July 10, 2012

California Is Different

The Ventura County Star reports from California. “Legislators have approved the Homeowner Bill of Rights. The first-of-its-kind bill package passed the Assembly and Senate on Monday. It will become law Jan. 1 if Gov. Jerry Brown signs it, and he’s indicated he will. Thousand Oaks Realtor Judy Seeger sells bank-owned properties. She has little sympathy for people whose homes are underwater who are unemployed and who haven’t made payments. She said she’s seen some people looking for ‘free rent’ and squatters living in foreclosed homes. ‘You can’t even get squatters out,’ she said.”

“Seeger said banks have had so many new government programs to digest since the start of the foreclosure crisis that adding another will be burdensome to understand and implement. ‘That’s the problem,’ she said. ‘If another program is implemented as wide ranging as this one, we are going to be having nothing but lawsuits.’”

The San Mateo Journal. “Attorney General Kamala Harris deserves much of the credit for events leading up to the approval of the measures. She realized that California is different from other states, including those that were hard hit by the foreclosure crisis. Assuming Brown signs the measure into law, Harris, like the Legislature, should monitor the situation. She needs to make sure the law helps end the housing crisis and doesn’t impede California’s painfully slow recover.”

The Bakersfield Californian. “The supply of houses for sale in June was down 7 percent from May and down a whopping 37.1 percent compared to a year ago, according to the June Preliminary Crabtree Report. Robert Dobbs of 611 Realty said potential home buyers need an aggressive agent because decent homes are being bid on sight-unseen the minute they are put on the market. ‘Some people are bidding, 10, 20, 30 thousand over the asking prices,’ he said. ‘There’s just so much competition and not enough inventory. The ones who want bargains aren’t getting a home.’”

The La Jolla Light. “So far this summer, my last three home sales have been second-properties for out-of-state buyers – a figure that makes up 25% of my recent sales activity overall. These buyers are coming from areas like Texas, Arizona and Nevada, and many are realizing that, at this point in time, it makes more sense to buy than to rent vacation real estate.”

“The best opportunities for buyers and sellers have already passed. Right now, with such low interest rates and lower prices than we have seen in the last 5 years, buying is the most practical option for San Diego vacationers.”

The Daily Breeze. “Prices in the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale census area rose 0.9 percent year over year, according to CoreLogic. Ray Burch, a Realtor whose office covers the entire South Bay and Harbor Area but focuses on the San Pedro market, said the national trend of low inventory driving prices higher also applied locally. ‘Homeowners don’t want to put their home on the market because they hear about the low prices and they want to wait,’ Burch said.”

The Santa Cruz Sentinel. “The Los Gatos developer of a Salinas subdivision was arrested on federal charges of defrauding banks of millions of dollars, U.S. Attorney Melinda Haag announced. Muhammad Safadi, who built 14 single-family houses in the Rancho Amistoso subdivision, defrauded bankers when he and his nephew sold the houses to unqualified buyers and then lied on their financing paperwork, a federal grand jury indictment said. The first foreclosure came in 2008, when a $725,000 home sold for $288,000, the grand jury found.”

The Auburn Journal. “There are 172 parcels on Placer County’s impending power to sell list, totaling nearly $2.5 million in defaulted property taxes. They are on the list because they missed at least one tax payment in the 2006-2007 fiscal year. The county can only begin the impending power to sell process on properties that have been delinquent for five or more years.”

“Ralph Swift, who owns Granite Bay Woods LLC, said he hopes to pay the outstanding taxes on two parcels in the development as soon as possible. His development backs up to Los Lagos in Granite Bay. ‘It’s just lots are not moving, especially high-end lots are not moving,’ Swift said.”

“The Journal made an effort to visit all businesses on the delinquent tax roll, but Granite Bay Woods LLC was the only one with a local physical address.”

The Press Telegram. “Currently, real estate agents are required to have a business license if they are doing any business within Long Beach city limits. The licenses, which cost the agents $200, must be renewed each year. The Long Beach City Council on Tuesday requested that city management find out the cost to eliminate the per-agent business license fee.”

