February 17, 2012

Bits Bucket for February 17, 2012

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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207 Comments »

Comment by rms
2012-02-17 03:29:15

I was working with a network guy late last evening who told me that he was retired from a regional telephone company. During his thirty years there he was promised a pension that also included health-care benefits, and in fact his retirement started out as advertised. Today, however, he said they extract over $7200/yr from his retirement payments to cover the “promised” health-care. Before we parted he looked directly at me, eye to eye, “Don’t trust anything — even a formal contract. You’d better tuck some away while you are still working.”

Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-02-17 05:53:41

This is happening yet everyone seems to flat out reject it as if it’s not. It’s almost like a religion.

My contemporaries still believe that if they do what our parents and predecessors did, everything will be ok. They refuse to acknowledge that it is not our parents world. We discuss it daily here. There are no lifetime jobs, there are no new pensions, etc.

Comment by goon squad
2012-02-17 07:33:24

“not our parents world”

Going to visit them this weekend, and it is like visiting another world. Retired and sold paid off house in one of Ohio’s best ranked school districts at the peak in 2006, paid cash to buy in non-bubbly southern Oil City retirement haven. Through wise investment choices and modest pension enjoy comfortable albeit modest lifestyle of golf and travel.

And they keep telling the squad and step-siblings to “get a good job with a good company and work hard” like that’s the answer to everything, a solution that doesn’t account for repeated layoffs, under-employment, or the eldest step-sibling’s (self-inflicted) marital woes resulting from buying in Seattle at peak bubble prices.

Their delusional world doesn’t exist anymore.

Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-02-17 07:52:27

“get a good job with a good company and work hard”

There it is. They’re deluded.

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Comment by Al
2012-02-17 10:38:37

I’m trying to think of a good company…..

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-02-17 10:51:48

And we wonder whty everyone wants a government job?

 
Comment by Liz Pendens
2012-02-17 11:11:37

Now you’re just lucky if you work hard and get a batman cap to show for it.

 
Comment by Max Power
2012-02-17 12:38:45

Lots of good long-term jobs at banks (regular banks, not investment banks) if you’re willing to have your soul crushed a little every day.

 
Comment by SUGuy
2012-02-17 13:54:06

Why not quit complaining and open your own business. Hence create a job for yourself that perhaps last forever. It will give you the ability to sock away decent amount of money. Capitalism is not democracy. Many people do not grasp this fact and cling on for some company to provide them a job and recognize their hard work and talent.

That was a once upon a time and it’s no more

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-02-17 16:03:30

“Why not quit complaining and open your own business. Hence create a job for yourself that perhaps last forever. It will give you the ability to sock away decent amount of money.”

Hahahaha! What fantasy world do you live in? Tell that to the construction contractors who were devastated by the Great Recession. Or to the independent truckers who have been getting squeezed for the last 20 years. Or to any number of small business people who were taken down by a bad economy.

But maybe your timing is better than those folks and you start your business in a recovering economy. If you are one of the unlucky 90%, your business will still fail in its first 5 years and suck you dry in the process.

One of the biggest causes of business failure is undercapitalization. Where do you get the capital if you don’t have a job or assets or wealthy relations?

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-02-17 16:06:32

” “get a good job with a good company and work hard”

There it is. They’re deluded.

I would say not so much deluded as living in the past. The world changed and they have not had to change with it. My father is 90 and hasn’t worked since retiring at 65. A lot has changed in 25 years. This formula actually worked for his generation.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-02-17 16:28:35

“Why not quit complaining and open your own business. Hence create a job for yourself that perhaps last forever. It will give you the ability to sock away decent amount of money. “

Hahahahaha! Tell that to the construction contractors that were devastated by the Great Recession.

But maybe your timing will be better and you will start your business in an economy that will grow for the next 30 years. If you are one of the unlucky 90%, your business will still fail in the first 5 years and suck you dry in the process.

A lot of small business failures are due to undercapitalization. Where will you get the capital if you have no job and no assets and no wealthy relatives?

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 16:41:06

Why not quit complaining and open your own business.

Candle shop? Pirate store?

What would you suggest?

 
Comment by SUGuy
2012-02-17 20:15:43

Hahahahaha! Tell that to the construction contractors that were devastated by the Great Recession.

And to:
Candle shop? Pirate store?
What would you suggest?

Oh please stop being so dramatic and silly. A well thought out need based diversified business with robust profits is the way to go these days. In my humble opinion the only thing certain about business is change. The examples you are citing are silly and you know it.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-02-17 21:03:03

“A well thought out need based diversified business with robust profits is the way to go these days”

And where does a lucky ducky or a young person just out of college get the capital to start that business? If they can get that capital, are they likely to be successful? I would bet on 99.9% of them failing due to some missing skillset.

Diversified sounds good, but you can end up spreading yourself too thin.

Robust profits in a startup? Really? Bill Gates has talked about worrying about making payroll in the early days of Microsoft.

“In my humble opinion the only thing certain about business is change”

Bingo. Change can kill even successful, established, well-run businesses.

IMHO, the start-your-own-business-so-you-always-have-a-job meme will work for a very small subset of the population. The rest will need to find jobs. Most are simply lacking in a necessary skillset (the very intelligent may lack people skills necessary for success) or capital.

Heck, Steve Jobs started a business and then got fired, so even starting your own business is no guarantee that you will have a job for life.

 
Comment by SUGuy
2012-02-17 21:33:49

You are making amateurish points.

I have been doing this for a living for the past 27 years. Capital is usually a non issue when starting a business. It is merely just one of the things needed to start a business. In the US there is a lot of capital floating around. A smart person needs decent credit and a few thousand in a bank. The rest can easily be financed without personal guaranty most of the time.

In my professional opinion most people who try do succeed in business. In this economy I see smart business making moves to transition to what is in demand these days and are easily transitioning while others are fighting to keep their heads above the water.

Your statement brings to mind a change I have noticed in the new startups. Perhaps 20 years ago the new startups were made up of people between 40 – 60 years old. Now days I rarely see those age groups. The startups are for the most part are 25 -45 years in age.

You are entitled to my factual opinion. PEACE

 
Comment by BetterRenter
2012-02-17 22:14:51

SUGuy said: “In my professional opinion most people who try do succeed in business.”

Your professional opinion is worthless when it so obviously flies in the face of statistical reality. The hypermajority of startups fail. Period. Hence, advising people to uniformly seek that outlet is pretty much the equivalent shoveling lots of baby chicks into the furnace.

Other posters like Happy2bHeard have been patiently telling you the bald truth of the matter. Capital is the lifeblood of a business. And there’s never enough. There’s particularly never enough to obey all those federal, state and municipal laws. Successful small businessmen when you pigeonhole them, will tend to admit they cut more than a few corners when they were struggling to reach true profitability. That’s a code phrase for “they broke the law a lot”. And when you do that, it’s really only a matter of time before law and regulatory enforcement notices you and then administers the heavy fine or worse.

That you believe there’s a lot of capital out there for startups (the real startups, not all these CA/NY tech scams), is the very definition of cognitive dissonance. Startups are capital starved as a rule. You can’t get a bank loan on your credit rating and an idea. Only people with the correct last names can do that (hint: a tiny percentage). And a few thousand in the bank and a good idea pretty much spells bankruptcy and an ocean of tears in about 3 years, NOT success.

The thing you SHOULD be advising people to do is downsize their lifestyles, essentially to the level of poverty. That will create the margins of savings required to survive a job search or business risk.

 
Comment by SUGuy
2012-02-18 08:14:12

The thing you SHOULD be advising people to do is downsize their lifestyles, essentially to the level of poverty. That will create the margins of savings required to survive a job search or business risk.

Will you be telling your kids to look forward to poverty? Have you seen real poverty? What kind of future advice is that?

You get poverty when you lack money and savings.

 
Comment by BetterRenter
2012-02-21 10:13:41

Will you be telling your kids to look forward to poverty? Have you seen real poverty? What kind of future advice is that?

It’s advice aligned with reality. Giving out advice based on hope, is worthless. That seems to be your problem.

American wages must fall. That’s the reality. Hence a lot of people here will become poor. That’s the reality.

The future must be looked forward to, by definition, regardless if that future is good or bad.

