“But imports of refined metal also seem to be recovering from the mass destock occasioned by the Qingdao port scandal, which erupted around the middle of last year.
The scandal, centered on the multiple pledging of metal against loans in China’s shadow credit market, caused a wholesale flight of nickel out of the country to safer storage in London Metal Exchange warehouses.”
China is just re-stocking a metal that was used as collateral in yet another crooked shadow banking loan that someone got stiffed on. It’s a return to normal, not a sign of prosperity.
This is why I’m the Media Analyst and you’re not. Here, an article about Obamatrade linked from the Drudge Report that is critical of the globalist agenda:
So now you think that Matt Drudge is critical of the globalist agenda? Except that he isn’t, especially when it comes to neocon wars in the Middle East. Here an article linked from the Drudge Report (he has an advertising partnership to link to CBS Local’s ad-choked, low-content subdomains, especially for low hanging fruit articles that could just as easily have been linked from Reuters or Associated Press) that discusses the “threat level” and how scared you are supposed to be:
So what’s it gonna be Matt Drudge? You’re a hypocrite, because rallying the base of window lickers and mouth breathers with articles about the “threat level” (remember the pretty color-coded threat level spectrum we had after 9/11? and how Fox News used to always have it on the corner of the TeeVee, LOLZ) will not result in any “lower taxes” or “smaller government”
And now back to your regularly scheduled New York Times and Washington Post articles to tell you how racist you are
And Matt Drudge will endorse every Republican candidate who is pushing hard to pass GATT, because the only reason he’s against it is because Obama is for it.
I am reading the novel “Shark” by British satirist Will Self, and one of the characters in the book comments about transexuals that “the hands and the chin don’t lie”
“I don’t think this is what Jimi Hendrix meant when he sang “I’m gonna hang my freak flag high!””
Really? I suspect it’s more or less exactly what he was talking about, if not for himself, then for others. There’s no one approved type of freak flag, that’s why it’s a freak flag.
It’s called ‘freedom’. Don’t let it frighten you into grabbing a gun and rounding up the weirdos who are exercising it.
Jimi Hendrix was a libertarian, not a redistributionist
The “progressive” agenda of forcing transexual acceptance on broader society = wealth transfer from evil rich white capitalist patriarchy oppressor class to the poor, betrodden, perpetual victims of racism, sexism, transphobia, or whatever the Victim Olympics™ designated winner of the day is
That’s quite a narrative you’ve scripted there. Following your logic, oppressing transgender people will help free us from the danger of wealth redistribution?
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Comment by Media Analyst
2015-06-23 06:49:31
Social Justice Warrior™ = there is no injustice, historical or present, perceived or actual, that can not be remedied via redistributive taxation
Feels before reals
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2015-06-23 07:00:18
The PTB want the public’s attention off trade agreements and immigration. Gay marriage, transgender or race related stories all help.
Comment by Oddfellow
2015-06-23 07:07:35
White collar conservative flashin down the street, pointing that plastic finger at me,
they all assume my kind will drop and die, but I’m gonna wave my freak flag high.
How well the freaks are treated is the measure of a country and a person. It’s probably the truest measure of freedom.
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2015-06-23 07:26:59
How well the freaks are treated is the measure of a country and a person. It’s probably the truest measure of freedom.
It worked real well for the Weimer Republic.
Comment by Oddfellow
2015-06-23 08:02:16
“It worked real well for the Weimer Republic.”
I never said it made you immune to fascist takeover. It probably increases the chance, actually, since such freedom clearly riles the local taliban.
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2015-06-23 09:34:13
Well you will get to vote on an “interesting” referendum:
“I never said it made you immune to fascist takeover.”
What do you think political correctness is?
Our Colleges and Universities are ripe with PC. We should really consider shutting them all down and starting over with targeted higher education.
If you want to be indoctrinated into progressive fascism, you can choose that type of education and pay for it out of your own pocket.
Those interested in a real career can attend specialty Universities that will also provide unbiased classes on world history, English, writing, etc. No gender and Identity based studies or majors.
This madness has got to stop or this country if finished…may already be too late.
Comment by MightyMike
2015-06-23 16:21:59
What do the people mean when they say that country or a city or a state is finished? And what’s targeted education?
“The “progressive” agenda of forcing transexual acceptance on broader society…”
I’m not aware of such an agenda, or how “forcing” it could be accomplished. If you don’t like the media talking about it, don’t listen. It seems like you’re the one with an agenda, not the media.
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Comment by Bring Back the WPA
2015-06-23 08:08:57
It seems like you’re the one with an agenda, not the media.
I’m beginning to think that Media/Goon/Boots’s agenda is that he is masquerading as a libertarian but in reality is a hard right reactionary. Real libertarians fully support transgenderism because they are exercising their personal liberty to pursue happiness in their own way.
Comment by Media Analyst
2015-06-23 08:38:28
Progressives can’t handle losing control of the narrative
Key word: control
Comment by Oddfellow
2015-06-23 08:41:55
“…but in reality is a hard right reactionary”
For some, freedom means letting people do what they want, as long as it doesn’t directly harm others. For others, freedom means getting to control the actions of people who they feel are hurting their feelings/morality/society. It’s a fundamental split in the conception of freedom, imho.
It’s like the Jimi Hendrix thing. Some explore their minds and find love, others explore their minds and find hatred and judgement.
” because they are exercising their personal liberty to pursue happiness in their own way”
Comment by oxide
2015-06-23 13:04:34
The squad is too smarmy and snarky to be anything other than a DINO/RINO follower of Stewart/Colbert.
Comment by Clubber Lang
2015-06-23 15:37:32
“For some, freedom means letting people do what they want, as long as it doesn’t directly harm others. For others, freedom means getting to control the actions of people who they feel are hurting their feelings/morality/society. It’s a fundamental split in the conception of freedom, imho.”
Wow…The indoctrinators are some crafty folks. You have really nailed that one Oddy…they (fascist progressives) are so successful in their brain washing that the actual meaning of “Freedom” is up for debate.
Call me stunned. The word “Control” belongs nowhere near the definition of Freedom. I am saving that paragraph, hope your progressive buddies aren’t upset at you for letting the cat out of the bag.
Comment by MightyMike
2015-06-23 15:50:34
You need to work on your reading comprehension, Clubber.
I have to agree with Oddfellow. Jimi Hendrix would not be the one to criticize anyone for being strange. I visited his grave site when I was in Seattle years ago, and the groundskeeper told me that every morning he had to clean up after the stoners who partied there the day before. He didn’t seem to mind, and neither would Jimi.
I got the distinct impression that the focus on trans was a result of the unexpectedly swift critical mass acceptance of LGB. LGB succeeded so suddenly that that the libs were caught flat-footed and had to immediately pivot to trans just to have something to protest.
Real “progressives” would advocate for the elimination of age of consent laws or of the prohibition against having sex with corpses
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Comment by Albuquerquedan
2015-06-23 07:45:05
Real “progressives” would advocate for the elimination of age of consent laws
Ginsberg at one time thought that twelve year old girls should be able to consent to males of all ages. Do you think a conservative would be sitting on the Supreme Court if they once held that position?
Yes, right after gay marriage being constitutionally protected.
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Comment by Media Analyst
2015-06-23 08:41:22
The real libertarian solution is the removal of government from heterosexual marriage
Which is unacceptable to tradcons
And would remove the progressive/feminist agenda of redistribution to government designated victim classes
Comment by In Colorado
2015-06-23 09:01:54
The real libertarian solution is the removal of government from heterosexual marriage
Which is unacceptable to tradcons
I’m not so sure about that. I’ve met plenty of Fundies who are just fine with leaving marriage to the church.
And would remove the progressive/feminist agenda of redistribution to government designated victim classes
Now that I agree with. Eliminate state sanctioned marriage and alimony becomes a relic of the past.
Comment by oxide
2015-06-23 09:51:06
Don’t know why it’s so difficult to have two unions: one in the church and one in the state. Take vows in front and sign papers in the back.
Alimony is probably still covered under civil union law.
Comment by In Colorado
2015-06-23 11:22:30
Alimony is probably still covered under civil union law.
But if you can get “married” without bringing the state into it, why have a civil union?
Or why get married at all? In another generation or two, only religious tradcons and the very wealthy will get married, everyone else will just either hook up or have short term relationships.
Comment by Rental Watch
2015-06-23 11:34:11
“I’m not so sure about that. I’ve met plenty of Fundies who are just fine with leaving marriage to the church.”
That’s true, but there are a lot of folks who were NOT married in the church that would still like to have their relationship with their wife/husband called a “marriage”. Count me as one of them.
However, if there is a stark choice:
1. Remove the word “marriage” from civil unions, but allow same sex civil unions; or
2. Leave the word “marriage” as also connected to a civil union, but bar same-sex civil unions.
So, reading about various geopolitical issues and the troubles with China, etc., it finally dawned on me that the TPP is a massive incentive package for corporations to do business elsewhere, other than China. Which is why it is secret.
In other words, the idea is to tell China “You’re fired”!
I think that is very close. The U.S. knows it is losing the economic war to China and is trying to prevent them from winning. China was suppose to be the low cost producer of Apple’s goods not compete with Apple which is beginning to happen. Of course, confidence in an economy is very important hence the shadow war with China is not just on the trade front, the constant propaganda about the imminent Chinese collapse is orchestrated by the MSM controlled by the PTB that do not intend to concede their power and wealth to the Chinese elites.
Its products get better every day. When many countries decided to be part of its new bank, it was a major blow to the United State’s power. When you have a trade surplus of $65 billion in one month you are exporting a lot more than crap. Its construction equipment is not major competition for CAT and its inexpensive phones are making it much harder for Apple in the developing countries.
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Comment by scdave
2015-06-23 07:19:03
its inexpensive phones are making it much harder for Apple in the developing countries ??
More crap…soon all the developing countries will have their crappy phones since China can produce them by the millions per day…Then what ??…I will take Apple’s approach all day long…Like Jobs said; “We don’t produce & sell Crap”….
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2015-06-23 08:24:29
What they fear shown in this link and it is interesting that Bloomberg concentrates on Mexico vs. Russia instead of the U.S. vs. China. BTW, I find the resilience of Japan to be amazing particularly since this board seems to consider Japan to be the poster child for the evils of a debt bubble popping. Sorry it makes all the difference in the world why you go into debt, a country like Argentina is the best example of that.
Once again Bloomberg ignoring China’s flying by the U.S. in the headline shows how the MSM is trying to downplay China’s leaving the U.S. behind.
Comment by In Colorado
2015-06-23 08:58:34
soon all the developing countries will have their crappy phones since China can produce them by the millions per day…Then what ??
“Crappy” phones break and need to be replaced.
It still amazes me that people will pay $600+ for a phone. Apple knows how to reel in the suckers.
Comment by Rental Watch
2015-06-23 11:41:26
“We don’t produce & sell Crap”
I had Macs at school, and then shifted to Windows after I graduated.
I shifted back to Macs at home after they introduced OS X.
I have so far been pretty happy with the longevity of Macs hardware. HOWEVER, I just purchased a new Mac for home. A supposedly powerful one, and it is sluggish. There are times when it is non-responsive to the keyboard, etc. And I’m not even doing anything that requires much processing power.
Color me extremely unimpressed with the OS on the new machine. If in fact I don’t find a setting, or some reason why it’s so sluggish, I will probably “Bootcamp” the box (to run Windows on it) and perhaps will transition back to a Windows box for my next machine.
China imports raw materials and necessities…It exports crap….Once everyone has had their fill of crap, who are they going to sell all that crap to ??
IIRC, people lined up to trade in perfectly good and functional iPhone 4’s and 5’s for iPhone 6’s, handing over hundreds in cash to cover the difference.
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Comment by scdave
2015-06-23 07:41:23
lined up to trade in perfectly good and functional iPhone 4’s and 5’s for iPhone 6’s ??
Because its a bigger and better phone….People trade in many perfectly functional things for the newest and best…Car’s being the biggest example…
Comment by In Colorado
2015-06-23 08:53:35
New crap is always shinier and prettier than old crap.
Just saying that just because people have their houses full of crap doesn’t mean they won’t go out and buy more.
