April 29, 2013

Bits Bucket for April 29, 2013

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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Comment by sustainable development
2013-04-29 04:49:05

Foreclosure hotline, Tequisha speaking.

Tequisha, I bought my house in 1999 for $110,000, I took my equity out 4 times as my housing investment increased to a value of $450,000, I haven’t made a mortgage payment since January 2007, I have defaulted on 2 loan modifications, my Hardest Hit money has just run out and Blackstone just bought the same house as I have across the street for $75,000. Can you tell me where my check is from the $25 billion National Mortgage Settlement?

New county foreclosure hotline with cash increase for legal aid

by Kim Miller

Palm Beach County’s Legal Aid Society got an infusion of $364,000 last month from the National Mortgage Settlement, allowing it to hire additional attorneys and establish a new foreclosure hotline.

The hotline number is 561-655-8944, ext. 326.

Tequisha Myles, supervising attorney for the Fair Housing Project and Elder Law Project with legal aid, said the increase in funds allowed her to hire four additional foreclosure attorneys to the former team of just two. Legal aid is also now offering help with homeowners association foreclosures, something they didn’t do before when staff time was limited.

“We are just trying to encourage as many people as we can to take advantage of what we have,” Myles said.

The money from the settlement was designated for legal aid by Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi, but if it isn’t spent by June 30, it will go back to the state, Myles said.

The $25 billion settlement, finalized last year, is between the nation’s attorneys general and its five largest banks to atone for foreclosure-related wrongdoing.
Legal aid lawyers will give clients advice about the foreclosure process, prepare responses to foreclosure lawsuits, represent clients in court, assist in obtaining loan modifications and help with bankruptcy preparation.

They will also counsel clients who believe they are victims of foreclosure-rescue scams.

This entry was posted on Friday, April 26th, 2013 at 8:05 am and is filed under Florida economy, Foreclosures, Mortgage fraud, Mortgages, Real estate bust. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-29 05:41:13

Uh-oh, giving the poor access to legal advice. No good can come of that.

Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-29 06:27:25

‘Cause you know theys just gonna get uppity!

Comment by sustainable development
2013-04-29 06:30:23

What time did you guys punch in?

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Comment by jose canusi
2013-04-29 06:37:53

lol.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-29 06:56:43

Apparently after you.

 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2013-04-29 06:41:08

The FSA (Free Sh*t Army) + Free Lawyers + politicians trying to buy their votes = Economic Prosperity

For the rest of you who rent or pay your mortgage on time - GET back to work and pay your fair share.

Comment by sustainable development
2013-04-29 07:00:13

“The money from the settlement was designated for legal aid by Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi, but if it isn’t spent by June 30, it will go back to the state, Myles said.”

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Comment by Joe the patriotic bootstrapping IRA stuffer
2013-04-29 07:10:19

Quick, someone check the party affiliation of Pam Bondi?

OK, I’ll save you all the time: Republican.

LOL, undergrad @ U of Florida, law school @ Stetson.

#thesouth #lol

 
Comment by sustainable development
2013-04-29 07:35:15

Republican? Democrat? As long as the money is spent so we can move forward does it matter?

Behind the Green mask.

Boston Bombing: Watertown Operation: SWAT team secures houses …
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cfOvHuojEB4 - 226k - Cached - Similar pages
Apr 19, 2013 …

Shocking Footage: Americans Ordered Out Of Homes At … - Infowars
http://www.infowars.com/shocking-footage-americans-ordered-out-of-homes-at-gunpoint-by-swat-teams/ - 171k -

 
Comment by sustainable development
2013-04-29 08:02:05

Just for the heck of it, I wouldn’t go to the Kentucky Derby this year.

As you plan your trip to Churchill Downs for Kentucky Derby weekend, be sure to review the list of items that are permitted and those that cannot be brought into the racing facility.

Banned Items on Kentucky Derby and Oaks Days
(with changes and adjustments from 2012 in bold)

•Camcorders
•Cameras with detachable lenses, or equipped with a lens that is 6” or longer
•Tripods
•Purses larger than 12” in any dimension

What to Know | 2013 Kentucky Oaks & Derby | May 3 and 4, 2013 …
http://www.kentuckyderby.com/visit/security-information - 37k -

 
Comment by polly
2013-04-29 09:13:01

Seriously? Even the 4th of July concerts on the steps of the Capitol are more open than that. You have to go through metal detectors and a bag inspection, but that level has been around for years.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-29 09:22:16

Seriously?

Seems pretty basic to me. Big cameras and tripods are banned because they want to control pictures of the race, conversely no one cares about pix of free concerts on the capitol steps. Also, they don’t want tripods set up all over the place, so they can pack more people in.

As for the purse size, I’ll bet we’ll see more of that sort of thing in the future. It takes too long to inspect massive purses. And the more you carry in, the less you buy from them while you’re there.

 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-29 09:51:50

Cans & bottles (except for sunscreen) are also banned, obviously to increase sales at the site. I wonder why they ban umbrellas.
Next year, they’ll probably ban hats & sunglasses, since these can also be sold on site at grossly inflated prices.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-29 09:56:37

Umbrellas block peoples’ view. And they give you too much body space.

 
Comment by oxide
2013-04-29 13:20:10

The concert may be better at the Capitol, but the fireworks are better from the steps of Lincoln. Really.

 
 
 
 
Comment by jose canusi
2013-04-29 05:57:05

Saw your posts on MS-13 and immigration related subjects. Thought you might find it heartwarming that Rubio opened up his website for comments on the shamnasty bill. The comments are currently frozen at 147, with the majority opposed. Rumor has it that there are like 1000 comments being “held for review”. Enjoy!

http://www.rubio.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/help-us-improve-the-bill?ID=beb53cf6-7c87-4ada-9828-1c3a0b150537#Comments_beb53cf6-7c87-4ada-9828-1c3a0b150537

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 06:13:51

Is this a story from The Onion?

Comment by sustainable development
2013-04-29 06:26:10

“Is this a story from The Onion?”

Above the headline “New county foreclosure hotline with cash increase for legal aid” is my take on the phone calls they will get, below that is in the Palm Beach Post today.

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 06:50:33

“…my take on the phone calls they will get…”

Perhaps you should write articles for The Onion. :-)

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Comment by Neuromance
2013-04-29 07:53:48

Foreclosure hotline, Tequisha speaking.

Tequisha, I bought my house in 1999 for $110,000, I took my equity out 4 times as my housing investment increased to a value of $450,000, I haven’t made a mortgage payment since January 2007, I have defaulted on 2 loan modifications, my Hardest Hit money has just run out and Blackstone just bought the same house as I have across the street for $75,000. Can you tell me where my check is from the $25 billion National Mortgage Settlement?

Glorious :)

The most remarkable part is that the lenders almost certainly don’t take a loss on these transactions, and actually make healthy profits. Talk about perverse incentives.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2013-04-29 04:59:31

Lotsa nice tidbits here; Romney may as well be flipping burgers. Where do these guys get the time and energy to run from country to country for the sole purpose of hiding wealth? I don’t have the time or energy to do my laundry. Can’t they just pay their damn taxes once and be done with it, and go live quietly somewhere without causing trouble? Like they can’t get by on $6 billion instead of $8 billion?

Billionaires Flee Havens as Trillions Pursued Offshore

By David de Jong & Robert LaFranco - Apr 29, 2013 (bloomibergi)

“Billionaire Dmitry Rybolovlev, Russia’s 14th-richest person, and his wife, Elena Rybolovleva, have been brawling for almost five years in at least seven countries over his $9.5 billion fortune…

According to Tax Justice Network, a U.K.-based organization that campaigns for transparency in the financial system, wealthy individuals were hiding as much as $32 trillion offshore at the end of 2010. Fewer than 100,000 people own $9.8 trillion of offshore assets, according to research compiled by former McKinsey & Co. economist James Henry.

Delaware is the legal home to more than half of the corporate entities in the U.S. The state’s favorable tax laws cuts companies’ tax burdens by an average of 40 percent, according to a 2011 study by Jacob Thornock at the University of Washington Foster School of Business. ”

——————

Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-29 06:31:52

GWP (world GDP) was $72 trillion for 2012.

Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-29 06:34:03

Think about it for a minute, people.

Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 07:24:34

That’s about $10,000 for every adult and child on the planet. $50,000 for say a family of 5, almost an American standard of living, if it was distributed to those who actually create that wealth. Yet the overwhelming majority of the world’s population lives in poverty. The Davos crowd must be proud of themselves.

