Nothing in the U.S.’s financial future will work out out make sense if young people are unable to find meaningful employment to develop skills, habits, and do some of the civic heavy-lifting required to pay the social security and medicare for the huge amounts of old people we’re about to have. And that’s nothing compared to what we’ll need to compete in the world.
As boomers retire they will free up jobs for the younger generation.
Plus as a culture we have been in the phase of accumulating stuff - stuff that can be made overseas for cheap.
But the big job opportunities in the future will be medical and elder care. Also refurbishing the houses the boomers and their parents leave behind. Neither of these can be outsourced.
As the boomer death rate skyrockets, they will free up 35 MILLION excess empty houses in addition to the 25 MILLION excess empty houses already out there.
Another possibility: As boomers retire, technology replaces human labor with automation.
And with lower-paid replacement people. I’ve seen it at many places I’ve worked in the last 15 years. The higher paid top managers are replaced with the next generation, but the wages are always lower for the new guys, and they never catch up.
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Comment by Anon In DC
2013-04-15 10:11:12
Well of course the newer guys make less. That’s what the markets dictate. Markets for labor are not static. You must be one of those people who think that post WWII - 1970 or 1980 US middle class standard of living was the norm. It was an anomaly which will be even more apparent as more and more time passes.
Comment by goon squad
2013-04-15 10:19:36
‘it was an anomaly’
yup.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-15 10:20:36
Well of course the newer guys make less
I realize that, but they made way less. The salary structure and/or jobs were rejiggered, redefined, and combined with others, so they’d never make what the top managers used to make, no matter how long they stayed, even thought they usually ended up with more work and responsibilities than those they replaced.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-15 10:29:50
Was it an anomaly, or did it work exactly as predicted?
More money and security went to the middle and lower classes, they spent more, and we had a robust economy.
We chose to quit following this course, lowered taxes on the rich and squeezed everybody else, and here we are with a stagnant economy and all the money in the hands of the few. Exactly like we had before we tried Keynesian economics.
It worked. We even had nearly paid off the debts from the Depression and WW2, until Reagan and Greenspan took the wheel, ending the Keynesian period, and our shared prosperity. (Though the rich kept doing quite well.)
Comment by localandlord
2013-04-15 10:30:20
I Dunno. My BFF’s SIL just got a new job for 70K I thought that was impressive for a 29-30 year old.
But he’s a tech wizard so I guess they all make good money.
I could have taken a computer class my senior year in high school but I went to college instead. I am the same age as Bill Gates.
I dunno, I don’t envy the tech wizards their lifestyle.
Comment by oxide
2013-04-15 11:17:03
You must be one of those people who think that post WWII - 1970 or 1980 US middle class standard of living was the norm. It was an anomaly .
If the 1945-1980 job structure was such an anamoly, then why does HBB think that house prices will revert to the “norm” of 1945-1980? If our jobs are going to go back to the 1890’s, then shouldn’t our house prices do the same, i.e. where only the rich actually own and everyone else rents?
Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-15 11:45:30
I Dunno. My BFF’s SIL just got a new job for 70K I thought that was impressive for a 29-30 year old.
As a techie you are considered to be in your “prime” at that age. 29-30 year olds were making that 70K 20 years ago. So techies have been losing ground as well.
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-15 11:50:19
If the 1945-1980 job structure was such an anamoly, then why does HBB think that house prices will revert to the “norm” of 1945-1980? If our jobs are going to go back to the 1890’s, then shouldn’t our house prices do the same, i.e. where only the rich actually own and everyone else rents?
What was the transaction price of the house you bought?
What is the square footage of the house you bought?
Are you saying that bigger and bigger government that consumes more and more of GDP and borrows 46 cents of every dollar it spends is not the way to prosperity?
You are such a brain-dead brony hack that everything appears like a potential talking point to you. Disgusting.
Keep on drinking the kool-aid and blaming others as your leader destroys what is left of the US economy.
PS - And guess where most new jobs used to come from…
———————
Uh Oh, Obamacare Math Sinks In for Small Businesses
CNBC - By Bertha Coombs - 15 APR 2013
Even as you finish with this year’s taxes, if you’re a small-business owner experts say it’s time to look ahead to 2014, when the tax implications of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) begin to kick in.
“Just now, things are really sinking in that there is this employer responsibility,” said Amanda Austin, of the National Federation of Independent Business.
Under ACA, often called Obamacare, employers with 50 or more full-time workers face a mandate to provide insurance. It’s known formally as shared responsibility.
“You’re going to need somebody to do a thorough review of the impact on your business,” Austin said, because the new rules are complex.
As a business owner, you could still be charged a penalty even if you offer a health insurance. If your plan costs an employee more than 9.5% of his income, and the employee opts for a government subsidy on a health exchange, it will also trigger a fine. The penalty for each employee who receives a subsidy in that case is $3000.
New Obamacare Math
A recent ADP study found employees who earn less than $45,000 annually are more likely not to enroll in employer health plans, because of cost. Among employees who earn between $15,000 and $20,000 annually, only 37 percent opt to sign up employer health insurance.
As a small-business owner, this year you’re going to want to spell out all of the tax consequences to your employees, if they opt out of taking your coverage, say experts.
“Employers are going to have to come in and have a frank conversation,” says NFIB’s Amanda Austin, and explain how tax penalties will work for both you an your employees.
H&R Block’s Kathy Pickering expects the first year of tax filing season under ACA in 2015 will be confusing for most everyone.
“We are all going to go through a learning curve–the IRS, individuals, and employers,” she said.
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Comment by (Now that I'm "diversified") Jetfixr
2013-04-15 10:07:04
The real fix is to go single-payer, like every other advanced economy has.
But nooooo, that would be socialism, and bureaucratic death panels snuffing granny.
So we get Obamacare, designed primarily to keep the vampire squids of the insurance-healthcare industrial complex happy.
Of course, it was originally a Republican plan. The only reason Repubs are pizzed, is because he hijacked their idea.
Comment by goon squad
2013-04-15 10:22:35
plus one to that, jetfixr. obamacare is just a can-kicking of the present failed model. the system will collapse under its own weight and be replaced by single-payer.
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 11:02:16
single payer would be smart, esp. if it completely cut out private insurance rather than using them to process claims.
Actually yes, 2banana, Joe IS saying that big government does not an economy make. But when private sector pitches into the economies of China, India, or the Cayman islands instead of the American economy, well, a big government fraction is what you’re gonna get.
I actually didn’t intend that post as a partisan talking point at all. Just reinforcing (lest we forget) that our economy really isn’t working. Older people are working longer (largely because they have to) and younger people often aren’t working at all. This would not happen in a properly functioning society. Abundance we free up older people and open up relatively more opportunities for younger cohorts.
How do we get back to this type of natural balance? I don’t have the answer and I doubt either party does either.
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Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-15 07:34:45
Offshore your jobs to other countries and import uneducated people, I am sure this will end nicely.
I am for legalizing illegals, but the effect is going to be catastrophic for the young and the low skilled in this country.
Comment by MightyMike
2013-04-15 07:47:00
Joe, didn’t you take some economics courses as an undergraduate? You should know the answer. The problem is high unemployment. The solution is higher economic growth. The fact that certain groups are suffering more from the high unemployment isn’t particularly noteworthy.
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 07:51:21
The fact that certain groups are suffering more from the high unemployment isn’t particularly noteworthy.
———-
That’s just not true. There is a lot of research on how human capital is developed and how early-career development has long term effects on lifestyle choices, quality of life, health, etc. Moreover, a society which transfers vast sums of money from the young to the old is a) ripe for massive public choice problems/misallocation of resources and b) unsustainable because you will eventually have a collapse in living standards, human capital, asset prices.
I wasn’t saying I have answers or pushing a partisan point. Just driving home the fact that there is no “recovery” no matter what the aggregate UE #s are. It absolutely matters who is jobless and why. Now, whether the government can or should do anything about it… that’s a different subject entirely.
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-15 08:35:28
“How do we get back to this type of natural balance?”
I’ve got a great idea: How about if we expend tax dollars and Fed QE3 on reflating the real estate bubble? That will create more private sector jobs, which everyone knows are inherently more beneficial to the economy than government jobs, for whatever purpose.
Comment by oxide
2013-04-15 09:00:49
Speaking of illegals, looks like the Gang of 8 in the Senate have hammered out some kind of deal: path to citizenship. But there are a lot of requirements. 10 years for a green card, 3 more years to citizenship.
My question is: what happens during those 10 years while all these folks are presumably still illegal? Are the Fed gonna bust them, or employers, for working? Or will there be some moratorium on deportations? It seems to me that the path to citizenship is a moot point if the undocumenteds don’t want to be citizens, and only really care about working for peanuts without being deported.
Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-15 09:27:54
what happens during those 10 years while all these folks are presumably still illegal?
I think everybody gets a temporary legal status immidiately. I have said before and will say it again nothing good comes out for most Americans when McCain and Graham are part of a “solution.” No wonder they are Democrats’ favorite republicans.
path to citizenship is a moot point if the undocumenteds don’t want to be citizens
They will become citizen and they will vote for a party that will promise free stuff. The illegals know very well that they have the right to have everything for free. And they will get it.
Comment by Steve J
2013-04-15 09:35:47
When they find out they have to pay taxes on worldwide income, the lure of shiny new green cards will fade.
Comment by oxide
2013-04-15 09:56:34
I think everybody gets a temporary legal status immidiately.
Are you sure about this? There’s going to be a firestorm when this news hits the MSM.
Comment by (Now that I'm "diversified") Jetfixr
2013-04-15 10:09:52
According to my brother in the Border Patrol, a lot of the illegal problem has fixed itself.
Tax freedom, huh. Not in this country and not with tax and spend liberals running the show… I got a call last night from a close friend who needed to vent after finishing his taxes. They own a house in upstate NY which they rent out while living, working and renting on one of the wealthy islands off of the coast of MA.
They make a low to mid six figure income combined, but pay a high price to rent year round. They had some trouble with their renter in upstate NY, who got behind on the rent. In turn, they got behind on their real estate taxes in NY. They took some money out of a retirement fund to pay the taxes they owed because they were short on cash. They paid taxes on that money at the time they took it out, but not the penalty for early withdrawal.
Jump to tax day, and because the money they took out of their retirement account is considered income in the year they took it out, it put their income over the $150,000 that is an upper limit for allowing any deductions on rental property (you can still take the deductions, but any loss doesn’t impact your AGI that year, rather it is carried over). This income level also means they lost most other deductions as well. Because of that, instead of owing the government about $1,500, they now owe the government over $8,000.
Needless to say, they are now in a financial bind because of the government tax code, the ridiculous real estate taxes of upstate NY, and their own inexperience dealing with these types of issues. Welcome to modern day slavery… you work and the government takes everything you earn.
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Comment by 2banana
2013-04-15 09:11:01
Welcome to modern day slavery… you work and the government takes everything you earn.
In order to give the money to the “correct” groups for their votes and support to stay in power.
Hey - what is the first things public union goon does when he retires from NYS with a golden pension?
A: Sells his house and moves to a low tax and right to work state.
And no, they could care less if you go into bankruptcy and sell all of your 401k to pay the insane property taxes. Pay up sucker!
Comment by (Now that I'm "diversified") Jetfixr
2013-04-15 10:18:09
“…..low to mid six figure income…..”
And an $8K tax bill puts them in a bind?
They could dump the house in NY, buy one/two/three out here in BFE, and pay 1-1.5% on property taxes.
Of course, renting the place out for more than about $1000/month might be a problem, seeing as how that is out of reach for 85% of the local gentry. And this assumes you can actually find renters with decent ($20/hr) jobs.
Comment by Northeastener
2013-04-15 10:57:34
and an $8K tax bill puts them in a bind?
You underestimate the cost of living in MA in general and living on an island like Martha’s Vineyard in particular… they pay$2400/mo just in rent. Add in taxes, food, fuel, insurance, a car payment, the cost of a having a couple of young children and a house in a high-tax state like New York with a mortgage and a renter who is behind on rent and the paycheck disappears quickly.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-15 10:58:55
Who makes them live in a high-tax state?
Comment by knockwurst
2013-04-15 17:26:57
Sounds like a couple who owns a home and makes $150K a year has money problems and it’s everyone’s fault but theirs. Not the first time I’ve heard that sob story on the HBB.
Comment by snowgirl
2013-04-16 11:10:02
Maybe they should move from the Vineyard over to Hyannis or Falmouth? Sounds like they don’t make enough for their lifestyle. Why do you blame the $8000 upstate taxes instead of the high cost of living to be on Martha’s Vineyard?
read the reader comments on any wall street journal article about youth un/underemployment i.e. the lucky ducky future, and the sentiment that prevails is that everyone should be a s.t.e.m. major, and that that would solve all of usa’s problems.
I don’t hear Bill whining and crying about not having a job.
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Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 11:05:32
Nice strawman, no one said Bill didn’t have a job. I’m calling him out on his hypocrisy. He bemoans the policestate and the military industrial complex, etc. But he makes his money programming missiles for a DoD contractor. We make about the same money and both nibble off of DoD private contractor money. The difference is, he thinks he can do that and “ignore” the police state.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-15 11:17:18
The difference is, he thinks he can do that and “ignore” the police state.
But you think you can do that and escape all responsibility by saying stuff like ‘both parties $uck’, or ‘I voted independent’, or ‘it shouldn’t be this way, but it is’.
I’m not sure I see the difference.
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 14:54:26
He thinks he is being moral and living his values.
I admit my decisions are amoral at best and that i am not living my beliefs.
If you are unemployed you need only one job. If I lost my job and could not find another job working for someone else then I would find work. It might not be my preferred work and at what I would like to earn but I would find work. Creating a job can mean freelancing. It does not mean the all the capital and infrastructure necessary for a brick and motor type business. But for many it’s easier to collect benefits and complain about oligopoly like power in many industries.
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Comment by Big V
2013-04-15 13:44:55
Actually, if you couldn’t find another job, then you wouldn’t.
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-04-15 18:01:17
“Creating a job can mean freelancing.”
Freelancing often means full time work for part time pay. Any time not directly producing income is eaten up by bookkeeping, marketing, and management tasks usually done by other employees in a medium to large business. If you decide to outsource those tasks, the cost of hiring some other freelancer to do them comes out of your bottom line.
One of the benefits of freelancing is that you can employ your younger relatives to do some of the tasks, giving them resume building experience.
Yes, Joe, we need to go back to the American School of Economics. The one that requires tariffs to function, so as to protect first-world jobs from third-world slaves. We should abandon the British School of Economics, which we are currently exercising.
Pbs frontline’s next episode is an expose of the 401k/IRA scam.
Short version: the big winner in 401ks and IRAs I’d… Wall St!
I just watched their last episode on the Syrian civil war… Chilling. Crazy behind the lines footage. Do not watch if you can’t handle loss of blood and dismemberment.
Re 401k/IRAs… The financial companies sell the dream but they have excellent lawyers and lobbyists, beware. Lots of things that should never be legal are, in fact, the standard practices of the industry. Untold wealth is handed to middlemen. Fee arrangements that are laughable high or one-sided, etc.
Oh, and as i always say, the tax “advantages” aren’t really worth the risk and are a joke compared to vehicles used by the rich.
True… those commercials and mailings/flyers don’t pay for themselves. T. Rowe Price, Morgan Stanley, etc always acquiring new and better office space, etc. All paid for by fees.
A lot of the fees are incredibly subtle and easily missed.
Moreover, ALL the lobbying & lawyering these companies do means they have all the real power. The “benefits” of 401k/IRA are very lame. The companies aren’t lobbying for the consumer/investor to be treated well, they’re lobbying to be able to nickel and dime you. And they LOVE the fact that your money is tied up until age 65+. They also don’t have to pay a premium to lock up the money since the gov’t will penalize you heavily if you ever want to do an early w/d.
From the perspective of the retirement planning “industry”, it’s a hustle. And people line up to get ripped off. Amazing stuff, really.
The “benefits” of 401k/IRA are very lame. The companies aren’t lobbying for the consumer/investor to be treated well, they’re lobbying to be able to nickel and dime you. And they LOVE the fact that your money is tied up until age 65+. They also don’t have to pay a premium to lock up the money since the gov’t will penalize you heavily if you ever want to do an early w/d.
From the perspective of the retirement planning “industry”, it’s a hustle. And people line up to get ripped off. Amazing stuff, really.
What joe smith said.
Comment by (Now that I'm "diversified") Jetfixr
2013-04-15 10:31:16
I’m still laughing on my deal……
Former employer only matched company stock in 401K. Decided to get out in 2007 while the getting was good. Everyone gave me hell for doing it, because of the 10% penalty. Used the money to pay off everything, and have a cash cushion when (as inevitably happens in my business when the economy tanks) I got laid off.
Sold stock at $56….got up to $63, then imploded like everything else in 2008. Hit a low of around $9. Hasn’t been above $25 since.
May never get to $56 again, unless we get in a no-BS shooting war, or the Main Street/USA manufacturing market recovers.
Like anyone in Washington or on Wall Street is worried about that.
Comment by m2p
2013-04-15 15:48:56
And they LOVE the fact that your money is tied up until age 65+
Probably depends what kind of fund and investments as well as the provider. Vanguard and Fidelity seem to have the lowest fees.
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Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 11:10:54
- you’re still locking it up until age 65 or paying penalties to pull out your own money
- you’re not being paid a premium for this locking up of your money
- you can’t just take the whole thing as a big lump (without penalty)
- you’re still paying taxes on the money either when you put it into the account or when you w/d it (depends on which type of IRA or if you’re using a 401k)
- the tax dodge is nothing like “small businesses” get, it’s only enough to make you think it’s a good deal (which, see above, it’s not)
- if we ever hit a really bad fiscal crisis, good chance a large sized 401k/IRA gets you means-tested or taxed as part of “balancing the budget”.
Comment by Anon In DC
2013-04-15 11:14:39
RE: Locking it up unit you’re 5. I think with the Roth IRA after the money has been in there 5 years or more you can take it out - at lest the principle.
I know this, I grew up near Vanguard’s HQ and my best friend from childhood works @ Vanguard.
That said, you’re either being purposefully obtuse or are somehow unaware of the “financial expert” / financially planning industry and how they persuade the sheep to hand over their money.
Also, as said before, the benefits of 401k are paltry compared to what the “winners” in our economic system use and, in fact, quite risky if you are under ~40 yrs old. There is a lot of systemic risk and fiscal risk going forward. Having a big pool of money well-documented for the government is for lazy loosers [sic]. Sheep will get sheered.
I don’t want to be a brony sheep, hence I only contribute to get a match. Other than that, it’s the Mittens 2.0 plan. Start a “small business”, be aggressive, and use the VASTLY superior tools available to “job creators”.
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Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 06:30:04
John Bogle’s book is also pretty good.
That said, Vanguard or other index funds are still part of a system that has restrictions on your money, very limited tax advantages, and makes you a target for means-testing or special taxation of 401k/IRA w/d in the future.
No thanks!
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-15 06:36:24
“…obtuse…”
I’m tired — had to drive kids to class at 6am and haven’t turned on the coffee maker yet. But I just wanted to make the briefest reference to Vanguard as a reminder that not all mutual fund companies follow the ‘rape the customer while pretending to help him save for retirement’ business model.
That is all.
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 07:32:53
If you have to look up your money until age 65+ and can’t do a lump sum withdrawal even at that time, that, my friend, is not a good deal. You should be getting a heavy premium. Moreover, all that money is locked up, it can’t be used to generate both short term profits and used to create “losses” for tax purposes (depreciation, amortization, loopholes).
Comment by polly
2013-04-15 08:29:09
“Having a big pool of money well-documented for the government is for lazy loosers [sic].”
Any account you have that has your social security number on it is “well-documented” by the government. Any account.
No one seems to pay any attention when I mention this, but a few years ago, when I took my friends to the IRS service center to take care of some of the years they hadn’t filed. They also had to report an identity theft issue. The woman who was handling their identity theft issue typed for a moment or two on her computer and informed my friends of a *non-interest bearing* account that someone had opened under his name and SS number in California. The account generated no income at all and the IRS had it in their system. The woman told them that as far as the government was concerned, he owned that account.
The government knows about your retirement accounts. It also knows about all your other accounts.
Comment by cactus
2013-04-15 09:32:56
No one seems to pay any attention when I mention this,”
I hear you I also think a 401K is safer than cash in the Bank. OJ simpson got to keep his retirement but cash in a Bank or invested. bu bye.
I think Switerland is now complying with the USA in sharing info on big accounts ?
Hiding cash like Mitt Romey is far beyond my skill level or ability. They would crush me like they are crushing the Gold Bugs today.
Comment by HBB_Rocks
2013-04-15 12:05:55
I get your complaints against a 401k I guess, but it seems to me that it would be way more efficient to just get better at your current job than it would be to start a second line of employment with rental houses or a small business. Whether ‘better’ means going “bill in la” or starting your own company focusing on your skill or continually changing companies until you have maxxed out your salary - those are all relevant strategies.
I know what is involved in running a restaurant or fixing rental houses, and those aren’t passive income sources like a 401k or IRA or just regular investing is. They are full-time jobs, and I understand diversification, but our free time is not a growing commodity.
IOW, your strategy is great if your only goal is to make money and if your original job allowed you to make enough to start a second business, but terrible for everything else. And you want to talk about hidden fees- just wait until you get your first rental.
I know what is involved in running a restaurant or fixing rental houses, and those aren’t passive income sources like a 401k or IRA or just regular investing is. They are full-time jobs, and I understand diversification, but our free time is not a growing commodity.
Exactly!
My former landlady left a PT job so that she could concentrate on her rental property business. Which turned out to be much more than a FT job.
I felt sorry for her because she had so little free time.
Vanguard 500 index fund. Average annual gain since inception August 1976: over 10 percent. Vanguard even has a few older funds. AAR above 10%. You young people snicker at cycles. Recessions, depressions, wars, nanny statism, deregulation, these funds still go strong and outlived them.
“this time it’s diddle rent!” LOL
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Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2013-04-15 06:41:52
This iPad kills me. “different.”
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 06:48:23
This is piddling compared to what an aggressive person with a sizable stack of cash can do.
Comment by Neuromance
2013-04-15 07:04:01
My experience is different. I put 10,000 dollars in an S&P 500 index fund in February 2001. I pulled it out in July 2011. I had just about 11,000 dollars. Most of the time it was in the fund, it was underwater (worth less than 10,000).
Perhaps rolling in 10K now, and waiting another 10 years will result in a 10% annual appreciation. But I kind of doubt it. No one knows for sure though.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-15 07:05:55
“this time it’s diddle rent!”
That was an awesome iPadism.
Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-15 07:27:18
I pulled it out in July 2011. I had just about 11,000 dollars.
In fall 2007, it should have been much higher but I know you can’t time the market.
Comment by Steve J
2013-04-15 09:43:25
Past performance is always an indicator of future performance.
well, they are a joke compared to what the uber-rich can do, but what’s your alternative? Money under the mattress? Real estate? Mithril coins?
If you’re lucky enough to have money to invest for retirement, take the employer match, hold your nose, find a low cost index s&P fund and park it there. Ride the wave, bro, it’s the only game in town.
You have to start fairly young and be aggressive (or else have a lot of money sitting around later in life) but there are plenty of ways to do better.
Save up a couple hundred grand and then go talk to a tax lawyer or good CPA (preferably working in concert) and you’ll see what I mean.
Meekly accepting the pitifully-bad 401k/IRA options out there is really sad, IMO. I’d rather be stuck on a 20 hr flight seating next to a crying infant.
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Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2013-04-15 06:43:13
Right Joe Smith, you did exactly that and beat the S & P 500.
Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-15 07:05:53
J6P never had nor ever will have, a couple of grand just laying around.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-15 07:09:09
What are these incredible investments one can get for two hundred thousand dollars that put you in the big leagues?
Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-15 07:14:13
couple of hundred grand
Comment by HBB_Rocks
2013-04-15 07:38:33
What are these incredible investments one can get for two hundred thousand dollars that put you in the big leagues?
———–
None. Read the fine print in your average Ameritrade ad or e-trade ad. Straight off e-trade’s website:
“$250,000 or more will receive $500.” Invest $250k to get $500. Oh bam! They just kicked my investment up a notch!
You don’t even get a free personal advisor from a big bank unless you have 7 figures to invest, not a ‘couple of hundred grand’.
This advice is worthless.
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 07:39:41
@BillinLA - my parents have done this, as have my in laws. They own businesses (and the land/buildings) nad rental properties plus tons of money stuffed in better retirement accounts (for small business owners, although they all have/had well-paying day jobs).
The tax savings alone *crush* whatever lame return you get in a 401k/IRA. Also, by having cash easily accessible (not tied up til 65+) it’s easier to take advantage of duress and scoop up better assets.
My parents have made a killing buying tax liens, for example. Returns far above S&P 500, but you have to be savvy and work with an attorney.
Same thing for rental properties - you always buy a minimalist property, for cash, and pay all cash to have brought up to standard. You have to turn down 9 deals out of 10, but when you have the cash you can always buy more cheaply.
A 401k/IRA is a loser investment vehicle for many, many reasons. I could go on and on, but in short - not enough tax benefit (could give a laundry list here…), you have to wait until you’re old and wrinkly to touch it, you don’t have any managerial control over the invested companies, and there are stiff penalties if you take the money early.
Comment by oxide
2013-04-15 07:39:55
Eco, you were right the first time.
Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-15 08:37:49
Yeah, I know.
Sad ain’t it?
Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-15 08:39:33
Eco, you were right the first time.
Speak for yourself.
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-04-15 08:53:44
You can self-direct an IRA, which is why one of your “wealthy guys” has $10’s of millions in an IRA. The options are far more limited in a 401k…but that tax-deferred 50% match sure is a nice thing. How many years of 0% market returns in your 401k until you ONLY are getting a 10% return on YOUR investment? 4 years? 4.5 years?
Don’t get me wrong, I don’t LOVE IRAs/401ks, but I take full advantage of them, and then put the rest of my money elsewhere.
Comment by polly
2013-04-15 09:49:35
If you keep an active business in an IRA, the income can be subject to tax unless you protect it by doing some fancy structural stuff using an offshore tax haven. That is why the huge IRA accounts were held in (or at least through) the Cayman Islands.
Google “blocker corporations.”
Comment by Anon In DC
2013-04-15 10:37:07
I just don’t understand how people have some much trouble with money. I never earned a lot but have always lived well below my means. (Never felt deprived except maybe the first 10 years of my work life.) Consequently I now have liquid assets 10X my income. I am in my early 50s.
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 11:14:38
You have to really push the boundaries of legality to do what Mittens did. In other words, be ready to litigate if necessary. I think that’s a bad idea, but he tried it and won, so good for him. He gets all that money and gets the extra satisfaction of knowing he screwed the country out of a ton of money but his party still nominated him to lead said country. I loathe him as a human being but respect him for completely abusing the people who write our tax codes.
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-04-15 13:12:24
@Polly, if what you own is stock in a privately held corporation (not partnership with flow-through taxation), do you need a “blocking” entity? Doesn’t the corporation itself serve as the blocker?
And you make it seem like creating offshore “blocking” entities is some underhanded trick limited to rich tax dodgers…many times such “blocking” entities are set up so that endowments/pension plans/foundations can invest in enterprises that would otherwise create taxable income for them. Their avoidance of tax is done quite out in the open.
Heck, even when Google set up their crazy tax avoidance scheme, they went to the IRS first to get sign-off on the whole thing.
When can we focus on fixing this kind of stuff?
Comment by polly
2013-04-15 14:04:23
If you own stock in a privately held domestic corporation that corporation is paying US taxes, to the extent that it can’t shelter its income in other ways. If you sell the stock and have held it for a while, you get long term capital gains treatment. Pretty standard structure for holding a business. No big deal.
Off shore blockers are used to shelter partnership income (hedge and/or private equity funds usually). The partnerships are off shore in tax havens so there is not tax in the jurisdiction where they are located. If you are a US citizen/resident, in normal circustances you would pay taxes on the pass through income of that fund. Even if you hold it through an IRA, the IRA is deemed to be in the business the partnership is in and if it is an active business, it would have to pay tax despite being a tax advantaged retirement savings account. Easy.
Now, put a blocker corporation in between the IRA and the partnership for no other reason than to avoid taxes, and you get to avoid all the taxes until you repatriate the funds. You can put off the taxes forever if you never repatriate the funds. Very useful for people who have more money than they can spend in a lifetime. Not much use to the rest of us.
I have never heard of Congress proposing that this aspect of the tax law be changed. Actually, I have heard of someone proposing that the same treatment be afforded to investments in hedge funds and private equity funds that don’t bother to set up the blocker corporation, but the Congressman got messed up in some ethics issues and the proposal never went anywhere.
Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-15 14:59:11
Anon, some people just plain can’t manage their money.
But for most people, illness, accidents, wage freeze for years, industry collapse, offshored jobs, and unexpected high dollar repairs or house or car appliances, combined with recessions where they lose their job, again, are all it takes to never be able to have security and savings again.
Remember, HALF the US workforce makes $500 week or less. For almost 2 decades, that’s been the definition of poor or near poor. You basically live week to week on that kind of money. Insurance? Savings? Investments? HA! So problems come directly out of your pocket. Which just makes the hole deeper.
You can’t live below that. The only place below that is on the street.
Combined with inflation but wages not keeping up, well, yer screwed.
That’s why.
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2013-04-15 19:47:05
Joe Smith, you are speaking about how to become wealthy from an armchair. From your other posts I can tell you are young. You have not learned from Bogle or Jeremy Siegal. You ignore market cycles. You sound just like Robert Kiyosaki telling 50-something Bill in L.A. with his seven figure net worth that he cannot get to his seven figure net worth by his 401ks IRAs and outside stock mutual fund investments.
The financial companies sell the dream but they have excellent lawyers and lobbyists, beware.”
You need to take a look at the fees. Jack Boogle’s book is a good place to start to understand mutual funds.
I think he has many books. The one I read long ago was ” Mutual fund investing for the intelligent investor”
The problem is most HR departnments are clueless about Mutual funds so they pick the full service expensive ones, 12B fees, high expense ratios, etc.
Vanguard wouldn’t even play with our small start-up back in 2001, so we got Goldman sucks. I didn’t join then because of high fees but complained and eventually we got big enough to switch to Fidelity. Funny the start up guys, the millionare’s who already made it, didn’t have 401K’s just kinda laughed at them hmmmm…
The tax advantage to my IRA is that I can trade wacky stuff that would make doing my taxes annoying, but I don’t have to worry about it. I try to do only investments that are simple to do taxes on in my non-IRA account. 401Ks are in fact bad because of the limited choices of funds. But IRA is only bad if you are stupid with how you invest. Most everything bad discussed in this blog is based on people being stupid with their money. It isn’t always the thing itself that is bad, but the behavior of people around that thing.
