May 17, 2013

Bits Bucket for May 17, 2013

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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263 Comments »

Comment by SUGuy
2013-05-17 04:12:24

From the article yesterday: The Bank Confiscation Scheme for US and UK Depositors

A question for the hbb crowd. I have money cash is most large banks and many credit unions. Is it safer to move cash from the large banks to credit unions?

Comment by polly
2013-05-17 04:32:27

Read the article again. Are the credit unions the kind of organizations that the Congress could be convinced need to continue to function to avoid damage to the country. Do any of them handle 2% of anything (like payroll payments, medicare payments, whatever else) all on their own? They wouldn’t be subject to the rules in that article.

There are plenty of other reasons not to bank at those large institutions. I used to have access to the “private banking” function at one of them (the bank was a client of the firm I worked for at the time and provided the service to all of us because the business of the partners was actually worth having). All we got was basic customer service that actually worked. If they consider that to be a special level of service for their most valuable customers, I didn’t want to have anything to do with them. As soon as I realized that having a “local” bank wasn’t important in New York the way it was in rural New Hampshire, I moved to another bank.

In a smaller bank you may have to deal with slower adoption of technology making banking slightly less convenient. You also have the comfort of knowing that your bank isn’t at the top of the list when people look for a bank to hack.

Comment by SUGuy
2013-05-17 17:32:42

Thank you everybody who responded

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2013-05-17 07:17:50

I prefer credit unions on general principle, but as with any place handling your money, do your research.

 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 04:33:38

If you take on mortgage debt at current massively inflated housing prices, you’ll enslave yourself for the rest of your life.

“Debt is bondage.”~ Suze Orman, May 11, 2013

Comment by Blue Skye
2013-05-17 04:36:49

“Rest of your life” might be a slight stretch. It is theoretically possible to dig one’s way out of prison, or to run away from the chain gang. Most are afraid to do so.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 04:40:09

Why risk it when credit markets are on the precipice of a major global correction?

 
Comment by localandlord
2013-05-17 17:13:09

Rest of your life?

Does PW know of an upcoming epidemic that will shorten everyone’s life expectancy? Do tell.

If the young couple takes out a 15 year loan will they not see their children graduate high school?

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 17:34:45

Paying an extra $150k and then financing it for 30 years is what… chump change? Really?

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Comment by goon squad
2013-05-17 04:39:07

when you kick debt dope do they give you coins to commemorate how many days you’ve been debt-free?

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 04:45:36

Proverbs 22:7

i>“Just as the rich rule the poor, so the borrower is slave to the lender.”

 
Comment by perkonkrusts
2013-05-17 05:29:05

There is a Debtors Anonymous. Some of their groups probably give out coins or plastic tokens. My guess is that the coins would signify how many days it’s been since you took on new debt, rather than how many days you’ve been debt free.

 
 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-05-17 04:34:01

Also from yesterday:

“New multi-family construction plunged in April to an annual rate of 243,000, down 38%. Single-family housing starts fell 2.1% to a 610,000 annual rate.”

This is about half of the average for the 50 years prior to 2008. Given the population growth, from 180 million to over 300 million, that’s about one third the norm since 1960. Back in 1960, IIRC, mortgage interest rates were around 3% like today. How any one can spin this situation as a real estate market recovery is beyond me. At this rate it will take 40 years to work off the excess inventory.

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-05-17 05:35:01

“New multi-family construction plunged in April to an annual rate of 243,000, down 38%. Single-family housing starts fell 2.1% to a 610,000 annual rate.”

Odd that builders aren’t taking advantage of the massive profits they could be making now, since we’re regularly told that they can build for so much less than houses are selling for.

What’s the disconnect?

At this rate it will take 40 years to work off the excess inventory.

Lower rates of building will make working through the excess inventory take longer?

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 06:01:14

They aren’t?

Cmon now AlWog

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-05-17 06:22:48

Grampa, what was it like to live through the Depression?

I don’t know, I didn’t realize we were in one.

Comment by Carl Morris
2013-05-17 09:15:24

I don’t know, I didn’t realize we were in one.

“We were poor before, during, and after. It was all the same to us.”

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Comment by In Colorado
2013-05-17 08:30:45

Odd that builders aren’t taking advantage of the massive profits they could be making now, since we’re regularly told that they can build for so much less than houses are selling for.

What’s the disconnect?

Mom-n-pop builders need financing and if the Banksters say “no”, what are they going to do?

Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 09:24:34

Some of those “mom and pops” got lots of money back from the Feds in form of tax refunds from losses they took in 2005, and are back to building. But that’s beside the point.

Why aren’t public builders filling that void, since by all measures, they are flush with cash? Why aren’t they taking advantage of the massive profits they could be making?

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Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-05-17 13:24:37

Why aren’t public builders filling that void, since by all measures, they are flush with cash? Why aren’t they taking advantage of the massive profits they could be making?

Occam’s razor says that they can’t compete with the current prices of already built houses- at least not in areas where people actually want to live.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 13:39:03

That certainly would have been my guess, but it flies in the face of “ample land at cheap prices with low construction costs means that builders will continue to undercut the current market until prices fall by 65%” meme.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2013-05-17 15:05:19

Occam’s razor says that they can’t compete with the current prices of already built houses- at least not in areas where people actually want to live.

Or they know that if they flood the market with new construction that they won’t sell and are waiting for the bubble to fully re-inflate.

 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-05-17 15:49:42

Or they know that if they flood the market with new construction

That assumes they all work in tandem with a common strategy. I (and Occam’s razor) find that unlikely.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by inchbyinch
2013-05-17 04:35:33

The NACU is no better than the FDIC imho,
but CUs don’t generally fee you to death.
In 2012 we got a cash bonus for having a high balance.
The highest thank you gift was $1,000 each
acct per persons on title.
NACUs vs. FDIC = tomato tamato

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 04:36:37

“Above all else, avoid all debt. The risk has never been higher.”

 
Comment by Attaboy Clarence
2013-05-17 04:44:32

10 Amazing Charts That Demonstrate The Slow, Agonizing Death Of The American Worker - May 17th, 2013
Economic Collapse | The middle class American worker is in danger of becoming an endangered species.

Comment by Attaboy Clarence
2013-05-17 04:48:20

10 Amazing Charts That Demonstrate The Slow, Agonizing Death Of …
http://www.thedailysheeple.com/10-amazing-charts-that-demonstrate-the-slow-agonizing-death-of-the-american-worker_052013 - - Cached - Similar pages
5 hours ago …

Comment by goon squad
 
Comment by goon squad
2013-05-17 06:01:00

‘the retirement prospects of americans are slipping for the first time in generations … future retirees face the risk of downward mobility when they leave the workforce … americans born after 1955 are carrying more debt than the generations that came before them, putting them in danger of not having enough savings to maintain their standard of living in retirement’

http://m.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/future-retirees-at-risk-of-downward-mobility-pew-finds/2013/05/16/0ce2a410-be4b-11e2-97d4-a479289a31f9_story.html

Comment by goon squad
2013-05-17 06:07:36

“The typical Gen X’ers lost the most, losing a median 27 percent, or $18,052, of their typical $67,052 in home equity … the meltdown in the real estate market was the largest drain on net worth during the recession.”

http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2013-05-16/gen-x-has-new-reason-to-resent-boomers-as-retirement-looks-bleak.html

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Comment by non-conformist
2013-05-17 06:24:02

Wednesday, May 15, 2013 13:48

For over 14 years, Daniel Estulin has investigated and researched the Bilderberg Group’s far-reaching influence on business and finance, global politics, war and peace, and control of the world’s resources and its money.

His book, “The True Story of the Bilderberg Group,” was published in 2005 and is now updated in a new 2009 edition. He states that in 1954, “the most powerful men in the world met for the first time” in Oosterbeek, Netherlands, “debated the future of the world,” and decided to meet annually in secret. They called themselves the Bilderberg Group with a membership representing a who’s who of world power elites, mostly from America, Canada, and Western Europe with familiar names like David Rockefeller, Henry Kissinger, Bill Clinton, Gordon Brown, Angela Merkel, Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, Larry Summers, Tim Geithner, Lloyd Blankfein, George Soros, Donald Rumsfeld, Rupert Murdoch, other heads of state, influential senators, congressmen and parliamentarians, Pentagon and NATO brass, members of European royalty, selected media figures, and invited others – some quietly by some accounts like Barack Obama and many of his top officials.

