It seems like the forecasted duration of the Great Recession keeps getting extended.
Dec. 14, 2011, 12:01 a.m. EST This slump won’t end until 2031
Commentary: Our predicament parallels the Long Depression of 1870s
By Matthew Lynn
LONDON (MarketWatch) — In retrospect, it wasn’t hard to see that the markets were becoming dangerously unstable. Germany had just adopted a new monetary system, and Europe was being flooded with cheap German money. Greece had just signed up to a monetary union with Italy and France but was struggling to hold it together. Financial markets had been deregulated. New technologies were transforming production and communications, allowing money to move across borders at lightening speed. And a massive new industrial power was flooding the world with cheap manufactured goods, blowing apart old industries. When it all fell apart in an almighty crash, it was only to be expected.
A prophesy for London, New York or Berlin in 2012? Not exactly. It is a description of Vienna in 1873. In that year, in one of the great crashes of all time, the Austrian markets triggered collapses across Europe, swiftly followed by an equally spectacular collapse in New York. It was the start of what economic historians call The Long Depression: a prolonged period of volatility, unemployment and slumps that lasted an epic twenty-three years, only finally coming to an end in 1896.
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Now we need a newbie to step up with “Voters are Vegetables.” Refering to the cabbages who vote for Tweedle Dee/Tweedle Dum “electable” candidates from the Republicrat Duopoly, of course, not principled upstarts like Ron Paul.
Yet the lapdog media still takes their stats as gospel - even after Core Logic raised serious doubts on their data. Heck, today they’re even trying to rationalize their sales overstatements (2007-11) for them. So helpful they are.
The agents can’t tell how many houses they sold.
The banksters don’t know where the money went.
The pols forgot who puts them in office.
Baubles are back, furs are fine, and haute handbags are hot this holiday season.
Even as unemployment remains high and job growth is anemic, luxury spending is up, with some retailers reporting business booming at prerecession levels. Wealthy shoppers, their confidence boosted by recovering investment portfolios, are dropping thousands of dollars on designer purses at Saks Fifth Avenue, holiday decorations from Winston Flowers, and custom-made candles from Seaport Candle Co. in South Boston, among other pricey gifts.
I don’t understand this obsession with trendy handbags. In every department store I’ve ever looked in, most of the purses are functionally the same as plastic grocery bag, with one compartment and maybe one zipper pocket. Don’t get me started on the insufficient or missing closure mechanisms. I don’t care if it says Dooney and Bourke or if it has a little stuffed panda hanging off the handle. Approximately 0.5% of the handbags have an acceptable organizational pocket structure and closure. And men wonder why women are always digging into their purses. Because, inside, it’s literally a dump.
Women who put career first, then feel the biological clock tick in and become increasingly neurotic due to suppressing their natural instincts, buy $5000 purses in a vain attempt to fill the voids in their materialistic but meaningless lives. One in four women are now on mood-altering meds - no surprise.
If the redorbit article is correct and considering that antidepressants can be libido killers … there’s probably a lot of unhappy guys out there.
That said, what is the percentage of Americans who drink alcohol as a way to “cope” with life’s daily pressures?
Comment by Dale
2011-12-14 10:18:06
95% of quoted statistics are just pulled out of the air.
Comment by oxide
2011-12-14 10:32:54
Depression is a libido-killer too, so guys don’t win either way.
Comment by cactus
2011-12-14 10:55:39
1 in 4 great no wonder there are so many bad drivers out there.
doesn’t that stuff make you gain weight as well ?
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-12-14 11:19:35
Seriously, Sammy? You have some stats to back up the assertion that $5000 purses are largely owned by women who don’t have children? Really?
Yours Truly never reproduced, and at this stage of my life, it ain’t gonna happen.
But the $5k purse thing? Puh-leeze. If I spent 50 bucks on something to carry house keys, money, ID, and a checkbook, I’d feel like I was a mondo big spender.
I know one peronally.
She lives in Japan though, but still:
Age early 50s, divorced, no kids, career as a designer, heavy smoker (still not that common in Japan), now owns at least two Hermès bags, at $4k each, justifies it with thi argumentation: ‘otherwise I have no fun and no things to spend my money on’.
It is socially acceptable to carry the same purse over and over but not wear the same (designer) clothing every day. The over decorated purses can also be spotted as a status symbol more easily than a lot of other fashion items.
If comfort/utility/function were a factor most high heels would have disappeared long ago…
“I don’t understand the obsession with trendy handbags.”
You are what you carry on your arm? Similar to “you are what you drive”?
Check out all the trendy wristwatches. Open up any Forbes and you’ll see pages of expensive wristwatch advertisements.
You are what you wear on your wrist?
Want to be able to see what time it is? Yes? Then you can buy a simple wristwatch for about twenty-five dollars. Or You can pay five-thousand dollars for a flashy one, even more.
It’s really not about being able to see what time it is.
Back in the late 80’s the parents of a friend of mine came into a lot of money and bought themselves a few toys, including a rolex for him.
At the time it was easy to get fake rolexes on the street in NYC, so he bought one of them too.
One of his favorite games was handing both watches to someone and asking them which one was the “real” one… Most people got it wrong.
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Comment by ahansen
2011-12-14 15:27:25
“…At the time it was easy to get fake rolexes on the street….”
Similarly, a jaded man-about-town type I used to date had a cache of fake Piagets he put to good use.
Never a great judge of intent, he was prone to being used for his money by opportunistic dates of recent acquaintance. So, after a typical night’s carousing, he took to leaving one of the shiny fakes on his nightstand. The next morning he’d get up early to go to his office and leave a nice note instructing his date to sleep in and order breakfast, then let herself out at her leisure.
If the watch was gone when he returned, he’d solved two problems.
oxide
You’re a gal after my own heart. I like Stone Mountain Leather Handbags ($60ish-have a collection)for the file cabinet many of them are designed to be.
I have one going on 20 years and I always can find my keys, phone, pad and pen…
(Why is it that women don’t carry essentials like a pen and pad, I’ll never figure out.)
And don’t get me started on why a handbag is worth the designer logo or name… a fool and his money… I hear ya, oxide… sorry, way OT.
My wonderful HBB girlfriends:
Great info and opinions on handbags and back packs. Much appreciated. I needed some light fare this morning. Not finding a suitable home is depressing.
As for men and their inability to “yankee doodle” (antidepression meds and emotional depression chat above) maybe they can channel the frustration into making piles of money.
A woman’s purse is a compact representation of her home– inside and out. Within is very literally her home-away-from-home, her security in the outside world.
So, it’s worth spending big bucks to get one that really works for you. I’ve been carrying the same perfect Gucci hobo for fifteen years now (with a few expert repairs as warranted,) and with each new wrinkle and gouge, it just gets better. Some people worry about having their purse stolen because of all the money and keys, and doo-dads and ID they’d lose. I’d grieve the actual purse.
Anyway, even the most expensive are commensurately cheaper than sportscars….
The trend you describe was going on during the Great Depression and just prior. It is the dichotomy between “rich” and “poor” that goes on with massive money transfers in the anti-free market system.
During the 1930’s in the midst of a horrible “depression” for poor people, Cord was in it’s hayday, manufacturing of the most expensive automobiles in history, along with lots of other companies. Stutz Bearcats…, Minerva, Auburn, Cadillac, Packard, Bentley, Mercedes, Alfa Romeo, Bugatti, and a whole bunch of others were all built and sold to Millionaires…………while breadlines formed downtown.
Of course, the owners had “estates” outside of town.
As a reminder of the past, the most expensive car at auction to date was a 1931 Bugatti that sold for 8.5 Million dollars in 1987.
Today, if you are “wealthy”, you can forget the Maybachs, their just toys for rich folks, buy a new Bugatti Veyron for 2.4 Million dollars.
A Pagini Zonda for 1.8 Million. or a Lambourghini Reventon for 1.6 Million……..Just chump change to a Hedge Fund Trader. Rewards for shuffling papers onto Central Bank balance sheets.
During the 1930’s in the midst of a horrible “depression” for poor people, Cord was in it’s hayday, manufacturing of the most expensive automobiles in history, along with lots of other companies. Stutz Bearcats…, Minerva, Auburn, Cadillac, Packard, Bentley, Mercedes, Alfa Romeo, Bugatti, and a whole bunch of others were all built and sold to Millionaires…………while breadlines formed downtown.
That reminds me, I expect to see a lot of today’s equivalents go away within the next decade. We’ll end up back with some of the same brands that were around 20 years ago, plus maybe a few of the newer Korean and Chinese (and Indian?) brands.
That’s the only place anybody will see them, as they are generally made in very small batches and sold to oil shieks and the like who lock them in garages and rarely drive them.
I was talking to someone at one of our doctors while we waited. She was telling me her daughter has 4 Xmas trees. Each child has their own in their bedroom, she has the one in the main LR and there is the one that is just decorated in Swarovski crystal. I thought I was going to throw up. I got to practice my plastic smile that comes in handy when around these people.
The reason she shared that info is I had asked if her kids took their ornaments that were theirs in their childhood when they grew up and started their own household. I think she was trying to imply her daughter wouldn’t be caught dead w/anything so simple from her childhood.
one (Christmas Tree) that is just decorated in Swarovski crystal. I thought I was going to throw up. I got to practice my plastic smile that comes in handy when around these people.
Forget the smile. This is why I always carry around one of these. I would have stuck it under her chair and walked across the room to get another magazine. It even has a remote control.
Texting, emailing or chatting on a cellphone while driving is simply too dangerous to be allowed, federal safety investigators declared Tuesday, urging all states to impose total bans except for emergencies.
While the NTSB doesn’t have the power to impose restrictions, its recommendations carry significant weight with federal regulators and congressional and state lawmakers
“Lobbyists a little slow with the vig this month…”
Ok, now that’s just too funny right there. And so true!
I, for one, feel that cell phones should be turned off while driving. I had this discussion with my buddy yesterday. He’s all for banning texting while on the road, but felt that talking on a cell while driving is OK. His point was that it is no different than having a conversation with a passenger. I disagree. For one thing, when my cell phone goes off while I’m in the car, it always startles me. Secondly, you never know what sort of distracting news is going to be delivered over that cell phone. It’s annoying to have to respond to the boss’s question about this or that while trying to keep one’s attention on the road.
And then there’s driving with the kids in the back seat, which can certainly take one’s attention off the road. That would be another comparative argument.
But even assuming these situations are no different than talking on a cell phone while driving, does that mean that adding yet another distraction is a good thing, especially if it is a non-essential distraction? Except in the case of emergencies, it really isn’t necessary to talk on a cell while driving
Aren’t there studies that show that talking on the phone uses the same part of the brain as driving, so you are automatically distracted. (I can usually tell a cell-phone driver from a quarter-mile off just from the way they’re driving.)
Whereas, if there’s a passenger in the car, people will immediately tuneout the passenger if the driving gets hairy, or the passenger will see the traffic and also shut up. I’ve been on both sides of this.
While i don’t mind it as much on podunk highways, cell phones should really be banned on city streets and parking lots. (!) It’s like 50% the population, and 100% of the soccer mom population, out of habit, immediately starts the phone when they start the car. Now they’re maneuvering through parking garages or traffic jams with one hand and zero brain, usually in a humungo landship where there is NO clearance or margin for error. Extremely dangerous.
Hmmm… that sounds like an idea for cash-strapped municipalities. Put a trooper in parking lots and slap a $150 fine on cell-phone users. Just parking lots alone would bring in far more revenue than speed traps.
The problem isnt talking on the cellphone while driving, the problem is idiots talking on the cellphone while driving. I talk on my handsfree when driving, however, I do it when I am in steady/open/stopped traffic, NOT when I am manouvering in a praking lot, or in a messy merge area. And, I will simply stop talking if I have to deal with changing lanes or something. I have dirven with people who kept talking while merging without looking and playing with their radio, never again.
When the driving gets really messed up (as it so often does in the DC area) I even turn off the radio. I don’t need to use the extra effort of tuning it out when the off button is right there.
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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-12-14 07:39:55
But city driving while talking on the cellphone while trying to find good music on the radio is good exercise for the brain when you’re tired.
It’s even more important on podunk highways, where speeds are higher than those in the middle of a city.
Not too long ago a head-on occurred here when a texting teen failed to notice that the straight section of the 2-lane road he was on had turned into a gentle right-hand curve. He continued straight, right into an oncoming truck. Only the truck left (very short) skid marks. It’s a miracle he survived, as it took the “jaws of life” to get him out of the car.
Nowadays my attention is riveted on the vehicle approaching me on these 2-lane roads, as I look for any sign of drift in either direction. A drift to the right and onto the shoulder is usually followed by an over-correction that brings the vehicle rapidly across the center line.
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Comment by Hard Rain
2011-12-14 09:29:26
Nowadays my attention is riveted on the vehicle approaching me on these 2-lane roads, as I look for any sign of drift in either direction
I do the exact same thing now. Two years ago my older sister was badly injured when a cell phone user drifted in to her head-on (two lane road). She broke both arms and sustained permanent nerve damage to her right hand. She was a landscape and floral design artist but is now out on disability. So until she learns a new trade (at fifty-three?) the taxpayer will pick up the tab. Not coming out of the Sprint CEO’s bonus…
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2011-12-14 10:03:00
+1. My passengers think I’m nuts when I move halfway into the emergency lane when there is traffic coming from the opposite direction. I especially give berth to large trucks…
Comment by The_Overdog
2011-12-14 10:13:42
Highway deaths are incredibly low the past few years. They should save the bans for when they go back up to move the needle .
Comment by Montana
2011-12-14 10:20:34
out of habit, immediately starts the phone when they start the car.
This. Throw car in reverse, dial phone, look around absently. Isn’t this how it’s supposed to work?
Good advice up there Bill. I do a lot of podunk driving and get nervous in the turns and now I realize it’s for good reason.
Just today, I saw a lady blow an old red light as I was about to pull into the intersection. She was looking in her lap. Texting I’m assuming.
If the behavior directly impacts others, it should have some regulations. DIRECTLY impacts. Not indirectly. Seatbelt usage doesn’t impact anyone else. Texting and driving does.
“If the behavior directly impacts others, it should have some regulations. DIRECTLY impacts. Not indirectly. ”
I’m with you on texting. I really don’t think you can do it and properly focus. Maybe voice recognition tech will make it possible. But talking while driving? We’ve been honing that skill for decades. As others have said, unless you’re going to make it illegal to have your kids in the back, or to talk to the person next to you, the proposed cellphone law seems ill-advised, if wee-meaning in intent.
This might be a bad mix with today’s cell phone drivers, but at least in the past one good way to get people to pay attention was to actually let them drive a bit faster to where they actually needed to think about it. Driving can be fun, and can be 100% engaging without being dangerous.
Most American drivers are untrained these days, and if they are trained its more along the lines of learning what the different road signs mean and not how to pull out of a skid.
Heck, you don’t even need to know how to drive a car with a manual transmission to get a license in the USA.
“President Obama’s health care reforms have allowed 2.5 million young adults to get medical coverage, according to a new analysis that the Obama administration is set to release Wednesday.
The Obama administration says the dramatic decrease in the number of uninsured young adults is due to the president’s signature health care reforms, reports the AP, which obtained a copy of the analysis.
The drop in the number of uninsured young adults is 2 1/2 times larger than the decline indicated by previous estimates earlier this year, which showed about 1 million Americans in the age group had gained coverage, reports the wire service.”
I would say this is mostly true. It is cheaper to insure single young and healthy individuals. That being said my family and I are still uninsured. Obama care has made it impossible to afford health insurance. I cam not afford the $15000 it costs a year for a family, and I make to much for Medical.
“It is cheaper to insure single young and healthy individuals. ”
Precisely why we need to include this group with the other groups the government currently insures- the elderly ,the sick, and the poor. That’s how insurance works properly. We now have a situation in which the for-profit health care insurers cover the young and healthy, while the gov ends up covering the old and sick- ie the non-profitable ones. That’s why medicare is so costly.
“I cam not afford the $15000 it costs a year for a family, and I make to much for Medical.”
Too bad we don’t have universal health care coverage like every other developed nation on the earth, and could enjoy its lower costs, along with the assurance of coverage even if we dare to become ill. But I guess we’ve all been so well-propagandized that we believe they all stand in long, grey lines waiting to be told they can’t have an operation. (Although they still have the temerity to live longer than us.)
But I guess we’ve all been so well-propagandized that we believe they all stand in long, grey lines waiting to be told they can’t have an operation. (Although they still have the temerity to live longer than us.)
That we have. We believe we have it so much better, even though we can’t afford to see the doctor and many simply “do without”.
I’ve never understood why some people are afraid of some government bureaucrat rationing care but seem to be comfortable with our current system of health care industry bureaucrats - with a profit motive - being the gate keepers who ration care…
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Comment by Mike
2011-12-14 08:33:00
As a capitalist, I want to make sure that the entity that kills me does it efficiently and at a profit. Not like Cuba, where they’re so lazy they may never get around to it…
Comment by In Colorado
2011-12-14 09:14:50
They do it at a profit. As far as “efficiency” goes …
Too bad we don’t have universal health care coverage like every other developed nation on the earth, and could enjoy its lower costs, along with the assurance of coverage even if we dare to become ill. ……..What lower costs?
Sweden pays about 1/2 its income on taxes to support their programs. I guess that’s okay if your a Swede or a German.
These are Homogenous societies with hard-working and Prudent people.
We have bunches of Minorities who are net takers from the National Wealth, so they will be “disproportionately” represented in the pool of Free Medical. The rest of the Country can pay for it. You, of course, can use this as a claim of racism.
Incidentally, those other “advanced” countries are all imploding on their promises to pay for everything via government “benefits”.
Let’s see how this works out.
Now they even are talking about making war on Salt to keep me safe from the dangers of food. Not the government’s business. None at all. But I guess if I am in some government “system” then they must be able to control all my actions for the good of the collective. And, gee, it’s illegal to drop out of the “collective”. Land of the FRee?? Ha hahahaha.
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Comment by Rental Watch
2011-12-14 10:35:10
Not to mention that universal health care is not good enough for many people in places like the UK.
To my understanding doctors there aren’t satisfied with the low payments provided by the government, and people are not satisfied with the government care, so they buy private insurance on top of the government program.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2011-12-14 10:51:14
Sweden spends $2,828 per capita in health care, we spend $6,096. (2007 numbers)
And they insure everybody.
Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Fl)
2011-12-14 11:11:11
But they are Swedes. They are efficient, and statistics don’t give you the true story. How much corruption, payoffs and FRAUD goes into the Swedish system? I seriously doubt it approaches Medicaid and Medicare, which won’t prosecute the criminals.
But to be fair, the Swedish GDP per capita in 2007 (your base) was 31,600. US, about 50,000. They spent 9.1 % of their earnings on “healthcare”, according to my sources.
So we spent a bunch more, mostly from government waste and fraud, and so, you think if the government takes over the WHOLE system, it will be cheaper? No government program is every cheaper. Here’s an excerpt from a report on SWEDEN:
By the early 1980s, with an aging population and increasingly expensive health care technology, the system had become unsustainable. In a ten-year period from 1972-1982, the health care portion of Sweden’s GDP grew from 7.2 percent to 9.3 percent (see Figure 1).10 Until 1985, the national government reimbursed county councils for health care expenses on a fee-for-service basis. The Dagmar Reform of 1985 changed the reimbursement formula to one of “capitation,” in which counties were reimbursed for the number of patients served. This led to “global budgets” - a fixed amount that each county could spend annually on health care services.
Global budgeting would prove to have serious consequences for Sweden’s health care system, most notably expanding waiting lists. Waiting lists for surgery and other procedures had long been a problem in Sweden. Like most government-run systems, the Swedish health care system was already plagued by declining productivity - a consequence of which included delays in care.11 Global budgeting, however, worsened the problem of waiting lists. With county councils now operating with fixed budgets and citizens facing few restraints on demand for health care, county councils needed to ration health care services. An increase in wait times was the result. By 1988 the wait time for an angiogram - a heart X-ray - was up to eleven months. The wait time for bypass surgery could be an additional eight months.12
The report was from National Policy Analysis in May 2007.
Look it up.
Yea, statistics are great. We spend a lot more than any other country and haven’t increase life expectancy more than much, much poorer countries, but then, here, everyone is “equal” and demographic factors can’t be considered. Although certain groups have a lot more heart disease, cancer and other long term ailments. The Swedes don’t.
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-12-14 11:24:13
While the Scandinavian countries aren’t that ethnically diverse, the UK and Canada are. Yet they manage to have universal health care that works for them. And they’re not clamoring to have a health care system like ours.
So much for the mono-ethnic argument. Next, please?
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-12-14 11:25:11
What lower (health-care) costs?
Sweden pays about 1/2 its income on taxes to support their programs. Diogenes
(These lower heath-care costs)
Sweeden spends $3470 per person per year on healthcare
USA spends $7540 per person per year on healthcare.
But for $3470 per year Sweeden covers everyone. Big diff.
source: 2008 OECD Health Data
Even when comparing the median income per capita of the USA ($27K) with Sweden ($20K) We get Sweden spending 18% of median income per person on healthcare vs 28% for the USA but the USA has 1/3 of our population uncovered or with BS coverage and Sweden has cradle-to-grave healthcare coverage for EVERYONE. median income figures: wiki
These are Homogenous societies with hard-working and Prudent people.Diogenes
Our employment rate has been higher than Sweden’s many times historically even if we are “browner.” Your racial comment has no relevance at all to the economics.
Incidentally, those other “advanced” countries are all imploding on their promises to pay for everything via government “benefits”. Diogenes
And we are not because of wars? Many of those Social Democracies are in better fiscal shape than the USA.
Not to mention that universal health care is not good enough for many people in places like the UK.
Rental Watch
You’re right. You should not mention that. Because even though the UK spends less than half the amount per person on health-care (including public and private spending)….
“In Great Britain, satisfaction with access to affordable healthcare (43%) is consistent with satisfaction with quality (42%). In Canada, satisfaction with access to affordable healthcare (57%) is slightly higher than satisfaction with quality (52%). But the most dramatic variation in satisfaction with these two facets of the healthcare system occurs in the United States, where only 25% are satisfied with the availability of affordable healthcare, but 48% are satisfied with quality….
On a less relative basis, the fact that 72% of Americans say they are dissatisfied with the availability of affordable healthcare, and 50% are dissatisfied with the quality of medical care are cause for concern. Regardless of how these numbers measure up to those in Canada and Great Britain, they indicate that the U.S. healthcare system has considerable room for improvement.” Gallup
Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Fl)
2011-12-14 11:33:50
Well, it doesn’t really work. It’s just their current system.
I met an elderly man (60’s) hobbling around Clearwater Beach last year with a band around his knee. Needed a knee replacement. He told me it would be next year before he could get it taken care of.
And for all you “national health care” advocates, i was listening in to a radio program a couple of weeks back. The gist of the conversation from a brain surgeon was that they are already being told that they will not be allowed to perform emergency life-saving surgery on patients over 65 or 70. Just too expensive. Triage. That’s the solution. And it will be America’s solution.
They will be instructed to provide “comfort” support to help them not feel uncomfortable as they are dying. Old people will be the first to be denied medical care.
As one other astute reader wrote, the very aged consume the largest part of the health care budget. The simplest solution is to simply remove them from the list of pending surgeries, operations, and support facilities. Give Grandma a pain pill and pat her on the head. Goodnight Grandma.
Comment by Rental Watch
2011-12-14 11:47:46
A huge cost is related to end-of-life care in the US. In Sweden, the decisions are largely left to the doctors, patients have less involvement in their own care decisions.
To put in the most inflammatory terms, Sweden has death panels.
To put another way, patients and their families don’t have an ability to use massive medical resources when a physician’s decision otherwise would be to simply let nature take its course.
Not that this is a perfect study for what I note, but in the same direction:
An abstract to a study comparing Russia, Sweden, and Germany for certain types of decisions:
“Results—Swedish physicians chose fewer life-prolonging interventions as compared with the Russian and the German doctors.”
I heard a health-care expert speak and she noted that if decisions about end-of-life care were made in the US in an similar fashion as to other countries (she noted France), the difference in healthcare cost per capita would not go away entirely, but the differences would be MUCH smaller.
End-of-life decision making, and, if patients or their families take part in such decisions, who bears the cost for what doctors may otherwise consider excessive treatment, is the elephant in the room that everyone is trying to ignore. It is a critical piece to getting healthcare costs under control, especially as our population ages.
And AZ Slim, the UK still has private insurance because many people find the government program to be inadequate.
Comment by In Colorado
2011-12-14 11:59:58
And they’re not clamoring to have a health care system like ours.
No one is. Most view our system with a combination of revulsion and horror, unless of course they are very rich. Our system serves the rich (and well insured) fairly well.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-12-14 12:35:13
the UK still has private insurance because many people find the government program to be inadequate.
Perfect. I’ll take that combination system any day over what the USA has.
Sorry if I’m bummed out today. I had to pay my $150 monthly 1st world medical/dental/PhysTher/homeopathic/MentalHealth/Acupuncture insurance premium yesterday.
And last month when I needed stitches on a weekend my private insurance was too much of a hassle to go to my plan’s hospital so I had to go to my neighborhood free clinic with the socialistas. (Thankfully I think they took down the Che Guevara posters when they saw me coming)
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-12-14 12:37:28
Needed a knee replacement. He told me it would be next year before he could get it taken care of.
