July 3, 2014

Bits Bucket for July 3, 2014

Post off-topic ideas, links, and Craigslist finds here.




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208 Comments »

Comment by that_guy
2014-07-03 01:32:47

Anybody up for a hot plate of TB, measles or scabies? Cuz thats whats on the menu courtesy of all the vermin crossing the border and “redeployed” across the country thanks to our corrupt government. But don’t worry, I’m sure if you contract anything you’ll receive the FINEST care, just like our veterans!

Land of the Free (lunch), paid for by you, serf.

Comment by reedalberger
2014-07-03 04:22:42

You know, it’s funny the same progressives that created this awful antiseptic dystopia over the last 20 years, where you can’t even enjoy a Marlboro in a bar, have no problem hauling in hundreds of thousands of diseased humans.

Comment by taxpayers
2014-07-03 05:00:10

they are not progressives or liberals
statist/collectivists/socialists

semantics matter

Comment by MightyMike
2014-07-03 07:41:34

Yeah, it was just around six years ago that people started calling Obama a socialist. Now, if you want to be in with the in crowd, all political labels must end with -ist or -ism.

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 07:48:53

LIEberal is more accurate. Or Lola.

 
 
 
Comment by MacBeth
2014-07-03 05:28:28

You’d think with healthcare-for-all ObamaCare in place, you’d be able to smoke as many cigarettes as you want, wherever you want. But, no.

Alas, the goal isn’t and never was about implementing that which optimizes personal liberty. In fact, it is and was just the opposite.

It is about stealing the fruit of your labor in support of policies intended to rob you of even more of your freedoms.

Comment by MightyMike
2014-07-03 07:31:43

You’d think with healthcare-for-all ObamaCare in place, you’d be able to smoke as many cigarettes as you want, wherever you want. But, no.

Why would you think this?

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Comment by jose canusi
2014-07-03 07:43:48

Gotta watch those SSRIs. They have a tendency to make people sort of wooden and detached, with an attendant inability to recognize things like sarcasm, thus taking everything literally.

 
Comment by MightyMike
2014-07-03 08:59:32

Sarcasm is supposed to be humourous or at least make some sort of point.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 17:04:40

LolaLol

 
 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2014-07-03 09:31:39

I like blowing exhaust out of my vintage Land cruiser. It gives me pleasure. It encroaches on my liberties that I cannot go wherever I want and do so, as pleases me. You got a problem with that, Macbeth?

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Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2014-07-03 09:36:39

And I don’t mean simply driving it. I mean, I like pulling up anywhere I please, putting it in park, and hitting the gas. You should see the looks on all the commies’ faces.

 
Comment by taxpayers
2014-07-03 09:41:28

I was in Seattle ,but avoided the re-education camps. Nice in the summer.

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2014-07-03 09:44:30

I’m in Portland, but same difference. Except, we call that season, ‘construction.’ As opposed to our other season, ‘rain.’

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 10:13:41

Just curious couldn’t you just move over to Vancouver and avoid the income taxes?

 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2014-07-03 11:24:33

Thought about it, but the commute to where I work would be at least 45 mins one way.

 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 22:38:37
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Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:29:02

According to this writer, it’s progressives you need to thank for your stock market gains. Booyah!

July 3, 2014, 7:28 a.m. EDT
The Great Obama Bull Market will roar till 2016
Commentary: Historic market up 250%, aims for a 300% gain by election
By Paul B. Farrell, MarketWatch
President Barack Obama waves as he completes his remarks on the economy at the Georgetown Waterfront Park in Washington July 1.

Yes, it’s time to celebrate. We’re in a historic bull market. GOP conservatives keep fighting the wrong war, against the Obama economy. Meanwhile, the Obama bull market keeps roaring ahead!. And the long term looks even better: Bullish pundits predict stocks will continue climbing into the 2016 presidential election.

Folks, this stock market has been roaring since March 2009 when the DJIA bottomed at 6,547, a painful 53.9% drop from the October 2007 high of 14,164 during the Wall Street bank credit crash in Bush’s last year as president. The S&P 500 also bottomed, at 676, a 56.6% drop.

However, since March 2009 the stock market has been steadily climbing. Over five years. And the DJIA’s made a remarkable recovery, to just under its next big milestone, 17,000. While the S&P500 is nearing 2,000, headed up. Yes, market gains over 250% … and still climbing!

So what can we expect from the stock market by 2016 and the election of the next American president? More! Fabulous 250% gains so far. And bigger gains possible coming in the next couple years till we elect a new president. Maybe over 300%. Gains likely to favor a Democrat.

Get it? GOP conservatives may have been successful in slowing America’s economic recovery. But the stock market is actually getting surprisingly stronger from this political war. With every Obama progressive move — Obamacare, ERA regulations, equal pay for women, gay rights, minimum wages, stem-cell research, immigration, Osama bin Laden, deficit cuts and so much more — GOP conservatives and the tea party learn little, only hear enough for another attack on Obama, offer no solutions, just opposition.

Comment by MacBeth
2014-07-03 06:31:46

This is actually quite correct. The author misses, however, that it’s the result of NeoCon-Progressive efforts.

Our stock market and economy continues moving on credit fumes. Take away credit, and we are in very serious trouble.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 06:43:31

I live the first line of this, “you scratch a progressive and you find a fascist”. What we have in America is fascism with big business and government working hand in hand. And what fascist/communist governments hate is any potential challenge to their authority and religious institutions often play that role. Thus, anything that can be done to weaken religious institutions and bring them under the control of government must be done.

 
 
Comment by rms
2014-07-03 21:21:58

“Take away credit, and we are in very serious trouble.”

+1 Speaking of credit I see the 4th of July holiday crowd rolling through town with their toyz are once again installing matching custom wheels on their trailers again.

 
 
Comment by plasmacutter
2014-07-03 08:58:00

Yes, we should be thanking them on bended knee for the recover-less recovery and the surge in mcjobs replacing what used to be family wages, putting a fork in the basic dignity of millions of workers.

“Progressive”? These people are right of Reagan the union-buster while the republicans are now being sworn in on Ayn Rands self-admitted anti-mainstreet propaganda.

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Comment by taxpayers
2014-07-03 09:42:31

he polls under 30% w small biz owners cause they be rasis

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Comment by Puggs
2014-07-03 10:47:47

Always, always, ALWAYS pay off debt during the good times.

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Comment by MightyMike
2014-07-03 07:30:32

can’t even enjoy a Marlboro in a bar

What is this, product placement?

Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 07:33:04

Lola?

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Comment by MacBeth
2014-07-03 08:15:51

Mighty is an adjective you are using to describe Mike.

Are YOU are product placement?

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Comment by jose canusi
2014-07-03 07:40:00

“no problem hauling in hundreds of thousands of diseased humans.”

The idea is to wipe out the white working class population. White elites want this.

Next up, “refugees” from West Africa, riddled with ebola.

 
 
Comment by Bill, just south of Irvine
2014-07-03 04:52:31

Welcome to the world the “progressive’s” ushered in.

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:03:50

Welcome to the world the frequent misuse and abuse of the term “progressive” ushered in.

Comment by Combotechie
2014-07-03 05:28:02

Wikipedia says :

“Progressivism is a broad political philosophy based on the Idea of Progress, which asserts that advances in science, technology, economic development, and social organization can improve the human condition.”

“… a broad political philosophy …”

Which suggests the term can be interpreted in many ways and applied in many ways.

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Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:31:57

It’s funny how “broad idea” caught your eye (i.e. anything could qualify as “Progressive”) while I was drawn in by this part of the definition:

…the Idea of Progress, which asserts that advances in science, technology, economic development, and social organization can improve the human condition.

