November 20, 2012

Bits Bucket for November 20, 2012

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here. And check out Chomp, Chomp, Chomp by a regular poster!




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406 Comments »

Comment by Ben Jones
2012-11-20 00:30:52

If anyone posting here resorts to personal attacks on other posters, I may ban them immediately. If you can’t discuss things in a civil way, find another blog.

Comment by Jess from upstate SC
2012-11-20 06:46:08

Yes , and would suggest that every post must have some sort of substance .An exchange of Ideas is what makes everyone a bit wiser,or has the potential to.

Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 07:46:20

Linked from Drudge Report = it’s all true.

Not linked from Drudge Report = liberal media bias.

Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 07:49:43

It is all Bush’s fault.

Explanation for all things wrong in the world and why obama has failed at everything he tries to improve the economy.

Except keep housing prices as high as possible. Obama wins.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 08:04:48

“It is all Bush’s fault.”

Some of us have long suspected…

 
 
 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-11-20 08:40:22

Things have certainly changed since I was here about a decade ago. Back then it seems this site had a collection of posters that more closely reflected the range of opinions of the general population of Americans. Now I see a radicalized group of posters.

I returned a couple of months ago posting on *housing topics* and immediately found myself “gang raped” by one member here on every post I made. Nothing but vile personal attacks… This particular member “gang rapes” everyone with personal attacks that has a different view than him. A few on the extreme opposite side oppose him. I would posit that the opposition became reactionary by standing up for themselves. I doubt they came here that way. I certainly didn’t. Look up my initial posts.

In my opinion Ben it was your job to stop this poster. And yet you’ve let it go on for months now. This is your failure as a moderator.

As for myself? Was I supposed to let myself be intimidated by him? Should I be silenced by someone shouting me down? He uses guerrilla tactics to push his agenda (very effectively) and to try to push everyone else off the board that doesn’t agree with him.

And I can tell compared to when I was last here ten years ago – most of the centrists are gone and the board has become radicalized. And I see why. The only way to post anything here is to be prepared to respond to this person. Otherwise you might as well leave.

Ben it is your job to moderate this board. And you’ve failed to do it. I’ll agree not to defend myself against this person any longer. I won’t personally attack him. But you need to act as a moderator. I’ve been complaining over and over and over about the personal attacks by this poster and you’ve done nothing.

You probably wished I would post this here this morning and possibly ever again. So be it. The ball is in your court.

Comment by Ben Jones
2012-11-20 08:47:30

‘it is your job to moderate this board. And you’ve failed to do it’

You know, I have a day job and can’t sit around holding hands with people here for 14 hours a day like I used to. Plus, you don’t remember that it has always been like this. I recall one thread where I deleted 150 comments; one thread!

This blog doesn’t make me a dime. It costs me money. I do this because I want to. Let me ask this; how many unpaid hours a day would you put in moderating? The first thing I do every morning is moderate this blog, and it’s the last thing I do before I go to bed. Sometimes I have to put my foot down and this is one of those times.

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Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-11-20 08:59:51

This user is so abusive that I can’t imagine that you didn’t at least consider once setting him straight and banning him entirely even if just for a week. I think *one* large intervention on your part would have stopped this in its tracks.

I have a great deal of respect for you. Ten years ago this place was like an oasis to me because I didn’t know a single person in the SF Bay Area that saw the real estate bubble and the monetary issues we were about to be confronted except for Patrick’s site. You provided the best forum on the Internet for people like me. I do appreciate it.

I also appreciate the fact that you allow desperate opinions to be expressed without being heavy handed. But I do think one poster here is no longer expressing opinions. He is just shouting everyone else down.

I have no problem if you need to ban me to keep harmony here. If you choose to let me stay I will not respond to this particular poster. I’ll put him on “ignore.” I understand this is your kingdom and I am just a guest so I respect whatever you need to do.

Either way I do appreciate all that you did for me ten years ago. Thanks you!

 
Comment by oxide
2012-11-20 10:27:30

Ben, if there’s any moderating to be done, could I ask that you somehow limit the constant user name-changing? I suppose it’s cute when “Karl Marx” or “Ayn Rand” posts in character, but it’s gotten to the point where I can’t keep track.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-11-20 12:27:32

Ten years ago this place was like an oasis to me because I didn’t know a single person in the SF Bay Area that saw the real estate bubble and the monetary issues we were about to be confronted except for Patrick’s site.

Here here.

Truth is, we wanted to buy in 2004, and because of HBB and Patrick.net, we held off while everyone else was jumping no the bandwagon.

We did end up buying 2 months ago, for a few hundred thousand less than we would have had we not waited.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-11-20 15:54:27

“This user is so abusive that I can’t imagine that you didn’t at least consider once setting him straight and banning him entirely even if just for a week.”

“You suck.”

Excerpts from recent Comment by SF Bay Area

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 09:27:33

most of the centrists are gone and the board has become radicalized. And I see why.

I see why. I have no interest in “personally attacking” you. I do well enough with facts, history and data.

And a final word on the matter and for the record, my “personal attacks” were mild compared to yours. They were not equal in intensity, duration, persistence and general “off-the-wallness”. (like I’m an armed communist rebel wanting to start a revolution….and your “ominous” “I have dossiers” and “I know who you are” bit. good lord…) I also did not lie as you falsely accused me of on ever owning guns.

But OK, no personal attacks, solely out of respect for Ben. Bring on the issues.

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Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 09:45:32

Bring on the issues

Which are, as tied to housing, that $12/hour public union janitors whose wages are paid by excessive municipal property taxes, are a slippery slope, the very tipping point in fact, leading to the genocidal monstrosities enacted under Stalin, and part of President Obama’s push to integrate the USA into a communist one-world state.

Don’t you get it? It’s all connected…

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 09:54:54

the very tipping point in fact,

LOL

 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 09:58:17

And a final word on the matter and for the record, my “personal attacks” were mild compared to yours.

but yours came first, as they always do. Bay Area was just defending himself, he didn’t start anything.

They were not equal in intensity, duration, persistence and general “off-the-wallness”.

and it’s you that gets to decide what’s ‘off-the-wall’?

what about when you insinuated that i was a racist? is race baiting ok with you? here’s the exchange we had..

me: “yes, i think he’s the most dangerous president this country has ever seen.”

Rio: “I know. And I know for sure he’s the darkest.”

you can try to paint me as a racist, but it won’t fly.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 10:43:28

but your (attacks) came first,

Your “but” shows me that you know I was much more attacked than I gave out. And you’re wrong. His attacks came first.

SF started using strawman, smart alec, contemptuous posts against another poster in the 8-9 hours. Chiming in, in the 11 hour I explained how I disproved SF’s non factual post on the Swedish banking crisis which was the current subject. In the 12 hour SF began the first personal attack of the day calling me names to another poster. It then devolved with his attacks being much more savage and off the wall than mine.

and it’s you that gets to decide what’s ‘off-the-wall’?

Yes, me. When someone says I want to KILL PEOPLE with guns for politics it is ME who is the decider. Not you.

what about when you insinuated that i was a racist?
me: “yes, i think he’s the most dangerous president this country has ever seen.”

Rio: “I know. And I know for sure he’s the darkest.”

I’m sorry if that insinuated that you were a racist. I make many posts trying to be funny and point out chains of illogical arguments. Many Republicans would consider Obama “dangerous” because he is Black but that does not mean that you would. It was much more being a dumb joke than race bating. I apologize to you personally but not to actual racists.

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 10:49:32

you can try to paint me as a racist

That’s the liberal “get out of jail free card” when they are losing an argument.

 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 12:15:24

And you’re wrong. His attacks came first.

i don’t agree, but anyone that cares about it can check yesterday’s blog for themselves.

I make many posts trying to be funny and point out chains of illogical arguments.

what can be ‘funny’ or humorous about insinuating that someone is a racist?

Many Republicans would consider Obama “dangerous” because he is Black but that does not mean that you would.

first, i’m a registered independent. republicans are too far to the left for me. they left their principles behind long ago. do you know what makes me so far to the right? it’s the knowledge that freedom and free markets work. and with me, it’s not belief, it’s knowledge.

It was much more being a dumb joke than race bating.

your “more” shows me that you knew you were race baiting me.

I apologize to you personally but not to actual racists.

your apology only comes after Ben decided to crack down, not when i originally complained right after your comment. nevertheless, i accept your apology. and i do think there are far less racists than you think there are.

 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 12:19:22

That’s the liberal “get out of jail free card” when they are losing an argument.

yes, and it also gets used to avoid an argument altogether. for instance, people that would like to vet obama like every other president, know that they will be labeled ‘racists’ if they try.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-11-20 12:31:03

that $12/hour public union janitors whose wages are paid by excessive municipal property taxes

It’s not the janitors’ fault, it’s the teachers. All those leechy public school teachers are completely responsible for the coming economic collapse and the downfall of western civilization.

Mea culpa.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 13:10:05

what can be ‘funny’ or humorous about insinuating that someone is a racist?

It can be very funny insinuating that many Republicans are racists because they are. This is fact. And many racists use the Obama’s “most dangerous” argument. I’ll take you at your word that you aren’t. Thus the apology and explanation.

It was much more being a dumb joke than race bating……..your “more” shows me that you knew you were race baiting me.

Or not you personally, just many people who have a deep and personal hatred of Obama and use certain often used buzzwords.

your apology only comes after Ben decided to crack down,

No, You were just a side-show yesterday in what Ben cracked down on. The apology came when I realized it bothered you. You mentioned it twice in 2 days so I’m giving you an explanation. Yesterday I didn’t even remember what you were talking about.

i don’t agree, but anyone that cares about it can check yesterday’s blog for themselves.

I did and again, you’re wrong.

 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 13:47:59

It can be very funny insinuating that many Republicans are racists because they are.

in fact, very few are. the vast majority of the racists are liberals. but in any case, it’s not ‘funny’ to insinuate that ANYONE is a racist. it’s an ugly charge, and you better be damn sure before you make it.

And many racists use the Obama’s “most dangerous” argument. I’ll take you at your word that you aren’t.

no, many people that understand how dangerous communism is, make that argument. and i didn’t give you ‘my word’. i don’t have to. i’ve said nothing on this forum to give anyone any reason to think i’m a racist. only a racist sees racism where there is none.

The apology came when I realized it bothered you.

no it didn’t. you knew it ‘bothered’ me the moment i immediately replied to your race baiting comment, which was made about a week ago.. and you didn’t know that implying someone is a racist would ‘bother’ them?? who are you trying to kid?

Yesterday I didn’t even remember what you were talking about.

then you are rather cavalier in your insinuations that others are racists.

I did and again, you’re wrong.

like i said, they can read yesterday’s blog and decide for themselves.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-11-20 14:03:50

only a racist sees racism where there is none.

Uh no, I gotta disagree with this one. Many instances of racism go unnoticed because racism, like other forms of discrimination, are usually systematic and embedded in our lives.

Or at least they go unnoticed by the perpetrator, but not by the victim.

The fact that the charge of racism is considered a big deal is a good thing, because it means that for most people racism is not something they proudly claim. Although it wasn’t always so.

Generally when someone says something obviously racist, some one will speak up.

So far we are not quite there with homophobia. Another poster here thought it he was funny by applauding Uganda’s decision to put gays and lesbians in prison for life. Silence.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 14:10:38

it’s not ‘funny’ to insinuate that ANYONE is a racist.
I disagree. But enough. You’ve been apologized to. Now you sound like you’re whining.

in fact, very few Republicans are racist. the vast majority of the racists are liberals.

Thanks for the belly laugh.

Here’s a good article on some of the “code words” and the racist aspects of the past election.

How to Read Political Racial Code

http://ideas.time.com/2012/09/06/how-to-read-political-racial-code/

Part of my job when I speak about politics is to speak up for black people and say things black people need said. This mission has rarely felt so necessary as it has when racial code words recently entered the Presidential election. These code words are ancient racial stereotypes in slick, modern gear. They are linguistic mustard gas, sliding in covertly, aiming to kill black political viability by allowing white politicians to say ‘Don’t vote for the black guy’ in socially-acceptable language. Sometimes the code comes directly out of a candidate’s mouth. Sometimes it comes from supporters, or can be found in advertisements.

Do not be fooled by the canard that both parties do it. That was former RNC Chairman Michael Steele’s response when I asked him about it on my MSNBC show “The Cycle.” Using certain words to invoke racialized fear and scare white working class voters is a long-established part of the Republican playbook. The GOP is a 90% white party and has been for decades. According to Ron Brownstein of the National Journal, Mitt Romney will need over 60% of white people to vote for him or he will lose. “That,” Brownstein says, “would be the best performance ever for a Republican Presidential challenger with that group of voters.” Given that math, in a base turnout election where Romney has a big lead among white, non-college educated men, it’s understandable why he’d try to motivate those voters with code words that remind them of their racial difference with Obama and stigmatize that difference. In this effort a word like “welfare” is extremely valuable. Sure there are more white than black Americans on welfare, but when a candidate says ‘welfare’ many whites think of their tax dollars being given to blacks.

So when Romney began running ads about Obama “dropping the work requirement from welfare” - ads which are still running even though the claim has been thoroughly debunked - he was merely updating Ronald Reagan’s old “welfare queen” meme. Both are designed to create racial resentment around entitlements. This tactic is bolstered by the classic stereotype of blacks as lazy. A recent Pew Research Center poll, for example, found that 57% of Republicans believe people are poor because they don’t work hard. When a recent Washington Post poll asked “Why do most black voters so consistently support Democrats?” the second reason given by Republicans was “black voters are dependent on government or seeking a government handout” while for Democrats it was that “their party addresses issues of poverty.” (The top answer for members of both parties was “Don’t know”.)

There’s also the cornucopia of terms and concepts created to de-Americanize Barack Obama, from calling him “Muslim” or “Socialist” to Romney surrogates like John Sununu saying things like, “I wish this President would learn how to be an American.” There is also a return to birtherism, with Romney recently joking, “Nobody’s ever asked to see my birth certificate.” The subtext of all this is: Obama, like other blacks, is not one of “us.” He is other.

Do Democrats use racial code? No. The Democratic party is a racially diverse coalition. There would be no value to playing this game. In fact, the party has risked alienating white working class voters by fighting for people of color, a tightrope perhaps best symbolized by President Johnson signing the 1964 Voting Rights Act and then famously, and presciently, saying to an aide, “We have lost the South for a generation.”

Republican Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina recently told the Washington Post. “We’re not generating enough angry white guys to stay in business for the long term.”

But for now, as the GOP paddles furiously trying to stay viable as an all-white party, we must shine a harsh light on their attempts to use old racial stereotypes to win votes.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 15:12:20

President Johnson signing the 1964 Voting Rights Act and then famously, and presciently, saying to an aide, “We have lost the South for a generation.”

It would have been more prescient if he had said they’d lose it for two generations, since that has been the case. Two and counting, but it is getting chipped away. Florida, Virginia, maybe North Carolina…

“We’re not generating enough angry white guys to stay in business for the long term.”

No, we’re not. But the hardest thing in the world is going to be the switchover from the party of angry and/or rich white men, into a party that more closely represents modern America. I’m not sure they can do it.

 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 15:18:15

it’s not ‘funny’ to insinuate that ANYONE is a racist.

I disagree.

yes, this says a lot about you. it’s there for everyone to see..

Thanks for the belly laugh.

yes, keep whistling past the graveyard.

Here’s a good article on some of the “code words” and the racist aspects of the past election.

from the beginning it’s easy to see it’s a racist article. it’s drivel and i didn’t finish reading it. if you think the article is making a good point, state it in your own words and i’ll debate it with you.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 16:33:59

yes, this says a lot about you.

It says I have a normal sense of humor. Comics have been laughing at, and pointing out the humor of bigoted racists for decades. What I think is most funny is that the race card is through now for the Republicans. It doesn’t work well in national elections anymore.

if you think the article is making a good point, state it in your own words and i’ll debate it with you.

Point: Romney ran a dirty, race baiting campaign and used buzzwords and phrases to constantly remind the Repbub base that Obama was black, and therefore “not fit to be President” because he was “different” a “socialist” “dangerous” born in “Kenya” “Muslim” not a “real” American. Taking money from “hard working” whites and giving “handouts to the blacks”.

I would also add that Romney supporters who used the above tactics and words and phrases (innocently or not) should not be so shocked if some of the Romney covert racist tactic dirt and backlash (deserved or not) rubbed off on them too.

 
 
Comment by ahansen
2012-11-20 11:44:10

“…In my opinion Ben it was your job to stop this poster. And yet you’ve let it go on for months now….”

And what does this suggest to us, SF?

I believe you know I try to be reasoned, so perhaps you’ll grant me this observation? Ben has “let it go on for months now” because your antagonists don’t resort to bullying, inciting to gang up, absurd accusation, and schoolyard name-calling to refute your assertions and make their point. They edit their copy before they post it. And they don’t monopolize his bandwidth with screed after increasingly-shrill screed day after day and blame it on others. (”Why do you make me hit you?” is the classic plaint of the batterer.)

I’ll (reluctantly, because I like you) supply ample evidence of each if you’d like me to rehash some of your more strident examples, but for the sake of brevity let’s not?

“…This is your failure as a moderator.”

!

This one sentence should tell you why some of us agree with one poster’s assessment that you’ve untreated narcissistic personality disorder. BTW, Ben DID just address it, and still you go on with your ranting.

Your relative may have been ***Ambassador to Brazil! *** as you’ve repeatedly informed us, but having personally known several persons similarly employed, I can only conclude that you were adopted. Noblesse Oblige goes for the intellectually gifted as well as for those who were blessed by the circumstances of their birth.

I may cringe for you at times, but ultimately you embarrass only yourself. Please strive for grace? I’d hate to see you banned.

Pax.

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Comment by Michael Viking
2012-11-20 14:35:44

your antagonists don’t resort to bullying, inciting to gang up, absurd accusation, and schoolyard name-calling

If I weren’t so busy, I’d happily dig up posts where you and others who think they’re squeaky clean have used name-calling. There is a very common habit of mangling the handles of people one doesn’t agree with to mock them and you’re guilty. I guess when you and others do it they consider it “cute” instead of disrespectful?

And what blog are you reading? Sometimes his/her antagonists certainly resort to bullying and ganging up…just wow that you can’t see this.

 
Comment by mathguy
2012-11-20 14:55:01

nice comment ahansen..

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-11-20 18:10:46

There’s a nuanced difference between chiding and bullying, but most can recognize it by tone.

It has noting to do with ideology and everything to do with intent.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-21 00:20:09

“It has noting to do with ideology and everything to do with intent.”

If there is anyone here whom I have not insulted, I beg his pardon.

– Johannes Brahms

 
 
 
Comment by Pete
2012-11-20 18:31:48

“would suggest that every post must have some sort of substance.”

That would eliminate alot of amusing banter that helps make constructive conversation possible, and the blog enjoyable (usually).
In other words, be careful what you wish for.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-21 00:22:01

Why would you want every post to bore the world to tears?

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 08:02:32

Sincerely appreciated…

Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 09:34:19

+1000

And apologies for potentially setting off that firestorm of socialist/capitalist debate yesterday…

Comment by oxide
2012-11-20 09:48:54

Thank you for apologizing, but I’m not sure you did anything to apologize for. Every day in the media some blowhard says: “We need to sit down and have an honest debate.”

Well, here we are on HBB doing just that… having an honest debate. Isn’t that what we’re supposed to do? The pre-and post election debates are heated, yes. But the two sides have at least clarified crystallized their viewpoints.

I found that our debate was nothing novel, in fact it’s actually a very old question: do you measure the “success” of a society at its apex, or at its base? And therefore, do you set up the government to benefit the apex or the base? Almost every post from these HBB firestorms, on every topic from housing to healthcare, can be binned into one of those two opinions.

Of course, the real answer to the debate lies in the middle, but where? More flamewars to ensue..

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Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 10:17:15

I like the way you framed the debate.

do you measure the “success” of a society at its apex, or at its base? And therefore, do you set up the government to benefit the apex or the base

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-11-20 15:39:44

I frankly don’t mind, as I find it quite fascinating to see the extreme biases different posters bring to the HBB. Among other reasons, this is interesting to me because I tend to see a degree validity in most viewpoints expressed here, especially given a gaping red-blue divide in my own family. I have also enjoyed the privilege of working with mentors over the years who challenged my deeply-ingrained beliefs.

I don’t delude myself into believing that I am unbiased, either. In fact, I was relieved of jury service last week in part because of my candor in telling the judge that I was not sure whether I could provide an unbiased weighing of the evidence. (Everyone else in the courtroom besides me was 100% confident they were unbiased. :-) )

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-11-20 09:02:03

Amen, Ben!

And, people who’ve been here for a while, here’s someone whose style is still worth emulating. Remember Olympiagal? She’d find the humor in just about anything happening here.

Recall her loving way of taking two feuding posters aside and saying “Now look, smartypants…” And off she’d go on a delightful romp through the English language.

Comment by ProperBostonian
2012-11-20 09:25:19

Agree with you Slim. It used to be you could post something and you would get a response that was either funny or informative. Now no matter what you say, it seems like certain posters want to make it into a political argument for pushing an agenda that has nothing to do with the housing bubble.

