September 12, 2012

Bits Bucket for September 12, 2012

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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Comment by Jinglemale
2012-09-12 02:44:29

People are moral.

Comment by frankie
2012-09-12 04:06:25

“If one should desire to know whether a kingdom is well governed, if its morals are good or bad, the quality of its music will furnish the answer.”
― Confucius

Oh dear I think we are doomed.

Comment by frankie
2012-09-12 04:09:39

all doomed

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 06:10:51

I think you’re correct.

Atlanta Symphony Locked Out
03:31 am September 11, 2012
by Kathy Lohr
Morning Edition

The Atlanta Symphony performs at New York City’s Carnegie Hall in 2011.
Jennifer Taylor

The Atlanta Symphony Orchestra and its musicians are at an impasse. The players’ contract expired at the end of last month. The symphony is facing a $20 million budget deficit, and it’s seeking millions in concessions from the musicians. Both sides say they want to reach an agreement, but they’ve left the bargaining table, putting the orchestra’s 68th season in jeopardy.

The musicians are locked out of their home at the Woodruff Arts Center. They’re not being paid, and their health benefits have been cut off. No rehearsals are scheduled, but the symphony’s youth programs are still taking place. Flutist Rachel Anders, who is 14, is still practicing for her Atlanta Symphony Youth Orchestra audition with mentor Christina Smith, the principal flute for the Atlanta Symphony Orchestra.

Smith has been a member of the symphony for two decades, and she’s distressed by the lockout. “It’s been pretty devastating to the orchestra,” Smith says.

The Atlanta Symphony’s management says it needs to make $5.2 million in cuts to the musicians’ salaries over the next two years in order to balance the budget. The players say they’ve agreed to $4 million in cuts, but Smith says they can’t go beyond that.

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Comment by baabaabooie
2012-09-12 06:16:24

Maybe we can get the Federal Government to subsidize their pay. I mean really “think of the children”!

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 06:23:19

‘Maybe we can get the Federal Government to subsidize their pay. I mean really “think of the children”!’

Great suggestion!

Or we could go with the Republican-preferred the free market alternative form of music education for our children.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 08:11:29

Oh CIBT you are so wrong Menace II Society is a 1993 hood film its the DEMOCRAT solution to the ghetto.

Ill get political the Repub solution is to force black people to speak English…..

Now I’m not much of a classic music buff..ok Brandenburg Concertos
But for the little money involved a few millions not billions we as a society should honor the past music….these people spend their lives perfecting and performing very intricate and complex music.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 08:25:45

“Oh CIBT you are so wrong”

About what? That the Republican credo about how the Free Market always delivers a better result might not work 100% of the time?

 
 
 
 
Comment by samk
2012-09-12 04:31:27

“Do not be too moral. You may cheat yourself out of much life so. Aim above morality. Be not simply good; be good for something.” - Thoreau

Comment by azdude
2012-09-12 05:44:29

I need some equity to buy a car.

 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-09-12 05:51:23

Always go to other people’s funerals, otherwise they won’t come to yours.

- Yogi Berra

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 06:07:51

Except for real estate investors and Realtors™…

 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 07:43:09

“I have gained this from philosophy: that I do without being commanded what others do only from fear of the law.” -
— Aristotle

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-09-12 16:13:04

The more prohibitions you have,
the less virtuous people will be.
The more weapons you have,
the less secure people will be.
The more subsidies you have,
the less self-reliant people will be.

Lao Tzu

 
 
 
Comment by Truth
2012-09-12 03:33:46

“Get out before too long”, states Robert Shiller when discussing Phoenix.

http://www.npr.org/2012/09/10/160886672/the-housing-market-have-we-finally-hit-bottom

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-09-12 06:27:08

“The unemployment rate went down, but it was really because of people dropping out of the labor force and giving up. So they’re no longer counted as unemployed.”

This statement didn’t even register with the interviewer. He went right on to something else.

Comment by goon squad
2012-09-12 06:31:53

They stopped looking for jobs because they’re all stuck waiting to get seated at Applebee’s!

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 06:58:31

And don’t forget never ending unemployment checks!

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Comment by Avocado
2012-09-12 13:40:08

Read what Olumpus has done, all robots.

there are no jobs, they went….bye, bye….

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-09-12 14:09:31

Well…there are a few new jobs with the robot manufacturer.

 
 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-09-12 07:37:57

LOL! Good one, goon! :-)

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 06:52:12

It’s has been the same with every recession in the last half of the 20th century:

1. New jobs pay less than previous jobs.
2. Unemployment goes down because people stop looking for jobs.
3. For those still employed, the recession never ends and they are constantly under pressure to take pay cuts or no raises even while their company is making record profits.
6. The average length of time between recessions for J6P is only 6 years. (1970s to present) Just long enough to pay off the debt from the last round of unemployment and then go into debt again.

Comment by goon squad
2012-09-12 07:02:22

What happened to #4 and 5?

Northeasterner tried to call you a Debbie Downer yesterday but everything you post here corresponds exactly to the squad’s own experience working in the for-profit, private sector, some of which was in Fortune 500, at TARP Bank, Big Azz Aerospace Defense Contractor, Education/Publishing Industrial Complex, Big Azz Mutual Fund Co, Big Azz InsuranceCo…

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 07:13:42

Oops. A little under the weather today.

4. Job stasis and lack of mobility for most.

5. Stampede calls for more education to get a better job with no guarantees whatsoever of a job after school.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 07:05:49

3. For those still employed, the recession never ends and they are constantly under pressure to take pay cuts or no raises even while their company is making record profits.

Just found out that’s the official line this year where I work. Some of my coworkers haven’t had a pay increase in 4 or more years ad are beginning to think about jumping ship. Of course, the next place won’t give annual raises either …

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 07:16:15

I don’t understand people who wait that long. After ONE year of no raise, that’s all I need to know and would be making immediate plans to leave.

It might TAKE several years to implement, but I would have started looking the very next year after no raise. FU and goodbye!

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 08:25:29

Some employers will balk if they see a history of job hopping.

And there are other factors.

For instance, at the current job we get good health insurance and our contribution is relatively low. Many employers, especially the smaller employers, only offer HD plans. Another trend I’m seeing is that you have to pay 100% of the premium for covering dependents.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 08:48:14

Well it should have always been like that…YOU work for the company not your family. Same for retirement GM covered a million people…at what cost.. the bankrupting of the company.

OH wait if your family is covered shouldn’t I get FREE pet insurance just to be fair?

Another trend I’m seeing is that you have to pay 100% of the premium for covering dependents.

 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 09:09:41

“Another trend I’m seeing is that you have to pay 100% of the premium for covering dependents.”

“Well it should have always been like that…YOU work for the company not your family.”

Pay and compensation is not based on “should”. It is based on what is required to get someone to take the job.

Talking about “should” in the context of pay and other compensation is like saying we “should” have Mr. Fusion, flying cars, the ability to visit other solar systems, candy crappy unicorns, and the second coming (that would happen if we could just get one more Crusade fired up).

Radio Stations “should” have dj’s instead of going with the no talk, all commercials and music formats.

House prices on that small island/peninsula where EVERYONE wants to live, but few actually can fit, “should” be affordable.

Everyone “should” be able to spend less than they earn, accumulating money.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 10:06:37

Pay and compensation is not based on “should”. It is based on what is required to get someone to take the job.

Correct, and since bennies like health insurance are considered part of “compensation” they too are being run through the wringer. So while I’m not getting a raise this year, my health insurance is cheap (my contribution) and is high quality (by today’s low standards).

As for GM covering retired people, that is the compensation they agreed to under the collective bargaining. While agreeing to do that was indeed foolish they nonetheless agreed to it back in the day.

 
Comment by eastcoaster
2012-09-12 12:49:14

No annual increase in healthcare contributions should be considered a raise. Mine go up every year - sometimes so much so that it offsets the sparse income increase I get.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 13:02:58

No annual increase in healthcare contributions should be considered a raise.

I recall reading an article a few years ago the was titled something like “Guess where your raise went?”

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 13:05:56

OH wait if your family is covered shouldn’t I get FREE pet insurance just to be fair?

Just who do you think is providing my insurance? The government? The tooth fairy?

My insurance isn’t “FREE”. I receive it as part of my compensation package. If you have the skills, we are hiring, btw.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 14:01:53

If family coverage is in your package, then why shouldn’t pet insurance be standard for single people with no kids….most have pets.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 14:36:38

Because, as Darrell pointed out above, its part of a compensation package intended to attract and retain employees. If they aren’t offering Pet insurance (or free trips to Disneyland) it’s because employees are not demanding or expecting that, whereas if you don’t offer health insurance you’ll have a VERY hard time recruiting highly skilled employees (note: this doesn’t apply to Lucky Ducky jobs).

You should stick to complaining about how “chickie poo” HR girls just can’t see how brilliant you are.

 
Comment by jbunniii
2012-09-12 18:24:38

My employer actually does offer pet insurance, although it’s not free.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 18:37:19

that would be a useful benefit to me…and it wouldn’t discriminate against those who choose having a pet over having a child..

 
 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 07:09:24

We produced over 400,000 new jobs per month under Reagan with about a third less people. These included many white collar people that made more than in their previous positions. Unemployment truly dropped under Reagan,mbut I agree that in general the high point for blue collar people was 1973.

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Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 07:56:37

Total debt 1980: $3.9T
Total debt 1988: $9.4T
141% increase in debt over Reagan’s 8 years.

Obama is a horrid president because everyone is already tapped out, so he can’t get everyone to more than double their debt in 8 years.

 
Comment by polly
2012-09-12 08:10:06

A major increase in the rate of expansion of debt will do that to an economy.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 09:19:00

He has increased debt by 5.4 trillion in four years not eight even adjusted for inflation a larger amount and has not had any results. Sorry your spin on facts does not work.

 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 10:28:49

“He has increased debt by 5.4 trillion in four years not eight even adjusted for inflation a larger amount and has not had any results. Sorry your spin on facts does not work.”

Not to be disagreeable, but that is not exactly correct.

$5.5T over 8 years is $.7T a year. Adjusting for CPI (225/118) = $1.3T a year.

$38.2T - $34.4T = $3.8T over 3 years (z.1 doesn’t show beyond q1 2012, so I’m using end of Q4 2008 to end of Q4 2011) = $1.3T a year.

So, adjusted for inflation, total debt growth is not larger under Obama that it was under Reagan.

However, that ignores population increase. We really should adjust by both inflation and population… $.7T x (225/118) * 120/80 = So, Reagan’s debt increase of $0.7T, when adjusted for our higher population AND inflation is the equivalent to $2T a year today

Or, even better, is our ability to support that debt based on production… so let’s look at it as % of GDP. 1980, GDP was $2.7T. So, $.7T new debt a year was 26% of GDP. Obama’s $1.3T a year, off a GDP of $15T is 8-9% of GDP.

Because of having to pay interest on the existing debt, the rate of debt growth, as % of existing debt, is a huge factor. Reagan’s increase of $.7T a year, from a starting base of $3.9T is 18% a year increase in outstanding debt. Obama’s $1.3T a year, from a starting base of $34.4T is 4% a year increase.

As for, “has not had any results”, well, we went from losing hundreds of thousands of jobs a month to adding an average of 100K jobs a month.

Sure, not as good as Reagan, but under Reagan debt was increasing, WAY, WAY WAY faster, when adjusted for the larger economy, than under Obama.

See, this is the kind of retort I’ve been hoping for. This is a debate with hard data to back it up!

If you think debt is evil, then you must think the Reagan is the devil incarnate. He put us on the path. The 4 suck presidents since have just kept us on the path.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 11:30:24

Your inflation adjustment goes back to 81 but most of the debt ocurred after 81. Reagan increased the GDP rapidly when the debt was accumulated unlike Obama. The 4% does not count ther first year of the Obama administration but you are counting 81 which is Carter’s budget, I think a president should count the first year but if you are not please at least be consistent. I have no idea where you get the 34 trillion since Obama started with a 11 trillion debt if you count the debt the same way as Reagan.

You are just trying to compare apples to oranges. No, you are just wrong Reagan did not increase the debt way way faster. Obama is the debt king. As far as the economy had we done nothing we would have been better off then we are. Yes, unemployment would have hit a higher level but we would have recovered faster without the policies followed by Obama.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 11:45:49

http://www.multpl.com/u-s-federal-deficit-percent/

This site proves my point. It is an inverted scale but you will see while Reagan was running deficits of maybe 5 or 6% of GDP, Obama is closer to 8 or 9% a year. This way inflation and population are already considered. Obama has the worse deficits except for the WWI presidents.

Thus, Obama is getting much less a result than Reagan and sorry Reagan faced a much more difficult situation high inflation and unemployment at the same time. Obama’s administration was calling an end to the recession by the Summer of 2009, the first recovery Summer.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 11:50:23

Yes, he did and it’s been proven time after time.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-09-12 12:26:59

sorry Reagan faced a much more difficult situation high inflation and unemployment at the same time.

No. Google “worst recession since the great depression” and the Recession started under W. Bush comes up 200 to 1 compared to Reagan’s recession.

Reagan also still had industry, a middle-class, manufacturing and a jobs base that the Republican’s supply-side, garbage philosophy had not yet dismantled. On this then still existing base, Reagan had the economic structure to bounce back whereas Obama does not have this luxury.

This current recession is much worse because it is structural as opposed to cyclical. We’ve not had another one of these in most of our lifetimes.

 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 13:50:48

“Your inflation adjustment goes back to 81 but most of the debt ocurred after 81.”

I respect your opinion, and appreciate you engaging me on this. However, wrong. The 118/225 are right from the BLS CPI figures, and correspond with the end of 1988 and 2011

ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/special.requests/cpi/cpiai.txt

I actually inflated from 1988, even though most of the debt was before that…..

“Reagan increased the GDP rapidly when the debt was accumulated unlike Obama.”

And under Reagan, debt increased at a rate of 26% of GDP per year, where as under Obama it is increasing at a rate of 8-9% of GDP.

You get faster GDP growth if you are increasing debt at a rate that is a higher ratio of GDP.

