October 15, 2012

Bits Bucket for October 15, 2012

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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323 Comments »

Comment by Spook
2012-10-15 02:02:05

Collective moment of what?

Nihlism?

Oh thanks, I feel much better now.

Jump from space’s edge provides collective moment

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_SUPERSONIC_SKYDIVER?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2012-10-14-11-33-29

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 07:39:23

Nihilism? Speak for yourself.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-15 07:58:37

awesome incredible wacky ballz of steel….stunning …….Butttttttt

we need to cut NASA’s budget to give people more ohbewanna phones

way to go Merikkka

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-15 08:17:52

That stunt had nothing to do with NASA. And that’s what it was, a stunt.

The reason NASA has been pared down, is because no one cares about space exploration. If we send astronauts to Mars there would be a big collective yawn in this country. How many watched the last Space Shuttle launch? I’ll bet half the country doesn’t even know that the shuttles have been retired.

Now a new iPhone … that would be news worthy and people would line up overnight to get the first ones.

Comment by BetterRenter
2012-10-15 08:28:19

“no one cares about space exploration”

Can you blame us? What’s the point of it all? Humanity obviously isn’t going to move offworld. There are precisely ZERO serious efforts to establish Human colonies in space. And the Mars thing is even more pathetic, since staying at the bottom of such significant gravity wells is an evolutionary dead end, insofar as galactic colonization is concerned. Gerard O’Neill firmly established that if you’re going to have an expanding technological civilization, most Humans would have to leave planetary surfaces and instead live in massive, rotating habitats, eventually englobe-ing host stars in Dyson Spheres.

At any rate, I grew up as a space enthusiast, but with maturity and education I realized that space efforts are just financial masturbation designed to keep a part of the military-industrial complex swimming in free government cheese. Exploration serves no purpose if you have no intention of going there in the first place; robots are not real explorers. And if you’re truly exploring, you’re only exploring so that you can find places to live, work and play.

If we had performed Earth exploration like NASA and other such agencies perform space exploration, we’d still be sending robots across the Atlantic Ocean to get more pointless photographs of North America. Again: Exploration is only for establishing colonies. There is no other sane reason to explore.

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Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-15 08:53:03

We NEED something to look up to…and NASA’s budget is such a tiny piece and the ROI is incredible….

In fact its one of the few thing governments can do that’s well worth the money…new products new technology…

2. The Apollo 11 computers had less processing power than a cellphone.

 
Comment by Spook
2012-10-15 09:05:19

Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-15 08:53:03
You NEED something to look up to…
——————

There fixed it for you.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-15 09:50:30

I love space….had telescopes for years thinking of getting another i have a great view of the new WTC…and a dark yard once the tree loses its leaves… also have a classic magnavox Short wave receiver, how many kids today even know what one is?

http://www.ebay.com/itm/MAGNAVOX-PHLIPS-D2999-WORLD-RECEIVER-EXCELLENT-/271081585359?pt=US_Ham_Radio_Receivers&hash=item3f1db8bacf

 
Comment by BetterRenter
2012-10-15 10:43:46

aNYCdj, economics should drive such things. Not this silly fantasy you people have about moons, planets and stars. And there is an economic argument, ultimately: The wealth of the solar system is so vast that an entire Earth’s worth of material wealth could be allocated to every person alive at the moment. The only clincher is that it takes massive, real investment to bootstrap a group of settlers into space. Humanity is unwilling to make such an investment, particularly since there’s no way to recover the investment by investors who remain behind.

 
Comment by polly
2012-10-15 10:59:39

I wrote a paper for a government class about the NASA overall game plan which, at the time, called for a permanent manned space station and then on to manned exploration of Mars.

My conclusions were that no one had even started the process to figure out if there were valid science or economic reasons to do it. No good studies of what could be gained by the process. Nothing. And back then, when computer based research was tough to non-existant, I had access to all of Robert Jastrow’s files - well, the non-classified ones. All his magazine and journal clippings and he got all the important ones.

A year or more later a government panel wrote a report that came to the same conclusion after a process that was significantly more long and involved than a 19 year old writing a class paper. Professor gave me a B+. Said the conclusion was too wishy washy.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-15 12:13:48

The where is my Ohbewanna Phone, and my $3000 stimulus EBT card so I can get in on the action and buy a new laptop?

Lookie at all the green jobs we created and with so much government money too…..

2000 dead to save the poppy fields from the taliban….is that a good investment?

————–
aNYCdj, economics should drive such things. Not this silly fantasy you people have about moons

 
Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-15 12:51:25

Maybe it’s similar to Mallory’s reason for wanting to climb Everest.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-15 13:06:25

Humanity is unwilling to make such an investment, particularly since there’s no way to recover the investment by investors who remain behind.

So you’re saying we’re the proverbial monkeys trying to pull the potential escapees back down to our level?

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-15 15:01:22

A disheartening bunch of replies here. Have we all become so jaded and incurious that space exploration can only be justified by its potential economic return? Are our nation’s aspirational priorties really this pedestrian ?

The processes and engineering challenges posed and met by NASA over the years have lain the groudwork, and in many cases the actual infrastructure, for most of the technological innovations and scientific advances of the last fifty years. Moreover, NASA serves as a National Repository and Sanctuary for many of our finest minds. That fact alone is reason to keep its funding a priority.

When mankind stops wondering, stops looking beyond the beyond and facing down the unknown, we truly are doomed as a species. But look! Here comes Honey Boo Boo.

 
Comment by Dale
2012-10-15 16:48:17

Personally, I liked Newt’s idea of a moon base. Could have worked out a lot of the problems for biospheres and close enough to bail if something went drastically wrong. As a kid I remember that lack of water was always the reason it could not be done as getting enough water out of the earth’s atmosphere and to the moon would take too much fuel. Turns out there is already water on the moon.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 20:47:16

“Could have worked out a lot of the problems for biospheres and close enough to bail if something went drastically wrong.”

Some folks already tried that.

Heaven’s Gate Cult Initiation Tape Part 1

Heaven’s Gate Cult Initiation Tape Part 2

 
Comment by BetterRenter
2012-10-15 21:09:21

Dale, the lunar base is necessary if you actually plan on colonizing off the Earth. The moon is Humanity’s factory floor. The gravity well is light enough, combined with the lack of atmosphere, to make it economically viable to export materials and products from the lunar surface. The lunar regolith is chock full of aluminum, oxygen, iron, silicon, calcium and so on, and all you need to do is just scoop it up, since it’s the 2nd best pulverized ore body known to man (the first being Earth’s oceans, of course).

But since nobody is really applying economic laws to the pursuit of space efforts, nothing will come from it. Humans only act on these scales for economic reasons. There are no other reasons and it’s extremely foolish to claim there are.

It’s sad to see that even here on the HBB, people are so profoundly mal-educated that they believe the US and EU space programs are being run for anything other than deceitful economic reasons. All space efforts are pursued because some rich aerospace industrialist gets a fat paycheck from it. Again, there are no other reasons. And that fully explains why NOTHING made for space operations is kept around like real infrastructure, with the exception of a few launch gantries. Nothing put into space lasts. Everything put into space is soon enough destroyed. It’s a modern form of POTLATCH, really. Pumping money into equipment that just gets destroyed is the hallmark of the bastards in the military-industrial complex.

The ISS will be allowed to re-enter and be destroyed, soon enough, for example. No space stations are preserved, even at launch costs of $10000 per kilogram. That colossal waste tells you all you need to know about why and who.

 
Comment by Dale
2012-10-15 21:32:24

How difficult/practical would it be to move the ISS to the lunar surface and anchor it there? What do they do on the ISS anyway?

 
Comment by Dale
2012-10-15 21:46:49

“Some folks already tried that.”

Yes, but if you take away their ability to “cheat”, by say - pumping in extra oxygen, it might be a little more credible. Up there it would be for real and not just some publicity stunt.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 23:20:00

Here is one unfortunate past use for a Rancho Santa Fe mansion:

CNN: Heaven’s Gate suicides remembered

 
Comment by jane
2012-10-16 01:36:31

ahansen, I could not agree more. We’re at a grim pass. Scientists are dying out because there are vanishingly few ways to make a living at it. Without the fundamental discoveries, engineers have no grist to work with, even assuming there WAS a real demand for their capabilities. “Software engineers” - the only ones who are making a living before being aged out - are not engineers in the traditional sense of building a bridge, or a water system or - for that matter - a metal pot.

The space program used to be a place where a scientist or engineer who knew how to make things, or who was drawn by the mysteries of the electromagnetic spectrum, could go to make an honorable living. Thus keeping those capabilities alive.

One of these days the psychopaths that run things will push the red button, and we will blow one another to smithereens. At a point where things stop cooking, enough to start rebuilding, we will wish we knew how to do it.

I want to see a bankster figuring out how to design and build a viaduct, such as the Romans engineers built, that is still working 800 years later. With all of our bluster, we cannot duplicate that feat today - that knowledge was lost, and it has not been recovered.

In Einstein’s famous words, after the great cookoff, we will fight the local starvation wars with sticks and stones.

That’s the limiting case applied to the war on critical thinking.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-16 14:10:32

Dammit! I missed this continuation!

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-15 04:45:51

Shocking logic. And even “socialist” Sweden gets it.

—————————————————-

Sweden’s Tax War
Forbes | 10/4/2012 | Tom Giovanetti

Sweden’s Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt announced that the government intends to cut the corporate tax rate, which he called “probably the most damaging tax of all,” down to 22%. That’s welfare-state, high-tax, big-spending Sweden cutting its corporate tax rate to 13 percentage points lower than the U.S. rate of 35%.

What government should be asking is: Would we rather have 22% of a thriving, growing business sector, or 35% of a moribund, struggling business sector? The Swedes know the right answer.

Comment by oxide
2012-10-15 06:30:31

Loopholes and other special treatment for different kinds of businesses mean that businesses pay an effective rate of only 29.2% of their income, which puts the United States below the average of 31.9% among other major economies, according to analysis by the Treasury Department.

(CNN Money March 27, 2012)

Comment by 2banana
2012-10-15 06:36:46

Only if you are a giant multinational.

If you are a small to mid sized company - you get hit with the highest corporate tax rate in the world.

And guess where nearly all new jobs come from? Small to mid-sized companies.

Hope and change boyz - we are going to tax and print our way to PROSPERITY!

Four more years!

Comment by oxide
2012-10-15 07:14:23

Very well then, I’ll trade you Sweden’s EFFECTIVE corporate tax rates for Sweden’s nationalized health care. Let’s see which one does more for business.

And btw, taxes are just costs passed on to the customer. If taxes are cut, will these corporations cut their prices accordingly, or will they simply feed the extra profit to the Bottomless Stockholder Maw?

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Comment by goon squad
2012-10-15 07:48:01

Those stupid Swedes must be miserable with their socialist health, right?

Countries reporting the highest levels of life satisfaction per the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development:

1- Denmark
2- Norway
3- Netherlands
4- Switzerland
5- Austria
6- Israel
7- Finland
8- Australia
9- Canada
10- Sweden

Notice a pattern with these? They ALL have marxist communist socialist nationalized health care.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-happiest-countries-in-the-world.html?page=all

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 08:03:17

High levels of life satisfaction is commie.

 
Comment by mathguy
2012-10-15 08:11:09

In that case they should take care of (and pay for) policing the world instead of us. No more interference in Libya/Syria/Iraq/Iran/Egypt by the US.. It’s Denmark’s job dammit!

 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-10-15 08:14:16

“And btw, taxes are just costs passed on to the customer. If taxes are cut, will these corporations cut their prices accordingly, or will they simply feed the extra profit to the Bottomless Stockholder Maw?”

Assuming that the corporation is in a competitive industry, prices eventually get cut, though it may take a while. Think gas prices- they go up quickly when crude prices go up and they do eventually come down after crude prices drop.

If the corporations always kept all the extra profit then gas prices would NEVER come down.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-10-15 08:37:03

I can’t agree. Gas prices are rising according to a classic “three steps forward, two steps back” pattern. They make it look like gas prices drop, but in the end they always take a step forward.

Anyway, taxes aren’t the ONLY variable in the price of gas, or anything else. So 2banana’s original assumption — that low taxes are necessary and sufficient for thriving business — makes this a moot discussion.

Besides, I’m not sure that this push for low taxes is really about taxes and the role of government. It’s more about cutting costs, raising profits, and feeding the Bottomless Stockholder Maw. After outsourcing, cutting retirment and benefits, rightsizing etc, automatization, mergers, and bullying the Fed into lowering tax rates to near zero, etc., what costs are left to cut? Taxes and regulations. They are just phrasing this cost cut as “Business-friendly vs. Evil government” as a frame to buy Congress and to trick the little guy into screwing himself.

 
Comment by Patrick
2012-10-15 12:33:50

Mathguy

Canada has also been holding up it’s end of the stick with the USA. Air, land, and sea forces in Afganishtan; we were in command of the Libya fight; helped you with our elite in Iraq (your President gave a unit decoration to our CTF22 corp for saving some American elite combatants). Your not in Syria or Eygpt - yet. Nor are we.

With the greatest respect to our deceased heros I sure hope you are not implying Canada is a “free cheese” state.

We are a law abiding country who believes in protecting the equal rights of others.

 
Comment by mathguy
2012-10-15 14:02:12

Patrick… I’m good with that.. We need to get our house in order here in the US, so I think we will just withdraw from the world for a bit and let you guys in Canada handle things mmmkay? If you need any help, just ask Denmark, Finland, and Sweden to pony up.

 
Comment by Patrick
2012-10-15 17:09:58

Mathguy

Not a problem. I think you guys have done more than your share anyway.

Besides, we’ll be using Made in USA equipment so you’ll still be there.

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 08:10:02

If you are an American small to mid sized company - you can invest profits in your company, hire some more workers, pay yourself a bonus or use other loopholes to reduce the corporate tax rate. I know because I did all of the above.

Facts…..the rich Repubs told us cutting taxes would “create jobs”. It didn’t in America and didn’t in other places.

Canada Proves Conservatives Wrong by Cutting Corporate Taxes By 30% and Still No Jobs

http://www.politicususa.com/canada-proves-conservatives-wrong-cutting-corporate-taxes-30-jobs.html

Overall, Canada has cut corporate taxes by almost 30% in 6 years.

The only problem is, the Canadian economy isn’t blasting off at all. It is still stuck in an anemic recovery. just like the United States. The Canadian economy only grew 1.8% in the second quarter of 2012. The United States on the other hand has a much higher statutory corporate tax and the economy grew at 1.7% in the same quarter. How can this be? Higher taxes hurt job creation, right? Yet both countries are stuck in the same slow recovery.

Unemployment in Canada has only dropped 1% since the recession ended, less than the drop in the United States which dropped almost 2%.

Someone’s comment to the above article:
(Less hiring) has NOTHING to do with taxation, and they know that better than anyone. The problems are multi-faceted – every single one of them was created by unbridled greed – they were given the green light to move all manufacturing to countries where they could hire workers for – literally – pennies on the dollar, with no pesky overhead like insurance, workers’ comp, OSHA or EPA regs or any other regulatory agency sticking its nose into THEIR business. The overall picture is unchanged, and it is NEVER gonna be fixed until the American people grow enough clankers to stop this $hit, once and for all.

Bring the manufacturing plant back or we can always tax you the same amount you would have paid the workers you laid off and expected US to take care of.

And NO you are NOT gonna raise your prices an ungodly amount to cover it – you’re gonna dig out the profits you raped from this country over the last decade or two, or rake em back from the stockholders you hold so dear After all, all that ‘cost-saving’ horse kaka didn’t translate to one red cent of savings in the COST of your product to us consumers, now did it???? No, no, no – that was considered PROFIT and SMART BUSINESS. Uh huh. There are better words for that.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 11:12:57

How about using Ireland as an example?

 
Comment by oxide
2012-10-15 12:58:32

I thought Ireland’s economy wasn’t doing so hot at the moment.

Companies have figured out that jobs make very effective cost-cut hostages. Lower our taxes or you don’t get any jobs (trade orgs). Let us bring our offshore profits on shore, and we’ll use the money to create jobs. Let us merge with another company into a semi-monopoly, and we’ll create 5000 jobs (AT&T). Let us build this pipeline so we can export crude oil and that will create X number of temp jobs (Keystone). Get rid of these regulations or we’ll have to cut jobs to pay for regulatory compliance (coal industry). If your union goes on strike at our facility, we’ll pakc up and ship ALL the jobs the China (happened to a friend of mine at Martin Marietta). If you give us bunches of tax breaks, we’ll choose to create jobs in YOUR city instead of some other city. Vote for this pro-gambling referendum and the casinos will create Jobs (Question 7 in Maryland).

Funny that companies seemed to do well enough with higher taxes in previous decades. And through all of this, companies seem to be squeaking by with plenty of profit even now. This has nothing to do with taxes and everything to do with the Bottomless Stockholder Maw. Jobs are just a bargaining chip.

 
 
 
Comment by Anon in DC
2012-10-15 17:20:56

Oxide you just don’t get it. Corporations don’t pay any taxes. They are overhead that get built into the price of every gallon of gas, loaf of bread, pair shoes. Customers pay the tax. I want a corporate tax rate of 0%. Starve the governmental beast.

 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 07:42:38

http://www.reuters.com/article/2008/08/12/us-usa-taxes-corporations-idUSN1249465620080812

Almost half of ALL corporations doing business in the US pay NO taxes.

That’s NO taxes as in “no taxes”.

Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-15 08:01:50

And explain why we tax corporations on profits…..then give them tax credits for running up losses?

