“Why liberals should love the 2nd Amendment:”
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Comment by ecofeco
2013-05-20 06:25:27
“Liberals do love the 2nd. They just don’t BLINDLY love it.”
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People Petition to Confiscate Guns From Tea Party … - YouTube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2diNojgJF9c - 248k - Cached - Similar pages
Apr 8, 2013
Why pay massively inflated prices for resale housing when rental rates are falling? Rent today, buy tomorrow after housing has reached bottom for 65% less.
Other than Berkeley, Orinda, and parts of Oakland, most of Contra Costa County is the ghetto of the Bay Area.
While San Francisco and San Jose have been trading back and forth the #1 spot for apartment revenue growth during much of the past few years, the neighboring Oakland/East Bay area now is making a strong run for that top position.
As of 1Q, Oakland tied with San Francisco for the country’s biggest annual rent growth pace in the biggest markets. Both locales saw effective rents for new leases climb 6.3% between early 2012 and early 2013. San Jose’s performance was third-best nationally at 5.6%.
Occupancy now stands at 96.6% in the East Bay, versus 96.5% in San Jose and 95.6% in San Francisco.
Of course…. your shanty in the SF ghetto is different.
Don’t forget to disclose to the public you a stake in the direction of prices. You overpaid for a run down shanty you could have rented for half the cost.
Courage of your convictions time. My niece and her husband have both scored post-MBA jobs in San Francisco proper and are looking for a 1-2/1 house or apt where they can have their 2 dogs. According to you they should be able to find something reasonably close-in for less than sfhomowner’s 2K/month mortgage. And yet, after two months of searching, they haven’t found a thing.
Can you look into your vast database and offer any suggestions for them?
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Comment by Ryan
2013-05-21 12:46:36
After all of this time I would think you knew; he has nothing to offer.
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-21 12:53:41
And yet, after two months of searching, they haven’t found a thing
True for anyone trying to rent here. The rental market is insane. Had we a decent place with rent control and a sane landlord, we never would have bought.
Renting with kids and dogs is hellish, at best. A very quick search on craigslist san franciso “housing/apts” will give anyone sticker shock.
And yet, the bubble is back and roaring, so buying right now is ridiculous.
Thanks to HBB, I think we timed it okay. As many of you know, I’ve been on this blog since, I dunno, 2006?
We could have bought in 2009 for less, but with double the interest rate. 3.5% I can live with for a long time.
Truth be told, I am crazy happy with our house. I have never seen a house like it, anywhere, and the garden is mature and beautiful, with an apple, plum, palms, and redwood tree. Ferns, bulbs, flowers popping up now that it is spring/summer. Every morning I go out back and sit in the garden and have my coffee and watch the hummingbirds.
Still have yet to see any fairies, though.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 15:44:03
Housing,
Courage of your convictions time. My niece and her husband have both scored post-MBA jobs in San Francisco proper and are looking for a 1-2/1 house or apt where they can have their 2 dogs. According to you they should be able to find something reasonably close-in for less than sfhomowner’s 2K/month mortgage. And yet, after two months of searching, they haven’t found a thing.
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I’ve refrained from calling you out as a clueless dope but I’m getting to have my doubts.
What you’re doing here is a hypothetical to substantiate a sick womans charade. Do you really think this shameless womans claim(essentially a charade) has any truth at all to it? Youve been around here long enough and you know precisely whats going on with housing. I know that making a fool out of her like giggling at the Down syndrome kid but what we’re talking here is a bit more than that.
You have a nose for BS. Use it.
Comment by localandlord
2013-05-21 18:21:09
“Truth be told, I am crazy happy with our house. I have never seen a house like it, anywhere, and the garden is mature and beautiful, with an apple, plum, palms, and redwood tree. Ferns, bulbs, flowers popping up now that it is spring/summer. Every morning I go out back and sit in the garden and have my coffee and watch the hummingbirds.
Still have yet to see any fairies, though.”
Sounds lovely. I too am enjoying my garden. You might not see any fairies if a termite treatment was part of the buying process.
“Why buy a house at these grossly inflated prices?? Rent the same square footage for half the monthly cost and buy later, after prices crater for 65% less.”
“Find me a rental” We did Junkie. Hundreds of them.
You didn’t find any where she lives cheaper than her PITI. You flat out didn’t. No. Not even. Just saying so does not make it so. Sorry.
Now if you were only truthful about your carrying costs…..
She’s given her PITI many times. It jibes. She’s added projected maintenance costs too. So what are you talking about when you say her true “carrying costs”? Carrying costs of what?
What other cost can be added to PITI and maintenance that would be a cost that one would not also accrue by renting? What are you talking about?
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Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 10:34:13
Sure we did. We posted the link with hundreds of rentals. Hundreds of rentals that are a fraction of that unstable woman’s costs.
You just don’t like the fact that she’s lying about her carrying costs.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-05-21 11:07:20
You just don’t like the fact that she’s lying about her carrying costs.
That makes no sense. I’m defending her math because the math jibes. Why would I defend her math if I did not “like the fact that she’s lying about her carrying costs.”
So I’m supporting her math because I don’t like the fact that she’s “lying about her math”?
So again:
What other cost can be added to her PITI and maintenance (which is less than renting) that would be a cost that one would not also accrue by renting?
Interesting. The quote you referenced didn’t post even though you commented on it. Which suggests two things:
You removed it
You are moderating
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 12:33:51
I wasn’t talking to you but I will…
Do you really need your hand held on this? With hundreds of rentals, beautiful places, all across the bay area for a fraction of what that we really know are that unstables woman’s carrying costs…. not her fantasy carrying costs.
Do you? Really?
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-21 12:41:59
Sure we did. We posted the link with hundreds of rentals. Hundreds of rentals
I don’t need hundreds. Actually, just give me one. Humor me and give me a link TODAY.
Again, go to craigslist San Francisco and find me a 1400 sq. ft. 3/2 rental with a yard that allows dogs.
I’d even be happy with a 2/1 SFH less than 1400 sq. ft.
Any neighborhood in SF, excluding Vis Valley and Bayview (too far and I don’t want my kids to have to wear bullet-proof jackets.)
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 15:18:33
HUNDREDS of rentals.
You just can’t get honest about your costs so of course you duck and weave from them.
Comment by Montana
2013-05-21 15:19:16
“Bay Area” is not SF.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-05-21 17:11:08
I believe Analyeast was responding to this:
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-05-21 11:07:20
You just don’t like the fact that she’s lying about her carrying costs.
That makes no sense. I’m defending her math because the math jibes.
Comment by polly
2013-05-21 17:50:00
HA doesn’t care about neighborhoods or commutes. That is because he is in the selling side of the housing business. He isn’t thinking about a place to live. Just a place where someone else (who doesn’t have your priorities or preferences or job or family or whatever) might be willing to buy or rent a house.
When my parents bought the house I grew up in, they really wanted to buy a lot that was closer to the center of town, closer to where my grandparents and aunts lived, closer to the lake, walking distance to more schools etc. But the cost of that lot was the same as the cost of the completed house that they could barely afford. These places were less than two miles apart. The value of the location was that different and this was in the 60s. He doesn’t even recognize that there is a legit difference in value of location between the Woodmont Triangle neightborhood of Bethesda, Maryland and being 20 miles from Albany.
Is is kind of sad.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 18:15:14
Hey Lawyer,
Your “it’s the lot!” routine doesn’t get you any closer to your rationalized fantasy asking prices than your other excuses.
Surely you can come up with another fraudulent reason to perpetrate on the unsuspecting public.
The defining feature of paranoid schizophrenia is absurd or suspicious ideas and beliefs. These ideas typically revolve around a coherent, organized theme or “story” that remains consistent over time. Delusions of persecution are the most frequent theme, however delusions of grandeur are also common.
People with paranoid schizophrenia show a history of increasing paranoia and difficulties in their relationships. They tend to function better than individuals with other schizophrenic subtypes. In contrast, their thinking and behavior is less disordered and their long-term prognosis is better.
Oh knock it off, Analyeast. I’m not lying about anything and I’m not “joining” anyone; I was simply soliciting your help.
If you’re going to edit posts to your advantage, at least have the integrity to admit it when you’re caught doing so.
I was kinda on your side up until now.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 15:46:58
LOL…. editing posts?
You’re slipping ever deeper.
Comment by oxide
2013-05-21 16:50:58
“Is housing analyst really Ben?”
The thought had crossed my mind, but I’m skeptical. Doesn’t seem to be Ben’s personality. My guess is a personal friend of some sort, or helps run the website…
C’est la vie. If the Pimp IS Ben, then he should know what I paid for my debt shack, since he’s got my home address.
Comment by ahansen
2013-05-21 17:12:48
Answer the question. If you didn’t edit my first post who were you responding to here?:
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 12:11:55
“her math jibes”? LOL
It’s a simple question, yeast. Go on, answer it. Liar.
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-05-21 17:32:30
Doesn’t seem to be Ben’s personality. My guess is a personal friend of some sort, or helps run the website…
I agree with this. If it was anybody else, he’d a been booted long ago…
‘If it was anybody else, he’d a been booted long ago’
I’ve been crawling under a house all day fixing burst pipes and don’t always have time to read what’s going on. I have never posted as anything other than my name and I am the only one moderating.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 17:38:54
Nice diversion.
You’re all so distracted with misrepresenting the truth to the public that you can’t even keep your stories straight.
Renting costs more than owning? What area? Not in Seattle…..
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 12:09:40
Buying is twice the monthly cost of “renting”.
So it goes…
Comment by pendude
2013-05-21 12:21:48
Renting costs more than buying, solidly.
So it goes…
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 12:29:14
And rental rates will continue eroding…. until they’re a quarter the monthly cost of buying….. solidly.
Sit it is….
Comment by pendude
2013-05-21 12:44:11
Renting costs will remain higher than owning costs.
This context-free debate is so much fun
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 15:16:38
And we’ll keep building and adding more inventory until resale housing prices are halved or more.
Debate? It’s reality….. there is nothing to debate Junkie.
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-05-21 16:41:06
I do think that rental rates will erode, but not for the same reason that HA believes. I think that over the next couple of years, many of the most able renters (ie. those with the highest incomes and money saved) will seek to purchase. If you flush out these renters from the rental pool, you will be left with a higher percentage of folks who have been suffering most during the past 6 years (stagnant incomes, etc.). Landlords will have a tough time pushing rents higher on these folks…they’ll just leave. Landlords will lose pricing power (or have it diminished).
So, if I’m right, whatever rent growth there was over the past few years will slow/stop/reverse over the next several years, not continue at the same pace.
I’m certainly not foaming at the mouth over a single data point, but whenever I’m presented with an apartment investment that is reliant upon rental growth every year of 3-5% for the next 3-5 years, I politely decline.
‘Renting costs will remain higher than owning costs’
Not the house I rent.
‘This context-free debate is so much fun’
I don’t know who you are, but don’t waste bandwidth hitting the comment key more than one time for each comment. And if you don’t like the “debate”, go away.
Comment by oxide
2013-05-21 18:21:04
many of the most able renters (ie. those with the highest incomes and money saved) will seek to purchase.
I am an example of that. It is quite possible that if my rent hadn’t skyrocketed, then I would still be renting today. But I agree that rents will eventually stabilize. Units are starting to saturate with shackup roommates and government cheesechecks. When that’s done, there’s not much more capacity to raise rent faster than inflation. People will likely choose to commute from farther out, or risk living in the hoods.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 18:32:17
We know what you’re an example of. We make you the example every day.
Your “skyrocketing rent” narrative is a lie. It’s false and you know it.
DC rents are DOWN 6% in just a year and falling. And they’ve been falling since 2011…. When did you get fleeced on your house? 2012? Well…. you wanted to be “locked in” and you got exactly what you wished for.
Take a look folks…. Falling DC rents for two years…. and still falling.
Allow the few suckers who got fleeced on housing serve as an example of what not to do. Even in spite of reading everything here, they still leaped off a financial cliff. There is no going back for them. Don’t let it be you.
My heart, thoughts and prayers go out to the folks in Oklahoma who got hit by the tornado. That really, really sux. More violent with more loss of life than a hurricane in Florida. That was a bad one.
+1 I was stunned at the death toll. One of our area radio reporters covered OK for a while. She said that people there are very vulnerable because
1. The land is so flat that you can see 50-60 miles. No cliffs or bluffs to hide under or to divert storms.
2. The water table is high, so surprisingly few houses have basements.
3. Storm shelters are expensive, and the chances of a strike are low, so people live without.
Interesting points. I had no idea the water table was high on the plains. In fact I seem to recall reading that early settlers, being aware of the danger, lived in dugout houses. And I wonder how the Native Americans coped back in the day. I’m sure there’s probably some sort of old lore on how to shelter that’s probably lost to the mists of time.
WASHINGTON, May 21 (UPI) — The depletion of groundwater from one of the largest aquifers in the United States since 2001 was faster than during the entire 20th century, the USGS finds.
The U.S. Geological Survey reviewed groundwater data from 1900 to 2008 and said the annual rate of depletion was accelerating. The Ogallala Aquifer, which covers more than 170,000 square miles in the middle of the United States, declined rapidly because of the high rate of water use for agricultural, industrial and municipal water needs.
“The depletion during the last eight years of record [2001-2008] is about 32 percent of the cumulative depletion in this aquifer during the entire 20th century,” the USGS said in a statement.
The USGS said groundwater depletion has increased steadily since the 1950s but has accelerated more quickly in the last eight years.”
I think the bigger problem is the solid rock a few feet under the ground makes digging basements or storm shelters pretty expensive.
They used dugouts, because there were no trees, or clay to make bricks on the Plains. Wood houses didn’t appear until the railroads made it possible to carry lumber in.
Several places in the Flint Hills still have limestone fence posts for their barbed wired fences. The only trees out here back then were cottonwoods in river bottoms.
The Plains Indians used tipis……..easier to pack up and move, when following buffalo herds.
There needs to be a way to spin this and blame it on Obama. After all, didn’t he promise us in 2009 that this was “the moment the planet started to heal”?
oklahoma went over 65 percent for both mccain and romney. this was obama’s payback. he used his african voodoo witchdoctor trickster sorcery that he learned while growing up in kenya to conjure the storm to punish his enemies.
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Comment by michael
2013-05-21 07:29:37
actually it’s the republicans fault…a dem senator says so.
oklahoma went over 65 percent for both mccain and romney. this was obama’s payback. he used his african voodoo witchdoctor trickster sorcery that he learned while growing up in kenya to conjure the storm to punish his enemies.”
Hey, you leave Barack Millhouse Nixon alone or he will put you on his ‘enemies list’ and have the IRS crawl up your ass with a microscope. Or maybe tap your phone and e-mail. You got no 1st Amendment rights until HE grants them. You people got to learn to either lay down, lick your nuts and be a good sycophant or you might find yourself gettin’ droned or on your way to ‘Gitmo. If His Omnipotence wants your opinion, he’ll damn-well give it to you! And in an open and “transparent Administration” way, too! Hater. Terrorist. Citizen. Whatever.
…republicans fautl…you know…global warming and such.
The Republican’s “war on science and logic” will not stand forever. Just as the Repub “angry white man” base has started to crumble, so to will much of the Repub’s politically driven idiocy.
The Coming GOP Civil War Over Climate Change
Science, storms, and demographics are starting to change minds among the rank and file.
Kerry Emanuel registered as a Republican as soon he turned 18, in 1973. The aspiring scientist was turned off by what he saw as the Left’s blind ideology. “I had friends who denied Pol Pot was killing people in Cambodia,” he says. “I reacted very badly to the triumph of ideology over reason.”
Back then, Emanuel saw the Republican Party as the political fit for a data-driven scientist. Today, the professor of atmospheric science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology is considered one of the United States’ foremost authorities on climate change—particularly on how rising carbon pollution will increase the intensity of hurricanes.
In January 2012, just before South Carolina’s Republican presidential primary, the Charleston-based Christian Coalition of America, one of the most influential advocacy groups in conservative politics, flew Emanuel down to meet with the GOP presidential candidates. Perhaps an unlikely prophet of doom where global warming is concerned, the coalition has begun to push Republicans to take action on climate change, out of worry that coming catastrophes could hit the next generation hard, especially the world’s poor.
The meetings didn’t take. “[Newt] Gingrich and [Mitt] Romney understood, … and I think they even believed the evidence and understood the risk,” Emanuel says. “But they were so terrified by the extremists in their party that in the primaries they felt compelled to deny it. Which is not good leadership, good integrity. I got a low impression of them as leaders.” Throughout the Republican presidential primaries, every candidate but one—former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, who was knocked out of the race at the start—questioned, denied, or outright mocked the science of climate change.
Soon after his experience in South Carolina, Emanuel changed his lifelong Republican Party registration to independent. “The idea that you could look a huge amount of evidence straight in the face and, for purely ideological reasons, deny it, is anathema to me,” he says.
Emanuel predicts that many more voters like him, people who think of themselves as conservative or independent but are turned off by what they see as a willful denial of science and facts, will also abandon the GOP, unless the party comes to an honest reckoning about global warming.
And a quiet, but growing, number of other Republicans fear the same thing. Already, deep fissures are emerging between, on one side, a base of ideological voters and lawmakers with strong ties to powerful tea-party groups and super PACs funded by the fossil-fuel industry who see climate change as a false threat concocted by liberals to justify greater government control; and on the other side, a quiet group of moderates, younger voters, and leading conservative intellectuals who fear that if Republicans continue to dismiss or deny climate change, the party will become irrelevant.
“There is a divide within the party,”……
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Comment by lumpy gravy
2013-05-21 09:05:44
‘climate change’ = bunch of librul gobbledygook
and my granddaddy wasn’t no monkey either
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-05-21 09:16:33
“science and logic…”
You keep using those words. I do not think they mean what you think they mean.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-05-21 09:26:44
“science and logic…” You keep using those words. I do not think they mean what you think they mean.
Blue Skye’s debate team coach, 1971
Comment by michael
2013-05-21 10:13:06
i will take the global warming crowd more seriously when they publicly rebuke the likes of al gore, this whitehouse senator, and any other public figure that uses isolated tragedies to support their agenda…until then…i am more than comfortable with my skepticism…and the sand where my head is buried is much cooler than in the company of those jackasses.
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-05-21 10:30:39
Just another way of saying that magical thinking is not akin to logic. I’m also pretty sure that debate is not possible with an anti social person. It’s more like trading insults.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-05-21 10:44:26
I’m also pretty sure that debate is not possible with an anti social person. It’s more like trading insults.
Debate is possible with an anti-social person. You just have to be able to take their dumb name calling and laugh at their illogical bs. Like as per the people who insulted me and called me names yesterday while I engaged in rational debate.
I’ve been called 10 harsh names for every 1 weak sauce name I’ve flung back after I’ve had enough. But names don’t phase me much.
You, BluSky, tend to use more of a passive-aggressive, underhanded, one-line swipe in your “debate”.
I withdraw “underhanded” and replace it with “quasi-stealthy barbed“
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-21 14:50:09
Global Warming? But in the 70s it was global cooling causing tornadoes. It’s so confusing keeping track of it all. Will you leftists make up your mind already? Pick a side and go with it already.
I lived through a 1/2 mile wide one in 1985, dead center. Biggest tornado in PA history. Not fun. Trucks in the treetops, that kind of tornado. Found papers in my field from 300 miles away.
A pro “tornadologist” told me that several of the deaths resulted when amateur storm chasers got caught in a traffic jam of their own making — reminding him of photos of the Iraqi Army fleeing to Basra on Al Jahra Highway.
1. Housing price rises are spotty and based on location. Market is driven by jobs (DC, SF, Portland), or investors looking for ROI (PHX). “Worthless” flyover (Indy, Erie PA) is done.
2. If it’s a bubble, it’s short-lived. Investors will pull the moment ROI is unfavorable. If you’re not in, you probably missed it.
3. Dropping hints that mortgage rates will increase. (This is showing up in the MSM more and more. Someone must be reading Teh Bernank’s tea leaves and softening the ground.)
—————– From Brooklyn to California, Housing Bubble Threat Grows
By Prashant Gopal & Kathleen M. Howley - May 16, 2013 (bloomibergi)
“Just a year since the U.S. housing market hit bottom after the biggest plunge in eight decades, signs of excess are re-emerging…. U.S. home prices jumped almost 11 percent in March from a year earlier.
U.S. buyers spent three times their annual incomes on homes at the end of last year, and those properties were 15 percent pricier relative to incomes than before the housing bubble of the mid-2000s, according to data from Seattle-based Zillow (Z).
It’s too early to say another bubble is emerging. So far, the biggest gains are limited to hard-hit markets such as Phoenix and Las Vegas and thriving job centers such as San Francisco, while prices are falling in cities such as Chicago and Indianapolis, according to CoreLogic.
Spotty Recovery
In areas such as Long Island, New York, and Omaha, Nebraska, price gains are within moderate growth levels of 3 percent to 5 percent.”
Vitner of Wells Fargo said investors are buying properties as quickly as they can and when they leave, housing will take a hit. Investors accounted for 19 percent of sales in the U.S. in March and even more in some former bubble markets, according to the National Association of Realtors.
“The problem is if they don’t earn a high enough return, they all walk away,” Vitner said. “Investors accounted for a larger proportion of the housing recovery than people realize.”
“We’re eventually going to see mortgage rates increase, supply increase, and affordability decline, so you probably cut price gains at least by half,” Naroff said. “It will be a slowdown, not a crash.”
This is “bubble thinking” if people get “into” these high-interest affordable houses via teaser rates, no money down, neg-am, etc. Without Fannie and Freddie no longer acting as the greatest fool, I don’t see how those NINJAs will come back.
This guy’s quote sounds more like investor thinking. Rate increase and supply increase means a price drop. J6P is stuck paying high PITI, while investors looking for rentals will snap up the low price for cash. J6P will be even more shut out than he is now.
You would rather borrow double at half the interest rate. That is Debt Donkey thinking.
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Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-05-21 09:32:32
I try to point this out all the time to friends, colleagues, etc, mostly to no avail.
If you have an additional, say, $500 per month that you can put toward the principal, which loan will you pay down faster? Why would anyone choose the harder-to-pay-down situation?
People loooove being debt donkeys.
Comment by oxide
2013-05-21 10:11:35
Why would anyone choose the harder-to-pay-down situation?
Because choosing the easier situation means waiting for the easier situation… and paying rent every month while I wait. I went through this in gory detail over a year ago.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 10:16:50
Hey DebtDonkey…… You fail to be honest about housing demand. It’s at 17 year lows and falling.
Why is that DebtDonkey?
And DebtDonkey….. You fail to disclose to the reading public that you have a stake in the direction of prices.
Why is that DebtDonkey?
Comment by Blue Skye
2013-05-21 10:35:36
Oxy, you should go back and read your posts from a year ago. You went into great detail about how you were going to get rich from your debt.
You never get rich by borrowing, except in a Ponzi.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-05-21 11:10:28
Oxy, you should go back and read your posts from a year ago. You went into great detail about how you were going to get rich from your debt.
I recall she wrote that her PITI was cheaper or the same as renting, fixed, and that in 30 years her house would be paid for. And it was more of a defense from hostile attacks than it was bragging.
In my book, by American standards that is doing fine but not “getting rich”.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 12:24:28
You don’t recall anything except lies.
You’re LYING DRAMA QUEEN.
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-21 13:01:03
I personally have a problem with anyone getting rich from housing.
Same goes for health care.
Housing is for shelter. Morally I just have a problem with massive inequality in any area that is a basic human need, whether it be food, shelter, or health care.
I would never want to be a landlord or a flipper or a developer. I bought a house, after much deliberation and many hours on HBB, because I needed a place to live, and the math penciled out. End of story.
So yeah, whatever, call me a socialist.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 15:13:03
“morally”
LOL…. you don’t know the definition of the word.
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-05-21 17:30:44
Because choosing the easier situation means waiting for the easier situation…
I ain’t mad atcha, oxy. I get it. And if your plan is to stick to the amortization schedule for most of those 30 years, you’ve got the same overall outlay.
My point has more to do with wanting to pay it down faster and, in the bigger picture, how far down the debt rabbit hole we keep going, effectively having to come up with lower rates and/or new “products” to manufacture affordability. We’re addicted to debt now.
“U.S. buyers spent three times their annual incomes on homes at the end of last year, and those properties were 15 percent pricier relative to incomes than before the housing bubble of the mid-2000s, according to data from Seattle-based Zillow (Z).”
from the article
Aha! I’ve been looking for that bit of information. So the pre-bubble average was about 2.6x income.
Perhaps you have some other information? That you could link us to?
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Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 07:39:50
Perhaps you can go to census bureau.
Thanks,
Management
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-05-21 10:24:19
Perhaps you can go to census bureau.
Good suggestion, so I did. In 1969 the median household income was $8,486, and the median house sold was $26,800. that’s 3.16x income.
In 1979, the median household income was $16,841, and the median house sold was $63,800. That’s 3.79x income.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 10:31:04
Rearranging the data and presenting it as truth merely makes you a liar.
Now post the source of the data and link to it. You won’t because you’re lying.
