April 16, 2013

Bits Bucket for April 16, 2013

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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351 Comments »

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 03:37:51

How is the red-hot spring sales season shaping up in your area?

Sadly, the nearby comp to our rental home which went on the market a month ago has been delisted. I guess nobody wanted it at the recent asking price $50K north of the Zestimate™.

Comment by perkonkrusts
2013-04-16 05:30:23

Upstate (Greenville) SC, for used homes things are going exactly as they should. Homes priced right are selling very quickly, those not priced right still sit.

New construction is the big difference from a year ago, in the neighborhood across the street it went from dead and half-empty to nearly complete in a matter of 6 months. Other new neighborhoods are suddenly building quickly as well.

Prices never exploded or imploded here in the first place, manufacturing (GE, BMW, Michelin) is strong, and it’s a beautiful area, y’all come see us, we’ll fry you some okra.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 08:05:36

“Prices never exploded or imploded here in the first place”

LOLZ

Of course they didn’t.

The truth?

http://www.zillow.com/local-info/SC-Greenville-home-value/r_24960/#metric=mt%3D19%26dt%3D1%26tp%3D6%26rt%3D8%26r%3D24960%252C223618%252C220166%252C221239%26el%3D0

Prices doubled across the bubble years and are now grossly inflated.

Message to the public: Housing prices are grossly inflated in Greenville, SC and have a long way to fall. If you buy today, you’ll lose alot of money. ALOT of money.

Comment by Pete
2013-04-16 08:30:27

“Prices doubled across the bubble years and are now grossly inflated.”

Wow. I wish the chart went back further, but it looks like he’s half right. The prices did explode starting in 2005, of all things, but it never imploded or even went down a bit.

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Comment by perkonkrusts
2013-04-16 09:04:23

“Prices doubled across the bubble years”

No, they haven’t. By your own chart, avg price was $116,000 ten years ago, and $144,000 now. That’s a 24% increase over 10 years, not 100%. I know you like to go back to 1997, but even if you go back to 1992 the prices here still haven’t doubled. Cars have doubled, so have clothes, groceries, and gas, but not homes here in Greenville. Not even close:

“Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2012, Greenville Home Prices had total appreciation over the 20 year period of 79%”

http://www.forecast-chart.com/estate-real-greenville-sc.html

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Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 13:04:01

“No, they haven’t.”

Are you a lying Realtor™? ‘Fess up. Either you are a mathematics ignoramus or you are a liar, and perhaps both.

 
Comment by perkonkrusts
2013-04-16 13:13:46

You’re letting me off easy, why didn’t you include the possibility of me being all three, a Realtor, mathematics ignoramus, and a liar?

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 14:53:30

Hey Liar….. Sale price was $77k in 2004…. it’s now $145k…..

And you have the audacity to post a “forecast”?

Keep it up.

 
Comment by Pete
2013-04-16 15:42:23

“Hey Liar….. Sale price was $77k in 2004…. it’s now $145k….. ”

That March of ‘04 dip looks anomalous. In August of ‘03 it was $124K. That chart in itself doesn’t make the case that prices doubled. The years prior to that, which are unavailable from zillow, would tell more of the story.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 15:46:15

And when the bubble began in 1997 it was $60k.

Your point is?

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-16 17:10:24

And when the bubble began in 1997 it was $60k.

Tell me again how the dollar is worth just as much today as it was in 1997…

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 17:48:33

How many times do you need to be schooled on inflation?

 
Comment by Pete
2013-04-16 18:10:43

“And when the bubble began in 1997 it was $60k.
Your point is?”

That you linked to a chart that doesn’t show what you feel it surely does.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 18:12:26

That you deny it doesn’t have the bearing on the truth you think it does.

 
 
Comment by localandlord
2013-04-16 18:25:49

Is 144K grossly inflated? What is the median income of homeowning households in Greenville? At 2 1/2 x income that’s 2 incomes at 29k or one at 34 and one at 24. Couldn’t you make that tightening bolts / shuffling papers at BMW?

Thats a payment around 1K on a 15yr loan. 21% of the monthly income and it’s paid off about the time the kiddoos start college.

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Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 18:51:34

What did it cost to build less depreciation?

 
Comment by localandlord
2013-04-16 19:11:34

Why don’t you start building in Greenville if you want to see a lower average price.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 19:41:45

They’re falling just fine on their own.

Now answer the question. What did it cost to build less depreciation?

 
Comment by localandlord
2013-04-17 04:25:36

You answer the question. Why aren’t you building houses?

You obviously have time on your hands.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-17 07:35:01

We do business in all 48 states.

Now ANSWER the question.

 
 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 13:02:34

“Prices never exploded or imploded here in the first place,…”

That’s a bald-faced lie, as according to Zillow™, the median sale price went from $75K in February 2004 to $166K in August 2012 — an explosion to the tune of a 121% price increase over the short span of eight years of bubble appreciation. Do you ever check your facts before posting?

What I find interesting is the decoupling of Greenville SC prices from the rest of the Nation. For example, Greenville’s bubble went into parabolic price blowout mode about the time when California prices were cratering.

What gives?

Comment by perkonkrusts
2013-04-16 13:44:26

Look at the chart one more time, and answer this. Do you really think that in 11 months, during a time when homes were appreciating across the country, the true price people could actually buy a house for in Greenville went from $124,000 (08/01/03) down to $75,000 (02/01/04) then back up to $121,000 (07/01/04)? I would love to hear you say that you actually believe that.

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Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 15:29:49

Straw man tactics won’t get you very far around these parts.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-16 16:49:41

It didn’t look like a straw-man to me; he is making a completely reasonable point: that some of the data looks suspect. I agree.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 16:55:09

They only thing suspect is you. Liar.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-16 17:12:55

LOL… :-)

And I thank you for the constant entertainment.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 18:39:56

Thank you for your constant source of misinformation. It’s fun schooling you.

 
Comment by macboy
2013-04-17 06:58:37

pimp is an idiot

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-17 07:40:00

Dominating the message here isn’t working out for you lying realtors now is it?

 
Comment by macboy
2013-04-17 16:42:52

pimp is an idiot. Just sayin’…

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-17 19:33:47

You’re a liar…. just sayin’.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-18 05:33:23

You’re a liar…. just sayin’…

 
 
Comment by localandlord
2013-04-16 18:33:27

The median sale price in 2004 could have been an anomoly due to a low cost landlord getting out of the business. Or it could have been mill houses purchased in bulk for a redevelopment.

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Comment by mikeinbend
2013-04-16 06:00:50

In central 0regon a local builder a few blocks from our rental is selling almost a property a day in their development; this according to the man who has the contract for landscaping the lots as they sell. His year, according to him, has been good thus far; first one in a while. He is happy as he is saving for college education for three boys.

So it’s hot hot hot; on the lower end props anyway. He attributes the action to “pent up demand”. His words not mine.

Another friend purchased a home in Santa Barbara; he told me he got a screaming deal and I left it at that. He did get 30 years worth of $$ fixed at 3.25%; which is cheap financing I guess that allows him to overpay somewhat and still come out O.K. I hope so anyway as he has two small kids and never hopes to move again.

I closed on my home a couple weeks ago; sold it without the hassle of listing it on the MLS for about the same price I paid for it. Modestly more than I paid but that was eaten by transaction costs. So its someone elses depreciating asset now. But I will always be dumb money to PW anyway; whether I took his advice to get out while the getting’s good.

Closed yesterday on a small piece of CRE; I bought a small natural foods store with the proceeds from house; creating two jobs(one for my wife, one for kitchen help) in the process. Hopefully this venture will yield more than the house did; as the income will be massively less passive than just collecting the rent each month.

Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 06:14:40

“Hello Realtor”

(just preempting RAL, Mike)

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 06:14:57

selling almost a property a day in their development

Of course it is…. afterall, demand for new construction is only at 57 year lows, and falling.

Ya know….. You liars whine and cry when you get called out on your BS. Your latest raft of lies demonstrates why.

Carry on Dumb Money

Comment by Blue Skye
2013-04-16 07:51:58

It is only at 57 year lows because the censuss data doesn’t go back any farther than that.

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Comment by oxide
2013-04-16 06:34:17

I bought a small natural foods store with the proceeds from house;

I hope your venture works out. It’s a good way for you to enjoy selling organic veggies without hurting your back again. :-)

Comment by mikeinbend
2013-04-16 07:41:48

Thank you for the well wishes. PW I don’t know if I qualify as a realtor, but the deeds don’t lie. I don’t think my friend is throwing in new landscaping on new homes for free either. HA

Oxide; I’ll keep wage slaving until school lets out for the summer, then I NEED to be careful (stretching, etc). Nine times out of ten when I get an episode it is from moving while cold.

Additionally; I have “farmed out” the store management to my wife.
i know she can do it. Same thing happened when I started having back problems in 1998. I stayed home with the kids and my wife pimped the veggies.

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Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 07:46:46

The deed doesn’t lie but the liar does.

 
Comment by zee_in_phx
2013-04-16 11:28:25

Good luck Mike, you hadn’t posted here in a while. Its always good to hear from you.

btw, just curious what kind of return are you looking at after paying all the salaries and overhead. i think its ok to buy a ‘job’ even if you break even provided you give yourself generous raises ;) - at least you are your own boss with a retail business. Did you buy the land as well?

 
Comment by mikeinbend
2013-04-16 16:59:24

Yes I own the lot and the shack(yes, shack) on it is ours now. Could build on it at some point but the farmstore has been there for 80yrs. 600sq ft.
It is convenient to the school where I work most days. Its only the first day but my sixth grade son is there working with my wife right now. He wants money for a skateboard. Daughter is downloading quickbooks right now as well.

Yes I am buying a job for my wife/kids. Only hope to pay a rate that rivals her retail rate(12 bux/hr), to start. Then we hope and are planning to do better from there.
I also need a summer job as teaching gets pretty dry summer months. I am contracting with farmer friends to source things various and sundry. And more organics coming soon.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-16 17:14:16

Good for you, mike! I hope the new venture goes great for you!

(just be careful with the back/lifting…)

 
 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-04-16 10:11:32

Good luck Mike!

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Comment by Iwog
2013-04-16 11:37:29

Good luck Mike! You’re gonna need it!

 
 
 
Comment by scdave
2013-04-16 07:53:45

is selling almost a property a day in their development ??

What price point Mike ??

Comment by Steve J
2013-04-16 08:50:23

$0 down with low low payments!

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Comment by scdave
2013-04-16 09:00:05

$0 down with low low payments! ??

Thats not a price point those are called terms…

 
 
Comment by mikeinbend
2013-04-16 17:01:58

I know its entry level-ish. Thinking close to 200k though, what with the favorable terms the how much a month club thinks it is cheap enough.
At three plus percent fixed they may be right.

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Comment by PeakHubris
2013-04-16 21:49:47

Entry level $200k in Bend. Bend “No Jobs” Oregon.

 
Comment by rms
2013-04-16 22:22:50

“Entry level $200k in Bend. Bend “No Jobs” Oregon.”

+1 Succinct, genuinely honest.

 
 
 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-16 08:14:38

So its someone elses depreciating asset now. But I will always be dumb money to PW anyway; whether I took his advice to get out while the getting’s good.

Congrats on getting it sold, mike. It’s always good when someone comes to their sense regarding RE. :-)

BTW, I do have one question for you: looking back on your purchase decision from your vantage point of “now” and the benefit of hindsight, do you feel like your reasons for purchasing were valid, or do you think you were suffering from the lingering effects of the RE mania?

Comment by mikeinbend
2013-04-16 20:18:32

Perfectly valid in the case I would have done it again, and it was liquid enough in the present that I could free up the $$ for something else.

I got bit by the bubble in 2007, after a few successes with “market timing”(dumb luck in hindsight) when I convinced my supermarket checker wife to take out a 300k mortgage. knowing nothing of securitization or wondering how or why she would qualify for such money?

She thought I was crazy and she was right about that bad deal for us. By 2009 prices had fallen by 50% so I was not scared to invest in housing (Why flush 100k away in 4 years of mortgage payments when you can get a whole house for the same cash? Other than the moral standpoint, I get that it aint’ exactly right, but I made a mistake and needed to stem the bleeding; a no-brainer IMO)that had crashed from $200/sq ft to $90..

Now I was lucky to be able to extract both a return on the investment and the principle back. Actually running a business is something I have never done(other than running for cash enterprises) and it scares me far more than home-moaning ever did.

The low-ball offer on the purchase of that house in 2009 that was accepted meant I had to liquidate very low interest CDs and knew I could do better with a brand new house (low maintainance the first few years, no mortgage, 10k year income), plus the fact that I had it rented the day it closed; and landlording has been something(maybe more of a PITA to deal with tenants but the snowstorm of paperwork involved in an actual business is much more confounding I see) that I have dabbled in for 18 years.

So yeah I coulda lived in it. But that was never REALLY the plan. A bit of a fall back plan, yeah.

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Comment by oxide
2013-04-16 06:31:15

I zillowed my nabe.

My nabe always has inventory for sale, but this year the Re-Al-TORS slapped a 10% price increase on everything, hoping to cash in on the supposed boomlet. I don’t think it’s going to work. For J6P buyers, even 3.5% down is probably more cash than they have. For Blackstone et al buyers, they would have to charge pretty high rent to pencil out the numbers.

Almost everyone has put a fourth bedroom and second bathroom in the basement. Again, I’m not sure that will work. A basement bedroom just doesn’t feel the same as a main bedroom. But, I guess it’s okay if the intent is to put 9 people in a house…

Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 06:48:35

Basement bedrooms in MD have to have a means of egress, which means a certain size window that must be exit-able, meaning the area around it must be cleared (usually done by pulling back dirt and cementing an area outside the window so a person could pull themselves up and out).

In other words, those basement bedrooms are probably not even technically legal due to the fire code or the building code (or both).

Comment by oxide
2013-04-16 07:26:31

Joe, from all the pictures I have seen, exactly NONE of those basement bedrooms are legal, even the nice reno’d ones.

The window must have a sill no greater than 44 inch off the floor and have a 20″ opening… I don’t remember the exact specs. And yes, the best way is to put in a window-well with a built-in ladder and a hinged grate over the top. I don’t know how much it costs, but IMO it would be very worth the money.

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Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 07:42:07

Window well is what I was describing.

realtors don’t care about codes or safety, so they’ll just call the rooms “bedrooms” anyway. kind of disgusting when you think about it. any parent who would let a child or elderly grandparent sleep down there is clearly negligent.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-04-16 07:55:50

Are these illegal living spaces or illegal appartments? Either way a sign of Bubble territory.

 
Comment by scdave
2013-04-16 08:00:14

realtors don’t care about codes or safety ??

