From time to time, I have read through the forums at loansafe.org. There were lots of postings about HAMP applications in the past, and now more focus seems to be on short sales and strategic defaults. Check out this Arizona lady’s story:
“I bought my house in AZ in April 2007. It was the first house I bought on my own following a divorce 3 years before. I negotiated pretty hard and prices had come down from the peak of the bubble. I felt pretty good about it and intended to live there at least 5 years. Of course life intervened 2 years later in the form of a great guy that I fell in love with. We decided to buy a house and move in together. By that time we were both upside down on our mortgages – his much more than mine. We found the house we wanted – a great deal on a short sale. I could afford it on my own, so he stopped paying on his house and put it up for a short sale. After about 6 months, we closed on the new house, fixed it up and moved in. I put my house up for rent and rented it in Mar 2010. This was so at least one of us still would have decent credit (my score is about 860). Since I have a demanding full time job, I used a property management company. After 3 prospective buyers reneged, my guy finally let his house go into foreclosure (more than a year after he stopped paying on it).
Fast forward to now. The value of my rental has taken another nosedive. I’ve been losing about $400 / month for the last 15 months. I’m over $100 underwater. I’m 5 years or less from retirement. I’ve decided to walk away.”
OK, here is a summary:
- Female FB Bought AZ house (2007)
-Post-divorce new true love = 2 FBs with 2 underwater mortgages = Must therefore purchase a 3rd house, someone else’s short sale (c. 2009)
-Male FB original house goes to foreclosure. Female FB rents out original house at a loss, now (July 2011, actually) is “walking away.”
-How weak-minded are people whose solution to being majorly underwater on two houses is to buy a third house (a short sale from yet another FB, no less) ?
-What are the odds of a Trustee Sale on the love nest house in 2013? It is a good thing that we have provided resources to help people like these who “played by the rules.” I really hope that she gets a “cash incentive” to do a short sale instead (see update below). She really, really deserves some consideration.
From March, 2012: “Another update. When the bank did the new ‘independent’ valuation on the house it went up!! Frome $93K in Nov. to $105K. Fortunately, the buyer was preapproved for over that and agreed to the new price. Expecting approval and postponement of trustee sale from Seterus on Monday.
My REA had told me that inventory was way down and houses are really moving. A couple of coworkers who recently relocated from out of state confirm they’re finding it hard to buy - in one case they made offers on 5 different houses and finally the current one looks like it will go through (a SS), hopefully by April.
Also heard that some banks are offering cash incentives to sellers to do SS - can anyone confirm?”
FICO scores range from 300 to 850, where 850 is considered to be the best score achievable. According to myFICO.com, a division of the Fair Issac Corporation
“How weak-minded are people whose solution to being majorly underwater on two houses is to buy a third house (a short sale from yet another FB, no less) ?”
you do realize that it is you…us…we…that are on the hook for the banks losses don’t you?
actually its our kids and grandkids that are on the hook. taxation without representation through deficit spending…a beautiful thing.
After that the stories are all sound the same. Only the names and the states are changed to protect the innocent.
Here I`ll give one a try with some of the sad stories I have read.
I bought my house in Fl. in April 2007. I negotiated pretty hard and prices had come down from the peak of the bubble. I felt pretty good about it and intended to live there at least 5 years. But then my husbands business went under after he chopped off his toes while working in the yard. We had taken out a $250k second mortgage to buy equipment for his home inspection company and since he was the only empolyee we didn`t have any money coming in. Our dog got cancer and the medical bills were astronomical and since I am a Realtor my income has dropped from $350k a year to $0 due to the downturn in housing. I have looked for another job but the salary I am used to getting seems to be a problem where ever I apply for one. We have not been able to pay our mortgage in 4 years, we called the bank to try and get a workout but they keep losing the paperwork. We are now $500k underwater and we have been Robo signed! Someone must pay for what has been done to us and $2,000 for a house and a family is an insult!
“I felt pretty good about it and intended to live there at least 5 years. Of course life intervened 2 years later in the form of a great guy that I fell in love with. We decided to buy a house and move in together. By that time we were both upside down on our mortgages – his much more than mine.”
Sounds like a match made in subprime mortgage hell.
-How weak-minded are people whose solution to being majorly underwater on two houses is to buy a third house (a short sale from yet another FB, no less) ?
What this shows me is that there has been a major shift in morality and responsibility and legality in the US of A. These people, like so many others, don’t consider a DEBT a “debt”. It’s only a “debt” if you stand to gain in the process of making payments. If not, then default, and find another property that may possibly NET you a gain. Then they consider it a ‘debt’.
I understand the psyche of the American ‘homebuyer’ now. If you stand to “gain”, hold firm to your CONTRACT and demand the bank stand by its commitments. If you might lose……….walk away. The contract didn’t mean anything. MORTGAGE: A DEATH Pledge.
You agree to pay until death do you part, or the debt is settled.
A huge shift in the American concept of Common Law.
Okay since I failed to get the lock on the “heads” phrase, I’ll add this instead.
This scenario is the exact result of mispriced risk. The banks never priced the risk of default into the loans with the expectation that many loans would default. A. Greenspan got this right, he mentioned that times of low risk premiums were often catalysts for problems. (Whether he pumped the low risk premiums is a different discussion.)
Another problem now is that the banks still, to my knowledge, are not pricing risk accordingly, because Fannie and Freddie are buying loans. If banks were forced to eat the losses of bad loans (instead of taxpayers), and even if investors ate the losses, the shell game would be over very quickly. We would quickly see a return to solid underwriting with substantial downpayments, an outcome that seems to be undesired by (too) many.
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Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Fl)
2012-03-21 09:00:05
Fannie and Freddie are bankrupt. They don’t have any money to write loans. Enter the FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM.
Kill the FED. End the shenanigans of endless bubbles and busts.
No more fractional reserve swindling.
Then, yes, this crap would not happen to the extent that is has, and, when it starts to happen, it will choke itself off very quickly without the “help” of the Banksters.
The TBTF banks employ the same philosophy. Big profits equal huge bonuses, big losses equal extortion on taxpayer so huge bonuses can still be paid. “Pay us what we ask for or you will all face armageddon.”
I don’t know about you all, but I think there are few things that enhance a blossoming mid-life romance more than unexpected debt. If they’re lucky, one (or both) of them will get a 1099-c or maybe he owes some back child support! It’s so dreamy… Ooh! Is that the strains of Elton John I hear? “…Can you feel the love tonight…” I can feel it. Can you feel it?
If they’re lucky, one (or both) of them will get a 1099-c
Except congress suspended the tax on forgiven debt. Anyone know when that expires? (does it?)
Also, does anyone know if states with state income taxes are taxing the forgiven debt as income? Or have states like CA taken the fed’s lead?
Comment by wittbelle
2012-03-21 12:57:22
At this time, it goes through 2012 but you have to prove to the IRS that you lost your home out of hardship. I am not sure within these circumstances, since they went out and purchased another home, if they qualify for a hardship according to IRS criteria.
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-21 14:36:36
I don’t know about you all, but I think there are few things that enhance a blossoming mid-life romance more than unexpected debt.
Actually, debt is a real turn-off to this single gal. As in, fellas, if you’re deeply in debt, don’t expect Slim to be very interested.
I learned this through hard experience. I once dated a guy who was $15k in debt and also had problems with smoking, drinking, and weight. Let’s just say that a good bit of our time together was spent dealing with the fallout from his problems.
Yeah, I know. What was I thinking? Answer: I wasn’t thinking.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 14:46:19
I once dated a guy who was $15k in debt and also had problems with smoking, drinking, and weight.
Could he cook?
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-21 14:49:15
Could he cook?
Actually, he was a pretty decent cook. Another thing I remember about meals at his house was the lack of dessert. He just wasn’t into that.
I guess that on a subconscious level, he realized that his weight was a problem. So, no desserts for anyone at his table.
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-21 15:46:13
One of my friends dated a guy who was in personal debt and also underewater on a mortgage. She not only didn’t steer clear of him, she loaned him another $5K to help him over the rough spot. No surprise he didn’t intend to pay her back.
An honest man pays what he owes.
Comment by wittbelle
2012-03-21 21:04:46
AZslim: I was being COMPLETELY SARCASTIC. I agree with you that a man who is not in control of his finances is not a good catch AT ALL. I too speak from experience. Without getting into the gory details, I’ll just say, had I known how f-ed up my husband’s finances were when I met him, I would have RUN FOR THE HILLS. Fortunately, I am extremely good with money and, in combination with his salary increases, etc…, things have vastly improved. Honestly, when I think about what we went through, I still want to strangle him.
What this shows me is that there has been a major shift in morality and responsibility and legality in the US of A
Exactly, and it’s an unfortunate but understandable evolution of the public’s behavior brought about by external factors.
The external factors include corrupt political and financial systems and wars on savers and the middle-class.
If you expect the morals and responsibility of Americans to remain the same in the face of the above, you are dreaming. That’s not how people and societies react to such top-down shaftings.
There will ALWAYS be plenty of people standing in line, eager to borrow their way to the poor house. What made the bubble was the banks standing in line to lend somebody else’s money to them.
But you communists want OPM to pay for the losses of the little guy. Make up your mind and be a real commie Rio.
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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 21:23:58
Make up your mind and be a real commie Rio.
Bill, I think you suffer from “math only” education and vocation. (Ayn Rand don’t help either) You don’t do a good job with shades of grey, nuance and partial outcomes.
All or nothing in life and societies is not where it’s at or ever will be.
Comment by ahansen
2012-03-21 22:36:42
Bila,
Do you actually know what “communist” means, or are you just spouting someone else’s rhetoric again?
What this shows me is that there has been a major shift in morality and responsibility and legality in the US of A.
I agree that mortgage risk is not priced appropriately and the blame for that is squarely on the Fed Reserve and FedGov. Having said that, I don’t blame any company or individual who takes advantage of this mis-pricing of risk.
In terms of default, morality and responsibility has nothing to do with it… whether it is a corporation defaulting on a debt or an individual defaulting on a mortgage. People (and corporations) do what is in their best interest financially. To think otherwise is naive.
Having said that, I don’t blame any company or individual who takes advantage of this mis-pricing of risk.
I hear what you’re saying, and am inclined to agree to a point. However, if one knows what is happening in the system - that if you walk away from the debt, it’s the *taxpayers* who are ultimately on the hook rather than the other party in the contract…I think that changes things. Then, one who walks away is knowingly taking advantage of/screwing the small percentage of US taxpayers who are actually “givers” rather than “takers” in our system.
In my eyes, that’s immoral, regardless of what the contract says.
That adults readily walk away from spouses when those spouses didn’t contribute to their sense of self and achievement, all other bets are off. Including housing.
It’s all about the sense of entitlement, Dio.
That today’s most rapidly divorcing couples are aged 50+ is no surprise. The ME generation has felt themselves entitled their entire lives.
What’s going on in housing is symptomatic. The mindset that created it won’t die for another 15 years, once Boomers start dying off in large numbers.
The mindset that created it won’t die for another 15 years, once Boomers start dying off in large numbers.
This is not solely a Boomer mindset. This is a mindset developed by the American people because our social contract has been broken. Broken. Some of you can’t make the connection? Why? It is easy to make.
You all act so surprised that regular Americans are “breaking” contracts when our entire economic social contract has been broken? And it’s the boomer’s fault? Come on. This is a much bigger deal than boomer’s selfishness. And what causes most divorces? Money problems. And what causes most money problems? Lack of decent income. 1/2 of Americans make less than $500 a week. When you are over 50 and laid off, well good luck because you’re hosed. Why? Because the social contract has been broken. I will not insult huge swaths of my fellow Americans because they are looking out for themselves more than in the past and they are “breaking contracts”.
Why? Because the entire economic social contract has been broken with the American middle-class and working poor which nowadays are pretty much the same.
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Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-21 15:40:42
Unfortunately, the “social contract” that you keep saying was broken never existed. It was imagined. There is noone on the other side of it.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 15:48:09
Unfortunately, the “social contract” that you keep saying was broken never existed. It was imagined.
Fortunately you are wrong. You are imagining how successful economies and societies NEVER worked. You are repeating programming.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 16:05:07
the “social contract”…was imagined.
Imagine this:
We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.
The above words reflect a part of, the need for, and our founding father’s desire to establish a social contract between a government and its PEOPLE.
And you imagine it never existed.
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-21 20:03:14
The classic social contract invoked in the Constitution is not the “economic social contract” that you alluded to above. It is quite a leap. We’d agree on the pieces of it mostly, but not on the paint job.
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2012-03-21 20:17:04
Blue sky you are exactly right. There is only an imagined social contract, dreamed up only by the big government types and commies such as Rio.
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2012-03-21 20:19:21
Commie Rio, what is the difference between “promote” and “provide?” you big government types, including slob, never answer that question. I know why.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 21:29:11
The classic social contract invoked in the Constitution is not the “economic social contract” that you alluded to above. It is quite a leap.
The Social Contract economically became more important as economics became more important. We are not all farmers anymore. Can’t you guys make the leap that society made? You think we are still 95% farmers as we were when USA made its Constitution ?
Come on and think for yourselves and extrapolate our history and economic trends. Gosh.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 21:36:45
commies such as Rio.
Commies? Man….Bill. You sound like a really ignorant man sometimes. So one dimensional. So trite and so wrong.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 21:38:00
Commie Rio, what is the difference between “promote” and “provide?”
You tell me fool.
Comment by ahansen
2012-03-21 23:04:35
Um, about 200 years of linguistic interpretation?
How about this, bila? We provide general welfare to promote the general welfare. As in, if we don’t, there are a whole lot of people with knives and hatchets out there who will ensure that you do.
Comment by LasVegasDude
2012-03-21 23:11:43
Sorry, Rio but the preamble to the U.S. Constitution has no and never has any force of law or contract. So has ruled the U.S. Superme Court over the years.
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-21 23:28:55
“if we don’t, there are a whole lot of people with knives and hatchets”
That’s not the kind of social contract my therapist would encourage.
Comment by LasVegasDude
2012-03-22 00:19:52
Rio,
An example of the preamble not being an enforceable social contract…
“Courts will not interpret the Preamble to give the government powers that are not articulated elsewhere in the Constitution. United States v. Kinnebrew Motor Co.[21] is an example of this. In that case, the defendants were a car manufacturer and dealership indicted for a criminal violation of the National Industrial Recovery Act. The Congress passed the statute in order to cope with the Great Depression, and one of its provisions purported to give to the President authority to fix “the prices at which new cars may be sold
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-22 11:08:33
Sorry, Rio but the preamble to the U.S. Constitution has no and never has any force of law or contract. So has ruled the U.S. Superme Court over the years.
You miss the point LasVegasDude. The Preamble having no force of law is irrelevant to the fact that the Preamble is stating clearly that the purpose of the following Constitution is to create a political and social contract between Americans and the American government.
“We the People of the United States, IN ORDER TO…”
Boomers got screwed starting with the Viet Nam draft, and have sweeping up the “greatest” generation’s crap ever since. Soon it will be your kids’ turn to whine about what a mess YOU’ve left them.
Thanks for playing.
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Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-21 23:22:04
Somehow, I don’t think anyone under boomer age will appreciate what you just said. They didn’t live it, and it doesn’t fit their comfy model.
Each time I read these stories I think these are the bozos that are outbidding us on houses and why prices won’t fall. I don’t know whether to be thankful they’ve stopped us or po’ed they’re in the way of this thing correcting.
Outbidding? Prices not falling? How can that be? The middle class is just the working poor now, with no money for a down payment. Or so it seems in Rio’s head.
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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 16:09:45
Outbidding? Prices not falling? How can that be? The middle class is just the working poor now, with no money for a down payment. Or so it seems in Rio’s head.
What part of a manipulated housing market meeting declining middle-class wages don’t you get Bill? Hasn’t that been a major theme of this blog and the housing market for years? Did you forget it just because I mentioned it or are you bad at memory, math, history and American macro-economic trends?
Comment by wittbelle
2012-03-21 22:12:47
Such hostility. And I was counting on this being my soft place to fall… Sniffle.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 22:26:35
And I was counting on this being my soft place to fall…
Sorry. Not with the Bills. They are not soft and that’s why some are not with them.
It’s funny. I remember bck when Ben first posted on this blog about the phenomenon of ‘jingle mail’. This is before we reached the peak of the bubble. I believe he or someone else was saying that during the 90s bust, many people were buying a cheaper home, and then strategically defaulting on their old one.
This would be an example of that strategy.
I figured that this story would be appreciated. Well, not appreciated, but be discussion-worthy.
For the 1099-C questions, later in her postings she mentions discussing that matter with a CPA (free consultation, of course, she should not be ever expected to pay for stuff). I guess that the forgiveness act does not apply b/c the current short sale was a converted rental. I am guessing that she probably falls under the protection of the insolvency clause for debt-forgiveness income but I am not sure. She does not seem like the buy a used car for cash and keep it for a decade type.
“you do realize that it is you…us…we…that are on the hook for the banks losses don’t you?”
Yep, but I can enjoy making fun of them, right? That’s tax-free.
“After that the stories are all sound the same. Only the names and the states are changed to protect the innocent.”
Sure, what seemed unique on this one was the combination of multiple trustee sales and short sales, both as a buyer and short-seller. Not really unique, but not the multi-purchase investment or the one idiotic owner-occupant purchase. Just bad house purchase after bad house purchase and then the fairy-tale romance with another FB. She seems determined to personally knife-catch at every stage of the bubble collapse. I wonder how long until she is filling out an FHA loan app for the next one. Supposedly, a 3-year wait post-short sale. But her male counterpart is almost 3 years post-foreclosure, so maybe it’s his turn.
“It’s only a “debt” if you stand to gain in the process of making payments.”
Yeah, I like that they only keep one of the first two loans current for FICO purposes, but then decide to walk when there is a further drop in value.
The building with the 30% rent rise was very well kept, had good sized rooms that were not odd shapes and was in a great location. Considering the other buildings I had looked at, it could command a 30% rise because it was simply in much better shape. The area I needed to be in included Cherry Creek and was close to downtown, and rents seemed to be higher than other areas…
And no, I’m not a realtor, and never have been. I’m someone who is holding off buying a house because I don’t think prices have come low enough.
For some reasons my replies don’t seem to be posting to your comments today. Please see http: http://www.denverpost. com/breakingnews /ci_20180274/vacancies-scarce-rental-houses-metro-area-rents-rise and my comments to your post from two days ago.
The building where the realtor mentioned a 30% rent rise was well kept up and in a good location near Cherry Creek and Washington Park, and had rooms you could actually live in and position furniture in, as compared to many of the corporate housing developments. She did say the rents and the lease terms were now governed by a computer program. She had worked as rental manager in the building for six years.
No, I’m not a realtor, just someone who’s not buying a house now because I don’t think prices have come down enough. In the area I’m looking in a large number of units came on the market last fall; now there are very few. I’m waiting for another surge of units in the fall.
“I’m hopefu-, I’m confident, in fact, that the bank regulators will pay close attention to the kinds of loans that are being made, making sure that underwriting is being done right. I I, I do think this is a localized problem, and not something that is going to affect the national economy.”
If ever there was an acceptable time to type LOL on an internet forum, it is now.
It’s a good thing the Australians are tuning in to this sad tale, as many similar stories await their homeowners over the coming decades, once their bubble meets a similar demise to that of ours.
The bloody saga of Robert Bales: a morality story for a nation at war for a decade
Philip Sherwell
March 18, 2012
… Sergeant Bales and his wife lived at Lake Tapps in Washington state, about a 20-minute drive east of his base at Lewis-McChord near Tacoma in the Pacific North West.
His home was a modest two-storey beige wood-frame house with a small front porch beneath tall fir and cedar evergreens in a neighbourhood popular with military families. But three days before the shooting in Afghanistan, Mrs Bales contacted Philip Rodocker, an estate agent, to say that she wanted to sell their house.
Home ‘behind in payments’
The property was listed for $229,000, about a $50,000 loss on the amount the family paid for it in 2005 and less than they owed the bank.
“She told me she was behind in payments,” Mr Rodocker said. “She said he was on his fourth tour and [the house] was getting kind of old and they needed to stabilise their finances.”
The house “looked like it had been really, really neglected”, he added.
…
Yeah, neatly packaged like a made for TV movie. That was fast, we must be getting good at this. It includes many of the themes from Sept 11th, 2001 until now. It’s got everything! Tragedy, glory, two (count em’, two) wars! And very timely, he’s a “99%er”, his lawyer says, who suffered at the hands of greedy housing bubble banksters. Damn, the ratings are gonna go through the roof on this one.
But there are a few troubling things here. Why do all the Afghans who were there (and lived to tell about it) insist there were a bunch of soldiers? And not via a glance through a window. They tell stories of a dozen men being in their house for a while.
How does one man with a gun walk around Afghan villages for three hours, all by himself in the wee hours, shooting as he goes, without someone popping a cap in his ass?
And there’s this:
‘RESIDENTS of an Afghan village near where an American soldier is alleged to have killed 16 civilians are convinced that the slayings were in retaliation for a roadside bomb attack on US forces in the same area a few days earlier.’
‘In accounts to The Associated Press and to Afghan government officials, the residents allege that US troops lined up men from the village of Mokhoyan against a wall after the bombing on either March 7 or 8, and told them they would pay a price for the attack.’
Are suggesting that Cheney-$hrubs Legacy Policy #1: “$hazam-Islam-is-gonna-bee-Democratic-peoples-+-Nation-any-day-now! is a policy NOT WORTH pur$uing endle$$ly or until WE WIN!, is that what your suggesting?
Comment by michael
2012-03-21 07:15:36
meant to type “get them”
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-03-21 07:38:50
“Are suggesting that Cheney-$hrubs Legacy Policy #1: “$hazam-Islam-is-gonna-bee-Democratic-peoples-+-Nation-any-day-now! is a policy NOT WORTH pur$uing endle$$ly or until WE WIN!, is that what your suggesting?”
Afghanistan
Obama announced a plan – if elected – to deploy an additional 7,000 troops to Afghanistan. “As president, I would pursue a new strategy, and begin by providing at least two additional combat brigades to support our effort in Afghanistan” “We need more troops, more helicopters, better intelligence-gathering and more nonmilitary assistance to accomplish the mission there” “I would not hold our military, our resources and our foreign policy hostage to a misguided desire to maintain permanent bases in Iraq,” Obama said on July 14, 2008.[28]
After meeting with French President Nicolas Sarkozy in Paris on July 25 as part of a world tour, Obama said in the joint news conference with Sarkozy, “Afghanistan is a war that we have to win” because al-Qaeda and the radical Islamic Taliban movement cannot be allowed to establish new havens for planning “terrorist attacks . . . that could affect Paris or New York.” Obama declared that there were no effective options to this policy, saying, “So we don’t have a choice; we’ve got to finish the job.” Obama said the United States “needs to send two additional brigades at least” to Afghanistan and praised Sarkozy for his willingness to send more French troops to that country.[29]
Although “$hazam-Islam-is-gonna-bee-Democratic-peoples-+-Nation-any-day-now!” Was pretty good.
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-21 08:08:43
Are suggesting that Cheney-$hrubs Legacy Policy #1: “$hazam-Islam-is-gonna-bee-Democratic-peoples-+-Nation-any-day-now! is a policy NOT WORTH pur$uing endle$$ly or until WE WIN!, is that what your suggesting
That would be a feat beyond the abilities of any wizard or his champions.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-21 09:04:31
It’s all good, iffin’ yous reads between the line$ & lie$
Afghanistan + [Iraq]
– if elected – [which Presidents should we hold to their campaign speeches?]
“As president, I would pursue a new strategy, [- Colin Powell & yellow cake lies ;-)]
better intelligence-gathering
to accomplish the mission [of finding Bin Laden ;-)]
“I would not hold our military, our resources and our foreign policy hostage to a misguided de$ire to maintain permanent base$ in Iraq,” [lil' Opie orders the Pentagon to speed up troop removal$ ;-)]
hehehheeeheehee
Comment by wittbelle
2012-03-21 10:05:06
Are people on here still defending either side? They are all BOUGHT AND PAID FOR. If you haven’t gotten that by now, you may as well be watching Fox News.
Think about it; one guy can walk around for hours in a war zone, shooting people in their houses, piling bodies up and burning them, and doesn’t get a scratch? Jeebus, we never needed a surge, this one GI subdued three villages single-handed, and then walked back to the base!
The claims the survivors are making became known immediately. Completely opposite of what the military said, also immediately. As a judge might say, ’someone is lying.’
Easy enough to sort out. Lets see if the bullets came from one rifle, the rifle this guy had on him. What about footprints? If there were a dozen pairs of boots, wouldn’t there be prints in the dirt or blood? Surely somebody took a few photos of the crime scenes, or pulled some bullets out of the walls.
Suppose, as your argument suggests, that more than one individual was involved. In that case, what is the advantage, and to whom, of pinning all of the blame on a rogue staff sergeant?
I’ll leave that to be decided once these easily settled matters are resolved. No sense in getting ahead of ourselves. I’m just curious why the rush to accept one story and not the other. Like I said, a simple test of the bullets would do. Why wouldn’t the military be anxious to prove their case?
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-21 08:11:32
Why wouldn’t the military be anxious to prove their case?
Because it might uncover a systemic problem, as opposed to a single bad apple?
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-03-21 08:19:00
Suppose, as your argument suggests, that more than one individual was involved. In that case, what is the advantage, and to whom, of pinning all of the blame on a rogue staff sergeant?
Because that’s the way we’ve always done it?
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-21 08:21:28
This is gets more interesting by the day.
I didn’t see ANY mention of these other details on MSM Internet.
Yet I finally got to see it on the Internet, here.
This is what I love about the Internet. You CAN NO LONGER suppress the truth.
Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Fl)
2012-03-21 08:28:05
My position is that the military should not be in Afghanistan in the first damned place! What are we doing there?
I didn’t agree with the Bush invasion plan, and I don’t agree with the Obama escalation plan.
America has no business invading countries that have not declared a WAR on the US or invaded the US or threatened the US. We are sending troops all around the world to incite violence among the natives and then something like this happens and everyone is looking for a story-line to make it look like they are the “good guys”.
Forget 911. No foreign country invaded the US. A bunch of muslims came here with VALID PASSPORTS. Lived here, without care or supervision, and created a plan to extract vengeance for the Iraq invasion 1, and the stationing of troops in muslim countries. The US State Dept. and all the other executive agencies were blind and stupid. We paid the price. We should never have allowed those scumbags into the United States, but we did.
Now, we are claiming this is “state sponsored” terrorism. I don’t know. But I do know, there have been NO Islamic tagged aircraft, boats, tanks, missiles, rockets, or any other device of a Sovereign foreign government that has been deployed against the US of A, except as a defense to our invading forces. And it’s not a fair fight by any means.
