buy a house today, open a heloc tomorrow and buy more shares of FB
you can’t lose with that investment strategy
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Comment by azdude
2013-06-06 06:01:53
open up a margin account today and load up on FB shares tomorrow?
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-06-06 06:09:19
“open up a margin account today and load up on FB shares tomorrow?”
Then invest your stock market wealth gains to buy SFR rental housing on margin. You can’t lose on this gamble, as both real estate and stocks always go up.
Comment by In Colorado
2013-06-06 07:45:28
Baby needs new shoes!
Comment by wittbelle
2013-06-06 09:55:46
You know what is sad? There are people doing this very thing.
Take it from the crooks: Wall Street runs crooked!
June 5, 2013, 1:13 p.m. EDT Madoff, other felons say markets are unfair MarketWatch interviews five Wall Street felons, including three in jail
By Ronald D. Orol, MarketWatch
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Faced with a rash of insider trading in the markets, federal prosecutors and securities regulators in recent years have stepped up efforts to crack down on violations.
But insider trading and market fraud persist, perhaps at epidemic levels. Even though the Securities and Exchange Commission has brought more insider-trading actions in the past three years than in any three-year period in the agency’s history, and even though the U.S. attorney in New York City has convicted 73 people in insider-trading cases since 2009, the crime remains all too common.
That’s what MarketWatch found in a series of interviews with people convicted of insider trading and fraud. These felons painted a picture of an unfair market driven by widespread cheating that favors those with privileged information and expensive technology. The cheating also hurts individual investors and retirement savers trying to follow the rules of the road and produces a deeply unfair market environment.
…
The executives know they’re Untouchables. The past five years have shown it to be so (hearings, documentaries, statements of top justice department officials). To think the Wall Street leadership won’t take full advantage of their position is hopelessly naive, like Greenspan thinking the markets would regulate themselves.
The gubmin collecting phone records from Verizon. That’s it, Obama MUST BE IMPEACHED. NOW. And his high priest of the “Justice” defartment with him. They act like we’re the enemy. Oh, no, we’re not, they’re projecting their own slimy motives onto the people.
‘to those who scare peace-loving people with phantoms of lost liberty, my message is this: your tactics only aid terrorists, for they erode our national unity and diminish our resolve. they give ammunition to america’s enemies, and pause to america’s friends. they encourage people of good will to remain silent in the face of evil’ — attorney general john ashcroft, 2001
Obama supporters sure know how to “remain silent in the face of evil”, LOLZ.
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Comment by jose canusi
2013-06-06 06:31:17
That’s for sure. Supporting a bunch of depraved freaks, along the lines of the SS and Stalinists. This is how it starts, folks. And you don’t see American citizens demonstrating en masse in public areas, so I guess that means we’ll bend over and take it.
Comment by goon squad
2013-06-06 06:38:34
“bend over and take it”
With glee, as demonstrated by the herd of morons chanting “USA! USA! USA!” in the streets of Watertown, MA after the imposition of martial law.
Comment by In Colorado
2013-06-06 06:43:00
We’ve been bending over and taking it for quite a while now. And at the same time there’s no shortage of young people willing to sign up a serve in our military machine.
Comment by AmazingRuss
2013-06-06 06:53:01
When they can’t find work, they pretty much have to.
Comment by In Colorado
2013-06-06 08:11:26
Just saying that they don’t seem to have any moral qualms about serving the biggest imperialist machine since the Roman Empire.
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-06-06 08:23:23
And at the same time there’s no shortage of young people willing to sign up a serve in our military machine.
And if there ever is, that’s where the student loan forgiveness comes in.
Comment by michael
2013-06-06 12:12:02
“With glee, as demonstrated by the herd of morons chanting “USA! USA! USA!” in the streets of Watertown, MA after the imposition of martial law.”
nice.
Comment by homie don't play houses
2013-06-06 12:42:00
“With glee, as demonstrated by the herd of morons chanting “USA! USA! USA!” in the streets of Watertown, MA after the imposition of martial law.”
By refusing to bury the elder bomber in Cambridge, the “progressives” proved once in for all how cruel, vile and hateful they are. Not that I had any doubt….
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-06-06 08:47:59
Ashcroft _easily_ the most hated person in the US justice system when I was in L school. Professors would just gush endlessly about what an assh0le Ashcroft was.
It would take Holder 4 or 5 terms to do as much batshit damage as Ashcroft did. This isn’t really a defense of Holder, but just pointing out that Ashcroft truly did hate Americans’ freedoms. Holder merely lacks respect for them.
While that’s scary, a good impeachment would give pause to other players, perhaps enforcing some good behavior. OTOH, when the foundation is rotten…
I do think he has gone WAY too far. Oh, yeah, he got a court order from some tame judge. But that also speaks to our justice system, which appears to be pretty rotten, too.
OK, I’ll do it since no one else seems to want to. They went to the FISA court and got permission. That means they followed the law that was passed by the Congress of the United States and signed by the President. Impeachment is for people who violate the law, not for people who do what they are allowed to do under bad ones.
The proper punishment for a president/administration that exercises power (granted to him/it by law) is to vote the leader out of office (not this time, he is out at the end of this term anyway) and/or vote out the Representatives and Senators who gave the President that power. Ranting about impeachment when they actually got a judge to approve it is just ignorant.
I don’t care much who started it. It is a bad law. But acting under the authority of a bad law isn’t illegal. It could be unconstitutional, though I really have no idea how you get it declared unconstitutional since the people who are subject to the warrants have no idea it is happening. Maybe there is an opportunity to get it in front of a judge because of the leak, but you are going to have an uphill climb to get other judges to declare the procedure by which a special purpose court granted a warrant unconstitutional.
This is classic case of bad law that needs a political solution - vote out the guys that approved it and vote in people who will get rid of it or at least modify it to the extent that this problem is outside of the scope of the warrants that can be granted.
Oh, and as much as people want it to be, passing a law that is eventually declared unconstitutional isn’t illegal. Legislators have absolute immunity for the stuff they do that is part of their job and passing legislation is the fundamental core of their job. You can’t even sue them for a tort for this stuff.
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Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-06-06 09:19:58
With polarized districts (most state legislatures have created “safe” R and D seats) there is no way guys like Cantor, Boehner, et al are ever getting voted out.
FISA is safe. Sad but true.
I’m sure there’s a certain inertia at DOJ re FISA. It’s just too convenient and useful of a tool for them, slowing down that train would be difficult if not impossible. It really would take Congress removing the tool to change DOJ’s course. As said above, that’s not happening anytime soon.
Comment by inchbyinch
2013-06-06 09:33:07
This Verizon record discovery revelation relates to the Patriot Act, under Bush 43. Obama is just the continuation.
R&D= A two headed snake
All this two party bickering, gives me a headache.
Comment by goon squad
2013-06-06 09:55:36
“All this two party bickering”
It may give you a headache, but it results in clicks, page loads, and ad displays. And it keeps the sheeple parked on their couches watching their TeeVee, so they can see more ads to buy sh*t they don’t need.
“Government is the entertainment division of the military-industrial complex” — Frank Zappa
Thanks for that blast from the past, goon. And thank you, Polly, for your steady voice of reason amidst the hysteria.
Watching the Rovians squirm and squeal after failing to make any of these “scandals” stick is almost worth the heartbreak we suffered watching W et al destroy what was left of the First and Fourth Amendments. Repairing the mess will take decades, but I’m encouraged at what appears to be this administration’s long view.
To be honest, all these supposed curtailments of my liberties haven’t affected me one iota. The systemic incompetence is maddening, but I attribute that to the orientational change this country is undergoing as it copes with the transition to an electronics-based society.
Comment by homie don't play houses
2013-06-06 12:28:23
but I’m encouraged at what appears to be this administration’s long view.
You gotta be kidding, right?
To be honest, all these supposed curtailments of my liberties haven’t affected me one iota
Well it affects someone somewhere…especially the brown moosleems types..But it’s OK, right?
‘Watching the Rovians squirm and squeal after failing to make any of these “scandals” stick’
I’m glad you are enjoying it so much! See, I’ve got a Verizon phone and since you put it that way, I can see I’m not concerned about my privacy, but naively falling for a Rovian mind trick. I feel almost silly for not realizing that when Obama said he was for transparency, he meant people like me should be transparent, not the government. That would explain why he jails whistle blowers, hides his emails, etc. Golly, you have completely turned me around by invoking Rove. I can see clearly now that door to door, exploratory cavity searches are the price of freedom!
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2013-06-06 13:23:38
when Obama said he was for transparency…
“We Are Making Every Effort To Be Transparent,” Says President
“My administration doesn’t have any secrets, and from now on, neither will you.”
Comment by Michael Viking
2013-06-06 13:43:41
To be honest, all these supposed curtailments of my liberties haven’t affected me one iota. The systemic incompetence is maddening, but I attribute that to the orientational change this country is undergoing as it copes with the transition to an electronics-based society.
Are you living in an alternate reality? What’s the current administration doing to repair the 1st and 4th amendment mess? It’s putting the pedal to the medal and making things worse and worse. Grabbing all the Verizon info? This administration is taking the Patriot Act to 11.
I also find it funny that you’re able to whitewash the “systemic incompetence” as coping with an electronics-based society. Why doesn’t that very same argument explain W’s destroying of the 1st and 4th? Seems like you have a double-standard. If your liberties aren’t affected by one iota now, they weren’t affected by a 1/10 of an iota when W was in the office destroying everything.
Your phones have been monitored since their invention, (ever hear of “party lines”?) So have your emails. Your written communications can be opened and tracked with or without a warrant (you don’t think your local post carrier knows who and what your interests are?) and don’t even get me started on parcels and packages sent across borders, state or otherwise.
Forty years ago, long-hairs were in the sights of authorities seeking to keep the public order, twenty years ago it was rapperz and white militias. Up until recently it was Mexican immigrants and international financiers. This last decade it’s “moosleems” bearing crock pots and disaffected suburban geeks with Daddy issues.
My point is, one of the realities of living in a technological society is that in order to take advantage of their benefits we must also give up a certain presumed privacy. You drive on a highway, you have to obey the traffic laws. You shop in a marketplace, you follow the accepted customs and laws and rules of order. These are purposely fungible and often enforced selectively (and sometimes even at cross-purposes with each other) depending upon perceived public threat.
Most of the time, a disheartening few draw attention to the inequalities. Some of the time there is a public uproar (which is generally based on a hugely incomplete understanding of the underlying issues and exploited by special interests with a financial interest), and occasionally there results a social movement to address the imbalance (see: gay rights and the election of Barack Obama).
Sometimes there is change, most oftentimes there is simply more ineffectual regulation translated through the court system and enforced with varying degrees of enthusiasm by local agencies.
But over the course of a generation or two, we get assimilation and evolution and life going on. If we’re lucky, we can manage to stay out of harm’s way during the messier times of transition, though that requires partially removing oneself from the fray. Throughout it all, we can count on the general incompetence of any enforcing agency to keep the majority of us from scrutiny– assuming we live discretely, pick our battles judiciously, and attack passive aggressively.
I’m in my sixties now and I’ve surely paid my dues to the Libertarian “Movement”. I’ll put my bona fides as an advocate of anarcho-pacifism against anyone’s on this board. But long years of confronting The Man have taught me the difference t’ween sh!t and fly specks — and this is one of those times.
I’m simply urging a readjustment of the rhetoric coupled with a little more historical perspective.
“…they weren’t affected by a 1/10 of an iota when W was in the office destroying everything….”
You’re right, Michael, they weren’t.
But my country’s treasury was looted, a massive Soviet-style “security” apparatus was codified, and monies that should have been used to advance our scientific understanding and address our infrastructural and social issues were instead diverted to a small international oligarchy of cronies whose personal interests may or may not have coincided with the best interests of the United States of America.
The Obama admin, in spite of its many false-starts and feckless meanderings, has at the very least begun to dismantle the international aristocracy that threatened our republic, if not the planet. Predictably, they don’t like it, and predictably their media arms (IE, all of them) have roused the mindless to rabble. I’ve chosen not to play in their world and to keep partisanship out of the equation. To a self-satisfying extent, I’ve succeeded.
JFTR-
Though I have indeed been dragged from my bed in the middle of the night by jack-booted thugs under color of authority, they weren’t from Obama’s Negro Army.
Comment by polly
2013-06-06 15:24:12
The most recent revelations are NOT about wiretapping or reading e-mails. The information is what numbers called what other numbers and the duration of the calls. The information the Guardian released says it is only for wired service, but since it also included providing information for the cell tower we can assume with reasonable certainty that a similar order went out for cell phones. Isnt’ that disturbing enough?
By the way, one of the arguments for this not being an illegal search is that you volutarily gave that information (who you called, how long you talked and where you were or what cell phone tower you were near) to a third party - the phone company - so that you no longer have a claim to the privacy of the information. I have heard of ONE person who has some power over this mess and who has said that she has doubts abotu this interpretation of the third party doctrine - Justice Sotomayor.
By the way, Google does read your gmail e-mails, or at least has an algorithm that mines them for key words so they can charge more to target ads to you during your google searches.
The best possible spin I can put on this (and it is hard to find one, but if you want to at least consider how someone might have come up with the idea that it was necessary) is that they really want the information for some identified numbers that they think are being used by people plotting something. Of course they then want all the information about the numbers that number called and whoever those people called, etc. As if the people they want to monitor are like a phone tree for notifying everyone if the little league games are cancelled that afternoon because of rain. But they decided they can’t restrict the search that way because that would be giving the numbers they suspect of being used by people connected to terrorist activity (the numbers are classified) to the phone company. And with computers, it is easier to get everything and then just trace the stuff you need rather than risk releasing the identities of the phone numbers they care about to Government Relations Employee Number 6 at Verizon. Actually, I wouldn’t be at all surprised if that is the way it happened. Odder things have happened when dealing with classified information.
Comment by nickpapageorgio
2013-06-06 15:34:49
“To be honest, all these supposed curtailments of my liberties haven’t affected me one iota”
Come on in officer, I’ve got nothing to hide. I am a foot soldier, a true believer and member of the Ideology in power…for now.
Hippies used to call the cops pigs, burn their draft cards and protest authority. Now, in their 60’s and 70’s, along with their younger indoctrinated disciples, they have become the man, an extremely paranoid version of the man intent on using every part of the law enforcement industrial complex against their political enemies.
What’s next you ask? A continuation of the “Fundamental Transformation of the United States of America”. My guess would be neighbor against neighbor paranoia (state minders), then a Chavez style chilling of the “free” press and “free” media.
In the words of Jack Reacher: Remember…You wanted this.
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-06-06 16:22:13
“Hippies used to call the cops pigs, burn their draft cards and protest authority. Now, in their 60’s and 70’s, along with their younger indoctrinated disciples, they have become the man”
Hippies were always a very small percentage of those who were young in the 60s and 70s. Few of them have gained access to the halls of power. Most of those who became the man were already conservative in outlook and did not participate in protests.
Comment by Michael Viking
2013-06-06 16:59:15
Your phones have been monitored since their invention, (ever hear of “party lines”?)
Yes, I even had friends with them. We knew they were party lines and that others could pick up an extension and hear. I don’t really call that “monitored”. We also thought that for the government to listen in they had to get a warrant. I’m fine with them listening if they go through the proper legal channels and get a warrant. I’m not fine with them deciding to listen in without any oversight.
I understand Google mines my emails; it’s a contract I agreed to. I don’t want the government mining my emails, or Google sharing my emails with the government. I didn’t agree to that. They should get a warrant if they want to see my particular emails. Same with my phone.
I understand what you’re saying, I just disagree. IMHO we’re sliding rapidly down the slope; the proverbial frog in the heating up water. Liberties given up can typically only be regained through violence and nobody wants that.
Comment by AmazingRuss
2013-06-06 17:06:46
To be honest, I’d be kind of flattered if somebody found me interesting enough to spy on.
Comment by polly
2013-06-06 17:11:29
There were warrants. FISA court warrants. That is the problem. Most warrants you can at least find out after the fact hwo the information was obtained so you can object to it being used at a trial. I think the FISA court is entirely secret. There can’t be any review of the warrant. That is the problem.
And again, nothing that was revealed today has anything to do with listening in on all the conversaions of all the Verizon phone calls. It is just the meta information. If they want a wiretap beyond that, they have to go back to court. They aren’t doing that for the whole damn country.
If you’re the paranoidal type, Tor is your friend. Subscribe to radical periodicals and blogs of all ideologies concurrently. Send conflicting emails. Avoid googling words like “…(redacted)”. Use bitcoin. Save sensitive conversations for face-to-face and/or learn a private sign language. Don’t use cell phones or credit cards for questionable interactions. Don’t mail dope. Don’t expatriate “sensitive” materials. Better yet, don’t plot violent overthrow of the US government and solicit helpers for your cause. Especially on youTube….
Monitoring communications and tracking purchases is a given in our society; it’s hardly a state secret. But take comfort in our vast numbers and massive individual inconsequence. Like gangsters convicted on tax charges, the data base will only be mined retrospectively if Someone, Somewhere has an axe to grind on your behind. So strive for obfuscation.
‘the data base will only be mined retrospectively if Someone, Somewhere has an axe to grind on your behind’
Besides all the “boiling frogs” and “slippery slopes” issues, there’s this: are we so short sighted we don’t remember J Edgar Hoover? He used to have dirt on so many politicians that he would approach one and say, “Senator, your enemies might have knowledge of your gay affair, and I can help you keep it quiet.” The obvious implication was Hoover might release this information to the Senators enemies and therefore, he better do what he’s told. Hoover had untold numbers of politicians in his pocket and stayed in power for decades.
Remember Elliot Spitzer? He was gaining in popularity and openly ready to take on wall street. Suddenly, bam, a prostitution scandal and he’s done. There have been suggestions that the leak came from a Bush wiretap. But even if it wasn’t, it’s an example of how private communications can be used to destroy people who endanger the powers that be. It’s important to consider that we are accepting intrusions that might change history for the worse.
IIRC, I was one of the three Americans screaming bloody murder over Bush’s reinstitution of the same domestic spy program we’d finally legislated out of existence after Nixon’s excesses. I’m also one of the few I know who has publicly supported Wikileaks and lobbied for the sainthood of Bradley Manning.