Yeah, sure, laying bear that Wall Street continues to rape Main Street by portraying handing over your money as “responsible” is really part of some conspiracy.
LOL.
The in-the-know rich do not get that way by using restrictive vehicles like 401k/IRA. Those are for the increasingly powerless sheep in the middle class who will continue to get sheered.
I love how people assume that my storyline that “Wall St rapes main street” must mean that I favor the government saving everyone. In reality, it is quite the opposite. Anyone who funds some 401k/IRA and thinks that’s the road to a good retirement is, IMO, incredibly lame and deserves to the taken out back and shot to save their future misery.
The in-the-know rich do not get that way by using restrictive vehicles like 401k/IRA
I thought Mittens had $100 million, or some such huge amount, in his IRA.
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Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 07:47:29
Mittens, as you’ll recall, put things into his IRA that J6P can’t touch in a million years.
And most of his wealth is not even in the US, much less some IRA or 401k.
Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-15 08:03:45
And most of his wealth is not even in the US, much less some IRA or 401k.
Honestly, would you keep your money in US if you had money like Mittens?
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 09:22:46
It doesn’t require Mittens (TM) Money to be aggressive and exploit the parts of the code that are written for the “haves”. Save up a nice big pot of money then go talk to an aggressive CPA or tax lawyer.
Comment by Weed Wacker
2013-04-15 14:00:32
Stop lumping together 401k and IRA. They are not even close to the same. If you have a 401k immediately move it to IRA when you change jobs or quit a job, without penalty.
My house (which I am evidently not allowed to buy) and my 401K (which I am evidently not allowed to have) are my only chances of retiring without eating cat food or suffering some health problem in silent pain.
Maybe Northeasterner can recommend a weapon that would be presentable to be shot with?
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Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-15 07:50:04
Your shanty has nothing to do with it. It is your decision making that assured your bag-lady status.
Comment by MiddleCoaster
2013-04-15 09:46:27
Pimpy, what do you do for a living that allows you to harrass other posters here all day?
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-15 09:52:34
Can’t maintain messenging huh Debt-Boaster?
Comment by MiddleCoaster
2013-04-15 10:19:00
Well, you have implied that you don’t build houses, so it seemed pointless to keep asking you why you continue to build them. So what exactly do you do for a living in the field of “construction”? Most people here have been somewhat forthcoming about their jobs or professions.
And why do you always answer a question with a question, and never (ever ever) give an informative, truthful answer to any question you are asked?
There is a liar on the HBB. You.
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-15 10:25:29
It’s all been posted here before my dearest DebtCoaster… including photographs.
Carry on with your deceptions.
Comment by inchbyinch
2013-04-15 11:08:02
MiddleCoaster
Thank you. Pimp thinks all regional housing markets are all the same, and he likes to pick on folks who actually have penciled out the costs, and decided on THEIR best solution.
Ignore pimp. His head is up his you know what.
Comment by MiddleCoaster
2013-04-15 11:17:49
When? 2005? Before my time.
Comment by oxide
2013-04-15 11:33:43
Given a guess, I would say that he’s in charge of ordering materials (in bulk) for a either a stick developer or a factory pre-fab builder. He definitely doesn’t “build” — ie weild a hammer — himself. He’s in front of a computer too much.
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-15 11:45:11
Again…
What was the transaction price
How many square foot is your shanty
What are you afraid of?
Comment by MiddleCoaster
2013-04-15 11:55:52
Thanks. I figured he works for a builder, and does not literally build stuff. Other than animosity.
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-15 12:03:09
“Builders”? LMAO
Don’t poke yourself with your knitting needles.
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-04-15 12:17:16
Pimpy, what do you do for a living that allows you to harrass other posters here all day?
He’s a landlord and and involved in home building, but not the actual doing any work part, just the sitting around in front of a computer part.
Ie., a parasite.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-15 12:28:09
A desk jockey, talking his REIC employer’s book.
And talking tough and bullying, which usually means he’s a dumpy little guy.
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-15 14:39:53
Landlord? BWHAHAHAHAHA
Ok DebtJunkie.
Comment by MiddleCoaster
2013-04-15 14:42:00
The sort of character that might be played by Danny DeVito, perhaps?
It is ALL gone. It has all been spent. There is NO lockbox with your name on it.
There are some IOUs in a general fund. Maybe you will get a little of it after we means test you.
Ask Greece and Cyprus how much these IOUs go for in a default or high inflation.
Boy, I am sure glad we defeated those evil republicans who wanted to give you the CHOICE of putting some of your OWN SS money into an account with your name on it. That you could invest in something other than government T-Bills. That you could leave to your children when you pass on.
The inhumanity of it all.
Never forget that they are also trying to take our SS.
The same place that the money went from Treasuries the gov sold. If we won’t pay what’s owed to joe6pack, then we shouldn’t pay what we owe the owners of Treasuries.
Or is it different because a lot of those are held by the wealthy? That makes the contract sacrosanct, right?
Comment by tresho
2013-04-15 12:56:52
That makes the contract sacrosanct, right?
Yup, just as “sacrosanct” as a gold clause in a contract on 5 April 1933.
SS make Bernie Madoff look like a piker. The sooner the get rid of it the better. Sorry but I don’t need the nanny state forcing me to save for my old age.
BTW, if we have such a nanny state, then where’s our free birth control?
Oh, do you know where you can get that? In Iran, that’s where. Women of reproductive age can get BC at no charge from that state sponsor of terrorism government they have over there.
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Comment by MiddleCoaster
2013-04-15 11:20:18
+1, Slim. Somehow our American ‘nanny state’ doesn’t actually want to take care of its young. Or prevent them from happening in the first place.
Comment by Weed Wacker
2013-04-15 15:27:32
Their excuse is that doing so would “send the wrong message” and promote promiscuous activity. It is the same excuse they give for not to legalize cannabis. In both cases the huge benefits are trumped by the simplistic “we don’t want to send the wrong message”. As though anyone about to fool around or take a bong hit is thinking “is this something George Bush would want me to be doing?” And if it does cross the mind the answer is likely “No. So let’s do it!”
Good Morning everyone.
Speaking of PBS, I am watching a GREAT documentary on the American Experience show on the history of “The Rockefellers”.
Great stuff. It is so long, it’s a two treadmill session documentary.
Hi Slim,
I think the same day for Frontline and a few days/weeks later for American Experience. The documentary is on PBS The American Experience online (free), and oh man, what a tale. Business minded family (all trained in childhood) believed in monopolies and religious based philanthropy. This is an A+ documentary.
IIRC total viewing time is 3 hours.
No TV in our home either. Starting piano lessons again this week!
Slim, Good Morning
Just in case my other post got lost….
Free online…American Experience days to a couple weeks to air online.
Rockefellers is 3 hrs long, IIRC
Frontline airs same day online.
No TV here either…Learning piano again.
Usually Frontline is very fast. They tend to include a lot of bonus features.
If you can stomach it, watch the Syria “behind the lines” documentary from this past week’s Frontline. Really shows what we’re dealing with in the arab world…
Joe
Thanks for the “Syria” documentary lead. I saw it, and I was afraid to watch it. Way to much truthiness, I assume.
Our muslim neighbors started off great, and when we set up boundaries, they didn’t much like us anymore. Very aggressive, and seem to be narcissistic.
They wanted “copy cat” info. and even stepped on newly poured cement and brick/mortar to knock on our door, ignoring the signage. We went the back way for a week. So far, not impressed. They are from the middle east, but not Israel.
If you’re paying more than $55-60 per square foot for a resale house, you’re paying far too much.
ALWAYS perform a per square foot estimate of the value of a house and NEVER entrust anyone else to do it for you. The Real Estate Machine will do and say anything to keep you from performing this analysis.
By the looks of the data for Bethesda, it’s fair to say that prices are so massively inflated that a 75% decline would put prices back down to the long term trend line.
“Current lifestyles and consumption patterns of the affluent middle class – involving high meat intake, use of fossil fuels, appliances, home and work air conditioning, and suburban housing are not sustainable.”
Maurice Strong, Secretary General of the UN’s Earth Summit, 1992.
Meat production is very trophically inefficient, prices have to skyrocket at some point. Meat production also uses crazy amounts of fresh water and produces vast amounts of greenhouse gas. My reasons for not eating meat also include use of growth hormone and antibiotics, as well as very unclear facilities for slaughter and packing. No thanks, don’t want to be a fat person with hormones going crazy and causing cancer in my digestive tract.
“In agricultural environments, maximizing energy transfer from producer (food) to consumer (livestock) can yield economic benefits. A sub-field of agricultural science has emerged that explores methods of monitoring and improving ecological and related efficiencies.
In comparing the net efficiency of energy utilization by cattle, breeds historically kept for beef production, such as the Hereford, outperformed those kept for dairy production, such as the Holstein, in converting energy from feed into stored energy as tissue.[2] This is a result of the beef cattle storing more body fat than the dairy cattle, as energy storage as protein was at the same level for both breeds. This implies that cultivation of cattle for slaughter is a more efficient use of feed than is cultivation for milk production.
While it is possible to improve the efficiency of energy use by livestock, it is vital to the world food question to also consider the differences between animal husbandry and plant agriculture. Caloric concentration in fat tissues are higher than in plant tissues, causing high-fat organisms to be most energetically-concentrated; however, the energy required to cultivate feed for livestock is only partially converted into fat cells. The rest of the energy input into cultivating feed is respirated or egested by the livestock and unable to be used by humans.
Out of a total of 96.8 10^15 BTU of energy used in the US in 1999, 10.5% was used in food production,[3] with the percentage accounting for food from both producer and primary consumer trophic levels. In comparing the cultivation of animals versus plants, there is a clear difference in magnitude of energy efficiency. Edible kilocalories produced from kilocalories of energy required for cultivation are: 18.1% for chicken, 6.7% for grass-fed beef, 5.7% for farmed salmon, and 0.9% for shrimp. In contrast, potatoes yield 123%, corn produce 250%, and soy results in 415% of input calories converted to calories able to be utilized by humans.[4] This disparity in efficiency reflects the reduction in production from moving up trophic levels. Thus, it is more energetically efficient to form a diet from lower trophic levels.”
eating meat = american exceptionalism, rugged individualist, born in a log cabin, et cetera. the ecological collapse resulting from human over-population and over-consumption won’t happen within our lifetimes, so it’s easy to ignore, but it will happen, and your descendants will spit on your graves for letting/making it happen. enjoy the die-off, loosers.
Not eating meat= mass starvation in India and the need for a mother Teresa
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Comment by goon squad
2013-04-15 07:12:36
this reply makes no sense. see joe smith’s above post 06:28:03
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 07:43:12
DJ, wtf are you talking about? Meat the least efficient way to produce protein. Not by a few percent, but by orders of magnitude.
And factory-farmed “meat” is disgusting when you look at its contents. (I do eat meat from time to time, it can be tasty, but not worth the health effects and organic/grass-fed are terms that have been bastardized by USDA.)
If the rest of the world ate more like ‘murka, food prices will go through the roof, fresh water will become a huge problem, the environmental effects will be incalculable (google the term “feed lot”), and people will be even fatter and now. The only winner will be Big Pharma and Big Agriculture. And possibly midwestern politicians (thanks to donations).
Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-15 08:01:43
and people will be even fatter and now
Processed meat may be a culprit here. Then again the vegetarians in India are also a lot fatter than last generation.
Comment by tresho
2013-04-15 10:18:27
Then again the vegetarians in India are also a lot fatter than last generation.
My sister attended a global vegetarian conference in India about 15 years ago, and was shocked at how sick most of the attendees looked (she’s a nurse). While there she had a wonderful vegetarian dinner at the home of a very wealthy Indian and went behind the scenes. His kitchen and shopping staff were about 7 in number, to buy food and cook for a household of about 15 everyday, with 5 or 10 guests on a regular basis.
{joesmith, how large is your permanent full-time kitchen staff?}
She has rejected vegetarianism, partly for the unhealthy results she saw among the less-favored many and partly because of the unaffordable expense and complexity of really doing vegetarianism right for the well-favored few.
People have lots of servants in poorer nations, because the help is dirt cheap.
Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-15 10:45:41
She has rejected vegetarianism, partly for the unhealthy results she saw among the less-favored many and partly because of the unaffordable expense and complexity of really doing vegetarianism right for the well-favored few.
I bet Joe only eats the good stuff; quinoa, amaranth, emmer berries, goji berries, acai beries, tempeh and tofu.
Chicken and Potato, that’s for the peons.
Very yuppy behavior IMO.
Comment by Urbanachiever
2013-04-15 11:37:47
I could eat some helle berry. Joe can have chuck berry.
‘only eats the good stuff; quinoa, amaranth, emmer berries, goji berries, acai beries’
Quinoa sucks, and I’ve never even heard of these other things before. This reminds me why I try to avoid letting people find out I’m a vegetarian. I found that I was having the same conversation over and over. It goes something like this:
So you don’t eat meat?
That’s right.
You don’t eat beef?
No I’m a vegetarian.
You don’t eat chicken?
No, I don’t eat meat.
You don’t eat fish?
No, I don’t eat fish.
All you eat is vegetables?
I probably don’t eat any more vegetables than you do.
And you don’t eat chicken?
etc…
Comment by aNYCdj
2013-04-15 13:01:42
Goon:
The only reason for the existence and attention of a Mother Teresa was the dying starving children in Calcutta…
Which could have been remedied by eating the meat on animals…..India has more meat on the hoof then America so there is no need for starvation in the streets…
But that is their religious choice…..
Comment by tresho
2013-04-15 13:26:08
etc…
None has asked you, “What do you eat?” That is the only worthwhile question in this whole issue.
Comment by Al
2013-04-15 14:13:48
“I found that I was having the same conversation over and over.”
I thought the usual question was: ‘Are you a vegetarian for health reasons, moral reasons or both?’
Comment by albuquerquedan
2013-04-15 15:38:22
acai beries’
Ben, I guess I need to take you to the Mountain Oasis in Flagstaff when I am in town. I do eat meat but I have replaced most of it with wild Alaskan Salmon. When I do eat red meat, I always make sure I drink red wine with it. However, I think we actually do need meat, I don’t think you can undo hundreds of thousands of year of evolution within a few generations. I know if you work hard you can get most of what you need without it but I REALLY do not work that hard in planning meals. BTW, Costco does have some acai berries covered with dark chocolate, my kind of healthy eating.
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-15 15:49:50
You don’t eat fish?
No, I don’t eat fish.
Comment by AbsoluteBeginner
2013-04-15 21:23:50
‘Quinoa sucks’
What? I think Ben is wrong, but OK. How about almond milk? Careful.
Cooks fast in same ratio of grain/water like rice does. Cooks a lot faster actually. Similar to cous cous speed. Draining was a hassle at first but then I got a small strainer and voilà, minimal loss of quinoa as I pour off the water and capture any grain escaping.
I try not to eat too much but I really like it. Also figure I better make hay while the sun shines before meat gets real expensive like in Japan. (I am in my early 50s - no longer plan for the long term so not too concern on the health issues. I exercise and have go genes and thing bodies can take a lot more abuse than they get credit for) Which brings me to the so called food inflation I have been paying $3.99 per pound for very nice hamburger from Trader’s Joe for the the past five years at least. Sure that’s one item but ice cream is the one thing I have seen gone up. Apparently there’s a big overseas demand for dairy.
someplace somehwere about 8 years ago al gore said if we do not do something now about man mad global warming the earth is going to “cook” in a decade.
it’s a slow burn, unfolding over decades and centuries. we had our first wildfire on march 15th this year. snowpack is currently about 70 percent of year-to-date averages. watering restrictions are already in place. looking forward another summer of 80 plus days of 90 degree plus temps.
I remember when the common wisdom was that you didn’t need A/C in the Centennial State because it didn’t get very hot all that often in the summer.
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Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-15 12:58:00
But I think people have also gotten a lot less tolerant of heat as all their other environments have become air conditioned. I remember 100 degree days in Wyoming as a kid. It just didn’t happen very often. So anyway, I think it’s more about the people changing than the climate changing as far as the “need” for A/C goes in CO.
Goon, Europe is still waiting for Spring. NASA is getting slower and slower with its data because once again we are on track to have a year cooler than 1998. Six months ago Slate was quoting many “experts” that his was going to be the year, we broke that record in a decisive manner. Sorry you cannot have AGW until you see GW. Droughts are caused by a cool pacific combined with a warm atlantic, which we have but it is a natural cycle just like we had the 1950s. Speaking of that the East Coast should expect another year of dodging hurricanes just like the 1950s.
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Comment by goon squad
2013-04-15 17:06:21
ABQ Dan, you’re missing the point. As we’ve stated before:
We believe that global warming is REAL.
We believe that global warming is caused by humanoids.
And we believe that global warming has gone beyond the tipping point and is now irreversible.
If you are a parent/breeder of mini-humanoids, you have to believe the LIE and pretend that the future will be better for them. It won’t be. The best thing any humanoid can do for the health of the global ecosystem is to not breed more humanoids.
And as we’ve stated before, we are no Al Gore hypocrite. Carbon credits will not save the humanoid species. It’s gonna get worse, ALOT worse, and we want it to get worse, because that’s the only way the humanoids will learn than infinite growth within a finite ecosystem is not possible.
Enjoy the die-off. And to quote Jim Morrison, “I’m gonna get my kicks before the whole sh*thouse goes up in flames”
Al Gore being a self-promoting tool doesn’t mean that there aren’t intractable problems coming and that the US way of life would kill the planet if it became widely adopted. I’m with goon, it’s going to be a matter of decades and the worst parts are going to happen after most of us are gone. We’ve already screwed up so many natural spaces in the past half century or so, I only see more of this in the future.
kill the planet if it became widely adopted. I’m with goon, it’s going to be a matter of decades and the worst parts are going to happen after most of us are gone.
To quote Carlin, “The planet will be fine, it’s the people who are fooked.”
My bet is civilization will be wiped out completelt by an astoroid but not by the 10 degree rise in temperature in Siberia.
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Comment by goon squad
2013-04-15 17:15:54
The planet will be fine, it’s the people who are fooked
Humanity is a rotten cancer in Earth’s ecosystem. We feel bad about the animals, specifically the high-altitude and high-latitude mammals. They evolved for thousands and thousands of years to adapt to harsh environments, only for the humanoids to come along and f*ck it all up for them.
Comment by PeakHubris
2013-04-15 20:23:14
“Humanity is a rotten cancer in Earth’s ecosystem.:
I agree wholeheartedly. Humans will be extinct before too long, and the earth will go on like we never existed.
i reckon we only got about 2 years left.
I have outlived so many predictions of doom in my lifetime that I have lost count. I suspect your prediction will just be another number on my list.
How’s Lake Erie doing? It’s been a while since we fished there. Are they still recommending only eating 2 perch per adult per day? Catching anything besides a goby lately?
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Comment by PeakHubris
2013-04-15 20:24:29
I heard from the local tackle shop guy with 3 eyes that you can eat as much as you want.
Comment by tresho
2013-04-16 01:05:45
How’s Lake Erie doing? It’s been a while since we fished there. I wouldn’t know. I’ve lived near Lake Erie since about 1976 & my only contact with it was a short time wading near Presque Isle 20 years ago. My earliest years were spent on the NE shores of Lake Michigan, and that spoiled any thoughts I had of fishing or swimming in Lake Erie, which I think is too polluted. Erie does freshen up the air in the summer & brighten up the skies. Summers I often camp along northern Lake Michigan and Lake Superior & while I’m there I make a point of eating alot of whitefish. This summer I hope to buy 25-50 lb. of frozen whitefish & bring it home.
Awareness of Agenda 21 and Sustainable Development is racing across the nation as citizens in community after community are learning what their city planners are actually up to. As awareness grows, I am receiving more and more calls for tools to help activists fight back. Many complain that elected officials just won’t read detailed reports or watch long videos. “Can you give us something that is quick, and easy to read that we can hand out,” I’m asked.
So here it is. A one page, quick description of Agenda 21 that fits on one page. I’ve also included for the back side of your hand out a list of quotes for the perpetrators of Agenda 21 that should back up my brief descriptions.
A word of caution, use this as a starter kit, but do not allow it to be your only knowledge of this very complex subject. To kill it you have to know the facts. Research, know your details; discover the NGO players in your community; identify who is victimized by the policies and recruit them to your fight; and then kill Agenda 21. That’s how it must be done. The information below is only your first step. Happy hunting.
What is Sustainable Development?
According to its authors, the objective of sustainable development is to integrate economic, social and environmental policies in order to achieve reduced consumption, social equity, and the preservation and restoration of biodiversity. Sustainablists insist that every societal decision be based on environmental impact, focusing on three components; global land use, global education, and global population control and reduction.
Social Equity (Social injustice)
Social justice is described as the right and opportunity of all people “to benefit equally from the resources afforded us by society and the environment.” Redistribution of wealth. Private property is a social injustice since not everyone can build wealth from it. National sovereignty is a social injustice. Universal health care is a social injustice. All part of Agenda 21 policy.
Economic Prosperity
Public Private Partnerships (PPP). Special dealings between government and certain, chosen corporations which get tax breaks, grants and the government’s power of
Eminent Domain to implement sustainable policy. Government-sanctioned monopolies.
Local Sustainable Development policies
Smart Growth, Wildlands Project, Resilient Cities, Regional Visioning Projects, STAR Sustainable Communities, Green jobs, Green Building Codes, “Going Green,” Alternative Energy, Local Visioning, facilitators, regional planning, historic preservation, conservation easements, development rights, sustainable farming, comprehensive planning, growth management, consensus.
Who is behind it?
ICLEI – Local Governments for Sustainability (formally, International Council for Local Environmental Initiatives). Communities pay ICLEI dues to provide “local” community plans, software, training, etc. Addition groups include American Planning Council, The Renaissance Planning Group, International City/ County Management Group, aided by US Mayors Conference, National Governors Association, National League of Cities, National Association of County Administrators and many more private organizations and official government agencies. Foundation and government grants drive the process.
Where did it originate?
The term Sustainable Development was first introduced to the world in the pages a 1987 report (Our Common Future) produced by the United Nations World Commission on Environmental and Development, authored by Gro Harlem Brundtland, VP of the World Socialist Party. The term was first offered as official UN policy in 1992, in a document called UN Sustainable Development Agenda 21, issued at the UN’s Earth Summit, today referred to simply as Agenda 21.
What gives Agenda 21 Ruling Authority?
More than 178 nations adopted Agenda 21 as official policy during a signing ceremony at the Earth Summit. US president George H.W. Bush signed the document for the US. In signing, each nation pledge to adopt the goals of Agenda 21. In 1995, President Bill Clinton, in compliance with Agenda 21, signed Executive Order #12858 to create the President’s Council on Sustainable Development in order to “harmonize” US environmental policy with UN directives as outlined in Agenda 21. The EO directed all agencies of the Federal Government to work with state and local community governments in a joint effort “reinvent” government using the guidelines outlined in Agenda 21. As a result, with the assistance of groups like ICLEI, Sustainable Development is now emerging as government policy in every town, county and state in the nation.
What happens when you run out of other people’s money.
When my grandmother died, we found $13,000 in a sock drawer (about $60,000 today). She never trusted the banks after the great depression.
Now I know why.
And there is that phrase again “paying their fair share”…
————————–
Wealth tax to pay for EU bail-outs
Telegragh (UK) | 4-14-2013 | Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
Wealthy households would face new taxes on property and other assets under German plans to prop up the struggling eurozone.
Senior advisers to Chancellor Angela Merkel are pushing for better-off households to pay towards the cost of any future bail-outs for the weaker members of the single currency.
The proposals, from members of Germany’s council of economic experts, raise the prospect of taxes being imposed on property in a country like Spain if its government was forced to seek a bail-out.
The council, known as the “Five Wise Men”, is often used to test new policies that are later adopted officially.
The German suggestion is the latest sign that Berlin is intent on imposing even tougher rules on weaker southern euro members in exchange for using its economic might to support their finances.
As well as inflaming tensions between Germany and its smaller southern partners, the suggestion could also mean that Britons with holiday homes are dragged deeper into the eurozone crisis.
Senior figures in Germany are now arguing that some richer home owners in countries like Spain, Portugal and Greece have so far avoided paying their fair share to rescue the euro, leaving Germany paying too much.
Taxes on property or other assets would mark a significant change in Europe’s approach to funding bail-outs for eurozone members. Until now, the cost of rescue packages for countries like Ireland, Greece and Portugal has fallen largely on people who invest money in either those countries’ bonds or – in the case of Cyprus – bank accounts.
At what price will you stop chasing this down?
It’s really ugly right now, all technical indicators have been smashed. You are operating on gut feelings now.
$250 and no typo. It will pass $3000 in five years.
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Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2013-04-15 08:23:38
You should ask what price I will stop chasing this up. But in either case the stopping point is ten percent of my net worth.
Comment by Bluestar
2013-04-15 08:29:25
At $250 an OZ for gold I would imagine we would be living in the world of Mad Max. Radioactive fallout might be a bigger concern LOL.
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-15 09:54:05
In Mad Max I would still expect it to be expensive even though you can’t eat it or power your car with it. In the world of 1999 where the future looks really bright is where I’d expect to see $250.
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-04-15 12:13:22
I bought gold when it was below $250. It wasn’t THAT long ago.
Comment by albuquerquedan
2013-04-15 15:42:57
In Mad Max I would still expect it to be expensive even though you can’t eat it or power your car with it. In the world of 1999 where the future looks really bright is where I’d expect to see $250.
In Firefly, set in 2517, they still had people exchanging platinum for money. BTW, gold actually is increasing being consumed in electronic items. In the items such as airbags it is too small an amount to be effectively recycled.
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2013-04-15 19:39:59
Blue Sky, when it was below $250 that was back in the 70s. The lowest its been since 1980 was at $252 per ounce (USD) on July 20, 1999. Google is wonderful, ain’t it?
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2013-04-15 19:42:35
In 1999 the future certainly did look bright. “This time it’s different” was the reason stocks were the only investment ever to have and not gold. Terrorism seemed very distant and unlikely to happen to the big extent that it did two years later.
It’s really ugly right now, all technical indicators have been smashed. You are operating on gut feelings now
I’m sure everyone is aware of the adage: “Buy when there is blood in the streets.”
Ask yourself, why, given the mad inflationary actions of central banks globally, would gold and silver be selling off right now? It isn’t because of “deflationary pressures” or “technical indicators”.
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Comment by cactus
2013-04-15 11:19:51
Ask yourself, why, given the mad inflationary actions of central banks globally, would gold and silver be selling off right now? It isn’t because of “deflationary pressures” or “technical indicators”.
They can crush it for awhile but over the long run ?
Comment by Bluestar
2013-04-15 11:59:36
How about synthetic gold or a cheap way to filter gold from seawater with nano technology?
Comment by albuquerquedan
2013-04-15 15:02:01
Both synthetic gold and sea water gold is far more expensive then the natural stuff.
I trust money market mutual funds. The reason for this — from what I understand — is that the actual event that triggered the bank salvage and TARP in 2008 was when the $1 money market shares dipped below $1. To avoid a loss, everyone began pulling ALL their money out, creating a bank run. They moved hell and high water to save the value of money market. So I guess I can trust money market.
Yes that was the tipping point. I think the market dropped 777 points around that time. It was the night of the long knives when Paulson had his death panel meeting. Lehman got the death sentence.
Anyone not of Depression age (which at this point, is almost anyone) who stashes thousands of dollars in cash money is probaby dealing in drugs, not “afraid of banks.”
or watching what is happening in the world, or aware of history, or suspicious of their govenment and what it might be capable of, or unwilling to assist the bank’s plunder of depositors…
It is a moral directive to put our money in Wall Street banks just why? Used to be a good idea so that vagrant burglars did not break into your house and run off with it. Now it is a good idea so the FedGov does not acuse you of dealing drugs and run off with it.
The PTB need to force the J6P into the stock market. So they have tried financial repression and then manipulating the stock market higher to create a stampede and finally this, so he will get into the stock market where they can fleece him.
“The PTB need to force the J6P into the stock market.”
With what wages? How can you outsource J6P’s job, squeeze J6P with profit-mongering food prices and rent/mortgages, force J6P into the stock market, and expect him to live below his means, simultaneously, on Lucky Duck wages?
IMO there was a watershed moment in economics when that Wal-Mart exec looked at the January (?) losses and said “Where are the people, and where is their money?” Sitting in the Walton family vault, you idiot!
“Where are the people, and where is their money?”
Those who still had a little money to spend went to competitors with better-stocked shelves and shorter check-out lines.
“I don’t get it unlesss other bubbles are just about to pop also …”
You just might get it if you spend some time thinking just what it is that people use to pay their bills.
Hint: It’s something that is hard to get and hard to hold onto.
People will work their a$$s off to get the stuff, will resort to doing crime to get the stuff. Will live well if they have lots of the stuff and won’t live well if they don’t.
“I don’t get it unless other bubbles are just about to pop also…”
Luckily for U.S. home debtors, the housing market is fully decoupled at this point from Wall Street, since All Real Estate is Local. Hence none of these terrifying asset price declines in gold, Bitcoin, stocks, Japanese yen, or whatever will stand in the way of further U.S. housing price improvements.
Real estate always goes up! Buy now, or get priced out forever!!
In retrospect, there has been a sell off in gold mostly in summers. Last year was one. Also the previous year. Look at kitco charts. This Fall will probably be a pop. The girls can scream and leave, but the men will scoop up gold. My next purchase in the first week of May. Six of the quarter ounce American eagles.
“We must make this place an insecure and inhospitable place for Capitalists and their projects – we must reclaim the roads and plowed lands, halt dam construction, tear down existing dams, free shackled rivers and return to wilderness millions of tens of millions of acres or presently settled land.” Dave Foreman, Earth First.
What is not sustainable?
Ski runs, grazing of livestock, plowing of soil, building fences, industry, single family homes, paves and tarred roads, logging activities, dams and reservoirs, power line construction, and economic systems that fail to set proper value on the environment.” UN’s Biodiversity Assessment Report.
If everyone tries to live a US type lifestyle, it really isn’t sustainable. If only the US does it, it works out fine. But that’s not going to happen. (Western Europe, for the most part and with the exception fo the UK, does not live like the US. This is perhaps a model that could be sustainable.)
this is hazard’s latest topic of choice. and a topic which we enjoy very much. humanity is a cancer to this planet. yes, we’ve created some things of beauty like art and music, but the human contribution to the global ecosystem is summarily negative. not only do we sh1t where we eat, but we sh1t where all the other species eat.
and regarding ’ski runs’, we burned half a tank of gas just to drive up to ski arapahoe basin for 5 hours on saturday, and burned some coal to make the electricity to run the chairlifts. and then yesterday we burned another half a tank of gas to drive down to colorado springs to hike up the manitou incline and halfway up pikes peak to barr camp, as part of training for a trailrunning race in grand junction next weekend that will require burning another 1.5 tanks of gas to get there and back.