Right up to the point when the Plaintiff Lawyer manila envelope comes in the mail…Then they care…

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-16 08:11:46

Either way a sign of Bubble territory.

Basement bedrooms with questionable 2nd means of egress (small windows) have been around since man first discovered the idea of ‘finishing’ his basement. I had friends growing up who had them as bedrooms even though there were unused bedrooms upstairs. We thought they were cool. The pool table and home bar were usually right outside your door, in the ‘rec room’- the other essential room of the finished basement.

 
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 08:29:42

It’s all fun and games until there’s a fire.

 
Comment by Steve J
2013-04-16 08:53:43

Fire?

I remember when cars didn’t come with seat belts.

We were not as cowardly a nation back then.

 
Comment by oxide
2013-04-16 09:01:19

Blue, sloth is right. These are definitely simply questionable bedrooms. They are not “apartments” because there is rarely a kitchen down there. But I’m sure that those bedrooms are rented out to various guest workers and their families. My realtor tells me that she’s been in a lot of houses which have sign-up sheets in the kitchen, for the various families to arrange when they cook.

In order to legally rent out space, you need to apply for a zoning exception from the county, get inspected, etc. I don’t know anyone who has done that.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-16 09:02:32

And we died a lot more often in gruesome ways.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-16 09:14:23

Back in those days we were skinny enough to climb in and out of those little windows.

 
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 09:47:14

When the benefit of a building code exceeds its cost, it is generally a good thing. There are good reasons to promote safety beyond costs, but this case is clear cut even without looking at moral implications. It costs a relatively little amount to create a means of escape from a fire. Whether it be a fire escape on a walk-up apartment, a basement window well, or a reinforced fire escape in a tall building.

If you want to go back to the world of “The Jungle” to prove you’re an internet tough guy… so be it. There is tough and then there is greedy/short sighted/cheap/dumb. Have at it.

——————–
Fire?

I remember when cars didn’t come with seat belts.

We were not as cowardly a nation back then.

 
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 09:52:52

Also, seatbelts save a ton of resources/money/lives. It takes a lot more resources to handle someone who has been thrown from a car. It drives up everyone’s car insurance as well. Moreover, CHILDREN do not have the basis to know what risks they should take. If some dumbass adult wants to proudly not wear their “nanny state seat belt” then it’s a different moral equation. But seatbelts save lives, resources, etc. It’s very easy to make a conservative argument for seatbelts.

Moreover, with a means of egress, again, you have the issues of CHILDREN not having a choice. If someone’s parents are too cheap or unconcerned, the child should not have to pay the price with his/her life. Again, as with seat belts, it also conserves public resources because you don’t have to send firemen into a basement with no egress AND you save firemen from having the enter the basement in the first place if the person is able to get themselves out (if, say, the main stairwell is blocked or burning).

Property insurance is also cheaper where there are good safety practices in the code. And, of course, where people follow them instead of acting like an unethical realtard.

But hey, Mr. Short-sighted, you can live in Alabama or Kentucky if you want. They probably take your enlightened view of lax building codes :-P

P.S. #pwned.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-04-16 09:54:30

Oxy, if the basement rooms are appartments for rent, then it’s not the pool table, wetbar and bedroom that Alpha (and I) grew up with. It’s a screaming signal that house prices are in bubble territory.

 
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 10:04:19

It’s definitely a sign of a bubble. And it’s also a sign that the sellers and their realtard are scumbags.

 
Comment by oxide
2013-04-16 11:19:57

Blue, those basements are NOT full apartments for rent to, say, students or a very young couple starting out. They are single rooms almost invariably rented out to undocumented immigrants, where they all share the living room and have a sign up sheet for their use of the kitchen.* Living 9-10 in a house means that they can work under the table, or for less than minimum wage, and send money back home.

Why is leasing out a room an indicator or bubble pricing? Because the minimum wage renter couldn’t afford to buy a house himself? That’s a pretty low bar for bubble.

——————
*I don’t know if the basement dwellers get dibs on the basement second bathroom, or if that too is considered communal.

 
Comment by Steve J
2013-04-16 11:56:23

Less than 4,000 people a year die in fires.

11,000+ are killed by firearms.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-16 12:27:03

Less than 4,000 people a year die in fires.

11,000+ are killed by firearms.

And somebody posted yesterday about the hundreds of thousands that die in other ways that would seem at least partially preventable.

 
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 12:27:34

Comment by Steve J
2013-04-16 11:56:23
Less than 4,000 people a year die in fires.

11,000+ are killed by firearms.
—————

Correct, and the dramatic decrease in fire deaths has a lot to do with building codes.

Same with auto accident fatalities decreasing for people using seatbelts, airbags, ABS, etc.

I can tell you really want to go back to The Jungle era. Try again.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-04-16 13:07:53

I had never really thought about the safety aspects of sleeping in the basement. My folks have a home with the garage in the basement and an additional exit under the balcony at the other end of the house. Would that meet fire codes for having a bedroom in the basement?

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-04-16 14:12:12

And somebody posted yesterday about the hundreds of thousands that die in other ways that would seem at least partially preventable.

About 80 gun deaths PER DAY in this country.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-16 14:35:48

Yup. And a bunch more of other kinds of deaths.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-16 16:56:00

My folks have a home with the garage in the basement and an additional exit under the balcony at the other end of the house.

I don’t think so—I believe the bedroom _itself_ has to have two exits, not just have two exits available after you leave the single-door into the bedroom.

 
 
 
Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-16 09:55:50

I zillowed my nabe.

For a house owner you sure spend a lot of time in zillow. Be strong, woman! You don’t have to justify to anyone. It’s all a hameless tease…nothing personal.

Comment by sfhomowner
2013-04-16 10:17:44

Half of San Francisco lives in illegal in-laws and converted garages. The garage living is a drag because it makes street parking that much tighter for everyone.

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Comment by inchbyinch
2013-04-16 18:41:16

Excuse the butt in.
Speaking of fire codes, we are one of the few in our floor plan (of newer owners) not to change the shape of the LR fireplace because a general contractor friend explained the C0 risk and why the fireplace metal/brick configuration was done that way originally . I’d rather have a bulking looking FP, then a deadly one. (Air flow issue.) Interesting that people didn’t know or worse yet, didn’t care. Hey, it looks better!

When we had the chimney fixed, the FP expert warned us not to break the fire code as well.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 19:00:42

Hey you two Debt Monkees

What did you pay for your debt shacks?

 
Comment by mikeinbend
2013-04-16 20:32:08

Only the downpayment plus whatever mortgage payments they make before deciding it would be more frugal to walk away? Or in other words, $50/sq ft!

 
Comment by Bluto
2013-04-16 21:04:33

yep, was going to post something to that effect….am a SF native and the illegal “inlaw” apts. go waaay back, are very common, and are nothing new. briefly lived in one myself back in the ’80’s

 
 
 
 
Comment by Jingle Male
2013-04-16 14:21:24

Sacramento Update for Single Family Homes:

Inventory Down 60% from a year ago

Prices Up 20-30% from a year ago.

I just refinanced two houses purchased in 2009. I could not refi them in 2010 or 2011 because values were down below my purchase price. In 2012 values tightened up and I just put new loans on them in 2013. I paid $260,000 and $285,000 in 2009. The new value is $320,000 and $345,000 in 2013.

The new loans lower the payment by $200/mon and rents have increased about $200/mon since 2009, so add $400/mon per house to my cash flow.

Very reasonable way to invest money and provide a good service.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 19:36:23

And it shows. Demand for housing in Sacramento is cratering and has been since 2006.

Down we go!

http://picpaste.com/pics/ea683734d13a7de09f8ecb15a52eb1d8.1366166139.png

Comment by Jingle Male
2013-04-17 14:28:19

Demand is higher, yet there is very little inventory for sale, so the result is a lower number of sales. 30% of the product listed on MLS is under contract within 24 hours. Prices are up, homebuilders are building and the chance to get a great deal on a foreclosure is past.

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Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-17 15:08:46

the chance to get a great deal on a foreclosure is past

Yup, never to return. I’m priced out forever.

 
 
 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-04-16 21:25:22

The new loans lower the payment by $200/mon and rents have increased about $200/mon since 2009, so add $400/mon per house to my cash flow.

What was the cost to get that down by $200/mo?

Comment by Jingle Male
2013-04-17 11:17:42

Net cost of $2100, so about 12 months payback. Went from 5.35% to 4.125%.

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Comment by PeakHubris
2013-04-16 21:53:56

More lies from a pathological liar.

 
 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 03:44:52

ZEW April Investor Confidence Dropped More Than Forecast
By Jana Randow - Apr 16, 2013 3:10 AM PT

German investor confidence declined more than economists forecast in April, suggesting the recovery in Europe’s largest economy may struggle to gain momentum.

The ZEW Center for European Economic Research in Mannheim said its index of investor and analyst expectations, which aims to predict economic developments six months in advance, fell to 36.3 from a three-year high of 48.5 in March. It was the first drop in five months. Economists forecast a retreat to 41, according to the median of 40 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey.

Business sentiment weakened in March amid renewed concerns about the sovereign debt crisis and the recession in the euro area, Germany’s largest export market. Still, the German economy probably returned to growth in the first quarter after shrinking 0.6 percent in the final three months of 2012.

“I wouldn’t see this as a turnaround, but it does raise doubts about the strength of the economy,” said ZEW President Clemens Fuest. “It’s another piece of evidence that euro-area weakness is affecting Germany.”

ZEW’s gauge of the current situation slipped to 9.2 from 13.6 in March. Economists had predicted an increase to 14.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 03:48:06

Is anyone planning to sell into the DCB on gold?

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 03:49:50

COMMODITIES
Updated April 15, 2013, 7:38 p.m. ET

Gold Plunges as Fears Over Inflation Fade

Metal’s 9.4% Drop on Comex Is Largest in 30 Years
By CHRISTIAN BERTHELSEN, DAVID WESSEL and GREGORY ZUCKERMAN

Gold posted its biggest one-day percentage drop in 30 years Monday as new signs of a global economic slowdown emerged and fears diminished that central banks’ easy-money policies would stoke inflation.

Gold futures for April delivery fell $140.40, or 9.4%, Monday to a two-year low at $1,360.60 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. That extended their bear-market descent of more than 20% from their 2011 all-time high. Since Thursday, gold prices have declined by more than $203 an ounce, a record skid since the futures began trading in the U.S. in 1974.

The reversal comes as investors are grappling with signs the global economic expansion that began in 2009 is slowing. (GULP!)

Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-16 08:57:35

Gold Plunges as Fears Over Inflation Fade

There it is. And then what happens when fears go back up?

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-04-16 09:23:45

Fed to the rescue?

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Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 10:23:00

If all goes according to plans, that is when the Fed will take away the punch bowl and unemployment will be low again.

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Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 03:55:04

It’s hard to overstate how hard gold is going to eventually be hammered once yields come back off the floor. Let’s just say this week’s action twas a mere flesh wound.

Crushed gold bugs mean squashed growth expectations
by: Liam Denning
From: The Wall Street Journal
April 16, 2013 2:47PM

WITH crushed gold bugs all around, the world’s trading floors look even more treacherous than usual.

In one respect, gold’s sudden slide—it is down almost 13 per cent in the past two trading days to $1,360.60 an ounce—reflects an age-old story of speculative-excess unwinding.

But when momentum falters as drastically as this, it also suggests a shift in the market’s groupthink. In this case, it is tempting to call it the triumph of the central bankers.

More than usual, gold prices in recent years have read like a daily critique of monetary policy and the whole notion of fiat currency. Even as rising prices have crimped jewellery sales, investors have stepped in: their share of gold demand leapt from 10 per cent in 2007 to 29 per cent last year.

Easy monetary policy and regular doses of eurozone angst have underpinned gold’s millenarian appeal. Sub-zero real interest rates both undermine the attraction of paper currency and mitigate the deterrent of gold’s negative yield characteristics.

And yet, and yet…with Cyprus being the latest marginal economy to roil Europe, and Japan’s central bank having unveiled a monetary howitzer in comparison to some others’ bazookas, gold should be soaring. Plainly, it isn’t and has been declining in fits starts since its September 2011 all-time high of about $US1900 an ounce.

In addition, long-running correlations between the price of gold and negative real interest rates and the size of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet have broken down in recent months.

In short, fear of an inflationary spike or a 2008-style financial calamity appears to have ebbed. In that sense, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his foreign counterparts have scored. The argument for inflation runs into continuing high unemployment in many developed economies and the risk of deflation in key markets like housing as and when interest rates rise.

Therein lies the potential hangover for those celebrating gold’s drubbing. Importantly, it isn’t the only commodity under pressure. Indeed, most major industrial commodities barring weather-driven U.S. natural gas and one other commodity have given back most or all of the gains they made in the run-up to last September’s announcement of the Fed’s latest round of quantitative easing.

Fears of a slowdown in China, reinforced by first-quarter gross-domestic-product data, are trumping inflation concerns.

Comment by Blue Skye
2013-04-16 07:59:14

IMO, it is a little early in the game to declare a victory for the Fed, and odd to do so when the dollar is strenghtening.

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 08:35:45

“…to declare a victory for the Fed…when the dollar is strengthening…”

Right. Isn’t their goal to contain deflationary pressure? And doesn’t a strengthening dollar work in the direction of deflation?

Sounds like more QE3 will be needed going forward…

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 16:59:17

The Fed is in a tar baby and while a higher dollar may cool gold for a while it makes our companies not competitive so they will have to weaken the dollar and the shorts are going to have to cover their gold position.

BTW, an article on the Chinese buying gold: http://www.chinamining.org/News/2013-04-16/1366093388d61147.html

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Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 04:19:56

Gold Price Jumps: Dead Cat Bounce Or Final Bottom?
By TRANG HO, INVESTOR’S BUSINESS DAILY
Posted 04/05/2013 07:14 PM ET

Gold prices bounced off an 11-month low Friday, paring the week’s heavy loss that came despite a weakening dollar and Japan announcing an epic economic stimulus plan. Technical and investor sentiment indicators suggest the yellow metal has formed a significant bottom and is due for an oversold bounce at least.

Gold futures prices surged 1.63% to $1,580 an ounce.

The chart pattern and extremely bearish sentiment in gold presents a strong contrarian investing opportunity, says Mark Arbeter, chief technical strategist at S&P Capital IQ.

“One investment poll recently show(ed) a lower percentage of bulls than what was seen in 2008, a period when prices fell from above $1,000 an ounce to near $700 an ounce,” Arbeter wrote in his weekly technical report Friday. “The Commitment of Traders (COT) shows smart money, or commercial hedgers, positioned for higher prices, while dumb money, or large and small speculators, is positioned for lower prices. This combination has many times led to a strong intermediate-term rally.”

