September 2, 2015

Bits Bucket for September 2, 2015

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Comment by azdude
2015-09-02 05:17:56

is harp keeping home prices high?

Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 06:34:04

By changing the rules of the game to enable millions of previously unqualified homeowners to refinance to a lower monthly payment, HARP effectively transferred a massive amount of other people’s money into the hands of current homeowners. The resulting increased incentive for homeowners to stay in place, rather than move somewhere else at higher monthly payment rate, has the effect of sucking inventory and liquidity out of the market. Non-Ownership Society members face higher purchase prices and rents as a result.

Comment by azdude
2015-09-02 06:39:34

So basically buyers have to pay higher home prices because of HARP?

If harp wasnt there values would be a lot lower.

But that also means that get to pay thousands in interest to banks when they get a loan.

Comment by CountryClubberLang
2015-09-02 07:42:49

Are all homeowners members of the FSA?

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Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 06:42:59

The Mortgage Reports
Posted August 29, 2015
in HARP Refinance
HARP Refinance Loan Program Expires In 15 Months
HARP loan closings by LTV, by month
HARP Refinance Is “Not A Scam”, Says Government

The HARP refinance has been a staple of the U.S. housing market recovery, helping more than 3.3 million homeowners to refinance to lower rates since 2009.

Despite persistently low mortgage rates in 2015, though, the number of HARP closings is dropping. Fewer HARP loans closed in June than during any month in the program’s 5-year history.

HARP’s sponsoring agency — the FHFA — believes the HARP slowdown is an issue of “awareness”, which is probably accurate. Consumers frequently tell officials that the program appears “too good to be true”; that it “must be a scam”.

But, HARP is not a scam. It’s real and more than 600,000 U.S. households are “in the money” to HARP-refinance right this very minute.

Few are actually doing it.

Via an outreach program which includes mailers and town halls, the Federal Housing Finance Agency wants today’s eligible HARP households to get started on their refinances now.

If you’re a current U.S. homeowner and think your mortgage rate is too high for today’s market, it’s a terrific time to take a look at your HARP loan eligibility.

HARP expires at the end of next year.

Click to see today’s rates (Sep 2nd, 2015).
HARP Refinance : Loans For Underwater Homeowners

HARP is an acronym. It stands for Home Affordable Refinance Program. Sometimes called the “Obama Refi”, the HARP program was launched in 2009 as part of that year’s economic stimulus program.

At the time, current mortgage rates had been dropping and so were U.S. home values.

30-year fixed-rate mortgage rates had moved to the high-4s, opening refinance opportunities nationwide. Unfortunately, many homeowners — including those in Los Angeles, California; Miami, Florida; and Phoenix, Arizona — found themselves unable to refinance.

As home values cratered late last decade, many homeowners had too little equity to refinance.

That’s when the Home Affordable Refinance Program was first proposed.

Via a series of economic stimulus programs, the government promoted the idea that if homeowners who had lost home equity could only get access to a refinance, they could capitalize on low rates and lower their monthly mortgage payments.

With an increase in household cash flow, consumer spending would get a boost which, the government reasoned, would help propel the U.S. economy into a recovery.

When HARP was passed, its guidelines stated that a homeowner’s home equity was irrelevant for purposes of a refinance. So long as the consumer met several basic criteria, including a history of on-time payments, the existing loan would be HARP-eligible for lower mortgage rates.

The most popular headline regarding HARP read “Obama Waives Refi Requirements”.

The program was an instant hit.

Comment by rms
2015-09-02 08:38:01

“With an increase in household cash flow, consumer spending would get a boost which, the government reasoned, would help propel the U.S. economy into a recovery.”

Enabling the “How much a month?” lösers.

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Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 08:58:39

Must have been quite a windfall for liquor stores.

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2015-09-02 10:04:36

‘With an increase in household cash flow, consumer spending would get a boost which, the government reasoned, would help propel the U.S. economy into a recovery’

I remember that. I wondered at the time, imagine what lower house prices and rents would accomplish.

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 07:38:03

What was the value of HARP to program participants and who paid for it?

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 05:38:55

Word is out that China has a PPT.

Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 05:42:16

Parade Protection Team, that is.

Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 05:48:54

TIME
World China
China’s Stock Market Is Not In Step With Its Victory Day Parade
Hannah Beech
6:07 AM ET
China Stocks Plunge On Wednesday
ChinaFotoPress—ChinaFotoPress via Getty Images
Investors have a rest at a stock exchange hall on August 26, 2015 in Haikou, China.
Errant indices have the potential to embarrass party leaders intent on celebrating China’s might.

As Beijing counted down the hours until a massive Victory Day military parade on Sept. 3, China’s President Xi Jinping prepared to welcome a stream of world leaders congregating for the goosestepping, missile-bristling commemoration of Japan’s official surrender in World War II: Russian President Vladimir Putin, South Korea’s Park Geun-hye, Egypt’s Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, Sudan’s Omar Hassan al-Bashir and even the Prime Minister of the tiny South Pacific nation of Vanuatu Sato Kilman. (Larger players in World War II’s Pacific theater, like the U.S. and Australia, declined to send top-level representation to China’s military pageant.)

On Sept. 2, the sky over Beijing, often polluted, shone a brilliant blue. Red flags flapped. There was only one glitch: when the Shanghai bourse opened on Wednesday morning, shares nosedived more than 4%. By the trading day’s end, the exchange had almost clawed its way back to positive territory, closing down 0.4%, as regulators rushed forward with a grab bag of rescue measures. But the stock fluctuation—capping a summer that has erased the year’s domestic market gains and caused jitters in overseas bourses—must have been embarrassing for Xi with so many national leaders in town to celebrate China’s triumphal rise.

Comment by azdude
2015-09-02 06:37:26

“This explains why a rising stock market is now essential to the Status Quo: if the market reverses, everyone who sees mostly stagnation in their corner of the economy will realize that is the norm, not a local aberration.

If the stock market is now too big to fail, the Federal Reserve will have to prop it up whatever the cost. Ultimately, this may require direct purchases of stocks–an action that other central banks are already pursuing.

This shouldn’t surprise us. After all, the Fed directly bought $1.5 trillion in mortgages (mortgage backed securities) to prop up the housing market, and a few trillion dollars in Treasury bonds to push interest rates down.”

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-09-02/stock-market-now-too-big-fail

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Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 08:31:47

“…the Fed directly bought $1.5 trillion in mortgages (mortgage backed securities) to prop up the housing market…”

Was this where the HARP financing came in?

 
Comment by MightyMike
2015-09-02 10:33:19

“This explains why a rising stock market is now essential to the Status Quo: if the market reverses, everyone who sees mostly stagnation in their corner of the economy will realize that is the norm, not a local aberration.

The stock market wealth effect on consumer spending is pretty small at this point. Falling indices won’t have much effect on the real economy.

 
Comment by Steadykat
2015-09-02 12:52:50

All the “blue pill” people that I know are freaking out with the wild gyrations that we have seen in the “market” over the last couple of months. I was at a party this weekend and from the conversations that I heard it appears that the FED manipulation, in an attempt to cover for a dead stock market, is now showing on up on most people’s radar.

The lady with the bowl haircut, along with all her economic PHD’s buddies, better find an isolated desert island to hide out on with this mess implodes.

 
Comment by MightyMike
2015-09-02 13:07:09

Would that be the “little blue pill” that is advertised so heavily on television?

 
Comment by tango_uniform
2015-09-02 14:38:11

“Use of this this stimulus may result in an unsafe drop in currency strength. Do not take if you are already using ZIRP or other currency-thinner. If you have a correction lasting more than 4% please see the FED immediately for this market-threatening condition.”

