October 29, 2012

Bits Bucket for October 29, 2012

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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298 Comments »

Comment by Jinglemale
2012-10-29 03:35:13

Finally finished the refi on my house. Purchased in Nov. 2010 for $395k, appraised now for $525k, so we dropped the MIP w the 80% LTV and got a 3.25% loan. I keep sharing on this blog that buying real estate may be a smart move these days. It seems to be working out for me. Zillow says Sacramento real estate will increase 5.6% in value during the next year. That would be an $86k gain on my portfolio, before adding in rental cash flow, amortization paydown, and tax benefits!

Go buy a house if you have been waiting for the bottom.

Comment by azdude
2012-10-29 06:14:38

nice player where is your home located? must be in a nice area around sac at that price. Seems like the nice areas in SAC are pretty pricey still. Placer county seems to be moving in the right direction.

Comment by Jingle Male
2012-10-29 11:32:02

It is in Placer County.

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-29 06:43:48

Housing prices that goes up in value 30% over two years is an irrational market. It could easily go down 30% over the next two years.

You got lucky. Be thankful.

If your house goes down 40% over the next two years - will you cry that you are a victim?

Comment by Jingle Male
2012-10-29 11:39:49

I am not crying about anything. I have a 6% cash flow on my rental holdings ($15,000/year) and am paying down $1,500,000 in debt at a rate of $32,500 this year and more each year thereafter. All my loans are fixed for 30 years. Rents have been going up, but I have held mine flat. My occupancy for the last few years has been 99.96% (one house vacant for 3 days).

I am so pleased I purchased properties in 2008, 2009 & 2010 even when others said I was an idiot. I am a contrarian by nature and I participated in the bubble busting on this blog. Now, I think it is important to show people not to get stuck in the doom and gloom. Just like all bubble burst, all busts recover.

Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 12:35:20

Falling prices to dramatically lower commodity prices isn’t gloom and doom. It’s bullish optimism.

And you’re right… inflated commodities markets do indeed recover. But not until prices fall to affordable levels.

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Comment by Romney's Lies
2012-10-29 18:46:40

This jackwagon thinks that $525k houses are affordable.

 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 20:02:04

They aren’t now, weren’t before and never will be.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 18:02:22

“Just like all bubble burst, all busts recover.”


In the long run, we are all dead.

– John Maynard Keynes

Check out where Japan is, twenty-one years after their housing bubble popped:

Oct 10, 2012

Japanese house prices continue to fall

House prices in Japan have continued to fall, as the country’s recovery fades due to weakening exports, the appreciating yen, and deflation.

In Tokyo Metropolitan Area:

The average price of new condominium units dropped 5.1% y-o-y to JPY691,000 (US$8,894) per square metre (sq. m.) in August 2012, based on figures released by the Land Institute of Japan (LIJ).

The average price of existing condominium units dropped 3.3% to JPY380,000 (US$4,891) per sq. m. during the year to August 2012, its 14 consecutive month of annual price falls.

The average price of detached houses was down by 1.7% to JPY31,770,000 (US$408,901) over the same period.

In Osaka Metropolitan Area:

The average price of new condominium units fell by 3.2% to JPY457,000 (US$5,882) per sq. m. during the year to August 2012.

The average price of existing condominium units fell 1.6% to JPY239,000 (US$3,076) per sq. m. over the same period.

Land prices have been more resilient. During the year to August 2012, the average price of land in Tokyo was unchanged at JPY187,000 (US$2,407) per sq. m., while in Osaka Metropolitan Area the average land price increased by 1.7% to JPY117,000 (US$1,506) per sq. m.

Japan house prices graph

During the first seven months of 2012, the total number of new dwellings started in Japan increased y-o-y by 2.5% to 490,781, mainly due to reconstruction after the Great Tohoku Earthquake, according to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT).

In Tokyo the number condos sold increased by 10.6% to 21,039, while detached houses sold increased by 9.5% during the first eight months of 2012, compared to the same period last year, according to LIJ.

Total outstanding real estate loans increased 1.5% y-o-y to JPY429 trillion (US$5.52 trillion) in Q2 2012, according to the Bank of Japan (BOJ).

Japan’s housing market is expected to remain weak and house prices to continue to fall in the coming months, as the economy remains fragile.

In the second quarter of 2012, the Japanese economy expanded real GDP grew 0.7%, only half of the government’s preliminary estimate of 1.4% and far lower than the 5.3% annual GDP growth recorded in Q1 2012. S&P expects the Japanese economy to grow by 2% in 2012.

The lost decade
Japan urban land price index graph

In fact, Japan is still recovering from the great asset bubble of the late 1980s. From 1970 to 1980, land prices in Japan rose 200% (23.5% in real terms), and 238.5% in the six major cities (39.3% in real terms). Then during the 1980s, there was a 103% increase nationally (61.6% in real terms) and a 272.2% rise in the six major cities (196.4% in real terms).

The 1991 crash left banks with bad loans of almost USD 1 trillion, contributing to Japan’s ‘lost decade’.

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Comment by Jingle Male
2012-10-29 11:40:52

I agree 2 bannana….however, the irrational part was how low the prices went in 2010.

Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-29 12:16:33

Not here.

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Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 12:36:26

“the irrational part was how low the prices went in 2010.”

How low? Be specific in price per square foot.

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Comment by Romney's Lies
2012-10-29 18:52:09

Horsesh!t. The houses were never allowed to find their real price supports due to government intervention and insanely low rates. Jingle Male is a knifecatcher. Real investors will pick up his properties on the courthouse steps for pennies on the dollar in the next few years. Once he finds his $1.5M loans are backed by $750k in assets, he’ll bail on all of them.

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Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 19:41:46

The houses were never allowed to find their real price supports due to government intervention and insanely low rates.

Yup. But they will. The Moneychangers are the proverbial dutch boys with a finger plugging the hole in the dyke.

Jingle Male is a knifecatcher.

In ways he can’t fathom. But he will.

Real investors will pick up his properties on the courthouse steps for pennies on the dollar in the next few years.

Because they know and understand the value of a dollar. Most on this blog do not.

Once he finds his $1.5M loans are backed by $750k in assets, he’ll bail on all of them.

The reality is the assets are likely worth less than $750k. And sadly our blog knife catcher hasn’t the slightest understanding of his current losses that are growing by the day.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-29 19:49:38

The irrational part was and was due to government intervention to prop up prices.

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Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 07:39:02

“appraised now for $525k”

And there isn’t a buyer for it for a fraction of that amount.(except you).

Congratulations. You’re now the bagholder.

Comment by oxide
2012-10-29 09:09:35

Depends on what he “did with the money.” If he plugged the cash back into down payment and only refied for the interest rate, it’s no change. If he bought another house with it… yeah, hello Casey.

Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 10:37:11

Hardly.

The losses are there irrespective of your attempt to obfuscate with financing BS.

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Comment by Jingle Male
2012-10-29 11:42:57

It was a simple interest rate refi. It lowerd my principal and interest payment by $350/mon and added $200/mon more to principal reduction. I could probably rent the house for $500/mon in positive cash flow now, but I live in the house and plan on staying there for another 10 years or more.

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Comment by oxide
2012-10-29 13:09:43

RAL you’re so cute.

JM I’m glad you didn’t try to expand the RE empire. Even if it’s been going good so far, IMO any price appreciation is too fragile to depend on.

 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 13:43:57

How large are your losses so far? $100k? 150k?

 
 
 
 
Comment by Romney's Lies
2012-10-29 07:51:23

***SHILL ALERT***

Comment by Jingle Male
2012-10-29 11:46:07

I am no shill. I have been contributing here for 6 years and was involved in calling the bubble and busting mortgage fraudsters. When someone points out the market is recovering it does not always mean they are a shill.

Comment by Romney's Lies
2012-10-29 18:40:22

“Go buy a house if you have been waiting for the bottom.”

***SHILL ALERT***

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Comment by frankie
2012-10-29 09:09:53

It’s only worth something when some one buys it off you; till then try not to spend your profits.

Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-29 09:51:03

Exactly. Better yet, sell it and take the gain right now!

 
Comment by Jingle Male
2012-10-29 11:47:29

Good advice Frankie. I live on less than my income and count no profits before they are realized.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 14:55:50

This little episode in financial history is far from over. And the reasons for your recent home valuation gains may ultimately prove unsustainable. Good luck at unloading your holdings before the end of the dead cat bounce!

ft dot com
October 29, 2012 6:58 pm
US housing: After the gold rush
By Kara Scannell
Critics say authorities are pursuing petty crooks but going easy on Wall Street when it comes to mortgage fraud

A half-built housing estate in Las Vegas proved an ideal target for low-level fraudsters who inflated the property market artificially

In May 2006 Michael Perry, a retired US Army sergeant, applied for a $421,000 mortgage to buy a newly built four-bedroom stucco house in Henderson, Nevada, a fast-growing suburb 20 miles southeast of Las Vegas’s glittering gambling strip.

He filled out paperwork assuring Oak Street Mortgage of his income, employment, and intention to live at 2802 Kinknockie Way. In bubble-era Nevada, simply stating this information allowed him to qualify for a mortgage without putting money down.

On June 15 he repeated the process, buying a house a few doors down at 2825 Kinknockie Way for $421,000. Four days later, he was given a $394,000 mortgage for the house at number 2814.

Soon, he fell behind on his mortgage payments. Banks took the houses, reselling them for far below the original price. Last December Mr Perry pleaded guilty to one count of conspiracy to commit mail, bank and wire fraud for his role in a $3.4m mortgage fraud scheme in which he and others acted as “straw buyers” – that is, they falsified loan applications to qualify for mortgages on houses they intended to “flip” at a profit.

He is one of more than 2,100 estate agents, mortgage brokers and others arrested nationwide on mortgage fraud charges. In Nevada alone, more than 200 people have been arrested in connection with such fraud since 2008.

Such straw-buyer schemes are described by one attorney as having “typified much of what has been wrong in the mortgage industry”.

However, they also typify the types of criminal cases the US Department of Justice and the Federal Bureau of Investigation have pursued in the four years following the worst financial crisis since the Depression.

Critics say that prosecutors have gone after easy targets – low-level fraudsters – while going easy on Wall Street executives whose banks packaged billions of dollars worth of toxic mortgage securities.

An investigation into Wall Street practices “wasn’t prioritised as a significant enough thing for the DoJ to take a flyer [on] by committing significant resources to looking in these cases,” says Neil Barofsky, a former federal prosecutor who was the special inspector general for the troubled asset relief programme.

He adds that the mortgage fraud cases are not unimportant but “they don’t make the slightest bit of difference from general deterrence of the type of unethical and illegal behaviour that is apparent on Wall Street”.

 
 
Comment by polly
2012-10-29 04:32:15

Heavy rain so far. News says the wind doesn’t arrive until late afternoon/evening, but we can expect gusts up to 70 miles an hour when it gets here. If they are right, if we get that sort of wind once the ground has been soaked for almost 24 hours, this is going to be bad.

The electric companies have already stated that they will be waiting until the weather clears before starting the repair process, though I’m not sure if that only refers to the wind or also includes waiting for the rain to end.

Supreme Court is hearing arguments. The rest of us have been ordered to stay home. If you stop hearing from me completely, please know that I am fine. The most likely scenario is that Comcast lost power and I am living off my DVR. I could lose power, and that would be annoying, but not unlivable.

Comment by oxide
2012-10-29 05:19:05

Same here. If I lose power, I will turn off my computer immediately. I have short battery life.

Polly must be watching NBC4. The power company said that they have to wait for the worst of the wind to subside before they can go out. So even if there are trucks on standby and if they can recover things very quickly, the waiting time alone is enough to take out many a freezer. I’ve been pre-freezing blocks of ice all weekend. I should probably throw even more in the downstairs freezer while I have time.

Comment by polly
2012-10-29 06:07:31

Nope. Listening to WAMU. I think they share their weather coverage with NBC4. I can’t stand watching TV in the morning. I’m cooking. I really don’t expect to lose power. Overwhelming majority of the lines in my area are underground. I’ve been here almost 3 years the worst that happened was a 2 second brown out. Then the cable went out because Comcast lost power, but I was fine, though slightly bored.

I have a flashlight and a little radio that doesn’t eat batteries too quickly if the worst happens.

Comment by oxide
2012-10-29 06:37:46

Still doing ok here, but this homeownership thing is a little tiring. I just went outside to saw off a foot of my vertical gutterspout so I could hook the tube on it higher off the ground, so that the water drains farther away from the house. The house has a lot of slapdash fixes, which I need to have fixed more professionally.

At least the windows appear to be working well.

