February 14, 2014

Bits Bucket for February 14, 2014

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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123 Comments »

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-02-14 00:39:51

Are home sales slowing in your area?

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-02-14 00:42:54

Is the dead cat now headed for under the soil, now that the QE3 mortgage market stimulus bounce is over?

San Diego home sales at three-year low
By Jonathan Horn
1:48 p.m.Feb. 12, 2014
Homes in Carmel Valley, San Diego on a recent Friday.

The slowdown in San Diego County’s housing market continued in January, as sales dropped to their lowest levels in three years.

Prices also dipped last month, with the median falling $15,000 from December to $405,000, real estate tracker DataQuick reported Wednesday. Despite the drop, the January median is still up 15.7 percent from January 2012’s median $350,000.

“Two of the bigger questions hanging over the housing market right now are, ‘How much pent-up demand is left out there?’ and, ‘Will inventory skyrocket this year as more owners take advantage of the price run-up?’” DataQuick president John Walsh said in a statement. “Unfortunately, we’ll probably have to wait until spring for the answers. When it comes to statistical trends, January and February are atypical months that haven’t proven to be predictive over the years.”

Last month, there were 2,338 transactions in the county, down from 2,717 in January 2013, and the lowest amount since 2,248 properties changed hands in January 2011. The first month of each year is generally unremarkable when it comes to the housing market because it reflects deals struck during the holiday season, those in the industry say.

“January is typically a slower month,” said Denny Oh, a Realtor with Pacific Sotheby’s International Realty, who specializes in downtown properties. “I think there’s a number of factors with the holidays, the new year, traveling and then starting to look at taxes, and on top of that, you’ve got the uncertainties to where rates are going.”

Comment by Housing Analyst
 
Comment by Ronnie'sLeftMango
2014-02-14 06:44:24

That 15K drop amounts to a 20% decline YOY. Oof. Like I said, wait 6 months and 10% or more. As inventory explodes and the rush for the exits worsens this spring, with no investors in sight (other than in some parts of crazy CA which really should be disregarded as nutso and full of fraud) look out below!

And that 20 % drop doesn’t include the effects of govt punchbowl being taken away thru new rules and limits.

To quote Amyjingleballs: you’d be a fool to buy now.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-02-14 06:57:36

“…with the median falling $15,000 from December to $405,000,…”

If memory serves, the SD median topped out at around $517K circa 2006-07. And some poor sucker just bought a place right across the street from us at the peak pre-2008 price level. I guess they missed the memo that SD prices are off-peak by over 20% and falling?

 
Comment by "Uncle Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-02-14 09:13:35

I think it should be called the “dead banker bounce”, what with all the purported suicides lately.

 
 
Comment by Amy Hoax
2014-02-14 05:15:09

NO

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-02-14 07:21:31

Denial ain’t a river in Egypt, Amy.

 
Comment by Ronnie'sLeftMango
2014-02-14 07:33:21

Posted at 5:15 am, but took a while to appear even though it’s short, which I think means something(?).

Possibly not Jingle or Oxide who don’t show up til about 7. No way either of them would limit a response to one word.

Amy please go back to school before you become a public charge because your skillset will be replaced by the internet and a $25 book from Nolo press.

Comment by Amy Hoax
2014-02-14 09:57:55

Living in a rental will never feel like a real home.

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-02-14 10:09:36

Living in your empty skull sure does. :mrgreen:

 
 
Comment by Carl Morris
2014-02-14 10:54:05

Never forget Amy is a Crue fan :-).

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-02-14 11:00:48

No Dokken? Then you all suck.

 
Comment by aNYCdj
2014-02-14 11:51:32

what no Catholic Girls????

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SaxsxvQxacY

 
 
 
 
Comment by overpaid government contractor
 
Comment by rms
2014-02-14 08:02:38

“Are home sales slowing in your area?”

A friend is desperately trying to buy a house, and he said that a wave of foreclosures that have sat empty for a few years have been coming on the market. He mentioned a few of them by location, but they were all chit neighborhoods. I tried to temper his sense of urgency, but he has buyer’s fever.

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2014-02-14 14:29:53

Buyer’s fever? In Quincy??

Comment by rms
2014-02-14 19:57:02

Buyer’s fever? In Quincy??

Even worse, Soap Lake. Insane.

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Comment by cactus
2014-02-14 10:20:16

Are home sales slowing in your area?’

A Flipper I know told me Blackstone over paid for houses and have stopped buying. Ventura Co. CA

Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-02-14 10:25:09

“A Flipper I know told me Blackstone over paid for houses and have stopped buying. Ventura Co. CA”

You don’t need a flopper to confirm that. You know where the price point is for a resale house just like everyone else here. And you also know what little demand we’ve seen since 2007 isn’t organic. In other words, the massive housing inventory in the 20+ million range is just sitting and cooking. Nothing has changed.

 
Comment by Suite Joey Blue Eyes
2014-02-14 13:26:26

I’m tired of beating this dead horse but here goes:

I THINK YOU MEAN BLACKROCK, NOT BLACKSTONE, BRO.

There’s a vast gap between the acumen and ROI of BlackRock and Blackstone. Blackstone is perhaps the single best private equity firm in the world. (You could argue Bridgewater, but it’s apples and oranges, totally diff strategies.)

Blackstone is savvy and legalistic (founded and run by lawyers, including Schwartzmann obviously), buying distressed assets for pennies on the dollar or making deals others are afraid to make because they haven’t done the same diligence. Blackstone floated money to start BlackRock a long time ago (and has made a ton of $ from that seed money) but was never merged or interlocked with BlackRock.

Comment by Hi-Z
2014-02-14 13:38:01

“I’m tired of beating this dead horse but here goes:”

Then stop.

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Comment by Suite Joey Blue Eyes
2014-02-14 14:17:16

I’m tired of beating it bc people are stupid. Any flipper who said Blackstone is buying houses is stupid. Blackstone is into buying heavily indebted complex companies that need to be unwound, restructured, etc. They’re not out there buying houses in Sacramento on the crappy parts of FL, NV, CA, etc.

 
Comment by Ella58
2014-02-14 15:46:05

So Bloomberg is confusing the two also?

