The Wrong End Of A Business Decision
The Associated Press reports on Florida. “To motivate a classroom packed with 87 aspiring real estate agents, instructor Keith Grandy started off his one-week, intensive course with the promise of big money: With hard work, fresh licensees in the Miami metro area could make $100,000 a year if they complete at least two transactions per month, according to current property prices and commissions. The workforce in this field tends to expand and contract violently, mirroring the booms and busts that shock the housing market and the economy as a whole.”
“Gold Coast Schools of Real Estate saw its enrollment fall 70 percent during the housing collapse, director John Greer said. But enrollment was up 20 percent last year, driven by students dazzled by the chance at fat commissions. ‘The income is going to be great and I’m going to have my own schedule,’ said Katherine Sanchez, a 34-year-old nutritionist and a student in Grandy’s class.”
The Sun Sentinel. “Some buyers are solving their house-searching woes through prose. They’re writing notes to sellers, telling them how happy they’d be to buy their homes. The simple gesture is paying off in today’s ultra-competitive market, where inventory is tight and bidding wars are typical. Writing a letter probably is one of the easiest things buyers have to do to land a home these days, said Samantha DeBianchi, a Fort Lauderdale real estate agent. Sometimes even pets are part of the deal. One of DeBianchi’s clients had to adopt the seller’s cat as part of the purchase. The client was a dog owner, but she agreed to the deal. ‘This is just how it is,’ DeBianchi said. ‘Sellers are completely in control.’”
From Reuters. “As construction cranes crowd the coastline and developers strive to lure wealthy international buyers with brand name towers and lavish amenities, there are signs Miami’s latest condo boom has begun to slow and a possible oversupply could temper record prices. In downtown Miami, 90 percent of sales were international, primarily to investors, according to Integra Realty Resources and the city’s downtown promotion agency. However, the investor glut, slowing condo sales and plans for thousands of new units have combined to raise analysts’ concerns.”
“‘Because there are so many renters, foreign owners and new towers going up, rents are likely to fall, and that could prompt some (investors) to take their money off the table,’ said real estate analyst Peter Zalewski of CondoVultures. ‘This effect could be the beginning potentially of a sell-off.’”
From WMFE-FM. “Nationwide foreclosure activity is declining to rates not seen since before the housing collapse began in 2006. But in Central Florida rates continue to rank among the nation’s worst. The problem extends from Orlando to Melbourne, Daytona Beach, Ocala and Lakeland. Paul Kellogg is a civil engineer who was designing subdivisions when he lost his job in 2009. A year later the bank foreclosed on the Sanford home where the family had lived for 15 years.”
“Judie Kellogg’s lowest point came while she was on the phone one day inquiring about food stamps. She was in her car, and it was pouring rain. ‘The lady goes, Well, are you homeless? And I said, Excuse me? And she said, Well, let me give you the definition of homeless. You don’t own anything. You don’t have a permanent residence.’ That’s when it hit her. ‘And I said, Well, I guess I’m homeless. I’m sitting in my car with pretty much everything I own, and I don’t know how long I’m going to be able to stay where I’m at. So yes, I’m homeless.’”
The Palm Beach Post. “Hundreds of South Florida residents are facing new foreclosure ramifications as banks seek to collect on the unpaid mortgage debt from homes that were lost years before. In a month-long period beginning June 1, about 110 so-called deficiency judgments were filed against Palm Beach County homeowners by a Texas-based debt collection company called Dyck O’Neal. The same firm filed more than 300 cases in Broward County and nearly 200 in Miami-Dade County.”
“After seeing nearly no deficiency judgments since the housing crisis began, South Florida foreclosure defense attorney Roy Oppenheim said he’s been contacted in the past two months by about 50 people served summonses by Dyck O’Neal. ‘To me, these people are vultures,’ said Miami resident Chris Ossman, who was served this summer with a deficiency judgment lawsuit seeking about $84,000. ‘I imagine they are looking for people getting back on their feet who they think they can get some money from.’”
The South Florida Business Journal. “Peter Zalewski, the man widely known as the Condo Vulture for his website chronicling how to capitalized on South Florida’s real estate crash, now knows what it’s like to be on the wrong end of a foreclosure. Zalewsk called the foreclosure of his Miami Beach condominium unit a ‘business decision.’”
“Zalewski paid $265,900 for the 943-square-foot unit in 2004 and obtained a $212,700 mortgage, plus a $52,800 second mortgage. Zalewski said he’s been quietly marketing the condo and kept it off the MLS to avoid publicity and get a better deal. He’s confident that the unit will sell for more than its mortgage. The county property appraiser valued the condo at $264,630, and he believes its true value is more than that.”