Why do you continue to lie to the public about housing? Why do you want people enslaved to massively inflated mortgage payments on rapidly depreciating assets?
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-05-21 11:00:44
Now post the source of the data and link to it. You won’t because you’re lying.
I used the month of July for median household sale price.
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-05-21 12:03:20
In 1989 median household income was $30,056, and median house sold was $116,000- 3.85x income.
In 1999, the numbers were $41,994, and $158,200- 3.76x income.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 12:07:16
Typical Alwog…. You really did lie. You quoted inflation adjusted incomes against nominal housing prices.
You’re a real creep…
Why do you continue to lie to the public about housing? Why do you want people enslaved to massively inflated mortgage payments on rapidly depreciating assets?
Comment by alpha-sloth
2013-05-21 12:20:00
Typical Alwog…. You really did lie. You quoted inflation adjusted incomes against nominal housing prices.
No, I didn’t. in inflation adjusted dollars (adjusted to 1999, the year the chart was made) incomes were: 1969- $33,249. 1979- $36,029. 1989- $39,213. 1999 was the same, of course.
I quoted both house prices and incomes in their nominal amounts, not their inflation adjusted amounts.
Thanks, for lying, though!
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-21 13:02:38
Now post the source of the data and link to it.
No, you. Find me that rental for half the cost.
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-21 14:42:43
And given interest rates today are less than 1/2 what they were in ‘89 or ‘99. I posted this a few days ago, it’s 50% cheaper today for the median income household to purchase the median income priced home in America using a 30 year fixed mortgage compared to the year 2000. That isn’t opinion, it’s simple math.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 15:08:44
You two dishonest suckers deserve each other.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 15:11:46
And worse yet for you Alwog, you quoted NEW housing, not resale.
YOU are a serial LIAR.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 19:01:15
And given interest rates today are less than 1/2 what they were in ‘89 or ‘99. I posted this a few days ago, it’s 50% cheaper today for the median income household to purchase the median income priced home in America using a 30 year fixed mortgage compared to the year 2000. That isn’t opinion, it’s simple math.
Seriously? Do you think you’re going to get away with slipping this turd in the punchbowl? Your dishonesty is quite insidious.
The financing rate is 50% cheaper. The total cost to finance is 50% HIGHER as transaction prices are double what they were in 2000.
And transaction prices are 200% higher today than they were in year 2000. That’s not opinion, it’s simple math.
Why do you think you can get away with lying to the public about housing on the Housing Bubble Blog?
Comment by Al
2013-05-21 19:48:37
Fer crying out loud HA
I’m not Iwog, but at least if you’re going to assume someone is, assume it’s me not Alpha Sloth. This is sloppy work even for you.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 19:52:36
A liar and a liar is a distinction without a difference.
Comment by Al
2013-05-21 19:58:12
“A liar and a liar is a distinction without a difference.”
So now you’re a Realtor? Thanks for coming out of the closet.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 20:05:53
Incriminate yourself some more. Proceed Alwog.
Comment by Al
2013-05-21 20:15:02
It’s not a big surprise. You’re posting style SCREAMS Realtor. Realtors deal in absolutes while us Bears recognize nuances. We Bears will admit we were wrong, while you Realtors will stick to your guns even when it’s obvious you story is a load. It’s a big step forward for you to come clean. However, it’s a big step back posting under other aliases. I do believe you will eventually become a respectable Bear worthy of Ben’s blog.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 20:16:40
More AlWog. Pour a few more shots first.
Comment by Al
2013-05-21 20:30:06
I have to admit, I was rather disappointed to see you posting as Truth again. I thought you had broken your addiction to handle hopping. If you want to re-establish yourself as a legitimate poster here, all you have to do is stick to one handle, and post stuff either as opinion (ie. I believe there are around 25 million houses in shadow inventory) or back up info you present as facts (ie no bogus links, or claiming that you alreadyt posted the info.) One other suggestion. Get over the idea that I’m Iwog. He’ll hound you relentlessly if realises that you’re seeing his shadow all over the interweb. PS. If you have any doubt about whether I’m actually Iwog, look back on my prevous posts and you’ll see I’m a Canadian.
I never thought the bubble was done with. Just the prices in little Flagstaff were proof enough of that. Admit what you want, but you don’t speak for me. IMO it’s still the same bubble.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 20:32:26
You’re drunker that I though. Keep going.
Comment by Al
2013-05-21 21:03:53
Hey Ben,
Here’s my thoughts. I believed that the once the bubble popped that prices would fall in line with historic trends, or below as people became disenchanted with housing. Canadian markets would follow in 2008/2009. It didn’t happen. People with influence did some crazy shtuff which prevented markets from behaving as one would expect.
We didn’t see this coming, although potentially we could have. Supressed interest rates tend to push people towards buying and away from saving and renting. Supressed interest rates drive investors away from fixed income and towards everything else, including housing as we have seen. As a true Bear, I’m able to admit things didn’t work as predicted.
Having said that, I fully believe that housing markets will eventually trend towards the norm. They can’t stay suspended by manipulation forever. I see the HBB as being potentially the best source of info on what might come next, but you know who has a bad habit of inhibiting coherent discussion. Take the question of shadow inventory as an example. It’s very pertinent, but you know who tends to yell really loud when anyone tries to discuss it, repeating the same number unsubstantiated number. By now the collective brain power of the HBB could have probably come up with a pretty reasonable estimate if the discussion hadn’t been disrupted.
Nationally, prices dropped so much during the crash that they remain about 7 percent undervalued, based on comparisons with historical prices, incomes and rents, Trulia Inc. said this week, introducing a feature on its website called “Bubble Watch.”
Alpha, to be accurate your figures need to look at median income of homeowners. Which one would think would be higher - but then it would include retirees with low incomes and high value homes so who knows. What about comparing the median income of households headed by a 30- 50 yr old to the median price of a house.
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-21 07:29:25
Worthless flyover is done, I agree with this. Upstate New York and Pennsylvania - done for sure… except if people want to do the Oil City plan. (I think this idea is questionable if you’re over 50 yrs old or have a chronic illness.)
I think Upstate NY and PA might be done even if people do move “back to the land” because of the harshness of their winters.
Instead of Oil City, retirees might consider a nice town in the Pittsburgh area. Buying or renting is probably pretty cheap and Pittsburgh has some of the best hospitals in the world.
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-21 08:22:14
PGH and PHL area are not upstate and yes, UPMC is excellent. I spent some time in Oakland (Pitt) for a couple summers in college, interesting place. I have particularly fond memories of the Cathedral of Learning and its vicinity as well as walking up Cardiac Hill to Scaife Hall.
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Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-05-21 08:28:27
But not The O?
Comment by oxide
2013-05-21 09:07:49
Dare I ask why they named it Cardiac Hill?
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-05-21 09:09:26
That’s where everyone collapses after eating at The O.
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-21 10:04:25
Cardiac hill = probably because UPMC people named it. It’s right next to UPMC and Pitt’s medical school. And it is very steep. I wonder if AZ slim ever tried to bike up it, I’m thinking it might be nearly impossible.
I went to the O (we called it the Dirty O) and also Primanti Brothers. Good times. The O was where people went when drunk/stoned/both.
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-05-21 10:18:28
The O was where people went when drunk/stoned/both.
I don’t know what you’re talking about.
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-21 10:23:17
That’s funny, I was not legal drinking age when I spent my summers there and I don’t see how you live _without_ getting drunk and/or high in Oakland PGH in the summers. The Cathedral Lawn was basically a hodge podge of people playing ultimate frisbee and smoking (very weak) mj.
Cardiac hill = probably because UPMC people named it. It’s right next to UPMC and Pitt’s medical school. And it is very steep. I wonder if AZ slim ever tried to bike up it, I’m thinking it might be nearly impossible.
I *think* tried to ride up Cardiac Hill. And I know that I failed. It’s a very steep hill.
North Atlantic Avenue off of Penn Avenue was about my limit.
Exactly. People here look down on the oil city life and don’t seem to realize there are affordable cities with good hospitals. And in the case of Pittsburgh - good jobs.
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-21 10:15:15
Good thing UPMC is only 100 miles from Oil City. If you conveniently time your heart attack for non-rush hour times so the Fort Pitt Tunnel isn’t backed up, you’ll have a fighting chance. Or perhaps you’re saying let the locals treat your MI and then transfer you to UPMC afterwards. A roll of the dice, IMO.
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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-05-21 10:22:39
Good thing UPMC is only 100 miles from Oil City. If you conveniently time your heart attack for non-rush hour times so the Fort Pitt Tunnel isn’t backed up, you’ll have a fighting chance
I don’t know much about heart attacks. (knock on wood) Does a close, state of an art hospital make much difference compared to a small facility during the heart attack? Or would the difference come later for a complicated scheduled procedure?
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-21 10:37:02
Survival rates and outcomes are hard to come by but yes, there are new and improved treatments for heart attacks and strokes and they are time sensitive. UPMC is a world-class hospital, one of the 10 (or so) best in the US and a leader in many specialities. OTOH, Oil City is basically in the middle of nowhere, someone could prove me wrong, but I really doubt most of us would want to roll the dice and chance a serious illness or injury up there. PA has been unable to attract many physicians to work in it’s “T Zone” (PA outside of PHL/PGH areas) for a long time, even though they offer loan repayment to lure physicians to rural/underserved areas.
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-05-21 11:58:38
PA has been unable to attract many physicians to work in it’s “T Zone” (PA outside of PHL/PGH areas) for a long time, even though they offer loan repayment to lure physicians to rural/underserved areas.
I came from a rural/underserved area that has a hard time getting and keeping doctors. If the system wasn’t designed to keep the number of doctors artificially low the problem would take care of itself. There are people from those areas who would be willing to live and work in those areas after graduation if they could get into and afford med school. But first they would have to be allowed into med school and then either educated more cheaply or paid more or their loans paid off. Our system does not support that. So only the elite go to med school and they would rather live with their fellow elites on the coasts.
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-21 12:05:04
Carl, I agree with you. The AMA is a very effective lobby. PA actually has a new medical school (just opened in last few years) in NE PA (near Scranton). But want to make a prediction on how many of those doctors end up in rural/underserved areas? Probably not many. Residencies tend to be at large, urban teaching hospitals. People get used to certain amenities and a certain lifestyle. And it’s hard to give that up right after you go from being paid peanuts (residency) to making real money.
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-05-21 14:23:06
“If you conveniently time your heart attack for non-rush hour times so the Fort Pitt Tunnel isn’t backed up”
From Oil City, you would probably come down 79 North and not need to go through the Fort Pitt tunnel. You would cross the I-279 or I-579 bridge from the North Side.
True story: It was a Saturday night in November 1957. Big hit movie was playing outside Pittsburgh.
My very pregnant mom and dad just had to go see it. “Gunfight at the OK Corral.” Starring Burt Lancaster and Kirk Douglas.
Mom felt a bit uncomfortable, but shrugged it off. Dad insisted that they go to the hospital.
Reason: He didn’t want Mom doing something really inconvenient like giving birth in the Fort Pitt Tunnel during the Monday morning rush hour. Such things did happen, and that was a bit too out on the edge for my dad.
Dad’s hunch was right. I was born the next morning. In a Pittsburgh hospital.
“We’re eventually going to see mortgage rates increase, supply increase, and affordability decline, so you probably cut price gains at least by half,” Naroff said. “It will be a slowdown, not a crash.”
BWAHAHAHAAAA!! Famous last words from yet another ‘expert’.
‘It won’t burst like a bubble, it will just settle a bit- like a souffle.’
‘Real estate never decreases in value.’
‘The stock market appears to have reached a permanently high plateau…’
‘My good friends, for the second time in our history, a British Prime Minister has returned from Germany bringing peace with honour. I believe it is peace for our time…’
‘The Titanic is unsinkable!’
We’re eventually going to see mortgage rates increase, supply increase, and affordability decline
I suspect the “affordability decline” ’tis a mere short term affect. Eventually prices will have to shrink to keep the month nut the same, which unfortunately is how buyers buy.
Basically the reverse of what it did in the early 2000s (at least around here). When rates dropped then, the monthly amount dropped a bit as prices held. As demand and the ability to keep the monthly nut the same with a higher price increased, so did prices.
Great news. Illegals will be eligible for welfare as soon as they get amnesty.
“The SenateJudiciary Committee voted Monday to allow illegal immigrants who get legal status to begin collecting tax-welfare payments, as the panel spent a fourth day working through amendments to the massive immigration bill and party-line splits began to emerge.”
But that’s OK. They’re getting real tough on illegals. Why after a 3rd DUI conviction, they **MIGHT** get deported. And yet even that is too much for the amnesty people. “In one major change, the committee voted 17-1 to make a third drunken-driving conviction a deportable offense for the newly legalized immigrants if at least one of those offenses occurs after they are approved for legal status. But immigrant-rights groups called that a rollback of due-process rights for the immigrants and said a drunken-driving incident shouldn’t cost someone a chance at citizenship.”
This is beyond insane. These people broke the law to come here. Now we’re rewarding them with amnesty and apparently we can’t put ANY conditions on amnesty.
What? No. You mean Democrats are doing this for political reasons? I’m shocked. I was led to believe they’re doing this from the goodness of their hearts to help their fellow man and because our differences make us stronger and because America’s economic woes will be fixed by having 30 million non-English Speaking, uneducated peasants as new citizens eligible for welfare.
i thought amnesty was about opening the door to more engineers, doctors and other highly valuable citizens?
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Comment by michael
2013-05-21 07:09:31
you racist.
Comment by Lemming with an innertube
2013-05-21 07:28:24
Comment by michael
2013-05-21 07:09:31
you racist.
?
Comment by michael
2013-05-21 07:41:40
“more engineers, doctors and other highly valuable citizens”
dog whistle for “white people”…ok…maybe asians.
Comment by oxide
2013-05-21 10:16:59
In Colorado would know more, but hi-skilled workers aren’t the ones who need to look for a better life. Evidently the professional class does rather well south of the border.
It makes perfect sense why the Dems are all in amnesty. What I don’t get is why McCain and Miss Lindsey Graham are so gun ho on it. They can’t be that stupid. They know this means the end of the GOP and a Democrat majority for the next 75 years at least. Why they’re a party to this is the question. McCain has always been a RINO, but I never though he hated the party that much. His last act will be a giant F.U. to his party. Graham…there are pictures of him with a dead boy that La Raza has. I’m sure of it. In either case amnesty will be the end of this country as we know it.
“He also said that he believes that, despite all the liberal veneer, Kennedy was deeply beholden to the country’s banking titans and other globalist business entities who have so much interest in the free flow of international labor and in keeping the wages of Americans stagnant.”
I can explain McCain, who is a prime example of why a person who has been a POW and subjected to torture should never, EVER hold a position that affects national policy, elected or appointed. It’s not that POWs or torture victims are bad people, it’s that they have been subjected to such horrible duress by the enemy that conceding to the opposite side in ANY subsequent situation is an ingrained, automatic, knee-jerk, unconscious activity. Hence McCain’s constant compulsion to “reach across the aisle”. He can’t help it, actually. The enemy becomes the friend, the friend becomes the enemy.
People who have been through what McCain has been through should be given honorific, undemanding positions in an atmosphere of calm and kindness.
Graham is just a twisted POS.
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Comment by jose canusi
2013-05-21 07:17:16
Anticipating that my comments might bring on some argument and mis-interpretation, I want to qualify that there is a distinction between a POW subject to torture and duress by the enemy, and a wounded war vet who has not been subject to imprisonment, who can and do serve the people with honor, even if I may not always agree with them.
Comment by lumpy gravy
2013-05-21 07:17:18
lindsey graham = never been married
Comment by jose canusi
2013-05-21 07:22:43
So? What difference does that make? Plenty of people never marry.
I think what you’re referring to is the rumors of homosexuality, etc. that have dogged him. Humph. There are also guys who are on the down low.
That he never married is not something I would hold against him.
Married or not, he’s just twisted.
Comment by Warren Bufett's Bathtub
2013-05-21 08:10:32
lindsey graham = never been married
I bet the married but gay vastly out number the unmarried and gay.
Comment by Warren Bufett's Bathtub
2013-05-21 08:11:39
unmarried and NOT gay.
Comment by In Colorado
2013-05-21 09:03:42
So? What difference does that make? Plenty of people never marry.
Had I not met my lady I think there is a good chance I never would have married.
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-05-21 09:05:11
Had I not met my lady I think there is a good chance I never would have married.
What I don’t get is why McCain and Miss Lindsey Graham are so gun ho on it
Capitalism can’t function without cheap labor.
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Comment by jose canusi
2013-05-21 10:27:09
Whatever the case may be, there’s only one name for the members of the “Gang of Eight”, or as I like to call them alternately, The Gangbanger Eight or the Gang of Hate.
They are TRAITORS, complete, utter, contemptible TRAITORS, and worthy of the treatment that society, sooner or late, metes out to TRAITORS.
Sick, sick men, every one of them, without exception.
“Washington has all but abandoned efforts to help the economy recover faster — and lawmakers don’t seem worried that voters will punish them for it.
There is also mounting evidence that the political donor class — wealthier Americans — is feeling a stock-market-fueled surge of optimism about the economy. It all adds up to inaction.”
I don’t know if it’s stupid or lazy. Both the Tea Party and Occupy Wall Street people had the right idea, which is that acting as a citizen involves more than just voting. Unfortunately, OWS fizzled out, leaving most people convinced that there’s nothng that they can do.
which is that acting as a citizen involves more than just voting.
The irony is that it was the citizen that was the undoing of both movements.
Once the citizens on the left let themselves believe that the TP was solely a mechanism of the right, it was doomed. Once the citizens on the right let themselves believe that OWS was solely a mechanism of the left, it was doomed.
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Comment by Carl Morris
2013-05-21 10:30:02
I agree. They did have plenty of help coming to those conclusions, though, thanks to the media agenda.
Comment by ecofeco
2013-05-21 13:49:27
Media? Just 6 companies own 90% of all English speaking MSM.
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-21 14:36:59
“Just 6 companies own 90% of all English speaking MSM.”
So what? If it’s 6 or 600 they all spew the same garbage.
This is all very confusing to me. Housing Analyst keeps saying there is no demand for housing, prices are crashing, nobody’s buying and real estate is dead. And yet this happened….
“In another sign of the revitalized U.S. housing market, home-improvement retailer Home Depot (HD) beat the Street on Tuesday with an 18% leap in first-quarter profits and upgraded its 2013 financial guidance. The stronger-than-expected quarterly results and rosier outlook sent the blue-chip company’s stock rallying almost 4% in premarket action.
Home Depot said it earned $1.22 billion, or 83 cents a share, last quarter, compared with a profit of $1.04 billion, or 68 cents a share, a year earlier. Analysts had been calling for EPS of just 77 cents. Revenue increased 7.4% to $19.1 billion, topping the Street’s view of $18.69 billion.”
During the bubble, HBB tracked the Lowe’s paint counter as a barometer for flipper activity. My local HD paint counter has been busy as a bee for months. The garden department is a mob scene on weekends. There have been days when there isn’t a SINGLE spot in the parking lot.
During the crash, HD/Lowe’s tumbled as well. That was proof real estate was crashing. Now that HD/Lowe’s is surging, it’s also proof real estate is crashing. It’s like global warming here. Too much rain = proof of global warming. But drought is also proof of global warming. No matter what happens, it’s proof there’s global warming. No matter what happens, it’s proof the housing market is crashing. It’s very convenient.
Reality says something different..
HD/Lowe’s does well when real estate does well. People buy a house then they go to HD/Lowe’s to buy appliances for thew new house, replace the carpet, pain the ugly green and pink rooms, get some updated light fixtures, and plant a bunch of flowers in the yard. No matter how nice the new house is, there’s always something new owners change when they move in. Every house I’ve owned has involved some renovating. At a minimum some paint.
And also, ff you’re about to walk away from a mortgage, you’re not going to do any renovations. But if you decide to stay after all then you will. So the fact people are renovating existing homes means they’re not planning on walking away. Which means the number of foreclosures will decrease sharply in the next 6-12 months.
So the fact people are renovating existing homes means they’re not planning on walking away. Which means the number of foreclosures will decrease sharply in the next 6-12 months.
Renovating to sell in the hot market? Most people facing foreclosure don’t have money to spend on fixes.
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Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-21 08:26:20
“Renovating to sell in the hot market? Most people facing foreclosure don’t have money to spend on fixes.”
That’s what I said. People who face foreclosure don’t spend money at HD whether they have money or not. You don’t spend money on a house you’re walking away from. The fact they are spending money means they are no longer planning to walk.
You can twist this any way you like it, fact is when HD does well, housing does well and vice versa.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 08:52:20
Hey goobers …… construction is seasonal.
Comment by Beer and Cigar Guy
2013-05-21 09:02:02
Very few of them ever ‘walked’. Many more just ’squatted’.
Comment by ecofeco
2013-05-21 10:20:52
Hey goobers …… construction is seasonal.
So are house sales.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 10:22:24
LMAO…..And sales are at 1997 levels.
Do keep up Eco.
Comment by oxide
2013-05-21 10:52:37
New construction is seasonal. Flipper paint, Pergo and granite are winter jobs.
And did you know that there are actual places in this country that have a mild winter? And that those places have houses in them?
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 10:57:56
psssst…. Hey Junkie….. here’s a secret for you…..
Slapping together houses might be 10-15% of construction dollar volume. You’ve been at the housing altar for so long you can’t think straight.
Comment by oxide
2013-05-21 11:59:34
So you’re saying that 85-90% of construction is weather independent? Then why did you bother to say that construction is seasonal since it appears that it’s not? It also justifies why HD does well year-round.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 12:04:00
You’re the only one saying it DebtDonkey.
How far underwater are you? $100k? 200k?
Comment by Neuromance
2013-05-21 12:27:57
Ultimately, this is what it’s about. It might seem ridiculous and petty, but ultimately, policy makers are mere humans, interested in providing for themselves and their families. They’re just like any other career-oriented person. Realize that, and it explains a lot.
Timothy F. Geithner, who finished his term as U.S. Treasury secretary in January, has found a buyer for his house in Bethesda, Maryland, just a week after listing the home for $995,000.
Geithner bought the home in August 2009 for $950,000, according to public records.
California imposed a new law on banks innocuously called “Homeowners Bill of Rights” which forces banks to switch over to a judicial foreclosure process, which they can opt to do on their own, but takes a year or more to renegotiate contracts and compensation structures for the foreclosure law firms who do all the leg work for the banks. And while those changes are being made… it makes it appear that foreclosures have slowed down dramatically in the state.
The reality?
Defaults (undeclared) are spiraling upward that yet have to pass through the foreclosure pipeline.
The truth?
California is still the highest foreclosure state in sheer volume and percentage.
The low-down?
Resale housing is still massively overpriced as a result of unprecedented interference by individual states and the federal government. The market distortions will be removed and the down draft will continue allowing the market to correct.
With millions of excess empty houses and housing demand at 17 year lows, housing prices have a long way to fall. A very long way to fall.
Personally, I’m surprised ANY house in Spokane can sell for $550k. And this one, while in one of the more desirable areas of S Spokane (the other being Browne’s Addition), is a stone’s throw from dozens of mansions that appear to serve as halfway houses for future Section 8ers.
Browne’s Addition is the most overhyped area. It’s run down old houses that have been converted to apartments with the odd nice house in between. And it’s right next to the train tracks as an added bonus. But once again, each to their own. I guess living next to crack houses is chic nowadays.
South Hill has a few hit and miss areas but overall it’s a nice place.
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Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-05-21 14:40:26
Browne’s Addition is the most overhyped area.
Agreed, but there really aren’t other “nice” areas of Spokane.
Then again, these are the areas in other cities that have gotten gentrified in the past decade. While I ridicule these areas, I actually like that Spokane still has a lot of the grit that other cities, like Portland, have shrugged off.
Are you from the area? Living there now? (I thought you were an east coaster)
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-21 16:25:44
Me an east coaster? Pshaw. I went to college there but I’m a west coast kid through and through. I live a little outside Spokane but I’m not from here. I love living here though. Mountains and lakes all around, perfect summer weather (typical June-Sept day is 70s/80s, sun and 20% humidity), practically no traffic, at least compared to Seattle/SF/LA.
There are definitely some rough areas, but find me a city of 250K+ people without them. South Hill is great, Country Homes/Indian Trail area is nice, Liberty Lake/Greenacres as well if you want the suburban/country option that’s still less than 30 mins to downtown. And it’s affordable. $500K is the high end of real estate.
I think Spokane gets an undeserved bad rap for being “gritty” as you put it. I wish more people from L.A. would feel the same way and stop moving here. Not to go off on a rant here….but WTF is it with people from LA that move here (or anywhere really) and the second they get here they complain about how “here” isn’t like back in L.A. and how much they miss good Sushi. Then why the hell did you leave? Go back and eat all the good sushi you want and leave the rest of us alone. Rant off.
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-05-21 16:34:38
My bad. I must’ve confused you with another poster…
but WTF is it with people from LA that move here (or anywhere really) and the second they get here they complain about how “here” isn’t like back in L.A.
Same story here in Portland. Their transience leads to instability in this region, IMO.
