August 30, 2012

Bits Bucket for August 30, 2012

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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Comment by frankie
2012-08-30 02:05:44

Spain’s regions line up for central government bailoutEastern Mediterranean regions at front of queue for €18bn bailout to cover deficit spending and refinancing of existing debt

A political price must be paid. Regions that take bailout money but fail to meet a strict central government deficit target of 1.5% this year can have their finances taken over by the so-called “men in black” – finance ministry officials from Madrid.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/aug/29/spain-regions-central-government-bailout

Deposit flight from Spanish banks hits 15-year high as bailout rumours growBank of Spain data showing sudden drop in amount on deposit comes as recession revealed to be deeper than thought

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2012/aug/28/deposit-flight-spanish-banks-bailout?intcmp=239

It’s been obvious for months that Spain will need to be bailed out; but as per usual the powers that be have swore blind that this is not the case, now I feel we are but a few short weeks away.

Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-08-30 09:03:04

I was listening to an ex-central banker talk about the Europe issues. He says, basically, that Greece, Spain, Italy and other troubled nations were going to have to adopt the economic policies of Germany.

When they formed the union, productivity was roughly equal, but since then, Germany’s production has increased while other countries have decreased, creating a 2-1 difference in worker productivity.

Yeah, it was SO stupid of Greece, Italy, and Spain not to have an economic policy of having vast coal, iron and other natural resources.

Productivity was roughly equal because exchange rates could adjust. Price of German goods was kept high by exchange rates. People from People from Germany would go to Italy and Greece on vacation to take advantage of favorable exchange rate. Not so much any more, with everything in those countries just as expensive as in Germany.

The euro has removed exchange rates as the natural counter to trade imbalances.

Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Fl)
2012-08-30 15:36:39

Germans go on vacation in Italy, Greece and Spain because they have beaches on the Mediterranean. What fantasy world are you living in?
You ever try to find a beach in Hamburg?
As for productivity, it’s just that. Germans have a race and culture of hard work and ingenuity. they are leaders in the world, threatened most recently by and influx of foreigners.
Greeks are not Germans.
Africans are not Asians. sorry.
If you want to improve productivity and resourcefulness, import Germans.
The lies of equality and the efforts by socialist leftist to “integrate” the world into a multi-racial/multicultural morass conceal the real effects of race and culture.
They still pop up when you see one country beats the crap out of others by the vary nature of the people who inhabit them.
Want to talk about 3rd world? Go see who lives there.

Comment by TheNYCdb
2012-08-30 15:50:03

Are you seriously claiming that Germans are the superior race? If so it does help me square some of your other posts more easily.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 19:27:05

Are you seriously claiming that Germans are the superior race?

Yeah, you get it. You should hear him go on about the Jews, sometime. Vintage ‘38 Hitler.

That’s why many of us ignore his tiresome tirades.

 
 
Comment by I blame progressives
2012-08-30 17:34:25

Importing poverty and forcing cultures to blend rather than having it occur naturally, is a sure way to take your country out of first world status. As usual, I blame ____________.

A: Progressives

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Comment by frankie
2012-08-30 02:17:55

I’ve just returned from London (or as a workmate refers to it “Dat der Smoke”). It’s quite a shock to see how many of the staff working in McDonalds etc are Spainish. It doesn’t look like they are sticking around in Spain to help pay of the debt. There are also lots of Greeks, Portugese and other Eastern Europeans. Up until recently the majority of staff where Asian or Arabic; that no longer seems to be the case.

Comment by Combotechie
2012-08-30 04:48:47

Maybe these people go to where the jobs are, to London, and send their earnings back home?

 
Comment by Darell In Issa
2012-08-30 05:10:16

Wondering if they are “legal” workers?

Comment by polly
2012-08-30 05:30:03

GB isn’t in the Euro Zone, but it is part of the EU. Open borders for labor and goods as far as I know.

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-08-30 06:30:45

Hey frankie, how does the UK Daily Mail compare with other large national publications like the Times, the Guardian, the Independent, the Telegraph, et cetera?

Just wondering because USA “journalist” Matt Drudge of the Drudge Report loves to link to UK Daily Mail articles, many of which wind up getting reposted here.

Comment by frankie
2012-08-30 12:01:35

The Daily Mail or as its detractors refer to it the Daily Heil (due to it’s 1933 leader “Youth Triumphant” praising the new Nazi regime’s accomplishments) is a mid market paper aimed at the middle classes. It is claimed that Rupert Murdoch has stated that eventually there will be only three national newspapers left in the UK, the Times, the Sun and the Daily Mail. Perhaps the best way of placing the paper in perspective is the following from Yes Prime Minister

Jim Hacker: “Don’t tell me about the press. I know exactly who reads the papers:
- The Daily Mirror is read by people who think they run the country;
- The Guardian is read by people who think they ought to run the country;
- The Times is read by people who actually do run the country;
- The Daily Mail is read by the wives of the people who run the country;
- The Financial Times is read by people who own the country;
- The Morning Star is read by people who think the country ought to be run by another country;
- And the Daily Telegraph is read by people who think it is.”
Sir Humphrey: “Prime Minister, what about the people who read the Sun?”
Bernard Woolley: “Sun readers don’t care who runs the country, as long as she’s got big

I’ll leave the rest of that quote to your imagination; suffice to say don’t access the Sun’s website from work.

 
Comment by frankie
2012-08-30 12:07:37

The Daily Mail or as its detractors refer to it the Daily Heil (due to it’s 1933 leader “Youth Triumphant” praised the new Nazi regime’s accomplishments) is a mid market paper aimed at the middle classes. It is claimed that Rupert Murdoch has said that eventually there will be only three national newspapers left in the UK, the Times, the Sun and the Daily Mail. Perhaps the best way of placing the paper in perspective is the following

Jim Hacker: “Don’t tell me about the press. I know exactly who reads the papers:
- The Daily Mirror is read by people who think they run the country;
- The Guardian is read by people who think they ought to run the country;
- The Times is read by people who actually do run the country;
- The Daily Mail is read by the wives of the people who run the country;
- The Financial Times is read by people who own the country;
- The Morning Star is read by people who think the country ought to be run by another country;
- And the Daily Telegraph is read by people who think it is.”
Sir Humphrey: “Prime Minister, what about the people who read the Sun?”
Bernard Woolley: “Sun readers don’t care who runs the country, as long as she’s got big

I’ll leave the rest of that quote to your imagination; suffice to say don’t access the Sun’s website from work.

Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 13:58:05

It was worth reading that post twice :)

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Comment by frankie
2012-08-30 14:45:28

Thank you, but I’ll try not to do it again.

 
Comment by scdave
2012-08-30 15:16:57

Good one frankie…

 
 
 
Comment by frankie
2012-08-30 14:54:19

Interesting that the drudge report is ranked number 90 by alexa in the US and the dailymail.co.uk ranks 99, just behind deviantArt.

 
 
Comment by sfrenter
2012-08-30 10:49:45

What I find interesting is that the people who are often the most vociferous about “move somewhere cheaper” and “stay mobile for employment” are often the very same people who are vehemently anti-immigration.

Unless of course it’s waxing poetic about one’s (white) immigrant ancestors.

Humans, like other animals, will migrate to find food and shelter.

Comment by aNYCdj
2012-08-30 18:24:51

SF if that s true why do so many die from starvation in Africa? why wont they move to the food and water?

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-08-30 21:13:19

That line almost made me channel Sam Kinnison…

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Comment by frankie
2012-08-30 02:20:58

China threatens to burst Australia’s iron ore bubbleChina’s economic slowdown has left commodity-rich Australia and its over-valued currency exposed

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/economics-blog/2012/aug/29/china-australia-iron-ore

I can only assume this will have no effect on Australian house prices.

Comment by Ryan
Comment by Ryan
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 06:35:06

(sorry still don’t understand how to add an url)

I prefer seeing the link before I go to it, anyway. Saves me from wasting my time, in many cases.

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Comment by goon squad
2012-08-30 06:52:34

And we always read the Drudge Report before reading HBB so we’ll know what right wing talking points will get regurgitated here.

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-08-30 06:51:23

Bush and Ohbewanna love killing people especially americans….or they would have treated the afghannis like the American Indians and bought the country and pacified the people with booze…to hellll with allah…

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Comment by Awaiting
2012-08-30 03:17:20

ahansen
You’re a doll. Thank for the PBS “Old House” lead. Found it!

Everyone else whom chimed in. Thank you as well. Very helpful.

 
Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 03:32:44

‘I hope it’s not a deal-breaker Mitt, but my playlist starts with AC/DC, and ends with Zeppelin,’” Ryan said.

http://www.rollcall.com/news/-217153-1.html

Now that’s a VP with musical tastes.

Comment by polly
2012-08-30 05:37:26

But what about the speech:

The true, the false, and the misleading: grading Paul Ryan’s convention speech.

Posted by Dylan Matthews on August 30, 2012 at 1:09 am

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/08/30/the-true-the-false-and-the-misleading-grading-paul-ryans-convention-speech/

[It is hard to tease this one because it is a list under three subheadings, but here is one from the "false" subheading]

A GM plant in Ryan’s district shut down on Obama’s watch – From Ryan’s speech:

My home state voted for President Obama. When he talked about change, many people liked the sound of it, especially in Janesville, where we were about to lose a major factory.

A lot of guys I went to high school with worked at that GM plant. Right there at that plant, candidate Obama said: “I believe that if our government is there to support you … this plant will be here for another hundred years.” That’s what he said in 2008.

Well, as it turned out, that plant didn’t last another year. It is locked up and empty to this day.

The plant shut down in June 2008, when George W. Bush is president. Ryan says it had not yet shut down Obama was elected, that Janesville was “about to” lose the factory at the time of the election. This is false, as Ryan knew in 2008 when he issued a statement bemoaning the plant’s closing.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 05:44:38

This is false, as Ryan knew in 2008 when he issued a statement bemoaning the plant’s closing.

You’d think he’d have learned his lesson after being caught in his lies about never asking for stimulus money. I guess being a bold-faced liar is seen as a plus in some circles.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-08-30 06:11:48

You ladies are really quick to judge people without any effort to get some facts.

http://www.jsonline.com/business/130171578.html

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 06:51:08

You ladies are really quick to judge people without any effort to get some facts.

We knew some nice older ‘apolitical’ woman like yourself would be ready with some ‘facts’ hot off a right-wing web site.

I’m not clear what you think your link explains though. Ryan was bemoaning the plant’s closing in 2008. So what if it took another year to completely shut down? Another Ryan lie. Another defense of all things GOP by ‘apolitical’ you.

 
Comment by calurker
2012-08-30 07:05:33

“you ladies”??? Is this really about body parts?

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-08-30 07:14:45

Is this really about body parts?

For Republican men it certainly is, about what “ladies” are allowed to do or not do with theirs :)

 
Comment by scdave
2012-08-30 07:21:02

“you ladies”??? Is this really about body parts ??

For many on the right, yes it is…Just ask Akin…

 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-08-30 07:21:32

“you ladies”??? Is this really about body parts?

It`s a war on body parts!

 
Comment by calurker
2012-08-30 07:28:12

Unknown Tenant, I think you are trying for sarcasm as if to “shame” us for our ridiculous “lady thoughts”, but since the war on women is so obvious and true, its really not a viable technique.

You can try the “emperor has no clothes” approach to the war on women, but that doesn’t mean its not there.

Everyone can see it.

 
Comment by Ryan
2012-08-30 07:44:43

I think both sides of this discussion are stupid. What do you think is really going to happen? You’re both arguing as though this is the only issue that matters among women; I doubt that’s the case.

But go on, keep squabbling over what the right and left tell you is important.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-08-30 08:08:02

“some ‘facts’ hot off a right-wing web site…”

I had no idea the Milwaukee Journal was a hotbed of rightiness, nor that the article from last year was planted as fodder for the election lie fest.

I don’t know much about Ryan, so I did some poking around about this supposedly important plant closing comment. I think what you said is not true, and that you did not make it up, but were captivated by it because of your bias. It’s just hateful gossip which does nothing to inform us.

 
Comment by calurker
2012-08-30 08:13:19

Dear Ryan,

“You’re both arguing as though this is the only issue that matters among women; I doubt that’s the case.”

First off, not sure how you extrapolate that we are both arguing that this is the ONLY issue that matters to women.

But obviously, in general terms a “war on women”, restricting current methods of contraception, having government act as your doctor and enforce invasive procedures even if your actual doctor disagrees, yes, logically, that WOULD be a top issue for women, if not the top. Although, as a woman myself, I am able to see that OF COURSE we are not a stereotype and we don’t all have the same thoughts and opinions. AND of course nothing is the ONLY issue that matters — so therefore, to you, Ryan, we can’t talk about ANY issue? To me this effort to roll back women’s rights in contraception and abortion is huge. Let’s not go back to the 1950s please.

also, Ryan, I am not “squabbling about what the right or left tells me”. I am fighting for my right, which certain politicians are working at removing. Do you see the difference, Ryan? Because I don’t think you do. Ryan, are you clear on what America is about? Freedom? And all that? Don’t call it “squabbling on what the right and left tells you”. You sound like you are not aware of all the legislation going on.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 08:36:40

It’s just hateful gossip which does nothing to inform us.

Like Ryan’s lie that the plant was closed down under Obama? The decision was made in 2008, Ryan was”bemoaning it” at that time. One could argue that the final closing occurred under Obama, but that’s just grasping at a straw (ie that it takes a while to close down a plant) to defend Ryan from his lying about it.

And you got your pseudo-exculpatory link from a right wing web site, I’ll wager.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-08-30 08:46:41

Here is what i dont get…why do the repubs want a lot of unwanted children being born? Why do they want to make people miserable and increase the cost to all of us?

Is this some racist ploy to keep certain people barefoot and pregnant? Since certain people could always take a trip to Bermuda and get an abortion anyway.

It really makes no sense….if you really wanted poor people to be better off you would encourage abortions at every turn…no waiting times, no sitting through some anti abortion pro life video, and all paid for …no cost to you…just get it done…

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-08-30 09:06:44

I got the link from a google search. IIRC, the article said the plant was still on standby as of 2011, so it does speak to the non-recovery perfectly. It stands that you are an incourageable source of false accusations.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 09:31:09

Sorry, Blue. I’m awarding you the Puke of the Day award (or whatever it is) for your continuing defense of Ryan’s chronic lying.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-08-30 09:55:33

Is it at all possible that the weakness in the overall automobile market from 2008-2011 is the reason for the closure, and subsequent standby status, and not some guy in the White House?

Especially this market?:
“The Janesville plant stopped production of SUVs in 2008 and was idled in 2009 after it completed production of medium-duty trucks.”

“”If we get back to any kind of a reasonable market, with 15- or 16 million sales, then I think that’s going to require Janesville as well,” he said.”

 
Comment by sfrenter
2012-08-30 12:14:16

Whatever the Republicans decide (re women’s bodies) it’s all good by me, because now “us ladies” finally have a ballpoint pen that is feminine enough.

Bic Pens ‘For Her’ Get Hilariously Snarky Amazon Reviews

Who knew there was a pen specially designed for women? The Bic pen “For Her” might be the first of its kind, but that didn’t prevent Amazon.com reviewers from offering up snarky, sarcastic reviews of the product.

The Bic Cristal “For Her” pen boasts product features like “elegant design - just for her!” and a “thin barrel to fit a women’s hand.” (Yes, seriously.) The pens also come in an array of pretty pastels such as lavender and mint. (You know, because it’s just “for her.”)

Shoppers on Amazon wasted no time in writing hundreds of scathing reviews on the ballpoint.

“Finally! For years I’ve had to rely on pencils, or at worst, a twig and some drops of my feminine blood to write down recipes (the only thing a lady should be writing ever),” one reviewer wrote. “I had despaired of ever being able to write down said recipes in a permanent manner, though my men-folk assured me that I ’shouldn’t worry yer pretty little head.’ But, AT LAST! Bic, the great liberator, has released a womanly pen that my gentle baby hands can use without fear of unlady-like callouses and bruises. Thank you, Bic!”

“Oh. My. God. I’ve been doing it all wrong,” quipped another. “There was me thinking I didn’t need to worry about whether my writing implement sufficiently reflected my gender. Thank you so much Bic for showing me the error of my ways. Perhaps Bic will also bring out a new range of pink (or purple) feminine spanners, screwdrivers, electric drills and angle grinders so that I can carry out my job as a bicycle mechanic without further embarrassing myself? Luckily my male colleagues have managed to keep their disapproval of my use of their masculine tools to themselves. I’m so ashamed. And re-educated as to my place in society. Thanks again Bic!”

 
Comment by TheNYCdb
2012-08-30 15:47:36

It also has a three speed vibrating ink eraser for… more easily erasing I suppose.

 
Comment by Ryan
2012-08-30 16:01:01

Ok, Calurker, I’ll bite. What part of what legislation that is out there right now do you believe is suddenly going to thrust American women back into the 1950’s? Explain it for me. You believe planned parenthood will disappear, what?

That is assuming of course, that the legislation is passed in the first place and it’s not just fear of the boogeyman like the NRA’s fear of UN gun control.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-08-30 23:07:51

For starters, Ryan, in 2011 alone:
-states passed a record number of abortion restrictions, with 92 new laws taking effect in 24 states.
-41 states prohibit abortion generally, except in extraordinary circumstances.
-In 2011 North Dakota Senate passed a bill banning abortion entirely.
-Colorado tried but failed to get an abortion ban on the state ballot this year and on and on and on. And that’s just recent legislative restrictions on what a woman can do with her own uterus.

I suspect you know how to use a search engine…

 
Comment by Ryan
2012-08-31 09:07:09

Again, not seeing 1950 here. These are states rights issues. If you live in a state that restricts you, what stops you from crossing state lines?

 
 
Comment by polly
2012-08-30 06:24:19

I really don’t get why they leave in that sort of stuff once it has been exposed. Well, I don’t get why they do it in the first place, but that is just me. There is plenty of room to do it in ways that are speculative, “he will…” or, “he wants to…” and all that. It isn’t hard to say things that can only be refuted with, “at this time X has never expressed an intention to…” or, “at this time X has never expressed a desire to…” It wouldn’t be true, but it wouldn’t be entirely false because it is an opinion about the future. The false stuff about the past just doesn’t make sense when the other stuff is so easy.