“So why not pay the mortgage until the unit is sold? ‘As part of the sales process, I’m making a business decision and, ultimately, I’ll deal with it in a business way,’ Zalewski said. ‘If I sell this condo, and I will, this all goes away …. I will still have black eye from it, but it will all play out.’”
‘Milwaukee resident James Uihlein sold a 2,430-square-foot house and 484-square-foot garage at 1871 Laurel Street in Sarasota for half of what he paid during the boom.’
‘Dwight Howard sold his home in Longwood for less than half of what he purchased it for in 2008.’
Sellers are in complete control, resistance is useless.
That Howard house (named the “Chateau D’Usse”) is obscene, you can take a slideshow walkthrough. I’m thinking about how much it costs to air-condition that. I know Howard could afford the electric bill but my God.
… cratering housing demand…. drip…… drip….drip……
Mortgage Purchase Applications Sink Again
http://247wallst.com/housing/2014/08/06/mortgage-loan-rates-tick-up-as-refinancing-increases/
hi
“To motivate a classroom packed with 87 aspiring real estate agents, instructor Keith Grandy started off his one-week, intensive course with the promise of big money: With hard work, fresh licensees in the Miami metro area could make $100,000 a year if they complete at least two transactions per month, according to current property prices and commissions.”
And when there are Realtors involved, its a guarantee there will be widespread fraud.
Come clean with the public and cleanup your act NAR before its done for you.
These classes are gifts to bankers. These newly-minted realtors are pumped up then turned lose to SELL SELL SELL and when they are successful at doing all this selling - when they successfully convince schmucks to throw some hefty sums of money down on a multi-year payment-plan commitment - these newly-minted realtors bring the schmucks to me for some dotted-line signing.
Bahahahahahahahahahahahahaha
They do all the work and I do most of the cashing in.
Bahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha
Life is good.
—-”The Sun Sentinel. “Some buyers are solving their house-searching woes through prose. They’re writing notes to sellers, telling them how happy they’d be to buy their homes. The simple gesture is paying off in today’s ultra-competitive market, where inventory is tight and bidding wars are typical. Writing a letter probably is one of the easiest things buyers have to do to land a home these days, said Samantha DeBianchi, a Fort Lauderdale real estate agent. Sometimes even pets are part of the deal. One of DeBianchi’s clients had to adopt the seller’s cat as part of the purchase. The client was a dog owner, but she agreed to the deal. ‘This is just how it is,’ DeBianchi said. ‘Sellers are completely in control.’””—-
What media consultant penned this one? How was paid to Sun Sentinel to run it?
It’s a psychological warfare technique to distract the buyer from the reality that they are throwing away hundreds of thousands of dollars which they haven’t even slaved for yet. If you left them contemplating just that, they might back out.
‘had to adopt the seller’s cat as part of the purchase’
Not exactly feeding the squirrel, but sorta similar.
Feeding the dog.
Pretty soon these FBs will find themselves eating the dog.
‘The home on Davis Islands represents a business deal for Cassidy, CEO of Majesty Title Services LLC in Tampa. There isn’t yet a buyer for the home, which is under construction speculatively and listed for sale at $3.7 million. It’s the third such project for Cassidy’s group…It’s not a market that will last forever, and he’s cognizant of that. He said he sees at least three to four more years, though he’s also watching the market for potential competitors, as the more houses on the market, the greater his risk.’
“We can’t be a pig at this. That’s why I’m not going to have six to eight going on at more than one time — that would be piggy,” he said. “But I have no doubt there will be other people who are going to see this market, and want to start putting a stake in the ground too, so that creates a bit more availability of inventory. So that’s why we need to be cautious as to what we commit to and how fast we can get them built.”
I wonder why he doesn’t think his business is sustainable.
Davis Islands is a nice area, especially if you own a boat, but enough with the McMansions already. Derek Jeter, who is single with no kids, built a house there that is the size of a Barnes & Noble. You’ll have a modest 3/2 or 4/3, and right next door somebody’s trying to be the Great Gatsby.
Another professional baseball player, Ryan Howard, had his gaudy under-construction house in Belleair Beach featured in the newspaper today. It looks like a hotel. The doorknobs alone cost $80,000.
http://tinyurl.com/lct3qxf
‘A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll found that despite the steady pace of hiring in recent months, 76% of adults lack confidence that their children’s generation will have a better life than they do—an all-time high. Some 71% of adults think the country is on the wrong track, a leap of 8 points from a June survey, and 60% believe the U.S. is in a state of decline.’