Always well represented are top figures from the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), IMF, World Bank, Trilateral Commission, EU, and powerful central bankers from the Federal Reserve, the ECB’s Jean-Claude Trichet, and Bank of England’s Mervyn King.

For over half a century, no agenda or discussion topics became public nor is any press coverage allowed. The few invited fourth estate attendees and their bosses are sworn to secrecy. Nonetheless, Estulin undertook “an investigative journey” that became his life’s work. He states:

“Slowly, one by one, I have penetrated the layers of secrecy surrounding the Bilderberg Group, but I could not have done this withot help of ‘conscientious objectors’ from inside, as well as outside, the Group’s membership.” As a result, he keeps their names confidential.

Whatever its early mission, the Group is now “a shadow world government….threaten(ing) to take away our right to direct our own destinies (by creating) a disturbing reality” very much harming the public’s welfare. In short, Bilderbergers want to supplant individual nation-state sovereignty with an all-powerful global government, corporate controlled, and check-mated by militarized enforcement.

“Imagine a private club where presidents, prime ministers, international bankers and generals rub shoulders, where gracious royal chaperones ensure everyone gets along, and where the people running the wars, markets, and Europe (and America) say what they never dare say in public.”

Early in its history, Bilderbergers decided “to create an ‘Aristocracy of purpose’ between Europe and the United States (to reach consensus to rule the world on matters of) policy, economics, and (overall) strategy.” NATO was essential for their plans – to ensure “perpetual war (and) nuclear blackmail” to be used as necessary. Then proceed to loot the planet, achieve fabulous wealth and power, and crush all challengers to keep it.

Along with military dominance, controlling the world’s money is crucial for with it comes absolute control as the powerful 19th century Rothschild family understood. As the patriarch Amschel Rothschild once said: “Give me control of a nation’s money and I care not who makes its laws.”

Bilderbergers comprise the world’s most exclusive club. No one buys their way in. Only the Group’s Steering Committee decides whom to invite, and in all cases participants are adherents to One World Order governance run by top power elites.

According to Steering Committee rules:

“the invited guests must come alone; no wives, girlfriends, husbands or boyfriends. Personal assistants (meaning security, bodyguards, CIA or other secret service protectors) cannot attend the conference and must eat in a separate hall. (Also) The guests are explicitly forbidden from giving interviews to journalists” or divulge anything that goes on in meetings.

Host governments provide overall security to keep away outsiders. One-third of attendees are political figures. The others are from industry, finance, academia, labor and communications.

Meeting procedure is by Chatham House Rules letting attendees freely express their views in a relaxed atmosphere knowing nothing said will be quoted or revealed to the public. Meetings “are always frank, but do not always conclude with consensus.”

Membership consists of annual attendees (around 80 of the world’s most powerful) and others only invited occasionally because of their knowledge or involvement in relevant topics. Those most valued are asked back, and some first-timers are chosen for their possible later usefulness.

Arkansas governor Bill Clinton, for example, who attended in 1991. “There, David Rockefeller told (him) why the North American Free Trade Agreement….was a Bilderberg priority and that the group needed him to support it. The next year, Clinton was elected president,” and on January 1, 1994 NAFTA took effect. Numerous other examples are similar, including who gets chosen for powerful government, military and other key positions.

Bilderberg Objectives

The Group’s grand design is for “a One World Government (World Company) with a single, global marketplace, policed by one world army, and financially regulated by one ‘World (Central) Bank’ using one global currency.” Their “wish list” includes:

– “one international identify (observing) one set of universal values;”

– centralized control of world populations by “mind control;” in other words, controlling world public opinion;

– a New World Order with no middle class, only “rulers and servants (serfs),” and, of course, no democracy;

– “a zero-growth society” without prosperity or progress, only greater wealth and power for the rulers;

– manufactured crises and perpetual wars;

– absolute control of education to program the public mind and train those chosen for various roles;

– “centralized control of all foreign and domestic policies;” one size fits all globally;

– using the UN as a de facto world government imposing a UN tax on “world citizens;”

– expanding NAFTA and WTO globally;

– making NATO a world military;

– imposing a universal legal system; and

– a global “welfare state where obedient slaves will be rewarded and non-conformists targeted for extermination.”

http://beforeitsnews.com/alternative/2013/05/the-true-story-of-the-bilderberg-group-and-what-they-may-be-planning-now-2-2648732.html - 58k - Cached -

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-05-17 06:36:01

The typical Gen Xer borrowed the most and gambled the most in the housing Ponzi.

 
Comment by goon squad
2013-05-17 06:37:29

Bilderberg? Agenda 21? Skull & Bones? Bohemian Grove?

Pentagon Unilaterally Grants Itself Authority Over ‘Civil Disturbances’

http://www.longislandpress.com/2013/05/14/u-s-military-power-grab-goes-into-effect/

 
Comment by goon squad
2013-05-17 06:44:32

washington gets explicit - its ‘war on terror’ is permanent

http://m.guardiannews.com/commentisfree/2013/may/17/endless-war-on-terror-obama

 
Comment by Joe makes word salad with RFPs, PPQs, FPRs, and TET reports
2013-05-17 07:08:41

Looks like the WaPo misspelled “turrrr”.

Don Rumsfeld was on NPR Marketplace last night, promoting his new book/memoir. He’s still sticking with the line that we will view W’s War on Turrrr differently 50 years from now. Historians will see the wisdom. I hope to live to at least 80 so I can see if that’s true, assuming DHS doesn’t provide the Official News by then and block out all competitors.

Another observation about Rumsfeld is that he stonewalls and “stops to think” a lot, even on questions he HAS to have been asked hundreds of times before, e.g. “Any regrets about going into Iraq?” or “Was it a mistake to think we’d be greeted as liberators?”

 
Comment by MacBeth
2013-05-17 07:51:42

“The typical Gen Xer borrowed the most and gambled the most in the housing Ponzi.”

Agreed.

And the typical Silent and first-half Boomer made out like bandits.

 
Comment by polly
2013-05-17 08:10:47

“The typical Gen Xer borrowed the most and gambled the most in the housing Ponzi.”

But may have had significantly less student loan debt. Depends on how early they were in Gen X and if they did their schooling straight through or went back for more later.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-17 09:11:46

But may have had significantly less student loan debt. Depends on how early they were in Gen X and if they did their schooling straight through or went back for more later.

It is still possible to go to a state school and work at the same time to avoid taking on debt.

I’m a Gen Xer and went back to school in my late 30’s for a teaching credential and then a masters degree. Both took longer than usual because I held down a full time job at the same time, but I didn’t have to take out any loans.

But you couldn’t do that on a minimum wage job.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-05-17 09:49:44

Don Rumsfeld was on NPR Marketplace

Heard some of that and on the tube (don’t remember the show) a few days back.

Dude never ceases to make my skin crawl. He’d make a good sales guy. He has his story and he’s stickin’ to it!

 
 
Comment by ecofeco
2013-05-17 07:40:39

‘the retirement prospects of americans are slipping for the first time in generations

Bullcrap. This began back in the 1980s and gotten worse very decade since.

Downward mobility? Don’t make me laugh. NO RETIREMENT for most is the reality.

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Comment by non-conformist
2013-05-17 08:44:15

Insights into the 2009 Bilderberg Group Meeting

From May 14 – 17, Bilderbergers held their annual meeting in Vouliagmeni, Greece, and according to Daniel Estulin have dire plans for global economies.

According to his pre-meeting sources, they’re divided on two alternatives:

“Either a prolonged, agonizing depression that dooms the world to decades of stagnation, decline and poverty (or) an intense but shorter depression that paves the way for a new sustainable world order, with less sovereignty but more efficiency.”

Other agenda items included:

– “the future of the US dollar and US economy;”

– continued deception about green shoots signaling an end to recession and improving economy later in the year;

– suppressing the fact that bank stress tests were a sham and were designed for deception, not an accurate assessment of major banks’ health;

– projecting headlined US unemployment to hit 14% by year end – way above current forecasts and meaning the true number will be double, at minimum, with all uncounted categories included; and

– a final push to get the Lisbon Treaty passed for pan-European (EU) adoption of neoliberal rules, including greater privatizations, fewer worker rights and social benefits, open border trade favoring developed over emerging states, and greater militarization to suppress civil liberties and human rights.