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Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 08:19:14

I really don’t get why they leave in that sort of stuff once it has been exposed.

Because it is true, but the liberals are so quick to want to find fault, they’ll latch onto anything to try and prove Republicans wrong.

Here is an excerpt from CNN on fact checking the Ryan speech, specifically the GM quote:

The only thing Ryan appears to have gotten technically wrong in Wednesday’s version was saying that the plant didn’t last another year. It did last another year — more like 14 months — if the Isuzu line and its 57 workers count.

So, though Ryan might have been incorrect in the August 16 telling, he cleaned it up for Wednesday’s convention. Obama said what Ryan said he said.

Obama talked to the plant workers in Jan 2008, specifically about the government helping GM retool. By April 2009, the plant was closed.

Liberals can try and spin facts all they want, it won’t work. Come November, Carter is out, Regan is in…

 
Comment by Jojo
2012-08-30 09:05:39

But did Obama say the plant was going to stay open or not?

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 09:21:02

Here is the Obama quote from the Feb 2008 speech:

“I know that General Motors received some bad news yesterday, and I know how hard your governor has fought to keep jobs in this plant. But I also know how much progress you’ve made — how many hybrids and fuel-efficient vehicles you’re churning out,” Obama said. “And I believe that if our government is there to support you, and give you the assistance you need to re-tool and make this transition, that this plant will be here for another hundred years.”

The is per the Council on Foreign Relations, that kept a record of the speech. The left is in full dis-information propaganda mode.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-08-30 09:27:56

Supposedly he said “I believe that if our government is there to support you this plant will be here for another hundred years.”

Funny thing is, the plant is still there.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 09:31:49

Disingenuous as best, failed promise at worst. The impression he gave to plant workers in that speech was that he and his administration would support keeping that plant open. See my post above regarding the exact Obama quote.

 
Comment by polly
2012-08-30 09:44:18

Fact checking the GOP convention’s second night

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/post/fact-checking-the-gop-conventions-second-night/2012/08/30/128cbe9e-f260-11e1-adc6-87dfa8eff430_blog.html#pagebreak

The Fact Checker was also fascinated by the enthusiastic response to her prime-time speech.) We will devote most of this column to analyzing claims in Ryan’s speech, but at the end we will also assess a few other interesting claims made by other speakers.

“Right there at that plant, candidate Obama said: ‘I believe that if our government is there to support you … this plant will be here for another hundred years.’ That’s what he said in 2008. Well, as it turned out, that plant didn’t last another year. It is locked up and empty to this day.”

In his acceptance speech, GOP vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan appeared to suggest that President Obama was responsible for the closing of a GM plant in Ryan’s home town of Janesville, Wis.

Obama gave his speech in February 2008, and he did say those words. But Ryan’s phrasing, referring to the fact the plant did not last another year, certainly suggests it was shut down in 2009, when Obama was president.

Ryan, in fact, issued a news release in June 2008, urging GM to keep the plant open after the automaker announced it would close it.

The plant was largely closed in December 2008 when production of General Motors SUVs ceased — before Obama was sworn in. A small crew of about 100 workers completed a contract for production of medium-duty trucks for Isuzu Motors, a contract that ended in April 2009.

Note that Ryan called the plant “locked up” rather than “shut down.” That’s because the plant has not been completely shut down; it remains on “standby” and could reopen if GM production reaches the right level, according to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.

[And from a different part of the speech]

“He created a bipartisan debt commission. They came back with an urgent report. He thanked them, sent them on their way, and then did exactly nothing.”

Ryan is referring to the Simpson-Bowles Commission, and he is correct that Obama did not act on its report. But Ryan left out the fact that he served on the commission and voted against the final “urgent” report, largely because he believed it did not do enough to overhaul health-care entitlements such as Medicare.

David Brooks, a New York Times columnist sympathetic to Republicans, recently labeled Ryan’s “no” vote as “Ryan’s biggest mistake,” because he gave up “significant debt progress for a political fantasy” — that a Republican victory in 2012 would allow for real reforms without Democratic support.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 09:58:03

Why do you bother Polly? Here is the lie right there in your post:

Obama gave his speech in February 2008, and he did say those words. But Ryan’s phrasing, referring to the fact the plant did not last another year, certainly suggests it was shut down in 2009, when Obama was president.

The plant was largely closed in December 2008 when production of General Motors SUVs ceased — before Obama was sworn in. A small crew of about 100 workers completed a contract for production of medium-duty trucks for Isuzu Motors, a contract that ended in April 2009.

Your a lawyer for god-sakes and you want to try and twist the truth like that? When was the plant closed? APRIL 2009. It wasn’t “mostly closed” in 2008. Either it was operating or it wasn’t. In 2008, it was operating, in 2009, it closed. It closed after Obama said his administration would help keep it open.

Could you try and lie or distort the truth anymore?

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 09:59:24

Ryan is referring to the Simpson-Bowles Commission, and he is correct that Obama did not act on its report.

Another distortion? Your post says right there that Ryan’s speech was correct. Stop lying to people Polly. Certainly stop reading the dis-information the left is feeding you.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-08-30 10:18:52

The point for me is that GM has not come back to full production, and I think Obama wanted that to happen. It was one of the significant thrusts of his administration, no? This administration got Hoovered. I do believe the next one will be too, so Ryan is as magical thinking probably as the last guy.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 10:40:22

The point for me is that GM has not come back to full production

See my post below regarding August auto manufacturing data… Zerohedge has been reporting GM channel stuffing cars and trucks for months. It’s “financial comeback” was nothing but smoke and mirrors as it reports sales when the product is shipped to the dealer, not when the dealer sells the auto. All GM has done is flood GM dealers with product that will have to be heavily discounted to move.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 11:07:29

Carter is out, Regan is in…

LOL. Mathematically impossible. The beginning of the destruction of the American middle-class can only happen once in our lifetimes.

There just isn’t enough time in the average life for it to happen twice.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 12:14:40

Is it the end of the beginning or the beginning of the end?

 
 
Comment by Ryan
2012-08-30 06:57:11

Actually, being a bold-faced liar is a must in politicians.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 06:59:52

I think that is my biggest problem with them, as they treat lying as though it is an essential, and I was raised to always tell the truth. Hence I tend to find politicians of all stripes morally repugnant.

 
Comment by scdave
2012-08-30 07:25:36

they treat lying as though it is an essential ??

Because its not about truth….Its about winning….Like McConnell said two years ago…Its our #1 goal…To hell with the country in the mean-time…

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-08-30 07:52:17

I thought the expression was “bald faced liar”.

Reminds me of how “buck naked” has become “butt naked”.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-08-30 07:57:00

and “you’re” has become “your”.

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 10:28:01

I guess being a bold-faced liar is seen as a plus in some circles.

Strange. It doesn’t seem to bother Blue Skye.

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Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 08:26:45

Is that really a lie?

Some of the kids he hung out with probably quit HS early and worked at the plant.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 11:00:10

Is that really a lie?

Parse it however you guys want.

It is shameful for you and them. That whole campaign is based on people being ignorant and turning their heads away from lies. Just for your politics.

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Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 11:41:00

Rio, dream on dude. You are so blind to your own side’s lies and misdeeds.

Just keep saying to yourself, “Republicans want dirty water, dirty air and death to old people and blacks. Democrats are loving, kind and just want to help everyone”.

Excuse me while I puke.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 12:24:32

Rio, dream on dude. You are so blind to your own side’s lies and misdeeds.

Totally wrong. Unlike you I can differentiate and I know the history of both parties and what the Repubs have become. I know my “sides” lies and misdeeds. The Republican “side” is way worse. Lying nutjob worse. And racist.

Let’s just say it: The Republicans are the problem.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/lets-just-say-it-the-republicans-are-the-problem/2012/04/27/gIQAxCVUlT_story.html

We have been studying Washington politics and Congress for more than 40 years, and never have we seen them this dysfunctional. In our past writings, we have criticized both parties when we believed it was warranted. Today, however, we have no choice but to acknowledge that the core of the problem lies with the Republican Party.

The GOP has become an insurgent outlier in American politics. It is ideologically extreme; scornful of compromise; unmoved by conventional understanding of facts, evidence and science; and dismissive of the legitimacy of its political opposition.

When one party moves this far from the mainstream, it makes it nearly impossible for the political system to deal constructively with the country’s challenges.

 
 
 
Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 15:18:40

Politifact Lies About Paul Ryan and the Janesville GM Plant

So, President Obama went to the Janesville GM plant and told them that if the policies he supports were enacted, the plant would “be here for another hundred years”. If a presidential candidate comes to your plant and tells you the execution of his policies will keep it open for another hundred years that’s a promise or a guarentee or whatever you want. However, it most certainly isn’t meaningless as Politifact would like us all to believe.

And, of course, President Obama’s policies were enacted but the Janesville GM plant didn’t even survive through all of 2009. Instead, it shut down on April 23rd 2009. Which brings me to the next point. Politifact is just plain lying about when the Jainsville plant closed.

They claim it “effectively” closed in December of 2008. That’s simply false. While the SUV line in the plant was shut down in December of 2008 the plant’s truck line remained up and running until April 23rd 2009.

http://mrctv.org/blog/politifact-lies-about-paul-ryan-and-janesville-gm-plant

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-08-30 06:03:03

Way to lock up the “youth” vote, listening to bands from 40 years ago.

And he had a black girlfriend in college too, that should exponentially increase Romney’s current 0% approval among black voters :)

Comment by Montana
2012-08-30 06:06:50

ACDC? How prole.

 
Comment by Ryan
2012-08-30 06:08:41

In your opinion, what could Romney do to appeal to the Black community?

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-08-30 06:13:59

You mean the people who think that their skin color is more important than their nationality?

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Comment by Ryan
2012-08-30 06:32:21

Not much different than the groups that find their country of origins identity more important than their current nations identity.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 06:57:18

You mean the people who think that their skin color is more important than their nationality?

Are you sure they’re not just rationally voting for their own economic interests? Something white working class males should try, if only they weren’t so easily herded.

 
Comment by calurker
2012-08-30 07:15:18

Blue Skye, it is amazing how you can speak for how entire groups of people think. How you believe each group is homogenous rather than complex. How, I guess, there is no variation in overall actions and opinions of say, blacks, or “the ladies”. I guess to you, only white males vary in action and opinion. Every other group can be distilled down to a stereotypical soundbite. It’s much easier to be contemptuous of others that way, isn’t it?

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-08-30 07:53:32

If blacks were voting their economic interests they would not be voting for the open border president. illegal immigration has destroyed blue color wages and driven down wages to the lucky ducky level.

What was the last straw was not Obama circumventing the congressional rejection of the dream act but the way it is being implemented. The ICE agents suit against Obama reveals that they are being told to just take the illegals word for the fact that they have the GED or military service to stay in the country. Come on setting the level at a GED but now we just take their word? It it just like the health care act where illegals can get health care just by checking a box that they are here legally with no verification.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-08-30 07:54:26

Carl, I have absolutely no respect for what your skin color is, and I won’t acknowledge that there is anything special about you on that basis. Anyone who does is abusing you.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-08-30 08:18:13

Oops, meant Calurker, not Carl.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 09:33:42

they would not be voting for the open border president.

The GOP is going to close the border? Don’t make me laugh.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 11:12:13

You mean the people who think that their skin color is more important than their nationality

The white CEO’s who shipped our jobs away or the majority of the power behind the Republican Party?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 11:13:26

I guess to you, only white males vary in action and opinion. Every other group can be distilled down to a stereotypical soundbite.

Why are you gettin’ all complicated on him? Those concepts are hard.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 11:17:14

illegal immigration has destroyed blue color wages and driven down wages to the lucky ducky level.

Along with Union busting, offshoring and worker’s rights being slammed by America’s recent religion of seeking shareholder value above all else.

 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-08-30 11:19:59

It’s that season again, the FIRE PR machine is in high gear. And with it, stories telling us how it’s unwise to pay off our mortgage.

Why you shouldn’t pay down your mortgage faster
By JONATHAN FAHEY
AP Business Writer

(AP) - The impulse to pay off your mortgage more quickly than you need to is understandable, especially these days.

You could take the money you borrowed at 3 percent and try to reinvest it in a way that earns more than that. If you have time to ride out ups and downs of the market, 3 percent should be relatively easy to beat.

http://wtop.com/628/3013422/Pay-down-your-mortgage-Not-so-fast

 
Comment by Montana
2012-08-30 12:23:09

The GOP is going to close the border? Don’t make me laugh.

I think they just adopted a platform plank calling for some new braceros program…so we go full circle to the Harvest of Shame years.

 
Comment by Wolf
2012-08-30 13:37:02

Quote: “Blue Skye, it is amazing how you can speak for how entire groups of people think. How you believe each group is homogenous rather than complex. How, I guess, there is no variation in overall actions and opinions of say, blacks, or “the ladies”. I guess to you, only white males vary in action and opinion. Every other group can be distilled down to a stereotypical soundbite. It’s much easier to be contemptuous of others that way, isn’t”

Well, black folks do vote extremely homogenously. Not much “variation in overall actions and opinions” in the voting booth.

 
Comment by polly
2012-08-30 14:18:15

Obama is deporting immigrants faster than Bush.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/08/27/obama-is-deporting-more-immigrants-than-bush-republicans-dont-think-thats-enough/

Tease:

As of July, Obama deported 1.4 million illegal immigrants since the beginning of his administration — that’s 1.5 times more immigrants on average than Bush deported every month, according to official numbers from the Department of Homeland Security

 
Comment by calurker
2012-08-30 15:15:46

Blue Skye, you totally ignored the point and started on something else. No point in trying to have a discussion. Congratulations on your trolling abilities, though.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-08-30 15:41:39

Cal, I responded to one point. What else did you want, applause for your blatant racism? A defense of calling Polly a lady? Some contention about a war on women of which I know nothing?

 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2012-08-30 21:47:22

“Obama is deporting immigrants faster than Bush.”

Nothing but crickets.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 22:03:08

“Obama is deporting immigrants faster than Bush.”

Nothing but crickets.

They’re moving on to the next talking point. They believe quantity beats quality. They’re probably right.

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-08-30 06:23:21
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Comment by Ryan
2012-08-30 07:26:07

Yes, but would it be enough to mobilize the FSA (free shit army) and get them to the polls in November

 
Comment by Montana
2012-08-30 12:24:14

oops, wrong place…

 
Comment by ecofeco
2012-08-30 15:30:29

If any anyone knows how to do it, it would be him. After all he has personal experience:

Republican Senate nominee Mitt Romney’s rescue of a business consulting firm was achieved in part by convincing the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. to forgive roughly $10 million of the company’s debts, according to sources close to the deal and federal records obtained by The Boston Globe.

- The Boston Globe, October 25, 1994

The federal government’s contributions, thanks to Mr. Romney, were also immense. By the time the Games were over, about $342 million in federal money to plan and stage the Winter Games had flowed into Utah, a record outlay for the Olympics and nearly $50 million more in constant dollars than was spent for the Atlanta Olympics, according to a report in 2001 by the Government Accountability Office.

- New York Times

 
 
Comment by scdave
2012-08-30 07:27:36

what could Romney do to appeal to the Black community ??

Be like Clinton….

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Comment by aNYCdj
2012-08-30 07:31:38

Dave: how about some zydeco music?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8P4OKxms8hc

 
Comment by scdave
2012-08-30 08:19:09

Hey…I like it dj….What the hell instrument is that on the guys chest…??

 
Comment by aNYCdj
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 11:08:44

what could Romney do to appeal to the Black community?

Get a little jiggy with it.

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Comment by oxide
2012-08-30 06:40:11

Bands from 40 years ago.

Well of course Ryan’s musical tastes are “good.” If Zepplin and ACDC were not good, nobody would remember them 40 years later. Selection bias, folks.

Comment by goon squad
2012-08-30 06:57:02

Zeppelin and AC/DC are very popular among the middle aged, white working class voters whose jobs vulture capitalists like Romney get rich from outsourcing.

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Comment by Montana
2012-08-30 08:09:41

I think you mean “offshoring.” Why is everyone getting it mixed up now?

 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 06:54:50

He also thinks Jon Stewart is funny. Gotta admire that in any politician…

 
Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 08:24:21

Ya’ll,

I thought my post was about music and this is my effort to try and take it back.

Having seen Zeppelin in Chicago in the early 80’s (maybe late 70’s), I think it’s amazing that some of the younger folks still find their music great. I still do, but have moved on for the most part.

My favorites include Alan Jackson, Chris Tomlin, Darius Rucker, Linkin Park, Skillit, Thousand Foot Krutch, & Toby Mac

Comment by goon squad
2012-08-30 08:44:09

my effort to try and take it back

Jimmy Page is a talented guitarist, but Ryan being a fan of these corporate rock dinosaurs doesn’t score him any cool factor points.

Comment by aNYCdj
2012-08-30 09:13:31

With all the crap on the radio she is 29 year old..

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PNiVA9XX234

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Comment by jbunniii
2012-08-30 09:49:13

Another nice quote from that rollcall article:

“College graduates should not have to live out their 20s in their childhood bedrooms, staring up at fading Obama posters and wondering when they can move out and get going with life,” he ripped to roars from the crowd.

Comment by GrizzlyBear
2012-08-30 21:51:13

Well, then, why did his party crater the economy in the first place?

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 23:29:49

I believe GWB cratered the economy to set up a one-term Democratic president who could hand power back to the GOP in 2012, based on collective amnesia over how GWB oversaw the onset of the second Great Depression.

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Comment by sfrenter
2012-08-30 11:55:28

Now that’s a VP with musical tastes.

It’s all fun and games until Robert Plant gives his opinion about Republicans.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 21:04:39

Politics
Ralph Nader Reacts to Paul Ryan Speech

Former Independent Presidential Candidate Ralph Nader criticizes Paul Ryan’s speech at the 2012 RNC Convention in Tampa, calling it deceptive, contradictory and hypocritical. Photo: Getty Images.
8/30/2012 12:58:22 AM6:03

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-08-30 22:18:54

Paul/Nader/Perot/Kucinich 2012

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-31 08:31:05

deceptive, contradictory and hypocritical

LOL …The RNC motto.

 
 
 
Comment by The Lying Puke Award
2012-08-30 03:34:55

Pimps, specu-debtors and realtors….