I know a 50 year old un-insured American that hobbled around for 6 years needing a hip replacement. He finally paid thousands out of his pocket.
Comment by frankie
2011-12-14 13:23:53
As a inhabitant of England and a member of a private healthy care scheme, perhaps I could set forth my views on the NHS.
Is it ideal no, but I don’t have to worry if my family fall sick about insurance. It is possible that they may require an expensive medicine that has not been approved by the local NHS, but how does that differ from your private medical schemes?
It is not uncommon to see fund raising campaigns to send sick people (usually children) for ground braking medical treatment abroad. Unfortunately few of these campaigns end well.
The main plus points about the NHS are on the whole they do a good job. The only worry I have in the event of family ill health is the illness not the cost.
Why you ask are you in a private medical scheme and what advantages does it give you. Well it will get me a private room in an NHS hospital or a cash sum if I’m willing to lie in bed amongst the general public. It will get me to see a specialist sooner for minor ailments and none life threatening illnesses, but if I have a major problem they will soon shuffle me back to the NHS. The main reason I have it though is it comes with the job and I think it suits my employers for me to have it. If I do need non urgent medical attention I can book it on a weekend or late at night which while this might not be ideal for me does at least ensure I won’t be taking any time of work.
P.S The practice of doctors working both for the NHS and themselves goes back to the inception of the NHS. In fact local doctors (GP’s) run their practices as small businesses and consultants receive a salary from the NHS and allowed to keep doing private practice.
Comment by howiewowie
2011-12-14 15:37:49
And of course more than a million Americans go out of country for medical and dental treatment because of…UNAFFORDABILITY!
Comment by jbunniii
2011-12-14 18:30:05
And of course more than a million Americans go out of country for medical and dental treatment because of…UNAFFORDABILITY!
I wonder how long it will take before the medical lobby manages to ban this practice.
What aspect of Obamacare that is currently implemented has increased the cost of insurance so you can’t afford it? What is the cost of the coverage you can’t afford? What would it cost if Obamacare wasn’t in place?
Most of the health care law isn’t implemented yet. The current trends in increases in coverage have been going on since long before the law passed. The biggest change already implemented (allowing parents to keep young adults on their coverage until 26) actually lowers the average cost of coverage by adding a bunch of healthy young adults into the risk pool.
“What aspect of Obamacare that is currently implemented has increased the cost of insurance so you can’t afford it? What is the cost of the coverage you can’t afford? What would it cost if Obamacare wasn’t in place?”
+ 1 Polly. The increase in premiums isn’t directly due to Obamacare, it’s due to the threat of Obamacare. When the exchanges are implemented, health insurance companies will take a hit. If the mandate is declared unconstitutional, ins will also take a hit because no mandate = no new customers subsidized by government cheese. So ins companies are making hay while the sun shines.
The credit card companies did the exact same thing. A CC law was passed but didn’t take effect for six months. During those six months, the CC companies milked the customers for all they were worth by hiking rates on current balances. Even if the law mitigates future damage, those balances and hiked rates are going to linger, profitably, for years.
It wouldn’t surprise me if that’s the last-ditch attempt by lobbyists. “Well, if you commie pigs are going to dictate to us how to run our business by passing this job-killing law despite our expert opinion, can you at least give us a six-month window to adjust to the changes, please?” (Translation: if you allow us a final six month extortion par-tay, we might give you a few sheckels for your reelection campaign.)
are you cereal? adding millions to their parents policies at no charge lowers the cost?
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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-12-14 08:01:13
are you cereal? adding millions to their parents policies at no charge lowers the cost?
The added millions to their parent’s policies are paying the extra premiums for their addition to (or their continuation on) their parents policy. (or their parents are paying)
And no, I am not cereal although I sometimes eat it. (Does that make me part cereal?)
Comment by measton
2011-12-14 08:53:09
How does a bunch of uninsured sick people showing up in the ER in late stages of disease that previously could have been treated for pennies on the dollar saving money.
Hospitals have to increase what they charge to cover the losses. They also deduct the losses from their taxes if they make a profit. How is that different then just spending money on cost effective medicine? The money still comes out of the gov and tax payers pocket. How is it more efficient? If it’s an infectious disease like TB or HIV, how is it safer or better for society? Until society is willing to kick sick patients in the ER to the curb to die society is still paying the cost of medical care, and they are doing it in a less effective more expensive manner.
Comment by polly
2011-12-14 10:27:50
Thanks, Rio.
Why anyone would think that there aren’t any premiums for the covered adult kids is beyond me. If that had been the case the insurance companies would have been screaming their heads off. Never heard a peep out of them. They got to collect premiums for providing coverage to a bunch of middle class 20 somethings with parents who had jobs with group health benefits. Hardly a group they wanted to avoid covering.
Comment by oxide
2011-12-14 11:10:25
“How does a bunch of uninsured sick people showing up in the ER in late stages of disease that previously could have been treated for pennies on the dollar saving money.”
Short term vs. long term. Polly said this years ago. Why spend money on prevention when whatever disease you’re preventing tends to show up and need $$ drugs when that person is older and on Medicare? It’s the usual privitizing gains and socializing losses.
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2011-12-14 11:46:06
“are you cereal?”
I just about LOL at that expression; I know a Peruvian woman who really says that when she means “are you serious?”.
It’s pretty funny when you hear it, and I’ve taken to saying it myself…
Comment by jbunniii
2011-12-14 18:34:01
They got to collect premiums for providing coverage to a bunch of middle class 20 somethings with parents who had jobs with group health benefits. Hardly a group they wanted to avoid covering.
I would think it would be mainly the employers who pay the majority of insurance premiums would be the ones complaining about this provision.
Setting up the insurance exchanges should lower the cost of premiums for basic coverage, as it will…wait for it…increase competition among insurance companies.
A friend of mine runs a group of hotels…at one point they needed to self-insure coverage for one of their properties…there was only one insurance carrier in the area that could serve them, and the pricing was ridiculously high.
More competition among the insurance companies will shrink their profit margins.
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Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Fl)
2011-12-14 10:52:25
Increasing competition among insurance companies was the Republican proposal to avoid “national health care”. It was rejected by the Democratic Congress at the time. Not even considered.
You are correct. That was the solution to getting costs under control, along with de-centralizing government control under Medicare.
The States would be a better place to reform Medical laws, not provide “health care”. It’s the job of the government to enforce laws (not mandates) and protect the rights of people from other people who would do them harm, not to provide “services”.
However, all the States have “rigged” political payoffs in the insurance industry. The reason you don’t have 15 or 20 companies offering health insurance is because they are kept out of your State by State regulations…….
Government’s real purpose: Keep out the outsiders and support us insiders. If you’re in the club, you get benefits, if not, you can pay. We need an overturn of Health Care Insurance regulations Statewide. ObamaCare may prevent this.
Comment by Carl Morris
2011-12-14 11:33:49
Government’s real purpose: Keep out the outsiders and support us insiders.
Yet they can’t even do that right at a national level in regards to jobs. Or maybe they do…it’s just that all but the elites are no longer part of “us”.
Comment by Rental Watch
2011-12-14 12:00:41
“However, all the States have “rigged” political payoffs in the insurance industry. The reason you don’t have 15 or 20 companies offering health insurance is because they are kept out of your State by State regulations…….”
Actually, one of the main reasons is due to the sweetheart deals that larger insurance companies can negotiate with providers.
If you ask a hospital what they are paid for a kidney transplant, they will give you more than one number:
Medicare is one number (generally the lowest for most types of payment), each insurance company has their own negotiated rate, and if you’re an uninsured rich guy, you pay the most.
Over time, this has allowed the largest insurance companies to cut costs the most and outcompete/absorb the small carriers.
I would love to have a “most favored nation” law in the US that makes it illegal for healthcare providers to charge different rates for different payers. Flatten the field for insurance companies and watch competition explode. Rich uninsured man would pay the same as any insurance company, which would pay the same as Medicare.
The problem is that Medicare would be forced to pay at the levels of insurance companies at a time when Medicare can’t afford to pay more–so this deal wouldn’t fly (and the Republican side would scream about getting in the way of the free market–since they would be getting lots of money from insurance companies to scream such things).
The biggest change already implemented (allowing parents to keep young adults on their coverage until 26) actually lowers the average cost of coverage by adding a bunch of healthy young adults into the risk pool……..
I see this a pure conjecture on your part. It sounds logical, but isn’t.
Young people are healthy, and therefore don’t need to go to the doctor much. So they don’t. They also don’t buy insurance if it’s not provided for them. Your reasoning, I assume, is that by keeping them on their parents insurance, then they will increase the amount of money going into the “system”. First, if i was a parent with grown “children”, I wouldn’t be paying for insurance for them, unless, of course, it’s “government subsidized”. If it is, then there is no saving to the “community”, just to the people getting subsidies.
But, also, I find it to be true, ALWAYS, when you don’t have coverage, you don’t go the the Doctor for every little ailment.
Our Hospitals are packed with INDIGENT people who use them for primary care, since it’s FREE if you don’t have any money.
That’s why hospitals are in so much trouble. They have to get the money from somewhere and they usual get it by charging people with Insurance MORE for their services.
When you DO have coverage, since it’s only a small co-pay, if you have a minor injury of the flu…..well, gee, I better go see a doctor. Something that could be treated at home will become a doctor visit………..
As for the argument that it’s “preventive medicine”, most people don’t get to be disasterous health drains until after many years of poor diet, no exercise, over-eating, smoking and drinking. Having regular visits to a physician in their early 20’s will not make a single dent into the biggest problems of American Health……..failure to maintain a healthy diet and lifestyle…………and FOOD STAMPS made things worse. I see lots of FAT people loading their buggies with name-brand quality food and lots of crap, too. Whip out the E-card from the government and waddle out the door. They eat way too much.
Another government boondoggle. If they were really “poor”, maybe they couldn’t get so much food. OH, but hold the salt~~!
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Comment by Happy2bHeard
2011-12-15 18:38:17
“When you DO have coverage, since it’s only a small co-pay, if you have a minor injury of the flu…..well, gee, I better go see a doctor.”
Some people go to the doctor hardly at all even with great coverage. Who has the time? Who wants to spend it at the doctor?
“As for the argument that it’s “preventive medicine”, most people don’t get to be disasterous health drains until after many years of poor diet, no exercise, over-eating, smoking and drinking. “
Not all chronic, expensive conditions are caused by poor diet, etc. MS has recently been linked to Vitamin D deficiency and a gene mutation that can make it worse. You can’t get enough from your diet and in most parts of the US, you can’t make any from the sun for more than 6 months of the year.
Sleep apnea is exacerbated, but not caused, by obesity. In many people it is simply an artifact of their soft palate, tongue, and throat structure. It can lead to disrupted leptin and grelin hormone levels, causing or contributing to weight gain. It can cause cardiac problems, including arrhythmias like atrial fibrillation. It occurs in normal weight children and young adults and is absent in some obese people. It can cause brain damage and dementia.
Cardiac issues have been linked to periodontal disease. Without the preventive care given by my dentist and his assistants, I might not have eliminated mine. My parents both had to have significant work in their 40s to take care of it.
I would agree that exercise is a miracle drug and most of us do not get enough. I don’t agree that most expensive medical care is caused by lifestyle issues, unless you also include driving a car or riding in a car or walking or biking near a roadway in your lifestyle issues.
The biggest change already implemented (allowing parents to keep young adults on their coverage until 26) actually lowers the average cost of coverage by adding a bunch of healthy young adults into the risk pool.
I bet $10 that these savings are not passed along to the consumer.
Obama care has made it impossible to afford health insurance.
How? The rate of premium price increases has been rising steadily for the past 30 years, the past year or so has basically been “more of the same”. “Obamacare” had hardly any effect on that rate of increase, especially since most of its key provisions have yet to kick in.
If you don’t like Obama, that’s fine (I’m not too crazy about him myself) but unaffordable healthcare has been in the making for decades,
I get back to my same point as before: If you believe that as a civilized society that we should take care of our sick, the only two questions are:
1. How is that care provided?
2. Who pays?
#1 seems to be either a) single-payer system (which generally doesn’t eliminate private insurance), or b) a mandate with private insurance
#2 can get more complicated (co-pays, etc.), but generally the wealthy will pick up more of the tab. That said, some prices should be seen by consumers, or they will over consume healthcare.
Fine, but then again I could have gone Cobra with my old plan for $900+ a month (whole family), which is less than $15,000 a year.
It is hard to get an apples to apples comparison as the size of your group, your own demographic and and the type of plan do affect the cost.
What I do know from personal anecdoatal experience is that that the Cobra plans I have been offered over the past 10 years (everytime I changed a job) have hovered around $1000 a month. What has changed over the years are ever higher deductibles and copays. So you pay the same, but get less.
Comment by Awaiting
2011-12-14 09:55:44
An individual plan w/Kaiser use to cost us $1,200/mo for 2 overall healthy adults. It’s insane on Cobra or solo.
Yep, Colorado, you pay more for less coverage. I use to see the illegals on Ca’s Medi-cal (medicaid) plan not even pay a co-pay at Kaiser, yet then can afford a nice vehicle.
The U.S. doesn’t have a broken medical system. We don’t have a system, imo.
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-12-14 11:26:16
What I do know from personal anecdoatal experience is that that the Cobra plans I have been offered over the past 10 years (everytime I changed a job) have hovered around $1000 a month. What has changed over the years are ever higher deductibles and copays. So you pay the same, but get less.
Also keep in mind that a cobra is a very nasty snake.
Comment by In Colorado
2011-12-14 12:05:57
I always thought that was a lousy name.
I also wonder how many people exercise their COBRA option? I mean, if you’ve just been laid off, are you really going to cough up 1 grand a month for COBRA?
Comment by Carl Morris
2011-12-14 13:40:07
I would have if I hadn’t found a job before my previous insurance ran out…and I’d have had to pay about $1500. My family has a lot of healthcare needs, though…makes no sense for us to go uninsured unless there’s no other choice. And when that happens it may be a one way trip. It might be very difficult to get anyone to insure us again.
“Obama care has made it impossible to afford health insurance.”
It may be even more unaffordable than it was before, but it’s not unaffordable “because of” Obamacare.
I don’t want the government to subsidize my healthcare, but I would like to see doctors take a 75% pay cut.
Barring that, let me buy my own antibiotics, surgical thread, etc. and I’ll take my chances on my own.
I really wonder how Ron Paul will improve our healthcare situation- handing it over to the states doesn’t seem like a solution.
Our weekly work e-mail used to have a classified for 10 year old Daphne whose parents were selling pins and ribbons in order to pay for her treatment of rare cancer not covered by insurance.
The classified stopped running recently. Either the treatments have worked and are paid for or possibly she has died. If the latter true, a teabagger television audience would be cheering
Yup. Plus there are those ubiquitous “Please help little Jared pay for his X treatment” jars you often see in mom-n-pop stores next to the cash registers. A very American Tradition.
Please help little Jared pay for his X treatment” jars you often see in mom-n-pop stores next to the cash registers. A very American Tradition.
There needs to be a charity that has commercials with Sally Struthers at the sickbed of ill American children explaining the profit driven, horrible American health insurance system and asking people to “adopt” a sick American child to help pay for their American health-care.
Then they should run these commercials in Europe and Canada. (Oh yea, and in Brazil too)
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Comment by In Colorado
2011-12-14 09:19:56
Maybe “Doctors without Borders” can send 3rd world doctors to the USA to treat the uninsured.
Nevermind, the AMA and FDA would never allow that (business is business after all). I guess we’ll have to send our uninsured to Brazil.
Comment by Elanor
2011-12-14 09:51:49
Splendid idea, Rio!
In Co, the major stumbling block to having doctors from more prosperous countries working here would be obtaining a license to practice medicine. Those are controlled by each state.
Comment by turkey lurkey
2011-12-14 11:21:38
In many rural areas of this country, they, or doctors groups like hem, are doing exactly that, right now.
Comment by oxide
2011-12-14 11:45:30
Actually, in CO, there is an American charity called Remote Area Medical which sort of does that. They are a mobile unit that treats the rural poor. One time, rural patients lined up for hours to be treated in the horse barn at the state fairgrounds.
Our HBB Librarian will tell you that it was scenes like this that inspired former health ins CEO Wendell Potter to do a 180 and support single payer.
I tell people that we have the best health care in the world, but Dick Cheney took it all.
I just got home from the memorial breakfast for a friend. He died at age 31. Didn’t have health insurance. Probably couldn’t have gotten it anyway because of his heart condition.
Memorial breakfast included the raffle for a new bicycle. That raffle raised over $8k, which will help to pay for the medical expenses he incurred before his death.
HOUSING: Nervous buyers, high supply to hold back house prices for years, Fannie Mae economist says
By ERIC WOLFF
North County Times
Tuesday, December 13, 2011
House prices will fall 3 percent nationally in 2012, excluding foreclosures and short sales, Douglas Duncan, Fannie Mae’s chief economist, said at a University of San Diego real estate conference on Tuesday.
Mixing in those “distressed” sales, prices could fall 6 or 7 percent, he said.
Too much supply and weak demand could hold down prices for years in San Diego County, and for as long as a decade in hard hit areas such as Phoenix, Las Vegas, and the Inland Empire, including Southwest Riverside County, Duncan said at a conference held by the Burnham-Moores Center for Real Estate. Citing Fannie Mae surveys, Duncan said 9 percent of Americans are unemployed and 26 percent worried that they wouldn’t have a job in 6 months.
“They say it’s a great time to buy a house, not a great time for ‘me’ to buy a house,” Duncan said of his survey. “Ten percent said it’s a good time to sell.”
“I think the public is a lot more intuitively engaged in the realities than the people in Washington realize,” he said.
Demand has been diluted further by a shift toward renting from home ownership.
“In the near term, there’s a shift to the acceptability of renting,” Duncan said.
Taking all of these forces into account, many real estate observers worry about a “new normal” in the housing market. But Duncan said most of these trends are the unwinding of a distortion from a housing bubble in the mid-2000s, and most of the trends are a reversion to historical norms.
“The new normal?” Duncan asked in his speech. “This same transition is a return to an old normal, not a new normal.”
Thank goodness he is honest and not towing the company line. My guess is his 3% down is a little off the mark, I wouldn’t be suprised to be double that.
And what is wrong with renting? I’ve been renting 10 years straight, doing the math I have spent about $100,000 in rent in those years. Considering I couldn’t afford a house until 2008 timeline, it is a safe assumption that anything I would have bought would have lost 50-100k since then, leaving the situation largely a wash. I don’t need to be an “owner” to feel like a real person. And I didn’t run up credit cards keeping up with the yearly fashion trends at the Home Depot.
“In the near term, there’s a shift to the acceptability of renting,” Duncan said.
Socially, maybe. Financially, not so much. Just give it a couple years while LLs jack up the rent to all those former FBs with FICOs so trashed they are unable to buy and have no choice but to rent. Then they’ll see why renting acquired its stigma in the first place.
Socially, maybe. Financially, not so much. Just give it a couple years while LLs jack up the rent to all those former FBs with FICOs so trashed they are unable to buy and have no choice but to rent. Then they’ll see why renting acquired its stigma in the first place.
”
yea I think you’re right. I have heard the government is selling large amounts of forclosed housing to investment groups. ” Pottersville’s ” with payday loans and cash for gold stores replacing home depots.
From the Financial Times: Skills gap hobbles US employers
“Mr Greenblatt’s predicament speaks to one of the biggest economic debates about today’s 8.6 per cent US unemployment rate: is it merely a cyclical problem that will shrink as demand recovers? Or is it something deeper and more structural, a “mismatch” between the skills workers have and those companies need?
The idea there is something structurally wrong with the US workforce is controversial among economists but has a certain resonance with the public. Since the emergence of Japan as a technology and manufacturing powerhouse in the 1970s, Americans have been anxiousthat they were losing their competitive edge to better-educated, harder-working rivals.
US companies that are growing say an unqualified workforce is already a significant barrier to hiring.
In a September poll of owners of fast-growing, privately held US companies undertaken by the non-profit Kauffman Foundation, the inability to find qualified workers was cited as the biggest obstacle to growth. Some 40 per cent of respondents said they were being held back by the skills gap, compared with just 13 per cent by lack of demand.”
If companies cannot find qualified new employees then that makes qualified old employees all the more valuable.
This point seems to be lost on many of my co-workers, old guys that are fed up with the bean-counting and will rush the doors at the slightest incentive.
Wrong thinking, IMO. In this economic environment a job is something one should strive to hang onto.
Most of these guys find themselves in cushy jobs and because of their experience they are valuable assets to the company - and the dues for getting to this point were paid by them a long time ago.
And now that they are all set up to where they need to be what do they do? Why, they chuck it all in.
WEll, when you conisder the fact that most places dont give any more than the bare cost of living increase for raises, and you can switch jobs for a 20% increase for the same work a lot of times, it makes sense.
And now that they are all set up to where they need to be what do they do? Why, they chuck it all in.
You said they were old guys. Maybe if one is “old” and can afford to retire they want to do something else in retirement. This ain’t no dress rehearsal.
Combo, the reality is that you’ve only got so many years of active, pain-free, disability-free retirement. Then it’s all downhill. I see that here on the tennis courts- players (including me) lose a step or two or three, become unable to go after lobs, lose their hard serve, miss a season due to injury. And the ones who were older when we got here no longer come to play.
Almost seven years after fully retiring I still usually have more things I want to do than time to do them all. That’s even when I DON’T spend an hour a day reading and posting here Only exception- after about the third successive cold, wet, dreary winter day I start to get antsy.
If companies cannot find qualified new employees then that makes qualified old employees all the more valuable.
It doesn’t stop employers from laying them off, sometimes for trivial perfomance issues which could easily be addressed. I’ve seen this happen so many times that it’s not funny.
A dash of reality from the article. Employers want someone else to have spent the time and money to train their employees:
“Technology moves fast and most companies don’t have the money or resources to pay for extensive retraining,” said Sir James Dyson, the British household appliances engineer.
Without in-house training programmes, companies have often been left looking for staff with specific skills. “A generation ago, employers would hire and train employees. Now, they demand trained workers,” says Peter Cappelli, a professor of management at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton business school.
“The skills gap is largely a figment of companies’ imagination,” says Mr Cappelli. “They cannot find workers to do the very specific tasks they want done. That is different from not being able to find capable workers.”
I can attest to this. In my former field, chemical job listings were so specific as to think they were written with a particular candidate in mind (many times they were). For example, they would ask for folate separation instead of total synthesis of statin models. There was no such thing as entry level, at all. They would rather poach a 3-5 year person, thus passing off the original entry-level ropes-learning work to another company.
I heard one story where Company A tried to convince Company B to hire someone from another country. The intent was for Company B to do all the expensive visa and residence paperwork. Once the employee was established with a green card, Company A was going to poach with a higher salary. Company B sniffed this out and didn’t hire the guy (they didn’t like him anyway).
Even better, they find the 1 in a thousand candidate and then extend a lowball offer that pays less than the current job and act all surprised when it’s rejected.
It’s happened to me more than once. They call back asking why I declined the offer. When I explain that it’s because it pays less than the current job I even get asked “That’s it?”. But they won’t budge on the offer, which they insist “is market” while they can’t find suitable candidates.
I guess the only “talent” worth retaining (via $$$$) is Wall St. “talent”.
The company would always complain about not finding enough qualified engineers.
I would say “pay more and you will get more.”
“But we are paying market rate already”, was the answer.
“How is it working out”, I would reply.
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Comment by Carl Morris
2011-12-14 10:47:36
“But we are paying market rate already”, was the answer.
Yes, the market rate for barely enough barely good enough people. If you want more than that, the market rate is higher.
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-12-14 13:57:37
“Market Rate” is not a “Free Market” rate.
In most cases, it is determined by what their business plan says they can pay.
Back in the old “TQM” days, the aviation OEM I used to work for was having a problem retaining A&Ps, especially the guys they hired as newbies, worked 2-3 years to get experience, then hit the road for greener pastures.
One of my fellow supervisors led a TQM team to find out why. Six months of research found that the company pay (or lack thereof) led people to take jobs that paid more money.
The company’s response was to $hit-can the report, and put the guys who stayed on mandatory overtime/56 hour weeks for 48 out of 52 weeks/year. For 10 years.
So like many other technical/skilled positions, we are at a point where the guys you have been running into the ground for 15 years are in their 50s, and breaking down/retiring, and there are very few late 30s/early 40s guys with 15-20 years experience to take their place. So the slots get filled with 20 something new hires, with zero training and zero experience, and zero “adult supervision” to show them the stuff that isn’t in the manuals/books.
I’ve related some of the stories I’m hearing from my SIL, who is in precisely this position. He’s kinda happy about it. Last week, he worked 23 hours of overtime, changing out an engine that was trashed by a newbie crew chief, who “overtorqued” the engine on a ground run.
Lots of us have been sounding the warning flags for years on this. But what do we know?
It’s too bad that military experience isn’t considered much of a plus in my field…to the point that in some cases it’s considered a negative. My recruiter never told me about that.
“The skills gap is largely a figment of companies’ imagination,” says Mr Cappelli. “They cannot find workers to do the very specific tasks they want done. That is different from not being able to find capable workers.”