Comment by polly
2012-10-15 09:07:06

They don’t get credits for running up losses. They get to carry forward and carry back losses as deductions. The difference in theory and effect is giant.

Individuals used to be able to do a modified version of this when they were allowed to income average. That went away a long time ago. Maybe the ‘86 reforms? Part of some tax simplification.

Oh, and bananas, the overwhelming majority of small businesses don’t pay corporate tax at all. They are included in the owner’s individual taxes after being reported on schedule C. Most of them would probably be lucky to be in the 25% bracket for a small portion of their income. Even if they were incorporated, they could avoid all corporate income taxes by paying their owner their taxable profits (after their other deductions) as salary. That is what SMALL businesses do. Now, if you are talking about an organization with millions of dollars of profit every year, then, yeah, they are going to pay some corporate taxes. Unless they want to become an LLC taxed as a partnership. Then the shareholders can pay taxes on all the company’s income whether distributed or not. At this time, in the US, paying corporate taxes is purely voluntary.

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Comment by 2banana
2012-10-15 09:35:00

Yeah - you are right.

And they are right in the cross hair for obama’s tax massive increases. Because they are the “rich” and need to pay their fair share.

Funny how that works. No jobs seem to be created when you tax the snot out of the people that historically create jobs…

Oh, and bananas, the overwhelming majority of small businesses don’t pay corporate tax at all. They are included in the owner’s individual taxes after being reported on schedule C.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-15 09:55:00

Yes Polly I made a mistake, but if we eliminated this by no corporate income taxes on profits, what do you think would happen?

They don’t get credits for running up losses. They get to carry forward and carry back losses as deductions. The difference in theory and effect is giant.

 
Comment by polly
2012-10-15 11:07:15

“if we eliminated this by no corporate income taxes on profits, what do you think would happen?”

Massive tax avoidance through the use of corporate structures and much, much more wealth concentration because the owners of capital will have even more incentive to keep the money in the corporation even if the company has nothing useful to do with the money.

And bananas? Those income tax increases are about to happen because Bush intended his tax decreases to be temporary. The president would like to keep them down for almost everyone in the country, including something like 97% of small businesses because they DON’T make close to enough money to be impacted by the increases that Bush included in his plan that the President would like to leave in place. I help some friends of mine with their taxes. They have two small businesses. Income for both of those businesses together is less than $20K a year.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 11:50:46

“No jobs seem to be created when you give tax breaks to the people that historically create jobs…”

Fixed it for you.

Corporate taxes are at a 40 year low.

 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-15 08:06:12

Hey birdboy, why do you hate the Producers? Why do you hate the Job Creators©

F*ing commie troll!

 
 
Comment by BetterRenter
2012-10-15 08:46:05

Facepalm. We don’t have a moribund, struggling business sector in the USA. It’s been making record profits over the last 10 years. Taxes, although fairly high, aren’t the problem. The problem is that it’s categorically insane; it wants high profits at low risk, which is economically impossible to achieve. That’s what drove the housing bubble.

In the race to the bottom with lowering business tax rates to pull businesses into your sphere, the “winners” will end up looking around at huge masses of people who can’t buy their products… because they’ll be either unemployed, underpaid, or overtaxed from the race itself. But don’t worry for your stock portfolio, 2b. We have a LOT of “financial innovation” we can explore to keep the party going, like family credit lines (where your kids end up paying on your debts). This sort of general economic collapse takes generations to happen. Since we live within it, at usual Human time scales, most people can’t see it happening.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-10-15 12:48:37

“It is a paradoxical truth that tax rates are too high and tax revenues are too low and the soundest way to raise the revenues in the long run is to cut the rates now … Cutting taxes now is not to incur a budget deficit, but to achieve the more prosperous, expanding economy which can bring a budget surplus.”

“A tax cut means higher family income and higher business profits and a balanced federal budget. Every taxpayer and his family will have more money left over after taxes for a new car, a new home, new conveniences, education and investment. Every businessman can keep a higher percentage of his profits in his cash register or put it to work expanding or improving his business, and as the national income grows, the federal government will ultimately end up with more revenues.”

“Lower rates of taxation will stimulate economic activity and so raise the levels of personal and corporate income as to yield within a few years an increased – not a reduced – flow of revenues to the federal government.”

– John F. Kennedy

My, how times change.

Comment by oxide
2012-10-15 13:05:04

Funny how R’s love to bring up Jack Kennedy’s tax cut, but they NEVER mention the actual numbers. Kennedy

reduced top marginal rate from 91% to 70%
reduced corporate tax rate from 52% to 48%

(wiki) So yes please, let’s do what Kennedy did.

Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-10-15 13:35:56

Nice try. Read the words, it’s not about the rates, it’s about the philosophy.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 13:52:09

it’s not about the (tax) rates, it’s about the philosophy.

No it is not. It is about the rates. The rates drive the philosophy, not the other way around. This is why one track, narrow minded, dogmatic thinking drives so many people crazy.

For example: When taxes are 99% and there is no economic growth, the philosophy on what should be done is different than the philosophy of when taxes are 1% and (because of anarchy and no structure and rules) there is no economic growth.

It’s like the “philosophy” of salt. The “philosophy of salt” changes when there is too much or too little salt in the food.

 
Comment by polly
2012-10-15 13:59:58

How do you know that he would have said the same thing if the numbers were different? The words of all people have to be taken in context, including the words of politicians.

Besides, since the “philosophy” is blatantly false if you move to 0% tax rate since 0% of anything is still zero, the context is obviously required.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-10-15 14:14:12

Look, John Kennedy was a staunch anti-communist and always an American first. He cared about the economy, he cared about the middle class and businesses. John Kennedy was not out to “Fundamentally change America”, he could read the writing on the wall and used basic economic principals to bring about economic growth.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 14:15:35

How do you know that he would have said the same thing if the numbers were different? The words of all people have to be taken in context,

There it is.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-10-15 14:24:58

“Besides, since the “philosophy” is blatantly false”

False only to University Indoctrinated Anti-capitalists who continue to expose themselves with every comment. The armchair commies need to slow down and admit they were programmed. Programmed by malcontents in the education establishment bent on the destruction of America and the western way of life.

“if you move to 0% tax rate since 0% of anything is still zero, the context is obviously required.”

Context? You are the only one posting the number 0, a number that any rational person would understand without context.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 20:53:51

Inequality and the world economy
True Progressivism
A new form of radical centrist politics is needed to tackle inequality without hurting economic growth
Oct 13th 2012 | from the print edition

BY THE end of the 19th century, the first age of globalisation and a spate of new inventions had transformed the world economy. But the “Gilded Age” was also a famously unequal one, with America’s robber barons and Europe’s “Downton Abbey” classes amassing huge wealth: the concept of “conspicuous consumption” dates back to 1899. The rising gap between rich and poor (and the fear of socialist revolution) spawned a wave of reforms, from Theodore Roosevelt’s trust-busting to Lloyd George’s People’s Budget. Governments promoted competition, introduced progressive taxation and wove the first threads of a social safety net. The aim of this new “Progressive era”, as it was known in America, was to make society fairer without reducing its entrepreneurial vim.

Modern politics needs to undergo a similar reinvention—to come up with ways of mitigating inequality without hurting economic growth. That dilemma is already at the centre of political debate, but it mostly produces heat, not light. Thus, on America’s campaign trail, the left attacks Mitt Romney as a robber baron and the right derides Barack Obama as a class warrior. In some European countries politicians have simply given in to the mob: witness François Hollande’s proposed 75% income-tax rate. In much of the emerging world leaders would rather sweep the issue of inequality under the carpet: witness China’s nervous embarrassment about the excesses of Ferrari-driving princelings, or India’s refusal to tackle corruption.

At the core, there is a failure of ideas. The right is still not convinced that inequality matters. The left’s default position is to raise income-tax rates for the wealthy and to increase spending still further—unwise when sluggish economies need to attract entrepreneurs and when governments, already far bigger than Roosevelt or Lloyd George could have imagined, are overburdened with promises of future largesse. A far more dramatic rethink is needed: call it True Progressivism.

To have or to have not

Does inequality really need to be tackled? The twin forces of globalisation and technical innovation have actually narrowed inequality globally, as poorer countries catch up with richer ones. But within many countries income gaps have widened. More than two-thirds of the world’s people live in countries where income disparities have risen since 1980, often to a startling degree. In America the share of national income going to the top 0.01% (some 16,000 families) has risen from just over 1% in 1980 to almost 5% now—an even bigger slice than the top 0.01% got in the Gilded Age.

It is also true that some measure of inequality is good for an economy. It sharpens incentives to work hard and take risks; it rewards the talented innovators who drive economic progress. Free-traders have always accepted that the more global a market, the greater the rewards will be for the winners. But as our special report this week argues, inequality has reached a stage where it can be inefficient and bad for growth.

That is most obvious in the emerging world. In China credit is siphoned to state-owned enterprises and well-connected insiders; the elite also gain from a string of monopolies. In Russia the oligarchs’ wealth has even less to do with entrepreneurialism. In India, too often, the same is true.

In the rich world the cronyism is better-hidden. One reason why Wall Street accounts for a disproportionate share of the wealthy is the implicit subsidy given to too-big-to-fail banks. From doctors to lawyers, many high-paying professions are full of unnecessary restrictive practices. And then there is the most unfair transfer of all—misdirected welfare spending. Social spending is often less about helping the poor than giving goodies to the relatively wealthy. In America the housing subsidy to the richest fifth (through mortgage-interest relief) is four times the amount spent on public housing for the poorest fifth.

Even the sort of inequality produced by meritocracy can hurt growth. If income gaps get wide enough, they can lead to less equality of opportunity, especially in education. Social mobility in America, contrary to conventional wisdom, is lower than in most European countries. The gap in test scores between rich and poor American children is roughly 30-40% wider than it was 25 years ago. And by some measures class mobility is even stickier in China than in America.

Some of those at the top of the pile will remain sceptical that inequality is a problem in itself. But even they have an interest in mitigating it, for if it continues to rise, momentum for change will build and may lead to a political outcome that serves nobody’s interests. Communism may be past reviving, but there are plenty of other bad ideas out there.

Hence the need for a True Progressive agenda. Here is our suggestion, which steals ideas from both left and right to tackle inequality in three ways that do not harm growth.

Compete, target and reform

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-10-15 22:24:44

Reform is fine within the bounds of the constitution - throwing out the current system of government and replacing it with communism is ridiculous.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 23:21:50

…throwing out the current system of government and replacing it with communism is ridiculous.

Aside from yourself, who is proposing this?

 
Comment by Skipper
2012-10-16 05:58:59

Hey, Rio, you appear to be pleased with yourself! After reading your BS I see you forgot to include the total taxation we are under now versus JFK’s days. If you total up ALL the forms of tax we are now paying I think you’d find everyone pretty well tapped out.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-16 14:09:52

If you total up ALL the forms of tax we are now paying I think you’d find everyone pretty well tapped out.

Everyone but the rich. Where you been?

only to University Indoctrinated Anti-capitalists who continue to expose themselves with every comment. The armchair commies need to slow down and admit they were programmed. Programmed by malcontents in the education establishment bent on the destruction of America and the western way of life.

I like it when you get excited because you get dumber. :)

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-15 04:48:38

If you own housing, you better be dumping it before housing owns you.

 
Comment by vinceinwaukesha
2012-10-15 04:56:00

Yesterday, In Colorado wrote:
“Isn’t the common wisdom that boats are maintenance money pits?”

I’ve been a landlubber (although I sailed a little dinghy alot as a kid) and I’ve been following this for decades, and probably the only positive effect of the housing bubble, from my perspective, is HGTV etc have trained people to believe spending insane amounts of money on living quarters is a great idea. So, yeah, a landlubber toilet at home depot is like $150 vs a marine head at about $600, but everyone knows that remodeling your bathroom automagically adds $75K to the price of your whatever so its good debt and blowing money on house(boat) is always a great idea blah blah.

Boating… no more expensive hobby exists, no more expensive “second home” exists, yet its actually a pretty cheap lifestyle if you live aboard.

Two funnies about the article, if your sailboat is using $25K of fuel per year, you’re doing something wrong, and docking is expensive… you’ve got a boat, sail it, don’t park it. If you’re going to spend 99% of your time in dock, just rent an apartment instead.

You wanna read something hilarious? Real estate BS spread into the dock business a long time ago. “We now have boat slips available for sale - Slips with 14,000 pound boat lift are available - This is a great investment as they are not building any more boat docks or slips in the Tampa area” Seriously? LOL.

Sailboat living is hard because its very cheap below 30 feet (like, cheaper than a car) but you have almost none of the “demanded” landlubber amenities, yet above 40 feet it starts getting very luxurious and expensive and its getting so big you need a young strong crew. Prices scale as a large polynomial power of length, a 40 footer (50K to 150K) costs a heck of a lot more than twice as much as two 20 footers (2K to 20K).

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 07:31:28

Liveaboard. 32ft. $10,000. No sails. Dock fee approx $1,000 per year, includes utilities and club fees and taxes. No fuel expenses unless I vacation, then if I take it easy two weeks or two months in the Great Lakes for under $1,000. Anchor off a white sand beach for as long as I want. At the home dock, ten acres of grassy park manicured by someone else. Clubhouse and kitchen if I want to throw a party, or crash one. The only things I don’t have in the way of amenities are an actual bath tub and a hot tub, but I have a lady friend in town who does. If I’m not in the mood for that I usually shower on deck and the neighbors could care less. Maintenance; you can spend money on toys if you are so inclined, or just do the regular things for a few hundred a year. Winter storage $350. Insurance $400. Government fees negligible.

This is not too expensive, unless it is just one of many sidelines.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 07:41:12

Seems like at $1000 a year, utilities included, and all those amenities, they’d be losing money on liveaboards. I would think the utilities alone could easily exceed the rent.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 08:35:42

Maybe on the days that the air conditioners are cranked up, but not in general. My average power draw without A/C is below 100 watts. I know this becuause I am often operating on the house bank and have to be mindful of the batteries. It was below 50 watts before I put the big refrigerator in. Now I pull 1500 watts heating on colder days. I am the only hard core that stays aboard this late so noone notices a jump in the meter. Village electric is about $0.05 per kWhour, so it’s like a $ a day on average.

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Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-15 08:58:26

so when do you park the boat for winter?

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 09:13:46

Usually by Thanksgiving. I’ll be out early this year because of plans to travel. I have friends near here who stay aboard all winter, they are more crazy than me.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-15 09:57:34

I could see if you were in South Carolina living all year but upstate NY….that’s hard core

 
Comment by snowgirl
2012-10-15 11:59:30

I sailed out of Salem, MA. There were a few year round liveaboards there on the freezing No. Atlantic. We sailed till Thanksgiving a few times. That’s what fleece, Gore-Tex and thermals were made for. :)

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-15 13:52:02

Did both of you at least take them off before going to bed?…..oops

That’s what fleece, Gore-Tex and thermals were made for. :)

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-15 05:03:35

Future conservatives - they just don’t know it yet.

The young do realize Social Security and Medicare are a scam as they exist today as these programs will go bankrupt long before they ever get to use them (but will pay lots of taxes to support).

————————————

Young voters crave discussion about entitlements
The Seattle Times | 10/14/12 | Brian M. Rosenthal

Jonathan Assink is a lifelong Democrat and unabashed supporter of Barack Obama.

But asked about the president’s plans for Social Security and Medicare, the 29-year-old shakes his head.

“There’s nothing there. It’s just, ‘We’ll protect it.’ Well, great, thanks. How?” said Assink, who lives in Edmonds and works as a barista in Seattle. “At least the other side talks about it.”

Assink is part of the generation with perhaps the most at stake and the least say in the future of entitlement programs that have long protected senior citizens but may run out of money to do so at the same level for future retirees.

Already disproportionately suffering from a weak economy, young Americans say they’re not counting on post-retirement government help. And they are not surprised that the debate over the programs is being driven largely by older people who wouldn’t suffer under the most serious proposals under consideration anyway.

If politicians did listen, they might be surprised: Recent survey data indicate that Americans ages 18-29, despite being overwhelmingly liberal, support some conservative ideas for changing the structure of entitlement programs.

Roughly 86 percent of them favor allowing workers to put their Social Security taxes into a private account, as some Republicans have proposed, according to a November 2011 survey by the Washington, D.C.-based Pew Research Center. That’s much more than the 52 percent of seniors who support the idea.

Obama has been less specific. He says he is open to raising the Social Security tax cap, and wants to make Medicare more efficient, with wealthy recipients perhaps paying higher premiums. He accuses Romney and Ryan of seeking to “end Medicare as we know it.”

It’s that type of rhetoric that is maddening to Chetan Chandrashekhar, an 18-year-old freshman at the University of Washington.

“The attack ads that we’ve seen against Paul Ryan about ending Medicare as we know it, they seem cheap,” he said. “We need to have a real discussion.”

While Meaker cautioned that her generation has varying views on entitlements, she said most agree on one thing: Social Security and Medicare are unlikely to provide them the same safety net that exists for seniors today.

A combination of the recession, fear over entitlements and other factors will make millennials more frugal than others, the 33-year-old predicted.

Comment by Montana
2012-10-15 06:12:22

ironic that my google ad right above the post screams that my congressman wants to end medicare and social security. that’s what you get for talking about entitlements…

Comment by 2banana
2012-10-15 06:27:04

Yes - Democrats want to “protect” Social Security and Medicare right up to the day they go bankrupt.

Then no one will have it (great plan).

Or the government will nationalize private pensions and 401k for the “greater good” and “because it is fair.”