 
 
 
 
Comment by combotechie
2012-02-17 06:19:50

Lots of companies that used to have fully funded pensions now don’t. That’s because they expected to earn an eight-plus percent return on the float and hence the stopped putting new money in the funds.

Along the same sort of thinking that forever-rising prices of houses would somehow allow a house to pay for itself. Ooops.

Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-02-17 06:21:14

I’m not talking about new pensions. EXISTING pensions cannot be counted on.

Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2012-02-17 21:12:38

I started in 1985. Pension never entered my vocabulary. I was 26. I took the direct proactive approach and set myself up to save like an Asian while most Americans bought toys. Kept that discipline ever since.

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Comment by rms
2012-02-17 22:03:48

Pension never entered my vocabulary.

Raising a family changes the game, Bill.

Your investments wouldn’t mean diddle unless someone else out in the world was having children and sending through college so that they could propel that firm that you invest in toward profits. In short, you enjoy eating today’s crop while neglecting to plant the next season’s seed. A dash of smug is entertaining; don’t over do it.

Here’s an idea. Since you are physically fit why don’t you disparage the crippled for a change? :)

 
 
 
 
Comment by rusty
2012-02-17 06:23:32

I hope the network guy had taken his own advice and not spent it all during his career, thinking he had a golden parachute after retirement.

I suspect the reason he is working now is that he spent everything he made when he was making it.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-02-17 09:29:48

Not necessarily rusty. NOBODY’S savings has been or is keeping up with inflation.

You can only earn and save so much unless you’re part of the upper 10%. Everyone else’s wages did NOT keep up with inflation over the last 30 years.

The there’s life’s little emergencies and disasters, which tend to wipe out anyone’s nest and rainy day fund.

…and wage freezes or cuts.

…and layoff/rehires.

Comment by sfrenter
2012-02-17 10:30:33

You can only earn and save so much unless you’re part of the upper 10%. Everyone else’s wages did NOT keep up with inflation over the last 30 years.

Exactly why being 75 years old and still renting scares me.

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Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 08:05:27

“Don’t trust anything — even a formal contract. You’d better tuck some away while you are still working.”

Words of wisdom. I would prefer to retire based on my own assets, not on someone elses’ promises.

I would note that even your own assets (after-tax accounts, and even more so 401(k)s) have an element of promise in them—the promise that the government won’t confiscate them, either through taxation or property tax.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 08:22:33

The 401K is Trojan Horse of sorts for me, only I imagine when the contents spillout, they will all run away.

The 401K is a bet on lower tax rates in the future! HAHahahaha!

The 401K is a way to shelter interest income from taxation! Uhhuh….

The 401K is a bet on the long term solvency of the global financial system! LOLololollllll.

The 401K is a bet against means testing! Oh wait…..

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 08:28:05

The 401K is a way to shelter interest income from taxation! Uhhuh….

It’s also a way to get the company match… Which is the primary reason I invest in mine: free money. It’s like an instant 50% return—tough to get in this climate.

The sheltering of the returns is essentially a wash from my analysis of it; you pay now, or you pay later.

My bet is that the tax situation won’t be SO much worse that it totally outweighs the free match. I am well aware that I could be wrong.

There’s one other positive to the 401(k): the assets it contains are largely protected from lawsuits, in that the assets are actually owned by a trust, and held for your benefit. If I were to be forced into BK due to a huge lawsuit, I would not lose that portion of “my” assets.

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Comment by In Colorado
2012-02-17 08:51:19

It’s also a way to get the company match

Also on the endangered species list. And if you do get one, it often has absurd vesting restrictions, as long as 5 years. Who stays at the same job for 5 years anymore?

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 08:59:08

I’m vested and get the match. One thing about the match that most people do not consider is that you can get it simply by recycling your contribution. You put $1 in and match is $1. You take your $2 out, and pay the taxes. You put $1 in next year and so on.

Keep in mind that I am in the 59 1/2+ club and do not need to worry about the 10% penalty or any kind of restrictions on withdrawals.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 09:02:44

Sure, retirement accounts are shielded from bankruptcy. A Roth is too, and you can self manage. I suspect that cash in a coffee can is as well, but then you’d need to have selective memory.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 10:02:16

Recycling is a good point, Blue… But I’m in the penalty age-group currently, so there would be a non-trivial cost to doing so.

I suspect that cash in a coffee can is as well, but then you’d need to have selective memory.

Selective memory == BK fraud.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 11:07:28

On a lighter note, one of my coworkers found, upon his father’s death, that the books in the library were loaded with $100 book marks. Talk about self managed funds!

 
Comment by Montana
2012-02-17 14:15:05

Keep in mind that I am in the 59 1/2+ club and do not need to worry about the 10% penalty or any kind of restrictions on withdrawals.

But you’re still working for the company? I thought you couldn’t withdraw until after termination of employment there.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 14:56:38

I think the rules vary somewhat by plan, but mine allows withdrawals without having to prove a “qualifying event” like buying a house. You can’t “close” the account while you are still working, but that leaves a lot of lattitude.

 
 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2012-02-17 21:16:37

So then get a Roth

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-02-17 09:33:06

“I would prefer to retire based on my own assets, not on someone elses’ promises.”

Who doesn’t? But most people can’t make that much money over their working lifetime.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-02-17 09:58:21

But most people can’t make that much money over their working lifetime

All the 99% have to do is upgrade their skill-sets to qualify for the 1% jobs. If 100% of all Americans were all bankers, hedge-fund managers and the other 1%’s vocations, the problem would be solved. 100% of Americans could then be the top 1%. It’s just math.

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Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 10:40:26

The ability to earn is definitely not 100% in anyone’s control…

The decision on what to spend is nearly 100% in everyone’s control.

I see very few people around me choose to live and spend the way that I do.

Very few of the “essentials” in life are actually essential.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 11:08:48

Henry Prime Thoreau?

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 11:14:54

You flatter me way too much, Blue! :-)

 
 
 
Comment by oxide
2012-02-17 09:43:44

even your own assets have an element of promise in them—the promise that the government won’t confiscate them

1. I know this is taboo for HBB, but a paid-off house is about as close to a non-promise asset as you can get. And before you whine about property taxes, please consider that you would last far longer in a house where you don’t pay your taxes than you would in a house where you don’t pay your rent.

2. You make it sound like the government is the only entity that confiscates things. Let’s imagine, for a minute, the kind of confiscation that would go on without the government.

Comment by Awaiting
2012-02-17 09:54:28

oxide
Could not agree more. We are paying cash for the reasons you stated. We’ll be starting with a property tax liability of $350/mo, and it should decline over time.

Speaking of homes, we saw this as a Short Sales 3 months ago, and now it’s an REO. (Fast processing around here (So Ca). MLS skips SS listing.)
This one is priced to move, but dare it’s across from a K-6 school playground. It needs some jazzing up, but priced in reality.

http://www.redfin.com/CA/Simi-Valley/2425-Dusan-St-93065/home/4636786

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Comment by goon squad
2012-02-17 10:52:03

The rent versus buy arguments favoring buy come from DC, SF, and LA.

It’s a different story out here in flyover…

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 11:23:43

11/17/2011 Listing removed $359,000

09/29/2011 Price change $359,000

08/17/2011 Listed for sale $379,000

11/09/2005 Sold $550,000

07/08/1993 Sold $170,000 — $95 Public Record

Slid back to 2000 prices? You would have to hope the market doesn’t slide into 1993 prices!

I’ll bet in 1980, early stage of the housing bubble, it would have been $45K. One does wonder where we are headed.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 11:27:10

Renting is still way more financially advantageous in Seattle, from what I can tell…

 
Comment by oxide
2012-02-17 12:25:29

I would agree that this is priced somewhat in reality, IF IF IF there are the jobs to support it. The lot is a bit small, but the house doesn’t seem to need much work.

Blue, it’s easy to point at what prices were years ago, but something important happened between 1993 and now: women began to bring home career income; i.e. substantial monies. House prices in areas with jobs are now predicated on TWO incomes, especially near schools. It’s not hard for two $60K teachers to easily afford this $330K house. And as long as there are working couples who buy such houses, prices will not crash to below that. And the ones that do are probably not livable.