Probably because they are all managers with advanced MBA degrees and have no idea how to do what needs to be done let alone train anybody
The squad is looking for job and facing this very problem. Have master degree and decade plus of other professional experience not directly related to master degree.
Chicken and egg: degree without specific experience = no job. Finishing grad school in December 2008 (700,000+ layoffs per month) didn’t help.
Looking for staff accountant or staff auditor gig. All the jobs in metro Denver are either Lucky Ducky wage bookkeeper jobs or minimum 3 to 5 year experience with very specific skill sets.
Meanwhile the squad will continue with government cheese job for Uncle Sugar which although paying reasonably well, does not build aforementioned skill sets…
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Comment by Awaiting
2011-12-14 11:59:00
goon
I took a turn for the better (or so I thought) and went into shopping center management from accounting. I even went to management school specific to the sector. I need a FT gig, and boy has it been a hard one to find. You’re not kidding about micro skill sets.
I don’t like interviewing. HR people are clueless. Those psycholgical tests are ridiculous. I wish they asked pertinent questions. Those that can’t… go into HR.
“Where do you hope to be in 5 years?”
Answer: “In your job. Even my dog could do it.” LOL
And don’t get me started on head hunters. I’d like to hunt of few of theirs. LOL
Comment by Awaiting
2011-12-14 12:03:39
“a” not “of” editing oops.
Comment by In Colorado
2011-12-14 12:10:26
So much for SarBox creating demand for accountants.
Comment by X-GSfixr
2011-12-14 14:06:07
I’m just loving the commentary here.
Seems that a bunch of other fields are just as screwed up as the one I work in.
By Kimberly Miller Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Posted: 10:44 p.m. Tuesday, Dec. 13, 2011
Florida retained its top ranking in the nation for mortgage fraud litigation through September as millions of dollars in bad boom-time loans continue to be discovered by law enforcement and lenders.
Mortgage Daily founder and publisher Sam Garcia attributed some of today’s fraud cases to a review of loans written during the frenzied ascent to the 2008 real estate crash. Investors continue to pressure banks to buy back mortgages that didn’t meet underwriting standards or were bogus for other reasons, such as falsification of the borrower’s income.
Last year, Bank of America bought back $2.87 billion in bad mortgages from federal mortgage backers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
The buybacks can cause a domino effect, Garcia said, as larger banks turn to loan originators or smaller companies to hold someone accountable.
“How has the upper-end Gainesville housing market done since about 07-08?”
Gainesville is a long way from Palm Beach County but if the same thing happened there (which I assume it did) the brakes were slammed on the upper-end and formerly middle class price declines in 2008. Prices don`t drop if they don`t kick anyone out who is not paying and put the houses on the market.
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Comment by Moman
2011-12-14 15:30:35
Gainesville is dead. Just like Ocala, the hobby farm weekend business for people from Tampa and Orlando has collapsed. Out of state people aren’t buying - in state people aren’t buying.
Never mind that these “farmers” left their horses to starve.
I had no idea they said I made $450k a year on my loan application. I am just an out of work home inspector who through no fault of my own was sold a $500k house in a gated community in 2004 and took out a little of my equity in 2006 so I could build my business.
The numbers are not exactly right but this did happen and the sob story was in the paper and posted here.
This past Sunday I flew from Phoenix to Chicago again. Once again, sat beside two Chicago based real estate investors who spent the weekend in the Phoenix area looking for investment properties. I didn’t speak with these guys, but I overheard them talking about being disappointed in not finding anything, because there “are too many damn people down there looking at properties”. Part of me can’t help but feel they missed catching onto a sinking anchor.
Can you guys help me find a funny name for this flight? I was thinking “real estate express” but is “real estate” now synonymous with losses?
Throw-back tunes, insert, play: “Do you know the way to $an Jose?”
Do you know the way to San Jose?
I’ve been away so long. I may go wrong and lose my way.
Do you know the way to San Jose?
I’m going back to find some peace of mind in San Jose.
L.A. is a great big freeway.
Put a hundred down and buy a car.
In a week, maybe two, they’ll make you a star
Weeks turn into years. How quick they pass
And all the stars that never were
Are parking cars and pumping gas
You can really breathe in San Jose?
They’ve got a lot of space. There’ll be a place where I can stay
I was born and raised in San Jose
I’m going back to find some peace of mind in San Jose.
Fame and fortune is a magnet.
It can pull you far away from home
With a dream in your heart you’re never alone.
Dreams turn into dust and blow away
And there you are without a friend
You pack your car and ride away
I’ve got lots of friends in San Jose
Do you know the way to San Jose?
Can’t wait to get back to San Jose.
Took the youngest to pick up the Xmas tree at HD monday. Ran into a couple I had not seen in 4 years (big housing will always go up aren`t we brilliant crowd) with their kid that I used to coach in little league who is now ready to go on to college. How have you been blah-blah-blah and where are you living now. I went into the years of renting from DBs and the shadow inventory but all I noticed were the people behind us and their eyes getting wide while they looked at each other, so I knew they were living free. I told our old friends who live in a really nice hood in a really nice house that they probably had at least 3 neighbors who had not paid their mortgage in 3 years, they looked disgusted and said it is awful isn`t it.
Well I looked up my old friend on the county records. I will not post their names.
bought house in 2001
Aug-2001 12828/0580 $260,000 WARRANTY DEED
cash in 2007
Type: MTG
Date/Time: 7/3/2007 14:26:37
CFN: 20070321314
Book Type: O
Book/Page: 21899/722
Consideration: $262,000.00
stopped paying in 6-7 months?
Type: LP
Date/Time: 3/16/2009 13:40:53
CFN: 20090086928
Book Type: O
Book/Page: 23126/1982
Pages: 2
Consideration: $0.00
Party 1: COUNTRYWIDE HOME LOANS INC
Judgement in 2010 and still living in the house
Type: JUD
Date/Time: 4/30/2010 10:07:34
CFN: 20100160322
Book Type: O
Book/Page: 23822/1607
Pages: 4
Consideration: $0.00
Party 1: COUNTRYWIDE HOME LOANS INC
This is a trend I am finding, judgements filed in 08-09-10 with the people still the “owner” still living there or vacant. Can someone put a price on these people living in a house they could never afford since 2001 when both our middle kids were 7 years old and being allowed to have their kids grow up there while mine stayed in a place that was way too small until 2005 and then played musical houses with Deadbeat LLs. Not to mention the $350k advantage they have been given ( $250k cash out and 4 years no house or rent payment) Just doesn’t seem fair.
It’s not fair Jeff. Rest assured that someday the bailout gravy train will end. We’re functionally bankrupt as a nation right now - people like you describe will never learn, and when the next crisis hits they’ll be waiting in line for their handout, which won’t come. I wouldn’t be opposed to a return of debtors prisons.
You do know that debtors prisons mean that the person never pays their debt and never gets out? That it would easily fall under “cruel and unusual” punishment since it is basically a life sentence for not paying a debt. And that in order for it to make any sense at all you would have to eliminate the concept of bankruptcy? If there is a system for eliminating debt, you can’t send people to prison forever for not being able to pay their debt.
“You do know that debtors prisons mean that the person never pays their debt and never gets out?”
How about a debtors Halfway House? That way they can get out of the nice house they are living in and make way for that deserving section 8 family. Meawhile we can all just stay in Renters prison, while the Free sh#t army does Shermans march to the sea and Bernanke saves the banksters of the world. Glory! Glory! Hallelujah! Glory! Glory! Hallelujah! Glory! Glory! Hallelujah! His truth is marching on.
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Comment by In Colorado
2011-12-14 09:54:55
You could always join the “Free $hit Army” if it’s so darn good.
FWIW, I’m seeing more “intersection beggars” than ever. I guess they forgot to sign up for their “free $hit”. They are getting creative. The latest trend is to beg with their dog on a leash (maybe you’ll feel sorry for the dog?). The other day I saw a guy dressed in a Santa suit sitting in a Radio Flyer wagon.
Comment by Carl Morris
2011-12-14 09:56:55
How about a debtors Halfway House?
How about making banks mark the house to market and all this stuff will magically work itself out?
You could always join the “Free $hit Army” if it’s so darn good.
Would you please stop beating this strawman.
No one has said it’s *GOOD*. Simply that it’s wrong, and the free $hit they get is taken from someone else who is likely struggling to make ends meet themselves.
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-12-14 10:21:36
“You could always join the “Free $hit Army” if it’s so darn good.”
Can you turn back the clock to 2005 so I can buy the house of my dreams with no money down, make the neg am payment for a couple of years, take $150k of “my equity” out in 2007 and then live there for free for 4 years? Hell if you can I will buy 3 extra and rent them out for an extra $5k a month tax free income. Private saturday reporting for duty sir.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-12-14 10:48:56
Can you turn back the clock to 1999 so I can buy webvan/grocery.com
Webvan was an online “credit and delivery” grocery business that went bankrupt in 2001. It was headquartered in Foster City, California, USA, near Silicon Valley. It delivered products to customers’ homes within a 30-minute window of their choosing. At its peak, it offered service in ten U.S. markets: San Francisco Bay Area, Dallas, San Diego, Los Angeles, Chicago, Seattle, Portland, Atlanta, Sacramento, and Orange County. The company had originally hoped to expand to 26 cities.
In June 2008, CNET named Webvan the largest dot-com flop in history, placing it above Pets.com and eight other sites on its list. It is now owned and operated by Amazon.com.
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-12-14 10:49:39
“FWIW, I’m seeing more “intersection beggars” than ever. I guess they forgot to sign up for their “free $hit”. They are getting creative.”
Re: that last guy, IDK there where homeless Mormons?
Comment by Arizona Slim
2011-12-14 11:33:54
Webvan was an online “credit and delivery” grocery business that went bankrupt in 2001. It was headquartered in Foster City, California, USA, near Silicon Valley. It delivered products to customers’ homes within a 30-minute window of their choosing. At its peak, it offered service in ten U.S. markets: San Francisco Bay Area, Dallas, San Diego, Los Angeles, Chicago, Seattle, Portland, Atlanta, Sacramento, and Orange County. The company had originally hoped to expand to 26 cities.
In June 2008, CNET named Webvan the largest dot-com flop in history, placing it above Pets.com and eight other sites on its list. It is now owned and operated by Amazon.com.
Fun factoid: Webvan got a good chunk of its startup funding from Louis Borders. Of Borders Books and Music fame.
Comment by In Colorado
2011-12-14 12:14:21
“No one has said it’s *GOOD*”
Huh? I keep reading here all this ranting about free rent and houses, people on foodstamps buying steak and lobster while yakking on the new iPhone, etc.
Comment by In Colorado
2011-12-14 12:15:37
Can you turn back the clock to 2005 so I can buy the house of my dreams with no money down, make the neg am payment for a couple of years, take $150k of “my equity” out in 2007 and then live there for free for 4 years?
What can I say? You snooze, you lose.
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-12-14 14:13:56
“Huh? I keep reading here all this ranting about free rent and houses, people on foodstamps buying steak and lobster while yakking on the new iPhone, etc.”
Do people need SNAP? Yes.
Is there a lot of fraud? Yes.
Have I seen people use SNAP cards that need it? Yes.
Have I seen people who use SNAP cards that are comitting fraud? Yes.
Do I even have to say anything about the free rent and houses?
The Food-Stamp Crime Wave
The number of food-stamp recipients has soared to 44 million from 26 million in 2007. Not surprisingly, fraud and abuse are rampant..
JUNE 23, 2011.
By JAMES BOVARD
Millionaires are now legally entitled to collect food stamps as long as they have little or no monthly income. Thirty-five states have abolished asset tests for most food-stamp recipients. These and similar “paperwork reduction” reforms advocated by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) are turning the food-stamp program into a magnet for abuses and absurdities.
The Obama administration is far more enthusiastic about boosting food-stamp enrollment than about preventing fraud. Thanks in part to vigorous federally funded campaigns by nonprofit groups, the government’s AmericaCorps service program, and other organizations urging people to accept government handouts, the number of food-stamp recipients has soared to 44 million from 26 million in 2007, and costs have more than doubled to $77 billion from $33 billion.
The USDA’s Food and Nutrition Service now has only 40 inspectors to oversee almost 200,000 merchants that accept food stamps nationwide. The Government Accountability Office reported last summer that retailers who traffic illegally in food stamps by redeeming stamps for cash or alcohol or other prohibited items “are less likely to face criminal penalties or prosecution” than in earlier years.
Lax attitudes toward fraud are spurring swindles across the nation:
• Earlier this month, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel revealed that Wisconsin food-stamp recipients routinely sell their benefit cards on Facebook. The investigation also found that “nearly 2,000 recipients claimed they lost their card six or more times in 2010 and requested replacements.” USDA rules require that lost cards be speedily replaced. The Wisconsin Policy Research Institute concluded: “Prosecutors have simply stopped prosecuting the vast majority of [food-stamp] fraud cases in virtually all counties, including the one with the most recipients, Milwaukee.”
• Troy Hutson, the chief of Washington state’s food-stamp program, resigned in April after a Seattle television station revealed that some food-stamp recipients were selling their cards on Craigslist or brazenly cashing them out on street corners (for 50 cents on the dollar) and using the proceeds for illegal drugs and prostitution. Washington state Sen. Mike Carrell complained: “Dozens of workers at DSHS [the Department of Social and Health Services] have reported numerous unpunished cases of fraud to me. They have told me that DSHS management has allowed these things to happen, and in some cases actively restricted fraud investigations.”
• Thirty percent of the inmates in the Polk County, Iowa, jail were collecting food stamps that were being sent to their non-jail mailing addresses in 2009. But Iowa could not prosecute them for fraud because the state’s food-stamp form failed to ask applicants whether they were heading for the slammer. Roger Munns, a spokesman for the Iowa Department of Human Services, told the Des Moines Register last year that asking such questions could make food-stamp applications “unwieldy.” (Many states do make such inquiries.)
Looser federal rules are spurring a bureaucratic crime wave. Last December, two veteran employees for New York City’s Human Resources Administration were busted for concocting 1,500 fake food-stamp cases that netted them $8 million. Nine Milwaukee, Wis., staffers plundered almost $300,000 from the program during the last five years, and a Louisiana state bureaucrat pleaded guilty last year for her role in a scam that snared more than $50,000 in fraudulent food-stamp benefits.
The food-stamp poster boy of 2011 is 59-year-old Leroy Fick. After Mr. Fick won a $2 million lottery jackpot, the Michigan Department of Human Services ruled he could continue receiving food stamps. The Detroit News explained: “If Fick had chosen to accept monthly payments of his jackpot, the winnings would be considered income, according to the DHS. But by choosing to accept a lump sum payment, the winnings were considered ‘assets’ and aren’t counted in determining food stamp eligibility.”
But the Obama administration doesn’t deserve all the blame. Food-stamp enrollment surged before Mr. Obama took office. The number of food-stamp recipients on George W. Bush’s watch rose by more than 50%, even before the recession hit in 2007. As Slate reporter Annie Lowrey wrote for the online magazine last December, President Bush and his food-stamp chief Eric Bost “went on a quiet crusade to expand eligibility, increase enrollment, and reduce stigma around nutrition aid.”
H.L. Mencken quipped that the New Deal divided America into “those who work for a living and those who vote for a living.” The explosion in the number of food-stamp recipients tilts the political playing field in favor of big government. The more people who become government dependents, the more likely that democracy will become a conspiracy against self-reliance.
Agree with no debtor prisons. Instead, there should not be debt forgiveness for the mortgage that is not handled through bankruptcy court. 1099 for the bank writeoff, no exceptions. With no consequences, debtor has nothing to really lose.
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Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2011-12-14 12:21:11
How about making banks mark the house to market and all this stuff will magically work itself out?
A new report from Jacksonville-based LPS Applied Analytics found that as of September, 56 percent of Florida’s mortgages in foreclosure are 24 months or more behind in payments, compared with 39 percent nationwide.
About 84 percent of Florida foreclosures are more than 18 months in arrears.
No I understand why you keep meeting non payers.
Last month, Bank of America quietly began a Florida-only campaign that gives homeowners up to $20,000 for a short sale rather than letting their homes linger.
I wonder how many will take the bait? I also wonder what BofA (and other lenders) will do with the inventory once it’s back in their posession. Fire sale prices will bring down comps even more, fanning the flames of the “rent free” crowd.
But I will put money/beer on the kids that turn out right…
Can someone put a price on these people living in a house they could never afford since 2001 when both our middle kids were 7 years old and being allowed to have their kids grow up there while mine stayed in a place that was way too small until 2005 and then played musical houses with Deadbeat LLs. Not to mention the $350k advantage they have been given ( $250k cash out and 4 years no house or rent payment) Just doesn’t seem fair.
The heroic people of Wukan, China, have risen up against their overlords, sending corrupt officials scurrying. Local Communist Pary hacks working in league with developers had been stealing villagers land and most recently jailed, then killed village elders who rallied the people against TPTB.
Look upon your betters, Obama Zombies and McCain Mutants. These courageous people, unlike you, have said ENOUGH! to corruption, crony capitalism, and arbitrary abuses from those in authority.
Chapter: Seventy-five
Why are the people starving?
Because the rulers eat up the money in taxes.
Therefore the people are starving.
Why are the people rebellious?
Because the rulers interfere too much.
Therefore they are rebellious.
Why do the people think so little of death?
Because the rulers demand too much of life.
Therefore the people take death lightly.
Having little to live on, one knows better than to value life too much.
CSM headline,
“Ron Paul closes on Newt Gingrich: In time to win Iowa?”
…Republican presidential hopeful Ron Paul declared Wednesday his campaign was “peaking at the right time” as polls show him closing in on the two perceived front-runners.
…Public Policy Polling released a survey Tuesday showing him one percentage point behind Gingrich for the lead in Iowa.
Paul took 21 percent in the survey compared to 22 percent for Gingrich with Romney third at 16 percent.
“Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke signaled he’s concerned Europe’s crisis will hobble a 2 1/2-year U.S. expansion that may need another boost from the central bank.”
Glory! Glory! Hallelujah! Glory! Glory! Hallelujah! Glory! Glory! Hallelujah! His truth is marching on.
If a person with anorexia gains a half pound, is that considered an expansion? If you spent, borrowed or printed 7 trillion $ to gain that half a pound, was it worth it?
What`s Bernanke gonna do all his printing doesn`t work, ketchup and mustard in the same bottle?
Kramer: Whew. You know Darren, if you would have told me twenty-five years ago that some day I’d be standing here about to solve the worlds energy problems, I would’ve said you’re crazy… Now let’s push this giant ball of oil out the window.
Kramer: Bombs away (Uh oh).
Jerry: This is going to be a shame.
(SPLAT!)
George: Hello.
Kramer: Well, that didn’t work. Hey, how about this…ketchup and mustard in the same bottle?
That’s because all of his printing is going to a very small # of hands. The middle class is still dieing, and the elite won’t realize there’s a problem until it’s to late. You can’t take your wealth to the grave especially when it’s in flames and being plundered by starving hoards of people.
and the elite won’t realize there’s a problem until it’s to late
History repeats itself. Maybe future generations will say things like “Leona Helmsley didn’t get it either”.
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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2011-12-14 10:21:26
“Leona Helmsley didn’t get it either”.
Trouble is, her dog did!
(There are examples , rare though they be, that the “trickle down” theory has some $ucce$$.) ;-/
The dog was blind and stricken with health issues before her death. Her caretaker, Carl Lekic spent $100,000 annually on her care — including $8,000 for grooming and $1,200 for dog food.
Trouble, who had faced 20 to 30 death and kidnapping threats, also retained a full-time security guard, according to news reports.
The will also stipulated that when the Maltese went to the big kennel in the sky, she would lie beside her in the 12,000-square-foot Helmsley family mausoleum in Sleepy Hollow Cemetery in Westchester County, N.Y.
The dirt-hating Helmsley ordered that the mausoleum be “washed or steam-cleaned at least once a year,” for which she left $3 million.
Funds held in the dog’s trust will revert to the Helmsley family trust, which supports charities, she said.
Occupy protesters temporarily shut down portions of some of the nation’s busiest ports Monday as part of a coordinated effort to disrupt commerce in 10 cities from San Diego to Anchorage, Alaska.
No more than a handful of arrests were reported at each site as demonstrators tried to tap into the anger over corporate greed that led 10,000 Occupy Oakland supporters to shut down that city’s port 40 days ago.
There were no immediate estimates for how much money, if any, the corporations who run the docks might have lost in busy ports such as Oakland; Portland, Ore.; and Longview, Wash. The economic hit didn’t seem significant in San Diego, where about 100 demonstrators gathered, or in Anchorage, where 16 took to the streets.
Oakland protesters coalesced in the greatest numbers Monday night, when Scott Olsen, the Marine Corps veteran who was struck in the head during a clash between police and Occupy Oakland protests in October, led nearly 1,000 people marching to the Port of Oakland.
…
(Reuters) - China pledged to guarantee growth in the face of an “extremely grim” outlook for the global economy in 2012, rounding off its annual policy-setting conference on Wednesday with a series of commitments to deliver economic stability.
Laying out a blueprint for the world’s second-biggest economy in the year ahead, Beijing promised to keep monetary policy “prudent,” fiscal policy “pro-active” and consumer prices stable — language broadly in line with previous commitments.
Economists said the rhetoric suggested Beijing preferred to only fine-tune economic policies, rather than swing into an outright monetary easing mode to shore up growth, which is expected by many analysts to slip below 9 percent next year for the first time in over a decade.
…
Ah, the paradox of capitalism. The world is awash in goods and services and no one seems to have the financial resources to pay for them.
We are surrounded by historically unprecedented plenty and yet the world is not only poor, it’s facing a crisis not seen in 80 years.
Once upon a time a crisis typically implied scarcity: famine, a lacl of goods to purchase, etc.
Today the stores are bursting at the seams. The newpapers are full of ads, begging for buyers, but few are to be found. Wealth is being created in unprecedented numbers as factories continue to crank out goods but in a paradox those that create said wealth cannot consume it.
U.S. stock futures slipped as the euro currency’s drop below $1.30 and rising borrowing costs for Italy kept investor anxiety levels elevated.
Less than an hour before the opening bell, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures had edged down 21 points, or 0.2%, to 11874, giving up early gains. Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index futures eased one point, or 0.1%, to 1219 and Nasdaq 100 futures shed seven points, or 0.3%, to 2261.
Data on import and export prices in November showed relatively muted signs of inflation, with import prices ticking up 0.7%, a touch lower than expectations for a 1.1% gain.
Prior to the data, Dow futures had lost 23 points, S&P 500 futures had slipped two points and Nasdaq futures had given up eight points. Changes in stock futures don’t always accurately predict stock moves after the opening bell.
European markets were broadly lower, with the Stoxx Europe 600 losing 0.8%. The euro fell below $1.30 for the first time since January, as sentiment toward the Europe’s single currency soured after German Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Tuesday she opposed raising the lending limit for the euro-zone bailout fund. The euro has fallen nearly 3% from levels seen in U.S. trading late Friday.
Separately, Italy sold the maximum targeted amount of five-year bonds, but was forced to pay a euro-era high average yield of 6.47% to do so, above the 6.29% paid at the previous auction last month.
…
Commodities fell, heading for the biggest drop in almost four weeks, as concerns intensified that European leaders will struggle to contain the region’s debt crisis.
The Standard & Poor’s GSCI index of 24 raw materials declined 2.3 percent to 633.17 at 9:55 a.m. New York time, led by precious and industrial metals. A close at that level would mark the biggest drop since Nov. 17. Before today, the measure tumbled 15 percent from a 32-month high of 762.22 in April.
I love the smell of deflation in the morning.
The middle class is dieing in Europe and the US, the growing middle class in China (really rising from dirt poor to poor) was dependent on spending from the US and Europe. Until we find a way of pumping up the middle class and making people feel secure in their job and future you can expect more of this downard trend.
No one is denying that the NFL gets the elite of the college player manufacturing machine, which is a sweet deal for the NFL as they don’t need to invest a penny in player development as is done in many other sports. The closest thing the NFL has to a minor league is the CFL. David Beckham was signed by Manchester United at age 14, years before he set foot in a match for the team.
Anyway, just saying that Timmy doesn’t strike me as a great QB. He’s a mediocre passer.
I will concede that he is a great motivator, and maybe that’s what the Broncos need at this time (that and good players). But if you ask me its the Bronco’s D that has been winning most of the games.
If they beat New England this Sunday, and not from serendipitous turnovers, then I wil change my tune.
Lets look at it this way. There are 1.2 million kids that play high school football every year. About 30,000 play college football every year (less on scholarship)
Current Number of Players on NFL Roster
32 teams x 53-man roster = 1,696 players
1.2 million players down to 1,696 players
If you make it to the NFL you got skills.
Comment by measton
2011-12-13 20:14:29
The BoZ and Tony Mandrich might poke a few holes in that statement.
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-12-14 05:09:15
“The BoZ and Tony Mandrich might poke a few holes in that statement.”
So does JaMarcus Russell and Ryan Leaf. But they still made it from 1.2 million to 1,696. They both had skill, the problem is when a QB gets to the NFL skill (throwing a football 80 yards) is not enough.