And yes, I know, the renters on HBB will mock me about all the maintenance they don’t have to do etc, but I’m not deterred. It takes time and money to get a house into acceptable shape. I’m still cleaning up after that past homeowners who apparently didn’t give a sh!t. THEY are the ones who should have been renting.

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Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 07:07:38

this homeownership thing is a little tiring

But you have to be in metro DeeCee, cus it’s “where the jobs are”.
And you had to buy, cus DeeCee bubble rents only go up.
But at least you can paint the walls any color you want, right?

BWA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA!

Bill-in-whereever is right.

 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 07:26:48

Strangely enough, in retrospect, Bill_in____ has been quite accurate.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 07:51:20

Bill the Nomad says he’s going to buy a house in AZ if/when Obama wins.

 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 08:10:02

What’s the problem with buying a house at $30/square foot?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 08:32:30

So it’s time to buy in AZ?

 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 10:34:11

Are prices <$30/sq?

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-10-29 10:58:34

Still doing ok here, but this homeownership thing is a little tiring

Most of the tiring stuff we’ve been doing is stuff that is just related to moving. Unpacking, organizing, rearranging, putting up shelves, etc.

We did a ton of stuff in our rental and made it way more livable than it was, but our ex landlord (who also happens to be a bitter divorce lawyer who is losing her marbles) wants to take us to court for things that my housing lawyer pal says are simple “wear and tear” items (like painting the interior walls that hadn’t been painted in 9 years and a broken bathroom floor tile on the 1970’s bathroom.

Never mind that we’ve paid her over 250K in rent and she can rent it for almost 1K more per month given the crazy rental increases in San Francisco.

I am glad to be done with landlords, and for me, the extra work required from being a home owner are worth the peace of mind. 27 years of being a renter was enough for me.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 11:33:13

Are prices <$30/sq?

You said they were. Or perhaps that they will be after an Obama victory, which is in a week or so.

I don’t think they’re below $30/sq in Scottsdale, which I think was where he was talking about.

 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 11:38:51

“You said they were.”

You’ll have to substantiate that one. Post it.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 12:02:50

You’ll have to substantiate that one. Post it.

I bet you’re driving your realtor nuts. Probably on your third or fourth one by now?

 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 12:13:46

“You said they were.”

SUBSTANTIATE IT.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 13:11:08

“What’s the problem with buying a house at $30/square foot?”

The implication is that what Bill is doing is not a problem, because he’s buying at $30/sq ft. Where you got that number, I do not know. Probably pulled it out of your a$$, like usual.

 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 13:27:19

Bill isn’t right to buy at $30/sq ft?

You sound confused again.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 14:01:41

Your realtor called, time to go low-ball some upstate McMansions.

 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 14:12:10

“You said they were.”

You lied…. again.

Case closed.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 14:36:01

Case closed.

Perhaps if you had a legitimate case to make, you wouldn’t have to hide behind your juvenile word games.

Anyway, shouldn’t you be out house-hunting?

 
Comment by oxide
2012-10-29 15:17:37

Isn’t $30/sq ft not far off from what Darrell in Phoenix paid for the condo for his kids? It was $40K for a a townhome, likely 1000-1200 feet.

 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 17:27:02

You lied. Again.

Why lie Alpha?

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-10-29 21:28:48

What I see in phoenix metro are homes in good suburban neighborhoods closer to city centers still in short supply. They bottomed around 100/sf in 2011 (bottomed meaning the most recent) and have rebounded to 125/sf and up, have seen some go recently for 150+/sf after being bid up by multiple offers.

The far out suburban areas have a bit more inventory and have also rebounded off the lows of 2011 but I would say most are still going for <100/sf.

It will be interesting to see what happens with inventory going into this next spring “selling season”. My feeling is that things will settle into a groove for a while and the $/sf will level off and find some sort of equilibrium now that the low interest rates have been burned in and the cash investor appetite is beginning to wane.

 
Comment by rms
2012-10-29 22:49:44

“What’s the problem with buying a house at $30/square foot?”

The neighbors on either side of you, behind you, across the street, etc., are the problem at $30/sqft. Really!

 
Comment by Wittbelle
2014-11-20 14:34:23

It’s okay when Housing Deflations/Housing Analyst avoids answering questions, but God forbid anyone else employ the same evasiveness.

 
 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-29 06:42:13

Good luck to everyone in the area. The storm has now started to turn and is traveling to the NNW at 20. There are still some solutions that take this past NYC but none that really just take it out to sea unfortunately. Hopefully its failure to turn west earlier and actually move further to the east will mean it will not hit with full fury at high tide but that is the best news I can find.

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Comment by polly
2012-10-29 07:42:58

Overnight the estimates for rainfall in the DC area went from 3 to 7 inches to 5 to 10 inches.

 
Comment by Albuquerquesdan
2012-10-29 08:06:17

Polly, the latest update, storm still moving to the northwest but a little slower at 18 miles an hour. The fact that the storm might arrive later can be good news if it hits between the high tides but as the rain estimates show the slower a storm moves the more rain it can dump on an area.

 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-10-29 08:21:44

Different Bill in ____ here. Polly, you are lucky that your electric service is so reliable. I have a friend in Silver Spring, north of the Beltway, who loses power several times a year. Was once out of power for a week. He has a portable generator to keep the fridge cold and to run his furnace (but not the A/C). He says quite a few of his neighbors now have natgas powered whole-house generators.

 
Comment by polly
2012-10-29 09:19:23

My electric service is reliable because it is underground. Which, of course, is why there is no such thing as a place where you can’t find a useful reason to dig a hole and fill it in (after putting the electric lines in the hole), Keynes statement notwithstanding.

Metro spokesperson said the main reason they closed the subway was because they didn’t know when and where the power would go out and if they lost power with trains between stations they would be using up emergency services people to evacuate customers, not to handle real emergencies.

However, the electrical service is so bad in the DC area because they use mature trees to disguise the fairly ugly appearance of power/telephone/whatever poles. They have done a slightly better job of trimming the branches recently, but it doesn’t help that much. Trees and utility poles don’t mix. You want juice? Learn to live with the eye sores or pay to put it below ground. County and state executives have warned the power company that they are to spend like water to get the power back when it goes out, but if the towns would let them take down the trees and put proper guide wires on the poles (also expensive) it wouldn’t be such a big deal.

As of now, the rain isn’t even all that bad.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-29 11:08:52

Storm has sped up to 28 miles an hour in the latest update (2 P.M.) and interestingly is still moving northwest, NWS had it moving virtually west by now in the forecasts. Does not sound good for NYC if it hits even further north than they were predicting.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-29 13:05:33

3 P.M. update had it still traveling at 28 miles an hour, and about 160 miles for NYC. It said it was 3 to 5 hours from landfall, I guess the three hours is if it comes ashore way south of NYC.

 
 
Comment by joesmith
2012-10-29 08:31:12

“this homeownership thing is a little tiring

But you have to be in metro DeeCee, cus it’s “where the jobs are”.
And you had to buy, cus DeeCee bubble rents only go up.
But at least you can paint the walls any color you want, right?

BWA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA!

Bill-in-whereever is right.”
—————————————

I don’t understand why oxide bought either, given her age and lack of a 2nd income or family to help out. However, I think it would be a worse deal to be living a quasi- white trash lifestyle in flyover country while working a contract gig to “support” a wife and kids. Both sound like awful deals to me. So I guess you can laugh at her as long as you realize that others would laugh at you.

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Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 09:33:22

Keep laughing, coastal elitist bedwetter. We don’t support a wife or kids.

You know nothing of our circumstances and are are talking out of your arsehole.

But keep talking if it makes you feel good. Sigh, LOOSERS.

 
Comment by localandlord
2012-10-29 19:58:13

I’m pretty happy with my quasi- white trash lifestyle in flyover country, thankyouverymuch. It wouldn’t be legal for me to have a wife in flyover country anyway. I had a contract job for a while but it was more like a hobby. Informally adopted kids don’t cost much.

 
 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-29 06:59:28

So I guess “this was the moment when the rise of the oceans began to slow and our planet began to heal” was just a pipe dream…

:-)

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 07:11:02

Yeah, LOLZ! And he eats dog meat too.

http://www.obamasrealfather.com/film-info/

 
Comment by Albuquerquesdan
2012-10-29 07:12:03

I don’t think that quote has anything to do with this natural event. Just hoping it works out well, I do have relatives back but more in Vermont than NY.

Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 07:19:06

SF_Jack!

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Comment by 2banana
2012-10-29 07:59:42

The quote has to do with what a narcissist thinks of himself and the fools who voted for him.

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Comment by Albuquerquesdan
2012-10-29 08:08:46

I know you meant to show these things but I think that right now, the board should pull together and support its posters.

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 08:20:02

Support their safety, perhaps. Support their decision to embrace albatross debt slavery loanownership, never.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 08:37:57

“I know you meant to show these things but I think that right now, the board should pull together and support its posters.”

There is never a better time to go after a sitting president’s jugular vein than a moment of crisis. Look how the Republican’s went after Obama during the recent Libyan incident, for instance?

And why not start in on him during the approaching hurricane? Why bother waiting for it to make landfall?

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 08:39:11

Sorry, Polly, if it was unclear I was being sarcastic in the above post. I don’t feel like adding a smiley, though…

 
Comment by joesmith
2012-10-29 08:42:26

“Support their safety, perhaps. Support their decision to embrace albatross debt slavery loanownership, never.”

LOL.

Should we support your decision to “support” a wife and kids on a quasi-white-trash temporary contractor gig? No offense, but your planning and stability seem pretty suspect as well. Just being honest.

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 09:08:12

Who are you calling white trash?

 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-29 09:17:05

So you are saying that you hate if/when people act like democrats after Katrina…?

There is never a better time to go after a sitting president’s jugular vein than a moment of crisis. Look how the Republican’s went after Obama during the recent Libyan incident, for instance?

And why not start in on him during the approaching hurricane? Why bother waiting for it to make landfall?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 09:42:47

So you are saying that you hate if/when people act like democrats after Katrina…?

But the key word there is “AFTER” and it wasn’t just Democrats who thought that the response to Katrina was inept.

 
Comment by joesmith
2012-10-29 09:45:43

“Who are you calling white trash?”

Aren’t you married with kids despite only managing some kind of temporary government contractor mcjob? Marriage and kids are, like home ownership, something that are best entered into when someone has a real career.

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 09:57:31

Do your homework, smithy. The squad is on the record as a non-breeder.

As far as the “mcjob” goes, it’s contracted for the next five years :)

“Don’t criticize what you can’t understand” — Bob Dylan

 
Comment by zee_in_phx
2012-10-29 10:05:01

“So you are saying that you hate if/when people act like democrats after Katrina…?”

‘Heck of a job Brownie’ — what’s up with rose colored glasses and selective memory? Don’t mind you being a neocon hack, you do bring some good points very occasionally but please don’t insult the people here by railroading facts.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 10:16:59

Don’t mind you being a neocon hack, you do bring some good points very occasionally but please don’t insult the people here by railroading facts.

I think 2banana makes some “good points very occasionally” specifically to cover his attempt to railroad his neocon hack points.

Like the Koch Brother’s propaganda slogan:

“A spoon full of sugar helps the Bull S#!T go down”

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-29 11:20:55

Rio:

Here is an Alternative view about Katrina:

Bush underestimated how many stupid people would stay behind, then couldn’t get supplies to them quickly because the superdome was a fixed dome and not retractable…so they couldn’t land choppers on the playing field…or anywhere outside ’cause it was flooded..

But the key word there is “AFTER” and it wasn’t just Democrats who thought that the response to Katrina was inept.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 12:29:58

“…don’t insult the people here by railroading facts.”

SOP

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-29 13:49:05

Like the Koch Brother’s propaganda slogan:

“A spoon full of sugar helps the Bull S#!T go down”

I’ll be that doesn’t sound half bad if Julie Andrews sings it.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-29 08:44:41

Stay dry all and don’t forget to losen your lines as the water rises(or saw off your downspouts). I have a full charge on my house battery bank, which is good for two days. LEDs are pricey but they sure stretch a battery. After the batteries it’s up to the generator. Fuel for a month. Doesn’t seem like a big deal after cold camping at 10,000 feet for a week. A lot of folks at the Denver airport were wondering if they would get home (east coast) on schedule.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-29 08:50:09

Spoke with my mother about the storm yesterday. Looks like it’s going to be pretty bad. That has me worried.

Then, when it was time to talk with my dad, my told me that he may not recognize me.

Oh, sssssshhhhh…

…shhhh…ssugar.

Well, he knew exactly who I was. But still.

If my folks have to evacuate, I hope that wherever they have to go is prepared to deal with my dad. Because I’m having a tough time dealing with the latest news right now.