Comment by In Colorado
2015-06-23 13:15:34
People trade in many perfectly functional things for the newest and best…Car’s being the biggest example…
I seem to recall reading that the average age of a car is now 11 years old, whereas most people I meet, regardless of income level, have an almost new $600 phone in their pocket or purse.
People will drive their cars into the ground, but will buy a new $600 phone every year or two, even though the old phone works just fine.
Comment by inchbyinch
2015-06-23 13:57:13
IMHO a car is a depreciating consumable. I drive a Volvo, I’m boring!
I hardly ever upgrade my phone. I’m not a “topper”.
Comment by Karen
2015-06-23 17:16:17
For goodness sake, the new phone doesn’t cost you anything if you sell the old one. I do it every two years, and am out of pocket nothing, unless I choose to pay for an extended protection plan.
Comment by Professor Bear
2015-06-23 22:25:53
“New crap is always shinier and prettier than old crap.”
The shadow war with China is not about trade, from the gov’s point of view. The fedgov never cared a rat’s patootie how trade with China affected US citizens. Not to mention they could sell all those treasury bonds to China. So for a while, it was a happy alliance of corporation and state.
Now, not so much. The deep state is very unhappy with how events have unfolded with China geopolitically. Idiots. How could they ever think China wouldn’t indulge in massive spying and hacking, etc.? Not to mention flexing its muscles in the South China Sea. Did they really think China was just going to humbly keep manufacturing cheap crap for the benefit of US corps and not expand in other areas? Apparently, they did.
So, the deep state is majorly disgruntled. The corps, however, are fine with business as usual. A showdown with China would put their noses and bottom lines severely out of joint. What to do? What to do?
AHA! The TPP! Of course, GM will have a problem, as it will lose that Chinese market for their products, but it is Government Motors, so it will fall in line with orders from the deep state.
Debt to China? Cancelled. Along with diplomatic ties, on the grounds of some sort of “act of war”.
And what better way to ensure that China must become more engaged domestically dealing with the turmoil of its citizens who have now had the global prosperity rug yanked out from under them? In other words, not only are they not going to finally see raises in pay and standard of living, but it is being thrown into reverse.
Now, whether it plays out that way, I dunno, but I think that’s the general idea from the deep state geniuses.
And I have to say, China really sort of overplayed its hand. As Comey at the FBI has said “It’s not that they’e particularly bright or clever, it’s that there is so much of it.” (Referring to the hacking and spying)
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Comment by oxide
2015-06-23 07:48:45
I heard something similar from a friend, this time militarily. There are so many Chinese that they could beat us with steak knives, as long as they gave one to each and every citizen.
America’s greatest asset is clean air and water. Surprisingly that China isn’t buying up American lakes and water rights. I’m sure Detroit would be willing to make a deal.
Comment by In Colorado
2015-06-23 08:50:58
Surprisingly that China isn’t buying up American lakes and water rights.
Kinda hard to ship it to China in the quantities they need.
Comment by Califoh20
2015-06-23 11:20:17
China decided long ago to buy the USA vs trying to invade it.
Meanwhile, we blow up Iraq and rebuild it. Thanks GOP!
Can we (USA) at least buy Cuba or Baja?
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2015-06-23 12:00:33
All I see in Afghanistan and Iraq is the very people we do not want to have power taking power. Thanks Obama. People wanted you to end two wars not lose two wars.
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2015-06-23 13:08:15
America’s greatest asset is clean air and water.
In large part to the illegals, I do not think California has an abundance of either one.
Comment by In Colorado
2015-06-23 13:17:15
Can we (USA) at least buy Cuba or Baja?
The Mexican constitution forbids foreign ownership of property 50 km from the coast.
Comment by Califoh20
2015-06-23 18:33:41
duh! Bush signed the treaty to withdraw troops or they will be arrested. Your Google work and you are an attorney, you should know this.
” Comment by Albuquerquedan
2015-06-23 12:00:33
All I see in Afghanistan and Iraq is the very people we do not want to have power taking power. Thanks Obama. People wanted you to end two wars not lose two wars.”
‘Bush signed the treaty to withdraw troops or they will be arrested.’
Nobody bothers with historic reality anymore. The US was facing the soldiers losing immunity to law, so Bush signed an agreement to leave because the soldiers liked to shoot up everything. BTW, Obama has a screw loose because he said he was “good at killing people.”
Comment by oxide
2015-06-23 19:16:24
I’m not talking about the Chinese in China. I meant the 64% of Chinese who want to take their money and GTFOOD. Buy up an Oil City homestead with acreage and water in Flyover State, send the kiddie to Football Factory University, and chain migrate the rest of the family. The whole shebang would cost less than an Effing Floating Box of Air in Miami.
And I have to say, China really sort of overplayed its hand. As Comey at the FBI has said “It’s not that they’e particularly bright or clever, it’s that there is so much of it.” (Referring to the hacking and spying).
Anyway, if I’m a Chinese national, I’m going to be very cautious about my assets in the US. I’m reminded of the poster who wrote yesterday about the San Gabriel valley and its burgeoning Chinese population. Take heart. This too shall end, especially if the TPP goes through and it probably will.
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Comment by palmetto
2015-06-23 07:48:55
LOL, what’s with the “I have to say”, palmy? Get another cuppa cawfee, fer chrissakes.
Comment by palmetto
2015-06-23 09:29:19
Yep, it’s moving right along. The congresscritters have been briefed. They know what the “secret” is.
The deep state is very unhappy with how events have unfolded with China geopolitically.
Do you not believe that the “deep state” is controlled by the .01 percent and money and power is all they care about?
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Comment by palmetto
2015-06-23 08:09:58
No. Here’s why:
“It’s widely assumed that Wall Street rules the roost in both the mainstream financial media and in the alternative financial blogosphere. In my view, the speculative excesses and political power of Wall Street pose a strategic threat to the Deep State, and as a result a showdown between the Deep State and the surface machinery of governance that has been captured by Wall Street is looming.
Though everyone who is convinced the U.S. dollar will go to zero is confident that Wall Street will emerge victorious from the next financial crisis, I am convinced of the opposite: the Deep State will do whatever it takes to eliminate strategic threats to the integrity of the Deep State and the nation it depends on for its power and survival. In a financial crisis that threatens the dollar and the Deep State, the phantom claims of Wall Street’s financier skimmers, scammers and swindlers will be tossed under the bus with few qualms. The triage might even be performed with a certain relish.”
That’s some pretty primitive political analysis there. If these Deep State people are going to go up against Wall Street, there going to need some very powerful forces on their side.
Comment by palmetto
2015-06-23 11:31:35
Except that they ARE the powerful forces. Wall Street et al exists at the pleasure of the deep state, although I do believe there is an uneasy alliance of sorts. We’ve already seen an example of this “triage” that Charles Hugh Smith speaks of, when Lehman was let sink and AIG was backstopped. THAT, my friend, is the deep state at work, picking the winners and losers.
There’s money and there’s power. Some have both, some have one or the other. The deep state doesn’t need to HAVE money, just access to it, which they do have, and plenty of it. If not enough on hand, they can just extract some fines from the world of finance. After all, it’s much easier and more immediate than Iran/Contra types of operations.
I really wish there was another term for “deep state”, or “shadow state”, because it all sound so ooga-booga, but this sort of entity has been around for centuries, for as long as there have been nation states, courts and kings and that sort of thing. The “Elizabeth” movie series gives excellent examples of the deep state of the day. And also shows Elizabeth for the brilliant ruler strategist that she was, being able to triangulate between all the various factions and entities she had to contend with. There may be others, but she is the best example of a ruler that was able to keep so many entities happy while doing what she had to do. The people loved her, the business interests loved her and so did her shadow government. And she needed them all on her side, because she was up against the Holy Roman Empire, the EU of her day.
It may seem primitive. I prefer to use the word simple. Most of this stuff is fairly simple. It’s just been made complicated, and takes some cutting through the BS. There’s always profit in complication, that’s what makes it so hard to eliminate.
Comment by MightyMike
2015-06-23 11:46:41
They need powerful forces outside the government bureaucracy itself. Wall Street spends vast sums on campaign contribution and has its lobbyists swarming all over Capitol Hill. The only example is that I can recall of bureaucrats having something that could counter that sort of influence was when J. Edgar Hoover supposedly had files on the backgrounds of lots of elected officials.
Comment by palmetto
2015-06-23 12:10:44
“They need powerful forces outside the government bureaucracy itself. Wall Street spends vast sums on campaign contribution and has its lobbyists swarming all over Capitol Hill.”
Once again, they ARE the powerful forces. OK, let me give you a more recent example. Victoria Nuland, deep stater par excellence, and who ever heard of her until Russia got her on tape with her “Eff the EU” conversation? Like most deep staters, Nuland has her gig no matter which party is in power. Deep staters tend to keep their gigs for decades. If you care to, google it up and listen to the clip again, it’s an excellent example of the sorts of things these folks get involved with and how they go about effecting coups and such things.
Apple takes parts from all over the world and ships them to China where they are assembled to make an iPhone. Even though the high value parts were made elsewhere, China gets full credit for the value of the phone when it’s exported, when it’s only real contribution was assembly by low wage workers. And if it wants to, Apple can just as easily move final assembly to Vietnam or India, where profit will be recorded in the currency of some other country. All this contributes toward what appears to be a huge trade deficit, but much of which is actually just poor accounting.
China, Japan and Korea rely on weak currencies to maintain their manufacturing profitability, even though their citizens pay for it with lower living standards, because manufacturers in these countries have much more political power than here, and they would not allow a strong currency. The price of keeping your currency weak is a steady decline in banking and financial sectors of the economy. In this country, it’s the banks who rule the roost. That’s why our jobs are going overseas.
Obama killed the U.S. economy by allowing the dollar to appreciate 25%. Of course I believe it as a deliberate act to drive down oil to hurt Putin but even if it was not, it was sheer incompetence to say or do nothing to keep it from rising.
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Comment by Rental Watch
2015-06-23 10:02:32
The dollar rose because the US is considered the world’s cleanest dirty shirt. Do you want to own Euros? China’s RMB?
What was the alternative…mandating that the Fed print money and drop it from helicopters?
Let’s face it, the dollar rose because it’s considered the safe haven in the world.
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2015-06-23 10:31:03
The is the party line. The Europeans and the Japan were actively trying to drop their currencies down and we went along is the truth. The question is why and I say it is Obama’s hatred of Putin.
Comment by Califoh20
2015-06-23 19:25:26
“Let’s face it, the dollar rose because it’s considered the safe haven in the world.”
that’s no fun! Lets blame Obama!! And my kid’s school lunch is bad (like it has been for 50 yrs) darn you Mrs O for trying to make things better, even thought people are lazy and dumb!!!
Even though the high value parts were made elsewhere, China gets full credit for the value of the phone when it’s exported, when it’s only real contribution was assembly by low wage workers
And when the parts are imported China does not have to count them? We are talking about a net figure of $65 billion not the total exports.
“While an iPhone costs about $180 wholesale, the value coming from China — just the final assembly — is about $6.50 per unit. And yet the entire cost of the iPhone gets counted in the trade deficit with China. As a consequence, the iPhone alone added $2 billion to the US’ trade deficit with China.”
Fine, but it does not address my point. If the parts are not made in China and I actually believe some are contrary to that article then the parts must be imported and they would be counted against China’s trade balance. Now, they may create a deficit with Japan or Taiwan but they are counted and the surplus is $65 billion for the entire world. Meanwhile while China may get the credit for the phone, the U.S. is not picking up the increased deficit with Taiwan or Japan, China is, like most of Business Insider articles the reporters demonstrate they have very little knowledge about the areas they are writing about.
Tax increases the last thing Greece needs but it probably will be accepted by the creditors but it just means Greece will not be able to meet its targets within a year:
With last week’s Grexit scare and China stock market swoon fading bad memories, the stock market has nowhere to go but up. What’s stopping you from joining in the rally?
With the Grexit situation blowing over, renewed economic stimulus in China, and the Fed on indefinite hold for interest rate liftoff, you have to admit the stage is perfectly set for stock prices to go higher from here.
Why don’t you want to share in this opportunity to enjoy wealth gains?
Marketwatch dot com
70 million Americans teetering on edge of financial ruin
By Catey Hill
Published: June 23, 2015 6:00 a.m. ET
Americans now even more irresponsible about money
Shutterstock.com / VGstockstudio
In the past few years, the job market has vastly improved and home prices have rebounded — yet Americans are becoming even more irresponsible when it comes to saving for emergencies.
