March 13, 2012

A National Example Of Financial Incompetence

The LA Times reports from California. “Attracted by an abundance of foreclosures and aided by interest rates near record lows, renovators are giving distressed properties a makeover. They’re then reselling them to young professionals priced out of nearby Echo Park and Silver Lake. Adam L. Bauer and his brother Logan took the plunge into Highland Park last year, pooling their money to buy a three-bedroom bungalow on a quiet street for $494,000. ‘It’s nice that there is still a place where artists or families aren’t priced out of buying a home,’ said Logan, a writer and lifestyle and wellness consultant.”

The Desert Sun. “As the economy continues to improve, developers and builders increasingly are seeing opportunity in buying and resurrecting stalled or bank-owned residential developments in the Coachella Valley. National home-builder Toll Brothers bought 44 lots in the Alta development in Palm Springs. Five of the luxury homes priced at about $737,000 and above sold in the first month.”

“At Villas at Mirada, Los Angeles-based Meriwether Management Company managing partner Graham Culp said all of the finished homes and half of the lots have been sold since July, prompting Meriwether to push forward its schedule to sell and build the remaining 23 homes with three floor plans priced at $1.25 million to $1.5 million. ‘Once you know the buyer’s definition of value, our job is to give it to them,’ said Vincent Barbato, a principal at Palm Desert-based Family Development.”

The Marin Independent Journal. “Regional planners have cut the county’s projected job growth by more than 40 percent in the latest draft of 30-year Bay Area growth plan. In Novato 30-year housing growth was cut by nearly half, from about 1,600 households in August 2011 to about 900 in the new draft. In Ross the 30-year housing growth projection nearly doubled, from 70 households to 130. ‘I’m willing to take one for the team and take some of the units,’ Ross Senior Planner Elise Semonian said.”

“But actually building the units in the 1.6-square-mile town, where one-acre lots have fetched as much as $10 million, is not likely, she said. ‘The units just won’t realistically be developed here,’ Semonian said.”

The Press Democrat. “Occupy protesters spoke out against foreclosures in a press conference in front of the Sonoma County Recorder’s office on Monday, March 12, 2012. Patsy Griffin-Young of Petaluma said she has had financial problems since the recession hit the building industry, for which she is a consultant. It caused her to default on her mortgage and file bankruptcy. Griffin-Young said she has filed six applications in the past three years asking her lender to modify her loan. The lender has lost her paperwork and changed its rules for modifications, leaving her stuck in her current loan, she said.”

“Petaluma Vice Mayor Tiffany Renée said the foreclosure crisis is disrupting neighborhoods, while local governments are losing tax revenue as property values decline. ‘Communities are facing an economic collapse,’ Renée said. ‘We are asking the government to put a moratorium on foreclosures.’”

The Examiner. “Calling this action ‘Occupy the Crime Scene,’ organizers said rallies and direct actions are taking place from Sacramento, the San Francisco Bay Area and at various points south all the way to Los Angeles. C.J. Holmes, a real estate broker serving as the Housing Policy Director and Real Estate Analyst with the group Home Owners For Justice, said the loans came with adjustable rates ‘designed to explode.’”

“‘That way, when the date comes due, these owners will rush in and they’ll refinance,’ she said. ‘And that worked very well for several years.’ Until, that is, the bottom fell out of the real estate market in 2008 and homeowners suddenly found that they couldn’t refinance because their loans ‘exploded, from $1,500 a month to $4,200 a month and they walked,’ she said.”

The Sacramento Bee. “Ed Harney was married, had two children and had worked more than a decade at a booming Sacramento-area mortgage bank. ‘Life was very good,’ said Harney.”

“That was just five years ago. Nowadays, Harney, 50, is cobbling together a livelihood working temporary jobs and has signed up for insurance sales classes. Selling insurance is not an occupation he would necessarily choose, but he hopes it will pay the bills. He’s one of thousands of local bank employees who have had the rug pulled out from under their lives since 2007, a byproduct of the housing boom and bust. ‘This has not been a fun trip, but I gotta do what I gotta do to make the house payment,’ Harney said.”

The Fresno Bee. “Fresno Mayor Ashley Swearengin on Monday warned that the city is in ’severe financial stress’ that demands immediate action and presented a 10-year plan calling for more concessions from city workers. In an afternoon meeting with The Bee’s editorial board, Swearengin and City Manager Mark Scott moved the talk far away from the fiscal-emergency declarations and Chapter 9 bankruptcy threats that have made the city of Stockton a national example of financial incompetence.”