And yes, the people of this country give up their personal autonomy far too easily, all in the name of “defense” and “security”.
Just saying, I’ve seen far worse infringements than the media sh!tstorm we’re getting now — and to anyone who’s been paying attention, it’s hardly news.
Comment by Michael Viking
2013-06-07 09:04:36
The best possible spin I can put on this
I’m glad you can work hard to put a positive spin on this. Do you also work hard to put a positive spin on things other administrations have done?
Also, Dems that spoke out against FISA court were labeled as enablers of terrorists and/or traitors.
And look for the these dems to support what Obama’s doing.
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Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-06-06 09:21:38
It’s really sickening to be sure. The FISA tool is way too useful for DOJ to stop using. And Congress (both parties, both Houses) lacks the balls to pass legislation to stop it. People will hem and haw but both parties support FISA. They’ll just attack each other when they’re not the ones running the Executive Branch (DOJ).
Comment by inchbyinch
2013-06-06 09:34:12
Thank you, Joe.
Your eyes are wide open.
Comment by Steve J
2013-06-06 12:02:38
How do we know its useful?
It seems even when the FBI is tipped about a terrorist they ignore it and instead focus on the political enemies of the state(eg Fox News reporter Rosen rather than Boston Bomber Tsarnev).
‘the adverse tradeoff for those concerned about the Fourth Amendment to the Constitution is that the government will close the circle and have the ability to access all forms of communication by citizens and resident aliens without any genuine judicial oversight. The FBI has abused its investigative authority in the past, and, even if the rules change, the sole authority for permitting the searches would be the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court. This court approved 100% of 1,856 applications it received in 2012 based on the federal government’s assertion, frequently without any evidence, that national security was involved.’
‘they followed the law that was passed by the Congress of the United States and signed by the President’
If the congress and president got together and passed a law making one group of people slaves, is it lawful? This idea that if the government does it, it’s OK, is repugnant.
I know, I know, the government lovers here are Sad Panda’s these days. Their Idol has proved to be a serious jerk, who flaunts the law, uses dirty tricks, runs a kill list AND a torture prison. Like I said the other day, don’t get too down on yourselves. This country can probably make it through one or two more of these fascist, corporate-owned, war mongering presidents before we have no freedom or wealth left.
If the congress and president got together and passed a law making one group of people slaves, is it lawful?
Technically, I suppose it IS lawful. But within about 10 minutes one of the slaves would sue that the new law violated 13th and 14th amendment and a judge, appeals courts, and Supreme Court would strike the law down very quickly.
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Comment by homie don't play houses
2013-06-06 09:51:47
appeals courts, and Supreme Court would strike the law down very quickly.
</i?
Like Kelo? Like ObamaCare? Like DNA ruling?
You have too much faith on these political hacks.
Comment by oxide
2013-06-06 10:25:15
If the Supreme Court somehow found that slavery was Constitutional, then the law would stand.
But, sorry to say, Ben is not the arbiter of what is or is not lawful in the US (excluding the blog.) If the legislative branch passes a law that does something, then yup, it’s OK until the judicial branch says otherwise. Repugnant or no.
Comment by polly
2013-06-06 10:32:09
Until the judicial branch says otherwise OR the people elect a congress and president that will change the law. That is how our system is set up.
Comment by homie don't play houses
2013-06-06 11:55:22
Ben is not the arbiter of what is or is not lawful
Ben IS the arbiter. Him and his central planner buddies have been playing with nation’s money for far too long.
“I’ve never been to Mt. Rushmore.
It’s just too silly.
Even now, as I write this I’m thinking
About George W’s wartime lies,
Clinton’s cigars, and Nixon’s
microphones, and I’m cringing because
I know every president, no matter how
great on the surface, owned a heart
chewed by rats. Who’s on that
damn Rushmore anyway? Is it
Buchanan, both Adamses, and Mr.
Lincoln?” -Sherman Alexie
I used to think this way too young paduwan, but it’s become obvious that our resident trolls have no interest in intelligent discourse. If they were, they would learn from the MANY times their points have been invalidated and seek out new sources of corroborated information. Instead, they choose to will fully live in a bubble where their few sources of “information” about the world only tell them the fairy tale they want to hear.
Hat’s off for fighting the good fight, but as a dear friend once told me - “A man convinced against his will, is not.”
Therein lies the problem, with “the” being the definite article and “a” being the indefinite. The future, as well as all of our geographically and economically differentiated locales should dictate the latter.
There is no one fairy tale unless you are Tommy. Who?? -
Home Investors to Buy Fewer Rentals as Prices Increase
By John Gittelsohn - Jun 5, 2013 12:01 AM ET (bloomibergi)
“Almost half of U.S. real estate investors expect to buy fewer rental houses in the next 12 months as rising prices make it harder to profit, according to a survey by polling firm ORC International.
About 48 percent of investors surveyed plan to reduce home purchases over the next year, up from 30 percent in an August poll…
Private-equity funds, real estate investment trusts and individual investors have been buying houses in a hunt for cash flow from rents and future price appreciation, with values still 28 percent below their 2006 peak. Investors were the buyers in 19 percent of U.S. home sales tracked by the National Association of Realtors in March and April, compared with 20 percent in April 2012, the group reported last month.”
And the public is trailing 120°behind
Hovnanian Reports Profit as Home Sales and Orders Climb
By Prashant Gopal - Jun 5, 2013 10:25 AM ET. (bloomibergi)
“Hovnanian Enterprises Inc., the best-performing U.S. homebuilder stock in the past year, rose the most in almost three months after reporting a surprise quarterly profit as it benefited from the U.S. housing recovery.
Net income for the fiscal second quarter ended April 30 was $1.3 million, or 1 cent a share, compared with $1.8 million, or 2 cents…
Purchases of new homes advanced 2.3 percent in April to a 454,000 annual pace, the second-fastest since July 2008, Commerce Department data show.
‘We raised home prices in many of our communities across the country, which have more than offset any increases in labor or material costs we have experienced to date.’ ”
————-
Let’s see, this bubblet started about a year ago. Anyone up for a prediction as to when the price rises will stall? I’m stick my neck out and hold to my 120°-out-of-phase theory. That is, 12 month investor run up, 6 month overlap of buying (right now), and 12 month past peak where investors sell and the followers buy. We have ~ one more year of price rises, depending on the seasonal variations. RAL could be right this time. Get what you can for your house now, because in a year the demand won’t be there.
don’t rent from the boyz. we rent from a locally owned llc. and in that time we got a new kitchen faucet, a brand new refridgerator, they just re-striped the parking lot and upgraded the landscaping, the rooftop deck is being replaced and new grills installed, and the party room is getting a pool table and new big screen teevee. and the on-site building super enforces building policies with an iron fist (which we appreciate because we hate noise).
renting from the boyz will be like living in a lower east side tenement circa 1905. and the ‘lifestyles’ of the lowlife renters that the boyz rent to will overflow and infect the whole neighborhood. the boyz will happily cash their rent checks (more like money orders, since their renters can’t qualify for checking accounts), while your neighborhood devolves into a suburban ghetto. you’ll see…
This is worse than sports. Sporting season comes to an end at some point. Not the stock market. All these endless daily BS and the worst thing is nobody ever makes any money except for the house.
It’s a shame to bury that punchline in a long and cryptic link:
WATCH LIVE Draghi on European Economy: ECB No Source of Market Volatility
China Export Gains Seen Halved With Fake-Data Crackdown
By Bloomberg News - Jun 6, 2013 12:38 AM PT
China’s crackdown on fake export invoices used to disguise money flows is probably cutting the nation’s trade figures, revealing subdued global demand that will weigh on economic growth.
…
ft dot com
Global Market Overview
Last updated: June 6, 2013 12:45 pm
Global stocks at six-week lows
By Jamie Chisholm, Global Markets Commentator
Thursday 12:30 BST. World stocks are hovering at six-week lows as fretting about the duration and impact of central bank intervention, alongside patchy economic data, delivers a pullback from recent cyclical highs.
Japanese equities have endured another volatile session, contributing to the nervousness of traders wary of potential “headline risk” in the form of crucial US jobs numbers and policy decisions from European central banks.
Such caution sees the dollar index marginally softer, industrial commodities mixed, gold up $1 to $1,404 an ounce and Treasury yields near two-week lows of 2.08 per cent.
The FTSE All-World equity index, which hit a near five-year peak of 250 at the end of May, is down 0.1 per cent to 238.1, as the FTSE Eurofirst 300 gains 0.3 per cent but after the Asia-Pacific region dropped 1.1 per cent to fresh 2013 lows.
US index futures suggest the S&P 500 in New York will recover some of the ground lost on Wednesday, in line to gain 4 points to 1,613.
But that still leaves the benchmark down 4.3 per cent from the intraday record touched two weeks ago.
In that time investors have become more concerned about how the markets will fare should the Federal Reserve start reducing its $85bn-a-month bond buying programme, a strategy designed to suppress yields and push funds into “riskier” investments.
The Fed’s QE3 duration will depend primarily on the health of the US labour market and so all eyes are on this week’s batch of jobs reports. Wednesday’s ADP survey of private-sector job creation came in shy of expectations, raising concerns that Friday’s non-farm payrolls survey will also disappoint. Before that, the weekly initial unemployment claims data will be published on Thursday.
There had been a time when poor economic data were seen by some investors as being good for stocks, and of course bonds, because they would extend the Fed’s largesse.
But recent soft numbers have provided succour only to the bears.
…
HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — Asian markets fell Thursday after a big drop on Wall Street in the wake of a weak U.S. private-sector jobs report, reflecting caution ahead of Friday’s nonfarm payrolls data.
Japanese equities were tormented by more volatility that also affected the yen and bond yields, dragging stocks closer toward a so-called bear market.
The Nikkei Stock Average shook off a weak opening to rebound earlier Thursday, but retreated again to finish the day 0.9% lower at 12,904.02, its first drop below the 13,000-point level since April 5. The broader Topix fell 1.8%.
Both benchmarks had dropped more than 3% in the previous session, after Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s blueprint for the nation’s long-term economic recovery fell short of some expectations.
The Nikkei Average, in particular, is off slightly more than 19% from the 52-week high it reached on May 23. A drop of 20% from that high would take the 225-stock benchmark into a technical bear market. The Topix is off 17% from its own 52-week high.
“The markets’ honeymoon with the Abe government has ended, but it seems premature to consider filing for divorce. … The worst of the correction in the Nikkei may soon be over,” said Capital Economics chief global economist Julian Jessop.
…
With a contracting retirement income system, rapidly rising health-care costs, and the prospect of long-term care expenses, one would have thought that people approaching retirement would be paying off their credit card debt and closing out their mortgages. But surveys suggest that people are entering retirement with more debt than ever before and relying on borrowing to cover expenses in retirement.
According to the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances, in 2010 54% of pre-retirees and 41% of those 65-74 had a mortgage on their home. And the median amounts of these mortgages were not trivial – $97,000 for pre-retirees and $70,000 for new retirees. About 41% of pre-retirees and 32% of new retirees also had outstanding credit card balances (median balance about $2,200) and installment loans (median balance about $11,000). About 9% of pre-retirees and retirees faced debt payments that exceeded 40% of family income.
The high levels of debt were driven by housing. During the housing bubble, financial institutions encouraged homeowners to think of their house as a cash machine. In response, they took on more housing debt during their working years and approached retirement with considerable housing debt.
…
In this paper, we present estimates of the disposition of the free cash generated by home equity extraction to finance consumer spending, outlays for home improvements, debt repayment, acquisition of assets, and other uses. We estimate free cash as cash available net of closing costs and repayment of other mortgage debt. We have also extended the quarterly data series for gross equity extraction, presented in our earlier paper (Greenspan and Kennedy, 2005), back to 1968.
As long as the Chicoms don’t expect to ever be paid back, it’s all good.
Comment by rms
2013-06-06 13:20:13
The only smart folks who took home equity loans were foreigners who came here, bought a home with zero down, and immediately took out a 125% HELOC, and returned to their home of origin.
Comment by oxide
2013-06-06 13:33:46
So what ARE the sources and uses of the equity, whac-bear? We don’t have access to the full article, and this abstracts doesn’t list them.
(15 years ago, the abstract would have had the list. Now article abstracts are like movie trailers to get us to buy the article.)
Comment by aNYCdj
2013-06-06 16:57:33
People who took out 125% Heloc and paid off their student debt with it then got foreclosed on! ……yeah like how many were that smart?
The only smart folks who took home equity loans were f
With so many prognosticators warning of an incipient stock market crash, is it safe to assume the fear is already reflected in price levels, and hence a crash isn’t going to happen?
June 5, 2013, 11:37 a.m. EDT How to survive a stock market crash
Commentary: Be careful, not fearful, and know what you own and why
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Japan stocks, yen take wild ride as Abe speaks
Coming up: ADP jobs report, U.S. productivity
U.S. stocks tumble with jobs report in mind
By Michael Sincere
MIAMI (MarketWatch) — Investors who are deeply afraid of a stock market crash suffer from a condition I call “crashitis.” Symptoms include anxiety, insomnia, anger, and negative thoughts about the market. People in this condition often move all their money to cash even in bull markets. In extreme cases, investors may avoid the market for a lifetime.
After getting burned in the market twice in the last 10 years, it’s not surprising that many investors are suspicious of this market. It’s been said this is the most hated bull market in history.
…
LONDON (MarketWatch) — European stock markets turned lower in afternoon action on Thursday, after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said ECB staff cut its forecast for 2013 growth to a 0.6% contraction versus a March forecast of a 0.5% fall in gross domestic product.
…
As we replied to Downlow Joe yesterday, the changes are structural, not cyclical. Welcome to the recoveryless recovery. The future belongs to Lucky Ducky.
When the experts decide were in another recession the propoganda will spread quickly. Wall street will have already sold and went short. retail investors will panic and sell. wall street picks up the crumbs and starts the machine over. lather, rinse , repeat.
The experts say were in a recovery. I have seen commercial buildings vacant for 5 years around here. People have been out of work for years.
I drive around town thinking , what has really changed in the past 5 years?
The only thing I can see is that printing money and buying debt has allowed the over spending to continue. Interest rates are low for home loans due to this debt binge.
I have seen commercial buildings vacant for 5 years around here ??
And it is quite possible your going to see it for 5 more if not more…Commercial retail has been turned on its head by technology and the consumer…Amazon has been testing the fresh food home delivery in Seattle and now seeks to expand…
In early March, I bought something with a credit card and put it in the living room. My living room hasn’t looked any different since then. But behind the scenes, I’ve been paying off the credit card (mailed the last payment on Tuesday).
Same thing here. The change in RE hasn’t been visible over the past 5 years. The change was in 2002-2007 when the stuff was being built by debt. Now someone is paying it off with printed money.
Nice post goon….Here is the couple of paragraphs that had me nodding yep….
Why have so many workers dropped out of the labor force and stopped actively seeking work? Partly this is due to sluggish economic growth. But research by the University of Chicago’s Casey Mulligan has suggested that because government benefits are lost when income rises, some people forgo poor jobs in lieu of government benefits—unemployment insurance, food stamps and disability benefits among the most obvious. The disability rolls have grown by 13% and the number receiving food stamps by 39% since 2009.
These disincentives to seek work may also help explain the unusually high proportion of the unemployed who have been out of work for more than 26 weeks. The proportion of unemployed who are long-termers reached 45% in April 2010 and again in March 2011. It is still above 37%. During the early 1980s, when the economy experienced a comparable recession, the proportion of long-term unemployed never exceeded 27%.
I abhor the fact that able bodied men and women choose to suck on government teet instead of working a low paying job. You can’t really blame though, can you? In any society, the poor learn ther behaviors from the elites. The elites get rich and powerful sucking on government teet, why can’t the poor people? That’s why austerity will never ever happen.
The PTB will massage the numbers trying to make sh*t smell like a rose, but the sad reality is that the American middle class is face-down in the manure pile, with the 1%ers’ boots on their necks keeping them there.
sad reality is that the American middle class is face-down in the manure pile ??
I agree…With no apparent scenario that it will change anytime soon if ever (new normal)…Slowly, some of those in the middle class will slip to the lower middle and then possibly to the lower class having to move to BFE just to survive…Toting with them their guns I might add…Civil unrest could follow…Its one thing to be poor, when its all you have ever known…Its quite another to have been doing fairly well and have everything wiped out because of policy makers and thieves…That, my friends, makes for a very angry man…
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Comment by goon squad
2013-06-06 08:10:10
Hence the recent stories about the increase in baby boomer suicides. It’s only a matter of time before some of them decide to opt against self-checkout and try to take as many bodies down with them when they go.
Depression is merely anger without enthusiasm.
Comment by wittbelle
2013-06-06 10:19:54
Sent to me from my mother. She just turned 75.
Medicare Part X
“NEW SENIOR PROGRAM….
New Medicare Program
You’re a sick senior citizen and the government says there is no nursing home available for you.
So what do you do?
Our plan gives anyone 65 years or older a gun and 4 bullets.
You are allowed to shoot four Politicians.
Of course, this means you will be sent to prison where you will get three meals a day, a roof over your head, central heating, air conditioning
and all the health care you need! Need new teeth? No problem. Need glasses? That’s great. Need a new hip, knees, kidney, lungs or heart?
They’re all covered.
As an added bonus, your kids can come and visit you as often as they do now.
And who will be paying for all of this?
It’s the same government that just told you that you they cannot afford for you to go into a home.
And you can get rid of 4 useless politicians while you are at it.
Plus, and because you are a prisoner, you don’t have to pay any income taxes anymore.
“…. Is this a great country or what? “
Comment by Al
2013-06-06 11:42:46
“Its one thing to be poor, when its all you have ever known…Its quite another to have been doing fairly well and have everything wiped out…”
That’s why they’re trying to make the descent as slow as possible. If things don’t get too bad too fast, the current 20 somethings are likely to accept their reduced lifestyle as they become 30-40 somethings, because it’s all they’ve known.
Comment by polly
2013-06-06 12:03:36
Moderately amusing Wittbelle, except that is implies that Medicare pays for long term care in a nursing home. It doesn’t. That is Medicaid.