” The 4% does not count ther first year of the Obama administration but you are counting 81 which is Carter’s budget, I think a president should count the first year but if you are not please at least be consistent”

Again, wrong.

http://www.federalreserve.gov/Releases/Z1/Current/z1.pdf

I used debt at the end of 1980, since Reagan took office in Jan ‘81, then end of 1988, since he left office in Jan 1989.

Look it up at the link I just provided. You can verify the years on top represent the end of Q4 of the year by looking at the years at the bottom that are broken out by Q. Example, the number for 2006 is the same as Q4 2006. 2007 is the same as Q4 2007….

So, since the “year” numbers are end of year, then:
End of 1980, the month before Reagan took office: $3.9T
End of 1988, the month before he left: $9.4T

I used the same figures for Obama, except only for 3 years since we do not have the numbers for Q4 2012 yet.

“I have no idea where you get the 34 trillion since Obama started with a 11 trillion debt if you count the debt the same way as Reagan.”

TOTAL DEBT!!!! Public, private. National, state and local, household and business. Again, check the z.1 I linked above!

“You are just trying to compare apples to oranges”

Wrong. I used the exact same data points for each.

“No, you are just wrong Reagan did not increase the debt way way faster.”

Yes, yes he did. Whether you count total debt inflated for population and inflation, or as % of GDP, or as % of debt outstanding, Reagan is the grand daddy of turning on the debt machine.

“Obama is the debt king.”

Only if you count federal government debt, not private sector. Bringing it back to my comment, that apparently you didn’t understand. Obama is a suck president because he took office after the private sector was tapped out.

“As far as the economy had we done nothing we would have been better off then we are.”

Greater Depression. That is why BUSH did a stimulus, mailing out checks. That is why BUSH signed and handed out TARP money. That is why BUSH handed the first giant chunk of money to GM and Chrysler.

“Yes, unemployment would have hit a higher level but we would have recovered faster without the policies followed by Obama.”

I’d like to see the hard data proving that!!!!

 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 13:57:16

“Reagan was running deficits of maybe 5 or 6% of GDP, Obama is closer to 8 or 9% a year.”

Right… as I said. Obama is a suck president because he took office AFTER the private sector was tapped out.

You are talking federal government debt. I am talking TOTAL public and private sector debt.

Reagan had the majority of debt flowing into the private sector, businesses and households. Obama took office when businesses and households were tapped out, unable to take on more debt…. Obama is a looooser because he can’t get the private sector to load up on additional debt as Reagan did!

Reagan is the best president because he took office when each household’s share of total debt was under 3x median household income, and he got that up to 4x before he left office.

Obama is a looooser because each household’s share of total debt was already 6.5x median income before he took office, and he hasn’t been able to keep that number skyrocketing.

Reagan put us on the path, and the 4 suck presidents since have stayed the course.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 14:34:30

Reagan forced people to add debt? Maybe the private sector just had more confidence. There is two trillion dollars on the sidelines held by the business community just because they have no confidence in Obama. We will go from growing 1.5 to 2% to 2.5% to 3% just by voting Obama out and removing the fear that the private sector has of him.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 15:05:21

Rio, Reagan faced both high inflation and high unemployment which until Carter created him most economists thought was almost impossible. See Phillips curve. That combination is worse than Obama faced. He was lucky to have 1.75 a gallon gasoline etc. No inflation threat at all.

Reagan’s energy policies lead to cheaper energy prices again most people thought was impossible at the time, we were suppose to already to have exhausted cheap oil. Obama’s policies have lead to higher prices and that is why we cannot get a recovery going. Every time we start to recover, higher gasoline prices kill the recovery. Had he pushed NGVs it might not have happen.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-09-13 00:09:29

Reagan sold out America’s regulatory safeguards and looted our financial infrastructure to goose his bottom line and enrich the cronies who put him in office.

President Obama has inherited the end result.

You can bandy numbers all day and night, but the fact remains that Reagan’s creative accountancy ruined our country. (Just ask David Stockman, who tried to warn us and was “taken to the woodshed” for his troubles.)

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 08:16:01

4. For those lucky enough to remain employed, productivity goes up, both because the average worker who survives cuts is a more productive worker to begin with, and the workload of those no longer working gets added to what the survivors are required to do.

5. Despite rising productivity, morale plummets among those still employed, due to some combination of increased workload and hours with decreased pay and job security.

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Comment by San Diego Re Bear
2012-09-12 07:44:54

“SHILLER: Well, that is confirmed by our own numbers. We have Phoenix up 14 percent in the last year, which is big. That - Phoenix is the city. So we’re not talking about America now, we’re talking about Phoenix, all right. Every city is different. Phoenix had a huge bubble. It came a little late, sudden but huge, and then it collapsed hugely.

I guess these herd animals that our caller talked about were very much in force in Phoenix. So Phoenix is so different from Detroit. This was a bubble and a burst, and I think that the people who made this bubble are still lurking, and there’s something in the culture.

It’s not really herd behavior in the sense of lemmings or cattle. It’s human behavior, and it’s something that we need sociologists to understand. People get each other excited about investment opportunities. And, you know, from what I hear that is sort of happening in Phoenix, maybe in a few other places, not nationwide but happening there.”

So yes, Phoenix is rebounding. But again, at least according to Shiller, it seems to be more of a mental rebound than an economic one.

During the height of the bubble many of us used to say the bubble highlights were Florida, Phoenix, San Diego and Vegas. Three of the four have had significant drops. One is already having a rebubble that I personally can’t see being sustained if there is ANY economy blight at all. Can we expect FL and Vegas to start having mini-bubble too?

And when the heck is San Diego going to get back to some decent multitude of income????????

Comment by Truth
2012-09-12 08:00:35

The “rebound” was in sales and they occurred in 2011 with bulk purchase rounds. Their worker bee pimps and presstitutes have been working hard on all media outlets shaping opinion and sentiment to round up more suckers.

Comment by San Diego Re Bear
2012-09-12 08:30:21

Totally agree with you. We haven’t corrected the problems yet so a real recovery can’t be here yet (at least IMHO.)

This is a mental rebound with people look for the recent bubble to reinflate. Until we get past that mentality and housing is simply seen as a necessary staple and not an investment the correction isn’t done.

So was the last bubble so enormous and “enriched” so many people, that people will believe in it’s return for much longer than the 80’s and 90’s bubbles? Can we add a lost decade to the usual recovery time just because people are so willing to jump back on the bandwagon no matter how badly burned they were?

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Comment by Rental Watch
2012-09-12 17:43:38

Another quote from Shiller in the interview:

“SHILLER: But once you have a year of solid price increases, you are probably off to the races for some years. So yeah, but we’re not into it that long yet.”

I wonder if he thinks that this statement applies to Phoenix…

Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-09-12 19:23:37

And we wonder why you’re distorting Shillers statement.

Well Rental Pimp?

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Comment by Rental Watch
2012-09-12 20:55:36

A direct quote is not a distortion.

He basically says that he’s not convinced the national upturn has happened, but he thinks that once the upturn has occurred (and again, he’s not convinced that it has nationally), it will probably lead to a few years of price increases.

Is there any other interpretation of this phrase that people would like to offer?

I’m simply wondering if he thinks that such dynamics come into play in smaller markets than the entire nation.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-09-13 04:15:41

” statement applies to Phoenix…” is not a direct quote. Those are YOUR words you’re attributing to him.

What did he say about Phoenix? “Get out now”.

Did you hear that? Robert Shiller said “Get out now” as it relates to Phoenix.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-09-13 08:53:46

I did not attribute that phrase to Shiller. I asked whether he thinks the same dynamics apply to Phoenix (that once there is established price movement up, they probably will continue for a little while).

And he did not say “get out now”. He said “Maybe get out before too long.”

Stop CHANGING his words.

Here is his quote about getting out:

“SHILLER: He’s right, but you also - maybe not for the long run. Maybe get out before too long.”

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-09-13 09:45:40

Rental Pimp,

Why are you misrepresenting Robert Shiller’s words?

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-09-13 17:05:24

I’ve used direct quotes enough for people to make their own determination of what Prof. Shiller is saying.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 07:52:59

The statement was specifically aimed at investors, and comes after mention of investors buying 100, 200, 300 houses each.

I’m not sure he would apply that comment to someone that does not see a purchase as an investment, and has no plans to sell.

Comment by Darryl Is A Liar
2012-09-12 08:25:04

Oh really? Did “your friend” Bob Shiller tell you that down at the diner this morning?

 
Comment by San Diego Re Bear
2012-09-12 08:41:29

“I’m not sure he would apply that comment to someone that does not see a purchase as an investment, and has no plans to sell.”

I think anyone who recognizes their purchase can, and probably will, lose value over the next few years is in a much different position from these large purchase investors and the single property buyers who are now convinced the bubble is back and their property will start going up in value 20%/year.

There’s a difference between a realistic buyer and an “investor.” Now is NOT the time to invest. And if you can wait to buy you should. Alas, life does happen.

Comment by Truth
2012-09-12 08:55:57

Not really. Not when the magnitude of the loss is acknowledged. And the magnitude is massive at current inflated asking prices of resale housing.

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Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 09:24:42

So, let’s say a hypothetical, 1000 sqft condo selling for $50K, which is below median income and right about 3x a full time minimum wage job.

What is the magnitude of loss on that, assuming you aren’t buying as an investment, but rather as a place to house your kids, then maybe live in yourself some day, when you get tired of the big yard and having to keep the pool clean?

Would half median annual income be a reasonable bottom for such a place? 3 months of median income?

Or, are you anticipating full blown deflationary spiral causing median income to collapse, rather than just not keep up with inflation?

 
Comment by Darryl Is A Liar
2012-09-12 09:36:37

You’re a serial misrepresenter and liar darryl.

 
 
Comment by sfrenter
2012-09-12 11:33:16

There’s a difference between a realistic buyer and an “investor.” Now is NOT the time to invest. And if you can wait to buy you should. Alas, life does happen.

Polly mentioned this yesterday and it bears repeating. If I were in my 20’s or 30’s I would wait longer to buy. If I had a decent rent-controlled apt. I would wait to buy.

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 11:52:31

If you were in your 20s or 30s, you probably couldn’t afford to buy in the first place. :lol:

Most people in that age group can’t and never could.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 13:08:09

FWIW, as a STEM employee, you’ll probably max out your income before you turn 30.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-09-12 13:17:37

Maybe. If you’ve been at one company very long you can probably still get a raise by changing jobs…

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 14:52:56

Maybe. As I’ve related before, I’ve received job offers that pay less that my current salary and even more where they only offered to match my current salary. Once you get high enough they won’t just automatically give you 5-10% more to jump. Keeping a lid on labor costs is job #1 at many companies, and you don’t accomplish that by handing our raises.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-09-12 15:26:35

All I know for sure is I’m making a lot more now than I did at 30.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 08:22:08

The thing I love about Shiller is his brutal honesty about his own uncertainty. This is how scientists think, and real estate people just don’t get it.

ROBERT SHILLER: Hi, Neal.

CONAN: And in the spring you were on the fence as those first reports came in giving three months of generally positive data. Do you think we’re coming off the bottom?

SHILLER: Well, we definitely have positive data. The question is how strong is it, and will this fizzle - this rally fizzle or not? And I don’t know the answer to that. But I point out that this is the fourth time we’ve had a rally since the crisis ended. It’s coming in the summertime, right? Well, that’s the normal time of strength in the market.

So if you look at the data, it doesn’t jump out at you that we’ve reached the turning point. Now, we may have, but I think that seasonality seems to be getting stronger, and that’s another contender.

CONAN: So how long do you think you would want to wait before you saw enough numbers to make a decision?

SHILLER: Well, I used to forecast home prices, and I thought a year - once you have a year - this is what I used to think, and whether it’s still true, but…

(LAUGHTER)

Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 08:55:28

Aren’t we really all in this “I just do not know” boat?

How many more years can government keep running deficits that are 8% of GDP? My guess? At least another 5 years.

If Obama wins I’m sure that is what I’ll get, but if Republicans win? I’d say the $1T+ deficits are… oh…. 90% likely to continue.

If Repubs win and fail to significantly cut deficits, do we go Libertarian as an even stronger move toward the TEA Party? Flip back to Dems? Something else?

How long before we finally begin to ask where the debt comes from and where the money goes?

How long before we as a people, reassess the soundness of Reaganomics? Will it take a Napoleon/Hitler/Stalin/Mao type “savior” to turn the ship? Or will it be more like Lincoln, Teddy, Franklin Delano?

Late yesterday, when pointing out house prices are already off more than 50% in Phx, I said I doubt prices would fall another 50-75% from here… but that statement had a caveat “Unless there is a depression that crashes median household income”. In the even of a full on deflationary depression with truly crashing incomes (not just the “not keeping up with inflation” that we have now)… well, in that case, all bets are off.

I think the ONLY people that are sure are those that have “visualized the future they want”, “have convinced themselves they can make that reality happen if they just believe it strongly enough”, and are now actively working to “make that vision a reality”.

Visualize “25 million excess empty houses and 80 million Boomers dieing off without being replaced by a SINGLE new household”… Believe it strongly enough, work toward that goal, and you can make that your reality.

Hokum.

Every but as much hokum as “deficits don’t matter”.

Comment by Darryl Is A Liar
2012-09-12 09:28:19

You’re a liar Darryl… a bonafide and proven liar.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2012-09-12 11:22:04

Debt pretender. I might need it. I have a 14 year old.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 10:13:10

How many more years can government keep running deficits that are 8% of GDP? My guess? At least another 5 years.

A good question. The world is definitely between the proverbial “rock and a hard place”. If we collapse, we take the whole world down with us. As to what happens after that, who knows? Will communism return? Or will we devolve in feudalistic societies, where the local overlord is a large corporation? Or will it be something else?

What is certain is this: the Masters of the Universe hate the unknown, so they will prop up the putrid, rotten system we have now as long as they can.

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 11:54:58

“Or will we devolve in feudalistic societies, where the local overlord is a large corporation?”

Devolve? We’re already there.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 13:10:45

I meant to the point where we don’t even pretend to have elected representation anymore.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 18:40:31

“I meant to the point where we don’t even pretend to have elected representation anymore.”

The pretend elected representatives provide good political cover for the deep-pocket oligarchs running the show.

 
 
Comment by cactus
2012-09-12 12:54:53

How many more years can government keep running deficits that are 8% of GDP? My guess? At least another 5 years.