After the meeting, Estulin got a 73-page report on what was discussed. He noted that “One of Bilderberg’s primary concerns….is the danger that their zeal to reshape the world by engineering chaos (toward) their long term agenda could cause the situation to spiral out of control and eventually lead to a scenario where Bilderberg and the global elite in general are overwhelmed by events and end up losing their control over the planet.”

Estulin also noted some considerable disagreement between “hardliners” wanting a “dramatic decline and a severe, short-term depression (versus others) who think that things have gone too far” so that “the fallout from the global economic cataclysm” can’t be known, may be greater than anticipated, and may harm Bilderberger interests. Also, “some European bankers (expressed great alarm over their own fate and called the current) high wire act ‘unsustainable.’ ”

There was a combination of agreement and fear that the situation remains dire and the worst of the crisis lies ahead, mainly because of America’s extreme debt level that must be resolved to produce a healthy, sustainable recovery.

Topics also included:

– establishing a Global Treasury Department and Global Central Bank, possibly partnered with or as part of the IMF;

– a global currency;

– destruction of the dollar through what longtime market analyst Bob Chapman calls “a stealth default on (US) debt by continuing to issue massive amounts of money and credit and in the process devaluing the dollar,” a process he calls “fraud;”

– a global legal system;

– exploiting the Swine Flu scare to create a WHO global department of health; and

– the overall goal of a global government and the end of national sovereignty.

http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-true-story-of-the-bilderberg-group-and-what-they-may-be-planning-now/13808 -

 
Comment by non-conformist
2013-05-17 09:26:26

“exploiting the Swine Flu scare to create a WHO global department of health;”

4/12/2013 @ 6:30PM

Urgent Warning On New Bird Flu H7N9: Could Pose Global Threat

As new death reports come in, a team of experts from China published a scary report yesterday in the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) suggesting that the new H7N9 avian flu virus is even more deadly than previously believed.

The conclusions: H7N9 causes unusually severe respiratory infection, sepsis and brain damage, and appears to be resistant to vaccination and treatment.

But here’s where it gets really worrisome. In a commentary on “global concerns” pertaining to H7N9, also in the NEJM, influenza experts Timothy Uyeki, MD and Nancy Cox discuss the potential of H7H9 to cause a pandemic (a fast-moving global epidemic) and warn that this possibility is real.

Given the severity and speed with which H7N9 is infecting and killing people, Uyeki and Cox write, “It is possible that these severely ill patients represent the tip of the iceberg and that there are many more as-yet-undetected mild and asymptomatic infections.”

With today’s toll now at 11 deaths and 43 people infected, the threat is getting real.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/melaniehaiken/2013/04/12/new-bird-flu-danger-worse-than-believed-says-urgent-report/ - 101k

 
Comment by MiddleCoaster
2013-05-17 09:56:34

The problem (if one can call it that) is that China and India won’t go along with these nefarious plans.

 
Comment by non-conformist
2013-05-17 15:47:13

The Chinese Hit up Bilderberg Conference in 2011
http://www.ibtimes.com/chinese-hit-bilderberg-conference-2011-290201 - 131k - Cached - Similar pages
In yet another sign of China’s rise, Chinese delegates are now invited to the super-secret and super-elite Bilderberg Conference in 2011. …

List of Bilderberg participants

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

China Fu Ying (2011, 2012),[3][32] Vice-Minister of Foreign Affairs, former Ambassador to the UK and Australia

China Huang Yiping (2011, 2012),[3][11] Professor of Economics, China Center for Economic Research, Peking University

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Bilderberg_participants - 332k -

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 04:46:52

Proverbs 22:7

“Just as the rich rule the poor, so the borrower is slave to the lender.”

Comment by ecofeco
2013-05-17 07:43:40

Unless you have and can keep (this part is very important) a VERY well paying job, you HAVE to borrow in this society in your lifetime.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 08:46:56

‘You have to”! huh?

Winging again huh Eco?

Comment by ecofeco
2013-05-17 09:14:38

Never had an emergency that cost more than you had saved? Never had a job that required you move on short shortage after being out of work and using up your savings? Extended unemployment? False arrest/accusation/frivolous lawsuit?

You do also know that a majority of bankruptcies are due to medical expense, right? You do know this?

Must be nice to have such a sheltered life.

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Comment by Housing Analyst
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 05:53:08

another day and another realtor goes down. I wonder how many are put away every day in the country?

Comment by ecofeco
2013-05-17 09:21:11

Not enough?

Was this a trick question? :lol:

 
 
 
Comment by Housing Angel
2013-05-17 04:50:05

Most damning words ever said about the president. Did people not see this in 08?

Chris Matthews sours on Obama

President Obama “obviously likes giving speeches more than he does running the executive branch,” Chris Matthews said tonight.

Yes, you read that right: The MSNBC host who in 2008 felt a “thrill going up my leg” after hearing Obama speak has grown disenchanted. Tonight’s episode of Hardball saw Matthews delivering a rare, unforgiving grilling of the president as severe as anything that might appear on Fox News.

“What part of the presidency does Obama like? He doesn’t like dealing with other politicians — that means his own cabinet, that means members of the congress, either party. He doesn’t particularly like the press…. He likes to write the speeches, likes to rewrite what Favreau and the others wrote for the first draft,” Matthews said.

“So what part does he like? He likes going on the road, campaigning, visiting businesses like he does every couple days somewhere in Ohio or somewhere,” Matthews continued. “But what part does he like? He doesn’t like lobbying for the bills he cares about. He doesn’t like selling to the press. He doesn’t like giving orders or giving somebody the power to give orders. He doesn’t seem to like being an executive.”

Comment by Blue Skye
2013-05-17 06:52:41

Sounds like Matthews was an idiot blowhard then and is one now.

Comment by ecofeco
2013-05-17 09:22:24

*snerk* :lol:

 
 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-05-17 13:01:56

I haven’t really been paying attention to BO’s appearances lately until I saw one last night on one of the nightly news shows.

Is it me, or has he grayed more in the last four months than he did over the four previous years?

Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-05-17 13:42:09

If he’s like a lot of us, his graying goes in fits and starts.

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-05-17 15:40:08

But not many of us have his job. He was looking REEEEEAAAAALLY white (his hair, that is) last night.

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 04:54:57
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 05:54:25

houses are critical to building wealth for the workn man.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 06:06:03

Buying depreciating assets “builds wealth”?

BWAHAHAHA

Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 06:22:59

looks like you wont be making any money during this cycle as you missed the last boat too I assume.

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 06:27:53

Buying depreciating assets “builds wealth”? BWAHAHA

Looks like your losses are growing.

 
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 06:44:20

have you ever made any money on assets? Are you bitter cause you keep missing the boat?

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 06:48:00

Borrowing inflated amounts of money to buy depreciating assets like houses builds wealth?

Are you really that deluded?

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-05-17 06:51:15

“this cycle….”

That phrase is popping up more frequently among the housing pumpers. Is it an indication of day-trader mentality? A carry over from realtor blogs?

 
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 06:54:08

stating the fact the real estate is cyclical.

lots of people seem to be blowing a lot of hot air and whining cause there always broke.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 06:55:56

Debt-Junkies are ALWAYS broke.

Don’t borrow.

 
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 07:01:15

u basically have to borrow to get anywhere in this system. it is all built on leverage.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:05:01

You might because you’re a debt-junkie. And you’ll always be broke.

 
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 07:10:03

I know the system. keep sitting around waiting for a collapse and saving your dollars as they erode in purchasing power.

the bankers are telling you to speculate in assets. make some money for once in your life.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:13:09

You’ll always broke.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-05-17 07:14:03

‘I know the system.’

