January 15, 2013

Bits Bucket for January 15, 2013

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here. And check out Chomp, Chomp, Chomp by a regular poster!




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370 Comments »

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-01-15 05:29:56

“Housing prices are wildly inflated. Proceed at your own risk.”

Comment by mikeinbend
2013-01-15 08:24:14

The sky is falling!

The sky is falling!
C. Little

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 08:37:38

Take it easy my dear Real Estate Professional. Falling housing prices to dramatically lower levels is positively bullish.

 
 
Comment by Ryan
2013-01-15 08:47:30

Will prices go down? If so, by how much?

Comment by sfhomowner
2013-01-15 09:04:01

Will prices go down? If so, by how much?

65%!
150-200%!

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 09:38:08

“150-200%!”

Fail.

If prices are inflated by 150%, then a return to initial value would be a reduction of 60%. Similarly, a 200% increase followed by a return to initial value would reduce prices by 67% (2/3).

Unless you used leverage to buy real estate, your losses are limited to 100%.

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Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 09:41:56

limited to 100%

Not true. Go through a messy divorce and the losses (to the ex-spouse on the losing end) can easily exceed 100%.

 
Comment by polly
2013-01-15 09:59:06

She is making fun of Pimp’s constantly increasing predictions. The impossible number was deliberate.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 10:03:01

“The impossible number was deliberate.”

That’s a very generous assumption.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2013-01-15 11:01:30

The impossible number was deliberate.

Speaking of impossible numbers, weren’t we just discussing the possibility of a One Trillion dollar platinum coin to solve the debt ceiling? Sorry, I guess that isn’t impossible, rather improbable and ridiculous…

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-01-15 12:16:14

The impossible number was deliberate.

Yes

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 21:40:34

“150-200%!…The impossible number was deliberate.”

But not technically impossible.

For instance, suppose you lived in a non-recourse state, and bought a $500,000 home with 10% down ($50,000), borrowing $450,000. Now consider what would happen if the value of the home ended up dropping by $100,000, to $400,000, and you ended up having to go into default at that point, due to losing your job. Assuming your lender was not willing to let you off the hook and came after you with a deficiency judgment, you would be out of your down payment and owe an additional $50,000 — a 200% loss.

 
 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 11:19:02

‘65%’

You’re already locked into your losses. Its all uphill for you now.

You paid a grossly inflated price for a depreciating asset in a bubble market that hasn’t correct yet.

Why did you make that tragic error?

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Comment by sfhomowner
2013-01-15 12:17:14

Why did you make that tragic error?

Because I’m too old to live in my mother’s basement.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 12:18:52

Maybe you should have gotten out of your mothers basement at the appropriate age.

 
 
 
 
Comment by cactus
2013-01-15 09:50:02

“For nine straight months, national home prices have been in the positive, and the gains are only getting larger. The latest reading for November shows a 7.4 percent jump from a year ago, according to CoreLogic.
Homes for sale in San Marcos, CaliforniaThat includes sale prices of distressed properties, bank-owned homes and short sales. This is the largest year-over-year jump since 2006 when we were at the height of the housing boom.

“As we close out 2012 the pending index suggests prices will remain strong,” wrote Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic in a release. “Given that the recently released Qualified Mortgage rules issued by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau are not expected to significantly restrict credit availability relative to today, the gains made in 2012 will likely be sustained into 2013.”

Comment by redrum
2013-01-15 10:28:42

Real estate prices (and trends) seem to follow sentiment, not fundamentals. Based on my informal survey of cable TV this weekend, sentiment has definitely shifted. There is a noticeable up-swing in the number of the home fix-up shows; the type you couldn’t escape during the mania, but were almost absent for several years during the bust.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 21:42:09

“Real estate prices (and trends) seem to follow sentiment, not fundamentals.”

Do you classify the Fed’s injection of $40 bn / month into MBS purchases as ’sentiment’ or ‘fundamentals’?

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Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 11:14:31

Yet purchase power increased 15% for the same time frame. Worse yet, demand continues to fall past 1997 levels.

 
 
 
Comment by moral hazard
2013-01-15 05:40:24

“dwindling inventory” ?

“But what it does suggest is that much of the home inventory and residential lot inventory appears to have been absorbed.” ?

BS even in Colorado a state where they supposedly foreclose and evict in 6-12 months there is a “shadow” inventory.

Colorado could be facing a new wave of foreclosures

By David Migoya
The Denver Post
Posted: 06/20/2012 01:00:00 AM MDT

Despite reports of a thawing housing market, yet another wave of foreclosures appears to be looming, real estate records filed in multiple metro-Denver counties indicate.

A “shadow” inventory?

Lenders were also believed to be holding back a “shadow” inventory said to top 2 million homes because they couldn’t sell them at a reasonable price.

“You’ve had this lengthy artificial timeout from the robo-signing investigation, creating a logjam that had to break free,” Denver mortgage broker and market expert Jim Spray said. “That foreclosure river had to flow again eventually, and it appears this is the proof. I just hope it’s not another flood.”

The filings for the first time show how many troubled mortgages appear headed to foreclosure, as well as others that briefly sidestepped foreclosure for loan modifications that are again in default.

For example, assignments of deeds of trust in Boulder County are up by 72 percent for the first five months of the year compared with last year — the lowest in the seven-county region — and exploded by 213 percent for the same period in Adams County, where some of the highest concentrations of foreclosures occurred since the housing bubble burst.

One of those notes belongs to Jerry Hansen, a real estate broker who said he has expected foreclosure papers on his Aurora home since 2008. He is among several homeowners interviewed by The Post who said they’re merely waiting for their lender to make a move. All said they were unaware their deed of trust had been assigned. “We’ve been sitting on this bubble for the longest time and I have no doubt it’s coming,” said Hansen, 58.

http://www.denverpost.com/business/ci_20895107/colorado-could-be-facing-new-wave-foreclosures - 167k -

Palm Beach County home price gains top nation in December

By Kimberly Miller
Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
Posted: 7:54 p.m. Monday, Jan. 14, 2013

“While a 35 percent home price increase is very welcome, it’s a 35 percent increase over levels that haven’t been seen since 2002 or 2003,” said Stan Geberer, senior associate with Orlando-based Fishkind & Associates Economic Consulting. “But what it does suggest is that much of the home inventory and residential lot inventory appears to have been absorbed.”

In fact, Palm Beach County Realtors have said one of their biggest challenges in recent months is a dwindling inventory. The months’ supply of single-family homes for sale was down to 4.7 in November, a 54 percent decrease from the same time in 2011. Condominium supply was at 4.8 months, down 47 percent from November 2011.

http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/business/real-estate/palm-beach-county-price-gains-top-nation-in-decemb/nTwzh/ - 91k

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 06:54:37

What made you decide to buy a house, in the midst of all this shadow inventory, moral jethro?

Comment by palmetto
2013-01-15 07:05:04

“moral jethro”

Ah, there ya’re, slothie, taking those needling little potshots at people. Nice. Needle, needle, deedle-do.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 07:14:52

I thought my ‘potshot’ seemed like a reasonable question:

Why are some of our biggest housing bears buying houses now, since they’re still predicting doom for everyone else in the housing market?

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Comment by palmetto
2013-01-15 07:20:57

“I thought my ‘potshot’ seemed like a reasonable question:”

Of COURSE you did.

Why get a flu shot when you can take a potshot from slothie?

Needle, needle, deedle-do.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 07:20:59

Because he didn’t pay a grossly inflated price.

Don’t be serial liar Alpo.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 07:35:02

Because he didn’t pay a grossly inflated price.

So clearly, by your own admission, it’s not unreasonable to buy a house now, because at least some are no longer at a grossly inflated price.

Maybe you should update your sloganeering?

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-01-15 11:09:02

Why are some of our biggest housing bears buying houses now

1. Needed a place to live
2. Rising rents
3. I was getting old waiting for the bubble to completely pop (wanted to buy in 2003)
4. Rents and owning were comparable
5. Buying was 3X income

Would I have wanted it to collapse further? Heck yeah.
Is housing overpriced? Yes!
Did we need a place to live? Yes.
Are rents exorbitant where I live? Yes

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 11:25:47

1. You could have rented for a fraction of the cost of buying.
2. Rental rates are falling.
3. Your need for instant gratification is a problem for you.
4. This is a falsehood propagated by the math-challenged.
5. Nonsense. You know you paid >5x your income….. and we know it too.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 11:28:27

‘So clearly, by your own admission, it’s not unreasonable to buy a house now, because at least some are no longer at a grossly inflated price.’

That’s your misrepresentation.

 
 
 
Comment by moral hazard
2013-01-15 07:31:19

You gettin old there slothie? Dementia maybe?

I gave you my reasons and expectations for this already the first time you tried for days to rally the troops in an attack on me. I also remember how disappointed you were when you couldn’t make that happen. Why that was almost as satisfying to me as the $13,600 in tax free income my last DBLL is missing since I moved out of his place and watched it go up for a short sale.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 07:36:54

I gave you my reasons and expectations

I must have forgotten them. But anyway newer posters, or those that missed the first explanation, might benefit from hearing your reasons for buying now, in the midst of such shadow inventory.

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Comment by moral hazard
2013-01-15 16:15:37

“I must have forgotten them”

Did you also forget trying to rally the troops for an attack on me? Did you also forget how disappointed you were when you couldn’t make that happen?

I have not forgotten. Oh there was no explanation, it was a list of criteria that I had that was met.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 16:26:32

Did you also forget trying to rally the troops for an attack on me? Did you also forget how disappointed you were when you couldn’t make that happen?

Yes. I remember shouting “Follow me lads! Once more into the breach! Get the rascal!” But then you started crying so we felt sorry for you, and called it off.

That’s how I remember it.

 
Comment by moral hazard
2013-01-15 16:58:13

It was because you were a pathetic gang of one.

“But then you started crying so we felt sorry for you,”

There was no “we” just you. A sad little alpha who like a child who couldn`t get the other kids in the neighborhood to gang up on someone and standing no chance on their own had to run home to mommy sloth.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 17:33:38

Poor Alpo….. get’s another smackdown.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 17:55:30

Ooo…kay. Someone’s got some childhood issues here, and it ain’t me.

Maybe a little therapy would help work these issues through, jethro. Who knows? Maybe you’d become a liberal, if you could lose your rage-aholism.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-16 05:01:56

As we all know, you’re truth and integrity challenged Alpo my Real Estate Professional.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 07:46:08

“… the $13,600 in tax free income my last DBLL is missing since I moved out of his place and watched it go up for a short sale.”

But he presumably received buckets of money in tax-free ‘debt forgiveness’ income on the short sale, so it’s all good for your former DBLL.

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Comment by moral hazard
2013-01-15 07:58:14

He can`t pay the mortgage on his 2004 Mcmansion with ‘debt forgiveness’.

 
Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 09:50:00

“2004 Mcmansion ”

Wow, he got pwned. No joke. A ’00s McMansion in FL is about the last asset in the world I’d want to own. Almost anything else would be better. I’d even take a trailer in TN over that mess.

(This is not sarcastic)

 
Comment by oxide
2013-01-15 09:57:05

I’m not sure I’d take an actual trailer in TN… more like, I’d take the money I saved by buying the TN trailer vs. the FL McMansion and use it for something else.

 
Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 10:23:52

Of course pocketing the money saved would be good*. But think about it, even if you didn’t get money, at least with the trailer you don’t have 200k+ of mortgage debt keeping you stuck in Floriduh.

*Seems doubtful these people put more than 3% down. They might even have done zero down.

 
 
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2013-01-15 07:01:16

I believe I have seen the shadow inventory here: foreclosed houses that are not going back onto the market. In my nabe I’ve seen about 3 (out of 300 houses)

Interesting, the guy in Aurora who’s been sitting since 2008, I wonder what kind of games he has been playing (he is a realtor after all) maybe he’s[laying the robosigning game, though I’m not sure I buy that. I’ve seen houses in my little burg that were foreclosed and evicted about 2 years after they were built.

Anywho, I still don’t meet people at the store or at parties who brag about not paying the mortgage, the way they apparently do in Florida.

Comment by palmetto
2013-01-15 07:10:55

“people at the store or at parties who brag about not paying the mortgage, the way they apparently do in Florida.”

And they do, they really do. I know someone personally who has done this, and of course there were all sorts of justifications, one of which was that he was getting even with the big, bad bank.

Haven’t spoken to him in a while. Probably never will again, either.

Comment by Combotechie
2013-01-15 07:32:46

“… getting even with the big, bad bank.”

Or, looking at it another way, he is geting played by the big, bad bank.

Why should the banks foreclose and leave a house empty and subject to house-strippers? Why not keep the house occupied and maybe convince the occupier that he somehow owns it - or will own it - until the time becomes ripe for the banks to foreclose?

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 07:39:57

Or, looking at it another way, he is geting played by the big, bad bank.

Perhaps it’s a symbiotic relationship?

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 07:48:14

“Why should the banks foreclose and leave a house empty and subject to house-strippers?”

Assuming the principle balance on the loan was federally guaranteed, why should they give a flying fork about the collateral that nominally backs it up? That’s the taxpayer-owner’s problem…

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 07:49:15

Why should the banks foreclose and leave a house empty and subject to house-strippers?

Another one added to the lexicon. Housing Strippers. :mrgreen:

 
Comment by Combotechie
2013-01-15 07:52:43

Strippers who make house calls.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2013-01-15 11:07:19

Current story on Boston dot com, “Man arrested for refusing to pay $700 bill at strip club”.

When did strippers get so expensive and when did it become a crime (vs. a civil matter) to default on payment of a service?

 
Comment by Pete
2013-01-15 18:48:20

“Perhaps it’s a symbiotic relationship?”

Yes! The law may give the banks the right to take the home, but it doesn’t force them to evict, or to sell. Their job is to come up with the most efficient way of keeping the house sellable at some future point. If I were the foreclosee, I would fill that need, no questions asked.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 21:53:36

“…$700 bill at strip club.

When did strippers get so expensive …”

Since banksters loaded with printing press money started whoremongering?

BREAKING: Bankers Into Prostitutes And Strippers

Joe Weisenthal | Oct. 15, 2009, 6:51 AM | 2,991 | 14

You are just not going to believe this “growing trend.”

Guardian: Kat Banyard of gender-equality pressure group the Fawcett Society told a Treasury select committee hearing into women’s role in the City of London that there was a growing trend in the City to use prostitution to entertain clients.

“We took extensive evidence from individual women who said it was becoming frequent for meetings to be held in lap dance clubs, and I also had women speak to me and say that prostitution was being used in client deals or in ways to generate business – and that all of this culture created a very hostile environment, as you would expect, for female employees of those firms,” she said.

One former City worker who gave evidence to the Fawcett Society said that while working for a top international investment bank in the City, she witnessed a senior manager looking for a brothel to entertain some Russian clients.

 
 
 
Comment by moral hazard
2013-01-15 07:14:08

“I still don’t meet people at the store or at parties who brag about not paying the mortgage, the way they apparently do in Florida.”

Me either, I have to use my eyes, public records and common sense.

“Denver mortgage broker and market expert Jim Spray said. “That foreclosure river had to flow again eventually, and it appears this is the proof. I just hope it’s not another flood.”

Comment by snowgirl
2013-01-15 09:10:31

Speaking of public record, last week our county announced online residential housing tax records would be less user friendly. I’m not exactly sure what that means. I did notice you could no longer search by name. But I can’t imagine they’re done tinkering yet. I imagined the realtors were rejoicing. Now all the MLS mistakes will go uncaught until it’s too late.

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Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 19:34:02

Withholding information is the hallmark of corruption.

And who else is withholding information? NY realturds. They begin withholding sales and price information in counties where the the inevitable began to occur. And they’re still doing it.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2013-01-15 10:14:40

Me either, I have to use my eyes, public records and common sense.

I seem to recall that you did talk about people bragging at parties and at checkout lines at the store.

As for searching public records I have other things to do with my time. This blog already burns too much of my time.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-01-15 10:40:24

As for searching public records I have other things to do with my time. This blog already burns too much of my time.

I also resemble that remark.

And, lately, I’ve been doing an informal comparison of this blog with Facebook. Although FB’s overall tone is more upbeat and friendlier, I find the level of discourse to be much higher here. You need to back up your arguments with facts and figures. That seldom happens on FB.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-01-15 12:20:42

You need to back up your arguments with facts and figures. That seldom happens on FB.