Comment by goon squad
2013-06-06 12:07:15
“the current 20 somethings”
See also numerous recent articles about less of them having cars or even drivers licenses. Stoodent Loanz are a big factor in this, as is the fact that car ownership/insurance/maintenance is just too expensive for the Lucky Ducklings.
I think the graduating classes of 2009 and 2010 may have been surprised/shocked/pissed off at their unexpected economic realities, but the younger kidz are beginning to understand what the New Normal is.
These precious little snowflakes may have had their self-esteem unjustifiably fluffed since birth, but if they’ve never held real jobs as adults, they’ve never attained a level of comfort that the 40-50-somethings were so wounded by losing.
Comment by rms
2013-06-06 13:33:47
“Its one thing to be poor, when its all you have ever known…Its quite another to have been doing fairly well and have everything wiped out…”
There’s a huge difference between being broke and being poor since those who are broke typically regain their footing as a recession gives way to growth whereas the poor remain so despite something such as an inheritance windfall that is quickly frittered away.
Comment by Pete
2013-06-06 17:13:25
“Depression is merely anger without enthusiasm.”
What is murder but an extroverted suicide? (From some Python skit)
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-06-06 08:59:36
Gawker is really underrated with its discussions of student loans, the jobless, midlife layoffs, bankrupt boomers, and other things you rarely/never see on the teevees.
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Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-06-06 09:27:03
Gawker’s also great at making stuff up about crack videos of mayors they don’t like.
It’s amazing how conspiracy theorists will dismiss any data the govt produces. Yet they’ll jump on some blogger’s data as gospel. You do realize the peak UI rate was 25% in the 1930s, yes? So what you’re saying is the economy of today is just a teenie bit better than it was during the height of the Great Depression.
Think about how absurd what you’re saying is.
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Comment by homie don't play houses
2013-06-06 10:00:43
What absurd is anyone would even defend government propoganda.
Comment by wittbelle
2013-06-06 10:26:46
The Depression resulted in the “safety nets” that are in place today, preventing people from falling into dire straits. Credit is also much easier to get and abuse today than it was in the 30’s, It’s possible that the unemployment rate, while near the rate it was during the Depression, is not having the same visible impact as it did. Just sayin’.
Comment by In Colorado
2013-06-06 12:33:46
Think about how absurd what you’re saying is.
Shadow Stats is not a blog.
Comment by snowgirl
2013-06-06 15:17:38
The Dust Bowl crisis in a primarily agrarian economy obviously aggravated those GD numbers.
research by the University of Chicago’s Casey Mulligan has suggested that because government benefits are lost when income rises, some people forgo poor jobs in lieu of government benefits—unemployment insurance, food stamps and disability benefits among the most obvious. The disability rolls have grown by 13% and the number receiving food stamps by 39% since 2009.
So does this explain the unemployment situation? Some time back in late 2007 around 5% of the workforce suddenly switched from being good, respectable, hard-working folk to a bunch of lazy slobs who want to sit around, play Xbox and collect government checks?
5% of the workforce suddenly switched from being good, respectable, hard-working folk to a bunch of lazy slobs who want to sit around, play Xbox and collect government checks ??
I know a guy that had a good solid job writing service orders at a Toyota dealership…He worked it somehow to get laid off…He then proceeded to collect 99 weeks of unemployment…After that, he went back and applied for work and got a new service job…I know he will do it again if he can…
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Comment by In Colorado
2013-06-06 08:16:24
I’ll bet he made a lot more money working than what UE gave him. When I was laid off I learned that my UE benefit would have been about 25% of my lost paycheck. It wasn’t a viable option so I hustled and found a new job, Of course it helps to have marketable skills.
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-06-06 08:23:47
“5% of the workforce suddenly switched from being good, respectable, hard-working folk to a bunch of lazy slobs who want to sit around, play Xbox and collect government checks ??”
Not quite. That workforce was always a bunch of lazy slobs. But they had no choice other than to work. In comes Obama and tells these people, don’t worry, I got your back, no need to work anymore. Obama has made the rules so lax to get welfare, you basically need a pulse and not much more.
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-06-06 08:31:41
“I’ll bet he made a lot more money working than what UE gave him. When I was laid off I learned that my UE benefit would have been about 25% of my lost paycheck. It wasn’t a viable option so I hustled and found a new job, Of course it helps to have marketable skills.”
Depends on the state. In WA state, UI pays about $38K a year. You don’t have to pay FICA tax on UI so that’s the equivalent of a job paying $40,000 a year.
So say your option is make $40K by doing nothing or make $50K by doing something. A lot of people will take a $10K pay cut for a 2 year vacation. And it’s not really $10K either. You have no costs for transportation to work, no costs for daycare/babysitters, etc.
And you have 2 years during which you can have a side job off the books or have 2 years to start a business while having a guaranteed income if it fails. As long as the business makes no profit, you’re not breaking the law.
Comment by polly
2013-06-06 09:01:17
Smithers is lying. From the Washington state website:
The total amount of benefits potentially payable on your claim is found by taking the smaller of:
26 times your weekly benefit amount or
1/3 of the total gross wages in all four quarters of your base year.
From earlier in the same page:
In Washington state, the maximum weekly benefit amount is $604. The minimum is $143.
So, unemployment in WA is between $3718 and $15,704 if you claim it for the entire 26 week period. But it can’t be more than one third of your wages from your “base year” unless that means you would get less than $143 a week.
Even if you assume that the person is eligible for 52 weeks of benefits (that extra funding is phasing out) it is no more than $31,408 for a year and you would have to have had an annual base salary of over $94,000 to get it.
Comment by Mr. Smithers
2013-06-06 09:20:19
It could have sworn it was $700. Maybe I’m thinking of a different state.
Fine so $604 a week still works out to $33,810 a year equivalent of a job where you’d pay FICA of 7.65%. Not a bad gig for doing nothing all day long. It’s a great incentive to NOT look for work.
Comment by MightyMike
2013-06-06 09:47:20
Not quite. That workforce was always a bunch of lazy slobs. But they had no choice other than to work. In comes Obama and tells these people, don’t worry, I got your back, no need to work anymore. Obama has made the rules so lax to get welfare, you basically need a pulse and not much more
Unemployment was a nice low ~5% at the beggining of 2008. It was up to 8% in January 2009, when Obama took office. It reached its maximum - around 10% - in October of that year.
It doesn’t really make sense to blame Obama for that dramatic rise in unemployment. The painfully slow recovery is another matter.
Comment by polly
2013-06-06 10:37:37
You still didn’t read the part where in order to get the maximum benefit, you have to have an original salary of over $90K a year. Most people are getting a lot less.
Comment by Steve J
2013-06-06 12:17:39
And get laid off at the right time, correctly predicting when Congress would extend unemployment benefits.
Comment by In Colorado
2013-06-06 12:39:40
Fine so $604 a week still works out to $33,810 a year equivalent of a job where you’d pay FICA of 7.65%. Not a bad gig for doing nothing all day long. It’s a great incentive to NOT look for work.
Yeah, but the Toyota write up guy isn’t getting that much. Maybe a Software Engineer laid off from Microsoft might, but he’d probably get another job.
As Polly pointed out, the benefit is at most 1/3 of your wages. Hardly an incentive to not work.
And in most states the UE benefit is far less generous.
Comment by In Colorado
2013-06-06 12:40:40
Smithers is lying.
Like bananaboy, he constantly spews lies and canards.
Comment by homie don't play houses
2013-06-06 13:35:38
Like bananaboy, he constantly spews lies and canards.
But I just came off UI a few months ago. As an independent contractor, I assure you I payed for every dime of the UI I took out the previous year and a half contract I worked.
And you DO have to pay taxes on your UI. It counts against your total income, so if you worked the first six months of a year and then got UI for the rest, they add the total up and tax you on that - you better hope you witheld enough from your UI checks(the default is to do like 10% witholding - you have to ASK them if you want nothing witheld) or you’ll end up owing the IRS at tax time.
Guys I’m pretty sure he’s just a 19 year old kid, about where I was at that age, listening to Rush “vicodan” Limbaugh, and lapping it up.
Then one day when I was having a hard time finding a job and Rush told me that “There will be no job loss from NAFTA. The majority of all laptops are still made in the US.”
Having disassembled my 386 laptop many times I KNEW that few to none of the components were US made. Rush Lied to me.
The same way Hannity, O’reilley, and everyone working for Rupert Murdoch does on a daily basis - by omitting crucial little facts that would completely alter any thinking person’s conclusions if they were known/considered. Using classic post hoc ergo propter hoc reasoning, etc.
Comment by Hi-Z
2013-06-06 19:12:38
biggvs richardsvs:
How the heck did you collect UI when “independent contractors” don’t pay UI, at least not in Florida. UI is an EMPLOYER paid tax paid to the state based on W2 wages paid to cover state UI program. FUTA (federal UI) is based on the same W2 wages paid. Something doesn’t jive with your description.
Comment by Happy2bHeard
2013-06-06 23:29:50
One of the risks of taking just any job instead of collecting UI is that it may negatively affect one’s ability to get back into a job similar to the one that was lost. Taking a retail job degrades the resume of a software engineer. And the hours spent working at the retail job take time and energy from the SE job search.
At the same time, the retail job may be harder to get than another software engineering job. The retail establishment may prefer someone with experience in retail and rightly perceive the SE to be overqualified and likely to leave as soon as a SE job is found. In a tight labor market, there may be more qualified retail candidates available.
Volunteer or freelance work in one’s chosen profession do not have the same negatives as starting at the bottom in another line of work, especially a low status occupation that a HS kid can be trained to do in a couple of hours.
In this job market, the unemployed are being discriminated against. For many employers, being unemployed is a strike against a candidate. With many candidates competing for scarce jobs, an employer can afford to use employment status to weed out candidates. And they can use that as a criteria in place of some other protected attribute, such as age or race.
It is not just a dollars and cents calculation on the part of the unemployed person.
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-06-06 08:53:27
What do you mean you replied to me? I agree with you on this. I was just saying that I don’t think journalists do any favors when they ignore the structural changes.
“does anyone over there besides the rich own stocks?”
They have “investment clubs”. These are usually groups of neighbors or co-workers who pool their money to invest in abstract financials like stocks or FOREX.
Japan’s Nikkei Stock Average (JP:NIK -0.81%) on Thursday came close to getting a bear hug. It dropped to 12,862.02 during the session, and then recovered some to end at 12,904.02.
At that level, Japan’s best-known stock gauge is still nearly 150 points above what would officially mark its entry into a bear market — defined as a 20% drop from the recent high. (In the Nikkei’s case, that’s the high of 15,942.60 it hit on May 23, before all hell broke loose.) The decline is actually 19.1%.
The Topix (JP:TPX -1.77%) index is a bit further away from a bear market. It’s down 17% on Thursday, from its 52-week high, also hit on May 23.
Not surprisingly, a staggering amount of investor wealth has been lost since the carnage began. At Thursday’s close, Japan’s market capitalization is down a mammoth $577 billion since May 22. That’s more than Malaysia’s entire capitalization of $550 billion, according to FactSet data tallied more than two weeks ago.
…
What I was wondering was just how large (and ephemeral) was the runup in the Nikkei prior to the recent 19% correction?
Isn’t this merely yet another instance of the overly familiar central bank liquidity fueled bubble-and-bust sequence which has become a frequently recurring feature of the international financial system in recent years?
“They created personal rec rooms with televisions, radios, chairs and couches. On the walls were photos, calendars and pinups. For entertainment, they had books, magazines and videos. If they got hungry, they could grab something from a refrigerator and pop it into a microwave.
The crown jewel of their hideaway — which stored EPA office furnishings — was a 30-by-45-foot athletic center, cobbled together from “surplus” EPA gym equipment and decked out with a music system provided via “other agency inventory items,” according to a recently released inspector general’s report.”
“Former students hobbled by a collective $1 trillion in education loans can be hindered in expanding or forming small businesses and creating jobs for themselves and others.
The share of 25-year-olds with student debt increased to 43 percent last year from 25 percent in 2003. The average education-loan balance among that group grew by 91 percent over the period, to $20,326 from $10,649″
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that its immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-06-06 08:57:22
If he had a son, the son would go to Landon and wear a suit to school. Obama pandering about the Trayvon thing was sad. That said, George Zimmerman is still a massive a__hole whose life has been deservedly ruined.
Calling that pandering is a little Fox Newsy. A key part of his party’s base was very upset about a story that was in the news. Obama was asked about that story at a press conference. He uttered exactly one sentence to indicate his concern. It’s hardly even worth remembering.
“The nation’s drinking water systems are deteriorating, and $384 billion needs to be spent in the next 17 years to maintain a safe supply for millions of Americans”
If Obama didn’t give $500 billion to Solyndra there would be plenty of money to pay for this.
Please don’t feed the troll. Anyone who needs to resort to labeling people “Liberal” isn’t worth your time. Someday it will be found to be an Autism spectrum disease or something like that.
WASHINGTON, DC-True, sequestration has not been the nightmare first envisioned–or perhaps better put, portrayed. But while the worst-case scenario about sequestration can be dismissed, at least for 2013, some companies in the Washington DC region are definitely noticing an impact. As we explained in the first part of this series, GlobeSt.com dug through recent earnings statements of companies based here, or with substantial operations here, to see what executives had to say about sequestration. We continue with that survey now.
…
” But while the worst-case scenario about sequestration can be dismissed, at least for 2013, some companies in the Washington DC region are definitely noticing an impact.”
Awwwww poor babies. So the $250K a year defense contractor will only make $225K a year? My heart bleeds, it really does. Someone quick, enact a new tax so these people don’t go hungry.
There are some senior analyst federal staff in our office retiring soon. And because of the federal hiring freeze (which is something I expect you would support) they are not being replaced by hiring more feds.
They are being replaced by hiring more government contractors. I don’t know exactly how that skirts the hiring freeze (maybe Downlow Joe or polly can explain that), but it does.
Comment by joe sees your PPQ and counters that it's immaterial to your unpopulated joint venture
2013-06-06 12:23:33
$250k isn’t that much for a private defense contractor. I see numbers quite a bit higher than that all.the.time. And that doesn’t include their overhead & benefits.
And that’s just mid- and senior-level rank-and-file contractors. Managers and executives are being capped at $750k by a new law that was just passed, but right now there are thousands that make more than that.
You see the same thing with private lawyers vs. fed goverment lawyers. Fed gov lawyers at mid- and senior levels make at most 1/2 as much but realistically more like 1/4 as much. Is it any wonder why private lawfirms almost _always_ beat the feds? And, relatedly, why private firms get such good settlements when they do wrong?
“Those reassurances have never been persuasive — whether on secret warrants to scoop up a news agency’s phone records or secret orders to kill an American suspected of terrorism — especially coming from a president who once promised transparency and accountability. The administration has now lost all credibility. Mr. Obama is proving the truism that the executive will use any power it is given and very likely abuse it.”
Page 19: Judicial states still lagging in working through their distress, NJ and NY only have decreased their non-current loan rates by 1.3% and 1.1%, respectively over the prior year. Both are still over 12% (12.7% for NY, 15.3% for NJ…FL is at 17.3%).
Despite the “Homeowner Bill of Rights”, CA is now down to a 6.5% non-current rate (from 7.0% last month, and 29.8% reduction over the prior 12 monts). AZ is at 5.9%.
Has this been linked yet. If this is true, this is massively messed up.
“n the latest sales filings, he discovered that a group called SFR 2012-1 US West LLC, located at 135 N. Los Robles Ave., fourth floor, in Pasadena, Calif., purchased 275 foreclosure homes from Fannie Mae that day. Each deal was individually recorded. Fannie Mae’s Dallas office is listed as the seller.
More research shows the buyer is an LLC created by Fannie Mae.”
Almost €100bn pulled out of Spain as investors beat a hasty retreat
Almost €100bn (£80.2bn) of cash was pulled out of Spain in the first three months of the year by private and corporate investors fleeing the advancing financial and political crisis.
By Louise Armitstead, Chief business correspondent
8:19PM BST 31 May 2012
The Bank of Spain said €66.2bn was withdrawn in March alone – the fastest rate since records began in 1990 – taking the total to €97bn for the first quarter.
Experts warned that the chaotic state-rescue of Bankia is likely to have speeded up the capital flight, compounding the already critical instability of the banks.
Foreign investors have also rapidly withdrawn their support for Spanish government funding. According to figures from Barclays Capital, foreigners accounted for just 30pc of the holders of Spanish sovereign debt in March, down from 40pc at the same time last year.
In a bid to plug the draining confidence, Spain on Friday launched a diplomatic offensive in the US and Germany in a bid to win support for its banks but still stave off a bail-out.
Soraya Saenz de Santamaria, Spain’s deputy prime minister, was despatched across the Atlantic for crisis talks with Tim Geitner, the US Treasury secretary, and Christine Lagarde, head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Finance minister, Luis de Guindos, was sent to Germany to meet his counterpart Wolfgang Schaeuble, sometimes seen as the eurozone’s paymaster.
…
* ETFs tracked by Reuters down 7.2 percent so far this year
* Brighter global economic backdrop, interest rates eyed
* Outflows continued despite price boost from Cyprus crisis
LONDON, March 28 (Reuters) - Gold-backed exchange-traded funds are set for their biggest quarterly outflow since inception, with investors beating a hasty retreat from the market due to a brightened global economic backdrop.
Holdings in the eight gold-backed exchange traded products (ETPs) tracked by Reuters are down by 7.2 percent to 70.66 million ounces this year.
The largest, New York’s SPDR Gold Trust, accounts for around 40 percent of total ETF holdings and is down 12 percent to 39.26 million ounces.
Other gold products such as the Comex Gold Trust also reported a quarterly decline of 241,548 ounces. The ETF Securities’ GBS fund was down five percent.
The bulk of outflows coincided with February’s fall in gold prices, the largest monthly decrease since May 2012.
Investors continued to liquidate even as the debt crisis in Cyprus prompted a rally this month, with a perception of overall improving economic conditions suggesting that a period of disinvestment, or at least stabilisation, may occur.
“I don’t think that the economic environment as the year progresses, with interest rates possibly starting to rise and inflation remaining fairly benign, is going to be one that allows investors to come back,” Nomura precious metals analyst Tyler Broda said.