At the end of each day, one of you will be conferred with The Lying Puke Award for telling the tallest tale of the day. There will be a weekly award bestowed on whichever one of you earn the most daily awards in a single week.

Carry on~

Comment by Darell In Issa
2012-08-30 05:36:42

Hope I am not in the running….

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-08-30 06:16:42

This is a great time to sell a house!

Comment by Houses Depreciate Rapidly
2012-08-30 07:21:44

In your case Blue, you get todays Truth Award with one caveat…… “It’s a great time to sell a house……… for 50% less than you expect.”(because there aren’t any buyers out there at inflated prices).

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-08-30 07:54:40

Real Estate Always Goes Up!

Buy now or be priced out forever!

Buying a house is a risk free investment!

Did I win?

Comment by Houses Depreciate Rapidly
2012-08-30 08:06:02

You get the special olympics award.

Comment by goon squad
2012-08-30 09:10:41

Because arguing on the internet is like the Special Olympics, you can win but you’re still retarded :)

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Comment by sfrenter
2012-08-30 12:20:18

Because arguing on the internet is like the Special Olympics, you can win but you’re still retarded

LOL

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-08-30 09:33:13

I wouldn’t dream of taking that gold medal, draped so handsomely around your shoulders, away from you.

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Comment by Houses Depreciate Rapidly
2012-08-30 11:35:16

You wanna play, you’re gonna pay. ;)

 
 
 
 
Comment by sfrenter
2012-08-30 12:18:31

Pick me pick me!

I just found out that my mortgage broker was raised by fairies.

Comment by polly
2012-08-30 14:29:42

But is that really a tall tale? Aren’t fairies usually short?

 
Comment by San Diego RE Bear
2012-08-31 12:48:11

What did you expect in San Francisco?

(PC apologies but I couldn’t resist. :D)

 
 
 
Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 03:38:48

Conservative voters, are you bluffing or for real? by George Will

Twice as many Americans identify themselves as conservative as liberal. Nov. 6 we will know if they mean it. This is the problem for uneasy Republicans. The Democrats’ problem is worse because they are not uneasy about their dissonance, being blissfully unaware of it.

For example, if the swing state of Nevada, which has the nation’s highest unemployment rate (12 percent), votes for four more years of current policies, it must henceforth suffer in silence. Actually, all those who vote to continue Barack Obama’s distinctive brand of clientelism — crony capitalism — must, if he wins, become political Trappists, taking a vow to keep quiet.

Read more here: http://www.kansascity.com/2012/08/29/3785930/george-will-voters-are-you-bluffing.html#storylink=cpy

Yeah, George, like that is going to happen. It is the right of all to complain about government, no matter who they voted for nor what their values are. Complain on folks.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 05:40:46

Barack Obama’s distinctive brand of clientelism — crony capitalism —

A Republican complaining about crony capitalism.

God really does love irony.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-08-30 06:19:39

Doesn’t anyone in your club complain about the cronyism in government?

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 12:34:51

Doesn’t anyone in your club complain about the cronyism in government?

Dumbest strawman of the day? This “club” complains more about it than you. However to vote for Rebubs over Dems because of crony-capitalism is dumb because historically, Repubs are more guilty of crony-capitalism than Dems.

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Comment by ecofeco
2012-08-30 15:34:14

My my how quickly everyone has forgotten the Keating 5.

 
 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-08-30 05:58:21

Mike Rosen opinion piece from the Denver Post - 2016: Obama’s America

“D’Souza introduces us to Obama’s ideological “founding fathers” like Communist Frank Marshall Davis, who mentored Obama in Hawaii; Edward Said, the radical Palestinian at Harvard; Brazilian socialist Roberto Mangabeira Unger, who taught Obama at Columbia; the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, of “God damn America” fame; and his Chicago neighbor and political fundraiser, Bill Ayers.

D’Souza’s theory is that Obama’s misgoverning of America isn’t ineptitude. It’s the deliberate application of his vision, the product of his early programming with a one-sided, anti-Western, anti-colonial, anti-capitalist world view, resentfully invested in the simplistic premise that exploitive colonial nations are solely responsible for Third World poverty.”

Comment by Darrell In Issa
2012-08-30 06:53:53

Not sure who’s more stupidier?

The one who made a propoganda movie or the one who watched it and wrote a column about it?

Comment by In Colorado
2012-08-30 07:56:51

D’Souza probably got paid to watch and review it.

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Comment by polly
2012-08-30 09:47:03

Read and review it? He wrote and made it.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-08-30 10:04:44

There is so much tolerance for intellectual sloppiness in the Fox Bubble that it considers Dinesh D’Souza a “public intellectual”; one who apparently doesn’t see the irony in equating anti-colonialism with anti-Americanism.

But at least he picked up enough at Dartmouth to know on what side his toast is buttered.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-08-30 12:18:18

Read and review it? He wrote and made it.

Oops, I meant Mike Rosen.

 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 12:37:28

Obama’s misgoverning of America….anti-Western, anti-colonial, anti-capitalist world view, resentfully invested in the simplistic premise that exploitive colonial nations are solely responsible for Third World poverty.”

LOL. It’s funny. Obama really pisses a lot of angry white men off.

Comment by zee_in_phx
2012-08-30 13:24:18
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Comment by I blame progressives
2012-08-30 19:33:02

Four out of five happy white men surveyed say Obama is a failed President, the one hold out works for a wall street bank and would like to keep the status quo.

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Comment by oxide
2012-08-30 06:54:33

must, if he wins, become political Trappists, taking a vow to keep quiet.

In 8th grade they made me read some nonsense about petitioning the government for the redress of grievances. Damn libtard public school system.

 
Comment by TheNYCdb
2012-08-30 15:41:31

Breaking news twice as many people think they have above average intelligence than those who think they have below average intelligence.

The problem with this article is that there are plenty of people who consider themselves conservative that either don’t fit the ideological mold for the republican party. Beyond that there are differences between fiscal conservatives and social conservatives.

On a personal note I would consider myself a fiscal conservative (I would do much better under a Romney Tax plan, and I want the Govt to stop propping up housing). At the same time I believe in a woman’s right to choose and in marriage equality, which I think are moral issues that will define what my country stands for. At the end of the day I sometimes vote for the (R) sometimes for the (D), but as I get older and have more money in the bank I find it a lot easier to vote my conscience even if that means voting against my financial interests.

While I’m not sure if I’m going to vote this year (maybe Johnson?). I could have seen myself voting for Gov. Romney if he had stayed with the socially moderate (R) stances he took as governor. I’ve been incredibly disappointed with the campaign and with the man in the last few months specifically with his attempts to claim that President Obama gutted welfare work requirements. This claim that appears to be completely false and geared towards fueling racial divides was the last straw for me.

 
 
Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 03:50:32

Don’t Believe the Near-Term Data, We’ve Not Reached a Housing Bottom By Anthony Randazzo

And the skies are clearing. And the sun is shining. And all is going to be well with the world. (Romney and Ryan might even win :-)

This time around the cause of the uptick is that there were fewer foreclosures being processed over the past year which, thanks in part to the robo-signing scandal, has effectively taken existing housing supply off the market. But millions of these delinquent properties will be going through foreclosure and be coming on the market at some point, reversing the price trend currently enjoyed.

RealtyTrac data suggests a 1.6 million home foreclosure backlog at present. Add this to the roughly 2 million foreclosures currently in progress, according to Barclay’s Capital research, the 1.5 million to 4 million homes that are at least three months behind on their payments, and the 10 million mortgages that remain underwater and candidates for defaulting down the road, and you get headwinds of several different storms coming together to create a potential “foreclosure hurricane”.

http://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2012/08/30/dont_believe_the_near-term_data_weve_not_reached_a_housing_bottom_99849.html

Hear that, a foreclosure hurricane is coming. I think I like the terms “Perfect Storm” or “Tidal Wave” better, but this term might grow to be useful. Seeing pictures of the floodwaters near New Orleans certainly reminds one of being “underwater”.

Wow, we have a long way to go with this mess.

Comment by Houses Depreciate Rapidly
2012-08-30 07:25:47

If the ultra-low 1.6 million houses spell trouble, imagine they view the actual amount of 28 million excess empty houses.

If you got a house my friends….. you better be looking to dump it while the window is still cracked open.

Comment by localandlord
2012-08-30 19:42:05

“If you got a house my friends….. you better be looking to dump it while the window is still cracked open”

So I am supposed to sell my $9500 house and go live where?

If the window is cracked open it is to let in the breezes that are cooled by the trees I planted 30+ years ago.

 
 
Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 08:41:15

Post something on housing today and what do you get?

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-08-30 09:33:36

Is the answer to your question “ignored”?

LPS came out with their “First Look” press release on data through the end of July. Their conclusion was roughly the same as the article you noted. In particular:

1.96 million homes less than 90 days delinquent
1.56 million homes 90+ days delinquent but not yet in the foreclosure process (RealtyTrac notes this at 1.6MM)
2.042 million homes in the foreclosure process (RealtyTrac notes this at 2MM)

The only thing notable here is that the 90+ days, but not in foreclosure is the lowest number in a long time (at least through mid-2010), and the number of homes in the foreclosure process is at the lower end of it’s range for the prior two years (the low is about 2.025MM, with the high at about 2.225MM). This indicates to me that the pig is VERY SLOWLY being digested.

I would still like to see some of this data broken down by state/region. My strong suspicion (backed up by LPS state-by-state data) is that the shadow inventory noted is increasingly skewed toward judicial states. Said another way, while non-judicial states are not going fast, they have still generally been digesting their pigs MUCH faster than judicial states.

As an example, I saw some data that shows delinquency data as a relative number compared to the national average (from the “Hope Now” Alliance, while we can all not like bankers, I have no reason to believe their data is wrong–it is consistent with the message LPS has been sending).

The highest numbers on the page are generally judicial or Nevada, which might as well be judicial given recent law changes:

Nevada: 170% of National Average (as of Q4 2011, this was 155%)
New Jersey: 154% (as of Q4 2011, this was 113%)
Florida: 147% (as of Q4 2011, this was 140%)

Non Judicial states are generally lower–I’m picking out the two big bubble states as examples:

Arizona: 79% of national average (as of Q4 2011 this was 92%)
California: 87% (as of Q4 2011 this was 94%)

My view is the same that it has been for some time now:
1. The biggest contributing factor to further home price reductions will be distressed inventory hitting the market at an increased pace; and
2. It is more likely that judicial states will increase their pace than non-judicial states. Why?

Judicial states are a car on the freeway going 5mph. They can’t go much slower, and they have much more fuel in the tank. When you’ve hit bottom, you can only go up. It is possible that they continue at 5mph all the way to their destination, but I hope they speed things up somehow, or the issue will last a decade in these states.

Non-judicial states are a car on the freeway going 30mph. They certainly can go faster, but they’ve already traveled much farther than judicial states, they have less fuel in the tank (lower delinquency/foreclosure rates), and there is less political pressure for them to go faster, since they are doing SO much better than judicial states. AND in fact, there is some pressure for them to slow down the car to something less than 30mph (new laws in CA, for instance).

I’m less convinced that there will be lots more people walking away from their underwater homes as a voluntary default (why would they pay for 4 years of downturn only to walk away once the cheerleaders have come back?).

HOWEVER, the existence of the outsized numbers of underwater loans means that for those borrowers, there is no sale option if something happens to their ABILITY to continue paying current on the loan–their only way out is default and foreclosure. For this reason, I generally expect, for as long as there is a high number of underwater borrowers, the new delinquency rate will be higher than historical averages.

The only solution to all this is time and pain.

Comment by Houses Depreciate Rapidly
2012-08-30 11:38:08

Post a misrepresentation of the market and what do you get called?

A liar.

But don’t let that detract from the fact there are 28 MILLION excess empty houses in the US today.

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Comment by zee_in_phx
2012-08-30 12:04:00

I though we ‘agreed’ that 32 million sounded better..

 
Comment by Houses Depreciate Rapidly
2012-08-30 12:10:20

How cute…. an alter ego or a fawning sycophant?

Not that we expect you to be truthful.

 
 
Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 11:48:58

Rental Watch,

Yeah, that’s about right, ignored.

I used to get blasted about political posts, now my non-political posts get hijacked into it. Oh well the silly season is upon us.

Anyway, nice post on the detail of what’s going on. I tend to agree that the pig might have turned, but it might turn and roll down hill for a while before we actually hit bottom.

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Comment by Houses Depreciate Rapidly
2012-08-30 11:55:07

And you won’t be ignored either Blip. Other than your phoney political diversionary game you’ve got going.

Just think…. You might even get the Lying Puke Award.

 
Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 14:52:08

Houses - - -

Please give it to me, please, please, pretty please!
Not the award, I want a toke of the stuff you’re smoking.

BTW I have no idea what you’re talking about “phoney political diversionary game”

 
Comment by Darryl Is A Liar
2012-08-30 15:55:53

Blip, Blip, Blip my friend….. you really thought you were going to get away with slipping another misrepresentation of housing between your silly phony political diversions?

You’re dishonest in the very same way as Darryl The Liar is.

Why?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 20:31:21

Lip’s complaining about the excessive political posts!

I’m tellin’ ya, God REALLY loves irony.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 20:57:05

“Lip’s complaining about the excessive political posts!”

Does the Romney camp pay their propaganda slugs well?

 
 
Comment by ahansen
2012-08-30 23:54:07

Appreciate both the perspective and the equanimity, Rental. I read them late, but I don’t ignore your posts.

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Comment by RAL makes stuff up
2012-08-30 13:00:07

“Post something on housing today and what do you get?”

Attacked by RAL.

Comment by Darryl Is A Liar
2012-08-30 15:23:43

Darryl and his minions posts a lie?

Darryl and his minions get called out as a liar.

It’s quite simple really.

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Comment by RAL makes stuff up
2012-08-30 16:34:10

This from the guy who so blatantly fabricates stuff he’d make a realtor blush.

 
Comment by Darryl Is A Liar
2012-08-30 16:45:10

This isn’t about me DarrylTheLiar.. This is all about your constant, repetitive stream of lies.

Why do you lie Darryl?

 
Comment by RAL makes stuff up
2012-08-30 17:29:12

“This isn’t about me…”

Oh but it is. You’re the only verified liar on the HBB. You were called out and FAILED. One little link and you couldn’t do it. You wailed for PB to bail you out, but he wisely distanced himself from you and your LIES. You’re also the only poster who’s more offensive than Smithers.

 
Comment by Darryl Is A Liar
2012-08-30 18:00:58

Sorry kiddo but 28 MILLION excess empty houses is a reality and the links were provide over and over again. And there is nothing you can do to change.

Now why are you here lying DarrylTheLiar?

 
Comment by RAL makes stuff up
2012-08-30 19:19:43

Over and over again huh, but not when you were called out. You even proved yourself a LIAR switching from 25 to 28. Can’t even keep your lies straight.

 
Comment by Darryl Is A Liar
2012-08-30 19:24:34

The fact the inventory is actually higher further cements the fact that you misrepresent the truth about housing here everyday.

Why are you lying to the public about housing Darryl The Liar?

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-08-30 20:15:53

The truth is that houses are still too expensive for people with stagnant/declining wages. If you buy today you risk losing tens if not hundreds of thousands of dollars in the next 5 years…you are buying at peak money, meaning interest rates can only go negative from here.

Even the much lauded cash buyers risk having there a$$es handed to them if they buy today, the cash buyer had a small window in places like the Phoenix metro suburbs (those 20+ miles out)about 14 to 18 months ago. If you missed it, you are too late. Any “deals” 14 to 18 months ago closer in needed tens of thousands of dollars worth of repairs, thereby taking away the “deal” aspect, they only seemed like “deals” to those with bubble price on the brain.

How can anyone make a case for prices rising from here? What constituency groups make up the demand going forward and what economic metrics support higher valuations?

It will take years and years and years to unwind the mother of all bubbles and rising prices are definitely not in the cards. Recent activity is merely a brief illusion created by lying realtors and a pandering government…and now by untruthful statistical cherry pickers.

What’s in this for the untruthful shills and realtors?

 
Comment by San Diego RE Bear
2012-08-31 13:52:54

“Sorry kiddo but 28 MILLION excess empty houses is a reality and the links were provide over and over again.”

No, they haven’t been. Not once. And you are making an incredible fool of yourself every time you make this claim.

I hate to say it, but you are frustrating me beyond all endurance and I want a link to prove those numbers because they would not surprise me. This can be a great place to provide data - but insisting on something you can’t prove and claiming you have proven it countless times, is starting to make you look a little insane or entirely incapable of reasonable debate/thought.

Just show me the links!

 
 
 
 
Comment by rms
2012-08-30 19:35:25

Seeing pictures of the floodwaters near New Orleans certainly reminds one of being “underwater”.

Saw a fire “pumper” truck in the news this morning, Mississippi I think. Not only is the effort futile (trying to save the Titanic bailing water with a tea cup), but it is also ruining the pump itself with water carrying a heavy sediment load — think of sand going through your washing machine. Only a politician (like Greg Nickels, former Seattle mayor) would be stupid enough to order such an effort.

 
 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-08-30 05:50:40

When it comes to a Hurricane if you sell a $1,000 generator for $1,500 you are going to jail. Even though “It boils down to supply and demand — limited supply and pretty strong demand”

Preventing and Detecting Bid Rigging, Price Fixing, and Market …
http://www.justice.gov/atr/public/guidelines/disaster_primer.htm - 33k - Cached - Similar pages
Price fixing, bid rigging, and other forms of collusion are illegal and are subject … As a member of the Department of Justice Hurricane Katrina Fraud Task Force, …
———————————————————————————-
But in the housing market price fixing, bid rigging, and other forms of collusion are not only legal but policy.

Updated: 7:41 a.m. Thursday, Aug. 30, 2012 | Posted: 12:01 a.m. Thursday, Aug. 30, 2012

Report: Foreclosure sales fell sharply in 2Q

By ALEX VEIGA

The Associated Press

LOS ANGELES —
Sales of bank-owned homes and those already on the foreclosure path fell sharply in the second quarter, reflecting a thinner slate of properties for sale in many cities as banks take a measured approach to placing homes on the market.

Even so, foreclosure sales’ share of all U.S. home purchases grew in the April-to-June period, foreclosure listing firm RealtyTrac Inc. said Thursday.