As far as the BoZ and Tony Mandrich go, they both played in the NFL but not at the level expected. Bozworth played pretty well for the Seahawks but is remembered for getting trucked by Bo Jackson. Tony Mandrich deflated when he came off the roids but did come back and start for the Colts in Peyton Manning`s 1st or 2nd season.
When it comes to this subject I remeber a comedian (I don`t know if it was a movie or what) who said….
I was a great hockey player! I was just bad compared to other profesional hockey players.
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Comment by measton
2011-12-14 13:17:21
I just meant that it isn’t just hard work and talent that get people into the NFL, for some it’s performance enhancing drugs.
Precious metals, particularly gold are a play AGAINST the Dollar.
Nothing more. They are a bet the US Dollar will fall. With the events in Europe, the Dollar is seen as a “safer haven”.
Whatever pumps up the Dollar will devalue GOLD.
The change in value of the dollar as an explanation makes great sense when the value of everything but $$$s moves in parallel against the dollar. That is easy to recognize.
But in this case, gold moved about twice as much as equities.
The portion that is due to dollar strengthening I get; the other portion, I do not.
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Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2011-12-14 11:41:38
BTW, the “twice as much” was from a glance earlier in the AM, when I first posted the question.
It’s far more of a difference now; the ratio is closer to eight times.
Something different than change in the value of the dollar is definitely afoot.
(RTTNews) - The risk that the Chinese economy may be subjected to a marked slowdown in the coming months is rising amid deteriorating external conditions, the Conference Board warned Tuesday while releasing its leading indicator for the economy.
The Conference Board said that its leading economic index decreased 0.1 percent in October to 160.1, following a 0.4 percent increase in September and a 0.6 percent rise in August.
Three of the six components contributed positively to the index in October. Consumer expectations continued to decline, and the manufacturing and export indicators also contributed to the slight drop in the index in October.
“The risk of a more substantive slowdown in China’s economic growth than anticipated so far is rising amid deteriorating external conditions and domestic real estate tightening,” Conference Board China Center resident economist Andrew Polk said.
…
The technical explanation is that precious metals freak-out every once in awhile to the downside. This causes the “weak-hands” (short-term speculators) to freak-out even more and sell in a panic which freaks out the PM’s even more to the downside.
There has been some serious technical damage done on the 1 and 5 year gold charts. Serious yes. Critical? IDK.
“If Dick Bove wasn’t already the most polarizing analyst in the Financial sector, this just might clinch it.
The Rochdale Securities bank analyst just slashed his fourth quarter EPS estimate for Goldman Sachs (GS) by 66% to $0.79. That’s a full 70% below the current FactSet consensus of $2.61 a share, and comes at a time when shares of Goldman are down more than 40% for the year.
“It just doesn’t look like there is enough business out there to allow Goldman to come anywhere close to where street consensus estimates are for the company,” Bove says in the attached video.
As he sees, almost everything is going poorly for the investment banks, and not just Goldman Sachs. In fact, he took his clever to Morgan Stanley’s (MS) Q4 estimates last week to the tune of 50% on the assumption that the fourth quarter is turning out to be worse than Q3.
Wall Street has been lowering earnings estimates as faith in Q4 is diminishing. But Bove has moved from slightly below consensus to an outlier with this move. According to FactSet, the consensus for Goldman’s Q4 20011 EPS was $6.00 a year ago.
“Trading activity has slowed down dramatically, there’s been a big drop in investment banking activity,” Bove explains. “Mergers and acquisitions are down 10-15%, new equity offerings are down 15%, trading in things like governments and agenices have fallen off dramatically, trading in commodities is way down.”
The only signs of hope he sees right now are ”fairly decent” results in high yield and some mortgage backed sectors. And while Bove’s dramatic earnings revision may be the first, he says it won’t be the last.
“The standard practice on the part of most analysts is to wait for the last week of the quarter and then adjust their estimates,” he says. “So my assumption is, when we get to the last week of the quarter, between Christmas and New Years, you’ll see the numbers coming down very dramatically.”
Once we get back from the holidays and earnings season gets underway, he says “a large number of companies are going to see a very poor showing this quarter in capital markets.” He has JP Morgan (JPM) and Credit Suisse (CS) at the top of his earnings disaster list.
“There just has to be more trading activity. People don’t want to trade. They’re afraid of the markets. Hedge funds are pulling back and are not aggressively in to the market,” he warns.
Is he right? Are estimates for Banks and Financials way too high?
As he sees, almost everything is going poorly for the investment banks, and not just Goldman Sachs. ………….warming up for more give-away programs from the FEDERAL RESERVE Private Banking System, to be paid by …….taxpayers.
By the way, have you noticed that GOLDMAN is running TV ads about how important they are in providing financing to up-and -coming business ventures…upstart companies that become major world changers. It’s PURE propaganda to boost their image so they can steal more money from us.
They haven’t provided “capital” to business ventures. They created the DOT com bubble by issuing IPO’s for every lunatic company with a .COM logo. Drained the American Public of hundreds of Billions of dollars.
Did that benefit America? NO. They are just a TRADING PLATFORM, and they trade their own book, not their customers, with HIGH-leverage octane, providing no service, but skimming massive profits from paper trades. When the leverage goes against them, the become a “commercial bank” to get free FED Money.
It is as crooked as the day is long on the North Pole in Summertime.
There are no bigger crooks in the World. So. Now. The Salespitch.
Goldman SAchs…….creators of world prosperity and supporters of the American Dream. They can’t be allowed to fail. They can’t be prosecuted and jailed. They can’t be broken up and sold off. NO.
They are Gods. All Hail Goldman=Sachs!!!
Oh, and to answer your original question, the Banks are INSOLVENT.
What does that make them worth? Without the phoney accounting to allow them to call loses profits, they would be de-listed and liquidated.
Thank Ben Shalom Bernanke for his handling of the “crises” to keep them alive with your money.
CA and TX both added approximately 250,000 nonfarm jobs in the 12 months ending September 2011.
Percentage of jobs with wages over $50k in CA: 78%
Percentage of jobs with wages over $50k in TX: 47%
TX is building off of a smaller base, so their 250k jobs is more meaningful relative to their population, and their cost of living is lower, so it’s not a perfect comparison.
That said, I was surprised that CA had such a high percentage over $50k.
I’m hoping that collapses of large futures brokers don’t occur for the next few days; I have an ACH transfer that should go out today (from emptying my futures account), and I’d like it to be all settled and in my NCUA-protected credit union account before anyone goes bust…
I have been north of 2 weeks without power, anywhere to buy gas or restocked grocery stores after a hurricane a couple of times. I don`t remember anyone asking anyone…. You got any gold? Food, water, toilet paper or gasoline yes. Can I put something in your refrigerator since you have a generator? Yes. I was able to give people these things because I had them but nobody asked me for gold. Good thing because I didn`t have any.
Yesterday self-described “policy expert,” Robert Reich, published a criticism of Newt Gingrich’s proposed tax policy on his blog. Yes, Newt’s plan borders on the criminal, but it concerns me that the “experts” guiding our public policy are so oblivious.
Here’s what he wrote:
“Newt Gingrich has done it again. With his new tax plan he has raised the bar from irresponsibility to recklessness… Imagine what Standard & Poor’s or Moody’s or Fitch would do if it became law. We’d go directly from a triple-A credit rating to triple X….”
Perhaps the ex Secretary of Labor (and Berkeley professor) has forgotten about that little kerfuffle last August when Standard and Poor knocked US down to AA+? (Or was it reinstated while I wasn’t paying attention in class?)
Perhaps the ex Secretary of Labor (and Berkeley professor) has forgotten about that little kerfuffle last August when Standard and Poor knocked US down to AA+? (Or was it reinstated while I wasn’t paying attention in class?)
China announced plans to impose anti-dumping duties on some vehicles imported from the U.S. after failing to block a U.S. tariff on Chinese tires.
Punitive duties will be as high as 12.9 percent for autos from General Motors Co. (GM) and 8.8 percent for Chrysler Group LLC, China’s commerce ministry said today on its website. The U.S. units of Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (BMW) and Daimler AG (DAI) will face duties of 2 percent and 2.7 percent respectively, it said.
Juergen Pieper, a Frankfurt-based analyst with Bankhaus Metzler. “The automobile industry is very dependent on China for growth, and there’s doubts about the pace of future expansion.”
Auto sales in China are rising at the slowest pace in 13 years, putting pressure on local Chinese producers to consolidate as GM and other foreign carmakers post gains.
Bloomberg news
But I thought the chinese customer was going to save the world. Apparently sales of Chinese branded cars are down, so time to squeeze out the competition from abroad.
The US is looking at tariffs on Chinese solar panels.
I went through Zillow listings for Asheville, NC and there are a couple of houses for about 20,000. They look like ordinary houses on outside but they are stripped inside. No kitchen applicances.
I also found some lots on Lake Lure for less than $5,000. I plan to call that Homeowners Association to see what the dues are per month.
I have been waiting for prices to drop for some time and my guess is that it was the failure of a bank in Asheville that finally causes these properties to be released for sale.
Customers still have no explanation of what happened to MF Global and some $1 billion missing from its customer accounts more than a month after the firm’s failure.
That’s in part because over the past decade, as trading volume soared, federal regulators eased direct oversight of the industry and handed more regulatory powers to the major exchanges. Now, this self-policing arrangement is prompting concerns
Even the industry itself is acknowledging that there will need to be some changes. While defending the self-regulatory system, Dan Roth, president of the National Futures Association, said “we should be able to identify certain frailties of the current structure that will need to be addressed.”
THE FUTURES POLICE
Self-regulation is the hallmark of the U.S. futures industry. Proponents argue that by placing oversight in the hands of the people who really understand the industry, the system benefits everyone. Critics point to the recent transformation of the exchange business, away from a non-profit cooperative model, as a reason the exchanges’ commercial interests are overshadowing their market-oversight role.
Though it dates back to the middle of the 19th century, the self-regulatory nature of trading futures got a boost in 2000 with the passage of the Commodity Futures Modernization Act. The main thrust of the bill, signed into law by Bill Clinton in the waning days of his presidency, was to exempt the rapidly growing market for certain types of financial and energy derivatives and swaps from federal futures regulation.
The law was lobbied heavily by the financial industry, which argued that too many rules were hindering financial innovation and economic growth. But it became an easy target after the 2008 financial crisis, in which these types of complex financial products played a role. So lawmakers passed the Dodd-Frank financial-reform law, which pulled the swaps back under the federal regulatory umbrella and instructed the CFTC to write new rules to govern them.
Another, less-discussed, purpose of the 2000 deregulation effort was to limit the prescriptive powers of the CFTC and to give more freedom to the exchanges to set their own rules. The goal was “to provide regulatory relief to futures and options exchanges,” James Newsome, who was the agency’s chairman in 2001, said at the time. The overall U.S. futures and options industry grew nearly five-fold between 2000 and 2010 when 7.12 billion futures and options contracts were traded, according to Futures Industry Association.
Just as futures trading was exploding in volume, the federal agency was taking a step back from direct oversight of the markets both because of the 2000 deregulation and because of agency understaffing. For instance, when the CFTC in 2003 went after a futures trader allegedly operating a foreign currency boiler room, a court told the agency it had no jurisdiction.
Even in areas where the federal agency retained jurisdiction, direct oversight of the markets rested with the futures exchanges themselves. And those exchanges began ripping up their century-old business models and consolidating rapidly.
Ever since a group of brokers formed the Chicago Board of Trade in 1848, the exchange industry was organized into nonprofit cooperatives of brokers setting their own rules.
Technological and competitive pressures began building on the exchanges that forced more change. In 2000, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange shed its old cooperative structure and soon went public. It later bought the Chicago Board of Trade. And then the newly formed CME Group Inc. acquired the owner of New York’s mercantile and commodities exchanges. That made CME Group a dominant U.S. exchange, and one of the largest in the world.
OVERSIGHT STAFF CUTS FLAGGED
A
FINES A SLAP ON THE WRIST
In their recent audits, federal regulators also said that fine amounts for some types of trading-related violations “may be low enough that traders could view them as merely a cost of doing business.” The regulators urged the CME Group to have a fine schedule that would penalize repeat offenders with progressively higher fines. The issue has prompted federal regulators to step in with their own penalties in cases where they thought the CME was merely slapping traders on the wrist.
Consider the track record of Edward Sarvey and David Sklena, two longtime Chicago Board of Trade brokers who traded U.S. government debt. By 2004, Sarvey had already drawn five penalties for trading violations, with exchange fines ranging from $100 to $25,000 and short bans from the trading floor. Sklena had been sanctioned twice, according to records from the National Futures Association.
In 2004, the two traders engaged in what amounted to insider trading on futures pegged to five-year Treasury notes, according to court documents. The trades netted Sarvey $357,000, while Sklena earned $1.65 million in a single morning. Their customers lost about $2 million, court documents say.
In 2007, the Chicago exchange fined Sarvey and Sklena $125,000 and $175,000 respectively, and banned them from trading for about two months. But federal regulators deemed the penalties insufficient and brought their own civil case against the pair in 2008. That complaint morphed into a federal criminal indictment. Sklena was found guilty of fraud last year and sentenced to five years in prison. Sarvey died before the trial. His former lawyer, John Legutki, says he is “surprised and saddened” by the escalation of the case from “relatively minor” exchange penalties to a full-blown criminal prosecution. “This all weighed on him very heavily,” he says of Sarvey.
The case also weighed on federal futures regulators who say it is indicative of soft exchange penalties that fail to deter unscrupulous brokers. “It is not an isolated case,” a CFTC official told Reuters. The agency declined to provide numbers on how many times it intervened to correct what it thought were insufficient exchange sanctions.
“DON’T FIX WHAT AIN’T BROKE”
For its part, CME argues it has an obvious self-interest in policing its trading floors because if traders lose faith in the integrity of the exchange, ]
Ted Butler, a veteran silver trader, has been pushing Comex, the New York metals exchange owned by CME Group, to investigate allegations of price manipulation on the silver futures market by a handful of large brokerages. But, he says, the exchange hasn’t shown much interest. “It is a continuing mystery how the conflicted CME could be responsible for any regulatory oversight given their inherent clear conflict of interest,” Butler, who himself had drawn a CFTC sanction in the 1980s, wrote in a recent newsletter.
CME SIDING WITH BUSINESS
In a rapidly growing futures industry, CME Group often has to wade into policy debates between federal regulators and the businesses they oversee. In several of those debates, CME sided with the firms in opposing disclosure rules and trading curbs that could cut into those firms’, and the CME’s, bottom line.
The CME, for instance, opposed registration requirements for high-frequency traders. CFTC officials hoped the registration would force the traders, some based overseas, to disclose more about themselves and their trading software, and allow regulators to step in quickly in case of trouble that was seen in the so-called “flash crash” of 2010.
Because of the sheer volume and the number of transactions, high-frequency traders provide an attractive business to the exchange. CME Group balked at efforts to saddle them with additional requirements. A CME official says there’s no uniform definition of what constitutes high-frequency trading, and that CME’s internal systems already provide the exchange with “incredibly granular information that allows us to look at trading activity.”
Last year, for instance, CME Group fined a high-frequency trader called Infinium Capital Management $850,000 for glitches in its algorithm that unleashed rapid-fire trading orders and caused a brief spike in oil prices.
UNDERFUNDING OVERSIGHT
Over the past decade, the federal agency has tried to address potential conflicts of interest within the exchanges by insisting they appoint independent directors to their boards and increase the funding and independence of their regulatory oversight committees.
“There was a concern about underfunding the regulatory function of the exchange,” recalls Sharon Brown-Hruska who served as a CFTC commissioner between 2002 and 2006. Major exchanges going public only heightened concerns about self-regulation, she says.
CME Group, and other exchange operators, resisted what they saw as the federal agency’s unwarranted meddling. But the CFTC prevailed and decreed the exchange boards should be more than one-third independent and that regulatory oversight committees should be properly funded.
Ever since the passage of the Dodd-Frank law, the CFTC has been consumed with writing new rules to prevent future abuses in the derivatives industry. As a result, the resources the agency can devote to enforcing the existing rules may have suffered.
“Unfortunately, in response to the financial crisis, the CFTC has been off on a series of tangents, proposing one regulation after another,” Senator Pat Roberts, a Republican, said at a recent hearing. “Meanwhile, back at the ranch for the first time ever, we have a major problem.
The agency says it is being asked to effectively walk and chew gum at the same time, in an era when Congress is in no mood to increase the size of the federal government. CFTC now has about 700 employees, a 10% increase since the 1990s. In the same time period, the futures market has grown five-fold, CFTC Chairman Gary Gensler said in recent congressional testimony.
Two weeks after MF Global’s bankruptcy, Congress denied the Obama administration’s request for a CFTC budget increase despite the agency’s insistence that it needs more money to do its job. “The CFTC just doesn’t have the staffing and the resources to audit the brokerages,” says a former senior agency official.
That means the CFTC will likely continue to rely on the exchanges to police themselves, although the agency may choose to take a closer look at the markets in some cases. Shortly after the MF Global bankruptcy, for instance, federal regulators said they would conduct a review of the major futures brokerages to make sure their customer accounts are intact.
Jon Corzine — the prominent Democrat politician who served as New Jersey governor and senator before moving on to head MF Global Holdings Ltd the “leading cash and derivatives broker-dealer” from which he managed to misplace $1.2 billion — was among the supporters of the intrusive Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 which promised an end to greedy corporate skullduggery.
The number of married couples in the United States is at a record low, according to the latest figures from the Pew Research Center.
Numbers released Wednesday show 51% of American adults are married, a 5% drop from the previous year. The median age that people get married has risen to 26.5 years for brides and 28.7 for grooms.
…
lil Opie, it’s 2011, where.is.the.damn.non-Hawaiian.birth.certificate!!!!!!!!
Obama marking end of Iraq war
APBy ERICA WERNER | AP – 5 hrs ago
FORT BRAGG, North Carolina (AP) — President Barack Obama saluted troops returning from Iraq Wednesday, declaring that the nearly nine-year conflict is ending honorably, “not with a final battle, but with a final march toward home.”
All U.S. troops are to be out of Iraq Dec. 31, though Obama has pledged the U.S. will continue civilian assistance for Iraq as it faces an uncertain future in a volatile region of the world. Even as majorities in the U.S. public favor ending the war, some Republicans have criticized Obama’s withdrawal, arguing he’s leaving behind an unstable Iraq that could hurt U.S. interests and fall subject to influence from neighboring Iran.
Gold futures have fallen 5% this month, tracking a stock selloff and losing their safe-haven allure. MarketWatch columnist Mark Hulbert talks about what the metal’s drop says about investor pessimism. Laura Mandaro reports.
SINGAPORE—Asian stock markets tumbled Thursday as heightened worries of a full-blown financial crisis in Europe left commodities smarting from a massive selloff, sending the Shanghai bourse skidding to near a three-year low.
The U.S. dollar rose on safe-haven demand, while oil and resources-related stocks dropped sharply after rattled investors bailed out of riskier markets Wednesday. The dour mood in markets was reinforced by a weak business sentiment report in Japan and contraction in China’s manufacturing activity.
China’s Shanghai Composite was down as much as 2%, to 2183.19, it’s lowest level since March, 2009, as traders feared Europe’s crisis was fast engulfing Asia’s biggest economy. The market was recently down 1.1%.
“Risk appetite has flown out the window; the rise in U.S. bond prices is showing traders are readying themselves for a European recession,” said Ben Taylor, sales trader at CMC Markets in Sydney.
“Ongoing debt concerns and the potential of a France sovereign downgrade are adding weight to Thursday’s selloff,” Mr. Taylor said, noting the dangerous rise in Italian bond yields to fresh euro-era highs on Wednesday. He added that China’s manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index for December “has done little to hold the markets’ confidence.”
…
Violins by Antonio Stradivari represent the gold standard of the trade. Between 1980 and 2010, auction prices for Stradivari violins increased at an average annual rate of 10.3%. A number of his violins have more recently sold through dealers for $9-10M. One Stradivari cello is currently appraised at $12M and another has reportedly sold for $20M.
Name:Ben Jones Location:Northern Arizona, United States To donate by mail, or to otherwise contact this blogger, please send emails to: thehousingbubble@gmail.com
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It seems like the forecasted duration of the Great Recession keeps getting extended.
Dec. 14, 2011, 12:01 a.m. EST
This slump won’t end until 2031
Commentary: Our predicament parallels the Long Depression of 1870s
By Matthew Lynn
LONDON (MarketWatch) — In retrospect, it wasn’t hard to see that the markets were becoming dangerously unstable. Germany had just adopted a new monetary system, and Europe was being flooded with cheap German money. Greece had just signed up to a monetary union with Italy and France but was struggling to hold it together. Financial markets had been deregulated. New technologies were transforming production and communications, allowing money to move across borders at lightening speed. And a massive new industrial power was flooding the world with cheap manufactured goods, blowing apart old industries. When it all fell apart in an almighty crash, it was only to be expected.
A prophesy for London, New York or Berlin in 2012? Not exactly. It is a description of Vienna in 1873. In that year, in one of the great crashes of all time, the Austrian markets triggered collapses across Europe, swiftly followed by an equally spectacular collapse in New York. It was the start of what economic historians call The Long Depression: a prolonged period of volatility, unemployment and slumps that lasted an epic twenty-three years, only finally coming to an end in 1896.
…
It seems like the forecasted duration of the Great Recession keeps getting extended.
It’s the gift that keeps on giving!
For the Lucky Duckies it’s a recoveryless recovery
Congress Are Whores®
Welcome my HBB brother Congress Are Whores® ! I’ve been asking where you’ve been and finally you have arrived!
Now we need a newbie to step up with “Voters are Vegetables.” Refering to the cabbages who vote for Tweedle Dee/Tweedle Dum “electable” candidates from the Republicrat Duopoly, of course, not principled upstarts like Ron Paul.
Two other exceptions besides Dr. Paul are Rep. Dennis Kucinich and Sen. Bernie Sanders, the rest are all whores.
Agreed.
You forgot Barbara Lee.
The only person with the balls to vote against the Iraq war.
Real voters don’t eat vegetables! -
Realtors Are Liars®
Yet the lapdog media still takes their stats as gospel - even after Core Logic raised serious doubts on their data. Heck, today they’re even trying to rationalize their sales overstatements (2007-11) for them. So helpful they are.
The agents can’t tell how many houses they sold.
The banksters don’t know where the money went.
The pols forgot who puts them in office.
Yeah, real CONfidence inspiring.
What recession?
Baubles are back, furs are fine, and haute handbags are hot this holiday season.
Even as unemployment remains high and job growth is anemic, luxury spending is up, with some retailers reporting business booming at prerecession levels. Wealthy shoppers, their confidence boosted by recovering investment portfolios, are dropping thousands of dollars on designer purses at Saks Fifth Avenue, holiday decorations from Winston Flowers, and custom-made candles from Seaport Candle Co. in South Boston, among other pricey gifts.
http://www.boston.com/business/articles/2011/12/14/luxury_spending_reaches_prerecession_levels/
I don’t understand this obsession with trendy handbags. In every department store I’ve ever looked in, most of the purses are functionally the same as plastic grocery bag, with one compartment and maybe one zipper pocket. Don’t get me started on the insufficient or missing closure mechanisms. I don’t care if it says Dooney and Bourke or if it has a little stuffed panda hanging off the handle. Approximately 0.5% of the handbags have an acceptable organizational pocket structure and closure. And men wonder why women are always digging into their purses. Because, inside, it’s literally a dump.
Women who put career first, then feel the biological clock tick in and become increasingly neurotic due to suppressing their natural instincts, buy $5000 purses in a vain attempt to fill the voids in their materialistic but meaningless lives. One in four women are now on mood-altering meds - no surprise.
Seriously, Sammy? You have some stats to back up the assertion that $5000 purses are largely owned by women who don’t have children? Really?
I’m more interested in the link that says 25% of women are on mood-altering meds.
Pony up, Paulie-swooner.
According to a 2008 Scientific American article 11% of American women and 5% of American men take antidepressants.
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=the-medicated-americans
Dunno where to get handbag industry market research, but the other was big news a few weeks ago.
http://www.redorbit.com/news/health/1112425236/1-in-4-women-take-medication-for-mental-health-condition
If the redorbit article is correct and considering that antidepressants can be libido killers … there’s probably a lot of unhappy guys out there.
That said, what is the percentage of Americans who drink alcohol as a way to “cope” with life’s daily pressures?
95% of quoted statistics are just pulled out of the air.
Depression is a libido-killer too, so guys don’t win either way.
1 in 4 great no wonder there are so many bad drivers out there.
doesn’t that stuff make you gain weight as well ?
Seriously, Sammy? You have some stats to back up the assertion that $5000 purses are largely owned by women who don’t have children? Really?
Yours Truly never reproduced, and at this stage of my life, it ain’t gonna happen.
But the $5k purse thing? Puh-leeze. If I spent 50 bucks on something to carry house keys, money, ID, and a checkbook, I’d feel like I was a mondo big spender.
I know one peronally.
She lives in Japan though, but still:
Age early 50s, divorced, no kids, career as a designer, heavy smoker (still not that common in Japan), now owns at least two Hermès bags, at $4k each, justifies it with thi argumentation: ‘otherwise I have no fun and no things to spend my money on’.