We already have had congressional hearings on the subject and other countries have already blazed that path.

Gotta to keep the free sh*t army voting democrat…

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-15 07:11:40

Gotta to keep the free sh*t army voting democrat

Looking forward to comparing the number of people collecting food stamps, disability, earned income tax credits, Obama phones, etc at the end of the first Romney/Ryan term, as compared with today.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 07:36:50

Not many “look forward” to the inevitable continued disintegration of our economy (regardless of who the Clown in Chief is). I look forward to what comes after that and hope that it will be more sustainable.

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-15 08:15:31

inevitable continued disintegration of our economy

That phrase right there says it all. The Lucky Ducky future is the ONLY future for Amerikwa! We look forward to a Romney/Ryan administration, and to paraphrase Rush Limbaugh, we hope they FAIL!

Take America Back!

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 15:04:48

Take my wife, please!

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 08:25:29

Democrats want to “protect” Social Security and Medicare right up to the day they go bankrupt.

Social Security can be fixed by lifting the cap on the limits of taxed income.

Ryan’s voucher plan will make things much worse for seniors. If the Repubs were serious about fixing Medicare and ObamaCare they’d entertain public options and single payer. But Repubs don’t care or even represent today’s America demographic.

And I’ve never seen a national campaign in my life that has lied as much Romney/Ryan.

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Comment by 2banana
2012-10-15 08:50:44

To democrats and liberals - there is NOT a problem out there that can’t be FIXED with just higher and higher taxes.

Here is a history lesson for you on Social Security.

Social Security started out as a 1% tax on the “richest Americans”

It has been “fixed” over the next 70 years so now that we all pay almost 15% in taxes for Social Security (up to a certain high income level).

Well played democrats. Well played.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 08:57:13

‘It has been “fixed” over the next 70 years so now that we all pay almost 15% in taxes for Social Security (up to a certain high income level).’

The ‘non-tax’ was “fixed” at 15.3% on Republican president Ronald Reagan’s watch in 1983 by a committee headed by Republican economist Alan Greenspan.

Nice try!

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 09:01:54

Reference:

How Ronald Reagan and Alan Greenspan Pulled off the Greatest Fraud Ever Perpetrated against the American People

by Allen W. Smith / April 14th, 2010

David Leonhardt’s article, “Yes, 47% of Households Owe No Taxes. Look Closer,” in Tuesday’s New York Times was excellent, but it just scratches the tip of the iceberg of how the rich have gained at the expense of the working class during the past three decades. When Ronald Reagan became President in 1981, he abandoned the traditional economic policies, under which the United States had operated for the previous 40 years, and launched the nation in a dangerous new direction. As Newsweek magazine put it in its March 2, 1981 issue, “Reagan thus gambled the future — his own, his party’s, and in some measure the nation’s—on a perilous and largely untested new course called supply-side economics.”

If Reagan had campaigned for the presidency by promising big tax cuts for the rich and pledging to make up for the lost revenue by imposing substantial tax increases on the working class, he would probably not have been elected. But that is exactly what Reagan did, with the help of Alan Greenspan. Consider the following sequence of events:

1) President Reagan appointed Greenspan as chairman of the 1982 National Commission on Social Security Reform (aka The Greenspan Commission)

2) The Greenspan Commission recommended a major payroll tax hike to generate Social Security surpluses for the next 30 years, in order to build up a large reserve in the trust fund that could be drawn down during the years after Social Security began running deficits.

3) The 1983 Social Security amendments enacted hefty increases in the payroll tax in order to generate large future surpluses.

4) As soon as the first surpluses began to role in, in 1985, the money was put into the general revenue fund and spent on other government programs. None of the surplus was saved or invested in anything. The surplus Social Security revenue, that was paid by working Americans, was used to replace the lost revenue from Reagan’s big income tax cuts that went primarily to the rich.

5) In 1987, President Reagan nominated Greenspan as the successor to Paul Volker as chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. Greenspan continued as Fed Chairman until January 31, 2006. (One can only speculate on whether the coveted Fed Chairmanship represented, at least in part, a payback for Greenspan’s role in initiating the Social Security surplus revenue.)

6) In 1990, Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan of New York, a member of the Greenspan Commission, and one of the strongest advocates the the 1983 legislation, became outraged when he learned that first Reagan, and then President George H.W. Bush used the surplus Social Security revenue to pay for other government programs instead of saving and investing it for the baby boomers. Moynihan locked horns with President Bush and proposed repealing the 1983 payroll tax hike. Moynihan’s view was that if the government could not keep its hands out of the Social Security cookie jar, the cookie jar should be emptied, so there would be no surplus Social Security revenue for the government to loot. President Bush would have no part of repealing the payroll tax hike. The “read-my-lips-no-new-taxes” president was not about to give up his huge slush fund.

The practice of using every dollar of the surplus Social Security revenue for general government spending continues to this day. The 1983 payroll tax hike has generated approximately $2.5 trillion in surplus Social Security revenue which is supposed to be in the trust fund for use in paying for the retirement benefits of the baby boomers. But the trust fund is empty! It contains no real assets. As a result, the government will soon be unable to pay full benefits without a tax increase. Money can be spent or it can be saved. But you can’t do both. Absolutely none of the $2.5 trillion was saved or invested in anything. I have been laboring for more than a decade to expose the great Social Security scam. For more information, please visit my website or contact me.

Dr. Allen W. Smith is a Professor of Economics, Emeritus, at Eastern Illinois University. He is the author of seven books and has been researching and writing about Social Security financing for the past ten years. Read other articles by Allen, or visit Allen’s website.

This article was posted on Wednesday, April 14th, 2010 at 9:00am and is filed under Economy/Economics, Social Security, Tax.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 09:02:40

To democrats and liberals - there is NOT a problem out there that can’t be FIXED with just higher and higher taxes.

Taxes on the rich have been trending down for 32 years. Where are the higher taxes on the rich? Where? Show me a trend of higher taxes on the rich. Show me a 30 year chart. Show me. Show us. Explain the numbers on how the taxes have been rising on the rich the past three decades.

Where are the numbers? Enlighten us. Please. We’re ready now to see the numbers.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-15 09:21:37

I find it amusing how SS is so demonized. Where it not for the temporary SS tax holiday, it wouldn’t even contribute to the deficit at all at this point in time.

 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-10-15 10:34:16

“4) As soon as the first surpluses began to role in, in 1985, the money was put into the general revenue fund and spent on other government programs. None of the surplus was saved or invested in anything.”

Where was it to be saved and what was it to be invested in? Remember, Treasurys don’t count because that’s just temporarily moving money from Uncle Sam’s back pocket to his front pocket, where it is still promptly spent. And when it comes time for SS to redeem those Treasurys because the money is needed, the taxpayers have to come up with the dough.

So, invest in Greek or Italian bonds? Municipal bonds from Stockton and other Cali cities? The “old” GM bonds? Give it to Pimco and the like to invest?

What’s been the recent investment history of CALPERS, the entity that’s probably most similar to Social Security?

Sorry but SS has always been and always will be pay as you go- an annual transfer from my kids to me.

Thanks, kids!

 
Comment by measton
2012-10-15 10:39:38

I find it amusing how SS is so demonized

Ask yourself who is interested in demonizing SS. It sure isn’t your average American. There is a well funded propaganda operation in play.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 11:22:02

“Taxes on the rich have been trending down for 32 years…”

Hey, we fixed that. Old money has been inflated away to practically nothing. If old money was put into real assets, inflation increased the price ten fold without making it more valuable. When the asset is sold, we tax the so called profit! It’s a great system.

 
 
 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 07:47:50

“The young do realize Social Security and Medicare are a scam as they exist today as these programs will go bankrupt long before they ever get to use them (but will pay lots of taxes to support).”

The young know nothing of the sort, only the bullcrap propaganda being fed to them.

The ONLY they may never get to collect is if Congress gives it to Wall St, the biggest welfare queen that ever existed.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 07:52:03

“..the only WAY they may…”

Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-15 07:56:22

Nonsense, push some confidence into the system and everything will be fine.

(sarc)

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 08:04:58

Exactly.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 09:06:02

What would make everything fine is plenty of inflation. Things are not going to be fine.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-15 10:19:23

“…bullcrap propaganda being fed to them.”

The next statement is false.

The preceding statement is true.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-15 16:43:33

Big brother to little brother:

“No means yes, and yes means no.

Do you want me to hit you?”

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Comment by AmazingRuss
2012-10-15 08:17:21

The young also realize that the republicans sold them out just as hard as the democrats.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-15 08:44:49

I guess that’s why i get so angry the level of stupid in this country just eats at you.

I wish 1 of these clowns would just say it…if SS went broke tomorrow everyone would still get a check every month….i said A check not YOUR check….you will get 90% and an IOU for the other 10%…

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-10-15 12:52:37

“Young voters crave discussion about entitlements”

Won’t happen as long as the communists are running the Democratic party. Their only interest is collapsing the system and replacing it with communism.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 05:27:57

THE OUTLOOK
October 14, 2012, 2:53 p.m. ET

Consumers Showing Little Fear of ‘Fiscal Cliff’
By BEN CASSELMAN

Consumers are hurtling toward the fiscal cliff—even if they don’t realize it yet.

So far, much of the discussion around the “fiscal cliff”—billions of dollars of tax increases and federal spending cuts set to take effect at the end of the year—has focused on businesses. Corporate executives have warned for months that they will have to slow spending and cut jobs if Congress and the president don’t act to avert, or at least delay, the policies from taking effect. Economists have scoured the economic data for evidence—relatively thin so far—that companies already are pulling in the reins.

Consumers, however, seem unfazed. Consumer confidence surged in early October to its highest level since before the recession, according to a survey from the University of Michigan on Friday. A separate survey of consumers by RBC Capital Markets earlier this month found that most either weren’t following the fiscal cliff or weren’t concerned about it. Only 14% said they had changed their spending or investing behavior as a result. For all the attention the fiscal cliff is getting in Washington and on Wall Street, most consumers just aren’t paying attention, said Tom Porcelli, RBC’s chief U.S. economist.
Real Time Economics

How Much More Will Your Payroll Tax Be in 2013?

“Not until it makes it into the Rockland Journal News will my parents really understand about the fiscal cliff,” Mr. Porcelli said. “Even if someone can acknowledge some familiarity with the topic, they probably don’t know the details.”

Here are the details: Come Jan, 1, under current law, the Bush-era tax cuts will expire. So will the temporary reduction in the payroll tax that has been in place since 2011. So will the extended unemployment benefits that now provide income to two million job seekers. And without a new temporary “patch,” millions of Americans will owe money under the Alternative Minimum Tax.

All told, the policies amount to a roughly $400 billion tax increase, according to estimates from the Congressional Budget Office. The Tax Policy Center estimates that nearly 90% of Americans would see their taxes rise, with the average household paying almost $3,500 more in 2013, although the impact would vary widely by income. That, combined with spending cuts, would almost certainly push the still-fragile economy back into recession.

The “cliff” image—generally attributed to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke—calls to mind a single looming threat that the economy will either pitch over or else swerve to avoid. The more likely scenario is that Congress will act to avoid some obstacles but not others, with the details heavily dependent on the outcome of next month’s elections.

Neither party, however, seems inclined to extend the payroll tax holiday, which reduced the Social Security taxes withheld from paychecks to 4.2% from 6.2% in 2011 and 2012. Barring a last-minute change of heart, almost all working Americans will see their paychecks shrink come January, with the typical working household paying $1,000 more in payroll taxes.

Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal estimate the payroll tax increase alone could shave 0.6 percentage point off annual economic growth. That is a big hit at a time when economists expect less than 2% annualized growth in the first three months of 2013. Jan Hatzius, chief U.S. economist for Goldman Sachs, (GS -1.49%) said the drag on spending would be enough to offset the entire expected benefit of the Fed’s latest round of quantitative easing.

“It’s going to weaken the economy in 2013 in an environment where you’re not growing very quickly to begin with,” Mr. Hatzius said.

Comment by 2banana
2012-10-15 06:29:16

Wow - obama is going to leave the next president (and it may be obama part 2) with the worst fiscal nightmare imaginable.

But can obama blame obama for his problems for the next four years???

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 08:09:48

Did Bush ever take responsibility for his?

“…with the worst fiscal nightmare imaginable.”

Like two wars, unemployment not seen since the Depression and the worst recession in 40 years and trillions of dollars in welfare to men in suits?

Comment by 2banana
2012-10-15 09:00:33

Exaggeration much?

Unemployment was 7.8% in January of 2009 when obama took power.

Now let’s compare to Reagan taking over from Carter. President Reagan inherited an unemployment rate of 7.5 percent in January 1981 which went on to peak at 10.8 percent in 1982 (so much for your “unemployment not seen since the Depression” untruth).

Interests rates at 10% and climbing. Inflation in double digits. Oil and energy shocks. People waiting hours in line gas lines to fill their tanks. America the laughing stock of the world.

Funny I don’t remember Reagan blaming Carter for four years on why he could not get anything done or the lousy economy he inherited.

Amazing what REAL leadership can do for a country.

Like two wars, unemployment not seen since the Depression and the worst recession in 40 years and trillions of dollars in welfare to men in suits?

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 09:57:30

Unemployment was 7.8% in January of 2009 when obama took power.

Feb, 2009 Unemployment 8.2%. (Obama’s been in office 10 days)

Reagan inherited an unemployment rate of 7.5 percent in January 1981 which went on to peak at 10.8 percent in 1982

Reagan inherited unemployment rate of 7.5% and it went to 10.8%

Obama inherited an unemployment rate of 7.8-8.2% and it went to 10.1%. So Obama did better on a lower max unemployment rate.

Obama did better than Reagan on the unemployment rate’s maximum level. And Obama did it with an industrial and economic base gutted like a fish to benefit the rich. Reagan had Carter appointed Paul Volcker at the FED. Obama had Ben Barebackie. Reagan’s America still had a large middle-class and industrial base to bounce back with. And the tax base had not been dismantled in favor of the rich. (That had just started) (And it started under Reagan).

Reagan had a nation at peace. Obama had 3 Wars, Afgan/Iraq/Terror. Reagan still had the largest Automotive industry in the world. Obama? An auto industry cold-cocked. We can go on and on.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-15 10:47:08

He had to fight the cold war which was much more expensive than all the wars you mentioned combined in terms of the cost in GDP. Yes Rio you can go on and on with BS. Obama reappointed BB because he agreed with his policies. Reagan agreed with the inflation fighting policies of Volcker and supported them publicly but did not agree with other policies. But to say that Volcker’s policies would have ended inflation without the supply side policies of Reagan is a joke. Producing more goods and constricting the money supply if far more effective than just raising interest rates which is all Volcker could do.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 11:33:52

(Reagan) had to fight the cold war which was much more expensive than all the wars you mentioned combined in terms of the cost in GDP.

Smokescreen BS alert:
“Cost in GDP”. Are you trying to be tricky with me…telling 1/2 the story? The maximum cost for wars “in GDP” was about the same under Reagan, W.Bush and Obama, EXCEPT what you did not mention was that the USA’s tax receipts compared to GDP are now much lower under Obama. (15% under Obama compared to 18% under Reagan source: taxpolicycenter dot org) The BushTaxCutsForTheRich are greatly responsible for this.

Therefore the costs of Obama’s Wars are a much higher percent of tax receipts than under Reagan.

the defense buildup during the Reagan era, from 5.6 percent of GDP in 1979 to 7 percent of GDP in 1986….and the Bush buildup from 3.6 percent in 1999 to 6 percent in 2010 to fight the first battles against Islamist extremism…usgovernmentspending dot com

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 11:53:45

BS? See, this is why we can’t take you seriously. He quoted verifiable facts and yet you call it BS.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 08:28:08

He won’t have to. It’s well known that the hangover from a banking panic like the one on Bush’s watch in 2008 takes over four years to play out.

 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 08:06:53

“…billions of dollars of tax increases and federal spending cuts set to take effect at the end of the year”

Oh, so the only actual fiscal cliff will be for the contractors. I see, now.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-15 08:19:07

for the contractors

Not for us, birdboy! Our new contract runs for another 5 YEARS in a corner of the Military Industrial Complex that would be political suicide for any elected official to dare to cut.

Restore Our Future!

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 08:23:54

Oh ho! Most favored status, eh?

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Comment by goon squad
2012-10-15 08:40:07

Can’t comment on the specifics but willing to bet it’s an area/program that even fruitboi (despite his Grover Norquist fetish) would support funding, LOLZ!

 
 
 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-15 08:23:01

Turkey do you know anything about history? Bush did not have the worse unemployment since the great depression. He did not have unemployment even up to the rates in the early 80’s caused by Carter’s stagnation.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 08:25:47

Yeah, he did.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-15 08:28:46

In 1980, we had under Carter 13.5% inflation and 7.2% unemployment. By the time inflation was tamed in 1982 we had almost 10% unemployment. But some how the economy given to Obama with virtually no inflation, gasoline prices about half of what they are now and unemployment under 8% is worse than Reagan faced. Only in an alternative universe.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 08:31:40

“But some how the economy given to Obama with virtually no inflation, gasoline prices about half of what they are now and unemployment under 8% is worse than Reagan faced. Only in an alternative universe.”

Were you living under a rock when Bush oversaw a nuclear meltdown of the financial system in 2008?

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-15 08:38:11

Were you living under a rock when Bush oversaw a nuclear meltdown of the financial system in 2008?