I could live in Spokane. I like the grit. That was a compliment.
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-21 16:38:34
Spokane County:
Median income $49,250
Median house: $192,800
3.9 ratio
King County (Seattle)
Median Income: $70,500
Median house: $402,000
5.7 ratio
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-21 16:45:45
I dig Portland as well. To visit. I don’t think I could deal with the nuttiness. Also the reason I passed on moving to Missoula. Great city to visit, I’d probably go insane being there 365 days a year. I’m only a 3 hour drive away now which is perfect.
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-05-21 17:23:43
Portland’s cool but don’t dare tell anyone that it doesn’t have to be the best place in the whole history of places. I’ve never seen a place put on a pedestal the way this place is, with so much self-love. It’s like people have to convince themselves that they actually like living here, it’s so over the top how much you’re hit over the head being reminded of its awesomeness. Okay, my rant off.
Comment by MightyMike
2013-05-21 17:54:03
It’s like people have to convince themselves that they actually like living here, it’s so over the top how much you’re hit over the head being reminded of its awesomeness.
Since so many people move there from other places, it may also be that they’re trying to convince themselves that they made such a brilliant decision to make the move. I’ve noticed that in other places.
A certain amount of civic pride is OK, but it’s odd that so many have their self-esteem wrapped up in the city or state or whatever that they reside in.
Michael, one of the BEST articles by Charles Hugh Smith I’ve ever read. He has articulated, and very simply and in understandable terms, what THE problem is.
Unfortunately people have a difficult time confronting evil. They think “that’s just the way things are”.
These sociopaths exist in every day life, too. I just slid gracefully out of a gig in order to avoid the carnage that’s coming down the pike as a result of one of these turds. And it’s so true that there is a secondary contagion spread by their association with others. Over the past year, I have watched an otherwise decent guy I know become infected. A real tragedy. Even he realizes it on some level and the shame affects his life and relationships.
What people have to realize, too, is that these characters often hide and they’re very difficult to spot. Their lackeys and close associates usually end up getting the blame.
These sociopaths exist in every day life, too. I just slid gracefully out of a gig in order to avoid the carnage that’s coming down the pike as a result of one of these turds. And it’s so true that there is a secondary contagion spread by their association with others. Over the past year, I have watched an otherwise decent guy I know become infected. A real tragedy. Even he realizes it on some level and the shame affects his life and relationships.
I’ve dealt with those people too. If you’re in the business world, even as a low-level employee, you must be on the lookout for them.
May I also suggest the Nat Geo documentary (I think it’s called) “Stress – the Silent Killer”. One part of it focuses on a scientist who studies baboon groups. Stress was not his initial focus…until he began to notice its effects. The source of the stress was all the “type A” alpha males…which to some extent resemble this sociopathology.
The scientist would study the same groups over time. One year he went back and noticed the alpha males where sick and dying. The source of their sickness was a food resource the group had discovered. Apparently due to their “me first” type A(sshole) nature they got into some poisonous food..and it killed all the alpha males.
He was curious about how this would impact the group. His initial thoughts were that it would be detrimental…but over the years…the opposite became true. The group thrived in a stress free environment and gained confidence and strength…to the point that the group would rise up and run off any new alpha males that would try to assert its dominance.
Good piece, but it can be said much more succinctly:
The Washington DC metro area now is the wealthiest in the United States. Yet those in Washington DC do not generate a profit; in fact, they operate at continual and considerable expense.
As Washington expands, so do the lies it must tell to justify its actions. It therefore becomes increasingly corrupt. (I’ve stated this numerous times here - and what more proof does anyone need than the IRS, and a govenrment wire-tapping the media?)
And these are the same people now in charge of your healthcare?
Only when there’s a shift in societal philosophy - one toward ethics and morals as superior and above that of law - will the trend toward corruption and self-anhiliation begin to reverse.
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-21 09:58:16
I agree with this succinct analysis. Just in the last decade, DHS which didn’t exist until 2002 or 2003 has been built up to its current standing as the 3rd largest department of the federal government. What is it protecting us from? And at what extent? And how many lies/market distortions arise from this Department that is supposed to “protect” us?
The Department of Defense is another such department. And the true size/scope/cost of DoD is hidden by the fact that many of its minions and moneys go to private contractors. (This is true for many other departments, but it’s really crazy how much defense-related top-secret stuff gets outsourced.)
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Comment by goon squad
2013-05-21 10:53:02
We are hiring
Comment by oxide
2013-05-21 11:05:33
To be fair, DHS wasn’t really “built-up.” Wasn’t it a combination of a lot of smaller existing agencies under one umbrella?
What has exploded is the number of “security”-type contractors milking 911. I suspect those are the folks buying the McMansions on Route 7 in NoVa, while their fresh-faced admin assistants use HGTV Purple paint on the walls of their $275K 1-bed condos in Tysons Corner.
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-21 12:10:52
DHS and DoD contractors pretty much explain Loudoun County VA and Howard County MD. Which are two of the richest 3 or 4 counties in the U.S. (I’d be shocked if they are not.) _Median_ household income in those counties is over 100k. Not average, _median_. And they are not small counties, either. Then you have to add in Montgomery Co, MD and Fairfax/Arlington/Falls Church VA.
But no, no, no, the real problem is pensions for state workers and too much money spent on Obamaphones. Let’s ignore DHS and DoD spending though, plus tax loopholes or the rich.
Comment by michael
2013-05-21 13:19:21
“$275K 1-bed condos in Tysons Corner.”
too low…perhaps.
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-21 13:55:35
The funny thing is that condos in the DC area have huge condo fees, like 800/month for a 1BR unit in an avg condo building. LOLsies!
If you’re paying 800/month in condo fees on a 1BR, they own you and you really don’t “own” much of anything.
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-21 14:09:13
“plus tax loopholes or the rich.”
Well of course tax loopholes are for the rich. Only the rich pay taxes. The poor pay no tax, they don’t need tax loopholes.
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-21 14:13:06
The funny thing is that condos in the DC area have huge condo fees, like 800/month for a 1BR unit in an avg condo building. LOLsies!
Apparently, the city helping people out with buying BMR (below market rate) condos has had unintended consequences.
All the BMR’s are condos, with the attached fees. Everything looks good on paper at sale time, affordability-wise. But as years pass and the neighborhood gets gentrified, the fees go up. And that BMR apt. is now no longer affordable.
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-05-21 14:20:00
Only the rich pay taxes. The poor pay no tax,
The poor pay a higher rate of total taxes than billionaires. And unlike billionaires, the poor need that money that they pay in taxes for day to day living expenses that have risen higher relative to their pay that the billionaires have cut.
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-21 16:30:46
“The poor pay a higher rate of total taxes than billionaires. And unlike billionaires, the poor need that money that they pay in taxes for day to day living expenses that have risen higher relative to their pay that the billionaires have cut.”
The poor pay no income tax. Most of the middle class pays no income tax either. This is a fact. The top 10% pays 70% of all income taxes. The top 1% pays 40% of all income taxes. This is IRS data that you can easily find online.
The evil billionaire who “only” pays a 15% tax rate will in 1 year pay more tax than you will pay in a lifetime.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 17:47:06
BMR?
You got those REIT/realtor acronyms down pretty good Junkie.
Comment by MightyMike
2013-05-21 17:59:51
The evil billionaire who “only” pays a 15% tax rate will in 1 year pay more tax than you will pay in a lifetime.
A large portion of the billionaires made their fortunes in the finance industry, which needs federal bailouts on a regular basis. Another large portion made their money in the so-called “technology” industry, which was built largely on research and development funded by the government.
Only when there’s a shift in societal philosophy - one toward ethics and morals as superior and above that of law - will the trend toward corruption and self-anhiliation begin to reverse.”
Unfortunately, history shows the trend never reverses and continues to its inevitable, and very unhappy, conclusion.
Like so very many things in life, a bell curve describes this situation well.
In this case, the bell curve describes power of government.
So, in this bell curve, the left side is very weak central government. That leads to Mexico, Somalia, anarchy, powerful gangs and cartels. On the other side, very strong central government leads to iron-fisted dictatorship. In the middle somewhere, the bell curve reaches its peak, representing the most benefit for society.
not sure charles’ analysis necessarily equates “big” and “centralized”.
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Comment by tj
2013-05-21 10:46:32
‘big’ is a subjective term but to me it means anything outside the constitution and overspending, which is the hallmark of centralized government.
Comment by Neuromance
2013-05-21 13:42:06
I’m not talking “big” and “small”, I’m talking “strong” and “weak”.
And anarchy will result from the breakdown of any form of government, not just tyranny.
Powerful gangs and cartels couldn’t exist in Saddam’s Iraq because he was the biggest and most ruthless of them all, and didn’t brook competition.
Comment by tj
2013-05-21 15:24:29
I’m not talking “big” and “small”, I’m talking “strong” and “weak”.
the essence of government is force. force ultimately at gunpoint. so how is there a difference in ’strong’ and ‘weak’ government? is it when they are able to enforce laws and when they aren’t? a government too weak to enforce laws is on its way to destruction anyway.
And anarchy will result from the breakdown of any form of government, not just tyranny.
no it won’t. many times in our past there has been little or no law enforcement in certain sparse areas or because of natural disaster. most of the time people have come together to help one another when in need. lately, as government has become more tyrannical, we are getting episodes like katrina where there has been widespread looting and gunfire. but some semblance of order was still there. we didn’t experience total anarchy.
somalia had a tyrannical government that broke down. anarchy prevailed for a long time. when iraq’s tyrannical government was crushed, anarchy was sprung loose. but there’s always some form of government that springs up from the ‘vacuum’. some rules will come in from any type of authority. the problem is that what usually springs up is just another form of tyranny, so the cycle repeats.
Powerful gangs and cartels couldn’t exist in Saddam’s Iraq because he was the biggest and most ruthless of them all, and didn’t brook competition.
just because he wanted them crushed, doesn’t mean that they were. yes, the biggest fear there was saddam. but i’ve read that gangs and cartels did still operate there. it’s just that they weren’t near as profitable because the tyrannical government had strangled much of the wealth out of the country.
in Mexico, where i lived for 8 years, the cartels are stronger than the government. they make the rules. they bring in much more money than the government, so they can afford to be as ruthless as they deem necessary. if a local cop stops a drug dealer with a load of drugs, the cop just waves him through with an apology for the inconvenience of the stop. you wouldn’t believe what it’s like unless you’ve actually lived there. the red tape in mexico to start a business is unbelievable. government is involved in everything. corruption is way beyond the USA. but government only has control of regular citizens, not the dealers and cartels.
the only thing the cartels in mexico fear is the ‘federalies’. the feds repeatedly try to take them on, but they lose every time.
Comment by Neuromance
2013-05-21 17:48:58
Neuromance:And anarchy will result from the breakdown of any form of government, not just tyranny.
tjno it won’t. many times in our past there has been little or no law enforcement in certain sparse areas or because of natural disaster. most of the time people have come together to help one another when in need.
In order to understand what happens when there is lack of government, one has to look at Europe and the rest of the world, and see how it developed. And the pattern is remarkably similar. They go from hunter-gatherer bands, to feudalism. Then some get stuck there. Others transition into nation states. In England, the first nation-state, one king defeated the other feudal lords. All the defeating was done with ruthless violence. The pattern is remarkably similar around the world. And nowadays, we use the term dictator instead of king, and cartel leader instead of feudal lord, but they describe the same things.
Looking at a three-week snapshot of Fargo is a very poor snapshot from which to extrapolate. The world today has been shaped by fire and steel and blood. Europe itself has an extraordinarily bloody history. It took World War I (16 million dead) and World War II (40 million dead in European theater, 60 million total) in quick succession to yield the relative peace that exists today.
Looking at a 3 week snapshot of the Fargo floods versus New Orleans after Katrina gives a very incomplete picture. If the US government pulled out of these places, then you see real anarchy. Realize this: these populations do not exist in a vacuum. Eventually, in both places, someone would take over, if the US government pulled out. They might come from outside, or from within. Someone is always going to fill a power vacuum. I grant you that New Orleans is much closer to anarchy at any given time than Fargo. But so what? Remove the government and both are on the river to anarchy. New Orleans is a hundred yards from the waterfall and Fargo is twenty miles from the waterfall. But they’re both on the river to the waterfall.
Many look at just post 1950 Europe and the US and try to draw lessons from it. One needs to look at the bulk of human history instead.
Anarchy will eventually recoalesce into some kind of government system, beginning the common reconstitution process of government all over again. But it won’t be an elected one. It’ll be either led by MS-13 leaders, Aryan Brotherhood, or former special forces. Recall that the Zetas were originally Mexican special forces officers. They are an incredibly brutal organization.
It’s just the way the world is. Communes can only exist inside securely guarded walls.
Comment by Neuromance
2013-05-21 18:00:09
Neuromance: Powerful gangs and cartels couldn’t exist in Saddam’s Iraq because he was the biggest and most ruthless of them all, and didn’t brook competition.
tj: just because he wanted them crushed, doesn’t mean that they were. yes, the biggest fear there was saddam. but i’ve read that gangs and cartels did still operate there. it’s just that they weren’t near as profitable because the tyrannical government had strangled much of the wealth out of the country.
There is a vast amount of oil wealth in Iraq. Gangs and cartels had every opportunity to exploit it. However, Saddam was quite powerful militarily relative to them. And he gloried in brutally suppressing any challenge to his rule.
Again, the pattern repeats over and over throughout history. Guy Fawkes day? He tried to assassinate the king. You know what the king did to him? This:
“The outcome was never in doubt. The jury found all of the defendants guilty, and the Lord Chief Justice Sir John Popham proclaimed them guilty of high treason. The Attorney General Sir Edward Coke told the court that each of the condemned would be drawn backwards to his death, by a horse, his head near the ground. They were to be “put to death halfway between heaven and earth as unworthy of both”. Their genitals would be cut off and burnt before their eyes, and their bowels and hearts removed. They would then be decapitated, and the dismembered parts of their bodies displayed so that they might become “prey for the fowls of the air”.”
when romney uses tax shelters, it is eeeeevil. but when apple does it, it’s ok, because they’re so hip and ‘progressive’, so progressive that their subcontractor foxconn installed suicide nets under its worker dormitories.
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-21 09:46:38
I don’t think it’s either OK or not OK for any one taxpayer (individual or corporation) to do it. Set the values aside. What becomes clear is:
- Congress *knows* about these loopholes and does nothing to do them. There are aggressive lobbyists for all the loopholes in our tax code. This is not a bug but a feature of the system. It can persist because you need to have sufficient money to make it worth using the loopholes. 99% of Americans don’t have the assets or passive income to use the loopholes.
- It really is a “rugged individualist” thing to use the loopholes. You’re basically showing disdain for the system because the kind of people who use loopholes are, almost by definition, smart enough to know that they’re taking advantage of a weak or purposefully obtuse tax code and avoiding paying for the military, for infrastructure, etc. like working grunts do. I kind of admire them for this, they know what they want (dynastic wealth) and they’re going after it. They know that the losers squabbling over teacher pensions, abortion, gunz, and Benghazi are easily distracted from real issues and deep down have passively accepted their lot in life–fighting over scraps.
- Regardless of being on the left OR right of the spectrum, people who do this do think they are “better than”. Do you think the Kochs or Romneys are that much different than Steve Jobs, Bill Gates, or Warren Buffett? They all pretend to care about the working stiff who drives 100 mi a day to/from a dead-end job to make money to pay his middle class rent/mortgage and raise his/her kids. But really, deep down, they are laughing and their attitude is “f*** them”.
- All the above said, the Joe Smith “IRA Stuffing Plan” is proceeding nicely. If the GOP/Dems in Congress don’t want to fix the tax code, I too plan to take advantage of it. Never forget: 401k’s and un-stuffed IRAs are for l00sers.
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Comment by Carl Morris
2013-05-21 12:05:45
They know that the losers squabbling over teacher pensions, abortion, gunz, and Benghazi are easily distracted from real issues and deep down have passively accepted their lot in life–fighting over scraps.
Some people grow up so far away from the centers of power they don’t even know that there is more than scraps available. It’s all they’ve ever known. They haven’t passively accepted anything and they are likely to get upset when they figure out what’s really going on. If they ever do.
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-05-21 13:09:34
Carl, I’m not sure about that. Look, for example, at 2Ban or nycdj. People confront them with the big realities of life and then a day later they got back to parroting Drudge headlines and reciting their standard riffs on “chickiepoos” and “union thugs”. The average ‘murkan is no better. They know some big things are wrong but perhaps feel powerless to confront or think about big things. I don’t think it’s a lack of knowing that there are big problems, though.
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-05-21 13:13:21
I was talking about the money and how the world works at the power centers at the expense of everyone else. Not the awareness of problems.
“when romney uses tax shelters, it is eeeeevil. but when apple does it, it’s ok, because they’re so hip and ‘progressive’, so progressive that their subcontractor foxconn installed suicide nets under its worker dormitories.”
And most importantly Apple employee political contributions run about 15:1 for Democrats. Same with Google. Therefore no matter what they do it’s approved by the MSM/Left (but there I go repeating myself again).
LMAO! I have read some of the accounts of Barry and Rahm on the loose in Chi-Town, having a gay old time.
Even more incredible was the account I saw of Bill Frist’s (remember him?) adventures with Barry.
Bizarre. But if you’ve read historical accounts of the ruling classes in the decaying stages of their countries, it’s not all that unbelievable. In fact it’s almost sort of mild compared to some of the things that have gone on.
Comment by AmazingRuss
2013-05-21 13:22:55
Not judging you or anything, but this is no place for homoerotic fiction.
I leave my criticism for the buffoons in Washington who leave the known shelters in place for people and corporations to continue to exploit. And I’ll save a little criticism for voters who are unwilling to vote out their respective incumbent buffoon.
No, but Apple contributed a ton of money to one guy who did. And whatdayaknow, Apple got rewarded for it. Shocking I know.
Department of State: Advisory Committee on International Economic Policy
Members:
Catherine Novelli (Vice President, Government Relations, Apple Inc., 2009–2013)
Hmmm…you don’t think Apple used that influence to sway the Obama administration regarding Apple’s Asian sweat shops, do you? Nahh. That stuff never happens. I’m sure Ms. Novelli only served to better America and had nothing to do with Apple.
Um, no. Those of us who choose (correctly) to not live on bubble coasts and not live a debt-financed junkie lifestyle will be retiring quite comfortably, thank you.
Try throwing a divorce/illness/job loss in middle age into the equation. Better yet, two out of those three.
Frankly I’m not sure a “retirement” of any kind is such a hot deal (unless you have enough assets to manage in retirement). I’m seeing too many retirees trying (and failing) to get back into the job market after 5 years.
For starters, their “Rolodexes” are 5 years out of date, and so is their business “network”. Add that to the fact that the Main Street economy is still dying off, MSM cheerleading notwithstanding.
NEW YORK (WABC) —
The chance to apply for a union job has hundreds of people lining up in the streets in Queens through the rain and dreary conditions.
Electricians Local 3 will hand out 750 applications Monday morning for elevator service and repair apprenticeships.
Some hopefuls have been camping out in Long Island City since Wednesday.
There are openings for just 10 percent of those who apply.
But the job seekers say the wait is worth it.
And these are not easy jobs. Applicants must be capable of lifting up to 50 pounds and working from heights of up to 1,000 feet.
“And these are not easy jobs. Applicants must be capable of lifting up to 50 pounds and working from heights of up to 1,000 feet.”
That’s it? No requirements to be skilled in anything? No requirement No requirement to have any sort of education? Just lift 50 lbs and don’t be afraid of heights. What will the interview be like?
Bossman: Can you lift 50 lbs
Future Union Goon: Yep
Bossman: Are you afraid of heights?
Future Union Goon: Nope
Bossman: OK then, you start Monday morning. Here’s your union card, your Democrat Party membership card and your vote registration card. See you Monday, if you feel like like it. It’s a union job after all, so you can’t ever get fired.
These are apprenticeships, Smithers. The union will train the applicants that they accept. There may be other qualifications as well that the article did not cite in support of their “not easy jobs” statement.
By Andria Cheng
Home Depot Inc.’s /quotes/zigman/229488 /quotes/nls/hd HD +2.13%results and forecast on Tuesday showed the nation’s housing market is back on its feet.
The Atlanta-based retailer’s shares rose 3.1% to $79.12 on Tuesday to be the biggest Dow gainer after demand for basic home-improvement materials more than made up for cold weather’s toll on sales of garden supplies.
Home Depot’s numbers alleviated concerns ahead of its report after Wal-Mart Stores Inc.’s /quotes/zigman/245476 /quotes/nls/wmt WMT -0.03%disappointing result last week.
“While weather negatively impacted our seasonal and exterior businesses, our core interior project business remained strong throughout the quarter,” said Chief Executive Frank Blake on a conference call. “This was encouraging and consistent with the view that the housing market is starting on the path to recovery.”
While U.S. housing starts dropped in April, home prices and sales activity have climbed sharply from post-recession lows.
Calls earlier in the year for a “great rotation” into stocks from fixed income may have been a little premature, but Goldman Sachs’ replacement for Jim O’Neill says there will be a “gradual rotation” and money will move back into stocks eventually.
“People are moving money,” Sheila Patel, the head of international at Goldman Sachs Asset Management told CNBC Tuesday. “I do think you see money come back to equities.”
At the peak? I doubt it. If the money didn’t get in equities when Dow was 12000, I doubt it will get there when it’s 16000.
Also who’s to say that all the money supposedly sitting haven’t been borrowed against to bet or worse corzined by the banks and other financial institutions?
Tornado in Wichita on Saturday was about 5 miles south of the daughter’s house. Evidently, it never really touched down in populated areas, not a whole lot of damage.
Just want to dispell the “Can’t build basements in Oklahoma or Texas” conventional wisdom, much like “house prices always go up”. They can, but the builders choose not to.
Basements are expensive,compared to building houses on slabs. A $300K house in Kansas has a basement, but looks like a $200K house in Oklahoma or Texas.
And, as noted above, it ain’t the water table. You only had to sink wells down 30 feet below my old house in Wichita to hit water (Arkansas river flood plain). Even though it was a small “starter” house, it still had a basement. It’s real tough to sell a house in Kansas without one.
Of course, this doesn’t answer the question of why an Elementary school didn’t have a tornado shelter on the property.
Don’t get me started on how “God’s Will” is used to justify/excuse a whole bunch of boneheaded, exclusively human, mistakes/errors of judgement/self-serving decisions.
When you throw it on God’s shoulders, you don’t have to do any of that uncomfortable self-reflection/re-examination stuff.
You know, like thinking……..and maybe coming to the conclusion that you were wrong.
“Don’t go, Taylor……you may not like what you find…….”
“Of course, this doesn’t answer the question of why an Elementary school didn’t have a tornado shelter on the property.”
Uh, same answer? Cheaper to build?
I am continually amazed at how the average American never realizes the PTB will throw them under the bus in a heartbeat and in many cases, already have.
Requiring a shelter is regulation” and government meddling. After all, parents have a variety of schools to choose from, so they can choose to send their child to a school with a shelter. Schools who don’t have a shelter will go out of business for lack of customers.
Actually, the schools WITH shelters will go out of business, because they have to charge $5/month more in tuition.
I remember trying to explain this to my neighbors about 10 years ago. The local school district wanted to put out a $20 million dollar bond issue, half of it to re-roof and air condition all of the older elementary schools in the district (they started school in the second week of August), and the other half for a new science lab and music hall/theater in the high school.
They just couldn’t understand that one of the reasons their property values we so high (compared to adjacent districts) was because of the first rate facilities…….which bring in first rate teachers. (as measured by SAT/ACT scores).
(The fixr grew up in the lower end of the income scale. Fortunately, I was in one of the most affluent school districts in the state. (Lots of King Radio/Honeywell/now Garmin engineers, FAA, and UAW types). We moved in before the house prices started skyrocketing in the late 60s.
It was only later that I found out how good an education I got; I breezed through the A&P “General” courses without breaking a sweat, vs. some of my fellow students from both city and rural backgrounds).
This bond issue was going to cost us an extra hundred bucks/year on our house. Crazy money.
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Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-21 14:14:15
The answer to all life’s problems seems to be higher taxes and more regulation. Why I bet if OK had a 100% income tax, the govt would figure out a way to end all tornado activity. It’s those evil Republicans that hate children and puppies who stand in the way. Same with Florida and hurricanes. It’s weird though, Democrats have run CA for 30 years and they still have earthquakes and forest fires. What’s up with that?
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-05-21 14:18:33
TWENTY MILLION DOLLARS for a a few new A/C units and a new high school science lab.
And you wonder why people voted it down?
For $20M you could build a brand new high school and still have some money left over. And they wanted $20M for a lab? How in the world did they justify that kind of money. And this was 10 years ago so about $25M in today’s dollars.
War on savers goes on. Biggest cash hoard in the world gets a little smaller every day. End game of deflation ?
“The [Yen], which is one of the major currencies of the world, has collapsed 27% in no time,” Rogers notes. “It’s a very, very dangerous move.”
Since the Yen blasted through 100 parity level with the U.S. dollar, its slide has continued to a new 4-1/2 year low.