That stuff does sound pretty terrible. It is easy to see why Bible-thumping conservatives who believe God created the world 8000 years ago feel threatened by Progressives.

 
Comment by MacBeth
2014-07-03 05:33:28

And?

“Liberal” used to mean something very different as well.

Today’s progressives aren’t. They simply believe themselves to be.

Remember as well that it is they who gave themselves the label.

 
Comment by Combotechie
2014-07-03 05:37:53

My issue has to do with the use (or misuse) of vague labels.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:41:31

My issue is similar; I dislike the use (misuse) of vague political labels by people pretending to be smart when the practice makes them seem like morons.

 
Comment by Combotechie
2014-07-03 05:42:59

Generally speaking, when you inflict upon someone or something some sort of label then rational discussion comes to a halt because the branding due to one’s interpretation of the label ends up taking over one’s thinking.

 
Comment by Blackhawk
2014-07-03 05:45:17

Disagreement doesn’t equal feeling threatened.

I’d like to hear your version how this world began.

I believe God caused the big bang to happen, caused the planets/suns to form millions of years ago and then breathed life into man.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:45:50

“…when you inflict upon someone or something some sort of label…”

Guilty as charged, though under the circumstances, ‘moron’ seemed appropriate.

 
Comment by Combotechie
2014-07-03 05:51:15

“I’d like to hear your version how this world began.”

Replace your “millions of years ago” with “billions of years ago” and you will be getting close.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:52:31

“I’d like to hear your version how this world began.”

For starters, I don’t suffer from the extreme discomfort with uncertainty about origins which drives some folks to buy into the ‘theory’ that God created the world a few thousand years ago.

Secondly, I favor explanations that can be reconciled with the known scientific facts of modern evolutionary theory and geology.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:53:31

I thought True Believers dated the world at under 20,000 years? But perhaps I misunderstood.

 
Comment by Combotechie
2014-07-03 05:58:26

“I thought True Believers dated the world at under 20,000 years?”

“… True Believers …”

There’s that label thing again.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 06:02:25

The left loves to label themselves with terms and destroy their meaning. Liberal use to mean people that believed in democracy and Adam Smith free markets. There is nothing progressive about today’s progressives since they really just want to bring us back to failed policies of the 1930s where government tried to manage the economy and could never get a real recovery.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2014-07-03 06:08:43

“the known scientific facts of modern evolutionary theory…”

You’ve hit some rocks there, confusing theory with fact.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 06:19:25

Liberal use to mean people that believed in democracy and Adam Smith free markets.

BTW, when Lenin talked about liberals as being useful idiots, he was talking about liberals with that meaning. I think Obama like Lenin does not really believe in democracy but is willing to use it to obtain power and that is really all he cares about the power to enact his agenda.

 
Comment by Blackhawk
2014-07-03 06:57:19

Whac,

It’s OK to disagree.

If you go through the steps that most evolutionists believe, there are plenty of theories that aren’t based on scientific truths.

What caused the big bang?

How did that first spark of life occur?

Why are there sudden jumps in the complexities of living organisms in the fossil records?

 
Comment by Bill, just South of Irvine, CA
2014-07-03 07:12:28

But the doublespeak by the statists is the problem. Liberalism was coined by Frederik Bastiat, a man who was a capitalist not a statist. Liberal - the root of that is based on freedom: [C14: from Latin līberālis of freedom, from līber free]

But if you are taxed you are not free. That is the doublespeak.

Doublespeak with progressivism. As combo pointed out it’s based on the root - “progress” But statism is not progress. Not when you rob Peter to pay Paul.

Here is what a liberal really is: Someone who robs Peter to pay Paul, and then basks in the glory of being labeled a giver. When instead he is a taker. Liberals love adoration for their self-label “for the people.” When in fact they are against the producers. They are against the people they rob.

The difference between liberals and conservatives is that liberals call themselves humanitarian when they redistribute other people’s hard earned money. Conservatives think it’s a necessary evil to redistribute other people’s money to pay for defense.

 
Comment by MacBeth
2014-07-03 07:45:52

Obfuscation - both your connected and garden-variety NeoCon-Progressive cannot exist without it.

This is not surprising or unexpected.

Washington DC must lie in order to justify its growth. Governments the world over must lie to justify their existence.

Governments always operate at a net loss to society. They do not generate profit. Hence, their livelihood (their existence) must come from you, often against your will and better judgment.

Subsequently, it is only natural for NeoCon-Progressives to actively co-opt the meaning of socially recognized philosophies and truisms.

They must do so.

The statists of the world (the connected and garden variety types alike) have actively co-opted concepts such as “liberal” and “progressive” because doing so was and is fundamental to their cause.

None of this is rocket science.

The fact that growing numbers of individuals understand this causes much consternation and indigestion among the NeoCon-Progressive Party Members.

It’s why the two forces have bandied together - they need to in order to fight their opposition.

This movement began in earnest publically with the election of George Bush Sr to Vice President in 1980.

 
Comment by Bill, just South of Irvine, CA
2014-07-03 07:46:50

“The difference between liberals and conservatives is that liberals call themselves humanitarian when they redistribute other people’s hard earned money. Conservatives think it’s a necessary evil to redistribute other people’s money to pay for defense.”

But libertarians point out that conservatives are still evil. Redistribution of OPM is still theft. We can handle our own defense. Arguably, the USA last needed defense against the Japanese in WWII. I’m starting to rethink the cold war.

 
Comment by MacBeth
2014-07-03 08:23:17

A good many conservatives are not so good people.

Yet, I don’t split Good Conservative from Bad Conservative because one is religious and the other is not. Viewing people through a religious lens is the domain of NeoCon-Progressives. They are the folks who dislike people because they are not religious AND because they are religious.

Both NeoCons and Progressives alike are nuts on that score.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 22:50:35

“Governments always operate at a net loss to society. They do not generate profit.”

This must be the day for broad, unproven generalities.

But I claim that in many instances, the government is the root source of the conditions which underpin profitable enterprise.

A good case in point is the space race, which was largely conducted in the U.S. by an agency called NASA. Without a space race, we would not have modern computers. Without modern computers, we would have no internet. Without an internet, we would have no Netflix, Facebook or Google.
Not to mention no Microsoft, Apple or Silicon Valley.

So when you get down to it, your point that the government does not generate profit is flat out wrong. In many instances, the very existence of profitable companies is only possible due to past government actions to sow the seeds of technological innovation.

 
Comment by tj
2014-07-04 07:47:50

But I claim that in many instances, the government is the root source of the conditions which underpin profitable enterprise.

technically true. government protection of people and their personal and property rights does enhance an economy. but ANYTHING it does beyond that, inhibits an economy. and this government is now smothering our economy. it has been for a very long time, and i think that that is what MacBeth was referring to.

A good case in point is the space race, which was largely conducted in the U.S. by an agency called NASA. Without a space race, we would not have modern computers.

this is completely false. a myth propagated by the left. computers were around before ENIAC in world war II. a guy named babbage is considered the father of computers in the early 1800s. he did all the work on his own. no government help.

government saw the usefulness of computers for artillery firing tables and had the resources to finance ENIAC. that was an inefficient ‘demand pull’ type of program like ‘cash for clunkers’, that saw a short term gain at the expense of long term damage.

all in all, the general theme of what MacBeth was saying is correct. that is, that in every other area than our protection, government is operating at a net loss to our economy.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2014-07-04 10:10:12

government saw the usefulness of computers for artillery firing tables and had the resources to finance ENIAC. that was an inefficient ‘demand pull’ type of program like ‘cash for clunkers’, that saw a short term gain at the expense of long term damage.

