September 30, 2013

Bits Bucket for September 30, 2013

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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239 Comments »

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-09-30 04:29:20

If you take on mortgage debt at current massively inflated housing prices, you’ll enslave yourself for the rest of your life.

“Debt is bondage.”~ Suze Orman, May 11, 2013

Don’t Be A Debt Donkey®

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-09-30 04:32:17

“Housing’s ‘Shadow Inventory’ Still Haunts Banks”

http://news.yahoo.com/housings-shadow-inventory-still-haunts-banks-152949909.html

With 25 million excess, empty and defaulted houses on the horizon, the risk of losses buying a house at current grossly inflated asking prices of resale housing is massive.

BEWARE

Comment by Pete
2013-09-30 16:37:32

Careful what you post. The end of the article states,

“We suggest investing new money in real estate only if your timeline is 10 years or more, your liquidity needs are low and you’re able to lock the debt service rate for a long period of time.”

I don’t agree w/him, I would surely not invest in real estate at this time. But it’s funny how the message of this article you keep linking to actually runs completely counter to your own core message to the masses. Every time someone reads it, they read that even under current conditions, real estate can be a safe investment.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-09-30 18:50:37

Donkey,

Read it any way you like. The reality is there are 25 million excess empty houses, no matter how you run from it.

And houses are never “investments”. Never have been, never will be.

Enjoy losses Donkey.

 
 
 
Comment by AbsoluteBeginner
2013-09-30 04:42:25

Not Nibiru, not fed shut down, not nuthin’ gonna take this market down. Too many shorts need to get squeezed. Me, one of them.

 
Comment by azdude02
2013-09-30 05:09:48

equity is a game changer.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-09-30 05:28:33

Got cash?

Comment by goon squad
2013-09-30 05:56:16

Uncle Sugar doesn’t, not for FY14 anyway (except for our contract which is fully funded, thank you). Pushing through several funding actions today “subject to the availability of FY14 funding” which are nothing more than promises. And Uncle Sugar always keeps his promises, right?

Comment by jose canusi
2013-09-30 06:42:24

But Uncle’s got $300 mil for Detroilet, apparently. I was wrong when I said bailouts are for banks and coffee is for closers.

Comment by Combotechie
2013-09-30 06:47:45

“I was wrong when I said bailouts were for banks and coffee is for closers.”

No you weren’t wrong, at least you weren’t wrong about the banks.

Help save Detroit and you will help save the banks.

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Comment by 2banana
2013-09-30 07:06:57

More like saving the insane public unions.

But they are worth it and it is for the children.

———–

That contention also will be part of the objections that will be filed by the city’s two employee pension systems, said Bruce Babiarz, spokesman for Detroit’s Police and Fire Retirement System and General Retirement System.

The systems are the city’s two largest unsecured creditors.

Detroit has about 21,000 retired workers who are owed benefits, with underfunded obligations of about $3.5 billion for pensions and $5.7 billion for retiree health coverage.

http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2013-08-20/news/41429162_1_kevyn-orr-emergency-manager-bankruptcy-protection

 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2013-09-30 06:43:43

Yep - that and Presidential travel.

Shutdown or no, Obama’s Asia trip is still a go
Washington Times | 9/29/13 | Dave Boyer

With the prospects growing of a government shutdown on Tuesday, the White House said Thursday that President Obama has no intention of postponing a week-long trip to Asia that begins Oct. 6.

“Our schedule remains as planned,” said White House press secretary Jay Carney.

The president will visit Indonesia, where he grew up as a boy, and the Philippines as part of a trip that will include attendance at an economic summit. The flying time alone on Air Force One will cost millions of dollars, at a time when the government could be temporarily out of money.

 
Comment by 2banana
2013-09-30 06:47:22

Hey - Things are tough all over. Even government employees are cutting back on the housekeepers they employ…

————–

For the Washington Area, a Second Lightning Strike
New York Times - 9-29-2013 - By ANNIE LOWREY

Greg Nudd, an Environmental Protection Agency employee who works on dust and haze issues, was furloughed for a total of 47 hours this year….“We’ve cut back on a number of things. We canceled cable, we got rid of our land line, we cut out luxuries, the housekeeper’s not coming — things like that.

Comment by United States of Moral Hazard
2013-09-30 09:26:52

This whole illegal alien housekeeper model is disgusting. I have a family member who utilizes them. We got into an argument about it because I explained that not only was she directly responsible for the illegal immigration, but she was also burdening society with the real costs of such labor, like emergency room visits never paid for, welfare, etc. I also explained that she was helping bankrupt legitimate businesses by paying the illegals an amount which no business could survive upon. She blissfully ignored the facts, and focused her attention on resentment of me.

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Comment by United States of Moral Hazard
2013-09-30 09:30:30

Oh, and they’re Republicans.

 
Comment by jose canusi
2013-09-30 09:44:16

“focused her attention on resentment of me.”

Of course, because you pointed out how she is being evil in her support of colonization and she’s screwing her neighbors and fellow citizens. There’s a special hell for people like her. I have vowed not to lift a finger to help anyone I know who is a traitor that supports colonization. If they were getting gang-banged, I’d plug my ears against the screams and walk on by whistling.

If you really wanted to get even with her, you can report her to the IRS. Because you know neither she or the colonizers who are doing work for her are paying taxes. Heh, I know someone this happened to years ago. She had a live-in from south of the border, with a daughter no less (so she could take advantage of the school system). No taxes were taken out of her pay, and she promised to pay them. She didn’t. The IRS came after the employer. Real mess.

 
Comment by inchbyinch
2013-09-30 14:45:57

United States of Moral Hazard
One day she’s going to regret it. I used an illegal as a housekeeper once, and she cleaned the microwave with Lime Away on the sponge, and fumed us out of the house the next morning, when I turned on the microwave. The fire dept said we could have been seriously injured if we didn’t go outside immediately. We were sicker than dogs. The sponge was saturated with Lime Away as I found out. Could have killed us.She also destroyed the vacuum cord, and it became a fire hazard.

One of the maid firms (franchised) wanted $60/hr, so I went the cheapo route.Went back to cleaning my home myself to this day.

Your comments about the taxpayer picking up the tab is absolutely a fact. I live in So Ca.

 
Comment by mathguy
2013-09-30 15:29:46

Are you mad at the “illegal housekeeper” or are you mad that she gets services free? No person should be considered a burden on society just for existing and doing work to support themselves.

If you want to eliminate the source of your anger, don’t eliminate the possibility for human beings to support themselves, eliminate the “free giveaways” to those who don’t pay into the system…

Currently if you go to the ER, the ER MUST see/treat you. Why don’t we change that so that the ER has the choice to see/treat/triage ? Hospitals can then tell people with an ear ache to go somewhere else instead of wasting ER time. Or they can treat the ear ache free if they aren’t doing anything else.. up to the ER…

If “illegal immigration” was no such thing, for example if anyone could just come here and work legally, but you only got access to services if you worked at a job that paid taxes, etc.. wouldn’t people strive for better and better jobs that afforded them access to those services instead of hiding in the underground economy?

If the only argument against this is we don’t want to pay for the services, then lets just not pay for the services, but still let people work, and have access to the American dream…

 
 
 
Comment by Suite Joey Blue Eyes (CSNY Superfan)
2013-09-30 08:04:38

As evidenced by 2Bananarama, today’s Tea Party allows some loser living in a southern trailer park to feel like he’s some kind of modern day revolutionary for posting on Free Republic and making angry phone calls to his Congressman while eating a bag of cheetos.

Meanwhile the billionaires who are constantly getting a larger share of our economy sit in silent gratitude that this poor deluded rube has their back.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-09-30 08:16:36

Liberace!

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Comment by goon squad
2013-09-30 08:20:36

52.232-19 Availability of Funds for the Next Fiscal Year

Funds are not presently available for performance under this contract beyond ____. The Government’s obligation for performance of this contract beyond that date is contingent upon the availability of appropriated funds from which payment for contract purposes can be made. No legal liability on the part of the Government for any payment may arise for performance under this contract beyond ____, until funds are made available to the Contracting Officer for performance and until the Contractor receives notice of availability, to be confirmed in writing by the Contracting Officer.

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Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 08:25:12

‘the billionaires who are constantly getting a larger share of our economy’

The TP got started as an opposition to the bank bail-outs. I don’t know anyone in this group, and I doubt you do either. Don’t run into too many regular Joe’s at the symphony. (And no Mexican’s either, which makes you happy). So many posters here go on about what people shouldn’t do with their political energy. What should these people do? Come on, give us some direction. Or do you just like to whine?

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-09-30 08:28:41

Liberace’s Symphonic Squealing

 
Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 08:39:26

Vote Obama and complian about republican hypocrisy. And not only keep the status-quo going but also make it stronger after all HYP graduates can fix it all. I think it’s been prescribed subtely over and over again.

 
Comment by Bluestar
2013-09-30 09:04:13

Your memory is failing or your listening to too many AM radio pundits.
I thought Ron Paul started it with his moneybomb day on the anniversary of the Boston Tea Party. I remember it well because I sent in $200 that day.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moneybomb

Rick Santelli stole it, CNBC ran it up the flag pole and Fox News took it and gave it to Freedom Works with 6 hour a day coverage through the 2010 election. Once they had locked in their power base the dumped some of the real wackos like Glen Beck and replaced them with professional politicians.

 
Comment by Suite Joey Blue Eyes
2013-09-30 09:09:16

I know how the Tea Party started. It started as a reaction to some very bad policies that were giveaways. What it has become (and why I said “today’s TP”) is quite different.

The same thing could be said about Occupy.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 09:11:14

‘I thought Ron Paul started it’

I knew that, but most people became aware of the TP with the TARP opposition.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 09:13:26

‘What it has become (and why I said “today’s TP”) is quite different’

And thus the opportunity to make sweeping derogatory statements about people you’ve never met or will meet. Got it.

 
Comment by Bluestar
2013-09-30 09:27:15

Ben, I must disagree. The TP had to have the support of a big media network or they would have met the same fate as Occupy and ultimately, Ron Paul too. That’s how things work in the USA today. That’s why we ended up John Kerry as the Dem candidate instead of the guy who should have been the 2004 president - Howard Dean. Remember? “Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa, Yea-Haa”

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 09:48:32

I remember that many on this blog agreed with OWS when it started. Then it devolved because they couldn’t agree on a goal, as I recall. Now they do sit ins at foreclosures.

Here’s a big difference about the TP; they organized and elected a bunch of people in 2010. Having messed around in politics as a volunteer, I can say that is not easy to do in such a short time. On this day, many of these people are making a ruckus in DC.

 
Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 09:59:42

On this day, many of these people are making a ruckus in DC.

That’s why they hate tea party. I confess I don’t like tea party. Too narrow for my tatse…I wish it was more anti wars and anti fed/wallstreet/coporations as well.

 
Comment by United States of Moral Hazard
2013-09-30 10:08:42

“What should these people do?”

Somehow, some way, we need to figure out how to gain some traction on campaign finance reform. Until then NOTHING will change.

 
Comment by Suite Joey Blue Eyes (CSNY Superfan)
2013-09-30 10:35:52

Not sure why I’m considered some kind of elitist. I took this quiz (designed by Charles Murray for PBS) and I got a 25, which correlates to someone who tries to “get out into the real America” (paraphrasing). I probably would score the highest of anyone I work with.