“At the same time, Swearengin and Scott drew a line in the sand for the city’s 3,200 employees, implying that the Stockton scenario isn’t far-fetched for Fresno.”

The Contra Costa Times. “The Bay Area economy has bounced back from the recession, but experts warned Monday that long-term challenges still loom. The region also must figure out how to expand the benefits from the economic rebound beyond the well-paid and highly skilled workers in the industries that are rebounding most strongly. Those assessments emerged from meetings Monday at Stanford University and in San Francisco, part of a wide-ranging effort by leaders in business, labor, politics and academia to improve the struggling California economy.”

“To be sure, the Bay Area job market for technology, knowledge industries and high-end manufacturing has surged. But these industries don’t always produce huge numbers of jobs, and job growth hasn’t benefited all parts of the region’s economy. Panelists representing the Bay Area’s primary urban centers laid out their primary goals for economic improvement. ‘We are not looking for handouts, we are not looking for relief,’ said Russell Hancock, president of Joint Venture: Silicon Valley Network. ‘We don’t want a government that embarrasses us. California is becoming a laughingstock.’”

The Merced Sun Star. “Two Realtors waded through a house littered with empty beer cans, broken glass and piles of garbage last week — the result of disgruntled tenants who were evicted from the home after their landlord was foreclosed on. The destruction appears to be the result of a ‘Sharpie party,’ a new fad where people losing their homes to foreclosure invite friends over for a booze-fueled party, pass out felt-tip markers, draw on the walls and destroy the property.”

“If Sharpie parties become a prevalent trend, the district attorney’s office wants to stop it before it further depresses a troubled housing market, said Anna Hazel, an investigator with the Merced County District Attorney’s office. For example, if the house is sold at a reduced price because the bank’s not willing to come in and make the repairs, that lowered value could affect sale prices of nearby houses. ‘It’s a ripple effect,’ Hazel said.”

The Associated Press. “The Ritz-Carlton Kapalua hotel in Hawaii, a luxury ski resort in the Rockies and a Manhattan boutique hotel are among the last holdings of Lehman Brothers. The bank said that it will begin unloading its stakes in those properties in April as it prepares to exit Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection and finally meet its end. They are the choice baubles from a not-so-distant gilded age. ‘These items capture the euphoria of the times when banks got swept up in the speculative bubble,’ said Bert Ely, president of Ely & Co., a banking consulting firm.”

“The money from the sales beginning in April will go to Lehman’s creditors. Among them are people with retirement money managed by the California Public Employees’ Retirement System. The creditors are still expected to end up with no more than pennies on the dollar.”

“But others may make off with some lesser-valued but potent emblems of the heyday. In 2010, some items that were found at Lehman’s old headquarters and at its other offices in Boston, Chicago and Los Angeles offices included Tiffany paperweights, tote bags for ski boots and a Montblanc paper-clip bowl.”

From MarketWatch. “Jose, 47, hoped to build a life with his wife Maria, 43, and three children in Phoenix, Arizona where he took a new job at a plastic bag factory in 2007. Unfortunately, he was unable to sell a home he and his wife bought in 2002 in La Puente, California, six hours away by car. After five years of frustration, Jose moved back there in September to take a lower-paying job at a factory he had previously worked at.”

“The couple bought the home for $415,000 and later took out a $65,000 second mortgage. Today, Maria and Jose owe $245,000 more than their home is worth (which is $235,000) and have a loan to value ratio of 204%. ‘If we could sell the property, we would have moved to Arizona,’ Maria said.”

“John Shore, age 62, said he would like to retire and move to the central coast of California but can’t because he has to make mortgage payments on a home on the outskirts of Fresno, Calif. that is severely underwater. Shore says he can’t retire and move because he’s locked into mortgage payments on his severely ‘underwater’ home. ‘If I had something physically go wrong with me I would be the next person to lose my house,’ Shore said.”




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47 Comments »

Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-13 08:18:36

Adam L. Bauer and his brother Logan took the plunge into Highland Park last year, pooling their money to buy a three-bedroom bungalow on a quiet street for $494,000. ‘It’s nice that there is still a place where artists or families aren’t priced out of buying a home,’ said Logan, a writer and lifestyle and wellness consultant

So 500K is still considered “middle class” in LA?

This is what 475K buys out here

http://www.realtor.com/realestateandhomes-detail/447-Marcellina-Dr_Loveland_CO_80537_M27079-93745

Comment by The_Overdog
2012-03-13 08:44:40

I just checked, and it is only if you don’t want to live near blacks or Mexicans.