 
 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2015-09-02 10:33:31

I don’t know why the Chinese are celebrating “their” victory.

They spent the biggest part of WWII fighting each other, and stocking up on Lend-Lease supplies for the final showdown between the Nationalists and the Mao’s boyz than they did fighting the Japanese.

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Comment by oxide
2015-09-02 13:01:13

It’s one of those “1984″-type victories.

 
Comment by Raymond K Hessel
2015-09-02 17:31:06

The Party was always at war with Oceania….

 
 
 
Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2015-09-02 07:42:42

Panda Promotion Team.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 11:43:37

ft dot com > GlobalEconomy >
Chinese Economy
Last updated: September 2, 2015 5:17 pm
China blame game spooks investors
Patti Waldmeir in Shanghai, Josh Noble in Hong Kong, and Stephen Foley in New York
An investor gestures as he checks share prices at a securities firm in Shanghai on August 26, 2015. Shanghai stocks closed down 1.27 percent in volatile trading on August 26, extending days of falls despite a central bank interest rate cut aimed at boosting the flagging economy and slumping shares, dealers said.
CHINA OUT AFP PHOTO
©AFP

China’s efforts to apportion blame for its stock market rout have unnerved many of the foreign investors Beijing has spent years trying to court and left analysts and investors increasingly wary of provoking Beijing’s anger.

“I can feel the government supervision is strengthening. We are required to use more gentle wording in reports and our opinion should not be too strong,” said an analyst at a Chinese brokerage.

The authorities have arrested, or investigated, several employees of brokerages, listed companies and even the market regulator itself as they seek to tackle malpractice, manipulation and “rumour-mongering”.

Nervousness has been fuelled by the uncertainty over the whereabouts of a prominent hedge fund boss, Li Yifei, who was summoned this week for meetings with financial market authorities in Beijing in connection with their probe into stock market volatility. People close to Ms Li, head of Man Group China, said the meetings had finished and she had gone on holiday.

One big US hedge fund with operations in China said it was conducting extra audits of its trading in the country, concerned that the authorities were imposing additional scrutiny on foreign investors.

One executive at the fund said rumours regarding the whereabouts of Ms Li had darkened the mood. “Are they [the authorities] going to decide that malicious short sellers brought down the market?” the executive said. “Are they going to create a witch-hunt? It is hard to tell because they are so unpredictable.”

Chinese shares, which closed 0.4 per cent lower on Wednesday having earlier tumbled 4.7 per cent, have slumped more than 40 per cent from their mid-June peak. That has wiped about $5tn off the value of listed companies and sent shockwaves through global equity markets.

The Chinese government responded by spending about $200bn to prop up markets. It also banned short sellers, halted initial public offerings, encouraged margin trading and prohibited share sales by all big investors.

But the Chinese regulator said last month it would end daily interventions in the stock market — although many participants believe the government is still actively buying shares whenever the market falls.

 
 
Comment by Raymond K Hessel
2015-09-02 05:45:42

Ante up to pay for more “acts of love,” ‘Muricans.

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/09/02/report-more-than-half-of-immigrants-on-welfare.html

Comment by WPA
2015-09-02 07:59:04

Yes, and “…the report found that 87% of immigrant households had at least one worker.” They qualify for government assistance because wages are too low. Give immigrants and U.S.-born citizens a living wage and we would all save billions of dollars in welfare not spent.

GOP’s anti-labor, low-wage, pro-outsourcing policies created the FSA.

Comment by AmazingRuss
2015-09-02 08:14:58

What good are immigrants if you can’t exploit the hell out of them and get somebody else to pay for it?

Comment by WPA
2015-09-02 08:30:12

What good are immigrants if you can’t exploit the hell out of them and get somebody else to pay for it?

Yup. The “immigrants on welfare” complaint becomes an argument for amnesty: if illegals are here working, get them naturalized so they will pay federal income tax and help pay for these benefits they are consuming.

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Comment by In Colorado
2015-09-02 08:38:46

Why do I get the sinking feeling that they will continue to collect welfare after being given a green card?

 
Comment by Califoh20
2015-09-02 11:21:54

What exactly do they get on “welfare?”

 
Comment by Steadykat
2015-09-02 12:40:29

Go to the part of town where the all the advertising billboards are in Spanish. See all those garish,neon painted, former gas stations and assorted ex-fast food joints with the big, “tax preparations done while you wait” signs in Spanish.

Illegal aliens working under the table don’t file income taxes. The brightly painted businesses are set up to walk the “immigrant” thru the Earned Income Tax Credits paperwork so that they can get some “free” monies. The illegal gets a few thousand U.S. dollars without paying income taxes, courtesy of the few U.S. taxpayers that are left in this Country, and the tax preparer gets a percentage of the action in the form of a kickback.

This particular article addresses the issue currently. However,
this EITC scam has been ongoing for years.
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/feb/11/irs-pay-back-refunds-illegal-immigrants-who-didnt-/?page=all

Our newly arrived immigrants buy their water from local stores because the idea of clean drinking water, from a faucet, is impossible for them to understand. They spread used toilet paper around public restrooms because in the third world sh@tholes that they have migrated from the infrastructure can’t handle the paper.

They steal (U.S.Citizens ID’s by the millions), lie (about immigration status to receive benefits that they aren’t entitled to legally), and they have raped and/or murdered Anglos by the tens of thousands.

The ones who are pointed to as successes (by our media) are usually U.S. College graduates (even though Reagan assured us during the 1986 amnesty that secondary education wasn’t going to be allowed for illegal alien teenagers) who then go on to become Community organizers and/or Civil rights attorneys that then fight to further the cause for people of their race.

The largest and best funded Mexican “rights” group in our Country is La Raza which simply means The Race.They receive millions of dollars from American taxpayers each and every year.
http://www.judicialwatch.org/blog/2011/06/nclr-funding-skyrockets-after-obama-hires-its-vp/

Check out the numerous quotes listed below from well known Pro-immigration types over the years including Jose Angel Gutierrez, a College professor in who openly calls for the reconquista of the American Southwest. Read them and you will see that they have been formulating their plans for Aztlan for years and that their long term goals don’t seem to include any living space in this Country for white America.

Note that even Snopes.com can’t deny the authenticity of the quotes or the individuals that the quotes are associated with.
http://www.snopes.com/politics/quotes/hispanicleaders.asp

 
Comment by AmazingRuss
2015-09-02 12:50:03

A green card just means they can be exploited legally.

 
Comment by Califoh20
2015-09-02 15:45:34

How many illegal (wives) did Trump sponsor? I prefer the 3rd world chicks too.

 
Comment by Mafia Blocks
2015-09-02 16:05:33

You’ll take any trick that drives by Lola.

 
 
 
Comment by tj
2015-09-02 08:37:09

They qualify for government assistance because wages are too low.

wages are too low because the economy is so sick that employers don’t have to compete to get workers. workers have to beg for jobs when it should be the other way around.

Give immigrants and U.S.-born citizens a living wage and we would all save billions of dollars in welfare not spent.

this shows a total lack of understanding how things work. employers will never give employees more money than they are worth. if they did, they couldn’t compete and would be out of business shortly. if you want to see rising wages you have to have thriving economy. an economy so strong that employers have to raise wages in order to get or keep employees. but the politicos are screwing up the economy so much that jobs are very hard to come by. in this economy, it’s the workers who have to compete more to gets jobs. they have to sacrifice in order to get hired. and it’s continually going to get worse because the politicos are going to continue to intervene in the economy.

Comment by X-GSfixr
2015-09-02 09:25:50

Who gets to decide what people are “worth”? And what makes their judgement any better than mine?