If Obama wins I’m sure that is what I’ll get, but if Republicans win? I’d say the $1T+ deficits are… oh…. 90% likely to continue.”

whats the outcome then ?

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Comment by goon squad
2012-09-12 13:22:23

whats the outcome then ?
Umm… hire more government contractors?

 
 
 
Comment by Moman
2012-09-12 10:36:15

Heres the bottom line - the collusion between the actors in the housing industry is stunning. I cannot find a single shred of evidence to support rising prices in Phoenix, especially the important metrics of population growth and income growth. yet if one is to read the news, listen to the paid salesmen, a different picture would be drawn - the “buy now or be priced out forever” one.

Comment by Truth
2012-09-12 11:26:02

It’s more than collusion Moman. It’s a strategized orchestra of PR and downright pimping and whoring. In fact the evidence suggests the opposite of what the Liars are lying about. Falling prices, falling rental rates, falling demand.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-09-12 13:40:05

I cannot find a single shred of evidence to support rising prices in Phoenix, especially the important metrics of population growth and income growth.

Ditto for Tucson. Our local fishwrap is crowing about rising median house prices. Again.

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Comment by Rental Watch
2012-09-12 18:34:20

Do you think this guy’s data is good evidence?

“SHILLER: Well, that is confirmed by our own numbers. We have Phoenix up 14 percent in the last year, which is big.”

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Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-09-12 18:57:48

Hey Rental Pimp… Your only two posts today consist of mischaracterizations.

Why is that Pimp?

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-09-12 21:05:03

And what is this mischaracterization? Shiller says that his data (which, by the way is paired sales data, and well respected), shows that home prices in Phoenix are up 14% year-on-year.

Or do you have a different understanding of the English language?

We once used an attorney who quoted Alice in Wonderland when referring to pathological liars who reinterpret contract language to suit their position. That quote was from Humpty Dumpty: “When I use a word, it means just what I choose it to mean — neither more nor less.”

What do YOU think Shiller’s words mean with respect to prices in the Phoenix market?

If he thinks prices are flat to down in Phoenix, he sure has a funny way of saying it.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-09-13 04:17:48

And you conveniently misrepresented the truth by leaving out ““Get out before too long”” .

Why are you lying to the public about housing Rental Watch?

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-09-13 09:03:55

You forgot the word “Maybe”.

I was simply addressing the comment that someone can’t find evidence that prices ARE going up. I gave no statement about the future other than up above asking above whether Shiller thinks price increases will go up for a few years in Phoenix now that there is an established move upward (the 14% up he notes).

And buy the way, prices going up for a few years does not mean they go up forever, which means that “Maybe get out before too long” also makes sense in that context.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-09-13 09:09:00

“by the way” typing bad…

 
 
 
 
Comment by WT Economist
2012-09-12 12:35:05

The places that are doing better are those that got really cheap.

Cheap = good. NYC, not so good.

Comment by GrizzlyBear
2012-09-12 20:15:19

The places where prices have risen the most are, for the most part, the sand states where prices fell the most. And, it’s largely due to an absolute feeding frenzy of infestors. There’s no way it’s sustainable. We’re back to a speculator’s market.

 
 
 
Comment by frankie
2012-09-12 04:01:09

The United States ambassador to Libya, J. Christopher Stevens, was killed in a rocket attack on the American Consulate in the city of Benghazi on Tuesday, a contractor working at the mission said Wednesday after seeing Stevens’ body.

Three American security staff were also killed, said the contractor, who asked not to be named for security reasons.

http://us.cnn.com/2012/09/12/world/africa/libya-us-ambassador-killed/index.html?hpt=hp_t1

At times I despair of humanity.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 06:37:40

The battle for Freedom of Speech is getting very serious.

I note that people who say Mormonism is a cult generally don’t find themselves going into hiding the next day.

The filmmaker who produced the ‘blasphemous’ internet film which accused Mohammed of being a fraud, paedophile and womaniser has gone into hiding.

Writer and director Sam Bacile, a California real estate developer who identifies himself as an Israeli Jew, declared yesterday, ‘Islam is a cancer.’

The two-hour movie cost $5 million (£3.3million) to make and was financed with the help of more than 100 Jewish donors, said Bacile, who believes the film will help his native land by exposing Islam’s flaws to the world.

But yesterday the film sparked violent attacks against U.S. diplomatic compounds in Libya and Egypt yesterday, killing five American citizens, including U.S. ambassador to Libya, Christopher Stevens.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 07:03:40

I just love people who never think of the consequences to their actions and have never heard the old saying, “Just because you CAN do something, doesn’t mean you should.”

You can bet this guy will be having a long talk with the State Department.

But the best part? He’s a CALIFORNIA REAL ESTATE DEVELOPER. I’m loving the schadenfreude.

Comment by MacBeth
2012-09-12 07:32:51

Why shouldn’t he say what he thinks?

Am I to assume that Michael Moore shouldn’t say what he thinks?

A long talk with the State Department? Why? So they can censure him? So much for individual rights…

Perhaps Obama will take him out with a drone.

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 07:43:41

In this case, because he caused the death of 3 people. In fact, he provoked an international incident.

Everyone has the right throw a lit match onto gasoline, but is that the smart thing to do?

Negligence is not free speech. And certainly not creating or aggravating existing problem with entire nations.

The Constitution does give anyone but the government that right.

 
Comment by MacBeth
2012-09-12 07:59:20

So are you saying that Michael Moore didn’t create or aggravate existing problems? What problems did he solve with his highly inflammatory statements? Did he create more animosity and derision than good feelings?

Why doesn’t the State Department censure him?

As you said, everyone has the right to throw a lit match onto gasoline, but the question remains whether it is a smart thing to do. Was Moore smart to do what he did? Really? Who gets to decide?

You seem to think that censuring the Iraeli filmmaker is understandable. Reasonable, even.

Why is that? Do you feel that all protestors should be censured? The guy was simply protesting against which he believes unjust.

Who gets to decide which type of protest is just and unjust? The government?

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 08:13:02

Appeasing Islamists will not work any better than appeasing Hitler. It was an outrage that the initial decision by this administration was to issue an apology for free speech. This country will fund “art” that is a cross in piss but we cannot offend Islam by telling the truth about it? I guess no one should be able to promote abortion rights since it offends people? The lack of consistent beliefs on the left always amazes me. Despite the fact that Islam oppresses woman, kills minority religions members, stones homosexuals to death etc., it all gets ignored since defending Islam is the pc thing to do. The DNC wanted its prayers done by an Iman.

 
Comment by michael
2012-09-12 08:18:13

martin luther king should have just kept his mouth shut…don’t want to light that gasoline now do we.

 
Comment by San Diego Re Bear
2012-09-12 08:21:41

“In this case, because he caused the death of 3 people. In fact, he provoked an international incident.”

I understand what you are saying, but the people who killed those three people are the ones who bombed the embassy. Free speech means you get to rant against a religion even if people of that religion disagree with you. It means you can expose what you feel are truths, even if others disagree with you. Saying we are not allowed to criticize a religion because others might get violent is about as anti-American as you can get.

{But critical thinking plays a part too. Anyone who watches a film on Islam made by Jews needs to understand there may be a bit of bias, racism, and stupidity involved. Anyone who takes a propaganda piece as the complete truth already believes the propaganda.}

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 08:28:38

“In this case, because he caused the death of 3 people. In fact, he provoked an international incident.”

I’m missing the causality here. How can making a film ’cause’ the death of people around the globe?

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 08:37:51

Rev. Ike: “No one has a right to be a parasite”

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eskhhls0D1w

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-09-12 08:43:13

It was an outrage that the initial decision by this administration was to issue an apology for free speech.

Since you want to make it political, here’s what the Bush administration said after the cartoons of Muhammed were published:

”We find them offensive, and we certainly understand why Muslims would find these images offensive…

… ”Anti-Muslim images are as unacceptable as anti-Semitic images,” which are routinely published in the Arab press, ”as anti-Christian images, or any other religious belief.””

The State Department spokesman, Sean McCormack, reading the government’s statement on the controversy

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 09:11:40

I think that Bush II, Carter and Obama are all wrong, particularly on the Middle East. However, this does not sound like an apology issued after Americans have just been killed and to provide an excuse for the attack.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 09:17:01

Correction: should say just embassy had just been violated. Attacks that killed Americans I believe occurred after the statement.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-09-12 09:27:35

this does not sound like an apology issued after Americans have just been killed and to provide an excuse for the attack.

Really? It sounds pretty much the same to me.

 
Comment by sfrenter
2012-09-12 11:37:27

it all gets ignored since defending Islam is the pc thing to do.

Cultural relativism gone too far.

Just because someone is a leftist doesn’t make them thoughtful or logical.

 
Comment by Ryan
2012-09-12 15:45:46

I’m embarrassed of my country’s response to this event. As the victim of violence, to apologize to your attackers is appalling. We are being buffaloed into submission, just what the islamists want. What a joke!

The irony of all of this is the fact that the movie calls Islam what it is, just like all other organized religion. The only difference with Islam is the extra helping of violence and today Islam’s followers proved it.

Have the wheels come completely off Obama’s foreign policy wagon or what? How much apologizing will you do? How many stable leaders (despots though, yes) will you sacrifice to the Arab Spring? I guess we’ll find out once they have had a chance to analyze polls and speak to the focus groups.

 
Comment by rms
2012-09-12 18:00:50

“I’m embarrassed of my country’s response to this event. As the victim of violence, to apologize to your attackers is appalling. We are being buffaloed into submission, just what the islamists want. What a joke!”

Note that the embassy raid was similar to the Abbottabad raid where OBL was killed, i.e., commando style minus the helicopters.

 
Comment by Ryan
2012-09-13 04:57:12

And masterminding the 9/11 attacks is not similar to being the country where a movie that was critical of Mohammed was produced.

 
 
Comment by polly
2012-09-12 15:38:16

Someone at The Atlantic is trying to find Mr. Bacile. He has one source so far that says the man is not Israeli. The source also says the name is a psuedonym. No confirmation on that yet and the reporter seems sceptical of his single source, but he will be following up as he gets more information.

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Comment by ahansen
2012-09-13 00:29:34

The (terrible, two-year-old) movie was backed and promoted by crackpot “reverend” Terry Jones, who also incited rioting by his staged “burn a Koran” stunt — prompting the “Dude, you have no Queran” guy, Jacob Isom to snatch it away and run off before Jones could set it alight.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U2-KgBhslBQ

 
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 08:29:43

I note that people who say Mormonism is a cult generally don’t find themselves going into hiding the next day.

A cult doesn’t have to be violent to be a cult.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 08:38:26

You missed my point, which was not directed at the question of whether Mormonism is a cult, but rather with the way different societies tolerate criticism of one religion by members of another religious faith. In America, where we have Constitutional protections of religion and free speech, criticisms tend to be reasonably well tolerated.

In other more repressive societies, not so much…

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Comment by Steve J
2012-09-12 09:22:59

I think you must look at how a religion respounds to criticisms by its own followers.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 10:17:33

In America, where we have Constitutional protections of religion and free speech, criticisms tend to be reasonably well tolerated.

Agreed, so why bring up the LDS? A more apt statement would be that you can critique Islam in the USA without running for cover (in the USA). You can critique the LDS anywhere without fear of violent reprisal.

 
Comment by MacBeth
2012-09-12 10:35:10

This is very good, Steve. Excellent, in fact.

 
Comment by Truth
2012-09-12 11:41:33

In the US, the only acceptable criticism of faith is islam and atheism. Any other and you’ll be labeled by the religious fundamentalists and extremists.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 15:18:40

OMG, you will be labeled. Not burned to death, not stoned to death, labeled.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 06:41:31

So let me get this straight: A California real estate developer makes an anti-Islam film, and in response, a rocket attack kills the U.S. ambassador to Libya, and Egyptians try to scale the U.S. embassy walls in Cairo.

What am I missing here?

Comment by Northeastener
2012-09-12 06:50:50

That the California Real Estate Developer cum Movie Producer is an Israeli Jew…

Comment by samk
2012-09-12 07:22:04

The reaction would have been the same if the film had been made by a Jewish person, a Christian, an atheist, or a Muslim.

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Comment by MacBeth
2012-09-12 08:12:34

Prove it.

 
Comment by San Diego Re Bear
2012-09-12 08:25:37

Prove what? That people react badly to their religion being criticized no matter who is being critical? You really think no Muslim has ever been killed for questioning Islam?

This film was inflammatory. Probably made worse being a Jewish-made production, but regardless it would have set off fireworks no matter what.

Does that mean we can’t produce anything that upsets anyone else? A little too PC gone bad for my tastes.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 08:32:03

“Prove it.”

World
Attacker of Danish ‘Mohammed’ cartoonist sentenced to 10 years in prison
Agence France-Presse | May 2, 2012 10:13 AM ET
More from Agence France-Presse

COPENHAGEN — The Somali man who attacked a Danish cartoonist for caricaturing the Prophet Mohammed will serve 10 years in prison before being expelled from Denmark, the Supreme Court confirmed Wednesday.

“There is no reason to change the 10-year prison sentence,” Denmark’s highest court ruled, stressing that Mohamed Geele, who attacked cartoonist Kurt Westergaard at his home on January 1, 2010 with an axe, was guilty of “attempted terrorism”.

The court also confirmed that once he has served his sentence the now 30-year-old Somali citizen would be expelled from Denmark and banned from ever returning.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 08:43:49

Here is a conundrum:

America respects all faiths, even those that require their adherents to kill anybody who dares to ridicule their faith.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 08:50:58

Thats my point CIBT we have no guts to fight a religious jihad…

 
Comment by MacBeth
2012-09-12 09:26:48

Be careful here, folks. Past actions do not constitute “proof” of current-day or future-day actions.

Or, are we living in a Minority Report world where you are convicted in advance of predicted future activity?

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 10:22:26

“Thats my point CIBT we have no guts to fight a religious jihad…”

The problem DJ is that if the government can wage a “jihad” against one religion it can do that with any religion (or group of people), including yours.

Plus waging a “holy war (Jihad) implies that we are not a pluralistic society. So if we are to wage a crusade against Islam, are you willing to join the “state church”?