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Comment by oxide
2013-04-29 07:51:38

Does that $72 trillion include derivatives and credit default swaps?

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 08:15:06

Where do these guys get the time and energy to run from country to country for the sole purpose of hiding wealth?

I’m sure they can afford armies of accountants and tax attorneys to handle the details for them.

Comment by sfhomowner
2013-04-29 10:58:00

Where do these guys get the time and energy to run from country to country for the sole purpose of hiding wealth?

I’m sure they are enjoying themselves immensely - eating at fancy restaurants, hanging on the beach, etc.

I could find the time and energy for that kind of work…

 
 
 
Comment by oxide
2013-04-29 05:27:45

The headline on the current issue of Washingtonian Magazine: “SOLD! Housing is back! Where Prices are Climbing and Homes are Selling Fast… Local Home-Buying Success Stories… Your House is Worth More Than You Think… Best Places to Live.. 100 Golden Zip codes”

Image of the cover is here (big PDF):
http://primland.com/images/media/pdf/201304_washingtonian.pdf

It’s a brand new issue, so there is very little online. I can’t find any text. Not that it matters — I’m sure it’s as puke-inducing as it was in 2005. I’m on the home-owning side of the equation now, but even I’m skeptical. There isn’t enough fuel to keep this bubble going.

 
Comment by goon squad
2013-04-29 06:02:31

Comment by goon squad
2013-04-27 07:01:07

the kool-aid drinkers have convinced themselves that it tastes just fine, even as they climb over piles of bodies to get to the kool-aid punchbowl

Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 06:09:15

And that is exactly what’s happening. My coworkers are all scrambling to either buy for the first time or trade up. They aren’t interested in reasons why housing prices could drop, possibly precipitously, because in their minds housing is supposed to be unaffordable for people with non STEM incomes and it always goes up.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-29 06:16:10

“Could”?

————————————————————————

Comment by goon squad
2013-04-27 07:01:07

the kool-aid drinkers have convinced themselves that it tastes just fine, even as they climb over piles of bodies to get to the kool-aid punchbowl

Beautiful

 
Comment by goon squad
2013-04-29 06:37:23

Check out this dude who lives in Longmont, “Mr. Money Mustache”.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/meet-mr-money-mustache-the-man-who-retired-at-30/2013/04/26/71e3e6a8-acf3-11e2-a8b9-2a63d75b5459_story.html

Your coworkers sound like my coworkers. And by committing financial suicide paying for overpriced housing, they will never get to be “Mr. Money Mustache”.

Comment by Joe the patriotic bootstrapping IRA stuffer
2013-04-29 07:31:14

Good article, I like the Money Mustache fellow’s message in general, especially teh admonition against wastefulness. However, I think he makes a number of somewhat dangerous assumptions that aren’t really drawn out in the article. If we do get inflation, even just in 1 or 2 sectors (energy, food, health care), his plan looks a lot less attractive. Living on 25k/yr. is a great idea, but there’s no reason you couldn’t live on that amount and at least one of the spouses have a job he or she enjoys, thereby getting healthcare coverage (controlling a major expense) or a good salary.

Other aspects of the Money Mustache man intrigue me - how he talks about the importance of good habits, for example. Worth a read for everyone, even if you share my view that retiring at 30 is probably way too long of a retirement and involves some risky assumptions. I’m not even sure it would be good for my physical or mental health to retire right now at my age.

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Comment by oxide
2013-04-29 07:58:40

If we do get inflation, even just in 1 or 2 sectors

OK you economic gurus, how do you get inflation is {just 1 or 2 sectors”? I thought classical inflation meant that ALL money was worth less, and therefore the price of EVERYTHING went up, and wages had to rise to match. :?:

Notice that Joe lists food, energy, health care as those sectors susceptible to inflation. Needs industries, of course. I don’t think this is inflation. It’s raising the price of needs to what the market will bear, because they know that customers will raid some other pocket of money in order to pay. And as long as there is Panamax and Internet, there will be no wage inflation.

 
Comment by goon squad
2013-04-29 08:10:18

he is a bit too anti-fun for us. and speaking of fun, yesterday concluded the squad’s 2012-2013 lift-served ski season. after which we hiked above loveland pass to check out the avalanche debris from last weekend’s fatal incident in sheep gulch.

loveland ski area and the i-70 tunnel entrance as seen from mt sniktau:

http://www.picpaste.com/IMG_20130428_154112_093-ikjusxN2.jpg

 
Comment by Joe the patriotic bootstrapping IRA stuffer
2013-04-29 08:32:00

oxide, I have an econ degree, but econ shouldn’t be misused to make predictions for the future. I was also only offering a conservative outlook, i.e. instead of positing that we will get across-the-board inflation, let’s say hypothetically it was only in a few (needs) expenses.

to your point about whether inflation can be contained to 2 or 3 sectors of the economy. in a pure sense, no, of course not. increased spending on energy means increased demand for water, for example (water is very important for production of energy). health care costs similarly ripple through local and regional economies.

in a more general sense, of course you can have inflation with differential effects. there is both cost-push inflation but also demand-pull inflation. this is a *very* basic economic principal. pick up any good macro textbook and read up on it. basically, an increased demand for helath care services can push up inflation of those prices more than for other sectors. hypothetically, you could be in a very low-inflation environment and still have considerable rises in health care prices. this can’t be perfectly contained, but obviously it is possible and yes it does happen.

we will probably have price *deflation* in some areas because of increased manufacturing capacity. the price of consumer electronics is one such example. and if you allow for quality to be included in analysis, the price of many other things has decreased in real terms.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-29 09:03:57

How is inflation discussed when not a single one of you understand what it is?

 
Comment by polly
2013-04-29 09:22:52

“Inflation” in one or two sectors isn’t real inflation. It is an increase in prices in those sectors because demand increases and supply hasn’t matched it (or supply decreases and people still need it). For example, if every family in China started to use 2 gallons of gasoline a day, then the price of gas would go way up until oil production and refining increased a LOT (unlikely) or some good substitute for gasoline got into the system or other consumers of gas found ways to avoid using it.

A microeconomic change not related to money supply.

 
Comment by Joe the patriotic bootstrapping IRA stuffer
2013-04-29 09:31:49

@ polly - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demand-pull_inflation

Yes, demand-pull inflation is a thing.

 
Comment by Al
2013-04-29 09:39:29

Inflation 101. If the money supply increases by 3% and all other variables were held costant, then all prices would go up by 3%. But other variables are constantly changing. Inflation pressure might be 3%, but wages are stagnant/falling because demand for workers is falling. Gold was going up must faster than inflation because of fear, and recently fell for reasons I haven’t figured out (less fear?) House prices went up faster than inflation because of low interest rates and changing attitudes, as people were willing to become ‘house poor’ to ‘get in the game.’

Inflation is interesting but not very useful for predicting specific outcomes.

 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-29 09:47:39

From wiki: Demand-pull inflation is asserted to arise when aggregate demand in an economy outpaces aggregate supply. It involves inflation rising as real gross domestic product rises and unemployment falls, as the economy moves along the Phillips curve.
Real GDP is rising & unemployment is falling? What planet are you on?

 
Comment by Iwog
2013-04-29 09:48:04

And you’re a perfect example of someone who doesn’t have the slightest idea what inflation is.

 
Comment by Joe the patriotic bootstrapping IRA stuffer
2013-04-29 11:13:05

From wiki: Demand-pull inflation is asserted to arise when aggregate demand in an economy outpaces aggregate supply. It involves inflation rising as real gross domestic product rises and unemployment falls, as the economy moves along the Phillips curve.
Real GDP is rising & unemployment is falling? What planet are you on?

——–

Who said it was happening now? I’m talking about a possible future where demand for certain services outstrips supply of them.

And, relating this back to the original point: I would not want to be completely retired at such an extremely young age precisely because this guy has put himself on a very tough budget into perpetuity. He is giving up a lot of possible income on the assumption that his current budget needs will hold more or less constant. And I’m pointing out that this is fairly unlikely. Throughout human history, the relative prices of goods and services fluctuate, sometimes wildly. It would only take a little inflation in 1 or 2 “needs” categories for this guy to find himself in a world of hurt.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-29 11:26:04

I would not want to be completely retired at such an extremely young age

Maybe he thinks he can build a career on teaching people how to retire young. A rich dad/poor dad kind of thing- bestsellers, seminars, etc.

It could be a wise business plan.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-29 11:33:53

I’m talking about a possible future where demand for certain services outstrips supply of them.

“Certain”?

It won’t be houses. You can wager on it.