The combination of fewer bank-owned homes for sale and stronger demand during the traditional spring home-buying season also pushed sale prices higher. Bank-owned homes and those in some stage of foreclosure posted the biggest annual increase in average sales price since 2006, before the housing bubble burst, the firm said.

“It boils down to supply and demand — limited supply and pretty strong demand — especially during the second quarter, when a lot of buyers come out of the woodwork and look to buy,” said Daren Blomquist, a vice president at RealtyTrac.

As of last month, there were 1.47 million U.S. homes in some stage of the foreclosure process or owned by banks. Of the 620,751 in lenders’ possession, only about 15 percent are listed for sale, according to RealtyTrac.

The measured approach has triggered bidding wars and led to higher prices in markets like Las Vegas, where the inventory of bank-owned homes sank to a 6.2-month supply in June.

Comment by Combotechie
2012-08-30 06:26:24

“How much for the generator?”

“Fifteen-hundred dollars.”

“What? That’s an outrage, the guy down the street only wants a thousand.”

“Then why don’t you buy from him?”

“I can’t. He’s all sold out.”

“I’ll tell you what I’ll do: The moment I sell my last one I’ll drop the price down to a thousand, just for you.”

Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 08:22:53

No, no, no. Businesses are supposed to ignore profit when there is a natural disaster because the government said so… it would be wrong to let supply and demand dictate pricing.

Comment by polly
2012-08-30 08:31:20

That is right. Only rich people should be able to survive disasters. If the other folks had wanted to be able to survive a natural disaster they would have made arrangements to be rich like me.

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Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 08:34:26

No, they would have made arrangements ahead of time instead of waiting until there was such a limited supply of products necessary to their survival.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 08:37:36

Should “rich people” give up their cars for the poor who don’t have transportation out of the danger zone?

Same concept. The rich have resources that the poor don’t. Too bad, life isn’t fair. Get over it.

 
Comment by polly
2012-08-30 09:50:14

Who said anything about giving anything up? The store owners hold back what their own family needs. But upping the price of, say, bottled water when none of the normally available water is safe to drink? Do you think it is OK for them to charge 10 times the normal price when everyone needs water to live? 100 times? 1000 times?

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 10:05:36

You want it, pay the price. No one puts a gun to your head and forces you to pay exorbitant prices. Bottom line, prepare ahead of time. A bottle of water costs .99. A reusable bottle costs a few dollars and allows you to fill it up. An emergency water filter costs $20 and water purification tablets cost $9 [per US Cavalry].

Too bad everyone thinks it’s the government’s responsibility to take care of them, including preventing “price gouging”. Maybe the government should look into the racket that is REALTORS price gouging while they’re at it…

 
Comment by oxide
2012-08-30 11:01:58

Having a PMS day, northeasterner?

 
Comment by zee_in_phx
2012-08-30 12:17:34

Northeastener : “they would have made arrangements ahead of time ”

and how would you know they didn’t made arrangements…

would you feel the same way if you were left destitute with all your planning and had to depend on strangers for things we take for granted during a ‘normal’ situation.
Where is your compassion and empathy for the poor and down trodden, and mind you, with all the visage of well being, most of us are just a major medical emergency or a layoff away from scoping out the food banks…

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 12:25:47

We’re not talking about shelters, the Red Cross, or even the good will of neighbors, all of which are excellent aspects of the human condition.

We’re discussing “price gouging” and the government’s need to step in and prevent businesses from raising prices during a “emergency”.

The fact that people want the government to step in and suspend market dynamics like supply and demand just shows how dependent as a culture we have become. As I said, we don’t need government regulation, just don’t buy the damn product. Heck, want to know how the government can get rid of price gouging without “regulation”? Stock up on emergency supplies and sell that at cost.

Has nothing to do with “compassion” or down-on-your-luck families and everything to do with power and dependence.

 
Comment by cactus
2012-08-30 12:47:18

Do you think it is OK for them to charge 10 times the normal price when everyone needs water to live? 100 times? 1000 times?”

That happened here during the Northridge earthquake

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 12:59:19

The fact that people want the government to step in and suspend market dynamics like supply and demand

Defending price gouging during an emergency as “market dynamics” is hilarious.

You are so lost in the dogma that has failed America that you are sometimes very amusing.

 
Comment by zee_in_phx
2012-08-30 13:03:38

There is a reason we have regulations against monopolistic practices.

We still have a government that’s supposed be ‘by the people, for the people’, and apparently ‘we the people’ decided a while back that certain regulations were needed for the betterment of our society, now if you disagree, you are welcome to run for office and change that, and i will respect your right to do so - but wait, a certain political party thinks that changing the game rules on the fly is just fine if the results don’t suit them - to me that’s crossing the line and a slippery slope to facism.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 13:08:17

We still have a government that’s supposed be ‘by the people, for the people’,

Half of Repubs nowadays would call someone who said something like that a commie.

That’s how far warped the Repub dogma has become. Damn Un-American if you ask me.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 13:34:42

Do I support price gouging?

What kind of question is that. Of course not. And if I came across a merchant who was gouging, I wouldn’t buy the damn product. That simple.

The argument was always and is always “DO WE NEED MORE OR LESS GOVERNMENT REGULATION”. “Price gouging is just one more example of the government getting in the way of commerce. As I stated above: Don’t like the price? Don’t buy the product.

Want a simple way to purify water? Buy water purification tablets for $9. Add it to your disaster bug-out bag… oh wait? You mean you never bothered to create a disaster bug-out bag and were completely unprepared for the events that unfolded? Huh, well, I wonder who exactly should pay the price for that…

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 14:08:51

And if I came across a merchant who was gouging, I wouldn’t buy the damn product. That simple.

Wrong. It’s not “that simple” if one needs something during an emergency no matter your perception of someone being unprepared.

Your simple “free-market” dogma does not solve all the world’s problems and does not negated man’s worst natures. How could it?

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 14:37:04

Your simple “free-market” dogma does not solve all the world’s problems and does not negate man’s worst natures. How could it?

You’re right of course. But I’m not out to solve the world’s problems. What I am trying to show is stupidity and weakness on the part of some leads to overbearing government regulation for all.

 
Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Fl)
2012-08-30 15:23:41

I’ve been trolling down the comments of today, and after all the ridiculous arguments about government interference “helping” people, I decided I had better get the conversation going in the right direction.
The issue is SCARCITY and Conservation. The market system, when left alone, solves the problems by PRICING.
Pricing is limited by Competition.

Let’s look at the stupid ideologies that the ‘government’ should interfere with the “market” in times of crises.
It says, you can’t charge more than $1 per gallon for water which is in shortage.
It doesn’t conserve the water. It doesn’t provide incentives to get water to the market where there is a “shortage”.
So, a few lucky people go out and buy up all the water at $1 per gallon and use it to drink, bath and wash their dogs.
They got 20 gallons each.
Other people didn’t get any.
If the ‘do-gooders’ in government got out of the way and let the free market work, people in neighboring counties would be loading up their cars when they found out they could get $10 per gallon. There would be plenty of water in a big hurry. I’d load up my car, too.
Instead, there is no incentive. The ‘government” says if you charge more than the $1 per gal. you will be arrested and sent to jail and your property confiscated.
How does this help?
It does nothing to solve the problem. The typical solution is to get taxpayers to provide troops to send in truckloads of water to bathe and drink.
That temporary measure doesn’t get the supply/demand change working fast which price ‘GOUGING’ DOES.
AND what is REALLY STUPID, Women, mostly women, will gladly pay $10 per gallon or MORE for drinking water if it says it’s from some ’spring’ or filtered to heavenly cleanliness.
Try 8 oz. at $1.39 plus tax, say $1.50 for their favorite bottled water: 128 oz/ gal. 128/8 = 16 bottles.
16 x 1.50 = 24 dollars per gallon and women will gladly pay this. Then complain about 4 dollar per gallon gasoline.
People are stupid.
Does Dasani have to reduce their price during hurricane
season???
All you leftist government should take care of everybody should support such a move.
See if Dasani ships any.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2012-08-30 15:40:32

Then maybe people ought to stop lying, cheating and stealing and preying on the less fortunate.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-08-30 16:16:56

OK, I get it. So diogenes and northeasterner wouldn’t hesitate to take advantage of an opportunity to leverage a temporary increase known demand in order to boost their ROI.

Otherwise known as denying humans water to make a buck.

Thank you, that’s all I need to know.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 16:50:07

So diogenes and northeasterner wouldn’t hesitate to take advantage of an opportunity to leverage a temporary increase known demand in order to boost their ROI.

Could you have made up a better strawman?

I said people need to stop being stupid and depending on the government for everything.

Diogenes explained how market dynamics fixes the scarcity problem during supply shortages.

And how does the liberal socialist interpret that? That we both would price gouge others a critical necessity to life. Way to go socialists. You have once again proved to me there is no protecting people from their own ignorance and stupidity.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-08-30 20:04:32

Your implication is very clear here.

1) get the government out of the disaster relief business.

2) private sector can handle shortages better than government can. How? By using the free market principal that prices will adjust accordingly to decrease demand to match supply.

3) People are lazy bums. If they can’t stock up on water themselves, then they deserve to be charges 6x the price of water.

You are a disgusting human, if that.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 20:54:38

Buy water purification tablets for $9. Add it to your disaster bug-out bag…

LOL. Who needs government? We’ll just carry our survival packs at all times. And our assault rifles. It’ll be like Afghanistan!

 
 
Comment by howiewowie
2012-08-30 20:02:42

Arrangements ahead of time? You can’t plan for everything. A tornado or hurricane could take out your home and everything in it, including your “emergency supplies”.

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Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-08-30 23:19:06

And if you withhold your emergency supplies from someone stronger, younger, faster and they shoot you, then it is your own fault for being too weak, too old, or too slow to defend yourself.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 06:23:16

Let me get this straight: With R&R, you’d get lower taxes, higher military spending, and — what’s the third thing? — oh yeah, deficit reduction.

Did Obama really say he favors American weakness, or did the Republican propagandists just make up another lie for Romney to spout?

Defense cuts worry Romney supporters

Nation’s preeminent position in the world threatened, they say
Written by Jeanette Steele
8:31 p.m., Aug. 29, 2012

Ronald Reagan’s peace-through-strength philosophy is alive and well among military-minded San Diegans who like what Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney has to say this election year.

Romney’s vision for national security is that the 21st century must be an American century, by which he means a continuation of the United States as the world’s lone superpower.

Romney accuses President Barack Obama of being willing to surrender that supremacy by allowing the country’s economic problems to sap military power in the face of a rising China and a potentially resurgent Russia.

“If you do not want America to be the strongest nation on Earth, I am not your president. You have that president today,” Romney said in a campaign speech.

Comment by goon squad
2012-08-30 06:37:54

Sequestration is a dog and pony show. And in case you missed this from yesterday:

http://oi46.tinypic.com/sb0nkx.jpg

How will Romney “shrink government”? By pushing Fed employees into early retirement with buyouts and replacing them with private sector, for profit, contractor employees, that’s how.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 06:56:54

“How will Romney “shrink government”? By pushing Fed employees into early retirement with buyouts and replacing them with private sector, for profit, contractor employees, that’s how.”

I see — the same way Obama is doing it already.

Comment by goon squad
2012-08-30 07:03:34

You wouldn’t believe the amount of “double dippers” collecting both Fed retirement and a contractor paycheck :)

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Comment by aNYCdj
2012-08-30 07:35:57

Thats why goon….we have to make retirement contingent on being RETIRED….you want a full check then no w2’s otherwise you get your full check at 65 66 67…

 
Comment by cactus
2012-08-30 12:50:28

You wouldn’t believe the amount of “double dippers” collecting both Fed retirement and a contractor paycheck

yes I would works with state retirment as well but probably not in technology more in public safety

 
 
 
Comment by oxide
2012-08-30 07:42:30

By pushing Fed employees into early retirement

…while Ryan will do his part to push the elderly and disabled into early death.

Comment by scdave
2012-08-30 08:32:30

push the elderly and disabled into early death ??

Maybe, but probably not….I would be scared $hittLe$$ if I was 50 or younger though…See, there is this little thingy called “aging”…Something we all aspire to do I think…I mean, its great to be alive isn’t it ??

Someday, you forty somethings are going to be sixty somethings…And, when you are, and the job market and the majority have turned you out, you will be shopping for health care insurance and relying on your 201k for sustenance…You better hope you are healthy….And, if you do get sick, “die quickly” because a slow death (lets say MS) is going to be a lonely, painful journey, that is, unless you have a Romney bank account or you happened to be one of his sperms…For them, life will be good…

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Comment by polly
2012-08-30 09:55:47

Unless you have lots of very loving children who want to stay home and take care of you or you have enough to pay for a private nursing home for an unknown amount of time or you have good long term care insurance and know the company won’t go bankrupt you should be scared too. Medicaid pays for long term care insurance once people use up their own resources and that program can not be sustained under a state block grant system. It would simply disappear.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-08-30 12:46:26

Yes, I’m a 40-something.
And someday I will be a 60-something.
And when I am a 60-something, my income will drop precipitously if/when I retire.
And when my income drops, I will not be able to afford to pay for housing indefinitely.
Especially at the rates that rent will be 20 years from now.
Which is why I bought a house.
Because when I am 60-something, I will have a paid-off house
so that my monthly payment will be low enough to afford on my precipitously dropped income.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 14:48:56

And when I am a 60-something, my income will drop precipitously if/when I retire.

No worries Oxide. You can just join the Free-Sh1t army and the AARP and then hold the generations behind yours hostage for entitlements and handouts.

 
Comment by scdave
2012-08-30 15:28:41

You can just join the Free-Sh1t army and the AARP ??

Just wondering Northeastener…..I do enjoy many of your post…I believe you were educated by the Jesuits right ?? Boston University ??

Anyway, I would like to know your answer to this question;

Is health care a right of the commons or a privilege ??

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 17:00:14

My answer is somewhat complicated. Personally, I think as a society we should accept basic healthcare as a right. In order to do that, we need to remove the majority of the profit motive from providing basic health care. If human life is to be preserved, we can’t let dollars determine who lives and who dies at the most basic level. Market dynamics determining the value of human life here is not in the best interest of society. Other countries have done this in a successful fashion so there is no reason that the US cannot. I’m not against a private, for-profit industry for those who wish to go beyond the basic government healthcare offered.

What I think we have is a bastardization that serves no one particularly well. I despise the “Government Mandate” that forces us to purchase a product from a for-profit company or pay a penalty. If as a society we decide it isn’t a right, than healthcare should remain the sole provider of private enterprise [I won't get into the merits of lack thereof for VA or Medicare].

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-08-30 09:32:54

You forgot the part about making little kids starve…

Sheeesh.

…while Ryan will do his part to push the elderly and disabled into early death.</i<

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 13:01:45

You forgot the part about making little kids starve…

Get real. That comes later.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 21:05:33

You forgot the part about making little kids starve…

They could earn a living in the coal mines, if government would get out of the way.

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-08-30 09:54:50

Has it ever occurred to you maybe the really old and sick really dont want to live and be a burden on their families, or waste any more time and money and rather meet their maker?

Where is Dr Kevorkian when I want him?

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Comment by Montana
2012-08-30 12:34:20

Younger people are more cavalier than someone facing death in the near term.

 
Comment by scdave
2012-08-30 15:30:10

Where is Dr Kevorkian when I want him ??

In the gun safe….

 
Comment by ecofeco
2012-08-30 16:11:58

It would never occur to me because it’s not true.

NO ONE in their right mind willing dies.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-08-30 18:33:47

The ECO who is going to pay for your million dollar long term care?

Go to a nursing home…and see what LIFE is …..Its the profit motive keeping people alive who are one step away from death.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 21:07:55

Where is Dr Kevorkian when I want him?

I often think that when I read your posts.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-08-30 22:49:51

not for along time alpha…i’m still healthy …..NYC is not a great place to live if you are obese.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 08:27:05

Let me get this straight: With R&R, you’d get lower taxes, higher military spending, and — what’s the third thing? — oh yeah, deficit reduction.

From what I’ve read, the Republican plan is to keep military spending level, not increase it. And the assumption on lowering the deficit is based on higher tax receipts from closing tax loopholes while lowering the tax rate, spurring growth.

Seems better than Obama’s plan of raising taxes and cutting military spending… what do you think will happen to those military personal who ETS out because of defense budget cuts? They’ll be looking for private employment… not going to happen in Obama’s economy, especially when the MIC is so large.

Comment by polly
2012-08-30 08:36:38

Which loopholes exactly are going to be closed? Can we have some specifics here. Please make sure it isn’t the ones that they have already said they aren’t going to touch like employer provided health insurance, mortgage interest deductions on first homes, and charitable deductions. Oh and carried interest, dividends and capital gains.

Are they going to eliminate all tax advantaged retirement and college savings accounts? Eliminate the earned income tax credit? Get rid of the standard deduction?

Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 08:46:28

Per the Wall Street Journal article:

Additional revenue could be raised from high-income taxpayers by limiting the use of the “preferences” identified for the Alternative Minimum Tax (such as excess oil depletion allowances) or the broader list of all official individual “tax expenditures” (such as tax credits for energy efficiency improvements in homes), among other credits and exclusions. None of this base-broadening would require taxing capital gains or making other changes that would reduce the incentives for saving and investment.

All of the attempts to broaden the tax base are based on family incomes over $200K. Incomes under $200K should see a net benefit from the tax rate decreases.

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Comment by polly
2012-08-30 09:59:58

How much of the lost revenue would the oil depletion allowance in the AMT raise? How much more do they have to cover?

And isn’t Romney planning to eliminate the AMT? So how does closing a loophole in it help?

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 10:08:04

Do I look like Romney or his tax-policy advisors? As RAL has said before, do your own homework. I provided posts in response to your request for details. You want more answers, go bother the Romney campaign.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2012-08-30 16:14:05

It’s their job to communicate those points to us, not our job to have to beg them for answers.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-09-02 03:25:09

He’s not hiding his plan:

http://www.mittromney.com/issues/tax

It doesn’t talk much (if at all) about closing loopholes for individual taxes.

 
 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 08:51:19

Here are a couple of other excerpts from that same Wall Street Journal article:

Since broadening the tax base would produce enough revenue to pay for cutting everyone’s tax rates, it is clear that the proposed Romney cuts wouldn’t require any middle-class tax increase, nor would they produce a net windfall for high-income taxpayers. The Tax Policy Center and others are wrong to claim otherwise.