As to the purse phenomenon…
It is socially acceptable to carry the same purse over and over but not wear the same (designer) clothing every day. The over decorated purses can also be spotted as a status symbol more easily than a lot of other fashion items.
If comfort/utility/function were a factor most high heels would have disappeared long ago…
“I don’t understand the obsession with trendy handbags.”
You are what you carry on your arm? Similar to “you are what you drive”?
Check out all the trendy wristwatches. Open up any Forbes and you’ll see pages of expensive wristwatch advertisements.
You are what you wear on your wrist?
Want to be able to see what time it is? Yes? Then you can buy a simple wristwatch for about twenty-five dollars. Or You can pay five-thousand dollars for a flashy one, even more.
It’s really not about being able to see what time it is.
Back in the late 80’s the parents of a friend of mine came into a lot of money and bought themselves a few toys, including a rolex for him.
At the time it was easy to get fake rolexes on the street in NYC, so he bought one of them too.
One of his favorite games was handing both watches to someone and asking them which one was the “real” one… Most people got it wrong.
“…At the time it was easy to get fake rolexes on the street….”
Similarly, a jaded man-about-town type I used to date had a cache of fake Piagets he put to good use.
Never a great judge of intent, he was prone to being used for his money by opportunistic dates of recent acquaintance. So, after a typical night’s carousing, he took to leaving one of the shiny fakes on his nightstand. The next morning he’d get up early to go to his office and leave a nice note instructing his date to sleep in and order breakfast, then let herself out at her leisure.
If the watch was gone when he returned, he’d solved two problems.
Then you get to say “That watch cost more than your car!”
A former gf once told me. Men should wear their size, have couple of pairs of fine watches and shoes.
$25 ?!!???
I love my black plastic casio- $11.
I especially like wearing it around wealthy people wearing giant expensive watches.
Want to be able to see what time it is? Yes?”
use a cell phone
oxide
You’re a gal after my own heart. I like Stone Mountain Leather Handbags ($60ish-have a collection)for the file cabinet many of them are designed to be.
I have one going on 20 years and I always can find my keys, phone, pad and pen…
(Why is it that women don’t carry essentials like a pen and pad, I’ll never figure out.)
And don’t get me started on why a handbag is worth the designer logo or name… a fool and his money… I hear ya, oxide… sorry, way OT.
I highly recommend Ameribag’s “healthy back bag”, has great pockets, key clip, and very sturdy.
I’ve been using those for years. You can also easily sling them over your back to bike-commute to work.
There are two kinds of purses: those with too many compartments, and those with too few.
For Lucy it was: “On $ale” … “Not on $ale”
“Look Ricky, see how money I $aved today!”
My wonderful HBB girlfriends:
Great info and opinions on handbags and back packs. Much appreciated. I needed some light fare this morning. Not finding a suitable home is depressing.
As for men and their inability to “yankee doodle” (antidepression meds and emotional depression chat above) maybe they can channel the frustration into making piles of money.
A woman’s purse is a compact representation of her home– inside and out. Within is very literally her home-away-from-home, her security in the outside world.
So, it’s worth spending big bucks to get one that really works for you. I’ve been carrying the same perfect Gucci hobo for fifteen years now (with a few expert repairs as warranted,) and with each new wrinkle and gouge, it just gets better. Some people worry about having their purse stolen because of all the money and keys, and doo-dads and ID they’d lose. I’d grieve the actual purse.
Anyway, even the most expensive are commensurately cheaper than sportscars….
Hope this helps.
The trend you describe was going on during the Great Depression and just prior. It is the dichotomy between “rich” and “poor” that goes on with massive money transfers in the anti-free market system.
During the 1930’s in the midst of a horrible “depression” for poor people, Cord was in it’s hayday, manufacturing of the most expensive automobiles in history, along with lots of other companies. Stutz Bearcats…, Minerva, Auburn, Cadillac, Packard, Bentley, Mercedes, Alfa Romeo, Bugatti, and a whole bunch of others were all built and sold to Millionaires…………while breadlines formed downtown.
Of course, the owners had “estates” outside of town.
As a reminder of the past, the most expensive car at auction to date was a 1931 Bugatti that sold for 8.5 Million dollars in 1987.
Today, if you are “wealthy”, you can forget the Maybachs, their just toys for rich folks, buy a new Bugatti Veyron for 2.4 Million dollars.
A Pagini Zonda for 1.8 Million. or a Lambourghini Reventon for 1.6 Million……..Just chump change to a Hedge Fund Trader. Rewards for shuffling papers onto Central Bank balance sheets.
During the 1930’s in the midst of a horrible “depression” for poor people, Cord was in it’s hayday, manufacturing of the most expensive automobiles in history, along with lots of other companies. Stutz Bearcats…, Minerva, Auburn, Cadillac, Packard, Bentley, Mercedes, Alfa Romeo, Bugatti, and a whole bunch of others were all built and sold to Millionaires…………while breadlines formed downtown.
That reminds me, I expect to see a lot of today’s equivalents go away within the next decade. We’ll end up back with some of the same brands that were around 20 years ago, plus maybe a few of the newer Korean and Chinese (and Indian?) brands.
Meanwhile most folks will only see supercars like the ones mentioned above on shows like TopGear.
That’s the only place anybody will see them, as they are generally made in very small batches and sold to oil shieks and the like who lock them in garages and rarely drive them.
I was talking to someone at one of our doctors while we waited. She was telling me her daughter has 4 Xmas trees. Each child has their own in their bedroom, she has the one in the main LR and there is the one that is just decorated in Swarovski crystal. I thought I was going to throw up. I got to practice my plastic smile that comes in handy when around these people.
The reason she shared that info is I had asked if her kids took their ornaments that were theirs in their childhood when they grew up and started their own household. I think she was trying to imply her daughter wouldn’t be caught dead w/anything so simple from her childhood.
one (Christmas Tree) that is just decorated in Swarovski crystal. I thought I was going to throw up. I got to practice my plastic smile that comes in handy when around these people.
Forget the smile. This is why I always carry around one of these. I would have stuck it under her chair and walked across the room to get another magazine. It even has a remote control.
http://www.thefartmachine.com/
Oh, Rio, you are way too kind!
Lobbyists a little slow with the vig this month…
No cellphones, no texting by drivers, US urges
Texting, emailing or chatting on a cellphone while driving is simply too dangerous to be allowed, federal safety investigators declared Tuesday, urging all states to impose total bans except for emergencies.
While the NTSB doesn’t have the power to impose restrictions, its recommendations carry significant weight with federal regulators and congressional and state lawmakers
http://articles.boston.com/2011-12-13/news/30512740_1_texting-states-ban-dc
“Lobbyists a little slow with the vig this month…”
Ok, now that’s just too funny right there. And so true!
I, for one, feel that cell phones should be turned off while driving. I had this discussion with my buddy yesterday. He’s all for banning texting while on the road, but felt that talking on a cell while driving is OK. His point was that it is no different than having a conversation with a passenger. I disagree. For one thing, when my cell phone goes off while I’m in the car, it always startles me. Secondly, you never know what sort of distracting news is going to be delivered over that cell phone. It’s annoying to have to respond to the boss’s question about this or that while trying to keep one’s attention on the road.
And then there’s driving with the kids in the back seat, which can certainly take one’s attention off the road. That would be another comparative argument.
But even assuming these situations are no different than talking on a cell phone while driving, does that mean that adding yet another distraction is a good thing, especially if it is a non-essential distraction? Except in the case of emergencies, it really isn’t necessary to talk on a cell while driving
Aren’t there studies that show that talking on the phone uses the same part of the brain as driving, so you are automatically distracted. (I can usually tell a cell-phone driver from a quarter-mile off just from the way they’re driving.)
Whereas, if there’s a passenger in the car, people will immediately tuneout the passenger if the driving gets hairy, or the passenger will see the traffic and also shut up. I’ve been on both sides of this.
While i don’t mind it as much on podunk highways, cell phones should really be banned on city streets and parking lots. (!) It’s like 50% the population, and 100% of the soccer mom population, out of habit, immediately starts the phone when they start the car. Now they’re maneuvering through parking garages or traffic jams with one hand and zero brain, usually in a humungo landship where there is NO clearance or margin for error. Extremely dangerous.
Hmmm… that sounds like an idea for cash-strapped municipalities. Put a trooper in parking lots and slap a $150 fine on cell-phone users. Just parking lots alone would bring in far more revenue than speed traps.
The problem isnt talking on the cellphone while driving, the problem is idiots talking on the cellphone while driving. I talk on my handsfree when driving, however, I do it when I am in steady/open/stopped traffic, NOT when I am manouvering in a praking lot, or in a messy merge area. And, I will simply stop talking if I have to deal with changing lanes or something. I have dirven with people who kept talking while merging without looking and playing with their radio, never again.
When the driving gets really messed up (as it so often does in the DC area) I even turn off the radio. I don’t need to use the extra effort of tuning it out when the off button is right there.
But city driving while talking on the cellphone while trying to find good music on the radio is good exercise for the brain when you’re tired.
It’s even more important on podunk highways, where speeds are higher than those in the middle of a city.
Not too long ago a head-on occurred here when a texting teen failed to notice that the straight section of the 2-lane road he was on had turned into a gentle right-hand curve. He continued straight, right into an oncoming truck. Only the truck left (very short) skid marks. It’s a miracle he survived, as it took the “jaws of life” to get him out of the car.
Nowadays my attention is riveted on the vehicle approaching me on these 2-lane roads, as I look for any sign of drift in either direction. A drift to the right and onto the shoulder is usually followed by an over-correction that brings the vehicle rapidly across the center line.
Nowadays my attention is riveted on the vehicle approaching me on these 2-lane roads, as I look for any sign of drift in either direction
I do the exact same thing now. Two years ago my older sister was badly injured when a cell phone user drifted in to her head-on (two lane road). She broke both arms and sustained permanent nerve damage to her right hand. She was a landscape and floral design artist but is now out on disability. So until she learns a new trade (at fifty-three?) the taxpayer will pick up the tab. Not coming out of the Sprint CEO’s bonus…
+1. My passengers think I’m nuts when I move halfway into the emergency lane when there is traffic coming from the opposite direction. I especially give berth to large trucks…
Highway deaths are incredibly low the past few years. They should save the bans for when they go back up to move the needle .
out of habit, immediately starts the phone when they start the car.
This. Throw car in reverse, dial phone, look around absently. Isn’t this how it’s supposed to work?
Good advice up there Bill. I do a lot of podunk driving and get nervous in the turns and now I realize it’s for good reason.
“For one thing, when my cell phone goes off while I’m in the car, it always startles me”
Well, a ringer can be easily programmed to be a “non-startling” sound. Unless you’re a lemur.
Regarding the NTSB report, sounds like a slippery slope.
Just today, I saw a lady blow an old red light as I was about to pull into the intersection. She was looking in her lap. Texting I’m assuming.
If the behavior directly impacts others, it should have some regulations. DIRECTLY impacts. Not indirectly. Seatbelt usage doesn’t impact anyone else. Texting and driving does.
“If the behavior directly impacts others, it should have some regulations. DIRECTLY impacts. Not indirectly. ”
I’m with you on texting. I really don’t think you can do it and properly focus. Maybe voice recognition tech will make it possible. But talking while driving? We’ve been honing that skill for decades. As others have said, unless you’re going to make it illegal to have your kids in the back, or to talk to the person next to you, the proposed cellphone law seems ill-advised, if wee-meaning in intent.
“wee-meaning in intent.”
Should read “well-meaning”.
Better training and harder driving tests would fix most of that.
You need “training” to not turn on the phone? Really, it isn’t that hard.
This might be a bad mix with today’s cell phone drivers, but at least in the past one good way to get people to pay attention was to actually let them drive a bit faster to where they actually needed to think about it. Driving can be fun, and can be 100% engaging without being dangerous.
Most people need training for even the simplest of things, let alone performing a life-and-death action.
Most American drivers are untrained these days, and if they are trained its more along the lines of learning what the different road signs mean and not how to pull out of a skid.
Heck, you don’t even need to know how to drive a car with a manual transmission to get a license in the USA.
Hah! Do you have any idea how many drivers have NO training, NO license, and NO insurance? Waaaay too many.
From Politico - Report: 2.5M more young insured
“President Obama’s health care reforms have allowed 2.5 million young adults to get medical coverage, according to a new analysis that the Obama administration is set to release Wednesday.
The Obama administration says the dramatic decrease in the number of uninsured young adults is due to the president’s signature health care reforms, reports the AP, which obtained a copy of the analysis.
The drop in the number of uninsured young adults is 2 1/2 times larger than the decline indicated by previous estimates earlier this year, which showed about 1 million Americans in the age group had gained coverage, reports the wire service.”
I would say this is mostly true. It is cheaper to insure single young and healthy individuals. That being said my family and I are still uninsured. Obama care has made it impossible to afford health insurance. I cam not afford the $15000 it costs a year for a family, and I make to much for Medical.
“It is cheaper to insure single young and healthy individuals. ”
Precisely why we need to include this group with the other groups the government currently insures- the elderly ,the sick, and the poor. That’s how insurance works properly. We now have a situation in which the for-profit health care insurers cover the young and healthy, while the gov ends up covering the old and sick- ie the non-profitable ones. That’s why medicare is so costly.
“I cam not afford the $15000 it costs a year for a family, and I make to much for Medical.”
Too bad we don’t have universal health care coverage like every other developed nation on the earth, and could enjoy its lower costs, along with the assurance of coverage even if we dare to become ill. But I guess we’ve all been so well-propagandized that we believe they all stand in long, grey lines waiting to be told they can’t have an operation. (Although they still have the temerity to live longer than us.)
But I guess we’ve all been so well-propagandized that we believe they all stand in long, grey lines waiting to be told they can’t have an operation. (Although they still have the temerity to live longer than us.)
That we have. We believe we have it so much better, even though we can’t afford to see the doctor and many simply “do without”.
I’ve never understood why some people are afraid of some government bureaucrat rationing care but seem to be comfortable with our current system of health care industry bureaucrats - with a profit motive - being the gate keepers who ration care…
As a capitalist, I want to make sure that the entity that kills me does it efficiently and at a profit. Not like Cuba, where they’re so lazy they may never get around to it…
They do it at a profit. As far as “efficiency” goes …
Too bad we don’t have universal health care coverage like every other developed nation on the earth, and could enjoy its lower costs, along with the assurance of coverage even if we dare to become ill. ……..What lower costs?
Sweden pays about 1/2 its income on taxes to support their programs. I guess that’s okay if your a Swede or a German.
These are Homogenous societies with hard-working and Prudent people.
We have bunches of Minorities who are net takers from the National Wealth, so they will be “disproportionately” represented in the pool of Free Medical. The rest of the Country can pay for it. You, of course, can use this as a claim of racism.
Incidentally, those other “advanced” countries are all imploding on their promises to pay for everything via government “benefits”.
Let’s see how this works out.
Now they even are talking about making war on Salt to keep me safe from the dangers of food. Not the government’s business. None at all. But I guess if I am in some government “system” then they must be able to control all my actions for the good of the collective. And, gee, it’s illegal to drop out of the “collective”. Land of the FRee?? Ha hahahaha.
Not to mention that universal health care is not good enough for many people in places like the UK.
To my understanding doctors there aren’t satisfied with the low payments provided by the government, and people are not satisfied with the government care, so they buy private insurance on top of the government program.
Sweden spends $2,828 per capita in health care, we spend $6,096. (2007 numbers)
And they insure everybody.
But they are Swedes. They are efficient, and statistics don’t give you the true story. How much corruption, payoffs and FRAUD goes into the Swedish system? I seriously doubt it approaches Medicaid and Medicare, which won’t prosecute the criminals.
But to be fair, the Swedish GDP per capita in 2007 (your base) was 31,600. US, about 50,000. They spent 9.1 % of their earnings on “healthcare”, according to my sources.
So we spent a bunch more, mostly from government waste and fraud, and so, you think if the government takes over the WHOLE system, it will be cheaper? No government program is every cheaper. Here’s an excerpt from a report on SWEDEN:
By the early 1980s, with an aging population and increasingly expensive health care technology, the system had become unsustainable. In a ten-year period from 1972-1982, the health care portion of Sweden’s GDP grew from 7.2 percent to 9.3 percent (see Figure 1).10 Until 1985, the national government reimbursed county councils for health care expenses on a fee-for-service basis. The Dagmar Reform of 1985 changed the reimbursement formula to one of “capitation,” in which counties were reimbursed for the number of patients served. This led to “global budgets” - a fixed amount that each county could spend annually on health care services.
Global budgeting would prove to have serious consequences for Sweden’s health care system, most notably expanding waiting lists. Waiting lists for surgery and other procedures had long been a problem in Sweden. Like most government-run systems, the Swedish health care system was already plagued by declining productivity - a consequence of which included delays in care.11 Global budgeting, however, worsened the problem of waiting lists. With county councils now operating with fixed budgets and citizens facing few restraints on demand for health care, county councils needed to ration health care services. An increase in wait times was the result. By 1988 the wait time for an angiogram - a heart X-ray - was up to eleven months. The wait time for bypass surgery could be an additional eight months.12
The report was from National Policy Analysis in May 2007.
Look it up.
Yea, statistics are great. We spend a lot more than any other country and haven’t increase life expectancy more than much, much poorer countries, but then, here, everyone is “equal” and demographic factors can’t be considered. Although certain groups have a lot more heart disease, cancer and other long term ailments. The Swedes don’t.
While the Scandinavian countries aren’t that ethnically diverse, the UK and Canada are. Yet they manage to have universal health care that works for them. And they’re not clamoring to have a health care system like ours.
So much for the mono-ethnic argument. Next, please?
What lower (health-care) costs?
Sweden pays about 1/2 its income on taxes to support their programs. Diogenes
(These lower heath-care costs)
Sweeden spends $3470 per person per year on healthcare
USA spends $7540 per person per year on healthcare.
But for $3470 per year Sweeden covers everyone. Big diff.
source: 2008 OECD Health Data
Even when comparing the median income per capita of the USA ($27K) with Sweden ($20K) We get Sweden spending 18% of median income per person on healthcare vs 28% for the USA but the USA has 1/3 of our population uncovered or with BS coverage and Sweden has cradle-to-grave healthcare coverage for EVERYONE. median income figures: wiki
These are Homogenous societies with hard-working and Prudent people.Diogenes
Our employment rate has been higher than Sweden’s many times historically even if we are “browner.” Your racial comment has no relevance at all to the economics.
Incidentally, those other “advanced” countries are all imploding on their promises to pay for everything via government “benefits”. Diogenes
And we are not because of wars? Many of those Social Democracies are in better fiscal shape than the USA.
Not to mention that universal health care is not good enough for many people in places like the UK.
Rental Watch
You’re right. You should not mention that. Because even though the UK spends less than half the amount per person on health-care (including public and private spending)….
“In Great Britain, satisfaction with access to affordable healthcare (43%) is consistent with satisfaction with quality (42%). In Canada, satisfaction with access to affordable healthcare (57%) is slightly higher than satisfaction with quality (52%). But the most dramatic variation in satisfaction with these two facets of the healthcare system occurs in the United States, where only 25% are satisfied with the availability of affordable healthcare, but 48% are satisfied with quality….
On a less relative basis, the fact that 72% of Americans say they are dissatisfied with the availability of affordable healthcare, and 50% are dissatisfied with the quality of medical care are cause for concern. Regardless of how these numbers measure up to those in Canada and Great Britain, they indicate that the U.S. healthcare system has considerable room for improvement.” Gallup
Well, it doesn’t really work. It’s just their current system.
I met an elderly man (60’s) hobbling around Clearwater Beach last year with a band around his knee. Needed a knee replacement. He told me it would be next year before he could get it taken care of.
And for all you “national health care” advocates, i was listening in to a radio program a couple of weeks back. The gist of the conversation from a brain surgeon was that they are already being told that they will not be allowed to perform emergency life-saving surgery on patients over 65 or 70. Just too expensive. Triage. That’s the solution. And it will be America’s solution.
They will be instructed to provide “comfort” support to help them not feel uncomfortable as they are dying. Old people will be the first to be denied medical care.
As one other astute reader wrote, the very aged consume the largest part of the health care budget. The simplest solution is to simply remove them from the list of pending surgeries, operations, and support facilities. Give Grandma a pain pill and pat her on the head. Goodnight Grandma.
A huge cost is related to end-of-life care in the US. In Sweden, the decisions are largely left to the doctors, patients have less involvement in their own care decisions.
To put in the most inflammatory terms, Sweden has death panels.
To put another way, patients and their families don’t have an ability to use massive medical resources when a physician’s decision otherwise would be to simply let nature take its course.
Not that this is a perfect study for what I note, but in the same direction:
An abstract to a study comparing Russia, Sweden, and Germany for certain types of decisions:
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1733385/
The applicable quote:
“Results—Swedish physicians chose fewer life-prolonging interventions as compared with the Russian and the German doctors.”
I heard a health-care expert speak and she noted that if decisions about end-of-life care were made in the US in an similar fashion as to other countries (she noted France), the difference in healthcare cost per capita would not go away entirely, but the differences would be MUCH smaller.
End-of-life decision making, and, if patients or their families take part in such decisions, who bears the cost for what doctors may otherwise consider excessive treatment, is the elephant in the room that everyone is trying to ignore. It is a critical piece to getting healthcare costs under control, especially as our population ages.
And AZ Slim, the UK still has private insurance because many people find the government program to be inadequate.
And they’re not clamoring to have a health care system like ours.
No one is. Most view our system with a combination of revulsion and horror, unless of course they are very rich. Our system serves the rich (and well insured) fairly well.
the UK still has private insurance because many people find the government program to be inadequate.
Perfect. I’ll take that combination system any day over what the USA has.
Sorry if I’m bummed out today. I had to pay my $150 monthly 1st world medical/dental/PhysTher/homeopathic/MentalHealth/Acupuncture insurance premium yesterday.
And last month when I needed stitches on a weekend my private insurance was too much of a hassle to go to my plan’s hospital so I had to go to my neighborhood free clinic with the socialistas. (Thankfully I think they took down the Che Guevara posters when they saw me coming)
Needed a knee replacement. He told me it would be next year before he could get it taken care of.
I know a 50 year old un-insured American that hobbled around for 6 years needing a hip replacement. He finally paid thousands out of his pocket.
As a inhabitant of England and a member of a private healthy care scheme, perhaps I could set forth my views on the NHS.
Is it ideal no, but I don’t have to worry if my family fall sick about insurance. It is possible that they may require an expensive medicine that has not been approved by the local NHS, but how does that differ from your private medical schemes?
It is not uncommon to see fund raising campaigns to send sick people (usually children) for ground braking medical treatment abroad. Unfortunately few of these campaigns end well.
The main plus points about the NHS are on the whole they do a good job. The only worry I have in the event of family ill health is the illness not the cost.
Why you ask are you in a private medical scheme and what advantages does it give you. Well it will get me a private room in an NHS hospital or a cash sum if I’m willing to lie in bed amongst the general public. It will get me to see a specialist sooner for minor ailments and none life threatening illnesses, but if I have a major problem they will soon shuffle me back to the NHS. The main reason I have it though is it comes with the job and I think it suits my employers for me to have it. If I do need non urgent medical attention I can book it on a weekend or late at night which while this might not be ideal for me does at least ensure I won’t be taking any time of work.
P.S The practice of doctors working both for the NHS and themselves goes back to the inception of the NHS. In fact local doctors (GP’s) run their practices as small businesses and consultants receive a salary from the NHS and allowed to keep doing private practice.
And of course more than a million Americans go out of country for medical and dental treatment because of…UNAFFORDABILITY!
And of course more than a million Americans go out of country for medical and dental treatment because of…UNAFFORDABILITY!
I wonder how long it will take before the medical lobby manages to ban this practice.
What aspect of Obamacare that is currently implemented has increased the cost of insurance so you can’t afford it? What is the cost of the coverage you can’t afford? What would it cost if Obamacare wasn’t in place?
Most of the health care law isn’t implemented yet. The current trends in increases in coverage have been going on since long before the law passed. The biggest change already implemented (allowing parents to keep young adults on their coverage until 26) actually lowers the average cost of coverage by adding a bunch of healthy young adults into the risk pool.
“What aspect of Obamacare that is currently implemented has increased the cost of insurance so you can’t afford it? What is the cost of the coverage you can’t afford? What would it cost if Obamacare wasn’t in place?”
+ 1 Polly. The increase in premiums isn’t directly due to Obamacare, it’s due to the threat of Obamacare. When the exchanges are implemented, health insurance companies will take a hit. If the mandate is declared unconstitutional, ins will also take a hit because no mandate = no new customers subsidized by government cheese. So ins companies are making hay while the sun shines.
The credit card companies did the exact same thing. A CC law was passed but didn’t take effect for six months. During those six months, the CC companies milked the customers for all they were worth by hiking rates on current balances. Even if the law mitigates future damage, those balances and hiked rates are going to linger, profitably, for years.
It wouldn’t surprise me if that’s the last-ditch attempt by lobbyists. “Well, if you commie pigs are going to dictate to us how to run our business by passing this job-killing law despite our expert opinion, can you at least give us a six-month window to adjust to the changes, please?” (Translation: if you allow us a final six month extortion par-tay, we might give you a few sheckels for your reelection campaign.)
are you cereal? adding millions to their parents policies at no charge lowers the cost?
are you cereal? adding millions to their parents policies at no charge lowers the cost?