 
Comment by Al
2013-04-29 12:06:39

“Maybe he thinks he can build a career on teaching people how to retire young.”

Wild prediction, but I see this target market getting smaller and smaller. The illusion that the average joe can retire young is getting pretty tough to perpetuate. Freedom 85!

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-29 12:13:43

You’re right. You’re not going to retire when you pay $120+/sq ft for something that costs around $50/sq ft.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-29 12:45:57

yesterday concluded the squad’s 2012-2013 lift-served ski season.

You don’t do late season A-basin?

 
Comment by Joe the patriotic bootstrapping IRA stuffer
2013-04-29 12:54:27

I never said I expect inflation in housing over the long term. Sure we might continue to have this bubble, but I think over the long run it’s a slow bleed. The guesses I ventured were food and health care. But they are guesses and I’m just saying that this guy is taking a risk. It’s hard to tell if it’s a calculated risk, because they never asked him about his thoughts about the future. Thus it seems like he might be banking on things staying pretty much like they are.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-29 13:21:38

He’s selling the dream, Al. The dream. And hopefully a million books about the dream.

Plus, oldsters who are behind on their retirement planning will think, “If he can retire at thirty, maybe he can teach me how I can retire at sixty”.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-29 13:50:10

Thus it seems like he might be banking on things staying pretty much like they are.

His income is apparently mostly from a rental house. And his wife is a realtor as her retirement hobby job.

There appears to be some question about how he does his health care, but he’s Canadian, so he can always go back home, perhaps?

 
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-04-29 14:38:12

I went down that rabbit hole!

http://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2011/05/23/get-rich-with-owning-rental-houses/

From one of his comments.

“REIT funds are a good way to speculate on the real estate market and benefit if it has unexpectedly high price or rent growth in the future.

I personally do believe US housing will appreciate faster than inflation over the next ten years since the prices are irrationally low (many houses cost less than construction cost even assuming a land price of zero), and the population is growing which should eventually use up the underpriced housing and cause prices to rise.

However, if my theory is wrong, or if REITs are already trading at higher prices anticipating this future growth, then you can expect only market-level returns from an REIT investment – just like a more volatile version of an S&P500 index fund, so you can assume 7% or so after inflation.

But rental houses are a little bit different, because they are a way to get even higher returns on your investment in exchange for more labor. It’s similar to taking on a side consulting job at $72.50 per hour or so, which is also a great idea if you feel energetic and want to get ahead quickly.

The cool thing about doing extra work is that you put in the effort ONCE, save the money, and you benefit for life from the extra employees. As soon as you’re done the work, the effort fades away in your memory, but the money is still there for you to enjoy forever, providing investment returns.

As long as you save the money of course, rather than just buying a bigger car.”

His insurance and medical costs are extremely low. He did a lot of things right, but he also got extremely lucky. He graduated in 1997 into an economic boom. So he already had a couple of years experience when the dot bomb exploded. He bought his house before the bubble, so he got the advantage of the run up in prices.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-29 15:24:31

Real GDP is rising & unemployment is falling? What planet are you on?

But both of those ARE true….. in China.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 07:34:19

Your coworkers sound like my coworkers.

I suspect that they are legion, present everywhere. To be fair, most of them pay pretty stiff rents in the Broomfield area and all of the first time buyers claim that their monthly nut will be less than rent. They just don’t believe that they’ll get “stucco” because “everybody wants to live here” …. blah, blah, blah

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Comment by MightyMike
2013-04-29 07:51:36

Everybody wants to live in Broomfield? Where the hell is Broomfield?

 
Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 08:11:48

It’s a Denver suburb, on the north side of town. And right now it’s red hot, houses get multiple offers and sell within days of being listed, which is why my “houseless” coworkers are wringing their collective hands.

The Broomfield/Westminster/Louisville area seems to be where northern Denver’s professional/managerial class likes to congregate these days. Don’t ask me why.

 
Comment by goon squad
2013-04-29 08:23:22

We think living in Broomfield would feel like living in a mall. Are there any restaurants or retail stores that aren’t chains in Broomfield?

 
Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 09:06:33

We think living in Broomfield would feel like living in a mall. Are there any restaurants or retail stores that aren’t chains in Broomfield?

Not many, though I have seen a few around Flatirons Mall, though they tend to be ethnic eateries of the Asian variety.

The plastic, sanitized, Stepford lifestyle does appeal to the managerial class. Makes sense, when you think of it, they drink the Korporate Kool Aid on a daily basis.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-29 09:14:29

$75k/yr chumps. The most clueless variety.

 
Comment by rms
2013-04-29 11:14:31

“$75k/yr chumps.”

FWIW, $75k/yr likely means educated chumps.

I’m not doing much better with my piddly $82k/yr except that I’m not performing manual labor, and in fly-over country my chump-change goes much further.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 11:20:11

More like 6 figure chumps (if they’re STEM managers), tooling around in their imported luxury cars. Heck, most of the STEM worker bees at my campus earn around 100K, though raises are pretty rare.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-29 11:31:44

100k or 75K…. for image chumps it’s a distinction without a difference.

 
Comment by rms
2013-04-29 11:40:27

“More like 6 figure chumps…”

In a metro area right now I’d be a six-figure chump too and likely less well-off if I rank myself with friends and family.

 
 
 
 
Comment by measton
2013-04-29 08:03:57

Here’s a thought

What if the gov started using the printed dollars to create jobs and drive up wages instead of bailing out banks and subsidizing speculation?

Comment by michael
2013-04-29 08:32:43

wonder if if that’s what the hedgees are banking on. buying up houses to rent? do rents increase substantially during real wage inflation?

Comment by goon squad
2013-04-29 08:53:15

Real wage inflation? Ask the half of the USA workforce making less than $500/week about that.

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Comment by michael
2013-04-29 09:26:43

i am not saying it’s happening just yet…just wondering if the hedgees are betting on it?

 
 
 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-29 09:31:38

What if the gov started using the printed dollars to create jobs and drive up wages instead of bailing out banks and subsidizing speculation?
? the gubmint can create jobs ?

 
 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2013-04-29 09:22:12

the kool-aid drinkers have convinced themselves that it tastes just fine, even as they climb over piles of bodies to get to the kool-aid punchbowl

Love it. Awesome imagery, goon squad!

Comment by goon squad
2013-04-29 09:51:16

if the squad goes out as a one-hit-wonder, that’s the song we want to be remembered by.

all the rest is just filler…

 
 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 06:16:34

Good luck to U.S. consumer product companies who depend on sales to depressed Europe to boost their bottom lines.

EARNINGS
April 28, 2013, 8:24 p.m. ET
Companies Feel Pinch on Sales in Europe
By KATE LINEBAUGH, SAM SCHECHNER and JAMES R. HAGERTY

Hiding behind the profit gains of America’s biggest companies is a worrying slowdown in sales growth.

U.S. companies ranging from International Business Machines Corp. (IBM +0.19%) to United Technologies Corp. (UTX -1.05%) to 3M Co. (MMM -1.05%) to Xerox Corp. (XRX -1.53%) have missed revenue forecasts, hurt by a combination of Europe’s malaise, a stronger dollar and sluggish consumer spending.

With earnings reports in from more than half the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index, first-quarter revenue for the group is expected to shrink 0.3% from a year earlier, according to Thomson Reuters. That would cut short the sales improvement reported at the end of last year and mark the third quarter out of the past four in which revenues have failed to grow by 1% or more.

The sales figures are a troubling sign that business and consumer demand remain weak nearly four years after the recession. They are also evidence that a soft patch is developing in the U.S. economy, as optimism earlier in the year gives way to more sobering data on growth in gross domestic product, retail sales and manufacturing. In response, many companies are cutting jobs and curbing investments in an effort to prop up profits, moves that could make it harder for demand to recover.

One big problem for U.S. companies is Europe. Executives weren’t expecting much from the region last quarter. But many found conditions tougher than anticipated. And some of them are increasingly worried that while Southern Europe’s hardest-hit countries may be bottoming out, there is room left for the bigger economies like France and Germany to deteriorate.

“Demand is not recovering so far” in Europe, Whirlpool Corp. (WHR -1.00%) Chief Executive Jeff Fettig said in an interview.

Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-29 06:35:50

“No bucks. No Buck Rodger.”

- The Right Stuff

 
Comment by WT Econonmist
2013-04-29 06:44:13

Business demand that workers accept lower wages and retirement benefits to improve their competitiveness.

And buy more stuff to increase their sales.

Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 07:41:45

Funny how that works (or should I say, doesn’t work). Global manufacturing overcapacity plus tiny paychecks equals “oops”

Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-29 08:11:29

Not for a certain group trying to hide their trillions.

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Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 07:39:24

Good luck to U.S. consumer product companies who depend on sales to depressed Europe to boost their bottom lines.

To be accurate, IBM, United Technologies Corp., Xerox and 3M aren’t exactly “consumer products” companies. They’ll still get dinged by the weak European (and global) companies though.

As for US consumer products companies, don’t they just buy everything they sell from China Inc anyway?

 
Comment by measton
2013-04-29 08:06:17

I think Euorope is about to change course on Austerity, and at some point gov’s are going to use printed dollars to create jobs and stimulate demand. If not it’s there’s going to be a tipping point and a long fall.

Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 08:19:35

I think so too. They will tolerate inflation as preferable to non stop rioting.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-29 09:09:30

What if the rioting occurs in countries (the PIIGS) other than where the economic decisions are made (Germany)?

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Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 09:39:03

The PIIGS might decide to say bye-bye to the common currency and print their own. Not much Germany can do to stop that.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-29 09:53:57

Not much Germany can do to stop that.

I’m not sure they want to.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 06:19:06

Winnipeg Free Press - ONLINE EDITION
Southern Europe’s economic depression deepens
By: Staff Writer
Posted: 04/28/2013 6:02 PM | Comments: 0

Southern Europe’s economic depression deepens. In Spain, 6.2 million people — a record 27 per cent of the labour force — can’t find a job. Greece’s unemployment rate is even higher, 27.2 per cent; in Italy, it’s 11.6 per cent. For young people, the jobless rates are double or, in the case of Italy, triple that. Clearly, economic growth is urgently needed, lest a generation of Europeans be forced either to emigrate or to waste their prime earning years — to say nothing of a prolonged slump’s implications for democracy and political stability.

Yet in a recent visit to Washington, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble, whose government pretty much calls the shots in Europe, defended the current policy — which he described as “force member states, oblige member states, to stick to European rules, to reduce deficits in a, of course, balanced way, to enhance their competitiveness by structural reforms,” until “European mechanisms” buy enough time for them to regain access to financial markets. Schaeuble added, in words that must chill the heart of every young job-seeker from Bilbao to the Balkans, “No one should expect that Europe will deliver high growth rates in the coming years.”

This is a recipe for trouble. No doubt Schaeuble meant to state a grim fact, not to celebrate it. And his government is right to insist that Europe’s less-competitive economies reform their tax codes, labour markets and regulations in exchange for (mostly) German financial support.

But with such unemployment, it’s counterproductive to press for dramatic deficit reduction in the short run. This is especially true given that Germany and other wealthy Northern European economies are themselves cutting deficits, which tends to curtail their demand for goods — including products from the south.

Schaeuble argued, “If you promise to deliver immediately growth, you will only create the next bubble. That’s what we are decided not to do. Therefore, we need time.” Easy for him to say: Germany’s unemployment rate is only a fifth that of Spain. It is achieving this by out-competing its European neighbours for export markets. Germany’s trade surplus in 2012 was more than six per cent of its gross domestic product — a far higher ratio than that of any other major economy, including Asian export powerhouses like China.

In short, Europe’s predicament is not simply due to Mediterranean profligacy. It results from a profound imbalance between uncompetitive Italy, Spain and Greece on the one hand and hyper-competitive Germany on the other — within a currency union that denies the less competitive the traditional remedy of devaluation.

Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 07:58:01

In short, Europe’s predicament is not simply due to Mediterranean profligacy. It results from a profound imbalance between uncompetitive Italy, Spain and Greece on the one hand and hyper-competitive Germany on the other

I think that is somewhat unfair to Italy. Sure, it isn’t Germany but to lump it in with Spain and Greece is somewhat unfair. The Italians are industrious and do make stuff.

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 06:20:37

10% of Greeks live in extreme poverty: UN expert
A protester holds a Greek flag outside the ministry of administrative reform in Athens on April 26, 2013.
Fri Apr 26, 2013 5:26PM

A senior UN investigator says axed benefits has left a growing number of Greeks without health insurance and about 10% of the population living in “extreme poverty”.

Earlier on Friday, senior United Nations investigator Cephas Lumina strongly criticized the “excessively rigid” demands of the bailout program, saying Greece is trailing on its human rights responsibilities as a tenth of its population live in “extreme poverty.”

Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-29 06:38:04

“Capitalism. Where the rich are rich and the sheep are nervous.”

- Some movie I forgot

Comment by lumpy gravy
2013-04-29 06:42:32

“Socialism works until you run out of other people’s money.”

Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher

Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-29 08:02:49

Capitalism works until you steal everyone’s money.

- Founding Fathers

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Comment by 2banana
2013-04-29 06:49:36

Greece - a country where almost 50% of the “workers” work for the government.

Where most people get a state pension starting at age 55 (depending on occupation).

Where they recorded a Government Debt to GDP of 156.90 percent in 2012

That can’t end badly - can it?

And it is all the fault of capitalism!!!

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-04-29 07:25:53

And it is all the fault of capitalism!!!

I’d say it’s all the fault of easy money and being trapped in a currency union they don’t control.

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Comment by 2banana
2013-04-29 07:50:32

+1000

I traveled to Greece several times before they joined the EU.

A strange but quirky place.

Inflation was rampant (they added a few zeros to their currency every year) but it made for cheap vacations.

The people worked hard (under the table) and those that worked for the government were true slackers (and got paid slacker wages).

Government workers loved to strike (all the time to include shutting down the electrical grid and trains/airplanes/ferries) but the people got used to it. It is amazing to see capitalism take over for what the government (workers) refuses to do.

But it all kinda worked and the people were pretty happy.

Now everything is turned upside down.

And for what?

And everyone is miserable.

 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-29 09:35:00

But it all kinda worked and the people were pretty happy.

Now everything is turned upside down.

They went broke very gradually, and then all at once.

 
Comment by Joe the patriotic bootstrapping IRA stuffer
2013-04-29 11:16:00

Greece had (has) an adverse selection problem. The most motivated Greeks left for the UK and US generations ago, around the time of WW2. As a group of immigrants, it was a pretty successful one.

 
Comment by Al
2013-04-29 11:56:39

“They went broke very gradually, and then all at once.”

It’s easy to ignore the growing debt, until you can’t any longer and it’s too late. True for people, businesses and countries.

 
 
Comment by rms
2013-04-29 11:35:39

“…almost 50% of the “workers” work for the government.”

If you look closely at this country you’ll likely see the same thing with the private sector companies that pay well and have benefits are those with government contracts. The real private sector peeps are largely small business types, bad teeth, chain smoking, dented pickup with a ladder rack, etc., under bidding each other for scraps, living month to month and declaring bankruptcy every five to seven years. Then you die.

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Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-29 13:39:47

My how soon we forget the role Goldman Sucks and JP Morgan played in this.

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Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 06:26:35

Europe
Cohousing Tempts Italians During Real Estate Crisis
By Marco Tistarelli, Epoch Times | April 26, 2013
Last Updated: April 26, 2013 1:07 am

Number Zero facade in Turin, Italy. The doors opened on the March 4, 2013, after over five years of work. (Matteo Nobili / cohousingnumerozero.org)

You may also like
* No Party Wins Majority in Italy, Markets Dive
* Italy’s Grillo says Country “de Facto out of the Euro”

Italian Premier-designate Enrico Letta speaks during a press conference at the Quirinale Presidential Palace in Rome, Saturday, April 27, 2013. Italy has finally has a new government, a coalition of Berlusconi’s forces and center-left rivals who forged an unusual alliance to break a two-month stalemate following inconclusive elections. Enrico Letta, a center-left leader, will be premier in the government, which marks the latest political comeback by Silvio Berlusconi. (AP Photo/Domenico Stinellis)

With the Italian real estate market in free fall, increasing numbers of people are tumbling through the gaps. Too rich to claim social housing and too poor to afford a traditional house, some are turning to a new approach—cohousing.

“The concept of cohousing originated in northern Europe in the ’60s,” says Nadia Simionato, spokeswoman for the Italian network Cohousing.it “Then it spread to other countries and reached Italy in 2006.”

The basic idea is to combine in a condominium the autonomy of a private house with the benefits that come from sharing space and resources such as a garden, gymnasium, laundry, gardens, and children’s day care. The whole project is collectively designed and chosen by those who will live in those spaces.