As a general rule, Rogers is skeptical of governments that devalue their currencies. “I know the government is reporting that [the Yen’s] move is good, but I don’t trust governments. I don’t trust our government, their government, or anybody else. Their government is as good at lying as ours is.”
Rogers, who started the legendary Quantum Fund with George Soros, says the Japanese government is being coy about the deleterious effects of the Yen’s slide because Mr. Abe wants to win elections this summer, and it will ultimately be the Japanese citizens who will be left holding the bag.
“One hundred twenty-five million Japanese [stand to lose the most] because of inflation. Everything Japan imports, they import a lot of stuff, is going to go up dramatically in price, everything is going to go up,” says Rogers. “So the Japanese will suffer, but… stockbrokers will do better, currency traders will do better.”
But Rogers isn’t about to shy away from Japanese equities due to his distaste for the Yen’s demise.
“I still own Japanese shares, I sold some last week, not all, but some,” he says. “If [Japanese equities] drop down for some reason conceivably I would buy them back, but I don’t know what would make them go down though because there’s money printing everywhere.”
Why? Because there is no demand at current grossly inflated housing prices. And until prices fall to pre-bubble levels, this chart will remain just as you see it. FLAT.
Housing prices have a very long way to fall. A very long way.
And last year when sales were at 1997 levels? There weren’t many houses on the market then either? And how about 2011 when sales were at 1997 levels? There weren’t any houses?
Are you mentally Ill? What has gotten into you? I’ve never lied once here, gotten things wrong sure but “filthy liar”?
You say: Mortgage Applications At Multi-Decade Lows….
Why?
I ask the honest question: Because there are not many houses on the market?
And you call someone who asks a question about a supply and demand possibility a “filthy liar”??
You’ve become a real piece of work buddy. I don’t think your mom would be too proud of you lately. Insulting women. Insulting men for no reason other than you obsession with what you think should be.
“Filthy liar” my A$$. I guarantee, you would not call me that to my face. Trust me. I ain’t lyin’
(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 12:02:05
Bring it LIAR.
Comment by sfhomowner
2013-05-21 13:07:32
Are you mentally Ill?
Yes, he is. And everyone here knows it.
The all caps and bold are just one symptom. Name-calling, another.
Sad, sorry, little, lonely, man.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 15:05:41
What we all know here is that you’re a sick, shameless woman who made a financial error like millions of others who bought a house from 1998-current. Even in spite of everything you should have learned here.
Before you make the decision to rent or buy, Olefson offers this rule of thumb: “If you can buy a home in your area for less than 15-times what your annual rent is, than financially it makes much more sense to buy than to rent.”
For example, if you pay $2,000 a month in rent (or $24,000 a year), she says the basic buy-rent cutoff price would be $360,000.
However, she warns that if rental rates in your area are abnormally high or the home you are looking at will need repairs, you must factor that in. Of course, she says “this is only one of several factors to consider,” but adds it is still “a great line in the sand” for narrowing down your initial search.
“Why buy a house at these grossly inflated prices?? Rent the same square footage for half the monthly cost and buy later, after prices crater for 65% less, irrespective of location.”
Why would you pay 200% of the cost of a new house for a 20+year old house?
The reality is that resale housing prices are nearly double the cost of a newly constructed house. If you buy a house at current prices, you WILL sustain massive losses so large that you won’t recover in your lifetime.
I’m in Los Angeles and I’m listening to KNX1070am radio this morning, and they have this “business” reporter/stock market cheerleader named Bob McCormick who’s got a segment telling you where you can make money today. So he says these REIT’s are yiedling less than 3% today.
REITs are overvalued today by approximately 20% as compared to “NAV”. However, NAV is also juiced up a bit due to low rates and low cap rates. NAV could fall, and premium to NAV could also fall. Rents could also rise for many of the RE sectors (since they haven’t really risen en masse yet since the collapse).
So, you are probably fighting a bit of a push/pull, with the premium falling at some point, and cap rates rising with interest rates…and on the other end, rents rising with inflation, or somewhat better than inflation since they are below the trendline currently.
Does it mean that REITs are absolutely going to fall? No, but they are quite possibly set up for a fall.
Will that fall recover? That all depends if you believe that rents will need to rise in the product type that the REITs own.
With 20-30 MILLION excess empty houses in the US, it’s fair to say that housing prices have a very long way to fall.
And besides, as my favorite HBB knitters and liars know, we’ll continue building and supplying the market with additional new inventory as we and our competitors are profitable at $60/sq foot.
—————-
Ayn Rand is a polarizing figure, and it should be pretty clear that I’m not her biggest fan. I find her views on gender repulsive and her metaphysics laughable. I tend to be on the economic left; she heads to the far right. She and I have one crucial thing in common– extreme political passions rooted in emotionally damaging battles with militant mediocrity– but our conclusions are very different. Her nemesis was authoritarian leftism; mine is corporate capitalism. Of course, an evolved mind in 2013 will recognize that, while both of these forces are evil, there isn’t an either/or dichotomy between them. We don’t need authoritarian leftism or corporate capitalism, and both deserve to be reject out of hand.
What Warren Buffett once called “financial weapons of mass destruction” are firing again, with securitization and shadow banking at post-financial crisis highs.
The twin powers of bank funding that helped propel the nation into turmoil have regained ground swiftly, and analysts say it’s both a challenge for regulators and a sign that the economy is recovering.
Securitization, or the channels through which banks repackage loans and farm them off to investors, has hit volume of $225.6 billion by way of 365 deals this year, according to Dealogic.
That’s a 14 percent increase over 2012 but still miles away from the heady days of 2007, which saw a staggering $777 billion in volume at the same point—right before securitization, and the rest of the mortgage market, came crashing down.
Not to worry. The central bank and the government will make sure to institute further RRH (Reverse Robin Hood) policies to make the financial sector whole on the backs of future generations.
“In order to get in on hot housing markets, amateur investors are buying up homes and taking risky measures — like tapping their retirement accounts — to fund the deals.”
“We’re seeing many people cash out 401(k)s or IRAs because they want to take advantage of the market,” said Sean Galaris of financial services firm LM Funding, based in Tampa. “This new scenario involves people losing significant personal funds since they are financing real estate through retirement accounts, savings and life insurance.”
“In Las Vegas, which was ground zero for the foreclosure crisis, prices have climbed 17.6% and Phoenix has seen an increase of 23%. In Florida, Tampa and Miami have recorded double-digit increases.”
May 21, 2013, 4:38 p.m. EDT U.S. stocks rise after Fed officials’ QE signal
Apple in the hot seat over taxes; Home Depot gains after results
By Polya Lesova, MarketWatch , Victor Reklaitis
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday, with the Dow industrials and S&P 500 finishing at record highs, after comments from two Federal Reserve officials suggested that the central bank is not close to tapering its bond-buying program.
…
With all the negative headlines lately, I figured you guys could use some good news.
Face-chewing victim recovering, strumming guitar
JENNIFER KAY | May 21, 2013 06:57 PM EST
MIAMI — A homeless man whose face was mostly chewed off in a bizarre attack last year appeared Tuesday to be mostly at peace with his disfigurement, strumming a guitar, making jokes and thanking people for their donations to help pay for his care.
Ronald Poppo doesn’t like to leave his hospital room, though, and he won’t allow anyone to visit him, other than his doctors and nurses. “My face,” he says.
Poppo lost his left eye, his nose and most of the surrounding skin when a naked man attacked him for no reason alongside a Miami highway a year ago.
In a video posted online Tuesday by the hospital caring for him, his left eye socket is a hollow shadow, his blinded right eye is covered by a skin graft and his nose is reduced to just the nostrils. Still, Poppo joked with his nurses and, though he wears a baseball cap, leaves his face uncovered to address the camera.
“People in my predicament need to be helped out, and I’m sure there’s other people also that have the same type of predicament. I thank the outpouring of people in the community, I’ll always be grateful for that,” Poppo said in the brief video, which was shot recently.
He spent nearly a month in the hospital after the attack, before moving to a long-term care facility. His doctors at Jackson Memorial Hospital and the University of Miami Miller School of Medicine praised Poppo for his resilience and said he’s satisfied with the surgeries and skin grafts that have closed his wounds.
Poppo could still use his own tissues or prosthetics to replace his nose or eye, but he is not interested in more facial reconstruction.
“There’s still work that can be done, but he’s more than happy with how he is now, and he’s quite grateful,” said Dr. Wrood Kassira, a plastic surgeon.
A facial transplant wouldn’t be necessary, since Poppo didn’t lose any functions other than his vision.
“To put him through a lifetime of immunosuppression is not something he nor us think is in his best interest,” Kassira said.
Poppo, 66, still requires daily medical care for his wounds, and he’s working with occupational therapists and specialists from the Miami Lighthouse for the Blind to learn how to adjust to his blindness. He can dress himself and is learning again to play the guitar, an instrument he had not picked up for 40 years.
He’s gained 50 pounds, and though his caretakers would like to see him exercise more, he so far refuses to leave the facility unless he’s going to the hospital to see his doctors, said Patricia Copalko, a certified nursing assistant at the medical center.
He also hasn’t allowed any visitors to see him, other than his doctors, nurses and therapists. Sigue said Poppo doesn’t answer the telephone in his room and hasn’t wanted to talk with relatives other than a sister, who calls the nurse’s cellphone to get through.
“He doesn’t wander out of his room very often,” Copalko said, adding, “He needs to get out and he has refused. But also, I get it. He says, `My face.’”
He’s got a point there. Apple is not breaking the law. I think it was Michael Kinsley who wrote that the true scandals involve actions that are perfectly legal. Howerver, while I was watching that video on the Bloomberg site I saw this:
Floridians get nearly $9 billion in mortgage relief
Posted: 5:51 p.m. Tuesday, May 21, 2013
By Kimberly Miller - Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
More than $8.6 billion in mortgage relief has flowed to Florida homeowners under last year’s National Mortgage Settlement, a heftier windfall than state officials expected and one that has been paid out two years before deadline.
A progress report released Tuesday on the landmark deal between the nation’s attorneys general and its five largest banks shows 111,913 Florida borrowers received mortgage aid through actions such as principal reductions, refinances, second mortgage forgiveness and short sale approvals. That’s an average of $77,341 in savings per homeowner.
The report, a shorter version of three previous audits released by the Office of Mortgage Settlement Oversight, was quickly followed by announcements from Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase that they have fulfilled their consumer relief obligations nationwide.
Wells Fargo said it is 90 percent finished. Ally Financial met its requirements in February. Citigroup did not say how close it is to meeting settlement requirements. Lenders have two more years to meet their obligations under the $25 billion national settlement reached in February 2012.
Although no obligation is officially met until it is approved by settlement monitor Joseph Smith, the swift completion is not a surprise to some experts in the banking field who said lenders were already ramping up to offer many of the things required of them in the settlement.
“It may have focused them a little more on debt forgiveness, which they had just started doing, but a lot of this was already the direction they were moving in,” said Guy Cecala, publisher of the trade magazine Inside Mortgage Finance. “Everyone under the sun was mandating changes.”
Because lenders do not earn a dollar-for-dollar match on relief provided to borrowers, the $25 billion deal has provided much more in mortgage aid to homeowners. For example, for every dollar forgiven by a lender on a second mortgage, it receives only a 10-cent credit toward its required settlement amount.
Nationwide, more than $48.6 billion in mortgage relief has been awarded to 607,015 homeowners. That’s an average of $80,169 per borrower.
The majority of the relief nationwide and in Florida has been in the form of forgiveness of debt owed following a short sale.
Statewide, $3.3 billion in relief is tied to short sales, while $1.3 billion has been cut from primary mortgage debt amounts.
Critics say short sales — where the bank takes less for the property than what is owed on the mortgage — defy the spirit of the settlement, which they believe was to keep people in their homes. The forgiveness of second mortgages has also come under fire because it is debt that the bank would be unlikely to collect anyway.
“Whenever they wrote off a loan they were never going to see a dime on anyway, the got credit for it,” said foreclosure defense attorney Michael Wasylik, whose firm has an office in Boca Raton. “It’s like getting a pat on the back for breathing.”
Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi, who was a lead negotiator in the settlement, lauded the help to homeowners, noting the higher-than-expected amount received so far. The initial settlement called for Florida to be awarded an estimated $8.4 billion.
Tuesday’s relief amount would grow to $8.9 billion if trial loan modifications are added to the final tally.
Both JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America said they will continue to offer loan modifications to eligible customers.
But much of the settlement attention recently has been focused on standards for customer treatment that were outlined in the agreement. Earlier this month, New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman said he planned to sue Bank of America and Wells Fargo for violating the standards. Those include timelines to complete loan modifications, requiring borrowers be assigned a single bank representative instead of dealing with multiple employees, and restrictions against foreclosing on a homeowner while also negotiating a loan modification.
“The $26 billion settlement doesn’t get close to addressing the wrongdoing that occurred during the foreclosure crisis,” Wasylik said. “The remedy has nothing to do with the wrong.”
——————————————————————————–
How the relief was awarded
Primary mortgage reduction, $1.3 billion
Second mortgage forgiveness, $3.1 billion
Short sales, $3.3 billion
Refinances, $344 million
Deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure, $7 million
Borrower transition money, $81.8 million
Deficiency waivers, $57.5 million
* Does not include all categories or modifications in process
Sheriff’s office reconsiders “KGB” tip line after public backlash
Paul Joseph Watson
Infowars.com
May 21, 2013
Florida Governor Rick Scott has killed funding for a controversial “violence prevention program” in Florida which caused a public backlash after the Sheriff’s office in Palm Beach County encouraged people to report on their neighbors for anti-government rhetoric.
As we reported earlier this month, the program would have created a 24 hour hotline via which citizens could report “suspicious behavior,” prompting “a knock on the door and a referral to services” by specially trained deputies and mental health caseworkers.
Palm Beach County Sheriff Ric Bradshaw, a Democrat, stoked anger amongst conservatives when he suggested the program would be used to target political free speech deemed potentially violent by authorities.
“We want people to call us if the guy down the street says he hates the government, hates the mayor and he’s gonna shoot him,” Bradshaw said. “What does it hurt to have somebody knock on a door and ask, ‘Hey, is everything OK?’”
Following a public backlash from critics who denounced the program as a disturbing throwback to how political dissidents were imprisoned in Soviet mental hospitals for criticizing the state, Governor Rick Scott announced that the campaign would not receive taxpayer funds and the Sheriff’s office has said that it is now reconsidering the plan.
“Gov. Rick Scott vetoed $1 million from the state budget that was part of funding for the county’s “Violence Prevention Program,” designed to encourage communities to report suspicious behavior. Now the Palm Beach County Sheriff’s Office says it will “re-evaluate the feasibility of going forward,” reports the Florida Sun-Sentinel.
Although the Sheriff’s office had previously indicated it would go ahead with the scheme even without state funding, the project now appears to be on the verge of being mothballed.
“The sheriff appreciates the fact that the Legislature saw fit to fund the program and the governor considered the program and its value before making the tough budget decision,” a spokeswoman said in a statement. “Given the lack for funding, the Sheriff’s Office will re-evaluate the feasibility of going forward, and continue with existing programs to combat violence in the community.”
Critics like former Soviet Union resident Dmitry Levin said the project bore hallmarks of belonging under a tyrannical regime, “It’s a specific telephone line to report your neighbor who doesn’t like the government,” he remarked. “When I read that, my jaw dropped. That’s KGB in its finest form. The next step would be, what, bonuses for reporting?”
A Miami man pulled an 18-foot Burmese python out of roadside brush and wrestled with it for 10 minutes before cutting its head off with a knife.
The 128-pound specimen turned out to be the biggest Burmese python ever captured in Florida, besting the previous record by more than a foot, wildlife officials said.
“I was pretty exhausted and I didn’t want to get bit,” Jason Leon, 23, said of the decapitation that ended his struggle with the massive constrictor.
As a North Carolina congressman, Mel Watt has tried to arm struggling homeowners with a legal “sledgehammer” against lenders and expand the ranks of people eligible to cut their mortgage principal.
Those positions help explain why President Barack Obama has nominated Watt, a Democrat, to oversee Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (FMCC), the mortgage companies seized by the government in 2008. They also underscore Watt’s uphill climb to gain support from the Senate Republicans he’ll need to win confirmation.
Watt’s record hasn’t always put him at odds with big banks, since his district includes the headquarters of Bank of America Corp. as well as thousands of homeowners facing foreclosure. He counts financial firms among his top campaign donors. Still, the nomination is inflaming tensions around housing policy as Republicans and Democrats attempt to jointly redesign the U.S. mortgage system and avoid future taxpayer bailouts.
“The political fight that’s going to be necessary to push this through the committee is going to so sour relationships, that you are just not going to be able to reach across the aisle on a housing finance bill,” said Jaret Seiberg, an analyst at Guggenheim Securities LLC’s Washington Research Group.
Partisan wrangling over Watt could “grind everything to a halt,” Seiberg said.
Republicans aren’t in a hurry to see Watt replace Edward J. DeMarco, the current head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, the independent regulator with oversight of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. DeMarco has resisted pressure from the Obama administration and consumer advocates to allow the two companies to cut the principal balance on troubled loans, saying that would hurt taxpayers more than it would help homeowners.
First Choice
Obama’s first choice to replace DeMarco was former North Carolina banking commissioner Joseph Smith, 63. Smith withdrew in 2011 amid strong Republican opposition to his candidacy. Senator Richard Shelby of Alabama, then the top Republican on the Banking Committee, said Smith would be “a tool” of the White House on mortgage policy.
“It would be a shame if principal reduction turned into a litmus test for FHFA the way Roe v. Wade is for Supreme Court nominees,” said Julia Gordon, director for housing finance and policy at the Center for American Progress, an advocacy group with ties to the Democratic Party.
Republicans who are poring through records of Watt’s history in Congress are questioning his qualifications as well as his politics. “This is a job that requires a very knowledgeable technocrat,” said Senator Bob Corker of Tennessee, also a Banking Committee member. “This is no job for a politician.”
…
The stock market is in a bubble, and the Federal Reserve is getting backed into a corner. This will eventually end badly, but right now there is no immediate end in sight. This is an attribute of almost all bubbles; everyone knows they will come to an end, everyone knows what has happened when other bubbles have burst, but very few want to get off in the middle of the parade.
And if you do not believe it is a bubble, consider this:
The following four sectors have very odd price action when compared to earnings/revenue, and that makes them very important to this discussion. These are important sectors, they have all been under considerable pressure from an earnings/revenue standpoint, but the prices have been skyrocketing.
…
Name:Ben Jones Location:Northern Arizona, United States To donate by mail, or to otherwise contact this blogger, please send emails to: thehousingbubble@gmail.com
PayPal is a secure online payment method which accepts ALL major credit cards.
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-05-20 06:12:25
“Why liberals should love the 2nd Amendment:”
———————————————————————————-
Comment by ecofeco
2013-05-20 06:25:27
“Liberals do love the 2nd. They just don’t BLINDLY love it.”
———————————————————————————-
People Petition to Confiscate Guns From Tea Party … - YouTube
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2diNojgJF9c - 248k - Cached - Similar pages
Apr 8, 2013
People Petition to Confiscate Guns From Tea Party … - YouTube
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2diNojgJF9c - 248k - Cached - Similar pages
Apr 8, 2013
________________
It was just low level IRS employees doing this.
http://www.breitbart.com/
LMAO. Keep flaying that meme, nick. It’s all part of our evil liberal plan….
“It’s all part of our evil liberal plan….”
The plan is falling apart.
Of course, they have come up with one hell of a defence for all this sh#t.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PibDMGxiyJw - 125k
San Francisco Bay Area Rental Rates Continue To Crater
http://picpaste.com/pics/415607c757bf4b201f2777e36c34de08.1369075994.png
Why pay massively inflated prices for resale housing when rental rates are falling? Rent today, buy tomorrow after housing has reached bottom for 65% less.
Other than Berkeley, Orinda, and parts of Oakland, most of Contra Costa County is the ghetto of the Bay Area.
While San Francisco and San Jose have been trading back and forth the #1 spot for apartment revenue growth during much of the past few years, the neighboring Oakland/East Bay area now is making a strong run for that top position.
As of 1Q, Oakland tied with San Francisco for the country’s biggest annual rent growth pace in the biggest markets. Both locales saw effective rents for new leases climb 6.3% between early 2012 and early 2013. San Jose’s performance was third-best nationally at 5.6%.
Occupancy now stands at 96.6% in the East Bay, versus 96.5% in San Jose and 95.6% in San Francisco.
Of course…. your shanty in the SF ghetto is different.
Don’t forget to disclose to the public you a stake in the direction of prices. You overpaid for a run down shanty you could have rented for half the cost.
Housing Analyst, answer the question:
Do you rent or own?
You overpaid for a run down shanty you could have rented for half the cost.
Why did you do that?
your shanty in the SF ghetto is different.
Yeah right, the ghetto that Mark Zuckerberg (booo hisssss for people like him driving up the property values) just bought a house in?
You mean THAT neighborhood?
You’re foaming at the mouth again.
Housing,
Courage of your convictions time. My niece and her husband have both scored post-MBA jobs in San Francisco proper and are looking for a 1-2/1 house or apt where they can have their 2 dogs. According to you they should be able to find something reasonably close-in for less than sfhomowner’s 2K/month mortgage. And yet, after two months of searching, they haven’t found a thing.
Can you look into your vast database and offer any suggestions for them?
After all of this time I would think you knew; he has nothing to offer.
And yet, after two months of searching, they haven’t found a thing
True for anyone trying to rent here. The rental market is insane. Had we a decent place with rent control and a sane landlord, we never would have bought.
Renting with kids and dogs is hellish, at best. A very quick search on craigslist san franciso “housing/apts” will give anyone sticker shock.
And yet, the bubble is back and roaring, so buying right now is ridiculous.
Thanks to HBB, I think we timed it okay. As many of you know, I’ve been on this blog since, I dunno, 2006?
We could have bought in 2009 for less, but with double the interest rate. 3.5% I can live with for a long time.
Truth be told, I am crazy happy with our house. I have never seen a house like it, anywhere, and the garden is mature and beautiful, with an apple, plum, palms, and redwood tree. Ferns, bulbs, flowers popping up now that it is spring/summer. Every morning I go out back and sit in the garden and have my coffee and watch the hummingbirds.
Still have yet to see any fairies, though.
Housing,
Courage of your convictions time. My niece and her husband have both scored post-MBA jobs in San Francisco proper and are looking for a 1-2/1 house or apt where they can have their 2 dogs. According to you they should be able to find something reasonably close-in for less than sfhomowner’s 2K/month mortgage. And yet, after two months of searching, they haven’t found a thing.
——————————————————
I’ve refrained from calling you out as a clueless dope but I’m getting to have my doubts.
What you’re doing here is a hypothetical to substantiate a sick womans charade. Do you really think this shameless womans claim(essentially a charade) has any truth at all to it? Youve been around here long enough and you know precisely whats going on with housing. I know that making a fool out of her like giggling at the Down syndrome kid but what we’re talking here is a bit more than that.
You have a nose for BS. Use it.
“Truth be told, I am crazy happy with our house. I have never seen a house like it, anywhere, and the garden is mature and beautiful, with an apple, plum, palms, and redwood tree. Ferns, bulbs, flowers popping up now that it is spring/summer. Every morning I go out back and sit in the garden and have my coffee and watch the hummingbirds.
Still have yet to see any fairies, though.”
Sounds lovely. I too am enjoying my garden. You might not see any fairies if a termite treatment was part of the buying process.
lol she’ll not go wrong in SF
Other than Berkeley, Orinda, and parts of Oakland, most of Contra Costa County is the ghetto of the Bay Area.
Agree that Contra Costa County is largely ghetto. Berkeley and Oakland are in Alameda County.
I was in Lafayette a few tears ago. It looked like a very nice town.
“Why buy a house at these grossly inflated prices?? Rent the same square footage for half the monthly cost and buy later, after prices crater for 65% less.”
Rent the same square footage for half the monthly cost
Find me a rental (1400 square feet) 3/2 SFH with a yard that allows dogs for half my PITI. Heck, you can barely find one for TWICE my PITI.
Craigslist San Francisco: Mission District, Bernal Heights, Noe Valley, Glen Park.
Go for it.
“Find me a rental”
We did Junkie. Hundreds of them.
Now if you were only truthful about your carrying costs….. We’re not holding our breath .
“Find me a rental”
We did Junkie. Hundreds of them.
Lies.
Send me a craigslist link please.
Your carrying costs are double what you claim.
You’re so neck deep financially that any financial truth is like kryponite. You’re a sick sick woman.
“Find me a rental” We did Junkie. Hundreds of them.
You didn’t find any where she lives cheaper than her PITI. You flat out didn’t. No. Not even. Just saying so does not make it so. Sorry.
Now if you were only truthful about your carrying costs…..
She’s given her PITI many times. It jibes. She’s added projected maintenance costs too. So what are you talking about when you say her true “carrying costs”? Carrying costs of what?
What other cost can be added to PITI and maintenance that would be a cost that one would not also accrue by renting? What are you talking about?