According to a survey of 1,000 adults released by Bankrate.com on Tuesday, nearly one in three (29%) American adults (that’s roughly 70 million) have no emergency savings at all — the highest percentage since Bankrate began doing this survey five years ago. What’s more, only 22% of Americans have at least six months of emergency savings (that’s what advisers recommend) — the lowest level since Bankrate began doing the survey.
These findings mirror others — all of which paint an abysmal picture of Americans’ ability to withstand an emergency. For example, a survey released in March by national nonprofit NeighborWorks America also found that roughly one third (34%) of Americans don’t have emergency savings.
Greg McBride, the chief financial analyst for Bankrate.com, says these low savings reflect that households haven’t seen their incomes ramp up and thus “household budgets are tight.” Plus, he adds “people don’t pay themselves first — they wait until the end of the month to save what’s left over and then nothing is left over.”
…
I heard a comment this morning…Said that the biggest portion of savers are the wealthy…So, if there has been a war on savers, its been a war on the wealthy…
Elderly have saved and they hoped to live off their savings and 99% of them are not wealthy.
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Comment by scdave
2015-06-23 07:25:22
Elderly have saved and they hoped to live off their savings ??
Live off ?? I suspect a High percentage of them don’t have that much in savings…Maybe a retirement plan…401k…I think believe they live off of a combination of income streams but don’y believe they rely much on interest on savings…
Comment by Albuquerquedan
2015-06-23 07:31:54
The principal goes much faster when the interest rates are low. Ironically, the real “loosers” will be the generation that most voted for Obama, the deficit in their cash flows is being met with reverse mortgages for the boomers, the slacker generation will be living in the parent’s cellar until their parents die and the reverse mortgage people take their houses.
Comment by In Colorado
2015-06-23 07:37:30
I suspect a High percentage of them don’t have that much in savings
I suspect that only a minority have more than 100K stashed away. Used to be that they would have the house paid off when they retired, but with serial refis (with cash outs) that is no longer the rule
Comment by Dman
2015-06-23 07:48:57
The article talks about higher housing prices as if it’s good news that people have to pay a higher and higher percentage of their income to the bank, and then wonders why people aren’t saving more. These kinds of articles are always written by clueless hacks.
Comment by In Colorado
2015-06-23 08:46:41
and then wonders why people aren’t saving more
And when they refuse to buy a house and instead DO save their money, that also is bad.
Comment by redmondjp
2015-06-23 09:36:41
Pension funds depend upon a high interest rate in order to remain viable, don’t forget.
Comment by Rental Watch
2015-06-23 10:08:52
My parents are in the camp of retirees who are having their financial plans impacted by the Fed.
They have one non-government pension, Social Security, and 401k’s that they have saved over the years. They own their house without a mortgage. The low interest rates have caused them to re-allocate $ into dividend paying stocks. As some CDs they held matured, they didn’t roll them into new CDs, but averaged into the market as their portfolio of CDs naturally matured.
Thankfully they did so post-crash/pre-runup, and so they are not suffering like folks who sat on cash and watched the run-up unfold before them.
Comment by MightyMike
2015-06-23 10:29:31
I suspect that only a minority have more than 100K stashed away. This an important point. Is someone has $50k in a CD, an extra 1% works out to be $500 a year.
There is an amusing but very sad set of ads on talk radio here in the land of Rummy redistribution and debt aka Ch*tcago that goes kinda like this - ‘We had money saved for a vacation but our water heater blew out and now we aren’t going on vacation - or this - we had no savings and the refrigerator blew and now we are taking out a loan and then the voice over - YOU don’t need to be like this - take out insurance at xxxx dollars a month and keep your vacation in tact’.
What I find so very amazing and sad given P Bear’s post is there is a whole market out there waiting to be tapped by the PTB aiding and abetting 70 million people who are like Wiley Coyote out over a cliff with a sign sayin “help me!!!”
Those ads are nationwide and a sad reflection of the economic ignorance of the masses. Insurance to cover your water heater instead of having enough money to cover both the vacation and the heater. A society of instant gratification keeps sinking lower and lower.
Evidently the Fed’s War on Savers has been wildly successful.
You mean war on CD holders and money market depositors. It’s not the Fed’s fault, or anyone’s fault, if a “saver” continues to park their money in 0.1% yield account. If they choose not to diversify into stocks or whatever, well, too bad!
“Buying stocks is not “saving”. Technically, it’s “investing” though some might argue that it’s gambling.”
The longer your time horizon (and broader your diversification), the less you can argue that it’s “gambling”. If you are day trading, you would have a hard time convincing me that it’s “investing”.
“Except with current interest rates, it doesn’t grow at all.”
It’s worse than that…it’s shrinking. If you are earning 0.1%, but inflation is running at 2%, you are losing about 2% of your wealth each year.
Bingo - that’s the bargain we’ve been forced into. Unless you want to gamble on real estate instead . . .
(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by Professor Bear
2015-06-23 09:57:02
“Unless you want to gamble on real estate instead…”
Anyone who refuses to join the Ownership Society deserves to see his dollar-denominated savings inflated away.
Comment by Rental Watch
2015-06-23 12:43:42
Since the Fed has started their “dual mandate” that includes inflation at 2%, you have to assume that your cash money is debased by 2% per year.
As such, at times when MM funds are below 2%, you have a choice to make.
1. Assume that the yields will rise soon enough that you are willing to keep the money in cash; or
2. Seek higher yields by investing the money in something else in order to protect your wealth from inflation.
The shame of it all is that the people who understand this probably are on firmer financial footing than those who do not understand this.
Comment by Neuromance
2015-06-23 16:38:56
The problem with the stock market is that one can lose alarming sums with depressing regularity.
The Fed heretofore unprecedented QE and other market supports have pushed up the market, and benefits those who remained in the market after the tech crash.
The problem for retirees who plan to retire on a big stock portfolio is that it can go poof in very short order. I’d talked to people who were going to retire but the tech bust wiped them out.
The problem with even starting to dollar cost into the market now is the Fed’s unprecedented intervention - and ditto with the rest of the world’s central banks. Can they keep this up forever? I don’t think so. Dollar cost averaging into a declining market doesn’t help the net worth.
The game plan was to keep interest rates low, drown the market in liquidity, take bad debt off the hands of Wall Street, and yadda yadda, the economy is roaring again.
That didn’t happen. What the Fed again didn’t realize was, like Greenspan who flat out admitted it was that markets don’t self regulate, and they don’t act in the “public interest.” They act in their private interest. So instead of lots of borrowing and investment in jobs-generating and technology generating projects, companies did borrow - to do stock buybacks and load the companies up with debt.
All that money given to Wall Street was used to create asset bubbles - malinvestment to the society, but very lucrative to those normal, self-interested individuals who work at those companies.
The Fed is trying to central plan and they’re always gamed.
Bernanke went to Citadel. Geithner went to Warburg Pincus. I’m not so sure the gaming is unintentional.
Anyway. One thing I’ve learned from personal experience is that moving lump sums into the market is a gamble. Even if the investment is a well regarded index fund. Dollar cost averaging is the only way to go. But even then you want to be near something like a market trough and this doesn’t seem like a market trough. It’s a soaring market driven by central bank intervention. Which seems unlikely they can keep up for too much longer. They’ve been involved in this unprecedented intervention for eight years now.
” If they choose not to diversify into stocks or whatever, well, too bad!”
Monetary fascism?
You will invest in stock market! (My attempt at Soviet English)
Actually, living below your means can protect you better than gambling in the wall street casino. Most 401k’s have a stable value option that will earn you roughly 2.5% at this time…beats a 40% correction.
A nice synopsis of the world we live in at present……
From Jesse’s Café Americain
At Home
“And in some ways, it creates this false illusion that there are people out there looking out for the interest of taxpayers, the checks and balances that are built into the system are operational, when in fact they’re not.
And what you’re going to see and what we are seeing is it’ll be a breakdown of those governmental institutions. And you’ll see governments that continue to have policies that feed the interests of — and I don’t want to get clichéd, but the one percent or the .1 percent — to the detriment of everyone else.”
Neil Barofsky
Do you see why there is no real reform now? Do you understand the hard choice that a person of honour and conscience is given? Who will make such an unfashionable choice when they have so few models to follow and almost no moral encouragement to find in this vile era of selfishness and greed?
Do you understand now why laws that are widely opposed by the people like the secret pre-approval of the Trans-Pacific Partnership can be bullied through a Congress with an approval rating in the single digits, seemingly without a care?
And abroad
“There are two ways to conquer and enslave a country. One is by the sword. The other is by debt.”
John Adams
Do you see why suddenly a nation must be broken by fraud or by force and rebuilt, bent to the will of the powerful. Why its people can be devastated by harsh policies that make no sense, its sovereignty replaced by a puppet regime, while its assets are privatized and sold?
And if a person follows their conscience and sacrifices greatly for the truth, do you offer any comfort and encouragement, or even a thought or a prayer for them? Are you capable of even caring? Or is it all just another opportunity to make some quick money for yourself?
Would it be any different, if instead of placing bets on the sickness and misery of women and children, you simply murdered them, and took their possessions for yourselves, and sold their clothes, even their teeth and their hair?
It is a hard world after all. And you would become truly exceptional then.
IRC §1014(B)(6) is on point for this issue fyi. Very straight forward code.
JT is a lazy person’s way to avoid probate. For non married title holders, it may be applicable once in a great while. For married people in CA, it is rarely the right choice. Simply holding title as CP allows married people all the tax beny’s and probate avoidance, i.e. all the survivor needs to file to clean up title is an affidavit of death of CP spouse. One can hold title in a trust and still retain CP status as well.
‘I sure have not been advised this way’ - your situation may vary, but I do note that a lot of general practitioners will do estate planning occasionally. They may not be as knowledgeable / up to date on the details as a specialist. When I was in CA, my bread and butter were clients with estates in the $5M to $20M range. I did this day in and day out. There are no skeletons unless we consider avoiding capital gains a skeleton. It is simply a very generous tax treatment.
LOL…Thanks for the Pro-bono education ibbots… :>)….
I love a challenge and as I said before I am not so proud as to admit defeat…I have a lunch scheduled with a good friend & advisor this Friday…He has a a number of degrees including a Masters in Estate & tax planning…He has been practicing for over 50 years, in his mid 70’s and is as active as ever…If you practiced in the bay area its highly likely you know him since it appears you did the same thing…He is located in Palo Alto and many of his clients are measly rich…10 mil or so…But many others are super rich…50-mil +
I am going to have a nice Lunch conversation with him about the “benefits” you espouse regarding CP as the vehicle of choice for estate planning…scdave
If this bill passes, and if Tom Cotton and the other neocons get their wish, there will be boots on the ground in Iran, some really fabulous boots on the ground (personally I favor Ziggy Stardust era David Bowie boots)
And remember, the transgender/transexual agenda has nothing to do with individual freedoms or tolerance or acceptance, at its core it is about the redistribution of white cisgender male resources
The price of solar power will continue to fall, until it becomes the cheapest form of power in a rapidly expanding number of national markets. By 2026, utility-scale solar will be competitive for the majority of the world, according to BNEF. The lifetime cost of a photovoltaic solar-power plant will drop by almost half over the next 25 years, even as the prices of fossil fuels creep higher.
Solar power will eventually get so cheap that it will out-compete new fossil-fuel plants and even start to supplant some existing coal and gas plants, potentially stranding billions in fossil-fuel infrastructure. The industrial age was built on coal. The next 25 years will be the end of its dominance.
Fine then why spend 100’s of billions of dollars now to subsidize its deployment if within twenty five years it can stand on its own in the free market. Seems quite wasteful, lets spend it on needed infrastructure improvements. But then again it might be like Obama’s prediction of one million EV cars on the road.
The key unknown trying to look that far ahead is determining the cost of capital. If interest rates go up significantly then even with lower costs for the solar panels, solar could be further from being competitive.
Yup. I posted here several months ago how energy analysts predict that as early as 2017 solar power will reach “grid parity” with fossil fuel generated power — and that’s without subsidies.
