March 19, 2012

Bits Bucket for March 19, 2012

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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380 Comments »

Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 03:57:48

Who haz da bluz dis mornin????

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wkt2EJ02Eh4

Comment by Liz Pendens
2012-03-19 09:49:19

Realtors Blow.

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 06:34:25

One thing you have to love about stupid people is that they never seem to know when a party is too crowded.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 07:07:13

That’s because they’re probably too drunk and/or stoned to notice. They don’t call it dope for nuthin’!

 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-19 07:12:42

“I was going to call 3-1-1 several times,” she said.”

Is that how you dial 911 in NYC?

Comment by Jim A
2012-03-19 07:50:42

–Probably the non-emergency number. Many areas have additional toll-free numbers for non-emergency things like noise complaints so that they don’t tie up the emergency operators.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-19 08:05:28

Yes, but if you dial “3″ several times….. oh never mind.

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Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 08:30:33

933 ?

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 08:37:48

311 is for non emergency complaints or information

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-19 04:31:56

Liars Are Realtors

(my apologies to liars)

Comment by palmetto
2012-03-19 05:30:51

Well played, well played!

Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-19 06:07:14

Thank you. I thought of that profound statement while on a culinary tour in India.

Comment by palmetto
2012-03-19 07:12:04

Oooh-la-LAH! And did you dispense a little noblesse oblige whilst on your tour? Or just lentils?

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Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-19 07:19:49

I loved Streisand in the movie Lentil.

 
Comment by palmetto
2012-03-19 07:22:42

Let them eat lentils!

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-19 07:23:20

I prepared rogan josh and shrimp vandaloo for my guests while nude male dancers imported from the Barundi countryside pranced about to the sitar music.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-19 08:04:16

It is better to rent nude dancers than to import them, over the long term.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-03-19 08:48:00

A little political humor;

A campaign worker comes to give Mitt Romney the news on the latest caucus.

Worker: Mr Romney the latest vote count is in, and I have good news and bad news.

Romney: What’s the bad news?

Worker: Ron Paul got 75% of the vote.

Romney: Crap, what could the good news be?

Worker: You got 76%.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 09:12:40

Wife and I went to a party yesterday. The host was her former piano student. I struck up a conversation w/ the former student’s husband. Turns out the guy is a libertarian who said he would vote for Ron Paul, except he doesn’t believe Paul has a chance in November.

I told the fellow that I expect him to tell me he voted for Ron Paul the next time we meet up, assuming it is after November 2012.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:11:44

And conversely.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 05:52:53

Mortgage Burden for Bales Familiar Story for U.S. Troops
By Gopal Ratnam and Elliot Blair Smith on March 19, 2012

The housing finance setbacks that confronted Army Staff Sergeant Robert Bales, the soldier accused of killing at least 16 civilians in Afghanistan, are one part of his story that many U.S. troops would recognize.

Bales and his wife owned a home in Washington state she was trying to sell for less than its mortgage and another that sits empty with a “Do Not Occupy” sign from the city on the door. At one point, the couple owed more than $500,000 on the homes.

Last month, four of the biggest mortgage servicers agreed to a $25 billion settlement with the Justice Department to end a probe into whether they had improperly foreclosed on the homes of armed service personnel since 2006. Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY), Citigroup Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Wells Fargo & Co. agreed to the pact. Bank of America Corp. reached a partial settlement with the government in May 2011.

Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Ally consented to pay $116,785 plus lost equity and interest to any service member who was identified as a victim of wrongful foreclosure.

Justice Department Review

The banks also agreed to a review to be overseen by the Justice Department’s Civil Rights Division to determine whether any service member since 2008 was charged mortgage interest in excess of 6 percent after a valid request to reduce the rate. Maintaining a higher rate is prohibited under the Servicemembers Civil Relief Act.

While many soldiers have shared the burden of mortgage payments that ballooned and home values that plummeted during the housing crisis, Robert and Karilyn Bales were in a much deeper financial hole than most.

Bales, 38, is being held in a military prison in Fort Leavenworth, Kansas, as he’s investigated over the shootings in two villages in southern Afghanistan on March 11.

The family’s two properties were in Washington state, within commuting distance of Joint Base Lewis-McChord, where Robert Bales was based.

Two Homes

The couple borrowed $506,250 on the two residential properties in October 2006, public records show — $178,500 on a house in Auburn and $327,750 on a home in Lake Tapps. Today, the two houses have a combined assessed value of $358,100, or 29 percent less than the initial loan amounts, county records in Washington state show.

Karilyn Bales had listed the Lake Tapps home, where the family lives, as a “short sale,” for less than the mortgage balance, according to Phillip Rodocker, the real-estate agent who listed the house.

Robert Bales, who was deployed to Afghanistan in December, had departed for the third of his three deployments to Iraq in August 2009 just as the house the couple rented out in Auburn was about to be auctioned at the entrance to the King County, Washington, administration building.

Auction Notice

The Bales owed $15,644.19 on the house plus $1,333.46 in trustee’s fees, according to the auction notice. The auction subsequently was canceled without explanation. A Bank of America filing in King County, in August 2011 said the couple was $16,978 in arrears on the rental property.

The house sits vacant and banned for occupancy by the city.

Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 06:19:01

“The couple borrowed $506,250″

Watchya think of that beaut? Borrow a half million…… think about it. The casualness of such a act is stunning.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:33:01

She worked for WaMu. What would you expect?

 
Comment by rms
2012-03-19 07:07:31

Watchya think of that beaut? Borrow a half million…

Everyone we know in California is in at least that deep, and one has credit card debt that exceeds what we paid for our house.

Comment by AmazingRuss
2012-03-19 09:24:24

California is the land of desperation. It’s like the Titanic, stern in the air, juuuust about to break in half and sink.

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Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 12:06:04

CA is to big to sink

 
 
Comment by ProperBostonian
2012-03-19 16:04:40

rms–That’s amazing. How much credit card debt is that? Do you know what they bought with it? I wonder if they are paying the 21% interest rate. Do they have a mortgage and other debt as well?

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Comment by rms
2012-03-19 18:48:07

How much credit card debt is that?

That’s more than $125k (my house) anyway.

Two top incomes, always new leather SUVs, several real vacations per year, private schools, etc., the stuff dreams are made of…for peeps like me. One of ‘em lost a job a while back, and we thought it would be, “when worlds collide”, but I guess they run in the right circles, so another top paying job appeared like magic.

He has a political science degree, works for an investment bank out of Pleasanton, CA., hauling in something like $750k/yr before bonuses. I’m not sure about her, but I’m sure she tops me several times over. They’re both on their second marriages, so they’re paying for several huge homes, and supporting elderly parents too; they literally hemorrhage money. Their cash flow is roughly 10x mine, one more zero on the end. I remember a brief discussion we had regarding his employer’s 30:1 leverage; he knew it was going to explode big time, but that didn’t slow their lifestyle.

 
 
 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 06:36:45

A staff sergeant has no business owning 2 houses and sure as hell none, borrowing a half a million dollars.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:39:35

Why not?

It’s not like he was exceptional in any way — everyone was doing it.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:45:58

Just so it doesn’t seem like I pulled that remark out of my arse, let me bring up a story I have posted here once every two years or so, about my wife’s hairdresser. I visited her but once, about half a decade ago. While her husband was deployed in Iraq, she was not only earning money at home by cutting hair, but also by investing in real estate far and wide. After I told her I used to live in the Midwest, she asked for my opinion about whether Bentonville, Arkansas was a good area for real estate investment.

I’m pretty sure there is absolutely nothing unusual about a staff seargeant with $500K sunk into real estate, as some MSM comments have suggested there is.

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Comment by oxide
2012-03-19 07:35:47

Bentonville is WallyWorld HQ, probably not an unlikely target for bubble chasers. The hairdresser’s real flaw was thinking Bentonville was in the Midwest. :roll:

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 08:35:53

“…everyone was doing it.”

I hear ya CIBT. I understand exactly what you’re saying.

This is a perfect example of malfeasance in lending. There is NO way the lender should have EVER have approved that much money to anyone on that income.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 08:52:22

I’m pretty sure there is absolutely nothing unusual about a staff seargeant with $500K sunk into real estate, as some MSM comments have suggested there is.

Some of those guys are paid pretty good coin.

According to the army website, the base pay for a Staff Sergeant is $34,636. Then add all of the non taxable allowances they get and it can be another 20-30K, tax free. Plus they get bonuses, housing allowances, etc.

Here are some examples:

SPECIAL DUTY PAY

Special duty pay is for enlisted Soldiers in jobs that demand extra responsibility or extraordinary effort. Examples of these jobs include parachuting instructors, fuel specialists and combat controllers. Monthly amounts range from $75 to $450.
HARDSHIP DUTY PAY

Hardship duty pay is additional compensation for Army Soldiers assigned to locations where living conditions are substantially below conditions in the continental United States. Soldiers who serve 30 or more days in a designated hardship area receive $50, $100 or $150 per month, depending on the area.
Foreign Language Proficiency Pay

The Army pays up to $1,000 per month to active duty Soldiers and offers a $6,000 per year bonus for qualified Army Reserve Soldiers who have been certified within the past 12 months to be proficient in a foreign language critical to the military and maintain their ability to read, speak and understand it.

 
Comment by Montana
2012-03-19 09:52:57

Plus, some career military have made it a practice to buy houses wherever they are stationed for long periods of time, even overseas, and were used to selling at a profit. It was considered smart business. Knew of a guy who bought a villa in Italy while stationed there.

 
Comment by Jim A
2012-03-19 09:55:29

No doubt, mid-career and senior military members are better paid than people commonly think. Allowances (many of the untaxed) are often the greater part of their pay. But it’s still true that 500k is a metric buttload of money.

Polly, do service members and clergy still get to deduct mortgage interest since their housing allowance is already tax free? Just curious.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-03-19 10:19:27

Even if you add up all the bonus pay and allowances you’d be hard pressed to afford $500K. And I doubt that anyone would get all that bonus pay for all 30 years.

Maybe they figured they could cover the payment on an I/O neg-am with the housing allowance and sell for a profit. Mrs. WaMu would know all about it.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-03-19 10:23:35

I’m not sure anybody even does much figuring. It’s more like “housing always goes up, what else do you need to know?”.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 10:30:23

They were dual income. Not sure how much a “Project Manager” was paid at WaMu or at her new PR firm job, but in my line of business that’s a low six figure job.

Still, 500K is an absurd amount of mortgage money to borrow. I’m guessing that the Mrs. replacement job doesn’t pay as well as the old one, which probably led to the financial pressures. Having hubby go postal in Afghanland didn’t help either, as that source of income will probably be going bye-bye.

 
Comment by Jim A.
2012-03-19 11:22:21

nb. his BAH (Basic Allowance for Housing) as an E6 at Fort Lewis with a dependent would be $1650/month. Which according to my back of the envelop figuring would cover the interest only on $500k if the rate was 3.96%.

 
Comment by polly
2012-03-19 14:01:00

Jim, no idea. Just a sec. OK. I went to irs.gov and put “military publication” in the search box. This is the text at the first result:

10 Tips to Ease Tax Time for Military

IRS Summertime Tax Tip 2011-07, July 20, 2011

Military personnel have some unique duties, expenses and transitions. Some special tax benefits may apply when moving to a new base, traveling to a duty station, returning from active duty and more. These tips may put military members a bit “at ease” when it comes to their taxes.

Moving Expenses If you are a member of the Armed Forces on active duty and you move because of a permanent change of station, you can deduct the reasonable unreimbursed expenses of moving you and members of your household.

Combat Pay If you serve in a combat zone as an enlisted person or as a warrant officer for any part of a month, all your military pay received for military service that month is not taxable. For officers, the monthly exclusion is capped at the highest enlisted pay, plus any hostile fire or imminent danger pay received.

Extension of Deadlines The time for taking care of certain tax matters can be postponed. The deadline for filing tax returns, paying taxes, filing claims for refund, and taking other actions with the IRS is automatically extended for qualifying members of the military.

Uniform Cost and Upkeep If military regulations prohibit you from wearing certain uniforms when off duty, you can deduct the cost and upkeep of those uniforms, but you must reduce your expenses by any allowance or reimbursement you receive.

Joint Returns Generally, joint returns must be signed by both spouses. However, when one spouse may not be available due to military duty, a power of attorney may be used to file a joint return.

Travel to Reserve Duty If you are a member of the US Armed Forces Reserves, you can deduct unreimbursed travel expenses for traveling more than 100 miles away from home to perform your reserve duties.

ROTC Students Subsistence allowances paid to ROTC students participating in advanced training are not taxable. However, active duty pay – such as pay received during summer advanced camp – is taxable.

Transitioning Back to Civilian Life You may be able to deduct some costs you incur while looking for a new job. Expenses may include travel, resume preparation fees, and outplacement agency fees. Moving expenses may be deductible if your move is closely related to the start of work at a new job location, and you meet certain tests.

Tax Help Most military installations offer free tax filing and preparation assistance during the filing season.

Tax Information IRS Publication 3, Armed Forces’ Tax Guide, summarizes many important military-related tax topics. Publication 3 can be downloaded from http://www.irs.gov or may be ordered by calling 1-800-TAX-FORM (800-829-3676).

Links:

Tax Information for Members of the U.S. Armed Forces

IRS Publication 3, Armed Forces’ Tax Guide ( PDF)

I don’t see anything about the mortgage interest deduction in the publication.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 07:37:47

everyone was doing it.

Four of the most frightful words in the English language. A bubble is not possible without them.

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Comment by Jim A
2012-03-19 07:57:38

I can just hear my mom saying, “If all of your friends were jumping off into financial ruin by taking a neg-am teaser rate suicide loan would you?” And once you think that 500k loans for Staff Sergeants are reasonable, then it automatically follows that the problem is that prices are falling, not that they were too high.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 07:08:39

Methinks that they drank a wee bit of that “get rich in real estate” Kool-Aid. Stuff produces a nasty hangover.

Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 07:22:45

“get rich in real estate” Kool-Aid. Stuff produces a nasty hangover ??

What ?? They mentioned nothing of this in the $99.00 seminar that I took…

 
Comment by michael
2012-03-19 10:57:14

anyone got a link to that real estate seminar video that shows all the particpants jumping up and down going monkeyshit crazy?

 
 
Comment by ahansen
2012-03-19 22:41:04

And sixteen impoverished Afghans, who lived four to a room on dirt floors with no indoor plumbing are dead.

And people wonder why they “hate us for our freedoms.”

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-19 05:56:47

Iffin’ it’s Mega-Big “Bidne$$” & [+Lobbyi$t'$] … verses … wee-peon “bidne(-$$)” & (- lobbyist’$)
Then the True “bidne$$” goal is $imple:

Become Wal-Mart likei$h or … die.

Re$tricted?????? “Hey now, just pull your$elve$ up by yer boot $trap$ and get out there & COMPETE!” :-)

“It’s difficult to grow the economy when the chief job creator$ among us feel restricted.”

Report: 1 in 5 Calif. firms will close by 2015
Published: March 15, 2012 Updated: March 19
By Jan Norman / OC Register

When asked which issues affecting small businesses were most in need of the legislature and governor’s attention, owners ranked these top priority:

1. The economy 66%
2. Availability and rising cost of health care 50%
3. Quality of public education 48%
4. Too much regulation of small businesses 41%
5. Repairing and enhancing the state’s infrastructure 34%

As for the question “Do you see yourself in business, in California, is 3 years,” there were no follow-up questions to determine if the 21% who said “no” planned to retire, go bankrupt or close for other reasons.

The survey was answered by 1,054 business owners, 4% of whom were based in Orange County.

One reason for the pessimism might be that 46% said their revenues dropped in the past month while 22% said they increased. They are almost evenly split (30% to 25%) when asked if the economy has improved in the past three months

More than one in five (21%) of California small firms won’t be in business in this state in three years, according to their owners. That’s one finding of the 8th annual small-business survey by Small Business California.