From the desk clearing post today:

‘Welcome to the 2006 economy, where stocks are booming, the art market is setting records, and home prices are soaring all over the country. In fact— not to rush things along too much— it’s already time for you to start worrying about the collapse of the next housing bubble. ‘Aw gee, we just had a collapse of a housing bubble!’ you exclaim, kicking the dirt in frustration. ‘I still have three partially constructed condos in Bed-Stuy to flip and IT’S NOT FAIR.’ We know, we know. But what can you do? These things happen. It’s been, like, five years since the last housing collapse— plenty of time for Americans to put it out of their minds entirely.’

‘I wouldn’t worry, though: if there’s anyone smart enough to get in and out before the whole thing collapses, it’s you. You’re smarter than the others.’

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-05-17 07:18:45

I think lenders get more out of this “system” than borrowers.

You only “have to borrow” if you need more than you can afford.

 
Comment by rms
2013-05-17 07:25:14

“u basically have to borrow to get anywhere in this system. it is all built on leverage.”

+1 However you must be able to cover those periods when the tide is out.

 
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 07:34:54

i know the system once again.

You have to recognize when people are getting piggish and take profits.

You have to buy when blood is in the streets.

There is money to be made. Get on the right side of the trade.

use leverage to your advantage.

sitting around talking about how horrible things are is not going to make you a dime.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:49:34

Horrible?

Housing prices falling to dramatically lower and affordable levels is horrible?

Hogwash….. Falling housing prices to dramatically lower levels is positively bullish.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-05-17 07:53:29

Things are not horrible at all! We have our health and freedom and all that we need. We steer away from the waterfall to improve our prospects and you call that sitting around talking.

 
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-17 08:32:00

“You have to recognize when people are getting piggish and take profits. You have to buy when blood is in the streets.
There is money to be made. Get on the right side of the trade.

sitting around talking about how horrible things are is not going to make you a dime.”

Exactly. There is no permanence to any of it. People like HA who say the sky will be falling forever are just the mirror opposites of the “housing will never go down” types. It’s all about balance and recognizing when to shift positions. Nothing goes up forever, nothing goes down forever. People who make money are those who understand this and act accordingly. This goes for houses, stocks, art, classic cars, whatever.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-17 09:16:56

Borrowing at 0% interest is a no-brainer, though. Anyone who has those terms is doing a-ok.

We borrowed 100K at 0% and it feels just fine. The rest at 3.5%.

The folks paying 24.99% on their credit cards are screwed.

 
Comment by There's no plan A
2013-05-17 09:21:59

housing will never go down” types. It’s all about balance and recognizing when to shift positions.

Ha!

You must be one of the lucky ones that beats the house everytime in Vegas, too. Too bad, most aren’t like you.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-05-17 09:26:44

“this cycle….”

That phrase is popping up more frequently among the housing pumpers. Is it an indication of day-trader mentality? A carry over from realtor blogs?

I think it’s a concession that houses don’t *always* go up…at least in the short term. But also an encouragement to everyone to think of them like slow motion day trading. You just need to cycle in and out of housing with the waves. Because you’re smart.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 09:44:32

Falling housing prices is horrible?

Don’t be foolish.

What. Is horrible is paying current massively inflated prices for a depriciating house…… and borrowing to do so which serves to magnify those losses.

 
Comment by chilidoggg
2013-05-17 11:15:59

Where can I go to borrow $100k at 0%?

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-05-17 12:19:09

Where can I go to borrow $100k at 0%?

You could rob a bank. But, last I heard, the banks don’t take kindly to that sort of behavior. Neither does law enforcement.

 
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-17 14:53:52

“You must be one of the lucky ones that beats the house everytime in Vegas, too. Too bad, most aren’t like you.”

It’s really not that hard. Rule #1, during inflationary times like now, don’t hold cash.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 15:37:11

Slithers….. there is no “inflation”.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 05:15:30

Realtors Arrested For Dealing Drugs

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vpN7NiT2SSY

Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 06:56:31

you have never made a dime on an asset have you?

are you going to be talkn down real estate the whole way up again as you sit around thinkn about how you missed out again?

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 06:59:40

Nobody needs to talk down real estate. It’s collapsing quite nicely all on its own.

Heres a chart of Collapsing US Housing Demand

http://picpaste.com/pics/8432c42962f8a1269bbd9950d4277997.1368791675.png

Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 07:04:19

your data is absolute rubbish. get out of your house and go look at some homes. its a feeding frenzy out there in CA.

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:09:44

refute it….. Junkie. ;)

 
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 07:11:56

take some risks for once in your life.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:18:35

How large are your losses?

 
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 07:36:41

I dont have any losses, only profits. Get in the game. quit sitting on the sidelines talking.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:51:33

You have massive losses. Like anyone else holding on to depreciating assets like houses.

“Get what you can get for your house today because it’s going to be much less tomorrow for many years to come.”

 
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 07:54:02

my profits are growing daily as your depreciating dollars in your savings account go down the tubes.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 08:03:37

Show us your “profits”. lmao

 
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 10:40:05

I dont need to show u jack sh@t buddy.

Be have a nice lobster dinner tonight while you eat alpo again.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 10:56:37

Of course you don’t. Because you’re lying…. you have no profit.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Weed Wacker™
2013-05-17 17:29:49

Dirty lying realtor finally took up an honest profession and you still aren’t satisfied! :)

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 17:44:06

Not until we’re throwing them from helicopters for entertainment.

 
 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 05:18:56
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 06:25:58

realtors in general are good ethical people.

Comment by ecofeco
2013-05-17 09:19:57

Not where I live.

Comment by Joe makes word salad with RFPs, PPQs, FPRs, and TET reports
2013-05-17 09:37:59

I’m sure azdude was being sarcastic.

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Comment by ecofeco
2013-05-17 12:09:48

Of course. Just affirming the sarcasm :lol:

 
 
 
Comment by United States of Moral Hazard
2013-05-17 10:02:30

Troll much?

 
 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
 
Comment by goon squad
2013-05-17 06:16:38

hope and change

‘human feces taint more than half of public swimming pools, a finding u.s. health officials are using to urge better personal hygiene as the summer months approach.’

http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2013-05-16/feces-contaminates-more-than-half-of-u-s-public-pools.html

Comment by There's no plan A
2013-05-17 06:37:39

A couple of years agom there was a report that roughly 40% of the baggage salads contained fecal bacteria. That’s why salads are so nutritious.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 06:44:01

It’s fecal time!!

Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 06:57:43

how many bags of salad you going to eat today?

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Comment by MacBeth
2013-05-17 07:58:54

It’s a crisis! Ban all lettuce and spinach!

 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
2013-05-17 06:48:56

that’s what happens when you elect a president born in a third world country where people don’t wash their hands after going to the bathroom.

forward

Comment by There's no plan A
2013-05-17 06:53:09

I think the muslims wash their bottom with water unlike the civilized westerners and their toilet papers.

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Comment by goon squad
2013-05-17 07:05:19

obama washes his with the u.s. constitution

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:12:04

you’re busy today.;)

 
 
 
 
Comment by MacBeth
2013-05-17 07:57:34

It’s a CRISIS! Close all the swimming pools!

Comment by goon squad
2013-05-17 08:11:25

water is racis.

 
 
 
Comment by michael
2013-05-17 06:43:10

met with financial advisor yesterday…pimping stocks hard.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 06:45:27

And the “advisors” recently suckered some real old folks I know into buying munis and treasuries.

 
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 06:46:11

how much FACEBOOK did you buy?

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 06:57:27

Why buy FACEBOOK when the price is falling?

SAVE your money. DO NOT take on debt.

Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 06:59:24

so buying a stock is now taking on debt?

people who take on debt seem to be highly rewarded in this system we have.

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:03:06

Why buy FACEBOOK when the price is falling?

 
Comment by Joe makes word salad with RFPs, PPQs, FPRs, and TET reports
2013-05-17 07:03:43

He’s right about half the things he says, you just have to know which half. That’s the RAL way. He’s an omnicient god in his own mind, though.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:26:42

Hey harpsichordists…. not a single one of you junkies have adequately refuted any of our posts. Not a single instance.

 
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 07:47:59

I found an awesome stock for you to buy with strong fundamentals.

make william shafter proud and buy some PCLN. The experts say it is going to 1000.00/ share. Back up the truck bro.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:53:20

Save your money folks.

 
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 07:55:11

why save any money dude? they punish you for saving.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:59:50

Why spend it when it increases in value by the day?