Happy Monday.

Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-29 10:58:28

I hope they can stay safely in their home while the storm passes over. Sorry about your father. I am seeing signs of mental decline in my mother. It’s really hard.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-29 11:16:40

It is really hard.

And, yes, I’ve tried reading books on the topic. It’s hard to get through them. Last time I did, I was at a volunteer gig and broke down.

So, scratch the bibliotherapy.

I also think that the support groups would be a bit hard to take. It would be like a super-duper ultra-reminder of something that’s already in my face.

So, I navigate as best I can through this support group called life.

And I thank everyone here for being so supportive through my bust-outs of anger, sadness, and depression — all at the same time. In the past year, I have really found out who my REAL friends are.

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Comment by frankie
2012-10-29 11:53:41

Don’t let the buggers grind you down Slim, just keep going with your head up; your family and friends are lucky to have you.

Oh if I win the Eurolottery tonight I’ll send you some. Yes I know it’s not much of a plan but it’s the only one I’ve got.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Lip
2012-10-29 11:39:33

Polly, etal,

Keep your heads down (unless you live in abasement) and be safe. We all look forward to your safe return whenever it happens.

Lip

Comment by polly
2012-10-29 13:36:33

Not dead yet. The winds are really just picking up after being a little calmer in the early afternoon. Work cancelled for tomorrow. Metro closed tomorrow. Reorganized the freezer. Put away the newly cooked turkey meatloaf. Thinking about doing my laundry. No electricity issues yet. Cable seems fine.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-29 19:59:23

One problem you guys face is that barbecue, which was my solution to save the frozen fish in my freezer when SD power went out last year, is probably not an option.

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Comment by jane
2012-10-29 21:23:54

Knocking on wood for continued uninterrupted power from Northern Virginia.

It’s around 11 PM, and although there is still rain and gusty wind, the gusts are really not that bad. Out of 396K Fairfax customers served by Dominion Virginia, 82K are without power. The derecho was worse. I have not lost power or internet.

I pulled today’s work into the weekend so I could hunker down with my current problem set last night and and finish it today, while I still had light and connectivity. The bad winds and rain were supposed to hit around noon. If I’d had to, I would have taken a picture of the d*mn thing and sent it by cell phone. ‘They’ would have HAD to give me credit for effort. I think.

There are a couple of people in my cohort who would have been able to bang out those buggers in one sitting already last week. That has not been one of my …err… attributes as a student.

I’d do the program again in a heartbeat, though - I can now talk some of the talk, and am able to foresee where things will go left, in the work I do. I’m gratified that I now know how to state those cases!

 
 
Comment by frankie
2012-10-29 11:44:30

Hope everybody is left unscathed by this.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jmg86CRBBtw

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-29 14:58:47

How can somebody be unscathed by clips of Hill Street Blues? I wanted to open a vein after watching just a few seconds!

 
 
 
Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-29 05:09:50

SNORKULUS

Posted: 6:15 p.m. Saturday, Oct. 27, 2012

Housing crisis: Where Obama, Romney stand

Obama’s program

Treasury committed $45.6 billion in 2009 to help homeowners avoid foreclosure under the Troubled Asset Relief Program. As of Sept. 30, $5.5 billion or about 12 percent had been spent. The three main programs are Making Home Affordable ($29.9 billion), FHA Short Refinance ($8.1 billion), and the Hardest Hit Fund ($7.6 billion).

* Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP): Largest program under Making Home Affordable. It offers incentives to lenders to lower mortgage payments through refinances, principal reductions or lengthening the loan time. (April 2009 through August)

Total U.S. homeowners receiving a permanent loan modification: 1.07 million

Total Florida homeowners receiving a permanent loan modification: 100,435 through August

Total permanent modifications in Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade counties: 54,051 through August with a median savings per month of $507.

Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury

* Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP): Offers incentives to lenders who refinance underwater mortgages into a lower or fixed interest rate. (April 2009 through August)

Total Florida refinances through Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: 419,799

Total HARP refinances of underwater Florida mortgages: 115,007 (including 24,225 severely underwater loans)

Percent of Florida mortgages underwater: 44.5 percent, or 1.41 million

Source: Department of the Treasury, Zillow, Mortgage Bankers Association

*Hardest Hit Fund: Temporary payments to underemployed and unemployed homeowners, plus payments to bring delinquent mortgages current.

Total national award: $7.6 billion

Total Florida award: $1.057 billion

National money committed through September: $1.5 billion

Florida money committed through September: $170.6 million

Total national homeowners approved for funding through September: 58,519

Florida homeowners approved for funding through September: 7,362

Source: Department of Treasury, Florida Housing Finance Corporation

*National Mortgage Settlement: Agreement reached in February between the nation’s attorneys general and five leading lenders to atone for banks’ alleged foreclosure-related wrongdoing

Total award: $8.5 billion to Florida in cash payments and mortgage relief

Total relief to Florida through June 30: $1.7 million to 23,110 homeowners

Total Floridians expected to get relief: 287,000

Source: Office of Mortgage Settlement Oversight, Florida Attorney General

http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/business/housing-crisis-where-obama-romney-stand/nSp9g/ - 90k -

Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-29 12:18:14

Vicki doesn’t believe in government “intervention and giveaways” but she accepts them? I have met a few people like that.

“Clyde Mathews of Palm Beach Gardens will cast a ballot for Obama even though the 72-year-old has been unable to get his interest-only loan refinanced through any of the administration’s foreclosure-rescue programs. Mathews fears his monthly adjustable-rate mortgage payment will hit an unaffordable $2,800 when it is next set to change. Health care, however, is more important to him, he said.”

“In Palm Harbor, laid off marketing manager Vicki King is receiving government help to pay her mortgage through the Hardest Hit Fund, a $7.6 billion Obama administration program announced in February 2010. Yet the registered Republican said she fundamentally doesn’t believe in government “intervention and giveaways” — a contradiction the 59-year-old said she’s had to accept to keep her home.”

“King said she will vote for Romney”

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-10-29 13:01:32

Vicki doesn’t believe in government “intervention and giveaways” but she accepts them? I have met a few people like that.

A few??

Every case of this hypocrisy must be called out. I suppose Vicki will vote for Romney because the simple act of doing so proves that she’s not one of those non-bootstrapping 47%ers.

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-29 15:00:45

At lease it proves that Romney was wrong about the 47% who view themselves as victims and take the government’s money and take no personal care and responsibility for where they are in life will all vote for Obama.

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Comment by UNKNOWN TENANT
2012-10-29 17:57:55

I know one dude that bad mouths Obama to no end who has not made a mortgage payment in four years.

 
 
 
Comment by Anon In DC
2012-10-29 16:11:27

Well we need to know how much she has paid in taxes over years. Hell for most of us paying taxes if we paid a reasonable rate (10% no matter your income) then we could buy houses for cash. She might just be getting back some of her money.

 
 
 
Comment by Spook
2012-10-29 05:17:32

Bmore Hood report:

just wind and rain, victor charlie will probably lay up in that gap all day, pretty quiet.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 05:32:05

Somehow this doesn’t seem like quite the right kind of ship to have out to sea with an approaching storm. What were these people thinking?

17 abandon stricken ship, HMS Bounty, off N.C. coast
Jeff Haynes / AFP - Getty Images, file

The HMS Bounty, a replica used in the Marlon Brando movie “Munity on the Bounty”, is stuck at sea as Sandy approaches. Here it sails past the Chicago skyline in July 2003.
By NBC News staff

Seventeen people aboard a replica of the HMS Bounty abandoned ship early Monday while stranded at sea off the North Carolina coast, the U.S. Coast Guard said in a press release.

“The 17 person crew donned cold water survival suits and life jackets before launching in two 25-man lifeboats with canopies,” the Coast Guard said in a statement.

The ship issued a distress signal late Sunday after taking on water, the U.S. Coast Guard said.

The owner of the 180-foot, three mast ship — which was built for the 1962 Marlon Brando movie, “Mutiny on the Bounty” — lost communication with the crew and alerted the Coast Guard to the situation.

Comment by Spook
2012-10-29 06:21:15

they are thinking of the tee-vee movie about their lives after they are rescued

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 12:28:04

Or maybe a movie about their after-lives?

 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-29 06:34:00

They were most likely already at sea and had been for some time when they got news of the storm and were trying to make it to port, but somehow lost control or couldn’t change course due to low supplies.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 07:23:47

Commie talk! And why were you posting under the name ecofeco all weekend?

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-29 06:46:35

Wooden sailing ships and hurricanes don’t mix well.

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-29 15:03:34

Whoever had this boat out is an idiot. The captain and owner should be held liable for endangerment and manslaughter (if any of them didn’t/don’t make it) unless they have a VERY compelling reason that ship was out. (Mechanical failure left them out too long to make it back, etc.)

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-29 15:37:24

Reminds me of that story about the sinking of the Fantome, a Windjammer Barefoot Cruises schooner during a 1998 hurricane. That boat should have never been anywhere but in port.

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-29 15:45:36

I hope the insurance company denies his claim saying a pre-exisiting condition, i.e. “Ownerisanidiotitis”, keeps them from making him whole on the loss of his giant bath tub toy.

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Comment by polly
2012-10-29 16:19:47

Tall ship HMS Bounty sinks off N.C. coast; two still missing

http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/tall-ship-hms-bounty-sinks-off-nc-coast-two-still-missing/2012/10/29/d276daf8-21d8-11e2-8448-81b1ce7d6978_story.html?tid=pm_pop

The Coast Guard is searching for two people off the coast of North Carolina who had been passengers aboard the tall ship HMS Bounty, which lost power in Hurricane Sandy and sank after 14 other passengers were rescued.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 16:47:43

Whoever had this boat out is an idiot….HMS Bounty sinks off N.C. coast

I would have led a mutiny on the Bounty Friday or Saturday.

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Comment by CharlieTango
2012-10-29 17:04:36

They retrieved one of the missing, she was not responsive.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 05:42:22

QEtc… funny!

What Do High Yield Bonds Know That No One Else Does?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/26/2012 14:20 -0400

Wizened old market participants are often heard mumbling into their cups of green tea that “credit anticipates, and equity confirms” and so it is once again that the credit markets - fresh from the exuberance of endless technical flows, CLOs, and PIK-Toggles - has made a rather abrupt U-Turn in recent weeks. As Barclays points out, the ratio of High-Yield bond spreads to Investment-Grade bond spreads is its highest in three years as IG has been dragged lower by QEtc’s impact on MBS and rotation up the spread spectrum. Typically, this kind of push would mean high-beta credit would outperform but far from it as cash bond markets have gapped out very recently. With call constraints (thanks to ZIRP) on high-yield bonds, the extreme price dislocation (given HY’s inability to rally ‘enough’) will likely drag IG credit out - and that is a very crowded trade. Just one more unintended consequence from the Fed.

Comment by Albuquerquesdan
2012-10-29 07:16:09

I don’t think they are telling me anything I do not know. The economy is bad and getting worse. If you have an economy growing at less than 2% and a budget deficit of 7.6%, it would take four years just to undo the impact of doing away with the deficit.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 05:43:59

The $200 Billion Worth of Bond Advice Show for 10/26/12

In this week’s $200 Billion worth of bond advice show we review Bill Gross’s latest comments on the Fed, talk about what PIMCO is buying and selling, and more. For more on PIMCO and Bill Gross visit the PIMCO section here at Learn Bonds.

 
Comment by AbsoluteBeginner
2012-10-29 06:23:36

Nothing to do with housing, can you smell what the rock is cooking?

http://imgur.com/kDv6t

chortle..

 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-29 06:57:39

Wonder if all the democrat apologist here will condemn this…

Senate Democrats are promising pre-emptive gridlock for 2013.

—————————————

Harry Reid’s Graveyard
Wall Street Journal | 10/29/2012

Even if Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan win on November 6, his agenda will be stymied if Republicans can’t pick up at least three more seats than their current 47 and control the Senate. That’s clear from the last two years, when Harry Reid’s not-so-deliberative body became the graveyard for fiscal and other reform.

House Republicans won an historic midterm election in 2010, picking up 63 seats. They also gained six Senate seats, but a handful of weak GOP candidates (Sharron Angle, Ken Buck, Christine O’Donnell) cost them control of the upper body. Back in charge in 2011, Mr. Reid proceeded to stop nearly everything that House Republicans passed. President Obama hasn’t even had to sweat a veto fight because nothing escapes Mr. Reid’s lost world.

