March 30, 2012

Bits Bucket for March 30, 2012

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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184 Comments »

Comment by Robin
2012-03-30 00:28:46

I could sell tomorrow for $365k or move out and rent the main house for $2300 and the guest unit for $1200.

Which is better?

Comment by Muggy
2012-03-30 01:33:32

Figure it out yourself, toughgal.

 
Comment by Timmy
2012-03-30 02:00:18

Rent it out… for sure.

That’s a great ROI….

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-30 04:51:34

Meaning that you could never afford the mortgage to begin with.

 
Comment by michael
2012-03-30 06:37:32

i’m paying $ 2,500 in rent for a 3 bedroom townhouse that would list (and probably sell…i think the only remaing greater fools live in the dc metro area) for over $ 700K.

 
Comment by mikeinbend
2012-03-30 08:10:55

These are exactly the rent figures I was receiving in 2004 in Santa Barbara. But the sales price luring us out of SoCal=$865k; so we went ahead and pulled the trigger. We were banking on the rent; but the home was built in the 50s and needed so much work; we let it go, cash cow that it turned out to be for us it was a money pit of deferred maintainance; money we did not have on hand.

New owners from Russia put $300k into it(driveway, fence, roof, bathrooms and kitchen remodel, new flooring, etc.) and then sold it after 2 years for 865k; same as what they paid for it. They held it right through the peak. I see homes on this same street closing for 400k now. I paid $270k in 1995. But 400k is still a lot of money for a 50s shack.

Question; I own a home I could sell for $130k right now. It rents for $825. Should I sell it? Paid $117k for it 2 years ago, so it pays dividends at about 5% (and has a stable tenant) considering taxes, maintainance, insurance.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 08:53:23

I see homes on this same (Santa Barbara) street closing for 400k now. I paid $270k in 1995.

That same Santa Barbara street might be at “bottom” then. 1995 SoCal real estate was at bottom from the 1988-90 boom. 270K-400K from 1995-2012 is at or under the real rate of inflation no? NorCal hasn’t seen 50% haircuts in Santa Cruz etc.

I’d buy at 400K in Santa Barbara today if I lived there and wanted to.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-03-30 09:17:48

I own a home I could sell for $130k right now. It rents for $825. Should I sell it?

The old rule of thumb of 110-120x gross rents values that house from a rental perspective at $91k-$99k, so $130k seems like a good sale price, but your purchase price after commissions and such doesn’t leave much profit. Is the area economy stable in terms of jobs and income? Is there any deferred maintenance you need to put into the house that you would rather not have to pay for?

If, as many expect, inflation continues to be high, than money will inevitably flow into hard assets like real estate, where the numbers make sense. But, for rents to rise, incomes have to increase as well…

Doesn’t really answer your question, but only you can decide in your local area whether jobs are stable and incomes will continue to rise with inflation and the confidence you feel in those predictions.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-30 09:46:00

But, for rents to rise, incomes have to increase as well…

That doesn’t stop landlords from raising rents, as many HBB-ers are currently reporting.

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Comment by Northeastener
2012-03-30 10:21:11

That doesn’t stop landlords from raising rents, as many HBB-ers are currently reporting.

True, but generally landlords can’t raise rents beyond affordability as they will end up with vacant units. Supply and demand plays a big factor… i.e. in Boston, landlords can charge higher rates because of the need for College student housing.

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-03-30 11:18:12

Raising rents? HA! Maybe on the coasts. The Denver troll says they’re going up 30% here and that all the buildings are fully rented. NOT!

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-03-30 11:36:00

Raising rents? HA! Maybe on the coasts.

I’m an hour outside of Boston and I have very little means to raise rents beyond where they are currently… vacancies are somewhere around 10% in my area. In Boston or in the better towns within 495, it’s a different story. Buyers complaining of limited inventory and renters complaining of rising rents, with low vacancies.

 
 
 
Comment by Localandlord
2012-03-30 18:48:08

Robin, If you are considering moving to a lower cost area, definitely sell.

Otherwise, live in the guest house and rent out the main one.

Mike, how easy would it be to get another tenant if this one moved out? Do you ever consider relocating from Bend?

 
Comment by Localandlord
2012-03-30 19:08:09

Another thing, Mike. Do you have the ability to borrow money if a major repair comes up?

Comment by mikeinbend
2012-03-30 20:33:21

Sorry did not see your comments, localll.

Yes I could borrow money; but our kids love Bend and they are doing well in school, so no relocation for at least 7 years.

But the house is actually in Prineville, 30 minutes east of here. In the nicest part of town. Facebook and Apple have data centers there which is new but of questionable significance. This is only a glimmer of hope in Crook County; which boasts a 17% unemployment rate.

Used to be one could purchase a home in Prineville and work a crap job in Bend till the bubble raised the prices up to the same level; which did not help this bedroom community of 9,000 if the commuters don’t get a break on housing and/or cant afford gas.

Since it is in a nice part of town; it is easily rentable; possibly for more $$ but don’t want to disturb the good tenant I have. If we can/ or decide to hang on to it we would like to live there when the kids leave the nest. My aging folks live in the neighborhood (they paid 315k for their 2300sq foot home). They could also care less as they ain’t selling. After the dip, things are settling out at $90/sq foot right now.

If the price drops, as it likely will; the income stays the same anyway; so why sell or care? For now we are taking the buy and hold outlook; only bugaboo is what if we cant afford to keep it, To pay the golddarn doctor(and associated insurance).

Also, I don’t know where else I could get a reliable return on the 120k I had saved; two years I have taken in 20k on the money. It was in CDs….

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Comment by Localandlord
2012-03-31 11:30:27

Mike, it sounds like you have several good reasons to keep the house. It’s not always about the money. As you say - 5% is a good return these days. Not good enough for a long distance rental but you’ll be nearby visiting the folks a lot.

Also - with credit blown you might have a hard time buying another house on retirement. Another good reason to keep the place.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-30 04:21:27

Realtors Are Liars®

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-30 05:13:14

Canada announced plans to raise the old age security payments from age 65 to age 67, for those born after 1958.

Comment by combotechie
Comment by azdude
2012-03-30 06:23:09

Most americans dont have a pot to P@ss in when they retire. If social security dries up they are screwed.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 06:35:48

In the entire history of mankind, with only a few exceptions, screwing the old has been the norm.

This is done because the young are too stupid and busy blaming the old to realize that they will be the old one day.

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Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-30 06:45:02

And the old screwing the productive(the young) has been around longer.

I’m baffled by the blue-hairs that seem to want to deny medical insurance to those who have none, yet everyday, these these same uninsured people go to work and fund the blue hairs SS and medicare.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-30 07:12:21

When I go to work and fund SS and medicare I don’t do it voluntarily. If it was voluntary I would opt out because it is an unsustainable ponzi scheme.

I may seem to want to deny coverage in your eyes but not agreeing to pay for another unaffordable, unsustainable, unconstitutional scheme is not the same thing as denying coverage.

 
Comment by exeter
2012-03-30 07:16:17

And when you opt out of all insurance, you’ll have credibility.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 07:18:08

It’s not the blue hairs, it’s the politicians.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-30 07:20:08

And when you opt out of all insurance, you’ll have credibility.

I had coverage for a few years when I was in the Carpenters Union but otherwise I have lived without coverage. I have none today.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 07:20:53

There is nothing in the Constitution that specially denies SS or any other form of citizens assistance. In fact, the Constitution’s main underlying theme is the welfare of the people.

 
Comment by Posers
2012-03-30 07:29:31

RAL-

Not to worry. It’ll switch soon (15 to 20 years). By the year 2030, society will be taking from the elders to pay off massive debts incurred by the young.

Baby Boomers will make sure that today’s 40 somethings will be paying for today’s 20 somethings.

Count on it.

 
Comment by Posers
2012-03-30 07:34:09

No, it’s not. The underlying theme is freedom for the individual.

 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-03-30 08:10:29

+100, Posers.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 09:08:49

otherwise I have lived without coverage. I have none today.

Then if you get a major illness or hit by a car you will be a deadbeat with public taxes and other people’s medical insurance hikes paying for you care.

Many see themselves as such rugged individualists in their own eyes….. until they’re whimpering like a baby on a hospital gurney. Then some of them realize it was a lie.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 09:11:18

The underlying theme is freedom for the individual.

The underlying theme of the constitution is freedom for the individual and forming a nation that can promote and protect the general welfare of the people.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 09:14:03

Freedom does not exclude welfare, a word specifically used in the Constitution, the context of which is “promote the general welfare.

And while not binding because it is in the preamble, it is a statement of the desired result.

Again, there is NOTHING in the Constitution that denies assistance to the citizens. Where do people get this idea?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 09:26:47

Freedom does not exclude welfare

“Promote the General Welfare” (definition)

Promote: Further the progress of, support or actively encourage

General: Affecting or concerning all or most

Welfare: The health, happiness, and fortunes of a person or group

By definition The Constitution specifically intended to further in progress and support the health of all or most Americans. With 1/3 of Americans having no insurance or junk insurance, this part of the social contract has been broken.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-03-30 09:45:55

I have none today.

