever is scripting Mr. Obama’s prepared remarks is letting him down. Even Ronald Reagan could not have got far with a such a succession of bland phrases rolling up his Teleprompter screen.
What people want to hear is specific suggestions for defusing the economic crisis. Bellyaching about Republicans failing to cooperate by rubber-stamping his suggestions comes nowhere near solving anything.
A call to sacrifice is what’s needed. Not just the rich and mega-corporations, but all of the people in every city and hamlet. We can’t run wars and support runaway entitlement programs without giving up something. Sending the bill ahead to future generations is a failing scheme.
When has Mr. Obama ever told the American people they’re going to have to get along on considerably less for as long as it takes to whittle the vast debt load down to reasonable levels?
It’s clearly a failed Presidency. These problems weren’t supposed to happen to Him. He won’t get over that. His pictures portray a man increasingly pissed off at what is being done to him.
The politics of victimology. But that’s his frame of reference, to a very large degree.
I’m not pleased about it. Maybe there is a chance he’ll have his JFK lightbulb go on.
Doubt it. JFK’s lights went out when his lightbulb went on. Obama is about Obama, and he wants to leave office adored with all his body parts intact.
Thomas Jefferson could not fix this mess, stop blaming Obama for 30 years of irresponsible spending.
So instead of all these sacrifices (since the money was spent due to fraud) maybe we can just get rid of all the wars and cancel the debt that was due to fraud.
I don’t see why I should sacrifice for this. Screw that
Thomas Jefferson could not fix this mess, stop blaming Obama for 30 years of irresponsible spending.
First of all, if we had Thomas Jefferson around, we would not be in this mess. And second of all, he most assuredly would be able to fix it, people from that day and age were willing to “eat their peas” and didn’t play kick the can with the economy.
“The politics of victimology.”
It seems that there is a porous “victim” boundary between the aisle, since following politics like watching an Italian soccer game with all of the victim histrionics.
Cheney-Shrub Shadow Legacy Effect #3: “We left y’all with the worst POS economy in 80 years…see ya!”
“We want lil’ Opie to $ucceed, we really do!”
Cheney-Shrub National Economic Legacy hand-off: “Epic Failure”
It’s clearly a failed Presidency.
We shouldn’t think too small and biased. “Failed Presidency”? In a vacuum?
What we have here ladies and gentlemen is 30 years of increasingly failing government. Why is it failing? Because it has been captured by big money. This is the grand issue. To think one president is going to overcome that is not intellectually honest.
And someday when one of us is 63 years old and sick with cancer we will be thanking that “failed Presidency” that our health insurance company cannot cancel our policy because we were dumb enough to get sick.
And someday when one of
us[our dear children] is 63 years old and sick with cancer we will be thanking that “failedPresidencynon-Hawaiian Muslim lil’ Opie” thatourtheir [Evil National] health insurance company cannot cancelourtheir policy becausewethey weredumb[non-“TruePurity™”] enough to get sick.Does anyone else wish that Hwy did not know HTML?
Maybe we can impose Twitter limits on him…
U’s-have-yer-“TruePOV™”-eyes-1-2!
Yes.
But proving Obama is SUCK is not proving McCain would have been better.
McCain’s, “the manufacturing jobs are gone forever, nothing we can do about that. We need to focus on the brain jobs.” policy is ignorant beyond immigantion. China is graduating more engineers than the rest of the world combined. We send electroic x-rays to India to be read. China has told my company, IBM, we’d love to buy more of your products, but only if you increase the ratio of Chinese programmers to non-Chinese. Everytime an American leaves my group, we hire 2 people in China.
How would he have been any better than Obama.
As suck as I think Obama is, I knew he was going to suck when I voted for him, because I was not convinced McCain would be any better at understanding our situation, how we got here, or leading the country in a direction we need to go. Nothing I have seen or heard since has convinced me I’m wrong.
Everyone at street level in any kind of technology business understands this.
A century of R & D is being given away, or sold for pennies on the dollar, to the Chinese, for some vague promise of being allowed “access” to their market. And our dumbazz government and business leadership, who don’t seem to see any color other than green, are playing right along.
But as we’ve seen, the Chinese market never seems to develop for US made products.
Farmers thrash idea of commercial licenses
Driving proposal treats tractors like big rigs
By Rick Barrett of the Journal Sentinel
Tim Strobel has been driving a tractor for 20 years, so he’s a bit puzzled that federal officials are kicking around an idea that could ultimately force him - and anyone else operating farm machinery - to get a commercial driver’s license.
Yes, the same kind of license that interstate truckers must have to operate their rigs.
“I am not against some training, but this is going a little bit overboard,” said Strobel, a dairy farmer from Watertown.
The U.S. Department of Transportation has been collecting public comments on the notion, which the agency insists doesn’t yet merit being called a “proposal.”
But it’s far enough along that the Wisconsin Farm Bureau Federation, state Agriculture Secretary Ben Brancel, and a bipartisan group of 21 U.S. senators, among others, are speaking out against it.
Farm Bureau officials say Transportation Department proposals aimed at reclassifying agricultural machinery as commercial motor vehicles could lead to a requirement that farmers get a commercial license to move equipment on roads between fields and to their local grain mills.
It’s “overreaching and unnecessary,” said Karen Gefvert, Wisconsin Farm Bureau director of governmental relations.
The additional public safety gained from increased federal regulation is unclear at best, but the additional costs for farmers would come at a time when they could least afford them, Brancel said in a letter to federal officials.
