World economic indicators have been flashing recession for the last few months. They can try avoid it by injecting yet another dose of liquidity into the system, but each dose seems to have less and less of an effect on the economy. I’m afraid at some point not matter how much liquidity they inject the economic body will just flat line.
GRIM figures out today from the high street revealing the worst September since before the recession will reignite fears that the economic recovery is running out of steam.
The latest data from the British Retail Consortium (BRC) and KPMG shows that sales fell 2.1 per cent on a like-for-like basis in September, compared with the same month a year earlier.
Germany’s ZEW survey of investment analysts fell for the tenth consecutive month in October, adding to a string of downbeat economic data about Europe’s largest economy and the eurozone as a whole.
The index fell to minus 3.6 points from 6.9 points in September. That was worse than the zero expected by market analysts.
SPAIN has become the only European country with improved economic prospects for 2015, according to the International Monetary Fund.
The Washington-based IMF has announced that Spain’s economy will grow by 1.3% in 2014 and by 1.7% in 2015, up from July’s forecasts of 1.2% growth this year and 1.6% growth next year.
This is the fastest predicted growth of any advanced European economy, despite a public debt of nearly 100% of GDP, a 25% unemployment rate and no alternative to construction as an engine of growth.
It deals a further blow to struggling Australian coal exporters and delivers eleventh-hour complications to the bilateral free trade deal, but China’s abrupt reinstatement of import duties on coal - taking effect from Wednesday – is primarily geared at propping up its flagging domestic coal sector.
China’s faltering coal industry threatens entire provincial economies, from state-owned behemoths to the smaller private mines and the intertwining networks of shadow bank financing in between.
At the end of September, the central bank lowered its prediction for Brazil’s annual growth from 1.6 percent to just 0.7 percent. Such low growth is behind most other Latin American countries, with the exception of Argentina and Venezuela. For example, Mexico expects to grow at 2.7 percent and Colombia by 4.7 percent. Yet 0.7 percent is actually an optimistic estimate for Brazil: A survey of 100 private economists by Brazil’s central bank revealed an average growth rate projection of just 0.29 percent. The level of public sector debt (at 60 percent of GDP), government taxation, spending rates, and the economy’s investment and savings levels are closer to those of developed market economies than emerging market nations. Unfortunately for Brazil, this means that its growth outlook is more in line with Portugal’s than Peru’s.
Brazil is too dependent on China buying raw materials.
It will be interesting to see which way Brazil’s presidential run-off election goes. I have a hard time believing Brazilians will vote for austerity, but stranger things have happened (like the walloping Brazil’s soccer team received from Germany)
“Just Get Your Damn Vaccine” Doctor Violates Ebola Quarantine
NBC medical correspondent shows zero concern for public health
by Paul Joseph Watson | October 13, 2014
A doctor who made headlines back in 2010 during the swine flu scare when she told MSNBC viewers, “just get your damn vaccine” didn’t show such concerns for public health when she was caught violating an Ebola quarantine in order to pick up her favorite soup.
NBC Chief Medical Correspondent Dr. Nancy Snyderman was spotted on a food run in New Jersey despite being under a 21 day quarantine order after her return from West Africa during which Snyderman and her team were exposed to Ebola victim Ashoka Mukpo, who works as a cameraman for the network.
“Witnesses claimed the physician and broadcaster wore sunglasses and a ponytail as she pulled up outside the eatery and a man dashed in to grab the order,” reports MailOnline.
Both Snyderman and NBC News refused to comment on the story.
“The NBC crew remains symptom-free, so there is no reason for concern of exposure to the community,” spokeswoman Dawn Thomas said.
However, it can take up to three weeks for symptoms to show and some evidence suggests that individuals who are asymptomatic can still spread the disease.
NBC News President Deborah Turness said the network had, “agreed with state and local health authorities that our team will not come to work, and they will stay at home.”
By violating the quarantine order, Snyderman is displaying little concern for public health, a stance that differs from her tone during a 2009 appearance on MSNBC during the height of the swine flu panic when she ordered Americans to, “just get your damn vaccine.”
“Forget the conspiracy, listen to our government agencies, these guys are telling the truth, you know there’s no conspiracy here folks – just get your damn vaccine!” said Snyderman during her appearance on the show.
In reality, government agencies were not telling the truth about the swine flu vaccine according to Wolfgang Wodarg, head of health at the Council of Europe, whose investigation found that the outbreak was a “false pandemic” driven by drug companies that stood to make billions of pounds from a worldwide scare.”
Primarily as a result of Snyderman and her ilk creating hysteria by overhyping the threat posed by swine flu, millions of people worldwide received a vaccine that they didn’t need, which in some cases caused illnesses, and which wasted millions of dollars in public health funds.
“Forget the conspiracy, listen to our government agencies, these guys are telling the truth, you know there’s no conspiracy here folks – just get your damn vaccine!”
Meanwhile, SuperBrantly just donated plasma AGAIN, for the nurse in Texas. I suppose that if/when the cameraman recovers, they can tap him too. Luckily they only need plasma, not the blood, so these survivors can give more often. cf college kids donating every Friday afternoon for beer money.
(Kitco News) - Gold prices ended the U.S. day session moderately higher and hit a four-week high Monday. More safe-haven demand was featured amid the recent U.S. stock market sell-off. Short covering by the futures traders, whose bearish bets recently are not paying off, and bargain hunting in the cash market were also seen in gold to start the trading week. A lower U.S. dollar index was also a bullish “outside market” factor working in favor of the precious metals market bulls Monday. December Comex gold was last up $8.70 at $1,230.40 an ounce. Spot gold was last quoted up $7.20 at $1,230.75. December Comex silver last traded up $0.037 at $17.34 an ounce.
…
David Weidner’s Writing on the Wall Opinion: 5 lessons you should learn from the stock-market selloff
Published: Oct 14, 2014 10:14 a.m. ET Above all, don’t invest in a rebound that doesn’t exist
By David Weidner
Columnist
Bloomberg
Warren Buffett knows when to be fearful and when to be greedy. Most investors, alas, do not.
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”
Are you as tired of reading that as I am of writing it?
This isn’t even Investing 101. It’s the Cliff’s Notes cheat sheet for “Investing for Dummies.” The only principle to investing more rudimentary is “buy low and sell high.”
But obviously you need a refresher. Because you still buy high and sell low. You are terrified when others are fearful.
And greedy? Just what were you looking at this year when you kept buying stocks? The little green line that inched up and up? Your broker’s new sports car? Don’t try to hide it. I know you were buying. I saw the rally. You know, the one that was wiped off the books last week and yesterday.
Market analyst Doug Short had recently noted that the market was overvalued between 50% and an 90%.
Sorry. We need to get back to basics.
That’s why you need to see that quote again. Warren Buffett’s iconic statement about investing in volatile markets bears repeating especially after last week’s selloff that rendered the 2014 U.S equity markets a Mulligan.
So, let’s start over and consider what, if anything, we learned.
…
Market Extra Growth fears pushing fund managers from risky positions, survey finds
Published: Oct 14, 2014 8:49 a.m. ET
Getty Images
German Chancellor Angela Merkel is presiding over a country that on Tuesday lowered its economic forecasts. Fund managers are growing more pessimistic over world growth.
By Sara Sjolin
Markets reporter
LONDON (MarketWatch) — Investors are showing less faith in the global economy, sending the appetite for riskier assets such as emerging-markets and European equities lower, according to a survey of fund managers released Tuesday.
The Bank of America Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey for October found only a net 32% of the fund managers polled expect the global economy to strengthen over the next 12 months, marking the lowest reading in two years and a fall of more than 20 percentage points from September. Additionally, profit expectations have slumped to an 18-month low.
…
Today’s forecast: yield-starved investors forced into the market by seemingly permanent low interest rates will continue to be collateral damage. For some, that collateral damage may involve more than the loss of income opportunities… many could be wiped out completely.
At a recent investment conference, I asked the participants in our discussion group: “If there were safe, fixed-income opportunities available paying 5%-7%, would you move a major portion of your portfolio out of the stock market?”
“Absolutely,” they answered.
Participants relying on their nest eggs for retirement income said they felt forced into the market for yield. Their retirement projections weren’t based on 2% yields, the rough rate now available on fixed-income investments. They’d planned on 6% or so. What other choice do they have now?
…
So the Pentagon is now wading into the murky waters of climate doomsday prediction? Don’t they have quite enough on their plate without taking on this task?
Here is the problem with Romney as a candidate TODAY;
#1. He is very wealthy & a lilly white Guy…
#2. He was born on third base but acts like he hit a triple…
#3. The way he achieved his wealth (See his IRA) is questionable in that he took advantage of the system that is titled towards the wealthy…
#4. His family profile is unlike most in america….5 children…Most can’t fathom more than 1 possibly 2….
Through my lens I think he is very bright and pragmatic…Its just impossible for him to get to the middle which is where any republican candidate needs to be…I think it will be Jeb…Even with his tainted last name…
Romney could win by picking handlers who showed the real person he is, instead of a strawman caricature of what the polls show the American voters want. The 2012 campaign team failed him miserably.
Romney could win by picking handlers who showed the real person he is ??
The fact that he chose not to tells you something about the man If he can be manipulated to act as something he is not…I don’t think Jeb will morph into something that he is not which maybe why he “won’t” get the nomination from the repubs…Maybe he will make a independent run with someone like Paul…
Romney could win by picking handlers who showed the real person he is
I think they tried that: Sunday school teacher, family man, good ol’ boy in his pickup truck, etc.
The problem is that he was a corporate raider who was caught on camera expressing his disdain for the lucky duckies. He was an easy target, and still is. That he lost to an unpopular incumbent says it all.
Contrast that with how Bill Clinton defeated an also unpopular incumbent. Obama didn’t win the 2012 election … Romney lost it.
It is just the wishful thinking of those on the left who want it to happen so Hillary gets a pass on Bubba. But you can’t make chicken salad out of chicken sh…..
I can see why everyone here on the HBB would hate Romney…
—————————-
Romney’s new housing plan is not very new, and it’s not much of a plan
Suzy Khimm - September 5, 2012 - Washington Post
“Don’t try to stop the foreclosure process. Let it run its course and hit the bottom.”
At the same time, Romney has also launched a new attack against Obama’s handling of the housing crisis. “President Obama’s only plan to address the housing crisis was the same plan he used to try to fix the economy: spend more taxpayer money on big-government programs,” his campaign Web site says. “President Obama rolled out an alphabet soup of more than ten housing finance programs rather than offering a real solution.”
Now that’s kicking President Obola when he’s down.
How was he to know that doling out trillions of dollars to Unions, big-government programs and his backers wouldn’t revive the economy and the housing market.
A qualified administrator with real world experience would have been such a disappointment compared to four more years of African Marxism, Cloward/Piven, Rich-getting-Richer, Class/Racial Division and the continued Fundamental Transformation of America.
Men are abandoning higher ed, and I suspect women, once they understand that their older sisters’ liberal arts and ” studies” degrees are worthless and that those huge student loan balances won’t go away will eventually follow suit.
There is a difference between the housing and student loan bubbles. Before the housing bubble pops you can flip a house and turn a profit. You can’t flip a student loan or a degree.
red pills for breakfast on a tuesday, eh rockstar?
no worries, those indebted female grads with degrees in obama studies will find their beta bux to pay off their student loans and save them from a lonely future of cats and boxed wine
I think those dudes have been hunted to extinction. All that’s left are dudes who work part time at Wendy’s and who play Xbox when they aren’t flipping burgers.