“Blackstone, which has spent $7.5 billion on about 40,000 houses.”

“One of the key risks of the Blackstone deal is its “heavy geographic concentration,” Bank of America Corp. analysts led by Chris Flanagan in New York wrote in a Nov. 1 report.

‘The breakdown includes 34 percent from the Phoenix area, 17 percent from the Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario region in southern California and the rest from other parts of the state, as well as Florida, Georgia and Illinois.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-06/blackstone-lures-investors-to-home-rental-bonds-credit-markets.html

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2014-02-14 15:49:40
 
Comment by Rental Watch
 
 
Comment by Rental Watch
2014-02-14 15:45:30

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-23/blackstone-creating-rental-home-bonds-after-buying-spree.html

BLACKSTONE is the group buying the homes, NOT Blackrock.

BlackRock spun off from Blackstone and is independent.

Blackstone is a major investor in RE, rental homes is one such strategy that they are employing.

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Comment by Rental Watch
2014-02-14 15:54:08

Joey, I posted a couple of links (yet to arrive), but I hate to tell you that it IS Blackstone, NOT BlackRock who is buying the homes to rent homes.

That is why I find it so funny when people comment how stupid the strategy is…Blackstone isn’t made up of stupid people (nor is BlackRock for that matter, that that’s a different discussion).

I will post next a link to a PDF of Blackstone’s 10-k, where they specifically note how they created Invitation Homes.

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Comment by Bill, just south of Irvine
2014-02-14 06:20:33

Gold spot price crossed the 200 day MA. A couple days ago gold junior miners did the same. POT at this time of post is above $1318

Comment by Bill, just south of Irvine
2014-02-14 06:22:49

Well not price of Mary Jane but POG - Price of gold

Comment by overpaid government contractor
2014-02-14 06:31:41

the price of mary jane is $109 a day at the ticket window:

http://www.winterparkresort.com/tickets-and-passes/index.aspx

but only noobs and gapers pay that much, i paid $97 to ski two days there this season. and am only paying $49 to ski crested butte this weekend.

Comment by Bill, just south of Irvine
2014-02-14 11:16:02

In the late 1970s I paid $8 to ski all day at Badger Pass in Yosemite Park. But then my salary in those days would probably be 1/7 of today. Or 1/8!

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Comment by Blue Skye
2014-02-14 06:24:01

Breakout!

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2014-02-14 06:58:36

Beware of bear traps.

 
Comment by AbsoluteBeginner
2014-02-14 08:02:17

It is in our best interest that precious metals not go up in price. As one finance guy said it, gold is the original bitcoin.

Comment by Bill, just south of Irvine
2014-02-14 08:12:14

You are right gold going up and till yields going down signal turmoil

Comment by Bill, just south of Irvine
2014-02-14 09:00:03

Tbill. I much prefer the stock market keeps going up in the long run. It will, but a run to safety is what is warranted now. Realize stock gains (not mining stocks) and squirrel away in tbills and the precious.

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2014-02-14 11:18:36

As one finance guy said it, gold is the original bitcoin.

Most finance guys don’t like gold. It is a kind of threat to about 90% of what they sell.

It’s been a great investment the past 12 years but gold should be more considered a type of insurance combined with private, portable wealth.

Gold stocks are a different story.

Comment by Bill, just South of Irvine, CA
2014-02-14 19:38:43

Very eloquent of you Rio.

I agree, which is why I limit my gold stocks to just a fraction of what I have in physical.

I recommend a thousand ounces of silver. I limit my quantity due to the enormity of the silver - volume. And I recommend platinum in the mix, not just gold.

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Comment by Bill, just South of Irvine, CA
2014-02-14 19:59:01

Still, it is humbling to be looking at a 25% gain on the average cost of the junior miner ETF - GDXJ, which I held (bought most in December) for far less than a year. Avg cost $35.11 and today’s price settled at $44.04

I will consider realizing gains in this sometime in the long term. So that means waiting until at least late December of this year.

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Comment by Bill, just South of Irvine, CA
2014-02-14 19:55:36

I do agree with your first statement but disagree with your second. I know of people who mined Bitcoin very early. I am following the work of the second Bitcoin miner actually. He happens to be one of the original cypherpunks. He claims to have a “few bitcoins” - I am willing to bet he has a few thousand of them.

The POG did not go from pennies to $1,000 in five years. That is why I disagree with your second sentence.

Gold prices are very stable. You supposedly could buy a good quality man’s suit for one ounce of gold in 1910. You can do so today. The thing that is unstable is the value of fiat money. You are barking up the wrong tree AB.

 
 
Comment by GrizzlyBear
2014-02-14 13:04:26

Gold is asinine. The amount of energy, natural resources, and environmental destruction necessary for its production is sickening. It’s a perfect example of the folly of humankind.

Comment by mathguy
2014-02-14 17:01:56

Or the ingeniousness: coating tiny electrical conductors in the stuff and vastly saving energy and efficiency and lifetime with a non-corroding easily melted metal…

Comment by redmondjp
2014-02-14 17:16:41

There is nothing efficient about using gold as an electrical conductor - its electrical conductivity (of pure gold) is barely above that of pure aluminum.

The reason it is used is because it doesn’t corrode.

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Comment by Bill, just South of Irvine, CA
2014-02-14 19:49:36

So you must be very smart to critique 5,000 years of history.

My question to you almighty Grizzly is: Which is more asinine, gold or fiat money?

 
 
 
Comment by overpaid government contractor
2014-02-14 06:36:47

Burn baby burn

“Across the Western United States, officials tasked with fighting forest fires worry that a confluence of factors, including climate change and human development, are conspiring to create conditions ripe for a landmark fire year. That would mean hotter fires that burn longer and threaten more homes, sapping already-strained budgets and putting at risk the lives of thousands of firefighters.”