In my business, the “deciders” don’t want to hire full time mechanics, or pay them a decent salary.

But they don’t have a problem scratching out $250K - $1M checks to cover their azz for their poor decision making.

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Comment by tj
2015-09-02 09:38:57

Who gets to decide what people are “worth”?

the ones doing the hiring.

And what makes their judgement any better than mine?

their closeness to their own situation. if you aren’t doing the hiring you should have NO say what-so-ever.

In my business, the “deciders” don’t want to hire full time mechanics

you can thank regs that penalize full time employment for that.

But they don’t have a problem scratching out $250K - $1M checks to cover their azz for their poor decision making.

poor decisions from ‘your’ perspective. if they were really making bad decisions they wouldn’t have their jobs for long.

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2015-09-02 10:52:33

“The ones doing the hiring”
As has been demonstrated repeatedly, just because they have the money/power doesn’t mean they are not stupid.

“…..closeness to their situation…..”

HA! When you get a certain distance up the food chain, you have no clue as to what’s going on. Most managers/deciders like it that way. As we have seen, the”wasn’t aware of/nobody told me” defense has kept a bunch of upper management types out of jail.

“Regulations”

Bull. Its a “cut headcount to make my cost of operating this airplane cheaper” decision. Instead of hiring a full time pro, a bunch of owners are forcing one of their pilots to wear two hats. Whether they have the experience/know how to make maintenance decisions or not.

“…..wouldn’t have their jobs long”

This assumes that the guy making the decision is a peon too, and not the owner of the checkbook. And as anyone who looks at the history knows, these guys would rather take a multi million dollar hit, than admit that they were stupid/made a mistake. Especially when they can work it out so others to take the financial hit.

And besides, a lot of these issues can be ignored until the “smoking hole”. At which point, they can lawyer up and start saying stuff like “I wasn’t aware” and ” Nobody could have predicted…….”

 
Comment by tj
2015-09-02 11:50:12

As has been demonstrated repeatedly, just because they have the money/power doesn’t mean they are not stupid.

it doesn’t mean they ARE stupid either. so what’s your point?

HA! When you get a certain distance up the food chain, you have no clue as to what’s going on.

HA! then bad decisions get made and he either gets fired or they go out of business. HA!

Bull. Its a “cut headcount to make my cost of operating this airplane cheaper” decision.

bull. cutting headcount isn’t always the way to get operating costs cheaper. i sure as hell wouldn’t put you in charge of anything with simplistic thinking like that.

This assumes that the guy making the decision is a peon too, and not the owner of the checkbook.

the owner of the checkbook has to be the most responsible of all. it’s scary you don’t get this.

And as anyone who looks at the history knows, these guys would rather take a multi million dollar hit, than admit that they were stupid/made a mistake.

yeah sure. i’m sure you’d rather lose multi millions than admit a mistake. you really do live in a fantasy world.

 
Comment by Califoh20
2015-09-02 15:50:13

“poor decisions from ‘your’ perspective. if they were really making bad decisions they wouldn’t have their jobs for long.”

Really? What is Too Big Too Fail?

 
Comment by tj
2015-09-02 15:58:27

Really? What is Too Big Too Fail?

another liberal lie.

 
 
Comment by WPA
2015-09-02 09:49:10

wages are too low because the economy is so sick that employers don’t have to compete to get workers.

Wages are too low because US laws and tax code effectively reward corporations with a higher profit margin if they offshore and outsource overseas. As this practice snowballed in years past, US factories closed and created a labor surplus, putting downward pressure on wages.

employers will never give employees more money than they are worth.

That’s not the problem at hand. The problem is that employers are paying employees less than what they are worth and are getting away with it. The whole system is set up in the tax code to milk workers and the shareholders to maximize CEO compensation and golden parachutes. Screw the workers with low pay, and screw the shareholders by making short-term decisions that fatten the CEO’s stock options but hurt the company’s growth in the long term.

Decades ago the Powers That Be decided it was too hard to make money by making widgets at home in the US, and there was easier money to made by gutting America’s industrial base and abandoning the blue collar worker. The wealthy went Short on America and sold us out. This was an act of economic treason and both political parties enabled it.

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Comment by cactus
2015-09-02 10:04:07

Wages are too low because..

More H1B because we have a skilled worker shortage just ask any silicon valley CEO.

 
Comment by tj
2015-09-02 10:08:29

Wages are too low because US laws and tax code effectively reward corporations with a higher profit margin if they offshore and outsource overseas.

taxes don’t ‘reward’ anyone. they simply ‘take’ at different rates. taxes and regs are mostly responsible for employers going overseas.

and if the laws do reward employers for going overseas, who’s fault is that? why should those laws be written?

The problem is that employers are paying employees less than what they are worth and are getting away with it.

ben & jerry felt the same way some decades ago. they fired the successful ceo they had that ran their ice cream business and hired someone that agreed with their political views instead for much less money. unfortunately, after the new guy was hired their profits began to nose dive and they had to fire him. i don’t know if they’ve ever fully recovered from that. your thinking is along the same line as theirs. it’s a mistake to think like that.

the only call you can make to someone’s value is your own. you can decide what you will work for, but you shouldn’t be able to decide for someone else.

Decades ago the Powers That Be decided it was too hard to make money by making widgets at home in the US, and there was easier money to made by gutting America’s industrial base and abandoning the blue collar worker.

pure fantasy. a fairy tale.

The wealthy went Short on America and sold us out.

how did they do that?

This was an act of economic treason and both political parties enabled it.

more hyperbole. nothing you’re saying can be made rigorous.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2015-09-02 10:13:27

“US laws and tax code effectively reward corporations with a higher profit margin if they offshore and outsource overseas.”

How? Please be specific. What laws would you change, and how would you change the tax code?

 
Comment by Biggvs_Richardvs
2015-09-02 13:14:46

Comment by WPA
2015-09-02 09:49:10

Wages are too low because US laws and tax code effectively reward corporations with a higher profit margin if they offshore and outsource overseas. As this practice snowballed in years past, US factories closed and created a labor surplus, putting downward pressure on wages.

BINGO!

 
Comment by Steadykat
2015-09-02 13:27:03

Check out the video (an oldie,but goodie).

“Our job is NOT to find a qualified U.S. worker”:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TCbFEgFajGU

I showed this video to Rep Orrin Hatch at a delegate caucus meeting about 2 years ago. He’s in the pocket of the H1B visa boys. His response was to ignore the video and dash away to the protection of his security detail.

 
Comment by Biggvs_Richardvs
2015-09-02 13:30:46

I would also add that we allow products made by near-slave labor and little to no regard for the negative externalities of dumping waste in local rivers, etc (environmental regs for silly things like clean air and water) in places like China, Taiwan, etc to flood into this country nearly/totally duty free.

This makes it impossible to compete here because of the “communist-liberal-big-guhbermint” imposed horrific hardships on honest American businessmen. Hardships such as giving employees weekends(GHASP!), disposing of your industrial waste responsibly instead of just dumping it in the local water supply(The HORROR!!), paying people a living wage so their kids can eat and go to school or they can retire someday (MAKE IT STOP!!).

All the things that foreign countries let their businesscritters slide on.

Thus they can afford to undercut us every time. What’s funny is listening to the people that would remove these basic protections as the answer, rather than demanding that other countries meet us on a level playing field.

I suggest that we offer (relatively) free trade to any country who meets basic standards, and heavily tarriff goods from countries that don’t. Then we’re competing on a level playing field.

Consider that free/low cost labor in the form a slaves was a major contributer to financial turmoil for the Romans and ultimately a not-so-small factor in its their demise.