It’s gratifying to see that people are making their own calculations for their own area based on their own situation. The bubble may have been countrywide (ha), but the bust is looking local.

Awaiting, did you see my semi-lecture from last week?

 
Comment by Awaiting
2012-02-17 12:39:03

oxide
I regret, I did not. I do know you’ve been treated poorly from other HBB’ers, and that isn’t acceptable. I have learned a lot from you. If you gave me constructive advice, I really regret not seeing it.

I’ve taken on some Accounting projects- not much posting/reading time.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 12:42:37

I sort of agree with you Oxy, and it is easier for me personally to see where prices have come. My first house was almost just like that one, except a full acre lot and a single car garage. It was $24,000. My spouse and I both had professional jobs. That thing started before the 90s.

What we are watching is taking solid form. This house is off by 50% in six years. 50%! Anyone predicting that six years ago would have been laughed at or ignored. So is it beyond imagination that it will fall further? I think possibly so!

Don’t overlook that prices are set on the margins. If 90% of the people can afford the houses and the other 10% cannot, look out. Just like in Cub Scouts, prices will drop until the little fat guy catches up.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-02-17 13:48:46

Awaiting, I’ll repeat it here, and I’m sorry if this is a lecture:

If your goals are a paid-off house, low expenses, and emergency medical cash, Southern California is probably the worst place for it.

I think you would be FAR better off buying a ~$115K house in a low-cost area, and have $300K cash left over, than to tie up your entire $400K on a California-priced house and having nothing left over.

You mentioned that your husband has an EE career but failing eyesight. If there is a chance that he cannot keep his career for longer than $300K worth of salary, (after taxes!!), it may be better, and less stressful for him, for you both to go cheap on the house and use the leftover cash to live.

There are a lot of smaller cities, East and West, with good universities/med schools/hospitals and cheaper housing.* If you’re an accountant, there are small accounting jobs in almost any city for your “walking money.”

Again, I don’t know your situation (family?), but I’m asking you to consider a medical version of Oil City plan. OK, lecture done.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-02-17 13:52:32

If 90% of the people can afford the houses and the other 10% cannot, look out. Just like in Cub Scouts, prices will drop until the little fat guy catches up.

Yes, and by the time the fat guy catches up, the 90% will have eaten all the good hot dogs. :razz: There is also the question of how much rent that 90% will pay while they wait.

 
Comment by WPHR_editor
2012-02-17 15:45:24

Oxide:
“And as long as there are working couples who buy such houses, prices will not crash to below that.”

Ahh - but consider that as of a year or two ago, unmarried people are in the majority in the US, IIRC.

I think your logic here is basically sound, but I question where the new couples will be coming from, if at all….

 
Comment by cactus
2012-02-17 16:26:42

Property History for 2425 DUSAN St
Date Event Price Appreciation Source
Feb 17, 2012 Listed (Active) $330,900 — CRISNet #F12021807
Dec 21, 2011 Sold (Public Records)
This home was foreclosed

Thats pretty cheap for the area is it being sold as is ?

 
Comment by cactus
2012-02-17 16:37:02

I think you would be FAR better off buying a ~$115K house in a low-cost area, and have $300K cash left over, than to tie up your entire $400K on a California-priced house and having nothing left over.”

You ever visit Tucson AZ I always liked it there.
How about Fillmore ? too remote ?

Simi is pretty nice and thats a good area of Simi

I’m waiting to hear back on my short sale offer in Moorpark for 380K its a 2 story by the college

 
Comment by Awaiting
2012-02-17 17:04:51

oxide
I read your unsolicited but solid advice, and believe it or not, I agree with your objective thinking. Actually, we are trying to buy as low as we can, and keep the rest of our money in our “tsunami” account. We never have such luck as just to be rained on (rainy day fund). When chit happens to us, it’s more like a tsunami!

I am applying to REITs again, and I usually pull in some decent money. Hopefully, no buy-outs will come along to sacrifice my job. My husband is working on consulting stuff. His wage slave days are over. Stress is a big no-no with Glaucoma.

Thanks for caring. You can always slap me on the side of the head with advice. It gives me a great data point.

cactus
Happy to hear you took the plunge. The problem is short sales around here are taking 8+ months to close, if they do. Stanton Ave in Simi was viewed by us in April of 2011 as a SS. It’s still in the pending mode(10 months later. But for your sake (I like ya), I will cross my fingers for you. I like the college side, more than the Mountain Meadows area.Keep us all in the loop!

 
 
Comment by Awaiting
2012-02-17 09:55:42

darn not dare…typing fart

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-02-17 10:06:33

Let’s imagine, for a minute, the kind of confiscation that would go on without the government.

America is not supposed to even HAVE a government. The founding fathers were totally AGAINST having a government. That’s why they wrote the CONSTITUTION!

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Comment by Steve J
2012-02-17 10:13:13

A paid off house is in many ways better than a pomise of a pension.

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Comment by Awaiting
2012-02-17 10:46:39

Steve J
Could not agree more. Oxide has the right idea, and so do you. Even if you’re living off a SS check, a paid off home gives you breathing room.

With Glaucoma in our household, a paid off home is some security in a very insecure personal and external world.

 
Comment by mikeinbend
2012-02-17 12:45:42

Note: this is not an attack on you Awaiting

If the costs of treating glaucoma(we have it in our family, too, my dad and granddad both have or had it) exceed your savings, are you at any risk from having your paid off home, “just for you” re-possessed?

I only ask because I have a paid off home; not much in personal savings (partly because I have put over 100k in health insurance costs and medication). I carry medical insurance for fear that my routine(for me) and possibly catastophic-event medical bills will exceed my savings and I will lose my paid off house if I dare go without medical. I feel, for us, carrying insurance is the route we are tenatively following. YMMV

Is it possible, in the event that if and when medical exceeds savings, and one does not have health insurance, that a lien gets placed on the home but you dont have to move out for many years?

 
Comment by Steve J
2012-02-17 14:12:15

In Texas, you keep your primary home in a bankruptcy.

Plus, blind people get a discount on property taxes.

 
Comment by Awaiting
2012-02-17 17:19:51

mikeinbend
Don’t think not having health insurance doesn’t scare the cr*p out of us. I am only interviewing firms that offer medical insurance. Luckily, we found a great Glaucoma Clinic associated with a university, and the price for an appt is 20% of what a fancy office would be in our area. The medical group is way ahead of our areas docs in advances and treatments. The prescriptions are usually samples, and when they aren’t, we get them filled for a fraction of what we did at Kaiser, when we paid $1,200/mo for the premium alone.

My husband has his surgeries behind him, and hopefully is in a maintenance stage for a long time. I appreciate your concern.

I am being interviewed by youngins 20 years younger. Thank God I don’t look like an aged land whale.

 
Comment by mikeinbend
2012-02-17 18:37:03

I am rooting for you. I like your area well and hope you get a good enough price on a house soon.

About the area surrounding the Conejo grade, it is beautiful. I was born in Oxnard, grew up in Somis, went to Camarillo High. I witnessed the opening of the Janss mall and the Galleria. From Somis went to UCSB; worked on a farm in Goleta for a decade; sold veggis in Malibu, Pacific Palisades, Montrose, Encino. I also have surfed every beach from Malibu to Big Sur; for me, you are the southermost sweet spot of livable CA. So we visit now, but not since 2007(and I started surfing in OR; four hours versus 16), cuz it is costly. When we sold our house in 04 we knew we were never likely able to come back.

I appreciate your candor; and respect that you are proactive maintaining your own health as cheaply as possible thru diet and exercise. We can’t really afford to have both medical and a house (which is why my wife and I have an eye peeled for a job with some bennies). And why I am proddin’ ya, nothing personal believe me….

 
Comment by Awaiting
2012-02-18 04:28:25

mikeinbend
I use to manage the Janss Mall. I worked for the Janss family. Talk about being handed the golden goose (grandsons) and being greedy and stupid. The company is now defunked. The Janss Steps is at UCLA, they built Westwood, the Conejo Valley, a city in Idaho, etc… They were once a real estate empire.