Depends on who your friends are. Mine are snopes-using types.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-01-15 12:54:08

You need to back up your arguments with facts and figures. That seldom happens on FB.

Correct. I’ve asked 3 people on FB directly why their taxes are going up in 2013 (all claimed it was due to O’care) and they’ve either not responded to being called out, or they responded by saying they “don’t actually know” why but that it’s going to hurt. Which proves to me that the majority of folks aren’t longer term thinkers/planners either, if they’re just finding out about it on their first 2013 pay stub.

 
Comment by moral hazard
2013-01-15 17:22:57

“I seem to recall that you did talk about people bragging at parties and at checkout lines at the store.”

I will be clean and sober for 25 years at the end of this month so I have not been much of a party goer during the bubble years. The cocktail party thing has been on this blog but I don`t remember from who. The checkout lines at the store were about SNAP (a subject I have dropped).

Anywhere you went from 2004 - 2006 people bragged about their house values going up forever and I personally knew plenty of them.

As for searching public records for the most part they were people who were in the Palm Beach Post with one sob story or another and always leaving out the hundreds of thousands of dollars in equity they had taken from their home before the bubble burst and they were transformed from Donald Trump to victims of the evil banks.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 17:47:35

Christmas 1985.

 
Comment by moral hazard
2013-01-15 18:56:13

That`s a long time to be a friend of Bill.

Congrats.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 19:12:31

But aren’t both of you kinda…rage-aholics?

Isn’t that one of the dangers- transferring your compulsion, rather than dealing with it?

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 20:12:54

You’re contorting Alpo my Real Estate Professional.

 
 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 07:18:05

, I still don’t meet people at the store or at parties who brag about not paying the mortgage, the way they apparently do in Florida.

Well, you’ll never be a good right-winger if you can’t just discern that others are deadbeats, living off you while buying t-bones on their SNAP cards (which you can recognize from way back in the line).

Comment by Anon In DC
2013-01-15 19:45:30

Don’t have to recognize them in line. The figure is known ~ 50 million on SNAP (food stamps.)

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Comment by rms
2013-01-15 09:11:38

“I believe I have seen the shadow inventory…”

We had a number of smallish trashed 1950’s homes along my bicycle commute sitting empty for a few years, and then suddenly toward the end of last summer all of them were being renovated. Most of them are now occupied, but a couple still have FOR SALE signs out front.

Comment by oxide
2013-01-15 13:04:19

What sort of prices are these renovated houses selling for?

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Comment by rms
2013-01-15 19:25:47

What sort of prices are these renovated houses selling for?

Not sure, but probably $80k to $110k. No HVAC, just baseboard heating and one or two swamp coolers, but most of these fixers are getting dual-pane windows and upgraded insulation. The garage, if there is one, is usually a separate building with alley-only access. Overhead utility wires too.

The new spec-rancher is the way to go, IMHO, but they’re about $140k starting, so you need a job that requires a college degree.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 19:32:06

Where are you, rms?

 
Comment by rms
2013-01-15 20:19:35

“Where are you, rms?”

Eastern Washington’s Columbia Basin in Ephrata near Moses Lake. It’s an arid hot/cold desert.

Maybe I need a new handle: RMS in WA?

 
Comment by rms
2013-01-15 20:26:45

Maybe I need a new handle: RMS in WA?

Or: rms_in_wa?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 21:04:18

rms_in_ephrata

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-01-15 21:40:42

Used to go out to that Conagra plant quite a bit.

 
Comment by rms
2013-01-15 23:31:21

“…ephrata…”

Most folks have never heard of it. WA…connects the dots.

 
Comment by rms
2013-01-15 23:33:41

“Used to go out to that Conagra plant quite a bit.”

Lots of industries out this way due to cheap energy.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-01-16 01:47:53

What’s the MSFT out there? Server farm? How long’s it been there?

 
Comment by rms
2013-01-16 02:54:26
 
 
 
Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 10:53:48

“Anywho, I still don’t meet people at the store or at parties who brag about not paying the mortgage, the way they apparently do in Florida.”

There are reasons people call it Flori-duh.

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-01-15 12:57:12

Can’t the roots of most Flori-duh-ians be traced back to the Boston - DC corridor?

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Comment by Robin
2013-01-15 18:09:34

What’s the median age and IQ in Flori-Duh?

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Comment by ahansen
2013-01-16 00:00:57

My guess is that they match….

 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 07:43:50

“You’ve had this lengthy artificial timeout from the robo-signing investigation, creating a logjam that had to break free,” Denver mortgage broker and market expert Jim Spray said. “That foreclosure river had to flow again eventually, and it appears this is the proof. I just hope it’s not another flood.”

When this logjam eventually breaks free, the toilet is sure to overflow.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 07:51:05

When this logjam eventually breaks free, the toilet is sure to overflow.

Mixed-metaphor alert! Or is ‘logjam’ a euphemism?

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 08:11:12

One of my junior high school chums, who had moved into our ‘hood from Caleeforneeah, was fond of the metaphor “dropping my logs”…

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Comment by Carl Morris
2013-01-15 09:29:54

IT guys log out.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-01-15 12:58:43

:lol:

 
Comment by rms
2013-01-15 13:14:28

“IT guys log out.”

+1 LOL

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 09:32:35

There needs to be a Santorum joke in here somewhere.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-01-15 08:23:24

Colorado could be facing a new wave of foreclosures

Cowabunga, dude! Surf’s up!

Comment by Carl Morris
2013-01-15 13:24:56

I’ll believe it when I see it. During the last wave I never saw anything I wanted for the price, even as a foreclosure.

 
 
 
Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Fl)
2013-01-15 06:14:52

Here we go again.

From CNBC:
President Barack Obama warned Congress on Monday that it must raise the debt ceiling or risk a “self-inflicted wound on the economy.” Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner also delivered ominous calls for action.

“We’ve got to stop lurching from crisis to crisis to crisis,” Obama told reporters at the White House in the last news conference of his first term.

Hours later, Geithner said in a letter to Congress that even a brief default would be “terribly damaging.” And Bernanke said “we’re not out of the woods yet,” despite the deal to avoid the “fiscal cliff.” (Read More: Bernanke: ‘Not Out of the Woods’ Despite ‘Cliff’ Deal)

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said Republicans look forward to working with Obama on the debt in order to “do something about this huge, huge problem.” But he and House Speaker John Boehner said increases in the borrowing authority must be accompanied by spending cuts, despite Obama’s insistence that the two issues be dealt with separately.
End of excerpt from: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100377329

What we can see is that it is absolutely essential for Obama’s team to SPEND, SPEND,SPEND to keep Amerika going. If we don’t, we’ll all die.
I see this as unresolvable. The Democrats get to be the “good guys” who hand out cake and candy, while the Republicans are Scrooge. Ultimately, the continual spending will lead to another huge crisis, but I saw Charlie Rose enlisted Krugman (what a surprise) for a full hour to talk about how nothing bad will ever happen, we just need to spend, spend, and spend more. WE can print our way to success.

The Republicans are stuck. They will get blamed for any “slowdown” if they hold the line on spending and vilified. So, they will acquiesce. The problem, of course, is that eventually somebody has to put a stop to all this, so it’s really all about who is going to get blamed. The Democrats, party of Free Stuff for our voters will NEVER move to cut spending, even in Military supplies, without an increase somewhere else.
So, I guess we can watch all the “theater”, knowing full well the result. Republicans cave, Obama is the “hero” for saving the American economy from austerity. The Nobel Committee gives him another prize for keeping the world from financial implosion and all the papers, magazines and TV shows call him the lord and master of the free world, and the no-so-free world. It’s just so, so unbelievable.
All Hail Obama!

Comment by moral hazard
2013-01-15 07:04:47

He played the Lurch card.

“We’ve got to stop lurching from crisis to crisis to crisis,”

Lurch - YouTube
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xCc-RWIp7XU - 196k

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 07:22:26

Jethro For President, 2016

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
Comment by moral hazard
2013-01-15 08:48:27

Lurch tries to reflate house prices

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Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 07:22:05

The minting of a $1 trillion coin is treated as a joke, but the creation of money by Helicopter Ben with a few mouse clicks is revered.

the denarius began to undergo slow debasement toward the end of the republic period

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Denarius

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-01-15 14:26:36

You worry too much. The Republicans are busy figuring out how to rig the next election cycle. Then they will fix everything.

http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/reince-priebus-backs-electoral-vote-change-but-its-states-decision-fp8bqc3-186720481.html

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 06:17:13

Here is a reason to avoid antibiotics (which I do):

Cough lasts 18 days, no matter what you do, study finds
MIXA via Getty Images stock

You may think your cough ought to last no more than a week, but the actual duration of a typical cough is nearly 18 days, and could be up to two weeks, a study finds.

By JoNel Aleccia, Staff Writer, NBC News

If you’re a victim of this year’s terrible flu, or any of the other nasty bugs causing general respiratory distress, Dr. Mark Ebell sends his sympathies.

But if you’re tempted to head to the doctor to demand drugs for the hacking cough that came with your illness, he’s got another message: Wait a little longer.

A new study shows that although most people think a cough ought to last no more than a week or so, the duration of the most annoying symptom of winter illness is about 18 days — and could be more than three weeks.

Taking antibiotics in the interim is not only ineffective, it could also prompt dangerous side effects — and contribute to the country’s growing problem with bugs becoming resistant to the drugs used to treat them.

That’s according to a new study by Ebell, an associate professor at the University of Georgia College of Public Health, which sought to define the gulf between public perception and reality when it comes to coughing.

“A lot of times patients will come to me and they’ve been coughing for four or five days and they’re not getting any better, so they ask for an antibiotic,” he said. “After eight or nine days, they’re still not feeling better, so they ask for an even stronger antibiotic. Then they’ll say, ‘The only thing that really works for me is this really strong antibiotic.’”

The trouble is, antibiotics aren’t actually the solution for most of the 3 million outpatient cases in the U.S. each year in which cough is the chief complaint, or for the more than 4.5 million outpatient cases diagnosed as acute bronchitis or bronchiolitis. More than 90 percent of such cases are viral, not bacterial, which means they won’t respond to the drugs most folks request, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 07:00:02

More than 90 percent of such cases are viral, not bacterial, which means they won’t respond to the drugs most folks request, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Odd that our supposedly-great health care system still hands out anitbiotics like candy, to pretty much anyone that asks for them and has the sniffles.

Apparently, it’s easy, and gets the patient out of the room so you can rush through your next case, and hit your numbers for the day.

Who cares if it’s counterproductive, and is creating superbugs? We’ve got a profit-centered health care system to run. “The best in the world”, we’re told.

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 07:26:27

“The best in the world”

Nothing says American Exceptionalism like tip jars next to convenience store cash registers to pay for some dumb kid’s cancer meds :)

 
Comment by ahansen
2013-01-15 12:34:21

This “new study” has been trotted out every flu season since the early 1960’s, and has proved a reliable “grant-getter” for epidemiologists ever since. Suspect it’s prompted by the public’s tendency to self-medicate with drugs left-over from past treatments and advice from well-meaning relatives, because every MD in the country is well-aware of the threat from bug-resistent bacteria.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 12:42:43

because every MD in the country is well-aware of the threat from bug-resistent bacteria.

You would think that, but I know many, many people who go and get ‘z-packs’ (?) or some such, at any sign of the sniffles. They have been doing this for years. The antibiotics are given out freely (well, if you have insurance), and these people are convinced this (and not time) cures their colds. They get them every year, sometimes several times a year, both for themselves and their kids.

I’m continually shocked about it, too. But it happens all the time, all over the place, for as long as I’ve had friends, classmates, and coworkers. If anything, it seems even more common now than it used to be.

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Comment by ahansen
2013-01-15 14:09:26

No reputable physician will prescribe an antibiotic without specific indication of bacterial risk or underlying infection; the risk of litigation is too high, and the public health consequences are too well-known.

Perhaps these people are buying them unprescribed on the online black market? Perhaps there is an underlying condition that indicates for prophylactic usage? Believe it or not, there IS some communication between public health agencies and the medical community, and the risk of super-bugs is extremely well-publicized.

 
Comment by Robin
2013-01-15 18:21:32

Reputable physician? Perhaps an oxymoron?

My last two would prescribe or recommend pills prolifically.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-01-15 19:13:36

Reputable physician? Perhaps an oxymoron?

My last two would prescribe or recommend pills prolifically.

Agreed. That’s why I avoid doctors.

 
 
 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2013-01-15 13:49:46

“Odd that our supposedly-great health care system still hands out anitbiotics like candy, to pretty much anyone that asks for them and has the sniffles.”

Inflammation from a viral infection will often cause a secondary bacterial infection which can extend your respiratory distress for weeks. I think I will listen to my own body and the throat culture before I take advise from bitter communists.

“Who cares if it’s counterproductive, and is creating superbugs? We’ve got a profit-centered health care system to run. “The best in the world”, we’re told.”

Superbugs come from people not taking antibiotics long enough to kill the bacteria completely. But keep the anti-capitalist mantra going, it’s entertaining.

Do you see the type of low IQ political agitators that will be calling the shots on our health care ladies and gentleman? Be afraid…be very afraid.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 13:56:53

I present example A, allena:

Inflammation from a viral infection will often cause a secondary bacterial infection which can extend your respiratory distress for weeks. I think I will listen to my own body and the throat culture before I take advise from bitter communists.

The secondary-sinus infection is the usual excuse I hear for the regular prescription of antibiotics to people with a cold or flu. Runner-up is chest infection.

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Comment by ahansen
2013-01-15 14:16:11

A pleuropneumonia is nothing to sneeze at….

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 14:52:41

The people I’m talking about seem to get these secondary infections,and the antibiotics to ‘cure’ them, every time they get a sniffle and go to the doctor (which they do every time they get a sniffle).

I also had coworkers like this when I lived in Austin, and a good friend of mine is a chronic antibiotic-for-a-cold type, and he’s currently doing it in Tampa, so it’s not a regional thing.

They classify it as a sinus infection, and give ‘em the antibiotics. All the time.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2013-01-15 16:10:24

“The secondary-sinus infection is the usual excuse”

Excuse? Glad you are not calling the shots on my health care buddy. Again, this is what we have to look forward to when low IQ political agitators begin calling the shots on an individual’s private health decisions.

Not sure about the rest of America, but I take antibiotics as little as possible, they have a tendency to wreak havoc on the bacterial culture of a person’s colon…But if I have a culture come back indicating a bacterial infection, I am damn well going to take them vs risk pneumonia or chronic sinusitis.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 16:17:07

Antibiotics Ineffective for Most Sinus Infections, Study Finds

Feb. 14, 2012 — Antibiotics that doctors typically prescribe for sinus infections do not reduce symptoms any better than an inactive placebo, according to investigators at Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis.

“Patients don’t get better faster or have fewer symptoms when they get antibiotics,” says Jay F. Piccirillo, MD, professor of otolaryngology and the study’s senior author. “Our results show that antibiotics aren’t necessary for a basic sinus infection — most people get better on their own.”

The study appears Feb. 15 in the Journal of the American Medical Association.

In the United States as many as one in five antibiotic prescriptions are for sinus infections, the authors point out. And given the rise of bacteria resistant to such drugs, they say it is important to find out whether this treatment is effective. Their results show it is not.

“We feel antibiotics are overused in the primary-care setting,” says Jane M. Garbutt, MD, research associate professor of medicine and the paper’s first author. ”

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/02/120214170902.htm

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2013-01-15 16:53:11

“Antibiotics Ineffective for Most Sinus Infections, Study Finds”

You are way out of your league, you have no idea what you are talking about. You and your statist progressive political agitators continue to obsess on the free markets and try to find ways to limit choice. Please try to mind your own business, the world will be nicer place.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 17:06:32

I’m going to expropriate your antibiotics, nick. For the People!

 
Comment by polly
2013-01-15 17:22:53

I was given an antibiotic for a really, really bad cold/virus of some kind at the college infirmary my freshman year “just in case” there was also a sinus infection. I most assuredly did not ask for it. Less than 24 hours later I was admitted to the infirmary overnight having suffered two bouts of violent vomiting including one where I barely got out of my 9:00 AM physics lecture hall to be sick in the hallway. Other end of my digestive tract wasn’t too happy with the antibiotic either. I hope the physicians assistant who gave it to me got fired. What a menace.