“There’s a ‘gray zone’ of the Italian population who cannot afford a traditional house but that is too rich to access the rankings for the social housing,” says Simionato. “Through the cohousing we think we can solve this critical point.”

Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-29 12:55:32

The basic idea is to combine in a condominium the autonomy of a private house with the benefits that come from sharing space and resources

I like to think of it as a European trailer park.

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-04-29 14:47:27

I looked at cohousing here in Tucson. It was a development of attached houses, and the prices weren’t exactly a bargain.

And then there were the meetings. If you like going to meetings, you’ll LOVE cohousing. Hey, I can even recall a meeting about the meetings.

Needless to say, I didn’t move into that community.

Comment by Carl Morris
2013-04-29 16:00:18

I looked at cohousing here in Tucson. It was a development of attached houses, and the prices weren’t exactly a bargain.

I checked one out one time. I thought the prices were the biggest problem. I assumed the meetings probably were second.

 
 
 
Comment by azdude
2013-04-29 06:28:14

If we measure home prices by monthly payment where are we in the game?

americans want to lever up as much of their future income as possible. The problem becomes apparent when there is no income in the future or the income does not go up nearly as fast as inflation. When it all catches up to them they realize all their paycheck is going to the banks.

Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-29 06:39:34

“All your paycheck are belong to us.”

- What is this. Feed me a straight line, day?

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 06:28:27

Europe
Iceland Returns Center-right Parties To Power
By Associated Press | April 28, 2013
Last Updated: April 28, 2013 8:15 am

REYKJAVIK, Iceland (AP) — In a dramatic about-face, Icelandic voters have returned to power the center-right parties that led the national economy to collapse five years ago.

With most votes counted early Sunday, the Independence and Progressive Parties — who governed Iceland for decades before the 2008 crash — each had 19 seats in Iceland’s 63-seat parliament, the Althingi.

The parties, who promise to ease Icelanders’ economic pain with tax cuts and debt relief, are likely to form a coalition government.

Voters shunned the Social Democrat-led coalition that has spent four years trying to turn the country around with painful austerity measures. The Social Democrats took nine seats and coalition partners the Left-Greens seven.

Independence Party leader Bjarni Benediktsson says voters opted for “a plan that would bring us quicker out of the crisis.”

Comment by WT Econonmist
2013-04-29 06:47:15

Right wing wins elections by borrowing money, runs the country deep in the hole, gets tossed out when the bills come due, and wins again by promising to borrow yet more money.

Could be a template for the Republicans, since they don’t really care about the future of the country either.

Comment by snowgirl
2013-04-29 08:51:41

Proving once again people do get the government they deserve. Don’t take this as a criticism to anyone here. We all know we’re outnumbered.

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 07:52:19

Wait … so it was the Icelandic lefties who have been pushing austerity?

And the center-right parties are against austerity and are for cutting taxes which can only mean deficits?

Fact is stranger than fiction.

Comment by WT Econonmist
2013-04-29 11:54:21

Here in the U.S. the “left” has been the part of responsible government, and the “right” the party of parties, since Cater/Reagan in 1980.

Eisenhower was a long time ago; Coolege longer still.

Comment by Hi-Z
2013-04-29 13:44:11

“Here in the U.S. the “left” has been the part of responsible government, and the “right” the party of parties, since Cater/Reagan in 1980″

responsible government my azz!

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Comment by 2banana
2013-04-29 13:59:22

Looks like the Icelanders threw out the statist EU weenies in power for a pro-Iceland and shrink government party.

But don’t let that get in the way of your anti-republican rant.

——————————————

Iceland Just Says “Nei” To Pro-European Party
Tyler Durden - 04/29/2013 - ZeroHedge

During the crisis Iceland was held up as one of the best examples of what was so wrong with the bubble that was created and sold to any and all. The party in power during this debacle was summarily dismissed by the people. However, a mere few years later, and given the apparent abhorrence with all things European, the Icelandic people have just ousted the incumbent pro-Europe party in favor of the Independence and Progressive parties that governed during the crisis. As the WSJ reports, the Social Democratic Alliance, which had overseen economic recovery and pushed for European Union membership, saw support tumble as the electorate’s concern about personal finances overshadowed the ruling coalition’s ability to stabilize the economy. Couple this with the promises of the two parties to cut taxes and the sweell of nationalist sentiment and the Social Democrats were summarily crushed. The leader of the Progressive party perhaps summed up the poeple’s views best: “deeper integration with a Europe in “historic decline” isn’t necessarily the best for Iceland,” and that “economic crisis in Iceland and Europe has taught us the importance of being able to control your own destiny.”

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 06:31:38

Profit, Protection, Despite Cartel Intervention – April, 2013 Update
– Posted Friday, 26 April 2013

“Then, when the Fed’s fire hoses started spraying an elephant soup of liquidity injections in every direction and its balance sheet grew by $1.3 trillion in just thirteen weeks compared to $850 billion during its first ninety-four years, I became convinced that the Fed was flying by the seat of its pants, making it up as it went along. It was evident that its aim was to stop the hissy fit on Wall Street and that the threat of a Great Depression 2.0 was just a cover story for a panicked spree of money printing that exceeded any other episode in recorded human history….

“Because they stopped it in its tracks after the AIG bailout and then all the alphabet soup of different lines that the Fed threw out, and then the enactment of TARP, the last two investment banks standing were rescued, Goldman and Morgan [Stanley], and they should not have been. As a result of being rescued and having the cleansing liquidation of rotten balance sheets stopped, within a few weeks and certainly months they were back to the same old games, such that Goldman Sachs got $10 billion dollars (from The Fed – ed.) for the fiscal year that started three months later after that check went out, which was October 2008. For the fiscal 2009 year, Goldman Sachs generated what I call a $29 billion surplus – $13 billion of net income after tax, and on top of that $16 billion of salaries and bonuses, 95% of it which was bonuses.

“Therefore, the idea that they were on death’s door does not stack up. Even if they had been, it would not make any difference to the health of the financial system. …

“The banks quickly worked out their solvency issues because the Fed basically took it out of the hides of Main Street savers and depositors throughout America….

“Well, once you basically unplug the pricing mechanism of a capital market and make it entirely an administered rate by the Fed, you are going to cause all kinds of deformations as I call them, or mal-investments as some of the Austrians used to call them, that basically pollutes and corrupts the system. Look at the deposit rate right now, it is 50 basis points, maybe 40, for six months. As a result of that, probably $400-500 billion a year is being transferred as a fiscal maneuver by the Fed from savers to the banks. They are collecting the spread, they’ve then booked the profits, they’ve rebuilt their book net worth, and they paid back the TARP basically out of what was thieved from the savers of America.”

David Stockman, Frmr Head, OMB & Member, House of Representatives, (1977-81)

The Great Deformation: The Corruption of Capitalism in America, 2013

The private-for-profit Fed’s Intervention in the Markets on behalf of their owners/shareholders, the Mega-Banks, is an old and ongoing story. Unfortunately, it is having several ongoing and worsening Negative Consequences including those Stockman points out, on Investors and Main Street in general.

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 11:42:33

Not only gold, but all other assets are going for the green today! It’s QE3 from here to eternity, baby!

April 29, 2013, 2:20 p.m. EDT
Gold ends higher on central-bank prospects
ECB, Fed meetings on tap; HSBC, UBS cut price forecasts
By Myra P. Saefong and Barbara Kollmeyer, MarketWatch

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Gold futures settled with a 1% gain on Monday, as expectations of continued easy-monetary policies among key central banks and weakness in the U.S. dollar lured investors back to the precious-metals market.

Gold appeared unfazed by reductions in price forecasts from HSBC and UBS.

 
Comment by cactus
2013-04-29 12:17:31

elephant soup

HAHAHAHA

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 06:40:15

When is the Fed scheduled to raise interest rates: Is it 2015, 2025, or some later point?

Nouriel Roubini | The trapdoors at the Fed’s exit
Fed’s liquidity injections are not creating credit, but rather boosting leverage and risk-taking in financial markets
First Published: Mon, Apr 29 2013. 06 24 PM IST

The ongoing weakness of America’s economy—where deleveraging in the private and public sectors continues apace—has led to stubbornly high unemployment and sub-par growth. The effects of fiscal austerity—a sharp rise in taxes and a sharp fall in government spending since the beginning of the year—are undermining economic performance even more.