“wilderness reserves and interconnecting corridors”
This is exactly what Texas is trying to do to save the Bobwhite & Quail bird population. In the last 30 years the native population has dropped by 90% due to over hunting, land use changes and industrial agriculture.
“Current lifestyles and consumption patterns of the affluent middle class – involving high meat intake, use of fossil fuels, appliances, home and work air conditioning, and suburban housing are not sustainable.”
Maurice Strong, Secretary General of the UN’s Earth Summit, 1992.
It is a hard concept for most. Especially in the lands of free government cheese in exchange for votes.
——————————–
Underwater: The Netherlands Falls Prey to Economic Crisis
der Spiegel ^ | 02 April 2013 | Christoph Schult and Anne Seith
More than a decade ago, the Dutch central bank recognized the dangers of this euphoria, but its warnings went unheeded. Only last year did the new government, under conservative-liberal Prime Minister Mark Rutte, amend the generous tax loopholes, which gradually began to expire in January. But now it’s almost too late. No nation in the euro zone is as deeply in debt as the Netherlands, where banks have a total of about €650 billion in mortgage loans on their books.
Consumer debt amounts to about 250 percent of available income. By comparison, in 2011 even the Spaniards only reached a debt ratio of 125 percent.
The Netherlands is still one of the most competitive countries in the European Union, but now that the real estate bubble has burst, it threatens to take down the entire economy with it. Unemployment is on the rise, consumption is down and growth has come to a standstill. Despite tough austerity measures, this year the government in The Hague will violate the EU deficit criterion, which forbid new borrowing of more than 3 percent of GDP.
Even €46 billion in austerity measures are apparently not enough to remain within the EU debt limit. Although Dijsselbloem has announced another €4.3 billion in cuts in public service and healthcare, they will only take effect in 2014.
The adverse effects of living beyond one’s means have become apparent since the financial crisis began. Many of the tightly calculated financing models are no longer working out, and citizens can hardly pay their debts anymore. The prices of commercial and private real estate, which were absurdly high for a time, are sinking dramatically. The once-booming economy is stalling.
Happy tax day! I have a refund check that I need to put into the bank.
Yesterday I tried to go to Home Despot at 1:30 pm and I couldn’t get into the parking lot, it was such a zoo. Had to go back at 6.
Yesterday people wondered about aliases. I believe that “IWOG” sounds like combotechie, but I can’t be sure.
From yesterday, about my $78/sq ft for my HOUSE:
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-04-14 18:34:20
The used building lot is worth much more than the old house built upon it. That is interesting, but I suspect very unlikely. Have you made this split up in your own mind?
Blue, I got that split directly from the county tax assessors website. The offer that I put in on my property was (unwittingly) very close to the county tax assessment, so that land/house split is about as accurate as we’re going to see.
Yes, it’s true that I’m paying as much for old house materials as anyone would pay for new house materials. But how else does one do it? You can’t switch out houses onto a lot like you can cars — well, not without it being really expensive.
I suppose the ideal would be to buy an empty lot for the price of the tax assessment of the land, and then put a new house on it. But plots like that are few and far between. That is generally only feasible if there is a true teardown on some former 1-3 acre homestead on the outskirts of the inner burbs (where great grandma finally died and the kids settled the will). Usually a developer will buy the one house and build 6-8 luxury garage mahals (from the high 400’s).
We paid approx $67/sq ft (sq ftage doesn’t include a deep 2 car garage). It’ll be paid off the MID doesn’t help us any more (probably 2016ish). Sometimes I joke with my wife that we should’ve bought more house, but obviously it’s only a joke since we can only deduct mortgage interest, not utility costs or upkeep costs for extra bathrooms etc.
I had to pay alot [sic] of taxes this year and I’m writing sizable checks for both MD and Fed taxes today. But I’m completely fine with it, since I switched jobs for a significant pay bump during the year, which made my early-year witholdings inadequate. Also not an issue because we are in cash-storage mode now.
I suspect you paid $67 for your entire property. My $78 was just the house, not the land. Anyone outside this area would say I overpaid… especially for someone who’s low down white trash with *oh horror* siding on her house and a little car which you wouldn’t find presentable for your wife to drive.
but then when you look at what’s selling around me…
I said that I’m getting my wife the CRV as an alternative to an Audi Q7 or similar. I just think Honda is a good mix of affordable and yet not cheesy, thus presentable.
The siding on houses thing is a bias, but when I was young my parents’ first house had siding and I didn’t die or anything. Who cares what I say if you like your house? I’m a “bedwetter” anyway
JS, are n’t you in Fells Point? Are there garages there? Thought that hood was much older and modest (no garages converted from stables or carriage houses.)
Remind me again, I must be remembering wrong… are you a government contractor? Working in the military industrial complex? (As am I, by the way, so I’m not judging, just jogging my memory)
Why should I answer you? You will use whatever I write to jab at me.
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Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-15 08:54:02
Weak….very week.
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 09:29:15
Why do you think that? I just jabbed myself. All but a tiny bit of my work is built on legal issues related to private contractors working for either DoD, DHS, or CMS (Medicare).
The difference is, I don’t pretend I can “ignore” the “thugernment” while I draw a pay check because of the system.
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2013-04-15 19:21:42
Why do you think I am ignoring thugernment now? I am not. I am wanting to get to the point to ignore. Why must there be NO Libertarians working in the DOD or DHS? Is there a directive? It’s like saying no men can be teachers.
Sigh. I posted this piece here before but the retarded types here on HBB just ignore it and repeat the same babble at me:
Alpha can just go piss up a rope. I don’t give a rat’s a$$ what that retard says anyway.
Murray Rothbard taught at SUNY. He was the big anarchist scholar of the libertarian movement and yet he worked in a public university. When asked if he would go on strike he said he wouldnt.
private sector, for profit, invisible hand of free market, job creator, bootstrapper government contractors like lockheed, raytheon, general dynamics, et cetera love tax day.
and the best part is, nobody cares. because solyndra, food stamps, obamaphones trigger more emotional responses. whip the sheeple into a frenzy, get them fighting over table scraps, that’s how the 0.1 percent win.
Happier than you can even comprehend. And get this, the Feds in our office are likely getting 14 furlough days (as of now) this summer, but the contractors on our contract are unaffected. We could get laid off at the end of fiscal year 9/30 (or laid off anytime, as an “at-will employee”) but not anticipating anything that drastic.
FEDS DROOL, CONTRACTORS RULE!
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Comment by joe smith
2013-04-15 11:26:17
Yessir, the government can’t deviate from their contracts vis a vis private, invisible hand of the free market, job creator contractors. It would end up in court and they would lose. The hoops the government must jump through to attempt to change a contract or claw back money are incalculable. Even where there is fraud, they don’t get around to going after it until years later in most cases. During this time, all the records are lost, all the personnel moves on, there’s a new special agent on the case, a new head of the agency, a new Contracting Officer, etc. And then the contractor hires a law firm which marks 90% of the interesting documents as privileged (not subject to production to the gov’t). Months later, fruitless depositions followed by a settlement.
In the meantime, the contractor continues working and most likely wins the next contract, given the huge advantages of being an incumbent contractor.
Comment by goon squad
2013-04-15 13:36:01
joe smith, we should quit our jobs and start our own contractor.
First the ‘financial experts’ blamed it on Cyprus, next it was China.
No MSM articles I have seen so far suggest that perhaps the big run-up in PM prices in the wake of a historic financial panic created an unsustainable bubble which now has popped.
Gold, commodities slump as China data stir recovery fears
An investor sits in front of an electronic board showing stock information at a brokerage house in Taiyuan, Shanxi province March 28, 2013. REUTERS-Jon Woo
A delivery clerk (L) cycles past an electronic board showing market indices outside a brokerage in Tokyo April 9, 2013. REUTERS-Toru Hanai
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange, April 12, 2013. REUTERS-Brendan McDermid
By Marc Jones
LONDON | Mon Apr 15, 2013 6:14pm IST
(Reuters) - Investors dumped gold along with other commodities from oil to copper on Monday and world shares tumbled, after weaker-than-expected Chinese data added to concerns raised by U.S. numbers about the global economic outlook.
Gold took a series of metals with it as plunged to a two-year low, Oil fell towards $100 a barrel, while commodity-linked currencies including the Aussie and Kiwi dollars were also hit hard.
China’s recovery unexpectedly stumbled in the first three months of 2013, as it reported its annual growth rate eased to 7.7 percent from 7.9 percent in the final quarter of last year. Economists had forecast 8 percent growth.
Industrial output in March also undershot expectations and added to investor sensitivity after a negative reading of U.S. consumer sentiment and soft retail sales, plus rekindled worries in the euro zone late last week.
Brent crude futures dropped more than $2 to $101 a barrel for the first since July last year as the disappointment stirred the already-festering global recovery concerns.
In a broad selloff, copper prices slid 3 percent to a 1-1/2 year low of $7,085 a metric ton, aluminum hit a 3-1/2 year low while nickel lead and tin sank to seven- five- and four-month lows, respectively.
“The growth numbers out of China are absolutely crucial for commodities and the numbers that came out are significantly worse than people were expecting,” said Nic Brown, head of commodities research at Natixis in London.
“China makes up 40 percent of demand for base metals and all the growth in demand for oil is coming from the developing world so to see weakness in China is bad for commodities generally.”
FALLS GOLD
U.S. stock futures pointed to a lower start on Wall Street when trading begins for the week.
…
What I find funny is first they blamed it on the “recovery” now it is the fact that there is no recovery. How about the truth they are manipulating it down because people have less and less faith in fiat currency so they have to undermine people’s faith in gold.
That is more likely. I will check up on my LA coin dealer in a couple days to see if they have platinum eagles. All sizes have been sold out. It’s the ETFs that are selling off. Not the people who are building up movable, hidable assets.
Go down to $1200! Please! I am buying first week of every month.
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Comment by albuquerquedan
2013-04-15 07:06:00
Buy when there is blood in the streets, is the best advice and the hardest thing to do. I had some downside protection by writing calls on mining stocks when they made the big move last Summer. Of course, you limit the upside potential by doing that, so I did not write them deep into the money which is what I should have done to be fully protected. However, I am not replacing them as they expire so I will be ready for the upside and have made other people absorb most of the pain of the downside move.
Comment by (Now that I'm "diversified") Jetfixr
2013-04-15 11:02:55
As I noted/linked a year or two ago, a lot of the copper being imported into China wasn’t for production……it was sitting in bonded warehouses as mark-to-fantasy collateral for specu-vestor loans from Chinese banks.
Absolutely nowhere can you safely save or invest anymore. Unless you deposit it in the Bank of Serta/Sealy/Tempur-pedic.
Comment by albuquerquedan
2013-04-15 15:05:22
Bill, Forbes has a story about how there is month long wait for physical silver and gold demand soared less week. Even Forbes cannot ignore the divergence between physical gold and paper gold. It is interesting the PTB made have misjudged this one. Apparently, there are very few “girls” to see the physical.
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2013-04-15 19:09:32
I believe it Dan. Also the biggest bubble is in the USD.
IMO, gold will move to a price and stay there only if the so-called “progressives” announce they were completely wrong and we become a minarchist (or less) society. In reality, there are a lot of big events coming up favoring gold:
1) The threat of confiscating part of everyone’s 401ks or IRAs. 2) The inevitable breaking of promises and expectations of social security and medicare.
3) The inevitable higher taxes to pay for the nanny state, social security, medicare, and interest on the debt.
4) Euro-crash
5) Potential war with North Korea or Iran.
A 10% allocation in gold is not an investment. It’s insurance. A 20% allocation in gold is insurance plus investment.
“How about the truth they are manipulating it down because people have less and less faith in fiat currency so they have to undermine people’s faith in gold.”
Either that or they are pumping it up in order to suck in investor dollars, in order to help sovereigns like Cyprus sell gold at a premium to pay their bills.
Cyprus sell-off fears send gold price tumbling Precious metal slides below $1,500 an ounce for the first time since July 2011 – a ‘make-or-break moment’, analysts say
Larry Elliott, economics editor
The Guardian, Friday 12 April 2013 14.30 EDT
The price of gold fell to its lowest level in more than 18 months on Friday night amid fears that sales of the precious metal forced on Cyprus by its desperate financial plight would lead to wholesale dumping by hard-pressed countries in the coming months.
At the end of a week dominated by the plight of the troubled Mediterranean island, gold slid below $1500 an ounce for the first time since July 2011 in anticipation that Cyprus would seek to raise €400m (£340m) by offloading a chunk of its reserves.
Share prices also fell on the major European bourses after the gathering of EU finance ministers in Dublin made it clear that there would be no increase to the €10bn earmarked for Cyprus – even though the expected cost of the bailout has been raised by €6bn to €23bn.
A Cyprus government spokesman said the increase would not lead to more money being taken from savers in the country’s banks.
…
I raised the question late last night whether gold would break through $1400 today, and it already has. How often in the past five decades do you recall a selloff at this pace? It’s already off this morning by the amount it dropped on Friday, with the ground still out of view.
April 15, 2013, 9:17 a.m. EDT Gold slumps more than $85 to two-year low China data, weak sentiment, potential central-bank sales blamed
By Barbara Kollmeyer, Carla Mozee and Sara Sjolin, MarketWatch
LONDON (MarketWatch) — Gold futures slumped more than $85 to their lowest level in over two years on Monday, as the metal dropped through key technical support levels, while the broader metals complex sank after disappointing Chinese data sparked worries of industrial metals demand.
Gold for June delivery (GCM3 -5.80%) tumbled $87.40, or 5.8%, to $1,413.80 an ounce, but had dropped to as low as $1,384.60. Gold last week lost 4.7%.
…
7:11 PM Pacific time and gold is $1330 per ounce. For periodic buyers like me, a sharp sell off in gold is a dream come true. We regular buyers do not want a slow drift off. This is a real buying opportunity and I figure could go into the $1000 to $1200 range before it rebounds this Fall. I put this all on the PPT manipulating. Nothing else really changed. Statism is even more powerful and intrusive. Keynesianism is thriving. Republics that turned into democracies are now in mobocracy stage. The USA is clearly into mobocracy.
You have to have moveable and hideable assets, as well as plenty of ammo and firearms to protect yourself to cross that river from collectivism to liberty.
Apparently if you’ve got physical, there is nothing to worry about, as all the scary gold price declines reported in the MSM are in terms of paper. Oh wait…isn’t it paper that denominates the value of physical gold (gulp!)?
April 15, 2013, 9:08 a.m. EDT Gold plummets, but not at jewelry store Why the commodity’s decline hasn’t translated into deals on necklaces
By Kelli B. Grant
Gold prices may be down more than 20% since 2011, but those looking to wear the precious metal rather than invest in it won’t find a similar decline at the jewelry counter.
…
In a manipulated market anything is possible but it is unlikely. I will start buying aggressively at anything below $1300. It may not be the manipulated bottom but anyone with a five year horizon will make out quite well.
Everyone but the guy with that 3-kilogram gold shirt was selling the precious metal on Monday, it seemed. (And he probably didn’t get a bargain.)
Some analysts were simply lost for words as gold (GCK3 -8.27%) suffered another onslaught of selling, sliding more than $100 an ounce and falling below $1,400 in U.S. trading, overtaking the 4.1% loss seen Friday.
“It’s a slaughter,” said Carsten Fritsch, senior commodity analyst at Commerzbank AG. “It all comes via the futures market. On Friday, more than 1,100 tons of paper gold had been traded. That is more than annual gold demand from China or India. I can’t see a fundamental reason for this, to be honest.”
…
When the item/enterprise in question has utility (ie. an ability to generate some recurring income), the gamble is less than with a shiny metal with limited to no utility.
Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-15 13:30:27
has utility (ie. an ability to generate some recurring income)
May be if you have a way to protect it. Othewise your utility is a sitting duck for central planners.
Sheesh…the government can’t even run a decent show trial any more:
Guantanamo dogged by new controversy after mishandling of e-mails
By Peter Finn,
The military justice system at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, which has been dogged by charges of secret monitoring of proceedings and defense communications, became embroiled in a fresh controversy Thursday when it was revealed that hundreds of thousands of defense e-mails were turned over to the prosecution.
I bet it was still Republicans’ fault that we killed 10 Afghani children a week ago. Please tell me so. I won’t be able to sleep at night if my dear leader was even remotely associated with it.
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Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-15 08:35:53
Who started the war?
Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-15 08:48:11
Who escalated it because it was a “good” war?
Comment by 2banana
2013-04-15 09:27:42
Who started the war?
The Authorization for Use of Military Force[1] (AUMF) is a joint resolution passed by the United States Congress on September 14, 2001, authorizing the use of United States Armed Forces against those responsible for the attacks on September 11, 2001.
House of Representatives
On September 14, 2001 bill House Joint Resolution 64 passed in the House. The totals in the House of Representatives were: 420 Ayes, 1 Nay and 10 Not Voting. The Nay was Barbara Lee, D-CA. [2] Lee is notable as the only member of either house of Congress to vote against this bill.[3]
Senate
On September 14, 2001 Senate Joint Resolution 23 passed in the Senate by roll call vote. The totals in the Senate were: 98 Ayes, 0 Nays, 2 Present/Not Voting (Senators Larry Craig - R and Jesse Helms - R).
I love revisionists. They still don’t understand what the Internet is good for and how they are about to become extinct, but not before becoming jokes with less credibility than tin foil hat wearers.
So… carry on denizens of De Nile. Carry on. Wear your digital tramp stamp proudly.
Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-15 10:21:08
…and who is ending them both?
Ending them? OMG, your delusion needs a serious medical attention. Not the one you get in USA….you have to go to Cuba for what ails you.
Comment by 2banana
2013-04-15 10:30:16
…and who is ending them both?
Let’s see. obama pulled out of Iraq exactly on in the timetable signed to by President Bush.
obama did have a huge troop surge in Afghanistan (with dubious results). That he did all by himself. And there have been more American casualties in Afghanistan under obama than Bush. And a hell of a lot more children killed in drone strikes.
Keep drinking that kool-aid!
———————-
The U.S.–Iraq Status of Forces Agreement (official name: “Agreement Between the United States of America and the Republic of Iraq On the Withdrawal of United States Forces from Iraq and the Organization of Their Activities during Their Temporary Presence in Iraq”) was a status of forces agreement (SOFA) between Iraq and the United States, signed by President George W. Bush in 2008. It established that U.S. combat forces would withdraw from Iraqi cities by June 30, 2009, and all U.S. forces will be completely out of Iraq by December 31, 2011.[1]
Hey Blue Sky, ever figure out how to explain or defend your statement yesterday that most of us wouldn’t have jobs if people didn’t borrow?
If people could only pay what they could actually pay, well most of us wouldn’t even have a job
Still seems to me like you put your finger on the exact problem of a deflationary/’hard money’ economy- many fewer people would have jobs. The majority wouldn’t, according to your own words.
Sort of like this screaming headline that Drudge has been featuring for the last two days:
“AMERICA: Californians Move to Ban, Seize Guns…”
Which turns out to be a rehash of the old “di-hydrogen oxide” prank which shows how some people will sign anything when confronted by an interviewer with a camera.
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-04-15 20:46:47
That’s di-hydrogen monoxide.
And the rant against it is one of my all time favorites. “A major component of acid rain”
A massive surge in the number of Bitcoin users and reports of hacking attempts are being blamed for a worldwide panic that caused the cryptocurrency’s worth to fluctuate drastically in recent days.
The value of Bitcoin, the unregulated and practically untraceable digital currency that exists only on computers, has gone on a roller coaster ride as of late, quintupling in price during the last month before losing more than half of its worth during a Wednesday crash.
Mt. Gox, the leading Bitcoin exchange on the Web, confirmed Wednesday evening that the number of trades executed during the previous 24 hours tripled beyond their expectations. The surge, they said, could be blamed on the number of new accounts, which climbed to roughly 20,000 per day so far in April.
But while those statistics are good for Bitcoin traders hoping to open up the currency to a wider market, the influx of users has created a crippling effect on the online exchanges where BTCs are bought and sold. Now after an exponential rise in value and an equally intensive drop, Bitcoin experts are asking questions about the future of the currency.
As trading pinnacled on Wednesday as more and more users signed up to create digital wallets, the surge in traffic on sites like Mt. Gox became too much for the BTC exchange to handle. Mt. Gox has since gone offline in order to add servers to its system so it can try to process the rampant buying and selling it was unprepared for, but for many users the downtime caused by the crippling traffic surge was enough to scare them away from these services and Bitcoin in general.
“The big slowdown was initially pegged as a ‘distributed denial of service’ (DDoS) attack, in which hackers use large groups of computers to flood a website with connections, such that no one else can connect to it,” Matthew Boesler writes for Business Insider.
On their official Facebook page, Mt. Gox says “we were not last night victim of a DDoS but instead victim of our own success.”
“Indeed the rather astonishing amount of new account opened in the last few days added to the existing one plus the number of trade made a huge impact on the overall system that started to lag. As expected in such situation people started to panic, started to sell Bitcoin in mass (Panic Sale) resulting in an increase of trade that ultimately froze the trade engine!”
But while Mt. Gox says that a DDoS attack wasn’t to blame, that type of cyber assault wasn’t unexpected either: one week before BTC sold at its all-time high, hackers hit the exchange with an assault that shut down service and brought Bitcoin trading to a halt. At the time, the company said the impact was to blame for “its worst trading lag ever.”
…
How horrible! Not only has a 0.2% drop in China’s sizzling growth rate knocked gold below $1400, but it also has slowed down the Wall Street bovine stampede from a frantic race towards the cliff to a gentle gallop.
April 15, 2013, 9:36 a.m. EDT U.S. stocks slide as China hits resource shares Stories You Might Like
Fearless investors buy rally as earnings ramp up
Asian stocks stung by weak China data
Australian dollar drops as China data disappoint
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks tumbled at the open Monday, pulled lower by China data showing the industrial juggernaut’s growth was slowing.
…
I commute 110 miles round trip 4 days a week. For the last 15 years give or take, my commute has varied from 2-3 hours round trip. The majority of people who do this don’t have the time or energy to exercise regularly, and it shows.
Me? Yesterday, after running 2 miles on the treadmill, I hit the free weights and did sets of bench, dead lifts, squats and curls. I’ll do that a couple more times this week and weather permitting, hit the trails for some mountain biking next weekend. It’s all about priorities and having a partner who values fitness (and longevity)…
Our families are pretty well entrenched on the South Coast of MA while the jobs and money are within the 128 belt of Boston. We just don’t have the resources to afford a move closer to Boston… prior to having kids, sure, but not now. So, it’s long commutes for the foreseeable future.
I drive 70 miles each way……except on days when I have to drive 30 miles to the other airport for my contract/part-time deal, then 70 miles home. Leave the house at 8am, get home at 7pm at the earliest. Got home at 11pm Friday night.
(Correction…..got back “into town” at 11:00pm. Stopped and got something to eat before I went home, since I hadn’t had anything to eat since lunch)
Yeah, my priorities show. Working two jobs to take home 75% of what I formerly made at one job will do that to you. I know a lot of guys just like me, in a multitude of different occupations
The good news is, I don’t have to worry about this “relationship” thing, because I am perceived as such a loser.
My kid had to commute 74 miles each way to get to his his 6:40 AM zero period high school honor classes. Ironic inasmuch as I moved him here to get away from the traffic. Child used the long bus rides to do his homework, and later after he got his license, the drive down the mountain to do his creative thinking.
He grew up to be a writer and MMA champion.
My partner and I commuted 125 miles each way to Caltech and used the 2 hour drive time (against what minimal traffic there was) to work out theoretical snags. Driving can be a marvelous meditative tool, providing there’s minimal disruption from stop-and-go, signals, erratic drivers, etc.
Again, the outlier variables disprove the conclusions; epidemiology is the bastard stepchild of medicine.
This is one reason why we should celebrate the housing bubble: The long commutes so many worker bees enjoy in order to find the right balance between home size, affordability and access to work will help reduce the Baby Boomer entitlement burden.
Pay attention today people. Gold is down 135 an ounce as I speak. Oil is crashing along with it. We might have nowhere to put money tomorrow but Home Depot. Welcome to bubble number 2 in 10 years
Just think of all the erroneous predictions we made and how things turned out very differently from the way any of us predicted. And most of us have higher than average cognitive skills. My mantra is most people get it wrong a lot more often than anyone is willing to admit.
Don’t tell anyone, but I am getting awesome returns on my Ben-Jones-mediated housing investments (i.e., the Joshua Tree Fund). However, I never ever ever thought that the bubble would resume.
My soon-to-be-fired accountant still has not e mailed me to say that our tax returns have in fact been filed. And I have to re-print checks to mail tonight because he sent me numbers on Saturday, I printed out the checks before going to work, and then he changed the amounts this morning.
I took a different way home today and ran into a traffic snag near a main post office. At first I thought it had been an accident, until… d’oh, I remembered the date.
Fer crying out loud pimp watch, who do you think you’re kidding? You’re using handles from the housing bulls at pat’s site to post your usual stuff. It’s pretty obvious. I also saw you using Darryl in Phoenix’s handle at patrick’s site.
2banana
Did not see your post in reply to Ethan. Sorry, you nailed it.
Our former neighborhood were mostly RELO firm sales. Lots of career chasing in hi-tech.
Ethan -
Costs to sell his home will eat right through that $50K gross profit, unless a RELO firm is taking on the expenses. 6% commission is first on that list.
Ethan, do you know roughly how much the house cost? $50K may or may not be a lot of appreciation.
As for the fees eating up the profit, what profit would this guy have made renting? I don’t mean the difference between renting vs. owning. I mean absolute, how much profit would he have walked away with?
Ethan, do you know roughly how much the house cost? $50K may or may not be a lot of appreciation.
As for the fees eating up the profit, what profit would this guy have made renting? I don’t mean the difference between renting vs. owning. I mean absolute, how much profit would he have walked away with?
How many times must it be explained to you that there is not profit paying retail prices?
And the difference between renting and owning has been explained to you too.
For a “chemist”, you seem to have an awful lot of time in the day to continually post BS related to housing.
One would need to know how much interest he paid on the mortgage while he owned the house, and compare that to the rent he would have otherwise paid. We would need to know how much he paid the mortgage broker when he bought, his property taxes, and his maintenance expenses. Did he take on one of those extra-long commutes in order to qualify for something? Did he have to pay for an extra car because he drove it twice as much? What about extra gas/repairs? We already know the realtoR got 6%. If his additional cost over renting was more than $50k, then he is negative on the deal.
If he got the house for a song, then he may be good. We don’t have enough information to know.
Lost housing wealth a drag on Florida economy, UCF’s Snaith says
by Jeff Ostrowski
Florida’s housing market has snapped back in the past year, but the hangover remains, says University of Central Florida economist Sean Snaith in his latest Florida economic report.
The typical Florida homeowner has lost more than $100,000 in home equity since 2006, he notes:
To get a sense of how much of a burden this lost wealth is, consider the following: Median household income in Florida is $47,827. If the median household saved 5 percent of that income and got a 10 percent annual return on this savings, admittedly a challenging feat on both counts, it would take the household 17 years to regain what the housing collapse took away in home equity.
Tags: bnblogs
This entry was posted on Friday, April 12th, 2013 at 9:49 am and is filed under Florida economy, Real estate bust. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
“The only thing that’s been lost is the ability to leverage against it.”
Bingo. Housing wealth doesn’t exist. Anytime you borrow, whether it’s secured against housing equity or not, you’re spending future income and that’s it. The economy was driven by increasing debt levels, and now will be slowed by deleveraging. Equity was just a mismanaged tool in the overleveraging process.
But those who BOUGHT the foreclosed houses ended up gaining wealth, since they got to pay less for their house!!!! Now they can afford to eat fish tacos if they want, instead of ramen noodles.
April 15, 2013, 2:54 p.m. EDT Gold suffers biggest one-day drop since 1980s
China data, possible central-bank sales blamed; silver down 11%
By Myra P. Saefong and Barbara Kollmeyer, MarketWatch
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Gold futures on Monday suffered their biggest one-day decline since the 1980s, as the metal extended its dive into a second straight session and pushed further into bear-market territory.
The broader metals complex also dropped, with silver down 11% for its lowest settlement in more than two years after disappointing Chinese data fed worries over industrial metals demand.
…
What happens when a stampeding bovine herd encounters a brick wall of economic reality?
Bulletin Oil closes down nearly 3% to lowest level of the year
New York Markets Close in: 0:55:18
April 15, 2013, 8:04 a.m. EDT 9 dark omens show U.S. growth will fall near zero
Commentary: Economist Gary Shilling warns of recession, austerity
By Paul B. Farrell, MarketWatch
A man pushes a trolley full of Dell computers through a company factory in Sriperumbudur Taluk, in the Kancheepuram district of the southern Indian state of Tamil Nadu, in this June 2, 2011 file photograph. Personal computer sales plunged 14 percent in the first three months of the year, the biggest decline in two decades of keeping records, as tablets continue to gain in popularity and buyers appear to be avoiding Microsoft Corp’s new Windows 8 system, according to a leading tech tracking firm. REUTERS/Babu/Files (INDIABUSINESS - Tags: BUSINESS INDUSTRIAL)
SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — Bulls love bull markets. History’s most famous bull, Yale economist Irving Fisher, loved the Roaring Twenties of the Great Gatsby.
Remember, weeks before the Crash of 1929 this brilliant Yale professor told investors: “Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau. I do not feel there will be soon, if ever, a 50 or 60 point break from present levels, such as bears have predicted. I expect to see the stock market a good deal higher within a few months.”
Yes, bulls are perennial optimists. It’s in their nature, born in their DNA, a gyroscope guiding their brains. Their mantra: Napoleon Hill’s “Success Through a Positive Mental Attitude.” Their theme song, Monty Python’s “Always Look at the Bright Side of Life.”
They have an innocence, as if a sacred Invisible Hand gave them permission to set aside contrary evidence, dismiss facts and reality, rewrite history, challenge another “wall of worry,” and ignore market cycles, like the fact that 2013 is the fifth year of aging bull market, all mere dust to sweep under their bright-side-of-life rug.
California imposed a new law on banks innocuously called “Homeowners Bill of Rights” which forces banks to switch over to a judicial foreclosure process, which they can opt to do on their own, but takes a year or more to renegotiate contracts and compensation structures for the foreclosure law firms who do all the leg work for the banks. And while those changes are being made… it makes it appear that foreclosures have slowed down dramatically in the state.
The reality?
Defaults (undeclared) are spiraling upward that yet have to pass through the foreclosure pipeline.
The truth?
California is still the highest foreclosure state in sheer volume and percentage.
The low-down?
Resale housing in California is still massively overpriced as a result of unprecedented interference by individual states and the federal government. The market distortions will be removed and the down draft will continue allowing the market to correct.
With millions of excess empty houses and housing demand at 17 year lows, housing prices have a long way to fall. A very long way to fall.