The added millions to their parent’s policies are paying the extra premiums for their addition to (or their continuation on) their parents policy. (or their parents are paying)
And no, I am not cereal although I sometimes eat it. (Does that make me part cereal?)
How does a bunch of uninsured sick people showing up in the ER in late stages of disease that previously could have been treated for pennies on the dollar saving money.
Hospitals have to increase what they charge to cover the losses. They also deduct the losses from their taxes if they make a profit. How is that different then just spending money on cost effective medicine? The money still comes out of the gov and tax payers pocket. How is it more efficient? If it’s an infectious disease like TB or HIV, how is it safer or better for society? Until society is willing to kick sick patients in the ER to the curb to die society is still paying the cost of medical care, and they are doing it in a less effective more expensive manner.
Thanks, Rio.
Why anyone would think that there aren’t any premiums for the covered adult kids is beyond me. If that had been the case the insurance companies would have been screaming their heads off. Never heard a peep out of them. They got to collect premiums for providing coverage to a bunch of middle class 20 somethings with parents who had jobs with group health benefits. Hardly a group they wanted to avoid covering.
“How does a bunch of uninsured sick people showing up in the ER in late stages of disease that previously could have been treated for pennies on the dollar saving money.”
Short term vs. long term. Polly said this years ago. Why spend money on prevention when whatever disease you’re preventing tends to show up and need $$ drugs when that person is older and on Medicare? It’s the usual privitizing gains and socializing losses.
“are you cereal?”
I just about LOL at that expression; I know a Peruvian woman who really says that when she means “are you serious?”.
It’s pretty funny when you hear it, and I’ve taken to saying it myself…
They got to collect premiums for providing coverage to a bunch of middle class 20 somethings with parents who had jobs with group health benefits. Hardly a group they wanted to avoid covering.
I would think it would be mainly the employers who pay the majority of insurance premiums would be the ones complaining about this provision.
Agree 100% Polly.
Setting up the insurance exchanges should lower the cost of premiums for basic coverage, as it will…wait for it…increase competition among insurance companies.
A friend of mine runs a group of hotels…at one point they needed to self-insure coverage for one of their properties…there was only one insurance carrier in the area that could serve them, and the pricing was ridiculously high.
More competition among the insurance companies will shrink their profit margins.
Increasing competition among insurance companies was the Republican proposal to avoid “national health care”. It was rejected by the Democratic Congress at the time. Not even considered.
You are correct. That was the solution to getting costs under control, along with de-centralizing government control under Medicare.
The States would be a better place to reform Medical laws, not provide “health care”. It’s the job of the government to enforce laws (not mandates) and protect the rights of people from other people who would do them harm, not to provide “services”.
However, all the States have “rigged” political payoffs in the insurance industry. The reason you don’t have 15 or 20 companies offering health insurance is because they are kept out of your State by State regulations…….
Government’s real purpose: Keep out the outsiders and support us insiders. If you’re in the club, you get benefits, if not, you can pay. We need an overturn of Health Care Insurance regulations Statewide. ObamaCare may prevent this.
Government’s real purpose: Keep out the outsiders and support us insiders.
Yet they can’t even do that right at a national level in regards to jobs. Or maybe they do…it’s just that all but the elites are no longer part of “us”.
“However, all the States have “rigged” political payoffs in the insurance industry. The reason you don’t have 15 or 20 companies offering health insurance is because they are kept out of your State by State regulations…….”
Actually, one of the main reasons is due to the sweetheart deals that larger insurance companies can negotiate with providers.
If you ask a hospital what they are paid for a kidney transplant, they will give you more than one number:
Medicare is one number (generally the lowest for most types of payment), each insurance company has their own negotiated rate, and if you’re an uninsured rich guy, you pay the most.
Over time, this has allowed the largest insurance companies to cut costs the most and outcompete/absorb the small carriers.
I would love to have a “most favored nation” law in the US that makes it illegal for healthcare providers to charge different rates for different payers. Flatten the field for insurance companies and watch competition explode. Rich uninsured man would pay the same as any insurance company, which would pay the same as Medicare.
The problem is that Medicare would be forced to pay at the levels of insurance companies at a time when Medicare can’t afford to pay more–so this deal wouldn’t fly (and the Republican side would scream about getting in the way of the free market–since they would be getting lots of money from insurance companies to scream such things).
The biggest change already implemented (allowing parents to keep young adults on their coverage until 26) actually lowers the average cost of coverage by adding a bunch of healthy young adults into the risk pool……..
I see this a pure conjecture on your part. It sounds logical, but isn’t.
Young people are healthy, and therefore don’t need to go to the doctor much. So they don’t. They also don’t buy insurance if it’s not provided for them. Your reasoning, I assume, is that by keeping them on their parents insurance, then they will increase the amount of money going into the “system”. First, if i was a parent with grown “children”, I wouldn’t be paying for insurance for them, unless, of course, it’s “government subsidized”. If it is, then there is no saving to the “community”, just to the people getting subsidies.
But, also, I find it to be true, ALWAYS, when you don’t have coverage, you don’t go the the Doctor for every little ailment.
Our Hospitals are packed with INDIGENT people who use them for primary care, since it’s FREE if you don’t have any money.
That’s why hospitals are in so much trouble. They have to get the money from somewhere and they usual get it by charging people with Insurance MORE for their services.
When you DO have coverage, since it’s only a small co-pay, if you have a minor injury of the flu…..well, gee, I better go see a doctor. Something that could be treated at home will become a doctor visit………..
As for the argument that it’s “preventive medicine”, most people don’t get to be disasterous health drains until after many years of poor diet, no exercise, over-eating, smoking and drinking. Having regular visits to a physician in their early 20’s will not make a single dent into the biggest problems of American Health……..failure to maintain a healthy diet and lifestyle…………and FOOD STAMPS made things worse. I see lots of FAT people loading their buggies with name-brand quality food and lots of crap, too. Whip out the E-card from the government and waddle out the door. They eat way too much.
Another government boondoggle. If they were really “poor”, maybe they couldn’t get so much food. OH, but hold the salt~~!
“When you DO have coverage, since it’s only a small co-pay, if you have a minor injury of the flu…..well, gee, I better go see a doctor.”
Some people go to the doctor hardly at all even with great coverage. Who has the time? Who wants to spend it at the doctor?
“As for the argument that it’s “preventive medicine”, most people don’t get to be disasterous health drains until after many years of poor diet, no exercise, over-eating, smoking and drinking. “
Not all chronic, expensive conditions are caused by poor diet, etc. MS has recently been linked to Vitamin D deficiency and a gene mutation that can make it worse. You can’t get enough from your diet and in most parts of the US, you can’t make any from the sun for more than 6 months of the year.
Sleep apnea is exacerbated, but not caused, by obesity. In many people it is simply an artifact of their soft palate, tongue, and throat structure. It can lead to disrupted leptin and grelin hormone levels, causing or contributing to weight gain. It can cause cardiac problems, including arrhythmias like atrial fibrillation. It occurs in normal weight children and young adults and is absent in some obese people. It can cause brain damage and dementia.
Cardiac issues have been linked to periodontal disease. Without the preventive care given by my dentist and his assistants, I might not have eliminated mine. My parents both had to have significant work in their 40s to take care of it.
I would agree that exercise is a miracle drug and most of us do not get enough. I don’t agree that most expensive medical care is caused by lifestyle issues, unless you also include driving a car or riding in a car or walking or biking near a roadway in your lifestyle issues.
The biggest change already implemented (allowing parents to keep young adults on their coverage until 26) actually lowers the average cost of coverage by adding a bunch of healthy young adults into the risk pool.
I bet $10 that these savings are not passed along to the consumer.
Obama care has made it impossible to afford health insurance.
How? The rate of premium price increases has been rising steadily for the past 30 years, the past year or so has basically been “more of the same”. “Obamacare” had hardly any effect on that rate of increase, especially since most of its key provisions have yet to kick in.
If you don’t like Obama, that’s fine (I’m not too crazy about him myself) but unaffordable healthcare has been in the making for decades,
Agree CO.
I get back to my same point as before: If you believe that as a civilized society that we should take care of our sick, the only two questions are:
1. How is that care provided?
2. Who pays?
#1 seems to be either a) single-payer system (which generally doesn’t eliminate private insurance), or b) a mandate with private insurance
#2 can get more complicated (co-pays, etc.), but generally the wealthy will pick up more of the tab. That said, some prices should be seen by consumers, or they will over consume healthcare.
I cam not afford the $15000 it costs a year for a family, and I make to much for Medical.
So how is our “for profit” medical/insurance industry serving you? Not so well apparently.
FWIW, health insurance cost that must 10 years ago. Of course now you get less for your 15K (like a high deductible plan).
IT is a pdf but your assertion that health care cost 15000 for a family 10 years ago is flawed.
http://ehbs.kff.org/pdf/2011/8225.pdf
Fine, but then again I could have gone Cobra with my old plan for $900+ a month (whole family), which is less than $15,000 a year.
It is hard to get an apples to apples comparison as the size of your group, your own demographic and and the type of plan do affect the cost.
What I do know from personal anecdoatal experience is that that the Cobra plans I have been offered over the past 10 years (everytime I changed a job) have hovered around $1000 a month. What has changed over the years are ever higher deductibles and copays. So you pay the same, but get less.
An individual plan w/Kaiser use to cost us $1,200/mo for 2 overall healthy adults. It’s insane on Cobra or solo.
Yep, Colorado, you pay more for less coverage. I use to see the illegals on Ca’s Medi-cal (medicaid) plan not even pay a co-pay at Kaiser, yet then can afford a nice vehicle.
The U.S. doesn’t have a broken medical system. We don’t have a system, imo.
What I do know from personal anecdoatal experience is that that the Cobra plans I have been offered over the past 10 years (everytime I changed a job) have hovered around $1000 a month. What has changed over the years are ever higher deductibles and copays. So you pay the same, but get less.
Also keep in mind that a cobra is a very nasty snake.
I always thought that was a lousy name.
I also wonder how many people exercise their COBRA option? I mean, if you’ve just been laid off, are you really going to cough up 1 grand a month for COBRA?
I would have if I hadn’t found a job before my previous insurance ran out…and I’d have had to pay about $1500. My family has a lot of healthcare needs, though…makes no sense for us to go uninsured unless there’s no other choice. And when that happens it may be a one way trip. It might be very difficult to get anyone to insure us again.
“Obama care has made it impossible to afford health insurance.”
It may be even more unaffordable than it was before, but it’s not unaffordable “because of” Obamacare.
I don’t want the government to subsidize my healthcare, but I would like to see doctors take a 75% pay cut.
Barring that, let me buy my own antibiotics, surgical thread, etc. and I’ll take my chances on my own.
I really wonder how Ron Paul will improve our healthcare situation- handing it over to the states doesn’t seem like a solution.
but I would like to see doctors take a 75% pay cut.
Filed under: “Pattern$ of Behavior$” aka, The RICO Hammer
(a most uSeful tool, seldom used on the right $COTUS-Inc. “Per$ons” !)
I would like to see ProFEESsional/owner jail-time for Criminal Medical billing practice$
“…I don’t want the government to subsidize my healthcare, but I would like to see doctors take a 75% pay cut….”
Medicaid already did that for you. That’s why you can’t find many doctors who will take Medicaid….
Our weekly work e-mail used to have a classified for 10 year old Daphne whose parents were selling pins and ribbons in order to pay for her treatment of rare cancer not covered by insurance.
The classified stopped running recently. Either the treatments have worked and are paid for or possibly she has died. If the latter true, a teabagger television audience would be cheering
Yup. Plus there are those ubiquitous “Please help little Jared pay for his X treatment” jars you often see in mom-n-pop stores next to the cash registers. A very American Tradition.
“You work three jobs? How uniquely American” - the Decider
Please help little Jared pay for his X treatment” jars you often see in mom-n-pop stores next to the cash registers. A very American Tradition.
There needs to be a charity that has commercials with Sally Struthers at the sickbed of ill American children explaining the profit driven, horrible American health insurance system and asking people to “adopt” a sick American child to help pay for their American health-care.
Then they should run these commercials in Europe and Canada. (Oh yea, and in Brazil too)
Maybe “Doctors without Borders” can send 3rd world doctors to the USA to treat the uninsured.
Nevermind, the AMA and FDA would never allow that (business is business after all). I guess we’ll have to send our uninsured to Brazil.
Splendid idea, Rio!
In Co, the major stumbling block to having doctors from more prosperous countries working here would be obtaining a license to practice medicine. Those are controlled by each state.
In many rural areas of this country, they, or doctors groups like hem, are doing exactly that, right now.
Actually, in CO, there is an American charity called Remote Area Medical which sort of does that. They are a mobile unit that treats the rural poor. One time, rural patients lined up for hours to be treated in the horse barn at the state fairgrounds.
Our HBB Librarian will tell you that it was scenes like this that inspired former health ins CEO Wendell Potter to do a 180 and support single payer.
I tell people that we have the best health care in the world, but Dick Cheney took it all.
I just got home from the memorial breakfast for a friend. He died at age 31. Didn’t have health insurance. Probably couldn’t have gotten it anyway because of his heart condition.
Memorial breakfast included the raffle for a new bicycle. That raffle raised over $8k, which will help to pay for the medical expenses he incurred before his death.
It’s an outrage! That money should be going to more benefits for seniors!
HOUSING: Nervous buyers, high supply to hold back house prices for years, Fannie Mae economist says
By ERIC WOLFF
North County Times
Tuesday, December 13, 2011
House prices will fall 3 percent nationally in 2012, excluding foreclosures and short sales, Douglas Duncan, Fannie Mae’s chief economist, said at a University of San Diego real estate conference on Tuesday.
Mixing in those “distressed” sales, prices could fall 6 or 7 percent, he said.
Too much supply and weak demand could hold down prices for years in San Diego County, and for as long as a decade in hard hit areas such as Phoenix, Las Vegas, and the Inland Empire, including Southwest Riverside County, Duncan said at a conference held by the Burnham-Moores Center for Real Estate. Citing Fannie Mae surveys, Duncan said 9 percent of Americans are unemployed and 26 percent worried that they wouldn’t have a job in 6 months.
“They say it’s a great time to buy a house, not a great time for ‘me’ to buy a house,” Duncan said of his survey. “Ten percent said it’s a good time to sell.”
“I think the public is a lot more intuitively engaged in the realities than the people in Washington realize,” he said.
Demand has been diluted further by a shift toward renting from home ownership.
“In the near term, there’s a shift to the acceptability of renting,” Duncan said.
Taking all of these forces into account, many real estate observers worry about a “new normal” in the housing market. But Duncan said most of these trends are the unwinding of a distortion from a housing bubble in the mid-2000s, and most of the trends are a reversion to historical norms.
“The new normal?” Duncan asked in his speech. “This same transition is a return to an old normal, not a new normal.”
http://www.nctimes.com/blogsnew/business/realside/housing-nervous-buyers-high-supply-to-hold-back-house-prices/article_5417afe7-f2be-57ba-abfd-6c71c3192711.html - 100k
(gasp!) The horror of it all! Imagine…. someone not having to commit financial suicide to buy a house? Unthinkable! Smite them!
Thank goodness he is honest and not towing the company line. My guess is his 3% down is a little off the mark, I wouldn’t be suprised to be double that.
And what is wrong with renting? I’ve been renting 10 years straight, doing the math I have spent about $100,000 in rent in those years. Considering I couldn’t afford a house until 2008 timeline, it is a safe assumption that anything I would have bought would have lost 50-100k since then, leaving the situation largely a wash. I don’t need to be an “owner” to feel like a real person. And I didn’t run up credit cards keeping up with the yearly fashion trends at the Home Depot.
Given that somebody has to be chief economist at FNM, I’m glad it’s Doug Duncan. He obviously knows how and is unafraid to shoot from the hip.
“The new normal?” Duncan asked in his speech. “This same transition is a return to an old normal, not a new normal.”
“In the near term, there’s a shift to the acceptability of renting,” Duncan said.
Socially, maybe. Financially, not so much. Just give it a couple years while LLs jack up the rent to all those former FBs with FICOs so trashed they are unable to buy and have no choice but to rent. Then they’ll see why renting acquired its stigma in the first place.
Socially, maybe. Financially, not so much. Just give it a couple years while LLs jack up the rent to all those former FBs with FICOs so trashed they are unable to buy and have no choice but to rent. Then they’ll see why renting acquired its stigma in the first place.
”
yea I think you’re right. I have heard the government is selling large amounts of forclosed housing to investment groups. ” Pottersville’s ” with payday loans and cash for gold stores replacing home depots.
brave new world
Nervous buyers
It’s never about affordability or good paying jobs. Buyers are simply “nervous”.
C’mon Lucky Duckies! Do your duty and buy a house!
Yeah…. “nervous buyers”. WTF….. douche bags.
It’s always the buyers….either nervous, unable to get loans, etc. never the sellers who still think it’s 2005.
From the Financial Times: Skills gap hobbles US employers
“Mr Greenblatt’s predicament speaks to one of the biggest economic debates about today’s 8.6 per cent US unemployment rate: is it merely a cyclical problem that will shrink as demand recovers? Or is it something deeper and more structural, a “mismatch” between the skills workers have and those companies need?
The idea there is something structurally wrong with the US workforce is controversial among economists but has a certain resonance with the public. Since the emergence of Japan as a technology and manufacturing powerhouse in the 1970s, Americans have been anxiousthat they were losing their competitive edge to better-educated, harder-working rivals.
US companies that are growing say an unqualified workforce is already a significant barrier to hiring.
In a September poll of owners of fast-growing, privately held US companies undertaken by the non-profit Kauffman Foundation, the inability to find qualified workers was cited as the biggest obstacle to growth. Some 40 per cent of respondents said they were being held back by the skills gap, compared with just 13 per cent by lack of demand.”
“a “mismatch” between the skills workers have and those companies need?”
Yes, indeedy, one of the skills that American workers are sorely lacking is the ability to accept third world wages and working conditions.
If companies cannot find qualified new employees then that makes qualified old employees all the more valuable.
This point seems to be lost on many of my co-workers, old guys that are fed up with the bean-counting and will rush the doors at the slightest incentive.
Wrong thinking, IMO. In this economic environment a job is something one should strive to hang onto.
Most of these guys find themselves in cushy jobs and because of their experience they are valuable assets to the company - and the dues for getting to this point were paid by them a long time ago.
And now that they are all set up to where they need to be what do they do? Why, they chuck it all in.
WEll, when you conisder the fact that most places dont give any more than the bare cost of living increase for raises, and you can switch jobs for a 20% increase for the same work a lot of times, it makes sense.
And now that they are all set up to where they need to be what do they do? Why, they chuck it all in.
You said they were old guys. Maybe if one is “old” and can afford to retire they want to do something else in retirement. This ain’t no dress rehearsal.
Combo, the reality is that you’ve only got so many years of active, pain-free, disability-free retirement. Then it’s all downhill. I see that here on the tennis courts- players (including me) lose a step or two or three, become unable to go after lobs, lose their hard serve, miss a season due to injury. And the ones who were older when we got here no longer come to play.
Almost seven years after fully retiring I still usually have more things I want to do than time to do them all. That’s even when I DON’T spend an hour a day reading and posting here
Only exception- after about the third successive cold, wet, dreary winter day I start to get antsy.
If companies cannot find qualified new employees then that makes qualified old employees all the more valuable.
It doesn’t stop employers from laying them off, sometimes for trivial perfomance issues which could easily be addressed. I’ve seen this happen so many times that it’s not funny.
A dash of reality from the article. Employers want someone else to have spent the time and money to train their employees:
“Technology moves fast and most companies don’t have the money or resources to pay for extensive retraining,” said Sir James Dyson, the British household appliances engineer.
Without in-house training programmes, companies have often been left looking for staff with specific skills. “A generation ago, employers would hire and train employees. Now, they demand trained workers,” says Peter Cappelli, a professor of management at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton business school.
“The skills gap is largely a figment of companies’ imagination,” says Mr Cappelli. “They cannot find workers to do the very specific tasks they want done. That is different from not being able to find capable workers.”
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/6d586922-21f0-11e1-8b93-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1gVxLiscT
I can attest to this. In my former field, chemical job listings were so specific as to think they were written with a particular candidate in mind (many times they were). For example, they would ask for folate separation instead of total synthesis of statin models. There was no such thing as entry level, at all. They would rather poach a 3-5 year person, thus passing off the original entry-level ropes-learning work to another company.
I heard one story where Company A tried to convince Company B to hire someone from another country. The intent was for Company B to do all the expensive visa and residence paperwork. Once the employee was established with a green card, Company A was going to poach with a higher salary. Company B sniffed this out and didn’t hire the guy (they didn’t like him anyway).
Even better, they find the 1 in a thousand candidate and then extend a lowball offer that pays less than the current job and act all surprised when it’s rejected.
It’s happened to me more than once. They call back asking why I declined the offer. When I explain that it’s because it pays less than the current job I even get asked “That’s it?”. But they won’t budge on the offer, which they insist “is market” while they can’t find suitable candidates.
I guess the only “talent” worth retaining (via $$$$) is Wall St. “talent”.
Heard that for years in engineering.
The company would always complain about not finding enough qualified engineers.
I would say “pay more and you will get more.”
“But we are paying market rate already”, was the answer.
“How is it working out”, I would reply.
“But we are paying market rate already”, was the answer.
Yes, the market rate for barely enough barely good enough people. If you want more than that, the market rate is higher.
“Market Rate” is not a “Free Market” rate.
In most cases, it is determined by what their business plan says they can pay.
Back in the old “TQM” days, the aviation OEM I used to work for was having a problem retaining A&Ps, especially the guys they hired as newbies, worked 2-3 years to get experience, then hit the road for greener pastures.
One of my fellow supervisors led a TQM team to find out why. Six months of research found that the company pay (or lack thereof) led people to take jobs that paid more money.
The company’s response was to $hit-can the report, and put the guys who stayed on mandatory overtime/56 hour weeks for 48 out of 52 weeks/year. For 10 years.
So like many other technical/skilled positions, we are at a point where the guys you have been running into the ground for 15 years are in their 50s, and breaking down/retiring, and there are very few late 30s/early 40s guys with 15-20 years experience to take their place. So the slots get filled with 20 something new hires, with zero training and zero experience, and zero “adult supervision” to show them the stuff that isn’t in the manuals/books.
I’ve related some of the stories I’m hearing from my SIL, who is in precisely this position. He’s kinda happy about it. Last week, he worked 23 hours of overtime, changing out an engine that was trashed by a newbie crew chief, who “overtorqued” the engine on a ground run.
Lots of us have been sounding the warning flags for years on this. But what do we know?
A generation ago the army had commercials with the jingle:
“We don’t ask for experience - we give it!”
So I don’t think things have changed that much…
It’s too bad that military experience isn’t considered much of a plus in my field…to the point that in some cases it’s considered a negative. My recruiter never told me about that.
“The skills gap is largely a figment of companies’ imagination,” says Mr Cappelli. “They cannot find workers to do the very specific tasks they want done. That is different from not being able to find capable workers.”
Probably because they are all managers with advanced MBA degrees and have no idea how to do what needs to be done let alone train anybody
The squad is looking for job and facing this very problem. Have master degree and decade plus of other professional experience not directly related to master degree.
Chicken and egg: degree without specific experience = no job. Finishing grad school in December 2008 (700,000+ layoffs per month) didn’t help.
I forget which career you are in. If you have a UNIX and programming background I know that Oracle is hiring a lot of people right now.
Looking for staff accountant or staff auditor gig. All the jobs in metro Denver are either Lucky Ducky wage bookkeeper jobs or minimum 3 to 5 year experience with very specific skill sets.
Meanwhile the squad will continue with government cheese job for Uncle Sugar which although paying reasonably well, does not build aforementioned skill sets…
goon
I took a turn for the better (or so I thought) and went into shopping center management from accounting. I even went to management school specific to the sector. I need a FT gig, and boy has it been a hard one to find. You’re not kidding about micro skill sets.
I don’t like interviewing. HR people are clueless. Those psycholgical tests are ridiculous. I wish they asked pertinent questions. Those that can’t… go into HR.
“Where do you hope to be in 5 years?”
Answer: “In your job. Even my dog could do it.” LOL
And don’t get me started on head hunters. I’d like to hunt of few of theirs. LOL
“a” not “of” editing oops.
So much for SarBox creating demand for accountants.
I’m just loving the commentary here.
Seems that a bunch of other fields are just as screwed up as the one I work in.
The Gators had a bad year but…..
Florida leads country in mortgage fraud cases
By Kimberly Miller Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Posted: 10:44 p.m. Tuesday, Dec. 13, 2011
Florida retained its top ranking in the nation for mortgage fraud litigation through September as millions of dollars in bad boom-time loans continue to be discovered by law enforcement and lenders.
Mortgage Daily founder and publisher Sam Garcia attributed some of today’s fraud cases to a review of loans written during the frenzied ascent to the 2008 real estate crash. Investors continue to pressure banks to buy back mortgages that didn’t meet underwriting standards or were bogus for other reasons, such as falsification of the borrower’s income.
