July 16, 2016

What Made Sense Before The Crash Has Flipped

A weekend look at multi-family housing starting with the Northern Nevada Business Weekly. “The Reno market is increasingly attractive to out-of-state investors. ‘Investors in Reno don’t see the same value as investors from San Francisco or San Diego,” Kenneth Blomsterberg, first vice president investments with Marcus & Millichap, said in a phone interview with NNBW. ‘Ten years ago they wouldn’t have considered Reno.’ Investors ‘are chasing yields,’ he said.”

“Recently Blomsterberg brokered the sale of the 184-unit Willowbrook Apartments in Reno to Encinitas, Calif.-based The Apartment Company. It’s the fifth multi-family complex in Reno purchased by the company. They are C-class apartments in a B-Class neighborhood, Blomsterberg explained. ‘The goal is to reposition the property,’ Blomsterberg said. To ‘bring a C property to a B-minus, or a B property.’”

“Blomsterberg said his associates see a lot of multi-family property investors from the Bay Area, Sacramento and San Diego looking for property in the Reno area. Recently, a buyer from Omaha, Neb., began looking for a first investment in this market. Another investor from Vancouver, BC is ‘rooting around Reno,’ he said. Now, it’s not unusual to have 8-10 offers for a property from as far away as Connecticut and New York, Blomsterberg said. ‘The market is just red hot,’ he said.”

Crain’s Chicago Business in Illinois. “Condominium owners in a Lincoln Park high-rise have voted to sell the entire building to an investor that plans to convert it to apartments, possibly the biggest deal of its kind in Chicago. Strategic Properties of North America has agreed to buy Clark Place Private Residences, a 133-unit building, confirmed Sam Haddadin, president of the building’s condo board. The building, which was converted from apartments to condos in 2005, will become a rental property once again, a switch that’s becoming more common in Chicago amid the hot apartment market.”

“Historically, developers have preferred to convert apartments to condos. That made sense before the crash, when condo buyers were willing to pay higher prices for converted apartments than apartment investors would, creating an arbitrage opportunity for developers. But the market has flipped. Though condo prices are recovering, apartment values have soared even more in recent years, meaning the pricing spread works the other way.”

WFSU in Florida. “Leon County and Tallahassee’s changing property market is a big part of the race for property appraiser. Former Leon County Commissioner and architect Akin Akinyemi says some of the increase in student housing, has been driven by the federal government: ‘The federal government, in 2009, when they passed the recovery act, there was a hefty portion for student dormitory loans,’ Akinyemi said. ‘That really flourished the industry.’”

“At issue is whether Tallahassee is over-built in student housing. And Clay Ketcham says those larger, historical student complexes located far from the center of town are now experiencing cash flow problems. ‘Rent reductions, and they’re experiencing higher vacancies. With those two things. Their property is worth less than it was,’ he said.”

The Miami Herald in Florida. “A luxury condo project slated for Miami’s quiet Morningside neighborhood hasn’t been as popular as its developer, Venezuelan oil man Gerardo Pantin Shortt, had hoped. Sales have been suspended at Boulevard 57, an eight-story tower at 5700 Biscayne Blvd. where units start at $600,000, a spokeswoman for Pantin confirmed.”

“A strong dollar and weak economies abroad are crippling the foreign buyers who snapped up Miami properties over the past few years. Several new projects have been canceled or put on hold as sales slump, including Ion East in Edgewater and the Collection Residences in Coral Gables. Boulevard 57 had pitched its off-the-beach location as appealing to domestic buyers. But it appears they didn’t bite.”

“‘I think the industry expected the project to get put on hold,’ said Peter Zalewski, a South Florida real estate analyst. ‘They were a victim of market timing. I was invited to the launch party [last month] and at the time I told everyone I knew to go because I thought it would be the last launch party of this real estate cycle. … Going forward, you’re likely to see more projects get shelved.’”

From Planet Jackson Hole in Wyoming. “A last minute ‘tweak’ has turned into a full-time haggle as the mayor and town council try to incentivize workforce housing in the downtown core. Even as the town moves forward, opposition continues. At its July 5 meeting, the Jackson Town Council voted unanimously to allow short-term rentals in the downtown core as a bonus to developers for building workforce housing. The ordinance was amended to include a cap that will limit the amount of development possible—for the time being, in the small downtown core.”