 
Comment by tj
2015-09-02 14:23:49

nothing was mentioned here about pollution. i’m certainly not against laws covering pollution, so that part of your argument is a strawman.

and of course a ‘relatively’ free market is not a free market.

what you want is protectionism. and what protectionism boils down to is price fixing. and again, price fixing is antithetical to a free market. price fixing harms economies.

if you disagree, what is your definition of a free market?

 
Comment by tj
2015-09-02 14:41:23

the destructive effects of tariffs.

—-

The cost of tariffs to the economy is not trivial. The World Bank estimates that if all barriers to trade such as tariffs were eliminated, the global economy would expand by 830 billion dollars by 2015. The economic effect of tariffs can be broken down into two components:

The impact to the country which has a tariff imposed on it.

The impact to the country imposing the tariff.

In almost all instances the tariff causes a net loss to the economies of both the country imposing the tariff and the country the tariff is imposed on.

http://economics.about.com/cs/taxpolicy/a/tariffs.htm

 
Comment by redmondjp
2015-09-02 16:58:34

OK, so thanks for all that, tj, we now have established that you’re one of those free-trade globalists (so you must really like Larry Kudlow on talk radio). I used to believe as you do, but after seeing first-hand how these policies have devastated our middle class, I have changed my position.

I’d rather buy things made by other fellow countrymen (and women), and keep the money stateside. But that’s not even possible in most cases any longer.

And China’s manufacturing is absolutely destroying their environment, to the point that you can’t even breathe in some of their cities. That’s not good for the earth, or for us over here either.

 
Comment by tj
2015-09-02 17:11:59

i’m no globalist. free trade doesn’t or shouldn’t have anything to do with politics. the last thing i want is worldwide centralized power.

I used to believe as you do, but after seeing first-hand how these policies have devastated our middle class, I have changed my position.

the middle class is being devastated by taxes and regs that are crippling the economy, not by trade with china.

I’d rather buy things made by other fellow countrymen (and women), and keep the money stateside. But that’s not even possible in most cases any longer.

check back in when things have gotten so expensive that you have to choose between food and electricity. you might laugh now, but each day we are inching closer to those conditions.

 
 
Comment by Califoh20
2015-09-02 15:47:53

sounds like population problem…. but co’s have record profits, we all know Exxon and WMT could hire and pay more.

shareholders win, workers lose

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Comment by tj
2015-09-02 15:53:28

sounds like population problem….

i wouldn’t doubt that everything sounds like a population problem to you.

 
Comment by Biggvs_Richardvs
2015-09-02 16:09:05

I’m not talking about arbitrary tariffs.

Think of it this way: We’re effectively paying an opportunity cost tariff for all the cheap chinese goods imported into this country.

I don’t think it’s asking too much for the chinese to have to compete under the same requirements that our businesses have is it?

Or is it that you like your pseudo-slave labor goods from Wal Mart so much?

 
Comment by tj
2015-09-02 16:53:18

We’re effectively paying an opportunity cost tariff for all the cheap chinese goods imported into this country.

no, our general population is benefiting from the cheap products we get from china. the less they have to pay for something, the more they have to buy something else.

yes, there will be winners and losers. some will lose, but the vast majority will win. as HA often says “lower prices are good for the economy”.

I don’t think it’s asking too much for the chinese to have to compete under the same requirements that our businesses have is it?

2 things.. first, they are the ones taking the hit for dirty production. second, their rising profits will allow them to pay better and provide better conditions for their workers. all of this with more benefits to come. but it can’t happen overnight. it will take some time.

Or is it that you like your pseudo-slave labor goods from Wal Mart so much?

the first gratuitous insult is in kind response free.

 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2015-09-02 16:57:11

no, our general population is benefiting from the cheap products we get from china

lol, Right. Good to see tj-13 is still buying the Koch Bro. kool-aid.

(Makes me feel the world hasn’t changed)

 
Comment by tj
2015-09-02 17:04:34

there you are comrade!

how’s your communist manifesto coming along?

 
Comment by Mafia Blocks
2015-09-02 17:11:07

Up pops Lola The Poverty Queen.

 
Comment by tj
2015-09-02 17:20:36

he thinks he smells blood in the water and wants to join the feeding frenzy.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by Mr. Banker
2015-09-02 05:47:26

To demonstrate to all that we bankers do indeed have a sense of humor I offer to you this quote from the past taken directly from my People Are Smart files:

“It was my equity that I cashed out so I don’t see any reason why I have to pay it back.”

Bahahahahahaha … dumb ‘em down, and profit.

 
Comment by Raymond K Hessel
2015-09-02 05:47:55

Romney Retards, take heart. The Oligopoly might be swapping out its water carriers.

http://www.businessinsider.com/mitt-romney-2016-donald-trump-2015-9

Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 06:21:00

“Trump accused Kelly of asking unfair questions while moderating the first official prime-time Republican debate. In his pushback against her, Trump criticized her skills as a journalist, retweeted a supporter who called her a “bimbo,” and made what many saw as a lewd remark about menstruation. (Trump said his critics misinterpreted him and suggested that Kelly apologize instead.)”

What do his adoring fans see in this real estate developer turned demagogue that I miss?

Not to suggest that he isn’t entertaining or divisive…

Comment by Raymond K Hessel
2015-09-02 07:11:44

What do his adoring fans see in this real estate developer turned demagogue that I miss?

An opportunity to give the corrupt, sleazy, corporate statist Establishment GOP “leadership” the finger, after being thrown under the bus so many times?

Comment by palmetto
2015-09-02 07:18:02

Ray K hits it out of the park!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Comment by WPA
2015-09-02 08:00:30

Ray K hits it out of the trailer park!

Fixed it for you.

 
Comment by palmetto
2015-09-02 08:29:40

I’m just wondering what Romney’s mulling over right now. Has he caught on to the fact that he was a Bush place holder? Does he realize his “consultants” deliberately mis-advised him and screwed him blind?

Bwahahahahah.

Never thought I’d hear myself say this, but God bless Roger Stone!

 
 
Comment by CountryClubberLang
2015-09-02 07:45:25

Excellent!

How do you say “the finger” in Spanish?

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Comment by rj chicago
2015-09-02 10:54:54

F….U!!! That is how you say ‘the finger’ in Spanish!!

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 07:49:56

For that reason it’s great to have him in the race.

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Comment by oxide
2015-09-02 08:01:47

They see someone who is actually serious about throwing out the illegals so that low-educated Americans can have jobs again. And Trump said it himself… the best thing about him is that he doesn’t need anyone else’s money. I rather like the irony that the way to break the cycle of politician being controlled by billionaires is for the politician be a billionaire himself.

 
Comment by WPA
2015-09-02 08:05:57

What do his adoring fans see in this real estate developer turned demagogue that I miss?

They drank the Kool Aid and swallowed the snake oil. Only in America are people so gullible that they wail about the oligarchy yet swoon at the feet of another oligarch. You can’t fix America’s problem with the elite 1% by electing a member of the elite 1%. Trump is a Trojan Horse candidate.

Comment by oxide
2015-09-02 08:31:59

“Only in America are people so gullible that they wail about the oligarchy yet swoon at the feet of another oligarch. ”

Being rich does not automatically make you an oligarch. Are Bill Gates and Tom Steyer oligarchs? Not if you’re a democrat, I guess.

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Comment by WPA
2015-09-02 09:52:08

Being rich does not automatically make you an oligarch.

True. But Trump definitely is. He’s backslapped with the Clintons and the big banks, and simply cannot be trusted.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2015-09-02 13:10:07

“He’s backslapped with the Clintons and the big banks, and simply cannot be trusted.”