 
Comment by frankie
2012-11-20 14:25:52

I been looking for a quote on closed minds, eventually I found

“a closed mind is a dying mind”

which I think sums up my out look. From posters on this blog who ideologically are the opposite of me, I have learned new knowledge and an understanding of other peoples views. If we disparage and reject out of hand peoples views because they don’t agree with our views we are indeed succumbing to a dying mind.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-11-20 15:41:41

Remember Olympiagal?

She added a breath of Venusian fresh air to this Martian atmosphere.

 
 
Comment by Jim A.
2012-11-20 11:17:13

I leave for a few months and look what happens! But seriously, I’ll admit that way that politics in genera have become quite polarized. The main reason that I haven’t been around here much is that “who’s fault is it,” is just less interesting than “Are we crazy? Or is the market crazy?” which was the central question six to seven years ago.

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-11-20 11:30:06

I blame the “S” word. Too many smarty-pantses throwing that one around these days, heating up the political rhetoric.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 11:36:53

So which one of you jackasses got your posts deleted by Jonesy?

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Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 12:12:01

Stop changing your name so often. Underwater metro DC buyer “can’t keep up”.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-11-20 13:29:52

Not me. Save for a few “calling out the complaining hypocrites” posts, I stay outta that mess.

 
 
 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-11-20 12:34:51

Before it was HBB against the kool-aid drinkers. Sure there were real estate shills, but mostly it was a united front.

Now, no one really can predict which way things will go, hence the infighting.

Comment by Jim A.
2012-11-20 12:52:19

And therefore it attracted people with a certain tendency to question orthodoxy. People who were seriously wondering whether the RE market made sense. Now there’s more…fitting facts into one’s world view for want of more elegant term.

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Comment by Ben Jones
2012-11-20 12:54:34

‘mostly it was a united front’

It might have seemed that way because in the summer of 2005 I finally started deleting trolls that cursed or called everybody ‘bat sh@t crazy.’ Then with wordpress in 2006 I could block lots of stuff before it got posted. I always allowed bubble deniers a chance to post, but almost none of them could knock off the bad stuff.

But I’ll repeat something I’ve said in interviews; just before I started the first HBB in 2004, I had another blog where I posted about the housing bubble in a ‘is it or isn’t it’ manner. I wasn’t totally convinced I knew what was going on. I decided it was boring. So I started the HBB with the position that it was a bubble and set out to prove it, even if I wasn’t sure. It turned out to be more compelling. About the summer of 2005 I had become convinced this was a mania.

I don’t know why there is all this doubt about the current situation. The housing bubble is treated like it was a hurricane that blew by, and we can all forget about it. It’s not an isolated storm that can be ignored after the rain stops. It’s an economic phenomenon; man made. Inside the minds of millions of people in some form that becomes action; irrational action. There are those who would like us to forget what this thing is. But I haven’t and still find it to be one of the most interesting events that exist. And that’s one reason I keep doing this blog.

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Comment by sfhomowner
2012-11-20 12:58:05

I don’t know why there is all this doubt about the current situation.

So what do you think is going to happen? Housing predictions for one year out? 5 years? 10 years?

Maybe a weekend topic discussion?

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 13:22:55

There are those who would like us to forget what this thing is.

Oh you better believe there are. Alot of them. Many of them paid. There is one known right here on the HBB.

And “predict”? lmao. There is no need to “predict”. Prices are falling. Yep. Prices down M-O-M in the bay area too. This is far from over. Try the 1st quarter. The inventory still hasn’t been disposed. The bottom was merely forestalled and delayed. It’s still ahead of us. It’s all coming right at us and that’s precisely what the Housing Crime Syndicate PR arm wants you to ignore.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-11-20 14:08:36

Are you referring to me?

I sure wish I was getting paid.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-11-20 14:44:53

Pimp, we all already know what you believe re RE. How ’bout everyone else?

 
Comment by mathguy
2012-11-20 14:56:31

pimp is right, prices will continue to come down.. how fast is the only question.. or how slowly rather..?

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-21 00:34:13

“I don’t know why there is all this doubt about the current situation.”

It seems that some of the alpha economists in the discussion live under the delusion that if they ignore the housing bubble, it will go away — sort of like a drunk guy and his pink elephant.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-21 00:29:11

“I’ll admit that way that politics in genera have become quite polarized.”

The people who polarized it showed that too much polarization can lose you an election…

 
 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-11-20 12:23:39

If you can’t discuss things in a civil way, find another blog.

Thank you Ben!

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2012-11-20 00:34:55

New day…even I got bored reading the idjit posts from yesterday..

Homeland Security promotes welfare to new immigrants in government ‘welcome’ materials

http://dailycaller.com/2012/11/18/homeland-security-promotes-welfare-to-new-immigrants-in-government-welcome-materials/

Comment by Montana
2012-11-20 07:06:14

Hey it’s called marketing…you dont want govt social workers to be laid off, do you?

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 01:14:24

Would now be a good time to sell the dead cat bounce?

Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-11-20 04:27:44

If you are a flipper or an “investor” I would say yes. If you like your house and can afford it you should probably just chill and enjoy life.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 06:52:48

“If you like your house and can afford it you should probably just chill and enjoy life.”

Agreed. And take your losses like a man. Otherwise, dump it now instead of later to limit your losses.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-11-20 08:56:11

if one never sells it then that shouldn’t be a problem (losses). Once upon a time people actually did that, they staye din the house for decades, sometimes until they passed away, instead of trading up every few years, but that was a long time ago. Heck I remember being told as far back as the 1980s that you had to play the appreciation and trade up game to get ahead (this was in SoCal).

Of course, now if one expects the “the house to work for him” … there could be a problem.

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Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-11-20 09:31:28

I remember being told as far back as the 1980s that you had to play the appreciation and trade up game to get ahead (this was in SoCal).

I’m wondering if this is the same strategy as “you have to have both spouses working to get ahead.”

It works until ‘everyone’ is doing it.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 11:24:58

if one never sells it then that shouldn’t be a problem (losses).

It was never a problem until bubble era sales began.

 
 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-11-20 12:35:51

Pimp, are you selling your houses?

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Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 15:14:23

SFhomeDebtor,

I don’t own any houses.

Now have you found a buyer for your underwater shack? Is it a short? Or will you just walk away. (I recommend the latter)

 
 
 
 
Comment by cactus
2012-11-20 09:36:05

Would now be a good time to sell the dead cat bounce?”

In housing ? I don’t know what will make housing start down again with the FED constantly pouring money into it ?

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-11-20 10:40:37

The fact that people can’t afford the houses with 3% fixed rate loans? The market got a lot of bottom support from the ridiculously low fixed rate mortgages, but unless we get wage inflation, any bounce now is a trap. Given that we’re at effectively 0% from the Fed, mortgage rates can’t really get much lower.

That being said, I have no intention of selling my house right now. But I did refi (cash in) it into a rate 1.325% lower than what I bought it for.

Now I will wait for Pimp Watch to crack wise about how much money I’m losing.

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-11-20 11:26:24

No need for cracking-wise, as “those who did it (bought houses) know their blame, and I’m sure that the guilt you feel is far worse than any punishment you might receive.”

-borrowed from A Christmas Story. :-)

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Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-11-20 12:01:29

I definitely did it with eyes wide open. I didn’t buy it as a monetary investment. I’m amazed that it currently isn’t ‘worth less’ than it was when I paid for it, and I told my wife when we bought it that she needed to be okay with us probably taking a bath on the house if she really wanted to buy it. But just because it’s NOT ‘worth less’ now doesn’t mean it won’t be worth less later. I will admit I thought 2012 would be the bottom, but I also thought the bottom would be at least 30% lower than it is on the SF peninsula where we live. (We bought at 33% down from the peak, and I was expecting at least 50% down from peak.) Now I don’t think the bottom is in, and we’re in a bull trap for those that were the ‘pent up demand’. When it peters out next year, I expect the bar area to resume it’s march towards 50% off of peak pricing.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-11-20 12:11:26

Just razzin’ ya man, I couldn’t care less.

I suspect my wife and I will be having the same “come to Jesus” discussion next year as she is getting a little antsy to make a move. Admittedly I am too, but I just don’t want “them” to win! :-D

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-11-20 12:41:08

I definitely did it with eyes wide open. I didn’t buy it as a monetary investment. But just because it’s NOT ‘worth less’ now doesn’t mean it won’t be worth less later. I will admit I thought 2012 would be the bottom, but I also thought the bottom would be at least 30% lower than it is on the SF peninsula where we live.

I’m not gonna change my name to SF bubble buyer anytime soon, but this is pretty much our story too.

I bought a house because we needed a place to live and the rent increases and dealing with landlords was getting old.

I know the Pimp thinks that renting is always cheaper, but that really depends on where you live.

There is no glut of housing (rental or otherwise) in San Francisco.

Tiny apartments: Modern living or barely living?

This week, San Francisco’s Planning Commission will vote on whether to cap the new micro-apartments allowed in the city at 375 units. Proponents of the tiny apartments — which cram living room, bathroom and kitchen into as little as 220 square feet of living space — say the city desperately needs more apartments with lower monthly rents. They also point out that 40 percent of San Franciscans live alone, making this type of unit ideal. But opponents worry that the units would not benefit neighborhoods where they would be built, and point out that, at a higher price per square foot than larger apartments, they are not truly affordable housing.

The real question, though, is would it be bearable — even nice? — to live in a San Francisco micro-apartment? Small space lovers say it’s all about the design and the resident’s self-restraint — every time you bring something new into your micro-pad, you need to take something else out to avoid being crowded out by clutter.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 13:06:35

always cheaper

ALWAYS.

And you chose the more costly option. Why is that?

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-11-20 13:50:33

I also like to light my stogies with burning $100 bills. It tastes that much sweeter.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 14:05:32

The bank wants their money back. ;)

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-11-20 15:48:21

They can have it back at the contractually agreed upon rate. Or faster at my discretion, as agreed upon in the contract. :D Nowhere does it state “You may not light your cigars with 100 dollar bills” in there.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 17:34:46

Meanwhile, the house depreciates while the debt-slave toils. lmao

 
Comment by Jim A
2012-11-20 18:09:46

Well ownership almost always is more expensive in the first years of ownership. But I bought in ‘99 and by now my mortgage is less than the equivalant rent. And in a couple of months the principal and interest go to zero. So even with the time cost of money, it has worked out for me.

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-11-20 18:16:17

I’m toiling the exact same amount as I would if I rented.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 18:31:26

uh huh…. lmao.

 
 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 11:33:54

“That being said, I have no intention of selling my house right now.”

They are your losses to sustain and yours alone.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 11:48:55

Are you selling your houses, Pimp Watch? Or sustaining your losses?

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 12:26:40

Alpo…. wtf are you yammering about now? Bedlam is calling.

 
Comment by cactus
2012-11-20 12:39:29

They are your losses to sustain and yours alone.”

Acually thats not what i’m seeing I see the losses are for everybody..

the whole system is rigged. I guess it makes some important people money to have it this way.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 14:36:16

You know, the two houses you said you owned. Are you selling them or sustaining your losses?

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-11-20 14:58:17

You know, the two houses you said you owned. Are you selling them or sustaining your losses?

He won’t answer. Do as he says, not as he does.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 14:58:26

Bedlam is calling AlPimp.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 15:14:44

Honesty is calling Pimp Watch. Will you answer?

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 15:26:38

You’re yapping again Alpo.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 19:40:40

I guess you’re refusing Honesty’s call. Sleep well.

 
Comment by ibbots
2012-11-20 20:41:10

PW is a broken record, adding little to the discussion.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 20:45:54

So tell us about these magical houses alpo. Or are you lying about that too? The irony of it all.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 01:22:07

Need more stimulus…

Japan’s Nikkei dips, ends four-session winning streak

People are reflected on a board showing the Dow Jones average (top) and NASDAQ average of the U.S. outside a brokerage in Tokyo November 7, 2012. REUTERS/Toru Hanai

By Dominic Lau

TOKYO | Tue Nov 20, 2012 1:39am EST

(Reuters) - The Nikkei ended a four-day winning run on Tuesday as investors took profits in exporters, which had rallied on hopes Japan’s main opposition party would win next month’s election and pressure the central bank for more stimulus steps.

Comment by azdude
2012-11-20 06:21:20

hewlett packard is looking great today as usual. another tech darling in the toilet. Is aapl basically the tech sector now? Dell cant seem to sell any computers either. Amd is a penny stock. hard to be a stock picker.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 06:25:15

AMD will always be a penny stock. Until the shutter.

 
Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 06:34:14

AAPL is getting pretty worn and tired also.

Plenty of cheaper smart phones that compete well with the iphones

The mini-ipad was a flop.

And Samsung (Apple’s biggest supplier) just raised prices 20%.

Comment by azdude
2012-11-20 06:56:51

anyone have a samsung product care to comment on quality?

I’m still using a 20.00 phone from walmart but maybe someday I can justify a smartphone.

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Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-11-20 09:42:39

Just bought a Chronos 7 laptop on clearance at Best Buy, if that also counts as “product.” (Wasn’t planning to buy one just yet - was looking for a Sony at the right price - but went in looking for a networking component for work and spotted it in the clearance bin on the way to the rest room, LOL).

15″, I7, 1TB HDD, 8GB RAM. It’s awesome. And fast. And awesome.

I’m also considering the Galaxy SIII phone. Everyone I know who has one loves it.

 
Comment by jbunniii
2012-11-20 10:27:17

I have a Galaxy Nexus. It’s very nice except the speaker stopped working, so I can no longer hear it ringing. I have to set it on vibrate and keep it nearby if I’m expecting a call. I don’t know if this is a common problem or if I got a lemon.

 
Comment by eastcoaster
2012-11-20 12:20:06

jbunniii - do you have any calling apps installed (like Talking Caller ID, etc.)? Removing them may fix your problem. My Motorola media volume is buggy since ICS update. I found an app that let’s me control headphone options (the phone keeps thinking headphones are plugged in when they are not). It’s worked since.

 
Comment by jbunniii
2012-11-21 10:44:02

eastcoaster - I don’t have any apps like that.Samsung technical support also walked me through a complete factory reset, still no dice. They will repair or replace the phone under warranty, but I’ll be phoneless during that process, most likely for several weeks, so I’m reluctant to pull the trigger.

 
 
 
Comment by rms
2012-11-20 08:56:39

Dell cant seem to sell any computers either.

I just upgraded at home to a t7500 and u3011. Sweet!

Comment by In Colorado
2012-11-20 09:40:44

Dell and HP are still selling zillions of PCs, they’re just selling fewer of them, and thus are unable to satisfy Wall Street’s insatiable maw.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-11-20 11:14:46

I think that the PC will go back to the purpose for which it was originally intended. It’s a business productivity tool, not an entertainment device.

In other words, if you’re tasked with creating, managing, or reporting on some sort of content, you’re best off with a PC. If you just need to view content or perform easy tasks like sending/receiving e-mail or web browsing, a tablet or smartphone should be perfectly adequate.

 
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-11-20 09:04:24

Hewlett-Packard said Tuesday that it has written down $8.8 billion of the value of Autonomy, the British software company it bought last year, after discovering that Autonomy misrepresented its finances.

Don’t you love it when Corporations rip each other off?

What I am wondering about the $8.8 billion write off is how much of it is really related to Autonomy’s alleged misvaluation and how much of it is HP taking the “big bath” and writing down all of its collective mistakes over the years, especially the Mark Hurd years.

Regardless of the actual answer, Hewlett and Packard would be ashamed of what has become of their once widely admired company.

Comment by In Colorado
2012-11-20 09:42:34

One thing is certain though, HP’s debacle can’t be blamed on American unions.

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Comment by aNYCdj
2012-11-20 14:51:37

Hp sounds like companies who buyback stock after it doubles or triples

 
 
Comment by TheNYCdb
2012-11-20 20:02:57

What I am wondering about the $8.8 billion write off is how much of it is really related to Autonomy’s alleged misvaluation and how much of it is HP taking the “big bath” and writing down all of its collective mistakes over the years, especially the Mark Hurd years.

My guess is about $200M in accounting misvaluation and the rest in… we just paid waaaayyyyy too much (I believe this is called good will).

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 01:27:11

Investors Rush to Beat Threat of Higher Taxes
By NATHANIEL POPPER and NELSON D. SCHWARTZ
Published: November 18, 2012

Take Steve Wynn, the casino magnate, who has been a vocal critic of higher tax rates. He and his fellow shareholders in Wynn Resorts, the company announced, will collect a special dividend of $750 million on Tuesday, a payout timed to take advantage of current rates. Experts estimated that taking the payout this year instead of next could save Mr. Wynn, who owns a sizable stake in the company, more than $20 million.

For the wealthy like Mr. Wynn, the overriding goal is to record as much of their future income this year as they can. This includes moves as diverse as sales of businesses, one-time dividends and the sale of stocks that have been big winners.

“In my 30 years in practice, I’ve never seen such a flood of desire and action to transfer a business and cash out,” said Kenneth K. Bezozo, a partner in New York with the law firm Haynes and Boone. “We’re seeing a watershed event.”

Whether small business owners or individuals saving for retirement, investors are being urged by their advisers to reconsider their holdings. Along the way, many are shedding the very investments that have been the most popular over the last year, contributing to recent sell-offs in formerly high-flying shares like Apple and Amazon.

Investors typically take profits in their own portfolio at year-end, but the selling appears to be more targeted this year. Stocks with large dividends, for instance, are seen as less attractive because of the perceived likelihood of a sharp increase in the tax rate on dividends.

All this is weighing on the broader financial markets, as worries mount about the economic drag from the combination of higher tax rates and reduced government spending set for January if President Obama and Senate Republicans cannot reach a budget compromise before then.

Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 06:15:49

The taxes on dividends is TRIPLING due to obamacare.

From 15% to 45%.

The unintended consequences of obamacare. More to come.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 06:50:33

The taxes on dividends is TRIPLING due to obamacare.

From 15% to 45%.

Mmm, no. They’re just losing their pointless unfair tax advantage over income.

Next up, capital gains.

Dividends would be taxed as ordinary income, at rates as high as 39.6% for individuals and couples earning more than $388,350.
Forbes

Comment by mathguy
2012-11-20 15:01:48

Really.. so let me get this straight.. a wage earner looking to invest for retirement over the $5000 IRA limit… what tax rate will they be paying on dividends???

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 15:18:16

They would be taxed as income, according to Forbes.

 
 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-11-20 07:01:56

That’s only for rich folks. The tax rate on dividends for poor people is only going up to 40%.

I’m not sure what the play is here, but since Obama had his Wall Street cronies write the law for him, I suspect this is a way to get us to invest for our retirement through some sort of fund which doesn’t have to pay the tax. I wonder.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 08:05:24

That’s only for rich folks. The tax rate on dividends for poor people is only going up to 40%.

Assuming the ‘poor folk’ are somehow in the top income tax bracket.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2012-11-20 08:15:20

The next-to-top bracket? Top bracket is for the rich folk.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 08:19:13

If they’re paying 40% on their dividends, then they must be in the top income tax bracket.

 
 
 
Comment by WT Economist
2012-11-20 07:32:42

Let’s talk about that dividend tax cut.

First they cut the tax on capital gains to 15 percent.

Then during the stock market bubble, executives used promises of future capital gains to cut dividends, and ended up paying the money to themselves. When the stock market bubble deflated, the capital gains never appeared.

The solution: cut the tax on dividends to 15 percent. Then all those record profits relative to wages would be paid out to investors, not to excess executive pay. It was part of Sarbenes Oxley, passed in 2002 as a response to all the white collar crime during the stock market bubble.

So what happened? It’s 10 years later. The dividend yield is 2.0%, less than half the historical average of 4.3%, despite record profits.

Those complaining about a possible treatment of dividends as ordinary income — explain that one! And don’t forget that wages around $110,000 are subject to both the income tax AND the payroll tax, though those earning less tend to pay less income tax and those earning more pay less payroll tax, as a share of income.

Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 07:48:06

Because with income there is pretty little risk that you will not get your FULL paycheck on Friday.

With dividends the investor takes on SIGNIFICANT risks. Risk with the company. Risks with the economy. Risks with labor going on strike. Risks with the company cutting their dividend etc.

Don’t reward investor risk and investors go else where. Another unintended consequence of obamacare.

And what you conveniently left out of your equation - DIVIDENDS ARE ALREADY TAXED TWICE.

Once as “profit” on the company level and once as “income” on the personal investor level.

Hey - can I fully tax your paycheck twice? Didn’t think so.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 08:09:58

Hey - can I fully tax your paycheck twice? Didn’t think so.

If i take my post-tax paycheck and buy a soda, I pay sales tax. I’m taxed twice! If I buy beer, I pay even more taxes, I’m taxed thrice!

This ‘investment income is taxed twice’ idea is malarkey. Money is taxed twice or more, all the time. Not just investment income.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-11-20 08:39:44

If you buy a pack of smokes, you are taxed quince!

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 08:42:11

And if I try to smoke them while in a tanning salon, I’m sextuple taxed!