“The cap, or governor, would limit the use of the short-term rentals bonus to up to 100,000 square feet. Councilman Jim Stanford, who had originally been against short-term rentals, voted for the ordinance, he said, because of the added cap. ‘It takes away some of my worries about ending up with a glut of high-end condos,’ he explained.”




May 16, 2010

Money Does What Money Wants

The Chicago Tribune reports from Illinois. “As home sales have stalled in recent years and foreclosures have risen, homeowners who need to move on and those who have inherited property are turning to renting to help cover costs. So many residences are now for lease that there is ‘a saturated rental market,’ with more available units than potential tenants, said Jeanine McShea, president of brokerage services for @Properties. ‘Many people are renting out property, but most are not making money,’ said Sara Benson, a principal in Chicago-based Benson Stanley Realty.”

“Chicago-area home sales have had an uptick in recent months, but prices have continued to slide. With few forecasts of a quick real estate turnaround, many sales agents suggest slashing selling prices rather than renting in hopes of a higher price later. Most owners ‘need to fish or cut bait,’ said Benson. It is really a question of ‘you lose money now or you pay over a long, slow process,’ she said.”

“When Ed Amaya put his Oak Park bungalow up for sale in mid-2007, homes in his neighborhood sold in a matter of days, weeks at the most. ‘We had some showings; got close to a deal,’ recalled Amaya. But as the housing market soured, a sale proved elusive. So Amaya agreed to rent it to a family that was not in a position to buy. ‘We stayed in that pattern for a couple of years,’ said Amaya, who expected real estate to rebound. ‘But guess what? The market got worse.’”

The Chicago Defender in Illinois. “At the height of the national recession, which was born out of, in part, the burst housing bubble as a result of bad mortgage lending practices, President Barack Obama urged homeowners to push past pride and contact their lenders. The president, in turn, pushed for lenders to work with borrowers.”

“Initially, Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan was on board with the president and his call for lenders and borrowers to work with each other. But Madigan has changed her message to homeowners and urges them to contact a U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development-certified housing counselor, or even her own office. ‘It’s just a nightmare,’ Madigan told the Defender about what homeowners are dealing with trying to work out mortgage agreements with some lenders. ‘They (lenders) don’t respond.’”

“‘Housing costs have outpaced people’s earnings and it’s come to a crisis point. Some of the programs that are there to help finance are just stretched too thin,’ Kevin Jackson of Chicago Rehab told the Defender. ‘Whether it’s a fraudulent deal to begin with where a home’s value is less than what it’s mortgaged for, or a homeowner determined to stay in a community that doesn’t meet their income needs, some end up over their heads and are faced with foreclosures…There have been some success stories, but the programs just aren’t as effective as hoped.’”

“‘People are trying to apply to and utilize the programs, but later on find out it’s just a temporary agreement as far as the financial institution is concerned. The loan modifications weren’t actually in their best interest and the homeowners find themselves in deeper debt and have had their cases re-filed,’ said attorney Ahmad Sulaiman, managing partner of a firm that specializes in foreclosure defense.”

My Suburban Life in Illinois. “The path to recovery may take some time following the most disastrous housing sales slump in more than 20 years, said John Bohnen, owner of Hinsdale-based County Line Properties. ‘Where a typical chart on housing sales might show a gradual, steady slope upwards, you can expect the Hinsdale market to be more jagged — an upward spike, then a slight downturn, another upward spike, and so on, over the coming 18 months or so,’ Bohnen said. ‘I had never seen this kind of correction in the market since the early 1990s, when there was a small skid. This is the first major correction in more than 20 years.’”

“The $8,000 tax credit program may have helped boost the market in many towns, but Hinsdale didn’t benefit, Bohnen said. ‘We still have some homes on the market that have not sold for more than 700 days,’ Bohnen said. ‘But the multi-million dollar homes continue to move. Money does what money wants.’”