 
Comment by There's no plan A
2013-05-17 08:46:39

they punish you for saving.

Then punish them by saving more.
You will only win if you don’t play their games. Otherwise, you are just a sitting duck and they will empty your pocket.

 
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-17 09:04:21

It’s always hilarious how the same people who scream about inflation (and the ones buying gold) are the ones who think saving is good and debt is bad.

And you will never beat the system. You may not like the system, but trying to fight it is a losing game.

 
Comment by There's no plan A
2013-05-17 09:15:35

It’s always hilarious how the same people who scream about inflation (and the ones buying gold) are the ones who think saving is good and debt is bad.

Generalize too much?

And you will never beat the system. You may not like the system, but trying to fight it is a losing game.

If this is the end result of playing along with the system, you can have it all. It’s all yours.


Between 2007 and 2010, members of Gen X saw their median net worth sink 45% from $75,077 to $41,600. That’s compared to a drop of around 25% for both younger Baby Boomers and older Boomers, between the ages 58 and 67.

By the end of the recession, Gen X held investments, retirement plans and savings with a median value of just $14,500, down from $19,382 in 2007. Younger Boomers had median savings of $32,135 and older Boomers had $55,850, according to the report.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-17 09:22:43

not a single one of you junkies have adequately refuted any of our posts. Not a single instance.

Yeah, I did and you are to afraid to even respond.

Here it is again:

Go to SF Bay Area Craigslist. Find me a rental 3/2 SFH with a yard that takes dogs for under $2500. Search “san francisco”, NOT the east bay or some other suburb.

No Bayview or Vis Valley (not safe even in daylight)

Now come back and tell me that I can rent for half the cost.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 09:48:24

The ball is in your court debt junkie.

We’ll do the analysis when you disclose the number of square feet you bought.

What is it or are you going to keep avoiding?

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-17 10:11:37

We’ll do the analysis when you disclose the number of square feet you bought.

1450 sq. feet.

You CAN answer the question without the sq. footage, you just don’t want to. Square footage means nothing if you can’t even find a place to rent at any size.

Find me a rental FOR HALF THE PRICE (any sq. footage): 3/2 SFH with a yard that allows dogs - bet you can’t find one for less than $2500 month, anywhere in SF except for maybe across the street from the housing projects.

C’mon, find me a rental for half of our PITI+M (2K month, and that’s a generous number, as I receive something called MCC, which is a dollar for dollar CREDIT for 15% of all interest I pay, plus MID).

Our P&I is under $1600 month.

Admit it, you cannot rent for half the cost in many cities.

If it were possible, we would still be renting.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 10:15:56

So Debt Donkey…. You paid $300/sq foot for a run down shack in SF?

You just stand by junkie… We’ll find scores of rentals at a fraction of your carry costs.

 
Comment by United States of Moral Hazard
2013-05-17 10:26:01

I agree that there seems to be a reluctance on the part of “sfhomeoner,” “oxide” and the like to actually disclose the square footage of the house they purchased along with the zip code. Why is that?

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 10:33:15

Then stop asking them for the zip code. No wonder.

 
Comment by United States of Moral Hazard
2013-05-17 10:34:14

OK, 1450 square feet. What was the total purchase price, not just the amount financed?

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 10:37:21

She got fleeced for $450k.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-17 10:38:58

Why is that?

I already said why: cuz you are an unhinged, creepy Internet troll.

Duh.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 10:54:54

Yeah MoralHazard… you’re a creepy internet troll…. The Fleeced Debt Junkies says so.

 
Comment by MiddleCoaster
2013-05-17 12:16:08

SFH, maybe it’s time to turn on Joshua Tree again. It’s so hard to resist feeding the troll, and Ben seems to have a fondness for this one. He’ll still be here when most others have gotten fed up and moved on.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-17 13:43:50

Ben seems to have a fondness for this one

Maybe he IS Ben?

 
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-17 14:32:18

“I agree that there seems to be a reluctance on the part of “sfhomeoner,” “oxide” and the like to actually disclose the square footage of the house they purchased along with the zip code. Why is that?”

Because they don’t feel like sharing personal financial details with strangers on an internet chat site? Just a guess. If you know sq ft and price and location, you could find out the actual house. Wouldn’t that be fun to have Housing Analyst show up outside your front door?

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 14:33:44

Or just maybe you got suckered like millions of others…… and you don’t have the mental fortitude to face it.

You certainly don’t have the fortitude to ignore us.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-17 15:02:59

Because they don’t feel like sharing personal financial details with strangers on an internet chat site? Just a guess. If you know sq ft and price and location, you could find out the actual house.

What he said.

If those trolls are so weird online, imagine what they are like in the flesh.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 15:10:54

Run Junkie Run!

(but you’ll always hang on every word I write ;) )

 
Comment by Weed Wacker™
2013-05-17 18:30:22

Maybe he IS Ben?

That is awesome if Ben is a split personality trolling his own blog. It makes the blog even better!

 
 
 
 
Comment by Joe makes word salad with RFPs, PPQs, FPRs, and TET reports
2013-05-17 07:00:53

Fire your financial advisor (usually compensated by the company he places orders through) and get a tax lawyer/CPA team. Pay for the service once or twice a year, after having a quick meeting in the fall and picking up your copy of your tax return in the spring.

Comment by chilidoggg
2013-05-17 11:25:56

CPA’s that are capable of identifying investments that will produce better-than-average returns, stop working as CPA’s.

Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-17 12:20:15

Not always. They can often identify good opportunities pricelessly the same way that a good lawyer gets them - by virtue of seeing the numbers, deconstructing them, and figuring out good new strategies or deals.

I do agree that they stop working for someone else and that they don’t devote much time to actually doing tax returns. But a lot of these people wouldn’t get “behind the curtains” to see the deals unless they continued servicing their CPA/legal clients.

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Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-05-17 08:48:26

Of course financial advisors pimp stocks hard! It’s how they make their money.

When I’m around these people, I listen politely. But, since I’m way more of a saver than an investor, I don’t act on what they say.

Comment by Joe makes word salad with RFPs, PPQs, FPRs, and TET reports
2013-05-17 09:24:11

It can be fun to punch holes in their arguments. Or remind them what stocks they were pushing in 2007 or 08. Some were probably like their hero Cramer, who told his audience it was a rock solid guarantee that Bear would be fine. And then repeated it later with Lehman. One day later, Lehman collapsed. (The Youtube footage of him trying to explain this is AMAZING.)

 
 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 09:33:41

I’d ask him to give him a reference to clients that he told to sell everything in 2005-2007, and clients that he told to get back in when blood was in the streets in late 2008 and 2009.

Then he might be worth listening to…otherwise, he’s just a momentum adviser, trying to give you advice consistent with the MSM message.

The question I’ve been asking myself is “when should I get out and go back to cash?”

Many people who are saying to go to cash now, were also those people who were saying the Dow was going to re-crash when it was at 10k, and thus not credible to me. I think the stock market has a bit more to run (as crazy as that sounds)…if revenues don’t start increasing for the S&P in the coming quarters (and specifically the REITs I own), I’m going to start getting a bit itchy on the “sell” finger.

Comment by There's no plan A
2013-05-17 09:55:27

It’s all about QE, the fundamentals haven’t mattered in last 5 years. If Bernanke decideds to take the punch bowl away, every asset class will fall precipitously. You will have nowhere to position except may be go all cash. Most people will be where they started. All these work for nothing.

Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 10:52:13

I guess that’s where we disagree. I think asset classes will fall when the Fed takes away the punchbowl, but to different degrees, some more than others. Reliant upon short term rates for your financial alchemy? Screwed. Took advantage of QE to lock in long-term rates? Less screwed.

First off, the Fed isn’t going to take away the punchbowl until they feel that they can do so without harming employment.

Secondly, much of the effect of their QE is semi-permanent…the extra $ people have from refinancing into lower rates will continue long past dialing back QE.

Thirdly, the Fed has been trying to increase inflation by flooding the market with money–that money hasn’t done what they expect (monetary velocity is way down, lots of cash build-up, etc.)–when the Fed dials back QE, will it be an “all-clear” signal for people who have been hoarding the cash that the Fed has been pumping into the economy to come out and play?