Consider the record. In 2011 and 2012 the House passed more than three-dozen economic or jobs-related bills and with only a few exceptions they died in the Senate without a vote. The bills dealt with regulatory relief, tax reduction, domestic drilling for energy, offshore drilling, a jobs bill for veterans, repeal of ObamaCare and many more. Many passed the House with significant Democratic support, as the nearby list shows.

Then there is the Democratic failure on their constitutional obligation of passing a budget. House Republicans passed their budgets in each of the past two years in the spring. The latest one, crafted by Vice Presidential nominee Paul Ryan, contained $4.5 trillion in deficit reduction—at least twice as much as Mr. Obama’s budget proposal.

By contrast, the Senate failed to pass any budget in 2012. Or 2011. Or 2010. The Senate hasn’t passed a budget in more than 1,200 days. Sorry, Harry, you can’t blame that on a Republican filibuster, because it takes only 51 votes to pass a Senate budget resolution.

Comment by Albuquerquesdan
2012-10-29 07:08:24

They may need to prepare, article was posted in the Weekly Standard today, so I know it will be attacked on this board but here it came from does not change the result or the bipartisan nature of the people that actually did the poll:

The bipartisan Battleground Poll, in its “vote election model,” is projecting that Mitt Romney will defeat President Obama 52 percent to 47 percent. The poll also found that Romney has an even greater advantage among middle class voters, 52 percent to 45 percent.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 07:22:06

Yea, cus people are waking up and starting to Take America Back!

Back from the Kenyan Communist Muslim Indonesian Socialist Voodoo Marxist Dogmeat Eating African Witchdoctor.

Restore Our Future!

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 07:30:56

Rasmussen has Romney up in Nebraska.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 07:42:18

Cus those Cornhuskers aren’t a bunch of rubes, they know it’s time to Restore Our Future cus we have to Take America Back!

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Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-10-29 08:15:32

“Take America Back!”

And give it to the oligarchs.

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 08:28:10

And give it to the Producers.

Not to those parasites on food stamps and disability with free Obama phones!

 
Comment by Albuquerquesdan
2012-10-29 08:29:09

Apparently not only in Omaha:

In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 50% of the vote to Obama’s 46%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.

Romney has now led for 12 straight days with margins of four to six points most of that time.

In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.

 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-10-29 08:34:00

Hmmm, Take America Back or Four More Years?

Tweedledee or Tweedledum?

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-29 08:51:19

The Republican ground game is catching up to the democratic ground game in Ohio:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, while another one percent (1%) remains undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-29 08:52:06

America is in the pawn shop. It will take some serious cash to take it back.

 
Comment by Montana
2012-10-29 08:56:01

47 percent

LOL

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-29 09:21:51

Hmmm, Take America Back or Four More Years?

Tweedledee or Tweedledum?

Exactly. No matter who wins:

More good paying jobs will be offshored.
More will join the ranks of the Lucky Duckies.
More will be getting foodstamps.

About the only difference I can foresee is that Romney will probably invade or at least bomb Iran.

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-29 10:04:08

About the only difference I can foresee is that Romney will probably invade or at least bomb Iran.

Not a chance. Not because Romney and his neocons supporters don’t want it. It’s because:

1. I ran is not I raq, Libya or Afghanistan. I ran is much more powerful.
2. Nice to have I ran as a boogie man for decades than fighting a protracted loosing war. Neocons mus have known it by now.
3. Can’t afford. I know not that it matters.
4. No appetite for another war. This country, including military is sick of wars outside of few neo-cons.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-29 12:54:49

You’re assuming that neo-cons are logical.

Also, I’m not so sure anyone is “sick” of the wars. While very expensive, the casualties are relatively low and there is no shortage of able bodied youths volunteering to serve. College kids shrug their shoulders, glad that there are enough po’ folks willing to volunteer, thus keeping the draft at bay.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-10-29 13:17:35

Also, I’m not so sure anyone is “sick” of the wars.

I agree. Many in my circle think we’ve been too soft since 2009 and espouse the “quit apologizing to the Muslims” rhetoric. They’d rain bombs on I-ran tomorrow if they could.

 
 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 07:59:35

Ladbrokes casino odds, presidential victory:

Obama 1 to 3 (bet $3 to win 1)

Rmoney 11 to 5 (bet 5 to win 11)

FiveThirtyEight (state-by-state): Obama chance of winning: 74.6%

Nickelodeon kids poll (correct in 5 of last 6 elections):

Obama 65% of the vote. Rmoney, 35%

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 08:05:12

If those dumb kidz knew their president was eating their pets they wouldn’t be so supportive. Take America Back!

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Comment by 2banana
2012-10-29 08:20:58

Kids loove socialists ideas right up thru college because it SOUNDS so good.

What kid wouldn’t want “free” health care for all? And free housing for all. And free education for all. And to let in all that want to come to America. And to give money to poor people - as much as they want. Etc. And to make those evil polluting corporation PAY for it all. It all sounds so good.

And then they graduate colleg and try to find a job. And if they do find one they are amazed at all the taxes they pay. And then they they see what their taxes are actually used/wasted for.

And then they may want to start a family and buy a house. And are amazed again at property taxes and the cost of everything. And taxes on top of taxes.

Who know - they may even have an idea to start a business. And are crushed by the regulations at every level.

Just about then they start to understand they have been lied to by democrats and “bigger government is always better” fools they had as teachers…

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-10-29 09:01:05

:lol:

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-29 09:26:05

Dogs!? I thought he meant hot dogs!

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 09:50:47

And then they graduate colleg and try to find a job. And if they do find one they are amazed at all the taxes they pay.

Kids would love to find a job today and pay taxes. But they can’t because the right-wing, “free-market” globalists, led by the Repubs have restructured our America to benefit only the 1%.

Now those poor college kids can’t find jobs good enough to even pay their taxes.

Who know - they may even have an idea to start a business.

But they can’t because they don’t have health-insurance.

What kid wouldn’t want “free” health care for all?

There is no such thing as free health-care. Countries with universal health-care pay for their health-care out of tax dollars received. And it ends up costing less per person and less of their GDP than the American system. And they get better results.

And to give money to poor people - as much as they want

Now you’re just starting to sound dumb again.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 10:19:28

And then they graduate colleg

Where did you go to colleg?

 
Comment by Montana
2012-10-29 12:46:39

But they can’t because they don’t have health-insurance.

My flyover state U offered insurance to students. I’m sure we were not unique.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 13:03:30

My flyover state U offered insurance to students.

The context was starting one’s own business.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-29 13:51:00

But they can’t because they don’t have health-insurance.

Plus they don’t have a rich dad to borrow the start up capital from.

 
 
Comment by joesmith
2012-10-29 08:34:46

I just turned 30. I don’t know many people my age voting for Romney. And most people I know do vote. There were lines around the block for early voting last week, overwhelming majority of which were white, 25-35 yr old professionals. Romney has no chance in Maryland anyway, but I think the relatively dearth of educated younger white voters for a Republican candidate portends badly for them. FWIW, I don’t like either party but I find the GOP’s social views particularly disturbing.

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Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 08:51:57

particularly disturbing

Not as disturbing as President Dogmeat.

Restore Our Future!

 
Comment by joesmith
2012-10-29 08:56:00

To be fair, vast majority of the people I know are doing much better than average. I’d rather see a smaller government and sensible reorganizing of priorities, but Romney isn’t going to provide that. Romney would spend more money on different pet programs. The two party system is a joke, but rather easy to profit off.

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 09:37:07

rather easy to profit off

That’s our plan for the next five years, LOLZ!

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-29 10:49:43

To be fair, vast majority of the people I know are doing much better than average.

You should get out more.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-29 12:23:12

Romney has no chance in Maryland anyway, but I think the relatively dearth of educated younger white voters for a Republican candidate portends badly for them.

As you get farther from the coasts you’ll find that the mix is much more even among educated younger white voters.

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-29 12:52:20

As you get farther from the coasts you’ll find that the mix is much more even among educated younger white voters.

But they don’t count. You have to be urban and in the coasts.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-10-29 13:27:49

Joe, you think you’ve got yours.

I’m not sure you have yet.

 
 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-29 11:04:19

100% of dogs prefer Romney although the dogs realize that both of them are evil.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 12:25:39

I take it they hold no grudge over the roof incident?

 
Comment by Robin
2012-10-29 17:00:09

Except the weiner dogs who particularly hate Romney. Not sure why?

Envy?

Which side? - :)

 
 
 
Comment by Pete
2012-10-29 12:41:32

“projecting that Mitt Romney will defeat President Obama 52 percent to 47 percent.”

Please explain how this wins Romney the election.

 
 
Comment by Bill in Carolina
2012-10-29 08:29:32

Forget the tyranny of a filibuster by 40 Senators. We now have a one-man over-ruler who doesn’t even need to stand on the Senate floor and babble incessantly.

I wonder if the two Mormons (Reid and Romney) can work together to break the partisan logjam.

Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-29 10:07:57

Who’s a real Mormon between these 2?

Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-29 12:24:12

Even Mormons can’t agree.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 08:42:41

“Wonder if all the democrat apologist here will condemn this…”

I call bullsh!t on your black-and-white thinker democrat apologist accusation. Just because someone is not a member of your ‘We Hate Obama’ club does not make him or her a ‘democrat apologist.’

Please consider taking your tired dog-and-pony show to the ‘We Hate Obama’ blog.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 09:24:30

Only eight more days until we Take America Back!

Take it back to where? Back from who? None of that matters.

It just sounds good on TeeVee, like Restore Our Future!

Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-29 09:40:02

Take it back to where?

To the age of Robber Barons?

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Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-29 11:57:26

Are you saying you don’t think the end of the 19th century was best time to be alive?!

 
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-29 09:36:33

Just because someone is not a member of your ‘We Hate Obama’ club does not make him or her a ‘democrat apologist.’

+1000

Hey, banana, how many “Fire Obama” signs do you have on your front lawn?

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-29 10:19:04

Consider the source. Poor Asperquirkydan has spent literally weeks of his life arguing that money is really debt, that human-generated climate change is a function of solar cycles, that petrofuels are an efficient energy source, and that Rassmussen is a credible predictive model.

I keep hoping it’s all an elaborate irony. There’s a fine mind in there — somewhere beyond the blinders. :-(

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 10:38:47

Asperquirkydan has spent literally weeks of his life arguing that money is really debt,

Are you saying AQDan and Darrell are the same?

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-29 10:57:23

1. I never said that global warming was just a function of solar cycles. I argued that the AGW models were wrong and did not properly account for all the natural cycles adding to the warming. Six years ago people disputed it, now virtually everyone admits that the models did not.

2. Not sure what my alleged argument that debt is money even means. However, three years ago, I argued that the wholesale printing of money would hurt not help the middle class and now there is widespread agreement on that.

3, Yes, I do believe in Rasmussen and the record for that pollster supports my belief. Interestingly while Rasmussen was treated by an outlier just a few months ago, the other polls have continued to get closer to the Rasmussen results, demonstrating once again the accuracy of his polling, but if you do not like the polling use Gallup it is even worse for Obama. CNN just before the election will move even closer to Rasmussen just to keep some credibility, just you watch.

4. Unfortunately, no energy source is even close to fossil fuels in efficiency since we are running out and the inputs to produce it are increasing but it still beats solar in price by a factor of two.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 17:07:51

Published: October 27, 2012
Editorial
New York Times Endorsements Through the Ages

A collection of The Times’s endorsements for the presidency, from Abraham Lincoln in 1860 through the editorial board’s choice of President Obama this year.

 
 
Comment by Brett
2012-10-29 07:04:26

Housing Statistics in September, 2012 in Austin

The biggest story in this month’s numbers is the same as its been for the past several months – we’re low in inventory. In September 2012, we saw a 51% decrease in months supply of inventory from already very low August 2012 numbers to 2.6 months of inventory.

In September 2012, we had 3,445 homes listed for sale in Austin, compared to 4,437 this time last year.

In September 2012, there were 880 homes that went pending compared to just 633 in September 2011 marking a 39% increase.

The overwhelming majority (55.8%) of the 742 homes that sold in Austin in September 2012 (414) sold in less than 30 days and received, on average, 98.3% of their list prices.

Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 07:17:49

You’re running out of houses right?

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 07:33:49

How about some stats on Austin median household incomes verses prices, and how sustainable that is? Oh right, everybody works in tech and can easily afford $1,800/month 1BR apartments in downtown Austin. LOOSERS!

Comment by Brett
2012-10-29 07:59:30

That’s exactly what it seems like… Construction of ‘luxury’ apartments in and around downtown are all over the place!

“Today, there are close to 9,000 units under construction with about 9,000 more poised to start during the next year, according to data provided by Austin Investors Interests LLC, a local multifamily research firm.”