Last year, Bank of America bought back $2.87 billion in bad mortgages from federal mortgage backers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
The buybacks can cause a domino effect, Garcia said, as larger banks turn to loan originators or smaller companies to hold someone accountable.
http://www.palmbeachpost.com/money/real-estate/florida-leads-country-in-mortgage-fraud-cases-2030747.html -
“Florida leads country…”
“We’re Number One!”
The Gators had a bad year but…..
How has the upper-end Gainesville housing market done since about 07-08?
How has the upper-end Gainesville housing market done since about 07-08?
I’m asking because I know someone who bought there then and I told them the risks.
“How has the upper-end Gainesville housing market done since about 07-08?”
Gainesville is a long way from Palm Beach County but if the same thing happened there (which I assume it did) the brakes were slammed on the upper-end and formerly middle class price declines in 2008. Prices don`t drop if they don`t kick anyone out who is not paying and put the houses on the market.
Gainesville is dead. Just like Ocala, the hobby farm weekend business for people from Tampa and Orlando has collapsed. Out of state people aren’t buying - in state people aren’t buying.
Never mind that these “farmers” left their horses to starve.
http://www.ongo.com/v/641810/-1/B041A12D80DCCF55/spanish-horses-left-to-starve-in-wake-of-economic-slump
“such as falsification of the borrower’s income.”
I had no idea they said I made $450k a year on my loan application. I am just an out of work home inspector who through no fault of my own was sold a $500k house in a gated community in 2004 and took out a little of my equity in 2006 so I could build my business.
The numbers are not exactly right but this did happen and the sob story was in the paper and posted here.
“Florida leads country in mortgage fraud cases”
A sunny place for shady borrowers.
“The buybacks can cause a domino effect, Garcia said, as larger banks turn to loan originators or smaller companies to hold someone accountable.”
Hold someone accountable? That`s just crazy talk.
What a surprise.
This past Sunday I flew from Phoenix to Chicago again. Once again, sat beside two Chicago based real estate investors who spent the weekend in the Phoenix area looking for investment properties. I didn’t speak with these guys, but I overheard them talking about being disappointed in not finding anything, because there “are too many damn people down there looking at properties”. Part of me can’t help but feel they missed catching onto a sinking anchor.
Can you guys help me find a funny name for this flight? I was thinking “real estate express” but is “real estate” now synonymous with losses?
“Foreclosure Plane” (similar to “Foreclosure Bus”)
Proof that there is plenty of money floating around, but just concentrated into too few hands.
Exactly.
Throw-back tunes, insert, play: “Do you know the way to $an Jose?”
Do you know the way to San Jose?
I’ve been away so long. I may go wrong and lose my way.
Do you know the way to San Jose?
I’m going back to find some peace of mind in San Jose.
L.A. is a great big freeway.
Put a hundred down and buy a car.
In a week, maybe two, they’ll make you a star
Weeks turn into years. How quick they pass
And all the stars that never were
Are parking cars and pumping gas
You can really breathe in San Jose?
They’ve got a lot of space. There’ll be a place where I can stay
I was born and raised in San Jose
I’m going back to find some peace of mind in San Jose.
Fame and fortune is a magnet.
It can pull you far away from home
With a dream in your heart you’re never alone.
Dreams turn into dust and blow away
And there you are without a friend
You pack your car and ride away
I’ve got lots of friends in San Jose
Do you know the way to San Jose?
Can’t wait to get back to San Jose.
“Snakes on a Plane”
Awesome.
Took the youngest to pick up the Xmas tree at HD monday. Ran into a couple I had not seen in 4 years (big housing will always go up aren`t we brilliant crowd) with their kid that I used to coach in little league who is now ready to go on to college. How have you been blah-blah-blah and where are you living now. I went into the years of renting from DBs and the shadow inventory but all I noticed were the people behind us and their eyes getting wide while they looked at each other, so I knew they were living free. I told our old friends who live in a really nice hood in a really nice house that they probably had at least 3 neighbors who had not paid their mortgage in 3 years, they looked disgusted and said it is awful isn`t it.
Well I looked up my old friend on the county records. I will not post their names.
bought house in 2001
Aug-2001 12828/0580 $260,000 WARRANTY DEED
cash in 2007
Type: MTG
Date/Time: 7/3/2007 14:26:37
CFN: 20070321314
Book Type: O
Book/Page: 21899/722
Consideration: $262,000.00
stopped paying in 6-7 months?
Type: LP
Date/Time: 3/16/2009 13:40:53
CFN: 20090086928
Book Type: O
Book/Page: 23126/1982
Pages: 2
Consideration: $0.00
Party 1: COUNTRYWIDE HOME LOANS INC
Judgement in 2010 and still living in the house
Type: JUD
Date/Time: 4/30/2010 10:07:34
CFN: 20100160322
Book Type: O
Book/Page: 23822/1607
Pages: 4
Consideration: $0.00
Party 1: COUNTRYWIDE HOME LOANS INC
This is a trend I am finding, judgements filed in 08-09-10 with the people still the “owner” still living there or vacant. Can someone put a price on these people living in a house they could never afford since 2001 when both our middle kids were 7 years old and being allowed to have their kids grow up there while mine stayed in a place that was way too small until 2005 and then played musical houses with Deadbeat LLs. Not to mention the $350k advantage they have been given ( $250k cash out and 4 years no house or rent payment) Just doesn’t seem fair.
It’s not fair Jeff. Rest assured that someday the bailout gravy train will end. We’re functionally bankrupt as a nation right now - people like you describe will never learn, and when the next crisis hits they’ll be waiting in line for their handout, which won’t come. I wouldn’t be opposed to a return of debtors prisons.
You do know that debtors prisons mean that the person never pays their debt and never gets out? That it would easily fall under “cruel and unusual” punishment since it is basically a life sentence for not paying a debt. And that in order for it to make any sense at all you would have to eliminate the concept of bankruptcy? If there is a system for eliminating debt, you can’t send people to prison forever for not being able to pay their debt.
“You do know that debtors prisons mean that the person never pays their debt and never gets out?”
How about a debtors Halfway House? That way they can get out of the nice house they are living in and make way for that deserving section 8 family. Meawhile we can all just stay in Renters prison, while the Free sh#t army does Shermans march to the sea and Bernanke saves the banksters of the world. Glory! Glory! Hallelujah! Glory! Glory! Hallelujah! Glory! Glory! Hallelujah! His truth is marching on.
You could always join the “Free $hit Army” if it’s so darn good.
FWIW, I’m seeing more “intersection beggars” than ever. I guess they forgot to sign up for their “free $hit”. They are getting creative. The latest trend is to beg with their dog on a leash (maybe you’ll feel sorry for the dog?). The other day I saw a guy dressed in a Santa suit sitting in a Radio Flyer wagon.
How about a debtors Halfway House?
How about making banks mark the house to market and all this stuff will magically work itself out?
You could always join the “Free $hit Army” if it’s so darn good.
Would you please stop beating this strawman.
No one has said it’s *GOOD*. Simply that it’s wrong, and the free $hit they get is taken from someone else who is likely struggling to make ends meet themselves.
“You could always join the “Free $hit Army” if it’s so darn good.”
Can you turn back the clock to 2005 so I can buy the house of my dreams with no money down, make the neg am payment for a couple of years, take $150k of “my equity” out in 2007 and then live there for free for 4 years? Hell if you can I will buy 3 extra and rent them out for an extra $5k a month tax free income. Private saturday reporting for duty sir.
Can you turn back the clock to 1999 so I can buy webvan/grocery.com
Webvan was an online “credit and delivery” grocery business that went bankrupt in 2001. It was headquartered in Foster City, California, USA, near Silicon Valley. It delivered products to customers’ homes within a 30-minute window of their choosing. At its peak, it offered service in ten U.S. markets: San Francisco Bay Area, Dallas, San Diego, Los Angeles, Chicago, Seattle, Portland, Atlanta, Sacramento, and Orange County. The company had originally hoped to expand to 26 cities.
In June 2008, CNET named Webvan the largest dot-com flop in history, placing it above Pets.com and eight other sites on its list. It is now owned and operated by Amazon.com.
“FWIW, I’m seeing more “intersection beggars” than ever. I guess they forgot to sign up for their “free $hit”. They are getting creative.”
25 Awesome Homeless Guy Signs
http://www.holytaco.com/25-awsome-homeless-guy-signs/ - 330k -
Re: that last guy, IDK there where homeless Mormons?
Webvan was an online “credit and delivery” grocery business that went bankrupt in 2001. It was headquartered in Foster City, California, USA, near Silicon Valley. It delivered products to customers’ homes within a 30-minute window of their choosing. At its peak, it offered service in ten U.S. markets: San Francisco Bay Area, Dallas, San Diego, Los Angeles, Chicago, Seattle, Portland, Atlanta, Sacramento, and Orange County. The company had originally hoped to expand to 26 cities.
In June 2008, CNET named Webvan the largest dot-com flop in history, placing it above Pets.com and eight other sites on its list. It is now owned and operated by Amazon.com.
Fun factoid: Webvan got a good chunk of its startup funding from Louis Borders. Of Borders Books and Music fame.
“No one has said it’s *GOOD*”
Huh? I keep reading here all this ranting about free rent and houses, people on foodstamps buying steak and lobster while yakking on the new iPhone, etc.
Can you turn back the clock to 2005 so I can buy the house of my dreams with no money down, make the neg am payment for a couple of years, take $150k of “my equity” out in 2007 and then live there for free for 4 years?
What can I say? You snooze, you lose.
“Huh? I keep reading here all this ranting about free rent and houses, people on foodstamps buying steak and lobster while yakking on the new iPhone, etc.”
Do people need SNAP? Yes.
Is there a lot of fraud? Yes.
Have I seen people use SNAP cards that need it? Yes.
Have I seen people who use SNAP cards that are comitting fraud? Yes.
Do I even have to say anything about the free rent and houses?
The Food-Stamp Crime Wave
The number of food-stamp recipients has soared to 44 million from 26 million in 2007. Not surprisingly, fraud and abuse are rampant..
JUNE 23, 2011.
By JAMES BOVARD
Millionaires are now legally entitled to collect food stamps as long as they have little or no monthly income. Thirty-five states have abolished asset tests for most food-stamp recipients. These and similar “paperwork reduction” reforms advocated by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) are turning the food-stamp program into a magnet for abuses and absurdities.
The Obama administration is far more enthusiastic about boosting food-stamp enrollment than about preventing fraud. Thanks in part to vigorous federally funded campaigns by nonprofit groups, the government’s AmericaCorps service program, and other organizations urging people to accept government handouts, the number of food-stamp recipients has soared to 44 million from 26 million in 2007, and costs have more than doubled to $77 billion from $33 billion.
The USDA’s Food and Nutrition Service now has only 40 inspectors to oversee almost 200,000 merchants that accept food stamps nationwide. The Government Accountability Office reported last summer that retailers who traffic illegally in food stamps by redeeming stamps for cash or alcohol or other prohibited items “are less likely to face criminal penalties or prosecution” than in earlier years.
Lax attitudes toward fraud are spurring swindles across the nation:
• Earlier this month, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel revealed that Wisconsin food-stamp recipients routinely sell their benefit cards on Facebook. The investigation also found that “nearly 2,000 recipients claimed they lost their card six or more times in 2010 and requested replacements.” USDA rules require that lost cards be speedily replaced. The Wisconsin Policy Research Institute concluded: “Prosecutors have simply stopped prosecuting the vast majority of [food-stamp] fraud cases in virtually all counties, including the one with the most recipients, Milwaukee.”
• Troy Hutson, the chief of Washington state’s food-stamp program, resigned in April after a Seattle television station revealed that some food-stamp recipients were selling their cards on Craigslist or brazenly cashing them out on street corners (for 50 cents on the dollar) and using the proceeds for illegal drugs and prostitution. Washington state Sen. Mike Carrell complained: “Dozens of workers at DSHS [the Department of Social and Health Services] have reported numerous unpunished cases of fraud to me. They have told me that DSHS management has allowed these things to happen, and in some cases actively restricted fraud investigations.”
• Thirty percent of the inmates in the Polk County, Iowa, jail were collecting food stamps that were being sent to their non-jail mailing addresses in 2009. But Iowa could not prosecute them for fraud because the state’s food-stamp form failed to ask applicants whether they were heading for the slammer. Roger Munns, a spokesman for the Iowa Department of Human Services, told the Des Moines Register last year that asking such questions could make food-stamp applications “unwieldy.” (Many states do make such inquiries.)
Looser federal rules are spurring a bureaucratic crime wave. Last December, two veteran employees for New York City’s Human Resources Administration were busted for concocting 1,500 fake food-stamp cases that netted them $8 million. Nine Milwaukee, Wis., staffers plundered almost $300,000 from the program during the last five years, and a Louisiana state bureaucrat pleaded guilty last year for her role in a scam that snared more than $50,000 in fraudulent food-stamp benefits.
The food-stamp poster boy of 2011 is 59-year-old Leroy Fick. After Mr. Fick won a $2 million lottery jackpot, the Michigan Department of Human Services ruled he could continue receiving food stamps. The Detroit News explained: “If Fick had chosen to accept monthly payments of his jackpot, the winnings would be considered income, according to the DHS. But by choosing to accept a lump sum payment, the winnings were considered ‘assets’ and aren’t counted in determining food stamp eligibility.”
But the Obama administration doesn’t deserve all the blame. Food-stamp enrollment surged before Mr. Obama took office. The number of food-stamp recipients on George W. Bush’s watch rose by more than 50%, even before the recession hit in 2007. As Slate reporter Annie Lowrey wrote for the online magazine last December, President Bush and his food-stamp chief Eric Bost “went on a quiet crusade to expand eligibility, increase enrollment, and reduce stigma around nutrition aid.”
H.L. Mencken quipped that the New Deal divided America into “those who work for a living and those who vote for a living.” The explosion in the number of food-stamp recipients tilts the political playing field in favor of big government. The more people who become government dependents, the more likely that democracy will become a conspiracy against self-reliance.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304657804576401412033504294.html - 179k
“What can I say? You snooze, you lose.”
You mean…
Live within your means and responsibly, you lose.
Agree with no debtor prisons. Instead, there should not be debt forgiveness for the mortgage that is not handled through bankruptcy court. 1099 for the bank writeoff, no exceptions. With no consequences, debtor has nothing to really lose.
How about making banks mark the house to market and all this stuff will magically work itself out?
It really is that simple. Thank you.
Someting is definitely rotten in Florida:
http://www.tampabay.com/news/business/realestate/floridas-soaring-mortgage-payment-default-rate-tops-national-average/1199968
A new report from Jacksonville-based LPS Applied Analytics found that as of September, 56 percent of Florida’s mortgages in foreclosure are 24 months or more behind in payments, compared with 39 percent nationwide.
About 84 percent of Florida foreclosures are more than 18 months in arrears.
No I understand why you keep meeting non payers.
Last month, Bank of America quietly began a Florida-only campaign that gives homeowners up to $20,000 for a short sale rather than letting their homes linger.
I wonder how many will take the bait? I also wonder what BofA (and other lenders) will do with the inventory once it’s back in their posession. Fire sale prices will bring down comps even more, fanning the flames of the “rent free” crowd.
It isn’t fair.
But I will put money/beer on the kids that turn out right…
Can someone put a price on these people living in a house they could never afford since 2001 when both our middle kids were 7 years old and being allowed to have their kids grow up there while mine stayed in a place that was way too small until 2005 and then played musical houses with Deadbeat LLs. Not to mention the $350k advantage they have been given ( $250k cash out and 4 years no house or rent payment) Just doesn’t seem fair.
http://chinageeks.org/2011/12/the-siege-of-wukan/
The heroic people of Wukan, China, have risen up against their overlords, sending corrupt officials scurrying. Local Communist Pary hacks working in league with developers had been stealing villagers land and most recently jailed, then killed village elders who rallied the people against TPTB.
Look upon your betters, Obama Zombies and McCain Mutants. These courageous people, unlike you, have said ENOUGH! to corruption, crony capitalism, and arbitrary abuses from those in authority.
For their efforts to establish basic human freedoms, federal authorities are likely to soon crush them.
And not with pepper spray either.
When faced with starvation and the theft of all that you own bullets tanks and certainly pepper spray don’t hold the power they once did.
Mud-Turtle-tail-wag 2,500+ years ago
Chapter: Seventy-five
Why are the people starving?
Because the rulers eat up the money in taxes.
Therefore the people are starving.
Why are the people rebellious?
Because the rulers interfere too much.
Therefore they are rebellious.
Why do the people think so little of death?
Because the rulers demand too much of life.
Therefore the people take death lightly.
Having little to live on, one knows better than to value life too much.
“Obama Zombies and McCain Mutants.”
Dude you are hilarious….. each post is great. Stay on’em.
Thanks, RAL, and I’ll keep givin’ em what for.
CSM headline,
“Ron Paul closes on Newt Gingrich: In time to win Iowa?”
…Republican presidential hopeful Ron Paul declared Wednesday his campaign was “peaking at the right time” as polls show him closing in on the two perceived front-runners.
…Public Policy Polling released a survey Tuesday showing him one percentage point behind Gingrich for the lead in Iowa.
Paul took 21 percent in the survey compared to 22 percent for Gingrich with Romney third at 16 percent.
http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Latest-News-Wires/2011/1214/Ron-Paul-closes-on-Newt-Gingrich-In-time-to-win-Iowa
http://money.cnn.com/2011/12/13/real_estate/home_sales_revision/index.htm?hpt=hp_c1
Larry “Baghdad Bob” Yun of the NAR admits far fewer homes have been sold since 2007 than NAR figures had stated. Surprise, surprise.
(Fun)Yun The Filthy Liar.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-14/bernanke-signals-risks-from-europe-crisis-keep-fed-ready-for-more-easing.html
Get ready for more Fed money-printing and shifting of bankers’ toxic-waste liabilities onto the public books.
Thank you, Obama voters. Thank you, McCain voters.
“Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke signaled he’s concerned Europe’s crisis will hobble a 2 1/2-year U.S. expansion that may need another boost from the central bank.”
Glory! Glory! Hallelujah! Glory! Glory! Hallelujah! Glory! Glory! Hallelujah! His truth is marching on.
If a person with anorexia gains a half pound, is that considered an expansion? If you spent, borrowed or printed 7 trillion $ to gain that half a pound, was it worth it?
How about McConnell voters?
What`s Bernanke gonna do all his printing doesn`t work, ketchup and mustard in the same bottle?
Kramer: Whew. You know Darren, if you would have told me twenty-five years ago that some day I’d be standing here about to solve the worlds energy problems, I would’ve said you’re crazy… Now let’s push this giant ball of oil out the window.
Kramer: Bombs away (Uh oh).
Jerry: This is going to be a shame.
(SPLAT!)
George: Hello.
Kramer: Well, that didn’t work. Hey, how about this…ketchup and mustard in the same bottle?
Darren: Oh that sounds interesting sir.
Kramer: Yeah.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZwI0S8bBWA - 80k -
That’s because all of his printing is going to a very small # of hands. The middle class is still dieing, and the elite won’t realize there’s a problem until it’s to late. You can’t take your wealth to the grave especially when it’s in flames and being plundered by starving hoards of people.
and the elite won’t realize there’s a problem until it’s to late
History repeats itself. Maybe future generations will say things like “Leona Helmsley didn’t get it either”.
“Leona Helmsley didn’t get it either”.
Trouble is, her dog did!
(There are examples , rare though they be, that the “trickle down” theory has some $ucce$$.) ;-/
The dog was blind and stricken with health issues before her death. Her caretaker, Carl Lekic spent $100,000 annually on her care — including $8,000 for grooming and $1,200 for dog food.
Trouble, who had faced 20 to 30 death and kidnapping threats, also retained a full-time security guard, according to news reports.
The will also stipulated that when the Maltese went to the big kennel in the sky, she would lie beside her in the 12,000-square-foot Helmsley family mausoleum in Sleepy Hollow Cemetery in Westchester County, N.Y.
The dirt-hating Helmsley ordered that the mausoleum be “washed or steam-cleaned at least once a year,” for which she left $3 million.
Funds held in the dog’s trust will revert to the Helmsley family trust, which supports charities, she said.
Occupy’s port shutdowns disrupt 10 cities
Written by Matthew T. Hall
8:34 p.m., Dec. 12, 2011
Occupy protesters temporarily shut down portions of some of the nation’s busiest ports Monday as part of a coordinated effort to disrupt commerce in 10 cities from San Diego to Anchorage, Alaska.
No more than a handful of arrests were reported at each site as demonstrators tried to tap into the anger over corporate greed that led 10,000 Occupy Oakland supporters to shut down that city’s port 40 days ago.
There were no immediate estimates for how much money, if any, the corporations who run the docks might have lost in busy ports such as Oakland; Portland, Ore.; and Longview, Wash. The economic hit didn’t seem significant in San Diego, where about 100 demonstrators gathered, or in Anchorage, where 16 took to the streets.
Oakland protesters coalesced in the greatest numbers Monday night, when Scott Olsen, the Marine Corps veteran who was struck in the head during a clash between police and Occupy Oakland protests in October, led nearly 1,000 people marching to the Port of Oakland.
…
Egg, meet omelette.
You should have heard the consternation and much gnashing of teeth on the neocon talk radio stations in my town.
You should have heard the consternation and much gnashing of teeth on the neocon talk radio stations in my town.
What was their angle? (thanks for the internet answer yesterday)
Their take was… wait for… wait for it… OWS is nothing but dirty hippies who need to get jobs.
I swear it was the 60s all over again… and the neocons were wrong then as well.
Never mind the fact that hippies haven’t exists for 30 years and many of the OWS protestors Do have jobs. Good jobs at that.
So you listen to neocon talk radio?
On my local AM, there are only 4 choices: neocon talk, sports, immigrant and religious.
Out of those, neocon talk is the only one that really offers anything I need: to know what the pyschopaths are up to.
FM? Bubble gum and oldies.
Arizona Slim would like to rescue turkey lurkey from Lame Radio Land by recommending KXCI Community Radio here in Tucson. You can listen online.
China makes growth guarantee against grim global economy
By Koh Gui Qing and Zhou Xin
BEIJING | Wed Dec 14, 2011 5:35am EST
(Reuters) - China pledged to guarantee growth in the face of an “extremely grim” outlook for the global economy in 2012, rounding off its annual policy-setting conference on Wednesday with a series of commitments to deliver economic stability.
Laying out a blueprint for the world’s second-biggest economy in the year ahead, Beijing promised to keep monetary policy “prudent,” fiscal policy “pro-active” and consumer prices stable — language broadly in line with previous commitments.
Economists said the rhetoric suggested Beijing preferred to only fine-tune economic policies, rather than swing into an outright monetary easing mode to shore up growth, which is expected by many analysts to slip below 9 percent next year for the first time in over a decade.
…
Ah, the paradox of capitalism. The world is awash in goods and services and no one seems to have the financial resources to pay for them.
We are surrounded by historically unprecedented plenty and yet the world is not only poor, it’s facing a crisis not seen in 80 years.
Once upon a time a crisis typically implied scarcity: famine, a lacl of goods to purchase, etc.
Today the stores are bursting at the seams. The newpapers are full of ads, begging for buyers, but few are to be found. Wealth is being created in unprecedented numbers as factories continue to crank out goods but in a paradox those that create said wealth cannot consume it.
Marie Antoinette didn’t get it either.
She got it eventually… IN THE NECK
TODAY’S MARKETS
DECEMBER 14, 2011, 9:04 A.M. ET
U.S. Futures Tilt Lower
By JONATHAN CHENG And TOMI KILGORE
U.S. stock futures slipped as the euro currency’s drop below $1.30 and rising borrowing costs for Italy kept investor anxiety levels elevated.
Less than an hour before the opening bell, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures had edged down 21 points, or 0.2%, to 11874, giving up early gains. Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index futures eased one point, or 0.1%, to 1219 and Nasdaq 100 futures shed seven points, or 0.3%, to 2261.
Data on import and export prices in November showed relatively muted signs of inflation, with import prices ticking up 0.7%, a touch lower than expectations for a 1.1% gain.
Prior to the data, Dow futures had lost 23 points, S&P 500 futures had slipped two points and Nasdaq futures had given up eight points. Changes in stock futures don’t always accurately predict stock moves after the opening bell.
European markets were broadly lower, with the Stoxx Europe 600 losing 0.8%. The euro fell below $1.30 for the first time since January, as sentiment toward the Europe’s single currency soured after German Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Tuesday she opposed raising the lending limit for the euro-zone bailout fund. The euro has fallen nearly 3% from levels seen in U.S. trading late Friday.
Separately, Italy sold the maximum targeted amount of five-year bonds, but was forced to pay a euro-era high average yield of 6.47% to do so, above the 6.29% paid at the previous auction last month.
…
Commodities fell, heading for the biggest drop in almost four weeks, as concerns intensified that European leaders will struggle to contain the region’s debt crisis.
The Standard & Poor’s GSCI index of 24 raw materials declined 2.3 percent to 633.17 at 9:55 a.m. New York time, led by precious and industrial metals. A close at that level would mark the biggest drop since Nov. 17. Before today, the measure tumbled 15 percent from a 32-month high of 762.22 in April.
I love the smell of deflation in the morning.