The quiz is here:

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/2012/03/white-educated-and-wealthy-congratulations-you-live-in-a-bubble.html

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 10:45:09

‘I got a 25, which correlates to someone who tries to “get out into the real America”

Do you wave as you pass by?

http://www.allposters.co.uk/-sp/Queen-Mother-with-Prince-Charles-Waving-as-They-Ride-in-the-Royal-Carriage-c-1985-Posters_i4176526_.htm

 
Comment by Bluestar
2013-09-30 10:48:47

Occupy didn’t want a single issue movement because they thought it would make them too vulnerable to a media that would discredit the whole movement by just attacking their main issue. Big mistake in my opinion. They should have made it a 2 or 3 issue protest movement. If they had made money in politics #1 and better wages #2 then many more people would have supported their goals.
The faster it collapses the sooner we can start over. Burn the constitution and let’s write a new one that can deal with the realities of the 21st. century like genetic engineering, NSA/FBI/CIA spying and money in politics.

Can I count on the Tea Party to do this or will the politicians they elect continue to be front men for ALEC (American Legislative Exchange Council) and the US Chamber of Commerce?

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 11:10:22

‘Can I count on the Tea Party to do this’

I don’t know. In the past I have voted for Democrats, Republicans, Greens, Libertarians, Independents, and even some guy with one of those Indian Temples (because he was the only one standing up to developers at the time). I’m glad to have the choices and wish we had more of them.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-09-30 11:34:11

Not sure why I’m considered some kind of elitist. I took this quiz (designed by Charles Murray for PBS) and I got a 25, which correlates to someone who tries to “get out into the real America” (paraphrasing).

That’s funny. I got a 57, but I don’t really have quite that much blue collar cred. Many of the questions were worded as “ever”, and yeah, I’ve done it once. Doesn’t mean I’ve ever done it again :-).

 
Comment by ahansen
2013-09-30 11:53:49

62. Uh hyuk.

 
Comment by Suite Joey Blue Eyes (CSNY Superfan)
2013-09-30 12:00:36

I’m thinking FPSS would probably get a 5.

 
Comment by oxide
2013-09-30 12:22:55

Not sure why I’m considered some kind of elitist.

I don’t know either. Your posts here certianly haven’t had that whiff of elitism.

No really, none.

None whatsoever.

Really.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 12:53:34

Reminds me more of that lady on Keeping Up Appearances.

 
Comment by United States of Moral Hazard
2013-09-30 12:58:32

“Not sure why I’m considered some kind of elitist.”

That’s part of your problem. “The poors” did you no favors.

 
Comment by Middle Coaster
2013-09-30 14:15:48

46. My parents were both well educated for their time, but we teetered on the edge of lower middle class while I was growing up.

 
Comment by oxide
2013-09-30 14:48:52

39 here. I started off blue collar but went all elitist when I stopped watching TV, I guess. I’m surprise they didn’t ask if we had a home garden and if we grew arugula. (I’m a kale gal myself.)

Does anyone else find it ironic that Joey says he’s not elitist, and then proves it with a survey carefully constructed by the PBS website? :roll: Dude, if you want street cred, you should have pointed us to some fat dude who screeches on AM radio. :razz:

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 15:01:12

Don’t feel bad Joe. I have a sofa on my front porch and you are welcome to come over and have a Schlitz anytime. Just call ahead of time.

 
Comment by United States of Moral Hazard
2013-09-30 17:49:30

“39 here.”

Hey, that’s exactly what I got. I think we’re a match, Oxide. jk :)

 
 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-09-30 08:32:19

today’s Tea Party allows some loser living in a southern trailer park to feel like he’s some kind of modern day revolutionary for posting on Free Republic and making angry phone calls to his Congressman while eating a bag of cheetos.

You been spying on me again?

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-09-30 08:35:05

Pass me the Cheetos dude. I’ll trade you a liter bottle of Coke.

 
Comment by Northeastener
2013-09-30 08:54:02

Pass me the Cheetos dude. I’ll trade you a liter bottle of Coke.

The “New Economy” in action… barter & trade for the poor, privatize profits socialize losses for the rich.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-09-30 08:59:51

I’m out of cheetos, but I’ve got a sweet bag of nacho cheese Doritos. Orange finger is orange fingers, amirite?

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-09-30 10:43:10

You are correct. Pass’em over. I’m exhausted from schooling this congressman over the phone.

 
Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 12:04:54

A guy goes to his doctor and says “Doc, ya gotta help me. My d1ck is turning orange!”
Doctor pauses to think and asks the guy to drop his pants so he can have a look. Damned if the guy’s pen1s isn’t orange! Doc tells the guy, “This is very strange. Sometimes things like this are caused by a lot of stress in a person’s life. How are things going at work?”
The guy responds that he was fired 6 weeks ago. The doctor tells him that this must be the cause of the stress. Guy says “No, the boss was a real a$$hole, I had to work 20-30 hrs of overtime every week, and I had no say in anything that was happening. I found a new job a couple weeks ago where I can set my own hours, I’m getting twice my old pay, and the boss is real cool.”
So the doc thinks a little longer and says “Well, do you have any hobbies or a social life?” Guy says, “No, most nights I just sit at home watching p0rn0 flicks and eating Cheetos.”

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2013-09-30 05:44:38

Why doesn’t Greece just increase their debt limit?

Coming soon to America. Insane deficits and insane fiscal policy ALWAYS leads to war or revolution.

“The fact that we are here today to debate raising America’s debt limit is a sign of leadership failure. It is a sign that the U.S. Government can’t pay its own bills. It is a sign that we now depend on ongoing financial assistance from foreign countries to finance our Government’s reckless fiscal policies. … Increasing America’s debt weakens us domestically and internationally. Leadership means that “the buck stops here.” Instead, Washington is shifting the burden of bad choices today onto the backs of our children and grandchildren. America has a debt problem and a failure of leadership. Americans deserve better.”

obama - March 20, 2006:

——————

Greece is starting to look like Weimar Germany
Telegraph (UK) | September 29th, 2013 | By Daniel Hannan

Economic collapse, mass joblessness, uniformed paramilitaries, street violence, political assassinations and, now, a round-up of opposition MPs. Euro-wracked Greece is beginning to feel like Weimar Germany.

The beleaguered Athens government arrested five deputies and 15 other activists from Golden Dawn, including the leader. The Greek constitution prohibits the banning of political parties, so the authorities class Golden Dawn as a criminal organisation and link it to the murder of a Leftist musician.

For more than 30 years, Golden Dawn crawled along as one of Europe’s negligible Nazi movements. It barely registered in elections, typically winning around 0.1 per cent of the popular vote. Then, in 2012, under the slogan “We can rid this land of filth!”, it secured nearly half a million ballots and became the third-largest party.

What happened? In short, the euro. For once, the metaphor of a Greek tragedy is precisely apt. Hellenes went through the hubris of easy credit years, when the markets treated Greek and German debt as interchangeable. Now they are suffering the nemesis: GDP down by 23% from its peak; 28% unemployment; middle-class Athenians rummaging in bins for food; farmers bringing supplies to urban cousins.

Asked for a comment on the arrests, Prime Minister Antonis Samaras replied: “Justice, stability, no elections.” Those words might serve as the perfect Euro-slogan; they explain why so many Greeks were pushed into supporting the extremes in the first place.

Yesterday, Greeks discussed the rumour that the arrests sought to prevent the Golden Dawn MPs from resigning their seats and triggering a series of by-elections. The economic crisis has become a crisis of democracy.

Comment by AbsoluteBeginner
2013-09-30 06:38:50

Greece, go figure. I thought all the culture, good food and handsome people would be enough to carry the nation. How will this end? Hey, did anyone catch the ‘Breaking Bad’ finale?

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-09-30 08:34:17

Insane deficits and insane fiscal policy ALWAYS leads to war or revolution.

The debt has to get written off somehow, or the debtors have to be enslaved. If no better solutions are provided, that’s where you end up…

 
 
Comment by jose canusi
2013-09-30 06:01:15

How are the whores on the Hill and in the WH doing today?

Comment by Strawberrypicker
2013-09-30 07:09:47

They are doing well. They are essential employees. Won’t be furloughed (paid vacation).

Comment by oxide
2013-09-30 14:52:33

If history is any guide, all the employees should receive retroactive back pay whether they work or not. It’s the ones who ARE furloughed who get the paid vacation. Essential employees who aren’t furlough work for pay which is delayed.

 
 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 06:38:16

Suck ‘em in, shake ‘em down, spit ‘em out.

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 06:41:34

Beware the four horsemen of the apocalypse. And don’t forget to buy the dip in case they show up.

5:47 pm Sep 29, 2013
Markets
Signs Raise Threat of a Red October

By E.S. Browning
CONNECT

The stock market is in the doldrums, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average back at May levels. Little wonder.

In the coming month, markets face four huge tests: the Washington debt crisis, the release of September employment data, third-quarter earnings releases and the Federal Reserve’s next policy meeting.

All four of these horsemen could disrupt investments and some could tank the market. Money managers hope all will be nonevents and stocks will finish the year higher. But there are no guarantees. Many people are delaying decisions, with some betting on an October market dive. Optimists might use that as a chance to buy in cheaper.

“It wouldn’t surprise me that the headlines over the next three weeks are dramatic enough that you could get a selloff,” says Jason Trennert, founder of Strategas Research Partners in New York, who is urging clients to buy if stocks do decline.

 
Comment by azdude02
2013-09-30 06:42:56

wall street 101

they must throw a lot of money back to the money printers.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 06:51:28

How far are stocks allowed to drop before a circuit breaker kicks in?

Bulletin Dow industrials down 150 points at open as prospect of government shutdown looms »

5 market lessons from past government crises

Stocks slide as investors fret over impasse

Comment by azdude02
2013-09-30 08:33:32

“Notwithstanding its conservative investment portfolio, the central bank remains highly profitable because of its unique business model. Rather than paying for funding, it simply creates the money that it needs at no cost. The return on its investments, as a result, almost all flows directly to the bottom line.

Still, the model is not foolproof. The Fed could decide to undermine its own profitability if it concluded that the pace of inflation was increasing. Fed officials have said that they would respond to inflationary pressures through a combination of selling assets and raising short-term interest rates, which would have the effect of undercutting the value of those assets just as they were being sold. The Fed also could conclude that it needed to pay higher interest rates to banks that keep reserves on deposit with the central bank, to discourage withdrawals of that money. “

Comment by Bluestar
2013-09-30 09:11:54

The only inflation they watch is wage inflation. We haven’t had real wage inflation in over 30 years. Every other metric is just a mathematical adjustment which keep the official inflation numbers below 2%. Take housing for example. If you divide the (rising) square footage by the adjusted trade weighted dollar housing prices are stable!

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Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 17:31:46

“wage inflation”

Did you ever see the play Waiting for Godot?

 
 
 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-09-30 08:58:42

During the “crash” of 08-09 I recall it maxing out at about 500 points of drop per day.

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 17:36:02

Mr Market has turned into a real-life episode of “Breaking Bad!

Shutdown showdown: Breaking bad for stocks or a buying opportunity?
September 30, 2013, 9:34 AM

Who says markets don’t care about a shutdown? It’s looking ugly for Wall Street the Monday after a weekend that that took us pretty much in a circle as far as budget negotiations. And that means messy when it comes to debt-ceiling negotiations later in the month. It’s not like no one warned you of complacency.

But some out there say there may just be buying opportunities in that sea of red:

Redler explains that after the Fed surprised the world with a decision not to taper last month, the S&P 500 SPX broke above 1,709 and squeezed leftover shorts, probably making some of the under-invested chase gains. Then the market gave it back two days later, creating a “false breakout,” he says:

Technically this is a warning sign. So if you reduced risk there, you then have the luxury of ‘buying back’ into this volatility versus just holding through it.

“Buy aggressively…take advantage,” is what White Crane Group’s Clifford Bennett told CNBC, noting that the government may shut down for a day or two, but it will survive. And Blogger iBankCoin says (h/t @slangwise) any selloff caused by the political showdown is “pure fiction and should be bought.”