Yeah, this area is pretty, but my heart is in South Pasadena. The concept of taking the GoldLine to work, and a walking friendly city really appeals to us.This area is too dependent on cars. Oh, since you’ve been here, this area has been invaded by the illegals.

 
 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 10:44:23

1. I know this is taboo for HBB, but a paid-off house is about as close to a non-promise asset as you can get.

I totally agree, but will go one better: my idea is to have a SFH with an attached rental, so that the rent can cover any changes in property taxes.

2. You make it sound like the government is the only entity that confiscates things.

I did not mean to imply that—merely highlight that 401(k)s in particular are still part-promise even though most would consider it “their” own asset.

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Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-02-17 11:16:40

Just completed our taxes for 2011 and while filing away the records I looked back at the returns from the last few years of my professional career. That was over a decade ago, before the tech bubble crash and the years I worked hourly jobs just to have benefits. I was shocked, because I had forgotten the numbers.

Moving to a low cost area and buying (for cash) the least expensive house my wife would accept allows us to live comfortably on about 50% of what I was making at the end of my career. Inflation-adjusted, it’s probably around 40%.

 
Comment by polly
2012-02-17 12:14:54

Thanks for the reminder, Bill. Taxes are a good project to take on this long weekend. I knew there was something I needed to do other than watch last week’s epsiode of Downton Abbey.

 
Comment by Montana
2012-02-17 14:35:09

We’re in a pretty good position, with a paid off house and no debt, but the place is on a one acre lot and a lot of work to keep up. Plus we’re due to be annexed any time and the taxes will probably go up to ~200/mo.

At least we got a good new roof on this year. The insides need updating but it’s still serviceable.

 
 
 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-02-17 09:25:20

Same old same old.

“YOU have to honor the contract or we’ll sue/arrest/penalize you, but WE can do whatever we want, including penalizing you for us not holding up OUR end of the contract.”

Yeah, unions are bad. :roll:

 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2012-02-17 09:50:56

In a country where 95% of the electorate voted in 2008 for crony capitalism and limitless bailouts for Wall Street grifters, by casting votes for Obama and McCain, few have any right to complain about contracts or promises that aren’t worth the paper they’re printed on.

Comment by Liz Pendens
2012-02-17 10:40:40

Its perfectly alright to complain. Just nobody actully do anything that could upset the status quo. That is where we draw the line as Amerikans.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-02-17 12:56:03

Only socialist commies want to change the status quo!

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Comment by BetterRenter
2012-02-17 21:54:35

Rms said his friend said: “Don’t trust anything — even a formal contract.”

Wha? No ‘formal contract’ can get you money that just doesn’t exist. No court will order a debtor to pay a creditor beyond what he’s able to pay; because even if they did, the payment just won’t be made, dig? This method is almost as certain as physical law, like gravity.

Any fool with basic access to information 20 years ago could have seen the pension crisis coming. And yet, none of the actuaries, accountants, mathematicians and executives did. None of the people writing the policies and investment documents, did.

Well, not really, lots of them saw this coming, but either they were disregarded or they kept their traps shut and kept collecting the paychecks… and if any of their squawking reached the media, they continued to be disregarded or just called doomers. Anti-American. Chicken Littles. America keeps getting fooled into thinking there will always be plenty of money available to cover everything… while yearly, bankruptcies, foreclosures and other defaults deny this belief.

Rms’ friend still needs a reality check. He’s handing out the right advice, yes… but based on the wrong reasoning. You should always evaluate financial systems for their stability. You have to become a bit of a financial maven into your adulthood, to prepare for understanding which deals are good and which are bad. I was a skeptical lad myself when I went into the military at age 18, and due to that skepticism I always had money while the dolts around me ran out constantly. I spend, but not like they did, which even Darrel/Phoenix can’t complain about. I lived like the common sensibility of the 1970s Midwest told me to live, and it’s always served me… sadly, however, since it’s served me better while people around me lived like the common sensibility of the 2000s California, meaning they spent all their income and leveraged that income into lifelong debts. Their defaults have provided me with a lot of property and equipment that I’ve bought for dimes on the dollar.

I must say again: It’s not the fault of the contracts. Basic legal principles state clearly that contracts written in bad faith aren’t valid. That’s what all these pensions are: Contracts written in bad faith. So they must fail, and a lot more people should have not only seen this coming, but prepared for it.

 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 04:52:49

New American Dream is renting to get rich

By Lou Carlozo
Wed Feb 15, 2012 12:05pm EST

(Reuters) - Rich Arzaga owns a luxury home in San Ramon, California, but he’s not betting on it as an investment.

The founder and CEO of Cornerstone Wealth Management, who bought the 5,000 sq. ft. property in 2005 for $1.8 million and has spent $500,000 improving it, considers the abode a wonderful place for his family. But ask him to rate his home — or any home, for that matter — as a financial investment, and Arzaga balks.

“It’s the American Dream to own a home, but whoever said that didn’t do the analysis on it,” says Arzaga, knowing he’s taking a contrarian stance to conventional wisdom.

Examining 250 properties around the U.S., and going through close to 40 client files to project the financial impact of owning real estate versus liquidating it, Arzaga, an adjunct professor in personal finance at the University of California at Berkeley, found that, “100 percent of the time it was better to rent, rather than own.”

That’s right: 100 percent.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/02/15/us-housing-americandream-idUSTRE81E1LG20120215 - 106k

Comment by goon squad
2012-02-17 05:42:55

Unless you’re into gardening, landscaping, pets, renting is always better. ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS.

Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-02-17 05:55:19

“Better” isn’t accurate. Less costly is accurate, precise and truthful.

Why do Housing Crime Syndicate operators like reaItors lie about this fact?

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 06:39:40

“into gardening”

I planted fruit trees at every house I owned. I never went back to steal any of the fruit from the subsequent owners.

Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 07:45:02

“I never went back to steal any of the fruit from the subsequent owners.”

You never did a drive by fruiting?

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Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 08:07:13

You never did a drive by fruiting?

LOL! Nice…

 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-02-17 16:39:48

Back in my last rental, my landlady was a gardening evangelist. I started out with a few pots of tomato and basil (talk about gateway drugs), then moved up to digging into the ground.

Now I have my own place. Or, as I like to say, it’s a yard with an attached house. And, yep, I’m growing food here too.

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Comment by Awaiting
2012-02-17 17:35:10

Az Slim
Can’t wait to grow some basics. Tomatoes, Broccoli, and some other essentials. I’ve been reading up on drip systems.

 
 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 07:54:55

“Unless you’re into” “pets”

That could be taken out of context.

Comment by goon squad
2012-02-17 08:08:24

As long as gay marriage stays illegal then the slippery slope toward that can be prevented, right?

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Comment by oxide
2012-02-17 08:21:20

If we allow men to marry women, wouldn’t that start down the slippery slope to brothers marrying their sisters and/or mommies marrying their sons???

 
Comment by CrackerBob
2012-02-17 08:26:50

Taboo II

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 08:32:25

“As long as gay marriage stays illegal then the slippery slope toward that can be prevented, right?”

You can marry your dog for all I care. Hell I didn`t even complain about the Government Motors comercial that has the little boy playing with a Bratz doll and a pink trailer waiting for his Dad to come home. Although the Silverado and F-series pick up truck crowd that I know (2 of whom brought it to my attention and we got a good laugh out of it) would probably frown on their little boys playing with a Bratz doll so I`m not 100% sure who thought it was a good idea. Not to mention when the kid gets home to the Barbie house, the doll that the kid says.. Hey honey I`m glad your home to looks really pissed. But at least she`s hot. :)

“Like Father, Like Son” | 2012 Chevy Silverado | Chevrolet - YouTube
Oct 3, 2011 … The 2012 Chevy Silverado HD: built for whatever life throws at you,

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mrl-mm-7WM8 - 148k -

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-02-17 08:42:01

Rick Santorum said this, in all sincerity, that allowing gay marriage would lead to beastiality. And he is leading Romney in the polls. Still can’t believe this is the 21st century here…

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 08:50:02

Like I said gay marriage is fine with me, I don`t care. I really don`t see where it`s anybodys buisness as long as it`s not a child. Having said that, I would like there to be a 5 second warning on TV before Barney Frank kisses the bride, or groom or whoever he is going to kiss when he gets married.