WTF, CharlieTango? At your level of income/assets, aren’t you at all concerned about being one serious health event or car accident away from having no assets again?

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-30 09:49:51

I had coverage for a few years when I was in the Carpenters Union but otherwise I have lived without coverage. I have none today.

For all intents and purposes, I’m in the same boat. Got a crappy junk insurance policy from a Goldman Sachs-owned company that’s being sued by the city of Los Angeles.

Sad thing is, this POS policy’s about all I can find. I’m almost 55 and I’m sure that there’s at least one pre-existing condition that would disqualify me from coverage.

As far as I’m concerned, the sooner we get single payer in this country, the better.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-30 10:00:30

I’ve spent most of the last 45 years unable to purchase medical insurance due to a pre-existing condition.

I’m not concerned about that catastrophic event, if it happens it happens. My good friend and neighbor, experienced his catastrophic event recently and he refused treatment. I would likely do the same.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-03-30 10:07:04

My good friend and neighbor, experienced his catastrophic event recently and he refused treatment.

Yikes. Was that due to it truly being untreatable, or because he was unwilling to deplete his assets to buy a limited amount of time?

Is that a heart condition, btw?


last 45 years unable to purchase medical insurance due to a pre-existing condition.

Wow, that really sucks. I wish we had a decent single-payer system that would take care of your care.

 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-30 10:20:29

Yikes. Was that due to it truly being untreatable, or because he was unwilling to deplete his assets to buy a limited amount of time?

Bruce sustained major injuries in a car crash when he was young and recently it happened again. He wasn’t willing to loose a leg and go through re-hap. It wasn’t about money but quality of life.

I wish we had a decent single-payer system that would take care of your care.

I would like to be free of this burden but not at the expense of govt provided health care. I have no faith that the govt will do anything but make our health care system worse.

 
Comment by polly
2012-03-30 10:57:16

“The underlying theme is freedom for the individual”

That stuff was tacked on to the end and added later.

The main theme of the Constitution is the responsibilities of (and method of choosing) the three branches of government.

“General welfare” is largely a rhetorical flourish.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 11:05:35

45 years unable to purchase medical insurance due to a pre-existing condition.

I’m sorry to hear that. California now offers a plan (PCIP) for those with pre-existing conditions. It was part of Obama’s federal Affordable Care Act of 2010. The chances of you choosing to die instead of receiving healthcare you can’t afford are slim. A lot of people live OK even after $200K medical bills. If you get creamed by a car but know you can recover to a decent life after a couple years of recuperation you’re not going to pull your plug. Few people can pull their own plug where the rubber meets the road.

I have no faith that the govt will do anything but make our health care system worse

I have no idea what you base this no faith on other than dogma or propaganda. Canada spends 11% GDP on health-care the USA 18% and Canada has similar or better health-stats but insures everyone. Medicare and the VA all are run cheaper and more efficiently than private insurance.

45 years unable to purchase medical insurance due to a pre-existing condition.

People, this is where America’s health policy is insane. That a tax-paying American cannot get coverage due to a pre-existing condition totally violates ANY social contract that can exist. Think about it: A country sets up a system where it’s population HAS to seek private insurance to get decent healthcare but allows the mandatory private system to deny the product because you NEED the product??? Say whaaaat??!

Are you kidding me? This is INSANE. The foreign tourists I’ve talked to about this in Brazil DO NOT BELIEVE SUCH A SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE! Some think I’m mistaken and one asked me if Americans were BARBARIANS! Maybe the mandate is flawed but at least Obama tried to add some justice to our healthcare. REPEAL!!! REPEAL!!! (and just die FREE)

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 11:14:40

“General welfare” is largely a rhetorical flourish.

It is not. Unless you think spending the past 200 years and especially the last 80 years improving most American’s lives a rhetorical flourish.

The main theme of the Constitution is the responsibilities of (and method of choosing) the three branches of government.

Main theme? And what was the purpose of the theme? To have a theme? George Washington said to Jefferson, “We need a theme of 3 branches of government so we can have a coherent theme.”? Jefferson: “That’s good because I like themes. The theme of my Declaration of Independence was that a Colonist could write well.” :) (Just havin’ fun here)
But no. Here follows the purpose of the theme.

We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-30 12:37:43

“Here follows the purpose of the theme.”

Once again, …x3 Cheers for Rio! :-)

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-03-30 12:37:54


He wasn’t willing to loose a leg and go through re-hap. It wasn’t about money but quality of life.

Wow. I would choose otherwise myself, but I fully support his right to make this decision for himself.

I would like to be free of this burden but not at the expense of govt provided health care. I have no faith that the govt will do anything but make our health care system worse.

I would like to be free of the burden of knowing I live in a country where people choose not to seek even emergency care because of the financial implications. The interview with the guy in Sicko who lost a few fingers to a table-saw, and couldn’t afford to have them put back on (because he lived in the US) vs the guy in Canada who could and did have them put back on, sickened me.

 
Comment by polly
2012-03-30 12:44:10

Sorry, Rio. Laws are laws. The 3/5ths solution wasn’t established to promote the general welfare. Neither is the requirement that the electoral college choose the president with outrageous over-representation by the smallest states by population. They put together a form of government that had never existed before and it has worked fairly well. That is accomplishment enough without attributing some extraordinary meaning to the words they used as an introduction with no legal weight at all. Congress has the power to pass health care because of the commerce clause, not because it “promotes the general welfare.”

No Congress would ever pass a law that they didn’t think (whether self-servingly or not) would promote the general welfare. A restiction on power that can never be violated is no restriction at all. The federal government has restrictions on its powers that would not exist if it really had the power to do anything to promote the general welfare. It was rhetoric. The founding fathers understood the power of it. It was part of the trivium in classical education.

 
Comment by drumminj
2012-03-30 12:59:17

The interview with the guy in Sicko who lost a few fingers to a table-saw, and couldn’t afford to have them put back on (because he lived in the US) vs the guy in Canada who could and did have them put back on, sickened me.

Prime, I get where your heart is, but who’s job is it to work to pay for this? Those that can, because they’re able?

I don’t think there’s a right answer here. I’m always to hear the thought process/debate from folks who aren’t prone to simply reacting on an emotional level.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 12:59:32

Sorry, Rio. Laws are laws.

Sorry Polly, but there is much more to life and countries than laws, and laws are passed for reasons other than to simply to have laws.

It’s not

“We the people of the United States, in order to have laws and employ police and lawyers…”

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-03-30 13:41:31

Prime, I get where your heart is, but who’s job is it to work to pay for this? Those that can, because they’re able?

drummin, I appreciate that first comment. And I’m not generally one to think that bigger government is the solution to all of our problems—far from it.

But if you happen to drive by just as a person jumps out of a burning vehicle, and that person goes up in flames, and you have a fire-extinguish readily at hand in your vehicle, do you have a moral obligation to stop and put them out?

Sure, you paid for the extinguish, and of course you would have to bear the financial burden of recharging it…

Ok, I know I’m cherry-picking a fine reductio ad absurdum example, but I do feel that as a society we have some moral obligation to help each other. I do not think this extends to providing extreme or hugely expensive care (no new heart for Cheney!), not to bear all of the costs routine taking care of oneself, but some care.

Knowing where to draw the line is the hard part IMHO…

But I know I’d like that guy to still have his fingers. Accidents do happen…

 
Comment by drumminj
2012-03-30 14:14:12

Knowing where to draw the line is the hard part IMHO…

Agreed. And moral obligations are different from legal ones. I think that’s the big difference.

If I fail to follow through on a moral obligation, I simply get shunned by society and probably feel crappy about myself. If I fail to follow through on a legal one, I end up in jail. I lose my freedom.

I’m not arguing against the moral obligation (honestly, I struggle with this at times. I’m more likely than the average bear to stop and help someone on the side of the road. But I don’t stop every time I know that I could help someone due to the inconvenience to myself). I do have an issue with the legal one, which is what it would be if gov’t stepped in to pay for all of this.

(now commence the unfounded personal attacks from the usual suspects about how selfish I am, unwilling to help others etc. )

 
Comment by Posers
2012-03-30 14:15:15

Rio-

Perhaps Americans could pay more for general welfare healthcare of its own people if the US government wasn’t subsidizing the development of Brazil’s offshore oil industry.

I don’t see you faulting the U.S. for that. Where’s your furor about major U.S. oil companies doing business in Brazil?

Brazil’s people obviously are quite happy to accept our money in exchange for (according to you) substandard medical care in the USA.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-03-30 14:16:12

I’m alwayswilling to hear the thought process/debate from folks who aren’t prone to simply reacting on an emotional level.

So watching someone suffering in pain is a “thought process”??? No, pain and suffering is an emotional response and therefore I will continue to respond emotionally.

