October 9, 2012

Bits Bucket for October 9, 2012

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Comment by Lip
2012-10-09 04:45:24

Violating the WARN Act

On September 28, the Office of Management and Budget issued a “guidance” letter that assures defense contractors that the federal government will pay for any legal damages incurred for failing to issue layoff notices (as required by federal law) related to sequester-induced job losses.

***In other words, the White House is telling defense contractors that the American taxpayer will compensate them for any liability incurred for violating federal law.

http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/329783/violating-warn-act-hans-von-spakovsky

Ah, the ways of Chicago politics. If a Republican “ever” acted in such a manner, the MSM would be squealing incessantly.

Comment by Steve W
2012-10-09 06:43:26

No, Chicago politics is putting your unemployed 2nd cousin to work after he canvasses your ward and gets you re-elected. He gets an easy job with the park district with a nice pension.

The example above is washington dc politics. Both bad, but in my eyes, DC is way worse. And always has been.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-09 07:02:09

+1

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-09 07:21:41

Chicago politics is Rod Blagojevich’s corruption, Bill Ayers and the Weathermen terrorists, Rev. Jeremiah “God damn America” Wright, Tony Rezko, Abbie Hoffman and the Chicago Seven, Al Capone, and the 1886 Haymarket riot, ALL of which are tied directly to the anointment and coronation of The One, the communist muslim Kenyan Indonesian gun-grabbing anti-Christ, Barack Hussein Obama.

Romney/Ryan 2012! Restore Our Future! Take America Back!

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-09 07:55:23

Did they say yet how far they want to Take America Back? Or is that to be disclosed after the election?

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Comment by goon squad
2012-10-09 08:01:39

Reinstating the Fugitive Slave Act would be a good start, LOLZ.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-10-09 08:51:04

Does THIS provide any clues?

 
Comment by Ryan
2012-10-09 09:22:48

http://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/2012/10/09/opinion-obama-raises-181-million-in-september-as-foreign-donor-gate-heats-up/

One has to ask: which is worse? Being beholden to the banks or being beholden to unknown foreign entities?

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-10-09 09:56:40

Troubling. But one makes the logical fallacy of assuming that if another questions a candidate’s motives he automatically supports that candidate’s (major) opponent and, in so doing, the one making the logical fallacy rationalizes redirecting the question at hand.

The question was how will they (they being Romney/Ryan) take America back?

 
Comment by Ryan
2012-10-09 10:40:18

One also comes to the conclusion that sides are being taken, when, in fact, the other is merely pointing out that arguing either side is like watching McDonalds and Burger King argue whose french fries are healthier.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-10-09 12:29:31

But one wonders, why would one answer a response to a question with thematically related, but not very relevant, negative information concerning an opposing candidate if one weren’t taking sides? Wouldn’t one just answer the original question, or inquire about the response to the original question? :-)

 
Comment by MightyMike
2012-10-09 12:43:40

Romney and Ryan would like to take America back to the 1920s, before that horrible FDR introduce Social Security, unemployment insurance, the minimum wage, etc. They wouldn’t be able to accomplish that if elected, but they could still do some damage to the safety net.

 
Comment by Ryan
2012-10-09 15:04:28

No, because one may have already concluded that the answer to the question and the larger question in general is merely a coin-flip. The flip of a greasy, slimey coin found in a sewer manhole. Though one understands it may look like taking sides to others.

 
 
 
Comment by Lip
2012-10-09 07:51:32

Steve,

Chicago style politics is so much more. See Goon Squad’s post.

Plus when I was kid my dad, an Illinois State Trooper, told me about the Chicago way. The Boss had his own hit squad, taking care of anyone that got in the way of the Machine. Typically pimps, drug dealers, etc, but I can imagine a few political foes got thrown in the Chicago River as well.

Comment by polly
2012-10-09 09:02:15

“my dad, an Illinois State Trooper”

Really?

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Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-10-09 10:09:07

Has CONgress authorized money to be made available to pay any claims resulting from WARN notice violations? Of course not.

I think it is time to give the Constitution a proper burial and acknowledge that We The People are now We The Slaves. It’s also time to recall Jefferson’s instructive words.

“…That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness.”

 
Comment by Lip
2012-10-09 10:14:50

Polly,

Yes, I grew up in a lower middle class family, but we didn’t really know we were poor. Why do you ask?

If I may tell a personal story, my dad was shot in the right side of his neck, just behind his jaw. They took the bullet out just behind his left ear lobe and he was back to work in 2 weeks. For those that don’t know anything about the anatomy, it is “impossible” for a bullet to follow this trajectory and miss everything.

And I have to wonder, who says there is no God? My dad is still alive and healthy today.

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-09 11:17:22

who says there is no God

One out of five Americans, that’s who.

http://washington.cbslocal.com/2012/10/09/study-one-third-of-adults-under-30-have-no-religious-affiliation/

Elect a communist muslim, and what do you expect?

TAKE AMERICA BACK!

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-09 12:41:24

Actually, the one in five are ‘religiously unaffiliated’ and only about 18% of them qualify as secularists of whatever flavor. But it’s a good start!

 
 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2012-10-09 10:27:13

That’s not Chicago politics. That’s just politics everywhere.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-09 11:34:47

From wikipedia:

“Despite a 36-year-old ban against federal contractors making federal political expenditures, Restore Our Future has accepted donations of $890,000 from at least five such companies, who are taking advantage of a legal gray area created by the U.S. Supreme Court’s 2010 ruling in the Citizens United case. Oxbow Carbon, a major coal and petroleum company founded by William Koch that contracts with the Tennessee Valley Authority, gave $750,000, and has insisted such donations are now legal. Another company, M.C. Dean, a Virginia-based electrical engineering company, donated $5,000, but has asked the funds to be returned after consulting with lawyers. The other companies are: B/E Aerospace, a U.S. Department of Defense contractor, which gave $50,000; Clinical Medical Services, which contracts with the Department of Veterans Affairs, donated $25,000; and Suffolk Construction Co., which is building a U.S. Naval base, donated $60,000.”

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Comment by Martin
2012-10-09 05:02:55

Can someone please help me understand the Presidential election process:

Does the 2500 eloctorates decide who would be the president? If they have the full power to decide, does our vote really count? I’m asking this as popular vote is not what decides the president.

Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-09 05:44:14

Yes.

Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-09 05:57:55

Two-hundred-or-so years ago transportation and communication really sucked so then it made sense to select electors and put one’s trust in these electors to make sound decisions on behalf of the general population because the general population couldn’t have access to all the information needed to make sound decisions on their own.

For the same reason we have Senators and the House of Representatives.

Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-09 06:10:25

This is what representative government is all about - one does not decide directly, one selects representives to decide on his/her behalf. Thus the population as a whole delegates individual power - transfers the power - that they have been given as citizens to somebody else.

This works well if the representitive can be trusted but it doesn’t work all that well if he can’t. In the “good ol’ days” the population was small so the people were able to directly know or know of the representitive they selected. Nowdays the representatives that are selected are strangers.

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Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-09 06:18:17

And because these representitives are strangers they have no reputation that you can rely on to help you decide whether to select them to act on your behalf or whether you should select somebody else - select some other stranger to act on you behalf. So the only thing you can rely on is information about themselves that they themselves give to you.

So the ones who present the most convincing information about themselves - the ones who are the best salesmen or con artists - are the ones who get elected.

And so here we are.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-10-09 06:20:52

Holy $hit Combo…… you just nailed it big!

 
Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-09 06:39:44

Thank you.

 
Comment by AmazingRuss
2012-10-09 08:38:11

Welcome to the handbasket.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-09 08:43:50

Welcome to the handbasket.

And if you look to your left and right folks, you’ll see an impressive vista of Hell.

 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-09 06:44:46

Two-hundred-or-so years ago transportation and communication really sucked so then it made sense to select electors

It was actually the result of a compromise between free states and slave states. The slave states had much smaller populations of voting citizens (ie white males), so they were worried they’d have too small a voice in national presidential elections. Thus they came up with a compromise that allowed them to count their slaves as 3/5ths of a person for the purpose of determining the number of electors they’d receive, who would then choose the pres. Without, of course, allowing the slaves to actually vote.

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Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-09 06:56:36

You are addressing the apportionment -the number - of electors, not the concept.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-09 07:10:21

The thing I wonder about is that other early democracies had direct votes and eschewed our byzantine system. If the elector could get on a stage coach and travel to DC to cast the single electoral vote, why couldn’t he just take the tally of votes from his district and report them?

This goes back to what Alpha said about the Slave States, counting slaves when allocating electoral votes gave them more clout that they would have had under a direct system (plus it also gave them more congressman). I suspect that this was the real reason for the system.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-09 07:18:52

not the concept.

The concept was created by the need for the compromise, not by bad roads and weather.

The Constitutional Convention in 1787 used the Virginia Plan as the basis for discussions, as the Virginia delegation had proposed it first. The Virginia Plan called for the Congress to elect the President.[4] Delegates from a majority of states agreed to this mode of election.[5] However, the Committee of Eleven, formed to work out various details including the mode of election of the President, recommended instead that the election be by a group of people apportioned among the states in the same numbers as their representatives in Congress (the formula for which had been resolved in lengthy debates resulting in the Connecticut Compromise and Three-fifths compromise), but chosen by each state “in such manner as its Legislature may direct.” Committee member Gouverneur Morris explained the reasons for the change; among others, there were fears of “intrigue” if the President was chosen by a small group of men who met together regularly, as well as concerns for the independence of the President if he was elected by the Congress.[6] Some delegates, including James Wilson and James Madison, preferred popular election of the executive. Madison acknowledged that while a popular vote would be ideal, it would be difficult to get consensus on the proposal given the prevalence of slavery in the South:[7]

“There was one difficulty however of a serious nature attending an immediate choice by the people. The right of suffrage was much more diffusive in the Northern than the Southern States; and the latter could have no influence in the election on the score of Negroes. The substitution of electors obviated this difficulty and seemed on the whole to be liable to the fewest objections.”

The Convention approved the Committee’s Electoral College proposal, with minor modifications, on September 6, 1787.[8]
wikipedia

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-09 07:32:40

The thing I wonder about is that other early democracies had direct votes and eschewed our byzantine system.

The writers of the Constitution were well aware of the direct democracies of the past- and were seeking to avoid some of their major problems when they created our system. They were also constantly confounded by the ‘peculiar’ legal needs and demands of the slaveholding states.

The problems the direct democracies of the past (like Athens) were that people proved to be easily be swayed by the emotions of the day, and were more likely to rush into for instance an ill-advised war.

In our system, the House was supposed to be the ‘direct democracy’, with its leaders essentially always up for election, and thus more subject to the demands of the street. The Senate, with its fewer members and longer terms, was supposed to be the “saucer in which the hot tea was allowed to cool”, or something like that. The writers were trying to combine the better aspects of direct democracy with the better aspects of representative democracy, all the while kowtowing to the slavers (who of course were often also the writers).

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-09 08:01:00

…were more likely to rush into for instance an ill-advised war.

I’m sure glad America’s Founding Fathers avoided that problem!

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-09 08:18:58

The writers of the Constitution were well aware of the direct democracies of the past

Actually, I meant those that followed us, not before us. And by direct vote, I meant directly electing the executive branch, not an ancient Athens style democracy.

I can’t think of any other country that elects its president (if they have one) via an electoral system like ours. I know we’re stuck with it, it would take a Constitutional amendment to change that, and that isn’t going to to happen.

Then there are Parliamentary systems, which I like even less. The whole process of selecting a Prime Minister reeks of back room deals to me. On the other hand, minority parties do seem to have more of a voice in those systems.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-09 08:19:57

I’m sure glad America’s Founding Fathers avoided that problem!

Most of our actual wars- declared by Congress- have not been ill-advised. Except maybe the War of 1812, but we were newbies at the time.

It’s the ‘police actions’ and whatnot, that avoided Congress, that have been the doozies. Iraq 2 was approved by Congress after the fact, IIRC, but I’m not sure if that counts.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 08:47:16

The senate was originally selected by state legislators and not by the people at all. It was supposed to represent the interests of the states and be completely impartial to special interests and removed from the will of the people. The house was elected by the people and represented their special more temporal interests. Thus we were supposed to have a balance between the people (house), the state powers (senate) and the federal powers. The senate was therefore supposed to be the adults in the room to make the tough choices so that the people didn’t try to get a free lunch for example. They were immune from special interests. That all changed in 1913 with the seventh amendment. The seventh amendment allowed the people to elect the senate and not the state legislatures. And since then special interests have ruled both the house and the senate. If you ask me we should repeal the 17th amendment so we have a body that doesn’t just say what people want to hear but actually look out for the good of the country. We have the house to serve and represent the people. It was actually quite an ingenious design to avoid corruption.

Seventeenth Amendment to the United States Constitution

United States Constitution
The Seventeenth Amendment in the National Archives

The Seventeenth Amendment (Amendment XVII) to the United States Constitution established direct election of United States Senators by popular vote. The amendment supersedes Article I, § 3, Clauses 1 and 2 of the Constitution, under which senators were elected by state legislatures.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-09 08:50:42

They were immune from special interests.

Were the state legislators who selected them also immune?

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-09 09:17:30

I don’t think the reason was to be immune from special interest but to reflect the state’s interest not a national bodies interest.

To understand our constitution you have to understand why the Roman and Greek democracies failed. Particularly, the Roman democracy. The rich used the state’s funds to buy off the poor. The middle class were ignored at the end of the democracy just like they are today. The representative government was to act as a barrier to people using the bribe of bread and circuses to attain power. Today we use SNAP and free cell phones.

However, the economics works for the super rich. Adopt policies: open borders, free trade etc. that lowers workers pay by $20,000 a year and then promise them $5000 in SNAP benefits and they vote for you or more accurately your handpicked candidate. You don’t even have to pay the entire $5000 it is spread out among all the taxpayers. After you lower their pay then go after the benefits. Go from an employer model of providing health care to a government and employee funded model. Raise taxes on the middle class to pay for it, despite saying no taxes on any couple earning less than $250,000. I am just amazed how few people can see it.

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-09 09:28:45

Today we use SNAP and free cell phones

The Food Stamp Recovery:

http://www.manhattan-institute.org/html/ir_23.htm

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 09:59:22

Albuquerquedan,

I agree with you about original purpose of having a Senate selection by state legislature was mainly to raise the interests of the states. We’ve undercut the power of the states versus a monopoly power on a federal level which I think is a bad thing. As you know I’m very much against power monopoly in whatever form. It always leads to corruption.

“Raise taxes on the middle class to pay for it.” Do you mean the expiration of the Bush tax cuts? The 3.8% Obamacare tax? Rising state taxes? Or the expiration of the payroll tax?

What concerns me is that we aren’t really paying for it via these tax increases. I mean we do but not much of it. We’re still short well over a trillion dollars per year. The Fed and foreign central banks are paying for it. That will work for a while. But eventually we’ll have to add some zeros to our currency or come out with currency 2.0 if we keep it up. That’s just another stealth tax on the workers that is going to hide them much harder down the road. Why postpone it if the pain will be worse? What do you think of a green back monetary system pegged at zero inflation?

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-09 10:24:29

As far as taxes, I mean all you have identified and others such as a tax on medical equipment, tanning salons etc.

We need to cut the deficit but the amount should not be too drastic at once. We need to stop digging the hole first. We should not have a deficit larger that increases our gdp debt ratio. So if we can have 3% growth with 2% inflation, we can run a $800 billion deficit no larger.