 
 
 
 
Comment by palmetto
2013-01-15 07:01:33

I have had remarkable success over time with a homeopathic product called “Oscillococcinum” by Boiron. It may not work for everyone, but it sure works for me.

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-01-15 13:03:47

I used it once with mixed results, but know others who swore by it.

 
 
Comment by Montana
2013-01-15 07:12:30

still, the promethezine isn’t bad to have around.

 
Comment by michael
2013-01-15 07:19:35

reminds me of an episode of “the Beverly hillbillies”. One of them got a cold and granny gave them her homemade cold cure. Mr. dreyfus heard about her cure and went around talking to all the clampets. They all promoted her cure dutifully and mr. dreyfus saw dollar signs. The substance apparently tasted disgusting.

Granny’s instructions for the cold curing elixier? Just take it like 5 times a day for 14 days and it will knock the cold right out.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 07:30:37

Mikey,

His name was Mr. Drysdale. How could you forget his hideous looking secretary Miss Hathaway howling, “but Mr. Drysdale!”.

Comment by michael
2013-01-15 07:34:24

lol…thanks…i didn’t think dreyfus was right when i was typing it but was just too lazy to google it.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2013-01-15 10:28:49

Glen Livet works the same way, except you lose count of the days.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 10:35:04

Bourbon, honey, and lemon juice. The holy trinity. Warm it up a little, but don’t boil off the alcohol.

It’s so good…you wanna be sick.

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Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-01-15 13:06:41

As a bourbon fan, I’d like to know more. What ratio? The famous 2:1 work in this case, but in reverse?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 13:51:03

I would say 2 parts bourbon, one part honey. Then a good squeeze of lemon juice. It should be a little syrupy in consistency.

It’s good when you’re not sick, too. It’s basically a hot toddy, but without the addition of hot water, which weakens the whole effect, IMO.

 
 
 
 
Comment by mikeinbend
2013-01-15 08:33:38

I guess I’ll take the two weeks!

 
 
Comment by azdude
2013-01-15 06:43:22

It appears to me that people are dropping like flies from the middle class.

Comment by palmetto
2013-01-15 06:47:17

What middle class?

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 08:09:49

More Lucky Duck news

“A large and growing share of American workers are tapping their retirement savings accounts for non-retirement needs, raising broad questions about the effectiveness of one of the most important savings vehicles for old age.

More than one in four American workers with 401(k) and other retirement savings accounts use them to pay current expenses, new data show. The withdrawals, cash-outs and loans drain nearly a quarter of the $293 billion that workers and employers deposit into the accounts each year, undermining already shaky retirement security for millions of Americans.”

http://m.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/401k-breaches-undermining-retirement-security-for-millions/2013/01/14/f54a0e90-5e70-11e2-8acb-ab5cb77e95c8_story.html

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 09:23:39

Also from the article:

“In 1980, four out of five private-sector workers were covered by traditional pensions that paid them a fixed benefit based on their salary and length of service when they retired. Now, just one in five workers has a pension, leaving 401(k)s and similar retirement savings accounts as the primary vehicles for retirees to supplement their Social Security benefits.”

Ah, 1980. Morning in America under Ronaldus Maximus. After 32 years of trickle-down, invisible hand of free market, outsourcing, globalization, hasn’t worked out so well for Lucky Duck :(

All of your base are belong to 1%

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Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 09:57:28

I’ve been criticized here for saying this, but contributing to a 401k above and beyond your company’s match seems like a bad idea to me*. Of course, as I explained yesterday, most Americans can’t budget and save for themselves, so perhaps 401k’s are somewhat like social security (which I think of as forced savings).

* the company match = free money, which it would be foolish to decline

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-01-15 13:12:38

seems like a bad idea to me

Why do you feel this way? Is it because of the lack of options in a given plan? If so, I must be fortunate because I’ve always had plans that were reasonable in terms of options and cost.

On the other hand, I’m no longer under any illusion that it will be taxed less upon my retirement.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-01-15 13:16:41

Shoulda kept reading. Sounds like you stated the reasons below…changing tax benefits, means testing, etc.

 
 
Comment by cactus
2013-01-15 10:00:26

“A large and growing share of American workers are tapping their retirement savings accounts for non-retirement needs, raising broad questions about the effectiveness of one of the most important savings vehicles for old age.”

I hope the government is not inventing a problem ” 401K not effective” and planning to come up with a solution like getting control of 401K’s because so many folks just can’t handle it.

This is what they do.

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Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 10:58:57

I’m not a Teabilly or Galt Gulch-er but like you I do not trust the gov’t to look at ways to tap into 401k’s, change the tax benefits, or means-test SS/medicare over the next 3-4 decades. Anything you have in a 401k is documented. Even if a person could realize 3-4% growth* in their 401k for 30 yrs, I would question the advisability.

 
Comment by tresho
2013-01-15 11:16:41

I trust the Federal Reserve will continue its aggressive policy of tapping into 401k’s, and otherwise debasing the dollar for an indefinite time. No need to do anything else to impoverish savers & future retirees.

 
Comment by polly
2013-01-15 13:06:54

I’ve heard a few possible “solutions” to this problem though none of them particularly seriously. The most common is the “opt out” 401(k) which has been around forever and, as you can see, still hasn’t gove anywhere. Plus it doesn’t do anything for people who borrow money against their 401k or do early withdrawals and can never realistically replace the borrowed money AND catch up to where they should have been on their retirements savings.

The most radical idea I have heard recently is a transportable defined benefit pension - you and each company you work for contribute in to it and a pension stream of payments comes out the other end. This is sort of silly as it is very similar to an expansion of social security, though without the disablity insurance portion. If we need to expand SS, then that is what we should do.

There are a few problems with individuals doing their retirement savings. The obvious problem is that a lot of people don’t make enough money to do it well. Another is that employers don’t want to pay anything to do it so the plans are all run by for-profit institutions for their own benefit (not the benefit of the employees using it). The companies don’t do much to protect the employees because, barring a scandal so huge that people refuse to work for them, retired employees aren’t their problem.

There is another issue that is rarely mentioned. If you are part of a large pool (as in a defined benefit plan for a large company) the amount that has to be saved/earned by the plan can use statistical modeling to figure out how much money will be needed. Some people may live to 100, but the overwhelming majority won’t and some will die fairly soon after retirement. They can adjust the amount that has to be in the retirement fund to account for this and the people who are in the plan are protected from running out of money if they live for a long time. If the individuals are responsible for their own savings, well, everyone has to assume they will live to 100 or more or they risk running out of funds. That means the amount saved for retirement will either be much more than was really needed, or a bunch of people are going to run out. Of course, your heirs can get the excess if you save enough to get to 100 and die earlier, but they aren’t responsible if you run out long before you cease to breathe. The taxpayers get to cover that with you ending up in a nursing home funded by Medicaid, or subsidized senior housing with food stamps.

Just another externality like the companies that pay so poorly that their employees all qualify for Medicaid and food stamps.

 
Comment by polly
2013-01-15 14:46:25

Joe, anything you have in any account that has your SS number on it is documented. Same thing for a business whether it is separate or you do the taxes on a schedule C (though for a business the exact value is less certain, obviously).

There is no particular reason to suppose that assets that are in a tax advantaged retirement account will be “counted” any more or less than any other account or property in determining future means testing for other programs.

To get Medicaid, you can’t even own a car above a certain value. Though in MA you are allowed to exclude the value of a prepaid funeral.

 
 
Comment by frankie
2013-01-15 11:33:37

Not unique to the USA

We are receiving an increasing number of reports from people who have been approached by firms offering to release, unlock or transfer cash tax-free from their pension before they retire, for immediate use. There is a high chance that these are scams trying to con you out of your money. Here we explain why you need to be very cautious about these schemes.
25 February 2012 update

We teamed up with The Pensions Regulator and HM Revenue & Customs to warn consumers against early release pension schemes as we had detected an increase in these schemes, with known transferred funds amounting to nearly £200m by the end of 2011.

http://www.fsa.gov.uk/consumerinformation/scamsandswindles/latest/early-release-pension-schemes.shtml

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Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 08:21:31

And even more Lucky Duck news

“Nearly a third of the nation’s working families earn salaries so low that they struggle to pay for their necessities, according to a new report.

The ranks of the so-called working poor have grown even as the nation has created new jobs for 27 consecutive months and is showing signs of shaking off the worst effects of the recession.

Although many people are returning to work, they are taking jobs with lower wages and less job security, compared with the middle class jobs they held before the downturn”

http://m.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/ranks-of-working-poor-increasing/2013/01/15/8d1f51e2-59b9-11e2-88d0-c4cf65c3ad15_story.html

The squad will once again predict that the USA future will be less than 15% of USA will enjoy what could be considered a middle class lifestyle. The vast majority of this country will be Lucky Duck, working poor, exactly as the 0.1%ers and their 1%er fluffers want it :)

Comment by In Colorado
2013-01-15 10:26:06

The squad will once again predict that the USA future will be less than 15% of USA will enjoy what could be considered a middle class lifestyle.

Agree 100%. Of course, we will redefine what it means to be “middle class,which will more closely match the definition in places like Mexico, which will beat its chest and claim that it has become a first world country.

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Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 08:36:55

The psychology of Lucky Ducky:

“When we put people in situations of scarcity in experiments, they get into poverty traps,” said Eldar Shafir, a professor of psychology and public affairs at Princeton. “They borrow at high interest rates that hurt them, in ways they knew to avoid when there was less scarcity.”

The psychological burden of debt not only saps intellectual resources, it also reinforces the reckless behavior, and quickly, Dr. Shafir and other experts said. Millions of Americans have been keeping the lights on through hard times with borrowed money, running a kind of shell game to keep bill collectors away. The average debt for households earning $20,000 a year or less more than doubled to $26,000 between 2001 and 2010, according to the Urban Institute. The averages for households in slightly higher brackets grew by 50 to 90 percent in the same period.”

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2013/01/15/science/in-debt-and-digging-deeper-to-find-relief.xml

Comment by In Colorado
2013-01-15 10:23:05

“When we put people in situations of scarcity in experiments, they get into poverty traps,” said Eldar Shafir, a professor of psychology and public affairs at Princeton. “They borrow at high interest rates that hurt them, in ways they knew to avoid when there was less scarcity.”

Which explains why pay day loan stores are now as numerous as fast food joints.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 10:40:08

“They borrow at high interest rates that hurt them, in ways they knew to avoid when there was less scarcity.”

It’s not that the poor don’t think enough about money, or the busy about their time—it’s that they think about it too much. Shafir likes to cite a survey the researchers did at Boston’s South Station. They asked arriving train passengers what the starting fare is on Boston taxis. Rich travelers take more cabs than poor ones, but low-income respondents were much more likely to know what it costs to take a cab, because in thinking about the decision between taking a cab or a bus, a couple of dollars one way or another really matters. This attentiveness ensures that they have enough cash to finish the day, but all of these immediate distractions—deciding whether to buy a muffin or some other minor indulgences; comparison shopping cereal brands; calculating and recalculating expected expenses against a dwindling bank balance—threatens to leave no mental space to consider the bigger picture of managing finances for the long-term.

http://www.slate.com/articles/business/the_dismal_science/2012/12/new_year_s_resolutions_economists_on_how_to_make_better_ones.html

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-01-15 13:26:00

Which explains why pay day loan stores are now as numerous as fast food joints.

I remember being able to use that as a barometer in the late-80s - early-90s to know when you arrived in a bad neighborhood. Not as accurate these days. Either that, or it’s an accurate indicator of our dive into Lucky Duck/3rd world territory.

And yet, somehow, overpriced housing is still selling. Mad world.

 
Comment by Robin
2013-01-15 18:49:15

Pay Day Loan Stores proliferate even in the OC, CA. Even in pretty good neighborhoods and especially in sketchy neighborhoods.

Sad, but rates are now under 100%/yr!

 
 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-01-15 15:37:13

There are a couple of interesting comments in this article.

“Women have to understand that unless they can support their children themselves, not a man, not the government, the odds are good that they and their children will live a life of poverty.

Even if the woman is married before she has children, she may wind up divorced or a widow.”

“Most of the single mothers I know didn’t start out that way. They started out as women with steady jobs, and steady partners with steady jobs. They decided to have children.”

A third of the way through, I have yet to see a comment lauding Ms. Tuggle for continuing her pregnancy in spite of dire circumstances. But there are many that berate her for having children.

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Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 09:10:42

And yet another Lucky Duck article

“Since 1979, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, the bottom 80 percent of American families have had their share of the country’s income fall, while the top 20 percent had modest gains. Of course, the top 1 percent — and more so, the top 0.1 percent — has seen income rise stratospherically. That tiny elite takes in nearly a quarter of the nation’s income and controls nearly half its wealth.

The change came around 1978, (Larry) Mishel said, when politicians from both parties began to think of America as a nation of consumers, not of workers. President Jimmy Carter deregulated the airline, trucking and railroad industries in order to help lower consumer prices. Congress chose to ignore organized labor’s call for laws strengthening union protections. Ever since, Mishel said, each administration and Congress have made choices — expanding trade, deregulating finance and weakening welfare — that helped the rich and hurt everybody else. Inequality didn’t happen, Mishel argued. The government created it.”

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2013/01/20/magazine/income-inequality.xml

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-01-15 13:30:15

1979 looks about right.

From the “Income Inequality” Wiki page:
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/a6/IncomeInequality7.svg

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Comment by measton
2013-01-15 16:08:22

you forgot that the top 0.1% are also paying historically low tax rates. The lucky duckies real effective tax rate is lilkely under 10 cents on the dollar while I pay close to 25 cents. When you see that the Romney’s of the world pay 14 cents don’t forget that that’s just on reported income. Don’t forget that through loopholes they have 100,000,000 dollar IRA’s managed in off shore accounts paying zero taxes. This alone cuts his effective tax rate to around 8 cents. Then remember that they have trusts to lower and delay taxes, and off shore accounts to hide income. You start to see that many are paying almost no tax at all.

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Comment by Anon In DC
2013-01-15 20:07:32

Romney paid $3M in one year alone. The unit of measure is dollars not rates.

 
 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 07:29:39

That’s the 0.1%ers’ plan. The endgame of global wage arbitrage = the future belongs to Lucky Ducky. Welcome to the recoveryless recovery :)

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 07:47:23

It’s more fun to be rich when everybody else is miserable. Having a happy middle class makes you wonder if a lifetime of scheming and obsessing about money, power, and position was really worth it.

Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 10:05:43

There is some truth to this. There are a subset of people, probably 1/2 of the top 10% of income earners, who would work a less if was not such a gap between themselves and an “average” income. I have an great-aunt that is like this. She is 70something years old and has a bunch of rental houses and a bar/restaurant in the city. She buys all the food herself (cuts out Sysco as the middleman), does a lot of the food prep (mostly Greek appetizers like the tzatziki, spanakopita, saganaki, etc) and cleans the place top to bottom each morning. She’s way too old to be doing this stuff but no one can stop her. She takes pain meds and her doctors have told her to relax.

Her sons really run the place, but she’s so obsessed with not paying an extra prep cook and a full time dishwasher/clean up person that she shows up every morning at 10ish and stays until 6 or 7 at night.

On the surface she seems like a sweet grandmother type, but if you ever talk to her (especially when she rants in Greek) you find out a lot of it is pathological cheapness combined with wanting to prove her self worth. Not ususual for Greeks who came to the US after WW2–they had been invaded and occupied. Most of the ambitious Greeks left for the UK or US over the next decade or so.

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Comment by tresho
2013-01-15 11:20:12

Not ususual for Greeks who came to the US after WW2–they had been invaded and occupied.
Sounds very much like Post-traumatic Stress Disorder. Children of PTSD patients often have a very rough childhood.

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 10:06:24

Three more Lucky Duck articles on similar topics are stuck in post purgatory.

Coming soon… maybe

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 08:03:43

A smaller middle class = more plankton to feed Megabank, Inc. All you have to do is hand them federally guaranteed, low-downpayment, low-interest rate loans to buy unaffordably priced homes. When they default, Megabank, Inc claims the principle guarantee, and the Fed is left holding the MBS that backs up the loan.

Comment by ecofeco
2013-01-15 09:47:04

Exactly.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 09:56:05

Seriously?