 
Comment by drumminj
2012-03-30 14:42:04


So watching someone suffering in pain is a “thought process”???

Thank you for providing the counterpoint to what I appreciate in Prime’s response/reaction to things.

(that “whoosh” you heard was what I said going right over your head)

 
Comment by Montana
2012-03-30 15:06:11

I went without insurance in my 20s, and part of my 30s. My brother went without until he hit 65, and just didn’t go to the doctor. We didn’t cost anyone anything.

I think young people especially should have the freedom to take the risk, but they won’t here pretty soon, unless the Court overturns this thing. They’ll be required by law to buy full-bore insurance they don’t need (statistically) in order to subsidize insurance for older people.

 
Comment by polly
2012-03-30 15:12:01

Yes, RIo, there is a lot more to the country than its laws. Lots lots more. But those things don’t get put in the document that is the supreme law of the land and given legal authority.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-03-30 15:14:42

The Preamble of the Constitution
Judicial relevance

The courts have shown interest in any clues they can find in the Preamble regarding the Constitution’s meaning.[4] Courts have developed several techniques for interpreting the meaning of statutes and these are also used to interpret the Constitution.[5] As a result, the courts have said that interpretive techniques that focus on the exact text of a document[6] should be used in interpreting the meaning of the Constitution, so the Preamble provides additional language against which to compare other parts of the Constitution…the Preamble is also useful for these efforts to identify the “spirit” of the Constitution.

Additionally, when interpreting a legal document, courts are usually interested in understanding the document as its authors did and their motivations for creating it;[8] as a result, the courts have cited the Preamble for evidence of the history, intent and meaning of the Constitution as it was understood by the Founders.
wikipedia

The 3/5ths solution wasn’t established to promote the general welfare

Of course it was, it promoted the general welfare of white men, who ran the government at that time and who made up the social contract. Social contracts do not have to be egalitarian- as we define it now- to have existed. They just have to be commonly agreed upon by the people who control society- which was once white men. As the country has evolved in its thinking (and with a little help from brute force), we have included women and non-whites into the social contract, which is encapsulated in the Preamble of the Constitution.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-03-30 15:54:26

Thanks for the productive exchange, drummin. It doesn’t surprise me that you would be the type to render assistance on the side of the road…

And I get the line that you are drawing between moral and legal obligations.

I’m curious: would you say that you believe that moral obligations should never translate into legal obligations? Or are you ok with some legal compulsions to behave morally? Most non-sociopaths consider murder a moral issue, but most societies also make that a legal constraint.

Or are you drawing a line between legal restraint, vs legal compulsion?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 21:41:36

Americans could pay more for general welfare healthcare of its own people if the US government wasn’t subsidizing the development of Brazil’s offshore oil industry.

Poser, Are you making that up? America subsidizes nothing when it comes to Brazilian oil. Every dime Chevron, Exon puts in Brazil will return much more than that dime.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 22:01:18

The 3/5ths solution wasn’t established to promote the general welfare.

A bit but mostly for the Preamble’s concept of “Insuring domestic tranquility” 1. It was a compromise 2. It reflected the times. We can’t judge it totally by our times.

Neither is the requirement that the electoral college choose the president with outrageous over-representation by the smallest states by population.

The electoral college would fall under “In order to form a more perfect union” It too was a compromise to form a more perfect union but to also be somewhat true to America’s history of states rights. IMO, it was genius.

It was rhetoric

The Preamble stated the reasons why the Constitution was written. The reasons came first as they always do. The Law of the Land came second. Reasons why, and motivations always come before laws. And they always will.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 22:08:12

Social contracts do not have to be egalitarian- as we define it now- to have existed. They just have to be commonly agreed upon by the people who control society- which was once white men.

There it is. The Social Contract evolves.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-30 07:03:46

“If social security dries up they are screwed.”

Uh…did you notice that

1) Social Security for current retirees is funded out of the paychecks of current workers?

2) The trickle of new workers coming up the ranks is small compared to the looming tsunami tide of Baby Boomer retirees?

3) Employment of new entrants to the labor force is abysmally low?

Sounds to me like a perfect storm for Social Security dessication.

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 07:25:29

“2) The trickle of new workers coming up the ranks is small compared to the looming tsunami tide of Baby Boomer retirees?”

Incorrect. Gen X & Y FAR outnumber the boomers and both are ALREADY in the workforce, with their offspring already in the pipeline. This is EASILY verified by googling.

The lack of workers is a LIE perpetuated by Wall St. in a long range plan to privatize SS to steal your money to play the Wall St casino.

Forget this at your peril.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-30 09:51:42

The lack of workers is a LIE perpetuated by Wall St. in a long range plan to privatize SS to steal your money to play the Wall St casino.

Ding, ding, ding! We have a winner!

 
Comment by polly
2012-03-30 11:02:08

I read a blog post recently (can’t remember where) that explained that in Sweden (perhaps one of the other Scandanavian countries) the equivalent of Social Security was paid for out of current collections. No trust fund. No issues with promised amounts being too high. Whatever the government collects is what is distributed according to whatever formula they use. If you are part of a very large retirement “wave” that is supported by a smaller group of workers, you will get less money. If you are part of a baby bust group that is supported by a lot more wokers, you get more. But there is no worry about the system taking on debt and burdening future generations. It simply doesn’t work that way.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 11:17:50

Whatever the government collects is what is distributed according to whatever formula they use. If you are part of a very large retirement “wave” that is supported by a smaller group of workers, you will get less money.

This is the way it should be in SocSec and all public pensions IMO.

States giving set amounts based on investment returns that are never “set” does not compute.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-03-30 13:33:02

Whatever the government collects is what is distributed according to whatever formula they use.

This is the way our system should be structured as well. The promise of a set amount is the root of the problem.

This would be the most sensible “fix” for SS.

 
Comment by Posers
2012-03-30 13:55:27

Polly-

While I’m fundamentally against government-provided assurance/insurance of any type, what you have described re: Sweden makes a great deal more sense than what we have here. Not only is it a great deal more efficient and cost effective, but it’s also a great deal more ETHICAL(!)
Imagine that.

Here, we have a government that cannot even establish a budget, much less act like it’s on one (which must infuriate you). Lobbyists must hate Sweden.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 14:01:57

Your final SS payments ARE determined by how much you contribute during your working life.

Lots of unemployment means you get the bare min.which believe me, is pretty damn bare at less than $900 month right now.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-30 23:04:26

“The promise of a set amount is the root of the problem.”

Maybe that’s why most of y’alls have only 401(K) retirements to look forward to, at best. Defined contributions are “in”; defined benefits are “out.”

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-03-31 11:10:46

Defined contributions are “in”; defined benefits are “out.”

Unfortunately, that is not true for SS…

 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 09:00:58

75 percent of respondents cited medical or funeral expenses as the cause.

The solution is so simple but so hard. Scrap Medicare, Medicade and private insurance and go to single payer with a max 10% of GDP spent on healthcare. (We spend 18% of GDP on healthcare now) This covers basic care probably equal to year 2000 level service. Then offer private insurance options to cover the really cutting edge stuff. Hey, regular folks should have decent coverage and those who spend more should get more.

Comment by MiddleCoaster aka Elanor
2012-03-30 09:24:27

It’ll never happen, Rio. Too pragmatic. The rugged individualists will scream about having to pay for health care for others, and the big insurance companies will cry that their market share has plummeted.

Sounds good to me, however!

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 09:50:14

The rugged individualists will scream about having to pay for health care for others,

I know, and it boggles my mind that so many on the right let propaganda frame the issue in their mind that way because if they have private insurance and don’t get sick, they are “paying for someone else’s health care” already. Their taxes are already “paying for someone else’s health care” already with Medicade and Medicare not to mention higher insurance premiums. How can they not see this?

But alas, you are probably correct in that it’s too pragmatic.

 
Comment by MiddleCoaster
2012-03-30 10:44:51

Their auto and homeowners insurance premiums also pay for other people’s misfortunes. Yet you never hear any squawking about that.

 
Comment by drumminj
2012-03-30 13:02:21

Yet you never hear any squawking about that.

There is squaking when it’s related to government mandated auto insurance.

But generally speaking that’s because folks have the freedom of choice. I can choose to defray my risk, or I can choose to assume it all myself. Right now I choose to keep collision insurance on a car with 200k miles on it. I arguably should self-insure, but I get to make the choice, and I get to shop around for prices.

With gov’t mandated insurance, that’s not the case - no choice, and I’m forced to subsidize other’s poor choices with no ability to influence them.

 
 
Comment by measton
2012-03-30 09:34:32

We have a winner

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Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-03-30 09:50:42

+1, Rio.

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Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-30 05:46:22

“Canada announced plan$” ;-)

How does it work up there in iceberg-land?

The Gov’t says this is what we’re gonna do, then they do it … or … the Gov’t says this is what we’re gonna do, then “The Peoples” get to $peak?

Comment by Al
2012-03-30 08:09:20

A little from column A, and a little from column B.