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/amid-drought-california-and-other-western-states-gird-for-a-landmark-year-in-forest-fires/2014/02/13/ec23fbae-9417-11e3-84e1-27626c5ef5fb_story.html

 
Comment by oxide
2014-02-14 06:52:21

I can’t believe people are buying this crap:

http://www.ryanhomes.com/find-your-home/our-communities/maryland/clarksburg/clarksburg-village-towns?gclid=CMHVsrDey7wCFaE7Ogod7T8Afg

A three-floor townhouse from the upper $370’s, a 20-minute drive from the furthest subway station. The design flow is horrid. How can you build 2,200 square feet only fit in 3 bedrooms, one of which is a tiny 9 feet x 10 feet? Most of the square footage is saved for “optional” add-ons.

I would do better to buy some expensive land and hire Connecticut Valley Homes build me something for $75/sq ft.

Comment by Mr. Banker
2014-02-14 07:22:27

Build them and they will come.

People are smart.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2014-02-14 07:33:03

“build me something for $75/sq ft.”

Makes you wonder what it actually costs to build a standard house, if retail is $75.

 
Comment by Ethan in Norfolk
2014-02-14 07:43:51

As someone starting to look at rentals in northern va, I keep running across these 3 story townhomes. I’m thinking who wants to move all their stuff up that many stairs to turn around and move it back out. Grr.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-02-14 07:48:57

What is the difference between the losses on a condo and the losses you signed up for?

Comment by oxide
2014-02-14 09:20:59

The losses on a condo would have been ALOT more.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-02-14 09:32:15

How can that be?

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Comment by oxide
2014-02-14 11:17:43

Throwing away money on HOA fees.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-02-14 11:25:04

Start with the price.

 
Comment by oxide
2014-02-14 12:34:30

No honey, the price of the condos the realtor tried (and failed) to take me to were nearly the same price as the SFH I bought. But if houses drop to 1987 values, the SFH would be worth more than the condo. Even if house prices drop to 0, I would have thrown away more on HOA fees than I will on maintenance for the SHF. So in every way, the condo is more of a loss.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-02-14 16:21:18

Yes donkey, start with the price.

And both depreciate equally.

 
 
 
 
Comment by reedalberger
2014-02-14 07:57:38

“Own for as low as $2,266 per month”

If you make 100k, have medical and say 10% 401k and other mandatory deductions taken out, you are looking at close to 50% of take home pay.

Comment by rms
2014-02-14 08:26:09

If you make 100k, have medical and say 10% 401k and other mandatory deductions taken out, you are looking at close to 50% of take home pay.

+1 And many/most families take home about $50k/yr. Thus your assumption is correct; it doesn’t pencil out.

 
Comment by cactus
2014-02-14 10:27:14

“Own for as low as $2,266 per month”

If you make 100k, have medical and say 10% 401k and other mandatory deductions taken out, you are looking at close to 50% of take home pay.”

Is that PITI or just the mortgage ?

Comment by oxide
2014-02-14 15:24:51

I managed to copy the fine print. Highlights:

5/1 FHA ARM
PITI + PMI
Does not include HOA

It doesn’t appear to include the fees for getting the loan through FHA. Hey, it’s better than the fine print I saw during the bubble. The bubble payment subtracted the (yearly) MID from the (monthly) payment.
——

OWN FOR AS LOW AS $2,266 PER MONTH

**Limited time only. Financing based on a 5/1 FHA ARM loan, with an interest rate of 2.75%, upfront mortgage insurance premium, an APR not to exceed 3.524%, and 5% down payment. Monthly payment assumes the base sales price of the community which includes principal, interest, estimated real estate taxes, insurance, up front mortgage insurance premium. Monthly payment does not include homeowner’s association or condominium dues or assessments. The borrower is paying 0 discount point(s). A 1% origination fee is paid by the borrower. Mortgage insurance is included in these examples because the LTV is 95% which requires mortgage insurance. Criteria for loan program qualification and interest rates on loan programs will vary based on credit criteria, final amount of down payment, and are subject to current market pricing. APR may vary depending on rate and final loan program. The financing used in this example is based on a conforming loan product and applies only to loan amounts that are $417,000 or less. Loan amounts over $417,000 are subject to additional costs/pricing. Must also meet FHA county guidelines. Certain restrictions may apply. Rates effective 2/14/2014 and subject to change without notice. The note rate may increase or decrease 1% per year after the 60th month and every 12 months thereafter. Over the life of the loan, the note rate may increase a maximum of 5%. On the annual adjustment intervals, the rate will adjust to the weekly average yield of the United States Treasury Securities adjusted to a constant maturity of one year (index) plus 2.250% (margin). Rates on loan programs may vary based on credit criteria, final amount of down payment, and are subject to current market pricing. APR may vary depending on rate and final loan program. Certain restrictions may apply. Prices, offers and financing are subject to change without notice. See sales representative for details.
——

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Comment by In Colorado
2014-02-14 10:30:08

have medical

Depends on your employer. Mine pays almost 90% of our premiums. Buy yeah, many will only cover 50%

Comment by rms
2014-02-14 20:27:12

“Depends on your employer. Mine pays almost 90% of our premiums.”

+1 That’s awesome. Curious, how would you characterize your employees general fitness?

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Comment by "Uncle Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-02-14 08:58:32

It takes 20 minutes to get a sandwich? tee hee.

 
 
Comment by overpaid government contractor
2014-02-14 07:01:48

hope and change in the uk telegraph linked from google news

‘until now facebook users have had to identify as ‘male’ or ‘female’ when signing up for an account, but from today people will be able to select one of 50 gender options including ‘intersex’ and ‘androgynous.’

forward

Comment by Blue Skye
2014-02-14 07:05:28

We live in very manic times. It is not limited to Wall Street or the Housing Bubble.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2014-02-14 07:19:13

Sounds like facebook is resorting to gimmicks to avoid following myspace into irrelevance and oblivion.

Comment by jose canusi
2014-02-14 07:50:45

Spot ON, brothah! That’s what I was thinking. My sense is that FB is having more issues with its long term survival than is known to the general public.

YouTube, for example, is different. THAT was a smart online product (much as I made fun of it) and I think it’ll be around for a long time. Started as a fad, matured into a good niche with all kinds of possibilities. FB started as a fad, became more of a fad, and then uh,…uh…help me out here. Twitter? Meh. Surprised it’s still around, actually.