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Comment by scdave
2014-10-14 09:40:02
I think those dudes have been hunted to extinction ??
Yep…Divorce is titled against the guy…Way to avoid divorce is to not get married…
I know. I hear that a lot. And I guess they love Switzerlands freedoms, but not the USA’s? The Heritage Foundation ranks Switzerland the 4th freest nation in the world. The USA is not even in the top 10.
Just another European nation enjoying the fruits of 70 years of De Facto US and NATO Military support. Plus, like other European nations, they have issues with the Islamists.
In other words, we are spending massive amounts of money for very little return…Excerpt;
The amount we’re paying now to fight terrorism—roughly $100 billion per year—is simply crazy. If someone ran a hedge fund assessing risk the way the U.S. government has responded to terrorism, it would not be long for the world.
$100 billion a year is nothing to fulfill a constitutional obligation.
How much are we spending on BENEFITS and SOCIAL SERVICES for NON CITIZENS??? Not just at the Federal level but the State and Local level as well, I want to know.
Wiat, I thought you wanted to be anonymous so that you could move and hide your moveable hideable wealth, to AZ or Big Sur or New Hampshire? Facebook is the last place you should be.
Bond Report
Treasurys leap as traders fret over growth slowdown
By Ben Eisen
October 14, 2014 9:43 a.m. ETD
10-year yield sinks to fresh 16-month low
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Treasury prices mounted a powerful climb on Tuesday as global economic growth fears rippled across financial markets.
The 10-year Treasury note (10_YEAR, -2.32%) yield, which acts as a benchmark for a wide range of borrowing costs, dropped 9 basis points on the day to 2.215%, on track to close at a fresh 16-month low, according to Tradeweb. Yields fall as prices rise.
…
Let me get this straight: The 10-year Treasury bond yield is currently 2.208%, yet Bank of America forecasts a 2.75% yield by the end of December (2 1/2 months from now).
How do they expect yields to climb by 74 bps by year end?!
Fresh concerns about the pace of growth in Europe sent investors rushing to the safety of U.S. government bonds Tuesday, sending the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to its lowest level in 16 months.
Data on the eurozone’s industrial production in August, released earlier Tuesday, showed a bigger-than-expected decline, and an index of economic sentiment in Germany turned negative this month for the first time since late 2012. Adding to investors’ anxiety about the region’s struggling economy, the U.K. reported that inflation in September slowed to the lowest level since 2009.
”It is classic haven-seeking trade over uncertainty over global growth,” said Christopher Sullivan, who oversees $2.4 billion as chief investment officer at the United Nations Federal Credit Union.
Tuesday’s rally in ultrasafe government debt extends 2014’s surprising gains in the bond market. At the start of the year, many investors had expected that Treasury prices would decline, pushing yields higher, as the U.S. economy strengthened and the Federal Reserve prepared to remove accommodative monetary policies that had been in place since the financial crisis.
But economic weakness in other parts of the world has upended views on the trajectory of Treasury yields, and has begun to stoke worries about the vulnerabilities of the U.S. economy.
A broad selloff in commodities over the past few months has heightened concern over demand from once-robust China, while the eurozone is teetering on the edge of a recession and Japan’s economy has failed to break out of its decadelong stagnation.
”It’s all about more concerns about global growth, and the bond market reacted to that,” said Anthony Cronin, a Treasury bond trader at Société Générale SA in London.
The data came at a time when investors’ nerves have been frayed by the selloff in U.S. stocks in the previous three sessions amid sharp price swings.
U.S. bond markets were closed Monday for a federal holiday, and traders and analysts said part of these price gains reflected bond investors catching up to the recent losses in stocks.
In recent trading, the 10-year Treasury note rose by 28/32 in price, yielding 2.208%, according to Tradeweb. The yield has tumbled from 3% at the start of the year.
The recent rally in bonds has compelled many analysts to lower their yield forecasts. Bank of America Merrill Lynch became the latest to do so Friday, cutting its year-end call on the 10-year yield to 2.75% from 3.1%.
…
More Reading
German Government Bond Yields Fall to Record Lows
The 10-year yield touched 2.173%, the lowest intraday level since June 2013. German and U.K. government bonds markets also rallied sharply. The yield on the 10-year bund fell to a new record low of 0.838%. The yield on the 10-year U.K. government bond dropped to 2.072%, the lowest in more than a year. Yields fall as prices rise.
“Let me get this straight: The 10-year Treasury bond yield is currently 2.208%, yet Bank of America forecasts a 2.75% yield by the end of December (2 1/2 months from now).
How do they expect yields to climb by 74 bps by year end?!”
You’re not supposed to do the math. In fact, you’re not supposed to question anything- just roll with it, it’s all good!
Are the Bank of America analysts really st00pid enough to believe that 10-year Treasury bond yields will somehow lurch up to 2.75% by year-end, or is this some kind of bankster ploy to scam the sheople?
Americans face post-foreclosure hell as wages garnished, assets seized
By Michelle Conlin
NEW YORK Tue Oct 14, 2014 3:35am EDT
(Reuters) - Many thousands of Americans who lost their homes in the housing bust, but have since begun to rebuild their finances, are suddenly facing a new foreclosure nightmare: debt collectors are chasing them down for the money they still owe by freezing their bank accounts, garnishing their wages and seizing their assets.
By now, banks have usually sold the houses. But the proceeds of those sales were often not enough to cover the amount of the loan, plus penalties, legal bills and fees. The two big government-controlled housing finance companies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as well as other mortgage players, are increasingly pressing borrowers to pay whatever they still owe on mortgages they defaulted on years ago.
I wonder what they priority is for definciency judgments. Yeah, I too hope it’s the boat-and-boob-job serial refinancers, but it’s probably regular folks who will have to declare BK.
A family I know has a 7 year old Tacoma. They use it as a second car so it’s still shiny and has relatively few miles. Each time they take it for service, the salespeople swarm around, begging to buy it for the used car lot. Dealers are desperate for cheaper trucks.
I never liked these sorts of assumptions. Your vehicle was new one day many years ago, so you were no different. Perhaps those with brand new vehicles today will be driving them 10 years down the road. Why are you judging people?
Many thousands of Americans who lost their homes in the housing bust, but have since begun to rebuild their finances, are suddenly facing a new foreclosure nightmare: debt collectors are chasing them down for the money they still owe by freezing their bank accounts, garnishing their wages and seizing their assets.
That’s what chapter 7 is for. Sure, their credit rating will be ruined for years, but it’s already is wrecked.
That would work for the “have nots” but the “haves” who walked away may be looking at a problem.
——————————————————————-
Will I Lose My Checking or Savings Account if I File Bankruptcy?
Learn what happens to your checking and savings accounts if you file for bankruptcy.
If you file for Chapter 7 bankruptcy, will you be able to keep your savings, checking, or other bank accounts? The answer depends on what you mean by “keeping.”
If you want to know if you can keep the actual bank account, then for the most part, the answer is yes. If you file for bankruptcy, your bank usually won’t close your savings or checking accounts.
However, if you want to know if you can keep the money in those accounts, the answer is different. In most states, little if any, of the cash in your accounts is protected. Although there are often exceptions for some of that money if it came from exempt sources, for example, recent wages, or money received from public benefits. And if you have a credit card or loan with the bank, it may be able to freeze your accounts when you file for bankruptcy.
That would work for the “have nots” but the “haves” who walked away may be looking at a problem.
I know of people with low 6 figure incomes who got away with a chapter 7. You don’t have to be a pauper. Sure, if you have a lot of unprotected assets you won’t get chapter 7, but you can still probably get a chapter 11.
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Comment by phony scandals
2014-10-14 10:08:57
“I know of people with low 6 figure incomes who got away with a chapter 7″
Not surprising, I am sure there are a lot of broke people with 6 figure incomes.
Salient Features of Chapter 7 bankruptcy
A Chapter 7 filing is a fresh start for the debtor, with a clean financial slate. After the debtor files under Chapter 7, a trustee is appointed to sell the debtor’s assets. This is why Chapter 7 is called liquidation. However, not all assets are sold off. State and federal laws deem certain property exempt from such confiscation, such as an individual’s primary residence or personal items like clothing. Once the debtor’s assets are liquidated, the trustee pays certain creditors a portion of the money raised. It is important to note that not all creditors receive money from the liquidation proceeds. Many of the financial obligations are, therefore, forgiven or “discharged”. Certain debts are never (or rarely) discharged (forgiven), such as alimony, child support, student loans and taxes.
Chapter 7 is the most commonly used bankruptcy filing in the U.S. Once an individual or company has filed for bankruptcy under Chapter 7, they cannot file again for 7 years.
Salient Features of Chapter 11 bankruptcy
Chapter 11 was originally intended for large corporations. However, individuals are also now allowed to file for bankruptcy under Chapter 11. Once a debtor files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, a trustee is appointed to handle the bankruptcy. The trustee and the debtor work together to develop a repayment plan for the debtors outstanding loans. This plan is presented to the bankruptcy court, which decides whether to accept the plan, modify it or dictate an altogether new repayment plan. The repayment of outstanding loans usually occurs over 3 to 5 years. Note that the debtors assets are not liquidated under a Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing. So if the debtor is a business, they can continue to operate and potentially emerge from bankruptcy as a healthy company.
Not surprising, I am sure there are a lot of broke people with 6 figure incomes.
IIRC, they had a nice 401K balance, but that counts as a protected asset, or so I was told.
Comment by phony scandals
2014-10-14 14:13:07
Sombeach URC and up to $1,1245,475.
Chapter 7: Federal Law Exempts 401(k)s and Other Tax-Exempt Accounts
Under federal law, almost all types of tax-exempt retirement accounts are exempt in bankruptcy, regardless of whether you are using state or federal bankruptcy exemptions. (To learn more about bankruptcy exemptions and how they work, see Bankruptcy Exemptions — What Do I Keep When I File for Bankruptcy?) This includes 401(k)s, 403(b)s, profit-sharing and money purchase plans, IRAs, and defined-benefit plans. With one exception, the exemption amount is unlimited — which means you can exempt the entire amount in the account. The exception applies to traditional and Roth IRAs — those accounts are exempt up to a combined total of $1,1245,475.
I was listening to one of the local (Vegas) RE shows. Woman calls, asks when she’ll be able to buy again. I forget the details but she had just short sold, or went bankrupt, whatever. Wanted to know when she could buy again and went berserk with indignation at the host’s answer - whatever they told her it was way too long for her liking. It’s good to hear this kind of person’s sense of entitlement shatter.
Didn’t we have anecdotes here about short sellers and the foreclosed being able to get a new mortgage after just 2-3 years? Or did this women expect to be good to go after only 6 months?
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Comment by Tarara Boomdea
2014-10-14 10:37:41
Or did this women expect to be good to go after only 6 months?
I think that’s what it was - immediately if not sooner.
Comment by Housing Analyst
2014-10-14 10:58:57
If you need a perfect example of a Free $hit Army soldier, that broad is it.
Clipboard Jesus gets back on the field with Locker injured
Sep. 28, 2014 12:34 PM EDT
Clipboard Jesus will get off the sidelines and throw some passes for the Tennessee Titans Sunday.
The long-haired, bearded Charlie Whitehurst is a career backup.With Jake Locker out with a wrist injury, Whitehurst is dropping the clipboard and will get a chance to throw his first regular season pass since 2011.