That was 4 years ago, which means that it’s long forgotten by most people.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-15 08:40:58

No were you living under a rock when Carter handed Reagan the biggest mess the country has ever faced? I remember reading the Nation and all the commentors in the leftist magazine actually happy Reagan won because they did not believe anyone could fix stagflation.

The misery index works. Reagan received 13.5 % plus 7.2% or 20.7% while the combined index Obama received was right around 10% less than half of what Reagan received.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 08:58:57

Carter handed Reagan the biggest mess the country has ever faced?

But unlike W. Bush, Carter handed Reagan the solution. Carter appointed Paul Volcker as Chairman of the Fed and Paul Volcker (not grandpa Reagan) busted inflation. And unlike now, USA in the 80’s still had a broad industrial and economic base to bounce back with.

Paul Volcker, a Democrat, was appointed Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System in August 1979 by President Jimmy Carter…

Volcker’s Fed is widely credited with ending the United States’ stagflation crisis of the 1970s. Inflation, which peaked at 13.5% in 1981, was successfully lowered to 3.2% by 1983.

Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz said about him in an interview:

Paul Volcker, the previous Fed Chairman known for keeping inflation under control, was fired because the Reagan administration didn’t believe he was an adequate de-regulator. wiki

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-15 14:29:33

“No were you living under a rock when Carter handed Reagan the biggest mess the country has ever faced?”

Did you mean the one Nixon started when he went off the gold standard?

Or the one that started around the time when he resigned?

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-15 08:31:48

Bush did not have the worse unemployment

Technically no, but the 800,000/month of layoffs in spring of 2009 was just part of the roller coaster ride that Bush, Cheney, Paulson pushed over the crest of the hill :)

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 08:35:14

Typical Republican presidential ploy: Crash the economy, then watch your party hacks blame it on your successor…

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 08:36:19

Come to think of it, the dot com crash happened just after Clinton left office.

Perhaps crashing the economy just before leaving the WH is a bipartisan activity?

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 11:57:40

It would seem that way, except, well, Clinton left a surplus.

 
Comment by Montana
2012-10-15 13:10:23

The dot com crash was in 2000, wasn’t it? He didn’t leave office until 2001.

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 08:50:34

Turkey do you know anything about history? Bush did not have the worse unemployment since the great depression.

You Albuquerquedan of all people are lecturing about trends and history? As I said yesterday Albuquerquedan, your political dogma consistently interferes with your understanding and presentation of trends be it a scientific or an economic trend.

The unemployment TREND when Bush left office had already been skyrocketing for 2 years - from 4.5% in Jan 07 to 8% when Obama took office. What……do you think that a strong, self reinforcing 2 year economic trend would stop on a dime when Obama took office? How do you figure? Where is your logic? In fact, under Obama, the rising unemployment trend was reversed in 9 months compared to it rising for 2 years under Bush.

To ignore and/or constantly misrepresent the meanings and future implications of trends is overly biased, ignorant and/or intellectually dishonest.

I don’t know about you but I know the current Republican party is all three of the above - overly biased, ignorant and/or intellectually dishonest.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-15 09:16:33

No Rio, I nailed the man made global warming fraud because unlike you I just base my opinions on facts not my hopes. I encourage everyone to read the Drudge report link to the report that shows no global warming for 16 years.

Six years ago based on the data available at the time and scientific publications, I stated on the board that man made warming was only 1/7 of the rate that the alarmists were saying and history has vindicated me. You want to believe that a country with a per capita income one fourth of ours and a slowing economy has the magic answer but it cannot compete with the Asian countries such as South Korea which do not have its resources but are more capitalistic.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 10:03:20

because unlike you I just base my opinions on facts not my hopes

Now you’re being funny. Facts: You ignore and twist facts all the time Albuquerquedan. Here’s some facts and a chart:

http://www.macrotrends.org/1339/unemployment-rate-last-ten-years

The unemployment TREND when Bush left office had already been skyrocketing for 2 years - from 4.5% in Jan 07 to 8% when Obama took office….under Obama, the rising unemployment trend was reversed in 9 months compared to it rising for 2 years under Bush.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-15 10:05:00

BTW, this is how income is really distributed in Brazil from wikipedia:

Brazil ranks 49.3 in the Gini coefficient index, with the richest 10% of Brazilians receiving 42.7% of the nation’s income, while the poorest 10% receive less than 1.2%.[1]

This is actually worse than the United States and if you can see any noticible improvement in the last five years, you are reading something into a graph that is not there. Ethanol is produced with exploited and some places slave labor. If Rio is doing well in Brazil, he is doing it on the back of the poor despite telling us how wonderful and progressive the government is in Brazil.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 10:29:03

this is how income is really distributed in Brazil…..
This is actually worse than the United States

Albuquerquedan, You blow my mind. What planet have you been living on? Income distributed “worse in Brazil than in the USA”? No kidding Sherlock? LOL You are surprised? You didn’t know that? Do you even own a Passport?

Your above “observation” of a snapshot in time shows your ignorance and ignorance of TRENDS as I have been pointing out. The trend in Brazil is more income and wealth equality whereas the trend in the USA is more wealth/income inequality.

Any noticible improvement in Brazil the last five years? Are you kidding? There’s been immense improvement in Brazil the past 5 years. In fact, there’s been immense improvement the past decade.

35 million Brazilians ascend to middle class in past decade: Study

http://english.cntv.cn/20120921/104648.shtml

Some 35 million Brazilians were lifted in the past 10 years from poverty to middle class, representing around 21 percent of the country’s population, according to a study published on Thursday.

At the same time, six percent of the population ascended from the middle to the rich class, the study said.

It predicted that middle-class population will make up for 57 percent of the total by 2022 if the current policies maintain.

The study attributes the middle class’ growth to two main factors: a reduction in inequality and overall economic growth in Brazil.

Strategic Affairs Secretary Moreira Franco said that the expansion of the middle class is very important, for this section of the population is responsible for 38 percent of household wealth and consumption.

“Some 18 million jobs were created in the past decade,” he said, adding “this was associated to an adequate minimum wage policy.”

If Rio is doing well in Brazil, he is doing it on the back of the poor

Totally wrong. But the things you are ignorant of could fill terabyte hard drives.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-15 10:50:37

The other post is missing but here is the P.S. In 1984, the American public recognized the job that Reagan did turning around the country and reelected him with 525 electoral votes. You can try to rewrite history but the people at the time were the best judge of his record.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 10:56:57

You can try to rewrite history but the people at the time were the best judge of his record.

I guess that’s why FDR got re-elected. Twice.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-15 11:04:34

Rio, the article you cite reads like government propaganda. This is middle class: The study identified middle class citizens as those who have a household per capita income of 291 to 1019 reais (144 to 504 U.S. dollars) per month, and are unlikely to have their income fall below this level in the near future.

Looking at the Gina coefficient on wikipedia, I see hardly any movement and economic growth has collapsed in Brazil so good luck with those projections.

Brazil the country of the future and always will be.

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-10-15 11:12:50

For starters, lets’ try comparing apples to apples

http://tinyurl.com/yfw5zxj

Please note that the SGS number (that I prefer) is calculated the way the unemployment number USED to be calculated, before everyone started fudging numbers to:

-Hide the truth
-Make their performance look better

Opinion: Unemployment skyrocketed just as Obama was taking office. Evidently, as they are threatening to do now, they slashed employment to show the Socialists/parasites a thing or two.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-10-15 11:38:34

The unemployment TREND when Bush left office had already been skyrocketing for 2 years - from 4.5% in Jan 07 to 8% when Obama took office.

Isn’t this the part of the discussion where focus is directed away from the POTUS and toward Congress as in, “Did any of you notice how unemployment skyrocketed once the Democraps took over Congress?”

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 11:47:38

Rio, the article you cite reads like government propaganda.

It was not a government study but the fact that you think it reads like gov propaganda shows Brazil is progressing. Almost 20% of the Brazilian population has left poverty and joined the lower middle class in ten years. 6% have joined the upper class.

per capita income of 291 to 1019 reais (144 to 504 U.S. dollars) per month,

That you would try to make this a point shows that you are entirely ignorant of Brazil. Where it was and where it is going. The TREND. As I asked. Have you ever owned a Passport? Does it have any stamps in it? (Hawaii does not count.)

Brazil the country of the future and always will be.

I guess you’re partially right. Headlines:
BBC News - Homeland beckons for UK’s Brazilians BBC

Why Brazilian expats are moving back home to work with startups …Thenextweb dot com

Brazil’s economic boom drawing immigrant workers home LA Times

Why go home: Brazil is the future | IT Decisions

 
Comment by oxide
2012-10-15 11:48:02

A-dan, are you going to answer the Rio’s post about unemployment in the US, or will you continue to distract with posts about global warming and Brazil?

As for electing Reagan… HBB has spent the last 6 years proving that the electorate is pretty darn stupid. Why should we trust their expert judgment from 1984?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 11:50:18

I guess that’s why FDR got re-elected. Twice.

FDR was re-elected 3 times - elected 4 times.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 12:01:50

A-dan is some kind of masochistic denier who would never let facts stand in his way.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 12:07:11

FDR was re-elected 3 times - elected 4 times.

Oh, yeah!

I guess that’s why FDR got re-elected. Twice. Thrice.

 
 
 
 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-10-15 12:11:03

A separate survey of consumers by RBC Capital Markets earlier this month found that most either weren’t following the fiscal cliff or weren’t concerned about it.

An informal survey (mine) shows that most people have no idea what the fiscal cliff is about. Almost everyone I know has a college degree or better.

I guess economics is seen as boring or inaccessible to most people.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 05:33:34

Wall Street’s Forgotten Victims Have Some Advice
By Michael Lewis Oct 10, 2012 3:30 PM PT

I didn’t go looking for the kid. He found me. Of course, it stood to reason, with what’s been happening on Wall Street, that the children of Greenwich, Connecticut, must be taking a serious financial hit.

The end of cash bonuses, the ramping up of financial regulation, the shrinking of the Goldman Sachs analyst pool, Chelsea Clinton’s confessing that she quit her Wall Street job to find meaning in life: Wherever you turn, you find signs that an era in which a lot of children were paid to keep quiet is grinding to an end.

Maybe the game is over; maybe it isn’t. But one thing is certain: If you are 12 years old, and your dad works on Wall Street, it’s a lot less likely Beyonce will be singing at your 13th birthday party.

At any rate the 12-year-old child who texted me out of the blue simply wanted to pass along a few tips. I’m not sure if he was doing it out of the goodness of his heart, or testing the market for a book deal. But he says that he knows a lot of other kids just like him, who have at least one parent who used to make a lot of money trading bonds on Wall Street, and now, instead, were being handed a lot of illiquid bank stock of dubious value.

For kids traumatized by the Wall Street downturn, he had the following advice:

– For starters, you need to make a point of actually meeting your dad — or your mom, but most likely it is your dad who is the problem.

He’s the one who controls the money flows but up till now he’s been a total ghost. Out the door at 5:30 in the morning, home at 11 at night. And no matter how tired he is on weekends, your mother always makes him take her out to parties, so when you do catch a glimpse of him he’s hung over and distant. You will need to take the initiative here. Set your alarm early, or, even better, stay up late. Park yourself at the front door and when your dad walks through it, stick out your hand and introduce yourself. He needs to know who he’s dealing with.

– Accept that you are the real victim in all this.

The moaning and groaning your dad has been doing about his bonuses won’t actually change his lifestyle. He isn’t the owner of the first-loss piece of the family collateralized-debt obligation: You are. Everything from summer sailing camp in the Bahamas to the smoking-hot Scandinavian nanny is probably now on a list of possible cutbacks. As totally unfair as these cuts are (you aren’t the one who lost all the money), you shouldn’t fight them. You don’t want to come across as “spoiled.” If you complain too loudly, your dad might use it as an excuse to rationalize his failure. He will start saying things to your mom like, “It may actually do him some good not to have everything he wants.” The smart first reaction is to accept that you will be making some pretty horrible sacrifices. Pretend you don’t feel a thing. Even though, inside, it’s killing you.

– Study the way your dad’s mind works.

If you are at least 12, it’s easy to tell yourself he’s kind of dumb. I mean, even back when he was making a lot of money he didn’t notice very much about life around the house. But — trust me — he is really smart, especially about money. It’s just that he isn’t like other dads. He thinks emotions are stupid, for example, because emotions cost him money when he’s trading. He spends his day trying not to feel anything, so he sort of gets used to it.

Up until now he could afford to do this. Whenever he didn’t feel something he was supposed to feel, he just bought his way out of trouble. That’s why you scored the sailing camp in the Bahamas in the first place. Now it’s different. He still doesn’t feel what he is supposed to feel, but he can’t afford to buy his way out of trouble. You can exploit this. But first you need to turn up the heat on him, by creating lots of situations where he is supposed to feel something. The easiest emotion to make him feel he should be feeling is guilt. To that end…

– Make lots and lots of new demands on his time.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 06:26:22

That’s awesome. Machiavelli for kids.

 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-15 06:32:48

When I was in Afghanistan for 12 months I worked 18 hour days with no weekends off. I did not get see my family at all. Base Pay was around $60,000.

Yeah - I feel sorry for these guys and their kids making their millions on Wall Street bailouts.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-15 06:49:35

Base pay was around $60,000

Sounds like you were working for the wrong contractor, LOLZ.

Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-15 06:59:06

But he got to enjoy free room and board and free travel expenses.

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Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-15 06:51:40

The real free shit army.

Comment by ahansen
2012-10-15 10:38:53

Only in America would a war-maker complain that he was “only” being paid $60,000 a year (base pay!) to go into someone else’s country and help blow them up. And then come back and complain endlessly about “public workers unions”.

Mind-boggling, actually.

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Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-15 08:06:51

Yeah - I feel sorry for these guys and their kids making their millions on Wall Street bailouts.

And yet, you support their poster boy for prez.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-15 08:21:48

Fluffing for the 1% is what fruitboi does best!

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 08:30:03

A man’s gotta make a living.

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 08:13:52

OMG! That’s so Dickensian!

Not.

Comment by ahansen
2012-10-15 10:41:44

The children of our aristocracy are suffering. Come tax time, please give generously.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 12:03:09

No Banker left behind!

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Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-15 10:11:49

Why couldn’t I have been a rich kid? A “smoking hot Scandinavian nanny” would have gone a long ways to cheering me up had my parents ignored me.

Comment by polly
2012-10-15 11:32:10

For what it is worth, I think the people who start out without any money and then get their hands on some, appreciate it a lot more than the people who always had it.

Besides, by the time you can really appreciate the nanny, isn’t she more your younger siblings’ nanny?

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-15 11:56:06

Besides, by the time you can really appreciate the nanny, isn’t she more your younger siblings’ nanny?

Works for me :-D

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 05:40:07

Have the 0.1% shrunk to the 0.05%?

Investment Banking
October 9, 2012, 3:36 pm 64 Comments
A Bigger Paycheck on Wall Street
By SUSANNE CRAIG and BEN PROTESS

Outside the New York Stock Exchange in the financial district, where jobs have been pared back. Spencer Platt/Getty Images

It still pays to be on Wall Street.

The financial industry in New York has slashed jobs by the thousands over the last two years. For those who remain, annual compensation in total is at near-record levels, according to a report released Tuesday by the New York State comptroller.

Since the financial crisis, Wall Street firms have wrestled with two competing market forces. Faced with a heavier regulatory burden, a lethargic economic recovery and the loss of once-big moneymakers like complex derivatives tied to mortgages, the banks have instead tried to cut their biggest expense: people. Yet there persists a view on Wall Street that profits can’t come simply by holding the line on costs — big pay is still needed to lure talent from other firms.

Toward that end, firms have sought to cut jobs and noncompensation expenses rather than compensation itself. Both Goldman Sachs and Bank of America have announced big noncompensation cost-cutting efforts over the past year, for example.

The result is that compensation over all continues to rise even as some shareholders press firms to cut costs further amid weak profit growth. (Nearly half of all revenue on Wall Street is earmarked for compensation; in 2009, Morgan Stanley, which was hit harder during the crisis than most of its rivals, found itself paying out a record 62 percent of its net revenue in compensation and benefits. That number has since come down.)

The report showed that total compensation on Wall Street last year rose 4 percent, to more than $60 billion. That was higher than any total except those in 2007 and 2008 — before the financial crisis fully took its toll on pay.

The average pay package of securities industry employees in New York State was $362,950, up 16.6 percent over the last two years.

“It’s good work if you can get it,” said Thomas P. DiNapoli, the comptroller.

The results are sure to raise eyebrows on Main Street and in Washington, where lavish pay packages have come under attack since the crisis.

Still, the report provides only a snapshot of Wall Street’s finances. The wage data largely covers 2011. With the third quarter in the books, Wall Street firms will soon begin figuring out their bonus pool and how to distribute it. For some Wall Street professionals, the year-end bonus can easily account for more than half their total compensation.

Yet expectations for this year appear to be high, according to another study out on Tuesday. Some 48 percent of 911 Wall Street employees surveyed by eFinancialCareers.com said they felt their bonuses this year would higher than in 2011. That was an increase from 2011, when 41 percent of survey respondents said they believed their annual bonus would increase.

There, the comptroller’s report was not encouraging, saying that a survey it took earlier in the year suggested that Wall Street’s total cash bonus pool for 2012 was likely to decline for the second consecutive year.

The comptroller’s report attested to the importance of financial services to New York City. Financial jobs accounted for nearly a quarter of all private sector wages paid in the city last year, even though they accounted for just a fraction, 5.3 percent, of the city’s private sector jobs.

Over all, the annual report depicted a cloudy outlook for the financial industry and its thousands of employees.