Gold is very oversold and a relative strength indicator that Arbeter uses shows a bullish divergence for the first time since May and June of 2012, when gold formed a major bottom, he wrote. The gold chart shows major buying support at $1,525 an ounce, but a break below that level could send gold freefalling.

Comment by macboy
2013-04-17 07:01:07

“Gold futures prices surged 1.63% to $1,580 an ounce.”

is 1.63% a surge?

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 08:19:12

April 16, 2013, 7:01 a.m. EDT
The day gold died
Commentary: Gold is history and history showed the run would end
By David Weidner, MarketWatch

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Gold is dead. Long live gold.

Monday’s crash in the gold market has been a long time coming. Buying opportunity? Only if you enjoy pain. And a few of you do. I know it. I could hear the howling from the mercantile exchanges.

I don’t want to write I told you so, but I did. Many of us warned against the modern gold rush. But we weren’t looking at a crystal ball, it was history talking.

In the last century, gold has run up only be to trounced in a massive sell off. It happened in 1915-20, 1941, 1947, 1951-66, 1974-76 1981, 1983-85, 1987-2000 and 2008.

Gold essentially is a sucker’s bet. It’s supposed to protect against inflation. It doesn’t. It’s supposed to retain its value. It doesn’t. See Monday. For these reasons, gold is supposed to be the ultimate currency. It’s not.

Now, many people who bought gold in 2008 are still in the money. They’ve done very well. But let’s be clear. They didn’t buy gold as an investment. Investors buy something because they believe in the fundamentals of a company or commodity. Investing is reasoned, optimistic bet. Most people bought gold because they were either

a) scared

b) expecting a bubble

And that’s where smart people just miss the point. Paul Krugman, the economist and columnist, discussed Monday whether gold’s tumble was, in fact, a tipping point where investors abandoned the view that hyperinflation and an increase in the money supply would drive up the price.

Sorry, Paul. It’s not that complicated. Maybe you don’t watch enough TV. If you did, maybe you’d see all of the ads aimed at poor people with gold socked away in their jewelry drawers, safe deposit boxes and teeth. The target audience isn’t wrapped up in 1930s economic theory.

The reality is that gold is just another Wall Street pump-and-dump investment. Its chief attribute is what people think of it. It’s a confidence game. Gold is generally useless. It’s not in high demand for anything other than its glint. If it was truly useful, it wouldn’t be sitting in the vaults of central banks around the world. This stuff does not power a city or cure cancer, people.

What gold really is is a confidence bet. It’s a barometer of fear. It’s the original volatility index.

What makes gold different is its history. While past performance should usually be discounted to a large degree for most investments, gold is all about history. Gold is about runs. Runs to buy it. Runs to sell it. Ever since they started using the stuff as currency, gold has been subject to confidence swings.

Over at the Big Picture blog, Barry Ritholtz did a marvelous analysis of a gold bug John Hathaway’s argument that it’s a great time to buy gold. He wrote “Gold had a huge rally came as the dollar collapsed 41% from 2001 to 2007. The dollar is now at a three year high. Why would that be a fundamental positive for gold?”

He also wrote: “Quantitative easing has been going on in the U.S. for four years, and worldwide for a while. What is the basis of Hathaway’s assumption that this is a net positive for gold? We have so few examples of this phenomena that I do not understand his analysis here.”

You’re not the only one, Barry. But I’ll venture to guess. Many of the people who are arguing that it’s a great time to buy gold are long on it. Peel off their jackets and I bet they have footprints all over their backs. They’re getting trampled.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-16 13:42:55

If you did, maybe you’d see all of the ads aimed at poor people with gold socked away in their jewelry drawers, safe deposit boxes and teeth. The target audience isn’t wrapped up in 1930s economic theory.

I don’t understand his reasoning. The price of gold is driven by poor people willing to sell their teeth? I’d say it is obviously driven by investor sentiment. When investors are willing to pay enough for it, people will sell their teeth.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 15:17:20

Hardly sounds like a bubble in your own article:

The Commitment of Traders (COT) shows smart money, or commercial hedgers, positioned for higher prices, while dumb money, or large and small speculators, is positioned for lower prices. This combination has many times led to a strong intermediate-term rally.”

 
 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-16 08:23:13

DCB

Dictionary of Canadian Biographies? What’s that got to do with gold?

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 08:38:51

dead cat bounce
February 26, 2010 Urban Word of the Day

Investor slang; a brief recovery in the price of a falling stock. Term is derived from the idea that “even a dead cat will bounce if it falls from a great height.”

I tried to buy GX on the dead cat bounce but got burned.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 16:04:46

According to your own posts, you would be considered “dumb money”. Maybe you should use that new moniker, since CBIT and Professor Bear seem to be worn out.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 16:07:07

BTW, since Cramer has just recommended gold, I am not as confident in the bounce.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 08:29:59

April 16, 2013, 8:30 a.m. EDT
Gold’s fair value is $800 an ounce
Commentary: What price is justified by gold’s fundamentals?
By Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch
AFP/Getty Images
Gold bugs may be in denial about the yellow metal’s fair value, writes Mark Hulbert.

CHAPEL HILL, N.C. (MarketWatch) — Gold’s bear market is just beginning.

That’s the depressing assessment from Claude Erb, a former commodities portfolio manager for Trust Company of the West, and co-author — with Campbell Harvey, a Duke University university finance professor — of an academic study from last June that is looking to be increasingly prophetic.

In that study, the authors calculate that gold’s fair value is close to $800 an ounce. Though many of gold’s true believers were inclined to dismiss such a bearish projection when their study came out, it’s beginning to be taken a lot more seriously: Bullion’s recent slaughter has eliminated more than 40% of what a year ago they concluded was bullion’s overvaluation — including $240 over the last week alone.

These developments prompted me to check in with them to see if these recent developments had in anyway softened their bearish assessment.

No such luck.

On the contrary, Erb told me Monday morning, he thinks it is unrealistic to expect gold’s decline “to play itself out very quickly.” Referring to the five stages of grief that were made famous by Elisabeth Kubler-Ross, he believes the gold market right now is just in the first stage: denial.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 08:43:05

April 16, 2013, 9:31 a.m. EDT
Gold futures up over 2% after sharp selloff
Exchange operator raises collateral requirements for trading gold
By Carla Mozee and Barbara Kollmeyer, MarketWatch

MADRID (MarketWatch) — Some buyers waded into the gold market on Tuesday, driving prices up more than 2% following the metal’s worst selloff since at least the 1980s that prompted an increase in the amount of money investors need to trade gold futures contracts.

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 03:58:35

Did anyone decide to buy the dip in Bitcoin?

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 04:06:48

“The economic significance of this roller coaster was basically nil.”

I personally wouldn’t dismiss it out of hand, as the near-simultaneous crash of Bitcoin, gold, and other commodities and widely-traded paper assets is suggestive of bigger problems. Perhaps a high-magnitude earthquake somewhere else on the global financial landscape triggered both crashes? The fault lines certainly have been plenty active as of late.

Op-Ed Columnist
The Antisocial Network
By PAUL KRUGMAN
Published: April 14, 2013

Bitcoin’s wild ride may not have been the biggest business story of the past few weeks, but it was surely the most entertaining. Over the course of less than two weeks the price of the “digital currency” more than tripled. Then it fell more than 50 percent in a few hours. Suddenly, it felt as if we were back in the dot-com era.

The economic significance of this roller coaster was basically nil. But the furor over bitcoin was a useful lesson in the ways people misunderstand money — and in particular how they are misled by the desire to divorce the value of money from the society it serves.

What is bitcoin? It’s sometimes described as a way to make transactions online — but that in itself would be nothing new in a world of online credit-card and PayPal transactions. In fact, the Commerce Department estimates that by 2010 about 16 percent of total sales in America already took the form of e-commerce.

So how is bitcoin different? Unlike credit card transactions, which leave a digital trail, bitcoin transactions are designed to be anonymous and untraceable. When you transfer bitcoins to someone else, it’s as if you handed over a paper bag filled with $100 bills in a dark alley. And sure enough, as best as anyone can tell the main use of bitcoin so far, other than as a target for speculation, has been for online versions of those dark-alley exchanges, with bitcoins traded for narcotics and other illegal items.

But bitcoin evangelists insist that it’s about much more than greasing the path for illicit transactions. The biggest declared investors in bitcoins are the Winklevoss brothers, wealthy twins who successfully sued for a share of Facebook and were made famous by the movie “The Social Network” — and they make claims for the digital product similar to those made by goldbugs for their favorite metal. “We have elected,” declared Tyler Winklevoss recently, “to put our money and faith in a mathematical framework that is free of politics and human error.”

Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-16 06:23:15

“to put our money and faith in a mathematical framework that is free of politics and human error.”

Does it get any more naive than this?

Money will NEVER be free of those things.

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 08:21:46

Especially given that money doesn’t exist in a vacuum…

That said, there is a good chance the Winklevii don’t really believe their high-minded rhetoric, but were trying to entice greater fools to buy Bitcoin in order to augment their Ponzi profits.

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Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 04:13:46

“There is therefore no way for a central bank to issue a flood of new Bitcoins and devalue those already in circulation.”

But what would stop central bankers or their investing bank proxies from temporarily masquerading as hedge fund managers and blowing a bubble in Bitcoin in order to suck in greater fools off the sidelines, only to separate them from their money by pulling the plug on positions hard and fast enough to deliberately spark a crash? I’m guessing there is nothing in the central banking handbook which specifically rules out this practice, but please correct me if I am wrong.

The Economist explains
How does Bitcoin work?
Apr 11th 2013, 23:50 by T.S.

BITCOIN, the world’s “first decentralised digital currency”, was launched in 2009 by a mysterious person (or persons) known only by the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto. It has been in the news this week as the value of an individual Bitcoin, which was just $20 at the beginning of February, hit record highs above $250, before falling abruptly to below $150 on April 11th. What exactly is Bitcoin, and how does it work?

Unlike traditional currencies, which are issued by central banks, Bitcoin has no central monetary authority. Instead it is underpinned by a peer-to-peer computer network made up of its users’ machines, akin to the networks that underpin BitTorrent, a file-sharing system, and Skype, an audio, video and chat service. Bitcoins are mathematically generated as the computers in this network execute difficult number-crunching tasks, a procedure known as Bitcoin “mining”. The mathematics of the Bitcoin system were set up so that it becomes progressively more difficult to “mine” Bitcoins over time, and the total number that can ever be mined is limited to around 21m. There is therefore no way for a central bank to issue a flood of new Bitcoins and devalue those already in circulation.

Comment by oxide
2013-04-16 09:11:35

No, you’re right. Maybe you can’t maniuplate the number of bitcoins, but the value of bitcoins is in dollars, and you can manipulate dollars. And no one would need to masquerade as anyone. Bitcoins are untraceable. You don’t know if bitcoins are being bubbled by your local crack addict or your local intern from Goldman Sachs.

I looked up the Winklevoss bronies on wiki — they are definitely a few cans short of a 12-pack. And they sucked as rowers.

Comment by Blue Skye
2013-04-16 09:18:01

“you can’t maniuplate the number of bitcoins…”

No you can’t. The guy who imagined them up can all he wants.

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Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-16 17:08:31

The guy who imagined them up can all he wants.

Nope—he/she/they can imagine up a whole new type of currency, but he/she/they can’t imagine up more Bitcoins.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-04-16 17:50:57

Really? They told you so didn’t they. They didn’t tell you who they are did they?

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Tea Billy
2013-04-16 04:19:03

Looks like it was go time in Boston yesterday. That ought to show New Englanders to try a gun grab.

Comment by ICLEI
2013-04-16 06:21:02

No thanks.

ICLEI

 
Comment by WT Econonmist
2013-04-16 06:46:07

Really? I wouldn’t rule out a McVeigh type here, though it was probably a Bin Laden type.

Comment by rms
2013-04-16 07:02:00

If it was a McVeigh type then he’ll have his 15-minutes and a URL to his manifesto will go viral. If it turns out to be a Bin Laden type blaming the act on the Palestinian situation then we’ll never see or hear the original message, and the translation will sound something like, “They hate us for our freedoms.”

Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-16 07:11:03

“They hate us for our freedoms.”

May be they hate us for Obama’s indiscriminate killings in Paki and Afghani.

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Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-16 11:34:26

But those drones are so cool!

 
 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 08:27:15

Ya never know. I worked at a bank in the early 1990s at the time of the OK City bombing. Coworkers instantly jumped to the conclusion that “Iranians” did it.

Weren’t they surprised when it turned out to be a disgruntled Gulf War veteran trying to take revenge on Uncle Sam by blowing up a bunch of civilians?

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 15:11:37

I suggest that people read this book, she makes a very persuasive argument:

http://www.amazon.com/The-Third-Terrorist-Connection-Oklahoma/dp/1595552367

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Comment by ahansen
2013-04-16 23:59:56

And at least one Congressman agrees with her.

 
 
 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-16 08:38:12

I wouldn’t rule out a McVeigh type here, though it was probably a Bin Laden type.

My money is on a McVeigh type, actually.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 09:32:19

My money is on a McVeigh type, actually.

Hezbollah used Nazis in Argentina to attack the Israeli embassy. I think if we dug a little harder with McVeigh we would have found the middle east connection.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 09:38:17

http://www.nypost.com/p/news/national/roommate_calls_saudi_national_quiet_vKFFJMC0WCaQmAofxNDHmO

His Muslim roommate says he is a good guy so I guess we should just move on.

 
Comment by Steve J
2013-04-16 09:49:24

WOT?

 
 
Comment by GeorgeSalt
2013-04-16 10:52:15

McVeigh was hanging out with a group called the Aryan Republican Army, a bank-robbing band of Christian Identity racists. Homegrown terrorist trash. And they hated the big, bad gubbermit, too.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-16 12:32:46

I think if we dug a little harder with McVeigh we would have found the middle east connection.

Really? I’m not an expert on him but my recollection of the things people wrote after interviewing him made it sound like he really understood the Constitution and the founding of our country and was just really frustrated with where we were going as a country. Didn’t seem like there needs to be a middle east connection.