The highest court in the U.S. will decide on King vs. Burwell before the end of June. The case could potentially end the subsidies of 6.4 million Americans who buy their health care through the Affordable Care Act. Meanwhile, the CBO has released an analysis on the costs of repealing Obamacare– a repeal that it says could add $137 billion to the U.S. deficit over the next 10 years.
All this disruption to save 13 billion a year? More importantly it is a static analysis so it does not tell us how much economic activity was lost due to the cost of complying with the regulations and the extra taxes, it could very easily exceed $13 billion a year maybe by an order of magnitude.
As a visiting professor in Beijing, I recently spent an evening talking about China’s economic development with a group of futures traders at a short executive education course. One thing we all agreed on was that a shrinking workforce and an unbalanced economy are serious obstacles to the chances of China overcoming the middle-income trap that has caught so many promising emerging countries.
How can China create enough value to raise the living standards of its huge population, not perhaps to the standards of the United States, but at least to an average annual income of $20,000?
The answer can only be found in the thoughts of a Scotsman who died more than 200 years ago. Adam Smith’s greatness was that he showed us how society, if left to itself and properly regulated via the rule of law, will find the most efficient and productive way to create wealth for its members.
The secret lies in the division of labor, in specialization, in competition, and in the application of new processes and technologies by individuals trading with each other who wish only to benefit themselves and their families.
In Smith’s analysis, “enlightened self-interest” produces prosperity. He commented that a country with a free, competitive market, which trades widely with other countries, does not need a stock of gold, because it can create the wealth to acquire gold, or anything else it requires.
The truth of Smith’s analysis can easily be seen by comparing relatively poor countries that are rich in resources-for example, Zimbabwe and Russia-with countries such as Switzerland and Singapore that are rich but lack natural resources.
On their own, natural resources, which run out and can be grabbed by powerful elites, do not make a country wealthy. National wealth depends on a competitive, market-driven system, operating within a clear and fair framework of rules and regulations that encourage individuals to trade with each other, with the sole purpose not of trying to help each other, but of improving their own situation.
Nicholas Lardy, of the Washington-based Brookings Institution, is one of the world’s leading foreign analysts on the Chinese economy. His 2014 book, Markets Over Mao, demonstrates that China’s small and medium-sized enterprises have driven growth in employment and GDP since the 1990s.
But for many inside China, Lardy’s thesis is not convincing. Most bureaucrats and policymakers believe that the State-owned enterprise is more important to China than the private entrepreneur. For them, Adam Smith is not relevant to China’s situation.
However, one of China’s most important economic thinkers is a disciple of Smith and a firm believer in the free market. His ideas have become well-known in China and underpin the government’s new economic direction.
Zhang returned to China in 1994 after studying at the University of Oxford with James Mirrlees, an economist who won the Nobel Prize in economics in 1996. He joined the Center for Economic Research established by Justin Yifu Lin at Peking University, and in 1998 he was invited by Li Yining, then dean of the Guanghua School of Management, to become deputy dean.
Zhang stayed at Guanghua until 2010, becoming dean in 2006 and leading the school to its high position among the business schools of Asia. In 2011, it was the first Chinese business school to appear in the global rankings published each year by the Financial Times.
When Zhang stepped down as dean he returned to research. In 2012, his book, The Logic of the Market, a collection of his writings about the free market, was published in Beijing. The English edition appeared last year.
Edmund Phelps and Thomas Sargent, both Nobel Prize winners in economics, reviewed his work. “This remarkable book testifies to the power of economic analysis to isolate basic economic forces that transcend countries and political regimes,” said Sargent.
The Logic of the Market shows how much Zhang was influenced by Adam Smith in his early thinking as an undergraduate student in economics at Northwestern University in Xi’an. Zhang writes: “Reading The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith in 1982 started to build my belief in the free market for the first time.”
He went on to write two papers in 1983 and 1984, one about the dual-track pricing system later adopted in the first stage of China’s economic reform. The introduction of market forces into Chinese agricultural prices in the 1980s showed how Smith’s “invisible hand” could raise output and productivity.
As Zhang’s thinking developed, he became more convinced that only by introducing market forces could China meet its growth challenges. He wrote: “Under the planned economy, we did not pursue happiness by making others happy. Instead, we pursued happiness by making others unhappy. Our energies were spent fighting for power and gain. We were competing … but we were not creating value. Under the market economy, rights are defined by property.
“With individual property, as long as people have money, they can also enjoy the majority of services that only people with power could enjoy before. … The country’s future depends on what we believe in and what we do not believe in. From the 1950s to 30 years ago, we believed in the planned economy. The result was a tremendous disaster. … Only if we move toward the logic of the market will China’s future be bright.”
As China moves to the next stage of its development, its policymakers and officials need to think clearly about the economic models they should be using. In the fierce debates that take place among different schools of thought, it is fortunate for them, and for China, that they have Zhang, to whom they can turn for inspiration.
The author is a visiting professor at Guanghua School of Management, Peking University. The views do not necessarily reflect those of China Daily.
BEIJING, June 23 — Crude oil output in China reached 87.69 million tons in the first five months of 2015, a year on year increase of 1.7 percent, according to the top economic planner.
China refined 195.26 million tons of crude oil during the period, up 3.8 percent year on year, while refined oil production rose 6 percent to 123.55 million tonnes, the National Development and Reform Commission said in an online statement.
Apparent consumption of refined oil, calculated as production plus imports minus exports, increased 4.4 percent from a year earlier to 113.04 million tons.
In a separate statement, the planner said natural gas output totaled 55.5 billion cubic meters during the January-May period, up 4 percent year on year.
Imports of natural gas saw an increase of 5.6 percent to 24.7 billion cubic meters, while apparent consumption came in at 77.2 billion cubic meters, the commission said.
China’s appetite for energy has grown substantially amid rapid industrialization and urbanization.
Domestic crude oil output is expected to grow by 0.4 percent to reach 217 million tons in 2015, while refined oil and natural gas output will reach 294 million tons and 134.4 billion cubic meters respectively, according to a report released by a research center and a publishing house with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences earlier this month.
Meanwhile, refined oil net exports are estimated to reach 20.8 million tons, up 41.9 percent year on year, with export of diesel taking the lead, the report said.
So I thought by now we were suppose to have run out of storage space?
Excerpt:
Industry group American Petroleum Institute (API) said after the market’s close that U.S. crude stockpiles were estimated to have fallen by 3.2 million barrels last week for an eighth consecutive week of declines.
The estimate came in higher than the draw of 2.1 million forecast by analysts in a Reuters poll on Tuesday. The U.S. Energy Information Administration will release official stockpiles data on Wednesday. [EIA/S]
Futures of oil products such as gasoline and ultralow sulfur diesel (ULSD) gained more than crude, leading Tuesday’s rally.
Gasoline futures (RBc1) settled up 2.3 percent, their most in two weeks.
ULSD (HOc1) also rose more than 2 percent despite the Reuters poll forecasting a rise in stocks of distillates, which include diesel.
Since the start of the peak U.S. driving season at the end of May, oil products have been remarkably strong on expectations of higher fuel demand. The Reuters poll called for a drop of 300,000 barrels in gasoline stocks.
The rally in oil products bumped up the “crack,” or profit margin, refiners derive from processing crude into gasoline (CL-RB1=R) and diesel (CL-HO1=R), after a recent slump in such margins.
“I’m guessing people who were short the ULSD and gasoline cracks the past few days took some profit to push those markets higher,” said David Thompson, executive vice president of energy commodities brokerage Powerhouse in Washington. “Technical and buy-stop orders were probably activated in the process.”
Research house Energy Aspects said it expected draws particularly at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery point for U.S. crude after output declines at U.S. shale basins such as Bakken and the Niobrara and reduced flows from Canadian-originated pipelines.
“Fundamentals north of Cushing remain strong,” it said.
U.S.-Russia military tit for tat raises fears of greater conflict By Jeremy Diamond and Greg Botelho, CNN
Updated 6:24 AM ET, Fri June 19, 2015
* A bigger fear than war is the possibility of accidental confrontations when you have powerful military forces lined up so close to each other.
* U.S. officials and observers point to the uprising in Ukraine as the start of the uptick in Moscow’s confrontational behavior.
Washington (CNN)The war of words between America and Russia is escalating. So, too, is the movement of implements of war — from U.S. fighter jets to Russian nuclear weapons.
So is an actual war imminent?
No one in Russia, NATO or the United States has gone that far yet. Still, the rhetoric and actions from both sides have definitely ratcheted up in recent days, raising concerns of a new arms race — if not worse — amid tensions both sides blame on each other.
The major players all claim their movements are defensive and necessary responses to their foe’s provocation. None has talked of an invasion.
…
Marketwatch dot com
Commodities Corner
Iran may usher a quick return to $50 U.S. oil prices
By Myra P. Saefong
Published: June 23, 2015 3:55 p.m. ET
Reuters
Negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program on March 20, 2015.
The oil market’s mostly focused on U.S. supply data this week, but next week should be all about Iran and the deadline for a final agreement over its nuclear program.
If a deal between Iran and six world powers is reached by the June 30 deadline, Iran could soon start dumping millions of barrels of oil into the global market, ushering a quick return of $50 oil prices.
…
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Cisgender: it’s the new “racist”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cisgender
And now back to your regularly scheduled Drudge Report links
I am tired of all of this sh!t. I call myself “normal.”
http://www.shanghaidaily.com/business/Chinese-shares-close-higher-Tuesday/shdaily.shtml
Soaring imports of nickel in China:
http://washpost.bloomberg.com/Story?docId=1376-NQCAXD6K50XU01-6GMDF07DKS7661VVOHO9K1GEKF
Which is entirely consistent with an economy moving from construction and rebar to consumer goods and stainless steel.
From Reuters:
“But imports of refined metal also seem to be recovering from the mass destock occasioned by the Qingdao port scandal, which erupted around the middle of last year.
The scandal, centered on the multiple pledging of metal against loans in China’s shadow credit market, caused a wholesale flight of nickel out of the country to safer storage in London Metal Exchange warehouses.”
China is just re-stocking a metal that was used as collateral in yet another crooked shadow banking loan that someone got stiffed on. It’s a return to normal, not a sign of prosperity.
Or more likely it is meeting the demand for more and more vehicles:
http://www.shanghaidaily.com/business/auto/Hyundai-BAIC-building-5th-China-plant/shdaily.shtml
This is why I’m the Media Analyst and you’re not. Here, an article about Obamatrade linked from the Drudge Report that is critical of the globalist agenda:
http://www.cis.org/vaughan/vast-ramifications-senate-obamatrade-vote-tuesday
Here a letter written by Republican senator Jeff Sessions of Alabama linked from the Drudge Report that is critical of the globalist agenda:
http://www.scribd.com/mobile/doc/269396402/Sessions-Tpa
So now you think that Matt Drudge is critical of the globalist agenda? Except that he isn’t, especially when it comes to neocon wars in the Middle East. Here an article linked from the Drudge Report (he has an advertising partnership to link to CBS Local’s ad-choked, low-content subdomains, especially for low hanging fruit articles that could just as easily have been linked from Reuters or Associated Press) that discusses the “threat level” and how scared you are supposed to be:
http://washington.cbslocal.com/2015/06/22/devin-nunes-us-threat-level
So what’s it gonna be Matt Drudge? You’re a hypocrite, because rallying the base of window lickers and mouth breathers with articles about the “threat level” (remember the pretty color-coded threat level spectrum we had after 9/11? and how Fox News used to always have it on the corner of the TeeVee, LOLZ) will not result in any “lower taxes” or “smaller government”
And now back to your regularly scheduled New York Times and Washington Post articles to tell you how racist you are
And Matt Drudge will endorse every Republican candidate who is pushing hard to pass GATT, because the only reason he’s against it is because Obama is for it.
What the Fed hath wrought (again).
http://www.businessinsider.com/san-francisco-and-housing-bubble-20-2015-6
Your equity does you know good just sitting there. Tap that equity and buy stocks and homes!
This is the best your “progressive” media has to offer
http://www.breitbart.com/big-hollywood/2015/06/20/transgender-actor-laverne-cox-appears-as-statue-of-liberty-on-entertainment-weekly-cover
I don’t think this is what Jimi Hendrix meant when he sang “I’m gonna hang my freak flag high!”