We are the oppressors, pretending to be the good guys, while we dictate to other supposedly free and sovereign people how we want them to live.
WE should get ALL of our troops out of these people’s back yards. Then, we wouldn’t have to have discussions like this, about how did what to who when and where.
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-03-21 08:38:14
I supported getting Bin Laden. Getting him was the perfect excuse to declare victory and go home. Unless he wasn’t really the reason we’re there…
Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Fl)
2012-03-21 08:56:07
Perhaps that is a valid mission of the US government, as he claimed to making his own private war on the US and that the actors of the 911 mission were under his supervision.
How did we do it? With a night-strike with a handful of Marines flying in by helicopter.
The US military has all kinds of sophisticated equipment for surveillance and spying. COVERT operations is the specialty of Navy Seals and special forces. That means LIMITED troops, and a lot of intelligence gathering.
You don’t send in ground troops, except to take over a country.
So, to answer your question, no, he’s NOT the reason we are over there.
We are there for 2 reasons. 1) MILITARY CONTRACTS which make some people very, VERY rich,(part of the ’stimulus’ we are supposedly getting) and 2) OIL shipments.
We are scared to death that someone there will work to shut off our supply of live-sustaining OIL…..the life-blood of American lifestyles. No oil. No malls. No shipments. No shopping. No economy. If the straight of hormuz was closed, we would collapse. We are holding on by a thread, already.
Comment by Montana
2012-03-21 08:59:10
I agree, Carl. I can’t believe Obama didn’t use that as a way to get out, finally.
Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Fl)
2012-03-21 09:07:11
There are a lot of people that support the political process who get their “funds” from the “military-industrial complex”.
They don’t want us OUT. They want more equipment and supplies “CONSUMED”. Then they can sell the ‘government’, i.e. us, more stuff to Consume in an endless war.
There is LOTS of money in WAR. It’s just that only a few government contract companies get most of the money….
and they funnel it back in campaign contributions.
There are also LOTS of generals, admirals, colonels and other lifers in the US military that are expecting terrific pensions when they retire. Most of the lifers don’t go to war. They stay home and direct it. Or run a military base in some far off land, away from the real action. They send in the “RESERVES”.
Call up the reserves. Yea, let them go fight. We need to stay here and keep and eye on the Japanese and the Germans.
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-21 09:08:02
Exactly and where did they learn all this hate? in the Mosques the koran….that has always been the enemy….not the people or the military or the governments of the countries.
Forget 911. No foreign country invaded the US. A bunch of muslims came here with VALID PASSPORTS.
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-03-21 09:11:51
The reason is rare earths in afgahnni….and of course we need heroin to supply our addicts…..the taliban burned all the poppy field when they were in power
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-21 09:13:10
“This is what I love about the Internet. You CAN NO LONGER suppress the truth.”
It’s not had hardly any such effect$ on these fella$:
Federal ReserveInc. $cotu$ “person”:
Megabank$ Inc. loan$ to one another:
.25%
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-21 10:51:44
“America has no busine$$ …”
Can you find the $ecret me$$age$ contained in your $tatement?
[Wait, Ike has a comment dating back to 1957]:
“My fellow American’s …”
Comment by polly
2012-03-21 13:37:48
How do you propose we keep out the “scumbags” as you put it? We could refuse to let all foreigners into the country. We could refuse entry to all people from a particular list of countries. We could investigate anyone who wants to come here from any country or from a particular list of countries. We could provide government escorts to foreigners who visit here to make sure they don’t do anything.
All have their issues and all are going to be expensive. I wonder which you choose?
Comment by scdave
2012-03-21 14:23:34
I wonder which you choose ??
Many, many countries have none of the concerns regarding terror that we do…
So, what is it they do that we don’t ??
Better yet, What is it the “we” do that “they” don’t ??
In both of those questions lay the answers….
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-21 16:00:15
“Think about it; one guy can walk around for hours…”
Think about it; one guy walks up to the MPs and says he is in a bad spot and might have done some crazy sht but cannot remember. Triage.
Why do I believe there will be another “mortgage crisis” in the next couple of decades, rather than never again? Just think of how many different ways Megabank, Inc was able to profit from it so far…
Step 1: Play the middle man between investors and subprime borrowers to facilitate really sh!tty mortgage lending.
Step 2: Get bailed out when the music stopped after accidentally ending up with too many sh!tty mortgage assets on the balance sheet.
Step 3: Use robo-signers to kick those who defaulted on their sh!tty subprime loans to the curb.
Step 4: Use low-interest bailout loans as the proceeds for snapping up foreclosure-to-rental housing at fire sale prices.
Step 5: Rent out foreclosure-to-rental housing to ex-members of the Ownereship Society who got foreclosed.
Where was the downside for Megabank, Inc at any stage of the “crisis”?
For anybody who doesn’t think this whole thing was engineered from the beginning, I have some nice beach-front property with a guaranteed, front door ocean view, for sale.
Sure, Fed wants to recreate the same 2001-2006 bubble scenario where RE is inflated again and they want to make it the new normal.
Would the money printing succeed? No, it will not as USA is going down the Greece path if not controlled quickly. That would mean assets would fall 50-60% more in case of default.
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Comment by michael
2012-03-21 06:56:28
usul..we still have bubblesign in the DC metro area the likes of which God has never seen.
“Sure, Fed wants to recreate the same 2001-2006 bubble scenario where RE is inflated again and they want to make it the new normal.”
Please refer to my original post above for some reasons Megabank, Inc might support this strategy by the hedge fund they collectively own (aka The Fed).
Comment by measton
2012-03-21 07:56:06
It drives me crazy when people compare the US to Greece. There is no comparison. The US can pay it’s debts with printed money Greece can’t. They will not play out in the same fashion.
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-21 08:16:01
They will not play out in the same fashion.
Agreed. What we will probably see is the chasm widening even more between the haves, whose income streams will be adjusted for the coming inflation, and the lucky duckies, whose ranks will continue to swell as their standard of living collapses even more, while the foodstamps are taken away.
Comment by michael
2012-03-21 08:33:25
although i agree there is a difference due to the lack of a printing press on Greece’s part…there are similarities between Greece’s relationship with Germany and the U.S.’s relationship with China.
Comment by polly
2012-03-21 08:40:44
That is certainly what the new Ryan budget proposal offers. Even if you ignore the Medicare/Medicaid cuts, he wants to cut all nonentitlement spending to 3.75% of GDP. That includes all defense spending, but he doesn’t want to cut defense spending which is already 4% of GDP. Assuming that the implication of -0.25% is a slip up of some kind, that would eliminate all the rest of the US government. All of it.
No justice department. No SEC. No FDA. No CDC. No federally funded research of any kind. No NASA. No State Department (hope you don’t need a passport). No education department. No energy department (I guess the military gets all the nukes). No HHS. No VA. No foreign embassies. No federal highway money. No national parks. No FEMA. No FBI. No flood insurance. No federal courts, including the Supreme Court. And, I guess, no IRS, so good luck collecting the money to pay for that defense department and what is left of Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-03-21 08:50:25
No justice department. No SEC. No FDA. No CDC. No federally funded research of any kind. No NASA. No State Department (hope you don’t need a passport). No education department. No energy department (I guess the military gets all the nukes). No HHS. No VA. No foreign embassies. No federal highway money. No national parks. No FEMA. No FBI. No flood insurance. No federal courts, including the Supreme Court. And, I guess, no IRS, so good luck collecting the money to pay for that defense department and what is left of Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.
That’s what many want, polly. A de facto breakup of the US into individual states, perhaps with a common defense pact.
Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Fl)
2012-03-21 09:14:59
No justice department. No SEC. No FDA. No CDC. No federally funded research of any kind. No NASA. No State Department (hope you don’t need a passport). No education department. No energy department (I guess the military gets all the nukes). No HHS. No VA. No foreign embassies. No federal highway money. No national parks. No FEMA. No FBI. No flood insurance…………….
Well, that, to me, sounds like a good START.
I wish he could hack most of these useless parasitic agencies all the pieces. HHS, FDA, Ed.dept, FEMA, Flood, Energy, as history would be a great relief to people like me who don’t get to siphon off these parasites.
Let the CUTS begin. If we find we actually needed some part of some agency, we can re-think it. I am sure we’ll survive.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-21 09:26:53
“…that would eliminate all the rest of the US government. All of it.”
No justice department. No SEC. No FDA. No CDC. No federally funded research of any kind. No NASA. No State Department (hope you don’t need a passport). No education department. No energy department (I guess the military gets all the nukes). No HHS. No VA. No foreign embassies. No federal highway money. No national parks. No FEMA. No FBI. No flood insurance. No federal courts, including the Supreme Court. And, I guess, no IRS, so good luck collecting the money to pay for that defense department and what is left of Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.”
Hey, what are you aiming to get a “certain” choir a-singin’-&-a-dancin-&- $houtin’!: Glorie$-bee’$-Hallelujah’$!
Look Faux New$ is expeditin’ a Broadca$t-it-24hr$-across-America crew as eyes type …
[Rumor has it that the Federal Gov't did eliminate the fella's po$ition that checked the viscosity of how well retail ketchup flows, ain't that a start?]
Next!:
“Audit-the-Pentagon!” = Coming $oon!
Comment by michael
2012-03-21 10:07:42
“That’s what many want, polly. A de facto breakup of the US into individual states, perhaps with a common defense pact.”
not advocating for that…but do you really think the status quo is sustainable?
“A de facto breakup of the US into individual states, perhaps with a common defense pact.”
Didn’t the Soviet Union go down that path, circa 1989?
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-21 10:56:57
“Didn’t the Soviet Union go down that path, circa 1989?”
Quit Putin’ us on Cantankerous!
Comment by polly
2012-03-21 10:57:42
“Let the CUTS begin. If we find we actually needed some part of some agency, we can re-think it. I am sure we’ll survive.”
There won’t be any money to re-think any of it. He promises to keep miltary spending at current levels (as a percent of GDP) and cut all non-entitlement government spending (including military) to a smaller percentage of GDP than the military currently has by itself. There wouldn’t be any money to pay the president unless you count him as miltary because he is CiC. I don’t think there would be any money to pay Congress.
Comment by Rancher
2012-03-21 11:04:39
A lot of agencies could be eliminated. Let
the states handle education, housing, epa, etc. What works in Georgia doesn’t mean it
will work in Oregon. Local solutions are better all around.
Comment by polly
2012-03-21 11:25:12
Excellent. What is your state supposed to do when the state next door (and up wind) plants a hundred dirty coal power plants right on the state line. Their enviro people will be fine with it. It won’t impact air quality in their state. Same with rivers.
Oh, and all those cross boarder water rights agreements that are so important in the west? Forget them. There won’t be any federal courts to bring the law suit, so you can have all the agreements you want, but you can’t enforce them.
No FDIC. Want to put your money in a bank? I suggest you get an accounting degree so you can figure out which ones might be safe. Of course, you’ll have to hope that the finacial statements are accurate. No one will be checking.
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-03-21 11:45:05
Ironically, Polly’s extensive list could (should) be cited as the reason the federal budget needs to be cut.
Comment by Professor Bear
2012-03-21 11:50:36
“A lot of agencies could be eliminated. Let the states handle education, housing, epa, etc. What works in Georgia doesn’t mean it will work in Oregon. Local solutions are better all around.”
After the dust settled on a federal dismantling effort, I suspect CA would be better off and Ohio (Boehner’s state) and Wisconsin (Ryan’s state) would be worse off.
Comment by Rancher
2012-03-21 11:58:46
Does
anybody out there have any
memory
Of the
reason given for the
establishment
Of
the
DEPARTMENT
OF ENERGY
During the
Carter
Administration?
? Anybody?
? Anything?
? No?
? Didn’t
think so!
Bottom
line …
We’ve
spent several hundred billion
dollars
In support
of an agency
…the reason
For which
not one person who
reads
This can remember.
Ready???????
It was very
simple..
And at the
time everybody
thought It very
appropriate…
The
‘Department
of Energy’
Was
instituted
on
8-04-1977
TO LESSEN
OUR
DEPENDENCE
ON FOREIGN
OIL.
Hey,
pretty efficient, huh?????
ANDNOW
IT’S 2011,
34 YEARS
LATER….
AND THE
BUDGET FOR THIS
NECESSARY
DEPARTMENT
IS AT
$24.2 BILLION A YEAR
IT
HAS
16,000
FEDERAL
EMPLOYEES
AND
APPROXIMATELY
100,000
CONTRACT
EMPLOYEES
AND LOOK
AT THE JOB IT HAS DONE!
THIS IS
WHERE YOU
SLAP YOUR
FOREHEAD AND SAY
‘WHAT WAS I
THINKING?’
Ah, yes,
good old
bureaucracy…
And NOW _
we are going to
turn
The
Banking System, Health Care
&
The Auto
Industry over to
Government
ALL IN THE
NAME OF CHANGE?
May God
Help Us !!!
Keep this
one going….
Comment by Steve J
2012-03-21 12:33:37
Dept of Energy owns all the nuclear bombs.
Comment by polly
2012-03-21 13:11:36
DoE was created to centralize all the stuff the government was already doing related to energy. Its resposibilities weren’t created in 1977. They just got put in the same place. We were already dealing with nukes, and nuclear power plants and radioactive waste the rest. DoE does more basic science research than any other agency. Yeah, lets shut down, Lawrence Livermore, and Brookhaven and all the rest. Maybe the Koch brothers will buy a few of ‘em.
Comment by polly
2012-03-21 13:18:51
By the way, the Ryan budget also makes major cuts in Medicare (voucher it) and drastically cuts Medicaid (hope you all have long term care insurance), food stamps, and other programs that help the poor. But he isn’t trying to balance the budget quickly. Most of it is returned through giant tax cuts to the wealthy. If you make over $1 million a year you are going to be very happy. He says a lot of tax deductions/credits will be eliminated, but fails to specify them because that would, you know, make middle income people pay attention.
Comment by Hi-Z
2012-03-21 13:25:38
“Dept of Energy owns all the nuclear bombs.”
We had nuclear bombs long before there was a DOE. They were given administrative control to give them something to which they could charge their time.
Get rid of DOE; we will still be just fine!
Comment by polly
2012-03-21 13:42:33
Hi-Z,
If you eliminate a federal department and don’t eliminate any of its functions, (just send them back where they camre from), then you don’t save any money.
Comment by michael
2012-03-21 13:52:41
“Didn’t the Soviet Union go down that path, circa 1989?”
it’s not a series of separate and distinct events it’s a process.
the U.S.’s influence is dwindling.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 14:26:07
but do you really think the status quo is sustainable? really?
No. We need to raise duties, halve the military, double the very-rich’s taxes, means test Soc. Sec., invest public money in US industries basic research and education, break up monopolies, aid small businesses, go to single-payer and come up with a 20 year plan to become energy independent. This would encourage healthy-capitalism. This would do it. Look to Northern Europe for proof. This is not an academic exercise and the current supply-side, 30 year experiment of American crony, winner-take-all capitalism has FAILED. Proof? Look around you.
And dudes……..Brazil is energy independent. Brazil! LOL, the joke is on us. We didn’t see that coming huh? And Brazil didn’t get that way through the FOS slogan “invisible hand of the market”.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-21 14:27:38
“the U.S.’s influence is dwindling.”
Tanks bee to Allah!
Gonna have to get extra popcorn when those two have a di$puke over oil field acce$$ & price$ & rice-for-oil currencie$ exchange$ … [China & Iran]
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-03-21 14:29:15
“A lot of agencies could be eliminated. Let
the states handle education, housing, epa, etc.”
Education, maybe. Housing, maybe. EPA, I disagree. Pollution created in one state, does not necessarily stay there. Water pollution created in Minneapolis flows all the way to the Gulf. Air pollution created in Nevada affects everyon east of there.
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-21 14:33:39
“And dudes……..Brazil is energy independent. Brazil! LOL, the joke is on us. We didn’t see that coming huh? And Brazil didn’t get that way through the FOS slogan “invisible hand of the market”.”
Rio, really the Brazilian Gov’t Tourism Division should send you a $weet monthly $tipend. You’ve moved a visit to Brazil up my list of places to go befores eye dies at least 181 Nation$ [giggling]
Sincerely & Kindest Regards,
Hwy50
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 14:45:20
Rio, really the Brazilian Gov’t Tourism Division should send you a $weet monthly $tipend.
Brazil’s cool but I don’t idolize it and it has many problems. Part of the reason that I bring up Brazil’s energy independence is because if Brazil can do it, why can’t America? Maybe because we’re too hung up on the “free-market, crony-capitalist” religion.
Big things such as the military, The WPA, The Manhattan Project and National energy independence take a huge and sustained public money effort. To think the market alone could bring about such big things is kind of a joke and flies in the face of reality and history.
“What is your state supposed to do when the state next door (and up wind) plants a hundred dirty coal power plants right on the state line.”
Sue the state next door for environmental damages?
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-03-21 19:28:18
Sue the state next door for environmental damages?
Where? In Federal Court? What Federal Court?
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-21 20:09:22
This conversation reminds me of my Ex. Any adjustment (frugality) whatsoever is going to be the end of the freakin world!
Store brand beans? I’d rather starve!!!!
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-03-21 21:14:04
“Any adjustment (frugality) whatsoever is going to be the end of the freakin world!”
I see a specific list of adjustments in Rio’s post that doesn’t entail a willy-nilly hacking of every federal agency except the military.
“We need to raise duties, halve the military, double the very-rich’s taxes, means test Soc. Sec., invest public money in US industries basic research and education, break up monopolies, aid small businesses, go to single-payer and come up with a 20 year plan to become energy independent. This would encourage healthy-capitalism.”
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-03-21 21:21:31
My problem with Ryan’s plan is that it doesn’t really tackle the deficit. If the deficit is really a pressing problem, then his budget should reflect that.
“Is BEN creating another asset bubble via excess liquidity:”
Marie Osmond just had a problem with excess liquidity.
Marie Osmond sprinkles when she tinkles on stage
By Alexandra Myers -Mon, Mar 12, 2012..
Marie Osmond had a bit of an accident on stage during a performance on a Bahamas cruise ship March 2 after an audience member’s question had both her and her brother, Donny, laughing hysterically.
We don’t know what made her laugh so hard, but Marie erupted into such a fit of laughter that she peed on herself and on the stage.
Osmond wasn’t ashamed. Instead, she exclaimed, “I just peed my pants!” and wiped the stage where her little accident took place.
Laughing even harder than before, Donny told the audience: “You really did. We promised you an experience. You got it!”
For anybody who doesn’t think this whole thing was engineered from the beginning…
+1 This was no accident. The housing bubble foundation was being prepared back when Robert Ruben and senator Phil Graham made plans to trash the Glass-Steagall act. Also, the action by SEC Chairman Cox in 2004 that lowered capital reserve requirements for investment banks, increasing their ability to leverage from 12-to-1 to over 30-to-1.
It’s my belief that it was engineered precisely.
My guess is Lehman was used as a sacrificial lamb to get bailouts and scare the crap out of everyone. I think a lot of people knew what would eventually happen, but very few knew when it would happen. This small group had software and market knowledge to trigger the collapse at a time of their choosing. The CEO of GS cashed out tax free to become treasury secretary for 2 years. Does anyone seriously think this douche bag didn’t know what was coming. Why would Hank Paulson quit his high paying CEO job to become treasury secretary. Why would the Bush gov agree to make him the highest paid gov employee of all time 100mil plus a year via tax breaks. They knew what was coming and when. They had a game plan to maximize their take from the tax payer.
“Why would Hank Paulson quit his high paying CEO job to become treasury secretary.”
It might be worth looking into how much in Treasury Bonds he owned, and how much their value increased, at the point of Fall 2008 Wall Street collapse.
+1 This was no accident. The housing bubble foundation was being prepared back when Robert Ruben and senator Phil Graham made plans to trash the Glass-Steagall act.
Yes. Corrupt, crony-capitalists foisted a housing bubble upon the American people while off-shoring their jobs. This is part of the breakage of the social contract-much more of a big deal than FB’s walking away from their “contracts”.
“Contracts” made when and under what macro circumstances?
“So why does this market need the govt to back 90% plus of the loans?”
There is clearly a bit of chicken and egg confusion here; my take is that the 90% govt backing of loans and myriad other government subsidies explains rising bullishness amongst REIC constituents.
Where is the the Wall Street gold rush into writing mortgages ??
Would anyone in their right mind (other than our Government) loan money @ 3.8% for 30 years ?? Wall Street is not a player at those rates and maturities…
“Would anyone in their right mind (other than our Government) loan money @ 3.8% for 30 years ?? ”
I wouldn’t loan money out at that rate for 5 years, let alone 30. The fact that people are now able to borrow for below the borrowing cost of government agencies with taxing authority (IE, municipalities), has got to be one of the greatest ironies in the market today.
So, I can lend it to Joe Sixpack at 3.8 (taxable) or I can lend it to the government at 4-6% (non-taxable)? Hmmm, let me ponder that one a bit and get back to you.
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Comment by scdave
2012-03-21 09:02:02
people are now able to borrow for below the borrowing cost of government ??
As I have suggested any number of times in the past, IMO, there is going to be a reckoning as it relates to housing, on the back side of all these sub-4% 30 year mortgages…Someday, the government will have backed out of the policy of suppression of rates..Not sure when that will occur, but occur it will…When that happens, the free market will be the only player and that free market will demand a much higher rate on long term mortgages for many reasons including the one you offer…
I suspect that what you may see is a lack of turn-over of inventory…Households will not sell if given a choice…They will add-on or remodel what they have but they aren’t
letten-go of that 3.8% fixed rate 30 year mortgage to get a fixed rate 6% + mortgage…
So what happens to the inventory that is available ?? Got to believe that prices fall due to the increased carry cost…What if you can’t deduct your 6% + interest anymore due to tax reform ?? Deduct your real estate taxes ?? Two more nails that could put downward pressure on prices…
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-21 09:49:49
“Not sure when that will occur, but occur it will…When that happens, the free market will be the only player and that free market will demand a much higher rate on long term mortgage$ for many reason$”
[Hwy50 moves over to scdave's line, "here ya go Mr. Dave eyes got an extra beer just for you ... how's the new Jeep fairin'?"]
Comment by Overtaxed
2012-03-21 10:07:06
“I suspect that what you may see is a lack of turn-over of inventory…Households will not sell if given a choice…They will add-on or remodel what they have but they aren’t
letten-go of that 3.8% fixed rate 30 year mortgage to get a fixed rate 6% + mortgage…”
Yup. When interest rates go up, prices have to drop. And, given how laughably low rates are right now, prices are going to drop like a stone if (and notice, I said if) the government lets the rates go up. There’s simply no other way for them to go.
I bought my house last year and only did it because I have the intention of never selling selling it. But, people buying a “starter house” with the intention of appreciation to help them move up? That’s a losing proposition, big time.
Comment by wittbelle
2012-03-21 11:25:44
The only other alternative is inflation which means cost of living increases, which I don’t see happening in this environment, which means prices STILL have to come down. I think Ben is, how they say, “entre la peste et le choléra.”
Comment by scdave
2012-03-21 12:51:10
how’s the new Jeep fairin’?”] ??
Its still “fairin” @ the Dodge dealership…:(…I will get to it soon…
The only other alternative is inflation ??
Really, I think the only other way for support would be “Wage” inflation…Consumer inflation without wage inflation (stagflation) just makes it more expensive…
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-21 13:52:00
The only other alternative is inflation which means cost of living increases, which I don’t see happening in this environment, which means prices STILL have to come down
There is another outcome. Witness what the automakers did in the face of lower demand: They reduced production and raised prices substantially. What this means in the end is a lower standard of living, which is coming to a neighborhood near you soon.
Coming up next: Massive overbuilding of rental properties.
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Comment by Carl Morris
2012-03-21 15:00:39
Way ahead of you…I think just the ones currently being built combined with the shadow inventory being converted to rentals will be enough to crush rental prices. Unless (until) of course the government steps in and prevents that in order to avoid having the banksters who snapped them up take a loss.
Comment by Professor Bear
2012-03-21 15:48:51
“Way ahead of you…I think just the ones currently being built combined with the shadow inventory being converted to rentals will be enough to crush rental prices.”
Yes. I am looking at a few more decades of affordable renting to come, courtesy of the latest crop of Wall Street muppet investors in foreclosure-to-rental housing.
What exactly is the Fed: A government-owned monopoly bank, a privately-owned hedge fund, or something else?
And who wins and who loses when they earn more?
March 20, 2012, 12:00 p.m. EDT
Fed earned $77 billion last year, 2nd-highest ever
By Steve Goldstein
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The Federal Reserve and its district banks said Tuesday it earned $77.4 billion last year, down from $81.7 billion in 2010 but the second-highest level in the central bank’s history. The bumper earnings allowed the Fed to distribute $75.4 billion to the U.S. Treasury, also the second-highest level ever. The earnings was derived primarily from $83.6 billion in interest income on securities acquired through open market operations, from Treasury securities, federal agency and government-sponsored enterprise mortgage-backed securities, and GSE debt securities. The Fed repeated that it doesn’t expect to record a loss on any of its emergency loan programs. On its portfolio of assets, unrealized losses totaled $4.3 billion, which the Fed attributed to “instrument-specific credit risk” on commercial and residential mortgage loans; the Fed earned $428 million on the securities it did sell.
…………………………………………………
Is Bernacke obligated to remit the interest received from his US Treasuries, back to the Treasury, or does he do this out of altruism?
And again I ask, can Bernacke do whatever he wants with the US Treasuries he’s “purchased,” or at some point is he obligated to tender them back to the Treasury?
All MBS etc. just stays on Feds balance sheet and Fed doesn’t have to make good on those anytime soon. Yes, Fed gives the money to Treasury as they cannot give it directly to individual programs.
They need a channel to pass it on. Either they can fund banks’ liquidity or give to Treasury for use.
Btw, looks like they are keeping 2Billion to fund their own operations.
How would the Fed’s near-record profits look if they were adjusted to the value of gold? Since gold cost about $35/oz circa 1970 and is now going for about $1600/oz, the profits would have to be written down by
(1-35/1600)*100% = 97.8% to express them in 1970 dollars.
Fed will discard all Gold Standard theories. They do not want to go that route and would give arguments like there is not enough Gold available in the World.
The whole thing is a big ponzi scheme. I’ve suffered last 10 years in this bubble economy and the next 10 years will be the same bringing me closer to my end time. All investments seem to be so ambigous nowdays, no place to park money also for retirement.