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 09:37:29

And if I try to smoke them while in a tanning salon, I’m sextuple taxed!

LOL.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 09:38:30

Don’t reward investor risk and investors go else where.

Where will they go? Might they go, start a business and create some jobs?

 
Comment by WT Economist
2012-11-20 10:00:12

“Hey - can I fully tax your paycheck twice? Didn’t think so.”

People just repeat these things without thinking. Payroll tax plus income tax. Wage income IS taxed twice, as long as it is high enough to be taxable and low enough to be under the $110,000 threshold.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 10:04:22

Where will they go? Might they go, start a business and create some jobs?

Funny thing about that: One of the events that catalyzed my push into startup mode was a significant loss in the stock market last year… a need to generate a reliable income stream outside of what the market could or would provide.

 
Comment by snowgirl
2012-11-20 12:01:56

Hey - can I fully tax your paycheck twice?

Taxes as it passes to employee.
Taxed when spent.
Taxed at death as you attempt to give any leftovers to someone else.

 
 
 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 06:39:43

“In my 30 years in practice, I’ve never seen such a flood of desire and action to transfer a business and cash out,” said Kenneth K. Bezozo, a partner in New York with the law firm Haynes and Boone. “We’re seeing a watershed event.”

Sounds like a good time to buy low. And the gov gets a nice revenue pop.

Win/win?

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 07:40:18

No, lose/lose. France is going into a recession and has just lost its AAA status. The attempt to dramatically raise taxes on the rich has flopped.

Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 08:03:05

Looks like they ran out of other people’s money.

Coming soon to America.

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Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 08:32:36

“This is the strongest global economy I’ve seen in my business lifetime” — Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, July 2007

 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 08:11:12

France? Are we talking about France or the US?

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 08:24:40

Both, since France is a great example of what we can expect.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 09:38:42

Both, since France is a great example of what we can expect.

France should be the example we try not to emulate… Greece is the end result. Both should be avoided.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 09:46:21

Both, since France is a great example of what we can expect.

Good health-care at half the price and 1 month vacations? :)

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 10:05:23

Good health-care at half the price and 1 month vacations?

Unshaven women…

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-11-20 10:59:40

I assume by ‘trying to avoid being like France’ you mean not starving the poor until they riot and storm the Bastille and start cutting the heads off of the oligarchy with guillotines. To that end, I suggest the rich stop whining about removal of all their tax advantages and hope they can shove enough cake into the maw of the increasing poverty class to keep them calm long enough for them to get the middle class growing again.

The rich seem to forget every other generation or so that a strong middle class is what keeps the pitchforks at bay. When the middle class is shrinking, they are getting closer and closer to being the first against the wall come the revolution.

 
Comment by Spook
2012-11-20 11:15:44

30 year old students and 50 year old retirees

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 11:19:02

When you value equality over liberty, you will find you soon have neither.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 11:43:31

When you value money over the good of your society, you will have neither.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-11-20 13:00:51

Alpha, if you have enough money, you don’t need a good society. You can buy your fortress and your private army and the rest of society can go hang, as they say.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 14:41:48

You can buy your fortress and your private army

Yeah, I guess so. But it seems like it would be more enjoyable to be rich in a country where you could cruise around in your convertible Ferrari with the roof down, chatting up the girls, instead of being clammed up in your armored BMW, with your bulletproof windows rolled up tight, and bodyguards, speeding from one secured location to another. But some seem to prefer the latter.

 
 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-11-20 14:09:18

The attempt to dramatically raise taxes on the rich has flopped.

So, raising rates back to where they were prior to 2001 (increases of 4.5% on the top MARGINAL rate) now makes us France?

Weren’t you one of the folks complaining that arguments these days quickly go to the extremes to make a point?

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 16:36:22

No, I already had said that losing the Bush tax break seem fair since many of them had supported open borders. But my problem is no sooner do the Republicans start to shift on that then the Democrats start changing their willingness to make any cuts to entitlements and then you have people on the left say we need to move the tax rate up to 91%. I would like the Bowles Simpson plan passed without amendments so we can start to move in a meaningful way to cut the deficit. It is not perfect but had we passed it at the beginning of the Obama administration we would be in a far better position. It is a reasonable compromise.

Fairly soon if we do not have meaningful cuts, the U.S. is going to lose its reserve currency status. This will reduce everyone’s standard of living by 20 to 25% and I pity the party that holds the presidency when it happens. When we cannot just print money without consequences, we will look like Greece. Elections have consequences but so too do trillion dollar a year deficits and six trillion added to the debt.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2012-11-20 17:08:33

Thanks for the clarification. And agreed. Still, let’s stay away from the dire “we’re gonna turn into France” warnings.

That said, I wish more people understood that things need to get worse before they get better. Of course that will be labeled as this (and probably the next) President’s failures, when it’s just the necessary flush occurring.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Al
2012-11-20 06:41:55

““In my 30 years in practice, I’ve never seen such a flood of desire and action to transfer a business and cash out,” said Kenneth K. Bezozo, a partner in New York with the law firm Haynes and Boone. “We’re seeing a watershed event.””

This means nothing unless the business is closed. And of course, business closures weren’t mentioned because they’re unlikey to happen. A profitable business is still profitable under a different tax system. Some owners may cash out, and many of those will have seller’s remorse.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-11-20 07:06:54

Most businesses operate on a thin margin. If you cut that margin significantly with higher taxes, the business is worth a lot less. That means something.

Comment by oxide
2012-11-20 10:38:37

Are thin margins really taxed that much? My understanding is that taxes don’t really cut the margin until the margin is thick enough that you can afford to cut it. That’s the basis for a progressive tax system in the first place.

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Comment by polly
2012-11-20 11:19:16

Define “margin.” Business is taxed on its profits. If your profits go down, so do your taxes. The taxes don’t stay the same and reduce the profits.

What taxes will reduce is the amount you keep after the taxes are paid. Maybe you can find someplace else to put the money that will give a better return? Except you have to pay taxes on that return as well, unless it is all unrealized capital gains and then, well, the money can go poof before you get your hands on it.

So, explain to me the “margin” argument again.

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Comment by mathguy
2012-11-20 13:45:09

If you have a 100M revenue business, with 10M net income, the value might be something like 7x trailing quarter’s earnings, so 10M - 35% tax = 6.5M / 4 = 1.625M x 7 = 11.3M valuation of the company. How does the 7x trailing quarters earning come about? It’s based on a rate of return blended on the capital gains of the company and the expected dividend.

So say on the 11.3M valuation, the company is paying a 5% dividend, or 500k/yr. The people taking the dividend are paying 15% capital gains on that (after the 3.5 million already paid in corporate tax), or an additional 75k , netting 425k on the 11.3M valuation. 3.76% after tax return.

If you increase the tax rate on cap gains to 30%, the tax taken will now be 150k, netting 350k, or 3.10% after tax return. This is a reduction to 82.4% of the previous rate of return on your invested capital. All things being equal, you would expect the value of the company to drop some portion of that 17.6% reduction to balance the rate of return. So maybe the company is now worth 10.3M instead of 11.3M. Yes, that is “wealth destruction”. People won’t value a lesser performing asset as much as a higher performing one.

On the other hand, suppose the corporate tax rate either a) allowed dividends to be deducted (S corps do something like this as passthru income), or just lowered the corporate tax rate. You can see by boosting that expected dividend you can increase valuations of companies. Why our tax law doesn’t promote payment of dividends, I have no idea… especially on publicly traded companies (C-corps) available to average joes in 401k’s etc…

 
Comment by polly
2012-11-20 16:20:10

Because dividends are a distribution of profits (current or accumulated) not a business expense like interest (cost of capital).

Paying corporatate level taxes is entirely voluntary these days. If people don’t like it, they can reorganize as a limited liability company taxed as a partnership. The partners have to do a lot more paperwork, but the org has no organization level taxes.

 
 
 
 
Comment by oxide
2012-11-20 08:07:07

I call BS on the people in the article.

Kristina Collins, a chiropractor in McLean, Va., said she and her husband planned to closely monitor the business income from their joint practice to avoid crossing the income threshold for higher taxes outlined by President Obama on earnings above $200,000 for individuals and $250,000 for couples. “If we’re really close and it’s near the end-year, maybe we’ll just close down for a while and go on vacation,” she said.

Oh, she must be one of the people who are going to “refuse to work” because her taxes will go up. The usual conservative talking point.

Does she not understand she won’t pay the higher rates for ALL of their income if they cross the $250K line; and that she pays only the higher rates for what they make over $250K? Let’s say her income is $275K, $25K over the line. Here are her options:

Now: at 35%, $8750 in taxes. Take home $16250.
Next year: at ~40%, $10000 in taxes. Take home $15000.
“Goes on vacation” and doesn’t bring in the $25K: $0 in taxes. Take home $0.

So by “refusing to work,” and/or refusing to bow to eeeevil Obama, she loses $15K in take home pay. Okay honey, if that’s what you want, I won’t stop you. Just don’t be surprised when another, smarter, chiropractor takes that $25K of business income from you.

Another example:

John Moorin, the founder of a medical equipment company near Indianapolis, said he sold about $650,000 in dividend-paying stocks like McDonald’s and Coca-Cola a few days after the election, worried about the potential increase in taxes. ‘I love these companies, but I’m so scared that now all of the sudden I’m going to get taxed at such a rate with them that they won’t be worth anything,’ Mr. Moorin said.

Let’s assume his $650,000 is all in Coke. Today, Coke is $65/share, and for 2012, it paid 25.5 cents for share. So he makes about $2500 in income in dividends. Even under the maximum increase from 15% to 45%, his tax bill will go from $375 to $1125. Is that paltry $1375 take home “worthless?” Well, I suppose it would be, for a guy who has $650K cash lying around with nothing better to do than to support the high fructose corn syrup lobby. And Obama didn’t take a penny of the $650K; Obama only wants a few pennies from the income ON the $650K. Cry me a river. Go for it, Mr. Morin. Sell it all, take your $650k in cash and … do what with it? Spend it and create a job for someone? OK. Put it in the mattress? Ha, then you’ll lose $1375 in return, which I hope will keep you up at night.

And that goes for the rest of these rich or semi-rich folks. If they want to “cash out” or “refuse to work,” I say good riddance.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 08:17:58

And that goes for the rest of these rich or semi-rich folks. If they want to “cash out” or “refuse to work,” I say good riddance.

Same thing I say about the rich who will supposedly renounce their citizenship and move abroad, if their tax brackets go up a few percent. Good riddance to bad trash. Go screw up someone else’s country.

Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 08:39:03

After the “Producers” and “Job Creators” all leave USA and set up their Galt Gulch paradise overseas who’s gonna pay for all the welfare queens Escalades and Obama phones and SNAP cards to buy steak and lobster?

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 08:52:46

The people who take their place.

 
Comment by polly
2012-11-20 11:24:48

Exactly alpha. If there is demand to support the services, then the next most qualified (or connected, or advertised or whatever) person will do the work. A lot of people are out of work and really need the income. If a bunch of people decide they don’t need the income and don’t feel like working, the next group who do need the income will move into those positions.

Sounds like a great idea.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 16:41:49

When the people that fled or were shot in communist countries were gone, the countries never recovered. Not all the rich have talent but many do and you cannot just substitute one person for another. Lose a Steve Jobs and your country will regret it.

As an aside that is why I am not a bull on Apple. I see the company selling more and more products but not really adding to the bottom line. Without Jobs, the products will not be as unique and not have the same profit margin.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 16:47:54

China never recovered?

 
 
Comment by Bad Chile
2012-11-20 08:57:25

Cracks me up every time I hear some dyed in the wool, rich folk claiming to want to renounce their citizenship to “avoid higher taxes”. That gravy train ended in the summer of 2008. Ironically enough, you may recall that the younger Bush (a Republican) was the sitting president at the time.

The IRS has taxed all assets of citizens renouncing their citizenship as if they have sold all the assets on the way out the door. And any assets passed on to heirs are taxed at the gift tax rate.

So, please leave, and pay even more taxes. And then good luck getting a Green Card to work in the US, given our utterly failed immigration system.

Doh.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 09:53:29

Cracks me up every time I hear some dyed in the wool, rich folk claiming to want to renounce their citizenship to “avoid higher taxes”.

IMO, the number who would leave America wouldn’t amount to a rounding error in the rich’s numbers. Moving to a different country is much more of a jolt than most people would like to experience. Besides, if you’re rich, America is a great place to live.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 16:44:32

They may pay taxes on their income and capital gains on the way out but they will not be paying every year after that. Also, if they are really rich they do not need a green card because they are making their money more by investing than working.

 
Comment by john banner
2012-11-20 16:50:34

Didn’t Denise Rich renounced her citizenship. She was a big democratic supporter.

 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-11-20 09:03:39

I think that a lot of these expatriate Americans will stick out like a sore thumb. And this will be noted at least once every day.

Which means that they won’t be too happy in their new, non-American homes.

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Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 09:39:40

That’s unpossible. The “Producers”, the “Job Creators”, the “Masters of the Universe” will be welcomed with open arms wherever they deign to relocate.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 16:46:09

Yes, just like the people leaving France. I know you are being sarcastic but you are right. Billionaires always have an open door to countries.

 
Comment by TheNYCdb
2012-11-20 20:19:07

Especially in countries without extradition treaties.

 
 
 
Comment by AmazingRuss
2012-11-20 08:54:45

Maybe she just doesn’t want to work for the lower hourly rate, and would rather take a vacation.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 09:14:22

and would rather take a vacation.

That will increase the velocity of money.

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Comment by oxide
2012-11-20 10:15:51

But lower hourly rates make her more “competitive.” She’ll just have to accept that the global wage for chiropractors is going down. And taking a vacation? Lazy bum. Pretty soon she’ll be holding the banner in the free sh!t army parade. I know this because I read it just yesterday on HBB. :razz:

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Comment by MiddleCoaster
2012-11-20 09:30:40

As polly says: Darn those facts.

Comment by polly
2012-11-20 11:26:54

8)

I made a meme!

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Comment by In Colorado
2012-11-20 09:30:55

I call BS on the people in the article.

Agreed, a savvy business owner never leaves money on the table.

Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 09:49:19

Agreed, a savvy business owner never leaves money on the table.

Not necessarily… remember profit is net of taxes and expenses. By increasing the tax rate on income over $250k, it is very possible that between the higher taxes and continued expenses associated with operations and sales to get to that point, the profit margin becomes so slim as to not be worth the time and effort…

As AmazingRuss said above, if you’re accustomed to working for X per hour and now your working for 10% less, you may just decide that it isn’t worth your time and effort. I used to turn down contract work all the time because the rate was too low. After I paid taxes on the income, it wasn’t worth my time.

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Comment by Al
2012-11-20 11:01:20

“After I paid taxes on the income, it wasn’t worth my time.”

That’s not exactly a problem either. Unless you’re extremely specialised, there is someone else to take that contract.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-11-20 11:03:32

I’d like to know where the crossing point is on that cost/benefit graph. At what income does it become not worth the money? That would give us an idea of the income ceiling in America, the point at which Americans would cash out and pack up the business. I suspect (hope) that the figure is higher than $250K.

I used to turn down contract work all the time because the rate was too low.

And yet, when the unemployed turn down $2/hour baker jobs or $9/hour accounting jobs because they think the rate is too low, the conservatives on this board berate them for not being “competitive” and wanting “free sh!t” and “union goons” and tell them they better take the $2 and like it, or else they can’t feed the family, or the company will move somewhere more business-friendly.

Northeasterner, are you any different? Would you have turned your nose up at those “low rates” if all your customers/bosses threatened to go elsewhere and leave you with no contracts at all? Are you truly the only person who could do your job?

(unless, I suppose you’re wealthy enough that you could afford to not work at all, so you only take jobs when you want to…)

 
Comment by polly
2012-11-20 11:30:39

On the other hand, if you really, really need $x to live the life you want, and taxes increase so you need to work more to get to $x, then you may be motivated to work more hours to get to the income you want.

Economists recognize both concepts as motivating work and which one dominates will depend on the particular facts and circumstances. If you dedided not to work those extra hours, you must already make as much as or more than your internal accountant thinks you need. Congratulations. That doesn’t mean the next person will feel the same way.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 13:00:25

I’d like to know where the crossing point is on that cost/benefit graph. At what income does it become not worth the money?

If you decided not to work those extra hours, you must already make as much as or more than your internal accountant thinks you need.

I think it differs across industries and for each individual. In my case, I already had a full-time job, so the contract work was an additional source of income and the time spent performing the work was my “free-time”. I put a very high value on my free time, so even though the contract work paid what was equivalent to my salary, the fact that I didn’t “need” the money and the taxes were higher (self-employment tax, as I was a 1099) meant that it was much less lucrative or desirable for me.

For the record, I’m no where near earning what I want to earn or what I think my time is worth… but I didn’t see the contract work as being lucrative enough for the time I spent. The potential payoff with the start-up is significantly higher, both in terms of salary/bonus and ownership stake, if things work out. If I’m successful in that venture, I don’t particularly care what tax rate I’m at, as I should make millions (literally).

I guess that answers the first question: for me, millions in “income” are worth the extra effort and higher taxes. Tens of thousands in extra income, not so much. This is in a household in the top 10% of income…

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 16:56:31

In the 1950’s corporate executives spent much of their time at the country club who could blame them given the 90% tax rate. Maybe that is why by the 1960’s companies such as Xerox and Kodak had lost their edge and were on the road to irrelevance.

How much is enough? To a sociopath CEO it might never be enough and plenty make it to the top. Many of them will pass the point of making an efficient organization to short sided decisions which will eventually bankrupt the corporation.
However, even to a reasonable person it does depend somewhat on how much is taken by the government. It is the billion dollar question on how do we continue to have CEO’s make our corporations competitive without the excessive compensation they do receive and no accountability for short sighted decisions.

 
 
 
Comment by CeeCee
2012-11-20 11:26:59

She’s not thinking about the patients. What if she hits 250k at 8 months in? She’s going to take a 4 month vacation and her patients won’t be able to see her for that time. All of the people I know who get adjusted do it once every 2 weeks/month. So, they WILL find someone else, and she’ll lose her customer base. These people think their customers are idiots, but it’s THEIR money, and they won’t hesitate to find a better person.

 
Comment by mathguy
2012-11-20 14:43:18

see my example above about how lowering the rate of return on the guys investment doesn’t just eat into his income stream from his invested 650k, it actually decreases the value of his $650k due to lower return expectations from his investment.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-11-20 15:01:13

What about people who don’t have a “one hour of work equals $x” existence, but a “one hour of work equals a POTENTIAL $y at some point in the future” existence?

With due respect, it’s not a “refuse to work”, but in my job for instance, if I stay up late doing more work, it ultimately can translate to more income down the road (or NOT, depending on whether the effort resulting in growing the business)–I’m not an hourly worker. If I get to keep $0.50 on the dollar, it’s still enough for me to push really damn hard. If that number goes up to 60% (and we’re damn near there when you count state, self-employment, etc.), I’ll still push, but on the margin, I might go to bed early a few more nights each week…perhaps even go see a movie with my wife.

If that number goes to 70% or 75%, well, I’ll make sure I do enough that the business can be a going concern and still growing (ie. I don’t disappear), but I won’t break my back doing it.

It’s a lot like in school, when I got a B+ in a core class. I decided that in the next quarter, I would bust my butt to get on of the few A’s that are given out. So, I spent at least double the time on that class…the result? B+ (tough curve–damn pre-med students). There was a 100% tax on the additional time there. So for the next quarter, there was a lot more fun, and a lot less studying, with a B+ result.

There’s nothing childish about it, it’s just math and incentives.

That’s why I really like the idea of cutting deductions to the bone, and lowering the highest marginal rate. I pay more in tax on day one, sure, but if I’m trying to figure out whether to stay up for an extra hour doing something, I have a good likelihood of getting to keep more of that money.

Once you understand that fundamental point about NOT being an hourly employee, you’ll understand why the Simpson Bowles commission was pushing for eliminating deductions and lowering rates (like Romney).

It just doesn’t sell as well to voters as “raise taxes back to the Clinton years (for the wealthy)”.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 01:28:57

Bloomberg News
European Stocks Decline as Moody’s Downgrades France
By Namitha Jagadeesh on November 20, 2012

European stocks fell, after the Stoxx Europe 600 Index jumped the most in two months yesterday, as Moody’s Investors Service downgraded France and euro-area finance ministers prepared to meet. U.S. index futures declined, while Asian shares rose.

BNP Paribas SA (BNP) and Societe Generale SA (GLE) paced losses among French lenders. Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN) fell 3.1 percent after saying it will reorganize its investment bank.

The Stoxx 600 (SXXP) retreated 0.3 percent to 267.73 at 8:03 a.m. in London. The gauge has still rallied 15 percent from this year’s low on June 4 as the European Central Bank announced an unlimited bond-buying plan and the Federal Reserve began a third round of asset purchases. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures declined 0.3 percent today, while the MSCI Asia Pacific Index increased 0.1 percent.