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Many thousands of Americans who lost their homes in the housing bust, but have since begun to rebuild their finances, are suddenly facing a new foreclosure nightmare: debt collectors are chasing them down for the money they still owe by freezing their bank accounts, garnishing their wages and seizing their assets.
By now, banks have usually sold the houses. But the proceeds of those sales were often not enough to cover the amount of the loan, plus penalties, legal bills and fees. The two big government-controlled housing finance companies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as well as other mortgage players, are increasingly pressing borrowers to pay whatever they still owe on mortgages they defaulted on years ago.
Using a legal tool known as a “deficiency judgment,” lenders can ensure that borrowers are haunted by these zombie-like debts for years, and sometimes decades, to come. Before the housing bubble, banks often refrained from seeking deficiency judgments, which were seen as costly and an invitation for bad publicity. Some of the biggest banks still feel that way.
“By now, banks have usually sold the houses. But the proceeds of those sales were often not enough to cover the amount of the loan, plus penalties, legal bills and fees”
Dorothy
I don’t like this debt collector! He’s - he’s creepy!
Scarecrow
Of course, I don’t know, but I think he’s going to want money for that house we walked away from.
Dorothy
Do - do you suppose he will garnish our wages?
Tin Man
Mmmm - he might.
Dorothy
Oh -
Scarecrow
Does he want the $175k for the cash out refi?
Tin Man
A - some - but mostly penalties, legal bills and fees.
Is there anyone in Phoenix still living in a house they bought or refinanced between February 2005 and July 2008?
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In metro Phoenix’s housing market, there are the haves and have-nots
Catherine Reagor, The Republic | azcentral.com 1:23 p.m. MST September 26, 2014
In metro Phoenix’s housing market, there are the haves and have-nots, those homeowners who have equity and those who don’t.
Anyone who bought a house or refinanced in the Valley between February 2005 and July 2008 still most likely owes more than their house is worth, according to the Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service.
Homeowners who purchased before May 2004 and didn’t refinance between early 2005 and mid-2009 should have equity in their house, said Tom Ruff, real-estate analyst with the Information Market, owned by ARMLS.
For the home equity haves and have-nots, it’s all about the Valley’s housing boom and bust.
The analysis is based on median homes prices in the area. In February 2005, near the beginning of the housing boom, the median resale price in the Phoenix area was $188,900. In May 2006, the resale median hit a record of $253,500 and remained above $200,000 until the summer of 2008.
In August 2008, metro Phoenix’s median resale price fell to $190,000. Currently, the area’s median is about $196,000.
The percentage of homeowners underwater plummeted to 19.5 percent by June 30 this year from almost 50 percent in 2009, according to national real-estate researcher CoreLogic’s most recent report released Thursday.
The haves, those homeowners with equity, can sell, but many are staying put for now because there are few buyers in the Valley. Home sales have slowed dramatically in the area this year compared with 2012 and 2013.
Home-price increases have slowed with sales. That means fewer of the have-nots will have equity in their houses soon, a fact that could impact a home-sales rebound.
But Phoenix-area homeowners who haven’t seen their house’s value climb above what they paid or refinanced it for during the boom can take solace in the fact that they are better off than homeowners in other states hit hard by the crash.
Approximately 26.3 percent of Nevada homeowners are still underwater. In Florida, the rate is 24.3 percent.
Anyone who bought a house or refinanced in the Valley between February 2005 and July 2008 still most likely owes more than their house is worth, according to the Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service.
There is no reason why a refi alone would send you underwater, unless you cashed out some equity in the process.
Not one FB dollar will be allowed to escape - especially if it is owed to the government.
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Insight - Americans face post-foreclosure hell as wages garnished, assets seized
Reuters - Michelle Conlin - Oct 14, 2014
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Many thousands of Americans who lost their homes in the housing bust, but have since begun to rebuild their finances, are suddenly facing a new foreclosure nightmare: debt collectors are chasing them down for the money they still owe by freezing their bank accounts, garnishing their wages and seizing their assets.
By now, banks have usually sold the houses. But the proceeds of those sales were often not enough to cover the amount of the loan, plus penalties, legal bills and fees. The two big government-controlled housing finance companies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as well as other mortgage players, are increasingly pressing borrowers to pay whatever they still owe on mortgages they defaulted on years ago.
Using a legal tool known as a “deficiency judgment,” lenders can ensure that borrowers are haunted by these zombie-like debts for years, and sometimes decades, to come. Before the housing bubble, banks often refrained from seeking deficiency judgments, which were seen as costly and an invitation for bad publicity. Some of the biggest banks still feel that way.
But the housing crisis saddled lenders with more than $1 trillion of foreclosed loans, leading to unprecedented losses. Now, at least some large lenders want their money back, and they figure it’s the perfect time to pursue borrowers: many of those who went through foreclosure have gotten new jobs, paid off old debts and even, in some cases, bought new homes.
Borrowers are usually astonished to find out they still owe thousands of dollars on homes they haven’t thought about for years.
In 2008, bank teller Danell Huthsing broke up with her boyfriend and moved out of the concrete bungalow they shared in Jacksonville, Florida. Her name was on the mortgage even after she moved out, and when her boyfriend defaulted on the loan, her name was on the foreclosure papers, too.
She moved to St. Louis, Missouri, where she managed to amass $20,000 of savings and restore her previously stellar credit score in her job as a service worker at an Amtrak station.
But on July 5, a process server showed up on her doorstep with a lawsuit demanding $91,000 for the portion of her mortgage that was still unpaid after the home was foreclosed and sold. If she loses, the debt collector that filed the suit can freeze her bank account, garnish up to 25 percent of her wages, and seize her paid-off 2005 Honda Accord.
Perhaps the most aggressive among the debt pursuers is Fannie Mae. Of the 595,128 foreclosures Fannie Mae was involved in – either through owning or guaranteeing the loans - from January 2010 through June 2012, it referred 293,134 to debt collectors for possible pursuit of deficiency judgments, according to a 2013 report by the Inspector General for the agency’s regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency.
Once financial institutions secure a judgment, they can sometimes have years to collect on the claim. In Maryland, for example, they have as long as 36 years to chase people down for the debt. Financial institutions can charge post-judgment interest of an estimated 4.75 percent a year on the remaining balance until the statute of limitation runs out, which can drive people deeper into debt.
“She moved to St. Louis, Missouri, where she managed to amass $20,000 of savings and restore her previously stellar credit score in her job as a service worker at an Amtrak station.”
(Jaws music)
“But on July 5, a process server showed up on her doorstep with a lawsuit demanding $91,000 for the portion of her mortgage that was still unpaid after the home was foreclosed and sold.”
Frisco police: Cowboys’ Joseph Randle arrested Monday, charged with theft
crimeblog.dallasnews.com ^ | 9:27 am on October 14, 2014 | By Naheed Rajwani
Posted on 10/14/2014, 12:34:12 PM by Red Badger
Frisco police say Dallas Cowboys running back Joseph Randle was arrested Monday evening for allegedly shoplifting at the Dillard’s at Stonebriar Mall.
Police were called to the Dillard’s at 8:17 p.m. Monday, said Frisco police spokesman Chad LaPrelle. The store’s loss prevention employees had detained Randle, who was later charged with theft, a Class B misdemeanor.
Police said Randle attempted to steal a $39.50-pack of two black Polo underwear and a tester bottle of Gucci Guilty Black cologne valued at $84.
He was released from Frisco City Jail early Tuesday after posting a $350 bail, police said.
Randle has a base salary of $495,000 for this season. He was drafted by the Dallas Cowboys out of Oklahoma State in the fifth round of the 2013 NFL Draft.
Anyone know any college kids who want to get on the terrorist watch list?
Big Government Sucks
Turning Point USA’s fall theme for the Catalyst Project is Big Government Sucks!
From August 25 – November 4, Turning Point USA will organize 10 weeks of innovative, themed activism projects that will take place on college campuses nationwide. Turning Point USA will also assist students with voter registration drives on campus.
Join the Catalyst Project!
Any student who is interested in participating in the Big Government Sucks campaign is welcome to join. Click here to register!
10 Weeks of Activism
Catalyst student activism thumbWeek 1: Student Activism Week
Goal: Identify campus activists, and provide students with the tools, training, and materials needed to recruit a strong membership base at the start of the school year. This week lays the groundwork for future activism projects.
Request the activism kit
catlyst cap cure thumbWeek 2: Capitalism Cures
Goal: Make the moral argument for capitalism, and promote the ways in which capitalism alleviates poverty, improves people’s lives, and increases the standard of living across the world.
Request the activism kit
Catalyst debt awareness thumbWeek 3: National Debt Awareness
Goal: Educate students about the dangers of a $17 trillion national debt, and expose the numerous examples of excessive government waste.
Request the activism kit
catalyst free speech thumbWeek 4: Constitution / Free Speech
Goal: Promote free speech on campus, and educate students about the ways big government violates individual liberty and the principles in the U.S. Constitution.
Request the activism kit
catalyst keep more stuff thumbWeek 5: Keep More Stuff
Goal: Expose the cycle of endless taxation, and make the moral argument for decreasing taxes to increase jobs, commerce, philanthropy, and individual freedom.
Goal: Summarize the ways that Big Government Sucks (especially for young people), and provide students with moral, economic, and logical reasons to support small government at all levels.
Those cheap china wheels are getting wobbly…. those over priced EuroTrash fenders are a’ flappin…. and theres smoke billowing from under the hood of the US built propaganda engine.
I have heard of roofers tearing off the roof on the wrong house but not this.
New Florida million-dollar home has nice view, but built on wrong lot
Reuters
3 hours ago
By Barbara Liston
ORLANDO Fla. (Reuters) - A Florida builder is trying to figure out what to do after constructing a million-dollar, ocean-view home in Florida on the wrong lot, authorities said.
The mistake occurred after two state-certified surveyors on the job separately marked the wrong property, said Carl Laundrie, spokesman for Flagler County on the Atlantic Coast north of Daytona Beach.
Laundrie said there were few landmarks in the new Hammock Dunes subdivision that could have helped someone catch the error.
“There is no giant oak tree on one corner of the lot so you would say, okay, this must be the lot. This particular piece of land is basically in a field back behind the dune,” Laundrie said.
The 5,300-square-foot (492-sq-meter) house, which was completed in March, includes five bedrooms, five-and-a-half bathrooms, a theater, game room and swimming pool, according to gotoby.com, a local real estate news site.
Mark and Brenda Voss of Linn, Missouri, who had the home built, did not return calls for comment, nor did Andrew Massaro and Brooke Triplett of Ocean Isle Beach, North Carolina, who own the lot.
The Vosses own the lot next door to the one on which the house was built.
Flagler County Property Appraiser Jay Gardner said the mistake was discovered in September by a third surveyor working in the neighborhood.
The builder, Robbie Richmond of Keystone Homes, who the real estate website described as one of the area’s most respected builders, did not return a call for comment.
Flagler County Property Appraiser Jay Gardner said he spoke to Richmond.
“All he wants to do is get it right,” Gardner said.
Representatives of the surveying companies on the project also did not return calls for comment.
“It’s up to the builder to rectify the situation, and the builder relied on the surveyor. I assume everything is going to be headed to court,{” said Laundrie.
Gardner said he hadn’t spoken to the Vosses, but that Massaro was calm when informed of the problem.