Indeed, recent data has effectively silenced hints by some Federal Reserve officials that the Fed should begin exiting from its current third (and indefinite) round of quantitative easing (QE3). Given slow growth, high unemployment (which has fallen only because discouraged workers are leaving the labour force), and inflation well below the Fed’s target, this is no time to start constraining liquidity.
The problem is that the Fed’s liquidity injections are not creating credit for the real economy, but rather boosting leverage and risk-taking in financial markets. The issuance of risky junk bonds under loose covenants and with excessively low interest rates is increasing; the stock market is reaching new highs, despite the growth slowdown; and money is flowing to high-yielding emerging markets.
Even the periphery of the euro zone is benefiting from the wall of liquidity unleashed by the Fed, the Bank of Japan, and other major central banks. With interest rates on government bonds in the US, Japan, the UK, Germany, and Switzerland at ridiculously low levels, investors are on a global quest for yield.

It may be too soon to say that many risky assets have reached bubble levels, and that leverage and risk-taking in financial markets is becoming excessive. But the reality is that credit and asset/equity bubbles are likely to form in the next two years, owing to loose US monetary policy. The Fed has signalled that QE3 will continue until the labour market has improved sufficiently (likely in early 2014), with the interest rate at 0% until unemployment has fallen at least to 6.5% (most likely no earlier than the beginning of 2015).

Even when the Fed starts to raise interest rates (some time in 2015), it will proceed slowly. In the previous tightening cycle, which began in 2004, it took the Fed two years to normalize the policy rate. This time, the unemployment rate and household and government debt are much higher. Rapid normalization—like that undertaken in the space of a year in 1994—would crash asset markets and risk leading to a hard economic landing.

Comment by Bluestar
2013-04-29 12:23:35

Perhaps the biggest bubble in the history of money. More people believe in the value of debt than all the gods put together.
I remember a few weeks ago the high priest of Realtors, Lawrence Yun, predicted on C-SPAN for rising mortgage rates later this year. Hey maybe he’s right this time.

 
Comment by cactus
2013-04-29 12:23:51

this is no time to start constraining liquidity.”

what they really mean to say is this “elephant soup of liquidity injections “

 
Comment by cactus
2013-04-29 12:27:17

The Fed has signalled that QE3 will continue until the labour market has improved sufficiently (likely in early 2014), ”

“Improved sufficiently” means never and if the government can’t hire that really means never.

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 06:44:38

Suddenly the commodities crash has morphed into a dollar crash! Get ready to pay higher prices at the pump again, America.

And kudos to the gold bugs who kept the faith.

April 29, 2013, 4:33 a.m. EDT
Gold futures rebound over 1% as dollar weakens
By V. Phani Kumar and Barbara Kollmeyer, MarketWatch

MADRID (MarketWatch) — Gold futures rebounded on Monday to recover more than what they had lost Friday as the U.S. dollar’s weakness spurred buying in the precious metal.

Adding to gains seen in Asia, gold futures for delivery in June (GCM3 +0.91%) climbed $19.90, or 1.5%, to $1,473.50 an ounce.

The bounce comes after prices retreated $8.40 in a regular session on the Comex division of New York Mercantile Exchange Friday. The metal recorded gains of more than 4.2% last week, for its first advance in five.

Spot prices of gold rose $6 to $1,468.90 an ounce.

The Hong Kong traded units of SPDR Gold Trust (HK:2840 +0.73%) exchange-traded fund rose 0.5%.

The advance came as the dollar extended its fall on Monday, with the ICE dollar index DXY -0.33% — a measure of the greenback’s performance against six major global currencies — sliding to 82.154 by early European trading, compared with 82.484 in North America late on Friday.

A weaker dollar often helps support prices of commodities by making them cheaper for holders of other currencies.

Comment by azdude
2013-04-29 06:54:41

I wonder if any mainstream gas station in the US will ever take gold for filling up the suv?

Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 07:46:34

Probably not, but there will no doubt be a “cash 4 gold” joint or at least a pawn shop nearby that will be more than happy to exchange fiats for your gold.

Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-29 09:06:52

…at a substantial discount.

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Comment by tresho
2013-04-29 09:38:43

The “cash for gold” establishments will set up business relations with burglars to separate gold from the gold bugs, thus eliminating the middle man.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 09:41:41

…at a substantial discount.

Of course … this is business after all

 
 
 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 07:03:57

COMMODITIES
April 28, 2013, 12:22 p.m. ET
Gold Rally May Lose Steam
Retail Purchases in India, China Fuel Advance, as Professional Investors Exit
By TATYANA SHUMSKY

Gold prices are up 6.8% from recent 26-month lows, but there is evidence that these gains are temporary, traders and analysts say.

A rush to buy physical gold and jewelry in India and China helped prices bounce higher last week. But at the same time, financial investors were leaving the market.

Gold held at exchange-traded funds, which trade and store the metal on the investors’ behalf, continued to decline as investors sold their shares. In addition, Comex open interest, the number of futures contracts left open overnight without offsetting transactions, were dropping, a sign investors are moving to the sidelines.

A saleswoman arranges gold necklaces in Kochi, India. Retail gold purchases in India and China have boosted the metal’s price lately.

It’s not a good sign when retail investors are buying and the professionals are selling,” said Ed Lashinski, director of strategy and trading at RBC Capital Markets.

On Friday, gold for April delivery ended at $1,453.60 a troy ounce, up 4.2% for the week on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gold has recovered from its biggest two-day drop in 30 years, when prices fell a total of 13% on April 12 and April 15.

The rebound was sparked by a flood of gold-bullion and jewelry purchases in India and China, the world’s two largest gold consumers. Gold is viewed as a store of wealth and a hedge against inflation, as well as a traditional gift. When gold slid below $1,400 an ounce, buyers rushed to lock in prices not seen in more than two years.

The question is whether these buyers will return next month. May is the peak for Hindu wedding ceremonies in India, where gold is often bought to give to brides.

 
Comment by measton
2013-04-29 08:45:15

I did better I bought an electric car, expanded the garden, and soon solar panels.

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 06:54:04

Spanish house prices need to fall further, Goldman warns
Spanish house prices need to fall another 10pc, posing fresh problems for the country’s troubled banking sector, Goldman Sachs has warned.
By Philip Aldrick, Economics Editor
1:39PM BST 27 Apr 2013

House prices have already collapsed 30pc from their high but are still over-valued, the investment bank claimed as it called for a fundamental restructuring of the country’s lenders.

The warning that Spain’s banks are holding the country back followed the government’s decision last week to tear up its deficit reduction plan in the face of collapsing growth.

In a deal agreed with the European Commission and the International Monetary Fund – two of the architects of the original round of austerity – Madrid will have two more years to bring its deficit down below 3pc. Spain took €41bn of European bail-out money to fix its broken banking sector.

The decision was taken to relieve pressure on the economy, which is now forecast to decline 1.3pc this year rather than the 0.5pc previously predicted, and help provide jobs. More than 55pc of the youth are unemployed.

The problems in the eurozone’s periphery have led to calls for European Central Bank president Mario Draghi to cut interest rates from 0.75pc next week. The IMF has said the ECB has room to ease conditions.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 06:57:08

Business / Personal Finance
Why Canadians are stuck in a low interest rate trap
It started with dotcom bust in 2000. Ever since cheap money has been a blessing and curse.

Former Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney, left, and Finance Minister Jim Flaherty have struggled with the problem of low interest rates.
By: Adam Mayers Personal Finance Editor, Published on Sat Apr 27 2013

Western economies are caught in a low interest rate trap that is proving a difficult problem to fix.

Rates have been so low for so long, that the trick is how to wean the patient off the cheap-money drug without causing an economic collapse. Nobody knows how to do it safely, which is why rates are bound to stay low for a while yet.

My first mortgage in the early 90s was a one-year term at 14.25 per cent. It kept me awake at night, wondering how I’d cope if rates kept rising. This week you can get a five-year, fixed term under 3 per cent.

Back then, there wasn’t much borrowing slack either. A home-secured line of credit was a decade away. Businesses had credit lines, but everyone else had loans with fixed terms which meant you had to pay them off.

Now you can get a line of credit with a 3.5 per cent rate, secured against your house, with an option to pay only the interest every month. The banks use that as a selling feature. You can spend $10,000 on a holiday, or a renovation, or new furniture, anything you want and only pay $29.16 a month. Of course, you still owe the $10,000.

Savers, meanwhile, are being punished by pitiful rates of return that are less than inflation. It takes one dollar 37 years to double at a rate of 1.9 per cent, which is the best rate I could find for a one-year Guaranteed Investment Certificate (GIC) last week.

These artificially low rates have created the situation where, as of mid-March, according to Statistics Canada, we owed $165 for every $100 of disposable income. This isn’t far off where Americans were just as their housing market collapsed.