When I was growing up I never thought 20-30 years of my life will go waste just reading about the excesses Govts. around the World have done to benefit a few masterminds. I’m worried that with China, India, Aussie, Canada, HK, SA, Singapore bubbles deflating tthis year, the world economy will take another 15 years to recover. That would be end of my lifetime.
I’m not talking about theories. I’m talking about the real (not nominal) value of the Fed’s supposed near-record profits. I’m guessing the real value of gold has been a lot more stable than that of the U.S. dollar over the past four decades, but please feel free to bring contrary evidence if you have any to offer.
a big ponzi scheme. I’ve suffered last 10 years in this bubble economy….I never thought 20-30 years of my life will go waste just reading about the excesses Govts. around the World have done to benefit a few
This is another example of the breaking of the social contract that Governments and corporations have with the people.
But if you walk away from a ponzi scheme evolved mortgage because you’ve lost your job to China, many on this board will say you’re the only “contract” breaker.
What we need now is more regulation. As being quoted in How Dangerous is High Household Debt for the Economy: “Targeted household debt restructuring policies can deliver significant benefits. Such policies can, at a relatively low fiscal cost, substantially mitigate the negative impact of household de-leveraging on economic activity… reduce the number of household defaults and foreclosures, and alleviate debt repayment burdens. In so doing, these programs help prevent self-reinforcing cycles of declining house prices and lower aggregate demand.”‘
This is the only way out of the current situation in all markets you have mentioned here.
It isn’t just Wall Street. It isn’t just business. It isn’t just government. It is a whole generation or two, perhaps influenced by the environment that has been created. Generation Greed.
Some businesses pay taxes. Non-profits are a scam.
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Comment by polly
2012-03-21 13:27:27
A lot of for profit businesses don’t pay taxes either.
The difference is the structure. For profit businesses can distribute money to their owners through shares (dividends or the shares can be sold). Non-profits don’t and must primarily engage in one or more of the types of activities that Congress has approved for that status. Range from credit unions to The Gates Foundation. It is an absurdly large chunk of the economy. I don’t remember the percentage.
Republican presidential candidates are counting on the average American voter’s abysmal ignorance on matters economic to help their suggestion that rising gas prices are Obama’s fault gain acceptance.
Of course, if Obama intervened to try to keep a lid on gas prices, not only would gas lines form, as they did during Republican President Nixon’s turn in the WH, but Obama would be labeled a socialist for interfering with the free market.
Hint to Republican candidates: It’s tough for the President to please everyone.
Lexington The president and the pump
Voters will hold Barack Obama responsible for rising petrol prices, even though he isn’t
Mar 17th 2012 | from the print edition
REPUBLICAN politicians do not yet blame Barack Obama personally for the recent changes in America’s weather. That would stick in the craw, given that, in spite of overwhelming scientific evidence, most of them still question and many deny that man plays a role in global warming. They do, however, blame Mr Obama for the rise in the price of oil. This is odd too, especially for a party that as a rule likes to believe in the impotence of governments and the omnipotence of markets. As any competent economist will tell you, the price of oil is set in the market—the world market, that is—and not in the White House.
There are times, however, when the temptation to blame the man in the White House is simply too great, and this is one of them. In recent weeks, the conventional wisdom in politics has been that the never-ending Republican primaries, the assorted weaknesses of the four remaining candidates and the gradual but steady improvement in the economy have transformed Mr Obama’s chances of a second term. The improving economy is especially bothersome to Republicans, since it was the lack of growth and jobs that was supposed to guarantee the president’s defenestration in November. With one possible eleventh-hour exception, attempts to find alternative angles of attack have not shown conspicuous success. Newt Gingrich and especially Rick Santorum have done their best to reheat the culture wars. But knocking abortion, contraception and the 21st century in general does not look like a winning strategy far beyond deep-fried Southern states such as Alabama and Mississippi.
The possible eleventh-hour exception is the rising price of petrol (gasoline). The average American motorist is now paying $3.80 a gallon, a record for the time of year. As prices have risen, all the Republican candidates have been selling the idea that the blame for this rise belongs primarily with Mr Obama—not with the market’s fear of a war with Iran, climbing demand in China or any other more plausible explanation. Unhappily for the president, many voters appear to be buying this snake oil.
On March 12th a Washington Post-ABC poll found that nearly two-thirds of Americans disapproved of Mr Obama’s handling of petrol prices, and the same poll showed that February’s 50% to 46% approval of his overall performance had flipped.
…
The “deep fried southern states” are slobbering over Paul Ryan’s bootstraps, rugged individualist, John Galt fantasies meanwhile slurping more than their fair share of gravy from the public trough:
Which tells you the mental capacity of many of these people in the south…They will vote for the same people who intend to throw them under the bus…Go figure…
these people in the south…They will vote for the same people who intend to throw them under the bus…
Unfortunately that seems to be the case all across our great nation. Although the south probably suffers from it the worst.
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Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Fl)
2012-03-21 09:43:00
Amazing the stereotypes, and bigotry.
The “south” fought a war of independence to prevent the overthrow of their rights as sovereign people. We are still fighting that war. The UNION won the big fight. Millions died.
They have been “expanding” their “laws and rules” to the point of a fascist dictatorship since that time.
Obama signed another “executive order” on Friday that allows the federal government to take over just about any agency, business, property, or person, not just in time of “national emergency”, but any time he wants.
He always signs this stuff on friday afternoon, so it doesn’t get any press coverage and new “news” is on the front pages come monday.
Many People of the South realize the federal government is their enemy. The original founders of the US wanted LIMITED government because they knew it could not be trusted. It was never envisioned to become this “expansive”.
Yet, you really smart people up north think we need more and more of it, to control the masses and provide a state-run society by mandate. You can keep it. And the “change”.
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-21 11:25:20
We are still fighting that war.
So what happens if you win? Will the 13th Ammendment be abolished?
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-21 11:47:47
“The “south” fought a war of independence to prevent the overthrow of their rights as sovereign people.”
Post-Humorous Award goes to: the Man fleeing in women’s clothes, Mrs. Jefferson Davis!
[Hwy50 laughing, wondering if Nazi's ever chuckled amougnst themselves about their Gov't compen$ation $alarie$]
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-03-21 11:52:04
Diogenes, their comments are just further proof that all liberals are bigots. Every last one of them.
Now, anybody got a broader brush?
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-21 13:45:24
Moi? Liberal? I used to be a Republican, until the inmates took over the asylum. And no, I’m not a registered Democrat either.
Comment by scdave
2012-03-21 13:59:29
+1 Colorado…Ditto here…
Comment by goon squad
2012-03-21 14:30:27
Looking forward to continuing this conversation for FOUR MORE YEARS after O gets re-elected this November Haterz!
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 15:30:33
The “south” fought a war of independence to prevent the overthrow of their rights as sovereign people.
Ahh, the myth of the “lost-cause”. It sounds so so American, so patriotic doesn’t it? The “noble” South fighting against federal domination….. Domination? No sir. It was all about slavery.
What do you do when your side was totally immoral? What do you do when your side’s very rich held fellow human beings in bondage and treated them as less than animals? What do you do when such a system raped women, flogged, beat, starved and worked to death people because of money and skin color?
Here’s what you do. Starting in the late 1800’s, you come up with sugar-coated, lying myths touting “states-rights” and protectors of “sovereign people” B.S. and you try to hide the pea and distract from the fact that the Civil War was and always will have been about institutionalized racism, unbounded greed, bigotry and SLAVERY.
Comment by oxide
2012-03-21 18:23:10
+1 Rio. I’m tired of the states-rights BS. It was always about slavery.
“They will vote for the same people who intend to throw them under the bus…”
So I guess EVERYONE should vote his own self-interest? Goon-squad, RAL, SCdave and the others- are you all on welfare and/or getting other government benefits? Or are you among the suckers who pay for those bennies, yet vote against your self-interest?
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Comment by scdave
2012-03-21 13:21:43
Many People of the South realize the federal government is their enemy ??
Right up until the first of the month when the money gets wired to their account…On that day, there is a grace period…
are you among the suckers who pay for those bennies, yet vote against your self-interest ??
When I am given a choice of voting for someone like Palin or voting against my self interest then I vote against my self interest…Ditto with Bush which has proven correct with the most conservative of republicans (George Will) running from him like the plague…
further proof that all liberals are bigots. Every last one of them. Now, anybody got a broader brush ?
Liberal ?? Hardly…Among other things, I would appreciate your group keeping the mandatory Ultra-Sound test out of my daughters Vagina though…
Bigot ?? Wow…Have to say thats the first time I have been called that…Why ?? Because the facts bear out that most of entitlement money (from all sources) flows to the southern states per capita and those same people that would vote for Santorum, who would support a Ryan plan that would take it all away…Now tell me, are they voting against their self interest or are they the real “bigots”….
Comment by Montana
2012-03-21 13:34:10
Haha good one Bill.
Comment by butters
2012-03-21 13:35:08
They are better than rest of us. Their $hit doesn’t stink. They are above basic human emotions like greed. They are just better and they have no self interest.
Comment by goon squad
2012-03-21 13:47:29
I’ll let the content of the Bloomberg article speak for itself, haterz
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-21 14:53:42
“Or are you among the suckers who pay for those bennies, yet vote against your self-interest?”
There are actually benefits from that. Having lived 12 years in a third world country, I don’t ever want to see the grinding poverty I saw there, nor do I want to have to barricade myself in my home out of fear of being kidnapped.
But the southern conservatives voting againt their self interest goes beyond losing their welfare benefits. They support a party that has systematically enabled and even cheered the offshoring of the jobs that used to provide a middle class standard of living. A party that when confronted by the swelling chasm between the rich and poor mocks the poor as “envious”.
And why do they vote for these D-bags? Because they give lip service to the social values embraced by the southern electorate.
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-03-21 15:02:35
And why do they vote for these D-bags? Because they give lip service to the social values embraced by the southern electorate.
Yup. Yet the Ds still don’t learn from that. And don’t tell me it’s an integrity thing.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 15:36:48
Haha good one Bill.
It was good but Bill’s written better jokes before.
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-03-21 16:24:23
So, when southerners vote against their self interest they’re fools but when the liberal elite vote against their self interest they’re doing the right thing. Okaaay.
Amazing how effortlessly the liberal mind can apply different standards as needed. Yes, so can the conservative mind. But in this case the illogic is on the liberal side.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 16:46:09
So, when southerners vote against their self interest they’re fools but when the liberal elite vote against their self interest they’re doing the right thing. Okaaay.
Here’s a big difference: What you can personally affect and the extent the issues will automatically effect you.
Most times the southerners are voting against their economic interest. A macro-economic interest or situation is much harder to personally control than it is to control the conservative social issue’s effect on our lives.
Examples: If there are no jobs, there are no jobs so what are you going to do? However if you are against abortions or gay marriages, well, don’t get an abortion and don’t marry someone else who’s gay. (But if you are conservative and you’re gay and you don’t get gay married, you’ve solved both “issues”)
Luckily, voter turnout is effected by education. About half as many people with no HS education vote as do college graduates. So, we got that goin’ for us!
Remember, it’s not “welfare” when you are the beneficiary. It’s only welfare when someone else (especially someone from a different racial or cultural background) gets the cheese.
Huh, reminds me of my southern friend, hyperventilating on FB that nobody better cut his social security…I remember when he was off the books, for like years.
As a result, the U.S. ended up paying world market prices of a commodity which has growing global demand as poor countries get richer. Whatever happened to our divine right to 25 percent of global natural resources? Don’t we have nuclear weapons?
It depends on which type of republican you speak of…If it walks, talks & smells like Santorum, Gingrich or Perry then, IMO, there is zero chance…The necon wing of the republican party has lost the majority of women and the growing Latino population for good…
Berkshire Hathaway: Good morning Berkshire Hathaway.
jeff: Hey Warren it`s fuqin` August and the AC quit, I`m sweatin` my fuqin` @ss off down here man. Now you either get it fixed today or you aint gettin no GD rent check this month and you can load that on your railroad and deliver it to the Gulf of Mexico.
Another Hidden Bailout: Helping Wall Street Collect Your Rent
POSTED: March 19, 10:55 AM ET
Some of the biggest names on Wall Street are lining up to become landlords to cash-strapped Americans by bidding on pools of foreclosed properties being sold by Fannie Mae…
It gets better:
Warren Buffett, considered a sage investor and chief executive of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., said in an interview with CNBC-TV last month that he would buy up “a couple hundred thousand” single-family homes if he could do so easily, given the high yields on rental investments.
But he wants to pay a higher taxes on the profits he makes. So all is good. Warren Buffet’s business model - get billions worth in bailouts and pay a couple of millions more in taxes.
Buffett’s Burlington Northern Among Pipeline Winners
By Jim Efstathiou Jr. - Jan 23, 2012 6:04 PM ET
Warren Buffett’s Burlington Northern Santa Fe LLC is among U.S. and Canadian railroads that stand to benefit from the Obama administration’s decision to reject TransCanada Corp. (TRP)’s Keystone XL oil pipeline permit.
“Whatever people bring to us, we’re ready to haul,” Krista York-Wooley, a spokeswoman for Burlington Northern, a unit of Buffett’s Omaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK/A), said in an interview. If Keystone XL “doesn’t happen, we’re here to haul.”
The availability of tank cars may create a temporary “hiccup” in transport capacity, according to Tony Hatch, an independent railroad analyst in New York. Rail cars are “a pretty hot commodity,” as a result of demand from oil producers in North Dakota, he said.
“Railroads are not just a stopgap while we wait for a pipeline,” Hatch said in an interview. “They are potentially part of the long-term solution.”
Burlington Northern carries about 25 percent of the oil from the Bakken, said Krista York-Wooley, the railroad spokeswoman. The company can carry higher volumes from North Dakota or Alberta, she said.
Sales of existing homes fell 0.9% in February, but improving job prospects, cheaper homes, and warm weather led to the best start to the year since the burst of the housing bubble.
No Wells Fargo refinances for severely underwater homeowners unless already a customer
by Kim Miller
Wells Fargo said late Monday that because of the “current market environment” it will not offer refinances under the new Home Affordable Refinance Plan to deeply underwater homeowners unless they are already a Wells Fargo customer.
The company, which responded too late to a Palm Beach Post inquiry to make it into today’s story about the floundering HARP 2.0, said the maximum loan to value ratio it will allow for loans not serviced by Wells Fargo is 105 percent.
The loan to value ratio is how much is owed on a mortgage compared to the value of the home. To figure it out, divide your estimated home value by the remaining amount you owe on your loan.
For example, if you owe $150,000 on your mortgage, but your home is worth only $100,000, your loan to value ratio is 150 percent, meaning you owe 50 percent more on your mortgage than what your home is worth.
HARP 2.0 was unveiled as a plan that had no limit on the loan to value ratio, meaning anyone who is current on their mortgage payments should be eligible no matter how underwater they are on their loan.
That’s proven not to be reality. As noted in today’s story, most lenders are not offering unlimited loan to value options and, at this point, are hesitant to offer any options to anyone other than current customers.
“After further consideration of the new parameters of the Fannie Mae DU Refi Plus program transactions and the current market environment, we have amended our policy for loans not currently serviced by Wells Fargo and originated through our Correspondent and Wholesale business channels,” said Wells Fargo spokeswoman Carla Clemons. “As a result, we will not offer unlimited LTV options for loans not serviced by Wells Fargo through Correspondent or Wholesale.”
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Tags: foreclosure, Foreclosures, HARP 2.0, Home Affordable Refinance Program, Palm Beach, Palm Beach County, real estate
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5 Responses to “No Wells Fargo refinances for severely underwater homeowners unless already a customer”
1
PENDINGLAWSUIT Says:
March 20th, 2012 at 8:05 am
Attention All Wells Fargo Bank Employees With Knowledge of Criminal Activity by Their Employer Wells Fargo Bank N.A.
That’s good pendinglawsuit. It’s almost worth getting a job at one of these places just to be a whistleblower. I wonder how many people think they “own” there homes now. True home ownership in this country is less than 5%.
I still remember when I had the house painted 3 years ago. All the boyz who showed up in their F-350 Turbo Diesels to give me an estimate wanted $6K+ to paint the house. I found a guy (through a referral) who did it for $3K. He showed up in an old, mid size beater pickup (it didn’t even have a back seat, oh the humanity!). Amazingly, he did ALL the work himself, and was very meticulous. I’m certain the the F-350 guys would have sent a crew of illegals to do the job.
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Comment by Rancher
2012-03-21 12:14:36
And all those F-350’s are now in the used car
lots.
I’m certain the the F-350 guys would have sent a crew of illegals to do the job.
+1 Sounds like you’ve been around the block before.
Comment by b-hamster
2012-03-21 12:48:43
Sort of reminds me of my dentist - always recommending additional work that I needed. He also had a huge staff (albeit hot, young women) and plasma tee-vees in every room with stereos and shiny new gadgetry everywhere.
I switched to a dentist with the basic equipment pertinent to my basic needs and my dental bills went way down.
I guess someone hasd to pay for that stuff.
Comment by In Colorado
2012-03-21 13:42:50
“Sort of reminds me of my dentist”
We fired Dr. Pricey a long time ago.
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-21 14:47:51
“Sort of reminds me of my dentist”
We fired Dr. Pricey a long time ago.
So did I. She also had the very cool gadgetry in every room. And the staff that was big on recommending this, that, and the other thing. For my health, of course.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 15:46:06
“Sort of reminds me of my dentist”
I paid my $160 a month 1st world health insurance bill for a year before I learned it covered dental too.
…..And then the realtor said housing prices always go up.
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Comment by jeff saturday
2012-03-21 11:35:31
The realtor said we should offer close to full asking price.
The realtor said great bargains and deals go fast, so prospective home buyers should realize this.
Comment by CarrieAnn
2012-03-21 13:44:43
The realtor said yes, those trees over there do belong to your lot.
Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-21 14:59:47
So I offered 105% of asking and slipped the realtor the $1000 she asked for so that my offer was considered……
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-21 15:06:54
The Realtor said Yes! Yes! Yes! … I do know of a GREAT appraiser! & a loan officer & a local banker & [his wife #3, she's also a realtor/liar-in-my-office!] & e$crow officer$, & a notary & land$cape architect & a gardener, & pool cleaner [Billy-the-boy-man] & a hair $tylist & a tattoo Ar-tee-ist & gourmet dog bi$cuit maker & Mercedes/BMW/Vulva dealership agent [Ricky-from-Miami] & Moving Co. [Joey & -the-boys-who work & sweat-so-hard] & a Plumber [who-smells-nice-by-the-way] & a lawyer [found him from my 1st divorce] & a Financial planner [Lola, she helped me to forget all about my divorce lawyer, Bob/Robert] & …
(Agents car door closes …talking continues, nothing audible to report).
Comment by wittbelle
2012-03-21 23:12:14
My husband and I like to troll on Ebay, you know, bid up stuff that we wouldn’t go out of our way to buy, (unless we get it for a really good price, like our bid). We usually don’t win, but once in a while the other bidders are asleep at the wheel and we’ll get something for a steal. A short sale came up last month in a community near the beach that we have been looking at. We asked the house sales clerk what a good offer would be and she told us $100,000 over asking, (like that’s gonna happen). So, we put in an offer $6,000 over asking. She also told us that falling prices had plateaued and that the flow of foreclosures was stanching. What’s that tagline you guys use on here? It’s on the tip of my tongue but just can’t think of it…
Comment by Robin
2012-03-21 23:51:18
And any low hanging fruit from next door (including the pool boy) is yours for the taking!
The last 2 day’s discussion led to a certain amount of confusion that I would like to clear up. The conversation was primarily about air-sealing or infiltration control. The conversation discussed building insulation as well and the line between these 2 related subjects became badly blurred.
Building insulation can be different types ie thermal, fire, sound etc and this conversation is mostly about thermal insulation.
The relationship between air sealing and thermal insulation: in simplest terms air sealing prevents thermal bypass and therefore permits the thermal insulation envelope to function. More technically thermal insulation resists heat loss (or gain in summer) via conduction while air sealing resists heat loss via convection ( fluid or air transport ).
Conclusion: without air sealing your building insulation will be bypassed to a large degree.
More Confusions:
Tyvek, when used in construction is used for “building wrap” it is a fabric that is applied to the exterior walls and provides a barrier to air and water while permitting the passage of vapor. Tyvek can be a component in a complete (residential / wood framed) air sealing system but it is a minor player, most leakage occurs from the attic or ventilated rafters where Tyvek is not applied. Tyvek is not thermal building insulation.
Grace Perma-Barrier is a fluid applied air barrier.
Owens Corning Energy Complete is a latex foam and is a 3 dimensional product, it can fill volume as opposed to a fabric or a fluid applied product. EC is installed under high pressure so it can clean and penetrate as well.
New Construction vs Retrofit: Retrofit has limitations
Thermal insulation retrofit is most commonly adding a layer of insulation to an attic space, beyond that it might be insulating exposed floor cavities, then beyond that it might be pressure filling closed assembles like a floor over garage or exterior walls.
Air sealing retrofit is mostly done from the attic applying a seal to the top of the walls.
I don’t do plaster repair I only fill it full of holes and allow “others” to do the repair. Having said that my experience has been that I don’t have to worry about damage because anything I have worked on was easily repairable.
I just had a fun thought for the morning: the banks must be tired of dealing with her, so how about we pool some money, buy Lynn’s bad-debts for pennies on the dollar, and then pursue her for the deficiencies?
I hear she can afford to pay now, what with the $18M she got in the settlement…
Just heard about new report this morning that says gasoline should only cost us about ~$2 gal if market manipulation, gaming and speculation were controlled.
Hey, Steven Chu is happy. You’re not falling for his recantation, are you?
“With painfully high gas prices hurting Americans- and President Barack Obama’s reelection prospects- Energy Secretary Steven Chu on Tuesday recanted his notorious September 2008 comment that he hoped to see the cost of filling up to reach the far more elevated levels common in Europe.” - Yahoo News
I read somewhere a few years back (during the run-up in commodity prices) that in 2000, six paper barrels of oil were traded for every physical barrel. In 2008 it was closer to twenty.
It’s not Reagan. The entire “science” of economics is based on simple models that only work if there are no variables. That’s why accountants think economists are idiots or insane or both.
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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-21 11:59:57
That’s also why I say “NEVER let an accountant run your business.”
The Reagan reference to his being the head cheerleader for “supply side” economics, what was once called “voodoo economics”.
It basically said that supply and demand should be decoupled and that speculation, along with deregulation, was the wave of the future.
It was this philosophy that lead to the Tax Reform Act of 1986, which also dereguled Savings & Loans, that then lead directly to the S&L disaster, the forerunner of today’s disaster.
Comment by Professor Bear
2012-03-21 12:07:59
“That’s why accountants think economists are idiots or insane or both.”
That reminds me of the reason they invented actuaries: To make accountants seem less boring.
Comment by wittbelle
2012-03-21 13:05:59
LOL! That would do it! Actually, I know a lot of utterly fascinating accountants.
Comment by Professor Bear
2012-03-21 13:34:43
I know for a fact that not all (former) actuaries are boring. For instance, check out this dude’s bio.
Comment by wittbelle
2012-03-21 21:30:34
I’d prefer boring over that any day. The hat (and faded side burns) make him look like a giant douche bag. Was that mean? I’m so insensitive, I can’t tell anymore.
gasoline should only cost us about ~$2 gal if market manipulation, gaming and speculation were controlled
Market manipulation, gaming and speculation are very important parts of the “free-hand” of the market. They put more money in the rich’s hands and less in the poor’s.
(Reuters) - Dan Magder recently gave up a top job with private equity firm Lone Star Funds to strike out on his own and become a landlord.
He’s joining a growing list of big and small investors who see fat profits to be made in renting out foreclosed homes, especially now the U.S. government is moving ahead with a trial project to sell big pools of single-family homes that Fannie Mae currently owns in some of the hardest-hit housing markets.
Investors seeking higher yields are drawn to foreclosures because the rental market is red hot. But the heated competition for foreclosed homes is reminiscent of the frothy expectations that seem to accompany each new Wall Street investing craze.
But I was so glad to see this (toward the bottom of the article), because this has been on my mind ever since I heard about this plan:
Already, some liberal economists are questioning the wisdom of the federal government pushing to sell homes owned by Fannie and Freddie to institutional investors at a potential 20-30 percent discount to prevailing market price.
“This is actually moving the underlying physical assets, or homes, to the top 1 percent,” says L. Randall Wray, a professor of economics at the University of Missouri-Kansas City and a senior scholar with Bard College’s Levy Economics Institute.
2010 winner of this award: “You’ve got 2 minute$!”
Political party: Repubican
Board member of:
Automatic Data Processing
BlackRock Fin.
Duke Realty
KKR Fin. Corp.
Ripplewood Holdings
MetLife Inc.
Hubbard is a Visiting Scholar at the conservative American Enterprise In$titute, where he studies tax policy and health care of the Wealthie$ & $uffering $o’s.
Hubbard was an economic advisor to the 2008 presidential campaign of Mitt’$ Romney’$ and in 2012.
Parents:
Charles Whistnant Hubbard
Myrtle Jean (Dabbs) Hubbard
Mastered the Hula-Hoop at age 4
Miscellaneou$:
In$ide Job / The Film
Hubbard was interviewed in Charles Ferguson’s Oscar-winning documentary film, Inside Job (2010), discussing his advocacy, as chief economic advisor to the Bush Administration, of deregulation, which Ferguson argues led to the 2008 international banking crisis sparked by the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the sale of Merrill Lynch. In the interview, Ferguson asks Hubbard to enumerate the firms from whom he receives outside income as an advisory board member in the context of possible conflict of interest. Hubbard, hitherto cooperative, declines to answer and threatens to end the interview.
After the release of the film, Columbia ramped up ongoing efforts to strengthen and clarify their conflict of interest disclosure requirements. Columbia Business School professor Michael Feiner, a member of the faculty committee of Columbia’s Sanford C. Bernstein and Co. Center for Leadership and Ethics, has recommended that the film be shown to all business school students.
Welcome to the end game. This is how the 1% stay the 1%.
Make money on the way up selling to the suckers and make money on the way down, buying their assets for huge discounts, then start the churn all over again. (and not just RE)
By my 4th recession (S&L disaster) I started to realize it was engineered. By the 5th, I knew for a fact it was. (dot com boom/bust) I was hoping to be ready for this, my 6th one, but maybe I’ll have to wait for the 7th one. Because you can bet, barring anything radical happening (HA!) there WILL be a 7th one.
“The Inside Job” documentary is also a highly recommended primer on the financial climate of the 2000s.