The middle class is dieing in Europe and the US, the growing middle class in China (really rising from dirt poor to poor) was dependent on spending from the US and Europe. Until we find a way of pumping up the middle class and making people feel secure in their job and future you can expect more of this downard trend.
measton
If you get a chance go back aand check out my splenation of the skill level in the NFL in yesterdays Bits.
If you make it to the NFL you got skills.
No one is denying that the NFL gets the elite of the college player manufacturing machine, which is a sweet deal for the NFL as they don’t need to invest a penny in player development as is done in many other sports. The closest thing the NFL has to a minor league is the CFL. David Beckham was signed by Manchester United at age 14, years before he set foot in a match for the team.
Anyway, just saying that Timmy doesn’t strike me as a great QB. He’s a mediocre passer.
I will concede that he is a great motivator, and maybe that’s what the Broncos need at this time (that and good players). But if you ask me its the Bronco’s D that has been winning most of the games.
If they beat New England this Sunday, and not from serendipitous turnovers, then I wil change my tune.
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-12-13 19:26:32
Lets look at it this way. There are 1.2 million kids that play high school football every year. About 30,000 play college football every year (less on scholarship)
Current Number of Players on NFL Roster
32 teams x 53-man roster = 1,696 players
1.2 million players down to 1,696 players
If you make it to the NFL you got skills.
Comment by measton
2011-12-13 20:14:29
The BoZ and Tony Mandrich might poke a few holes in that statement.
Comment by jeff saturday
2011-12-14 05:09:15
“The BoZ and Tony Mandrich might poke a few holes in that statement.”
So does JaMarcus Russell and Ryan Leaf. But they still made it from 1.2 million to 1,696. They both had skill, the problem is when a QB gets to the NFL skill (throwing a football 80 yards) is not enough.
As far as the BoZ and Tony Mandrich go, they both played in the NFL but not at the level expected. Bozworth played pretty well for the Seahawks but is remembered for getting trucked by Bo Jackson. Tony Mandrich deflated when he came off the roids but did come back and start for the Colts in Peyton Manning`s 1st or 2nd season.
When it comes to this subject I remeber a comedian (I don`t know if it was a movie or what) who said….
I was a great hockey player! I was just bad compared to other profesional hockey players.
I just meant that it isn’t just hard work and talent that get people into the NFL, for some it’s performance enhancing drugs.
Anyway, just saying that Timmy doesn’t strike me as a great QB. He’s a mediocre passer.
Agreed. In the NFL, your passing had better be excellent. Nothing less will cut it.
Any thoughts on why gold went down so much?
Precious metals, particularly gold are a play AGAINST the Dollar.
Nothing more. They are a bet the US Dollar will fall. With the events in Europe, the Dollar is seen as a “safer haven”.
Whatever pumps up the Dollar will devalue GOLD.
The change in value of the dollar as an explanation makes great sense when the value of everything but $$$s moves in parallel against the dollar. That is easy to recognize.
But in this case, gold moved about twice as much as equities.
The portion that is due to dollar strengthening I get; the other portion, I do not.
BTW, the “twice as much” was from a glance earlier in the AM, when I first posted the question.
It’s far more of a difference now; the ratio is closer to eight times.
Something different than change in the value of the dollar is definitely afoot.
Deflation?
Dollar is up and ALL commodities are falling with china imploding…
How is that decoupling theory holding up these days?
China Economy Faces Rising Risk Of “Substantive Slowdown”: Conference Board
12/14/2011 12:13 AM ET
(RTTNews) - The risk that the Chinese economy may be subjected to a marked slowdown in the coming months is rising amid deteriorating external conditions, the Conference Board warned Tuesday while releasing its leading indicator for the economy.
The Conference Board said that its leading economic index decreased 0.1 percent in October to 160.1, following a 0.4 percent increase in September and a 0.6 percent rise in August.
Three of the six components contributed positively to the index in October. Consumer expectations continued to decline, and the manufacturing and export indicators also contributed to the slight drop in the index in October.
“The risk of a more substantive slowdown in China’s economic growth than anticipated so far is rising amid deteriorating external conditions and domestic real estate tightening,” Conference Board China Center resident economist Andrew Polk said.
…
Any thoughts on why gold went down so much?
The technical explanation is that precious metals freak-out every once in awhile to the downside. This causes the “weak-hands” (short-term speculators) to freak-out even more and sell in a panic which freaks out the PM’s even more to the downside.
There has been some serious technical damage done on the 1 and 5 year gold charts. Serious yes. Critical? IDK.
Flip side of a parabolic price run up at the end of a bubble?
I’m wondering about that explanation myself, PB…
It remains to be seen whether it will go down enough for that to seem like a rational explanation in hindsight, though.
trading is down as well as profits that’s too bad
“If Dick Bove wasn’t already the most polarizing analyst in the Financial sector, this just might clinch it.
The Rochdale Securities bank analyst just slashed his fourth quarter EPS estimate for Goldman Sachs (GS) by 66% to $0.79. That’s a full 70% below the current FactSet consensus of $2.61 a share, and comes at a time when shares of Goldman are down more than 40% for the year.
“It just doesn’t look like there is enough business out there to allow Goldman to come anywhere close to where street consensus estimates are for the company,” Bove says in the attached video.
As he sees, almost everything is going poorly for the investment banks, and not just Goldman Sachs. In fact, he took his clever to Morgan Stanley’s (MS) Q4 estimates last week to the tune of 50% on the assumption that the fourth quarter is turning out to be worse than Q3.
Wall Street has been lowering earnings estimates as faith in Q4 is diminishing. But Bove has moved from slightly below consensus to an outlier with this move. According to FactSet, the consensus for Goldman’s Q4 20011 EPS was $6.00 a year ago.
“Trading activity has slowed down dramatically, there’s been a big drop in investment banking activity,” Bove explains. “Mergers and acquisitions are down 10-15%, new equity offerings are down 15%, trading in things like governments and agenices have fallen off dramatically, trading in commodities is way down.”
The only signs of hope he sees right now are ”fairly decent” results in high yield and some mortgage backed sectors. And while Bove’s dramatic earnings revision may be the first, he says it won’t be the last.
“The standard practice on the part of most analysts is to wait for the last week of the quarter and then adjust their estimates,” he says. “So my assumption is, when we get to the last week of the quarter, between Christmas and New Years, you’ll see the numbers coming down very dramatically.”
Once we get back from the holidays and earnings season gets underway, he says “a large number of companies are going to see a very poor showing this quarter in capital markets.” He has JP Morgan (JPM) and Credit Suisse (CS) at the top of his earnings disaster list.
“There just has to be more trading activity. People don’t want to trade. They’re afraid of the markets. Hedge funds are pulling back and are not aggressively in to the market,” he warns.
Is he right? Are estimates for Banks and Financials way too high?
As he sees, almost everything is going poorly for the investment banks, and not just Goldman Sachs. ………….warming up for more give-away programs from the FEDERAL RESERVE Private Banking System, to be paid by …….taxpayers.
By the way, have you noticed that GOLDMAN is running TV ads about how important they are in providing financing to up-and -coming business ventures…upstart companies that become major world changers. It’s PURE propaganda to boost their image so they can steal more money from us.
They haven’t provided “capital” to business ventures. They created the DOT com bubble by issuing IPO’s for every lunatic company with a .COM logo. Drained the American Public of hundreds of Billions of dollars.
Did that benefit America? NO. They are just a TRADING PLATFORM, and they trade their own book, not their customers, with HIGH-leverage octane, providing no service, but skimming massive profits from paper trades. When the leverage goes against them, the become a “commercial bank” to get free FED Money.
It is as crooked as the day is long on the North Pole in Summertime.
There are no bigger crooks in the World. So. Now. The Salespitch.
Goldman SAchs…….creators of world prosperity and supporters of the American Dream. They can’t be allowed to fail. They can’t be prosecuted and jailed. They can’t be broken up and sold off. NO.
They are Gods. All Hail Goldman=Sachs!!!
Oh, and to answer your original question, the Banks are INSOLVENT.
What does that make them worth? Without the phoney accounting to allow them to call loses profits, they would be de-listed and liquidated.
Thank Ben Shalom Bernanke for his handling of the “crises” to keep them alive with your money.
Thank Ben Shalom Bernanke for his handling of the “crises” to keep them alive with your money.
And your point of including Dr. Bernanke’s middle name is? To emphasize how Jewish he is?
C’mon dude, don’t go down that road.
Saw an interesting stat just now:
CA and TX both added approximately 250,000 nonfarm jobs in the 12 months ending September 2011.
Percentage of jobs with wages over $50k in CA: 78%
Percentage of jobs with wages over $50k in TX: 47%
TX is building off of a smaller base, so their 250k jobs is more meaningful relative to their population, and their cost of living is lower, so it’s not a perfect comparison.
That said, I was surprised that CA had such a high percentage over $50k.
California also has some of the highest taxes in the USA (to include a state income tax approaching 10%)
Texas - much lower taxes with no state income tax
It is not what you earn - it is what you take home…
I’m hoping that collapses of large futures brokers don’t occur for the next few days; I have an ACH transfer that should go out today (from emptying my futures account), and I’d like it to be all settled and in my NCUA-protected credit union account before anyone goes bust…
Why buy gold today when you can buy later for 80% less?
I have been north of 2 weeks without power, anywhere to buy gas or restocked grocery stores after a hurricane a couple of times. I don`t remember anyone asking anyone…. You got any gold? Food, water, toilet paper or gasoline yes. Can I put something in your refrigerator since you have a generator? Yes. I was able to give people these things because I had them but nobody asked me for gold. Good thing because I didn`t have any.
Yesterday self-described “policy expert,” Robert Reich, published a criticism of Newt Gingrich’s proposed tax policy on his blog. Yes, Newt’s plan borders on the criminal, but it concerns me that the “experts” guiding our public policy are so oblivious.
Here’s what he wrote:
“Newt Gingrich has done it again. With his new tax plan he has raised the bar from irresponsibility to recklessness… Imagine what Standard & Poor’s or Moody’s or Fitch would do if it became law. We’d go directly from a triple-A credit rating to triple X….”
Perhaps the ex Secretary of Labor (and Berkeley professor) has forgotten about that little kerfuffle last August when Standard and Poor knocked US down to AA+? (Or was it reinstated while I wasn’t paying attention in class?)
Perhaps the ex Secretary of Labor (and Berkeley professor) has forgotten about that little kerfuffle last August when Standard and Poor knocked US down to AA+? (Or was it reinstated while I wasn’t paying attention in class?)
He addressed this topic on his blog. Here’s the post.
China slaps tarriffs on cars imported from the USA
http://money.cnn.com/2011/12/14/news/international/china_autos/index.htm?iid=HP_LN
Why is it OK for China to practice protectionism, but it’s wrong when we do it?
China announced plans to impose anti-dumping duties on some vehicles imported from the U.S. after failing to block a U.S. tariff on Chinese tires.
Punitive duties will be as high as 12.9 percent for autos from General Motors Co. (GM) and 8.8 percent for Chrysler Group LLC, China’s commerce ministry said today on its website. The U.S. units of Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (BMW) and Daimler AG (DAI) will face duties of 2 percent and 2.7 percent respectively, it said.
Juergen Pieper, a Frankfurt-based analyst with Bankhaus Metzler. “The automobile industry is very dependent on China for growth, and there’s doubts about the pace of future expansion.”
Auto sales in China are rising at the slowest pace in 13 years, putting pressure on local Chinese producers to consolidate as GM and other foreign carmakers post gains.
Bloomberg news
But I thought the chinese customer was going to save the world. Apparently sales of Chinese branded cars are down, so time to squeeze out the competition from abroad.
The US is looking at tariffs on Chinese solar panels.
More to come in my opinion.
I went through Zillow listings for Asheville, NC and there are a couple of houses for about 20,000. They look like ordinary houses on outside but they are stripped inside. No kitchen applicances.
I also found some lots on Lake Lure for less than $5,000. I plan to call that Homeowners Association to see what the dues are per month.
I have been waiting for prices to drop for some time and my guess is that it was the failure of a bank in Asheville that finally causes these properties to be released for sale.
I hike alot and want a place up in the mountains.
Regulation we don’t need no stink’n regulation
Customers still have no explanation of what happened to MF Global and some $1 billion missing from its customer accounts more than a month after the firm’s failure.
That’s in part because over the past decade, as trading volume soared, federal regulators eased direct oversight of the industry and handed more regulatory powers to the major exchanges. Now, this self-policing arrangement is prompting concerns
Even the industry itself is acknowledging that there will need to be some changes. While defending the self-regulatory system, Dan Roth, president of the National Futures Association, said “we should be able to identify certain frailties of the current structure that will need to be addressed.”
THE FUTURES POLICE
Self-regulation is the hallmark of the U.S. futures industry. Proponents argue that by placing oversight in the hands of the people who really understand the industry, the system benefits everyone. Critics point to the recent transformation of the exchange business, away from a non-profit cooperative model, as a reason the exchanges’ commercial interests are overshadowing their market-oversight role.
Though it dates back to the middle of the 19th century, the self-regulatory nature of trading futures got a boost in 2000 with the passage of the Commodity Futures Modernization Act. The main thrust of the bill, signed into law by Bill Clinton in the waning days of his presidency, was to exempt the rapidly growing market for certain types of financial and energy derivatives and swaps from federal futures regulation.
The law was lobbied heavily by the financial industry, which argued that too many rules were hindering financial innovation and economic growth. But it became an easy target after the 2008 financial crisis, in which these types of complex financial products played a role. So lawmakers passed the Dodd-Frank financial-reform law, which pulled the swaps back under the federal regulatory umbrella and instructed the CFTC to write new rules to govern them.
Another, less-discussed, purpose of the 2000 deregulation effort was to limit the prescriptive powers of the CFTC and to give more freedom to the exchanges to set their own rules. The goal was “to provide regulatory relief to futures and options exchanges,” James Newsome, who was the agency’s chairman in 2001, said at the time. The overall U.S. futures and options industry grew nearly five-fold between 2000 and 2010 when 7.12 billion futures and options contracts were traded, according to Futures Industry Association.
Just as futures trading was exploding in volume, the federal agency was taking a step back from direct oversight of the markets both because of the 2000 deregulation and because of agency understaffing. For instance, when the CFTC in 2003 went after a futures trader allegedly operating a foreign currency boiler room, a court told the agency it had no jurisdiction.
Even in areas where the federal agency retained jurisdiction, direct oversight of the markets rested with the futures exchanges themselves. And those exchanges began ripping up their century-old business models and consolidating rapidly.
Ever since a group of brokers formed the Chicago Board of Trade in 1848, the exchange industry was organized into nonprofit cooperatives of brokers setting their own rules.
Technological and competitive pressures began building on the exchanges that forced more change. In 2000, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange shed its old cooperative structure and soon went public. It later bought the Chicago Board of Trade. And then the newly formed CME Group Inc. acquired the owner of New York’s mercantile and commodities exchanges. That made CME Group a dominant U.S. exchange, and one of the largest in the world.
OVERSIGHT STAFF CUTS FLAGGED
A
FINES A SLAP ON THE WRIST
In their recent audits, federal regulators also said that fine amounts for some types of trading-related violations “may be low enough that traders could view them as merely a cost of doing business.” The regulators urged the CME Group to have a fine schedule that would penalize repeat offenders with progressively higher fines. The issue has prompted federal regulators to step in with their own penalties in cases where they thought the CME was merely slapping traders on the wrist.
Consider the track record of Edward Sarvey and David Sklena, two longtime Chicago Board of Trade brokers who traded U.S. government debt. By 2004, Sarvey had already drawn five penalties for trading violations, with exchange fines ranging from $100 to $25,000 and short bans from the trading floor. Sklena had been sanctioned twice, according to records from the National Futures Association.
In 2004, the two traders engaged in what amounted to insider trading on futures pegged to five-year Treasury notes, according to court documents. The trades netted Sarvey $357,000, while Sklena earned $1.65 million in a single morning. Their customers lost about $2 million, court documents say.
In 2007, the Chicago exchange fined Sarvey and Sklena $125,000 and $175,000 respectively, and banned them from trading for about two months. But federal regulators deemed the penalties insufficient and brought their own civil case against the pair in 2008. That complaint morphed into a federal criminal indictment. Sklena was found guilty of fraud last year and sentenced to five years in prison. Sarvey died before the trial. His former lawyer, John Legutki, says he is “surprised and saddened” by the escalation of the case from “relatively minor” exchange penalties to a full-blown criminal prosecution. “This all weighed on him very heavily,” he says of Sarvey.
The case also weighed on federal futures regulators who say it is indicative of soft exchange penalties that fail to deter unscrupulous brokers. “It is not an isolated case,” a CFTC official told Reuters. The agency declined to provide numbers on how many times it intervened to correct what it thought were insufficient exchange sanctions.
“DON’T FIX WHAT AIN’T BROKE”
For its part, CME argues it has an obvious self-interest in policing its trading floors because if traders lose faith in the integrity of the exchange, ]
Ted Butler, a veteran silver trader, has been pushing Comex, the New York metals exchange owned by CME Group, to investigate allegations of price manipulation on the silver futures market by a handful of large brokerages. But, he says, the exchange hasn’t shown much interest. “It is a continuing mystery how the conflicted CME could be responsible for any regulatory oversight given their inherent clear conflict of interest,” Butler, who himself had drawn a CFTC sanction in the 1980s, wrote in a recent newsletter.
CME SIDING WITH BUSINESS
In a rapidly growing futures industry, CME Group often has to wade into policy debates between federal regulators and the businesses they oversee. In several of those debates, CME sided with the firms in opposing disclosure rules and trading curbs that could cut into those firms’, and the CME’s, bottom line.
The CME, for instance, opposed registration requirements for high-frequency traders. CFTC officials hoped the registration would force the traders, some based overseas, to disclose more about themselves and their trading software, and allow regulators to step in quickly in case of trouble that was seen in the so-called “flash crash” of 2010.
Because of the sheer volume and the number of transactions, high-frequency traders provide an attractive business to the exchange. CME Group balked at efforts to saddle them with additional requirements. A CME official says there’s no uniform definition of what constitutes high-frequency trading, and that CME’s internal systems already provide the exchange with “incredibly granular information that allows us to look at trading activity.”
Last year, for instance, CME Group fined a high-frequency trader called Infinium Capital Management $850,000 for glitches in its algorithm that unleashed rapid-fire trading orders and caused a brief spike in oil prices.
UNDERFUNDING OVERSIGHT
Over the past decade, the federal agency has tried to address potential conflicts of interest within the exchanges by insisting they appoint independent directors to their boards and increase the funding and independence of their regulatory oversight committees.
“There was a concern about underfunding the regulatory function of the exchange,” recalls Sharon Brown-Hruska who served as a CFTC commissioner between 2002 and 2006. Major exchanges going public only heightened concerns about self-regulation, she says.
CME Group, and other exchange operators, resisted what they saw as the federal agency’s unwarranted meddling. But the CFTC prevailed and decreed the exchange boards should be more than one-third independent and that regulatory oversight committees should be properly funded.
Ever since the passage of the Dodd-Frank law, the CFTC has been consumed with writing new rules to prevent future abuses in the derivatives industry. As a result, the resources the agency can devote to enforcing the existing rules may have suffered.
“Unfortunately, in response to the financial crisis, the CFTC has been off on a series of tangents, proposing one regulation after another,” Senator Pat Roberts, a Republican, said at a recent hearing. “Meanwhile, back at the ranch for the first time ever, we have a major problem.
The agency says it is being asked to effectively walk and chew gum at the same time, in an era when Congress is in no mood to increase the size of the federal government. CFTC now has about 700 employees, a 10% increase since the 1990s. In the same time period, the futures market has grown five-fold, CFTC Chairman Gary Gensler said in recent congressional testimony.
Two weeks after MF Global’s bankruptcy, Congress denied the Obama administration’s request for a CFTC budget increase despite the agency’s insistence that it needs more money to do its job. “The CFTC just doesn’t have the staffing and the resources to audit the brokerages,” says a former senior agency official.
That means the CFTC will likely continue to rely on the exchanges to police themselves, although the agency may choose to take a closer look at the markets in some cases. Shortly after the MF Global bankruptcy, for instance, federal regulators said they would conduct a review of the major futures brokerages to make sure their customer accounts are intact.
finance.yahoo.com/news/insight-mf-global-puts-harsh-185030203.html
History shows this works great.
All you need to know about regulation:
Jon Corzine — the prominent Democrat politician who served as New Jersey governor and senator before moving on to head MF Global Holdings Ltd the “leading cash and derivatives broker-dealer” from which he managed to misplace $1.2 billion — was among the supporters of the intrusive Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 which promised an end to greedy corporate skullduggery.
Study: Number of U.S. married couples at record low
December 14th, 2011
05:00 PM ET
The number of married couples in the United States is at a record low, according to the latest figures from the Pew Research Center.
Numbers released Wednesday show 51% of American adults are married, a 5% drop from the previous year. The median age that people get married has risen to 26.5 years for brides and 28.7 for grooms.
…
Marriage has become a liability for many.
Not everyone wants to be a sucker for the Marriage-Industrial-Complex, often a component of the REIC…
Date: Wed, 14 Dec 2011 11:06:34 -0800
The Supreme Court has ruled that there cannot be a Nativity Scene in the United States ‘ Capital this Christmas season.
This isn’t for any religious reason. They simply have not been able to find Three Wise Men in the Nation’s Capitol.
The search for a Virgin continues.
There was no problem, however, finding enough asses to fill the stable.
I hadn’t heard that one before :-).
This HAS to be a metaphor for something here
Thousands of Migrating Birds Crash Land in Utah
…”“You’ve got the cloud cover, the lights of the city coming up, the snow on the ground, everything smooths it out and it looks like a lake to them.”
http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/headlines/2011/12/thousands-of-migrating-birds-crash-land-in-utah/
No soft landing there either, huh.
What do those birds expect when they try to land with non-union air traffic controllers? And we know how Walmart hates unions.
It’s perfect that chose Walmart, but don’t most of the birds just kind of play “follow the leader” right down?
Six (x6) Walton$ Have More Wealth Than the Bottom 30 % of Americans.
The $uffering $o’s, hurry, hurry, hurry,…help ‘em!
They might
fall downbe hit with higher taxe$ and won’t be able to get up!lil Opie, it’s 2011, where.is.the.damn.non-Hawaiian.birth.certificate!!!!!!!!
Obama marking end of Iraq war
APBy ERICA WERNER | AP – 5 hrs ago
FORT BRAGG, North Carolina (AP) — President Barack Obama saluted troops returning from Iraq Wednesday, declaring that the nearly nine-year conflict is ending honorably, “not with a final battle, but with a final march toward home.”
All U.S. troops are to be out of Iraq Dec. 31, though Obama has pledged the U.S. will continue civilian assistance for Iraq as it faces an uncertain future in a volatile region of the world. Even as majorities in the U.S. public favor ending the war, some Republicans have criticized Obama’s withdrawal, arguing he’s leaving behind an unstable Iraq that could hurt U.S. interests and fall subject to influence from neighboring Iran.
CNNMoney Reports
Investor$ flip farmland for ca$h, not crop$:
http://money.cnn.com/video/news/2011/12/13/n_flipping_farmland_for_cash.cnnmoney/?source=cnn_bin
Have we entered the combotechie zone?
Gold’s Drop With Stocks Points to Deflation
Dec. 13, 2011
Gold futures have fallen 5% this month, tracking a stock selloff and losing their safe-haven allure. MarketWatch columnist Mark Hulbert talks about what the metal’s drop says about investor pessimism. Laura Mandaro reports.
Is anyone still talking about decoupling these days?
ASIA MARKETS
DECEMBER 15, 2011, 12:23 A.M. ET
Asian Shares Tumble
By WEI-ZHE TAN And SHRI NAVARATNAM
SINGAPORE—Asian stock markets tumbled Thursday as heightened worries of a full-blown financial crisis in Europe left commodities smarting from a massive selloff, sending the Shanghai bourse skidding to near a three-year low.
The U.S. dollar rose on safe-haven demand, while oil and resources-related stocks dropped sharply after rattled investors bailed out of riskier markets Wednesday. The dour mood in markets was reinforced by a weak business sentiment report in Japan and contraction in China’s manufacturing activity.
China’s Shanghai Composite was down as much as 2%, to 2183.19, it’s lowest level since March, 2009, as traders feared Europe’s crisis was fast engulfing Asia’s biggest economy. The market was recently down 1.1%.
“Risk appetite has flown out the window; the rise in U.S. bond prices is showing traders are readying themselves for a European recession,” said Ben Taylor, sales trader at CMC Markets in Sydney.
“Ongoing debt concerns and the potential of a France sovereign downgrade are adding weight to Thursday’s selloff,” Mr. Taylor said, noting the dangerous rise in Italian bond yields to fresh euro-era highs on Wednesday. He added that China’s manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index for December “has done little to hold the markets’ confidence.”
…
Is the Stradivarius bubble about to pop?
Violins by Antonio Stradivari represent the gold standard of the trade. Between 1980 and 2010, auction prices for Stradivari violins increased at an average annual rate of 10.3%. A number of his violins have more recently sold through dealers for $9-10M. One Stradivari cello is currently appraised at $12M and another has reportedly sold for $20M.