I guess I don’t buy into the “QE is propping up the economy entirely” to the same extent others do. Nor did I buy into the “world collapsing” view of 2009.

Not enough emphasis is placed upon overall market psychology. If people are feeling “good enough”, the dialing back of QE will matter less.

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Comment by Warren Bufett's Bathtub
2013-05-17 12:53:05

QE is not propping up the economy, QE is propping up the market. Uless you regard market = econonmy, oh well…..

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 13:51:55

If that’s the case, then we have a ways to go in this bull run, since the P/E of the market is less than prior market peaks (when there wasn’t this amount of QE).

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 07:42:22

the media is reporting homes in sacramento are selling in less than 10 days and bidding wars are the norm.Prices are going up because they say there is a lack of inventory. who am i to believe?

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:47:18

“The media”? You mean realtor opinion pieces and pay to play features in local newspapers.

I think your beef is with Zillow. Their data comes direction from legal sales documents. Not realtor puff pieces.

Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 07:57:10

dont shoot the messenger!!!

I have no beef with zillow. they give you a very rough estimate of home prices.

Are you an employee tryn to pimp zillow?

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:58:32

Sure you do….. You call their data rubbish. You have a beef with Zillow.

 
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-17 09:09:19

“I have no beef with zillow. they give you a very rough estimate of home prices.”

That’s an understatement. It’s a joke.

I checked my house’s value on Zillow the range was about $200,000 between high and low estimate. Gee thanks Zillow for narrowing that down for me. Might as well throw some numbers up in the air and see how they land. About as accurate as using Zillow to get house prices.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 09:41:38

At least Zillow is honest about their inaccuracy.

They are pretty transparent about saying that between approximately 75% and 90% of homes sell within 20% of their Zestimate. Only about a quarter to a third actually sell within 5% of their zestimate, and about half sell within 10% of their zestimate.

Which is why their “rough value” per home is I think a pretty poor measure.

However, they track enough sales to give you a pretty good sense of where markets are going, just not a great snapshot of the value of one particular home.

 
 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 09:38:09

Number of sales is not indicative of demand. You told me that when I was posting increasing new home sales.

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 09:51:17

Sales volume is Always indicative of demand. ALWAYS,.

Now what did you pay for your CA debt shanty?

 
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-17 10:17:45

HA you would make a great character in 1984.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 10:29:55

Look everyone…… the ruse players coming to the rescue.

 
Comment by Warren Bufett's Bathtub
2013-05-17 12:21:41

Pot, meet Kettle.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 13:36:21

“Sales volume is Always indicative of demand. ALWAYS,.”

Then I refer to my post of a few days ago where it noted that new home sales were up off the bottom, but still well below “normal”.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 14:49:12

ALWAYS

 
 
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-05-17 13:58:42

The problem is you guys are relying on his picpaste to be accurate, which it’s not. According to Zillow, Sacramento house prices are up 21.7% YoY. Voila:

http://www.zillow.com/local-info/CA-Sacramento-home-value/r_20288/

He’s about as honest as the average realtor.

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Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 14:24:08

“He’s about as honest as the average realtor.”

I’d say about as honest as the most crooked realtor you can find.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-17 14:28:43

He’s about as honest as the average realtor.

You and I may not like it. It may not be right. It probably won’t last. But it’s true:

Monthly Bay Area Home Prices Soar At Fastest Rate On Record
May 15, 2013

Bay Area Home Prices Up For 12th Straight Month 04/18/2013

Bay Area home prices climb amid bidding wars Apr 19, 2013

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 14:47:50

You cowards. DEMAND is cratering in Sacramento.

http://www.zillow.com/local-info/CA-Sacramento-home-value/r_20288/#metric=mt%3D24%26dt%3D1%26tp%3D5%26rt%3D8%26r%3D20288%252C275845%252C268409%252C268284%26el%3D0

Why? Because that’s what happens when prices are grossly inflated.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 15:16:05
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 15:30:18

and prices are significantly above the long term trend, thus have a very long way to fall.

How much did you pay for the house you bought last year in per square foot?

Easy, simple question. Go.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 09:34:46

I thought you told me that sales is not the same as demand…my slippery friend…

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 09:53:57

How many times do we need to school you on demand?

What did u pay for the dump you bought last year?

Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-17 10:14:30

No one is going to disclose exactly what they paid because you are a creepy, unhinged, weirdo Internet troll type, the type that probably stalks people because you have nothing better to do.

So quit asking people to post personal info. on the web, esp. when you reveal nothing true about yourself.

You are the liar, waist-deep in projection.

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 10:28:16

How chivalrous….. The Fleeced Drama Queen comes to your rescue Rental Watch.

What did u pay for the dump you bought last year?

 
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-17 13:01:26

@sf - He can be both right (at least about some things) and a creep. Being a creep doesn’t automatically mean he’s wrong all the time.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:22:27

Housing Demand in New York Continues to Crater

http://picpaste.com/pics/00d15611c19d1bdfed5b5e1a9d33e304.1368800497.png

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-05-17 14:11:38

Another picpaste creation. Here’s Zillow on New York prices, up .9% YoY:

http://www.zillow.com/local-info/NY-home-value/r_43/

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 14:40:28

Now AlWog…… thats the “home value index” not transaction prices. I posted housing demand which shows demand cratering in New York.

Now why would you….AlWog…. lie to the public about that?

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-05-17 15:51:58

How is my link to Zillow a lie?

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 16:48:58

You’re a fraud AlWog.

 
Comment by Al
2013-05-17 18:49:27

HA, just so you know, I’m not just posting under handles that start with al, but all handles with al in it anywhere. Buggabugga boo!

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 18:53:34

We’re happy for you AlWog.

 
Comment by Al
2013-05-17 19:34:27

Did you know that most of the posters here are actually realestate agents? Not just a few, but about 80%! We’re out to get you. And once houses fall by 50%, we’re going to buy them all! You’ll be just sitting there waiting for them to fall by 65%, but it’ll never get there because we’ll buy them all first. Ha ha!

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-18 19:15:24

We’re still happy for you AlWog.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 07:57:20

SF Bay Area Housing Demand Falling To New Lows

http://picpaste.com/pics/CC_CA_vol-YyyMLqHp.1368802580.png

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-05-17 14:14:16

San Francisco, up 20.4% YoY, according to Zillow:

http://www.zillow.com/local-info/CA-San-Francisco-home-value/r_20330/

You are approaching insanity, exeter. Find your way back.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 14:51:32

That’s interesting AlWog……. Your link shows housing demand collapsing at an even greater rate than our data shows.

We thank you.

 
 
 
Comment by non-conformist
2013-05-17 09:13:26

So did they have a TURP program after the tulip bubble burst? I mean if you like owed 5,000 guilders on a tulip bulb, would they refinance 200% of your tulip bulb’s value? That would have been great news for tulip owners.

HARP Refinance with Quicken Loans – Now Up to 200% of Your Home’s Value!

Great news, American homeowners.

Yes, we (Quicken Loans) have some great news for you. HARP, the government’s Home Affordable Refinance Program, has expanded to allow refinancing of homes with a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of up to 200%, starting December 11, 2012. In normal English, that means we can refinance 200% of your home’s value.

For example, if you have a house that’s currently worth $100,000, but it’s underwater and you’re sitting with a $200,000 mortgage, we can help you lower your payment to today’s mortgage rates. I hope I don’t have to remind you that mortgage rates are at historic lows. Historic, as in “lowest they’ve ever been.”

I was talking to my sister the other day, and she told me she has a 5.5% 30-year fixed. “Sister, are you crazy? You could lower your payment by more than 1%, at least. Do you know how low mortgage rates are today? You could even go to a 15-year mortgage and barely raise your payment, while cutting off many years of your mortgage. You better get on the phone and call Quicken Loans.”

She did, and she’s happy. Just like you will be when you lower your mortgage payment or cut some serious time off of your mortgage when you refinance with HARP.

In order to take advantage of today’s rates with HARP, here’s what you need to do.

Verify your loan is owned by Fannie Mae. You can use the Fannie Mae loan look-up tool.
If it is, contact us immediately.
We’ll do our best to save you some serious money.