Date: 03/12/2012
Single Family & Condo Inventory: 30,661
25th Percentile Asking Price: $230,000
Median Asking Price: $330,000
75th Percentile Asking Price: $531,000

Comment by rms
2012-03-13 11:57:35

I just checked, and it is only if you don’t want to live near blacks or Mexicans.

I dunno those strawberry pickers might surprise ‘ya. ;)

Comment by The_Overdog
2012-03-13 12:59:01

They let him in for diversity and as he has a lot of fresh fruit for the ‘hood in his pockets. :)

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Comment by ahansen
2012-03-13 09:21:35

“Priced out of Echo Park and Silverlake” ?

That’s like being priced out of the favilla. These tiny barrio houses are located on a steep hillside a smog-funnel surrounded by three freeways and downtown LA. I particularly enjoyed the “details” of one of the staged flipper houses shown in the photo sequence– a desert succulent in an ashtray atop a cooking oil canister. Well worth a half a mil for the “edgy” decor alone.

Comment by Steve J
2012-03-13 12:25:37

Echo Park was were you bought heroin and other sundries not that long ago….

 
 
Comment by AmazingRuss
2012-03-13 10:37:38

Artists or families… or idiots.

 
Comment by Wil Carolan
2012-03-14 18:26:44

yea but “it’s different in California”.

 
 
Comment by azdude
2012-03-13 08:20:40

I see the can kicking is still in place. One bubble to the next. Buy some aapl stock but dont get caught holding the bag when the smart money decides its time to sell.This economy is like a comedy skit.

Comment by Ben Jones
2012-03-13 08:33:48

Distortions to the economy create all sorts of problems. For example:

‘aided by interest rates near record lows, renovators are giving distressed properties a makeover’

If not for the central bank/govt meddling in interest rates, loans, propping up failed lenders, and permitting the shadow inventory, would these investors be paying $400k? Would there be buyers for their rehabs? Will these distortions last forever, or will today’s buyer eventually be underwater and walk away?

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-13 09:04:45

“Will these distortions last forever, or will today’s buyer eventually be underwater and walk away?”

I’m guessing the plan is to QE enough so $400K looks reasonable, but that’s just a guess.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-13 11:10:14

0% interest with a 200 year payback term might make $00K look reasonable.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-13 11:11:14

Oops! $400K

 
Comment by polly
2012-03-13 12:46:14

So renting for $167 a month plus taxes, insurance, utilities and maintenance? I’d have to see the numbers on the taxes, insurance and utilities and get a good inspection, but that might be an OK deal as long as it is in a non-recourse state. You’d have to be willing to do a jingle mail when you need to go into assisted living.

 
 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-03-13 15:16:44

QE does not create wage increase. No amount of QE will make $400K a reasonable price for a location where median income is $50K.

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Comment by Montana
2012-03-13 08:45:36

I looked at a horrible bankruptcy filing out of California yesterday. Couple with over half a mil listed debt, owe 600k on a 300k house, 7-8 credit cards, 4 mortgages, more banks, various retail but NO medical…they used funds from a family partnership for…something. Boat repo’d. I suspect more flipper madness but only one property is listed.

This was also an ethnic affinity crime…Unbelievable what people will do to their friends and family.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-13 08:57:35

Unbelievable what people will do to their friends and family.

It wasn’t personal, it was “just business”.

Thank heaven we live in a “Christian” nation.

Comment by AmazingRuss
2012-03-13 10:40:39

In all the years I’ve been in business, the only people that ever ripped me off were hardcore religious people. It’s like they think God put everyone else on the planet for their personal use.

Anytime I see some holy roller coming, no matter what the faith, I run the other way.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-13 18:41:04

Religion = last refuge of scoundrels and thieves…

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Comment by rms
2012-03-13 12:08:20

Thank heaven we live in a “Christian” nation.

+1 A good storybook tale makes herding the flock easier.

 
 
Comment by Montana
2012-03-13 13:04:11

I think it was more the ethnic connection here rather than religion.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-13 13:15:01

I’ve seen both. Even though I am a Christian, I am always leery of doing business with someone just because they have the little fishie in their yellow pages advert. Real world references matter more to me.

That said, I don’t think all “holy rollers” are crooks. But some definitely are. Somehow, the crooks think it’s OK, because it’s “nothing personal, it’s only business”.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-13 08:59:00

“Regional planners have cut the county’s projected job growth by more than 40 percent in the latest draft of 30-year Bay Area growth plan. In Novato 30-year housing growth was cut by nearly half, from about 1,600 households in August 2011 to about 900 in the new draft.”