Riverside Resources, a developer here, is midway through construction of Third and Brazos, a 277-unit apartment project just a block east of Congress Avenue, which runs north-south through the center of downtown.

Gables Residential is digging the foundation for Gables Park Plaza II, which is planned as a 222-unit, 18-story apartment building eight blocks west of Congress and overlooking Lady Bird Lake, a center of activity for runners and boaters.

AMLI Residential, one of Austin’s — and the nation’s — largest multifamily developers, said it plans to build a $30 million, 279-unit apartment complex near the site of the planned town center at the Mueller community in Northeast Austin.

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Comment by Brett
2012-10-29 08:04:36

Btw, those are just a couple of examples of MANY other apartments projects being built or recently completed in the area

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-10-29 08:52:58

That’s exactly what it seems like… Construction of ‘luxury’ apartments in and around downtown are all over the place!

Same thing here in Tucson. It’s high rise luxury living for…

…University of Arizona students!!!

Only problem is, there are only so many kids with the wherewithal to afford these places. And the existing luxury complexes already compete fiercely for their business.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-29 08:57:06

Little Toronto.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-29 09:34:29

“Only problem is, there are only so many kids with the wherewithal to afford these places. ”

You’d think that whoever bankrolls these buildings would have done their homework, but apparently they didn’t.

It reminds me of the now bankrupt shopping/lifestyle center I’ve mentioned here. I actually saw the slides (at biz school) the developer presented to investors. The dirt bag exaggerated the local median HH income by about 20K. FWIW, there was a part 2 planned for the mall, and it never got off the ground.

 
 
Comment by Bub Diddley
2012-10-29 08:31:12

I am getting sick of my apartment, since I have been riding out the bubble here for years now. I’d like something bigger, perhaps with no neighbor upstairs, ya know?

I checked Padmapper last night just to get the lay of the land, and it is even worse than I thought. My landlord is cool, and hasn’t raised my rent in years. If I moved out now, to get the same size place (tiny) I’d have to triple my rent. To rent a house, we’re talking 2/3 grand a month, or more. Of course, if I wanted to pay that much a month, I could get a mortgage, and that ain’t happenin’.

Looking forward to spending the coming decade in my hovel…

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Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 08:55:45

Yo Bubs, we got lucky in discovering an architectural oddity of a building shaped like an L, with a top floor apartment with no shared neighbor walls, our kitchen backs up against the elevator. And no big rent hikes, this isn’t a hipster neighborhood full of pretty young things. Renting is better!

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-29 10:04:23

Yo Bubs the trick is to use tall Metro shelving, drawers under the bed and take a day like today and turn up the music and clean clean clean

We already have a garbage bag full of crap to toss out….I dont know how old the 14 fortune cookies are but i aint opening them.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-29 12:46:34

“I dont know how old the 14 fortune cookies are but i aint opening them.”

I always like to read the fortune, but I usually don’t eat the cookie. They are always so positive and upbeat … and generic.

“There are big things in your future” :)

 
Comment by Montana
2012-10-29 12:49:54

“You will see water, cross water or pass water in the next 24 hours.”

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-10-29 13:26:48

Perhaps the most outstanding, non-committal one I’ve ever received, I received a few days ago:

“You will have an opportunity.”

I’d love to meet the slacker who came up with that one!

 
Comment by polly
2012-10-29 14:12:47

My favorite was, “You will be fortunate in all things.”

I taped it up next to something I tore out of the college newspaper (possibly the April Fools edition):

End of the World (with symposium to follow)

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-29 10:00:29

Here in NYC commercial landlords use 42x rent to determine if you can afford it…so $1800 x42= $75,600

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Comment by Bluestar
2012-10-29 07:22:55

I am loving this Sandy storm because it is following the record 2012 Arctic sea ice melt and it supports my theory that the loss of of Arctic ice would have a major impact on the jet stream patterns. Welcome to the new normal.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 07:39:27

Welcome to the new normal

We welcome it heartily! Keep burning that coal. And keep on breeding and breeding and breeding until ten, twelve, fifteen billion humanoids get to share a finite ecosystem. The future’s so bright, I gotta wear shades!

Comment by palmetto
2012-10-29 07:49:44

lol, you’re on a roll today, goonie!

Best way to prevent global warming is to put on a condom!

And stop those cows from farting, dang!

 
Comment by palmetto
2012-10-29 07:53:58

Epic globalization FAIL!

 
Comment by palmetto
2012-10-29 08:05:56

Oooh, and while I’m at it, I’d like to give a hearty thumb-in-the-eye to those smug pontificating posters (you know who you are) in other parts of the country, who, years ago when Florida had its hurricane extravaganza, got all self-righteous and started moaning about how THEY didn’t want to have to pay (taxes and insurance) for weather events down here, because we’re just a bunch of stupid sand-staters too dumb to get out of way of nature, lol.

Yes, well, WE don’t want to have to pay for super-storm damage in the elitist low-lying overbuilt corridors of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, tornadoes and droughts up the mid-section, earthquakes and fires on the left coast.

OH, but now you say we’re all in this together!

Comment by MacBeth
2012-10-29 08:55:57

To expect anything else is a waste of your time, palmetto.

New Orleans and Katrina mattered because it was a political and, hence, a monetary windfall for those in the Northeast.

Mississippi and Katrina didn’t matter one iota.

Neither did Fargo. Nor did Tuskaloosa. Nor did Joplin.

People in Washington and New York expect people elsewhere to care about them. My question is, why?

The same folk don’t have any issues destroying other people’s livelihoods on a massive scale and negating Constitutional freedoms at the stroke of a pen.

And then they expect me to care when their basements are full of water? Nope. Ain’t happening.

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Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-29 09:35:18

People in Washington and New York expect people elsewhere to care about them. My question is, why?

1. People in media like to talk about themselves the most.
2. Large number of economic migrants from other parts of the country.

 
Comment by palmetto
2012-10-29 10:10:17

“People in Washington and New York expect people elsewhere to care about them”

Ha-ha, yes!

“Comment by polly
2012-10-29 04:32:15
Heavy rain so far. News says the wind doesn’t arrive until late afternoon/evening, but we can expect gusts up to 70 miles an hour when it gets here. If they are right, if we get that sort of wind once the ground has been soaked for almost 24 hours, this is going to be bad.

The electric companies have already stated that they will be waiting until the weather clears before starting the repair process, though I’m not sure if that only refers to the wind or also includes waiting for the rain to end.

Supreme Court is hearing arguments. The rest of us have been ordered to stay home. If you stop hearing from me completely, please know that I am fine. The most likely scenario is that Comcast lost power and I am living off my DVR. I could lose power, and that would be annoying, but not unlivable.”

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-29 10:19:17

I care this time. Usually I wouldn’t give a flyin’ f.

I am flying out of country from Dulles on Sunday. Hope the $hit clears by then.

 
Comment by MacBeth
2012-10-29 11:50:05

It’s not a “ha-ha, yes” moment, palmetto.

I’m quite serious.

The same people who:

1. Harbor political and fiscal criminals (by not thowing them in jail),

2. Who support NDAA,

3. Who support forcing Americans to purchase specific products (Obamacare) lest be fined,

4. Strive to promote and expand a class-based society,

5. Who conduct business in a way that has resulted in a $4,000 drop in income per household,

6. Who send troops on pointless missions, only to be killed, sometimes due to lack of support,

7. Who live within a number of the wealthiest counties in the entire country,

And the list goes on and on.

Now they want my sympathy? No.

I’ll reserve my time, money and sympathy for the people of this country whose livelihoods don’t depend on dictating to others how to live their lives.

This includes the elitist-proclaimed low-lifes that live in wastelands between Harrisburg, Tampa, Phoenix and Boise.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-10-29 15:19:37

Ross I didn’t know you were in the DC area…

 
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-29 12:47:58

And keep on breeding and breeding and breeding until ten, twelve, fifteen billion humanoids get to share a finite ecosystem.

Technically, a humanoid is a false human. An example would be all the aliens in sci fi that look human (think Star Trek).

But I agree, we should deport al humanoids back to where they came from. Hopefully they don’t have phaser banks or photon torpedos.

 
 
Comment by Albuquerquesdan
2012-10-29 08:13:56

That is what we heard after Katrina too but somehow we had fewer hurricaines. And then we heard it about tornados at the start of this year until the year ended up quiet. I think the AMO which is a warm phase might be melting the ice and causing warmer water to support an Atlantic hurricane but that is a natural cycle and will only be the new normal until it naturally goes in a cool phase.

Comment by Albuquerquesdan
2012-10-29 08:22:05

According to data from NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center, during September, there were 43 preliminary tornado reports. This is less than the 1991-2010 September average of 74 tornadoes, and marks the least active September in terms of tornado activity since 2009, when eight tornadoes were confirmed. The majority of the tornadoes were weak and associated with the remnants of Hurricane Isaac as it moved through the Lower Mississippi River Valley and into the Midwest early in the month. There were also no tornado-related fatalities during September. The below-average tornado activity was similar to the rest of 2012 to-date. The preliminary number of tornadoes during the January-September period was 843 with 119 tornado reports still pending for July, August, and September, marking the lowest January-September tornado count since 2002.

The AGW crowd is sounding more and more like the people in the 1990s who tried to deny that there was GW by pointing out a freak snow storm here and there. Global Warming ended in 1997 or 1998 depending on whether you count the warmest month or the warmest year. Get back to me when we are having a year significantly warmer than 1998.

Comment by Bluestar
2012-10-29 09:49:27

Go tell your story to the farmers and ranchers around the world. See how many climate hoax stories you see in their trade journals and magazines, none. Why are they all so dumb and not listening to you?

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Comment by 2banana
2012-10-29 08:25:01

Here is how it works:

Warmer Winters - Global Warming - Massive taxes and government are needed
Colder Winters - Global Warming - Massive taxes and government are needed
Warmer Summers - Global Warming - Massive taxes and government are needed
Colder Summer - Global Warming - Massive taxes and government are needed
More Hurricanes - Global Warming - Massive taxes and government are needed
Less Hurricanes - Global Warming - Massive taxes and government are needed

It is QUITE a religion. And easily covers all bases.

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 09:48:28

Darn labor unions!

By the way, the Chinese are going to cook the planet regardless of whatever carbon-credit libtard taxing scheme may pass here in USA.

The solution to the problems created by humanoids is not to create more humanoids.

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Comment by Bluestar
2012-10-29 10:34:04

I’m 100% with you. I didn’t buy solar panel to save the planet. I did it to lock in my energy supply for 25 years. Check out what our new peak demand electric rates will be next year!

http://amarillo.com/news/local-news/2012-10-24/lawmakers-plan-now-avoid-shortages

“raising the maximum price a generator can charge is needed to make sure there is enough electricity available during peak periods. The wholesale price is $4,500 a megawatt hour, and that price could go up to $9,000.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-10-29 11:08:08

The solution to the problems created by humanoids is not to create more humanoids.

Tell that to Romney et al.

A World of Harm for Women

If Mitt Romney and his vice-presidential running mate, Representative Paul Ryan, were to win next month’s election, the harm to women’s reproductive rights would extend far beyond the borders of the United States.

In this country, they would support the recriminalization of abortion with the overturning of Roe v. Wade, and they would limit access to contraception and other services. But they have also promised to promote policies abroad that would affect millions of women in the world’s poorest countries, where lack of access to contraception, prenatal care and competent help at childbirth often results in serious illness and thousands of deaths yearly. And the wreckage would begin on Day 1 of a Romney administration.

Mr. Romney has pledged that, on his first day in the White House, he would reinstate the “global gag rule,” the odious restriction that has been used to deny federal money for family-planning work abroad to any organization that provided information, advice, referrals or services for legal abortion or supported the legalization of abortion, even using its own money.

Merely talking about abortion could cost groups not only federal money, but also useful technical support and American-donated supplies of contraceptives, including condoms for distribution in the communities they serve.

Mr. Romney also vows to renew another of George W. Bush’s shameful policies (which was ended by President Obama), which blocked the United States from contributing to the United Nations Population Fund. That fund supports programs in some 150 countries to improve poor women’s reproductive health, reduce infant mortality, end the sexual trafficking of women and prevent the spread of H.I.V., the virus that causes AIDS. Like Mr. Bush, Mr. Romney has embraced the bogus charge that the Population Fund supports coerced abortions in China, ignoring a State Department investigation that found no evidence for that claim. In fact, the fund has helped promote a voluntary approach to family planning.

The annual federal contribution to the fund is now down to $35 million, compared with $55 million in fiscal years 2010 and 2011; overall support for international family planning and reproductive health programs stands at $610 million — far short of the need. Even so, this amount of money pays for contraceptive services and supplies that reach more than 31 million women and couples, averting 9.4 million unintended pregnancies, 4 million abortions (three-quarters of them unsafe) and 22,000 maternal deaths annually, according to the Guttmacher Institute.