And now back to the rest of your progressive “news” to tell you what a bigoted and intolerant and racist hater you are
Scripting a narrative
This is the top “news” article on the Washington Post website right now:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/style/meet-kristin-beck-a-transgender-former-navy-seal-running-for-congress/2015/06/22/299006e4-0b87-11e5-9e39-0db921c47b93_story.html?tid=HP_more?tid=HP_more
So much for the JSOC vetting process.
I am reading the novel “Shark” by British satirist Will Self, and one of the characters in the book comments about transexuals that “the hands and the chin don’t lie”
Neither do the chromasomes
Live with what you ARE, not what a bunch of pills and knives can create.
“I don’t think this is what Jimi Hendrix meant when he sang “I’m gonna hang my freak flag high!””
Really? I suspect it’s more or less exactly what he was talking about, if not for himself, then for others. There’s no one approved type of freak flag, that’s why it’s a freak flag.
It’s called ‘freedom’. Don’t let it frighten you into grabbing a gun and rounding up the weirdos who are exercising it.
Jimi Hendrix was a libertarian, not a redistributionist
The “progressive” agenda of forcing transexual acceptance on broader society = wealth transfer from evil rich white capitalist patriarchy oppressor class to the poor, betrodden, perpetual victims of racism, sexism, transphobia, or whatever the Victim Olympics™ designated winner of the day is
That’s quite a narrative you’ve scripted there. Following your logic, oppressing transgender people will help free us from the danger of wealth redistribution?
Social Justice Warrior™ = there is no injustice, historical or present, perceived or actual, that can not be remedied via redistributive taxation
Feels before reals
The PTB want the public’s attention off trade agreements and immigration. Gay marriage, transgender or race related stories all help.
White collar conservative flashin down the street, pointing that plastic finger at me,
they all assume my kind will drop and die, but I’m gonna wave my freak flag high.
How well the freaks are treated is the measure of a country and a person. It’s probably the truest measure of freedom.
How well the freaks are treated is the measure of a country and a person. It’s probably the truest measure of freedom.
It worked real well for the Weimer Republic.
“It worked real well for the Weimer Republic.”
I never said it made you immune to fascist takeover. It probably increases the chance, actually, since such freedom clearly riles the local taliban.
Well you will get to vote on an “interesting” referendum:
http://calwatchdog.com/2015/05/15/cas-winding-history-direct-democracy-sometimes-brings-crackpots/
“I never said it made you immune to fascist takeover.”
What do you think political correctness is?
Our Colleges and Universities are ripe with PC. We should really consider shutting them all down and starting over with targeted higher education.
If you want to be indoctrinated into progressive fascism, you can choose that type of education and pay for it out of your own pocket.
Those interested in a real career can attend specialty Universities that will also provide unbiased classes on world history, English, writing, etc. No gender and Identity based studies or majors.
This madness has got to stop or this country if finished…may already be too late.
What do the people mean when they say that country or a city or a state is finished? And what’s targeted education?
The libertarian with his “Tax Free”
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=JYelT9VMKg0
+1 Bill
“The “progressive” agenda of forcing transexual acceptance on broader society…”
I’m not aware of such an agenda, or how “forcing” it could be accomplished. If you don’t like the media talking about it, don’t listen. It seems like you’re the one with an agenda, not the media.
It seems like you’re the one with an agenda, not the media.
I’m beginning to think that Media/Goon/Boots’s agenda is that he is masquerading as a libertarian but in reality is a hard right reactionary. Real libertarians fully support transgenderism because they are exercising their personal liberty to pursue happiness in their own way.
Progressives can’t handle losing control of the narrative
Key word: control
“…but in reality is a hard right reactionary”
For some, freedom means letting people do what they want, as long as it doesn’t directly harm others. For others, freedom means getting to control the actions of people who they feel are hurting their feelings/morality/society. It’s a fundamental split in the conception of freedom, imho.
It’s like the Jimi Hendrix thing. Some explore their minds and find love, others explore their minds and find hatred and judgement.
” because they are exercising their personal liberty to pursue happiness in their own way”
The squad is too smarmy and snarky to be anything other than a DINO/RINO follower of Stewart/Colbert.
“For some, freedom means letting people do what they want, as long as it doesn’t directly harm others. For others, freedom means getting to control the actions of people who they feel are hurting their feelings/morality/society. It’s a fundamental split in the conception of freedom, imho.”
Wow…The indoctrinators are some crafty folks. You have really nailed that one Oddy…they (fascist progressives) are so successful in their brain washing that the actual meaning of “Freedom” is up for debate.
Call me stunned. The word “Control” belongs nowhere near the definition of Freedom. I am saving that paragraph, hope your progressive buddies aren’t upset at you for letting the cat out of the bag.
You need to work on your reading comprehension, Clubber.
I am a buffet style libertarian.
stamp out fatherhood
87% of welfare warriors vote progresky-DEM
99% of corporate welfare recipients who get billions and ALL defense contractors who make billions off war, voted GOP.
So everyone is a moocher except me.
Show me a single mom who gets this much?
Alcoa — $5.64 Billion
Boeing — $13.18 Billion
Intel — $3.87 Billion
General Motors — $3.58 Billion
I have to agree with Oddfellow. Jimi Hendrix would not be the one to criticize anyone for being strange. I visited his grave site when I was in Seattle years ago, and the groundskeeper told me that every morning he had to clean up after the stoners who partied there the day before. He didn’t seem to mind, and neither would Jimi.
I got the distinct impression that the focus on trans was a result of the unexpectedly swift critical mass acceptance of LGB. LGB succeeded so suddenly that that the libs were caught flat-footed and had to immediately pivot to trans just to have something to protest.
“just to have something to protest”
The definition of progressive
A petulant toddler whining that “it’s not fair”
The word for that is “poutrage.”
My understanding is that polyamory and plural marriage is the next cause to champion.
That’s a bit too 19th century tradcon
Real “progressives” would advocate for the elimination of age of consent laws or of the prohibition against having sex with corpses
Real “progressives” would advocate for the elimination of age of consent laws
Ginsberg at one time thought that twelve year old girls should be able to consent to males of all ages. Do you think a conservative would be sitting on the Supreme Court if they once held that position?
Yes, right after gay marriage being constitutionally protected.
The real libertarian solution is the removal of government from heterosexual marriage
Which is unacceptable to tradcons
And would remove the progressive/feminist agenda of redistribution to government designated victim classes
The real libertarian solution is the removal of government from heterosexual marriage
Which is unacceptable to tradcons
I’m not so sure about that. I’ve met plenty of Fundies who are just fine with leaving marriage to the church.
And would remove the progressive/feminist agenda of redistribution to government designated victim classes
Now that I agree with. Eliminate state sanctioned marriage and alimony becomes a relic of the past.
Don’t know why it’s so difficult to have two unions: one in the church and one in the state. Take vows in front and sign papers in the back.
Alimony is probably still covered under civil union law.
Alimony is probably still covered under civil union law.
But if you can get “married” without bringing the state into it, why have a civil union?
Or why get married at all? In another generation or two, only religious tradcons and the very wealthy will get married, everyone else will just either hook up or have short term relationships.
“I’m not so sure about that. I’ve met plenty of Fundies who are just fine with leaving marriage to the church.”
That’s true, but there are a lot of folks who were NOT married in the church that would still like to have their relationship with their wife/husband called a “marriage”. Count me as one of them.
However, if there is a stark choice:
1. Remove the word “marriage” from civil unions, but allow same sex civil unions; or
2. Leave the word “marriage” as also connected to a civil union, but bar same-sex civil unions.
I would choose #1.
” unexpectedly swift critical mass acceptance of LGB.”
It caught the shepherds off foot, but they quickly found the most extreme element in it (transgender) and are now harping on that.
Shepherds gonna herd. Gotta keep us distracted from the long con.
See also:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Womyn-born_womyn
So, reading about various geopolitical issues and the troubles with China, etc., it finally dawned on me that the TPP is a massive incentive package for corporations to do business elsewhere, other than China. Which is why it is secret.
In other words, the idea is to tell China “You’re fired”!
I think that is very close. The U.S. knows it is losing the economic war to China and is trying to prevent them from winning. China was suppose to be the low cost producer of Apple’s goods not compete with Apple which is beginning to happen. Of course, confidence in an economy is very important hence the shadow war with China is not just on the trade front, the constant propaganda about the imminent Chinese collapse is orchestrated by the MSM controlled by the PTB that do not intend to concede their power and wealth to the Chinese elites.
PTB that do not intend to concede their power and wealth to the Chinese elites ??
China imports raw materials and necessities…It exports crap….Once everyone has had their fill of crap, who are they going to sell all that crap to ??
Its products get better every day. When many countries decided to be part of its new bank, it was a major blow to the United State’s power. When you have a trade surplus of $65 billion in one month you are exporting a lot more than crap. Its construction equipment is not major competition for CAT and its inexpensive phones are making it much harder for Apple in the developing countries.
its inexpensive phones are making it much harder for Apple in the developing countries ??
More crap…soon all the developing countries will have their crappy phones since China can produce them by the millions per day…Then what ??…I will take Apple’s approach all day long…Like Jobs said; “We don’t produce & sell Crap”….
What they fear shown in this link and it is interesting that Bloomberg concentrates on Mexico vs. Russia instead of the U.S. vs. China. BTW, I find the resilience of Japan to be amazing particularly since this board seems to consider Japan to be the poster child for the evils of a debt bubble popping. Sorry it makes all the difference in the world why you go into debt, a country like Argentina is the best example of that.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-06-23/mexico-to-overtake-russia-by-2050-as-u-s-slides
Once again Bloomberg ignoring China’s flying by the U.S. in the headline shows how the MSM is trying to downplay China’s leaving the U.S. behind.
soon all the developing countries will have their crappy phones since China can produce them by the millions per day…Then what ??
“Crappy” phones break and need to be replaced.
It still amazes me that people will pay $600+ for a phone. Apple knows how to reel in the suckers.
“We don’t produce & sell Crap”
I had Macs at school, and then shifted to Windows after I graduated.
I shifted back to Macs at home after they introduced OS X.
I have so far been pretty happy with the longevity of Macs hardware. HOWEVER, I just purchased a new Mac for home. A supposedly powerful one, and it is sluggish. There are times when it is non-responsive to the keyboard, etc. And I’m not even doing anything that requires much processing power.
Color me extremely unimpressed with the OS on the new machine. If in fact I don’t find a setting, or some reason why it’s so sluggish, I will probably “Bootcamp” the box (to run Windows on it) and perhaps will transition back to a Windows box for my next machine.
“China imports raw materials and necessities…It exports crap”
One big alimentary canal.
I dunno who is going to buy their waste products, maybe Russia. Maybe Africa, if the workers get a bump in pay.
China imports raw materials and necessities…It exports crap….Once everyone has had their fill of crap, who are they going to sell all that crap to ??
IIRC, people lined up to trade in perfectly good and functional iPhone 4’s and 5’s for iPhone 6’s, handing over hundreds in cash to cover the difference.
lined up to trade in perfectly good and functional iPhone 4’s and 5’s for iPhone 6’s ??
Because its a bigger and better phone….People trade in many perfectly functional things for the newest and best…Car’s being the biggest example…
New crap is always shinier and prettier than old crap.
Just saying that just because people have their houses full of crap doesn’t mean they won’t go out and buy more.
People trade in many perfectly functional things for the newest and best…Car’s being the biggest example…
I seem to recall reading that the average age of a car is now 11 years old, whereas most people I meet, regardless of income level, have an almost new $600 phone in their pocket or purse.
People will drive their cars into the ground, but will buy a new $600 phone every year or two, even though the old phone works just fine.
IMHO a car is a depreciating consumable. I drive a Volvo, I’m boring!
I hardly ever upgrade my phone. I’m not a “topper”.
For goodness sake, the new phone doesn’t cost you anything if you sell the old one. I do it every two years, and am out of pocket nothing, unless I choose to pay for an extended protection plan.
“New crap is always shinier and prettier than old crap.”
Also more pungent.
The shadow war with China is not about trade, from the gov’s point of view. The fedgov never cared a rat’s patootie how trade with China affected US citizens. Not to mention they could sell all those treasury bonds to China. So for a while, it was a happy alliance of corporation and state.