“The securities industry remains in transition and volatility in profits and employment show that we have not yet reached the new normal,” Mr. DiNapoli said.

After posting a “disappointing” $7.7 billion in earnings last year, Wall Street in the first half of 2012 earned $10.5 billion, he said. The industry “is on pace” to earn more than $15 billion by the end of the year.

But even with some signs of improvement, Wall Street is rapidly shedding jobs. The austerity efforts have claimed 1,200 positions so far this year, according to the report. Mr. DiNapoli estimated that the industry lost more than 20,000 jobs since late 2007.

In the short run, as a way to keep profits up, the firms will drive down costs and that will mean contraction in the work force,” Mr. DiNapoli said.

Comment by measton
2012-10-15 10:49:38

This has been my point all along. Many who think they are flying high in the top 1% will become food for the whales as well. Job losses, MF Globals, destruction of customer base and businesses. The elites are very small in #. They are the Hank Paulsons who have inside information on what the money machine is going to be doing. They control government, banking, and natural resources. Nothing else matters.

 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 05:41:41

Those kooky, krazy, Kochs.

Koch Sued by Executive Claiming He Was Held Captive
By David E. Rovella and Tom Schoenberg - Oct 15, 2012 12:00 AM ET

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-10-14/koch-sued-by-executive-claiming-captivity-intimidation.html

William Koch held a senior executive of his Oxbow energy company captive for almost two days after discovering his concerns about a plan to avoid U.S. taxes on $200 million in profit, the now ex-employee claimed in a lawsuit.

Former Oxbow Senior Vice President Kirby Martensen alleged that an unrelated company probe revealed his misgivings over the purported effort by Oxbow Carbon & Minerals LLC. As a result, Martensen said, he was falsely imprisoned by Koch’s agents and interrogated at a remote Colorado estate as part of an attempt to intimidate him. He was also fired, he said.

Koch, who Forbes estimates is worth about $4 billion, is the brother of conservative Tea Party funders David Koch and Charles Koch. Martensen, promoted last year to senior vice president, said he was lured to the billionaire’s “Bear Ranch” near Aspen in March on false pretenses and questioned about anonymous allegations of wrongdoing made against him tied to a kickback scheme. The company sued him over the claims in Florida state court March 22, while he was allegedly being held against his will in Colorado.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 08:16:28

Gee, what a surprise. :roll:

 
Comment by Muggy
2012-10-15 14:02:23

That’s freedom, baby. Yeah!

Comment by Muggy
2012-10-15 14:18:30

I love the name Kirby, by the way.

Bad news: we’re kidnapping you
Good news: you have a catchy name!

 
 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-15 15:56:04

When contacted to provide retrieval services, Liam Neeson said “Let the rich bugger rot in the other rich bugger’s vacation estate. Ooooh… it sounds SOOOO HORRIBLE!”

Comment by AbsoluteBeginner
2012-10-15 18:27:32

LOL

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 05:42:08

20% of US Firms Cook the Books During Earnings: Report
Tuesday, 9 Oct 2012 | 4:13 PM ET
By: Stacy Curtin

It’s earnings time again and Wall Street is chomping at the bit for more information about the health of Corporate America.

Alcoa (AA) and Yum! Brands (YUM) kicked off the unofficial start to earnings season after the bell Tuesday. Safeway (SWY) reports Thursday, and JPMorgan (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) report Friday.

But a new report by finance professors at Emory and Duke University raises questions about the quality of earnings in general.

In an anonymous survey of CFOs last year, the study found that at least 20% of companies are “managing” earnings and using aggressive accounting methods to legally alter the outcome of their earnings reports.

Comment by WT Economist
2012-10-15 06:37:18

Wow! What a change from the 1990s, when it was 90 percent!

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 08:33:59

Perhaps those pesky financial regulations are interfering with their profit misstatements?

 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 06:56:00

Wall Street is chomping at the bit for more information

I think the correct form of the expression “champing (to chew on eagerly or nervously) at the bit”, is going the way of the dodo.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 08:18:48

“…companies are “managing” earnings and using aggressive accounting methods to legally alter the outcome of their earnings reports.”

Well it worked for Enron, didn’t it?

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 08:37:16

And for the former Soviet Union…

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-15 09:41:45

I thought they didn’t have “earnings”?

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 23:26:12

They had “five year plans” for production levels which somehow never panned out.

One of my favorite bits of folklore from the failed Soviet central planning system was the story about workers on collective farms, whose output went directly to the state, who also were allowed to farm a small plot for their own private use. Care to venture a guess which land yielded the most?

It’s too bad that our Fed seems to be following the central planning track, instead of fostering fertile economic conditions to encourage markets to reach their full potential.

 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 12:05:34

No, no. The Soviet Union’s mistake was just having communist capitalism without the corporate part.

It’s the corporate part that is the special ingredient!

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 05:44:24

Chinese Exporters Fear Grim Outlook
Published: Sunday, 14 Oct 2012 | 8:58 PM ET
By: Rahul Jacob in Hong Kong, Simon Rabinovitch in Beijing, and Ed Crooks in New York

China’s exports rose almost 10 percent year-on-year in September, according to data released at the weekend. But speak to Chinese exporters and they say the economic doldrums in Europe mean many are facing more daunting challenges than they were during the 2008 heights of the global financial crisis.

To Zhou Dewen, head of an industry lobbying group in Wenzhou, the famously entrepreneurial city in eastern China, the situation is “already worse than 2008.” “The difficulties are bigger and they are far more widespread.”

Groups like Mr. Zhou’s typically petition Beijing for export subsidies or tax rebates and his caution should be taken with a pinch of salt. But the past six months have been unusually difficult for exporters buffeted by sagging demand in western markets and wage and raw material rises at home.

Timothy Stuart, a Hong Kong-based businessman who supplies schools in the U.S. with classroom furniture from factories in southern China, says orders are smaller and his margins 30 percent lower than they were before the 2008 crisis.

“Customers are asking for smaller orders to manage their inventories better,” he says. Other sourcing companies like his report that payment terms, meanwhile, are being extended by retailers and buyers in the west to as much as 90 days.

As China prepares to release growth data this week that is expected to confirm the slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy, companies around the world are registering the impact.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 08:20:35

90 day net? Uh oh. He’s going to get screwed.

Word to the wise. As a vendor, NEVER accept 90 day net.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-15 09:45:46

Those were standard terms when I was in printed book publishing. Needless to say, such terms made it very hard to run a successful business.

Comment by polly
2012-10-15 12:11:29

Books are a little different in their sales model. Book stores regularly are allowed to return the books that aren’t sold. So they may place an order for 400 of a title if it is expected to do very well, but return 250 of them if the title doesn’t move they way they expect. With that much return of inventory, it makes some sense to settle the debt after they figure out how many they really want to keep.

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Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-15 09:56:09

This reminds me of HP during the Carly days. To boost sales, Carly sold equipment to dot coms on credit. IIRC, that wound up costing HP well over a billion in uncollectable receivables. And to rub salt in the wound, a lot of that unpaid nearly new gear wound up in the resale market, cannibalizing HP sales.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-15 12:04:22

To boost sales, Carly sold equipment to dot coms on credit.

She sold equipment to unproven startups on CREDIT? What a bozo!

Heck, if it were me, I’d want them to give me a check, money order, or electronic funds transfer. And I’d make sure that I could actually be paid before shipping anything.

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Comment by franklie
2012-10-15 12:47:41

“She sold equipment to unproven startups on CREDIT? What a bozo!”

Under the company’s agreement with Fiorina, which was characterized as a golden parachute by some, she was paid slightly more than $20 million in severance.

Perhaps not such a bozo. It worked out well for her, not so well for HP.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-15 14:11:01

Xerox did the same thing in the late 90’s and the stock went from 60 to under 8.. … a friend of my brother cashed out in the 50’s yeah he knew

 
Comment by Robin
2012-10-15 16:40:21

Financial adviser bought me lots of Xerox, Lucent, Skyworks, Microsoft, and a few others, thereby reducing a $15k retirement account established in 2002 to under $10k.

Yes, I have fired the financial adviser.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 23:28:42

“She sold equipment to unproven startups on CREDIT? What a bozo!”

Now hold on a minute. If HP accounted on the accrual method, couldn’t she have booked those sales on credit to unproven startups as accrued revenues, generating accrued profits, a rising stock price, and hefty bonus pay?

Or am I missing something?

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 23:30:18

“…golden parachute…”

Must be nice to ride to a soft landing in a golden parachute while watching your shareholders crash and burn to a crisp, no?

 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-15 12:06:48

Me again.

One of the red flags I get from people making inquiries is if they ask me for credit. Translation: They want to buy on credit, but never pay me.

I usually have a very short conversation with such people. It goes like this:

Q: Do you offer credit?
A: Sure! I offer credit to established clients with a track record of timely payment.

At this point, the inquiry-maker stammers something, and thus ends the convesation.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-15 12:20:22

Oops. Monday Spelling Syndrome has struck!

Final word missing a letter. I meant to say conversation.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 05:48:58

There is so much grim news today from the international financial markets, that I am 99% confident the U.S. stock market is gonna rally!

Mon Oct 15, 2012 1:39am EDT

* MSCI Asia ex-Japan down 0.3 pct, Nikkei rises 0.4 pct

* Aussie gives up early lift on weekend China trade data

* Falling China CPI, PPI give scope for easing to aid growth

* Dollar index gains as riskier assets retreat, U.S. crude futures hit

* European shares likely to fall

By Chikako Mogi

TOKYO, Oct 15 (Reuters) - Asian shares fell on Monday on growth concerns ahead of the third-quarter corporate earnings season, while the euro slipped against the dollar on a lack of clarity over Spain’s bailout prospects.

As risk-sensitive assets retreated, the dollar index measured against a basket of six major currencies gained 0.3 percent, undermining dollar-denominated commodities.

The euro slipped 0.3 percent to $1.2909 as Europe muddles through debt relief measures for debt-saddled Spain and Greece.

A stronger dollar and worries that a slowing global economy may further dent fuel demand pushed U.S. crude futures down over $1 to $90.82 a barrel, before regaining some ground, and were last trading down 0.8 percent at $91.09. Brent crude had slipped 54 cents to $114.08 a barrel by 0427 GMT.

Gold, which normally benefits from risk-aversion, extended losses to touch a 2-1/2-week low of $1,741.24 an ounce on stop-loss selling.

European shares are expected to inch down, while U.S. stock futures were barely changed. Financial spreadbetters expected London’s FTSE 100, Paris’s CAC-40 and Frankfurt’s DAX to open down as much as 0.2 percent.

The MSCI index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.3 percent, but Japan’s Nikkei average erased earlier losses to add 0.4 percent as investors bought back shares after the index closed at two-month lows on Friday.

Hong Kong shares slipped from Friday’s highest levels in more than five months, weighed down by profit warnings from Chinese firms.

“The profit warnings are a sign that China still needs to do more to support growth, but I think most people are expecting more fiscal than monetary measures,” said Jackson Wong, Tanrich Securities’ vice-president for equity sales.

A decline in Chinese consumer and producer prices in September left scope for policy easing to underpin growth.

On Friday, U.S. stocks wrapped up their worst week in four months, led lower by financial shares. More financial institutions will report earnings in coming days, including Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Bank of America, amid concerns about their shrinking profit margins.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 05:51:04

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks set for losing week on growth concerns
Fri Oct 12, 2012 2:25am EDT

* MSCI Asia ex-Japan up 0.3 pct, Nikkei flat

* Euro steady around $1.2930, dollar index flat

* Brent crude holds above $115, copper eases 0.5 pct

* U.S. 10-year Treasury yields close to lowest this week

By Alex Richardson

SINGAPORE, Oct 12 (Reuters) - Asian stocks and the euro steadied on Friday, but were on course for a losing week as worries about weak corporate earnings and slowing global economic growth limit the appeal of riskier assets.

Index futures pointed to major European markets giving up some of the previous session’s gains, with Euro STOXX 50 futures down 0.4 percent and financial bookmakers calling London’s FTSE 100 to open down around 0.3 percent.

A rally that had pushed global equities up around 15 percent from the lows of early June stalled this week. Investors were treading carefully with the third quarter reporting season under way and eyes on how J.P. Morgan fares when it posts its results later on Friday in the United States.

“With concerns over the state of the global economy coming to the fore this week, along with negative sentiment surrounding a Chinese slowdown, and earnings season and the fiscal cliff garnering negative attention in the U.S., visibility for equity markets in the short term remains clouded to say the least,” said Daniel Victory at Capital Spreads in London.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 05:54:01

Muted 2013 looms for Asian economies: poll
BANGALORE | Thu Oct 11, 2012 7:21am EDT

(Reuters) - Asian economies will likely register another year of weak growth in 2013, despite pockets of mild recovery expected in some countries as central banks continue to keep policy accommodative, a Reuters poll showed.

But much will hinge on whether China, Asia’s largest economy, can pull out of its downtrend this year, if the U.S. economy can continue to gain traction and if the euro zone can contain its prolonged debt crisis.

Forecasts for nearly all of the 12 economies polled in October were downgraded from the last quarterly poll conducted in July.

“Next year will probably be quite a difficult year for most Asian economies,” said Vishnu Varthan, economist at Mizuho Corporate Bank.

“A lot of these economies still have their umbilical cords tied to China and whether China eases policy and its magnitude will probably decide the course of growth in the region.”

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 05:56:06

Is Mitt Romney a closet Keynesian?
By Anatole Kaletsky
October 10, 2012

John Maynard Keynes said back in 1936 that “practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist.” Keynes himself is now a seemingly defunct economist, but his influence connects the two most important events of the week and perhaps of the year: the sudden reversal of fortunes in the U.S. election and the powerful critique of overzealous fiscal austerity produced by the International Monetary Fund.

What connects these two events is an economic question that almost nobody dares to raise publicly, but that now seems destined to dominate the U.S. election and that hung over the IMF annual meeting in Tokyo this week: Do deficits really matter? Or, to restate the issue more precisely: Are government efforts to cut budget deficits counterproductive in conditions of zero interest rates when fiscal austerity suppresses economic growth?

This conclusion is strongly suggested by the IMF’s “World Economic Outlook” produced for the annual meeting. The WEO presented six detailed case studies, starting with Britain from 1918 to 1939, of economies that tried to reduce large public debt burdens with various policy mixes in the past 80 years. It concluded that two conditions were essential for success: very low interest rates and adequate rates of economic growth. If fiscal austerity produces high unemployment and economic stagnation, it is doomed to failure, causing the government’s debt burden to go up instead of down. After examining this historical evidence, the IMF report hinted strongly that at least two major economies were now caught in self-defeating debt spirals: Spain, where the debt trap is created by political pressures from the euro zone, and Britain, where the futile austerity is entirely self-imposed.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 07:11:17

from the article:

The British example is particularly striking. While the British government has implemented bigger tax increases and spending cuts than any other major economy apart from Spain (equivalent to 4.3 percent of GDP since 2009), it has suffered a double-dip recession, missed all its fiscal targets and seen its national debt nearly double from 46 percent to 84 percent of GDP since 2009. Meanwhile, the U.S., which started with a bigger deficit and debt than Britain in 2009 and has made very little effort to tighten fiscal policy since then, has seen its net national debt grow considerably more slowly, from 54 percent to 84 percent of GDP. The better U.S. fiscal performance, despite far less fiscal “effort,” has been due entirely to faster economic growth.

Sounds like the Austrian School is flunking out.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-15 08:06:38

You ignore that just before the conservatives took power that UK’s deficit was around 11.2% of the gdp and they have now brought that down to 8.2% even though their trading partners in Europe have tanked.
Also, unlike the United States they have managed to keep their AAA status. Austrian school is succeeding but like any diet, it is hard work.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 08:25:45

You ignore that just before the conservatives took power that UK’s deficit was around 11.2% of the gdp

I didn’t ignore anything, I was quoting the report.

The conservatives took power in 2010, the example’s time period was from 2009 to the present, so it includes the year before they took power.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 08:15:39

Both seem to be in the same borrow and spend school. The differences are negligible.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-15 08:20:27

Actually from Spiegal On line this March 17, 2010 article identifies the deficit at 12.2% so bringing the deficit down from that number to 8.2% at the time of a european crisis is a real accomplishment:

The country that was once referred to as “Cool Britannia” is in a serious crisis, with a hole in its budget even bigger than Greece’s budget deficit, now at 12.2 percent. And nobody knows how to fix the problem.

Indeed, the problem has become so worrisome, that the European Commission told London on Wednesday to do more to tighten its budget, according to a draft report leaked to Reuters earlier this week. “The fiscal strategy outlined in the United Kingdom’s convergence program does not foresee the correction of the excessive deficit by the fiscal year 2014/2015, as recommended by the Council,” the European Commission said in a statement.

To complicate matters, Britons will go to the polls in a few weeks, probably on May 6. The next prime minister will have his work cut out for him: reducing the massive budget deficit, restructuring the banking industry and successfully reorienting the economy. And he’ll have to do it all on a shoestring budget.

Both candidates provide voters with reason to question their qualifications for the tasks at hand. Incumbent Gordon Brown, 59, in his former position as Chancellor of the Exchequer in the government of his predecessor, Tony Blair, boasted of having put an end to the ups and downs of the economy once and for all. But he had hardly taken the reins from Blair before the economy plunged into the cellar.

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Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-15 08:33:39

And nobody knows how to fix the problem.

This seems to be the world’s new theme song.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 08:42:24

What about the other five examples where austerity failed? Every one was run with bad numbers?