The change doesn’t affect anyone until the distant future, so it’ll probably fly.

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-30 05:52:14

Filed: How to rid yourself of u$ele$$ peon currencie$ but retain “The-Peon$” for other useful thang$, le$$on 1:

“Customers are already forbidden from using more than 25 pennies in a single purchase.”

Canada to pull the penny from circulation
By Eric Pfeiffer | The Sideshow

“The penny has simply outlived its purpose,” said Senator Irving Gerstein. “It is a piece of currency, quite frankly, that lacks currency.”

The Associated Press notes that some countries have already eliminated pennies or their monetary equivalent from circulation, including Finland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Israel, the Netherlands, Australia, New Zealand, France, Spain, South Africa, Switzerland and Brazil.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-03-30 08:22:50

The dime now buys what a penny did a few decades ago, and we didn’t need 1/10 pennies then. Pennies from the 1800s were the size of quarters. Perpetual partial theft sure adds up!

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 09:15:39

It’s still funny in Brazil not having “pennies”. One’s change is always rounded to the “nickle”. There actually is a coin shortage in Brazil which makes buying things a pain sometimes.

 
 
Comment by 45north
2012-03-30 19:43:39

Blue Sky, more Canadians will go shopping in New York State:
effective June 1, those exemption limits will be raised: to $200 after 24 hours away; $800 after 48 hours away; and $800 after seven days outside of the country.

http://www.ottawacitizen.com/travel/exemptions+cross+border+shoppers/6381032/story.html

 
 
Comment by Muggy
2012-03-30 05:23:31

“Scott must decide future of pensions bill”

http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/03/29/2721535/scott-must-decide-future-of-pensions.html

LOL at this LEO:

“Sir, my family and I voted for you. We know changes had to be made to make government more efficient, but taking away from good, loyal, hard-working employees was the furthest thing I thought you would do.”

No, dipstick, it was the FIRST thing he said he was going to do. What’s the matter with Kansas all of them?

Comment by Kirisdad
2012-03-30 06:20:35

Muggy, could you explain this Bill?

Comment by Muggy
2012-03-30 14:58:02

“Muggy, could you explain this Bill?”

Sorry for the late response. I was checking out Starkey Wilderness Park today. Beautiful.

“Special Risk” employees will have state contributions to their investment pensions cut. I don’t get the higher ed. part.

It’s basically how Rick Scott is covering the billions of dollars he’s giving to businesses.

http://floridaindependent.com/73771/rick-scott-tax-breaks-for-businesses

If the courts reverse his FRS 3% move, my family will get back about 3gs… so I am paying for this, too. Literally. The money went into the state’s general fund, and not the pension fund.

What a guy!

Comment by Kirisdad
2012-03-30 15:50:56

I guess I should asked, what’s a ’special risk employee’?

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Comment by Muggy
2012-03-30 17:08:12

Police, fire, FDLE, FWC, etc.

 
 
 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 06:39:39

People in this country hear what they want to hear because advertising is loudly telling them what they want to hear while whispering the truth.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 09:32:01

No, dipstick, it was the FIRST thing he said he was going to do. What’s the matter with Kansas all of them?

The Republicans are starting to tip their hand. Good. All the slogans sounded so patriotic at the Tea Party rallies didn’t they?

Tea Party Rally 2010 sign:
“Stop the Spending”!

Tea Party Rally 2013 sign:
“Stop all the Spending except for Mine”!!!

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-30 05:37:27

Got gas?

March 29, 2012, 3:34 p.m. ET

US GAS: Futures Swoon To 10-Year Low On Inventory Data

–Gas futures slump to 10-year low on EIA data

–EIA said inventories rose 57 bcf last week

–Analysts saw 46 bcf rise in stockpiles - Survey

(Adds spot-price table.)

By Dan Strumpf
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

NEW YORK (Dow Jones)–Natural-gas futures plunged 5.8% to a fresh 10-year low Thursday after the U.S. government reported a larger-than-expected increase in inventories, as demand remained weak in the face of surging production.

In a separate report, the government said natural-gas output rose to an all-time high in January.

Natural gas for May delivery settled 13.3 cents lower, at $2.149 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

That is the lowest finish for the commodity since Feb. 6, 2002.

Futures started the day modestly lower, then sold off sharply after the Energy Information Administration reported that natural-gas inventories last week rose 57 billion cubic feet. May futures plunged five cents in the first minute alone after the 10:30 a.m. EDT report.

The rise was well above the 46-bcf build projected in a Dow Jones Newswires survey of analysts.

“You saw this sizeable injection that most were not anticipating,” said Eric Bickel, analyst at Summit Energy in Louisville, Ky.

The sizeable build is a result of both weak demand for natural gas and surging production. The unusually mild winter and early spring have clobbered demand for natural gas used to heat homes and offices. Meanwhile, production in so-called shale fields continues to surge.

Natural-gas inventories stood at 2.437 trillion cubic feet as of March 23, according to the EIA. That is 50% higher than a year ago and 59% above the five-year average level for this time of year.

Last year this week, inventories rose just 7 billion cubic feet.

The commodity’s selloff accelerated throughout the day, continuing after the EIA reported in a separate study that natural-gas production in the lower-48 states in January rose to a record high of 72.85 billion cubic feet a day.

The rise–up 9%, or 6.07-bcf a day, from the prior year–came even though prices fell during that month to what were then 10-year lows. Also that month, some natural-gas producers, including Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK) and ConocoPhillips (COP) announced modest production cuts.

Neither factor appeared to have much impact on production, which remains elevated due in large part to the high price of oil and other petroleum liquids. Most wells produce a mix of both gas and oil, with high prices for the latter effectively subsidizing production of the former.

“There’s fear out there that…you have such an abundance of gas in storage that you literally don’t have anywhere to put it,” said Cameron Horwitz, analyst at U.S. Capital Advisors in Houston.

Comment by azdude
2012-03-30 06:24:52

So if the fed keeps printing money at what point do gas prices reach the law of diminishing returns for the economy?

Comment by Posers
2012-03-30 06:42:20

Does it even matter? We’re not about to begin building oil refineries and natural gas filling stations in any real quantities any time soon.

Instead, we’ll sink our money into renewable ratholes.

Just as the government wants, to control the economy and lives of the peoples, and rig the markets.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-30 07:01:48

“We’re not about to begin building oil refineries and natural gas filling stations in any real quantities any time soon.”

But, but, but in 2002 Cheny-$hrub said: “We have to build x1 refinery a week for the next 25 years in order to meet demand$”

So, now the ga$oline is being shipped … out-of-America.

cornfused-as-a-baby-in-a-bar-watching-dancer-topless ;-)

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Comment by azdude
2012-03-30 07:03:55

I think it does matter in the short term.
With a new round of QE possibly coming what impacts will this have on gas rise? Fuel prices are a major drag on the economy.

So if the FED prints and the price of gas goes up, are they really gaining anything? There has to be like an inflection point where the printing causes the economy to start stalling due to higher gas prices.

Not sure where it at but it feels close.

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Comment by Posers
2012-03-30 08:02:20

I guess I’ll need to be a tad more blunt:

Yes, the FED and the BANKS/GOVERNMENT are benefitting from the non-stop printing press and a weak dollar. A weak dollar means gas prices go UP despite supply increases and decreasing demand (which is a boon for a power-mad, screw the masses government). A weak dollar also is advantageous to the stock market.

For the peoples, the scenario sucks. But for the Fed, the Government and the Banks, it’s hugely advantageous.

 
 
Comment by b-hamster
2012-03-30 08:53:56

I don’t really see where ther government is pouring money into renewable ratholes. If anything, they’ve gutted these programs, leaving trenewables in the lurch while Asia and Europe continue to forge ahead. Oil sands, fracking and mountaintop removal - all with weakend regulatory oversight in the last decade - are not considered renewable. Unless you’re in the coal industry, where I recall seeing billboards on the PA turnmpike promoting coal as a green energy. I choked on my coffee when I saw that.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 09:54:12

I recall seeing billboards on the PA turnmpike promoting coal as a green energy.

That came from the same public relations firm that came up with the name “The Patriot Act”.

They are very good but expensive.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-03-30 18:19:46

coal as a green energy.

But coal is green!

1) Plant TREE.
2) Grow TREE.
3) Chop down TREE and bury it in your back yard.
4) Wait a few million years.
5) Voila! You and the SUN have created GREEN energy! Your own coal in your back yard.

 
 
Comment by MrBubble
2012-03-30 09:19:19

“We’re not about to begin building oil refineries and natural gas filling stations in any real quantities any time soon.”

What do you mean “we”, kimosabe? You must mean the subsidized oil companies, right? They won’t because there is no profit. If you mean the government, i.e. us, we shouldn’t since that it not the way to the future. That way is for closed minds that have run out of new ideas and are afraid of the future.

“Just as the government wants, to control the economy and lives of the peoples, and rig the markets.”