Now, not so much. The deep state is very unhappy with how events have unfolded with China geopolitically. Idiots. How could they ever think China wouldn’t indulge in massive spying and hacking, etc.? Not to mention flexing its muscles in the South China Sea. Did they really think China was just going to humbly keep manufacturing cheap crap for the benefit of US corps and not expand in other areas? Apparently, they did.
So, the deep state is majorly disgruntled. The corps, however, are fine with business as usual. A showdown with China would put their noses and bottom lines severely out of joint. What to do? What to do?
AHA! The TPP! Of course, GM will have a problem, as it will lose that Chinese market for their products, but it is Government Motors, so it will fall in line with orders from the deep state.
Debt to China? Cancelled. Along with diplomatic ties, on the grounds of some sort of “act of war”.
And what better way to ensure that China must become more engaged domestically dealing with the turmoil of its citizens who have now had the global prosperity rug yanked out from under them? In other words, not only are they not going to finally see raises in pay and standard of living, but it is being thrown into reverse.
Now, whether it plays out that way, I dunno, but I think that’s the general idea from the deep state geniuses.
And I have to say, China really sort of overplayed its hand. As Comey at the FBI has said “It’s not that they’e particularly bright or clever, it’s that there is so much of it.” (Referring to the hacking and spying)
I heard something similar from a friend, this time militarily. There are so many Chinese that they could beat us with steak knives, as long as they gave one to each and every citizen.
America’s greatest asset is clean air and water. Surprisingly that China isn’t buying up American lakes and water rights. I’m sure Detroit would be willing to make a deal.
Surprisingly that China isn’t buying up American lakes and water rights.
Kinda hard to ship it to China in the quantities they need.
China decided long ago to buy the USA vs trying to invade it.
Meanwhile, we blow up Iraq and rebuild it. Thanks GOP!
Can we (USA) at least buy Cuba or Baja?
All I see in Afghanistan and Iraq is the very people we do not want to have power taking power. Thanks Obama. People wanted you to end two wars not lose two wars.
America’s greatest asset is clean air and water.
In large part to the illegals, I do not think California has an abundance of either one.
Can we (USA) at least buy Cuba or Baja?
The Mexican constitution forbids foreign ownership of property 50 km from the coast.
duh! Bush signed the treaty to withdraw troops or they will be arrested. Your Google work and you are an attorney, you should know this.
” Comment by Albuquerquedan
2015-06-23 12:00:33
All I see in Afghanistan and Iraq is the very people we do not want to have power taking power. Thanks Obama. People wanted you to end two wars not lose two wars.”
‘Bush signed the treaty to withdraw troops or they will be arrested.’
Nobody bothers with historic reality anymore. The US was facing the soldiers losing immunity to law, so Bush signed an agreement to leave because the soldiers liked to shoot up everything. BTW, Obama has a screw loose because he said he was “good at killing people.”
I’m not talking about the Chinese in China. I meant the 64% of Chinese who want to take their money and GTFOOD. Buy up an Oil City homestead with acreage and water in Flyover State, send the kiddie to Football Factory University, and chain migrate the rest of the family. The whole shebang would cost less than an Effing Floating Box of Air in Miami.
And I have to say, China really sort of overplayed its hand. As Comey at the FBI has said “It’s not that they’e particularly bright or clever, it’s that there is so much of it.” (Referring to the hacking and spying).
Anyway, if I’m a Chinese national, I’m going to be very cautious about my assets in the US. I’m reminded of the poster who wrote yesterday about the San Gabriel valley and its burgeoning Chinese population. Take heart. This too shall end, especially if the TPP goes through and it probably will.
LOL, what’s with the “I have to say”, palmy? Get another cuppa cawfee, fer chrissakes.
Yep, it’s moving right along. The congresscritters have been briefed. They know what the “secret” is.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-06-23/obama-faces-union-anger-ahead-corporate-coup-detat-trade-deal-fast-track-vote
The deep state is very unhappy with how events have unfolded with China geopolitically.
Do you not believe that the “deep state” is controlled by the .01 percent and money and power is all they care about?
No. Here’s why:
“It’s widely assumed that Wall Street rules the roost in both the mainstream financial media and in the alternative financial blogosphere. In my view, the speculative excesses and political power of Wall Street pose a strategic threat to the Deep State, and as a result a showdown between the Deep State and the surface machinery of governance that has been captured by Wall Street is looming.
Though everyone who is convinced the U.S. dollar will go to zero is confident that Wall Street will emerge victorious from the next financial crisis, I am convinced of the opposite: the Deep State will do whatever it takes to eliminate strategic threats to the integrity of the Deep State and the nation it depends on for its power and survival. In a financial crisis that threatens the dollar and the Deep State, the phantom claims of Wall Street’s financier skimmers, scammers and swindlers will be tossed under the bus with few qualms. The triage might even be performed with a certain relish.”
http://www.oftwominds.com/blogmar14/throw-under-bus3-14.html
That’s some pretty primitive political analysis there. If these Deep State people are going to go up against Wall Street, there going to need some very powerful forces on their side.
Except that they ARE the powerful forces. Wall Street et al exists at the pleasure of the deep state, although I do believe there is an uneasy alliance of sorts. We’ve already seen an example of this “triage” that Charles Hugh Smith speaks of, when Lehman was let sink and AIG was backstopped. THAT, my friend, is the deep state at work, picking the winners and losers.
There’s money and there’s power. Some have both, some have one or the other. The deep state doesn’t need to HAVE money, just access to it, which they do have, and plenty of it. If not enough on hand, they can just extract some fines from the world of finance. After all, it’s much easier and more immediate than Iran/Contra types of operations.
I really wish there was another term for “deep state”, or “shadow state”, because it all sound so ooga-booga, but this sort of entity has been around for centuries, for as long as there have been nation states, courts and kings and that sort of thing. The “Elizabeth” movie series gives excellent examples of the deep state of the day. And also shows Elizabeth for the brilliant ruler strategist that she was, being able to triangulate between all the various factions and entities she had to contend with. There may be others, but she is the best example of a ruler that was able to keep so many entities happy while doing what she had to do. The people loved her, the business interests loved her and so did her shadow government. And she needed them all on her side, because she was up against the Holy Roman Empire, the EU of her day.
It may seem primitive. I prefer to use the word simple. Most of this stuff is fairly simple. It’s just been made complicated, and takes some cutting through the BS. There’s always profit in complication, that’s what makes it so hard to eliminate.
They need powerful forces outside the government bureaucracy itself. Wall Street spends vast sums on campaign contribution and has its lobbyists swarming all over Capitol Hill. The only example is that I can recall of bureaucrats having something that could counter that sort of influence was when J. Edgar Hoover supposedly had files on the backgrounds of lots of elected officials.
“They need powerful forces outside the government bureaucracy itself. Wall Street spends vast sums on campaign contribution and has its lobbyists swarming all over Capitol Hill.”
Once again, they ARE the powerful forces. OK, let me give you a more recent example. Victoria Nuland, deep stater par excellence, and who ever heard of her until Russia got her on tape with her “Eff the EU” conversation? Like most deep staters, Nuland has her gig no matter which party is in power. Deep staters tend to keep their gigs for decades. If you care to, google it up and listen to the clip again, it’s an excellent example of the sorts of things these folks get involved with and how they go about effecting coups and such things.
Apple takes parts from all over the world and ships them to China where they are assembled to make an iPhone. Even though the high value parts were made elsewhere, China gets full credit for the value of the phone when it’s exported, when it’s only real contribution was assembly by low wage workers. And if it wants to, Apple can just as easily move final assembly to Vietnam or India, where profit will be recorded in the currency of some other country. All this contributes toward what appears to be a huge trade deficit, but much of which is actually just poor accounting.
China, Japan and Korea rely on weak currencies to maintain their manufacturing profitability, even though their citizens pay for it with lower living standards, because manufacturers in these countries have much more political power than here, and they would not allow a strong currency. The price of keeping your currency weak is a steady decline in banking and financial sectors of the economy. In this country, it’s the banks who rule the roost. That’s why our jobs are going overseas.
Obama killed the U.S. economy by allowing the dollar to appreciate 25%. Of course I believe it as a deliberate act to drive down oil to hurt Putin but even if it was not, it was sheer incompetence to say or do nothing to keep it from rising.
The dollar rose because the US is considered the world’s cleanest dirty shirt. Do you want to own Euros? China’s RMB?
What was the alternative…mandating that the Fed print money and drop it from helicopters?
Let’s face it, the dollar rose because it’s considered the safe haven in the world.
The is the party line. The Europeans and the Japan were actively trying to drop their currencies down and we went along is the truth. The question is why and I say it is Obama’s hatred of Putin.
“Let’s face it, the dollar rose because it’s considered the safe haven in the world.”
that’s no fun! Lets blame Obama!! And my kid’s school lunch is bad (like it has been for 50 yrs) darn you Mrs O for trying to make things better, even thought people are lazy and dumb!!!
Even though the high value parts were made elsewhere, China gets full credit for the value of the phone when it’s exported, when it’s only real contribution was assembly by low wage workers
And when the parts are imported China does not have to count them? We are talking about a net figure of $65 billion not the total exports.
From Business Insider:
“While an iPhone costs about $180 wholesale, the value coming from China — just the final assembly — is about $6.50 per unit. And yet the entire cost of the iPhone gets counted in the trade deficit with China. As a consequence, the iPhone alone added $2 billion to the US’ trade deficit with China.”
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/iphone-impact-on-trade-deficit-2011-1#ixzz3duRSlQTl
Fine, but it does not address my point. If the parts are not made in China and I actually believe some are contrary to that article then the parts must be imported and they would be counted against China’s trade balance. Now, they may create a deficit with Japan or Taiwan but they are counted and the surplus is $65 billion for the entire world. Meanwhile while China may get the credit for the phone, the U.S. is not picking up the increased deficit with Taiwan or Japan, China is, like most of Business Insider articles the reporters demonstrate they have very little knowledge about the areas they are writing about.
http://www.todaysiphone.com/2013/08/why-iphones-are-made-in-china-infographic/iphone-infographic/
http://www.intomobile.com/2013/09/13/iphone-made-infographic/
Tax increases the last thing Greece needs but it probably will be accepted by the creditors but it just means Greece will not be able to meet its targets within a year:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/greece-had-no-choice-propose-105715010.html
30% gov workers and min wage laws = BK
or going GREEEEEEeeeeek
Never play leapfrog with a leftist.
With last week’s Grexit scare and China stock market swoon fading bad memories, the stock market has nowhere to go but up. What’s stopping you from joining in the rally?
A desire not to be the sucker who buys high and sells low.
With the Grexit situation blowing over, renewed economic stimulus in China, and the Fed on indefinite hold for interest rate liftoff, you have to admit the stage is perfectly set for stock prices to go higher from here.
Why don’t you want to share in this opportunity to enjoy wealth gains?
I would rather invest in China’s stock market, because of it’s open financial system and sound fundamentals.
Evidently the Fed’s War on Savers has been wildly successful.
Marketwatch dot com
70 million Americans teetering on edge of financial ruin
By Catey Hill
Published: June 23, 2015 6:00 a.m. ET
Americans now even more irresponsible about money
Shutterstock.com / VGstockstudio
In the past few years, the job market has vastly improved and home prices have rebounded — yet Americans are becoming even more irresponsible when it comes to saving for emergencies.
According to a survey of 1,000 adults released by Bankrate.com on Tuesday, nearly one in three (29%) American adults (that’s roughly 70 million) have no emergency savings at all — the highest percentage since Bankrate began doing this survey five years ago. What’s more, only 22% of Americans have at least six months of emergency savings (that’s what advisers recommend) — the lowest level since Bankrate began doing the survey.
These findings mirror others — all of which paint an abysmal picture of Americans’ ability to withstand an emergency. For example, a survey released in March by national nonprofit NeighborWorks America also found that roughly one third (34%) of Americans don’t have emergency savings.
Greg McBride, the chief financial analyst for Bankrate.com, says these low savings reflect that households haven’t seen their incomes ramp up and thus “household budgets are tight.” Plus, he adds “people don’t pay themselves first — they wait until the end of the month to save what’s left over and then nothing is left over.”
…
Fed’s War on Savers has been wildly successful ??