In one scenario, farmers hauling grain to local elevators would be treated as if they were engaged in interstate commerce because grain, in many cases, eventually leaves the state.
Logging mileage
Lumping farm machinery into the category of commercial vehicles also could result in farmers’ having to log their mileage, even for short trips, and it could require them to get a federal medical card showing they are fit to drive.
“It would be more paperwork, more expense for us,” Strobel said.
Twenty-one senators have asked the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration to reconsider the proposals.
“This is yet another federal government solution in search of a problem,” Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.) said in a news release.
“You know, this proposal is just plain nuts,” Sen. Max Baucus (D-Mont.) said in a video message last week after meeting with U.S. Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood.
Federal rules currently allow states to make exceptions to commercial driver’s license regulations for certain farm vehicle drivers.
“In a perfect world, farm vehicles would only operate on farms, while commercial trucks would operate on public roads,” Anne Ferro, administrator of the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration, said in a written statement emailed to the Journal Sentinel.
“The reality is that farm equipment not designed or intended for everyday use on public roads is often used for short trips at limited speeds. This creates a gray area for classification,” Ferro said. “At the same time, we realize that well-meaning regulations can be burdensome if the government isn’t thoughtful about how they’re put in place. Finding the right balance between the two can be challenging.”
A lot of folks bemoan the loss of the family farm, but a lot of this type regulation plays into the hands of big business. Because big business has the resources to navigate the labyrinth of regulations that individuals can not. Not to mention that big business can easily buy congressional representation.
This shows up with small business too. State and local procurement codes have become so Byzantine that small firms - including minority owned firms - simply don’t bother to respond to RFPs. Who gets the work? Well connected companies who can hire consultants just to handle the intracacies of the process.
The unintended consequences of a lot of these regulations needs to be considered.
Sounds like health insurance too.
Small business is the backbone of America that they want to break.
The DOT wanted “comments” on the proposal.
Just because they want comments doesn’t mean that they are ANYWHERE CLOSE to issuing a reg.
Federal Regs don’t magically appear out of thin air. There’s always a “comments” period. Which is what lobbying organizations are good for, letting people know (on all sides of the issue) that there is a proposed reg, and to submit comments. Have enough comments with supporting data, and some regs never happen.
But the sore losers always whine about “overreaching regulation”, even when they’ve had the chance to comment, and the decision goes the other way.
We’ve heard the comments in the news article against the reg. sure would be nice to see some comments from the people who think it’s necessary, and why.
I’m guessing it’s because some farmers are abusing the crap out of the loophole.
If you go to a small rural town (like the one I have some relatives in) on a Friday night you will sometimes see a tractor parked outside the local beer joint because the driver lost their driving license to a DWI, but can still legally drive the tractor…
Anyone else driven a tractor? Dang, those things are tough to handle.
Easy to flip, too. You run over a single rock or Russian thistle (tumbleweed), and you’re as upside down as an FB.
The CDL seems like a bad idea, but logging mileage? After all, since fuel for agricultural use is un-taxed at the federal level, if they’re driving on roads that are partially paid for by the Highway Trust Fund, it seems reasonable that they should pay their share of the expenses of those roads like the rest of us do.
And that heavy equiment is hell on the roads too.
U.S. Consumer Confidence Drops to Three-Decade Low Amid Economic Headwinds (Bloomberg)
Confidence among U.S. consumers plunged in August to the lowest level since May 1980, adding to concern that weak employment gains and volatility in the stock market will prompt households to retrench.
The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment slumped to 54.9 from 63.7 the prior month. The gauge was projected to decline to 62, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey.
The biggest one-week slump in stocks since 2008 and the threat of default on the nation’s debt may have exacerbated consumers’ concerns as unemployment hovers above 9 percent and companies are hesitant to hire. Rising pessimism poses a risk household spending will cool further, hindering a recovery that Federal Reserve policy makers said this week was already advancing “considerably slower” than projected.
“We’re really at the bottom of the barrel right now,” Lindsey Piegza, an economist at FTN Financial in New York, said before the report. “Americans are feeling an increasing level of frustration with their leaders in Washington. We’re also seeing a slew of weaker than expected economic reports.”
“Confidence among U.S. consumers plunged in August to the lowest level since May 1980, adding to concern that weak employment gains and volatility in the stock market will prompt households to retrench.”
I predict lower home sales and falling home prices. Who wants to invest in a money pit when incomes and investment returns are shaky?
U.S. Consumer Confidence Drops to Three-Decade Low just in time to celebrate U.S.A.’s three-decade supply-side economics anniversary.
Happy anniversary everyone!
Marvin the Martian: “Ohhhhhhhhhhhhh, that fills me full of “TrueAnger™”!”
What we need Rio is more tax cuts for the elite. Get the economy rolling you know.
French Economy Stalls With Decline in Consumer Spending as Exports Dwindle (Bloomberg)
The slowdown may jeopardize President Nicolas Sarkozy ’s target of 2 percent growth for 2011, a key component in the government’s plans to reduce its deficit. Photographer: Jock Fistick/Bloomberg
France’s economy unexpectedly stalled in the second quarter as consumer spending plunged just as investors spooked by Europe’s debt crisis turn their attention to the euro region’s second-largest economy.
Gross domestic product was unchanged from the first quarter, when it rose 0.9 percent, the most in four years, Paris-based statistics office Insee said today. Economists forecast a 0.3 percent gain, the median of 15 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey showed.
