March 22, 2016

Irresponsible Speculation Motivated By Pure, Naked Greed

The Globe and Mail reports from Canada. “Dozens of Vancouver-area real estate firms are failing to comply with federal anti-money-laundering laws that require them to identify who their clients are and where their money comes from, The Globe and Mail has learned. The Financial Transactions and Reports Analysis Centre (FinTRAC), which enforces the legislation, says it found ’significant’ or ‘very significant’ deficiencies within some five dozen B.C. brokerages in the past year. It decided to step up scrutiny over worries that money primarily from China is being laundered through Vancouver real estate.”

“FinTRAC found that some real estate agents were neglecting to get proper ID from clients, such as drivers’ licences or passports. Attempts to verify sources of money were found to be inadequate or non-existent. According to the agency, some brokerage firms were also failing to report suspicious or large cash transactions, which is also required by law. Between 2012 and 2015, the agency received just seven reports of that nature from the real estate sector in Vancouver.”

“FinTRAC acknowledges that even when it does collect information, it normally isn’t passed on to police. Generally, that only happens if a crime is suspected in Canada, over and above questionable transactions. For example, money derived from the illicit sale of drugs in Canada. ‘There needs to be an equivalent crime in Canada for money to be laundered,’ said spokesperson Darren Gibb. However, he insists if real estate buyers know they are being identified and possibly reported to the federal government, they will think twice about parking ill-gotten gains from overseas in Canada. ‘Money laundering is a clandestine activity,’ said Mr. Gibb. ‘What we are trying to do is shed a light on transactions to ensure that Canadians and the Canadian financial system [are] protected.’”

“The findings come after a Globe investigation into speculation and flipping led the B.C. government to also put the real estate industry under scrutiny. An advisory group is now looking at any practice ‘that could pose a risk to consumers or that fails to meet the standards expected by the public.’”

The Global News. “The Financial Transactions and Reports Analysis Centre of Canada tracks attempts to launder money in Canada. Realtors are required to fill out a FINTRAC form for every transaction. FINTRAC’s non-compliance cases in Vancouver have quadrupled from a year earlier. Of the 80 realtor offices investigated by the federal money-laundering watchdog, 55 had significant or very significant deficiencies when it came collecting key information from buyers.”

“Financial crime lawyer Christine Duhaime said there could be hundreds of realtors in the same boat. ‘Had they done a greater analysis of many more realtors they would have found, I think, the same parallel where 70 to 75 per cent are not compliant,’ she said.”

From CBC News. “‘Greedy, shady’ real estate agents will no longer be able to profit from the practice of so-called ’shadow flipping’ in British Columbia, Premier Christy Clark announced Friday. Clark said the government is closing a loophole around the practice of contract assignments that will demand sellers not only give consent to any assignment put in place, but must give informed consent. She said the ’shady practice’ of shadow flipping is motivated by ‘pure, naked greed, and the way to end the practice is to take the profit out of it.’”

“The government will also be looking at strategies to discourage ‘irresponsible speculation’ in the market. Clark said she was ‘disturbed’ by reports from a new investigation that show real estate agents not following money tracking provisions. NDP housing critic David Eby said there will be a ’serious issue’ if the government allows the real estate council to enforce the new rules, given that the regulatory body has apparently failed so far to crack down on the practice of contract flipping. ‘The real estate council has been an entirely ineffective body to date,’ he said.”

The Georgia Straight. “‘In a hot housing market, we have to make sure that there is no room for shady operators to take advantage of people,’ Clark told reporters. ‘What we see happening in Vancouver is not right, it is not fair. And so today, I’m announcing that our government is going to end the practice of shadow flipping.’”

“But the government intends to avoid taking actions that would diminish the price of existing homes. ‘Because anybody who owns a home or a condo—a house or a condo, a townhouse, or any property—doesn’t want to see the value of that cut in half after they’ve already paid for it,’ Clark declared.”

The Vancouver Courier. “Well Hallelujah. After months — nay, years — of not just ignoring but outright denying there’s a problem in Vancouver’s housing market, Premier Christy Clark has suddenly changed her tune. However I’m skeptical the measures the government proposed will make any real difference for the growing number of people in Vancouver already priced out or hanging on by a thread.”