I heard a comment this morning…Said that the biggest portion of savers are the wealthy…So, if there has been a war on savers, its been a war on the wealthy…
Elderly have saved and they hoped to live off their savings and 99% of them are not wealthy.
Elderly have saved and they hoped to live off their savings ??
Live off ?? I suspect a High percentage of them don’t have that much in savings…Maybe a retirement plan…401k…I think believe they live off of a combination of income streams but don’y believe they rely much on interest on savings…
The principal goes much faster when the interest rates are low. Ironically, the real “loosers” will be the generation that most voted for Obama, the deficit in their cash flows is being met with reverse mortgages for the boomers, the slacker generation will be living in the parent’s cellar until their parents die and the reverse mortgage people take their houses.
I suspect a High percentage of them don’t have that much in savings
I suspect that only a minority have more than 100K stashed away. Used to be that they would have the house paid off when they retired, but with serial refis (with cash outs) that is no longer the rule
The article talks about higher housing prices as if it’s good news that people have to pay a higher and higher percentage of their income to the bank, and then wonders why people aren’t saving more. These kinds of articles are always written by clueless hacks.
and then wonders why people aren’t saving more
And when they refuse to buy a house and instead DO save their money, that also is bad.
Pension funds depend upon a high interest rate in order to remain viable, don’t forget.
My parents are in the camp of retirees who are having their financial plans impacted by the Fed.
They have one non-government pension, Social Security, and 401k’s that they have saved over the years. They own their house without a mortgage. The low interest rates have caused them to re-allocate $ into dividend paying stocks. As some CDs they held matured, they didn’t roll them into new CDs, but averaged into the market as their portfolio of CDs naturally matured.
Thankfully they did so post-crash/pre-runup, and so they are not suffering like folks who sat on cash and watched the run-up unfold before them.
I suspect that only a minority have more than 100K stashed away. This an important point. Is someone has $50k in a CD, an extra 1% works out to be $500 a year.
There is an amusing but very sad set of ads on talk radio here in the land of Rummy redistribution and debt aka Ch*tcago that goes kinda like this - ‘We had money saved for a vacation but our water heater blew out and now we aren’t going on vacation - or this - we had no savings and the refrigerator blew and now we are taking out a loan and then the voice over - YOU don’t need to be like this - take out insurance at xxxx dollars a month and keep your vacation in tact’.
What I find so very amazing and sad given P Bear’s post is there is a whole market out there waiting to be tapped by the PTB aiding and abetting 70 million people who are like Wiley Coyote out over a cliff with a sign sayin “help me!!!”
Those ads are nationwide and a sad reflection of the economic ignorance of the masses. Insurance to cover your water heater instead of having enough money to cover both the vacation and the heater. A society of instant gratification keeps sinking lower and lower.
“70 million Americans teetering on edge of financial ruin”
Is that part of the Fundamental Transformation of America I’ve been hearing so much about in the last six years?
How can I opt out?
Evidently the Fed’s War on Savers has been wildly successful.
You mean war on CD holders and money market depositors. It’s not the Fed’s fault, or anyone’s fault, if a “saver” continues to park their money in 0.1% yield account. If they choose not to diversify into stocks or whatever, well, too bad!
Buying stocks is not “saving”. Technically, it’s “investing” though some might argue that it’s gambling.
The idea with “saving” is that your nest egg grows slowly but steadily. Except with current interest rates, it doesn’t grow at all.
With investing it grows faster, but can also go the other way, and fast.
With gambling … baby needs new shoes!
“Buying stocks is not “saving”. Technically, it’s “investing” though some might argue that it’s gambling.”
The longer your time horizon (and broader your diversification), the less you can argue that it’s “gambling”. If you are day trading, you would have a hard time convincing me that it’s “investing”.
“Except with current interest rates, it doesn’t grow at all.”
It’s worse than that…it’s shrinking. If you are earning 0.1%, but inflation is running at 2%, you are losing about 2% of your wealth each year.
“If they choose not to diversify into stocks or whatever, well, too bad!”
Oh I see…anyone who refuses to gamble their life’s savings in the Wall Street casino is a looser.
Bingo - that’s the bargain we’ve been forced into. Unless you want to gamble on real estate instead . . .
“Unless you want to gamble on real estate instead…”
Anyone who refuses to join the Ownership Society deserves to see his dollar-denominated savings inflated away.
Since the Fed has started their “dual mandate” that includes inflation at 2%, you have to assume that your cash money is debased by 2% per year.
As such, at times when MM funds are below 2%, you have a choice to make.
1. Assume that the yields will rise soon enough that you are willing to keep the money in cash; or
2. Seek higher yields by investing the money in something else in order to protect your wealth from inflation.
The shame of it all is that the people who understand this probably are on firmer financial footing than those who do not understand this.
The problem with the stock market is that one can lose alarming sums with depressing regularity.
The Fed heretofore unprecedented QE and other market supports have pushed up the market, and benefits those who remained in the market after the tech crash.
The problem for retirees who plan to retire on a big stock portfolio is that it can go poof in very short order. I’d talked to people who were going to retire but the tech bust wiped them out.
The problem with even starting to dollar cost into the market now is the Fed’s unprecedented intervention - and ditto with the rest of the world’s central banks. Can they keep this up forever? I don’t think so. Dollar cost averaging into a declining market doesn’t help the net worth.
The game plan was to keep interest rates low, drown the market in liquidity, take bad debt off the hands of Wall Street, and yadda yadda, the economy is roaring again.
That didn’t happen. What the Fed again didn’t realize was, like Greenspan who flat out admitted it was that markets don’t self regulate, and they don’t act in the “public interest.” They act in their private interest. So instead of lots of borrowing and investment in jobs-generating and technology generating projects, companies did borrow - to do stock buybacks and load the companies up with debt.
All that money given to Wall Street was used to create asset bubbles - malinvestment to the society, but very lucrative to those normal, self-interested individuals who work at those companies.
The Fed is trying to central plan and they’re always gamed.
Bernanke went to Citadel. Geithner went to Warburg Pincus. I’m not so sure the gaming is unintentional.
Anyway. One thing I’ve learned from personal experience is that moving lump sums into the market is a gamble. Even if the investment is a well regarded index fund. Dollar cost averaging is the only way to go. But even then you want to be near something like a market trough and this doesn’t seem like a market trough. It’s a soaring market driven by central bank intervention. Which seems unlikely they can keep up for too much longer. They’ve been involved in this unprecedented intervention for eight years now.
” If they choose not to diversify into stocks or whatever, well, too bad!”
Monetary fascism?
You will invest in stock market! (My attempt at Soviet English)
Actually, living below your means can protect you better than gambling in the wall street casino. Most 401k’s have a stable value option that will earn you roughly 2.5% at this time…beats a 40% correction.
A nice synopsis of the world we live in at present……
From Jesse’s Café Americain
At Home
“And in some ways, it creates this false illusion that there are people out there looking out for the interest of taxpayers, the checks and balances that are built into the system are operational, when in fact they’re not.
And what you’re going to see and what we are seeing is it’ll be a breakdown of those governmental institutions. And you’ll see governments that continue to have policies that feed the interests of — and I don’t want to get clichéd, but the one percent or the .1 percent — to the detriment of everyone else.”
Neil Barofsky
Do you see why there is no real reform now? Do you understand the hard choice that a person of honour and conscience is given? Who will make such an unfashionable choice when they have so few models to follow and almost no moral encouragement to find in this vile era of selfishness and greed?
Do you understand now why laws that are widely opposed by the people like the secret pre-approval of the Trans-Pacific Partnership can be bullied through a Congress with an approval rating in the single digits, seemingly without a care?
And abroad
“There are two ways to conquer and enslave a country. One is by the sword. The other is by debt.”
John Adams
Do you see why suddenly a nation must be broken by fraud or by force and rebuilt, bent to the will of the powerful. Why its people can be devastated by harsh policies that make no sense, its sovereignty replaced by a puppet regime, while its assets are privatized and sold?
And if a person follows their conscience and sacrifices greatly for the truth, do you offer any comfort and encouragement, or even a thought or a prayer for them? Are you capable of even caring? Or is it all just another opportunity to make some quick money for yourself?
Would it be any different, if instead of placing bets on the sickness and misery of women and children, you simply murdered them, and took their possessions for yourselves, and sold their clothes, even their teeth and their hair?
It is a hard world after all. And you would become truly exceptional then.
For SCDave:
” I am still reluctant to acquiesce”
IRC §1014(B)(6) is on point for this issue fyi. Very straight forward code.
JT is a lazy person’s way to avoid probate. For non married title holders, it may be applicable once in a great while. For married people in CA, it is rarely the right choice. Simply holding title as CP allows married people all the tax beny’s and probate avoidance, i.e. all the survivor needs to file to clean up title is an affidavit of death of CP spouse. One can hold title in a trust and still retain CP status as well.
‘I sure have not been advised this way’ - your situation may vary, but I do note that a lot of general practitioners will do estate planning occasionally. They may not be as knowledgeable / up to date on the details as a specialist. When I was in CA, my bread and butter were clients with estates in the $5M to $20M range. I did this day in and day out. There are no skeletons unless we consider avoiding capital gains a skeleton. It is simply a very generous tax treatment.
Now, where do I send this bill?
HA! …. j/k
Now, where do I send this bill ??
LOL…Thanks for the Pro-bono education ibbots… :>)….
I love a challenge and as I said before I am not so proud as to admit defeat…I have a lunch scheduled with a good friend & advisor this Friday…He has a a number of degrees including a Masters in Estate & tax planning…He has been practicing for over 50 years, in his mid 70’s and is as active as ever…If you practiced in the bay area its highly likely you know him since it appears you did the same thing…He is located in Palo Alto and many of his clients are measly rich…10 mil or so…But many others are super rich…50-mil +
I am going to have a nice Lunch conversation with him about the “benefits” you espouse regarding CP as the vehicle of choice for estate planning…scdave
Did you get Grubered?
http://www.theburningplatform.com/2015/06/22/emails-show-jonathan-gruber-played-bigger-role-with-obama-administration-on-healthcare-than-previously-admitted/
We’re all being Grubered on a daily basis.
An opinion in the NYT which I guess Media would say is a rally the base:
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/23/opinion/the-iran-deals-fatal-flaw.html?ref=world&_r=0
You want to rally the base?
If this bill passes, and if Tom Cotton and the other neocons get their wish, there will be boots on the ground in Iran, some really fabulous boots on the ground (personally I favor Ziggy Stardust era David Bowie boots)
http://thehill.com/policy/defense/245835-dem-lawmaker-plots-bill-to-eliminate-dod-transgender-ban
And remember, the transgender/transexual agenda has nothing to do with individual freedoms or tolerance or acceptance, at its core it is about the redistribution of white cisgender male resources
This is the fundamental transformation you were promised:
http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/245798-obama-laments-distorted-impression-of-muslims
Forward
Is it the part about them being a 7th century barbaric conquest political ideology? Or something else?
I find this chart today fascinating, no public news but we have gone from being down a dollar on a strong dollar to being up a dollar on no news:
http://www.goldseek.com/quotes/charts/oil/oil24hour.php
The price of solar power will continue to fall, until it becomes the cheapest form of power in a rapidly expanding number of national markets. By 2026, utility-scale solar will be competitive for the majority of the world, according to BNEF. The lifetime cost of a photovoltaic solar-power plant will drop by almost half over the next 25 years, even as the prices of fossil fuels creep higher.
Solar power will eventually get so cheap that it will out-compete new fossil-fuel plants and even start to supplant some existing coal and gas plants, potentially stranding billions in fossil-fuel infrastructure. The industrial age was built on coal. The next 25 years will be the end of its dominance.
Fine then why spend 100’s of billions of dollars now to subsidize its deployment if within twenty five years it can stand on its own in the free market. Seems quite wasteful, lets spend it on needed infrastructure improvements. But then again it might be like Obama’s prediction of one million EV cars on the road.
http://www.nydailynews.com/autos/obama-america-cars-gas-free-article-1.1263284
The key unknown trying to look that far ahead is determining the cost of capital. If interest rates go up significantly then even with lower costs for the solar panels, solar could be further from being competitive.
http://www.hybridcars.com/obama-calls-for-1-million-plugin-hybrids-0805/
Yup. I posted here several months ago how energy analysts predict that as early as 2017 solar power will reach “grid parity” with fossil fuel generated power — and that’s without subsidies.