…
The dollar suffered a sharp fall on Thursday as nervousness over US jobs data prompted uncertainty over how long the Federal Reserve will continue to pump liquidity into the global financial system, leading investors to sell off the currency.
The move followed a euro rally after the European Central Bank kept interest rates on hold at its monthly meeting and raised its forecasts for growth in the eurozone next year despite scaling back its expectations for 2013.
This spurred further dollar selling in the world’s largest financial market as the currency breached technical support levels. The dollar index fell nearly 2 per cent while the US currency at one point dipped 3 per cent against Japan’s yen to move below Y96.
“This is reminiscent of the 2008 crisis and well off the normal charts,” said Bob Savage at FX Concepts, the New York-based hedge fund, referring to the volatility in the currency markets on Thursday. “I don’t think anyone in the central banking world wants currency or bond volatility right now and they’re facing both.”
Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan chief executive, warned global markets would face increased volatility as central banks bring interest rates back to normal levels. “As we go back to normal, it’s going to be scary, and it’s going to be kind of volatile,” he said at a Fortune Global Forum in Chengdu, China, Bloomberg reported.
…
From the Fortune dot com article (it was the Fortune Global Forum” after all).
“Until it gets back to normal [this time], it’s going to be scary and volatile.”
But Dimon emphasized that the long-term trend still looks positive, and that most people tend to overreact to the dramatic ups and downs in the market.
…
Dimon pointed out that the U.S. economy is still growing, albeit it not as fast as it should. In Europe, he said it remains to be seen what will happen, but he said the economic crisis there “could have been worse.”
ft dot com
June 6, 2013 11:29 pm Record outflows from US junk bond funds
By Michael Mackenzie and Stephen Foley in New York
Investors have pulled a record amount out of US junk bond funds in the past week, beating a speedy retreat from what has been one of the hottest areas of the fixed income market in the past year.
US high-yield funds saw a record $4.63bn in outflows for the week ending on Wednesday, according to Lipper.
Interest rate volatility has surged in recent weeks since benchmark Treasury yields have risen sharply, with selling spilling over into other key areas of the bond market. As exchange traded fund providers and mutual funds face redemptions, they are forced to sell more of their holdings, putting further pressure on prices.
“We are definitely worried that the market is in a cycle where selling of bonds begets more selling,” said Steven Boyd, principal at Halyard Asset Management.
The hefty outflows illustrate the anxiety of investors ahead of the May employment report due on Friday. The Federal Reserve has indicated that its suppression of interest rates under quantitative easing depends on the tone of economic data, led by the monthly jobs figures.
“‘The jobs report will be a harbinger for how bonds trade during the rest of the month,” said Mr Boyd.
Heightened interest rate volatility has punished the performance of bonds in recent weeks. The market’s benchmark, the Barclays US Aggregate index, which consists of Treasury, mortgage and corporate debt, has registered a decline of 1 per cent for 2013, its worst year-to-date performance year since the great bond market rout of 1994.
Ed Marrinan, head of macro credit strategy at RBS, said high-yield bond fans had all deserted the sector at once.
Investors who are bullish on the economy fear an end to quantitative easing could remove a force that has pushed high-yield bonds higher; investors who are bearish on the economy fear that low yields on junk bonds don’t provide enough compensation for the growing risks of default; and investors who don’t know, don’t want to hold relatively risky assets in an uncertain environment.
“When the market lacks clarity, when it lacks consensus, that is when you end up with volatility and that takes its toll on risk assets,” Mr Marrinan said.
The accelerating outflows are already showing up in junk bond prices, which have fallen sharply, sending yields higher. The average yield has surged from its historic low of 4.95 per cent on May 9, to 6.16 per cent on Wednesday night, according to a Barclays index. That figure was the first time in 2013 that the yield has been above 6 per cent.
…
ft dot com / markets
Markets Insight
June 4, 2013 2:11 pm
Markets Insight: Bond market jitters strengthen case for the bears
By Ralph Atkins in London
When talk of ‘tapering’ has such an impact, good economic news is bad news
Can you hear the bears growling? When bonds and equities were rallying globally until recently, the bear argument was that central banks and regulators had created such worrying vulnerabilities in the financial system that a plunge back to earth was only a matter of time. That tipping point looks closer than we thought a month ago.
Hints by Ben Bernanke, US Federal Reserve chairman, about a possible “tapering” of the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing programme two weeks ago not only drove up US bond yields, which move inversely with prices, and caused significant losses for bond investors; they created upsets globally.
Depending on your choice of measure, volatility in US Treasuries has jumped to levels not seen for a year and has also spiked for German Bunds. In Japan, where the central bank has struggled to control yields, volatility is back at levels last seen in 2008 and share prices are yo-yoing.
Such instability is a concern because low and stable core bond yields were the basis of the “carry trades” – borrowing at low interest rates to pile into higher yielding assets – that spurred stock and bond market advances.
What matters now is whether the pattern morphs into a disruptive sell-off – or the recalibration needed to prevent the bear scenario becoming reality.
The bull case for not worrying yet is that the Fed will act to prevent disorderly market shifts, wary of the possible impact on a still-nascent US economic recovery. Also arguing against this being a turning point is that exceptional central bank support for economies will be in place for a lot longer. The Bank of Japan has only just launched its aggressive bond buying plans; the European Central Bank could yet embark on asset purchases or fresh, large-scale liquidity injections.
But pessimists argue that if the mere talk about a “tapering” can cause such trouble, the probability of bigger accidents in coming months is substantial. In a topsy-turvy world in which good economic news is bad news – because it brings forward the day when QE stops – strong non-farm US payroll data on Friday could see further disruptive bond selling.
Jaime Caruana, general manager of the Bank for International Settlements, on Tuesday highlighted the extraordinary challenge facing central bankers in a speech in Korea. Monetary authorities not only had to manage expectations about short-term interest rates, he argued. They also faced the “unfamiliar” (note the central banker’s understatement) challenge of managing longer-term interest rates, driven down by asset-purchase programmes to a point where investors pay a penalty for holding on to fixed-rate bonds.
“The very success of pushing the term premium down into negative territory has created the risks of a sudden rise, even if central banks succeed in communicating their intended paths for short-term policy rates,” Mr Caruana warned.
What is striking about the past few weeks is how global bond markets have moved in sync, despite differences in economic fundamentals. Measuring correlations is hard. But Ramin Nakisa and Stephane Deo, strategists at UBS, have broken up shifts in yield curves into different types – up and down moves in the whole curve, or a steepening or flattening, for instance. Their results suggest that correlations between US, UK, German and Australian yield curves have indeed strengthened significantly. In other words, we could be back on a scary rollercoaster of “risk-on, risk off” market movements.
As the UBS researchers point out, there are historical precedents. In 1994 Germany’s Bundesbank cut official interest rates but the Fed had started a tightening cycle, and German yields went up, with the Bundesbank controlling only the very short end of the curve.
The truth is that we know relatively little about how central bank actions have affected global financial flows and prices – let alone, how the process will work in reverse.
…
“The truth is that we know relatively little about how central bank actions have affected global financial flows and prices – let alone, how the process will work in reverse.”
Are high-priced food commodities and the Arab Spring fake?
20 MINs ago
Markets As Bond Prices Fall, Strategies Shift Investors Move to Guard Assets as Companies Race Into Market to Borrow Funds
Some firms are accelerating fundraising plans, while investors move to protect their investments.
By Katy Burne, Mike Cherney, Carolyn Cui
A sharp fall in bond prices has sent investors scurrying to protect themselves amid fears that rising interest rates will put an end to decades of strong returns. The U-turn is forcing some companies to accelerate fundraising plans to take advantage of investor demand while it lasts.
Kathy Crusco, the chief financial officer at software company Epicor Software Corp., waited months to borrow money. On Monday, her bankers told her to pull the trigger immediately to avoid paying higher rates amid the debt-market selloff.
Investors still bought $400 million of the junk bonds with a 9% interest rate in just one day, a rare quick deal for a low-rated company. The borrower, Epicor parent Eagle Midco., is rated triple-C-plus. Ms. Crusco plans to use the cash to pay a dividend to Apax Partners, the private-equity owners of Epicor.
All of the credit markets, ranging from ultrasafe Treasurys to riskier investments such as below-investment-grade, or junk, bonds were volatile this week as investors try to interpret new comments from several Federal Reserve officials that they are considering tapering off their purchases of bonds. The Fed’s bond-buying program has supported the markets and kept interest rates low since the financial crisis.
Investors and borrowers have pulled back ahead of a report on U.S. jobs set for release Friday morning. Unemployment is a crucial element in the Fed’s formula for making decisions about its support for the economy. Mom-and-pop investors and others pulled $9.1 billion from bond mutual funds and exchange-traded funds in the week ended Wednesday, more than they have since a $12.6 billion pullback in October 2008 at the height of the financial crisis, according to fund tracker Lipper.
“We’re seeing the bleeding everywhere in fixed income,” said Jeff Tjornehoj, head of Lipper Americas Research.
…
This sounds like a juicy story if ever one went to press.
BofA executives hostile in mortgage suit talks - FT.com
A U.S. court heard on Thursday that Bank of America executives and lawyers told bondholders that their “grandchildren would have grandchildren” before they received the $10 billion compensation for bad mortgage-backed securities that they were seeking.
…
If the markets are this roiled over the mere hint from the Fed that some day in the indefinite future, they just might begin to tiptoe away from QE3, imagine the carnage when and if they actually start to carry out the plan!
When Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke answered Congress’s questions on May 22 about when the central bank might begin to slow down its monetary stimulus program, his words were measured. “If we see continued improvement and we have confidence that that is going to be sustained, then we could—in the next few meetings—we could take a step down in our pace of purchases,” he told the Joint Economic Committee. He also warned that “premature tightening” could “carry a substantial risk of slowing or ending the economic recovery.”
Since Bernanke’s heroic effort to split hairs, almost every day has been Opposite Day on Wall Street: Professional traders are convinced that for now, up is down and down is up. Signs of a weak economy mean the Fed is more likely to continue its $85 billion of monthly bond buying, a practice that has kept interest rates low and bond prices high, and pushed investors into riskier assets such as stocks. Conversely, healthier data mean the Fed is more inclined to close the easy-money spigot, so traders are selling stocks on upbeat news.
Consider this run of upside-down responses: On May 30 the Department of Commerce announced that the U.S.’s gross domestic product had grown less in the first quarter than previously estimated—2.4 percent vs. 2.5 percent—and stocks climbed. On May 31 a key measure of consumer confidence came in better than analysts had hoped—and markets fell. The next trading day brought bad reports on manufacturing and construction spending. Yep, stock prices shot up a few minutes after the news broke.
The recent losses may have only tapped the brakes on a long rally. The Fed’s “quantitative easing” strategy has helped the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index surge 16.9 percent over seven months, its longest winning streak since September 2009, to a record high of 1,669 on May 21. But with Bernanke’s remarks being echoed in the minutes of the Fed’s latest meeting and speeches by board members, the benchmark slid 2.3 percent from that day through June 4. “Now all of a sudden when you have really good news, it suggests, ‘Oh, crap, maybe the Fed really is going to stop,’ and it spooks investors out,” says Joseph Tanious, a global markets strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management. “The wild movements we’re seeing in the markets, and these gyrations, just has a lot to do with trying to make heads or tails of” what the Fed is doing.
Why are traders so fixated on the Fed? For bond investors, it’s a fairly simple calculation that higher interest rates mean falling prices. Stock investors face a more complicated choice: whether or not to take the Fed at its word that it will only remove its extraordinary support when the economy is strong enough to stand on its own.
The recent selloffs in the face of buoyant data suggest traders aren’t ready to take that leap. In interviews, several analysts cited concerns that the Fed would begin to end its easy-money policies not because the country is back on its feet, but because of fears that its bond purchases—pushing its balance sheet to $3.3 trillion—are having negative secondary effects on markets, such as creating a bubble in junk bonds. The Fed has always acknowledged that quantitative easing could distort the markets, and that it would balance that risk against the program’s impact on the economy, says Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Pierpont Securities. That means the Fed could end quantitative easing while the economy remains weak if it saw the costs outweighing the benefits, he says.
Money managers and the financial press seized on “tapering” as a buzzword for the Fed’s eventual slowing of bond purchases following remarks on Feb. 1 by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard. “We should think about tapering or adjusting the program,” Bullard said. “If you get some good data for a couple of months, maybe you’d say, ‘OK, we go back to $75 billion per month instead of $85 billion, or something like that.’ ”
…
June 7, 2013, 2:43 a.m. EDT
Asian stocks drop on caution over U.S. jobs data
Japan’s Nikkei moves into bear market territory after yen’s rally
By V. Phani Kumar, MarketWatch
HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — Most Asian markets fell Friday on caution ahead of the U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, while Japanese stocks dropped for a third straight day as exporters came under pressure from the yen’s sharp gains overnight.
…
The markets are balanced on the head of a pin between the scepter of a renewed downturn and evidence of a labor recovering so quickly that QE3 is likely to wind down sooner than expected.
“Say your prayers tonight,” says Jim Awad of the May jobs report. “You want a number exactly at 170,000.” The chairman of Plimsoll Mark Capital talks about why Wall Street fears anything higher, or lower.
Name:Ben Jones Location:Northern Arizona, United States To donate by mail, or to otherwise contact this blogger, please send emails to: thehousingbubble@gmail.com
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If you take on mortgage debt at current massively inflated housing prices, you’ll enslave yourself for the rest of your life.
“Debt is bondage.”~ Suze Orman, May 11, 2013
stocks and homes will take you to the glory land
buy a house today and see your wealth grow exponentially tomorrow?
buy a house today, open a heloc tomorrow and buy more shares of FB
you can’t lose with that investment strategy
open up a margin account today and load up on FB shares tomorrow?
“open up a margin account today and load up on FB shares tomorrow?”
Then invest your stock market wealth gains to buy SFR rental housing on margin. You can’t lose on this gamble, as both real estate and stocks always go up.
Baby needs new shoes!
You know what is sad? There are people doing this very thing.
I bet Suzie knows a lot about bondage.
Take it from the crooks: Wall Street runs crooked!
June 5, 2013, 1:13 p.m. EDT
Madoff, other felons say markets are unfair
MarketWatch interviews five Wall Street felons, including three in jail
By Ronald D. Orol, MarketWatch
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Faced with a rash of insider trading in the markets, federal prosecutors and securities regulators in recent years have stepped up efforts to crack down on violations.
But insider trading and market fraud persist, perhaps at epidemic levels. Even though the Securities and Exchange Commission has brought more insider-trading actions in the past three years than in any three-year period in the agency’s history, and even though the U.S. attorney in New York City has convicted 73 people in insider-trading cases since 2009, the crime remains all too common.
That’s what MarketWatch found in a series of interviews with people convicted of insider trading and fraud. These felons painted a picture of an unfair market driven by widespread cheating that favors those with privileged information and expensive technology. The cheating also hurts individual investors and retirement savers trying to follow the rules of the road and produces a deeply unfair market environment.
…
The executives know they’re Untouchables. The past five years have shown it to be so (hearings, documentaries, statements of top justice department officials). To think the Wall Street leadership won’t take full advantage of their position is hopelessly naive, like Greenspan thinking the markets would regulate themselves.
Perhaps?!
The gubmin collecting phone records from Verizon. That’s it, Obama MUST BE IMPEACHED. NOW. And his high priest of the “Justice” defartment with him. They act like we’re the enemy. Oh, no, we’re not, they’re projecting their own slimy motives onto the people.
According to the White House it is a critical tool in the fight against terrorism.
Every freedom-crushing tool used is critical in the fight against terrorism.
All in the name of fighting terrorism.
‘to those who scare peace-loving people with phantoms of lost liberty, my message is this: your tactics only aid terrorists, for they erode our national unity and diminish our resolve. they give ammunition to america’s enemies, and pause to america’s friends. they encourage people of good will to remain silent in the face of evil’ — attorney general john ashcroft, 2001
Obama supporters sure know how to “remain silent in the face of evil”, LOLZ.
That’s for sure. Supporting a bunch of depraved freaks, along the lines of the SS and Stalinists. This is how it starts, folks. And you don’t see American citizens demonstrating en masse in public areas, so I guess that means we’ll bend over and take it.
“bend over and take it”
With glee, as demonstrated by the herd of morons chanting “USA! USA! USA!” in the streets of Watertown, MA after the imposition of martial law.
We’ve been bending over and taking it for quite a while now. And at the same time there’s no shortage of young people willing to sign up a serve in our military machine.
When they can’t find work, they pretty much have to.
Just saying that they don’t seem to have any moral qualms about serving the biggest imperialist machine since the Roman Empire.
And at the same time there’s no shortage of young people willing to sign up a serve in our military machine.
And if there ever is, that’s where the student loan forgiveness comes in.
“With glee, as demonstrated by the herd of morons chanting “USA! USA! USA!” in the streets of Watertown, MA after the imposition of martial law.”
nice.
“With glee, as demonstrated by the herd of morons chanting “USA! USA! USA!” in the streets of Watertown, MA after the imposition of martial law.”
By refusing to bury the elder bomber in Cambridge, the “progressives” proved once in for all how cruel, vile and hateful they are. Not that I had any doubt….
progressives=neo-cons=governments=crntral planners
Ashcroft _easily_ the most hated person in the US justice system when I was in L school. Professors would just gush endlessly about what an assh0le Ashcroft was.
It would take Holder 4 or 5 terms to do as much batshit damage as Ashcroft did. This isn’t really a defense of Holder, but just pointing out that Ashcroft truly did hate Americans’ freedoms. Holder merely lacks respect for them.
Yeah, but did you hear him sing his hit single, “Let the Eagle Soar” (”Like she’s never soared before….”)
your tactics only aid terrorists, for they erode our national unity and diminish our resolve.
Alright then how about this? Give me “America! F*ck yeah!” or give me death!
Exactly, goon!
Obama doesn’t discriminate…at least we know that much. I think the Bush & repubs passed all these laws to snoop on the moosleeems only.
What was it O’Rourke said? Give whiskey and car keys to the kids and……
hope and change
wall street journal - government is tracking verizon customers’ records
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324299104578528181094177900.html
More Hope and Change
But is this really a surprise to anyone, in a city that voted 85% for Obama?
http://www.philly.com/philly/news/Building_collapse_.html
In some precincts Obama got 100% of the vote in Philly. But there’s no voter fraud and hence no need for voter ID.