“That’s because the premier is still adamant any intervention in our housing market should not result in declining housing prices, and thus, any loss of equity for the no doubt hard-working people who, according to Clark ‘made a wise investment’ and are now reaping financial rewards that defied any prediction or reasonable expectation. ‘We live in a society that, if people make a good investment and a wise investment, we allow them to profit from that,’ she said at last week’s announcement, going on to compare those who bought houses in Vancouver many decades ago, in which to live and raise their families, to stock investors who managed to get in with Google on the ground floor.”

“It’s a daft comparison. The return on investment Vancouver’s housing market has provided property owners, particularly in the last 12 months, isn’t the result of shrewd investment but of sheer dumb luck. Furthermore, investing in secure and stable housing, unlike playing the stock market, satisfies a fundamental human need.”

“There is a confounding logic in the premier’s taking aim at shadow flipping while refusing to contemplate measures to deflate housing prices. In her view, one group — the opportunistic real estate brokers involved in the perfectly legal practice of shadow flipping — are motivated by ‘pure, naked greed,’ while homeowners who just happened to buy in the right place at the right time are ‘wise investors,’ in need of protection.”

“In reality, both groups are profiting from an out-of-control, under-regulated market for doing basically nothing.”

From 640 Toronto. “A UBC Geographer says the out-of-reach cost of housing in Metro Vancouver is the result of an effort by politicians to attract wealthy immigrants and investment from Asia. UBC Geographer David Ley says politicians simply have not done due diligence in terms of putting boundaries around foreign investment. He points to last month’s provincial budget. ‘I think the last budget was a case in point where the ministers basically said, ‘we want investment. We don’t want to upset people’s equity,’ which means, of course, we want to keep prices high.’”

“Ley says the bar to bring in wealthy immigrants into B.C. and Canada was set well lower than other countries, including the States. ‘Those people have done nothing wrong they are simply taking advantage of opportunities that have been made available to them. One case in point one of the business programs required that immigrants set up a business and hire one Canadian. The US equivalent of that program is that you have to hire ten Americans.’”




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29 Comments »

Comment by Mugsy
2016-03-22 03:37:34

“A UBC Geographer says the out-of-reach cost of housing in Metro Vancouver is the result of an effort by politicians to attract wealthy immigrants and investment from Asia.”

I’d venture to say that this has worked out quite well for the average high net worth Asian investor but not so much for the average worth Canadian.

Comment by Jake
2016-03-22 04:27:46

Given the level of fraud in Canadas housing market that likely exceeds the rampant fraud in the US, just how well is it working out?

 
Comment by Prime_Is_Contained
2016-03-22 10:35:24

but not so much for the average worth Canadian.

More importantly, it has worked out great for the REIC.

 
 
Comment by Professor Bear
2016-03-22 04:36:02

“…homeowners who just happened to buy in the right place at the right time are ‘wise investors,’ in need of protection.”

AKA voters

 
Comment by Mr. Banker
2016-03-22 05:09:56

There are generally two parts to a joke: The set-up and the punch line.

First up, the set-up:

“‘In a hot housing market, we have to make sure that there is no room for shady operators to take advantage of people,’ Clark told reporters. ‘What we see happening in Vancouver is not right, it is not fair. And so today, I’m announcing that our government is going to end the practice of shadow flipping.’”

Then comes the punch line:

“But the government intends to avoid taking actions that would diminish the price of existing homes. ‘Because anybody who owns a home or a condo—a house or a condo, a townhouse, or any property—doesn’t want to see the value of that cut in half after they’ve already paid for it,’ Clark declared.”

Comment by Mr. Banker
2016-03-22 05:16:19

‘Because anybody who owns a home or a condo—a house or a condo, a townhouse, or any property—doesn’t want to see the value of that cut in half after they’ve already paid for it,’ Clark declared.”

Nor does the tax assessor.

 
Comment by salinasron
2016-03-22 12:03:35

Gee, I want the same rules for playing the stock market and playing games in Vegas.

 
 
Comment by Senior Housing Analyst
2016-03-22 06:48:22

Novato, CA Housing Market Caves; Prices Implode 12% YoY On Ballooning Housing Inventory Statewide

http://www.movoto.com/novato-ca/market-trends/

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2016-03-22 07:29:08

‘Anger and frustration were common explanations people gave for their attendance at an emergency housing forum held Wednesday in Vancouver. More than 600 citizens, housing activists and politicians from all levels of government packed the Hellenic Community Centre in Kerrisdale for an event organized by MLA David Eby to discuss the issues around the Lower Mainland’s out-of-control real estate market.’