And of course you keep referring to the British deficit, when the example was citing the debt.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-15 08:54:38

Yes but when you are left a deficit the debt will increase until to the deficit is eliminated and when you are left a 12.2% deficit that is going to take some time to bring down, all the time the debt will increase.

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-15 09:01:53

And nobody knows how to fix the problem.

I can’t get away with that excuse in my work. Can we start firing some people at the top?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 09:30:23

when you are left a 12.2% deficit that is going to take some time to bring down, all the time the debt will increase.

So we should cut Obama some slack, eh?

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-15 09:45:40

Wasn’t handed anything near that and adopted policies that made it worse not better. If he had cut the deficit in half like he promised I would certainly give him slack. By his own criteria, unemployment never going over 8%, down to 6% by now, deficit cut in half and bending the bar on health care spending, he is a failure and deserves to be replaced. At least the new guy will have to run for reelection and that is some check on his behavior.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 09:51:14

and adopted policies that made it worse not better.

But the example showed that Obama’s actions made it better, not worse. Austerity produced worse results in the UK.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-15 10:15:50

No, we lost our credit rating GB did not and they cut their deficits in terms of the GDP much greater than the U.S. They have advanced much farther in cutting their structural deficit. All you showed is the debt went up faster but that is the natural result of being handed larger deficits. It is interesting the only program which paid back the government with interest was TARP. That was a Bush II and Obama program. However, since they did it one can reasonably say that Bush only handed Obama about a $400 billion deficit since it is unfair for Obama to get the repayment of the loan in his calculation of the deficit but saddle Bush II with the cost of the loan. But Obama is better at spin and propaganda than governing so somehow a loan is treated as an expenditure.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 10:50:31

and they cut their deficits in terms of the GDP much greater than the U.S.

And yet their debt– which we agree is the more important number- has gotten worse.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 12:08:28

If (Obama) had cut the deficit in half like he promised I would certainly give him slack.

Like hell you would. This shows your complete disregard of reality in favor of dogma. Can you imagine what it would have taken to “cut the deficit in half”? With 3 ongoing wars, a gutted tax base due to TaxCuts and a Depression and millions of jobs lost. “Cut the deficit in half”??? By now?

This is like Dumb and Dumber.

Obama was Dumb to say it. But anyone who thinks that it was even remotely possible to halve the deficit without starving people, 30% unemployment, a defeated military, total loss of national prestige and an economy in total ruins is Dumber.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 12:09:18

Stop, alpha! You’re only confusing yourself with facts! Listen to A-dan! Facts are not your friend. They just make you unhappy and sad when they show you how wrong you are!

 
Comment by polly
2012-10-15 12:34:06

The US credit rating was reduced because Congressional shenanigans made it look like there was a good chance of the debt ceiling not being raised. It has presumably, stayed there because the rating agencies think there is a chance we end up in the same situation once the election is over.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 12:59:04

The US credit rating was reduced because Congressional shenanigans made it look like there was a good chance of the debt ceiling not being raised.

For a large part yes. And:

If you want to take a longer view of how the US debt reached this height, Steve Benen of The Washington Monthly made a timeline illustrating how it is almost entirely the Republicans’ fault. But the long view is not of any interest to the modern Republican Party. source: The Nation

http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/political-animal/2011_08/a_timeline_of_events031362.php

 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 08:34:33

“Both”?

Perhaps you should click the link, and find out what you’re talking about.

The WEO presented six detailed case studies, starting with Britain from 1918 to 1939, of economies that tried to reduce large public debt burdens with various policy mixes in the past 80 years. It concluded that two conditions were essential for success: very low interest rates and adequate rates of economic growth. If fiscal austerity produces high unemployment and economic stagnation, it is doomed to failure, causing the government’s debt burden to go up instead of down.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 08:54:46

“It concluded that two conditions were essential for success: very low interest rates and adequate rates of economic growth.”

Did it differentiate between cases where fundamental economic conditions resulted in low interest rates and others where monetary policy was used to artificially suppress them?

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 08:55:07

I understand the spin being pitched. The article claims that the differences are significant. They are insignificant.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-15 09:06:59

Germany used fiscal austerity quite well. It was fortunate or prudent enough to do it prior to the crisis.

I agree it is best to use it before the entire world is growing slowly but sometimes like now you have to do it because you have increased your debt too much. Broke is broke and whether you are Greece or the United States you can only accumulate so much debt. Perhaps if the stimulus had been better designed we could have increased the GDP more and it would have been easier to cut later but too much went to projects such as mob museums and it did not generate growth.

I agreed with the shovel ready infrastructure projects unfortunately there were too few. I think that one thing that wasn’t done but could have is to speed up the defense spending on equipment and then cut defense spending later. In one sense that is what we did with the Reagan/Bush and Clinton years. Winning the cold war which was a result of spending more on defense during the Reagan and Bush years allowed for the cutting of defense during the Clinton years.
But back to my main point, it is actually cheaper, usually, to produce 150 planes a year for two years than 100 planes for three years so they would have been cost savings. We could have stimulated the economy with spending that was going to occur anyway, instead of wasting the money on deadend projects that increase the debt.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 12:55:17

we lost our credit rating

Let’s check the facts. If one reads the S&P actual REASONS why USA lost our AAA credit rating, I’d say any objective person could put the vast majority of the blame on the Republicans. And forget the editorial. Read the S&P’s words.

“We have changed our assumption on this because the majority of Republicans in Congress continue to resist any measure that would raise revenues,”

GOP Causes S&P Downgrade, but Republican Candidates Blame Obama
August 8, 2011

http://www.thenation.com/blog/162612/gop-causes-sp-downgrade-republican-candidates-blame-obama

It is clear from Standard & Poor’s statement downgrading the federal government’s credit rating that it places the blame squarely on Republican actions and policies. Two of S&P’s biggest concerns about whether the United States will pay off its debt are whether Republicans will be so insane as to refuse to lift the debt ceiling, a possibility Republicans intentionally stoked fears of, and whether the United States will raise much-needed tax revenue.

Specifically, S&P changed its baseline assumption that the Bush tax cuts would expire on schedule in 2012 because Republicans are so insistent that they must be renewed. “We have changed our assumption on this because the majority of Republicans in Congress continue to resist any measure that would raise revenues,” wrote S&P. That adds $4 trillion over ten years to the projected deficits.

So, how are Republican presidential candidates responding? By blaming President Obama, instead of their co-partisans in Congress who are actually responsible. “America’s creditworthiness just became the latest casualty in President Obama’s failed record of leadership on the economy,” said front-runner Mitt Romney

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 14:06:06

Crazy talk.

We can’t stop fighting wars because we’d lose respect? I don’t want that kind of respect.

We can’t slow our government spending because millions of us would starve?! Unbelievable. $1 Tr a year is enough to pay every American’s grocery bill. Period.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 14:14:05

We can’t stop fighting wars because we’d lose respect? I don’t want that kind of respect.

Maybe you don’t deserve it then. If you don’t recognize timelines, the economic consequences of a rapid retreat and the context of it YOU will lose respect. We ARE stopping the wars no? But to come close to halve the deficit Obama would have had to retreated 100% from day one of his administration. The dollar would have crashed and America would be less safe, secure and economically sound. You don’t see the difference? If not, why? And how not? Because of politics?

We can’t slow our government spending because millions of us would starve?!

Strawman 101. The context was to halve the deficit in a political environment in 4 years. If you think foodstamps could survive as a program in America whilst the military was cut to the bone and we were retreating in all wars as described above, you don’t know the country in which you were born.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 14:32:31

“But anyone who thinks that it was even remotely possible to halve the deficit without starving people…..”

Not my strawman. The current administration has not been seriously interested in curtailing spending. This is obvious even to me. That part about starving people though, I’m pretty sure you made that up on your own.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-15 17:16:53

The current administration has not been seriously interested in curtailing spending.

http://cdn.factcheck.org/UploadedFiles/2012/06/Federal_Spending_Bush_Vs_Obama.png

You tell me who increased spending

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 17:49:44

OK, I know it’s pumpkin season PB, but I don’t care so much for everything has to do with your party or the other one. It was possible to significantly reduce the deficit and it not only didn’t get done, it wasn’t the agenda these past years. It would have been painful and we just can’t have any of that. I’ve seen turnarounds (not on the grand scale of the US ofA) and they don’t take ten years. And they hurt. And then there is a chance for sustainability. We haven’t come close. Sure your Bush guy said deficits don’t matter. I don’t agree! Your Obama guy mumbles some things from time to time and nothing much changes. Your Romney guy wants to say things that will swing voters, so nothing is going to change. But it must. It will, just not time yet.

 
 
 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 08:28:34

Mitt Romney is closet corporate commie capitalist.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 05:59:31

Got crumbling BRICs?

Bloomberg News
Global Distress 3.0 Looms as Emerging Markets Falter
By Simon Kennedy on October 15, 2012

The global economy is facing its third major brake on expansion in five years as emerging markets slow from China to Brazil, provoking debate about how much policy makers should respond.

Three years after industrializing nations led the world out of the U.S. mortgage meltdown-induced recession, the reliability of the power source is waning as Europe’s debt crisis persists. The International Monetary Fund sees them growing an average 5.8 percent in the half-decade through 2016, almost two percentage points less than the five years before the 2009 slump.

Finance chiefs at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings left Tokyo this weekend at odds over how to address the issue, with South Korea’s central bank chief urging Asia to add stimulus as Russia and Brazil called on rich nations to fix their own challenges. At stake is a world economy Bank of Israel Governor Stanley Fischer calls “awfully close” to recession.

“There is a concern that in the near term the engine of growth that provided such a great support seems to be slowing,” said Jacob Frenkel, chairman of JPMorgan Chase International and Fischer’s predecessor in Israel. “They still continue to grow, but we’re seeing a slower pace than anticipated all over the world.”

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-15 06:34:40

From the NY Times - G.O.P. Fighting Libertarian’s Spot on the Ballot:

“Around the country, Republican operatives have been making moves to keep Mr. Johnson from becoming their version of Ralph Nader…

The fear of Mr. Johnson’s tipping the outcome in an important state may explain why an aide to Mr. Romney ran what was effectively a surveillace operation into Mr. Johnson’s efforts over the summer to qualify for the ballot at the Iowa State Fair, providing witnesses to testify in a lawsuit to block him that ultimately fizzled.

Libertarians suspect it is why Republican state officials in Michigan blocked Mr. Johnson from the ballot after he filed proper paperwork three minutes after his filing deadline.

And it is why Republicans in Pennsylvania hired a private detective to investigate his ballot drive in Philadelphia, appearing at the homes of paid canvassers and, in some cases, flashing an F.B.I. badge, he was a retired agent, while asking to review the petitions they gathered at $1 a signature, according to testimony in the case and interviews.

Mr. Johnson says he had no problem being labeled a potential spoiler in an election that he views as “a debate between Coke and Pepsi.”

Comment by 2banana
2012-10-15 08:42:44

A Risky Lifeline for the Elderly Is Costing Some Their Homes
New York Times - October 15th, 2012

The very loans that are supposed to help seniors stay in their homes are in many cases pushing them out.

Reverse mortgages, which allow homeowners 62 and older to borrow money against the value of their homes and not pay it back until they move out or die, have long been fraught with problems. But federal and state regulators are documenting new instances of abuse as smaller mortgage brokers, including former subprime lenders, flood the market after the recent exit of big banks and as defaults on the loans hit record rates.

Some lenders are aggressively pitching loans to seniors who cannot afford the fees associated with them, not to mention the property taxes and maintenance. Others are wooing seniors with promises that the loans are free money that can be used to finance long-coveted cruises, without clearly explaining the risks. Some widows are facing eviction after they say they were pressured to keep their name off the deed without being told that they could be left facing foreclosure after their husbands died.

Now, as the vast baby boomer generation heads for retirement and more seniors grapple with dwindling savings, the newly minted Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is working on new rules that could mean better disclosure for consumers and stricter supervision of lenders. More than 775,000 of such loans are outstanding, according to the federal government.

Joan Serioux-Forde, 72, thought that she couldn’t feel more devastated after her husband, Christopher, died last year. Then, roughly a month after the funeral, she received a letter from Generation Mortgage, a reverse mortgage lender, informing her that unless she paid $293,000, she would lose her home in San Bernardino, Calif. Ms. Forde said she was never informed that if she wasn’t on the reverse mortgage deed, she would have virtually no right to stay in her home unless she bought it outright. “It’s a nightmare,” she said. Generation Mortgage declined to comment.

Although the numbers of reverse mortgages have declined in recent years, the rate of default is at a record high — roughly 9.4 percent of loans, according to the consumer protection bureau, up from around 2 percent a decade earlier. And borrowers are putting their nest eggs at risk by increasingly taking out the loans at younger ages and in lump sums, federal data and a recent bureau report show.

Some 70 percent of reverse mortgages are taken in lump sums, up from 3 percent in 2008, according to the bureau. When seniors use the money to pay off other debts, especially right before retirement or early into it, that can leave them with scarce resources to pay their property taxes and insurance.

Comment by polly
2012-10-15 09:24:18

This is a very interesting new tactic, bananas. When someone posts a particularly interesting news article, you post another entirely irrelevant article underneath it, presumably to divert the conversation. You did it here. And you did it yesterday with my Sheila Bair article.

Quit it.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 09:34:32

When someone posts a particularly interesting news article, you post another entirely irrelevant article underneath it

The Unknown Tenant/Jethro has been doing that for years. I occasionally call him out on it, but it doesn’t stop him.

Hmm…Unknown Tenant = Jethro = TooBananas?

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 23:33:31

He has more propaganda tricks than a monkey has bananas…

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Comment by goon squad
2012-10-15 09:25:07

Now that’s Hope And Change we can believe in!

Take America Back!
Four More Years!
Restore Our Future!

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-15 10:45:22

Uh you are supposed to be Married…..and married people sign BOTH their names on any documents……maybe you were just shackin up?

Ms. Forde said she was never informed that if she wasn’t on the reverse mortgage deed, she would have virtually no right to stay in her home unless she bought it outright.

Comment by polly
2012-10-15 11:14:10

“Uh you are supposed to be Married…..and married people sign BOTH their names on any documents”

They both would have signed it if the house was in both of their names. The question is which pay out schedule they chose and whether they understood it when they picked it.

Please stop displaying your ignorance so blatently, dj. It is really painful to watch.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 11:38:08

Back in the day I had only my name on the mortgage, though my spousal unit’s name was on the deed.

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Comment by Robin
2012-10-15 16:19:44

Good catch, NY. I thought something was sketchy, too!

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Comment by WT Economist
2012-10-15 07:16:50

Rent vs. own: does size matter?

As to whether the housing bubble has finished deflating in most of the country, one of the key pieces of evidence is the cost of renting vs. owning.

We seem to be in a situation where it is cheaper to rent than own unit size aside, but it is cheaper to own than rent similar-sized buildings. Citing the latter, some say “it’s a great time to buy.”

The question is, do people really want or need the larger size of many homes for shelter? Or is some of the excess square footage in for-sale owner-occupied housing just there as an “investment,” and not relevant for those who just what affordable shelter?

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-15 07:28:18

do people really want or need the larger size of many homes for shelter?

Hell no. Renting is better. Despite a two month string of 90+ degree days this summer the squad’s electric bill never went above $75. And looking forward to another winter of heat included with rent. And prompt snow removal. Loanownership is for LOOSERS!

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-15 08:21:19

‘one of the key pieces of evidence is the cost of renting vs. owning’

I’ve been trying to make some points on this that the media is ignoring.

Some places have rents rising even though unemployment is high and jobs pay less. Vacant houses all over the place. How can that be?

Stated another way; the cost of borrowing money to buy a house is low. If I have a credit card, not so much, but a house, yes. Why is this? Do the capital markets believe we’ve hit bottom and are happy with 3% down? Actually, no, and the govt and central bank have said openly they are making these loans to boost the economy. Not because they think prices have bottomed. Not because they believe it will be paid back. Hell, that isn’t even mentioned. They hint that they can create a bottom! This is dangerous technocrat hubris .

Have we ever been in a period where the govt backs 90%+ of house loans? And is anyone paying attention to the fact this has been going on for years with no plan to end the situation?

Lots of unanswered questions, IMO. Most of what’s going on has nothing to do with functioning markets and everything to do with govt/Fed distortion. I’m in the camp that these people are fools who don’t care who goes under the bus as long as they maintain power and get re-elected. The whole damn thing is unsustainable and given how large the amounts being borrowed are, somebody, somewhere is gonna get a spanking.

Comment by WT Economist
2012-10-15 08:31:30

“Have we ever been in a period where the govt backs 90%+ of house loans?”

Actually, yes. Before the federal government intervened and created Fannie and Freddie, there was no secondary mortgage market to speak of. For that reason, capital was LESS likely to flow to housing than to alternative investments.

So Fannie and Freddie were created to provide a “takeout” for mortgage lending, but with very strict standards. These were federal standards. And then continued for a time after Fannie and Freddie were allegedly privitized.

Then banks decided private mortage securitization was profitable, and entered the market, but “conforming” loans and Fannie and Freddie creamed off prime customers. The banks claimed this “forced” them to go subprime. Then Fannie and Freddie got into subprime too.

What is different is the underwriting standards, not the federal involvement. And the government is just following the “free market” circa 2006 — straight to hell.

Comment by Ben Jones
2012-10-15 08:39:20

‘Before the federal government intervened and created Fannie and Freddie, there was no secondary mortgage market to speak of’

I don’t think that’s exactly how it went down, but I guess I should have said ‘in modern times.’