The slowdown may jeopardize President Nicolas Sarkozy’s target of 2 percent growth for 2011, a key component in the government’s plans to reduce its deficit. Concerns about debt and slow growth have caused credit default swaps on French government bonds to double in the past six weeks. Swaps approached a record high today.
“We will not have tremendous growth especially with these austerity programs,” Philippe d’Arvisenet, a global economist at BNP Paribas in Paris, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. Even so, austerity measures are “inescapable,” he said. Otherwise, “you have more turmoil in the markets.”
“Of course most sellers are willing to take an offer for less than they like, but don’t know where your experience comes from. I will settle Monday on a home priced in the $320,000 and on Wednesday, one priced in the mid $400,000. Both of these are great buys that would have sold for much more in a better market, but you are mistaken about what buyers can afford and what the market is bringing. This is the worst I have seen the market in the 27+ years I have been in the business. It wasn’t because homes were priced improperly, but because they gave loans to people who really couldn’t afford them. With no doc loans, people were not being truthful about their income nor debts and they purchased higher than they should have. Our government is still giving loans to some people at 100%, giving them down payment loans or subsidizing loan payments. We won’t recover until people are responsible for their own debt. Hopefully you find what you are looking for.”
——————————————————————————-
A Lying Realtor email response to a friend looking for a house.
Red meat on a Friday
“It wasn’t because homes were priced improperly, but because they gave loans to people who really couldn’t afford them.”
Yet another ignorant fool that understand that price is set by both a demand side and a supply side.
It doens’t matter that it took x resources and y man-hours to create something. If there are fewer people than can and will buy at the price, than there are people that have to sell, then the price is too high.
I’m actually inclined to look somewhat charitably on this statement. The seller is ALWAYS trying to get the highest price that they can. So it’s the buyer’s ability to borrow more that enabled bubble prices, not the listing price put on the house by the real estate agent.
“It wasn’t because homes were priced improperly, but because they gave loans to people who really couldn’t afford them. ”
What BS. The reason they gave loans to people who really couldn’t afford them was because the people who COULD afford them knew they were priced improperly and therefore didn’t buy.
You just KNOW that this re-al-TOR is stringing together the stock phrases into senseless paragraphs.
“Our government is still giving loans to some people at 100%, giving them down payment loans or subsidizing loan payments.”
i wish this was a lie…but it ain’t.
There is a cliff, and we’re heading straight for it.
Yeah, but we’re making good time.
No, you do not understand. There is a cliff and we’re heading straigh for it.
yeah, I know. But look at the great time we are making. Heck, we’re even picking up speed.
DUDE, there is a cliff! And we’re HEADING STRAIGHT FOR IT!!!!
Man, you need to stop focusing on that damn cliff. Sit back and enjoy the ride and be happy we’re making such good time.
Oh how I wish I could get out of this car.
Here is the USD Burnham-Moores 2nd Quarter 2011 San Diego Real Estate Market Report. It includes some useful graphs and statistics. Take home points:
1. The market remains sluggish.
2. Regular (non-distress) single-family home sales show an average price around $500K, whether new or used.
3. REO and foreclosure single-family home sales average out at prices just south of $350K, while short-sales average out just north of $350K.
4. There is no way to compare the qualities of the homes described by these various averages.
5. Obviously if the homes were of comparable quality, buyers can save $150K on average by purchasing a home through the distressed sale channel, compared to buying in a non-distressed sale transaction.
Nouriel Roubini says in light of global economic fragility, now is “not the time to be in risky assets.”
http://www.marketwatch.com/
Nouriel Roubini says in light of global economic fragility, now is “not the time to be in risky assets.”……such as stocks, bonds, futures, options, warrants, real-estate, gold, currencies, cash, commercial paper or Beanie Babies manufactured after 1994.
Mon$anto MegaInc. might have a “people need$ to eat” rebuttal for Mssr. Roubini
Doesn’t he pretty much always say this?
‘It wasn’t because homes were priced improperly, but because they gave loans to people who really couldn’t afford them. ‘
Uh, and those two scenarios are not related?
Cargo-cult ignorace.
Flappin’ heads on CNBC right now…. It is all consumer confidence.
If everyone would just put on a happy face and convince suckers that everything is fine, then consumers would magically be able to spend again, businesses would grow again.. blah, blah, blah.
Hello!!! There are poeple all over this country that would LOVE to return to spending like it was 2006. But, they are tapped out, can’t borrow more, and are only spending as much as they are because they are living rent free for the last 2 years and counting as the lender drags their feet on the foreclosure because they can’t afford to book the loss.
It is like we have been living in the debt based, supply-side economy so long that EVERYONE has forgotten that peoples’ ability to spend is limited by their income.
ARG….
The cliff, the cliff….
Ignore the cliff, focus on how fast we’re heading toward it!
This reminds me of one time I was a front seat passenger in a car that I feared the driver was going to crash.
I reached for the keys and shut of the engine.
Then what happened?
His wife got mad, and “cut him off”
IT’s all the dam union’s fault
More tax cuts
More tax cuts
rah rah rah
Hercules Fancy Grocery Closing After Decades in West Village
August 12, 2011 | By Andrea Swalec, DNAinfo
WEST VILLAGE,NY — Imported beer and a cat named Sneaky are leaving the corner of Morton Street and Seventh Avenue.
After 14 years at 27 1/2 Morton St. and more than 30 years in the West Village, Hercules Fancy Grocery will close by the end of the month, its owner said Wednesday.