 
Comment by sfrenter
2012-09-12 11:39:34

Does that mean we can’t produce anything that upsets anyone else? A little too PC gone bad for my tastes.

Viva Pussy Riot!

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-09-12 11:50:31

“Thats my point CIBT we have no guts to fight a religious jihad”

What business is it of the US government to wage a religious jihad? By our Constitution, our government is required to be nuetral on religion.

Guts is irrelevant.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 14:12:59

Happy Colo….we aim at the wrong targets.

Let them take over the embassy kill our people, big deal…we dont want to upset anyone …. They have been begging us to fight a jihad since 1967 0r 1973

The Yom Kippur War Egyptian and Syrian forces crossed ceasefire lines to enter the Israeli-held Sinai Peninsula and Golan Heights respectively, which had been captured and occupied since the 1967 Six-Day War.

 
Comment by polly
2012-09-12 14:25:22

“The Yom Kippur War Egyptian and Syrian forces crossed ceasefire lines to enter the Israeli-held Sinai Peninsula and Golan Heights respectively, which had been captured and occupied since the 1967 Six-Day War.”

How is that an invitation for the US to go to war with “Islam”? Seriously. I used to work with a guy who was a tank commander in Sinai in ‘73. After the war, he left Israel for a while to travel with some of his buddies. They went to Turkey.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 14:38:24

Polly its always been about my gawd is better then your gawd so convert or i’ll kill you…

nothing professional, nothing intelligent, no one is right or wrong its just a bunch of rednecks in a trailer park having a pissssing contest after a couple of six packs….

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 15:00:51

“What business is it of the US government to wage a religious jihad?”

Exactly, DJ is inadvertently asking for the US to become a theocracy. If that happens, how will he feel about joining the state church, at the risk of being labelled an infidel if he doesn’t.

And bombing Mosques won’t solve the problem. Those killed will be instantly replaced by even angrier and even more militant Imams.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 15:09:08

I cant see that happening here …way too many its all about da benjaminz type gansta criminals to fight back..plus hundreds of millions of guns…we’d have to kill 1/2 the population of America just to even think of it.

how will he feel about joining the state church, at the risk of being labelled an infidel if he doesn’t.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 08:17:34

So what? He is a private U.S. citizen with First Amendment rights, not a representative of the U.S. government.

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 08:59:44

Our rights do not extend to other countries and never have.

You have all the right in the world to criticize anyone and anything… while you are in this country. You still do not the right to not expect a response.

But, you do NOT have that right in other countries.

And attacking other religions is seriously stupid not matter what. This was not a critique, but DELIBERATE provocation. Provocation NEVER was and never is protected free speech.

If that’s too fine a point for some of you to understand, then you just proven yourself hypocrites. See how that works?

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 09:30:53

Telling the truth about a religion is a provocation and even if it was not the truth it would not be protected? You have attacked religious right as much as anyone on the board. Your attacks are not protected by the first amendment? Sorry you understand nothing about the constitution if you don’t understand the very purpose of the first amendment was to protect the making of that type of movie, it is very political speech and completely protected.

 
Comment by MacBeth
2012-09-12 09:46:38

So, do you agree that Obama slamming Catholics is okay?

Obama is not Catholic, yet he attacks them. And not all Catholics live in the United States. I guess that means that an offended Roman Catholic in Mexico can go to our embassy in Mexico City and kill Americans. Right?

Apparently, you believe in cherry-picked responses to legal and ethical questions. I don’t. I believe that rights held by one individual should be held by all individuals. Whether I like it or not.

I do not believe that murdering others is a justifiable response to being offended. Nor do I think censuring people is justified.

Whether its a provocation is immaterial.

Michael Moore provoked me (I don’t believe in the religion of The State). According to you, it is therefore okay for me to murder the guy. He did, afterall, create provocative speech and as you say, that is not protected free speech under Constitutional law.

You relativists play a dangerous game, turkey. It can lead to war.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 10:32:00

So, do you agree that Obama slamming Catholics is okay?

Uh … how did he do that? Or are you referring to the mandatory birth control coverage that para-church organizations (like colleges and hospitals) must provide in their health care benefits?

I didn’t watch the conventions, but one thing that I Iater heard about and looked into was the whole “Nuns on a bus” thing.

To my immense surprise the DNC allowed a Catholic Sister (she doesn’t live in a cloister, so she technically isn’t a “nun”) to speak about the Ryan budget and even mention the church’s pro life stance. That doesn’t seem like attacking Catholics to me.

 
Comment by sfrenter
2012-09-12 11:42:58

Here is a conundrum:

America respects all faiths, even those that require their adherents to kill anybody who dares to ridicule their faith.

It’s a tough one, but black and white only exists on paper. And in the minds of simpletons.

I support the KKK’s right to march (even though I abhor them) as well as people’s to get out there and protest against them.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-09-12 11:56:28

“I support the KKK’s right to march (even though I abhor them) as well as people’s to get out there and protest against them.”

Agreed. When either side gets violent, that is a completely different thing.

“America respects all faiths, even those that require their adherents to kill anybody who dares to ridicule their faith.”

Respecting the faith is one thing. Killing is a whole different thing. Nobody has the right to kill someone who offends them.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 12:01:47

You, nor anyone, has the right to decide how other people choose to live their lives in other countries, only the right to protect yourself from any of their DIRECT actions that may cause you harm.

Preemptive strikes and provocations were NEVER sanctioned by the Constitution, the Declaration of Independence or the Founding Fathers.

It doesn’t get any less “relativist” than that.

 
Comment by Spook
2012-09-12 12:50:10

Comment by sfrenter
2012-09-12 11:42:58
I support the KKK’s right to march (even though I abhor them)

———————————————-

Why do you support a terrorist group?

Are you a terrorist?

 
Comment by sfrenter
2012-09-12 13:17:53

Why do you support a terrorist group?

Are you a terrorist?

I do not support any group’s right to hurt another. But I do support their right to free speech.

I will march every year in the Gay Parade, and sneer and be irritated when I pass the fundamentalists condemning me as I march by, but I would never vote to pass a law that does not allow them to stand there with their obnoxious signs.

Yes, this is a difficult concept for some to understand.

But if a law passes that bans the holding of obnoxious anti-gay signs at the Gay Pride Parade, there will soon be another vote for a law that makes it illegal for me to march in that very same parade with my sign proclaiming how happy I am to be gay.

 
Comment by polly
2012-09-12 13:25:39

Supporting the right of a group to engage in an activity that is protected in the Constitution (speech and assembly) is not the same as supporting that group’s illegal activities.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-09-12 13:27:39

I will march every year in the Gay Parade, and sneer and be irritated when I pass the fundamentalists condemning me as I march by,

Rio de Janeiro:
The biggest Gay Parade in the world is about 4 blocks from my house. They say 2 million people watch it or are in it. I watched it once and it was a hoot.

I walked through the crowd for about a half a mile and I did not see any protest signs condemning anyone. (I did see a bunch of wild stuff and about 100 guys with coolers selling $1.50 cans of cold beer.)

 
 
 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 10:40:48

What you are missing is that there are people on both sides that want another mega war between Christianity and Islam, and both sides are convinced that they will win, since God/Allah is on their side.

The Islamic radicals likely planned the attack first, then scoured the internet for something/anything that they could use to help get other Muslims to join their radical agenda.

Then you got idiot Romney playing the radicals game, firing up both sides by defending the insult of Mohammad, which was always just a secondary justification for launching an attack on the anniversary of 9/11.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 12:03:12

This is the most likely strategy.

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Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 14:16:20

So aim at the mosques the mullahs and leave the military and ordinary people of of it…

 
Comment by polly
2012-09-12 14:29:12

Dj, I haven’s said it for a while and it seems overdue.

You are an idiot.

The ordinary people go to the mosques. You can’t attack a nation’s churches and say that you are only attacking their religion, not the people.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 14:50:13

I never found a god who was worthy enough for me to hang out with.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 15:04:52

The ordinary people go to the mosques. You can’t attack a nation’s churches and say that you are only attacking their religion, not the people

Exactly. Talk about pouring gasoline on a fire!

DJ, just stick to complaining about chickie poo HR girls and how they only hire morons.

 
 
 
 
Comment by ibbots
2012-09-12 06:48:56

Where is Mohmar Ghadafi when you need him? And people wonder why we aren’t doing more in Syria.

Seriously, I saw an article yesterday that said Muslims in America live in fear. even if that is true, how is that any different than an Anglo living in a Muslim country?

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 07:04:53

We are reaping what Obama sowed in both Libya and Egypt. Just as we are still paying for Carter’s actions and non-actions in Iran thirty years later we will pay for Obama’s action for decades. I said what a mistake we were making by supporting both revolutions numerous times over the last year because they were primarily supported by Islamists. We spent billions for nothing.

it is simple, democracy does not work in the Islamic world because Islam is a vile religion started by a pedophile that believes that spreading religion through violence is not only allowed it is obligated. We are better off and the people of the country are better off with a dictator who supports our interests.

Comment by goon squad
2012-09-12 07:17:21

That’s Racist®. Please proceed directly to Diversity Training. Collect your COEXIST sticker at the registration table and make non tax deductible donation to Race Hustlers, Inc®.

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Comment by MacBeth
2012-09-12 08:32:24

Is there a registered Protestors, Inc., entity as well?

Please, oh please, say yes. With sugar on top.

I so badly want to contribute to an organization that gets to decide which protests are legimate and which not. If those decisions are made according to my political and religious beliefs, all the better.

AND - if that organization gets to censure protests I find disagreeable, I’ll quadruple my contribution.

 
Comment by Bluestar
2012-09-12 10:57:45

The internet is a Pandora’s box. It held great promise but we can see it maybe too dangerous if operated strictly based on free market rules.
People who have studied this since the 90s’ knew this was going to happen.
Time for Internet Version 2.1

Every country gets walled off. Their own IP space, DNS, no connections to the outside. This will eventually require biometric log on so everything is traceable & can be quarantined if needed.

Information is like a life force, a DNA if you will, so it will not be contained indefinitely but this does not mean nations won’t act to protect their own interest.

*Electronic commerce will continue through a international alliance of Central Banks.

 
 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-09-12 07:20:13

‘the people of the country are better off with a dictator who supports our interests’

‘The people’ might disagree. And what are ‘our’ interests and who decides?

’spreading religion through violence’

I’m pretty sure that religion has been spread to places like Syria for a long time. Is it spreading religion through violence to back Al Qaeda (Sunni) against the Christians and Shiites in Syria? Maybe we should attend to problems in our country and let other people determine their fate?

http://www.canberratimes.com.au/opinion/alqaeda-now-a-us-ally-in-syria-20120910-25oby.html

Unlike some, I don’t see the world as a game, where the US can legitimately manipulate, bribe, torture and kill toward desired outcomes. One, it doesn’t work. Two, no one gave ‘us’ the right to do these things. Three, some of these people might actually hit back at us.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 07:38:02

I have not argued for U.S. intervention in Syria. The only place that I would have supported intervention was when in Iran when the people wanted to get rid of the Islamic govt which is our enemy and they would have had a secular government. Interestingly, the only revolution not supported by Obama.

No Ben, the world is not a game. It is deadly serious and sometimes you need to support allies that do not hold our values. During WWII we supported Stalin a brutal dictator that had killed tens of millions of his own people. Recent reports demonstrates that we covered up that when he invaded Poland in an alliance with Germany, he executed many prisoners. Was it right? Think so.

Does a policy of self interest work? Yes, Reagan, Bush II and Clinton all followed a policy of supporting our allies in the Middle East even when they did things not in accordance with American values, particularly fighting democracy.

Carter, Bush II and Obama all tried to support democracy in the Middle East. Not hard to pick the successful presidencies from the failures.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 07:46:54

Exactly. The British Empire thought they were untouchable at one time as well.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-09-12 08:37:14

‘Does a policy of self interest work?’

For some, until the money runs out. I’m sure Halliburton thinks it’s fine. And Chevron, etc. But let’s even put aside the moral/legal questions. The Spanish, British, Greeks and Romans pursued these tactics, but in a way that brought them a certain amount of wealth from their colonies. They still lost the empires under the weight of it all.

The way the US does it, oil companies and military suppliers make money, but the government gets deeper into debt. How does borrowing huge amounts of money from China to pay for all this support our self interest?

As I said the other day, it’s becoming a moot point. We’ve gone down the road you prefer for decades and probably won’t ever pay off what we owe. Someday it’ll fall apart.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 08:41:54

“Obama…Carter…democracy does not work in the Islamic world…”

Stop it already with the partisan revisionist history.

Bush: Iraq Part of ‘Global Democratic Revolution’

Liberation of Middle East Portrayed as Continuation of Reagan’s Policies
By Fred Barbash
Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, November 6, 2003; 3:11 PM

President Bush today portrayed the war in Iraq as the latest front in the “global democratic revolution” led by the United States. The revolution under former president Ronald Reagan freed the people of Soviet-dominated Europe, he declared, and is destined now to liberate the Middle East as well.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 09:24:19

Your story proves what? Reagan pushed for freedom in an area where they were prepared for it, Europe. He did not push for it in the Middle east. Bush II can say he is just promoting the Reagan policy but he was not.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 12:09:54

I seem to recall some failed Reagan incursions into Lebanon. Remember the bomb attack on the US barracks?

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 15:16:35

Yes, Iran backed attack thanks to Carter. However, he was not naive enough to try democracy in the Moslem countries. Lebanon with its large christian population had a chance and actually did have democratic institutions but when he saw he could not do it, he cut his losses. Eisenhower did a similar operation and it worked because the Christian population as a percentage of overall population was larger.

Your example does not disprove my basic argument it confirms it. Islam and democracy does not work. The religion itself is the blame.

 
Comment by Truth
2012-09-12 15:49:13

If this weren’t the HBB, I’d tear your BS lies to shreds.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-09-12 20:02:11

Yes, Iran backed attack thanks to Carter.

LOL. So even the Marine barracks attack under Reagan was Carter’s fault?

It must be comforting to be able to convince yourself of anything.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 20:58:48

“Your example does not disprove my basic argument it confirms it. Islam and democracy does not work.”

My point was that the attempt to establish democracy in Islamic countries has been bipartisan and long-term.