Furthermore, 65% of respondents said that California is headed in the wrong direction, while just 20% said it’s headed in the right direction. Here’s what passes for good news in the survey: That result is much improved from 2008 when almost 90% of small-business owners said the state was headed in the wrong direction.

Comment by azdude
2012-03-19 06:23:28

Small businesses that are close to the ground are really hurting.Ranchers, timber, farmers etc are basically being hit with fees and regulation up the yin yang. It is creating monopolies because the small guy just cannot deal with the BS. Is it on purpose? Well he who shells out the most money to legislators seems to win. Big corporations have found a way to get rid of competition.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 06:39:43

Predatory pricing and lobbying are almost the only way most corporations can compete.

People who complain about regulation don’t seem to realize that most of them are created by corporations to eliminate competition and that the worst of them are made at the local level.

Comment by azdude
2012-03-19 06:54:40

awesome bro well said Look at power in N. CA. Basically pg&E or bust.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 07:09:39

Ding! Ding! We have a winner!

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Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 07:01:45

I just received my annual fine from CALOSHA. I now get fined because my workers comp experience mod is too high. The mod is too high because of an ex-employee that has been milking the workers comp system for almost 10 years after falling 4 feet on a job due to an altercation with another construction worker. The injury wasn’t serious but my ex-employee refuses treatment. After a few hundred grand in compensation he has been cut off but another employee got a spider bite 2 years ago and that cost $67,000 to treat.

CAL-OSHA did send an agent on a 3 day trip to come and fine me in person, it took him all day to find a violation and the whole time he continually explained that he could have me put in jail or fine me right out of buisness if he felt like it.

The other California move that threatens my existence is the 10 year statute of limitations on construction defects. There is a cottage industry that has sprung up and handles these suits just prior to the 10 year mark. On multi unit projects the settlements tend to be in the tens of millions of dollars and they settle prior to any opportunity for me to move to get out of the suit. In 3 cases so far I didn’t even work on the job and yet my carrier settled for tens of thousands. Currently I am named in 8 different suits and in none of them has any defect on my part been cited.

Well its 1 degree F here this morning, a little cold for construction work.

Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-19 07:07:21

So what is it you build my friend? Are you a sub?

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Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 07:38:57

I’m the only building insulation contractor in 2 large counties, so I work on almost every job.

We now specialize in infiltration/ex filtration control and when we do that work the house can be heated with a hair dryer. This work is a mandatory measure in the International Building Code but is never enforced.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 07:58:32

CT how clean is the air in these homes? I would worry that all sorts of allergens would build up in a very tight home

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 08:02:31

Air to air heat exchangers are used, since 2011 they are mandatory.

The average home in this country leaks enough air in a day to fill a Goodyear blimp or two. We cut this down to a small fraction of 1 blimp. Insulation can’t work if it is bypassed.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-19 08:07:05

Like that roll on permeable air barrier by Grace that everyone seems to be going to?

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 08:28:28

Are they HEPA clean? what about voc’s or using bleach in the bathrooms & floors to clean…how much of lysol stays in the tight home?

I worked in few tv stations that probably had sick building syndrome you could feel the negative air pressure Doors would slam pretty fast, and the buildup of chemicals dust from the cleaning crew….

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 08:51:08

Like that roll on permeable air barrier by Grace that everyone seems to be going to?

We use Owens Corning Energy Complete which is a 2 part laytex foam that is both flexible and durable.

NYDJ, again, air to air heat exchangers are required so air is exchanged while heat is retained. I hear about that felling of negative pressure when doors closed all the time, you can have this in a leaky house where the insulation is being by passed.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 08:59:25

Thanks CT….of all the dumb things why didnt we at least demand building tight houses during this “boom”

How much does it take to do a good job vs a mediocre one?

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 09:13:59

How much does it take to do a good job vs a mediocre one?

Great question, since there is a code section requiring air sealing most building departments and inspectors have 1 little item they require like maybe a seal around doors and windows where one already exists or maybe a squirt of expandable/rigid foam in holes in top plates drilled for wires to penetrate. Inspectors can generally be satisfied with about $25 worth of work when $2k-$6k is required. The code calls for all joints, seams and openings in the building envelope to be sealed.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 09:37:13

Thanks CT, yup i’ve noticed years ago the air leaks around electrical outlets and switches when replacing the covers..multiply that by 20-40 in the house could add up to a lot of leakage.

I live in an area of 70 year old plaster wall 2 fam brick houses, with very little insulation the walls sweat…and can feel the heat in summer….how could you retro fit these … would it be worth it?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-03-19 09:44:12

What does an air-to-air heat exchanger cost to buy and run? Is it a reasonable thing for a SFH?

I pay about $85 a month on avg to heat/cool my ~2000 sq ft reasonably-well-insulated-and-sealed house, which doesn’t seem too expensive. I’m not sure I want to seal it to the nth degree, for the reasons NYCdj was stating, but if it can be done in such a way that I’m not sealed in with all the indoor pollutants, and it’s cost-effective, maybe I will.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 09:53:46

how could you retro fit these … would it be worth it?

Assuming 2×4 stud walls with no insulation, I would drill 1-2″ holes in the plaster, at least one hole per cavity and pressure fill to achieve R-15.

Assuming leaky doors and windows the best case scenario would be to install new, efficient windows and permanently seal them as they are installed.

Assuming an attic space I would gasket all top plates and then cover with R-38 fiberglass.

I would suggest viewing the structure with an infra-red scanner when there is a temperature gradient to identify the weak points.

I would suggest a blower door test to determine the level of air leakage.

Any structure can be made energy efficient but the cost effectiveness will vary greatly depending on the construction and problems that need to be addressed.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 10:06:19

What does an air-to-air heat exchanger cost to buy and run? Is it a reasonable thing for a SFH?

This article says $500 - $2,000

Air sealing can be difficult to retrofit. If you have an attic then it might make sense, we move or remove insulation on top plates and then seal and then insulate.

Most seams and joints are concealed but the top plates are generally a big problem. A blower door test will show how much leakage you have.

 
Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 10:06:44

meh. It looks like another overpriced O-C system. I’ll maintain there is no better insulation… that’s right… insulation than Tyvek or Saranek… at least until spray cavity came along. Tyvek with spray cavity and flashed openings with adhesive achieves the same thing….. say roughly $4.50/floor plan sq ft., M&L.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 10:35:06

Tyvek is not insulation, it has no R-value. Tyvek can contribute to air sealing but it has to be properly sealed and then it only seals seams and joints that it covers.

The biggest issues begin where they Tyvek ends, at the roof/wall interface. Moving inward we have all the seams in the “attic floor” each ceiling panel needs a seal at all 4 edges as well as at penetrations. Tyvek doesn’t compress and can’t create a gasket.

Tyvek will not seal the doors and windows because it cannot extend over the wall/window interface or the wall/door interface.

Tyvek cannot seal the door between the house and garage.

Tyvek cannot seal the HVAC closet / conditioned space interface.

Tyvek cannot address the attic access, seams between floors and sole plates, penetrations for plumbing, electrical, gas and exhaust ducks.

Leakage at electrical boxes can’t be sealed with Tyvek either.

The proof can be seen by doing a door blower test on a structure sealed with tyvek alone.

If I am going to seal a house and we omit foam gaskets and rely on the Tyvek then our price would likely drop from $2,500 to $1,800. We would have less seals to create but not a lot less.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 10:36:01

This is what would scare me….drilling holes in very old plaster and wondering how much it would crack and the cost to repair it.

I would drill 1-2″ holes in the plaster

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 10:43:50

Spray cavity has the same issue as Tyvek, it only address in cavity leakage. Once the structure settles or the earth quakes even the in cavity sealing can fail due to cracking.

Using the “over priced O-C system” I can do a complete seal that will pass blower door tests for ENERGY STAR Compliance for 1/3 the price you are quoting. Relying on Tyvek and spray foam won’t get you to ENERGY STAR Compliance because most leakage comes from the attic.

I am speaking as a west coast contractor and I can see that a completely sprayed attic could be effective but at a significant cost.

 
Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 12:02:24

“Tyvek is not insulation, it has no R-value.”

Try not using Tyvek and see how well your insulation works.;) Air movement is what the overrated O-C system attempts to prevent. I’m sure it does it well….. So does Tyvek at a very small fraction of the inflated cost of that O-C gasket system.

Given a choice, I’ll take Tyvek and bare cavities before no tyvek and insulated cavities.

“The biggest issues begin where they Tyvek ends, at the roof/wall interface. Moving inward we have all the seams in the “attic floor” each ceiling panel needs a seal at all 4 edges as well as at penetrations. Tyvek doesn’t compress and can’t create a gasket.”

You mean at top of walls, near the soffit. Tyvek extends up the walls before the soffit is built. It doesn’t need to compress.

“Tyvek will not seal the doors and windows because it cannot extend over the wall/window interface or the wall/door interface.”

Tyvek rolls around jamb, sill and header of all rough openings.

“Tyvek cannot seal the door between the house and garage.”

Neither does insulation. But caulk does. It prevents air movement.

“Tyvek cannot seal the HVAC closet / conditioned space interface.”

You’ll have to explain that one.

“Tyvek cannot address the attic access, seams between floors and sole plates, penetrations for plumbing, electrical, gas and exhaust ducks.”

Neither does insulation of any type. That’s why roof penetrations are booted and flashed. It’s prevents movement of air.

“Leakage at electrical boxes can’t be sealed with Tyvek either.”

And neither can insulation. That’s why IBC requires gaskets at all boxes.

“The proof can be seen by doing a door blower test on a structure sealed with tyvek alone.”

You’ll have to provide the data.

“If I am going to seal a house and we omit foam gaskets and rely on the Tyvek then our price would likely drop from $2,500 to $1,800. We would have less seals to create but not a lot less.”

At $4.50/sqft of floor plan for cavity spray and tyvek, how much more than that is this O-C system?

 
 
Comment by rms
2012-03-19 07:14:15

Well its 1 degree F here this morning…

California?

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Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 07:34:57

Mammoth Lakes, CA elevation 7,000 - 11,600′ most of town about 8,000′

We got 5 feet of snow this weekend.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 07:51:45

1 degree F

now its minus 2 F brrrrrr

 
 
Comment by azdude
2012-03-19 07:29:33

We got some BS paperwork from an attorney regarding this 10 year warranty scam. Basically they try and sucker people into a class action lawsuit against the builder. I can guarantee you that after 10 years there are bound to be a few minor issues with any house that is built. There is such a thing called maintenance. I feel for the guys trying to work hard and build homes. I get the letters and run them through the shredder.

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Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 07:42:42

In the previous 2 years it snowed 100 feet here. These large snow packs do damage and then the builder gets sued. One suit I’m currently involved in the damage is due to snow load and the snow load requirements were met but they sue for insufficient design even though they provided the design.

 
Comment by azdude
2012-03-19 07:48:11

how do you stay in business?

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 07:58:53

I have a monopoly :D

 
Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 08:54:34

Tango…I am getting ready o start a house in the next couple of months…Can you give me some bullet points on what you are doing in infiltration/ex filtration control…Thanks…

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 09:15:15

“I have a monopoly”

Local monopolies make the world go round.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 09:33:09

Sure Dave,

#1 every seam in the building envelope needs to be sealed but it isn’t cost effective to have the carpenters gasket all seams as they create them so infiltration is best addressed prior to insulation.

#2 product choice: the code says little about the products and as a result chewing gum would qualify. the 2 qualifications are ‘flexible and durable’, this means rigid foam which is sold as the best choice is a very poor choice, it will crack not flex. the other issue with rigid foam is that it only address in-cavity leakage where most seams are not in cavity.

#3 scope. The following openings in the building envelope must be caulked, gasketed, weatherstripped or otherwise sealed

1)Exterior joints around window and door frames, including doors between the house and garage, between interior HVAC closets and conditioned space, between attic access and conditioned space, and between wall sole plates, floors, exterior panels and all siding materials

2)Openings for plumbing, electricity, and gas lines in exterior walls, ceilings and floors;

3)Openings in the attic floor (such as where ceiling panels meet interior and exterior walls and masonry fireplaces);

4)Openings around exhaust ducts such as those for clothes dryers;

5)All other such openings in the building envelope

If you give me your zip I can find out if there is someone local that does this kind of work. If not I could do it for you. We also do blown in batts and can get R-24 in 2×6 walls and R-49 in 2 x 12 rafters for a very reasonable price. This combination can virtually eliminate heating costs.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 09:36:39

When I moved here in 1980 there were a few insulation contractors but I out performed them and have been the only guy in 2 counties for over 30 years.

During this time 2 competitors appeared and both went BK.

It is actually a vulnerable place to be, it takes only 1 new competitor to change my world.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 09:46:57

If you give me your zip I can find out if there is someone local that does this kind of work.

85705!

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 09:55:03

85705

checking

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 10:18:46

Slim,

Alcal Contracting…based in Phoenix.

 
Comment by Rancher
2012-03-19 11:10:08

CT,
We’re building this summer, new home
on the river. 97527 thanks, Rancher

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 11:34:33

Checking

 
Comment by Watching and Waiting
2012-03-19 11:36:16

Anyone in 21158? We actually experience winters here.

 
Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 11:59:15

95008 Tango…Thanks so much I am going to print out your comments…I get the the idea though…Seal it up…Whats the caulking material that you use ??

Also, “Air-to-Air heat exchanger ?? Heat pump is what you are implying ?? F/A ??

My place will be 1500 sq.ft. single story…2 X 6 exterior…9 on 12 pitch with thermostat controlled attic fans…Slab on grade so I can’t do much there…

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 12:25:01

Caulk is not durable, most leakage occurs in concealed areas so you can’t replace the caulk as it fails. Caulk is a poor choice for other reasons ie it runs and doesn’t stay put in volume.

I’m not suggesting a heat pump, they are not cost effective here in Mammoth. I’m talking about Heat Recovery Ventilation, which at least has a FA component, your HVAC guy is the one to talk to, if he is up to speed he can inform you. They are required if your permit is 2011 or greater.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_recovery_ventilation. Fart fans are one point where air to air is used.

With slab on grade make sure sill sealer is used. Stucco qualifies for the exterior walls, if so most of the work will be at the top plates.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 12:34:58

I know Arcade insulation does air sealing, I’ll give you another contact if one exists.

I’m not talking about a heat pump, Heat recovery ventilation
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_recovery_ventilation so FA is a component, your fart fans will need to have exchangers and beyond that I’m not sure what makes sense so talk to and HVAC guy ( hopefully he will be up to speed )

Slab on grade, make sure the sill is sealed, a portion of your work might be covered by stucco or Tyvek leaving most of the sealing work at the top plates.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 12:50:29

SCDave,

Tri County Insulation….they are more active and ready anytime to install energycomplete.

Steve Gieseke at tri county cell is:415-203-0661

 
Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 12:56:33

Tyvek (or like kind) will be used but I am not using stucco… Using Hardy-Board siding…I don’t believe I will need any shear so Tyvek is going on over bear studs then the Hardy-Board…We usually run a bead of Caulk under the mudsil…We usually use NP-1 or a flooring adhesive…

As far as the top plate’s, what do you do, run a bead in between the two plates ??

 
Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 12:57:56

I have used Tri-County in the past…

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 13:20:53

Tyvek does qualify and it can reduce the air sealing costs but it does need to be thoroughly sealed top and bottom. One big negative on the Tyvek would be if any moisture got behind it and the bottom seal retained it. Personally I would seal as though there was no Tyvek.

At the top plates ( other than sealing electrical penetrations ) you want to create a gasket that sticks to the face of the plate. The drywall ceiling panel is sealed to the top plate by this gasket. Without these cealing panel seals air can leak into the warm side of your exterior walls or into your interior walls and it bypasses your insulation. Or air can leak in the other direction venting your heat into your attic.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 13:31:17

Props to CharlieTango and the rest of the HBB Insulation/Air Sealing Team. I’m learning a lot from what you have to say.

 
Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 13:48:02

Okay Tango…So, on the Truss ends do you back out in between the two foot centers so the sheet-rock has solid backing all the way across the run of the wall…Is that how you seal the top plate ??