I just made that explanation up on the fly, hoping somebody would come along to point out my errors…

 
Comment by ecofeco
2013-01-15 12:17:29

Yes, seriously. This has been pointed out by many, many articles. Matt Tabbi at Rolling Stones being the most prolific.

You can google them.

 
Comment by inchbyinch
2013-01-15 15:05:59

Matt Tabbi is a great writer and is always a step in front of media discovery. I respect and admire the guy.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 22:05:05

“This has been pointed out by many, many articles. Matt Tabbi at Rolling Stones being the most prolific.”

Given that I came up with the above explanation off the top of my head, I am quite impressed with both myself and Matt Taibbi.

But I honestly can’t read his stuff any more, even though I am a kindred spirit. It’s too depressing — on par with the experience of attending a showing of Amour over and over again every weekend for a year.

 
 
Comment by measton
2013-01-15 16:10:30

A smaller middle class means fewer people with any power to stand up to the elites rape of the countries resources and labor.

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Comment by oxide
2013-01-15 10:22:29

Not just for global wages, but for global prices which rise to what the market will bear. There is still capacity for prices to rise, until we sell all of our houses, exhaust all of our retirement, and rent 10 people to a house living paycheck to paycheck just to pay for health insurance, gasoline, food, and college loans.

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 10:47:08

Never underestimate the goals of the 0.1%.

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Comment by ecofeco
2013-01-15 12:19:34

Welcome back to the 19th century!

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Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 12:35:23

It’s gonna get worse. And then it’s gonna get more worse.

You’ll see :)

 
Comment by DudgeonBludgeon
2013-01-15 15:36:39

It is worse. We are living it now.

 
 
 
 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2013-01-15 13:51:19

“It appears to me that people are dropping like flies from the middle class.”

More global progressive statism should help.

 
Comment by ProperBostonian
2013-01-15 19:53:06

“It appears to me that people are dropping like flies from the middle class.”

In the last few years I find myself saying more and more, oh that’s for rich people. Example, a friend took her family to Vermont for skiing. It cost $150 per person for lift and skis. For her family of four that’s $600 for a day. Who could afford to do this often enough for their kids to get any good at it? She said when she was a kid in Buffalo skiing was cheap, her whole elementary school class would go every week.

Another friend said she can’t afford babysitting. It’s $15 to $20/hr plus the sitters are no longer satisfied with snacks but expect you to have pizza delivered. She doesn’t even make $15/hr. Her family can’t afford to go out as a result. Both she and her husband work. Babysitting used to be really cheap.

Another friend sends her kids to camp in Vermont. It’s $8,000 per kid for the camp. She gets full scholarship, but who else could afford that? Seems like a lot to sit in a tent and sing songs around the campfire.

 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 07:10:23

Glenn’s Going Gault!

Glenn Beck announces plans for Independence, USA
By Mike Krumboltz, Yahoo! News | The Lookout – 14 hrs ago

Right-wing rabble-rouser Glenn Beck recently announced that he wanted to “go Galt” and create a self-sustaining community, inspired by the philosophy of Ayn Rand’s character John Galt from “Atlas Shrugged.”

The community will be known as Independence, USA. If and when it is completed, Independence will produce its own food and TV and film content. There will be homes, baseball fields and a theme park. Think: Small Town, USA, but with a Beckish vibe.

[It will include]The ranch (that’s where residents will grow food and teach people how to grow crops), the media center (where Beck will film his show and where other entertainers will create movies, TV shows and documentaries), an Alamo-style mission for people to “gather and help others,” a research and development laboratory and much more.

The main point, Beck says, is education. “Before you send your kids to college,” Beck said in his pitch video, “you come to us. And you spend a week with us. We’re gonna tell them exactly, we will show them the truth, we will tell them what they’re going to try to do, and we will deprogram them every summer, if you care.”

http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/glenn-beck-announces-plan-independence-usa-233854956.html

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 07:31:11

Didn’t work out so well when they tried this at Ruby Ridge.

Comment by michael
2013-01-15 07:37:12

nor the Spahn ranch.

 
Comment by Diogenes (Tampa, Fl)
2013-01-15 09:10:50

Didn’t work out at Waco, either. You can be sure of one thing: anytime any group of people want to live “independent” of the government, or want to live “separately” from other groups of people, the Federal Government agents will do thorough investigations and find SOMETHING to proclaim it is “illegal”, and therefore forbidden and therefore, the TROOPS must move in to stop it.
Seizures. Confiscations. Imprisonment.

Any revolt will be met with violence and possibly being bombed, shot or burned alive.

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 10:10:27

Yup.

+100

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Comment by michael
2013-01-15 11:03:50

i watched that documentary on Waco. i knew right then…it’s just a matter of time.

police state FTW!

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Comment by ecofeco
2013-01-15 12:21:29

The entire decade of the 1980s was persistent and effective whittling away of both civil and consumer rights that had been gained in the 1960s and 70s.

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2013-01-15 13:55:04

Which political movement is always the first to jump on the BAN wagon? Why do you think people want independence?

 
 
 
Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 09:53:56

How did Ave Maria, Florida do? Wasn’t that something along the same lines as what Beck is doing?

Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 10:11:06

Wiki article on Ave Maria, FL: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ave_Maria,_Florida

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Comment by oxide
2013-01-15 09:38:29

I can’t get the video. Did they say where this place was going to be, or are they waiting to rake in some threshold of $$$ first?

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 10:32:42

Says he’s toured three states, talked to two governors about it.

My money’s on Texas.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-01-15 10:44:27

With our luck, it would be AZ.

Here’s your Tucson weather forecast for today…. Last night’s low was 19. Today’s high may scrape the 40-degree mark. Copy and paste for tomorrow.

We’ve had this hard freeze since Friday. And we’re getting seriously grouchy about it.

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Comment by rms
2013-01-15 13:21:39

“We’ve had this hard freeze since Friday. And we’re getting seriously grouchy about it.”

Have you wrapped your plants with blankets, and maybe lay a drop light too?

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-01-15 13:52:20

Have you wrapped your plants with blankets, and maybe lay a drop light too?

Too late for that. And, quite honestly, I just got back from a trip to the great outdoors. Some frost damage to leafy plants in the veggie garden. That’s all.

 
Comment by rms
2013-01-15 19:33:27

“Too late for that. And, quite honestly, I just got back from a trip to the great outdoors. Some frost damage to leafy plants in the veggie garden. That’s all.”

I rented a small SFH in the Mission San Jose nabe of Fremont, CA for a couple of years. One winter in early February we experienced a bitter cold-snap that killed all but one of the tropical plants Mrs Landlord had planted; I had a large cardboard box in the garage, which I placed over the plant by the front door, and I placed my automotive drop-light in there too.

 
 
Comment by ahansen
2013-01-15 12:59:32

AYFKM? Florida, of course. Right next door to the “Holy Land Experience” theme park (of Bill Mahrer fame) where you can watch as “Hot Jesus is betrayed, stripped, attached to a cross and followed by Satan, who looks like Darth Maul from Star Wars. He is wearing a toy snake…”

http://www.guardian.co.uk/travel/2011/dec/23/holy-land-theme-park-florida

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Comment by oxide
2013-01-15 13:23:43

I would agree on Texas. Texas has plenty of land, and hunting grounds for both game and people’s faces.

Also — and I suspect this is a main reason the Beck staff is looking at the state — Unlike many other states in the nation, Texas’ electric grid is not connected to the rest of the national grid…In 2006, Texas surpassed California in wind-power production, to become the top wind-producing state in the U.S. *

Largely independent power is a huge deal if you’re a supposed survivalist but you still want to make shows and films in your own TV studio.

———-
*http://stateimpact.npr.org/texas/tag/ercot/

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Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-01-15 23:32:35

Drought. And the water tastes like sulphur in a lot of places. And fracking is just going to make it worse.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-01-15 10:40:21

Ironic how you have to join something to be free, and follow the leader to be independant.

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 10:50:57

Yup. The most effective movement will be a non-movement.

When Cuomo, Bloomberg, Feinstein et cetera pass their unconstitutional gun-grabbing laws, thousands of lone wolves are born :)

 
Comment by MightyMike
2013-01-15 15:55:04

Ironic how you have to join something to be free, and follow the leader to be independant.

That sounds like high school kids who express their individual personalities by joining cliques.

 
 
Comment by AZtoORtoCOtoOR
2013-01-15 12:30:58

Are they taking reservations? I have a few folks I would love to send that way:)

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-01-15 15:20:58

The hippies already did this.

Comment by polly
2013-01-15 17:27:51

Yeah. Sounded like a cross between a commune and a dude ranch to me.

 
 
 
Comment by michael
2013-01-15 07:13:08

got to explain to a buddy last night how his sister and brother law who walked away from a mortgage just two years ago were able to get a $ 400k+ mortgage on a new home with 3.2% interest rate with just 3% down.

Comment by Combotechie
2013-01-15 07:20:39

So some inventory got moved?

It’s all good (for the banks).

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 07:22:41

How did they do it?

Comment by michael
2013-01-15 11:11:25

you got to get an ingnorant citizenry to elect officials that will willingly back 90% of every single mortgage made with the toil of the citizenry’s children and grandchildren.

that’s step one.

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-01-15 14:01:15

LOL. A very enthusiastic +1.

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Comment by moral hazard
2013-01-15 08:14:15

“how his sister and brother law who walked away from a mortgage just two years ago were able to get a $ 400k+ mortgage on a new home with 3.2% interest rate with just 3% down.”

I believe muggy told a similar story about someone he knew.

It is a little froggy.

Rebeat Rebeat

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 08:28:24

More like ‘Repeat Deadbeat’

 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 07:54:28

Some local “news” from the Denver Post. In which they try to sway public opinion about the criminal Mexican invasion of USA with a puff piece about the “victims” of the largest immigration raid in USA history.

Fear from Swift plant raid resonates in Greeley six years later

http://www.denverpost.com/news/ci_22374170/fear-from-swift-plant-raid-resonates-greeley-six

Keep pushing the victim meme, corporate media. And don’t do any “journalism” about the real victim USA citizen white and black Lucky Ducks who get to enjoy the diversity of living next door to a house with 20 Mexico poors living in it and 6 cars parked in the front yard. Keep telling us that they only come here to live dream and hard worker and put food on their families, doing the jobs Americans won’t do, doing the stabbings Americans won’t do, committing the sexual assaults Americans won’t do :)

http://www.denverpost.com/popular/ci_22261805?source=pop_neighbors_arvada

Comment by palmetto
2013-01-15 09:06:32

The more I see of these folks around these parts, the more convinced I am of how truly low and vicious they are, despite all the lipstick the MSM tries to put on these pigs.

Just in this neck of the woods, there have been sexual assaults on a couple of young women, kidnapping (a young boy was kidnapped from a bus stop in Bradenton and left tied up out in a field) drug shootings, fatal drunk driving accidents, etc. And here’s an example of how truly viciously stupid it can get: one so-called “migrant” was watching his little son and couldn’t figure out why he all of sudden “disappeared” from view as he toddled between two trailers. Turns out, the kid fell into an open cesspit.
But papi apparently couldn’t be bothered to investigate. I guess he thought the fruit of his loins was special and just sort of vanished by magic.

But hey, what a payday for the family, who got to sue the trailer park for dangerous conditions! Life’s good in America!

Comment by palmetto
2013-01-15 09:20:26

But, as much as I despise these folks and what they stand for, I despise even more their facilitraitors.

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 09:30:29

Thank Ted Kennedy for the “chain migration” immigration laws.

And thank all the invisible-hand-of-free-market GOP Chamber of Commerce types for hiring all the illegal Mexico poors.

A pox on both your houses!

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Comment by palmetto
2013-01-15 10:43:50

“A pox on both your houses!”

LOL, the House of Kennedy is already rotting from pox, big time. Chris Lawford’s conversation with his diseased excuse for an uncle was most revealing. Teddy did what he did immigration-wise with malice prepense. A real POS.

 
Comment by Tarara Boomdea
2013-01-15 13:00:42

Never forgot reading that. I hope he’s roasting in hell.

Christopher Lawford’s “Symptoms of Withdrawal”

At the end he quotes his Uncle Teddy. Christopher, Ted Kennedy and a few family members had gathered one night and were having a drink in Mr. Lawford’s mother’s apartment in Manhattan. Teddy was expansive. If he hadn’t gone into politics he would have been an opera singer, he told them, and visited small Italian villages and had pasta every day for lunch. “Singing at la Scala in front of three thousand people throwing flowers at you. Then going out for dinner and having more pasta.” Everyone was laughing. Then, writes Mr. Lawford, Teddy “took a long, slow gulp of his vodka and tonic, thought for a moment, and changed tack. ‘I’m glad I’m not going to be around when you guys are my age.’ I asked him why, and he said, ‘Because when you guys are my age, the whole thing is going to fall apart.’ “

 
Comment by palmetto
2013-01-15 13:51:33

“Tarara Boomdea”

ROTFLMAO!!!! You just made my day with that handle.

‘Because when you guys are my age, the whole thing is going to fall apart.’

I’ve often wondered about that quote. One could look at it in a different light and surmise that perhaps he could have meant the whole Kennedy thing. Robert Jr seems to be having a bit of a meltdown on JFK conspiracy issue, but it could just be a bid for attention.

It’s almost shirtsleeves to shirtsleeves in three generations. Well, may take four or five, but I don’t think anyone’s much impressed with the Kennedy name these days, except maybe themselves and their sycophant camp followers.

 
Comment by ahansen
2013-01-15 14:34:14

J. F. Kennedy’s frothing anti-communist rhetoric and utter willingness to sacrifice democratic principles in pursuit of Daddy-Joe’s fascist vision (and little brother “Bobby”’s glib morality) damn near brought our country to nuclear extinction. Apologist Teddy Sorensen’s constant puff pieces in the popular press didn’t help much, either.

At least the CIA got to them before they blew up the planet.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 08:06:01

Quantitative easing polices’ side effects must be addressed
Updated: 2013-01-14 22:07
(chinadaily.com.cn)

Quantitative easing measures only delay an “explosion” in the long-term structural crisis. The side effects of these measures must be heeded by developed and developing countries, says a People’s Daily article.

Here are excerpts:

The global financial crisis, which has lasted for six years, squeezes the macroeconomic policy of many countries.

Developed countries can only continue with tightening financial polices and super-loose monetary policies in 2013 amid a declining global economic environment, with many uncertainties.

The US Federal Reserve announced recently it will settle on a 6.5 percent jobless rate and 2.5 percent inflation rate as the quantitative criteria for new currency polices. Earmarking the unemployment rate as the objective for currency polices means the Fed does not have another way out.

On one hand, the banking industry cannot recover its normal credit functions. On the other, financial policies are held hostage by partisan politics. The Fed can only win more time for the banks and Congress.

Unemployment, especially structural unemployment, cannot be solved by currency policy. The quantitative easing measures are, to some extent, destroying the reputation of the banking industry in developed countries of stabilizing inflation for the past 20 years, as well as their independence from politics. The aftermath of the measures cannot be ignored.

Counter macroeconomic measures taken by developing countries do not demonstrate a common trend. Some emerging economies are taking active measures to prevent the further decline of their economies. China adopts proactive financial policies and stable monetary policies. Latin American countries adopt expansive monetary policies and stable financial policies. India, with deficits in its financial and foreign trade accounts, has limited policy space.

It is increasingly difficult to coordinate macroeconomic polices among different countries. The developed countries are simply blind to the spillover effects of their quantitative easing measures on developing countries. It will be a big challenge for developing countries to face up to the impact of developed countries’ financial and monetary polices.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 08:26:06

Always amusing to have China lecture you about currency manipulation.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 08:08:00

Market Pulse Archives
Jan. 15, 2013, 5:04 a.m. EST
Fitch reiterates rating warning on debt ceiling
By William L. Watts

FRANKFURT (MarketWatch) — Fitch Ratings on Tuesday reiterated its warning that a delay in raising the U.S. government’s debt ceiling would lead to a formal review of the country’s AAA sovereign credit rating. The ratings firm said it expects that Congress will raise the ceiling and that the risk of a U.S. sovereign default “remains extremely low.” Fitch said the debt ceiling, however, is an “ineffective and potentially dangerous mechanism” for enforcing fiscal discipline because it doesn’t prevent tax and spending decisions that will push debt issuance above the ceiling, while the sanction for not raising the limit risks a sovereign default. Beyond the debt ceiling, Fitch warned that if policy makers fail to come up with a credible medium-term deficit reduction plan that can restore confidence in public finances, “the current negative outlook on the AAA rating is likely to be resolved with a downgrade later this year even if another debt ceiling crisis is averted.”