‘He wasn’t tickled but he seemed to handle it quite well,” Gardner said. “It happens from time to time.”
Hillary Hypocrisy Talks About Student Debt, Hits UNLV Foundation For $225K Speaking Fee
Students protest fee amid 20% tuition increase
by Jeff Dunetz | Truth Revolt | October 14, 2014
Despite objections from a student body which faces the burden of 17% tuition hikes during the next four years, probable Democratic Party presidential nominee Hillary Clinton spoke to the UNLV foundation Monday night drawing a speaking fee of $225,000.
Ironically, in her speech, she opined that more needs to be done to assure young people can achieve their dreams and free students from debt.
Ms Clinton delivered her remarks to a crowd of about 900 people gathered in a Bellagio resort ballroom for the annual UNLV Foundation dinner benefiting the University of Nevada, Las Vegas.
Local reporter Venise Toussaint pointed out the Clinton hypocrisy during a Tuesday morning report about the event:
Well, Kim and Dana, this is Hillary Clinton’s third trip to Las Vegas so far this year and every time the big question is, will she or won’t she run for president? She was asked to last night and she really did not have an answer, not yet at least, fueling a lot of the speculation about her presidential bid. But to help her make that decision and sway her back toward the White House, she received a clever gift: some running shoes from Brian Greenspun, the owner of the Las Vegas Sun. Now Hillary Clinton addressed more than a dozen issues in her hour-long speech, from education and energy to foreign policy and Russian President Vladimir Putin. But her appearance at the dinner was also marred with some controversy. As she spoke about the rising cost of college tuition and student loan debt, she also accepted a hefty speaking fee of $225,000. Now that’s the majority of the $235,000 that the UNLV foundation collected from donors at that dinner.
Mortgage lenders and housing investors are squaring off in Nevada over a court decision that has allowed thousands of foreclosed homes to be sold for pennies on the dollar. At issue are homeowners associations and the liens they put on properties when a homeowner stops paying dues.
Like lenders, homeowners associations can foreclose on homes to recoup delinquent payments, an option that many have taken after waiting years for lenders themselves to foreclose, a scenario that has left homes without dues-paying owners and some HOAs strapped for cash. Nevada and about 20 other states have laws that allow HOA liens to get priority over first mortgages.
The result, according to a recent state court decision, is that homes can be put up for auction by HOAs—without the blessing of the mortgage lender—and sold, extinguishing the first mortgage and allowing the investor to get title to the home. Such sales often are for an amount equal to or slightly above the HOA dues in arrears.
In a court filing Tuesday, the Mortgage Bankers Association wrote that because of the decision, “mortgage lenders stand to lose millions—perhaps even billions—of dollars in security interests.
If the decision stands, some investors expect to receive a windfall. “This is one of the greatest returns in real estate that I’ve ever seen,” said Jay Bloom, a director of First 100 LLC, an investment firm that bought more than 1,000 homes in states including Nevada and Washington. Many homes purchased by investors were sold for only a few thousand dollars, but had values in the hundreds of thousands of dollars.
The case brought to the Nevada Supreme Court involved a Las Vegas home purchased in 2007 with an $885,000 mortgage originated by Bank of America. The homeowner defaulted on the mortgage the next year. The Southern Highlands Community Association foreclosed on the home and sold it at auction in September 2012 to SFR Investments Pool 1 LLC, a closely held investment company. SFR paid $6,000, the amount owed to the HOA by the delinquent homeowner.
Bank of America scheduled its own foreclosure sale for December 2012 but SFR filed to stop the sale, arguing that the HOA auction extinguished the $885,000 mortgage. (The case was actually brought against U.S. Bank, the trustee for the securities associated with the home’s mortgage, but was litigated by Bank of America.)
Bank of America won a lower-court decision, but the state Supreme Court reversed it and sent the case back to the lower court. The justices who supported SFR said that the bank could have stopped the problem by paying the lien itself.
Submitted by Charles Hugh-Smith of OfTwoMinds blog,
The rising fear may reflect a shift in sentiment from faith in the omnipotence of central banks to skepticism.
By at least one well-known measure of sentiment, the level of fear in the stock market now exceeds the fear triggered by the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008. Lehman declared bankruptcy on September 15, 2008, unleashing a cascade that soon threatened to take down the entire global financial system.
There is no comparable event–or level of fear–other than the Great Crash of 1929.
Thus it is extraordinary that yesterday’s CBOE put-call ratio of 1.53 exceeded the put-call ratios of the 2008 global financial meltdown, which topped at 1.52.
…
US stock market volatility has jumped to the highest since the eurozone debt crisis, according to a closely watched index highlighting the global turbulence created by worries over the world economic recovery.
Swings in global share price movements have increased significantly since news last week of unexpectedly sharp falls in German exports and industrial production, and a downgrade of global growth forecasts by the International Monetary Fund.
The CBOE Vix index of implied US share price volatility – known as the “Wall Street fear gauge” – jumped to 24.6 late on Monday, the highest since June 2012, when investors feared the eurozone was close to breaking up. It fell slightly on Tuesday, to close at 23.62. The comparable index for European shares has reached its highest since February.
“The move in Vix has been pretty amazing,” said JJ Kinahan, chief strategist at TD Ameritrade. “But the jump in the Vix should not be seen as totally negative. There’s been a lot of complacency in markets in the past couple of years.”
The US S&P 500 share index rebounded in New York trading on Tuesday after falling 1.65 per cent on Monday to its lowest since May. The index had also dropped on four out of the previous five trading days. The Vix is based on options prices for S&P 500 shares.
The FTSE all-world share index has fallen 8 per cent since early September to its lowest since February, while the UK FTSE 100 is at its lowest for a year.
The outburst of turbulence contrasts with the first half of the year when financial market volatility sank to the lowest levels since the global financial crises erupted in 2007. The recent increase in jitters suggests central banks are losing some of their mesmerising influence over financial markets as the US Federal Reserve prepares to end this month its “quantitative easing”, or large-scale asset purchase scheme.
…
When I saw the recent New York Times article “A Debt Collector’s Day,” I was obviously intrigued to read it. Having worked nearly 4,000 days as a debt collector, I was looking forward to reading an article that actually depicted what we do for a living so readers would get a glimpse at what a debt collector really does. I read the article and a sampling of the author’s upcoming book on debt collectors, and it surely makes for an interesting story.
…
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — San Francisco Fed President John Williams said that more bond buying could be needed if the economy faltered, according to a report. “If we really get a sustained, disinflationary forecast … then I think moving back to additional asset purchases in a situation like that should be something we should seriously consider,” Williams told Reuters. Williams said he’s “worried” the European Central Bank response will be as timely and aggressive as needed. Williams told the publication he still expects the first rate hike in the middle of 2015. The Fed is expected to announce it will stop bond purchases at its October meetings.
…
Name:Ben Jones Location:Northern Arizona, United States To donate by mail, or to otherwise contact this blogger, please send emails to: thehousingbubble@gmail.com
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Huntington Beach, CA Sale Prices Nosedive 18% YoY; Sellers Slash Prices As Demand Collapses
http://www.zillow.com/huntington-beach-ca-92646/home-values/
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-millennials-want-in-a-home-2014-09-15
You’ve posted this article like five times already. Ru running out of bullets?
And the 4.4 million vacant homes in California he claims are now protected from squatters;
http://www2.realtoractioncenter.com/site/R?i=M6fnueRvhOyb7s1hh-h3Mg
Never trust Realtors or their syphlitic appraiser cousins.
And it wasn’t much of a bullet to begin with IMO.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/are-millennial-home-buyers-making-a-comeback-2014-09-30
Neither was that one. Heh.
That pool and hot tub LA SFR combo folks bought for $700,000 at 30 years don’t look like such a deal-eo now does it?!?!?!?
Encino, CA Asking Prices Collapse 27%; Sellers Desperate To Escape Crushing Debtloads
http://www.movoto.com/encino-ca/market-trends/
Portland, OR Sale Prices Crater 10% YoY As Housing Demand Plummets
http://www.zillow.com/portland-or-97209/home-values/
World economic indicators have been flashing recession for the last few months. They can try avoid it by injecting yet another dose of liquidity into the system, but each dose seems to have less and less of an effect on the economy. I’m afraid at some point not matter how much liquidity they inject the economic body will just flat line.
GRIM figures out today from the high street revealing the worst September since before the recession will reignite fears that the economic recovery is running out of steam.
The latest data from the British Retail Consortium (BRC) and KPMG shows that sales fell 2.1 per cent on a like-for-like basis in September, compared with the same month a year earlier.
http://www.scotsman.com/business/retail/retailers-see-worst-september-slump-since-crash-1-3571404
Germany’s ZEW survey of investment analysts fell for the tenth consecutive month in October, adding to a string of downbeat economic data about Europe’s largest economy and the eurozone as a whole.
The index fell to minus 3.6 points from 6.9 points in September. That was worse than the zero expected by market analysts.
http://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/survey-shows-pessimism-german-economy-26176883
SPAIN has become the only European country with improved economic prospects for 2015, according to the International Monetary Fund.
The Washington-based IMF has announced that Spain’s economy will grow by 1.3% in 2014 and by 1.7% in 2015, up from July’s forecasts of 1.2% growth this year and 1.6% growth next year.
This is the fastest predicted growth of any advanced European economy, despite a public debt of nearly 100% of GDP, a 25% unemployment rate and no alternative to construction as an engine of growth.
http://www.theolivepress.es/spain-news/2014/10/08/update-spain-is-the-only-eu-country-with-improving-economy-says-imf/
It deals a further blow to struggling Australian coal exporters and delivers eleventh-hour complications to the bilateral free trade deal, but China’s abrupt reinstatement of import duties on coal - taking effect from Wednesday – is primarily geared at propping up its flagging domestic coal sector.
China’s faltering coal industry threatens entire provincial economies, from state-owned behemoths to the smaller private mines and the intertwining networks of shadow bank financing in between.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/china/faltering-economy-hits-chinas-coal-sector-20141014-115kzw.html
Question for RIO is this analysis accurate?
At the end of September, the central bank lowered its prediction for Brazil’s annual growth from 1.6 percent to just 0.7 percent. Such low growth is behind most other Latin American countries, with the exception of Argentina and Venezuela. For example, Mexico expects to grow at 2.7 percent and Colombia by 4.7 percent. Yet 0.7 percent is actually an optimistic estimate for Brazil: A survey of 100 private economists by Brazil’s central bank revealed an average growth rate projection of just 0.29 percent. The level of public sector debt (at 60 percent of GDP), government taxation, spending rates, and the economy’s investment and savings levels are closer to those of developed market economies than emerging market nations. Unfortunately for Brazil, this means that its growth outlook is more in line with Portugal’s than Peru’s.
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2014/10/11/how_to_bring_brazil_economy_back_to_life_election
Brazil is too dependent on China buying raw materials.
It will be interesting to see which way Brazil’s presidential run-off election goes. I have a hard time believing Brazilians will vote for austerity, but stranger things have happened (like the walloping Brazil’s soccer team received from Germany)
“Just Get Your Damn Vaccine” Doctor Violates Ebola Quarantine
NBC medical correspondent shows zero concern for public health
by Paul Joseph Watson | October 13, 2014
A doctor who made headlines back in 2010 during the swine flu scare when she told MSNBC viewers, “just get your damn vaccine” didn’t show such concerns for public health when she was caught violating an Ebola quarantine in order to pick up her favorite soup.