That’s it, friends. A simple, three-step process where you’re very happy when you make it to step 3.

http://www.quickenloans.com/blog/harp-refiance-quicken-loans-200-homes - 101k

 
Comment by Joe makes word salad with RFPs, PPQs, FPRs, and TET reports
2013-05-17 09:20:22

Check out this house-flip kind of near me. Purchased for $36k cash 3 months ago, now listed at 165k. I’m going to keep an eye on this. I’m not sure if they’ll get that price exactly but my guess is they’ll get close. I’ve seen houses at similar size and location in much worse condition go for 120k in the last year or so.

Then kitchen on this one is pretty nice for this size of a house.

http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/6608-Graceland-Ave-Baltimore-MD-21224/36555793_zpid/

Comment by Joe makes word salad with RFPs, PPQs, FPRs, and TET reports
2013-05-17 09:27:57

Also, before RAL yells at me… save your breath old man. I *know* this house isn’t *worth* 165k (nearly $160/sq ft). No one should pay anything close to that, not for that house, not in that location, not in this market. I’m just pointing out that there’s a good chance this house sells by July or August for pretty close to list.

I also think from a project management perspective, a little over 2 months from closing to re-listing is good, fast work, even if they didn’t really address any structural problems with the house.

Comment by P.T. Barnum
2013-05-17 09:33:10

Not a problem.

One every minute.

 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 09:58:23

If it doesn’t collapse before a sucker is fleeced.

Comment by azdude
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 11:01:48

Prices are falling in the SF bay area at a pretty good clip.

See for yourself.

http://picpaste.com/pics/e633ea3f07836d92f3f275433297a727.1368813645.png

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Comment by Blue Skye
2013-05-17 11:11:27

“prices are rising…”

Of course! That’s because unemployment has been conquered, the mortgage default rate is falling and 20 million surplus houses got raptured. We’re in a recovery.

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Comment by Bluestar
2013-05-17 11:45:11

That brings up an interesting point. If all those vacant houses are still on somebody’s balance sheet at what point do they depreciate to a negative value? By negative I would assume that there will be a constant accumulation of back taxes, fees, minimal maintenance expenses etc. year after year. I guess as long as FASB rule 134 is in effect this stuff is all invisible.

“unemployment has been conquered”
More like unions have been crushed and gutted. When was the last time we had a nation wide strike of a key industry? Want to see what happens when workers have strong unions then look back to Nov. 2012. There was a limited dock workers strike involving 10,000 union workers. It took less than a week for the industry to give in and reach a new agreement. That industry, (transportation) currently has the highest profit margins in history and clearly isn’t hurting by looking at their stock prices.

Here is what a good union can do for it’s members:
“The clerks, who make an average base salary of $87,000 a year, have some of the best-paying blue-collar jobs in the nation. When vacation, pension and other benefits are factored in, the employers said, their annual compensation package reached $165,000 a year.”
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/12/05/los-angeles-port-workers-strike_n_2241985.html

This country needs a lot more union workers.

 
Comment by Warren Bufett's Bathtub
2013-05-17 12:18:22

This country needs a lot more union workers.

Warren Buffett disagrees.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by goon squad
Comment by Joe makes word salad with RFPs, PPQs, FPRs, and TET reports
2013-05-17 10:41:46

Interesting, but I don’t think they controlled for population density.

Comment by ecofeco
2013-05-17 12:14:25

Now you’re just splitting hairs. :lol:

Read the process. It’s all about pop. density.

 
 
 
Comment by Joe makes word salad with RFPs, PPQs, FPRs, and TET reports
Comment by ecofeco
2013-05-17 12:29:11

“America has 40 million McMansions that no one can afford”

Fixed.

 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 10:31:35

Rental Watch,

What did you pay in price per square foot for the house you bought last year?

Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 10:41:33

you still trolling today?

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 10:58:11

Maybe whine to Ben with another email.

 
 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 10:58:20

Are you still NOT selling your house at these “inflated prices”?

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 11:03:30

Are you afraid to answer “Rental Watch”?

Why is that?

Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 11:54:36

What I specifically paid is indicative of my personal financial condition–I choose to keep that confidential. If you don’t know why I want to keep that confidential, you are truly an idiot.

Did I pay more than $60 per foot? Absolutely. More than $150 per foot? Yup.

Yet, no matter how much you scream that I overpaid based on that, doesn’t change the FACT that if I want to live within 10 minutes of where I work in a good school district, I would need to pay over $100 per foot, even for the most run down hovel you can find.

And yes, renting is an option, but not if I want to have a comparable place to live for more than 12-18 months at a time. With school-aged kids for the next approximately 20 years, I don’t want to be forced to move frequently because the person who rented their nice house on a temporary basis is coming back to town.

And yes, commuting is also an option, but it’s a great thing to be able to leave work mid-morning to attend a child’s event, doctor’s appointment, family emergency, etc., and be back to the office before lunch. Hard to put a price on that.

So, if you want to somehow claim that I overpaid based on cheap construction on cheap land farther away from where I live, go ahead. You’re selling a completely different life for me, and I don’t want to buy it.

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Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-17 12:27:18

I’m always surprised when people say they want to be in the best school district. What’s wrong with an average school district where your kid is at the top of the class? I’d much (understatement) rather my kid be near the top of the class and be essentially assured a spot at Johns Hopkins/Duke (if not an Ivy) than have my kid go to high school in Lutherville, be barely top 10%, and end up at U of Maryland.

I’d also rather plow all my house and prop tax savings into giving him/her the best of everything. I strongly believe that the best things you can give a kid are strong work ethic, love, and space to grow up, not some moderately-good public HS that will get them into a so-so college which isn’t worth the tuition charged.

 
Comment by perkonkrusts
2013-05-17 13:26:08

Joe, RW didn’t say the best school district (unless I missed it), just a good school district. I don’t think that’s too much to ask. Plus, what happened to your “coming home to kids” nightmare, are you softening? Do you have a big HBB announcement to make?

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 13:32:31

Encouraging my children to be the best of the mediocre isn’t really my style.

“Good school district” (I didn’t say “best”) for me means a school where parents are involved, there is little to no violence, and is well funded (stability of faculty). The public school that our kids will attend through 8th grade have all of those things.

If I wanted the “best” school for my kids, I would be spending huge amounts on private schools.

I find your view that being at the top of an average school gets you into a top university as quite curious. That certainly hasn’t been what I’ve seen. If you are in the top 10% of an excellent high school, you will have better chances of getting into the college of your choice than if you are #1 at a mediocre public school.

 
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-17 13:48:42

You’re selling a completely different life for me, and I don’t want to buy it.

I’m sure living in his parent’s basement is just fine for him, but not all of us want to live that way.

I just spent a buttload of money on a depreciating asset: plants and flowers and seeds and bulbs.

I even (gasp!) bought some annuals - they won’t even be around next year but I bought them anyway.

 
Comment by perkonkrusts
2013-05-17 13:52:51

Why did you buy flowers when you could have rented them for half the price? Except for Holland’s Tulip Bubble, flowers always decpreciate. ALWAYS.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 14:54:53

Rental Watch…..

Unlike us, you’ve remained in hiding and are 100% anonymous. There is no connection to you other than what you paid.

What did you pay per square foot? You have no excuse to hide.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-17 15:11:32

I’ve kept one username, but I’m not anonymous. Ben knows my name via my e-mail, and I’ve told you what I do (even if you don’t understand it).

And I’ve told you that I paid north of $150 per foot for my home, and that’s all you’re going to get. So, go ahead and berate me for buying a deteriorating asset at above replacement cost.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 16:45:36

Sure you’re anonymous. What you paid per square foot is relative to no other personal info here. You’ve got nothing to hide.

Now go ahead.

 
Comment by chilidoggg
2013-05-17 21:55:17

I think Joe’s understanding of the word “average” is different from my understanding of the word “average” if he thinks University of Maryland is scraping the bottom of the barrel.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-17 12:38:30

A view of the center of America’s problems (taken from the roof lounge of our office building):

http://picpaste.com/ce3415b8c158e8be4cbefe59141d7e31.jpg

I think I could smell the burnt carcass of the former IRS director even from ~12 blocks away :-P

Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-17 12:52:46

Also of note: The Washington Monument is still completely scaffolded and has been for months. I wonder when they’ll finish those repairs? http://picpaste.com/640a37445e995d7a12fc64b8b11e5312.jpg

Here’s a shot towards the Treasury Dept nad Obama’s casa with Air Force One (or Two?) overhead or else something else that took off from Andrews AF Base.

http://picpaste.com/b56744c36fda154d684065d6af50dc20.jpg

 
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2013-05-17 14:10:34

I am going to do a quick drive by posting, hope it makes to the show.