California Dreamin’ ain’t all that any more…

Comment by AmazingRuss
2012-03-13 10:43:25

I recently bailed on the state, and in my dealings selling stuff and getting a trailer, I spoke to 4 other strangers that were doing the same thing. If you aren’t filthy rich or on welfare, you get eaten alive by taxes and cost of living.

Just getting out of California added almost $3000/month to my bottom line. I wonder how long this exodus of productive people can last before the state collapses.

 
Comment by rms
2012-03-13 12:10:34

California Dreamin’ ain’t all that any more…

Mamas & The Papas
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N-aK6JnyFmk

 
 
Comment by Get Stucco
2012-03-13 09:00:05

“The couple bought the home for $415,000 and later took out a $65,000 second mortgage. Today, Maria and Jose owe $245,000 more than their home is worth (which is $235,000) and have a loan to value ratio of 204%. ‘If we could sell the property, we would have moved to Arizona,’ Maria said.”

Jose Sixpack got stucco.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-13 09:04:34

These people had no business buying a 200K house, much less a a 400K house. They should buy a 100K house in Phoenix (if they just HAVE to “own”) and walk away from the California house.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-13 09:18:43

Don’t Jose and Maria realize that CA is a non-recourse state?

YouWalkAway.com

Comment by ProperBostonian
2012-03-13 17:58:36

Just walk away Jose. Jeff Saturday–a song?

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-13 23:46:30

Seems Jeff is sleeping, so I will do my best to pinch-hit for him:

Do you want to walk away, Jose
You’ve been broke so long
You may go wrong and forget to pay
Do you want to walk away, Jose
I’m goin’ back to find
A little shack in South LA

LA is a great big freeway
Put a million down and buy a house
In a week, maybe two, they’ll make you a star
Weeks turn into years, how quick they pass
And all the stars that never were
Are flippin’ homes and peddlin’ ass

You can’t really breathe in South LA
They’ve got no space
There’ll be no place where you can stay
I was born and raised in South LA
I’m goin’ back to lose
My peace of mind in South LA

 
 
 
 
Comment by rms
2012-03-13 18:47:01

The couple bought the home for $415,000 and later took out a $65,000 second mortgage.

This stinks like an Option-ARM loan, and Jose isn’t that dull. They have likely never paid more than the interest on that $415,000 loan, if that, and they milked the place for another $65,000. If this Mexican was white he’d be working on Wall street.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-13 09:01:33

“The Ritz-Carlton Kapalua hotel in Hawaii, a luxury ski resort in the Rockies and a Manhattan boutique hotel are among the last holdings of Lehman Brothers. The bank said that it will begin unloading its stakes in those properties in April as it prepares to exit Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection and finally meet its end.”

Now that the economic recovery is well underway, let the real estate fire sales begin!

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-13 09:02:31

“Jose, 47, hoped to build a life with his wife Maria, 43, and three children in Phoenix, Arizona where he took a new job at a plastic bag factory in 2007″ … The couple bought the home for $415,000

It never ceases to amaze me how blue collar, lunchpail type workers bought such expensive houses. We owe less than these folks do and I’m certain that we make a lot more than they do, yet I fret about paying off the house ASAP.

They should just file BK and walk away.

Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-03-13 15:21:13

Tell me about it. My mortgage is now less than my wife and I make in a year(pre-tax), and it still isn’t coming down fast enough for me.

I can’t imagine having 1/3th the income and owe 3x the amount on a house.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-13 09:03:33

“Calling this action ‘Occupy the Crime Scene,’ organizers said rallies and direct actions are taking place from Sacramento, the San Francisco Bay Area and at various points south all the way to Los Angeles. C.J. Holmes, a real estate broker serving as the Housing Policy Director and Real Estate Analyst with the group Home Owners For Justice, said the loans came with adjustable rates ‘designed to explode.’”

Apparently many Californians are just now waking up from the denial phase of the housing bubble stages of grief. Good morning, folks!

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-13 09:17:11

“If Sharpie parties become a prevalent trend, the district attorney’s office wants to stop it before it further depresses a troubled housing market, said Anna Hazel, an investigator with the Merced County District Attorney’s office.”

I’m missing the problem. Are most people too stupid to realize that homes whose interiors are besmirched by Sharpies will sell for below-market prices?

 
Comment by Beer and Cigar Guy
2012-03-13 09:27:58

“‘It’s nice that there is still a place where artists or families aren’t priced out of buying a home,’ said Logan, a writer and lifestyle and wellness consultant.”

“..said Logan, a writer and lifestyle and wellness consultant.”