NBC Chief Medical Correspondent Dr. Nancy Snyderman was spotted on a food run in New Jersey despite being under a 21 day quarantine order after her return from West Africa during which Snyderman and her team were exposed to Ebola victim Ashoka Mukpo, who works as a cameraman for the network.
“Witnesses claimed the physician and broadcaster wore sunglasses and a ponytail as she pulled up outside the eatery and a man dashed in to grab the order,” reports MailOnline.
Both Snyderman and NBC News refused to comment on the story.
“The NBC crew remains symptom-free, so there is no reason for concern of exposure to the community,” spokeswoman Dawn Thomas said.
However, it can take up to three weeks for symptoms to show and some evidence suggests that individuals who are asymptomatic can still spread the disease.
NBC News President Deborah Turness said the network had, “agreed with state and local health authorities that our team will not come to work, and they will stay at home.”
By violating the quarantine order, Snyderman is displaying little concern for public health, a stance that differs from her tone during a 2009 appearance on MSNBC during the height of the swine flu panic when she ordered Americans to, “just get your damn vaccine.”
“Forget the conspiracy, listen to our government agencies, these guys are telling the truth, you know there’s no conspiracy here folks – just get your damn vaccine!” said Snyderman during her appearance on the show.
In reality, government agencies were not telling the truth about the swine flu vaccine according to Wolfgang Wodarg, head of health at the Council of Europe, whose investigation found that the outbreak was a “false pandemic” driven by drug companies that stood to make billions of pounds from a worldwide scare.”
Primarily as a result of Snyderman and her ilk creating hysteria by overhyping the threat posed by swine flu, millions of people worldwide received a vaccine that they didn’t need, which in some cases caused illnesses, and which wasted millions of dollars in public health funds.
Has the Ebola scare convinced you to sell all your stocks?
Is Ebola another “false pandemic” ?
“Forget the conspiracy, listen to our government agencies, these guys are telling the truth, you know there’s no conspiracy here folks – just get your damn vaccine!”
said Snyderman
Has the Ebola scare convinced you to sell all your stocks?”
Once this thing spreads and gets out of control outside of west Africa down goes the market.
On radio this am Mortality rate of ebola up to 70% now
The CDC has come out with harsh words for NBC Chief Medical Correspondent Dr. Nancy Snyderman.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TLfmEZYdtrY - 282k -
First Ebola Death in Germany
10/14/2014 6:57AM
An Ebola patient treated in Leipzig died Monday night and became the first fatality from this contagious disease in Germany. Photo: Getty Images
Meanwhile, SuperBrantly just donated plasma AGAIN, for the nurse in Texas. I suppose that if/when the cameraman recovers, they can tap him too. Luckily they only need plasma, not the blood, so these survivors can give more often. cf college kids donating every Friday afternoon for beer money.
Is it safe to get back into the stock market now?
Investing 10/13/2014 @ 2:55PM
Gold Up, At 4-Week High, On Safe-Haven Demand And Amid Weaker U.S. Dollar
(Kitco News) - Gold prices ended the U.S. day session moderately higher and hit a four-week high Monday. More safe-haven demand was featured amid the recent U.S. stock market sell-off. Short covering by the futures traders, whose bearish bets recently are not paying off, and bargain hunting in the cash market were also seen in gold to start the trading week. A lower U.S. dollar index was also a bullish “outside market” factor working in favor of the precious metals market bulls Monday. December Comex gold was last up $8.70 at $1,230.40 an ounce. Spot gold was last quoted up $7.20 at $1,230.75. December Comex silver last traded up $0.037 at $17.34 an ounce.
…
David Weidner’s Writing on the Wall
Opinion: 5 lessons you should learn from the stock-market selloff
Published: Oct 14, 2014 10:14 a.m. ET
Above all, don’t invest in a rebound that doesn’t exist
By David Weidner
Columnist
Bloomberg
Warren Buffett knows when to be fearful and when to be greedy. Most investors, alas, do not.
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”
Are you as tired of reading that as I am of writing it?
This isn’t even Investing 101. It’s the Cliff’s Notes cheat sheet for “Investing for Dummies.” The only principle to investing more rudimentary is “buy low and sell high.”
But obviously you need a refresher. Because you still buy high and sell low. You are terrified when others are fearful.
And greedy? Just what were you looking at this year when you kept buying stocks? The little green line that inched up and up? Your broker’s new sports car? Don’t try to hide it. I know you were buying. I saw the rally. You know, the one that was wiped off the books last week and yesterday.
Sorry. We need to get back to basics.
That’s why you need to see that quote again. Warren Buffett’s iconic statement about investing in volatile markets bears repeating especially after last week’s selloff that rendered the 2014 U.S equity markets a Mulligan.
So, let’s start over and consider what, if anything, we learned.
…
Market Extra
Growth fears pushing fund managers from risky positions, survey finds
Published: Oct 14, 2014 8:49 a.m. ET
Getty Images
German Chancellor Angela Merkel is presiding over a country that on Tuesday lowered its economic forecasts. Fund managers are growing more pessimistic over world growth.
By Sara Sjolin
Markets reporter
LONDON (MarketWatch) — Investors are showing less faith in the global economy, sending the appetite for riskier assets such as emerging-markets and European equities lower, according to a survey of fund managers released Tuesday.
The Bank of America Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey for October found only a net 32% of the fund managers polled expect the global economy to strengthen over the next 12 months, marking the lowest reading in two years and a fall of more than 20 percentage points from September. Additionally, profit expectations have slumped to an 18-month low.
…
Don’t let the market downturn do you in
Published: Oct 14, 2014 5:01 a.m. ET
Investors, now is the time for caution
By Dennis Miller
Today’s forecast: yield-starved investors forced into the market by seemingly permanent low interest rates will continue to be collateral damage. For some, that collateral damage may involve more than the loss of income opportunities… many could be wiped out completely.
At a recent investment conference, I asked the participants in our discussion group: “If there were safe, fixed-income opportunities available paying 5%-7%, would you move a major portion of your portfolio out of the stock market?”
“Absolutely,” they answered.
Participants relying on their nest eggs for retirement income said they felt forced into the market for yield. Their retirement projections weren’t based on 2% yields, the rough rate now available on fixed-income investments. They’d planned on 6% or so. What other choice do they have now?
…
article for the warmist warmers concludes that obama has failed to stop the rise of the oceans as he promised while campaigning in 2008
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2014/10/14/oceans-experiencing-largest-sea-rise-in-6000-years-study-says/
and now back to your regularly scheduled drudge report links
More warmist warming predictions of doom, happy Tuesday
“Natural disasters from climate change will intensify global instability, disease, poverty and conflict, according to the U.S. Defense Department.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2014-10-14/pentagon-warns-climate-change-will-intensify-conflict
So the Pentagon is now wading into the murky waters of climate doomsday prediction? Don’t they have quite enough on their plate without taking on this task?
“the murky waters”
It hurts my head to think about it. Fortunately, every time it snows somewhere, the Drudge Report links to an article about it.
“Don’t they have quite enough on their plate without taking on this task?”
Climate, the another fed mandate.
the = there’s
Chris Brown is not a real journalist
http://www.infowars.com/chris-brown-tweets-ebola-is-population-control/
The love affair with Obama is over?
http://www.businessinsider.com/the-love-affair-with-obama-is-over-2014-10
Third time’s the charm for Romney in 2016, LOLZ
Here is the problem with Romney as a candidate TODAY;
#1. He is very wealthy & a lilly white Guy…
#2. He was born on third base but acts like he hit a triple…
#3. The way he achieved his wealth (See his IRA) is questionable in that he took advantage of the system that is titled towards the wealthy…
#4. His family profile is unlike most in america….5 children…Most can’t fathom more than 1 possibly 2….
Through my lens I think he is very bright and pragmatic…Its just impossible for him to get to the middle which is where any republican candidate needs to be…I think it will be Jeb…Even with his tainted last name…
Romney could win by picking handlers who showed the real person he is, instead of a strawman caricature of what the polls show the American voters want. The 2012 campaign team failed him miserably.
Romney could win by picking handlers who showed the real person he is ??
The fact that he chose not to tells you something about the man If he can be manipulated to act as something he is not…I don’t think Jeb will morph into something that he is not which maybe why he “won’t” get the nomination from the repubs…Maybe he will make a independent run with someone like Paul…
Romney could win by picking handlers who showed the real person he is
I think they tried that: Sunday school teacher, family man, good ol’ boy in his pickup truck, etc.
The problem is that he was a corporate raider who was caught on camera expressing his disdain for the lucky duckies. He was an easy target, and still is. That he lost to an unpopular incumbent says it all.
Contrast that with how Bill Clinton defeated an also unpopular incumbent. Obama didn’t win the 2012 election … Romney lost it.
Clinton was just good at driving moderates to Perot instead of Bush I.
Jeb Bush has ZERO chance of winning. Not a snowball’s chance in hell.
It is just the wishful thinking of those on the left who want it to happen so Hillary gets a pass on Bubba. But you can’t make chicken salad out of chicken sh…..
I can see why everyone here on the HBB would hate Romney…
—————————-
Romney’s new housing plan is not very new, and it’s not much of a plan
Suzy Khimm - September 5, 2012 - Washington Post
“Don’t try to stop the foreclosure process. Let it run its course and hit the bottom.”
At the same time, Romney has also launched a new attack against Obama’s handling of the housing crisis. “President Obama’s only plan to address the housing crisis was the same plan he used to try to fix the economy: spend more taxpayer money on big-government programs,” his campaign Web site says. “President Obama rolled out an alphabet soup of more than ten housing finance programs rather than offering a real solution.”
Romney was right.
Now that’s kicking President Obola when he’s down.
How was he to know that doling out trillions of dollars to Unions, big-government programs and his backers wouldn’t revive the economy and the housing market.
#FundamentalTransformationOfAmerica
“Third time’s the charm for Romney in 2016, LOLZ”
A qualified administrator with real world experience would have been such a disappointment compared to four more years of African Marxism, Cloward/Piven, Rich-getting-Richer, Class/Racial Division and the continued Fundamental Transformation of America.
#FundamentalTransformationOfAmerica
The student loan bubble is ‘no different’ than the housing bubble
Mark Cuban: “When you have more administrators making $200,000 a year than professors, you have something wrong”
http://www.businessinsider.com/mark-cuban-on-student-loans-2014-10
Men are abandoning higher ed, and I suspect women, once they understand that their older sisters’ liberal arts and ” studies” degrees are worthless and that those huge student loan balances won’t go away will eventually follow suit.
There is a difference between the housing and student loan bubbles. Before the housing bubble pops you can flip a house and turn a profit. You can’t flip a student loan or a degree.
red pills for breakfast on a tuesday, eh rockstar?
no worries, those indebted female grads with degrees in obama studies will find their beta bux to pay off their student loans and save them from a lonely future of cats and boxed wine
will find their beta bux
I think those dudes have been hunted to extinction. All that’s left are dudes who work part time at Wendy’s and who play Xbox when they aren’t flipping burgers.
I think those dudes have been hunted to extinction ??
Yep…Divorce is titled against the guy…Way to avoid divorce is to not get married…
I’ve said that for years now. But I thought they were only making $100,000?!?!?!?!
Ebola’s threat to India
Shutting the door on Africa
http://www.economist.com/blogs/banyan/2014/10/ebolas-threat-india
Why the Middle East Still Doesn’t Matter
Forget about oil, Israel and terrorism—the world’s most dysfunctional region is a waste of time.