Obama MUST BE IMPEACHED. NOW.
Biden
Boehner
Kerry
Think before asking.
While that’s scary, a good impeachment would give pause to other players, perhaps enforcing some good behavior. OTOH, when the foundation is rotten…
I do think he has gone WAY too far. Oh, yeah, he got a court order from some tame judge. But that also speaks to our justice system, which appears to be pretty rotten, too.
But that also speaks to our justice system, which appears to be pretty rotten, too.
If you are a middle class or a poor person in this country, a duel probably gives you a better odd than amerikka’s justice system.
Victim logic.
??
Hang’em high.
Or just hang one high and watch the rest fall in line.
OK, I’ll do it since no one else seems to want to. They went to the FISA court and got permission. That means they followed the law that was passed by the Congress of the United States and signed by the President. Impeachment is for people who violate the law, not for people who do what they are allowed to do under bad ones.
The proper punishment for a president/administration that exercises power (granted to him/it by law) is to vote the leader out of office (not this time, he is out at the end of this term anyway) and/or vote out the Representatives and Senators who gave the President that power. Ranting about impeachment when they actually got a judge to approve it is just ignorant.
2Ban acts like he doesn’t know who started the FISA Court. LOL!
Also, Dems that spoke out against FISA court were labeled as enablers of terrorists and/or traitors.
Ah, FISA… another gift from W that we’ll never be able to get rid of.
I don’t care much who started it. It is a bad law. But acting under the authority of a bad law isn’t illegal. It could be unconstitutional, though I really have no idea how you get it declared unconstitutional since the people who are subject to the warrants have no idea it is happening. Maybe there is an opportunity to get it in front of a judge because of the leak, but you are going to have an uphill climb to get other judges to declare the procedure by which a special purpose court granted a warrant unconstitutional.
This is classic case of bad law that needs a political solution - vote out the guys that approved it and vote in people who will get rid of it or at least modify it to the extent that this problem is outside of the scope of the warrants that can be granted.
Oh, and as much as people want it to be, passing a law that is eventually declared unconstitutional isn’t illegal. Legislators have absolute immunity for the stuff they do that is part of their job and passing legislation is the fundamental core of their job. You can’t even sue them for a tort for this stuff.
With polarized districts (most state legislatures have created “safe” R and D seats) there is no way guys like Cantor, Boehner, et al are ever getting voted out.
FISA is safe. Sad but true.
I’m sure there’s a certain inertia at DOJ re FISA. It’s just too convenient and useful of a tool for them, slowing down that train would be difficult if not impossible. It really would take Congress removing the tool to change DOJ’s course. As said above, that’s not happening anytime soon.
This Verizon record discovery revelation relates to the Patriot Act, under Bush 43. Obama is just the continuation.
R&D= A two headed snake
All this two party bickering, gives me a headache.
“All this two party bickering”
It may give you a headache, but it results in clicks, page loads, and ad displays. And it keeps the sheeple parked on their couches watching their TeeVee, so they can see more ads to buy sh*t they don’t need.
“Government is the entertainment division of the military-industrial complex” — Frank Zappa
Thanks for that blast from the past, goon. And thank you, Polly, for your steady voice of reason amidst the hysteria.
Watching the Rovians squirm and squeal after failing to make any of these “scandals” stick is almost worth the heartbreak we suffered watching W et al destroy what was left of the First and Fourth Amendments. Repairing the mess will take decades, but I’m encouraged at what appears to be this administration’s long view.
To be honest, all these supposed curtailments of my liberties haven’t affected me one iota. The systemic incompetence is maddening, but I attribute that to the orientational change this country is undergoing as it copes with the transition to an electronics-based society.
but I’m encouraged at what appears to be this administration’s long view.
You gotta be kidding, right?
To be honest, all these supposed curtailments of my liberties haven’t affected me one iota
Well it affects someone somewhere…especially the brown moosleems types..But it’s OK, right?
‘Watching the Rovians squirm and squeal after failing to make any of these “scandals” stick’
I’m glad you are enjoying it so much! See, I’ve got a Verizon phone and since you put it that way, I can see I’m not concerned about my privacy, but naively falling for a Rovian mind trick. I feel almost silly for not realizing that when Obama said he was for transparency, he meant people like me should be transparent, not the government. That would explain why he jails whistle blowers, hides his emails, etc. Golly, you have completely turned me around by invoking Rove. I can see clearly now that door to door, exploratory cavity searches are the price of freedom!
when Obama said he was for transparency…
“We Are Making Every Effort To Be Transparent,” Says President
“My administration doesn’t have any secrets, and from now on, neither will you.”
To be honest, all these supposed curtailments of my liberties haven’t affected me one iota. The systemic incompetence is maddening, but I attribute that to the orientational change this country is undergoing as it copes with the transition to an electronics-based society.
Are you living in an alternate reality? What’s the current administration doing to repair the 1st and 4th amendment mess? It’s putting the pedal to the medal and making things worse and worse. Grabbing all the Verizon info? This administration is taking the Patriot Act to 11.
I also find it funny that you’re able to whitewash the “systemic incompetence” as coping with an electronics-based society. Why doesn’t that very same argument explain W’s destroying of the 1st and 4th? Seems like you have a double-standard. If your liberties aren’t affected by one iota now, they weren’t affected by a 1/10 of an iota when W was in the office destroying everything.
Jeebus.
Your phones have been monitored since their invention, (ever hear of “party lines”?) So have your emails. Your written communications can be opened and tracked with or without a warrant (you don’t think your local post carrier knows who and what your interests are?) and don’t even get me started on parcels and packages sent across borders, state or otherwise.
Forty years ago, long-hairs were in the sights of authorities seeking to keep the public order, twenty years ago it was rapperz and white militias. Up until recently it was Mexican immigrants and international financiers. This last decade it’s “moosleems” bearing crock pots and disaffected suburban geeks with Daddy issues.
My point is, one of the realities of living in a technological society is that in order to take advantage of their benefits we must also give up a certain presumed privacy. You drive on a highway, you have to obey the traffic laws. You shop in a marketplace, you follow the accepted customs and laws and rules of order. These are purposely fungible and often enforced selectively (and sometimes even at cross-purposes with each other) depending upon perceived public threat.
Most of the time, a disheartening few draw attention to the inequalities. Some of the time there is a public uproar (which is generally based on a hugely incomplete understanding of the underlying issues and exploited by special interests with a financial interest), and occasionally there results a social movement to address the imbalance (see: gay rights and the election of Barack Obama).
Sometimes there is change, most oftentimes there is simply more ineffectual regulation translated through the court system and enforced with varying degrees of enthusiasm by local agencies.
But over the course of a generation or two, we get assimilation and evolution and life going on. If we’re lucky, we can manage to stay out of harm’s way during the messier times of transition, though that requires partially removing oneself from the fray. Throughout it all, we can count on the general incompetence of any enforcing agency to keep the majority of us from scrutiny– assuming we live discretely, pick our battles judiciously, and attack passive aggressively.
I’m in my sixties now and I’ve surely paid my dues to the Libertarian “Movement”. I’ll put my bona fides as an advocate of anarcho-pacifism against anyone’s on this board. But long years of confronting The Man have taught me the difference t’ween sh!t and fly specks — and this is one of those times.
I’m simply urging a readjustment of the rhetoric coupled with a little more historical perspective.
Thank you for carrying on.
“…they weren’t affected by a 1/10 of an iota when W was in the office destroying everything….”
You’re right, Michael, they weren’t.
But my country’s treasury was looted, a massive Soviet-style “security” apparatus was codified, and monies that should have been used to advance our scientific understanding and address our infrastructural and social issues were instead diverted to a small international oligarchy of cronies whose personal interests may or may not have coincided with the best interests of the United States of America.
The Obama admin, in spite of its many false-starts and feckless meanderings, has at the very least begun to dismantle the international aristocracy that threatened our republic, if not the planet. Predictably, they don’t like it, and predictably their media arms (IE, all of them) have roused the mindless to rabble. I’ve chosen not to play in their world and to keep partisanship out of the equation. To a self-satisfying extent, I’ve succeeded.
JFTR-
Though I have indeed been dragged from my bed in the middle of the night by jack-booted thugs under color of authority, they weren’t from Obama’s Negro Army.
The most recent revelations are NOT about wiretapping or reading e-mails. The information is what numbers called what other numbers and the duration of the calls. The information the Guardian released says it is only for wired service, but since it also included providing information for the cell tower we can assume with reasonable certainty that a similar order went out for cell phones. Isnt’ that disturbing enough?
By the way, one of the arguments for this not being an illegal search is that you volutarily gave that information (who you called, how long you talked and where you were or what cell phone tower you were near) to a third party - the phone company - so that you no longer have a claim to the privacy of the information. I have heard of ONE person who has some power over this mess and who has said that she has doubts abotu this interpretation of the third party doctrine - Justice Sotomayor.
By the way, Google does read your gmail e-mails, or at least has an algorithm that mines them for key words so they can charge more to target ads to you during your google searches.
The best possible spin I can put on this (and it is hard to find one, but if you want to at least consider how someone might have come up with the idea that it was necessary) is that they really want the information for some identified numbers that they think are being used by people plotting something. Of course they then want all the information about the numbers that number called and whoever those people called, etc. As if the people they want to monitor are like a phone tree for notifying everyone if the little league games are cancelled that afternoon because of rain. But they decided they can’t restrict the search that way because that would be giving the numbers they suspect of being used by people connected to terrorist activity (the numbers are classified) to the phone company. And with computers, it is easier to get everything and then just trace the stuff you need rather than risk releasing the identities of the phone numbers they care about to Government Relations Employee Number 6 at Verizon. Actually, I wouldn’t be at all surprised if that is the way it happened. Odder things have happened when dealing with classified information.
“To be honest, all these supposed curtailments of my liberties haven’t affected me one iota”
Come on in officer, I’ve got nothing to hide. I am a foot soldier, a true believer and member of the Ideology in power…for now.
Hippies used to call the cops pigs, burn their draft cards and protest authority. Now, in their 60’s and 70’s, along with their younger indoctrinated disciples, they have become the man, an extremely paranoid version of the man intent on using every part of the law enforcement industrial complex against their political enemies.
What’s next you ask? A continuation of the “Fundamental Transformation of the United States of America”. My guess would be neighbor against neighbor paranoia (state minders), then a Chavez style chilling of the “free” press and “free” media.
In the words of Jack Reacher: Remember…You wanted this.
“Hippies used to call the cops pigs, burn their draft cards and protest authority. Now, in their 60’s and 70’s, along with their younger indoctrinated disciples, they have become the man”
Hippies were always a very small percentage of those who were young in the 60s and 70s. Few of them have gained access to the halls of power. Most of those who became the man were already conservative in outlook and did not participate in protests.
Your phones have been monitored since their invention, (ever hear of “party lines”?)
Yes, I even had friends with them. We knew they were party lines and that others could pick up an extension and hear. I don’t really call that “monitored”. We also thought that for the government to listen in they had to get a warrant. I’m fine with them listening if they go through the proper legal channels and get a warrant. I’m not fine with them deciding to listen in without any oversight.
I understand Google mines my emails; it’s a contract I agreed to. I don’t want the government mining my emails, or Google sharing my emails with the government. I didn’t agree to that. They should get a warrant if they want to see my particular emails. Same with my phone.
I understand what you’re saying, I just disagree. IMHO we’re sliding rapidly down the slope; the proverbial frog in the heating up water. Liberties given up can typically only be regained through violence and nobody wants that.
To be honest, I’d be kind of flattered if somebody found me interesting enough to spy on.
There were warrants. FISA court warrants. That is the problem. Most warrants you can at least find out after the fact hwo the information was obtained so you can object to it being used at a trial. I think the FISA court is entirely secret. There can’t be any review of the warrant. That is the problem.
And again, nothing that was revealed today has anything to do with listening in on all the conversaions of all the Verizon phone calls. It is just the meta information. If they want a wiretap beyond that, they have to go back to court. They aren’t doing that for the whole damn country.
You guys know the drill:
If you’re the paranoidal type, Tor is your friend. Subscribe to radical periodicals and blogs of all ideologies concurrently. Send conflicting emails. Avoid googling words like “…(redacted)”. Use bitcoin. Save sensitive conversations for face-to-face and/or learn a private sign language. Don’t use cell phones or credit cards for questionable interactions. Don’t mail dope. Don’t expatriate “sensitive” materials. Better yet, don’t plot violent overthrow of the US government and solicit helpers for your cause. Especially on youTube….
Monitoring communications and tracking purchases is a given in our society; it’s hardly a state secret. But take comfort in our vast numbers and massive individual inconsequence. Like gangsters convicted on tax charges, the data base will only be mined retrospectively if Someone, Somewhere has an axe to grind on your behind. So strive for obfuscation.
That is all.
‘the data base will only be mined retrospectively if Someone, Somewhere has an axe to grind on your behind’
Besides all the “boiling frogs” and “slippery slopes” issues, there’s this: are we so short sighted we don’t remember J Edgar Hoover? He used to have dirt on so many politicians that he would approach one and say, “Senator, your enemies might have knowledge of your gay affair, and I can help you keep it quiet.” The obvious implication was Hoover might release this information to the Senators enemies and therefore, he better do what he’s told. Hoover had untold numbers of politicians in his pocket and stayed in power for decades.
Remember Elliot Spitzer? He was gaining in popularity and openly ready to take on wall street. Suddenly, bam, a prostitution scandal and he’s done. There have been suggestions that the leak came from a Bush wiretap. But even if it wasn’t, it’s an example of how private communications can be used to destroy people who endanger the powers that be. It’s important to consider that we are accepting intrusions that might change history for the worse.
You’re preaching to the choir here, Ben.
IIRC, I was one of the three Americans screaming bloody murder over Bush’s reinstitution of the same domestic spy program we’d finally legislated out of existence after Nixon’s excesses. I’m also one of the few I know who has publicly supported Wikileaks and lobbied for the sainthood of Bradley Manning.
And yes, the people of this country give up their personal autonomy far too easily, all in the name of “defense” and “security”.
Just saying, I’ve seen far worse infringements than the media sh!tstorm we’re getting now — and to anyone who’s been paying attention, it’s hardly news.
The best possible spin I can put on this
I’m glad you can work hard to put a positive spin on this. Do you also work hard to put a positive spin on things other administrations have done?
Also, Dems that spoke out against FISA court were labeled as enablers of terrorists and/or traitors.
And look for the these dems to support what Obama’s doing.
It’s really sickening to be sure. The FISA tool is way too useful for DOJ to stop using. And Congress (both parties, both Houses) lacks the balls to pass legislation to stop it. People will hem and haw but both parties support FISA. They’ll just attack each other when they’re not the ones running the Executive Branch (DOJ).
Thank you, Joe.
Your eyes are wide open.
How do we know its useful?
It seems even when the FBI is tipped about a terrorist they ignore it and instead focus on the political enemies of the state(eg Fox News reporter Rosen rather than Boston Bomber Tsarnev).
‘They went to the FISA court and got permission.’
‘the adverse tradeoff for those concerned about the Fourth Amendment to the Constitution is that the government will close the circle and have the ability to access all forms of communication by citizens and resident aliens without any genuine judicial oversight. The FBI has abused its investigative authority in the past, and, even if the rules change, the sole authority for permitting the searches would be the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court. This court approved 100% of 1,856 applications it received in 2012 based on the federal government’s assertion, frequently without any evidence, that national security was involved.’
http://original.antiwar.com/giraldi/2013/06/05/national-security-by-the-numbers/
‘they followed the law that was passed by the Congress of the United States and signed by the President’
If the congress and president got together and passed a law making one group of people slaves, is it lawful? This idea that if the government does it, it’s OK, is repugnant.
I know, I know, the government lovers here are Sad Panda’s these days. Their Idol has proved to be a serious jerk, who flaunts the law, uses dirty tricks, runs a kill list AND a torture prison. Like I said the other day, don’t get too down on yourselves. This country can probably make it through one or two more of these fascist, corporate-owned, war mongering presidents before we have no freedom or wealth left.
Sad Panda’s
LOL and to add insult to injury, Bamboo forests have been decimated by global warming, too.
If the congress and president got together and passed a law making one group of people slaves, is it lawful?
Technically, I suppose it IS lawful. But within about 10 minutes one of the slaves would sue that the new law violated 13th and 14th amendment and a judge, appeals courts, and Supreme Court would strike the law down very quickly.
appeals courts, and Supreme Court would strike the law down very quickly.
</i?
Like Kelo? Like ObamaCare? Like DNA ruling?
You have too much faith on these political hacks.
If the Supreme Court somehow found that slavery was Constitutional, then the law would stand.
But, sorry to say, Ben is not the arbiter of what is or is not lawful in the US (excluding the blog.) If the legislative branch passes a law that does something, then yup, it’s OK until the judicial branch says otherwise. Repugnant or no.
Until the judicial branch says otherwise OR the people elect a congress and president that will change the law. That is how our system is set up.
Ben is not the arbiter of what is or is not lawful
Ben IS the arbiter. Him and his central planner buddies have been playing with nation’s money for far too long.
Is it just me or did anyone else think terrorists used burner phones paid with cash from Walmart?
Are we catching only the stupid terrorists?
Will Darwinism work in this case?
“Ranting about impeachment when they actually got a judge to approve it is just ignorant.”
Apparently many Republican commentators wear their ignorance as a badge of pride.
Bush is a tyrant, worse than Hitler and should be impeached and executed for fighting the imaginary war on terror
Obama killed OBL and uses drones and spies on conservatives and taps phones, all in the name of fighting terror. Let’s put him on Mt. Rushmore.
http;//www.breitbart.corn/proof-obama-is-a-cannibal/
Remind us again, where are those WMDs?
Mental retardation is real. You should see a doctor.
“I’ve never been to Mt. Rushmore.
It’s just too silly.
Even now, as I write this I’m thinking
About George W’s wartime lies,
Clinton’s cigars, and Nixon’s
microphones, and I’m cringing because
I know every president, no matter how
great on the surface, owned a heart
chewed by rats. Who’s on that
damn Rushmore anyway? Is it
Buchanan, both Adamses, and Mr.