So, hanging out with the Clinton’s means you can’t be trusted? What does that say about BEING a Clinton?

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 08:33:42

Which candidates are not Trojan Horses?

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Comment by Blue Skye
2015-09-02 09:29:13

Are Congress and the White House full of “Oligarchs”? I don’t think so. I think they are full of hoers, shills and pickpockets.

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Comment by WPA
2015-09-02 09:57:47

Are Congress and the White House full of “Oligarchs”?

No, of course not. They’re just puppets of the oligarchs. When Obama caves or Boehner caves during a major showdown, it’s obvious the Chamber of Commerce have made their phone call.

 
 
 
Comment by Steadykat
2015-09-02 17:24:51

Kelly isn’t a journalist, she’s a pop-tart.

What I see in Trump is a guy who has exposed the fact, to many who haven’t noticed before, that there is only one Political party and that both the Republicans and the Democrats are fighting against the best interests of the of this Country’s citizens.

A fact that many here already know.

 
 
 
Comment by Raymond K Hessel
2015-09-02 06:01:28

The invasion continues as millions flee the Middle East in the wake of the neo-cons “regime change” debacles.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3204828/Riot-breaks-overcrowded-refugee-camp-Germany-resident-tore-pages-Koran.html

Comment by AmazingRuss
2015-09-02 08:21:24

So this was all a plan to destroy the socialists by overloading them with refugees from the shitstorm we stirred up in the middle east?

Brilliant!

 
Comment by palmetto
2015-09-02 08:23:19

Merkel is crazy as a sh8thouse rat. Well, this is the end of the EU, that’s for sure. Refugees my patootie. A lot of those mokes look awfully well-heeled. Got the latest in electronics and such.

Comment by AmazingRuss
2015-09-02 09:08:57

Well, they did have homes and possessions and stuff before somebody started shelling their neighborhoods. It’s almost as if these refugees are human beings that were recently driven from their homes.

Comment by palmetto
2015-09-02 11:06:27

You’ve got a point. They should be loaded onto cruise ships and sent across the Atlantic and right up the Potomac.

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Comment by AmazingRuss
2015-09-02 12:53:24

We could build a big camp for them in that park in front of the white house.

 
Comment by stewie
2015-09-02 13:04:54

+1 Put them all in public housing in Falls Church and Chevy Chase and see how the elites like it then.

 
Comment by palmetto
2015-09-02 14:51:03

The thing about it that is so confounding is the determination to get to either Germany or England. I dunno what that’s about, but England just said, “Right. Drop dead”.

No one seems to want to go to Saudi Arabia, Iran or any of the Stans where Islam is king. Don’t want to stay in Greece or Italy, although some have no choice. Not much interested in Eastern Europe.

Why do you suppose that is?

Anyway, apparently Merkel pulled a fast one and told Hungary “No more trains, please”, after her grandstanding about taking in hundreds of thousands. Of course, she expected other countries to step up and share the wealth, but there aren’t many takers. Now the migragees are stuck at the Budapest railway station. By god, I’d send them on, screw Mutti.

 
 
 
Comment by MightyMike
2015-09-02 11:28:25

A lot of those mokes look awfully well-heeled. Got the latest in electronics and such.

That’s likely to be a sign that they’re valid refugees rather than economic migrants.

 
 
 
Comment by Raymond K Hessel
2015-09-02 06:13:36

The sheeple continue their docile acquiescence to having their rights and freedoms stripped away.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-09-01/sheep-led-slaughter-muzzling-free-speech-america

Comment by CountryClubberLang
2015-09-02 07:47:10

GIGO-vernment

 
Comment by inchbyinch
2015-09-02 16:53:38

Remember that you have no free speech in banks (Great Depression Laws still in effect) and in state buildings. You can be arrested for saying certain things against or about the govt.
I find that troubling. I remember standing in a bank during one of our financial crisis, and the guard intervening on a conversation. Quite troubling.

 
 
Comment by Raymond K Hessel
2015-09-02 06:14:52

Is the Fed losing control of its rigged Ponzi markets?

http://investmentresearchdynamics.com/the-markets-are-more-broken-than-we-thought/

 
Comment by Raymond K Hessel
 
Comment by azdude
2015-09-02 06:20:16

“prices should be discovered not administered” Donald trump

Comment by WPA
2015-09-02 08:08:49

“Get rich by stiffing your creditors” says Donald Trump.

That’s Trump… one, two, three, four times a bankruptcy.

Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 08:55:50

It’s the American way.

 
 
 
Comment by Raymond K Hessel
2015-09-02 06:20:23

Remember, sheeple, listen to the experts. They know best.

http://www.theburningplatform.com/2015/09/01/the-value-of-experts/

 
Comment by azdude
2015-09-02 06:30:52

If you guys want a good laugh at inflated home prices look at east sacramento. east of business 80, north of highway 50 and south the american river that is adjacent to cal expo. Areas extends east to about sac state.

Small 1000 sq ft homes going for 400k and up to over a million on certain streets like the fab 40’s.

Comment by redmondjp
2015-09-02 09:44:33

I’m familiar with that area, having traveled there for business several times over the past 3 years. And that part of town (stayed there next to Cal Expo a couple of months ago) is really hard to get to from I-5 due to the rivers, train tracks, and so on. And most of it seems pretty run down.

Outside of business, though, I have no idea why anybody would ever want to visit Sacramento, unless you are into CA state history. The historic district in Folsom is worth a visit, as well as Oldtown.

Comment by WPA
2015-09-02 10:03:56

I have no idea why anybody would ever want to visit Sacramento

State Capitol syndrome. It’s a common disease. Nearly all state capitols are mediocre towns and are almost never the most vibrant city in the state: Sacramento vs LA or SF; Salem vs Portland; Olympia vs Seattle; Carson City vs Vegas; Jefferson City vs KC; Albany vs NYC…

Comment by Califoh20
2015-09-02 10:15:58

With the exception of Santa Fe, NM. One of the USA’s nicest places to live.

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Comment by Cracker Bob
2015-09-02 10:18:27

What; Tallahassee isn’t as vibrant as Miami?

Crackers are not vibrant?

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Comment by Goon
2015-09-02 11:19:08

Denver, in the year 2015, is the weed capital of the world 8)

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Comment by Califoh20
2015-09-02 11:47:07

Come winter, the brown clown over the flat city will return.

 
Comment by AmazingRuss
2015-09-02 12:54:42

To be honest, I am afraid of giant brown sky clowns.

 
Comment by Califoh20
2015-09-02 15:57:55
 
 
 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2015-09-02 06:55:57

It’s funny when Trump supporters say those on the left are “afraid” of Trump. Trump’s a whackjob on many major issues but he’s scaring the cr@p out of the GOP party leaders on some major issues dear to their heart. He’s changing the debate big-time.

Donald Trump has (by force of will and obliviousness to the GOP’s dogma) entered into the GOP’s debate the raising taxes on the rich and protecting SocSec/Medicare -in a matter of months. It’s a joy to see.

No one can pin “class-warfare” on a billionaire calling for higher taxes on the rich - or call a billionaire calling for SocSec/Medicare protections a “moocher”.

If Trump keeps pushing those issues, you might very well see a shift in the GOP’s stand on those issues. This can be a debate changer - a debate changer such as the ACA’s has been on the basic question of “is health-care a right”. (Which since the ACA, has begun being viewed as such.)

Debate changers don’t come along every day. The right might be afraid of Trump, but the left? Why?

Comment by CountryClubberLang
2015-09-02 07:49:02

Lola, you have previously claimed to be anti-illegal immigration. Are you voting for Trump?