Others are not so sure. Or in the words of the beloved and feared and now off our screens, Walter White: “Tread lightly.”

“We’re 49% in cash right now and its ‘Breaking Bad’ on any S&P 500 close under 1,685,” says Hedgeye’s Keith McCullough, who says he has sat on the sidelines of recent dips — the first time this year — and he won’t be going back Monday either, given what he views is a downbeat outlook for U.S. growth.

 
 
Comment by azdude02
Comment by In Colorado
2013-09-30 07:30:46

I wonder what will happen with all those K-Mart properties? Most of them already look dilapidated. Will they become eyesores in cities from coast to coast?

There was an Albertson’s store that shut down in our little burg about 10 years ago. Its empty shell sometimes is used as a Halloween store and looks like it’s about to collapse.

Comment by azdude02
2013-09-30 07:57:43

miley will lay down her wrecking ball on the dated, dirty buildings.

the doors at kmart are being kept open so executives can suck off shareholder value, that’s it. u heard it hear first.

A local story hear was all the buzz of a new walmart super center opening a few miles down the road from another one.

Seems each city wants the sales tax revenue. so we have walmarts popping up just over the city lines.

 
 
Comment by scdave
2013-09-30 07:39:18

They are both toast….

 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-09-30 11:00:25

Hard to say. But I think JCP will fold first.

Comment by Carl Morris
2013-09-30 11:39:00

Speaking of which, I gotta hurry and make a big online order before they die. I went into the local store and everything I wanted wasn’t in stock.

Comment by United States of Moral Hazard
2013-09-30 13:42:13

One problem with their business model is you cannot get the same price in the store as online. I ordered some jeans online because they had a sale, then I took them back because they didn’t fit and to order a different size. They wanted to charge me more to order them in the store. I was completely perplexed, and told them to just give me the money and I would order from Macy’s, which I did.

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Comment by AbsoluteBeginner
2013-09-30 19:58:58

‘I ordered some jeans online because they had a sale, then I took them back because they didn’t fit and to order a different size. They wanted to charge me more to order them in the store.’

Wow, JCP does not have a clue how to sustain customer loyalty.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 20:13:02

not have a clue how to sustain customer loyalty.

How can “customer loyalty” be sustained in the face of the constant barrage and PR of “most efficient markets” and cheaper prices?

We’re supposed to be customer loyal to companies that adhere and promote such things? While at same time they cut wages in the same name of “most efficient markets”?

American style of Capitalism is eating itself alive. Just look around.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 20:34:54

‘American style of Capitalism is eating itself alive’

See Rio, you’re not a libertarian or Republican or a Democrat. You’re a socialist or a communist. Here’s a tip; capitalism is what gave this country the wealth that it has, and government is taking it away. Your confused political identity reminds me of the lines in the Kinks song:

‘Well I’m not the worlds most masculine man
But I know what I am and I’m glad I’m a man
And so is Lola
Lo-lo-lo-lo Lola’

BTW, people south and north of the US border are “Americans” too.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-10-01 09:50:51

See Rio, you’re not a libertarian or Republican or a Democrat. You’re a socialist or a communist.

I’m a capitalist that knows the best capitalism has to be regulated.

BTW, people south and north of the US border are “Americans” too

Not really just “Americans”. They are North Americans or South Americans.

The United States of America is the ONLY country that has the word America in it’s official name. Thus we are simply “Americans”.

 
 
 
 
Comment by NH Hick
2013-09-30 17:26:58

The decline of JCP and Sears just mirrors the decline of what is left of the middle class.

 
 
Comment by spook
2013-09-30 06:42:03

OT question for the smart white people:

Is there a test that can prove with 100% accuracy, that you contracted the HIV from a specific person?

The reason I ask is because of this article where a man is being sentenced for:

“the charge of maliciously inflicting grevious bodily harm, a charge which carries a maximum seven-year jail sentence.”

1. What if this woman was a ho, IV drug user…?

2. Would a George Zimmerman defense team be able to beat this charge?

3. Can you prove who you got it from with a blood test?

and,

4. How come its always a white woman in the news charging a blk male with infecting her with HIV and getting a conviction?

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 07:18:02

“Is there a test that can prove with 100% accuracy, that you contracted the HIV from a specific person?”

I had a black roommate in college whose girlfriend dumped him for allegedly causing her case of VD. Perhaps she knows about the test, though I long ago lost contact.

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 07:19:16

P.S. If recollection serves, it was HPV, not HIV, that led to the breakup.

 
 
Comment by polly
2013-09-30 08:20:29

You might be able to compare the exact DNA of the viruses and figure whether is it likely that one person infected the other, but I imagine the direction of the infection is harder to determine. Also, if there were only a few intervening people (A didn’t give it to D, but A gave it to B and B gave it to C and C gave it to D) it would be very hard to differentiate that from a direct transmition.

It would cost quite a bit to do the DNA testing.

You also could just call in Tom Lehrer (”I Got It From Agnes”).

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-09-30 09:05:05

1. What if this woman was a ho, IV drug user…?

I don’t know about the rest of it, but I think a good lawyer could create reasonable doubt right there.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2013-09-30 14:35:19

#4 its easy Spook…..those men hang out with strippers/ho’s and want it in the booty and shoot up more drugs then a lot more then us folks…..nothing racist about it, just simple mathematics…

So just the opposite is true want black women to get less aids then have sex with only white men, and the rate drops off a cliff, see Math works wonders.

 
 
Comment by spook
Comment by inchbyinch
2013-09-30 07:04:00

spook
Here’s a positive story for you.
In my networking group last Friday, a very attractive articulate black lady stood up for all us women in the room, and gave the men centric a-holes a run for their money. She was brilliant. She handed them their heads, and rightfully so.

Comment by rms
2013-09-30 07:33:36

FWIW, the women [are] the backbone of the black community.

Comment by spook
2013-09-30 07:41:39

Comment by rms
2013-09-30 07:33:36

FWIW, the women [are] the backbone of the black community.
———————————————————————

Maybe thats why the term “black community” is an oxymoron?

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Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 07:56:23

White men like De Blasio will make a woman out of most black women. Let the interracial breeding begin!

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2013-09-30 16:26:36

Spook:

My observation is black people are discriminated 10 times more, not based on color but because they can’t speak English.

 
 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-09-30 07:58:14

Hello Housing Donkey…….

 
 
Comment by (Neo-) Jetfixr
2013-09-30 09:32:03

“Massage therapist”

What’s the difference between purple and pink?

The grip……

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 06:47:58

It’s turning into a good day to own Treasurys, just in case you ignored all the advice to sell them during the four-month-long (May-June-July-August 2013) correction.

I guess Mr Market doesn’t put much stock in the scary rumors about a possible mid-October U.S. government debt default?

Sept. 30, 2013, 9:42 a.m. EDT
Treasurys edge up on budget gridlock
By Ben Eisen, MarketWatch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Budget negotiations in Washington that threaten to culminate in a midnight government shutdown continued to boost demand for U.S. government debt on Monday.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury 10_YEAR -0.46% price, which tends to gain as uncertain situations push investors out of risky assets, gained for a twelfth trading day in 14. The 10-year note yield, which moves inversely to price, fell 1.5 basis points to 2.611%.

The 5-year note (5_YEAR -0.78%) yield fell 1 basis point to 1.394%, while the 30-year bond (30_YEAR -0.16%) yield fell 1 basis point to 3.674%. Stocks on Wall Street opened sharply lower.

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 06:58:33

At least gold is doing relatively well — only down by 1% so far!

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 07:01:02

Sept. 30, 2013, 12:55 a.m. EDT
Gold perks up as U.S. government shutdown looms
By Shawn Langlois, MarketWatch

LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) — Gold’s appeal as a safe harbor should serve it well in the coming week as investors grapple with the prospect of a government shutdown and the stock-market drop that would likely accompany such a heavy dose of uncertainty.

On Monday, gold for December delivery (GCZ3 -1.01%) rose $1 to $1,340.20 an ounce in electronic trade, as investors had yet to run to the shelter of the precious metal even as futures on the Dow (YMZ3 -1.06%) and the (S&P ESZ3 -0.89%) were deep in the red.

Comment by azdude02
2013-09-30 08:04:29

i wonder how the people who bought at 1700 feel? Are they buy and hold investors?

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Comment by In Colorado
2013-09-30 10:02:56

i wonder how the people who bought at 1700 feel?

Probably not as good as the ones who bought at 500.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Combotechie
2013-09-30 06:56:53

“Never was so much owed by so many to so few.” - Winston Churchill.

He said this after the Battle of Britain, but it fits well with what is going on today with our country’s finances.

Comment by 2banana
2013-09-30 07:00:10

We could change that if we could even bigger and bigger government even more and more in debt…

 
Comment by United States of Moral Hazard
2013-09-30 14:01:59

“Never were so many owned by so few with so much.”

-United States of Moral Hazard

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2013-09-30 07:12:38

Advantage UK bubble?

—————–

UK Versus US Housing Markets: Advantage UK
Confounded Interest | 09/30/2013 | Anthony B. Sanders

The UK is seeing rising mortgage approvals and house prices. The US has flat mortgage purchase applications and slowing house price growth. Difference? UK has a noticeably larger labor force participation rate.

U.K. mortgage approvals rose to the highest in more than five years in August as the government prepares to accelerate a home-buying program that’s been criticized for potentially over-stimulating the market.

Lenders granted 62,226 mortgages, the most since February 2008, compared with a revised 60,914 the previous month, the Bank of England said in a monthly report in London today. Economists forecast that approvals would gain to 61,500 from an initially reported 60,624 in July, based on the median of 20 estimates in Bloomberg survey. The data also showed that business lending fell the most in eight months.

Hometrack said today U.K. house prices rose the most in more than six years this month amid a continued increase in demand. Prime Minister David Cameron brought forward the second phase of his “Help to Buy” program yesterday, saying it will start three months earlier than planned.

According to the Hometrack report, house prices in England and Wales rose 0.5 percent in September after a 0.4 percent gain in August. Annual price inflation accelerated to 2.4 percent. Prices rose in September in nine of 10 regions tracked by Hometrack. London led gains on the month, with a 0.8 percent increase.

Labor force participation? US is at 63.2% while the UK stands at 76.36%.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 07:15:42

Fed = PROGRESSIVES.

Now I finally get the Republitard beef with the Fed.

Janet Yellen’s love, George Will’s hate, catching up on Fed

September 30, 2013, 10:11 AM

With all the attention of the potential shutdown of the federal government, you might have missed two interesting articles over the weekend about the Federal Reserve.

First, Reuters has an interesting take on how Janet Yellen “found love” at a Federal Reserve luncheon in 1977, when she met fellow economist George Akerlof. During their marriage, Akerlof went on to win a Nobel prize in economics and credits Yellen for helping him win the prize.

Also over the weekend, conservative Washington columnist George Will wrote a fierce critique in the Washington Post about the Fed, highlighting once again how alienated Republicans feel about the Bernanke central bank.

Will quotes Rep. Kevin Brady of Texas, the chairman of the Joint Economic Committee, calling the Fed’s policy to keep interest rates low “monetary morphine.”

“The Fed has become the model of applied progressivism, under which power flows to clever regulators who operate independent of political control,” he concluded.

– Greg Robb

Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 07:27:26

The Fed has become the model of applied progressivism

The sad thing is Brady’s party is responsible for Fed getting more and more power after the bailout.

Same goes with NSA. It was the patriot act that enabled and encouraged NSA & CIA spy on Americans.

You rip what you sow, MOFO!