I think the easiest way politically right now is an up or down vote on Bowles/ Simpson. But if not I do have some idea for revenues. A dirty import for one. China produces about 30% or 40% of the pollution on the West Coast because it does not use scrubbers. It burns coal containing excessive amounts of arsenic and mercury and other heavy metals. We should tax their imports based on this pollution. This is just opposite the philosopy of the globalists that want to tax our coal producers, send the money overseas and let China and other countries slide.

I would also increase production of oil from our country since taxes and royalties generated from that activity is in lieu of sending the money overseas. We send about $350 billion dollars a year out of this country every year to buy oil and we lose the economic multiplier due to the money leaving the country. A grand bargain of drilling in Alaska and off the coasts for increased subsidies for solar, wind, biomass and NGVs could generate more revenue and more jobs.

As far as cuts, Social security spending can be cut back if we raise the retirement age. We are living longer and we need to adjust the age. That will cut expenditures in the future without depressing output today so it is a particularly good cut. Other programs can and should be cut. Big bird should be a dead duck. etc.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-09 11:02:24

…were more likely to rush into for instance an ill-advised war.

I’m sure glad America’s Founding Fathers avoided that problem!

It worked until we let them go to war without a declaration of war by congress. Didn’t it?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 13:00:32

The senate was originally selected by state legislators and not by the people at all. It was supposed to represent the interests of the states and be completely impartial to special interests and removed from the will of the people…the state powers (senate) SF Bay Area

I said yesterday that about half of what you post is accurate and the other half is lacking or tainted by dogma. Your above post a good example of my observation.

The Senate was to be “completely impartial to special interests”? No. The Senate was ALWAYS designed to be partial to “the commercial and monied interest (of America)” as I will illustrate below.

You say the reason the Senate was to be selected by the state legislators was for state powers (states rights). Maybe somewhat, but the main reason the Senate represented and represents state powers is not HOW it was or is elected. The main factor in the Senate’s wielding states power is the fact that each state, large or small, gets 2 Senators. (The Great Compromise) The Senate still wields State’s powers today even if elected popularly.

No. The main reason the Senate was originally elected from the state legislators was to keep much of the power in the hands of the wealthy and powerful. Let’s remember, many at the US Constitutional Convention of 1787 thought the people should have much less to do with the government than the final result.

Some thought America should have a King. The Senate was to insure the power of the states AND special interests - mainly the wealthy. But it is not surprising that those on the right will play up the Senate’s “states rights” aspect while ignoring the Senate’s original purpose and continuing legacy of catering to the special interests of the wealthy.

From the book, Miracle at Philadelphia. The Story of the Constitutional Convention May to September 1787.
Catherine Drinker Bowen. Little, Brown and Co. 1966

“The practical matter of how the national legislature should be elected was to take up half the summer. Roger Sherman…declared the people “should have as little to do as may be about the government.”…..Elbridge Gerry, a man of business affairs and money, agreed. “The evils we experience” he said, “flow from the excess of democracy.”…There is small doubt the Gerry’s mind turned as he said it to Captain Shays and his band of debt-ridden farmers, breaking up the meetings of country law courts and demanding “reforms” in the legislator. That the farmers had been badly treated did not enter into Gerry’s philosophy….” (page 45)

….Gerry favored election of the Senate by the state legislatures, where “the commercial and monied interest would be more secure than in the hands of the people at large.” ……John Dickinson…wished…the American Senate to consist of the most distinguished characters - distinguished for their rank in life, their weight in property, and bearing as strong of likeness to the British House of Lords as possible. Such characters were more likely to be selected by the state legislatures than by any other mode.” (pages 78-79)

(This was not “cut and pasted” I copied it out of the book I’m reading so if there are any typos in the above quote, they are mine.)

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 13:44:43

Rio, your constant personal attacks on me are getting very old. I’m asking you to cease and desist responding to my posts if you can’t do it without getting personal. You have been chain posting on everything I post ever since I proved your theory wrong about the reason for the health insurance gap in the U.S. It’s caused by uninsured immigrants 49% of which are not insured. And I backed it up with pages of stats. If you can’t stay objective than stay out of the fight. Yesterday I answered a question regarding why Germany has so many renters and you went off on a diatribe about socialized medicine and how I toke completely different contradictory views on it. That has nothing to do with the topic. You just wanted to get in a personal attach because I don’t buy your world view.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 13:53:16

Whenever my last post shows up…

Yes, I have a nuanced view of the world. Unlike you I don’t let party politics blind me. I think there is little or any meaningful difference between them. I actually try to gather as much data as I can and analyze it. A couple of days back you were singing the virtues of the medical system in Brazil. Several readers here posted that you must be full of it because the medical system down in Brazil sucks. I have actually been in Brazil I have personal experience with it and I’ve studied it. So I posted correctly that the evidence doesn’t support their the system down there sucks. In fact I posted that it is quick good compared to other third world countries. You apparently got all excited and thought I must be a hard core left wing socialist like you because I backed you up. I am not. But just because I don’t like socialist state doesn’t mean I’m going to put up blinders and not recognize a well functioning system when I see one. And Brazil does a decent job of treating their population. So I backed you up because what you had to say was true about the quality of care.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 13:57:17

You then got very disappointed because I didn’t agree with your conclusions about the current health insurance gap in the U.S. and turned against me. I disagreed because the cause of the health insurance gap was due to immigration. You had your facts mixed up. 49% of immigrants have no health insurance and they make up the bulk of the uninsured in the U.S. So you started claiming my ideas were inconsistent - one day I’m a liberal and the next I’m a right wing extremist. No I just look at the facts.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 14:04:54

Then we had another encounter here where I said that Obamacare funneled money off into big pharma and health insurance companies. And it does. Who wrote the bill? Big pharma and health insurance companies. Of course it’s in their interest. That’s why the wrote the bill! And I agreed with you that all things being equal a single payer system is more efficient Obamacare because it cuts out the insurance companies’ profit and it negotiates a discounted price for drugs like all other nations do except the U.S. which pays full sticker price for drugs under Obamacare. And you got all excited because you once again thought I must be a hard core socialist like you and I’m not. I just made a correct value judgement of the relative cost of the two systems. If anything I think this proves that the left in the U.S. under the guise of Obamacare is an epic failure.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 14:12:29

Last post blocked too - so you are going to have to wait for them all to post rio.

Finally we had one last encounter that really sent you over the roof. And this is where you are I really don’t see eye to eye. And you take it personally which is not my problem. You are a hard core socialist and you don’t care what causes poverty and how the socialist remedies are paid for. You would like to see:

- wealth confiscation
- nationalization of means of production
- 90%+ tax rates
- hyperinflation

I think all of these things will actually cause poverty. I therefore lean on the side of a paygo system. You want a socialist state? Than you get what you can actually pay for today. You can only sustainable get what you can sustainably pay for. And that is the failure of the hard core socialist states. They see poverty in a vacuum in outer space and just want to throw freebees at it. If only it was that simple… Because it always fails because they always destroy the economy and overspend and cause even more poverty than they started with until they collapse. We just spent the whole 20th century proving it during the cold war. The communists failed.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 14:17:37

This is like my sixth post - the rest are still blocked so wait for them rio.

So than you go off the deep end on me saying I am a totally right wing madman because I actually think that if we want socialized medicine than we need to pay for it with higher taxes and better productivity and GDP growth. That is madness! So you make up this whole story about how I’m totally against medicare and social security. When did I say any of that? I never did. You just make this stuff up. All I said is we need to pay for it in a sustainable fashion. And those systems if we want them need to be set up so they don’t fail. It isn’t rocket science. We could raise the retirement age for example. Maybe we do need to look at means testing or higher co-pays?

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 14:22:09

Another post for Rio - the rest are still blocked so wait for them rio.

So nothing I have said is inconsistent. I just have differences with you. I think we need to man up and pay for what we spend as we go. You think you can run a hard core socialist state sustainable by:

- confiscating wealth
- raising taxes to 90%+
- hyperinflation
- and so forth

All these lead to poverty - they don’t solve poverty. History has proven this over and over. And this is where we disagree.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 14:24:37

Rio write:

“I said yesterday that about half of what you post is accurate and the other half is lacking or tainted by dogma. Your above post a good example of my observation.” - Rio

“The Senate was to be “completely impartial to special interests”? No. The Senate was ALWAYS designed to be partial to “the commercial and monied interest (of America)”” - Rio

Nice of you to go on a personal attach rather than just debating the points. You are 100% sure I’m wrong. Why not just post your evidence and wait for my response? See this is just the personal attack stuff I’m talking about and it needs to stop.

Below I’ll post my response rio.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 14:27:53

Here are the opinions of several noted constitutional scholars that agree with my opinion and disagree with your opinion rio. Note I’m not posting any personal attack. I’m simply responding. Last I checked neither you nor I are constitutional scholars and both of us depend on them to help us understand this complex topic.

Kochan (2003) p.1053 Donald J. Kochan, for an article in the Albany Law Review, analyzed the effect of the Seventeenth Amendment on Supreme Court decisions over the constitutionality of state legislation. He found a “statistically significant difference” in the number of cases holding state legislation unconstitutional before and after the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment, with the number of holdings of unconstitutionality increasing sixfold. Besides the 17th Amendment, decline in the influence of the states also followed economic changes.

Zywicki observes that interest groups of all kinds began to focus efforts on the federal government, as national issues could not be directed by influencing only a few state legislatures of with Senators of the most seniority chairing the major committees. He attributes the rise in the strength of interest groups partially to the development of the U.S. economy on an interstate, national level. See Zywicki (1997) p.215.

Ure also argues that the Seventeenth Amendment led to the rise of special interest groups to fill the void; with citizens replacing state legislators as the Senate’s electorate, with citizens being less able to monitor the actions of their Senators, the Senate became more susceptible to pressure from interest groups, who in turn were more influential due to the centralization of power in the federal government; an interest group no longer needed to lobby many state legislatures, and could instead focus its efforts on the federal government. See Ure (2007) p.293

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 14:38:49

Yes, I have a nuanced view of the world. Unlike you I don’t let party politics blind me.

I don’t buy it. You let politics blind you all the time - way more than me. That’s why about half of what you post is accurate and the other half is lacking or tainted by dogma - and many times includes straw-man/false arguments. I’ve pointed instances out many times and I will continue to do so.

And I just proved your are extremely biased again by utilizing facts and history regarding the US Constitutional Convention of 1787. When I make serious points, I back them up with facts and history.

But most of the time when someone from the far-right confronts me, they do not do it with facts and history - in fact, hardly ever. What they do is call names or engage in an ad hominem attack (like ignorantly calling me a “hard core socialist because I support things like Medicare, Soc/Sec or universal health care.) Or they, as you do, ask rapid-fire stupid questions that don’t pertain to the subject in order to try to distract from the issue. It does not bother me when they do this because it shows they’ve “got nuthin’ and I like pointing it out.

And you writing that I “got all excited and thought (you) must be a hard core left wing socialist” because you said Brazil’s public health-care was good is about the dumbest thing I’ve read today. You’re reading comprehension is lacking.

What I said was that it is one of your modus operandi to every once in awhile say something good about the left’s positions. I think you do this to appear to the middle that you are impartial. You want to appear impartial to the middle because in latter posts you then call people “commies” who advocate the same things that you have acted like you just supported.

Example: You said socialized medicine can and has worked. Now this can lead some in the middle to think SF Bay Area is objective. Then the next day you might call someone who is advocating socialized medicine or Soc/Sec or Medicare a “commie” and you’re hoping those in the middle will believe your BS because they think you are objective. (But you are NOT objective)

Another thing you and others do (that I don’t do) is use straw-man/false arguments or comparisons such as you did yesterday. Yesterday you equated by implication, Soviet Communism with those in America who do things like advocate for protecting Soc/Sec, Medicare and push for universal healthcare. This is a false BS comparison. They are not even in the same ballpark. And you make stuff up. I never said you were “totally against Medicare or Soc/Sec.” You just made that up. What I said was that you equate supporters of those things with “commies”. You’ve done it to me many times.

This is like my sixth post -

Yawn… That’s another of your posting traits. When you get called out for your BS, you rapid fire a bunch of long-winded, “throw in the kitchen sink” “baffle them with BS” posts attempting to distract, deflect and make people forget what you’ve just been called out on. But to be clear. You were called out on your straw-man/false arguments and your bias describing the reason for the original method of electing US Senators.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 14:39:08

I apologize to everyone else on this forum to bring up the health care debate in this thread. However, I find it necessary to respond to Rio and make him stop. I’m not going to let Rio continue his personal attacks on me day after day and just make up all kinds of things about what I said and how it isn’t backed up. I won’t be intimidated by him.

Rio may have a hard core socialist ideology that borders on communists that I happen to not agree with. But I’m always interested to hear how people like rio come to their conclusions and discuss whatever as deficiencies we find in each others’ arguments without resorting to personal attacks.

Rio continues to go on the personal attack binge. He does a drive by argument. Making an axiomatic statement about how best to cure poverty in Brazil for example and then refusing to look at the results of the remedies of poverty that were tried such as hyperinflation that has resulted in Brazil and how much more poverty it has caused than it cured. That’s just one example.

So rio - if you sincerely want to look at both sides I’m willing to debate. But if you aren’t and you just want to make personal attacks than just ignore my posts from now on and more on.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 14:58:10

So you are back to the personal attacks?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 14:58:11

Rio, your constant personal attacks on me are getting very old. I’m asking you to cease and desist responding to my posts if you can’t do it without getting personal.

What’s “getting old”? Buck-up. These are not “personal attacks”. I just don’t think you are used to being called out on your biases. Sorry. Pointing out the intellectually flawed patterns of your posts ……is not “personal” attacks.

Pointing out your straw-man/false arguments (such as equating Soviet Communism with those in America Advocating for Soc/Sec/Medicare and Universal HealthCare …..is not personal attack.

Pointing out your biased and dogmatically influences posts (Such as your erroneous statement the the Senate was designed to not be influenced by special interest) …..is not personal attack.

Pointing out that you refuse to recognize “Women and Children” as a typical societal, anthropological, familial and political grouping ONLY because it destroys your biased and dogmatic point ….is not personal attack.

You’ve called me names MANY times. That is a personal attack. The above is not. You’ve used straw man/false arguments against me many times. I’ve not against you.

I’m going to call you on your posts SF bay area. You need to buck-up and realize what and how you are posting and that some people see your game and are going to point your game out. (So what are you going to do? Fire off 12 more frantic, rapid-fire posts now??)

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 15:07:38

Last post blocked too - so you are going to have to wait for them all to post rio.

Dang…….20 frantic posts throwing in the kitchen sink? Is this what it’s like to watch someone freak-out after being effectively challenged? I guess SF bay area is not used to that.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 15:13:27

I find it necessary to respond to Rio and make him stop.

Like this? :)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3YnQdBD2y64

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 15:17:14

Rio let me give you an example of how you argue:

SF Bay Area asks:
“Rio, why are so many East Germans (and former East Germans now living in Western Germany) renters. I’m listening.”

Rio responds to my question above:
“The reason why there are so many East Germans (and former East Germans now living in Western Germany) illustrates why you equating Americans advocating for universal health-care/SocSec with godless Soviet Communism is a straw-man, false argument.”

And there you have it Rio. You are telling me the reason in a nutshell there are so many former East Germans renters is because I equate Americans advocating for universal health-care/SocSec with godless Soviet Communism.

Wow! Follow that logic!