‘they attacked us on 9/11 because they hate our freedoms’
lolz
I know. I hear that a lot. And I guess they love Switzerlands freedoms, but not the USA’s? The Heritage Foundation ranks Switzerland the 4th freest nation in the world. The USA is not even in the top 10.
“I hear that a lot.”
No way. Still?
Just another European nation enjoying the fruits of 70 years of De Facto US and NATO Military support. Plus, like other European nations, they have issues with the Islamists.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/switzerland/6685719/Switzerland-risks-Muslim-backlash-after-minarets-vote.html
http://www.barenakedislam.com/2014/02/03/switzerland-joins-norway-and-denmark-in-trying-to-reduce-its-muslim-immigration-problem/
#TheTruthWillSetYouFree
#DownWithPoliticalCorrectness
Nice post Ben;
In other words, we are spending massive amounts of money for very little return…Excerpt;
The amount we’re paying now to fight terrorism—roughly $100 billion per year—is simply crazy. If someone ran a hedge fund assessing risk the way the U.S. government has responded to terrorism, it would not be long for the world.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/10/why-the-middle-east-still-doesnt-matter-111747.html#ixzz3G82AZodw
$100 billion a year is nothing to fulfill a constitutional obligation.
How much are we spending on BENEFITS and SOCIAL SERVICES for NON CITIZENS??? Not just at the Federal level but the State and Local level as well, I want to know.
#FundamentalTransformationOfAmerica
#ClowardAndPiven
#AfricanMarxism
What’s African Marxism? How does it differ from other kinds of Marxism?
http://www.marxists.org/subject/africa/
#AfricanMarxism
“…fulfill a constitutional obligation.”
WTF?
Shared on FB. And I don’t care if the NSA knows that I shared it. #uck them.
Wiat, I thought you wanted to be anonymous so that you could move and hide your moveable hideable wealth, to AZ or Big Sur or New Hampshire? Facebook is the last place you should be.
To AZ? And you think you can hide here? Not with me in this state. Uh-uh…
Me no like Facebook, Google+, or any other NSA spying apparatus. I’ll have a profile on there NEVER.
Bond Report
Treasurys leap as traders fret over growth slowdown
By Ben Eisen
October 14, 2014 9:43 a.m. ETD
10-year yield sinks to fresh 16-month low
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Treasury prices mounted a powerful climb on Tuesday as global economic growth fears rippled across financial markets.
The 10-year Treasury note (10_YEAR, -2.32%) yield, which acts as a benchmark for a wide range of borrowing costs, dropped 9 basis points on the day to 2.215%, on track to close at a fresh 16-month low, according to Tradeweb. Yields fall as prices rise.
…
Let me get this straight: The 10-year Treasury bond yield is currently 2.208%, yet Bank of America forecasts a 2.75% yield by the end of December (2 1/2 months from now).
How do they expect yields to climb by 74 bps by year end?!
Credit Markets
U.S. Government Bonds Stronger on Continued Eurozone Weakness
Ten-Year Note Yield at Lowest Level in 16 Months
By Min Zeng
Oct. 14, 2014 9:50 a.m. ET
Fresh concerns about the pace of growth in Europe sent investors rushing to the safety of U.S. government bonds Tuesday, sending the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to its lowest level in 16 months.
Data on the eurozone’s industrial production in August, released earlier Tuesday, showed a bigger-than-expected decline, and an index of economic sentiment in Germany turned negative this month for the first time since late 2012. Adding to investors’ anxiety about the region’s struggling economy, the U.K. reported that inflation in September slowed to the lowest level since 2009.
”It is classic haven-seeking trade over uncertainty over global growth,” said Christopher Sullivan, who oversees $2.4 billion as chief investment officer at the United Nations Federal Credit Union.
Tuesday’s rally in ultrasafe government debt extends 2014’s surprising gains in the bond market. At the start of the year, many investors had expected that Treasury prices would decline, pushing yields higher, as the U.S. economy strengthened and the Federal Reserve prepared to remove accommodative monetary policies that had been in place since the financial crisis.
But economic weakness in other parts of the world has upended views on the trajectory of Treasury yields, and has begun to stoke worries about the vulnerabilities of the U.S. economy.
A broad selloff in commodities over the past few months has heightened concern over demand from once-robust China, while the eurozone is teetering on the edge of a recession and Japan’s economy has failed to break out of its decadelong stagnation.
”It’s all about more concerns about global growth, and the bond market reacted to that,” said Anthony Cronin, a Treasury bond trader at Société Générale SA in London.
The data came at a time when investors’ nerves have been frayed by the selloff in U.S. stocks in the previous three sessions amid sharp price swings.
U.S. bond markets were closed Monday for a federal holiday, and traders and analysts said part of these price gains reflected bond investors catching up to the recent losses in stocks.
In recent trading, the 10-year Treasury note rose by 28/32 in price, yielding 2.208%, according to Tradeweb. The yield has tumbled from 3% at the start of the year.
The recent rally in bonds has compelled many analysts to lower their yield forecasts. Bank of America Merrill Lynch became the latest to do so Friday, cutting its year-end call on the 10-year yield to 2.75% from 3.1%.
…
More Reading
German Government Bond Yields Fall to Record Lows
The 10-year yield touched 2.173%, the lowest intraday level since June 2013. German and U.K. government bonds markets also rallied sharply. The yield on the 10-year bund fell to a new record low of 0.838%. The yield on the 10-year U.K. government bond dropped to 2.072%, the lowest in more than a year. Yields fall as prices rise.
“Let me get this straight: The 10-year Treasury bond yield is currently 2.208%, yet Bank of America forecasts a 2.75% yield by the end of December (2 1/2 months from now).
How do they expect yields to climb by 74 bps by year end?!”
You’re not supposed to do the math. In fact, you’re not supposed to question anything- just roll with it, it’s all good!
Are the Bank of America analysts really st00pid enough to believe that 10-year Treasury bond yields will somehow lurch up to 2.75% by year-end, or is this some kind of bankster ploy to scam the sheople?
Americans face post-foreclosure hell as wages garnished, assets seized
By Michelle Conlin
NEW YORK Tue Oct 14, 2014 3:35am EDT
(Reuters) - Many thousands of Americans who lost their homes in the housing bust, but have since begun to rebuild their finances, are suddenly facing a new foreclosure nightmare: debt collectors are chasing them down for the money they still owe by freezing their bank accounts, garnishing their wages and seizing their assets.
By now, banks have usually sold the houses. But the proceeds of those sales were often not enough to cover the amount of the loan, plus penalties, legal bills and fees. The two big government-controlled housing finance companies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as well as other mortgage players, are increasingly pressing borrowers to pay whatever they still owe on mortgages they defaulted on years ago.
http://www.reuters.com/…/10/14/us-usa-housing-foreclosures-insight-idUSKCN0I30BU20141014 - 105k -
news.yahoo.com/…s-face-post-foreclosure-hell-wages-garnished-assets-053048943.html - 265k -
0 for 2
Boo Frigging Hoo. Those pretentious people driving Lexus cars and with ATVs and boats HELOCed to appear wealthy.
They deserve garnishment. Got popcorn?
My 11 year old Toyota looks great after a car wash and hardly a blemish still. Runs great still. And I have zero debt.
I wonder what they priority is for definciency judgments. Yeah, I too hope it’s the boat-and-boob-job serial refinancers, but it’s probably regular folks who will have to declare BK.
A family I know has a 7 year old Tacoma. They use it as a second car so it’s still shiny and has relatively few miles. Each time they take it for service, the salespeople swarm around, begging to buy it for the used car lot. Dealers are desperate for cheaper trucks.
I never liked these sorts of assumptions. Your vehicle was new one day many years ago, so you were no different. Perhaps those with brand new vehicles today will be driving them 10 years down the road. Why are you judging people?
Many thousands of Americans who lost their homes in the housing bust, but have since begun to rebuild their finances, are suddenly facing a new foreclosure nightmare: debt collectors are chasing them down for the money they still owe by freezing their bank accounts, garnishing their wages and seizing their assets.
That’s what chapter 7 is for. Sure, their credit rating will be ruined for years, but it’s already is wrecked.
“That’s what chapter 7 is for.”
That would work for the “have nots” but the “haves” who walked away may be looking at a problem.
——————————————————————-
Will I Lose My Checking or Savings Account if I File Bankruptcy?
Learn what happens to your checking and savings accounts if you file for bankruptcy.
If you file for Chapter 7 bankruptcy, will you be able to keep your savings, checking, or other bank accounts? The answer depends on what you mean by “keeping.”
If you want to know if you can keep the actual bank account, then for the most part, the answer is yes. If you file for bankruptcy, your bank usually won’t close your savings or checking accounts.
However, if you want to know if you can keep the money in those accounts, the answer is different. In most states, little if any, of the cash in your accounts is protected. Although there are often exceptions for some of that money if it came from exempt sources, for example, recent wages, or money received from public benefits. And if you have a credit card or loan with the bank, it may be able to freeze your accounts when you file for bankruptcy.
http://www.thebankruptcysite.org/…/will-i-lose-my-checking-account-i-file-bankruptcy - 58k -
That would work for the “have nots” but the “haves” who walked away may be looking at a problem.
I know of people with low 6 figure incomes who got away with a chapter 7. You don’t have to be a pauper. Sure, if you have a lot of unprotected assets you won’t get chapter 7, but you can still probably get a chapter 11.
“I know of people with low 6 figure incomes who got away with a chapter 7″
Not surprising, I am sure there are a lot of broke people with 6 figure incomes.
Salient Features of Chapter 7 bankruptcy
A Chapter 7 filing is a fresh start for the debtor, with a clean financial slate. After the debtor files under Chapter 7, a trustee is appointed to sell the debtor’s assets. This is why Chapter 7 is called liquidation. However, not all assets are sold off. State and federal laws deem certain property exempt from such confiscation, such as an individual’s primary residence or personal items like clothing. Once the debtor’s assets are liquidated, the trustee pays certain creditors a portion of the money raised. It is important to note that not all creditors receive money from the liquidation proceeds. Many of the financial obligations are, therefore, forgiven or “discharged”. Certain debts are never (or rarely) discharged (forgiven), such as alimony, child support, student loans and taxes.
Chapter 7 is the most commonly used bankruptcy filing in the U.S. Once an individual or company has filed for bankruptcy under Chapter 7, they cannot file again for 7 years.
Salient Features of Chapter 11 bankruptcy
Chapter 11 was originally intended for large corporations. However, individuals are also now allowed to file for bankruptcy under Chapter 11. Once a debtor files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, a trustee is appointed to handle the bankruptcy. The trustee and the debtor work together to develop a repayment plan for the debtors outstanding loans. This plan is presented to the bankruptcy court, which decides whether to accept the plan, modify it or dictate an altogether new repayment plan. The repayment of outstanding loans usually occurs over 3 to 5 years. Note that the debtors assets are not liquidated under a Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing. So if the debtor is a business, they can continue to operate and potentially emerge from bankruptcy as a healthy company.
http://www.diffen.com/difference/Chapter_11_Bankruptcy_vs_Chapter_7_Bankruptcy - 74k -
Not surprising, I am sure there are a lot of broke people with 6 figure incomes.
IIRC, they had a nice 401K balance, but that counts as a protected asset, or so I was told.
Sombeach URC and up to $1,1245,475.