Comment by jose canusi
2014-02-14 08:06:33

The one I really don’t get is Pinterest. I mean, yes, I get that it’s a place where people can put up their favorite things. I just don’t get how that will ever generate real revenue.

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Comment by my failure to respect is unacceptable
2014-02-14 08:34:15

Advertising, baby……

Another one I don’t get is tumbler. Is it a bird, is it a plane?

 
Comment by overpaid government contractor
2014-02-14 08:45:32

tumblr’s purpose as defined on encyclopedia dramatica:

‘to provide a circlejerk space for every hipster, 16 year old girl, and indie artf@g to post their favorite stolen photographs and pieces of mediocre art’

 
Comment by MightyMike
2014-02-14 10:15:40

If Tumblr is mostly photographs, it can be used for porn as well.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-02-14 08:26:30

‘until now facebook users have had to identify as ‘male’ or ‘female’ when signing up for an account, but from today people will be able to select one of 50 gender options including ‘intersex’ and ‘androgynous.’

Lola and Liberace are in luck!

Comment by overpaid government contractor
2014-02-14 08:35:54

I think Downlow Joe self identifies as male, he just does a tuck-and-tape when he gets dolled up to perform on stage.

Comment by albuquerquedan
2014-02-14 11:14:11

Duct tape fixes just about everything except Ducts. BTW, I posted something about people signing up for Obamacare but not paying but it has not posted. I am SLC and about to walk dogs with my girlfriend but I will check in later.

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Comment by oxide
2014-02-14 09:23:31

Where can I find a list of these “50 genders?”

 
 
Comment by overpaid government contractor
2014-02-14 07:17:35

si si puede

new york times - ‘with an estimated 15 percent of the country’s uninsured population, california is crucial to the success of president obama’s health care overhaul. here, that success cannot come without enrolling latinos, who make up more than half of the state’s uninsured.

but so far, enrollment of latinos has fallen strikingly below the hopes of the law’s proponents, accounting for 20 percent or fewer of those who had signed on the state-run health insurance exchange by the end of december. now, state officials are rushing to expand marketing efforts and hire additional spanish-speaking staff, hoping to sharply increase that number by march 31, when open enrollment in the new insurance plan ends.’

Permanent Democrat Supermajority

Comment by overpaid government contractor
2014-02-14 07:23:11

From the article:

“Unlike other states, California allows young people who were granted deportation deferrals by the Obama administration to sign up for Medicaid. State Senator Ricardo Lara is expected to introduce legislation this week that would allow immigrants living here illegally to sign up for the exchange and receive state subsidies.”

Permanent Democrat Supermajority

 
Comment by "Uncle Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-02-14 08:54:25

The hispanic latino chicanos can’t sign up because they are not citizens of the United States. They are citizens of Mexico.

Comment by MightyMike
2014-02-14 10:21:25

Some of them are citizens of other Central American countries. There are also millions of illegal aliens who are not hispanic. I read an op-ed in the NYT a few years that was written by a Korean-American immigration lawyer. She estimated that one out of five Korean-American families has a family member who is in the country illegally.

Comment by "Uncle Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-02-14 11:54:25

I read an article estimating that 80% of illegal immigrants in California are Mexican citizens. Let’s not quibble about how the remaining 20% are divided up among fifteen or so countries of origin.

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Comment by Jane
2014-02-14 17:04:43

What’s their downside for not enrolling?

1) They don’t pay taxes and (for the most part) use polymorphic names - no way for IRS to penalize them

2) They get public assistance for any health care they need (under a polymorphic variant)

3) They get section 8 housing, where they cram a dozen of their hermanos into the other two bedrooms, charging each of them $100/wk

WHY IN H*LL WOULD THEY ENROLL?

The sh*tlibs here actually think these offal would play by the same set of rules as we do? When they can skate under the radar? ROTFLMAO.

In the annual corruption survey, latin americans (aka the sons of Aztlan) are in the lowest quartile. E.g., they are ranked amongst the most corrupt societies in the world.

 
 
Comment by overpaid government contractor
2014-02-14 07:31:37

Time to shovel the poop out of the corporate pigmen’s poopy pigpen:

“Other comprehensive income, which includes items initially excluded from net income in a particular accounting period, has gotten a reputation as a sort of dumping ground where companies are allowed to store information that would be too damaging to earnings.”

http://blogs.wsj.com/cfo/2014/02/13/accounting-dumping-ground-headed-for-clean-up/

 
Comment by RonaldsRottenHamburger
2014-02-14 07:42:21

We are ALL a few paychecks away from poverty. You are kidding yourself if you think otherwise. Unless you are in the 1%, you are a few paychecks away from poverty.

All of your money could be inflated away faster than you can blink, and that gold stockpile will be confiscated by the government. The 1% is about power, and they know that in a doomsday scenario. They are the only ones that can “buy” their way out of the mess.

The 10% may last an extra few months of years at most in a total collapse… But they’ll be broke like the rest of the 99% rather quickly.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-02-14 08:14:49

If we’re all a few paychecks away from poverty(I’m not), what difference does it make to you if my money is “inflated it away”? Not that it will considering we’re in a deflationary spiral.

Remember….. Deflation is your wallets best friend.

Comment by GrizzlyBear
2014-02-14 13:12:01

Deflation isn’t your wallet’s best friend when price-fixing steals your money anyway. $100 per barrel crude amidst excess supply is a good example. They’re going to get your money, and it will be through things you cannot live without.

 
 
Comment by "Uncle Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-02-14 08:50:00

If there is a “total collapse”, then money won’t be worth anything. I’m thinking it’s about time for a good old-fashioned meteor to hit the Earth and create a second moon.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-02-14 09:31:04

Collapse results from inflation, not deflation.

Comment by "Uncle Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-02-14 10:04:39

People used to live with dinosaurs, but then everything collapsed, and now we only have dragons.

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Comment by Housing Analyst
 
 
 
 
Comment by Blue Skye
2014-02-14 09:10:39

“We are ALL a few paychecks away from poverty”

I guess you have to wonder what that word “poverty” means. I think for most it means able to keep up with the bills and still eat well enough. If you are in debt, then yes, poverty is right there in front of you. If you only have one toe in the “system” then no. If the lights go out, there will still be food growing in the countryside. If you have nothing in the pantry, you are ignorant of history, likely even the history of your own family. If you have no savings, the future is likely to be “educational”.