“‘Requiring Realtors to pay such a large fee seems fairly unreasonable,’ said Jamie Saltman, president of the Women’s Council of Realtors in California. ‘I would guess that most agents would really love to not have to pay a fee to the city, and just to the brokerage. And really, this couldn’t have come at a better time. Realtors are struggling and have been for a couple years.’”

The Victorville Daily Press. “Imagine driving north on Apple Valley Road from Bear Valley Road and all you see is farmland stacked with hay. That wasn’t so long ago, when the High Desert used to be scarcely populated and by people who preferred a rural lifestyle. But urbanization and limited water hit agriculture in the desert, and many farms and ranches either shut down or moved out. As the population grew in the High Desert, land owners could make more money selling off their properties for housing and shopping development than cultivating them.”

“Earl Graham has been running an agricultural marketing company out of Apple Valley for about 40 years. ‘You can’t blame a guy that’s 70 years old, some developer comes up and offers him what appears to be a huge amount of money for his land,’ Graham said. ‘You can’t blame him for selling out.’”

“The recent recession hasn’t helped farmers, either. Martin Frazier has been raising hay for nearly 30 years in Apple Valley and started Frazier’s U Pick Pumpkin Patch to grow pumpkins for Halloween and corn for a maze. ‘The economy is killing us,’ he said. ‘Everybody’s selling horses. People don’t have money to buy pumpkins for Halloween.’”

The Mercury News. “The golden touch of Russian investor Yuri Milner, who made a killing on Facebook, apparently doesn’t extend to Silicon Valley real estate. The Santa Clara County assessor said that the Los Altos Hills mansion the Russian billionaire paid $100 million for last year is worth a mere $50 million. The mansion’s purchase through a limited liability corporation made headlines last March as the largest amount ever paid for a home in the U.S.”

“Assessor Larry Stone said that the house has a fair market value of $50,270,000, following an extensive survey of other mansions as far away as Beverly Hills. Did Milner pay too much for the lavishly appointed mansion? ‘Overpaid’ is relative and judgmental,’ Stone said. ‘He paid more than the fair market value.’”




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41 Comments »

Comment by Hi-Z
2012-07-10 07:23:58

So many victims!

Comment by ahansen
2012-07-10 13:33:49

It’s a lousy time to be a horse in Victorville, that’s for sure.

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-07-10 07:57:29

We WILL inflate this bubble.

Keep ALL that shadow inventory off the market for now. The sheep are starting to nibble…

The Bakersfield Californian. “The supply of houses for sale in June was down 7 percent from May and down a whopping 37.1 percent compared to a year ago, according to the June Preliminary Crabtree Report. Robert Dobbs of 611 Realty said potential home buyers need an aggressive agent because decent homes are being bid on sight-unseen the minute they are put on the market. ‘Some people are bidding, 10, 20, 30 thousand over the asking prices,’ he said. ‘There’s just so much competition and not enough inventory. The ones who want bargains aren’t getting a home.’”

Comment by Ben Jones
2012-07-10 08:58:50

‘being bid on sight-unseen the minute they are put on the market…Some people are bidding, 10, 20, 30 thousand over the asking prices’

This is Bakersfield! How can people in govt and media not see how unhealthy this is?

‘Assuming Brown signs the measure into law, Harris, like the Legislature, should monitor the situation’

How? Once the lawsuits get filed, what can they do? When lenders see what they are up against, will they add a California premium? What will the AG and legislature do then? I’ll bet they will start crying victim. Whine country.

Comment by ahansen
2012-07-10 13:45:30

Ben, I’ve been in Bakersplat and up and down the Central Valley last week, and while there may be a few select realtors “snapping them up” in a few select realtor-owned subdivisions, there are an awful lot of empty houses just sitting around gathering weeds. Like whole blocks of them.

I don’t believe this guy for a minute. If anything, they’re selling houses back and forth to each other like they did during the bubble. Just ask Paladin. And remember CastleandCrooked and CrispyCole who posted here on the blog? Nothing new going on in Kern Kounty.

Comment by Ben Jones
2012-07-10 13:48:06

Yeah, it’s the same here in Flagstaff. There’s more selling, but lots more sitting on the MLS and even more being held back for various reasons.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-07-10 13:58:03

Ditto for Tucson, Ben. You’ve described our local market to a tee.