Huh??? What was the “long term damage” of the ENIAC program??

 
Comment by tj
2014-07-04 11:00:10

What was the “long term damage” of the ENIAC program??

it was the long term damage that was caused by the economy’s deprivation of resources that would have been better allocated in private sector.

now, if we’re in war for our lives, i’m not against that misallocation. i’m just pointing out that we’d be further ahead if the misallocation wasn’t necessary.

government doesn’t create a dang thing. even the scientists it uses are recruited from the private sector.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2014-07-04 12:43:49

it was the long term damage that was caused by the economy’s deprivation of resources that would have been better allocated in private sector.

Ah—so you have no evidence at all, and are resorting to a religious argument. Got it.

 
Comment by tj
2014-07-04 14:14:44

as usual, your limited understanding gets you nothing. you swim in a sea of ignorance and believe you have not missed a turn.

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2014-07-04 16:57:28

My current belief is that the idea that the private sector is such a bastion of perfect resource allocation is fully as flawed as the theory of efficient markets.

Yes, it’s far better than central planning can do, in general—but it also is the thing that brought us pet rocks and tomagachi; in other words, it is sometimes retarded, and far from efficient.

Don’t get me wrong: I’m a huge fan of free markets and removing the malinvestment caused by the FedRes and the FedGov. But I don’t buy the argument that ENIAC caused damage.

If anything, front-loading investment in certain areas (computers, space) appears to have had significant value, as they were area where large productivity efficiencies were waiting to be gained, and the private market would have taken much longer to get there and reap them, if unprompted.

 
Comment by tj
2014-07-04 22:29:28

My current belief is that the idea that the private sector is such a bastion of perfect resource allocation is fully as flawed as the theory of efficient markets.

i never claimed that the private sector provided ‘perfect’ allocation. i’m saying it provides the best allocation possible. not because it is wise, but because the failures are stopped immediately. and the hard won successes, for the most part, create wealth.

Yes, it’s far better than central planning can do, in general—but it also is the thing that brought us pet rocks and tomagachi; in other words, it is sometimes retarded, and far from efficient.

pet rocks were a sign of prosperity. many citizens get frivolous with money when they are prospering. we won’t be seeing many pet rocks or beanie babies in our calamitous future.

But I don’t buy the argument that ENIAC caused damage.

read what i wrote more carefully. i didn’t claim that ENIAC caused damage, i claimed that taking the money from the tax payer to fund it caused damage. anytime government takes money to fund a program, they damage the economy. even when it’s done for defense which is a sound purpose. we rightfully pay a price for our defense. but we shouldn’t get the idea that government has given us technology that we would not have had otherwise. that’s a common myth propagated by the left, just like ’spending is 70% of the economy’. they use that one to justify enormous spending too.

If anything, front-loading investment in certain areas (computers, space) appears to have had significant value

yes, that’s how most people see it but they’re wrong. what did the space program get us long term? an empty space station that we have to pay the russians to get a ride to. and we’re getting poorer and can do less and less.

as they were area where large productivity efficiencies were waiting to be gained, and the private market would have taken much longer to get there and reap them, if unprompted.

we weren’t financially ready to go to the moon. the proof is the scaled back faltering program we have now. we should have just continued to make improvements in our missile systems, and let the private sector take us into space when it was ready.

yes, we wouldn’t have started as early, but i believe we would have had a steady presence there by now. if the private sector had done it, it not only would have been sustainable, but it would have come at no expense to those who weren’t interested in doing it, which was the vast majority. in other words, there would have been no bill for the tax payer.

you’re right that the private sector would have taken much longer. my guess is that it would have taken 20 to 30 years longer. and what would have been the harm in that?

we should have let the russians continue to bankrupt their country by the worthless endeavor of going to the moon. we could have easily upgraded our defense without spending vast sums of money solely for showmanship.

if we wouldn’t have wasted all that money and had kept good economic policies, we would have probably been profitably mining asteroids by now. and we’d have had many more instances of pet rock type businesses as our society grew wealthier and wealthier.

instead we turned to socialism more and more. and there is a reckoning coming because of it. the great denouement.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 05:00:05

That’s what LIEberal, NeoCon, and Statist Pigs do. They create problems and make them yours.

LIEberals… Creatively developing new ways to hijack your wallet.

 
Comment by AmazingRuss
2014-07-03 05:49:37

Welcome once again to the terrified old white guy board.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 06:05:28

You do not see a problem at the border? We are not terrified but we do get prepared. That is why the white areas of Louisiana could get hit harder by Katrina than New Orleans but managed to avoid the chaos.

Comment by aNYCdj
2014-07-03 17:28:50

Dan white people looted too… but the difference was they looted gas grills food propane and then cooked it in say a wallmart parking lot……the other types looted TV’s when there was no electricity for 3 months.

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Comment by Oddfellow
2014-07-03 06:57:38

The Dividers are here to keep us divided with their labels and name-calling. Just as the PTB would like it. Divide and conquer.

 
Comment by jose canusi
2014-07-03 07:41:14

“terrified old white guy board.”

Stick it up your ass. Sideways.

 
Comment by plasmacutter
2014-07-03 19:33:34

“Welcome once again to the terrified old white guy board.”

Racism, boogey man for the left, reality FROM the left.

 
 
Comment by MacBeth
2014-07-03 06:29:06

I’ll have the scabies, please.

With a side of bacon and a dollop of Cool Whip.

Tasty!

Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 07:21:31

Senor,

We’re out of rabies. Would you care for a fresh dose of rabies instead?

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 07:26:24

Can you roll your Rs when you say that?

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Comment by MacBeth
2014-07-03 08:56:15

Perhaps Lola can roll her Rs when she channels Eartha Kitt in a leopard skin mini.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 10:20:36

A while back someone posted a photo of Lola wearing a leopard-skin leotard before he shaved his mustache. It was creepy.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Cactus
2014-07-03 08:56:17

Whooping Cough outbreak in CA is very real. Took my youngest in to Kaiser they threw a mask on him right away , said vaccination is not working and adults are giving it to kids.

He didn’t have whooping cough though. Pertussis very bad for infants.

also called the 100 day sickness by Chinese

 
Comment by "Auntie Fed, why won't you love ME?"
2014-07-03 10:54:53

People are characterizing it as a refugee situation, but it doesn’t meet the legal definition. It’s just people who feel that it’s easier to make it in the US than to improve conditions at home.

 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 04:24:11

Year Over Year Housing Demand Plunging In 55 Of 58 Counties In California

http://www.zillow.com/local-info/CA-home-value/r_9/#metric=mt%3D30%26dt%3D1%26tp%3D6%26rt%3D4%26r%3D9%26el%3D0

Comment by plasmacutter
2014-07-03 09:06:57

This chart looks off.

Alameda county shows down 1.8% M/O/M while in the past 6 months inventory has cratered, listing prices have spike 80-100k, and bidding wars to 100k over and above even those listings are common.

I’m not saying demand isn’t low, but supply is cratering even faster, creating sellers markets in many alameda county neighborhoods.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 10:12:20

With 25 million excess empty and defaulted houses, 4.4 million of which are in California, there isn’t an inventory shortage.

Comment by plasmacutter
2014-07-03 16:48:18

There have been articles about west alameda and all other bay-area communities experiencing the biggest shortage in listings in quite some time.

A look for units for sale in zillow for the east bay will show two types:

Overpriced less than 30 days old and already under contract with multiple overbids, and terrible condition and over-priced 90+ days old.

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Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 17:46:44

“Articles” eh?

You’re in the wong place bud.