 
Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 14:00:10

I’m still waiting for Charlie to disclose the cost of this system.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 14:30:09

Okay Tango…So, on the Truss ends do you back out in between the two foot centers so the sheet-rock has solid backing all the way across the run of the wall…Is that how you seal the top plate ??

With 2′ oc trusses, the trusses are the backing, the sheetrock nails or screws to the bottom of the bottom chord and no sealing takes place there.

Even though a room might have multiple sheets of drywall seamed together think of theses as a single ceiling panel and the perimeter of this ceiling panel butts to the top plates of the walls. The seams in the field are sealed with tape and mud so no leaks there. but where the edges of this ceiling panel butt to the top plates on the interior and exterior wall top plates there can be leaks. I’m not talking about leaking into the living space but leaking into the very tight warm space immediately behind the drywall on the exterior walls and leaking into the entire cavity on the interior walls. A gasket/seal at the edge of each ceiling panel where it buts to the wall’s top plate and is where we want the seal.

The wording used in the IRC is “seams in the attic floor” this literally means the interface between the drywall ceiling panes and the wall’s top plate.

IOW you seal the edge of the ceiling panel.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 14:39:33

I’m still waiting for Charlie to disclose the cost of this system.

I bid this work by the linear foot of seal plus some waste or allowance for filling some big spaces. If the exterior has shear panel and the seams are horizontal then I would have 3 horizontal seams the length of the 8′ wall. If the seams are vertical I would have 2 horizontal seams and 1 vertical seam every 4′.

There are many such variables to consider so there is no cost to disclose, we have to bid on a job by job basis.

To date I have sealed houses for as little as $800 and as much as $6,000.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 14:54:25

Rancher 97527

There is no-one even close to your area. When you have plans send me a copy and I’ll bid it for you.

Are you close to the airport? If not do you have a stretch of strait road or drive way that could serve as a runway for a very small plane? I usually stop to pee at Alturas on my way to Portland but could stop by your place for a look see.

 
Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 15:14:26

So what is your price /linear foot of this gasket? Bare cost for the gasket.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 15:44:32

Comment by exeter

So what is your price /linear foot of this gasket? Bare cost for the gasket.

The gasket is a 2 part laytex foam that requires specialized equipment to spray. We can only sell it installed.

Would we be talking more or less than a days work? How far from my shop? How high do we need to reach? Will we be working in small confined spaces. Do I have to heat the structure? Will you be helping? ( that costs extra :D ) Do I need to guarantee passing a blower door test? Are there liquidated damages for slow performance? etc, etc, etc.

 
Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 16:03:29

You seem reticent to answer the question. What is your linear foot charge?

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 16:23:38

Comment by exeter - You seem reticent to answer the question. What is your linear foot charge?

I don’t do the estimating and I’m not at the office, given that here is my best guestimate.

$0.85/LinFt would probably be the base price if we could price things that way.

 
Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 17:06:07

Ok so typical single story 3/2 ranch. Give us a rough guesstimate of total lf. of gasket.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 17:51:41

typical 3/2 ranch over raised sub-floor, 12′ cathedral ceilings

seal:
Exterior walls:
bottom plate face
top plate face
bottom plate shear interface
top plate shear interface
mid span shear seam blocking top and bottom
jack studs
electrical boxes
all corners (vertical seal)

Interior walls:
top plate face

penetrations in floor
penetrations in top plates
penetrations in exterior walls

FAU to living space

price range $2k - $3k

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-19 18:09:03

So $2500 for gaskets in a 1600sqft and we haven’t started insulation install yet.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-19 19:02:09

“Caulk is not durable, most leakage occurs in concealed areas so you can’t replace the caulk as it fails. Caulk is a poor choice for other reasons ie it runs and doesn’t stay put in volume.”

Nonsense. Caulks, sealants and joint fillers are very effective for decades so long as the correct material is specified and installed. Sika, Pecora and Adeka are examples of durable, long lasting material that outperform HomeCheapo junk. We specify and use Sika-Dur 2 part joint fillers for expansion joints in interior water holding structures that have been in service for 20 years without leaks or repair.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 19:06:16

So $2500 for gaskets in a 1600sqft and we haven’t started insulation install yet.

That’s correct but the big benefit is that the insulation envelope can function as opposed to being bypassed.

Often our next step is “super insulation” meaning extremely high R-values and even “thermal breaks.” The low here this morning was 4 degrees below zero F. I have customers that don’t even use heat, some wake up with 70 degree temps even on these cold mornings.

We routinely use R-25 to R-30 in the walls and R-49 in roof areas. We have gone as high as R-100. There is very little point in super insulating a leaky structure.

Even now in 2012 most/almost all insulation installs are not fully lofted or continuous, in order to pass inspection the package merely has to exist, if there is any “quality” involved in the install you can actually claim additional points.

$2,500 for mandatory air sealing that isn’t enforced is in no way a waist and if you add it to the cost of insulation you are missing the point.

I built my house in 1989 before air sealing systems existed ( but the requirements did ) and I super insulated my solar design. I have R-49 roof insulation and R-30 in my exterior walls, R-38 in my floors and much more. My home is not very comfortable and it costs $1k/moth to heat my 1,400 sq ft of living space. The solar works well but night time heat costs a fortune because the house lacks air-sealing.

If I could go back and spend that $2,500 my bills would be very very low and that $2,500 would have been “paid back” more than 20 times.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-19 19:12:55

You’re falsely asserting that one overpriced option is the only way to preclude movement of air. There are other ways to do and a fraction of the cost. I understand what OC’s system does and I know OC’s business model well. Their customers have no idea.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 19:29:15

Nonsense. Caulks, sealants and joint fillers are very effective for decades so long as the correct material is specified and installed. Sika, Pecora and Adeka are examples of durable, long lasting material that outperform HomeCheapo junk. We specify and use Sika-Dur 2 part joint fillers for expansion joints in interior water holding structures that have been in service for 20 years without leaks or repair.

First of all we are not quite comparing apples to apples here, filling expansion joints tends to be a commercial application, at least around here where I am talking about §117 compliance and mostly in wood framed structures. I recently backed out of a bid on a marine base where the specs had these two areas confused and the architect failed to clarify his specs upon me submitting RFIs.

When I say durable I am talking beyond 20 years and for the type of air sealing that needs to be done in residential construction caulk has a shorter lifespan than the structure.

When it come to air sealing residential construction the products that you list are never specified at least not out here in the west and they are more suitable to sealing seams in concrete / masonry than wood framing and material at issue in sealing residential.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 20:11:31

You’re falsely asserting that one overpriced option is the only way to preclude movement of air. There are other ways to do and a fraction of the cost. I understand what OC’s system does and I know OC’s business model well. Their customers have no idea.

au contraire, I never asserted that at all but now that you mention it I don’t mind taking that position.

If i were building my own house and this technology were not available I would simple follow the code and gasket all seams and joints and openings in the building envelope. I would have ( probably felt ) gaskets handy and install them in all seams, joints and openings during construction.

The problem with this approach is that it would multiply the cost of framing, siding and roofing.

I too understand OCF’s model and I have a level of influence over it. I have personally spent millions of dollars on their products.

I contend that OCF’s Energy Complete is the most cost effective system to achieve a high level of compliance with §117 in residential construction and beyond. In a few short hours I can comply with energy star requirements in a single process, you just can’t beat that.

I never stated or implied that this is the only way to stop air leakage but I have never even seen an alternative and you have not even provided one to consider.

If as you stated that compliance can be accomplished for a fraction of the cost please describe it for us.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-19 20:12:39

Not true. A joint is a joint is a joint. You’re filling a void with a product. Nor does the substrate doesn’t matter. Selecting the appropriate product for the substrate and environment is the approach irrespective of of what or where the joint is. If “residential construction caulk” doesn’t work, then don’t specify it. Thus the appropriate elastomer or butyl joint filler or sealant is specified. OC’s pink goo isn’t anything special. It’s a heavily marketed pink butyl sealant.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-19 20:18:51

I never stated or implied that this is the only way to stop air leakage but I have never even seen an alternative and you have not even provided one to consider.

You did imply it numerous times. Even in the same post. lmao

Secondly, I stated that precluding air movement is the goal and Tyvek does it at a fraction of the cost of OC’s pink goo. WR Grace’s perma-barrier system is another. How many would like?

You clearly have an equity stake in getting the public to believe OC’s marketing hype. I don’t. I couldn’t care less what anyone uses. Being truthful about seems to be something you avoid.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 20:37:47

Secondly, I stated that precluding air movement is the goal and Tyvek does it at a fraction of the cost of OC’s pink goo.

Tyvek is applied to specific areas, generally exterior walls. You miss most of the leakage if this is your only target.

Door blower test tell the story and your technique will result in failure and a need to demolish the construction and try again. You can’t seal areas that you don’t address.

Now you say that I clearly have an equity stake in this, well sorry you are clearly wrong. I cannot afford such an equity stake.

I am the one that pointed out that even chewing gum could comply but what is needed is a cost effective solution and after 40 years or working in this area I am aware of one cost effective solution. You say that I am wrong but you have no alternative.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-19 20:55:01

You have an equity stake. You admitted so.

I gave you two commercially available alternatives to the heavily marketed, overpriced OwensCorning system. You don’t like them because they are your competitors. Running away from those alternatives won’t make them go away.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2012-03-19 22:30:51

Monopolists don’t have to offer alternatives.

They are the alternative, which can be a problem with monopolies.

 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 08:42:46

If this is CA, CT, then you need to move before they bankrupt you.

Most Californians don’t seem to realize that their state is in the top five of corruption, fascism and civil rights abuses for both individuals and businesses and that there are better business and jobs climates everywhere else.

Just like most NYC dwellers don’t.

Hell, even Texas is better, and that’s just scary right there.

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Comment by AmazingRuss
2012-03-19 09:30:29

I got out, and I’m damn happy I did. That 15k a year I was paying California in taxes will come in handy.

 
Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 13:59:00

NY is running a close second to CA in property taxes. They’re getting more insane each year.

 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2012-03-19 20:41:31

The only reason I work mostly in California is my non-resident status gives me a huge tax deduction while consulting ;)

 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2012-03-19 20:45:40

Don’t tell the school marm ;)

 
Comment by rms
2012-03-20 01:04:47

The only reason I work mostly in California is my non-resident status gives me a huge tax deduction while consulting ;)

A professional sports athlete who is a resident of another state has to pay California income taxes for the events he participates in within California.

 
 
 
Comment by Awaiting
2012-03-19 07:11:00

“Big corporations have found a way to get rid of competition.”

Monsanto and their GMO seeds come to mind. Percy Schmeiser fought back after they destroyed his livelyhood and he won. Percy had no control over the wind blowing the patented hybrid seeds into his fields, and finally a judge agreed (not bought off). He didn’t want Monsanto’s “it’s not real food” seeds in his fields to begin with.

Comment by oxide
2012-03-19 07:46:51

As does NAIS Animal ID. Big Ag wants regs to require that each animal be tagged — unless you’re a big rancher, where you need only tag a herd (”group identification”). The end result is far more relative paperwork for small farmers than big ones, enough to put small farmers out of business.

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Comment by The_Overdog
2012-03-19 08:17:06

Small ranchers spend hours a day counting and tagging herds, so it’s the paperwork that scares them (ranchers generally hate computers and technology), not the act of tagging. Sometimes resistance to change is psychological more than anything else.

 
 
 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-03-19 14:06:11

“Every crisis is an opportunity.” In this case, it’s an opportunity for politicians and their big contributors to eliminate the competition.

Politician: “You want more regulation, you got it!”

Citizen: “Well, we meant of the financial industry, not of the local computer repair or car mechanic shop on the corner.”

Politician: “Oh, sorry, that’s not possible. Financial innovation is the cornerstone of our economy. The financial sector is sacrosanct. They made a few mistakes, they’ll do better next time. However - we can make sure that every small business is fully compliant with this phone book sized binder of new rules! We won’t let them cause the next global meltdown!”

Citizen: “But they didn’t cause the global meltdown.”

Politician: “Look, in politics, you have to compromise. You wanted more regulation, we gave you more regulation.”

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 14:32:09

Politician: “Oh, sorry, that’s not possible. Financial innovation is the cornerstone of our economy. The financial sector is sacrosanct. They made a few mistakes, they’ll do better next time. However - we can make sure that every small business is fully compliant with this phone book sized binder of new rules! We won’t let them cause the next global meltdown!”

Ain’t that the truth!

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:02:36

I can’t find the name of the bank trying to evict the Bales from their primary residence anywhere in the MSM. If you come across this, please post.

From a small town in Ohio to war
New York Times
Monday, March 19, 2012

The Baleses bought this house in Lake Tapps, Wash., in 2005. The house is now for sale at $229,000, less than they paid for it.

Early in their marriage, they had lived in a house in the city of Auburn, between Seattle and Tacoma, that Karilyn Bales had owned before they were together. According to records, the couple received a notice of default in mid-2009 for about $17,000. They owed a total of $195,000.

The couple, who had moved out by then, had failed to make a payment for well over a year before that notice went out, according to the records and a person familiar with the situation. A trustee auction was scheduled for October 2009, while Bales was in Iraq, but the auction was postponed three times and then called off in early 2010 for reasons that are unclear.

Robert Baggett, president of the neighborhood’s Riverpark Estates Homeowners Association, said the Baleses had stopped paying their annual association dues of about $120 at least two years ago. The house, which for a while was occupied by renters whose noise drew complaints from neighbors, has been vacant for about 18 months and is now filthy and in disrepair.

The Baleses bought their two-story house in Lake Tapps, east of Tacoma, in 2005, records show. But just three days before the shootings in Afghanistan, Karilyn Bales told a real estate agent, Phillip Rodocker, that she wanted to sell the house because they were financially stretched. The house is listed for sale at $229,000, about $50,000 less than the family paid for it. Asked about the family’s mortgage problems, Robert Bales’ lawyer, John Henry Browne, said, “There are no financial pressures on the family right now other than the normal ones that are experienced by the 99 percenters.

Comment by azdude
2012-03-19 06:25:02

So is it goldmans fault?

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:34:44

Who said anything about whose fault it was (other than you)?

I just want to know the name of the bank that is trying to kick the Bales out of their home; not trying to make any judgment about who is at fault. If you find this, please post.

Comment by azdude
2012-03-19 07:00:18

I dont know bro. Your posts seems to be maybe trying to give the feeling that his financial problems caused him to nut up. Maybe it did for all we know but kinda stretching it. Maybe that will be his defense? Blame it on the banksters?

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Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 07:01:59

They’ll blame it on anyone but the perp.

The Perp? Federal Reserve.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 07:05:52

No. My posts ask a question about a glaring omission from MSM reports.

With the facts in hand, readers of a free press newspaper may speculate all they want about what actually happened, who was at fault, etc.

But I see you have already jumped the shark.

 
Comment by azdude
2012-03-19 07:11:26

No I am just telling you what I am getting out of your posts about this crazy dude.

I really don’t care who held the note. Not sure why it really matters? Sure goldman had their nose in it one way or another.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 07:15:36

“Not sure why it really matters?”

Last time I checked, which was perhaps too long ago, we had a free press in America. Is the bank which held the note a matter of public record? If so, I would like to know which bank it was. And I am pretty sure one of our many newspapers will soon make that information public, unless it is confidential.

It’s not about the staff sergeant at all; it’s about basic American freedoms.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 07:16:36

P.S. I doubt Goldman was involved (at least this time…).

 
 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 06:42:03

So is it goldmans fault?”

What isn’t? (who in their right mind loans 500K to a staff sergeant?)

Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 07:43:03

Someone who knows they can pass on the loss to someone else?

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Comment by oxide
2012-03-19 07:49:09

+1

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 08:44:57

Eggs-actly.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-19 06:38:21

Guy borrows more money than he can ever possibly repay. Guy has a psychotic break. We need to care who was holding his note?

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:48:09

“We need to care who was holding his note?”

It’s just me — I like to know all the details about a story like this before forming an opinion. And I believe it is a matter of public record, so what’s the big deal about asking the question?