Comment by goon squad
2012-03-21 14:25:40
Your use of the term “1%” is, in and of itself, class warfare. Just wait until the “Producers” go all John Galt and then you’ll really be sorry…
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-21 14:57:16
Damn!
Good catch.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 15:58:41
fair wages, benefits, rights, safety regulations
Important parts of the broken “Social Contract”.
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-03-21 16:46:21
Nothing even remotely approaching a “social contract” existed in this country before the 1940’s. It came about because of the shared sacrifice needed to win WWII.
With no enemy now threatening our existence, it’s once again “every man for himself.” That’s the norm. Not necessary right, but the norm.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-21 16:57:09
Nothing even remotely approaching a “social contract” existed in this country before the 1940’s.
That’s just plain wrong. Of course the Social Contract existed before the 1940’s. Republican Theodore “Teddy” Roosevelt’s breaking up monopolies 1901-1901 is just one example.
Also, read the Preamble of the US Constitution. (A very liberal document and idea BTW)
How can you guys even remotely believe Government, Businesses, and People do not or should not have a cooperative relationship? How far “free-market”, “Dollar is the only God” have you guys been led? No history? No Anthropology? No Sociology? Just money???
He’s joining a growing list of big and small investors who see fat profits to be made in renting out foreclosed homes, especially now the U.S. government is moving ahead with a trial project to sell big pools of single-family homes that Fannie Mae currently owns in some of the hardest-hit housing markets.
Methinks that these in-VEST-ors are going to learn some hard lessons about the realities of being a landlord. Things like:
1. Competing with all the other people who are doing the same thing. After all, you’re not the only in-VEST-or out there.
2. Finding good tenants and keeping them.
3. Cleaning up the mess left by bad tenants.
4. Dealing with neighbors of your rental properties.
….. yo Jethro… did you every install 20ga 4″ (not nominal… a full 4″) steel studs 24″oc with 5/8″ dense glass? If so, how’d it work out? 24″oc is sketchy but that’s what the office approved.
PALO ALTO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — A former executive director of Goldman Sachs caused a stir earlier this month when he spurted that some of the firm’s higher-ups deride clients as “muppets” — Wall Street slang for rubes.
Disney — No strangers to Wall Street
Is anyone really surprised? A recent Yankelovich survey found that four in 10 investors believe investment companies are unfair — joining the ranks of credit card companies, CEOs, the federal government and of course, lawyers.
Goldman isn’t the only offender. There is no industry more ridden with conflicts of interest and misaligned incentives than investment management. David Swensen, who deftly oversees Yale University’s endowment writes: “Relationships with external investment managers provide a fertile breeding ground for conflicts of interests.”
…
When Congress repealed the Glass/Steagal Act and passed The Commodities Modernization Act, both of which demolished the walls between financial institutions that existed just for such conflict of interest reasons, they ALL became double agents.
“Congress to pass the Endangered Muppet Protection Act (EMPA)!”
Acronym is too $hort fer this Congre$$
(EMPATHY)
Endangered Muppet Protection Act That Helps Y’all
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Comment by Professor Bear
2012-03-21 14:21:45
Thank you! I was trying to figure out how to get the EMPATHY acronym out of my program proposal. Since Mitt is working on his southern accent, perhaps he will look into this idea.
Goldman Sachs analysts are telling its investors that it’s time to dump bonds and switch over to stocks.
“Given current valuations, we think its time to say a ‘long good bye’ to bonds, and embrace the ’long good buy’ for equities as we expect them to embark on an upward trend over the next few years,” Peter Oppenheimer and Matthieu Walterspiler said in a report issued on Wednesday.
“The prospects for future returns in equities relative to bonds are as good as they have been in a generation,” the analysts said.
…
Do folks on the other side of the pond agree with Gollum’s astute analysis?
ft dot com
Too early to call end of bonds’ bull run
By Richard Milne
The end of the 30-year bull markets in bonds has been proclaimed more times than supposed sightings of Elvis. But just as every resurrection of the King turned out to be false so it has been with bond markets as yields in US, German and UK government debt have ground ever lower.
The clamour in the past few weeks, however, of traders and strategists calling a turning point for bond markets has been unusually strong. Many in the market see parallels with 1993-94, when US benchmark yields rose from 5 to 8 per cent in 12 months. Others have cited March 2009, when global equities rebounded so strongly after the financial crisis.
UBS has made one of the stronger arguments, saying that the sell-off will be sporadic, rather than continuous, as investors begin to challenge the commitment of the US Federal Reserve to its ultra-low rates policy up to 2014.
I’m not convinced that the bull market is finished. In a normal world, the recent run of better economic data that have come out of the US, in particular, should lead to higher yields. By most reckonings, 10-year yields should be in the 3-4 per cent range, rather than the current 2 per cent for Germany and 2.3 per cent for the US and UK.
But this isn’t a normal world. Bond markets have become a tool of western policymakers, with low yields explicitly targeted by the Fed and Bank of England. If things got out of hand and yields shot up too quickly, driving up borrowing costs for households and companies, then the Fed would be expected to act. There is likely to be extreme nervousness among central bankers and politicians if the cost of capital for consumers and homeowners jumps.
…
Buy now, before Wall Street investment firms armed with low-interest Fed-funded loans snap up all of the remaining shadow inventory and turn it into rental housing!
“Buy now, before Wall Street investment firms armed with low-interest Fed-funded loans snap up all of the remaining shadow inventory and turn it into rental housing!”
If they make the same mistakes they made with mortgages, it could work out well for renters:
1. Securitize leases.
2. Robo sign leases.
3. Tenant doesn’t pay.
4. Tenant doesn’t get chucked out because they can’t decide who the real landlord is.
5. Renters get to stay in homes just as long as the other deadbeats.
Beware of economists bearing models, especially if you are the presumptive Republican nominee for president.
Several recent economic forecasters peered into their crystal balls to predict President Obama will win the coming presidential election. The latest comes from two economics at Yahoo Labs, Patrick Hummel and David Rothschild, who told IEEE Spectrum that the Hawaii-born son-of-a-Kenyan will be reelected with 303 electoral votes, racking up wins in 26 states including Ohio and Pennsylvania.
But the deal is not sealed yet, not by a long shot, Rothschild warns. “There are at least three states here, Virginia, Ohio, and New Hampshire, which are within just a few percentage points of flipping over from one candidate to the other,” he said. If they flip, so does the election.
The model looks at a number of variables: presidential approval ratings (Obama’s are trending up), specific economic indicators like unemployment (which is trending down), and state-by-state ideological indicators, such as which party holds the lower house in the state legislature (which has been trending toward Republicans).
But those are not the most important factors in the model. “There is a huge incumbency advantage, and that is coming from a lot of different factors including money, name recognition, and of course it is an indication of past election victories,” Rothschild said.
Of course, if you don’t like econometric models, you can always go with single-factor theorists. Robert Prechter, founder of Elliot Wave International, last month published a study that correlated stock market performance with U.S. presidential election outcomes.
He found stock market performance over the past year and past three years was a far more powerful predictor of re-election outcomes than Main Street-oriented economic variables as unemployment, inflation and economic growth. Why? The stock market is a fairly accurate predictor of the nation’s mood, and when people are feeling good (that is, stocks are up), they vote for the incumbent.
Based on the stock market’s performance so far this year and in the three years since its bottom (It has nearly doubled), President Obama wins in a landslide.
…
This time reminds me of 1984 and the Reagan-Mondale election. In much of the US, the economy was improving. (Sure wasn’t where I was living, but that’s another story.)
If the Democrats had put up a stronger candidate who could hammer Reagan on the hard times that the so-called Rust Belt was still experiencing, I think Reagan would have been a one-termer. But the Democrats gave him a tremendous gift named Walter Mondale.
ft dot com
March 21, 2012 3:22 pm
China property fears put bond revival at risk
By Robert Cookson in Hong Kong
The return of Chinese property developers to the international bond markets in recent weeks highlights a surge in investor appetite for the sector even as the mainland housing market continues to deteriorate.
Having been effectively locked out of the bond markets during the second half of 2011, Agile Property, KWG Property and Shui On Land have issued a total of $1.7bn of bonds this year and more of their peers are expected to follow suit.
The rebound in sentiment towards the debt-laden developers that have fuelled China’s housing construction boom has been “extraordinary”, says Guy Stear, credit strategist at Société Générale.
To see the extent of the rally, consider Country Garden’s $900m of bonds due 2018, which are among the most liquid in the sector. Just six months ago, as global risk aversion and worries about a mainland property crash reached a high, the bonds were trading at only 55 cents on the dollar and yielding more than 20 per cent, a level that implied significant risk of default. On Wednesday, having rallied to within a whisker of their par value, the bonds yielded 11 per cent.
Yet the revival is fast running out of steam, according to market participants.
“We are at a tipping point here,” says Owen Gallimore, credit strategist at ANZ. ”The Chinese property fundamentals have continued to deteriorate and bond valuations look ripe for a correction.”
…
Colleague stops paying, dude from bank shows up a month later, knocks on door, says he’s taking care of house for bank, 3 months go by and dude offers $80k short sale and promises to kick back $5k after closing…
I found some interesting information (Real Estate Market: Calgary vs Toronto) about the current housing market development in Toronto and Calgary. What is really interesting from my point of view is the fact that the home sales are still rising.
I´m surprised who is so crazy to buy home in Toronto in current situation, when the houses are overpriced for 25% at least. Prospects of Calgary are much brighter from my point of view.
The median wage is still a paltry 31K. And it’s not like there’s a land shortage out there.
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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-21 13:59:10
Is it true you can see Kansas on a clear day?
Comment by b-hamster
2012-03-21 14:46:25
I think this boom cycle happened more abruptly than anticipated and the market was caught flat-footed. But I agree: $31k median salary + $425k avg home price = Bubble
Just for comparison, the media home price in Denver is 184K, less than half the price of a house in tundraland Calgary. The Loonie and the USD are currently near parity, so the price is an apples to apples comparison.
Unbelievable. So what do young Canucks who can’t afford a house do? Move to the states?
More and more, indebted homeowners are deciding to walk away from their mortgages, instead of facing forced foreclosure. Who will pay the discarded debt?
By Douglas French, Guest blogger / January 17, 2012
More and more underwater borrowers are deciding it’s time to walk from their mortgage. “Guilt and morality are one side, and objective financial analysis are on the other side,” 68-year old David Martin told msnbc. “They’re coming to two opposite conclusions. I wonder how many other people are struggling with the same question.”
Three out of 10 foreclosures in 2010 were of the strategic variety, an increase from 22% in 2009. The Mortgage Bankers Association believes strategic defaults are spreading like a virus. In a study entitled “Strategic Default in the Context of a Social Network: An Epidemiological Approach,” conducted by Michael J. Seiler of Old Dominion University, Andrew J. Collins of the Virginia Modeling, Analysis and Simulation Center and Nina H. Fefferman of Rutgers University and sponsored by MBA’s Research Institute for Housing America (RIHA) the authors found “One default does little to negatively impact the price of surrounding homes. However, as more and more mortgages in the neighborhood go into default, the negative impact is felt at an increasing rate. Much the same way as a disease spreads throughout a population, so, too, do decisions to ‘strategically’ default.”
…
Foreclosures are tough: Homeowners lose their houses and ruin their credit, while banks get stuck with vacant, deteriorating real estate for months before selling it at a considerable loss. Increasingly, banks are finding another way: the short sale. Instead of waiting to foreclose, a bank preemptively sells a home at a deep discount and closes out the underwater mortgage, even if the house sells for less than the value of the mortgage. The result: Homeowners shed their mortgage debt, and banks unload properties more quickly and inexpensively. Here are the Top 10 metropolitan areas with the biggest average discounts on these pre-foreclosure homes, according to online foreclosure marketplace RealtyTrac. Can you guess which city is No. 1?
- Schuyler Velasco, Correspondent
Homes fill the hillside in San Francisco in this file photo. Once one of the most robust housing markets in the country, San Franicisco is now one of the top markets for deeply discounted short sale homes. (Marcio Jose Sanchez/AP/File)
1. San Francisco-Oakland-Freemont, Calif. (41.0 percent)
Discounts for short sale homes don’t come any bigger than this in major metropolitan areas: more than 40 percent in San Francisco. Such sales surged 50 percent in the San Francisco metropolitan area from the fourth quarter of 2010: Nearly 3,000 homes in pre-foreclosure were sold in 2011’s fourth quarter, at an average price of $330,733. Short sales made up 19.2 percent of all home sales. The city is not among the top markets for deeply discounted foreclosure homes, indicating that lenders are taking measures to help homeowners avoid foreclosure.
…
…
Eric Fehrnstrom, Romney’s senior campaign adviser, was asked in a CNN interview Wednesday morning whether the former Massachusetts governor had been forced to adopt conservative positions in the rugged race that could hurt his standing with moderates in November’s general election.
“I think you hit a reset button for the fall campaign. Everything changes,” Fehrnstrom responded. “It’s almost like an Etch A Sketch. You can kind of shake it up, and we start all over again.”
…
THE United States is the great land of second chances. Change your name. Change your location. Change your life. If you’re a politician, change your ideas, and in so doing, change your prospects. It’s a deep-rooted American tradition that the Mitt Romney campaign has now given a colorful symbol.
It was widely reported that Wednesday on CNN, Eric Fehrnstrom, a senior adviser to Mr. Romney, predicted a fresh start for his boss’s campaign after victory in the Illinois primary. “Everything changes,” Mr. Fehrnstrom said. “It’s almost like an Etch A Sketch. You can kind of shake it up and restart all over again.
…
“After several years on the market, B. Thomas Golisano’s home at 1648 Malone Road in Victor sold for $1.35 million to Todd Gravino of Westchester County, a suburb of New York City.
“It’s the deal of the century,” said Michael Haymes, the listing agent and partner at ReMax Realty Group in Pittsford, who says the Paychex founder invested more than $6 million in the 20,000-square-foot home that was never occupied.”
Thanks for the D&C article. I used to look over the neighbor’s copy over coffee early in the morning after walking the dog, and bringing it in to her. She didn’t mind, saved her the trip outdoors, quite the perk during the winter if you’re 70ish.
what the heck is it with all these people being found dead in the rivers up there? I spent years in Rochester with a canoe and kayak on the Genessee, with not a single body reported during that whole time.
What is going on? Something has changed, and drastically!
There’s something that looks like that near Marcellus. It’s surrounded by 1500-2000 sq footers that are in a wide array of repair. It looks totally ridiculous due to the fact that everything that surrounds them is from a completely different socio-economic existence but they’ve got their mountaintop and they’re happy. Why is zoning only about controlling the small fry?
Bill and Blue, You guys are wrong. Socrates, Hobbes, John Locke and Jean-Jacques Rousseau?
“Social contract theory, nearly as old as philosophy itself, is the view that persons’ moral and/or political obligations are dependent upon a contract or agreement among them to form the society in which they live. Socrates uses something quite like a social contract argument to explain to Crito why he must remain in prison and accept the death penalty. However, social contract theory is rightly associated with modern moral and political theory and is given its first full exposition and defense by Thomas Hobbes. After Hobbes, John Locke and Jean-Jacques Rousseau are the best known proponents of this enormously influential theory, which has been one of the most dominant theories within moral and political theory throughout the history of the modern West.”
When it comes to the preamble of the U.S. Constitution there is no social or legal contract–per U.S. Superme Court.
Dude,
The “Social Contract” is an concept in and of political history and philosophy. It’s not a notarized piece of paper drawn up by lawyers. You miss the point.
A construction worker stands on scaffolding at a site overlooking the People’s Liberation Monument in Chongqing, China.
HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — China may be succeeding in its two-year effort to cool the housing market without crashing it, as some experts see trends of an ongoing consolidation in house prices, but not a U.S.-style subprime accident.
The weakening market, which saw average nationwide prices fall for a fifth straight month in February, is in line with the gradual softening sought by Beijing when it initiated a tightening of residential property restrictions in early 2010, analysts say.
“I don’t see it bursting — that’s the wrong way to describe it,” said CB Richard Ellis’s executive director of Asian residential property, Anton Eilers.
Beijing-based Eilers views the market as drawing support from pent up demand, as home purchases have remained below the long-run average for transactions for approximately the last two years.
Nevertheless, Eilers describes the current downward pressure on prices as “very real,” saying that on a recent visit to a residential development in the southern Chinese city of Guangzhou, prices on new units had been cut 37% from levels last summer.
Projects in outlying areas of other major cities have also come under pressure, with developers reducing prices by 20% to 30% in some instances, while other projects offered discounts for buyers of multiple units, he said.
Eilers believes prices are likely to retreat another 10% on average before buyers are enticed to re-enter the market.
…
It looks like China’s manufacturing economy is slumping at exactly the same time their housing market is dropping like a rock. It’s a perfect storm, folks!
HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — China manufacturing activity fell sharply in March as the rate of booking new orders fell to a four-month low at factories, leading to weaker generation of jobs, according to an initial reading of findings in an HSBC survey released Thursday. The so-called “flash” manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for March printed at 48.1, down from a final reading of 49.6 in February, HSBC said. “Weakening domestic demand continued to weigh on growth, as indicated by a slowdown in new orders, which came in at a four-month low,” said Hongbin Qu, chief economist for China at HSBC. “More worryingly, employment recorded a new low since March 2009, suggesting slowing manufacturing production was hindering enterprises’ hiring desire.” The data call for further easing steps from Beijing, Qu said. The flash PMI is based on 85% to 90% of the total responses during a given month, and is an early indicator of business conditions facing Chinese manufacturers.
Sounds like Wall Street’s great vampire squids have former students right where they want them, as a debt-strapped student is more likely to fall behind on ginormous mortgage payments and eventually get foreclosed, after forking over high monthly payments based on a low down payment mortgage loan. Megabank, Inc keeps all the payments that were ever made plus the house. Foreclosed former students get keep their student loan debt until the sooner of full repayment or death.
The amount Americans owe on student loans is far higher than earlier estimates and could lead some consumers to postpone buying homes, potentially slowing the housing recovery, U.S. officials said Wednesday.
Total student debt outstanding appears to have surpassed $1 trillion late last year, said officials at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, a federal agency created in the wake of the financial crisis. That would be roughly 16% higher than an estimate earlier this year by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
The new figure—released Wednesday at a banking conference in Austin, Texas—is a preliminary finding from a study of student debt that the bureau plans to release this summer. Bureau officials said the estimate is based on a survey of private lenders, as opposed to other estimates that rely on a sampling of consumer credit reports.
CFPB officials say student debt is rising for several reasons, including a surge in Americans going to college in recent years to escape the weak labor market. Also, tuition increases—which many colleges say are needed to offset big cuts in state funding—have many students taking out bigger loans.
In addition, the interest costs on older loans are climbing as borrowers fall behind on payments, reflecting mounting financial strains, bureau officials said. New York Fed data show that as many as one in four student borrowers who have begun repaying their education debts are behind on payments.
Economists say college is an increasingly good investment because of the widening pay gap between jobs that require a degree and those that don’t. Ultimately, the educational degrees and added skills are meant to help workers earn higher incomes that, in time, will more than offset the student debt.
But as more people go to college and assume bigger loans for education, they may take longer than previous generations to hit key milestones such as buying a house or getting married, U.S. officials and economists say. It could take longer for heavily indebted graduates to save money for a down payment on a home, or it could be harder for them to qualify for mortgages.
Rohit Chopra, student-loan ombudsman for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, said student debt could ultimately slow the recovery of the housing market. “First-time home-buyers are a substantial part of the housing market,” Mr. Chopra said in a speech at the banking conference in Austin. “Instead of saving for a down payment, these borrowers are sending big payments every month.”
…
You could argue that the sheriff isn’t going to appear at the door to take back their education. Their is no collateral against a student loan, only their income potential.
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From time to time, I have read through the forums at loansafe.org. There were lots of postings about HAMP applications in the past, and now more focus seems to be on short sales and strategic defaults. Check out this Arizona lady’s story:
“I bought my house in AZ in April 2007. It was the first house I bought on my own following a divorce 3 years before. I negotiated pretty hard and prices had come down from the peak of the bubble. I felt pretty good about it and intended to live there at least 5 years. Of course life intervened 2 years later in the form of a great guy that I fell in love with. We decided to buy a house and move in together. By that time we were both upside down on our mortgages – his much more than mine. We found the house we wanted – a great deal on a short sale. I could afford it on my own, so he stopped paying on his house and put it up for a short sale. After about 6 months, we closed on the new house, fixed it up and moved in. I put my house up for rent and rented it in Mar 2010. This was so at least one of us still would have decent credit (my score is about 860). Since I have a demanding full time job, I used a property management company. After 3 prospective buyers reneged, my guy finally let his house go into foreclosure (more than a year after he stopped paying on it).
Fast forward to now. The value of my rental has taken another nosedive. I’ve been losing about $400 / month for the last 15 months. I’m over $100 underwater. I’m 5 years or less from retirement. I’ve decided to walk away.”
OK, here is a summary:
- Female FB Bought AZ house (2007)
-Post-divorce new true love = 2 FBs with 2 underwater mortgages = Must therefore purchase a 3rd house, someone else’s short sale (c. 2009)
-Male FB original house goes to foreclosure. Female FB rents out original house at a loss, now (July 2011, actually) is “walking away.”
-How weak-minded are people whose solution to being majorly underwater on two houses is to buy a third house (a short sale from yet another FB, no less) ?
-What are the odds of a Trustee Sale on the love nest house in 2013? It is a good thing that we have provided resources to help people like these who “played by the rules.” I really hope that she gets a “cash incentive” to do a short sale instead (see update below). She really, really deserves some consideration.
From March, 2012: “Another update. When the bank did the new ‘independent’ valuation on the house it went up!! Frome $93K in Nov. to $105K. Fortunately, the buyer was preapproved for over that and agreed to the new price. Expecting approval and postponement of trustee sale from Seterus on Monday.
My REA had told me that inventory was way down and houses are really moving. A couple of coworkers who recently relocated from out of state confirm they’re finding it hard to buy - in one case they made offers on 5 different houses and finally the current one looks like it will go through (a SS), hopefully by April.
Also heard that some banks are offering cash incentives to sellers to do SS - can anyone confirm?”
http://www.loansafe.org/forum/deed-lieu-foreclosure-do-you-need-help-walk-away/41968-yaaw-yet-another-arizona-walker.html
I thought the highest FICO score was 850.
Does the knob on this lady’s amplifier go to 11?
“…and this, this goes to 11, see?”
Its one higher than ten.
I thought the highest FICO score was 850.
They likely meant 760.
FICO scores range from 300 to 850, where 850 is considered to be the best score achievable. According to myFICO.com, a division of the Fair Issac Corporation
Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/07/FICO-score.asp#ixzz1plKDWIfU
She could be using a “Vantage” score from one of the big 3 credit reporting agencies. The Vantage score goes up to 960 but few lenders use it.
“How weak-minded are people whose solution to being majorly underwater on two houses is to buy a third house (a short sale from yet another FB, no less) ?”
you do realize that it is you…us…we…that are on the hook for the banks losses don’t you?
actually its our kids and grandkids that are on the hook. taxation without representation through deficit spending…a beautiful thing.
moral hazard is a bitch.
“I bought my house in AZ in April 2007.”
After that the stories are all sound the same. Only the names and the states are changed to protect the innocent.
Here I`ll give one a try with some of the sad stories I have read.
I bought my house in Fl. in April 2007. I negotiated pretty hard and prices had come down from the peak of the bubble. I felt pretty good about it and intended to live there at least 5 years. But then my husbands business went under after he chopped off his toes while working in the yard. We had taken out a $250k second mortgage to buy equipment for his home inspection company and since he was the only empolyee we didn`t have any money coming in. Our dog got cancer and the medical bills were astronomical and since I am a Realtor my income has dropped from $350k a year to $0 due to the downturn in housing. I have looked for another job but the salary I am used to getting seems to be a problem where ever I apply for one. We have not been able to pay our mortgage in 4 years, we called the bank to try and get a workout but they keep losing the paperwork. We are now $500k underwater and we have been Robo signed! Someone must pay for what has been done to us and $2,000 for a house and a family is an insult!
“I felt pretty good about it and intended to live there at least 5 years. Of course life intervened 2 years later in the form of a great guy that I fell in love with. We decided to buy a house and move in together. By that time we were both upside down on our mortgages – his much more than mine.”
Sounds like a match made in subprime mortgage hell.
-How weak-minded are people whose solution to being majorly underwater on two houses is to buy a third house (a short sale from yet another FB, no less) ?
What this shows me is that there has been a major shift in morality and responsibility and legality in the US of A. These people, like so many others, don’t consider a DEBT a “debt”. It’s only a “debt” if you stand to gain in the process of making payments. If not, then default, and find another property that may possibly NET you a gain. Then they consider it a ‘debt’.
I understand the psyche of the American ‘homebuyer’ now. If you stand to “gain”, hold firm to your CONTRACT and demand the bank stand by its commitments. If you might lose……….walk away. The contract didn’t mean anything. MORTGAGE: A DEATH Pledge.
You agree to pay until death do you part, or the debt is settled.
A huge shift in the American concept of Common Law.
“It’s only a “debt” if you stand to gain in the process of making payments.”
Heads I Win, Tails you Lose.
Okay since I failed to get the lock on the “heads” phrase, I’ll add this instead.
This scenario is the exact result of mispriced risk. The banks never priced the risk of default into the loans with the expectation that many loans would default. A. Greenspan got this right, he mentioned that times of low risk premiums were often catalysts for problems. (Whether he pumped the low risk premiums is a different discussion.)
Another problem now is that the banks still, to my knowledge, are not pricing risk accordingly, because Fannie and Freddie are buying loans. If banks were forced to eat the losses of bad loans (instead of taxpayers), and even if investors ate the losses, the shell game would be over very quickly. We would quickly see a return to solid underwriting with substantial downpayments, an outcome that seems to be undesired by (too) many.
Fannie and Freddie are bankrupt. They don’t have any money to write loans. Enter the FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM.
Kill the FED. End the shenanigans of endless bubbles and busts.
No more fractional reserve swindling.
Then, yes, this crap would not happen to the extent that is has, and, when it starts to happen, it will choke itself off very quickly without the “help” of the Banksters.
“Fannie and Freddie are buying loans”
and FHA
The TBTF banks employ the same philosophy. Big profits equal huge bonuses, big losses equal extortion on taxpayer so huge bonuses can still be paid. “Pay us what we ask for or you will all face armageddon.”
In summary,
Heads I win, tails you lose.
Just about sums up the current status.
I don’t know about you all, but I think there are few things that enhance a blossoming mid-life romance more than unexpected debt. If they’re lucky, one (or both) of them will get a 1099-c or maybe he owes some back child support! It’s so dreamy… Ooh! Is that the strains of Elton John I hear? “…Can you feel the love tonight…” I can feel it. Can you feel it?