 
Comment by 2banana
2012-10-29 11:30:20

Liberals are funny. Whenever Uncle Sugar doesn’t pay for something or may take away some free government cheese they howl like stuck pigs and scream that the government is going to ban it.

How about paying for your own birth control?

How about paying for your own abortions?

The humanity of it all…

 
Comment by Bluestar
2012-10-29 11:30:55

We passed the point of no return a long time ago wrt population control. Might bend the curve a bit if we can get a good ol’ fashion world wide pandemic going but even that won’t change the outcome, the numbers just keep growing. This thing just has to run it’s course and we have to adapt. Too damn many humanoids indeed.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 11:42:20

“Tell that to Romney et al.”

Here’s a fun quiz to take:

Richard Mourdock or Abu Hamza?
Spot the difference between the Christian social conservatives and the Islamic fundamentalists.

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2012/10/richard_mourdock_rape_scandal_spot_the_difference_between_the_christian.html

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 11:46:44

Mr. Romney has pledged that, on his first day in the White House, he would reinstate the “global gag rule,”

On reporting legitimate rape?

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-10-29 12:08:25

How about paying for your own birth control?
How about paying for your own abortions?

And how well has that worked out?

The link between poverty and lack of family planning is well-documented.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-10-29 12:09:59

Mourdock sought to explain his abortion stance by saying that “even when life begins in that horrible situation of rape, that is something that God intended to happen.

Yeah, and homosexuality is a choice.

These guys are making it up as they go along.

 
Comment by Montana
2012-10-29 12:52:03

Ohhh I’m terrified of this horrible, horrible man!

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-10-29 13:41:11

How about paying for your own birth control?

When was the narrative ever about not paying for your own birth control?

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-10-29 13:43:42

Sorry. Stated more cleanly…

When was the narrative ever about having OTHERS pay for your birth control?

 
Comment by jbunniii
2012-10-29 14:52:15

they would support the recriminalization of abortion with the overturning of Roe v. Wade

Wouldn’t overturning Roe v. Wade simply leave the legality up to the states? Seems to me that nothing would change in the blue states. And out in “Honey Boo Boo” country, it doesn’t look like they’re taking good advantage of legal abortion anyway.

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-29 15:28:19

I’d rather pay for the birth control than the prison cell. Adoption does not keep up with all the unwanted kids. If you’re a hard on crime conservative, how can you NOT love ‘locking up’ all those criminals while they’re still just potiential criminals? For that matter, hard on crime people should be on board for public education.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-10-29 16:02:41

And out in “Honey Boo Boo” country, it doesn’t look like they’re taking good advantage of legal abortion anyway.

Ouch!

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-29 16:23:05

SF that’s due to two reasons…the court bends over backwards to keep a child with bio parents no matter how bad they are….

#2 black kids are hard to adopt because black women don’t want anyone else’s kids….change that attitude and we can get so many kids out of institutional care and into real loving homes..

—– Adoption does not keep up with all the unwanted kids

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-29 17:04:23

“How about paying for your own birth control?”

Hormone pills are used for more than birth control. They are used to treat conditions like endometriosis. Why should coverage be denied for medically necessary prescriptions?

Some birth control options are more expensive than others. IUDs and implants are more reliable than pills that can be forgotten. The costs even out long term, but poor women can’t afford to take advantage of them if they have to pay up front. Making these options available reduces abortions.

http://news.yahoo.com/study-free-birth-control-leads-fewer-abortions-210623724.html

I haven’t seen any studies, but I would expect there would also be fewer children in foster care and put up for adoption if birth control were free for any woman that wants it.

Making birth control universally available would reduce the need for Medicaid, WIC, food stamps, Section 8 housing and all of the other social programs that conservatives hate to pay for. I don’t understand the opposition to it by conservatives.

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-29 17:22:47

How could courts keeping kids with their parents, thus REDUCING the number of kids who need adopting, cause there to be not enough people wanting to adopt all the unwanted kids?

My family has both abortions, adoptions, and copious birth control in its history, and I KNOW that birth control is far superior to the other two options, and when you get down to the abortion/adoption, if you’re not the potential mother, you should let her have her decision. It’s hard. I’ve seen the years of second guessing and guilt on BOTH choices. It’s not a simple ‘adoption good, abortion bad’ choice.

People who believe that an abortion is wrong are welcome to not have abortions. But I don’t think their beliefs should take the option of the table for others.

That being said, I think it’s an overreach of government powers to stipulate that churches have to pay for birth-control options in the health plans they want to offer their employees. And to claim that the law makes the insurance companies pay for it, not the churches, is disingenuous at best since the premiums will go up, but the line item won’t be specifically called out.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-10-29 18:01:17

Sf: there are a million families that can’t have kids because the pluming doesn’t work right…..so families are there…but we just can’t seem to put CHILDREN first in this country.

So people like my landlords daughter has to go overseas to adopt and now they adopted a second ….

Agreed on all points….you notice very few men are against stopping a woman from having an abortion when its theirs.

Whew!!!!!! she want supposed to be a forever GF.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-29 21:29:39

“That being said, I think it’s an overreach of government powers to stipulate that churches have to pay for birth-control options in the health plans they want to offer their employees.”

In some cases, hormones are medical necessary to treat conditions other than pregnancy. Hormone replacement therapy after hysterectomies and treatment for endometriosis are two examples. I think it is reasonable to require all insurance plans to cover these cases.

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-29 23:55:50

If churches accept federal monies for the students who attend their universities, research monies for their faculties and foundations, Medicaid/Medicare for their hospital and clinic outreach operations, and tax considerations for their services and facilities, they should be held to the same standards as any other business.

 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-29 09:56:46

That particular religion has Man at the center of the universe.

I lived in Jersey back in the early 60s when a similar storm landed. We got over 10 inches of rain in an hour. I don’t recall anyone calling it an Act of Man back then.

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Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-10-29 15:30:24

No, it was an act of a plethora of meteorological conditions, just as this one is.

 
 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-10-29 09:01:56

Dan, you need to learn to extrapolate to infinity. Cycles don’t matter.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 09:35:13

Dan, you need to learn to extrapolate to infinity.

No. Albuquerquesdan just needs to separate his political dogma from his “science”, “economics” and “math”.

Even without me taking a stand on climate-change, I can say for certain that much of Albuquerquesdan’s science and economics on politicized issues is politicized and economic bunk.

An example:
For some reason Albuquerquesdan scoffs at Brazilian energy independence and makes the false statement that Brazil’s ethanol/sugar industry is “BASED ON “slave labor“”. Now besides the fact that “slave labor” in the Brazilian sugar/ethanol does not even add up to a rounding error in the math, why would someone scoff at a country becoming energy independent?

Is Brazil’s energy independence a threat to Albuquerquesdan’s beloved fossil fuel industry? Is it a threat to his political dogma because a country invested public money into become energy independent and succeeded? What is the motivation for the repeated false accusations regarding Brazilian energy independence?

IMO, there is much more than simply science, economics and math involved in Albuquerquesdan’s “science” and “economics” and “math”.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-29 10:18:52

Sorry Rio, I backed up my ethanol stories with facts and articles. Show me that the people harvesting sugar cane in brazil are getting a wage even half of the federal minimum wage in the U.S. Both of us know you cannot. Brazil’s energy independence is based on U.S. technology that allowed it to find oil where no one could before. Ethanol is just a side show, it is like going back in time and using whale oil lamps. If the people in Brazil ever get a decent wage and given their slow growth and socialist policies that may be a long time, it will be more expensive then fossil fuels.

You are just angry because I outed you as trying to make Brazil sound like a paradise while it falls further behind countries like Chile that use capitalism.

By the way, Great Britain had growth last quarter of 1%. It calculates growth on a quarter system and does not use the annual rate. Using their system, the U.S. had a .5% growth rate last quarter. Interesting, the country using austerity policies is growing twice as fast as the country using the “growth” policies.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 10:36:05

Ethanol is just a side show, it is like going back in time and using whale oil lamps.

LOL, I must be living in the world’s biggest “side show”. Every car made and sold in Brazil can run on ethanol or any gas/ethanol mixture. I’m not sure about whale oil. And your statement that the Brazil ethanol industry is “based on slave labor” is a lie. It’s actually also stupid.

Sorry Rio, I backed up my ethanol stories with facts and articles.

You back it up with squat. I think you are a political hack and anyone who understands science and math can see through your act. I will continue to point it out.

Brazil has grown much faster than the USA and has surpassed Chile as the economic leader of South America. Brazil is energy independent and have just discovered more oil and Brazil has brought 35 million people out of poverty the past 10 years. Perfect? No way. Progressing? Way.

Show me that the people harvesting sugar cane in brazil are getting a wage even half of the federal minimum wage in the U.S.

Comparing Brazilian harvesting wages with USA wages? Do you own a passport? That statement just illustrates your ignorance of cultures, economies and countries.

“Sugarcane has had an important social contribution to the some of the poorest people in Brazil by providing income usually above the minimum wage, and a formal job with fringe benefits.[86][203] Formal employment in Brazil accounts an average 45% across all sectors, while the sugarcane sector has a share of 72.9% formal jobs in 2007, up from 53.6% in 1992, and in the more developed sugarcane ethanol industry in São Paulo state formal employment reached 93.8% in 2005.[203]

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-29 10:38:31

No connection to the oil companies Rio. I do wonder how you can justify what this June 16, 2008 article in the LA Times points out, Exxon could never get away with this and I don’t think even they would try:

Brazil has a great climate, great land and technology, but a lot of the competitive edge for biofuels is due to worker exploitation — from slave work to underpayment,” said Leonardo Sakamoto, a political scientist who runs a nonprofit labor watchdog group in Sao Paulo.

In the last four years, said a lawyer from the Public Ministry, which acts as the Sao Paulo state district attorney, at least 18 cane cutters have died of dehydration, heart attacks or other ailments linked to exhaustion in this region, where the forests long ago gave way to agriculture.

That does not include an unknown number of others who died in accidents, said the lawyer, Luis Henrique Rafael, part of a two-attorney team from the Public Ministry’s office that recently toured the area to investigate abuses of the labor code.

“They died from excess work,” Rafael said. “Even prisoners have a better life. These men’s only form of leisure is cachaca,” he added, referring to the liquor distilled from sugar cane.

In its annual report, Amnesty International last month highlighted the plight of Brazil’s biofuel workers, more than 1,000 of whom were rescued in June 2007 after allegedly being held in slave-like conditions at a plantation owned by a major ethanol producer, Pagrisa, in the Amazonian state of Para.

Although slavery cases tend to grab headlines, advocates say laborers typically face more quotidian abuse — low pay, excessive work hours, inadequate safety gear, an absence of sanitary and health services, and exposure to pesticides and other toxic chemicals.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 11:39:24

Brazil’s energy independence is based on U.S. technology that allowed it to find oil where no one could before.

FALSE. You’re showing your bias or ignorance again Albuquerquedan. Do you understand timelines or sequences of events?

Brazil became energy independent in 2005-07. But Brazil’s huge pre-sal oil discoveries mostly occurred in 2007-2009 and have not substantially even added to Brazil’s oil output yet. And 90% of Brazil’s electricity comes from renewables and almost 50% of Brazil’s total energy comes from renewables so again your statement above is FALSE or at best, grossly misleading.

In the last four years,….at least 18 (Brazilian) cane cutters have died…

Really??
“At least 43 people died while working construction in New York in 2006, according to the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics, up 87 percent from the year before when 23 people died”. ABC News

Hard work is risky. I almost died of heat-stroke once working a 90 lb jackhammer leveling piles in South Florida in August. According to your freaky logic that means the entire US construction industry is based on “slave or exploited labor”. This illustrates huge flaws in your “logic”.

advocates say (Brazilian sugar cutting) laborers typically face more quotidian abuse — low pay, excessive work hours, inadequate safety gear, an absence of sanitary and health services, and exposure to pesticides and other toxic chemicals.

Sounds like most the entire California central valley or a lot of “American” roofing companies.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-29 12:07:54

All the offshore discoveries used american developed technologies not just the new ones. Electricity with renewable energy yes but primarily with large scale dams like we do in this country. Renewable yes, green no.

 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-29 12:09:11

“advocates say (Brazilian sugar cutting) laborers typically face more quotidian abuse — low pay, excessive work hours, inadequate safety gear, an absence of sanitary and health services, and exposure to pesticides and other toxic chemicals.’