I am going to have to go long Alcoa if this type of “thinking” gets more prevalent on this blog.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 09:35:49

We’re not about to begin building oil refineries and natural gas filling stations in any real quantities any time soon.

Brazil has natural gas filling stations everywhere, most cars are flex-fuel that can run on any percentage of gas/ethanol mixture and Brazil is energy independent but the program that got them there was “socialistic” so none of that stuff counts.

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Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-03-30 10:04:02

The way Brazil has accomplished this is brilliant.

We should be requiring that all new gasoline-fueled cars are flex-fuel today. That would pave the way to a future where we manage to drive up our production of cellulosic ethanol, or import cheaper ethanol from abroad. (Down with corn-based ethanol!)

 
Comment by Posers
2012-03-30 16:00:35

Stop putting words in my mouth, Rio. I’m getting rather sick of it.

I have ZERO problem with taxpayer support of the construction of tens of thousands of natural gas filling stations. The USA is loaded with nat gas reserves and should take advantage of it.

The USA also is loaded with oil reserves and should be taking advantage of that as well. Taxpayer money should be going toward construction of refineries.

The USA also should be building nuclear power plants at a rapid clip, especially in the South where it makes most sense economically to do so. Taxpayer money should be used there, too.

Conversely, taxpayer money should NOT be sunk into unions and lobbyist groups to further Obama’s cause, nor should it be used to fund socialized medical care, nor should it be used to bail out irresponsible homeowners and banks.

There. Clear enough?

Now, that said, how come your don’t complain about U.S.A. taxpayer supported (and Obama and Soros supported) subsidization of oil drilling development off the coast of Brazil?

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-03-30 17:46:03

Why should taxpayer being paying for _any_ of those forms of energy development—much less ALL of them??

Energy users should pay for the costs of development in their rates.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 22:13:25

Stop putting words in my mouth, Rio. I’m getting rather sick of it.

What words did I put in your mouth? I made a comment on a post.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-30 23:08:11

It’s time to take our country back from the environmental whackos.

Drill here. Drill now. Drill ANWR.
North Slope of Alaska

To pay less, save the environment, and stop sending trillions to foreign dictators.

“We can’t drill our way out of our energy problem.” This daily mantra underscores an abysmal grasp of economics by the politicians, activists, bureaucrats and judges who are dictating US policies. If only their hot air could be converted into usable energy.

Drilling is no silver bullet. But it is vital. It won’t generate overnight production. But just announcing that America is finally hunting oil again would send a powerful signal to energy markets … and to speculators – many of whom are betting that continued US drilling restrictions will further exacerbate the global demand-supply imbalance, and send “futures” prices even higher.

Pro-drilling policies would likely bring lower prices, as did recent announcements that Brazil had found new offshore oil fields and Iraq would sign contracts to increase oil production. Conversely, news that supplies are tightening – because of sabotage in Nigeria’s delta region, or more congressional bans on leasing – will send prices upward.

One of our best prospects is Alaska’s Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, which geologists say contains billions of barrels of recoverable oil. If President Clinton hadn’t bowed to Wilderness Society demands and vetoed 1995 legislation, we’d be producing a million barrels a day from ANWR right now. That’s equal to US imports from Saudi Arabia, at $50 billion annually.

Drilling in ANWR would get new oil flowing in 5-10 years, depending on how many lawsuits environmentalists file. That’s far faster than benefits would flow from supposed alternatives: devoting millions more acres of cropland to corn or cellulosic ethanol, converting our vehicle fleet to hybrid and flex-fuel cars, trying to build dozens of new nuclear power plants, and blanketing thousands of square miles with wind turbines and solar panels. These alternatives would take decades to implement, and all face political, legal, technological, economic and environmental hurdles.

ANWR is the size of South Carolina. Its narrow coastal plain is frozen and windswept most of the year. Wildlife flourish amid drilling and production in other Arctic regions, and would do so near ANWR facilities. Inuits who live there know this, and support drilling by an 8:1 margin. Gwich’in Indians who oppose drilling live hundreds of miles away – and have leased and drilled nearly all their own tribal lands, including caribou migratory routes.

Drilling and production operations would impact only 2,000 acres – to produce 15 billion gallons of oil annually. Saying this tiny footprint would spoil the refuge is like saying a major airport along South Carolina’s northern border would destroy the entire state’s scenery and wildlife.

It’s a far better bargain than producing 7 billion gallons of ethanol in 2007 from corn grown on and area the size of Indiana (23 million acres). It’s far better than using wind to generate enough electricity to power New York City, which would require blanketing Connecticut (3 million acres) with turbines.

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 07:08:39

That depends on one’s place in the economy.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-30 05:38:51

March 28, 2012, 3:23 p.m. ET

OIL FUTURES: Crude Drops On Inventory Build, SPR Concerns

–Futures decline as US oil inventories rise to a seven-month high

–Oil settled $1.92 lower at $105.41/bbl

–France’s statements on strategic oil release also weigh

By Jerry A. DiColo
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

NEW YORK (Dow Jones)–Crude-oil futures fell Wednesday, hit by a surprise build in U.S. oil inventories and the renewed potential for a strategic oil reserve release.

Light, sweet crude oil for May delivery settled $1.92, or 1.8%, lower at $105.41 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after dipping below $105 a barrel earlier in the session.

Comment by Posers
2012-03-30 06:46:19

Alas, a cheap dollar and a printing press do not inexpensive gasoline make. Quite the opposite.

Inventories are down because the dollar is weak.

The dollar is weak because of the Fed and the tacit approval of government.

We reap what we sow.

Comment by Posers
2012-03-30 07:31:16

Sorry - inventories are UP because the dollar is weak.

 
 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-30 06:52:57

“US oil inventories rise to a seven-month high”

Good thing the USA is wee-peon-con$umer of the black-gold goo.

$torage, Bet$ & Bottleneck$ .. xmas Bonu$ criteria is fast approaching! :-)

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-30 05:41:23

An article I just posted suggests oil inventories are rising.

Oil and the world economy
The new grease?
How to assess the risks of a 2012 oil shock
Mar 10th 2012 | Washington, DC | from the print edition

WITH the euro crisis in abeyance, high oil prices have become the latest source of worry for the world economy. “Oil is the new Greece” is a typical headline on a recent report by HSBC analysts. The fear is understandable. Oil markets are edgy; tensions with Iran are high. The price of Brent crude shot up by more than $5 a barrel on March 1st, to $128, after an Iranian press report that explosions had destroyed a vital Saudi Arabian oil pipeline. It fell back after the Saudis denied the claim, but at $125, crude is still 16% costlier than at the start of the year.

Assessing the dangers posed by dearer oil means answering four questions: What is driving up the oil price? How high could it go? What is the likely economic impact of rises so far? And what damage could plausible future increases do?

The origins of higher prices matter. Supply shocks, for instance, do more damage to global growth than higher prices that are the consequence of stronger demand. One frequent explanation of the current rise is that central-bank largesse has sent oil prices higher. In recent months the world’s big central banks have all either injected liquidity, expanded quantitative easing (printing money to buy bonds) or promised to keep rates low for longer. This flood of cheap money, so the argument goes, has sent investors into hard assets, especially oil. But since markets are forward-looking, the announcement rather than the enactment of QE should move oil prices; indeed, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, disappointed markets last month by not signalling another round of QE (see Buttonwood). Moreover, if rising prices are being driven by speculators you should see a rise in oil inventories—exactly the opposite of what has happened.

Comment by azdude
 
 
Comment by Muggy
2012-03-30 06:11:49

Interesting: I went for a jog around the ‘hood and noticed several abandoned homes now have no mailbox. I guess the banks don’t want the hassle of clearing junk mail.

The banks could also trying selling those houses at some point, maybe even to a person who is willing to live in one, at a price they can afford.

Comment by azdude
2012-03-30 06:27:51

Maybe someone sold then for scrap metal? anything not nailed down in CA is taken to local salvage yards for drug money. Manhole covers, grates to drainage systems, electrical wire, catalytic converters……

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-30 06:48:54

“I guess the banks don’t want the hassle of clearing junk mail.”

Nor do they “want” the bills being sent by the City / County / State.

“it was legally sent to”: Undeliverable-Junk Mail

Ju$tice delayed is Ju$tice denied. ;-)

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-03-30 06:32:43

Here’s the Lucky Ducky “recovery” from the Denver Post:

US consumer spending up 0.8 pct, but income lags

“The Commerce Department said Friday that consumer spending rose 0.8 percent last month. However, income grew only 0.2 percent, matching January’s weak increase. And when taking inflation into account, income after taxes fell for a second straight month.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 07:14:54

Most people don’t understand the significance of this.

Incomes have not kept pace with inflation for 30 years, but they have risen.

Now they are doing both. Not keeping pace with inflation AND actually falling.

Yet for some reason, the PTB have decided our 75% retail driven economy doesn’t need… consumers. (Citi Group 2006 Plutonomy Report)

Comment by Northeastener
2012-03-30 08:01:24

Yet for some reason, the PTB have decided our 75% retail driven economy doesn’t need… consumers.