 
Comment by Jingle Male
2014-07-04 05:53:00

Here’s a ground level report if you don’t like “articles”. A resident gave notice to vacate yesterday. Put it on Craigslist at 5 AM. There were 4 calls/emails before noon. Showed the place at 3 PM. Leased w a start date of August 1st.

HA says 25 million empty houses. HA, Ha, ha….tell that to the people scrambling to find a place to live. Inventory availability is tighter than ever. South Placer County in the Sacramento Valley.

My average vacancy rate over the last 6 years has been less than 1%…..

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-04 06:20:41

You’re a fraud.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 04:38:56

Housing Demand Craters In 47 Of 62 New York Counties; Plunges To 10-Year Lows

http://www.zillow.com/local-info/NY-home-value/r_43/#metric=mt%3D30%26dt%3D1%26tp%3D6%26rt%3D4%26r%3D43%26el%3D0

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 04:43:47
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 04:47:49

Colorado Housing Demand Dives 10% YoY; Demand Plunges First Time Since 2011

http://www.zillow.com/local-info/CO-home-value/r_10/#metric=mt%3D30%26dt%3D1%26tp%3D6%26rt%3D4%26r%3D10%26el%3D0

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 04:52:54

Dallas, TX Sale Prices Plunge 9% YoY; Sellers Slash Prices As Housing Demand Sinks 6% YoY

http://www.zillow.com/local-info/TX-Dallas-home-value/r_38128/#metric=mt%3D19%26dt%3D1%26tp%3D4%26rt%3D8%26r%3D38128%26el%3D0

Comment by ibbots
2014-07-03 10:33:58

North Texas new home sales rose by 10 percent in the second quarter from a year ago.

And starts of new houses inched higher, too, according to the latest data from Residential Strategies Inc.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 11:25:49

Plunging prices, cratering demand. What’s not to like Idjits?

 
 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:05:30

Is it safe to say at this point that you can’t go wrong investing all your money in equities? The alternative is to get something like zero percent return on savings (negative after inflation).

Comment by Bill, just South of Irvine, CA
2014-07-03 07:15:40

yes it’s safe. Safe for those under the age of 40. I did. 100% in equities. After 40 I started loading up on savings bonds, T-bills and notes but was still primarily into equities.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2014-07-03 08:31:54

The cries of “you can’t go wrong”, etc. are getting louder…that makes me nervous. When complacency hits a peak, so do equity prices.

One place I’ve seen complacency hit very high levels is in “core” commercial real estate (downtown Manhattan, apartments in So Cal, SF Office, etc.)…I’m doubtful that rent growth will be able to offset the rise in cap rates to maintain values.

Comment by mathguy
2014-07-03 11:26:28

I’ve been pleasantly surprised investing in pimco bond funds. They aren’t growing much, but they are generating dividends at a rate of 8-9%. CA muni pimco fund is also tax free for non-ira/401k accounts and is returning about 7%…

I hesitate to mention this too much lest people pile in and disrupt the good balance that seems to be present.

Comment by Bill, just south of Irvine
2014-07-03 12:54:02

In the 70s California municipals were yielding double digit percentages. Yours is obviously a long term municipal fund. My Arizona funds are intermediate term (5 years) and the management has been buying lower yielding (safer) Arizona municipals lately. Yield is ho hum, but the management is adhering to the investment style. It’s been up 16 out of 19 years. I’m an Arizona resident and pay Arizona state income taxes - that’s why I have Arizona municipals.

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Comment by Rental Watch
2014-07-03 17:02:54

Thanks–hadn’t thought of a PIMCO CA muni fund. When going muni, I typically go Muni MM fund.

BTW, since you’re a math guy, you’ll appreciate this:

Cap rates are very low, and small moves back toward longer-term averages could be very disruptive.

If an asset sells for a 5% cap rate, and the market value moves to a 6% cap rate (still historically low), you need to have an increase in income of 20% to NOT have any decrease in value. The change in income necessary is relatively simple math; (change in cap rate)/(starting cap rate).

So, when I see cap rates compress to 4% for some apartments…while at the same time there is all sorts of press about how people are overstretched as-is to pay rent, I cringe…if cap rates move from 4% to 5%, you need a 25% increase in income to just break even on value…yikes!

I’ve heard stories if institutional investors leveraging apartments with 4% caps as the assumed value…we are sowing the seeds of tomorrow’s distress right now.

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Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2014-07-04 12:41:44

we are sowing the seeds of tomorrow’s distress right now.

It’s not really “new” distress, though—in my view, it is more just moving yesterday’s distress to tomorrow.

But I share your concerns about cap rates. The Fed, by intentionally shifting the yield curve across the board, rescues the chosen few today, at the expense of many others tomorrow.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:07:27

Have you recently noticed a lot of articles under the headline “Same old song”?

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:11:18

Too bad the stellar returns on equities in recent years have primarily reflected central bank interest rate suppression policy rather than any kind of real improvement in economic conditions that improves societal well being.

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:12:18

Buttonwood
Same old song
Market conditions bear a worrying resemblance to those of 2007
Jun 28th 2014 | From the print edition

HAD Rip Van Winkle fallen asleep in early 2007 and woken up today, he might not have realised there had ever been a financial crisis. Credit spreads are low, house prices are rising and takeovers are booming. America’s two main stockmarket indices, the Dow and the S&P 500, keep hitting new highs. Volatility is also extremely low (see chart).

Of course, the awakening Rip might get a bit of shock if he examined the interest rate on his savings account. Rates have been close to zero in the rich world for five years now. Over that period, investors have learned that it pays to take more risk.

The general view as 2014 began was that equities would continue to do well (Wall Street enjoyed a stonking 2013, with the S&P 500 gaining 30%). This view has been undented by a volley of bad news, including a fall in America’s GDP in the first quarter (revised this week to 2.9% at an annualised rate), renewed East-West tensions over Ukraine and turmoil in Iraq, which has pushed the oil price higher. There are also signs that the pace of Europe’s recovery is slackening. The purchasing managers’ surveys for the euro zone fell by more than expected in June while the IFO survey of German business confidence dropped to a six-month low.

The latest Bank of America Merrill Lynch poll of institutional investors found that a net 48% were overweight equities, even though a net 15% felt that stocks were overvalued. This apparent contradiction is easily explained since an even bigger share of investors felt that bonds were overvalued: equities must seem the lesser of two evils. But investors also thought that bonds were overvalued at the start of the year, and yet yields have fallen since then.

 
Comment by azdude
2014-07-03 05:30:45

printing money to make stocks more valuable due to a devalued currency is so easy, even a caveman could do it.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 06:49:26

Are you calling Mugabe and Obama cavemen? Goon, we need to know if that is racist?

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Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:13:35

House prices
The same old song
May 8th 2014, 11:11
by Buttonwood

JUST as the last five years of monetary policy have boosted the incomes of the top 1% (the remuneration of CEOs, bankers, fund managers etc are all linked to the stockmarket), they have also helped to resurrect an old British problem—an overinflated housing market. It has also given the Bank of England an awkward dilemma.

Unlike in America, British house prices never really fell back to fair value. The ratio of prices to first time buyers’ earnings has varied over the past 30 years between 2.1 (in 1995) and 5.4 (in 2007).
As the economy plunged into recession, the ratio dropped to 4.1 in 2009, but fell no further and is now back at 4.7, a level it only exceeded in the middle of last decade. In London, the ratio peaked at 7.2 in 2007 but has streaked past that level in the current cycle and is now at 8. (It is not entirely a London problem; the ratio in the south-west is 5.4.) In part, of course, this is down to low interest rates, which have made mortgages more affordable. Nationwide, a building society, also has an affordability ratio, which compares mortgage payments with take-home pay; that peaked at 51.8% in 2007 and is now down at 32.6%.