Lincoln?” -Sherman Alexie
Nixon, Clinton, Bush, and Mr. Obama?
Please don’t feed the troll.
I was hoping that if I fed trolls from the intellectual trough, they might melt like the Wicked Witch of the West.
I used to think this way too young paduwan, but it’s become obvious that our resident trolls have no interest in intelligent discourse. If they were, they would learn from the MANY times their points have been invalidated and seek out new sources of corroborated information. Instead, they choose to will fully live in a bubble where their few sources of “information” about the world only tell them the fairy tale they want to hear.
Hat’s off for fighting the good fight, but as a dear friend once told me - “A man convinced against his will, is not.”
Therein lies the problem, with “the” being the definite article and “a” being the indefinite. The future, as well as all of our geographically and economically differentiated locales should dictate the latter.
There is no one fairy tale unless you are Tommy. Who?? -
The Big Boyz are ahead of the game…
Home Investors to Buy Fewer Rentals as Prices Increase
By John Gittelsohn - Jun 5, 2013 12:01 AM ET (bloomibergi)
“Almost half of U.S. real estate investors expect to buy fewer rental houses in the next 12 months as rising prices make it harder to profit, according to a survey by polling firm ORC International.
About 48 percent of investors surveyed plan to reduce home purchases over the next year, up from 30 percent in an August poll…
Private-equity funds, real estate investment trusts and individual investors have been buying houses in a hunt for cash flow from rents and future price appreciation, with values still 28 percent below their 2006 peak. Investors were the buyers in 19 percent of U.S. home sales tracked by the National Association of Realtors in March and April, compared with 20 percent in April 2012, the group reported last month.”
And the public is trailing 120°behind
Hovnanian Reports Profit as Home Sales and Orders Climb
By Prashant Gopal - Jun 5, 2013 10:25 AM ET. (bloomibergi)
“Hovnanian Enterprises Inc., the best-performing U.S. homebuilder stock in the past year, rose the most in almost three months after reporting a surprise quarterly profit as it benefited from the U.S. housing recovery.
Net income for the fiscal second quarter ended April 30 was $1.3 million, or 1 cent a share, compared with $1.8 million, or 2 cents…
Purchases of new homes advanced 2.3 percent in April to a 454,000 annual pace, the second-fastest since July 2008, Commerce Department data show.
‘We raised home prices in many of our communities across the country, which have more than offset any increases in labor or material costs we have experienced to date.’ ”
————-
Let’s see, this bubblet started about a year ago. Anyone up for a prediction as to when the price rises will stall? I’m stick my neck out and hold to my 120°-out-of-phase theory. That is, 12 month investor run up, 6 month overlap of buying (right now), and 12 month past peak where investors sell and the followers buy. We have ~ one more year of price rises, depending on the seasonal variations. RAL could be right this time. Get what you can for your house now, because in a year the demand won’t be there.
don’t rent from the boyz. we rent from a locally owned llc. and in that time we got a new kitchen faucet, a brand new refridgerator, they just re-striped the parking lot and upgraded the landscaping, the rooftop deck is being replaced and new grills installed, and the party room is getting a pool table and new big screen teevee. and the on-site building super enforces building policies with an iron fist (which we appreciate because we hate noise).
renting from the boyz will be like living in a lower east side tenement circa 1905. and the ‘lifestyles’ of the lowlife renters that the boyz rent to will overflow and infect the whole neighborhood. the boyz will happily cash their rent checks (more like money orders, since their renters can’t qualify for checking accounts), while your neighborhood devolves into a suburban ghetto. you’ll see…
This is worse than sports. Sporting season comes to an end at some point. Not the stock market. All these endless daily BS and the worst thing is nobody ever makes any money except for the house.
Can you believe it ?? They lied to the world;
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=6&cad=rja&ved=0CEgQFjAF&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bloomberg.com%2Fnews%2F2013-06-05%2Fchina-export-gains-seen-halved-with-fake-data-crackdown.html&ei=TH-wUcGmEKKEjALZgYGQBQ&usg=AFQjCNHSOleYWbb6uUMkZt7gX0pJUoaoMg&sig2=RWR1usWv9eT5vnW2PxsTWQ&bvm=bv.47534661,d.cGE
It’s a shame to bury that punchline in a long and cryptic link:
WATCH LIVE Draghi on European Economy: ECB No Source of Market Volatility
China Export Gains Seen Halved With Fake-Data Crackdown
By Bloomberg News - Jun 6, 2013 12:38 AM PT
China’s crackdown on fake export invoices used to disguise money flows is probably cutting the nation’s trade figures, revealing subdued global demand that will weigh on economic growth.
…
Would now be a good time to buy the dip?
ft dot com
Global Market Overview
Last updated: June 6, 2013 12:45 pm
Global stocks at six-week lows
By Jamie Chisholm, Global Markets Commentator
Thursday 12:30 BST. World stocks are hovering at six-week lows as fretting about the duration and impact of central bank intervention, alongside patchy economic data, delivers a pullback from recent cyclical highs.
Japanese equities have endured another volatile session, contributing to the nervousness of traders wary of potential “headline risk” in the form of crucial US jobs numbers and policy decisions from European central banks.
Such caution sees the dollar index marginally softer, industrial commodities mixed, gold up $1 to $1,404 an ounce and Treasury yields near two-week lows of 2.08 per cent.
The FTSE All-World equity index, which hit a near five-year peak of 250 at the end of May, is down 0.1 per cent to 238.1, as the FTSE Eurofirst 300 gains 0.3 per cent but after the Asia-Pacific region dropped 1.1 per cent to fresh 2013 lows.
US index futures suggest the S&P 500 in New York will recover some of the ground lost on Wednesday, in line to gain 4 points to 1,613.
But that still leaves the benchmark down 4.3 per cent from the intraday record touched two weeks ago.
In that time investors have become more concerned about how the markets will fare should the Federal Reserve start reducing its $85bn-a-month bond buying programme, a strategy designed to suppress yields and push funds into “riskier” investments.
The Fed’s QE3 duration will depend primarily on the health of the US labour market and so all eyes are on this week’s batch of jobs reports. Wednesday’s ADP survey of private-sector job creation came in shy of expectations, raising concerns that Friday’s non-farm payrolls survey will also disappoint. Before that, the weekly initial unemployment claims data will be published on Thursday.
There had been a time when poor economic data were seen by some investors as being good for stocks, and of course bonds, because they would extend the Fed’s largesse.
But recent soft numbers have provided succour only to the bears.
…
June 6, 2013, 4:52 a.m. EDT
Asian stocks fall; Japan slips toward bear market
By V. Phani Kumar, MarketWatch
HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — Asian markets fell Thursday after a big drop on Wall Street in the wake of a weak U.S. private-sector jobs report, reflecting caution ahead of Friday’s nonfarm payrolls data.
Japanese equities were tormented by more volatility that also affected the yen and bond yields, dragging stocks closer toward a so-called bear market.
The Nikkei Stock Average shook off a weak opening to rebound earlier Thursday, but retreated again to finish the day 0.9% lower at 12,904.02, its first drop below the 13,000-point level since April 5. The broader Topix fell 1.8%.
Both benchmarks had dropped more than 3% in the previous session, after Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s blueprint for the nation’s long-term economic recovery fell short of some expectations.
The Nikkei Average, in particular, is off slightly more than 19% from the 52-week high it reached on May 23. A drop of 20% from that high would take the 225-stock benchmark into a technical bear market. The Topix is off 17% from its own 52-week high.
“The markets’ honeymoon with the Abe government has ended, but it seems premature to consider filing for divorce. … The worst of the correction in the Nikkei may soon be over,” said Capital Economics chief global economist Julian Jessop.
…
Asian markets fell Thursday after a big drop on Wall Street in the wake of a weak U.S. private-sector jobs report
How could we have anything other than a weak job market when we export jobs wholesale? They want our jobs and then they expect us to buy from them?
Who needs income to spend? All you need is moar debt.
More retire with mortgages, card debt
June 5, 2013, 10:47 AM
By Alicia H. Munnell
With a contracting retirement income system, rapidly rising health-care costs, and the prospect of long-term care expenses, one would have thought that people approaching retirement would be paying off their credit card debt and closing out their mortgages. But surveys suggest that people are entering retirement with more debt than ever before and relying on borrowing to cover expenses in retirement.
According to the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances, in 2010 54% of pre-retirees and 41% of those 65-74 had a mortgage on their home. And the median amounts of these mortgages were not trivial – $97,000 for pre-retirees and $70,000 for new retirees. About 41% of pre-retirees and 32% of new retirees also had outstanding credit card balances (median balance about $2,200) and installment loans (median balance about $11,000). About 9% of pre-retirees and retirees faced debt payments that exceeded 40% of family income.
The high levels of debt were driven by housing. During the housing bubble, financial institutions encouraged homeowners to think of their house as a cash machine. In response, they took on more housing debt during their working years and approached retirement with considerable housing debt.
…
Sources and uses of equity extracted from homes
Alan Greenspan* and James Kennedy**
+ Author Affiliations
*Greenspan Associates LLC
**Federal Reserve Board, e-mail: jkennedy@frb.gov
Abstract
In this paper, we present estimates of the disposition of the free cash generated by home equity extraction to finance consumer spending, outlays for home improvements, debt repayment, acquisition of assets, and other uses. We estimate free cash as cash available net of closing costs and repayment of other mortgage debt. We have also extended the quarterly data series for gross equity extraction, presented in our earlier paper (Greenspan and Kennedy, 2005), back to 1968.
Key words
Mortgage equity withdrawal
wealth effect
consumer spending
savings rate
JEL codes
E21
G21
© The Authors 2008. Published by Oxford University Press. For permissions please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org
As long as the Chicoms don’t expect to ever be paid back, it’s all good.
The only smart folks who took home equity loans were foreigners who came here, bought a home with zero down, and immediately took out a 125% HELOC, and returned to their home of origin.
So what ARE the sources and uses of the equity, whac-bear? We don’t have access to the full article, and this abstracts doesn’t list them.
(15 years ago, the abstract would have had the list. Now article abstracts are like movie trailers to get us to buy the article.)
People who took out 125% Heloc and paid off their student debt with it then got foreclosed on! ……yeah like how many were that smart?
The only smart folks who took home equity loans were f
With so many prognosticators warning of an incipient stock market crash, is it safe to assume the fear is already reflected in price levels, and hence a crash isn’t going to happen?
June 5, 2013, 11:37 a.m. EDT
How to survive a stock market crash
Commentary: Be careful, not fearful, and know what you own and why
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Japan stocks, yen take wild ride as Abe speaks
Coming up: ADP jobs report, U.S. productivity
U.S. stocks tumble with jobs report in mind
By Michael Sincere
MIAMI (MarketWatch) — Investors who are deeply afraid of a stock market crash suffer from a condition I call “crashitis.” Symptoms include anxiety, insomnia, anger, and negative thoughts about the market. People in this condition often move all their money to cash even in bull markets. In extreme cases, investors may avoid the market for a lifetime.
After getting burned in the market twice in the last 10 years, it’s not surprising that many investors are suspicious of this market. It’s been said this is the most hated bull market in history.
…
get your money out before wall street does.
June 6, 2013, 9:01 a.m. EDT
European stocks drop as ECB cuts growth forecast
LONDON (MarketWatch) — European stock markets turned lower in afternoon action on Thursday, after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said ECB staff cut its forecast for 2013 growth to a 0.6% contraction versus a March forecast of a 0.5% fall in gross domestic product.
…
Wall Street Journal - The Hidden Jobless Disaster
“At the present pace of job growth, it will require more than a decade to get back to full employment defined by prerecession standards.”
http://m.us.wsj.com/articles/a/SB10001424127887323728204578514183323171670?mg=reno64-wsj
As we replied to Downlow Joe yesterday, the changes are structural, not cyclical. Welcome to the recoveryless recovery. The future belongs to Lucky Ducky.
When the experts decide were in another recession the propoganda will spread quickly. Wall street will have already sold and went short. retail investors will panic and sell. wall street picks up the crumbs and starts the machine over. lather, rinse , repeat.
The experts say were in a recovery. I have seen commercial buildings vacant for 5 years around here. People have been out of work for years.
I drive around town thinking , what has really changed in the past 5 years?
The only thing I can see is that printing money and buying debt has allowed the over spending to continue. Interest rates are low for home loans due to this debt binge.
I have seen commercial buildings vacant for 5 years around here ??
And it is quite possible your going to see it for 5 more if not more…Commercial retail has been turned on its head by technology and the consumer…Amazon has been testing the fresh food home delivery in Seattle and now seeks to expand…
I remember when Webvan did that back in 1999.
I wonder what happened to them?
We used Kosmo a time or two…
I don’t remember what it was but remember thinking that the minimum delivery amount seemed too low to keep that model going for long.
In early March, I bought something with a credit card and put it in the living room. My living room hasn’t looked any different since then. But behind the scenes, I’ve been paying off the credit card (mailed the last payment on Tuesday).
Same thing here. The change in RE hasn’t been visible over the past 5 years. The change was in 2002-2007 when the stuff was being built by debt. Now someone is paying it off with printed money.
It’s the price….. stoopid.
Nice post goon….Here is the couple of paragraphs that had me nodding yep….
Why have so many workers dropped out of the labor force and stopped actively seeking work? Partly this is due to sluggish economic growth. But research by the University of Chicago’s Casey Mulligan has suggested that because government benefits are lost when income rises, some people forgo poor jobs in lieu of government benefits—unemployment insurance, food stamps and disability benefits among the most obvious. The disability rolls have grown by 13% and the number receiving food stamps by 39% since 2009.
These disincentives to seek work may also help explain the unusually high proportion of the unemployed who have been out of work for more than 26 weeks. The proportion of unemployed who are long-termers reached 45% in April 2010 and again in March 2011. It is still above 37%. During the early 1980s, when the economy experienced a comparable recession, the proportion of long-term unemployed never exceeded 27%.
Is this the New Normal ??
I abhor the fact that able bodied men and women choose to suck on government teet instead of working a low paying job. You can’t really blame though, can you? In any society, the poor learn ther behaviors from the elites. The elites get rich and powerful sucking on government teet, why can’t the poor people? That’s why austerity will never ever happen.
Excellent^^^^ Thank you.
There aren’t enough jobs to go around, so if they did take that low paying job, they’d just push somebody else out.
Automation is coming on like gangbusters, and the problem is only going to get worse as fewer and fewer people are needed for anything at all.
“Is this the New Normal ??”
The PTB will massage the numbers trying to make sh*t smell like a rose, but the sad reality is that the American middle class is face-down in the manure pile, with the 1%ers’ boots on their necks keeping them there.
http://gawker.com/tag/hello-from-the-underclass
sad reality is that the American middle class is face-down in the manure pile ??
I agree…With no apparent scenario that it will change anytime soon if ever (new normal)…Slowly, some of those in the middle class will slip to the lower middle and then possibly to the lower class having to move to BFE just to survive…Toting with them their guns I might add…Civil unrest could follow…Its one thing to be poor, when its all you have ever known…Its quite another to have been doing fairly well and have everything wiped out because of policy makers and thieves…That, my friends, makes for a very angry man…
Hence the recent stories about the increase in baby boomer suicides. It’s only a matter of time before some of them decide to opt against self-checkout and try to take as many bodies down with them when they go.
Depression is merely anger without enthusiasm.
Sent to me from my mother. She just turned 75.
Medicare Part X
“NEW SENIOR PROGRAM….
New Medicare Program
You’re a sick senior citizen and the government says there is no nursing home available for you.
So what do you do?
Our plan gives anyone 65 years or older a gun and 4 bullets.
You are allowed to shoot four Politicians.
Of course, this means you will be sent to prison where you will get three meals a day, a roof over your head, central heating, air conditioning
and all the health care you need! Need new teeth? No problem. Need glasses? That’s great. Need a new hip, knees, kidney, lungs or heart?
They’re all covered.
As an added bonus, your kids can come and visit you as often as they do now.
And who will be paying for all of this?
It’s the same government that just told you that you they cannot afford for you to go into a home.
And you can get rid of 4 useless politicians while you are at it.
Plus, and because you are a prisoner, you don’t have to pay any income taxes anymore.
“…. Is this a great country or what? “
“Its one thing to be poor, when its all you have ever known…Its quite another to have been doing fairly well and have everything wiped out…”
That’s why they’re trying to make the descent as slow as possible. If things don’t get too bad too fast, the current 20 somethings are likely to accept their reduced lifestyle as they become 30-40 somethings, because it’s all they’ve known.
Moderately amusing Wittbelle, except that is implies that Medicare pays for long term care in a nursing home. It doesn’t. That is Medicaid.
“the current 20 somethings”
See also numerous recent articles about less of them having cars or even drivers licenses. Stoodent Loanz are a big factor in this, as is the fact that car ownership/insurance/maintenance is just too expensive for the Lucky Ducklings.
I think the graduating classes of 2009 and 2010 may have been surprised/shocked/pissed off at their unexpected economic realities, but the younger kidz are beginning to understand what the New Normal is.
These precious little snowflakes may have had their self-esteem unjustifiably fluffed since birth, but if they’ve never held real jobs as adults, they’ve never attained a level of comfort that the 40-50-somethings were so wounded by losing.
“Its one thing to be poor, when its all you have ever known…Its quite another to have been doing fairly well and have everything wiped out…”
There’s a huge difference between being broke and being poor since those who are broke typically regain their footing as a recession gives way to growth whereas the poor remain so despite something such as an inheritance windfall that is quickly frittered away.
“Depression is merely anger without enthusiasm.”
What is murder but an extroverted suicide? (From some Python skit)
Gawker is really underrated with its discussions of student loans, the jobless, midlife layoffs, bankrupt boomers, and other things you rarely/never see on the teevees.
Gawker’s also great at making stuff up about crack videos of mayors they don’t like.
Why have so many workers dropped out of the labor force and stopped actively seeking work
According to ShadowStats, real unemployment is about 23%. Maybe they’ve given up because there are no jobs for them?
It’s amazing how conspiracy theorists will dismiss any data the govt produces. Yet they’ll jump on some blogger’s data as gospel. You do realize the peak UI rate was 25% in the 1930s, yes? So what you’re saying is the economy of today is just a teenie bit better than it was during the height of the Great Depression.