Since you brought up the IRS…I think recent events have proven me 100% correct.

This is exactly what we can expect when you have all levels of government permeated by college indoctrinated progressive rot.

This is but one example of what the progressive leviathan is doing to our valued institutions. They hate everything America stands for and will stop at nothing to make sure there is but one point of view; one centrally planned system forced upon the free people of this once great country.

-nickpapageorgio

Comment by jeff saturday
2013-05-17 15:38:07

nickpapageorgio

que pasa amigo

Comment by nickpapageorgio
2013-05-17 19:28:45

Hey Mr. Saturday. Just been keeping a low profile with the political stuff. Current events pulled me out of my hole.

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Comment by goon squad
2013-05-17 16:36:51

welcome to ‘the show’

Comment by nickpapageorgio
2013-05-17 19:30:46

:)

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-18 19:10:52

Welcome back Nick.

 
 
 
Comment by Bobby Mac
2013-05-17 12:46:39

Need some help regarding a house I am renting in Orlando. Just re-upped on our lease in April and the lease expires at the end of March 2014. The owner of the house has come down with cancer and is now looking to sell the house. My question for the HBB is this: Does the new owner have to honor the lease we just signed? (the lease is silent on this issue) I tried looking at the Florida Statutes at chapter 83 part 2 but wasn’t able to find anything specific on this issue. Would rather not have myself and the family get tossed out in a week. Would really appreciate any help those of you could provide regarding the law. Thanks!

Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-17 12:58:03

Highly dependent on a) state law b) your contract.

It’s going to be worth it to talk to a lawyer, no one’s going to charge you to have a 10 minute convo. And if they do try to charge, they’re a scumbag, anyone good would rather not charge if you until you’ve decided to use them.

 
Comment by perkonkrusts
2013-05-17 13:21:39

“Does the new owner have to honor the lease we just signed?”

From a Florida lawyer:
“So, in short, a Florida lease contract stays intact regardless of whether the property is sold.”

http://www.justanswer.com/law/55vjh-landlord-wants-sell-house-florida.html

I’m actually surprised by this, but it sounds like you’re in luck.

Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-17 13:30:15

But the thing is, he might get some money from the current owner (seller) if he agrees to vacate as a contingency of the deal.

He needs to at least look into this. Even if he really loves the house, he might not be able to stay past next March anyway. Might as well get some cash to help you look. And the sale of a house _should_ be a time when the owner is flush with cash to pay him to turn in the keys and walk away.

 
 
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 13:25:02

best thing to do is communicate. maybe he will give you some cash to get out. try to work it out yourselves. you have to understand where he is coming from, life happens.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2013-05-17 13:25:18

The lease goes with the house….and your deposit goes to the new owner….

Now if the new owner wants you to move before then end of the lease, then they have to pay you to break the lease A lease works BOTH ways…

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2013-05-17 13:32:06

And in Most states if a new owner mover in they can not deduct for damages since they will most likely renovate.

Damages to an apartment/ house is for the owner to bring it back to rental standards NOT owner standards big difference.

 
Comment by chilidoggg
2013-05-17 14:03:04

What would happen if you stopped paying rent?

Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 16:20:41

well if it were a homeowner they would get a few years of free rent.

 
 
 
Comment by Bobby MaC
2013-05-17 13:53:37

Thanks all. Not married to the house but unfortunately i am to the area. I could buy for cash if i wanted to but i really am not interested at this point. The life of a renter I guess……would be the fourth place in eight years….really getting sick of moving!

Comment by perkonkrusts
2013-05-17 14:00:06

Married to the area…
Could buy with cash…
Fourth place in eight years…
Sick of moving…

Pretty convincing arguments to buy, what’s stopping you?

Comment by Bobby MaC
2013-05-17 16:15:45

What’s stopping me? The artificially propped up market for starters. And of course job security. I have plenty of cash stocked away (getting an enormous 0% return) but have worked hard for it and don’t want to piss it away at the whims of the gubmint and the fed. When a house comes on the market in this area, it’s typically gone within a day or so. I have no interest in that.

 
 
Comment by howiewowie
2013-05-17 14:49:51

I feel your pain. We’re going on our 6th place in 8 years. We left two of those voluntarily, but only because of a growing family. All the others we’ve been forced out of because of foreclosure, flakey owner and divorce.

I think the only places around where I live that would offer a long-term rental situation would be apartments instead of the condos, townhomes, duplexes and homes we have rented.

 
 
Comment by Bluestar
2013-05-17 13:57:35

Obama will go down as one of the greats American presidents in history.
The stock market has gone up 250% (so far).
No matter what other $hit he pulls (insert long list here) the people who write our history will say, but “He saved Capitalism!”.
Its already started, look here:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/adamhartung/2013/05/16/economically-could-obama-be-americas-best-president/

Who want’s to guess the DOW by the end of his term?
Bonus points: how much will housing appreciate?

Remember the good old days… Rush Limbaugh “I want him to fail” - January 16, 2009

Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-17 14:49:52

250%?

It was about 8500 when he came to office. It’s a bit over 15,000 now. That’s 80%. You’re only off by a factor of 3. Close enough for government work I suppose.

You now what else has almost nearly doubled in the same amount of time? People using food stamps. Greatest president EVAH!!

Comment by Bluestar
2013-05-17 15:01:27

That was in the story. I know its bogus but that’s why I included the link to Forbes.

When they write our history books the main focus will be on how well the free market performed. It will take someone like a Howard Zinn to tell the real truth. We will be old and senile and nobody will believe us by then.

 
Comment by non-conformist
2013-05-17 15:27:29

Hey kids, shake it loose together
The spotlight’s hittin’ something
That’s been known to change the weather
We’ll kill the fatted calf tonight

He’s got electric boots, a Mohair suit
You know I read it in a magazine, ooh ho
Be-Be-Bennie’s printin’ press

Bennie, Bennie’s printin’ press
Bennie, Bennie, Bennie, Bennie’s printin’ press
Bennie, Bennie, Bennie, Bennie, Bennie’s printin’ press
Bennie, Bennie, Bennie, Bennie’s printin’ press
Bennie, Bennie, Bennie, Bennie
Bennie, Bennie, Bennie, Bennie’s printin’ press, press, press
Bennie, Bennie, Bennie, Bennie
Bennie, Bennie, Bennie, Bennie
Bennie, Bennie, Bennie’s printin’ press

Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-05-17 15:56:57

There’s our old Jethro, back from his Bilderberg bender.

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Comment by goon squad
2013-05-17 16:39:53

oh, bilderberg. we’ve been reading about it since al gore invented the internet. but it’s good to be reminded sometimes…

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 17:56:04

are stocks or homes more risky at this point in the game?

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 18:07:23

Why subject yourself to the massive risk of loss on houses and stocks? Stay in cash and buy later after prices crater for 65% less.

Comment by azdude
2013-05-17 18:28:44

you didnt answer the question.. you are a fool to be in cash right now.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 18:34:39

You didn’t ask the question correctly. you are a fool to be speculating right now.

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Comment by non-conformist
2013-05-17 18:00:12

Creedence Clearwater Revival- Midnight Special - YouTube
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DksGi7B5BdM - 214k -

Yonder come Miss Rosie,
How in the world did you know?
By the way, she wears her apron,
And the clothes she wore.
Umbrella on her shoulder,
Piece of paper in her hand.
She come to see the banker,
She wants a workout plan.

Let the Deadbeat special
Shine a light on me.
Let the Deadbeat special
Shine a light on me.
Oh, let the Deadbeat special
Shine a light on me.
Let the Deadbeat special
Shine a ever-lovin’ light on me.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 18:18:00

Brother Jethro…. you are masterful.

Comment by non-conformist
2013-05-17 18:33:48

u wanna see something REALLY scary?

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-17 18:36:27

go jethro

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