The Bank can hardly increase interest rates to deal with the issue since the knock-on effects for the rest of the economy would be so great. So it could use other measures such as capping the loan-to-value ratio, stopping people from taking out 95% mortgages. But that runs counter to the government’s policy which has been to enable people to afford homes by making it easier for them to get high loan-to-value mortgages. Without such deals, first-time buyers are shut out of the market.

 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:15:50
 
 
Comment by rms
2014-07-03 05:11:45

Walked into the final minutes of an employee bi-polar episode yesterday at an office where we do regular service calls. Lost sleep last night, and up early at 0430-hrs. Not sure someone like that should be running around “at-large.”

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:24:10

Was it a manager or a lower level staff member who had the episode?

I can think of worse types running around “at-large” (e.g. recent Santa Barbara shooter).

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 06:21:19

I can think of worse types running around “at-large” (e.g. recent Santa Barbara shooter).

You do understand that people with severe bi-polar are perfectly capable of such an event?

Comment by jose canusi
2014-07-03 07:57:41

Totally capable. They can turn in the blink of an eye, because the meds exacerbate the condition. Better they should be on no meds at all, that way they’re just introverted and miserable all the time.
The meds make ‘em into ticking time bombs, where they turn on those around them.

I’ve been through what rms mentioned. Had to take a co-worker home one day. Walked into work on a Saturday, and they were on the floor, getting up occasionally to puke. The duty manager pleaded with me, so I became the sucker. The lady with the problem babbled all the way home about all the meds she was taking and how the doctor changed them. Of course, she paused every once in a while to puke in the bucket between her knees.

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Comment by Combotechie
2014-07-03 05:29:56

“… bi-polar episode …”

Details?

Comment by rms
2014-07-03 15:58:30

“Details?”

I was told that is was a bi-polar situation. That’s way the f*** beyond reasonable accommodation for any employer to put up with that chit. It’s likely being escalated, so I won’t go into details. I’m sure this woman’s family must be at their wit’s end.

Many years ago I was an automobile re-possessor, and I encountered several really upset people as well as a few cases of rage. However I had [one] case where the debtor was well beyond the rational world. I eventually realized that this guy was incoherent, but it was his piercing eyes that really scared me; my first nut case! Never saw the client’s Ford Ranger.

I’m sure the police or people who work in the prison system can spot the signs right-off. I’m not tuned for that, so it still gives me the adrenalin goose-bumps when I make the realization.

 
 
 
Comment by Combotechie
2014-07-03 05:22:20

Here’s an article that rips up the “War is good for the economy” argument:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-07-02/yet-another-idiot-economist-says-war-good-economy

War sucks, and it really sucks for you if the war is happening on your own turf. But I suppose for some people it doesn’t suck at all if:

1. It is being fought somewhere else

2. By young people that you do not know.

Comment by MacBeth
2014-07-03 06:27:45

Not much difference here, really, between this and your typical spend, spend, spend Keynesian government efforts.

“War sucks, and it really sucks for you if the war is happening on your own turf. But I suppose for some people it doesn’t suck at all if:

1. It is being fought somewhere else

2. By young people that you do not know.”

Forced spending sucks, and it really sucks for you if the forced spending is happening on your own turf. But I suppose for some people it doesn’t suck at all if:

1. If spending if being forced somewhere else.

2. By young people that you don’t know.”

Funny how this works - I mean, imperialistic crusades undertaken either afar or domestically.

 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 05:27:53

I’m thinking of starting a business founded on the used house sales model. I’mg going to buy used cars and price them at levels higher than the cost of new cars.

Will I get any buyers?

Comment by azdude
2014-07-03 06:39:02

break out your dow 17000 hat dude.

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2014-07-03 07:06:28

Sell it to them on time payments and show them it is cheaper with a big spreadsheet. You’ll make a killing.

 
Comment by ibbots
2014-07-03 10:36:05

car =/ houses fyi

Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 19:00:31

Cars …. houses. Both deprecate rapidly Idjits.

 
 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:34:19

Gold is really getting hammered by the jobs report.

Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:35:59

July 3, 2014, 8:30 a.m. EDT
U.S. gains 288,000 jobs in June; unemployment 6.1%
By Jeffry Bartash

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - The U.S. added 288,000 jobs in June and the unemployment rate fell to a nearly six-year low of 6.1% as more people entered the labor force and found work, the government reported Thursday.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 06:08:58

So that is all the bounce back from the “weather” we are going to get. I looked at the increase in the average wage for the month while better than the previous month, we reached 6 cents an hour, we are looking at a 2% increase over the last year, far below the rise in all the basics of life. Some recovery.

Comment by azdude
2014-07-03 06:40:38

more part time service jobs as usual?

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 06:47:12

As Palin would say, you betcha.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 06:49:24

30 stocks? LOL. What’s even funnier is that just one is skewing the index. CAT.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 06:55:34

30 stocks? LOL. What’s even funnier is that just one is skewing the index. CAT.

I see what you mean about CAT.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 06:57:29

An index of 30 stocks is an easily skewed indicator.

What private bank is buying blocks of CAT? ;)

 
 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 07:05:56

According to the government’s numbers, wages have gone up 2% over the last twelve months, shelter costs have gone up 2.9%, food at home has gone up 2.7%, medical has gone up 3.0% and electricity has gone up 3.6%, thanks Obama.

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Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 22:55:53

Any chance Q2 will turn up with negative GDP growth, despite all the Goldilocks reports? Technically this would mean the economy is in a recession, though it takes the NBER folks about a year to figure out what Mr. Market already knows.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2014-07-03 14:01:46

“the government reported…”

500,000 full time jobs lost. 800,000 part time jobs added. Labor participation rate at 36 year low.

 
 
Comment by scdave
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 06:26:53

Really?

Rental rates are falling in the most densely populated state in the country.

New Jersey Rental Rates Sink 5% YoY As Excess Housing Inventory Balloons

http://www.zillow.com/local-info/NJ-home-value/r_40/#metric=mt%3D46%26dt%3D1%26tp%3D5%26rt%3D14%26r%3D40%252C395164%252C394348%252C395193%26el%3D0

Comment by Gabor
2014-07-03 12:42:17

Rents definitely been goin up here in south florida

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Comment by localandlord
2014-07-03 15:50:05

Rents are definitely going up in Locaville, especially in the trendy neighborhoods and brand new complexes.

Boggles me. I haven’t had much turnover. Lots of people want to stay put as I generally don’t raise rents. That’s OK. I prefer lo-hassle to mo-money.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 17:09:58

Falling in Manhattan too.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 05:57:48

Less than a 1% drop is getting hammered?

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 06:14:38

BTW, while gold is down .8% (OMG), palladium is even managing a slight gain, thanks South Africa.

Comment by Bill, just south of Irvine
2014-07-03 17:07:50

I’m thinking if this stock market does another double digit gain this year and next year, no problem selling off pieces of my best stock gains still and buying metals while metal prices stay rangebound.

And of course building up more cash.

I need another wine fridge. One to hold 32 bottles. buy up assets that will gain value over time when the stocks crash…

I might need good quality wines to trade for gold later.

 
 
 
Comment by Whac-A-Bubble™
2014-07-03 05:44:34

BIS: ultra low interest rates could make global economy permanently unstable

* Bank for International Settlements warns “persistent easing bias” by fiscal, monetary and prudential policymakers has lulled governments “into a false sense of security”

* Mr Borio said policies were needed to “tame the financial cycle” and lean against financial booms rather than just “ease aggressively and persistently during busts”

By Szu Ping Chan
11:30AM BST 29 Jun 2014

Ultra low interest rates and the failure of policy to “lean against” the build-up of financial imbalances are in danger of making the global economy permanently unstable, the Bank for International Settlements has warned.