That just described MOST blue collar jobs in THIS country. I know, I’ve worked ‘em.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 12:19:49

Look Albuquerquedan, According to your “logic” and “math”, the ENTIRE American food industry is based on slave labor.

Slave labour that shames America
Migrant workers chained beaten and forced into debt, exposing the human cost of producing cheap food independent dot co dot uk

And look Albuquerquedan, According to your “thinking” the entire American carwash industry is “based on” exploited workers:

UIC study: Car washes in Chicago exploit workers, violate wage and safety laws Sept. 2012 Chicagonow dot com

And with the US prison population the USA has “the most slave labor in the world” and our ENTIRE military industrial complex is “based on” slave labor.

The Pentagon & slave labor in U.S. prisons
The expanding use of prison industries, which pay slave wages, as a way to increase profits for giant military corporations is a frontal attack on the rights of all workers.
2011 World Review

And according to your “logic” Albuquerquedan, the ENTIRE computer-recycling industry is “based on” slave labor.

Americas Slave Labor
Inmates are being forced to work in toxic ‘e-waste’ sweatshops 2007
inthesetimes dot com

Albuquerquedan, a lot of your “logic” is biased BS bunk.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 13:00:57

All the offshore discoveries used american developed technologies not just the new ones.

Now I was born in USA oil and coal country, My grandpa was a coal miner, (who fought for the unions) we once had an oil pump jack in our cornfield (that I thought would be a fun teeter totter), I have Geology degree and am not down on America’s vast oil/gas expertise at all. But I guess you don’t know much about today’s Brazil, Petrobras or the North Sea’s influence on offshore exploration and drilling technologies in addition to America’s. Actually it seems to me that Brazil has more oil connections with Europe than it does America.

The foreign oil workers and talent in Brazil outnumber the Americans by about 2 to 1 imo. Heck I meet way more oil people from Scotland alone than I do Americans - way more from British Petroleum, Schlumberger and Royal Dutch Shell than Exxon or Chevron.

Offshore exploration technology does not just come from the USA. It comes from all over the world including Brazil.

The large oil discoveries in Brazil in recent years, particularly in the pre-salt layer, were instrumental in Petrobras further increasing its investments in oil exploration technology in partnership with universities, research centers and suppliers. Petrobras is a mixed capital company that operates in oil exploration and production. The company already has the most advanced technology in the world for deepwater exploration, but production from the Pre-salt layers, at depths in excess of five thousand meters below sea level and with water depths of more than two thousand meters, requires a revolution in the sector.

The company currently has 50 thematic networks with 80 institutions. US$ 1.3 billion per year is invested in these partnerships. Petrobras’ Program for Technological Development of Deepwater Production Systems Deepwater (Procap, acronym in Portuguese) encompasses five areas: new production system concepts, well engineering, logistics, reserves and sustainability. Another important initiative in this area is the Galileo Network, a partnership between Petrobras and 14 Brazilian universities, which has received investments of R$ 117 million. Brasil dot gov dot br

The world’s biggest offshore oil players, from the likes of BP PLC, Royal Dutch Shell PLC and Chevron Corp. to national oil companies with promising offshore waters such as Petrobras in Brazil, India’s ONGC and Mexico’s Pemex – are using the proceeds of high oil prices to spend at a pace.

Petrobras’s new Carcara strike was two kilometres below the surface of the Atlantic in an area causing much excitement. TheGlobeandMail dot com

 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 17:20:19

Beware of red herrings.

 
 
Comment by CharlieTango
2012-10-29 08:19:29

Can someone post a link to jdrummin’s current joshua tree extension?

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-29 08:24:54

I posted, it should show up as soon as Ben lets it through…

Comment by CharlieTango
2012-10-29 10:41:59

Thank you

 
 
 
Comment by joesmith
2012-10-29 08:22:35

Anyone else find it interesting that all the “red states” where people support Romney are the same states that pay less in federal taxes than they receive in benefits?

Rich states with educated workforces (e.g. Maryland, Connecticut, New Jersey) pay heavy federal taxes to fund poor states like Florida and Arizona.

If Romney wins (looking unlikely) a silver lining might be less money going from the educated high earning states to the poorer states.

 
Comment by palmetto
2012-10-29 08:32:58

“Rich states with educated workforces (e.g. Maryland, Connecticut, New Jersey) pay heavy federal taxes to fund poor states like Florida and Arizona.”

That’s becuz we bear the burden of the illegals and other third world blessings that the “Rich States” (lol) like to grace us with.

Keep that money comin’ in! We’re gonna need it. Especially since more and more of those “Rich Staters” like to declare Florida residency these days! LMAO!

Comment by joesmith
2012-10-29 08:38:56

Florida takes all the old people and white trash from the northeast, performing a great favor for us. The white trash can’t afford to live up here and don’t have the education to have any future. Plus, immigrants take all their $10/hr McJobs.

I really don’t mind Florida for short stays. Nice place to visit, but very few good jobs, relatively weak schools, and not enough to do over the long term. I may declare FL residency when I’m old, it would be a nice place to hang out in January and February. No chance I’d actually move there, though.

Comment by palmetto
2012-10-29 08:47:41

LOL, it must really be suckin’ up there right now, lmao. Sandy washin’ away all that slick elitist veneer, rofl.

Stay warm, and have fun chippin’ the ice after the hard freeze sets in.

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Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 09:02:19

Stop harshing on his COEXIST already.

 
 
Comment by palmetto
2012-10-29 08:51:32

Oooh, hey, I just got an email from one of the fancy auction houses up there, how they’re closing at 1:00pm today.

I’m so broke up, whatever will I do?

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Comment by joesmith
2012-10-29 09:00:01

I work in DC, it’s pretty great to have the day off. Thanks for asking. No, I don’t think this is going to be that bad. Not many above-ground power lines around here and I live a couple blocks away from water, but a solid 25 feet above the bay’s water level. Now, these people who have to live right on the water in the million dollar houses? Yes, that might be dicey.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-10-29 11:12:56

it’s pretty great to have the day off.

Hurrication!

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-30 00:02:13

:-)

 
 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-29 21:40:35

“Florida takes all the old people “

I suspect Social Security and Medicare account for a lot of Florida’s net inflow.

In some other states, military bases account for a lot of the transfers.

I’d like to see the numbers with SS, Medicare, and military spending taken out. It might be a lot more even.

I’d also like to see them adjusted for cost of living and average income.

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Comment by Albuquerquesdan
2012-10-29 08:39:53

Sorry but it is not as simple as blue during red. Just in New England Maine and Vermont take more than they pay and you certainly cannot find a more blue state than Vermont. New Mexico which leans blue is another example. Google this article in the Economist if you want to see both the reality. Also this based on a number of years, now with the blue states having much higher levels of unemployment, I think a number of them have gone from givers to takers.

The red and the black

Aug 1st 2011, 16:16 by The Economist online

..

Where federal taxes are raised and spent

SOME American states receive more in federal spending than they pay in federal taxes; others receive less. Over twenty years these fiscal transfers can add up to a sizeable sum. From 1990 to 2009, the federal government spent $1.44 trillion in Virginia but collected less than $850 billion in taxes, a gap of over $590 billion. But relative to the size of its economy, Virginia derived a smaller benefit from America’s fiscal union than states like New Mexico, Mississippi and West Virginia, where the 20-year transfer exceeded 200% of their annual GDP. Transfers to Puerto Rico, which is a US territory not a fully incorporated state, exceeded 290%. Where did these transfers come from? New York transferred over $950 billion to the rest of America’s fiscal union from 1990 to 2009. But relative to the size of its economy, Delaware made the biggest contribution, equivalent to more than twice its 2009 GDP. These calculations are based on tax figures provided by the Internal Revenue Service (which used to bracket Washington, DC, with Maryland) and federal spending numbers provided by the Census Bureau, which ignores spending on international programmes and interest payments.

Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-29 09:42:56

Of course the blue states more money in taxes. The cheap money stops there first before making it to the flyover states.

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Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-29 09:46:16

Think of it like rich banksters. The banksters pay higher taxes too but the banksters benefit tremendously at the expense of rest of country including flyover states. Last time I checked the banksters were and are concentrated heavily in only few states.

 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 09:49:57

NY transferred almost 1 $Trillion over the last two decades. I’m not sure that article proves your point, so much as refutes it, AQDan.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-29 10:25:20

My point was not that there was not some transfer but it was not as simple as blue state and red. Yes, NY has transferred a lot of money to the Federal government but Wall Street has stolen a lot of money from the Red states and their citizens so are they paying with red state money and blue state money. In the end, it is the Red states that are actually producing something and not counting on financial tricks to keep going. Blue states benefitted more from the bubble economies than the Red States for 15 years but now that has come to end will see who keeps the country going without living on borrowing both at the state government level and the personal level.

 
Comment by Ross Peroxide
2012-10-29 10:42:48

Wall Street has stolen a lot of money from the Red states and their citizens so are they paying with red state money and blue state money.

That’s a sixer! In baseball terms, home run bases fully loaded.

Also let’s not forget the federal reserve’s hand in making most of us poorer by enriching people in DC and NYC.

 
Comment by mathguy
2012-10-29 10:51:32

Couldn’t I just say that the banks are based in new york and they just got about 4 trillion in zero risk, zero interest money from the FED, and are therefore a net millstone about our collective necks?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 11:10:05

Couldn’t I just say that the banks are based in new york

OK, what about all the other blue states that are net contributors? And all those red states that are net receivers?

Go look at the map in the article, it looks just like a red state/blue state map. With a handful of exceptions, the net contributors are democratic-leaning states and the net receivers are republican-leaning states.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-10-29 11:33:01

I would like to see updated numbers. The income gap between the states has been narrowing a lot since 1990. Moreover, it would have been a stretch to call many of the present blue states as blue in 1990 and the red states as red. California is just one example and many of the dixie states were just turning red at the local level.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-10-29 23:55:48

“poor states like Florida and Arizona.”

Put down the crack pipe. Florida and Arizona are far from poor.

 
 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 08:24:11

Comment by goon squad
2012-10-29 08:20:02

Support their safety, perhaps. Support their decision to embrace albatross debt slavery loanownership, never.
———————————————————————————————-

Is this thought by GoonSquad that difficult for you all to understand? Or will you wheel out some Housing Crime Syndicate platitude once again?

 
Comment by joesmith
2012-10-29 08:45:37
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-29 09:28:03

Keep the government’s hands off of my medicare!

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 11:58:59

Keep the government’s hands off of my medicare!

Democrats always want to raise taxes on the rich but they never want to pay for it!

 
 
Comment by turkey lurkey
2012-10-29 12:12:46

The sociopath always blames their victims.

Comment by MacBeth
2012-10-29 12:22:30

They certainly do!

 
 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-10-29 13:44:23

By far, the biggest “boom town” around here is Manhattan, Kansas, filled with people who tend to give “bootstrap” lectures.

Why, of all places, Manhattan, Kansas??

-Relocation of the 1st Infantry Division to Fort Riley

-A half-billion dollar “Biodefense Lab”, courtesy of Homeland Security

-Kansas State University.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 14:07:45

1st Infantry Division…A half-billion dollar “Biodefense Lab”…Kansas State University.

Take away that blue state money transfer and Kansas would probably ‘go Greece’. As would a lot of boot-strapping red states.

Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-29 14:27:33

Probably not if they are allowed to control their own spending. No unfunded mandates.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 14:42:48

control their own spending. No unfunded mandates.

Do they lose medicaid/medicare/SS, too?

Because if they do, then I guarantee most red states would go Greece. Or worse.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-29 16:22:22

Do they get to keep all the money from selling every bit of oil, gas, and coal that leaves the state?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-10-29 16:29:09

Do they get to keep all the money from selling every bit of oil, gas, and coal that leaves the state?

How much of that do you think the federal gov gets? The problem is the people who own the resources live elsewhere. All we red states get for digging their coal is another day older and deeper in debt. Oh, and we also get ruined watersheds, polluted rivers and streams, black lung, etc.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2012-10-30 08:14:27

I’m not talking about the money the Feds get. I’m just saying that if all Federal land becomes state land, and therefore the state gets to completely control the harvesting of resources, at least some of the red states will be just fine without sending any money to the Feds or getting any back as long as they have complete control.

 
 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-10-29 15:11:43

It would turn int Ft. Hays. Although $10/bushel corn helps.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 16:53:58

-Kansas State University.

And Bill Snyder.

…Bill Snyder saved a town and a football team — twice

http://www.kansascity.com/2012/10/19/3874894/bill-snyder-saved-a-town-and-a.html

…They needed a man who’d just turned 69 to come out of retirement and replicate the greatest job of program-building in college football history.