Hercules Dimitratos, 70, said the costs of rent and taxes have forced him to close his store, which used to stock 400 kinds of beer, he said.
“I’m very depressed,” Dimitratos said. “With these taxes, this rent, people aren’t able to stay in business anymore.”
Dimitratos, a Queens resident, ran a similar store at Bleecker and Christopher Street from 1979 to 1995. The rent at his Morton Street shop started at $2,020 per month in 1997. He pays $6,434 a month today, plus about $800 a month in property taxes, he said.
“This rent is too much. I cannot support it. No one can support it,” he said.
The building’s owner, Mark Scharfman of Beach Lane Management, did not respond to requests for comment on Thursday.
Then rents will fall.
You’d think.
But in such a “fashionable” area practical things like a deli or laundry will often get replaced by a designer boutique that sells overpriced handbags and such to tourists and rich people. (Perhaps as a “flagship” that can be a bit of a loss-leader?)
But in my Queens neighborhood there are stores (in “prime” locations just steps from the subway) that have literally been empty for years.
I wonder how long the LL’s can let that go on.
Locally, there’s a “business” that occupies the corner of a busy intersection.
It’s open 3 weeks a year, to sell fireworks for the 4th of July.
We see a lot of this around here. Commercial properties sitting vacant for years, because the owners “don’t want to give it away”.
And, because TAXES ARE SO LOW around here, it doesn’t cost them much to sit on them.
No thought whatsoever to the possibility that a new business might be created, if the space was priced affordably.
“plus about $800 a month in property taxes”
What? For his fridges and other equipment? Or is inventory taxed as “property”.
“BECAUSE I HAVE NO CUSTOMERS, This rent is too much.”
Fixed.
And I have no customers because people have no money.
It all comes back to money, doesn’t it? In inflationary times high costs are passed on. In deflationary times high costs have to be eaten. And if the costs cannot be eaten then the place will go out of business.
Poof, there goes the business. And if the business provides a service or product of which there is some demand - but not enough demand to keep the business a going concern - then there will spring up a SHORTAGE of these services and products, and this shortage will express itself in the form of RISING PRICES.
And people will point to these rising prices and they will say: “See, prices are rising thus inflation is at hand.”
But prices are rising because there is a shortage of service or product, not because of an increased demand for the service or product. And this shortage is due to deflationary factors, not inflationary ones.
The Gigolo bubble just popped…
Fraudsters who conned men into signing up as ‘gigolos’ arrested in Spain
The Telegraph | 12 Aug 2011 | Fiona Govan
The gang of six based in Fuengirola on Spain’s Costa del Sol made at least €50,000 euros (£44,000) after persuading some 180 men to pay a joining fee to register as gigolos.
The elaborate scam lured men in with advertisements in the national media promising vast returns for wining and dining lonely women.
Men wanting to follow in the footsteps of ‘Deuce Bigalow: Male Gigolo’ - a 1999 comedy about a fishtank cleaner who goes into business as a male prostitute - were then asked to pay joining fees of between €200 and €1,000 euros (£175 and £875) to be put on the books of “reputable agencies”.
But the online agencies were hoaxes and the clients never materialised.
Dang government regulation shutting down business and crushing the economy. These business people were just trying to succeed, to increase the GDP, create profits.
On some days, the pilots with Great Lakes Airlines fire up a twin-engine Beechcraft 1900 at the Ely, Nev., airport and depart for Las Vegas without a single passenger on board. And the federal government pays them to do it.
Federal statistics reviewed by The Associated Press show that in 2010, just 227 passengers flew out of Ely while the airline got $1.8 million in subsidies. The travelers paid $70 to $90 for a one-way ticket. The cost to taxpayers for each ticket: $4,107.
Ely is one of 153 rural communities where airlines get subsidies through the $200 million Essential Air Service program, and one of 13 that critics say should be eliminated from it. Some call the spending a boondoggle, but others see it as a critical financial lifeline to ensure economic stability in rural areas.
http://news.yahoo.com/govt-pays-empty-flights-rural-airports-212212863.html
Oooh I think I figured a way we can cut some spending.
And cutting the spending resutls in less revenue top someone, layoffs, less wages, less ability to pay on debt….
Something that crossed my mind: The plane, even though it was empty, might had needed to make the flight to pick up passengers for the next flight.
That said, these subsidies do appear to be very wasteful.
If a company is based that far out in the boonies, they already own their own airplane. Or have access to one
This is a subsidy for granny, and for kiddies flying to grandma’s. Much like Amtrak, at least out here in BFE. Nice thing to do, if you can afford it.
If a house is not occupied
And the mortgage is owned by an investor
- the mortgage is administered by a bank
When a storm blows the house down
And the house could not be insured because it was vacant
Who loses their money?
The house is insured. The bank will have a policy to pay for that. The premium will be added to the amount due on the mortgage as if that makes a difference by then.
Insurance Guy
Thank you. I recently had to look after a house here in Canada and the insurance company said that if I left it vacant for more than 30 days they would cancel the insurance.
In fact they did and I had to add coverage to my principal residence insurance to be able to keep it insured.
I never thought of the banks doing the coverage.
Thanks again.
rms –
I didn’t see your email until this morning; thanks for responding.
“The physical drives are joined to form the array; this step is where the hot spare declaration will be determined. Within the array you configure the logical drives. Within the logical drives you configure the partitions or volumes.
Is this a pizza box server, iSCSI backplane or ethernet NAS?”