“Moody’s ratings agency pulled the trigger on France’s triple-A rating last night,” Michael Hewson, a market analyst at CMC Markets Plc in London, wrote in e-mailed comments. “It could have a trickledown effect down through the French banking system, with potential downgrades for French banks, feeding through into higher borrowing costs.”

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 01:32:12

California’s Katrina?
By Paul Tullis and Evan Applegate on November 15, 2012

The scenario is known as “California’s Katrina.” An earthquake or superstorm causes Gold Rush-era earthen levees to collapse. Saltwater from San Francisco Bay floods the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta, displacing half a million lowland Californians, poisoning the water supply for as many as 28 million more who live in Los Angeles, San Diego, and Silicon Valley, and ruining farmland that produces 11 percent of the nation’s agricultural value. The eighth-largest economy in the world could be sunk for months, even years.

Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 06:16:56

Can we blame Bush for that too?

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 08:07:28

Why do you always try to blame everything on Bush?

 
 
Comment by ProperBostonian
2012-11-20 06:31:42

“The eighth-largest economy in the world could be sunk for months, even years.”

And even then, house prices would probably still go up.

Comment by AmazingRuss
2012-11-20 10:00:39

Who doesn’t want a houseboat, after all?

 
 
Comment by ahansen
2012-11-20 12:09:16

One moderate earthquake, one crack in the dike without a little Dutch boy handy, and Los Angeles is left to make do with the scant water it gets from the LA River.

Which is ANOTHER potential Katrina that practically no one who lives in the Greater LA area has considered because it’s been so long since we’ve had any significant rainfall.

Los Angeles is a river basin. (That’s why they call it the LA Basin.) The river channels that crisscross the city from Hansen Dam in Sepulveda, down to Maywood and Huntington Park, through downtown to Long Beach and Huntington Beach and beyond DO overflow, and in a hundred year storm could potentially submerge 15+ million households.

The channels overflowed as recently as 2005, and in 1969 threatened millions, but haven’t been seriously renovated since the deadly floods of 1938. And there’s been a lot of building since then….

 
Comment by Muggy
2012-11-20 13:45:18

Earth is a risky place to live.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 14:43:44

It’s a good safe place to die, though.

 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 05:54:30

Spain: Residency for foreigners who buy houses
AP | 11-19-2012

MADRID (AP) — Looking for a new place to call home? Spain is hoping to give you a little bit more than a welcome basket of baked goods if you decide to move there. In an attempt to reduce the country’s bloated stock of unsold homes, the government is set to offer permanent residency to any foreigner provided they buy a house or apartment worth more than €160,000 ($200,000).

The plan, unveiled by Trade Ministry secretary Jaime Garcia-Legaz Monday and expected to be approved in the coming weeks, would be aimed principally at Chinese and Russian buyers. Spain has more than 700,000 unsold houses following the collapse of its real estate market in 2008 and demand from the recession-hit domestic market is stagnant.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 08:09:05

“… the government is set to offer permanent residency to any foreigner provided they buy a house or apartment worth more than €160,000 ($200,000).”

Can they offer a guaranteed job opportunity with that deal? If so, maybe it’s time to brush up on the Spanish…

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 08:26:24

I wonder if the permanent residency permit allows you to work there.

Comment by jbunniii
2012-11-20 10:41:55

At 25% unemployment, it wouldn’t make much difference whether it did or not.

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Comment by polly
2012-11-20 12:12:50

It would if it also meant the ability to work in the rest of the EU.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 12:13:49

I wonder if you could start a business there on the permit? Spain would be a perfect place to try out my solar-powered tanning salon concept. (It’s a room with no ceiling or roof.)

 
Comment by Walnuts
2012-11-20 14:02:34

haha - nice.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 05:58:56

The Latest Taxpayer Housing Bust
The Wall Street Journal - 20 NOV 2012

Vindication is overrated, especially in a losing cause, so it brings no satisfaction to have predicted that the Federal Housing Administration would sooner or later threaten taxpayers. That day has arrived. Safely past the election, the feds announced Friday that the FHA’s liabilities exceed its assets by at least $16.3 billion—and the gap could reach $93.7 billion in the worst case.

Yet it’s worth recalling that when we warned about FHA’s troubles in September 2009, we got an accounting lecture from HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan and a letter from FHA Commissioner at the time, David Stevens, that we were “just plain wrong.” He added that, “I can say undoubtedly that the FHA fund is playing a key role in the housing recovery and poses no immediate risk to the American taxpayer.”

Taxpayers will “undoubtedly” be pleased to know that the threat wasn’t “immediate” but arrived a mere three years later. Can taxpayers claw back the salaries of Messrs. Donovan and Stevens the way Congress has tried to do with those of financial CEOs?

The Administration is trying to spin the FHA’s troubles as one more result of the housing bust, which is true but disingenuous. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac went belly up in 2008 because of the housing boom and bust. At the time, the FHA was in relatively good shape because it had played a minor role during the housing mania.

The FHA got into trouble because it deliberately expanded in 2007-2009 even as the market was crashing. As Mr. Donovan likes to say, the FHA was steered to play “an important countercyclical role in the housing market.” The point was to ramp up FHA’s loan-guarantee business to prop up housing prices as much as possible during the bust.

While this helped the Obama Administration politically, it arguably prolonged the recovery by failing to let prices find a bottom. Meanwhile, FHA’s boom put taxpayers on the hook for tens of billions worth of dubious loans made at the most dubious time. Those are the loans now going bust. According to the new HUD report, FHA loans insured between fiscal 2007 and 2009 “continue to place a significant strain on the [single-family mortgage insurance] Fund and are expected to reach a total of $70 billion in claims.”

The ugly math: 25.82% of FHA’s 2007 loans, 24.88% of its 2008 loans, and 12.18% of its 2009 loans were seriously delinquent as of June 30. The American Enterprise Institute’s Ed Pinto, who also predicted the FHA debacle, estimates that 17.3% of all FHA loans were delinquent as of September 30. That’s about one in six loans.

Most businesses would look at these losses and flee such a market. But the FHA, which responds to political rather than market incentives, has literally tried to make it up on volume. In recent years, the FHA has expanded to insure higher-quality loans that by law were supposed to be the preserve of private lenders.

You will not be reassured to know that HUD claims that all of this is merely temporary. The FHA says it doesn’t currently need a Treasury bailout because it will reduce its losses by raising insurance premiums, expanding short sales, selling some of its distressed loans and helping troubled borrowers modify their mortgages. That’s nice, but why wasn’t it doing this already?

The FHA is another case study in how government programs sold with the best intentions are inevitably corrupted. FHA was founded in 1934 to help lower- to middle-income and first-time home buyers obtain a mortgage, but its mission expanded over the years as the housing lobby sought to channel ever more taxpayer-guaranteed money into housing. When the agency opened, its minimum down payment was a prudent 20%. In the 1960s, that number fell to 10%, and now it’s 3.5%.

The other issue is accountability. As government program after government program fails, no one takes responsibility. Fannie and Freddie hit taxpayers for $138 billion, the Post Office loses $15.9 billion, and now the FHA is insolvent. We weren’t kidding about those salary clawbacks.

Comment by ProperBostonian
2012-11-20 06:40:16

“The point was to ramp up FHA’s loan-guarantee business to prop up housing prices as much as possible during the bust.”

From an article in the American Banker:
“So don’t be fooled by the “bailout” hysteria. In exchange for our support today, the FHA saved taxpayers hundreds of billions of dollars by preventing massive home-price declines”

By preventing massive home-price declines? If house prices bubbled out of reach of the very people the FHA is supposed to help, the one thing it shouldn’t be doing is preventing price decline and with tax dollars.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-11-20 07:26:00

They haven’t “prevented” massive price declines. They have only postponed them and thereby ensured that they will be only more spectacular.

 
Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 07:28:18

Didn’t you get the memo????

It is the government’s #1 job to keep housing prices as high as possible.

And the obama administration has done a GREAT job of it.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 08:16:12

“And the obama administration has done a GREAT job of it.”

I thought propping up housing prices was the Fed’s job?

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Comment by In Colorado
2012-11-20 09:32:47

Indeed, it’s the Fed who’s buying up all the bad paper.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 11:20:40

Reappointed by whom?

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 08:15:12

“If house prices bubbled out of reach of the very people the FHA is supposed to help, the one thing it shouldn’t be doing is preventing price decline and with tax dollars.”

And another thing it shouldn’t be doing is attempting to buffer the housing market against further price decline by luring more low-income families into taking out unaffordable loans to buy houses at out-of-reach prices. Among other issues, this raises the scepter of racial discrimination in predatory lending, as people of color are disproportionately represented in low-income families.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 08:11:17

“…the feds announced Friday that the FHA’s liabilities exceed its assets by at least $16.3 billion—and the gap could reach $93.7 billion in the worst case.”

That’s a huge spread. Who besides me expects the gap will ‘unexpectedly’ turn out a lot closer to $93.7 billion than to $16.3 billion?

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-11-20 11:16:59

I think they’re missing a 1 in that estimate. More like $193.7 billion. Because the worst case estimate from 3 years ago was a $0 dollar taxpayer liability. In 3 years when this is coming up to fully roost, the worst case scenario will be far worse than what we envision now.

 
 
Comment by mathguy
2012-11-20 14:48:57

You know, all the other programs aside, I’m glad that pretty much everyone on this blog liberal or conservative alike agrees that the FHA, Fannie, and Freddie are boondoggle giveaways to the banksters. I *wish* people could extrapolate and see that insurance lobbies, MIC lobbies, farmer lobbies, oil and gas lobbies, and education lobbies are all getting something similar, but I will at least rejoice that we pretty much all agree on this one housing giveaway.

 
Comment by Anon In DC
2012-11-20 20:00:34

Yes, the feds. Exactly the people I want to run health care.

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 06:27:05

Even though it is China it sounds eerily familiar…

TBTF - hahahaha!

—————————–

Purple Palace Abandoned Shows China Shadow-Banking Risk
By Bloomberg News - Nov 19, 2012

Niu Dianqing stopped his motorbike at a construction site in China’s Inner Mongolia one morning last month. The front door was locked.
Enlarge image Purple Palace Abandoned Reveals China Shadow Banking Gone Awry

Designed for 300,000 people, Kangbashi, the new urban center of Ordos prefecture, may have only 28,000 residents, Bank of America-Merrill Lynch said last year.

“They said they will pay me this month, but it seems I’m fooled again,” said Niu, who supplied nets for protecting workers from falling off bamboo scaffolding at the half- completed Purple Palace, a development including a luxury hotel and three residential buildings in the city of Ordos. “The doorman was still here last week, but now even he’s gone.”

The developer, Ordos Jin’ao Property Development Co., owes a lot more than the 10,000 yuan ($1,604) Niu is trying to collect, and it isn’t only suppliers who are out of the money. Dozens of investors nationwide have put 445 million yuan of savings into funding Purple Palace’s construction.

The two-year investment vehicles they purchased, called trusts, promised an annual interest rate of at least 10 percent and return of principal in March 2013. With at least 1,000 similar projects having ground to a halt this year in Ordos, where over-investment has resulted in a building boom gone bust, tens of thousands of investors risk default.

“The risks are significant there, and something must be done by the government to stop potential defaults of property trusts from spreading nationwide,” said Lian Ping, an economist at Shanghai-based Bank of Communications Co. “Trusts have become too large to fail.”

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-11-20 07:38:53

What’s 445 million Yuan times 1,000 and how many fake cities like Ordos are there?

“Trusts have become too large to fail.” POOF!

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 08:18:07

I’m guessing lots of wealthy Americans are going to lose a bundle when the Chinese real estate bubble collapses. I know some people who set up deals for said Americans to invest in China…

Comment by Young Deezy
2012-11-20 10:12:18

Why would anyone do this? Sink a bunch of money into investments in a country famous for corruption and lack of transparency. What’s that saying about a fool and their money…?

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Comment by In Colorado
2012-11-20 09:34:24

China is waaaay past where we got on our bubble, with price to annual income ratios in some Chinese cities as high as 100x.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-21 00:43:14

Also have whole cities built with almost no occupants (e.g. Ordos)…

 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 06:32:01

“We made a concentrated effort to attract these businesses regardless of their business prospects”

Note: “Attract” means GIVE these businesses billions in taxpayer dollars.

Why government fails in health care
Why government fails in housing
Why government fails in education
Why government fails in “green energy”
Etc.
Etc.
Etc.

———————————————–

Michigan Home to Half of the Largest Bankrupt Green Energy Companies
Michigan Capitol Confidential | 11/19/2012 | Tom Gantert

Gov. Jennifer Granholm often spoke of using “green energy” to turn around the state’s economy, but instead Michigan has become the epicenter of government-subsidized failures.

Four of the nation’s top eight “green energy” companies that have filed for bankruptcy had operations in Michigan and received state and federal subsidies.

Federal, state and local governments were willing to put up as much as $874 million for those four companies, but they still could not avoid bankruptcy. The government aid figure includes tax credits, loans, loan guarantees, grants and other financial incentives, according to The Heritage Foundation.

The companies were part of President Barack Obama’s effort to stimulate the economy. Gov. Granholm also trumpeted many of the failed companies as big-time job creators.

“We made a concentrated effort to attract these businesses regardless of their business prospects,” said James Hohman, a fiscal policy analyst for the Mackinac Center for Public Policy. “Michigan taxpayers have been paying the costs but reaping few of the benefits.”

Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 08:21:48

Yes, it is Bush’s fault.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 08:29:01

It seems like we all agree it’s Bush’s fault now — even 2banana. Can we move on?

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 10:52:36

Discrimination is in order:

Why government fails in health care: No
Why government fails in housing: Yes
Why government fails in education Yes
Why government fails in “green energy”
No

 
 
Comment by ProperBostonian
2012-11-20 06:44:21

“Lloyds sells $2.3 billion Irish loans at 90 percent discount”

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/19/us-lloydsbank-ireland-idUSBRE8AI0SP20121119

Comment by rms
2012-11-20 09:10:14

We make money the old fashioned way.

Comment by ProperBostonian
2012-11-20 09:30:03

We throw it into a black hole.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-21 00:44:14

Getting bailouts?

 
 
 
Comment by Real Northeasterner (non gun-toting, boot-strapping variety)
2012-11-20 07:00:52

I was discussing the election results w/ a friend at work I hadn’t seen in a while. We were discussing whether the election results, combined with demographics in the coming decades, will mark any significant changes. He talked about some exit polls from Maryland (where we both live)–the big generation divide in Maryland was best seen in the Maryland Dream Act (in-state tuition for undocumented students who graduate an MD HS and whose parents have been paying MD income taxes at least 3 yrs).

The Dream Act passed with ~62% of the vote. I was wondering who would be against this–a) old white people, mostly the 50+ and 65+ categories and b) African Americans. Mostly downscale economically as well. Among younger people, the Dream Act received 80%+. Definitely a change–even though 18-29 and 30-39 aren’t nearly a majority of the electorate, you can see where things are headed.

The state is now going to need to set up a lending facility to make this happen–it will take a year or two to get up and running. Gov. O’Malley is going to get a lot of credit once the program is in place, so lots of incentive for him to deliver.

I don’t understand why older people don’t get it–these kids would still have to apply and be admitted. And if they do not go to college, it’s not like they are going to leave the state–they’ll end up with worse options and the state as a whole will be poorer for it. If a kid can get into U of Maryland, he should not be stuck roaming the streets or waiting tables. It’s a much better financial deal in the long run for the state to run a loan program and help these kids do something with their potential.

Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 07:32:39

Yeah - who could be against giving people who come and live in your state/county ILLEGALLY preferential treatment?

Who could could be against giving people who come and live in your state/county ILLEGALLY lower tuition rates than AMERICANS from other states?

Who could be against giving people who come and live in your state/country ILLEGALLY a slot at a Maryland School which means that an AMERICAN did not get in?

The insanity of liberals.

But the free sh*t army sticks together.

The Dream Act passed with ~62% of the vote. I was wondering who would be against this

Comment by Real Northeasterner (non gun-toting, boot-strapping variety)
2012-11-20 08:08:39

Sorry you’re older and less well-off banana. Perhaps you live in a red state (most of which pay less in taxes than they receive from FedGov).

Don’t worry Banana; I will not complain while I pay the taxes which are part of the bargain of living in this country and doing well.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 08:28:55

I call BS on the red state and blue state tax paying. I would like to see current data. I have already shown that California now gets more benefits from the government than it receives. I would like to see current data for all the states.

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Comment by Real Northeasterner (non gun-toting, boot-strapping variety)
2012-11-20 09:00:30

Don’t worry, us younger Marylanders will continue to find your red state infrastructure, first responders, Medicare, and SS.

You’ll just have to put up with marriage equality, the Dream Act, Roe v Wade being upheld, Citizens United being struck down, and all your John Galt type idols paying slightly more in taxes.

Honestly, if I was middle aged or beyond, I wouldn’t worry too much about this. You’ll be in a pine box before we finish working through the problems you guys created. You can’t fix 3 decades of problems in 4 years or even 8 years.

 
Comment by Young Deezy
2012-11-20 10:14:45

CU was struck down? That’s news to me. (Hint: it won’t happen in this lifetime)

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-11-21 01:00:20

Good for you, RN. What you’ll inherit is what you’re creating right now. Don’t make the same mistake the ijits in my generation did. You truly DO reap what you sow.

I look at the millennials and you guys give me such hope…. :-)

 
 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 10:00:37

Gov. Patrick here in MA just announced the UMASS system would provide in-state tuition to undocumented workers. Nothing like marginalizing the benefits of citizenship. I mean, why not just offer the same in-state tuition to everyone everywhere, including foreigners? That’s right, because it wouldn’t benefit the political standing of liberals to do that. But it does benefit liberals to support the illegal constituents here. Maybe Romney was correct… Obama won on handouts to constituents.

BTW, I think it’s hilarious that you plagiarized my name but obviously take the more liberal view of things…

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Comment by Real Northeasterner (non gun-toting, boot-strapping variety)
2012-11-20 10:33:22

I “plagerized” your name because I don’t want the Bos-Wash corridor associated with gun-toting, faux-boot-strapping types who extol the virtues of the .1% while working for a living themselves. It comes off like you’re getting screwed but you’re unaware of it and, to make matters worse, cheering the people who are screwing you.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2012-11-20 11:58:55

There are plenty of us gun owning DIY types out here.

What’s that got to do with giving free college to criminals?

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 13:14:52

faux-boot-strapping types who extol the virtues of the .1% while working for a living themselves.

Ah, so what makes you think I’m “faux-boot-strapping”? And how is one supposed to create wealth except through work? Other than those who inherited, don’t all of us “work for a living” until you’ve earned enough to not work or work because you want to?

As to the .1%, I’m pretty sure I’ve never defended them. I have defended the economic system that allows all of us to create value and wealth, including the .1%. I’ve also said I think government needs to get out of the way of small businesses and that more taxes aren’t the answer. Does any of that sound like defending the .1%?

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 13:21:32

faux-boot-strapping types

Here’s the definition of boot-strapping from google:

bootstrappingpresent (Verb)
*Get (oneself or something) into or out of a situation using existing resources.
*Start up (an enterprise), esp. one based on the Internet, with minimal resources.

Which ones don’t apply?

 
Comment by oxide
2012-11-20 13:29:23

how is one supposed to create wealth except through work?

In 2010, Mitt Romney made $22 million and didn’t work at all. Next.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 13:33:50

I’ve also said I think government needs to get out of the way of small businesses and that more taxes aren’t the answer. Does any of that sound like defending the .1%?

Tax the .1% higher and invest part of that money into developing real incentives and advantages for small businesses. The .1% and their sheltered, huge businesses have done more to kill small businesses than any other small group in America than I can think of.

This is how Capitalism can be managed by governments to provide the benefits of productivity and wealth to more than just the .1%. Other countries do it. We should too.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 14:12:35

Tax the .1% higher and invest part of that money into developing real incentives and advantages for small businesses.

I’m definitely not in the “Grover Norquist” camp of no new taxes… especially if it means we hit the fiscal cliff and 90% see higher taxes.

 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 08:14:25

Excerpt from Denver Post piece - Local effects of the “fiscal cliff”

“For Denver’s school system, the hardest hit programs would be those that help English language learners succeed … District officials tell us that the fiscal-cliff cuts would mean about $4.6 million for Denver schools alone.

In short, some of those who will take the most direct hit are those who most need a helping hand.”

It’s not a criminal invasion of illegal Mexicans draining our city’s resources, it’s the poor innocent childrens whose parents just happened to drop their anchors in El Norte. And it’s not a “handout”, it’s a “helping hand”. PUKE.

Comment by Real Northeasterner (non gun-toting, boot-strapping variety)
2012-11-20 09:04:37

We can agree to disagree, but over here, if you have a decent education, it’s pretty hard not to have a decent job. We can use the labor. I would much rather have immigrants come here, work hard for us, and be able to raise their family in return. It’s not like they are taking jobs from competent/educated/non-addict Americans.

A lot of employers at the lower level have to choose between hiring W.T./People of Walmart or hiring immigrants. Of course they choose the immigrants. You would too.

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Comment by Montana
2012-11-20 09:43:48

All those new Mexican scientists software developers coming out of Maryland schools ought to be great for the economy.