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-01-15 08:29:03

Reading a very good book about the accounting fraud that dang near put Olympus out of business. Title: Exposure. Author: Michael Woodford, the former Olympus CEO who blew the whistle and got fired for it.

Also recommended:

1. Bailout by Neil Barofsky
2. Bull by the Horns by Sheila Bair. Especially interesting if you’re a financial policy wonk.

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 10:16:16

We are near finished reading “An Army of One” biography of Rush Limbaugh by the same author who wrote this piece:

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/06/magazine/06Limbaugh-t.html?pagewanted=all

Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-01-15 10:42:14

Say what you want about Limbaugh’s politics, but the guy is an excellent performer. His microphone technique is bang-on.

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2013-01-15 12:24:28

There are hundreds of books out there about the corruptions of the corporations.

Never forget that “free market” is just code for free to eff you up the bum without consequences.

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 12:43:44

Without consequences and without lube.

Cuz corporations can’t be bothered to clean up the santorum afterward :)

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 08:29:42

Is a less negative index a ‘positive’?

Jan. 15, 2013, 10:01 a.m. EST
Empire State index disappoints in January
Index sinks to -7.8 in January
By Greg Robb, MarketWatch

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Manufacturing activity in the New York area contracted for the sixth straight month in January as orders dried up given uncertainty over the economic impact of U.S. fiscal policy, the New York Federal Reserve Bank said Tuesday.

The index fell to negative 7.8 in January from a revised negative 7.3 in December, originally reported as negative 8.1.

Comment by ecofeco
2013-01-15 12:29:10

“as orders dried up given uncertainty over the economic impact of U.S. fiscal policy”

No, it dried up as result of the decades long process of over-regulation by NY, lack of jobs crushing retail demand and the worst practices of “slash and burn” corporate culture.

Wall St being the poster child.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 08:31:21

QE3 not expected to create inflation…unless you include home prices.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 08:36:27

Since when is inflation synonymous with ‘improvement’?

Jan. 15, 2013, 9:52 a.m. EST
U.S. home price acceleration at six-year peak
CoreLogic’s November data underscore recovery in housing market
By Steve Goldstein, MarketWatch

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — U.S. home prices edged up in November to take the year-on-year appreciation to the strongest level seen in more than six years, data provider CoreLogic said Tuesday.

CoreLogic said home prices grew by 0.3% in November, putting the year-on-year rate at 7.4% — the fastest gain since May 2006, before the onset of the Great Recession.

All but six states saw year-on-year improvements. Excluding distressed sales such as foreclosures and short sales, prices rose by 0.9% on the month and by 6.7% on the year.

CoreLogic’s pending home sales price index forecasts a 7.9% year-on-year price for December.

 
Comment by Bluestar
2013-01-15 10:08:28

Don’t they calculate inflation by measuring ‘owners equivalent rent’ and not house prices. That’s why the official CPI during the housing bubble run up grossly underestimated real inflation.

Comment by tresho
2013-01-15 11:26:17

“They” don’t so much calculate inflation as manipulate it for political purposes.

Comment by ecofeco
2013-01-15 12:31:31

A lesson learned when Reagan beat Crater over the head with the inflation numbers of that era.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 08:48:21

How many sheep who recently poured money into bond funds will get sheared once interest rates start their inevitable rise? Only time will tell…

BOND INVESTORS, HEED WARNINGS ABOUT RISE IN RATES
One option to reduce risks is to invest in mutual funds with short-term bonds
By MARK JEWELL ASSOCIATED PRESS
12:01 a.m. Jan. 13, 2013
Updated 7:59 p.m. Jan. 11, 2013

Super-low interest rates will eventually rise, and when they do, bond investors could be stuck with losses.

It’s a warning that’s been heard frequently in recent years. Often, it’s coupled with a reminder of the huge amount of cash — more than $1 trillion — that bond mutual funds have attracted in the past five years.

Warnings about rising interest rates have become louder in 2013, partly due to a spike in rates during the first couple weeks of the year. Consider this one: The prospect of higher rates “is looming ever-closer” says Art Steinmetz, chief investment officer at OppenheimerFunds, who describes a rate increase as “a dust storm that we’re going to run into one of these days.”

Although Steinmetz isn’t predicting when a sustained rise will occur, he expects many investors will be surprised at how quickly bond funds can begin posting losses, especially if they hold plenty of lower-yielding Treasurys. Initial signs of a steady rise in interest rates could lead bond investors to sell. That would cause yields to suddenly climb and prices to drop.

Comment by Montana
2013-01-15 16:19:52

yeah okay….but WHEN? another ploy to get everyone back into houses and equities.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 08:50:34

This news could make gold investors look smart, especially given that gold prices are rising on the same day Wall Street stocks are tanking!

Why Germans want the Bundesbank’s gold back

Germany may be ready to bring home its foreign gold holdings — a move that may reflect pressures stemming from the euro-zone financial crisis. Gold prices are building on prior-session gains.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 14:55:02

The question is whether the gold is even in NY or has been leased out. If they have to get that gold back in a hurry it could get very interesting.

 
 
Comment by aNYCdj
2013-01-15 08:52:58

What Housing is back???????? Am I missing something???

(Reuters) - Lennar Corp (NYSE: LEN - news) ’s quarterly profit handily beat Wall Street expectations and the homebuilder reported a seventh straight jump in new home orders, indicating that a U.S. housing recovery is well on track.

“Low mortgage rates, affordable home prices, reduced foreclosures and an extremely favourable ‘rent vs. own’ comparison continue to drive the recovery,” Chief Executive Stuart Miller said in a statement.

The U.S. housing market, which fell into a deep rut six years ago, has been recovering as low interest rates and rising rents are prompting consumers to buy homes.

Home sales and prices are rising, encouraging builders to undertake new construction projects. Single-family home prices rose in October for nine months in a row, recent data show.

Lennar delivered 4,443 homes, up 32 percent, in the fourth quarter, while the average selling price of the homes delivered rose 7 percent to $261,000.

Miami-based Lennar’s operating margin on home sales was 12.2 percent, up 660 basis points, due to an increase in selling prices and fewer buyer incentives.

CEO Miller said Lennar was “extremely well positioned” to gain market share in 2013 and that the company expects to be strongly profitable.

Net income rose to $124.3 million, or 56 cents per share, in the fourth quarter, from $30.3 million, or 16 cents per share, a year earlier.

Revenue rose 42 percent to $1.3 billion.

Analysts were expecting earnings of 44 cents per share on revenue of $1.31 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

Orders rose 32 percent to 3,983 homes, while its backlog at the end of the quarter was worth $1.2 billion.

Lennar’s stock, which doubled in value in 2012 and is trading at levels last seen in 2007, closed at $41.02 on the New York Stock Exchange on Monday.

(Reporting by A. Ananthalakshmi in Bangalore; Editing by Supriya Kurane)

 
Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 08:56:26

Coming soon to rest of USA

New York Times - Crime Rises in San Bernardino After Bankruptcy:

“Five months after San Bernardino filed for bankruptcy — the third California city to seek Chapter 9 protections in 2012 — residents here are confronting a transformed and more perilous city.

After violent crime had dropped steadily for years, the homicide rate shot up more than 50 percent in 2012 as a shrinking police force struggled to keep order in a city long troubled by street gangs that have migrated from Los Angeles, 60 miles to the west.

“Lock your doors and load your guns*,” the city attorney, James F. Penman, said he routinely told worried residents asking how they can protect themselves.

This is one of the prices that cities often pay for falling into bankruptcy: the police force is cut, crime skyrockets and residents are left trying to ensure their own safety.”

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2013/01/15/us/crime-rises-in-san-bernardino-after-bankruptcy.xml

* Senator Dianne Feinstein actively working to make this illegal

Comment by ecofeco
2013-01-15 12:33:39

Darn those overpaid cops!

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 08:57:57

Punxsutawney Ben

Jan. 15, 2013, 9:30 a.m. EST
Treasury yields fall to lowest since last year
Thirty-year yields slip back below 3%
By Deborah Levine, MarketWatch

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Treasury prices rose on Tuesday, pushing long-term yields down to their lowest levels of the year, aided by concerns about the coming U.S. fiscal battle and renewed confidence of the Federal Reserve’s support.

Yields on 10-year notes (10_YEAR -1.46%), which move inversely to prices, fell 3 basis points to 1.82%. They haven’t closed below that level since Dec. 31, according to FactSet.

A basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point.

Yields on 30-year bonds (30_YEAR -0.96%) declined 4 basis points to 3%, also the lowest level since 2012.

Five-year yields (5_YEAR -3.77%) fell 3 basis points to 0.74%, still the lowest this year.

Late Monday, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke reiterated his concerns about continually high unemployment and downplayed worries about inflation, reinforcing expectations that the central bank will continue its bond-purchase program (sometimes called quantitative easing) for some time to come. Read: Bernanke downplays inflation risk of QE3.

He also noted the need for Washington lawmakers to find long-term solutions to the country’s deficit problems without threatening the nascent economic recovery.

“Treasurys are higher after Fed Chairman Bernanke indicated that he plans to stick with QE despite some bright spots in the economy,” said Bill O’Donnell, a bond strategist at RBS Securities.

“Groundhog Day therefore came early for the Treasury market and Bernanke apparently saw Punxsutawney Phil’s shadow yesterday, suggesting another 6 months [of] QE at least,” he said.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 09:01:25

The DJIA is falling up again. Today it has fallen to nearly 13,500.

 
Comment by Steaming pile of human feces
Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 11:06:40

It’s about time! Drones will be instrumental in “winning” the battles of the next 100 years of the War on Terror.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2013-01-15 11:20:39

Won’t it be fun if one of those drones crashes into an airliner full of families coming to Mickey and Friends?

Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-01-15 11:32:58

In Colorado, you have the same sort of evil mind that I do.

Comment by In Colorado
2013-01-15 16:01:19

Of course if that happened, it would be white washed. Anyone who actually saw it would either be bribed into silence, or worse, they would disappear. And we would be told that it was a rudder malfunction on the jet or something.

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 09:42:08

Anticipated effects of the eventual pop of the long-term bond bubble:

1) On the first sign of rapidly rising long-term rates, savvy Wall Street insiders and hedge funds dump long-term bond holdings, driving up rates even faster.

2) Come-lately Mom-and-Pop investors in “super safe” long-term Treasury funds discover how much money can be lost by owning Treasurys in a rising-rate environment.

3) Many investment advisers who talked Mom-and-Pop into purchasing “super safe” Treasury funds are heard to say, “Nobody could have seen it coming.”

Wait for it!

Comment by Rental Watch
2013-01-15 10:16:11

The big question is when? Folks have been waiting for this moment in Japan for a long time (and there were reasons why it didn’t happen…primarily because they were self-funded).

I had this conversation with my partner last week. Why would the moment of reckoning be delayed in the US? The three big ones (as I see them):

1. The Fed is the foe of bond vigilantes, and likely will be until unemployment gets down to 6.5%, or inflation ticks above 3%;
2. The US Dollar is the world’s reserve currency…keeping rates lower for longer than they would be otherwise; and
3. Major central banks are all easing simultaneously (BOJ, BOE, ECB, Fed). The US continues to be the tallest midget–might not be for too long, but for now, this still holds.

While I hold exactly $0 in long-term treasuries, and am positioning myself for higher rates (by locking in any interest rate I can), I expect the status quo of lower rates to be around for a little while longer (2 years? 3 years?). I personally think lower unemployment and higher interest rates will trigger inflation.

In the meantime, for yield in my portfolio, I hold REITs…lots of these guys have locked in their interest rates as long as they can, and are nice hedges against inflation.

Comment by Bluestar
2013-01-15 10:54:25

That was a really good analysis of why interest rates remain low. Maybe if the house republicans shut down the government that might over ride the FED and those central bankers. Normally when there is a crisis Treasuries rise but this time might be different.

Question, eventually we are going to get some serious tax reform and when it happens will REITs get hit for higher taxes?

Comment by Rental Watch
2013-01-15 11:13:05

REIT dividends are already taxed at ordinary rates (their dividends generally don’t qualify for the 15%/20% dividend rates).

Right now as it works, REITs need to distribute something like at least 90% of their taxable income as a dividend, but that the income retains its character (so if the income is generated from rents, it is ordinary…taxed at 39.6%, if capital gain from the sale of an asset, it is capital gain…taxed at 20%). There is no corporate level tax, in that regard REITs are like a partnership.

They could get hit with higher taxes if the Feds bring in double-taxation, but I suspect there isn’t a whole lot of stomach for that…it would evicerate the REIT market, as I suspect most would go private, back to partnership taxation–as this is where most of them came from in the first place…eliminating access to lots of groups to own real estate.

The interesting thing right now is that I own some REITs that had acquired their RE so expensively (during the bubble) in the past that they have major depreciation, which shelters most of their income now. I bought in at a much lower imputed basis (after the stocks crashed), so even though I am now getting a dividend again, they have little taxable income to pass on, so most of my dividend is deemed “return of capital”, lowering my basis for when I ultimately sell, but not taxed currently.

I have another similar one which isn’t paying a dividend (because they have no taxable income due to depreciation), but generating about $1 per share per year in cash. I’m looking forward to when they start making distributions…as most of that will also likely be deemed “return of capital”, and not taxable now (but serve to reduce my basis in the stock).

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Comment by Rental Watch
2013-01-15 11:18:12
 
Comment by Bluestar
2013-01-15 12:03:59

Thanks for the info. I wonder how much of the entire US market is classified as REIT owned/controlled? There are quite a few varieties so I’m sure some will be affected by changes in the tax code more than others. I have always considered REITs as sort of a tax shelter in the way they juggled assets, capital and dividends.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-01-15 12:31:21

From a single-family-housing perspective, REITs own very close to 0% of the market. That particular flavor of REIT is in its infancy.

In terms of the rest of real estate (apartments, office, industrial, retail), I’m willing to wager that the vast majority of real estate is held privately (non-REIT). Big assets (major malls, etc.), are likely to be held by REITs or other institutions, but smaller assets (which is most of the market) are most likely to be held by smaller partnerships.

Take one of (if not “the”) largest industrial REIT in the world, Prologis. They own $26.5B of real estate…WORLDWIDE. Candidly, while that’s a HUGE number, it’s not a large percentage of the total supply of industrial space in the world.

The biggest “tax shelter” that REITs enjoy is depreciation. And in that regard, I can see things like “component depreciation” come under fire (which allows different components of buildings to be depreciated over more specific useful lives–very handy for things like lab space, where lots of the interior improvements are expensive, with useful lives of less than 39 years). Other than that, I generally view REITs as a way to own recurring and generally growing cash flow that reacts well to inflation.

The REITs that I have stayed away from entirely are mortgage REITs…they have HUGE dividends, but don’t own real property, they are leveraged owners of mortgages…if their cost of borrowing goes up too fast, their dividends could get hurt quickly…I’m not sure how well they would react to inflation.

 
Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 13:29:44

SFHs are a nightmare when it comes to scale. Unless you can buy entire subdivisions at a time, I think the mass ownership of SFHs is going to be looked at as a mistake a generation from now.

Has anyone seen the Penn & Teller “Bulls**t” show episode about lawns? There are some priceless moments where they follow a man whose job is to enforce HOA policies concerning landscaping upkeep. (it’s available on youtube if you want to watch it, just search “penn teller lawn bullsh**” and fill in the **’s)

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-01-15 13:54:15

SFHs are a nightmare when it comes to scale. Unless you can buy entire subdivisions at a time, I think the mass ownership of SFHs is going to be looked at as a mistake a generation from now.

David Dayen, formerly of Firedoglake, has a similar view. Here’s his article on this topic.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 14:11:14

SFHs are a nightmare when it comes to scale

I don’t know. If you’re big enough to have your own full time crew of plumber, carpenter, electrician, HVAC, landscape guys, then you’ll save a lot of money by not having contract such stuff out.

I knew a guy like that, he was a very successful RE investor, but the real key was that he ’sold’ his houses as rent-to-own. It was your house when it came time to fix something, but if you quit paying him, you were out and he took the house back. He used his crew to fix up the houses he repo-ed, and the houses he bought to continue his enterprise.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 14:16:00

Meant to add that I think his rent-to-own model could be the model for the large RE buyers. It works especially well when it’s harder for people to get mortgages.