I’ve never configured logical drives before. Things are either set up when I get there, or the “hardware guys” set up the drives for me to my specs. But I’d better put on my big boy pants and figure this out. What I need are separate read/write heads. The data log files and tempdb are busy writing and so benefit from having their own read/write heads, distinct from the data files, OS, etc. Do partitioned logical drives give me that?
I think it’s a pizza box, but I’m not sure. What information would you/I need to answer that question? It’s a IBM System x3650 M3 with 2 processors with a X5675 chipset. I am quickly devouring Glenn Berry’s “SQL Server Hardware” to pull my head out of my @55. I could only see the C drive, but when I looked closer, there is a 500GB unassigned drive too. Duh. Apparently, I am the id10t.
Four more days and a wake-up in this gaol.
MrBubble
You have a “pizza box”, which is slang for a thin rack mount server, and the chassis also has a drive bay backplane. There is a hardware RAID card inside with firmware that is used to configure the array(s) and logical drive(s); the firmware is accessible during the boot-up usually right after the BIOS prompt. There is a lot to learn if you’re green; I would suggest watching someone do it first who can answer a few questions. Browse on over to Wikipedia too.
BTW, what sort of data resides on that database? Think in terms of financial or public safety impact from downtime.
The data should reside on a different volume than the database server core and operating system. Database backups need to be regular, and that includes the transaction log to fill the gap between the backups.
Appeals court rules against Obama healthcare law
WASHINGTON | Fri Aug 12, 2011
(Reuters) - An appeals court ruled on Friday that President Barack Obama’s healthcare law requiring Americans to buy healthcare insurance or face a penalty was unconstitutional, a blow to the White House.
The Appeals Court for the 11th Circuit, based in Atlanta, found that Congress exceeded its authority by requiring Americans to buy coverage, but also ruled that the rest of the wide-ranging law could remain in effect.
The legality of the so-called individual mandate, a cornerstone of the healthcare law, is widely expected to be decided by the U.S. Supreme Court. The Obama administration has defended the provision as constitutional.
This is a little ironic to the big insurance companies–they now have to obey the obligations imposed by law (e.g. no pre-existing conditions bar) but lose all the benefits under it.
More than a little ironic.
The problem isn’t forcing people to buy health insurance; the problem is forcing people to buy a private product.
If there were a Public Option in the list of choices, then it would be totally constitutional. So I propose that they simple relabel the “fine” to “bare-bones emergency room public option.” Problem solved. In fact, just add it onto people’s taxes to make it easy.
Oh wait, that’s the beginnings of single payer.
Sorry…
We had to pass it to find out what is in it!
No complaining now. No changes. It is kinda like a Tupperware container that has been in the fridge for too long.
It is the democrat way - don’t cha know…
“We have to pass the bill so you can find out what is in it.”
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D) — March 9, 2010
No complaining now. No changes. It is kinda like a Tupperware container that has been in the fridge for too long.
Or that compost bucket that I recently created. Phew! That thing’s really stinkin’ up the joint!
Problem is that things are smelling a bit too anaerobic inside the bucket. That’s fixable. Lemme go get the drill and punch a bunch more holes in it.
[Cue up the sound of a drill making numerous holes.]
Now that my bucket looks like it lost a battle with a BB gun, I think that its contents will have more ventilation. That should take care of the smell and get the compost back to composting the way it should.
The problem isn’t forcing people to buy health insurance; the problem is forcing people to buy a private product.
AFAIK, forcing people to buy a private product is unprecedented.
If there were a Public Option in the list of choices, then it would be totally constitutional. So I propose that they simple relabel the “fine” to “bare-bones emergency room public option.” Problem solved. In fact, just add it onto people’s taxes to make it easy.
Sounds good! I’m already paying for the seniors’ Medicare when I file estimated taxes, so why not add mine to the mix?
Oh wait, that’s the beginnings of single payer.
Bring it on!
but, but, but… lil’ Opie (the non-Hawaiian) is destroying America!
The Constitution nowhere authorizes the United States to mandate, either directly or under threat of penalty, that all citizens and legal residents have qualifying health care coverage.
State of Florida, et al. vs. HHS
Congress Passes Socialized Medicine and Mandates Health Insurance -In 1798
Rick Ungar, Contributor / Forbes / 1/17/2011
It turns out, the Founding Fathers would beg to disagree.
In July of 1798, Congress passed – and President John Adams signed - “An Act for the Relief of Sick and Disabled Seamen.” The law authorized the creation of a government operated marine hospital service and mandated that privately employed sailors be required to purchase health care insurance.
Keep in mind that the 5th Congress did not really need to struggle over the intentions of the drafters of the Constitutions in creating this Act as many of its members were the drafters of the Constitution.
And when the Bill came to the desk of President John Adams for signature, I think it’s safe to assume that the man in that chair had a pretty good grasp on what the framers had in mind.
You didn’t read the part about now it goes to the Supreme corporatist Court of America. I’m sure they will get there way after the case is seen at the top.
Good Graph Friday: What’s rising faster than health care? College costs
Moody’s Analytics
By Allison Linn
Everyone knows that the cost of health care has become a bigger and bigger burden in recent years, but even that pales in comparison to another skyrocketing cost: College.
The folks at Moody’s Analytics crunched some government numbers and found that the cost of tuition and fees has more than doubled since 2000. That’s a bigger percentage increase than, well, pretty much anything else.