 
Comment by Ryan
2012-11-20 09:45:51

You neglect the fact that not all of the Americans in your community who grew up in homes where taxes were paid went off to college. A lot of those kids grew up to become masons, carpenters, welders, janitors, etc.

These are the same jobs that are now harder to come by for these same Americans because they are exactly the jobs that are being absorbed by our visitors from the far South. The wage are depressed and the standard of living for all people in this category

 
Comment by Real Northeasterner (non gun-toting, boot-strapping variety)
2012-11-20 09:48:36

How are they Mexican if they went to school here? Most of these kids have never been to Mexico.

And yes, some of them will become scientists, engineers, lawyers, etc. LOL at your racism showing if you think a kid who gets admitted to UMD or UMBC (etc) has less verbal or math ability than a white American kid.

Maybe it’s a generational thing, but the immigrant kids I grew up with worked just as hard, if not harder, than kids of citizens. And perhaps it’s selection bias, but I attended an Ivy with a lot of VERY capable children of immigrants.

It’s time to get in tune with demographic reality, gramps. Today’s immigrants are no less capable than the Irish, Polish, or Italians of the 20th century.

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 09:56:01

We have posted this here before, the criminal invasion of 20 million illegal Mexicans and their anchor babies does not benefit working class and middle class white and black American citizens.

Some of us do not want the country we were born in to turn into Mexico.

The GOP Chamber of Commerce types want the Mexodus for cheap labor.

The libtard Dems want the Mexodus for more recruits to the Free Sh*t Army for votes.

We want neither.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 10:13:52

LOL at your racism showing if you think a kid who gets admitted to UMD or UMBC (etc) has less verbal or math ability than a white American kid.

WOW. This is a new low for liberals. First you plagarize my name and post the opposite side of many of my arguments. Then you throw out the racism card when no one is discussing “race”. Does that win you points with your liberal friends?

The children of illegals born here may be considered citizens of the US, with the rights therein, but those who are here illegally are breaking the law and should not be given any of the benefits of citizenship. It is a slap in the face to those who have followed the rule of law and gained citizenship the proper way.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 11:17:08

As far as being as able as past immigrants, I have posted numerous posts where I show that unlike legal immigrants, you do not see the children of the illegal immigrants advancing. In fact, the children of the illegals are proned to joining gangs, dropping out of schools and using mean tested programs. What is happening to California is a great example of the problems including gang violence directed against blacks merely because they lived in the gang areas.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 11:40:15

High-Immigration States Tend To Have Less-Educated Workers

By Roy Beck, Friday, July 16, 2010, 2:27 PM EST

Our new maps (see below) suggest that if a state wants an educated workforce that creates a strong middle class and high tax base, it might want to avoid high immigration.

Take Nevada as an example. In 1970, it had the 5th best-educated laborforce in the country (based on rate of high school dropouts)……. what might account for such a disastrous drop? Note that the map on the right also shows Nevada colored red — in this case, for being in the highest level of immigration. (Interestingly, its long-time U.S. Senator, Harry Reid, continues to be one of the country’s strongest advocates of pushing immigration to even higher levels.)

Both Senators from California (colored red for highest immigration) also are urging higher levels of immigration. After 40 years of high immigration, California has plummeted from No. 7 in educated laborforces to No. 50.

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 11:46:59

you do not see the children of the illegal immigrants advancing

http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-14/hispanic-workers-lack-education-as-numbers-grow-in-u-s-.html

But of course, to discuss this is Racist®

 
 
 
 
Comment by Real Northeasterner (non gun-toting, boot-strapping variety)
2012-11-20 09:53:41

The MD Dream Act got only 58.5% of the vote, not 62%.

http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php/Maryland_In-State_Tuition_Referendum,_Question_4_(2012)

Just wanted to correct that.

Comment by polly
2012-11-20 13:50:00

There was nothing wrong with your old name, Joe.

 
 
Comment by CeeCee
2012-11-20 11:47:18

Sometimes I wonder how much of illegal immigration is “our” fault. I mean, our citizens go about recalling how AMAZING this country is to EVERYONE. How everyone is “jealous”, how we have the most “freedoms”, and how we are THE BEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD. Also, that little idea of “The land of opportunity” that immigrants REALLY believe.

I certainly understand why some people do not like all of the illegal immigration, but our government has allowed it for a long, long time. Some businesses also love it because you get to pay people below minimum wage and treat the workers like crap. If there was a willingness to pay a decent wage to people doing the jobs illegals do, I could see a point. However, a lot of citizens really would not do the jobs illegals do. The pay is too low, no benefits, you get treated like crap, and businesses would scoff at the idea of having to follow wage laws.

One of the biggest issues I have in all of this is I know a lot of illegal immigrants that were taken here as babies. Many of them didn’t even KNOW they were undocumented until they were almost 18! If you were to randomly deport them, they literally have NO place to go in their own country. And, to make matters worse, they are indeed “Americanized”, because most children who are raised here get shunned in their own culture. So, my biggest complaint is just deporting adults who were brought here against their will when they were under age. I’m not sure how to solve it, but it’s certainly not their fault, as they had no understanding or say. All of the undocumented immigrants I know WANT to work AND pay taxes. They came here for a better life, not to live off of a welfare system.

I keep thinking maybe allowing these adult children of undocumented immigrants to work for a few years, pay into the tax system, and go back WITHOUT a ban so they can enter legally would maybe be an option. So many are stuck because they can’t get a job, can’t get on welfare, and can’t move back because they have no money, have no family back there, or other reasons. Knowing there is a ban for these people makes a lot of them want to STAY, because they’d be leaving their life behind and would have no way of visiting.

Comment by Anon In DC
2012-11-20 20:09:52

So if I share how great my new car is and it’s stolen than it’s my fault?

Comment by CeeCee
2012-11-21 12:30:12

You do not “own” your country, though. I’m just pointing out how many people do not want immigration reform, do not want to help the people here make money so they can GO back home, but want to tell everyone how their country is number one. Some people are literally baffled as to why people would enter illegally from horrible conditions. When you say this is the country of opportunity and freedom, it’s only natural people from horrible conditions would try and make it here. I’m not saying if it’s right or wrong. I’m just saying the more you go screaming it, the less baffled you should be when people really believe it.

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Comment by polly
2012-11-20 12:28:23

I voted against it. I’m not that old. I’m not poor. I’m not a minority.

I do, however, know what government spending on susidized college education is for. It isn’t a reward for graduating from high school. It isn’t a reward for your parents paying income taxes. It is infrastructure spending so that there are educated people for local businesses to hire. If local businesses can’t hire you without violating the law, then it isn’t the role of the taxpayers of this state to further subsidize your college education.

Now, get to a point where these kids are on a road that is highly likely to get them a green card (whatever that road is) and we can talk about it again. Heck, we can talk about additional scholarships beyond just in-state tuition if you like. But there are plenty of people in MD colleges who can work here who don’t get in-state tuition. And the people of MD already subsidize the colleges even if you are paying out-of-state tuition. For people who can’t work here without causing their employer to violate the law, it is just one step too far.

Am I burning with rage over this? No. But I think the vote was premature.

Comment by ahansen
2012-11-21 01:15:04

If you’re in the top 8% of all high school graduates, I WANT you in our college system, regardless of your place of origin. What is the point of educating America’s misfits at the expense of it’s gifted? Why cater to the lowest common denominator just because they happened to be born here? Taxpayers are taxpayers.

These talented kids are the people who will be running our country in the next 30 years — and, presumably paying our social security benefits. Better them than the subsidized veterinary assistant/IT trainees who are gobbling up our Pell grants and defaulting on the loans because they don’t have the work ethic/IQ to get though the curriculum.

 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 07:20:22

Denver Post article on the Free Sh*t Army’s “gifts” from Obama

Millions in consumer relief have gone to Colorado homeowners:

“More than 3,700 homeowners in Colorado have received $207.4 million under a national settlement with banks that admitted to abuses in their mortgage lending and servicing, officials said Monday.

Another $67 million in relief for Coloradans is in process, mostly in the form of loan modifications for about 900 more homeowners, according to the national monitor overseeing the process.

The average relief nationally is $84,385 per homeowner, with half coming in the form of short sale allowances, which accounted for $13.1 billion. Coloradans averaged $56,000 in relief.

Colorado got a $51.2 million payday in October from the banks and distributed the funds to a variety of organizations for service, including affordable housing programs, housing counseling and the state’s foreclosure hotline.

Coloradans were initially to get $204.6 million in relief, including $46.3 million of refinancing benefits for underwater borrowers, $32.49 million in payments to homeowners who lost their homes to foreclosure between 2008 and 2011, and $73.3 million for reductions in mortgage loan principals.

Short sales have accounted for the greatest relief at $120 million, followed by $23 million worth of second lien extinguishments.”

Comment by In Colorado
2012-11-20 09:22:50

The average relief nationally is $84,385 per homeowner, with half coming in the form of short sale allowances, which accounted for $13.1 billion. Coloradans averaged $56,000 in relief.

We got gypped! We demand more cheese and helicopter drops!

Comment by Real Northeasterner (non gun-toting, boot-strapping variety)
2012-11-20 11:11:22

Giving someone $80k in “relief” sounds like a ridiculously bad idea. By the time you’re short-selling, your credit is already shot. In addition, on an average house around here, $80k in relief is akin to giving someone 20% of the sales price. That’s ridiculous.

Without “relief” programs like this, house prices would probably fall back to the 250k/range on average, i.e. the price that an average wage would support. If that means that new homes would have to get smaller in order to compete on price, then so be it.

 
 
 
Comment by moral hazard
2012-11-20 07:24:22

This article is BS, there is still a huge shadow inventory down here.

(lived in 2 rentals that were in foreclosure in Palm Beach County for a combined 5 years that never showed up on RealtyTrac)

Listed on RealtyTrac 11/20/12

Lis Pendens
15604 Properties

Foreclosure Sales
1776 Properties

Bank Owned
6155 Properties

Bank Hot Properties
538 Properties

That would be 24,073 distressed properties in this county and I know of a bunch that they don`t list (mostly decent homes in decent hoods) and I only know about a small fraction in this large county yet Realtor Shannon Brink says…

“It seems that many of the distressed owners have either sold, lost the home, or obtained employment and now they are able to make payments,” Brink said.

Posted: 5:16 p.m. Monday, Nov. 19, 2012

Rise in Palm Beach County home sales cuts into inventory

By Kimberly Miller

Palm Beach Post Staff Writer

Higher home sales and prices were a repeat theme in Palm Beach County last month, but a shrinking inventory has so discouraged some buyers they have given up searches for low- to medium-priced properties.

According to a report from the Realtors Association of the Palm Beaches, existing single-family home sales increased 22 percent in October from last year, and were up 12 percent from September. Prices also climbed with the median sales price jumping 23 percent from last year to $222,500.

But West Palm Beach Realtor Shannon Brink likened the choices of homes available to a department store clearance rack a week after a sale. Inventory has dropped 55 percent from last year to a 4.7 months’ supply in October.

“There is nothing left but the items no one wants,” said Brink, adding that he’s had four buyers looking in the $100,000 range recently end their pursuit for a home. “Or they’ve decided to try and save up more money for a higher down payment because there is virtually nothing left that’s available that doesn’t need repairs or exists in less desirable areas.”

One reason Palm Beach County home prices continued their climb last month was a 33 percent decrease in foreclosure sales, which typically sell at a discount compared to a traditional purchase. Short sales saw a 9 percent increase from last year, but even those are harder to come by, Brink said. In a short sale a lender accepts a lower price for a home than what the borrower owes on the mortgage.

“It seems that many of the distressed owners have either sold, lost the home, or obtained employment and now they are able to make payments,” Brink said. “In the big picture this is very good for the economy and housing market, but it’s not good for buyers who waited too long for deals that don’t exist anymore.”

Comment by moral hazard
2012-11-20 07:36:08

“(lived in 2 rentals that were in foreclosure in Palm Beach County for a combined 5 years that never showed up on RealtyTrac)”

I told a Realtor. :( The second rental I lived in showed up on RealtyTrac the last month I was there.

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 07:35:48

Keep them strung out on the hamster wheel of debt

WSJ - For ‘Credit Invisibles’, A Market Takes Shape:

“After a divorce ruined her credit, Sarah Bowers was stuck in a financial rut.

The 29 year old bookkeeper from Panama City, Fla, had paid off her car loan and credit card bills. But because the credit scores that lenders use to decide whether to make new loans are partly a function of how much debt someone has outstanding, Ms. Bowers’ credit score still hovered in subprime territory at 640. And so she faced a Catch-22: Without debt, she couldn’t get a loan.

Ms. Bowers had become a “credit invisible”, someone who is shut out of the mainstream financial system due to a tarnished, incomplete, or nonexistent credit file. Experian Information Solutions Inc, the large credit bureau, estimates there are 64 million credit invisibles in the U.S., a pool that analysts say has expanded significantly since the financial crisis.

But some of those consumers are worth the risk, and several credit bureaus have devised new credit scoring methods to identify them. Those efforts could offer a reprieve to millions of Americans who have been denied credit, not to mention deliver a windfall to banks scrambling to find new sources of revenue.

Experian and rival Equifax Inc in recent months launched new measures derived from rent, phone, cable, gas and electric payments, as well as employment histories and address changes. Meanwhile, credit card company American Express Co for the first time is evaluating the spending habits of prepaid card customers in a pilot program to determine whether they might be eligible for a charge card.

Equifax, which maintains databases for large phone and cable companies, only recently received permission from the companies to use the information in its scoring, a spokesman said.

An AmEx spokeswoman said the pilot was designed to help consumers create a financial track record, although she added that there was no guarantee that they would be invited to apply for a charge card.”

Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 07:42:05

Something does not add up in this article.

Sarah Bowers HAS a HISTORY of paying off her debts (car and cc).

She has a job. She has no debt.

Any bank or cc company would KILL to get her as a customer.

There is something more to this story - like a foreclosure or short sale from her divorce.

Comment by josap
2012-11-20 08:17:01

When I applied for a mortgage it was a no go.
I only had one credit card and didn’t use it.

Was told to get a store card, use it every few months and use my Visa every other month. Pay it off each month and the amount didn’t matter. I was required to have 2 lines of credit. Past of paying off a car, or paying cash as I have the income didn’t count.

Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 08:23:53

As we said, strung out on the hamster wheel of debt.

One of the article comments said that credit score = I Love Debt stupid score.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2012-11-20 12:07:06

I said OK to a store credit card application to get a 10% discount on a large purchase last month. It was denied. The followup letter said I had no credit history. I guess they don’t go back 20 years. Banks just don’t want one night stands, they want serious debt hampsters.

 
 
 
Comment by Montana
2012-11-20 09:49:50

“divorce ruined her credit” tells me there was a joint bankruptcy along with the divorce. I’m sure she had nothing to do with how the couple became insolvent in the first place.

Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 10:28:17

That, along with “what did they spend the cash-out refi money on?”, is always the missing puzzle piece from the standard victim narrative.

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Comment by moral hazard
2012-11-20 07:44:09

“Keep them strung out on the hamster wheel of debt”

Why doesn`t anyone like Hamsters?

Doug Martin dislikes his ‘muscle hamster’ nickname

Chris Chase, USA TODAY Sports

1:45PM EST November 6. 2012 -

Tampa Bay Buccaneers rookie sensation Doug Martin has the worst nickname ever: Muscle Hamster. But don’t take our word for it.

“It has to be the worst nickname ever,” Martin told NFL AM on Tuesay. “I can’t shake it. It started in college, started back in Boise, with our linemen. I have a lot of bigger friends, and they’d call me the Muscle Hamster because of how much I could lift in the weight room.”

It’s really bad. I can’t put my finger on why; it simply sounds unappealing, like shepherd’s pie or the name Blanche. (RIP, Rue McClanahan.)

http://www.usatoday.com/story/gameon/2012/11/06/doug-martin-doesnt-like-muscle-hamster/1685841/ - 21k

Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-11-20 09:32:41

It’s better than being the “Muscle Gerbil”

Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 10:20:15

Or “Muscle Ferret”…

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Comment by moral hazard
2012-11-20 11:03:41

“Or “Muscle Ferret”…

I`m still going with the Hampster

ferrets vs hamster - YouTube
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kc26fm37qY8 - 187k -

 
Comment by moral hazard
2012-11-20 13:10:42

That Hamster is in a debt ball! He`s trying to get away from the bill collecting bankster Ferrets.

 
 
Comment by moral hazard
2012-11-20 10:50:55

“It’s better than being the “Muscle Gerbil”

I don`t think so but I`m not sure. Lets have a look.

What Are the Differences Between a Hamster and a Gerbil?

Gerbils, unlike hamsters, have tails and often like to stand up on their hind legs.

Hamsters do not have tails and are less active than gerbils.

Gerbils have tails, they can stand and are not as lazy as Hamsters. So far I`m giving the nod to the Gerbil.

(Gerbil +1)

One of the primary differences between the hamster and the gerbil is socialization needs. Gerbils in the wild live in groups for the most part. A solitary pet in the cage may be quite unhappy. Thus if one is choosing a gerbil, it is best to purchase more than one to prevent loneliness. However, when buying more than one, it is wiser to get younger gerbils, as they will naturally bond.

The hamster, conversely, tends not to need a friend in captivity.

(+1 for the Hamster)

Another big difference between the animals is sleeping patterns. Hamsters are nocturnal, and will spend most of the day sleeping. The captive gerbil is diurnal, and thus will not disturb one’s sleep by shuffling or digging around in a cage. They are also more up for play during the day, while the hamster may not be quite as happy to wake up and play.

(Gerbil +1)

The two animals eat basically the same diet. However, the gerbil is more likely to be gassy or have diarrhea if given an excess amount of green vegetables or fruit. Most enjoy a small amount of fruit and veggies, but it should remain a small amount.

(+2 for the Hamster)

The two also differ in appearance. The gerbil has a soft tail, and enjoys standing on its hind legs. The hamster has no tail. Many consider the gerbil to be more rat or mouselike in appearance because of its longer snout. It is more closely related to these rodents than the hamster. Those who enjoy rats and mice may find the gerbil more visually appealing. Those who are not fond of rats and mice may find the hamster has the most appeal.

(+1 for the Hamster)

The gerbil has a higher risk of overheating. If one does not have air conditioning, then the pet should have a temperature-controlled cage that protects the animal from overheating. Care guides for them do suggest a cage or aquarium type enclosure be temperature controlled between 68° to 77° F (20° to 25° C) because gerbils can get dehydrated in hotter temperatures.

(+1 for the Hamster)

Both can be gently raised to not bite. However, the hamster is a little more prone to biting. This can occur if the pet is suddenly startled or if it is suddenly woken from a deep sleep.

(Gerbil +1)

FINAL
Hamster 5
Gerbil 3

“Muscle Gerbil” is not better, but it wasn`t a blowout.

http://www.wisegeek.com/what-are-the-differences-between-a-hamster-and-a-gerbil.htm - 77k

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 12:24:37

All rodents make crappy pets.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-11-20 12:53:06

Actually rats make really good pets. They are smart, social, and can be trained. The only downside is that they only live 2-3 years.

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-11-20 14:09:41

“….wasn’t a blowout.”

Unless your gerbil comes with a cardboard tube and a match.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 08:02:51

This will continue to happen when we try to achieve prosperity though the printing of money. Every banana republic has tried it and failed. It leads to an economic collapse and often a military dictatorship. However, it usually leads to the President and his cronies getting rich and parking the money in offshore accounts.

Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 08:20:02

What do banana republics have in common?

No stable currency (turn on the printing presses)
Stifling, corrupt and massive government
A government that punishes those who take risks and create things
A government that takes control of more and more of the economy
A government that divides and pits people against each other
An amazing entitlement mentality of the general population
etc.

Hmmm - sounds like the last 4 years in America.

Waiting for the “if we cut one government program we will turn into Somalia overnight argument” in 3….2…..1….

Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 08:52:05

We wanted Ron Paul and they gave us Mitt Romney, therefore you get four more years of Obama. Enjoy the ride!

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 09:04:49

I agree the Republican establishment forced Romney on the Republicans and everyone in the country has to pay for it. It is clear by his last few months that they know that people really care about, middle class tax cuts, hardline on China and yes despite monday morning quarterbacking strong borders. While Romney said the right things, many did not trust him.

 
Comment by Real Northeasterner (non gun-toting, boot-strapping variety)
2012-11-20 11:15:48

Even though we disagree on many things, I agree with you on this. I very likely would’ve voted for Ron Paul over Obama. My only question would’ve been, what kind of judges would RP appoint? Unfortunately, we never got to hear the discussion because the GOP foisted a charlatan on us and that vermin needed to be exterminated. The Romney/Ryan ticket was just as bad as McCain/Palin, if not worse. It was like they learned nothing in the intervening 4 yrs. Idiotic.

Also, the younger independents and GOP seemed to be very marginalized. The GOP basically rigged the system to get the result they wanted–the guy who would support the .0001% *and* trumpet “traditional values”. Again, idiotic.