I don’t consider the 1920s or 30s to be very relevant anymore. The global economy has no resemblance to that period.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 08:50:35

“Have we ever been in a period where the govt backs 90%+ of house loans? And is anyone paying attention to the fact this has been going on for years with no plan to end the situation?”

Here is a guess at the plan:

1) Stimulate housing until the economy recovers.

2) Once the economy recovers, real estate will go up again forevermore.

3) Rising home prices will drive the risk of mortgage default towards zero, meaning those government guarantees will never need to be exercised.

4) Whoever owns the MBS the Fed is buying will make a bundle of dough.

Sound about right?

 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-15 17:12:17

this has been going on for years with no plan to end

But what do we know? These things always come to an end.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2012-10-15 10:18:14

WT, could you clarify your post with an example?

Comment by WT Economist
2012-10-15 12:57:32

Don’t have one handy, but I’ve read a series of articles. Trulia has said buy vs. rent now favors buying, but that is based on “comparable properties” rather than a house vs. a smaller apartment.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/trulia/2012/09/13/buying-a-home-is-45-cheaper-than-renting/

“Trulia’s Chief Economist reveals how you can save hundreds of dollars a month by buying a home instead of renting – especially if you can get today’s low mortgage rates, itemize your tax deductions and plan to live there for 7 years… If you plan to stay in a home for 7 years, which is the average time that Americans traditionally live in a home before moving again, it is more affordable to buy than to rent in ALL of the 100 largest metros in the U.S.”

“We looked at all the homes for sale and rentals listed on Trulia in June, July and August 2012. On for-sale homes, we took the asking price and estimated what it would rent for; for rentals, we took the asking rent and estimated what it would sell for. That way, we can calculate the average rent and asking price for an identical set of properties in a metro area, for a direct apples-to-apples comparison. By looking at homes currently for sale or rent, we’re able to illustrate the actual housing options that consumers face right now.”

Homes — ie. not apartments.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 13:18:27

They use their own model to predict what a rental would sell for to conclude that it is cheaper to buy than rent. Unless they show the math, it can be considered total BS.

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Comment by Robin
2012-10-15 16:33:02

I brought up this prospect about a month ago and was soundly trounced by previously-respected (by me) HBB bloggers.

I asked if it was possible, not probable. In certain areas.

HBB fellow posters, please lose myopia and prejudice.

And no, I am not Casey Serin! - :)

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Comment by oxide
2012-10-15 18:01:21

rather than a house vs. a smaller apartment.

That’s what I figured. But then you go on to question whether a family “needs” so much space. What are you comparing? A 1-bed apartment to a 4/2 on a quarter acre? Well DUH the apartment is going to be cheaper, but that’s a rather extreme comparison.

I guess the best comparison to answer whether a family needs so much space is to compare buying an SFH to renting an apartment “one level” down, like subtracting a bedroom, or taking away the land… and see if the equation still favors buying. OK let’s see:

PITI on a fixer-upper in a marginal neighborhood = renting a nicer 1-bed flat in a yuppie apartment complex.
PITI on my 3/2 SFH on land = renting a 2-bed flat rent in my old complex.
PITI a renovated 4/2 = renting a 3-bed townhome in my old complex.

So even comparing buying an apple to renting a slightly smaller apple, the rent/buy equation seems to favor buying, IF you have a 10% down, IF you stay there for 7 years or so, IF you live where the jobs are. But don’t forget, rent goes up. It won’t be long before that two-bed flat rents for MORE than a 3/2 on land.

Everyone’s situation is different.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 18:56:37

But then you go on to question whether a family “needs” so much space. What are you comparing?

I agree. There’s no legitimate comparison between two unlike properties. Compare like to like, and see where the numbers lead you.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-15 11:37:04

We moved from a smaller house (rented) to a bigger house (purchase).

The decision to live in a larger house had nothing to do with seeing the larger size as an “investment” in square footage we didn’t “need”.

Housing is consumption. Our decision had everything to do with quality of life. The new house has:
1. Dedicated home office: wife can more easily work from home=spend more time with kids;
2. Extra bedroom downstairs: grandparents who have a harder time getting around can easily visit for holidays, grandkids birthdays, etc.
3. Playroom for the kids;
4. Big kitchen: Great for holidays with lots of family to come over, etc.
5. Plenty of room for our family for the next 20 years: No need to move again (unless there are other circumstances).

If we wanted to live in the bare minimum, we could have bought a smaller house for less, but we would have had to sacrifice some (perhaps not all) of the features above.

Sometimes you buy a nice, more expensive meal because you want to eat food that tastes better to you, even though you can live on Alpo. Investment has nothing to do with it–it is purely a decision about consumption and personal preference.

Comment by sfhomowner
2012-10-15 13:06:24

Investment has nothing to do with it–it is purely a decision about consumption and personal preference.

Same here. After spending $2700 month on renting a single family home for the past 14 years, we were able to buy and spend less per month (at least on PITI) than we were renting.

I couldn’t be happier to have said goodbye to my meddling, imperious landlord. But it looks like I’ll have to take her to small claims court to get my 3K security deposit back. The previous tenants gave up trying to get theirs back, although I hope that their 10 year-old emails to me about it will provide some ammunition.

But gawd, I hate all this unpacking. What a friggin’ drag.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 13:42:50

It is a simple fact that debt enables a higher lifestyle than one can otherwise afford, in the short run.

Living without a dedicated toy room for the kids is like eating Alpo. Good one!

May “circumstances” never find you.

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-15 14:57:59

I don’t think you truly got my analogy.

Living in a smaller rental house that occasionally had rats eating the apples in my kitchen was my “Alpo”.

Living in a studio apartment in East Palo Alto that was occasionally visited by the haz-mat team due to meth labs being found in the complex was my wife’s Alpo.

The dedicated play room is filet mignon. A house without the dedicated play room might have been a porterhouse.

Since by eating Alpo for long enough (since the latter half of the 90’s), we’ve saved enough to responsibly buy the filet (25% down, loan at approximately 2x annual income, resources available to repay the debt today if necessary), we’ve decided to eat filet.

Personal choice is a wonderful thing.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 16:13:30

I won’t argue with your Alpo. I hate rats.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-15 17:45:10

To give you a sense as to how much we were willing to deal with the “Alpo” of a small house…

After being unable to find a larger, nicer house to rent (all we saw were landlords who were temporarily out of the area, and only willing to rent on a short-term basis–less than 2 years, mostly 1 to 1.5 years), in late 2010, we decided to hunker down for a while longer and stay in our current digs, despite the small size of the house. So, we spent money to replace all the insulation in the garage (lots of rat turds up there–nasty), spent money on kid play tiles, hired an exterminator to come on a regular basis, and turned the garage into a play area for our kids (two young children).

We figured this manufactured space for the kids could buy us another 2-3 years of socking away cash. We spent the money, and time, and a bunch of effort to get ourselves into this position.

In early 2011, I first saw rat urine on one of the play tiles in the garage (strike #1). Then one night, I once saw a little critter run through our kitchen on the floor (strike #2). A few days later, there was a half-eaten apple on the floor of the kitchen (strike #3).

My wife and I looked at the apple, and then each other, and said “f-it”, we’ve waited long enough to get out of this place. We started our hunt to purchase in earnest the next week, and moved within 6 months.

I originally thought it would take us a year or longer to find the right place. We were incredibly fortunate to find a place that fit all of our needs (and pretty much all of our wants), so we jumped on it.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Neuromance
2012-10-15 07:20:58

If you were wondering why the vast money printing has not created inflation here, it’s probably because those receiving the money are speculating with it in developing country markets.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke tried to refute arguments the U.S. central bank’s record stimulus is causing destabilizing flows of capital to emerging-market economies.

“It is not at all clear that accommodative policies in advanced economies impose net costs on emerging market economies,” Bernanke said today in prepared remarks for a seminar in Tokyo on the last day of International Monetary Fund annual meetings.

His comments contrasted with those of IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde, who told the same audience that such easing is likely to cause large and volatile flows that risk leading to “overheating, asset-price bubbles and the build-up of financial imbalances” in emerging economies, even as she applauded Fed efforts to boost growth.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-10-14/bernanke-says-easing-won-t-destabilize-emerging-markets.html

I recall reading some opinion pieces about the Arab Spring, about how it was caused by rising food and energy prices. And that those were cause by US money printing. Then, no more media reports along those lines. Until Ms. Lagarde mentions it in passing.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-15 08:27:35

Less filling or tastes great?

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 08:32:34

Neither! It’s a dessert topping AND a floor wax!

 
 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-10-15 13:07:52

If you were wondering why the vast money printing has not created inflation here

Ummm, gas and food prices have been going up up up. No inflation you say?

Water and electricity prices are up, too.

I guess those essentials don’t count.

 
 
Comment by Brett
2012-10-15 07:26:16

Have y’all ever seen something like this?

Even though the main campus of the UT System is in Austin, we do not have a medical school in town. Travis County is asking taxpayers to pay for this UT project without first asking the Texas legislature to help fund it.

—————————————-

Health tax increase a ‘yes or no’ vote on medical school, UT says

Raising the stakes on a proposed property tax increase, the University of Texas has declared that its approval next month by Travis County voters is essential for establishing a medical school in Austin.

Taxpayers in other Texas communities have helped finance medical schools and teaching hospitals through various means, but the proposal by Central Health, Travis County’s hospital district, differs in two important ways.

One, voters must first approve a 63 percent increase in their property taxes for health care, going from 7.89 cents to 12.9 cents per $100 of assessed value. No other medical school in Texas has hinged on raising local property taxes.

Two, a specific amount of the estimated $54 million a year in new tax revenue — $35 million – would be permanently earmarked for services provided to needy patients by the medical school’s faculty and residents, who are physicians in training.

If Proposition 1 passes, the average Travis County homeowner would pay an extra $107.40 in 2014, for an average health care tax bill of $276.79. That prospect has aroused opposition from those who say UT should pay the full cost of its medical school.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-15 08:25:42

So what are the chances that it will pass?

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 08:36:11

Nothing really new. Big business has been getting taxpayer welfare, er, subsidies, er, tax breaks, er, tax incentives for decades now.

Which makes laugh when people say the government should not interfere in business.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-15 09:53:13

Commie talk!

 
Comment by Hi-Z
2012-10-15 10:17:01

UT may be “big business” but it is a Texas state supported institution not a private corporation or business. You may have a point but it does not seem applicable here.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-15 11:52:36

I think the idea is that the AMA is getting a taxpayer funded school.

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Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-10-15 12:09:32

If it was such a great idea, why aren’t the “free market” types throwing their money at it?

And BTW……are there ANY colleges in Red State Flyover-land that DIDN’T get a Level 4 biological warfare/research center, courtesy of Dubya’s NEWOT?

(NEWOT = Never Ending War on Terror)

 
 
 
Comment by BetterRenter
2012-10-15 10:39:44

“Which makes laugh when people say the government should not interfere in business.”

Those who say that, almost always mean that government should not interfere in business by taking or restricting. But giving or liberating… oh those are OK. LOL! Most people who make those claims are Corporate Socialists. The free market’s apparently for the little people, who are only to be ravaged by big businesses.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 12:11:42

This is the reality in our country. Socialism for the rich, no holds-barred capitalism for everyone else.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 08:12:18

I hope everyone had their windows rolled up.

Pilot lands jet at wrong airport
BBCNews
Indonesia plane lands at Tabing not Padang
map

Indonesian officials have suspended a foreign pilot and launched an investigation after a passenger jet landed at the wrong airport.

The Sriwijaya Air jet had about 100 people on board when it took off on Saturday from Medan in northern Sumatra headed for the city of Padang.

However, it landed at the Tabing air force base, 12 km (seven miles) from its destination.

Indonesian officials said air safety practices would be investigated.

It is not known why the pilot chose to land at the wrong airport - only that he was in contact with the air traffic control at Minangkabau airport in Padang.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 08:37:25

Something weird going on there…

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-15 13:04:36

Something weird going on there…

I think the Indonesian pilot was born in Kenya.

Comment by Robin
2012-10-15 17:03:37

In the same hospital as Barack.

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Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-15 08:55:12

That’s what happens when the air hostesses join the pilots in the cockpit.

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 12:14:04

“We need you activate the auto-pilot, Elaine.”

Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-15 13:31:23

That’s exactly what I was thinking about.

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Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-15 09:37:31

Years ago there was an air traveler who wanted to go to Oakland and ended up in Aukland.

Afterwards he ended up on the Johnny Carson show.

Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-15 09:42:34

IIRC he became quite curious about why he was flying over such a large body of water.

 
Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-15 09:44:26

Er, Aukland = Auckland.

Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-15 09:51:29
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Comment by Watching and Waiting
2012-10-15 09:40:44

Was probably using the new iphone map!

Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-15 12:15:23

BA ZING!

 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-15 09:46:56

Air forces the world over are not amused when civilian aircraft land on their runways.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 09:53:59

Oh, I bet they have a giggle. In private.

 
Comment by Combotechie
Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-15 11:54:30

During the Battle of the Coral Sea a Japanese pilot almost landed on the USS Yorktown.

Read down about half-way for the account:

http://www.pacificwar.org.au/CoralSea/may.7th.html

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-15 12:08:58

I’m flying my browser in visual conditions and can’t find the above link. Should I switch to instrument?

 
Comment by Combotechie
 
 
 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-10-15 11:55:49

Both airports have single runways, oriented NW-SE, very close to the ocean.

What was the weather? Being near the equator, I’m betting it was hot and hazy….reduced visability. Day or night? Airports can be hard to spot around/in cities.

He descended from the north, looks like over mountains. If conditions were bad, he might have just focused on the first airport he/she saw.

Could be someone entered the wrong airport identifier in the FMS. The airplane will fly itself right where you tell it to, doesn’t know the data entered is incorrect.

Airports are close enough that an approach to one would pick up the ILS from the other (assuming they both have ILS systems). If it was tuned to the “right” airport”, he would have had a visual indication that something was screwy…..if he was landing to the SE for example, and was lined up and could see the Tabang runway, his command bars would have indicated that he was high and left of the (correct) runway.

Comment by polly
2012-10-15 12:43:28

Have I said recently that I really appreciate your aviation comments, fixer? Well, I do. I’m saying it again.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-15 13:26:51

Seconded.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-15 22:03:26

And me, Gulfie.

 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-15 14:16:28

If they were talking to him in Indonesian, maybe he trusted the visual glide path indicators. What’s Indonesian for “pull up you idiot”?

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 09:03:13

Civil liberties group sues Morgan Stanley over mortgage bias
By Jed Horowitz
Published October 15, 2012

NEW YORK – The American Civil Liberties Union is filing what it says is the first lawsuit against an investment bank, Morgan Stanley, alleging discrimination for packaging subprime mortgage loans into securities.

The ACLU and other plaintiffs will file the case on behalf of five Detroit residents and its Michigan affiliate, claiming the investment bank encouraged a mortgage lender to make loans with unjustifiably high costs and a strong possibility of foreclosure to enrich its business of selling securities to institutional investors.

“With this lawsuit, real victims of the subprime lending scandal are stepping forward to hold investment banks like Morgan Stanley accountable for the devastation the banks wrought in their lives and in our economy,” ACLU Executive Director Anthony Romero said in a prepared statement.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 09:59:01

A tartan swan?

Scottish independence: Cameron and Salmond strike referendum deal
BBCNews

A deal setting out terms for a Scottish independence referendum has been signed by Prime Minister David Cameron and First Minister Alex Salmond.

The agreement, struck in Edinburgh, has paved the way for a vote in autumn 2014, with a single Yes/No question on Scotland leaving the UK.

It will also allow 16 and 17-year-olds to take part in the ballot.

The SNP secured a mandate to hold the referendum after its landslide Scottish election win last year.

Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-15 10:51:10

Best news for English conservatives if Scotland truly leaves the union. While there, find a way to dump Wales as well.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-15 12:10:12

The Welsh would be very happy to be rid of the English.

Comment by franklie
2012-10-15 12:52:29

Wouldn’t be many people left then in North Wales then, seems to be full of retirees from England. A bit like Florida but wetter and much less Sun.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-15 12:29:15

I can remember the 1970s push for Scottish independence. Well, that sure stirred a bit of excitement in the Slim household.

Both Mom and Dad are of Scottish descent, and oh, boy, you should have seen Mom whenever “Scotland the Brave” played on the radio.

Why this song was played on WIP, a Philadelphia area adult contemporary music station with *very* funny deejays, I don’t know. But there it was. And the WIP guys sure weren’t playing it as another one of their musical jokes. (They were fond of starting songs by The Doors with a soundtrack of slamming doors.)

Anyway, “Scotland the Brave” is playing on WIP. Mom stops whatever she is doing. And the rest of us are expected to do the same.

Comment by oxide
2012-10-15 18:07:26

And another big push in the 1990’s, courtesy of Mel Gibson.

 
 
Comment by franklie
2012-10-15 12:56:27

Scotland is very badly treated by the English, why of our last three Prime Ministers only two where Scottish and the other is of Scottish decent. To be fair Wales never seems to get a look in, neither does Northern Ireland.

 
 
Comment by cactus
2012-10-15 12:48:25

By Robert Frank | CNBC

The latest polls shows that Gov. Brown’s Nov. 6 ballot measure, known as Proposition 30, is on the ropes. The initiative would raise $6 billion from taxes on high earners and from higher sales taxes, with the proceeds going to bolster state finances, pay down California’s daunting public debt, and fund police and schools.