I had no idea I ever equated “godless Soviet Communism” to social security. Please show me the quote where I said that please. You made that comparison not me. And then you repeated over and over like 50 times. I never said anything of the sort. That seems to be the whole basis of your argument of why many former East Germans are renters. What?!?!

What I said was former East Germans have a 40% home ownership rate which i much lower than the 60 - 70% home ownership rate in the U.S. I reminded people that Germany was split up between the U.S., England, France and Russia after WWII. The East Germans living in the communist side lost their property to the state and the state built state housing. And when Germany re-integrated they therefore had a lot of East Germans living in state owned housing as renters living in East Germany and they had another 2.6 million former East Germans renting in West Germany that had left their homes behind and fled to the West before the put up the barbed wire and so forth to keep them in the East. And after the wall fell a lot more East Germans moved to the West to find jobs and a better way of life. And I said that’s why there are a lot of East German renters. And I posted so material to back that up.

How in the world to you get what I said above and come up with this:

“The reason why there are so many East Germans (and former East Germans now living in Western Germany) illustrates why you equating Americans advocating for universal health-care/SocSec with godless Soviet Communism is a straw-man, false argument.”

I never equated the two. You did Rio!

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 15:19:51

Here you go again:

“Pointing out your straw-man/false arguments (such as equating Soviet Communism with those in America Advocating for Soc/Sec/Medicare and Universal HealthCare …..is not personal attack.”

And that is your charge against me. Only one problem Rio - I never ever remotely made any argument to that effect. you did. And you keep attributing it to me. Show me the quote?

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 15:27:54

Rio there you go again…

“Pointing out your biased and dogmatically influences posts (Such as your erroneous statement the the Senate was designed to not be influenced by special interest) …..is not personal attack. ”

I posted three separate opinions of by noted constitutional scholars that agree with my opinion and disagree with your opinion . You posted one source from a history book you are reading that disagrees in your view. OK - that’s great! Let’s both read and learn.

But because I post a different opinion that you don’t like now I am according to you “iased and dogmatically influence(d)” and I am making “erroneous statement.” Yes that is nothing more than a personal attack.

I didn’t see anyone else personally attack me like you do over and over. Someone else responded to my post - had a different opinion and I learned something. That is dialog. You are just going off on personal attacks.

Last I checked neither you nor I are constitutional scholars and both of us depend on them to help us understand this complex topic.

Kochan (2003) p.1053 Donald J. Kochan, for an article in the Albany Law Review, analyzed the effect of the Seventeenth Amendment on Supreme Court decisions over the constitutionality of state legislation. He found a “statistically significant difference” in the number of cases holding state legislation unconstitutional before and after the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment, with the number of holdings of unconstitutionality increasing sixfold. Besides the 17th Amendment, decline in the influence of the states also followed economic changes.

Zywicki observes that interest groups of all kinds began to focus efforts on the federal government, as national issues could not be directed by influencing only a few state legislatures of with Senators of the most seniority chairing the major committees. He attributes the rise in the strength of interest groups partially to the development of the U.S. economy on an interstate, national level. See Zywicki (1997) p.215.

Ure also argues that the Seventeenth Amendment led to the rise of special interest groups to fill the void; with citizens replacing state legislators as the Senate’s electorate, with citizens being less able to monitor the actions of their Senators, the Senate became more susceptible to pressure from interest groups, who in turn were more influential due to the centralization of power in the federal government; an interest group no longer needed to lobby many state legislatures, and could instead focus its efforts on the federal government. See Ure (2007) p.293

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 15:28:44

I never ever remotely made any argument to that effect. you did. And you keep attributing it to me. Show me the quote?

You think people don’t get it? Really? You do it by implication - a more insidious and slippery way. That’s your game. I know your game. It is a common game of the Republican Party Propaganda machine. Don’t worry, I’ll kindly point those kinds of things out when you do it again. Then you can explain yourself. But maybe I’m wrong, maybe you’re just misunderstood and don’t intentionally create one straw-man after another. .

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 15:38:10

No Rio maybe you just fabricated this straw-man argument
because you want to discredit what I said:

“The reason why there are so many East Germans (and former East Germans now living in Western Germany) illustrates why you equating Americans advocating for universal health-care/SocSec with godless Soviet Communism is a straw-man, false argument.”

That Rio is your straw argument. I told you why East Germany has a lot of renters compared to the U.S. It was fact based. And I made no mention of health-care and Social Security in my statements. And yet you keep chain posted this same straw-man argument because you can’t deal with my argument.

And you also use the straw-man that I’m a “Republican Party Propaganda machine.” I said I believe in Ron Paul. Does that make me a “Republican Party Propaganda machine?” Therefore are you a “Democratic Party Propaganda machine.”

It’s all just personal attacks.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 15:42:05

So while we’re back on this topic do you want to answer my question for real this time without using a personal attack or straw-man argument?

SF Bay Area asks:
“Rio, why are so many East Germans (and former East Germans now living in Western Germany) renters. I’m listening.”

Rio responds to my question above:
“The reason why there are so many East Germans (and former East Germans now living in Western Germany) illustrates why you equating Americans advocating for universal health-care/SocSec with godless Soviet Communism is a straw-man, false argument.”

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 15:44:10

Maybe it’s for the reason I posted yesterday:

“One of the most significant obstacles for a substantial flow of investments has been the absence of a functioning real estate market. Most pre-War private property was expropriated or confiscated under the Communist regime. The first wave of measures transferring private property into the Ownership of the people” (a more appropriate term would be government or State ownership) was the so-called “Land Reform” (instituted during the Soviet Occupation between 1945 and 1949. The East German Communist government installed in 1949 continued these expropriations and confiscations that ended with a comprehensive expropriation order in 1972 that resulted in most of the remaining privately held real property and businesses, which had until then survived, finally being expropriated or confiscated. Consequently, hardly any real estate was in private hands when the Berlin Wall came down on November 9, 1989.”

Or maybe they just don’t like to own. Dunno. You tell me your opinion without all the personal attacks and straw-man arguments.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 15:47:13

SF Bay Area, You seem a bit unhinged today. I mean look at your 20-30 posts of 80% ranting gibberish. Maybe you should get an impartial editor to condense your “ideas”. I think it was said best yesterday by another poster:

Comment by ahansen
2012-10-08 23:28:44

SFarea,

I post late as a courtesy. Hope you’ll take it as intended.

Some original thoughts would be appreciated by those of us who welcome considered rightest commentary. Why not put forth the effort and make a convincing argument instead of squandering Ben’s bandwidth with the same mid-level politburo talking points? This board could use a good counter-argument instead of the same old rehash that too often passes for discussion here.

Franky, I seems to this reader that your exegeses are filtered through a hackneyed knowledge of political history and the smug self-satisfaction of someone who has spent too much time in the company of sycophants. Moreover, you seem to take untoward umbrage when some of the more patient posters call you out on your ill-considered cliches. No one care who you think you are in “real” life. That’s not what this forum is about.

Perhaps the fact escapes you that the socialist programs you cite (and cite and cite) as cautionary were enacted to address rampant poverty and unsustainable wealth disparities (and the civil unrest it spawns) in the first place? This is certainly not to excuse totalitarian excess, (as some would imply), but your verbiage is glaring in its lack of perspective. You can do better.

You’ve posed some good questions here, and they deserve thoughtful discussion, but your efforts would be far more effective (and engaging) if you’d lose some of the defensive self-justification and tried for elucidation rather than bombast.

To get respect, you have to show it first.
Pax.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 15:54:58

It’s time for me to hit the running trail Rio - I’m going to do a few miles I would be interested in your opinion without all the personal attacks and straw-man arguments.

 
Comment by Bub Diddley
2012-10-09 15:56:05

Please don’t stop posting, Rio.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 16:14:17

Here are the opinions of several noted constitutional scholars that agree with my opinion and disagree with your opinion rio.

Dang…….SF…….This is ANOTHER great example of you either not comprehending the issue or your bias affecting your objectivity. This is not a personal attack. It is an observation of a repeating pattern that does not do justice to your partners in discussion. In fact, it short changes your “debate” partners.

Because: My opinion was NOT related to the matter of if the 17th Amendment led to MORE special influence in the Senate. It was nothing of the kind. My “opinion” did not even mention the 17th Amendment.

I simply showed how you were wrong and that, in fact, having the state legislators elect Senators was done in great part to protect the special interests of the wealthy. That it did or didn’t do this more than the 17th Amendment was NOT the question. See?

……John Dickinson…wished…the American Senate to consist of the most distinguished characters - distinguished for their rank in life, their weight in property, and bearing as strong of likeness to the British House of Lords as possible. Such characters were more likely to be selected by the state legislatures than by any other mode.” (pages 78-79) Miracle At Philadelphia

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 16:25:04

It’s time for me to hit the running trail Rio - I’m going to do a few miles I would be interested in your opinion without all the personal attacks and straw-man arguments.

I’d run too if I were you too SF. You’ve been punked. And because you are the king of straw-men, personal attacks and now I’m calling you a liar.

Yes. You are a liar. You don’t lie? You don’t do straw-men? You don’t call names? Then what is this? I know what I think and feel and based on this post of yours, I know you are a liar and will say anything when you come unglued as you did today.

Ladies and gentlemen of the HBB jury. I submit this post which contains name-calling, straw-men arguments and flat out LIES.

Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 14:12:29
….You (Rio) are a hard core socialist and you don’t care what causes poverty and how the socialist remedies are paid for. You would like to see:
- wealth confiscation
- nationalization of means of production
- 90%+ tax rates
- hyperinflation

I rest my case. Liar.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-09 16:56:19

Rio,
While I appreciate your prolific thoughts more than you know, I find it unseemly that what was obviously intended as a semi-private notation is being used to further a personal agenda. While I acknowledge that this is a public board, I’d ask that you please respect the context of my posts and not use them for ulterior purposes? I would have done the same for you, you know. Thanks.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 17:14:17

While I appreciate your prolific thoughts more than you know, I find it unseemly that what was obviously intended as a semi-private notation is being used to further a personal agenda.

You got it A.H.. I’m sorry. I won’t do it again. But I didn’t know you’d mind and it was just so spot on - prose into poetry….. Defining the essence of the pattern is so few words.

And I’d not seen the word “sycophants” used by anyone so eloquently in some time.

But you can use my posts ANYTIME you want. (But just not against me please) (kidding) :)

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-09 17:17:27

Everybody–

I know it’s sometimes hard to rise above retaliation — especially when we’re subjected to ad hominem attack from Obvious Idiots (funny how there are so many of us…) but we’ve lost some fascinating posters here to gang-flaming over the years, and as a blog family, we’re the poorer for it. Instead of working out our ego issues on those we imagine fools, (even if they are) can we please strive for a little more civility, reason, and yes, rhetorical restraint? Especially those who amuse themselves by using buzzwords as deliberate provocation? Seriously. Go kick the hamster or something….

If you can’t bear to ask yourself What Would Oly Do?, at least show that courtesy to our long-suffering host.

 
2012-10-09 17:37:01

Oly ruthlessly cut down and made fun of more than a few posters. I remember her taking the p1ss out of “A.B. Dada” from Chicago, and Bilious got more than he could handle out of her.

I have the private correspondence to prove it.

It’s always been thus.

The problem is that the lack of clear-market signals brings out the worst in people. Of course, the signals are still there but the “obviousness” is gone.

I think I’ll go kick my dishwasher now. :)

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 17:38:04

I know it’s sometimes hard to rise above retaliation — especially when we’re subjected to ad hominem attack from Obvious Idiots

(and subjected to outright, baldfaced LIES)

Comment by SF Bay Area
….You (Rio) …..would like to see:
- wealth confiscation
- nationalization of means of production
- 90%+ tax rates
- hyperinflation

These are lies.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 18:11:52

This is long and is going to take a while to post…

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 18:13:11

Ahansen, that’s rich, you go on a full on frontal assault on me:

“your exegeses are filtered through a hackneyed knowledge of political history and the smug self-satisfaction of someone who has spent too much time in the company of sycophants.”

But then you want me not to respond.

Sorry I won’t be intimidated by you, Ahansen, or Rio.

And your one actual argument against what I said was a complete straw-man or worse:

“Perhaps the fact escapes you that the socialist programs you cite (and cite and cite) as cautionary were enacted to address rampant poverty and unsustainable wealth disparities (and the civil unrest it spawns) in the first place? This is certainly not to excuse totalitarian excess, (as some would imply), but your verbiage is glaring in its lack of perspective.”

Let’s get this right out of the way shall we? I did not start the thread in question. I didn’t come to the forum yesterday and cite (and cite and cite) all sorts of social programs meant to protect the poor. Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower posted a topic about why East Germans don’t own property. And I posted about only one “socialist program” that explained why they didn’t own property and it was because the socialist *TOOK ALL THEIR PROPERTY*. I’m sorry if that bursts your bubble and you want to not hear the truth!

Here is the original quote from Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower:

“Lastly and perhaps most importantly, demand is being undermined by broader-scale mood swings. People are beginning to accept that it isn’t necessary to own your own home, nor is it necessarily a long-term goal. That might seem like heresy in a country where property ownership has been viewed as a God-given right, but when you consider that in economic powerhouse Germany the share of residential property accounted for by rentals is more than 60 percent in most states and 90 percent in the capital, Berlin, it’s not all that strange.”

To which scdave replied:

“but when you consider that in economic powerhouse Germany the share of residential property accounted for by rentals is more than 60 percent in most states and 90 percent in the capital, Berlin, it’s not all that strange ??”

“A very interesting statistic that I was unaware of….Less than a 40% ownership rate in Germany with its high income and all ??”

And Colorado posted his hypothesis:

“I guess that since most Germans have good wages, benefits and pensions waiting for them, they don’t need “their house to work for them”?”

Scdave:

I guess that since most Germans have good wages, benefits and pensions waiting for them, they don’t need “their house to work for them”?

And I was the only person brave enough to speak the truth:

“Communism and the reunification of West and East Germany are why rental rates are so high in Germany. For those of you too young to know Germany was split into two counties after World War II by the U.S. allies and the Russians. West Germany became part of Western Europe and East Germany was run by the communist. The communist “liberated” the housing stock from the people and built large social housing projects in East Germany. Housing was owned by the state not by the people individually. When the Berlin Wall Fell and communism ended and the two parts were re-united in East Germany the housing stock became rentals. And East Germans flooded West Germany to escape of the hell hole that Communism had created in the East. The mass of East Germans were poor and rented houses in the West to find jobs and a better life. So you ended up with rentals in both the East and the West. Prices for housing in the East fell because so many people wanted to leave the East so naturally it wasn’t worth “investing” in East German real estate.”

“One of the most significant obstacles for a substantial flow of investments has been the absence of a functioning real estate market. Most pre-War private property was expropriated or confiscated under the Communist regime. The first wave of measures transferring private property into the Ownership of the people” (a more appropriate term would be government or State ownership) was the so-called “Land Reform” (instituted during the Soviet Occupation between 1945 and 1949. The East German Communist government installed in 1949 continued these expropriations and confiscations that ended with a comprehensive expropriation order in 1972 that resulted in most of the remaining privately held real property and businesses, which had until then survived, finally being expropriated or confiscated. Consequently, hardly any real estate was in private hands when the Berlin Wall came down on November 9, 1989.”

Clearly I should be sent to the thought police for my pre-crime of pointing out the obvious – that East Germans tend to not own property because it was taken from them by the Communist. Shame on me! And clearly this was done to per your quote “were enacted to address rampant poverty and unsustainable wealth disparities” Give me a break – millions of East Germans fled and their homes and farms were given to the communist poles and the soviets.