If they’re lucky, one (or both) of them will get a 1099-c
Except congress suspended the tax on forgiven debt. Anyone know when that expires? (does it?)
Also, does anyone know if states with state income taxes are taxing the forgiven debt as income? Or have states like CA taken the fed’s lead?
At this time, it goes through 2012 but you have to prove to the IRS that you lost your home out of hardship. I am not sure within these circumstances, since they went out and purchased another home, if they qualify for a hardship according to IRS criteria.
I don’t know about you all, but I think there are few things that enhance a blossoming mid-life romance more than unexpected debt.
Actually, debt is a real turn-off to this single gal. As in, fellas, if you’re deeply in debt, don’t expect Slim to be very interested.
I learned this through hard experience. I once dated a guy who was $15k in debt and also had problems with smoking, drinking, and weight. Let’s just say that a good bit of our time together was spent dealing with the fallout from his problems.
Yeah, I know. What was I thinking? Answer: I wasn’t thinking.
I once dated a guy who was $15k in debt and also had problems with smoking, drinking, and weight.
Could he cook?
Could he cook?
Actually, he was a pretty decent cook. Another thing I remember about meals at his house was the lack of dessert. He just wasn’t into that.
I guess that on a subconscious level, he realized that his weight was a problem. So, no desserts for anyone at his table.
One of my friends dated a guy who was in personal debt and also underewater on a mortgage. She not only didn’t steer clear of him, she loaned him another $5K to help him over the rough spot. No surprise he didn’t intend to pay her back.
An honest man pays what he owes.
AZslim: I was being COMPLETELY SARCASTIC. I agree with you that a man who is not in control of his finances is not a good catch AT ALL. I too speak from experience. Without getting into the gory details, I’ll just say, had I known how f-ed up my husband’s finances were when I met him, I would have RUN FOR THE HILLS. Fortunately, I am extremely good with money and, in combination with his salary increases, etc…, things have vastly improved. Honestly, when I think about what we went through, I still want to strangle him.
What this shows me is that there has been a major shift in morality and responsibility and legality in the US of A
Exactly, and it’s an unfortunate but understandable evolution of the public’s behavior brought about by external factors.
The external factors include corrupt political and financial systems and wars on savers and the middle-class.
If you expect the morals and responsibility of Americans to remain the same in the face of the above, you are dreaming. That’s not how people and societies react to such top-down shaftings.
“The external factors include corrupt political and financial systems and wars on savers and the middle-class.”
+ [War$-of-choice, $adly] :-/
+1 Hwy….
There will ALWAYS be plenty of people standing in line, eager to borrow their way to the poor house. What made the bubble was the banks standing in line to lend somebody else’s money to them.
But you communists want OPM to pay for the losses of the little guy. Make up your mind and be a real commie Rio.
Make up your mind and be a real commie Rio.
Bill, I think you suffer from “math only” education and vocation. (Ayn Rand don’t help either) You don’t do a good job with shades of grey, nuance and partial outcomes.
All or nothing in life and societies is not where it’s at or ever will be.
Bila,
Do you actually know what “communist” means, or are you just spouting someone else’s rhetoric again?
What this shows me is that there has been a major shift in morality and responsibility and legality in the US of A.
I agree that mortgage risk is not priced appropriately and the blame for that is squarely on the Fed Reserve and FedGov. Having said that, I don’t blame any company or individual who takes advantage of this mis-pricing of risk.
In terms of default, morality and responsibility has nothing to do with it… whether it is a corporation defaulting on a debt or an individual defaulting on a mortgage. People (and corporations) do what is in their best interest financially. To think otherwise is naive.
Having said that, I don’t blame any company or individual who takes advantage of this mis-pricing of risk.
I hear what you’re saying, and am inclined to agree to a point. However, if one knows what is happening in the system - that if you walk away from the debt, it’s the *taxpayers* who are ultimately on the hook rather than the other party in the contract…I think that changes things. Then, one who walks away is knowingly taking advantage of/screwing the small percentage of US taxpayers who are actually “givers” rather than “takers” in our system.
In my eyes, that’s immoral, regardless of what the contract says.
Sounds like most of the women I meet lately.
That adults readily walk away from spouses when those spouses didn’t contribute to their sense of self and achievement, all other bets are off. Including housing.
It’s all about the sense of entitlement, Dio.
That today’s most rapidly divorcing couples are aged 50+ is no surprise. The ME generation has felt themselves entitled their entire lives.
What’s going on in housing is symptomatic. The mindset that created it won’t die for another 15 years, once Boomers start dying off in large numbers.
The mindset that created it won’t die for another 15 years, once Boomers start dying off in large numbers.
This is not solely a Boomer mindset. This is a mindset developed by the American people because our social contract has been broken. Broken. Some of you can’t make the connection? Why? It is easy to make.
You all act so surprised that regular Americans are “breaking” contracts when our entire economic social contract has been broken? And it’s the boomer’s fault? Come on. This is a much bigger deal than boomer’s selfishness. And what causes most divorces? Money problems. And what causes most money problems? Lack of decent income. 1/2 of Americans make less than $500 a week. When you are over 50 and laid off, well good luck because you’re hosed. Why? Because the social contract has been broken. I will not insult huge swaths of my fellow Americans because they are looking out for themselves more than in the past and they are “breaking contracts”.
Why? Because the entire economic social contract has been broken with the American middle-class and working poor which nowadays are pretty much the same.
Unfortunately, the “social contract” that you keep saying was broken never existed. It was imagined. There is noone on the other side of it.
Unfortunately, the “social contract” that you keep saying was broken never existed. It was imagined.
Fortunately you are wrong. You are imagining how successful economies and societies NEVER worked. You are repeating programming.
the “social contract”…was imagined.
Imagine this:
We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.
The above words reflect a part of, the need for, and our founding father’s desire to establish a social contract between a government and its PEOPLE.
And you imagine it never existed.
The classic social contract invoked in the Constitution is not the “economic social contract” that you alluded to above. It is quite a leap. We’d agree on the pieces of it mostly, but not on the paint job.
Blue sky you are exactly right. There is only an imagined social contract, dreamed up only by the big government types and commies such as Rio.
Commie Rio, what is the difference between “promote” and “provide?” you big government types, including slob, never answer that question. I know why.
The classic social contract invoked in the Constitution is not the “economic social contract” that you alluded to above. It is quite a leap.
The Social Contract economically became more important as economics became more important. We are not all farmers anymore. Can’t you guys make the leap that society made? You think we are still 95% farmers as we were when USA made its Constitution ?
Come on and think for yourselves and extrapolate our history and economic trends. Gosh.
commies such as Rio.
Commies? Man….Bill. You sound like a really ignorant man sometimes. So one dimensional. So trite and so wrong.
Commie Rio, what is the difference between “promote” and “provide?”
You tell me fool.
Um, about 200 years of linguistic interpretation?
How about this, bila? We provide general welfare to promote the general welfare. As in, if we don’t, there are a whole lot of people with knives and hatchets out there who will ensure that you do.
Sorry, Rio but the preamble to the U.S. Constitution has no and never has any force of law or contract. So has ruled the U.S. Superme Court over the years.
“if we don’t, there are a whole lot of people with knives and hatchets”
That’s not the kind of social contract my therapist would encourage.
Rio,
An example of the preamble not being an enforceable social contract…
“Courts will not interpret the Preamble to give the government powers that are not articulated elsewhere in the Constitution. United States v. Kinnebrew Motor Co.[21] is an example of this. In that case, the defendants were a car manufacturer and dealership indicted for a criminal violation of the National Industrial Recovery Act. The Congress passed the statute in order to cope with the Great Depression, and one of its provisions purported to give to the President authority to fix “the prices at which new cars may be sold
Sorry, Rio but the preamble to the U.S. Constitution has no and never has any force of law or contract. So has ruled the U.S. Superme Court over the years.
You miss the point LasVegasDude. The Preamble having no force of law is irrelevant to the fact that the Preamble is stating clearly that the purpose of the following Constitution is to create a political and social contract between Americans and the American government.
“We the People of the United States, IN ORDER TO…”
Nice try, Poser.
Boomers got screwed starting with the Viet Nam draft, and have sweeping up the “greatest” generation’s crap ever since. Soon it will be your kids’ turn to whine about what a mess YOU’ve left them.
Thanks for playing.
Somehow, I don’t think anyone under boomer age will appreciate what you just said. They didn’t live it, and it doesn’t fit their comfy model.
Each time I read these stories I think these are the bozos that are outbidding us on houses and why prices won’t fall. I don’t know whether to be thankful they’ve stopped us or po’ed they’re in the way of this thing correcting.
Outbidding? Prices not falling? How can that be? The middle class is just the working poor now, with no money for a down payment. Or so it seems in Rio’s head.
Outbidding? Prices not falling? How can that be? The middle class is just the working poor now, with no money for a down payment. Or so it seems in Rio’s head.
What part of a manipulated housing market meeting declining middle-class wages don’t you get Bill? Hasn’t that been a major theme of this blog and the housing market for years? Did you forget it just because I mentioned it or are you bad at memory, math, history and American macro-economic trends?
Such hostility. And I was counting on this being my soft place to fall… Sniffle.
And I was counting on this being my soft place to fall…
Sorry. Not with the Bills. They are not soft and that’s why some are not with them.
It’s funny. I remember bck when Ben first posted on this blog about the phenomenon of ‘jingle mail’. This is before we reached the peak of the bubble. I believe he or someone else was saying that during the 90s bust, many people were buying a cheaper home, and then strategically defaulting on their old one.
This would be an example of that strategy.
“This would be an example of that $trategy.”
“Financial Innovation$” it’s in the DNA
I figured that this story would be appreciated. Well, not appreciated, but be discussion-worthy.
For the 1099-C questions, later in her postings she mentions discussing that matter with a CPA (free consultation, of course, she should not be ever expected to pay for stuff). I guess that the forgiveness act does not apply b/c the current short sale was a converted rental. I am guessing that she probably falls under the protection of the insolvency clause for debt-forgiveness income but I am not sure. She does not seem like the buy a used car for cash and keep it for a decade type.
“you do realize that it is you…us…we…that are on the hook for the banks losses don’t you?”
Yep, but I can enjoy making fun of them, right? That’s tax-free.
“After that the stories are all sound the same. Only the names and the states are changed to protect the innocent.”
Sure, what seemed unique on this one was the combination of multiple trustee sales and short sales, both as a buyer and short-seller. Not really unique, but not the multi-purchase investment or the one idiotic owner-occupant purchase. Just bad house purchase after bad house purchase and then the fairy-tale romance with another FB. She seems determined to personally knife-catch at every stage of the bubble collapse. I wonder how long until she is filling out an FHA loan app for the next one. Supposedly, a 3-year wait post-short sale. But her male counterpart is almost 3 years post-foreclosure, so maybe it’s his turn.
“It’s only a “debt” if you stand to gain in the process of making payments.”
Yeah, I like that they only keep one of the first two loans current for FICO purposes, but then decide to walk when there is a further drop in value.
“I negotiated pretty hard and prices had come down from the peak of the bubble.”
Example of buyer “negotiating pretty hard”:
Buyer: “I think the price is too high.”
Seller: “Well, I am not just going to give it away.”
Buyer: “OK, I’ll buy it.”
Realtors Are Liars®
But rents in Denver have all gone up 30% and every building in the metro area is fully rented!
That’s right….. “you can’t build it for that price!”
Dude, please see my reply to your comments on my post two days ago. I didn’t immediately respond because I’m not on my computer 24/7. Also check out this link http://www.denverpost.com/breakingnews/ci_20180274/vacancies-scarce-rental-houses-metro-area-rents-rise.
The building with the 30% rent rise was very well kept, had good sized rooms that were not odd shapes and was in a great location. Considering the other buildings I had looked at, it could command a 30% rise because it was simply in much better shape. The area I needed to be in included Cherry Creek and was close to downtown, and rents seemed to be higher than other areas…
And no, I’m not a realtor, and never have been. I’m someone who is holding off buying a house because I don’t think prices have come low enough.
For some reasons my replies don’t seem to be posting to your comments today. Please see http: http://www.denverpost. com/breakingnews /ci_20180274/vacancies-scarce-rental-houses-metro-area-rents-rise and my comments to your post from two days ago.
The building where the realtor mentioned a 30% rent rise was well kept up and in a good location near Cherry Creek and Washington Park, and had rooms you could actually live in and position furniture in, as compared to many of the corporate housing developments. She did say the rents and the lease terms were now governed by a computer program. She had worked as rental manager in the building for six years.
No, I’m not a realtor, just someone who’s not buying a house now because I don’t think prices have come down enough. In the area I’m looking in a large number of units came on the market last fall; now there are very few. I’m waiting for another surge of units in the fall.
This brings back fond memories of 2005:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9QpD64GUoXw&feature=player_embedded
“I guess I don’t buy your premise. It’s a pretty unlikely scenario. We’ve never had a decline in house prices on a nationwide basis before…”
So, were you saying that it was about time, then?
Past performance does not indicate future results.
“I’m hopefu-, I’m confident, in fact, that the bank regulators will pay close attention to the kinds of loans that are being made, making sure that underwriting is being done right. I I, I do think this is a localized problem, and not something that is going to affect the national economy.”
If ever there was an acceptable time to type LOL on an internet forum, it is now.
This video is gold.
I get a good laugh everytime I watch it and wonder why he still has a job.
It’s a good thing the Australians are tuning in to this sad tale, as many similar stories await their homeowners over the coming decades, once their bubble meets a similar demise to that of ours.
The bloody saga of Robert Bales: a morality story for a nation at war for a decade
Philip Sherwell
March 18, 2012
…
Sergeant Bales and his wife lived at Lake Tapps in Washington state, about a 20-minute drive east of his base at Lewis-McChord near Tacoma in the Pacific North West.
His home was a modest two-storey beige wood-frame house with a small front porch beneath tall fir and cedar evergreens in a neighbourhood popular with military families. But three days before the shooting in Afghanistan, Mrs Bales contacted Philip Rodocker, an estate agent, to say that she wanted to sell their house.
Home ‘behind in payments’
The property was listed for $229,000, about a $50,000 loss on the amount the family paid for it in 2005 and less than they owed the bank.
“She told me she was behind in payments,” Mr Rodocker said. “She said he was on his fourth tour and [the house] was getting kind of old and they needed to stabilise their finances.”
The house “looked like it had been really, really neglected”, he added.
…
Did anyone come up yet with the name of the Wall Street bank that was at war with Ms. Bales while her husband was deployed in Afghanistan?
Probably these folks:
http://www.quickenloans.com/blog/quicken-loans-nascar-sponsor
No, but there is a name attached to the old couple whom it appears he tried to swindle.
‘a morality story for a nation at war…’
Yeah, neatly packaged like a made for TV movie. That was fast, we must be getting good at this. It includes many of the themes from Sept 11th, 2001 until now. It’s got everything! Tragedy, glory, two (count em’, two) wars! And very timely, he’s a “99%er”, his lawyer says, who suffered at the hands of greedy housing bubble banksters. Damn, the ratings are gonna go through the roof on this one.
But there are a few troubling things here. Why do all the Afghans who were there (and lived to tell about it) insist there were a bunch of soldiers? And not via a glance through a window. They tell stories of a dozen men being in their house for a while.
How does one man with a gun walk around Afghan villages for three hours, all by himself in the wee hours, shooting as he goes, without someone popping a cap in his ass?
And there’s this:
‘RESIDENTS of an Afghan village near where an American soldier is alleged to have killed 16 civilians are convinced that the slayings were in retaliation for a roadside bomb attack on US forces in the same area a few days earlier.’
‘In accounts to The Associated Press and to Afghan government officials, the residents allege that US troops lined up men from the village of Mokhoyan against a wall after the bombing on either March 7 or 8, and told them they would pay a price for the attack.’
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/world/afghan-villagers-told-they-would-pay-for-bomb-days-ahead-of-massacre-of-16/story-e6frg6so-1226305886039
we just need to them…the hell…out of there.
Are suggesting that Cheney-$hrubs Legacy Policy #1: “$hazam-Islam-is-gonna-bee-Democratic-peoples-+-Nation-any-day-now! is a policy NOT WORTH pur$uing endle$$ly or until WE WIN!, is that what your suggesting?
meant to type “get them”
“Are suggesting that Cheney-$hrubs Legacy Policy #1: “$hazam-Islam-is-gonna-bee-Democratic-peoples-+-Nation-any-day-now! is a policy NOT WORTH pur$uing endle$$ly or until WE WIN!, is that what your suggesting?”
Afghanistan
Obama announced a plan – if elected – to deploy an additional 7,000 troops to Afghanistan. “As president, I would pursue a new strategy, and begin by providing at least two additional combat brigades to support our effort in Afghanistan” “We need more troops, more helicopters, better intelligence-gathering and more nonmilitary assistance to accomplish the mission there” “I would not hold our military, our resources and our foreign policy hostage to a misguided desire to maintain permanent bases in Iraq,” Obama said on July 14, 2008.[28]
After meeting with French President Nicolas Sarkozy in Paris on July 25 as part of a world tour, Obama said in the joint news conference with Sarkozy, “Afghanistan is a war that we have to win” because al-Qaeda and the radical Islamic Taliban movement cannot be allowed to establish new havens for planning “terrorist attacks . . . that could affect Paris or New York.” Obama declared that there were no effective options to this policy, saying, “So we don’t have a choice; we’ve got to finish the job.” Obama said the United States “needs to send two additional brigades at least” to Afghanistan and praised Sarkozy for his willingness to send more French troops to that country.[29]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barack_Obama_foreign_policy - 257k
Although “$hazam-Islam-is-gonna-bee-Democratic-peoples-+-Nation-any-day-now!” Was pretty good.
Are suggesting that Cheney-$hrubs Legacy Policy #1: “$hazam-Islam-is-gonna-bee-Democratic-peoples-+-Nation-any-day-now! is a policy NOT WORTH pur$uing endle$$ly or until WE WIN!, is that what your suggesting
That would be a feat beyond the abilities of any wizard or his champions.
It’s all good, iffin’ yous reads between the line$ & lie$
Afghanistan + [Iraq]
– if elected – [which Presidents should we hold to their campaign speeches?]
“As president, I would pursue a new strategy, [- Colin Powell & yellow cake lies ;-)]
better intelligence-gathering
to accomplish the mission [of finding Bin Laden ;-)]
“I would not hold our military, our resources and our foreign policy hostage to a misguided de$ire to maintain permanent base$ in Iraq,” [lil' Opie orders the Pentagon to speed up troop removal$ ;-)]
hehehheeeheehee
Are people on here still defending either side? They are all BOUGHT AND PAID FOR. If you haven’t gotten that by now, you may as well be watching Fox News.
The Afghan story is even buried on Aljazeera.
http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2012/03/201231862852921747.html
“They are all BOUGHT AND PAID FOR”
Now there’$ a $cotu$ Corporation$ Inc. “person$” vernacular iffin’ there ever was one!
“Boycott$!” eyes says!
+
After, “Audit$-the-FederalInc. Re$erve Corporation$ [Pending ... in the peoples Hou$e]
and before: “Audit-thee-Pentagon” [Coming $oon!, really!]
Lucy: “Hwy50 you’re such a BLOCKHEAD! $cram!, and take that stupid Beagle with you!”
Hwy50ina49Dodge: R YoU a PiRaTe? wHaT’$$$ Up wiTh tHe FunKy FoNT$$$$? I FeeL LiKe’n I’m in Ea$$$T Lo$$$$ AnGeLe$$$.
Hwy50ina49Dodge: R YoU a PiRaTe?
Hwy is just doing marketing for the JT Extension’s “ignore user” feature, showing how much your life would be better if you could just ignore him/her…
“I FeeL LiKe’n I’m in Ea$$$T Lo$$$$ AnGeLe$$$”.
Eyes agree wittbelle!
$$$$$$$$$$$ = Financial Graffiti’$
[Them boyz waits until dark, then $tart'$-a $praying that $hasta everywhere$, ... NYCity'$, Bo$ton, Chic-ago'$, $an Franci$co, Wa$hington DC'$, Dalla$, Truth-or-Con$equence$ NM ]
Yous cans $ee$ it on both $ide$ of the track$ as you rides the train into the city of “Lo$t Angel$” [laughing]
I quit believing when some of the facts surrounding the death of Pat Tillman turned out to be gross lies.
+1
+1 +1
Your points are well taken, and I admittedly have ignored most details of the story, due to my fascination with the underwater mortgage bit…
Think about it; one guy can walk around for hours in a war zone, shooting people in their houses, piling bodies up and burning them, and doesn’t get a scratch? Jeebus, we never needed a surge, this one GI subdued three villages single-handed, and then walked back to the base!
The claims the survivors are making became known immediately. Completely opposite of what the military said, also immediately. As a judge might say, ’someone is lying.’
Easy enough to sort out. Lets see if the bullets came from one rifle, the rifle this guy had on him. What about footprints? If there were a dozen pairs of boots, wouldn’t there be prints in the dirt or blood? Surely somebody took a few photos of the crime scenes, or pulled some bullets out of the walls.
Suppose, as your argument suggests, that more than one individual was involved. In that case, what is the advantage, and to whom, of pinning all of the blame on a rogue staff sergeant?
I’ll leave that to be decided once these easily settled matters are resolved. No sense in getting ahead of ourselves. I’m just curious why the rush to accept one story and not the other. Like I said, a simple test of the bullets would do. Why wouldn’t the military be anxious to prove their case?
Why wouldn’t the military be anxious to prove their case?
Because it might uncover a systemic problem, as opposed to a single bad apple?
Suppose, as your argument suggests, that more than one individual was involved. In that case, what is the advantage, and to whom, of pinning all of the blame on a rogue staff sergeant?
Because that’s the way we’ve always done it?
This is gets more interesting by the day.
I didn’t see ANY mention of these other details on MSM Internet.
Yet I finally got to see it on the Internet, here.
This is what I love about the Internet. You CAN NO LONGER suppress the truth.
My position is that the military should not be in Afghanistan in the first damned place! What are we doing there?
I didn’t agree with the Bush invasion plan, and I don’t agree with the Obama escalation plan.
America has no business invading countries that have not declared a WAR on the US or invaded the US or threatened the US. We are sending troops all around the world to incite violence among the natives and then something like this happens and everyone is looking for a story-line to make it look like they are the “good guys”.
Forget 911. No foreign country invaded the US. A bunch of muslims came here with VALID PASSPORTS. Lived here, without care or supervision, and created a plan to extract vengeance for the Iraq invasion 1, and the stationing of troops in muslim countries. The US State Dept. and all the other executive agencies were blind and stupid. We paid the price. We should never have allowed those scumbags into the United States, but we did.
Now, we are claiming this is “state sponsored” terrorism. I don’t know. But I do know, there have been NO Islamic tagged aircraft, boats, tanks, missiles, rockets, or any other device of a Sovereign foreign government that has been deployed against the US of A, except as a defense to our invading forces. And it’s not a fair fight by any means.
We are the oppressors, pretending to be the good guys, while we dictate to other supposedly free and sovereign people how we want them to live.
WE should get ALL of our troops out of these people’s back yards. Then, we wouldn’t have to have discussions like this, about how did what to who when and where.
I supported getting Bin Laden. Getting him was the perfect excuse to declare victory and go home. Unless he wasn’t really the reason we’re there…
Perhaps that is a valid mission of the US government, as he claimed to making his own private war on the US and that the actors of the 911 mission were under his supervision.
How did we do it? With a night-strike with a handful of Marines flying in by helicopter.
The US military has all kinds of sophisticated equipment for surveillance and spying. COVERT operations is the specialty of Navy Seals and special forces. That means LIMITED troops, and a lot of intelligence gathering.
You don’t send in ground troops, except to take over a country.
So, to answer your question, no, he’s NOT the reason we are over there.
We are there for 2 reasons. 1) MILITARY CONTRACTS which make some people very, VERY rich,(part of the ’stimulus’ we are supposedly getting) and 2) OIL shipments.
We are scared to death that someone there will work to shut off our supply of live-sustaining OIL…..the life-blood of American lifestyles. No oil. No malls. No shipments. No shopping. No economy. If the straight of hormuz was closed, we would collapse. We are holding on by a thread, already.
I agree, Carl. I can’t believe Obama didn’t use that as a way to get out, finally.
There are a lot of people that support the political process who get their “funds” from the “military-industrial complex”.
They don’t want us OUT. They want more equipment and supplies “CONSUMED”. Then they can sell the ‘government’, i.e. us, more stuff to Consume in an endless war.
There is LOTS of money in WAR. It’s just that only a few government contract companies get most of the money….
and they funnel it back in campaign contributions.
There are also LOTS of generals, admirals, colonels and other lifers in the US military that are expecting terrific pensions when they retire. Most of the lifers don’t go to war. They stay home and direct it. Or run a military base in some far off land, away from the real action. They send in the “RESERVES”.
Call up the reserves. Yea, let them go fight. We need to stay here and keep and eye on the Japanese and the Germans.
Exactly and where did they learn all this hate? in the Mosques the koran….that has always been the enemy….not the people or the military or the governments of the countries.
Forget 911. No foreign country invaded the US. A bunch of muslims came here with VALID PASSPORTS.
The reason is rare earths in afgahnni….and of course we need heroin to supply our addicts…..the taliban burned all the poppy field when they were in power
“This is what I love about the Internet. You CAN NO LONGER suppress the truth.”
It’s not had hardly any such effect$ on these fella$:
Federal ReserveInc. $cotu$ “person”:
Megabank$ Inc. loan$ to one another:
.25%
“America has no busine$$ …”
Can you find the $ecret me$$age$ contained in your $tatement?
[Wait, Ike has a comment dating back to 1957]:
“My fellow American’s …”
How do you propose we keep out the “scumbags” as you put it? We could refuse to let all foreigners into the country. We could refuse entry to all people from a particular list of countries. We could investigate anyone who wants to come here from any country or from a particular list of countries. We could provide government escorts to foreigners who visit here to make sure they don’t do anything.
All have their issues and all are going to be expensive. I wonder which you choose?
I wonder which you choose ??
Many, many countries have none of the concerns regarding terror that we do…
So, what is it they do that we don’t ??
Better yet, What is it the “we” do that “they” don’t ??
In both of those questions lay the answers….
“Think about it; one guy can walk around for hours…”
Think about it; one guy walks up to the MPs and says he is in a bad spot and might have done some crazy sht but cannot remember. Triage.