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2013-01-15 13:11:11

“While I hold exactly $0 in long-term treasuries, and am positioning myself for higher rates (by locking in any interest rate I can), I expect the status quo of lower rates to be around for a little while longer (2 years? 3 years?). I personally think lower unemployment and higher interest rates will trigger inflation.”

I’m totally in agreement, except I see considerable potential for black swans to mess up the master plan in the near term. (If I could describe the exact nature of how this might occur, it wouldn’t qualify as a black swan, which “nobody could have seen coming.”)

 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 09:53:49

Crazy bubble-era prices make it ever-harder for real estate investors to make a living.

THE A-HED
January 14, 2013, 10:31 p.m. ET

Hong Kong’s Real-Estate Boom Conjures a Scary Development
Mr. Ng Sees Haunted-House Discount Vanish as Prices Rise; ‘Market Is Crazy Now’
By TE-PING CHEN And JEFFREY NG

Hong Kong’s “Haunted-House King” Ng Goon Lau has bought more than 20 properties with spooky histories. The WSJ’s Diana Jou has the details.

HONG KONG—The city’s property boom is so powerful it has scared away the ghosts.

No matter what happened to real-estate prices in this superstitious Chinese city, the one surefire way to get a cheap apartment was to move in with a ghost. Websites track “haunted houses” or hongza, as they are known in Cantonese, which typically sell or rent for discounted prices.

But the latest boom in real-estate prices has nearly wiped away Hong Kong’s haunted-house discount.

That has been bad news for Ng Goon Lau, 62 years old, who made a career—and a tidy fortune—braving the supernatural. For more than 10 years, he says he has bought and sold apartments where a tenant died an unnatural death, paying a third less than the market price and later selling at a healthy profit. Meantime, he says, he rents to expatriates, who tend to be less superstitious than locals.

Mr. Ng’s business model is under fire by more than a dozen aggressive new competitors, says Vienna Lee of Squarefoot.com.hk, which runs a popular local search engine for these apartments.

That isn’t surprising. After doubling in the past four years, Hong Kong property prices are now among the highest in the world.

Rising demand has squeezed the haunted house discount to as low as 5%, says Mr. Ng. “The market is crazy now,” he says, complaining that he was able to purchase only one hongza in 2012. Even neighborhoods traditionally shunned for their proximity to funeral homes or cemeteries have seen their prices spike.

Hong Kong is a superstitious place where people regularly put out offerings of food and other gifts for dead relatives. For an entire month in the summer, the city observes the Hungry Ghost Festival, where spirits are believed to visit the city and need to be fed and entertained.

In 2001, the city’s main English daily, the South China Morning Post, hired monks to cleanse the newsroom after staffers reported seeing ghosts in the bathroom. After the ritual, there were no more complaints, said Niall Fraser, deputy news editor, who was there at the time. “Everyone seemed quite happy. It seemed to do the trick.”

Among expatriates willing to shack up with ghosts for a good deal, demand is rising. Rents have jumped nearly 60% across the city in the past four years, according to government figures.

Now, Mr. Ng says, he is able to rent out some at nearly market rent. “All my tenants are very happy,” he says. “No one has complained that they’ve seen ghosts.”

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 09:57:06

The floggings will continue until morale improves.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 10:02:01

Is there any extant evidence to support the theory that Quantitative Easing serves to reduce unemployment?

Or does it mainly serve to enrich well-positioned bankers and hedge fund managers? (See my above analysis of the QE-to-MBS mechanism…)

Note that there is a considerable risk that the flawed reasoning behind treating coughs with antibiotics will eventually be applied to any eventual decrease in unemployment, provided Quantitative Easing remains in force at that point. Thus the need to keep QE going until the employment picture improves…

U.S. NEWS
Updated January 14, 2013, 8:36 p.m. ET

Fed Chief Sees Bond Buys Continuing

By KRISTINA PETERSON And MICHAEL DERBY

ANN ARBOR, Mich.—Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said he still wasn’t satisfied with the economy’s progress, despite recent signs of improvement, and indicated that he plans to stick with the unconventional programs the central bank is using to lift output.

“There are some positives, but I want to be clear that while we’ve made some progress there is still quite a ways to go,” Mr. Bernanke said, speaking about the economy at the University of Michigan’s Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy here. The Fed has said that continuing these programs—such as an $85 billion-a-month bond-buying effort—hinges on progress in the U.S. job market.

Ben Bernanke cited bright spots in the economy but sees ‘a ways to go.’

“We would like to see a stronger labor market,” he said. “There are too many people whose skills and talents are being wasted.”

Comment by ecofeco
2013-01-15 12:40:12

QE was NEVER meant to do ANYTHING other than save the bankers.

Anything else said was a smokescreen.

I even said so when it was first announced.

 
 
 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-01-15 10:02:28

CIBT-

You posted the other day about low inventories…the question is “why aren’t “normal” people selling”?

One obvious one is that they believe prices are going higher.
Another obvious one is that they are underwater, and can’t sell.

Some reasons are less obvious–as I observe my parents looking to sell and move elsewhere in their community, all three of the following are causing them to keep their house OFF the market:

There is so little inventory that they don’t see selling and concurrently finding a new place as very feasible; and/or
They have a low enough mortgage (or no mortgage) that selling and renting while they find a place will cost them MORE per month; and/or
They don’t want to rent while looking for their next place for fear that prices go much higher before they can find a place.

There are all sorts of chicken/egg problems here…some things to break the bottleneck back to “normalcy”;

1. Higher interest rates…making selling and going to cash less painful while looking for your next house;
2. More homes being built…making it easier to find a new place;
3. Fewer all-cash buyers…making contingent offers more feasible in the marketplace;
4. Stagnant home prices…making people more comfortable that prices won’t get away from them if they sell before finding a new place.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 13:23:26

Rental Pimp….. you’re a liar.

 
 
Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 10:07:14

Anyone else here like reading Taibbi (great LULZ)?

Here’s his new article: http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/secret-and-lies-of-the-bailout-20130104

Secrets and Lies of the Bailout
The federal rescue of Wall Street didn’t fix the economy – it created a permanent bailout state based on a Ponzi-like confidence scheme. And the worst may be yet to come

Read more: http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/secret-and-lies-of-the-bailout-20130104#ixzz2I45GUk5F
Follow us: @rollingstone on Twitter | RollingStone on Facebook

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 10:24:00

Love how he notes that the HAMP program has only spent $4 billion to date. This was the program that induced the Santelli CBOT rant that created the Teabagger party :)

 
Comment by Neuromance
2013-01-15 10:41:43

PBS Frontline will be airing The Untouchables, about Wall Street executives who have escaped prosecution due to the sale of bad mortgages, next Tuesday January 22nd:

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/untouchables/

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 10:57:02

As colorful and memorable as Mozilo was, the biggest d*ckhead to emerge unscathed from this was Richard Fuld of Lehman. Watch his last testimony before Congress on C-SPAN if you feel like throwing up in your mouth.

Comment by Neuromance
2013-01-15 14:32:57

Watching someone like Fuld or Mozilo being “interrogated” by Congress is like watching a moot court where students “interrogate” teachers who will be grading them.

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Comment by polly
2013-01-15 14:58:44

I want to see how Elizabeth Warren does when she first gets a chance. I really, really want to see that. Might never happen, but I can still dream….

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by cactus
2013-01-15 10:08:00

“Gov. Jerry Brown declared Thursday that California’s budget deficit has vanished thanks to new tax hikes and past spending cuts, marking the first time since the recession that state leaders haven’t faced a deep fiscal chasm in January.
The Democratic governor proposed additional money for K-12 schools and higher education in his $97.7 billion general fund budget while restraining growth in most other programs.
“We have to live within the means we have, otherwise we get to that situation where we get red ink and then go back to cuts,” Brown said. “So I want to avoid the boom and the bust, the borrow and the spend, where we make the promise and then we take it back.”

Read more here: http://www.sacbee.com/2013/01/11/5106731/jerry-brown-says-californias-budget.html#storylink=cpy

Comment by rms
2013-01-15 13:39:20

Is he spending the money before its collected?

 
Comment by ahansen
2013-01-15 13:54:52

Translation:
Bailout of public service unions at expense of entrenched business interests. Everyone else gets taxed.

 
 
Comment by cactus
2013-01-15 10:14:42

So where is this headed ? Another great bubble or permanently high plateau?

“For nine straight months, national home prices have been in the positive, and the gains are only getting larger. The latest reading for November shows a 7.4 percent jump from a year ago, according to CoreLogic.
Homes for sale in San Marcos, CaliforniaThat includes sale prices of distressed properties, bank-owned homes and short sales. This is the largest year-over-year jump since 2006 when we were at the height of the housing boom.

“As we close out 2012 the pending index suggests prices will remain strong,” wrote Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic in a release. “Given that the recently released Qualified Mortgage rules issued by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau are not expected to significantly restrict credit availability relative to today, the gains made in 2012 will likely be sustained into 2013.”

(Read More: Home Prices Could Surge Six Percent This Year: CoreLogic)

Some had predicted price gains of between three and five percent in 2013, but these numbers seem to indicate the market could outpace expectations.

While competition among investors for distressed properties drove home price gains in much of 2012, the non-distressed market appears to be catching up. Excluding distressed sales, home prices still saw a healthy 6.7 percent annual gain in November, and analysts at CoreLogic are predicting an even larger 8.4 percent jump in December.

“For the first time in almost six years, most U.S. markets experienced sustained increases in home prices in 2012,” said Anand Nallathambi, president and CEO of CoreLogic. “We still have a long way to go to return to 2005-2006 levels, but all signals currently point to a progressive stabilization of the housing market and the positive trend in home price appreciation to continue into 2013.”

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 12:50:20

The only way the market can move is through suppressed inventory and cheap cash. Neither is sustainable.

Here’s a hint: The inventory enlarges by the day. ;)

 
 
Comment by Neuromance
2013-01-15 10:39:15

I saw an interesting graphic the other day, comparing the penalties faced by Aaron Swartz, a brilliant young computer scientist who tried to provide journal articles from a paid online database for free, versus the penalties faced by Wall Street executives. Aaron Swartz, a young man who provided a significant benefit to the world already, and facing 30 years in prison, took his own life while being pursued by MIT and the state of Massachusetts.

The comparison chart is here.

The government goes after people like this, who don’t bribe the politicians, instead of the people who do bribe the politicians, and get the opportunity to rape the public treasury for generations to come in return.

“Written laws are like spider’s webs; they will catch, it is true, the weak and the poor, but would be torn in pieces by the rich and powerful.” — Anacharsis

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 11:00:02

Yup.

Of the 1%, by the 1%, for the 1%.

(more specifically the 0.1%)

Comment by tresho
2013-01-15 11:30:42

Oligarchs rule!

 
 
Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 11:59:14

But… but… Swartz was a radical liberal! He had to be stopped! He wanted to turn the U.S. of A. into a commie socialist state.

(the above is sarcasm)

For a good take on this, check out this blog by a Harvard Law prof.: http://lessig.tumblr.com/post/40347463044/prosecutor-as-bully

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 12:31:38

Swartz was libertarian, not commie. We know many geeks who are.

The initial Tea Party movement (from Ron Paul’s 12/16/2007 fundraising “money bomb” event) was libertarian.

The post-Santelli rant Teabagger movement absorbed the worst of the Confederate states’ dregs and is decidedly non-libertarian on abortion, drugs, homosexuality, and support for Israel.

We support the Hunter S. Thompson “Freak Power” platform.

Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 12:55:18

I know he wasn’t communist, I was speaking in the manner of a teabilly. Obama isn’t communist/socialist either, but that hasn’t stopped brain dead teabillies for 5 years now…

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2013-01-15 13:07:12

Anyone the teabillies don’t like is labeled a “progressive” (whatever that means…).

 
Comment by oxide
2013-01-15 13:42:36

“Liberal” has been successfully trashed, so the liberals are turning to the word “progressive.” And so conservatives are trying to destroy that word too.

I don’t know if Progressive will survive the barrage that killed Liberal. I suspect it will. There weren’t many strong liberals to bolster the name, but Progressive still leans on the Rock of Roosevelt.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2013-01-15 14:27:20

Obama isn’t communist/socialist either, but that hasn’t stopped brain dead teabillies for 5 years now…

Interesting. What would we label someone who raised taxes on the wealthiest Americans and then proceeded to raise taxes on the rest of us via the expiration of the Payroll Tax Cut, ostensibly to fund an “entitlement for the masses”, Social Security?

What would we label someone who champions the Affordable Care Act, aptly nicknamed “Obamacare”, the likes of which forced healthcare corporations to ignore the basic premise of actuaries whereby health insurance must now accept everyone who applies and must not charge rates higher for those who are sickest, essentially forcing the healthiest of us to subsidize the sickest while increasing premiums for all dramatically?

What would we label someone who champions taking away the rights of individuals for the “good of society”… with the likes of another assault weapons ban?

The man is much closer to a socialist than any other term currently in favor.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-01-15 15:44:46

“Liberal” has been successfully trashed, so the liberals are turning to the word “progressive.” And so conservatives are trying to destroy that word too.

Of course they try, but how do they succeed? How did they get any credibility with the middle?

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-01-15 16:27:08

I thought the new buzz-label was Statist. That one sure popped up here in full force a few weeks back. I’m left wondering which AM radio host “coincidentally” changed his nomenclature recently?

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 16:58:08

Sleepless,

You were here in 07 when we were discussing statism and statist power structures, etc. It’s nothing new.

As I recall, some dude named Bluprint was part of the discussions. He’s probably still here with a new username. Who knows… Anyways….. statism, statist power structures and statist apologists transcend party lines and own our govt. They use the party duopoly and the media to divide in order to maintain their death grip on the legislative branch, revenues, spending, allocation of revenue, etc. Of course this is nothing new. We see it play out here every day as the paid debt-pimps use the left/right dichotomy to distract from the problem.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-01-15 18:17:55

Actually, I mighta missed that one. There were fairly large periods of time in 2006 and 2007 that I wasn’t around much.

But I haven’t seen it used much since then, until now.

 
Comment by ahansen
2013-01-16 00:38:49

I don’t remember hearing it then, either. And I had the same thought as sleepless; some AM radio host changed his verbiage and all his barking dogs started barking.

So what’s a “statist” in this context? Someone who “owns the government”? What does that even mean?

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-16 07:08:39

You’re being obtuse Alena. You know precisely what I’m talking about.

 
 
 
 
Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 12:01:50

“Here is where we need a better sense of justice, and shame. For the outrageousness in this story is not just Aaron. It is also the absurdity of the prosecutor’s behavior. From the beginning, the government worked as hard as it could to characterize what Aaron did in the most extreme and absurd way. The “property” Aaron had “stolen,” we were told, was worth “millions of dollars” — with the hint, and then the suggestion, that his aim must have been to profit from his crime. But anyone who says that there is money to be made in a stash of ACADEMIC ARTICLES is either an idiot or a liar. It was clear what this was not, yet our government continued to push as if it had caught the 9/11 terrorists red-handed.

Aaron had literally done nothing in his life “to make money.” He was fortunate Reddit turned out as it did, but from his work building the RSS standard, to his work architecting Creative Commons, to his work liberating public records, to his work building a free public library, to his work supporting Change Congress/FixCongressFirst/Rootstrikers, and then Demand Progress, Aaron was always and only working for (at least his conception of) the public good. He was brilliant, and funny. A kid genius. A soul, a conscience, the source of a question I have asked myself a million times: What would Aaron think? That person is gone today, driven to the edge by what a decent society would only call bullying. I get wrong. But I also get proportionality. And if you don’t get both, you don’t deserve to have the power of the United States government behind you.

For remember, we live in a world where the architects of the financial crisis regularly dine at the White House — and where even those brought to “justice” never even have to admit any wrongdoing, let alone be labeled “felons.”

(from the blog link that is currently sitting in link purgatory)

Comment by ecofeco
2013-01-15 12:43:25

Welcome back to the 19th century!

It’s good to be the Banksta!

 
Comment by polly
2013-01-15 17:35:26

“But anyone who says that there is money to be made in a stash of ACADEMIC ARTICLES is either an idiot or a liar.”