But I guess that’s just too much critical thinking to handle.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 18:30:35

This is long and is going to take a while to post…

Long, disjointed, off topic, biased, frantic, freaked out……What’s new? :)

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 18:39:12

Rio, it is a lie that you support a wealth tax? I don’t think so - some classic Rio quotes:

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-05-08 10:53:01
Charge each household a lump sum tax bill based on their accumulated wealth.

PB, I like your tax proposal from yesterday—really like it.
Me too.

http://thehousingbubbleblog.com/?p=6686

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-08-21 09:24:32

Money that is poofed will not be around to circulate. Money that is not around to circulate will not be available for people to use to buy things that are for sale, which means a lot of things will not be sold.

The same thing happens when money is redistributed from the middle-class to the super rich. It has happened. It is not just theory anymore.

USA has plenty of “money”. It’s just concentrated in too few’s hands and needs to be redistributed back to levels seen when America’s middle-class was strong.

http://thehousingbubbleblog.com/?p=6195

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2010-09-06 09:38:12

Of course, the times that I’ve brought this up on the blog, here comes the whining about a “regressive” tax on “the poor”.

A national sales tax is a regressive tax on the poor, however if it were used in conjunction with a “wealth” tax including a tax on every financial transaction, then the entire tax burden need not be regressive.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 18:52:34

Keep the personal attacks coming Rio - it’s all you got!

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 19:30:00

Let’s see add a 3.8% Obamacare tax + 13.3% California tax to your recommend 70% Fed tax and you get pretty close to 90%. Wow Rio - you better hope everyone has gone to bed so they don’t read about all your lies.

http://thehousingbubbleblog.com/?p=6802
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-10-19 09:23:10
We cannot continue as we have been doing for the past 10 years. Everyone is going to have to pay more in taxes.
Everyone does not have to pay more in taxes. That is a myth. We just need to go back to our tax structure of the 30s, 40’s 50s, 60s and 70s. (something the regressive-right wants us to forget)
income and wealth are now more concentrated than they’ve been in 70 years. The top 1 percent gets over 20 percent of total income and holds over 35 percent of national wealth; the richest 400 Americans have more wealth than the bottom 150 million Americans put together.
And effective tax rates on the rich are lower than they’ve been in three decades.
We need to push for higher marginal taxes on the top, and more brackets. Incomes of more than $5 million should be subject to a 70 percent rate. (The top marginal rate was never below 70 percent between 1940 and 1980.) And they should apply to all income regardless of source, including capital gains.
This would allow for a bigger Earned Income Tax Credit (that is, a wage subsidy) for lower-income workers. And lower taxes on middle-income workers.
There should be a 2 percent annual surtax on all fortunes over $7 million. This would hit only half a percent of Americans at the very top of the heap. And would yield $70 billion a year – enough to improve our schools and make college affordable to everyone.
And a tax on financial transactions. Even a tiny one of one-half of one percent would generate $200 billion a year. That’s enough to make a major contribution toward early childhood education for every American toddler.

http://robertreich.org/post/11591880881#ixzz1bFGVCTZa

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 19:32:42

Keep the personal attacks coming Rio - it’s all you got!

No. Your 20-30 frantic, unhinged, disjointed, and devious posts show me that I have a heck of a lot more than just that. Your are running in circles. Someone has your number, your patterns.

Rio, it is a lie that you support a wealth tax? I don’t think so - some classic Rio quotes:

First of all you saying I am a hard core socialist is a LIE. No matter your stupidly trying to define it below.

I’d say your strawman post against me was 70% lies and 20% warping of the truth and 10% truth but mostly illustrating your bias, and ignorance of past American history and revenue trends. (Just as your Constitution and Senate comments were flawed and which I dismantled. Twice.)

.You (Rio) …..would like to see:
- wealth confiscation

My favorite is a small tax on all transactions. Not all taxes are “confiscation” however, thinking deeper than a one sentence response…..I might support a targeted wealth tax but mostly on the financial sector that got bailed out and monopolies who derived their monopolies through the government. But I don’t think that would be confiscation because that wealth was redistributed from the middle-class tax payers to the rich or from government corruption to the rich. Right now, I support higher progressive taxes. Over 70% of Americans believe in higher progressive taxes and 70% of Americans are not “hard core socialists” and neither am I. And I don’t believe progressive taxes or claw backs from bailouts are “confiscation” On this point, I’d say you were just partially correct.


- nationalization of means of production

I don’t support this. I do support the government coming in and temporarily supporting industries of vital national interest such as the Automotive industry. Temporarily. In March according to Pew Research, a majority of Americans held this view and they are not “hard-core” socialists.

90%+ tax rates
I’d support top rates in the 50-70% range on huge incomes. The country did not suffer when we had 90% tax rates in the 50s and 60’s but I would not go that far.

- hyperinflation
I’ve come to the conclusion that if the SHTF. USA should default and not inflate. IMO default is much more capitalistic than hyperinflation. Both are bad but hyperinflation is a more regressive tax on the poor IMO. It is socializing the losses much more than defaulting.

So I’d rate your BS, SF Bbay Area as 70% lies and 20% warping of the truth and 10% truth.

So in this case you are a LIAR. And an ignorant Liar. (See, I told you I had more than personal attacks.) :)

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 19:39:20

http://thehousingbubbleblog.com/?p=6391

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-03-16 14:12:12

Something about not “feeling” rich, wasn’t it?

How can a man feel rich when someone is richer than him? It’s human nature. I mean in America, only Bill Gates is really rich. The rest just want to be like him. Rich always want more.

This is a mental burden all “rich” people must bear and it’s sad for them so we should help them.

We could make a it a law that 200 million is the max on anyone’s personal wealth. That way all these super-rich can honestly tell everyone that they are as rich as they ever possibly could be because it would be true.

That way they will “feel” as rich as they ever could and then they’d sleep better at night.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 19:42:48

Print baby print - all we need is a printing press and we can buy all the riches we want! - Rio!

http://thehousingbubbleblog.com/?p=6391

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-03-16 17:25:23

Japan’s growth will barely be affected by the earthquake and tsunami, and the economy may even expand faster than expected, its economy minister believes, as spending on rebuilding shores up output.

See? They and we have all the money in the world. It’s just we don’t get to print it nor allocate it.

But we’re being brainwashed to accept a sweet little thing called austerity. Because we’re “socialists”. Our jobs are secure, we have long, lazy vacations, cradle to grave free healthcare, nursing home care, all that free education and great benefits.

It’s time 95% of us “socialists” bite the bullet because we have it too good and besides, the owners of our media and multi-national corporations say so.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 19:46:35

I’m going to call you 90% Rio from now on:

http://thehousingbubbleblog.com/?p=6391

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-03-16 13:38:11

Top income tax rate under ‘the pragmatist’ Eisenhower: 91%

Compared to today’s right wing, hypocritical, corporatist, fascist nutballs, Nixon, Eisenhower, Ford, Dole etc. were all “socialists”.

Heck, even Nixon wanted a national health plan way more “socialist” than Obama got.

In “communist” Nixon’s own collective and lefty words:

http://www.kaiserhealthnews.org/Stories/2009/September/03/nixon-proposal.aspx

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 19:46:53

Let’s see add a 3.8% Obamacare tax + 13.3% California tax to your recommend 70% Fed tax and you get pretty close to 90%. Wow Rio - you better hope everyone has gone to bed so they don’t read about all your lies.

We’re talking Federal taxes. If we add your Republican Propaganda stupidity tax, you and your ignorant buddies are probably paying the Federal government to work! :)

(that was funny!) Man you are fun.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 19:49:56

Rio just wants the nice socialists! NAZI where the Nationalsozialismus or National Socialist. They all sounds so friendly in Rio’s brain until you actually look at examples of what he wants:

http://thehousingbubbleblog.com/?p=6391

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-03-16 16:15:47

but will it be socialist ala Germany 1930s

Germany was never “socialist” under Hitler. It was fascist and used the word “socialist” in its misleading name to fool the people at the beginning. It worked.

Kind of how the right want’s to now fool the unknowing into thinking that Nazism was “socialism”.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 19:52:34

And you would ideally like to put the means of production into the hands of the state for the good of us all. I’m sure you would be in charge - I feel so much better:

http://thehousingbubbleblog.com/?p=6391

omment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2011-03-16 18:52:12

So you believe that in Germany in the 30s that each successive year did not see greater and greater government control of the means of production?

Wow. Your missing the big part. Government control of means of production as in Nazi Germany did not and does not fulfill Socialism’s main tenant and requirement of vesting of the ownership and control of the means of production and distribution, of capital, land, etc., in the community as a whole.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 19:54:40

Rio is it true a lot of NAZI’s relocated to Brazil to escape war crime trials. Know any down there?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 19:55:13

Heck, even Nixon wanted a national health plan way more “socialist” than Obama got.

Dude, Thank you for re-posting my posts! I love them. Spread my word! The lord works in mysterious ways! :)

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 19:56:37

Rio - what is your opinion on the serial hyperinflation Brazil caused by their socialist policy?

Nahhh didn’t think you’d want to answer that one. That’s only for the big boys to worry about. Not children living in their parents’ basements like you.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 20:04:08

That’s what I’m saying 90% Rio - you are a hard core socialist. Come out of the closet - be proud.

You want:

- wealth confiscation
- nationalization of means of production
- 90%+ tax rates
- hyperinflation

You don’t need to hide it. Own it and share it.

Not that there is anything wrong with that.

Look in the SF Bay Area we have coming out parties all the time baby! You know what I mean. This is the gay capital of the world!

Let’s call this 90% Rio’s coming out party!

Mazel tov!

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 20:09:06

the serial hyperinflation Brazil caused by their socialist policy?

Funny, since the “socialists” Lula and “commies” Dilma took over Brazil, there has been no hyperinflation. And the middle-class has increased by 35 million people. (And Fernando Henrique Cardoso ROCKED too)

Not children living in their parents’ basements like you.

Basements? In Rio de Janeiro? Brazil? Like in a house? That’s just silly.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 20:16:25

So you believe that in Germany in the 30s that each successive year did not see greater and greater government control of the means of production?

This is not my quote. Many tonight have not been mine. This is another example of SF bay area being a liar. And devious or at least a lazy liar.

And a real freaked out one tonight.

How many more frantic posts SF? I’m getting tired and worried for your mental health.

Maybe I’m going to stop tonight. Because I’m nice. And this movie I’m watching is much more interesting than your weirdness.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 20:22:34

I provided links to everyone of your quotes so everyone could verify them.

Coming out party!

This will be a fun year Rio!

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 20:25:15

90% Rio’s coming out dance:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gqEtq34dSUo

 
Comment by localandlord
2012-10-09 20:32:30

“How can a man feel rich when someone is richer than him? It’s human nature.”

SF - it is easy to feel rich when one lives among people who are poorer than you.

I wonder if that is the root of your problem - you live among the very wealthy and it is gnawing at your soul. There are plenty of scenic small towns and cities with a high quality of life and low average income. Can you relocate???

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 20:32:39

I think I’ll post this video below every comment you make from now on. Just to give it a little color you know.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 20:33:54

Brings back memories doesn’t it 95% Rio?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gPiDTfhX86M

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 20:47:06

I think I’ll post this video below every comment you make from now on. Just to give it a little color you know.

SF. You’ve freaked. Sorry. You are grasping at unreality. A bruised ego….. Maybe not used to your BS being called out. Sorry, I think there is something off kilter going on. Your pattern, your 40-50 posts. 80% dealing with…….nothing….

Post what you want about me. It might help you. In your Twilight Zone. :(

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NzlG28B-R8Y

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 20:48:17

localandlord that quote is from brother 90% Rio.

I personally am self made and set for life now.

“I wonder if that is the root of your problem” -localandlord

What problem would that be?

Look when 90% Rio has completed his task of:

- wealth confiscation
- nationalization of means of production
- 90%+ tax rates
- hyperinflation

I will probably take my significant other along with my three sisters + their significant others and all my nephews and nieces to a better place. I can support them all for life. I will want for nothing.

Rio on the other hand - being the young lad that he is living with his parent in socialist heaven will see his medicare and social security destroyed when he is an old man.

I am offering to give up my medicare and social security via means testing, larger co-pays and a older retirement age so that his generation doesn’t get left with Zilch - especially the poor. Unlike him I actually give a darn.

And I didn’t ask for the Bush tax cuts and I didn’t vote for bush. Tax me! Pay for the darn programs or don’t have them!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gPiDTfhX86M

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 20:51:37

90% Rio:

“Post what you want about me. It might help you. In your Twilight Zone. :(”

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NzlG28B-R8Y

Great so it’s a date - you an me!

I’m in!

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 20:53:51

90% Rio like we were both there yesterday!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BvnJS_zkaMY&feature=related

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 20:55:57

localandlord that quote is from brother 90% Rio.

As usual, you miss the big picture. Because of dogma.

I think localandlord is more worried about your mental well-being and apparent tortured soul than our stupid “argument”.

I personally am self made and set for life now.

No. I don’t think so at all. You don’t seem “set” for life.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 21:00:44

Paygo brother 90% Rio - paygo!

Pay as you go! And don’t leave the debt for your children:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5WpYWpN0VXU&feature=relmfu

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 21:03:41

90% Rio I didn’t know you danced in your back yard!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XIADWxQMrug&feature=related

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 21:06:23

90% Rio I guess I’m making you agree because I am willing to pay my money to take of you old self 50 years from now and give up my SS and medicare. Wow. Who would have know. Paygo! Pay as you go - no generation should leave debt to their children.

90% Tax Rate Rio getting mad:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1YsL4HXZN9E&feature=related

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 21:07:40

I will want for nothing.

Except apparently for mental toughness, higher than average subjective cognitive ability, and mental peace of mind when confronted by those who don’t agree with you.

But that don’t mean much because God loves you as he does me. God bless you brother. Peace and goodnight.

Brother Rio

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 21:11:36

Wow and you celebrated the October Revolution for Moi?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8IGbjPqFFvA&feature=related

And look those nice Bolsheviks taking the German Real Estate just like we talked about!

Just like you said - it’s so easy to give away real estate when you steal it from someone else. Wow! You are totally so giving!

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 21:19:45

90% Rio and his national socialist party has a plan that doesn’t involve paying for anything! Wow they just take it!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vHy9ASYgVB0&feature=related

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 21:25:09

What strikes me about that last video - is if you look carefully at the women in the audience you can really see how the stress of a socialist society has aged them. Unlike 90% Rio - I have been there. I saw what they left behind after his socialist dream.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 21:29:41

Yeah your socialist experiment didn’t end well in terms of human health:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ad63Wk8550Q

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 21:33:41

Wow! 90% Rio are you sure you can take care of our health because your health record is not looking good:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OgNQJyAuxpk

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 21:38:15

Oddly enough my capitalist cousin Sacha Nairobi (and yes she is my favorite cousin) is looking very healthy. Coincidence? I think not. This is a much watch!!!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lHvTbMeou38

This will life the spirit of even 90% Rio!

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 21:40:17

Darn those capitalist - she’s got three new songs on facebook! Rock on!

http://www.myspace.com/sachanairobi/music/songs/raquel-25803902

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 22:00:12

OMG! When we were down and out in California those Unions where stealing from us? And the source is a Democratic State Senator???

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444443504577601664135014368.html

90% Rio you have some splanning to do from your parents house. How you going to fix this?