 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-11-20 11:37:11

Yep. The republicans keep catering harder and harder to the right trying to ‘reignite the base’, but they don’t seem to realize they keep SHRINKING the base when they do that. They ‘took back the House’ decades ago with that tactic, and pulled off a ‘fiscal hardliner’ version of it in 2010, but pushing it further and further is doing them no favors, and the demographics of the country show it will become even more of a losing recipe going forward. I bet it still gets them some results on non-presidential years when voter turnout drops enough that an ignited fundamentalist voting block can make a dent, but it won’t work on the big stage.

 
Comment by oxide
2012-11-20 11:50:06

It’s pretty funny. During and after this election, conservatives were screaming that elections should be decided by popular vote, not the electoral college system, because the electoral college was not representative of the American people. And yet, the only states where Ron Paul gained any kind of foothold were states with an even LESS representitive system: the manipulative caucus system. And you wonder why they shut the Paul delegates down?

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2012-11-20 09:18:43

As someone who has actually lived in a banana republic, I can tell you that your characterization isn’t entirely correct.

No stable currency (turn on the printing presses)

Many banana republics don’t have their own currency and just use either the dollar or the Euro as their currency.

Stifling, corrupt and massive government

Corrupt, yes. Massive, no. You need lots of money for a massive government, which banana republics lack.

A government that punishes those who take risks and create things

Income taxes are low to non existent in most banana republics.

A government that takes control of more and more of the economy

Only in the commie ones. In the right wing bananas it’s a small oligarchy that owns everything.

A government that divides and pits people against each other

I never saw that. What I saw was irrational nationalism.

An amazing entitlement mentality of the general population

You’re joking? Banana republics don’t have anti-poverty programs. They don’t have foodstamps or section 8 housing.

I never observed that. In facts, income taxes are low to non existent in banana republics.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 11:43:34

But Colorado the reason many now use the Euro or the dollar is that they have crashed their own currency so often is that they cannot use any currency they print.

 
 
Comment by Montana
2012-11-20 09:56:08

…and a snotty minority stand back and say, well you wouldn’t do it our way so to hell with you all…

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 11:00:19

What do banana republics have in common?

Massive wealth and income inequality and crony capitalism.

An amazing entitlement mentality of the general population

I don’t understand. Most of the general population in banana republics don’t get jack from the government. So how is there an entitlement mentality to something that they don’t get?

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 08:20:34

Why should Californians receive bigger federal tax deductions than anyone else, just because they are foolish enough to overpay for housing?

Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 08:26:16

Because they voted 59.3% for Obama this election?

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 08:27:55

“California taxpayers took the highest itemized deductions on average compared with the 49 other states and District of Columbia, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of 2010 Internal Revenue Service data. … They averaged $33,901 in deductions, in part because they claimed the U.S.’s highest average mortgage break, $15,755.”

How does that information square with the recently-floated proposal to limit the mortgage interest deduction to $35,000? How would imposing limit that applies to nobody help reduce the deficit?

POLITICS
November 18, 2012, 9:36 p.m. ET

Uneven Bite of Limiting Deductions
Some Taxpayers in High-Tax States Would Be Hit Harder if Federal Breaks Are Curbed by ‘Fiscal Cliff’ Negotiations
By ALAN ZIBEL and JOHN D. MCKINNON

Limiting personal income-tax deductions and other federal tax breaks, an idea gaining momentum as part of a fix for America’s budget crisis, would hit some parts of the country harder than others, with a series of high-income blue states leading the way.

California taxpayers took the highest itemized deductions on average compared with the 49 other states and District of Columbia, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of 2010 Internal Revenue Service data. That means the 36% of California filers who itemized have the most to lose. They averaged $33,901 in deductions, in part because they claimed the U.S.’s highest average mortgage break, $15,755.

Chris Lane, 42, a project manager, in his Centreville, Va, house. He says he has taken about $30,000 annually in itemized tax deductions in recent years and opposes moves to curb the mortgage break.

After California, the highest average itemized deductions—all over $28,000—were claimed by taxpayers in New York, the District of Columbia, Connecticut, New Jersey, Maryland and Massachusetts. All have high state, local and property taxes, which may be deducted from income on federal returns, although other tax provisions already limit some deductions.

The national average deduction in 2010 for those who itemize was $26,112.

The idea of limiting deductions has gained currency, especially among Republicans, as a way to raise government revenue without raising tax rates. Curbing their value would make more income subject to taxation.

The approach could become part of a deficit-reduction deal between the White House and Congress to avert the “fiscal cliff,” the combination of tax increases and spending cuts set to begin at the start of January. It also could figure in plans to overhaul the tax code next year.

If that happens, taxpayers in relatively affluent states with higher home prices and state and local taxes could see their tax bill rise significantly, depending how the limits are designed. That in turn is likely to affect how the concept is greeted by lawmakers.

“When you look at real-estate values, at state and local taxes, when you deal with the major deductions, people in a state like Maryland would have more to lose” from limiting breaks, said Sen. Ben Cardin (D., Md.), who nonetheless didn’t close the door to such limits.

More Maryland taxpayers—49%—take itemized deductions than those in any other state, followed by Connecticut, New Jersey and Virginia, which all top 40%. Nationally, one-third of taxpayers itemize. The rest take the standard deduction of about $12,000 for married couples and $6,000 for singles.

At the other end of the scale, just 19% of West Virginia taxpayers itemize. Indiana had the lowest 2010 average for those who itemized deductions, at $20,111.

Chris Robinson, a 43-year-old real-estate investor in Yorba Linda, Calif., took more than $110,000 in itemized deductions in 2011, and would likely see his taxes rise by several thousand dollars under a deduction cap. “I don’t think it’s fair,” he said of the idea. “I think the wealthy are definitely paying their fair share.”

Chris Lane of Centreville, Va., estimates he has taken around $30,000 in itemized deductions annually in recent years, including about $24,000 a year for mortgage interest.

Mr. Lane, 42, a project manager for a commercial air-conditioning company, opposes scaling back the mortgage deduction, because it would hurt “a segment of the population that wants to put down roots and own homes.”

Average Tax Deductions, State by State

See average tax deductions and charitable contributions by state based on 2010 IRS data, as well as other measurements of how people pay taxes.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2012-11-20 15:52:45

“They averaged $33,901 in deductions, in part because they claimed the U.S.’s highest average mortgage break, $15,755.”

Let’s drill down on that figure a bit. Suppose for the sake of argument that the interest rate on the loan that generated that mortgage tax break was 3.5 percent, which is conceivable in the current rate environment, at least according to this article. The principle balance on that loan would be $15,755/3.5% = $450,000. Of course, this does not consider the full value of the home, which is higher than $450,000 unless the homeowner is underwater.

By contrast, this site, which corroborates my back-of-the-envelope housing value estimate, shows the median California household income is only around $61K. So the average California mortgage loan balance exceeds seven times median household income.

Does anyone besides me find this to be convincing evidence that California home prices remain bubbly?

 
Comment by oxide
2012-11-20 17:34:29

$24K in mortgage interest amounts to $600K in mortgage at 4%. Either he took out a mortgage way beyond his means, or he has multiple houses. Oh, and the $24K is only for the first year of interest. The amount of interest goes down steadily with each year.

 
 
Comment by cactus
2012-11-20 10:04:12

Doesn’t AMT cut out the mortgage deduction ?

Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-11-20 10:50:26

If you are a high earner in California you are automatically under the AMT because you pay / deduct so much for the high CA income tax that that alone pushes you into the AMT. So I did my taxes both ways last year (2011) to see if that would phase out a potential future MID and the AMT did not phase it out (on Turbotax). I’m not sure if that was specific to 2011 tax law or not. Several spiffs and freebees were added to the tax code for 2010 and 2011 specifically for the housing downturn. For example usually most other deductions are phased out at higher income levels (this isn’t an AMT just a phase out). So possibly this was just due to the temporary tax relief. I wonder if this will be true for 2013. I haven’t checked yet.

 
Comment by jbunniii
2012-11-20 11:01:48

The mortgage deduction is not affected by AMT.

 
 
Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-11-20 11:40:21

We don’t. Scrap the MID. If you MUST have it, limit it to primary residences, and give people a tax deduction for rent paid. I can see the logic of saying “cost of housing yourself can be tax deductible” but not when you add on “but only if you own the home.”

Comment by Anon In DC
2012-11-20 20:19:09

If people get a subsidy (deduction) for rent won’t if make rent more affordable just like the government help for housing, tuition, and soon health care?

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-11-21 01:11:39

Nope, it’ll just drive rents higher. But why should home owners be the only ones to share in the ‘drive prices higher’ government subsidies? :D

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 08:32:35

There is a great looking housing starts number out today, yet Mr Market is tanking. Can’t be a good sign for Wall Street investors…

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2012-11-20 08:33:43

Nov. 20, 2012, 9:54 a.m. EST
Housing starts highest in more than four years
October building permits for single-family homes up 2.2%
By Ruth Mantell, MarketWatch

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Construction on new homes rose in October to the highest rate in more than four years, government data showed Tuesday, in another sign of a strengthening U.S. housing market.

Housing starts rose 3.6% last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 894,000, the highest rate since July 2008, the U.S. Department of Commerce reported. Starts are up 42% from last year, though the rate remains far below a bubble peak of almost 2.3 million in 2006.

 
 
Comment by moral hazard
2012-11-20 09:31:30

Ohio mortgage counseling agency invites homeowners to stop paying ‘underwater’ mortgages

Group demands lenders restructure mortgages

Posted: 10/01/2012

•By: Joe Pagonakis, newsnet5.com

CLEVELAND - It’s a mortgage counseling agency called Empowering and Strengthening Ohio’s People (ESOP), and it’s asking qualified “underwater” Ohio homeowners to stop paying their mortgages.

The group is instructing homeowners, who owe more on their houses than what they’re worth, to hold their mortgage payments in an escrow account until their lender agrees to restructure their home loans.

Cuyahoga County homeowners like Sally Fluker, who owes more $50,000 on a house that is now appraised at less that $12,000, are taking part in the mortgage strike.

“We want to get the attention of these lenders,” said ESOP Director of Communications, Deonna Kirkpatrick. “This is first time a mortgage strike has been attempted in the U.S., we believe it will get banks to the bargaining table in addressing these underwater mortgages.”

Kirkpatrick told NewsChannel5 that 39 percent of Cuyahoga County homeowners owe more on their homes than what they’re currently worth.

“The strike is modeled after a court supervised process used in Ohio to resolve tenant complaints about a landlord,” said Kirkpatrick. “In this mortgage strike, participating homeowners will send money orders, covering their regular principal and interest payments, to a local attorney to hold in escrow until the homeowner instructs lawyer/escrow agent when and how to release it.”

“The attorney, who is only providing an escrow service, has agreed to verify the monthly payments of interest and principal for the mortgage servicer.”

Kirkpatrick told 5 On Your Side homeowners must meet the following criteria to participate in a mortgage strike:

- Must make full payments into an escrow account on the Mortgage, and cover the taxes and insurance
- Must be “Underwater”
- Must comply with Strike Rules for handling monthly payments into escrow
- Must understand and accept the risks involved in participating as a mortgage striker

Kirkpatrick couldn’t confirm if the “mortgage strike” process was legal, and admitted taking part could have a negative impact on the homeowners credit rating.

Ultimately, ESOP would have liked to add housing court participation in managing the escrow accounts, but admitted that legally, it’s something that could not happen.

“Homeowners who are underwater need to stand-up for themselves, and lenders need to share in the responsibility of dropping housing values,” said Kirkpatrick.

ESOP is a HUD-certified foreclosure prevention counseling agency, that has 10 offices across Ohio to help urban, suburban and rural homeowners. The group has been offering mortgage counseling and foreclosure prevention since 1999.

http://www.newsnet5.com/dpp/money/consumer/troubleshooter/ohio-mortgage-counseling-agency-invites-homeowners-to-stop-paying-underwater-mortgages - 75k

Comment by moral hazard
2012-11-20 09:47:32

By Olivera Perkins, The Plain Dealer The Plain Dealer
on October 01, 2012 at 2:55 PM, updated October 02, 2012 at 6:56 AM

“This is civil disobedience in the truest sense of the word,” said Paul Bellamy, ESOP’s director of development and research.

The risks didn’t deter George Robinson of Cleveland, who said he is $45,000 underwater, meaning he owes more than his house is worth. He is among the first three homeowners to sign up for ESOP’s mortgage strike.

“I am 83, so I can afford to take this risk,” said Robinson, a retired autoworker. “Somebody has to take a stand against what these banks are doing.”

Bellamy said the group intends to notify lenders or loan servicers this week that the homeowners will put payments in escrow with a lawyer chosen by ESOP.

“It doesn’t make any sense to have an unreasonable amount of debt on a house that has collapsed in value,” Bellamy said.

Dennis Keating, a professor of law and urban planning at Cleveland State University, said the strike will only work if perhaps thousands join in or if the strikers target a specific institution. For example, depositing rent in escrow only became legal as a result of far-reaching rent strikes in the 1960s, he said.

“It has to become a significant movement,” Keating said.

Striker Gardner believes it can be.

“I hope it snowballs from here,” she said.

Information about the strike is available at mortgagestrike.org .

http://www.cleveland.com/business/index.ssf/2012/10/esop_urging_underwater_homeown.html - 70k

Comment by moral hazard
2012-11-20 09:57:49

comments

NRWM

No house in the Kinsman neighborhood ever was worth $88,000. There is no way that a man in his late seventies and on a pension could ever expect to pay back a loan like that. Mr.Robinson is not a victim of the mortgage crisis…he is a partner in it.

Herself

A retired auto worker should have had plenty of money to pay his debts. AND, he should never used his home as an ATM. He can make his payments right now, so he should just pay what he owes.

red57chevylvr

Looks like old George has been using his house as an ATM. A review of the property on the recorder’s website show that he refinanced multiple times…each for more money than before:

12/11/1995 $47,000 (original loan)
12/22/1997 $52,000
05/04/1999 $61,500
11/17/1999 $69,700
01/03/2006 $88,200

So my question to George is this: where did the additional money that you borrowed go? And which one of these banks held a gun to your head and made you sign the loan? Seems to me you had no intention of ever re-paying the original loan. Loans are supposed to be paid DOWN, aren’t they? Why are we supposed to feel sorry for someone who has constantly been making his LARGER?

Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 11:04:48

Obama nation.

Own a house
Take out lots and lots of money in home equity loans
Spend money on new cars and great vacations (and some granite).
Don’t forget the boob job for the wife
Cry you are a victim
Don’t pay your mortgage
Expect to have your debt forgiven
Vote democrat for even more freebies

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Comment by moral hazard
2012-11-20 12:47:28

comments

BusterDoug

Hell, why don’t we all go on strike? How about I not pay my income taxes and go on strike against the government? They’ve wasted PLENTY of taxpayer money, including bailing out the banks!

ReplyrnagelIf

we go on strike and not pay income taxes only half of us can participate

http://www.cleveland.com/business/index.ssf/2012/10/esop_urging_underwater_homeown.html - 70k

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-11-20 14:26:52

“Obama Nation”

Hate to throw some more facts your way, but this was the SOP of serial refinanciers before Obama became a Senator, much less the president.

All of that “don’t let your equity lay there, doing nothing….” propaganda from the bankster/realtor crowd.

 
Comment by moral hazard
2012-11-20 16:18:43

Lets not forget about Chris Dodd, you know the friend of Angelo. Isn`t he one of the dudes, Dodd/Frank right. What was that Frank said again “These two entities—Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac—are not facing any kind of financial crisis,” said Representative Barney Frank of Massachusetts, the ranking Democrat on the Financial Services Committee. “The more people exaggerate these problems, the more pressure there is on these companies, the less we will see in terms of affordable housing.”

And what ever happened to Angelo? That`s right, nothing.

Then there is this

“In 1994, Barack Obama was one of the plaintiffs in a class action lawsuit, alleging that Citibank had engaged in practices that discriminated against minorities. The lawsuit forced the bank to ease its lending practices.”

“President Barack Obama was a pioneering contributor to the national subprime real estate bubble, and roughly half of the 186 African-American clients in his landmark 1995 mortgage discrimination lawsuit against Citibank have since gone bankrupt or received foreclosure notices…”

“Obama’s lawsuit was one element of a national “anti-redlining” campaign led by Chicago’s progressive groups, who argued that banks unfairly refused to lend money to people living within so-called “redlines” around African-American communities. The campaign was powered by progressives’ moral claim that their expertise could boost home ownership among the United States’ most disadvantaged minority, African-Americans.”

Take off the shades dude they’re all guilty.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 19:44:17

Where did you get those neatly summarized talking points, mr. hazard?

 
 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-11-20 11:17:09

Recall that there were similar movements during the Great Depression.

Foreclosure blockades in farm country come to mind. Neighboring farmers would surround a farm in foreclosure and run the authorities off. In some cases, it worked to the point that the foreclosed farmer got to keep his farm.

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-11-20 13:50:38

Better to run just the speculators off and have one of the neighbors bid a penny and buy the place at the acution.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 09:33:07

There are smart and logical thinkers on both sides of the isle here so feel free to point out any flaws in the logic and facts in the following:

There has never been a country in the entire world that has gone Communist on its own that did not have massive wealth and income-inequality. So historically and practically speaking, massive wealth-inequality is a required condition for Communism to take hold.

Every country that has turned into a Communist totalitarian state so far began its path to Communism through Communist revolutions developing after years of failed attempts to address the issue of wealth-inequality. Successful violent revolutions do not happen easily; therefore the evidence indicates that wealth inequality is an extremely destabilizing condition – serious enough to result in Communist revolutions. Therefore all the evidence suggests that it is important for countries to not allow wealth and income inequality rise so high as to make the conditions ripe for a path to Communism.

America now has wealth inequality approaching the levels of the 1920’s, which is almost 100 years ago; therefore America’s wealth inequality is the highest it’s been in almost a century. The last time wealth and income inequality was so high, we had the Great Depression and great social unrest. It is no coincidence that now, again with wealth inequality so high that America is starting to see the beginnings of social unrest. OWS, The Tea Party and high levels of anger between parties are good examples of this growing unrest. Karl Marx wrote that levels of wealth inequality this high would lead to social unrest, which would undermine Capitalism itself which it has.

So the question is, should America double down on the current economic policies that that have widened wealth inequality to the point of social unrest? While knowing that social unrest combined with massive wealth inequality were the conditions present in EVERY Communist revolution the world has EVER seen?

Or should America address the issue of the massive wealth redistribution seen from the middle-class to the rich the past 40 years and attempt to lower it? While knowing that lower wealth-inequality leads to a more prosperous nation, more domestic tranquility, and a much healthier form of capitalism? And by all historical evidence would not lowering the level of wealth and income inequality be in fact protecting American Capitalism from Communism?

Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 10:36:05

We want some of the policies of Ron Paul, and some of the policies of Dennis Kucinich (and yes they share some in common), and under the current governing structure of both parties, get nearly none of either.

No, this country does not have a future. While a TEOTWAWKI scenario is unlikely in our lifetime, we consider it a remote possibility.

And as a non-breeder, your children’s future is not our problem.

Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-11-20 11:46:11

Keep singing that tune when our kids march you into an ‘elder care’ death camp.

Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 11:55:45

Sorry, bubbleboy, our retirement plan is to live well until age 70, and then take up unroped, free solo, rock climbing as a hobby / exit strategy. Your kidz get nothing!

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Comment by sfbubblebuyer
2012-11-20 12:05:19

Not so! They’ll have the cooking fire set up at the base waiting for you to ‘drop in’ for dinner! Just hope that the economy sputters along long enough for you make it to the rocks before the mass rioting starts.

Let them eat Soylent Green!

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-11-20 12:55:56

Sorry, bubbleboy, our retirement plan is to live well until age 70, and then take up unroped, free solo, rock climbing as a hobby / exit strategy.

Get your health care proxies and end of life directives in order. Anything could happen between now and that rock climbing trip that leaves you in assisted living care.

 
Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 14:03:35

Get your health care proxies and end of life directives in order

We have recruited the loyal services of a Black Angel to snuff the squad should circumstances warrant. Meanwhile, we sport climb at max level 5.8 in addition to numerous class 4 alpine routes above 13,000 feet.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 11:56:54

Sorry Rio, all of Eastern Europe went communist due to invasion and not income inequality. While no western European nation went communist, they had strong communist parties despite having much less inequality than many nations without a strong communist presence.

Certainly, a strong middle class is important to a democracy. But the question is which policy leads to strong middle class. Strong economic activity with limited immigration has always worked best in the United States and under the circumstances of today where capital can be moved easily it is not clear to me that much higher taxes are the answer. I have no problem with the historical levels of taxes at 20% and spending at 22% but we are spending far more than that and we need to cut back government. Having the rich pay more seems fair since many are responsible for our porous borders but we need to cap government spending. Transfer payments are the quickest way for us to lose our democracy since history shows when democracy is used to transfer wealth from one group to another instead of providing for the general welfare roads, schools and defense, the democracy collapses.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 12:29:36

history shows when democracy is used to transfer wealth from one group to another instead of providing for the general welfare roads, schools and defense, the democracy collapses.