 
Comment by WPA
2015-09-02 08:17:02

You’re right Rio. I don’t think the Left is afraid of Trump. If anything, most of us on the Left would be quite pleased to have The Donald as the GOP’s nominee.

Comment by Califoh20
2015-09-02 10:26:10

Trump’s ideas are wacked, wall and go take the oil in Iraq. But I do like his honesty about the morons in congress.

 
 
Comment by oxide
2015-09-02 09:14:36

You’re usually not this thick. Trump’s policies are centrist, so much so that if he runs as an independent, he could be as much of a threat to Hillary votes as he would be to the GOP nominee votes. In fact, in head-to-head polls, he’s gaining on her.

Comment by palmetto
2015-09-02 10:04:26

That’s exactly what one of our local political analysts said on the news last night. He was discussing the Trump vs Bush ads. He said that Trump’s “Act of Love” ad featuring illegal alien murderers was straight out of Bush the Elder’s Willie Horton playbook. So then JEB! comes out with his “attack” ad. I dunno how the media calls it an “attack” ad, unless 10 lashes with a wet noodle is an attack ad. It was more like a whine ad. “Trump is not a REAL conservative”. Really? Where do I sign up?

Anyway, the analyst says that Trump supporters from the Republican party are mainly moderates. And that he’s getting support from “gasp” moderate Dems as well.

Comment by palmetto
2015-09-02 10:35:05

Here’s the Trump ad responding to JEB’s wet noodle “attack”.

https://instagram.com/p/7GXcgxGhbG/

OUCHIE! I detect the fine hand of Roger Stone here.

The more Trump positions JEB with his brother, the better.

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Comment by WPA
2015-09-02 10:19:29

a threat to Hillary

LOL. If Trump is the nominee, the Hispanic bloc will vote 80-20 for Hillary or Sanders. Univision will have a field day with non-stop attack ads against Trump and mobilizing Hispanics to register and vote. The electoral college advantage for Hillary would be about the same as what Obama got.

Comment by oxide
2015-09-02 12:42:23

I’m not so sure, WPA. My understanding is that the Hispanic voters have either been in the US for generations, or they gained citizenship the hard way. Both would be resentful of the newcomers just walking over the border. And is the gain in Hispanics enough to offset the loss of African Americans?

Trump’s policies aren’t fully formed yet, but at least at the present time, he seems to giving centrists on both sides most of what they want: jobs for Americans, protection of SS/Medicare, taxes on the rich, keep your gunz.

He doesn’t have the baggage of the SJW-FSA on the left, or the baggage of the money-grubbing bankers and warmongers on the right, or the baggage of continual near-scandal of Clinton. It’s like a la carte cable!

Want some REAL entertainment? Let Trump come out with a $12 minimum wage and indicate a willingness to consider single-payer healthcare (which he has done in the past). For good measure, he should take on Elizabeth Warren as VP, you know, to help prevent others from going through the “painful” bankruptcies that he went through. (assuming she would agree to it, which is unlikely.)

Heads would explode everywhere. What fun!

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Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2015-09-02 15:45:58

Trump’s policies aren’t fully formed yet,

And never were….and never will be. :)

 
 
 
Comment by RioAmericanInBrasil
2015-09-02 15:39:18

You’re usually not this thick.

And you? Re-read my post. It’s about changing the debate in the GOP. No?

 
 
Comment by Lola
2015-09-02 13:12:24

lol@Lola

 
 
Comment by MightyMike
2015-09-02 07:12:37

Trump Supporters Think Obama is A Muslim Born in Another Country

PPP’s newest national poll finds Donald Trump just continuing to grow his lead over the GOP field. He is at 29% to 15% for Ben Carson, 9% for Jeb Bush, 8% for Carly Fiorina, 7% for Marco Rubio, 6% each for Ted Cruz and John Kasich, and 5% each for Mike Huckabee and Scott Walker. That group makes a pretty clear top 9. Rounding out the field are Chris Christie and Rick Santorum at 2%, Jim Gilmore, Rand Paul, and Rick Perry at 1%, and Lindsey Graham, Bobby Jindal, and George Pataki at less than 1%.

Our new poll finds that Trump is benefiting from a GOP electorate that thinks Barack Obama is a Muslim and was born in another country, and that immigrant children should be deported. 66% of Trump’s supporters believe that Obama is a Muslim to just 12% that grant he’s a Christian. 61% think Obama was not born in the United States to only 21% who accept that he was. And 63% want to amend the Constitution to eliminate birthright citizenship, to only 20% who want to keep things the way they are.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/08/trump-supporters-think-obama-is-a-muslim-born-in-another-country.html

Comment by rj chicago
2015-09-02 07:40:43

A closet Mooooslim - yes I believe that to be true
Another country - not so much.
Deal is this guy was not raised in the United States proper - Indonesia and Hawaii were the locales and lo and behold simple traditional Murican values are not taught nor valued in said locales.
Birth Cert may say Murican - character not so much.

Comment by CountryClubberLang
2015-09-02 07:54:35

England requires 10 years for citizenship. Don’t most countries reject birthright citizenship?

 
Comment by AmazingRuss
2015-09-02 08:18:34

Why do you think he’s a closet mooslim? Does he not let Michelle drive?

 
 
Comment by CountryClubberLang
2015-09-02 07:53:07

What makes you think he’s not?

Comment by AmazingRuss
2015-09-02 12:51:55

Fact: Obama has never suicide bombed congress
Fact: Obama has never shouted “ALLAH ACKBAR!” in a crowded theater
Fact: Obama has not called for the obliteration of Israel

Check and mate

Comment by CountryClubberLang
2015-09-02 19:00:19

I was just implementing my MightyMike strategy of posting a shirt uninformative question that adds nothing.

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Comment by The Selfish Hoarder
2015-09-02 07:21:13

Bill Gross says “Go To Cash!” Cash and 1 to 2 year corporate bonds.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-09-02/bill-gross-go-cash

I also say 1 to 2 year treasuries (52-week T-Bills and 2 year Notes).

Comment by Goon
2015-09-02 07:44:15

Bill Goon says “Go To Wyoming!”

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_River_Range

Life on the grid is so overrated

Comment by rms
2015-09-02 14:25:24

“Life on the grid is so overrated”

Clearly you need more debt… shackle you to a cubicle where your skill set can be taxed to help those who matter. In addition, goon girl’s lifestyle should be supported in the manner she’s become accustomed.

Comment by oxide
2015-09-02 17:42:01

I wonder if goon realizes that the only girls who would accept such a lifestyle are unshaven emo hippy tree hugging feminists? The daintier half of the weaker sex would not cotton to the thought that the solar panels can’t handle the microwave and hair dryer at the same time. Don’t ask about the chemical toilet. :shock:

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Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 08:37:04

Are you putting money into stocks, taking money out of stocks, or standing pat?

What kind of allocation would be best to have when (1) the Fed announces this fall that rate hikes are still on hold; (2) the Fed announces QE4?

Comment by azdude
2015-09-02 11:06:37

we have 3 asset bubbles:

stocks
bonds
real estate

which one craters first?

If times are so great why are bond prices so high and yields in the sh@tter? Wouldn’t this imply a flight to safety in a bad economy? Either stocks are way overvalued or bonds are.Which one is it?

Comment by Puggs
2015-09-02 14:42:33

I know cars are not an asset but those are in a bubble too IMHO.

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Comment by Mafia Blocks
2015-09-02 17:40:35

Sure cars are assets although depreciating assets. No different than houses.

 
Comment by rms
2015-09-02 18:38:43

“I know cars are not an asset but those are in a bubble too IMHO.”