Still, there is a downside to such a pricey education: Debt. The Moody’s paper notes that student loan balances also have risen steadily in recent years, leaving many students starting out their careers with a hefty chunk of money to pay off.
What’s rising faster than health care? College costs
And both are massively subsided and controlled by the US Government….
Hmmmm…..
Maybe there is a lesson in there somewhere…
Eliminate government sanctioned student loans and tuition would right size. Another fine example where government policy to promote affordability creates the opposite.
Or a lot of colleges would go out of business and tuitions would continue to increase at the survivors.
Filed under: “Keep eroding the Founding Fathers separations between Church & Gov’t!” … or …“US Gov’t provided “TruePurityEvangelical$™” education voucher$, it does a body good!” :-/
Court releases Warren Jeffs audio sex tapes
By the CNN Wire Staff / August 12, 2011
Jeffs, 55, had perverted his position as the head of the Fundamentalist Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints to “satisfy his own personal appetites and desires,” prosecutor Eric Nichols said.
Jeffs talks about those desires on audiotapes that authorities seized from his car and the church’s Yearning For Zion Ranch compound in Eldorado, Texas.
The tapes, that were obtained by many media outlets including the Salt Lake Tribune and CNN affiliate KSTU on Thursday, contain what prosecutors say is evidence of Jeffs instructing underage girls to have sex with him.
At one point, Jeffs is heard saying God instructs “for quorums of wives to be with me, to assist me. To be a comfort. Yes, even physically.”
Several times, Jeffs refers to having sexual relations with him as “heavenly sessions,” and he instructed the young ladies that they also “must assist each other” during these sessions.
“You have to know how to be excited sexually,” Jeffs said. “The Lord has intended that my ladies, all of my ladies be trained.”
“Mormons gone Wild”
Good grief. The evangelicals are getting nuttier and nuttier.
The Phelps Family house/bunker in Topeka is becoming quite the tourist attraction for the gay community.
My brother and his “significant other” came thru town on their annual “Indian Casino/Payback for the Native Americans” tour.
One of the things they wanted to do was have their picture taken in front of the Phelps house……the one with the security cameras, security fence, and “GodHatesFags.com” banner hanging across the front.
If the Taliban wanted to get on our good side, they’d drive a U-Haul full of fertilizer and kerosene into that place. Too bad the survivors would sue U-Haul, for renting them the truck.
“Mormons gone Wild”
It happens from time to time.
Tabloid
If you can’t pay. Get out. GTFO of the house.
Hey Awaiting….. How’s the the pysch games post you were working on for the HBB?
Haven’t had a rant about the Medical/License-to-Steal industry in a while, so here goes…..
Back in April, I tried to get my $400/month retail (since I had no insurance) prescriptions refilled. These are the same prescriptions I’ve been taking for the past 5-6 years, with no changes. Blood pressure, and a cholesterol drug (my cholesterol numbers are normal, but the doc said I should take them due to family history).
Couldn’t get them refilled. Doc said I needed to have a “Check-up” ($100), and “tests”. During the visit, told the doc that I didn’t want/couldn’t afford to pay for any unnecessary tests or drugs (specifically, the cholesterol med), and that I wanted an estimate/quote for the lab work.
You’d have thought that I was asking for a round trip ticket to Mars. They had no idea. And these were “standard tests” they do on people every day. Said they would get back with me. A few days later, they came back with an “estimate” of $300.
As far as “unnecessary drugs”, anything they write a prescription on is defacto “necessary”. Especially the stuff that is still under patent.
Got the bill for the Lab work today. 500 bucks.
It may kill me in the end, but I think it’s time for me to boycott any future participation in this so-called “health care system”.
Be cautious of statins. My father died of a rare form of Parkinson’s that has been linked to a certain statin. Neuromuscular Degeneration is the connection.
Would you mind elaborating on that or at least in what direction I could look to find that information?
A lot of older people I know have been able to drop perscriptions due to more extreme diet and exercise programs. I just met someone recently who was able to go off insulin because she was avoiding a long list of certain foods. These people did have the doctors ok before they made these changes.
Don’t know if that line of thought really solves anything for you but thought I’d mention it.
There’s a lot you can do with whole foods and a regular exercise program. Of course, a lot of doctors would be hurting for money if people got serious about these things, but that’s another soapbox.
I’m shooting for “massive heart attack/stroke” myself….
Alzheimers runs in my dad’s family. No doubt in my mind that I’m going to get it eventually. It’s hard enough dealing with, even with the current support mechanisms.
As all those support mechanisms are going to be thrown away in the next 10-15 years, I’d rather find myself looking at the grass grow from the wrong side at 65 with all my faculties, than with full blown Alzheimers and living in a refrigerator box under a San Antonio underpass.
Not figuring on getting any help from the kids. They are going to have their hands full just surviving.
Ten years ago was better than now. Twenty years ago was better than ten years ago. Nothing that is happening says that trend it going to change.
X-GSfixr
New studies are being done on the protein that collects in your brain that causes Alzheimers, and it looks like an anti-viral drug like Acyclovir helps keep the protein at bay. People that have Herpes Simplex Virus 1 or 2 use this drug. By the time it’s our turn, hopefully they’ll have it figured out. My Aunt is in a Alzheimer’s Care Home and the staff chats with our family.
I told my son yesterday… I’m very sorry for what we have done to your generation. I think he only half-way gets it.
He’s thinking fewer trips to Disneyland. I’m thinking bread lines, tent city and day labor.
“He’s thinking fewer trips to Disneyland. I’m thinking bread lines, tent city and day labor.”