They needed another miracle.

Magical things happen when a man finds his perfect place in the world…..

They say one man can’t make that huge a difference,” Wilson says. “I’m telling you: yes, one man can make that much of a difference.”

It is not enough to say that most people now come to Manhattan on Bill Snyder Highway or that the biggest building in town is Bill Snyder Family Stadium, but that’s a good start.

Snyder turned K-State football from big joke to big business. His success brought network television and national magazine coverage. By the time the Wildcats were fixtures in the national rankings in the late 1990s, Manhattan had gone from one hotel to six. That number has since doubled, most with two-night minimums on game weekends.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 08:51:56

With physical and financial hurricanes approaching, there has never been a better time to have lots of cash on hand.

ft dot com
Global Market Overview
Last updated: October 29, 2012 2:03 pm
Sandy and economic concerns damp mood
By Jamie Chisholm, Global Markets Commentator

Monday 14:00 GMT. Investors are hunkering down as uncertainty over corporate earnings, the global economy, and the closure of Wall Street in the face of Hurricane Sandy discourage the building of bold positions.

The FTSE All-World equity index is down 0.3 per cent as the FTSE Eurofirst 300 slips 0.4 per cent and the Asia-Pacific index dipped 0.2 per cent.

The mood across asset classes is mildly “risk off”, with the dollar index up 0.2 per cent, copper down 0.9 per cent to $3.52 a pound and Bunds attracting buyers, pushing 10-year yields down 5 basis points to 1.49 per cent. Gold is adding $2 to $1,713 an ounce.

As Sandy approaches the US east coast, the authorities have cancelled equity and options trading for Monday, and it is possible that the order may be extended into Tuesday.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 08:55:07

Also a great time for Wall Street to shut down for a couple of days…the plunge protection effort on Wednesday will be immense.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-10-29 08:57:08

Actually with physical hurricanes (and other natural disasters) it’s better to have goodies stashed. Once the store shelves have been picked clean, cash won’t do much good.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 12:22:41

I meant cash in your investment portfolio, as in bonds and dollar-denominated assets whose relative value goes up when risky assets (stocks, commodities, foreign currencies, etc) take a hit, not cash in hand.

 
 
Comment by palmetto
2012-10-29 08:58:04

“As Sandy approaches the US east coast, the authorities have cancelled equity and options trading for Monday, and it is possible that the order may be extended into Tuesday.”

Every cloud has a silver lining.

 
 
Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 13:36:08

Bill In LA for President.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-10-29 16:57:18

Bill In LA for President ….Of the National Cooperative of Government Contractor Libertarians. (Arizona Branch)

Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2012-10-29 20:18:09

I’ll hand over the office of President to a thug like Rio. A non-thug properly won’t accept the office.

 
 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2012-10-29 19:22:44

I am an anarcho capitalist (voluntaryist) at heart so I would immediately resign and leave it for a thug to take over.

Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 20:09:24

“leave it for a thug to take over”

Alpo-Slop

 
 
 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-10-29 13:50:21

After this hurricane, I’m almost pulling for Romney to get elected.

Can’t wait to have him give the “Wretched 47%”/”bootstrap” speech, when the pleas for Federal Aid start streaming in from all of those “producers”.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-10-29 17:17:22

It’s getting very ugly, and eerily reminiscent of the night when Hurricane Katrina hit NOLA.

Hurricane Sandy: Rogue wave takes out camera

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-29 19:37:15
 
 
 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-29 14:06:29

First off–to all you out there in the NE–stay safe, and stay dry.

Secondly, I was looking at some articles on Seth Klarman over the weekend, so see what his take was on housing today–he was an early bear.

I found a bunch of stuff that implied he was on the other side of the trade now, but nothing specifically from his mouth. That said, I did see this quote from one article (again, not from his mouth, but attributed to him):

“Klarman too believes inflation is likely and mentioned that using older Federal Reserve methodology inflation is running closer to 10%. Klarman has been shorting treasuries and buying deep out of the money puts as a hedge against higher interest rates.”

This is interesting to me, because it is the first time that I’ve found a credible person who believes in the thesis put forth by John Williams on his “Shadow Stats” website (that the US Government has been understating CPI for YEARS as compared to prior methods of calculating CPI).

Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-10-29 15:14:32

Do “credible persons” not include just about everyone who actually bought things over the past 20-30 years? :)

People were calling the CPI B.S. back in the 90s.

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-10-29 15:50:48

I hear you, and agree with you.

Yet people still hold up things like Shiller’s inflation-adjusted home price graph that goes from the 1890s to today, without regard for the monkey business that started in about 1980 with respect to CPI.

If you take a critical eye toward that graph, and assume Williams and Klarman are right (that a constant method of estimating CPI would result in much higher numbers today than those reported), you will see the Shiller graph in a much different light.

Yet there is a resistance to do so.

 
 
 
Comment by ahansen
2012-10-29 19:20:55

Update from our eastern sector? Anyone?
Safe/dry/afloat?

Comment by Housing Deflation
2012-10-29 20:05:58

Northern westchester…

Don’t have a rain gauge but don’t need one when there aren’t even any puddles out there. Wind damage is near non-existent although power outages are wide spread.

Inland the wind was the issue and it’s still pretty drafty out there.

The sentiment? The storm was overstated. I heard Manhattan has widespread outages though so the impact is regional.

I’ll report on RI and CT later in the week.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2012-10-30 00:14:47

Pittsburgh was expecting high winds overnight starting around 8 PM. As of 10:30 PM, winds were still reasonable.

Power outages in Bethlehem, PA around 8:20 PM.

 
 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-10-29 21:34:04

Communists lie to get elected as main stream Democrats. If they told the truth nobody would vote for them. Just say no to communists 2012 by properly researching your local Democrat candidates. Communism is for killers.

My tip of the day. You can thank me later.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-29 22:50:26

Joss Whedon: Mitt Romney will lead U.S. to zombie apocalypse
National Monitor, Staff | October 30, 2012

Hollywood director Joss Whedon has slammed Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in a video posted to YouTube Sunday. “The Avengers” director compares voting for Governor Romney to a vote for the zombie apocalypse.

“Like a lot of liberal Americans,” Mr. Whedon says, “I was excited when Barack Obama took office four years ago. But it’s a very different world now, and Mitt Romney is a very different candidate, one with the vision and determination to cut through business-as-usual politics and finally put this country back on the path to the zombie apocalypse.”

Mr. Whedon’s video, which has received nearly 1.5 million views on YouTube, is a hit on social media sites. The director uses his vast imagination to paint a frightening picture of what the world would look like if Governor Romney is elected president.

The creator of “Buff the Vampire Slayer” says that a Romney presidency is a nation in which “the one percent will no longer be the very rich, it’ll be the very fast.”

“Romney is ready to make the deep rollbacks in healthcare, education, social services, reproductive rights that will guarantee poverty, unemployment, overpopulation, disease, rioting,” Mr. Whedon notes, “all crucial elements in creating a nightmare zombie wasteland.”

Mr. Whedon’s video isn’t the first pro-Obama political video from a Hollywood star to go viral this week. Lena Dunham, creator of HBO’s show “Girls,” recently released a video in which she compares voting to losing her virginity.

“Your first time shouldn’t be with just anybody,” says Ms. Dunham. “You wanna do it with a great guy … Someone who really cares about and understands women.”

Ms. Dunham’s ad sparked comparisons to a “first time voting” joke that former President Ronald Reagan made 32 years before the “Girls” creator did.

“I know what it’s like to pull the Republican lever for the first time, because I used to be a Democrat myself, and I can tell you it only hurts for a minute and then it feels just great,” Mr. Reagan said in 1980 at a working class bar in Bayonne, New Jersey, as reported by The Washington Post.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-29 22:57:19

Judging from the pictures on the web so far, I’m guessing the $10bn-$20bn damage estimate from this storm will be low by at least one order of magnitude.

U.S. NEWS
Updated October 29, 2012, 10:45 p.m. ET
Sandy Hits Coast, Floods New York
By JAMILA TRINDLE, MICHAEL R. CRITTENDEN and MICHAEL HOWARD SAUL
Bebeto Matthews/Associated Press

Lower Manhattan lost power Monday night, casting skyscrapers and streets into darkness. The one bright spot is the Freedom Tower, under construction.

Superstorm Sandy carved a harrowing path of destruction through the East Coast on Monday, inundating Atlantic City and sending cars floating through the streets of lower Manhattan.

Accelerating Monday evening as it made landfall on the New Jersey coast, the storm promised a legacy as one of the most damaging ever to menace the Northeast, from North Carolina to New England.

Some 5.2 million people were left without electricity across the region Monday evening—the most since the 2003 blackout. In New York, more than 250,000 Con Ed customers from 39th Street south were left without power. One of the city’s major hospitals was forced to evacuate patients late Monday when its backup power system failed.

A top Consolidated Edison official said it could take up to a week to restore power to the bulk of Manhattan neighborhoods plunged into darkness as the utility weighs the scope of damage left by the explosion that rocked a substation.

“It’s sure shaping up to be a storm that will be historic in nature,” said Louis Uccellini, director of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction, a federal government agency.

The storm left a trail of death, and the toll is expected to mount; at least 10 deaths were blamed on the storm.

Connecticut’s governor, Dannel Malloy said thousands were stranded by rising water along the coastline of his state. He urged people in one-story homes to move to their roofs. “This is a Katrina-like warning we are issuing,” he said.

The impact was mounting. As night fell Monday, a record breaking 13-foot surge of seawater hit New York City, flooding New York’s Brooklyn-Battery tunnel, a major traffic artery, as well as portions of the city’s subway system. Subway service could be crippled for “at least a week,” the head of the municipal transportation authority said late Monday.

Floodwaters from Sandy rushed into New York City late Monday, submerging cars up to their headlights on East 14th Street in Manhattan. The storm is expected to lash the Northeast through the week.

The Oyster Creek nuclear power plant in New Jersey declared an alert due to high water levels in its water intake structure, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission said Monday evening. An alert is the second lowest of four levels the NRC uses to characterize events at power plants, and the NRC said conditions were still safe at and around the plant in Lacey Township, N.J., and at all other U.S. nuclear plants.

Economic damages from Sandy, which is expected to affect some 20% of the U.S. population, could be in the range of $10 billion to $20 billion, according to EQECAT, a catastrophe-risk modeling firm. That compares to Hurricane Irene, which caused $10 billion in damage last year. Insured losses from Hurricane Katrina in 2005 alone topped $45 billion, adjusted for inflation.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-10-30 00:01:24

This sounds catastrophically bad. My recollection was that at this stage in Katrina’s passage, nobody had a clue at how bad things were going to get.

NY REGION
Updated October 30, 2012, 1:33 a.m. ET
Salt Water Puts Subway ‘In Jeopardy’
By TED MANN

The storm that has wreaked havoc along the East Coast struck a historic blow to one of New York City’s most vulnerable—and vital—points: the subway system.

A storm surge driven by the remains of Hurricane Sandy sent seawater pouring into at least six under-river tunnels of the Metropolitan Transportation Authority’s subway system Monday night, seriously threatening the goal to quickly restore vital mass-transit service in the city.

Before Hurricane Sandy made landfall Monday, the MTA worked to seal off openings that would allow corrosive salt water to sweep into the system and might incapacitate trains into the coming weekend.

After the flooding, its extent not yet fully measured, the threat of an extended shutdown loomed over a system that carries 5.2 million passengers a day and is essential to the city’s economy.

The subway system is “in jeopardy,” MTA Chairman Joseph Lhota said Monday. “Our subway system and salt water do not mix.”

Salt can eat at motors, metal fasteners and the electronic parts, some many decades old, that keep the system running. Salt water, and the deposits it leaves behind, degrades the relays that run the signal system, preventing train collisions.

Salt water also conducts electricity, which can exacerbate damage to signals if the system isn’t powered down before a flood.

The Holland Tunnel was nearly deserted on Monday.

The MTA closed down its entire regional network of rails and buses on Sunday evening and expected it will remain dark at least until Wednesday morning.

Agency officials couldn’t say how quickly the subway could be brought back into operation, but Mr. Lhota said in an interview that the flooding above ground appeared “serious.”

Late Monday night, an MTA spokesman confirmed that floodwater had breached the subway system flooding all five tunnels between lower Manhattan and Brooklyn, as well as the Steinway Tube between Midtown and Queens. Railyards also flooded, and the A train bridge in the North Channel in Jamaica Bay was underwater after the surge.

The speed of recovery would depend on whether floodwaters damaged any of the rest of the 14 subway tunnels under the Harlem and East Rivers, where the system is most exposed to catastrophic flooding.

 
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