Why do I believe there will be another “mortgage crisis” in the next couple of decades, rather than never again? Just think of how many different ways Megabank, Inc was able to profit from it so far…
Step 1: Play the middle man between investors and subprime borrowers to facilitate really sh!tty mortgage lending.
Step 2: Get bailed out when the music stopped after accidentally ending up with too many sh!tty mortgage assets on the balance sheet.
Step 3: Use robo-signers to kick those who defaulted on their sh!tty subprime loans to the curb.
Step 4: Use low-interest bailout loans as the proceeds for snapping up foreclosure-to-rental housing at fire sale prices.
Step 5: Rent out foreclosure-to-rental housing to ex-members of the Ownereship Society who got foreclosed.
Where was the downside for Megabank, Inc at any stage of the “crisis”?
Ben says the FED failed to print enough during depression:
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-03-20/bernanke-says-fed-failed-to-meet-goals-during-great-depression
For anybody who doesn’t think this whole thing was engineered from the beginning, I have some nice beach-front property with a guaranteed, front door ocean view, for sale.
Is BEN creating another asset bubble via excess liquidity:
http://www.bloomberg.com/video/88708716/
Sure, Fed wants to recreate the same 2001-2006 bubble scenario where RE is inflated again and they want to make it the new normal.
Would the money printing succeed? No, it will not as USA is going down the Greece path if not controlled quickly. That would mean assets would fall 50-60% more in case of default.
usul..we still have bubblesign in the DC metro area the likes of which God has never seen.
“Sure, Fed wants to recreate the same 2001-2006 bubble scenario where RE is inflated again and they want to make it the new normal.”
Please refer to my original post above for some reasons Megabank, Inc might support this strategy by the hedge fund they collectively own (aka The Fed).
It drives me crazy when people compare the US to Greece. There is no comparison. The US can pay it’s debts with printed money Greece can’t. They will not play out in the same fashion.
They will not play out in the same fashion.
Agreed. What we will probably see is the chasm widening even more between the haves, whose income streams will be adjusted for the coming inflation, and the lucky duckies, whose ranks will continue to swell as their standard of living collapses even more, while the foodstamps are taken away.
although i agree there is a difference due to the lack of a printing press on Greece’s part…there are similarities between Greece’s relationship with Germany and the U.S.’s relationship with China.
That is certainly what the new Ryan budget proposal offers. Even if you ignore the Medicare/Medicaid cuts, he wants to cut all nonentitlement spending to 3.75% of GDP. That includes all defense spending, but he doesn’t want to cut defense spending which is already 4% of GDP. Assuming that the implication of -0.25% is a slip up of some kind, that would eliminate all the rest of the US government. All of it.
No justice department. No SEC. No FDA. No CDC. No federally funded research of any kind. No NASA. No State Department (hope you don’t need a passport). No education department. No energy department (I guess the military gets all the nukes). No HHS. No VA. No foreign embassies. No federal highway money. No national parks. No FEMA. No FBI. No flood insurance. No federal courts, including the Supreme Court. And, I guess, no IRS, so good luck collecting the money to pay for that defense department and what is left of Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.
No justice department. No SEC. No FDA. No CDC. No federally funded research of any kind. No NASA. No State Department (hope you don’t need a passport). No education department. No energy department (I guess the military gets all the nukes). No HHS. No VA. No foreign embassies. No federal highway money. No national parks. No FEMA. No FBI. No flood insurance. No federal courts, including the Supreme Court. And, I guess, no IRS, so good luck collecting the money to pay for that defense department and what is left of Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.
That’s what many want, polly. A de facto breakup of the US into individual states, perhaps with a common defense pact.
No justice department. No SEC. No FDA. No CDC. No federally funded research of any kind. No NASA. No State Department (hope you don’t need a passport). No education department. No energy department (I guess the military gets all the nukes). No HHS. No VA. No foreign embassies. No federal highway money. No national parks. No FEMA. No FBI. No flood insurance…………….
Well, that, to me, sounds like a good START.
I wish he could hack most of these useless parasitic agencies all the pieces. HHS, FDA, Ed.dept, FEMA, Flood, Energy, as history would be a great relief to people like me who don’t get to siphon off these parasites.
Let the CUTS begin. If we find we actually needed some part of some agency, we can re-think it. I am sure we’ll survive.
“…that would eliminate all the rest of the US government. All of it.”
No justice department. No SEC. No FDA. No CDC. No federally funded research of any kind. No NASA. No State Department (hope you don’t need a passport). No education department. No energy department (I guess the military gets all the nukes). No HHS. No VA. No foreign embassies. No federal highway money. No national parks. No FEMA. No FBI. No flood insurance. No federal courts, including the Supreme Court. And, I guess, no IRS, so good luck collecting the money to pay for that defense department and what is left of Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.”
Hey, what are you aiming to get a “certain” choir a-singin’-&-a-dancin-&- $houtin’!: Glorie$-bee’$-Hallelujah’$!
Look Faux New$ is expeditin’ a Broadca$t-it-24hr$-across-America crew as eyes type …
[Rumor has it that the Federal Gov't did eliminate the fella's po$ition that checked the viscosity of how well retail ketchup flows, ain't that a start?]
Next!:
“Audit-the-Pentagon!” = Coming $oon!
“That’s what many want, polly. A de facto breakup of the US into individual states, perhaps with a common defense pact.”
not advocating for that…but do you really think the status quo is sustainable?
really?
“A de facto breakup of the US into individual states, perhaps with a common defense pact.”
Didn’t the Soviet Union go down that path, circa 1989?
“Didn’t the Soviet Union go down that path, circa 1989?”
Quit Putin’ us on Cantankerous!
“Let the CUTS begin. If we find we actually needed some part of some agency, we can re-think it. I am sure we’ll survive.”
There won’t be any money to re-think any of it. He promises to keep miltary spending at current levels (as a percent of GDP) and cut all non-entitlement government spending (including military) to a smaller percentage of GDP than the military currently has by itself. There wouldn’t be any money to pay the president unless you count him as miltary because he is CiC. I don’t think there would be any money to pay Congress.
A lot of agencies could be eliminated. Let
the states handle education, housing, epa, etc. What works in Georgia doesn’t mean it
will work in Oregon. Local solutions are better all around.
Excellent. What is your state supposed to do when the state next door (and up wind) plants a hundred dirty coal power plants right on the state line. Their enviro people will be fine with it. It won’t impact air quality in their state. Same with rivers.
Oh, and all those cross boarder water rights agreements that are so important in the west? Forget them. There won’t be any federal courts to bring the law suit, so you can have all the agreements you want, but you can’t enforce them.
No FDIC. Want to put your money in a bank? I suggest you get an accounting degree so you can figure out which ones might be safe. Of course, you’ll have to hope that the finacial statements are accurate. No one will be checking.
Ironically, Polly’s extensive list could (should) be cited as the reason the federal budget needs to be cut.
“A lot of agencies could be eliminated. Let the states handle education, housing, epa, etc. What works in Georgia doesn’t mean it will work in Oregon. Local solutions are better all around.”
After the dust settled on a federal dismantling effort, I suspect CA would be better off and Ohio (Boehner’s state) and Wisconsin (Ryan’s state) would be worse off.
Does
anybody out there have any
memory
Of the
reason given for the
establishment
Of
the
DEPARTMENT
OF ENERGY
During the
Carter
Administration?
? Anybody?
? Anything?
? No?
? Didn’t
think so!
Bottom
line …
We’ve
spent several hundred billion
dollars
In support
of an agency
…the reason
For which
not one person who
reads
This can remember.
Ready???????
It was very
simple..
And at the
time everybody
thought It very
appropriate…
The
‘Department
of Energy’
Was
instituted
on
8-04-1977
TO LESSEN
OUR
DEPENDENCE
ON FOREIGN
OIL.
Hey,
pretty efficient, huh?????
ANDNOW
IT’S 2011,
34 YEARS
LATER….
AND THE
BUDGET FOR THIS
NECESSARY
DEPARTMENT
IS AT
$24.2 BILLION A YEAR
IT
HAS
16,000
FEDERAL
EMPLOYEES
AND
APPROXIMATELY
100,000
CONTRACT
EMPLOYEES
AND LOOK
AT THE JOB IT HAS DONE!
THIS IS
WHERE YOU
SLAP YOUR
FOREHEAD AND SAY
‘WHAT WAS I
THINKING?’
Ah, yes,
good old
bureaucracy…
And NOW _
we are going to
turn
The
Banking System, Health Care
&
The Auto
Industry over to
Government
ALL IN THE
NAME OF CHANGE?
May God
Help Us !!!
Keep this
one going….
Dept of Energy owns all the nuclear bombs.
DoE was created to centralize all the stuff the government was already doing related to energy. Its resposibilities weren’t created in 1977. They just got put in the same place. We were already dealing with nukes, and nuclear power plants and radioactive waste the rest. DoE does more basic science research than any other agency. Yeah, lets shut down, Lawrence Livermore, and Brookhaven and all the rest. Maybe the Koch brothers will buy a few of ‘em.
By the way, the Ryan budget also makes major cuts in Medicare (voucher it) and drastically cuts Medicaid (hope you all have long term care insurance), food stamps, and other programs that help the poor. But he isn’t trying to balance the budget quickly. Most of it is returned through giant tax cuts to the wealthy. If you make over $1 million a year you are going to be very happy. He says a lot of tax deductions/credits will be eliminated, but fails to specify them because that would, you know, make middle income people pay attention.
“Dept of Energy owns all the nuclear bombs.”
We had nuclear bombs long before there was a DOE. They were given administrative control to give them something to which they could charge their time.
Get rid of DOE; we will still be just fine!
Hi-Z,
If you eliminate a federal department and don’t eliminate any of its functions, (just send them back where they camre from), then you don’t save any money.
“Didn’t the Soviet Union go down that path, circa 1989?”
it’s not a series of separate and distinct events it’s a process.
the U.S.’s influence is dwindling.
but do you really think the status quo is sustainable? really?
No. We need to raise duties, halve the military, double the very-rich’s taxes, means test Soc. Sec., invest public money in US industries basic research and education, break up monopolies, aid small businesses, go to single-payer and come up with a 20 year plan to become energy independent. This would encourage healthy-capitalism. This would do it. Look to Northern Europe for proof. This is not an academic exercise and the current supply-side, 30 year experiment of American crony, winner-take-all capitalism has FAILED. Proof? Look around you.
And dudes……..Brazil is energy independent. Brazil! LOL, the joke is on us. We didn’t see that coming huh? And Brazil didn’t get that way through the FOS slogan “invisible hand of the market”.
“the U.S.’s influence is dwindling.”
Tanks bee to Allah!
Gonna have to get extra popcorn when those two have a di$puke over oil field acce$$ & price$ & rice-for-oil currencie$ exchange$ … [China & Iran]
“A lot of agencies could be eliminated. Let
the states handle education, housing, epa, etc.”
Education, maybe. Housing, maybe. EPA, I disagree. Pollution created in one state, does not necessarily stay there. Water pollution created in Minneapolis flows all the way to the Gulf. Air pollution created in Nevada affects everyon east of there.
“And dudes……..Brazil is energy independent. Brazil! LOL, the joke is on us. We didn’t see that coming huh? And Brazil didn’t get that way through the FOS slogan “invisible hand of the market”.”
Rio, really the Brazilian Gov’t Tourism Division should send you a $weet monthly $tipend. You’ve moved a visit to Brazil up my list of places to go befores eye dies at least 181 Nation$ [giggling]
Sincerely & Kindest Regards,
Hwy50
Rio, really the Brazilian Gov’t Tourism Division should send you a $weet monthly $tipend.
Brazil’s cool but I don’t idolize it and it has many problems. Part of the reason that I bring up Brazil’s energy independence is because if Brazil can do it, why can’t America? Maybe because we’re too hung up on the “free-market, crony-capitalist” religion.
Big things such as the military, The WPA, The Manhattan Project and National energy independence take a huge and sustained public money effort. To think the market alone could bring about such big things is kind of a joke and flies in the face of reality and history.
And Brazil IS cool to visit.
“What is your state supposed to do when the state next door (and up wind) plants a hundred dirty coal power plants right on the state line.”
Sue the state next door for environmental damages?
Sue the state next door for environmental damages?
Where? In Federal Court? What Federal Court?
This conversation reminds me of my Ex. Any adjustment (frugality) whatsoever is going to be the end of the freakin world!
Store brand beans? I’d rather starve!!!!
“Any adjustment (frugality) whatsoever is going to be the end of the freakin world!”
I see a specific list of adjustments in Rio’s post that doesn’t entail a willy-nilly hacking of every federal agency except the military.
“We need to raise duties, halve the military, double the very-rich’s taxes, means test Soc. Sec., invest public money in US industries basic research and education, break up monopolies, aid small businesses, go to single-payer and come up with a 20 year plan to become energy independent. This would encourage healthy-capitalism.”
My problem with Ryan’s plan is that it doesn’t really tackle the deficit. If the deficit is really a pressing problem, then his budget should reflect that.
“Is BEN creating another asset bubble via excess liquidity:”
Marie Osmond just had a problem with excess liquidity.
Marie Osmond sprinkles when she tinkles on stage
By Alexandra Myers -Mon, Mar 12, 2012..
Marie Osmond had a bit of an accident on stage during a performance on a Bahamas cruise ship March 2 after an audience member’s question had both her and her brother, Donny, laughing hysterically.
We don’t know what made her laugh so hard, but Marie erupted into such a fit of laughter that she peed on herself and on the stage.
Osmond wasn’t ashamed. Instead, she exclaimed, “I just peed my pants!” and wiped the stage where her little accident took place.
Laughing even harder than before, Donny told the audience: “You really did. We promised you an experience. You got it!”
http://news.yahoo.com/marie-osmond-sprinkles-she-tinkles-stage-140226477.html - 277k -
TMI
Poor Marie. She’s had so much work done, she’s starting to leak. (a little boat humor…)
For anybody who doesn’t think this whole thing was engineered from the beginning…
+1 This was no accident. The housing bubble foundation was being prepared back when Robert Ruben and senator Phil Graham made plans to trash the Glass-Steagall act. Also, the action by SEC Chairman Cox in 2004 that lowered capital reserve requirements for investment banks, increasing their ability to leverage from 12-to-1 to over 30-to-1.
Inflate, Deflate
More like; Inflate,Deflate,Inflate again…
“Inflate,Deflate,Inflate again…”
Bubblelicious undulation…
Mama’s got a squeeze box
Daddy never sleeps at night
Hwy50 votes for Carl’s interpretation!
It’s my belief that it was engineered precisely.
My guess is Lehman was used as a sacrificial lamb to get bailouts and scare the crap out of everyone. I think a lot of people knew what would eventually happen, but very few knew when it would happen. This small group had software and market knowledge to trigger the collapse at a time of their choosing. The CEO of GS cashed out tax free to become treasury secretary for 2 years. Does anyone seriously think this douche bag didn’t know what was coming. Why would Hank Paulson quit his high paying CEO job to become treasury secretary. Why would the Bush gov agree to make him the highest paid gov employee of all time 100mil plus a year via tax breaks. They knew what was coming and when. They had a game plan to maximize their take from the tax payer.
“Why would Hank Paulson quit his high paying CEO job to become treasury secretary.”
It might be worth looking into how much in Treasury Bonds he owned, and how much their value increased, at the point of Fall 2008 Wall Street collapse.
+1 This was no accident. The housing bubble foundation was being prepared back when Robert Ruben and senator Phil Graham made plans to trash the Glass-Steagall act.
Yes. Corrupt, crony-capitalists foisted a housing bubble upon the American people while off-shoring their jobs. This is part of the breakage of the social contract-much more of a big deal than FB’s walking away from their “contracts”.
“Contracts” made when and under what macro circumstances?
Where was the downside for Megabank, Inc at any stage of the “crisis”?
year end bounus cut from billions to millions ouch
March 21, 2012, 8:07 a.m. ET
US Stock Futures Gain Ground Ahead Of Housing Market Data
–Stock futures on higher ground ahead of housing market data
–Europe bounces slightly ahead of U.K. budget announcement
–Oracle shares up on better-than-expected results
–Data on existing home sales in February on tap
…
Yeah, here’s the top of the page from Yahoo Finance:
‘Builders betting on brighter US housing market’
‘Housing: Economists Look for Strength’
‘The Wall Street gold rush in foreclosed homes’
‘Buying a home is a better deal than renting’
And this was yesterdays headline:
‘The ‘Smart Money’ Is Betting on Housing (Yes, Housing)’
So why does this market need the govt to back 90% plus of the loans? Where is the the Wall Street gold rush into writing mortgages?
“So why does this market need the govt to back 90% plus of the loans?”
There is clearly a bit of chicken and egg confusion here; my take is that the 90% govt backing of loans and myriad other government subsidies explains rising bullishness amongst REIC constituents.
” …my take is that the 90% govt backing of loan$ and myriad other government $ubsidie$ explain$ rising bulli$hne$$ among$t REIC con$tituent$.”
$$$$$$$ = It’s a friend-of-a-trend, & it’s $preading $wiftly! As $wiftly as .25% allow$
Where is the the Wall Street gold rush into writing mortgages ??
Would anyone in their right mind (other than our Government) loan money @ 3.8% for 30 years ?? Wall Street is not a player at those rates and maturities…
“Would anyone in their right mind (other than our Government) loan money @ 3.8% for 30 years ?? ”
I wouldn’t loan money out at that rate for 5 years, let alone 30. The fact that people are now able to borrow for below the borrowing cost of government agencies with taxing authority (IE, municipalities), has got to be one of the greatest ironies in the market today.
So, I can lend it to Joe Sixpack at 3.8 (taxable) or I can lend it to the government at 4-6% (non-taxable)? Hmmm, let me ponder that one a bit and get back to you.
people are now able to borrow for below the borrowing cost of government ??
As I have suggested any number of times in the past, IMO, there is going to be a reckoning as it relates to housing, on the back side of all these sub-4% 30 year mortgages…Someday, the government will have backed out of the policy of suppression of rates..Not sure when that will occur, but occur it will…When that happens, the free market will be the only player and that free market will demand a much higher rate on long term mortgages for many reasons including the one you offer…
I suspect that what you may see is a lack of turn-over of inventory…Households will not sell if given a choice…They will add-on or remodel what they have but they aren’t
letten-go of that 3.8% fixed rate 30 year mortgage to get a fixed rate 6% + mortgage…
So what happens to the inventory that is available ?? Got to believe that prices fall due to the increased carry cost…What if you can’t deduct your 6% + interest anymore due to tax reform ?? Deduct your real estate taxes ?? Two more nails that could put downward pressure on prices…
“Not sure when that will occur, but occur it will…When that happens, the free market will be the only player and that free market will demand a much higher rate on long term mortgage$ for many reason$”
[Hwy50 moves over to scdave's line, "here ya go Mr. Dave eyes got an extra beer just for you ... how's the new Jeep fairin'?"]
“I suspect that what you may see is a lack of turn-over of inventory…Households will not sell if given a choice…They will add-on or remodel what they have but they aren’t
letten-go of that 3.8% fixed rate 30 year mortgage to get a fixed rate 6% + mortgage…”
Yup. When interest rates go up, prices have to drop. And, given how laughably low rates are right now, prices are going to drop like a stone if (and notice, I said if) the government lets the rates go up. There’s simply no other way for them to go.
I bought my house last year and only did it because I have the intention of never selling selling it. But, people buying a “starter house” with the intention of appreciation to help them move up? That’s a losing proposition, big time.
The only other alternative is inflation which means cost of living increases, which I don’t see happening in this environment, which means prices STILL have to come down. I think Ben is, how they say, “entre la peste et le choléra.”
how’s the new Jeep fairin’?”] ??
Its still “fairin” @ the Dodge dealership…:(…I will get to it soon…
The only other alternative is inflation ??
Really, I think the only other way for support would be “Wage” inflation…Consumer inflation without wage inflation (stagflation) just makes it more expensive…
The only other alternative is inflation which means cost of living increases, which I don’t see happening in this environment, which means prices STILL have to come down
There is another outcome. Witness what the automakers did in the face of lower demand: They reduced production and raised prices substantially. What this means in the end is a lower standard of living, which is coming to a neighborhood near you soon.
Sounds like inflation to me…
Banks More Willing to Finance Rentals Over Condo Properties?
Mar 19, 2012
- 2:19 -
FBN’s Jeff Flock talks with Ogden Partners Project Manager Fenton Booth about banks’ increasing willingness to finance rental properties.
http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/1519016014001/banks-more-willing-to-finance-rentals-over-condo-properties/ - 122k -
“…bank$’ increa$ing willingne$$ to finance rental propertie$.”
Let’s see, which is easier?:
Foreclo$ure$ or Eviction$
[Looks like anyone can see which way the wind$ are a blowin', no weather person'$ required]
“Let’s see, which is easier?:”
“Foreclo$ure$ or Eviction$”
But I was Robo Leased!
“But I was Robo Lea$ed!”
Owner$hip Title$ isn’t $liced nor diced nor change-a-thee-hand$ w/ notarie$ as witne$$es.
Therefore$:
Your friend$/enemie$/cultgroupie$ might$ have problem$ with legal delay$ & $henanigan proceeding$
Coming up next: Massive overbuilding of rental properties.
Way ahead of you…I think just the ones currently being built combined with the shadow inventory being converted to rentals will be enough to crush rental prices. Unless (until) of course the government steps in and prevents that in order to avoid having the banksters who snapped them up take a loss.
“Way ahead of you…I think just the ones currently being built combined with the shadow inventory being converted to rentals will be enough to crush rental prices.”
Yes. I am looking at a few more decades of affordable renting to come, courtesy of the latest crop of Wall Street muppet investors in foreclosure-to-rental housing.
From Yesterday’s Bits:
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-20 09:08:50
What exactly is the Fed: A government-owned monopoly bank, a privately-owned hedge fund, or something else?
And who wins and who loses when they earn more?
March 20, 2012, 12:00 p.m. EDT
Fed earned $77 billion last year, 2nd-highest ever
By Steve Goldstein
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The Federal Reserve and its district banks said Tuesday it earned $77.4 billion last year, down from $81.7 billion in 2010 but the second-highest level in the central bank’s history. The bumper earnings allowed the Fed to distribute $75.4 billion to the U.S. Treasury, also the second-highest level ever. The earnings was derived primarily from $83.6 billion in interest income on securities acquired through open market operations, from Treasury securities, federal agency and government-sponsored enterprise mortgage-backed securities, and GSE debt securities. The Fed repeated that it doesn’t expect to record a loss on any of its emergency loan programs. On its portfolio of assets, unrealized losses totaled $4.3 billion, which the Fed attributed to “instrument-specific credit risk” on commercial and residential mortgage loans; the Fed earned $428 million on the securities it did sell.
…………………………………………………
Is Bernacke obligated to remit the interest received from his US Treasuries, back to the Treasury, or does he do this out of altruism?
And again I ask, can Bernacke do whatever he wants with the US Treasuries he’s “purchased,” or at some point is he obligated to tender them back to the Treasury?
This Goldstein story confuses me.
All MBS etc. just stays on Feds balance sheet and Fed doesn’t have to make good on those anytime soon. Yes, Fed gives the money to Treasury as they cannot give it directly to individual programs.
They need a channel to pass it on. Either they can fund banks’ liquidity or give to Treasury for use.
Btw, looks like they are keeping 2Billion to fund their own operations.
How would the Fed’s near-record profits look if they were adjusted to the value of gold? Since gold cost about $35/oz circa 1970 and is now going for about $1600/oz, the profits would have to be written down by
(1-35/1600)*100% = 97.8% to express them in 1970 dollars.
Fed will discard all Gold Standard theories. They do not want to go that route and would give arguments like there is not enough Gold available in the World.
The whole thing is a big ponzi scheme. I’ve suffered last 10 years in this bubble economy and the next 10 years will be the same bringing me closer to my end time. All investments seem to be so ambigous nowdays, no place to park money also for retirement.
When I was growing up I never thought 20-30 years of my life will go waste just reading about the excesses Govts. around the World have done to benefit a few masterminds. I’m worried that with China, India, Aussie, Canada, HK, SA, Singapore bubbles deflating tthis year, the world economy will take another 15 years to recover. That would be end of my lifetime.
I’m not talking about theories. I’m talking about the real (not nominal) value of the Fed’s supposed near-record profits. I’m guessing the real value of gold has been a lot more stable than that of the U.S. dollar over the past four decades, but please feel free to bring contrary evidence if you have any to offer.
a big ponzi scheme. I’ve suffered last 10 years in this bubble economy….I never thought 20-30 years of my life will go waste just reading about the excesses Govts. around the World have done to benefit a few
This is another example of the breaking of the social contract that Governments and corporations have with the people.
But if you walk away from a ponzi scheme evolved mortgage because you’ve lost your job to China, many on this board will say you’re the only “contract” breaker.
What we need now is more regulation. As being quoted in How Dangerous is High Household Debt for the Economy: “Targeted household debt restructuring policies can deliver significant benefits. Such policies can, at a relatively low fiscal cost, substantially mitigate the negative impact of household de-leveraging on economic activity… reduce the number of household defaults and foreclosures, and alleviate debt repayment burdens. In so doing, these programs help prevent self-reinforcing cycles of declining house prices and lower aggregate demand.”‘
This is the only way out of the current situation in all markets you have mentioned here.
Sort of off topic, but this article discusses the executives in New York’s “non-profit” sector acting just like the one percent in private business.
http://www.villagevoice.com/2012-03-21/news/the-nonprofit-one-percent/
It isn’t just Wall Street. It isn’t just business. It isn’t just government. It is a whole generation or two, perhaps influenced by the environment that has been created. Generation Greed.
“Non-profit” is the biggest scam ever invented. Right up there with “capital gains are not income.”
I hear “non-profit” and I run in the other direction as fast as I can.
Yep. It’s a business enterprise like any other.
“Every great cause starts out as a movement, degenerates into a business, and ends up a racket.” - Eric Hoffer
With few exceptions, got that right.
Eric Hoffer / damn UNION worker / gruff / illegal train hopper / philosopher.
Eye reckons “gruff” ain’t so all too terrible.
But, “philosopher”, what an abyss to falls in to!
WTF is up with using “eye?” Dyslexic? Ebonics?
Some businesses pay taxes. Non-profits are a scam.
A lot of for profit businesses don’t pay taxes either.
The difference is the structure. For profit businesses can distribute money to their owners through shares (dividends or the shares can be sold). Non-profits don’t and must primarily engage in one or more of the types of activities that Congress has approved for that status. Range from credit unions to The Gates Foundation. It is an absurdly large chunk of the economy. I don’t remember the percentage.
The goal is to get the nonprofit CEO a significantly higher salary than he would get in for-profit or govt.