That’s a typical example of the “research” Dumb Money does. Understandable. But when Dumb Money attempts to float it as real is when we step in to expose the ignorance.
Now… Months ago after this ruse was attempted, we did a quick review and mark up of this charade… here it is.
For the public…… Material and labor costs are the same anywhere in the country. Anywhere. Don’t let charlatans, paid hacks and dumb money detract you from performing your own analysis and estimate on the value of a house in price per square foot. We bid and win bridge and highway work in tens of millions of dollars based on price per square foot. There is no other way to evaluate it.
If you pay more than $50/sq ft for a used house, you’re getting ripped off.
Not sure if anyone else has seen this yet, but there was an explosion near the finish line on Boylston at the Boston Marathon today. Don’t have any details, but there have been a few tweets and pics.
What better target than a pack of yuppie runners on Patriots Day? Is this what you had in mind, NE? Really?
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Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-15 13:19:05
Yuppies are like zombies. Waste of bullets IMO.
Comment by Northeastener
2013-04-15 13:57:44
What better target than a pack of yuppie runners on Patriots Day? Is this what you had in mind, NE? Really?
It was someone’s go time, that is for sure…
FWIW, I heard that Wolf Blitzer is already speculating that this was home-grown terrorism perpetrated by the Tea Party. It is “Patriot’s Day” in MA and it is April 15, tax day. The explosions happened in Backbay and Copley Sq., havens of big money in Boston. Personally, this speaks of false flag attack to me. Given congress is debating anti gun legislation, this would serve as quite the distraction, but again, that’s just my tin-foil hattery.
In this country someone dies in a drunk driving crash every 53 minutes, every day, 365 days a year. Where is your outrage about that? We would be safer as a country if we had background checks to buy alcohol.
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Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-15 16:01:09
How many more lives would we save if we outlawed tobacco? About 450,000 a year in the US, 5 million a year in the world.
Puts the losses in Iraq and Afghanistan in the shade.
‘About 450,000 a year in the US, 5 million a year in the world. Puts the losses in Iraq and Afghanistan in the shade’
Yeah, and to think 3,000 people were killed in the World Trade Centers. Then 500,000 to 1 million die in Iraq. People that didn’t have anything to do with 9/11. One might be tempted to reconsider knee jerk reactions to violence or deaths.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-15 17:07:23
I certainly never favored going into Iraq. Especially with the Bozos running things, and after they’d botched getting Bin Laden in Afghanistan, when we had the chance at Tora Bora.
Comment by hazard
2013-04-15 17:37:44
“How many more lives would we save if we outlawed tobacco?”
Tobacco is a choice, getting killed by a drunk is not.
‘How many more lives would we save if we outlawed tobacco’
Answer; zero. They are going to die someday. Now you could say, they might live longer. But couldn’t you say the same thing if we outlawed salt? Hands up all those who want to live without salt on their food?
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-15 17:47:06
They are going to die someday
Same with those who die in a war.
And about 10% of tobacco deaths are from second-hand smoke. That’s half a million a year, worldwide.
Comment by hazard
2013-04-15 19:56:31
“And about 10% of tobacco deaths are from second-hand smoke. That’s half a million a year, worldwide.”
Well then, it’s a damn good thing there is a big drive to legalize pot.
Question: Does Smoking Marijuana Cause Lung Cancer?
Answer:
The link between smoking tobacco and lung cancer is undeniable, but does smoking marijuana cause lung cancer, too? The short answer — probably.
This go time stuff is funny. The US government, among other governments, uses extreme force all the time, for just about any problem. For the feds, it’s go time all the time. Heck, they’ll kill 50 people at a wedding to get one guy.
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Comment by Northeastener
2013-04-15 17:59:24
This.
Here’s the thing: the government can come into your house in the middle of the night with full auto M4’s locked, loaded and aimed at you and your children because someone at DHS had the flimsiest of excuses to present to a judge to sign off on a No Knock warrant and everyone is cool with it.
Meanwhile, little ‘ole me, a Tea Party libertarian who supports less government intrusion in our lives and the right to keep and bear arms is the bad guy because “We need to keep firearms off the streets”. My firearms aren’t on the streets, they’re in my home or on my person (as a lawful CCL holder).
Honestly, if you’re center mass in the reticle of my Eotech, then the US government has gone full retard and we’re in the middle of a full-bore insurrection. Oh, and you’re on the wrong side of liberty and most likely threatening my family and friends with a scary evil black rifles of your own.
Comment by hazard
2013-04-15 19:16:37
“scary evil black rifles of your own.”
Apparently, when YOU hold an AR-15, it’s an “assault rifle.” But magically, if you hand that same rifle to an armed government homeland security enforcer, it instantly transforms itself into a “personal defense weapon.”
In the hands of the government, they’re called “Personal Defense Weapons”
The juiciest part of this bid is the use of the phrase “Personal Defense Weapons” to describe the full-auto AR-15s being purchased by DHS.
The request for bid actually says:
DHS and its components have a requirement for a 5.56×45mm NATO, select-fire firearm suitable for personal defense use in close quarters and / or when maximum concealment is required.
So there it is, right in black and white: DHS enforcers need full-auto AR-15s which are “suitable for personal defense in close quarters” and for “maximum concealment.”
But if you or I make the same claim, suddenly we are branded lunatics by the fringe left and all the gun grabbers across America who apparently have no clue that their own government is arming up like never before.
Senator Feinstein, the gun-grabbing Senator from California, says she wants to take all the guns from all Americans. “Mr. and Mrs. America, turn ‘em all in,” she says on the record. But while Mr. and Mrs. America are turning in their guns, ‘roid-head DHS goons are arming to the teeth with full-auto assault rifles.
This is all on top of the 1.6 billion rounds of ammunition the U.S. government has already stockpiled, as was discovered last year. What kind of government wants to domestically stockpile ammo and full-auto weapons, putting them in the hands of domestic agents who have nothing whatsoever to do with overseas wars? Well, the kind of government that plans to NEED 1.6 billion rounds of ammo and full-auto assault weapons, of course.
Read some language from the contract bid: Pistol grips, full-auto and more
A little strange, in Newtown they said anyone who says anything or spreads false information will be prosecuted and then put a gag order in place. Today they are asking for anyone with any information to call.
Confidence among U.S. homebuilders unexpectedly fell in April for a third month, restrained by rising costs for materials and financing restrictions.
The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo index of builder confidence dropped to 42, the lowest since October, from 44 in March, the Washington-based group said today. Economists projected an index of 45, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey. Readings below 50 mean more respondents said conditions were poor.
“Many builders are expressing frustration over being unable to respond to the rising demand for new homes due to difficulties in obtaining construction credit, overly restrictive mortgage lending rules and construction costs that are increasing at a faster pace than appraised values,” Rick Judson, the group’s chairman and a builder from Charlotte, North Carolina, said in a statement.
…
Well there’s that, and there is the little fact of slightly used houses selling for waaaaaaaaayyyyy less than the cost of construction. That would tend to wrap a wet blanket around things.
Never thought I would see this day…..Gideon Gono, your days are numbered! All I can hope that today ushers all of us closer to reality than this nightmare we are living.
DOW -1.79%
S&P -2.3%
NASDAQ -2.38%
GOLD -9.26%
OIL -3.05%
10 YEAR BOND -1.1%
While I’d love it if Bitcoins simply didn’t exist, how about tying the creation of Bitcoins to solving problems, like complex protein folding sequences…put that processing power to work…
Man blows himself up at Costa Mesa home, police say
By KTLA
April 15, 2013, 5:54 a.m.
An investigation is underway in Costa Mesa after a man blew himself up inside his home in an apparent suicide, police said.
The incident began Sunday evening, when neighbors said the man who owned the home in the 3100 block of Bermuda Drive was laying down on his front lawn, KTLA reported. An ambulance was called, but the man refused to go to the hospital and instead went back to the house, officials said.
About an hour or two later, between 7:30 p.m. and 8 p.m., there was an explosion, police said.
Emergency workers found the man lying in the doorway, police said. Authorities later said he had blown himself up with some sort of homemade explosive device.
There were multiple agencies taking part in the investigation at the scene, including the FBI, the Orange County Sheriff’s Department, the Orange County Fire Authority, the Costa Mesa fire and police departments and a Huntington Beach hazardous materials team. Investigators said they were combing through the home for other possible explosives.
As many as 16 nearby homes were evacuated as a precaution, police said.
My company is based in the Boston area. On its Facebook page it was celebrating the marathon and then later today they posted their grief about this terror.
Here’s the funny thing. First the media jumps on domestic terrorists like 2A Tea Party right-wing extremists. Then they jump on a person of interest who happens to be a Saudi national.
Turns out the Saudi national was seen running from the scene shortly after the explosion. Because no one would run from the scene of death and destruction caused by an explosion right? Oh, the the Saudi national was tackled by a civilian who thought he looked “suspicious”. Nothing like a little racial/ethnic profiling eh?
PS I’m very happy that my gas consumption will drop 95% this next year vs 2 years ago. I’ll send as little as possible to the Saudi’s. The sooner oil prices collapse the sooner the people of the middle east see what theocracy gets you. They are about to learn in Egypt. The muslim brotherhood taking over will do more to damage militant islam than anything we could dream up. The only reason the Saudi’s have been able to thrive is oil Take that away and they are somalia or ethiopia only with more people and less food.
LEONA HELMSLEY, the hotel chain executive who was convicted of federal tax evasion in 1989, was notorious for, among other things, reportedly having said that “only the little people pay taxes.”
As a statement of principle, the quotation may well have earned Mrs. Helmsley, who died in 2007, the title Queen of Mean. But as a prediction about the fairness of American tax policy, Mrs. Helmsley’s remark might actually have been prescient.
Today, the deadline for filing individual income-tax returns, is a day when Americans would do well to pause and reflect on our tax system and the society it creates. No one enjoys paying taxes, and yet all but the extreme libertarians agree, as Oliver Wendell Holmes said, that taxes are the price we pay for civilized society. But in recent decades, the burden for paying that price has been distributed in increasingly unfair ways.
About 6 in 10 of us believe that the tax system is unfair — and they’re right: put simply, the very rich don’t pay their fair share. The richest 400 individual taxpayers, with an average income of more than $200 million, pay less than 20 percent of their income in taxes — far lower than mere millionaires, who pay about 25 percent of their income in taxes, and about the same as those earning a mere $200,000 to $500,000. And in 2009, 116 of the top 400 earners — almost a third — paid less than 15 percent of their income in taxes.
Conservatives like to point out that the richest Americans’ tax payments make up a large portion of total receipts. This is true, as well it should be in any tax system that is progressive — that is, a system that taxes the affluent at higher rates than those of modest means. It’s also true that as the wealthiest Americans’ incomes have skyrocketed in recent years, their total tax payments have grown. This would be so even if we had a single flat income-tax rate across the board.
What should shock and outrage us is that as the top 1 percent has grown extremely rich, the effective tax rates they pay have markedly decreased. Our tax system is much less progressive than it was for much of the 20th century. The top marginal income tax rate peaked at 94 percent during World War II and remained at 70 percent through the 1960s and 1970s; it is now 39.6 percent. Tax fairness has gotten much worse in the 30 years since the Reagan “revolution” of the 1980s.
…
And in 2009, 116 of the top 400 earners — almost a third — paid less than 15 percent of their income in taxes.
Even this is an overstatement because the effective tax rate only includes reported income. If you have 100,000,000 in an IRA like Mit did and that represents 40% of your holdings you are really paying more like 10%. And if you have businesses that off shore income, or off shore bank accounts most of which isn’t reported you might have an effective tax rate of 7% or less. If you have charitable trusts that give to religious charities (and by give I mean 1000x more than me are paying less that half that rate. They are also the primary beneficiary of the FEDS activities.
We should definitely monkey with the tax code in response to 116 people’s circumstances in 2009.
That’s how we ended up with sh*t like the AMT.
I’ll give you the solution: Make the tax code simpler so there aren’t as many places for accountants and attorneys to find loopholes, equalize capital gains and ordinary rates, and lower marginal rates.
Oh wait, we were proposed that solution…Simpson Bowles…which was ignored.
There is a simple fix.
30% effective tax on all income cap gains etc over a million dollars and adjust it to keep pace with inflation. AMT is complicated for a reason and was designed to hit the upper middle class not the elite.
Your solution is non workable because there will always be loopholes we need to get rid of AMT which is complicated and hits the upper middle class and use the simple fix noted above.
(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-04-15 21:13:57
“adjust it to keep pace with inflation”
Using a chained CPI calculation?
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-04-15 21:36:24
AMT was designed to hit the upper middle class, not elite?
Baloney.
AMT was designed to catch people with high incomes who paid no tax. In 1969, when the first such law was passed, among the text explaining why the AMT was necessary, was a comment that in 1966 there were 154 returns with AGI of more than $200k (lots of money back then) with no tax paid.
Before, the AMT rate was 21%…now at 28%. Originally enacted to target about 150 high income households, now hits millions of families…in 1997, it hit 605k families…in 2008 it was 3.9 million.
And get this–27% of households that paid AMT in 2008 had AGI of less than $200k (the threshhold number focused on in 1966).
The AMT is an abomination and mystery to anyone other than CPAs who do the math all the time…AMT versions of carryforward losses/credits anyone?
We need loopholes to get rid of AMT?
Explain.
The AMT exists because of the existence of tax preference items (capital gains, deductions, etc. that allow people to get to low income amounts). If we didn’t have all the tax preferences, we wouldn’t need the AMT.
Steven (Tyler) was much more friendly, as he is, and was very generous, really, and showed me a song that they had started called ‘Cruisin’ for the Ladies.’ I listened to that lyric, and I said, ‘You know what, that’s a very boring title.’ And they looked at me like, ‘How dare you?’ And then Steven volunteered, sheepishly, and said that when he first wrote the melody he was singing ‘Dude Looks like a Lady.’ It was kind of a tongue twister that sounded more like scatting. He got the idea because they had gone to a bar and had seen a girl at the end of the bar with ginormous blonde rock hair, and the girl turned around and it ended up being Vince Neil from Motley Crue. So then they started making fun of him and started saying, ‘That dude looks like a lady, dude looks like a lady, dude looks like a lady.’ So that’s how that was born. That’s the true story of how that was born. So I grabbed onto that and I said, ‘No, that’s the title of the song.’”
“If you’re long the precious metals, beatings like they’re taking today (gold down 4%, silver down 6%) can seriously shake your confidence. At times of self-doubt like these, I look to learn what people smarter than I are thinking; as there’s a good chance they’re seeing the big picture more clearly.
Over the past week, I’ve had a lot of good fortune to do just that. The bottom line? More than ever, the smart minds see fewer better options than the precious metals for preserving (and likely increasing) the purchasing power of one’s wealth.
Last Friday, Chris and I had the pleasure of spending the day with John Hussman, John Mauldin, Jim Chanos, Mike “”Mish” Shedlock and Michael Pettis the the Wine Country Conference in Sonoma, CA to benefit ALS Research. It was simply amazing to spend time in such rarified company and engage with each of these impressive thinkers 1on1. I’ll post a more detailed write-up of my experience at the conference next week when I have more time to write (Chris and I are still on the road).
What struck me was the consistency with which nearly all of these speakers advise holding precious metals.
Some, like Hussman, see markets as dangerously out of equilibrium; with precious metals providing safe haven security during the inevitable correction to a more natural market state. Mauldin, while perhaps less pessimistic about the future, sees gold as essential insurance against central bank monetary recklessness – and explained to me how he personally follows a disciplined process for making regular purchases, no matter what the market action is. Mish – the deflationist among the group – devoted much of his presentation to making the case why renewed stress in the credit markets is inevitable, and that gold will be one of the smartest/safest places to park capital during this time.
Charles Hugh Smith also attended the conference. He’s been mentoring me on the basics of options investing, and as we’re trading the miners, we’ve been watching the precious metals closely together. As Charles has written many times on PeakProsperity.com, he sees both cash and gold as prudent positions given market fundamentals and thinks both will likely rise from here. As for the recent weakness in PMs and today’s bloodbath in particular, he can see no fundamental reason for it.
But most influential for me was a private meeting Chris and I had yesterday with Richard Russell, a true legend in the economic analysis business. Richard’s impressively successful career has spanned over 50 years; he lived through the Great Depression, flew bombers in WWII, and followed nearly every market cycle known to modern man. Which is why I take his assessment very seriously when he refers to today’s financial market conditions as “unprecedented in his lifetime”. He sees today’s elevated market prices as dangerously unsupported by fundamentals and primarily caused by central planner manipulation and opportunistic self-interest by the the agencies in power (big banks, politicians, corporations). “What else but gold?” should investors hold at this point, he asked us, genuinely interested if we had any good alternatives to offer.
When a legend like Russell is this concerned – someone who has demonstrated a lifetime of balanced analysis, willing to switch between the bull and the bear sides based on the data – we all better pay close attention.
And last night, Chris and I had dinner with Mike Maloney, of GoldSilver.com. As founder of one of the world’s largest dealers of precious metals, Mike’s support for owning PMs comes as little surprise. But what does surprise me is the tone his argument for ownership takes. He’s frustrated by the efforts to suppress the prices of gold and silver, even though it’s allowing savvy investors to accumulate metal at a cost far below what he believes fair market value to be. But the false signals that today’s prices give keeps the smaller investor, who arguably would benefit most on a relative basis from protecting their wealth, from entering the market. And even though he remains confident precious metals prices will be higher – much higher – in the future, there’s a sadness behind this prediction. Those high prices will be the result of a destruction of our monetary system and a corruption of our free markets, fundamental underpinnings that made our society great. Without them, yes, those who hold PMs will be better positioned than most (MUCH better positioned in Mike’s view) – but we all will have lost something much more valuable.
What struck me from each of these interactions was that none of these smarter minds would I describe as a PM ‘cheerleader’. Their positions were arrived at through empirical, data-driven analysis; and in many cases, their endorsement of gold and silver is made with a measure of emotional reluctance. These are not people pushing gold to make a buck or advance an ideological agenda. These are concerned men looking to find options that will help their followers prosper, and finding few.
So, while the anxiety and emotions swirl powerfully on price smashes like today, I’m able to withstand them better due to the sober counsel I’ve received from those mentioned above. If you’re playing the long game (as I am), days like today are just noise. In fact, they’re good opportunities to add to your positions at lower cost, if you have the dry powder and the courage to do so.
Hopefully, the insights above help those of you holding the precious metals similarly ignore the noise. And orient on building true wealth of the kind our ReslientLife.com community focuses on. Many of the conversations Chris and I had with these smarter minds above ended in a discussion of the importance of the resiliency-building we advocate and enable here on Peak Prosperity. We are beginning to see these precious metals experts validate our position that, while important, money is not wealth. True wealth is your safety, health, relationships, work, community, knowledge, skills, etc. And advancing those are what will ensure a prosperous future.”
So, what in the world is going on in the precious metals market? Former Assistant of the US Treasury, Dr. Paul Craig Roberts recently stated his belief that the smash in gold and silver has been entirely orchestrated by the Federal Reserve. He warned that supply of available physical gold is “rapidly declining.” He went on to state:
The exchange value of the dollar is (being) threatened, and if that collapses the Fed loses control over interest rates. Then the bond market blows up, the stock market blows up, and the banks that are too big to fail, fail. So it’s an act of desperation because they’ve got to establish in people’s minds that the dollar is the only safe place, it is the only safe haven, not gold, not silver, and not other currencies.
And to help protect this policy they have convinced or pressured the Japanese to inflate their own currency. The Japanese are now going to print money like the Fed. They are lobbying the ECB to print more. So I see this as a dollar protection policy.
…I know where the gold is coming from in the market, it’s just paper. It’s naked shorts, there is no gold there. If somebody wanted to take delivery on those contracts nobody would be able to provide it.”
I’ll keep buying with cash and possessing physical precious metals. The girls are being scared off. The men prosper.
This week, I’ll be giving a presentation to a non-profit group called Smart Women Smart Money in Salt Lake City, Utah. I’m very much looking forward to it because women make far better investors than men, and will better understand my presentation. It’s not often one gets a chance to preach to the choir.
Boys will be boys One of the most famous investment studies was entitled “Boys will be Boys - Gender Overconfidence and Common Stock Investment.” This study, published in a 2000 edition of the Quarterly Journal of Economics, was conducted by Terrance Odean of the University of California, Berkeley, and Brad Barber of the University of California, Davis and is discussed in this video by Jill Schlesinger.
The study examined the stock trading patterns of men and women, and found that men trade 45 percent more than women. Due to the fact that trading reduces returns, the study determined that the average women’s return was reduced by 1.72 percentage points annually, while the men’s performance was reduced by 2.65 percentage points. Thus, women outperformed men by nearly a full percentage point.
Curiously, the difference was even more pronounced when comparing single women to single men. Single men traded 67 percent more than single women, allowing single women to outperform single men by 1.44 percentage points a year.
Odean and Barber tested several hypotheses to explain the difference, but ultimately settled on the explanation that men have been shown to be more psychologically overconfident than women. Overconfidence leads to more trading which leads to lower returns.
…
Do you notice a negative correlation between asset price changes and the number of daily HBB posts? When the stock market is on a bull run, the daily number of HBB posts dwindles. By contrast, on a day like today, when gold and stocks took a major tumble, we made it to 502 posts or more, including this one:
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Nothing in the U.S.’s financial future will work out out make sense if young people are unable to find meaningful employment to develop skills, habits, and do some of the civic heavy-lifting required to pay the social security and medicare for the huge amounts of old people we’re about to have. And that’s nothing compared to what we’ll need to compete in the world.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-jobs-crisis-for-younger-workers-2013-04-12
Summary - young people continue to drop out of the official labor market statistics. Big trouble ahead.
Legalize the 22 millions undocumented, every young person will have at least 2 jobs.
It will lead to mass unemployment as business unable to afford to pay minimum wage get rid of the now “legal” workers.
As boomers retire they will free up jobs for the younger generation.
Plus as a culture we have been in the phase of accumulating stuff - stuff that can be made overseas for cheap.
But the big job opportunities in the future will be medical and elder care. Also refurbishing the houses the boomers and their parents leave behind. Neither of these can be outsourced.
As the boomer death rate skyrockets, they will free up 35 MILLION excess empty houses in addition to the 25 MILLION excess empty houses already out there.
Retire? The only boomers who can afford to retire are the front end boomers.
The tail end boomers are gonna drop at their jobs.
Back to the 19th century we go
“As boomers retire they will free up jobs for the younger generation.”
That’s been the mantra now for at least two decades, but I am still waiting to see it happen.
Another possibility: As boomers retire, technology replaces human labor with automation.
Another possibility: As boomers retire, technology replaces human labor with automation.
And with lower-paid replacement people. I’ve seen it at many places I’ve worked in the last 15 years. The higher paid top managers are replaced with the next generation, but the wages are always lower for the new guys, and they never catch up.
Well of course the newer guys make less. That’s what the markets dictate. Markets for labor are not static. You must be one of those people who think that post WWII - 1970 or 1980 US middle class standard of living was the norm. It was an anomaly which will be even more apparent as more and more time passes.
‘it was an anomaly’
yup.
Well of course the newer guys make less
I realize that, but they made way less. The salary structure and/or jobs were rejiggered, redefined, and combined with others, so they’d never make what the top managers used to make, no matter how long they stayed, even thought they usually ended up with more work and responsibilities than those they replaced.
Was it an anomaly, or did it work exactly as predicted?
More money and security went to the middle and lower classes, they spent more, and we had a robust economy.
We chose to quit following this course, lowered taxes on the rich and squeezed everybody else, and here we are with a stagnant economy and all the money in the hands of the few. Exactly like we had before we tried Keynesian economics.
It worked. We even had nearly paid off the debts from the Depression and WW2, until Reagan and Greenspan took the wheel, ending the Keynesian period, and our shared prosperity. (Though the rich kept doing quite well.)
I Dunno. My BFF’s SIL just got a new job for 70K I thought that was impressive for a 29-30 year old.
But he’s a tech wizard so I guess they all make good money.
I could have taken a computer class my senior year in high school but I went to college instead. I am the same age as Bill Gates.
I dunno, I don’t envy the tech wizards their lifestyle.
You must be one of those people who think that post WWII - 1970 or 1980 US middle class standard of living was the norm. It was an anomaly .
If the 1945-1980 job structure was such an anamoly, then why does HBB think that house prices will revert to the “norm” of 1945-1980? If our jobs are going to go back to the 1890’s, then shouldn’t our house prices do the same, i.e. where only the rich actually own and everyone else rents?
I Dunno. My BFF’s SIL just got a new job for 70K I thought that was impressive for a 29-30 year old.
As a techie you are considered to be in your “prime” at that age. 29-30 year olds were making that 70K 20 years ago. So techies have been losing ground as well.
If the 1945-1980 job structure was such an anamoly, then why does HBB think that house prices will revert to the “norm” of 1945-1980? If our jobs are going to go back to the 1890’s, then shouldn’t our house prices do the same, i.e. where only the rich actually own and everyone else rents?
What was the transaction price of the house you bought?
What is the square footage of the house you bought?
Are you saying that bigger and bigger government that consumes more and more of GDP and borrows 46 cents of every dollar it spends is not the way to prosperity?
You are such a brain-dead brony hack that everything appears like a potential talking point to you. Disgusting.
are you sayin those chicks at the convention were men with booobzzz ??
Brony? The guys that like My Little Pony : Friendship is Magic?
You are such a brain-dead brony hack that everything appears like a potential talking point to you. Disgusting.
Keep on drinking the kool-aid and blaming others as your leader destroys what is left of the US economy.
PS - And guess where most new jobs used to come from…
———————
Uh Oh, Obamacare Math Sinks In for Small Businesses
CNBC - By Bertha Coombs - 15 APR 2013
Even as you finish with this year’s taxes, if you’re a small-business owner experts say it’s time to look ahead to 2014, when the tax implications of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) begin to kick in.
“Just now, things are really sinking in that there is this employer responsibility,” said Amanda Austin, of the National Federation of Independent Business.
Under ACA, often called Obamacare, employers with 50 or more full-time workers face a mandate to provide insurance. It’s known formally as shared responsibility.
“You’re going to need somebody to do a thorough review of the impact on your business,” Austin said, because the new rules are complex.
As a business owner, you could still be charged a penalty even if you offer a health insurance. If your plan costs an employee more than 9.5% of his income, and the employee opts for a government subsidy on a health exchange, it will also trigger a fine. The penalty for each employee who receives a subsidy in that case is $3000.
New Obamacare Math
A recent ADP study found employees who earn less than $45,000 annually are more likely not to enroll in employer health plans, because of cost. Among employees who earn between $15,000 and $20,000 annually, only 37 percent opt to sign up employer health insurance.
As a small-business owner, this year you’re going to want to spell out all of the tax consequences to your employees, if they opt out of taking your coverage, say experts.
“Employers are going to have to come in and have a frank conversation,” says NFIB’s Amanda Austin, and explain how tax penalties will work for both you an your employees.
H&R Block’s Kathy Pickering expects the first year of tax filing season under ACA in 2015 will be confusing for most everyone.
“We are all going to go through a learning curve–the IRS, individuals, and employers,” she said.
The real fix is to go single-payer, like every other advanced economy has.
But nooooo, that would be socialism, and bureaucratic death panels snuffing granny.
So we get Obamacare, designed primarily to keep the vampire squids of the insurance-healthcare industrial complex happy.
Of course, it was originally a Republican plan. The only reason Repubs are pizzed, is because he hijacked their idea.
plus one to that, jetfixr. obamacare is just a can-kicking of the present failed model. the system will collapse under its own weight and be replaced by single-payer.
single payer would be smart, esp. if it completely cut out private insurance rather than using them to process claims.
Just another angry old man with nothing better to do than complain on the internet all day.
Where were you 30 years ago when this all got started, old man?
Where was I 30 years ago? In diapers laying in a crib.
I reserve the right to mock 2Ban’s posts because they’re about as insightful to real conservative thinking as Mark Kirk’s grindr.com profile.
Actually yes, 2banana, Joe IS saying that big government does not an economy make. But when private sector pitches into the economies of China, India, or the Cayman islands instead of the American economy, well, a big government fraction is what you’re gonna get.
That’s like saying the smaller the business gets, the more managers we need to run it.
Blue:
No it’s not.
Big V back in the house…
I actually didn’t intend that post as a partisan talking point at all. Just reinforcing (lest we forget) that our economy really isn’t working. Older people are working longer (largely because they have to) and younger people often aren’t working at all. This would not happen in a properly functioning society. Abundance we free up older people and open up relatively more opportunities for younger cohorts.
How do we get back to this type of natural balance? I don’t have the answer and I doubt either party does either.
Offshore your jobs to other countries and import uneducated people, I am sure this will end nicely.
I am for legalizing illegals, but the effect is going to be catastrophic for the young and the low skilled in this country.
Joe, didn’t you take some economics courses as an undergraduate? You should know the answer. The problem is high unemployment. The solution is higher economic growth. The fact that certain groups are suffering more from the high unemployment isn’t particularly noteworthy.
The fact that certain groups are suffering more from the high unemployment isn’t particularly noteworthy.
———-
That’s just not true. There is a lot of research on how human capital is developed and how early-career development has long term effects on lifestyle choices, quality of life, health, etc. Moreover, a society which transfers vast sums of money from the young to the old is a) ripe for massive public choice problems/misallocation of resources and b) unsustainable because you will eventually have a collapse in living standards, human capital, asset prices.
I wasn’t saying I have answers or pushing a partisan point. Just driving home the fact that there is no “recovery” no matter what the aggregate UE #s are. It absolutely matters who is jobless and why. Now, whether the government can or should do anything about it… that’s a different subject entirely.
“How do we get back to this type of natural balance?”
I’ve got a great idea: How about if we expend tax dollars and Fed QE3 on reflating the real estate bubble? That will create more private sector jobs, which everyone knows are inherently more beneficial to the economy than government jobs, for whatever purpose.
Speaking of illegals, looks like the Gang of 8 in the Senate have hammered out some kind of deal: path to citizenship. But there are a lot of requirements. 10 years for a green card, 3 more years to citizenship.
My question is: what happens during those 10 years while all these folks are presumably still illegal? Are the Fed gonna bust them, or employers, for working? Or will there be some moratorium on deportations? It seems to me that the path to citizenship is a moot point if the undocumenteds don’t want to be citizens, and only really care about working for peanuts without being deported.
what happens during those 10 years while all these folks are presumably still illegal?
I think everybody gets a temporary legal status immidiately. I have said before and will say it again nothing good comes out for most Americans when McCain and Graham are part of a “solution.” No wonder they are Democrats’ favorite republicans.
path to citizenship is a moot point if the undocumenteds don’t want to be citizens
They will become citizen and they will vote for a party that will promise free stuff. The illegals know very well that they have the right to have everything for free. And they will get it.
When they find out they have to pay taxes on worldwide income, the lure of shiny new green cards will fade.