 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-16 14:29:49

was just really frustrated with where we were going as a country
Andrew Kehoe, a treasurer for a school board, was defeated as a candidate for township clerk & became disgruntled with how the board & the township were run. So he dynamited the school and killed 44 people there. It was the largest mass murder in the US until the OKC bombing. Any excuse, or none, is good enough for this kind of evil-doing.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 15:08:19

The connection of many of the right wing and the Muslims is their belief in the protocols of Zion, you know the Jews run the world belief/ BTW, I heard on the BBC that the Saudi that is being investigated comes from a very prominent and influential family. The type that get put on a private plane and sent out of the country without further investigation.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 15:21:13

It has posted yet but here is information about the writer of the book I am suggesting:
Jayna Davis has worked in broadcast news since 1986, reporting in Texas, California, and Oklahoma. Between 1993 and 1997, she worked at KFOR-TV in Oklahoma City as an investigative reporter and, as such, covered the OKC bombing story from the first moments. In 2001 she founded Journalists’ Committee for Justice, a nonprofit organization that has carried on the OKC investigation. She has received many awards over the years, including “Best Investigative Report” in 1994 from Associated Press and again, in 1995, from Oklahoma Association of Broadcasting.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 15:26:50

BTW, have you ever seen anyone is the US in the recent history executed so fast? I don’t care if he wanted it, the government could not seem to execute him fast enough.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 15:37:07

Still has not posted but here is the name of her book and it says it all:

The Third Terrorist: The Middle East Connection to the Oklahoma City Bombing [Paperback

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 15:45:21

This is from another amazon book written by McVeigh’s lawyer. I have not read the book but I have read independent sources that also make the same claims:

Jones, the Oklahoma lawyer who was court-appointed chief counsel for convicted mass murderer Timothy McVeigh, believes that his former client, whose bombing of an Oklahoma federal building in 1995 claimed 168 lives, did not get a fair trial. Jones says he does not know if McVeigh (whose death sentence is under appeal by different counsel) actually carried out the bombing?but even if he knew, he adds, he couldn’t tell because of rules of attorney-client privilege. However, Jones’s contention that the jurors “did not convict the right man,” and that “Tim” (as he constantly calls McVeigh) may have been a patsy in a much larger conspiracy isn’t convincing. His labyrinthine attempt to prove that the government’s case was highly circumstantial, full of discrepancies and suppressed evidence is marred by his passionate personal involvement as a defense lawyer. Nevertheless, this first-person brief, written with former Putnam publisher Israel, does raise troubling questions and introduces evidence that was not allowed in the trial. Jones cites witnesses who allege that co-conspirator Terry Nichols made repeated trips to the Philippines, where he learned how to make bombs and was recruited into a cabal by Islamic terrorist Ramzi Yousef (indicted as mastermind of the New York World Trade Center bombing). Jones also points a finger at Elohim City, a white supremacist group in Oklahoma whose members were planning to bomb the federal building. His suggestion that McVeigh and Nichols may have been part of a larger conspiracy with foreign terrorist connections cannot be dismissed out of hand. Agent, Peter Matson, Sterling Lord Literistic.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 16:02:19

I am not sure if it is lost in cyber space so I will post this again, for the attorney of McVeigh:

Jones, the Oklahoma lawyer who was court-appointed chief counsel for convicted mass murderer Timothy McVeigh, believes that his former client, whose bombing of an Oklahoma federal building in 1995 claimed 168 lives, did not get a fair trial. Jones says he does not know if McVeigh (whose death sentence is under appeal by different counsel) actually carried out the bombing?but even if he knew, he adds, he couldn’t tell because of rules of attorney-client privilege. However, Jones’s contention that the jurors “did not convict the right man,” and that “Tim” (as he constantly calls McVeigh) may have been a patsy in a much larger conspiracy isn’t convincing. His labyrinthine attempt to prove that the government’s case was highly circumstantial, full of discrepancies and suppressed evidence is marred by his passionate personal involvement as a defense lawyer. Nevertheless, this first-person brief, written with former Putnam publisher Israel, does raise troubling questions and introduces evidence that was not allowed in the trial. Jones cites witnesses who allege that co-conspirator Terry Nichols made repeated trips to the Philippines, where he learned how to make bombs and was recruited into a cabal by Islamic terrorist Ramzi Yousef (indicted as mastermind of the New York World Trade Center bombing). Jones also points a finger at Elohim City, a white supremacist group in Oklahoma whose members were planning to bomb the federal building. His suggestion that McVeigh and Nichols may have been part of a larger conspiracy with foreign terrorist connections cannot be dismissed out of hand. Agent, Peter Matson, Sterling Lord Literistic.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-16 16:48:04

I heard on the BBC that the Saudi that is being investigated comes from a very prominent and influential family.

Link?

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 17:27:42

Sorry I heard it on my sat radio in the car.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 17:50:51

I look for the link but it is not on the BBC. I have found an article that has very similar language to what I heard:

http://warsclerotic.wordpress.com/2013/04/16/saudi-terror-cell-possibly-al-qaeda-behind-boston-marathon-bombings-manhunt-for-escaped-suspect/

 
 
 
 
Comment by Tea People
2013-04-16 07:27:41

It was more likely a Bloomberg-funded false flag “burning the Reichstag” type operation that will be linked to some pro-2nd Amendment group that got roped into this by an FBI plant.

Comment by Tea People
2013-04-16 08:46:40

see also this regarding bridge bombing plot in cleveland.

http://www.thesmokinggun.com/buster/fbi/fbi-informant-infiltrated-occupy-movement-758348

 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-16 10:46:31

It was more likely a Bloomberg-funded false flag
The real conspiracy behind the Boston Marathon bombing.

 
Comment by Steve J
2013-04-16 11:57:52

This is all a plot by the gubermint to outlaw running.

 
 
 
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 04:32:58

New York state’s highest court (ct of appeals) declined to hear a case on the state’s new restrictive gun laws. There is no constitutional issue. No less of a conservative than Justice Scalia had said as much, so there is zero chance the Supreme Ct would overturn these laws.

The teabillies are going to lose on the Constitutional issues every. single. time. It will be very funny. Restrictions that are reasonable can be upheld, just the same as reasonable limits on any other right.

Comment by Tea Billy
2013-04-16 04:34:13

We’ll show you. It will be go time soon, just look at Boston yesterday

Comment by ICLEI
2013-04-16 06:50:49

ICLEI

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2013-04-16 05:27:14

It will be very funny.

Liberals NEVER think the their slicing and dicing of the plain words of the US Constitution will ever be used against them.

They even think it is funny.

Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 06:02:57

Justice Scalia is a liberal? He’s said that reasonable restrictions on rights are clearly Constitutional. Serious Constitutional scholars agree. Both liberal and conservative. Rights have limits, this principle traces back to the very original of Western Civilization.

We have a Constitution, it’s the law of the land, and yes I do support it.

Comment by michael
2013-04-16 06:10:24

” reasonable restrictions on rights are clearly Constitutional”

like voting.

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Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 06:19:09

Explain what you mean. There is enhanced scrunity associated with certain issues that I think you might be talking about (but can’t say since your 2 word post is vague).

There is also a Voting Rights Act in play for certain states, so the issue is less Constitutional and more statutory.

 
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 06:27:04

There are also Federal election laws on point, as well as regulations laid down by the FEC.

In other words, you can’t bypass all those issues, you need to deal with them in the context of new regulations on any aspects of elections or voting (from campaign finance to same day registration to motor voter laws, etc).

Hope this helps.

 
Comment by michael
2013-04-16 06:30:28

courts have upheld reasonable voting ID laws for example.

 
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 06:39:02

Courts have upheld reasonable ones and struck others down for various reasons. It would be the same thing with gun control legislation. I imagine universal gun registration or confiscation would easily be struck down. On the other hand, requiring universal background checks or removing guns from the homes of people with medically documented psychiatric issues or who have threatened a spouse/ex spouse seems like it would easily be upheld.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-16 09:10:38

I imagine universal gun registration or confiscation would easily be struck down.

I would hope so. My concern is how long would it take from the time enforcement began to when the Supreme Court would hear the case and rule? A lot of stuff can happen during that time…

 
Comment by CeeCee
2013-04-16 11:20:09

I sure hope removing guns from people with documented psychiatric issues would not pass easily. People do not seem understand “mental illness” is extremely varied in regards to level of functioning and ability to be rational and in reality. I’m actually quite offended that every time I hear talk of this, people seem to regard anyone with a diagnosis as “crazy”. I have some issues myself, and I’m clearly rational. *Sigh*

 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-16 14:32:07

I’m actually quite offended that every time I hear talk of this, people seem to regard anyone with a diagnosis as “crazy”. I have some issues myself
This phenomenon combines projection, scapegoating, and lazy thinking into a nice package. People who deny they have any “issues” are the worst of all.

 
Comment by CeeCee
2013-04-16 16:11:30

I appreciate your response. I’m glad there are people that recognize it for what it is. I’m all for making sure violence is prevented as much as possible, but demonizing every person in the mental health system make people less likely to get help.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-04-16 23:28:35

Autism, ADHD, Depression, Bipolar Disorder, etc. I’ve come to believe we’re all on a spectrum somewhere. I think it’s time as a society we admit it, that it’s always been that way, we stop singling people out, and we move on.

 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-17 08:37:52

we stop singling people out
We still must try to identify those who are dangerous to themselves &/or others, as hard and uncertain as that may be. Sometimes they can be identified and stopped, sometimes they can’t be. Those who are greedy or have another related agenda can and will mis-use the identification process, as in the old USSR.

 
 
 
 
Comment by polly
2013-04-16 05:36:05

My parents were visiting this weekend. They had a nice quiet chuckle at a young couple at the National Archives trying to find the place where their right to “keep their guns” was written down. Only problem was they were looking in the Declaration of Independence, not the Bill of Rights.

Comment by 2banana
2013-04-16 05:58:42

Did they find the right to “kill your baby, for any reason and at any time including one second before birth and in many cases right after birth” in the US Constitution?

Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 06:10:46

Your teabilly-style posting is about as much of a boost to the Republican cause as Mark Kirk’s grindr.com profile.

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Comment by polly
2013-04-16 06:15:38

Also in remarkably poor taste since my mother lost 5 pregnancies (well, 4, one was twins) because of the bad medical care she got while accompanying my father in his overseas military postings. She was in the hospital when President Kennedy was killed. The women from the South (60s equivalent of teabillies) who were also in her room cheered the news.

 
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 06:21:43

I’m not sure if he knew that, I think we can all agree that the general case of abortion is distasteful and shouldn’t be taken lightly. But Banana, per usual, adds absolutely nothing beyond hackneyed moralizing. It’s not just his politics, it’s the lazy, sloppy stupidity of it. I imagine him drooling on his keyboard as he 2-finger-types his HBB posts.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-16 08:44:22

Also in remarkably poor taste since my mother lost 5 pregnancies (well, 4, one was twins) because of the bad medical care

polly, what does abortion have to do with losing wanted pregnancies due to poor medical care? I can’t see any commonality between the two—so why would the comment upset you? Is every political discussion of abortion in “poor taste” in your book?

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-04-16 09:00:27

“The women…..cheered the news”

This is perhaps not the best example of good manners.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-16 09:02:21

This is perhaps not the best example of good manners.

+infinity. IMHO, that’s an attrocious display of poor taste.

 
Comment by goon squad
2013-04-16 09:18:50

@joe smith

It only takes one finger to copy and paste Drudge Report links to HBB.

 
Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-16 10:02:07

+infinity. IMHO, that’s an attrocious display of poor taste.

If someone’s your enemy, why is it a poor taste?

I mean how many Americans high-fived & celebrated (incliuding the president and his cabinet) the death of an unamrmed man sleeping at night?

 
Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-16 10:03:53

It only takes one finger to copy and paste Drudge Report links to HBB.

What it takes to regurgitate same old lame meme in every post?

 
Comment by polly
2013-04-16 10:45:11

You think that women who were married to members of the US military weren’t acting in bad taste when they cheered the assination of their husbands’ commander in chief?

 
Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-16 11:07:05

Of course it is even if she wasn’t married to the service man. All I was saying is there are way to many much worse things we practice everyday but conveniently forget because it is done by our side.

 
 
Comment by ahansen
2013-04-16 12:29:36

A blastocyst is no more a “baby” than an acorn is an oak tree. And you don’t have a uterus, so you don’t get a vote.

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Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 13:09:11

To be fair to Banana, blastocysts have more functioning biological systems than him, so I can see his concern in this case.

 
Comment by Michael Viking
2013-04-16 13:58:46

And you don’t have a uterus, so you don’t get a vote.

This is preposterous “logic”.

 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-16 14:33:40

This is preposterous “logic”.
Don’t disturb her, she’s on a roll.

 
Comment by ahansen
2013-04-16 15:47:37

Let’s put it this way — When men start gestating fetuses in their scroti, I’ll give their creepy religious ranting its due. Until then, kindly keep your superstitious beliefs out of our medical decisions.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-04-16 16:56:42

One doesn’t have to follow a religious doctrine to have some regard for human life. Bitterness can make one like the fallen oak leaf.

I’m sure you have a different take, but in a normal situation, the man is a full partner in the whole child producing and raising thing. To insist that a full partner in such an endeavor has no voice is abusive. I say this as a single father, but it wasn’t always so. I carried four kids on my back and under my arms and in my heart for a couple of decades. JMO, that trumps your uterus.

I never considered for more than a day at a time putting any of them to death though.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-04-16 17:58:35

“JMO, that trumps your uterus.”

Pregnancy is potentially life threatening. I respect your care and effort in raising your children. But IMHO, it does not trump life threatening.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-04-16 18:54:34

H2H, have you ever been pregnant? Is is not normally a life threatening situation, there is risk but it is a life bringing process. I do not wish to seem too callous, but driving to work on the four lane is much more likely life threatening. You can avoid pregnancy pretty easily, except for your 13 YO rape victim example. Even then, if you exterminate the offsrping, no need to call it a good thing.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-04-16 19:00:09

“an acorn is an oak tree…”

It is unless it is destroyed.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 19:06:26

“I’m sure you have a different take, but in a normal situation, the man is a full partner in the whole child producing and raising thing.”

ahansen makes a good case that suggests the partnership is unequal by nature. Having heard the screams in the delivery room up close and personal when the anesthesiologist showed up a bit too late to administer an epidural, I at least have a strong vicarious understanding of this.

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-04-16 21:03:52

“H2H, have you ever been pregnant?”

Yes. I was lucky. I conceived easily. Pregnancy, labor, and delivery were easy. I had plenty of milk. My husband called me a baby machine. :)

” Is is not normally a life threatening situation, there is risk but it is a life bringing process.”

Generally true. The problem with legislating against abortion is that in those unusual cases where pregnancy is life threatening, if laws are in place to prevent abortion, then it is more likely that both lives will be lost.

Do some research on Nicaragua’s abortion laws which criminalize abortion in all cases. Some doctors will not treat pregnant women with bleeding issues because they are afraid of being accused of abortion.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abortion_in_Nicaragua

http://www.hrw.org/news/2007/08/29/nicaragua-blanket-ban-abortion-harms-women

” I do not wish to seem too callous, but driving to work on the four lane is much more likely life threatening.”