From AnnArbor.com in Michigan. “April real estate activity in the Ann Arbor…is setting sales records among local real estate agents and their offices, a pace that many said should continue as the contracts signed by April 30 - the deadline for the federal homebuyer tax credit - are finalized in May and June. Realtors said they’ll be watching whether the tax credit causes prices to dip now that it’s over and buyers can’t count on what effectively generated up to an $8,000 subsidy. ‘I have heard buyers say, ‘Now that the credit is gone, we’ll just offer less,’ said David Lutton, president of Reinhart Realtors. ‘If everyone did that, we’d have lower prices moving forward.’”

“Agents also are waiting to see the impact of foreclosures and short sales this year. Year-to-date data from the Washtenaw County clerk’s office shows that the number of homes foreclosed increased 14.9 percent, with a total of 463 sheriff’s deeds recorded through April.”

“An $18 million loan that financed Ann Arbor’s largest downtown redevelopment is in default, according to a foreclosure filing, with the lender seeking a total of $20.1 million from developers Joseph Freed & Associates. The loan for Ashley Terrace dates from 2005, when Chicago-based Freed finalized plans to build the 10-story high-rise consisting of 99 condos, 71 of which are excluded from the foreclosure.”

“Ed Shaffran was among those who cautioned against overbuilding. He said that the Ashley Terrace foreclosure appears to signal what he warned against: New construction downtown could only be built at a price that would effectively price a typical unit out of the range of most buyers. Today, active listings at Ashley Terrace include a two-bedroom condo at $355,000 - or about $285 per square foot. A one-bedroom model for $274,500 is $297 per square foot. In comparison, homes in that price range in the city are on the market for under $225 per square foot, and a buyer could choose new construction with an Ann Arbor address for under $150 per foot.”

“‘The pricing was high,’ Shaffran said. ‘Extremely high.’”

Crain’s Detroit Business in Michigan. “At one point during the presale period for the 63 condominiums atop the Book Cadillac building, all but four units were sold. But after the irrational exuberance of 2006 became more rational, deals were closed on just five units when the building opened in October 2008. Today, the residential portion of the building is half occupied in a mix of condos and rental units. ‘Is it where we wanted to be? No,’ said Cleveland-based developer John Ferchill, who led the historic redevelopment project. ‘But it’s better than where we were.’”

“While Scott Allen, president of Fourmidable Group Inc, hasn’t been in the Book Cadillac rental units, he said condo projects with some of the units converted to rental typically don’t offer the same level of service as full rental buildings. ‘A condo community doesn’t have the budget for the same kind of in-house management that an actual apartment building offers,’ Allen said. ‘In an apartment, we install full-time managers, not just people trying to sell condos.’”

The Greene County Daily World in Indiana. “A wet spring season has accelerated grass growth and the Worthington Town Council discussed how to deal with residents who have let their lawns get to an unsightly state. Town Marshal Dennis Conaway said there are properties that the town is forced to mow every year because they are owned by ‘conglomerates’ located outside the state. ‘The guy has never even seen his property,’ the marshal said.”

“Town council president Hal Harp agreed that the absentee owners are a serious problem for the town to deal with. ‘The problem we are faced with is that we’re not even able to notify the owner of the property that there is a grass problem if they are in foreclosure. We have several where people have just abandoned their house. Just let everything go. The mail is still going in the mail box. The only thing we can do is mow them and then file a lien against the property,’ Harp explained. ‘It’s really a problem that we have not been able to solve.’”

“Council member Debbi Dyer added, ‘So many of them that we found were in foreclosure, the banks that have them are in California, Florida and other places.’”

“Harp replied, ‘The paper, the titles move from mortgage company to mortgage company and you can’t track down the owners. We’ve got a house on Third Street that was in the flood (in 2008) and it’s still full of water as far as I know, because they can’t find the owner. He’s in Florida someplace.’”

From Fox 4 KC in Missouri. “Mayor Mark Funkhouser fears an auction of 200 foreclosed homes later this week will be infested with out-of-town sharks. The auctions traditionally only attract out-of-town bankers and investors, who often want to flip the property, sight unseen, without making any improvements to them. Mildred Angel says living next door to a foreclosed home on Palmer Avenue has been a nightmare. ‘All kinds of things come out of there, snakes,’ Angel said.”