I think everybody gets a temporary legal status immidiately.
Are you sure about this? There’s going to be a firestorm when this news hits the MSM.
According to my brother in the Border Patrol, a lot of the illegal problem has fixed itself.
No jobs = no illegals crossing to look for jobs.
Tax Freedom Day has never come as early as 1979 ever since the conservatives got power
1979 April 22
1988 May 2
1992 May 9
2000 April 23
2008 May 5
http://taxfoundation.org/article/tax-freedom-day-2013-april-18-five-days-later-last-year
Tax freedom, huh. Not in this country and not with tax and spend liberals running the show… I got a call last night from a close friend who needed to vent after finishing his taxes. They own a house in upstate NY which they rent out while living, working and renting on one of the wealthy islands off of the coast of MA.
They make a low to mid six figure income combined, but pay a high price to rent year round. They had some trouble with their renter in upstate NY, who got behind on the rent. In turn, they got behind on their real estate taxes in NY. They took some money out of a retirement fund to pay the taxes they owed because they were short on cash. They paid taxes on that money at the time they took it out, but not the penalty for early withdrawal.
Jump to tax day, and because the money they took out of their retirement account is considered income in the year they took it out, it put their income over the $150,000 that is an upper limit for allowing any deductions on rental property (you can still take the deductions, but any loss doesn’t impact your AGI that year, rather it is carried over). This income level also means they lost most other deductions as well. Because of that, instead of owing the government about $1,500, they now owe the government over $8,000.
Needless to say, they are now in a financial bind because of the government tax code, the ridiculous real estate taxes of upstate NY, and their own inexperience dealing with these types of issues. Welcome to modern day slavery… you work and the government takes everything you earn.
Welcome to modern day slavery… you work and the government takes everything you earn.
In order to give the money to the “correct” groups for their votes and support to stay in power.
Hey - what is the first things public union goon does when he retires from NYS with a golden pension?
A: Sells his house and moves to a low tax and right to work state.
And no, they could care less if you go into bankruptcy and sell all of your 401k to pay the insane property taxes. Pay up sucker!
“…..low to mid six figure income…..”
And an $8K tax bill puts them in a bind?
They could dump the house in NY, buy one/two/three out here in BFE, and pay 1-1.5% on property taxes.
Of course, renting the place out for more than about $1000/month might be a problem, seeing as how that is out of reach for 85% of the local gentry. And this assumes you can actually find renters with decent ($20/hr) jobs.
and an $8K tax bill puts them in a bind?
You underestimate the cost of living in MA in general and living on an island like Martha’s Vineyard in particular… they pay$2400/mo just in rent. Add in taxes, food, fuel, insurance, a car payment, the cost of a having a couple of young children and a house in a high-tax state like New York with a mortgage and a renter who is behind on rent and the paycheck disappears quickly.
Who makes them live in a high-tax state?
Sounds like a couple who owns a home and makes $150K a year has money problems and it’s everyone’s fault but theirs. Not the first time I’ve heard that sob story on the HBB.
Maybe they should move from the Vineyard over to Hyannis or Falmouth? Sounds like they don’t make enough for their lifestyle. Why do you blame the $8000 upstate taxes instead of the high cost of living to be on Martha’s Vineyard?
Ewww, Hyannis or Falmouth? As if!
read the reader comments on any wall street journal article about youth un/underemployment i.e. the lucky ducky future, and the sentiment that prevails is that everyone should be a s.t.e.m. major, and that that would solve all of usa’s problems.
Wealth is no a zero su, game. Skilled jobs are not a zero sum game. You want jobs? Create them!
How many jobs have you created working for that defense contractor? (Yet “ignoring” the police state we live in.)
I don’t hear Bill whining and crying about not having a job.
Nice strawman, no one said Bill didn’t have a job. I’m calling him out on his hypocrisy. He bemoans the policestate and the military industrial complex, etc. But he makes his money programming missiles for a DoD contractor. We make about the same money and both nibble off of DoD private contractor money. The difference is, he thinks he can do that and “ignore” the police state.
The difference is, he thinks he can do that and “ignore” the police state.
But you think you can do that and escape all responsibility by saying stuff like ‘both parties $uck’, or ‘I voted independent’, or ‘it shouldn’t be this way, but it is’.
I’m not sure I see the difference.
He thinks he is being moral and living his values.
I admit my decisions are amoral at best and that i am not living my beliefs.
With the middle class dead
and oligopoly like power in many industries
Tell me how we can all go out and create jobs.
The sentiment you have works well when there is a middle class and the barriers to entry of business are not as large as they are now.
The sentiment BILA expresses works well when you have a sugar daddy named the Department of Defense.
And he has a nice tax dodge working as well.
If you are unemployed you need only one job. If I lost my job and could not find another job working for someone else then I would find work. It might not be my preferred work and at what I would like to earn but I would find work. Creating a job can mean freelancing. It does not mean the all the capital and infrastructure necessary for a brick and motor type business. But for many it’s easier to collect benefits and complain about oligopoly like power in many industries.
Actually, if you couldn’t find another job, then you wouldn’t.
“Creating a job can mean freelancing.”
Freelancing often means full time work for part time pay. Any time not directly producing income is eaten up by bookkeeping, marketing, and management tasks usually done by other employees in a medium to large business. If you decide to outsource those tasks, the cost of hiring some other freelancer to do them comes out of your bottom line.
One of the benefits of freelancing is that you can employ your younger relatives to do some of the tasks, giving them resume building experience.
Create them!
So easy to write this. Not so easy to do. Not likely to happen sufficiently in the next decade, unless some kind of a miracle happens.
I could create a few jobs with my sideline deal.
-If there was any demand (which there isn’t).
-If there weren’t a bunch of rich effers constantly trying to lowball everyone.
I could create a few jobs with my sideline deal.
-If …
-If …
As I mentioned, easy to write, not so easy to DO.
Yes, Joe, we need to go back to the American School of Economics. The one that requires tariffs to function, so as to protect first-world jobs from third-world slaves. We should abandon the British School of Economics, which we are currently exercising.
Pbs frontline’s next episode is an expose of the 401k/IRA scam.
Short version: the big winner in 401ks and IRAs I’d… Wall St!
I just watched their last episode on the Syrian civil war… Chilling. Crazy behind the lines footage. Do not watch if you can’t handle loss of blood and dismemberment.
Re 401k/IRAs… The financial companies sell the dream but they have excellent lawyers and lobbyists, beware. Lots of things that should never be legal are, in fact, the standard practices of the industry. Untold wealth is handed to middlemen. Fee arrangements that are laughable high or one-sided, etc.
Oh, and as i always say, the tax “advantages” aren’t really worth the risk and are a joke compared to vehicles used by the rich.
As it is with housing, it is with the 401k scam.
Is not the 401k marketing in the media enough of a dead giveaway?
True… those commercials and mailings/flyers don’t pay for themselves. T. Rowe Price, Morgan Stanley, etc always acquiring new and better office space, etc. All paid for by fees.
A lot of the fees are incredibly subtle and easily missed.
Moreover, ALL the lobbying & lawyering these companies do means they have all the real power. The “benefits” of 401k/IRA are very lame. The companies aren’t lobbying for the consumer/investor to be treated well, they’re lobbying to be able to nickel and dime you. And they LOVE the fact that your money is tied up until age 65+. They also don’t have to pay a premium to lock up the money since the gov’t will penalize you heavily if you ever want to do an early w/d.
From the perspective of the retirement planning “industry”, it’s a hustle. And people line up to get ripped off. Amazing stuff, really.
The “benefits” of 401k/IRA are very lame. The companies aren’t lobbying for the consumer/investor to be treated well, they’re lobbying to be able to nickel and dime you. And they LOVE the fact that your money is tied up until age 65+. They also don’t have to pay a premium to lock up the money since the gov’t will penalize you heavily if you ever want to do an early w/d.
From the perspective of the retirement planning “industry”, it’s a hustle. And people line up to get ripped off. Amazing stuff, really.
What joe smith said.
I’m still laughing on my deal……
Former employer only matched company stock in 401K. Decided to get out in 2007 while the getting was good. Everyone gave me hell for doing it, because of the 10% penalty. Used the money to pay off everything, and have a cash cushion when (as inevitably happens in my business when the economy tanks) I got laid off.
Sold stock at $56….got up to $63, then imploded like everything else in 2008. Hit a low of around $9. Hasn’t been above $25 since.
May never get to $56 again, unless we get in a no-BS shooting war, or the Main Street/USA manufacturing market recovers.
Like anyone in Washington or on Wall Street is worried about that.
And they LOVE the fact that your money is tied up until age 65+
Not quibbling, but isn’t it until age 59 1/2 ?
Probably depends what kind of fund and investments as well as the provider. Vanguard and Fidelity seem to have the lowest fees.
- you’re still locking it up until age 65 or paying penalties to pull out your own money
- you’re not being paid a premium for this locking up of your money
- you can’t just take the whole thing as a big lump (without penalty)
- you’re still paying taxes on the money either when you put it into the account or when you w/d it (depends on which type of IRA or if you’re using a 401k)
- the tax dodge is nothing like “small businesses” get, it’s only enough to make you think it’s a good deal (which, see above, it’s not)
- if we ever hit a really bad fiscal crisis, good chance a large sized 401k/IRA gets you means-tested or taxed as part of “balancing the budget”.
RE: Locking it up unit you’re 5. I think with the Roth IRA after the money has been in there 5 years or more you can take it out - at lest the principle.
vanguard.com
I know this, I grew up near Vanguard’s HQ and my best friend from childhood works @ Vanguard.
That said, you’re either being purposefully obtuse or are somehow unaware of the “financial expert” / financially planning industry and how they persuade the sheep to hand over their money.
Also, as said before, the benefits of 401k are paltry compared to what the “winners” in our economic system use and, in fact, quite risky if you are under ~40 yrs old. There is a lot of systemic risk and fiscal risk going forward. Having a big pool of money well-documented for the government is for lazy loosers [sic]. Sheep will get sheered.
I don’t want to be a brony sheep, hence I only contribute to get a match. Other than that, it’s the Mittens 2.0 plan. Start a “small business”, be aggressive, and use the VASTLY superior tools available to “job creators”.
John Bogle’s book is also pretty good.
That said, Vanguard or other index funds are still part of a system that has restrictions on your money, very limited tax advantages, and makes you a target for means-testing or special taxation of 401k/IRA w/d in the future.
No thanks!
“…obtuse…”
I’m tired — had to drive kids to class at 6am and haven’t turned on the coffee maker yet. But I just wanted to make the briefest reference to Vanguard as a reminder that not all mutual fund companies follow the ‘rape the customer while pretending to help him save for retirement’ business model.
That is all.
If you have to look up your money until age 65+ and can’t do a lump sum withdrawal even at that time, that, my friend, is not a good deal. You should be getting a heavy premium. Moreover, all that money is locked up, it can’t be used to generate both short term profits and used to create “losses” for tax purposes (depreciation, amortization, loopholes).
“Having a big pool of money well-documented for the government is for lazy loosers [sic].”
Any account you have that has your social security number on it is “well-documented” by the government. Any account.
No one seems to pay any attention when I mention this, but a few years ago, when I took my friends to the IRS service center to take care of some of the years they hadn’t filed. They also had to report an identity theft issue. The woman who was handling their identity theft issue typed for a moment or two on her computer and informed my friends of a *non-interest bearing* account that someone had opened under his name and SS number in California. The account generated no income at all and the IRS had it in their system. The woman told them that as far as the government was concerned, he owned that account.
The government knows about your retirement accounts. It also knows about all your other accounts.
No one seems to pay any attention when I mention this,”
I hear you I also think a 401K is safer than cash in the Bank. OJ simpson got to keep his retirement but cash in a Bank or invested. bu bye.
I think Switerland is now complying with the USA in sharing info on big accounts ?
Hiding cash like Mitt Romey is far beyond my skill level or ability. They would crush me like they are crushing the Gold Bugs today.
I get your complaints against a 401k I guess, but it seems to me that it would be way more efficient to just get better at your current job than it would be to start a second line of employment with rental houses or a small business. Whether ‘better’ means going “bill in la” or starting your own company focusing on your skill or continually changing companies until you have maxxed out your salary - those are all relevant strategies.
I know what is involved in running a restaurant or fixing rental houses, and those aren’t passive income sources like a 401k or IRA or just regular investing is. They are full-time jobs, and I understand diversification, but our free time is not a growing commodity.
IOW, your strategy is great if your only goal is to make money and if your original job allowed you to make enough to start a second business, but terrible for everything else. And you want to talk about hidden fees- just wait until you get your first rental.
I know what is involved in running a restaurant or fixing rental houses, and those aren’t passive income sources like a 401k or IRA or just regular investing is. They are full-time jobs, and I understand diversification, but our free time is not a growing commodity.
Exactly!
My former landlady left a PT job so that she could concentrate on her rental property business. Which turned out to be much more than a FT job.
I felt sorry for her because she had so little free time.
Vanguard 500 index fund. Average annual gain since inception August 1976: over 10 percent. Vanguard even has a few older funds. AAR above 10%. You young people snicker at cycles. Recessions, depressions, wars, nanny statism, deregulation, these funds still go strong and outlived them.
“this time it’s diddle rent!” LOL
This iPad kills me. “different.”
This is piddling compared to what an aggressive person with a sizable stack of cash can do.
My experience is different. I put 10,000 dollars in an S&P 500 index fund in February 2001. I pulled it out in July 2011. I had just about 11,000 dollars. Most of the time it was in the fund, it was underwater (worth less than 10,000).
Perhaps rolling in 10K now, and waiting another 10 years will result in a 10% annual appreciation. But I kind of doubt it. No one knows for sure though.
“this time it’s diddle rent!”
That was an awesome iPadism.
I pulled it out in July 2011. I had just about 11,000 dollars.
In fall 2007, it should have been much higher but I know you can’t time the market.
Past performance is always an indicator of future performance.
That’s why I have all my money in Pets.com stock.
well, they are a joke compared to what the uber-rich can do, but what’s your alternative? Money under the mattress? Real estate? Mithril coins?
If you’re lucky enough to have money to invest for retirement, take the employer match, hold your nose, find a low cost index s&P fund and park it there. Ride the wave, bro, it’s the only game in town.
You have to start fairly young and be aggressive (or else have a lot of money sitting around later in life) but there are plenty of ways to do better.
Save up a couple hundred grand and then go talk to a tax lawyer or good CPA (preferably working in concert) and you’ll see what I mean.
Meekly accepting the pitifully-bad 401k/IRA options out there is really sad, IMO. I’d rather be stuck on a 20 hr flight seating next to a crying infant.
Right Joe Smith, you did exactly that and beat the S & P 500.
J6P never had nor ever will have, a couple of grand just laying around.
What are these incredible investments one can get for two hundred thousand dollars that put you in the big leagues?
couple of hundred grand
What are these incredible investments one can get for two hundred thousand dollars that put you in the big leagues?
———–
None. Read the fine print in your average Ameritrade ad or e-trade ad. Straight off e-trade’s website:
“$250,000 or more will receive $500.” Invest $250k to get $500. Oh bam! They just kicked my investment up a notch!
You don’t even get a free personal advisor from a big bank unless you have 7 figures to invest, not a ‘couple of hundred grand’.
This advice is worthless.
@BillinLA - my parents have done this, as have my in laws. They own businesses (and the land/buildings) nad rental properties plus tons of money stuffed in better retirement accounts (for small business owners, although they all have/had well-paying day jobs).
The tax savings alone *crush* whatever lame return you get in a 401k/IRA. Also, by having cash easily accessible (not tied up til 65+) it’s easier to take advantage of duress and scoop up better assets.
My parents have made a killing buying tax liens, for example. Returns far above S&P 500, but you have to be savvy and work with an attorney.
Same thing for rental properties - you always buy a minimalist property, for cash, and pay all cash to have brought up to standard. You have to turn down 9 deals out of 10, but when you have the cash you can always buy more cheaply.
A 401k/IRA is a loser investment vehicle for many, many reasons. I could go on and on, but in short - not enough tax benefit (could give a laundry list here…), you have to wait until you’re old and wrinkly to touch it, you don’t have any managerial control over the invested companies, and there are stiff penalties if you take the money early.
Eco, you were right the first time.
Yeah, I know.
Sad ain’t it?
Eco, you were right the first time.
Speak for yourself.
You can self-direct an IRA, which is why one of your “wealthy guys” has $10’s of millions in an IRA. The options are far more limited in a 401k…but that tax-deferred 50% match sure is a nice thing. How many years of 0% market returns in your 401k until you ONLY are getting a 10% return on YOUR investment? 4 years? 4.5 years?
Don’t get me wrong, I don’t LOVE IRAs/401ks, but I take full advantage of them, and then put the rest of my money elsewhere.
If you keep an active business in an IRA, the income can be subject to tax unless you protect it by doing some fancy structural stuff using an offshore tax haven. That is why the huge IRA accounts were held in (or at least through) the Cayman Islands.
Google “blocker corporations.”
I just don’t understand how people have some much trouble with money. I never earned a lot but have always lived well below my means. (Never felt deprived except maybe the first 10 years of my work life.) Consequently I now have liquid assets 10X my income. I am in my early 50s.
You have to really push the boundaries of legality to do what Mittens did. In other words, be ready to litigate if necessary. I think that’s a bad idea, but he tried it and won, so good for him. He gets all that money and gets the extra satisfaction of knowing he screwed the country out of a ton of money but his party still nominated him to lead said country. I loathe him as a human being but respect him for completely abusing the people who write our tax codes.
@Polly, if what you own is stock in a privately held corporation (not partnership with flow-through taxation), do you need a “blocking” entity? Doesn’t the corporation itself serve as the blocker?
And you make it seem like creating offshore “blocking” entities is some underhanded trick limited to rich tax dodgers…many times such “blocking” entities are set up so that endowments/pension plans/foundations can invest in enterprises that would otherwise create taxable income for them. Their avoidance of tax is done quite out in the open.
Heck, even when Google set up their crazy tax avoidance scheme, they went to the IRS first to get sign-off on the whole thing.
When can we focus on fixing this kind of stuff?
If you own stock in a privately held domestic corporation that corporation is paying US taxes, to the extent that it can’t shelter its income in other ways. If you sell the stock and have held it for a while, you get long term capital gains treatment. Pretty standard structure for holding a business. No big deal.
Off shore blockers are used to shelter partnership income (hedge and/or private equity funds usually). The partnerships are off shore in tax havens so there is not tax in the jurisdiction where they are located. If you are a US citizen/resident, in normal circustances you would pay taxes on the pass through income of that fund. Even if you hold it through an IRA, the IRA is deemed to be in the business the partnership is in and if it is an active business, it would have to pay tax despite being a tax advantaged retirement savings account. Easy.
Now, put a blocker corporation in between the IRA and the partnership for no other reason than to avoid taxes, and you get to avoid all the taxes until you repatriate the funds. You can put off the taxes forever if you never repatriate the funds. Very useful for people who have more money than they can spend in a lifetime. Not much use to the rest of us.
I have never heard of Congress proposing that this aspect of the tax law be changed. Actually, I have heard of someone proposing that the same treatment be afforded to investments in hedge funds and private equity funds that don’t bother to set up the blocker corporation, but the Congressman got messed up in some ethics issues and the proposal never went anywhere.
Anon, some people just plain can’t manage their money.
But for most people, illness, accidents, wage freeze for years, industry collapse, offshored jobs, and unexpected high dollar repairs or house or car appliances, combined with recessions where they lose their job, again, are all it takes to never be able to have security and savings again.
Remember, HALF the US workforce makes $500 week or less. For almost 2 decades, that’s been the definition of poor or near poor. You basically live week to week on that kind of money. Insurance? Savings? Investments? HA! So problems come directly out of your pocket. Which just makes the hole deeper.
You can’t live below that. The only place below that is on the street.
Combined with inflation but wages not keeping up, well, yer screwed.
That’s why.
Joe Smith, you are speaking about how to become wealthy from an armchair. From your other posts I can tell you are young. You have not learned from Bogle or Jeremy Siegal. You ignore market cycles. You sound just like Robert Kiyosaki telling 50-something Bill in L.A. with his seven figure net worth that he cannot get to his seven figure net worth by his 401ks IRAs and outside stock mutual fund investments.
The financial companies sell the dream but they have excellent lawyers and lobbyists, beware.”
You need to take a look at the fees. Jack Boogle’s book is a good place to start to understand mutual funds.
I think he has many books. The one I read long ago was ” Mutual fund investing for the intelligent investor”
The problem is most HR departnments are clueless about Mutual funds so they pick the full service expensive ones, 12B fees, high expense ratios, etc.
Vanguard wouldn’t even play with our small start-up back in 2001, so we got Goldman sucks. I didn’t join then because of high fees but complained and eventually we got big enough to switch to Fidelity. Funny the start up guys, the millionare’s who already made it, didn’t have 401K’s just kinda laughed at them hmmmm…
The tax advantage to my IRA is that I can trade wacky stuff that would make doing my taxes annoying, but I don’t have to worry about it. I try to do only investments that are simple to do taxes on in my non-IRA account. 401Ks are in fact bad because of the limited choices of funds. But IRA is only bad if you are stupid with how you invest. Most everything bad discussed in this blog is based on people being stupid with their money. It isn’t always the thing itself that is bad, but the behavior of people around that thing.
Oh, and 401k actually can be a pretty good deal if your company does some matching of funds. It isn’t common. 1 out of my 6 jobs has done it.
sounds like one part of a setup for takeover…pbs, doin’ its part..
Yeah, sure, laying bear that Wall Street continues to rape Main Street by portraying handing over your money as “responsible” is really part of some conspiracy.
LOL.
The in-the-know rich do not get that way by using restrictive vehicles like 401k/IRA. Those are for the increasingly powerless sheep in the middle class who will continue to get sheered.
I love how people assume that my storyline that “Wall St rapes main street” must mean that I favor the government saving everyone. In reality, it is quite the opposite. Anyone who funds some 401k/IRA and thinks that’s the road to a good retirement is, IMO, incredibly lame and deserves to the taken out back and shot to save their future misery.
The in-the-know rich do not get that way by using restrictive vehicles like 401k/IRA
I thought Mittens had $100 million, or some such huge amount, in his IRA.
Mittens, as you’ll recall, put things into his IRA that J6P can’t touch in a million years.
And most of his wealth is not even in the US, much less some IRA or 401k.
And most of his wealth is not even in the US, much less some IRA or 401k.
Honestly, would you keep your money in US if you had money like Mittens?
It doesn’t require Mittens (TM) Money to be aggressive and exploit the parts of the code that are written for the “haves”. Save up a nice big pot of money then go talk to an aggressive CPA or tax lawyer.
Stop lumping together 401k and IRA. They are not even close to the same. If you have a 401k immediately move it to IRA when you change jobs or quit a job, without penalty.
My house (which I am evidently not allowed to buy) and my 401K (which I am evidently not allowed to have) are my only chances of retiring without eating cat food or suffering some health problem in silent pain.
Maybe Northeasterner can recommend a weapon that would be presentable to be shot with?
Your shanty has nothing to do with it. It is your decision making that assured your bag-lady status.
Pimpy, what do you do for a living that allows you to harrass other posters here all day?
Can’t maintain messenging huh Debt-Boaster?
Well, you have implied that you don’t build houses, so it seemed pointless to keep asking you why you continue to build them. So what exactly do you do for a living in the field of “construction”? Most people here have been somewhat forthcoming about their jobs or professions.
And why do you always answer a question with a question, and never (ever ever) give an informative, truthful answer to any question you are asked?
There is a liar on the HBB. You.
It’s all been posted here before my dearest DebtCoaster… including photographs.
Carry on with your deceptions.
MiddleCoaster
Thank you. Pimp thinks all regional housing markets are all the same, and he likes to pick on folks who actually have penciled out the costs, and decided on THEIR best solution.
Ignore pimp. His head is up his you know what.
When? 2005? Before my time.
Given a guess, I would say that he’s in charge of ordering materials (in bulk) for a either a stick developer or a factory pre-fab builder. He definitely doesn’t “build” — ie weild a hammer — himself. He’s in front of a computer too much.
Again…
What was the transaction price
How many square foot is your shanty
What are you afraid of?
Thanks. I figured he works for a builder, and does not literally build stuff. Other than animosity.
“Builders”? LMAO
Don’t poke yourself with your knitting needles.
Pimpy, what do you do for a living that allows you to harrass other posters here all day?
He’s a landlord and and involved in home building, but not the actual doing any work part, just the sitting around in front of a computer part.
Ie., a parasite.
A desk jockey, talking his REIC employer’s book.
And talking tough and bullying, which usually means he’s a dumpy little guy.
Landlord? BWHAHAHAHAHA
Ok DebtJunkie.
The sort of character that might be played by Danny DeVito, perhaps?
I knew this when they first created them.
Never forget that they are also trying to take our SS.
Wall St. has cost us more money than the government ever has and given us less in return.
Never forget that they are also trying to take our SS ??
Yep….Bush tried really hard but came up short….One of the few destructive policies that he failed to achieve…
NEWFLASH
All that money you paid in Social Security?
It is ALL gone. It has all been spent. There is NO lockbox with your name on it.
There are some IOUs in a general fund. Maybe you will get a little of it after we means test you.
Ask Greece and Cyprus how much these IOUs go for in a default or high inflation.
Boy, I am sure glad we defeated those evil republicans who wanted to give you the CHOICE of putting some of your OWN SS money into an account with your name on it. That you could invest in something other than government T-Bills. That you could leave to your children when you pass on.
The inhumanity of it all.
Never forget that they are also trying to take our SS.
It was spent on wars in the Middle East.
Knowing Iraqis are free to kill each other should comfort us all in our old age.
It’s not gone. That is Wall St propaganda.
If it’s not gone where is it?
If it’s not gone where is it?
The same place that the money went from Treasuries the gov sold. If we won’t pay what’s owed to joe6pack, then we shouldn’t pay what we owe the owners of Treasuries.
Or is it different because a lot of those are held by the wealthy? That makes the contract sacrosanct, right?
That makes the contract sacrosanct, right?
Yup, just as “sacrosanct” as a gold clause in a contract on 5 April 1933.
Where is it?
http://www.GAO.gov
who wanted to give you the CHOICE of putting some of your OWN SS money into an account with your name on it ??
No they didn’t…They wanted to hand it off to Wall Street just like 401K…THATS why it was defeated…
SS make Bernie Madoff look like a piker. The sooner the get rid of it the better. Sorry but I don’t need the nanny state forcing me to save for my old age.
Nice talking points.
BTW, if we have such a nanny state, then where’s our free birth control?
Oh, do you know where you can get that? In Iran, that’s where. Women of reproductive age can get BC at no charge from that state sponsor of terrorism government they have over there.
+1, Slim. Somehow our American ‘nanny state’ doesn’t actually want to take care of its young. Or prevent them from happening in the first place.
Their excuse is that doing so would “send the wrong message” and promote promiscuous activity. It is the same excuse they give for not to legalize cannabis. In both cases the huge benefits are trumped by the simplistic “we don’t want to send the wrong message”. As though anyone about to fool around or take a bong hit is thinking “is this something George Bush would want me to be doing?” And if it does cross the mind the answer is likely “No. So let’s do it!”
“Sorry but I don’t need the nanny state forcing me to save for my old age.”
You must have led one very sheltered and lucky life to think that way, because for most people, shit happens that is beyond their control.
Good Morning everyone.
Speaking of PBS, I am watching a GREAT documentary on the American Experience show on the history of “The Rockefellers”.
Great stuff. It is so long, it’s a two treadmill session documentary.
‘ I am watching a GREAT documentary on the American Experience show on the history of “The Rockefellers”.’
One golden spike!
Question: I don’t have a TV, so no watching Frontline for me. How soon after the broadcast will the 401k documentary be available online?
Hi Slim,
I think the same day for Frontline and a few days/weeks later for American Experience. The documentary is on PBS The American Experience online (free), and oh man, what a tale. Business minded family (all trained in childhood) believed in monopolies and religious based philanthropy. This is an A+ documentary.
IIRC total viewing time is 3 hours.
No TV in our home either. Starting piano lessons again this week!
Slim, Good Morning
Just in case my other post got lost….
Free online…American Experience days to a couple weeks to air online.
Rockefellers is 3 hrs long, IIRC
Frontline airs same day online.
No TV here either…Learning piano again.
Usually Frontline is very fast. They tend to include a lot of bonus features.
If you can stomach it, watch the Syria “behind the lines” documentary from this past week’s Frontline. Really shows what we’re dealing with in the arab world…
Joe
Thanks for the “Syria” documentary lead. I saw it, and I was afraid to watch it. Way to much truthiness, I assume.
Our muslim neighbors started off great, and when we set up boundaries, they didn’t much like us anymore. Very aggressive, and seem to be narcissistic.
They wanted “copy cat” info. and even stepped on newly poured cement and brick/mortar to knock on our door, ignoring the signage. We went the back way for a week. So far, not impressed. They are from the middle east, but not Israel.
If you’re paying more than $55-60 per square foot for a resale house, you’re paying far too much.
ALWAYS perform a per square foot estimate of the value of a house and NEVER entrust anyone else to do it for you. The Real Estate Machine will do and say anything to keep you from performing this analysis.
Why buy housing today when you can buy in Bethesda for 65 percent less in the coming years?
65 percent is nominal, btw. :-p
By the looks of the data for Bethesda, it’s fair to say that prices are so massively inflated that a 75% decline would put prices back down to the long term trend line.
“Current lifestyles and consumption patterns of the affluent middle class – involving high meat intake, use of fossil fuels, appliances, home and work air conditioning, and suburban housing are not sustainable.”
Maurice Strong, Secretary General of the UN’s Earth Summit, 1992.
Lowered expectations? Why does our leader keep telling us we can do better?
Does he mean we can lower our expectations further or we can maintain the prosperity for longer?
Lower consumption for the masses means more consumption for the likes of Strong and Gore. That was the whole point of the global warming scam.
Meat production is very trophically inefficient, prices have to skyrocket at some point. Meat production also uses crazy amounts of fresh water and produces vast amounts of greenhouse gas. My reasons for not eating meat also include use of growth hormone and antibiotics, as well as very unclear facilities for slaughter and packing. No thanks, don’t want to be a fat person with hormones going crazy and causing cancer in my digestive tract.
But when the UN troops in black helicopters take our cattle away, there will be no cheese for your eggplant parmesan.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ecological_efficiency
“In agricultural environments, maximizing energy transfer from producer (food) to consumer (livestock) can yield economic benefits. A sub-field of agricultural science has emerged that explores methods of monitoring and improving ecological and related efficiencies.
In comparing the net efficiency of energy utilization by cattle, breeds historically kept for beef production, such as the Hereford, outperformed those kept for dairy production, such as the Holstein, in converting energy from feed into stored energy as tissue.[2] This is a result of the beef cattle storing more body fat than the dairy cattle, as energy storage as protein was at the same level for both breeds. This implies that cultivation of cattle for slaughter is a more efficient use of feed than is cultivation for milk production.