Approx. how old is your son? After reading your posts here, I have no doubt that he is a boy with many questions, and you can only kick the can down the road for so long. (My wife and I just had our first baby–a boy, seven months ago. I may have some ’splainin’ to do as well)
Progressives are liars.
“Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi announced a painful mix of tax hikes and spending cuts on Friday to meet European Central Bank demands for action on shoring up Italy’s strained public finances.”
“The budget deficit will fall to 1.4 percent of gross domestic product in 2012 from 3.8 percent this year, and be eliminated in 2013, ”
LOL…. 3.8% oh the horror. How can an economy survive such a deficit?
$1.7T deficit / $14.7T GDP = deficit that is 14.7% of GDP.
Let’s see. If we riased taxes 20% across the board, and cut spending 20% across the board, and all that tax increasing and spending cutting didn’t lower GDP(yeah right).
Hmm… $2.1T * 1.2 = $2.5T receipts
$3.8T *.8 = $3.0T spending
Well that would cut us to only .5/14.7 or 3.5%
Hmmmm… We would need 20% tax increase and 20% drop in spending, to balance the budget with no GDP drop. Every country that has moved to austarity ahs seen a GDP drop. Our budget is still expected to explode in coming years as the number of people over 65 is exepcted to include (I’ve seen conflicting reports) 60-70% over the next 10 years. So really, we’d need more like 30-40% cuts to those programs over the next 10 years in addition to 20+ cuts to everrything else.
And we couldn’t agree on 10% in total 10 year deficit reductions.
Oh, and that is just to get to Italy’s unacceptably high deficits.
Perhaps the real problems with our economy are not limited to tax rates and government spending. Perhaps there is a problem with wages, international trade deficits, domestic trade defitcits, income disparities, having offshored out industrial base, 25% of our GDP being generation, servicing and trading debt, dependance on foreign oil, trying to be the world’s police force…. I could go on.
Perhaps we can’t fix our problmes with tax increases and spending cuts. Perhaps we should address the underlying imbalances that caused us to lower taxes and increase spending in the first place.
That would deprive the elite of the ability to use slave labor to steal from the middle class. It won’t happen until there are riots.
Average Teen Unemployment Rate in D.C. is 50.1%, Analysis Shows
Friday, August 12, 2011 By Penny Starr
(CNSNews.com) – An analysis based on U.S. Census Bureau data by the Employment Policies Institute (EPI) shows that the average unemployment rate for teens ages 16 to 19 in the District of Columbia was 50.1 percent as of June 2011. This corresponds with data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showing that for D.C. the annual average unemployment rate for teens in 2010 was 49.8 percent.
Michael Saltsman, research fellow at EPI, provided the 50.1 percent figure to CNSNews.com as an update of an analysis he compiled based on the Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey.
The 50.1 percent figure is almost double the average teen unemployment rate in June 2007 in the District, when it was 26.2 percent, according to Saltsman.
Since 2007, the rate has increased each year: 29.5 percent in June 2008, 44.7 percent in 2009 and 48.8 percent in 2010, based on EPI’s analysis.
“We’re in the midst of the third summer in a row where teen unemployment has been above 20 percent,” Saltsman said when he announced his report on July 8.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) does not keep monthly unemployment rates on teens, but its data showing the average annual unemployment rate for teens ages 16 to 19 in D.C. for 2010 was 49.8 percent.
Wow that place needs to cut taxes for the rich to bring in more jobs.
I know a good solution we should cut gov spending 20% and do away with unemployment.
What do you think 50% of teenage population will do when the food runs out??
Republican haters must want DC to face youth riots, same as London.
You party hacks are a hoot! SOS!
Wall Street Trader Bonuses May Drop 30%: Study
(Bloomberg)
Wall Street will cut year-end bonuses for fixed-income and equities employees by as much as 30 percent from last year, according to revised estimates from Johnson Associates Inc.
Bonuses for fixed-income and trading department are expected to drop 20 percent to 30 percent, a reversal from a May estimate that they would rise 10 percent to 15 percent, according to the New York-based compensation consulting firm. Senior managers will probably receive bonuses that are unchanged to 30 percent lower, the firm said.
The new estimates are driven by a “lack of economic recovery” as well as regulations and the “ongoing uncertainty in world markets,” according to the e-mailed report.
Lower-than-expected U.S. economic growth in the first half, a simmering debt crisis in Europe, and the downgrade of the U.S. government’s rating by Standard & Poor’s have contributed to a 20 percent drop in the S&P 500 Financials Index this year. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. the fifth-biggest U.S. bank, reported on July 19 that fixed-income trading revenue plunged 63 percent from the first quarter.
Wall Street firms set aside a portion of revenue to pay year-end bonuses. Goldman Sachs cut its compensation pool 9 percent in the first half from the same period last year. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)’s investment bank kept its first-half compensation expense unchanged, while Morgan Stanley said on July 21 that it set aside 10 percent more to pay bankers and traders.
Johnson said bonuses for equity traders will be flat to down 15 percent, while employees in the prime brokerage divisions that service hedge funds may still get as much as 5 percent more in bonuses.
Chrisman closing construction division
By Beth Potter BCBR.COM August 12, 2011
BOULDER - Chrisman Construction Inc. will close the construction component of its business at the end of August.
The Boulder-based company will continue to operate a separate, undisclosed part of the business, according to Sue Jones Umberger, the company’s office manager. Umberger declined to comment on why the company is closing its construction division or what the remaining business will include. Susan Chrisman did not immediately return a request for comment.