Examples?

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 13:49:07

Greece and Rome were the first examples and why our constitution is the way it is, our founding fathers knew history and learned from it. Chile, Brazil and Argentina are just a few of the modern examples where economic collapse has caused a military dictatorship after too much money was spent on subsidies and transfer payments.

P.S. Argentina is getting really close to failing once again due to its left wing policies.

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Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-11-20 14:33:18

Gee I thought all of those military dictatorships were because the 1%ers/oligarchs wanted to keep the serfs from getting all uppity, and demanding stuff like getting their fair share of the GDP.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 15:00:08

Yeah, the military dictators in South America were transferring too much money alright, but to themselves and their cronies, not to the poor.

The various falls of Rome and Greece are too complex and varied to sum up shortly, but concentration of wealth in too few hands played a major role in many, particularly in the fall of the Roman (democratic) Republic, and rise of the (undemocratic) Roman Empire, according to the vast majority of mainstream historians. I’m sure the Heritage Fund has endowed a prof somewhere who thinks it was all because of welfare.

 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 12:45:24

Sorry Rio, all of Eastern Europe went communist due to invasion and not income inequality.

Correct. I know this and I addressed this issue in my first paragraph but forgot to re-address it in my second paragraph; the key words being “on its own”.

“There has never been a country in the entire world that has gone Communist on its own that did not have massive wealth and income-inequality” (And this is true.)

I have no problem with the historical levels of taxes at 20% and spending at 22% but we are spending far more than that and we need to cut back government.

I disagree as does the long-time editor of The Economist which I quote below from a great article, The future of capitalism. The spending/tax levels of the past were the past when America was living under a different reality and a different capitalism. We were younger, more sheltered as an economy, houses, education and health-care were cheap, jobs payed a lot more in real terms and wealth was much more evenly distributed.

Now the government has structured the economy to mainly benefit the rich while lowering their taxes but that does not absolve the government of its said duty to “Promote the General Welfare, Insure Domestic Tranquility and Promote the Blessings of Liberty to Ourselves and Our Posterity.

The future of capitalism

http://www.billemmott.com/article.php?id=250

The ingenuity and ambition of entrepreneurs and corporate managers enables them not just to invent new technologies and products but also whole new ways of organizing themselves and, in particular, new ways of positioning themselves in relation to government and society.

They have been assisted in finding those new forms by government itself, the growth of which in all the rich, developed economies has softened the impact of capitalism´s crises. Government spending now is much larger compared with overall Gross Domestic Product (GDP) than it was during the 1930s, for example, in America, Europe and Japan, allowing that spending to help dampen the severity of economic cycles. That is exactly what governments have been doing since the current economic crisis began in 2007-08, with their big fiscal stimulus packages. Central banks, too, play a bigger role in economies than before, and their expansionary monetary policies have also helped to prevent the 2007-08 crisis from turning into a catastrophe. From the point of view of capitalism, government fiscal and monetary policies help to buy time for companies to plan their own adaptations, their own restructuring in response to the recession. But the adaptation still has to occur.

….The framework for how capitalism needs to change comes, in my view, not from Chinese success but rather from the three weaknesses that I outlined earlier: inequality, instability and sustainability. Thanks to the global economic crisis, and thanks to the scientific evidence about climate change, reforms are needed to address all these three weaknesses.

These reforms can only be done by governments, for they consist of the setting of new rules of the game. Only government can do that, for only it has the legitimacy to set rules and to enforce them. But sensible, far-sighted companies should also try to participate in the formation of those rules, not to block them but to shape them in such a way as to make the new rules both economically and socially constructive. Companies, after all, do not exist separately from society. They are integral parts of society itself.

 
 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 12:51:06

@Rio-

your whole argument revolves around “income inequality”. income inequality is a natural feature of growing prosperity and wealth. complaining about it is like drinking a lot of beer and saying that peeing is evil.

people that are needed to do skilled jobs that are in demand have to be paid more. do you think there would be any dentists if everyone was paid the same?

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 13:28:32

your whole argument revolves around “income inequality”. income inequality is a natural feature of growing prosperity and wealth.

My whole argument does not revolve around “income inequality” Of course I know there needs to be income inequality in growing prosperity. My argument is against the newly grown MASSIVE increase and level of wealth and income inequality.

Income inequality is a natural feature of growing prosperity to a certain point. There comes a point where the increase in the level of wealth-inequality becomes a drag on the economy. We reached that level 20 years ago and since then, the wealth inequality has grown even much more but the USA - most people have NOT prospered. They have become poorer as the rich got much richer.

Comment by tj
2012-11-20 13:59:38

<My argument is against the newly grown MASSIVE increase and level of wealth and income inequality.

massive or not, it’s natural and not harmful.

There comes a point where the increase in the level of wealth-inequality becomes a drag on the economy.

pure made up fantasy. wealth-inequality is a sign of growing wealth, which is good for everyone in the world.

We reached that level 20 years ago and since then, the wealth inequality has grown even much more but the USA - most people have NOT prospered.

creeping (now galloping) socialism is what accounts for declining prosperity. we’re getting poorer because the pie is starting to shrink, not because ‘the rich’ have taken too much pie.

They have become poorer as the rich got much richer.

socialism has always hurt the poor more than it hurts the rich. because the poor don’t understand basic economics, they blame the wrong thing. in the end, the socialists will tear this place down. then when they’re standing in the rubble, they’ll be asking what happened. and they’ll probably die thinking it was all the fault of the rich.

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Comment by sfhomowner
2012-11-20 15:01:30

<My argument is against the newly grown MASSIVE increase and level of wealth and income inequality.

massive or not, it’s natural and not harmful.

Not harmful to be poor? Climb down from your ivory tower.

The effects of poverty have been well documented. Harmful to your health, your life span, your education, your children, etc etc.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 15:18:47

it’s natural and not harmful.

The rich getting richer while the poor stay poor and the middle is getting poorer is not historically natural for America and is in fact very harmful to everyone but the rich.

wealth-inequality is a sign of growing wealth,

The rich getting richer while the poor stay poor and the middle is getting poorer is not a “sign of growing wealth” for the poor and the middle. It is only “growing wealth” for the rich. (Words have meanings and you can find their meanings in the dictionary.)

we’re getting poorer because the pie is starting to shrink, not because ‘the rich’ have taken too much pie.

The pie is NOT shrinking, the GDP has grown for most of the past 30 years but the rich are almost the only ones getting any gains. in the pie. (for 30 years) This problem did not start just yesterday.

socialism has always hurt the poor more than it hurts the rich.

Tell that to the Germans, the Canadians, the Aussies, the Swedes. Their “socialized” health-care, education and safety nets have not hurt them in the least. They have helped their people and countries. Show me how these programs have “hurt” those people. You can’t

 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 15:29:58

Not harmful to be poor?

the poor benefit from more wealth in the world than the rich do.

The effects of poverty have been well documented.

where did i say that poverty was a good thing? a growing wealth pie (in fee market capitalism) enriches the poor (in total, not individually) more than the rich. the smaller gains of most of the much more numerous poor adds up to much more than the gains of the very few rich.

 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 15:41:49

The rich getting richer while the poor stay poor and the middle is getting poorer is not historically natural for America and is in fact very harmful to everyone but the rich.

right, but the poor are staying poor because on socialist policies, not the free market. we don’t have much free market capitalism left, so the poor are going to suffer the most for it.

The rich getting richer while the poor stay poor and the middle is getting poorer is not a “sign of growing wealth”

right, it’s a sign of growing socialism.

(for 30 years) This problem did not start just yesterday.

right, creeping socialism has been going on for much longer than 30 years.

Tell that to the Germans, the Canadians, the Aussies, the Swedes. Their “socialized” health-care, education and safety nets have not hurt them in the least.

they would all be much further ahead now if they wouldn’t have taken the socialism poison.

Show me how these programs have “hurt” those people. You can’t

google “the seen and the unseen” to understand how people would have been much better off, if socialist policies wouldn’t have passed.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 18:10:38

The rich getting richer while the poor stay poor and the middle is getting poorer is not a “sign of growing wealth”

right, it’s a sign of growing socialism.

It can’t be a set rule because in many social democracies that practice more socialism than the USA, the growing wealth translates into growing wealth for a much larger section of the population. In the USA we have growing socialism for the rich maybe.

they would all be much further ahead now if they wouldn’t have taken the socialism poison.

You can’t prove this but the opposite can be proved. Their health-care is half the price for similar results. That’s not “poison”. That’s more money in their pockets.

google “the seen and the unseen” to understand how people would have been much better off, if socialist policies wouldn’t have passed.

But many of their their social security and health-care and social programs are stronger than America’s and they are much more socialized than ours. By your logic, USA’s should be much better than theirs because USA is less socialistic than Sweden, Canada, Germany etc. but their social programs are better than ours already and for less money in health-care. So isn’t America better when we are still much less socialistic than them?

 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 19:04:09

It can’t be a set rule because in many social democracies that practice more socialism than the USA, the growing wealth translates into growing wealth for a much larger section of the population.

this is just more pablum. socialist policies destroy wealth, they don’t create it. why don’t you explain how you think socialism creates wealth?

In the USA we have growing socialism for the rich maybe.

nope, it’s growing for everyone, making everyone collectively poorer.

Their health-care is half the price for similar results.

half the price at four times the cost.

That’s more money in their pockets.

so they think. but they’ll never know how much more money they’d have in their pockets without socialist health care.

By your logic, USA’s should be much better than theirs because USA is less socialistic than Sweden, Canada, Germany etc.

you way underestimate how socialistic we’ve become. we’ve got your damn obamacare now. soon you’ll see the layoffs because employers will be trying to get under the 50 employee limit. obamacare will be creating the new 49er’s (employment caps). there will be long waits to see doctors. rationed care. increasing premiums and more doctors on the fast track to retirement. and that’s just the beginning. in two years those morons that voted for him are going see it for themselves. ouch! make it go away! but it’s too late.. ok, then on to single payer! that’s what they wanted anyway. then of course it will get even worse.

and of course dodd-frank is being written as we speak. they’ve already ended free checking accounts. thank you bureaucrats. i’m sure they’ve got more ‘goodies’ in store for us.

socialists/communists are the bane of humanity.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 19:51:15

why don’t you explain how you think socialism creates wealth?

Socialism does not create wealth. But proper social policies need not destroy wealth and can actually make that wealth more valuable to more people. If done properly proper public policies enable more people to enjoy the wealth a society and economy creates. For example: Would you rather be a factory worker Making BMW’s in Germany or USA? I assure you Germany spends more on social programs than does the USA, but the German BMW factory worker has a higher standard of living than the American BMW factory worker.

“German factory workers are 11 percent higher than those in the U.S. — largely because their unions are more powerful.” source: BLS, Eurostat

So your premise that all more evenly spread wealth destroys wealth is incorrect and there are many stats to prove it.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 19:58:28

Correction:
German factory workers WAGES are 11 percent higher than those in the U.S. —

 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 20:29:39

But proper social policies need not destroy wealth and can actually make that wealth more valuable to more people.

make that wealth more valuable? are you going to wave your magic wand over it? the value of wealth always slowly dissipates over time. like a house, it has its maximum value at the moment it’s created. but at least you’re correct that socialism doesn’t create any wealth, it just eats it.

I assure you Germany spends more on social programs than does the USA,

and i assure you that there’s more evil to socialism than just spending. the nanny state isn’t just about spending.

but the German BMW factory worker has a higher standard of living than the American BMW factory worker.

like i said, you way underestimate how socialist we’ve become.

“German factory workers are 11 percent higher than those in the U.S. — largely because their unions are more powerful.”

i assume you mean that unions have raised the standard of living? no, they’ve lowered the standard of living for everyone. eventually, unions will destroy every company they infest. hostess didn’t go out of business because they had a lousy product (twinkies are a lousy product, but that’s not why they went out of business). hostess went out of business because the union demanded more blood than they could give. it doesn’t matter what the unions promised. you can promise someone you’ll repeal the law of gravity, but it’ll never happen.

the company offered part ownership but the union declined. they didn’t want to take the risk of ownership. they’re all like that. they’re a parasite that eventually kills the host(ess).

henry ford paid his workers more than union autoworkers get today in inflation adjusted dollars. and that was DECADES before they were unionized! it was free market labor that brought the five day work week, not the unions. there was never a good reason for unions to exist in the first place. the list of negatives on unions is long. but of course union propaganda has many people believing that they served some kind of ‘good’ a long time ago. they didn’t. everything that every union did would have been better handled in a free market.

So your premise that all more evenly spread wealth destroys wealth is incorrect and there are many stats to prove it.

there are zero stats to prove such a lame assertion.

 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 20:47:46

German factory workers WAGES are 11 percent higher than those in the U.S.

too late. i’d already written and submitted my post.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 21:21:57

make that wealth more valuable? are you going to wave your magic wand over it?

Wealth spread more equally is spent - therefore, more valuable. Economics 101. Extreme wealth concentration pools in people like Romney’s Cayman Island bank account. Many of the super-rich like Romney practice vulture-capitalism and do America no favors. Higher wages for workers (like union workers) remains at work in the economy much more than pooling billionaire’s money in Swiss Bank accounts.

i assume you mean that unions have raised the standard of living? no

Unions increased the standard of living in the USA for 60 years until corporations lobbied laws to weaken their existence and formation. Unions have raised the standard in Germany as well. America’s extreme wealth concentration is hindering American capitalism and lowering the standard of living of the middle-class. It has nothing to do with “socialism”.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 21:27:28

then on to single payer! that’s what they wanted anyway.

Great. That’s what we needed all along. A single-payer with private insurance options. It’s going to be way better than it has been for the past 20 years. USA will join the modern health-care world.

 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 21:49:06

Wealth spread more equally is spent - therefore, more valuable. Economics 101.

honestly, you just babble. green cheese spreads easier than yellow cheese, therefore, it’s more a valuable. cheeseonomics 101.

Extreme wealth concentration pools in people like Romney’s Cayman Island bank account.

what??

Many of the super-rich like Romney practice vulture-capitalism and do America no favors.

‘vulture capitalism’.. another made up term that’s devoid of meaning in the real world.

Higher wages for workers (like union workers) remains at work in the economy much more than pooling billionaire’s money in Swiss Bank accounts.

pooling money amplifies its power to build. giant pools of money can do great things like build factories that wouldn’t be otherwise possible.

Unions increased the standard of living in the USA for 60 years until corporations lobbied laws to weaken their existence and formation.

just the opposite.

Unions have raised the standard in Germany as well.

unions weaken companies and eventually kill them. they lower the standard of living.

America’s extreme wealth concentration is hindering American capitalism and lowering the standard of living of the middle-class.

try backing some of this up with logic, so i can debate you. you don’t need facts or figures, just some logic. you keep repeating the same things, so all i can do is say you’re wrong.

 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 21:50:49

USA will join the modern health-care world.

the usa is going to join the 3rd world.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 22:22:33

just the opposite.

You’ve added nothing today. TJ. No stats. No examples. No comparisons of different countries. While I’ve offered stats, example, comparisons of different countries. I think you are just trying to waste my time.

Your thing about automation had to be a joke. I’m laughing actually! :) Read it again.

Comment by tj
2012-11-20 19:19:51

automate or die. just think how improved our lives would be if we could automate our food, transportation, shelter and energy production. we’d be free to do many other things, and the cost of living would be so cheap it would be ridiculous. we’d probably only have to work a week to pay living expenses for a year.

 
 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-11-20 14:53:49

In the dream/fantasy free-market world, shortages of skilled labor would mean that pay would go up.

There are shortages of skilled labor all over the place. But nobody is raising pay scales, thanks to the Business FSA:

-Induce/threaten state and local governments to train workers on the government nickel.

-Reduce qualifications/standards, overtly (by changing/dumbing down the laws/regs, aka “deregulation”) or covertly (ignore/stop enforcing the regs/requirements/laws).

-Actively supporting policies that limit worker mobility.

It’s as if the suits have designed business plans that depend on slave wage labor to be profitable, and will cut any corner necessary to keep the plan intact.

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Comment by 2banana
2012-11-20 12:56:44

Communism:

A. It is imposed on the population by brute force of an invading army. See North Korea, all of eastern Europe, etc.

B. It is imposed on a population by tyrannical thugs who desire absolute power. These tyrants promise “wealth redistribution”, jobs, equality, justice but instead turn their countries into societies much worse off than the worst of times under the “old systems”. See Cuba, Cambodia, China, the USSR, etc. Once a communist government takes hold - it never leaves. No matter what the people want or desire.

C. ALL communist societies MUST force their government on the people at the point of a gun, Massive slaughter and wholesale imprisonments of the population then follow. All freedoms are taken from the population in Communist society for the “good of the people”. There has never been a case of this NOT happening.

D. All the Americans who want a communist society ALWAYS think they will be in charge of this new society and will be able to run it. They never think they will have to LIVE under it like the rest of the peasants.

E. Sleep tight. There are still many Americans who VALUE FREEDOM over some free government cheese. And they are well armed. As you know, the first thing a communist government does is DISARM the people.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 13:40:05

See Cuba, Cambodia, China, the USSR,

All of these countries had gross wealth inequality which led to Communism. Prosperous people don’t turn to Commies. Why? Because Commies sound absurd to prosperous people.

That should be a lesson to American Capitalism, the American government and American Companies. Manage American Capitalism to more equally distribute the benefits of the nations productivity and wealth. If not, what are the economic benefits for 80% of the people to be Americans? To wave the flag when we’re “free” to be broke?

Comment by Blue Skye
2012-11-20 14:18:45

The middle class was murdered in these places by the tens of millions. The revolutionaies didn’t want a good and fair life for all, they wanted to be the elite. When they came to power, they all lived like elite.

I don’t buy the argument of wealth inequality leading to communism one bit. People do not start killing each other because one guy has a lot of money, they do it because they are hungry or abused.

Communism is a lie.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 14:34:40

People do not start killing each other because one guy has a lot of money, they do it because they are hungry or abused….Communism is a lie.

So you might be for unlimited food-stamps or housing in a country that produces no jobs or low paying jobs?

Of course Communism is a lie but I would say a lot of OWS and Tea Partiers marched because they feel American “Capitalism” has evolved into a lie for many, and they feel abused by the lie.

 
 
 
Comment by sfhomowner
2012-11-20 14:56:23

All the Americans who want a communist society

are a very very small minority. There is not a single member is Congress affiliated with the Communist Party USA. Can’t find any stats, but really, how many members do they have? 10,000? 20,000, if that. There just aren’t that many communists around, so it’s curious that people get so bent out of shape about how we are being over run by them.

Comment by nickpapageorgio
2012-11-20 20:48:31

“There is not a single member is Congress affiliated with the Communist Party USA”

Arizona just elected the first openly bisexual openly communist congresswoman, her name is Kyrsten Sinema. Look her up, she actually had an affiliation with the CPUSA. I would say at least 50% of democrats in Washington are communists…and that is a very conservative estimate.

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Comment by Robin
2012-11-20 17:36:46

How many clips do you have, Banana? - :)

 
Comment by Spook
2012-11-21 22:17:16

D. All the Americans who want a communist society ALWAYS think they will be in charge of this new society and will be able to run it. They never think they will have to LIVE under it like the rest of the peasants.

Bingo

“he will not understand until a military boot crashes his fat bottom, THEN he will understand”

LOL!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJ2fMeer5Mw

 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 09:33:23

NY Times article highlighting how the “Job Creators” only pay Lucky Ducky wages:

“Nearly six million factory jobs, almost a third of the entire manufacturing industry, have disappeared since 2000. And while many of these jobs were lost to competition with low wage countries, even more vanished because of computer driven machinery that can do the work of 10, or in some cases, 100 workers.

The National Association of Manufacturers estimates there are roughly 600,000 jobs available for whoever has the right set of advanced skills.

Eric Isbister, the CEO of GenMet, a metal fabricating manufacturer outside of Milwaukee, told me that he would hire as many skilled workers as show up at his door. Last year, he received 1,051 applications and found only 25 people who were qualified. He hired all of them, but soon had to fire 15 Part of Isbister’s pickiness, he says, comes from an avoidance of workers with experience in a “union type job”. Isbister, after all, doesn’t abide by strict work rules and $30 an hour salaries. At GenMet, the starting pay is $10 an hour. Those with an associate degree can make $15, which can rise to $18 an hour after several years of performance. From what I understand, a new shift manager at a nearby McDonald’s can earn around $14 an hour.

The secret behind the skills gap is that it’s not a skills gap at all. I spoke to several other factory managers who also confessed that they had a hard time recruiting in-demand workers for $10 an hour jobs. “It’s hard not to break out laughing,” says Mark Price, a labor economist at the Keystone Research Center, referring to manufacturers complaining about the shortage of skilled workers. “If there’s a skills shortage, there has to be rises in wages,” he says. “It’s basic economics.” After all, according to supply and demand, a shortage of workers with valuable skills should push wages up. Yet according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the number of skilled jobs has fallen and so have their wages.