Comment by azdude02
2013-09-30 08:19:43
 
 
Comment by wittbelle
2013-09-30 11:35:51

George Will is an idiot. He claims the “Fed has become a creature of politics” and warns that, “…Congress…may not forever refrain from putting a bridle and snaffle on a Fed that increasingly allocates credit, wealth and opportunity…” because, through zero interest, it provides “cheap credit to big government’s partner, big business.” The #1 job of Congress is making sure that money keeps getting funneled to Wall Street. Why in the world would they want to make it stop? Political suicide, perhaps? What a wind bag.

 
 
Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 07:28:45

after the bailout = after the financial collapse

 
Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 07:38:47

If the government shuts down and no or few services were provided, do we still have to pay taxes?

Comment by 2banana
2013-09-30 08:07:20

The public unions say yes.

Comment by goon squad
2013-09-30 08:33:20

As do the contractors who suck $500,000,000,000+ a year from the taxpayer coffers. But at least we are “job creators”, right?

Comment by 2banana
2013-09-30 10:38:36

Your contract has been cancelled.

No hard feeling. No pensions to pay. Not even unemployment compensation to pay.

—————–

Government contractors brace for federal shutdown
The Washington Post - Marjorie Censer - 30 SEP 2013

Contractors said they assumed they would get little notice about whether their employees would go to work or not. And then, they would have to decide — on a contract by contract basis — what to do with those workers.

Workers must also make plans. At Unisys’s federal business, “there are opportunities for [employees] to do other things, possibly,” Davies said. “For many employees, they have vacation they can take, there’s some work-arounds we can do.”

In past shutdowns, federal employees have been reimbursed for time missed, said Alan Chvotkin, counsel at the Professional Services Council, an industry group. But contractors have not fared as well.

“Contractors have never been reimbursed,” Chvotkin said. A shutdown has been “just lost revenue, lost salary to those affected.”

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Comment by goon squad
2013-09-30 11:32:54

as i posted earlier, our contract is fully funded for fy14, so nothing is cancelled. and yes, we are still hiring. we have been short staffed for a while now, so the ‘burn rate’ of labor hours billed to uncle sugar is running well below what the contract allows.

you should meet some of the ‘rugged individualists’ i work with who are collecting a military pension, a lockheed pension, and a contractor pension. triple-dipper for the win, baby!

regards,

goon.squad.ctr@xxx.xxx.mil

 
Comment by goon squad
2013-09-30 11:34:51

contractor pension = contractor paycheck

if only i was born 40 years earlier i could have grown up to be a triple-dipper too, sigh…

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Bluestar
2013-09-30 07:45:06

Obama will cave on house budget and the debt ceiling. Remember his #1 promise in the 2012 election was to repeal the Bush tax cuts? Ha! In the end he made them permanent for 90% of the taxpayers. Every one of the tax hikes that did get passed were a fraction of the pre-election promise. He may let the government shut down for 24 hrs. just to blame the republicans in the hope that it will make good a good campaign slogan for the dems in 2014 but he has never held his ground and he always breaks his promises. He’s a spineless compromiser, always was, always will be.
I know it sounds crazy but everyone should short government bonds because when Obama gets the debt ceiling raised interest rates will spike because the market will see this as weakness.

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 07:52:17

I’d guess Obama would prefer to let the Republican Congressmen take the blame for a government shutdown than cave.

However, there is still some prospect for shutdown avoidance before midnight tonight in case a face-saving compromise can be reached; we’ll know in a little over 12 hours.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 07:54:20

“I know it sounds crazy but everyone should short government bonds because when Obama gets the debt ceiling raised interest rates will spike because the market will see this as weakness.”

1. You are forgetting to factor in the ‘no Octaper’ announcement which the Fed is likely to soon issue. This works towards lower interest rates.

2. Doesn’t raising the debt ceiling translate into lower default risk?

Comment by azdude02
2013-09-30 08:02:32

does the FED send the interest it collects on treasuries back to the US treasury where it is counted as revenue for the govt?

Comment by 2banana
2013-09-30 08:09:14

Amazingly - we sent the ENRON executives to jail for that kind of accounting.

Officials at the FED and the Treasury? They are lauded as heroes.

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Comment by azdude02
2013-09-30 08:28:42

if the FED is required by law to send back most of the interest it collects on treasuries back to the govt then whats all the talk about servicing the debt?

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/11/business/economy/fed-returns-77-billion-in-profits-to-treasury.html?_r=0

So if the FED returns the profits on treasuries back to the treasury isnt the govt essentially borrowing money for nothing from the FED?

I guess the only thing you have to worry about interest payments on are all the other people and countries that own debt.

The only negative I see is an increase in the money supply but most of it is sitting as bank reserves. anyone care to add their 2 cents on this topic?

 
 
 
Comment by Bluestar
2013-09-30 08:13:58

It’s reverse logic I know. But remember when we had the last debt ceiling fight and the treasuries got downgraded? What did the market actually do? Rates plunged on a downgrade! This time the reverse will happen because the long term plan of the super rich is to drive down bond prices till they are over 6% and then lock in 10-20 year long term interest income. The rich don’t care how big the public debt is. They can move their billions from country to country overnight and they pay cash for everything else.
Look at today’s action in the bond market, rates barely down at the opening then in 20 min. rates are up and prices are down. They know he’s bluffing.

Comment by azdude02
2013-09-30 09:22:14

“‘Why the Fed’s charter of course: “Under the Board’s policy, the residual earnings of each Federal
Reserve Bank, after providing for the costs of operations, payment of
dividends, and the amount necessary to equate surplus with capital
paid-in, are distributed to the U.S. Treasury.”

So the more treasuries that are bought the bigger the interest payments get?

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Comment by Bluestar
2013-09-30 09:59:31

The FEDs problem is they are stuffed with hundreds of billions of low quality mortgage debt. Right now due to the suspension of FASB rule 157 they can legally carry that debt at face value and not the pennies on the dollar it’s actually worth. Treasuries will crash if mark-to-market is re-instated.

http://www.markit.com/en/products/data/indices/structured-finance-indices/abx/abx-prices.page?

Just remember all those MBS were over 100 back in 2006.

 
 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 09:06:39

A government shutdown won’t shutdown Obamacare. Repubs are just “tarnishing” their brand.

As government shutdown looms, Obamacare exchanges still set for launch

http://www.politico.com/story/2013/09/as-shutdown-looms-obamacare-exchanges-still-set-for-launch-97510.html

It’s looking more and more like Tuesday will be a split-screen day: The government will shut down, and Obamacare will open for business.

That’s going to annoy a lot of Republicans because the ones who are pushing the shutdown are doing so precisely because they want to halt Obamacare….

….How can Obamacare still be open for business if the government shuts down?

Many pieces of the health care law, the Affordable Care Act, aren’t tied to the annual spending bills. Much of the health law is mandatory spending — a kind of fiscal autopilot that’s not part of the annual appropriations battle that has Congress tied in knots. The mandatory components of the health law include the subsidies to help people buy private health plans as well as the expansion of Medicaid in many states. Both of those functions will be handled through the new health insurance markets or exchanges.

Because those programs are mandatory, the Department of Health and Human Services has a lot of leeway to say whether Obamacare activities can continue — and HHS officials have made clear they’re going to use it.

On Friday, the HHS quietly posted its shutdown contingency plan. The bottom line is clear: Obamacare would continue, including the health exchanges and their coordination with Medicaid. It also said Medicare coverage “will continue largely without disruption.” True, lots of HHS workers would be furloughed — but those who would be told to stay home are concentrated in agencies that are not driving the launch of the health law.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-09-30 11:04:13

As a self-employed person with insurance in name only, I’m looking forward to getting on a better plan. Not that I’m a frequent flyer at the doctor’s office, but you never know…

Comment by United States of Moral Hazard
2013-09-30 18:12:32

My insurance is of the old west variety- if I get real sick, I’m dead.

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Comment by MightyMike
2013-09-30 18:30:15

That’s true of everone. Eventually, each of us will get sick in a way that no doctor can do anything about. Death will follow.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 19:31:50

Eventually, each of us will get sick in a way that no doctor can do anything about. Death will follow.

Death will probably follow after about 100K in end of life bills. That’s why everyone needs health insurance as our system stands. So they won’t be a dead-beat cost on the rest of us. That’s the whole reason for the mandate.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 08:13:38

OT,

I am visiting LA next week. I am staying at a hotel next to LAX. Later part of the week I hope to have some time to roam around the city. This time I am not planning to rent a car and would like test the LA Metro. My question is, will the Metro get me to the beaches and possibly to one or two movie studios (Burbank??) with a reasonable cost and hassle?

Comment by Bluestar
2013-09-30 08:17:48

Pick up a copy of Rosetta Stone so you can learn the native language and ask directions.

Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 08:23:42

Donde esta la biblioteca?

I think I have it covered.

Comment by azdude02
2013-09-30 08:30:22

find someone at home depot to drive you around.

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Comment by Suite Joey Blue Eyes
2013-09-30 09:24:02

^^ This is the credited answer.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2013-09-30 10:00:29

Pick up a copy of Rosetta Stone so you can learn the native language and ask directions.

We have some friends in San Marcos, CA. She had a p/t job as a playground monitor (no bennies, minimum wage) at a nearby public school. One day, as recess was ending, she was approached by a pair of parents, recent transplants from New Jersey, who remarked: “Thank God! You speak English!” Our friend was the only monitor that day who spoke English.

Comment by 2banana
2013-09-30 10:25:26

We have some friends in San Marcos, CA. She had a p/t job as a playground monitor (no bennies, minimum wage) at a nearby public school. One day, as recess was ending, she was approached by a pair of parents, recent transplants from New Jersey, who remarked: “Thank God! You speak English!” Our friend was the only monitor that day who spoke English.

The irony?

When I visit Central America or even Puerto Rico - nearly everyone speaks some English. Even in the boonies. They try. I try. We make it work.

The only places I have ever met people who speak Spanish and understand NO English? Won’t even try? Miami and LA.

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Comment by United States of Moral Hazard
2013-09-30 18:14:45

It’s because we get the wretched refuse from Mexico- the uneducated who are unemployable in their homeland and often even have a hard time with their native tongue. That’s what the Republicans like.

 
 
Comment by ahansen
2013-10-01 00:36:05

I went to traffic court in Arvin (outside of Bakersplat) and had to have a court translator so I could speak to the judge. Truth.

YO SOY EL ARMY!

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Comment by HBB_Rocks
2013-09-30 08:51:43

Sort of Green line (near LAX) goes to Redondo, which is an ok pier. The most popular beach near LA is Santa Monica. I think you have to take a bus to get there.

To get to the studio area, take Green to Blue to Red.

http://media.metro.net/riding_metro/maps/images/rail_map.pdf

Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-09-30 11:06:51

If you’re close to the beach, find a bicycle and ride the beach path. You can go all the way down to Redondo.

 
 
Comment by Interested Observer
2013-09-30 09:10:38

Perhaps this will help.

http://www.metro.net/riding/maps/

 
Comment by inchbyinch
2013-09-30 10:24:48

I’m a frequent LA Metro user. You can get to Universal Studios using the RedLine (actually a subway stop). Burbank would not be a direct subway ride, but getting off in North Hollywood and taking a few bus would probably possibly work. North Hollywood & Burbank are neighboring cities. The studios in Burbank aren’t as interesting as the Universal Tour. They are much smaller. I grew up in that area.

If you want help planning your trip, and have lots of questions, call Metro’s customer service and tell them you are going to be a visitor and they’ll be gracious. They can be of great service.

The subway system is well policed, relatively new, and a day pass is $5 + a $1 for the tap card, which you load using the machines. You can buy the tab card at the machines as well. I believe they have a weekly pass as well.Cabs are pricey here.