In its annual report, the Swiss-based “bank of central banks” spelled out the risks of relying too heavily on monetary policy to stimulate the economy. The BIS warned that central banks including the Bank of England and US Federal Reserve could keep monetary policy loose for too long, with potentially damaging consequences.

“The prospects for a bumpy exit together with other factors suggest that the predominant risk is that central banks will find themselves behind the curve, exiting too late or too slowly,” the BIS said on Sunday.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 05:45:39

Deflation is your wallets best friend. Your best friend is gonna stick around a while. ;)

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 05:50:55

“If you bought a house 1998 to current, you’ve got rocks in your head.”

… and a millstone around your neck.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 05:53:15

“When the housing correction proceeds without interference and housing bottoms, it will be time to buy. Until then, the losses associated with buying a house at current prices are tremendous.”

Indeed. Housing prices have a long way to fall before they bottom.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 05:54:27
 
Comment by Raymond K Hessel
2014-07-03 05:59:46

Good middle-class, living wage jobs going away and replaced with barista and Walmart checkout girl jobs.

And here’s the metric the MSM refuses to mention when touting the “recovery”:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-07-03/people-not-labor-force-rise-new-record-participation-rate-remains-35-year-lows

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 06:10:12

Obama is creating good wage jobs but he is creating them in China:

http://www.chinaeconomicreview.com/peugeot-plans-fourth-china-plant

Comment by In Colorado
2014-07-03 08:54:15

Uh … last time I checked, Peugeot was a French company. Thanks, François Hollande?

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 09:32:36

First there are plenty of U.S. auto companies in China and that article talks about the growth of production in China, second that comment misses the bigger point. While we hobble our economy through regulation and higher energy prices, China expands away. It is getting cheaper oil from oil sands which is being shipped to the Canadian coast due to Obama delaying the XL pipeline. They will soon be getting cheap Russian natural gas which occurred quickly after Obama suggested possible sanctions against Russia. More investment would occur in the US if profits earned abroad did not suffer double taxation if repatriated. The list goes on and on, how Obama is helping China’s expansion and hurting our economy. But yes China needs to thank Hollande also, I guess raising taxes can have negative consequences.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 09:35:46

But here Colorado, now repeat after me, thanks Obama, (from the same source):

Monday, April 21, 2014

.
.
Share:

Share on facebook

Share on twitter

Share on sinaweibo

Share on reddit

Share on linkedin

.

General Motors (GM.NYSE) announced it would invest US$12 billion in China between 2014 and 2017, an attempt to grab market supremacy back from Volkswagon (VOW.ETR), Reuters reported. VW eclipsed GM last year to become the top-selling foreign brand in China. GM plans to build five more plants in China next year as part of its efforts to ramp up manufacturing capacity there by 65% by 2020. Looking away from China’s coastal provinces, Volkswagen also said it would invest billions to increase the number of dealerships in China’s central and western provinces. VW said vehicle density in China’s smaller cities offers lucrative growth prospects.

 
Comment by MightyMike
2014-07-03 10:24:14

Labor is very cheap in China, much chaeper than in developed economies such as the US, France or Germany. China also probably has tariffs on imported cars. These are the most important reasons for Peugeot, GM and VW to build factories in China. There was an article on Bloomberg.com yesterday about BMW building a factory in Mexico for the same reason - cheap labor.

Also, the most of oil that Canada sells to China is pretty small at this point.

 
Comment by MightyMike
2014-07-03 10:25:34

I meant to write, “the amount of oil that Canada sells to China is pretty small at this point.”

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 10:30:07

These are the most important reasons for Peugeot, GM and VW to build factories in China.

And one of the biggest is Obama’s policies are not being followed there. Virtually, no welfare programs and moving toward reducing government’s role in the economy and not expanding it. I do not care if the amount of oil be sold to China is small, it is expanding and it along with Obama’s coal policy is forfeiting one of the few advantages we have.

 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 10:35:05

The bottom line is how has Obama made businesses more competitive with China?

1. Has he reduced their taxes? No, he increased their taxes including Obamacare taxes.

2. Has he reduced their regulatory compliance costs? Their regulatory burden is soaring.

3. Has he reduced their energy costs? No, his war on coal is driving up energy costs.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2014-07-03 10:54:20

China also probably has tariffs on imported cars.

More than that, they are … hold still … protectionist. That’s right, if you want to sell cars in China, you have to make them there.

Of course if we do that, it’s evil. When China does that, it’s just good business sense.

Still, blaming Obama for a French car company setting up a factory in China to make cars to sell in China … whatever.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2014-07-03 10:56:04

Don’t get me wrong, Obama sucks rocks as prez. But blaming that on him? Maybe blame that on the president of France. Then again, the ChiComs have dictated “if you want to sell them here, you make them here.”

 
Comment by MightyMike
2014-07-03 11:09:23

That’s right, if you want to sell cars in China, you have to make them there.

Of course if we do that, it’s evil.

To be more specific, it would be an interference in free trade and free markets which is always and everywhere a good thing for all concerned.

 
Comment by plasmacutter
2014-07-03 17:20:31

China been engaged in an active economic assault on the west for years and thanks to multinationals corrupting our legislators to pad their quarterly sheets, we’re handing them refreshments and umbrellas as they storm our economic beaches D-Day style.

So…Why are we arguing about how we race to the bottom with a geo-economic cheater who tariffs nations it’s supposed to be in “free trade” agreements with, manipulates its currency, gives massive subsidies to its domestic industry, then dumps the product on our markets to drive ours under?

China is utilizing the same plan Alexander Hamilton used to rapidly industrialize the US. If we don’t dust off those policies soon, we’re going to swap places with china.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 06:11:02

And if price bottlenecks and distortions weren’t put into place, it wouldn’t be an issue.

Comment by azdude
2014-07-03 07:05:21

service jobs allow people to pool their money and buy houses together.

More tenants in common deals?

Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 07:07:21

Doesn’t seem to be working well.

Remember… Housing demand is at 19 year lows and falling.

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Comment by azdude
2014-07-03 08:28:14

the media keeps saying housing and stocks are leading us out of the recession.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 10:11:04

Amy/$hitHousePoet,

How far in debt are you?

 
Comment by azdude
2014-07-03 11:04:51

0 debt just a boatload of equity partner.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 11:21:29

You’re loaded to the gills with the debt $hitHousePoet.

 
Comment by azdude
2014-07-03 12:11:57

your bankrupt aren’t you? U missed the boat again?

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 13:09:30

those depreciating shacks are eating you alive.

 
Comment by azdude
2014-07-03 17:56:01

cash flow rolling in buddy. hows your 4th shopping at walmart going? ball park franks this year?

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 17:58:26

Dump those shacks while you still have a chance $hitHousePoet.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 06:46:30

When are we getting another stellar performance from Lola and Liberace?

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 07:09:25

Be careful what you ask for you just might get it. BTW, I presume you mean on this board and not a video on some porn site?

Disclaimer: Lola and Liberace are fictional characters. Any resemblance to anyone living or brain dead is entirely coincidental.

Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 07:11:32

Jiminy cripps you’re right. nevermind…

 
 
 
Comment by Housing Analyst
 
Comment by Bill, just South of Irvine, CA
2014-07-03 07:39:39

This is an interesting chart of DODFX

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=DODFX+Basic+Chart&t=my

Almost as high as the 2008 peak before the big drop.

Ominous?