Huh… so he is a writer and lifestyle and wellness consultant. I wonder what training and qualifications are needed to have a job title like that? I’ll bet the licensure requirements in CA are pretty stringent for that level of responsibility.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-13 10:21:43

I wonder what training and qualifications are needed to have a job title like that?

The funny thing is that people will fork over good money to get new age health advice.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-13 12:19:35

It sounds more respectable than gigolo.

Comment by Steve J
2012-03-13 12:30:39

Isnt that what Eskimos live in?

 
 
 
Comment by Erik
2012-03-13 10:34:06

Bubble never really ended, just took a break. Numerous interests come together to push for reinflating the bubble and I see signs it’s happening. The coming election means spiking the punch a bit to make people think things are turning the corner. The “lifestyle consultant” and his ilk are just tomorrow’s strategic defaulters. Prices may be down, but they’re not down to where they should be which is where they were not later than 1997 and maybe earlier..
The houses just are not worth the price if you actually had to pay them off. They’re still only worth what they cost based on anticipated appreciation. That’s what all these current buyers are counting on and the real estate industry with its propaganda is doing all it can to promote the delusional magical thinking that drives people to make illogical and impractical decisions about buying houses.
What’s fascinating is the staying power of the leveraged debt based economy….Seigniorage privileges of empire as long as they last are the only things keeping the wagon on the road….

Comment by rms
2012-03-13 18:52:44

The “lifestyle consultant” and his ilk are just tomorrow’s strategic defaulters.

Would Pol Pot have any use for a “lifestyle consultant?”

 
 
Comment by sold in 04
2012-03-13 14:13:04

5703 Ventura Canyon LA CA 91401, flipper stole this house from me offered 400k no loan contingency,i offered same w/ standard loan contingency, i was pre-approved. He is fixing it up from top to bottom, and will ask 600k. This was going to be my families 10 year house,but low interest rates,are keeping these prices sky high…

Comment by jinglemale
2012-03-14 03:23:53

That’s tough. Probably never find another house for sale………..

 
 
Comment by Dave
2012-03-13 15:35:36

Patsy Griffin-Young of Petaluma said she has had financial problems since the recession hit the building industry, for which she is a consultant. It caused her to default on her mortgage and file bankruptcy. Griffin-Young said she has filed six applications in the past three years asking her lender to modify her loan. The lender has lost her paperwork and changed its rules for modifications, leaving her stuck in her current loan, she said.”

What’s the issue? You can’t pay what you agreed to pay. Time to move. Not sure where this feeling of entitlement came from…but it’s spreading.

Comment by BetterRenter
2012-03-13 22:40:38

It was the most brilliantly designed bubble, ever. Not only was it highly vertically integrated (seller, buyer, realtor, broker/lender, investor, regulator, media), but the points of greatest pain (buyers and sellers) were the same points which could actually make a plausible ownership claim, both legally (via title) and culturally (”it’s my house!”, etc.).

You couldn’t have designed a better asset-speculation bubble if you had tried. And that tells me that it WAS designed. And that means all this bleating pain at the consumer endpoints is being exposed and played ALSO as designed. The sense of entitlement should have been moot if the larger paradigm of law enforcement had been enacted; but it wasn’t, hence the entitlement is not really the problem. The problem is that people tossed the very basis of our legal system out the window, that being the validity of contracts.

 
 
Comment by BetterRenter
2012-03-13 16:27:12

Anecdote time, again!

That neighbor lady trying to sell her $60K-assessed rental duplex to my friends for $125K, is still working ‘em over with the social-pressure angle. I had obtained strict promises out of both of my friends (a married couple) that there’s no way they’d do the deal, since it’s not a deal at all, but now the neighbor is sweetening the pot with some sort of scheme to self-finance the deal. She failed with attempt #1 ($125K), then offered #2 as “less” (unspecified), which was also rejected. Like I’ve said before, her accent makes it hard to really tell what she’s saying (always a bonus in making a huge financial decision in your life, right?), but apparently after the initial refusals, she’s proposing now (#3) that the couple just make payments to her for the rental duplex, and she’d keep the title (for now?). It’s some sort of bizarre rent-to-own scheme. The wife of the couple told me in exasperation:

“She’s old! What happens when she dies and the family has to sort out the deal she worked out with us?!”

I never had to deal with this much ‘bubble pressure’ before, and it’s really insidious, and at this juncture, really angering. Neighbor or not, I’d have told her to stop forcing this property on us, but it’s not my business to say that to her. She just has to take the loss and move on, so hopefully my friends will continue to resist. Currently they stand firm on the (wrong) angle of “the bank won’t let us take out another mortgage”, and so you can see why the neighbor lady formulated proposal #3.

 
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