But Brown’s measure is getting attacked from both sides by two members of the Munger family - as in Charles Munger, Warren Buffett’s legendary partner.

Munger’s daughter Molly Munger, a civil-rights lawyer, has spend more than $30 million to defeat Proposition 30 in favor of her own ballot measure, Proposition 38. Proposition 38 would raise $10 billion through income-tax hikes, largely on high earners.

But while Molly Munger is attacking Brown from the left, her half brother, Charles Munger Jr., is attacking Brown from the right. Charles, a Stanford physicist and chairman of the Santa Clara Republican Party, has spent $20 million to push Proposition 32, which would restrict organized labor’s ability to raise campaign money.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-15 12:49:14

Shocking article in the WSJ this morning:

“Buyers Back After Foreclosure”

The headline on it’s own isn’t surprising to me…what is surprising is this little tidbit:

“It is difficult to quantify the exact number of boomerang buyers, but real-estate agents, mortgage brokers and home builders all say a significant number of new buyers are families and individuals who went through foreclosure as recently as three years ago, the time period that buyers who defaulted on a mortgage must typically wait before becoming eligible for a mortgage backed by the Federal Housing Administration.”

So, you can default on your loan, have your home foreclosed, and THREE years later you are back in business with a 3.5% down payment mortgage?

Remarkably ridiculous.

Comment by Combotechie
2012-10-15 12:58:07

“Remarkably ridiculous.”

Not if your motive is to get houses sold.

(Think: “Save the Banks” and it will all make sense.)

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-15 17:29:26

I’m curious if this practice (of giving new loans to people only 3 years from foreclosure) is new…or whether it’s been in place for a LONG time.

ISTR reading elsewhere where rules are different for different lenders and circumstances…a “short sale” agreement is relatively short (3 years?), a “deed-in-lieu” is longer, and a foreclosure is longer yet.

 
 
Comment by josap
2012-10-15 16:16:16

In some areas they can buy the same house down the street for 1/2 to 2/3 less than the one they let go. With much, much smaller PITI.

And if it’s less than rent …..

 
 
Comment by Muggy
2012-10-15 13:59:34

Co-worker: we’re going to buy a house in Palm Harbor
Me: Oh yeah, o.k. Are you going to rent your current house?
Co-worker: no, we’re going to short sell it, and if it doesn’t sell we’ll just stop paying

Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-15 16:14:16

Wel I`m sure somebody is sick in the family or your Co-worker`s spouse lost their job and with the time off found the new house because if what you are saying here was true that would make them DEADBEATS! If there is one thing I have learned here there are no Deadbeats just victims and Banksters.

 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-15 16:20:16

Maybe your Co-worker could get some help from the new SNORKEL program.

New Home Affordable Refinance Program (SNORKEL)

UPDATE (October 13, 2012) : The SNORKEL Refinance program is available to U.S. homeowners as of last night. This post has been updated since its original publish date to account for changes to the SNORKEL program guidelines.

Click here to get a SNORKEL rate quote.

If you’re underwater on your conforming, conventional mortgage, you may be eligible to refinance without paying down principal and without having to pay mortgage insurance.

Here are the details of the government’s new SNORKEL refinance program.

What Is SNORKEL?

SNORKEL was started last night. It goes by several names. The government calls it SNORKEL, as in you paid so much for that house there aint no way you are ever going to pay anyone a dime back unless we bail your sorry @ss out.

The program is also known as the Romney Hates the Middle Class plan, the Obama Refi plan, UW Refi+, and Relief Refinance.

In order to be eligible for the SNORKEL refinance program :

1.Your loan must be, well it doesn`t matter we need to get re-elected.

2.Your current mortgage must have, once again it doesn`t matter we need to get re-elected.

If you meet these two criteria, you may be SNORKEL-eligible. If your mortgage is paid off or if you have participated in the early voting program, you are not SNORKEL-eligible.

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-15 16:48:06

They are doing the fiscally responsible thing. Kudos to them!

Comment by Muggy
2012-10-15 17:21:46

So should I “buy” and stop paying?

Comment by jane
2012-10-16 04:01:00

It sounds like the rational choice, esp. if your job doesn’t do ongoing credit checks, and if your cars don’t need replacement. You’ll need discipline to bank the bundle you save, because you’ll need to buy your next cars for cash. Hopefully you can save enough to get a HUD for 3.5% down (no credit required, just proof of ability to pay), as well as your next replacement vehicle.

Either way you are strapped - don’t go into it thinking you’ll all of a sudden have all this extra dough floating around. A sound exit strategy sez you need to walk out with a bundle in addition to the walking away money.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-15 19:05:26

“They are doing the fiscally responsible thing. Kudos to them!”

Just like my Dad told me when I was just a kid in the 60s.

Son if you give your word, shake someones hand on a deal or sign your name and it does not work out for you screw em, walk away, run if you have to, look out for number one, cry like a baby and tell them you didn`t know what you were signing.

As some here would say…… snark off.

But I guess that`s where we are now, God bless America.

 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-15 17:19:27

no, we’re going to short sell it, and if it doesn’t sell we’ll just stop paying

Gotta love that American can-do attitude.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-15 14:51:45

ft dot com
October 15, 2012 6:21 pm
Fears over US banks’ mortgage dominance
By Robin Harding in Washington

Dominance of the mortgage market by a few big banks is undermining monetary policy, said a senior policy maker at the US Federal Reserve, in comments that may herald greater scrutiny of lenders such as Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase.

Bill Dudley, president of the New York Fed, said “concentration of mortgage origination volumes at a few key financial institutions” meant that banks were not passing on low interest rates to borrowers.

The comments highlight a new problem in US finance: a lack of competition after the financial crisis and tougher regulation leading many banks to pull back from arranging mortgages.

Both Wells and JPMorgan reported record profits last week because of a surge in mortgage loans. Wells now originates about a third of new US mortgages – a level unprecedented in a sector that, historically, has been fragmented.

Mr Dudley said officials should consider ways “to foster competition in mortgage origination to ensure a more complete pass-through of low secondary mortgage rates to households”.

Failure to pass on low mortgage rates reduces the effect of Fed stimulus, because consumers have less money left in their pockets, and fewer people can afford to buy a house.

The Fed’s new $40bn-a-month, open-ended programme of quantitative easing, known as QE3, has driven down the yield on mortgage-backed securities. But the interest rate on new mortgages for consumers has not fallen in line.

In a fully competitive market, the two rates should track each other, because banks typically package new mortgages into securities that are sold to investors. Mr Dudley said concentration in the mortgage market was partly to blame.

He said mortgage activity was also being hampered by warranties required by government mortgage financiers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which can force banks to buy back loans that go bad. These, he said, “discourage lending for home purchases and make financial institutions reluctant to refinance mortgages that have been originated elsewhere”.

A third problem, he said, came in the form of higher guarantee fees charged by Fannie and Freddie. Those fees were raised by 10 basis points in April to help fund a payroll tax cut and will rise again in November as part of an effort to make Fannie and Freddie price mortgages in line with the risks that they take.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-15 16:12:20

http://www.businessinsider.com/gary-shilling-no-housing-bottom-in-sight-2012-9?op=1

Good charts from a bear.

The one that I take most exception to is the “Real Quality-Adjusted” home prices. The reason is that they measured CPI differently from 1890 to approximately 1980 than the way they’ve measured CPI since then.

The main source of this is Shadow Stats from John Williams. I have yet to hear an argument against William’s conclusion.

However, if Williams is only partially right, and the the understatement of CPI is not as high as he says, but only ~1% per year, as compared to before, the graph would still look a lot different.

The other one that I take exception to is the graph showing homeownership rate and his comment that the decrease in homeownership rate adds pressure to excess inventories…this slack appears to be more than made up from investors who are buying rentals.

The rest is good data. I just wish someone would someday break out the differences between states.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-15 16:51:39

Based on the ever-rising U.S. stock market, is it safe to conclude that all these international financial market scare stories are no more than a propaganda ploy to strike fear in the hearts of the little people?

WORLD NEWS
Updated October 15, 2012, 4:39 a.m. ET

Global Finance Chiefs at Odds
Officials Disagree at IMF Meeting Over How Best to Resolve Economic Crisis
By SUDEEP REDDY, BRIAN BLACKSTONE and BOB DAVIS

TOKYO—A weekend gathering of the world’s top finance officials deepened conflicts among some of the largest economies, raising fresh doubts about their ability to find big steps quickly to boost the flagging global recovery.

At the annual meetings here of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, European officials bickered about the damage caused by austerity; this week they head into a major euro-zone summit with no clear rescue plan for Greece. A territorial row between China and Japan, the world’s second- and third-largest economies, bled into the conference with no sign of resolution, highlighting a new risk to growth. And many top finance officials pointed fingers at the U.S. for casting a new cloud over global markets by failing to make progress on the budget mess in the world’s largest economy.

During the 2008 financial crisis, meetings of the IMF and World Bank were used to rally support for collective action, including coordinated stimulus and bank rescues. At their latest gatherings, which ended Sunday, officials punted to future meetings despite an IMF warning that the world was perilously close to recession.

“The delayed reactions to the crisis, especially in the euro area, have led to the accumulation of intractable problems,” Brazilian Finance Minister Guido Mantega told his colleagues Saturday. “At this stage, there are no—if there ever were—easy solutions.”

“It is important for us to stay at the table and work through these issues,” IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde said in a speech at the meetings’ close Sunday.

Policy makers face a series of big meetings and daunting choices in the coming weeks.

European heads of state, who meet in Brussels Thursday and Friday, must decide how to rescue—again—a deeply troubled Greek economy to prevent a euro-zone exit. Sweden’s finance minister surprised officials by suggesting in Tokyo that might be the best outcome. Leaders will also prod Spain to move toward accepting a bailout, before investors lash out and create a new round of market instability.

China must find ways to stem a decline in economic growth despite the difficulty of reaching a political consensus during a once-a-decade leadership change that begins early November. Beijing will report Thursday just how seriously its economy has slowed with the latest GDP numbers. On Monday morning, China said September consumer prices rose 1.9% from the year-earlier month, down from 2.0% growth in August.

And the U.S. has fewer than 12 weeks to resolve a deficit-cutting deadlock before automatic tax increases and spending cuts tip the economy into recession. Japan has an even-sooner deadline: It must overcome political paralysis to resolve by the end of November a debt-ceiling battle, which is starting to hover over markets here.

Some officials at the Tokyo meetings acknowledged that a new round of fear in financial markets could help force action in areas such as the euro zone. “Markets are doing their job,” said IMF chief economist Olivier Blanchard. “They scare policy makers into doing the right things…I’m relatively optimistic that we’ll get there. How we get there, whether it’s completely smooth or not, we’ll have to see.”

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-15 17:01:23

Totally off topic question.

My husband and I were in the kitchen and he asked which of the Great Lakes is totally within the United States. So I consulted the map in my head and came up with the correct answer. He asked how I knew and when I told him about the map in my head, he admitted that he doesn’t have maps in his head. To which I responded, how do you navigate without them?

I found it astounding that there are people that don’t have maps in their head. So this is a quick survey question of our esteemed participants. How many of you do not have maps in your head?

Comment by Muggy
2012-10-15 17:27:40

You are the only woman in the world like this.

Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-15 19:47:50

LOL! My family tells me all the time that I am not a normal woman.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-15 18:15:19

My mental maps are fuzzy ones. Luckily I know how to use technology (GPS, Google, Mapquest, oldfangled hard copy maps…).

Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-15 20:41:41

Some of my maps are fuzzy, too. If I go someplace new, I will go to a map site like Google to fill in the blanks and tie my visual memories to a map.

I have also discovered that my visual memory is much better than my auditory memory. I have trouble remembering names if I hear them, but not if I see them. Interestingly, I have no trouble remembering music, so that must be stored separately from verbal auditory memory.

 
 
Comment by josap
2012-10-15 19:02:35

Not much in the way of maps in my head. Sort of fuzzy ones.
However, if I drive someplace (or walk) I can find my way back (or there again) by visual markers.

Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-15 20:44:12

I also have the ability to find my way back. This is probably also tied to visual memory.

 
 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-15 19:31:19

“How many of you do not have maps in your head?”

I don`t have a map in my head but I do have Google Earth in my head. It`s pretty cool it lets me fly anywhere on Earth to view satellite imagery, maps, terrain, 3D buildings, from galaxies in outer space to the canyons of the ocean.

Or maybe that was just those nights when I took that…. Oh never mind, no I don`t have a map in my head.

Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-15 20:47:41

I definitely integrate my visual memories with the maps I create. And if I have been somewhere before, I can zoom into the visual memory much like Google Earth.

Thanks to everyone for their feedback. This has been fun to understand something that I have always done and thought everyone did.

In my household, 2 out of 5 of us have maps in our head.

 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-16 13:05:59

DVR18

 
 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-15 22:13:50

I have plenty of maps in my head but they are all upside down and mirror imaged. Driving with my dyslexic son has taken us onto some fascinating side roads.

Do you also readily understand the lyrics in rock/rap music? Also not a typically female trait.

Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-16 09:29:13

Upside down and mirror imaged would make for some interesting trips. I can rotate my maps, but usually orient like a normal map.

I also have a stronger sense of direction than my husband, probably related to my mapmaking. He will think he is pointing in the general direction of a landmark, but be totally off base as to the true direction. Now that I know he doesn’t have maps in his head, I understand why his sense of direction is off.

As far as understanding lyrics, it really depends on the singer. Some enunciate so poorly that it is really hard to understand them.

 
 
Comment by snowgirl
2012-10-16 03:42:05

I have maps in my head. I don’t use GPS because I’m afraid it’s a case of if I don’t use it I’ll lose it.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-15 18:24:43

As America contemplates electing a president who proposes to simultaneously ramp up military spending and cut taxes, it might be a good time to look back in history to what happened to other countries who spent lots of money on costly wars without having an adequate means to fund them.

APRIL 24, 2010 5:12PM
War Debt and Tax Avoidance: Causes of French Revolution

As I continue my studies of the French Revolution, I am amazed at how many lessons there are for Americans today, lessons concerning taxation, tax avoidance, government induced inflation and the problems of national debt. Apparently, these things were the major causes for the French Revolution and I shall deal with each of these throughout the course of this introductory essay, which will form the basis of a more thorough political economical study to come.

Costly Wars: The French nation was bankrupted by three highly costly, successive wars, namely, the War of the Austrian Succession, the Seven Years War and the American War for Independence. In 1739, the French had just managed to come out from the debts and extravagant spending of the late Sun King, Louis XIV, such that they just started to run a modest budget surplus. This was not to last. The War of the Austrian Succession, from 1740-1748 cost the French 1 billion livres, most of this borrowed from wealthy noblemen at high interest rates, as the French didn’t pull in enough revenue from taxation to pay for the war. As such, the country began to run a sizeable national debt. By 1753, the principal of the national debt was 1.2 billion livres and the annual interest paid on this debt was 85 million livres, which was 20% of France’s annual revenue. (Citizen: A Chronicle of the French Revolution, Simon Schama at 65). The Seven Years War, or “French and Indian War,” as it is called in the US, lasted from 1756 to 1763. This war cost 1.8 billion livres, again, most of it borrowed from noblemen at high interest rates, pushing the country further into debt. (Schama, at 65). Immediately after this war, in 1763, the principal on the French national debt was 2.324 billion livres, or 7.3 times annual revenue, with interest payments amounting to 160 million livres a year, which was almost half of the country’s annual budget. (Id.) (See also, Public Debt and the Birth of the Democratic State, David Stasavage, 93-95).

One would think the French would temporarily give up their appetite for war and glory since it was bankrupting them. However, France had grown accustomed to being, along with Britain, the 18th century’s version of a superpower, and viewed war and geopolitical intrigue as the chief function of state. As such, when the American colonies broke away from Britain and asked for French assistance, the French jumped at the opportunity to play chess on the world stage and avenge their humiliations from the prior war, regardless of the financial costs and domestic political consequences. During the American War for Independence (1775-1783), the French spent 1.3 billion livres, again, almost all of it borrowed from wealthy noblemen. As a result of these enormous war expenditures and the high-interest debts accrued, by 1785, France was on the verge of total bankruptcy and few noblemen, nations or bankers would lend to them. France had become a “sub-prime” nation.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-15 23:41:18

Call me cynical, but I’m planning to be on the receiving end of this financial development.

Your rent check is about to make private equity investors richer
October 15, 2012, 10:36 AM

So here’s a quick history quiz to start off the week. What was one of the key triggers of the global financial crisis we’re all still recovering from?

OK, sure, easy enough you say, it was the total breakdown of the subprime mortgage market and the web of financial connections and commitments they built. OK, so you get an A.

Now, if you’re on Wall Street that’s old news, and it’s hardly worth crying about something in the rearview mirror.

Eyes forward folks! Disaster creates opportunity for those in the money game, and boy is there a new opportunity developing in the real estate market these days.

Those brilliant folks who brought you bonds backed by mortgage payments are now set to roll out, drum roll please, bonds backed by rental income.

Let’s turn to Shanny Basar over at Financial News (subscription required) to fill in the details, shall we?

Writes Shanny:

“The first securitization backed by rental income from the US housing market could be on offer to investors within three months.

Private equity firms have spent millions this year buying homes in foreclosure, which they plan to renovate and then wrap the rental income into structured products to be sold to yield-hungry investors.

Kevin Petrasic, partner in the global banking and payments systems practice at law firm Paul Hastings, said: “There are investors with plenty of cash sitting on the sidelines looking for investment opportunities with different levels of risk, and I would not be surprised to see a rental securitisation in the next three to six months.”

 
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