From the WaPo article posted above:

The nations of the Middle East, he said, are no less entitled to freedom from “despotism” than all the nations liberated in the past. He congratulated the Islamic nations he believes are making at least some progress towards democracy, mentioning Bahrain, Oman, Morocco, Jordan, Qatar, Kuwait and Yemen. And he praised the governments of Egypt, which said “should show the way toward democracy in the Middle East,” and Saudi Arabia, which he said is “taking first steps toward reform, including a plan for gradual introduction of elections.”

Bush also said “the demand for democracy is strong and broad” in Iran, adding, “The regime in Tehran must heed the democratic demands of the Iranian people or lose its last claim to legitimacy.”

 
 
Comment by howiewowie
2012-09-12 16:10:10

Kinda like how we already paid the price for the exploits in Afghanistan under Reagan with that whole 9/11 thing? And I’m sure we will never hear anything bad come from Iraq again, right?

I’m so sick of this partisan stuff. One side acts like their side is perfect and the other is the devil incarnate. How can people keep spouting this stuff and not wanna go jump off a bridge in shame.

I just don’t get it.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 08:53:14

“Where is Mohmar Ghadafi when you need him?”

My thought exactly: Better the devil you know.

Comment by Steve J
2012-09-12 09:26:01

Have you forgotten those 300 people on that Pan Am jet?

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Comment by ahansen
2012-09-12 10:39:50

Have you forgotten Iran Air flight 655 and the USS Viscennes? How about all of the sinkings, shootings down of, and civilian bombings that killed Ghadaffi’s baby daughter? (Thanks, Ronnie.)

Tribalists take that whole Code of Hammurabi thing pretty seriously….

 
Comment by polly
2012-09-12 11:50:15

Shummah awilum awilam ubbirma, nertam elishu iddima, la uktinshu, mubirshu, iddak.

(If a man accuses another man and brings against him a charge of muder, but does not convict him, his accuser will be executed.)

 
Comment by Steve J
2012-09-12 12:29:27

Tribalists are not interested in justice.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-09-12 13:00:54

Au contraire, Stevo. It’s a primal motivation — right after revenge.

 
 
 
Comment by sfrenter
2012-09-12 11:45:56

And attacking other religions is seriously stupid not matter what. This was not a critique, but DELIBERATE provocation. Provocation NEVER was and never is protected free speech.

Watch the movie Religulous. Provocation or just a documentary? Depends on who is watching.

Read God is Not Great by Christopher Hitchens. Same.

or read Infidel by Ayaan Hirsi Ali. Ditto (native born Somali Muslim, who had to go into hiding)

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 12:11:34

There is certainly a fine line to walk in critique and questioning of deeply held assumptions, but calling someone’s mama a ho is clearly not civilized and obviously intended to provoke.

Of course, fundy Islam is going to take offense at anything, but in this case, I can’t defend the producer of this low budget POS movie except for his basic right to free speech.

Just saying it was obviously deliberate and now there have been serious, DEADLY consequences.

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 12:41:49

Quote from Anonymous on another board:

“I think everyone agrees that killing an innocent man that had nothing to do with the actions of some deranged person making an insensitive film is completely idiotic and wrong. But what have we come as a nation where insulting others religions/cultures became ok?

Its simple. Try the people in libya that carried out the murder with murder. Try to teach the next generation that disagreeing with someone’s belief is ok but attacking other peoples customs/religions (or lack thereof) and generalizing is not. This kinda of behavior only makes for civil unrest. Its time to grow up.”

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-09-12 13:04:05

“Realtors and Romney’s are liars”

Mr. Romney’s rhetoric on embassy attacks discredits his campaign

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-death-of-an-ambassador/2012/09/12/ed3b719e-fcfa-11e1-b153-218509a954e1_story.html

(The ambassador’s) death, along with those of three other Americans, during an attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi on Tuesday is a tragedy that should prompt bipartisan support for renewed U.S. aid to Libyans who are struggling to stabilize the country. That it instead provoked a series of crude political attacks on President Obama by GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney is a discredit to his campaign.

At a news conference, Mr. Romney claimed that the administration had delivered “an apology for America’s values.” In fact, it had done no such thing:

…..As for Mr. Romney, he would do well to consider the example of Republican former secretary of state Condoleezza Rice, who issued a statement Wednesday lamenting “the tragic loss of life at our consulate,” praising Mr. Stevens as “a wonderful officer and a terrific diplomat” and offering “thoughts and prayers” to “all the loved ones of the fallen.” That was the appropriate response.

Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-09-12 16:02:55

It’s too bad Rice did not run. She would make a much more interesting candidate than Romney.

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Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-09-12 16:27:08

Islam is about 600 years younger than Christianity. Think about where Christianity was 600 to 800 years ago. Hint: Spanish Inquisition, the Crusades, etc. Hopefully Islam will grow out of its violent adolescence as well.

Better yet, let’s hope all religions that worship invisible “deities” disappear.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by frankie
2012-09-12 04:03:39

Germany’s Constitutional Court today approved the euro zone’s new bailout fund while insisting on guarantees to safeguard German parliamentary sovereignty and limit Berlin’s financial exposure.

The Federal Constitutional Court in Karlsruhe today dismissed motions filed by groups that sought to block the European Stability Mechanism, and a deficit-control treaty championed by Chancellor Angela Merkel. The 37,000-odd plaintiffs included eurosceptics from Dr Merkel’s centre-right coalition and Left Party hardliners opposed to European integration.

http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/breaking/2012/0912/breaking5.html

We are saved again; well until the next time.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 07:07:14

Like I’ve said: don;t bet against the Eurozone. Their total economic footprint is larger than the US.

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2012-09-12 07:45:53

Their total economic footprint is larger than the US.

Sure—and they will continue to be a large economy. But that doesn’t mean that they should, or will continue to measure it or transact it using a common currency.

Comment by Carl Morris
2012-09-12 08:59:00

But that doesn’t mean that they should, or will continue to measure it or transact it using a common currency.

Speaking of which, a recent conversation here about the problems with a European common currency made me think of China and us. Hasn’t China, by pegging their currency to ours, effectively created a common currency between the two of us? Leading, of course, to the same problems between us as there are between Germany and southern Europe?

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Comment by frankie
2012-09-12 04:57:16

The good news

The number of people out of work fell by 7,000 to 2.59 million in the three months to July, compared with the previous three month period.

the bad news

The number of people in part-time work rose by 134,000 to 8.12 million, the highest level since 1992, when these numbers began to be collected.

This figure includes 1.42 million people - a record number - who would like to work full-time but are unable to find such employment.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-19569316

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 07:10:18

You left out the best part! Find the number of people who work contract or for employment agencies and the rate of increase over the last 30 years!

Part-time, full time! Or full-time, part-time! However you want to look at it, it spells “never owning a house.”

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-09-12 13:58:52

Part-time, full time! Or full-time, part-time! However you want to look at it, it spells “never owning a house.”

But they’re freelancers! And freelancing is SO hip and cool!

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 08:32:05

The number of people in part-time work rose by 134,000 to 8.12 million

You Brits are now honorary Americans!

Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 14:42:17

My son has 4 jobs now. How uniquely American.

 
 
 
Comment by palmetto
2012-09-12 05:04:23
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 07:11:19

One word: Diebold.

Google it in relation to elections.

Comment by goon squad
2012-09-12 09:00:35

Diebold has an office in our nabe along with all the Big Boyz (Lockheed, Raytheon, etc), and guess what? They’re hiring!

http://www.diebold.com/careers/experience.htm

 
 
Comment by measton
2012-09-12 07:22:12

Nonsense money = free speech and corporations = people

The supreme court said so.

 
Comment by rms
2012-09-12 18:13:40

“You know how much I raised to run against Gerald Ford? Zero,” Carter said, referring to his 1976 general election opponent. “You know how much I raised to run against Ronald Reagan? Zero. You know how much will be raised this year by all presidential, Senate and House campaigns? $6 billion. That’s 6,000 millions.” –Jimmy Carter

Comment by Anon In DC
2012-09-12 20:05:54

So what? As columnist George Will note more money is spent advertising breakfast cereal. Overall the campaign money is not big money.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-09-12 20:42:42

More than $6 billion is spent advertising cereal?

Link?

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Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-13 02:36:53
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-09-12 21:44:52

“Overall the campaign money is not big money.” Anton Scalia addressing The Koch Brother’s “UP YOURS AMERICA” Aspen Colorado 2012 retreat.

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Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-09-12 05:34:01

SNARP Dog

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 07:18:08

In the hizzy!

 
 
Comment by Awaiting
2012-09-12 05:37:38

Escrow Update & Chase CC- Has anyone here?…

Things are proceeding. The seller gave some on the price. She took it to the Morman Church and slept on it. We talked some during an inspection day (multiple specialized contractors) and I really like her and her family. Today we start transfering $ to escrow. We are happy.

Has anyone ever had a cc payment issue w/ Chase, where they say your checking account was closed and you wrote a bum check? Ours isn’t closed, and is attached to the house money. Has anyone here experienced such nonsense? We caught it by reviewing the balance of our checking acct and wondering why it was so high. (Phone pymt in full.) Any feedback?

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 07:22:03

Yes. Chase record keeping is amateur at best, bordering on criminal.

How many times have we said here to stay away from banks for your personal finances?

What until they tell you to open a new account and then for some odd reason, the old one is now active again and they really start messing up you accounting. Yeah, that’s what happened. And knowing what I know about back office processes in general, I know that wasn’t a unique occurrence.

Comment by Awaiting
2012-09-12 07:41:26

turkey
Thanks for the one up and feedback. We use our cc’s, but pay in full each month. We’re moving our cc’s to our credit union after we settle in the house. We’ll write checks and keep our accounts at $0.
Calling India to resolve the issue irked me. Nice gal, but I prefer an American. (I know, “racist”. LOL)

Comment by goon squad
2012-09-12 08:28:09

No COEXIST sticker for you LOL!

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Comment by polly
2012-09-12 08:20:13

I find that USAA does a pretty darn good job with day to day transactions. Yes, not everyone can open an account, but they are a bank, not a credit union. They have even upgraded the deposit at home process, so that you can still deposit a check even if you put it in your scanner so the image appears upside down or sideways. Old process required you to fiddle with your computer and rotate the image until it had the right orientation.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-09-12 14:00:47

Who can open a USAA account?

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Comment by polly
2012-09-12 14:48:49

Military, former military, children or spouses or widow/widowers of the same. I think that your eligible parent or spouse had to actually join for you to be able to join.

Check here:

https://www.usaa.com/inet/pages/why_choose_usaa_main?wa_ref=pub_global_usaaandu

There is a section for “other individuals” which says this:
USAA’s investment products, most checking and savings products, credit cards, life insurance, and shopping and discounts are available to other individuals.

So, I’d check it out even if you don’t fall under the other categories. Maybe you can just use the bank. The bill pay system is excellent. And they reimburse for up to $15 of other banks’ ATM charges per month.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-09-12 15:13:24

Military, former military, children or spouses or widow/widowers of the same. I think that your eligible parent or spouse had to actually join for you to be able to join.

My father was in the Naval Reserve and Merchant Marine. I wonder if that counts.

 
Comment by polly
2012-09-12 15:51:06

Navy should count. I don’t think Merchant Marine does. If you can get him to join, then you can to and can get their insurance too. Call them. Tomorrow. Actually, I think they are open in the early evening. Call now. They might be able to give you a quote on your home owners insurance. As far as I can tell, the people on the other end of the line are in the US.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-09-12 17:46:44

Does National Guard count?

 
Comment by polly
2012-09-12 18:26:56

I think so. Just call them. Best trained customer service people I have ever encountered.

Story: I checked my accounts on-line once and saw a check that didn’t belong. Looked at the image of the check (you can see it right there) and could easily see that the gentleman who deposited it put my account number on it. I called USAA. Explained the problem. Within moments there were two people on the line fixing the problem. They requested that I stay on the line as that was the only way they were able to fix the problem without written permission. When they were done, they explained that the member number of the person who deposited the check was same as my account number and he had written that number on his check for deposit. Whole thing was fixed properly in about 20 minutes. A little inconvenient for me to stay on the phone, but to make sure an 80 something WWII vet (almost certainly given how low his member number was) didn’t get stuck bouncing a check, more than worth it.

That is what dealing with USAA is like. No getting transferred all over heck and creation. No being required to fax them 12 forms. No paperwork getting lost. No trying to explain to someone who can’t speak English that I didn’t want to keep another person’s money. Just fixed.

Oh, and if you want to use bill pay to send a check to a person who doesn’t accept electronic payments from USAA? You can use the same on-line bill pay system you do for the ones that do accept it electronically. They will mail out a paper check for you.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-09-12 09:03:27

Things are proceeding. The seller gave some on the price. She took it to the Morman Church and slept on it.

Whaaa? What does this have to do with churches?

Comment by Steve J
2012-09-12 09:27:20

And why is she sleeping at the church?

 
Comment by San Diego Re Bear
2012-09-12 09:29:43

How silly. The Mormons don’t know to bury a statue of St. Joseph upside down in order to sell the house.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 13:41:53

Curiously, this “tradition” appears to be unique to the US. I never saw anyone do this in Mexico and it’s unknown to my European relatives as well.

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Comment by MacBeth
2012-09-12 05:38:47

Arab Spring! Arab Spring! Arab Spring!

Comment by michael
2012-09-12 06:21:10

“An appeaser is one who feeds a crocodile - hoping it will eat him last” – Winston Churchill

Comment by MacBeth
2012-09-12 06:43:09

Sadly, I believe we’ll have to re-learn the ramifications of Churchill’s famous quote in the near future.

Individual rights rapidly are taking a back seat to grandiose, yet highly divisive visions, such as “Arab Spring” and class warfare.

Those born from 1935 on have yet to be seriously tested - with everything at stake (life, liberty, property). That time is approaching.

Comment by rms
2012-09-12 07:20:40

“Those born from 1935 on have yet to be seriously tested - with everything at stake (life, liberty, property). That time is approaching.”

+1 Will it be a blood-soaked revolution?

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Comment by MacBeth
2012-09-12 09:01:42

Let’s hope not.

Yet if you believe in a cyclical nature of macro-level sociology (as I do), you realize we’re ripe for a major, violent global conflagration within the next 10 years.