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-09 22:35:57

sfarea,
I’m at bnis dotnet and it’s dvsntt. Pour a snifter of Hibiki and unload if you like. It’s been a long day….

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-09 22:46:30

‘The problem is that the lack of clear-market signals brings out the worst in people. Of course, the signals are still there but the “obviousness” is gone.’

That is a great observation which frankly eluded me. We’ve gone from market conditions where buying real estate or stocks was a complete no-brainer guaranteed to make you rich to a world where the Bearded One is using every trick in the book to pump up asset prices, with very little movement to show for the effort.

It is a puzzling situation, though fortunately not one that makes me want to kick the hamster or the dishwasher.
:-)

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Martin
2012-10-09 05:04:53

Would Greece ever DEFAULT? Or kicking the can down the road till we become really old and all becomes new normal.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel has arrived amid heavy security for her first Greek visit since the eurozone crisis erupted nearly three years ago.

Some 7,000 police officers are on duty, with protests banned in certain areas.

However, many people who blame Germany for forcing painful austerity measures on Greece streamed into central squares carrying anti-Merkel banners.

Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 08:51:15

Greece just defaulted on a large portion of its debt just a few months back. They defaulted many times over the past couple hundred years. They will have to default again no doubt.

 
 
Comment by Martin
2012-10-09 05:06:40

Who says China is going down or is seeing a hard landing:

BEIJING: Average home prices in China’s 100 big cities edged up for a fourth straight month in September, a private survey showed, reinforcing signs of a mild recovery as the government seeks to boost growth while avoiding a real estate bubble.

Average home prices rose 0.17 percent to 8,753 yuan ($1,400)per square metre in September, moderating from August’s month-on-month increase of 0.24 percent, the China Real Estate Index System (CREIS) said.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-10-09 06:06:37

This appears to be the pimping of sunny optimism.

The moneychangers confidence game is failing.

DO NOT buy housing now.

2012-10-09 06:33:21

Look at yesterday’s Bits Bucket.

Yesterday, he was p1mping salaries for faculty (totally fake!)

When he got called out, he’s on China now?

Wonder what the game is, or whether he’s just touched in the head.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-10-09 06:37:37

No doubt. My Bull$hit Radar was getting hits yesterday.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
2012-10-09 06:48:14

I mean, look at the logic.

How do faculty salaries (fictitious as they are) affect any decision of mine? Even if they were real, how does it bother me?

Ditto for China. How does China factor into anything I do right here in NYC?

I think it’s a variant of “buy now or be priced out forever” or “the Chinese are gonna buy up everything”.

I thought we were past that point but apparently not. The p1mpers are back.

What a crock!

 
Comment by Martin
2012-10-09 06:53:18

FPSS:

Your language says a lot about your literacy level. It would reflect good of you if you use better language.
Just showing anger or using bad words doesn’t make you right.

As I said yesterday, you live in your own little world when you talk about China and its influence on US markets or even faculty salaries.

 
2012-10-09 06:56:40

Great!

I’ll just wait for the Columbia and NYU faculty to buy out the Tisch Brothers.

That’ll be a h00t and a half!

P1mp away, baby, p1mp away. It’s quite entertaining.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-10-09 07:07:41

I think it’s a variant of “buy now or be priced out forever” or “the Chinese are gonna buy up everything”.

That’s exactly what it is brother…… and please watch your language….. the word “pimp” is very very offensive.

 
2012-10-09 07:44:52

You prefer Fur-Coated Vertically-Challenged Fashion-Backward Body-Salesman?

Or maybe I can use “ponce”. That’s ol’-fashioned enough to suit grandma.

 
 
Comment by Martin
2012-10-09 06:59:03

FPSS:

People like you make esteemed blogs like this give a bad name. Why do you have to call names.

Are you trying to say you are the best. Others who don’t listen to your views are idiots.

The above post was for irony that media is propagating what isn’t true. China is slowing down faster than expected.

Get out of your own world and start seeing the world and other people with some love and respect. Don’t be full of yourself.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-09 07:22:00

I agree with you on the calling of names. However, you state that:

“The above post was for irony that media is propagating what isn’t true. China is slowing down faster than expected.”

I think that China has hit the wall and no longer has the natural resources or a cheap labor force to continue to grow at a fast clip. Many on this board saw this coming.
Moreover, I do not trust the numbers coming out of China since you will see things like electicity demand being stable but growth still around 8% in the GDP.

Bubbles can continue for quite awhile so the fact that real estate may continue to go up after the fundamentals are gone is not a surprise or evidence that we are wrong about the slowdown. While China could adopt a stimilus policy to get back to 8% growth in the short term, I believe that five years from now a China growing at 5% is much more likely than a China growing a 8% plus and the only way you will ever see 10% is if a recession occurred the year before. Just my opinion but it is based on facts.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-09 07:43:04

‘According to data released by the market research division of Centaline Property Agency, during the first seven days of the National Day holiday (September 30 – October 6), 16,000 residential properties were sold in 54 cities, down 70 percent year-on-year.’

http://www.chinascopefinancial.com/news/post/17290.html

‘But has China built too many houses and roads than needed? Rohr believes it has. China’s National Trunk Highway System is already longer than the US Interstate System, while the US has three times more cars than China has. Statistics show that the average urban household in China owns 1.2 homes, which explains the anecdotal “ghost cities.”

‘Rohr holds that, in China, the wealth effect from a burst in the housing market is likely to be huge because real estate accounts for 41% of Chinese household wealth, compared with 26% in the US.’

http://www.morningstar.co.uk/uk/news/95656/A-Hangover-for-China.aspx

 
2012-10-09 07:49:34

the average urban household in China owns 1.2 homes

That statistic right there says it all.

China is going to have the mother of all hard landings. Anyone that can’t see it and talks about “leveling off” and “soft landings” and “hangovers” simply can’t see the forest for the trees.

 
Comment by scdave
2012-10-09 10:05:16

I think that China has hit the wall and no longer has the natural resources or a cheap labor force to continue to grow at a fast clip ??

CEO of Dow Chemical who has much business in China said over the weekend that there is no-way that China is growing at the 7-8% suggested…He said its more like 2% and that will effect negatively on several other countries including Australia & Europe & Brazil….

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-10-09 10:12:13

no longer has the natural resources

It never had the natural resources, hence China’s foray into Africa and the boom in Australia, not to mention China’s deals with Iran for oil…

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-09 11:27:01

It use to export oil and coal even into the early 90’s (for oil) and even later for coal. It is a vast country and still has vast natural resources. However, it has outstripped its natural resources. Thus, its industry, that runs mainly on coal, has to pay close to the world rate for oil and coal and that has been a game changer.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-09 11:59:08

CEO of Dow Chemical who has much business in China said over the weekend that there is no-way that China is growing at the 7-8% suggested…He said its more like 2%…

As mentioned before, I was an economics major Back in the Day. One of my professors was a world-renowned expert on the Chinese economy.

The prof was too polite to say so, but we picked up on the notion that the Chinese government was lying through its teeth about the state of that country’s economy.

Prof stopped just short of saying so, and you could tell that he really wanted to. But he probably didn’t want to jeopardize the lives of his contacts in the PRC.

And, mind you, this was back in the 1970s in the years right after Mao’s death.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 13:21:27

Are you trying to say you (FasterPusscatSS) are the best. (and) Others who don’t listen to your views are idiots. ?

Is that a trick question? :)

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Seen it All
2012-10-09 06:26:51

Cram Down Irish style Today’s NYT
DUBLIN — With its economy still reeling from the housing crash, Ireland is making a bold move to help tens of thousands of struggling homeowners.

The Irish government expects to pass a law this year that could encourage banks to substantially cut the amount that borrowers owe on their mortgages, a step that no major country has been willing to take on a broad scale.

The initiative, which would lower a borrower’s monthly payment, could prevent a tide of foreclosures, an uncertainty that has been hanging over the Irish housing market for years. If it works, the plan could provide a road map for other troubled countries.

Without the proposed law, Laura Crowley, a nurse who lives in a village 30 miles west of Dublin, figures she will lose her home. In 2007, Ms. Crowley and her husband bought a small home for the equivalent of $420,000. But they can no longer afford the $1,400 monthly payment. Her husband, a construction worker, is earning far less and her take-home pay has been cut by the country’s new austerity measures, which include new taxes. “This bill is the only light at the end of the tunnel for us,” she said.

2012-10-09 06:40:33

$1,400 on a $420K loan seems awfully low.

Perhaps they put a hefty downpayment? Sounds unlikely.

Something doesn’t sound right here. And if they couldn’t pay $1,400 per month, going into debt for $420K seems awfully ambitious.

Oh wait! They were gonna be rich, rich, rich, and all the rubes and ret@rds who said otherwise were gonna be priced out forever.

BWAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 13:30:59

BWAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!

LOL!!!! Totally PussyCat!! How about this hilarious part???:

Her husband, a construction worker, is earning far less and her take-home pay has been cut by the country’s new austerity measures, which include new taxes.

LOLsies!!! Awesome huh???!!!! It’s almost as funny as the story you LOVED about the single mom and her 6 year old daughter who just lost her daddy who had lost his job and now they are losing their house!!!!!!! :) Bwahahaaahhhaahhah!!!!!!!

(good lord help us)

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-09 14:06:32

Puh-lease.

People who can’t see into the future and think they have any kind of job security are just losers.

Besides, if you knew you were going to be laid off about once every 10 years, why would you even buy a house? And if people didn’t buy, just where would an entire industry be, huh? Heck, several industries?!

Think of the bankers and realtors, man!

(Comments wont nest below this level)
2012-10-09 15:23:58

LOLsies!!! Awesome huh???!!!!

Yep, it’s actually really funny.

Ask yourself why a nurse and a construction worker thought they could swing almost a half-a-million dollar house (is that a typo? is that euros?)

What delusion possessed them to do that?

The answer is simple. The house was gonna make them rich. It was plain ol’-fashioned greed.

Now they’re stuck. And Ireland is a recourse country. Enjoy debt-serfdom, kids!

Yep, laughing at greed. Not really a problem.

BWAHHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHHHHHHHHHH!!!

 
 
 
 
Comment by rms
2012-10-09 06:57:08

“In 2007, Ms. Crowley and her husband bought a small home for the equivalent of $420,000. But they can no longer afford the $1,400 monthly payment.”

Something is wrong with these numbers . . . unless there is a HUGE balloon payment lurking. :)

Comment by frankie
2012-10-09 12:20:37

They be on an interest only mortgage. Paying about 2.5% interest, probably a tracker running 1.5 to 2 percent above the European Central Banks base rate. The problem they will have is a soon as the Tracker rate finishes they be on the Bank or Building Societies Base rate and that could be twice what they are paying.

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-09 10:23:38

PASS a law to ENCOURAGE someone to do something????????

What a joke. Maybe they can see “pretty please.”

Either PASS the law and then expect to see millions of other CURRENT homeowners STOP paying their mortgage to get on the “reduce your mortgage for free” gravy train OR

Foreclose on the people that can NOT afford their house.

The choice is really that simple.

—————————————-

The Irish government expects to pass a law this year that could encourage banks to substantially cut the amount that borrowers owe on their mortgages, a step that no major country has been willing to take on a broad scale.

 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-09 07:03:42

Good as gold:

First-time buyers skip the starter home

Article by: JIM BUCHTA
Star Tribune
September 29, 2012 - 3:57 PM

Joseph and Kayla Simons aren’t your typical first-time home buyers.

Armed with low interest rates, bargain prices and good income, the young couple sidestepped a starter home and bought a 3,000-square-foot house on a tree-lined street in Maple Grove.

“Since we knew we could easily afford to buy more than we were initially looking to spend, the choice was quite simple,” said Joseph Simons. “Why not buy a forever home with everything we want?”

Real estate agents say more twentysomething, childless buyers are snapping up sprawling homes instead of starting out small. It’s a trend that’s gaining momentum as young buyers seize on some of the best housing deals in history. While the shift is unlikely to kick-start construction of new subdivisions filled with McMansions, it’s helping to revive sales of midpriced and upper-bracket houses. The Simonses, for instance, initially planned to spend about $200,000 on a townhouse, but ended up spending tens of thousands more once they started shopping.

“The more starter homes we saw, the less impressed we became,” Joseph Simons said.

Lennar sales agent Jeremy Berg said the Jewisons are not unusual. He has several young, childless buyers who are building 3,500-square-foot houses that will serve their needs for at least a couple of decades.

Steve Howe, a sales agent for Remax Results, said the primary driver is a basic fear that mortgage rates may never be this low again.

“If they can lock in a $300,000 or $350,000 mortgage at 3.5 percent, that’s as good as gold,” said Howe, who specializes in helping first-time buyers.

That’s what motivated Michael and Kendra Means, who wanted a house that would suit their needs for at least a decade. The newlyweds recently bought a traditional two-story suburban house with an attached garage, five bedrooms and 3 1/2 bathrooms. When they moved in May, they barely had enough furniture to fill a few rooms, but plan to set up one as an office. Since they have no children yet, they’ll have two guest rooms for extended family.

“We haven’t furnished the whole place; we’re just using a few rooms right now,” said Michael Means. “We wanted to have room to grow, yet not outgrow the place.”

http://www.startribune.com/printarticle/?id=171850111

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-09 07:17:09

Hmmm … what happened to the generation consisting of bicycle riding, apartment sharing hipsters?

My guess: those with real jobs still want a house, a nice car and a family. The lucky ducky crowd knows that they will never have that and have adjusted their expectations accordingly.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-09 07:30:22

Those Lucky Duckies and Occupy loosers are getting exactly what they deserved when they voted for Hopey Changey in 2008!

“College graduates should not have to live out their 20’s in their childhood bedrooms, staring up at fading Obama posters and wondering when the can move out and get going with life” — Representative Paul Ryan

Some more LOLZ: How do you get an English major off of your porch? Pay him for the pizza! BWA HA HA HA HA HA HA

Restore Our Future!

Take America Back!

2012-10-09 07:52:53

Take America Back!

It seems to be headed in that direction all by itself. No leadership needed there.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-09 07:38:17

Colorado, thanks for your support yesterday. I was too busy to respond to all comments. While I agree with you that many people have adjusted their expectations, it still stuns me how many have not. All the car companies had to do to increase their sales was to get loans for people that really could not afford them. It has started all over. If the people can afford the house then it is their choice. But I think they are ignoring that the actual structure is a depreciating asset, and they will have to heat and/or cool a lot of rooms.
Perhaps it is because people really did not pay much of a price for buying a house over their heads. They HELO’cd for a lot of toys and then lived free until foreclosure. It was not much of a price to pay for stupidity.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-09 08:31:55

Well … if you make $10 an hour, I don’t see how you can afford a car payment, insurance and gas, unless you live in your folk’s basement, so I expect repos to ratchet up.

My paid for car still purrs like a kitten, and even though I make multiples of what a lucky ducky does, I’m glad we only have 1 car payment right now (almost paid off as well).

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Comment by goon squad
2012-10-09 11:23:41

even though I make multiples of what a lucky ducky does

So you’re admitting that you’re a 1%er now? Of the limousine liberal variety, looking down your nose at the common rabble from your $3.5M house in the foothills above Boulder.

RESTORE OUR FUTURE!

 
Comment by Pete
2012-10-09 15:49:06

“Of the limousine liberal variety, looking down your nose at the common rabble from your $3.5M house in the foothills above Boulder.”