I do know that the wife worked at WaMu, which was engorged by JP Morgan-Chase. Of course, that doesn’t necessarily mean JP Morgan-Chase now holds the note.

Comment by jbunniii
2012-03-19 10:45:12

It is a matter of public record, but as it doesn’t seem especially relevant to the story, I am not surprised that the info isn’t showing up in the news articles. Why not call the county recorder where the houses are situated? They should have all the mortgage details.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 11:21:45

It’s relevant to a key point I repeatedly try to make on this blog, about the problems which naturally arise when Wall Street investment banks get involved with mundane details of household-level mortgage transactions.

Capiche?

 
Comment by Montana
2012-03-19 13:47:49

It’s only a matter of time before the media cranks out some sob stories about it. Give them time…

 
Comment by polly
2012-03-19 13:52:00

No. I have no idea why you care so much.

It is likely that there is a bank servicer and since it is in default, the note has likely been assigned to a tranche of bonds that it was securitized into.

Why do you care so much who the servicer is?

The articles I am seeing are much more concerned with the fact that a part of his foot was blown off in a previous deployment and that he may (or may not) have had a traumatic brain injury in addition to PTSD and possible drinking issues.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 14:24:22

“No. I have no idea why you care so much.”

I see this arrangement whereby large investment banks (such as your former employer) have carte blanche to destroy individual American lives as very destructive to the future of our country.

Does that help?

(And don’t ask me the legal definition of carte blanche — I don’t know and don’t care.)

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 14:29:59

“…possible drinking issues.”

I would drink, too, if I were deployed overseas while one of the biggest, baddest investment banks in the world came after my wife in a foreclosure action.

Not trying to suggest who is at fault here, or anything…

 
Comment by polly
2012-03-19 17:12:20

I never worked for Goldman Sachs. I worked for a law firm that GS often hired.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2012-03-19 17:17:00

Thanks for the clarification.

That said, I still wonder how many Americans are keen on a financial sector that operates on a razor thin edge between profit maximization and fraud? I suspect that (1) many Americans are barely waking up to the situation and (2) they aren’t too keen on it.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 07:13:37

The house, which for a while was occupied by renters whose noise drew complaints from neighbors, has been vacant for about 18 months and is now filthy and in disrepair.

Sounds like a lot of the in-VEST-or properties here in the Old Pueblo. They’re neighbor complaint generators.

Matter of fact, a group of neighbors and I are preparing a letter to send to one of our neighborhood’s worst landlords. It’s a real doozy of a letter. And we’re copying an attorney, our mayor, our city council member, and our county supervisor in on it.

Take that, Mr. Slumlord!

Comment by oxide
2012-03-19 07:53:03

And this is a sample of typical foreclosure stock: housing that brings down the average price but has no real bearing on prices of housing that people really want to buy. This is why HBB can post both articles about price decreases and anecdotes about bidding wars without being self-contradictory.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 08:42:39

Agreed

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 09:01:55

While I was back east, I had quite a few conversations with a local real estate agent. She was helping my family with errands about town.

Nice lady who’s been in the biz for about two decades. Seemed like she was really on the up-and-up and I wouldn’t be at all unhappy if my folks chose her as the agent to sell their house.

One of our conversations related to the prevalence of buying houses as investments. Seems that such behavior was quite common in the western half of the USA, and guess what? Some of her relatives got involved. Long story short: Things did not turn out well for them.

As for her, she limits her real estate biz to selling houses to people who aren’t so interested in investments as they are in buying places that they can make into a family home. She also sells houses for people who have the same mindset. The whole “buy the house as an investment” thing seemed pretty odd to her.

 
Comment by Jim A
2012-03-19 09:26:07

I have argued that the distinction isn’t between homes as investment versus homes to live in. A home is an investment for which the return is housing, the so-called “rental equivalent.” It’s probably worthwhile to look at it this way to see whether purchase at current prices makes sense. Certainly at bubble prices it didn’t make sense. The problem is with looking at homes as a SPECULATIVE investment. Which is to say not looking at the rental equivalent of the housing that you get, but at the possibility (or certainty as many believed) that the price would keep going up forever above the rate of inflation.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 09:46:53

I thought Ben said this years ago:

Positive cash flow= investment
Negative cash flow= speculation

Or was it my bricklayer father?

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 09:49:53

The problem is with looking at homes as a SPECULATIVE investment.

That’s what made the aforementioned real estate agent-friend’s eyebrows go up. She doesn’t get the speculative thing at all.

And, apparently, there aren’t a lot of people who come to eastern PA to be speculators. Reason: There are too many folks who have deep roots in the area. Outsiders who swoop in to speculate are looked down upon.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:08:53

The Moneyed Monster wants you. Watch out for your children, your wallet and your homes, Americans!

U.S. Foreclosure Fraud Settlement Documents Highlight Lawlessness of the Banks
Housing-Market / US Housing Mar 18, 2012 - 06:19 AM
By: Barry_Grey
Housing-Market
Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

On Monday, the settlement between five major banks and the federal and state governments of foreclosure-related fraud charges was filed in federal district court in Washington, DC. The agreement must be approved by the court to take effect.

The settlement, reported to be worth $25 billion, was announced February 9 and hailed by President Obama as a serious rebuke to the banks and boon to distressed homeowners. (See: “Obama administration brokers pro-bank mortgage fraud settlement”).

It is nothing of the kind. It quashes investigations by 49 state attorneys general into wholesale fraud and illegality committed by the five biggest mortgage servicers in their rush to foreclose on homeowners and seize their houses. The abuses first surfaced in the fall of 2010, amid reports of “robo-signing” of foreclosure papers and court submissions.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 06:47:05

I’m sure it’s just because they were over-regulated.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:13:13

WSJ Blogs
Developments
Real estate news and analysis from The Wall Street Journal

March 1, 2012, 4:18 PM
Number of ‘Under Water’ Borrowers Rises
By Alan Zibel

The number of U.S. homeowners owing more on their home loans than their properties are worth increased at the end of last year, highlighting a continuing source of weakness for the economy.

CoreLogic, a real estate data provider, said Thursday that 11.1 million, or 22.8%, of American households with a mortgage were “under water” at the end of last year. That was up from 10.7 million, or 22.1%, of properties in the third quarter of 2011.

In addition, fourth-quarter data showed that about 2.5 million borrowers had less than 5% equity in their homes, CoreLogic said.

The figures were the highest level of negative equity since the third quarter of 2009, when CoreLogic started reporting negative equity statistics using its current methodology.

Negative equity is closely linked with foreclosures, since homeowners without equity in their properties have trouble refinancing or selling their homes in the event they lose their job or need to relocate. As the Federal Reserve noted in a January paper, negative equity “constrains a homeowner’s ability to remedy financial difficulties.”

Nevada had the highest level of negative equity at the end of last year at 61% of all properties with a home loan. It was followed by Arizona (48%), Florida (44%), Michigan (35%) and Georgia (33%).

“Negative equity will take an extended period of time to improve, and if there is a hiccup in the economic recovery, it could mean a rise in foreclosures,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist with CoreLogic.

Of those “under water” borrowers, 6.7 million had no second mortgage. They owed 130% of their property’s value on average. The remaining 4.4 million had two loans. On average, they owed 138% of their property’s value.

Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 07:50:52

I had to read the third to last paragraph a couple of times just to let it sink in…With this back-drop, how do you get a loan to buy a house in some of these area’s…It must be near impossible…Wow..

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:17:13

Serial bottom callers are revving up for the red hot spring sales season:

AHEAD OF THE TAPE
March 18, 2012, 7:21 p.m. ET
Housing Bulls Aren’t So Far Out on a Limb
By SPENCER JAKAB

Proclaiming a recovery in the housing market isn’t for the faint of heart.

Plenty of economists and executives have fallen on their faces doing so in the past five years. But while the jury is still very much out for the overall market, there is reason to feel hopeful about new construction.

On the back of improving fundamentals and a rally in risky assets of every stripe, an index of home builders tracked by Standard & Poor’s is up more than 25% year-to-date. High-end home builder Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL -0.73%) is up 21% while mass-market builder KB Home (KBH -2.35%) has nearly doubled. Monday’s Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders may underscore this rally. It could top 30 for the first time since May 2007, having risen from a trough three years ago of nine, and as low as 14 just six months ago.

While builders continue to compete with a glut of foreclosed homes and an even larger stock of shadow inventory, there are spreading pockets of strength. The Housing Market Index measures sentiment. But another measure by the same group, the Improving Markets Index, gauges trends in economic data important to housing health. It is up sharply in recent months and showed improvement in 99 metropolitan areas in 33 states in the latest reading.

One caveat: With the home-selling season about to begin, a new headwind—higher mortgage rates—has emerged. In the past week, the average 30-year mortgage tracked by Bankrate.com is 0.15 percentage point higher, adding nearly 1.8% to a typical monthly payment. Government-sponsored mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are also raising their charges to guarantee mortgages, adding to costs. Higher rates will have come too recently to be reflected in Wednesday’s mortgage applications data or Friday’s new-home sales. But they could pressure prices and sales.

A home under construction at a Toll Brothers development in Clayton, Calif.

Happily, the basic supply-and-demand picture for builders is good—and getting better. In the six years through 2006, single-family housing starts averaged 1.49 million. They have averaged only one-third as much since 2008 and were most recently at 470,000 annualized, stoking pent-up demand.

Barring a sharp drop in affordability or incomes, predicting those houses will find buyers is no longer a surefire way to look foolish.

Comment by azdude
2012-03-19 06:29:55

Buy some aapl stock and all your problems will go away. 1000 price target bro. Now they are paying a dividend, awesome. Nice the company chooses to buy back stock at all time highs, brilliant.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 06:54:01

It’s amazing what you can do when you have a lot stupid money lying around.

Comment by azdude
2012-03-19 07:06:17

Do you think retail is about to be duped again?

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 08:51:39

Is this a trick question? :lol:

 
 
 
Comment by Rancher
2012-03-19 07:34:15

Brilliant? No, they already now their sales are not what they expected.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 08:22:58

I never understood why this always happens……

stock doubles triples then we need to buy it back..

did anyone buy back stock in march 2009? even buffet didn’t he thought about it, then talked about it, and the stock went up like 10% in 2 days and over his price target…

Comment by polly
2012-03-19 14:10:38

You buy back stock when you have more money than you can reasonable reinvest porfitably. Back in March of 09, everyone was keeping their cash in case they needed it to make payroll. Buying back stock would have been stupid when they needed to have cash reserves around. Also, they might not have had that much cash around back then.

Why don’t people with 6 figure student loans run out and buy houses? Because they don’t have any money and and if they did, they have something better to do with it.

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Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 07:33:06

2006, single-family housing starts averaged 1.49 million ??
and were most recently at 470,000 annualized, ??

Less than one third….Give you some idea of the devastation that has occurred in the construction trades…I spoke with a friend of mine over the weekend who is a house framer around Portola Ca…He is the Best-of-the-Best at his trade…He has not framed one house in over two years…There are only three houses under construction right now in his entire valley…

Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 07:47:16

At the peak of the bubble our little burg would issue 1000+ building permits for SFH in a year. I believe that last year only 50 or so permits were issued.

 
Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 08:12:49

And what are GC’s paying for framing labor?

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 08:56:56

Where I live it’s hard to say.

As an example, the bulk of the framing crew is usually Mexican illegals or barely legals. They are usually supervised by an American-Mexican, 1st or 3rd gen.

This crew is usually a 2nd tier sub. Their “jobber” can be charging almost anything, depending on their connections to the GC.

Vague? Oh yeah. There’s a lot of “slop” created for skimming.

Illegals have destroyed any chance of anyone but the jobber and the GC from making a living in construction in my town.

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Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 12:03:17

Illegals have destroyed any chance of anyone but the jobber and the GC from making a living in construction in my town ??

Probably can say for every town other than the big strongholds for unions like San Francisco…

 
 
Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 08:58:36

A friend of mine just hired a guy for $8.00 per foot including siding…

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Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 09:21:55

Frame, sheathed, decked and sided for $8/floor plan sqft?

 
Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 12:02:01

yes…

 
Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 12:17:14

About the same on east coast. Figure $6/sqft floorplan for framing labor…. assuming there aren’t a herd of valleys, dormers and gables….. and roughly $1/sqft wall area for EFS.

Now you’ll have to explain why you can’t build for $60/sq in CA.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 12:55:03

“Now you’ll have to explain why you can’t build for $60/sq in CA.”

The high costs are driven by land costs, not material costs. If anything, most SoCal houses are cheap, junky construction, with crappy stucco finishes and are all built on concrete slabs (which does wonders for making them feel cold in the mild California Winters).

A few years ago, the Disney Co bought a parcel of land a block away from Disneyland and paid almost 1 million per acre.

 
Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 13:08:52

“Now you’ll have to explain why you can’t build for $60/sq in CA.” ??

Look forward to explaining, just define what your definition of “Build” is….

 
Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 13:15:59

Disneyland and paid almost 1 million per acre ??

Chump Change around here :)…

Big boys are paying 4-mil + per acre for the high density stuff in the best locations…Single family detached in the best locations is well over 2-mil per acre ($50. per foot +)…

 
Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 13:49:11

Site work to shingles.

 
 
 
 
Comment by WT Economist
2012-03-19 07:35:52

All I can say is if housing prices go up given the financials stresses younger Americans are under, it will be a disaster.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 07:55:51

I’m beginning to wonder if they are retargetting the demographics, just as they have with cars. Once upon a time, middle class Americans could afford to buy new cars. The automakers changed their pricing and now focus mostly on upper income buyers (who else can afford the average new car, which is supposed to be priced in the 30K range?).

I’m wondering if the FIRE market is readjusting itself to a similar paradigm: focus on people who have money and forget about J6P, at least for now.

Like I said the other day, my young pup coworkers with their 80-100K salaries, along with their spouses or domestic partners with similar incomes, are chomping at the bit to buy an overpriced shack in Highlands Ranch, Boulder or Broomfield. Telling them to wait for prices to drop draws derisive laughter from them as they share their bidding war stories. And don’t tell them to buy in another neighborhood or in Longmont where prices are more reasionable - they are not not interested.

Comment by Carl Morris
2012-03-19 08:55:43

I’m wondering if the FIRE market is readjusting itself to a similar paradigm: focus on people who have money and forget about J6P, at least for now.

Totally makes sense to me.

“Why do you rob banks?”

“Because that’s where the money is.”

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-19 10:15:17

“Telling them to wait for price$ to drop draws deri$ive laughter from them as they $hare their bidding war storie$.”

Well, eyes reckon yous could laugh with ‘em or at ‘em, … our both.

Eyes cho$$e the latter of the 3rd choice. [laughing] :-)

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Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 10:36:57

In a way you can’t blame them, as they are seeing prices even rising in the nabes they want, while places like Aurora languish in foreclosure hell.

My son played a soccer match in Broomfield. It was a nice sports complex, surrounded by McMansions. The parking lot was chock full of expensive vehicles.

It’s amazing how these islands of prosperity exist. But I’m coming to realize that the managerial class types want to live near each other and have no appetite for places like Aurora, regardless of how much cheaper it is.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 11:19:25

…because if they did live somewhere more “colorful”, they’d have to face the reality of the income gaps and how they’re responsible for it just as much as their bosses.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 11:28:05

…because if they did live somewhere more “colorful”, they’d have to face the reality of the income gaps and how they’re responsible for it just as much as their bosses.

Or they might finding themselves becoming more sympathetic to the “colorful” people and the reality of income gaps and their responsibility. And they might just switch sides.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-03-19 12:25:55

I doubt it. I think that generally people just try to minimize the stress in their lives, and living around people who are just like you minimizes stress. It can lead to boredom and ignorance especially among your children, but it is low stress for you.

 
Comment by Montana
2012-03-19 14:02:26

Sentimentalism about diversity goes out the window when you’re actually raising kids.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 14:55:00

Carl, that’s also true.

Montana you are also right. I only meant to illustrate that group think blinds people to the rest of the world around them and group think among the well off makes them callous toward those less fortunate.