 
Comment by Lisa
2012-07-10 14:14:51

I’m speechless reading these articles. Why on earth are people back to bidding wars and buying houses unseen??

Bubble Mentality hasn’t been killed - you’d think the last few years would have done it in, but apparently not.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-07-10 14:43:55

Bubble Mentality hasn’t been killed - you’d think the last few years would have done it in, but apparently not.

Let’s put a contract on it.

 
Comment by Awaiting
2012-07-10 16:05:38

Lisa
Just last weekend,we were asked to give our “Highest and Best”, which we look at as a blind auction. 3 of the offers on the table were unseen offers in round one. The listing agent did a bottoms up price, and it turned into a bidding war. We felt extored, that’s for sure. Being cash is a hard road with these engineered interest rates.OPM is easy to spend, and with FHAs defaults, who cares what you pay. You’re planning to live free. Bid away!

 
Comment by BetterRenter
2012-07-10 19:58:36

Awaiting said: “we were asked to give our ‘Highest and Best’”

That’s a clear indicator that your housing market is probably still broken. It literally can’t function. Sellers are supposed to ask high, and buyers bid low. When the “marketeers” urge both sides to go high, then the market has snapped like a dried twig.

Stay out until these guys have bankrupted out of the game.

 
 
 
 
Comment by wphr_editor
2012-07-10 09:58:41

‘Some people are bidding, 10, 20, 30 thousand over the asking prices,’ he said.

Were there any squirrel-based agreements involved? This is starting to sound strangely familiar…. I think I better as Suzanne to research it for us.

Comment by wphr_editor
2012-07-10 10:05:08

err ASK Suzanne rather.

 
 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-07-10 08:06:21

The Press Telegram. “Currently, real estate agents are required to have a business license if they are doing any business within Long Beach city limits. The licenses, which cost the agents $200, must be renewed each year. The Long Beach City Council on Tuesday requested that city management find out the cost to eliminate the per-agent business license fee.”

“‘Requiring Realtors to pay such a large fee seems fairly unreasonable,’ said Jamie Saltman, president of the Women’s Council of Realtors in California. ‘I would guess that most agents would really love to not have to pay a fee to the city, and just to the brokerage. And really, this couldn’t have come at a better time. Realtors are struggling and have been for a couple years.’”

Here in Tucson, a business license costs $45 a year. So, why is Long Beach charging almost five times as much? Heats the bell out of me.

Anyway, grumbling about the cost of doing business during slow times is as old as business itself.

To the real estate gals in Cal, I say this: Suck it up. Hustle some business. I found myself having to do that very thing late this spring and you know what? Business is starting to come my way. How ’bout that.

Comment by Bad Andy
2012-07-10 09:20:06

I disagree with having a per agent licensing fee. Most likely their broker already pays a fee and this should cover everyone in the office.

Here in my town it’s $100 to have a business license, but that license covers the entire business. I suppose you could make the independent contractor argument but in that case, who’s going to do business in your city?

Comment by Ben Jones
2012-07-10 09:26:54

‘who’s going to do business’

Anyone doing business in CA quickly finds out the state/cities etc stick it to you.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-07-10 09:36:50

ISTR that most real estate agencies consider the agents to be indie contractors. Which, from my non-lawyer perch, means that they’d all have to pony up the money for a business license.

Comment by Bad Andy
2012-07-10 09:55:24

If you argue that then the insurance agent who sells a policy over coffee at Starbucks needs to fork over $200 for a license. Where does it stop?

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-07-10 10:08:21

I’m not arguing anything, Andy. I’m just saying that, if real estate agencies regard their agents as independent contractors, rather than employees, then those indies will most likely need business licenses.

See why the indie contractor model is so attractive to businesses? It offloads a lot of costs of doing business onto individuals.

 
Comment by Bad Andy
2012-07-10 10:21:58

In that case the broker would have the fee regardless.

I just don’t get these greedy local governments. What pet projects are so important to you that you have to destroy the business landscape in the process. There’s a reason why California hasn’t been a real part of our so-called recovery.