Republican presidential candidates are counting on the average American voter’s abysmal ignorance on matters economic to help their suggestion that rising gas prices are Obama’s fault gain acceptance.
Of course, if Obama intervened to try to keep a lid on gas prices, not only would gas lines form, as they did during Republican President Nixon’s turn in the WH, but Obama would be labeled a socialist for interfering with the free market.
Hint to Republican candidates: It’s tough for the President to please everyone.
Lexington
The president and the pump
Voters will hold Barack Obama responsible for rising petrol prices, even though he isn’t
Mar 17th 2012 | from the print edition
REPUBLICAN politicians do not yet blame Barack Obama personally for the recent changes in America’s weather. That would stick in the craw, given that, in spite of overwhelming scientific evidence, most of them still question and many deny that man plays a role in global warming. They do, however, blame Mr Obama for the rise in the price of oil. This is odd too, especially for a party that as a rule likes to believe in the impotence of governments and the omnipotence of markets. As any competent economist will tell you, the price of oil is set in the market—the world market, that is—and not in the White House.
There are times, however, when the temptation to blame the man in the White House is simply too great, and this is one of them. In recent weeks, the conventional wisdom in politics has been that the never-ending Republican primaries, the assorted weaknesses of the four remaining candidates and the gradual but steady improvement in the economy have transformed Mr Obama’s chances of a second term. The improving economy is especially bothersome to Republicans, since it was the lack of growth and jobs that was supposed to guarantee the president’s defenestration in November. With one possible eleventh-hour exception, attempts to find alternative angles of attack have not shown conspicuous success. Newt Gingrich and especially Rick Santorum have done their best to reheat the culture wars. But knocking abortion, contraception and the 21st century in general does not look like a winning strategy far beyond deep-fried Southern states such as Alabama and Mississippi.
The possible eleventh-hour exception is the rising price of petrol (gasoline). The average American motorist is now paying $3.80 a gallon, a record for the time of year. As prices have risen, all the Republican candidates have been selling the idea that the blame for this rise belongs primarily with Mr Obama—not with the market’s fear of a war with Iran, climbing demand in China or any other more plausible explanation. Unhappily for the president, many voters appear to be buying this snake oil.
On March 12th a Washington Post-ABC poll found that nearly two-thirds of Americans disapproved of Mr Obama’s handling of petrol prices, and the same poll showed that February’s 50% to 46% approval of his overall performance had flipped.
…
The “deep fried southern states” are slobbering over Paul Ryan’s bootstraps, rugged individualist, John Galt fantasies meanwhile slurping more than their fair share of gravy from the public trough:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-12/mississippi-whites-not-used-to-help-back-republican-aid-cutters.html
Which tells you the mental capacity of many of these people in the south…They will vote for the same people who intend to throw them under the bus…Go figure…
these people in the south…They will vote for the same people who intend to throw them under the bus…
Unfortunately that seems to be the case all across our great nation. Although the south probably suffers from it the worst.
Amazing the stereotypes, and bigotry.
The “south” fought a war of independence to prevent the overthrow of their rights as sovereign people. We are still fighting that war. The UNION won the big fight. Millions died.
They have been “expanding” their “laws and rules” to the point of a fascist dictatorship since that time.
Obama signed another “executive order” on Friday that allows the federal government to take over just about any agency, business, property, or person, not just in time of “national emergency”, but any time he wants.
He always signs this stuff on friday afternoon, so it doesn’t get any press coverage and new “news” is on the front pages come monday.
Many People of the South realize the federal government is their enemy. The original founders of the US wanted LIMITED government because they knew it could not be trusted. It was never envisioned to become this “expansive”.
Yet, you really smart people up north think we need more and more of it, to control the masses and provide a state-run society by mandate. You can keep it. And the “change”.
We are still fighting that war.
So what happens if you win? Will the 13th Ammendment be abolished?
“The “south” fought a war of independence to prevent the overthrow of their rights as sovereign people.”
Post-Humorous Award goes to: the Man fleeing in women’s clothes, Mrs. Jefferson Davis!
[Hwy50 laughing, wondering if Nazi's ever chuckled amougnst themselves about their Gov't compen$ation $alarie$]
Diogenes, their comments are just further proof that all liberals are bigots. Every last one of them.
Now, anybody got a broader brush?
Moi? Liberal? I used to be a Republican, until the inmates took over the asylum. And no, I’m not a registered Democrat either.
+1 Colorado…Ditto here…
Looking forward to continuing this conversation for FOUR MORE YEARS after O gets re-elected this November
Haterz!
The “south” fought a war of independence to prevent the overthrow of their rights as sovereign people.
Ahh, the myth of the “lost-cause”. It sounds so so American, so patriotic doesn’t it? The “noble” South fighting against federal domination….. Domination? No sir. It was all about slavery.
What do you do when your side was totally immoral? What do you do when your side’s very rich held fellow human beings in bondage and treated them as less than animals? What do you do when such a system raped women, flogged, beat, starved and worked to death people because of money and skin color?
Here’s what you do. Starting in the late 1800’s, you come up with sugar-coated, lying myths touting “states-rights” and protectors of “sovereign people” B.S. and you try to hide the pea and distract from the fact that the Civil War was and always will have been about institutionalized racism, unbounded greed, bigotry and SLAVERY.
+1 Rio. I’m tired of the states-rights BS. It was always about slavery.
“They will vote for the same people who intend to throw them under the bus…”
So I guess EVERYONE should vote his own self-interest? Goon-squad, RAL, SCdave and the others- are you all on welfare and/or getting other government benefits? Or are you among the suckers who pay for those bennies, yet vote against your self-interest?
Many People of the South realize the federal government is their enemy ??
Right up until the first of the month when the money gets wired to their account…On that day, there is a grace period…
are you among the suckers who pay for those bennies, yet vote against your self-interest ??
When I am given a choice of voting for someone like Palin or voting against my self interest then I vote against my self interest…Ditto with Bush which has proven correct with the most conservative of republicans (George Will) running from him like the plague…
further proof that all liberals are bigots. Every last one of them. Now, anybody got a broader brush ?
Liberal ?? Hardly…Among other things, I would appreciate your group keeping the mandatory Ultra-Sound test out of my daughters Vagina though…
Bigot ?? Wow…Have to say thats the first time I have been called that…Why ?? Because the facts bear out that most of entitlement money (from all sources) flows to the southern states per capita and those same people that would vote for Santorum, who would support a Ryan plan that would take it all away…Now tell me, are they voting against their self interest or are they the real “bigots”….
Haha good one Bill.
They are better than rest of us. Their $hit doesn’t stink. They are above basic human emotions like greed. They are just better and they have no self interest.
I’ll let the content of the Bloomberg article speak for itself, haterz
“Or are you among the suckers who pay for those bennies, yet vote against your self-interest?”
There are actually benefits from that. Having lived 12 years in a third world country, I don’t ever want to see the grinding poverty I saw there, nor do I want to have to barricade myself in my home out of fear of being kidnapped.
But the southern conservatives voting againt their self interest goes beyond losing their welfare benefits. They support a party that has systematically enabled and even cheered the offshoring of the jobs that used to provide a middle class standard of living. A party that when confronted by the swelling chasm between the rich and poor mocks the poor as “envious”.
And why do they vote for these D-bags? Because they give lip service to the social values embraced by the southern electorate.
And why do they vote for these D-bags? Because they give lip service to the social values embraced by the southern electorate.
Yup. Yet the Ds still don’t learn from that. And don’t tell me it’s an integrity thing.
Haha good one Bill.
It was good but Bill’s written better jokes before.
So, when southerners vote against their self interest they’re fools but when the liberal elite vote against their self interest they’re doing the right thing. Okaaay.
Amazing how effortlessly the liberal mind can apply different standards as needed. Yes, so can the conservative mind. But in this case the illogic is on the liberal side.
So, when southerners vote against their self interest they’re fools but when the liberal elite vote against their self interest they’re doing the right thing. Okaaay.
Here’s a big difference: What you can personally affect and the extent the issues will automatically effect you.
Most times the southerners are voting against their economic interest. A macro-economic interest or situation is much harder to personally control than it is to control the conservative social issue’s effect on our lives.
Examples: If there are no jobs, there are no jobs so what are you going to do? However if you are against abortions or gay marriages, well, don’t get an abortion and don’t marry someone else who’s gay. (But if you are conservative and you’re gay and you don’t get gay married, you’ve solved both “issues”)
Luckily, voter turnout is effected by education. About half as many people with no HS education vote as do college graduates. So, we got that goin’ for us!
Remember, it’s not “welfare” when you are the beneficiary. It’s only welfare when someone else (especially someone from a different racial or cultural background) gets the cheese.
Remember, it’s not “welfare” when you are the beneficiary
I remember all the old folks ON MEDICARE screaming “NO PUBLIC OPTION”!
How can they sleep at night? (Oh yea, with their Medicare subsidized sleeping pill.)
‘Remember, it’s not “welfare” when you are the beneficiary.’
Exactly! One man’s bailout-funded bonus is the welfare gift from the 99% on Main Street to the elite on Wall Street.
Huh, reminds me of my southern friend, hyperventilating on FB that nobody better cut his social security…I remember when he was off the books, for like years.
Obama must have lost the war for oil.
As a result, the U.S. ended up paying world market prices of a commodity which has growing global demand as poor countries get richer. Whatever happened to our divine right to 25 percent of global natural resources? Don’t we have nuclear weapons?
I want to live my lifestyle! Waaaaah!
“I want to live my lifestyle!”
The Lucky Ducky lifestyle, coming soon to 90% of the American sheeple!
Hint to Republican candidates: It’s tough for the President to please everyone.
It’s also a hint to all the Democrat candidates…Keep it in mind for the next time a Republican is in office.
the next time a Republican is in office ??
It depends on which type of republican you speak of…If it walks, talks & smells like Santorum, Gingrich or Perry then, IMO, there is zero chance…The necon wing of the republican party has lost the majority of women and the growing Latino population for good…
Anyone that obsessed with the anatomy of the opposite sex has all the can do to manage their own anatomy.
You need counseling, Michele Bachmann’s husband can help you
Did you intend to include every male every born in your grouping?
….. jiminy cripps…. something is very wrong with that pair.
And you’re secretly obsessed with Sean Hannity in a leather thong and harness, giving you that sly, come-hither look through your TeeVee…
So long as I can beat him senseless.
Secret wrassling fantasy: Sean Hannity versus Rush in leather thongs and harnesses…
As I’ve said before, the neocons are throwing us ALL under the bus just to make Obama look bad.
So cutting off Iran’s 4.5% of oil exports *didnt* make the price of oil go down?
Color me surprised!
“Sales of Previously Owned U.S. Homes Decreased in February”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-21/sales-of-previously-owned-u-s-homes-decreased-in-february.html
Watch prices crater, then buy later for 65% less.
U.S. stocks edging
upwarddownwardStock indexes make halting moves upward as Street awaits latest data on U.S. existing-home sales.
Berkshire Hathaway: Good morning Berkshire Hathaway.
jeff: Hey Warren it`s fuqin` August and the AC quit, I`m sweatin` my fuqin` @ss off down here man. Now you either get it fixed today or you aint gettin no GD rent check this month and you can load that on your railroad and deliver it to the Gulf of Mexico.
Another Hidden Bailout: Helping Wall Street Collect Your Rent
POSTED: March 19, 10:55 AM ET
Some of the biggest names on Wall Street are lining up to become landlords to cash-strapped Americans by bidding on pools of foreclosed properties being sold by Fannie Mae…
It gets better:
Warren Buffett, considered a sage investor and chief executive of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., said in an interview with CNBC-TV last month that he would buy up “a couple hundred thousand” single-family homes if he could do so easily, given the high yields on rental investments.
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/blogs/taibblog/another-hidden-bailout-helping-wall-street-collect-your-rent-20120319 - 59k -
But he wants to pay a higher taxes on the profits he makes. So all is good. Warren Buffet’s business model - get billions worth in bailouts and pay a couple of millions more in taxes.
What bailouts has he received?
Check out most of his “business decisions” as of late, you will see government backing everywhere.
+1 Gramps looks out for numero uno.
“What bailouts has he received?”
None that I know of but there is this.
Buffett’s Burlington Northern Among Pipeline Winners
By Jim Efstathiou Jr. - Jan 23, 2012 6:04 PM ET
Warren Buffett’s Burlington Northern Santa Fe LLC is among U.S. and Canadian railroads that stand to benefit from the Obama administration’s decision to reject TransCanada Corp. (TRP)’s Keystone XL oil pipeline permit.
“Whatever people bring to us, we’re ready to haul,” Krista York-Wooley, a spokeswoman for Burlington Northern, a unit of Buffett’s Omaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK/A), said in an interview. If Keystone XL “doesn’t happen, we’re here to haul.”
The availability of tank cars may create a temporary “hiccup” in transport capacity, according to Tony Hatch, an independent railroad analyst in New York. Rail cars are “a pretty hot commodity,” as a result of demand from oil producers in North Dakota, he said.
“Railroads are not just a stopgap while we wait for a pipeline,” Hatch said in an interview. “They are potentially part of the long-term solution.”
Burlington Northern carries about 25 percent of the oil from the Bakken, said Krista York-Wooley, the railroad spokeswoman. The company can carry higher volumes from North Dakota or Alberta, she said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-23/buffett-s-burlington-northern-among-winners-in-obama-rejection-of-pipeline.html - 170k -
lil’ Opie’s “administration’s decision to reject TransCanada Corp” Poor Canada
“Railroad$ are not just a stopgap while we wait for a pipeline,” Hatch said in an interview. “They are potentially part of the long-term $olution.”
250 Americanrevenuegeneratingrailcar$ =
[50' * 250] = 12,500 feet of movable pipeline. + [x2 train engineer's UNION $alary]
All Aboard Amtrak!
[It's America we're talking 'bout]
“Another Hidden Bailout: Helping Wall Street Collect Your Rent”
Home sales dip, but best in 5 years
Sales of existing homes fell 0.9% in February, but improving job prospects, cheaper homes, and warm weather led to the best start to the year since the burst of the housing bubble.
No Wells Fargo refinances for severely underwater homeowners unless already a customer
by Kim Miller
Wells Fargo said late Monday that because of the “current market environment” it will not offer refinances under the new Home Affordable Refinance Plan to deeply underwater homeowners unless they are already a Wells Fargo customer.
The company, which responded too late to a Palm Beach Post inquiry to make it into today’s story about the floundering HARP 2.0, said the maximum loan to value ratio it will allow for loans not serviced by Wells Fargo is 105 percent.
The loan to value ratio is how much is owed on a mortgage compared to the value of the home. To figure it out, divide your estimated home value by the remaining amount you owe on your loan.
For example, if you owe $150,000 on your mortgage, but your home is worth only $100,000, your loan to value ratio is 150 percent, meaning you owe 50 percent more on your mortgage than what your home is worth.
HARP 2.0 was unveiled as a plan that had no limit on the loan to value ratio, meaning anyone who is current on their mortgage payments should be eligible no matter how underwater they are on their loan.
That’s proven not to be reality. As noted in today’s story, most lenders are not offering unlimited loan to value options and, at this point, are hesitant to offer any options to anyone other than current customers.
“After further consideration of the new parameters of the Fannie Mae DU Refi Plus program transactions and the current market environment, we have amended our policy for loans not currently serviced by Wells Fargo and originated through our Correspondent and Wholesale business channels,” said Wells Fargo spokeswoman Carla Clemons. “As a result, we will not offer unlimited LTV options for loans not serviced by Wells Fargo through Correspondent or Wholesale.”
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Tags: foreclosure, Foreclosures, HARP 2.0, Home Affordable Refinance Program, Palm Beach, Palm Beach County, real estate
This entry was posted on Tuesday, March 20th, 2012 at 7:24 am and is filed under Foreclosures, Housing affordability, Mortgage fraud, Mortgages, Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
5 Responses to “No Wells Fargo refinances for severely underwater homeowners unless already a customer”
1
PENDINGLAWSUIT Says:
March 20th, 2012 at 8:05 am
Attention All Wells Fargo Bank Employees With Knowledge of Criminal Activity by Their Employer Wells Fargo Bank N.A.
http://www.scribd.com/doc/84812374/Attention-All-Wells-Fargo-Bank-Employees-With-Knowledge-of-Criminal-Activity-by-Their-Employer-Wells-Fargo-Bank-N-A
2
Einstein Says:
March 20th, 2012 at 8:23 am
That’s good pendinglawsuit. It’s almost worth getting a job at one of these places just to be a whistleblower. I wonder how many people think they “own” there homes now. True home ownership in this country is less than 5%.
Guess what one of my tradesmen said this morning?
Great time to buy?
Buy now or be priced out forever?
He can’t afford to feed his F-350 anymore?
Bootstraps rugged individualist, meet “free” market
Loosers…
I still remember when I had the house painted 3 years ago. All the boyz who showed up in their F-350 Turbo Diesels to give me an estimate wanted $6K+ to paint the house. I found a guy (through a referral) who did it for $3K. He showed up in an old, mid size beater pickup (it didn’t even have a back seat, oh the humanity!). Amazingly, he did ALL the work himself, and was very meticulous. I’m certain the the F-350 guys would have sent a crew of illegals to do the job.
And all those F-350’s are now in the used car
lots.
I’m certain the the F-350 guys would have sent a crew of illegals to do the job.
+1 Sounds like you’ve been around the block before.
Sort of reminds me of my dentist - always recommending additional work that I needed. He also had a huge staff (albeit hot, young women) and plasma tee-vees in every room with stereos and shiny new gadgetry everywhere.
I switched to a dentist with the basic equipment pertinent to my basic needs and my dental bills went way down.
I guess someone hasd to pay for that stuff.
“Sort of reminds me of my dentist”
We fired Dr. Pricey a long time ago.
“Sort of reminds me of my dentist”
We fired Dr. Pricey a long time ago.
So did I. She also had the very cool gadgetry in every room. And the staff that was big on recommending this, that, and the other thing. For my health, of course.
“Sort of reminds me of my dentist”
I paid my $160 a month 1st world health insurance bill for a year before I learned it covered dental too.
Sorry…..
No no and no.
He said, and I quote “realtors are liars“. It was in response to the IFS foreman’s statement “the realtor said I could get 1.2 million for my house”.
People are catching on.
But prices are going up as the “recovery” gains momentum. He should ride that souper bowl bounce and wait six more weeks and sell for $1.5 million
“the realtor said”
OK I`ll start….
The realtor said I could just refinance later.
NEXT.
…..And then the realtor said housing prices always go up.
The realtor said we should offer close to full asking price.
The realtor said great bargains and deals go fast, so prospective home buyers should realize this.
The realtor said yes, those trees over there do belong to your lot.
So I offered 105% of asking and slipped the realtor the $1000 she asked for so that my offer was considered……
The Realtor said Yes! Yes! Yes! … I do know of a GREAT appraiser! & a loan officer & a local banker & [his wife #3, she's also a realtor/liar-in-my-office!] & e$crow officer$, & a notary & land$cape architect & a gardener, & pool cleaner [Billy-the-boy-man] & a hair $tylist & a tattoo Ar-tee-ist & gourmet dog bi$cuit maker & Mercedes/BMW/Vulva dealership agent [Ricky-from-Miami] & Moving Co. [Joey & -the-boys-who work & sweat-so-hard] & a Plumber [who-smells-nice-by-the-way] & a lawyer [found him from my 1st divorce] & a Financial planner [Lola, she helped me to forget all about my divorce lawyer, Bob/Robert] & …
(Agents car door closes …talking continues, nothing audible to report).
My husband and I like to troll on Ebay, you know, bid up stuff that we wouldn’t go out of our way to buy, (unless we get it for a really good price, like our bid). We usually don’t win, but once in a while the other bidders are asleep at the wheel and we’ll get something for a steal. A short sale came up last month in a community near the beach that we have been looking at. We asked the house sales clerk what a good offer would be and she told us $100,000 over asking, (like that’s gonna happen). So, we put in an offer $6,000 over asking. She also told us that falling prices had plateaued and that the flow of foreclosures was stanching. What’s that tagline you guys use on here? It’s on the tip of my tongue but just can’t think of it…
And any low hanging fruit from next door (including the pool boy) is yours for the taking!
Air Sealing and Insulation
The last 2 day’s discussion led to a certain amount of confusion that I would like to clear up. The conversation was primarily about air-sealing or infiltration control. The conversation discussed building insulation as well and the line between these 2 related subjects became badly blurred.
Building insulation can be different types ie thermal, fire, sound etc and this conversation is mostly about thermal insulation.
The relationship between air sealing and thermal insulation: in simplest terms air sealing prevents thermal bypass and therefore permits the thermal insulation envelope to function. More technically thermal insulation resists heat loss (or gain in summer) via conduction while air sealing resists heat loss via convection ( fluid or air transport ).
Conclusion: without air sealing your building insulation will be bypassed to a large degree.
More Confusions:
Tyvek, when used in construction is used for “building wrap” it is a fabric that is applied to the exterior walls and provides a barrier to air and water while permitting the passage of vapor. Tyvek can be a component in a complete (residential / wood framed) air sealing system but it is a minor player, most leakage occurs from the attic or ventilated rafters where Tyvek is not applied. Tyvek is not thermal building insulation.
Grace Perma-Barrier is a fluid applied air barrier.
Owens Corning Energy Complete is a latex foam and is a 3 dimensional product, it can fill volume as opposed to a fabric or a fluid applied product. EC is installed under high pressure so it can clean and penetrate as well.
New Construction vs Retrofit: Retrofit has limitations
Thermal insulation retrofit is most commonly adding a layer of insulation to an attic space, beyond that it might be insulating exposed floor cavities, then beyond that it might be pressure filling closed assembles like a floor over garage or exterior walls.
Air sealing retrofit is mostly done from the attic applying a seal to the top of the walls.
Pimping PinkGoo at inflated prices still makes you a PinkGooPimp.
CT:
I would be scared of drilling holes in 70 year old plaster…can it be repaired easily if something goes wrong?
I don’t do plaster repair I only fill it full of holes and allow “others” to do the repair. Having said that my experience has been that I don’t have to worry about damage because anything I have worked on was easily repairable.
I just had a fun thought for the morning: the banks must be tired of dealing with her, so how about we pool some money, buy Lynn’s bad-debts for pennies on the dollar, and then pursue her for the deficiencies?
I hear she can afford to pay now, what with the $18M she got in the settlement…
Could be schadenfreude-licious!
Nice :-).
“schadenfreude-liciou$!”
For $ome it’s $weeeeet!, fer other$, it’s the Bitter$!
Premium gas hit $4 this week. Regular at ~$3.75.
Just heard about new report this morning that says gasoline should only cost us about ~$2 gal if market manipulation, gaming and speculation were controlled.
Don’t have the source yet.
I paid $4.99 this morning, thats down 10 cents.
How dare you question the Masters of the Universe, doing “God’s work”, letting the invisible hand of the free market decide oil prices.
And if you don’t like it or can’t afford it, be “uniquely American” and get a third job to pay for gas! Loosers…
Beating the drums of War is having an effect.
Hey, Steven Chu is happy. You’re not falling for his recantation, are you?
“With painfully high gas prices hurting Americans- and President Barack Obama’s reelection prospects- Energy Secretary Steven Chu on Tuesday recanted his notorious September 2008 comment that he hoped to see the cost of filling up to reach the far more elevated levels common in Europe.” - Yahoo News
I read somewhere a few years back (during the run-up in commodity prices) that in 2000, six paper barrels of oil were traded for every physical barrel. In 2008 it was closer to twenty.
“In 2008 it was closer to twenty.”
$torage! $torage! $torage!
Bottleneck$! Bottleneck$! Bottleneck$!
G$ Profit$! G$ Profit$! G$ Profit$!
[Christma$ Bonu$ is fa$t approaching $oon!]
It’s approaching $3.60 on my commute route. Seems like it was just $3 only a few weeks ago.
Demand$ go $teadily … Down$ Down$ Down$
Price$ go $teadily … Up$ Up$ Up$
[Ju$t-the-way-FREE-market$-are $uppo$ed-to work$!]
Don’t you just lurve Voodoo Economics?
Say “Thank you Reagan”
It’s not Reagan. The entire “science” of economics is based on simple models that only work if there are no variables. That’s why accountants think economists are idiots or insane or both.
That’s also why I say “NEVER let an accountant run your business.”
The Reagan reference to his being the head cheerleader for “supply side” economics, what was once called “voodoo economics”.
It basically said that supply and demand should be decoupled and that speculation, along with deregulation, was the wave of the future.
It was this philosophy that lead to the Tax Reform Act of 1986, which also dereguled Savings & Loans, that then lead directly to the S&L disaster, the forerunner of today’s disaster.
“That’s why accountants think economists are idiots or insane or both.”
That reminds me of the reason they invented actuaries: To make accountants seem less boring.
LOL! That would do it! Actually, I know a lot of utterly fascinating accountants.
I know for a fact that not all (former) actuaries are boring. For instance, check out this dude’s bio.
I’d prefer boring over that any day. The hat (and faded side burns) make him look like a giant douche bag. Was that mean? I’m so insensitive, I can’t tell anymore.
gasoline should only cost us about ~$2 gal if market manipulation, gaming and speculation were controlled
Market manipulation, gaming and speculation are very important parts of the “free-hand” of the market. They put more money in the rich’s hands and less in the poor’s.
You know….”free-markets” and stuff.
The Wall Street gold rush in foreclosed homes
(Reuters) - Dan Magder recently gave up a top job with private equity firm Lone Star Funds to strike out on his own and become a landlord.
He’s joining a growing list of big and small investors who see fat profits to be made in renting out foreclosed homes, especially now the U.S. government is moving ahead with a trial project to sell big pools of single-family homes that Fannie Mae currently owns in some of the hardest-hit housing markets.
Investors seeking higher yields are drawn to foreclosures because the rental market is red hot. But the heated competition for foreclosed homes is reminiscent of the frothy expectations that seem to accompany each new Wall Street investing craze.
But I was so glad to see this (toward the bottom of the article), because this has been on my mind ever since I heard about this plan:
Already, some liberal economists are questioning the wisdom of the federal government pushing to sell homes owned by Fannie and Freddie to institutional investors at a potential 20-30 percent discount to prevailing market price.
“This is actually moving the underlying physical assets, or homes, to the top 1 percent,” says L. Randall Wray, a professor of economics at the University of Missouri-Kansas City and a senior scholar with Bard College’s Levy Economics Institute.
“This is actually moving the underlying physical assets, or homes, to the top 1 percent,”
“None$ dare$ call$ it$ a Con$pricy!”