I say at least in the USA no correction until after the mid term election. International developed markets will follow. Maybe after the elections in November it will be a Wiley Coyote moment when Wiley runs off the cliff and finally glances down…

Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 07:54:00

Support levels seem to be at thirds…. 15/30/45. Now trading at $46. I still own it but looking for an exit. Maybe soon.

Comment by azdude
2014-07-03 08:24:31

I assume more beans and wieners for the fourth?

Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 13:17:25

Have you consulted with a bankruptcy attorney yet?

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Comment by azdude
2014-07-03 17:57:41

do your shanties @ 50 include indoor plumbing or a sh@thouse in the backyard?

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 17:59:57

You better find one soon. You’re deeper underwater by the month.

 
 
 
 
Comment by jose canusi
2014-07-03 08:00:50

Nah, Obama’s like, apres moi, le deluge.

 
 
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 08:17:27

See Goon, Colorado will become like California when it addresses the issue I identified: the poor not being able to afford legal pot:

http://sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com/2014/07/02/berkeley-plans-to-provide-free-weed-for-low-income-patients-marijuana-pot-collectives-dispensaries/

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 08:24:13

Goon you need to tell these people where they can get legal pot at reasonable prices:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2597149/Legal-pot-Colorado-stopped-black-market.html

 
Comment by MacBeth
2014-07-03 08:26:31

There have been many Californians that have made their way to Colorado during the past 25 years.

The lunacy is invading Colorado are an increasing rate.

You’re right, goon. Colorado is becoming the place NOT to be.

It’s going to be interesting to see how Colorado deals with a big influx of welfare folks, what with TABOR on the books. One of them is going to have to go. Which will it be, hmmmm?

A virtual cookie goes to the HBB poster who calls this one correctly first!

Comment by azdude
2014-07-03 08:32:42

the tax payer bill of rights will become tp and the freebies will grow to leviate CA’s population problem.

Comment by In Colorado
2014-07-03 09:03:15

TABOR is a constitutional amendment. It can only be revoked by referendum. And that isn’t gonna happen. Every attempt to circumvent TABOR so far has gone down in flames at the voting booth. Even requests for small tax increases lose by a 2 to 1 margin.

The lunacy is invading Colorado are an increasing rate.

Actually, migration into Colorado has slowed appreciably from the block buster 90’s.

Also, keep in mind that most of the people leaving California tend to be more conservative (which is why they’re leaving). Though these days more seem to be headed to places like Arizona and Nevada.

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Comment by 2banana
2014-07-03 09:20:54

FYI - traditional marriage amendments were also part of many state consitititions.

As obama has shown us - all it takes is one federal judge to over turn it

 
Comment by In Colorado
2014-07-03 11:03:20

FYI - traditional marriage amendments were also part of many state consitititions.

As obama has shown us - all it takes is one federal judge to over turn it

TABOR has withstood many legal challenges. So much so that the big spenders have pretty much given up challenging it. They can’t win in the courtroom and they can’t win at the ballot box. It’s demise was predicted when it was approved by voters 20 years ago, and yet its still going strong, and for one very good reason: the overwhelming majority voters support it.

The Colorado Dems know that if they try to overturn it that they are handing over the keys to the GOP. So even they live with it and ask for small tax increases piecemeal (and always get turned down).

 
 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2014-07-03 09:07:52

It’s going to be interesting to see how Colorado deals with a big influx of welfare folks, what with TABOR on the books. One of them is going to have to go. Which will it be, hmmmm?

As long as TABOR isn’t revoked the state funded bennies will stay low.

Consider this: Colorado has one of the lowest per student K-12 spending in the country. Every time the education lobby puts an initiative on the ballot to add $100-200 to the average property tax bill to increase school funding, it goes down in flames, big time. And IIRC, a 2/3 majority is required to circumvent TABOR.

Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 09:52:05

Colorado has one of the lowest per student K-12 spending in the country.

There you go, all it would take is a liberal judge to say that the funding mechanism for schools in place discriminates against minority students and thus the restrictions imposed by TABOR violate the federal constitution and under the supremacy clause the Colorado constitutional amendment is invalid. I know there is plenty wrong with this analysis but I know that there are plenty of lawyers that can be appointed to the bench that would engage in it. There even is legal precedent, I know of a Kansas case where a district was mandated to spend an obscene amount on schools with a similar analysis.

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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2014-07-03 09:57:38

Racial Bias Ruling Raises School Taxes

By WILLIAM ROBBINS, Special to the New York Times
Published: September 17, 1987

A Federal district judge, in a move designed to wipe out the vestiges of racial discrimination in the Kansas City school system, today ordered sharp increases in property and income taxes to pay for sweeping improvements.

The order by the judge, Russell G. Clark, nearly doubles the Kansas City school district’s property tax rate and increases by 25 percent the amount of state income taxes paid by anyone with earnings from activities or employment in the district.

The property levy was intended to wipe out a deficit estimated by Judge Clark at $27 million a year in the budget for a broad array of school system improvements that he had previously ordered, including dozens of ”magnet” schools that seek to attract students from suburban schools and private schools in the city.

The judge also suggested a pay increase for teachers, saying the new taxes would provide funds to permit such an action by the school board. Burden on Commercial Property

 
 
Comment by In Colorado
2014-07-03 11:07:21

A Federal district judge, in a move designed to wipe out the vestiges of racial discrimination in the Kansas City school system, today ordered sharp increases in property and income taxes to pay for sweeping improvements.

As I’ve said before, TABOR has been challenged since day 1, and yet it’s still here. Too bad Missouri doesn’t have TABOR.

 
Comment by In Colorado
2014-07-03 11:11:43

There you go, all it would take is a liberal judge to say that the funding mechanism for schools in place discriminates against minority students and thus the restrictions imposed by TABOR violate the federal constitution and under the supremacy clause the Colorado constitutional amendment is invalid.

That argument has been made and it went down in flames, in part because school funding is managed by the state government and all districts are pretty much funded the same amount, so no discrimination. And IIRC, the voters in the City of Denver did a voluntary De-Brucing to provide additional funding for their schools.

Gotta love TABOR. I really wish you guys in NM had it too.

 
Comment by taxpayers
2014-07-03 11:17:00

tax whitey

 
 
 
Comment by Bill, just south of Irvine
2014-07-03 17:03:42

Low tax states where Californians don’t go:

New Hampshire, Alaska, Wyoming, South Dakota, …?

 
 
 
Comment by tresho
2014-07-03 08:56:40

Hermit found dead was secret millionaire
WHITE PLAINS, N.Y. — George Konnight lived like a hermit when he could have lived like a millionaire.

Ramapo, N.Y., police Tuesday identified a 79-year-old man found dead outside his rural house as Konnight, who had lived alone since his sister’s recent death on what once was the family farm.

Despite having few possessions in the rundown house, Konnight had banked $3 million from the sale of about 31.5 acres of his family’s property.

The Rockland County Medical Examiner’s Office is doing an autopsy to determine the cause of death. Ramapo Detective Lt. Mark Emma theorized he most likely died of a medical condition as he walked the property.

“He lived a very simple life, hermit-like,” Emma said. “He had his attorney and another man looking in on him now and again. He was alone.”

Emma said Konnight walked to the road through the woods. If he needed to travel he did so by taxi.

“He’d wander through the paths and woods,” Emma said. “It looks like he cut his own firewood. He had one light. The house was in disarray. People could have thought the house may have been abandoned.”

Eugene Erickson, 82, a neighbor since 1956 who had gone to school with Konnight and one of his two sisters, said he knew the family but they didn’t socialize or speak much.