Scientists believe in cyclical natural events, such as earthquake and hurricane frequency. I believe in the cyclical trend of natural occurrences, too.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 10:37:39

Yet if you believe in a cyclical nature of macro-level sociology (as I do), you realize we’re ripe for a major, violent global conflagration within the next 10 years.

And this time many of the “players” will have nukes.

Maybe this is why we haven’t encountered any extraterrestrials. Perhaps the natural order of things is that as the beasties become too clever, regardless of planet, they end up nuking themselves into oblivion before traveling to the stars.

 
Comment by polly
2012-09-12 13:46:37

Didn’t Carl Sagan work on a calculation to try to predict the likelihood of there being another technologically advanced civilization to find in the universe (maybe he was concentrating on our gallaxy)? Or perhaps a group of cosmologists? Anyway, I recall the biggest controversy with the results was when they factored in whether the civilization would survive the development of nukes. People had a pretty good handle on how to establish ranges (admittedly wide ranges) of how likely it was that a planet could get water, would be located in the “life zone” around a star, whether amino acids would form, whether self-replication could get going, etc. But they had no idea how to figure out if a civilization would blow itself to bits on going nuclear.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 14:47:38

But they had no idea how to figure out if a civilization would blow itself to bits on going nuclear.

Well, I can’t speak for potential extra terrestrials, but here on Earth I really doubt that nukes will ever be eradicated, so I suppose that it’s only a matter of time until they are used again in a war, except that next time more that one side will have them. And the ones around today are far more powerful than the bombs dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. In other words, we lucked out the first time they were used (well, except for the people in Japan, of course). Round 2 will be far deadlier.

Maybe I should visit New York or Washington while they’re still there.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 15:04:26

Polly….why do you think we are the only people in the universe?

The gawds of the bible are nothing more then glorified Capt Kirks…populating similar planets

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chariot_of_the_Gods

 
Comment by polly
2012-09-12 15:56:11

As I said, Dj. You are an idiot.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 16:41:37

awww shucks dang but people think i’m a cute idiot.

 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 07:25:05

Yes it is. Going to be some very damaged people when it’s all over. Especially the ones who think Social Darwinism is the end all, be all of a society ans somehow they’ll end up on top of the food chain. They’ll be the first to go catatonic. If they survive.

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Comment by goon squad
2012-09-12 07:29:03

Their future will look a lot less like Galt Gulch and more like “Master Blaster run Bartertown!” than they expect LOL…

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 07:53:18

“Hell Comes to Frogtown” :lol:

And my other bad movie favorite “Cherry 2000″

And lets not forget the entire “Escape From…” series.

 
Comment by polly
2012-09-12 11:54:46

Francis Fukuyama introduced and answered questions after a free showing of Mad Max 2: The Road Warrior last night in DC.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 12:47:24

Very cool.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 15:24:56

Turkey we finally agree on something I have Cherry 2000 on my DVR when I want to watch bad sci fi. Las vegas never looked better.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2012-09-12 10:41:44

Individual rights are taking a back seat to class warfare?

By that reasoning, life is going to be nasty, brutish, and short. Unless you chose to have the correct daddy.

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Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-09-12 15:33:20

Whose your Daddy?

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-09-12 12:17:52

Individual rights rapidly are taking a back seat to …..class warfare.

On the contrary, you are warping the reality and are thinking small ball.

America’s current and feeble “class warfare” is attempting to DEFEND the individual rights of the vast majority of Americans.

The trickle-down, supply-side, rich-get-richer, winner-take-all, crony, American bastardized form of capitalism has stomped on the individual rights of the vast majority of Americans.

Most our forefathers would be on the side of the people on this one.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 06:16:29

Here is yet another piece of evidence that homes priced to market value will sell quickly — even if every potential buyer is well aware of a recent death inside the home.

By contrast, what I see in the $1M+ price range around San Diego are homes that sit on the market forever because the (living) sellers are unwilling to reduce their list prices.

EXCLUSIVE: Junior Seau’s house sells for nearly $2M

Oceanside police stand in front of Junior Seau’s beachfront home on The Strand after the football star was found dead there in May.

JAMIE SCOTT LYTLE | jlytle@nctimes.com

September 07, 2012 5:00 am • By RAY HUARD rhuard@nctimes.com

The beachfront Oceanside home of late football star Junior Seau has been sold for just under $2 million.

The two-story house at 604 S. The Strand was put on the market in July with an asking price of $2,295,000, according to real estate listings.

It sold Aug. 31 for $1,975,000, according to Paula Skinner of ERA Ranch & Sea Realty, which listed the property.

Seau paid $3.2 million for the 2,238-square foot house in 2005.

Skinner said the difference between what Seau paid for the house and what it sold for is typical for homes in that price range.

“Remember that the home was purchased at the height of the market and sold during a poor economy where not many homes listed over $1 million on the Oceanside waterfront are selling right now,” Skinner wrote in an email Thursday.

She said the house was on the market for 39 days.

“That is a quick sale for a property in that price range,” Skinner wrote.

Comment by azdude
2012-09-12 06:23:44

I wonder if he paid cash or if this was a short sale?

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 06:31:33

What happens to a mortgage debt obligation in the event the owner dies? I honestly don’t know. At any rate, if Seau bought the home with a mortgage, which would be a rational strategy in order to capture the mortgage interest deduction, it seems likely the sales proceeds would not have covered the principle balance on a 2005 mortgage, given a loss in market value since the previous sale of (1975/3200-1)*100% = -38.2%.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 08:35:50

Didn’t Seau make more than that per year at the height of his long career with the Chargers?

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 08:47:43

I’m sure he did. But among other problems those fortunate enough to enjoy an NFL career face, they are unlikely to earn in retirement at anywhere near the rate they earned during their active careers. And I am guessing the spending habits they develop during their years on the field go away more slowly than their active career incomes.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 10:39:07

I suppose it is possible that he did pissed it all away.

 
 
Comment by redrum
2012-09-12 08:43:57

Probably varies a bit state-to-state-

But, in most cases, I think the “estate” of the deceased is not treated too differently than a regular “owner” (debtor).

Proceeds from a sale, first go to pay off the mortgage, what’s left over, the estate gets to keep.

The estate may need to bring cash to closing if the house is upside down… or, they may convince the lender to allow a short sale - I do wonder if lenders are usually more or less inclined to work with an estate than an (alive) individual.

Hmmm… I also wonder if an estate has to worry (differently) about taxes on “income” from forgiven debt in a short sale.

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Comment by San Diego Re Bear
2012-09-12 09:34:57

“The estate may need to bring cash to closing if the house is upside down… or, they may convince the lender to allow a short sale - I do wonder if lenders are usually more or less inclined to work with an estate than an (alive) individual.”

But only if the estate has any cash. If the person dies broke there’s no blood out of that turnip. Personally, if the estate is broke and the house is underwater I’d walk away as executrix.

In this case however, I doubt the estate was broke (retirement accounts if nothing else) and I’d also guess there’s a good chance he paid cash for the house.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2012-09-12 17:11:23

“At any rate, if Seau bought the home with a mortgage, which would be a rational strategy in order to capture the mortgage interest deduction”

Why use the MID to save 20% on interest payments when you can buy cash and save 100% on interest payments?

And really, I never understood these multimillionairs anyway. Like Romney made $23 million. Why can’t he just pay his $6M or whatever in full taxes and not bother with all the IRS gymnastics? Seems like a giant hassle to me. I guess he couldn’t get by on just $17 million.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 18:47:02

“Why use the MID to save 20% on interest payments when you can buy cash and save 100% on interest payments?”

Classic error of financial analysis: Ignoring the value of liquidity.

 
Comment by polly
2012-09-12 19:17:33

Your financial advisers can’t make commissions on managing the money if you use it to buy a house for cash instead of letting them invest it for you for fees and kick backs.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-09-13 00:58:15

Oxy, it’s not about the money. It’s about the game.

 
Comment by Lemming with an innertube
2012-09-13 04:06:39

Your financial advisers can’t make commissions on managing the money if you use it to buy a house for cash instead of letting them invest it for you for fees and kick backs.

Polly, you’re so smart! Really. It just comes down to the fact that one must always make the final decision. Everyone has an agenda (mostly, to get paid). And your statement is so profound. Thank you for the wisdom (and insight) you post, daily!

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 06:18:54

I’ve read many stories this year about stock fund withdrawals and increasing flows into bond funds. What I don’t understand is how the (U.S.) stock market has done so well, given the reported steady outflows.

Thoughts?

AP News
Investors again withdraw from stock mutual funds
Posted on August 22, 2012

WASHINGTON (AP) — Investors withdrew money from mutual funds for the fourth consecutive week during the period ended Aug. 15, while continuing to deposit cash into bond funds.

Stocks:

Investors withdrew a net $2.7 billion from U.S. stock funds for the weeklong period, the Investment Company Institute said on Wednesday. Cash was pulled out in the latest period as the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index rose slightly, gaining 0.2 percent.

Withdrawals from U.S. stock funds have exceeded deposits each week since the period ended July 18, and for 24 of the past 26 weeks dating to mid-February.

Funds investing primarily in foreign stocks have attracted cash most of this year. But a net $556 million was withdrawn in the weeklong period ended Aug. 15, the fourth consecutive week that cash has been pulled from foreign stock funds.

Bonds:

Investors deposited a net $7.6 billion into bond funds. That was the biggest weekly flow into bond funds since the period ended April 4, when the total intake was nearly $9.7 billion. Investors have added cash to bond funds in all but one week so far this year.

The latest week’s total includes $6 billion of net deposits into taxable bond funds, which primarily invest in corporate bonds, and nearly $1.6 billion into municipal bond funds, which invest in bonds issued by state and local governments.

Hybrid funds, which invest in both stocks and bonds, attracted $949 million in net deposits during the weeklong period.

Overall, investors deposited a net $5.3 billion from long-term mutual funds of all types, compared with net deposits of $4.3 billion in the previous week.

Comment by azdude
2012-09-12 06:28:31

I keep wondering that too. It’s like the insiders know something we dont.I guess if there is hope for more QE the hedge funds and insiders keeping trading amongst each other. Retail is dead. they have been hosed for the last time.

Comment by Carl Morris
2012-09-12 09:06:51

Retail is dead. they have been hosed for the last time.

Besides, with housing on the way up they have a new place to put their money.

 
 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2012-09-12 07:10:38

“I’ve read many stories this year about stock fund withdrawals and increasing flows into bond funds. What I don’t understand is how the (U.S.) stock market has done so well, given the reported steady outflows.”

The stock market has decoupled from reality.

 
Comment by josap
2012-09-12 12:07:38

Where do you think most of the 401K money goes?
Stocks and mutual funds invested in stocks.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-09-12 18:56:24

Capital flows don’t explain all. Confidence and perception also play a part.

Simple example…yesterday, Company A had a last trade at $10. Market value of $10 per share.

Let’s say that after hours, Company A announces that they have a new breakthrough product, great sales, whatever.

No one is asking $10 for their shares anymore, let’s say the lowest ask price is now $11. Once a single share trades, the market value will be noted as 10% higher. This doesn’t take massive amounts of capital flow into the market to move the value of that company 10%, it was done with simply a perception change.

If the flows aren’t driven by pure fear and panic (which drove the Dow to 6,500), then look to more traditional reasons for selling stocks and buying bonds…this likely has nothing to do with bond funds being undervalued…could the stock outflows simply have to do with rebalancing of portfolios?

Most 401ks force people into buying mutual funds of various types. Some 401k programs have auto-rebalancing features that you can sign up for (Vanguard does this, for one). The 401k’s also have suggested mixes between bond and stock funds. So, if stock funds have outperformed bond funds, then the nature of rebalancing will be to sell some of the stock funds, and buy some of the bond funds. Voila, money flowing from one to the other, with no change in confidence or value expectations.

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-09-12 06:21:56

From the Associated Press - Annual premiums for family health plans hit $15,745:

“Annual premiums for job based family health insurance went up just 4 percent this year, but that’s no comfort with the price tag approaching $16,000 and rising more than twice as fast as wages.

Comment by azdude
2012-09-12 06:25:21

how ridiculous. after paying health insurance and rent most people would be broke. no wonder more people are just jumping on the gravy train.

Comment by sfrenter
2012-09-12 14:06:06

My union job:

$8,000 year = health care (not counting $20 co-pay and prescriptions)
$1,200 year = union dues
$9,000 year = pension
$6,000 year = Roth IRA

Free ride? Not so much.

 
 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2012-09-12 07:13:02

I took my dog to the vet last month. The bill was $800 for around an hour and a half’s worth of tests. Can’t do that too often.

 
Comment by MacBeth
2012-09-12 07:20:16

I don’t believe that figure.

Perhaps it’s for Cadillac plans in NYC?

Comment by goon squad
2012-09-12 07:22:11

That is the total amount paid by both the employer and employee. The average employee share is about $4,500 as noted in the article.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 08:37:52

My $20 copay, full family plan is about $800 per month

Comment by ahansen
2012-09-12 13:39:37

My single, healthy, 27-year-old son pays $207/month out of pocket for a policy that covers absolutely nothing; no preventive, no checkups, no eye, no drugs, no dental, no elective, no outpatient. It has an annual $3000 deductible (applied to reasonable-and-customary/medically-necessary only) and covers a maximum of 70% of those allowed services when it finally kicks in.

He can’t afford to see a doctor when he’s ill or moderately injured, but having insurance supposedly gets him in the door in case of medical catastrophe. Actual out-of-pocket yearly expense before insurance kicks in for its 70% is about $12,500.

Now here’s the curious part: I’m a beat-to-Hades 60-year-old female and have the exact same policy and pay the exact same premium. Something tells me this is going to be the default standard under Obamacare.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-09-12 13:55:20

My single, healthy, 27-year-old son pays $207/month out of pocket for a policy that covers absolutely nothing;

USA. Free-markets baby! Sign me up!

 
Comment by polly
2012-09-12 14:58:13

The main benefit of a policy like that is the negotiated price for treatment - in other words, not paying the rack rate. When I had my outpatient knee surgery, the rack rate was close to $16K. I paid $600 or so ($300 deductible which I hadn’t met yet that year and $300 of co-pays), but the negotiated price was in the vicinity of $2000 (excluding the original diagnosis and MRI).