The Metro subway and buses run frequently throughout the week, but spread out a tad during the weekend.

LAX and Santa Monica beach aren’t as Metro friendly yet (subway), but buses compliment them.

If you want to walk the stars walk on Hollywood Blvd, take the RedLine to Hollywood & Highland. These is so much to see, and the subway station is below a beautiful new shopping complex, next to the Grauman’s Chinese Theatre. Hollywood is a redevelopment stage.

Welcome to Los Angeles.

Comment by inchbyinch
2013-09-30 10:39:00

Added:
I think Warner Bros Studios still has a tour, but the hassle getting there (for not much) isn’t worth it. As corny as the Universal Tour is, you do see a lot of stuff, like famous street settings used for decades, sound stages, and of course City Walk is a great shopping area to stretch your legs, and the food is GOOD.

LA Metro is a great way to get around. We use it all the time, and avoid the parking lots a.k.a the freeways.

Lots of land whales in So Ca. Don’t expect all beautiful people.

 
Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 10:45:15

Thank you all.

Hollywood and Beverley Hills, I will miss them this time. Have done those before and GF will not be with me, so I see no point in going there. I want to try the beaches as I will have only 2 afternoons and evenings to myself. Just saw a meetup for pickup volleyball near Redondo beach…I might just go there if it’s feasible. Thank you fore suggesting the Universal..I will check that out.

Comment by inchbyinch
2013-09-30 15:00:47

Beverly Hills - You must have a high maintenance GF.

Redondo Beach is cheesy, imho.
At least Santa Monica is clean, hip, and educated overall. It costs some bucks to live there. See if there is anything of interest in SM. I bet you could subway it
and then hop a bus or two.

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Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 17:49:20

Not really but she spends money on clothes and other “fine things” as she puts it. She spends what she spends so I shouldn’t complain much anyway.

 
Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 17:50:30

Not really but she spends money on clothes and other “fine things” as she puts it. She spends what she earns so I shouldn’t complain much anyway.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Bubbabear
2013-09-30 08:45:19

9-30 August New (Builder) Home Sales…”Misreporting”, the theme of the month

The divergence between the depression level weakness in New Home Sales volume and sentiment, consensus opinion, Existing Sales volume, and especially last year’s consensus estimates of 500k to 600k is absolutely shocking. This is more evidence we have come full-circle and now believe that 2007 to 2010 was the anomaly in the sector and housing can’t go down. At least the builder stock prices are seeing through the macro euphoric sentiment fog. Instead of emotion and anecdotes, look at the data; the data are the data, plain and simple.

http://mhanson.com/archives/1497

Comment by azdude02
2013-09-30 08:57:01

“Noted economist Milton Friedman’s economic analysis of that time period pointed out that the prevailing investor attitude of the 1940s was that equities were so artificially supported it would all end badly, an attitude he attributed to preventing the emergence of a new secular bull market.”

http://seekingalpha.com/article/1321721-heres-what-happened-the-last-time-the-fed-owned-all-outstanding-treasuries

 
 
Comment by Bubbabear
2013-09-30 08:57:10

The Economy is Terminal-Greg Mannarino
——————-
Trader/analyst Gregory Mannarino says the financial crash of 2008 was “the party over moment.” Mannarino goes on to say, “The financial system, as it had been run from its inception, literally ended at that moment . . . what we have now is a side effect that is terminal, and I am referring to the economy.”

http://usawatchdog.com/the-economy-is-terminal-greg-mannarino/

 
Comment by Neuromance
2013-09-30 09:03:08

I discovered an interesting disconnect recently:

The FIRE sector is the biggest contributor to federal politicians (and almost certainly local politicians):

• 2013-2014 political giving totals: http://www.opensecrets.org/industries/
• Top all time donors 1989-2012: http://www.opensecrets.org/orgs/list.php (NAR plus GS easily takes the stop spot).

We are told by the media and politicians that the FIRE sector is the cornerstone of the economy. And not rescuing it would have caused economic armageddon.

Here’s the disconnect: If the FIRE sector really is the cornerstone of the economy, why do they contribute so much to politicians? If they really were that important, the contributions would be unnecessary. FIRE sector is not going to voluntarily part with any money. They must therefore see the contributions as an essential investment, to cement their position as the Most Important Constituent.

The military-industrial complex was identified by Eisenhower. The newer, more powerful, more damaging complex is the financial-political complex.

Comment by 2banana
2013-09-30 10:51:44

7 out the top 10 for the “top all time donors 1989-2012″ are UNIONS.

So which organizations are really the worst in manipulating elections?

And PS - unions support democrats 99-1.

ATT and Goldman Sachs? About 50/50.

No wonder we can never have campaign fiance reform

One party receives the bulk of all the top 10 donations.

 
Comment by WT Economist
2013-09-30 11:56:23

“The FIRE sector is the biggest contributor to federal politicians (and almost certainly local politicians):”

Finance and the rich control Washington. Public employee unions, contractors and real estate interests control state and local goverment.

 
 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 09:08:41

Someone pointed out this little fact to me this weekend:

‘As part of the Affordable Care Act, the new Health Insurance Marketplace (or “Exchange”) opens for business on Oct. 1, 2013…Regardless of where you live, all plans in the Marketplace are separated into four “metallic” levels – Bronze, Silver, Gold and Platinum – based on how you and the plan can expect to share your health care costs.’

‘Your share of the costs of a health care service is called coinsurance. Typically, this is figured as a fixed percentage of the total charge for a service, such as 15% or 30%. Coinsurance kicks in after you’ve met your deductible…On average, a Bronze plan will cover 60% of covered medical expenses, and your share will be the remaining 40%.’

So people who don’t have a lot of extra money around will probably be in the bronze plan. And these people will have to pay 40% after the deductible, right? So if they need a $25,000 surgery, their co-pay will be $10,000. Heck, we don’t even expect people that snap up houses to have that kind of money.

Comment by azdude02
2013-09-30 09:17:47

get your checkbook ready. first year is 95.00. you will have to drink less beer or pick up one more foreclosure.

Comment by goon squad
2013-09-30 11:48:58

Calendar year 2014 the penalty for individuals is the greater of $95 or 1% of taxable income.

 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 09:27:26

So if they need a $25,000 surgery, their co-pay will be $10,000.

No. The health law sets exchange enrollees’ maximum annual out-of-pocket costs at $6,350. That’s way less than most bare-bones plans require today.

Plus the Obamacare Bronze plan offers much better coverage than the BS, high-deductible bare-bones “plans” being offered today.

Most all cheaper plans under Obamacare offer much better protection and value than is offered today.

Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 09:54:56

Let me re-state it:

So if they need a $25,000 surgery, their co-pay will be $6,350. Heck, we don’t even expect people that snap up houses to have that kind of money. And who pays the $3,650?

Comment by Professorlocknload
2013-09-30 13:13:57

“And who pays the $3,650?”

Need one ask?

As with all the other freebee schemes, the majority of supporters plan on letting the other guy pay their way. Then, after the enactment, and they get the bill, they will stand there and exclaim “But I thought it was free?”

The devil’s in the details, as with any .gov program. In the end, the taxpayer (middle class) will pick up the co-pay, either directly or by way of ever increasing premiums. Just as the taxpayer will pick up the premiums of the public employee sector as well, including the massive ACA bureaucracy now being built. Imagine the decision making responsibilities of cost efficient medical procedures hailing from the same entity that decides economic policy?

Nothing is free, unless of course the legislature forces doctors to work for nothing. Or it grants IRS agents medical degrees, claiming “why not, we would have paid them just to sit there anyway.”

In short, what we have here is nothing more than Stage One of a massive redistribution scheme. After it is nationalized in a few years, 10 years out, based on 10-30 year financing of this boondoggle, it will begin to resemble the broke NHS type schemes of bankrupt Europe. As the longer term financing comes due, it will implode.

This is socialized medicine, administered by bureaucrats. The insurance industry is just a conduit being used as a facade to make it appear “market based.” The selling of this mess was a triumph in bipartisan political science. The only loser here will be the middle class, as always.

But, assuredly, our system will be run as efficiently as the fully funded future Social Security obligations, right?

Might want to hedge, just in case.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 14:01:28

“And who pays the $3,650?”
the majority of supporters plan on letting the other guy pay their way.

Totally untrue. Their are millions chomping at the bit right now to buy ObamaCare insurance - to buy it.

(middle class) will pick up the co-pay, either directly or by way of ever increasing premiums.

Uhhh. This is how health insurance works and has functioned for 70 years. If you don’t like that then fight for single-payer. But you won’t. Many like to have it both-ways.

“But I thought it was free?”

No. How can they think it’s free when they are lining up to BUY it with their? That makes no sense.

what we have here is nothing more than Stage One of a massive redistribution scheme.

From citizens to private insurance companies and private medical companies, private doctors and private hospitals? What’s not to like?

The only loser here will be the middle class,

No way. In total, the middle class and some of the poor are the big winners. ObamaCare will limit their yearly out of pocket expense and provide insurance much better than much available now. The middle-class now can’t get kicked off they insurance, and sick middle-class will have access to healthcare and medical induced BK’s will slow. What’s not to like?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 14:18:54

Correction:

How can they think (ObamaCare is) free when they are lining up to BUY it with their hard earned money?

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 14:19:27

‘Their are millions chomping at the bit right now to buy ObamaCare insurance’

‘One day away from the launch of the Obamacare marketplaces, the question most on the minds people visiting the Healthcare.gov website is not about coverage, but rather about avoiding the penalty, or tax, for not having health insurance.’

This is gonna be like the great pumpkin. I don’t think I’ll be able to sleep tonight waiting to become civilized and start thriving tomorrow morning.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 14:36:27

I don’t think I’ll be able to sleep tonight waiting to become civilized and start thriving tomorrow morning.

You really don’t seem to know much about the law as you didn’t know about the max yearly out-of-pocket and seem unaware that insurance will start Jan 1 2014 and not tomorrow.

I think if you knew the law and thought about it objectively, it would seem much more civilized than you are giving it credit for.

And it does fit the definition of “civilized” as no one can dispute.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 14:41:36

about avoiding the penalty, or tax, for not having health insurance.’

I’m not surprised. The GOP Deadbeat Frees#!t Hypocrite Army is huge. And they’ve been fired up by their wackjob “leaders” to sabotage the law.

And they’ve outspend the government about 5 yo 1 on misleading ads and false propaganda. The lying foaming at the mouth by the GOP is a sight to see.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 14:47:49

‘insurance will start Jan 1 2014 and not tomorrow’

What?

But I’m chomping at the bit! You mean I have to wait? I ordered a harpsichord and everything. I was going to play along with classical music on NPR all day tomorrow.

But you’re right about not knowing much about this law. All I do know is that it’s gonna be free, I can keep a doctor I don’t have, and I get a cell phone.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 15:10:52

All I do know is that it’s gonna be free, I can keep a doctor I don’t have, and I get a cell phone.

But that’s what a lot of people ignorant of the law really do think.

The far-right has outspend the government about 5 to 1 on misleading ads and false propaganda on ObamaCare.

 
Comment by Michael Viking
2013-09-30 21:00:58

Their are millions chomping at the bit right now

I’d expect somebody like you (always on their high horse about knowledge, education, etc. along with pointing out spelling and grammar flaws in others) to spell it ‘champing’. The horse doesn’t actually eat the bit.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 22:17:39

‘The horse doesn’t actually eat the bit’

Yeah, but I’ve got this harpsichord and I want to celebrate Obamacare and thrive and be civilized. Please don’t let the “far right” spoil my little party tomorrow!

 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 09:55:10

A lot of Republicans are comparing the current costs of Junk Health Insurance premiums with Obamacare, but That is comparing apples to oranges.