 
Comment by AmazingRuss
2012-07-10 11:01:31

$200 is chump change compared to the 10% income tax, 10% sales tax, expensive utilities, expensive housing and expensive gas. Throw 10% unemployment and millions with negative home equity in the 6 figures, and you have a business unfriendly environment.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-07-11 09:30:38

$200 is cheap to establish yourself as an independent contractor so you can write off your car, gas and expenses.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by jbunniii
2012-07-10 09:11:00

Attorney General Kamala Harris deserves much of the credit for events leading up to the approval of the measures. She realized that California is different from other states, including those that were hard hit by the foreclosure crisis.

“It’s different here!”

Comment by ahansen
2012-07-10 16:36:53

Hey, j!

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-07-10 17:19:47

Yeah, j! Long time-y no post-y.

Welcome back to our never-ending housing apocalyptic party!

 
 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2012-07-10 19:31:46

“It’s different here!”

It’s different in pockets only. The narrow strip along the beach from Mendocino to Coronado, + “Silly Cone” valley + San Francisco peninsula + Tahoe. That’s about it. Inland empire, central Valley, and most of rural California are merely trying to ride the coattails of the small area of “location, location, location” parts of CA. I would guess less than 5% of California is prime real estate. Perhaps if Yosemite was sold off, the Yosemite Valley would too be prime real estate.

So if you are in one of the “location, location, location” areas of CA, then you deserve to crow. The rest does not.

 
 
Comment by badlydrawnbear
2012-07-10 13:54:20

http://www.cnbc.com/id/48136694
“While prices in the past three months rose 1.7 percent on a national average from a year ago, according to a report from Clear Capital, the biggest gains were out West, where foreclosures and short sales are often the majority of a local market’s activity.

The poster child for this new dynamic is Phoenix, Ariz. Prices there are up a whopping 20 percent from a year ago because so much of the market was foreclosures. They used to make up more than half of all sales, but now they’re down to about 23 percent because there are just not that many foreclosures left to buy. Investors honed in on the market, buying properties in bulk and putting them up for rent. Some investors are already cashing out and selling them, but not many.

Phoenix is not unique. California, Florida, much of the Midwest will likely see the same, as will Atlanta, which is still mired in a foreclosure crisis with recovery nowhere in sight. Given that supply scenario, it is likely that many of these national gains (which as I’ve argued before are artificial anyway) will give some back before finding solid footing.

 
Comment by Truth
2012-07-10 18:03:10

It seems California is Mecca for Realtor corruption, misinformation and fraud. All these happy talk reports that are merely lying realtors selling junk to each other while the inventory stacks up in the background.

Why is that?

Comment by rms
2012-07-11 00:44:54

“It seems California is Mecca for Realtor corruption, misinformation and fraud.”

Back when I was in my late teens or early twenties I read something that stuck like it was engraved, “Florida is a sunny place for shady people.”

“Why is that?”

To answer your question, “It’s the weather.” The sand states don’t have much of a winter if any at all, and if you have ever spent a few years living in a snow state with their six month long winters then you know the giddy desire that can cause one to lower their defenses for a chance to own a patch in the sunlight. The hucksters are well aware of this anxiety, the easy credit, and they exploit it.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-07-10 21:56:49

San Bernardino votes to file for bankruptcy protection
July 10, 2012 | 9:06 pm

The San Bernardino City Council votes to file for bankruptcy. Facing a $45-million budget shortfall and the prospect of not being able to pay city workers, the panel Tuesday voted to file municipal bankruptcy, the third California city to do so in recent weeks.

The vote came shortly after the interim city manager recommended seeking bankruptcy protection, saying the city may not be able to make payroll over the next three months. “We have an immediate cash flow issue,” Andrea Miller told the mayor and seven-member council.

The dire fiscal situation remains even after the city negotiated $10 million in concessions from employees and slashed the workforce by 20% over the last four years.