Sure we did. We posted the link with hundreds of rentals. Hundreds of rentals that are a fraction of that unstable woman’s costs.
You just don’t like the fact that she’s lying about her carrying costs.
You just don’t like the fact that she’s lying about her carrying costs.
That makes no sense. I’m defending her math because the math jibes. Why would I defend her math if I did not “like the fact that she’s lying about her carrying costs.”
So I’m supporting her math because I don’t like the fact that she’s “lying about her math”?
So again:
What other cost can be added to her PITI and maintenance (which is less than renting) that would be a cost that one would not also accrue by renting?
Seriously, Housing, where’s the link? I didn’t see it the first time and I need it.
Thanks.
“her math jibes”? LOL
And were supposed to believe a known LIAR like you too?
You fraudsters and your ruses are hilarious.
“And were supposed to believe a known LIAR like you..?”
Housing Analyst’s psychiatric intervention team, June, 2013
Was asking nicely. Sheesh.
Interesting. The quote you referenced didn’t post even though you commented on it. Which suggests two things:
You removed it
You are moderating
I wasn’t talking to you but I will…
Do you really need your hand held on this? With hundreds of rentals, beautiful places, all across the bay area for a fraction of what that we really know are that unstables woman’s carrying costs…. not her fantasy carrying costs.
Do you? Really?
Sure we did. We posted the link with hundreds of rentals. Hundreds of rentals
I don’t need hundreds. Actually, just give me one. Humor me and give me a link TODAY.
Again, go to craigslist San Francisco and find me a 1400 sq. ft. 3/2 rental with a yard that allows dogs.
I’d even be happy with a 2/1 SFH less than 1400 sq. ft.
Any neighborhood in SF, excluding Vis Valley and Bayview (too far and I don’t want my kids to have to wear bullet-proof jackets.)
HUNDREDS of rentals.
You just can’t get honest about your costs so of course you duck and weave from them.
“Bay Area” is not SF.
I believe Analyeast was responding to this:
HA doesn’t care about neighborhoods or commutes. That is because he is in the selling side of the housing business. He isn’t thinking about a place to live. Just a place where someone else (who doesn’t have your priorities or preferences or job or family or whatever) might be willing to buy or rent a house.
When my parents bought the house I grew up in, they really wanted to buy a lot that was closer to the center of town, closer to where my grandparents and aunts lived, closer to the lake, walking distance to more schools etc. But the cost of that lot was the same as the cost of the completed house that they could barely afford. These places were less than two miles apart. The value of the location was that different and this was in the 60s. He doesn’t even recognize that there is a legit difference in value of location between the Woodmont Triangle neightborhood of Bethesda, Maryland and being 20 miles from Albany.
Is is kind of sad.
Hey Lawyer,
Your “it’s the lot!” routine doesn’t get you any closer to your rationalized fantasy asking prices than your other excuses.
Surely you can come up with another fraudulent reason to perpetrate on the unsuspecting public.
Lets hear it.
Signs and symptoms of paranoid schizophrenia
The defining feature of paranoid schizophrenia is absurd or suspicious ideas and beliefs. These ideas typically revolve around a coherent, organized theme or “story” that remains consistent over time. Delusions of persecution are the most frequent theme, however delusions of grandeur are also common.
People with paranoid schizophrenia show a history of increasing paranoia and difficulties in their relationships. They tend to function better than individuals with other schizophrenic subtypes. In contrast, their thinking and behavior is less disordered and their long-term prognosis is better.
You removed it
You are moderating
Is housing analyst really Ben?
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 12:33:51
I wasn’t talking to you but I will…
Now it appears my original post is back you’ve edited it to remove the phrase “her math jibes”. Yet since you scoff at the phrase here:
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 12:11:55
“her math jibes”? LOL
and a quick search reveals that’s the only “her math jibes” in today’s posts, could you tell us what other post you might have been referencing?
Oh what a tangled web we weave….
Joining the Liars Club are we? Here’s the yarn….. get your needles…… but do clean them up the best you can as you junkies carry alot of diseases.
Enjoy.
Oh knock it off, Analyeast. I’m not lying about anything and I’m not “joining” anyone; I was simply soliciting your help.
If you’re going to edit posts to your advantage, at least have the integrity to admit it when you’re caught doing so.
I was kinda on your side up until now.
LOL…. editing posts?
You’re slipping ever deeper.
“Is housing analyst really Ben?”
The thought had crossed my mind, but I’m skeptical. Doesn’t seem to be Ben’s personality. My guess is a personal friend of some sort, or helps run the website…
C’est la vie. If the Pimp IS Ben, then he should know what I paid for my debt shack, since he’s got my home address.
Answer the question. If you didn’t edit my first post who were you responding to here?:
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-05-21 12:11:55
“her math jibes”? LOL
It’s a simple question, yeast. Go on, answer it. Liar.
Doesn’t seem to be Ben’s personality. My guess is a personal friend of some sort, or helps run the website…
I agree with this. If it was anybody else, he’d a been booted long ago…
‘If it was anybody else, he’d a been booted long ago’
I’ve been crawling under a house all day fixing burst pipes and don’t always have time to read what’s going on. I have never posted as anything other than my name and I am the only one moderating.
Nice diversion.
You’re all so distracted with misrepresenting the truth to the public that you can’t even keep your stories straight.
Ah. Thank you, Rio. And Housing, my sincere apologies. Your veracity remains intact.
Renting costs more than “owning”.
So it goes…
How cute…. a liar with a new name.
In the meantime;
SF Bay Area and San Mateo Rental Rates Continue To Erode
http://picpaste.com/pics/e4079db8ee13eb9c10ec0e679d77d2cd.1369157085.png
Renting costs more than “owning”.
So it goes…
Renting costs more than owning? What area? Not in Seattle…..
Buying is twice the monthly cost of “renting”.
So it goes…
Renting costs more than buying, solidly.
So it goes…
And rental rates will continue eroding…. until they’re a quarter the monthly cost of buying….. solidly.
Sit it is….
Renting costs will remain higher than owning costs.
This context-free debate is so much fun
And we’ll keep building and adding more inventory until resale housing prices are halved or more.
Debate? It’s reality….. there is nothing to debate Junkie.
I do think that rental rates will erode, but not for the same reason that HA believes. I think that over the next couple of years, many of the most able renters (ie. those with the highest incomes and money saved) will seek to purchase. If you flush out these renters from the rental pool, you will be left with a higher percentage of folks who have been suffering most during the past 6 years (stagnant incomes, etc.). Landlords will have a tough time pushing rents higher on these folks…they’ll just leave. Landlords will lose pricing power (or have it diminished).
So, if I’m right, whatever rent growth there was over the past few years will slow/stop/reverse over the next several years, not continue at the same pace.
I’m certainly not foaming at the mouth over a single data point, but whenever I’m presented with an apartment investment that is reliant upon rental growth every year of 3-5% for the next 3-5 years, I politely decline.
‘Renting costs will remain higher than owning costs’
Not the house I rent.
‘This context-free debate is so much fun’
I don’t know who you are, but don’t waste bandwidth hitting the comment key more than one time for each comment. And if you don’t like the “debate”, go away.
many of the most able renters (ie. those with the highest incomes and money saved) will seek to purchase.
I am an example of that. It is quite possible that if my rent hadn’t skyrocketed, then I would still be renting today. But I agree that rents will eventually stabilize. Units are starting to saturate with shackup roommates and government cheesechecks. When that’s done, there’s not much more capacity to raise rent faster than inflation. People will likely choose to commute from farther out, or risk living in the hoods.
We know what you’re an example of. We make you the example every day.
Your “skyrocketing rent” narrative is a lie. It’s false and you know it.
DC rents are DOWN 6% in just a year and falling. And they’ve been falling since 2011…. When did you get fleeced on your house? 2012? Well…. you wanted to be “locked in” and you got exactly what you wished for.
Take a look folks…. Falling DC rents for two years…. and still falling.
http://www.zillow.com/local-info/DC-Washington-home-value/r_41568/#metric=mt%3D46%26dt%3D1%26tp%3D4%26rt%3D8%26r%3D41568%252C121697%252C121685%252C121774%26el%3D0
And to the reading public;
Allow the few suckers who got fleeced on housing serve as an example of what not to do. Even in spite of reading everything here, they still leaped off a financial cliff. There is no going back for them. Don’t let it be you.
My heart, thoughts and prayers go out to the folks in Oklahoma who got hit by the tornado. That really, really sux. More violent with more loss of life than a hurricane in Florida. That was a bad one.
+1 I was stunned at the death toll. One of our area radio reporters covered OK for a while. She said that people there are very vulnerable because
1. The land is so flat that you can see 50-60 miles. No cliffs or bluffs to hide under or to divert storms.
2. The water table is high, so surprisingly few houses have basements.
3. Storm shelters are expensive, and the chances of a strike are low, so people live without.
Interesting points. I had no idea the water table was high on the plains. In fact I seem to recall reading that early settlers, being aware of the danger, lived in dugout houses. And I wonder how the Native Americans coped back in the day. I’m sure there’s probably some sort of old lore on how to shelter that’s probably lost to the mists of time.
The water table is dropping.
http://www.upi.com/Business_News/Energy-Resources/2013/05/21/US-groundwater-running-dry/UPI-81191369134227/
Published: May 21, 2013 at 7:03 AM
WASHINGTON, May 21 (UPI) — The depletion of groundwater from one of the largest aquifers in the United States since 2001 was faster than during the entire 20th century, the USGS finds.
The U.S. Geological Survey reviewed groundwater data from 1900 to 2008 and said the annual rate of depletion was accelerating. The Ogallala Aquifer, which covers more than 170,000 square miles in the middle of the United States, declined rapidly because of the high rate of water use for agricultural, industrial and municipal water needs.
“The depletion during the last eight years of record [2001-2008] is about 32 percent of the cumulative depletion in this aquifer during the entire 20th century,” the USGS said in a statement.
The USGS said groundwater depletion has increased steadily since the 1950s but has accelerated more quickly in the last eight years.”
I think the bigger problem is the solid rock a few feet under the ground makes digging basements or storm shelters pretty expensive.
The water table isn’t high on the plains, except in river bottoms.
(The water table was 30 feet under my house in Wichita, didn’t keep us from having a basement).
Builders in Oklahoma and Texas like building houses on slabs. Basements cost money, that they don’t want to bother with, and the neighbors can’t see.
Part of the reason”you get a lot of house for the money” in Texas/Oklahoma.
They used dugouts, because there were no trees, or clay to make bricks on the Plains. Wood houses didn’t appear until the railroads made it possible to carry lumber in.
Several places in the Flint Hills still have limestone fence posts for their barbed wired fences. The only trees out here back then were cottonwoods in river bottoms.
The Plains Indians used tipis……..easier to pack up and move, when following buffalo herds.
Midwest building codes really should mandate a basement or small concrete strong room for all stick-built homes.
Survival barrels would be cheaper.
No. We should just outlaw Tornadoes or perhaps limit them to only EF-2 tornadoes. This way they can’t do as much damage.
After all, we have a moral obligation to do something, anything, if we could save just one life.
I see what you did there… +1
It’s common sense tornado control. Who could possibly oppose common sense measures?
Build a mound and then build your house on the mound and then you can have a basement.
Hey, more land. You guys should be happy.
Has anyone heard that ‘fixer is all right? That is his general area, right?
Fixer’s in Kansas, I think.
OKlandlord is from around there, I assume.
Thank you.
Kansas, Oklahoma…what’s the differece? They are only 1000 miles apart.
Kansas, Oklahoma, 1000 miles apart?
Unless the tornado picked up the whole state of Oklahoma and threw it across the country, I believe they still share a common border.
There needs to be a way to spin this and blame it on Obama. After all, didn’t he promise us in 2009 that this was “the moment the planet started to heal”?
the dems apparently beat them to the punch…republicans fautl…you know…global warming and such.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mass_hysteria
politicians play the sheeple like a fiddle.
oklahoma went over 65 percent for both mccain and romney. this was obama’s payback. he used his african voodoo witchdoctor trickster sorcery that he learned while growing up in kenya to conjure the storm to punish his enemies.
actually it’s the republicans fault…a dem senator says so.
http://dailycaller.com/2013/05/20/democratic-senator-goes-on-anti-gop-rant-over-climate-change-as-tornadoes-hit-oklahoma/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
“Comment by Truth
2013-05-21 07:21:22
oklahoma went over 65 percent for both mccain and romney. this was obama’s payback. he used his african voodoo witchdoctor trickster sorcery that he learned while growing up in kenya to conjure the storm to punish his enemies.”
Hey, you leave Barack Millhouse Nixon alone or he will put you on his ‘enemies list’ and have the IRS crawl up your ass with a microscope. Or maybe tap your phone and e-mail. You got no 1st Amendment rights until HE grants them. You people got to learn to either lay down, lick your nuts and be a good sycophant or you might find yourself gettin’ droned or on your way to ‘Gitmo. If His Omnipotence wants your opinion, he’ll damn-well give it to you! And in an open and “transparent Administration” way, too! Hater. Terrorist. Citizen. Whatever.
…republicans fautl…you know…global warming and such.
The Republican’s “war on science and logic” will not stand forever. Just as the Repub “angry white man” base has started to crumble, so to will much of the Repub’s politically driven idiocy.
The Coming GOP Civil War Over Climate Change
Science, storms, and demographics are starting to change minds among the rank and file.
http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/the-coming-gop-civil-war-over-climate-change-20130509
Kerry Emanuel registered as a Republican as soon he turned 18, in 1973. The aspiring scientist was turned off by what he saw as the Left’s blind ideology. “I had friends who denied Pol Pot was killing people in Cambodia,” he says. “I reacted very badly to the triumph of ideology over reason.”
Back then, Emanuel saw the Republican Party as the political fit for a data-driven scientist. Today, the professor of atmospheric science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology is considered one of the United States’ foremost authorities on climate change—particularly on how rising carbon pollution will increase the intensity of hurricanes.
In January 2012, just before South Carolina’s Republican presidential primary, the Charleston-based Christian Coalition of America, one of the most influential advocacy groups in conservative politics, flew Emanuel down to meet with the GOP presidential candidates. Perhaps an unlikely prophet of doom where global warming is concerned, the coalition has begun to push Republicans to take action on climate change, out of worry that coming catastrophes could hit the next generation hard, especially the world’s poor.
The meetings didn’t take. “[Newt] Gingrich and [Mitt] Romney understood, … and I think they even believed the evidence and understood the risk,” Emanuel says. “But they were so terrified by the extremists in their party that in the primaries they felt compelled to deny it. Which is not good leadership, good integrity. I got a low impression of them as leaders.” Throughout the Republican presidential primaries, every candidate but one—former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, who was knocked out of the race at the start—questioned, denied, or outright mocked the science of climate change.
Soon after his experience in South Carolina, Emanuel changed his lifelong Republican Party registration to independent. “The idea that you could look a huge amount of evidence straight in the face and, for purely ideological reasons, deny it, is anathema to me,” he says.
Emanuel predicts that many more voters like him, people who think of themselves as conservative or independent but are turned off by what they see as a willful denial of science and facts, will also abandon the GOP, unless the party comes to an honest reckoning about global warming.
And a quiet, but growing, number of other Republicans fear the same thing. Already, deep fissures are emerging between, on one side, a base of ideological voters and lawmakers with strong ties to powerful tea-party groups and super PACs funded by the fossil-fuel industry who see climate change as a false threat concocted by liberals to justify greater government control; and on the other side, a quiet group of moderates, younger voters, and leading conservative intellectuals who fear that if Republicans continue to dismiss or deny climate change, the party will become irrelevant.
“There is a divide within the party,”……
‘climate change’ = bunch of librul gobbledygook
and my granddaddy wasn’t no monkey either
“science and logic…”
You keep using those words. I do not think they mean what you think they mean.
“science and logic…” You keep using those words. I do not think they mean what you think they mean.
Blue Skye’s debate team coach, 1971
i will take the global warming crowd more seriously when they publicly rebuke the likes of al gore, this whitehouse senator, and any other public figure that uses isolated tragedies to support their agenda…until then…i am more than comfortable with my skepticism…and the sand where my head is buried is much cooler than in the company of those jackasses.
Just another way of saying that magical thinking is not akin to logic. I’m also pretty sure that debate is not possible with an anti social person. It’s more like trading insults.
I’m also pretty sure that debate is not possible with an anti social person. It’s more like trading insults.
Debate is possible with an anti-social person. You just have to be able to take their dumb name calling and laugh at their illogical bs. Like as per the people who insulted me and called me names yesterday while I engaged in rational debate.
I’ve been called 10 harsh names for every 1 weak sauce name I’ve flung back after I’ve had enough. But names don’t phase me much.
You, BluSky, tend to use more of a passive-aggressive, underhanded, one-line swipe in your “debate”.
I take exception to the underhanded part.
LOL, Blue. THAT’S the tone to strive for.
I take exception to the underhanded part.
I’m apologize.
That was not the right word in your description.
I withdraw “underhanded” and replace it with “quasi-stealthy barbed“
Global Warming? But in the 70s it was global cooling causing tornadoes. It’s so confusing keeping track of it all. Will you leftists make up your mind already? Pick a side and go with it already.
http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2013/05/21/1975-tornado-outbreaks-blamed-on-global-cooling/
All I know is, Montana isn’t as cold was it as in the 80s. In 1984, I recall a whole month under zero. Good times.
Keeps out the riffraff too.
Mile wide tornado at 200mph.
Mile. Wide.
I lived through a 1/2 mile wide one in 1985, dead center. Biggest tornado in PA history. Not fun. Trucks in the treetops, that kind of tornado. Found papers in my field from 300 miles away.
A pro “tornadologist” told me that several of the deaths resulted when amateur storm chasers got caught in a traffic jam of their own making — reminding him of photos of the Iraqi Army fleeing to Basra on Al Jahra Highway.
Good even-handed article. Main points:
1. Housing price rises are spotty and based on location. Market is driven by jobs (DC, SF, Portland), or investors looking for ROI (PHX). “Worthless” flyover (Indy, Erie PA) is done.
2. If it’s a bubble, it’s short-lived. Investors will pull the moment ROI is unfavorable. If you’re not in, you probably missed it.
3. Dropping hints that mortgage rates will increase. (This is showing up in the MSM more and more. Someone must be reading Teh Bernank’s tea leaves and softening the ground.)
—————–
From Brooklyn to California, Housing Bubble Threat Grows
By Prashant Gopal & Kathleen M. Howley - May 16, 2013 (bloomibergi)
“Just a year since the U.S. housing market hit bottom after the biggest plunge in eight decades, signs of excess are re-emerging…. U.S. home prices jumped almost 11 percent in March from a year earlier.
U.S. buyers spent three times their annual incomes on homes at the end of last year, and those properties were 15 percent pricier relative to incomes than before the housing bubble of the mid-2000s, according to data from Seattle-based Zillow (Z).
It’s too early to say another bubble is emerging. So far, the biggest gains are limited to hard-hit markets such as Phoenix and Las Vegas and thriving job centers such as San Francisco, while prices are falling in cities such as Chicago and Indianapolis, according to CoreLogic.
Spotty Recovery
In areas such as Long Island, New York, and Omaha, Nebraska, price gains are within moderate growth levels of 3 percent to 5 percent.”
Vitner of Wells Fargo said investors are buying properties as quickly as they can and when they leave, housing will take a hit. Investors accounted for 19 percent of sales in the U.S. in March and even more in some former bubble markets, according to the National Association of Realtors.
“The problem is if they don’t earn a high enough return, they all walk away,” Vitner said. “Investors accounted for a larger proportion of the housing recovery than people realize.”
“We’re eventually going to see mortgage rates increase, supply increase, and affordability decline, so you probably cut price gains at least by half,” Naroff said. “It will be a slowdown, not a crash.”
——————
A “housing recovery is dramatically lower and more affordable housing prices by definition, thus the fundamentals of the article are flawed.
jobs in portland? thought that was where young people move to retire
Dream of the 90s.
Still alive in the ’10s.
Unemployment Rates for Metropolitan Areas March 2013
““We’re eventually going to see mortgage rates increase, supply increase, and affordability….”
improve.
Bubble thinking is inside out.
This is “bubble thinking” if people get “into” these high-interest affordable houses via teaser rates, no money down, neg-am, etc. Without Fannie and Freddie no longer acting as the greatest fool, I don’t see how those NINJAs will come back.
This guy’s quote sounds more like investor thinking. Rate increase and supply increase means a price drop. J6P is stuck paying high PITI, while investors looking for rentals will snap up the low price for cash. J6P will be even more shut out than he is now.
You would rather borrow double at half the interest rate. That is Debt Donkey thinking.
I try to point this out all the time to friends, colleagues, etc, mostly to no avail.
If you have an additional, say, $500 per month that you can put toward the principal, which loan will you pay down faster? Why would anyone choose the harder-to-pay-down situation?
People loooove being debt donkeys.
Why would anyone choose the harder-to-pay-down situation?
Because choosing the easier situation means waiting for the easier situation… and paying rent every month while I wait. I went through this in gory detail over a year ago.
Hey DebtDonkey…… You fail to be honest about housing demand. It’s at 17 year lows and falling.
Why is that DebtDonkey?
And DebtDonkey….. You fail to disclose to the reading public that you have a stake in the direction of prices.
Why is that DebtDonkey?
Oxy, you should go back and read your posts from a year ago. You went into great detail about how you were going to get rich from your debt.
You never get rich by borrowing, except in a Ponzi.
Oxy, you should go back and read your posts from a year ago. You went into great detail about how you were going to get rich from your debt.
I recall she wrote that her PITI was cheaper or the same as renting, fixed, and that in 30 years her house would be paid for. And it was more of a defense from hostile attacks than it was bragging.
In my book, by American standards that is doing fine but not “getting rich”.
You don’t recall anything except lies.
You’re LYING DRAMA QUEEN.
I personally have a problem with anyone getting rich from housing.
Same goes for health care.
Housing is for shelter. Morally I just have a problem with massive inequality in any area that is a basic human need, whether it be food, shelter, or health care.
I would never want to be a landlord or a flipper or a developer. I bought a house, after much deliberation and many hours on HBB, because I needed a place to live, and the math penciled out. End of story.
So yeah, whatever, call me a socialist.
“morally”
LOL…. you don’t know the definition of the word.
Because choosing the easier situation means waiting for the easier situation…
I ain’t mad atcha, oxy. I get it. And if your plan is to stick to the amortization schedule for most of those 30 years, you’ve got the same overall outlay.
My point has more to do with wanting to pay it down faster and, in the bigger picture, how far down the debt rabbit hole we keep going, effectively having to come up with lower rates and/or new “products” to manufacture affordability. We’re addicted to debt now.
Aha! I’ve been looking for that bit of information. So the pre-bubble average was about 2.6x income.
Wrong again AlWog.
Try 2x.
Try 2x.
Not according to Zillow.
Perhaps you have some other information? That you could link us to?
Perhaps you can go to census bureau.
Thanks,
Management
Perhaps you can go to census bureau.
Good suggestion, so I did. In 1969 the median household income was $8,486, and the median house sold was $26,800. that’s 3.16x income.
In 1979, the median household income was $16,841, and the median house sold was $63,800. That’s 3.79x income.
Rearranging the data and presenting it as truth merely makes you a liar.
Now post the source of the data and link to it. You won’t because you’re lying.
Why do you continue to lie to the public about housing? Why do you want people enslaved to massively inflated mortgage payments on rapidly depreciating assets?
Now post the source of the data and link to it. You won’t because you’re lying.
http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/income/data/historical/state/state1.html
http://www.census.gov/const/uspricemon.pdf
I used the month of July for median household sale price.
In 1989 median household income was $30,056, and median house sold was $116,000- 3.85x income.
In 1999, the numbers were $41,994, and $158,200- 3.76x income.
Typical Alwog…. You really did lie. You quoted inflation adjusted incomes against nominal housing prices.
You’re a real creep…
Why do you continue to lie to the public about housing? Why do you want people enslaved to massively inflated mortgage payments on rapidly depreciating assets?
Typical Alwog…. You really did lie. You quoted inflation adjusted incomes against nominal housing prices.
No, I didn’t. in inflation adjusted dollars (adjusted to 1999, the year the chart was made) incomes were: 1969- $33,249. 1979- $36,029. 1989- $39,213. 1999 was the same, of course.
I quoted both house prices and incomes in their nominal amounts, not their inflation adjusted amounts.
Thanks, for lying, though!
Now post the source of the data and link to it.
No, you. Find me that rental for half the cost.
And given interest rates today are less than 1/2 what they were in ‘89 or ‘99. I posted this a few days ago, it’s 50% cheaper today for the median income household to purchase the median income priced home in America using a 30 year fixed mortgage compared to the year 2000. That isn’t opinion, it’s simple math.
You two dishonest suckers deserve each other.
And worse yet for you Alwog, you quoted NEW housing, not resale.
YOU are a serial LIAR.
And given interest rates today are less than 1/2 what they were in ‘89 or ‘99. I posted this a few days ago, it’s 50% cheaper today for the median income household to purchase the median income priced home in America using a 30 year fixed mortgage compared to the year 2000. That isn’t opinion, it’s simple math.