Jim and Susan Chrisman incorporated the company in 1985. Susan Chrisman also is a real estate broker with the Colorado Group Inc., according to information on the company’s website.
Chrisman Construction has worked closely with Jim’s father, Byron Chrisman, a real estate developer, on new construction projects, renovations and tenant finishes in the commercial real estate realm, according to the website.
Projects in the Boulder Valley have included medical and professional offices, research and development offices and hundreds of interiors.
(counselor) Well, it looks like you haven`t made a mortgage payment in three years.
(folks) Really! Is that what that computer says?
“What is nice about the event is that the mortgage companies will have the ability to pull up these loans right on the computer,” “It is a good opportunity for folks to understand where they stand on their mortgage if they are behind. It is best suited for someone already behind or in some stage of foreclosure.”
Mortgage assistance event coming to Palm Beach County Convention Center
By Susan Salisbury Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Posted: 4:00 p.m. Friday, Aug. 12, 2011
Homeowners who are behind on their mortgage payments can receive free one-on-one help at an event expected to bring 15 of the largest mortgage servicers and lenders to West Palm Beach.
Hope Now, a voluntary private sector alliance of mortgage servicers, investors, mortgage insurers and non-profit counseling organizations will be at the Palm Beach County Convention Center on Friday.
Some of the companies scheduled to be in attendance include Bank of America, Chase, HSBC, Ocwen and PNC Bank, spokesman Brad Dwin said.
Homeowners will be seen on a first-come, first-served basis and are encouraged to bring all mortgage documents, income documents and hardship letters.
In addition to mortgage servicers, several local, non-profit housing counseling organizations will be available to meet with homeowners.
“What is nice about the event is that the mortgage companies will have the ability to pull up these loans right on the computer,” Dwin said. “It is a good opportunity for folks to understand where they stand on their mortgage if they are behind. It is best suited for someone already behind or in some stage of foreclosure.”
Hope Now co-sponsored a similar event with the Obama Administration’s Making Home Affordable Program last November in West Palm Beach. Almost 1,100 attendees sought assistance.
http://www.palmbeachpost.com/money/real-estate/mortgage-assistance-event-coming-to-palm-beach-county-1733654.html - -
“Mortgage assistance event coming to Palm Beach county convention Center.”
What a neat place for sharks to assemble.
“Some of the companies scheduled to be in attendance are Bank of America, Chase, HSBC, Ocwen, and PNC Bank, spokesman David Dwin said.”
See what I mean?
Some of the major players that were deeply invloved in creating the problem are now going to lend their assistance in helping FBs cope with the problem.
(Not SOLVE the problem but COPE with the problem.)
And nobody seems to think any of this is a bit weird.
I was just thinking whats wrong with safety nets . I think there is nothing wrong with safety nets and they are the mark of civilization.
Does everyone want to go back to the cave man days ?
In truth the SSI safety net caused the people to spend more and
people became more creative and productive because of
the elimination of fear of poverty in old age . Industry benefited from
this mind set to the degree that people spent more money in the now and weren’t misers because they thought they had old age covered to some degree (at least they wouldn’t be starving in the streets )
People buy health insurance because it takes away the fear and than they can be more productive and creative in the now .
Basic safety nets tend to bring out the better in people because they don’t have to devote so much energy to protection and defense and fear of the future .
To ask people to spend when they aren’t even assurred of some safety nets like Social Security in the future or reasonable health costs ,especially when they are already in debt, is not going to get spending going . To further reduce wages is like the nail on the coffin .
All these Political groups talking about what the solutions are when its apparent that the conditions have been changed ,therefore you can”t talk about solutions unless you acknowledge the changes that
have taken place that have brought us to the brink .
A Country is sucessful if there is jobs for the majority with a reasonable standard of living for the majority with a reasonable amount of safety nets .The creative juices are unleashed under a system like that . I don’t want people working 80 hours a week at low wages to get by either .
You have less crime when you have amble jobs and you have less welfare costs and I could go on and on . Now all of a sudden safety nets are badmouthed as if they didn’t set the stage for greater spending for 70 years because of the safety nets .
In other words Industry like to divorse itself from the costs that goes into making people purchase things ,and purchasing things is a
byproduct of a lot of Social factors and government spending that makes it possible for people to feel comfortable purchasing things because they feel confident about the future .
People don’t feel job security right now and people don;t feel like their wages will keep up with the rising costs .
People perform better when they feel secure actually .
People should of never been allowed to go into debt to the degree they did ,but they had the wealth affect of a fake real estate market based on faulty lending .Now many people are going into debt because their wages arent even covering basic costs and they certainly aren’t really able to afford the high costs of health care in the final analysis .
Until the Politicians can speak in terms of the real situation today and what the solutions are ,rather than speaking as if major changes haven’t occurred in our society like job gutting trends and
costs that don’t chive with wages such as housing and health care and the china factor in being the big production Country .
You have to have trade balance and tariffs or you will get eaten alive .
Reducing our standard of living here is not making the standard of living go up in poor Countries because the workers there are just exploited . In those Countries the people have to demand good wages ,just like we did here in America so many years ago . In so many of those countries the people are like slaves with poor working conditions ,something that MAerica evolved out of many years ago .
i don’t think the rich have any vision what-so -ever of how ugly America is going to look with this downgrading of the middle class and the net result from lack of safety nets and jobs and a reasonable tax base .