If San Bernardino votes to declare bankruptcy, it would be the third California city to do so in recent weeks, joining Stockton and Mammoth Lakes. The council called special back-to-back budget meetings Tuesday and Wednesday, which are expected to attract a packed house at City Hall.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-07-10 23:29:48

July 11, 2012, 2:27 a.m. EDT
San Bernardino, CA, votes for bankruptcy filing
By Robert Daniel

TEL AVIV (MarketWatch) — The city of San Bernardino, Calif., on Tuesday night voted to reorganize under Chapter 9 of federal bankruptcy law, becoming the third California city to decide to make that move in the past two weeks, media reports said. Stockton, in central California, filed June 28, and the ski resort town of Mammoth Lakes voted to file early this month. The Associated Press reported that San Bernardino City Manager Andrea Miller told the city council and the mayor that the city budget gap was $45.8 million. The Press-Enterprise of Southern California quoted city officials as saying that the city might not make the Aug. 15 payroll without action. The council vote was four in favor of the filing, two opposed and one abstaining. San Bernardino is located 60 miles east of Los Angeles.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-07-10 23:30:48

The dominoes are falling fast now!

 
Comment by rms
2012-07-11 07:40:04

So what stops first, bond payments or payroll obligations?

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-07-10 21:58:44

“Right now, with such low interest rates and lower prices than we have seen in the last 5 years, buying is the most practical option for San Diego vacationers.”

What a crock of malarky. Didn’t these Realtors® ever hear of hotels and vacation rental condos, like the one I am sitting in as I type?

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-07-10 22:07:54

We’re vacationing in the Winter Park, CO area. The condo we are renting costs about $100/night, and sleeps eight. There is a view of Mt Evans from the porch and all the amenities you could want.

I couldn’t help but notice how empty the condo park is — the units cannot possibly be more than 10% occupied, despite the fetchingly low price. My sister who lives in Denver suspects the recent fires may have scared off would-be visitors, but there is no smoke to be seen or smelled out here.

The “For Sale” signs in the windows of several nearby condo units also caught my eye. I haven’t canvased the entire area to tell whether these couple of units up for sale represent an anomaly, but I suspect investors are trying to cash out here as they doubtless are in many other parts of the country.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-07-10 23:22:11

So far as I can tell, this ranch is still for sale. Scroll down the linked page to find an awesome video from the 1952 presidential campaign which shows Eisenhower and Nixon flyfishing.

P.S. I accidentally misspelled the former president’s name Eisenhauer. Does anyone know whether he changed the spelling during WWII to avoid association with German ancestry?

Byer’s Creek Ranch: Eisenhower’s Western White House

Monday, December 5th, 2011

Byers Peak Ranch, a Grand County, Colorado ranch for sale possesses some significant history. Former President Dwight D. Eisenhower was a friend of the current owner’s grandfather, and frequented the ranch to fish his favorite fishing hole, St. Louis Creek. The Byers Creek Ranch, the Brown Palace Hotel in Denver, and Lowry Air Force Base, were all known as the “Western White Houses” or “Summer White Houses” during his presidency.

Below is a cool video we found of Eisenhower on the ranch with a young former President Richard Nixon.

Comment by DennisN
2012-07-13 00:09:10

According to wiki:

“The Eisenhauer (German for “iron hewer”) family migrated from Karlsbrunn, Germany, to Switzerland in the 17th century due to religious persecution, and a century later came to the United States. A misspelling in official documents changed their name; the Eisenhower family settled in York, Pennsylvania, in 1730….”

I always figured that Eisenhower was German for “blacksmith”.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-07-10 23:27:31

For the price of a modest home in La Jolla, you can buy a 12 acre ranch in the area of Fraser, Colorado. Another listing I saw indicated it was recently offered at $3.6M.

Byer’s Peak Ranch
1000 & 1100 CR 73, Fraser, CO 80442
Price:
$1,150,000
Total Lot Size:
12.39 AC
Property Type:
Agricultural
Property Sub-type:
Pasture/Ranch
Year Built:
1991
Find Out More…

Last Verified 7/6/2012 Listing ID 17638430

 
 
 
Comment by the_economist
2012-07-11 05:01:38

The New Smyrna Beach/Cocoa Beach/Melbourne Beach area has no inventory and prices are starting to creep up. Condos are snatched up just days after they are put on MLS. It feels like 2005 again here.

Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2012-07-11 07:25:05

I guess the FBs never heard of the term “fiscal cliff.”

 
 
Comment by pacman
2012-07-16 14:59:23

With interest rate at 3.5% for qualified borrowers buying homes is an option for some folks in some of the metropolitan areas.

 
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