While it is possible to improve the efficiency of energy use by livestock, it is vital to the world food question to also consider the differences between animal husbandry and plant agriculture. Caloric concentration in fat tissues are higher than in plant tissues, causing high-fat organisms to be most energetically-concentrated; however, the energy required to cultivate feed for livestock is only partially converted into fat cells. The rest of the energy input into cultivating feed is respirated or egested by the livestock and unable to be used by humans.
Out of a total of 96.8 10^15 BTU of energy used in the US in 1999, 10.5% was used in food production,[3] with the percentage accounting for food from both producer and primary consumer trophic levels. In comparing the cultivation of animals versus plants, there is a clear difference in magnitude of energy efficiency. Edible kilocalories produced from kilocalories of energy required for cultivation are: 18.1% for chicken, 6.7% for grass-fed beef, 5.7% for farmed salmon, and 0.9% for shrimp. In contrast, potatoes yield 123%, corn produce 250%, and soy results in 415% of input calories converted to calories able to be utilized by humans.[4] This disparity in efficiency reflects the reduction in production from moving up trophic levels. Thus, it is more energetically efficient to form a diet from lower trophic levels.”
eating meat = american exceptionalism, rugged individualist, born in a log cabin, et cetera. the ecological collapse resulting from human over-population and over-consumption won’t happen within our lifetimes, so it’s easy to ignore, but it will happen, and your descendants will spit on your graves for letting/making it happen. enjoy the die-off, loosers.
Not eating meat= mass starvation in India and the need for a mother Teresa
this reply makes no sense. see joe smith’s above post 06:28:03
DJ, wtf are you talking about? Meat the least efficient way to produce protein. Not by a few percent, but by orders of magnitude.
And factory-farmed “meat” is disgusting when you look at its contents. (I do eat meat from time to time, it can be tasty, but not worth the health effects and organic/grass-fed are terms that have been bastardized by USDA.)
If the rest of the world ate more like ‘murka, food prices will go through the roof, fresh water will become a huge problem, the environmental effects will be incalculable (google the term “feed lot”), and people will be even fatter and now. The only winner will be Big Pharma and Big Agriculture. And possibly midwestern politicians (thanks to donations).
and people will be even fatter and now
Processed meat may be a culprit here. Then again the vegetarians in India are also a lot fatter than last generation.
Then again the vegetarians in India are also a lot fatter than last generation.
My sister attended a global vegetarian conference in India about 15 years ago, and was shocked at how sick most of the attendees looked (she’s a nurse). While there she had a wonderful vegetarian dinner at the home of a very wealthy Indian and went behind the scenes. His kitchen and shopping staff were about 7 in number, to buy food and cook for a household of about 15 everyday, with 5 or 10 guests on a regular basis.
{joesmith, how large is your permanent full-time kitchen staff?}
She has rejected vegetarianism, partly for the unhealthy results she saw among the less-favored many and partly because of the unaffordable expense and complexity of really doing vegetarianism right for the well-favored few.
‘She has rejected vegetarianism’
More lentils for me.
People have lots of servants in poorer nations, because the help is dirt cheap.
She has rejected vegetarianism, partly for the unhealthy results she saw among the less-favored many and partly because of the unaffordable expense and complexity of really doing vegetarianism right for the well-favored few.
I bet Joe only eats the good stuff; quinoa, amaranth, emmer berries, goji berries, acai beries, tempeh and tofu.
Chicken and Potato, that’s for the peons.
Very yuppy behavior IMO.
I could eat some helle berry. Joe can have chuck berry.
‘only eats the good stuff; quinoa, amaranth, emmer berries, goji berries, acai beries’
Quinoa sucks, and I’ve never even heard of these other things before. This reminds me why I try to avoid letting people find out I’m a vegetarian. I found that I was having the same conversation over and over. It goes something like this:
So you don’t eat meat?
That’s right.
You don’t eat beef?
No I’m a vegetarian.
You don’t eat chicken?
No, I don’t eat meat.
You don’t eat fish?
No, I don’t eat fish.
All you eat is vegetables?
I probably don’t eat any more vegetables than you do.
And you don’t eat chicken?
etc…
Goon:
The only reason for the existence and attention of a Mother Teresa was the dying starving children in Calcutta…
Which could have been remedied by eating the meat on animals…..India has more meat on the hoof then America so there is no need for starvation in the streets…
But that is their religious choice…..
etc…
None has asked you, “What do you eat?” That is the only worthwhile question in this whole issue.
“I found that I was having the same conversation over and over.”
I thought the usual question was: ‘Are you a vegetarian for health reasons, moral reasons or both?’
acai beries’
Ben, I guess I need to take you to the Mountain Oasis in Flagstaff when I am in town. I do eat meat but I have replaced most of it with wild Alaskan Salmon. When I do eat red meat, I always make sure I drink red wine with it. However, I think we actually do need meat, I don’t think you can undo hundreds of thousands of year of evolution within a few generations. I know if you work hard you can get most of what you need without it but I REALLY do not work that hard in planning meals. BTW, Costco does have some acai berries covered with dark chocolate, my kind of healthy eating.
You don’t eat fish?
No, I don’t eat fish.
‘Quinoa sucks’
What? I think Ben is wrong, but OK. How about almond milk? Careful.
Quinoa is a pain to cook/drain.
‘Quinoa is a pain to cook/drain.’
No. No.
Cooks fast in same ratio of grain/water like rice does. Cooks a lot faster actually. Similar to cous cous speed. Draining was a hassle at first but then I got a small strainer and voilà, minimal loss of quinoa as I pour off the water and capture any grain escaping.
But, more quinoa for us philes of it.
I try not to eat too much but I really like it. Also figure I better make hay while the sun shines before meat gets real expensive like in Japan. (I am in my early 50s - no longer plan for the long term so not too concern on the health issues. I exercise and have go genes and thing bodies can take a lot more abuse than they get credit for) Which brings me to the so called food inflation I have been paying $3.99 per pound for very nice hamburger from Trader’s Joe for the the past five years at least. Sure that’s one item but ice cream is the one thing I have seen gone up. Apparently there’s a big overseas demand for dairy.
someplace somehwere about 8 years ago al gore said if we do not do something now about man mad global warming the earth is going to “cook” in a decade.
i reckon we only got about 2 years left.
it’s a slow burn, unfolding over decades and centuries. we had our first wildfire on march 15th this year. snowpack is currently about 70 percent of year-to-date averages. watering restrictions are already in place. looking forward another summer of 80 plus days of 90 degree plus temps.
I remember when the common wisdom was that you didn’t need A/C in the Centennial State because it didn’t get very hot all that often in the summer.
But I think people have also gotten a lot less tolerant of heat as all their other environments have become air conditioned. I remember 100 degree days in Wyoming as a kid. It just didn’t happen very often. So anyway, I think it’s more about the people changing than the climate changing as far as the “need” for A/C goes in CO.
Goon, Europe is still waiting for Spring. NASA is getting slower and slower with its data because once again we are on track to have a year cooler than 1998. Six months ago Slate was quoting many “experts” that his was going to be the year, we broke that record in a decisive manner. Sorry you cannot have AGW until you see GW. Droughts are caused by a cool pacific combined with a warm atlantic, which we have but it is a natural cycle just like we had the 1950s. Speaking of that the East Coast should expect another year of dodging hurricanes just like the 1950s.
ABQ Dan, you’re missing the point. As we’ve stated before:
We believe that global warming is REAL.
We believe that global warming is caused by humanoids.
And we believe that global warming has gone beyond the tipping point and is now irreversible.
If you are a parent/breeder of mini-humanoids, you have to believe the LIE and pretend that the future will be better for them. It won’t be. The best thing any humanoid can do for the health of the global ecosystem is to not breed more humanoids.
And as we’ve stated before, we are no Al Gore hypocrite. Carbon credits will not save the humanoid species. It’s gonna get worse, ALOT worse, and we want it to get worse, because that’s the only way the humanoids will learn than infinite growth within a finite ecosystem is not possible.
Enjoy the die-off. And to quote Jim Morrison, “I’m gonna get my kicks before the whole sh*thouse goes up in flames”
Al Gore being a self-promoting tool doesn’t mean that there aren’t intractable problems coming and that the US way of life would kill the planet if it became widely adopted. I’m with goon, it’s going to be a matter of decades and the worst parts are going to happen after most of us are gone. We’ve already screwed up so many natural spaces in the past half century or so, I only see more of this in the future.
kill the planet if it became widely adopted. I’m with goon, it’s going to be a matter of decades and the worst parts are going to happen after most of us are gone.
To quote Carlin, “The planet will be fine, it’s the people who are fooked.”
My bet is civilization will be wiped out completelt by an astoroid but not by the 10 degree rise in temperature in Siberia.
The planet will be fine, it’s the people who are fooked
Humanity is a rotten cancer in Earth’s ecosystem. We feel bad about the animals, specifically the high-altitude and high-latitude mammals. They evolved for thousands and thousands of years to adapt to harsh environments, only for the humanoids to come along and f*ck it all up for them.
“Humanity is a rotten cancer in Earth’s ecosystem.:
I agree wholeheartedly. Humans will be extinct before too long, and the earth will go on like we never existed.
‘Humanity is a rotten cancer in Earth’s ecosystem…Humans will be extinct before too long, and the earth will go on like we never existed’
And people call me a doom and gloomer because I think house prices are too high.
You counted beans for a construction outfit. You know what the score is. If it’s a green and short, it’s a martian. So it is.
I’m with goon
You’re either with goon, or against goon.
Or you are a goon.
i reckon we only got about 2 years left.
I have outlived so many predictions of doom in my lifetime that I have lost count. I suspect your prediction will just be another number on my list.
How’s Lake Erie doing? It’s been a while since we fished there. Are they still recommending only eating 2 perch per adult per day? Catching anything besides a goby lately?
I heard from the local tackle shop guy with 3 eyes that you can eat as much as you want.
How’s Lake Erie doing? It’s been a while since we fished there. I wouldn’t know. I’ve lived near Lake Erie since about 1976 & my only contact with it was a short time wading near Presque Isle 20 years ago. My earliest years were spent on the NE shores of Lake Michigan, and that spoiled any thoughts I had of fishing or swimming in Lake Erie, which I think is too polluted. Erie does freshen up the air in the summer & brighten up the skies. Summers I often camp along northern Lake Michigan and Lake Superior & while I’m there I make a point of eating alot of whitefish. This summer I hope to buy 25-50 lb. of frozen whitefish & bring it home.
Sustainable Development
In One Easy Lesson
Awareness of Agenda 21 and Sustainable Development is racing across the nation as citizens in community after community are learning what their city planners are actually up to. As awareness grows, I am receiving more and more calls for tools to help activists fight back. Many complain that elected officials just won’t read detailed reports or watch long videos. “Can you give us something that is quick, and easy to read that we can hand out,” I’m asked.
So here it is. A one page, quick description of Agenda 21 that fits on one page. I’ve also included for the back side of your hand out a list of quotes for the perpetrators of Agenda 21 that should back up my brief descriptions.
A word of caution, use this as a starter kit, but do not allow it to be your only knowledge of this very complex subject. To kill it you have to know the facts. Research, know your details; discover the NGO players in your community; identify who is victimized by the policies and recruit them to your fight; and then kill Agenda 21. That’s how it must be done. The information below is only your first step. Happy hunting.
What is Sustainable Development?
According to its authors, the objective of sustainable development is to integrate economic, social and environmental policies in order to achieve reduced consumption, social equity, and the preservation and restoration of biodiversity. Sustainablists insist that every societal decision be based on environmental impact, focusing on three components; global land use, global education, and global population control and reduction.
Social Equity (Social injustice)
Social justice is described as the right and opportunity of all people “to benefit equally from the resources afforded us by society and the environment.” Redistribution of wealth. Private property is a social injustice since not everyone can build wealth from it. National sovereignty is a social injustice. Universal health care is a social injustice. All part of Agenda 21 policy.
Economic Prosperity
Public Private Partnerships (PPP). Special dealings between government and certain, chosen corporations which get tax breaks, grants and the government’s power of
Eminent Domain to implement sustainable policy. Government-sanctioned monopolies.
Local Sustainable Development policies
Smart Growth, Wildlands Project, Resilient Cities, Regional Visioning Projects, STAR Sustainable Communities, Green jobs, Green Building Codes, “Going Green,” Alternative Energy, Local Visioning, facilitators, regional planning, historic preservation, conservation easements, development rights, sustainable farming, comprehensive planning, growth management, consensus.
Who is behind it?
ICLEI – Local Governments for Sustainability (formally, International Council for Local Environmental Initiatives). Communities pay ICLEI dues to provide “local” community plans, software, training, etc. Addition groups include American Planning Council, The Renaissance Planning Group, International City/ County Management Group, aided by US Mayors Conference, National Governors Association, National League of Cities, National Association of County Administrators and many more private organizations and official government agencies. Foundation and government grants drive the process.
Where did it originate?
The term Sustainable Development was first introduced to the world in the pages a 1987 report (Our Common Future) produced by the United Nations World Commission on Environmental and Development, authored by Gro Harlem Brundtland, VP of the World Socialist Party. The term was first offered as official UN policy in 1992, in a document called UN Sustainable Development Agenda 21, issued at the UN’s Earth Summit, today referred to simply as Agenda 21.
What gives Agenda 21 Ruling Authority?
More than 178 nations adopted Agenda 21 as official policy during a signing ceremony at the Earth Summit. US president George H.W. Bush signed the document for the US. In signing, each nation pledge to adopt the goals of Agenda 21. In 1995, President Bill Clinton, in compliance with Agenda 21, signed Executive Order #12858 to create the President’s Council on Sustainable Development in order to “harmonize” US environmental policy with UN directives as outlined in Agenda 21. The EO directed all agencies of the Federal Government to work with state and local community governments in a joint effort “reinvent” government using the guidelines outlined in Agenda 21. As a result, with the assistance of groups like ICLEI, Sustainable Development is now emerging as government policy in every town, county and state in the nation.
http://sustainablefreedomlab.org/susdev/ - 55k -
Here it comes…
What happens when you run out of other people’s money.
When my grandmother died, we found $13,000 in a sock drawer (about $60,000 today). She never trusted the banks after the great depression.
Now I know why.
And there is that phrase again “paying their fair share”…
————————–
Wealth tax to pay for EU bail-outs
Telegragh (UK) | 4-14-2013 | Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
Wealthy households would face new taxes on property and other assets under German plans to prop up the struggling eurozone.
Senior advisers to Chancellor Angela Merkel are pushing for better-off households to pay towards the cost of any future bail-outs for the weaker members of the single currency.
The proposals, from members of Germany’s council of economic experts, raise the prospect of taxes being imposed on property in a country like Spain if its government was forced to seek a bail-out.
The council, known as the “Five Wise Men”, is often used to test new policies that are later adopted officially.
The German suggestion is the latest sign that Berlin is intent on imposing even tougher rules on weaker southern euro members in exchange for using its economic might to support their finances.
As well as inflaming tensions between Germany and its smaller southern partners, the suggestion could also mean that Britons with holiday homes are dragged deeper into the eurozone crisis.
Senior figures in Germany are now arguing that some richer home owners in countries like Spain, Portugal and Greece have so far avoided paying their fair share to rescue the euro, leaving Germany paying too much.
Taxes on property or other assets would mark a significant change in Europe’s approach to funding bail-outs for eurozone members. Until now, the cost of rescue packages for countries like Ireland, Greece and Portugal has fallen largely on people who invest money in either those countries’ bonds or – in the case of Cyprus – bank accounts.
WWIII
And this is why I laugh at the girls fleeing gold. Mad rush to the exits while I swoop in with cash and do my monthly buying.
At what price will you stop chasing this down?
It’s really ugly right now, all technical indicators have been smashed. You are operating on gut feelings now.
$250 and no typo. It will pass $3000 in five years.
You should ask what price I will stop chasing this up. But in either case the stopping point is ten percent of my net worth.
At $250 an OZ for gold I would imagine we would be living in the world of Mad Max. Radioactive fallout might be a bigger concern LOL.
In Mad Max I would still expect it to be expensive even though you can’t eat it or power your car with it. In the world of 1999 where the future looks really bright is where I’d expect to see $250.
I bought gold when it was below $250. It wasn’t THAT long ago.
In Mad Max I would still expect it to be expensive even though you can’t eat it or power your car with it. In the world of 1999 where the future looks really bright is where I’d expect to see $250.
In Firefly, set in 2517, they still had people exchanging platinum for money. BTW, gold actually is increasing being consumed in electronic items. In the items such as airbags it is too small an amount to be effectively recycled.
Blue Sky, when it was below $250 that was back in the 70s. The lowest its been since 1980 was at $252 per ounce (USD) on July 20, 1999. Google is wonderful, ain’t it?
In 1999 the future certainly did look bright. “This time it’s different” was the reason stocks were the only investment ever to have and not gold. Terrorism seemed very distant and unlikely to happen to the big extent that it did two years later.
It’s really ugly right now, all technical indicators have been smashed. You are operating on gut feelings now
I’m sure everyone is aware of the adage: “Buy when there is blood in the streets.”
Ask yourself, why, given the mad inflationary actions of central banks globally, would gold and silver be selling off right now? It isn’t because of “deflationary pressures” or “technical indicators”.
Ask yourself, why, given the mad inflationary actions of central banks globally, would gold and silver be selling off right now? It isn’t because of “deflationary pressures” or “technical indicators”.
They can crush it for awhile but over the long run ?
How about synthetic gold or a cheap way to filter gold from seawater with nano technology?
Both synthetic gold and sea water gold is far more expensive then the natural stuff.
NEVER trust a bank.
I trust money market mutual funds. The reason for this — from what I understand — is that the actual event that triggered the bank salvage and TARP in 2008 was when the $1 money market shares dipped below $1. To avoid a loss, everyone began pulling ALL their money out, creating a bank run. They moved hell and high water to save the value of money market. So I guess I can trust money market.
Yes that was the tipping point. I think the market dropped 777 points around that time. It was the night of the long knives when Paulson had his death panel meeting. Lehman got the death sentence.
Anyone not of Depression age (which at this point, is almost anyone) who stashes thousands of dollars in cash money is probaby dealing in drugs, not “afraid of banks.”
“cash money is probaby dealing in drugs”
or watching what is happening in the world, or aware of history, or suspicious of their govenment and what it might be capable of, or unwilling to assist the bank’s plunder of depositors…
It is a moral directive to put our money in Wall Street banks just why? Used to be a good idea so that vagrant burglars did not break into your house and run off with it. Now it is a good idea so the FedGov does not acuse you of dealing drugs and run off with it.
Anyone not on the debt donkey wheel is an enemy.
Handing 90% of income to the top 10% is a government conspiracy.
It’s a lot easier to find (and tax) 10,000 rich people than squeezing blood from 90,000 turnips.
Who says government isn’t smart?
“council of economic experts” this is problem
I don’t get it unless other bubbles are just about to pop also…
———————————
Gold And Silver Are Getting Hammered Again
TBI | 4-14-2013 | Joe Weisenthal
One of the big stories from last Friday was the sharp decline in gold and silver.
And that’s continuing today.
Here’s gold. It’s now below $1460/oz.
And here’s silver.
It’s fallen below $25/oz.
Deflation, ganagnam style!
This is the best explanation:
http://www.mining.com/web/how-the-gold-market-was-crashed/
The PTB need to force the J6P into the stock market. So they have tried financial repression and then manipulating the stock market higher to create a stampede and finally this, so he will get into the stock market where they can fleece him.
http://patdollard.com/2013/04/panic-is-everywhere-weve-never-seen-anything-like-it-investors-bail-as-price-of-gold-collapses/
“The PTB need to force the J6P into the stock market.”
With what wages? How can you outsource J6P’s job, squeeze J6P with profit-mongering food prices and rent/mortgages, force J6P into the stock market, and expect him to live below his means, simultaneously, on Lucky Duck wages?
IMO there was a watershed moment in economics when that Wal-Mart exec looked at the January (?) losses and said “Where are the people, and where is their money?” Sitting in the Walton family vault, you idiot!
“Where are the people, and where is their money?”
Those who still had a little money to spend went to competitors with better-stocked shelves and shorter check-out lines.
good info. thx
had to short to hedge the physical yea maybe
I guess I can buy PAAS again
Maybe it is all tied to the up coming pandemic. Captain trips will be released soon.
Everything I’m reading is saying it’s the leveraged guys dumping assets to cover margin calls.
“I don’t get it unlesss other bubbles are just about to pop also …”
You just might get it if you spend some time thinking just what it is that people use to pay their bills.
Hint: It’s something that is hard to get and hard to hold onto.
People will work their a$$s off to get the stuff, will resort to doing crime to get the stuff. Will live well if they have lots of the stuff and won’t live well if they don’t.
You talking about Bitcoin?
“People will work their a$$s off to get the stuff, will resort to doing crime to get the stuff. ”
I think he’s talking about crack rocks.
HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA Good one!
“I don’t get it unless other bubbles are just about to pop also…”
Luckily for U.S. home debtors, the housing market is fully decoupled at this point from Wall Street, since All Real Estate is Local. Hence none of these terrifying asset price declines in gold, Bitcoin, stocks, Japanese yen, or whatever will stand in the way of further U.S. housing price improvements.
Real estate always goes up! Buy now, or get priced out forever!!
In retrospect, there has been a sell off in gold mostly in summers. Last year was one. Also the previous year. Look at kitco charts. This Fall will probably be a pop. The girls can scream and leave, but the men will scoop up gold. My next purchase in the first week of May. Six of the quarter ounce American eagles.
“We must make this place an insecure and inhospitable place for Capitalists and their projects – we must reclaim the roads and plowed lands, halt dam construction, tear down existing dams, free shackled rivers and return to wilderness millions of tens of millions of acres or presently settled land.” Dave Foreman, Earth First.
What is not sustainable?
Ski runs, grazing of livestock, plowing of soil, building fences, industry, single family homes, paves and tarred roads, logging activities, dams and reservoirs, power line construction, and economic systems that fail to set proper value on the environment.” UN’s Biodiversity Assessment Report.
If everyone tries to live a US type lifestyle, it really isn’t sustainable. If only the US does it, it works out fine. But that’s not going to happen. (Western Europe, for the most part and with the exception fo the UK, does not live like the US. This is perhaps a model that could be sustainable.)
this is hazard’s latest topic of choice. and a topic which we enjoy very much. humanity is a cancer to this planet. yes, we’ve created some things of beauty like art and music, but the human contribution to the global ecosystem is summarily negative. not only do we sh1t where we eat, but we sh1t where all the other species eat.
and regarding ’ski runs’, we burned half a tank of gas just to drive up to ski arapahoe basin for 5 hours on saturday, and burned some coal to make the electricity to run the chairlifts. and then yesterday we burned another half a tank of gas to drive down to colorado springs to hike up the manitou incline and halfway up pikes peak to barr camp, as part of training for a trailrunning race in grand junction next weekend that will require burning another 1.5 tanks of gas to get there and back.
Those people in the yellow and red zones are probably armed with assault rifles and 30 round disposable magazines and they aren’t gonna want to leave.
The Wildlands Project would set up to one-half of America into core wilderness reserves and interconnecting corridors (red), all surrounded by interconnecting buffer zones (yellow). No human activity would be permitted in the red, and only highly regulated activity would be permitted in the yellow areas. Four concerned conservative activists who now make up the board of Sovereignty International were able to find UN documentation that proved the Wildlands Project concept was to provide the basis for the UN Convention on Biological Diversity. They used this information and this map produced by Dr. Michael Coffman, editor of Discerning the Times Digest and NewsBytes and CEO of Sovereignty International, to stop the ratification of the treaty an hour before its scheduled cloture and ratification vote. (See Congressional Record S13790) Since the treaty was stopped, tens of thousands of Americans have used this map to expose environmentalist’s efforts to implement this diabolical agenda piecemeal local, just as President Clinton is doing by setting aside millions of acres of public and private land. © 2000 Discerning the Times Digest and NewsBytes.
Taken From: The United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity, Article 8a-e; United Nations Global Biodiversity Assessment, Section 13.4.2.2.3; US Man and the Biosphere Strategic Plan, UN/US Heritage
Corridor Program, “The Wildlands Project”, Wild Earth, 1992,. Also see Science, “The High Cost of Biodiversity,” 25 June, 1993, pp 1968-1871 and the Border 21 Sidebar of NAFTA. The very high percentage of buffer zone in the West is due to the very high percentage of federal land.
Predicted Wildlands Map
http://www.mtmultipleuse.org/wilderness/wildlands_map.htm - 10k
“wilderness reserves and interconnecting corridors”
This is exactly what Texas is trying to do to save the Bobwhite & Quail bird population. In the last 30 years the native population has dropped by 90% due to over hunting, land use changes and industrial agriculture.
Iy all sounds good. Look up ICLEI
Wealth is not a zero sum game.
Tell that to the shrinking middle class.
They just don’t know how good they have it.
Because i-pads are cheaper now.
“Tell that to the shrinking middle class.”
The middle class ain’t done shrinking.
“Current lifestyles and consumption patterns of the affluent middle class – involving high meat intake, use of fossil fuels, appliances, home and work air conditioning, and suburban housing are not sustainable.”
Maurice Strong, Secretary General of the UN’s Earth Summit, 1992.
Can you be vegetarian and middle class, jethro?
Middle class students are about to get a shock. After borrowing at teaser rates they will pay back their loans after interest rates shoot back up: http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-04-15/how-obama-wants-to-change-student-loan-interest-rates?campaign_id=yhoo
Living BENEATH one’s means…
It is a hard concept for most. Especially in the lands of free government cheese in exchange for votes.
——————————–
Underwater: The Netherlands Falls Prey to Economic Crisis
der Spiegel ^ | 02 April 2013 | Christoph Schult and Anne Seith
More than a decade ago, the Dutch central bank recognized the dangers of this euphoria, but its warnings went unheeded. Only last year did the new government, under conservative-liberal Prime Minister Mark Rutte, amend the generous tax loopholes, which gradually began to expire in January. But now it’s almost too late. No nation in the euro zone is as deeply in debt as the Netherlands, where banks have a total of about €650 billion in mortgage loans on their books.
Consumer debt amounts to about 250 percent of available income. By comparison, in 2011 even the Spaniards only reached a debt ratio of 125 percent.
The Netherlands is still one of the most competitive countries in the European Union, but now that the real estate bubble has burst, it threatens to take down the entire economy with it. Unemployment is on the rise, consumption is down and growth has come to a standstill. Despite tough austerity measures, this year the government in The Hague will violate the EU deficit criterion, which forbid new borrowing of more than 3 percent of GDP.
Even €46 billion in austerity measures are apparently not enough to remain within the EU debt limit. Although Dijsselbloem has announced another €4.3 billion in cuts in public service and healthcare, they will only take effect in 2014.
The adverse effects of living beyond one’s means have become apparent since the financial crisis began. Many of the tightly calculated financing models are no longer working out, and citizens can hardly pay their debts anymore. The prices of commercial and private real estate, which were absurdly high for a time, are sinking dramatically. The once-booming economy is stalling.
Most people can’t go any further below where they already are.
I suspect they’ll find a way.
Some thoughts this morning:
Happy tax day! I have a refund check that I need to put into the bank.
Yesterday I tried to go to Home Despot at 1:30 pm and I couldn’t get into the parking lot, it was such a zoo. Had to go back at 6.
Yesterday people wondered about aliases. I believe that “IWOG” sounds like combotechie, but I can’t be sure.
From yesterday, about my $78/sq ft for my HOUSE:
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-04-14 18:34:20
The used building lot is worth much more than the old house built upon it. That is interesting, but I suspect very unlikely. Have you made this split up in your own mind?
Blue, I got that split directly from the county tax assessors website. The offer that I put in on my property was (unwittingly) very close to the county tax assessment, so that land/house split is about as accurate as we’re going to see.
Yes, it’s true that I’m paying as much for old house materials as anyone would pay for new house materials. But how else does one do it? You can’t switch out houses onto a lot like you can cars — well, not without it being really expensive.
I suppose the ideal would be to buy an empty lot for the price of the tax assessment of the land, and then put a new house on it. But plots like that are few and far between. That is generally only feasible if there is a true teardown on some former 1-3 acre homestead on the outskirts of the inner burbs (where great grandma finally died and the kids settled the will). Usually a developer will buy the one house and build 6-8 luxury garage mahals (from the high 400’s).
What did you pay per square foot?
$78
You’re lying.
{Insert any statement here}
You’re lying.
Hahahahaha! Pimp, you are almost as funny as The Book of Mormon, which I had the pleasure of seeing on Saturday.
Hey DramaQueen,
Are you the leader of the HBB sewing club too?
We paid approx $67/sq ft (sq ftage doesn’t include a deep 2 car garage). It’ll be paid off the MID doesn’t help us any more (probably 2016ish). Sometimes I joke with my wife that we should’ve bought more house, but obviously it’s only a joke since we can only deduct mortgage interest, not utility costs or upkeep costs for extra bathrooms etc.
I had to pay alot [sic] of taxes this year and I’m writing sizable checks for both MD and Fed taxes today. But I’m completely fine with it, since I switched jobs for a significant pay bump during the year, which made my early-year witholdings inadequate. Also not an issue because we are in cash-storage mode now.
I suspect you paid $67 for your entire property. My $78 was just the house, not the land. Anyone outside this area would say I overpaid… especially for someone who’s low down white trash with *oh horror* siding on her house and a little car which you wouldn’t find presentable for your wife to drive.
but then when you look at what’s selling around me…
Here…. let me help you out.
What was the transaction price?
What is the square footage of your shanty?
Easy stuff…. now go ahead.
Oxide is a chemist. I’m sure she is capable of doing the math to correctly figure her $ per square foot.
Apparently she can’t. (And neither can you)
I said that I’m getting my wife the CRV as an alternative to an Audi Q7 or similar. I just think Honda is a good mix of affordable and yet not cheesy, thus presentable.
The siding on houses thing is a bias, but when I was young my parents’ first house had siding and I didn’t die or anything. Who cares what I say if you like your house? I’m a “bedwetter” anyway
JS, are n’t you in Fells Point? Are there garages there? Thought that hood was much older and modest (no garages converted from stables or carriage houses.)
No, I spend a lot of time in Fells Point though.
Fells Point is really nice, I wouldn’t be willing to spend that much to meet my housing needs unless it cratered by 65%.
Your favorite people, the eternal robbery service, already grabbed its stash from my bank.
Yep…. and they’re going to empty our 401k’s too.
Remind me again, I must be remembering wrong… are you a government contractor? Working in the military industrial complex? (As am I, by the way, so I’m not judging, just jogging my memory)
Why should I answer you? You will use whatever I write to jab at me.