This great borrowing spree has deep roots, which is why it’s such an intractable problem. Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney and Finance Minister Jim Flaherty go on about it, but they’ve caused it, moving in lockstep with central bankers elsewhere.

This all began on March 11, 2000 when the U.S. Nasdaq technology stock index peaked and the ‘dotcom’ bust began. Two years later, the Nasdaq had lost nearly 80 per cent of its value as internet stocks with high hopes, but no businesses disappeared. In the middle of that, on Sept. 11, 2001, came the attacks on the twin towers in New York

The George Bush administration wanted to cushion the economic impact, so the U.S. Federal Reserve pushed rates down to keep consumers borrowing. The policy worked so well it created a super-heated housing boom. This disaster in the making galloped along until 2008, when at its last gasp, mortgages were being offered to people without jobs.

The housing collapse threatened to create a new Depression. The Fed pushed rates down again, as low as they could go. Not much more than a year later, in 2009 ,came the European debt crisis. Countries, rather than people, had been living beyond their means for decades. With banking systems teetering, the answer was to lower rates. Even so, Portugal, Ireland, Spain, Italy, Greece and more recently Cyprus are on life support.

The big surprise is that all the cheap money hasn’t fixed a thing. It can’t because consumers everywhere are tapped out. If not, we should have long since seen a wave of inflation leading to rising rates. That expectation saw gold, an inflation hedge, gradually rise to $1,900 (U.S.) an ounce by September, 2012. With no inflation in sight, gold is down 23 per cent from its peak.

Comment by 2banana
2013-04-29 07:18:10

And they will all be victims

And they will all demand a government bailout

 
Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 07:44:19

Rates have been so low for so long, that the trick is how to wean the patient off the cheap-money drug without causing an economic collapse. Nobody knows how to do it safely, which is why rates are bound to stay low for a while yet.

As others have pointed out, all we have to do is look at Japan to see the future. I remember when Japan first adopted ZIRP. That was a LONG time ago.

Comment by Al
2013-04-29 12:00:55

In Canada most mortgages have terms of 5 years or less, even though the amortizations are much longer. No locking in for 30 years.

So what does this resemble? A person buys a house and gets a mortgage at 3%. 3 or 5 years later they have to renew and the going rate has gone up to 6%. Sound familiar?

 
 
 
Comment by usury camp resident
2013-04-29 07:12:00

The czech people are bad. They bombed Boston and now Praguistan.

Explosion shakes central Prague, as many as 40 injured

Comment by jose canusi
2013-04-29 07:27:30

I’m reading it’s gas, like the one that happened in France just a few days ago. Oh, wait…

 
 
Comment by Joe the patriotic bootstrapping IRA stuffer
2013-04-29 08:48:29

First openly gay major sport athlete is Jason Collins of the Celtics. A good spokesman for the cause, super smart, class act.

His roommate at Stanford was Joe Kennedy (now a congressman from Mass.).

Comment by jose canusi
2013-04-29 09:10:36

LOL! Great paraphrase of Matt Dillon’s line from the movie In And Out:

“He roomed with a Kennedy…and he’s gay!”

Comment by Joe the patriotic bootstrapping IRA stuffer
2013-04-29 09:32:50

Joe Kennedy is gay as well.

Comment by usury camp resident
2013-04-29 10:04:40

Per wikipedia.

Kennedy married Lauren Anne Birchfield in Corona del Mar, California on December 1, 2012.[31] The couple met in a Harvard Law School class taught by future senator Elizabeth Warren.[32] Kennedy is a Roman Catholic.[26]

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Comment by ahansen
2013-04-29 14:13:36

It IS possible to be gay and be married to a member of the opposite sex, you know….

 
Comment by usury camp resident
2013-04-29 15:31:00

Not the Kennedys. They can’t be gays…they are such prolific breeders.

 
Comment by oxide
2013-04-29 16:05:22

Well the more they breed, the greater the chance of producing at least one gay offspring.

Statisically, one of the Dugger kids could be gay.

 
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-29 18:35:58

I think the father is gay.

 
 
Comment by jose canusi
2013-04-29 10:27:20

Well, that sucks. For Taylor Swift.

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Comment by usury camp resident
2013-04-29 09:35:11

Will NBA be more fun and exciting to watch on TV?

 
 
Comment by Neuromance
2013-04-29 09:16:32

I watched Obama’s White House Correspondent’s Dinner remarks. They struck a good tone, very amusing at first, smoothly transitioning into solemnity for the tragedies in Boston and Texas, then ending on an uplifting note.

One thing he said bothered me. He said there was an increasing cynicism in the American public. I don’t think it’s cynicism. It’s a better understanding of human motivation, across the spectrum of human endeavor. From railroad worker to federal judge to to retail clerk to federal politician.

Politicians want us to believe what they say and ignore what they do. A greater public understanding of human motivation means that people are paying more attention to what politicians do and believing less of what they say.

The Founders didn’t create a system of checks and balances because they were cynical. They created a system of checks and balances because they were realistic and understood human nature.

Comment by polly
2013-04-29 09:41:34

Nerd prom was excellent this year. Conan was very good too, though he seemed nervous at the start.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-29 09:44:53

Yeah….. The type of crowd that makes me want to throw rocks at them.

 
 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-29 09:42:16

They created a system of checks and balances because they were realistic and understood human nature.
Modern definition of “cynicism” = being realistic & understanding human nature.
Unfortunately the ‘checks and balances’ set into motion in 1789 have long since been bypassed by gamesters.

Comment by usury camp resident
2013-04-29 10:20:21

I think laws replaced common sense. Everyone wants to be “legal” these days. Damn the common sense…damn the morality…

 
Comment by Bluestar
2013-04-29 13:38:15

‘checks and balances’
See also Bush V Gore, Citizens United V FEC

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-29 13:44:02

“The Founders didn’t create a system of checks and balances because they were cynical. They created a system of checks and balances because they were realistic and understood human nature.”

EGGS ACTLY

 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-04-29 09:17:49

“Get what you can get for your house today because it’s going to be much less tomorrow for many years to come.”

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-04-29 09:46:08

http://www.realestateeconomywatch.com/2013/04/investors-no-longer-in-the-driver%E2%80%99s-seat/

Let’s hope this is a trend, 21.8% of transactions are investors, down from 25.3% in May 2012.

If investors are indeed cash flow focused, they should have a lesser and lesser appetite the higher prices go, and you would expect this number to continue to fall, which would be good.

If investors are “momentum players” as they were during the run-up in 2004-2006, then you would expect this number to stay flat if not increase as prices rise more quickly.

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-29 12:01:20

You filthy corrupt POS.

How dare you pimp David Lereah here.

http://picpaste.com/pics/b31117d6ba063eb1b8a6f0f3d206bbda.1367262018.png

Comment by Rental Watch
2013-04-29 15:07:19

Because Lereah’s website (I didn’t even know it was his website) relayed the information, does that make the Campbell Survey incorrect?

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-29 15:30:14

Right….. liar.

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Comment by 2banana
2013-04-29 09:46:56

How much less affordable will be housing after the full weight of obama care hits next year?

—————————

Panic: Democrats Fear Another Obamacare Backlash
Town Hall | Apr. 29, 2013 | Guy Benson

Within months of Democrats ramming through Obamacare without a single Republican vote, the American people responded, pummeling the president’s party at the polls. Republicans gained 63 seats in the House, six United States Senators, six governorships, and nearly 700 seats in state legislatures nationwide. Conservatives had their temporary political revenge, we were told, but Democrats would get the last laugh because Obamacare was sure to become more popular once Republicans’ scurrilous smears against the law were shown to be false. How’s that working out?

Democrats in both houses of Congress said some members of their party were getting nervous that they could pay a political price if the rollout of the law was messy or if premiums went up significantly.

“We are hearing from a lot of small businesses in New Hampshire that do not know how to comply with the law.” In addition, Mrs. Shaheen said, “restaurants that employ people for about 30 hours a week are trying to figure out whether it would be in their interest to reduce the hours” of those workers, so the restaurants could avoid the law’s requirement to offer health coverage to full-time employees. The White House officials “acknowledged that these are real concerns, and that we’ve got to do more to address them,” Mrs. Shaheen said. Senator Tom Harkin, Democrat of Iowa and chairman of the appropriations subcommittee on health care, said he was extremely upset with Mr. Obama’s decision to take money from public health prevention programs and use it to publicize the new law, which creates insurance marketplaces in every state.