‘What’s more, seven in 10 adults blamed the malaise more on Washington leaders than on any deeper economic trends, and 79% expressed some level of dissatisfaction with the American political system.’
“I was doing better five years ago than I’m doing now,” said Laura Colvin, 29, a fast-food worker in Jonesboro, Ark., whose hourly wage has risen less than a $1 over that period while her utility costs and the price of other goods and services have risen.’
“We’ve always wanted our kids to have it better than we did, whether it’s an education or a good job, and it just doesn’t seem like I see that for my kids,” said Luis Gomez, 64 years old, a land surveyor from Overland Park, Kan., who is worried about the costs of higher education for his 17-year-old son. “It feels like we’re Japan, that the economy has flatlined.”
Oooh, ooh, I know! Let’s make house and stock prices go waaay up!
That’ll fix everything.
stocks and homes to the moon! inflate asset prices to make up for an economy that is crumbling under regulation.
No one has proposed a real solution besides printing money.
With housing demand collapsing to 20 year lows, you can’t give away a house.
‘What’s more, seven in 10 adults blamed the malaise more on Washington leaders than on any deeper economic trends, and 79% expressed some level of dissatisfaction with the American political system.’
Nevertheless most of the incumbents will be re-elected.
Broken link, Ben.
Thanks, I had to find it and now it’s a re-direct to the WSJ website and not the yahoo link. So it may not be the entire article if you click on it.
Yet these same retards continue to vote in oligarch-owned Republican and Democrat politicians who are screwing them blind.
“Zalewski said he’s been quietly marketing the condo and kept it off the MLS to avoid publicity and get a better deal.”
Limiting the number of potential buyers by keeping the listing a secret is sure to attract top dollar!
is the mls any better than posting on the web somewhere or even craigslist?
Yes, because the mls is the first place a prospective buyer is going to look for a home, and because it gets picked up on nationwide internet listing sites like Zillow.
Generally speaking, with other things equal, more exposure to potential buyers is better.
The AP piece on the renewed popularity of aspiring realtor classes was on the front page of my paper today. Yesterday the story was the cautious return of subprime lending. What the #%(@ are we doing?
just watch it crater. then buy later for 70% less.
That presumes anyone will be left standing, economically speaking. I’m not so sure. And if anyone still is able to buy, it’s much more likely to be politically-connected cronies.
The fable of the ant and the grasshopper is appealing, but our leaders hate ants with a passion.
Those with cash will be standing. Those with debt and depreciating assets will be on their bscks.
In a vacuum, you are correct. But the value of cash is subject to political decision-making — we already have the Fed and other central banks deciding that 2% annual inflation is desirable. Plus, we could have a large-scale bail-in or the taxation of savings, each of which has occurred in Europe recently. In other words, our leadership will try to choose who is left standing and who is not. I’m not confident.
Well…. If you think some other currency is the one to hold, please let us know. In the meantime, would you like to buy some put options on my cash?
You are very sure of yourself. And writing extreme hyperbole like “you can’t give away a house.” All I’m saying is that cash is not a risk-free asset.
I think there are people on Wall Street who most definitely would buy some put options on your cash. Given the current state of this country, who is more likely to come out ahead, them or you?
With demand at 19 year lows and falling, what isn’t about giving away a house that you don’t understand?
“you can’t give away a house”
My folks are at the point in life when they will soon have to move on to an assisted living facility from the family homestead where they have lived for half a century and which they own free and clear. The nonprofit organization where they are planning to move has a special deal which they advertise as a way to save future residents from the hassle of selling their homes.
From the way my parents described the deal, it sounded like the nonprofit offered to sell the new residents’ home they were leaving, presumably passing on the sale proceeds net of sales commission back to them. On reading the contract, I learned the actual deal is that the new residents sign a piece of paper agreeing to donate their home as a charitable contribution, for which they receive a lifetime reduction in the monthly cost of living in the facility. A back-of-the-envelope calculation shows the value of the lifetime payment reduction is well under 50% of the value of the charitable contribution, especially if the reason for the move is due to being over 85 with serious health concerns. This was not spelled out very clearly when my folks and I heard the deal explained by a representative of the nonprofit.
Take home conclusion: Under the right circumstances, you CAN give away a house.
Here is the kicker to the story: Dad heard about the home conversion deal from an older friend, who bragged about what a great thing it was to be relieved of the burden of trying to sell the family home. Said friend claimed he “couldn’t” sell his home, so was overjoyed to have the nonprofit organization take care of the problem for him.
I doubt Dad’s friend realized that giving a home away for free is a lot more costly than selling it for below your wishing price.