 
 
 
Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 07:59:12

I agree WT…I have three and although they have different levels of marketable skills they all are under some degree of financial stress when it comes to home ownership considerations…When I was their age I was on my third and final house…It bothers me to see it…Not just for my own but for all of the younger generation…

Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 08:36:13

And then maybe Bill in LA is the wave of the future for the 20 somethings. Nomads with I-pads

Then why would they ever buy a home until they are really “retired”

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:23:46

I can see my copy of this book from where I sit typing. On the cover is an artist’s depiction of a guy in a business suit falling from up high, resembling the opening credits for the TV serial Madmen.

HEARD ON THE STREET
Updated March 18, 2012, 5:55 p.m. ET

Nothing Set in Stone for ‘This Time Is Different’ Economy

BY JUSTIN LAHART

Even if market sentiment has brightened lately, the received wisdom says that in the wake of the financial crisis, the U.S. economy is destined for long-term malaise. That may not be exactly right.

Among policy experts and economists, “This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly”—the history of financial crises written by Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff—has become so influential that when somebody says, “We live in a Reinhart-Rogoff world,” everybody else in the room nods sagely.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:38:02

Here is a snippet from the WSJ article linked to “this book” in my post above:

Instead of providing salutary warnings, economists have more often played the role of academic shills during each successive New Era. Irving Fisher of Yale, in September 1929, notoriously opined that stocks had reached a “permanently high plateau,” justifying this view with the claim that Prohibition had enhanced worker productivity and that businesses were employing new “scientific” management practices. More recently, just a few short years ago, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and a number of other academic economists hailed the “Great Moderation,” arguing that rising institutional debt levels were tolerable, thanks to better monetary policy and better risk-reducing financial innovations. During the boom years, Mr. Bernanke pronounced that rising house prices were a sign of improved economic fundamentals rather than speculative excess.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 06:56:04

That’s just crazy socialist commie talk! Damn liberal WSJ!

Oh wait….

 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-03-19 14:11:41

It was all plausible. However, it wasn’t true. It didn’t accurately describe reality.

Comment by wittbelle
2012-03-19 20:06:09

What a coincidence! Neither does economics!

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:25:31

March 19, 2012, 2:37 a.m. EDT
Japan deflationary pressures remain high in 4Q
By Takashi Mochizuki

TOKYO (MarketWatch) — A key indicator used to assess the extent of price falls in Japan widened in the October-December period, the Cabinet Office said Monday, showing that long-running deflationary pressures remain high.

Japan’s gross domestic product gap–the difference between productive capacity and demand–stood at minus 3.4% in the final quarter of 2011, compared with minus 3.0% in the previous quarter.

Although the result was much narrower than the worst-ever reading of minus 8.7% in the first quarter of 2009, the negative figure means prices in Japan are expected to keep falling.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-19 06:43:42

Japan just needs a bigger government to soak up this surplus capacity.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 08:39:53

Is this because of a failing export market or a weaking domestic market? (or both?).

Comment by Northeastener
2012-03-19 11:02:51

Is this because of a failing export market or a weaking domestic market? (or both?).

It’s because the Yen has appreciated greatly against other currencies recently: at 83 yen per dollar… a couple of years ago it was closer to 100 yen per dollar. That is killing the export market.

Also, with the Fukashima disaster, the are running a big energy deficit, not enough power to go around with all the Nuke plants offline. This is creating issues for local manufacturers that are hurting local demand.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:27:42

Why are some federal reserve bank officials casting aspersions on nascent green shoots of U.S. economic recovery?

Market Pulse Archives

March 19, 2012, 8:46 a.m. EDT
Fed’s Dudley: Economy still faces headwinds
By Greg Robb

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - Despite incoming data that suggests the U.S. economy is on firmer footing, it is too soon to say that the U.S. is out of the woods, said William Dudley, the president of the New York Federal Reserve Bank, on Monday. “W cannot lose sight of the fact that the economy still faces significant headwinds and there are some meaningful downside risks,” Dudley said in a speech in Melville, New York. One headwind is the recent rise in gasoline prices, which might “sap purchasing power,” he said. Dudley was optimistic on the inflation outlook. Despite higher gas prices, the Fed expects the moderation in consumer prices to resume later this year. In addition, core inflation has peaked and the Fed expects it to begin to decline later this year, Dudley said.

Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 06:34:52

How tall are the walls surrounding Ben’s #1 disciple?

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:53:56

We do still have a free press here in America, don’t we?

Just checking…

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 07:25:27

That’s the Elijah Lovejoy statue in Alton, Illinois.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 09:17:48

It’s not my photo, but I do have a personal photo of that monument in one of our family albums.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 07:00:47

“…disciple…”

I find that word choice rather irritating, and perhaps that was your intent. Ben is good enough to open up a forum for discussion of individual views and opinions, but I don’t see how that makes anyone who posts here one of his disciples.

Definition of DISCIPLE

1: one who accepts and assists in spreading the doctrines of another: as a : one of the twelve in the inner circle of Christ’s followers according to the Gospel accounts b : a convinced adherent of a school or individual

Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 07:10:06

Bernanke!!!! Ben Bernanke!! Not BJ. You still on your first cup of java GS?

Peace

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 07:19:11

That’s the problem — still haven’t turned on the coffee maker. It’s making me unusually cantankerous…

 
 
 
Comment by azdude
2012-03-19 07:04:16

DOW 20000 or bust. Got to use that taxpayer money to line the pockets of the rich again.

Is there anyone out there that is really feeling that this market is not rigged? Does it even matter, just go with it?

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 07:16:05

I think that the current stock market rally is a sucker’s rally. That’s why I am keeping the bulk of my money in Treasuries and in cash.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 07:20:11

Yup…a long, drawn-out sucker’s rally it is. We’ve seen this movie before, lots of times in recent years!

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 07:28:02

“Ben’s #1 disciple”

Was that a reference to Dudley?

If so, sorry for my confusion. I didn’t realize Dudley was a student of Ben Bernanke…

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-03-19 08:15:53

Note that this is William “there is no inflation because ipads are cheaper now” Dudley speaking. And love the nod that “core” has peaked and will be declining this year. Good thing none of us ever have to buy:
Food
Gas
Health Care
et cetera

Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 08:38:34

C’mon! We can adapt to a 3rd world diet of rice, beans and lentils. At least it’s healthier.The extra flatulence might take some getting used to though (Images of the fart scene in Blazing Saddles comes to mind)

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 09:04:44

I resemble that Blazing Saddles remark. It’s why I flunked being a vegetarian.

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Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 09:25:13

women who fart and the men who love it…in xxx blue ray..

FA farters anonymous lets help clear the air in a safe no-shame environment

ok who’s next?

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-03-19 09:49:48

Thank god for the air-to-air heat exchanger.

 
 
Comment by Montana
2012-03-19 14:04:44

OMG, too much carbs.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 09:19:15

“there is no inflation because ipads are cheaper now”

Now I see why exeter said he is BB’s disciple, in the field of the Economics of Absurdity.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 06:31:41

Serial bottom callers will call bottoms — every year from now until Kingdom come! These people perpetually miss the role of extent-and-pretend policy to extend the housing bottom out “much later than expected.”

March 18, 2012, 9:00 a.m. EDT
The glacial pace of the housing recovery
Top economic reports this week include home sales, construction
By Jeffry Bartash, MarketWatch

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The U.S. economy finally seems to be on a solid path to recovery three years after the recession ended. The struggling housing industry, not so much.

The real-estate market takes center stage in a typically slow week for U.S. economic data. Reports on new-home construction, new-home sales and purchases of existing homes are among the highlights. See MarketWatch Economic Calendar.

Housing looks to have perked up over the past few months, though some of the data may have been goosed by unseasonably warm winter weather.

Still, the groundwork for turnaround in the slum-ridden industry is set in place. Mortgage rates are at record lows, the economy is growing, more people are finding jobs and rents are starting to rise — a trend that usually pushes people to buy their own homes and build equity.

Our view is that housing bottomed out last year,” said Michael Gapen, an economist at Barclays Capital. “It’s no longer a drag on the recovery.

MarketWatch consensus
See economic calendar
date report Consensus previous
March 19 Home builder sentiment 29 29
March 20 Housing starts 708,000 699,000
March 21 Existing home sales 4.6 mln 4.57 mln
March 22 Jobless claims 350,000 351,000
March 22 Leading indicators 0.5% 0.4%
March 22 FHFA house prices 0.7%
March 23 New home sales 330,000 321,000

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-19 06:45:02

Recovery is dampened by continued decline.

 
Comment by Jim A
2012-03-19 08:28:55

And the current, high levels of negative equity aren’t a drag? Idiot.

 
 
Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 06:40:21

I stubbed my toe this morning. I’m not gonna make my mortgage payment anymore.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-19 06:48:00

You poor thing!

Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 06:51:36

Yes. My wife Martha has a bunion too. We’re gonna keep the house though. We were robo-signed. It’s our right…. cuz I stubbed my toe and Martha’s painful bunion.

 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 07:25:57

Not to worry. Strategic default among prime borrowers is all the rage these days!

 
 
Comment by CharlieTango
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 07:19:41

On the outskirts of Tucson, a couple is building an earth-sheltered home. (It’s one of those earthships that actor Dennis Weaver made famous.)

One of the big selling points is energy efficiency. Earth is a great insulator, after all. They’re also very quiet inside.

 
Comment by palmetto
2012-03-19 07:21:26

Actually kinda cool, in a retro way. Seems as if one can live very simply and inexpensively, and yet somewhat comfortably. With electricity, even.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-19 08:01:12

I find it more pleasing to live on a boat, surrounded by water, rather in a dugout. Just me and my little LEDs. Simple, inexpensive and nothing for the tax man.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-19 10:24:48

Did that. once-4year$-fun-quiet-plea$ant too.

(the Monday night harbor steakhouse free samples where in word: awe$ome!)

x3 cheer$ to $kye on water.

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Comment by Rancher
2012-03-19 12:26:16

I’m with you. Blue watered my cutter rigged
43′ Columbia for several years; rather sail than
go spelunking.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 07:23:00

That is sad, and brings to mind similar sad stories from closer to home.

PETE SAMSON
US Editor in Nevada
Last Updated: 25 May 2011
LOVEBIRDS Steven and Kathryn share a well-organised home in bustling Las Vegas.

They have a neat, if compact kitchen, a furnished living area, and a bedroom complete with double bed, wardrobe and bookshelf featuring a wide selection including a Frank Sinatra biography and Spanish phrase book.

And they make their money in some of the biggest casinos in the world.

But their life is far from the ordinary.

Because, along with hundreds of others, the couple are part of a secret community living in the dark and dirty underground flood tunnels below the famous strip.

Comment by azdude
2012-03-19 07:45:07

wow never heard about that. SAD

 
Comment by wittbelle
2012-03-19 20:15:39

Très romantique!

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 08:04:00

Meanwhile, there are millions of empty, brand new apartments in China that no one can buy or rent on their Foxconn wages.

 
 
Comment by rusty
2012-03-19 07:26:22

Our old foreclosure home was put on the market at 175k. A similar sized, but nicer house two doors down was put on the market four days later by the same agent for 220k. 4 days after that, the original foreclosure house was taken off of the market.

My guess is that she will sell the more expensive house and then use that comp to raise the asking price on the foreclosure.

Foreclosure house empty for 6 months now.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 08:59:12

I’ve been noticing a few more long term empty houses this year that don’t have For Sale signs out front.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 09:07:02

There are tons of these houses in Tucson.

Not to mention the ones that are kinda-sorta being lived in. They have people who come around and crash in them now and then. Methinks they’re in the early stages of foreclosure.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 09:20:45

Soon to be rented out by a Wall Street landlord

Comment by jeff saturday
2012-03-19 11:27:56

I smell some RBS coming onto the market

Rental-Backed Security (RBS)

Taipei to issue rent-backed securities - Taipei Times
Aug 29, 2007 … The Taipei City Government said it will issue NT$1.8 billion (US$50 million) in 10 -year securities tomorrow as it plans to securitize the rental …
http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/biz/archives/2007/08/29/2003376373 - 12k - Cached - Similar pages

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 13:39:40

Oh crap…

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 15:56:46

Soon to be guaranteed by the full faith and credit of the US Government, no doubt…

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by joesmith
2012-03-19 07:39:36

I’ve only ever posted a handful of comments on HBB, mostly because I learn so much more by reading the news analysis and insights of others. I recently turned 30 and when I read this now I think back on how much things changed in my lifetime and how much HBB has contributed to my mindset. When I was born, the US was in the midst of disenfranchising its middle class and its manufacturing capacity, having the same job for 20+ years was ending, and concentration of wealth was ramping up. My experience early on in my career has been so different than my parents… I’m sure you guys can imagine. HBB has helped me understand the big picture, at least as much as my undergrad Econ courses. I had Krugman and Bernanke as professors in college, so HBB functions as a re-education of sorts–an exercise in independent thinking. I wanted to thank you folks and I’m going to post a few questions that relate a recent house purchase, hopefully you folks will have insight.

Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 08:09:54

I wanted to thank you folks ??

And us “folks” thank Ben for having the foresight to see this whole debacle coming way before anyone else…

Comment by joesmith
2012-03-19 08:52:41

You took the time to comment on my word choice? Really? OK then, you seem like a winner.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 09:01:24

Yes. Thank Ben. He’s created something special here.

 
Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 09:06:00

Not sure what your getting at but my point is that all of us “folks” that have been here on the board for many years thank Ben for bringing us together with his call on the bubble before most saw it coming…

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-03-19 09:15:38

I think he’s puzzled about why you keep putting “folks” in quotation marks like it’s some odd word.

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Comment by joesmith
2012-03-19 10:35:15

correct–not sure why he repeated “folks” and then acted like it was a weird word… and then acted like I was slighting anyone in particular. I was thanking Ben *and* the community.

The experiences and personalities of the whole HBB community provide a critical mass that help distill the important lessons from this. Accounts from mikeinbend and JeffSaturday down in florida are unlike the mindless MSM “victim” stories on the crisis.

The most influential contributors in re-shaping my view of housing/the economy have been CIBT, FPSS, oxide, AZ slim, XGFer, in Colorado, RAL, polly, and Ben J himself. I really did scrutinize my realtor and inspector using things learned here over 3-4 yr period. But also re-thought what I had learned in formal educational settings and conventional wisdom over the years.

 
Comment by scdave
2012-03-19 12:09:26

I think he’s puzzled about why you keep putting “folks” in quotation marks like it’s some odd word ??

Inadvertent really…

 
 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2012-03-19 09:24:30

“I had Krugman and Bernanke as professors in college, so HBB functions as a re-education of sorts–an exercise in independent thinking. I wanted to thank you folks and I’m going to post a few questions that relate a recent house purchase, hopefully you folks will have insight.”

Thanks for posting. To the degree I had anything to do with it, you are most welcome.

Comment by Professor Bear
2012-03-19 09:28:20

P.S. I recently heard a great story about Albert Einstein, which suggested his success as a theorist was partially due to working in the Swiss patent office, away from other physicists. Because he was not surrounded by experts in the dominant paradigm, he had the freedom to think freely and come up with new theories.

Groupthink is the enemy of thought.

Comment by ahansen
2012-03-19 23:52:28

No, it was because he had access to all the new concepts and inventions that came through the patent office and was able to co-opt them before they were…patented.

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Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-03-20 09:37:40

I don’t recall hearing that anyone filed a patent on relativity during his time there… :-)

 
 
 
Comment by joesmith
2012-03-19 10:59:26

Yes, and I’m sure there are many others who lurk/read here and have been influenced by your posts. I barely have enough time to read the threads each day, so rarely comment. And my main purpose for reading here is to learn from others’ experience while getting a counterpoint to the MSM.

 
 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-03-19 07:51:07

Bonanza Theme Song By Lorne Greene - YouTube

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kA-PdP4k4Xw - 152k - Cached - Similar pages

We got a right to pick a little fight
We’re Deadbeats!
If anyone fights anyone of us
He’s gotta fight with me!