The Romney plan can reduce the current tax system’s distortions, increasing national income in the short run and economic growth in the years ahead. That was the key to the very successful Reagan tax cuts of 1986. It was also the tax-reform strategy embraced by the bipartisan Bowles-Simpson commission in 2010. And it could put the economy back on the right track in 2013.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 09:42:05

Since broadening the tax base would produce enough revenue to pay for cutting everyone’s tax rates,

So we’re going to broaden the tax base and yet still cut everybody’s tax rate?

Sounds like voodoo economics to me.

All of the attempts to broaden the tax base are based on family incomes over $200K. Incomes under $200K should see a net benefit from the tax rate decreases.

Got a link for that one? Looks like you just tacked it on yourself.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 10:09:26

Got a link for that one? Looks like you just tacked it on yourself.

LOL. Did you not look at the post with the link in it? Did you not read the article?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 21:38:35

Who do that voodoo economics that you do so well?

from the WSJ link
But past experience shows that taxpayers do respond to lower marginal tax rates by acting in ways that increase their taxable incomes: increasing work effort, receiving more of their compensation in the form of taxable cash rather than untaxed fringe benefits, and spending less of their income on tax-favored forms of consumption that are deducted or excluded in calculating taxable income. More specifically, history shows that a tax cut that raises the after-tax share of earnings that an individual keeps by 10% raises taxable income by about 5%. This implies that the revenue loss from the 20% tax cut would be $148 billion, not $181 billion.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-08-30 08:59:39

Which loopholes exactly are going to be closed? Can we have some specifics here.

That the specifics are not being discussed should tell us all we need to know.

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Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 09:05:59

I posted some specifics from the article above.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-08-30 09:39:13

I meant from the actually Romney campaign. I realize that the WSJ is a proxy of sorts, but I would really like to hear from Mitt himself.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 09:52:09

I’m sure it will be brought up and discussed in the debates.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 09:53:42

I should have added, Mitt is playing that most political of games: don’t alienate or anger your base before you have to by giving specific examples of tax increases on your biggest doners.

 
Comment by cactus
2012-08-30 12:53:36

wasn’t there talk of a 3% sales tax on selling homes ?

 
 
 
Comment by scdave
2012-08-30 09:12:18

And the assumption on lowering the deficit is based on ??

And what if the assumption on growth is wrong, then what ??

Tax reform & and cutting the size of government (including military) is real math…You don’t need to make huge assumptions to make the math work…

As far as military personell being laid off and entering the private market place, what kind of a argument is that ?? Why don’t we all work for the military and things would be just great…Someone must pay for those military jobs and the someones are you & I…

Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 09:24:10

The point I’m making is if you cut military spending, you cut jobs, both directly and indirectly. If you’re trying to get the economy back to “full-employment”, you don’t cut military spending.

Yes, military spending needs to come down at some point. There is much waste and quite a few military programs that are unnecessary, but wholesale cuts to the MIC will kill the economy as quickly as raising taxes.

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Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-08-30 10:23:16

There is much waste and quite a few military programs that are unnecessary, but wholesale cuts to the MIC will kill the economy as quickly as raising taxes.

Why does that only apply to the military (MIC)?

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 10:50:19

Why does that only apply to the military (MIC)?

How much of the public and private sector does the MIC account for? Get the answer to that, and you’ll have your answer as to why cutting MIC is not the path to growing your economy out of the doldrums…

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-08-30 11:12:00

How much of the public and private sector does the MIC account for?

So we’re in agreement that we need to reform entitlement spending.

 
Comment by polly
2012-08-30 11:59:23

“The point I’m making is if you cut military spending, you cut jobs, both directly and indirectly. If you’re trying to get the economy back to “full-employment”, you don’t cut military spending.”

Northeastener is a Keynesian. What is the multiplier for military spending? Now tell me why it is lower for support services for the impoverished.

 
Comment by eddiamond
2012-08-30 12:03:28

Cutting social spending such as food stamps and medicare would harm rather than help the economy as well.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 12:56:12

Northeastener is a Keynesian.

I’m definitely an Austrian when it comes to economic theory, leave central planning to the Socialists and Communists… having said that, only a fool would think that cutting government spending in such a large sector of the economy while attempting to get your economy back to full employment would make any sense. You cut when the economy is doing well, not when the economy is stagnant or shrinking.

Repeat after me: Austerity does not work. You’d think the PIIGS of Europe that Cantankerous mentions almost daily would show that.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 13:12:25

The point I’m making is if you cut military spending, you cut jobs, Northeastener

We know you are a huge advocate for government jobs and any avocation that provides socialized (VA) medicine, but sometimes you have to bite the bullet and do what’s best for America.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 13:25:09

What is the multiplier for military spending? Now tell me why it is lower for support services for the impoverished?

Why are you throwing around trick questions?

the estimated multiplier for temporary defense spending is 0.4-0.5 contemporaneously and 0.6-0.7 over two years. If the change in defense spending is “permanent” (gauged by Ramey’s defense-news variable), the multipliers are higher by 0.1-0.2. The estimated multipliers are all significantly less than one and apply for given average marginal income-tax rates.

Other individuals with a high, and benevolent, MPC would include almost anyone on a low income - students, parents with young children, and the unemployed.

i.e. for those most needy, the multiplier approaches 1 because of the assumption of a high marginal propensity to consume.

There is a reason why Economics is called “The Dismal Science”… the fact that mathematically, economists can show better results through entitlement spending on the poor than on national defense.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 21:44:53

I’m definitely an Austrian when it comes to economic theory

Repeat after me: Austerity does not work.

LOL.

 
 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 09:29:41

Why don’t we all work for the military and things would be just great

I did. And yes, I think like Israel, like Switzerland, like many countries, we should have mandatory terms of service, so that everyone shares in the common defense.

As things stand now, the military is a place for the poor to go when they have no other option [being purely voluntary with sub-par pay for enlisted].

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 13:17:26

Northeastener is a Keynesian. What is the multiplier for military spending? Now tell me why it is lower for support services for the impoverished.

Northeastener,

You just got outmaneuvered.

Peace

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 13:40:17

Not at all. One, I’m not a Keynesian. Two, as I stated above, economics is called the Dismal Science for a reason…

Based on that logic, one could fire the entire MIC, put everyone on SNAP, and because you just impoverished everyone, their MPC goes to 1… yes, mathematically it is possible to show the government gets the best bang for it’s buck by impoverishing everyone.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 22:01:09

So…

Government spending on defense = Jobs.

Government spending on anything else = Waste.

Because tanks and bombs are so productive?

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 23:39:57

Because people would rather not worry so much about approaching hurricanes, tornadoes or floods.

 
 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 09:38:30

the Republican plan is to keep military spending level,

At the level of fighting two very expensive wars? Even as we greatly lessen our participation in them?

Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 10:12:35

At the level of fighting two very expensive wars? Even as we greatly lessen our participation in them?

You sir have obviously never seen what units and equipment look like when they come back from a war zone. Military equipment and hardware get’s trashed very quickly in combat and personnel need to trained up because many areas suffer in combat, to include physical fitness and overall combat readiness.

Yes, level military spending to get our combat forces back into fighting shape. Right now they have been put through the ringer and most of the equipment is on it’s last legs.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 22:16:06

We don’t need all that equipment if we’re not fighting 2 wars.

But I agree the troops are going to be expensive. Should we subsidize them in the military, or subsidize them in the job market?

 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-30 13:03:15

while lowering the tax rate, spurring growth.

LOL Thanks! We’ve been laughing at that joke for 32 years now!

Comment by Bronco
2012-08-30 19:46:37

Rio, it’s interesting how you want to raise taxes on Americans when you probably don’t even pay any. How about we get rid of the foreign tax credit, housing expense exclusion, and the and foreign tax offset?

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-08-31 08:37:37

Rio, it’s interesting how you want to raise taxes on Americans when you probably don’t even pay any.

I do pay American taxes.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 06:26:06

Isn’t this pretty much like pushing the oldest and weakest out onto the proverbial ice flow?

OLDEST RETIREES’ PENSIONS TAKE A HIT
City supplement running out for lowest-earning recipients, costing quarter of their check
Written by Matt Clark
12:01 a.m., Aug. 30, 2012
Updated 8:37 p.m. , Aug. 29, 2012

Also of interest
City slashing pensions (not the ones you might think)
‘Second pension’ payments have cost $4.3 million
Pension ruling favors San Diego
City retirees get bonus checks averaging $784
‘13th check’ pension payouts: $73 million

Outsized pensions for retired San Diego city employees get a lot of attention, into the six figures and on up to $300,000. Protected by law, those are not getting trimmed in any way.

But Iris Morrison’s pension is another matter.

The 93-year-old receives $33,000 a year, barely enough to afford her National City retirement community. Next year it will get cut by $9,600 because a discretionary city program that was boosting her stipend has run out of money.

When she received notification of the cut, she realized she would have to move again — and her last move took a lot out of her.

“It was a terrific shock,” said Morrison, whose stipend comes from her own work at a city information center and a spousal benefit from her late husband, a former police administrator. “I had planned my life with the money I had saved and with the retirement checks I was getting. I believed I would be able to live the rest of my life in a retirement community.”

More than 700 of the city’s oldest and lowest-earning pensioners will lose an average of a quarter of their monthly pension checks with the program ending.

The City Council started the program in 1999 for employees who retired before July 1, 1982, and whose pension checks had not kept up with inflation.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-08-30 06:43:01

A few % inflation every year can really take its toll if you live to be 93, yet this is our national policy and has been for a century.

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-08-30 06:49:24

Maybe she should go back to school to retrain for the jobs of the future. Or start her own business like all the Horatio Alger, happy horsesh*t, John Galt, bootstrappers would suggest. She should stop being such a parasite and become a Producer.

 
Comment by Housing Wizard
2012-08-30 07:05:13

Did you see in the article that a quarter of the people to be cut are disabled workers ?

Comment by aNYCdj
2012-08-30 07:39:30

HW they are not disabled they just work differently……

 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 07:33:02

Too bad she didn’t have a paid off house.

Comment by oxide
2012-08-30 14:02:32

Alpha, how do we know she didn’t have a paid-off house?
There are million things that could happen between ~63 and 93.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-08-30 22:18:48

There are million things that could happen between ~63 and 93.

Then why are you buying a house?

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Comment by ahansen
2012-08-30 10:19:01

The poor dear, having to make do on only 33K a year in her 30 years of retirement. And after a life slaving away at a “city information center”!

This country has no heart, I tell you. No heart.

Comment by ecofeco
2012-08-30 16:22:11

33k IS just getting by these days. Not poor, but not getting ahead either and god help you if there is an emergency of any kind… because nobody else will.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 06:36:04

I’m trying to figure out how these mortgage settlement short sales work. In particular, does the principle forgiveness, which represents unearned income to the homeowner, get funded solely out of the banks’ bottom lines, or do tax dollars make up a fair part of the unearned income “payments”?

Banks give $10.6 billion in relief under mortgage settlement
By Les Christie @CNNMoney August 29, 2012: 5:21 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) — The nation’s five largest banks have provided nearly $10.6 billion in mortgage relief to homeowners under a settlement that was struck with the states and federal government earlier this year, according to a preliminary progress report.

The report was issued by the Office of Mortgage Settlement Oversight, which is monitoring the $25 billion settlement. In total, the five banks — Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500), Wells Fargo (BWF), Citibank, JP Morgan Chase (JPMPRX), and Ally Financial (ALLYPRB) — have helped some 138,000 homeowners and have offered relief averaging $76,615 per borrower between March 1 and June 30, the office reported.

Nearly half of the total, $4.9 billion, comes from Bank of America. Ally Financial, the smallest of the lenders, has submitted just over $500 million in claims.

The settlement was meant to atone for foreclosure processing abuses dating back to 2008. Under the deal, which was approved by a federal judge in April, the banks get credit for helping homeowners avoid foreclosure, by doing such things as reducing the principal on loans and refinancing mortgages to lower interest rates.

So far, though, most of the credits banks have received for relief efforts — 80% — have been for debt forgiveness for deed in lieu of foreclosure or short sales. In a deed in lieu, homeowners hand over ownership of their home to the bank in exchange for debt forgiveness. In a short sale, homeowners sell their home at a price that is less than what they owe the bank and the bank agrees to absorb the loss.

In both cases, homeowners ends up losing their home. Not only that, but the hit on their credit score makes it harder to secure a mortgage in the future.

Of the $10.6 billion in relief lenders have given to homeowners under the deal, $8.6 billion has gone toward short sales and deed-in-lieu of foreclosures, according to the report. Bank of America provided some $4.8 billion in relief through this method, the most of any lender, while Chase came in second with $2.4 billion.

“Short sales are quick and dirty [modifications],” said Geoff Greenwood, communications director for the Iowa attorney general’s office. “That’s why you’re seeing more of them coming out of the chute.”

But there is a cap on how much lenders can claim for short sales under the settlement deal, explained Shaun Donovan, secretary of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. Once banks reach their limits, they won’t be able to claim anything more under the settlement.

Conspicuously lacking so far is anywhere near the $17 billion in principal reduction that lenders have promised under the deal.
Lenders had said they would reduce the balance owed on mortgages for those who either owed far more on their homes than they were worth or who were behind on payments. The aim was to get the mortgage balance closer to the home’s value, reduce the borrower’s monthly payments and help them avoid foreclosure.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 06:39:50

Does anyone have more recent news than this on the Treasury-FHFA standoff over GSE principal reductions?

Treasury Could Force Principal Reductions at the GSEs
By: David Dayen Thursday August 9, 2012 9:35 am

Last week, when Ed DeMarco rejected principal reductions on Fannie and Freddie loans, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner pronounced himself disappointed. Housing advocates called for DeMarco to be fired; I explained why that won’t happen. And here’s another reason, courtesy Joseph Cotterill. The truth is that the Treasury Department has all the tools it needs to force compliance in any principal reduction program. They have plenty of power that, to this point, they have chosen not to use.

This comes from the fact that Treasury has a substantial investment in Fannie and Freddie, and thus can dictate terms based on this debt. This idea comes from Ralph Axel of Bank of America:

The FHFA’s decision also underscores the fact that the GSEs are not government agencies; they are private companies that have been temporarily taken over by their federal regulator whose specific mandate is to conserve their assets and continue their activities. As private companies, the GSE will likely respond to economic incentives. The Treasury’s power to modify the terms of the US$19bn dollar annual dividend that Fannie and Freddie (combined) owe to the Treasury is a tool of tremendous strength that could provide one such incentive.

The Treasury has the power to lower the dividend or tie it to incentives. It can tie the dividend to principal reductions or to easier underwriting standards or reduced putback activity to stimulate refinancings and new loans. The US$19bn dwarfs the US$3.6bn savings that the FHFA found from principal forgiveness. This is not housing finance reform, but it is a way to create effective temporary stimulus without raising additional federal debt while simultaneously moving toward larger structural changes.

Treasury, in other words, could play hardball with FHFA and force principal reductions or virtually anything else they want, as a condition of the lifeline they continue to hold out for the GSEs. This would be an aggressive strategy, to be sure, but it’s imminently available to them.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 06:42:45

Slumlord Billionaires

Foreclosure Fiasco
Banks labeled ’slumlords’ over foreclosure neglect
By James O’Toole @CNNMoney
August 29, 2012: 10:11 AM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) — U.S. Bank is the country’s fifth-largest commercial bank, with 3,000 branches in 25 states. It’s also “one of the largest slumlords in the City of Los Angeles,” according to the L.A. city attorney’s office.

In a complaint filed last month, the office accused U.S. Bank of failing to maintain more than 170 foreclosed properties, blighting neighborhoods, decreasing property values and increasing crime rates.

The allegations are similar to those made in a lawsuit filed by the city attorney’s office last year against Deutsche Bank (DB), as well as other complaints from activists around the country who say their communities have suffered as neglected foreclosures deteriorate in the aftermath of the housing bubble.

It’s difficult to quantify the issue nationally, but thousands of homes may be at risk of falling into disrepair.

Roughly 620,000 foreclosed properties in the United States are owned by lenders, according to RealtyTrac. The number of these properties, known as REOs, or “real estate owned,” surged after the housing bubble but has since begun to drop, down from over one million in January 2011.

Still, of those 620,000 houses, 24% had been waiting for a new buyer for two years or more, and 11% for three years or more.

Such homes can be no problem for neighbors provided they are maintained properly. But “the longer a property spends in REO status, the greater risk of falling into disrepair and dragging down the quality of the neighborhood and value of surrounding homes,” said Daren Blomquist, vice president of RealtyTrac.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-08-30 09:10:52

This very story is playing out in my neighborhood. And trust me, we neighbors aren’t the least bit happy about it.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 06:46:07

Will green shoots of recovery or global growth gloom win out in the FOMC’s QE3 calculus exercise? I guess we’ll know tomorrow.

Aug. 30, 2012, 9:09 a.m. EDT
Global-growth gloom weighs on futures
S&P says it’s removing Sears Holdings from benchmark index
By Kate Gibson and William L. Watts, MarketWatch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Unease ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s eagerly awaited speech in Jackson Hole, Wyo., kept U.S. stock-index futures under pressure Thursday.

Stock futures retained modest losses after economic reports had consumer spending up 0.4% in August and jobless claims holding flat last week at 374,000.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 06:48:41

Is it all up to Bernanke to keep the global stock market rally going?

Global shares dip, euro steadies ahead of Bernanke speech
Analysis & Opinion
Put down and Fed up
Liquidity reigns supreme as market ignores data points
LONDON | Thu Aug 30, 2012 8:34am EDT

(Reuters) - Uncertainty over prospects for economic stimulus measures from the U.S. Federal Reserve pulled world shares lower on Thursday, but the euro edged up after China voiced some support for the debt-laden currency bloc.

A successful Italian bond sale also pointed to growing confidence among investors that the European Central Bank will live up to its words and take measures shortly to tackle the 17-member euro-zone’s debt crisis.

But most investors were content to wait for a speech by U.S. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke at a conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, on Friday, which is seen as pivotal to market expectations over the central bank’s next move.

Investors and economists have become more sceptical over the past two weeks that the Fed will announce another round of bond buying, or “quantitative easing” (QE), at its mid-September meeting, according to Reuters polls over the last week.