“At an afternoon press conference in front of a rehabbed house, Mayor Funkhouser issued a challenge. ‘We would like some local investors to participate in this auction and buy some of these properties,’ Funkhouser said. ‘We need people living in the house, mowing the yards, shoveling the sidewalk and participating in the community as opposed to vacant. And we have thousands, thousands of vacant homes in KC.’”

The Park Rapids Enterprise in Minnesota. “For the first quarter of 2010, Hubbard County’s foreclosure rate rose 60 percent over the same quarter last year. ‘A little bit of it would be job-related; some people just have too many obligations,’ said Mark Hewitt, CEO of Northwoods Bank in Park Rapids. ‘They used to be able to get out of it by selling their property or refinancing it and now those options are gone. I think that’s the biggest cause, then, because housing values have dropped here like they have everywhere.’”

“‘Appraisals have dropped,’ he said. ‘Just this year we’ve seen drops in some of the properties we’ve been involved with up to 30 percent. A year ago we weren’t seeing in the appraisals, the drops. We’re required when we get property back now through foreclosures, to get a current appraisal and we’re getting numbers that are substantially lower.’”

“Park Rapids realtor Justin Clack said low appraisals haven’t negatively affected many local sales yet. ‘When there are foreclosures and the banks list them with us, they seem to sell pretty well,’ he said. ‘It’s not real difficult to sell a foreclosure. Usually they’re priced very reasonably.’”

“But it seems the endless parade of foreclosed properties shows no signs of slowing. And ultimately those discounted bargains could, as Hewitt says, drag the whole housing market into the cellar.”

The Globe & Mail. “Patricia Hermann is the ultimate house sitter. Ms. Hermann is a ‘home manager’ for Showhomes Management LLC. In the past four years, she has lived in six monster homes in Minnesota, where she works as a nurse. The average emergency room nurse in the state makes about $70,000 – good money, but not enough to make the mortgage payments on the $850,000, five-bedroom Tudor-style she’s currently calling home.”

“‘I’ve been doing this since 2006 and I kind of take it one year a time,’ said Ms. Hermann. ‘Maybe I’ll decide to get a place of my own again some day, but I’ve gotten so spoiled that it would be hard to move into a little apartment.’”

“Buyers know the sellers are motivated to unload the property. Empty houses can depreciate quickly because maintenance is neglected, and buyers have a hard time picturing themselves living in what is currently an empty shell. In the U.S., buyers already have a lot of choice: For every qualified one, there about 40 homes available. ‘The bottom line is vacant houses get low-balled by bottom fishers,’ said Thomas Scott, VP of operations at Showhomes.”

“Ms. Hermann’s torn between loving where she’s living and hoping the homeowner is able to sell the luxurious home. She has been there for nine months, and the longest she’s ever lived in one of the homes is 16 months. ‘I think with this economy, I may be here for a while,’ she said. ‘I feel bad for the homeowners, they get worried. But I know I’m helping. The house looks amazing.’”

The Twin Cities Daily Planet in Minnesota. “Two years ago, Paul Stutler, an Eagan resident, discovered major water intrusion problems in his home - the result of a defect left by the builder. Though state law required the builder to pay for the repairs, Stutler’s home warranty claim was ignored, and he sued to get his house fixed. After months of legal wrangling, he got a settlement, but not before spending $40,000 on attorney fees.”

“It’s a familiar story in some cities. In places like Woodbury and Eagan, many a suburban dream home has turned out to be a nightmare. After moving to Woodbury six years ago, Steve Palmer discovered moisture problems in his home, and a forensic engineer found multiple code violations. The experience drained more than just his bank accounts. ‘I missed business, I neglected my family… My marriage is suffering because of it, my finances, everything. I mean, my life is in shambles,’ Palmer said.”

“Finally, after months of work, the House and Senate passed the bill and sent it to Pawlenty’s desk shortly before adjourning the 2009 legislative session. Gov. Tim Pawlenty vetoed the bill. In a letter to lawmakers, he said the legislation would have further burdened an industry that was already devastated by the housing market crash. ‘You gotta be kidding me,’ Palmer said, recounting his reaction upon hearing the news.”