Seriously? Do you think you’re going to get away with slipping this turd in the punchbowl? Your dishonesty is quite insidious.
The financing rate is 50% cheaper. The total cost to finance is 50% HIGHER as transaction prices are double what they were in 2000.
And transaction prices are 200% higher today than they were in year 2000. That’s not opinion, it’s simple math.
Why do you think you can get away with lying to the public about housing on the Housing Bubble Blog?
Fer crying out loud HA
I’m not Iwog, but at least if you’re going to assume someone is, assume it’s me not Alpha Sloth. This is sloppy work even for you.
A liar and a liar is a distinction without a difference.
“A liar and a liar is a distinction without a difference.”
So now you’re a Realtor? Thanks for coming out of the closet.
Incriminate yourself some more. Proceed Alwog.
It’s not a big surprise. You’re posting style SCREAMS Realtor. Realtors deal in absolutes while us Bears recognize nuances. We Bears will admit we were wrong, while you Realtors will stick to your guns even when it’s obvious you story is a load. It’s a big step forward for you to come clean. However, it’s a big step back posting under other aliases. I do believe you will eventually become a respectable Bear worthy of Ben’s blog.
More AlWog. Pour a few more shots first.
I have to admit, I was rather disappointed to see you posting as Truth again. I thought you had broken your addiction to handle hopping. If you want to re-establish yourself as a legitimate poster here, all you have to do is stick to one handle, and post stuff either as opinion (ie. I believe there are around 25 million houses in shadow inventory) or back up info you present as facts (ie no bogus links, or claiming that you alreadyt posted the info.) One other suggestion. Get over the idea that I’m Iwog. He’ll hound you relentlessly if realises that you’re seeing his shadow all over the interweb. PS. If you have any doubt about whether I’m actually Iwog, look back on my prevous posts and you’ll see I’m a Canadian.
‘We Bears will admit we were wrong’
I never thought the bubble was done with. Just the prices in little Flagstaff were proof enough of that. Admit what you want, but you don’t speak for me. IMO it’s still the same bubble.
You’re drunker that I though. Keep going.
Hey Ben,
Here’s my thoughts. I believed that the once the bubble popped that prices would fall in line with historic trends, or below as people became disenchanted with housing. Canadian markets would follow in 2008/2009. It didn’t happen. People with influence did some crazy shtuff which prevented markets from behaving as one would expect.
We didn’t see this coming, although potentially we could have. Supressed interest rates tend to push people towards buying and away from saving and renting. Supressed interest rates drive investors away from fixed income and towards everything else, including housing as we have seen. As a true Bear, I’m able to admit things didn’t work as predicted.
Having said that, I fully believe that housing markets will eventually trend towards the norm. They can’t stay suspended by manipulation forever. I see the HBB as being potentially the best source of info on what might come next, but you know who has a bad habit of inhibiting coherent discussion. Take the question of shadow inventory as an example. It’s very pertinent, but you know who tends to yell really loud when anyone tries to discuss it, repeating the same number unsubstantiated number. By now the collective brain power of the HBB could have probably come up with a pretty reasonable estimate if the discussion hadn’t been disrupted.
Just one guy’s opinion.
More interesting info from the article:
The 2.6x income ratio was predicated on pre-bubble interest rates of 6.5-7%.
For reference, I now pay a 4.0% interest rate. In order for me to pay 7% interest rates and have the same PI, my house price would have to drop ~27%.
Lol.
Junkie,
What did you pay for run down shack?
I’d call 6.5-7% well into bubble phase. When I bought my former house in 2000, my rate was around 9.75%.
Alpha, to be accurate your figures need to look at median income of homeowners. Which one would think would be higher - but then it would include retirees with low incomes and high value homes so who knows. What about comparing the median income of households headed by a 30- 50 yr old to the median price of a house.
Worthless flyover is done, I agree with this. Upstate New York and Pennsylvania - done for sure… except if people want to do the Oil City plan. (I think this idea is questionable if you’re over 50 yrs old or have a chronic illness.)
I think Upstate NY and PA might be done even if people do move “back to the land” because of the harshness of their winters.
Instead of Oil City, retirees might consider a nice town in the Pittsburgh area. Buying or renting is probably pretty cheap and Pittsburgh has some of the best hospitals in the world.
PGH and PHL area are not upstate and yes, UPMC is excellent. I spent some time in Oakland (Pitt) for a couple summers in college, interesting place. I have particularly fond memories of the Cathedral of Learning and its vicinity as well as walking up Cardiac Hill to Scaife Hall.
But not The O?
Dare I ask why they named it Cardiac Hill?
That’s where everyone collapses after eating at The O.
Cardiac hill = probably because UPMC people named it. It’s right next to UPMC and Pitt’s medical school. And it is very steep. I wonder if AZ slim ever tried to bike up it, I’m thinking it might be nearly impossible.
I went to the O (we called it the Dirty O) and also Primanti Brothers. Good times. The O was where people went when drunk/stoned/both.
The O was where people went when drunk/stoned/both.
I don’t know what you’re talking about.
That’s funny, I was not legal drinking age when I spent my summers there and I don’t see how you live _without_ getting drunk and/or high in Oakland PGH in the summers. The Cathedral Lawn was basically a hodge podge of people playing ultimate frisbee and smoking (very weak) mj.
Cardiac hill = probably because UPMC people named it. It’s right next to UPMC and Pitt’s medical school. And it is very steep. I wonder if AZ slim ever tried to bike up it, I’m thinking it might be nearly impossible.
I *think* tried to ride up Cardiac Hill. And I know that I failed. It’s a very steep hill.
North Atlantic Avenue off of Penn Avenue was about my limit.
Exactly. People here look down on the oil city life and don’t seem to realize there are affordable cities with good hospitals. And in the case of Pittsburgh - good jobs.
Pittsburgh is where the real hospital is if you live in Oil City.
Good thing UPMC is only 100 miles from Oil City. If you conveniently time your heart attack for non-rush hour times so the Fort Pitt Tunnel isn’t backed up, you’ll have a fighting chance. Or perhaps you’re saying let the locals treat your MI and then transfer you to UPMC afterwards. A roll of the dice, IMO.
Good thing UPMC is only 100 miles from Oil City. If you conveniently time your heart attack for non-rush hour times so the Fort Pitt Tunnel isn’t backed up, you’ll have a fighting chance
I don’t know much about heart attacks. (knock on wood) Does a close, state of an art hospital make much difference compared to a small facility during the heart attack? Or would the difference come later for a complicated scheduled procedure?
Survival rates and outcomes are hard to come by but yes, there are new and improved treatments for heart attacks and strokes and they are time sensitive. UPMC is a world-class hospital, one of the 10 (or so) best in the US and a leader in many specialities. OTOH, Oil City is basically in the middle of nowhere, someone could prove me wrong, but I really doubt most of us would want to roll the dice and chance a serious illness or injury up there. PA has been unable to attract many physicians to work in it’s “T Zone” (PA outside of PHL/PGH areas) for a long time, even though they offer loan repayment to lure physicians to rural/underserved areas.
PA has been unable to attract many physicians to work in it’s “T Zone” (PA outside of PHL/PGH areas) for a long time, even though they offer loan repayment to lure physicians to rural/underserved areas.
I came from a rural/underserved area that has a hard time getting and keeping doctors. If the system wasn’t designed to keep the number of doctors artificially low the problem would take care of itself. There are people from those areas who would be willing to live and work in those areas after graduation if they could get into and afford med school. But first they would have to be allowed into med school and then either educated more cheaply or paid more or their loans paid off. Our system does not support that. So only the elite go to med school and they would rather live with their fellow elites on the coasts.
Carl, I agree with you. The AMA is a very effective lobby. PA actually has a new medical school (just opened in last few years) in NE PA (near Scranton). But want to make a prediction on how many of those doctors end up in rural/underserved areas? Probably not many. Residencies tend to be at large, urban teaching hospitals. People get used to certain amenities and a certain lifestyle. And it’s hard to give that up right after you go from being paid peanuts (residency) to making real money.
“If you conveniently time your heart attack for non-rush hour times so the Fort Pitt Tunnel isn’t backed up”
From Oil City, you would probably come down 79 North and not need to go through the Fort Pitt tunnel. You would cross the I-279 or I-579 bridge from the North Side.
True story: It was a Saturday night in November 1957. Big hit movie was playing outside Pittsburgh.
My very pregnant mom and dad just had to go see it. “Gunfight at the OK Corral.” Starring Burt Lancaster and Kirk Douglas.
Mom felt a bit uncomfortable, but shrugged it off. Dad insisted that they go to the hospital.
Reason: He didn’t want Mom doing something really inconvenient like giving birth in the Fort Pitt Tunnel during the Monday morning rush hour. Such things did happen, and that was a bit too out on the edge for my dad.
Dad’s hunch was right. I was born the next morning. In a Pittsburgh hospital.
That’s a nice story.
“We’re eventually going to see mortgage rates increase, supply increase, and affordability decline, so you probably cut price gains at least by half,” Naroff said. “It will be a slowdown, not a crash.”
BWAHAHAHAAAA!! Famous last words from yet another ‘expert’.
‘It won’t burst like a bubble, it will just settle a bit- like a souffle.’
‘Real estate never decreases in value.’
‘The stock market appears to have reached a permanently high plateau…’
‘My good friends, for the second time in our history, a British Prime Minister has returned from Germany bringing peace with honour. I believe it is peace for our time…’
‘The Titanic is unsinkable!’
And don’t forget the most famous of all:
“MISSION ACCOMPLISHED!”
“This is the strongest global economy I’ve seen in my business lifetime” — Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, July 2007
We’re eventually going to see mortgage rates increase, supply increase, and affordability decline
I suspect the “affordability decline” ’tis a mere short term affect. Eventually prices will have to shrink to keep the month nut the same, which unfortunately is how buyers buy.
Basically the reverse of what it did in the early 2000s (at least around here). When rates dropped then, the monthly amount dropped a bit as prices held. As demand and the ability to keep the monthly nut the same with a higher price increased, so did prices.
which asset is looking more bubbly, stocks or homes?
Solar stocks? Fools buying companies with billions in losses hoping for a government bail out.
which asset is looking more bubbly, stocks or homes?”
turns out it was Gold
Great news. Illegals will be eligible for welfare as soon as they get amnesty.
“The SenateJudiciary Committee voted Monday to allow illegal immigrants who get legal status to begin collecting tax-welfare payments, as the panel spent a fourth day working through amendments to the massive immigration bill and party-line splits began to emerge.”
But that’s OK. They’re getting real tough on illegals. Why after a 3rd DUI conviction, they **MIGHT** get deported. And yet even that is too much for the amnesty people. “In one major change, the committee voted 17-1 to make a third drunken-driving conviction a deportable offense for the newly legalized immigrants if at least one of those offenses occurs after they are approved for legal status. But immigrant-rights groups called that a rollback of due-process rights for the immigrants and said a drunken-driving incident shouldn’t cost someone a chance at citizenship.”
This is beyond insane. These people broke the law to come here. Now we’re rewarding them with amnesty and apparently we can’t put ANY conditions on amnesty.
HOPE N CHANGE!!!
Can you say Permanent Democrat Supermajority?
Forward
What? No. You mean Democrats are doing this for political reasons? I’m shocked. I was led to believe they’re doing this from the goodness of their hearts to help their fellow man and because our differences make us stronger and because America’s economic woes will be fixed by having 30 million non-English Speaking, uneducated peasants as new citizens eligible for welfare.
i thought amnesty was about opening the door to more engineers, doctors and other highly valuable citizens?
you racist.
Comment by michael
2013-05-21 07:09:31
you racist.
?
“more engineers, doctors and other highly valuable citizens”
dog whistle for “white people”…ok…maybe asians.
In Colorado would know more, but hi-skilled workers aren’t the ones who need to look for a better life. Evidently the professional class does rather well south of the border.
But it’s “for the children” or whatever. Here the New York Times solicits sympathy for people who die during their undocumented entry into USA.
http://mobile.nytimes.com/2013/05/21/us/immigrant-death-rate-rises-on-illegal-crossings.html
More “it’s for the children” sad violins playing from the local rag.
http://www.denverpost.com/news/ci_22374170/fear-from-swift-plant-raid-resonates-greeley-six
Nice, huh? No wonder the rule of law has become a complete joke.
Well, you get what you reward. Reward criminality, perversion, torture, war, well, that’s what you get.
It makes perfect sense why the Dems are all in amnesty. What I don’t get is why McCain and Miss Lindsey Graham are so gun ho on it. They can’t be that stupid. They know this means the end of the GOP and a Democrat majority for the next 75 years at least. Why they’re a party to this is the question. McCain has always been a RINO, but I never though he hated the party that much. His last act will be a giant F.U. to his party. Graham…there are pictures of him with a dead boy that La Raza has. I’m sure of it. In either case amnesty will be the end of this country as we know it.
“dead boy”
in the olden days a live boy would do it…dead girl…but a live boy.
our standards have…hell….there are no standards anymore.
http://mobile.wnd.com/2012/09/claim-obama-hid-gay-life-to-become-president/
There’s something queer about that story.
the end of this country as we know it.
Don’t we know it as a nation founded by immigrants?
https://www.numbersusa.com/content/nusablog/beckr/september-2-2009/ted-kennedys-immigration-legacy-and-why-did-he-do-it.html
“He also said that he believes that, despite all the liberal veneer, Kennedy was deeply beholden to the country’s banking titans and other globalist business entities who have so much interest in the free flow of international labor and in keeping the wages of Americans stagnant.”
it’s always about the money.
I can explain McCain, who is a prime example of why a person who has been a POW and subjected to torture should never, EVER hold a position that affects national policy, elected or appointed. It’s not that POWs or torture victims are bad people, it’s that they have been subjected to such horrible duress by the enemy that conceding to the opposite side in ANY subsequent situation is an ingrained, automatic, knee-jerk, unconscious activity. Hence McCain’s constant compulsion to “reach across the aisle”. He can’t help it, actually. The enemy becomes the friend, the friend becomes the enemy.
People who have been through what McCain has been through should be given honorific, undemanding positions in an atmosphere of calm and kindness.
Graham is just a twisted POS.
Anticipating that my comments might bring on some argument and mis-interpretation, I want to qualify that there is a distinction between a POW subject to torture and duress by the enemy, and a wounded war vet who has not been subject to imprisonment, who can and do serve the people with honor, even if I may not always agree with them.
lindsey graham = never been married
So? What difference does that make? Plenty of people never marry.
I think what you’re referring to is the rumors of homosexuality, etc. that have dogged him. Humph. There are also guys who are on the down low.
That he never married is not something I would hold against him.
Married or not, he’s just twisted.
lindsey graham = never been married
I bet the married but gay vastly out number the unmarried and gay.
unmarried and NOT gay.
So? What difference does that make? Plenty of people never marry.
Had I not met my lady I think there is a good chance I never would have married.
Had I not met my lady I think there is a good chance I never would have married.
Ditto. And that was just over a year ago.
What I don’t get is why McCain and Miss Lindsey Graham are so gun ho on it
Capitalism can’t function without cheap labor.
Whatever the case may be, there’s only one name for the members of the “Gang of Eight”, or as I like to call them alternately, The Gangbanger Eight or the Gang of Hate.
They are TRAITORS, complete, utter, contemptible TRAITORS, and worthy of the treatment that society, sooner or late, metes out to TRAITORS.
Sick, sick men, every one of them, without exception.
you get what you reward. Reward criminality, perversion, torture
That’s why Abe refused to reward that.
Was it ever about anything besides the 0.1% ?
“Washington has all but abandoned efforts to help the economy recover faster — and lawmakers don’t seem worried that voters will punish them for it.
There is also mounting evidence that the political donor class — wealthier Americans — is feeling a stock-market-fueled surge of optimism about the economy. It all adds up to inaction.”
http://m.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/as-rich-gain-optimism-lawmakers-lose-economic-urgency/2013/05/20/0e4104d2-bf09-11e2-9b09-1638acc3942e_story.html
You can’t fix our kind of stupid.
Yes we can!
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-partisan/wp/2013/05/09/the-insiders-the-obama-economy-has-delivered-for-the-1-percent/
The one percent also did pretty well under the Reagan, Clinton and Bush II economies.
Not as well under Bush I. How many terms did he serve again?
You can’t fix our kind of stupid.
I don’t know if it’s stupid or lazy. Both the Tea Party and Occupy Wall Street people had the right idea, which is that acting as a citizen involves more than just voting. Unfortunately, OWS fizzled out, leaving most people convinced that there’s nothng that they can do.
I don’t think that “fizzle” quite describes what happened to Occupy Wall Street.
“Muzzle” works better.
which is that acting as a citizen involves more than just voting.
The irony is that it was the citizen that was the undoing of both movements.
Once the citizens on the left let themselves believe that the TP was solely a mechanism of the right, it was doomed. Once the citizens on the right let themselves believe that OWS was solely a mechanism of the left, it was doomed.
I agree. They did have plenty of help coming to those conclusions, though, thanks to the media agenda.
Media? Just 6 companies own 90% of all English speaking MSM.
“Just 6 companies own 90% of all English speaking MSM.”
So what? If it’s 6 or 600 they all spew the same garbage.
This is all very confusing to me. Housing Analyst keeps saying there is no demand for housing, prices are crashing, nobody’s buying and real estate is dead. And yet this happened….
“In another sign of the revitalized U.S. housing market, home-improvement retailer Home Depot (HD) beat the Street on Tuesday with an 18% leap in first-quarter profits and upgraded its 2013 financial guidance. The stronger-than-expected quarterly results and rosier outlook sent the blue-chip company’s stock rallying almost 4% in premarket action.
Home Depot said it earned $1.22 billion, or 83 cents a share, last quarter, compared with a profit of $1.04 billion, or 68 cents a share, a year earlier. Analysts had been calling for EPS of just 77 cents. Revenue increased 7.4% to $19.1 billion, topping the Street’s view of $18.69 billion.”
You do seem confused Mr Slithers.
Do you think mortgage apps are at 1997 levels for no reason?
Or that SFR transactions at 1996 levels are for no reason?
You’re not confused Slithers. You’re a slippery, sneaky hack using silly left/right nonsense to detract while posting pro-realtor/NAHB/MBA tripe.
could it be that home depot is doing so well because people are fixing up their houses to sell?
Winner-winner, Chicken-Dinner!! Ding! Ding! Ding!
+1.
During the bubble, HBB tracked the Lowe’s paint counter as a barometer for flipper activity. My local HD paint counter has been busy as a bee for months. The garden department is a mob scene on weekends. There have been days when there isn’t a SINGLE spot in the parking lot.
…or actually having make long neglected repairs they thought they weren’t going to have to do because they thought they were going to sell?
During the crash, HD/Lowe’s tumbled as well. That was proof real estate was crashing. Now that HD/Lowe’s is surging, it’s also proof real estate is crashing. It’s like global warming here. Too much rain = proof of global warming. But drought is also proof of global warming. No matter what happens, it’s proof there’s global warming. No matter what happens, it’s proof the housing market is crashing. It’s very convenient.
Reality says something different..
HD/Lowe’s does well when real estate does well. People buy a house then they go to HD/Lowe’s to buy appliances for thew new house, replace the carpet, pain the ugly green and pink rooms, get some updated light fixtures, and plant a bunch of flowers in the yard. No matter how nice the new house is, there’s always something new owners change when they move in. Every house I’ve owned has involved some renovating. At a minimum some paint.
And also, ff you’re about to walk away from a mortgage, you’re not going to do any renovations. But if you decide to stay after all then you will. So the fact people are renovating existing homes means they’re not planning on walking away. Which means the number of foreclosures will decrease sharply in the next 6-12 months.
So the fact people are renovating existing homes means they’re not planning on walking away. Which means the number of foreclosures will decrease sharply in the next 6-12 months.
Renovating to sell in the hot market? Most people facing foreclosure don’t have money to spend on fixes.
“Renovating to sell in the hot market? Most people facing foreclosure don’t have money to spend on fixes.”
That’s what I said. People who face foreclosure don’t spend money at HD whether they have money or not. You don’t spend money on a house you’re walking away from. The fact they are spending money means they are no longer planning to walk.
You can twist this any way you like it, fact is when HD does well, housing does well and vice versa.
Hey goobers …… construction is seasonal.
Very few of them ever ‘walked’. Many more just ’squatted’.
Hey goobers …… construction is seasonal.
So are house sales.
LMAO…..And sales are at 1997 levels.
Do keep up Eco.
New construction is seasonal. Flipper paint, Pergo and granite are winter jobs.
And did you know that there are actual places in this country that have a mild winter? And that those places have houses in them?
psssst…. Hey Junkie….. here’s a secret for you…..
Slapping together houses might be 10-15% of construction dollar volume. You’ve been at the housing altar for so long you can’t think straight.
So you’re saying that 85-90% of construction is weather independent? Then why did you bother to say that construction is seasonal since it appears that it’s not? It also justifies why HD does well year-round.
You’re the only one saying it DebtDonkey.
How far underwater are you? $100k? 200k?
Ultimately, this is what it’s about. It might seem ridiculous and petty, but ultimately, policy makers are mere humans, interested in providing for themselves and their families. They’re just like any other career-oriented person. Realize that, and it explains a lot.
Timothy F. Geithner, who finished his term as U.S. Treasury secretary in January, has found a buyer for his house in Bethesda, Maryland, just a week after listing the home for $995,000.
Geithner bought the home in August 2009 for $950,000, according to public records.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-03-21/geithner-s-home-under-contract-one-week-after-listing.html
“Hey goobers …… construction is seasonal.”
Home Depot’s profit improvement was not 18% sequential, but 18% year-on-year.
2013’s first quarter’s profit was 18% above 2012’s first quarter’s profit ($1.22 Billion vs. $1.04 Billion).
“2013’s first quarter’s profit was 18% above 2012’s first quarter’s profit ($1.22 Billion vs. $1.04 Billion).”
Don’t confuse him with pesky things like facts and figures and logic.
It’s not nearly as confusing as mortgage apps at 1996 levels…. and falling.
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2013/03/20130328_house2.jpg
Now RUN from it Slithers. It’s what you do best.
“We’re in a deflationary spiral and depreciating assets like houses are accelerating the spiral.”
What’s really going on in California Housing
California imposed a new law on banks innocuously called “Homeowners Bill of Rights” which forces banks to switch over to a judicial foreclosure process, which they can opt to do on their own, but takes a year or more to renegotiate contracts and compensation structures for the foreclosure law firms who do all the leg work for the banks. And while those changes are being made… it makes it appear that foreclosures have slowed down dramatically in the state.
The reality?
Defaults (undeclared) are spiraling upward that yet have to pass through the foreclosure pipeline.
The truth?
California is still the highest foreclosure state in sheer volume and percentage.
The low-down?
Resale housing is still massively overpriced as a result of unprecedented interference by individual states and the federal government. The market distortions will be removed and the down draft will continue allowing the market to correct.
With millions of excess empty houses and housing demand at 17 year lows, housing prices have a long way to fall. A very long way to fall.
What is the residual value of a 20+ year old house?
Hint: not much
“What is the residual value of a 20+ year old house?
Hint: not much”
That’s why 110 year old houses which cost under $10,000 when new, sell for $550K today.
http://www.trulia.com/property/1040402096-620-W-16th-Ave-Spokane-WA-99203
I know math can be hard, but come on this is getting silly with you.
Personally, I’m surprised ANY house in Spokane can sell for $550k. And this one, while in one of the more desirable areas of S Spokane (the other being Browne’s Addition), is a stone’s throw from dozens of mansions that appear to serve as halfway houses for future Section 8ers.
“Personally, I’m surprised ANY house in Spokane can sell for $550k”
I’m surprised people pay $2M for the same house in Seattle. But hey, each to their own.
Browne’s Addition is the most overhyped area. It’s run down old houses that have been converted to apartments with the odd nice house in between. And it’s right next to the train tracks as an added bonus. But once again, each to their own. I guess living next to crack houses is chic nowadays.
South Hill has a few hit and miss areas but overall it’s a nice place.
Browne’s Addition is the most overhyped area.
Agreed, but there really aren’t other “nice” areas of Spokane.
Then again, these are the areas in other cities that have gotten gentrified in the past decade. While I ridicule these areas, I actually like that Spokane still has a lot of the grit that other cities, like Portland, have shrugged off.
Are you from the area? Living there now? (I thought you were an east coaster)
Me an east coaster? Pshaw. I went to college there but I’m a west coast kid through and through. I live a little outside Spokane but I’m not from here. I love living here though. Mountains and lakes all around, perfect summer weather (typical June-Sept day is 70s/80s, sun and 20% humidity), practically no traffic, at least compared to Seattle/SF/LA.
There are definitely some rough areas, but find me a city of 250K+ people without them. South Hill is great, Country Homes/Indian Trail area is nice, Liberty Lake/Greenacres as well if you want the suburban/country option that’s still less than 30 mins to downtown. And it’s affordable. $500K is the high end of real estate.