However, the nervous tone of markets guarantees anything the Fed’s chief does say about the economic outlook or the prospects for more QE could have a significant impact.

“The risk with Jackson Hole is that unless there are further strong signals of more easing, the market will take it as a disappointment,” said Christian Lawrence, currency strategist at Rabobank, adding that this would be positive for the dollar.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 06:51:07

We’ve covered this before here, but could somebody kindly remind me what normally happens after a rally runs out of steam on shriveling volume?

Wall Street up after housing data; volume lowest of year
By Caroline Valetkevitch
NEW YORK | Wed Aug 29, 2012 7:16pm EDT

(Reuters) - Stocks edged higher on Wednesday in the lightest trading of the year as investors waited for a key speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on Friday.

Daily volume this week has been very low, even for a seasonally slow period, with the market recording three of the four lowest volume full sessions of 2012. The low volume reflected investors’ reluctance to place big bets before Bernanke’s speech.

What little excitement there was came from data showing pending home sales rose 2.4 percent in July, a bigger gain than expected, according to the National Association of Realtors. An index of housing shares .HGX was up 0.5 percent.

“We’re seeing consistently good numbers out of the housing market. It’s hard to get too negative on the U.S. economy with the housing market doing better than expected,” said Paul Zemsky, chief investment officer of Multi-Asset Strategies at ING Investment Management in New York.

“I think the U.S. is doing pretty well today, given what the rest of the world has done,” he said. The Shanghai Composite index .SSEC hit its lowest close since February 2009, while the S&P 500 is trading near a four-year high.

Bernanke addresses a conference of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, and could announce new measures to boost growth. He is expected to stoke expectations for a third round of quantitative easing, though he may not detail the timing of the Fed’s action.

Volume traded on the New York Stock Exchange, the Nasdaq and the Amex, was 4.41 billion shares compared with the previous low on Monday of 4.46 billion. The year-to-date average is about 6.6 billion.

 
Comment by josap
2012-08-30 06:51:15

‘Real’ Homeownership Rate at Nearly 50-Year Low

The real rate of homeownership—subtracting people who are about to be ejected for not paying their mortgage—has fallen to lows not seen since the mid-1960s, according to a new analysis.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 06:58:24

“…subtracting people who are about to be ejected for not paying their mortgage…”

Are you suggesting forbearance isn’t forever?

Comment by josap
2012-08-30 07:58:12

At some point all those people have to move. Then they have to pay rent or move in with family / friends. Now that the large investment funds are moving into rental housing - it will be sooner rather than later.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-08-30 09:12:52

Now that the large investment funds are moving into rental housing - it will be sooner rather than later.

And that movement will not end well. Quoth Yves Smith of Naked Capitalism fame:

New Real Estate Train Wreck Coming: Securitized Rentals

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 06:53:21

Will Wall Street pin the blame on Ben Bernanke if the rally ends tomorrow?

Aug. 30, 2012, 9:41 a.m. EDT
U.S. stocks open sharply lower on global concerns
By Kate Gibson

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks tallied steep declines Thursday after a report had economic confidence in the euro area sliding to a three-year low and Japan’s retail sales fell in July. Strategist also said investors could be setting themselves up for a fall ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s speech Friday in Jackson Hole, Wyo. “There are a lot of expectations built into his talk,” said Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Harris Private Bank in Chicago. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA -0.47% fell 67.52 points, or 0.5%, to 13,039.96. The S&P 500 index SPX -0.49% lost 7.20 points, or 0.5%, to 1,403.29. The Nasdaq Composite index COMP -0.49% dropped 17.47 points, or 0.6%, to 3,068.40.

 
Comment by Stellaralliances
2012-08-30 06:55:13

Despite rising oil exports, Canada has a trade dcficit that indicates the dollar has overshot

One of the ongoing frictions between central Canada and the oil-rich provinces is the ­effect of oil prices on the dollar.

Every time the Canadian dollar moves up or down a cent or two, commentators will blame it on a change in the world price of oil. The Canadian dollar is referred to as a “petrocurrency.” A look at the charts showing the day-to-day and month-to-month squiggles in the values of the dollar and oil do show a strong correlation.

Proponents of the petrocurrency view will argue that Canada is a net exporter of oil, which is true. They say that high oil prices make foreign investors want to buy Canadian oil companies, which is also true. It makes sense that there will be some positive correlation between the dollar and oil prices

Comment by Bluestar
2012-08-30 10:34:26

Too bad they can’t profit from selling some of the 44 million of tons of methane that is seeping out of the permafrost.
http://www.cosmosmagazine.com/thawing-arctic-permafrost

There must be millions of acres of freshly thawed tundra just begging to be developed. Calling Donald Trump, STAT!

Hat Tip to Mr. Northeastener below: We are living in interesting times.

http://www.prunderground.com/new-science-proves-greenhouse-gases-do-not-cause-global-warming/0015473/

Comment by ahansen
2012-08-31 00:31:04

That was hysterical, Bluestar. All you have to do is pay him to discuss his private, yet-to-be-published “scientific” findings. Right there next to the cycling and cruise vacation ads.

 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-08-30 07:28:26

What do California and Illinois have in common for the worst credit ratings in the county? Thank you public unions!

——————–

Illinois’ credit rating downgraded after pension reform failure
Chicago Tribune | August 30, 2012 | Monique Garcia

Illinois’ credit rating was downgraded by Standard & Poor’s on Wednesday, a move that came after Gov. Pat Quinn’s inability to persuade lawmakers to cut costs in the state’s debt-ridden public employee pension system.

The agency lowered the state’s credit rating from A+ to A, citing a “lack of action” on changes aimed at decreasing the pension system’s unfunded liability, which could hit $93 billion by next summer if nothing is done. Standard & Poor’s also gave Illinois a “negative outlook,” saying the state’s budget future remains uncertain.

It’s unclear what impact the new rating will have on Illinois’ pocketbook, but it is likely that it will cost the state more to borrow money to finance construction projects including new schools, roads and bridges.

Only California is ranked lower than Illinois by the S&P, with a credit rating of A-.

Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 08:44:49

Yeah, and when they get downgraded again they’ll go to the bottom. It’s all OK, everything is fine and then “poof”.

Comment by 2banana
2012-08-30 09:27:48

And then they will beg for a Federal Bailout.

No one saw this coming! There was nothing we could do.

Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 12:08:53

If the Romney Plan for Petroleum gets enacted, I would hope that the USA would tell CA to start drilling if they wanted out of their mess.

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Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-08-30 09:27:59

They had high populations 50 years ago, so their relative rate of growth are below that of the states that had low population 50 years ago?

 
 
Comment by measton
2012-08-30 07:31:41

The impulse to pay off your mortgage more quickly than you need to is understandable, especially these days.

Interest rates are near historic lows, so it’s possible to replace a 30-year mortgage with a 15-year loan and still afford the monthly payments. Or, if you’ve already refinanced at a dirt cheap rate, you can take those savings and pay down your principal faster.

But the allure is more emotional than financial. Mortgage debt provides great financial flexibility, and paying it down fast probably isn’t the best way to grow your nest egg.

“Generally speaking, there’s no advantage to paying down a mortgage earlier than you need to,” says Greg McBride, senior financial analyst at Bankrate.com

This just in crack dealer says crack is good for you, story at 10.

Comment by 2banana
2012-08-30 07:42:16

I did just that - refinanced (NO money out) my 30 to a 15.

Amazing how much more quickly the principal goes down.

In fact, it has gone down so much I am thinking of liberating that equity (not).

I look forward to the day I pay off my mortgage.

 
Comment by Houses Depreciate Rapidly
2012-08-30 07:51:24

I wonder how much $$$$ he accepted from Mortgage Bankers Association for writing that article?

 
Comment by josap
2012-08-30 07:53:07

“Generally speaking, there’s no advantage to paying down a mortgage earlier than you need to,” says Greg McBride, senior financial analyst at Bankrate.com

Banker says: go into debt, get more debt, always have debt.

They live off our debt - pay it off and starve the bankers.

Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-08-30 09:31:56

“They live off our debt - pay it off and starve the bankers.”

I will again point out that money is borrowed into existence, and goes away when used to pay off debt.

We need to increase the money supply by $1.3T a year to fund our trade imbalances.

If the private sector starts paying down debt, then the federal government will just have to go into debt that much faster to create the new money that our trade imbalance plagued economy needs to operate.

Comment by oxide
2012-08-30 14:14:43

I can see how money is borrowed into existence, but how does it “go away” when it is used to pay off debt? The debt is paid with wages generated by new labor. The debt payment money goes to the bank where it is generally used to pay salaries and expenses. So that money is again circulated, for example when it buys food etc for the bank employees.

There are two ways to create* money:
1. Natural resources; dig it out of the ground, like oil or gold.
2. Perform labor. (mostly labor)

Since we are always digging out more natural resources, and always adding to the pile of accumulated labor — you can never subtract labor that was done — the money supply will always increase. The problem, of course, is that we are creating debt holes faster than we can fill them with labor.

—————
*I know you think that money is debt. But it is debt only for a short time, depending on the debt. For example, my mortgage money will be in a debt phase for 20+ years, but my credit card balance will be debt for only 30 days or so. After that debt period, that money is real, because real labor paid for it.

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Comment by samk
2012-08-30 10:11:26

“senior financial analyst”

Hmmmmmm.

 
 
Comment by b-hamster
2012-08-30 09:09:42

Let’s see. Pay an extra $700 a month on my mortgage now with a implicit RoR of ~6%?
Or gamble with it in the equity markets?
Or get a whopping 1% on a CD?
Hmm. I think I’ll pay down the mortgage.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-08-30 09:14:11

When I get a few bucks ahead, I’m going to do the same thing. I’d like to get the mortgage behind me in the coming years.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-08-30 12:41:51

Go for it Slim. Life is good on the other side!

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Comment by oxide
2012-08-30 20:07:33

Assuming we’re actually allowed to start on THIS side. :roll:

 
 
Comment by sfrenter
2012-08-30 12:44:07

I’d like to get the mortgage behind me in the coming years.

I’m guessing you’re not taking Landlords Are Pimps’ advice and selling your place and becoming a renter?

Then when you turn 65 you can buy a place for half of what you pay in rent.

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Comment by cactus
2012-08-30 13:11:10

I’m guessing you’re not taking Landlords Are Pimps’ advice and selling your place and becoming a renter?”

Always good advice sell at the bottom, works with stocks, Re whatever. Once you do this and realize what you have done your only recourse is to haunt Blogs and post inane advice…

 
Comment by sfrenter
2012-08-30 15:49:14

post inane advice

That wasn’t advice, it was snark.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-08-30 10:17:35

Remember that money is borrowed into existence and is offset by debt.

The FIRE industry wants to skim profits off you by both managing your debt and your money. They do this by offering promises that you can earn more from your investments that you are paying in interest.

Since they are skimming a living off you coming and going if you have both money invested and debt outstanding, I do not see how it is possible for all to be earning more from investments than paying in interest on their debts.

The last thing the FIRE industry wants is for you to take money out of investments and use it to pay down your debts, thus destroying both. How would they keep their jobs if they can not skim off you coming and going?

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-08-30 07:36:56

Public unions! Gotta love them.

And - they do it for the children. Bless their hearts.

—————————

UPDATED: Broward Schools Chief Claims Sabotage by Bus Drivers
NBC MIAMI | 8/30/12

The superintendent of Broward Schools says acts of sabotage by union workers in retaliation for his attempts to reform the district’s transportation department may be behind the recent issues with school bus service.

Superintendent Robert Runcie claims the district is besieged by widespread nepotism, excessive absenteeism, possible payroll theft and an inflated transportation budget, according to a recent interview with the South Florida Sun Sentinel.

Runcie’s allegations come just days after the new school year began and widespread problems with bus routes led to delays and some children not getting picked up or being dropped off at the wrong stop.

Comment by measton
2012-08-30 12:54:03

The superintendent of Broward Schools says acts of sabotage by union workers in retaliation for his attempts to reform the district’s transportation department MAY BE behind the recent issues with school bus service.

Sounds to me like he doesn’t know. Sounds to me like maybe he’s trying to cover up his own failings.

Whoops quick search and we find

Tensions were high at the School Board meeting, as more than 30 bus drivers showed up in protest of Runcie’s accusations made this week that drivers and union officials are deliberately disrupting bus service. They left the meeting to return to their routes before transportation issues were discussed. The board spent three and a half hours on school boundary issues.

Outside Wednesday’s meeting, bus drivers vehemently denied Runcie’s allegations that they deliberately skipped stops, failed to pick up children and feigned unfamiliarity with routes.

“It’s an outright lie,” Ida Mae Bell said. “Nobody is going to deliverately leave a child on the side of the road to make someone look bad,” said the bus driver.

Bus driver Pam Wiggins said four of her six students didn’t get picked up last week, while she was driving a bus. She said district administrators caused the bus problems by not assigning drivers to all the needed routes.

Lewis accused the administration of attempting to bust the union, with the ulterior motive of privatizing school bus service.

Early this year, he slashed 174 mostly vacant positions in the department’s budget, and identified other savings totaling about $14 million. Among the cuts were about a dozen positions for “routers,” people who mapped out stops and schedules, saying Broward had far more than some bigger urban school districts.

Disastrous bus operations during the opening week of school have threatened to undermine his efforts

Early this year, he slashed 174 mostly vacant positions in the department’s budget, and identified other savings totaling about $14 million. Among the cuts were about a dozen positions for “routers,” people who mapped out stops and schedules, saying Broward had far more than some bigger urban school districts.

Disastrous bus operations during the opening week of school have threatened to undermine his efforts

 
Comment by measton
2012-08-30 12:56:40

The superintendent of Broward Schools says acts of sabotage by union workers in retaliation for his attempts to reform the district’s transportation department MAY be behind the recent issues with school bus service

Sounds like he doesn’t know or is covering up.

Continued from prior article I posted.

Runcie said he also suspects ongoing criminal activity in the transportation department, including theft of taxpayer funds.

“There’s absolutely, in my view, been stealing from the district in terms of payroll irregularities, people getting paid for overtime they probably didn’t work, who knows, people probably getting paid for not even showing up,” Runcie said.

At least one payroll clerk has been fired for “anomalies” in her work, Tindall said.

Lewis, however, said there has been no indication of criminal activity by bus drivers, even though a federal investigation sent one school board member to prison and a special stateside grand jury probed school district operations before Runcie’s arrival and found gross mismanagement and apparent ineptitude. Another former board member is awaiting trial on public charges.

“How many bus drivers did they arrest,” Lewis said. “Not one.”

If you or your child has experienced problems with school buses, send email to momatz@tribune.com

Some key incidents

A bus driver forced a group of five students from Indian Ridge Middle School to get off the bus about seven miles away from their homes in Davie.

An eighth grader going to Driftwood Middle School in Hollywood is being picked up at 7:26 a.m. when school doesn’t start until 9:30 a.m, according to his mother. He spends up to an hour after school waiting for the bus and up to another 90 minutes on the bus back home.

A Fort Lauderdale High School student has to be at the bus stop at 5:45 a.m. to travel three miles to school.

From the sun-sentinel.com 2012-08-29

 
 
Comment by HomeGnome
2012-08-30 08:15:14

12 Solutions:

1.  Reintroduce Glass-Steagall Act

2.  RICO charges for AIG, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Citigroup and Bank of America for massive and on going mortgage and securities fraud.

3.  A full audit of the Federal Reserve.

4.  Clawback of Banker Bonuses that were funded with taxpayer dollars

5.  Allow Student Loans to be discharged during bankruptcy proceedings.

6.  Overturn Citizens United vs. FEC

7. Repeal Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000

8. Repatriate Overseas Corporate Profits and tax at the current rate

9. Treat all Capital Gains as income for tax purposes

10. Ban High Frequency Trading and Quote Stuffing

11. Remove FICA tax cap

12. Reinstate FASB 157

Comments/ Suggestions?

Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 08:32:20

Most of the points look good. Though I don’t think you need to tax capital gains as income (9 above)… rather you need to close the carried-interest loophole that allows Hedge Fund managers to claim “capital gains” on what is essentially income.

Taxing all capital gains at income tax rates will hurt everyone, from the small investor to the 1%…

Comment by HomeGnome
2012-08-30 08:34:17

Thank you for the feedback, Northeasterner.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-08-30 10:00:31

NE:

What is the difference between a private equity manager (who used their labor and other’s capital to create a capital asset), and, say, Sergei Brin/Bill Gates, etc. (who used their labor and other’s capital to create a capital asset)?

If they are essentially the same, why aren’t people proposing to tax gains from the sale of their stock at ordinary rates?

What people don’t state is that HEDGE fund managers generally don’t care about the carried interest legislation…they are trading frequently, and because the income generated is short-term gains, their carry is already taxed as ordinary income. Who this impacts are managers of funds that are longer-term investors.

Furthermore, if the carry is recharacterized as compensation, shouldn’t then the investors get 100% of the capital gain associated with an investment (rather than 80%), and get to deduct the compensation paid to the manager since the manager is essentially the employee of the investor?

Also, monkeying with the carried interest legislation would effect every sweat equity owner in a small partnership–their interest is also “carry”.

The carried interest legislation will only serve to make partnership taxation far more complicated (and thus creating loopholes to be exploited by some smart attorneys and accountants).

I’m a proponent of lowering the marginal rates across the board, and equalizing capital gains and ordinary income (even if it’s not revenue neutral). This will simplify the tax code dramatically and will benefit the vast majority of workers out there. The primary impact will be for those people who actually have assets upon which a capital gain CAN be earned.

Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 10:55:30

Simple. It’s not the hedge fund managers’ capital at risk, but investor capital. It is the hedge fund managers’ labor that generates the return, so it should be taxed as labor, not long term capital gains…

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Comment by Rental Watch
2012-08-30 12:45:17

Then why not tax the gain from founder stock also at ordinary rates, where the capital risk was taken by investors like venture funds and not the entrepreneurs?

Bifurcating different parties labor seems problematic to me; What about a person who uses their own labor to make the same kind of investment with their own money? Since the return is generated from THEIR labor, should the labor associated with their own investment also be taxed at ordinary rates?