Are you sure the report said our economy doesn’t need consumers or was it that large US multinationals don’t need the US consumer?

Comment by turkey lurkey
Comment by Northeastener
2012-03-30 10:28:10

Ah, the old “The wealthy continue to get wealthier and make up an increasing share of consumer spending, making poor/middle class spending irrelevant”.

I just scanned the article, but got the gist. Thanks for the link…

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2012-03-30 06:40:22

Bulletin » Spain to cut 27 billion euros from 2012

March 30, 2012, 12:01 a.m. EDT
A quarter to remember for global stocks
Commentary: The mac n’ cheese recovery
By David Callaway, MarketWatch

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — You know it’s been a wild quarter for equities when the topper is the public debut of a mac n’ cheese specialist that will rival anything Facebook can throw at it.

Yet the near doubling in shares of organic food maker Annie’s Inc. (BNNY +3.90%) shares this week helped close out a quarter that defied almost all expectations, from the most bearish of eurosceptics to the most hopeful of easy money disciples.

It was a quarter when Bank of America Corp. (BAC +0.63%) not only didn’t collapse but led all stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA +0.28%), leaping some 70% even as its financial obituary circulated through Wall Street and Capitol Hill. A quarter where Japanese stocks enjoyed a rare flashback to the 1980s, with gains of almost 20% to lead Asia.

A quarter where the Nasdaq Composite Index (COMP +0.31%) recovered a high not seen since before 9/11; where German equities rallied to the austerity cause of Chancellor Angela Merkel; where shares of Apple Inc. (AAPL -0.41%) defied all predictions of a post-Steve Jobs crash, leaping by 50% on expectations for a dividend and a host of new world-changing products from the pipeline.

And it was a quarter where the U.S. economy finally got a decent foothold, even as the U.K. and the greater part of Europe continued to struggle and China’s growth problems kept the bears from going hungry. U.S. dollar fans finally caught a break as well.

It was a quarter of comebacks, from the New York Giants to Jeremy Lin to President Obama’s battered popularity ratings.

Anyone ready to double down for the second quarter?

Didn’t think so. Given Europe’s remaining debt issues, simmering disputes with Iran and Russia, expectations for lower corporate earnings, and the U.S. election later this year, a prudent investor might take some money off the table. This week’s end-of-quarter positioning by big investors reflects that, as stocks declined ahead of the final trading day on Friday.

Yet the quarter was oddly quiet as well, with few tumultuous trading days or any sense of real fear — the calm before the storm. Volatility will pick up next quarter, and the bears will be back from hibernation. But that’s only natural after such a wild rally.

Comment by azdude
2012-03-30 06:53:05

I saw something yesterday that said the central banks have pumped over 8 trillion dollars into the system to keep it afloat.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-30 07:20:20

I know our spending was up recently relative to saving, a natural consequence when rising gasoline prices coincide with inelastic demand for trips to work.

March 30, 2012, 10:13 a.m. EDT
U.S. consumer spending jumps in February
Wage gains fail to keep pace as savings rate falls sharply
By Jeffry Bartash, MarketWatch

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Americans spent money in February at the fastest pace in seven months, but a good chunk of their cash went to pay for higher energy costs and incomes rose at a much slower clip.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 07:29:45

Incomes rose? Just above is a post that links to a report that incomes are falling.

And yes, inflation in the last 4 years has utterly decimated the gains I made in my wages. That’s several more THOUSANDS of dollars for the year that I now have to spend just to stay in place.

Comment by goon squad
2012-03-30 07:40:38

“just to stay in place”

Spin that hamster wheel sheeple, spin, spin!

Comment by MrBubble
2012-03-30 09:20:51

Welcome to our Red Queen future!

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Comment by michael
2012-03-30 07:27:25

http://www.itulip.com/forums/showthread.php/22124-Ka-Poom-Theory-Update-Two-–-Preamble-Theory-of-a-Sudden-Adjustment-Eric-Janszen?p=224969#post224969

CE: Explain why most of the graphs used in this analysis compare market and economic data to bond yields?
EJ: Because the era of transformation we are talking about here is about falling interest rates and rising debt levels, and how the entire economy organized itself around this over a period of 30 years, and then how the Fed and the Treasury Dept. extended the era beyond its natural terminus in an effort to maintain the faulty structure. They have done it by purchasing debt and selling it to an expanding pool of foreign lenders. During the recession when yields got blown out, the market was trying to correct for the excessive debt levels by re-pricing debt to reflect actual default risk. But the Fed interfered, necessarily at first to prevent a debt deflation spiral, but is still at it because the economy is geared to low interest rates. One of our venerable members, Finster, put it brilliantly. It’s like taking a blown fuse out of the fuse box and replacing it with a quarter to keep all the lights on instead of reducing the load on the circuit and replacing the fuse.

CE: And then add a refrigerator and toaster and microwave oven…
EJ: Exactly. Instead, the markets have followed the Fed’s signal and increased the load on circuit. Now, the reason the fuse blew in the first place was because of the excessive load, that is, too much debt in aggregate for the economy. The market indicated, by blowing the fuse, that there is not enough cash flow from the incomes of firms and households to pay principle and interest on all of the debt and also finance production and consumption. With a quarter shorting out the circuit – with the Fed and Treasury holding down interest rates – the wires heat up inside the walls where you can’t see them. Likewise the credit risk is building up out of sight from the short-circuiting of the credit market risk pricing mechanisms. The Fed is not allowing interest rates to rise.

Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-30 08:24:51

Almo$t nailed it…

fill-in copy-editor $uggestion$: ;-)

“that there is not enough cash flow from the income$ of [add: "very few" / "$ome"] firm$ and [add: "mo$t"+ peon] household$ to pay principle and interest on all of the debt and also finance production and con$umption.”

 
 
Comment by CharlieTango
Comment by b-hamster
2012-03-30 09:21:12

From the comments, it sounds like the readership is educated amd open-minded

I share the sentiments of this person who actually seemed to have a brain:

“Complete nonsense. America’s corporate tax rate is no where near the highest and anyone who actually looks will know that. American corporations have so many loopholes that average corporation pays something like 12% as stated by the Wall Street Journal. Some (most, all) large corporations pay little or nothing (GE). The real story is how corporations get out of paying US taxes. Moving jobs and new facilities overseas is one highly effective and often used way. America PAYS companies to move overseas. Tax all American corporates with a minimum tax on total revenue. America will get new jobs and revenue.
Don’t you get tired of getting played?”

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-30 09:57:59

Some (most, all) large corporations pay little or nothing (GE).

OTOH, Slim has to come up with quite a chunk of money in two weeks. And it’s not like business is booming around here. But the IRS doesn’t care. Neither does GE, which can well afford to pay taxes.

As for me, it looks like yet another year when I won’t be able to see a doctor or dentist. I’ve also been looking around the house to see what I can sell to keep going until I can pick up some work.

But I’m not a job creator like GE or all those other big companies that pay taxes. So, screw me.

Comment by polly
2012-03-30 11:16:14

Slim, let me know if you need someone to do some leg work checking out physical bulletin boards at NIH. I think we talked about it once. Anyway, e-mail me.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-30 11:49:47

Gracias! E-mail’s been sent to that address I’ve used for contacting you in the past.

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 11:44:06

As for me, it looks like yet another year when I won’t be able to see a doctor or dentist.

And you’re an American entrepreneur, the kind the right praises on one hand while on the other hand does not give a squat about your health-care.

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Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-30 11:51:30

Slim,

I can provide you with some work writing copy. It is boring and pays poorly but might be better than selling your vacuum cleaner :D

Click on this link and then submit an inquiry with an Email address that I can reply to.

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Comment by oxide
2012-03-30 14:22:57

Good for you, Charlie!

 
 
 
Comment by michael
2012-03-30 11:29:00

“Moving jobs and new facilities overseas is one highly effective and often used way. America PAYS companies to move overseas.”

This is a symptom of the disease; not the disease. The monetary policy of this and the past administrations is/was to weaken the dollar to “save” the economy. The result was a boon to the stock market because the weakening of the dollar greatly increases the profitability of companies doing business oversees.

Corporations are moving more and more jobs overseas because that is where the money is. It’s Obama’s fault, it’s Geithner’s fault and it’s the Bernanke’s fault.

It’s by design. It’s working as intended…no matter what they may say on the stump. Stop listening to what they say…and watch what they do.

Romney’s policies will be no different. The Federal Reserve banks have a few trillion bucks on the line that says so.

What is going on in the world right now is not a series of unrelated events but a process. The process that is the only remaining Super Power losing its grip on the world.

Pax Americana is dying.

Comment by Posers
2012-03-30 14:05:18

Great post, michael. It’s a shame you’re correct on everything you said.

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Comment by oxide
2012-03-30 14:48:38

If this was a “monetary policy of this and the past administrations,” then HOW IS THIS OBAMA’S FAULT??? The blame sits on those past adminstrations. And Jack Welch.