With a latte. Can’t leave that out.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-10-09 07:17:14

“If they can lock in a $300,000 or $350,000 mortgage at 3.5 percent, that’s as good as gold,” said Howe, who specializes in helping first-time buyers.

Stunning.

Can you imagine signing up for $350k of debt on a item that isn’t worth much more than $175k? Worse yet, they’ll repay the bank $600k+.

Yeah…. Howe is really “helping” these suckers…… Dooey, Cheatum and Howe.

2012-10-09 07:41:51

“We haven’t furnished the whole place; we’re just using a few rooms right now,”

Guess Michael Means doesn’t quite have the means?

In the future, what does that mean?

I’m probably being quite mean. :P

 
 
Comment by rms
2012-10-09 07:29:37

“We wanted to have room to grow, yet not outgrow the place.”

Now they can go buy stuff.

Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-09 07:49:01

“We wanted to have room to grow, yet not outgrow the place.”

I am little slow today. What does it even mean?

Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-09 08:17:32

It means…I want THINGS to fill up my life not KIDS….

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Comment by Overtaxed
2012-10-09 08:27:47

“It means…I want THINGS to fill up my life not KIDS….”

Nothing wrong with that, IMHO.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-09 08:37:31

True but you could do it in a house at 1/2 the price and have lots of $$ left over for other things Like travelling….guess these people want to be slaves to their house…

 
 
 
 
Comment by b-hamster
2012-10-09 08:57:01

I’ve been in my share of McMansions that had either empty rooms, or the nightstand that was a moving box with a tablecloth thrown over it.

I wnder if they figured into the calculation the amount to heat it in the Minneapolis winters, keeping it clean, commuting from ther exurbs ($350k doen’t buy a whole lotta house anywhere I’ve been recently, especially 3,000sf of it), etc. From the looks of it, I would gamble that the quality of craftsmanship won’t give it a much longer life than one generation either, but I digress.

 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-09 10:26:58

Thank you obama for re-inflating the housing bubble.

It took only $5 Trillion in new debt.

I give you credit obama - you did it.

I soon expect to see strawberry pickers buying $750,000 house soon…

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-09 11:42:09

From wikipedia:

“Restore Our Future was founded by Romney aides in 2010. Charles Spies, the group’s treasurer and former general counsel for Romney’s 2008 campaign for the Republican Presidential nomination, described Restore Our Future as “an independent effort focused on getting Romney elected president.” The group reported raising over $12 million in the first half of 2011, in the form of large donations from approximately 90 wealthy individuals and corporations. As of July 2012, Restore Our Future had raised more than $60 million, nearly half from Wall Street contributors.

 
 
Comment by polly
2012-10-09 10:49:47

Let us assume, for the sake of argument, that everything goes according to plan. Their jobs remain stable. They don’t have to move. They keep getting raises so that as they add a child or children, they can still afford the house. Everything seems fine.

This is a huge assumption. It probably won’t happen, but we have a question to ask and answer.

Who is hurt in this scenario?

What about that realtor who doesn’t get to sell this house and help them purchase their first “step up” house? What about the realtor who doesn’t get to sell their first “step up” house and help them purchase their “dream house”? If their plans are perfect, they aren’t going to need help with selling/buying real estate until they are ready to down size in 30 or 40 years.

NAR (who believe that all plans come to fruition) should be shaking in their boots.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-09 11:02:43

I see the words “starter” and “home” used together in a sentence, I immediately discredit the news source. And if they’re used in conjuction with the words “snapping” and “up”, it’s time to short the parent corp.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-10-09 13:27:07

“Armed with low interest rates, bargain prices and good income, the young couple sidestepped a starter home and bought a 3,000-square-foot house on a tree-lined street in Maple Grove.”

Dumb asses. I have no problem with someone buying a home that makes sense, 125k to 200k or so in this environment gives you an affordable nut. These idiots want to borrow a lifestyle, their choice I guess, but they never seem to factor in the cost of ownership. Starter homes, those with maybe 1200 to 1600sf are not only more affordable, but are also substantially less expensive to maintain, head and cool.

2012-10-09 15:29:13

It’s Minneapolis. Think February.

I bet my annual electricity & gas bill is less than their heating bill in a single winter month.

 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-09 07:06:15

From the WSJ - More People Over 65 Are Still Working:

“U.S. labor market participation rates have been running at 30 year lows, but for one group, 65 years old and older, participation in the labor force continues to ramp up.

In September, the number of those 65 and over who were employed was up 21% from the same month in 2008, while broad workforce employment was down almost 1.4%.”

More evidence that the future belongs to Lucky Ducky. Also note the dates of comparison, September 2008 to now. This confirms Obama’s record as a Job Creator, creating jobs for people over 65. Now that’s Hope and Change you can believe in!

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-09 07:13:07

Well, since you have to be 70 now to collect the maximum SS benefit (I think its 67 for the current generation of seniors) its not surprising. And I suppose that many are already collecting SS, but supplementing it with a P/T job.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-09 08:50:20

66.5 years for me. And that’s only 11.5 years away.

So, if I live that long, guess what I will do. If you guessed “Start collecting Social Security!” you’re right.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-09 09:34:39

Best radio station in the state, Silverton Community Radio KSJC 92.5 FM:

http://mountainradio.org

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Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-10-09 10:23:59

Actually the highest full retirement age is still 67, for anyone born after 1959. However, you can defer receiving SS checks until you’re 70. Then I guess they force you to take the money. By deferring past your full retirement age you get an increased amount each month.

http://www.socialsecurity.gov/retire2/agereduction.htm

Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-09 13:54:15

The way the math works out, the break even point for taking early vs late is 78. If you live to 78, your monthly payment times # of payments is the same no matter when you start collecting.

If you expect to die before 78, start drawing as soon as you can. If you expect to live beyond 78, defer collecting as long as you can.

The other consideration is whether you are still working. If you start collecting before your full retirement age (max of 67 currently), earned income can reduce the amount paid.

I don’t think you are forced to start collecting at 70, but there is no benefit at that point to waiting. Monthly payments do not increase after 70 (except for COLA).

All of this is predicated on current law. It is entirely possible that Republican control in all branches of the Federal government could result in something as drastic as a one time payout before I have finished collecting (which could be 35 years from now based on family longevity). I think it is likely that ages and COLAs and caps (both payin and payout) would be adjusted regardless of party control.

I intend to work as long as I am able and to start collecting at 70 as long as I can continue to work until then. I am fully expecting a cold wind to blow through my extreme old age.

Trends are not looking good for anyone in the next 50 years. Declining energy resources will affect costs worldwide. We will probably not reach the end of oil in my lifetime, but declining reserves will continue to decrease availability and increase prices.

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Comment by 2banana
2012-10-09 10:29:26

Obama won the war on savers and the elderly.

Now get to work you geezers…

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-09 14:01:04

Remind us again who signed TARP?

 
 
 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-10-09 07:51:00

HELOC Whores and Housing Hookers

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-09 08:07:42

We were slinging HELOCs for TARP bank in 2004-2005 for $8/hour + commissions. Now that’s Hope and Change you can believe in!

Take America Back!

Comment by scdave
2012-10-09 10:12:03

Take America Back ??

To where….September 2008 or 1993-1999 ??

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-09 10:49:13

To where….

Never mind that. You’ll have to elect us first and then find out.

Kinda like “we have to pass the bill so you can find out what’s in it” LOLZ!

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Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-09 11:16:28

Forward!

 
 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-09 11:25:38

Take America Bach!

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-09 12:00:37

I can Handel that!

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-09 12:19:28

Stop Haydn our greatness!

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-09 13:00:40

Herezh Chopin.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-09 13:54:47

We need to get Holst of ourselves!

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-09 14:33:07

Mmmm, Holst :-). I have a really bad video of myself conducting First Suite when I was applying for commander of my National Guard band a couple of years after I got off active duty. I wasn’t very good at it but I was their best option at the time. They chose to wait for a better candidate :-).

 
2012-10-09 15:06:53

Oh, let me try, let me try.

Housing is a NONO. Don’t be MACHAUT. It’s still un-RAVEL-ing.

WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-09 17:24:22

And it has MILES to go.

 
2012-10-09 18:18:33

One doesn’t have to be a MONK about it. Just take a HOLIDAY. Otherwise, you might just get DIZZY and that would be no good.

GETZ some good advice out there about the state of housing. No point being ORNETTE about it!

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-10-09 19:52:29

“And it has MILES to go.”

Indeed it does. And frankly I’m mildly surprised that you write this.

Peace

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-09 20:00:02

And stop Messiaen around with housing pimps. Realtors are liars.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-10-09 20:08:13

I’ve made a long Liszt of these liars.

 
 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-09 13:02:30

I’m guessing they’re implying back to the 1950’s, but are actually aimed for the 1850’s.

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-09 13:59:34

Welcome back to the 19th century!

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-10-09 07:53:51

Real Estate Rubes

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-09 08:09:17

Oh, no…not another down day on Wall Street!

Will the bull market come to an end on Oct. 9?

Don’t laugh. It turns out that two of the most prominent market turning points of the last decade occurred on this very date.

Ya gotta love an analysis that rides on two — count-’em — two data points!

Bear market on tap Tues.?

Mark Hulbert: Oct. 9, for better and for worse, is a big date historically for the stock market.

Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-09 08:28:28

After the QE3 announcement, there have been more down days than up?
Lost some money already…what gives…
Bring on QE4……

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-09 08:19:28

A single mysterious computer program that placed orders — and then subsequently canceled them — made up 4 percent of all quote traffic in the U.S. stock market last week,

http://www.cnbc.com/id/49333454

Comment by Neuromance
2012-10-09 08:48:11

India just had a flash crash:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-10-05/nse-probing-freak-trade-that-caused-price-error-on-bourse.html

The thought that companies that can “accidentally” manipulate the market dramatically, wouldn’t do it subtly on purpose, strains credulity.

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 09:18:19

This has got to stop. What possible excuse does congress and the fed have to not ending this. It serves no legit value to society and is indeed legalized theft. End HFT, end dark pools, end prop trading by the banks!

Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-10-09 10:25:47

And end their political contributions? I think not.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-09 11:15:04

Why not encourage it and institute a per-share Tobin Transaction-type tax to benefit US energy research and health services development? High frequency trading is the Citizens United of exchange market transactions — let’s treat it like the responsible “person” it really is.

Even if only one state, say California, mandated it as a sales tax, the ramifications would be fascinating. And hysterical.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2012-10-09 10:47:27

Good finds. If you know to look for market manipulation, it becomes easier to spot.

 
Comment by Romney's Lies
2012-10-09 13:29:07

Anyone foolish enough to put money in this rigged casino deserves what they get.

 
 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-10-09 08:29:38

Has saving always been an activity frowned on by the state? Or is it just frowned upon when the peons try to do it? Because it seems most financial programs are geared towards encouraging people into debt or stocks and penalizing savers with negative real interest rates.

Great news by the way, the S&P 500 is now where it was 5 years ago. Alas, Nasdaq is still 40% off its March 2000 peak.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-09 08:36:58

Has saving always been an activity frowned on by the state?

Last time I checked, it was the Federal Reserve who sets interest rates in the USA. It also doesn’t help that people and institutions will buy Uncle Sam’s debt at low interest rates.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-09 08:54:50

But the question is what percentage of the debt is being financed by the printing press which keeps the rates low. It also gives people comfort about a default since we can print the money to pay the interest. However, it only works until it does not work. The crash comes quickly when confidence is lost. Iran is just the latest example of a government keeping things going for a while by printing currency but then the crash comes quickly.

Comment by Neuromance
2012-10-09 09:21:04

I don’t think Iran’s currency crash is because of excessive printing, but rather no one outside of Iran is accepting the currency. This reduces the value of the currency.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-09 09:34:54

Their oil revenues are down but they still are still paying their bills within their country. So they were printing money and if the value of it falls it is excessive printing compared to their oil revenues. I don’t want to get into an endless chicken or egg type question but if your currency is not backed by something like gold as soon as people lose confidence in the fiat currency it crashes and the more you print the faster that occurs.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-09 08:40:28

“Because it seems most financial programs are geared towards encouraging people into debt or stocks and penalizing savers with negative real interest rates.”

Retirees the Victims of Federal Reserve’s War on Saving

By James Rickards
March 26, 2012 RSS Feed Print

James Rickards is a hedge fund manager in New York City and the author of Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis from Portfolio/Penguin. Follow him on Twitter: @JamesGRickards.

This week the Economic Policy Subcommittee of the Senate Banking Committee will hold a hearing on the shortfall in retirement savings in America. This shortfall has many causes including inadequate savings, financial mismanagement, unrealistically high projected returns by pension plans, and public policy that is hostile to investment.

One of the most important causes of the shortfall is the Federal Reserve’s zero interest rate policy which offers retirees and near-retirees almost no interest on savings held in the form of bank accounts, Treasury bills, or money market funds.

[See a collection of political cartoons on the economy.]

In response to a financial crisis resulting from a collapse in housing values, the Federal Reserve began to cut interest rates in 2007. The federal funds rate was lowered from 5.25 percent in August of 2007 to effectively zero by December of 2008, and it has remained at or near that level ever since. The Fed has declared an intention to keep short-term interest rates at this near-zero level through late 2014. If this intention is fulfilled, the entire course of the zero rate policy will have lasted six years, an unprecedented and extraordinary policy move on the part of the Fed.

The rationale for this policy as expressed by the Fed has gone largely unexamined and unchallenged. Seasoned economists and everyday Americans have deferred to the Fed’s expertise and have trusted the Fed to do the right thing to fix the U.S. economy in the aftermath of the Panic of 2008. The view is that Chairman Ben Bernanke knows best and debate is unnecessary. Yet, the costs of this policy are more apparent by the day.

 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-09 08:35:14

How do you say ‘deadbeat’ in Spanish?

Red Cross to make Spain appeal as economic crisis bites
BBCNews

People line up outside the Ave Maria charity food centre in Madrid, November 2011 More and more Spaniards rely on food hand-outs

The Red Cross is to make its first ever public appeal in Spain to help those affected by the economic crisis.

It will ask Spanish people to donate money to help 300,000 of the most vulnerable people.

Before the crisis, it mainly helped immigrants but, with one in four adults out of work, more and more Spanish families rely on food hand-outs.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-09 08:41:53

How do you say ‘deadbeat’ in Spanish?

When I lived in Mexico, all debt was recourse. I recall when agents from a bank raided a neighbors house (with a court order) to seize assets to cover some unpaid CC debt. The seizure act is known as “embargar” and the seized is known as an “embargado”.

But I can’t think of a word for ‘deadbeat’. People would describe being in debt as being “endrogado” (drugged) however.

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-09 08:44:46

El diablo?

 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 09:34:08

The Red Cross is one of the finest organizations out there - usually among the first to act even under the harshest of conditions with a network that is really unequaled. Please consider supporting them. They may be helping you next.

Comment by michael
2012-10-09 11:02:36

friend of mine worked a fraud case on them…insane.

Comment by ahansen
2012-10-09 11:23:01

When our house and everything in it burned to cinder, Red Cross was nowhere to be seen or even found–even to give a referral. Guess when my contributions stopped?

Perhaps their outreach has improved since the late nineties?

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-09 12:02:19

When I was doing post-Katrina reconstruction, I heard some rather unkind things about their response right after the storm.

 
 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-09 13:51:16

God bless you SF Bay Area, but I too have not heard good things about them in the last 10 years.