Irrelevant. I mitigate the risks as best I can. Making abortion illegal increases the risk to the mother.

“You can avoid pregnancy pretty easily, except for your 13 YO rape victim example.”

Men can avoid getting pregnant easily. Every woman is at risk of rape, even those who are abstinent.

If the odds of getting pregnant are 1 in 100, then every 100 times a woman has sex, she would get pregnant. For a married couple, this could be as frequently as once per year. 1 in 100 is the failure rate for the best birth control.

You may not want to limit access to or funding for birth control, but there are those who would. Until birth control is free and available to every girl or woman of childbearing age, pregnancy is not that easy to avoid for the fertile.

“Even then, if you exterminate the offsrping, no need to call it a good thing.”

Not every necessary thing is good.

A lot of abortions could be avoided if we had free access to birth control for every woman and if we de-stigmatized single pregnancy and provided free daycare and other financial support to mothers. Unfortunately, a lot of the folks who want to make abortion illegal also think birth control should be illegal. And some of them also do not want to pay to support unintended pregnancies or unwanted children.

Even with all of the above support systems, there would still be cases where abortion was necessary to save the life of the mother.

And there would still be cases where the fetus was terribly deformed and unable to survive on its own. Should a woman be required to carry a pregnancy to term in such cases? Even if it means bed rest for several months when her family depends on her income?

http://articles.washingtonpost.com/2013-03-27/national/38057626_1_irish-abortion-ban-abortions-pro-life-campaign

 
Comment by ahansen
2013-04-17 00:29:24

Skye,
I love my kid beyond life itself, have suffered (yes, suffered) four miscarriages and never had an abortion. Yes, life is precious. And like you I believe our children are our blessing.

But not everyone feels that way all the time. No one decides to have an abortion out of convenience; it’s a biologically wrenching process (literally). But it really IS none of your business what a woman decides is best for her and HER pregnancy. Not yours or any man’s, not the government’s, not your god’s…hers.

And you’ve obviously never farmed in an oak biome. :-)

 
 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-04-16 14:50:47

“Did they find the right to “kill your baby, for any reason and at any time including one second before birth and in many cases right after birth” in the US Constitution?”

Should 13 year old incest victims be required to carry a pregnancy even if it kills them?

Should pregnant cancer patients be denied chemotherapy?

Should dying fetuses be allowed to take their mothers down with them?

Do you really want government making medical decisions for women?

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Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-16 06:25:11

” Only problem was they were looking in the Declaration of Independence, not the Bill of Rights.”

That’s the kind of stupid I’m talking about.

Comment by polly
2013-04-16 10:53:28

After they told me about it, I told my mother she was probably old enough to get away with saying, “dearie, that is on the other side” to direct them to the correct document. She hadn’t done it, but I think she could have gotten away with it without bringing on too much ire.

The Declaration has a lot of stuff in it that would surprise most people. And a lot of people expect it to have things in it that aren’t there at all.

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Comment by michael
2013-04-16 06:33:36

they should have told them it’s right next to part that grants them free cell phones.

Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 06:41:03

You mean the free phone service program started by Reagan that was later expanded by W to include cell phones? That program?

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Comment by michael
2013-04-16 06:43:12

that one…yes.

 
Comment by ICLEI
2013-04-16 07:31:42

Everyone needs a phone.

Even Congress Wants To Know What The NSA Is Doing With This $2 Billion Utah Spy Center

Robert Johnson|April 04, 2012

Maybe you’ve heard of it and maybe you haven’t, but in Bluffdale, Utah alongside one of the largest polygamist sects in America, the NSA is building a one-million-square-foot data collection center — five times the size of the U.S. capital.

Despite immense secrecy, and construction workers with Top Secret clearances, news of the project made it to the pages of Wired last month. Intelligence authority James Bamford wrote that the center is part of President Bush’s “total information awareness” program that was killed by Congress in 2003 in response to public outrage over its potential for invading Americans privacy.

One senior intelligence official formerly involved with the project told Bamford “this is more than just a data center,” that it’s a code breaking megalopolis the likes of which the world has never seen.

Continue Below

http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-04/news/31284683_1_nsa-secrecy-spy - 37k -

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by debt pusher's kryptonite
2013-04-16 04:47:29

(Reuters) - Scientists are struggling to explain a slowdown in climate change that has exposed gaps in their understanding and defies a rise in global greenhouse gas emissions.

Often focused on century-long trends, most climate models failed to predict that the temperature rise would slow, starting around 2000. Scientists are now intent on figuring out the causes and determining whether the respite will be brief or a more lasting phenomenon.

Comment by 2banana
2013-04-16 05:28:58

It is - obviously - that government did not grow bigger as fast as expected and that massive taxes were not imposed.

This time…

 
Comment by Bluestar
2013-04-16 08:57:24

Increased hurricane activity: ‘New normal’

Officials predict active 2013 storm season;
“Unusual warming of the Atlantic Ocean is driving the predictions, according to Colorado State University’s Department of Atmospheric Science. Although one of the study’s authors regularly has cautioned against linking individual tropical storms and seasons to global climate change, Delaware’s top environmental official said the connections are hard to avoid.”

“Tropical storm activity last year, by comparison, was 31 percent above average, after what the Colorado center acknowledged was an initial underestimate of hurricanes overall”

http://www.delmarvanow.com/article/20130416/OPI01/304160056/Increased-hurricane-activity-New-normal-

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 15:59:01

I predicted yesterday we would have an active hurricane season particularly on the East Coast. Has nothing to do with global warming, everything to do with the natural warming of the Atlantic and the natural cooling of the Pacific. Look at the
hurricane record for the 1950s, we are in the same pattern.

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2013-04-16 09:17:31

We have 10 fresh inches of Al Gore’s global warming on the ground this morning, if it wasn’t for the Boston bombing yesterday, maybe it would be linked on Drudge along with this Reuters piece.

 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-04-16 05:15:28

“if you think the banking system is going to back stop and advance the home equity fantasy you’re going to be mighty be surprised.”

 
Comment by inchbyinch
2013-04-16 06:26:19

Finally got through the 3 hour documentary “The Rockefellers” on the treadmill last night. Granted, it had a propaganda component to it, but it did was still very interesting. My take away was I had respect for the principles of hard work, thrift, philanthropy, nature preservation instilled in their childhoods (earlier generations). Now when I hear Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, Chase, etc…, I now think Rockefellers. They showed why the family had a soiled name as well. Worth a watch.

Comment by Iwog
2013-04-16 06:52:50

Did you get through that difficult calculation of determining what you paid for your debt-shack in $$/square foot?

Comment by inchbyinch
2013-04-16 06:59:50

Iwog
Give it up.

Comment by Iwog
2013-04-16 07:33:44

Why are you so afraid to tell us what you paid per square foot?

What did you pay per square foot for your debt shack?

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Comment by Blue Skye
2013-04-16 08:06:46

A house paid for with cash is not a debt shack.

 
Comment by scdave
2013-04-16 08:14:59

Don’t engage him….Maybe he will go away…

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 08:25:02

I have a bulletin for you HomeDepot “contractor”….. we’re staying.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-04-16 10:37:07

Maybe he will go away…

But people also said the housing bubble would go away and yet here we are…

 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-16 10:49:57

A house paid for with cash is not a debt shack.
Only if it’s exempt from real estate taxation.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-04-16 10:54:26

Don’t engage him….Maybe he will go away…

Joshua Tree Troll Inhibitor:

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B0QMI_-Iy8pod25GTjYwRTFZNlU

Works with firefox, enhances your HBB reading experience.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-04-16 10:56:17

Only if it’s exempt from real estate taxation.

And you have the option of not ever paying rent and living under a bridge or in your parent’s basement.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 14:48:42

Yet you don’t have the mental fortitude to take your own advice.

Hypocrite.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-04-17 01:25:38

Just like you still living in a house you own? As opposed to selling it and becoming a renter.

Plenty of knife catchers out there to buy your house…

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-17 05:03:31

Hey Liar, prices are massively inflated. Why would they stop falling?

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-17 05:05:06

Hey Liar, We have plenty of houses for sale. This isn’t about me so don’t take it so personally.

 
Comment by macboy
2013-04-17 07:06:52

buying a house still can be fun. To each his own…

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-17 07:38:32

LOL

Uh huh.. 30 years of mortgage slavery on a massively depreciating asset from which you’ll never recover is “‘fun”?

I hate to see your idea of a bad time.

 
Comment by macboy
2013-04-17 16:44:38

Blah blah blah. Slavery. Blah blah blah. Works for some. Not for others. Let’s all be judgemental and echo-chambery now, why dont we… :)

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-17 19:35:55

Signing up for 30 years of massively inflated payments on a rapidly depreciating overpriced house works for who? Who?

Oh yeah…. you lying realtors. ;)

 
Comment by macboy
2013-04-17 21:40:28

Pimp is an idiot. Just sayin’ :)

 
Comment by macboy
2013-04-17 21:41:56

Weird, my sweet car depreciated the very day I bought it nine years ago, but I still am happy every day I spend in it. Perhaps some people are bitter about money, and perhaps some people are happy with life. But, the latter group tends not be pimps. Just sayin’…

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-18 05:25:37

Your losses are growing by the day….. just sayin.

 
 
 
 
Comment by inchbyinch
2013-04-16 06:55:47

I just saw an interesting list from the U-Berkeley of 97 Rockefeller holdings. I doubt it’s a complete list, but holy cow, they are in a lot of sectors.

Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 06:57:16

link?

Comment by inchbyinch
2013-04-16 07:02:07

Joe - When I re-find the other one, I’ll post it. post.http://socrates.berkeley.edu/~schwrtz/Rockefeller.html

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Comment by ICLEI
2013-04-16 07:24:18

Bilderberg 2012: Global Leaders Gather For Shadowy Conference At Virginia Hotel

Posted: 05/31/2012 1:01 pm Updated: 06/01/2012 12:03 pm

Frequent attendees, including Henry A. Kissinger and David Rockefeller, are expected again. A copy of last year’s guest list, leaked to a journalist covering the conference, offers a window into just how much influence Bilderberg guests wield.

Google Chairman Eric Schmidt, World Bank President Robert B. Zoellick, European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet, Queen Beatrix of the Netherlands and Greek Minister of Finance George Papaconstantinou were reportedly among those in attendance at the 2011 meeting in Switzerland.

Global business titans, government officials and political figures rounded out the guest list of more than 100, though skeptics suspect dozens of names, especially of high-profile individuals, are kept off of it.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/05/31/bilderberg-2012-global-le_n_1558788.html - 171k -

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Comment by inchbyinch
2013-04-16 08:35:57

ICLEI
Thanks for the link. I’ll read it after I get home.

51 degrees in So Ca this morning under a blue sky. We had breakfast in front of the fireplace to keep us warm. One of those moments in life you can’t get enough of.

 
Comment by ICLEI
2013-04-16 08:47:30

Behin the Green Mask

Agenda 21 - In one easy lesson:

What is Sustainable Development?

According to its authors, the objective of sustainable development is to integrate economic, social and environmental policies in order to achieve reduced consumption, social equity, and the preservation and restoration of biodiversity. Sustainablists insist that every societal decision be based on environmental impact, focusing on three components; global land use, global education, and global population control and reduction. Social Equity (Social Justice) Social justice is described as the right and opportunity of all people “to benefit equally from the resources fforded us by society and the environment.” Redistribution of wealth. Private property is a social injustice since not everyone can build wealth from it. National sovereignty is a social injustice. Universal health care is a social justice. All part of Agenda 21 policy.

Economic Prosperity?

Public Private Partnerships (PPP). Special dealings between government and certain, chosen corporations which get tax breaks, grants and the government’s power of Eminent Domain to implement sustainable policy. Government-sanctioned monopolies.
Local Sustainable Development policies Smart Growth, Wildlands Project, Resilient Cities, Regional Visioning Projects, STAR Sustainable Communities, Green jobs, Green Building Codes, “Going Green,” Alternative Energy, Local Visioning, facilitators, regional planning, historic preservation, conservation easements, development rights, sustainable farming, comprehensive planning, growth management, consensus.

Who is behind it?

ICLEI – Local Governments for Sustainability (formally, International Council for Local Environmental Initiatives). Communities pay ICLEI dues to provide “local” community plans, software, training, etc. Addition groups include American Planning Council, The Renaissance Planning Group, International City/ County Management Group, aided by US Mayors Conference, National Governors Association, National League of Cities, National Association of County Administrators and many more private organizations and official government agencies. Foundation and government grants drive the process.

What gives Agenda 21 Ruling Authority?

More than 178 nations adopted Agenda 21 as official policy during a signing ceremony at the Earth Summit. US president George H.W. Bush signed the document for the US. In signing, each nation pledge to adopt the goals of Agenda 21. In 1995, President Bill Clinton, in compliance with Agenda 21, signed Executive Order #12858 to create the President’s Council on Sustainable Development in order to “harmonize” US environmental policy with UN directives as outlined in Agenda 21. The EO directed all agencies of the Federal Government to work with state and local community governments in a joint effort “reinvent” government using the guidelines outlined in Agenda 21. As a result, with the assistance of groups like ICLEI, Sustainable Development is now emerging as government policy in every town, county and state in the nation.
Revealing Quotes From the Planners
“Agenda 21 proposes an array of actions which are intended to be implemented by EVERY person on Earth…it calls for specific changes in the activities of ALL people… Effective execution of Agenda 21 will REQUIRE a profound reorientation of ALL humans, unlike anything the world has ever experienced ” Agenda 21: The Earth Summit Strategy to Save Our Planet (Earthpress, 1993). Emphases – DR

Urgent to implement – but we don’t know what it is!

“The realities of life on our planet dictate that continued economic development as we know it cannot be sustained…Sustainable development, therefore is a program of action for local and global economic reform – a program that has yet to be fully defined.” The Local Agenda 21 Planning Guide, published by ICLEI, 1996.

http://whatisagenda21.net/agenda21.htm - 19k -

 
 
 
Comment by ICLEI
2013-04-16 07:08:43

” I doubt it’s a complete list, but holy cow, they are in a lot of sectors.”