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Comment by Pete
2012-03-30 17:57:48

“then HOW IS THIS OBAMA’S FAULT??? The blame sits on those past adminstrations.”

To be fair, he did say, “The monetary policy of this and the past administrations is/was to weaken the dollar to “save” the economy”. So, he implied it without actually naming them.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 22:16:20

To be fair, he did say, “The monetary policy of this and the past administrations is/was to weaken the dollar to “save” the economy”. So, he implied it without actually naming them.

To be fair he also said:
It’s Obama’s fault, it’s Geithner’s fault and it’s the Bernanke’s fault.

That’s saying, not implying.

 
Comment by Pete
2012-03-30 22:31:44

“That’s saying, not implying.”

True, but the part I quoted was the implying part.

 
 
 
 
Comment by MrBubble
2012-03-30 09:23:47

So you are believing the corporatist line that corporate taxes are what kills jobs? Good gravy. We need to set you up with an exiled Nigerian prince or some ocean-front property in Arizona!

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 09:26:45

Say what?

2-3-12

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204662204577199492233215330.html?mod=WSJ_article_forsub

With Tax Break, Corporate Rate Is Lowest in Decades

Comment by CharlieTango
2012-03-30 10:13:27

So we now have the highest rate in the world but you can argue that we have enough loopholes to offset it.

So the first thing I have to do to compete is to modify my behavior or business plan to pursue the thinking of a group of lobbyists & politicians to qualify for their tax break. This approach does not make America more competitive.

Comment by b-hamster
2012-03-30 11:07:37

It’s not about about competition, it’s about profitability. Who cares about domestic jobs when you have a multinational presence and have attorneys and accountants tthat can reduce your tax burden to vitrtually nil as long as your company is ‘based’ in the US.

The tax code will never change in this country as long as you have millions of CPA, attorneys, accountants, etc. with very lucrative livlihoods based upon the complexities of the existing tax codes. The more complex and confusing, the better.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-30 11:54:51

That’s why Dean Baker’s recent eBook argued that free trade should also apply to highly paid pros like accountants and doctors. If the average Joe and Jane could consult with lower paid doctors in India via telemedicine, imagine the howling that would happen here. The AMA would be weeping crocodile tears all over Capitol Hill.

Then there’s the pharma street gang. Imagine the hue and cry if Americans were able to purchase prescription drugs at the much lower prices charged to citizens of other countries. Now, there’s some free trade that could work for the rest of us, and not just the elites. But the pharma folks would be so charged up that they’d make MS-13 look like wimps.

 
Comment by b-hamster
2012-03-30 13:01:22

I am sure that once the market works to benefit the health care industry’s bottom line, they will quickly embrace offshoring. I love the double standard of the “free” market.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 14:05:52

Double standards are what this country is all about.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-03-30 14:51:55

b-hamster, ever hear of “medical tourism?”

I fear the day when my insurance company will say: “we won’t cover that operation unless you take time off work to go to Thailand/India where it’s cheaper.”

And I heard that the moment Obamacare passed, companies in India rang up the insurances companies, offering their cheaper medical record services in order to save on admin and improve the medical loss ratio.

It’s already happening.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-03-31 00:48:56

True. Your radiologic studies are being interpreted in India– have been for years. Secondary doc-to-doc consultations, too, then billed through US entities.

Billing, reports, transcriptions, records– all outsourced.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-03-31 11:12:43

Billing, reports, transcriptions, records– all outsourced.

Why hasn’t that driven our costs down, then?

 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 11:07:45

“Corporate Rate Is Lowest in Decades”

That’s as definite as it gets, from the official financial newspaper of the US and you’re trying to read more into it?

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 11:40:38

“Highest Corporate Tax Rate in the World”

For those who believe this because they are ignorant: The USA has a high marginal Corporate tax rate but after all the loopholes, shelters and deductions the USA has a lower effective Corporate tax rate (the amount paid) than most other industrialized countries.

For those who say such things to spread false propaganda: You are only fooling fools and the fools are wising up. OWS is just one example. So you better spin harder while looking dumber.

 
 
Comment by Realtors Are Corrupt®
2012-03-30 09:08:42

Realtors Are Corrupt®

 
Comment by MiddleCoaster aka Elanor
2012-03-30 09:32:50

Testing.

 
Comment by measton
2012-03-30 09:33:10

This is interesting

President Obama wants to overhaul the college education system and proposed a new financial aid program during his State of the Union address in January, saying higher education isn’t a luxury. Rather, Obama says “It’s an economic imperative that every family in America should be able to afford.” In a recent speech at the University of Michigan, he told students that colleges were being put on notice. At the heart of the problem: “If you can’t stop tuition from going up, then the funding you get from taxpayers each year will go down,” he says.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 11:10:55

From what I’ve seen, most people in this country need more education of every kind.

Comment by butters
2012-03-30 11:20:12

They need education in common sense if there’s such a thing. Not the one you get in Colleges.

 
 
 
Comment by sold in 04
2012-03-30 09:51:59

just as Rahm Emanuel didn’t want to let a good crisis go to waste, the national press doesn’t want to let a good victim go to waste.

The death of Trayvon Martin is a terrible thing, but it is being hijacked by the usual suspects to create a morality play. Whenever this happens, and it happens with some frequency in American life, truth is corrupted.

About 150 young black men are killed every week in America — 94 percent of them at the hands of other young black males. Only one of those murdered on February 26 has dominated national news coverage — because his killer was not black.

There is an etiquette to discussing ethnicity that goes straight out the window if the press decides to create a racial villain. Normally, if a person is of mixed ancestry, as George Zimmerman is, he gets the benefit of the doubt on being a minority. A person with mixed ancestry, like Cameron Diaz, or Bill Richardson, would never be called “half white.” But Mr. Zimmerman became, in the phrase adopted by the New York Times, a “white Hispanic.”

among the disgusting features of this national drama is the furious search for Mr. Zimmerman’s exact racial/ethnic pedigree. He’s a full Hispanic, claims one website. He’s half white but considers himself a Hispanic, says his father. Do they hear themselves? Could apartheid South Africa have been more exacting in searching for the drops of racial blood?

The left has ginned up the outrage machine, as if America were experiencing an epidemic of white-on-black killings and this was the last straw. This is fiction. According to the Bureau of Justice statistics, only 3.2 percent of black victims were murdered by whites in 2005, the last year for which data are available. The black-on-white rate was higher — 8.8 percent — but still, the data show that murder remains very much an intraracial phenomenon.

It isn’t at all clear what happened on February 26. It certainly appears that Zimmerman used excessive violence. Mr. Zimmerman’s story of being in a fight (apparently corroborated by an eyewitness) is not supported by the videotape that shows him unharmed at the police station.

The dead youth, who is now universally imagined as his 13- or 14-year-old self because of the old picture that has circulated, may or may not have been up to something more than buying Skittles that night (not that that would justify the shooting). We don’t know.

But we do know the way narratives are created and manipulated to make political points. The 1998 murder of Matthew Shepard, a tragedy by any reckoning, was perverted into a “hate crime” by a media keen to create a gay victimization story and by a defense attorney looking for an argument about why his client “snapped.” (He claimed that Shepard made a pass and his client became violent in response.) The fictional version of the tale — that Shepard was singled out, tortured, and murdered because he was gay — lives on in books, television dramas, and one of the most frequently performed plays in the repertoire, “The Laramie Project.” It was also the partial inspiration for the federal hate-crimes act, signed into law by President Obama in 2009.

The truth is more complicated. As the ABC show 20/20 reported, the two men who killed Shepard were coming off a week-long methamphetamine binge. One was raised by an unmarried teenaged alcoholic. The other was the product of divorce who then lost his mother at a young age. Both were heavy drug and alcohol abusers. There is evidence that Shepard himself may have accepted a ride with them because he was into drugs as well. After leaving Shepard bludgeoned and tied to a fence, the killers intended to rob his apartment, but got into another brawl with two other criminals that night, one of whom suffered a fractured skull.

It was all ugly — but not quite in the way we’ve been told.

So it was with the Duke lacrosse case. Before anyone really knew what the facts were, the Left, including a large segment of the Duke faculty to their eternal shame, peddled a version about spoiled, racist, white college kids abusing and raping a black dancer. We now know how that turned out.

Where preferred victim narratives are concerned, truth is the first casualty of American journalism.

— Mona Charen is a nationally syndicated columnist. © 2012 Creators Syndicate, Inc

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-03-30 09:59:28

Mona Charen. Consider the source.

Comment by b-hamster
2012-03-30 10:17:14

She’s part of the problem - fueling the fire of the right/left paradigm. Whenever I hear this used, I usually stop reading, or relegate their musings to entertainment blather versus anything of substance.

I do, to a degree, envy people that can profit off of right/left hatred, even though my experience - other than guns, god and gays - that there’s virtually no difference between the two side, yet our media profits of polarizing them.