I think Spokane gets an undeserved bad rap for being “gritty” as you put it. I wish more people from L.A. would feel the same way and stop moving here. Not to go off on a rant here….but WTF is it with people from LA that move here (or anywhere really) and the second they get here they complain about how “here” isn’t like back in L.A. and how much they miss good Sushi. Then why the hell did you leave? Go back and eat all the good sushi you want and leave the rest of us alone. Rant off.
My bad. I must’ve confused you with another poster…
but WTF is it with people from LA that move here (or anywhere really) and the second they get here they complain about how “here” isn’t like back in L.A.
Same story here in Portland. Their transience leads to instability in this region, IMO.
I could live in Spokane. I like the grit. That was a compliment.
Spokane County:
Median income $49,250
Median house: $192,800
3.9 ratio
King County (Seattle)
Median Income: $70,500
Median house: $402,000
5.7 ratio
I dig Portland as well. To visit. I don’t think I could deal with the nuttiness. Also the reason I passed on moving to Missoula. Great city to visit, I’d probably go insane being there 365 days a year. I’m only a 3 hour drive away now which is perfect.
Portland’s cool but don’t dare tell anyone that it doesn’t have to be the best place in the whole history of places. I’ve never seen a place put on a pedestal the way this place is, with so much self-love. It’s like people have to convince themselves that they actually like living here, it’s so over the top how much you’re hit over the head being reminded of its awesomeness. Okay, my rant off.
It’s like people have to convince themselves that they actually like living here, it’s so over the top how much you’re hit over the head being reminded of its awesomeness.
Since so many people move there from other places, it may also be that they’re trying to convince themselves that they made such a brilliant decision to make the move. I’ve noticed that in other places.
A certain amount of civic pride is OK, but it’s odd that so many have their self-esteem wrapped up in the city or state or whatever that they reside in.
When a paid hack and liar like you resort to quoting a NAR affiliate, you know your digging a deeper hole.
How about retiring this user name and going back to your otherone?
1. Your and you’re are 2 separate words. Just like loose and lose.
2. You are insane.
3. This is the last time I will reply to one of your posts. Adios.
Why did it take so long to arrive at this conclusion?
I have a bulletin for you Slithers….. I’ll be right here exposing your BS every time you post it.
http://www.oftwominds.com/blog.html
Michael, one of the BEST articles by Charles Hugh Smith I’ve ever read. He has articulated, and very simply and in understandable terms, what THE problem is.
Unfortunately people have a difficult time confronting evil. They think “that’s just the way things are”.
These sociopaths exist in every day life, too. I just slid gracefully out of a gig in order to avoid the carnage that’s coming down the pike as a result of one of these turds. And it’s so true that there is a secondary contagion spread by their association with others. Over the past year, I have watched an otherwise decent guy I know become infected. A real tragedy. Even he realizes it on some level and the shame affects his life and relationships.
What people have to realize, too, is that these characters often hide and they’re very difficult to spot. Their lackeys and close associates usually end up getting the blame.
These sociopaths exist in every day life, too. I just slid gracefully out of a gig in order to avoid the carnage that’s coming down the pike as a result of one of these turds. And it’s so true that there is a secondary contagion spread by their association with others. Over the past year, I have watched an otherwise decent guy I know become infected. A real tragedy. Even he realizes it on some level and the shame affects his life and relationships.
I’ve dealt with those people too. If you’re in the business world, even as a low-level employee, you must be on the lookout for them.
May I also suggest the Nat Geo documentary (I think it’s called) “Stress – the Silent Killer”. One part of it focuses on a scientist who studies baboon groups. Stress was not his initial focus…until he began to notice its effects. The source of the stress was all the “type A” alpha males…which to some extent resemble this sociopathology.
The scientist would study the same groups over time. One year he went back and noticed the alpha males where sick and dying. The source of their sickness was a food resource the group had discovered. Apparently due to their “me first” type A(sshole) nature they got into some poisonous food..and it killed all the alpha males.
He was curious about how this would impact the group. His initial thoughts were that it would be detrimental…but over the years…the opposite became true. The group thrived in a stress free environment and gained confidence and strength…to the point that the group would rise up and run off any new alpha males that would try to assert its dominance.
As Spok would say…”Fascinating”.
You know why they are called “Type A”, right?
Good piece, but it can be said much more succinctly:
The Washington DC metro area now is the wealthiest in the United States. Yet those in Washington DC do not generate a profit; in fact, they operate at continual and considerable expense.
As Washington expands, so do the lies it must tell to justify its actions. It therefore becomes increasingly corrupt. (I’ve stated this numerous times here - and what more proof does anyone need than the IRS, and a govenrment wire-tapping the media?)
And these are the same people now in charge of your healthcare?
Only when there’s a shift in societal philosophy - one toward ethics and morals as superior and above that of law - will the trend toward corruption and self-anhiliation begin to reverse.
I agree with this succinct analysis. Just in the last decade, DHS which didn’t exist until 2002 or 2003 has been built up to its current standing as the 3rd largest department of the federal government. What is it protecting us from? And at what extent? And how many lies/market distortions arise from this Department that is supposed to “protect” us?
The Department of Defense is another such department. And the true size/scope/cost of DoD is hidden by the fact that many of its minions and moneys go to private contractors. (This is true for many other departments, but it’s really crazy how much defense-related top-secret stuff gets outsourced.)
We are hiring
To be fair, DHS wasn’t really “built-up.” Wasn’t it a combination of a lot of smaller existing agencies under one umbrella?
What has exploded is the number of “security”-type contractors milking 911. I suspect those are the folks buying the McMansions on Route 7 in NoVa, while their fresh-faced admin assistants use HGTV Purple paint on the walls of their $275K 1-bed condos in Tysons Corner.
DHS and DoD contractors pretty much explain Loudoun County VA and Howard County MD. Which are two of the richest 3 or 4 counties in the U.S. (I’d be shocked if they are not.) _Median_ household income in those counties is over 100k. Not average, _median_. And they are not small counties, either. Then you have to add in Montgomery Co, MD and Fairfax/Arlington/Falls Church VA.
But no, no, no, the real problem is pensions for state workers and too much money spent on Obamaphones. Let’s ignore DHS and DoD spending though, plus tax loopholes or the rich.
“$275K 1-bed condos in Tysons Corner.”
too low…perhaps.
The funny thing is that condos in the DC area have huge condo fees, like 800/month for a 1BR unit in an avg condo building. LOLsies!
If you’re paying 800/month in condo fees on a 1BR, they own you and you really don’t “own” much of anything.
“plus tax loopholes or the rich.”
Well of course tax loopholes are for the rich. Only the rich pay taxes. The poor pay no tax, they don’t need tax loopholes.
The funny thing is that condos in the DC area have huge condo fees, like 800/month for a 1BR unit in an avg condo building. LOLsies!
Apparently, the city helping people out with buying BMR (below market rate) condos has had unintended consequences.
All the BMR’s are condos, with the attached fees. Everything looks good on paper at sale time, affordability-wise. But as years pass and the neighborhood gets gentrified, the fees go up. And that BMR apt. is now no longer affordable.
Only the rich pay taxes. The poor pay no tax,
The poor pay a higher rate of total taxes than billionaires. And unlike billionaires, the poor need that money that they pay in taxes for day to day living expenses that have risen higher relative to their pay that the billionaires have cut.
“The poor pay a higher rate of total taxes than billionaires. And unlike billionaires, the poor need that money that they pay in taxes for day to day living expenses that have risen higher relative to their pay that the billionaires have cut.”
The poor pay no income tax. Most of the middle class pays no income tax either. This is a fact. The top 10% pays 70% of all income taxes. The top 1% pays 40% of all income taxes. This is IRS data that you can easily find online.
The evil billionaire who “only” pays a 15% tax rate will in 1 year pay more tax than you will pay in a lifetime.
BMR?
You got those REIT/realtor acronyms down pretty good Junkie.
The evil billionaire who “only” pays a 15% tax rate will in 1 year pay more tax than you will pay in a lifetime.
A large portion of the billionaires made their fortunes in the finance industry, which needs federal bailouts on a regular basis. Another large portion made their money in the so-called “technology” industry, which was built largely on research and development funded by the government.
Only when there’s a shift in societal philosophy - one toward ethics and morals as superior and above that of law - will the trend toward corruption and self-anhiliation begin to reverse.”
Unfortunately, history shows the trend never reverses and continues to its inevitable, and very unhappy, conclusion.
Like so very many things in life, a bell curve describes this situation well.
In this case, the bell curve describes power of government.
So, in this bell curve, the left side is very weak central government. That leads to Mexico, Somalia, anarchy, powerful gangs and cartels. On the other side, very strong central government leads to iron-fisted dictatorship. In the middle somewhere, the bell curve reaches its peak, representing the most benefit for society.
That leads to Mexico, Somalia, anarchy, powerful gangs and cartels.
Mexico: big government
Somalia: big government tyranny that eventually broke down
anarchy: IS the breakdown of tyranny
powerful gangs and cartels: drug laws (big government)
not sure charles’ analysis necessarily equates “big” and “centralized”.
‘big’ is a subjective term but to me it means anything outside the constitution and overspending, which is the hallmark of centralized government.
I’m not talking “big” and “small”, I’m talking “strong” and “weak”.
And anarchy will result from the breakdown of any form of government, not just tyranny.
Powerful gangs and cartels couldn’t exist in Saddam’s Iraq because he was the biggest and most ruthless of them all, and didn’t brook competition.
I’m not talking “big” and “small”, I’m talking “strong” and “weak”.
the essence of government is force. force ultimately at gunpoint. so how is there a difference in ’strong’ and ‘weak’ government? is it when they are able to enforce laws and when they aren’t? a government too weak to enforce laws is on its way to destruction anyway.
And anarchy will result from the breakdown of any form of government, not just tyranny.
no it won’t. many times in our past there has been little or no law enforcement in certain sparse areas or because of natural disaster. most of the time people have come together to help one another when in need. lately, as government has become more tyrannical, we are getting episodes like katrina where there has been widespread looting and gunfire. but some semblance of order was still there. we didn’t experience total anarchy.
somalia had a tyrannical government that broke down. anarchy prevailed for a long time. when iraq’s tyrannical government was crushed, anarchy was sprung loose. but there’s always some form of government that springs up from the ‘vacuum’. some rules will come in from any type of authority. the problem is that what usually springs up is just another form of tyranny, so the cycle repeats.
Powerful gangs and cartels couldn’t exist in Saddam’s Iraq because he was the biggest and most ruthless of them all, and didn’t brook competition.
just because he wanted them crushed, doesn’t mean that they were. yes, the biggest fear there was saddam. but i’ve read that gangs and cartels did still operate there. it’s just that they weren’t near as profitable because the tyrannical government had strangled much of the wealth out of the country.
in Mexico, where i lived for 8 years, the cartels are stronger than the government. they make the rules. they bring in much more money than the government, so they can afford to be as ruthless as they deem necessary. if a local cop stops a drug dealer with a load of drugs, the cop just waves him through with an apology for the inconvenience of the stop. you wouldn’t believe what it’s like unless you’ve actually lived there. the red tape in mexico to start a business is unbelievable. government is involved in everything. corruption is way beyond the USA. but government only has control of regular citizens, not the dealers and cartels.
the only thing the cartels in mexico fear is the ‘federalies’. the feds repeatedly try to take them on, but they lose every time.
Neuromance:And anarchy will result from the breakdown of any form of government, not just tyranny.
tjno it won’t. many times in our past there has been little or no law enforcement in certain sparse areas or because of natural disaster. most of the time people have come together to help one another when in need.
In order to understand what happens when there is lack of government, one has to look at Europe and the rest of the world, and see how it developed. And the pattern is remarkably similar. They go from hunter-gatherer bands, to feudalism. Then some get stuck there. Others transition into nation states. In England, the first nation-state, one king defeated the other feudal lords. All the defeating was done with ruthless violence. The pattern is remarkably similar around the world. And nowadays, we use the term dictator instead of king, and cartel leader instead of feudal lord, but they describe the same things.
Looking at a three-week snapshot of Fargo is a very poor snapshot from which to extrapolate. The world today has been shaped by fire and steel and blood. Europe itself has an extraordinarily bloody history. It took World War I (16 million dead) and World War II (40 million dead in European theater, 60 million total) in quick succession to yield the relative peace that exists today.
Looking at a 3 week snapshot of the Fargo floods versus New Orleans after Katrina gives a very incomplete picture. If the US government pulled out of these places, then you see real anarchy. Realize this: these populations do not exist in a vacuum. Eventually, in both places, someone would take over, if the US government pulled out. They might come from outside, or from within. Someone is always going to fill a power vacuum. I grant you that New Orleans is much closer to anarchy at any given time than Fargo. But so what? Remove the government and both are on the river to anarchy. New Orleans is a hundred yards from the waterfall and Fargo is twenty miles from the waterfall. But they’re both on the river to the waterfall.
Many look at just post 1950 Europe and the US and try to draw lessons from it. One needs to look at the bulk of human history instead.
Anarchy will eventually recoalesce into some kind of government system, beginning the common reconstitution process of government all over again. But it won’t be an elected one. It’ll be either led by MS-13 leaders, Aryan Brotherhood, or former special forces. Recall that the Zetas were originally Mexican special forces officers. They are an incredibly brutal organization.
It’s just the way the world is. Communes can only exist inside securely guarded walls.
Neuromance: Powerful gangs and cartels couldn’t exist in Saddam’s Iraq because he was the biggest and most ruthless of them all, and didn’t brook competition.
tj: just because he wanted them crushed, doesn’t mean that they were. yes, the biggest fear there was saddam. but i’ve read that gangs and cartels did still operate there. it’s just that they weren’t near as profitable because the tyrannical government had strangled much of the wealth out of the country.
There is a vast amount of oil wealth in Iraq. Gangs and cartels had every opportunity to exploit it. However, Saddam was quite powerful militarily relative to them. And he gloried in brutally suppressing any challenge to his rule.
Again, the pattern repeats over and over throughout history. Guy Fawkes day? He tried to assassinate the king. You know what the king did to him? This:
“The outcome was never in doubt. The jury found all of the defendants guilty, and the Lord Chief Justice Sir John Popham proclaimed them guilty of high treason. The Attorney General Sir Edward Coke told the court that each of the condemned would be drawn backwards to his death, by a horse, his head near the ground. They were to be “put to death halfway between heaven and earth as unworthy of both”. Their genitals would be cut off and burnt before their eyes, and their bowels and hearts removed. They would then be decapitated, and the dismembered parts of their bodies displayed so that they might become “prey for the fowls of the air”.”
Would have brought a tear of joy to Saddam’s eye.
when romney uses tax shelters, it is eeeeevil. but when apple does it, it’s ok, because they’re so hip and ‘progressive’, so progressive that their subcontractor foxconn installed suicide nets under its worker dormitories.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/21/business/apple-avoided-billions-in-taxes-congressional-panel-says.html?pagewanted=all
Who said is was OK for Apple?
The same people who think it was OK for Romney. After all, we have the “highest corporate tax rates in the world.”
I don’t think it’s either OK or not OK for any one taxpayer (individual or corporation) to do it. Set the values aside. What becomes clear is:
- Congress *knows* about these loopholes and does nothing to do them. There are aggressive lobbyists for all the loopholes in our tax code. This is not a bug but a feature of the system. It can persist because you need to have sufficient money to make it worth using the loopholes. 99% of Americans don’t have the assets or passive income to use the loopholes.
- It really is a “rugged individualist” thing to use the loopholes. You’re basically showing disdain for the system because the kind of people who use loopholes are, almost by definition, smart enough to know that they’re taking advantage of a weak or purposefully obtuse tax code and avoiding paying for the military, for infrastructure, etc. like working grunts do. I kind of admire them for this, they know what they want (dynastic wealth) and they’re going after it. They know that the losers squabbling over teacher pensions, abortion, gunz, and Benghazi are easily distracted from real issues and deep down have passively accepted their lot in life–fighting over scraps.
- Regardless of being on the left OR right of the spectrum, people who do this do think they are “better than”. Do you think the Kochs or Romneys are that much different than Steve Jobs, Bill Gates, or Warren Buffett? They all pretend to care about the working stiff who drives 100 mi a day to/from a dead-end job to make money to pay his middle class rent/mortgage and raise his/her kids. But really, deep down, they are laughing and their attitude is “f*** them”.
- All the above said, the Joe Smith “IRA Stuffing Plan” is proceeding nicely. If the GOP/Dems in Congress don’t want to fix the tax code, I too plan to take advantage of it. Never forget: 401k’s and un-stuffed IRAs are for l00sers.
They know that the losers squabbling over teacher pensions, abortion, gunz, and Benghazi are easily distracted from real issues and deep down have passively accepted their lot in life–fighting over scraps.
Some people grow up so far away from the centers of power they don’t even know that there is more than scraps available. It’s all they’ve ever known. They haven’t passively accepted anything and they are likely to get upset when they figure out what’s really going on. If they ever do.
Carl, I’m not sure about that. Look, for example, at 2Ban or nycdj. People confront them with the big realities of life and then a day later they got back to parroting Drudge headlines and reciting their standard riffs on “chickiepoos” and “union thugs”. The average ‘murkan is no better. They know some big things are wrong but perhaps feel powerless to confront or think about big things. I don’t think it’s a lack of knowing that there are big problems, though.
I was talking about the money and how the world works at the power centers at the expense of everyone else. Not the awareness of problems.
Romney should do it. Apple should do it. We all should do it.
Starve the beast!
As our parents learned, the beast will just devour your children when they grow big enough to have an income.
Passive tactics don’t work. It can wait us out.
“when romney uses tax shelters, it is eeeeevil. but when apple does it, it’s ok, because they’re so hip and ‘progressive’, so progressive that their subcontractor foxconn installed suicide nets under its worker dormitories.”
And most importantly Apple employee political contributions run about 15:1 for Democrats. Same with Google. Therefore no matter what they do it’s approved by the MSM/Left (but there I go repeating myself again).
when romney uses tax shelters, it is eeeeevil. but when apple does it, it’s ok, because they’re so hip and ‘progressive’,
I’ve seen criticism from the left for Apple’s behaviors: the use of Asian sweatshops, the tax shelters, etc.
Who said this, aside from the voices in your diseased mind?
‘liberalism is a mental disorder’ — michael savage
So is cranial rectosis. You should really get that looked at.
Barack Hussein Obama
Hussein
http://www.obamasrealfather.com
“Bathouse Barry”
LMAO! I have read some of the accounts of Barry and Rahm on the loose in Chi-Town, having a gay old time.
Even more incredible was the account I saw of Bill Frist’s (remember him?) adventures with Barry.
Bizarre. But if you’ve read historical accounts of the ruling classes in the decaying stages of their countries, it’s not all that unbelievable. In fact it’s almost sort of mild compared to some of the things that have gone on.
Not judging you or anything, but this is no place for homoerotic fiction.
I leave my criticism for the buffoons in Washington who leave the known shelters in place for people and corporations to continue to exploit. And I’ll save a little criticism for voters who are unwilling to vote out their respective incumbent buffoon.
Yep. Same voters who complain about education, then elect the same morons to the local school board every year.
That’s the kind of stupid you just can’t fix.
Simple…apple did not run for president.
“Simple…apple did not run for president.”
No, but Apple contributed a ton of money to one guy who did. And whatdayaknow, Apple got rewarded for it. Shocking I know.
Department of State: Advisory Committee on International Economic Policy
Members:
Catherine Novelli (Vice President, Government Relations, Apple Inc., 2009–2013)
Hmmm…you don’t think Apple used that influence to sway the Obama administration regarding Apple’s Asian sweat shops, do you? Nahh. That stuff never happens. I’m sure Ms. Novelli only served to better America and had nothing to do with Apple.
MarketWatch pimping the fear:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gen-xers-may-never-be-able-to-retire-2013-05-21
Um, no. Those of us who choose (correctly) to not live on bubble coasts and not live a debt-financed junkie lifestyle will be retiring quite comfortably, thank you.
Uhhh, maybe….maybe not.
Try throwing a divorce/illness/job loss in middle age into the equation. Better yet, two out of those three.
Frankly I’m not sure a “retirement” of any kind is such a hot deal (unless you have enough assets to manage in retirement). I’m seeing too many retirees trying (and failing) to get back into the job market after 5 years.
For starters, their “Rolodexes” are 5 years out of date, and so is their business “network”. Add that to the fact that the Main Street economy is still dying off, MSM cheerleading notwithstanding.
Impeachment looks better everyday…..
Hundreds line up for shot at union job in Queens
By amol on May 20, 2013
NEW YORK (WABC) —
The chance to apply for a union job has hundreds of people lining up in the streets in Queens through the rain and dreary conditions.
Electricians Local 3 will hand out 750 applications Monday morning for elevator service and repair apprenticeships.
Some hopefuls have been camping out in Long Island City since Wednesday.
There are openings for just 10 percent of those who apply.
But the job seekers say the wait is worth it.
And these are not easy jobs. Applicants must be capable of lifting up to 50 pounds and working from heights of up to 1,000 feet.
Hundreds of people line up for Wal Mart jobs when they open a new store and have during each recession.
But people dont camp out with tents sleeping bags coleman stoves and family dropping by to give them food…..at wally mart
I wonder why? :lol;
“And these are not easy jobs. Applicants must be capable of lifting up to 50 pounds and working from heights of up to 1,000 feet.”
That’s it? No requirements to be skilled in anything? No requirement No requirement to have any sort of education? Just lift 50 lbs and don’t be afraid of heights. What will the interview be like?
Bossman: Can you lift 50 lbs
Future Union Goon: Yep
Bossman: Are you afraid of heights?
Future Union Goon: Nope
Bossman: OK then, you start Monday morning. Here’s your union card, your Democrat Party membership card and your vote registration card. See you Monday, if you feel like like it. It’s a union job after all, so you can’t ever get fired.
These are apprenticeships, Smithers. The union will train the applicants that they accept. There may be other qualifications as well that the article did not cite in support of their “not easy jobs” statement.
It really is a sight to see around here….people honk their horns give thumbs up….they have porta potties on the street corners
http://cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/05/20/camping-out-for-five-days-in-hopes-of-a-union-job/
By Andria Cheng
Home Depot Inc.’s /quotes/zigman/229488 /quotes/nls/hd HD +2.13%results and forecast on Tuesday showed the nation’s housing market is back on its feet.
The Atlanta-based retailer’s shares rose 3.1% to $79.12 on Tuesday to be the biggest Dow gainer after demand for basic home-improvement materials more than made up for cold weather’s toll on sales of garden supplies.
Home Depot’s numbers alleviated concerns ahead of its report after Wal-Mart Stores Inc.’s /quotes/zigman/245476 /quotes/nls/wmt WMT -0.03%disappointing result last week.
“While weather negatively impacted our seasonal and exterior businesses, our core interior project business remained strong throughout the quarter,” said Chief Executive Frank Blake on a conference call. “This was encouraging and consistent with the view that the housing market is starting on the path to recovery.”
While U.S. housing starts dropped in April, home prices and sales activity have climbed sharply from post-recession lows.
to the moon
Calls earlier in the year for a “great rotation” into stocks from fixed income may have been a little premature, but Goldman Sachs’ replacement for Jim O’Neill says there will be a “gradual rotation” and money will move back into stocks eventually.
“People are moving money,” Sheila Patel, the head of international at Goldman Sachs Asset Management told CNBC Tuesday. “I do think you see money come back to equities.”
When?
At the peak? I doubt it. If the money didn’t get in equities when Dow was 12000, I doubt it will get there when it’s 16000.
Also who’s to say that all the money supposedly sitting haven’t been borrowed against to bet or worse corzined by the banks and other financial institutions?
Tornado in Wichita on Saturday was about 5 miles south of the daughter’s house. Evidently, it never really touched down in populated areas, not a whole lot of damage.
Just want to dispell the “Can’t build basements in Oklahoma or Texas” conventional wisdom, much like “house prices always go up”. They can, but the builders choose not to.
Basements are expensive,compared to building houses on slabs. A $300K house in Kansas has a basement, but looks like a $200K house in Oklahoma or Texas.
And, as noted above, it ain’t the water table. You only had to sink wells down 30 feet below my old house in Wichita to hit water (Arkansas river flood plain). Even though it was a small “starter” house, it still had a basement. It’s real tough to sell a house in Kansas without one.
Of course, this doesn’t answer the question of why an Elementary school didn’t have a tornado shelter on the property.
God would never slaughter defenseless children?
That’s Obama’s job if you happen to be brown and muslim.
Don’t get me started on how “God’s Will” is used to justify/excuse a whole bunch of boneheaded, exclusively human, mistakes/errors of judgement/self-serving decisions.
When you throw it on God’s shoulders, you don’t have to do any of that uncomfortable self-reflection/re-examination stuff.
You know, like thinking……..and maybe coming to the conclusion that you were wrong.
“Don’t go, Taylor……you may not like what you find…….”
My Sky Wizard is better than your Sky Wizard.
Skyyyyyyyyyyyyyy……….Pilot.
(Channeling my inner Eric Burdon….. …)
“Don’t go, Taylor……you may not like what you find…….”
That was one of my favorite lines in that film. Dr. Zaius might have been the guardian of simian orthodoxy, but he knew the truth.