Obamacare is actually pretty damn good coverage. (Especially if one needs healthcare) Here’s an article about junk insurance - how bad it is, and how huge Corporations are still lobbying to offer it even with Obamacare. One lady faced death or a 30K hospital bill. With Obamacare she would face an out of pocket of 6.3K and life.

Junk health insurance
Stingy plans may be worse than none at all

Consumer Reports magazine: March 2012

http://www.consumerreports.org/cro/magazine/2012/03/junk-health-insurance/index.htm

……..Judith Goss, 48, of Macomb, Mich., believed that the Cigna plan she obtained through her job at the Talbots retail chain was “some type of insurance that would cover something.” When the store she worked at closed in January 2011, she even paid $65 a month to keep the coverage through COBRA.

“I was aware that it wasn’t a great plan, but I wasn’t concerned because I wasn’t sick,” she says. But in July 2011 she was diagnosed with breast cancer, at which point the policy’s annual limits of $1,000 a year for outpatient treatment and $2,000 for hospitalization became a huge problem. Facing a $30,000 hospital bill, she delayed treatment. “Finally my surgeon said, ‘Judy, you can’t wait anymore.’ While I was waiting my tumor became larger. It was 3 centimeters when they found it and 9 centimeters when they took it out.” After a double mastectomy, radiation treatments, and reconstructive surgery, Goss is taking the drug tamoxifen to prevent recurrence.

The Talbots Cigna Starbridge plan is one of many similar mini-med insurance products aimed at workers in industries such as retail, food service, and temporary staffing agencies. Their hallmark is extremely limited benefits, often, as with the Talbots plan, no more than a few thousand dollars a year

Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 10:07:49

The other thing about ObamaCare vs no insurance at all is the bargaining power of its large group.

Example:
With no insurance, a heart operation might cost a person 100K

With Obamacare’s Bronze plan, the bargaining power might bring that heart operation down to 30K.

So a person with no insurance would face a 100K cost.

A person with Obamacare would face his 6.3K deductible cost.

The person without insurance facing a 100K bill might delay and might die.

The person with Obamacare would face a bill of 6.3K, would probably not delay and would probably live.

ObamaCare is an example of a country becoming more civilized.

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Comment by 2banana
2013-09-30 10:55:47

ObamaCare is an example of a country becoming more civilized.

And there it is.

Only bigger and bigger government with higher and higher taxes and more and more regulations can do that.

Imagine what Chicago and Detroit and Newark and Camden and etc. will look like in 10 years. Compare/contrast to 50 years ago.

I am sure glad they are all getting some “civilized” going for them…

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 11:35:37

ObamaCare is an example of a country becoming more civilized.

And there it is.

Yes there it is. Right there. Snap.

If you think not, then please make a rational argument that ObamaCare does not make America more civilized as per “civilized definition of “moral and intellectual advancement; humane ethical, and reasonable:”

civ·i·lized (sv-lzd) adj.
2. Showing evidence of moral and intellectual advancement; humane, ethical, and reasonable:

civ•i•li•za•tion (ˌsɪv ə ləˈzeɪ ʃən) n.
1. an advanced state of human society, in which a high level of culture, science, and government has been reached……

…….7. modern comforts and conveniences, as made possible by science and technology.

 
Comment by Beer and Cigar Guy
2013-09-30 11:44:57

“ObamaCare is an example of a country becoming more civilized.”

Spoken with all the the fervor and dewey-eyes of a true believer who has drank deeply from the magic KoolAide.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 11:56:12

Spoken with all the the fervor and dewey-eyes of a true believer who has drank deeply from the magic KoolAide.

Written (not spoken) with all the brain-washed “fervor” and dull-eyes of a narrow-minded believer who has drank deeply from AM-radio mind-numbing and lying propaganda.

(There. Mine’s better)

 
Comment by mathguy
2013-09-30 15:19:00

Rio,

The ACA could be great. Just like Social Security or medicare could be great. The (main) problem with these programs is not the programs themselves, or even the idea of the programs. However, show me *one* of these programs that don’t allow their funding to be co-mingled with general funds.

In every case, the money and therefore power entrusted to the program is allowed to remain under general financial control of the federal government. The money is then “borrowed” for war, pork barrel spending, and other regulatory programs. A crisis in the funding of the program then materializes and since we are now reliant on that program, “taxes must increase” to “save” it.

Again, ACA could be great, but first we should address the 15 TRILLION dollar deficit this country faces. If ACA is “worth it”, we should be willing to find the sacrifices in the rest of the budget to pay for it. If it’s “worth it”, it’s worth doing it with sustainable funding.

I am against ACA for this reason. I hope people don’t claim I am racist and against Obama because he is black, or against poor people because they need health care. But if they do that is their problem not mine. All I can continue to point out is that countries who have overspent and over printed and overinflated their currencies have tended to fall apart spectacularly. Having the US fall apart in a spectacular fashion would not be good for ANY of the world, especially for citizens of this country.

I would love to support you in your push for a more “civilized” society that increases the level of care for the poorest of its citizens. I wish you could see that the finances of the nation should first be made sound before we attempt that task. I also wish that you wouldn’t discount the opinion of those who are working hard and being taxed at combined 50% rates. 28% fed + 15% SS(worker + company match) + 10% state + 1% ACA + sales taxes, auto registration and license tax, gas tax, utility taxes.. the list goes on.

We rail against large companies and their monopolies, yet no single entity gets a larger percentage of the working person’s income than federal government. And no other entity has the legal ability to take more as you make more, and legally, at risk of incarceration, at the point of a gun. Perhaps we should consider de-monopolizing government.

 
Comment by azdude02
2013-09-30 15:34:19

if it were a civilized country they wouldn’t be letting these hospitals and doctors gouge people out of their life savings.

This law did nothing to address the real problem with healthcare, its gotten too exspensive.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 15:38:50

Again, ACA could be great, but first we should address the 15 TRILLION dollar deficit this country faces. If ACA is “worth it”, we should be willing to find the sacrifices in the rest of the budget to pay for it.

Maybe, but much or most of the ACA is funded by people paying premiums that insurance companies have deemed profitable for them. It is not at all a strictly tax funded program. And if it does lessen the rise in the rate of increase in healthcare costs, it will lower it in Medicare as well. This will help the deficit. Many studies have shown ObamaCare will reduce the rate of growth in the deficit therefor if true, it fits your goals:

CBO: Repealing Obama healthcare law will increase budget deficit The Hill dot com

I’m a pragmatist and realize life is shorter than government policies. IMO, addressing the 15 trillion dollar deficit (debt) is not politically possible at this time due to the declining tax revenue from rich and rich corporations along with extreme military spending and both entities’ power and lobbying. BUT, life goes on and people are dying and living crappy lives for lack of health care as we speak.

We’ve had decades of deficit spending - decades longer than many people’s lives. Many lives have been lost during these decades do to lack of health care - and in the richest country in the world. And the ONLY modern country without universal health-care. America was the backward outlier. We were at the breaking point.

I agree with your concepts but not your sequence of events from a humanitarian and a political point of view.

I also wish that you wouldn’t discount the opinion of those who are working hard and being taxed at combined 50% rates.

I don’t discount them. I was one in America. However, if those paying 50% taxes would join me in my opinion that the very rich are getting off lightly, then maybe the political will would be there to not allow someone making 10 million dollars a year to pay a 16% effective tax rate while putting the burden on you and others in the middle class.

That is flat-out un-American and flies in the face of American history, traditions and wishes.

 
Comment by mathguy
2013-09-30 15:49:41

Rio,

Once again,

“If ACA is “worth it”, we should be willing to find the sacrifices in the rest of the budget to pay for it.”

I haven’t seen a single politician, democrat or republican, stand up and say “we will balance the budget to make this happen”.

That would be some real leadership, some real conviction. That isn’t what the ACA is. The ACA, especially in it’s current form, is another power grab and special interest giveaway.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 15:52:23

‘join me in my opinion that the very rich are getting off lightly’

Well Johnny grab your gun and get to confiscatin’! Oh, you don’t have the nerve to do that, right Robin Hood? You want some government thug to do that for you. How mighty an American you are.

If you can hear me up there on your high horse, why didn’t you and your “libertarian” buddies propose to take the rich people’s money and buy health insurance for poor people? Couldn’t get that passed, huh? Why didn’t you pass single payer? Didn’t have the votes, did ya? So these idiots in DC come up with this half-assed plan that has no way of working and will sock working people the hardest, and you have the gall to prance around like you are helping people! Please.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 15:55:20

if it were a civilized country they wouldn’t be letting these hospitals and doctors gouge people out of their life savings.

I agree but if we buy it, ObamaCare allows only a maximum $6,350 per year in out of pocket costs.

It’s still a lot of money but way more civilized that hitting someone with a 200K bill if one is uninsured and unable to get insurance for a pre-existing condition.

This law did nothing to address the real problem with healthcare,

It did. It allowed interstate competition between insurance companies. Now that their competition has increased (we hope) they will use market forces and massive numbers to bargain health-care with lower prices. Why? The profit-for-themselves motive.

Remember: ObamaCare was a Republican concept well before Obama ran with it.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 15:59:03

and you have the gall to prance around like you are helping people! Please.

ObamaCare will help millions. Now that’s a fact.

Well Johnny grab your gun and get to confiscatin

America has had taxes since the Constitution was ratified. It’s a price paid for civilization.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-09-30 16:01:17

Why didn’t you pass single payer? Didn’t have the votes, did ya?

They traded it away without even trying. So quickly I don’t think they even wanted it. Which makes me suspect the fix was already in for the insurance companies at that early point in the process.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 16:03:48

So these idiots in DC come up with this half-assed plan invented by the ultra-conservative Heritage Foundation as a Republican plan, and first implemented successfully by Republican Mitt Romney. Republicans dissing their own plan for political reasons is typical of a Repub Party that has gone bats#!t crazy.

Obamacare was/is the invention of the hard right.It was born in the Heritage Foundation in the early 1990′s as an alternative to single payer, should the establishment ever be threatened by single payer. the Republicans introduced it as a bill in 1993. Bob Dole ran on Obamacare in 1996 and Mitt enacted it in Mass. in the early 2000′s.
firedoglake dot com

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 16:07:47

grab your gun and get to confiscatin’! Oh, you don’t have the nerve to do that,

Is this a trick question? I’m gonna take a gun, rob someone of a few grand and send it as a check to “fund” Obamacare?

How mighty an American you are.

But if I did that, I’d be a “mighty American”?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 16:20:58

I haven’t seen a single politician, democrat or republican, stand up and say “we will balance the budget to make (ObamaCare) happen”.

I did partially, because it happened, and was rebuffed by the Repubs. Most ALL Democrats including Obama tried to repeal TheBushTaxCutsForTheRich at the same time they were passing ObamaCare. This would have gone a long way to “balancing the budget”.

So in effect, Democrats were coming much closer to what you envision than the Repubs allowed them to do. Repubs did not want a balanced budget nor health-care for millions.

This is why health-care for millions could not wait anymore for a political balanced budget that was pie-in-the-sky fantasy.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 16:37:56

I haven’t seen a single politician, democrat or republican, stand up and say “we will balance the budget to make (ObamaCare) happen”.

Come to think of it, the handfull of Dems fighting for single-payer were doing exactly that.

We currently pay about 18% of GDP on healthcare

Countries with single-payer pay about 11-13% of their GDP on health-care.

Those handful of Democrats were for single-payer, AND eliminating TheBushTaxCutsForTheRich AND for some cuts to the military.

If you add all three of those together, the deficit might have been eliminated and we’d be on a path to debt reduction.