If the law is then changed (which fundamentally changes partnership tax law), shouldn’t it go from:

Current situation:
Investors get $80 in Capital Gain
Manager gets $20 in Capital Gain
Total of $100 in Capital Gain from Investment is taxed by the Feds

To:

New situation:
Investors get $100 in Capital Gain and deduction for $20 that they pay in compensation to Manager
Manager gets $20 in Ordinary Income
Total of $100 in Capital Gain from Investment is taxed by the Feds

What you are saying is that by simply having an investor choose to hire a third party to manage their investment, that the overall taxation of that activity should be different than the investor investing their own money?

The unintended consequence of making the change differently than my example would cause investing activities that include third party managers to get taxed at an overall rate higher than investing activities with no managers involved.

I personally think that is bad policy, as it MAY reduce investment activity overall, but would almost certainly shift investing activities into the hands of the less experienced, which would increase mal-investment into the economy.

If what you are suggesting is akin to my example (where neither investment activity gets beneficial tax treatment overall), frankly, my issue is only related to the fact that this will throw partnership taxation on its head, and create lots of new loopholes to exploit.

If you don’t like my method of changing the carried interest law (which taxes managers at ordinary rates, rewards the investors of capital more, but is revenue neutral to the Federal Government as compared to current law), you must be focused on raising revenue from those who can afford to pay more…and so I ask…isn’t there a simpler way to meet that goal?

 
 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-08-30 08:36:05

Great except for the parts of massively raising taxes.

How about cutting some spending?

Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 08:50:18

Bingo, we should start cutting 5% per year for “all” government agencies (especially the IRS, the Executive Branch and Congress) until the revenues equal the expenditures.

Then, when we get balanced, continue to cut spending for the IRS, the Executive Branch and Congress until the old debt is repaid.

I think we should link the Congressional and Executive Branch pensions to the balancing of the budget, with nothing being kept off the balance sheet.

Comment by polly
2012-08-30 10:05:33

“government agencies (especially the IRS, the Executive Branch and Congress)”

You do realize that pretty much all the government “agencies” are part of the executive branch, right? There are a few quasi-independent ones (SEC) but what you think of as an agency (IRS, FDA, EPA, etc.) are all part of the executive branch.

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Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 10:39:38

No, I might have known that decades ago but not anymore.

Are they all answerable to the Executive? I know that the Obama team has had some sway in the actions and effectiveness, but it seems like some of these do their own thing during the Republican administrations.

For instance, the State Dept seems to be contrary to everything Republican/conservative and it has been this way for years.

 
Comment by polly
2012-08-30 12:10:07

Yes, the State Department is under the executive branch. The Secretary of State is a cabinet official. He or she runs the State Department. If it has done anything that you see as contrary to conservative principles or against Repulican policies, it is because they are dealing laws that already existed (and were not changed) or their actions were more in line with the preferred policies of the president than you think. The courts and the legislature are not under the executive branch. All the rest (except for those quasi-independent ones) are part of the executive branch.

 
 
 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 09:02:33

I could get behind removing the cap on FICA if it would stabilize SS for the next 40+years [about my and my wife's life expectancy].

 
Comment by HomeGnome
2012-08-30 09:14:33

What are you referring to when you say “massively increase taxes”?

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-08-30 10:15:56

I think he’s talking about the equalization of ordinary and capital gains rates.

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Comment by polly
2012-08-30 08:41:50

“8. Repatriate Overseas Corporate Profits and tax at the current rate”

Wait, you want to force a corporation to do something it doesn’t want to do? Won’t that make all of them exit the US and reincorporate in Ireland immediately?

Comment by 2banana
2012-08-30 08:47:16

Yep. Just google and see what is happening in France right now before their “no layoff” law goes into effect.

Now extrapolate into the future for all the business that were not created or moved to America.

Progressives think they can force people to work longer and harder for the state to infinity. If this were true the gulags of the USSR and China should have been the most productive places on earth.

Wait, you want to force a corporation to do something it doesn’t want to do? Won’t that make all of them exit the US and reincorporate in Ireland immediately?

Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 09:04:41

Don’t bother2banana, Polly is so left-wing, if she was a bird, she could only fly in circles, clockwise.

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Comment by Lip
2012-08-30 09:45:35

Guys, be nice to Polly. While we don’t necessarily agree with her very often (ever?) at least she uses reason and doesn’t devolve into name calling or ad hominem attacks.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ad_hominem

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-08-30 10:22:19

And she gives us facts. Don’t forget those____ (redacted in consideration of Bronco’s delicate sensibilities) facts.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 10:35:28

And she gives us facts. Don’t forget those____ (redacted in consideration of Bronco’s delicate sensibilities) facts.

From what I can tell from her posts about the Ryan speech above, they aren’t facts so much as regurgitated lies from the left, and easily proven wrong.

And to your point a few days ago regarding a particular US Senator voicing support for the Taliban in the early 90’s, one senator doesn’t make US policy. Where is your proof that the US government had an established policy of providing material aid and support to the Taliban, especially once they came out as supporters of strict Sharia law? I’ll stand by my statement that the Taliban was and is a construct of Pakistan, supported by Saudi Arabia in an attempt to consolidate Muslim power in the region.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-08-30 10:54:12

wonder what Polly thinks of this…lawyer clawbacks…..

http://blogs.wsj.com/law/2012/08/29/dewey-asks-court-to-approve-70-million-partner-clawback-plan/

In 2006, the OFHEO announced a suit against Raines in order to recover some or all of the $90 million in payments made to Raines based on the overstated earnings,[

Civil charges were filed against Raines and two other former executives by the OFHEO in which the OFHEO sought $110 million in penalties and $115 million in returned bonuses from the three accused.[7] On April 18, 2008, the government announced a settlement with Raines together with J. Timothy Howard, Fannie’s former chief financial officer, and Leanne G. Spencer, Fannie’s former controller. The three executives agreed to pay fines totaling about $3 million, which will be paid by Fannie’s insurance policies. Raines also agreed to donate the proceeds from the sale of $1.8 million of his Fannie stock and to give up stock options, which were valued at $15.6 million when issued. The stock options however had no value.[citation needed] Raines also gave up an estimated $5.3 million of “other benefits” said to be related to his pension and forgone bonuses.[8]

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-08-30 12:23:30

You’ve put a few provisos and modifiers into your statement since my response, NE. And ascribed to me assertions I didn’t make. Read my posts, use your common sense, and draw your own conclusions. :-)

P.S. Dana Rohrabacher is a US Congressman, not a Senator.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 13:47:36

You’re right of course. I did add a few provisos, but it was required to elaborate on the statements made.

One US Congressman doesn’t US foreign policy make.

 
Comment by sfrenter
2012-08-30 15:51:21

Polly’s post are the most articulate on this blog.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-08-30 17:29:37

Oh how sweet….

 
Comment by drillboss
2012-08-30 18:30:42

TRUE

She is clearly the most articulate

 
Comment by Houses Depreciate Rapidly
2012-08-30 18:43:36

lmao

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-08-30 19:25:22

How about the most fact-based? The most concise? The most reliable?
Polly is a treasure and we’re very lucky to have her here. The “a” you’ve laffed off? Maybe not such a loss….

 
Comment by Houses Depreciate Rapidly
2012-08-30 19:28:08

Yes… because fawning is more important the truth. We understand.

 
 
Comment by HomeGnome
2012-08-30 09:15:59

So 2banana, you then believe that some “citizens” shouldn’t have to pay their fair share of federal income taxes; is that correct?

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Comment by HomeGnome
2012-08-30 09:18:52

“Progressives think they can force people to work longer and harder for the state to infinity.” 2banana

Aren’t you arguing that Corporations shouldn’t have to shoulder their tax burden; therefore pushing it off on those Citizens who do pay taxes?

Why should Capital receive a lower tax burden than labor?

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Comment by In Colorado
2012-08-30 09:34:55

Because the uber rich deserve to be rewarded for their speculative, non job creating “investments”.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 09:38:21

Why should Capital receive a lower tax burden than labor?

Because capital has already been taxed, while labor has not. Ex. Dividends paid by corporations to shareholders. Dividends are paid out of profits that were taxed, prior to being paid to shareholders.

Additionally, the investment of capital holds risk, more so than the investment of time [labor]. For the majority of hourly and salaried employees, the tradeoff of time for money sees an immediate return weekly, bi-weekly, etc. when they are paid

The investment of capital often sees a return over a much longer time horizon. That longer horizon increases risk.

 
Comment by Darrell In Issa
2012-08-30 09:38:22

Why should Capital receive a lower tax burden than labor?

Would you support lowering tax rate on labor below to capital level?

 
Comment by 2banana
2012-08-30 09:38:54

Your statement:

“8. Repatriate Overseas Corporate Profits and tax at the current rate”

America has the HIGHEST corporate tax rate in the industrialized world.

America is one of the few countries that taxes corporate profits MADE IN OTHER countries.

Result: Companies keep their money OUT of America. Companies MOVE out of America. And TAKE their jobs with them.

Liberal Solution: Even MORE draconian laws.

Because there is no problem in the world that can NOT be solved by a bigger and more powerful government.

 
Comment by HomeGnome
2012-08-30 09:46:54

(Reuters) - Thirty large and profitable U.S. corporations paid no income taxes in 2008 through 2010, said a study on Thursday that arrives as Congress faces rising demands for tax reform but seems unable or unwilling to act.

Pepco Holdings Inc, a Washington, D.C.-area power company, had the lowest effective tax rate, at negative 57.6 percent, among the 280 Fortune 500 companies studied.

The statutory U.S. corporate income tax rate is 35 percent, one of the highest in the world; but over the 2008-2010 period, very few of the companies studied paid it, said the report.

The average effective tax rate for the companies over the period was 18.5 percent, said Citizens for Tax Justice and the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, both think tanks

 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-08-30 10:10:50

“Because there is no problem in the world that can NOT be solved by a bigger and more powerful government.”

As a Regan Republican in my youth, I’m still very economically conservative in my core.

I think government should manage the macro-economic conditions of an economy for long-term sustainability, then be as hands off as possible on its actual involvement.

For example, I think welfare is a horribly destructive thing. Paying people to sit him and not work? Oh, I don’t think so. Ditto food stamps.

I’d much rather we had a government that was focused on keeping money circulating in the economy, so people could get jobs that pay well enough that they could eat without food stamps, then a government that has embraced trade imbalances and now has to pump $1.3T a year new debt/money into the economy to keep it functioning.

And, there is my statement on the root cause of the problem.

In the 1960s and 1970s, the government decided to stop fighting trade imbalances, and instead began embracing them. After all, it is trade imbalances that allow some people to sell more than they buy, accumulating money.

Trade imbalances create money, and make some people very rich, so they are very good, right?

I would say no. Money is borrowed into existence, and the flip side of the trade imbalance that allows some individuals to accumulate money, is that it requires other people go into debt.

I think that all the little issues of the last 50 years, from more government intrusion into peoples’ lives, to the unsustainable rate of debt growth, has its root in our government’s decision to embrace rather than lean against trade imbalances.

And, what specifically did the government do to embrace imbalances? We removed trade tariffs, embracing globalization and free trade. We flattened the tax code, reducing the top marginal rate from 90%+ to under 40%, with capital gains well below that.

What are my solutions? Undo most of what we have doen in the last 50 years… yes, including most of the social safety net for working aged people.

Or, more specifically.
1) End free trade with a large tariff on money leaving the country. Bring jobs back to the USA, increase wages to American workers.

2) Steep income tax code with lots of deductions. The super rich need to stop getting super richer, and start spending down some of the money they have. Money is debt, and we can’t pay down the debt unless the people with the debt have a chance to get the money, and a necessary prerequisite to that is the people with that money spending it.

3) Once we have money flowing through, and staying in, the USA economy, then we can remove all the social safety net programs for working aged people. Food stamps, housing rental assistance, FHA and GSEs, school lunches, SCHIP, etc.

4) What I would keep is Social Security. What I would add is nationalized healthcare for all with lots of cost/benefit analysis spending controls and playing hard-ball with supplies. I consider healthcare to be a basic necessity of modern life, like water, electricity, phone, and the other utilities that are tightly regulated and profit constrained.

5) Oh, and end the war on drugs, slash military spending, roll back PATRIOT ACT, eliminate dept of homeland security, more funding for EPA oversight and cleanup efforts, more funding for basic scientific research, funding for research into alternative fuels… None of this is specifically about trade imbalance… it is just getting govet to do more of what it should do (regulate business and protect the environment) and less of what it shouldn’t do (have its hands in peoples’ personal lives).

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-08-30 10:55:56

If there was no corporate income tax then there would be no tax refunds either….

Pepco Holdings Inc, a Washington, D.C.-area power company, had the lowest effective tax rate, at negative 57.6 percent, among the 280 Fortune 500 companies studied.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-08-30 15:30:37

Because capital has already been taxed, while labor has not.

The original capital yes … the gains … no.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-08-30 09:15:11

I agree with the Gnome.

 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-08-30 09:43:46

Before designing ways to resolve a problem, it is always best to start with a clear definition of root of the problem.

So, what is/are the root problem(s) that you are attempting to fix with these solutions?

Comment by HomeGnome
2012-08-30 09:52:33

The adults are talking, Darrell.

 
 
Comment by Hi-Z
2012-08-30 09:53:01

How do you plan to overturn a Supreme Court decision?
A Consitutional Admendment in today’s political climate would be impossible. Do you suggest a Preidential order? That seems to have worked well so far for overriding the Constitution.

Comment by polly
2012-08-30 10:10:25

I ignored the whole “how would you do that” part of the question in this post. You can’t “claw back” the bonuses paid out of bailout funds either. Those were private contracts and are over and done. You could have required the companies to change their bonus arrangements before giving them access to the bailout funds, but Hank Paulson didn’t go there. The moment is long over.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-08-30 10:32:39

A Constitutional Amendment in this political climate would be largely a matter of who could come up with enough money to get 38 States to ratify it, making it a wholly tautological effort.

By the way, Hi-Z, (or anyone) which of this administration’s Executive Orders do you think have over-ridden the Constitution Process? Seriously asking.

Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 10:58:47

I’m guessing he is talking about the Citizens United decision…

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Comment by ahansen
2012-08-30 12:28:31

Which was decided by SCOTUS. Through a process dictated by the Constitution.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 13:54:07

Sorry, I was referring to Hi-Z’s first question regarding overturning a Supreme Court decision.

 
 
Comment by Hi-Z
2012-08-30 18:19:23

“..which of this administration’s Executive Orders do you think have over-ridden the Constitution Process?”

I am not restricting this accusation to just the present administration but most recently re: Obama; 1) instructing Dept of Health and Human Services Secretary Sebilius to issue waivers to welfare act passed by Congress with specific requirements 2) Instructing all agencies to proceed with Dream Act Lite. These are two more examples in a continuing display of SELECTIVE enforcement and contorted interpretation of Federal laws and Acts of Congress. The point is that when a President does this there is no one to stop him (her). As an example, administrations have for decades completely ignored the provisions of Immigration Law for political purposes and instructed Federal agencies to NOT enforce the law. I do not see how it is constitutional for the Administrative Branch to assume the power to waive or selectively enforce laws. Either enforce the law without favor or discrimination or repeal it.

The sad fact is that here is no mechanism for enforcing Constitutionality as the SCOTUS only hears and reviews cases brought to it.

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Comment by ahansen
2012-08-31 01:05:07

Thanks, Hi-Z. Will consider, research, and respond.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-08-31 20:45:24

The sad fact is that here is no mechanism for enforcing Constitutionality as the SCOTUS only hears and reviews cases brought to it.

In theory member of Congress would have standing to file a case against the POTUS on this issue, to be heard by the SCOTUS. There was one such case filed not too long ago…

 
 
 
 
Comment by oxide
2012-08-30 20:13:08

Didn’t see anything about Single Payer Health Care, but that was a long comment string, and it’s late…

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-08-30 23:50:05

13. Repeal the bankruptcy reform of 2005.

 
 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-08-30 09:09:22

Per zerohedge:

based on projections provided by Wards Autos, the U.S. motor vehicle assembly rate for August is projected to decline by 8% to a 10.1 million annualized rate after rising by 4.4% in July. This would be the biggest monthly percentage decline in the assembly rate in about a year and a half,

The next 4 months should be interesting, in the “May you live in interesting times” Chinese curse definition of “interesting”.

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-08-30 11:00:17

Automotive has led our company’s North American recovery from 2009-2010, although not mine personally. The next 2 years certainly will be “interesting” IMO.

Comment by rms
2012-08-30 22:09:31

“The next 2 years certainly will be “interesting” IMO.”

The past two years have certainly been interesting in the “government guaranteed” automotive lending industry. Eastern Washington is filled with $16/hr laborers who are driving new $45k+ diesel pick-up trucks sporting lift kits and another $10k in rims and “big meats.” I didn’t see anything like that during the 70’s recessions.

 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-08-30 09:47:20

Everyone needs to see the big picture before they choose a location to buy a house.

Also with buying muni bonds.

————————-

Stop Bailing Out Cities
Four Percent Growth Project | 08/30/2012 | Carl Schramm

Governor Andrew Cuomo recently announced that New York State is sending a billion dollars to resuscitate Buffalo. (He forgot to mention the state has to borrow the money.) It is a near certainty that the new monies will make matters worse, as Steven Malanga has explained in the Wall Street Journal. Bureaucrats, experts to be sure in urban planning, will make the decisions in Albany, and inevitably will put the money into physical things — infrastructure and buildings. “If we build it, they will stay.”

Think of the cost of this misdirected expert impulse. Millions of people whose economic livelihoods might be greatly improved if they move are the focus of spending to make them stay put. Rebuilding city centers will not bring jobs, there is no evidence that this strategy ever works. Cities grow and shrink organically. Government policy does affect this process, but urban redevelopment or public housing strategies generally accelerate a city’s decline. Governments must tax to fund their efforts to physically revitalize cities.

As the tax burden goes up, inevitably on businesses and business owners, the cost of doing business in a state or city grows as well. To pursue public redevelopment is to employ a tax strategy that will drive business away. It’s tautological.

Recently the New York Times reported on the extraordinary growth of Austin, Texas. Even a casual reader can sense that private developers are doing all the construction. The new physical city is being built to house the new businesses that are already growing in Texas — a state whose public policy, especially its tax policy, expressly encourages business growth.

Consider a tale of two cities. In 1960 Buffalo was the 20th largest U.S. city with 532,000 inhabitants.