 
Comment by MightyMike
2014-02-14 10:37:02

We are ALL a few paychecks away from poverty. You are kidding yourself if you think otherwise. Unless you are in the 1%, you are a few paychecks away from poverty.

I think that Colorado may have been alluding to this the other when he wrote that many employed middle class people don’t mind that they’re paying taxes to fund SNAP for unemployed and the lucky duckies because they think that they might SNAP themselves at some point.

On the other hand, I bet that there’s a large portion of the population that would like to get rid of SNAP but doesn’t realize how precarious their own situation is.

 
Comment by MightyMike
2014-02-14 10:40:04

The 1% is about power, and they know that in a doomsday scenario. They are the only ones that can “buy” their way out of the mess.
The 10% may last an extra few months of years at most in a total collapse… But they’ll be broke like the rest of the 99% rather quickly.

This is tautological. In fact, if 1% do OK, then that wouldn’t be a total collpase, it would be a 99% collapse. To put it in real world terms, if half the people in Greece have a decent standard of living, they are nowhere near a total collpase.

Comment by GrizzlyBear
2014-02-14 13:16:57

Countries like Greece are a good example of where we are headed. It doesn’t have to be a total collapse for life to become extremely difficult and unenjoyable for the masses. I think we are on a long, slow grind to that destination. The rich will continue to get richer while the middle class and poor melt into oblivion.

 
 
 
Comment by overpaid government contractor
2014-02-14 07:44:54

hope and change linked from drudge

‘americans are increasingly pessimistic about their chances of achieving and sustaining the american dream, according to a new marist-mcclatchy poll.

they see an economic system in which they have to work harder than ever to get ahead, and a political system that’s unresponsive to their needs. they see the wealthy allowed to play by a different set of rules from everyone else.’

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2014/02/13/218026/mcclatchy-marist-poll-american.html#storylink=cpy

Comment by "Uncle Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-02-14 08:33:03

They American underclass is so insensitive. What else can be expected from dirty poor, though? They should listen to Tom Perkins more. The 1% is put upon; it ain’t fair!

 
Comment by MightyMike
2014-02-14 10:49:55

… a political system that’s unresponsive to their needs …

During the Obama years there have been two groups of people - the Tea Party and OWS - who have tried to get out there and make the system more responsive. But the one percenters have convinced the vast majority of the population that nothing can be done. So they sit alone at home, stew in the juices of their own anger and misery, and watch TV or play with their cellphones.

 
 
Comment by overpaid government contractor
2014-02-14 07:54:12

Drudge is currently headlining several articles about snow and winter weather for the Koch fluffers to click and generate more page loads and ad revenue.

At any given time, some 20% plus of Drudge links are to articles on various regional subdomains of the ad-choked website cbslocal dot com. How much is Drudge getting paid for these sponsored links? Maybe some real journalists need to look into that.

Comment by jose canusi
2014-02-14 08:04:22

As Taki Theodoracopoulos (of TakiMag) said in one of his recent columns, “It’s a click-happy hell on earth!”

Comment by overpaid government contractor
2014-02-14 08:14:39

I am as critical of the format of “real journalism” as I am of the content.

Ad-choked, slow-loading, flash-animated, bandwidth-sucking “news” websites are everywhere. The redesign of the New York Times website is especially noxious. The Denver Post is practically unreadable.

But if you can tolerate it, most paywalls are easily bypassed. Just google the article title or some of the words in the url. This works for the New York Times and Wall Street Journal most of the time.

Comment by oxide
2014-02-14 11:23:50

If you think the Denver Post is practically unreadable, check out the design of nbcnews. It’s literally unreadable — there’s nothing to read.

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Comment by "Uncle Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-02-14 08:25:06

It’s been in the 80s where I live. They were freaking out about a foot of snow in some eastern state that usually only gets a few inches. Big deal. Get a shovel. If the roads are icey and the city doesn’t have plows, then people might have to miss a few days of work. Why does everyone have to get in their Camry and drive on ice-covered freeways? Don’t they already know that you can’t do that?

Comment by tresho
2014-02-14 18:48:35

Why does everyone have to get in their Camry and drive on ice-covered freeways? Don’t they already know that you can’t do that?
Obviously, they DON’T know that, and will keep fighting until their Camry is rendered inoperable, or until they learn to respect reality, whichever comes first.

 
 
 
Comment by overpaid government contractor
Comment by "Uncle Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-02-14 08:21:02

They really are cranking up the presses, aren’t they? Apparently, the 1% are beginning to sense a decisive loss in the class war that they have been waging since the 1970s. They squeal when they get scared. “Minimum wage? NOOOOoooooo. More immigrants from third-world countries to do the work for slave wages.”

Like, um, it’s not a free market when you have an open system of labor (workers can flood in from anywhere), but a closed system of productive enterprises (other countries don’t necessarily create them, nor would their citizens vote for the rules that would make that possible, since they don’t like capitalism or freedom).

 
 
Comment by "Uncle Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-02-14 08:15:13

Is Tom Perkins a parody?

Comment by overpaid government contractor
2014-02-14 08:57:18

This is how most of the 0.1% and 0.01% think.

He is just echoing the sentiment expressed in Romney’s “47%” remark.

The Holocaust analogy was pretty insensitive, but a structured extermination of the pigmen irrespective of race or religion wouldn’t be a bad thing.

 
 
Comment by "Uncle Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-02-14 09:08:57

People who live in overpopulated places take it for granted that land has infinite value. I think those people should move.

I live in a place with ample land. I live in a detached pod with space surrounding me. People in my nabe have horses and chickens. There is even one brood of chickens that roams the neighborhood like a gang. They used to escape from their coop a lot, and I guess the lady got sick of trying to herd them back in. Now they just hang out in other peoples’ yards, eating bugs and stuff. Whenever I start to look at them, they always start acting all scared, like I might try to eat them.

Then there are folks who think that “living near the subway” is a benefit. I don’t need a subway because I drive my Prius on an uncrowded freeway, followed by large, uncrowded roads, to and from work every day. It takes me 15 minutes.