 
 
 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-10-09 08:43:02

The federal government is 90% of the mortgage market (1). The Fed is buying vast amounts of MBS every month, in addition to trillions purchased early in the financial crisis. The intervention level is massive. Can the government and the Fed keep this up indefinitely? What’s going to happen when/if they remove the supports?

With the government trying to fake the underlying demand for an asset, all it does is suck in more knifecatchers. I’m not talking about those moving into houses because they want the service it provides, I’m talking about the speculators. They’ll strategically default in a heartbeat and again leave the government and Fed sucking in more public money and funneling it to Wall Street to pay off the bad debt they encouraged.

They fake the demand for the asset, leading speculators into the market. They generate more bad debt in some harebrained attempt to reduce the level of current bad debt. And Wall Street is the ultimate beneficiary of it all.

OR… they simply don’t care about the bad debt and are simply trying to make Wall Street the most highly compensated sector of government. Wall Street generates the debt and the government buys it. Wall Street services it. A pretty lucrative industry, selling housing debt to the government, and servicing it.

Taxes should only be going to public goods, not Wall Street profit.

This is a basic problem with giving Wall Street “Favored Sector” status.

(1) http://www.nafcu.org/News/2012_News/September/FHFA_developing_new_securitization_platform/

Comment by Bad Andy
2012-10-09 11:18:40

“The federal government is 90% of the mortgage market”

A sure sign that housing is back.

Comment by Neuromance
2012-10-09 11:50:26

Wall Street locking people into debt, then selling it to the government. Then Wall Street is paid to service the debt.

It seems the government and the Fed are becoming the new “Company Store” as they lead the nation back into indentured servitude.

It’s nothing new, except that the government is taking place of the company. The end stage of merging business and government?:

“16 Tons” by Merle Travis, circa 1946

You load sixteen tons, what do you get
Another day older and deeper in debt
Saint Peter don’t you call me ’cause I can’t go
I owe my soul to the company store

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sixteen_Tons

Comment by Martin
2012-10-09 12:53:20

The nice thing about this company you mentioned is that they have a printing press and can never go in loss, eventhough the nation goes into massive debt.

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-09 13:49:10

…or corporate communism in a gilded cage.

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Comment by Neuromance
2012-10-09 08:54:04

The joy of being a favored sector. Lamenting the largest profits they’ve made since before the financial crisis.

No Joy on Wall Street as Biggest Banks Earn $63 Billion
By Max Abelson - Oct 3, 2012 8:05 AM ET

Four years ago today, President George W. Bush signed into law the biggest corporate rescue in American history. Even as U.S. unemployment has remained above 8 percent for 43 months, the country’s biggest banks are making almost as much as they ever have.

The combined $63 billion in profit reported by the six largest U.S. lenders over the four quarters through June is more than they earned in any calendar year since the peak in 2006.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-10-03/no-joy-on-wall-street-as-biggest-banks-earn-63-billion.html

 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-10-09 09:52:22

Government intervention in a sector simply fakes the actual, underlying demand.

In a highly speculative sector, like housing and MBS, it simply serves to fool investors.

Comment by 2banana
2012-10-09 10:34:13

See:

Housing
Medical
College

and see how the government has DESTROYED those markets and made costs skyrocketed…

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-09 11:59:02

Government destroyed nothing. The industries destroyed themselves by demanding and buying special favors.

Lobbying. Ever heard of it?

Comment by Martin
2012-10-09 12:54:58

Very true TL:

The lobbyists are the ones to blame. Lobbying I guess used to be beneficial in old days for representation. Now they run the show like contractors are running the Fed Govt offices.

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Comment by michael
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-09 10:39:03

Other than to capture the tax break of the mortgage interest deduction, why would someone who can afford a $1.5 million home use a mortgage to finance the purchase?

Oct. 9, 2012, 9:18 a.m. EDT
Banks pump up perks to lure wealthy home buyers
By AnnaMaria Andriotis

It’s the high-end version of a free toaster for opening a bank account: To entice wealthy customers to take out large home loans, a growing number of banks are offering perks worth tens of thousands of dollars.

Luxury-property buyers — many of whom could easily pay cash — are getting discounts on mortgage rates, closing costs and “points,” which are optional fees borrowers can pay up front in order to obtain a lower interest rate.

Bank of America (BAC -0.54%) earlier this year rolled out a 0.50-percentage-point discount on points paid toward mortgages for customers who have more than $250,000 in assets with the bank. Wells Fargo is discounting mortgage rates for some clients who maintain at least $1 million in assets, including in its savings and brokerage accounts. Chase Private Client, whose clients have roughly $500,000 to $5 million in assets, says it reduces closing costs.

The savings can be significant. For example, just reducing the mortgage rate a quarter of a percentage point from 4.05% — which is the average rate on large private mortgages, according to mortgage-info website HSH.com — to 3.80% would save the borrower roughly $77,500 over the life of a 30-year, $1.5 million mortgage. That’s a lot of toasters.

“Our overall jumbo loan business has increased, which we clearly attribute to the pricing incentives,” says Matt Vernon, home-loans sales executive at Bank of America.

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-09 13:20:37

I know a person who did this…he had a hell of a time getting the loan, since he had no W-2 job, despite the fact that he had cash in the bank a multiple of the amount of the loan.

The person didn’t have a mortgage for years since he paid off his first home (made money relatively early in life). The reason he got the loan?

Because he thinks that 3-4% fixed for 30 years is the cheapest money he will ever see, especially since the Fed is printing money like crazy. So he borrowed the money, and will essentially use this as a very cheap way to add a little bit of leverage to his otherwise unleveraged personal financial world.

I know another person who is in a similar camp…they own a second home free and clear currently and are actively pursuing a loan of probably about a million that would end up being approximately 35% of value…same reason, it is the cheapest fixed-rate debt he has seen in his lifetime, and he thinks inflation is on its way based on the Fed activity.

In both cases, they see it as an opportunity for someone to lend them money at less than a 1-2% real cost (perhaps even less than 0% if inflation goes up), which essentially allows them to pay back the loan with much cheaper dollars much later.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-10-09 13:55:56

You just can’t resist posting BS can you Rental Pimp?

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-09 15:03:59

Are you serious? I was responding to the very simple question of why someone would borrow money if they didn’t need the money.

Are you telling me that there aren’t people who are borrowing money who don’t need it simply because it is cheap?

I personally know of two people who either have done so, or are in the process of doing so, and I’m willing to wager that there are plenty of people who post on this board who know people in similar circumstances (don’t need to borrow the money, but are doing so anyway because the money is so cheap).

If you don’t think this is happening, then you are disconnected from the reality of how cheap 3.5% money (fixed for 30 years) truly is…

…for perspective, 30-year treasuries, issued by the US Federal government, with the power of the printing press is yielding about 2.75% (Bloomberg from today)…for an individual, with no power to print, to be able to borrow at only a 69 basis point premium (3.44%) to the US Government is remarkable (again, Bloomberg, from today).

(Comments wont nest below this level)
2012-10-09 15:33:17

People who understand the Kelly Criterion know the problems with leverage.

Of course, you probably have no idea of what I’m talking about but you might want to look that up.

I seriously doubt your “investors” do. They are probably doctors or some such.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-09 16:06:41

lol.

No, they are not doctors, they are just people with far more money than either of us and who have been around for long enough to understand the long-term effects of inflation (each have net worth measured in the tens of millions).

They are not necessarily borrowing money based on an assumption they will need to bet it over and over again to do better than the 3.5% each time. And they are not running so thin as to have a long time of bad investment outcomes putting them at risk. They are simply assuming that overall in their worlds, the long term combintation of real investment returns PLUS inflation will exceed 3.5% (which today is 1.5% PLUS 2%, unless inflation goes much higher, in which case they can be at a 0% real return), which based on their LONG history of investing they feel comfortable with.

While both individuals have a healthy cash cushion, they might for instance be choosing to borrow the money to make new investments rather than liquidate other assets. The low rates allow this to actually make sense without complicated math.

Example. Let’s say you own a particular stock at a low basis that is currently paying a yield of 3.1% (with a low payout ratio). If this was part of one of my person’s portfolios (and I know for a fact that it is part of one person’s), rather than borrow money, they could sell the stock.

However, after selling the stock, they would pay about 20% of the gross revenue in tax (yes, they bought the stock post crash and it has dramatically recovered), they would only get about 80% of the gross revenue with which to raise cash (ie. not borrow from the bank). The dividend as it relates to this 80% of the after tax proceeds is 3.875%.

So, this particular person is better off by borrowing at less than 3.875% than liquidating that particular position and using the resultant after-tax cash.

And let’s say that the sum total of these positions represent a multiple (5x, 10x) of the total borrowed, so there is a huge degree of safety for any one position…do you understand yet why they are borrowing, fixed for 30-years?

I love investment theory (which I studied extensively). I especially like how theory doesn’t play itself out in real life.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-10-09 18:37:18

Yer a clown.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-09 10:40:34

ONE MILLION SLACKERS THREATEN TO MARCH ON DC
Slackers for Obama | 10/09/2012 | Brian Ross

Washington, D.C. (API) - In the event that President Barack Obama is not reelected on November 6th, one million slackers will march on Washington, D.C., according to Slackers for Obama founder Brian Ross.

Slackers for Obama is a nationwide group of un- and underemployed men and women committed to the policies of the President. Among other things, their manifesto calls for free entertainment, the abolition of private property rights and the retroactive abortion of political opponents in an effort to create a more fair and just society. To avoid charges of hypocrisy, Hollywood has thrown in its support and agreed to forego all income.

The “Million Slacker March,” as it is officially known, is slated for January 20th and is intended to disrupt the possible inauguration of former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney as president and, if necessary, to reinstall the slackers’ “messiah,” Barack Hussein Obama II, as chief of state. “If anyone thinks we’re going to go away quietly without the houses, cars and breath mints the 1% stole from us, they are sadly mistaken,” said slacker Laura Norder.

The slackers are also calling for additional entitlements including free entertainment, free scrunchies and free cosmetic surgery. “A recent study by Snookie Polizzi shows a direct correlation between wealth and breast size,” said Mr. Ross, “and we believe the poor should have just as much access to DDs as the rich.”

Democratic operatives believe the sight of one million Americans in the iconic “we want free stuff” t-shirts will have a transformational effect on the country and finally bring an end to 236 years of constitutional rule. The slackers argue that they work far too hard as it is and richly deserve the gifts only government can bestow upon them.

They cite waiting in long lines for welfare and unemployment insurance, the tedious application process for food stamps, sky- rocketing anti-perspirant costs and the crackdown on the proliferation of medical marijuana dispensaries as just some of the obstacles to the easy life they say they deserve.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-09 11:57:00

There’s just one problem with that humor: slackers are, well…. slackers. March? :lol:

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-09 12:22:21

Turkey lurkey where the f* have you been lately?

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-09 13:43:16

Hey, I have a life, ya know. :lol:

What’s with the neocon put-on? Do you need a vacation? :lol:

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-09 14:34:33

He’s trying to break our sarcasm meters.

 
 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 17:16:24

one million slackers will march on Washington, D.C., according to Slackers for Obama founder Brian Ross.

Where will they find the time?

2012-10-09 17:18:32

It’s sarcasm, you m0r0n!

Gawd, where do they find this fecal material that passes as human?

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 17:42:20

Where will they find the time?

It’s sarcasm, you m0r0n!

LOL My: Where will they find the time? was a joke.

“Slackers”….. “Where will the find the time”?

Slackers have a lot of time. Get it? Is it hard to get jokes with your 98 IQ? :)

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-10 00:04:31

Oh go cough up a hairball and hush.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-09 11:15:58

ONE WORLD BAILOUT BANK coming soon?

WORLD NEWS
October 9, 2012, 11:25 a.m. ET

IMF Weighing New Loans for Europe
By SUDEEP REDDY

TOKYO—The International Monetary Fund is weighing a number of potential roles to support European nations seeking aid, including new loans from the global lender, a top IMF official said Tuesday.

“We want to muster our resources, both human and financial, to help our member countries,” IMF First Deputy Managing Director David Lipton said in an interview. “We’re mindful of how difficult the problems are that some of the members face.”

The role of the IMF, which serves as the world’s emergency lender, remains a key sticking point in talks about new European aid for countries such as Spain and Italy under market pressure.

The European Central Bank, in its latest bid to halt the euro-zone crisis, has offered to unleash its resources to contain borrowing costs for struggling nations in the currency bloc. But those countries first must agree to a rescue program by their European neighbors along with IMF monitoring, which is controversial inside those countries.

Mr. Lipton, who serves as the fund’s No. 2 official, said the IMF will help European nations that want its aid. But the structure of that support remains undecided.

“We’re open to craft an approach that’s appropriate to the circumstances of Europe,” he said. “If Europe decides that it wants that IMF involvement in any particular case, we’d try to craft something that was useful.”

Comment by Martin
2012-10-09 12:57:26

Can World Bank not fit into this role by having a big printing press for the World currencies.

 
Comment by michael
2012-10-09 13:59:25

we just need one world currency.

heck…the euro worked.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-09 11:48:40

Oct. 5, 2012, 6:02 a.m. EDT
Cash is king over stocks, bonds and REITs
Commentary: Take money off the table; markets poised to fall
By John Coumarianos

NORTHVALE, N.J. (MarketWatch) — Investors: It’s time to raise some cash.

If the current quarter brings more gains, you’ll miss out, but that’s better than being exposed to expensive asset classes.

Of course, you’re losing money to inflation sitting in cash, which pays nothing, but you’re reserving the opportunity to buy stocks, bonds, REITs and other investments at potentially cheaper prices later this year. To paraphrase value investor Howard Marks, we can’t predict what will happen — certainly not in one quarter — but we can prepare.

Let’s go through some asset class valuations and expected returns starting with bonds to see why raising cash is a good idea over the next few months.

 
Comment by frankie
2012-10-09 12:23:17

The global economic recovery is weakening as government policies have failed to restore confidence, the International Monetary Fund has said.

It added that the risk of further deterioration in the economic outlook was “considerable” and had increased.

The IMF downgraded its estimate for global growth in 2013 to 3.6% from the 3.9% it forecast in July.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-19876587

What a shock, still the footballs on telly ;)

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-09 15:07:01

Did Chicharito score?

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-09 12:30:20

I thought the gold price would always go up from now on, thanks to QE-to-infinity-and-beyond.

What gives?

Gold drops for third day on worries of global slowdown

An employee holds a gold piece, each weighing 100 grams, at the state-owned mining company PT Antam Tbk metal refinery in Jakarta July 13, 2012. REUTERS/Beawiharta

By Frank Tang

NEW YORK | Tue Oct 9, 2012 3:04pm EDT

(Reuters) - Gold fell for a third consecutive session on Tuesday as a stern warning by the International Monetary Fund on global growth and worries about a slowing Chinese economy lessened bullion’s appeal as an inflation hedge.

The metal came under pressure as televised scenes of angry Greek protesters filled the streets of Athens to greet German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who offered no promise of further aid, dampened buying sentiment.

Also weighing on gold were remarks by China’s central bank governor that China will keep monetary policy flexible and pre-emptive to support an economy still facing relatively big downward pressure.

A third straight day of decline sent gold well below an overbought level, and some analysts said the metal is due for a rebound because of money printing by central banks. The relative strength index (RSI) fell below 60, under the 70 mark at which a market is generally considered overextended.

Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-10-09 13:10:53

It had a big front run-up pre-QE3 already. QE3 was well telegraphed. The market knew QE3 was coming so they bid gold up in advance. Now you have a sell the news follow through.