Not the biggest subsidy of all, hook up to the grid without paying for it and in many jurisdictions net metering.
The highest court in the U.S. will decide on King vs. Burwell before the end of June. The case could potentially end the subsidies of 6.4 million Americans who buy their health care through the Affordable Care Act. Meanwhile, the CBO has released an analysis on the costs of repealing Obamacare– a repeal that it says could add $137 billion to the U.S. deficit over the next 10 years.
All this disruption to save 13 billion a year? More importantly it is a static analysis so it does not tell us how much economic activity was lost due to the cost of complying with the regulations and the extra taxes, it could very easily exceed $13 billion a year maybe by an order of magnitude.
“Hacked, Large Amount of Bitcoin Stolen”
Seems awfully hard to keep imaginary stuff safe.
http://www.newsbtc.com/2015/06/22/scrypt-cc-hacked-large-amount-of-bitcoin-stolen/
It does, I think I will stay old school with money.
Which is why J6P will never use bitcoin.
Adam Smith and China:
http://europe.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2015-06/23/content_21077105.htm
Excerpt from link:
As a visiting professor in Beijing, I recently spent an evening talking about China’s economic development with a group of futures traders at a short executive education course. One thing we all agreed on was that a shrinking workforce and an unbalanced economy are serious obstacles to the chances of China overcoming the middle-income trap that has caught so many promising emerging countries.
How can China create enough value to raise the living standards of its huge population, not perhaps to the standards of the United States, but at least to an average annual income of $20,000?
The answer can only be found in the thoughts of a Scotsman who died more than 200 years ago. Adam Smith’s greatness was that he showed us how society, if left to itself and properly regulated via the rule of law, will find the most efficient and productive way to create wealth for its members.
The secret lies in the division of labor, in specialization, in competition, and in the application of new processes and technologies by individuals trading with each other who wish only to benefit themselves and their families.
In Smith’s analysis, “enlightened self-interest” produces prosperity. He commented that a country with a free, competitive market, which trades widely with other countries, does not need a stock of gold, because it can create the wealth to acquire gold, or anything else it requires.
The truth of Smith’s analysis can easily be seen by comparing relatively poor countries that are rich in resources-for example, Zimbabwe and Russia-with countries such as Switzerland and Singapore that are rich but lack natural resources.
On their own, natural resources, which run out and can be grabbed by powerful elites, do not make a country wealthy. National wealth depends on a competitive, market-driven system, operating within a clear and fair framework of rules and regulations that encourage individuals to trade with each other, with the sole purpose not of trying to help each other, but of improving their own situation.
Nicholas Lardy, of the Washington-based Brookings Institution, is one of the world’s leading foreign analysts on the Chinese economy. His 2014 book, Markets Over Mao, demonstrates that China’s small and medium-sized enterprises have driven growth in employment and GDP since the 1990s.
But for many inside China, Lardy’s thesis is not convincing. Most bureaucrats and policymakers believe that the State-owned enterprise is more important to China than the private entrepreneur. For them, Adam Smith is not relevant to China’s situation.
However, one of China’s most important economic thinkers is a disciple of Smith and a firm believer in the free market. His ideas have become well-known in China and underpin the government’s new economic direction.
His name is Zhang Weiying.
Second part:
Zhang returned to China in 1994 after studying at the University of Oxford with James Mirrlees, an economist who won the Nobel Prize in economics in 1996. He joined the Center for Economic Research established by Justin Yifu Lin at Peking University, and in 1998 he was invited by Li Yining, then dean of the Guanghua School of Management, to become deputy dean.
Zhang stayed at Guanghua until 2010, becoming dean in 2006 and leading the school to its high position among the business schools of Asia. In 2011, it was the first Chinese business school to appear in the global rankings published each year by the Financial Times.
When Zhang stepped down as dean he returned to research. In 2012, his book, The Logic of the Market, a collection of his writings about the free market, was published in Beijing. The English edition appeared last year.
Edmund Phelps and Thomas Sargent, both Nobel Prize winners in economics, reviewed his work. “This remarkable book testifies to the power of economic analysis to isolate basic economic forces that transcend countries and political regimes,” said Sargent.
The Logic of the Market shows how much Zhang was influenced by Adam Smith in his early thinking as an undergraduate student in economics at Northwestern University in Xi’an. Zhang writes: “Reading The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith in 1982 started to build my belief in the free market for the first time.”
He went on to write two papers in 1983 and 1984, one about the dual-track pricing system later adopted in the first stage of China’s economic reform. The introduction of market forces into Chinese agricultural prices in the 1980s showed how Smith’s “invisible hand” could raise output and productivity.
As Zhang’s thinking developed, he became more convinced that only by introducing market forces could China meet its growth challenges. He wrote: “Under the planned economy, we did not pursue happiness by making others happy. Instead, we pursued happiness by making others unhappy. Our energies were spent fighting for power and gain. We were competing … but we were not creating value. Under the market economy, rights are defined by property.
“With individual property, as long as people have money, they can also enjoy the majority of services that only people with power could enjoy before. … The country’s future depends on what we believe in and what we do not believe in. From the 1950s to 30 years ago, we believed in the planned economy. The result was a tremendous disaster. … Only if we move toward the logic of the market will China’s future be bright.”
As China moves to the next stage of its development, its policymakers and officials need to think clearly about the economic models they should be using. In the fierce debates that take place among different schools of thought, it is fortunate for them, and for China, that they have Zhang, to whom they can turn for inspiration.
The author is a visiting professor at Guanghua School of Management, Peking University. The views do not necessarily reflect those of China Daily.
From today’s China Daily:
BEIJING, June 23 — Crude oil output in China reached 87.69 million tons in the first five months of 2015, a year on year increase of 1.7 percent, according to the top economic planner.
China refined 195.26 million tons of crude oil during the period, up 3.8 percent year on year, while refined oil production rose 6 percent to 123.55 million tonnes, the National Development and Reform Commission said in an online statement.
Apparent consumption of refined oil, calculated as production plus imports minus exports, increased 4.4 percent from a year earlier to 113.04 million tons.
In a separate statement, the planner said natural gas output totaled 55.5 billion cubic meters during the January-May period, up 4 percent year on year.
Imports of natural gas saw an increase of 5.6 percent to 24.7 billion cubic meters, while apparent consumption came in at 77.2 billion cubic meters, the commission said.
China’s appetite for energy has grown substantially amid rapid industrialization and urbanization.
Domestic crude oil output is expected to grow by 0.4 percent to reach 217 million tons in 2015, while refined oil and natural gas output will reach 294 million tons and 134.4 billion cubic meters respectively, according to a report released by a research center and a publishing house with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences earlier this month.
Meanwhile, refined oil net exports are estimated to reach 20.8 million tons, up 41.9 percent year on year, with export of diesel taking the lead, the report said.
From the ND website, these are not terrible wells but five months ago it as not unusual for one well to produce more than all of these put together:
PRODUCING WELL COMPLETED:
#28696 - EMERALD OIL, INC, JOEL GOODSEN 7-32-29H, SESE 32-149N-102W, MCKENZIE CO., 1104 BOPD, 2741 BWPD - BAKKEN
#28697 - EMERALD OIL, INC, JOEL GOODSEN 6-32-29H, SESE 32-149N-102W, MCKENZIE CO., 886 BOPD, 2386 BWPD - BAKKEN
#28782 - BURLINGTON RESOURCES OIL & GAS COMPANY LP, HAMMERHEAD 31-26-2MBH, NWNE 26-153N-97W, MCKENZIE CO., 1488 BOPD, 1440 BWPD – BAKKEN
#29436 - XTO ENERGY INC., SORENSON 14X-33EXH, SWSW 33-150N-98W, MCKENZIE CO., 1255 BOPD, 1279 BWPD - BAKKEN
You don’t even have to go back five months, for example just look at these three wells from April 7, 2015, notice they seem to be off the same pad:
#27520 - WHITING OIL AND GAS CORPORATION, FLATLAND FEDERAL 11-4TFH, LOT4 4-152N-97W, MCKENZIE CO., 6002 bopd, 1717 bwpd - BAKKEN
#27521 - WHITING OIL AND GAS CORPORATION, FLATLAND FEDERAL 11-4HR, LOT4 4-152N-97W, MCKENZIE CO., 5002 bopd, 2673 bwpd - BAKKEN
#27522 - WHITING OIL AND GAS CORPORATION, FLATLAND FEDERAL 11-4TFHU, LOT4 4-152N-97W, MCKENZIE CO., 4207 bopd, 1322 bwpd - BAKKEN
Which is entirely consistent with what just came out:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-prices-fall-oversupply-economic-012730311.html
So I thought by now we were suppose to have run out of storage space?
Excerpt:
Industry group American Petroleum Institute (API) said after the market’s close that U.S. crude stockpiles were estimated to have fallen by 3.2 million barrels last week for an eighth consecutive week of declines.
The estimate came in higher than the draw of 2.1 million forecast by analysts in a Reuters poll on Tuesday. The U.S. Energy Information Administration will release official stockpiles data on Wednesday. [EIA/S]
Futures of oil products such as gasoline and ultralow sulfur diesel (ULSD) gained more than crude, leading Tuesday’s rally.
Gasoline futures (RBc1) settled up 2.3 percent, their most in two weeks.
ULSD (HOc1) also rose more than 2 percent despite the Reuters poll forecasting a rise in stocks of distillates, which include diesel.
Since the start of the peak U.S. driving season at the end of May, oil products have been remarkably strong on expectations of higher fuel demand. The Reuters poll called for a drop of 300,000 barrels in gasoline stocks.
The rally in oil products bumped up the “crack,” or profit margin, refiners derive from processing crude into gasoline (CL-RB1=R) and diesel (CL-HO1=R), after a recent slump in such margins.
“I’m guessing people who were short the ULSD and gasoline cracks the past few days took some profit to push those markets higher,” said David Thompson, executive vice president of energy commodities brokerage Powerhouse in Washington. “Technical and buy-stop orders were probably activated in the process.”
Research house Energy Aspects said it expected draws particularly at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery point for U.S. crude after output declines at U.S. shale basins such as Bakken and the Niobrara and reduced flows from Canadian-originated pipelines.
“Fundamentals north of Cushing remain strong,” it said.
Clubber Lang in the hiznouse? (hiznouse = hip-hop slang for house)
Who are the real progressives?
Who are the real conservatives?
Where is all this going?
And who pays for it?
De La Soul - Stakes Is High (1995)
http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=sj-vPcCfQ6k
Megadeth - The right to go insane.
Not their best thrash song, but I like it. The video is cool also.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m20sJNgZ17U
http://patch.com/virginia/arlington-va/no-love-lost-company-towed-espn-sportscasters-car
east coast living
Is it safe to say the stock market can only go up from here, no matter what?
U.S.-Russia military tit for tat raises fears of greater conflict
By Jeremy Diamond and Greg Botelho, CNN
Updated 6:24 AM ET, Fri June 19, 2015
* A bigger fear than war is the possibility of accidental confrontations when you have powerful military forces lined up so close to each other.
* U.S. officials and observers point to the uprising in Ukraine as the start of the uptick in Moscow’s confrontational behavior.
Washington (CNN)The war of words between America and Russia is escalating. So, too, is the movement of implements of war — from U.S. fighter jets to Russian nuclear weapons.
So is an actual war imminent?
No one in Russia, NATO or the United States has gone that far yet. Still, the rhetoric and actions from both sides have definitely ratcheted up in recent days, raising concerns of a new arms race — if not worse — amid tensions both sides blame on each other.
The major players all claim their movements are defensive and necessary responses to their foe’s provocation. None has talked of an invasion.
…
I’m hoping and praying for a deal with Iran that will enable oil to return to affordable price levels.
Marketwatch dot com
Commodities Corner
Iran may usher a quick return to $50 U.S. oil prices
By Myra P. Saefong
Published: June 23, 2015 3:55 p.m. ET
Reuters
Negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program on March 20, 2015.
The oil market’s mostly focused on U.S. supply data this week, but next week should be all about Iran and the deadline for a final agreement over its nuclear program.
If a deal between Iran and six world powers is reached by the June 30 deadline, Iran could soon start dumping millions of barrels of oil into the global market, ushering a quick return of $50 oil prices.
…