If they can make thousands of academic libraries pay hefty subscriptions to give people access to the publications, then of course there is money to be made. The model for monetizing it is already in place.

It is dependent on there not being any meaningful access to the articles without payment of the fee, but that is why they went after him for breaking the paywall.

 
Comment by ahansen
2013-01-16 00:41:40

Westboro Baptist is planning to picket Aaron’s funeral. Anonymous isn’t going for it. (Already hacked MIT’s face page) Should be fascinating to see what they do to Fred Phelps and his Family ghouls.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-16 07:07:23

“Fred Phelps and his Family ghouls”

lol

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Comment by frankie
2013-01-15 11:37:56

I am the man, the very fat man,
That waters the workers’ beer
I am the man, the very fat man,
That waters the workers’ beer
And what do I care if it makes them ill,
If it makes them terribly queer
I’ve a car, a yacht, and an aeroplane,
And I waters the workers’ beer

Now when I waters the workers’ beer,
I puts in strychnine
Some methylated spirits,
And a can of kerosine
Ah, but such a brew so terribly strong,
It would make them terribly queer
So I reaches my hand for the watering-can
And I waters the workers’ beer

Now a drop of good beer is good for a man
When he’s tired, thirsty and hot
And I sometimes have a drop myself,
From a very special pot
For a strong and healthy working class
Is the thing that I most fear
So I reaches my hand for the watering-can
And I waters the workers’ beer

Now ladies fair, beyond compare,
Be you maiden or wife
Spare a thought for such a man
Who leads such a lonely life
For the water rates are frightfully high,
And the meths is terribly dear
And there ain’t the profit there used to be
In watering the workers’ beer

Which brands have changed their products because of the recession?

John Smiths is watering down its beer to save money, but it’s not the only brand reacting to the chilly financial climate. Do you know of any others?

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/shortcuts/2013/jan/15/brands-change-products-because-recession

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 12:20:51

Here in USA we now enjoy the 59 ounce “half gallon” of orange juice.

The corporate brewers may try to water down their Duff, but we don’t drink that p*ss.

The best beer in USA (after Russian River’s Pliny the Elder, which has very limited distribution) is Durango, CO based Ska Brewing Co’s Modus Hoperandi.

Comment by sfhomowner
2013-01-15 12:34:03

We home brew beer and kombucha. It’s not hard to do, but getting the taste exactly how you want it requires a lot of patience and tinkering.

Everything is still in boxes after our move, though.

Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 12:46:23

I tried home brewing a few years ago, but consistency is very difficult. I’d share batches with friends and they’d love a particular batch but hate the next. And I don’t drink nearly enough individually to make enough batches to get good at it (my wife doesn’t drink beer at all, which doesn’t help).

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Comment by ecofeco
2013-01-15 12:47:12

We’ve had “lite” beers for several decades now.

And people like it! :mad:

 
 
Comment by Bluestar
2013-01-15 11:53:13

Climate change is forcing China to make energy policy changes. Seems like after the record breaking smog starts hurting their world image China decides to suck up 1/2 of total world PV production over the next 2-3 years. That’s a lot of electricity, a typical nuke puts out less than a gigawatt. I wonder who will break the storage bottleneck first? The US, Europe or Asia?

China Solar Instalations May Reach 31 Gigawatts, Official Says:

…solar photovoltiac installations may reach 31 gigawatts of capacity by 2015, said Liu Qi, the nation’s vice minister and deputy administrator of the National Energy Administration.

The official, speaking at a conference in Abu Dhabi, also said China is willing to advocate global policies that push for a doubling of renewable energy capacity by 2030.

The comments shed light on China’s goals for expanding solar installations. Earlier this month, the institution said it was targeting 12 gigawatts of hydroelectric capacity, 18 gigawatts of wind and 10 gigawatts of solar this year in an effort to boost power production without increasing fossil-fuel consumption.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-15/china-solar-instalations-may-reach-31-gigawatts-official-says.html

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 12:24:39

Renewable energy is for sissies.

“Real American” rugged individualists burn oil and gas and coal and drive F-350 that make loud vroom-vroomy noise and plastic testicles on trailer hitch.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 12:24:54

Climate change? You mean the world cooling is leading to those changes? NOAA revised a lot of figures but the final numbers are out and 2012 averaged .56 over the norm compared to 1998 which was .59. Particularly interesting is how cool December was with it being only .44 over the average. All the data in January suggests a similar month so 2013 is not starting out well for Hansen’s theory. That is James Hansen’s theory not A. Hansen. Hard data beats theory.

I think China is going with solar due to extreme air pollution and running out of coal. Every scientist knows that AGW was over-hyped now, even if they won’t admit it due to worrying about their grant funding.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 12:35:56

And most scientists now realize that cigarette smoking does not cause cancer.

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 12:50:54

Q: How do “Real Americans” feel about climate change and Toyota Prius?

A: F-350 go vroom-vroomy with plastic testicles on trailer hitch.

USA Number One!

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 13:05:13

How many scientists were willing to say that it did not for the proper incentive? That is what we have going on here. AGW fits the globablists’ agenda and you get a lot of grants for maintaining the fraud. There were wholesale revision of data just to keep it close to 1998. The satellite data which is much harder to fake had the year much cooler than the groundbase data. Still it was another year under 1998 and it ended much cooler.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 13:11:59

The AGW hoax is very similar to this hoax (from wikipedia):

“The Piltdown Man was a hoax in which bone fragments were presented as the fossilised remains of a previously unknown early human. These fragments consisted of parts of a skull and jawbone, said to have been collected in 1912 from a gravel pit at Piltdown, East Sussex, England. The Latin name Eoanthropus dawsoni (”Dawson’s dawn-man”, after the collector Charles Dawson) was given to the specimen. The significance of the specimen remained the subject of controversy until it was exposed in 1953 as a forgery, consisting of the lower jawbone of an orangutan deliberately combined with the skull of a fully developed modern human.

The Piltdown hoax is perhaps the most famous paleoanthropological hoax ever to have been perpetrated. It is prominent for two reasons: the attention paid to the issue of human evolution, and the length of time (more than 40 years) that elapsed from its discovery to its full exposure as a forgery.”

Now, I believe in evolution but anyone that does not points to this 40 year fraud. Instead of going after China that is ruining the Earth’s environment we go after a beneficial gas. However, going after China is contrary to the globablists while AGW is promoting their agenda and justifying the transfer of wealth from the developed to the undeveloped world. Environmentalists that promote this theory are just setting the movement up to be discredited.

 
 
 
Comment by Bluestar
2013-01-15 13:09:18

Your scientific perspective is founded on a political ideology. When your political ideology fails (as it is, and will continue to do so due to it’s shrinking demographics) your bleating will fade into silence. Ludicrous statements like this “Every scientist knows that AGW was over-hyped” is a sure sign you are becoming delusional.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 13:20:26

I think it is just the opposite it is your ideology that does not allow you see what the data is showing. According, to Hansen we were suppose to be at a minimum .75 degree C warmer than we are now. Everytime a scientists says that we didn’t fully appreciate the natural factors it means we blew it, we are so far off from the theory it is not even close.

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Comment by Bluestar
2013-01-15 13:58:56

Just more distraction and deflections from the deniers. Here’s the real story:
http://www.skepticalscience.com/resolving-met-office-confusion.html

Well at least you linked to an award winning journalist:
“awarded the Golden Horseshoe award for the ‘most brazenly damaging and malign bad science of 2013’”

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 14:15:29

I read both articles before you even posted. However, with all the dancing around the issue in your issue they never get to the key question, how can you claim that man is primary agent for global warming when we have had almost 20 years of increased co2 emissions without any warming. They try to explain away the lack of increase by talking about la nina, reduced solar spots etc but natural factors were the primary reason for the increase to begin with. We had the most active sun in 8000 years for a period of seventy years, we had the PDO in warm phase and we had numerous large El Nino events all during the period from 1978-98, In the end they are only confirming what I said for six years,, almost 90% of the global warming during that period was naturally caused, the rest was manmade but at the time the AGW crowd try to say it was almost all caused by man.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 14:24:26

Here is James Hansen’s record for predicting AGW:
http://www.c3headlines.com/2012/05/connect-the-dots-climate-model-failure-hansen-global-warming.html

BTW, CBIT looking out 6 to ten days you should be very happy in San Diego. If you live on the coast it is going to feel like July. Of course, in San Diego that is only the 70’s. If you live in New England bundle up.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 14:52:37
 
Comment by Bluestar
2013-01-15 15:13:46

“most active sun in 8000 years.” What isotope was used to calculate that proxy? According to Leif Svalgaard (Stanford University solar physics) total solar iridescence as been less than .1% for as far back as observational records have been kept.
http://www.leif.org/research/
http://scholar.google.com/citations?hl=en&user=qFdb2fIAAAAJ&pagesize=100&view_op=list_works

So if the sun is not varying in energy output what is driving this PDO? Could it be the shrinking Arctic albedo is a stronger forcing agent and is the real driver of the PDO and AO phases? The arctic ice mass has dropped over 30% since 1979 and it takes decades for the polar currents to equalize the imbalances. We are not going to enter a new Ice Age with the surface of the Arctic 70% ice free.

 
 
 
Comment by oxide
2013-01-15 13:50:58

A-dan is right that this is a pollution problem with SOx and NOx and soot and other pollutants, not CO2.

And I suppose, “good on China” (?) for addressing the air pollution by ramping up solar rather than scrubbing the coal stacks, as was done in the US. But it still doesn’t address the water and ground pollution.

I won’t get into the climate change debate, but I’m all for renewable energy, if only to push off Peak Fossil as long as possible.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 14:42:51

Oxide, the interesting thing is many of the coal plants were built with scrubbers. But you can use around 8 to 9% of the output of an electric plant to use the scrubbers so many do not use them. Another reason they are turning to solar is with duties placed on solar panels, many Chinese companies need the Chinese government to buy them. Still my point is the Chinese are trashing the planet but environmentalists are misdirecting their political power. We should not allow Chinese goods into this country until they meet minimum environmental standards, we should not use our environmental laws to make it more difficult for American companies to compete and cost U.S. workers decent paying jobs.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 14:50:22

To me it is a lot like how Chicago uses it health and safety laws. They love passing strict laws and many naive people think they have accomplished something when they are passed. But if you are politically well connected the laws do not apply to you. If you willing to bribe someone the laws do not apply. However, if you are a clean place to eat but do not do one of the above, you are run out of business. We take minimal amounts of pollutants out of the air in this country and many busineses close up and move to China and produce 100 x the pollution. Our environmental laws, which are needed, seem to be used more as a tool of the globalists than to make the entire planet cleaner. I do not care where it comes from I do not want mercury in my wild Alaskan salmon. So why are we not doing something about China?

 
 
 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2013-01-15 13:03:16

Fog / smog — what’s the difference?

News / Asia
China Fog Masks Factory Fire
VOA News
January 15, 2013

Picture taken on January 14, 2013 shows vehicles running slowly in heavy fog in Hefei, central China’s Anhui province.

A factory fire in eastern China raged out of control unnoticed for hours Monday, after local residents were unable to distinguish the smoke from the dense smog that has filled the region.

The official Xinhua news agency says the furniture factory in Zheijiang province burned for nearly three hours before residents noticed the blaze. It took 10 hours to extinguish the flames, which destroyed a large amount of furniture.

Much of China’s east coast has experienced its worst air pollution in recent memory over the past several days. In Beijing, a thick blanket of brown smog reduced visibility to just 200 meters, with the tops of many of the city’s massive skyscrapers disappearing in the haze.

At its worst, official air quality readings in the capital reached nearly 40 times the World Health Organization’s safe limit. Many hospitals were filled with patients complaining of heart or respiratory sicknesses.

The crisis has prompted an unprecedented amount of criticism of the government in China’s state-controlled media, many of which published front-page commentaries on the issue. Government officials traditionally have downplayed the severity of the problem.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2013-01-15 14:47:57

It’s interesting that VOA adopts the Chinese news media convention of inaccurately referring to smog as “fog.”

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 15:16:23

London fog.

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Comment by inchbyinch
2013-01-15 12:40:20

CraigsList
Anyone here tried to, or sold on it? Any advice or cautions?

Bought an Office Depot RTA office suite a while back (beyond return window), and our modest
home needs a much smaller (scale and pieces) set up.

Comment by ecofeco
2013-01-15 12:49:24

I’ve NEVER had any luck with Craig’s List.

Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 12:55:35

On m4m casual encounters? Maybe you need better pics.

 
 
Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 12:53:04

I CL to get rid of some gardening tools and the old refrigerator from when we bought out house last year. I used to use it more extensively when I was in school a couple of years ago. If you want to turn the furniture into cash, CL will work. But you will need to be flexible. If you can get even 2/3 of what you paid for the unit, consider it a win.

The typical CL user is someone who is pretty good at figuring out the best deals they could get from a retailer. And then they look to pay beneath that.

Emphasize that the office suite is new / in box. A picture of what it looks like assembled would be good, too. Put the model and make in the description.

Last tip - post your listing on Thursday night or Friday morning. People looking to stop by on Friday night or the weekend will be your best bet, because it’s likely they have good enough jobs to pay you a decent amount. But most CL buyers will try to talk you down on price. If you have a firm lowest price, tell that to them up front (in the ad itself).

Comment by polly
2013-01-15 15:09:36

2/3’s of what you paid would be a LOT, though still in box might up the price a bit.

I bought my very high end desk chair off Craigs list. It was brand new. I got it for 25% of the list price (75% off), though you could get it for a bit less than list online. Helped that the person lived just a few miles from my place so going to check it out didn’t cost me much in time.

Comment by inchbyinch
2013-01-15 17:23:40

Polly
Thank you for the data point, although it was hard to hear, but not unexpected.

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Comment by polly
2013-01-15 17:46:55

The guy might have been able to get more for it. I think he priced low for speed of sale. He had won the chair in a business card draw at a networking event and just wanted the cash. I jumped on it pretty quickly as I had been looking out for an office quality (vs home office quality) chair for a while.

You really have to find the right person on CL. If the people who would be interested in your item don’t troll CL, it might not sell at any price. New in box and someone looking for exactly that item? You might be able to get a lot more than 25%, especially if it is something that can be easily moved in the trunk of a car.

Giving people a phone number to call will help a bit. Saying you will help load it into their car makes you seem like a nice person. I use the grammar and word choice of the ad to determine if I “trust” the person to meet them at their home and not have anything nasty happen - which is sort of dumb, but I can tell that I do it. If you live in a nice’ish area, give your zip code in the ad so people know that it is a safe place to go.

 
 
 
Comment by inchbyinch
2013-01-15 15:16:56

joesmith
Thank you for the advice and insight. Paid $750 and will sell for $350 obo. Big hit for sure, but we need the room. A lesson learned.

 
 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-01-15 15:29:19

Here in the Bay Area it seems that most transactions are done via Craigslist. Car sales, apt rentals, FSBO, furniture, dates.

I buy and sell on craigslist all the time. I frequently get and give away a lot of stuff on the CL free list.

The fact that Craig Newmark has kept it mostly free (except for job ads) makes me like it all the more. He could sell it for many many millions, but is committed to the open and free idea of it.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-01-15 16:06:56

I bought my deluxe compost bin on Craigslist. Cost 80 bucks, and that’s a lot for frugal little Slim. But it’s oh, so easy to use.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 16:12:32

I’m going to try vermiculture this summer. Feed my garbage to the red wigglers.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-01-15 16:25:41

I know people who do just that. And those little wigglers just love that gar-bazh.

 
 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2013-01-15 17:28:35

Dad needs one of those.

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Comment by cactus
2013-01-15 17:56:37

CraigsList
Anyone here tried to, or sold on it? Any advice or cautions?”

It’s Ok put your phone and general location only give out address after feeling them out on the phone

 
 
Comment by inchbyinch
2013-01-15 12:42:30

Still in the boxes.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 13:43:08

I CL to get rid of some gardening tools and the old refrigerator from when we bought out house last year. I used to use it more extensively when I was in school a couple of years ago.

I thought you said in an earlier post that you have been an attorney for nine years what were you doing in school?

Comment by nickpapageorgio
2013-01-15 13:58:50

oops…another poser outed?

 
Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 14:00:04

I’m 30, how would I have been an attorney for 9 yrs?