The Legal Newsline. “New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo is probing eight banks he believes might have misled credit rating agencies. The targets might have fooled credit agencies into giving higher grades to mortgage securities than they should have received, Cuomo feels. The banks under investigation are Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, UBS, Citigroup, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, Credit Agricole and Merrill Lynch. Lynch is owned by Bank of America, the target of another lawsuit brought by Cuomo.”

“The three credit rating agencies are Standard & Poors, Fitch Ratings and Moody’s Investors Service. Those three are already the target of a lawsuit brought by Ohio Attorney General Richard Cordray. Cordray said the credit-rating firms marketed mortgage-backed securities, saying they had the highest ratings and lowest risk. Cordray said the rating firms put high rating on the on toxic mortgage debt in return for high fees paid by those they were rating.”

“‘The rating agencies’ total disregard for the life’s work of ordinary Ohioans caused the collapse of our housing and credit markets and is at the heart of what’s wrong with Wall Street today,’ Cordray said.”

“Duke University professor Michael Munger has said that Cuomo should look in the mirror when he seeks causes of the financial crisis. Munger says Cuomo’s reign as secretary of the Department of Housing and Urban Development Authority under President Bill Clinton was a big cause of the financial problems of today. Cuomo required Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy $2.4 trillion in mortgages over a 10-year span. Cuomo said that meant affordable housing for 28.1 million low- and moderate-income families.”

“‘The fact is that pressure had been placed on both private banks and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to increase the amount of affordable housing available for people who couldn’t afford it,’ Munger said. Banks were making loans they wouldn’t make under normal circumstances. They were pressed by both Congress and Cuomo and the HUD. Basically, they were putting a government stamp of approval on them to buy these as investment-grade assets. To put it bluntly, the government was setting a trap… For Andrew Cuomo to blame somebody else, he caused it as much as anybody, or his agency caused it more than anybody — and certainly more than any bank merger.’”

The Journal Sentinel in Wisconsin. “Sales of existing homes in Wisconsin rose 16.8% in the first three months of 2010 and sale prices remained stable. John Flor, chairman of the Wisconsin Realtors Association, noted that it was the third consecutive quarter of gains in home sales and the second straight quarter with double-digit growth in the state. But Flor and others acknowledged tax credits intended to stimulate the housing market contributed to the increases.”

“‘I think the second half of the year will be a better reflection of what I call the normalization of the market,’ said William Malkasian, president of the state Realtors organization. ‘We’ll have a better idea then of what it’s going to look like. But I think we’re off life-support.’”

Channel 3000 in Wisconsin. “A family that had apparently been squatting in a West Side home currently in foreclosure has moved out of the residence. The family was asked to move by the Madison police, according to officials with Operation Welcome Home, a local homeless advocacy group. On Tuesday, the owner of the home filed a trespassing complaint. The complaint allowed law enforcement officials to get involved.”

“The mother, Desiree Wilson, and her two children had moved into the home two weeks ago without the owner’s permission. At a press conference on Monday, Operation Welcome Home announced that it helped the family move in without the owner’s permission. They said they entered through a broken door and changed the locks. They said that they launched an effort to encourage homeless people to move into houses going through the foreclosure process.”

“‘We believe that housing is a human right, and we know that we’re part of a bigger movement that’s been doing this across the country,’ said Operation Welcome Home organizer Z! Haukeness.”

“Madison police said there was really little they could do because the owner of the home originally said he just didn’t care. Capt. Jay Lengfeld, of the Madison Police Department’s west precinct said officers contacted the property owner, who told them he didn’t care about the squatters — as the property was going through foreclosure. But on Tuesday, the property owner changed his mind, citing concerns for liability. Prior to that — even though neighbors had called to report the problem — the owner just didn’t want to get involved.”

The Capital Times in Wisconsin. “‘We’re asking them to turn over the property to the community whose tax dollars are funding what they are doing,’ says Z! Haukeness of Operation Welcome Home, citing billions of dollars in bailouts to mortgage lenders.”

From Fox 11 “More and more homes in the state are going from ‘for sale’ to ’sold.’ ‘We’re on the rebound. Things are moving in the right direction,’ said Chuck Peeters, the president of the Realtors Association of Northeast Wisconsin.”