Beverly Moore, 75, a Suffern resident who said she’s a distant cousin, said she hadn’t seen Konnight or his siblings since a funeral of her grandfather in 1973; she did not know the two sisters, Alice and Anna, had died or that George had died Friday.

“They kept to themselves,” Moore said. “They didn’t ask anyone for anything, as far as I know.”

Moore recalled visiting the Konnight farm as a girl. The house was far off the road back in the woods and there always were props or tree limbs blocking the dirt road, she said.

“You’d scream for them to let them know you were there and they’d come out on the porch, sometimes,” she recalled. “We never made it to the house. They didn’t have many friends or even a telephone.”

 
Comment by Cactus
2014-07-03 10:13:32

Boomers will have to suck the Blood from the young in order to stay alive forever..

“The overview of the study, published in the journal Nature, states:
As human lifespan increases, a greater fraction of the population is suffering from age-related cognitive impairments, making it important to elucidate a means to combat the effects of aging. Here we report that exposure of an aged animal to young blood can counteract and reverse pre-existing effects of brain aging at the molecular, structural, functional and cognitive level. Genome-wide microarray analysis of heterochronic parabionts – in which circulatory systems of young and aged animals are connected – identified synaptic plasticity–related transcriptional changes in the hippocampus of aged mice.

 
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-03 10:16:07

Alameda County, CA Housing Demand Collapses To Near Great Recession Lows As Inventory Balloons

http://www.zillow.com/local-info/CA-home-value/r_9/#metric=mt%3D30%26dt%3D1%26tp%3D6%26rt%3D4%26r%3D9%26el%3D0

Comment by plasmacutter
2014-07-03 19:48:34

price cut listings starting to spike again.

The 5 year chart shows this is beginning a third dead-cat bounce.

http://www.zillow.com/local-info/CA-home-value/r_9/#metric=mt%3D6%26dt%3D1%26tp%3D5%26rt%3D4%26r%3D9%252C3101%252C1286%252C2841%252C1510%26el%3D0

Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-07-04 06:27:36

That’s what happens when demand collapses.

 
 
 
Comment by ibbots
 
Comment by Neuromance
2014-07-03 11:12:06

Why the U.S. Corporate World Became ‘A Bull Market for Corruption’
Knowledge@Wharton newsletter
June 30, 2014

Morgenson recapped a litany of the past decade’s corporate financial debacles, referring to it as a “trend” that she called “increasingly disturbing”: “The giant accounting frauds that took down companies in the early 2000s, the corrupt brokerage firm research that harmed so many investors, the Libor [London Interbank Offered Rate] rate-fixing scandal that cast doubt on the basis for trillions of dollars of fixed income instruments.” And of course, said Morgenson, there was “the mother of them all” — the 2008 mortgage crisis, which she called “a debacle so big and so devastating that I wound up writing about it for seven years.”

Each of these crises was larger than the one before, said Morgenson, and all raise serious questions about some of society’s “most revered institutions.” What she finds most troubling is that among the executives at the core of these events, “accountability has been AWOL.”

http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/u-s-corporate-world-became-bull-market-corruption-bad-conduct/

Don’t forget: politicians enable all of it by rewriting legislation, selective prosecution and favoring cronies.

 
Comment by Neuromance
2014-07-03 11:20:22

One more note on the Hanauer piece (”The Pitchforks Are Coming For Us Plutocrats”) : I noted that it was hunger that was necessary to start a revolution. But what about the American Revolution? That was a tax revolt, led by English/American elites. I suspect it was a rarity. Also - significant change can start with just a change of government backed with broad popular support. It may not need to be as grass-roots and sudden as the Arab Spring. The Arab Spring is one model of revolution. It’s not the only model. I suppose the key is to identify counter-examples.

However… if there are a lot of people who grumble but are “satisfied enough” with the current system, that makes major change unlikely, barring some significant outside change - invasion, environmental disruption, etc.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2014-07-03 12:44:30

http://www.cnbc.com/id/101810879

WTF was Dodd Frank and the 100,000 pages of regulations that are coming out of it?

Did they simply forget to regulate risky behavior in that mess?

Oh yeah, that’s right, they were too busy regulating behavior that had nothing to do with the crash to focus on the real problem.

Comment by Neuromance
2014-07-03 13:05:52

Politicians talking about reforming one of their biggest funding sources reminds me this quote from MacBeth: “It is a tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.”

It’s theater. It has consequences of course, but not the ones they’re telling the public it will have.

 
 
Comment by goon squad
2014-07-03 13:35:14

Mountain p0rn

http://www.picpaste.com/IMG_20140703_112304_553-KnrrSYjI.jpg

The local native Americans’ Sky Wizard told them this one is holy

 
Comment by Raymond K Hessel
2014-07-03 15:31:46

This Fourth of July, spare some thought for the original patriots who rebelled against taxation without representation. Then spare some thought for the Fed, which through its debasement of the currency, is imposing a stealth tax on us all through inflation (likely to manifest as hyperinflation before the Fed is finished).

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-07-03/cost-your-july-4th-burger-has-never-been-higher

Comment by drumminj
2014-07-03 16:21:49

And consider joining Lawrence Lessig’s movement to take our republic back: Mayday PAC

Comment by Neuromance
2014-07-03 19:26:30

I’m glad Lessig put together the Mayday PAC. I’m curious to see how it progresses.

Comment by drumminj
2014-07-03 19:58:07

Me too. If you haven’t read his book, do so. It’s an interesting read, and puts forth some good potential solutions.

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Comment by aNYCdj
2014-07-03 18:20:10
 
Comment by Ramond K Hessel
2014-07-03 18:24:58

Homemoaners bewailing California’s increasingly draconian penalties for excessive water usage as the drought starts to bite. Money quote: “We spend hundreds of thousands for our homes and can’t even water the grass,’ said Richard Massey, a 46-year-old disabled forklift operator, as he watched Mr. Geach cite a neighbor.”

Cry me a river, Mr. Massey.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-07-03/its-either-do-it-or-you-die-california-regulators-clamp-down-water-waste

 
Comment by Ramond K Hessel
2014-07-03 18:27:31

No more “aliens,” just Democrat Super-majority Entitlement Voters.

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/07/03/ICE-to-No-Longer-Refer-to-Unaccompanied-Minors-as-UACs

 
Comment by Ramond K Hessel
2014-07-03 18:35:09

It seems not everyone is enthused about paying the costs for Pelosi’s latest entitlements-for-votes bloc.

http://news.yahoo.com/california-bus-saga-suggests-illegal-immigration-backlash-boiling-232650860.html

Carol Schlayfer of Pomona, Calif., said to the City Council on Tuesday: “We were declared a sanctuary city in the mid-’90s, and I want to warn you that the crime level in your city will elevate beyond your imagination, and the quality of life will deteriorate beyond your imagination. That’s how it works.”

On the dusty outskirts of town the same day, where about 100 protesters waved signs and cars driving by beeped in support, mother of four Ellen Meeks held a sign that read: “Help OUR government. Help house OUR children. OUR vets. Our Moms and dads. We need help here first.”

“One reason I moved out of Moreno Valley is because this immigration got out of hand. Well, I found out you can’t run from it. You have to speak your opinion,” she said.

 
Comment by Raymond K Hessel
2014-07-04 06:37:10

When French banks deal with unsavory countries we don’t like, they get $8.8 billion dollar fines. When one of the Fed’s primary-deal banks, JP Morgan, aids and abets such illegal transactions, it is “unwitting.” Cue slap-on-the-wrist fines, a pledge to hire more compliance officers, and an increase in political campaign contributions to make this problem go away.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-07-03/jpmorgan-said-to-have-unwittingly-helped-bnp-s-transfers.html

 
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