Weak….very week.
Why do you think that? I just jabbed myself. All but a tiny bit of my work is built on legal issues related to private contractors working for either DoD, DHS, or CMS (Medicare).
The difference is, I don’t pretend I can “ignore” the “thugernment” while I draw a pay check because of the system.
Why do you think I am ignoring thugernment now? I am not. I am wanting to get to the point to ignore. Why must there be NO Libertarians working in the DOD or DHS? Is there a directive? It’s like saying no men can be teachers.
Sigh. I posted this piece here before but the retarded types here on HBB just ignore it and repeat the same babble at me:
“Living in a State Run World.”
http://www.lewrockwell.com/rothbard/rothbard63.html
Alpha can just go piss up a rope. I don’t give a rat’s a$$ what that retard says anyway.
Murray Rothbard taught at SUNY. He was the big anarchist scholar of the libertarian movement and yet he worked in a public university. When asked if he would go on strike he said he wouldnt.
Yesterday I tried to go to Home Despot at 1:30 pm and I couldn’t get into the parking lot, it was such a zoo. Had to go back at 6.
I was at ours midday a few weekends ago. It was very quiet.
Strangely, it was rather quiet last weekend too, and that was their Black Friday sale. I really don’t know what happened on Sunday.
Happy tax day!
Who says that unless you are a beneficiary of taxes…
Make me think….
private sector, for profit, invisible hand of free market, job creator, bootstrapper government contractors like lockheed, raytheon, general dynamics, et cetera love tax day.
and the best part is, nobody cares. because solyndra, food stamps, obamaphones trigger more emotional responses. whip the sheeple into a frenzy, get them fighting over table scraps, that’s how the 0.1 percent win.
Then you must be a happy man today.
Congratulation!
Happier than you can even comprehend. And get this, the Feds in our office are likely getting 14 furlough days (as of now) this summer, but the contractors on our contract are unaffected. We could get laid off at the end of fiscal year 9/30 (or laid off anytime, as an “at-will employee”) but not anticipating anything that drastic.
FEDS DROOL, CONTRACTORS RULE!
Yessir, the government can’t deviate from their contracts vis a vis private, invisible hand of the free market, job creator contractors. It would end up in court and they would lose. The hoops the government must jump through to attempt to change a contract or claw back money are incalculable. Even where there is fraud, they don’t get around to going after it until years later in most cases. During this time, all the records are lost, all the personnel moves on, there’s a new special agent on the case, a new head of the agency, a new Contracting Officer, etc. And then the contractor hires a law firm which marks 90% of the interesting documents as privileged (not subject to production to the gov’t). Months later, fruitless depositions followed by a settlement.
In the meantime, the contractor continues working and most likely wins the next contract, given the huge advantages of being an incumbent contractor.
joe smith, we should quit our jobs and start our own contractor.
the metals dont look that great today. whats behind the panic selling?
Should we buy the dip?
BTFD All in today. Back up the truck bro!!!
First the ‘financial experts’ blamed it on Cyprus, next it was China.
No MSM articles I have seen so far suggest that perhaps the big run-up in PM prices in the wake of a historic financial panic created an unsustainable bubble which now has popped.
Gold, commodities slump as China data stir recovery fears
An investor sits in front of an electronic board showing stock information at a brokerage house in Taiyuan, Shanxi province March 28, 2013. REUTERS-Jon Woo
A delivery clerk (L) cycles past an electronic board showing market indices outside a brokerage in Tokyo April 9, 2013. REUTERS-Toru Hanai
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange, April 12, 2013. REUTERS-Brendan McDermid
By Marc Jones
LONDON | Mon Apr 15, 2013 6:14pm IST
(Reuters) - Investors dumped gold along with other commodities from oil to copper on Monday and world shares tumbled, after weaker-than-expected Chinese data added to concerns raised by U.S. numbers about the global economic outlook.
Gold took a series of metals with it as plunged to a two-year low, Oil fell towards $100 a barrel, while commodity-linked currencies including the Aussie and Kiwi dollars were also hit hard.
China’s recovery unexpectedly stumbled in the first three months of 2013, as it reported its annual growth rate eased to 7.7 percent from 7.9 percent in the final quarter of last year. Economists had forecast 8 percent growth.
Industrial output in March also undershot expectations and added to investor sensitivity after a negative reading of U.S. consumer sentiment and soft retail sales, plus rekindled worries in the euro zone late last week.
Brent crude futures dropped more than $2 to $101 a barrel for the first since July last year as the disappointment stirred the already-festering global recovery concerns.
In a broad selloff, copper prices slid 3 percent to a 1-1/2 year low of $7,085 a metric ton, aluminum hit a 3-1/2 year low while nickel lead and tin sank to seven- five- and four-month lows, respectively.
“The growth numbers out of China are absolutely crucial for commodities and the numbers that came out are significantly worse than people were expecting,” said Nic Brown, head of commodities research at Natixis in London.
“China makes up 40 percent of demand for base metals and all the growth in demand for oil is coming from the developing world so to see weakness in China is bad for commodities generally.”
FALLS GOLD
U.S. stock futures pointed to a lower start on Wall Street when trading begins for the week.
…
What I find funny is first they blamed it on the “recovery” now it is the fact that there is no recovery. How about the truth they are manipulating it down because people have less and less faith in fiat currency so they have to undermine people’s faith in gold.
That is more likely. I will check up on my LA coin dealer in a couple days to see if they have platinum eagles. All sizes have been sold out. It’s the ETFs that are selling off. Not the people who are building up movable, hidable assets.
Go down to $1200! Please! I am buying first week of every month.
Buy when there is blood in the streets, is the best advice and the hardest thing to do. I had some downside protection by writing calls on mining stocks when they made the big move last Summer. Of course, you limit the upside potential by doing that, so I did not write them deep into the money which is what I should have done to be fully protected. However, I am not replacing them as they expire so I will be ready for the upside and have made other people absorb most of the pain of the downside move.
As I noted/linked a year or two ago, a lot of the copper being imported into China wasn’t for production……it was sitting in bonded warehouses as mark-to-fantasy collateral for specu-vestor loans from Chinese banks.
Absolutely nowhere can you safely save or invest anymore. Unless you deposit it in the Bank of Serta/Sealy/Tempur-pedic.
Bill, Forbes has a story about how there is month long wait for physical silver and gold demand soared less week. Even Forbes cannot ignore the divergence between physical gold and paper gold. It is interesting the PTB made have misjudged this one. Apparently, there are very few “girls” to see the physical.
I believe it Dan. Also the biggest bubble is in the USD.
IMO, gold will move to a price and stay there only if the so-called “progressives” announce they were completely wrong and we become a minarchist (or less) society. In reality, there are a lot of big events coming up favoring gold:
1) The threat of confiscating part of everyone’s 401ks or IRAs. 2) The inevitable breaking of promises and expectations of social security and medicare.
3) The inevitable higher taxes to pay for the nanny state, social security, medicare, and interest on the debt.
4) Euro-crash
5) Potential war with North Korea or Iran.
A 10% allocation in gold is not an investment. It’s insurance. A 20% allocation in gold is insurance plus investment.
“How about the truth they are manipulating it down because people have less and less faith in fiat currency so they have to undermine people’s faith in gold.”
Either that or they are pumping it up in order to suck in investor dollars, in order to help sovereigns like Cyprus sell gold at a premium to pay their bills.
Cyprus sell-off fears send gold price tumbling
Precious metal slides below $1,500 an ounce for the first time since July 2011 – a ‘make-or-break moment’, analysts say
Larry Elliott, economics editor
The Guardian, Friday 12 April 2013 14.30 EDT
The price of gold fell to its lowest level in more than 18 months on Friday night amid fears that sales of the precious metal forced on Cyprus by its desperate financial plight would lead to wholesale dumping by hard-pressed countries in the coming months.
At the end of a week dominated by the plight of the troubled Mediterranean island, gold slid below $1500 an ounce for the first time since July 2011 in anticipation that Cyprus would seek to raise €400m (£340m) by offloading a chunk of its reserves.
Share prices also fell on the major European bourses after the gathering of EU finance ministers in Dublin made it clear that there would be no increase to the €10bn earmarked for Cyprus – even though the expected cost of the bailout has been raised by €6bn to €23bn.
A Cyprus government spokesman said the increase would not lead to more money being taken from savers in the country’s banks.
…
I raised the question late last night whether gold would break through $1400 today, and it already has. How often in the past five decades do you recall a selloff at this pace? It’s already off this morning by the amount it dropped on Friday, with the ground still out of view.
April 15, 2013, 9:17 a.m. EDT
Gold slumps more than $85 to two-year low
China data, weak sentiment, potential central-bank sales blamed
By Barbara Kollmeyer, Carla Mozee and Sara Sjolin, MarketWatch
LONDON (MarketWatch) — Gold futures slumped more than $85 to their lowest level in over two years on Monday, as the metal dropped through key technical support levels, while the broader metals complex sank after disappointing Chinese data sparked worries of industrial metals demand.
Gold for June delivery (GCM3 -5.80%) tumbled $87.40, or 5.8%, to $1,413.80 an ounce, but had dropped to as low as $1,384.60. Gold last week lost 4.7%.
…
7:11 PM Pacific time and gold is $1330 per ounce. For periodic buyers like me, a sharp sell off in gold is a dream come true. We regular buyers do not want a slow drift off. This is a real buying opportunity and I figure could go into the $1000 to $1200 range before it rebounds this Fall. I put this all on the PPT manipulating. Nothing else really changed. Statism is even more powerful and intrusive. Keynesianism is thriving. Republics that turned into democracies are now in mobocracy stage. The USA is clearly into mobocracy.
You have to have moveable and hideable assets, as well as plenty of ammo and firearms to protect yourself to cross that river from collectivism to liberty.
And a place to move it TO. bila. It’s hard to defend your stash from a flimsy little apartment….
Apparently if you’ve got physical, there is nothing to worry about, as all the scary gold price declines reported in the MSM are in terms of paper. Oh wait…isn’t it paper that denominates the value of physical gold (gulp!)?
April 15, 2013, 9:08 a.m. EDT
Gold plummets, but not at jewelry store
Why the commodity’s decline hasn’t translated into deals on necklaces
By Kelli B. Grant
Gold prices may be down more than 20% since 2011, but those looking to wear the precious metal rather than invest in it won’t find a similar decline at the jewelry counter.
…
They must have a hotline to the oil companies.
I have two questions for you gold market watchers:
1) Will the price drop below $1200 by this Friday?
2) If it does, will you buy the dip?
In a manipulated market anything is possible but it is unlikely. I will start buying aggressively at anything below $1300. It may not be the manipulated bottom but anyone with a five year horizon will make out quite well.
With a sizable fraction of 2 billion Chindians racing for the exits, how manipulated can the market be at this point?
Amid gold ‘slaughter,’ the $1,300 and even $1,200 marks are lines in the sand
April 15, 2013, 10:46 AM
Everyone but the guy with that 3-kilogram gold shirt was selling the precious metal on Monday, it seemed. (And he probably didn’t get a bargain.)
Some analysts were simply lost for words as gold (GCK3 -8.27%) suffered another onslaught of selling, sliding more than $100 an ounce and falling below $1,400 in U.S. trading, overtaking the 4.1% loss seen Friday.
“It’s a slaughter,” said Carsten Fritsch, senior commodity analyst at Commerzbank AG. “It all comes via the futures market. On Friday, more than 1,100 tons of paper gold had been traded. That is more than annual gold demand from China or India. I can’t see a fundamental reason for this, to be honest.”
…
I will buy around 900. I bought some when the price was 700/800.
Me too. I bought a little at $750 last time. Silver is good under $14 too because it has more industrial demand.
Isn’t this evidence on it’s face that gold is a speculator’s game, and not some “store of purchasing power”?
If so, why play the game?
If so, why play the game?
US Economy = Gambling
Some gamble with shiny metals, others gamble with houses or lands, you name it.
I only keep enough gold to bribe the officials.
I only keep enough gold to bribe the officials.
You don’t need gold for that. Some silver should suffice.
I have this theory that it’s cheaper and better for the J6P to bribe or to duel because the laws/lawyers/courts/judges are so stacked against him.
Bring back the duel!
“Some silver should suffice.”
30 pieces ought to do it.
When the item/enterprise in question has utility (ie. an ability to generate some recurring income), the gamble is less than with a shiny metal with limited to no utility.
has utility (ie. an ability to generate some recurring income)
May be if you have a way to protect it. Othewise your utility is a sitting duck for central planners.
Rosa Rocks!
ROSA KOIRE: HUFFINGTON POST INTERVIEW - YouTube
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vp-Geyq53Hc - 210k - Cached - Similar pages
May 22, 2012 …
Sheesh…the government can’t even run a decent show trial any more:
Guantanamo dogged by new controversy after mishandling of e-mails
By Peter Finn,
The military justice system at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, which has been dogged by charges of secret monitoring of proceedings and defense communications, became embroiled in a fresh controversy Thursday when it was revealed that hundreds of thousands of defense e-mails were turned over to the prosecution.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/guantanamo-dogged-by-new-controversy-after-mishandling-of-e-mails/2013/04/11/1973bf9a-a2dd-11e2-82bc-511538ae90a4_story.html
Anyone remember when Obama said he was going to close Gitmo within one year of taking office?
Along with cutting the national deficit in half?
Remember that the Repubs blocked him?
Of course you don’t.
The party that is dying is sure so powerful.
I bet it was still Republicans’ fault that we killed 10 Afghani children a week ago. Please tell me so. I won’t be able to sleep at night if my dear leader was even remotely associated with it.
Who started the war?
Who escalated it because it was a “good” war?
Who started the war?
The Authorization for Use of Military Force[1] (AUMF) is a joint resolution passed by the United States Congress on September 14, 2001, authorizing the use of United States Armed Forces against those responsible for the attacks on September 11, 2001.
House of Representatives
On September 14, 2001 bill House Joint Resolution 64 passed in the House. The totals in the House of Representatives were: 420 Ayes, 1 Nay and 10 Not Voting. The Nay was Barbara Lee, D-CA. [2] Lee is notable as the only member of either house of Congress to vote against this bill.[3]
Senate
On September 14, 2001 Senate Joint Resolution 23 passed in the Senate by roll call vote. The totals in the Senate were: 98 Ayes, 0 Nays, 2 Present/Not Voting (Senators Larry Craig - R and Jesse Helms - R).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Authorization_for_Use_of_Military_Force_Against_Terrorists
I like wars that have no end date.
It smells like VICTORY every morning.
…and who is ending them both?
I love revisionists. They still don’t understand what the Internet is good for and how they are about to become extinct, but not before becoming jokes with less credibility than tin foil hat wearers.
So… carry on denizens of De Nile. Carry on. Wear your digital tramp stamp proudly.
…and who is ending them both?
Ending them? OMG, your delusion needs a serious medical attention. Not the one you get in USA….you have to go to Cuba for what ails you.
…and who is ending them both?
Let’s see. obama pulled out of Iraq exactly on in the timetable signed to by President Bush.
obama did have a huge troop surge in Afghanistan (with dubious results). That he did all by himself. And there have been more American casualties in Afghanistan under obama than Bush. And a hell of a lot more children killed in drone strikes.
Keep drinking that kool-aid!
———————-
The U.S.–Iraq Status of Forces Agreement (official name: “Agreement Between the United States of America and the Republic of Iraq On the Withdrawal of United States Forces from Iraq and the Organization of Their Activities during Their Temporary Presence in Iraq”) was a status of forces agreement (SOFA) between Iraq and the United States, signed by President George W. Bush in 2008. It established that U.S. combat forces would withdraw from Iraqi cities by June 30, 2009, and all U.S. forces will be completely out of Iraq by December 31, 2011.[1]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S.-Iraq_Status_of_Forces_Agreement
If you had remembered what Bush said and hold him accountable for his ‘mistakes’, we would not be talking about Obama, would we?
2ban:
Obama promised to sign the Executive Order. And he did.
Hey Blue Sky, ever figure out how to explain or defend your statement yesterday that most of us wouldn’t have jobs if people didn’t borrow?
If people could only pay what they could actually pay, well most of us wouldn’t even have a job
Still seems to me like you put your finger on the exact problem of a deflationary/’hard money’ economy- many fewer people would have jobs. The majority wouldn’t, according to your own words.
Hey Caesar Apologist…
How are you going to defend your lie from yesterday where you stated “if nobody borrowed, there’d be no jobs”…
“if nobody borrowed, there’d be no jobs”…
Show where I said that, or we’ll be reminded for the umpteenth time that you are the _pathological_ liar around here.
You said it yesterday and you were called out on it. You pathetic liar.
Show us the quote.
You’re a lying apologist.
Show. Us. The. Quote.
Mr. Liar.
Everyone saw it yesterday. They can read it again. It seems only you have difficulty with it.
Why is that Liar?
Show. Us. The Quote.
Or we’ll have the umpteenth example of you lying to us.
Liar,
You know exactly where your lie is. Your ruse is loathsome.
And that’s the pathology. The stinking thinking?
You’re a loathsome liar Alpo-Apologist.
Show us the quote.
A quick page search show no such quote by anyone in Bit Buckets yesterday.
Oh my. Pimp is busted.
The context:
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-14 19:13:04
So if people didn’t borrow, there would be far fewer jobs?
Sounds like an argument if favor of borrowing.
Context is everything.
So misquoted AND out of context.
They’re your words LoathsomeLiar.
“Context is everything”
Sort of like this screaming headline that Drudge has been featuring for the last two days:
“AMERICA: Californians Move to Ban, Seize Guns…”
Which turns out to be a rehash of the old “di-hydrogen oxide” prank which shows how some people will sign anything when confronted by an interviewer with a camera.
That’s di-hydrogen monoxide.
And the rant against it is one of my all time favorites. “A major component of acid rain”
D’oh! Thanks for the catch, Happy. When Pimp’s on a rant, I get oxy on my mind….
we would probably have less illegals…and things would cost less…gas…education…and anything else financed with debt.
Yessir……. food is getting financed with debt. A pair of Nikes wouldn’t have $150 sticker on them in in the absence of debt.
We would still have jobs, but the pay would be lower. Prices would be lower to match.
Got cyberponzi coinage?
Are DDoS attacks being used to fix Bitcoin rates?
Published time: April 11, 2013 18:35
A massive surge in the number of Bitcoin users and reports of hacking attempts are being blamed for a worldwide panic that caused the cryptocurrency’s worth to fluctuate drastically in recent days.
The value of Bitcoin, the unregulated and practically untraceable digital currency that exists only on computers, has gone on a roller coaster ride as of late, quintupling in price during the last month before losing more than half of its worth during a Wednesday crash.
Mt. Gox, the leading Bitcoin exchange on the Web, confirmed Wednesday evening that the number of trades executed during the previous 24 hours tripled beyond their expectations. The surge, they said, could be blamed on the number of new accounts, which climbed to roughly 20,000 per day so far in April.
But while those statistics are good for Bitcoin traders hoping to open up the currency to a wider market, the influx of users has created a crippling effect on the online exchanges where BTCs are bought and sold. Now after an exponential rise in value and an equally intensive drop, Bitcoin experts are asking questions about the future of the currency.
As trading pinnacled on Wednesday as more and more users signed up to create digital wallets, the surge in traffic on sites like Mt. Gox became too much for the BTC exchange to handle. Mt. Gox has since gone offline in order to add servers to its system so it can try to process the rampant buying and selling it was unprepared for, but for many users the downtime caused by the crippling traffic surge was enough to scare them away from these services and Bitcoin in general.
“The big slowdown was initially pegged as a ‘distributed denial of service’ (DDoS) attack, in which hackers use large groups of computers to flood a website with connections, such that no one else can connect to it,” Matthew Boesler writes for Business Insider.
On their official Facebook page, Mt. Gox says “we were not last night victim of a DDoS but instead victim of our own success.”
“Indeed the rather astonishing amount of new account opened in the last few days added to the existing one plus the number of trade made a huge impact on the overall system that started to lag. As expected in such situation people started to panic, started to sell Bitcoin in mass (Panic Sale) resulting in an increase of trade that ultimately froze the trade engine!”
But while Mt. Gox says that a DDoS attack wasn’t to blame, that type of cyber assault wasn’t unexpected either: one week before BTC sold at its all-time high, hackers hit the exchange with an assault that shut down service and brought Bitcoin trading to a halt. At the time, the company said the impact was to blame for “its worst trading lag ever.”
…
It’s all about arbitrage.
Wait until Goldman gets involved.
Digital Beanie Babies
Whoa the picture……
http://www.foxnews.com/us/2013/04/15/thousands-giant-snails-causing-problems-for-florida-homeowners/
1st podcast from Chicks on the right…really cool.. doesn’t matter your politics but this is going to be big.
http://www.chicksontheright.com/posts/item/24079-gleeeeeeeeeeeeeeees
How horrible! Not only has a 0.2% drop in China’s sizzling growth rate knocked gold below $1400, but it also has slowed down the Wall Street bovine stampede from a frantic race towards the cliff to a gentle gallop.
April 15, 2013, 9:36 a.m. EDT
U.S. stocks slide as China hits resource shares
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SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks tumbled at the open Monday, pulled lower by China data showing the industrial juggernaut’s growth was slowing.
…
WARNING!
This video was taken before Nancy Pelosi had anything nipped or tucked.
Agenda 21 Nancy Pelosi .mp4 - YouTube
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9MxMif1tBVk - 201k -
Drudge link repost. People with long commutes die sooner:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2308666/People-long-commutes-die-sooner.html
Why do the scientists and doctors spend awaful lot of money and time in proving common sense?
Is this a trick question?
I commute 110 miles round trip 4 days a week. For the last 15 years give or take, my commute has varied from 2-3 hours round trip. The majority of people who do this don’t have the time or energy to exercise regularly, and it shows.
Me? Yesterday, after running 2 miles on the treadmill, I hit the free weights and did sets of bench, dead lifts, squats and curls. I’ll do that a couple more times this week and weather permitting, hit the trails for some mountain biking next weekend. It’s all about priorities and having a partner who values fitness (and longevity)…
That’s good discipline. But why such a long commute?
Our families are pretty well entrenched on the South Coast of MA while the jobs and money are within the 128 belt of Boston. We just don’t have the resources to afford a move closer to Boston… prior to having kids, sure, but not now. So, it’s long commutes for the foreseeable future.
I drive 70 miles each way……except on days when I have to drive 30 miles to the other airport for my contract/part-time deal, then 70 miles home. Leave the house at 8am, get home at 7pm at the earliest. Got home at 11pm Friday night.
(Correction…..got back “into town” at 11:00pm. Stopped and got something to eat before I went home, since I hadn’t had anything to eat since lunch)
Yeah, my priorities show. Working two jobs to take home 75% of what I formerly made at one job will do that to you. I know a lot of guys just like me, in a multitude of different occupations
The good news is, I don’t have to worry about this “relationship” thing, because I am perceived as such a loser.
perceived as such a loser?
and what makes the women of kansas so great that they think you’re a loser?
My kid had to commute 74 miles each way to get to his his 6:40 AM zero period high school honor classes. Ironic inasmuch as I moved him here to get away from the traffic. Child used the long bus rides to do his homework, and later after he got his license, the drive down the mountain to do his creative thinking.
He grew up to be a writer and MMA champion.
My partner and I commuted 125 miles each way to Caltech and used the 2 hour drive time (against what minimal traffic there was) to work out theoretical snags. Driving can be a marvelous meditative tool, providing there’s minimal disruption from stop-and-go, signals, erratic drivers, etc.
Again, the outlier variables disprove the conclusions; epidemiology is the bastard stepchild of medicine.
This is one reason why we should celebrate the housing bubble: The long commutes so many worker bees enjoy in order to find the right balance between home size, affordability and access to work will help reduce the Baby Boomer entitlement burden.
Hmmm…if true, it would seem airline pilots would die off the earliest.
Gold down 138.00
It’s good to see deflation taking hold.
Deflation=Your wallets best friend.
And central planner’s biggest nightmanre.
Lovin it….lovin it….
I got out of gold and silver a year too early, but I bet a lot of tin foilers are crying today. This is proof that Obama did not destroy the universe.
This is proof that Obama did not destroy the universe.
Or may be the tin foilers are happy that Obama & Gono failed to destroy the universe?
‘This is proof that Obama did not destroy the universe’
Clearly. Red sky in morning, keeps the doctor away.
Red sky in morning, keeps the doctor away.
Nice. It’s not rocket surgery people.
‘It’s not rocket surgery people’
Precisely. Just when you think you have everything figured out, ham sandwich.
I follow your logic, Al, but Ben gets serious kudos for that one. LOL.
And remember: Don’t cry over the spilled torpedos under the bridge.
This is proof that Obama can not play basketball.
Barack Obama 22 Baskets Misses! (Harlem Shake) - YouTube
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JvwscaWl45I - 117k -
He should have put some of those bricks into something that was shovel ready.
The rat is a pretty effective tool for the allied trades. Whatta ya say it gets set up in front of the blog PR consultants office?
http://i396.photobucket.com/albums/pp45/JackiesTVBlog/My%20Photography/IMG_3807a.jpg
Pay attention today people. Gold is down 135 an ounce as I speak. Oil is crashing along with it. We might have nowhere to put money tomorrow but Home Depot. Welcome to bubble number 2 in 10 years
Just think of all the erroneous predictions we made and how things turned out very differently from the way any of us predicted. And most of us have higher than average cognitive skills. My mantra is most people get it wrong a lot more often than anyone is willing to admit.
The most difficult lesson of the HBB’s schooling was, and still is, housing is a depreciating asset and a loss.
When you have diabolical central planners who will do anything to make 2+2 = 5, it’s hard to predict. Common sense is not hard to predict.
Don’t tell anyone, but I am getting awesome returns on my Ben-Jones-mediated housing investments (i.e., the Joshua Tree Fund). However, I never ever ever thought that the bubble would resume.
Hey, Big V! Long time no post!
Welcome back to the HBB party!
Thank you.
Just think of all the erroneous predictions we made and how things turned out very differently from the way any of us predicted.
Either there is a master plan and we are not privy to it, or the entire thing is held together with spit and twine.
Honestly, I’m not sure which is worse.
Happy tax-day, all.
I actually finished mine without an extension for a change.
My soon-to-be-fired accountant still has not e mailed me to say that our tax returns have in fact been filed. And I have to re-print checks to mail tonight because he sent me numbers on Saturday, I printed out the checks before going to work, and then he changed the amounts this morning.
Next time, it’s Turbo Tax for me.
I took a different way home today and ran into a traffic snag near a main post office. At first I thought it had been an accident, until… d’oh, I remembered the date.
Housing demand has collapsed in the SF bay area. Down a whopping nominal 40% YoY and still falling.
http://picpaste.com/pics/10e645f823dc582e3f40990262beae01.1365961377.png
You should stop poaching handles from other blogs.
I am Iwog.
Fer crying out loud pimp watch, who do you think you’re kidding? You’re using handles from the housing bulls at pat’s site to post your usual stuff. It’s pretty obvious. I also saw you using Darryl in Phoenix’s handle at patrick’s site.
It’s pretty creepy.
“Darryl in Phoenix’s”
Is there such a think as a vacant handle?
I AM Iwog..
And Iwog managed to bring patrick.net to some pretty low levels.
The Pimpsters brother from another mother?
If you zoom out on the chart, you will see that this is a normal hump.
Wheeling out the oldies huh?
Wanna see a crash in progress? Click on the three-year view:
Gold - Electronic (COMEX) Jun 2013
Market open $1,377.00
Change -$124.40 -8.29%
Volume 519,370
Apr 15, 2013 11:39 a.m.
Previous close $1,501.40
Day low $1,355
Day high $1,495
Open: $1,481.00
52 week low $1,355
52 week high $1,803
Friend of mine who bought a place in Boston area just sold it some 2 or 3 years later, 50K above purchase price. 4 offers, first open house.
(He has to move for work.)
Thanks for the update. It appears there is alot of Dumb Money there and prices in Boston have much further to fall than we thought.
Which means after:
Real Estate Commissions
Transfer Taxes
Moving expenses
Property Taxes
Utility Fees
etc.
He just about broke even…
Add in the imputed rent, though.
Considering he could have rented for half the cost, it’s a loss.
And any HOA fees!
2banana
Did not see your post in reply to Ethan. Sorry, you nailed it.
Our former neighborhood were mostly RELO firm sales. Lots of career chasing in hi-tech.
Ethan -
Costs to sell his home will eat right through that $50K gross profit, unless a RELO firm is taking on the expenses. 6% commission is first on that list.
What did you pay per square foot?
Ethan, do you know roughly how much the house cost? $50K may or may not be a lot of appreciation.
As for the fees eating up the profit, what profit would this guy have made renting? I don’t mean the difference between renting vs. owning. I mean absolute, how much profit would he have walked away with?
Ethan, do you know roughly how much the house cost? $50K may or may not be a lot of appreciation.
As for the fees eating up the profit, what profit would this guy have made renting? I don’t mean the difference between renting vs. owning. I mean absolute, how much profit would he have walked away with?
How many times must it be explained to you that there is not profit paying retail prices?
And the difference between renting and owning has been explained to you too.
For a “chemist”, you seem to have an awful lot of time in the day to continually post BS related to housing.
Oxide:
One would need to know how much interest he paid on the mortgage while he owned the house, and compare that to the rent he would have otherwise paid. We would need to know how much he paid the mortgage broker when he bought, his property taxes, and his maintenance expenses. Did he take on one of those extra-long commutes in order to qualify for something? Did he have to pay for an extra car because he drove it twice as much? What about extra gas/repairs? We already know the realtoR got 6%. If his additional cost over renting was more than $50k, then he is negative on the deal.
If he got the house for a song, then he may be good. We don’t have enough information to know.
90% of Foreclosed Properties Held Off the Market
http://realestate.aol.com/blog/2012/07/13/shadow-reo-as-much-as-90-percent-of-foreclosed-properties-are-h/
They’re still there. 20-30 MILLION of them. Disposition: Excess empty inventory.
pssst…… If you think a 20 year old ranch is worth more than $50/sq ft, you’ve been lied to.
… and if you’re paying more than $60/square foot for a resale housing, you’re getting ripped off.
or at least they were last summer……or is it 2012 all over again?
Man you put the “rumple” in rumplestiltzkin
And there are more in 2013.
Way more than $100,000
Lost housing wealth a drag on Florida economy, UCF’s Snaith says
by Jeff Ostrowski
Florida’s housing market has snapped back in the past year, but the hangover remains, says University of Central Florida economist Sean Snaith in his latest Florida economic report.
The typical Florida homeowner has lost more than $100,000 in home equity since 2006, he notes:
To get a sense of how much of a burden this lost wealth is, consider the following: Median household income in Florida is $47,827. If the median household saved 5 percent of that income and got a 10 percent annual return on this savings, admittedly a challenging feat on both counts, it would take the household 17 years to regain what the housing collapse took away in home equity.