So there it is. There were politicians effectively doing exactly what you envisioned on eliminating the deficit.

And they were all Democrats. Go figure.

 
Comment by MightyMike
2013-09-30 18:28:25

Rio,

The ACA could be great. Just like Social Security or medicare could be great. The (main) problem with these programs is not the programs themselves, or even the idea of the programs. However, show me *one* of these programs that don’t allow their funding to be co-mingled with general funds.

In every case, the money and therefore power entrusted to the program is allowed to remain under general financial control of the federal government. The money is then “borrowed” for war, pork barrel spending, and other regulatory programs. A crisis in the funding of the program then materializes and since we are now reliant on that program, “taxes must increase” to “save” it.

Again, ACA could be great, but first we should address the 15 TRILLION dollar deficit this country faces. If ACA is “worth it”, we should be willing to find the sacrifices in the rest of the budget to pay for it. If it’s “worth it”, it’s worth doing it with sustainable funding.

I am against ACA for this reason. I hope people don’t claim I am racist and against Obama because he is black, or against poor people because they need health care. But if they do that is their problem not mine. All I can continue to point out is that countries who have overspent and over printed and overinflated their currencies have tended to fall apart spectacularly. Having the US fall apart in a spectacular fashion would not be good for ANY of the world, especially for citizens of this country.

I would love to support you in your push for a more “civilized” society that increases the level of care for the poorest of its citizens. I wish you could see that the finances of the nation should first be made sound before we attempt that task. I also wish that you wouldn’t discount the opinion of those who are working hard and being taxed at combined 50% rates. 28% fed + 15% SS(worker + company match) + 10% state + 1% ACA + sales taxes, auto registration and license tax, gas tax, utility taxes.. the list goes on.

What are you concerned that someone would call you a racist based on that statement?

 
Comment by mathguy
2013-09-30 18:38:19

Everyone “says” they want a balanced budget. What actions did they take to balance the budget BEFORE trying to pass ACA? None. I could say farting elephants out my ass will balance the budget, doesn’t make it so. Stop idolizing democrats. I have no love for republicans, but NEITHER of them is serious about balancing the budget.

 
Comment by mathguy
2013-09-30 18:40:58

“What are you concerned that someone would call you a racist based on that statement?”

The general go to statement for anyone against ACA is that they are racist and hate the poor. Please think of the children, Ok?

 
Comment by Strawberrypicker
2013-09-30 19:23:48

Will Rio be furloughed tomorrow ?

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 19:38:19

Everyone “says” they want a balanced budget.

B.S.

I just gave you concrete examples of Democrats who had real ideas to “balance the budget” and they pushed for them in the face of an iron Repub door slammed against them.

Those Dems pushed for Single-payer with ending of BushTaxCutsForTheRich plus military cuts. This is fact.

That would do it. That you won’t accept that fact is a tribute to dogma above mathematics.

Yea. You’re right. You’d get “farting elephants out your a$$” before any Repub would be serious to “balance the budget”.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 19:41:10

Will Rio be furloughed tomorrow ?

Why would I? I’m the “boot-strapping” self-employed, independent, capitalist business owner on two continents and two languages.

I don’t worry about me or mine. I worry about America.

 
Comment by MightyMike
2013-09-30 19:48:44

The general go to statement for anyone against ACA is that they are racist and hate the poor. Please think of the children, Ok?

I’ve never heard anyone anywhere call an opponent of the ACA a racist. Where have you heard it?

 
Comment by Strawberrypicker
2013-09-30 20:29:23

Which boot strapping self employing government agency does Rio work for, if he works at all? Too many posts to be doing anything gainful.

 
Comment by HBB_Rocks
2013-10-01 08:59:45

The same one HA works for.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-09-30 11:08:41

So people who don’t have a lot of extra money around will probably be in the bronze plan. And these people will have to pay 40% after the deductible, right? So if they need a $25,000 surgery, their co-pay will be $10,000. Heck, we don’t even expect people that snap up houses to have that kind of money.

In essence, this is what has happened in MA. People buy what they can afford, the Romneycare equivalent of bronze insurance doesn’t cover that much, and hello, welcome to medical bankruptcy.

 
 
Comment by (Neo-) Jetfixr
2013-09-30 09:29:19

For the education and entertainment of the HBB audience

(Neo-) Jetfixr’s review of the TV show “Airplane Repo”

Almost all of my relatives who aren’t in the airplane business have been asking me “Have you seen Airplane Repo?”

Yes, I have seen a few episodes. The first ones following the guy out of Gary, Indiana. Other than some over-dramatazation of a few things, it is reasonably accurate……mainly by illustrating that having your documents in line are just as important as getting access to the airplane.

(Like the “oil on top of the Learjet’s wings”……anyone who has ever worked on TFE731 engines for more than a couple of weeks knows, they have a vent valve in the gearbox that have a tendancy to leak, if the engine isn’t run every few days. Makes a big-azz mess. Doesn’t hurt anything. Just make sure the engine gets run once a week, or call a TFE 731 shop to fix it (if the airplane flies frequently, as most of them due, you will never see the problem), or just motor the engine over with the starter to pump the oil back into the engine, and put a quart or two of oil in it).

OTOH, they seem to have decided to replace this guy, with a couple of goombahs out of (where else?), Texas. There is so much wrong with what is happening, I can’t force myself to watch a full episode.

(Of course, as I’ve noted before, maybe things are actually this fooked up in Texas.)

For starters…….I’d sure like to know what the FAA and TSA thinks about their performance, like cutting locks on hangar doors (assuming of course, that it isn’t complete bullchit, and is scripted in cooperation with the local cops).

All I know is that if some goofy bastard showed up at my hangar with some tattooed biker/meth-head looking dude, and started asking questions…….the airport cops are on my speed-dial. They would LOVE to meet up with these guys.

I also loved how one one episode, they started asking a mechanic questions about a Citation V, which (conveniently) had the N-number covered with paper. There is absolutely no reason for a mechanic to cover up an N-number like that.

I also like how they (supposedly) tow a bunch of aircraft out of a hangar, to get to the one they want. If they moved my airplane, I’d sue their azz off, just on General Principal. I’d hit them with screwing up my nose gear steering unit, and make them “prove” they didn’t.

Unlike most, lawyers and aircraft mechanics usually get along pretty well. Mechanics like them because lawyers can make dip$hits and corner-cutters squirm. Lawyers like aircraft mechanics, because we keep LOTS of documentation, and make court cases a slam-dunk.

Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 09:52:06

I was in a hotel recently and watched part of the Duck reality show. I had heard it had really high ratings. It was unbelievably boring. There isn’t one stitch of reality to it. All the scenes are obviously staged and acted out.

Comment by azdude02
2013-09-30 10:01:38

I have never watched a full show either. I have stopped on it while channel surfing but it didnt do much for me. Bunch of rich guys spending their money. which seems to be the point of most of these shows. They get to do cool stuff all day cause they have money. Boring people go to work and have to pay bills.

I guess the dad was a football qb in college with terry bradshaw.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2013-09-30 10:11:37

I’ve caught snippets of it too. The older guys look like rejects from a ZZ Top tribute band audition.

Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 10:22:22

Haven’t seen it. When I first saw the commercial, I thought it was a ZZTop reality show.

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Comment by michael
2013-09-30 10:28:04

there is no reality in any reality show anymore…it stopped after the first season of Real World on MTV.

 
Comment by michael
2013-09-30 10:39:24

i like it at times…but then again i am from mississippi so i “get” them.

Comment by Bluestar
2013-09-30 11:17:19

I know it’s a cartoon but my favorite reality show is Squidbillies.

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Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 14:26:40

It will not be televised. You have to read it on newspapers.

 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2013-09-30 11:01:09

I stick with HGTV.

The flippers shows are back on.

Paint a few rooms + new landscaping + granite counter-tops = $80,000 in new equity.

In just 4 weeks if they can make the open house date…

If they can make it work (but they always do)!

I luv it when they they do a dance with the check from a FB in hand…

Comment by (Neo-) Jetfixr
2013-09-30 12:08:17

I’d actually watch a show titled “Fooked Flippers”

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Comment by Suite Joey Blue Eyes
2013-09-30 09:30:17

Chris Christie up by 34% in a blue state (where GOP candidate is going to get blown out of the water in the Senate race). Sensible alpha male with strong record as a (federal) prosecutor and now as a governor.

But Ted Cruz (professional demogogue) and Rand Paul (piss poor version of his father) still the GOP’s answer to Obama. Reptiles will never learn.

Blow the 2 party system up, for real.

Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 09:44:35

‘Sensible alpha male’

For an instant I read that as land whale.

Comment by Arizona Slim
2013-09-30 11:10:40

Recall that the last land whale elected President was William Howard Taft. More recently, U.S. Presidents have been pretty svelte.

 
 
Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 09:53:01

2 words. Hemant Lakhani

Christie is a low life and a republican. End of story.

 
Comment by michael
2013-09-30 10:56:34

sensible and alpha male is an impossibility.

Comment by Suite Joey Blue Eyes (CSNY Superfan)
2013-09-30 11:31:12

Not sure it’s impossible, but it probably devolves into problems over time. Either they become too laid back like George HW Bush (seeking to burnish a bipartisan reputation after being extremely popular, e.g. 90% for Bush 41 post-Iraq and Christie post-Sandy) or go all the way off the spectrum like MacArthur or Nixon, throwing the sensibility aside when drunken with power.

 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2013-09-30 09:35:48

By ROBERT J. SHILLER

Housing Market Is Heating Up, if Not Yet Bubbling
By ROBERT J. SHILLER, September 28, 2013

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/29/business/housing-market-is-heating-up-if-not-yet-bubbling.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0

HOME prices have been rising rapidly, so much so that there is talk that we are entering another national bubble.

In fact, according to the S.& P./Case-Shiller Composite-10 Home Price Index, which Karl Case of Wellesley College and I developed, home prices in the United States were up 18.4 percent in real, inflation-corrected terms in the 16 months that ended in July. During the housing bubble that preceded the 2008 financial crisis, the largest 16-month increase wasn’t much bigger: 22.7 percent, for the period ended in July 2004.

Is it possible that we are lapsing into what I call a bubble mentality — a self-reinforcing cycle of popular belief that prices can only go higher?

Some answers arise from a study that Professor Case and I have been conducting since 2003……

……….(Conclusion)
…..People who are now inclined to buy a home are most often just thinking that we are gradually recovering from a recession and that this is a good time to buy. The mental framing still seems to be about economic recovery and the likelihood that interest rates will rise. People mostly don’t seem to be prompted by the anticipation of another housing boom.

That’s the thinking at the moment. But whether these attitudes mutate into a national epidemic of bubble thinking — one big enough to outweigh higher mortgage rates, fiscal austerity in Congress and other factors — remains to be seen.

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 11:22:36

Did their analysis consider the impact of $40 bn a month in Fed MBS purchases?

If not, then it is wrong, plain and simple.

Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 11:57:09

They must have. Shiller was one of the 300 economists who wrote a letter to Obama supporting the appointment of Yellin as the next fed chief.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2013-09-30 12:31:38

Did it include the tens of millions of excess empty houses on every single street in every single town in the US? Nope.

We’ll keep laying up new houses. ;)

 
 
Comment by Rental Watch
2013-09-30 13:25:18

“What’s more, long-term expectations in the current survey remained relatively modest, at 4.2 percent a year for the next 10 years. At that rate, if consumer inflation is modest, at, say, 2 percent a year, real prices would rise only about 2.2 percent annually, and we wouldn’t return to the December 2005 peak in real home prices until 2031.”

AND

“In this year’s survey, the answers didn’t suggest a bubble mentality, though the theme of temporarily low interest rates remained. In summary, Americans are still relatively sober about housing. They aren’t showing “irrational exuberance” about home investing to the degree they did in the past, at least not yet.