Think about how absurd what you’re saying is.
What absurd is anyone would even defend government propoganda.
The Depression resulted in the “safety nets” that are in place today, preventing people from falling into dire straits. Credit is also much easier to get and abuse today than it was in the 30’s, It’s possible that the unemployment rate, while near the rate it was during the Depression, is not having the same visible impact as it did. Just sayin’.
Think about how absurd what you’re saying is.
Shadow Stats is not a blog.
The Dust Bowl crisis in a primarily agrarian economy obviously aggravated those GD numbers.
research by the University of Chicago’s Casey Mulligan has suggested that because government benefits are lost when income rises, some people forgo poor jobs in lieu of government benefits—unemployment insurance, food stamps and disability benefits among the most obvious. The disability rolls have grown by 13% and the number receiving food stamps by 39% since 2009.
So does this explain the unemployment situation? Some time back in late 2007 around 5% of the workforce suddenly switched from being good, respectable, hard-working folk to a bunch of lazy slobs who want to sit around, play Xbox and collect government checks?
5% of the workforce suddenly switched from being good, respectable, hard-working folk to a bunch of lazy slobs who want to sit around, play Xbox and collect government checks ??
I know a guy that had a good solid job writing service orders at a Toyota dealership…He worked it somehow to get laid off…He then proceeded to collect 99 weeks of unemployment…After that, he went back and applied for work and got a new service job…I know he will do it again if he can…
I’ll bet he made a lot more money working than what UE gave him. When I was laid off I learned that my UE benefit would have been about 25% of my lost paycheck. It wasn’t a viable option so I hustled and found a new job, Of course it helps to have marketable skills.
“5% of the workforce suddenly switched from being good, respectable, hard-working folk to a bunch of lazy slobs who want to sit around, play Xbox and collect government checks ??”
Not quite. That workforce was always a bunch of lazy slobs. But they had no choice other than to work. In comes Obama and tells these people, don’t worry, I got your back, no need to work anymore. Obama has made the rules so lax to get welfare, you basically need a pulse and not much more.
“I’ll bet he made a lot more money working than what UE gave him. When I was laid off I learned that my UE benefit would have been about 25% of my lost paycheck. It wasn’t a viable option so I hustled and found a new job, Of course it helps to have marketable skills.”
Depends on the state. In WA state, UI pays about $38K a year. You don’t have to pay FICA tax on UI so that’s the equivalent of a job paying $40,000 a year.
So say your option is make $40K by doing nothing or make $50K by doing something. A lot of people will take a $10K pay cut for a 2 year vacation. And it’s not really $10K either. You have no costs for transportation to work, no costs for daycare/babysitters, etc.
And you have 2 years during which you can have a side job off the books or have 2 years to start a business while having a guaranteed income if it fails. As long as the business makes no profit, you’re not breaking the law.
Smithers is lying. From the Washington state website:
The total amount of benefits potentially payable on your claim is found by taking the smaller of:
26 times your weekly benefit amount or
1/3 of the total gross wages in all four quarters of your base year.
From earlier in the same page:
In Washington state, the maximum weekly benefit amount is $604. The minimum is $143.
So, unemployment in WA is between $3718 and $15,704 if you claim it for the entire 26 week period. But it can’t be more than one third of your wages from your “base year” unless that means you would get less than $143 a week.
Even if you assume that the person is eligible for 52 weeks of benefits (that extra funding is phasing out) it is no more than $31,408 for a year and you would have to have had an annual base salary of over $94,000 to get it.
It could have sworn it was $700. Maybe I’m thinking of a different state.
Fine so $604 a week still works out to $33,810 a year equivalent of a job where you’d pay FICA of 7.65%. Not a bad gig for doing nothing all day long. It’s a great incentive to NOT look for work.
Not quite. That workforce was always a bunch of lazy slobs. But they had no choice other than to work. In comes Obama and tells these people, don’t worry, I got your back, no need to work anymore. Obama has made the rules so lax to get welfare, you basically need a pulse and not much more
Take a look at this graph.
http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000
Unemployment was a nice low ~5% at the beggining of 2008. It was up to 8% in January 2009, when Obama took office. It reached its maximum - around 10% - in October of that year.
It doesn’t really make sense to blame Obama for that dramatic rise in unemployment. The painfully slow recovery is another matter.
You still didn’t read the part where in order to get the maximum benefit, you have to have an original salary of over $90K a year. Most people are getting a lot less.
And get laid off at the right time, correctly predicting when Congress would extend unemployment benefits.
Fine so $604 a week still works out to $33,810 a year equivalent of a job where you’d pay FICA of 7.65%. Not a bad gig for doing nothing all day long. It’s a great incentive to NOT look for work.
Yeah, but the Toyota write up guy isn’t getting that much. Maybe a Software Engineer laid off from Microsoft might, but he’d probably get another job.
As Polly pointed out, the benefit is at most 1/3 of your wages. Hardly an incentive to not work.
And in most states the UE benefit is far less generous.
Smithers is lying.
Like bananaboy, he constantly spews lies and canards.
Like bananaboy, he constantly spews lies and canards.
Actually 2banana is reasoble compared to mirther.
Sorry to feed the troll folks,
But I just came off UI a few months ago. As an independent contractor, I assure you I payed for every dime of the UI I took out the previous year and a half contract I worked.
And you DO have to pay taxes on your UI. It counts against your total income, so if you worked the first six months of a year and then got UI for the rest, they add the total up and tax you on that - you better hope you witheld enough from your UI checks(the default is to do like 10% witholding - you have to ASK them if you want nothing witheld) or you’ll end up owing the IRS at tax time.
Guys I’m pretty sure he’s just a 19 year old kid, about where I was at that age, listening to Rush “vicodan” Limbaugh, and lapping it up.
Then one day when I was having a hard time finding a job and Rush told me that “There will be no job loss from NAFTA. The majority of all laptops are still made in the US.”
Having disassembled my 386 laptop many times I KNEW that few to none of the components were US made. Rush Lied to me.
The same way Hannity, O’reilley, and everyone working for Rupert Murdoch does on a daily basis - by omitting crucial little facts that would completely alter any thinking person’s conclusions if they were known/considered. Using classic post hoc ergo propter hoc reasoning, etc.
biggvs richardsvs:
How the heck did you collect UI when “independent contractors” don’t pay UI, at least not in Florida. UI is an EMPLOYER paid tax paid to the state based on W2 wages paid to cover state UI program. FUTA (federal UI) is based on the same W2 wages paid. Something doesn’t jive with your description.
One of the risks of taking just any job instead of collecting UI is that it may negatively affect one’s ability to get back into a job similar to the one that was lost. Taking a retail job degrades the resume of a software engineer. And the hours spent working at the retail job take time and energy from the SE job search.
At the same time, the retail job may be harder to get than another software engineering job. The retail establishment may prefer someone with experience in retail and rightly perceive the SE to be overqualified and likely to leave as soon as a SE job is found. In a tight labor market, there may be more qualified retail candidates available.
Volunteer or freelance work in one’s chosen profession do not have the same negatives as starting at the bottom in another line of work, especially a low status occupation that a HS kid can be trained to do in a couple of hours.
In this job market, the unemployed are being discriminated against. For many employers, being unemployed is a strike against a candidate. With many candidates competing for scarce jobs, an employer can afford to use employment status to weed out candidates. And they can use that as a criteria in place of some other protected attribute, such as age or race.
It is not just a dollars and cents calculation on the part of the unemployed person.
According to Drudge, that sounds about right.
What do you mean you replied to me? I agree with you on this. I was just saying that I don’t think journalists do any favors when they ignore the structural changes.
Lower right corner: “Reply to this comment”
“At the present pace of job growth, it will require more than a decade to get back to full employment defined by prerecession standards.”
Since the offshoring of jobs in the 1980s, we have NEVER been back to “full employment”.
Just how large have the negative wealth effects in the Japanese stock market been since the selling began a couple of weeks ago?
does anyone over there besides the rich own stocks?
How much overpriced real estate in tokyo is available.
Stocks and home prices rely on finding someone new to pass the asset onto. when you run out of investors game over?
“does anyone over there besides the rich own stocks?”
They have “investment clubs”. These are usually groups of neighbors or co-workers who pool their money to invest in abstract financials like stocks or FOREX.
Japan stock losses beat Malaysia’s market cap
June 6, 2013, 5:11 AM
Japan’s Nikkei Stock Average (JP:NIK -0.81%) on Thursday came close to getting a bear hug. It dropped to 12,862.02 during the session, and then recovered some to end at 12,904.02.
At that level, Japan’s best-known stock gauge is still nearly 150 points above what would officially mark its entry into a bear market — defined as a 20% drop from the recent high. (In the Nikkei’s case, that’s the high of 15,942.60 it hit on May 23, before all hell broke loose.) The decline is actually 19.1%.
The Topix (JP:TPX -1.77%) index is a bit further away from a bear market. It’s down 17% on Thursday, from its 52-week high, also hit on May 23.
Not surprisingly, a staggering amount of investor wealth has been lost since the carnage began. At Thursday’s close, Japan’s market capitalization is down a mammoth $577 billion since May 22. That’s more than Malaysia’s entire capitalization of $550 billion, according to FactSet data tallied more than two weeks ago.
…
staggering amount of investor wealth
Is it really a wealth?
What I was wondering was just how large (and ephemeral) was the runup in the Nikkei prior to the recent 19% correction?
Isn’t this merely yet another instance of the overly familiar central bank liquidity fueled bubble-and-bust sequence which has become a frequently recurring feature of the international financial system in recent years?
Those rascally government contractors!
“They created personal rec rooms with televisions, radios, chairs and couches. On the walls were photos, calendars and pinups. For entertainment, they had books, magazines and videos. If they got hungry, they could grab something from a refrigerator and pop it into a microwave.
The crown jewel of their hideaway — which stored EPA office furnishings — was a 30-by-45-foot athletic center, cobbled together from “surplus” EPA gym equipment and decked out with a music system provided via “other agency inventory items,” according to a recently released inspector general’s report.”
http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/workers-turned-epa-warehouse-in-landover-into-personal-rec-rooms-audit-finds/2013/06/05/ed5514fc-ce17-11e2-8845-d970ccb04497_story.html
Congressmen will be jealous.
Wasn’t this like five years ago? Or was that another agency…
Hope and Change
“Former students hobbled by a collective $1 trillion in education loans can be hindered in expanding or forming small businesses and creating jobs for themselves and others.
The share of 25-year-olds with student debt increased to 43 percent last year from 25 percent in 2003. The average education-loan balance among that group grew by 91 percent over the period, to $20,326 from $10,649″
http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-06/-1-trillion-debt-crushes-business-dreams-of-u-s-students.html
One mans debt is a big banks profit stream.
Love the word choice in the article title: “Buyers Scurrying”
Because it’s never been a better time to commit financial suicide. Hurry!
http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-06/home-loan-rates-near-4-send-buyers-scurrying-mortgages.html
Hope and Change
“If I had a son, he’d look like Trayvon” — President Barack Hussein Obama
http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-06/trayvon-martin-shooting-screams-disputed-before-trial.html
“If I had a son, he’d look like Trayvon” — President Barack Hussein Obama
Obama needs to hang ‘mo with Tiger and friends; son will rise.
Speaking of what kidz look like, anyone else notice that Michael Jackson’s kidz don’t look like their daddy was a black man?
They speak of ‘gender dysphoria’ which drives the transgender phenomenon.
Jackson apparently had ‘race dysphoria’ which drove him to try and appear white.
..wrong wrong wrong the autopsy proved he really did have vitiligo, a skin pigmentation disease…..maybe passed it on to his kids?????
and tattoos….
http://www.cnn.com/2013/05/07/showbiz/jackson-death-trial
Full autopsy…interesting reading….
http://www.autopsyfiles.org/reports/Celebs/jackson,%20michael_report.pdf
The mother was caucasion.
So was the sperm donor.
Sperm donor credibly rumored to be Mark Lester, now a physician who played the title role in the 1968 movie version of “Oliver”.
Mark Lester
http://www.nydailynews.com/entertainment/gossip/actor-dna-test-prove-fathered-jackson-kids-article-1.1335527
I thought it was Mark’s brother, Moe, that did it.
If he had a son, the son would go to Landon and wear a suit to school. Obama pandering about the Trayvon thing was sad. That said, George Zimmerman is still a massive a__hole whose life has been deservedly ruined.
Calling that pandering is a little Fox Newsy. A key part of his party’s base was very upset about a story that was in the news. Obama was asked about that story at a press conference. He uttered exactly one sentence to indicate his concern. It’s hardly even worth remembering.
“hardly even worth remembering”
But definitely worth a Drudge headline!
Bitcoins anyone?
http://silverdoctors.com/france-bans-shipment-of-gold-silver-in-the-mail/
Coming to America
—starring Obama and Bernanke
Most people have never heard of them. And probably never will.
Even more Hope and Change
“The nation’s drinking water systems are deteriorating, and $384 billion needs to be spent in the next 17 years to maintain a safe supply for millions of Americans”
If Obama didn’t give $500 billion to Solyndra there would be plenty of money to pay for this.
Sigh, Forward.
http://money.cnn.com/2013/06/05/news/economy/epa-drinking-water/index.html
Uh … wasn’t that 500 “million” that Solyndra defaulted on, not 500B? Or are you just being funny?
http://www.examiner.com/article/study-shows-fox-news-viewers-less-informed-than-those-who-watch-no-news
http://www.theblaze.com/blog/2012/05/24/fox-news-viewers-least-informed-hardly/
I know math is hard for liberals. But try to follow along.
http;//www.breitbart.corn/obama-once-bit-my-sister/
obama-once-bit-my-sister/
She must be a b!tch.
I know math is hard for liberals
You mean the math where you cut taxes, increase military spending and balance the budget?
Please don’t feed the troll. Anyone who needs to resort to labeling people “Liberal” isn’t worth your time. Someday it will be found to be an Autism spectrum disease or something like that.
LOL
$384B is nothing….we just need a new tax on the rich and it will pay for itself.
Last Updated: June 6, 2013
Sequestration: Who’s Hurting
By Erika Morphy | Washington, DC
The Capitol
WASHINGTON, DC-True, sequestration has not been the nightmare first envisioned–or perhaps better put, portrayed. But while the worst-case scenario about sequestration can be dismissed, at least for 2013, some companies in the Washington DC region are definitely noticing an impact. As we explained in the first part of this series, GlobeSt.com dug through recent earnings statements of companies based here, or with substantial operations here, to see what executives had to say about sequestration. We continue with that survey now.
…
” But while the worst-case scenario about sequestration can be dismissed, at least for 2013, some companies in the Washington DC region are definitely noticing an impact.”
Awwwww poor babies. So the $250K a year defense contractor will only make $225K a year? My heart bleeds, it really does. Someone quick, enact a new tax so these people don’t go hungry.
There are some senior analyst federal staff in our office retiring soon. And because of the federal hiring freeze (which is something I expect you would support) they are not being replaced by hiring more feds.
They are being replaced by hiring more government contractors. I don’t know exactly how that skirts the hiring freeze (maybe Downlow Joe or polly can explain that), but it does.
Feds drool, contractors RULE!
And there were quite a few republicans who were against the cut in military spending.
there were quite a few republicans who were against the cut in military spending ??
The Military budget is the southern Republicans Welfare program…
“The Military budget is the southern Republicans Welfare program…”
Really?
http://about.bgov.com/2011/11/18/bgov-special-report-defense-spending-state-by-state/
I didn’t know the mid-Atlantic states, California and the greater Seattle area were considered part of the South. You learn something new every day.
Yessir….those Southern Republicans rake the military spending in. Oh wait….
http://www.pbs.org/now/politics/defensemap.html
Evil Red State Military Spending…
Georgia:
Federal contract spending $6,850,338,000
Department of Defense spending $5,690,309,000
Alabama:
Federal contract spending $5,488,321,000
Department of Defense spending $4,594,457,000
Texas:
Federal contract spending $19,424,005,000
Department of Defense spending $13,149,553,000
COMPARE THAT TO….
California
Federal contract spending $32,842,383,000
Department of Defense spending $24,078,267,000
You were saying scdave…..
$250k isn’t that much for a private defense contractor. I see numbers quite a bit higher than that all.the.time. And that doesn’t include their overhead & benefits.
And that’s just mid- and senior-level rank-and-file contractors. Managers and executives are being capped at $750k by a new law that was just passed, but right now there are thousands that make more than that.
Bottom line: contractor costs >>>> fed gov’t employee costs.
You see the same thing with private lawyers vs. fed goverment lawyers. Fed gov lawyers at mid- and senior levels make at most 1/2 as much but realistically more like 1/4 as much. Is it any wonder why private lawfirms almost _always_ beat the feds? And, relatedly, why private firms get such good settlements when they do wrong?
Government contracting jobs = private sector jobs
(for Bush conservatives/republicans.)
A little long, but an excellent blogpost a friend of mine wrote about the economics & sociology of office work.
http://michaelochurch.wordpress.com/2013/06/04/gervais-macleod-24-fundamental-theorem-of-employment/
Guys, lay off Barrack. He’s been doing more important things the past few days –> http://cbsbaltimore.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/169961199_8.jpg?w=300
Harharharhar. That’s some funny shiet.
Three guesses where this was written today…
“Those reassurances have never been persuasive — whether on secret warrants to scoop up a news agency’s phone records or secret orders to kill an American suspected of terrorism — especially coming from a president who once promised transparency and accountability. The administration has now lost all credibility. Mr. Obama is proving the truism that the executive will use any power it is given and very likely abuse it.”
Faux Noise
Evil Breitbart.com
NY Times
My sister is running for union VP.
GOOOOOOONS!
Good for her. She’ll make $300K a year and work 10 hours a week, tops. Then retire at 45 with a full pension.
$200 stipend per month… a threat to the Koch Bros. freedom.
Whenever somebody mentions their sister it reminds me of this.