 
Comment by 2banana
2012-03-30 10:48:05

What facts does she have wrong?

Comment by b-hamster
2012-03-30 11:14:54

Nothing was said about facts. But that standard left/right BS being tossed about by her incendiary comments.

“but it is being hijacked by the usual suspects…” could easily include the NRA or other polarizing facets of our society - left or right. Fear and hated sell.

Again, I consider this entertaining and chuckle at the people foaming at the mouth, regurgitating her prattle in anger because of “those people” ruining this country. It gets old after awhile.

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 11:18:20

What does any of it have to do with the Trayvon case?

Zimmerman stalked and killed the kid.

Here’s the smoking gun from the 911 tape:

911 dispatcher:

Are you following him? [2:24]

Zimmerman:

Yeah. [2:25]

911 dispatcher:

OK.

We don’t need you to do that. [2:26]

http://www.examiner.com/unsolved-cases-in-national/george-zimmerman-s-911-call-transcribed

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Comment by Northeastener
2012-03-30 13:19:44

Zimmerman stalked and killed the kid.

That’s one way to consider events that night. Another would be that Zimmerman was attacked by a punk and defended himself from attack… too bad for the punk.

What witnesses say in Trayvon Martin case

“Zimmerman said he lost sight of Martin and began walking back to his SUV; Martin approached him, according to the Sentinel account.

Martin asked Zimmerman if he had a problem; Zimmerman said no and reached for his cell phone, he told police.

Martin said, “Well, you do now” or something similar and punched Zimmerman in the nose, Zimmerman said, according to the Sentinel.

Zimmerman said Martin pinned him to the ground and began slamming his head into the sidewalk. The police report described Zimmerman’s back as wet and covered with grass, as though he had been lying on the ground. Zimmerman was also bleeding from the nose and the back of his head, the police report said.

“I was yelling for someone to help me, but no one would help me,” Zimmerman told police.”

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 14:11:02

Which part of “are you following him”, “Yes I am” from the OFFICIAL 911 tape, did you miss?

 
Comment by wittbelle
2012-03-30 20:53:19

soldin04=troll

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 22:19:15

Which part of “are you following him” cuz he’s got skittles…did you miss?

 
 
Comment by MightyMike
2012-03-30 16:43:03

What facts does she have wrong?

There are a couple things that she’s miguided about. She doesn’t appear to understand what’s unique about this case. In the notorious Emmett Till and O.J. Simpson cases, defendants were acquitted of interracial murder in the face of significant evidence of their guilt. What’s different about this case is that the prosecutors have declined to charge the killer. (The fact that he’s a killer is not in doubt.) I can’t understand why is this unclear to so many people.

The other thing that wrongly makes a fudd about is the New York Times’ use of the term “white Hispanic” to describe Mr. Zimmerman. What they’re doing in that case is using the Census Bureau definition of the term Hispanic. The Census Bureau doesn’t use the term to describe a person’s race. Thus, somewhat awkwardly, they characterize some Hispanic people as white Hispanics, some as black Hispanics, and others as just Hispanics. In fact, I heard somewhere that something like 40% of all Hispanic Americans identify as white, so nearly half of all Hispanics are white Hispanics. It’s hard to believe that Mona Charen is unfamiliar with these facts.

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Comment by polly
2012-03-30 11:24:25

“The dead youth, who is now universally imagined as his 13- or 14-year-old self because of the old picture that has circulated, may or may not have been up to something more than buying Skittles that night”

He also may or may not have been finalizing a proof of Fermat’s Last Theorem in his head. He may or may not have been thinking about his girfriend’s chest. He may or may not have been composing a cello concerto. He may or may not have been stepping on bugs. He may or may not have been thinking about where to go to college. He may or may not have been thinking about who would win the NCAA basketball tournament.

What a load of drivel. Writing like that is an embarrassment to newsprint and pixels.

 
Comment by Hwy50ina49Dodge
2012-03-30 12:21:22

“…and it happens with some frequency in American life, truth is corrupted.”

You’re “killing” me $oldout in 04 :-)

You mean like starting a War-of-Choice$ on account$ of “Yellow-Cake”? … is that the sort of Cheney-$hrub “truth-is-corrupted” as told/$old to the American People & Nation you are referring to? Right? Right?

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-03-30 14:12:23

But that’s no problem. We DID finally find those WMDs!

Oh wait… no we didn’t.

 
 
 
Comment by sold in 04
2012-03-30 14:16:50

i have no political affiliation, i vote for the PERSON. The lefties on this board scream as perdicted, in their goose step fashion. This case is not about who killed who anymore. The prez and the race hustlers ae using this to divide the USA. that should make all of us ANGRY !

Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-30 20:08:19

You are your ilk have been using race to divide this country for how many decades now?

 
 
Comment by sold in 04
2012-03-30 14:28:44

If you’re a white person who voted for Barack Obama believing that his election would usher in a post-racial era in America, you must be very disappointed. Race relations have in fact never been more volatile and the nation is now sitting on a time bomb as we draw closer to another election. Whose fault is it? Race-baiting demagogues like Al Sharpton and Jesse Jackson are feverishly trying to exploit the recent killing of a young black man in Florida for their own selfish agenda to boost their fading relevance. Typically they have jumped to conclusions before all the actual facts have been uncovered

This is what its all about….

Comment by Realtors Are Liars®
2012-03-30 16:36:18

No thats not “what it’s all about”. The fact that a kid was murdered by a vigilante who is still on the street is what it’s about.

 
Comment by MightyMike
2012-03-30 17:08:53

No, that’s not what it’s about. A guy followed another guy around a neighborhood and then killed him. Then the police let him go and the prosecutors decided not to charge him. Many black Americans happen to feel that the shooter would have been charged if the dead kid was a white kid. They feel that way even if they haven’t heard Jackson or Sharpton talk about it.

Also, your statement that “Race relations have in fact never been more volatile” is absurd. A century ago we had the KKK terrorizing and lynching people. The situation today is nothing like that.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-03-30 22:22:20

Race relations have in fact never been more volatile and the nation

Say Whhhaaaaaaaaaaattt????? That’s just false.

 
 
Comment by Muggy
2012-03-30 17:13:34

It’s a sellers market!! Quick, buy now!!

http://www.tampabay.com/news/business/realestate/article1222782.ece

 
Comment by Liz Pendens
Comment by jeff saturday
2012-03-31 05:21:50

This goes well with the foreclosure cocktail hour they held at ER Bradleys on Palm Beach.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-03-30 22:33:58

Must-see exhibit for anyone in or passing through San Diego:

Cook, Melville, and Gauguin: Voyages to Paradise Treasures of the Kelton Collection

For most people, no matter their nationality or background, there exists some conventional definition of earthly paradise. It is typically an island setting with dramatic vegetated landscapes garnished with waterfalls, surrounded by an azure lagoon and bounded by a fringing coral reef on which the sea forever sounds a calming rhythmic beat. The weather is temperate, the water warm, there is always plenty of food easily obtained; the inhabitants are friendly, relaxed, uninhibited, healthy, happy, and attractive. The sunsets are always beautiful. The place might be anywhere in the tropics, but the most likely place for this fanciful setting is somewhere in the Pacific. If we do insist on giving it a name, Tahiti might be the foremost candidate.

Yet it was not always so. Although every culture imagines the attributes of its “perfect place,” for most cultures of the world before the Enlightenment these varied as widely as geography itself, for the world then was not so connected by the Enlightenment’s rational domination of collective perception and transcendent archetypes. The tropics were thought (by Europeans) to be dark places rife with dangerous miasmas and disease, inhabited by savage cannibals, treacherous and violent.
native

The Pacific itself was, for westerners, the very heart of darkness, an impression reinforced by voyage accounts of unrivaled suffering, death, and disaster ranging from Pigafetta’s account of Magellan’s 1519-1522 voyage to the circumnavigation of George Anson 1740-1744, in which both expeditions lost 90% or more of their complement.

Against the history of the world’s greatest ocean as a vast, empty, deadly, and dark place, three voyagers won enduring fame through reinventing a Pacific in the collective imagination of humanity as the location of earthly paradise: the explorer Captain James Cook and the artists and naturalists who sailed with him, the author and seaman Herman Melville, and the post impressionist artist Paul Gauguin. Each of these individuals conducted their voyages in times of great social change reflected in the philosophical and artistic movements of their times, reached mass audiences possessing unquenchable appetites for adventurous travel, romantic settings, and exotic circumstances, and seemed to satisfy a universal urge to imagine society as a more simple, noble, and perfect version of itself when transposed into a natural setting of endless beauty and bounty: a return to Eden. But paradise so envisioned was not a static construct. The three voyages each also served as its own separate act in an ongoing morality play and commentary on the corrupting course of social progress: paradise found, paradise exploited, and paradise lost. With time, the world of noble savages encountered by Cook slowly and fatally converged in surrender to the forces of rationalism that the Enlightenment unleashed, painted by Gauguin as a ruined paradise tormented by a dark past.

 
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