Got that right. We need another vehicle for my son; used Honda or Toyota coupe w/120k+ miles fetches $4,500. Insanity!

 
Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 22:46:19

Cars are a household asset.

 
 
 
Comment by Califoh20
2015-09-02 11:19:19

20% still in stocks, rest is cash. Might buy stocks, slowly at DOW 15000, Like (ARCC, WTR, GLW) Never less than 50% cash

 
Comment by The Selfish Hoarder
2015-09-02 11:56:28

I decreased my stock allocation to about 56% from 60.

 
 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 07:47:49

Weird: Costco gas is still $2.999/gal despite the recent oil price spike.

http://picpaste.com/20150902_073827-RfqCHF1H.jpg

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2015-09-02 08:26:23

Paid $2.57/gal yesterday at Fred Meyer. Remember when that was considered a high price?

Comment by Puggs
2015-09-02 08:45:33

I remember the first time I paid over $2/gal visiting California in 2003!

Comment by sleepless_near_seattle
2015-09-02 09:00:24

I was kinda liking the $1.59/gal I paid in 2009 after the bottom dropped out.

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Comment by X-GSfixr
2015-09-02 09:45:44

$2.29 in Kansas City, MO briefly approximately ten days ago.

 
Comment by oxide
2015-09-02 12:52:51

The bargains are $2.35 here, which is surprisingly low.

 
 
 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2015-09-02 09:50:52

I can remember when gas was selling for 19 cents a gallon.

Got my DL about the time of the first Arab Oil Embargo. Gas jumped up to the outrageous price of 45 CENTS A GALLON!!!!!

At least we didn’t have to deal with gas lines, or buying fuel on alternate days, like they did on the coasts.

Comment by inchbyinch
2015-09-02 12:21:33

“At least we didn’t have to deal with gas lines, or buying fuel on alternate days, like they did on the coasts.”

I remember that well. I would fill up on odd days, even when I didn’t need to out of fear. LOL Typical govt. solution.

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Comment by Blue Skye
2015-09-02 13:16:04

I was on the Jersey coast and did the alternate day rationing. At the time I was a young engineer working in a major’s refinery on the coast. We were busting a gut in the tank farm, filling everything and crews working 24/7 on building new tanks for crude storage. A bunch of tankers were offshore just past the horizon, waiting for their queue to come in and offload.

It was OJT in hoarding. A glut for the few, rationing for the many.

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Comment by Califoh20
2015-09-02 15:53:40

What? Are you saying that if we don’t regulate businesses they rip off consumers>? wow!

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2015-09-03 05:11:54

That’s not exactly what I was saying. Hard to regulate away greed and stupidity. Rest assured that the oil company lost a lot of money buying high and then selling into the bust. Afterward, the regulators were screaming “obscene profits”. LOL.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by WPA
2015-09-02 08:24:41

Kim Davis, your cell is ready. Cell No. 14 in Cell Block 2A. Sung to the tune of Neil Diamond:

“Kentucky Woman
if she says “No” now
she goes to jail now
Kentucky Woman.”

If the lady had any integrity she would resign. That’s what real adults do when their personal feelings conflict with their job duties.

Comment by Goon
2015-09-02 08:33:05

SJW friends of friends on Facebook are openly posting (under their real names) that they want this woman murdered and all liking each others posts like typical SJW circle jerks. Keyboard commandos have moved on from Cecil the Lion to her now…

 
Comment by Blue Skye
2015-09-02 13:19:02

” integrity ”

We think you are confused about the meaning of the word.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2015-09-02 08:54:14

Any idea of how far crude will fall now that the Iran nuclear deal is in place?

Comment by azdude
2015-09-02 10:12:10

If you are a long term investor oil and nat gas could be buys. Everyone keeps talking about a bottom in oil but thats hard to say. If oil went back to 100 you would have a nice gain.

Comment by Rental Watch
2015-09-02 13:51:08

Interesting article on CNBC today talking about how the frackers are changing their methods to extract more for less cost per barrel. Necessary in the current low-priced times.

Said another way, when oil was $100 per barrel, there was no incentive to try to get more for less–why experiment with the frack formula? However, now that oil has a much lower price, the frackers are trying different things to improve the yield per dollar spent.

My conclusion is that the longer oil prices stay down, the less they’ll go back up. The longer prices are low, the more companies will fail. The companies that will survive are increasingly going to be the ones who will be able to extract oil for the lowest cost–and thus will re-start drilling sooner than their less-efficient, former competitors.

Comment by Rental Watch
2015-09-02 13:53:22
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Comment by Mafia Blocks
2015-09-02 15:03:07

It’s 15% of total US production and a fraction of that in terms of global oil production is raindrops in the desert my friend.

Remember….. global oil demand is falling.

 
Comment by azdude
2015-09-02 15:52:33

well until cars on a massive scale burn or use something other than petroleum products oil is always a great place to invest.

Now coal on the other hand is in trouble.

 
Comment by Mafia Blocks
2015-09-02 16:01:18

With prices falling, it’s a dead end. Just like houses.

 
 
 
 
 
Comment by measton
2015-09-02 08:59:08

Don’t often see this in MSM friedman fries Saudi Arabia in NYT

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/02/opinion/thomas-friedman-our-radical-islamic-bff-saudi-arabia.html?_r=0

Just one of many reasons I drive electric.
I hope oil goes to 10.

Comment by rms
2015-09-02 14:01:11

The Bush family has been well supported by the Saudi royalty.

Comment by Anonymous
2015-09-02 15:34:43

And visa-versa.

 
 
 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2015-09-02 09:43:24

Just got an invitation to attend my 40 year high School reunion.

Not sure I want to go. I associate my high school years with many more painful experiences than I do happiness. It was only after I got the hell out of high school and I started meeting and working with people in the Real World that I ceased to be treated as a second class loser. Haven’t seen or said boo to any of these people since I left town.

I’d rather pay to stage a giant party/drunk-a-thon for all of my aviation buddies, when I start watching grass grow from the wrong side of the turfline.

Comments?

Comment by redmondjp
2015-09-02 09:48:42

How far do you have to travel to attend? I just did my 30 year, and it was organized by non-child-bearing classmates who didn’t plan one single family-friendly event (loud bar Friday night; golf, winery tour Saturday, with overpriced catered dinner in the evening). My wife was bored out of her mind and I should have left her home (kids were with grandma).

Comment by X-GSfixr
2015-09-02 10:08:23

As it has turned out, my job wanderings have put me back into the same Metro area. About a 20-30 minute drive from the apartment.

The plan is a golf tournament on Friday, an informal meet at a local sports bar on Friday night, and a dinner on Saturday night.

Graduating class was around 380, give or take. I had one couple as my neighbors in ICT back in the early eighties briefly, and another guy as a fellow employee in the same department for about two months back in 2003.

Like a lot of people, the people I’ve stayed in contact with longest are the guys I went to tech school/college with. I’ve been visiting/hanging out with my bestest buddy since 1978; hung out with him for a Saturday afternoon a couple of weeks ago.

 
Comment by Rental Watch
2015-09-02 13:45:29

I had my 25th a few years back. It was simply a BBQ in someone’s backyard–the kids got to run around and play, I got to catch-up with old friends.

The night was more fun…ended up at a different classmates’ house who didn’t attend the BBQ, where I was really able to hang out with my close friends (many of whom I knew from 1st through 12th grades).

Without the really close friends, it probably wouldn’t have been worth it, but hanging out with people I knew for a long time, but hadn’t seen for a while was a lot of fun.