Tags: bnblogs
This entry was posted on Friday, April 12th, 2013 at 9:49 am and is filed under Florida economy, Real estate bust. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
Lost housing wealth a drag on Florida economy, UCF’s Snaith says
Except the real wealth is the same as it ever was. The only thing that’s been lost is the ability to leverage against it.
“The only thing that’s been lost is the ability to leverage against it.”
Bingo. Housing wealth doesn’t exist. Anytime you borrow, whether it’s secured against housing equity or not, you’re spending future income and that’s it. The economy was driven by increasing debt levels, and now will be slowed by deleveraging. Equity was just a mismanaged tool in the overleveraging process.
But those who BOUGHT the foreclosed houses ended up gaining wealth, since they got to pay less for their house!!!! Now they can afford to eat fish tacos if they want, instead of ramen noodles.
Why do I get mad when ppl are dum?
Let ‘er rip.
The dragons ate the gold market alive today.
April 15, 2013, 2:54 p.m. EDT
Gold suffers biggest one-day drop since 1980s
China data, possible central-bank sales blamed; silver down 11%
By Myra P. Saefong and Barbara Kollmeyer, MarketWatch
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Gold futures on Monday suffered their biggest one-day decline since the 1980s, as the metal extended its dive into a second straight session and pushed further into bear-market territory.
The broader metals complex also dropped, with silver down 11% for its lowest settlement in more than two years after disappointing Chinese data fed worries over industrial metals demand.
…
What happens when a stampeding bovine herd encounters a brick wall of economic reality?
Bulletin Oil closes down nearly 3% to lowest level of the year
New York Markets Close in: 0:55:18
April 15, 2013, 8:04 a.m. EDT
9 dark omens show U.S. growth will fall near zero
Commentary: Economist Gary Shilling warns of recession, austerity
By Paul B. Farrell, MarketWatch
A man pushes a trolley full of Dell computers through a company factory in Sriperumbudur Taluk, in the Kancheepuram district of the southern Indian state of Tamil Nadu, in this June 2, 2011 file photograph. Personal computer sales plunged 14 percent in the first three months of the year, the biggest decline in two decades of keeping records, as tablets continue to gain in popularity and buyers appear to be avoiding Microsoft Corp’s new Windows 8 system, according to a leading tech tracking firm. REUTERS/Babu/Files (INDIABUSINESS - Tags: BUSINESS INDUSTRIAL)
SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — Bulls love bull markets. History’s most famous bull, Yale economist Irving Fisher, loved the Roaring Twenties of the Great Gatsby.
Remember, weeks before the Crash of 1929 this brilliant Yale professor told investors: “Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau. I do not feel there will be soon, if ever, a 50 or 60 point break from present levels, such as bears have predicted. I expect to see the stock market a good deal higher within a few months.”
Yes, bulls are perennial optimists. It’s in their nature, born in their DNA, a gyroscope guiding their brains. Their mantra: Napoleon Hill’s “Success Through a Positive Mental Attitude.” Their theme song, Monty Python’s “Always Look at the Bright Side of Life.”
They have an innocence, as if a sacred Invisible Hand gave them permission to set aside contrary evidence, dismiss facts and reality, rewrite history, challenge another “wall of worry,” and ignore market cycles, like the fact that 2013 is the fifth year of aging bull market, all mere dust to sweep under their bright-side-of-life rug.
Historical facts: Aging bulls in denial, roaring gets hoarse, bearish
…
Sell in March and go away just doesn’t quite have that ring to it…
Boston Marathon bombing!
It’s ‘go time’?
Islamic revenge?
Ofcourse a Mohammed will be blamed for this as usual.
it’s part of obama’s plan to force all of us into sharia law gay marriages.
What’s really going on in California
California imposed a new law on banks innocuously called “Homeowners Bill of Rights” which forces banks to switch over to a judicial foreclosure process, which they can opt to do on their own, but takes a year or more to renegotiate contracts and compensation structures for the foreclosure law firms who do all the leg work for the banks. And while those changes are being made… it makes it appear that foreclosures have slowed down dramatically in the state.
The reality?
Defaults (undeclared) are spiraling upward that yet have to pass through the foreclosure pipeline.
The truth?
California is still the highest foreclosure state in sheer volume and percentage.
The low-down?
Resale housing in California is still massively overpriced as a result of unprecedented interference by individual states and the federal government. The market distortions will be removed and the down draft will continue allowing the market to correct.
With millions of excess empty houses and housing demand at 17 year lows, housing prices have a long way to fall. A very long way to fall.
California is working off a whole new model.
Remember this link our Blog DebtJunkie provided to substantiate massively inflated housing prices and her own tragic error of paying them?
–> http://www.building-cost.net/
That’s a typical example of the “research” Dumb Money does. Understandable. But when Dumb Money attempts to float it as real is when we step in to expose the ignorance.
Now… Months ago after this ruse was attempted, we did a quick review and mark up of this charade… here it is.
http://imageshack.us/f/87/estimate.png/
For the public…… Material and labor costs are the same anywhere in the country. Anywhere. Don’t let charlatans, paid hacks and dumb money detract you from performing your own analysis and estimate on the value of a house in price per square foot. We bid and win bridge and highway work in tens of millions of dollars based on price per square foot. There is no other way to evaluate it.
If you pay more than $50/sq ft for a used house, you’re getting ripped off.
Washington DC rental rates down YoY,QoQ and MoM…. And still falling
http://picpaste.com/pics/70136eebddf41bfa4aa4cbdec120e110.1365961908.png
Why pay massively inflated prices for housing in the DC area when you can rent for half the monthly cost?
Not sure if anyone else has seen this yet, but there was an explosion near the finish line on Boylston at the Boston Marathon today. Don’t have any details, but there have been a few tweets and pics.
Helluva way to goose that final kick to the finish line….
I am glad I quit long distance running. Those space blankets don’t protect you from bombs.
Must have been a realtoR that did it.
or a goldbug.
Or maybe it’s “go” time.
What better target than a pack of yuppie runners on Patriots Day? Is this what you had in mind, NE? Really?
Yuppies are like zombies. Waste of bullets IMO.
What better target than a pack of yuppie runners on Patriots Day? Is this what you had in mind, NE? Really?
It was someone’s go time, that is for sure…
FWIW, I heard that Wolf Blitzer is already speculating that this was home-grown terrorism perpetrated by the Tea Party. It is “Patriot’s Day” in MA and it is April 15, tax day. The explosions happened in Backbay and Copley Sq., havens of big money in Boston. Personally, this speaks of false flag attack to me. Given congress is debating anti gun legislation, this would serve as quite the distraction, but again, that’s just my tin-foil hattery.
Apparently a Saudi national is in custody as suspect. Curious that so many people’s minds would go to home-grown terrorism, neh?
Why curious?
Especially when most of the terrorism in this country has been home grown.
“this speaks of false flag attack to me.”
They are saking for anyone with information to call instead of a gag order so I think somebody was really pissed this time.
If a Saudi national is in custody as suspect it wasn’t terrorism, it was workplace violence.
2 dead, say Boston police
Not to worry, DHS has 2700 newly purchased MRAPs on the way.
Good to see you’re having so much fun with this, jethro. Got your jokes and political spin all lined up.
I guess if you’re a big Go Timer, this could be good news.
“2 dead, say Boston police”
In this country someone dies in a drunk driving crash every 53 minutes, every day, 365 days a year. Where is your outrage about that? We would be safer as a country if we had background checks to buy alcohol.
How many more lives would we save if we outlawed tobacco? About 450,000 a year in the US, 5 million a year in the world.
Puts the losses in Iraq and Afghanistan in the shade.
‘About 450,000 a year in the US, 5 million a year in the world. Puts the losses in Iraq and Afghanistan in the shade’
Yeah, and to think 3,000 people were killed in the World Trade Centers. Then 500,000 to 1 million die in Iraq. People that didn’t have anything to do with 9/11. One might be tempted to reconsider knee jerk reactions to violence or deaths.
I certainly never favored going into Iraq. Especially with the Bozos running things, and after they’d botched getting Bin Laden in Afghanistan, when we had the chance at Tora Bora.
“How many more lives would we save if we outlawed tobacco?”
Tobacco is a choice, getting killed by a drunk is not.
‘How many more lives would we save if we outlawed tobacco’
Answer; zero. They are going to die someday. Now you could say, they might live longer. But couldn’t you say the same thing if we outlawed salt? Hands up all those who want to live without salt on their food?
They are going to die someday
Same with those who die in a war.
And about 10% of tobacco deaths are from second-hand smoke. That’s half a million a year, worldwide.
“And about 10% of tobacco deaths are from second-hand smoke. That’s half a million a year, worldwide.”
Well then, it’s a damn good thing there is a big drive to legalize pot.
Question: Does Smoking Marijuana Cause Lung Cancer?
Answer:
The link between smoking tobacco and lung cancer is undeniable, but does smoking marijuana cause lung cancer, too? The short answer — probably.
http://lungcancer.about.com/od/causesoflungcance1/f/marijuana.htm - 28k
In fact I bet a lot of these cigarette smokers smoke pot too and they are bumping up the second hand smoke deaths one bong hit at a time.
‘if you’re a big Go Timer’
This go time stuff is funny. The US government, among other governments, uses extreme force all the time, for just about any problem. For the feds, it’s go time all the time. Heck, they’ll kill 50 people at a wedding to get one guy.
This.
Here’s the thing: the government can come into your house in the middle of the night with full auto M4’s locked, loaded and aimed at you and your children because someone at DHS had the flimsiest of excuses to present to a judge to sign off on a No Knock warrant and everyone is cool with it.
Meanwhile, little ‘ole me, a Tea Party libertarian who supports less government intrusion in our lives and the right to keep and bear arms is the bad guy because “We need to keep firearms off the streets”. My firearms aren’t on the streets, they’re in my home or on my person (as a lawful CCL holder).
Honestly, if you’re center mass in the reticle of my Eotech, then the US government has gone full retard and we’re in the middle of a full-bore insurrection. Oh, and you’re on the wrong side of liberty and most likely threatening my family and friends with a scary evil black rifles of your own.
“scary evil black rifles of your own.”
Apparently, when YOU hold an AR-15, it’s an “assault rifle.” But magically, if you hand that same rifle to an armed government homeland security enforcer, it instantly transforms itself into a “personal defense weapon.”
DHS buys 7000 full-auto assault rifles, calls them ‘personal defense weapons’
Monday, January 28, 2013
by Mike Adams
In the hands of the government, they’re called “Personal Defense Weapons”
The juiciest part of this bid is the use of the phrase “Personal Defense Weapons” to describe the full-auto AR-15s being purchased by DHS.
The request for bid actually says:
DHS and its components have a requirement for a 5.56×45mm NATO, select-fire firearm suitable for personal defense use in close quarters and / or when maximum concealment is required.
So there it is, right in black and white: DHS enforcers need full-auto AR-15s which are “suitable for personal defense in close quarters” and for “maximum concealment.”
But if you or I make the same claim, suddenly we are branded lunatics by the fringe left and all the gun grabbers across America who apparently have no clue that their own government is arming up like never before.
Senator Feinstein, the gun-grabbing Senator from California, says she wants to take all the guns from all Americans. “Mr. and Mrs. America, turn ‘em all in,” she says on the record. But while Mr. and Mrs. America are turning in their guns, ‘roid-head DHS goons are arming to the teeth with full-auto assault rifles.
This is all on top of the 1.6 billion rounds of ammunition the U.S. government has already stockpiled, as was discovered last year. What kind of government wants to domestically stockpile ammo and full-auto weapons, putting them in the hands of domestic agents who have nothing whatsoever to do with overseas wars? Well, the kind of government that plans to NEED 1.6 billion rounds of ammo and full-auto assault weapons, of course.
Read some language from the contract bid: Pistol grips, full-auto and more
http://www.naturalnews.com/038844_DHS_assault_weapons_documents.html - 93k -
Yeah, I heard it was the Irish Republican Army and more to come!
A little strange, in Newtown they said anyone who says anything or spreads false information will be prosecuted and then put a gag order in place. Today they are asking for anyone with any information to call.
http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2013/04/15/two-explosions-reported-at-boston-marathon-multiple-injuries-reported/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
Did the homebuilder confidence bubble just pop and nobody heard the sound?
Homebuilder Confidence in U.S. Unexpectedly Dropped in April
By Alex Kowalski - Apr 15, 2013 7:35 AM PT
Confidence among U.S. homebuilders unexpectedly fell in April for a third month, restrained by rising costs for materials and financing restrictions.
The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo index of builder confidence dropped to 42, the lowest since October, from 44 in March, the Washington-based group said today. Economists projected an index of 45, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey. Readings below 50 mean more respondents said conditions were poor.
“Many builders are expressing frustration over being unable to respond to the rising demand for new homes due to difficulties in obtaining construction credit, overly restrictive mortgage lending rules and construction costs that are increasing at a faster pace than appraised values,” Rick Judson, the group’s chairman and a builder from Charlotte, North Carolina, said in a statement.
…
Well there’s that, and there is the little fact of slightly used houses selling for waaaaaaaaayyyyy less than the cost of construction. That would tend to wrap a wet blanket around things.
Not true.
And how would you know the “cost of construction”?
Easy. I asked a guy what it would cost to build a house on a lot, and then I compared that to the price of purchasing a comp.
And what was the price?
Ben:
Can you please update the name of this site? It should say “TheHousingBubble2_0Blog (dot) com”
A+
More like:
“TheHousingBubble2_0Blog_but_obama_had_nothing_to_do_with_it (dot) com”
it’s still Bush’s fault
And it always will be.
And before him, his daddy and before HIM, Reagan.
Perhaps ‘House Bubblessss Blog’
Mother Father Gentleman!
Never thought I would see this day…..Gideon Gono, your days are numbered! All I can hope that today ushers all of us closer to reality than this nightmare we are living.
DOW -1.79%
S&P -2.3%
NASDAQ -2.38%
GOLD -9.26%
OIL -3.05%
10 YEAR BOND -1.1%
http://gizmodo.com/5994446/digital-drills-the-monster-machines-that-mine-bitcoin
Does anyone else see this as insane as me?
While I’d love it if Bitcoins simply didn’t exist, how about tying the creation of Bitcoins to solving problems, like complex protein folding sequences…put that processing power to work…
Going forward, I too will have a new name. I am now “Uncle Fed, why won’t you love ME?”.
Love it, UFWWYLM.
But you know the answers, right?
Boston Marathon explosion.
2 killed, 22 injured.
Check the news.
That’s horrible. Who cares about asset price dips when there is blood on the street in the aftermath of what should have been a peaceful event?
From drudge link, apparently it is the religion of peace and pieces of body parts again:
Authorities have a identified a suspect, a Saudi national, who is currently being guarded in a Boston hospital with shrapnel wounds.
The Boston Globe reported that there were up to 100 injuries stemming from the explosion.
Law-enforcement sources said at least the first explosion occurred in the lobby of a nearby hotel.
‘Authorities have a identified a suspect, a Saudi national’
A Saudi, eh? I wonder how long until US bombers head for Iran?
Precisely.
???
We DO have a Nobel Peace Prize President.
Plus ALL the news outlets and posters here told me the world would luv America again (and blow kisses) if we would only elected obama…
Cantankerous Intellectual Bomb Thrower©
A name change may be in order.
Man blows himself up at Costa Mesa home, police say
By KTLA
April 15, 2013, 5:54 a.m.
An investigation is underway in Costa Mesa after a man blew himself up inside his home in an apparent suicide, police said.
The incident began Sunday evening, when neighbors said the man who owned the home in the 3100 block of Bermuda Drive was laying down on his front lawn, KTLA reported. An ambulance was called, but the man refused to go to the hospital and instead went back to the house, officials said.
About an hour or two later, between 7:30 p.m. and 8 p.m., there was an explosion, police said.
Emergency workers found the man lying in the doorway, police said. Authorities later said he had blown himself up with some sort of homemade explosive device.
There were multiple agencies taking part in the investigation at the scene, including the FBI, the Orange County Sheriff’s Department, the Orange County Fire Authority, the Costa Mesa fire and police departments and a Huntington Beach hazardous materials team. Investigators said they were combing through the home for other possible explosives.
As many as 16 nearby homes were evacuated as a precaution, police said.
http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-costa-mesa-explosion-20130415,0,3874768.story
Done.
My company is based in the Boston area. On its Facebook page it was celebrating the marathon and then later today they posted their grief about this terror.
Mike Bloomberg to announce legislation banning bombs. Says he has Obama’s support.
I can’t wait to see the commercial.
NEWSFLASH
The Saudi national, who is under arrest for the marathon bombing, was seen drinking from a 48 oz slurpee cup minutes before the explosion.
And obama gives a press conference to say that our diversity will make us stronger. Even if it kills some of us to get there.
Here’s the funny thing. First the media jumps on domestic terrorists like 2A Tea Party right-wing extremists. Then they jump on a person of interest who happens to be a Saudi national.
Turns out the Saudi national was seen running from the scene shortly after the explosion. Because no one would run from the scene of death and destruction caused by an explosion right? Oh, the the Saudi national was tackled by a civilian who thought he looked “suspicious”. Nothing like a little racial/ethnic profiling eh?
News flash
2b posts message stating that conservation electric cars and solar power are killing this country. The Chevy Volt and Tesla are a waste of money.
Because we all know the Saudi’s spread militant islam and financed Pakistan’s bomb with the funds they receive from alternative power.
Oh wait I forgot it was the unions that caused this never mind.
PS I’m very happy that my gas consumption will drop 95% this next year vs 2 years ago. I’ll send as little as possible to the Saudi’s. The sooner oil prices collapse the sooner the people of the middle east see what theocracy gets you. They are about to learn in Egypt. The muslim brotherhood taking over will do more to damage militant islam than anything we could dream up. The only reason the Saudi’s have been able to thrive is oil Take that away and they are somalia or ethiopia only with more people and less food.
The Great Divide
April 14, 2013, 9:36 pm
A Tax System Stacked Against the 99 Percent
By JOSEPH E. STIGLITZ
LEONA HELMSLEY, the hotel chain executive who was convicted of federal tax evasion in 1989, was notorious for, among other things, reportedly having said that “only the little people pay taxes.”
As a statement of principle, the quotation may well have earned Mrs. Helmsley, who died in 2007, the title Queen of Mean. But as a prediction about the fairness of American tax policy, Mrs. Helmsley’s remark might actually have been prescient.
Today, the deadline for filing individual income-tax returns, is a day when Americans would do well to pause and reflect on our tax system and the society it creates. No one enjoys paying taxes, and yet all but the extreme libertarians agree, as Oliver Wendell Holmes said, that taxes are the price we pay for civilized society. But in recent decades, the burden for paying that price has been distributed in increasingly unfair ways.
About 6 in 10 of us believe that the tax system is unfair — and they’re right: put simply, the very rich don’t pay their fair share. The richest 400 individual taxpayers, with an average income of more than $200 million, pay less than 20 percent of their income in taxes — far lower than mere millionaires, who pay about 25 percent of their income in taxes, and about the same as those earning a mere $200,000 to $500,000. And in 2009, 116 of the top 400 earners — almost a third — paid less than 15 percent of their income in taxes.
Conservatives like to point out that the richest Americans’ tax payments make up a large portion of total receipts. This is true, as well it should be in any tax system that is progressive — that is, a system that taxes the affluent at higher rates than those of modest means. It’s also true that as the wealthiest Americans’ incomes have skyrocketed in recent years, their total tax payments have grown. This would be so even if we had a single flat income-tax rate across the board.
What should shock and outrage us is that as the top 1 percent has grown extremely rich, the effective tax rates they pay have markedly decreased. Our tax system is much less progressive than it was for much of the 20th century. The top marginal income tax rate peaked at 94 percent during World War II and remained at 70 percent through the 1960s and 1970s; it is now 39.6 percent. Tax fairness has gotten much worse in the 30 years since the Reagan “revolution” of the 1980s.
…
And in 2009, 116 of the top 400 earners — almost a third — paid less than 15 percent of their income in taxes.
Even this is an overstatement because the effective tax rate only includes reported income. If you have 100,000,000 in an IRA like Mit did and that represents 40% of your holdings you are really paying more like 10%. And if you have businesses that off shore income, or off shore bank accounts most of which isn’t reported you might have an effective tax rate of 7% or less. If you have charitable trusts that give to religious charities (and by give I mean 1000x more than me are paying less that half that rate. They are also the primary beneficiary of the FEDS activities.
Now I’ll wait for 2 b’s response
We should definitely monkey with the tax code in response to 116 people’s circumstances in 2009.
That’s how we ended up with sh*t like the AMT.
I’ll give you the solution: Make the tax code simpler so there aren’t as many places for accountants and attorneys to find loopholes, equalize capital gains and ordinary rates, and lower marginal rates.
Oh wait, we were proposed that solution…Simpson Bowles…which was ignored.
There is a simple fix.
30% effective tax on all income cap gains etc over a million dollars and adjust it to keep pace with inflation. AMT is complicated for a reason and was designed to hit the upper middle class not the elite.
Your solution is non workable because there will always be loopholes we need to get rid of AMT which is complicated and hits the upper middle class and use the simple fix noted above.
“adjust it to keep pace with inflation”
Using a chained CPI calculation?
AMT was designed to hit the upper middle class, not elite?
Baloney.
AMT was designed to catch people with high incomes who paid no tax. In 1969, when the first such law was passed, among the text explaining why the AMT was necessary, was a comment that in 1966 there were 154 returns with AGI of more than $200k (lots of money back then) with no tax paid.
Before, the AMT rate was 21%…now at 28%. Originally enacted to target about 150 high income households, now hits millions of families…in 1997, it hit 605k families…in 2008 it was 3.9 million.
And get this–27% of households that paid AMT in 2008 had AGI of less than $200k (the threshhold number focused on in 1966).
The AMT is an abomination and mystery to anyone other than CPAs who do the math all the time…AMT versions of carryforward losses/credits anyone?
We need loopholes to get rid of AMT?
Explain.
The AMT exists because of the existence of tax preference items (capital gains, deductions, etc. that allow people to get to low income amounts). If we didn’t have all the tax preferences, we wouldn’t need the AMT.
Predictions: Will gold continue to fall on Tuesday April 16 EST?
probably?
I’m hoping!
Will gold continue to fall from now through Tuesday April 16, 2033?
From Song Facts
Steven (Tyler) was much more friendly, as he is, and was very generous, really, and showed me a song that they had started called ‘Cruisin’ for the Ladies.’ I listened to that lyric, and I said, ‘You know what, that’s a very boring title.’ And they looked at me like, ‘How dare you?’ And then Steven volunteered, sheepishly, and said that when he first wrote the melody he was singing ‘Dude Looks like a Lady.’ It was kind of a tongue twister that sounded more like scatting. He got the idea because they had gone to a bar and had seen a girl at the end of the bar with ginormous blonde rock hair, and the girl turned around and it ended up being Vince Neil from Motley Crue. So then they started making fun of him and started saying, ‘That dude looks like a lady, dude looks like a lady, dude looks like a lady.’ So that’s how that was born. That’s the true story of how that was born. So I grabbed onto that and I said, ‘No, that’s the title of the song.’”
Aerosmith - Dude (Looks Like A Lady) - YouTube
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nf0oXY4nDxE - 240k -
http://lewrockwell.com/orig14/taggart5.1.1.html
What Smarter Minds Than Mine Think About Gold
by Adam Taggart
“If you’re long the precious metals, beatings like they’re taking today (gold down 4%, silver down 6%) can seriously shake your confidence. At times of self-doubt like these, I look to learn what people smarter than I are thinking; as there’s a good chance they’re seeing the big picture more clearly.
Over the past week, I’ve had a lot of good fortune to do just that. The bottom line? More than ever, the smart minds see fewer better options than the precious metals for preserving (and likely increasing) the purchasing power of one’s wealth.
Last Friday, Chris and I had the pleasure of spending the day with John Hussman, John Mauldin, Jim Chanos, Mike “”Mish” Shedlock and Michael Pettis the the Wine Country Conference in Sonoma, CA to benefit ALS Research. It was simply amazing to spend time in such rarified company and engage with each of these impressive thinkers 1on1. I’ll post a more detailed write-up of my experience at the conference next week when I have more time to write (Chris and I are still on the road).
What struck me was the consistency with which nearly all of these speakers advise holding precious metals.
Some, like Hussman, see markets as dangerously out of equilibrium; with precious metals providing safe haven security during the inevitable correction to a more natural market state. Mauldin, while perhaps less pessimistic about the future, sees gold as essential insurance against central bank monetary recklessness – and explained to me how he personally follows a disciplined process for making regular purchases, no matter what the market action is. Mish – the deflationist among the group – devoted much of his presentation to making the case why renewed stress in the credit markets is inevitable, and that gold will be one of the smartest/safest places to park capital during this time.
Charles Hugh Smith also attended the conference. He’s been mentoring me on the basics of options investing, and as we’re trading the miners, we’ve been watching the precious metals closely together. As Charles has written many times on PeakProsperity.com, he sees both cash and gold as prudent positions given market fundamentals and thinks both will likely rise from here. As for the recent weakness in PMs and today’s bloodbath in particular, he can see no fundamental reason for it.
But most influential for me was a private meeting Chris and I had yesterday with Richard Russell, a true legend in the economic analysis business. Richard’s impressively successful career has spanned over 50 years; he lived through the Great Depression, flew bombers in WWII, and followed nearly every market cycle known to modern man. Which is why I take his assessment very seriously when he refers to today’s financial market conditions as “unprecedented in his lifetime”. He sees today’s elevated market prices as dangerously unsupported by fundamentals and primarily caused by central planner manipulation and opportunistic self-interest by the the agencies in power (big banks, politicians, corporations). “What else but gold?” should investors hold at this point, he asked us, genuinely interested if we had any good alternatives to offer.
When a legend like Russell is this concerned – someone who has demonstrated a lifetime of balanced analysis, willing to switch between the bull and the bear sides based on the data – we all better pay close attention.
And last night, Chris and I had dinner with Mike Maloney, of GoldSilver.com. As founder of one of the world’s largest dealers of precious metals, Mike’s support for owning PMs comes as little surprise. But what does surprise me is the tone his argument for ownership takes. He’s frustrated by the efforts to suppress the prices of gold and silver, even though it’s allowing savvy investors to accumulate metal at a cost far below what he believes fair market value to be. But the false signals that today’s prices give keeps the smaller investor, who arguably would benefit most on a relative basis from protecting their wealth, from entering the market. And even though he remains confident precious metals prices will be higher – much higher – in the future, there’s a sadness behind this prediction. Those high prices will be the result of a destruction of our monetary system and a corruption of our free markets, fundamental underpinnings that made our society great. Without them, yes, those who hold PMs will be better positioned than most (MUCH better positioned in Mike’s view) – but we all will have lost something much more valuable.
What struck me from each of these interactions was that none of these smarter minds would I describe as a PM ‘cheerleader’. Their positions were arrived at through empirical, data-driven analysis; and in many cases, their endorsement of gold and silver is made with a measure of emotional reluctance. These are not people pushing gold to make a buck or advance an ideological agenda. These are concerned men looking to find options that will help their followers prosper, and finding few.
So, while the anxiety and emotions swirl powerfully on price smashes like today, I’m able to withstand them better due to the sober counsel I’ve received from those mentioned above. If you’re playing the long game (as I am), days like today are just noise. In fact, they’re good opportunities to add to your positions at lower cost, if you have the dry powder and the courage to do so.
Hopefully, the insights above help those of you holding the precious metals similarly ignore the noise. And orient on building true wealth of the kind our ReslientLife.com community focuses on. Many of the conversations Chris and I had with these smarter minds above ended in a discussion of the importance of the resiliency-building we advocate and enable here on Peak Prosperity. We are beginning to see these precious metals experts validate our position that, while important, money is not wealth. True wealth is your safety, health, relationships, work, community, knowledge, skills, etc. And advancing those are what will ensure a prosperous future.”
The Increasing Irrationality of the Gold Market
http://www.kitco.com/ind/Hamlin/20130415.html
So, what in the world is going on in the precious metals market? Former Assistant of the US Treasury, Dr. Paul Craig Roberts recently stated his belief that the smash in gold and silver has been entirely orchestrated by the Federal Reserve. He warned that supply of available physical gold is “rapidly declining.” He went on to state:
The exchange value of the dollar is (being) threatened, and if that collapses the Fed loses control over interest rates. Then the bond market blows up, the stock market blows up, and the banks that are too big to fail, fail. So it’s an act of desperation because they’ve got to establish in people’s minds that the dollar is the only safe place, it is the only safe haven, not gold, not silver, and not other currencies.
And to help protect this policy they have convinced or pressured the Japanese to inflate their own currency. The Japanese are now going to print money like the Fed. They are lobbying the ECB to print more. So I see this as a dollar protection policy.
…I know where the gold is coming from in the market, it’s just paper. It’s naked shorts, there is no gold there. If somebody wanted to take delivery on those contracts nobody would be able to provide it.”
I’ll keep buying with cash and possessing physical precious metals. The girls are being scared off. The men prosper.
“The girls are being scared off. The men prosper.”
Smart Women- Smart Investors
This week, I’ll be giving a presentation to a non-profit group called Smart Women Smart Money in Salt Lake City, Utah. I’m very much looking forward to it because women make far better investors than men, and will better understand my presentation. It’s not often one gets a chance to preach to the choir.
Boys will be boys One of the most famous investment studies was entitled “Boys will be Boys - Gender Overconfidence and Common Stock Investment.” This study, published in a 2000 edition of the Quarterly Journal of Economics, was conducted by Terrance Odean of the University of California, Berkeley, and Brad Barber of the University of California, Davis and is discussed in this video by Jill Schlesinger.
The study examined the stock trading patterns of men and women, and found that men trade 45 percent more than women. Due to the fact that trading reduces returns, the study determined that the average women’s return was reduced by 1.72 percentage points annually, while the men’s performance was reduced by 2.65 percentage points. Thus, women outperformed men by nearly a full percentage point.
Curiously, the difference was even more pronounced when comparing single women to single men. Single men traded 67 percent more than single women, allowing single women to outperform single men by 1.44 percentage points a year.
Odean and Barber tested several hypotheses to explain the difference, but ultimately settled on the explanation that men have been shown to be more psychologically overconfident than women. Overconfidence leads to more trading which leads to lower returns.
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Do you notice a negative correlation between asset price changes and the number of daily HBB posts? When the stock market is on a bull run, the daily number of HBB posts dwindles. By contrast, on a day like today, when gold and stocks took a major tumble, we made it to 502 posts or more, including this one:
IT’S A HBB POST BUBBLE!!!
And anytime there’s big national news of the negative variety. We got both.
(crab)Apple CRATERS to an new 52 week low
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/17/us-apple-shares-idUSBRE93G0PA20130417
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