[$tole-the-title-from-a-Bircher-Koch $ociety TrueAnger therapy group.]
“This is actually moving the underlying physical assets, or homes, to the top 1 percent,”
Would that be the same 1 percent that was bailed out after foolishly gambling and losing their shirts on the housing bubble?
Is this an “open” book/google-it quiz Prof?
Yup.
Give it your best shot.
Tanks for the reminder, [eyes e$pecially liked the interviews in the extra features section of that film.]
Question #1: “Give it your best shot.”
Answer: $ir Glenn “Hub-bub” Tard
Manife$to: “$eeds of De$truction”
$ub-Group affliation$:
“Linda-the-Lunch-Lady-Live$-Lavi$hly!!!”
Favorite drink: Koch-aid w/a-bitter twi$t
2010 winner of this award: “You’ve got 2 minute$!”
Political party: Repubican
Board member of:
Automatic Data Processing
BlackRock Fin.
Duke Realty
KKR Fin. Corp.
Ripplewood Holdings
MetLife Inc.
Hubbard is a Visiting Scholar at the conservative American Enterprise In$titute, where he studies tax policy and health care of the Wealthie$ & $uffering $o’s.
Hubbard was an economic advisor to the 2008 presidential campaign of Mitt’$ Romney’$ and in 2012.
Parents:
Charles Whistnant Hubbard
Myrtle Jean (Dabbs) Hubbard
Mastered the Hula-Hoop at age 4
Miscellaneou$:
In$ide Job / The Film
Hubbard was interviewed in Charles Ferguson’s Oscar-winning documentary film, Inside Job (2010), discussing his advocacy, as chief economic advisor to the Bush Administration, of deregulation, which Ferguson argues led to the 2008 international banking crisis sparked by the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the sale of Merrill Lynch. In the interview, Ferguson asks Hubbard to enumerate the firms from whom he receives outside income as an advisory board member in the context of possible conflict of interest. Hubbard, hitherto cooperative, declines to answer and threatens to end the interview.
After the release of the film, Columbia ramped up ongoing efforts to strengthen and clarify their conflict of interest disclosure requirements. Columbia Business School professor Michael Feiner, a member of the faculty committee of Columbia’s Sanford C. Bernstein and Co. Center for Leadership and Ethics, has recommended that the film be shown to all business school students.
Welcome to the end game. This is how the 1% stay the 1%.
Make money on the way up selling to the suckers and make money on the way down, buying their assets for huge discounts, then start the churn all over again. (and not just RE)
By my 4th recession (S&L disaster) I started to realize it was engineered. By the 5th, I knew for a fact it was. (dot com boom/bust) I was hoping to be ready for this, my 6th one, but maybe I’ll have to wait for the 7th one. Because you can bet, barring anything radical happening (HA!) there WILL be a 7th one.
Commie talk!
Huh? I used all the right jargon and code talk and even expressed an interest to profit from the next suckers bubble!
I’m pretty sure I said nothing about fair wages, benefits, rights, safety regulations or 3rd highest income gap in the world.
Hardly commie talk at all good sir!
From 1992 to 2008, the top 400 taxpayers’ percentage of total income almost tripled: http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/08intop400.pdf
These bubbles and bursts are like a giant bellows, sucking money from outsiders and pushing it towards insiders.
The William K. Black interview on Bill Moyers is highly recommended primer.
“The Inside Job” documentary is also a highly recommended primer on the financial climate of the 2000s.
Your use of the term “1%” is, in and of itself, class warfare. Just wait until the “Producers” go all John Galt and then you’ll really be sorry…
Damn!
Good catch.
fair wages, benefits, rights, safety regulations
Important parts of the broken “Social Contract”.
Nothing even remotely approaching a “social contract” existed in this country before the 1940’s. It came about because of the shared sacrifice needed to win WWII.
With no enemy now threatening our existence, it’s once again “every man for himself.” That’s the norm. Not necessary right, but the norm.
Nothing even remotely approaching a “social contract” existed in this country before the 1940’s.
That’s just plain wrong. Of course the Social Contract existed before the 1940’s. Republican Theodore “Teddy” Roosevelt’s breaking up monopolies 1901-1901 is just one example.
Also, read the Preamble of the US Constitution. (A very liberal document and idea BTW)
How can you guys even remotely believe Government, Businesses, and People do not or should not have a cooperative relationship? How far “free-market”, “Dollar is the only God” have you guys been led? No history? No Anthropology? No Sociology? Just money???
Why do I have a vision of old man Potter in his wheelchair? Sentimental hogwash!
He’s joining a growing list of big and small investors who see fat profits to be made in renting out foreclosed homes, especially now the U.S. government is moving ahead with a trial project to sell big pools of single-family homes that Fannie Mae currently owns in some of the hardest-hit housing markets.
Methinks that these in-VEST-ors are going to learn some hard lessons about the realities of being a landlord. Things like:
1. Competing with all the other people who are doing the same thing. After all, you’re not the only in-VEST-or out there.
2. Finding good tenants and keeping them.
3. Cleaning up the mess left by bad tenants.
4. Dealing with neighbors of your rental properties.
Anyone care to add to my list?
….. yo Jethro… did you every install 20ga 4″ (not nominal… a full 4″) steel studs 24″oc with 5/8″ dense glass? If so, how’d it work out? 24″oc is sketchy but that’s what the office approved.
The worst vice is advice.
March 21, 2012, 1:42 p.m. EDT
How to avoid becoming a Wall Street muppet
Commentary: Make sure your advisers aren’t double-agents
By Mitch Tuchman
PALO ALTO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — A former executive director of Goldman Sachs caused a stir earlier this month when he spurted that some of the firm’s higher-ups deride clients as “muppets” — Wall Street slang for rubes.
Disney — No strangers to Wall Street
Is anyone really surprised? A recent Yankelovich survey found that four in 10 investors believe investment companies are unfair — joining the ranks of credit card companies, CEOs, the federal government and of course, lawyers.
Goldman isn’t the only offender. There is no industry more ridden with conflicts of interest and misaligned incentives than investment management. David Swensen, who deftly oversees Yale University’s endowment writes: “Relationships with external investment managers provide a fertile breeding ground for conflicts of interests.”
…
When Congress repealed the Glass/Steagal Act and passed The Commodities Modernization Act, both of which demolished the walls between financial institutions that existed just for such conflict of interest reasons, they ALL became double agents.
It’s clearly time for Congress to pass the Endangered Muppet Protection Act (EMPA)!
“Congress to pass the Endangered Muppet Protection Act (EMPA)!”
Acronym is too $hort fer this Congre$$
(EMPATHY)
Endangered Muppet Protection Act That Helps Y’all
Thank you! I was trying to figure out how to get the EMPATHY acronym out of my program proposal. Since Mitt is working on his southern accent, perhaps he will look into this idea.
This looks like a setup. Watch out for your wallets, muppets!
Goldman gives bonds a long good-bye
March 21, 2012, 3:46 PM
Goldman Sachs analysts are telling its investors that it’s time to dump bonds and switch over to stocks.
“Given current valuations, we think its time to say a ‘long good bye’ to bonds, and embrace the ’long good buy’ for equities as we expect them to embark on an upward trend over the next few years,” Peter Oppenheimer and Matthieu Walterspiler said in a report issued on Wednesday.
“The prospects for future returns in equities relative to bonds are as good as they have been in a generation,” the analysts said.
…
Do folks on the other side of the pond agree with Gollum’s astute analysis?
ft dot com
Too early to call end of bonds’ bull run
By Richard Milne
The end of the 30-year bull markets in bonds has been proclaimed more times than supposed sightings of Elvis. But just as every resurrection of the King turned out to be false so it has been with bond markets as yields in US, German and UK government debt have ground ever lower.
The clamour in the past few weeks, however, of traders and strategists calling a turning point for bond markets has been unusually strong. Many in the market see parallels with 1993-94, when US benchmark yields rose from 5 to 8 per cent in 12 months. Others have cited March 2009, when global equities rebounded so strongly after the financial crisis.
UBS has made one of the stronger arguments, saying that the sell-off will be sporadic, rather than continuous, as investors begin to challenge the commitment of the US Federal Reserve to its ultra-low rates policy up to 2014.
I’m not convinced that the bull market is finished. In a normal world, the recent run of better economic data that have come out of the US, in particular, should lead to higher yields. By most reckonings, 10-year yields should be in the 3-4 per cent range, rather than the current 2 per cent for Germany and 2.3 per cent for the US and UK.
But this isn’t a normal world. Bond markets have become a tool of western policymakers, with low yields explicitly targeted by the Fed and Bank of England. If things got out of hand and yields shot up too quickly, driving up borrowing costs for households and companies, then the Fed would be expected to act. There is likely to be extreme nervousness among central bankers and politicians if the cost of capital for consumers and homeowners jumps.
…
They could change its name to “Hot-Pad” and, true to form, retroactively sue “hotpads.com for taking their domain name.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/apples-ipad-throws-off-much-165626241.html
Some propaganda from money cnn com
http://money.cnn.com/2012/03/21/real_estate/homes-buy-rent/index.htm?iid=HP_LN
“It’s the eternal question in real estate: Should I buy or rent?
The answer has never been clearer: Buy. “
Buy now, before Wall Street investment firms armed with low-interest Fed-funded loans snap up all of the remaining shadow inventory and turn it into rental housing!
“Buy now, before Wall Street investment firms armed with low-interest Fed-funded loans snap up all of the remaining shadow inventory and turn it into rental housing!”
If they make the same mistakes they made with mortgages, it could work out well for renters:
1. Securitize leases.
2. Robo sign leases.
3. Tenant doesn’t pay.
4. Tenant doesn’t get chucked out because they can’t decide who the real landlord is.
5. Renters get to stay in homes just as long as the other deadbeats.
“Honolulu is the nation’s best market to be a renter rather than a buyer.”
But I thought they just said it was better to buy? Me stho confused!
Two Economists Say All Signs Point to Obama
By MERRILL GOOZNER, The Fiscal Times
March 8, 2012
Beware of economists bearing models, especially if you are the presumptive Republican nominee for president.
Several recent economic forecasters peered into their crystal balls to predict President Obama will win the coming presidential election. The latest comes from two economics at Yahoo Labs, Patrick Hummel and David Rothschild, who told IEEE Spectrum that the Hawaii-born son-of-a-Kenyan will be reelected with 303 electoral votes, racking up wins in 26 states including Ohio and Pennsylvania.
But the deal is not sealed yet, not by a long shot, Rothschild warns. “There are at least three states here, Virginia, Ohio, and New Hampshire, which are within just a few percentage points of flipping over from one candidate to the other,” he said. If they flip, so does the election.
The model looks at a number of variables: presidential approval ratings (Obama’s are trending up), specific economic indicators like unemployment (which is trending down), and state-by-state ideological indicators, such as which party holds the lower house in the state legislature (which has been trending toward Republicans).
But those are not the most important factors in the model. “There is a huge incumbency advantage, and that is coming from a lot of different factors including money, name recognition, and of course it is an indication of past election victories,” Rothschild said.
Of course, if you don’t like econometric models, you can always go with single-factor theorists. Robert Prechter, founder of Elliot Wave International, last month published a study that correlated stock market performance with U.S. presidential election outcomes.
He found stock market performance over the past year and past three years was a far more powerful predictor of re-election outcomes than Main Street-oriented economic variables as unemployment, inflation and economic growth. Why? The stock market is a fairly accurate predictor of the nation’s mood, and when people are feeling good (that is, stocks are up), they vote for the incumbent.
Based on the stock market’s performance so far this year and in the three years since its bottom (It has nearly doubled), President Obama wins in a landslide.
…
President, aka: “Thee Non-Hawaii-born son-of-a-Kenyan” … wins in a landslide.
Well iffin’ that doesn’t convert thee Alaskan Evangelicalistas + $arah into American Shakers, eyes justs don’t know what will.
This time reminds me of 1984 and the Reagan-Mondale election. In much of the US, the economy was improving. (Sure wasn’t where I was living, but that’s another story.)
If the Democrats had put up a stronger candidate who could hammer Reagan on the hard times that the so-called Rust Belt was still experiencing, I think Reagan would have been a one-termer. But the Democrats gave him a tremendous gift named Walter Mondale.
We know the rest.
Good old Walter “George Patton” Mondale.
ft dot com
March 21, 2012 3:22 pm
China property fears put bond revival at risk
By Robert Cookson in Hong Kong
The return of Chinese property developers to the international bond markets in recent weeks highlights a surge in investor appetite for the sector even as the mainland housing market continues to deteriorate.
Having been effectively locked out of the bond markets during the second half of 2011, Agile Property, KWG Property and Shui On Land have issued a total of $1.7bn of bonds this year and more of their peers are expected to follow suit.
The rebound in sentiment towards the debt-laden developers that have fuelled China’s housing construction boom has been “extraordinary”, says Guy Stear, credit strategist at Société Générale.
To see the extent of the rally, consider Country Garden’s $900m of bonds due 2018, which are among the most liquid in the sector. Just six months ago, as global risk aversion and worries about a mainland property crash reached a high, the bonds were trading at only 55 cents on the dollar and yielding more than 20 per cent, a level that implied significant risk of default. On Wednesday, having rallied to within a whisker of their par value, the bonds yielded 11 per cent.
Yet the revival is fast running out of steam, according to market participants.
“We are at a tipping point here,” says Owen Gallimore, credit strategist at ANZ. ”The Chinese property fundamentals have continued to deteriorate and bond valuations look ripe for a correction.”
…
Interesting:
Colleague stops paying, dude from bank shows up a month later, knocks on door, says he’s taking care of house for bank, 3 months go by and dude offers $80k short sale and promises to kick back $5k after closing…
I found some interesting information (Real Estate Market: Calgary vs Toronto) about the current housing market development in Toronto and Calgary. What is really interesting from my point of view is the fact that the home sales are still rising.
I´m surprised who is so crazy to buy home in Toronto in current situation, when the houses are overpriced for 25% at least. Prospects of Calgary are much brighter from my point of view.
The average price in Calgary is $425K, while the median wage is 31K.
Given its BFE location I would say that Calgary is even more overpriced than Toronto.
Oil sands.
The median wage is still a paltry 31K. And it’s not like there’s a land shortage out there.
Is it true you can see Kansas on a clear day?
I think this boom cycle happened more abruptly than anticipated and the market was caught flat-footed. But I agree: $31k median salary + $425k avg home price = Bubble
Just for comparison, the media home price in Denver is 184K, less than half the price of a house in tundraland Calgary. The Loonie and the USD are currently near parity, so the price is an apples to apples comparison.
Unbelievable. So what do young Canucks who can’t afford a house do? Move to the states?
.
Huh? The median family income in Calgary in 2009 was $88,410.00
http://www40.statcan.gc.ca/l01/cst01/famil107a-eng.htm
“Prospects of Calgary are much brighter from my point of view.”
It’s much different in Calgary, eh?
Who will pay? How about thems that loaned the monies pay for a change.
The Circle Bastiat
Strategic foreclosure: Why people are ditching their mortgages
More and more, indebted homeowners are deciding to walk away from their mortgages, instead of facing forced foreclosure. Who will pay the discarded debt?
By Douglas French, Guest blogger / January 17, 2012
More and more underwater borrowers are deciding it’s time to walk from their mortgage. “Guilt and morality are one side, and objective financial analysis are on the other side,” 68-year old David Martin told msnbc. “They’re coming to two opposite conclusions. I wonder how many other people are struggling with the same question.”
Three out of 10 foreclosures in 2010 were of the strategic variety, an increase from 22% in 2009. The Mortgage Bankers Association believes strategic defaults are spreading like a virus. In a study entitled “Strategic Default in the Context of a Social Network: An Epidemiological Approach,” conducted by Michael J. Seiler of Old Dominion University, Andrew J. Collins of the Virginia Modeling, Analysis and Simulation Center and Nina H. Fefferman of Rutgers University and sponsored by MBA’s Research Institute for Housing America (RIHA) the authors found “One default does little to negatively impact the price of surrounding homes. However, as more and more mortgages in the neighborhood go into default, the negative impact is felt at an increasing rate. Much the same way as a disease spreads throughout a population, so, too, do decisions to ‘strategically’ default.”
…
10 best cities to buy short sale homes
Foreclosures are tough: Homeowners lose their houses and ruin their credit, while banks get stuck with vacant, deteriorating real estate for months before selling it at a considerable loss. Increasingly, banks are finding another way: the short sale. Instead of waiting to foreclose, a bank preemptively sells a home at a deep discount and closes out the underwater mortgage, even if the house sells for less than the value of the mortgage. The result: Homeowners shed their mortgage debt, and banks unload properties more quickly and inexpensively. Here are the Top 10 metropolitan areas with the biggest average discounts on these pre-foreclosure homes, according to online foreclosure marketplace RealtyTrac. Can you guess which city is No. 1?
- Schuyler Velasco, Correspondent
Homes fill the hillside in San Francisco in this file photo. Once one of the most robust housing markets in the country, San Franicisco is now one of the top markets for deeply discounted short sale homes. (Marcio Jose Sanchez/AP/File)
1. San Francisco-Oakland-Freemont, Calif. (41.0 percent)
Discounts for short sale homes don’t come any bigger than this in major metropolitan areas: more than 40 percent in San Francisco. Such sales surged 50 percent in the San Francisco metropolitan area from the fourth quarter of 2010: Nearly 3,000 homes in pre-foreclosure were sold in 2011’s fourth quarter, at an average price of $330,733. Short sales made up 19.2 percent of all home sales. The city is not among the top markets for deeply discounted foreclosure homes, indicating that lenders are taking measures to help homeowners avoid foreclosure.
…
Jon Stewart, are you lurking?
Shake and bake!
…
Eric Fehrnstrom, Romney’s senior campaign adviser, was asked in a CNN interview Wednesday morning whether the former Massachusetts governor had been forced to adopt conservative positions in the rugged race that could hurt his standing with moderates in November’s general election.
“I think you hit a reset button for the fall campaign. Everything changes,” Fehrnstrom responded. “It’s almost like an Etch A Sketch. You can kind of shake it up, and we start all over again.”
…
Shaking It Up With a Popular Low-Tech Toy
Etch A Sketch Becomes a Symbol of Second Chances
By WILLIAM GRIMES
Published: March 21, 2012
THE United States is the great land of second chances. Change your name. Change your location. Change your life. If you’re a politician, change your ideas, and in so doing, change your prospects. It’s a deep-rooted American tradition that the Mitt Romney campaign has now given a colorful symbol.
It was widely reported that Wednesday on CNN, Eric Fehrnstrom, a senior adviser to Mr. Romney, predicted a fresh start for his boss’s campaign after victory in the Illinois primary. “Everything changes,” Mr. Fehrnstrom said. “It’s almost like an Etch A Sketch. You can kind of shake it up and restart all over again.
…
“After several years on the market, B. Thomas Golisano’s home at 1648 Malone Road in Victor sold for $1.35 million to Todd Gravino of Westchester County, a suburb of New York City.
“It’s the deal of the century,” said Michael Haymes, the listing agent and partner at ReMax Realty Group in Pittsford, who says the Paychex founder invested more than $6 million in the 20,000-square-foot home that was never occupied.”
http://www.democratandchronicle.com/article/20120321/HER_HOMELIFE/120321008/Golisano-s-Victor-mansion-sold?odyssey=tab|topnews|text|Home
Muggy,
Thanks for the D&C article. I used to look over the neighbor’s copy over coffee early in the morning after walking the dog, and bringing it in to her. She didn’t mind, saved her the trip outdoors, quite the perk during the winter if you’re 70ish.
what the heck is it with all these people being found dead in the rivers up there? I spent years in Rochester with a canoe and kayak on the Genessee, with not a single body reported during that whole time.
What is going on? Something has changed, and drastically!
There’s something that looks like that near Marcellus. It’s surrounded by 1500-2000 sq footers that are in a wide array of repair. It looks totally ridiculous due to the fact that everything that surrounds them is from a completely different socio-economic existence but they’ve got their mountaintop and they’re happy. Why is zoning only about controlling the small fry?
There is no “Social Contract”?
Bill and Blue, You guys are wrong. Socrates, Hobbes, John Locke and Jean-Jacques Rousseau?
“Social contract theory, nearly as old as philosophy itself, is the view that persons’ moral and/or political obligations are dependent upon a contract or agreement among them to form the society in which they live. Socrates uses something quite like a social contract argument to explain to Crito why he must remain in prison and accept the death penalty. However, social contract theory is rightly associated with modern moral and political theory and is given its first full exposition and defense by Thomas Hobbes. After Hobbes, John Locke and Jean-Jacques Rousseau are the best known proponents of this enormously influential theory, which has been one of the most dominant theories within moral and political theory throughout the history of the modern West.”
http://www.iep.utm.edu/soc-cont/
Rio,
When it comes to the preamble of the U.S. Constitution there is no social or legal contract–per U.S. Superme Court.
When it comes to the preamble of the U.S. Constitution there is no social or legal contract–per U.S. Superme Court.
Dude,
The “Social Contract” is an concept in and of political history and philosophy. It’s not a notarized piece of paper drawn up by lawyers. You miss the point.
Time to buy stocks, Guys!
Goldman Sachs: Best Time in a Generation to Buy Stocks, Sell Bonds
http://tinyurl.com/757wpka
GS says the water is fine - time to leap in.
I’ve been waiting for the MSM to tell me when everything was ’safe’, again.
Hint: Notice how stocks were recently on a tear, starting well before Gollum told you to jump back in…
I knew it was time to sell when my shoeshine boy gave me a stock tip.
-Joseph P. Kennedy, Sr
Yep, they didn’t see it coming and now they are going to do a pump and dump with the retail investors.
Just like they were regarding the U.S. housing bubble circa 2007, rumors of the Chinese housing crash are greatly exaggerated.
Just like in the U.S., the plan to save the housing market involves scamming buyers to purchase overvalued real estate.
March 21, 2012, 8:24 p.m. EDT
China real-estate prices cooling, not crashing
Some (but not all) analysts say tales of doom look overdone
By Chris Oliver, MarketWatch
A construction worker stands on scaffolding at a site overlooking the People’s Liberation Monument in Chongqing, China.
HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — China may be succeeding in its two-year effort to cool the housing market without crashing it, as some experts see trends of an ongoing consolidation in house prices, but not a U.S.-style subprime accident.
The weakening market, which saw average nationwide prices fall for a fifth straight month in February, is in line with the gradual softening sought by Beijing when it initiated a tightening of residential property restrictions in early 2010, analysts say.
“I don’t see it bursting — that’s the wrong way to describe it,” said CB Richard Ellis’s executive director of Asian residential property, Anton Eilers.
Beijing-based Eilers views the market as drawing support from pent up demand, as home purchases have remained below the long-run average for transactions for approximately the last two years.
Nevertheless, Eilers describes the current downward pressure on prices as “very real,” saying that on a recent visit to a residential development in the southern Chinese city of Guangzhou, prices on new units had been cut 37% from levels last summer.
Projects in outlying areas of other major cities have also come under pressure, with developers reducing prices by 20% to 30% in some instances, while other projects offered discounts for buyers of multiple units, he said.
Eilers believes prices are likely to retreat another 10% on average before buyers are enticed to re-enter the market.
…
It looks like China’s manufacturing economy is slumping at exactly the same time their housing market is dropping like a rock. It’s a perfect storm, folks!
Market Pulse Archives
March 21, 2012, 10:55 p.m. EDT
HSBC flash China March PMI tumbles to 48.1
By V. Phani Kumar
HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — China manufacturing activity fell sharply in March as the rate of booking new orders fell to a four-month low at factories, leading to weaker generation of jobs, according to an initial reading of findings in an HSBC survey released Thursday. The so-called “flash” manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for March printed at 48.1, down from a final reading of 49.6 in February, HSBC said. “Weakening domestic demand continued to weigh on growth, as indicated by a slowdown in new orders, which came in at a four-month low,” said Hongbin Qu, chief economist for China at HSBC. “More worryingly, employment recorded a new low since March 2009, suggesting slowing manufacturing production was hindering enterprises’ hiring desire.” The data call for further easing steps from Beijing, Qu said. The flash PMI is based on 85% to 90% of the total responses during a given month, and is an early indicator of business conditions facing Chinese manufacturers.
Sounds like Wall Street’s great vampire squids have former students right where they want them, as a debt-strapped student is more likely to fall behind on ginormous mortgage payments and eventually get foreclosed, after forking over high monthly payments based on a low down payment mortgage loan. Megabank, Inc keeps all the payments that were ever made plus the house. Foreclosed former students get keep their student loan debt until the sooner of full repayment or death.
ECONOMY
March 21, 2012, 7:41 p.m. ET
Student-Loan Debt Tops $1 Trillion
By JOSH MITCHELL and MAYA JACKSON-RANDALL
The amount Americans owe on student loans is far higher than earlier estimates and could lead some consumers to postpone buying homes, potentially slowing the housing recovery, U.S. officials said Wednesday.
Total student debt outstanding appears to have surpassed $1 trillion late last year, said officials at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, a federal agency created in the wake of the financial crisis. That would be roughly 16% higher than an estimate earlier this year by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
The new figure—released Wednesday at a banking conference in Austin, Texas—is a preliminary finding from a study of student debt that the bureau plans to release this summer. Bureau officials said the estimate is based on a survey of private lenders, as opposed to other estimates that rely on a sampling of consumer credit reports.
CFPB officials say student debt is rising for several reasons, including a surge in Americans going to college in recent years to escape the weak labor market. Also, tuition increases—which many colleges say are needed to offset big cuts in state funding—have many students taking out bigger loans.
In addition, the interest costs on older loans are climbing as borrowers fall behind on payments, reflecting mounting financial strains, bureau officials said. New York Fed data show that as many as one in four student borrowers who have begun repaying their education debts are behind on payments.
Economists say college is an increasingly good investment because of the widening pay gap between jobs that require a degree and those that don’t. Ultimately, the educational degrees and added skills are meant to help workers earn higher incomes that, in time, will more than offset the student debt.
But as more people go to college and assume bigger loans for education, they may take longer than previous generations to hit key milestones such as buying a house or getting married, U.S. officials and economists say. It could take longer for heavily indebted graduates to save money for a down payment on a home, or it could be harder for them to qualify for mortgages.
Rohit Chopra, student-loan ombudsman for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, said student debt could ultimately slow the recovery of the housing market. “First-time home-buyers are a substantial part of the housing market,” Mr. Chopra said in a speech at the banking conference in Austin. “Instead of saving for a down payment, these borrowers are sending big payments every month.”
…
* CRICKETS *
You could argue that the sheriff isn’t going to appear at the door to take back their education. Their is no collateral against a student loan, only their income potential.