In a recent study, the Boston Consulting Group noted that, outside a few small cities that rely on the oil industry, there weren’t many places where manufacturing wages were going up and employers still couldn’t find enough workers. “Trying to hire high skilled workers at rock bottom rates,” the Boston Group study asserted, “is not a skills gap.” The study’s conclusion, however, was scarier. Many skilled workers have simply chosen to apply their skills elsewhere rather than work for less, and few young people choose to invest in training for jobs that pay fast food wages.”

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/25/magazine/skills-dont-pay-the-bills.html

Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-11-20 10:42:08

“computer driven machinery”

I used to have my own in house CAM (computer aided manufacturing) business within my high tech business to make metal products for our high tech product assemblies.

At some point it didn’t matter what we paid our employees it was so much cheaper to outsource the production to larger CAM houses that deployed multimillion dollar robotic metal works that customers were not willing to us pay the difference. So we outsourced this aspect of my business to another U.S. company and closed down our own internal CAM business and sold everything off for pennies on the dollar.

A few years later similar products came in from overseas for a fraction of the price. Customers demanded similar prices for our products. So we eventually severed our subcontracting with the U.S. house and bought similar products from overseas.

At some point you can’t raise wages to attract talent and still expect customers to by your products. So while I agree with the Boston Group that it is a supply and demand issue with labor - if they wage wages they can get more talent - if that means they make zero sales than it is a moot point. This is a wasting industry in the U.S. as a result. This business owner clearly lives in the twilight zone and probably not even there for much longer unfortunately.

Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 11:59:50

They don’t seem to be having this problem in Germany, do they?

Sucks when a successful hybrid of a socialist welfare state with a capitalist production economy actually works, thereby deflating the bootstraps, rugged individualist, Horatio Alger mythology of USA :)

Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-11-20 12:09:10

Actually - at least in our high tech industry this is even more true. We actually are still building more of these types of products still right in in Silicon Valley than Germany does. Germany’s share has collapsed.

But that’s not to say that Germany doesn’t have certain specializations that they can take advantage of in terms of scale. You may be thinking of their machine tool industry. These are tools used by the East Asians. So in a sense Germany sells the shovels to the gold miners. In that analogy the shovels are the machine tools and the miners are the East Asians that produce the aluminum and bend the metal into products.

But as far as our high tech products - Europe in importing for the USA. The EU has been one of the markets I’ve exported the most to. Although our sales are higher to SE Asia.

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Comment by tj
2012-11-20 19:19:51

This is a wasting industry in the U.S. as a result.

automate or die. just think how improved our lives would be if we could automate our food, transportation, shelter and energy production. we’d be free to do many other things, and the cost of living would be so cheap it would be ridiculous. we’d probably only have to work a week to pay living expenses for a year.

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 19:57:13

just think how improved our lives would be if we could automate our food, transportation, shelter and energy production. we’d be free to do many other things, and the cost of living would be so cheap it would be ridiculous. we’d probably only have to work a week to pay living expenses for a year.

40 years ago that’s what they said would happen. But most ALL the benefits of “automation” and technology have gone only to the very rich. The ONLY way your picture could come about is with massive government intervention in the markets which you’d never agree with. See my article posted today “The Future of Capitalism”.

Like the owners of the means of production are going to let you work a week for a years pay? Why?? Good luck with that Utopia fantasy.

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Comment by tj
2012-11-20 20:43:05

40 years ago that’s what they said would happen.

it would have happened long ago if government would have stayed out of the way. it didn’t.

But most ALL the benefits of “automation” and technology have gone only to the very rich.

wrong again. all you’ve got is blaming the rich. we’ve all, and i mean everyone on the planet has benefited from automation.

The ONLY way your picture could come about is with massive government intervention in the markets which you’d never agree with.

well this time i don’t even know what you’re talking about. how would government intervention in the markets bring about my ‘picture’?

See my article posted today “The Future of Capitalism”.

the future of capitalism is indeed bleak with socialism on the rise. but i assure you i’m not going to read the article.

Like the owners of the means of production are going to let you work a week for a years pay?

like they could do anything to stop me, if we had free market capitalism.

Good luck with that Utopia fantasy.

my utopia is worked for, and earned. yours is made of handouts.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 21:30:44

it would have happened long ago if government would have stayed out of the way. it didn’t.

Impossible.

i mean everyone on the planet has benefited from automation.

Except the millions who’ve lost their jobs.

well this time i don’t even know what you’re talking about

At least your honest.

my utopia is worked for, and earned. yours is made of handouts.

Fantasy land.

 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 22:06:27

Except the millions who’ve lost their jobs.

they’ve benefited from automation too.

well this time i don’t even know what you’re talking about

At least your honest.

clever insult, but it doesn’t change the fact that you made no sense, and apparently don’t care to clarify it.

Fantasy land.

my utopia is worked for and earned, yours is made of handouts (and lies).

 
Comment by tj
2012-11-20 22:09:15

anyway rio, i’m done for the night before this turns into something Ben doesn’t want again.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 22:23:33

anyway rio, i’m done for the night before this turns into something Ben doesn’t want again.

Good idea. Later.

 
 
 
 
Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-11-20 10:58:59

And to clarify - this isn’t just a labor wage issue. It is an economy of scale issue. Larger shops can invest in more expensive machines that allow for a lower cost of production. So as things standardize it allows for economies of scale. So for example going from our in house shop the first economy of scale was going from simple CAM on steel to CAM + robots on steel. Then the next jump was to CAM + robots on aluminum. Aluminum is much cheaper to work with and you don’t need to do things like power coat it. But aluminum required very expensive machinery so few U.S. companies bother to ever invest in that type of equipment. You see this type of investment much more commonly in East Asia. Different areas specialize.

Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-11-20 15:08:43

Then you run into the issues that my former employer is seeing.

All of the US based shops are out of business. QC from the Far East and Mexico is hit and miss. And this assumes that they will even talk to you about a 200-300 unit run.

Comment by SF Bay Area
2012-11-20 17:05:52

X-GSfixr - in our little sector of tech I’ve seen some very good QC from the Far East and other examples that are lacking. So I know what you know. But one thing these highly concentrated operations in East Asia can’t do and don’t have the skill to do are the one off or 100 - 300 pieces runs as you say. So I still have friends in business that stay in business based on numerous jobs with a few pieces. But that method of business means waiting a long time to get a project done. They can barely afford to keep in business so they need to line lots of jobs up with longer lead times to keep it practical. What I fear is that we lose the skills to do it at all in the long run :(

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Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 10:10:02

MarketWatch - Fed cannot allow temporary inflation spike: Lacker

“The Federal Reserve will lose credibility “for decades to come” if it allows inflation to rise temporarily in order to help stimulate the economy, said Jeffrey Lacker, the president of the Richmond Federal Reserve Bank, on Tuesday. In its policy statement in September, the Fed said it would keep rates close to zero even after the recovery picks up.”

Lose credibility? What a joke. And never mind the “temporary” inflation spikes in food, gasoline, health care, that happen year after year after year. But they’re “excluded from volatile core”, right? Let them eat i-pads…

Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 11:33:53

I would think they would gain credibility if they could raise inflation when they wanted to, then rein it back in when done. It would cement the all powerful, don’t-fight-the-Fed Federal Reserve image.

 
 
Comment by moral hazard
2012-11-20 10:19:59

Senate bill rewrite lets feds read your e-mail without warrants

by Declan McCullagh |
November 20, 2012 4:00 AM

A Senate proposal touted as protecting Americans’ e-mail privacy has been quietly rewritten, giving government agencies more surveillance power than they possess under current law.

CNET has learned that Patrick Leahy, the influential Democratic chairman of the Senate Judiciary committee, has dramatically reshaped his legislation in response to law enforcement concerns. A vote on his bill, which now authorizes warrantless access to Americans’ e-mail, is scheduled for next week

Leahy’s rewritten bill would allow more than 22 agencies — including the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Federal Communications Commission — to access Americans’ e-mail, Google Docs files, Facebook wall posts, and Twitter direct messages without a search warrant. It also would give the FBI and Homeland Security more authority, in some circumstances, to gain full access to Internet accounts without notifying either the owner or a judge.

It’s an abrupt departure from Leahy’s earlier approach, which required police to obtain a search warrant backed by probable cause before they could read the contents of e-mail or other communications. The Vermont Democrat boasted last year that his bill “provides enhanced privacy protections for American consumers by… requiring that the government obtain a search warrant.”

http://news.cnet.com/8301-13578_3-57552225-38/senate-bill-rewrite-lets-feds-read-your-e-mail-without-warrants/ - -

Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 11:52:20

He was for it before he was against it…

Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 12:05:23

And “independent” Joltin’ Joe Lieberman loves legislation like this.

Remember kidz, before Saddam Hussein flew those planes into World Trade Center on 9/11, the PATRIOT Act had already been written, and was sitting in some neocon wonk’s desk drawer, just waiting to get dusted off and passed into law, after the occurrence of what a 1996 Project For The New American Century think tank policy paper termed a “Pearl Harbor event”.

 
 
 
Comment by MiddleCoaster
2012-11-20 10:23:05

The Dust Bowl, part 2 aired last night. Although the basic causes and the toll on human and animal life wrought by this catastrophe were already familiar, I did not know how and why the southern Plains are not today a barren desert. Now, I do. This story has a hero, and his name is Henry Howard Finnell.

Finnell was appointed in the mid-1930s by Hugh Hammond Bennett, director of the U.S. Soil Conservation Service, to take charge of restoring the area most deeply affected by the Dust Bowl. His knowledge, and his ability to persuade, convinced farmers to use better methods to capture and retain moisture. It was a massive project that took several years. And it was funded by the U.S. government. President Roosevelt was solidly behind the effort. Some landowners, particularly investors and ‘absentee landlords’ whose acreage was worked by tenant farmers, were slow to implement the practices necessary to restore their land. The government forced them to comply. At the same time, programs like the WPA gave the people of the area jobs that enabled them and their families to survive. In short, this was environmental and social engineering on a grand scale.

If the Dust Bowl and the Depression were to happen today, would government be effective in providing the type of aid and the leadership necessary to deal with the crisis? Would the critics and naysayers prevail? I have to wonder. Of course people are different now. In the 1930s the thought of taking government handouts was foreign and distasteful to many. Farmers and ranchers were then, and are still, known for independence and self-reliance. Roosevelt had some opponents who as we know were so alarmed and angered by his policies that a group of them wanted him assassinated. Hmmm, some things don’t change. ;)

Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-11-20 15:13:16

“…..independence and self reliance……”

As they graze their herds on Federal land for pennies a head, and cash those crop subsidy checks, when they aren’t throwing “Farm-Aid” concerts.

 
Comment by ecofeco
2012-11-20 23:58:03

“Hmmm, some things don’t change. ;)”

Depressing, ain’t it?

 
Comment by ahansen
2012-11-21 02:05:50

Actually Dept. of Ag/Commerce offered farmers gas subsidies in exchange for them adopting contour plowing. It wasn’t forced on them, but it WAS an example of tax policy used to effect a beneficial change to society.

 
 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 11:51:03

Here are the top cities ranked for startup formation, as compiled by Startup Genome:

1. Silicon Valley
2. Tel Aviv
3. Los Angeles
4. Seattle
5. New York City
6. Boston
7. London
8. Toronto
9. Vancouver
10. Chicago
11. Paris
12. Sydney
13. Sao Paulo
14. Moscow
15. Berlin
16. Waterloo (Canada)
17. Singapore
18. Melbourne
19. Bangalore
20. Santiago

How many of the above have housing bubbles to go along with all the hot money flowing to startups?

Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 12:05:37

I’ll start it off:
Boston definitely continues to have a housing bubble within the 128-belt…

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2012-11-20 12:38:17

Looks like a list of the most liberal cities in the US. And these are the top spots for start ups?

I thought conservatives created the best business environments?

Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 13:26:51

And these are the top spots for start ups?

According to Startup Genome, who puts out an annual list of the top places globally, based on startup culture, activity, funding, talent, etc.

I thought conservatives created the best business environments?

If I had to guess the link here, it would be that each of these locales has a heavy emphasis on higher education and the VC money centers around the talent that comes out of University. Just a guess…

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2012-11-20 14:02:27

Conservatives do. However, Liberals have an advantage in start ups because being a contrarian is a trait more common among liberals and is important for start ups. Is a sense that is what is sad about the divide in this country. A successful country has both types of people and it is best when they keep each other’s worse tendencies in check. Many liberals love change even when the change is detrimental but many conservatives cannot change even when it is needed. One will produce a stagnant country and the other will produce chaos where a country cannot function. This country use to be a country of moderates and that was a strength compared to countries that went from left to right, but that has been lost and we are suffering due to it.

Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-11-20 15:36:15

What’s sad is that what used to be referred to by us Eisenhower Republicans as the “bat##it crazy wing” is now mainstream Republican thought.

Still on TDY in one of the reddest of Red States. The version being reported around here is not that the message was wrong, but that they failed to get their message out.

The “message” in this case, is interpreted to mean……keep a lid on any fascist/fundamentalist utterances you may have until AFTER you are elected.

These people aren’t interested in compromise. No consideration whatsoever that solutions that work out in white-bread, Southern Baptist fundamental BFE may not be the hot ticket somewhere else. It’s “My way, or the highway” with all of them.

Our state governor is slashing taxes and budgets right and left, and packing state offices with fundamentalist/free-market cronies, all with the promise that this will lead to prosperity for all.

I say BS, it is leading to our formerly well regarded state to turn into Louisiana/Mississippi, with lousier food. I guess we’ll see who is right in about ten years.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 16:36:29

I say BS, it is leading to our formerly well regarded state to turn into Louisiana/Mississippi, with lousier food. I guess we’ll see who is right in about ten years.

:(

 
 
 
 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-11-20 16:50:41

The dropoff is steep from the top.

More than 50% of all venture capital dollars are invested in California.

Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 22:43:05

That is a scary thought because I have no desire or inclination to move to CA. I would consider Australia before CA…

Comment by Rental Watch
2012-11-21 03:53:59

And the climb has been up. Price Waterhouse puts out a “MoneyTree” report that puts together historical data on venture investing going back to 1995, when CA represented about 40%. In 1999/2000, it was only 41-42%. Through the 2000s it has now grown…the first 3 quarters of 2012 has 54% of venture dollars landing in CA.

There is a reason Zuckerberg went from Boston to Silicon Valley. This is a big driver of good jobs in the state (CA is adding jobs faster than the US as a whole…262k jobs 12 months through September, 1.9% growth vs. 1.3% in the US).

More and more it’s becoming a tale of two groups in CA, the have’s (good jobs in part driven from investments in new business, etc.) and the have not’s (blue collar workers getting squeezed from the higher cost of living).

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Comment by Rental Watch
2012-11-21 04:03:33

New data out today…CA added 295k jobs year on year through October. The US as a whole added 1.95 million (including CA)

That’s CA job growth of 2.1%.
The US ex-CA job growth of 1.4%

Texas is doing even better with 277k jobs (2.6% job growth).
Arizona added 46.5k (1.9% job growth)

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2012-11-21 05:27:22

Here’s the BLS press release:

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/laus.nr0.htm

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by CeeCee
2012-11-20 12:31:43

I have something funny to tell you guys. Yesterday, I was at the mall. I saw one of those stands in the middle of it where they sell products. At one of the stands, there was a stand that said “The time to buy is now!”, and on the side, it said “Become a realtor today!”. It had a lot of papers that muttered phrases along the lines of “Buy now, because prices are only going to increase!” and “Stop throwing your money away on renting!” with a graph showing rents increasing.

Also, the lady was pretty lonely, because no one came to the stand for a LONG time.

Comment by goon squad
2012-11-20 13:05:28

http://www1.salary.com/real-estate-agent-Salary.html

$37,430 median. Can you say LOOSERS?

Comment by CeeCee
2012-11-20 13:46:39

LOL

 
 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 13:14:07

heh….. they’re shameless aren’t they?

Comment by CeeCee
2012-11-20 13:48:32

I suppose a lot of them are

 
 
 
Comment by Muggy
2012-11-20 13:58:09

So I was excited to take my kids to Stone Mountain until I looked it up on the interweb.What to do with a perfectly beautiful, unique piece of granite?

Why, carve into it, of course.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-11-20 14:33:52

It was eight years ago today that I became a first-time homeowner. And what a long, strange trip it has been. I’ve learned a lot!

Comment by X-GSfixr
2012-11-20 15:20:30

I have this vision of Slim, a petite, blond, tanned Michiganite transplant, in a small but tidy house in Tucson, standing in her front yard, holstered .45 at her side, yelling at all of the young whippersnappers, and taking digital pictures of all the neighbors code violations……… :)

Comment by Arizona Slim
2012-11-20 16:32:14

Actually, I don’t need to take digital photos of neighbors’ code violations. I just use the City of Tucson’s handy online reporting form and they do the rest. Including the photography.

BTW, I’m one of many code violation reporters around here.

 
 
 
Comment by moral hazard
2012-11-20 14:46:15

I don`t know how they pulled this off with so many living in houses where they have not made a mortgage payment in years which can be found with very little effort. But it seems at least for now, they have pulled it off.

“Palm Beach County experienced a 22 percent increase in home sales last month from the same time in 2011, with prices increasing 23 percent.”

Prices were never allowed to bottom in the first place and now they are up 23 percent in one year?

Florida, county sales of existing homes increases in October

by Kim Miller

Homebuyers statewide snapped up 17,779 single-family homes in October, a 25 percent increase from the same time in 2011, according to a report released this morning by the Florida Realtors.

Prices too were on the upswing in Florida, jumping 9 percent in October from last year to $145,000.

As has been the case all year, housing inventory continued to shrink. The inventory for single-family homes stood at a 5.2-months’ supply in October; inventory for townhome-condo properties was also at a 5.2-months’ supply, according to Florida Realtors. Industry analysts note that a 5.5-months’ supply symbolically represents a market balanced between buyers and sellers.

“Once again, everything that should be going up in the market is going up, and everything that should be going down is going down,” said Florida Realtors Chief Economist John Tuccillo. “As impressive as the year-over-year gains for October are, far more impressive are year-to-date gains of 2012 over 2011. They indicate the depth and resilience of this recovery.”

Palm Beach County experienced a 22 percent increase in home sales last month from the same time in 2011, with prices increasing 23 percent.

At the same time, inventory was down to a 4.7 months’ supply.

This entry was posted on Monday, November 19th, 2012 at 11:19 am and is filed under Foreclosures, Housing affordability, Housing boom, Mortgages, Real estate bust. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

Comment by Muggy
2012-11-20 16:08:32

“I don`t know how they pulled this off with so many living in houses where they have not made a mortgage payment in years which can be found with very little effort.”

Because the taxes are kept current by the bailed out banks. This is my new working theory — keeping the taxes whole keeps fireman, politicians, hedgies, etc. whole. Everyone, really. The abandoned home behind me is being renovated. Shazam! And the taxes are current.

Since this policy reaches beyond our borders, it may be the largest protection racket in the history of mankind.

 
 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2012-11-20 15:31:00

hmmm… wow.

It looks like SF bay area housing prices fell 2% in a single month.

http://www.zillow.com/local-info/CA-Santa-Clara-County-home-value/r_3136/#metric=mt%3D36%26dt%3D1%26tp%3D5%26rt%3D6%26r%3D3136%26el%3D0

Down we go again.

 
Comment by Muggy
2012-11-20 15:36:57

I will be off the grid for the next few days.

I am thankful for Ben and this blog.

It started with housing, and over the years I’ve learned so much here — it’s been an unbelievable trip. I think my most memorable factoid was X-GS’s post about steel from sunken ships prior to nuke testing. Straight up awesome.

I work mostly in isolation in K12 Education, so it’s not every day that my belief systems / prior knowledge are constructively challenged, so… I really appreciate the brain-benders that occur here.

Other than the Aquarium (we may pass on that) and Stone Mountain, are there any other “most-dos” in ATL? Is there a Graceland equivalent for Ludacris?

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2012-11-20 18:18:33

Other than the Aquarium (we may pass on that) and Stone Mountain, are there any other “most-dos” in ATL?

Atlanta Cyclorama & Civil War Museum

(Very) Old School “IMaX” theater, lol. Cool if you like Civil War/American History

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlanta_Cyclorama_%26_Civil_War_Museum

CocaCola museum? (never been)

http://www.worldofcoca-cola.com/directionsparking.htm

 
Comment by Northeastener
2012-11-20 22:46:29

Other than the Aquarium (we may pass on that)

I wouldn’t pass on the aquarium. They have a whale shark. Largest fish in the sea, literally. Truly an amazing sight… and one that most will never see in the wild.

 
 
Comment by AZtoORtoCOtoOR
2012-11-20 18:59:29

Shocked I tell you, Shocked!!!

Where have we heard this defense before?

“Autonomy founder and former CEO Mike Lynch told CNBC Tuesday that he was “shocked” by allegations of accounting fraud and blamed Hewlett-Packard, which acquired his company last year, for “mismangement” that led an $8.8 billion charge and sent HP’s stock reeling.”

I wonder who was more shocked - Lynch or the bag holder HP??

http://www.cnbc.com/id/49907816

Comment by ecofeco
2012-11-20 23:50:37

*snerk*

 
 
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