Obamacare is impossibly complicated to comply with, is impeding hiring, and is causing businesses to lay off workers and cut back on other employees’ hours? Why, who could have possibly seen that coming? Oh, that’s right — every single critic of Obamacare could. And did. Back to the grumbling Democrats:

Obamacare is hiking up people’s premiums? Why, who could have possibly… Katie noted last week that other Hill Democrats are nervously conceding that the, ahem, “Affordable Care Act” doesn’t actually contain costs either. Shocking, I know. The Left is spooked because the law they force-fed the American people is shaping up to be a “train wreck” and a “third world experience,” to quote the law’s chief author and administrator, respectively.

Comment by Bluestar
2013-04-29 13:09:23

It was designed to collapse. Question is what comes next? Looks like block grants to the states will be next thing out of the House or Reps.. Tort reform to make sure citizens can’t sue for better services or prices should be in the deal too.

 
 
Comment by tresho
Comment by In Colorado
2013-04-29 11:24:53

Mamma mia!

Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-29 11:50:04

chooch

 
 
 
Comment by CRATER!!!!
2013-04-29 11:06:28

KEEEEEEEEEEEEEYRAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAASH!!!

What was that?!

You know that house you made the mistake of buying? Well the value of it just fell through the floor leaving a smoldering moon-crater.

Beware reading public. Beware.

 
Comment by measton
2013-04-29 12:09:26

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/capitalism-is-killing-our-morals-our-future-2013-04-27?pagenumber=1

I’d say he doesn’t spend enough time on the take over/manipulation of markets and regulation by the elites, markets are not free anymore. Not to mention the take over of the MSM, and gov. His summary is spot on though. Things are going to get worse and theres not much anyone can do about it until the tipping point is reached.

Comment by ecofeco
2013-04-29 13:47:55

…and it’s going to make the 1960s unrest look like a picnic.

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 12:14:50

So long as stocks, housing and gold keep going up, the U.S. economy will do just fine.

BREAKING NEWS U.S. Treasury Says It Will Pay Down $35 Billion in Debt April-June

Consumer Demand Cools Even as U.S. Home Market Holds Up: Economy
By Shobhana Chandra - Apr 29, 2013 9:49 AM PT

Spending by U.S. consumers cooled in March after the strongest gain in five months, showing the biggest part of the economy lost momentum as the first quarter drew to a close.

Purchases advanced 0.2 percent, more than projected and reflecting a surge in outlays for utilities and other services that is unlikely to be repeated, after a 0.7 percent increase the prior month, Commerce Department figures showed. Another report showed more Americans than forecast signed contracts to purchase previously owned homes in March.

Higher payroll taxes that took effect in January may be starting to take a bigger toll on the American worker, chipping away at the consumer spending that accounts for about 70 percent of the economy. With growth projected to ease this quarter and inflation subdued, Federal Reserve policy makers meeting this week will probably keep pursuing the record monetary stimulus that’s helped breathe life into the housing recovery.

“Consumers won’t be able to sustain the current pace if income growth continues to disappoint,” said Millan Mulraine, an economist for TD Securities USA LLC in New York, who accurately projected the gain in spending. “The weak inflation backdrop is likely to cause the Fed to at least keep purchasing” securities.

The National Association of Realtors today said its index of pending existing-home sales increased 1.5 percent in March after a revised 1 percent decline that was larger than first reported.

Mortgage Rates

Historically low mortgage rates and improvement in the labor market are helping power the housing market. A pickup in property values may prompt more Americans to put their homes on the market and help alleviate a limited supply of available dwellings as the spring selling season begins.

El-Erian Says Economy Not as Good as Markets Imply 5:53

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 12:38:22

What we have today is a QE3-4ever anticipation rally.

It was a good day to own financial or hard assets; not so good for those saving in dollars or owed fixed dollar obligations.

TODAY’S MARKETS
Updated April 29, 2013, 2:30 p.m. ET
S&P 500 Hits Fresh High
By ALEXANDRA SCAGGS

Stocks extended their rally, paced by gains in technology shares, with the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index advancing beyond its all-time closing high.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 129 points, or 0.9%, to 14842.

The S&P 500 added 14 points, or 0.9%, to 1596. All 10 sectors were higher in Monday afternoon trading. It crept above its record close of 1593.37, reached April 11, shortly after noon. The tech-oriented Nasdaq Composite Index rose 35 points, or 1.1%, to 3314, hitting its highest level since 2000.

Even as stocks rallied, demand rose for the 10-year Treasury note, pushing the yield down to 1.662%, near its lowest level this year.

Analysts are looking to gold’s low-volume bounce off its lows and pointing to another probable, significant selloff on the way. Tomi Kilgore explains. Photo: Getty Images.

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-04-29 12:16:52

Survey: 87% of Americans ‘Not Confident’ About Their Retirement (And What You Can Do About It!)
Wednesday, 27 Mar 2013 10:46 AM
By Newsmax Wires

Despite the Dow recently hitting all-time highs, millions of Americans still have a dismal outlook when it comes to their own ability to retire, a new survey reveals.

Conducted by the Employment Benefit Research Institute, the survey reveals a startling fact: A mere 13% of workers are “very confident” when it comes to having enough money to retire.

More than twice that number, 28% of respondents, said that they were “not at all confident” about their ability to retire comfortably (triple the number from three years ago).

More than a fifth of respondents — 21% — said they were “not too confident” and 38% said they were “somewhat confident.”

Comment by Bluestar
2013-04-29 12:52:35

What’s to worry about? Nearly all of the Social Security trust fund is in Treasuries, the greatest investment in the world.

 
 
Comment by tresho
2013-04-29 15:23:33

NE Ohio: Cuyahoga Land Bank offering low interest renovation loans up to $10K for buyers of certain vacant Euclid homes

EUCLID, Ohio - The Cuyahoga Land Bank is now working with the city of Euclid to make it even easier for individuals and families to own and renovate vacant homes listed in the land bank inventory.

The land bank has launched the Advantage Plus Loan Program in the city of Euclid, which builds upon the Cuyahoga Land Bank’s Owner Occupant Buyer Advantage Program.

The city of Euclid and Neighborhood Housing Services of Greater Cleveland have signed on as partners for this new “loan” program.

The new Advantage Plus Loan Program is geared specifically toward prospective owner-occupiers, and people that want to rehabilitate a property in order to make it their home.

The Cuyahoga Land Bank encourages anyone to bid on properties in its inventory, but also understands many properties need extensive work, which requires the purchaser to have either renovation expertise or the ability to pay contractors to make the necessary repairs.

Participants are required to provide proof of funds to cover the acquisition, renovation costs, and a 10 percent renovation cost reserve of the property they purchase; the Advantage Plus Loan Program helps address this financial challenge.

“Renovating one of our properties can be a wonderful opportunity to get a great home for a great price,” said Cuyahoga Land Bank President, Gus Frangos. “But it can also be daunting to someone that is not a professional rehabber.”

“We designed the Owner Occupant Advantage Program to make it easier for the average person to be able to make rehabbing an old property the path to their dream home. Advantage Plus Loan takes it one step further by assisting with the expense of repairs.”

I don’t see $10000 as going very far at all for this type of house. Cleveland Habitat for Humanity is also shifting its attention to rehabbing houses like this in the same general, as opposed to simply building new. Is this just a rehab housing bubble?

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-04-29 15:35:02

“Falling housing prices to dramatically lower and more affordable levels is bullish optimism.”

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
 
Comment by Rental Watch
Comment by Pimp Watch
2013-04-29 19:53:52

Rental Pimp….

You’re a Liar.

 
 
Comment by sustainable development
2013-04-29 18:11:27

How about spending some of the Mortgage Settlement winnings on pizza training. Didn’t I see there was a pizza maker shortage.

“agreeing to spend some of the state’s $200 million National Mortgage Settlement winnings on college dorm fees, Habitat for Humanity and domestic violence centers.”

Posted: 3:02 p.m. Monday, April 29, 2013

Fast-track foreclosure bill approved by House lawmakers

By Kimberly Miller

Palm Beach Post Staff Writer

Florida lawmakers moved forward on two closely watched housing bills Monday, passing a plan to fast-track foreclosures, and agreeing to spend some of the state’s $200 million National Mortgage Settlement winnings on college dorm fees, Habitat for Humanity and domestic violence centers.

The House passed its plan to hasten the state’s foreclosure process in an 87 to 26 vote that sent it to the Senate for review. The bill, HB 87, has been debated in various forms during four consecutive legislative sessions.

 
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