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 09:03:32

“Rick Santorum said this, in all sincerity, that allowing gay marriage would lead to beastiality”

I had to look that up.

Urban Dictionary: beastiality
A common way to incorrectly spell wordbestiality/word. Sexual intercourse involving a human and a lower animal.

That`s two now, the other one I had to look up a couple of months ago was “fluffer”.

Now what exactly is a lower animal? A dog? Would a horse be considered a higher animal?

 
Comment by CrackerBob
2012-02-17 09:46:45

Google “Santorum”

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-02-17 10:03:29

Sorry, typo. And he didn’t say bestiality, he specifically stated that allowing gay marriage would lead to humans marrying dogs.

This is the leading GOP Presidential candidate in the year 2012…

 
Comment by truthsquadrookie
2012-02-17 10:10:26

I am all for bestiality as long the animal in question is an adult animal and understands and agrees to the act.

For that matter I am also for the polygamy.

 
Comment by Steve J
2012-02-17 10:15:17

Bigamy? Big a you!

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 10:36:55

What about The Beastie Boys? Did they have anything to do with this? You gotta fight for your right to party? What other rights were they fighting for? Obviously they were into beastiality! And they probably haven`t paid their mortgage in 3 years either! Why they are probably just a bunch of Deadbeasts!

 
Comment by sfrenter
2012-02-17 10:37:20

Follow the two cardinal rules of bestiality and you’ll be fine:
1. Never initiate
2. Never enjoy

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 10:41:49

Oh god I`m hit! With an apple! It was a drive by fruiting! I cought a glimpse of the guy, I think it was Barney Frank!

 
Comment by Awaiting
2012-02-17 11:04:58

Homophobia with the GOP=distraction.

 
Comment by Liz Pendens
2012-02-17 11:14:48

As bad as the divorce rate is, marriage should be illeal in general. Just outlaw the whole concept outright accross the board.

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 11:29:14

“Sorry, typo. And he didn’t say bestiality, he specifically stated that allowing gay marriage would lead to humans marrying dogs.”

Have had a similar discussion here about GOP candidates and their views on abortion. While I don`t think abortion should be celebrated and should be avoided if possible. It ain`t up to me or any GOP candidate to make that decission anyway.

Soneone could be 98% in line with many peoples views (not saying Santorum is) on economic issues, defence or anything and then they have to say what apparently Santorum did above. It doesn`t make any sense. Hypothetically you could be right on every issue but 2 and your opponent could be wrong on every issue but 2 and your opponent could still stand there and say…. See, he thinks gay people getting married will lead to people marrying dogs or… He doesn`t think a woman has the right to control her own body. And even if the guy is right on evry other issue, he looks (rightfully so) like an idiot. Just doesn`t make sense to me. Then again, I never said I was smart so a lot of things don`t.

However, if there is a bestiality movement out there somewhere. Don`t expect my support. You gotta draw the line somewhere.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 11:31:50

Follow the two cardinal rules of bestiality and you’ll be fine:

Is that kind of like the “I never inhaled” defense?

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 12:28:07

“You gotta draw the line somewhere.”

You mean dogs or horses?

 
Comment by oxide
2012-02-17 12:37:31

Liz, you’re onto something.

All those self-righteous pundits who tout the sactity of man-woman marriage need to spend a day observing family court.

 
 
 
Comment by howiewowie
2012-02-17 15:03:43

Until your landlord gets kicked out of his girlfriend’s place and decides to move into yours, handing you a nice moving bill in the process.

 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2012-02-17 21:20:07

I am into none of those

 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-02-17 09:44:07

Most people, even the wealthy, are very dumb about RE and especially their primary residence.

Comment by goon squad
2012-02-17 10:04:42

Ditech: People Are Smart!

Comment by Liz Pendens
2012-02-17 10:43:59

Smart enough to change the rules whenever convenience dictates…

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Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 05:09:06

Oh no! We suck again!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v4jGSvxCRp4 - 129k -

Foreclosures on the Rise Again

By: Diana Olick
CNBC Real Estate Reporter
Published: Thursday, 16 Feb 2012 | 12:04 AM ET

One in every 624 U.S. households received a foreclosure filing in January, up 3 percent from the previous month, according to a new report from RealtyTrac. Foreclosure activity froze in many states in 2011, due to processing delays after fraud, or so-called “Robo-signing,” were uncovered in the fall of 2010. The thaw is now on.

“We expect the pattern of increasing foreclosures to continue in the coming months, especially given the finalized mortgage and foreclosure settlement reached in early February between 49 state attorneys general and five of the nation’s largest lenders,” said RealtyTrac’s CEO Brandon Moore in a written release. “Foreclosure activity increased on a year-over-year basis for the first time in more than 12 months in Florida, Illinois, Indiana and Pennsylvania, following a pattern we saw in late 2011 in states such as California, Arizona and Massachusetts.”

http://www.cnbc.com/id/46401756 - 146k

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-02-17 09:45:29

Aren’t there supposed to be more significant ARM resets out to 2014, as well?

Comment by oxide
2012-02-17 12:39:13

*looks at handy dandy Credit Suisse graph on the wall*

No. The bulk is through the system by this fall 2012, and some of it has already reset due to too many option payments.

 
 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 05:26:15

Big Long Is New Big Short as Bass Joins Subprime Bet

By Jody Shenn and Saijel Kishan - Feb 15, 2012 10:49 AM ET

Investors who made some of the biggest profits from the 2007 bust in U.S. mortgages are once again in agreement. This time, they’re going long.

Hedge fund manager Kyle Bass, who made $500 million betting against subprime debt in the crash, is raising a fund to buy home loan securities. He’s joining Greg Lippmann, a former Deutsche Bank AG trader, and John Paulson, who made $15 billion in 2007, in betting on default prone mortgages. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) and American International Group Inc. (AIG) have also emerged as buyers this year as trading more than doubled for non-agency mortgage notes.

The $1.1 trillion market for U.S. mortgage bonds without government-backing is joining a global rally in everything from stocks and commodities to company loans, as confidence grows that Europe’s sovereign debt crisis will be contained. Investors are speculating the riskiest mortgage securities are priced to withstand an economic slowdown and home price declines even as President Barack Obama and the Federal Reserve pursue policies to combat the six-year residential real-estate slump.

“You can end up, even using severe assumptions on things such as home prices and defaults, with a very high yield based on the prices that bonds are trading at,” Larry Penn, chief executive officer of Old Greenwich, Connecticut-based Ellington Financial LLC (EFC), said yesterday in a telephone interview. “Especially with interest rates this low, if you can buy something where you can end up with a double-digit yield under severe assumptions, that’s great.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-02-15/big-short-becomes-big-long-as-bass-joins-reverse-subprime-wager-mortgages.html - 192k

Comment by BlueStar
2012-02-17 09:35:32

This is why we need a financial transaction tax. Absurd.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-02-17 09:48:23

An idea that has 2 very significant benefits:

1) Serious tax revenue

2) Slows the churn

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-02-17 11:20:53

Whew! I thought you meant Bass Pro Shops. :-)

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Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-02-17 05:43:07

Realtors Are Liars®

Comment by goon squad
2012-02-17 06:25:42

PAWNED by Richard Fuld. He is laughing at you :)

Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-02-17 07:51:20

I know…. those realtors are such honest people.

Comment by goon squad
2012-02-17 08:20:25

It’s not just the Realtors, every level of the salmonella and listeria infected REIC food chain is to blame, from the investment bank CEO’s down to the “Open House Today!” sign twirlers.

The squad’s cousin’s brother-in-law had a career in couch surfing and playing video games until he became a mortgage broker in Cape Coral, FL several years ago. He rode the wave up with the shiny car and the shiny girlfriend (surgically enhanced) until it all came crashing down a few years ago.

Now he’s back on their couch minus the shiny girlfriend resuming his path to self-actualization through a three foot long bong :)

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Comment by truthsquadrookie
2012-02-17 08:56:23

Stock brokers are?

Comment by goon squad
2012-02-17 09:09:59

Financial parasites.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-02-17 09:49:37

How dare you insult parasites like that!