But neither are they being completely realistic. In reading the most recent answers, I see no signs that home buyers have learned the lesson I tried to convey in the second edition of my book “Irrational Exuberance” in 2005. That message was that existing-home prices have shown virtually no tendency to trend upward in real, inflation-corrected terms over the last century. While land is limited, it’s only a small component of home value in most places. New construction often brings down the value of older homes, which wear out and go out of fashion, dragging down prices.”

Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 13:29:55

‘They aren’t showing “irrational exuberance” about home investing to the degree they did in the past’

Yes, they will camp out, write love letters, pay over asking, but no sign of squirrel feeding yet.

Comment by Rental Watch
2013-09-30 13:56:19

The big question is whether lenders have learned any lessons.

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Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 14:55:59

The better question is whether the lenders want to make money or not. If they do, they will lend to anyone. Just look at Auto….housing has to be next.

 
Comment by mathguy
2013-09-30 15:56:40

Yes, lenders did learn a lesson. If you get in trouble, the Fed will spend more money than the entire federal budget to the tune of $85B/mo buying your whacked ass MBS product so you can retain profits and not go bankrupt.

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-09-30 16:03:29

IF you are in the club.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by (Still) Waiting for the Fall
2013-09-30 12:07:37

At 3PM EDT it appears that the markets are signalling that the US Government shutdown is a non-event. The gloom and doom expected to manifest itself in the form of a market crash doesn’t appear to be happening. Maybe its just that nobody cares…

How long do you suppose it will take for the Republicrats in DC to comprehend that their railing and whining is (yawn) irrelevant to the lives of real people? The best way to deal with a youngster’s temper tantrum is to ignore it til they cry themselves to sleep. Is WS smart enough to figure that out?

Comment by an exceptional debtor
2013-09-30 12:16:23

Republicans will cave….everyone knows and expects that.

They can’t stop the war machine.

Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 13:49:29

‘The U.S. debt ceiling debate is unlikely to change Standard & Poor’s AA U.S. sovereign rating, the credit ratings agency said Monday, lowering the probability of a repeat performance of the 2011 downgrade drama that paralyzed markets.’

‘In a controversial move two years ago, the impasse between the Congress and the White House led S&P to strip the U.S. of its AAA credit rating. The ratings agency was the only one of its peers to do so-leading it to accuse the U.S. of retaliation when the federal government sued S&P for its part in the 2008 financial crisis.’

So failing to agree to borrow more money makes you less credit worthy. Honey, does this loan make my butt look fat?

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 19:02:21

Yes.

For instance, they already earmarked payment to military personnel into their budget proposals.

 
 
 
Comment by 2banana
2013-09-30 12:55:01

Skyrocketing Flood Insurance Rates Bring Financial Chaos
The Weather Channel | Sept. 28, 2013 | Terrell Johnson

When Superstorm Sandy slammed into New York and New Jersey last fall, it sent massive floods through the streets of coastal towns and cities across the Northeast, turning areas like Toms River, N.J., into something like a war zone.

But nearly a year later, residents there and in many other coastal communities across the U.S. face a potentially far more devastating menace: a nationwide revamp of flood insurance rates, forcing premiums that were once around $500 per year into the $5,000-, $10,000- and even $20,000-a-year range and higher.

“The adverse effect of [this] would be more devastating than Hurricane Katrina,” Louisiana Insurance Commissioner Jim Donelon said in an interview with weather.com, noting the crippling economic damage the historic 2005 storm left behind on the Gulf coast. “Because it will render literally thousands of properties in my state worthless.”

What’s prompting reactions like this is the Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012, passed by Congress last summer and often called “Biggert-Waters” for its two Congressional sponsors: former Illinois Rep. Judy Biggert and Rep. Maxine Waters of California.

Until this year, the Quinns paid an average of about $520 to $540 per year for flood insurance, which they renew every August. But starting next year, Ms. Quinn estimates they’ll have to pay between $5,000 and $8,000 annually, a jump of roughly 1,000 percent.

That’s because the new flood maps in Silverton raised what’s known as the base flood elevation (BFE) for her home by a few feet. If the Quinns can elevate their home to meet the new BFE requirements, they’ll avoid the big increase in their flood insurance premiums.

But it’s going to cost them nearly $150,000 to do that, Ms. Quinn added. “It’s turning out to be such a burden financially and emotionally, with everything with plans, and how do we lift the house … just the planning stage is costing us tens of thousands of dollars.”

On the opposite side of the country, the situation is much the same. Thirty-year-old Tim Clearwater and his wife purchased a home last November in Haleiwa, a small beachfront town on the north shore of Oahu in Hawaii. Last year, the annual flood insurance premium on their one-story, 1950s-era house was just over $2,700.

Starting in October, however, their new rate will jump to approximately $26,000 a year. “It’s a ten times increase,” Mr. Clearwater said in an interview. “It doubles my mortgage payment.”

Comment by Bluestar
2013-09-30 13:13:05

This ties in with a story I posted a while back about how the Florida government cut spending on water quality and land management officers around Lake Okeechobee. Some of the flood insurance in Florida is going up 200-700 percent once the tax payer doesn’t have to pay stupid people for building at sea level. I hope they do this to the entire Gulf coast too.

“The retirees said they had enough in savings and investments to pay the mortgage and the $1,482 yearly flood insurance on the home, which sits on palm tree-lined Paradise Boulevard on Treasure Island, a barrier island in the Gulf of Mexico.

But within two months of moving in, they received a stunning surprise: Due to a recently passed federal law, their flood insurance was slated to jump from less than $1,500 to $12,000 a year.”

http://www.claimsjournal.com/news/southeast/2013/09/26/237418.htm

 
Comment by Carl Morris
2013-09-30 14:11:09

Not sure what point is being made here, but I’m OK with not subsidizing their risk. It’ll be interesting to see how that plays out around here…if the govt and insurance companies will treat our recent flood like the 1000 year even it supposedly was, or if a lot of people will now be required to get expensive flood insurance here, too.

Comment by In Colorado
2013-09-30 14:39:05

Not sure what point is being made here, but I’m OK with not subsidizing their risk.

You’d think Nannerz would be pleased.

 
Comment by rms
2013-09-30 22:05:41

“…, but I’m OK with not subsidizing their risk.”

+1 At least a third of our town is built in a former stream-bed, a well known flood zone where old growth trees thrive. But buried heating oil tanks and homes with basements experience buoyancy forces, and during real storms the business district floods, and water can be observed flowing up from the curb storm drains.

 
 
Comment by Resistor
2013-09-30 17:42:30

George D. Shaeffer of Redington Beach is a realist. He’s not looking to Washington, D.C. for a resolution.

“I don’t expect anything to change on this,” he said.

Shaeffer, 62, was prepping his 1,000 square foot, 61-year-old cottage to put it on the market, anticipating a move up north with his girlfriend.

Biggert-Waters intervened.

“The (flood) premium I just paid for this was $2,200. If I sell the house tomorrow, the new buyer will have to pay $16,000 for the same coverage,” he said.

Shaeffer said he still may put his house on the market, hoping for the best from a cash buyer who would not be required to get flood coverage. Maybe Shaeffer will get enough to pay off his mortgage and credit line if he’s lucky.

Comment by Resistor
2013-09-30 17:44:38

Dude’s house:

http://goo.gl/maps/D5eun

 
 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 19:06:53

Indefinite QE3 taper delay, here we come:

Markets Slide Worldwide Amid U.S. Budget Battle
By NATHANIEL POPPER
Published: September 30, 2013

Investors are worried that even a temporary government shutdown could endanger an already weak economic recovery.

Stock markets fell worldwide on Monday as political disagreements in Washington made a shutdown on Monday night increasingly likely.

The Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index closed down about 0.6 percent at 1,681.55. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 0.84 percent at 15,129.67, and the Nasdaq composite index closed down 0.27 percent at 3,771.48. Leading indexes ended down 2.1 percent in Japan, 0.8 percent in Germany and 1.2 percent in Italy.

European stocks are under additional pressure because a growing political crisis in Italy is threatening the government there.

In the United States, investors were most concerned that a government shutdown this week could make it more likely that the United States will default on its outstanding debt when it reaches its borrowing limit in a little more than two weeks.

But on Monday, economists were scrambling to estimate the more immediate effect on the economy if all nonessential government services were closed on Tuesday.

While many economists have said that the direct blow to the economy would be relatively modest if a shutdown lasted only a few days — as past shutdowns have — the political battles could hurt confidence.

“The hit to consumer and business confidence from such an outcome could be substantial, increasing the shutdown’s effects,” Gennadiy Goldberg, a United States strategist at TD Securities, wrote to clients on Monday.

Any reduction in spending would be problematic because economic growth has already been more sluggish than most policy makers want. The Federal Reserve determined recently that the economy was too weak to withstand even a small reduction in the central bank’s stimulus efforts.

The Fed chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, said during his news conference on Sept. 18 that the budget battles could make matters worse.

“I think that a government shutdown — and perhaps, even more so, a failure to raise the debt limit — could have very serious consequences for the financial markets and for the economy, and the Federal Reserve’s policy is to do whatever we can to keep the economy on course,” he said.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2013-09-30 22:06:28

‘Atlantic City Cops Caught on Video Viciously Attacking, Siccing Dog on Non-Resisting Man’

http://photographyisnotacrime.com/2013/09/29/atlantic-city-cops-caught-video-viciously-attacking-siccing-dog-non-resisting-man/

This guy was completely subdued (after beating the crap out of him) and they held him down while a dog tore into him.

USA USA!

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 22:50:54

It’s lucky that he is a white guy, as otherwise the black ghettos would have exploded in riots.

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-09-30 22:36:51

Happy October!

POLITICS
Updated October 1, 2013, 12:38 a.m. ET
Government Shuts Down as Congress Misses Deadline
Senate Rejects House Bill to Delay Part of Health Law; Obama Gives Notice to Workers
By JANET HOOK and KRISTINA PETERSON

President Barack Obama speaks at the White House on Monday evening.

WASHINGTON—After three years of ducking crises with last-minute deals, Congress finally ran out of ways to patch over its differences. Unable to meet a midnight Monday deadline for funding the government, lawmakers allowed it to shut down.

The White House ordered federal agencies to suspend a vast array of activities shortly before midnight, after a day of frantic legislative volleying left Senate Democrats and House Republicans at an impasse over government spending and the 2010 federal health-care law. The next steps to resolve the stalemate remained unclear.

Markets that have slipped recently face a test on Tuesday morning of how they will view the developments, given that a larger deadline for Congress—over the need to raise the nation’s borrowing limit—is less than a month away.

Many federal workers reporting to their agencies Tuesday morning will undertake a half-day of shutdown preparations before more than 800,000 employees in the government’s workforce of about 2.9 million are sent home. While essential functions such as law enforcement and air-traffic control will continue, a large array of federal activities, among them Internal Revenue Service audits and surveillance for flu outbreaks, will be suspended.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-10-01 00:15:18

Is the U.S. federal government morphing into the California state government?

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-10-01 00:18:34

The Washington Times: США должны признать, что в ситуации с Сирией они выглядят слабыми и нерешительными

Американский президент срубил сук, на котором сидел, и отдал блистательную победу президенту России Владимиру Путину, отмечает издание. За несколько недель, пока США не могли принять решение по сирийскому вопросу, Вашингтон оказался в худшей из возможных ситуаций.
01 октября 2013, 10:17

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2013-10-01 00:23:31

Silver lining: Wall Street seems to be doing just fine in the face of the shutdown. Perhaps there will be little harm to the U.S. economy as a result?

 
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