“For more than a century ideological extremists at either end of the political spectrum have seized upon well-publicized incidents such as my encounter with Castro to attack the Rockefeller family for the inordinate influence they claim we wield over American political and economic institutions. Some even believe we are part of a secret cabal working against the best interests of the United States, characterizing my family and me as ‘internationalists’ and of conspiring with others around the world to build a more integrated global political and economic structure–one world, if you will. If that’s the charge, I stand guilty, and I am proud of it.”
― David Rockefeller

“We are grateful to the Washington Post, the New York Times, Time Magazine and other great publications whose directors have attended our meetings and respected their promises of discretion for almost 40 years……It would have been impossible for us to develop our plan for the world if we had been subjected to the lights of publicity during those years. But, the world is more sophisticated and prepared to march towards a world government. The supernational sovereignty of an intellectual elite and world bankers is surely preferable to the national autodetermination practiced in past centuries.”
― David Rockefeller

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-16 07:36:03

If you think the Rockefellers are bad, you should check out the Koch brothers. Talk about a sneaky couple of ruthless oligarchs!

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Comment by inchbyinch
2013-04-16 08:22:55

alpha
Thanks to the HBB and Matt Taibbi (sp?) I am aware of the Koch Bros. At least the Rockefellers have a legacy of contribution to humanity along with the bad stuff.

This is interesting. I wonder if NO corp interest in science is allowed at all and truly is about core research?

http://womenandscience.rockefeller.edu/

 
Comment by goon squad
2013-04-16 09:37:17

Jeff Saturday / hazard / ICLEI has a bee in his bonnet about the UN / Rockefellers / New World Order lately. The Koch brothers are yesterday’s newz, dude.

 
Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-16 10:16:53

If every time you type “Koch Brothers” earned you a penny, you would be the richest man in USA.

 
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 10:30:05

The only thing worse than Koch Brothers is Koch Fluffers and we have a few of them here on HBB.

 
Comment by polly
2013-04-16 10:58:08

If you look carefully at the Hall of Human Origins at the Smithsonian’s Natural History Museum, you can find a panel where climate change is called a good thing because the last time it happened, human brains got bigger. David Koch is the major funder.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-16 10:59:11

you would be the richest man in USA.

Yeah, but the Kochtopus only funds fake grass roots that support their oligarchy, not that oppose it.

 
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 11:53:27

If possible, I will take a picture of that panel sometime this spring/summer and post it here.

 
Comment by debt pusher's kryptonite
2013-04-16 14:00:04

Koch Fluffers and we have a few of them here on HBB.

Worse than Kich Fluffers are the lawyer goons who do virtually everything to make Kochs even richer.

 
Comment by ICLEI
2013-04-16 16:28:24

“Jeff Saturday / hazard / ICLEI has a bee in his bonnet about the UN / Rockefellers / New World Order lately. The Koch brothers are yesterday’s newz, dude.”

You forgot UNKNOWN TENANT

You still don`t know about the Yello Brick Road to these topics do ya goon? For the fourth time…..

Do you want me to read the card?

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 06:46:30

Interesting article. Obama is proposing limiting the government’s contribution to contractor executive pay to $760k per year. Companies can still pay their private contractor executives whatever they want (typically quite a few millions) but they wouldn’t be able to charge it to gov’t contracts any more.
————————–
Obama’s Defense Budget Would Slash Contractor Exec Pay

http://www.law360.com/governmentcontracts/articles/432844?nl_pk=9d07ff26-0986-46de-917f-4b7f3ce1f9dc&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=governmentcontracts

“President Barack Obama’s proposed 2014 defense budget renews the administration’s call to clamp down on the amount the government will pay toward contractor executive salaries, currently $763,000 per year, by tying it to the U.S. vice president’s salary

The budget would cap the sum the government would contribute at $230,700 — the amount Vice President Joe Biden is paid — echoing failed attempts in the 2012 and 2013 National Defense Authorization Acts. A contractor would still be free to pay its executives as much as it wanted; it just couldn’t charge the excess to the government as a contract cost.

The president’s budget noted that the pay cap, calculated based on the pay of top private-sector CEOs, has more than tripled since it was introduced in the mid-1990s. Obama has called for reducing the cap since 2011, and his administration said it was encouraged by the fact that the Senate’s version of the 2013 NDAA included a lower pay cap, though it was discarded during reconciliation with the House version.”

Comment by oxide
2013-04-16 07:33:00

Joe, is this something Obama could do by executive order? I’m not sure if military contracting is technically under the executive branch.

Comment by goon squad
2013-04-16 09:22:48

Obama can do anything he wants, including to force all of us into Sharia Law gay marriages. It’s true, it was on Breitbart dot com.

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2013-04-16 07:39:50

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

Say it ain’t so, joe.

Contractors are mom and apple pie. Contractors are Born Free. Contractors have so many magnetic yellow ribbons they mess with Earth’s gravity. Contractors are Taking America Back. Contractors are Restoring Our Future. Contractors are the Horatio Alger, rags to riches, bootstrapping, rugged individualist, How We Won The West, Galt Gulch, Manifest Destiny, Peace In Our Time, Prosperity Is Just Around The Corner, Return To Normalcy, Morning in America, Job Creator, American Dream.

 
Comment by WT Econonmist
2013-04-16 09:16:49

How about slashing executive pay and increasing the dividend yield for investors, currently half the historical average (though admitedly that is based on excessive stock prices).

Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 09:55:42

Sorry, Phoebe [Novakovic] won’t be having any of that. Bootstrapping DoD contractors deserve all that taxpayer moolah for themselves. Just ask BiLA.

Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2013-04-16 19:24:19

who cares? You gotta learn something son.

When I was in my 20s I was a dedicated libertarian. i knew most IT jobs pushed to us at my college were for DOD. They were the best pay.

Also I read books by Ayn Rand.

So eventually I had to realize the answer to the question: What reward will I get if I go on strike as in Galt’s Gulch and refuse to work in a statist job, since most jobs were for statism?

The answer is: No reward. High paying jobs I refuse would be taken by others who were not fools.

As a capitalist, I had to build up assets. Therefore I did. Now at $1.55 million. Age 53, going on 54.

And you say I should have been noble and gone on strike. Then people like you would laugh behind my back and take the job I refused.

I am a rationally selfish individualist first. Second, I’m an anarcho capitalist. I never invest politically. I never choose my work politically. You can have a different set of politics than what you have to live with.

I cannot change the system by myself. I prefer anarcho capitalism. So by your silly woman argument, if I’m an anarcho capitalist I better not have government as a client. Too bad for you. I have any group or individual as a client.

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Comment by Bluestar
2013-04-16 07:04:46

Energy Futures Holdings, formally know as TXU has hired bankruptcy lawyers and is scrambling to protect physical assets like their nuclear and gas power plants. The nuclear plants are a special problem because they come with multi-billion dollar liabilities tied to their inherent danger of catastrophic failure, terrorist attacks and 30+yr stockpiles of spent fuel. If they can’t find a buyer the plants will be shut down.

http://www.bizjournals.com/dallas/news/2013/04/15/energy-future-holdings-planning-for.html

Energy Future Holdings Sees 33% Earnings Drop as Gas Hedges Expire;
“Energy Future’s gas contracts mitigate the effect falling prices have on electricity. The Texas Competitive unit said in February that its hedges against fluctuating gas prices will decrease to 41 percent of exposure by 2014, from 99 percent last year. The 2013 hedges lock in gas at a weighted average price of $6.89 per million British thermal units, a 67 percent gain from the settlement price of $4.137 at yesterday in New York.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-04-16/energy-future-sees-33-earnings-drop-as-gas-hedges-expire.html

Comment by Steve J
2013-04-16 09:10:14

Texas electricity users are still paying for the Commanche Nuclear plant they built.

The original estimate was $700 million when construction began in 1974. It ended up being $11 billion when they finished the first reactor in 1990. Final cost $20 billion.

Millions were spent in hush money to silence former workers who threatened to become whistleblowers and expose graft, bribes, and payoffs.

Comment by Bluestar
2013-04-16 13:21:16

Ha! Their NatGas hedges have them locked in at a 67% LOSS.
“The 2013 hedges lock in gas at a weighted average price of $6.89 per million British thermal units, a 67 percent gain from the settlement price of $4.137 at yesterday in New York.”

As to the spent fuel, Rick Perry has it covered!
“Hotter Radioactive Waste Could Be Coming To Texas”
“Waste Control Specialists, a company owned by Dallas billionaire and top Republican donor Harold Simmons.”
“Is there an economic motivation? Absolutely, there is,” State Sen. Seliger said. “There’s more money in B and C waste. There’s also no other place for it to go.”

http://stateimpact.npr.org/texas/2013/03/26/hotter-radioactive-waste-could-be-coming-to-texas/

 
Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-16 13:26:38

I lived around there back then.

The dirty money was nothing compared to just how unsafe that damn thing is.

 
 
Comment by WT Econonmist
2013-04-16 12:04:42

“If they can’t find a buyer the plants will be shut down.”

If they are shut down with no owner, who takes charge of the “30+yr stockpiles of spent fuel.” Sounds like we’ll be socializing the losses again. Hopefully just within Texas.

Long Island, and to some extent the rest of NY State, is still paying for Shoreham, a plant that never opened, where there was similar large scale graft.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2013-04-16 16:36:40

Don’t have time to read the articles but are you sure they did not sell the nat gas at that price?

 
 
Comment by azdude
2013-04-16 07:16:42

are any of you tough enough to swing a hammer? Get out there and build a house and save some money.

Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 07:44:57

Opportunity cost of one’s own time.

Capital cost involved with heavy duty tools, trucks, dumpsters.

Legal costs, regulatory costs.

Sorry, no thanks.

Comment by azdude
2013-04-16 07:54:32

opportunity costs assumes you can make more money than the money you are saving by doing your own labor. Since at least 25% of america makes < 10 bucks an hour I think they dont have any opportunity costs of their own time. It sure seems a lot of people around here have a lot of time on their hands too.

Capital costs? Most people have a car already. If you need to haul some materials rent a truck. most of the time HD and lowes will deliver free if the order is big enough. U can pick up a nice saw for 100.00.

I dont think most people have the ambition to work hard.

Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 08:02:30

Opportunity cost also includes the time they will need to sink into learning to build the house (to match code, btw).

You vastly overestimate how long it takes to find good prices, how hard it is to deal with code inspectors, how hard it is to learn certain skills like roofing or plumbing or electrical.

I guess if you want to build a minimalize crapshack in some place with no building codes… move there. But then, after having saved all that money building the house… what next? Get a McJob? Collect disability? What’s the game plan? Self built house in rural Kentucky… congrats, you have a “free house” but have consigned your life to rural poverty. Basically took a step back into the pre-Tennessee Valley Authority era.

“Rent a truck” - Yeah because loading and unloading heavy items is so easy and many Americans can do it. Driving a big truck back and forth and paying not-low prices at HD/Lowes…. = lulz for days.

The better thing to do would be to just avoid buying a house. If you can’t make better than $10/hr, you should be renting, saving your money, and learning a skill or trade. If that turns out to be housing related, so be it. But c’mon man, if you can’t make more than 10/hr, you should NOT be buying a house. Self-built or not.

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Comment by HBB_Rocks
2013-04-16 08:14:19

Rent a truck” - Yeah because loading and unloading heavy items is so easy and many Americans can do it. Driving a big truck back and forth and paying not-low prices at HD/Lowes…. = lulz for days.
————————————–
Family Guy rent a truck skit:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hYAUF832iU

 
 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-16 09:26:00

I dont think most people have the ambition to work hard.

I don’t agree. I think there are a lot of people who can’t see a path to how to make hard work pay off, but when it’s clear to them they go for it. Some people have a hard time seeing through ambiguity…

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Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 10:11:48

I agree totally on people not seeing how their work will pay off. I envision a limited role for the government helping the economy (getting rid of most student loans and housing support) by lowering barriers, kind of like how catalysts (inorganic) or enzymes (organic) allow chemical reactions to take place in conditions where they would normally be slow. One example would be increasing the incentives for people to work as opposed to applying for or staying in SS Disability. Another example would be having the military actually perform some of the duties it used to, prior to the privatization of many routine functions (under both Clinton and Bush). A lot of those jobs were stable, blue collar technical jobs, both civilian and military. Now they are all contracted out, which actually costs us more but provides less job (instead, more money for lawyers and executives who manage the contracting process).

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-04-16 13:43:15

“One example would be increasing the incentives for people to work as opposed to applying for or staying in SS Disability.”

It is called a good-paying job.

 
 
 
Comment by scdave
2013-04-16 08:18:30

Legal costs, regulatory costs ??

Most overlooked items…

Comment by ICLEI
2013-04-16 08:28:42

“Legal costs, regulatory costs ??”

ICLEI

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Comment by Steve J
2013-04-16 09:18:59

Permits is not cheap nowadays.

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Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 08:10:11

We and our competitors build for $55/sq foot (material, labor and profit) in all 48 states.

Why pay for a run down used house at the current massively inflated asking prices of resale housing?

Comment by oxide
2013-04-16 09:18:34

Because your house is likely to involve a 70-minute commute.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 09:20:59

Right on YOUR street.

Now…

What dollar amount did you pay for your debt shack

don’t lie

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-16 09:21:17

And my neighbors would be people who would live in such an area.

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Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-16 08:50:53

are any of you tough enough to swing a hammer? Get out there and build a house and save some money.

I actually like the idea of doing that myself one day.

At the moment, in what is quite likely my peak earnings years, it is hard to justify taking the year off to do it, though.

Comment by azdude
2013-04-16 08:58:12

are you afraid to leave your job for a year?

Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-16 09:00:57

Afraid? No.

Well aware of what it would cost me? Yes.

I actually hope to take some stints off from work in my lifetime.

But what do we say to a significant chunk of lost earnings? “Not today.”

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Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 09:14:54

leave job for a year to build a house? $150/sq ft

Pay massively inflated price for resale house? $200/sq ft

Give a contractor your plans for your new house? $60/sq ft.

 
Comment by joe smith
2013-04-16 09:58:51

Oh come on man, you’re just not ambitious enough. If you were, you could learn to frame, weld, roof, install cabinetry, install windows, install plumbing, tile, floor, sheetrock, paint, and also deal with the regulatory and legal aspects of building your very own house. And you could do it in a reasonable time frame and without making any mistakes that will cause the property insurance to deny coverage if anything happens in the future.

Go for it, azd00d said so!

 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-16 11:05:51

If you were, you could learn to frame, weld, roof, install cabinetry, install windows, install plumbing, tile, floor, sheetrock, paint, and also deal with the regulatory and legal aspects of building your very own house.
That’s what my dad did before he built his house - but then that was his full-time job, working for architects, contractors on planning, execution & project inspection. Before dad was born, his father and uncle had built a row of houses in northern Michigan they quickly sold. Dad developed the many contacts which he later had do the special stuff, like excavation, well-drilling and earth-moving. He hired short-term help when he needed more hands, and came close to killing one of his teen-age employees when a rafter they were lining up on the framework suddenly rotated 180 degrees & hit the boy on the back of his head, stunning him. I never saw my dad as scared as he was then!
The house only took 9 years, as a part-time project. We kids lost any desire we might have had, to have a new house constructed.