We’re not a one to saddle up and run,
We’re Deadbeats!
Anyone of us who starts a little fuss
knows he can count on me!

One for all
All for one,
This we guarantee.

We got a right to pick a little fight
We’re Deadbeats!
If anyone fights anyone of us
He’s gotta fight with me!

Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 08:35:33

My mother once worked as a teller at the BofA branch that was close to whatever studio they filmed the show at.

She told me that Lorne Greene was the nicest guy in the world and that he charmed all of the tellers at the branch.

But they didn’t care for Michael Landon. She said he was a jerk. The other guys were OK, or so she said.

Comment by jeff saturday
2012-03-19 08:54:30

Any reports on Hoss?

Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 09:42:58

She said he was OK. Maybe she had a crush on Lorne Greene :-)

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Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-19 16:06:36

My dad met Hoss. Dad ran one of the big exhibits at the ‘65 World’s Fair in NYC. Dan Blocker visited with his family. Something like eight kids IIRC. Dad spent a couple hours giving them a tour. Said he seemed a very nice man. My dad considered manners and generosity over status. Got a picture of the whole bunch around here somewhere.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 09:09:04

I know a fellow who once worked as a waiter in Pittsburgh. One of his customers was Mr. Rogers. Yup, the guy from the PBS-TV neighborhood.

One of the nicest restaurant customers this fellow ever had.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-19 16:09:14

He used to hang out a lot at the Saxonburg Hotel, real close to where my farm was. He did indeed have a very good reputation as a customer.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 16:49:19

Mr. Rogers’ house was somewhere on Beechwood Boulevard in Squirrel Hill. As often as I bicycled that street, I never figured out which house was his.

OTOH, I had a roommate who said that she saw Mr. Rogers with one of his adult children. They were outside the house and the kid was having a meltdown. Shouting “I love my daddy!” and that sort of thing.

Don’t know if this actually happened, but it was a good story nonetheless.

 
 
 
Comment by oxide
2012-03-19 14:08:36

I admit, I was once a jerk in BoA, about 5 years ago. In 2001, I set up an account with direct deposit, but then used the ATM almost exclusively. One time in 2007, the ATM was on the fritz, so I went into the lobby for the first time in years to withdraw some cash. The teller there immediately began to pitch products to me: CD’s, special savings account, credit card… On the third pitch I finally said “look, can I just have my money please?” She looked at me as if I were Michael Landon.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 14:34:16

I’ll bet I was a bigger jerk than you. I once pitched a fit in a credit union. Was trying to close an account, which was quite the ordeal.

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Comment by Anon In DC
2012-03-19 19:11:18

I dont’ know your mom… .But often people with boring repetive jobs get the feeling that they should be charmed rather be charming. I bet Landon was just all business nothing more nothing less.

 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-03-19 08:52:27

It took me a little while to find the lyrics to the….

Bonanza Theme Song By Lorne Greene

We chased lady luck, ’til we finally struck we’re Deadbeats!

With a pen and a rope and a hat full of hope, planted a family tree. We got hold of a pot of gold, we’re Deadbeats!
With a horse and a saddle, and a range full of cattle, how rich can a Deadbeat be?

On this land we put our brand, Deadbeat is the name, fortune smiled, the day they filed that foreclosure claim.
Here in the West, we’re livin’ the best, we’re Deadbeats, if anyone fights any one of us, he’s gotta a fight with me.

Hoss and Joe and Lynn know every Robo sign, no one works, cries, or sleeps, like those Beats of mine. Here we stand to get two grand we’re Deadbeats! With a pen and a rope and a hatful of hope, we planted our family tree, we got hold of a potful of gold, we’re Deadbeats!

With a houseful of friends where the rainbow ends, how rich can a Deadbeat be?
On this land we put our brand, Deadbeat is the name, fortune smiled, the day they filed that foreclosure claim. Here in the west we’re livin’ the best we’re Deadbeats!

With the friendliest, fightingist, loving band, that ever set foot in the promised land, and we’re happier than them all.
That’s why we’re called Deadbeats…Deadbeats…Deadbeats…

 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-03-19 08:36:39

Holy Cow! Not another study showing a low IQ/conservative link. (This one’s for Blue- I know he finds such studies fascinating):

Study Finds Link Between Low I.Q., Racism, Conservatism
7:51 AM EDT 2/3/2012 by Kathleen Cross
RollingOut.com

Researchers at Brock University in Ontario, Canada, have published a study in Psychological Science that shows people who score low on I.Q. tests in childhood are more likely to develop prejudiced beliefs and conservative political views in adulthood.

Dr. Gordon Hodson, a professor of psychology at the university and the study’s lead author, said the finding represented evidence of a vicious cycle: People of low intelligence gravitate toward socially conservative ideologies, which stress resistance to change and, in turn, prejudice, he told LiveScience.

Why might less intelligent people be drawn to conservative ideologies? Because such ideologies feature “structure and order” that make it easier to comprehend a complicated world, Dodson said. “Unfortunately, many of these features can also contribute to prejudice,” he added.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 09:05:30

To be fair, it IS a complicated and often very scary world and getting more complicated every day.

But there is NO excuse for racism.

Comment by Carl Morris
2012-03-19 12:20:41

But there is NO excuse for racism.

I hear you. I saw a few things in basic training that I can see how a person might end up racist if that sort of thing was their only exposure to other races. Luckily I got a lot more (good) exposure and can see how that was just one small slice and not representative.

 
Comment by Montana
2012-03-19 14:42:11

But there is NO excuse for racism.

Tell that to the liberal elites who seem to self-segregate into their own white neighborhoods and schools.

Comment by Anon In DC
2012-03-19 19:17:23

You don’t mean limousine liberals like Hillary and Obama? They wanted to force socialized medicine on everyone in this country. But they won’t even send their own kid(s) to governmemt run schools. Only Sidwell Friends. It’s private. Not a GOVERNMENT MONOPOLY. No chance of running into (god forbid) poor kids there.

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Comment by mathguy
2012-03-19 17:00:37

I watched a very liberal musical play about 2-3 years ago named “Ave. Q” . It starred Muppet like characters with puppeteers onstage acting and motioning the characters. One of my favorite parts of the play was a short song named “Everyone’s a little bit racist - sometimes” . My other favorite was “The Internet is for porn”. Nothing funnier than an imitation Cookie Monster clone singing “The Internet is For Porn”.

 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-19 16:17:50

Thanks for thinking of me Alpha.

Conservative: “Just let me be in my space.”

Liberal: “All your spaces are mine.”

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-03-19 16:59:26

All your space are belong to us.

Conservative: “Just let me be in my space.”

Conservative: “Oh, and you have to pray to a Christian god, and you can’t have access to birth control or an abortion or marry a same sex partner, in your space either.”

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-19 19:16:50

Well, that would be a Liberal conservative politician, not a low IQ “leave me alone” conservative.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-03-19 19:38:11

Oh, so the people forcing their religion on everyone else are now called ‘liberal conservatives’? By whom? Other than yourself.

Conservatives may claim to want to be left alone, but they are fine with inflicting their ‘common sense’ and ‘family values’ on everyone else. As we have seen.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 20:28:17

Oh, so the people forcing their religion on everyone else are now called …

The desire to not fund abortion is not forcing our religion on everyone else. In my case I have abandoned my religion ( Catholicism ) but I retain my abhorrence for abortion as well as my belief that I should/will not be force to fund your killing of not yet born human beings.

Your claim that access to birth control is at issue is a joke. Why do you equate public funding to access? Go to your local gas station, your local elementary school, your local drug store and you can access birth control.

Are you saying that if someone else doesn’t pay for it that you don’t have access? Lets be honest.

 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2012-03-19 21:06:27

Liberals are not low IQ. Alpha Slob is low IQ.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-03-20 05:53:39

Hey Bill- I’ll offer you ten-to-one odds, on any amount, that my IQ is higher than yours. Want to bet?

Charlie- Most conservatives want to outlaw abortion, not just stop the public funding of it. And conservatives are fine with gay marriage? Then why do they support a constitutional amendment to ban it?

They want control of their own personal space, and everyone else’s.

 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-20 09:12:55

My wager’s on Alpha.

 
 
 
 
Comment by wittbelle
2012-03-19 20:29:41

My husband is from Guelph and got his engineering degree from the university. We have discussed this phenomena at length are fascinated by the fact that most stupid people are conservatives. That alone would explain the popularity of shows like Glenn Beck and Rush Limbaugh and the success of Fox News. If you consider that the majority of the population is stupid, It is not a bad strategy to build a viewership or a customer base!

 
 
Comment by joesmith
2012-03-19 08:37:01

My wife and I (both 30 y/o) bought a SFH last fall, probably against HBB wisdom (”why buy now when you can guy later for 30% off?”). However, we were living in one of her parents’ rental houses and it was always a temporary arrangement–not everyone can put off household formation forever. Mortgage 140k, 4% fixed for 30 yrs on combined income of approx 130k currently. ~2200 sq ft + 2 car detached garage. Brick and mortar house, 1 owner from 1951-2010 (old man died at age 90), brick and mortar house (cinder block behind the brick), thick plaster walls, heavy wood floors. From reading HBB, I would think if you had to buy a house to stand the test of time, this would be it.

We looked at houses and lowballed for about a year, bargained this down from 175k to 150k (which was down from 200k the first time we looked at it). I still laugh when I realize the house across the street, same size but with no garage, went for 295k in 2007.

Location was a big selling point–about 2 miles from her job, 5 miles from mine, close to a new subway line that goes downtown to my job and all the court houses/admin agencies. 2 mi to her parents’ house, minutes to two good university hospitals, Johns Hopkins and U of Maryland. Because of the location, we only have/need one car, unlike if we lived in the suburbs or exurbs.

I’m inviting flame and criticism from HBB for not waiting another 4-5 yrs for the gov’t to stop subsidizing housing. I am skeptical that the gov’t will ever really let the SHTF as some of you envision. And this isn’t in FL/NV/CA/AZ, it’s in Maryland but outside the DC bubble. Similar to houses that oxide posts, but at 1/2 the price.

Were it not for HBB, we might’ve been in the market for 400k-500k McMansions 10-15 miles up I-95 like some of our friends who paid 350k for townhouses that require hour long commutes to work. Everytime we went with our Realtard to look at houses, I had HBB in the back of my mind critiquing things. Sometimes I had images of RAL describing how he could build the same house from scratch for $50/sq ft. And even now, I’m not thinking we made a great “investment”, but moreso that we found a lifelong home without getting ripped off and ensuring we won’t be house poor–we’ll be able to enjoy the other things in life. Criticisms/advice appreciated…

Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 08:55:16

Ok question, why didn’t you get a 15 year mortgage and with your high incomes pay it off real fast? (one less monthly bill to pay)

Do i suspect the mrs wants a family real bad?

Comment by joesmith
2012-03-19 10:02:21

We did 30 yr mort because the city school district and state of Maryland had (still have, I think) a program where they chipped in money that is forgivable if you live in the house at least 5 yrs. We also were not allowed to put more than 10% down or have more than $X of liquid assets (I don’t remember X off-hand). We were very lucky because when her income in the relevant tax years was 5k lower than now and I had just graduated law school. We would not qualify if we applied next year with this yr’s income, probably not even close.

It is the plan to pay off the mortgage early. We would’ve taken the shorter mortgage, but it was not an option like I said above. About 2 yrs ago we started paying cash or debit for everything and we’ve knocked down our debt down to some minimal amount, except her federal student loans, which will be forgiven after 10 yrs of payments as long as she teaches for 10 yrs (she wants to teach 30 yrs, so this is not an issue, she loves her job).

We only want 1 child. This is a result of reading some HBB experiences, seeing real life examples, and my wife as a teacher seeing 10 yr olds all day. I could see having 2 children or adopting a 2nd later in life; we’ve discussed that but agree it will depend on what a first child is like.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 10:20:58

We only want 1 child. This is a result of reading some HBB experiences, seeing real life examples, and my wife as a teacher seeing 10 yr olds all day. I could see having 2 children or adopting a 2nd later in life; we’ve discussed that but agree it will depend on what a first child is like.

My parents went that route. And guess what? Now they’re in their 80s, having health problems, and it’s all on my shoulders. Needless to say, sleep is something I’m not well acquainted with right now. And I can tell you all about what stress feels like for a body.

OTOH, I know of many multi-child families where responsibility for the parents fell on the shoulders of one sibling, usually a woman living nearby. So, having more than one kid isn’t going to make your later-year care into a shared responsibility.

If I can say one good thing about my situation it’s this: Once I make a decision, it’s done. I don’t have to argue with my brother about this or cajole my sister about that.

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Comment by joesmith
2012-03-19 10:48:22

AZslim, I hear you on the taking care of parents thing. This is why I am so glad we are close to many hospitals and we live 2 miles from my in-laws. There may be unexpected twists and turns down the road, but access to top notch medical care should not be an issue. We are also going to finish the basement in such a way that it can become an in law suite down the road.

As far as our old age, it does seem like most parents rely on one child anyway. But we live well below our means and want to live in this area a long time (life?) so things could be much worse. But yes, I have learned from your account and those of others here on the board.

A good topic for the board sometime might be–how to prepare for your own old age. What types of insurance to carry (long term care?) and so forth.

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 11:13:07

Now If we could get minorities to think about the adoption aspect…since so many are in foster care and state institutions, and a lot will not turn out to be good citizens

I could see having 2 children or adopting a 2nd later in life; we’ve discussed that but agree it will depend on what a first child is like.

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Comment by AV0CAD0
2012-03-19 19:03:37

Have 2, they need each other.

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Comment by jeff saturday
2012-03-19 09:19:04

“My wife and I (both 30 y/o)”

“bargained this down from 175k to 150k (which was down from 200k the first time we looked at it).”

“income of approx 130k currently”

“Mortgage 140k, 4% fixed for 30 yrs”

“the house across the street, same size but with no garage, went for 295k in 2007.”

“Were it not for HBB, we might’ve been in the market for 400k-500k McMansions 10-15 miles up I-95 like some of our friends who paid 350k for townhouses that require hour long commutes to work.”

I would say you did really well and a shout out thanks to Ben Jones is probably in order.

Best of luck to you and your wife.

js

Comment by joesmith
2012-03-19 09:45:19

I was in need of comprehensive re-education and Ben deserves great thanks. Content from Econ courses taken 2000-2004 seemed inapplicable by 2008. The courses with the most enduring value? Political economy and economic history, which at the time were considered less valuable to undergrads because they weren’t applicable to corporate law or i-banking.

 
 
Comment by polly
2012-03-19 09:50:11

So, are you actually in Baltimore? How is the school district?

I think $150K for a house that is minutes to both of your jobs, close to family and near public transportation sounds pretty good, and at nearly 50% off the 2007 prices, most of the drop in prices was already baked in. As long as you don’t see this as a starter house (counting on a move up after appreciation) and you aren’t going to be facing long years of private school tuition, it sounds like a good deal to me.

Comment by joesmith
2012-03-19 10:14:05

We are inside the city, near the city-county line. Baltimore City has open application/enrollment for HS. It’s pretty likely our child would go to Digital Harbor or Balt Polytech, assuming his/her academic performance is anything like ours. If we have a child who tests/performs like I did, a scholarship to a school like Boys Latin or Gilman should be a possibility. But the world may change in the next 20 yrs. I would rather not pay for private K-12 because the money could go towards violin/cello lessons, tennis camp, etc etc.

Elementary and middle school quality varies widely. My wife teaches at an elementary/middle school (k-8) and any children we have would go there. That school has a comprehensive rec center for after-school, too. The school is roughly 40% white, 40% latino, 10% asian, 10% black. Colleagues tell me I am naive, that I will not want my kids in *any* type of public education and that I will change my mind and put the kids in private school like many city residents. I hope they are wrong.

Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 11:29:22

Only if that ratio stays the same…or if the 1st and 3rd get larger….otherwise yes its private school for the kids.

The key here is whats the only real difference between a good school and a failing one?

The good school forces you to speak English when you enter the front door…….if you see that disappearing….well

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Comment by joesmith
2012-03-19 11:52:14

Asians are the fasted increasing group in terms of %.