“Even though the numbers show the market is improving, there are still many people having a tough time trying to sell their house. ‘I guess the worst part is just sitting there and waiting for somebody to be interested in it,’ said Shane Meyer, of Green Bay.”

“Meyer has been trying to sell his home on Green Bay’s east side for 2 1/2 years. He’s had to drop the asking price from a $250,000 down to about $200,000. He says the federal incentives did not lead to more people coming to look. ‘I don’t know if it’s the wrong price range or what but I haven’t noticed any increase in people looking at it or calling,’ said Meyer.”

“The tax credit ended last month, which is why some worry the housing market has peaked. People in the industry say there is still some momentum. Shane Meyer hopes it means he can finally get his home off his hands. ‘It’s all a matter of time, sooner or later it will sell.’”




September 7, 2006

‘Purely Financial Investments That Sit Empty’

A housing report from the Idaho Statesman. “In the Treasure Valley, the (OFHEO) report proves the housing market remains strong despite a drop in sales since the second quarter ended June 30, said Dan Givens of a Boise-based real estate firm. Not everyone views the local market so positively. George Tallabas, a veteran real estate agent in Nampa, said second-quarter data is already too old to reflect the softening local market.”

“Quoting statistics compiled by the Intermountain MLS, Tallabas said 1,247 new and existing homes were for sale Tuesday in the popular $250,000 to $350,000 price range, and they are sitting on the market an average 45 days.”

“‘That was unheard of a year ago,’ Tallabas said. And what I’m hearing from (real estate) agents is that they’re struggling, that their (sales) numbers are clearly down.’”

“Ted Martinez, a local representative to the National Homebuilders Association, predicted that housing sales will pick up again because area homes remain affordable compared with other markets. ‘What the market is doing is going through a correction, which it really needed,’ Martinez said. ‘It’s getting down to where it’s reasonable.’”

From Planet Jackson Hole in Wyoming. “For (Broker) Ron Miller, and many like him, the Jackson Hole real estate market is a cash cow, a golden goose, with an unlimited future.”

“‘In Jackson, the market doesn’t really go down,’ said (realtor) Linda Walker. Broker Ryan Olsen agrees. ‘We are immune to the up and down treads that plague many real estate markets,’ he says. ‘Our real estate market is essentially quite ‘bullet proof!’”

“‘I’ve always been amazed with this market,’ David Viehman says. Viehman compiles an in-depth look at real estate trends in the Jackson Hole area. ‘I’ve been in real estate for 25 years and I still think, ‘This is crazy. Why would anybody pay these kinds of prices?’ To make ‘those’ kinds of profit, would be the pat answer.’”

“‘This is a real active market now,’ Walker says. ‘With low inventories, buyers are getting off the fence,’ Viehman says. ‘Maybe their spouses are elbowing them and saying ‘we better get on this before it takes off.’ That feeds an urgency.’”

“Available property may be at an all-time low but ‘dirt pimps’ are flocking to real estate courses like ravens to an elk kill. ‘There are almost 700 realtors in Jackson Hole,’ Walker says. ‘That’s a lot. A lot of real estate agents have a main job because they are not selling.’ Miller wonders. “There’s only about 40 of us who do any volume. The rest of them, I don’t know how they’re making a living.’”

“Indications are a growing number of high-end properties in Jackson Hole are no longer vacation or second homes, but purely financial investments that sit empty. It is a trend noticed by one agent, Ray Elser, when he sees a ’spec home’ change hands ‘three, four, and five times before construction is ever completed.’”

“Sure, property taxes soar with each reassessment but banks keep homeowners ahead by refinancing Jacksonites into their neo-wealth status. ‘You don’t have to sell a property to realize gain,’ Miller says. ‘You can get a new appraisal and borrow against the property and then go buy more properties. And when you borrow the money back, a lot of people don’t realize when you go get an equity loan it is not a taxable event. So you’re better off pulling a million dollars out of a property, tax-free, and buying more with that.’”

“‘Real estate values will continue to increase,’ Elser says. ‘My crystal ball can only see so far,” Viehman says, “it’s a little foggy, but there doesn’t seem to be anything that’s going to change the course.’”