And they might see you for a catastrophe which allows you to get basic care and then declare bankruptcy on the co-pay if you are completely broke.

 
 
 
Comment by Steve W
2012-09-12 08:40:47

actually, that’s pretty close to what we pay at our 30 employee doctor office. That’s with a 1000 dollar deductible per person/2000 per family.

Certainly not a cadillac plan. I shop ours every year and that was the best deal we could find.

We’re still trying to avoid begging local behemoth hospital to take us over, but it’s getting closer…

Comment by MacBeth
2012-09-12 09:10:28

What state do you live in? Rates nationwide vary widely for the same coverage.

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Comment by Steve W
2012-09-12 09:17:14

IL

 
Comment by MacBeth
2012-09-12 10:10:28

What part of IL? Cook? DuPage? Will? McHenry? What city?

You’d be surprised how different medical insurance costs can be across counties, even within the same state. Check Rockford and compare to your town, using the same insurer in both locations. You may see a massive difference.

Then check Indiana. Anywhere in Indiana.

Sometimes I think that everyone believes insurance rates to be the same everywhere in the United States. They aren’t.

 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 10:58:17

“You’d be surprised how different medical insurance costs can be across counties, even within the same state.”

Is that because the costs of treating people that do not have insurance are dumped on the people that do, so the cost of insurance is heavily dependent on the percent of people in your area that do not have coverage?

What is what I hear from my wife that works in healthcare.

And this is a HUGE difference between Ryan plan for Medicare and Obama’s plan.

Ryan couples his cuts to Medicare with similar cuts to Medicaid and other programs. Increasing the number of uncovered people will push up costs faster than inflation, and the voucher ensures those costs are on the people rather than government.

Obama care increases the number of people with coverage, lowering the amount of uncovered costs that are transferred to those with coverage, lowering costs of Medicare, then only cutting spending on Medicare by that amount.

In Clinton’s speech, he mentions healthcare costs have increased by the smallest amounts in decades. The fact checkers jumped on this as a potential lie since the main aspects of Obama care have not kicked in… oh, but has kicked in is kids up to 25 being on their parents plans, whether they are full time students or not.

Hmmm… more covered people, less transfer of cost of uncovered people to covered… and costs go up slower than previously, when we were having more and more people without coverage.

Yeah, no link there.

 
 
 
 
Comment by b-hamster
2012-09-12 09:17:55

So if the median family income is about $70,000, this is about a 20% tax. Considering that the US spends twice as much on health care per capita as the next highest country, it is a tax that we must accept and eat, as you’ll never see a true universal HC system in this country unless the existing system is dismantled and rebuilt from the ground up. There’s simply too much money to be made putting band-aids on the existing HC institution, so it’s unlikely to happen.

My Canadian friends can never comprehend the logic in not providing a basic safety floor for a nation as rich as ours.

Comment by goon squad
2012-09-12 09:29:35

Your Canadian friends are a bunch of poutine-eating, cheese curd and brown gravy socialists, that’s why!

Real American rugged individualists don’t spend their lives latched onto the nanny state’s teat, they die prematurely and broke from easily preventable/treatable medical conditions!

Freedom! USA! USA! USA!

Comment by b-hamster
2012-09-12 09:36:57

Thank you for your patriotism!

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Comment by MacBeth
2012-09-12 10:04:56

Better to die at 60 after 60 years of freedom, rather than die at age 80 after 80 years of servitude.

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Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 10:42:08

Yeah, those poor oppressed Canucks, they don’t know what they’re missing.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-09-12 12:49:55

Better to die at 60 after 60 years of freedom, rather than die at age 80 after 80 years of servitude.

To equate your “80″ with Canada is laughable.

Canada pushed the US from the top seven economies deemed to have an entirely free economy due to “notable decreases in financial freedom, monetary freedom, and property rights,” the [Heritage Foundation's annual] report said. nationalreview dot com

 
 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 10:34:24

What was Northeasterner’s slogan?

Vote Republican so we can all act like the animals that we are.

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Comment by WT Economist
2012-09-12 12:30:33

“So if the median family income is about $70,000, this is about a 20% tax.”

Guess what. The health care industry is 20 percent of GDP. So what do you expect?

 
 
 
Comment by vinceinwaukesha
2012-09-12 06:31:38

Psuedo return of blue collar craftsmanship?

In yesterdays bits there was a discussion about how “visualization of the desired outcome as part of the mental preparation for success in …” the stereotypical, acceptable, white collar professional / psuedo-star athlete psuedo-gladiator types we’re told over and over again to aspire to.

However anyone with blue collar skills or hobbies or any white collar professional job revolving around making “things” ALREADY KNOWS, deep in their bones, the only path to success is “visualization of the desired outcome”. People who don’t know that end up as our overclass, think FIRE industries, trust fund babies, etc. Success has been tied to inability to visualize for enough decades that some folks think visualization is a new invention, much like all teenagers think their generation was the first to invent music or sex.

The side issue to pursue is maybe, just maybe, there is a slight societal twinge in favor of a return to blue collar craftsmanship and its related skills, perhaps due to the obvious damage of the credit bubble, death of FIRE industries, return of “something” in the economy? The vast majority of people with “visualization skills” are of a social underclass so we have to talk about their skill being a secret in strange airy pop culture psuedo-philosophical tones, but its really nothing new to anyone who ever hacked together their own picnic table, or changed their own cars oil, planted a rose bush, or lowered themselves to association with people like that.

The discussion topic and the trend are positive. The people who are first learning the skill exists are, perhaps, a little overly sheltered and are going to get made fun of, which looks negative. I laughed out loud at the idea that there are apparently unimpaired people walking around who don’t focus their work and/or hobbies around visualizing new stuff. However, overall, “the secret” is a net societal positive, in that it shows a positive trend.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-09-12 07:31:27

I’ll let you know when I get a raise. Until then, bullcrap.

People who couldn’t imagine their way out of a paper bag still have more power and influence than they ever should.

Comment by goon squad
2012-09-12 07:35:36

That’s because they’re the PRODUCERS and you’re not!

 
 
Comment by ahansen
2012-09-13 01:05:11

A “net social positive”? I’m sure that all those negative people dying of cancer just aren’t visualizing well enough. And what about all those lotto loosers?

What an irresponsible crock.

 
 
Comment by measton
2012-09-12 07:32:25

Harvard economist Martin Feldstein has said they’re wrong. Feldstein leans to the right — he chaired President Ronald Reagan’s Council of Economic Advisers — but he’s a very respected, very honest economist. No one should dismiss his work.

So, how did he get to such a different conclusion? The short answer is he made some very different assumptions than did the Tax Policy Center. The long answer is that his conclusion may not be as different as you think. After corresponding with Feldstein, the TPC, and some outside economists, I think I have a handle on where the major differences are. Let’s go through it.

1) The Tax Policy Center tested whether Romney could make his promises add up without cutting taxes on people making more than $200,000 a year. Feldstein lowers that annual salary to $100,000, which roughly doubles the number of taxpayers whose deductions are getting cut. His results imply a very large tax increase for people making between $100,000 and $200,000 a year.

2) The Tax Policy Center assumes that folks making over $200,000 a year can still use the standard deduction. Feldstein takes it away from everyone making more than $100,000.

3) In his original article, Feldstein assumed that itemized deductions would be worth 30 cents for every dollar. But since Romney intends to bring the top tax rate below 30 cents, that’s not reasonable. In a follow-up, he lowered itemized deductions to 25 percent, which is more plausible, though most tax experts I’ve spoken to think something in the ra range of 23 percent is more likely. The lower this number goes, the less money you can raise by closing deductions and loopholes.

So This will benefit the family making a millions of dollars a year and hurt the family making 100-200k a year. The middle and lower middle class have already been eaten, the only remaining flesh is on the upper middle, and low level rich. The top 0.1% must continue to be fed. Soon even the lower level elite will be eaten.

Comment by polly
2012-09-12 08:30:46

“1) The Tax Policy Center tested whether Romney could make his promises add up without cutting taxes on people making more than $200,000 a year.”

That should read “without cutting deductions on people…” This is confirmed by reading the next sentence.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 08:41:13

Soon even the lower level elite will be eaten.

Poor guys. They thought they were part of the “club”, driving their fancy imported cars and all that.

Comment by Truth
2012-09-12 08:43:40

You can always opt for used Vulva or some other EuroTrash. And then I’ll laugh when the cost of parts eats them alive.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 09:59:06

Now that’s the truth!

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Comment by goon squad
2012-09-12 08:51:14

Gotta keep taxes low cus every Joe the Plumber schlubb is gonna be rich someday too. Rich, rich, rich!

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-09-12 09:09:44

They thought they were part of the “club”, driving their fancy imported cars and all that.

When I read that I hear Homer Simpson’s voice :-).

 
 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 09:18:06

So, let’s increase taxes on the people that spend all their money, and lower taxes on people that accumulate ever more money, looking to loan it out rather than spend it.

Sounds like a way to decrease our dependance on unsustainable debt growth to me…… NOT!

What we really need to do is destroy the rest of the middle class, because we can’t all be better off, until we’re all destitute first.

This is SOOOOOOO exactly the opposite of what we need to do to restore long-term sustainability to our economy…. And I SOOOOO want Republicans to win this election, because only by trying and utterly failing, will we ever have a chance of exposing the lies for what they are.

 
 
Comment by measton
2012-09-12 07:37:15

Link to my last article

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/09/10/is-romneys-tax-plan-mathematically-possible-after-all/

Note the other side is only slightly better targeting those making over 250k a year.

What I want to see is a candidate add new tax brackets and do away with carried interest and loopholes used by elite CEO’s to dodge taxes. There should be no way for someone pulling in 250million a year to pay a lower tax rate than someone pulling in 250k or 50k for that matter which is not uncommon now.

Comment by goon squad
2012-09-12 08:32:15

But you can’t tax the Job Creators© (always use the word “creators” to make them more God-like)

Comment by In Colorado
2012-09-12 10:45:19

And the elite said “Let their be low paying, no benefits, part time jobs!” And all sorts of menial jobs were created. The elite reviewed the menial jobs and pronounced them “good enough”

 
 
Comment by Anon In DC
2012-09-12 20:21:47

Taxes are paid in dollars not rates. You tax and spend liberals just can’t get enough of other people’s money to spend. All in the name of “fairness.”

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-09-12 21:49:05

Taxes are paid in dollars not rates.

Really? LOL. Of course taxes are paid in RATES. That’s why there’s taxes based on rates.

Good God Anon, where do you get your jive?

 
 
 
Comment by Truth
2012-09-12 08:02:03

DO NOT trust the system. Their confidence game bleeds you dry.

Comment by goon squad
2012-09-12 10:19:13

The “system”? Yeah, stick it to the Man.

Picturing Al Pacino in Dog Day Afternoon rallying the crowd chanting “Attica! Attica! Attica!”

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 08:50:29

Soon to be all real estate advertising all the time in the SD newspaper biz:

sold
MEDIA: U-T San Diego to buy North County Times, Californian
Manchester expands media reach in $11.95M deal

Owners of the UT San Diego John Lynch, left, and Doug “Papa Doug” Manchester discuss their plans for the North County Times during a meeting with the NCT employees at the North County Times main office in Escondido on Tuesday. It was announced that the UT San Diego had bought the North County Times Tuesday morning. HAYNE PALMOUR IV | hpalmour@nctimes.com

 
Comment by Truth
2012-09-12 08:53:55

Easy quiz if you can be honest with your answers and report back the result.

My result: Gary Johnson

My vote on Election day: Gary Johnson

Comment by Truth
2012-09-12 09:16:21

http://www.isidewith.com/

Forgot the link.

 
Comment by Steve J
2012-09-12 09:35:06

Yet another Republican wanting to be president.

How original.

Comment by San Diego Re Bear
2012-09-12 09:46:46

Libertarian is what the Republican party used to be. Not what it is.

Comment by Steve J
2012-09-12 12:54:13

What year would that be?

Would it be 1924 when they called for a new Education cabinet position be created?

The conservation of human resources is one of the most solemn responsibilities of government. This is an obligation which
cannot be ignored and which demands that the federal government shall, as far as lies in its power, give to the people and the states the benefit of its counsel. The welfare activities of the government connected with the various departments are already uumerous and important, but lack the co-ordina-tion which is essential to effective action. To meet these needs we approve the suggestion for the creation of a cabinet post of education and relief.

Or 1884 when helping sheep farmers was a major concern?

We recognize the importance of sheep husbandry in the United States, the serious depression which it is now experiencing,
and the danger threatening its future prosperity; and we, therefore, respect the demands of the representatives of this
important agricultural interest for a readjustment of duties upon foreign wool, in order that such industry shall have full
and adequate protection.

Party platforms make for interesting reading: http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/platforms.php

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Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 15:00:19

I bet it was when the Republican party was formed to make sure states rights didn’t allow slavery to spread into states that grew the same crops as the northern non-slave states.

Another one of those cases where common knowledge is flat out wrong.

 
 
 
 
Comment by San Diego Re Bear
2012-09-12 09:45:28

I’m tied with Gary Johnson and Jill Stein.

Which is fine as I wasn’t planning to vote one of the 2 main guys anyway.

 
Comment by michael
2012-09-12 13:52:52

me too.

 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 14:53:58

I tied between Green and Obama (I guess because I said I think we need to develop alternate energy, even if global warming is proven wrong) at 88%. Lib at 72% and….

Romney I matched 19%.

Too bad there weren’t questions about ending free trade, returning to a steep income tax code, eliminating payroll taxes, or allowing the majority of the existing excess debt to collapse.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-09-12 15:45:05

(”I guess because I said I think we need to develop alternate energy, even if global warming is proven wrong) ”

Will not be proven wrong just will be at 1/7 of the rate that Hansen claimed and we will need alternative energy but the era is just 30 years away. Still need to do the research.

I voted for Barry Commoner in 1980 not Reagan but he proved me wrong. If you are not a liberal when you are young, you have no heart but if you are not conservative when you are old you have no head. Although I really consider myself without an ideology but when I think through most issues, I find that conservatives have the better arguments. Ideology kills one ability to make money in the stock market so I cannot afford it.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 14:06:48

Romney won’t meddle with Fed, says Larry Meyer
September 12, 2012, 4:57 PM

Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan have been very vocal critics of the Federal Reserve recently, but no one should think that this is anything more than campaign rhetoric, said Larry Meyer, a former Fed governor and the head of the big economic consulting firm, Macroeconomic Advisers.