Even students whose parents speak no English at home are usually out of ESL pull-out sections by 3rd grade. Of 75 3rd graders this year, less than 10 get pulled for ESL during the day.

DJ, I think you are confusing adult or adolescent immigrants with students who were born here or who begin school in grade K. These children want to learn English, their parents want them to learn it, and are distributed fairly evenly in terms of achievement–some are at the top of the class, most in the middle, and a few at the low end.

A recent social studies essay I helped my wife grade was an exercise where students interviewed a family member about their own history. Among the hispanic and asian students, the nearly-universal theme was that immigrating was the biggest decision of the parent/grandparents’ lives and the reason given was so that their children could get an education and a better life. Long story short, these parents expect their children to learn english and do “better” than them.

The stories of lazyness and intergenerational poverty are almost without exception among downscale whites and blacks. With rare exceptions, these parents never show up to open houses or conferences. Many (most?) receive government money. And they move a LOT, so their kids switch schools frequently. And whereas the asian and hispanic parents work 2 or 3 jobs per couple (several run small businesses like restaurants) there are quite a few white and black parents where no one works at all.

 
Comment by polly
2012-03-19 14:53:11

I’d be more interested in the grade level competency and the class sizes than the racial composition. But since your wife teaches in the building, I’m sure you will know plenty about the school before any kids are even a thought. There are some social issues with your kid being one of the wealthiest in their class, but, again, with your wife in the building, you’ll be well placed to know if it is a problem.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 16:10:32

Exactly when this group grows trouble follows….

The stories of lazyness and intergenerational poverty are almost without exception among downscale whites and blacks

 
 
Comment by oxide
2012-03-19 14:20:26

I’ll echo Polly, I think you did well. :D

This ISN’T Florida or Arizona or Nevada. The national average will drop a more. Even the DC/Baltimore average will drop a little more. However, the homes that will bring down the average are the ones that nobody wanted in the first place: HOA-burdened condos, Garage Mahals and other attached product on the surburban edge, McMansions with a commute by MARC, rental foreclosures, trashed short sales, ‘hoods, and the like.

As for SFH with a yard close to the office? Prices on those are not going to drop — at least not enough to be worth the wait and the rent payments.

————–
*NoVa will take a larger hit, IMO. But it’s not worth the commute.

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Comment by WT Economist
2012-03-19 11:45:52

I’m surprised you can still get a $140K mortgage on a $150K house.

In 1994, I put 40% down, we had two steady government jobs we had been in for years, and it took several months and a near colonoscopy for us to get approved. Then again, it was for a $130K mortgage which was more money in real dollars than you are borrowing.

Comment by joesmith
2012-03-19 12:02:14

Purchase price was 150k but the house was appraised for 165k by the bank’s appraiser. I don’t trust appraisers, but that’s what the number came back as.

We could’ve put 20% down. We were only allowed to put 10% down (although the school system, city & state combined for another 11k, which is wiped out when we live there 5 yrs but would be payable with interest if we sold before then). As it worked out, most of the 11k paid for closing costs and the rest was applied towards the mortgage principle.

We didn’t need the program, but were not going to turn it down. Just like most buyers in 09-10 didn’t need the 8k tax credit from the feds, but why refuse it? These programs distort the market, obviously. House prices here didn’t really drop enough for my liking until after the federal $8k incentives ended…

 
 
Comment by vinceinwaukesha
2012-03-19 13:44:29

“I’m inviting flame and criticism from HBB for not waiting another 4-5 yrs for the gov’t to stop subsidizing housing.”

You claim you overpaid by 30% and you claim you paid 150, so you’re guessing a loss of about 750/month… I’m guessing rents where you live are about like here so renting would be a 1000/month loss, whereas owning is a 750/month loss, so you win if your maint cost is below 250/month (good luck with that).

I paid about $125 for a house only worth about $100 … 12 years ago. I’m willing to eat two grand loss per year. Of course there is no guarantee the bubble will only correct to “normal” and not overcorrect… I grew up in a much nicer house in a much nicer neighborhood that my parents bought for about 80 right around 1980 at a 20% or whatever interest rate.

I’m expecting to take a capital loss on my house. Thats OK. I was comfortable taking a $475/month loss on my bachelor pad. To a extremely simplistic first approximation if my house goes to ZERO in about ten more years I’ll still make a profit… assuming I can keep my job and income etc for the next decade… And the taxes don’t explode thru the roof, etc.

Comment by oxide
2012-03-19 14:23:44

“You claim you overpaid by 30% ”

No. He was merely quoting RAL.

Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-19 17:57:21

Hey sister…. jump right in…. head first. What are you waiting for? You don’t need HBB. You don’t need the decades of experience here. Have at it.

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Comment by joesmith
2012-03-20 07:27:42

I don’t predict a 30% drop for this area, I was merely repeating the HBB meme. And 1200 sq ft row homes like the ones my in-laws rent out go for $1350/month in rent. Our PITI on SFH w/ 2 car garage is $1275.

Renting a similar house of a similar condition in a similar location would be difficult. They hardly exist, as 80%+ of the market is duplex and row homes and the rest is split between larger apartment buildings. Only a few blocks have SFH. Our area was built in 40s and 50s when B’more was an steel/shipping town, not a healthcare/government services town.

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-03-20 09:43:48

And 1200 sq ft row homes like the ones my in-laws rent out go for $1350/month in rent. Our PITI on SFH w/ 2 car garage is $1275.

Hey joe, I didn’t have time to respond yesterday, but it sure sounds to me like you did great.

Solid construction, an area you want to stay in, well situation in terms of health-care, services, and transit for the long-haul, and a reasonable price to boot.

At 1.15X your annual income, you certainly aren’t over-extending, and will have a significant margin for curve-balls that life throw you.

The only thing I didn’t see you address was crime, and how the neighborhood may change over time (to the extent that you can predict that); minutes to Johns Hopkins kind of raises that question, though I don’t know Baltimore well enough to have an opinion on that.

Nice work. Sounds like an HBB success-story if I ever heard one!

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 09:09:11

Wouldn’t a centralized plan to deliberately turn private residences into rentals constitute collusion? (Not suggesting it’s illegal — just trying to come up with an appropriate moniker for this anti-competitive scheme.)

Since Wall Street did such a fine job in the mortgage lending business, I am sure the 99% have happy days ahead as members of the new Rentership Society.

I also note that were it not for taxpayer-funded bailouts to save their bacon, Fannie Mae and many of the other the firms involved in this collusion scheme would not even be operating today. How did Fannie Mae, a private corporation until its untimely demise in Fall 2008, become the responsibility of American taxpayers in its zombie afterlife?

ECONOMY
Updated March 19, 2012, 12:03 a.m. ET
Wall Street Keys On Landlord Business
By NICK TIMIRAOS, ROBBIE WHELAN and MATT PHILLIPS

Some of the biggest names on Wall Street are lining up to become landlords to cash-strapped Americans by bidding on pools of foreclosed properties being sold by Fannie Mae.

The idea is that the new owners would rent out the homes at first rather than reselling—potentially aiding a housing-market recovery by reducing the number of properties clogging the market. The fact that big-name investors are interested also suggests they anticipate sizable future profits in housing.

See Fannie Mae’s announcement about pools of foreclosed properties it is offering for sale.

Bulk sales, however, pose a trade-off. While the current approach of selling homes one-by-one has its own high costs and is sometimes inefficient, selling properties in bulk to large investors could require Fannie Mae to sell at a big discount, leading to larger initial costs. It is unclear which would be least costly ultimately to taxpayers, who are responsible for the big mortgage-finance company’s losses.

Purely in dollar terms, the sale would be small by Wall Street standards. But it could offer clues about whether investors are willing to pay prices high enough to entice Fannie Mae—along with its sibling Freddie Mac, federal agencies and banks—to do more bulk-sale deals in the future.

Currently, banks selling through regular real-estate listings are getting more than 90 cents on the dollar of their asking price, according to industry analysts. They could be reluctant to unload properties in bulk if it means selling for much less.

Firms considering bids include New York-based broker-dealer Amherst Securities Group and a fund run by mortgage-bond pioneer Lewis Ranieri. Hedge-fund manager Paulson & Co. and private-equity investors Colony Capital LLC are also considering bids, according to people familiar with the process.

The sale consists of 2,500 homes divided into eight regional pools, ranging from 572 properties in Atlanta to 99 in Chicago. The total current market value is $320 million, according to an offering document prepared by Credit Suisse, which is advising Fannie.

“We’re investing a lot of capital, a lot of time, with the expectation that this is a very small beginning to a very big movement,” said Sean Dobson, CEO of Amherst. Last summer the firm won 50 properties auctioned by Fannie in Dallas and confirmed that it plans to bid on some of the pools up for auction now.

Spokesmen for Fannie Mae and Credit Suisse declined to comment on the sale.

The deal with Fannie would require investors to rent the houses out and hold them off the market for several years.

Comment by Professor Bear
2012-03-19 09:35:10

Given news on the front page of today’s WSJ about top-down collusion underway to limit competition, I can understand why builders are suddenly euphoric.

March 19, 2012, 12:27 p.m. EDT
Builder sentiment stays at nearly 5-year high

February reading revised lower by a point; still far from ‘good’ level
By Steve Goldstein, MarketWatch

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — A measure of sentiment for builders of new single-family homes in March stayed at the highest level in close to five years after a downward revision to the preceding month, according to data released Monday.

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo housing market index stayed at 28, which marks the highest level since June 2007 after the one-point downward revision of February’s data to 28.

“Overall the report was only a minor disappointment, and the level of the index remains consistent with steady improvement in the single-family housing market, in our view,” said economists at Goldman Sachs.

Economists polled by MarketWatch had expected the gauge to read 29 in March. U.S. stocks struggled to advance in midday trade. See story on U.S. stocks.

“While builders are still very cautious at this time, there is a sense that many local housing markets have started to move in the right direction and that prospects for future sales are improving,” said Barry Rutenberg, chairman of the NAHB and a home builder from Gainesville, Fla.

The component measuring current sales conditions fell a point to 29, but the component measuring sales expectations in the next six months rose 2 points to 36, the highest level in more than four years.

The component measuring traffic of prospective buyers stayed at 22.

The seasonally adjusted index is designed so that readings over 50 indicate “good” conditions — which hasn’t been the case since April 2006.

NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe, while noting confidence is twice as strong as it was six months ago, said credit is tight for buyers and builders alike, and the inventory of distressed properties on the market also is an obstacle to recovery.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 09:53:17

The deal with Fannie would require investors to rent the houses out and hold them off the market for several years.

Evil thought: I hope they get some real house-wreckers as tenants. Then let’s see the in-VEST-or vermin rush to get rid of those houses any way they can.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 11:23:58

“Then let’s see the in-VEST-or vermin rush to get rid of those houses any way they can.”

Sounds like that won’t be an option.

“The deal with Fannie would require investors to rent the houses out and hold them off the market for several years.”

 
 
 
Comment by CarrieAnn
2012-03-19 09:11:12

Muggy I just read your post from late yesterday. Reminds me of when we moved to Syracuse at great expense ($7000 in moving fees) to be closer to one of the grandparents after 9/11 (we would have moved closer to either locale but Syracuse housing was about 1/3 that of my hometown at the time) If you recall my story, we moved here from Cape Cod.

Within a year’s time, his parents announced they were thinking of moving to the Cape. I cannot even begin to tell you the turmoil that would have caused had they done it since they had encouraged us to move out here.

So grammie is in town visiting… she and I get caught up, and she tells me about the house she is buying in the Syracuse area, and why (because she doesn’t want son #1 to be all alone in Upstate NY, while son #2 and #3 and daughter #1 live in Florida).

Son #1 is also in town, and later today he and I get caught up. Their first baby is due this may and the school his wife teaches at is closing.

So then he asks if I could help them land on their feet down here if need be.

Comment by Muggy
2012-03-19 16:25:47

With both the housing and job markets in tumult, it’s hard to make plans beyond your own family anymore.

 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 09:12:03

WTH?

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/ny-mets-owners-162-million-133700251.html

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The owners of the cash-strapped New York Mets baseball team agreed to pay $162 million to settle a lawsuit by the trustee seeking money for the victims of Bernard Madoff’s fraud, averting a potentially embarrassing trial.

 
Comment by vinceinwaukesha
2012-03-19 09:51:32

Two (related) reuters.com headlines

“Stockton: The town the housing boom broke”
Still putting lipstick on a pig… look at the bubble era choice of words “snapped up” “swank redevelopment”
There is some progress, examine “She put 20 percent down on a virtually brand-new home with slate floors” Just a couple years ago that would have still been fixated on stainless and granite.

“S&P 500 climbs to less than 10 percent below all-time high”
Still putting lipstick on a pig… better phrase would have been something like despite recent climb, s+p500 still 10 percent below all time high. Basically another tiring “apple is paying a dividend therefore all is right with the world” story.

Summary, still in bubble thinking/writing mode. Give them a couple more years to catch up to today.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 09:53:25

And if you adjust it for inflation it’s well below 10% of the all time high. More like 30%+ below.

Comment by vinceinwaukesha
2012-03-19 09:59:22

Your numbers are true but I was interested in the word choice, the style of writing. You snap up a house. What matters is the trivial yet expensive surface finishes of that house. The most important manufacturer is one that makes “extra-luxury” trinkets.

We’ll be past bottom and entering recovery when we get articles about carefully reasoned purchase following that usual rules of less than 3 times income where owning is cheaper than renting, etc. Or when the most important manufacturer is the place in my area that ships ultra-heavy industrial mining equipment all over the world.

Looks like psychologically there’s a long way to go.

 
 
Comment by waiting_in_la
2012-03-19 17:48:26

In related news, CBOE “Black Swan” Index hits highest levels since before 2007 market crash, sets a new record the other day :

http://thekeystonespeculator.blogspot.com/2012/03/cboe-skew-charts-signal-significant.html
http://evilspeculator.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/BSI.png

In other news, the CBOE VIX is back down near record lows.

It’s alllll goood…

 
Comment by t3chiman
2012-03-20 08:15:22

Bill Black’s latest essay on white collar criminals and broken windows specifically addresses the Stockton situation. Google “”the dogma that broke stockton” for details.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 09:51:42

There was a thread yesterday on “high and mighty Subaru owners.

From my observation, the following are typical owners of Soobies in the Centennial State:

1) Granola munchers of all ages and genders. The Soobie is the new Volvo.
2) Non granola housewives who don’t want an SUV (the new Outbacks and Forresters are a lot bigger than they used to be)
3) Young guys who drive Impreza WRX models.

I generally don’t have issues with Soobie drivers. Other than the WRX crowd most are very mellow drivers. Its the pickup truck crowd that seems to make a sport of tailgating people in cars with their high beams on, demanding that you get the hell out of their way.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 09:55:17

Its the pickup truck crowd that seems to make a sport of tailgating people in cars with their high beams on, demanding that you get the hell out of their way.

We have quite a few of those in Tucson. Really scary to be bicycling on the same roads with them. Apparently, we bicyclists are not supposed to exist.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 10:20:54

It’s perhaps the main reason I don’t cycle, except in the gym.

Comment by jeff saturday
2012-03-19 10:42:01

Sorry for the interuption but I thought In Colorado might enjoy this.

Report: Manning negotiating to join Broncos

2 hours ago

DENVER (AP) — Peyton Manning is negotiating to join the Denver Broncos, ESPN reported Monday.

Citing anonymous sources, ESPN said that the four-time MVP has instructed agent Tom Condon to negotiate the details of a deal with Denver. Manning became a free agent when the Indianapolis Colts released him March 7 after the quarterback missed all of last season because of multiple neck surgeries.

The San Francisco 49ers and the Tennessee Titans have been the other teams considered finalists in the race to sign Manning.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 11:30:19

Methinks that Tim Tebow will find himself praying on the sidelines. And I don’t think he’ ll like that very much.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 11:38:08

Tebow will be traded, he’s probably going to FL

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 11:52:55

“Tebow will be traded, he’s probably going to FL”

That’s what’s being said here. I think it would be hilarious if Manning had a season ending injury in game 1 this Fall.