 
Comment by Ethan in Norfolk
2013-04-16 11:12:12

The proper thing to do would be to work in the industries building a few houses, THEN try to build your own.

Also, do people still swing hammers? Pneumatic staple gun plz.

 
Comment by perkonkrusts
2013-04-16 11:22:27

Joe, you forgot about the electricity, the thing most likely to kill you as you learn how to do it, other than rassle gators.

 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-16 11:34:12

The proper thing to do would be to work in the industries building a few houses, THEN try to build your own.
It might be possible to learn a lot by volunteering with Habitat for Humanity. In my area they are branching out from building new homes to rehabbing older but serviceable homes. H4H is having to foreclose on too many people & is trying to cut the cost of housing by doing that. I’m not sure it would be possible if you had to pay the workers, but it might work otherwise. Various public agencies in Cleveland are turning over old houses to H4H for this.

Last year, Greater Cleveland Habitat was forced to file 15 foreclosure actions against tenants who had stopped making mortgage payments, according to John Habat, executive director of the local chapter.

The lower cost of rehab also makes it possible for the organization, in collaboration with community development corporations and the Cuyahoga land bank, to address a more ambitious agenda: renovating part of a block, not just building single homes.

The plan targets six vacant properties on Colfax Road in the Mount Pleasant neighborhood and another half dozen on Clement Avenue in Slavic Village.

The Mt. Pleasant NOW Development Corp. will sell the Colfax properties to Greater Cleveland Habitat for $15,000 each, Habat said.

The land bank already has donated two of the residences in Slavic Village to Greater Cleveland Habitat. The other four houses on Clement are going through tax foreclosure. Once they’ve been foreclosed, the land bank should get title to the properties, and will donate them, too, Habat said.

He cited $200,000 as the average cost for Habitat — which operates on a $2.5 million annual budget — to build a new home. The average cost of rehab is about $50,000.

 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-16 11:49:29

Before dad was born, his father and uncle had built a row of houses in northern Michigan they quickly sold.
Grandpa built those houses without indoor plumbing. Years later he added it. We heard the story of how grandpa turned on the water pressure to his new plumbing system for the first time and saw water squirting in every possible direction from all the leaky connections. Dad was highly amused. Dad’s plumbing never leaked, and I was able to check this out 45 years after he installed it.

 
 
 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-16 10:56:42

in what is quite likely my peak earnings years, it is hard to justify taking the year off to do it, though.
Or you can do it in your part time. It took my dad 9 years from breaking ground for the foundation to selling the (nearly) completed place and moving out of state to a better job. He worked full time during that unless he was laid off (a few months). During that time we kids grew up & did alot of work on the house. Part of that time we lived in the basement of the tarpaper shack the house-in-construction was.

 
 
 
Comment by ICLEI
2013-04-16 07:59:59

I was watching The ’80s: The Decade That Made Us on National Geographic Channel last night and the begining of it was about the olympic Hockey team. The goalie Jim Craig, told a astory about playing the Russian B team in an exhibition game prior to the olympics where one of the U.S. players checked a Soviet player who turned out to be a a KGB agent and he had a gun under his jersey. He went on to explain that it wasn’t to intimidate the Americans but to “discourage” Soviet players from defecting.

I tried to google it but the couple of links that have it don’t seem to work.

“As U.S. goalie Jim Craig tells it, the packing “player” was a KGB agent who was traveling with the Soviet squad to keep its players from …”

Comment by it's hard out here for a pimp
2013-04-16 08:15:17

Coming soon to American cities and towns near you…..

 
Comment by WT Econonmist
2013-04-16 09:18:02

The 1980s was the Greed is Good, Me Decade.

So was the 1970s, the 1990s, the 2000s, and the 2010s. That’s what made us.

 
Comment by Steve J
2013-04-16 09:23:35

They always used families to prevent defections.

What was the KGB agent supposed to do? Shoot him at half time when he skates to the wrong dressing room?

Comment by michael
2013-04-16 11:10:24

“Fear is the mind-killer. Fear is the little-death that brings total obliteration.”

Comment by Steve J
2013-04-16 11:59:50

A hockey player in fear is not going to be any good.

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Comment by ICLEI
2013-04-16 08:26:54

BEHIND THE GREEN MASK

UN Agenda 21/Sustainable Development is the action plan implemented worldwide to inventory and control all land, all water, all minerals, all plants, all animals, all construction, all means of production, all energy, all education, all information, and all human beings in the world. INVENTORY AND CONTROL.

Have you wondered where these terms ’sustainability’ and ’smart growth’ and ‘high density urban mixed use development’ came from? Doesn’t it seem like about 10 years ago you’d never heard of them and now everything seems to include these concepts? Is that just a coincidence? That every town and county and state and nation in the world would be changing their land use/planning codes and government policies to align themselves with…what?

In a nutshell, the plan calls for governments to take control of all land use and not leave any of the decision making in the hands of private property owners. It is assumed that people are not good stewards of their land and the government will do a better job if they are in control. Individual rights in general are to give way to the needs of communities as determined by the governing body. Moreover, people should be rounded up off the land and packed into human settlements, or islands of human habitation, close to employment centers and transportation. Another program, called the Wildlands Project spells out how most of the land is to be set aside for non-humans.

U.N. Agenda 21 cites the affluence of Americans as being a major problem which needs to be corrected. It calls for lowering the standard of living for Americans so that the people in poorer countries will have more, a redistribution of wealth. Although people around the world aspire to achieve the levels of prosperity we have in our country, and will risk their lives to get here, Americans are cast in a very negative light and need to be taken down to a condition closer to average in the world. Only then, they say, will there be social justice which is a cornerstone of the U.N. Agenda 21 plan.

http://www.democratsagainstunagenda21.com/ - 38k -

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-04-16 08:53:51

“Falling housing prices to dramatically lower levels is bullish optimism.”

 
Comment by ann gogh
Comment by goon squad
2013-04-16 12:31:13

Bad moods about what? Obama bumming you out again?

 
 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-16 08:58:58

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 08:10:11

[...]

Why pay for a run down used house at the current massively inflated asking prices of resale housing?

One thing that is commonly overlooked in this “run down used house” meme is that the quality of building materials was actually much HIGHER 100yrs ago. And many things were over-engineered back then in a way that they simply are not today.

Here’s an example: the house that I bought back in 1996 (and sold in 2003 to bubble-sit—so don’t call me a realtor) had a SOLID wood sub-floor. It was not plywood—it was 1×6 planks (I believe it was referred to as “beaver board” back then). That is _dramatically_ stronger than what it is in use today.

Nowadays, what would it be made of—crappy quality plywood, if you are lucky?

They literally don’t build them like that anymore.

Not that there aren’t some things that are dramatically better today, such as strapping to foundation, electrical codes, etc etc.

But don’t believe that everything is better today.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 09:06:22

quality of building materials was actually much HIGHER 100yrs ago.

Really?

Shiplap roof sheathing is stronger than ply?

Shiplap floors are stronger than ply?

Ship lap wall sheathing is better than ply?

24″ stud wall spacing is a stronger wall than 16″?

Single glaze windows are more efficient than double?

Glass fuses are better than circuit breakers?

Asbestos roofs and EFS is better than tin and siding?

Leaded CI pipe is better than SDR?

You really come up with some doozies. But go ahead….. go sign up for an inflated price on a worthless 60 year old balloon framed firetrap.

 
Comment by Steve J
2013-04-16 09:35:01

Yep, they made quality out houses back 100 years ago. Nothing like the crappy bathrooms the put in houses nowadays.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 09:45:53

lmao

 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-16 11:25:54

Nothing like the crappy bathrooms the put in houses nowadays.
Some of that is due to plain mental inertia on the part of designers, builders and home-buyers. IMNSHO, ever faucet should be of the one-handle type so that you can easily control the temps of the water with the palm of your hand, and every bath or shower faucet should be of the mixing type with some kind of constant temp regulation for convenience and for safety.
I paid about $200 for such a temp controlled mixing shower & bath valve 20 years ago, and installed it myself. Nowadays gaudy and retro 2-handle shower valves cost that much at Home Depot and Lowe’s and are a waste of money for the conspicuous consumers.
People are still so much in love with out-of-date door knobs and latches that require 2 good hands to open. I can open my front door with the end of a walking stick while my hands are nearly full, and the keypad lights itself up.

 
 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-16 11:17:59

It was not plywood—it was 1×6 planks (I believe it was referred to as “beaver board” back then). That is _dramatically_ stronger than what it is in use today.
My POS aluminum-sided, asphalt-shingled house was built about 1955. Its subfloor is of 3/4″ thick, 6 inch wide planks resting on the floor joists. These are covered with 3/4″ high-quality plywood, on top of which was cheap linoleum in the kitchen and bath, with hardwood floors in the bedrooms. Have no clear idea of what is underneath the {shudder} shag carpeting in the living room. It’s probably hardwood also.
When I inspected the house before I bought it, I could see the planking, visible from the basement. I also noticed the plumbing and electric wiring was mostly accessible from that point, which I knew would help for future upgrades.
The decking of my roof is of the same material, laid perpendicular to the rafters. This is visible from the attic spaces. Very soon I will learn how this material has held up to leaking shingles over the years.
My dad built his own house in southern Michigan at nearly the same time. He used plywood subflooring and roof decking.

Comment by Steve J
2013-04-16 12:01:25

My subfloor is built with concrete.

 
Comment by eastcoaster
2013-04-16 12:34:20

That’s like the subfloor in my 1977 ranch. Only, they didn’t include underlayment between the subfloor and carpet. Nor did the person who I paid to tear up 3/4 of the floor and put new flooring down. I was an uneducated newbie buyer so I didn’t realize know the benefits of underlayment. I do now, though. You can feel areas where the subfloor planks are uneven from wear - little dips in the floor here and there.

Comment by inchbyinch
2013-04-16 22:32:47

Hi eastcoaster
We wanted to upgrade the underlayment and our honest floor guy said not to, our 1967 rancher didn’t need it. The Hall Ba was our DIY job (DIY both ba floors only), and it’s the worse slab area.
Flooring is expensive! Carpet free home, and we love it.

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Comment by ICLEI
2013-04-16 09:10:58

Obama budget projects $943-million bailout for key housing agency

By Jim Puzzanghera and E. Scott Reckard

April 10, 2013, 11:19 a.m.
WASHINGTON — The Obama administration’s proposed budget projects the Federal Housing Administration will need a $943-million bailout this year to stabilize its shaky long-term finances.

The agency, whose mortgage insurance business increased dramatically during the Great Recession, is supposed to fund itself from premiums it charges homeowners. It has never received taxpayer funds in its 79-year history.

But the agency reported in November that reserves to cover losses on some of the more than $1 trillion in mortgages it insures had dropped into negative territory for the year that ended Sept. 30.

With FHA facing a shortfall of $16.3 billion to cover projected losses in coming years, Obama’s 2014 budget anticipates the agency’s reserve fund would need $943 million this year.

The FHA has permanent authority to draw the money from the Treasury and does not need congressional approval for the bailout. A final decision would not be made until the fiscal year ends Sept. 30.

Edward J. Pinto, a former Fannie Mae chief credit officer who has argued that lax FHA lending helped feed the foreclosure crisis in low-income neighborhoods, said the Obama budget drastically underestimates the potential for losses.

“My own estimates show the FHA is insolvent to the tune of $32 billion, based on generally accepted accounting principles,” said Pinto, a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, a free-market think tank. “The billion dollars [in the Obama budget] is based on government accounting principles, which as someone once said are neither accounting nor principled.”

“If the FHA were a private financial institution, likely somebody would be fired, somebody would be fined, or the institution would find itself in receivership,” said House Financial Services Committee Chairman Jeb Hensarling (R-Texas). “Instead, the FHA is merrily on its way to becoming the recipient of the next great taxpayer bailout. It’s outrageous.”

http://www.latimes.com/business/money/la-fi-mo-federal-housing-administration-fha-bailout-budget-20130410,0,3027703.story - 227k -

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 13:11:58

‘Obama budget projects $943-million bailout for key housing agency

Edward J. Pinto, a former Fannie Mae chief credit officer who has argued that lax FHA lending helped feed the foreclosure crisis in low-income neighborhoods, said the Obama budget drastically underestimates the potential for losses.

“My own estimates show the FHA is insolvent to the tune of $32 billion, based on generally accepted accounting principles,”’

How do you get from insolvency to the tune of $32 billion down to a $943-million bailout?

I just don’t get Washington maths…never have, never will.

 
 
 
Comment by Iwog
Comment by debt pusher's kryptonite
2013-04-16 13:54:56

Wow…who would have thunk it?

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-16 14:21:20

Your link says that Phoenix house prices are up 33% year-over-year.

Are you sure that’s the link you want to give us?

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 15:58:59

Reading problems again WarPig Hypocrite?

Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-16 21:03:02

33% is what I see. Even has a little “up” arrow.

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Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-17 05:09:12

READ

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
Comment by debt pusher's kryptonite
2013-04-16 13:53:51

If true, the collective orgasm from the left would be unbearable.

I bet Obama and his minions are praying to god that let it a be white tea billy.

Comment by debt pusher's kryptonite
2013-04-16 16:36:46

Just look at drudge links and other right wing blogs, they are hell bent on proving a moosleem connection even if may or may not exist.

Despicable people.

Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-16 21:00:53

To them, it’s always the brown people.

But a lot of our home turf terrorism has been the homegrown variety.

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Comment by goon squad
2013-04-16 10:33:29

Don’t drink the kool-aid. Mike Whitney nails it again in this piece:

http://www.counterpunch.org/2013/04/16/housings-breakout-year/

Comment by rms
2013-04-16 17:09:32

+1 Great read!

 
 
Comment by Neuromance
2013-04-16 11:18:29

Random unintended consequences.

Neediest Homebuyers in U.S. Lifted by Japan: Mortgages
By Jody Shenn - Apr 15, 2013 12:37 PM ET
Bloomberg

As Governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s efforts to spark inflation by doubling the central bank’s bond purchases shrinks the available debt in his country, traders are betting that will bolster demand for U.S-owned Ginnie Mae’s mortgage securities, pushing up prices and lowering yields that guide home-loan rates.