Also QE3 hasn’t even settled the first tranche yet. So the actually money that is being printed hasn’t been deposited in the primary dealers’ accounts at the Fed - yet. Yet being the operative word. The question is where will the printed money go? If it stays sitting in the primary dealers account at the Fed it won’t go anywhere. But if the money goes hot and gets used in anger watch out.

Supply? Are we going into a dollar starved state in the EU? If so they’ll be selling gold for dollars. But the strikes in S. Africa may negate some of this.

Demand? China’s dollar trade surplus is down a lot. So they have fewer dollars to diversify. Gold is getting expensive in India. So they may buy more silver. Silver may be a better vehicle assuming the world GDP doesn’t crash.

And then there is the fiscal cliff - if the U.S. prints a -4% GDP as some are predicting in Q1 2013 - there is going to be no bid for gold all other things being equal.

There are a lot of folks waiting to make a move but are waiting on data points such as PIIGs defaults, POTUS election, fiscal cliff, China bust?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-09 17:27:02

thought the gold price would always go up from now on, thanks to QE-to-infinity-and-beyond. What gives?

Gold is way up for the month and year. Maybe it needs a rest. But there might be more. Gold is in the handle period of a “teacup and handle” technical formation. If gold bounces around 1750-1800 for a few weeks and THEN breaks above 1800 the technical historical pattern would be for gold to rise to about $2,200.

I’ve mentioned this pattern on the HBB for over 3 years now and EVERY time Gold broke to the upside of this pattern, gold has risen. Actually gold has done this for 10 years.

Gold has been forming this pattern now for an unusually long time (since March) and in an unusually symmetric manner. Check out the teacup with the little handle on the far right.

http://www.kitco.com/charts/popup/au0365nyb.html

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-09 12:42:17

World
Why a Global Recession May Happen Again

The International Monetary Fund warned that the global economy risks skidding toward another recession. The WSJ’s Jake Schlesinger explains why there may be no solution to the global slowdown.

10/9/2012 2:12:14 AM3:53

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-09 13:44:50

How long have we been hearing about this “global recession” repeat?

Yeah, there you go.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-09 13:02:00

Got fear?

Oct. 5, 2012, 6:03 a.m. EDT
Stormier fall for stocks may follow quiet summer
Despite double-digit gains, many investors are still unsure about equities
By Sam Mamudi, MarketWatch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — After a quiet summer in the markets, investors are braced for a stormier ride in the fourth quarter.

The economy is stuck in a rut and jobs are still a worry for many Americans, which is driving investor fear higher than it has been for some time. But rising concern — reflected in a small rise in the VIX volatility index — has yet to translate into significant selling. Indeed, major stock indexes are up by double digits so far this year and heading into the fourth quarter, there’s potential for further gains, with price-to-earnings ratios below recent levels and huge amounts of cash still on the sidelines.

But stocks’ positive performance so far this year hasn’t been enough to counter a growing sense that markets may be poised for a drop, with indicators including earnings forecasts, the VIX’s rise, chatter on social media and investor surveys suggesting sentiment is negative.

“I think that investors are going to be risk-averse going into the fourth quarter,” said Christopher Larkin, senior vice president of retail trading and client services at E-Trade Financial. “In my experience in this industry, you’d see a surge in trading volume with the kind of markets we’ve seen, but it’s the opposite.”

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-09 13:04:33

Are you ready for the Spexit?

Oct. 9, 2012, 3:58 p.m. EDT
Spain could opt out instead of getting a bailout
Commentary: Leaving the euro isn’t so far-fetched
By Matthew Lynn

LONDON (MarketWatch) — The markets are spending a huge amount of time trying to figure out the answer to a very simple question.

When will there be a Spanish bailout — a request for emergency aid from Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy that will trigger intervention by the European Central Bank to start buying on bonds on a massive scale?

But they may have missed the real story.

Instead of a bailout, there could be an opt out. In other words, the Spanish might decide to quit the euro (EURUSD -0.7406%) rather than submit to the demands of an EU-led rescue package.

Crazy? Not completely. In the election last year Rajoy promised not to seek a bailout. Investors have grown cynical about politicians’ promises, and rightly so. They get broken so often they aren’t usually worth listening to.

But it is just possible that he actually meant it — and right now, the only way he can make good on that pledge, and save his own political skin, is to start plotting for the return of the peseta.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-09 13:14:02

This morning, while I was depositing a check at the credit union, I got the “want to make more money on your savings” pitch. When I said that I had zero interest in putting my money in anything speculative (y’know, like the stock market), that pitch came to a screeching halt.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-09 15:05:42

Did you see the Southpark link I posted yesterday?

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-09 13:27:32

Is QE3-fueled irrational exuberance already dead in the water?

ft dot com
Stocks sell off on global growth fears
By Vivianne Rodrigues in New York

Tuesday 21.10 BST. Stocks on Wall Street fell for a second day, while US Treasuries jumped the most in three weeks as investors worried about prospects for the global economy and the eurozone’s lingering debt travails.

The selling came as the International Monetary Fund said the world economy will grow at its slowest pace since the 2009 recession and as European finance ministers declined to request for more budget cuts in Spain at a meeting Monday.

Investors’ attention was also focused on the start of the US third-quarter earnings season after the closing bell, when aluminium producer Alcoa is expected to release the first batch of results among large US companies.

Analysts expect S&P 500 aggregate earnings to fall 2.3 per cent compared with the same period last year, according to Thomson Reuters.

Strategas Research has said that the ratio of negative to positive earnings pre-announcements by companies has been running at 4:1, “the greatest such disparity since 3Q 2001”.

The FTSE All-World index fell 0.9 per cent, after the FTSE Eurofirst 300 lost 0.5 per cent. The S&P 500 extended losses at the end of the session to close 1 per cent lower as the Nasdaq Composite slipped 1.5 per cent on the back of another poor day for Apple.

The dollar index, which often rises when investors are wary, rose 0.6 per cent, helping push gold down $12 to $1,763 an ounce.

Copper fell 0.6 per cent to $3.70 a pound. Middle East supply concerns continued to support Brent crude, which was up over 2 per cent to $114.41 a barrel.

Money moved into perceived havens, pushing German 10-year Bund yields down 1 basis point to 1.47 per cent, and equivalent Treasuries down 3bp to 1.71 per cent. Earlier, the yield on the security fell 6 basis points, the most since September 18.

Meanwhile, sentiment was again pressured by lingering uncertainty over a potential Spanish bailout as little concrete emerged from a eurozone finance ministers meeting in Luxembourg to discuss the region’s debt crisis.

There was also some disquiet about Angela Merkel’s visit to Athens as many Greeks oppose the German chancellor’s stance on the country’s bailout conditions.

Spanish bond prices fell, forcing 10-year yields up 10bp to 5.81 per cent. The euro succumbed, sliding 0.7 per cent to $1.2877.

 
Comment by Bluestar
2012-10-09 14:27:31

Amazing how fast the polls were reweighed and fixed. Now there is blood in the water I think the media will make a play to regain some of their lost credibility by doing some real investigative reporting on Obama. I’ll go further and say the media will down play the senate races and will focus on some of the crazier house races to keep the attention mostly on the top of the ticket. The money is flooding into corporate media at astonishing rates right now, I estimate it at 2x the max spent per month during the Iraq war.

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-09 14:55:49

I’ll just drop this here :

http://money.cnn.com/2012/10/09/news/wells-fargo-fraud/index.html?iid=Lead

WASHINGTON (CNNMoney) — The U.S. government sued Wells Fargo over claims that the bank made reckless home mortgage loans for a decade.
In a lawsuit filed Tuesday in Manhattan’s Southern District of New York, the government accused Wells Fargo (BWF) of “reckless underwriting” and fraudulently approving thousands of home loans that caused large-scale losses for the government.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-09 15:07:17

And, if Neil Barofsky’s Bailout book gives any indication, the Southern District of New York doesn’t mess around. (He worked in that U.S. Attorney’s office before he became SIGTARP.)

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-09 15:12:33

Politics
Goldman Turns Tables on Obama Campaign

When Barack Obama ran for president in 2008, no major U.S. corporation did more to finance his campaign than Goldman Sachs. This election, none has done more to help defeat him. Photo: Associated Press.

10/9/2012 10:21:56 AM6:17

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-09 16:40:01

I’d say that’s the best endorsement for reelecting him I’ve seen yet. “Obama, Goldman Sachs wants him out!”

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-09 15:32:18

Yawn…

ft dot com
October 9, 2012 10:31 pm
IMF warns eurozone on capital flight
By Claire Jones in Tokyo and Michael Steen in Frankfurt

The IMF has warned that unless the eurozone resolves its capital crisis, European banks’ balance sheets will contract severely, further damaging growth and pushing unemployment beyond already record highs in the region.

In its global financial stability report, the IMF concluded that capital flight from the eurozone’s periphery to the bloc’s core, driven by fears of a break-up of the currency union, had sparked “extreme fragmentation” of the euro area’s funding markets. The fund said this was causing renewed pressure for banks to shrink their balance sheets, particularly those in countries with fiscal woes.

Delays in resolving the crisis meant that unless eurozone officials beefed up their policy response, European banks would dump $2.8tn worth of assets – more than 7 per cent of their balance sheets – by the end of next year. Banks in the periphery would shed just short of 10 per cent of their assets.

The deleveraging would weigh on growth and add more than 2 percentage points to unemployment in the region. Businesses would suffer as bond markets proved unable to plug the gap left by banks.

“The expected amount of bank deleveraging is now higher [than forecast in April] because of lower expected earnings, higher losses linked to worsening economic conditions and greater funding pressures on banks,” the fund said. The estimates are based on assumptions about the behaviour of the region’s 58 largest banks.

The IMF acknowledged that the European Central Bank’s pledge to buy government debt if countries agreed to reform programmes had lowered sovereign bond yields but said it was too early to tell whether the scheme would relieve deleveraging pressures.

“Although many core euro area banks are able to issue debt, and issuance has picked up in recent weeks, broader funding market conditions are still challenging for weaker periphery banks,” the IMF said.

The report said that if there were additional measures “at the national level” alongside the ECB’s actions, banks were likely to offload $2.3tn of assets, or 6 per cent of their balance sheet, by the end of next year.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-09 15:35:34

ft dot com
October 9, 2012 6:19 pm
Lessons from history on public debt
By Martin Wolf

What happens if a large, high-income economy, burdened with high levels of debt and an overvalued, fixed exchange rate, attempts to lower the debt and regain competitiveness? This question is of current relevance, since this is the challenge confronting Italy and Spain. Yet, as a chapter in the International Monetary Fund’s latest World Economic Outlook demonstrates, a relevant historical experience exists: that of the UK between the two world wars. This proves that the interaction between attempts at “internal devaluations” and the dynamics of debt are potentially lethal. Moreover, the plight of Italy and Spain is, in many ways, worse than the UK’s was. The latter, after all, could go off the gold standard; exit from the eurozone is far harder. Again, the UK had a central bank able and willing to reduce interest rates. The European Central Bank may not be able and willing to do the same for Italy and Spain.

The UK emerged from the first world war with public debt of 140 per cent of gross domestic product and prices more than double the prewar level. The government resolved both to return to the gold standard at the prewar parity, which it did in 1925, and to pay off the public debt, to preserve creditworthiness. Here was a country fit for the Tea Party.

To achieve its objectives, the UK implemented tight fiscal and monetary policies. The primary fiscal surplus (before interest payments) was kept near 7 per cent of GDP throughout the 1920s. This was, in turn, accomplished by the “Geddes Axe”, after a commission chaired by Sir Eric Geddes. This recommended slashing government spending in precisely the way today’s believers in “expansionary austerity” recommend. Meanwhile, the Bank of England raised interest rates to 7 per cent in 1920. The aim of this was to support the return to the prewar parity. Coupled with the consequent deflation, the result was extraordinarily high real interest rates. This, then, was how the self-righteous fools in the British establishment greeted the hapless survivors of the hellish war.

So how did this commitment to fiscal famine and monetary necrophilia work? Badly. In 1938, real output was hardly above the level of 1918, with growth averaging 0.5 per cent a year. This was not just because of the Depression. Real output in 1928 was also lower than in 1918. Exports were persistently weak and unemployment persistently elevated. High unemployment was the mechanism for driving nominal and real wages down. But wages are never just another price. The aim was to break organised labour. These policies resulted in the general strike of 1926. They spread a bitterness that lasted decades after the second world war.

Quite apart from their huge economic and social costs, these policies failed in their own terms. The country went off gold, for good, in 1931. Worse, public debt did not fall. By 1930, debt had reached 170 per cent of GDP. By 1933, it had reached 190 per cent of GDP. (These numbers put the panic over today’s far lower ratios in perspective.) In fact, the UK did not return to its pre-first world war debt ratios until 1990. Why was the UK unsuccessful in lowering the ratio of debt to GDP? Briefly, growth was too low and interest rates too high. As a result, even a huge primary fiscal surplus could not constrain the debt ratio.

The story is relevant to the eurozone today. To regain competitiveness quickly, rather than eke out adjustment over a decade or more, wages need to fall. To achieve that unemployment must be very high. In the case of Spain, it is. But, even with unemployment at 25 per cent of the labour force, nominal wages have risen little less than in Germany since the crisis (see chart). Meanwhile, Spain’s real GDP is shrinking. Efforts to tighten fiscal policy are sure to reduce it further. So are the high interest rates, as foreign and domestic capital flees.

All this risks putting Spain into a debt trap, in its case one that threatens both private and public sectors. Italy, a country with a smaller fiscal deficit but higher public debt, risks falling into a similar trap if interest rates remain high and GDP weak. This is why the European Central Bank’s plan to lower interest rates on public debt in these countries is a necessary condition for escaping the disaster of simultaneous fiscal defaults and banking collapses. But it is not a sufficient condition for an escape. Prospects for growth must improve.

Comment by measton
2012-10-09 18:18:10

But it is not a sufficient condition for an escape. Prospects for growth must improve.

and this will not happen as the middle class is dead and in debt up to it’s eyeballs. I don’t understand why so many people can’t understand this.

 
 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-09 16:34:09

http://www.cnbc.com/id/49343717

A teeny bit of the judicial vs. non-judicial commentary.

 
Comment by Muggy
2012-10-09 18:13:01

David Siegel, the founder and CEO of real estate company Westgate Resorts on Monday threatened to fire some employees if Barack Obama is reelected and carries out his plan to raise taxes on the so-called rich.

Read more: http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2012/10/09/ceo-threatens-fire-employees-if-obama-reelected-and-raises-taxes#ixzz28r22B9Vw

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-09 18:22:26

Hey Faster WT…..just came across this…

1000+ free scholarly books (Upper West Side)
Date: 2012-10-09, 3:28PM EDT

bk4hm-3327549313@sale.craigslist.org

We need to vacate our late father’s apartment, who is a former linguistics professor. He amassed a large collection of scholarly books, mostly linguistics, but also other topics, a lot of newer titles too. We all live overseas and this is a major headache for us to deal with. They need to get out asap. The deadline is this weekend. The location is 86th and Amsterdam. You must be able and willing to move everything at once! No picking!

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-09 22:34:10

So far that first debate has proved to be a game changer in Romney’s favor. Check out the 2012 US Presidential Election Winner Takes All Market prices…

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-09 23:05:03

Asia stocks plowing lower

Japanese stocks fall sharply to lead losses across Asia, with technology and steel firms taking a hit.

 
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