Full Metal Jacket: Is That You John Wayne? - YouTube
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sMEFcYij2uY - 236k
New LPS Mortgage Monitor out as of the end of April:
http://www.lpsvcs.com/LPSCorporateInformation/CommunicationCenter/DataReports/MortgageMonitor/201304MortgageMonitor/MortgageMonitorApril2013.pdf
Page 19: Judicial states still lagging in working through their distress, NJ and NY only have decreased their non-current loan rates by 1.3% and 1.1%, respectively over the prior year. Both are still over 12% (12.7% for NY, 15.3% for NJ…FL is at 17.3%).
Despite the “Homeowner Bill of Rights”, CA is now down to a 6.5% non-current rate (from 7.0% last month, and 29.8% reduction over the prior 12 monts). AZ is at 5.9%.
“New data shows school “reformers” are full of it”
http://www.salon.com/2013/06/03/instead_of_a_war_on_teachers_how_about_one_on_poverty/
Detroit: Convicted mortgage kingpin fails to report for prison
WHOA
Has this been linked yet. If this is true, this is massively messed up.
“n the latest sales filings, he discovered that a group called SFR 2012-1 US West LLC, located at 135 N. Los Robles Ave., fourth floor, in Pasadena, Calif., purchased 275 foreclosure homes from Fannie Mae that day. Each deal was individually recorded. Fannie Mae’s Dallas office is listed as the seller.
More research shows the buyer is an LLC created by Fannie Mae.”
Read more: http://www.azcentral.com/business/realestate/articles/20120727mystery-buyer-snaps-up-foreclosure-homes.html?nclick_check=1#ixzz2VUVOiW5D
http://www.azcentral.com/business/realestate/articles/20120727mystery-buyer-snaps-up-foreclosure-homes.html?nclick_check=1
Article is a year old, but I don’t recall reading this.
Starting to sound like a million home or two sale to the Chinese.. Fannie cant sell them directly….so the hedge funds and LLc’s will
Right about now, there are a whole lot of investors “beating a hasty retreat” from this, that or the other collapsing asset class.
Got popcorn?!
Almost €100bn pulled out of Spain as investors beat a hasty retreat
Almost €100bn (£80.2bn) of cash was pulled out of Spain in the first three months of the year by private and corporate investors fleeing the advancing financial and political crisis.
By Louise Armitstead, Chief business correspondent
8:19PM BST 31 May 2012
The Bank of Spain said €66.2bn was withdrawn in March alone – the fastest rate since records began in 1990 – taking the total to €97bn for the first quarter.
Experts warned that the chaotic state-rescue of Bankia is likely to have speeded up the capital flight, compounding the already critical instability of the banks.
Foreign investors have also rapidly withdrawn their support for Spanish government funding. According to figures from Barclays Capital, foreigners accounted for just 30pc of the holders of Spanish sovereign debt in March, down from 40pc at the same time last year.
In a bid to plug the draining confidence, Spain on Friday launched a diplomatic offensive in the US and Germany in a bid to win support for its banks but still stave off a bail-out.
Soraya Saenz de Santamaria, Spain’s deputy prime minister, was despatched across the Atlantic for crisis talks with Tim Geitner, the US Treasury secretary, and Christine Lagarde, head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Finance minister, Luis de Guindos, was sent to Germany to meet his counterpart Wolfgang Schaeuble, sometimes seen as the eurozone’s paymaster.
…
Record outflows seen from gold ETFs; investors head for exit
Published: Thursday, 28 Mar 2013 | 4:00 AM ET
By: Clara Denina
* ETFs tracked by Reuters down 7.2 percent so far this year
* Brighter global economic backdrop, interest rates eyed
* Outflows continued despite price boost from Cyprus crisis
LONDON, March 28 (Reuters) - Gold-backed exchange-traded funds are set for their biggest quarterly outflow since inception, with investors beating a hasty retreat from the market due to a brightened global economic backdrop.
Holdings in the eight gold-backed exchange traded products (ETPs) tracked by Reuters are down by 7.2 percent to 70.66 million ounces this year.
The largest, New York’s SPDR Gold Trust, accounts for around 40 percent of total ETF holdings and is down 12 percent to 39.26 million ounces.
Other gold products such as the Comex Gold Trust also reported a quarterly decline of 241,548 ounces. The ETF Securities’ GBS fund was down five percent.
The bulk of outflows coincided with February’s fall in gold prices, the largest monthly decrease since May 2012.
Investors continued to liquidate even as the debt crisis in Cyprus prompted a rally this month, with a perception of overall improving economic conditions suggesting that a period of disinvestment, or at least stabilisation, may occur.
“I don’t think that the economic environment as the year progresses, with interest rates possibly starting to rise and inflation remaining fairly benign, is going to be one that allows investors to come back,” Nomura precious metals analyst Tyler Broda said.
…
ft dot com
Last updated: June 6, 2013 11:19 pm
Doubts over QE3 spark sharp dollar fall
By Alice Ross in London and Robin Harding in Washington
100 dollar notes are stacked with other currencies©Bloomberg
The dollar suffered a sharp fall on Thursday as nervousness over US jobs data prompted uncertainty over how long the Federal Reserve will continue to pump liquidity into the global financial system, leading investors to sell off the currency.
The move followed a euro rally after the European Central Bank kept interest rates on hold at its monthly meeting and raised its forecasts for growth in the eurozone next year despite scaling back its expectations for 2013.
This spurred further dollar selling in the world’s largest financial market as the currency breached technical support levels. The dollar index fell nearly 2 per cent while the US currency at one point dipped 3 per cent against Japan’s yen to move below Y96.
“This is reminiscent of the 2008 crisis and well off the normal charts,” said Bob Savage at FX Concepts, the New York-based hedge fund, referring to the volatility in the currency markets on Thursday. “I don’t think anyone in the central banking world wants currency or bond volatility right now and they’re facing both.”
Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan chief executive, warned global markets would face increased volatility as central banks bring interest rates back to normal levels. “As we go back to normal, it’s going to be scary, and it’s going to be kind of volatile,” he said at a Fortune Global Forum in Chengdu, China, Bloomberg reported.
…
From the Fortune dot com article (it was the Fortune Global Forum” after all).
“Until it gets back to normal [this time], it’s going to be scary and volatile.”
But Dimon emphasized that the long-term trend still looks positive, and that most people tend to overreact to the dramatic ups and downs in the market.
…
Dimon pointed out that the U.S. economy is still growing, albeit it not as fast as it should. In Europe, he said it remains to be seen what will happen, but he said the economic crisis there “could have been worse.”
FIRE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
ft dot com
June 6, 2013 11:29 pm
Record outflows from US junk bond funds
By Michael Mackenzie and Stephen Foley in New York
Investors have pulled a record amount out of US junk bond funds in the past week, beating a speedy retreat from what has been one of the hottest areas of the fixed income market in the past year.
US high-yield funds saw a record $4.63bn in outflows for the week ending on Wednesday, according to Lipper.
Interest rate volatility has surged in recent weeks since benchmark Treasury yields have risen sharply, with selling spilling over into other key areas of the bond market. As exchange traded fund providers and mutual funds face redemptions, they are forced to sell more of their holdings, putting further pressure on prices.
“We are definitely worried that the market is in a cycle where selling of bonds begets more selling,” said Steven Boyd, principal at Halyard Asset Management.
The hefty outflows illustrate the anxiety of investors ahead of the May employment report due on Friday. The Federal Reserve has indicated that its suppression of interest rates under quantitative easing depends on the tone of economic data, led by the monthly jobs figures.
“‘The jobs report will be a harbinger for how bonds trade during the rest of the month,” said Mr Boyd.
Heightened interest rate volatility has punished the performance of bonds in recent weeks. The market’s benchmark, the Barclays US Aggregate index, which consists of Treasury, mortgage and corporate debt, has registered a decline of 1 per cent for 2013, its worst year-to-date performance year since the great bond market rout of 1994.
Ed Marrinan, head of macro credit strategy at RBS, said high-yield bond fans had all deserted the sector at once.
Investors who are bullish on the economy fear an end to quantitative easing could remove a force that has pushed high-yield bonds higher; investors who are bearish on the economy fear that low yields on junk bonds don’t provide enough compensation for the growing risks of default; and investors who don’t know, don’t want to hold relatively risky assets in an uncertain environment.
“When the market lacks clarity, when it lacks consensus, that is when you end up with volatility and that takes its toll on risk assets,” Mr Marrinan said.
The accelerating outflows are already showing up in junk bond prices, which have fallen sharply, sending yields higher. The average yield has surged from its historic low of 4.95 per cent on May 9, to 6.16 per cent on Wednesday night, according to a Barclays index. That figure was the first time in 2013 that the yield has been above 6 per cent.
…
ft dot com / markets
Markets Insight
June 4, 2013 2:11 pm
Markets Insight: Bond market jitters strengthen case for the bears
By Ralph Atkins in London
When talk of ‘tapering’ has such an impact, good economic news is bad news
Can you hear the bears growling? When bonds and equities were rallying globally until recently, the bear argument was that central banks and regulators had created such worrying vulnerabilities in the financial system that a plunge back to earth was only a matter of time. That tipping point looks closer than we thought a month ago.
Hints by Ben Bernanke, US Federal Reserve chairman, about a possible “tapering” of the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing programme two weeks ago not only drove up US bond yields, which move inversely with prices, and caused significant losses for bond investors; they created upsets globally.
Depending on your choice of measure, volatility in US Treasuries has jumped to levels not seen for a year and has also spiked for German Bunds. In Japan, where the central bank has struggled to control yields, volatility is back at levels last seen in 2008 and share prices are yo-yoing.
Such instability is a concern because low and stable core bond yields were the basis of the “carry trades” – borrowing at low interest rates to pile into higher yielding assets – that spurred stock and bond market advances.
What matters now is whether the pattern morphs into a disruptive sell-off – or the recalibration needed to prevent the bear scenario becoming reality.
The bull case for not worrying yet is that the Fed will act to prevent disorderly market shifts, wary of the possible impact on a still-nascent US economic recovery. Also arguing against this being a turning point is that exceptional central bank support for economies will be in place for a lot longer. The Bank of Japan has only just launched its aggressive bond buying plans; the European Central Bank could yet embark on asset purchases or fresh, large-scale liquidity injections.
But pessimists argue that if the mere talk about a “tapering” can cause such trouble, the probability of bigger accidents in coming months is substantial. In a topsy-turvy world in which good economic news is bad news – because it brings forward the day when QE stops – strong non-farm US payroll data on Friday could see further disruptive bond selling.
Jaime Caruana, general manager of the Bank for International Settlements, on Tuesday highlighted the extraordinary challenge facing central bankers in a speech in Korea. Monetary authorities not only had to manage expectations about short-term interest rates, he argued. They also faced the “unfamiliar” (note the central banker’s understatement) challenge of managing longer-term interest rates, driven down by asset-purchase programmes to a point where investors pay a penalty for holding on to fixed-rate bonds.
“The very success of pushing the term premium down into negative territory has created the risks of a sudden rise, even if central banks succeed in communicating their intended paths for short-term policy rates,” Mr Caruana warned.
What is striking about the past few weeks is how global bond markets have moved in sync, despite differences in economic fundamentals. Measuring correlations is hard. But Ramin Nakisa and Stephane Deo, strategists at UBS, have broken up shifts in yield curves into different types – up and down moves in the whole curve, or a steepening or flattening, for instance. Their results suggest that correlations between US, UK, German and Australian yield curves have indeed strengthened significantly. In other words, we could be back on a scary rollercoaster of “risk-on, risk off” market movements.
As the UBS researchers point out, there are historical precedents. In 1994 Germany’s Bundesbank cut official interest rates but the Fed had started a tightening cycle, and German yields went up, with the Bundesbank controlling only the very short end of the curve.
The truth is that we know relatively little about how central bank actions have affected global financial flows and prices – let alone, how the process will work in reverse.
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“The truth is that we know relatively little about how central bank actions have affected global financial flows and prices – let alone, how the process will work in reverse.”
Are high-priced food commodities and the Arab Spring fake?
20 MINs ago
Markets
As Bond Prices Fall, Strategies Shift
Investors Move to Guard Assets as Companies Race Into Market to Borrow Funds
Some firms are accelerating fundraising plans, while investors move to protect their investments.
By Katy Burne, Mike Cherney, Carolyn Cui
A sharp fall in bond prices has sent investors scurrying to protect themselves amid fears that rising interest rates will put an end to decades of strong returns. The U-turn is forcing some companies to accelerate fundraising plans to take advantage of investor demand while it lasts.
Kathy Crusco, the chief financial officer at software company Epicor Software Corp., waited months to borrow money. On Monday, her bankers told her to pull the trigger immediately to avoid paying higher rates amid the debt-market selloff.
Investors still bought $400 million of the junk bonds with a 9% interest rate in just one day, a rare quick deal for a low-rated company. The borrower, Epicor parent Eagle Midco., is rated triple-C-plus. Ms. Crusco plans to use the cash to pay a dividend to Apax Partners, the private-equity owners of Epicor.
All of the credit markets, ranging from ultrasafe Treasurys to riskier investments such as below-investment-grade, or junk, bonds were volatile this week as investors try to interpret new comments from several Federal Reserve officials that they are considering tapering off their purchases of bonds. The Fed’s bond-buying program has supported the markets and kept interest rates low since the financial crisis.
Investors and borrowers have pulled back ahead of a report on U.S. jobs set for release Friday morning. Unemployment is a crucial element in the Fed’s formula for making decisions about its support for the economy. Mom-and-pop investors and others pulled $9.1 billion from bond mutual funds and exchange-traded funds in the week ended Wednesday, more than they have since a $12.6 billion pullback in October 2008 at the height of the financial crisis, according to fund tracker Lipper.
“We’re seeing the bleeding everywhere in fixed income,” said Jeff Tjornehoj, head of Lipper Americas Research.
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Scum bags.
This sounds like a juicy story if ever one went to press.
BofA executives hostile in mortgage suit talks - FT.com
A U.S. court heard on Thursday that Bank of America executives and lawyers told bondholders that their “grandchildren would have grandchildren” before they received the $10 billion compensation for bad mortgage-backed securities that they were seeking.
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Oops…that was supposed to be posted under “scum bags.”
Sorry for the slip up.
Doing gawd’s work is tricky stuff.
If the markets are this roiled over the mere hint from the Fed that some day in the indefinite future, they just might begin to tiptoe away from QE3, imagine the carnage when and if they actually start to carry out the plan!
Confusion About the Fed’s Bond-Buying ‘Taper’ Roils Wall Street
By Nick Summers
June 06, 2013
When Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke answered Congress’s questions on May 22 about when the central bank might begin to slow down its monetary stimulus program, his words were measured. “If we see continued improvement and we have confidence that that is going to be sustained, then we could—in the next few meetings—we could take a step down in our pace of purchases,” he told the Joint Economic Committee. He also warned that “premature tightening” could “carry a substantial risk of slowing or ending the economic recovery.”
Since Bernanke’s heroic effort to split hairs, almost every day has been Opposite Day on Wall Street: Professional traders are convinced that for now, up is down and down is up. Signs of a weak economy mean the Fed is more likely to continue its $85 billion of monthly bond buying, a practice that has kept interest rates low and bond prices high, and pushed investors into riskier assets such as stocks. Conversely, healthier data mean the Fed is more inclined to close the easy-money spigot, so traders are selling stocks on upbeat news.
Consider this run of upside-down responses: On May 30 the Department of Commerce announced that the U.S.’s gross domestic product had grown less in the first quarter than previously estimated—2.4 percent vs. 2.5 percent—and stocks climbed. On May 31 a key measure of consumer confidence came in better than analysts had hoped—and markets fell. The next trading day brought bad reports on manufacturing and construction spending. Yep, stock prices shot up a few minutes after the news broke.
The recent losses may have only tapped the brakes on a long rally. The Fed’s “quantitative easing” strategy has helped the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index surge 16.9 percent over seven months, its longest winning streak since September 2009, to a record high of 1,669 on May 21. But with Bernanke’s remarks being echoed in the minutes of the Fed’s latest meeting and speeches by board members, the benchmark slid 2.3 percent from that day through June 4. “Now all of a sudden when you have really good news, it suggests, ‘Oh, crap, maybe the Fed really is going to stop,’ and it spooks investors out,” says Joseph Tanious, a global markets strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management. “The wild movements we’re seeing in the markets, and these gyrations, just has a lot to do with trying to make heads or tails of” what the Fed is doing.
Why are traders so fixated on the Fed? For bond investors, it’s a fairly simple calculation that higher interest rates mean falling prices. Stock investors face a more complicated choice: whether or not to take the Fed at its word that it will only remove its extraordinary support when the economy is strong enough to stand on its own.
The recent selloffs in the face of buoyant data suggest traders aren’t ready to take that leap. In interviews, several analysts cited concerns that the Fed would begin to end its easy-money policies not because the country is back on its feet, but because of fears that its bond purchases—pushing its balance sheet to $3.3 trillion—are having negative secondary effects on markets, such as creating a bubble in junk bonds. The Fed has always acknowledged that quantitative easing could distort the markets, and that it would balance that risk against the program’s impact on the economy, says Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Pierpont Securities. That means the Fed could end quantitative easing while the economy remains weak if it saw the costs outweighing the benefits, he says.
Money managers and the financial press seized on “tapering” as a buzzword for the Fed’s eventual slowing of bond purchases following remarks on Feb. 1 by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard. “We should think about tapering or adjusting the program,” Bullard said. “If you get some good data for a couple of months, maybe you’d say, ‘OK, we go back to $75 billion per month instead of $85 billion, or something like that.’ ”
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June 7, 2013, 2:43 a.m. EDT
Asian stocks drop on caution over U.S. jobs data
Japan’s Nikkei moves into bear market territory after yen’s rally
By V. Phani Kumar, MarketWatch
HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — Most Asian markets fell Friday on caution ahead of the U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, while Japanese stocks dropped for a third straight day as exporters came under pressure from the yen’s sharp gains overnight.
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The markets are balanced on the head of a pin between the scepter of a renewed downturn and evidence of a labor recovering so quickly that QE3 is likely to wind down sooner than expected.
June 6, 2013, 1:27 p.m. EDT
Stocks head for big landmine - the May jobs report
“Say your prayers tonight,” says Jim Awad of the May jobs report. “You want a number exactly at 170,000.” The chairman of Plimsoll Mark Capital talks about why Wall Street fears anything higher, or lower.