‘Before the event, Eby said there’s been “overwhelming” demand to discuss issues affecting housing affordability such as international capital flowing into the Metro Vancouver market, “wild” speculative activity, shadow flipping, wholesale real estate, realtor conduct and a lack of rental housing.’

“People are really upset about what’s happening,” Eby said.’

“Their wages have no connection to the amount of money that is being charged for rent and for housing to buy. The frustration that people have is they think their kids aren’t going to be able to afford to live here, they see the communities they love really no longer belonging to the community. And the idea of their community — where people could live there and work in the Lower Mainland — is disappearing.”

‘Ommi Milne, in her 60s, a Point Grey resident, said she’s been made “so angry” by Vancouver’s housing situation. “It is just horrifying to hear about the number of people who are looking for affordable housing and what they get is slum lords and what they get is disaster, and what they get is no housing,” Ommi said.’

‘Omni said she didn’t want to live in a “tourist” city. She was at the event in support of building communities with residents contributing to the “life” of the city, she said. Brett Carels, 40, an East Vancouver resident, said he’s “frustrated” with the direction housing is going in Vancouver.’

“The Canadian dream, the future of this city, is disappearing,” Carels said. “It’s completely unaffordable, even rents are through the roof and there’s absolutely no action being taken by any levels of the government. I’ve just simply … had enough.”

‘The price for a typical detached home in Greater Vancouver (excluding Langley, North Delta and Surrey) reached $1.3 million in February, up 27 per cent from a year before.’

Comment by Ben Jones
2016-03-22 07:33:29

This seems a bit more important than watching paint dry.

‘Low oil prices could cost Canada’s federally owned mortgage insurer $7 billion a year in lost profits, though the organization’s top executive said Monday the oil price collapse will not drain its capital to unsustainable levels.’

“The bottom line: it would take a very severe housing downturn and a big jump in national unemployment rates, both persisting for a number of years, to start eroding our capital in a significant manner,” Siddall said.’

‘The one area where Siddall said the CMHC is concerned is by Canadians’ high levels of household debt. “Indeed, the high level of household debt, at 165 per cent of disposable income, worries us,” he said.’

 
 
Comment by Ben Jones
2016-03-22 07:35:45

Watching paint dry?

‘More than one in 10 Vancouver condos sit empty in city desperate for affordable housing’

Comment by Professor Bear
2016-03-22 07:49:15

I was mainly referring to the slow rate of price adjustment compared to, say, last year’s spectacularly rapid Chinese stock price collapse. But lots of empty units is a sign of progress.

 
Comment by strawman
2016-03-22 09:45:59

There was a thing in the Netherlands about 20 years back where chronic housing shortages in some of the big cities led to a kind of popular blowback against vacant housing. Squatters (”krakers”) would take over apartments with absent owners, and weren’t necessarily energetically removed by law enforcement. It quickly emerged that the only solution for absentee property owners was to keep their properties continuously occupied; this led to an impromptu market through which a certifiably responsible tenant/housesitter could find housing for some odd period (say, 49 weeks) for very low rent, or even nothing.

At the time I thought that was insane, and even now my sense of property rights is offended; on the other hand, it solved a lot of problems quickly, and here we have a case where law and order are clearly being disregarded in favor of international money laundering, to the obvious detriment of law-abiding citizens. Is there enough consensus among ordinary Canadians on this point that an angry squatter movement could find support?

Comment by Jingle Male
2016-03-23 07:54:14

“…here we have a case where law and order are clearly being disregarded in favor of international money laundering…”

I don’t believe anyone is embracing money laundering. The majority of people who own homes also vote and they all want their houses to continue going up in price. They are turning a blind eye to money laundering.

Comment by Jake
2016-03-23 09:43:54

That would be embracing fraud Jingle_Fraud.