Chapter 7: Federal Law Exempts 401(k)s and Other Tax-Exempt Accounts
Under federal law, almost all types of tax-exempt retirement accounts are exempt in bankruptcy, regardless of whether you are using state or federal bankruptcy exemptions. (To learn more about bankruptcy exemptions and how they work, see Bankruptcy Exemptions — What Do I Keep When I File for Bankruptcy?) This includes 401(k)s, 403(b)s, profit-sharing and money purchase plans, IRAs, and defined-benefit plans. With one exception, the exemption amount is unlimited — which means you can exempt the entire amount in the account. The exception applies to traditional and Roth IRAs — those accounts are exempt up to a combined total of $1,1245,475.
good. People should be held liable for their debts.
Especially mortgage debt.
I was listening to one of the local (Vegas) RE shows. Woman calls, asks when she’ll be able to buy again. I forget the details but she had just short sold, or went bankrupt, whatever. Wanted to know when she could buy again and went berserk with indignation at the host’s answer - whatever they told her it was way too long for her liking. It’s good to hear this kind of person’s sense of entitlement shatter.
Didn’t we have anecdotes here about short sellers and the foreclosed being able to get a new mortgage after just 2-3 years? Or did this women expect to be good to go after only 6 months?
Or did this women expect to be good to go after only 6 months?
I think that’s what it was - immediately if not sooner.
If you need a perfect example of a Free $hit Army soldier, that broad is it.
Clipboard Jesus gets back on the field with Locker injured
Sep. 28, 2014 12:34 PM EDT
Clipboard Jesus will get off the sidelines and throw some passes for the Tennessee Titans Sunday.
The long-haired, bearded Charlie Whitehurst is a career backup.With Jake Locker out with a wrist injury, Whitehurst is dropping the clipboard and will get a chance to throw his first regular season pass since 2011.
pro32.ap.org/article/clipboard-jesus-gets-back-field-locker-injured - 111k -
0 for 3
Too bad, they had a great picture of Clipboard Jesus on that page.
LOL, here’s a news headline from a San Francisco newspaper”
“Prosecutors: 2 dead babies found had been alive”
Wow, do they actually mean to say that the babies were ALIVE before they died? Ain’t that something?
Seriously, these would-be journos should just freakin’ give it up.
now i’ll have alice cooper’s ‘dead babies’ stuck in my head all day, thanks alot
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Many thousands of Americans who lost their homes in the housing bust, but have since begun to rebuild their finances, are suddenly facing a new foreclosure nightmare: debt collectors are chasing them down for the money they still owe by freezing their bank accounts, garnishing their wages and seizing their assets.
By now, banks have usually sold the houses. But the proceeds of those sales were often not enough to cover the amount of the loan, plus penalties, legal bills and fees. The two big government-controlled housing finance companies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as well as other mortgage players, are increasingly pressing borrowers to pay whatever they still owe on mortgages they defaulted on years ago.
Using a legal tool known as a “deficiency judgment,” lenders can ensure that borrowers are haunted by these zombie-like debts for years, and sometimes decades, to come. Before the housing bubble, banks often refrained from seeking deficiency judgments, which were seen as costly and an invitation for bad publicity. Some of the biggest banks still feel that way.
“By now, banks have usually sold the houses. But the proceeds of those sales were often not enough to cover the amount of the loan, plus penalties, legal bills and fees”
Dorothy
I don’t like this debt collector! He’s - he’s creepy!
Scarecrow
Of course, I don’t know, but I think he’s going to want money for that house we walked away from.
Dorothy
Do - do you suppose he will garnish our wages?
Tin Man
Mmmm - he might.
Dorothy
Oh -
Scarecrow
Does he want the $175k for the cash out refi?
Tin Man
A - some - but mostly penalties, legal bills and fees.
Dorothy
Penalties!
Scarecrow
And legal bills!
Tin Man
And FEES!
Dorothy
Oh! Penalties, legal bills and fees! Oh, - my -
Dorothy, Scarecrow, Tin Man
Penalties, legal bills and fees! Oh My!
Dorothy
Oh My!
phony scandals you beat me too it. I double posted sorry
Is there anyone in Phoenix still living in a house they bought or refinanced between February 2005 and July 2008?
————————————————————————–
In metro Phoenix’s housing market, there are the haves and have-nots
Catherine Reagor, The Republic | azcentral.com 1:23 p.m. MST September 26, 2014
In metro Phoenix’s housing market, there are the haves and have-nots, those homeowners who have equity and those who don’t.
Anyone who bought a house or refinanced in the Valley between February 2005 and July 2008 still most likely owes more than their house is worth, according to the Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service.
Homeowners who purchased before May 2004 and didn’t refinance between early 2005 and mid-2009 should have equity in their house, said Tom Ruff, real-estate analyst with the Information Market, owned by ARMLS.
For the home equity haves and have-nots, it’s all about the Valley’s housing boom and bust.
The analysis is based on median homes prices in the area. In February 2005, near the beginning of the housing boom, the median resale price in the Phoenix area was $188,900. In May 2006, the resale median hit a record of $253,500 and remained above $200,000 until the summer of 2008.
In August 2008, metro Phoenix’s median resale price fell to $190,000. Currently, the area’s median is about $196,000.
The percentage of homeowners underwater plummeted to 19.5 percent by June 30 this year from almost 50 percent in 2009, according to national real-estate researcher CoreLogic’s most recent report released Thursday.
The haves, those homeowners with equity, can sell, but many are staying put for now because there are few buyers in the Valley. Home sales have slowed dramatically in the area this year compared with 2012 and 2013.
Home-price increases have slowed with sales. That means fewer of the have-nots will have equity in their houses soon, a fact that could impact a home-sales rebound.
But Phoenix-area homeowners who haven’t seen their house’s value climb above what they paid or refinanced it for during the boom can take solace in the fact that they are better off than homeowners in other states hit hard by the crash.
Approximately 26.3 percent of Nevada homeowners are still underwater. In Florida, the rate is 24.3 percent.
http://www.azcentral.com/…/2014/09/26/metro-phoenixs-housing-market-haves-nots/16278875/ - 115k -
Anyone who bought a house or refinanced in the Valley between February 2005 and July 2008 still most likely owes more than their house is worth, according to the Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service.
There is no reason why a refi alone would send you underwater, unless you cashed out some equity in the process.
Okay, I get that our searches/page visits are tracked, and that the ads displayed on our browsers are “custom-tailored” to fit us.
But today was the last freaking straw.
Ads for adult diapers started showing up today.
“But today was the last freaking straw.”
I Am Not An Animal! I Am A Human Being!
I Am Not An Animal (Elephant Man) - YouTube
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sn7bEVnFlds - 201k -
Hah!
Check out PrivacyBadger (put together by the EFF). It should help reduce tracking across sites/page visits.
Use Duck Duck Go for internet searches, not Google.
Not one FB dollar will be allowed to escape - especially if it is owed to the government.
——————————
Insight - Americans face post-foreclosure hell as wages garnished, assets seized
Reuters - Michelle Conlin - Oct 14, 2014
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Many thousands of Americans who lost their homes in the housing bust, but have since begun to rebuild their finances, are suddenly facing a new foreclosure nightmare: debt collectors are chasing them down for the money they still owe by freezing their bank accounts, garnishing their wages and seizing their assets.
By now, banks have usually sold the houses. But the proceeds of those sales were often not enough to cover the amount of the loan, plus penalties, legal bills and fees. The two big government-controlled housing finance companies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as well as other mortgage players, are increasingly pressing borrowers to pay whatever they still owe on mortgages they defaulted on years ago.
Using a legal tool known as a “deficiency judgment,” lenders can ensure that borrowers are haunted by these zombie-like debts for years, and sometimes decades, to come. Before the housing bubble, banks often refrained from seeking deficiency judgments, which were seen as costly and an invitation for bad publicity. Some of the biggest banks still feel that way.
But the housing crisis saddled lenders with more than $1 trillion of foreclosed loans, leading to unprecedented losses. Now, at least some large lenders want their money back, and they figure it’s the perfect time to pursue borrowers: many of those who went through foreclosure have gotten new jobs, paid off old debts and even, in some cases, bought new homes.
Borrowers are usually astonished to find out they still owe thousands of dollars on homes they haven’t thought about for years.
In 2008, bank teller Danell Huthsing broke up with her boyfriend and moved out of the concrete bungalow they shared in Jacksonville, Florida. Her name was on the mortgage even after she moved out, and when her boyfriend defaulted on the loan, her name was on the foreclosure papers, too.
She moved to St. Louis, Missouri, where she managed to amass $20,000 of savings and restore her previously stellar credit score in her job as a service worker at an Amtrak station.
But on July 5, a process server showed up on her doorstep with a lawsuit demanding $91,000 for the portion of her mortgage that was still unpaid after the home was foreclosed and sold. If she loses, the debt collector that filed the suit can freeze her bank account, garnish up to 25 percent of her wages, and seize her paid-off 2005 Honda Accord.
Perhaps the most aggressive among the debt pursuers is Fannie Mae. Of the 595,128 foreclosures Fannie Mae was involved in – either through owning or guaranteeing the loans - from January 2010 through June 2012, it referred 293,134 to debt collectors for possible pursuit of deficiency judgments, according to a 2013 report by the Inspector General for the agency’s regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency.
Once financial institutions secure a judgment, they can sometimes have years to collect on the claim. In Maryland, for example, they have as long as 36 years to chase people down for the debt. Financial institutions can charge post-judgment interest of an estimated 4.75 percent a year on the remaining balance until the statute of limitation runs out, which can drive people deeper into debt.
“She moved to St. Louis, Missouri, where she managed to amass $20,000 of savings and restore her previously stellar credit score in her job as a service worker at an Amtrak station.”
(Jaws music)
“But on July 5, a process server showed up on her doorstep with a lawsuit demanding $91,000 for the portion of her mortgage that was still unpaid after the home was foreclosed and sold.”
Frisco police: Cowboys’ Joseph Randle arrested Monday, charged with theft
crimeblog.dallasnews.com ^ | 9:27 am on October 14, 2014 | By Naheed Rajwani
Posted on 10/14/2014, 12:34:12 PM by Red Badger
Frisco police say Dallas Cowboys running back Joseph Randle was arrested Monday evening for allegedly shoplifting at the Dillard’s at Stonebriar Mall.
Police were called to the Dillard’s at 8:17 p.m. Monday, said Frisco police spokesman Chad LaPrelle. The store’s loss prevention employees had detained Randle, who was later charged with theft, a Class B misdemeanor.
Police said Randle attempted to steal a $39.50-pack of two black Polo underwear and a tester bottle of Gucci Guilty Black cologne valued at $84.
He was released from Frisco City Jail early Tuesday after posting a $350 bail, police said.
Randle has a base salary of $495,000 for this season. He was drafted by the Dallas Cowboys out of Oklahoma State in the fifth round of the 2013 NFL Draft.
(Excerpt) Read more at crimeblog.dallasnews.com …
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3214997/posts?page=6 - 24k -
I guess $495K ain’t what it used to be.
Anyone know any college kids who want to get on the terrorist watch list?
Big Government Sucks
Turning Point USA’s fall theme for the Catalyst Project is Big Government Sucks!
From August 25 – November 4, Turning Point USA will organize 10 weeks of innovative, themed activism projects that will take place on college campuses nationwide. Turning Point USA will also assist students with voter registration drives on campus.
Join the Catalyst Project!