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Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 05:56:06

It seems that the then Speaker of the House Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) had actually slept through her alarm that was set the night before the vote on health care reform in the U.S. Capitol in Washington, Sunday, March 21, 2010. When she was late for the meeting that included final preparations it prompted a call President Barack Obama to to Pelosi`stop aid.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EgXq0uvsIx8 - 102k

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 06:42:56

You have to be awake,
to pass the bill,
to find out what’s in it.

Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 06:51:24

“You have to be awake,
to pass the bill,
to find out what’s in it.”

The bill was passed, we found out what was in it and….

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v4jGSvxCRp4 - 129k

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-02-17 07:16:51

Denying children health insurance coverage for pre-existing conditions is the invisible hand of the free market, doing God’s work. Because donation jars for sick children next to cash registers demonstrates American exceptionalism and the level of advancement of 21st century health care in the Greatest Nation on Earth!

Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 07:21:51

“in the Greatest Nation on Earth!”

I didn`t even know China passed a health care bill.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-02-17 07:30:20

Tiny Tim would have felt right at home in the USA.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 07:45:36

Denying insurance coverage for preexisting conditions is the only way that insurance has ever worked. You insure against what might happen, not what has happened. You cannot insure for fire after the fire. If you could, the insurance premium would be more than the cost of remediation.

This is why I think if we are to have national health care, it has to be health CARE, not health insurance. Then the change jars can be for the Friday Night BBQ & Beer bash.

Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 08:03:30

“You cannot insure for fire after the fire. If you could, the insurance premium would be more than the cost of remediation.”

“This is why I think if we are to have national health care, it has to be health CARE, not health insurance.”

That kind of common sense has no place in the political arena.

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Comment by Al
2012-02-17 10:52:43

“This is why I think if we are to have national health care, it has to be health CARE, not health insurance.”

Single payer insurance can work fine because everyone is covered. It also reduces the government’s influence on the delivery of care.

 
Comment by Montana
2012-02-17 16:13:18

I thought single payer meant govt (taxpayers) pays the bills. How would they not have influence on delivery?

 
 
Comment by palmetto
2012-02-17 08:05:26

“Denying insurance coverage for preexisting conditions is the only way that insurance has ever worked.”

Sigh. Very few people out there in entitlement land understand this. Nor do they understand that life is unfair.

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Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 08:23:51

“Denying insurance coverage for preexisting conditions is the only way that insurance has ever worked.”

That would make sense only if the insurance company that you were insured by WHEN the condition first occurred remained liable for its treatment when you have later moved on to some other company, without you still having to pay premiums to them.

Having the new company deny coverage due to a pre-existing condition, while the old company denies coverage because they decided to drop you, is the heart of the problem.

From that perspective, Blue, the problem is that insurance does not pay out a single payment that covers all future costs. When your house (or boat) burns, the policy pays out. When you discover a medical condition that will have significant future expenses, medical “insurance” does not pay out what will be required for future care.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 09:12:24

If I am understanding you, then: If I change insurance companies and my boat burns, the insurance company that I used to have does not pay out.

I guess that if you are a corporate hampster these days, if you get seriously ill, you are chained to your cubicle. A long time ago, company group plans did not screen for pre-existing. Was that called “open enrollment”?

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-02-17 10:09:07

No Blue, what Prime is saying is the insurance company DROPS the person AFTER they have contracted the disease and no other companies will pick them up because it has now become a “pre-existing condition” through no fault of the person.

This happens EVERY day.

A rough analogy would your current boat insurance company has suddenly redefined your boat has having a special fire hazard problem (that it didn’t before) and is now dropping you without notice or ability to appeal. This new fire hazard has also been adopted industry wide and you can no longer get the boat insured.

Was that your fault?

Can you repair it? Depends. Is it cost effective? Because you no longer have insurance to cover the repair costs.

Uh oh. Catch 22. (again, just a rough analogy. for health concerns, it’s life and death, not materiel objects)

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-02-17 10:12:50

Nor do they understand that life is unfair. except in Sweden.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 10:35:24

Thanks turkey, I understand.

 
 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-02-17 08:23:34

The problem with comparing health care to a burning house is that it doesn’t take years for a house to burn down.

Late 2009, days after my wife changed jobs (have our health insurance through her work rather than mine as mine is more expensive) I was diagnosed with cancer. I was still covered until the end of the month, which covered initial tumor removal. However, pre-HIPPA, NONE of the follow up would have been covered as the new insurance would not have had to cover it.

I do not understand why we provide better coverage for a 90 y/o than a 9 y/o. The 90 y/o is likely to get 5 years out of their cancer treatment while the 9 y/o will get 70-80 years on average. Oh, wait. Yes I do. The 90 y/os have a better PAC.

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-02-17 10:12:40

The 90 yo is most likely grandfathered in to their policy.

The name of the game in insurance is to provide less coverage over the years for more money to new customers.

Much like every other industry. Charge more. Give less. Complain about non-existent tax and union and excessive gov regulation problems.

 
Comment by Steve J
2012-02-17 10:17:51

We deny coverage to pregnant women don’t we?

What about the pre-born babies?

 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-02-17 11:29:09

If you have continuous group coverage through the period of the job change, even if there’s an interval of COBRA between jobs, then the new group insurer cannot exclude pre-existing conditions. I know that because a similar situation happened to us back in the late 1980’s, before HIPPA.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2012-02-17 08:27:00

Denying insurance coverage for preexisting conditions is the only way that insurance has ever worked.

Well sure that’s true, if your idea of “work” means “make a profit.”

Now, if your motive isn’t to profit off the sick, but instead to alleviate the easily fixable pain of your fellow citizens, then the idea of “work” is more like “make health care run at as little a loss as possible and make up the difference through from other monies.”

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Comment by goon squad
2012-02-17 08:44:17

Commie talk!

 
Comment by Posers
2012-02-17 08:46:37

Well sure that’s true, if your idea of “work” means “make a profit.”

I think that nearly everyone is interested in “profiting” from “work”.

I would bet that that is the reason why you yourself work, oxide.

I fully expect (and desire) for ALL individuals and companies to profit by providing me care. Note the words “providing me care”. I want a service. I’ll pay for that service.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 08:51:02

Well sure that’s true, if your idea of “work” means “make a profit.”

No, what he meant was that the word insurance has traditionally meant protecting against losses that are unknown. In other words, it’s risk-sharing across some pool of probabilistic future losses.

But you can’t insure against something that is already known. You can’t go to get fire insurance the day after your house burns down.

He is correct in that. “Insurance” really isn’t the right word for what we apply to medical care.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-02-17 09:00:19

He is correct in that. “Insurance” really isn’t the right word for what we apply to medical care.

Not only is it the wrong word, it’s the wrong concept. Only we insist on using this dysfunctional model.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 09:05:38

Not only is it the wrong word, it’s the wrong concept. Only we insist on using this dysfunctional model.

Good point, InCO…

 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-02-17 09:11:00

“I fully expect (and desire) for ALL individuals and companies to profit by providing me care. Note the words “providing me care”. I want a service. I’ll pay for that service.”

So, do we expect 9 year olds to work to pay for their own care? Visit the sins of the parents (for only having an average or lower IQ) onto the children?

I presume you are also against Medicare.

Let those 90 year olds work for their care too.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 09:26:16

“Only we insist on using this dysfunctional model”

That’s what I mean, exactly. Only it isn’t a wrong choice of words, it is a wrong motive.

Insurance companies profit from the healthy, not from the ill. Benevolence is either charity or socialism, it’s not insurance.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-02-17 13:27:13

Posers, in this context, Skye used the word “work” with the connotation of “function,” and I answered in light of this, as did everybody else.

You incorrectly assumed that we were using the word “work” with the connotation of “labor,” and missed the point.

 
 
Comment by measton
2012-02-17 09:18:19

You insure against what might happen, not what has happened.

There are many cases where they don’t even insure what has happened to those that have been buying their insurance for years. There are all kinds of loop holes used to drop patients who get sick.

If an insurance company insures a small business and an employee get’s sick they can drop the company at the end of the year. Then the small business owner has to find a new plan for an employee with a pre existing condition.

A few years ago United Health was accused of using a team to research patients recently diagnosed with breast cancer. If they had had hypertension say after a divorce and had not mentioned it when they signed up for insurance United Health would drop them.