Japanese investors venturing into the U.S. home-loan market typically favor debt from Ginnie Mae, which helps finance borrowers with down payments as low as 3.5 percent, because it carries an explicit government guarantee, unlike Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac notes.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-04-14/neediest-homebuyers-in-u-s-lifted-by-japan-mortgages.html

 
Comment by CeeCee
2013-04-16 11:39:57

Hello everyone. I’ve been very, very busy with work the past few months, but decided to check back here. I’ve been reading the LA Times lately, and I’ve noticed prices are ridiculous again. People also have the mentality that the economy couldn’t possibly crash ever again, because this time the prices are driven up by (artificial) lack of supply. It’s so weird that people seem to have forgotten about the last bubble that was very recent.

Anyways, I haven’t really had a chance to read this blog through, so I wanted to ask you all:

Are you surprised there seems to be another mania? Are you of the opinion this isn’t a true bubble, or are you convinced it actually is another?

Comment by Rental Watch
2013-04-16 12:17:46

I think the bubble mentality lives on.

I don’t think current prices are in bubble zone.

HOWEVER,

I fear that if the Fed keeps their ZIRP policy on for too long, we will get back to bubble zone prices a lot faster than people think.

Comment by CeeCee
2013-04-16 12:55:41

It seems like the bubble mentality lives on when speaking of situations outside of housing, too.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 14:31:10

“I don’t think current prices are in bubble zone.”

Widespread denial is a primary symptom of a mania.

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 14:35:05

Here is another piece of evidence on the return of the mania:

March 26, 2013, 6:15 p.m. EDT
Forget Facebook; investors like real estate
Commentary: The next hot IPO? Think bricks, not clicks
By David Weidner, MarketWatch

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Interest in Facebook Inc. since its calamitous initial public offering has mirrored interest in the social-networking site: Investors and users are still hanging around, but they’re less enthusiastic.

And just as users have cooled to the increasingly ad-laden experience of posting their favorite meals, musings and minutiae, investors have cooled to initial public offerings. Facebook’s (FB -0.37%) still stands as the biggest IPO of the young decade in terms of sheer spectacle. Nothing really comes close.

Facebook’s experience, however, hasn’t exactly cast a pall on the IPO market. The bull market is fueling a stock-offering renaissance. IPO volume for the last four weeks is up 59% from the same period last year to $2.93 billion, according to Dealogic.

But it’s the type of IPO that’s changed. Real-estate and property offerings are up nearly 40% from last year’s rates to more than $14 billion. Health-care offerings have climbed from just under $7 billion to nearly $10 billion.

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Comment by Rental Watch
2013-04-16 17:34:38

You may have succumbed to “bubble mania” denying that prices corrected.

Post Boskin Commission, CPI was adjusted downward by about 0.5% annually to try to change biases uncovered.

If you UNDO that change (and that change alone), to make the Shiller hundred year graph an apples/apples CPI comparison (I’m not even going down the path of John William’s “Shadow Stats”, who would say that the change is much more extreme), you would find that we have hit the trough trendline.

Inflation adjusted trough Case Shiller values:

1974: 102.5
1982: 103.3
1996: 106.7
2012: 106.1 (after undoing the Boskin Commission adjustment; 113.9 leaving the Boskin Commission adjustment in place)

We either have gone trough to trough to trough to trough, or within approximately 7% of the trough in the most recent iteration…if you ignore the fact that the Boskin Commission changed how CPI was calculated.

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Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 18:59:11

Why you even suggest this is a trough, given the massive amount of temporary intervention in play to prop up housing prices?

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-04-17 00:55:31

The data is the data. When you look at the graph, you can pretty much draw a straight line through the low points for the troughs over the last 4 housing cycles.

The massive amount of intervention didn’t stop the fall in home prices, and prices right now are being anchored to a large extent by cash buyers, NOT people utilizing massive amounts of cheap leverage.

When prices were falling, many people didn’t want to utilize the cheap debt available because with leveraged purchases in a falling market, your down payment (no matter how small) is wiped out quickly. It took cash buyers acquiring homes based on their ability to generate rental income to provide the floor in the market (that capital flooded the market starting in Q1 2012), NOT low interest rates.

However, as I noted above, I fear that the massive amount of intervention COULD cause the next bubble in short order.

I know this is an unpopular view, but it’s what I see in the data.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-04-17 00:59:49

Last point…now that it is becoming more common to believe that prices have stopped falling, it appears as though the leveraged buyer is back (multiple bids, etc.)–however, they are having a hard time competing with cash buyers, and there isn’t much for them to buy.

I think the statistic I saw recently was that 13% of people leaving apartments were doing so to buy homes…this is up from a recent reading of 10% (up 30%), I don’t know what the historic trendline looks like for this data. ISTR this was data reported by some apartment REITs.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-16 12:47:03

Are you surprised there seems to be another mania? ?

Given the actions of the Fed and the use of the GSEs to make loans available at low interest rates, no. I am surprised that we/they took those actions, though.

Are you of the opinion this isn’t a true bubble, or are you convinced it actually is another?

I think it’s an extension of the same bubble that was saved from fully popping. It’s composed more of superglue than soap film now.

Comment by CeeCee
2013-04-16 12:54:36

I thought the same. When everyone was telling me it popped, I wasn’t so sure it did. It seemed like it just somewhat deflated temporarily because, well, that seems like the “goal” all along. After all, when people speak of “recovery”, I find they almost always mean peak housing prices.

 
 
Comment by Al
2013-04-16 13:05:38

“Are you surprised there seems to be another mania?”

Nope. There are too many people dependant on house prices going up for one reason or another, and they’re very willing to recreate the previous bubble to relive their glory years. There’s also too many that think the prices are great compared to peak without understanding the broader context.

My prediction (for what it’s worth) is we’ll see a lot of price swings up and down, with an overall downward trend. Caveat: when GSEs/FHA fail or if interest rates rise, prices will tumble with conviction.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 13:15:41

“Are you surprised there seems to be another mania?”

I am surprised of the lengths to which the government went to reflate the housing bubble.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 15:00:48

Prices are heading down pretty rapidly in LA because they are grossly inflated. Sit tight, rent for half the monthly cost and buy later after prices crater for 65% less.

http://picpaste.com/pics/2b63c36dea94847f55a62ebba334e4d8.1366149569.png

Comment by Rental Watch
2013-04-17 01:28:14

Median prices are terrible measures.

Apples/apples data (their “zestimate” index) shows prices up MoM, QoQ, and YoY.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-17 05:07:26

Liar,

“Zestimate” is apples to apples?

Transaction data shows falling prices. Get over it.

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Comment by Rental Watch
2013-04-17 08:53:45

I’m not talking about the absolute dollar amount, but the trend.

The TREND in Zestimate takes into consideration differences in home size/neighborhood of the homes that are sold in the market.

The TREND in median home prices does not.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-17 09:46:46

Hey Rental Liar,

The TREND in median price is DOWN.

You liar.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-04-16 12:14:47

Hey everybody. I’m stuck in this jury selection process. I’m on a lunch break now but don’t know when or if I’ll be free again today.

Comment by goon squad
2013-04-16 12:32:21

Thank you for performing your civic duty.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 13:14:27

In case this helps, make reference to the college courses you took in probability and statistics, then suggest that you believe there is always some chance that a jury which convicts a defendant does so in error. Look the DA directly in the eye as you make these remarks.

 
 
Comment by cactus
2013-04-16 13:33:36

“Individuals don’t pool resources and decide to build an apartment. As Cannon notes in the video, private equity groups like Blackstone (BX) don’t need to secure financing the way individuals do. As of the middle of last month, Blackstone had purchased more than $3.5 billion worth of homes. That’s not a housing recovery, it’s Mr. Potter snapping up all the houses after Bailey Savings and Loan goes belly up.

Buying houses on the cheap and then playing landlord is a great trade for Blackstone, as would-be home buyers continue to show a preference towards renting over buying. Unfortunately it’s a lousy trend for Americans looking to buy a home of their own.

Where does that leave the stock market through the prism of housing? They are both being stimulated by outside demand flooding money into a system without organic demand. What happens when the spigot turns off for either market is anyone’s guess.

..

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 14:55:27

“Buying houses on the cheap”

What did they pay?

Comment by cactus
2013-04-16 15:48:33

What did they pay?”

3.5B / 20000 homes x 1700 sq feet ( guess at square footage ) = 103.00 dollars a square foot

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-03-13/blackstone-said-to-get-2-1-billion-bank-loan-for-home-purchases.html

Blackstone Group LP (BX), manager of the largest real estate private-equity fund, has expanded a credit line to buy single-family homes to $2.1 billion from $600 million, according to a person with knowledge of the deal.

Deutsche Bank AG (DBK) is leading the syndicate of banks, said the person, who asked not to be named because the loan is private. Other lenders include Bank of America Corp., Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN), Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)

Blackstone has invested $3.5 billion to buy 20,000 single- family rental homes since last year, making the New York-based company the largest investor of its type in the U.S. The firm is rushing to acquire properties as housing prices recover and as demand for rentals increases among people who can’t qualify for a mortgage or don’t want to own.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-16 17:08:32

So they’re not “cheap”. They paid inflated prices. Just like you.

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Comment by Resistor
2013-04-16 17:57:29

Alpha, you’re in Louisville, yes? Can you summarize the general attitude to public education there?

I’m looking medium-term to move. The original plan was Delaware, but we’re also eyeballing Northwest Arkansas, Kentucky, and maybe Georgia… maybe…

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-17 07:37:38

I’m in Lexington, about 90 miles east of Louisville, so I don’t really know their situation. Louisville is a river city, that has a shrinking industrial base, sort of like Cincinnati or Memphis, and has all the problems that go with it. I think there are some gang problems and the like. But it has great parks, a good zoo, a great restaurant scene, lots of stuff to do, a low cost of living, lots of interesting neighborhoods. I would move there if the right job were offered me. I assume there is a decent amount of support for the public schools, I think some of them are quite good, others quite rough.

Lexington, and the Covington/Newport area in northern Ky (right across the river from Cincinnati) are two other areas that you would probably find quite livable, and where there is support for the public schools. Stay away from eastern KY, where the counties are run like small fiefdoms by a handful of local families. But they’d never give you a job offer anyway, it would go to their second cousin.

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 18:45:07

The Winklevii aren’t the only investors who realized massive losses in last week’s crash.

The Financial Times
April 16, 2013 6:00 pm
Gold’s fall costs Paulson $1.5bn this year
By Dan McCrum in New York

John Paulson has taken a bold bet on bullion and allows his clients to denominate their holdings in gold, rather than US dollars

The tumbling gold price has personally cost billionaire hedge fund manager John Paulson at least $1.5bn so far this year, as a decline in the price of the metal turned into a rout.

The estimated losses for Mr Paulson, who has made and lost more money on gold than almost any other hedge fund manager, reflect a bold all-in bet on the precious…

While many investors hold some gold in case of financial calamity or a return of the rampant inflation of the 1970s, since 2009 Mr Paulson has allowed clients of Paulson & Co to denominate their holdings in gold, rather than US dollars.

Mr Paulson enthusiastically embraced the option, according to people familiar with the situation, and has about 85 per cent of his personal capital in the firm linked to the gold price.

Mr Paulson controls a little over half of the approximately $18bn managed by his hedge funds, according to people familiar with the firm, so the more than 17 per cent drop in the gold price this year equates to paper losses of about $1.4bn. Gold on Tuesday rebounded $24 to $1,377 an ounce, recovering some of Monday’s steep losses.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 18:53:22

YOU are the weakest link.

ft dot com
Last updated: April 16, 2013 4:36 pm
IMF cuts 2013 global economic outlook
By Chris Giles in Washington

The International Monetary Fund warned that an “uneven recovery is also a dangerous one” for the global economy as it again downgraded its growth forecasts for 2013, while holding out the prospect of relief late in the year.

In its twice-yearly World Economic Outlook, the fund outlined high medium-term risks stemming from doubts about the eurozone’s ability to claw its way out of its crisis, and the ability of the US and Japan to cut public sector deficits and debt.

But the IMF recognised that short-term perils had abated as financial markets approved of the eurozone’s crisis management last year and the US authorities’ willingness to come to arrangements to limit automatic and rapid fiscal tightening under sequestration.

Highlighting the differential outlook for countries’ economic prospects, Olivier Blanchard, chief economist of the IMF, said: “The world economy is as weak as its weakest link.

He added: “Given the strong interconnections between countries, an uneven recovery is also a dangerous one. Some tail risks have decreased, but it is not time for policy makers to relax.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 18:55:47

ft dot com
April 17, 2013 12:29 am
Economists’ case for austerity attacked
By Robin Harding in Washington

The intellectual case for fiscal austerity came under attack on Tuesday as two of the world’s best-known economists were accused of sloppy statistics.

Kenneth Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart of Harvard University found that economic growth falls to a mean average of minus 0.1 per cent when public debt is greater than 90 per cent of output.

But researchers at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, said that when they repeated the analysis with the same data they got a figure of plus 2.2 per cent.

“Coding errors, selective exclusion of available data, and unconventional weighting of summary statistics led to serious errors that inaccurately represent the relationship between public debt and GDP growth,” they said.

The academic spat is important because the Rogoff-Reinhart result, published in 2010, is one of the strongest arguments for quickly raising taxes or cutting public spending to keep debt below the 90 per cent limit.

Paul Ryan, the Republican chair of the House Budget committee who has pushed for rapid fiscal tightening in the US, cited the Reinhart-Rogoff study as “conclusive empirical evidence that total debt exceeding 90 per cent of the economy has a significant negative effect on economic growth”.

Mr Rogoff and Ms Reinhart said they would review the criticisms but argued that there was consensus on the basic conclusion of higher debt leading to slower growth. The Harvard economists said they have always pointed to their median growth result – 1.6 per cent when debt is higher than 90 per cent of GDP – rather than the negative mean figure.

The Amherst researchers said that Ms Reinhart and Mr Rogoff had made an error in their spreadsheet, missed several years of data and then averaged their results in a way that put unusual weight on short episodes in particular countries.

 
Comment by Bill in Los Angeles
2013-04-16 20:30:54

Tonight from my L.A. coin dealer web site.

All platinum eagle sizes. Sold out at my L.A. coin dealer.

All boxes of 500 and lots of 20 Silver eagles. Sold out at my L.A. coin dealer.

All boxes of silver Canadian Maple Leafs (500) and lots of 25: Sold out at my L.A. coin dealer.

Curiously, the only sold out gold are some variations of the Australian Perth bullion.

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 23:28:15

Sounds like the great big dip was great for physical coin sales!

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-16 23:26:30

According to Redfin dot com, there are 1,088 San Diego homes currently on the market with list prices north of $1m. The average list price is north of $3m, which means that if only these sellers can all find buyers at their wishing prices, there is a potential $3+ billion in near-term San Diego home sales.

If only…

 
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