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Comment by Ben Jones
2016-03-22 08:50:21

‘That’s because the premier is still adamant any intervention in our housing market should not result in declining housing prices, and thus, any loss of equity for the no doubt hard-working people who, according to Clark ‘made a wise investment’ and are now reaping financial rewards that defied any prediction or reasonable expectation. ‘We live in a society that, if people make a good investment and a wise investment, we allow them to profit from that,’ she said’

Here’s where it gets interesting:

‘adamant any intervention in our housing market should not result in declining housing prices’

There’s been plenty of intervention already. The money laundering that was encouraged. The government backed loans. The blind eye toward affordability. And it’s happening in the US too. This strange obsession the governments have had with house prices has proven a disaster. Sure, compare it to google stocks. The problem is, it’s not a stock. It’s a basic need the government turned into a speculative asset. Now you go ahead and walk that back down if you want to, but I’d bet it’s going to get messy.

Comment by Blue Skye
2016-03-22 09:00:29

It used to be considered a crime against society to speculate in the necessities of life.

http://query.nytimes.com/gst/abstract.html?res=940CEEDD1238EE32A25753C3A9639C946996D6CF

Comment by Ben Jones
2016-03-22 09:16:55

Yesterday JM said something like ‘I hope San Francisco’s house prices drop’ because of relatives that want to buy there. The problem is we’re going to get a recession, maybe worse.

Way back I started a foreclosure blog to go along with this one. There were hardly any foreclosures at the time, but I knew if the bubble was there it would come. I didn’t anticipate at the time I would work in the foreclosure business. And I sure didn’t know I’d get a first hand look at the misery involved. It was always the little hints that stuck out to me. The notes people left to each other. Painting angry messages to the banks on the walls. The violence, over and over, tearing, punching, kicking against the walls. Purposeful violence. The piles of bills with overdue notices on the outside, unopened. Canada has all this and more in its future.

Comment by Blue Skye
2016-03-22 10:02:00

Yet they celebrate the very thing that leads to it, all the way to the edge.

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Comment by aNYCdj
2016-03-22 19:50:09

love the date……

Special to The New York Times. ();
May 30, 1918,
, Section , Page 4, Column , words

 
 
 
Comment by Senior Housing Analyst
2016-03-22 09:45:17

Denver, CO Housing Market Implodes; Prices Crater 10% YoY As Sellers Flood Market

http://www.zillow.com/hampden-denver-co/home-values/

 
Comment by Ben Jones
2016-03-22 12:50:53

I’m curious about this:

‘“Realtors across the state are reporting great interest from buyers, but with inventory levels still tight for single-family homes, the search can take some time,” said 2016 Florida Realtors President Matey H. Veissi, broker and co-owner of Veissi & Associates in Miami. “New listings increased in February, which is good news for would-be buyers; for existing single-family homes, new listings rose 12.1 percent compared to a year ago; new listings are up 15 percent for townhouse-condo units.”

‘Florida Realtors Industry Data and Analysis rolled out several changes to its housing market data report. The new calculation method for new listings does not include listings for properties that were on the market, then signed new contracts within a couple of months to go back on the market.’

‘Florida Realtors chief economist Brad O’Connor said the new method ensures accuracy.’

http://www.suncoastnews.com/su/list/news-suncoast-pinellas/tight-supply-boosts-suncoast-housing-market-20160322/

‘does not include listings for properties that were on the market, then signed new contracts within a couple of months to go back on the market’

Does this mean they aren’t counting flips?

Comment by Jake
2016-03-22 14:25:56

Hide the inventory. Prices fall. Hide the inventory. Prices fall more.

 
Comment by Jingle Male
2016-03-23 01:16:15

It sounds like they are not counting expired listings or withdrawn properties as “new listings” when they come back on the market.

Comment by Jake
2016-03-23 04:35:16

Ehhhhh no Jingle_Fraud.

They are excluding inventory from the total inventory count when it gets relisted.

 
 
 
Comment by Senior Housing Analyst
2016-03-22 15:34:24

The destruction of the US housing market and broad economy continues

“Fannie, Freddie to Cut Mortgage Balances for Thousands of Homeowners”

http://www.wsj.com/articles/fannie-freddie-to-cut-mortgage-balances-for-thousands-of-homeowners-1458580973

 
Comment by Sacks of Dong
2016-03-22 16:20:14

“Of the 80 realtor offices investigated by the federal money-laundering watchdog, 55 had significant or very significant deficiencies…“Financial crime lawyer Christine Duhaime said there could be hundreds of realtors in the same boat.”

Oh those madcap loveable Realtors always clowning around.

 
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