Person get’s so sick they can’t work and looses their job. The insurance company can often move them to the state ie medicaid or a low quality high cost insurance pool temporaritly and then no insurance.

Before you cry too many tears for the poor insurance company take a look at what the CEO of United Health Care makes.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 09:28:45

We don’t need CEOs in a health care program, only in a national “insurance” program.

 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-02-17 09:38:02

Denying children health insurance coverage for pre-existing conditions is the invisible hand of the free market,

The sick child made a choice, took a gamble and lost. American children should not feel entitled to 1st world services. America has a free-market, capitalist system of life and death. Healthcare is not a right for poor people.

Comment by Northeastener
2012-02-17 10:02:30

Healthcare is not a right for poor people.

You’re not that far off the mark here… the debate in this country should be whether health care is a right of all americans or a privlege available to those that can afford it.

If the former, than overhaul the whole thing and let the government own it completely. If the latter, than get government out of the way and deal with the consequences. This bastard form of healthcare we have is dysfunctional and broken…

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-02-17 10:16:13

There is no debate. Most people who this affects directly still insist that health care is not a right. It would be some kind of commie welfare.

And they seem to be the majority.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-02-17 10:26:57

Most people who this affects directly still insist that health care is not a right.

And these same people expect Medicare to pay for for Mom n Dad’s bill.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-02-17 10:27:37

And they seem to be the majority.

In polls in 2006 and 2009 around 65% of Americans said health-care was a right. source: CBS

In other polls almost twice as many Americans think health-care is a right compared to a privilege.

Zogby 2009: Forty-seven percent believe that affordable healthcare is a right, and 30% say it is a privilege. Another 20% believe it is neither.

At one point, almost 70% of Americans wanted a public option.

Americans are MUCH more “left” on the healthcare issue than our Corporate TOOL government. (and many other issues too)

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-02-17 11:06:19

70% of Americans also told Congress to deny the bailouts.

Republics serve a purpose to act as a circuit breaker for public opinion that is popular but unwise, but we now live in an oligarchy and it’s corrupt from top to bottom and ignoring too many popular demands will result in “bad things happening”.

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-02-17 10:11:49

Yeah! They should pull themselves up by their bootstraps and babysit or mow some lawns to pay for their own leukemia treatments.

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Comment by In Colorado
2012-02-17 10:29:49

Healthcare is not a right for poor people.

Funny how Brazil can provide it, but the “Greatest Country in the World”(TM) can’t.

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Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-02-17 11:27:41

Brazil and all those other commie-socialists have chosen to be civilized societies.

We are regressing on many different levels. Our goal is to become “New Somalia”

Please note that “pre-existing conditions” now include “age” and “weight”. Even if you are as healthy as a horse otherwise.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 06:20:48

I think the rest of the nation (like California) just does a better job of hiding theirs. Unless the Stanley Johnson commercial was only shown down here.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hn5EP9StlVA - 132k -

Florida has one-fourth of nation’s foreclosures

By Kimberly Miller
Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Posted: 9:59 p.m. Thursday, Feb. 16, 2012

Florida’s share of the nation’s foreclosure crisis increased during the fourth quarter of last year compared with the same time in 2010 as other hard-hit states, such as California, shed some of their housing burden.

According to a report Thursday by the Mortgage Bankers Association, Florida carried 24.2 percent of the foreclosures nationwide, up a percentage point from the end of 2010, while California’s foreclosure share dropped nearly 3 percentage points to 10.2 percent.

Economists from the Washington-based group attribute Florida’s stubbornly high foreclosure inventory to its judicial foreclosure procedure, which requires a judge’s approval for all cases. California is one of 29 states where repossessing a person’s home does not have to go through the courts.

“The housing situation in California is turning around much more quickly, and we attribute that to the non­judicial regime,” said Michael Frantantoni, vice president of research for the Mortgage Bankers Association. “A small minority of states is keeping the foreclosure rate much higher than it would be otherwise.”

http://www.palmbeachpost.com/money/foreclosures/florida-has-one-fourth-of-nations-foreclosures-2181173.html - -

Comment by In Colorado
2012-02-17 08:54:01

Florida has one-fourth of nation’s foreclosures

That would explain why you meet so many deadbeats in your neck of the woods.

Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 09:17:12

“That would explain why you meet so many deadbeats in your neck of the woods.”

To be sure we have more than our fair share. It would probably explain why I dislike them so much too. In the boom years they were not Deadbeats or victims but financial geniuses who told me I was just not smart enough to see how much money they had made and how much they were going to make on their refis, house purchases and other realestate investments.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-02-17 10:24:11

And their evictions are imminent, not to mention the ruined credit and recourse loans that will hound them unless they file for BK.

You’re gonna have the last laugh.You aren’t in debt, your credit is good and you won’t have bill collectors harrassing you.

Relax.

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Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-02-17 16:17:55

Yes, but rates are still low, keeping prices high…There was a time I thought I’d be rewarded, as the deadbeats were punished by not being able to buy. But the low rate/high price situation is buying those deadbeats time so that they can get back in the game to compete with the likes of us again.

Sorry if I just made your blood pressure go back up, jeff, but misery loves company. :-)

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by oxide
2012-02-17 08:13:57

My co-worker lives in a new subdivision outside Frederick MD. He told me that they are still building houses in his development, and they don’t build unless they’ve sold first. They sold the model home, so they had to build a new model home.

In other words, somebody is buying houses… in a boonie location where a 10 minute drive and 1 hour train ride STILL doesn’t get you to the Beltway, much less inside it.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-02-17 10:18:02

Insane.

 
 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2012-02-17 09:10:15

http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=202168

MBIA says it has found new evidence of widespread mortgage origination fraud to bolster its lawsuit against the former Countrywide (now owned by Bank of America, and the previous pimp of Senator Chris Dodd). I am shocked, shocked! to discover this activity going on here in our tightly-regulated financial services sector.

 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2012-02-17 09:12:13

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-17076378

Fake US bonds worth trillions seized in Italy. The Fed won’t appreciate the competition when it comes to creating money out of thin air.

Comment by measton
2012-02-17 10:23:10

Are you kidding the FED would love to have someone printing bonds that would pass for real. They want inflation right.

Oh but It does prevent the group of thieves that the FED supports from coming out on top so maybe you’re right.

Comment by Liz Pendens
2012-02-17 10:50:40

No kidding. I figure the FED is all for anyone who can counterfeit our currency without getting caught - less work for them.

New Idea for Ben B: Alternative to QE - Implement “easing” of anti-counterfeitting features on currency: Stop using watermarks, hidden threads, etc. to make bills easier to copy.

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 11:43:37

Nah, the Fed wants us to have absolute faith in the realness of the currency, while it and it alone also controls the absolute power to dilute it at will.

You plan would undermine both sides of that.

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Comment by Steve J
2012-02-17 09:17:22

At least the oil is safe!

As Libya marks the first anniversary of its revolution on Friday, the dozens of well-armed militia groups operating across the vast country have slipped well out of the control of the nascent government in Tripoli, making the country ever more fractured as well as dangerous to ordinary Libyans attempting to adjust to the end of Muammar Gaddafi’s 41-year dictatorship.

That assessment came on Thursday from Amnesty International, whose latest research on the country documents at least 12 Libyans who have died in militia custody since September, allegedly after being beaten, suspended upside down and given electric shocks. In a chilling 38-page report published on the eve of the anniversary, Amnesty describes a wave of terror and widespread abuse by militia groups, whose members in recent months have dragged hundreds, perhaps thousands, of Libyans from their homes or from roadside checkpoints into makeshift jails on suspicion of being Gaddafi sympathizers or having fought alongside the regime’s forces during the civil war.

http://news.yahoo.com/gaddafis-fall-why-libya-more-dangerous-place-054000250.html

Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2012-02-17 09:48:05

Wait, these militas have to be the good guys. We the Taxpayers spent over a billion dollars backing the “NATO” campaign that enabled them to overthrow and murder Qaddaffi.