Comment by palmetto
2013-01-15 14:02:48

Maybe one of those “old souls”?

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 14:05:57

Just going by one of your comments. Still if your thirty, why were you in school just a couple of years ago and if you were in school just a few years ago and it was law school how do you expect to be a partner in a couple of years like you said in another post. Of course, you also said you were going to be making $250,000. I just cannot keep up Joe.

Comment by palmetto
2013-01-15 14:23:51

meh, dan, that doesn’t bother me so much as one of the other barristers on this blog who claims to work for the fedgov, while posting prodigiously (and I DO mean prodigiously) during what I assume are working hours, at least for gubmin workers. Now, either they’re lying through their ever-lovin’ teeth, or effin’ the dog at taxpayer expense. Blows my mind. Especially when they see fit to lecture me (and others) on the social proprieties.

Got a feeling that ever since they were a pup, their goal in life was to be in a position to tell others how to think and what to do. Gotta hand it to ‘em, by golly, for achieving that goal.

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Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 16:41:18

“meh, dan, that doesn’t bother me so much as one of the other barristers on this blog who claims to work for the fedgov, while posting prodigiously (and I DO mean prodigiously) during what I assume are working hours, at least for gubmin workers.”

eh heh….. and there is more to it than that. This we’re certain of.

 
Comment by palmetto
2013-01-15 18:03:51

“eh heh….. and there is more to it than that. This we’re certain of.”

Funny you should mention that, because I’ve been wondering about it myself.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 18:46:39

You’re not the only one.

 
 
 
Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 14:06:21

I also mentioned just last week that I had Blinder, Krugman, and Bernanke as college profs in early 00s. And hmm, a few days ago I mentioned that my wife is a 4th yr teacher (we started our careers around the same time after grad/law school). I am pretty sure I’ve also mentioned the impression the property bubble made on me while I was in L school.

But whatever, I’m an illegal hispanic immigrant and not a lawyer. I’m a lazy looser living lavishly (TM). Whatever works for you :-P

Comment by ahansen
2013-01-15 14:44:42

And in this corner:

Quirky is an “environmental regulator” who travels the planet, (presumably “regulating”), yet still has hours every day (for months on end) to post the fruits of his mental contortions here for our amusment.

My money’s on the kid.

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Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 14:09:09

Our combined FAMILY income is around 250k. That’s for 2 of us. And that’s now, not “in the future when I’m a partner”. Starting pay for associates here is 160. Partners make several multiples of this. And I never assume I will make partner, I was musing about if I would be as financially conservative as I am now if that comes to pass.

Why was I in school just a couple of years ago? Hmmm, because I graduated college in 04 and L school in 08 (I worked a year between college & L school).

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 14:32:48

Sorry Joe that is not what you said but I don’t have time to go through your past posts. Just keep making it up as you go on and someday I will have time.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 14:34:01

BTW, nobody considers a couple of years to mean five years.

Comment by joesmith
2013-01-15 14:41:05

Your level of thinking, not surprisingly, is stuck at a teen level. **pats you on head**

Folks, I said “a couple” instead of “a few” or “a handful”, while I was giving some advice to a poster about unloading some unwanted furniture. And now Poor Man Dan the approaching-retirement teabilly small-time “lawyer” has made his “big break” in the case.

Pretty funny, Dan :-P You’re always good for a laugh. It’s also a good warning of what I might turn into in 30 years after a couple bad divorces, some bratty kids, and way too much drinking. Good cautionary tale; I’m working hard to avoid all those things.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-01-15 15:06:58

No divorces,no kids bratty or otherwise and no substance abuse problems. Keep trying poverty or immigration law attorney straight out of law school who is mad because he is unable to get a firm job so he rails against the system while he tries to payback his massive student loans.

 
 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
2013-01-15 15:19:43

REMINDER: Arguing on the internet is like the Special Olympics, you can win but you’re still retarded!

Comment by ahansen
2013-01-15 16:11:40

And one must NEVER go full retard ;-)

 
Comment by moral hazard
2013-01-15 18:15:49

“Arguing on the internet is like the Special Olympics”

True story

My line coach in high school worked with what I guess today is called the mentally challenged. He beat the cr@p out of us I guess because he was frustrated from working with them every day but that is another story.

They had the Special Olympics swim meet for Connecticut at our school and we were expected to “volunteer” to work it.
The linemans job was to take the special athletes from where they were seated with their hometowns in the bleachers to the starting blocks, give them a pep talk along the way and give them what the coach called was encouragement to get in the pool when the race started if they panicked and didn`t dive in.

About 8 races in I was taking a special young man up and he was really jazzed for his race that is until he saw 2 really attractive senior girls sitting by the window. All I heard was “Woooo” and that special dude was 5 steps away from me with a bullet and on those girls grabbing them 4 steps before I got to him. I had to drag him off with like 500 people watching this. Man your here to swim! It took me a couple of minutes but I got him off, back on track and to the starting line where he jumped in and swam. I looked at the 6 ft. 6 in. guy next to me and said never again.

The next damn race the 6ft. 6 dude next to me brings a short overweight special girl up and she doesn`t dive in at the start of the race. He looks over at the coach with his hands out and a what do I do look. The coach extends his arm with an open hand telling him push her in. Well with probably 400 of the 500 people watching the 6 ft. 6 offensive lineman who will the next year accept a full football scholarship to Boston College, he pushes the panicking short overweight special Olympian into the pool and she goes right to the bottom like a stone.

Now the swimmers from the swim team were there and dove right in and pulled her out but the look on that guys face was even worse than the look on mine when I had to drag my special dude off the 2 hot chicks. The rest of the swim meet was uneventful but we both walked out still shaken up.

God Bless the people who work with the Special Olympics.

Comment by ahansen
2013-01-15 22:46:27

Moral, why are you not in Hollywood? You write demented but performance-caliber stuff. At least compile all this?

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-16 00:04:46

“…he pushes the panicking short overweight special Olympian into the pool and she goes right to the bottom like a stone.”

OMG — that story is a keeper!

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Comment by Northeastener
2013-01-15 16:32:19

What an auspicious day…. why is it auspicious, you ask? Because New York, that bell-weather bastion of liberal/progressive/socialist group-think has passed what stands to be the “strictest gun-control measures” in the Union.

What has New York done, you ask? They have banned all pistol magazines in excess of 7 rounds and made it a misdemeanor to own a magazine in excess of 7 rounds, with a 1 year grace period for current owners to sell them out of state. In effect, NY has banned all semi-auto handguns, at least if and until manufacturers decide to produce “compliant” ones, in excess of 7 rounds.

What else have they done, you ask? They have banned any semiautomatic firearm, whether it be a shotgun, rifle, or handgun, that has more than 1 “military-style” feature… essentially banning any semi-auto that accepts detachable magazines and also has a pistol grip, or any other feature deemed “military-style”.

What else have they done, you ask? New York is requiring an “instant” background check on all ammunition purchases and is requiring alerts to law enforcement on all “large” ammunition purchases.

New York has grandfathered in firearms which were legal in NY prior to the law being signed today, but requires they be registered with the state.

So why is this such an auspicious day? Because this is the day the liberals and progressives turned average law-abiding citizens exercising their 2nd Amendment rights into criminals. I’m sure other states, including MA, CT, NJ, and CA will follow suit, along with the Obama administration, with equally ridiculous laws… Mark it on your calendar’s folks, the end of this “more perfect union” has begun.

Comment by nickpapageorgio
2013-01-15 17:02:26

“this is the day the liberals and progressives turned average law-abiding citizens exercising their 2nd Amendment rights into criminals.”

These people don’t give a sh.t about your rights, their statists. This is brought to you by the pro choice crowd…what a pathetic joke. Hopefully this will serve as an eye opener for the general public…progressives are wolves in sheep’s clothing and are the enemies to free people around the world.

Comment by Bluestar
2013-01-15 21:12:08

You can bet none of these new rules apply to your local police force. The cops can armor-up with the best stuff and your tax dollars are paying for it.

Comment by Northeastener
2013-01-15 22:26:03

Indeed, how many of governor cuomo’s security detail will be limited to no assault rifles or semi-automatic handguns and 7 round magazines?

Double standards that do nothing to make us safer. If gun bans worked, why does Chicago have more casualties of gun violence than Afghanistan? Handguns are banned in Chicago… It should be a liberal progressive socialist paradise.

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-15 17:16:23

Mark it on your calendar’s folks, the end of this “more perfect union” has begun.

January 15, 2013..a moment of sanity…marked it!

Aren’t there a lot of semi-automatic pistols out there with less than 8 round magazines? I’m no gun expert, but I seem to remember the Colt .45 holds less than that, same with the Walther PPK. A lot of ‘pocket guns’ hold fewer. And of course you’ll still have revolvers.

Comment by Northeastener
2013-01-15 22:36:49

1911’s take 8+1, so unless you retrofit the magazine to 7 or manufacturers offer it, 1911’s and most other .45 handguns would be banned.

Same goes for most 9mm and .40 semi autos, which take 10-18 rounds. My Walther PPK qualifies with a 7 round magazine, but that is a conceal carry gun, not a home defense gun. It is also a fairly low power cartridge in .380acp

I predict .45 will become the handgun of choice with a 7 round retrofitted magazine, as people will want to maximize stopping power in 7 rounds…

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-01-16 05:46:13

1911’s take 8+1

Bzzzt! Wrong. Wikipedia:

M1911
Feed system 7-round standard detachable box magazine[1]

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
2013-01-15 17:27:23

WTF is a “progressive”?

(I’m wondering whether I need to give in and start listening to teabillie talk radio to figure this one out…)

Comment by nickpapageorgio
2013-01-15 20:49:47

A partial definition would be a statist that feels the need to get up in everyone’s business, forcing their agenda down peoples throats using threats, intimidation and the long arm of statist government thugs. More to come.

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 22:14:05

OK, I don’t qualify.

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Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-01-15 16:42:53

Vigo yellow rice is quite good if it’s cooked correctly.

Comment by palmetto
2013-01-15 19:24:08

LOL, it’s getting late.

We shall have to discuss the other issue at greater length. I’m intrigued. But I guess that’s part of it.

 
 
Comment by Resistor
2013-01-15 21:21:39

Housing strippers… now that’s an oldie, actually.

“In home foreclosure, if it’s not nailed down …

Twenty percent of owners strip houses before banks take them back.

By James Thorner, Times Staff Writer
Published February 19, 2008

Mike Burgur returned from work last month to interrupt a break-in at his rented Clearwater Beach condominium.

The intruders were stripping fans off the ceiling and the knobs off the doors. They had carted out the refrigerator and yanked up a toilet. They’d even pulled the plates off electrical outlets and unscrewed the faucet handles.

As he stepped around the broken eggs and jelly jars on the kitchen floor, Burgur had no trouble recognizing the culprit: It was his own landlady.

“I’m going to strip this mother,” the 70-ish property owner raved to Burgur, as she ripped apart the 950-square-foot unit on Island Way. ”

http://www.sptimes.com/2008/02/19/news_pf/Business/In_home_foreclosure__.shtml

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 21:55:25

Geithner: Default Looms Between Mid-February and Early March
Tuesday, 15 Jan 2013 07:21 AM

U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said so-called extraordinary measures the Obama administration is taking to avoid breaching the federal debt ceiling would work only until mid-February to early March and warned that a failure by Congress to raise the limit could “impose severe economic hardship” on the country.

“Congress should act as early as possible to extend normal borrowing authority in order to avoid the risk of default and any interruption in payments,” Geithner said in a letter Monday to House Speaker John Boehner and other congressional leaders.

In the letter, released by the Treasury Monday, Geithner said the department will “provide a more narrow range” of dates with a “more targeted estimate at a later date.”

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 22:30:23

Have you stayed current on your debt payments over the past five years?

If so, you are the sucker in a game where deadbeats are the winners.

Looser!

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-15 22:33:33

Jan. 15, 2013, 6:30 a.m. EST
Why U.S. might be ‘a nation of deadbeats’
Consumers have been paying down debt, but walking away from more
By Brett Arends

President Obama said on Monday that “we are not a nation of deadbeats,” but instead a people who “pay our bills.”

Really?

A close look at the data reveals a very different story — and one that gets far too little airing in public discourse.

Far from paying our bills, the current generation of Americans — or some of them — have set records for default which probably have no parallel in the history of the human race. During the last five years, U.S. individuals have walked away from a staggering $585 billion in mortgages, credit card debts and other personal loans. That works out at about $6,000 per household.

And if the numbers are to be believed, there is probably a lot more to come.

Turn on any news program devoted to the economy and you will doubtless hear some Wall Street blowhard telling you that American households have been “repairing their balance sheets” and paying down their debts. They make it sound so virtuous, and they often then segue into sneering remarks about those degenerate Greeks and other Europeans who don’t behave in the same responsible way.

The truth is very different. According to the Federal Reserve, U.S. household debts peaked five years ago at a gigantic $13.8 trillion. Since then it has declined to $12.9 trillion – a decline of about 7%. To put that in context, household debts today still exceed those seen at the end of 2006, near the peak of the bubble. They are three times what they were in 1998.

Furthermore, as our chart shows, the majority of that reduction hasn’t come from people paying off their loans, but from banks writing them off.

The total debt reduction from the peak, says the Fed, is $954 billion. Loan write-offs, at $585 billion, account for 60% of that. In other words, for all the chest-thumping about how Americans are repairing their balance sheets and how we aren’t a nation of deadbeats, in the last five years Americans have walked away from $3 in debt for every $2 they’ve paid off.

In the first quarter of 2010 alone about 13% of all credit card debt was just written off.

Households weren’t alone. Corporations have defaulted on $35 billion to $40 billion in debt per year in recent years, according to Moody’s.

Naturally this has occurred even while the federal government has bailed out bankrupt financial institutions, and flooded the economy with massive deficits, low interest rates and free money to make it all easier.

Heaven knows what the situation would have looked like under a system of honest money.

Comment by rms
2013-01-15 23:43:38

“Heaven knows what the situation would have looked like under a system of honest money.”

The honest folks would have the money.

This was easily Brett Arends’ best. Was his editor out sick?

Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-16 00:06:15

“The honest folks would have the money.”

Fracking loosers (and I’m one of them…).

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Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-16 00:09:19

Jan. 16, 2013, 1:38 a.m. EST
Japan stocks tumble, leading broad losses in Asia
By Sarah Turner, MarketWatch

SYDNEY (MarketWatch) — Asian markets mostly declined Wednesday, with Japanese stocks skidding on a firmer yen and shares in Hong Kong weakening as financials lost ground.

The Nikkei Stock Average tumbled 2.6% to 10,600.44, after ending at a level not seen since April 30, 2010 in the previous session.

 
Comment by Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower™
2013-01-16 00:24:01

If China cuts U.S. debt holdings, wouldn’t that be an open invitation to let the all-cash Chinese real estate buyers eat some massive losses? Doing this would serve to strengthen the value of our Treasury debt while making housing relatively more affordable for young U.S. households.

Don’t young U.S. families trying to get a foothold in life deserve affordable housing? They could be the first to buy from the all-cash Chinese investors who summarily dump their holdings when prices fall.

When do our young families get their turn?

China may cut U.S. debt holdings
By Agence France-Presse
Tuesday, January 15, 2013 11:49 EST
Print Friendly
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China’s then vice finance minister Lou Jiwei pictured in Phuket on September 5, 2003. (AFP)
Topics: Lou Jiwei ♦ sovereign wealth fund

China’s sovereign wealth fund, which has more than $480 billion in assets, could cut holdings of US Treasury Bonds as they are becoming a less attractive investment, state media said Tuesday.

The Shanghai Securities News quoted Lou Jiwei, chairman of sovereign wealth fund manager China Investment Corp (CIC), as telling a conference in Hong Kong on Monday that the US economic recovery had made other investments appealing.

China has the world’s largest foreign exchange reserves and according to US government figures is the largest foreign holder of US Treasuries with $1.16 trillion at the end of October last year, the latest available statistic.

“In line with the future US economic recovery, the appeal of US debt is weakening,” Lou said. “From a long-term perspective, it is not a good investment target.”

However, he added that completely stopping buying of US Treasuries could hurt the fund’s ability to manage risk.

“For this reason, CIC’s method is to buy relatively less US debt with hopes of allocating more to stocks and other assets,” Lou said, without specifying whether he was specifically referring to US-dollar assets.

 
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