Comment by Anonymous
2015-09-02 15:43:14

“I had my 25th a few years back. It was simply a BBQ in someone’s backyard”

Wow, you and some others here must have gone to tiny high schools! There were a few hundred people in my graduating class.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by rj chicago
2015-09-02 11:01:46

GS - Like you I received an invite to my 40th HS reunion and I am making the leap - gonna go and see what happened to the high school hotties on the cheer squad.
Don’t know ’bout you but I am always curious what people are up to - and like you HS was a severe downer for me back in the day brought about by a number of factors. Now being in a much better place in life I have decided I best go and see what is up and just say hi to some folks I have not encountered in a long while.
I would encourage you to go.

 
Comment by The Selfish Hoarder
2015-09-02 12:35:08

I recommend not going.

I had a bad time in high school. The only good part was I had a crush on a chick who looked like Farrah Fawcette - Charlie’s Angel’s era.

My 40th would be in two years. I never went to a single reunion. Somehow they traced me and contacted me around my 20th and I knew a guy whose wife was in my class. I forwarded the info to her but did not reply with the classmate who sent me the info.

College was so much better. I don’t want to relive the high school memories. College memories were worth reliving.

 
Comment by oxide
2015-09-02 12:55:44

Please don’t go. More likely than not, you’ll cry yourself to sleep.

 
Comment by phony scandals
2015-09-02 14:47:06

Go for it dude!

Odds are the people you are describing who thought they were all that aren’t all that anymore. Sounds like you would be better off remembering how they are now then how they were then.

Comment by Ann Gogh
2015-09-02 20:18:39

I went to five boarding schools plus my hometown schools. Thanks to Facebook I’ve been on 10 reunions in the recent past! I’ve had a wonderful time but I don’t drink and the druggies I used to know drink and get mean! I did cry after my old room mate said I was passive aggressive and the clicks are alive and well! It sucks without a husband too! But I do have fun with my old friends!

 
 
 
Comment by Califoh20
2015-09-02 10:10:47

nothing gets done around the haters:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/donald-trump-republicans-democrats-poll_55e5fbb8e4b0c818f6196a82

and the USA continues to slip….

 
Comment by X-GSfixr
2015-09-02 10:24:30

Oh, how I wish for the good old times, when guys like this were pretty much universally thought to have more than a few screws loose………

http://tinyurl.com/oreva25

Nowadays, the players keep changing, or are being added, quicker than you can update the scorecard.

What I want to know, is how they are going to decide if a kid is genuinely transgender, or just a little perv? Stick him in the shower with a bunch of naked high school girls, and see if he pops a stiffy?

Comment by rj chicago
2015-09-02 11:03:59

Indeed - because it is all about FEEEEEELINGS and rights rather than obligations. I just want to get hold of these bozos and tell ‘em to ‘man up!! :)

 
Comment by phony scandals
2015-09-02 17:00:56

“What I want to know, is how they are going to decide if a kid is genuinely transgender, or just a little perv? Stick him in the shower with a bunch of naked high school girls, and see if he pops a stiffy?”

Long hair and mixed up feelings of identity or not, that’s a dude.

Homie can either shower with the boys and deal with it or get home schooled until he graduates. He can marry any letter he wants but he does not belong in the girls locker room.

This cr@p is a bridge too far.

 
 
Comment by rj chicago
2015-09-02 10:57:24
Comment by AmazingRuss
2015-09-02 13:20:46

1.) You oppose Obama
2.) You are a climate denier

What is this, tautology Wednesday?

 
 
Comment by redmondjp
2015-09-02 11:16:43

Looking at the markets right now, and the PPT is on the job!

 
Comment by Goon
2015-09-02 11:31:42

10 ways that white liberals perpetuate racism:

http://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/8068136

 
Comment by Califoh20
2015-09-02 12:30:39

He is funny! But he should not run on being another Reagan. We dont want the deficit tripled and 3 million illegals given amnesty. Trump does not read, apparently.

Trump also predicted that he will not only win the White House in 2016, but that he will be re-elected in 2020–predicting he will be a two-term president–and that at the end of his eventual eight years in the White House he will be known to all as a “great conservative” just like Ronald Reagan.

“I like Jeb,” Trump said. “He’s a nice man. But he should really set the example by speaking English while in the United States.”

 
Comment by Goon
2015-09-02 13:23:30

Synthetic drugs are garbage, homeless junkies taking over DeBlasio’s Manhattan:

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2015/09/03/nyregion/k2-a-potent-drug-casts-a-shadow-over-an-east-harlem-block.html

 
Comment by azdude
2015-09-02 14:16:07

question of the day

Does a weaker or stronger dollar cause the PBOC to take more dollars off the market and store them as reserves in the form of treasuries?

 
Comment by Califoh20
2015-09-02 16:19:59

Kerry Promises Israel, Saudis Money In Wake of Iran Nuclear Deal!

http://freebeacon.com/national-security/kerry-promises-israel-saudis-money-in-wake-of-iran-nuclear-deal/

What would Trump do? Stop the welfare, I hope!! Moochers who take billions sukkk

 
Comment by Raymond K Hessel
2015-09-02 18:15:23

Here’s a fine example of ABQ Dan’s Chinese stimulus spending in action.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-09-02/china-explained-1-image

 
Comment by Raymond K Hessel
2015-09-02 18:29:31
 
Comment by Raymond K Hessel
2015-09-02 18:39:09

Another citizen getting “protected and served” while a judge turns away and does nothing. No wonder so many people hate cops.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BBMEOeXwlLk

 
Comment by The Selfish Hoarder
2015-09-02 19:52:01

Marc Faber:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-09-02/its-tipping-point-marc-faber-warns-there-are-no-safe-assets-anymore

“I would rather focus on precious metals, gold, silver, platinum because they do not depend on the industrial demand as much as base metals, as industrial commodities.

If I had to turn anywhere, where, as you say, the opportunity for large capital gains exists, and the downside risk is in my opinion, limited, it would be the mining sector, specifically precious metals, mining companies, in other words, gold shares.

I would buy mining stocks. I am not saying they will go up, but I think they will go down less than a lot of other shares. And by the way, if you ask me about relative value, I think emerging markets are not yet cheap, cheap, but I think the return expectation I would have over the next seven to 10 years by investing in emerging markets would be much higher than, say, in U.S. stocks. The U.S. market is overhyped and is expensive in terms of valuations from a historical perspective. Emerging markets are no longer terribly expensive.”

I agree with Faber about metals and mining. I have mining ETFs. I sold my gainers, which were not mining stocks. Kept all my shares of mining ETFs and mining stocks.

Hope to buy more mining stocks in a few months but got to load up on more physical bullion in 2 months.

Comment by The Selfish Hoarder
2015-09-02 20:56:40

As for emerging markets, I also agree. They have gained very little relative to the Keynesian-pumped U.S. indices and European indices. IOW, they have far less loss potential than the developed markets’ stocks.

This is why I have not sold any of my emerging market fund VEMAX but sold off a bunch of VSGAX and VTLCX shares a month ago.

 
 
Comment by The Selfish Hoarder
2015-09-02 21:01:49

Even the gold bug experts have it wrong.

Schiff thinks your gold will go up because there will not be a rate hike.

http://www.kitco.com/news/video/show/Kitco-News/1055/2015-09-02/No-Fed-Rate-Hike-Coming-They-Never-Intended-To—Peter-Schiff

The charts show the 10 year bond and gold rates are proportional.

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5ETNX+Interactive#{”range”:”5y”,”allowChartStacking”:true}

IOW, it’s been a great idea to buy gold every six months or so the last few years. When the rates DO go up, gold will go up with the rates.

 
Comment by Mafia Blocks
2015-09-02 21:22:34

rapidly.depreciating.houses.

 
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