I can only contrast the kind of science fiction we grew up with, vs, the serialized “Bug Hunts” we (mostly) have today.
Anyone remember “THX 1138″?
Talk about a look into the future.
I can only contrast the kind of science fiction we grew up with, vs, the serialized “Bug Hunts” we (mostly) have today.
Where special effects is used in the place of a thought provoking story.
Lucas’ first film.
Here’s some other blasts from the past:
Dark Star
Dr. Strangelove
Silent Running
Logan’s Run
Zardoz
Westworld
Colossus: The Forbin Project
Notice a theme?
Dr. Strangelove was science fiction? ISTM it was more satire than science fiction. What science was not real in it?
Of course, this doesn’t answer the question of why an Elementary school didn’t have a tornado shelter on the property.
Been wondering this myself. Anything about this in the news?
“Of course, this doesn’t answer the question of why an Elementary school didn’t have a tornado shelter on the property.”
Uh, same answer? Cheaper to build?
I am continually amazed at how the average American never realizes the PTB will throw them under the bus in a heartbeat and in many cases, already have.
Requiring a shelter is regulation” and government meddling. After all, parents have a variety of schools to choose from, so they can choose to send their child to a school with a shelter. Schools who don’t have a shelter will go out of business for lack of customers.
/free market snark
Actually, the schools WITH shelters will go out of business, because they have to charge $5/month more in tuition.
I remember trying to explain this to my neighbors about 10 years ago. The local school district wanted to put out a $20 million dollar bond issue, half of it to re-roof and air condition all of the older elementary schools in the district (they started school in the second week of August), and the other half for a new science lab and music hall/theater in the high school.
They just couldn’t understand that one of the reasons their property values we so high (compared to adjacent districts) was because of the first rate facilities…….which bring in first rate teachers. (as measured by SAT/ACT scores).
(The fixr grew up in the lower end of the income scale. Fortunately, I was in one of the most affluent school districts in the state. (Lots of King Radio/Honeywell/now Garmin engineers, FAA, and UAW types). We moved in before the house prices started skyrocketing in the late 60s.
It was only later that I found out how good an education I got; I breezed through the A&P “General” courses without breaking a sweat, vs. some of my fellow students from both city and rural backgrounds).
This bond issue was going to cost us an extra hundred bucks/year on our house. Crazy money.
The answer to all life’s problems seems to be higher taxes and more regulation. Why I bet if OK had a 100% income tax, the govt would figure out a way to end all tornado activity. It’s those evil Republicans that hate children and puppies who stand in the way. Same with Florida and hurricanes. It’s weird though, Democrats have run CA for 30 years and they still have earthquakes and forest fires. What’s up with that?
TWENTY MILLION DOLLARS for a a few new A/C units and a new high school science lab.
And you wonder why people voted it down?
For $20M you could build a brand new high school and still have some money left over. And they wanted $20M for a lab? How in the world did they justify that kind of money. And this was 10 years ago so about $25M in today’s dollars.
“Breaking news: Jamie Dimon easily wins votes to keep chairman and CEO titles.”
lulz
That news alone should get the market higher by at least 1%. Plus today is POMO day……I will say Markets will hit the new records today.
Not surprising, the people who have enough votes to influence these things are part of the same social circle as Dimon.
War on savers goes on. Biggest cash hoard in the world gets a little smaller every day. End game of deflation ?
“The [Yen], which is one of the major currencies of the world, has collapsed 27% in no time,” Rogers notes. “It’s a very, very dangerous move.”
Since the Yen blasted through 100 parity level with the U.S. dollar, its slide has continued to a new 4-1/2 year low.
As a general rule, Rogers is skeptical of governments that devalue their currencies. “I know the government is reporting that [the Yen’s] move is good, but I don’t trust governments. I don’t trust our government, their government, or anybody else. Their government is as good at lying as ours is.”
Rogers, who started the legendary Quantum Fund with George Soros, says the Japanese government is being coy about the deleterious effects of the Yen’s slide because Mr. Abe wants to win elections this summer, and it will ultimately be the Japanese citizens who will be left holding the bag.
“One hundred twenty-five million Japanese [stand to lose the most] because of inflation. Everything Japan imports, they import a lot of stuff, is going to go up dramatically in price, everything is going to go up,” says Rogers. “So the Japanese will suffer, but… stockbrokers will do better, currency traders will do better.”
But Rogers isn’t about to shy away from Japanese equities due to his distaste for the Yen’s demise.
“I still own Japanese shares, I sold some last week, not all, but some,” he says. “If [Japanese equities] drop down for some reason conceivably I would buy them back, but I don’t know what would make them go down though because there’s money printing everywhere.”
..
“but I don’t trust governments. I don’t trust our government, their government, or anybody else. Their government is as good at lying as ours is.”
Their loses will be massive
Mortgage Applications At Multi-Decade Lows
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2013/03/20130328_house2.jpg
Why? Because there is no demand at current grossly inflated housing prices. And until prices fall to pre-bubble levels, this chart will remain just as you see it. FLAT.
Housing prices have a very long way to fall. A very long way.
Buyer Beware.
Mortgage Applications At Multi-Decade Lows….
Why?
Because there are not many houses on the market?
And last year when sales were at 1997 levels? There weren’t many houses on the market then either? And how about 2011 when sales were at 1997 levels? There weren’t any houses?
Just where did all these houses disappear to?!!!
Rio…. You’re just a filthy liar.
Rio…. You’re just a filthy liar.
Are you mentally Ill? What has gotten into you? I’ve never lied once here, gotten things wrong sure but “filthy liar”?
You say:
Mortgage Applications At Multi-Decade Lows….
Why?
I ask the honest question:
Because there are not many houses on the market?
And you call someone who asks a question about a supply and demand possibility a
“filthy liar”??
You’ve become a real piece of work buddy. I don’t think your mom would be too proud of you lately. Insulting women. Insulting men for no reason other than you obsession with what you think should be.
“Filthy liar” my A$$. I guarantee, you would not call me that to my face. Trust me. I ain’t lyin’
Bring it LIAR.
Are you mentally Ill?
Yes, he is. And everyone here knows it.
The all caps and bold are just one symptom. Name-calling, another.
Sad, sorry, little, lonely, man.
What we all know here is that you’re a sick, shameless woman who made a financial error like millions of others who bought a house from 1998-current. Even in spite of everything you should have learned here.
You learned nothing.
1) Follow the “Rule of 15″
Before you make the decision to rent or buy, Olefson offers this rule of thumb: “If you can buy a home in your area for less than 15-times what your annual rent is, than financially it makes much more sense to buy than to rent.”
For example, if you pay $2,000 a month in rent (or $24,000 a year), she says the basic buy-rent cutoff price would be $360,000.
However, she warns that if rental rates in your area are abnormally high or the home you are looking at will need repairs, you must factor that in. Of course, she says “this is only one of several factors to consider,” but adds it is still “a great line in the sand” for narrowing down your initial search.
$500,000/(12*$2300) = 18.11.
NOPE.
SF Bay Area and San Mateo County Rental Rates Continue Their Decline
http://picpaste.com/pics/5ff9ab346f47dc17c9c0a4fb5586fd72.1369155252.png
“Why buy a house at these grossly inflated prices?? Rent the same square footage for half the monthly cost and buy later, after prices crater for 65% less, irrespective of location.”
“irrespective of location”
Except for the “two or three exceptions” you mentioned the other day. We ended up figuring out Detroit was one, what were the others again?
Krusty Perkin’s the cherry pickin’ realtor.
Reading Public, ask yourself;
Why would you pay 200% of the cost of a new house for a 20+year old house?
The reality is that resale housing prices are nearly double the cost of a newly constructed house. If you buy a house at current prices, you WILL sustain massive losses so large that you won’t recover in your lifetime.
Beware of housing, especially in California.
As far as investing cash?
Avoid REIT’s at these massively inflated prices
REIT’s are in a massive bubble and the collapse will be stunning.
I’m in Los Angeles and I’m listening to KNX1070am radio this morning, and they have this “business” reporter/stock market cheerleader named Bob McCormick who’s got a segment telling you where you can make money today. So he says these REIT’s are yiedling less than 3% today.
WTF?
REITs are overvalued today by approximately 20% as compared to “NAV”. However, NAV is also juiced up a bit due to low rates and low cap rates. NAV could fall, and premium to NAV could also fall. Rents could also rise for many of the RE sectors (since they haven’t really risen en masse yet since the collapse).
So, you are probably fighting a bit of a push/pull, with the premium falling at some point, and cap rates rising with interest rates…and on the other end, rents rising with inflation, or somewhat better than inflation since they are below the trendline currently.
Does it mean that REITs are absolutely going to fall? No, but they are quite possibly set up for a fall.
Will that fall recover? That all depends if you believe that rents will need to rise in the product type that the REITs own.
REITs are overvalued today by approximately 20% as compared to “NAV”.
Everything with any kind of yield is over priced these days.
if you take on mortgage debt at current massively inflated housing prices, you’ll enslave yourself for the rest of your life.
“Debt is bondage.” ~ Suze Orman, May 11, 2013
Somebody turned japanese in this board. Congrats!
With 20-30 MILLION excess empty houses in the US, it’s fair to say that housing prices have a very long way to fall.
And besides, as my favorite HBB knitters and liars know, we’ll continue building and supplying the market with additional new inventory as we and our competitors are profitable at $60/sq foot.
“we and our competitors are profitable at $60/sq foot”
But you build bridges, not homes. Thanks, but I’ve tried living under bridges, and I didn’t like it very much.
Krusty The Realtor…..
“homes”??? and you deny you’re a realtor? LOL
You foolish one. We build it all.
Bridges and homes are same. Bridges also provide roof over your head.
I thought this was a good blog post by a friend of mine, thought I’d share it here: “What Ayn Rand got right and wrong”
http://michaelochurch.wordpress.com/2013/05/19/what-ayn-rand-got-right-and-wrong/
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Ayn Rand is a polarizing figure, and it should be pretty clear that I’m not her biggest fan. I find her views on gender repulsive and her metaphysics laughable. I tend to be on the economic left; she heads to the far right. She and I have one crucial thing in common– extreme political passions rooted in emotionally damaging battles with militant mediocrity– but our conclusions are very different. Her nemesis was authoritarian leftism; mine is corporate capitalism. Of course, an evolved mind in 2013 will recognize that, while both of these forces are evil, there isn’t an either/or dichotomy between them. We don’t need authoritarian leftism or corporate capitalism, and both deserve to be reject out of hand.
What Warren Buffett once called “financial weapons of mass destruction” are firing again, with securitization and shadow banking at post-financial crisis highs.
The twin powers of bank funding that helped propel the nation into turmoil have regained ground swiftly, and analysts say it’s both a challenge for regulators and a sign that the economy is recovering.
Securitization, or the channels through which banks repackage loans and farm them off to investors, has hit volume of $225.6 billion by way of 365 deals this year, according to Dealogic.
That’s a 14 percent increase over 2012 but still miles away from the heady days of 2007, which saw a staggering $777 billion in volume at the same point—right before securitization, and the rest of the mortgage market, came crashing down.
Not to worry. The central bank and the government will make sure to institute further RRH (Reverse Robin Hood) policies to make the financial sector whole on the backs of future generations.
Echoes of 2004 - 2006
http://money.cnn.com/2013/05/20/real_estate/amateur-investors/index.html
“In order to get in on hot housing markets, amateur investors are buying up homes and taking risky measures — like tapping their retirement accounts — to fund the deals.”
“We’re seeing many people cash out 401(k)s or IRAs because they want to take advantage of the market,” said Sean Galaris of financial services firm LM Funding, based in Tampa. “This new scenario involves people losing significant personal funds since they are financing real estate through retirement accounts, savings and life insurance.”
“In Las Vegas, which was ground zero for the foreclosure crisis, prices have climbed 17.6% and Phoenix has seen an increase of 23%. In Florida, Tampa and Miami have recorded double-digit increases.”
How often can the Fed fool Mr Market before he finally wises up?
May 21, 2013, 4:38 p.m. EDT
U.S. stocks rise after Fed officials’ QE signal
Apple in the hot seat over taxes; Home Depot gains after results
By Polya Lesova, MarketWatch , Victor Reklaitis
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday, with the Dow industrials and S&P 500 finishing at record highs, after comments from two Federal Reserve officials suggested that the central bank is not close to tapering its bond-buying program.
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With all the negative headlines lately, I figured you guys could use some good news.
Face-chewing victim recovering, strumming guitar
JENNIFER KAY | May 21, 2013 06:57 PM EST
MIAMI — A homeless man whose face was mostly chewed off in a bizarre attack last year appeared Tuesday to be mostly at peace with his disfigurement, strumming a guitar, making jokes and thanking people for their donations to help pay for his care.
Ronald Poppo doesn’t like to leave his hospital room, though, and he won’t allow anyone to visit him, other than his doctors and nurses. “My face,” he says.
Poppo lost his left eye, his nose and most of the surrounding skin when a naked man attacked him for no reason alongside a Miami highway a year ago.
In a video posted online Tuesday by the hospital caring for him, his left eye socket is a hollow shadow, his blinded right eye is covered by a skin graft and his nose is reduced to just the nostrils. Still, Poppo joked with his nurses and, though he wears a baseball cap, leaves his face uncovered to address the camera.
“People in my predicament need to be helped out, and I’m sure there’s other people also that have the same type of predicament. I thank the outpouring of people in the community, I’ll always be grateful for that,” Poppo said in the brief video, which was shot recently.
He spent nearly a month in the hospital after the attack, before moving to a long-term care facility. His doctors at Jackson Memorial Hospital and the University of Miami Miller School of Medicine praised Poppo for his resilience and said he’s satisfied with the surgeries and skin grafts that have closed his wounds.
Poppo could still use his own tissues or prosthetics to replace his nose or eye, but he is not interested in more facial reconstruction.
“There’s still work that can be done, but he’s more than happy with how he is now, and he’s quite grateful,” said Dr. Wrood Kassira, a plastic surgeon.
A facial transplant wouldn’t be necessary, since Poppo didn’t lose any functions other than his vision.
“To put him through a lifetime of immunosuppression is not something he nor us think is in his best interest,” Kassira said.
Poppo, 66, still requires daily medical care for his wounds, and he’s working with occupational therapists and specialists from the Miami Lighthouse for the Blind to learn how to adjust to his blindness. He can dress himself and is learning again to play the guitar, an instrument he had not picked up for 40 years.
He’s gained 50 pounds, and though his caretakers would like to see him exercise more, he so far refuses to leave the facility unless he’s going to the hospital to see his doctors, said Patricia Copalko, a certified nursing assistant at the medical center.
He also hasn’t allowed any visitors to see him, other than his doctors, nurses and therapists. Sigue said Poppo doesn’t answer the telephone in his room and hasn’t wanted to talk with relatives other than a sister, who calls the nurse’s cellphone to get through.
“He doesn’t wander out of his room very often,” Copalko said, adding, “He needs to get out and he has refused. But also, I get it. He says, `My face.’”
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/huff-wires/20130521/us-face-chewing-attack/?utm_hp_ref=sports&ir=sports - -
http://www.bloomberg.com/video/paul-apple-deserves-apology-from-u-s-gov-t-F1tGWOowSvqtcr2bj1Fd9g.html
I couldn’t resist…
He’s got a point there. Apple is not breaking the law. I think it was Michael Kinsley who wrote that the true scandals involve actions that are perfectly legal. Howerver, while I was watching that video on the Bloomberg site I saw this:
http://www.bloomberg.com/video/more-suicides-claimed-at-foxconn-nn2IWaT~QKq6NIAYsMpPnw.html
Floridians get nearly $9 billion in mortgage relief
Posted: 5:51 p.m. Tuesday, May 21, 2013
By Kimberly Miller - Palm Beach Post Staff Writer
More than $8.6 billion in mortgage relief has flowed to Florida homeowners under last year’s National Mortgage Settlement, a heftier windfall than state officials expected and one that has been paid out two years before deadline.
A progress report released Tuesday on the landmark deal between the nation’s attorneys general and its five largest banks shows 111,913 Florida borrowers received mortgage aid through actions such as principal reductions, refinances, second mortgage forgiveness and short sale approvals. That’s an average of $77,341 in savings per homeowner.
The report, a shorter version of three previous audits released by the Office of Mortgage Settlement Oversight, was quickly followed by announcements from Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase that they have fulfilled their consumer relief obligations nationwide.
Wells Fargo said it is 90 percent finished. Ally Financial met its requirements in February. Citigroup did not say how close it is to meeting settlement requirements. Lenders have two more years to meet their obligations under the $25 billion national settlement reached in February 2012.
Although no obligation is officially met until it is approved by settlement monitor Joseph Smith, the swift completion is not a surprise to some experts in the banking field who said lenders were already ramping up to offer many of the things required of them in the settlement.
“It may have focused them a little more on debt forgiveness, which they had just started doing, but a lot of this was already the direction they were moving in,” said Guy Cecala, publisher of the trade magazine Inside Mortgage Finance. “Everyone under the sun was mandating changes.”
Because lenders do not earn a dollar-for-dollar match on relief provided to borrowers, the $25 billion deal has provided much more in mortgage aid to homeowners. For example, for every dollar forgiven by a lender on a second mortgage, it receives only a 10-cent credit toward its required settlement amount.
Nationwide, more than $48.6 billion in mortgage relief has been awarded to 607,015 homeowners. That’s an average of $80,169 per borrower.
The majority of the relief nationwide and in Florida has been in the form of forgiveness of debt owed following a short sale.
Statewide, $3.3 billion in relief is tied to short sales, while $1.3 billion has been cut from primary mortgage debt amounts.
Critics say short sales — where the bank takes less for the property than what is owed on the mortgage — defy the spirit of the settlement, which they believe was to keep people in their homes. The forgiveness of second mortgages has also come under fire because it is debt that the bank would be unlikely to collect anyway.
“Whenever they wrote off a loan they were never going to see a dime on anyway, the got credit for it,” said foreclosure defense attorney Michael Wasylik, whose firm has an office in Boca Raton. “It’s like getting a pat on the back for breathing.”
Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi, who was a lead negotiator in the settlement, lauded the help to homeowners, noting the higher-than-expected amount received so far. The initial settlement called for Florida to be awarded an estimated $8.4 billion.
Tuesday’s relief amount would grow to $8.9 billion if trial loan modifications are added to the final tally.
Both JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America said they will continue to offer loan modifications to eligible customers.
But much of the settlement attention recently has been focused on standards for customer treatment that were outlined in the agreement. Earlier this month, New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman said he planned to sue Bank of America and Wells Fargo for violating the standards. Those include timelines to complete loan modifications, requiring borrowers be assigned a single bank representative instead of dealing with multiple employees, and restrictions against foreclosing on a homeowner while also negotiating a loan modification.
“The $26 billion settlement doesn’t get close to addressing the wrongdoing that occurred during the foreclosure crisis,” Wasylik said. “The remedy has nothing to do with the wrong.”
——————————————————————————–
How the relief was awarded
Primary mortgage reduction, $1.3 billion
Second mortgage forgiveness, $3.1 billion
Short sales, $3.3 billion
Refinances, $344 million
Deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure, $7 million
Borrower transition money, $81.8 million
Deficiency waivers, $57.5 million
* Does not include all categories or modifications in process
Governor Kills Funding For Florida Snitch Program
Sheriff’s office reconsiders “KGB” tip line after public backlash
Paul Joseph Watson
Infowars.com
May 21, 2013
Florida Governor Rick Scott has killed funding for a controversial “violence prevention program” in Florida which caused a public backlash after the Sheriff’s office in Palm Beach County encouraged people to report on their neighbors for anti-government rhetoric.
As we reported earlier this month, the program would have created a 24 hour hotline via which citizens could report “suspicious behavior,” prompting “a knock on the door and a referral to services” by specially trained deputies and mental health caseworkers.
Palm Beach County Sheriff Ric Bradshaw, a Democrat, stoked anger amongst conservatives when he suggested the program would be used to target political free speech deemed potentially violent by authorities.
“We want people to call us if the guy down the street says he hates the government, hates the mayor and he’s gonna shoot him,” Bradshaw said. “What does it hurt to have somebody knock on a door and ask, ‘Hey, is everything OK?’”
Following a public backlash from critics who denounced the program as a disturbing throwback to how political dissidents were imprisoned in Soviet mental hospitals for criticizing the state, Governor Rick Scott announced that the campaign would not receive taxpayer funds and the Sheriff’s office has said that it is now reconsidering the plan.
“Gov. Rick Scott vetoed $1 million from the state budget that was part of funding for the county’s “Violence Prevention Program,” designed to encourage communities to report suspicious behavior. Now the Palm Beach County Sheriff’s Office says it will “re-evaluate the feasibility of going forward,” reports the Florida Sun-Sentinel.
Although the Sheriff’s office had previously indicated it would go ahead with the scheme even without state funding, the project now appears to be on the verge of being mothballed.
“The sheriff appreciates the fact that the Legislature saw fit to fund the program and the governor considered the program and its value before making the tough budget decision,” a spokeswoman said in a statement. “Given the lack for funding, the Sheriff’s Office will re-evaluate the feasibility of going forward, and continue with existing programs to combat violence in the community.”
Critics like former Soviet Union resident Dmitry Levin said the project bore hallmarks of belonging under a tyrannical regime, “It’s a specific telephone line to report your neighbor who doesn’t like the government,” he remarked. “When I read that, my jaw dropped. That’s KGB in its finest form. The next step would be, what, bonuses for reporting?”
http://www.infowars.com/governor-kills-funding-for-florida-snitch-program/ -
A Miami man pulled an 18-foot Burmese python out of roadside brush and wrestled with it for 10 minutes before cutting its head off with a knife.
The 128-pound specimen turned out to be the biggest Burmese python ever captured in Florida, besting the previous record by more than a foot, wildlife officials said.
“I was pretty exhausted and I didn’t want to get bit,” Jason Leon, 23, said of the decapitation that ended his struggle with the massive constrictor.
The fix is in, if only Obama can get his ornery Republican colleagues in Congress to agree to it!
Obama’s Fannie Mae Pick Watt Faces Fight Imperiling Housing Deal
By Cheyenne Hopkins & Clea Benson - May 21, 2013 9:02 PM PT
As a North Carolina congressman, Mel Watt has tried to arm struggling homeowners with a legal “sledgehammer” against lenders and expand the ranks of people eligible to cut their mortgage principal.
Those positions help explain why President Barack Obama has nominated Watt, a Democrat, to oversee Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (FMCC), the mortgage companies seized by the government in 2008. They also underscore Watt’s uphill climb to gain support from the Senate Republicans he’ll need to win confirmation.
Watt’s record hasn’t always put him at odds with big banks, since his district includes the headquarters of Bank of America Corp. as well as thousands of homeowners facing foreclosure. He counts financial firms among his top campaign donors. Still, the nomination is inflaming tensions around housing policy as Republicans and Democrats attempt to jointly redesign the U.S. mortgage system and avoid future taxpayer bailouts.
“The political fight that’s going to be necessary to push this through the committee is going to so sour relationships, that you are just not going to be able to reach across the aisle on a housing finance bill,” said Jaret Seiberg, an analyst at Guggenheim Securities LLC’s Washington Research Group.
Partisan wrangling over Watt could “grind everything to a halt,” Seiberg said.
Republicans aren’t in a hurry to see Watt replace Edward J. DeMarco, the current head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, the independent regulator with oversight of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. DeMarco has resisted pressure from the Obama administration and consumer advocates to allow the two companies to cut the principal balance on troubled loans, saying that would hurt taxpayers more than it would help homeowners.
First Choice
Obama’s first choice to replace DeMarco was former North Carolina banking commissioner Joseph Smith, 63. Smith withdrew in 2011 amid strong Republican opposition to his candidacy. Senator Richard Shelby of Alabama, then the top Republican on the Banking Committee, said Smith would be “a tool” of the White House on mortgage policy.
“It would be a shame if principal reduction turned into a litmus test for FHFA the way Roe v. Wade is for Supreme Court nominees,” said Julia Gordon, director for housing finance and policy at the Center for American Progress, an advocacy group with ties to the Democratic Party.
Republicans who are poring through records of Watt’s history in Congress are questioning his qualifications as well as his politics. “This is a job that requires a very knowledgeable technocrat,” said Senator Bob Corker of Tennessee, also a Banking Committee member. “This is no job for a politician.”
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Everyone but the Fed leadership now admits we are in another bubble.
The only question from here on out is how long until it implodes.
May 21, 2013, 1:47 p.m. EDT
You don’t think we’re in a bubble?
By Thomas H. Kee Jr.
The stock market is in a bubble, and the Federal Reserve is getting backed into a corner. This will eventually end badly, but right now there is no immediate end in sight. This is an attribute of almost all bubbles; everyone knows they will come to an end, everyone knows what has happened when other bubbles have burst, but very few want to get off in the middle of the parade.
And if you do not believe it is a bubble, consider this:
The following four sectors have very odd price action when compared to earnings/revenue, and that makes them very important to this discussion. These are important sectors, they have all been under considerable pressure from an earnings/revenue standpoint, but the prices have been skyrocketing.
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