Any student who is interested in participating in the Big Government Sucks campaign is welcome to join. Click here to register!
10 Weeks of Activism
Catalyst student activism thumbWeek 1: Student Activism Week
Goal: Identify campus activists, and provide students with the tools, training, and materials needed to recruit a strong membership base at the start of the school year. This week lays the groundwork for future activism projects.
Request the activism kit
catlyst cap cure thumbWeek 2: Capitalism Cures
Goal: Make the moral argument for capitalism, and promote the ways in which capitalism alleviates poverty, improves people’s lives, and increases the standard of living across the world.
Request the activism kit
Catalyst debt awareness thumbWeek 3: National Debt Awareness
Goal: Educate students about the dangers of a $17 trillion national debt, and expose the numerous examples of excessive government waste.
Request the activism kit
catalyst free speech thumbWeek 4: Constitution / Free Speech
Goal: Promote free speech on campus, and educate students about the ways big government violates individual liberty and the principles in the U.S. Constitution.
Request the activism kit
catalyst keep more stuff thumbWeek 5: Keep More Stuff
Goal: Expose the cycle of endless taxation, and make the moral argument for decreasing taxes to increase jobs, commerce, philanthropy, and individual freedom.
Request the activism kit
http://www.turningpointusa.net/biggovernmentsucks/ - 51k -
Week 10: Big Government Sucks
Goal: Summarize the ways that Big Government Sucks (especially for young people), and provide students with moral, economic, and logical reasons to support small government at all levels.
Request the activism kit
Region VIII checking in.
Duly noted by your FEMA Region VIII Quarantine Controller.
Grandmaster Flash & the Furious Five - White Lines:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WtwT492YDvg
Boogie Down Productions - Criminal Minded (entire album)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f1OhaXQ0Tcc
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eFEuCgvxsog - 193k -
Those cheap china wheels are getting wobbly…. those over priced EuroTrash fenders are a’ flappin…. and theres smoke billowing from under the hood of the US built propaganda engine.
I have heard of roofers tearing off the roof on the wrong house but not this.
New Florida million-dollar home has nice view, but built on wrong lot
Reuters
3 hours ago
By Barbara Liston
ORLANDO Fla. (Reuters) - A Florida builder is trying to figure out what to do after constructing a million-dollar, ocean-view home in Florida on the wrong lot, authorities said.
The mistake occurred after two state-certified surveyors on the job separately marked the wrong property, said Carl Laundrie, spokesman for Flagler County on the Atlantic Coast north of Daytona Beach.
Laundrie said there were few landmarks in the new Hammock Dunes subdivision that could have helped someone catch the error.
“There is no giant oak tree on one corner of the lot so you would say, okay, this must be the lot. This particular piece of land is basically in a field back behind the dune,” Laundrie said.
The 5,300-square-foot (492-sq-meter) house, which was completed in March, includes five bedrooms, five-and-a-half bathrooms, a theater, game room and swimming pool, according to gotoby.com, a local real estate news site.
Mark and Brenda Voss of Linn, Missouri, who had the home built, did not return calls for comment, nor did Andrew Massaro and Brooke Triplett of Ocean Isle Beach, North Carolina, who own the lot.
The Vosses own the lot next door to the one on which the house was built.
Flagler County Property Appraiser Jay Gardner said the mistake was discovered in September by a third surveyor working in the neighborhood.
The builder, Robbie Richmond of Keystone Homes, who the real estate website described as one of the area’s most respected builders, did not return a call for comment.
Flagler County Property Appraiser Jay Gardner said he spoke to Richmond.
“All he wants to do is get it right,” Gardner said.
Representatives of the surveying companies on the project also did not return calls for comment.
“It’s up to the builder to rectify the situation, and the builder relied on the surveyor. I assume everything is going to be headed to court,{” said Laundrie.
Gardner said he hadn’t spoken to the Vosses, but that Massaro was calm when informed of the problem.
‘He wasn’t tickled but he seemed to handle it quite well,” Gardner said. “It happens from time to time.”
Hillary Hypocrisy Talks About Student Debt, Hits UNLV Foundation For $225K Speaking Fee
Students protest fee amid 20% tuition increase
by Jeff Dunetz | Truth Revolt | October 14, 2014
Despite objections from a student body which faces the burden of 17% tuition hikes during the next four years, probable Democratic Party presidential nominee Hillary Clinton spoke to the UNLV foundation Monday night drawing a speaking fee of $225,000.
Ironically, in her speech, she opined that more needs to be done to assure young people can achieve their dreams and free students from debt.
Ms Clinton delivered her remarks to a crowd of about 900 people gathered in a Bellagio resort ballroom for the annual UNLV Foundation dinner benefiting the University of Nevada, Las Vegas.
Local reporter Venise Toussaint pointed out the Clinton hypocrisy during a Tuesday morning report about the event:
Well, Kim and Dana, this is Hillary Clinton’s third trip to Las Vegas so far this year and every time the big question is, will she or won’t she run for president? She was asked to last night and she really did not have an answer, not yet at least, fueling a lot of the speculation about her presidential bid. But to help her make that decision and sway her back toward the White House, she received a clever gift: some running shoes from Brian Greenspun, the owner of the Las Vegas Sun. Now Hillary Clinton addressed more than a dozen issues in her hour-long speech, from education and energy to foreign policy and Russian President Vladimir Putin. But her appearance at the dinner was also marred with some controversy. As she spoke about the rising cost of college tuition and student loan debt, she also accepted a hefty speaking fee of $225,000. Now that’s the majority of the $235,000 that the UNLV foundation collected from donors at that dinner.
Foreclosure Dispute Pits Mortgage Lenders vs. Investors
Mortgage lenders and housing investors are squaring off in Nevada over a court decision that has allowed thousands of foreclosed homes to be sold for pennies on the dollar. At issue are homeowners associations and the liens they put on properties when a homeowner stops paying dues.
Like lenders, homeowners associations can foreclose on homes to recoup delinquent payments, an option that many have taken after waiting years for lenders themselves to foreclose, a scenario that has left homes without dues-paying owners and some HOAs strapped for cash. Nevada and about 20 other states have laws that allow HOA liens to get priority over first mortgages.
The result, according to a recent state court decision, is that homes can be put up for auction by HOAs—without the blessing of the mortgage lender—and sold, extinguishing the first mortgage and allowing the investor to get title to the home. Such sales often are for an amount equal to or slightly above the HOA dues in arrears.
In a court filing Tuesday, the Mortgage Bankers Association wrote that because of the decision, “mortgage lenders stand to lose millions—perhaps even billions—of dollars in security interests.
If the decision stands, some investors expect to receive a windfall. “This is one of the greatest returns in real estate that I’ve ever seen,” said Jay Bloom, a director of First 100 LLC, an investment firm that bought more than 1,000 homes in states including Nevada and Washington. Many homes purchased by investors were sold for only a few thousand dollars, but had values in the hundreds of thousands of dollars.
The case brought to the Nevada Supreme Court involved a Las Vegas home purchased in 2007 with an $885,000 mortgage originated by Bank of America. The homeowner defaulted on the mortgage the next year. The Southern Highlands Community Association foreclosed on the home and sold it at auction in September 2012 to SFR Investments Pool 1 LLC, a closely held investment company. SFR paid $6,000, the amount owed to the HOA by the delinquent homeowner.
Bank of America scheduled its own foreclosure sale for December 2012 but SFR filed to stop the sale, arguing that the HOA auction extinguished the $885,000 mortgage. (The case was actually brought against U.S. Bank, the trustee for the securities associated with the home’s mortgage, but was litigated by Bank of America.)
Bank of America won a lower-court decision, but the state Supreme Court reversed it and sent the case back to the lower court. The justices who supported SFR said that the bank could have stopped the problem by paying the lien itself.
Looks like Firefox 33.0 crippled the Joshua Tree Extension v.2.3.1
Got stock market fear?
Why Is the Put-Call Ratio (Fear Gauge) Higher Than In The Lehman Collapse Of 2008?
Tyler Durden’s picture
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/14/2014 12:19 -0400
By at least one well-known measure of sentiment, the level of fear in the stock market now exceeds the fear triggered by the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008. Lehman declared bankruptcy on September 15, 2008, unleashing a cascade that soon threatened to take down the entire global financial system.
There is no comparable event–or level of fear–other than the Great Crash of 1929.
Thus it is extraordinary that yesterday’s CBOE put-call ratio of 1.53 exceeded the put-call ratios of the 2008 global financial meltdown, which topped at 1.52.
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Last updated: October 14, 2014 10:03 pm
‘Fear gauge’ at highest since eurozone crisis
By Ralph Atkins in London and Vivianne Rodrigues in New York
Halloween masks are offered for sale at Fantasy Costumes on October 30, 2013 in Chicago, Illinois©Getty
US stock market volatility has jumped to the highest since the eurozone debt crisis, according to a closely watched index highlighting the global turbulence created by worries over the world economic recovery.
Swings in global share price movements have increased significantly since news last week of unexpectedly sharp falls in German exports and industrial production, and a downgrade of global growth forecasts by the International Monetary Fund.
The CBOE Vix index of implied US share price volatility – known as the “Wall Street fear gauge” – jumped to 24.6 late on Monday, the highest since June 2012, when investors feared the eurozone was close to breaking up. It fell slightly on Tuesday, to close at 23.62. The comparable index for European shares has reached its highest since February.
“The move in Vix has been pretty amazing,” said JJ Kinahan, chief strategist at TD Ameritrade. “But the jump in the Vix should not be seen as totally negative. There’s been a lot of complacency in markets in the past couple of years.”
The US S&P 500 share index rebounded in New York trading on Tuesday after falling 1.65 per cent on Monday to its lowest since May. The index had also dropped on four out of the previous five trading days. The Vix is based on options prices for S&P 500 shares.
The FTSE all-world share index has fallen 8 per cent since early September to its lowest since February, while the UK FTSE 100 is at its lowest for a year.
The outburst of turbulence contrasts with the first half of the year when financial market volatility sank to the lowest levels since the global financial crises erupted in 2007. The recent increase in jitters suggests central banks are losing some of their mesmerising influence over financial markets as the US Federal Reserve prepares to end this month its “quantitative easing”, or large-scale asset purchase scheme.
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A day in the life of a debt collector
Published: Oct 14, 2014 12:03 p.m. ET
By Nick Jarman, Credit.com
When I saw the recent New York Times article “A Debt Collector’s Day,” I was obviously intrigued to read it. Having worked nearly 4,000 days as a debt collector, I was looking forward to reading an article that actually depicted what we do for a living so readers would get a glimpse at what a debt collector really does. I read the article and a sampling of the author’s upcoming book on debt collectors, and it surely makes for an interesting story.
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QE3 isn’t even done, and FOMC members are greasing the skids for more.
Market Pulse
Fed’s Williams says QE could be needed if economy slides
Published: Oct 14, 2014 12:42 p.m. ET
By Steve Goldstein
D.C. bureau chief
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — San Francisco Fed President John Williams said that more bond buying could be needed if the economy faltered, according to a report. “If we really get a sustained, disinflationary forecast … then I think moving back to additional asset purchases in a situation like that should be something we should seriously consider,” Williams told Reuters. Williams said he’s “worried” the European Central Bank response will be as timely and aggressive as needed. Williams told the publication he still expects the first rate hike in the middle of 2015. The Fed is expected to announce it will stop bond purchases at its October meetings.
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