The one thing I don’t like about living here is the Broncos fanaticism. They can be playing back to back losing seasons and Mile High is packed every game day.

Then again, I’m not big on NFL (I like the CFL more).

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-03-19 12:39:31

The one thing I don’t like about living here is the Broncos fanaticism. They can be playing back to back losing seasons and Mile High is packed every game day.

My wife is from the Cleveland area so I was used to that before I ever moved to Colorado.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 13:01:02

The one thing I don’t like about living here is the Broncos fanaticism. They can be playing back to back losing seasons and Mile High is packed every game day.

Just like the University of Arizona men’s basketball team is here. They’re all but worshiped here.

Hate to break the news, but neither they nor the rest of the Pac-12 lit it up this year. Only top 25 ranked team was from Stanford. And that would be the women’s team.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-03-19 14:09:39

They can be playing back to back losing seasons and Mile High is packed every game day.

You could say the same thing about the Patriots at Foxboro or the Red Sox at Fenway. Always packed, always hard to get tickets. I think the waiting list for season tickets for either is measured in decades…

 
Comment by oxide
2012-03-19 14:30:46

I think it would be hilarious if Manning had a season ending injury in game 1 this Fall.

I’m not sure it would be “hilarious,” but I personally think Manning should have called it quits as a player and moved directly to QB coach in Indy. Manning was an outstanding player who carried an entire mediocre team — there seems to be universal agreement about that — but he has the potential to be an even better coach. And when he gets sick of coaching, he can announce. He’s already shown an affinity for the camera.

 
 
 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-03-19 10:09:17

Its the pickup truck crowd that seems to make a sport of tailgating people in cars with their high beams on, demanding that you get the hell out of their way.

They ain’t tailgatin’- they’re draftin’! Yee-ha.

 
Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 10:29:58

I do not understand the fascination with Vulvas.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 10:34:55

Me neither.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-03-19 11:06:14

I do not understand the fascination with Vulvas.

I’m rather fascinated by them. I came out of one, and I’m always trying to get back in.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 11:37:42

I’m weird like that, too.

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Comment by Muggy
2012-03-19 13:17:19

“I came out of one, and I’m always trying to get back in.”

But a different one, right?

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Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 14:01:59

I’m talking about the vehicular Vulva’s. Yes they’re overpriced and effeminate. lmao.

 
Comment by Muggy
2012-03-19 14:36:22

I know, ex.

I just wanted to bust Alpha’s chops. You know, it’s all relative in Kentucky.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-03-19 17:47:00

it’s all relative in Kentucky.

Don’t let my sister-wife hear you say that. She’ll whoop the tar out of you.

 
 
 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 11:25:44

Where I live, the bigger P/U trucks are bought STRICTLY to intimidate others. No if, and, or buts about it.

Doesn’t work on me. Which REALLY pisses ‘em off. Plus, my vehicle is faster. So if they get nasty, I just leave.

Comment by Carl Morris
2012-03-19 12:41:09

That’s why I like fast cars. I get to choose how long I allow someone to annoy me.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 13:42:41

Amen.

But what’s even funnier, the folks with the big-ol-trucks don’t seem to realize that despite all the noise, their vehicles are slower than average. :lol: (apparently 5500 lbs mean “faster”)

You can fix that kind of stupid.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 14:35:56

You can fix that kind of stupid.

Okay, how? Is it stupid that requires metric tools? Or English?

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-19 14:54:45

A lot of them are coming with 400 HP engines. Of course, any self respecting sports sedan will leave one of those behemoths in the dust. And a true muscle car will blow their crew cab doors off.

 
 
 
Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 15:16:03

“Plus, my vehicle is faster.”

Unless it’s the Corvette of pickups called Durmax. ;)

Comment by Carl Morris
2012-03-19 16:44:01

I’ve got a friend with a Duramax that runs 12.0 in the 1/4 mile. I was impressed. It required plenty of propane and nitrous…AND a $5k transmission upgrade…but I was still impressed.

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Comment by exeter
2012-03-19 17:35:50

And that truck is about 3.5 tons too. Duramax/Allison is a badassed combo.

 
 
 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-03-19 18:19:54

Years ago, I was on the highway driving a smaller economy car. I was being tailgated by a large van. I mean just a few feet from my bumper. I was in the right lane. Well, my exit came up. I’d driven it many times. It had a sharp curve and I knew the top speed at which I could take it, the speed at which the tires would just scrub a little. I just let off the throttle a bit and didn’t brake. Well, the tailgater stayed right on my tail as we started the turn, I think got even closer as I committed the outrage of slowing down. Of course, his vehicle could not take the curve at my speed. I watched with some satisfaction as his vehicle listed and bucked as he fought to stay on the road.

He dropped quite a distance behind me after that :)

 
 
 
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-03-19 10:15:07

Around here neighborhoods like this (youtube below) have seen prices drop back to 90`s and in some cases 80`s pricing. I also have a feeling that these neighborhoods is where most of the principal reductions from the foreclosure deal on first and second mortgages will occur. The middle class and above will get deficiency judgments where the unpaid debt on a mortgage still owed by a borrower after bank repossession or a short sale is conducted. In Florida, banks have five years to file for a deficiency judgment and up to 20 years to collect on the debt.

From the agreement in Florida….

1.8 billion from Bof A

1.2 billion from Wells

1 billion from JPMorgan Chase

They will recieve credit for any principal reduction on 1st or 2 nd liens including reductions through loan mods deeds in llieu or short sales. Servicer shall recieve dollar for dollar credit for each such activity. There shall not be any percentage on the amount of credit available for any particular activity.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hwBoa-NbNL8 - 138k -

 
Comment by polly
2012-03-19 11:13:02

What does it mean (anecdotally) when the people checking you out at the supermarket complement your “low” total when everything is tallied up? The positive spin is that they are seeing bigger and bigger bills (these are in fairly upscale neighborhoods) and really mean that I got a lot for the money spent. The other possibility is that as prices go up, the stores are training employees to complement people on their shopping prowess as a way to soften the blow. I shop sales and use coupons, so the first is a possibility, but I find myself suspecting the second.

And I don’t consider the totals all that low, but I went to three stores Sunday (all on the way home from picking up a piece of art I had framed) so I was aware of the real total, not just the total at that store. I guess the third possibility is that they just didn’t look at the mix of goods and realize it wasn’t a complete shopping trip and they were comparing my total with people who appear to be buying food for a family of 5 for two weeks in a single trip.

I felt like I was bleeding money (haircut and a few other expenditures too). I really hate that feeling. And I didn’t even buy gas.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 11:27:18

“I felt like I was bleeding money (haircut and a few other expenditures too).”

My personal velocity money is certainly picking up these days ($60+ at the pump just yesterday…).

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 11:33:44

I’m making the best money I’ve ever made and the increase in pay is completely offset by the inflation of the last 3 years.

My purchasing power is equal to what I was making and spending 12 years ago.

Comment by Muggy
2012-03-19 13:51:35

“I’m making the best money I’ve ever made and the increase in pay is completely offset by the inflation of the last 3 years”

+1 (that’s simply a 1, not factoring in the price of food and fuel required to sustain 1)

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 11:28:42

It’s the second.

I know marketing when I see it from a mile away.

It’s designed to get you to think you’ve saved so much that just maybe you can afford something else. (yes, just like those commercials on TV and yes, it really does work on most people)

Comment by polly
2012-03-19 12:17:03

Yeah, it felt a little markety. The receipt tells you that you saved “x%” down at the bottom. Maybe they are supposed to check this now when they look to find your name so they can say, “thank you for shopping with us, Ms. Polly” and comment on anything over a particular percent? Or even all the time?

And I stopped off at the local high school’s fundraiser/book sale a bit before it closed. The volunteers didn’t even want to tell me where to go. Like I can’t fill a bag with books in 20 minutes. 15 hardcovers for $10. I haven’t bought multiple books in a single sitting since the Met Museum’s art book sale last August.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 11:25:52

Schweet!

Greek finance minister quits post to lead struggling Socialist party

Greek Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos is resigning his cabinet post amid the ongoing debt crisis to lead the Socialist party in general elections this spring.

By Elena Becatoros, Associated Press / March 19, 2012

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 13:28:28

The bond market is shaping up this year similarly to springs of 1987 and 1994.

March 19, 2012, 3:57 p.m. EDT
Treasury yields hit highest since September
Fed speakers weigh on bond market as central bank buys debt
By Deborah Levine, MarketWatch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Treasury prices extended their decline Monday, pushing 30-year yields up to their highest since September, after two Federal Reserve officials suggested improvement in the economic outlook indicated less need for further policy action to boost growth.

Bonds had been up in morning action as last week’s big selloff pushed yields above the range they had been in for months. Still, yields are likely to remain in a new, higher range instead of trending up, analysts said.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 13:44:48

But wasn’t it the fall of 1987 that was so very interesting?

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 14:27:00

That was the point: A bond market selloff in the spring set the plate for a stock market crash in October.

But not to worry — this time is different!

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 13:42:52

This news seems ironic in light of other news today of a national effort to hold homes off the market in order to keep them unaffordable.

I suppose my confusion stems from failing to understand the rather complicated legal definition of “affordable,” not to mention what the definition of “is” is.

OCEANSIDE: Affordable-housing project proceeding despite funding uncertainty
By RAY HUARD rhuard@nctimes.com
Posted: Monday, March 19, 2012 6:00 am

Location and preliminary site layout for affordable housing on Mission Avenue

A city plan to build a large complex of apartments and rental town houses in Oceanside for families, seniors and veterans of modest means, and people with special housing needs, is very much alive despite uncertainty over its funding, officials said last week.

“There’s broad-based support for making sure that housing goes forward,” said John Seymour, director of the nonprofit National Community Renaissance.

That agency and a second nonprofit, Community HousingWorks, were picked by the City Council in December 2010 to turn 14.6 acres of vacant city-owned land on Mission Avenue near the Oceanside Municipal Airport into a housing complex that would have 288 apartments and town homes with a built-in commercial area, community center, office space and parks.

The project is now estimated to cost $71 million, including off-site work on roads and water and sewer lines. Funding for the Mission Cove development was thrown into question earlier this year with the dissolution of redevelopment agencies across the state, including in Oceanside.

The city had agreed to underwrite some of the project’s costs with loans using housing money collected through the redevelopment agency.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 13:58:52

Affordable housing used to mean housing for those who were barely above the poverty line but held steady jobs.

It’s funny how everyone but your boss and the state government know that anyone making less than 24ka year is now barely above poverty.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 14:37:16

Affordable housing used to mean housing for those who were barely above the poverty line but held steady jobs.

That’s Habitat for Humanity’s target market. And, when it comes to screening potential homeowners, they do a much better job than the bubble-era mortgage lenders did.

 
 
 
Comment by Muggy
2012-03-19 14:35:07

Another interesting day in the office parking lot. And another juvie getting felony assault.

Are any of you ex-educators? I can only put myself in the middle of stuff a few more times. I didn’t mind before I had kids, but now…

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-19 14:48:44

Not I, but the horror stories from schools these days make me very worried.

All the bad stuff from my years plus the new lock-down, zero-tolerence mentality.

Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-19 16:26:04

how about a zero tolerance in speaking English for the felon? No English… no freedom

 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 15:32:18

My mother taught school for 22 years. She recalls a group of big, burly male teachers who were known as the fight breaker-uppers. If a fight broke out, they were on scene in a New York minute.

Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-19 15:49:09

Back in Pittsburgh’s North Hills High School I was among a group that happened to be in the boy’s room when a stick of dynamite exploded in a toilet. The football coach and his assistants beat us with wooden paddles until they got tired and board.

We could have ratted the guy out that was responsible but that would have been like suicide. circa 1969

Comment by Muggy
2012-03-19 16:03:53

“We could have ratted the guy out that was responsible but that would have been like suicide. circa 1969″

Wow, I believe it.

This one school I do some work at has an epic history (especially the 70’s) of being a brawler school, including many teachers, two of whom once fought each other at lunch over a lady teacher at the same school.

Kids of alumni still pass that story on.

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Comment by Muggy
2012-03-19 15:59:56

Who you callin’ burly?!

I was actually very happy with the security cam footage, even with the camera adding 10 lbs. I’m doing alright! Lol…

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-19 15:34:01

“I didn’t mind before I had kids, but now…”

I have two words for you:

Community College

Comment by Muggy
2012-03-19 15:58:14

That’s a great suggestion, PB.

I could consult and probably do very well, but then I’d be consulting with schools that have all these issues and more.

Comment by Professor Bear
2012-03-19 17:20:51

I made that suggestion to my sister, who has a master’s degree and used to teach HS. Once established as a community college teacher, she never looked back.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-19 17:27:37

Community colleges seem to have a real knack for setting slow-to-launch young adults on a solid path. Happened to a neighbor a few years back.

She turned her back on a university PhD program and was in a real quandary about what to do next. She knew it had something to do with computers, but wasn’t sure about the specifics.

So, she started taking community college computer courses and is now employed full-time in the computer field.

Likewise, a former boss’ son. He was a real failure to launch case, but now he’s on fire about computer science and electrical engineering. He’s at community college so he can get certified and get into the field.

Sounds like the university engineering degree may come later, but who knows. Right now, we’re glad that he’s finally figured out what to do with his life. ‘Bout time. He’s almost 30.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2012-03-19 20:57:33

Sold over 1/4 of my company stock at more than an eighty percent gain (shares bought in 2007) this morning. Now my average cost is even lower than before, book value per share creeping up, and on the close of this month I will get a deposit of over 1500 shares at below book value price.

My proceeds going to pay for my taxes on my 2011 installment on my Roth conversion tax bill. Maybe I will let my T-bills mature every four weeks until next April so I could pay for my 2012 installment by my cash.

State and federal long term capital gain tax should be around 20%, which is fine by me.

Always cash out the biggest gainers when you need to dip into your nest egg.

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2012-03-19 22:42:16

Guess those 1%ers have to stick together. Do vampire squids really make good dinner partners?

March 20, 2012, 12:01 a.m. EDT
Bloomberg’s crony capitalism
Commentary: Occupiers arrested, but Mayor Mike dines with Goldman
By David Weidner, MarketWatch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — If ever there was an opportunity for Occupy Wall Street to re-energize and awaken from its winter slumber, it is the let-them-eat–Shake Shack lunch of New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg and the chief executive of Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

“Bloomberg visited Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s headquarters in Manhattan in a show of support after a departing employee [Greg Smith] publicly criticized the firm’s culture yesterday,” according to a Bloomberg News report.

“‘The mayor stopped by to make clear that the company is a vital part of the city’s economy, and the kind of unfair attacks that we’re seeing can eventually hurt all New Yorkers,’ said Stu Loeser, a spokesman for the mayor.”

The mayor also ate lunch with Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein at Shake Shack. For those who don’t know, that restaurant is the creation of celebrity chef Danny Meyer. With a plain burger starting at $4.55 and going as high as $8.60, Meyer, whose restaurant empire also includes Union Square Cafe, the Modern and Maialino, has become a kind of gilded Ronald McDonald in Manhattan. Read full story on Bloomberg’s visit to Goldman Sachs.

There’s just so many things wrong with Bloomberg’s visit, it’s hard to know where to begin.

Whether or not you support the Occupy movement, it’s stomach-turning to think about the NYPD ripping up camp sites, spraying mace and manhandling the disenfranchised, while the mayor dines with a Wall Street CEO who not only bet against U.S. homeowners in the mortgage meltdown but structured deals for his favorite billionaire clients, only to shaft investors on the other side of the deal.

“There’s an awful lot of people at Goldman,” the mayor said, according to the New York Observer. “They work very hard, they pay taxes, they live in this city, and we want to have more companies come and locate here.” Bloomberg later added: “It’s my job to stand up and support companies that are here in this city that bring us a tax base, that employ our people, and I’m going to do that.”

You can seen the mayor’s argument: His job is to attract business. Forget what those businesses do.

 
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