 
Comment by b-hamster
2012-02-17 10:07:25

As long as it’s in the name of democracy, it’s all good. Follow the US>Iraq/Afghanistan model. We’ve set the new standard as the beacon of hope and justice in the world.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-02-17 11:12:57

A beacon? Are you sure that isn’t a train at the end of the tunnel? :lol:

Comment by b-hamster
2012-02-17 12:45:49

…or maybe white phosphorus.

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Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2012-02-17 09:27:06

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/BDIY:IND

Despite all the Happy Talk and fake economic data, the Baltic Dry index just keeps dropping.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 10:46:49

Rail looks pretty healthy, so far.

Comment by measton
2012-02-17 15:15:13

Is that due to Baken oil??

 
Comment by The_Overdog
2012-02-17 15:36:44

Travelling along I40 in November, there was a train going each way about every 15 minutes. The east/west rail industry didn’t look too unhealthy.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-02-17 16:51:49

Anecdotal data point from Tucson: The east-west trains going through here are longer. And more frequent.

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Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2012-02-17 09:34:20

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/germany/9088324/Blow-to-Angela-Merkel-as-German-president-Christian-Wulff-resigns.html

I am shocked, shocked! that there could be such high-level corruption and malfeasance in a German administration whose primary purpose is to advance globalism and serve as a collection agency and loan shark for the banksters.

 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2012-02-17 09:56:32

TurboTax Timmy may yet have to give an account under oath for his role, as New York Fed Chairman, for abetting the JP Morgan asset-stripping of Bear Stearns and Lehman while hiving off $30 billion in toxic-waste mortgages onto taxpayers.

http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20120216-722070.html

Lehman Brothers Subpoenas Geithner In JP Morgan Fight

Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (LEHMQ) and its creditors late Thursday said they want to subpoena Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner to question him under oath over allegations J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) illegally siphoned billions of dollars from the collapsing investment bank in the days before it filed for the largest bankruptcy in U.S. history.

Comment by goon squad
2012-02-17 10:16:27

Where is former Lehman CEO Richard Fuld in all of this? Go watch his last testimony before Congress on C-Span and you’d think the collapse of Lehman and the financial meltdown was just a minor annoyance to him that he could take a Tums for and make it go away.

Comment by measton
2012-02-17 11:33:43

My guess is Fuld and the others are too busy counting their money. My guess is they all had massive short position through Hedge Funds and made out like bandits.

 
 
Comment by measton
2012-02-17 10:26:24

and just when Timmy was getting close to landing the high paying CEO job for megabank inc. It’s not uncommon that prostitutes get tossed aside after they are used Timmy.

Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2012-02-17 11:11:14

Trust me, Goldman Sachs has a nice corner office set aside for Timmy after all the stellar work he’s done for them while engaged in “public service.”

Comment by rms
2012-02-17 20:44:29

…Goldman Sachs has a nice corner office set aside for Timmy…

Or PIMCO, which has much better weather.

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Comment by Liz Pendens
2012-02-17 11:10:01

TTT isn’t worried. He knows he is above the law. That’s why he smirks at everyone.

 
 
Comment by truthsquadrookie
2012-02-17 10:15:35

Pat Buchanan fired from MSNBC.

They sure loved him when he used to bash Bush (rightfully, I might add) non stop. He served his purpose. Let that be a lesson to you, the loud guy in the morning.

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 10:21:31

B.j. Thomas
Another Somebody Done Somebody Wrong Song
lyrics

The U-Hauls packed tight
And the feelin’ just got right for a brand new
Some banker done some Deadbeat wrong song

Hey, wontcha play another some banker done some Deadbeat wrong song
And make me feel at home
While I load my U-Haul, while I load my U-Haul

So please play for me a sad melody
So sad that it makes everybody cry-y-y-y
A real hurtin’ song about a house that’s now gone
’cause I don’t want to cry all alone

Hey, wontcha play another some banker done some Deadbeat wrong song
And make me feel at home
While I load my U-Haul, while I load my U-Haul

So please play for me a sad melody
So sad that it makes everybody cry-y-y-y
A real hurtin’ song my free house is all gone
And I don’t want to cry all alone

(Hey) wontcha play (wontcha play) another somebody done

FADE

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 11:55:49

LOL…

 
 
Comment by Sammy Schadenfreude
2012-02-17 10:43:52

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/masked-gunmen-raid-ancient-olympia-museum-7035109.html

As Greece’s politicians reduce the population to beggary to pay off their creditors, so is a rising criminal element taking advantage of the crisis to raid and loot the country’s antiquities. This is going to be a cautionary tale for the very few Americans who are paying attention.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-02-17 10:55:10

Hey. I just remembered something. It’s Carnaval in Rio. Great. 5 days of half naked people drinking beer and dancing in the streets. What are these people so damn happy about?

But seriously, they either love it or hate Carnaval in Rio. Half the people LOVE it and half the Rio people get the he!! out of Dodge until it’s over.

Comment by Liz Pendens
2012-02-17 11:16:33

I am betting that the unemployed love Carnival. We should have it here.

 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-02-17 11:53:00

” 5 days of half naked people drinking beer and dancing in the streets.”

What do the completely naked people do for those 5 days?

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 12:46:13

Free condoms for everyone I hear. Pass the Dengi fever!

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-02-17 13:51:01

“What do the completely naked people do for 5 days?

They might be boaters on a short cruise.

 
 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-02-17 11:58:53

5 days of half naked people drinking beer and dancing in the streets.

:-) Sounds like a great party! :-)

 
Comment by Muggy
2012-02-17 15:53:20

“5 days of half naked people”

That’s going to be a lot of place-kicking on your mind!

 
 
Comment by Muggy
2012-02-17 15:48:02

TALLAHASSEE — Faster foreclosures could be coming to Florida.

A landmark $26 billion settlement with large banks over robo-signing and a measure moving through the Florida Legislature could help bring the state’s bloated, groggy foreclosure machine roaring back to life.

http://www.tampabay.com/news/business/realestate/faster-foreclosures-could-be-coming-to-florida/1215881

Check out the comments:

Jeff’s kindred spirit:

bikewidow Feb 17, 2012 10:21 AM

all of my neighbors are living the high life right now, great vacations, new motorcycles and other toys why because they haven’t paid their mortgage in over a year even though they can I say speed it up and get rid of them… how bout giving a break to the ones that are working their butts off to make sure they are taking care or their responsibility

Combo’s kindred spirit:

walkingnformation Feb 17, 2012 1:27 PM

The banks aren’t foreclosing because of any ‘robosigning’ scandal. That’s pure bunk. They aren’t foreclosing because it will cost them more money in maintenance and upkeep of the empty homes as well as the rock bottom prices they would have to sell them at right now. Most people can’t get financed unless they have 20% down and 800+ credit scores. Which means almost nobody.

So why would banks want to foreclose knowing the state of the economy? They will just trudge along like they are doing now, hoping/waiting for the market to recover. Meanwhile, the deliquent homeowners who live there keep up the place and the banks don’t have to spend money on anything. They will foreclose faster, when it is in their best financial interest.

To suggest that the ‘robosigning’ scandal is preventing foreclosures is the height of idiocy. Banks do what they do for the most selfish reason of all,… plain ole greed.

 
Comment by Muggy
2012-02-17 17:31:18

I grew up not far from this house, and rode my bike by it often. I loved it!

http://www.democratandchronicle.com/article/20120216/LIVING/302160034/Mushroom-House-sells-799-900?odyssey=obinsite

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-02-17 17:42:43

From Tucson’s leading daily fishwrap, we have this breaking news:

Median home price in area is up but still lower than last year

Commenter Ricardo, who frequently weighs in on local real estate stories, isn’t impressed. Here’s a snippet from his epistle:

The median home price in the Tucson area increased about 4 percent in January 2012 compared to December.”

So? What do you think that means? Are home prices going to increase at 4% X 12 months = +48% during 2012?

Using that sentence about median home price as the article’s lead panders to real estate brokers who, for the last three years, have been saying the bottom of the decline has passed. Buy now.

The median home price is not indicative of very much, because one high priced sale can pull the median up significantly.

The average sale price is a bit more useful than the median, and the average is still declining.

The great news is that the number of listings is way down, so there is less competition among sellers.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-02-17 19:11:30

Hey Jethro…. email me at goonsquad@hushmail.me

 
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