It’s hard to comprehend why people would crowd themselves into three-story town”homes”, subject themselves to every sound made by the neighbors on both sides of them, crowd their chickens and horses into their 100 sq. ft. “yards”, and pay so much for the privilege that they literally can’t miss one single paycheck.

Y?

Comment by knockwurst
2014-02-14 13:54:41

Not everybody has what you have or can do what you can do. It’s obnoxious to confuse your good fortune with you having superior taste.

Comment by "Uncle Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-02-14 15:32:57

Dewd. It’s obnoxious to pay 10x your salary to live in a hole, and justify it with “everyone wants to live here”. That’s just another way of saying “this place is an overpriced and overpopulated hole”.

Comment by Jane
2014-02-14 17:28:55

Congrats to you - you are livin’ the dream!

For many of us, the choice is between discretionary time, vs. living in a place such as you describe.

In my own particular case, if I were to move to a place such as you describe, I’d be giving up four hours of my day in commuting to get to a “must present face” kinda job. I’m one of the designated hitters for my extended team. They work from home except for meetings a coupla times a week. I prove “we provide value and are on top of it” every day.

So, I opt to minimize my commuting time and rent. I value my discretionary time above all else. I knew what I signed up for - no pity party here. Went in with eyes open.

You got any openings where you work? (lol!)

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Comment by phony scandals
2014-02-14 17:36:51

“There is even one brood of chickens that roams the neighborhood like a gang.”

Do they play the knockout game?

 
 
Comment by 2banana
2014-02-14 09:23:49

Not even a smidgen of corruption…

It’s just the Chicago way.

—————–

IRS Insider Blows Lid Off “Culture of Corruption”
The New American | 2/14/2014 | Alex Newman

As a growing cloud of perpetual mega-scandal continues to swirl around the embattled Internal Revenue Service, an IRS insider who has worked as an attorney at the tax agency’s Office of the General Counsel for over 26 years is now blowing the whistle on what he says is systemic, massive corruption as well as routine abuse of taxpayers. In an explosive exposé posted on Power Line, William Henck accused the agency — currently under fire for targeting political groups the Obama administration disagrees with — of embezzlement, bullying elderly taxpayers, retaliatory audits, scams, and more.

Comment by overpaid government contractor
Comment by "Uncle Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-02-14 10:01:18

The only problem with the Pic-Paste image is that it implies Obama was the first and only President to bug the whole nation. He isn’t even the one who started the program. He should share his place with the President who started the program, don’t you think?

Comment by Blue Skye
2014-02-14 15:25:09

We can only call for change in the present. Deflecting blame to those who have passed is only a step in doing nothing to change.

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Comment by "Uncle Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-02-14 15:41:45

But there is a huge problem when people start to think that a particular path has only been embraced by one single political party, when, in fact, it is embraced by at least two political parties. People should not be so misinformed as to think that the Republicans (for instance) offer a Presidential candidate (or platform) who differs from Obama on the issue of intranational spying.

You may reference Rand Paul, and if he runs for President, then he will have a talking point. However, for now, Rand is not running for President. Furthermore, we don’t know who the other candidates will be when the time comes.

I think the poster in the link was designed to make people vote for Republicans, since it mocks the Democrat who was cool with spying (and will never run for President again), but doesn’t include the Republican who was cool with spying first (and will never run for President again).

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by phony scandals
2014-02-14 13:48:22

Federal Judge Confuses Declaration of Independence With Constitution In Court Ruling

“Our Constitution declares that ‘all men’ are created equal,’” she wrote.

Kit Daniels
Prison Planet.com
February 14, 2014

A federal judge confused the Declaration of Independence with the Constitution Thursday night in a court ruling which overturned Virginia’s ban on same-sex marriages.

In yet another example of a judge being totally ignorant to the supreme law of the land, U.S. District Court Judge Arenda L. Wright Allen wrongly attributed the line “all men are created equal” to the Constitution when it in fact appears in the Declaration of Independence.

“Our Constitution declares that ‘all men’ are created equal,’” she wrote in the ruling. “Surely this means all of us.”

Judge Arenda was referring to the preamble of the Declaration of Independence, which states that:

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.

So in essence, a federal judge who confuses the Constitution and the Declaration of Independence is ruling on the constitutionality of laws and treaties of the United States.

It is also interesting but unsurprising to note that President Obama appointed her in 2010.

Arenda is unfortunately not alone when it comes to federal judges who are seemingly clueless on the basics of the Constitution, the Bill of Rights and even their own duties.

Back in December, a federal judge in New York ruled that the NSA’s bulk, warrantless collection of phone records and overall abuse of the Fourth Amendment were legal.

“While Americans depended on technology for the conveniences of modernity, al-Qaeda plotted in a seventh-century milieu to use that technology against us,” Judge William H. Pauley III wrote, who was appointed by former President Clinton. “It was a bold jujitsu… The bulk telephony metadata collection program represents the Government’s counter-punch.”

Judge Pauley’s opinion sounded more like a NSA press release than a legal argument.

“Judge Pauley’s role is to decide whether or not the government’s actions are legal,” David Knight wrote in response. “Whether they are effective or not, it is the role of various federal organizations to protect the country (which is not necessarily the same as protecting the government).”

“Those organizations will come up with strategies, tactics and policies to protect the country. The judicial system’s role is to ensure that those strategies, tactics and policies don’t violate the law or violate the rights of the people — the purpose for which the government was created.”

This unfortunate trend of federal judges who are either clueless about the Constitution or are openly hostile towards it reveals the real damage that U.S. presidents can do to the Bill of Rights through their appointments.

 
Comment by phony scandals
2014-02-14 17:44:18

Government Lays Groundwork To Confiscate Your 401k and IRA: “This Is Happening”

Mac Slavo
SHTFplan.com
February 14, 2014

This morning Reuters obtained a leaked proposal disclosing that European Union officials are looking for new and innovative ways to fund their immense debt levels.