Prosperity was a hallmark of this first city in America to be lighted at night. Austin was a frontier town with 185,000 people, ranked 67th in size. Today Austin, with a population of 820,000 is our 13th largest city while Buffalo is 72nd having lost more than half its population. It is no surprise that only 13% of Austin families are in poverty, while 27% are in Buffalo. The only new building going on in Buffalo is sponsored by the state. To walk its streets one knows what a slow city feels like. To read the Times’s account of Austin, one can virtually feel the vibrancy.

Rational policy might suggest that rather than consider heroic means to save our cities — turning to immigrants to bail them out or sending in piles of borrowed money to rebuild a veneer of a city to entice people not to leave — we might just let people move to where markets are pulling them. As long as places like New York believe that taxing and spending are the way to shape the future, their residents will continue to move to places like Texas, where the cost of government is much lower because the government doesn’t try to solve all problems. Instead of trying to “bail out” cities like Buffalo or Detroit that lose more than half their populations, the federal government might initiate a downsizing program to retire municipal debt, close schools, shut down physical infrastructure, reforest parts of the city, and help people, including city workers, find jobs elsewhere.

Comment by HomeGnome
2012-08-30 09:55:32

“the federal government might initiate a downsizing program to retire municipal debt, close schools, shut down physical infrastructure, reforest parts of the city, and help people, including city workers, find jobs elsewhere.”

-Are you really advocating for a BIG GOV solution, 2banana?

Comment by 2banana
2012-08-30 12:00:34

Out of this whole article - that is the only point you want to discuss?

Put down the liberal kool-aid and the talking point democrat cookies and WALK AWAY…

Comment by HomeGnome
2012-08-30 12:51:17

No, I have another point of discussion that is relevant to the link you posted as a point of advocacy.

How much is your BIG GOV solution going to cost the taxpayers of the United States, 2banana?

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by HomeGnome
2012-08-30 13:28:38
(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by Muggy
2012-08-30 16:00:00

“Out of this whole article - that is the only point you want to discuss?”

Yeah, because you never get stuck on ONE ISSUE.
I love you, man.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by HomeGnome
2012-08-30 10:19:39

“the federal government might initiate a downsizing program to retire municipal debt, close schools, shut down physical infrastructure, reforest parts of the city, and help people, including city workers, find jobs elsewhere.”

–Sounds like a BIG GOV solution that you are advocating, 2banana.

 
Comment by measton
2012-08-30 13:02:10

Yes outsourcing and trade policy and oil have nothing to do with the demographic shift.

For the last 30 years blue states have contributed far more in federal taxes and have receieved less back from the FED vs RED. Could this charity be the cause?

Comment by Hi-Z
2012-08-30 19:20:41

“For the last 30 years blue states have contributed far more in federal taxes and have receieved less back from the FED vs RED.”

How about a novel approach. Have the FED stop collecting all that tax to return to the states and let the states keep it and do with it as they see fit. The Feds take the money, borrow twice that amount, skim off the top and then dole it out back to the states with all the million or so strings attached. This payback method is solely for political power to force states to as Uncle Fed wants or “we’ll cut your money off”.

 
 
 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-08-30 11:27:17

We’ve discussed who benefits and who loses from high house prices.

A big group who benefits from lower house prices - the next generation of buyers.

Between the government debt and house price subsidies, the current generation is really living high off the hog on the backs of future generations.

The “real” homeownership rate, adjusted for foreclosures and serious delinquencies, stood at just 62.1 percent in the second quarter of 2012, down from a peak of 68.3 percent reached during a couple of quarters in 2004 and 2005, according to an analysis by Sean Fergus, manager of research at John Burns Real Estate Consulting. That sets it back to levels last seen in 1965.

http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-08-29/real-homeownership-rate-at-nearly-50-year-low

 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-08-30 11:31:10

My attitude is that we should bring together the executive teams of the big financial companies before Congress. On a screen will be flashed the various sections of Dodd-Frank. The ones that make them howl the loudest are the ones that should be reinforced. The ones that don’t make them howl - well, perhaps we can get rid of those.

Romney’s Dodd-Frank Kill Pledge Collides With Wall Street Agenda
By Phil Mattingly - Aug 29, 2012 10:52 PM ET
Bloomberg

“There’s this perception that banks hate everything in Dodd-Frank, and that’s just not true,” said Mark Calabria, a former top Republican aide on the Senate Banking Committee. “From a bank’s perspective, you’d rather have piecemeal reform of Dodd-Frank, not only because there are things in the law you want to keep, but also because you’re going to have more control over the process.”

“If I could push a button and eliminate Dodd-Frank would I do it? No, I would not,” Blankfein, the chief executive officer of Goldman Sachs, said in a July appearance before the Economic Club of Washington. Still, he said, there are “some parts that go too far.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-30/romney-s-dodd-frank-kill-pledge-collides-with-wall-street-agenda.html

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-08-30 16:24:56

And we already have a winner on this, the pieces that have made them howl the loudest have been so far delayed and weakened, because bankers been throwing money and lobbyists at them.

1. Volcker Rule; and
2. QRM requirements.

If the bankers are successful (and they appear to be heading that way), QRM and the Volcker Rule will be sufficiently weakened as to not impact their profit centers, but that the rest of the law will sufficiently increase compliance costs such that smaller competitors will have a more difficult time competing with them.

TBTF just got bigger.

What does it say about Blankfein’s support of parts of the law? He’s happy with the stuff that hurts his competition (smaller guys), but not happy with the stuff that hurts his profit centers.

 
 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-08-30 11:35:43

A commentator urges Prince Harry to not star in porn; rather to take a job at Goldman Sachs.

Dear Sir,

It has come to our attention that you have been offered a role in a porn film for $10 million. We urge you to reject it.

Princely Pay and Elite Status

Goldman Sachs is prepared to pay you much better than porn, and as a partner, your position will be much more prestigious than the Duke of York’s role as a representative for international trade and investment. We twist country treasurers and central bankers around our little fingers. Politicians are at our beck and call. We even pay a lower tax rate than your grandmother.

As a royal, you’ll regain your rightful status. We’ve managed to pervert capitalism and have even infiltrated our own regulators and government. If you join us, your elite status will be assured in perpetuity.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/janet-tavakoli/prince-harry-offered-part_b_1838935.html

 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-08-30 11:38:15

Separating lenders from repayment risk caused the global debt crisis. If lenders had to worry about being paid back, they’d be a lot more careful about making loans which can in fact be paid back.

Everything else is window dressing. There were other abuses based on the toxic debt. But without the toxic debt timebomb built into the system, the conflagration wouldn’t have been a fraction as spectacular.

Any reform which doesn’t force lenders to take losses on bad debt will simply lay the seeds of the next debt crisis.

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-08-30 19:33:59

I’ll add that those making the investment decisions on behalf of the institutions that bought all the junk were also a major part of the problem. These guys also didn’t have any skin in the game (they were investing OPM). Allowing the rubber stamp of a rating agency to dictate investment decisions is a sure fire way to lose the ability to objectively analyze a pool of loans.

Don’t get me wrong, I think “eating what you kill” is critical in keeping underwriting processes honest, but also “eating what you kill” is critical in any investment decision. The very nature of institutional capital makes that less likely to come into play. The decision makers for these groups have no money–and therefore could have nothing at stake but their jobs, and are simply looking for a way to NOT get fired for their decisions…thus the rubber stamp of a AAA rating makes the decision easy.

I would have liked the legislature to make it illegal for anyone to opine on the quality of a loan pool if more than 5% of the mortgages were made to people without full income verification.

Those loans were by their very nature speculative, and should not have been rated.

Strong QRM is critical (your point);
Restrictions on allowing certain kinds of securities to be rated would be very nice (my point); and
Both combined would really help keep a lid on things.

The problem is that we are going to end up with weak QRM requirements, and probably no restrictions on the ratings agencies.

 
 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-08-30 11:41:22

Euro-zone leaders are hoping for a quietish August. But the autumn will bring storms
Aug 4th 2012 | from the print edition
The Economist

Resentment of serial bail-outs is growing, above all in the Netherlands. With elections due on September 12th, Dutch parties are competing in their vehemence against the debtors. Just before Spain and Italy contested the Euro 2012 football final, the Facebook page of the Liberal party of the prime minister, Mark Rutte, posted: “They can have the Cup, but not our credit rating.”

Whatever the form of the rescue funds, Moody’s, a rating agency, has already sounded a warning that the AAA status of mighty Germany could be jeopardised by looming bail-outs.

http://www.economist.com/node/21559925

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 20:16:02

Gross Says QE3 Likely Even if Bernanke Doesn’t Provide Hint
By Cordell Eddings and Trish Regan - Aug 29, 2012 11:31 PM PT

Pacific Investment Management Co.’s Bill Gross said the Federal Reserve will add to monetary stimulus even if Chairman Ben S. Bernanke fails to indicate additional measures during a speech in two days. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

Policy makers will announce more so-called quantitative easing “relatively soon,” Gross, who runs the world’s biggest bond fund, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart” with Trish Regan.

The Fed signaled last week it’s ready to take further steps to spur the economic recovery. Many policy makers said additional stimulus probably will be needed soon unless the economy shows signs of a durable pickup, according to minutes released Aug. 22 of the central bank’s most recent meeting, on July 31-Aug. 1. Bernanke is scheduled to speak on Aug. 31 at the Kansas City Fed’s economic-policy conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

“They have a dual mandate,” Gross said, referring to the Fed’s directive of price stability and maximum employment. “Unemployment is still above 8 percent and it’s obvious that the Fed isn’t comfortable, nor is the nation or the economy with 8 percent unemployment going forward.”

Until the unemployment rate is in the low 7 percent range and inflation has risen above the Fed’s 2 percent target the Fed is going to “ease quantitatively,” Gross said from Pimco’s headquarters in Newport Beach, California.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 20:28:25

Aug. 30, 2012, 4:53 p.m. EDT
U.S. stocks slammed by central-bank jitters
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke due to speak on Friday morning
By Kate Gibson, MarketWatch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks Thursday were hit by thinking the next European Central Bank meeting would not deliver the promised results and that the Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole gathering could prove to be a nonevent.

“I suspect the market would be surprised if anything substantive came out of Jackson Hole: the big one now is next Thursday when ECB meets. [ECB President Mario] Draghi said we’ll do whatever it takes, and he specifically referenced this meeting,” said John De Clue, global investment strategist at U.S. Wealth Management in Minneapolis.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 20:44:16

Aug. 30, 2012, 11:20 p.m. EDT
Japan stocks lead losses in Asia
By Sarah Turner, MarketWatch

SYDNEY (MarketWatch) — Japanese stocks fell sharply Friday in a generally weak session for major Asian markets ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s speech later in the day.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 20:56:04

Aug. 30, 2012, 2:43 a.m. EDT
Calm before the storm for stocks?
Commentary: Low volume, but bears are braced
By Peter Brimelow, MarketWatch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Is everybody asleep? If so, some (but not all) dreams are troubled.

Dennis Slothower of Stealth Stocks Daily is particularly restless. He writes: “If prices are any indication of interest in the stock market, nobody cares what is going on. Volume remains not just tepid, but downright depressed. If the dealer banks wanted to they could set the market price anywhere they wanted. Perhaps even the pros at the dealer banks are ‘out of the office’.”

Slothower in fact does think, and has said very loudly and repeatedly, that American financial markets are manipulated by major interests. So this might seem an admission against interest for him.

He writes further: “With only two days to go in August 2012 we are not seeing the typical end of month window dressing, with most serious professionals taking their last week of the summer off heading into this Labor Day weekend.”

Nevertheless, Stealth Stocks Daily, my 2011 letter of the year, has battened down the hatches. It is 80% in cash, 10% long hedged by 10% short. ( See Jan. 5 column).

The general somnolence means that the Dow Jones Industrial Average. DJIA -0.81% and Dow Jones Transportation Average DJT -1.14% still have not bettered their May highs — not good from a Dow Theory perspective. ( See Aug. 9 column).

Indeed, veteran Richard Russell of Dow Theory Forecasts has announced: “I’ve given up on the odds of the Dow and the Transports bettering their May highs. This, I think, is the main fact that we should deal with. This, from a Dow Theory standpoint, tells us that the market will do one of two things: it will mark time or it will go down.”

Russell’s more general thoughts: “The closer we get to the presidential election, the less the chance that Bernanke will pull the QE trigger. So volume collapses on the NYSE and prices remain stagnant in a 2% range. Interest rates (thank the Fed) remain absurdly low.

“The man in the street gets almost nothing for his savings, and unemployment remains high. The fast-contracting middle class’ sentiment is a mixture of fear and frustration. With low interest rates and meager dividend yields, most pension funds can’t keep up their funding.”

Russell’s conclusion: “At this point I think gold is more interesting than the stock market. I’m watching to see whether gold can make it to 1700. I like holding actual gold.

“Most people don’t realize the incredible safety of gold…My choice of an investment position — gold, and enough cash to pay the bills.”

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 23:27:26

If the ability to convincingly lie is a job qualification for high office, then I truthfully believe the Republican candidates this year have what it takes.

P.S. Does anyone remember William Jefferson Clinton’s lies about SEX? At least there is no evidence to suggest R&R have that kind of skeleton hiding in their closets.

Thursday, Aug 30, 2012 09:42 AM PDT

Ignoring and defending Paul Ryan’s lies
After Ryan’s dishonest performance, the objective press falters, and the right-wing machine begins its push-back
By Alex Pareene

Paul Ryan’s speech last night was so shamelessly dishonest that it seemed designed not just to stir up the crowd in the arena but also to give media fact-checkers aneurysms. There’s really no other reason for Ryan to have made the closure of the GM plant such a prominent part of his address. That wasn’t just a misleading interpretation of events, it was straight-up dishonesty.

It was an attempt to break the mainstream political press. CNN is constitutionally unable to say “that was a load of tendentious bullshit.” Wolf Blitzer, who isn’t paying attention to the speeches and wouldn’t understand them even if he was, sort of figured out (probably because a producer in his ear told him) that the speech had some whoppers but more important to him was that the man on the stage said things that the people in the crowd seemed to enjoy so it was a Good Speech. “His mom is up there,” Wolf Blitzer said. He noticed that part. Paul Ryan has a mom.

Every actual non-idiot reporter present made note of how shameless the entire thing was, but only some feel comfortable saying so. Jim Rutenberg’s New York Times write-up of the speech is the driest and straightest report possible. The AP, which is a bit more tenacious than it used to be, went with “factual shortcuts.”

Ryan’s GM plant story was the most blatant outright lie. The Simpson-Bowles bit — where Ryan blamed Obama for not acting on the debt reduction plan Ryan himself torpedoed — was more a lie of omission, but it was perhaps the one that led the Beltway press to finally note how much this asshole lies. In politics, you can lie about a lot of things with the implicit permission of the political press. You can go around the nation repeating racial dog-whistles about welfare and barely raise an eyebrow. But you do not lie about Simpson-Bowles. Simpson-Bowles is sacred to these people.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 23:41:51

The stupidity of the American electorate may prove me wrong, but at this point, I suspect the blatancy of the Republican lies will doom their election prospects, no matter how much funding is available for the lying spin doctors to cover up the lies.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 23:43:18

Liars are Nazis.

If you repeat a lie often enough, it becomes the truth.

– Joseph Goebbels

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 23:47:12

Aug. 31, 2012, 12:02 a.m. EDT
China’s new leaders won’t go big on stimulus
By Chris Oliver, MarketWatch

HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — China’s incoming leaders will likely focus on economic reforms and avoid the bazooka-style fiscal stimulus used to ward off slowdowns in the past, analysts say.

Société Générale economist Yao Wei in Hong Kong said perceptions about big infrastructure-focused stimulus packages, such as the one unveiled in 2008, have shifted recently, with many in Beijing now of the view that “it’s dangerous to do more than they [central government] should.”

China is set for a once-in-a-decade change of its most senior leaders, with new faces expected to take the helm of the Communist Party this year and formally take the top ranks of government early next year.

“The signs I’ve seen so far seem to suggest that the new leaders are pro-reform and more comfortable with slow growth than the current ones,” Yao said.

The euro-zone crisis is a major focus of talks between Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao and German Chancellor Angela Merkel in Beijing. But there were few details about how China intends to support Europe.

Concerns over the public backlash against wasteful government projects, including some apparently ill-conceived projects funded by the government’s prior stimulus package, could be another reason officials are adopting a different tone about the need for more stimulus.

These concerns were back in focus last week after a section of an elevated concrete roadway collapsed in the northern Chinese city of Harbin, resulting in several deaths, and fueling doubts about the construction quality and engineering of the newly opened transport link.

The incident also brought back memories of last year’s fatal high-speed rail collision near the coastal city of Wenzhou, which left 35 dead, sparking fierce online criticism of the bureaucracy that oversees the rail network.

In what may be a move to show that the government is not banking on infrastructure spending this time, officials in the last few months have been relatively sanguine about the slowdown, Yao said.

“Given the track record, the government should have done more, but this time the government is doing something different,” Yao said.

Underscoring the confusion surrounding China’s policy at the moment, Bank of America Merrill Lynch said it had to assure investors China hadn’t in fact unveiled a 10 trillion yuan ($1.57 trillion) stimulus package — as was reported by the U.K.’s Telegraph newspaper earlier this week.

It said the report appeared to have confused figures relating to long-term strategic plans of various Chinese governments with short-term stimulus.

Of the 2.4 trillion yuan the U.K. newspaper said was going to energy-related projects, for example, much of this was actually a goal in government’s the upcoming Five-Year Plan, Merrill said, with plans for the actual government outlay closer to 200 billion yuan.

“There is definitely no major stimulus package announced so far. … The chance that China will announce a massive stimulus package is quite small in the near term, barring another global financial crisis,” Merrill said.

However, Merrill also noted the lack of government action in response to the slowdown and even wondered if tensions related the leadership transition had led to “policy paralysis” in July and August.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-08-30 23:50:31

I’m not very big on liars. In fact, they sicken and disgust me.

That includes lying Realtors™, used car salesmen, and politicians.

A politician who tells blatant lies is signaling to the voters that he either believes they are dumb, or that he is so desperate to get elected that he is willing to bamboozle voters with deception.

It’s completely disgusting.

 
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