Romney’s critical comments about the Fed reflect nothing more than his desire to placate the tea party, not a signal about what he’d do as president, Meyer said.

If he’s elected president, “Romney will protect the Fed. You can take it to the bank,” Meyer said at his firm’s annual Washington policy seminar. Meyer said a Romney administration would continue the long-standing policy of not meddling in the Fed’s affairs.

Romney has said he would not renominate Ben Bernanke as Fed chairman when Bernanke’s term expires in January 2014. “Do you think [John] Taylor, or [Glenn] Hubbard or [Greg] Mankiw would take the job if Romney shot off his mouth about monetary policy?” Meyer asked, mentioning the three people thought to have the inside edge at replacing Bernanke if Romney wins.

Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 14:44:31

Yeah, and the $1.3T+ deficits will continue too.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 18:48:03

Etch-a-sketch

 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-09-12 14:13:36

Spam that just landed in my e-mail in-box. Feel free to ridicule it to the nth degree:

Home Loan rates are at 3.50%, their lowest rates since the 1950’s, which also happens to be the same time 30-year mortgages were first introduced to the public !

All of your employees are looking to save money by taking advantage of these historically-low rates – why not help them at no cost to you ?

I know your busy, but please contact me at your convenience, so that I can initiate the set-up of your Nova Home Loans Corporate Account. It’s free to you and best of all, your employees will receive $500.00 off their next home loan’s closing costs, which normally costs them approximately $1,100.00 (new home purchases and/or refinancing of their existing home loans). And, it’s a great benefit to offer potential new employees, as well. As a former employer with 45 employees, I always found it gratifying, when I could offer a new benefit to my employees and their families, especially at no cost to me !

Please, contact me at your earliest convenience .. your employees will THANK YOU !

Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 14:32:47

How did they even know that you have a busy?

I accidentally interchange things like your and you’re or our and are, when typing blog posts, but how can you send out something like this without a proof read?

Oh, you mean the offer to let you screw over all your workers by referring them to a mortgage broker… Loosers.

 
 
Comment by josap
2012-09-12 15:38:44

A global look at jobs.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-19476254

As a result of connectivity and globalisation millions of jobs across the world are disappearing.

This hollowing out of work is seeing the disappearance of middle-wage, middle-skilled jobs such as managers, secretaries, or assembly line workers.

These jobs are at risk because they can either be outsourced to a region with lower wages, or they can be replaced by technology.

So what is left is the jobs at each end of the skill and wage spectrum.

At one end there are high-skill, high-wage jobs - like investment bankers, lawyers, engineers, or IT specialists - which need complex knowledge and expertise and cannot (yet) be substituted by technology.

You can expect these jobs to be paid increasingly well.

At the other end are the low-skilled, low-wage jobs like hairdressers, waiters, bank tellers and shop assistants.

The jobs are difficult to automate because you have to be there to do them. But because many of these jobs require limited training, there is always a willing supply of workers - so wages will always be highly competitive.

Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 20:55:53

So we need to find that sweet spot $12-20K a year…add food stamps and ohbamacare…keep the old care cheap insurance and cash side job….Lucky duckies..

The jobs are difficult to automate because you have to be there to do them

 
 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-09-12 15:49:05

Treats for Beats!

South Florida homeowner has $570,100 mortgage forgiven by bank

by Kim Miller

A client of Wellington foreclosure defense attorney Malcom Harrison may have cringed when he saw the Bank of America envelope in his mailbox. Instead, he’s more than half-a-million dollars out of debt.

The company, as part of the $25 billion agreement with the state attorneys general, is cancelling $570,100 in second mortgage debt the homeowner owed.

“You are approved for a full principal forgiveness of your Home Equity Account,” the Sept. 8 letter says in bold print.

Although the homeowner’s foreclosure will continue on the first mortgage, the second account will be reported as paid and closed, according to the letter.

In May, Bank of America announced that eligible Florida homeowners would begin getting notices about a push to reduce their loan balances.

The average nationwide price cut for an initial group of 5,000 approved homeowners was about $145,000 per borrower.

The plan is targeting 200,000 underwater homeowners nationwide, with the highest concentrations in California and Florida.

Bank of America officials predict an average savings of 30 percent on monthly mortgage payments under the program.

Harrison said last month he’s seen an increase in loan reductions from lenders, including JPMorgan Chase. Some of the amounts forgiven are so high, customers doubt the veracity of the offer, Harrison said.

But even he was shocked by the Sept. 8 Bank of America offer.

“My clients are receiving these on a regular basis,” he said about the principal reductions. “I have seen a lot forgiven, but nothing like this….”

This entry was posted on Wednesday, September 12th, 2012 at 10:53 am and is filed under Florida economy, Foreclosures, Housing affordability. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 17:27:38

So…. he is forgiven on debt that was not going to repaid anyway, since he’s still underwater, and the foreclosure is going forward.

Now that is a pretty cheap settlement…. forgive debt that was going to be wiped out anyway… net cost = $0.

Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-09-12 18:14:38

I wish someone would loan me $570,100 and then say we are giving you full principal forgiveness of your Home Equity Account. Hell, that would be better than your condo deal now wouldn`t it…. net gain for the Deadbeat = $500k.

 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-09-12 18:16:46

Posted: 4:18 p.m. Monday, Sept. 10, 2012

Average Florida mortgage reduction tops $114,000

By Kimberly Miller

Palm Beach Post Staff Writer

More than 1,000 Florida homeowners have seen an average debt reduction of $114,015 on their primary mortgage since the February approval of the settlement between leading lenders and state attorneys general.

The hefty discount meant to save struggling borrowers from foreclosure was mentioned by U.S. Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan in remarks Monday previewing his appearance today at Florida Housing Coalition’s annual conference in Orlando.

Nearly 500 Florida homeowners have seen an average of $65,896 in second mortgage debt disappear as a result of the $25 billion National Mortgage Settlement, according to a progress report released last week.

Donovan said about one in six of homeowners nationwide who have benefitted from the settlement live in Florida.

“We require the lenders when they are doing principal reductions to create a payment and a situation for homeowners that will ensure they will be able to stay in their homes,” said Donovan, who praised Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi for her work on the settlement.

Between March 1 and June 30, a total of $1.7 billion in loan help was distributed in Florida through mortgage principal reductions, refinances, short sale approvals and activities such as providing moving assistance for people who can’t stay in their homes.

Nationally, $10.5 billion in mortgage relief, including $1.3 billion in debt reduction, was meted out by banks, according to the report issued by the Office of Mortgage Settlement Oversight and independent monitor Joseph Smith.

The banks included in the settlement are JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Bank of America and Ally Financial, formerly GMAC. Loans held by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are not included.

Until recently, principal reductions on home loans were almost unheard of. But in May, Bank of America said it was offering about 200,000 underwater homeowners nationwide mortgage reductions that for the first 5,000 people approved had averaged $145,000 per borrower.

According to the progress report, about $115 million in primary mortgage debt in Florida was eliminated since March. JPMorgan Chase offered the most in principal reductions on primary loans at $76 million.

Donovan said he was generally pleased with the report.

“The key is whether they continue to deliver on those results and we will be watching them like hawks to ensure they live up to their promises,” he said. “Certainly, banks expect homeowners to live up to their obligations each month and we should expect the same from the banks.”

Lenders have until Feb. 28, 2015 to meet the settlement requirements.

 
 
Comment by josap
2012-09-12 22:56:14

Why do I pay my bills? Oh well, guess I don’t win the debt game. The people already foreclosed didn’t win, most in foreclosure now didn’t win.

Principal forgiveness, bulk sales to hedge funds, keeping properties off the market, waiting to file foreclosure, all to try to bring the housing market back to life. Everyone wants the bubble years to come back. Insane way to run an economy.

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-09-12 16:46:54

However, CVS contends the high volume of oxycodone and other prescription painkillers from the two stores in Sanford, Florida, arose because they were busy pharmacies, being close to Interstate Highway 4 - with one store operating 24 hours a day.

http://health.yahoo.net/news/s/nm/u-s-revoking-2-cvs-stores-controlled-substance-licenses

Lots of drivebys for the drugs too….they won’t find an impartial jury for zimmerman…the crime rate is just too high

 
Comment by Darrell in Phoenix
2012-09-12 17:02:29

See if I can re-ignite the storm….

Have the final settlement info on the townhouse for closing on Friday.

Costs already paid:
appraisal: $450
inspection: $250
termite insp: $50
total: $750

Purchase price: $48,400

Additional non-recurring costs:
title insurance and closing fees $950
HOA transfer: $300
Loan Origination (.0025 x 30K) = $75
Various escrow setup and doc recording fees: $100
Total non-recurring: ~$1425

Total non-recurring already paid and not yet paid: $2150.

HOWEVER…. My credit union is running a promotion that credits you $2500 toward closing costs, so….. I have $350 covered toward the recurring fees.

So, I guess you could say I’m actually paying $48,050

Recurring fees to be paid at closing:
1 year insurance: $525
17 days of interest: $57
17 days of HOA: $68
Next full month HOA: $120
3.5 months of property tax: $78 ($273.30 for 2012)

So, my final monthly expenses (excluding principal payments which is cash flow not expense) are:
$102 interest
$23 prop tax
$44 insurance
$120 HOA
Total = $289

I guess I should add on $18K down x .02 = 360 a year, or $30 a month opportunity cost of the down payment.

I figure I better set aside at least $100 a month for repairs and maintenance.

So….. $420 a month?

Rent currently $650-700 a month for something similar, round that down to $600, rents would have to fall another…. 30% or so before renting is cheaper than my monthly expenses.

My son has found a friend to room with. They will be paying $150 each, and splitting utilities, so I am subsidizing costs above ITI+HOA a little.

That will be for 6 months until SIL can get transferred from WalMart distro center in Reno down to Buckeye AZ. Then the daughter, SIL and their baby will be moving in. They will be paying me $450, which I’ll be setting aside for them, without their knowledge, while paying the full cost myself. They are thinking 3 years or so staying there, so should be about $16K saved up to surprise them with.

And, that is that.

Comment by Darryl Is A Liar
2012-09-12 17:20:58

You’re a Liar Darryl The Liar.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 22:51:33

The stock market sure hasn’t run out of gloomsters just yet. I take this, coupled with the stock market’s recent bull run, as a contrarian signal that now is the time to buy. Bernanke is warming up the QE3 choppers as I type. The stock market always goes up, in the long run. Buy now, or get priced out forever!

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 23:00:46

Everything going up seems to indicate a liquidity tsunami crest is passing through the global financial markets. How does one diversify against the global financial market equivalent of a tsunami wave?

Is the Federal Reserve running out of ammo, and if so, what does this mean for financial markets?
Posted on September 12, 2012 by Mike Riddell

Almost every financial asset seems to have gone up – in the last year, you’d have made money if you’d bought US Treasuries, corporate bonds, gold or even Italian equities. It’s only really emerging market currencies or EM equities that have disappointed. The concept of portfolio diversification and uncorrelated asset classes seems to have gone out of the window, but who cares when everything’s going up, right?

The first chart illustrates this point, showing the S&P 500 (pink line, left axis) against the 30 year US Treasury yield (green line, right axis). US Treasury yields and US equities used to be strongly correlated, but in the last year Treasury yields have collapsed while equities have soared to 2007 levels. The time value of money concept suggests it makes sense for equities to rally if US treasury yields have collapsed, because all else being equal, the present value of a company’s dividends or free cash flow or whatever you’re looking at has increased dramatically owing to the much lower discount rate.

Still, this correlation breakdown bothers me. If it’s correct that everything has rallied on the back of the promise of central bank liquidity, then presumably every asset class can also fall if this liquidity is no longer available.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-09-12 23:20:21

Since when is it OK for a rival party candidate to launch criticism of a sitting president in the heat of an international incident? This seems like a serious infraction of the unwritten rules of presidential politics. And the CEO arrogance is also offensive.

The Romney campaign must be getting pretty desperate; otherwise why would they put political gain ahead of the need for national unity at a time of crisis?

Romney Criticized for Handling of Libya Protests, Death
By Julie Hirschfeld Davis on September 12, 2012

It was supposed to be a clear-eyed rebuke of the sitting president’s approach to a foreign-policy crisis.

Instead, Mitt Romney’s criticism of President Barack Obama’s handling of the attacks in Egypt and Libya that led to the death of a U.S. ambassador yesterday fueled questions — even among his allies — about the Republican presidential nominee’s inexperience on national security as his campaign is pushing to gain traction by refocusing on jobs and the economy.

Obama, in a television interview, said Romney “seems to have a tendency to shoot first, aim later,” and called the episode a “broader lesson” about being commander in chief.

“As president, one of the things I’ve learned is you can’t do that — that, you know, it’s important for you to make sure that the statements that you make are backed up by the facts, and that you’ve thought through the ramifications before you make them,” Obama told CBS News in an interview to be broadcast in its entirety Sept. 16 on the program “60 Minutes.”

Some prominent Republicans shared that view. Romney “will find out that first reports from the battlefield are always incorrect,” Richard Armitage, the former deputy Secretary of State under Republican President George W. Bush, said in an interview yesterday. “This should be his mantra, so he can speak in a deliberate manner, and not have to repent at his leisure later.”

Prior Mistakes

The flap over Romney’s reaction follows criticism of him from the Obama campaign for making no mention of the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq in his nominating acceptance speech last month at the Republican National Convention. The former Massachusetts governor was also faulted for a gaffe-plagued overseas trip in July, during which he insulted the London leaders of the 2012 Summer Olympics by questioning their security arrangements.

In another instance where Romney drew attention for sharp critiques of Obama as a foreign predicament was unfolding, he was criticized earlier this year for complaining about the White House’s handling of the case of Chen Guangcheng, a Chinese dissident, even as the administration was in the midst of negotiating Chen’s safe release.

The latest political skirmish focused on a series of remarks by Romney and his campaign on the U.S. handling and reaction to the protests in Libya and Egypt that culminated in violence.

 
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