As noted by Zero Hedge, they’re no longer turning exclusively to central bankers to simply print more money as needed. Because last year’s bank bail-in forcing the confiscation of funds from average depositors in Cyprus worked so well, EU regulators and bankers have determined that they’ll use a similar method to fund their future endeavors.

In a nutshell, and in Reuters’ own words, “the savings of the European Union’s 500 million citizens could be used to fund long-term investments to boost the economy and help plug the gap left by banks since the financial crisis, an EU document says.”

The solution? “The Commission will ask the bloc’s insurance watchdog in the second half of this year for advice on a possible draft law “to mobilize more personal pension savings for long-term financing”, the document said.”

Mobilize, once again, is a more palatable word than, say, confiscate.

This is what happens when governments run out of money.

But if you think this is limited to just Europe, then consider the words of President Barack Obama in his recent State of the Union address.

For all intents and purposes, a similar groundwork is being laid right here in America.

They’ve already taken over the health care industry… why not nationalize our retirement savings while they’re at it?

(Reprinted with permission from Sovereign Man. You can read the full analysis here.)

This is basically the offer that the President of the United States floated last night.

And like an unctuously overgeled used car salesman, he actually pitched Americans on loaning their retirement savings to the US government with a straight face, guaranteeing “a decent return with no risk of losing what you put in. . .”

This is his new “MyRA” program. And the aim is simple– dupe unwitting Americans to plow their retirement savings into the US government’s shrinking coffers.

We’ve been talking about this for years. I have personally written since 2009 that the US government would one day push US citizens into the ‘safety and security’ of US Treasuries.

Back in 2009, almost everyone else thought I was nuts for even suggesting something so sacrilegious about the US government and financial system.

But the day has arrived. And POTUS stated almost VERBATIM what I have been writing for years.

The government is flat broke. Even by their own assessment, the US government’s “net worth” is NEGATIVE 16 trillion. That’s as of the end of 2012 (the 2013 numbers aren’t out yet). But the trend is actually worsening.

In 2009, the government’s net worth was negative $11.45 trillion. By 2010, it had dropped to minus $13.47 trillion. By 2011, minus $14.78 trillion. And by 2012, minus $16.1 trillion.

Here’s the thing: according to the IRS, there is well over $5 trillion in US individual retirement accounts. For a government as bankrupt as Uncle Sam is, $5 trillion is irresistible.

They need that money. They need YOUR money. And this MyRA program is the critical first step to corralling your hard earned retirement funds.

At our event here in Chile last year, Jim Rogers nailed this right on the head when he and Ron Paul told our audience that the government would try to take your retirement funds:

I don’t know how much more clear I can be: this is happening. This is exactly what bankrupt governments do. And it’s time to give serious, serious consideration to shipping your retirement funds overseas before they take yours.

As former Congressman Ron Paul notes, the government will stop at nothing.

“They’ll use force and they’ll use intimidation and they’ll use guns, because you can’t challenge the State and you can’t challenge the State’s so-called right to control the money,” warns Paul. “It’s already indicated that they will confiscate funds and they will [confiscate] pension funds.”

This didn’t just happen over night. The move to make this reality has been going on for quite some time. The first time it was mentioned publicly in any official capacity was at a 2010 Congressional hearing:

Democrats in the Senate on Thursday held a recess hearing covering a taxpayer bailout of union pensions and a plan to seize private 401(k) plans to more “fairly” distribute taxpayer-funded pensions to everyone.

Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa), Chairman of the Health, Education, Labor and Pensions (HELP) Committee heard from hand-picked witnesses advocating the infamous “Guaranteed Retirement Account” (GRA) authored by Theresa Guilarducci.

In a nutshell, under the GRA system government would seize private 401(k) accounts, setting up an additional 5% mandatory payroll tax to dole out a “fair” pension to everyone using that confiscated money coupled with the mandated contributions. This would, of course, be a sister government ponzi scheme working in tandem with Social Security, the primary purpose being to give big government politicians additional taxpayer funds to raid to pay for their out-of-control spending.

You’d think that such an idea would be immediately dismissed by the American public, but it has only gained steam since, as evidenced by a 2012 hearing held at the U.S. Labor Department:

The hearing, held in the Labor Department’s main auditorium, was monitored by NSC staff and featured a line up of left-wing activists including one representative of the AFL-CIO who advocated for more government regulation over private retirement accounts and even the establishment of government-sponsored annuities that would take the place of 401k plans.

“This hearing was set up to explore why Americans are not saving as much for their retirement as they could,” explains National Seniors Council National Director Robert Crone, “However, it is clear that this is the first step towards a government takeover. It feels just like the beginning of the debate over health care and we all know how that ended up.”

…Such “reforms” would effectively end private retirement accounts in America, Crone warns.

A few years ago the government of the United States of America nationalized nearly 1/6th of our economy when they took over the health care system with forced mandates. In the process they essentially took control of $1.6 trillion in yearly industry revenues.

But that’s nothing compared to private savings. The total amount of retirement assets in America, including 401k, IRA and savings accounts is around $21 trillion. With our national debt coincidentally approaching the same, the government sees big money and potentially a way out of our country’s fiscal disaster.

This will start voluntarily with the MyRA and other state-sponsored programs. But when not enough Americans are making it their patriotic duty to turn over their funds to their government, they’ll mandate compliance with the stroke of a pen just as they did with thePatient Affordable Care Act.

And just like Obamacare it will be enforced by the barrel of a gun. Failure to comply will mean confiscation without recourse and prison time.

All they need now is a trigger.

And that trigger will likely come in the form of another stock market collapse. Wipe out Americans’ in a stock market crash and scare the heck out of them with more economic bad news, and millions of our countrymen will be all too willing to hand it over to Uncle Sam. Panic is a powerful motivator and what better way to get people on board than by threatening them with squalor and destitution in their old age if they don’t go along with it?

Government officials have been actively working to make this a reality for years. The Europeans are doing the same.

You can put your head in the sand or cover your ears and pretend this is not happening, but that won’t change the outcome.

They will take everything they can get their hands on.

Tags: domestic news, police state

Comment by tresho
2014-02-14 18:54:58

They will take everything they can get their hands on.
BFD. The US Gov’t has already massively confiscated private wealth (gold, 1930’s) and unjustly imprisoned US citizens (Executive Order 9066). Both crimes were later justified by the US Supreme Court. This is virtually unknown by most Americans, not even by those who lived during those times.

 
 
Comment by tresho
2014-02-14 19:04:53

Former US Attorney General Tom Clark later wrote this about EO 9066 and the ignorant support provided by the Supremes, support which remains unrescinded to this day:
“The truth is—as this deplorable experience proves—that constitutions and laws are not sufficient of themselves…Despite the unequivocal language of the Constitution of the United States that the writ of habeas corpus shall not be suspended, and despite the Fifth Amendment’s command that no person shall be deprived of life, liberty or property without due process of law, both of these constitutional safeguards were denied by military action under Executive Order 9066.”
from Wiki

Comment by tresho
2014-02-14 19:09:44

From a different wiki:
On February 3, 2014, Justice Antonin Scalia, during a discussion with law students at the University of Hawaii law school, said that “the Supreme Court’s Korematsu decision upholding the internment of Japanese Americans was wrong, but it could happen again in war time.”
We have always been at war….
Now, where’s my remote?

Comment by phony scandals
2014-02-14 19:39:51

Facebook Trash Talk is “Terrorism”; Presidential Mass Murder is “Policy”

William Norman Grigg
Lew Rockwell Blog
February 14, 2014

“Sasha and Malia are huge fans, but boys, don’t get any ideas,” riffed Barack Obama during his stand-up routine at the May 2009 White House Correspondents Dinner, directing his words at the Jonas Brothers, who were in attendance. “But boys, don’t get any ideas. I have two words for you: predator drones. You will never see it coming.”

The assembled sycophants responded by rendering unto Caesar the dutiful laughter required anytime the Pontiff of the Civil Religion decants a carefully scripted specimen of presidential “wit.” On this occasion the affected mirth was a bit more labored than usual, perhaps because it was freighted with the knowledge that Obama had the means to make good on those words if he cared to, and that nobody would hold him accountable if the Jonas Brothers were vaporized as a result of his Caligulan caprice.

Viewed in retrospect following five years of drone-conducted child-slaughter – including the murder, on Obama’s supposed authority, of a 16-year-old U.S. citizen – that line can’t be viewed merely as a profoundly tasteless after-dinner joke, but rather as a glimpse into the mind of an authentic sociopath.

In discussing it assassination program, the Obama Regime no longer takes refuge in poorly executed comedy, or seeks to veil its intentions in bureaucratic euphemisms: It is now openly contemplating the murder – via drone strike — of an unidentified U.S. citizen in Pakistan. That individual is described as an ally of al-Qaeda who has been involved in planning acts of terrorism. Of course, exactly the same description applies to Mr. Obama and his handlers, who in Syria are supporting a hyper-violent al-Qaeda affiliate that was actually repudiated by Ayman al-Zawahiri.

When Barack Obama or those speaking on his behalf, indulge in terroristic language, they are engaging in what the U.S. Supreme Court, in Brandenburg v. Ohio, described as a “true threat.” This cannot be said of the ill-advised and tasteless Facebook comments made by 18-year-old Austin, Texas resident Justin Carter, who was arrested – with the help of a federal Fusion Center – and charged with making a “terroristic threat” after his comments were reported by an anonymous informant in Canada. As a detailed in an infuriating report by the Dallas Observer documents, Carter is now in legal “limbo,” his life having been ruined by prosecutors who serve the same system that routinely annihilates people overseas.

About two months after the Sandy Hook massacre, Carter was involved in a Facebook conversation dealing with a game called “League of Legends.” Indulging in the kind of hyperbolic verbal posturing that is typical in such forums, Carter described himself as “f***ed in the head” and said “I think I’ma SHOOT UP A KINDERGARTEN.” Carter and his father would later insist the comments were the undisciplined outpouring of a game-obsessed teenage nerd.

After taking a couple of months to devise a pseudo-legal rationale to arrest Carter, the Austin Police seized him while he was at work, held him for a month without charges, and questioned him without allowing access to an attorney. Detective Joe Robles, employing the time-honored police technique called “lying,” told the terrified teenager would be released if he admitted to posting the Facebook comments.

Carter fell for the ruse, and as a reward was transferred to a different jail, saw his bond increased to $500,000, and was offered an eight-year prison sentence. That coerced “confession” is the only thing tying Carter to a screencap of a tiny fragment of a larger Facebook conversation: The prosecutors are pretending that Facebook – a company notorious for its eagerness to cooperate with the State – won’t allow them access to the entire thread, which would provide exculpatory context.

A search of Carter’s home found no firearms, no bomb-making materials, no documentary or physical evidence of preparations to carry out a terrorist act, or an inclination to commit such a crime.

After being thrown into the company of violent people accused of actual crimes, Carter was sexually assaulted and wound up on suicide watch.

Carter’s family succeeded in publicizing the teenager’s plight, and his typically indifferent “public defender” was replaced by defense attorney Don Flanary. As a result, prosecutors modulated their demands, offering Carter a term of 10 years’ probation in exchange for pleading guilty to a felony.

Flanary observes, correctly, that “the case should be dismissed. He didn’t do anything wrong.” The techniques employed to extract the confession are “what dictatorships all around the world used to do,” Flanary continues. “They’d say, `If you confess to your crimes against the state, we will let you go.’”

Under the American concept of justice, Flanary points out, “First you prove the crime, then you get the punishment…. But now, in Justin’s case, [it’s] `Let’s do the punishment first and then we’ll see if we can prove the crime later. The damage has been done.”

The same approach is used by the Obama administration in dispensing death from above on distant, unsuspecting people who are arbitrarily designated as “suspected militants” – as well as any women or children who might be in the vicinity, and the emergency personnel who are taken out by a “double-tap” strike as they desperately seek to save the victims of the first one.

A suitably ambitious prosecutor, with the help of predatory police officers, can transmute social media trash talk into terrorism. However, when Obama – a certified mass murderer — plausibly threatens to slaughter people by remote control, this is “policy.”

This article was posted: Friday, February 14, 2014 at 6:01 am

Tags: mainstream media

 
 
 
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